electric vehicle market
TRANSCRIPT
IEA RETD Francisco Carranza
Nissan Europe
Bonn, 26 Oct 2012
2
Towards a Sustainable Future
Electric Vehicle Market
Electric Vehicle Charging
Electric Vehicles & Electricity Grid
Conclusions
AGENDA
3
Towards a Sustainable Future
From 600 million vehicles worldwide today to 2.5 billion by 2050
4
Towards a Sustainable Future
Photo: Istock
Road transport responsible for substantial share of PM, CO2 and NOx
40 million people in the 115 largest cities in the EU are exposed to air exceeding WHO air quality guidelines (WHO)
In Europe: Germany, Austria, Denmark, Finland, Luxemburg and Sweden exceeding international pollution limits Romania and Bulgaria highest
pollution mortality rates in the world!
5
Electric Vehicle Market
13,000+ sold in Europe in 2011.
63% of total fleet (8,100 units) equipped with quick charge technology
The top 5 major markets in the past year:
France: 3,000+
Norway: 2,000+
Germany: 1,600+
Netherlands: 1,200+
UK: 1,100+
Estimated electric vehicle market in 2012 30,000 units
Estimated electric vehicle market in 2013 100,000 units
Nissan LEAF production from 2013 in the UK (50,000 units/year)
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Electric Vehicle Market
from 28,990 EUR
Electric Vehicle – Affordable (example in France, after 7k bonus)
from 25,900 EUR
(+82 EUR/month)
from 20,000 EUR
(+72 EUR/month)
from 6,990 EUR
(+50 EUR/month)
from 13,700 EUR
(+79 EUR/month)
from 29,500 EUR from 19,450 EUR
(+65 EUR/month)
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Electric Vehicle Market
Estimated running cost of EV vs ICE (15.000km/year):
Using a diesel compact car (4.5 l/100km) 945 EUR
Using a petrol compact car (6.2 l/100km) 1.488 EUR
Using an EV compact car (13.7 kWh/100km) 206 EUR
0 10 20 30 40 50 60 70 80
110hp Electric Compact
Vehicle
90hp diesel compact
vehicle
105hp petrol compact
vehicle
How many km your car can make with 1 EUR?
Average price of fuel and
electricity in France, Oct 2012
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Electric Vehicle Market
1.5 MILLION Alliance EVs
SALES
8 EV models commercialised by 2016
Today 53,000 EVs sold (66% market)
Renault Nissan Alliance projects the EV market will account for
10% of TIV by 2020, and is aiming to secure 20% of that market.
NISSAN LEAF:
WORLD’S BEST-SELLING EV More than 36,000 sales as of August ‘12
13,500 units 5,000 units 17,500 units
Winning more than 30 awards
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Customer
behavior
Plug and sleep
Plug and work
Plug and shop
Plug and eat
Plug and eat etc.
Frequency Daily Daily Weekend trips
Charging
situation
Home/Office Charging Destination Charging Pathway Charging
Charger Type AC3-6kw ~AC22kw
~DC 50kw
DC 50kw
AC 43kw
Charge time 4-8 hours 100% 30 min. ~1 hour 80% (fast to mid)
2 hours 25% (normal) 15~30 min. 40~80%
Charging Site Home/Office Super Market, Mall, Restaurant,
Parking Lot or Gas Station in City
Major Road, Highway Service
Area, Gasoline Station,Fast food
Normal/Middle/Fast Fast Normal
Electric Vehicle Charging
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Electric Vehicle & Electricity Grid
Battery engineering & manufacturing
Battery secondary-use 4R business
Nissan-made Fast Charger
Collaborating with Governments/Cities
Smart-grid research, Charging network
New mobility proposal
Power supply system “Vehicle to Home”
Zero-emission vehicle engineering & manufacturing
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Electric Vehicle & Electricity Grid
VEHICLE to HOME Power Supply
System
Using standard Chademo QC
Help balancing supply/demand
Opportunity to reduce the bill
24kWh enough for 2 days
Example of Technical Specs:
Supplier: Nichicon
Sold from July (Japan) – 10k units
Expected price: 480k JPY (4.7k EUR)
6kW: AC 100V x 3kW x two-phase
Efficiency: 90%
Size: 65 cm x 35 cm x 78 cm
Mass: 60 kg
12
Electric Vehicle & Electricity Grid
NISSAN Battery Second Life
Evaluate and test residential and
commercial applications
Balance grid demand/ supply
Provide back-up power during outages
Under development 50kWh battery
storage prototype (30 average homes
with electricity for one hour).
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CONCLUSIONS
The automotive industry has entered the Electric Era
Two different sectors now have to cooperate: energy & cars
Cumulated EV sales in Europe: 50k in 2012, 150k in 2013
Investment needed in quick charge to reach 2015 targets
Quick WIN/WIN available: vehicle-to-home & battery reuse
Energy/Automotive cooperation needed to move forward
THE TIME IS NOW
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THANKS
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Background
Electric Vehicles
http://www.nissan-zeroemission.com/EN/
http://www.nissanusa.com/leaf-electric-car/home-charging
http://www.greenemotion-project.eu/
Vehicle to Home
http://www.nissan-global.com/EN/NEWS/2012/_STORY/120530-01-e.html
Battery second life
http://www.nissan-global.com/EN/NEWS/2012/_STORY/120118-01-e.html
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Background
http://www.cleanenergyministerial.org/our_work/electric_vehicles/index.html
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Background
EV Home Charging
(easy and cheap energy)
EV & FCEV Charging
(convenient and fast)
Zero Emissions Urban Areas
(remove noise & air pollution)
Zero Emissions Road Lanes
(easier access for clean vehicles)
Park & Ride (combine Renewables/ EV Car
Sharing and Public Transport)
Smart Community
(EV battery acts as storage for solar & wind)