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Envisioning the Cloud:The Next Computing Paradigm and itsImplications for Technology Policy
© 2008 Marketspace® LLC, A Monitor Group Company — CONFIDENTIAL — NOT FOR DISTRIBUTION© 2009 marketspace® LLC, a monitor group company – CONFIDENTIAL: NOT FOR DISTRIBUTION
Google DC TalksThe Newseum555 Pennsylvania AvenueWashington, DC
Jeffrey F. Rayport & Andrew HeywardMarketspace LLCA Monitor Group CompanyMarch 20, 2009
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Overview
Understanding the Cloud
Benefits of the Cloud
Enabling the Cloud
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Every dozen or so years, a revolution changes the way we usecomputers. Huge mainframes in the 1960s, minicomputers in the1970s, personal computers in the 1980s, cell phones and smartphonesin the last decade, and now the emergence of cloud computing.
Government and the Cloud
Concluding Thoughts
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Seeding the Cloud
Storage Connection SpeedProcessing Power
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Mark Kryder Andy GroveGordon E. Moore
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Defining the Cloud
Cloud computing represents a new way to deploy computing technology to give usersthe ability to access, work on, share, and store information using the Internet. The clouditself is a network of data centers – each composed of many thousands of computersworking together – that can perform the functions of software on a personal or businesscomputer by providing users access to powerful applications, platforms, and servicesdelivered over the Internet.
Social Networks Photo Sharing
Online Music
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Smartphones
Online Video
Web-mail
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Layers of the Cloud
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Benefits of the Cloud
Founded in 1999 declaring the “end of software”
Offered cloud-based version of CRM software
Became first cloud-based service to generate $1 billion in sales
AnytimeAnywhere
Access
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Sells “on demand” contract and proposal management systems
Built a prototype in a “couple of weekends” using Salesforce’sForce.com platform – company profitable within nine months
Focused on customer needs, not development or infrastructure
Specialization &Customization
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Benefits of the Cloud
Collaboration Held InnovationJam in 2006; world’s largest online brainstorm,designed to share IBM’s advanced research and technologies
Included over 150,000 participants from 104 countries
From concepts developed during sessions, IBM launched 10 newbusinesses with investments totaling $100 million
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Storage asUniversalService Digitized 150 years of archives, which comprised 11 million articles
representing 1.5 terabytes of memory
Utilized Amazon’s Simple Storage Service (S3) to digitize completearchival content page by page in under 36 hours
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Benefits of the Cloud
ProcessingPower on
Demand
Provides web-based software for creating presentations usingphotos and music uploaded to the web
Increased traffic to 750,000 from 5,000 a day after a successfulFacebook marketing campaign
Added capacity on Amazon Web Services infrastructure at a cost of10 cents per server hour plus related expenses
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Cost Savings
10 cents per server hour plus related expenses
Utilized Google Apps to provide Office-type productivity softwarefor its workforce of over 16,000 people
Achieved estimated savings of $80 million by not building its owndata center or hiring more engineers to manage it
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Enabling the Cloud
Open AccessUniversal Connectivity
“The point is that no one shouldbe denied access to [onlineresources] because of who theyare…. So this is a fairness issuemore than anything else.”
“There will be 499 million in-homeconsumer broadband connectionsworldwide by 2012 – anextraordinary number, but itrepresents only 25% of the
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In 2007, the United States ranked15th in theworld in broadband penetration and 13th inoverall Internet connectivity
If the United States falls short in universalaccess, cloud benefits will fall short, too
more than anything else.”
- Vint Cerf, Chief InternetEvangelist, Google
This raises complex issues that emerged inthe debate over “net neutrality,” andpowerful commercial interests are at stake
Any barriers that restrict access to theInternet limit the potential of the cloud
represents only 25% of theworld’s households.”
- Gartner Group
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Enabling the Cloud
Interoperability and User ChoiceReliability
“It is not just about being ‘alwayson’; it is this idea of reliability. Ifthis is reliable, that’s a big thing. Ifit isn’t, then what do we turn to?”
“If a customer doesn’t like ourservice, they can cancel.”
- Polly Sumner, President,
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Even best-known providers of cloudservices fail from time to time – stiffeningresistance of IT departments
Service that comes close to 100 percentreliability is a prerequisite for widespreadadoption of cloud computing
it isn’t, then what do we turn to?”
- Kevin Kelly, Founder, ExecutiveEditor, Wired Magazine
- Polly Sumner, President,Platform, Alliances, and Services,Salesforce.com
As of now the major players operateproprietary cloud infrastructures, withvarying degrees of open standards
If large providers move to dominate withproprietary clouds, it will be difficult torealize the full potential of cloud computing
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Enabling the Cloud
PrivacySecurity
“The best medicine isaccountability and transparency.”
- Dan Burton, Senior Vice
“If we give this data to a cloudcomputing company, and there isa security breach or if thatcompany gets sold, how do weaddress that? I am accountable.”
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In the United States, the law treats personalinformation differently once it’s handedover to a third party
Cloud providers must protect user datafrom unauthorized government access andensure integrity of commercial use
- Dan Burton, Senior VicePresident of Global PublicPolicy, Salesforce.com
Notion of making a third party responsiblefor keeping data safe continues to provokedebates in corporate IT departments
Cloud providers must demonstrate thatdata is safer than in current systems
- Carolyn Lawson, ChiefInformation Officer, CaliforniaPublic Utilities Commission
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Enabling the Cloud
SustainabilityEconomic Value
“The classic challenge ofaddressing a new market is to doit at a lower cost, make thingsavailable where they could notpreviously be delivered, orremove complexity. The cloud
In 2006, data centers consumed1.5% of all electricity used in theUnited States.
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The cloud is creating new businessopportunities and new markets by offeringhigh-end computing at lower cost
The real test will be for the cloud to reducecosts, increase productivity, and enablefaster innovation at the enterprise level
remove complexity. The cloudcan address all three of those.”
- Russ Daniels, VP and CTO ofCloud Services Strategy, HP
EPA estimates that by 2011, consolidatingcomputing into data centers could reducecarbon dioxide emissions by 47M metric tons
As enterprises come under increasingpressure to go “green,” sustainability iscritical to the viability of cloud computing
- Environmental ProtectionAgency
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Government and the Cloud
Who Decides?
MarketPolicy
Universal Connectivity
Institutional Adoption
Cybercrime Enforcement
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Privacy
Sustainability
Security
Reliability
Interoperability
Economic Value
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Cloud Ecosystem
Device ManufacturersISPsMedia CompaniesData Centers
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Living with the Cloud
Netbooks
Electronic Readers
Set-top Boxes
Music PlayersMedical Devices
Retail Touchpoints
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Electronic Readers
Consumer Appliances
Video GameSystems
Transportation Vehicles
Home Automation
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The cloud is a reality for consumers and will become the“new normal” in corporations and organizations
The cloud is one avenue for the United States to re-asserteconomic and technology leadership on a global stage
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economic and technology leadership on a global stage
What government can do best is clear the road forthe cloud’s expansion, not pave it