environmental health risks: the health effects of ozone healthy carolinians conference september 29,...
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Environmental Health Risks: The Health Effects of Ozone Environmental Health Risks: The Health Effects of Ozone
Healthy Carolinians Conference September 29, 2010
Susan Lyon StoneUS EPA Office of Air Quality Planning and Standards
Healthy Carolinians Conference September 29, 2010
Susan Lyon StoneUS EPA Office of Air Quality Planning and Standards
Review Process for StandardsReview Process for Standards
Scientific studies on health and environmental effects
EPA Integrated Science Assessment (ISA)
EPA Risk/Exposure Assessment (REA) + Policy Assessment (PA)
Scientific peer review of published studies
Reviews by CASAC and the public
Reviews by CASAC and the public
Public hearings and comments on proposals
Proposed Decision
Final Decision
Ozone final decision around the end October 2010
Human LungHuman Lung
• Air conducting– Trachea– Bronchi– Bronchioles
• Gas exchange– Respiratory
bronchioles– Alveoli
• Air conducting– Trachea– Bronchi– Bronchioles
• Gas exchange– Respiratory
bronchioles– Alveoli
Ozone Irritates AirwaysOzone Irritates AirwaysOzone Irritates AirwaysOzone Irritates Airways
• Symptoms– Cough– Sore or scratchy throat– Pain with deep breath– Fatigue
• Rapid onset• Asthma symptoms - greater in people
with asthma, also occur in people without asthma
• Symptoms– Cough– Sore or scratchy throat– Pain with deep breath– Fatigue
• Rapid onset• Asthma symptoms - greater in people
with asthma, also occur in people without asthma
Ozone Reduces Lung FunctionOzone Reduces Lung FunctionOzone Reduces Lung FunctionOzone Reduces Lung Function
BASELINEBASELINE 2HR2HR 4HR4HR
FE
V1,
% C
HA
NG
EF
EV
1, %
CH
AN
GE
-60-60
-40-40
-20-20
00
M-10
Ozone Causes InflammationOzone Causes InflammationOzone Causes InflammationOzone Causes Inflammation
• Ozone reacts completely in surface layer - forms reactive oxygen molecules
• Increases permeability of cells that line airways• Influx of white blood cells and proteins • Damages cells that line the airways• Effect is greater 24 hours after exposure• Increases airway reactivity• Concern about repeated exposures
• Ozone reacts completely in surface layer - forms reactive oxygen molecules
• Increases permeability of cells that line airways• Influx of white blood cells and proteins • Damages cells that line the airways• Effect is greater 24 hours after exposure• Increases airway reactivity• Concern about repeated exposures
Respiratory Hospital Admissions by Respiratory Hospital Admissions by Daily MaximumDaily Maximum Ozone Level, Lagged One Day
Respiratory Hospital Admissions by Respiratory Hospital Admissions by Daily MaximumDaily Maximum Ozone Level, Lagged One Day
114
112
110
108
106
104
102
114
112
110
108
106
104
102
Ozone concentration (ppm)Ozone concentration (ppm)
Res
pir
ato
ry A
dm
issi
on
sR
esp
irat
ory
Ad
mis
sio
ns
.01 .02 .03 .04 .05 .06 .07 .08 .09 .1.01 .02 .03 .04 .05 .06 .07 .08 .09 .1
D-8a
(Burnett et al, 1994)(Burnett et al, 1994)
CHS: Ozone and School AbsencesCHS: Ozone and School Absences
• 20 ppb increase in O3 associated with an 83% increase in school absences for acute respiratory disease (Gilliland et al., 2001)
• Large economic impact of pollution-related school absences (Hall and Lurmann, 2003)
• 20 ppb increase in O3 associated with an 83% increase in school absences for acute respiratory disease (Gilliland et al., 2001)
• Large economic impact of pollution-related school absences (Hall and Lurmann, 2003)
CHS: Ozone and New-onset AsthmaCHS: Ozone and New-onset Asthma
McConnell et al., 2002McConnell et al., 2002
Evidence from 2008 Review of Ozone StandardEvidence from 2008 Review of Ozone Standard
• Evidence of lung function decrements and symptoms at 0.060 ppm in healthy people
• New information about physiological bases of increased sensitivity of people with asthma– Larger decreases lung function– Increased magnitude and duration airway responsiveness– Increased inflammatory responses– Different cellular responses
• Epidemiological studies show:– Increased symptoms and medication use in asthmatic
children– School absences– Emergency room visits and hospital admissions– Premature mortality
• Evidence of lung function decrements and symptoms at 0.060 ppm in healthy people
• New information about physiological bases of increased sensitivity of people with asthma– Larger decreases lung function– Increased magnitude and duration airway responsiveness– Increased inflammatory responses– Different cellular responses
• Epidemiological studies show:– Increased symptoms and medication use in asthmatic
children– School absences– Emergency room visits and hospital admissions– Premature mortality
Sensitive Groups for OzoneSensitive Groups for Ozone
• People with lung disease• Children• Older adults• People who are active outdoors
• People with lung disease• Children• Older adults• People who are active outdoors
Air Quality IndexAir Quality IndexAir Quality IndexAir Quality Index
Descriptors Cautionary StatementGood
0 – 50
No message
Moderate
51 – 100
Unusually sensitive individuals
Unhealthy for Sensitive Groups
101 - 150
Identifiable groups at risk - different groups for different pollutants
Unhealthy
151 - 200
General public at risk; sensitive groups at greater risk
Very Unhealthy
201 - 300
General public at greater risk; sensitive groups at greatest risk
Air Quality IndexAir Quality Index
• Pollutant-specific health effects and cautionary statements Pollutant-specific health effects and cautionary statements address question “who will be affected”address question “who will be affected”
Dose = Concentration x Ventilation rate x TimeDose = Concentration x Ventilation rate x TimeC - be active outdoors when air quality is betterC - be active outdoors when air quality is better
V - take it easier when active outdoorsV - take it easier when active outdoors
T - spend less time being active outdoorsT - spend less time being active outdoors
• Reduce these factors (C,V,T) to reduce dose
• Pay attention to symptoms
• People with asthma – follow asthma action plan
• Coaches – rotate players frequently
• People with heart disease – check with your doctor
Physical Activity and Health
Activity
Ris
k o
f “D
i se a
se”
Prevention of Weight Gain
Diabetes Mellitus
Musculoskeletal InjuryFunctional Health Status
CHD
Stroke
Osteoporosis
Source: HW Kohl, University of Texas School of Public Health
Effectiveness of the AQI
• Effectiveness has been measured many ways– Surveys: What people say
• Behavior• Behavior and demographics (EPA, BRFSS)
– Activity diaries: What people do (RTI)– Health studies: Changes in health outcomes
• Surveys– Large proportion report awareness (50 -75%)– Of those about 50% report taking action– People of older age, fair or poor health status, and females
more likely to reduce exposure (EPA Health and Aging Survey)
– Recommendation by healthcare provider much more likely to reduce exposure (Wen et al., 2009 - 2005 BRFSS Survey)
• Odds ratio of changing behavior based on media reports = 2.16 (95% CI: 1.61, 2.90)
• Percent change in behavior based on alerts with professional advice = 50.7%; without professional advice = 14.2%
Determinants of Parents’ Ozone Forecast Monitoring
Parents of asthmatics more likely to report checking AQI forecast frequently
More serious asthma = more frequent checking
More children = less frequent checking
White parent = less frequent checking
Source: Carol Mansfield, RTI
Summary of results on time outdoors
Evidence that Air pollution sensitive asthmatics
reduce time outdoors on code red days (based on daily diaries)
30+ minute reduction in time outdoors on Code Red day relative to non-Code Red day
Source: Carol Mansfield, RTI
Air Pollution Sensitive vs. Not Air Pollution Sensitive Asthmatics
0
20
40
60
80
100
6 AM 7 AM 8 AM 9 AM 10AM
11AM
12 PM 1 PM 2 PM 3 PM 4 PM 5 PM 6 PM 7 PM
Time spent (minutes)
APSA - Code Red Days APSA - Code Green Days
Non-APSA - Code Red Days Non-APSA - Code Green Days
Source: Carol Mansfield, RTI
Health Studies
• Los Angeles study: Neidell and Kinney (2010)
– Asthma hospital admissions 1989-1997
– Control for air quality forecasts to account for avoidance behavior
– Accounting for behavior leads to significantly larger effects estimates; however there is a cost to behavior
• DFW: Carls U of MI dissertation– Forecasts protective of health and
alter relationships between asthma exacerbations and air quality
– Previous day O3 alerts were protective for high morbidity outcomes (hospital/ER); but not for the low morbidity outcomes (outpatient visits, medication use)
All 5-19 ≥ 65
No control 0.017 0.016 0.022
With control 0.027 0.037 0.037
Difference 1.59** 2.31** 1.36*
Increase asthma hospitalizations per 10 ppb O3 - Neidell and Kinney (2010)
**P<0.01; *P<0.10
No control 7.0%
Control 11.6%*
Orange Alert - 14.1%*
Red Alert -19.9%
Change in asthma hospitalizations per 20 ppb O3 - Carls (2010)
*P<0.05
AQI Curriculum for Children and StudentsAQI Curriculum for Children and Students
Colorful lessons and games Colorful lessons and games for children and studentsfor children and students
Ozone Web Course Ozone Web Course for Health Care Providersfor Health Care Providers
Ozone Web Course Ozone Web Course for Health Care Providersfor Health Care Providers