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Envisioning the Cloud: The Next Computing Paradigm and its Implications for Technology Policy © 2009 marketspace ® LLC, a monitor group company – CONFIDENTIAL: NOT FOR DISTRIBUTION Google DC Talks The Newseum 555 Pennsylvania Avenue Washington, DC Jeffrey F. Rayport & Andrew Heyward Marketspace LLC A Monitor Group Company March 20, 2009

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  • Envisioning the Cloud:The Next Computing Paradigm and itsImplications for Technology Policy

    © 2008 Marketspace® LLC, A Monitor Group Company — CONFIDENTIAL — NOT FOR DISTRIBUTION© 2009 marketspace® LLC, a monitor group company – CONFIDENTIAL: NOT FOR DISTRIBUTION

    Google DC TalksThe Newseum555 Pennsylvania AvenueWashington, DC

    Jeffrey F. Rayport & Andrew HeywardMarketspace LLCA Monitor Group CompanyMarch 20, 2009

  • Overview

    Understanding the Cloud

    Benefits of the Cloud

    Enabling the Cloud

    © 2009 Marketspace® LLC, A Monitor Group Company — CONFIDENTIAL — NOT FOR DISTRIBUTION 2www.marketspaceglobal.com

    Every dozen or so years, a revolution changes the way we usecomputers. Huge mainframes in the 1960s, minicomputers in the1970s, personal computers in the 1980s, cell phones and smartphonesin the last decade, and now the emergence of cloud computing.

    Government and the Cloud

    Concluding Thoughts

  • Seeding the Cloud

    Storage Connection SpeedProcessing Power

    © 2009 Marketspace® LLC, A Monitor Group Company — CONFIDENTIAL — NOT FOR DISTRIBUTION 3www.marketspaceglobal.com

    Mark Kryder Andy GroveGordon E. Moore

  • Defining the Cloud

    Cloud computing represents a new way to deploy computing technology to give usersthe ability to access, work on, share, and store information using the Internet. The clouditself is a network of data centers – each composed of many thousands of computersworking together – that can perform the functions of software on a personal or businesscomputer by providing users access to powerful applications, platforms, and servicesdelivered over the Internet.

    Social Networks Photo Sharing

    Online Music

    © 2009 Marketspace® LLC, A Monitor Group Company — CONFIDENTIAL — NOT FOR DISTRIBUTION 4www.marketspaceglobal.com

    Smartphones

    Online Video

    Web-mail

  • Layers of the Cloud

    © 2009 Marketspace® LLC, A Monitor Group Company — CONFIDENTIAL — NOT FOR DISTRIBUTION 5www.marketspaceglobal.com

  • Benefits of the Cloud

    Founded in 1999 declaring the “end of software”

    Offered cloud-based version of CRM software

    Became first cloud-based service to generate $1 billion in sales

    AnytimeAnywhere

    Access

    © 2009 Marketspace® LLC, A Monitor Group Company — CONFIDENTIAL — NOT FOR DISTRIBUTION 6www.marketspaceglobal.com

    Sells “on demand” contract and proposal management systems

    Built a prototype in a “couple of weekends” using Salesforce’sForce.com platform – company profitable within nine months

    Focused on customer needs, not development or infrastructure

    Specialization &Customization

  • Benefits of the Cloud

    Collaboration Held InnovationJam in 2006; world’s largest online brainstorm,designed to share IBM’s advanced research and technologies

    Included over 150,000 participants from 104 countries

    From concepts developed during sessions, IBM launched 10 newbusinesses with investments totaling $100 million

    © 2009 Marketspace® LLC, A Monitor Group Company — CONFIDENTIAL — NOT FOR DISTRIBUTION 7www.marketspaceglobal.com

    Storage asUniversalService Digitized 150 years of archives, which comprised 11 million articles

    representing 1.5 terabytes of memory

    Utilized Amazon’s Simple Storage Service (S3) to digitize completearchival content page by page in under 36 hours

  • Benefits of the Cloud

    ProcessingPower on

    Demand

    Provides web-based software for creating presentations usingphotos and music uploaded to the web

    Increased traffic to 750,000 from 5,000 a day after a successfulFacebook marketing campaign

    Added capacity on Amazon Web Services infrastructure at a cost of10 cents per server hour plus related expenses

    © 2009 Marketspace® LLC, A Monitor Group Company — CONFIDENTIAL — NOT FOR DISTRIBUTION 8www.marketspaceglobal.com

    Cost Savings

    10 cents per server hour plus related expenses

    Utilized Google Apps to provide Office-type productivity softwarefor its workforce of over 16,000 people

    Achieved estimated savings of $80 million by not building its owndata center or hiring more engineers to manage it

  • Enabling the Cloud

    Open AccessUniversal Connectivity

    “The point is that no one shouldbe denied access to [onlineresources] because of who theyare…. So this is a fairness issuemore than anything else.”

    “There will be 499 million in-homeconsumer broadband connectionsworldwide by 2012 – anextraordinary number, but itrepresents only 25% of the

    © 2009 Marketspace® LLC, A Monitor Group Company — CONFIDENTIAL — NOT FOR DISTRIBUTION 9www.marketspaceglobal.com

    In 2007, the United States ranked15th in theworld in broadband penetration and 13th inoverall Internet connectivity

    If the United States falls short in universalaccess, cloud benefits will fall short, too

    more than anything else.”

    - Vint Cerf, Chief InternetEvangelist, Google

    This raises complex issues that emerged inthe debate over “net neutrality,” andpowerful commercial interests are at stake

    Any barriers that restrict access to theInternet limit the potential of the cloud

    represents only 25% of theworld’s households.”

    - Gartner Group

  • Enabling the Cloud

    Interoperability and User ChoiceReliability

    “It is not just about being ‘alwayson’; it is this idea of reliability. Ifthis is reliable, that’s a big thing. Ifit isn’t, then what do we turn to?”

    “If a customer doesn’t like ourservice, they can cancel.”

    - Polly Sumner, President,

    © 2009 Marketspace® LLC, A Monitor Group Company — CONFIDENTIAL — NOT FOR DISTRIBUTION 10www.marketspaceglobal.com

    Even best-known providers of cloudservices fail from time to time – stiffeningresistance of IT departments

    Service that comes close to 100 percentreliability is a prerequisite for widespreadadoption of cloud computing

    it isn’t, then what do we turn to?”

    - Kevin Kelly, Founder, ExecutiveEditor, Wired Magazine

    - Polly Sumner, President,Platform, Alliances, and Services,Salesforce.com

    As of now the major players operateproprietary cloud infrastructures, withvarying degrees of open standards

    If large providers move to dominate withproprietary clouds, it will be difficult torealize the full potential of cloud computing

  • Enabling the Cloud

    PrivacySecurity

    “The best medicine isaccountability and transparency.”

    - Dan Burton, Senior Vice

    “If we give this data to a cloudcomputing company, and there isa security breach or if thatcompany gets sold, how do weaddress that? I am accountable.”

    © 2009 Marketspace® LLC, A Monitor Group Company — CONFIDENTIAL — NOT FOR DISTRIBUTION 11www.marketspaceglobal.com

    In the United States, the law treats personalinformation differently once it’s handedover to a third party

    Cloud providers must protect user datafrom unauthorized government access andensure integrity of commercial use

    - Dan Burton, Senior VicePresident of Global PublicPolicy, Salesforce.com

    Notion of making a third party responsiblefor keeping data safe continues to provokedebates in corporate IT departments

    Cloud providers must demonstrate thatdata is safer than in current systems

    - Carolyn Lawson, ChiefInformation Officer, CaliforniaPublic Utilities Commission

  • Enabling the Cloud

    SustainabilityEconomic Value

    “The classic challenge ofaddressing a new market is to doit at a lower cost, make thingsavailable where they could notpreviously be delivered, orremove complexity. The cloud

    In 2006, data centers consumed1.5% of all electricity used in theUnited States.

    © 2009 Marketspace® LLC, A Monitor Group Company — CONFIDENTIAL — NOT FOR DISTRIBUTION 12www.marketspaceglobal.com

    The cloud is creating new businessopportunities and new markets by offeringhigh-end computing at lower cost

    The real test will be for the cloud to reducecosts, increase productivity, and enablefaster innovation at the enterprise level

    remove complexity. The cloudcan address all three of those.”

    - Russ Daniels, VP and CTO ofCloud Services Strategy, HP

    EPA estimates that by 2011, consolidatingcomputing into data centers could reducecarbon dioxide emissions by 47M metric tons

    As enterprises come under increasingpressure to go “green,” sustainability iscritical to the viability of cloud computing

    - Environmental ProtectionAgency

  • Government and the Cloud

    Who Decides?

    MarketPolicy

    Universal Connectivity

    Institutional Adoption

    Cybercrime Enforcement

    © 2009 Marketspace® LLC, A Monitor Group Company — CONFIDENTIAL — NOT FOR DISTRIBUTION 13www.marketspaceglobal.com

    Privacy

    Sustainability

    Security

    Reliability

    Interoperability

    Economic Value

  • Cloud Ecosystem

    Device ManufacturersISPsMedia CompaniesData Centers

    © 2009 Marketspace® LLC, A Monitor Group Company — CONFIDENTIAL — NOT FOR DISTRIBUTION 14www.marketspaceglobal.com

  • Living with the Cloud

    Netbooks

    Electronic Readers

    Set-top Boxes

    Music PlayersMedical Devices

    Retail Touchpoints

    © 2009 Marketspace® LLC, A Monitor Group Company — CONFIDENTIAL — NOT FOR DISTRIBUTION 15www.marketspaceglobal.com

    Electronic Readers

    Consumer Appliances

    Video GameSystems

    Transportation Vehicles

    Home Automation

  • The cloud is a reality for consumers and will become the“new normal” in corporations and organizations

    The cloud is one avenue for the United States to re-asserteconomic and technology leadership on a global stage

    © 2009 Marketspace® LLC, A Monitor Group Company — CONFIDENTIAL — NOT FOR DISTRIBUTION 16www.marketspaceglobal.com

    economic and technology leadership on a global stage

    What government can do best is clear the road forthe cloud’s expansion, not pave it