enabling the migration to modern gasoline direct injection · charged direct-injection (t-gdi)...

© 2018 The Lubrizol Corporation, all rights reserved.© 2018 The Lubrizol Corporation, all rights reserved.

Enabling The Migration to Modern Gasoline Direct Injection

9th "Global Lubricant Week 2018"

Dr. Colin Morton | Moscow | 10 October 2018

© 2018 The Lubrizol Corporation, all rights reserved.2

Overview • Russia’s automotive lubricant market

• Powertrain technology evolution and TGDI

• Future lubricant outlook

• Summary


Video | The Ultimate Performer


Russia’s automotive lubricant market


Russia | Significant Growth Potential

United States Russia China

0.33 billion people

$59,500 / capita GDP

1.38 billion people


142 million people


82% living in an

urban environment

58% living in an

urban environment74% living in an

urban environment

6,586,610 km of roads 4,106,387 km of roads1,283,387 km of roads

795 vehicles / 1,000 people 369 vehicles / 1,000 people 154 vehicles / 1,000 people

Source: CIA Factbook. Data shown for countries in 2017. Data for roads includes paved and unpaved roads.


Russia’s Positionin the Global Automotive Market

• The global automotive sector has grown

• Accelerating growth in Eastern Europe has largely been driven by an upturn

in the Russian market and growth in Poland plus the Czech Republic

• Overall passenger vehicle trend in Russia :

– 2017 recovery for new vehicle sales following a 10-year low in 2016

– 2020 forecast predicts upward trend in new vehicle sales

– Rates of growth may depend on macroeconomic environment

– Dealership network moving towards consolidation, with new business

models needed to help unlock growth (new vehicle sales, improvement in

used vehicle sales and growth in aftermarket service business)

Source : EY Advisory Services


Russia’s Vehicle Parc Continues To Grow

Light-vehicle sales forecast to grow to 1.85 million units in 2018 (+16% vs prior)

Total number of passenger vehicles in operation (2012 - 2017 actual | 2018 - 2021 forecast)

Mill

ion

ve

hic

les

Parc by registration type (2017)

Source: Lubrizol; contains content supplied by IHS Markit, AutoInsight, accessed 2018. All rights reserved.

8%

8%

84%

HEAVY COMMERCIAL VEHICLES

LIGHT COMMERCIAL VEHICLES

PASSENGER CARS35.00

37.00

39.00

41.00

43.00

45.00

47.00

2012 2013 2014 2015 2016 2017 2018 2019 2020 2021


Insight | Russia Lubricant Sales Channels 2020

The training of lubricant distributors is of vital importance to sell value

33%

67%

Direct Sales

Distributor Sales

42%

21%

15%

9%5% 7%

HD On-Road

Retail Autoshops

HD Off Road

Independent Workshops

OEM Workshops

Other

Source : RPS Energy

• On and off-road heavy duty end use

account for 57% of all lubricants

• Largest CAGR growth channels

from 2016 to 2020 are :

– Large Retailers

– OEM Authorised Workshops

– Independent Workshops

• 2/3 of all inland transportation lubricants

are sold through distributor channels


Powertrain Technology Evolution

and TGDI


Challenges for PCMO in RussiaPowertrain Evolution in Russia - Growth of TGDI

Advanced hardware requires advanced lubricants

2003 2018

Engine 1,781 cc, NA PFI

Power 74 kW

Torque 155 Nm

Transmission 5 MT

Curb Weight 1,210 kg

0 - 100 km/hrs 13.4 s

Fuel Economy 7.1 L/100km (90 km/h constant)

Engine Oil API SJ, 5W-40

Engine 1,798 cc, TGDI

Power 132 kW

Torque 300 Nm

Transmission 7g DSG

Curb Weight 1,580 kg

0 - 100 km/hr 8.5 s

Fuel Economy 5.2 L/100 km (90km/h constant)

Engine Oil VW 502 00, 5W-40


High GDI engine adoption rate worldwide | Russia expected to follow this trend

Growth in Production of TGDI Vehicles

Source: 2018 IHS Auto Insight, Worldview and Lubrizol


TGDI Engines

Lubrizol TGDI chemistry demonstrates all round engine protection

• Environmental concerns are driving

the use of TGDI engines around the

world

• These more efficient engines create a

much tougher operating environment

for the lubricant

• Lower tier traditional API categories

can cause major issues in TGDI engines

• Lubrizol TGDI chemistry has demonstrated

significant benefits in extensive field testing


Low Speed Pre-Ignition (LSPI)

• LSPI is a pre-ignition

event that can happen in

high pressure gasoline

engines

• The oil or a deposit ignites

in the presence of air and

fuel causing uncontrolled

combustion

• Events are random and

can be infrequent

• These events can cause

catastrophic damage

The correct lubricant can help reduce or mitigate the instances of LSPI

Video autoplay


The Modern T-GDI Equipped Vehicle

• Smaller capacity higher power output turbo-

charged direct-injection (T-GDI) engines

• 6, 8 and 9 speed automatic

transmissions

• New gasoline particulate filters (GPF)

aftertreatment systems

Use of GPFs to meet latest Euro 6 will require lower SAPS lubricants

Issue Market Insight Engineering Response Lubricant Response

Driver feel Smooth acceleration and torque Low speed torque, use of turbo charger LSPI protection

Fuel Economy Euro 6 regulations Smaller, ligher, more powerful engines Lighter viscosity grades

Fuel Quality Higher aromatics Calibration of engine Deposit and sludge handling

Emissions Euro 6 regulations Adoption of gasoline particulate filters Lower SAPS additive


Future Lubricant Outlook


A shift to lower viscosity grade lubricants is underway

Source: Lubrizol analysis. Based in part on content supplied by IHS Markit – Worldview, 2015

Russia passenger vehicle lubricant market by viscosity grade

Improving Lubricant Quality


A shift to higher quality lubricants is also underway

Source: Lubrizol analysis. Based in part on content supplied by IHS Markit – Worldview, 2015

Russia passenger vehicle lubricant market by quality level

/ SN PLUS

Improving Lubricant Quality


The Impact of

Gasoline Direct Injection (TGDI)


Durable Lubricant Technology for TGDI Engines

TGDI engines require high performance lubricants

Source: Lubrizol

Evaluating engine condition, e.g sludge formation

Lubricant Performance Level

Lower Higher

Slu

dg

e H

and

ling

Pe

rfo

rma

nce

Un

acce

pta

ble

Acce

cpta

ble

Lubrizol Testing of TGDI vehicles in China


Fuel Economy – ACEA C5 xW-20

Fuel Economy Lubricant Technology

Lower viscosity fluids must still protect modern TGDI engines

Testing TGDI vehicles in China Durability – wear protection at low viscosity

Source: Lubrizol

Re

fere

nce

Re

fere

nce

AC

EA

C5


Engine Lubricants Need to Protect Against LSPI

LSPI is an issue today and needs new lubricant technology to be used

• TGDI engines operate in a more fuel efficient regime where

low speed pre-ignition (LSPI) can occur

– LSPI is abnormal engine combustion that can cause engine

damage or failure and often goes undetected until it’s too late

– Lubrizol Field testing in China have detected LSPI events

– OEMs are concerned about LSPI and need solutions now

• The right engine oil can help to stop LSPI from happening

– API SN Plus has been issued to ensure protection from LSPI

– OEMs are introducing new tests to ensure protection from LSPI

– ACEA based lubricants also need to be designed to protect

engines from damage caused by LSPI


Fastest Growing Engine TypeRemains Unprotected

This is an unacceptable situation for OEMs and vehicle owners

• Field data proves older oil specifications

are inadequate for TGDI engines

• OEMs can no longer wait

– GM dexos1TM Gen 2

– API SN PLUS

– European OEMs (PSA, Daimler)

– Future ACEA 2018 and beyond


Summary


Summary | Multi-Dimensional Formulating Challenges

• Environmental concerns and economic growth

continue to be the macro drivers in Russia

• The use of new TGDI engine hardware will

lead to increased demand for higher

performance lubricants to mitigate issues such

as LSPI

• The use of new aftertreatment systems such

as GPFs will lead to increased demand for

lower SAPS additives

Lubricant marketers need to consider TGDI requirements across their portfolio

to ensure the performance improvement and protection needed

© 2018 The Lubrizol Corporation, all rights reserved.

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enabling the migration to modern gasoline direct injection · charged direct-injection (t-gdi)...

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