es - 2010chapter3
TRANSCRIPT
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3 THE FINANCIAL ACCOUNT AND INTERNATIONAL INVESTMENT POSITION IN 2010
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BANCO DE ESPAÑA 41 THE SPANISH BALANCE OF PAYMENTS AND INTERNATIONAL INVESTMENT POSITION, 2010
3 THE FINANCIAL ACCOUNT AND INTERNATIONAL INVESTMENT POSITION IN 2010
The Spanish economy’s net borrowing continued to fall in 2010, to 3.9% of GDP, 0.9 pp
down from 2009, owing mainly to the drop in investment, since, in GDP terms, the na-
tional saving rate remained around the previous year’s level. As a result, in 2010 the Span-ish economy had to raise fewer funds abroad to meet its financing needs. Although the
correction in the external deficit was interrupted during the opening months of 2011, ow-
ing to the increase in the energy and income deficits, the projection for the year is that the
process will continue, albeit at a slower pace than in previous years.
In 2010 financial markets were severely affected by the euro area sovereign debt crisis.
The most extreme bouts of distress stemmed from the Greek fiscal crisis (between May
and June 2010) and the collapse of the Irish banking system with its budgetary implica-
tions (between November and December 2010). In 2011 the sovereign debt crisis spread
to Portugal and, in mid-April, it flared up again in Greece. Spain was affected considerably
by the uncertainty concerning the extent of the worsening fiscal situation, the doubts
about its capacity to create jobs and its long-term growth, and the stability of a segment
of its banking sector1. The tensions in the euro area financial markets led to a tightening of
Spain’s financing conditions on the wholesale markets, with higher risk premia and diffi-
culty in borrowing from abroad at the height of the uncertainty.
In this environment, interbank rates and, particularly, long-term government debt yields rose
during the year. The average return on Spanish Treasury bonds with maturities of up to ten
years stood, in December 2010, at 5.4%, up from 4% in January, while the spread over their
German counterpart rose above 240 bp (70 bp In January), in a context of falling yields on
the German Bund, which was seen as a safe haven. On average over the year, yields on
Spanish ten-year government debt remained at relatively low levels (below 4.3%), while the
annual average yield on short-term debt fell to a record low (see Chart 3.1). During the open-
ing months of 2011, short-term rates continued to rise and yields on long-term Spanish
government bonds fell, along with the spread over the German benchmark, to stand around
190 bp. Notwithstanding, in mid-April renewed tensions in sovereign debt markets again
pushed Spanish bond yields higher (up to 5.3%), and the risk premium climbed back above
200 bp. Notably, in 2010 yields on Spanish non-financial corporations’ debt instruments
rose more moderately than on government debt. The financial tensions also depressed
stock prices and the value of the euro. European authorities and national governments
adopted a raft of measures to address this new phase of the crisis2. In the case of Spain,
these included a more determined fiscal consolidation effort and the adoption of structuralreforms and banking sector restructuring measures geared to enhancing the transparency
and soundness of the sector. This response limited the impact of the effects of the crisis on
the Spanish economy following the summer and enabled Spain to decouple itself from
those countries most affected by the financial tensions. Thus, the Portuguese crisis in 2011
3.1 Overview
1 In the case of general government, market concern was accompanied by downgrades in the credit rating of
Spanish sovereign debt (S&P lowered its rating from AA+ to AA in April 2010, Fitch from AAA to AA+ in May, and
Moody’s from Aaa to Aa1 in September 2010, and then to Aa2 in March 2011).
2 In the case of monetary policy, the response consisted of non-conventional measures. The situation in the markets
meant that the Eurosystem extended its liquidity-providing operations conducted as tenders with full allotment at least
until the cut-off date for this chapter. The covered bond purchase programme –including mortgage covered bonds–
which was launched in 2009, ended in June 2010. However, the strong tensions in some government bond markets
and their negative impact on the transmission mechanism led to the introduction of the Securities Market Programme,which includes the sterilised purchasing of government debt on secondary markets in those countries most affected by
the tensions. For more information, see Chapters 1 and 4 of the Banco de España’s Annual Report , 2010.
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BANCO DE ESPAÑA 42 THE SPANISH BALANCE OF PAYMENTS AND INTERNATIONAL INVESTMENT POSITION, 2010
did not greatly affect Spain’s risk premium and the recent worsening of market perception
on the sustainability of Greek government debt has not had the same impact as similar
bouts in 2010. Stock markets, including Spanish ones, tended to rise in the first few months
of 2011, amid significant volatility, although this trajectory was interrupted by the events in
Greece. Finally, the euro strengthened against the dollar in the first quarter of 2011.
In this setting, the net issuance of fixed income by resident sectors contracted consider-
ably in 2010 (61%), against the background of tightening financing conditions. The declinein the net issuance of general government was 40%, while monetary financial institutions’
(MFIs) net issuance declined by 80%. By contrast, the net issuance of non-financial cor-
porations, which were less affected by the uncertainty in the financial markets, increased.
For their part, securitisation vehicles3 and the non-monetary subsidiaries of MFIs made net
redemptions. Finally, net issuance of equities increased strongly (45%), although this in-
crease was a consequence of two specific transactions4.
SOURCES: ECB and Banco de España
a Three-month interbank market interest rates..
b Ten-year government bond yields..
0
20
40
60
80
100
120
140
160
00 01 02 03 04 05 06 07 08 09 10 11
IBEX-35 DJ EURO STOXX S&P 500 NIKKEI 225
Jan. 2000 = 100
INTERNATIONAL STOCK MARKET INDICES EURO EXCHANGE RATES
0
20
40
60
80
100
120
140
160
180
00 01 02 03 04 05 06 07 08 09 10 11
US DOLLAR YEN STERLING
Jan. 2000 = 100
0
1
2
3
4
5
6
7
8
00 01 02 03 04 05 06 07 08 09 10 11
EURO AREA USA JAPAN
SHORT-TERM INTEREST RATES (a)
%
0
1
2
3
4
5
6
7
8
00 01 02 03 04 05 06 07 08 09 10 11
EURO AREA USA JAPAN SPAIN
%
LONG-TERM INTEREST RATES (b)
INTERNATIONAL FINANCIAL DEVELOPMENTS CHART 3.1
3 Since the start of the crisis, these instruments had continued to be issued, although the asset-backed bonds were
acquired by the originators, since, as in other countries, they were used as collateral for ECB liquidity tenders. The
net redemptions in 2010 are explained by the persistent slackness of the securitisation market and the smaller
incentives for institutions to hold these securities because they had an ample volume of eligible assets available.4 A more detailed description of issuance by residents in Spain is available in Chapter 6 of the Banco de España’s
Annual Report, 2010.
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BANCO DE ESPAÑA 43 THE SPANISH BALANCE OF PAYMENTS AND INTERNATIONAL INVESTMENT POSITION, 2010
In total, the financial transactions between Spain and the rest of the world, excluding the Banco
de España, generated a net inflow of funds in 2010 of €27,719 million (2.6% of GDP, 1.6 pp less
than in 2009), which was not sufficient to cover the nation’s net borrowing (€41,430 million). As
a result, the Banco de España’s net assets vis-à-vis the rest of the world declined by €15,696
million (see Table 3.1 and Chart 3.2). In 2010, non-residents divested Spanish financial assets,
although not as intensively as residents divested assets issued by non-residents in an attempt
to overcome their difficulties in raising funds abroad owing to the sovereign debt crisis in the
2004 2005 2006 2007 2008 2009 2010
CURRENT ACCOUNT PLUS CAPITAL ACCOUNT BALANCE -4.2 -6.5 -8.3 -9.6 -9.1 -4.8 -3.9
FINANCIAL ACCOUNT BALANCE (a) 5.8 6.9 11.3 8.2 6.4 4.2 2.6
CHANGE IN EXTERNAL LIABILITIES (b) 18.2 24.6 25.9 22.6 10.9 6.2 -1.1
Foreign direct investment 2.4 2.2 2.5 4.5 4.8 0.6 1.5
Monetary nancial institutions -0.1 0.0 0.0 0.1 0.1 0.1 0.2
Other resident sectors 2.5 2.2 2.5 4.4 4.7 0.5 1.3
Portfolio investment 13.4 15.2 19.9 9.1 -2.0 4.7 -3.1
General government 2.7 0.3 1.4 -1.6 1.6 5.4 1.4
Monetary nancial institutions 5.9 6.2 8.3 3.6 -1.3 1.6 -2.0
Other resident sectors 4.8 8.8 10.2 7.0 -2.3 -2.2 -2.5
Other investment 2.4 7.1 3.5 9.1 8.1 0.9 0.5
General government 0.6 0.0 0.1 0.0 0.3 0.2 0.5
Monetary nancial institutions 1.8 5.6 0.4 7.2 6.9 0.7 -0.8
Other resident sectors 0.0 1.5 3.0 1.9 0.9 0.0 0.8
CHANGE IN EXTERNAL ASSETS (c) 12.4 17.6 14.6 14.4 4.5 2.0 -3.7Foreign direct investment 5.8 3.7 8.4 9.5 4.7 0.7 1.6
Monetary nancial institutions 1.6 0.1 0.6 2.9 0.6 0.5 -0.7
Other resident sectors 4.2 3.6 7.8 6.6 4.1 0.1 2.3
Portfolio investment 3.2 8.8 -0.4 -0.8 -2.0 0.4 -6.0
General government 0.1 0.5 1.1 0.6 0.2 -1.2 -0.6
Monetary nancial institutions 0.6 4.5 -3.1 0.3 0.7 0.8 -3.2
Other resident sectors 2.5 3.7 1.6 -1.7 -2.9 0.7 -2.3
Other investment 3.4 5.2 6.7 5.3 1.1 0.4 1.4
General government 0.2 0.1 0.0 0.1 0.1 0.1 0.3
Monetary nancial institutions 2.0 4.4 6.0 4.8 0.7 0.3 0.6
Other resident sectors 1.2 0.8 0.7 0.4 0.4 -0.1 0.4
Financial derivatives (d) 0.0 0.0 -0.2 0.4 0.6 0.6 -0.7
NET CHANGE IN EXTERNAL ASSETS OF BANCO DE ESPAÑA (e) -1.7 -0.2 -2.6 1.4 2.8 1.0 1.5
Of which:
Reserve assets 0.6 0.2 0.0 0.0 -0.1 -0.1 -0.1
Net assets vis-à-vis the Eurosystem -1.6 1.6 -1.3 2.7 2.9 0.6 0.9
Other net assets -0.6 -2.0 -1.3 -1.3 -0.1 0.6 0.6
MEMORANDUM ITEMS:
FINANCIAL ACCOUNT BALANCE INCLUDING BANCO DE ESPAÑA 4.1 6.7 8.7 9.6 9.2 5.2 4.1
Errors and omissions (f) 0.1 -0.2 -0.4 0.0 -0.1 -0.4 -0.2
BREAKDOWN OF THE FINANCIAL ACCOUNT OF THE BALANCE OF PAYMENTS TABLE 3.1
% of GDP
SOURCE: Banco de España.
a Excluding Banco de España.b A positive sign denotes an increase in liabilities, i.e. a capital inow.c A positive sign denotes an increase in assets, i.e. a capital outow.d Recorded net of netted out amounts and allocated, by convention, to the net change in assets.e A positive (negative) sign denotes a decrease (increase) in Banco de España foreign assets.f A positive (negative) sign denotes a receipt (payment) not recorded in another balance of payments caption.
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BANCO DE ESPAÑA 44 THE SPANISH BALANCE OF PAYMENTS AND INTERNATIONAL INVESTMENT POSITION, 2010
euro area. The net divestment of Spanish financial assets by non-residents amounted to €11,761
million, as against net investment of €65,231 million in 2009. This decline in non-residents’ hold-
ings of Spanish financial assets was concentrated in securities issued by the private sector,
particularly bonds issued by MFIs, mortgage covered bonds, asset-backed bonds and securi-
ties issued by non-monetary subsidiaries of MFIs. By contrast, non-residents continued to ac-
quire public debt and bonds issued by non-financial corporations. Divestments by residents
totalled €39,480 million, as against an investment of €21,054 million the previous year. These
divestments abroad by resident sectors were basically the result of sales of foreign bonds.
The stock of Spain’s net liabilities to the rest of the world, as measured by the international
investment position (IIP), fell by 4% in 2010 to €926 billion, representing 87.1% of GDP (down
4 pp from the previous year) (see Chart 3.3 and Table 3.2). This decline took place in spite of
the deficit balance on the rest of the world account, owing to the effect of the trend in financial
instrument prices and exchange rates on the value of external assets and liabilities (i.e. owing
to the valuation effect)5. This effect largely reflected the divergent trends in international and
Spanish stock market prices, the former being much more expansionary, which raised the
value of the assets of residents in Spain, while it reduced that of their liabilities. The incidence
of the depreciation of the euro’s exchange rate was less acute (see Table 3.3). The valuation
effect explains the reduction in the net IIP in portfolio investment and, to a lesser extent, the
improvement in the balance of foreign direct investment (see Table 3.4).
An alternative way of measuring Spain’s indebtedness to the rest of the world is to use gross
debt, which only includes those liabilities that generate payment obligations6. In 2010, gross
SOURCE: Banco de España
a A negative (positive) sign denotes an increase (decrease) in the Banco de España's net foreign assets.
b Excluding the Banco de España.
-150
-100
-50
0
50
100
150
2000 2001 2002 2003 2004 2005 2006 2007 2008 2009 2010
NET CHANGE IN ASSETS OF BANCO DE ESPAÑA (a) NET BORROWING NCL - NCA (a)
2000-2010 PERIOD
€bn
FINANCING OF THE SPANISH ECONOMY CHART 3.2
5 In accordance with international statistical standards, the IIP values external financial assets and liabilities at the
market prices and exchange rates prevailing at the end of the reference period. Consequently, any changes in
the prices, expressed in domestic currency, of the assets that make up the IIP have a direct impact on the exter-
nal credit or debit position. Hence the change in the IIP between two points in time is determined not only by the
financial transactions between the residents of an economy and the rest of the world, which reflect the nation’s
net borrowing or net lending in that period, but also by the changes in the value of the financial instruments that
make up the stock of financial assets and liabilities (known as the “valuation effect”). In addition to these two
factors, there is a third one, the so-called “other adjustments”, which occasionally affects the IIP.
6 A country’s external debt consists of the amounts of all the liabilities to non-residents that entail future principal
and/or interest payments (all financial instruments, except equities and financial derivatives); accordingly, it isroughly equal to enforceable liabilities. In Spain, enforceable liabilities account for around 76% of Spain’s total
external liabilities. The rest is made up of contingent instruments, like shares and other equity.
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BANCO DE ESPAÑA 45 THE SPANISH BALANCE OF PAYMENTS AND INTERNATIONAL INVESTMENT POSITION, 2010
external debt fell by 2.8 pp of GDP, to stand at 164% of GDP (160% if the Banco de España
is excluded) (see Table 3.5).
Appropriate valuation of exposure to non-residents requires detailed analysis of the nature of the
external debt instruments. At end-2010 most of the debt was in the form of portfolio investment
instruments, particularly medium- and long-term bonds, and in other investment, while debt aris-
ing from inter-company financing transactions was much lower. As regards the original maturity
of the financial instruments, which is an indicator of the nation’s refinancing requirements, around
70% of the total external debt was long-term, a higher proportion than that of the euro area as a
-100
-50
0
50
100
150
200
250
2000 2001 2002 2003 2004 2005 2006 2007 2008 2009 2010
NET ASSETS LIABILITIES
% of GDP
INTERNATIONAL INVESTMENT POSITION CHART 3.3
SOURCE: Banco de España.
NET IIPNET IIP EXCLUDINGBANCO DE ESPAÑA
NET IIPNET IIP EXCLUDINGBANCO DE ESPAÑA
2008 -863.1 -914.0 -79.3 -84.0
2009 -960.1 -1,004.3 -91.1 -95.3
2010 -925.6 -955.9 -87.1 -90.0
VALUE OF STOCK (€bn) PERCENTAGE OF GDP (%)
INTERNATIONAL INVESTMENT POSITION. RECENT DEVELOPMENTS TABLE 3.2
SOURCE: Banco de España.
VALUATION
EFFECT
AND OTHER
ADJUSTMENTS
LEVELS LEVELS % (b) LEVELS % (b)
2008 -863.1 -40.2 -100.2 60.0 1,359.1 18.6 50.0 -31.4 -2.3 2,222.1 58.9 150.3 -91.4 -4.2
2009 -960.1 -97.1 -54.6 -42.4 1,361.0 2.0 16.7 -14.8 -1.1 2,321.2 99.0 71.4 27.7 1.2
2010 -925.6 34.5 -43.4 77.9 1,361.2 0.1 -45.4 45.5 3.3 2,286.8 -34.4 -2.0 -32.4 -1.4
LIABILITIES
VALUE
OF
STOCK
CHANGE
IN
STOCK
TRANSACTION
VALUATION EFFECT
AND OTHER
ADJUSTMENTS
CHANGE
IN
STOCK
TRANSACTION
ASSETS
VALUATION EFFECT
AND OTHER
ADJUSTMENTS
NET (a)
VALUE
OF
STOCK
CHANGE
IN
STOCK
TRANSACTION
VALUE
OF
STOCK
RECONCILIATION OF CHANGE IN STOCK WITH BALANCE OF PAYMENTS TRANSACTIONS TABLE 3.3
€bn
SOURCE: Banco de España.
a A (–) sign denotes a larger change in liabilities than in assets.
b Difference between the change in the stock and the balance of payments transaction, in terms of stock at beginning of the period.
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BANCO DE ESPAÑA 46 THE SPANISH BALANCE OF PAYMENTS AND INTERNATIONAL INVESTMENT POSITION, 2010
whole, which was around 50%.7 Moreover, nearly 90% of the gross debt was denominated in
euro, which tends to mitigate the foreign exchange risk. Again, this percentage appreciably ex-
ceeded that of the euro area as a whole, which was near 70%. However, the gross external debt
only reflects one facet of the exposure to external creditors, the sustainability and refinanceabil-
ity of which depend also on the magnitude of the enforceable external assets. The difference
between these assets and the enforceable liabilities, i.e. what is known as “net external debt”
amounted to 97% of GDP at end-2010 (70% of GDP in long-term instruments). 8
As in Spain, the financial transactions of the euro area9 were affected by the impact of the
sovereign debt crisis. As regards portfolio investment transactions, fixed-income securities
issued by residents in German acted as a safe-haven asset at times of greatest tension in the
debt markets. The financial turmoil also affected the recourse to the Eurosystem,10 which was
Q1 Q2 Q3 Q4
NET INTERNATIONAL INVESTMENT POSITION (A-L) -863 -960 -948 -907 -960 -926
Excluding Banco de España -914 -1,004 -990 -883 -980 -956
Foreign direct investment 1 12 16 27 34 39
Portfolio investment -604 -688 -667 -606 -663 -650
Other investment (a) -305 -327 -345 -317 -355 -347
Financial derivatives -6 -1 6 12 4 3
Banco de España 51 44 42 -23 20 30
2008 20092010
INTERNATIONAL INVESTMENT POSITION. SUMMARY TABLE 3.4
€bn
SOURCE: Banco de España.
a Includes, primarily, loans, deposits and repos.
Q1 Q2 Q3 Q4
EXTERNAL DEBT 1,672 1,759 1,788 1,774 1,762 1,744
Excluding Banco de España 1,637 1,717 1,744 1,668 1,703 1,692
Foreign direct investment 157 175 181 183 183 184
Debt liabilities to aliated enterprises 92 101 111 116 116 117
Debt liabilities to direct investors 65 74 69 67 67 67
Portfolio investment 788 845 854 795 810 787
Other investment (a) 692 697 709 690 710 721
Banco de España 35 41 44 106 59 51
2008 20092010
SPANISH EXTERNAL DEBT
Breakdown by instrumentTABLE 3.5
€bn
SOURCE: Banco de España.
a Includes, primarily, loans, deposits and repos.
7 See ECB (2010), “Recent developments in the gross external debt of the euro area”,Monthly Bulletin, May.
8 Although net external debt is an indicator of an economy’s indebtedness to the rest of the world, it does not include
foreign shares held by residents who could sell them to service their loans, which do form part of the external debt.
9 See ECB (2011), “Recent developments in the euro area balance of payments”, Monthly Bulletin, March.
10 The external assets of the euro area and US monetary authorities have, since end-2007, been conditioned by the
unconventional measures approved by the ECB and the Federal Reserve (there were also similar agreements with
the monetary authorities of other countries, especially the United Kingdom, Switzerland and Japan) in the form oftemporary reciprocal currency arrangements (swap lines) to provide liquidity to the money markets. These arrange-
ments, which initially expired in February 2010, have been successively extended to August 2011.
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BANCO DE ESPAÑA 47 THE SPANISH BALANCE OF PAYMENTS AND INTERNATIONAL INVESTMENT POSITION, 2010
greater in the economies most affected by the debt crisis. In addition, the uncertain economic
outlook constrained the upward movement of direct investment transactions. Finally, the gap
between economies with net debit and net credit positions narrowed somewhat. As regards
gross external debt, an international comparison shows that Spain’s debt is lower than that of
other euro area economies and that it decreased moderately in 2010 (see Chart 3.4).
Spain’s financial transactions with the rest of the world generated net capital inflows in the
form of portfolio investments, specifically fixed-income securities, and, to a lesser extent, of
financial derivatives. Transactions in other instruments generated net outflows of funds, the
quantity of which was larger in the case of other investment (basically loans, deposits and
repos) and particularly in short-term instruments (see Chart 3.5)11. In the case of foreign direct
investment (FDI), net outflows of funds were moderate and took place against a background
of notable recovery in FDI flows, both outward and inward. Finally, as to maturity, the financ-
ing of the Spanish economy was based on long-term instruments, specifically bonds, which
offset the net outflows of short-term funds (see Chart 3.6). In the opening months of 2011, this
feature persisted, since funds were raised through investment of non-residents in equities
and bonds, particularly those issued by general government, and in other long-term invest-
ments. By contrast, non-residents redeemed deposits and repos with resident MFIs.
In keeping with the composition and sign of the financial transactions carried out in the year
and with the aforementioned valuation effects, the decrease in the negative net IIP resulted
from the correction of the debit balance on portfolio investment and, to a lesser extent, from
the larger credit position in direct investment and the improved balance on financial deriva-
tives (see Tables 3.4 and 3.5). This development offset by far the increase in the debit position
in other investment. Against this background, portfolio investment lost relative weight in both
external assets and external liabilities, losing ground to direct investment in the first case and,
fundamentally, to other investment in the second case (see Table 3.6). These changes in in-
strument stocks, along with the behaviour of interest rates in the year on average and the
notable increase in dividends received abroad, allowed the deficit on investment income to
3.2 Breakdown by
investment
instrument
SOURCES: IMF, World Bank, OECD, BIS and national sources.
a b
-120
-100
-80
-60
-40
-20
0
20
40
60
00 01 02 03 04 05 06 07 08 09 10
PT FR DE IT ES
NET IIP
% oD
0
50
100
150
200
250
00 01 02 03 04 05 06 07 08 09 10
PT FR DE IT ES
GROSS EXTERNAL DEBT
% o D
NET INTERNATIONAL INVESTMENT POSITION AND GROSS EXTERNAL DEBT:
INTERNATIONAL COMPARISON (a) (b) CHART 3.4
11 Unless expressly indicated, Banco de España transactions and positions are excluded.
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BANCO DE ESPAÑA 48 THE SPANISH BALANCE OF PAYMENTS AND INTERNATIONAL INVESTMENT POSITION, 2010
SOURCE: Banco de España.
a Excluding Banco de España.
b Financial derivatives are recorded net of netted out amounts and allocated, by convention, to the net change in assets.
-100
-50
0
50
100
150
200
250
300
00 01 02 03 04 05 06 07 08 09 10
FINANCIAL DERIVATIVES OTHER INVESTMENT
PORTFOLIO INVESTMENT FOREIGN DIRECT INVESTMENT
OUTFLOWS
Net change in assets (b)
€bn
-50
0
50
100
150
200
250
300
00 01 02 03 04 05 06 07 08 09 10
FOREIGN DIRECT INVESTMENT PORTFOLIO INVESTMENT
OTHER INVESTMENT
INFLOWS
Net change in liabilities
€bn
FINANCIAL TRANSACTIONS WITH THE REST OF THE WORLD, BY INSTRUMENT (a) CHART 3.5
-100
-50
0
50
100
150
200
250
2000 2001 2002 2003 2004 2005 2006 2007 2008 2009 2010
FINANCIAL DERIVATIVES OTHER INVESTMENT PORTFOLIO INVESTMENT FOREIGN DIRECT INVESTMENT TOTAL
NET
NCL-NCA
€bn
SOURCE: Banco de España.
a Short-term xed-income consists of money market instruments and other short-term investment; long-term xed-income consists of medium and long-term
bonds and other long-term investment. In all cases, excluding the Banco de España.
-100
-50
0
50
100
150
200
250
300
2000 2001 2002 2003 2004 2005 2006 2007 2008 2009 2010
LONG -TERM SHORT-TERM TOTAL
NET (NCL - NCA) (a)
€bn
FINANCIAL ACCOUNT: FIXED INCOME BY MATURITY CHART 3.6
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BANCO DE ESPAÑA 49 THE SPANISH BALANCE OF PAYMENTS AND INTERNATIONAL INVESTMENT POSITION, 2010
be reduced notably. However, an increase in this deficit due to the foreseeable rise in interest
rates cannot be ruled out, a scenario which is analysed in detail in Box 3.1.
In 2010 the Spanish economy again recorded net outflows of foreign direct investment
(FDI),12 this time for €892 million (0.1% of GDP), against a background of sharp rises in both
Spanish direct investment abroad and foreign direct investment in Spain (see Chart 3.7).
This behaviour of Spanish FDI flows is in line with that observed internationally. The avail-
able information indicates that in 2010 the contraction in world FDI flows halted,13 al-
though their recovery was still weak, with an increase of 0.7% according to preliminary
UNCTAD estimates, after falling sharply in 2009 (by 37%). This increase was concentrated
in the emerging economies (10%), which offset the decline in investment in the developed
economies (-7%). FDI flows also differed depending on the type of transaction. Thus, while
mergers and acquisitions recovered worldwide after falling in the previous two years,
greenfield investment continued to decline, still weighed down by the uncertainty as to the
extent and strength of the economic recovery.
Spanish direct investment abroad transactions amounted to €16,813 million, nearly twice
that of the previous year. Spanish outward FDI represented 1.6% of GDP (0.9 pp more thanin 2009, but well below the average for the period 2000-2010). This, together with the
positive revaluation impact, meant that Spain’s stock of outward FDI amounted to 46.2% of
GDP in 2010, nearly 3.7 pp more than at end-2009. By instrument, FDI transactions were
basically in the form of shares and other direct capital holdings, which offset the net divest-
ments arising from inter-company debt transactions. Two-thirds of Spanish direct invest-
FOREIGN DIRECT INVESTMENT
12 Note that Spanish balance of payments FDI data include transactions by foreign-equity holding companies
(“ETVEs” by their Spanish acronym), which generally give rise to neither capital inflows nor outflows, but chiefly
represent accounting entries. ETVEs have frequently been set up in recent years by non-resident multinational
groups to centralise their FDI holdings in third countries. The heading includes other holding companies which,
although not strictly ETVEs, have been set up in Spain for the main purpose of channelling direct investment.
Excluding ETVEs’ transactions, the behaviour of FDI did not change significantly in 2010 in qualitative terms.13 See “Invest in Spain (2011)”, “Global and Regional FDI Trends in 2010” by the UNCTAD, and “International In-
vestment Limps into 2011”, OECD Investment News, November 2010, No. 14.
ASSETS LIABILITIES ASSETS LIABILITIES ASSETS LIABILITIES ASSETS LIABILITIES
% OF TOTAL
Average 2005-2007 28.8 19.0 39.4 49.1 28.4 29.1 3.4 2.8
2008 33.3 19.3 27.8 43.8 30.4 31.6 8.5 5.2
2009 35.1 19.1 29.8 46.8 29.1 30.6 6.1 3.4
2010 38.3 20.2 25.0 43.4 29.2 32.2 7.4 4.1
VALUE OF STOCK (€bn)
Average 2005-2007 328 358 450 927 324 549 39 53
2008 424 423 354 958 387 692 108 114
2009 448 436 380 1,068 371 697 77 78
2010 490 452 320 971 373 721 95 92
FOREIGN DIRECT
INVESTMENT PORTFOLIO INVESTMENT OTHER INVESTMENT FINANCIAL DERIVATIVES
INTERNATIONAL INVESTMENT POSITION
Breakdown by instrument (a) TABLE 3.6
SOURCE: Banco de España.
a Excluding Banco de España.
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BANCO DE ESPAÑA 50 THE SPANISH BALANCE OF PAYMENTS AND INTERNATIONAL INVESTMENT POSITION, 2010
BOX 3.1CORRECTION OF THE INCOME DEFICIT AND THE IIP
One of the factors contributing to the decrease in Spain’s net bor-
rowing in 2010 was the appreciably smaller income deficit (down by
0.8 pp of GDP). This fall in the income deficit was due to the in-
creased dividend receipts from foreign direct investment (FDI), which
reached historical highs, and to the interest rates which, on average,
remained low in the year. However, the sovereign debt problems in
Europe and the increased cost of Spain’s access to external financ-
ing, particularly at long term, meant that the improvement in the in-
come balance gradually petered out during the course of 2010.1
FDI and other short-term investment were the investment instru-
ments which most contributed to correcting the income deficit (0.4
pp and 0.2 pp of GDP, respectively). The contribution of other long-
term investment and of equity was less marked, while the balance
on portfolio investment (PI) in fixed income (which accounts for
nearly 80% of the income deficit on portfolio investment) held
steady in terms of GDP, given that the slight narrowing of the deficit
on money market instruments (MMI) was offset by the widening of
that on bonds. The increase in the latter reflected the higher net
interest payments on government debt, which offset the decrease
in those on private-sector debt. These changes in the income bal-
ance by type of investment are generally consistent with the behav-
iour of the net international investment position by instrument.
The increase in the income surplus on FDI was due to the notably
higher dividend income received by Spanish multinationals, up by
0.5 pp of GDP to an all-time high of 2% (see chart below). This rise
took place thanks to the recovery of the world economy, whose cy-
cle leads that of Spain, and to the expansion of external assets,
which reflects the progressively greater international presence of
certain Spanish multinational groups over the last few years. It was
precisely some of the areas with more vigorous FDI which contrib-
uted most to the expansion of dividend income from direct invest-
ment, particularly the euro area, Latin America (especially Brazil) and
Switzerland. Also, the implied return on FDI assets exceeded that of
SOURCE: Banco de España.
a Excluding the Banco de España. Including, in the case of IIP net of interest-bearing instruments, net FDI in inter-company debt transactions, net portfolio investment
in xed income and net other investment
b The implied return on a nancial instrument is calculated by dividing the receipts (payments) on each instrument in that period by the value of the external assets
(liabilities) in the form of that nancial instrument in the previous period.c Information available for the period 2003-2010.
0
1
2
3
4
5
Q1 09 Q2 09 Q3 09 Q4 09 Q1 10 Q2 10 Q3 10 Q4 10
OTHER INVESTMENT. LONG-TERM LIABILITIES
OTHER INVESTMENT. SHORT-TERM LIABILITIES
3 IMPLIED RETURN ON LIABILITIES: OTHER INVESTMENT (b)
%
0.0
0.5
1.0
1.5
2.0
2.5
2003 2004 2005 2006 2007 2008 2009 2010
DIVIDEND INCOME FROM FDI
10 LARGEST COMPANIES
4 DIVIDEND INCOME FROM FOREIGN DIRECT INVESTMENT (c)
% of GDP
-60
-50
-40
-30
-20
-10
0
-1,200
-1,000
-800
-600
-400
-200
0
1999 2000 2001 2002 2003 2004 2005 2006 2007 2008 2009 2010
NET IIP
IIP NET OF INTEREST PORTFOLIO INVESTMENT IN FIXED-INCOME LIABILITIES: MONEY MARKET INSTRUMENTS-BEARING INSTRUMENTS
BALANCE ON INVESTMENT INCOME (right-hand scale)
1 NET IIP AND INVESTMENT INCOME (a)
€bn
0
12
3
4
5
6
7
Q1 09 Q2 09 Q3 09 Q4 09 Q1 10 Q2 10 Q3 10 Q4 10
PORTFOLIO INVESTMENT IN FIXED-INCOME LIABILITIES: BONDS
%
2 IMPLIED RETURN ON LIABILITIES: PORTFOLIO INVESTMENT IN FIXED INCOME (b)
1 See Banco de España (2011). “Spanish economic projections report”,
Economic Bulletin, April.
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BANCO DE ESPAÑA 51 THE SPANISH BALANCE OF PAYMENTS AND INTERNATIONAL INVESTMENT POSITION, 2010
BOX 3.1CORRECTION OF THE INCOME DEFICIT AND THE IIP (cont.)
ment abroad was concentrated in “Transport, storage and communication”, while that in
“Financial intermediation” moderated significantly (see Table 3.7). Meanwhile, construction
continued to record net divestment, in line with the adjustment under way in this sector.
Regarding the geographical breakdown of Spanish FDI outflows (excluding foreign-equity
holding companies, or “ETVEs” by their Spanish abbreviation), the significance of the in-
vestments in the United Kingdom (36% of the total) was again noteworthy (see Table 3.8).
The investments in the euro area accounted for 17% of the total, a percentage which is
lower than usual, but which contrasts with the divestments in 2009. The relative weight of
FDI in new EU members was extremely small compared with the percentage reached inthe previous year. Notable outside the EU was the investment in the United States (14%)
and in Latin America (10%). These developments scarcely changed the geographical
breakdown of the stock of FDI external assets, in which the euro area and Latin America
continued to be the leading recipients, although the relative weight of the latter increased
at the expense of the former. The United Kingdom and the United States also retained a
significant share of Spanish direct investment abroad (see Table 3.9).
Foreign direct investment in Spain transactions increased by 142% in 2010 to €15,921 million
(1.5% of GDP, up 0.9 pp on 2009 and also below the average for the period 2000-2010). Con-
sequently, the value of FDI liabilities in the Spanish IIP increased by 1.1 pp of GDP to 42.5%.
The breakdown by instrument shows that shares and other direct holdings accounted for most
of the FDI received by the Spanish economy (some 70% of the total), followed by investment in
the related liabilities. As regards portfolio investment in shares and
other equity, the improvement in the income balance was made pos-
sible by the decrease in payments, particularly dividend payments,
in line with the fall in shareholder remuneration on the Spanish stock
market, which was down by 26% after peaking in 2009. 2
As regards income from interest-bearing instruments, in 2010 the
deficit on other investment was corrected, while that on portfolio in-
vestment in fixed income remained unchanged. These developments
resulted from, first, the higher weight of long-term instruments in the
net debit position in fixed income than in other investment (around
90% and 45%, respectively), since in 2010 long-term interest rates
increased more sharply than short-term rates. However, long-term in-
terest rate movements did not pass through fully to interest payments
on debt, because a significant proportion of non-residents’ holdings of
bonds (such as covered bonds) is tied to short-term rates. Addition-
ally, in the case of debt not tied to a benchmark, the higher interest
rates demanded by the market pass through slowly (as maturing debt
is rolled over) to the interest burden borne by agents.
In any event, the improvement in income from interest-bearing instru-
ments lost steam as the year advanced, in line with the term structure
of interest rates. Thus in the second half, the correction of the deficits
on other investment and on MMI moderated significantly. This feature
was even more marked in bond income, since the related deficit in-
creased in the second half of 2010, reversing the correction achieved
in the first half. The course of the implied return on portfolio investment
liabilities and on other investment liabilities corroborates the cumula-
tive decrease in the last two years, although it has tended to become
steadier recently, particularly in bonds and in other short-term invest-
ment. By contrast, the improvement in the FDI and equity balances
was concentrated in the second half of 2010, due to the rise in Q4 in
FDI dividend income and to additional falls in payments on equities.
The fact that the improvement in the income deficit in 2010 was
based on still-low interest rates which, on balance, showed an up-
ward trend as the year advanced, and on all-time high levels of profit
repatriation by the large Spanish multinationals, advises caution re-
garding the outlook for the balance of investment income vis-à-vis the rest of the world. First, the behaviour of interest rates will affect
net payments in this connection and, second, the future performance
of dividend income is surrounded by high uncertainty, since it is
strongly affected by the decisions of the large Spanish multinationals.
Although the dividends balance remains favourable, it will probably
not grow as vigorously as in 2010, so it cannot be expected to offset
the impact on the income balance of the foreseeable interest rate
rises and of the anticipated net borrowing in the next few years.2 See the 2009 and 2010 market reports of Bolsas y Mercados Españoles
(BME), available on the website http://www.bolsasymercados.es/.
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BANCO DE ESPAÑA 52 THE SPANISH BALANCE OF PAYMENTS AND INTERNATIONAL INVESTMENT POSITION, 2010
real estate (24%), which grew moderately after falling sharply in the previous two years. Secto-
rally, the most notable feature was the rise in inward FDI in “Electricity, gas and water supply”.
As has become usual in recent years, FDI in “Manufacturing” was also significant.
The EU accounted for most of the FDI in Spain in 2010 (63%), the leading source beingthe euro area (52% of the total), particularly, as in 2009, the Netherlands (44%). The
United Kingdom represented 10%, in contrast to the divestments seen in the previous
year. Most notable beyond the EU was Switzerland, whose investments represented
12% of the total, followed by Latin America and the United States (10% and 9% of the
total, respectively). As is customary, most of the stock of direct investment by non-resi-
dents in Spain comes from the euro area.
In line with developments in direct investment transactions and the impact of valuation effects,
Spain’s net credit position in FDI widened appreciably in 2010 by 2.5 pp of GDP to 3.6%.
Net inflows of funds through portfolio investment amounted to €30,411 million in 2010,
down 33% from 2009 (see Chart 3.8). The capital inflows in this respect resulted from di-
PORTFOLIO INVESTMENT
SOURCE: Banco de España.
a Excluding Banco de España.
-70-60-50-40-30-20-10
0102030405060
00 01 02 03 04 05 06 07 08 09 10
SHARES
OTHER EQUITY AND REINVESTED EARNINGS
REAL ESTATEINTER-COMPANY DEBT TRANSACTIONS
TOTAL
NET
NCL-NCA
€bn
-200
-100
0
100
200
300
400
500
600
00 01 02 03 04 05 06 07 08 09 10
NET
ASSETS
LIABILITIES
INTERNATIONAL INVESTMENT POSITION
€bn
-40
-20
0
20
40
60
80
100
120
00 01 02 03 04 05 06 07 08 09 10
INTER-COMPANY DEBT TRANSACTIONS
REAL ESTATE
OTHER EQUITY AND REINVESTED EARNINGS
SHARES
OUTFLOWS
Net change in assets
€bn
-40
-20
0
20
40
60
80
100
120
00 01 02 03 04 05 06 07 08 09 10
INTER-COMPANY DEBT TRANSACTIONS
REAL ESTATE
OTHER EQUITY AND REINVESTED EARNINGS
SHARES
€bn
INFLOWS
Net change in liabilities
FOREIGN DIRECT INVESTMENT (a)
Financial transactions with the rest of the world and International Investment PositionCHART 3.7
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BANCO DE ESPAÑA 53 THE SPANISH BALANCE OF PAYMENTS AND INTERNATIONAL INVESTMENT POSITION, 2010
vestments by Spanish financial institutions of foreign securities and from purchases by
non-residents of bonds issued by general government and by large Spanish non-financial
corporations. The latter sold securities issued by resident financial institutions, particularly
asset-backed bonds and securities issued by MFI subsidiaries. These transactions re-
sulted in net purchases of bonds for €47,437 million. By contrast, transactions in money
market instruments gave rise to net outflows of capital for €5,060 million, compared with
the substantial funds raised in 2009. Larger net outflows were generated by transactions
in equities (€11,967 million), driven by Spanish investment in foreign shares.
Spanish portfolio investment abroad transactions generated net inflows of €63,461 million (6%
of GDP). Residents increased their foreign equity holdings (€8,720 million), in line with the im-proved economic outlook abroad, but reduced their stock of fixed income holdings (by €72,181
million), basically bonds (€65,759 million). Most of the sales of debt were by the private sector
(€66,225 million, of which bonds represented 90%), although the change in the composition of
the Social Security Reserve Fund’s portfolio towards securities issued by Spanish general gov-
ernment also led to a decrease in its holdings of bonds issued by non-residents (€5,956 million).
External assets in the form of portfolio investment securities decreased by 5.9 pp of GDP
to 30.2% in 2010, owing to the decrease both in the fixed-income position (by 7.3 pp of
GDP to 21% of GDP), which offset the increase in external assets in the form of equity
holdings (by 1.4 pp of GDP to 9.1%) The geographical breakdown of the stock of portfo-
lio investment abroad saw no significant changes, with investments in the EU accounting
for a high share (see Table 3.10).
2009 2010 2009 2010
Total 7,009 16,813 6,576 15,921
Agriculture, hunting, forestry and shing 325 . 347 -89
Mining and quarrying 895 633 510 -290
Manufacturing -2,321 1,557 3,990 4,745
Electricity, gas and water supply -4,996 -3,200 1,991 3,997
Construction 1,361 -446 -274 -252
Wholesale and retail trade and repairs 2,489 1,068 -8,103 -4,745
Hotels and restaurants 245 141 330 .
Transport, storage and communication -753 10,916 1,066 2,120
Financial intermediation 6,854 1,368 -431 1,378
Real estate and business activities 1,472 2,883 967 4,689
Of which: ETVEs (b) -965 703 -782 2,294
Other services (c) 606 258 555 186
Unclassied 830 1,640 5,628 4,155
Real estate 956 738 3,651 3,757
Other -126 902 1,978 398
SPANISH DIRECT
INVESTMENT ABROAD
FOREIGN DIRECT
INVESTMENT IN SPAIN
FOREIGN DIRECT INVESTMENT TRANSACTIONS IN 2009 AND 2010 (a)
Breakdown by economic sector TABLE 3.7
€m
SOURCE: Banco de España.
a «.» Amount below €50 million in absolute terms.
b Estimate based on CNAE classication. Includes transactions of ETVEs and other holding companies that are not strictly ETVEs but which, like them, have been
established in Spain for the main purpose of channelling direct investment ows.
c "Other services" include "General government, defence and compulsory Social Security", "Education", "Health and veterinary activities and social services", "Other
community service and social activities and personal services", "Private households employing domestic staff" and "Extra-territorial organisations".
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BANCO DE ESPAÑA 54 THE SPANISH BALANCE OF PAYMENTS AND INTERNATIONAL INVESTMENT POSITION, 2010
Turning to foreign portfolio investment in Spain, non-residents also made divestments (al-beit smaller than those made abroad by residents), which amounted to €33,049 million,
equal to 3% of GDP. These divestments affected all portfolio instruments, particularly fixed
income holdings (€29,803 million) and, within these, particularly bonds (€18,321 million). The
outcome was that non-residents increased their holdings of long-term government debt
(€15,561 million) and reduced to a greater extent their holdings of this type of securities is-
sued by the private sector (by €33,882 million). Specifically, non-residents sold bonds issued
by IMFs for €14,677 million (€1,699 million of covered bonds), in contrast to the investments
made in the previous year. Also, they reduced their holdings of long-term fixed-income se-
curities issued by ORSs for the third year running, this time by €19,206 million. This decrease
occurred despite the higher purchases of bonds issued by large non-financial corporations
(which were up by €7,659 million), which did not offset the volume of divestments of asset-
backed bonds (€20,448 million) and of securities issued by subsidiaries of resident financial
TOTAL ETVEs (d) TOTAL ETVEs (d) TOTAL ETVEs (d) TOTAL ETVEs (d)
WORLD TOTAL 7,009 -965 16,813 703 6,576 -782 15,921 2,294
EUROPEAN UNION 27 (b) -1,322 139 8,896 214 3,462 1,207 10,300 1,733
Euro area -5,111 . 2,871 130 7,008 797 8,691 1,605
Germany 1,403 . 969 . -3,701 . 3,074 1,319
France -1,682 118 471 . -2,207 . -6,959 .
Netherlands -918 -488 -5,011 . 6,920 -53 5,916 .
Italy -5,515 . 436 . -2,527 . -7,722 .
Luxembourg -251 436 737 . 11,166 773 9,877 232
Portugal 911 . -58 . -508 . -416 .
United Kingdom 2,896 98 5,762 . -1,798 445 1,409 .
New EU members (c) 1,069 . 239 95 153 . 208 53
Switzerland 187 -487 424 . 627 -418 1,654 64
United States 1,013 -1,227 2,354 83 -2,481 -1,392 1,368 161
LATIN AMERICA 5,286 530 2,002 455 186 -63 1,711 293
Argentina 1,043 195 -166 . -395 . 54 .
Brazil 1,389 269 -775 227 . . 699 267
Chile -192 . -216 . . . . .
Mexico 4,484 -133 1,940 119 459 . 757 .
Morocco -104 . -644 . . . . .
Japan -156 . . . . . . .
Australia -243 . 106 . . - -50 -
MEMORANDUM ITEM: OECD 4,598 -1,695 14,380 409 2,566 -638 14,392 2,027
2009 2010 2009 2010
SPANISH DIRECT INVESTMENT ABROAD FOREIGN DIRECT INVESTMENT IN SPAIN
FOREIGN DIRECT INVESTMENT TRANSACTIONS IN 2009 AND 2010 (a)
Breakdown by geographical areaTABLE 3.8
€m
SOURCE: Banco de España.
a “.” Amount below €50 million in absolute terms.
b European Union: International Institutions of the European Union, ECB, France, Belgium, Netherlands, Germany, Italy, United Kingdom, Ireland, Denmark, Greece,
Portugal, Luxembourg, Austria, Finland, Sweden, Cyprus, Czech Republic, Estonia, Hungary, Lithuania, Latvia, Malta, Poland, Slovenia, Slovakia, Romania and
Bulgaria and their dependencies.
c New member countries: Czech Republic, Estonia, Hungary, Lithuania, Latvia, Poland, Bulgaria and Romania.
d Estimate based on CNAE classication. Includes transactions of ETVEs and other holding companies that are not strictly ETVEs but which, like them, have been
established in Spain for the main purpose of channelling direct investment ows.
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BANCO DE ESPAÑA 55 THE SPANISH BALANCE OF PAYMENTS AND INTERNATIONAL INVESTMENT POSITION, 2010
institutions (€7,670 million). Finally, non-residents made net sales of Spanish equities for
€1,467 million, a significantly lower amount that in the previous two years.
External portfolio investment liabilities fell more steeply than assets, by an amount equalto 9.9 pp of GDP. This decrease was also seen in equities, where, moreover, it was sharp-
er due to the aforementioned valuation effects, and in fixed income (the falls were by 6 pp
and 3.9 pp of GDP to 17.2% and 74.1% of GDP, respectively). The geographical break-
down of portfolio investment liabilities given in the IMF’s latest Coordinated Portfolio In-
vestment Survey (CPIS),14 with data relating to end-2009, reflects the predominance of
investment from the euro area, although the shares of the United Kingdom and the United
States are also significant (see Table 3.11).
€bn % OF TOTAL €bn % OF TOTAL €bn % OF TOTAL €bn % OF TOTAL
WORLD TOTAL 448 100.0 490 100.0 436 100.0 452 100.0
EUROPEAN UNION 27 (b) 259 57.8 274 55.9 351 80.6 362 80.1
Euro area 159 35.6 168 34.3 300 68.8 311 68.8
Germany 14 3.1 15 3.1 25 5.6 28 6.2
France 18 4.1 20 4.0 40 9.3 32 7.2
Netherlands 44 9.8 43 8.8 102 23.5 109 24.0
Luxembourg 30 6.6 31 6.3 59 13.5 71 15.7
Portugal 24 5.4 24 5.0 10 2.3 9 2.1
United Kingdom 66 14.7 73 14.8 45 10.2 44 9.8
New EU members (c) 30 6.7 30 6.0 1 0.2 1 0.2
Switzerland 12 2.7 14 2.8 13 2.9 14 3.1
United States 35 7.8 39 8.0 42 9.6 43 9.5
LATIN AMERICA 121 27.0 137 28.0 10 2.4 12 2.7
Argentina 26 5.9 31 6.3 . . . .
Brazil 41 9.1 44 8.9 3 0.8 4 0.9
Chile 12 2.7 13 2.7 0 0.1 0 0.1
Mexico 25 5.6 30 6.1 1 0.3 2 0.5
Morocco 2 0.4 1 0.2 . . . .
Japan 0 0.1 1 0.1 1 0.3 2 0.3
Australia 3 0.6 4 0.7 . . . .
MEMORANDUM ITEM: OECD 337 75.3 378 77.1 415 95.1 430 95.2
2009 2010 2009 2010
SPANISH FOREIGN DIRECT INVESTMENT FOREIGN DIRECT INVESTMENT IN SPAIN
FOREIGN DIRECT INVESTMENT IIP IN 2009 AND 2010 (a)
Breakdown by geographical area and selected economiesTABLE 3.9
SOURCE: Banco de España.
a “.” Amount below €0.3 billion.
b EU27: International Institutions of the European Union, ECB, France, Belgium, Netherlands, Germany, Italy, United Kingdom, Ireland, Denmark, Greece, Portugal,
Luxembourg, Austria, Finland, Sweden, Cyprus, Czech Republic, Estonia, Hungary, Lithuania, Latvia, Malta, Poland, Slovenia, Slovakia, Bulgaria and Romania and
their dependencies.
c New EU members: Bulgaria, Czech Republic, Estonia, Hungary, Lithuania, Latvia, Poland and Romania.
14 The IIP does not give an adequate geographical breakdown of portfolio liabilities, as it provides information only
on the first known non-resident counterparty, which in many cases is not the ultimate holder of the securities,
the latter being the relevant party for the purposes of economic analysis. The analysis under the end-investorcriterion is based on the geographical breakdown of the portfolio assets of other countries vis-à-vis Spain
contained in the CPIS. For the CPIS data, see the IMF website: http://www.imf.org/external/np/sta/pi/cpis.htm.
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BANCO DE ESPAÑA 56 THE SPANISH BALANCE OF PAYMENTS AND INTERNATIONAL INVESTMENT POSITION, 2010
Although the year as a whole saw net inflows in portfolio investment, the net debit position
in this component of the financial account of the balance of payments decreased by 4.1
pp of GDP to 61.2%, due to the impact of the valuation effect, related mainly to the fall in
stock market prices in Spain as opposed to the gains in other parts of the world. Thedebit balance on equities decreased by 5.3 pp of GDP to 8.1%, while the net debit position
in fixed income widened (by 1.2 pp to 53.1% of GDP).
Other investment transactions (basically loans, deposits and repos) resulted in net out-
flows of €9,117 million in 2010 (see Chart 3.9). By maturity, the net capital outflows related
to both short-term instruments (€6,170 million) and long-term instruments (€2,947 million).
As has become customary, the behaviour of this item is influenced by MFI transactions,
which generated net outflows of €14,720 million, offsetting the inflows of funds recorded
by ORSs and general government (€4,080 million and €1,523 million, respectively). Fund-
raising by Spanish credit institutions became considerably complicated at some points
during the year, notably between May and June, coinciding with the most critical stage of
the Greek debt crisis, when the recourse by MFIs to Eurosystem liquidity increased. Sub-
OTHER INVESTMENT (LOANS,
DEPOSITS AND REPOS)
SOURCE: Banco de España.
a Excluding Banco de España.
-50
0
50
100
150
200
250
00 01 02 03 04 05 06 07 08 09 10
MONEY MARKET INSTRUMENTS
SHARES AND MUTUAL FUNDS
TOTAL
NET
NCL-NCA €bn
-800
-600
-400
-200
0
200
400
600
800
1,000
1,200
00 01 02 03 04 05 06 07 08 09 10
ASSETS
LIABILITIES
NET
INTERNATIONAL INVESTMENT POSITION
€bn
-100
-50
0
50
100
150
200
250
00 01 02 03 04 05 06 07 08 09 10
MONEY MARKET INSTRUMENTS
BONDS AND NOTES
SHARES AND MUTUAL FUNDS
OUTFLOWS
Net change in assets
€bn
-100
-50
0
50
100
150
200
250
00 01 02 03 04 05 06 07 08 09 10
MONEY MARKET INSTRUMENTS
BONDS AND NOTES
SHARES AND MUTUAL FUNDS
€bn
INFLOWS
Net change in liabilities
PORTFOLIO INVESTMENT (a)
Financial transactions with the rest of the world and International Investment PositionCHART 3.8
BONDS AND NOTES
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BANCO DE ESPAÑA 57 THE SPANISH BALANCE OF PAYMENTS AND INTERNATIONAL INVESTMENT POSITION, 2010
EQUITY SECURITIES DEBT SECURITIES TOTAL SHARE OF TOTAL (%)
France 13.6 38.4 52.0 13.7
Germany 6.2 28.7 34.8 9.1
Italy 2.5 46.6 49.1 12.9
United Kingdom 3.6 31.6 35.3 9.3
Netherlands 2.4 38.0 40.4 10.6
Luxembourg 27.3 5.4 32.7 8.6
United States 7.1 28.1 35.2 9.2
Cayman Islands 0.7 11.5 12.2 3.2
Ireland 3.4 18.1 21.5 5.6
Belgium 0.4 5.9 6.3 1.6
Portugal 2.2 9.5 11.7 3.1
Other 8.6 26.0 34.6 9.1
TOTAL ASSETS 81.6 299.4 381.1 100.0
IIP: FOREIGN PORTFOLIO INVESTMENT BY SPAIN
Breakdown by geographical area and by instrument. 2009 (a) TABLE 3.10
€bn
SOURCE: Banco de España.
a Excluding Banco de España.
FKC EI FKC EI FKC EI FKC EI
France 24.9 22.8 79.0 174.9 103.9 197.7 9.7 23.4
Germany 6.9 12.8 60.7 147.1 67.6 159.9 6.3 18.9
Luxembourg 18.4 14.1 187.8 53.6 206.1 67.6 19.3 8.0
United Kingdom 70.3 15.6 19.7 47.1 90.0 62.7 8.4 7.4
United States 65.6 60.7 20.9 18.1 86.5 78.8 8.1 9.3
Netherlands 5.6 6.8 18.0 42.5 23.6 49.3 2.2 5.8
Ireland 1.4 7.6 6.9 43.4 8.3 51.0 0.8 6.0
Japan . 6.2 0.4 20.4 0.7 26.5 0.1 3.1
Belgium 13.5 3.1 260.3 33.2 273.9 36.3 25.6 4.3
Italy 2.2 4.4 6.3 24.2 8.5 28.7 0.8 3.4
Unassigned -0.9 . 173.4 . 172.5 . 16.2 0.0
Other 14.3 27.3 184.6 60.6 198.7 87.9 18.6 10.4
TOTAL LIABILITIES 223.2 181.4 844.6 665.0 1,067.8 846.4 100.0 100.0
EQUITY SECURITIES SHARE OF TOTAL (%)DEBT SECURITIES TOTAL
IIP: FOREIGN PORTFOLIO INVESTMENT IN SPAIN (a) Breakdown by geographical area and by instrument, and comparison with CPIS data (b). 2009
TABLE 3.11
€bn
SOURCE: Banco de España and IMF.
a “.” Amount below €0.3 billion.
b FKC: geographical assignment of liabilities under the rst-known counterparty principle. EI: geographical assignment by end-investor principle, based on the stock
of assets of the creditor countries.
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BANCO DE ESPAÑA 58 THE SPANISH BALANCE OF PAYMENTS AND INTERNATIONAL INVESTMENT POSITION, 2010
sequently, the improvement in the perception of sovereign risk and in the solvency of the
Spanish financial system (linked to the measures adopted by the Spanish authorities), to-
gether with the access of some Spanish institutions to international central counterparty
clearing houses, made it easier for resident institutions to obtain funding abroad.
Other Spanish investment abroad increased appreciably in 2010 to €14,484 million. Net
investment in long-term instruments (€16,800 million) exceeded divestments of short-termassets (amounting to €2,316 million). MFIs’ transactions accounted for the bulk of the net
transactions under this balance of payment heading.
Meanwhile, other foreign investment in Spain gave rise to inflows of €5,367 million in 2010.
As on the asset-side, the investments in the form of long-term instruments (€13,853 mil-
lion) offset the divestments of short-term instruments (€8,486 million). Funds were raised
through long-term instruments by all institutional sectors, mainly ORSs (€6,811 million),
followed by general government (€4,468 million). Short-term outflows resulted from the
cancellation of deposits and repos with resident MFIs (€10,809 million).
Although there were net outflows of this type of financial assets in the year as a whole, the
debit position in other investment continued to increase in 2010, albeit less sharply than in
SOURCE: Banco de España.
a Excluding Banco de España.
-60
-40
-20
0
20
40
60
80
100
00 01 02 03 04 05 06 07 08 09 10
SHORT-TERM NET, OTHER RESIDENT SECTORS
LONG-TERM NET, OTHER RESIDENT SECTORS
SHORT-TERM NET, MFIs
LONG-TERM NET, MFIs
NET
NCL-NCA
€bn
-600
-400
-200
0
200
400
600
800
00 01 02 03 04 05 06 07 08 09 10
NET ASSETS LIABILITIES
INTERNATIONAL INVESTMENT POSITION
€bn
-40
-20
0
20
40
60
80
100
00 01 02 03 04 05 06 07 08 09 10
SHORT-TERM ASSETS OF MFIsLONG-TERM ASSETS OF MFIs
ASSETS OF OTHER RESIDENT SECTORS
OUTFLOWS
Net change in assets
€bn
-40
-20
0
20
40
60
80
100
00 01 02 03 04 05 06 07 08 09 10
SHORT-TERM LIABILITIES OF MFIs
LONG-TERM LIABILITIES OF MFIs
SHORT-TERM LOANS TO OTHER RESIDENT SECTORS
LONG-TERM LOANS TO OTHER RESIDENT SECTORS
€bn
INFLOWS
Net change in liabilities
OTHER INVESTMENT (a)
Financial transactions with the rest of the world and International Investment PositionCHART 3.9
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BANCO DE ESPAÑA 59 THE SPANISH BALANCE OF PAYMENTS AND INTERNATIONAL INVESTMENT POSITION, 2010
the previous year, to stand at 32.7% of GDP, due to the increase in the value of liabilities
(which amounted to 67.8% of GDP), since external assets decreased slightly as a percent-
age of GDP (to 35.1%, despite having increased in level). In 2010 there were no particu-
larly significant changes in the breakdown by geographical area of other Spanish invest-
ment, which is highly concentrated in the EU, particularly in the euro area and in the UK,
reflecting the latter’s role as an international financial centre.
Transactions in derivative financial instruments gave rise to a net inflow, the first since
2006, amounting to €7,317 million. Despite this, the position of the Spanish economy in
instruments of this type swung to a credit balance of 0.3% of GDP from a debit position of
0.1% of GDP at end-2009. As usual, the transactions in derivative financial instruments
were basically carried out by MFIs in over-the-counter markets. It is important to keep in
mind that these transactions are not due to the need to cover a financing gap in the
economy, but rather to agents’ strategic and hedging decisions, which explains why these
transactions are generally highly volatile and why they grow in times of uncertainty.
As in 2009, all institutional sectors raised funds abroad, except for ORSs15 (see Chart
3.10). The volume of funds raised by general government (€22,214 million, 2.1% of GDP)
was larger than by MFIs (€15,650 million, 1.5% of GDP). Conversely, ORSs’ financial trans-
actions generated net capital outflows of €10,145 million (1% of GDP).
As regards the general government sector, non-residents continued to increase their holdings
of government debt, specifically in long-term bonds, although these inflows were much
smaller than in 2009. The external financing received by general government through other
investment was lesser in amount, although it was also concentrated in long-term instruments.
Net funds raised abroad by MFIs were mainly in the form of direct investment and medi-
um- and long-term bonds. In the latter, the sales by Spanish institutions of these securities
DERIVATIVE FINANCIAL
INSTRUMENTS
3.3 Breakdown by
institutional sector
-15
-10
-5
0
5
10
15
00 01 02 03 04 05 06 07 08 09 10
MONETARY FINANCIAL INSTITUTIONS MONETARY AUTHORITY
GENERAL GOVERNMENT OTHER RESIDENT SECTORS
TOTAL
FINANCIAL TRANSACTIONS BY SECTOR (NCL-NCA)
% of GDP
-100
-80
-60
-40
-20
0
20
00 01 02 03 04 05 06 07 08 09 10
TOTAL MONETARY FINANCIAL INSTITUTIONS
MONETARY AUTHORITY GENERAL GOVERNMENT
OTHER RESIDENT SECTORS
% of GDP
NET IIP BY SECTOR
2000-2010
FINANCIAL TRANSACTIONS WITH THE REST OF THE WORLD AND
INTERNATIONAL INVESTMENT POSITION, BY SECTORCHART 3.10
SOURCE: Banco de España.
15 It should be noted here that ORSs include not only households and non-financial corporations, but also non-monetary financial institutions (e.g. securitisation SPEs and the subsidiaries of MFIs specialising in the issu-
ance of securities).
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BANCO DE ESPAÑA 60 THE SPANISH BALANCE OF PAYMENTS AND INTERNATIONAL INVESTMENT POSITION, 2010
TOTAL ORS
NON-
MONETARY
FINANCIAL
INSTITUTIONS
NON-
FINANCIAL
CORPORATIONS
AND
HOUSEHOLDS
AND NPISHs
TOTAL ORS
NON-
MONETARY
FINANCIAL
INSTITUTIONS
NON-FINANCIAL
CORPORATIONS
AND
HOUSEHOLDS AND NPISHs
NCA TOTAL 8,145 -2,170 10,315 4,670 -28,874 33,544
FOREIGN DIRECT
INVESTMENT 1,453 44 1,410 24,085 1,448 22,637
SHARES AND MUTUAL
FUNDS9,548 3,553 5,995 10,695 5,247 5,448
BONDS AND NOTES 3,079 1,109 1,970 -31,767 -32,070 303
MONEY MARKET
INSTRUMENTS-5,119 -4,829 -290 -2,948 -3,110 162
OTHER INVESTMENT -816 -2,047 1,230 4,605 -389 4,994
NCL TOTAL -18,237 -35,046 16,810 -4,052 -36,391 32,339
FOREIGN DIRECT
INVESTMENT 5,364 215 5,149 13,888 -1,496 15,383
SHARES AND MUTUAL
FUNDS-2,687 20 -2,708 -1,467 -1,056 -411
BONDS AND NOTES -25,790 -39,421 13,632 -19,206 -28,124 8,918
MONEY MARKET
INSTRUMENTS4,942 4,907 35 -5,952 -6,288 336
OTHER INVESTMENT -65 -767 702 8,685 573 8,113
2009 2010
PORTFOLIO
INVESTMENT
PORTFOLIO
INVESTMENT
BREAKDOWN BY INSTRUMENT OF THE "OTHER RESIDENT SECTORS" (ORSs) SECTOR TABLE 3.12
€bn
SOURCE: Banco de España.
NET ASSETS LIABILITIES NET ASSETS LIABILITIES NET ASSETS LIABILITIES NET ASSETS LIABILITIES
VALUE OF STOCK (€bn)
Average
2005-200782.1 83.4 1.3 -367.6 397.2 764.8 -182.4 26.9 209.3 -191.0 704.0 894.9
2008 50.9 86.1 35.2 -412.6 532.9 945.5 -193.4 40.6 234.0 -308.0 699.4 1,007.4
2009 44.1 85.6 41.5 -468.6 501.4 970.0 -268.8 29.7 298.5 -266.9 744.3 1,011.2
2010 30.3 81.7 51.4 -462.1 470.3 932.4 -272.5 28.2 300.7 -221.4 781.0 1,002.4
PERCENTAGE OF GDP (%)
Average
2005-20079.0 9.2 0.1 -40.4 43.7 84.2 -20.1 3.0 23.0 -21.0 77.5 98.5
2008 4.7 7.9 3.2 -37.9 49.0 86.9 -17.8 3.7 21.5 -28.3 64.3 92.6
2009 4.2 8.1 3.9 -44.5 47.6 92.0 -25.5 2.8 28.3 -25.3 70.6 95.9
2010 2.9 7.7 4.8 -43.5 44.3 87.7 -25.6 2.7 28.3 -20.8 73.5 94.3
MONETARY AUTHORITY MFIs GENERAL GOVERNMENT ORS
INTERNATIONAL INVESTMENT POSITION
Breakdown by sector TABLE 3.13
SOURCE: Banco de España.
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BANCO DE ESPAÑA 61 THE SPANISH BALANCE OF PAYMENTS AND INTERNATIONAL INVESTMENT POSITION 20 0
issued by non-residents amply exceeded the divestments by non-residents of securities
issued by Spanish MFIs, including covered bonds. By contrast, other investment gave rise
to net outflows, since to MFIs’ investments abroad in long-term instruments was added
the cancellation of deposits and repos with resident MFIs.
ORSs’ financial transactions with the rest of the world generated net outflows, mainly in
the form of direct investment and equities, as a result of investments abroad in instrumentsof this type. These outflows offset the net inflows in the form of long-term loans and of
bonds, because here, as in the case of MFIs, the net sales by ORSs of long-term debt is-
sued by non-residents exceeded the divestments by ORSs of medium and long-term
bonds issued by residents (see Table 3.12).
As regards the contribution of the institutional sectors to the change in the net debit IIP, the
decrease in 2010 resulted from the decline in the debit balance of ORSs (by 4.5 pp of GDP
to 20.8%), as a reflection of the improvement in the balances on portfolio investment in
equity and on direct investment (2.4 pp and 3.3 pp of GDP, respectively), which offset the
worsening of the positions in other instruments. The debit balance of MFIs with the rest of
the world also decreased (by 1 pp of GDP to 43.5%). The net debit IIP of general govern-
ment widened slightly by 0.1 pp of GDP to 25.6%, due to the larger debit balances on
other investment and on portfolio investment (see Table 3.13).
Lastly, in 2010 the net assets of the Banco de España fell for the fourth year running, this
time by €15,696 million, due to the financial transactions in the period made under the
influence of the aforementioned financial turmoil. The net assets vis-à-vis the Eurosystem
fell by €9,788 million while the Banco de España’s other net assets dropped by €6,722
million.16 By contrast, reserves increased by €814 million. Consequently, the Banco de
España’s net credit position stood at 2.9% of GDP, down 1.3 pp from 2009.
16 Investments in securities not forming part of reserves. For a description of these assets, see Chapter 4 of this
report.