estimated environment risks? – check the validity of the ... · estimated environment risks? –...
TRANSCRIPT
ERMS Activity 5.8 Validation(input from PROOF)
• Two main issues:
– How can we control monitor estimated environment risks?
– Check the validityof the currently applied risk values
• The work…
• Next steps…
The work…• Theoretical work
– to establish the conceptual basis for integration of risk assessment and biomarker based monitoring
• Laboratory studies – conducted field relevant exposures to examine relationships between
biomarkers, fitness effects, and predicted ecological risks
• Field studies – Participated in field relevant exposures to validate biomarkers to oil
industry discharges in relation laboratory exposures
• Applied Statistical extrapolation methods (SSDs) – to link biomarker response levels to ecological risk levels– to validate fitness response levels to existing risk curves
• Integrate biomarker distributions in ERMS models – application of the findings to extend the risk models
Key terms•• Fitness Fitness
–– Refers to the ability of the organism to successfully grow Refers to the ability of the organism to successfully grow and reproduce and maintain the population of which it and reproduce and maintain the population of which it forms partforms part
•• BiomarkersBiomarkers–– Refers to any biological response in a living organisms that Refers to any biological response in a living organisms that
results from the exposure to a pollutant chemicalsresults from the exposure to a pollutant chemicals PopulationPopulation
PopulationPopulation
PopulationPopulation
PopulationPopulation
IndividualsIndividuals
CellsCellsMoleculesMolecules
LateLateeffectseffects
EarlyEarlyeffectseffects
Uptake ofUptake ofchemicalschemicals
Biochemical Biochemical responsesresponses
BiomarkersBiomarkers
FitnessFitness
time
Level ofBiologicalorganization
EcosystemEcosystem
NB !
– Fitness data are currently used for Environmental Risk Assessment
– Fitness is difficult to measure in the field
– Fitness and Biomarkers often differ in time and level of biological organization
– Biomarkers can be Early warning of Ecosystem health
A key conceptual element: How is Biomarkers linked with Ecosystem health
• What characterizes a healthy ecosystem?
– The constituent animals, plants and microbes must, on the whole, be healthy
• How do we characterize ecosystem health?
– Biomarkers measure exposure to pollutants and give an assessment ofthe health status of individual animals
– By measuring the health status of a range of species representingdifferent phylogenies and feeding types, we can use a weight ofevidence approach to envisage the ecological concequences ofpollutant exposures
» Depledge & Galloway, Front Ecol Environ 2005; 3(5): 251-258.
Fieldmeasurement(diagnosis)
Link between environmental risk and monitoring
…enables predictions of ecosystem healthwhich can be control monitored
Environmental Risk
Risk probability or Environmentalimpact factors
Prediction(prognosis)
Biomarkersignals
Laboratorytesting
Animal Fitness
Survival and reproductivecapacity
Under Construction
Approach: Compare (statistically)biomarker-response-distributions and fitness-SSDs
Species Sensitivity Distributions for fitnessand biomarker responses
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Concentration THC
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Combined risk curve
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Concentration THC
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Alkaline unwinding reponseCombined risk curve
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Lysosomal stability responseCombined risk curve
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Alkaline unwinding reponseLysosomal stability responseCombined risk curve
And
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Oil concentration (mg total hydrokarbons pr. liter)
DNA strand breakLysosomal stability
Fitness
(=risk curve)
5%
Above threshold level
Under threshold level
Limit line
Thresholdlevel
Construct Biomarker Sensitivity Distributions (BSDs) !
• Statistical evaluation of biomarker response levels versus risk levels
• Comparison of • Species Sensitivity Distributions applied in risk assessment
(based on literature data) • and Biomarker response distributions
(based on our experimental data)
1. Development of SSDs for different oil component groups2. Construction of risk curve for the different exposures3. Construction of one average risk curve for all exposures4. Construction of BSDs for different types of biomarkers:
DNA damage, oxidative stress, lysosomal stability and PAH metabolites
5. Comparison of biomarker response levels and risk levels
From SSD based on EC50 to risk curve
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Concentration
PAF
SSD based on EC50 valuesChronic SSD
Devide by 100
exposure concentration
corresponding PAF
3. Construction of one average risk curve for all exposures
Risk curve for Goliath and Statfjord exposures
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Concentration THC
4. Construction of BSDs
• Results from different experiments are combined in BSDs
• The sensitivity of the species tested (Cod, Shrimp, Sheepshead minnow, Sea urchin, Mussel & Scallop) represents the sensitivity of all species
• Four oil types and one produced water exposure
• Lowest Observable Effect Concentrations (LOECs) in biomarkers are applied
• BSDs indicates the variation in lowest exposure levels where the specific biomarkers come to expression for different species
• Biomarkers which respond at low levels but do not respond at higher concentrations are not suited for this. At levels higher than the LOEC the biomarkers must still respond.
Concentration THC
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Concentration THC
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DNA damage
Shrimp - Goliat
Sheepshead - North Sea oil
Cod - Goliat
Cod - North Sea oil
Cod - Statfjord B
Scallop - Goliat
Shrimp - Statfjord
Sea urchin - Statfjord
Mussel - Statfjord
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Concentration THC
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DNA damageCombined risk curve
Shrimp - Goliat
Sheepshead - North Sea oil
Cod - Goliat
Cod - North Sea oil
Cod - Statfjord B
Scallop - Goliat
Shrimp - Statfjord
Sea urchin - Statfjord
Mussel - Statfjord 5% level
BSD: DNA damage related biomarkers
BSD: Oxidative stress related biomarkers
Concentration THC
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Concentration THC
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Oxidative stress
Cod - Statfjord
Shrimp - Goliat
Mussel Statfjord
Cod - Goliat
Sea urchin - Statfjord
Shrimp - Statfjord
Scallop - Goliat
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Concentration THC
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Oxidative stressCombined risk curve
Cod - Statfjord
Shrimp - Goliat
Mussel Statfjord
Cod - Goliat
Sea urchin - Statfjord
Shrimp - Statfjord
Scallop - Goliat 5% level
BSD: General toxicity related biomarkers (Lysosomal stability)
Concentration THC
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Lysosomal stability response
Sea urchin - Statfjord B
Shrimp - Statfjord B
Scallop - Goliat
Shrimp - Goliat
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Lysosomal stability responseCombined risk curve
Sea urchin - Statfjord B
Shrimp - Statfjord B
Scallop - Goliat
Shrimp - Goliat
5% level
BSD: Exposure related biomarkers (PAH metabolites)
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Sum PAH concentration (water)
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PAH metabolites
Cod - Goliat
Sheepshead - North Sea A
Cod - Statfjord B
Cod - North Sea A
Sheepshead - North Sea B
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Sum PAH concentration (water)
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PAH metabolitesCombined risk curve
Cod - Goliat
Sheepshead - North Sea A
Cod - Statfjord B
Cod - North Sea A
5% level
Sheepshead - North Sea B
5. “A Biomarker Bridge”:Comparison of biomarker response levels and risk levels
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Fraction of biota with observed DNA damage (shrimp/mussel/sea urchin/cod/carp)
Ecol
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AF)
Conclusions – part 1
• How can we control monitor estimated environment risks?– A bridge that links environmental risk and biomarkers has been
constructed
– It allows to express environmental risk with biomarker values
– It makes it possible to control measure accepted risik withbiomarker measurements in the field
– There is a need for biomarker- and fitness- measurements for produced water for more animal species to build a sufficientlyrobust BSD (approx. 15 species) which can be used to characterize ecosystem health
– Biomarker data from Svan field study and preliminary resultsfrom PROOF Drilling Discharges project indicate that theapproach will be applicable also for drilling discharges(effects in the water column)
Validation by comparing to laboratory experiments
• Produced water – low dose• Log term (chronic) exposures• Vulnerable life stages• Fitness LOECs
From SSD based on EC50 to risk curve
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Concentration
PAF
SSD based on EC50 valuesChronic SSD
Devide by 100
exposure concentration
corresponding PAF
Risk curve, BSDs and LOEC curve for Goliath and Statfjord exposures
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Concentration THC
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Oxidative stressDNA damageLysosomal stability responseLOECs
Sheepshead - North sea A (6 wks)
Sheepshead - North sea B (5 wks)
Shrimp - Statfjord B (3 months)
Shrimp - Goliat (3 months)
Mussel - Statfjord B (3 months)
Fitness LOECs plotted in the normal distribution of the SSD
• Normal distributionNormal distribustion of species sensitivity
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species sensitivityExperimental LOECs
Conclusions - part 2
•• Checking the validity of existing ERA valuesChecking the validity of existing ERA values
– A validation of the presently used SSD for Risk assessment has been done based on relevant laboratoryexperiments
– The LOEC values obtained from these fitness studies were lower than the present SSD
Next steps
• Biomarkers integrated in ERA– BSDs should be fully developed for PW discharges– BSDs should be considered developed for drilling discharges– The concept should be taken into account in next revision of
monitoring programmes related to oil and gas discharges
• The Validation results with chronic exposuresand vulnerable life stags should be– taken into account in the evaluation of application factors for
ERA related to oil and gas discharges
• Thank you!