energy efficiency indicators · ei has increased by: • irregular growth of gdp • power...
TRANSCRIPT
Energy Efficiency Indicators
Experience in data collection and
mapping
Juan Ignacio Navarrete Barbosa
Deputy Direction General for Policies and Programs
September 26th, 2018
Comply with the LTE and its Regulations
Disseminate information in the Mexican society about EEI
Assess impacts of energy efficiency actions and policies in the last 20 years
Facilitate the monitoring and systematic evaluation of the planning instruments (Strategy and PRONASE)
Strengthen national energy efficiency statistics and promote new studies
International benchmark on EEI regarding other countries
Why is important the EEI for Conuee?
.
Initiation in the BIEE Project in 2013 withothers LA countries
Financing of technical assistance with France Government in 2016
Technical support and development of EEI tools in 2016 and continuous improvement today
Dialogue between Mexican and French teams in matter of EEI in 2015
First delivery of Mexican EEI as a member country in 2018 (January)
Conuee´s tracking with international cooperation on IEE
Important data collection by 4 years.
Gathering and searching mistakes on national statistics from 33 officials
sources.
Analysis and processing of 6,800 time series in 7 sectors.
BIEE Project results in CONUEE…(1)
Sectores Instituciones
Macroeconomía
Energía
Industria
Transporte
Residencial
Servicios
Agropecuario
More than 150 EEIs, with different
levels of disaggregation.
Database of EEI online into the
Conuee´s website, free access.
National report on energy efficiency
indicators was developed by
CONUEE and French cooperation for
ECLAC.
Mexico becomes in the 9th country
that finished its national report into
ECLAC.
BIEE Project results in CONUEE…(2)
www.biee-conuee.enerdata.net/
Informe disponible en:www.cepal.org/es/publicaciones/43612-informe-nacional-monitoreo-la-eficiencia-energetica-mexico-2018
About the Mexican Energy Efficiency Report
Background on EE policies
Energy consumption structure
First level national EEI
Energy sector EEI
Industrial Sector EEI
Transport Sector EEI
Residential sector EEI
Commercial & services sector EEI
Agricultural Sector EEI
Nexus Water-energy
EI has shown an irregular trend in the last 3 decades.
In the Mexican case, this indicator presents limitations for assess the energy
efficiency progress, just because this one includes structural effects.
0
2,000
4,000
6,000
8,000
10,000
12,000
14,000
16,000
13.0
13.5
14.0
14.5
15.0
15.5
16.0
16.5
17.0
17.5
1993 1994 1995 1996 1997 1998 1999 2000 2001 2002 2003 2004 2005 2006 2007 2008 2009 2010 2011 2012 2013 2014 2015
PIB Intensidad primaria
tep/M
M$[2
008]
Mil
es d
e m
illo
nes
de
pes
os
de
2008
Mexico: Energy Intensity and GDP
Highlight: Beyond Energy Intensity…(1)
EI has increased by:
• Irregular growth of GDP
• Power generation with coal and fuel oil
• Natural gas reinjection for oil wells
• Electrical losses on distribution & transmission
EI has decreased by:
• Structural changes (GDP and sectoral)
• Changes in the fuel mix and improvements into the industrial sector
• Energy Efficiency Standards
• Replacement programs
• Combine cycle in the power generation mix
• Energy Imports (gasoline & natural gas) versus decrease activity in transformation sector
100
110
120
130
140
150
160
170
1995 1996 1997 1998 1999 2000 2001 2002 2003 2004 2005 2006 2007 2008 2009 2010 2011 2012 2013 2014 2015
Índ
ice
bas
e 1
00
en
el
año
19
95
Consumo nacional de energía PIB
Decoupling in the growth between Energy consumption and GDP
Highlight: Beyond Energy Intensity…(2)
Energy sector consumption has more impacts in the EI, regarding final energy sectors.
However, Final Intensity has decreased 1% per year in the last 20 years, while energy
sector was reducing 0.2% its intensity in same period.
0
2
4
6
8
10
12
14
16
18
1993 1994 1995 1996 1997 1998 1999 2000 2001 2002 2003 2004 2005 2006 2007 2008 2009 2010 2011 2012 2013 2014 2015
tep/M
M$[2
008]
Intensidad energética primaria Intensidad energética final Intensidad energética de transformación
Mexico: Final, Transformation and Primary intensity
Highlight: Beyond Energy Intensity…(3)
Tracking in the final energy intensities in the last 20 years:
• Residential, -45.9%
• Industrial, -15.6%
• Commercial & services, -10.9%
• Transport, -5.6%
• Agricultural, +37.7%
40
60
80
100
120
140
160
1995 1996 1997 1998 1999 2000 2001 2002 2003 2004 2005 2006 2007 2008 2009 2010 2011 2012 2013 2014 2015
índic
e bas
e 100 e
n e
l añ
o 1
995
Industrial Transporte Residencial Agropecuario Comercial y servicios
Final energy intensities tracking by sector
Highlight: Beyond Energy Intensity…(4)
Final sectors with incremental share in electricity, have improved their energy efficiency
progress.
100
110
120
130
140
150
160
170
180
190
200
1995 1996 1997 1998 1999 2000 2001 2002 2003 2004 2005 2006 2007 2008 2009 2010 2011 2012 2013 2014 2015
Índ
ice
bas
e 1
00
en
el
año 1
995
Eléctrico Térmico
Thermal and electrical intensities in final consumption
Highlight: Beyond Energy Intensity…(5)
Main public policies on energy efficiency has focused in residential sector since 1995:
• Energy Efficiency Standards (NOM-ENER).
• Replacement programs.
130
135
140
145
150
155
160
165
170
175
180
185
1.5
2.0
2.5
3.0
3.5
4.0
1993 1994 1995 1996 1997 1998 1999 2000 2001 2002 2003 2004 2005 2006 2007 2008 2009 2010 2011 2012 2013 2014 2015
kep
/per
son
a
tep
/MM
$[2
00
8]
Intensidad energética Consumo per cápita de energía
Energy intensity and energy consumption per capita in residential sector
45.9%
16.7%
Highlight: Beyond Energy Intensity…(6)
•Refrigeradores
y congeladores
1995
•Bomba de agua
1995•Acondicionador de
aire tipo cuarto
1995
•Calentadores de agua
1996
•Lavadoras de ropa
1997
•Lámparas fluorescentes compactas
autobalastradas
1998•Lámparas para uso general
•Envolvente
•Acondicionador de aire tipo minisplit
20111997, 2003 y 2012
2001 y 20112008 y 2014
2001, 2009 y 2018 2000, 2010, 2013 y 2017
2008 y 2013
•Lámparas de diodos emisores de
luz (LED)
2012 •Estufas a gas
•Energía en espera
•Sistemas variados
2013
•Acondicionador de aire tipo Inverter
2016•Fuente de alimentación
externa
2018
•Calentador de agua solar
En proceso
2017
Actualizaciones
More than 50% of MEPS have focused on tecnologies in the residential sector, it means 86%
of the energy consumption in this sector.
Highlight: Beyond Energy Intensity…(7)
0%
10%
20%
30%
40%
50%
60%
70%
80%
90%
-
20
40
60
80
100
120
140
160
180
200
1992 1993 1994 1995 1996 1997 1998 1999 2000 2001 2002 2003 2004 2005 2006 2007 2008 2009 2010 2011 2012 2013 2014 2015
Pen
etra
ció
n d
e lá
mp
aras
ahorr
adora
s
Mil
lon
es d
e lá
mpar
as
Ahorradoras Incandescentes Penetración de lámparas ahorradoras
Saving lamps versus incendescent bulb in households
Monitoring the penetration of more efficient technologies
What to do with EEI…(1)
Source: Informe nacional de monitoreo de la eficiencia energética, 2018
1.02
1.01
60.3%
87.7%
40%
50%
60%
70%
80%
90%
100%
0.96
0.97
0.98
0.99
1.00
1.01
1.02
1.03
1992 1993 1994 1995 1996 1997 1998 1999 2000 2001 2002 2003 2004 2005 2006 2007 2008 2009 2010 2011 2012 2013 2014 2015
Porc
enta
je d
e h
ogar
es c
on
ref
riger
ador
Ref
riger
adore
s p
or
hogar
Source: Informe nacional de monitoreo de la eficiencia energética, 2018
Saturation rate for refrigerators and ownership equipment per households
Main equipments on growing/ decreasing in the country
What to do with EEI…(2)
30.6
16.5
4.6 2.3 0.5 0.4 0.2
45.0
75.6
92.196.6
98.9 99.4 99.8 100
0
10
20
30
40
50
60
70
80
90
100
1 a 5 Años 6 a 10 Años 11 a 15 Años 16 a 20 Años 21 a 25 Años 26 a 30 Años 31 a 35 Años Más de 40
Años
Po
rcen
taje
de
equ
ipo
s in
stal
ados
(%)
Parque instalado Concentración del stock por año
Installed washing machine in households at 2015 by age
Design new replacement programs in the main final uses
What to do with EEI…(3)
0.0145
0.0150
0.0155
0.0160
0.0165
0.0170
0.0175
0.0180
0.2500
0.2700
0.2900
0.3100
0.3300
0.3500
0.3700
0.3900
0.4100
2000 2001 2002 2003 2004 2005 2006 2007 2008 2009 2010 2011 2012 2013 2014 2015
kte
p/m
2d
e ca
lefa
cció
n
kte
p/m
2d
e ai
re a
con
dic
ionad
o
Aire acondicionado Calefacción
Energy consumption for space cooling and heating per square meter in dwelling
Key final uses on growing linkage to structural necessities on future policies
What to do with EEI…(4)
50%
55%
60%
65%
70%
75%
80%
85%
90%
1992 1993 1994 1995 1996 1997 1998 1999 2000 2001 2002 2003 2004 2005 2006 2007 2008 2009 2010 2011 2012 2013 2014 2015
Efi
cien
cia
térm
ica
25%
30%
35%
40%
45%
50%
0
0.2
0.4
0.6
0.8
1
1.2
1992 1993 1994 1995 1996 1997 1998 1999 2000 2001 2002 2003 2004 2005 2006 2007 2008 2009 2010 2011 2012 2013 2014 2015
Sat
ura
ción d
e eq
uip
os
po
r h
ogar
Eficiencia térmica por la NOM-ENER Tasa de saturación del calentador de gas
Assess impacts by energy efficiency policies
20%
30%
40%
50%
60%
70%
80%
90%
100%
-
2,000
4,000
6,000
8,000
10,000
12,000
14,000
16,000
1992 1993 1994 1995 1996 1997 1998 1999 2000 2001 2002 2003 2004 2005 2006 2007 2008 2009 2010 2011 2012 2013 2014 2015
Po
rcen
taje
de
satu
raci
ón
en
lo
s
ho
gar
eskte
p
Consumo de gas Calentador de agua a gas Estufa
Basic thermal equipments and gas consumption in households
What to do with EEI…(5)
3.0 3.1 2.9 3.0
4.4 4.6 4.6 4.6 4.3 4.14.9 5.0 5.1
0
5
10
15
0
50,000
100,000
150,000
200,000
250,000
300,000
350,000
2003 2004 2005 2006 2007 2008 2009 2010 2011 2012 2013 2014 2015
Par
tici
pac
ión e
n e
l to
tal
nac
ional
(%
)
Gig
awat
ts-h
ora
Generación de electricidad bruta Participación de la cogeneración
Dissemination Indicators of successful policies, e.g. cogeneration
What to do with EEI…(6)
0.0
1.0
2.0
3.0
4.0
5.0
6.0
7.0
8.0
9.0
10.0
I I I I I I I V V V I V I I V I I I I X X
SHA
RE
OF
ENER
GY
BIL
L R
EGA
RD
ING
TO
TAL
EXP
END
ITU
RES
1994 2006 2016
Energy efficiency as a co-benefit
What to do with EEI…(7)
Assess and dissemination co-benefits
INCOME DECILES OF HOUSEHOLDS
SOURCE: INEGI.
www.conuee.gob.mx
Muchas gracias
@CProspectiva