elliot weinbaum, william penn foundation
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Advancing Early
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Elliot WeinbaumProgram Director of Great LearningWilliam Penn Foundation
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Elliot WeinbaumProgram Director, Great Learning
Developing a new resource for informing early childhood
education planning: The creation of Childcaremap.org
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• No comprehensive source of local childcare options• Multiple sources existed for different types of childcare• No data on
– capacity– geographic distribution – accessibility (e.g. proximity to public transportation)
• No information of how supply and demand were related
• No sense of the proportion of high quality seats
Need
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• Develop information source for:– Providers– Policymakers – elected and appointed officials– Advocates– Funders– Parents
• Use data to inform planning, resource allocation, and advocacy
Goal
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• Formed stakeholder advisory group (United Way)
• Included providers, advocates, city and state officials
• Shared needs/priorities• Built on PolicyMap platform
Creation
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Data sources
• No comprehensive measure of supply– Used six different data sources:
• Commonwealth of Pennsylvania, Office of Child Development and Early Learning (OCDEL) database
• School District of Philadelphia Head Start and Partner Sites database
• Pennsylvania Department of Education (PDE) database of licenses and enrollments for Pre-K
• Head Start• National Establishment Time Series (NETS)• InfoUSA
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Estimating supply
• Utilize OCDEL data• Several supply measures (NETS,
InfoUSA) do not contain capacity – Match up NETS with OCDEL– Estimate capacity for sites not in OCDEL.– InfoUSA estimated as a capacity of 5
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14,637 21%
31,134 44%
24,429 35%
High Quality (3-4 STAR) 1-2 STAR No STAR Level
14,637 21%
31,134 44%
24,429 35%
High Quality (3-4 STAR) 1-2 STAR No STAR Level
73,356 73%
27,578 27%
Certified Not Certified
17,864 24%
28,781 39%
26,711 37%
Estimated Supply of Childcare
Total(100,934)
Certified(73,356)
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Certified Childcare Center and Keystone STARS Level
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Estimating Demand
• No direct measure of demand– Start with basic population and age data
• Decennial Census
– Correct for children accompanying their parents commuting in / out of their home block group
• ACS (2013) – estimate percent of workers coming into Philadelphia, or leaving Philadelphia, with children under the age of 5
• Literature (e.g., Laughlin, 2013) – estimate percent of households using childcare
• Longitudinal Employer Household Dynamics (LEHD), 2012 – move people around the city based on residence / work locations
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– Resident children under 5 (from Nielson, 2015): 105,800
– Estimated number of children accompanying city resident parents to out-of-city work locations: 9,200
– Estimated number of children accompanying parents from out-of-the-city to city work locations: 16,400
– Total Estimated Demand: 113,000
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Estimated Total Demand
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Approaches to Estimating the Gap
0
20
40
60
80
100
0 20 40 60 80 100
Supp
ly
Demand
Hypothetical Relationship Between the Supply of and Demand for Childcare
More than Expected Level of Supply
Less than Expected Level of Supply
Supply/demand relationship predicted based on current supply
Perfect supply/demand match
Census block group
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Mapping the Gaps
The map displays the absolute shortage in high-quality (STAR 3 & 4) childcare. Blue areas have the least shortage; white areas, the greatest shortage. Areas with an orange overlay are high (35%+) resident poverty places. Note the places with high poverty and shortage – as well as those where poverty is high but supply is adequate.
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# %Certified 73,356 72.7% 3,156 3.1%
High Quality (3-4 STAR) 17,864 17.7% 3,227 3.2%1-2 STAR 28,781 28.5% -2,353 -2.4%
No STAR Level 26,711 26.5% 2,282 2.3%Not Certified 27,578 27.3% -3,028 -3.1%Total Seats 100,934 128
Estimated Supply of Childcare Total Seats % of All Seats Change from 2014
Tracking the trends
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• Informs local universal pre-k effort• Supports increases in local ECE funding
– Federal grant competitions (e.g., EHS childcare partnership, HS renewal)
– Other grant competitions (e.g., PNC Grow Up Great)• Inform investments in libraries, parks, playgrounds• Stimulate planning related to the ECE – K12 connection• Resource for parent/caregiver outreach• Informs other WPF investments
– Fund for Quality; program expansion– Success by 6; technical assistance
Demonstrated uses
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Contact Information
Elliot Weinbaum
Elliot Weinbaum, Program Director, William Penn Foundation– [email protected]
Emily Dowdall, Chief of Development and Policy Implementation, Reinvestment Fund
Website: www.childcaremap.org
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