enterprise ipv6 adoption status? depends where on earth you are by yves poppe at gogonet live! 3...

© Copyright 2011 Tata Communications Ltd. All rights reserved. 1

IPv6 in the enterprise?

Depends where in the world

Yves Poppe

Dir. Business Development & Strategy IP services

GogoNet Live

San Jose november 12-14th 2012


Tata Group at a glance

* Awarded in 2006 by the United States – India Business Council (USIBC)

$83.3 billion Annual Revenue

>60% Non-India

Over 140 Years in Operation

Only Indian entity on Forbes’ List of World’s 20 Most

Reputed Companies*

#41 Worldwide Brand

(Source: Brand Finance)

395,000 Employees Worldwide

#11 Most Reputed Company

(Source: Reputation Institute)

Over 100 Operating Companies in 7 Sectors

Across 6 Continents

UK Group’s Largest Market

2

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Subtitle if necessary

3

Global Transmission Network

TGN-Pacific

TGN-Atlantic

TGN-Western Europe

TGN-Northern Europe

TGN-EurAsia*

TGN-Intra Asia

TGN-Pacific

TIC

OWN

• TGN-Atlantic

• TGN Western Europe

• TGN Northern Europe

• TGN-Pacific

• TGN-TIC

• TGN-Intra Asia

CONSORTIUM

• SMW-3

• SMW-4

• SAFE/SAT-3

• APCN-2

• IMEWE

• SEACOM

NEW PROJECTS

• TGN-Eurasia

• WACS

• India-China Terrestrial

• TGN-Gulf


North America

1345G

Trans

Atlantic

280G

Europe

1290G

Asia-Pacific /

Trans-Pacific

335G

Europe-India

110G

Middle-East

& Africa

35G

India-Asia

125G

India

445G

4

AS6453: Over 4000Gbps of Backbone Capacity

Key benefit

• Dual stack IPv4 IPv6

• 225+ PoPs in 27 countries

• 500 + ASN customers

• 21% of market share (routes)


IPv6 ready for lift-off on the network side

10854 active IPv6 BGP entries

as of october 30th 2012


IPv4 addresses: an increasingly rare commodity

.

6

RIR Projected Exhaustion Date and

remaining IPv4 address pool in /8’s

APNIC: 15-Apr-2011 0.9051

RIPE NCC: 14-Sep-2012 0.9751

ARIN: 05-Sep 2013 3.1321

LACNIC: 03-06-2015 3.1294

AFRINIC: 15-Sep-2019 4.0103

Geof Huston’s projections

as of october 30th 2012

http://www.potaroo.net/tools/ipv4/index.html

http://www.potaroo.net/tools/ipv4/plotend.png

http://www.potaroo.net/tools/ipv4/plotvar.png


IPv6 is more than a new address format;

it is a fundamental game changer

Solves address shortage

Restores p2p communication

Mobility • Much easier roaming

• Better spectrum utilization

• Better battery life!

Security • IPsec mandatory

Multicast

Better QoS (flow lables)

Auto configuration • Mobile Ad-Hoc networking

• Mobile networks

• Sensor networks

• Plug and Play networks

Permanent addresses • Identity (CLID)

• Traceability (RFID)

• Addressability!

• IP address based billing

7


IPv6 day 2011 seems so long ago….

The june 8th 2011 peak became background noise and by the end of 2011

some major players were seriously kicking the IPv6 tires around.

Note that these figures represent only a fraction of the overall Pv4 plus IPv6

traffic of AS6453 derived from probes on a selected number of network points.


9

Aftermath of the june 6th 2012 IPv6 world launch

Traffic lift-off observed by AS6453

Traffic jumped in the week leading to june 6th as the

world’s leading content providers and hosting sites turned

on IPv6. Relatively slow but steady growth since.

Note : these figures represent a fraction of the overall IPv6 traffic of AS6453

as it is derived from probes on a select number of network points


10

AMS-IX IPv6 traffic evolution


11

The Google perspective : closing in on 1%

http://www.google.com/ipv6/statistics


12

Proportion of Alexa top 50 supporting IPv6


How the world changed since IPv6 day 2011

All major tier-1 carriers IP networks are dual stack with adequate peerings to

cope with the transition from IPv4 to IPv6 and sudden shifts in relative traffic.

Some major eyeball networks including free in France and Comcast in the United

States are actively promoting IPv6.

LTE and mobile broadband are taking the world by storm. The US, South Korea

and Japan lead the charge.

The worlds’ major content providers turned on IPv6 on June 6th 2012. The

second wave is under way coming from the major US Federal Government

agencies. Many countries have firm Government plans for a phased IPv6

introduction between 2013 and 2015.

Major enterprises worldwide customers recognize the necessity to plan for the

transition but are still often unsure at what pace they should proceed.


In 2012 IPv6 went from emergent to main stream

CIO Insight Research Exclusive october 2011

investigating, testing

currently using in testing stage

Tablet devices 93% 31%

Unified communications 84% 27%

Private clouds 79% 25%

IPv6 75% 29%

Location-based apps 65% 21%

predictive analytics 63% 20%

4G wide-area services 60% 16%

Crowdsourcing 59% 19%

Context-aware computing 56% 18%

Semantic Web 53% 17%

http://circ.ziffdavisenterprise.com/pdfs/Research_CIOI_11_0910.pdf


15

Gartner’s emerging technologies hype cycle


Mobile operators: IPv6 riding the LTE coattails

End Q2 2012: Wireless Intelligence estimates 27 million LTE

subscribers worldwide up from 10 million end 2011. Verizon

reaches 8 million LTE subscribers, SK Telecom and NTT

Docomo both pass the 4 million LTE subscriber mark.

Strategy Analytics forecasts 90 million LTE subscribers

worldwide by the end of the year and 1 billion subscribers by

end 2017.

87% of today’s LTE subscribers are in the US, Korea and

Japan.

The staggering LTE adoption rates put enormous pressure on

network capacity build-out and on existing data and voice rate

structures.


17

IPv6 and the global LTE tidal wave

Worldwide LTE deployments as of november 2nd 2012

113 commercial networks in 51 countries

166 anticipated commercial LTE networks in 70 countries by end 2012

209 anticipated LTE networks in 75 countries by end 2013.


The APNIC statistics showing IPv6 preference by originating AS show a surprisingly good score for the US Mobile Operators (Nov 5th reading).

.

18

Interim Service Provider report card

http://labs.apnic.net/ipv6-measurement/AS/

CN AS17672 CHINATELECOM-HE-AS-AP asn for Hebei Provincial Net of CT 33.1579

CN AS4538 ERX-CERNET-BKB China Education and Research Network Center 28.7020

US AS6939 HURRICANE - Hurricane Electric, Inc. 23.4177

RO AS8708 RDSNET RCS & RDS S.A. 23.0612

GB AS786 JANET The JNT Association 18.3915

JP AS2516 KDDI KDDI CORPORATION 17.2114

FR AS12322 PROXAD Free SAS 13.5560

CZ AS2852 CESNET2 CESNET, z.s.p.o. 11.7347

CN AS4847 CNIX-AP China Networks Inter-Exchange 10.6383

US AS87 INDIANA-AS - Indiana University 10.4317

NL AS3265 XS4ALL-NL XS4ALL Internet BV 9.5541

GB AS8426 CLARANET-AS ClaraNET LTD 8.8481

JP AS18126 CTCX Chubu Telecommunications Company, Inc. 8.5221

US AS22394 CELLCO - Cellco Partnership DBA Verizon Wireless 8.3090

US AS7018 ATT-INTERNET4 - AT&T Services, Inc. 6.4822

GB AS42689 CABLECOM-AS Cablecom Networking Limited 4.9093

AU AS7575 AARNET-AS-AP Australian Academic and Reasearch Network (AARNet) 4.7170

NZ AS17412 WOOSHWIRELESSNZ Woosh Wireless 3.8823

TW AS1659 ERX-TANET-ASN1 Tiawan Academic Network (TANet) Information Center 3.8113

AU AS4739 INTERNODE-AS Internode Pty Ltd 3.6640

CN AS4808 CHINA169-BJ CNCGROUP IP network China169 Beijing Province Network 2.7450

NZ AS24183 DTS-ISP-CORE1-AP DTS LTD 2.5316

CN AS17816 CHINA169-GZ China Unicom IP network China169 Guangdong province 2.3910

US AS53347 PREMIER-COMMUNICATIONS - Premier Communications 2.3169

NO AS39832 NO-OPERA Opera Software ASA 2.2932

NZ AS23655 SNAP-NZ-AS Snap Internet Limited 2.2335

US AS15169 GOOGLE - Google Inc. 2.0553

CN AS56046 CMNET-JIANGSU-AP China Mobile communications corporation 2.0305

US AS6389 BELLSOUTH-NET-BLK - BellSouth.net Inc. 1.9348

DE AS680 DFN Verein zur Foerderung eines Deutschen Forschungsnetzes e.V. 1.8705

SE AS8473 BAHNHOF Bahnhof Internet AB 1.8237

EU AS1103 SURFNET-NL SURFnet, The Netherlands 1.5695

GR AS197121 1.3298

EU AS1299 TELIANET TeliaNet Global Network 1.2658

US AS7922 COMCAST-7922 - Comcast Cable Communications, Inc. 1.1603

NZ AS9503 FX-PRIMARY-AS FX Networks Limited 1.1211


The amazing mobile IP traffic growth forecast

By 2016, 39 percent of

all global mobile devices

could potentially be

capable of connecting to

an IPv6 mobile network.

Over 4 billion devices will

be IPv6-capable in 2016.

Mobile-connected tablets will

generate almost as much traffic in

2016 as the entire global mobile

network in 2012. The amount of

mobile data traffic generated by tablets

in 2016 (1.1 exabytes per month) will

be approximately equal to the total

amount of global mobile data traffic in

2012 (1.3 exabytes per month).

In 2016, 4G will be 6

percent of connections,

but 36 percent of total

traffic. In 2016, a 4G

connection will generate 9

times more traffic on

average than a non-4G

connection.

Source:

* Cisco VNI. Mobile data traffic growth CAGR (2011-16)

meaning an 18 fold increase from 2011 to 2016

78%

CAGR*

The average smartphone will

generate 2.6 GB of traffic per month

in 2016, a 17-fold increase over the

2011 average of 150 MB per month.

Aggregate smartphone traffic in 2016

will be 50 times greater than it is today,

with a CAGR of 119 percent.


Energy sector:

smart grids, meters and even smart lightbulbs

‘By the end of 2015, more than 55 million meters will be installed on 45 percent

of U.S. households. In addition, 17 percent of U.S. households will have some

form of in-home display for monitoring energy consumption by 2015. And by

2021, nearly 50 percent of households will have an energy management

network’

Canada’s BC Hydro first of the mark with 7.5 million IPv6 enabled smart readers

LIFX is a WiFi enabled, multi-

color, energy efficient IPv6

ready LED light bulb

controlled by iPhone or

Android. Available March

2013


m2m communications: about to impact all verticals

Tidbits picked up in m2m world in october:

‘Public transport ITS market in Europe expected to reach € 1.5 billion by 2016

according to a study by Berg’

‘104 Million Cellular M2M Modules to Ship in 2013, up from 76 million in 2012

according to Strategy Analytics’

‘wireless industry could see a $1.2 trillion revenue opportunity out of the

connected devices market by 2020’ affecting numerous verticals according to

Global Information Inc.

‘Facilitating the Promise of Billions of Connections, M2M Software Platform

Revenues will Grow to $3.85 Billion by 2017’ according to ABI research

http://m2mworldnews.com/


Now entering the second wave:

Networked Industries as a family of verticals

IETF 6lowpan standards continue to gain prominence.

Chip manufacturers see 20 billion connected devices by 2020

Ericsson’s three wave scenario


The future of payment in the retail sector

smartphone as e-wallet?

Visa Paywave and Mastercard Paypass contactless payment solutions. Using a

secure SIM card in a Near Field Communication (NFC) enabled smartphone, a

cell phone programmed with a Visa payWave application communicates with a

merchant’s secure contactless reader to complete a Visa or Mastercard

transaction. Just announced in Canada by Rogers and CIBC.

Vodafone, T-Mobile adopt the GSMA TSM (Trusted System Management) for

mobile payment.

Growing interest in IPv6 by banking and credit card companies is no surprise.


Clouds and anything as a service

Most market projections for enterprise spending on cloud and virtualization go

through the roof. Who will pocket most of the revenue?

Persistent IP addresses lead to symbiosis between user and cloud service while

IPv6 Neighbour Discovery allows to put many more hosts in the cloud. This is a

must for cost-efficient and scaleable hybrid cloud scenarios accompanied by

growing demand for off-site storage centers.

BPaaS

IaaS

NaaS

PaaS

SaaS….


in september 2010 the CIO of the US Federal Government orders all government websites to be accessible in IPv6 by september 2012 and all internal systems to be dual stack by september 2014.

25

When the biggest enterprise of all goes v6.

http://www.nist.gov/


26

NIST ranking of US Governement agencies

More than 40 agencies scored in the 3 categories : DNS, web and mail

Noteworthy is the wide adoption of DNSSEC.

The industry and education sectors should take notice.

Despite all the jabs and criticisms, the Government is doing a commendable job.


27

NIST ranking of industry and education

UCLA

Garner-Webb U

Weber State (#1)

Brocade

Comcast (#1)

Hurricane Electric

Only 6 scored in the three categories: IPv6 support for DNS, Web and mail

Comcast and Weber State got a perfect 4 as they also support DNSSEC

http://fedv6-deployment.antd.nist.gov/


Corporate IT spending intentions going into 2013

28

On the datacenter side, 70% of respondents plan to increase spending on storage,

67% on cloud services and 59% on physical servers. Virtualization, security and

application performance are ranked as the leading drivers (data from Infonetics).

As we see it, on the telecom side, moving from legacy TDM, ATM or frame relay to

ethernet and/or MPLS is a priority to save costs as are VPN’s for off-net access

with wireless broadband and employee mobility growing. Internet is considered a

commodity and the IP address issue a potential but transient irritant not always

considered worth a separate line item in the IT budget.


To conclude, going into 2013,

any enterprise should, as a minimum,

Mandate immediate IPv6 support on ALL

procurements of hardware, software and telecom

services.

Make public facing services accessible in IPv6

Start assessing possible impact on all IP address

dependent back-office processes

Train some key engineering and operations staff /


Thank You

© 2

010 T

ata

Com

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atio

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td., A

ll Rig

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Reserv

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For business continuity’s sake:

get moving!

enterprise ipv6 adoption status? depends where on earth you are by yves poppe at gogonet live! 3...

Technology

tata communications

supporting ipv6 copyright

ipv6 day

ipv6 tires

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overall ipv6 traffic

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