epidemic intelligence from open sources (eios) · epidemic intelligence from open sources (eios)...
TRANSCRIPT
Dr Philippe Barboza
Manager, Detection Verification and Risk Assessment WHO, Health Emergencies Programme
Epidemic Intelligence from Open Sources
(EIOS)
HEALTH
programme EMERGENCIES 2
WHO –Health Emergency programme
Prevent Recover Prepare Detect Respond
May 2016 –WHO Health Emergencies Programme (WHE) Fundamental changes, among other Detection of public health crises at centre of WHO activities Single approach across 3 WHO levels Health emergency information & risk assessment departments
WHE
HEALTH
programme EMERGENCIES 3
Improving global epidemic intelligence
input
process
detect
verify
analyse
assess
Dissem-
inate
respond
epidemic
intelligence
- Comprehensive - Bring initiatives together
- Expand input:
- Volume of sources
- Variety of sources
- Velocity of sources
- Improve assessment
- Accessible - Global, national and local use
- Build capacity
- Collaborative - Bring people together
- Facilitate communication
- Form expert communities
HEALTH
programme EMERGENCIES 4
WHO & Epidemic Intelligence milestones
Collaboration WHO - Canada to develop
GPHIN (Global Public Health Intelligence Network)
Global Health Security Initiative endorses
EAR (Early Alerting and Reporting platform)
WHO – European Commission develop
HDRAS (Hazard Detection and Risk Assessment System)
HEALTH
programme EMERGENCIES 5
Evidence based : need supra-system
for a new EI initiative
World Health Emergencies Programme Created
Prevent, Prepare, Detect, Rapidly Respond and Recover
“No super-system exists to pool expert systems' expertise
and more initiatives must be developed in this direction.” Barboza P, Vaillant L, Mawudeku A, Nelson NP, Hartley DM, Madoff LC, et al. (2013) Evaluation of Epidemic Intelligence Systems
Integrated in the Early Alerting and Reporting Project for the Detection of A/H5N1 Influenza Events. PLoS ONE8(3): e57252.
https://doi.org/10.1371/journal.pone.0057252
HEALTH
programme EMERGENCIES
EIOS conception
90s-2007
Goals • Capitalize on existing
• Foster synergies
• Pool expertise
• Reduce duplication
• Increased adaptability
Integrated collaboration
1st Phase
EAR (GHSI)
2008-2016
HDRAS
2017
EIOS
Roll out 2nd
Phase
HEALTH
programme EMERGENCIES 7
The EIOS Initiative
WHO leadership - WHE Mandate
Minimise hazards’ impact through improved detection
Strengthen global/national/subnational capacities
Promote development of Event-Based surveillance
Collaborative approach
Close collaboration with external EBS expert
Enable exchange of expertise, pooling of resources
Address needs of a wide array or users
Resources, context, needs
Domains (all hazards, zoonosis biological chemical …)
HEALTH
programme EMERGENCIES 8
EIOS technical process
Scrape
Categorise
Tag
De-duplicate
Translate
Share
process
HEALTH
programme EMERGENCIES 9
EIOS System: output
HEALTH
programme EMERGENCIES 10
EIOS System: output
HEALTH
programme EMERGENCIES 11
EIOS System: input
Rapid Collection
Traditional and Social Media
Government Sources
Over 1 million articles /week
Secure access
Communication within communities
Communication across communities
Verify open source information
Contribute new information and analysis
Browse
Search / Filter
Read
Comment
user
communication
HEALTH
programme EMERGENCIES 12
The EIOS - Zoonosis
~60% existing human infections
>75% emerging human infections
~80% potential bioterrorist agents (source: OIE; http://www.oie.int/en/for-the-media/onehealth/ ) z
oonotic
Animal/plant diseases affect nutrition, health & trade
Improved
detection
Operational
model
HEALTH
programme EMERGENCIES 13
Next Steps & Target Dates*
Draft three-year plan and
documentation
Secure long-term funding
Test and evaluate system
System roll out (new users)
Collaborative enhancements
(system evolution)
start end
October
2017
December
2017
November
2017
April
2018
May
2018
October
2018
ongoing
ongoing
ongoing
*contingent on approvals, progress, resources & details to be articulated in three-year plan
HEALTH
programme EMERGENCIES 14
The EIOS Initiative: perspective
World Health Emergencies Programme Created
Prevent, Prepare, Detect, Rapidly Respond and Recover
Documentation, Planning, Roadmap, Funding
Core EIOS System
Develop & Expand Communication on System
User Network Expansion and Training
2017 2018 2019 2020
Testing, Monitoring & Evaluation
Collaborative Enhancements to System
Dr Philippe Barboza
Manager Detection Verification and Risk Assessment
WHO, Health Emergencies Programme
Thank you