Energyscapea Blueprint for New Zealand’s

Energy Research

Andrew CampbellCRL Energy

17 July 2007

• What will New Zealand’s energy system look like by 2030 or 2050?

• How could we best use our indigenous energy resources?

• How could New Zealand best prepare for this?

• Where should we focus our research effort?

The Foundation Research Science and Technology Energy Projects

• Hydrogen Economy• Bioenergy Options• Energyscape

… to a consortium of CRL Energy, IRL, Scion, GNS, NIWA and associates

Overall Linked Project (lead by NIWA)

Resource maps and related constraints:• Climate-driven (wind, hydro, etc.)• Earth (coal, oil, gas, etc)• Bioenergy (lead by Scion)•ConstraintsInfrastructure maps:• Current• Potential• Imported energy use• Hydrogen (lead by CRL)• Constraints

Demand maps (lead by CRL):• Current• Forecast

Project Outputs:

1. Multiple spatial maps:• Resource and constraints gaps• Infrastructure and constraints• Demand

2. Single energy pathway calculations:• Energy• Economic• Emissions• gaps in infrastructure

3. Future scenario, multi-pathway analysis: • Development of analysis framework. identify NZ’s possible future EnergyScape further gaps research plan to get us there

“Climate-Driven”

“Earth”

Bioenergy

Imports

Residential

Commercial

Industry

Transport

Exports

Resources Demand

Infr

astr

uct

ur

e4. Stakeholder and public “outreach”

Future Scenarios• Used to test limits … what breaks and why?• For example:

• All vehicles biofuelled by 2050.• 100% renewable energy system by 2050.• All light vehicles fuelled by ethanol by 2030.• CCS.

Identify where the risks are, and how research may reduce these risks.

An integrated research plan for New Zealand.

Who Carries Out the Research?

• “Mainstream” and likely to come from overseas.

• New Zealand-specific (e.g., climate, land use-related, etc.).

• Mainstream but a business case for New Zealand research.

… … where do the Universities

where do the Universities

fit within this?

fit within this?

Stakeholder Introduction Meeting

Wellington

9th August 200712:30-2:15pm, at the Intercontinental

Registrations: c.gazo@crl.co.nz

Timetable …

Stage 1: Provision of Situation Analysis• Resources and issues maps.• Infrastructure and issues maps• First pathway assessments

Stage 2: Selection of Favoured Pathways

Stage 2-3: Theme/Scenario Development

Stage 3: Theme/Scenario Analysis

Stage 4: Gap Analysis and Research Planning

Final Report

Aug-Nov ‘07

Dec ’07

Dec ‘07

June ‘08

April ‘08

June ‘08

We want to hear from you.

thank you