etla/piekkola&harmoinen 1 agir -project workshop 14-15 february 2003 cpb, hague option value for...

AGIR -project workshop 14-15 February 2003 CPB, Hague

Option Value for Retirement under Changing Health and Active Leisure:Multinational Retirement and Time Use Study

Hannu Piekkola Liisa Harmoinen

The Research Institute of the Finnish Economy (ETLA)

Lnnrotinkatu 4B, FIN-00120 Helsinki.

Fax: 358-9-601 753 E-mail: [email protected], [email protected]

OUTLINE OF PRESENTATION IntroductionTime use and labour market research Welfare regimes Data MethodsHealth statusNet replacement rateOption valueResultsTime useOption valuesConclusion

TIME USE DATA, AGEING POPULATION, AND LABOR MARKET RESEARCHPrevious work at ETLA:Ruuskanen, Olli-Pekka: Replacement Rates and Reservation Wages Considering the Value of Household Work and Lost Leisure (Etla Discussion Paper 588, 1997)Huovinen, Pasi and Hannu Piekkola: The Time is Right? Early Retirements and Use of Time by Older Finns (ETLA B 189 2002) Applications of time-use data:Economic and social accounting (macro-level)Descriptive analyses, household production, labour market behaviour (micro-level)

ALLOCATION OF TIME: total workAssume people consider total work time (paid work+domestic work) when allocating time between work and leisure to maximize utilityValue domestic work with net wage for this kind of workAccount for increase in domestic work in non-employmentGoods constraintTime constraintProduction functionsProduction function for household goods

RETIREMENT AGEMenWomenAustriaBelgium*59.058.9Denmark62.461.5Finland59.860.0France59.358.4Germany **60.559.8Italy59.358.4Netherlands **61.660.1Norway64.264.7Portugal65.366.5Spain61.161.1Sweden63.361.8United Kingdom62.061.2United States65.164.2* 1971-1976** 1993-1998Table 1. Average ages of withdrawal from labour force 1994-99Scherer, P. (2002) Age of Withdrawal from the Labour Force in OECD Countries. Labour Market nad Social Policy Occasional Papers. No. 49. OECD

DATAMTUS data24 countries, 50 time-use surveysHarmonized dataOriginal DataAustria, (Belgium), Denmark, Finland, Germany, The Netherlands, UK, (Portugal)Finland 1999/2000 follows new Eurostat standardsone weekend & one weekdaydemographic and income variables linked

METHODSDocument time use in household workWage rates, social security payments, tax treatmentEstimating health statusReplacement ratesOption values

HEALTH STATUSDomestic work increases in non-employment (men 10 hours, women 12.9 hours for healthy) The unhealthy work less, the relative increase in domestic work after withdrawal from work smallerPrediction more accurate for menTable 5. Paid work and domestic work, 45-64 year olds (hours per week)

TOTAL WORK = work + domestic workTable 6. Total work by gender, employment status, and health (hours per week)Low burden: Denmark, High burden: Portugal, UKWomen adjust total work 10 hours less than men after withdrawal from work The unhealthy: Unhealthy men work less, health has no effect among the non-employed Unhealthy women work less, employed and non-employed

FEMALE SHARE OF TOTAL WORKTable 7. Female share of paid and total work by employment status and health among the employedWomen do half of total work in all countries Women do less paid work, especially in Germany, Netherlands, Austria

DOMESTIC WORKTable 8. Domestic work by gender, employment status and health (hours per week)Women supply 11 hours more domestic work than men! Domestic work increases in non-employment Healthy: 10.1 hours for men and 10.3 for women Unhealthy: 8.1 hours for men and 2.4 hours for women

DOMESTIC WORK & WELFARE REGIMESTable 14 Domestic work by welfare regime, gender, and employment status, original data 45-64 year-olds (hours per week)Domestic work increases in non-employmentNordic regime: smallest increase, Southern Continental/Liberal: biggest increaseNordic: share most equally, Southern Continental: share most unequally

FEMALE SHARE OF DOMESTIC WORKTable 9. Female share of unpaid work time by employment status and health Women do 2/3 of domestic work Unhealthy and the non-employed share domestic work more equally

FEMALE SHARE OF DOMESTIC WORK & WELFARE REGIMESTable 15. Female share of domestic work by welfare regime, original data 45-64 year-olds.Women do 2/3 of domestic workSouthern Continental: higher female shareThe Non-employed share domestic work more equally

ESTIMATING HEALTH STATUSFinnish data: self-assessment of healthunhealth=notable health problems, 5%-15% of 45-59-years old.ECHP uses very poor -very good five categories

Other countries: Demographic factors and time use used to predict health status

Chart4

0.0125944584

0.011627907

0.0199004975

0.0028985507

0.0261096606

0.0289156627

0.0277136259

0.0532319392

0.0790513834

0.130952381

0.1587301587

0.1517857143

0.2608695652

0.2661870504

Notable health problems

tablePalkka

Hdckman sdldction mobdlNumbdr of obs =1302

(rdgrdssion mobdl with sampld sdldction)Cdnsordb obs =138

Taulukko 10. Ennustettu palkkaUncdnsordb obs =1164

MiehetNaisetFixdb dffdct Whitd-CollarFixdb dffdcts MdnFixdb dffdcts Womdn

MuuttujakerroinkeskivirhekerroinkeskivirhekdrroinkdskivirhdkdrroinkdskivirhdkdrroinkdskivirhdWalb chi2(19) =236.82

ika1834 |Ikryhm 18-34-0.155(0.157)0.124(0.124)0.0000.0000.0000.0000.0000.000okika1834 |-0.1545326Prob > chi2 =0

ika3544 |Ikryhm 35-44-0.139(0.126)0.096(0.096)**0.0000.0000.0000.0000.0000.000okika3544 |-0.139068

ika4554 |Ikryhm 45-54-0.140(0.094)0.065(0.065)**0.0000.0000.0000.0000.0000.000okika4554 |-0.1395103(stanbarbdrrors abjustdb for clustdringon konu)

tyokoke |Tyokokemus0.040(0.009)**0.008(0.008)**tyokoke |0.0399851

tyokoke2 |Tyokokemus 2-0.001(0)**0.000(0)**tyokoke2 |-0.0007544

osa_aik |Osa-aikainen-0.492(0.136)**0.044(0.044)**0.0000.0000.0000.0000.0000.000okosa_aik |-0.4918295----------------------------------------------------

_Ityoai_2 |Ilta- tai yty0.118(0.039)**0.023(0.023)**0.0000.0000.0000.0000.0000.000ok_Ityoai_2 |0.1176281Robust

_Ityoai_3 |Muu tyaika, ei tyllinen-0.229(0.045)**0.042(0.042)**0.0000.0000.0000.000ok_Ityoai_3 |-0.2286063Stb. drr.zP>|z| [95% Conf.Intdrval]

edu35 |Ammattikoulutus0.130(0.04)**0.035(0.035)*0.0000.0000.0000.0000.0000.000okedu35 |0.13009----------------------------------------------------

edu68 |Korkeakoulutus0.400(0.071)**0.055(0.055)0.0000.0000.0000.0000.0000.000edu68 |0.3995715

sivsa |Naimisissa tai avoliitossa0.156(0.051)**0.039(0.039)0.0000.0000.0000.0000.0000.000oksivsa |0.15619550.0613823-4.10.000 -.3717959-0.1311816

psupply |Puolison tyaika-0.000(0)0.000(0)*0.0000.0000.0000.0000.0000.000okpsupply |-0.00007180.0611433-0.940.356 -.17786510.0629477

_Ikunry_1 |Taajama0.076(0.032)*0.030(0.03)0.0000.0000.0000.0000.0000.000_Ikunry_1 |0.07627480.0662097-0.730.464 -.17826820.081269

_Ikunry_2 |Maaseutu-0.030(0.044)0.034(0.034)0.0000.0000.0000.0000.0000.000_Ikunry_2 |-0.03011170.1303518-3.850.000 -.7577413-0.2467715

_Iisco_2 |Asiantuntija-0.002(0.049)0.038(0.038)**0.0000.0000.0000.0000.0000.000ok_Iisco_2 |-0.00225070.03974493.160.002 .04753430.20333114

_Iisco_3 |Toimisto- tai asiakaspalvelu-0.220(0.082)**0.035(0.035)**0.0000.0000.0000.0000.0000.000ok_Iisco_3 |-0.22029310.0447918-4.780.000 -.3017821-0.1262016

_Iisco_4 |Palvelu-, myynti-, hoitoty-0.118(0.062)0.039(0.039)**0.0000.0000.0000.0000.0000.000ok_Iisco_4 |-0.11758450.03833283.460.001 .05731010.207572

_Iisco_5 |Maanviljely, metsty-0.278(0.095)**0.081(0.081)**0.0000.0000.0000.0000.0000.000ok_Iisco_5 |-0.27805370.06527265.780.000 .24944180.5653056

_Iisco_6 |Rakennus- korjaus- ja valmistus-0.137(0.048)**0.078(0.078)*0.0000.0000.0000.0000.0000.000ok_Iisco_6 |-0.13732770.05638723.020.003 .05353050.2510445

_Iisco_7 |Prosessi- ja kuljetus-0.032(0.057)0.053(0.053)**0.0000.0000.0000.0000.0000.000ok_Iisco_7 |-0.03187450.0000647-1.090.278 -.0001970.0000565

_Iisco_8 |Muu-0.165(0.074)*0.052(0.052)**0.0000.0000.0000.0000.0000.000ok_Iisco_8 |-0.16489270.03276392.240.025 .00928810.1377203

_cons |Vakio9.273(0.254)**0.176(0.176)**0.0000.0000.0000.0000.0000.000ok_cons |9.2727370.0440243-0.550.564 -.11041740.0621546

-------------+-_Iisco_2 |-0.01244160.0488782-0.250.799 -.1082410.0833579

partic1 |_Iisco_3 |-0.19861830.0801285-2.480.013 -.3556672-0.0415694

Osallistumisyhtl_Iisco_4 |-0.11080260.0635678-1.740.081 -.23539320.013788

ika1834 |Ikryhm 18-340.983(0.2)**0.152(0.152)**ika1834 |0.983120.20000174.920.000 .5911241.375116

ika3544 |Ikryhm 35-440.699(0.189)**0.158(0.158)**ika3544 |0.69914730.18857333.710.000 .32955041.068744

ika4554 |Ikryhm 45-540.795(0.177)**0.144(0.144)**ika4554 |0.79527630.17684034.50.000 .44867571.141877

edu35 |Ammattikoulutus0.182(0.127)0.113(0.113)edu35 |0.18238990.12725631.430.152 -.06702780.4318075

edu68 |Korkeakoulutus0.799(0.249)**0.162(0.162)**edu68 |0.79864210.24937633.20.001 .30987351.287411

laps06 |Alle 7 vuotiaita lapsia0.071(0.16)0.103(0.103)**laps06 |0.07053790.15963440.440.659 -.24233970.3834156

sivsa |Naimisissa tai avoliitossa0.162(0.164)0.133(0.133)sivsa |0.16236170.16438260.990.323 -.15982240.4845457

_Ipptyoai_2 |Puoliso ilta- tai yty0.326(0.259)0.178(0.178)_Ipptyoai_2 |0.32610640.25880931.260.208 -.18115050.8333634

_Ipptyoai_3 |Puoliso muu tyaika, ei tyllinen-0.281(0.143)*0.097(0.097)_Ipptyoai_3 |-0.28103250.142929-1.970.049 -.5611682-0.0008967

psupply |Puolison tyaika-0.000(0)0.000(0)psupply |-0.00012090.0003055-0.40.692 -.00071970.0004779

owner |Omistusasunto0.592(0.138)**0.094(0.094)**owner |0.59214540.13757834.30.000 .32249680.8617939

_Ikunry_1 |Taajama-0.108(0.138)0.105(0.105)*_Ikunry_1 |-0.10781380.1375925-0.780.433 -.377490.1618625

_Ikunry_2 |Maaseutu-0.558(0.143)**0.111(0.111)_Ikunry_2 |-0.55783450.1432458-3.890.000 -.8385911-0.277078

_cons |Vakio-0.016(0.383)0.314(0.314)_cons |-0.01643630.3833831-0.040.966 -.76785330.7349807

l-0.253(0.101)*0.021(0.021)**000000sivsa |0.114220720.16308450.870.383 -.17743250.4618469

Havaintojen lukumr/rajoitetut1302 / 1381428 / 2240.000.000.00_Ipptyoai_2 |0.34273660.26428921.30.195 -.17526070.8607339

_Itol_3 |* tilastollisesti merkitsev 95% luottamustasolla, ** merkitsev 99% luottamustasolla. Selitettv muuttuja tuntipalkka. Viiteryhmt ovat: ammattiryhmiss ylemmt toimihenkilt, eritysasiantuntijat, koulututuksessa vhemmn kuin 3 vuoden ammattillinen k_Ipptyoai_3 |-0.28916490.1398935-2.070.039 -.5633512-0.01149786

_Itol_5 |psupply |-0.000114680.0002994-0.490.624 -.00073350.00044

. /*talldtdtaandnnustd*/

> prdbict hdckw;

(option xb assumdb; fittdbvaluds)

. #bdlimit;

bdlimitdr now ;

. *rdplacd hdckw=lraha_d if partic==0 &suk==0;

. #bdlimit;

bdlimitdr now ;

. xi: hdckman lraha_d ika1834 ika3544 ika4554

> osa_aik i.tyoai

> dbu35 dbu68

> sivsa /*i.pptyoai*/ psupply /*pdbu35pdbu68*/

> /*owndr*/ i.kunry i.isco[pwdight=wpkvak] , /*hannu: tllaindn malli nytti

> i futaavan vhn pardmmin*/

> sdldct(partic1=

> ika1834 ika3544 ika4554/*osa_aik i.tyoai*/

> dbu35 dbu68 laps06

> sivsa i.pptyoai psupply/*pdbu35 pdbu68*/

> owndr i.kunry/*i.isco*/

> ) robust clustdr(konu),

> if suk==1;

i.tyoai_Ityoai_1-3 (naturallycobdb; _Ityoai_1 omittdb)

i.kunry_Ikunry_0-2 (naturallycobdb; _Ikunry_0 omittdb)

i.isco_Iisco_1-8 (naturallycobdb; _Iisco_1 omittdb)

i.pptyoai_Ipptyoai_1-3 (naturallycobdb; _Ipptyoai_1 omittdb)

Itdration 0:log likdlihoob = -6565630.91


Itdration 2:log likdlihoob = -564323.54 (notconcavd)







Hdckman sdldction mobdlNumbdr of obs =11428

(rdgrdssion mobdl with sampld sdldction)Cdnsordb obs =224

Uncdnsordb obs =1144

Walb chi2(19) =337.69

Log likdlihoob-564970.1Prob > chi2 =0

(stanbarbdrrors abjustdb for clustdringon konu)

------------------------------------------------------------------------------

|Robust

|Codf.Stb. drr.zP>|z| [95% Conf.Intdrval]

-------------+----------------------------------------------------------------

lraha_d |

ika1834 |-0.32833360.0482243-6.810.000 -.4228515-0.2338157

ika3544 |-0.18229380.0466369-3.910.000 -.2737004-0.0908872

ika4554 |-0.09808260.0446271-2.20.028 -.1855562-0.010615

osa_aik |-0.33567930.0434304-7.720.000 -.42020114-0.2499573

_Ityoai_2 |0.08104620.02384893.40.001 .03430320.1277893

_Ityoai_3 |-0.26101850.0423185-6.170.000 -.3439612-0.1780756

dbu35 |-0.06168250.0349025-1.770.077 -.13009010.0067251

dbu68 |0.06747030.05451651.240.216 -.039380.1743205

sivsa |-0.05986120.0394564-1.520.129 -.13719830.0174759

psupply |0.00013080.00005222.510.012 .00002850.0002332

_Ikunry_1 |0.03481970.03004771.160.247 -.02407270.0937121

_Ikunry_2 |-0.02074730.0339337-0.610.541 -.08725610.0457616

_Iisco_2 |-0.13317670.0385542-3.450.001 -.2087415-0.0576119

_Iisco_3 |-0.15344430.0352993-4.350.000 -.2226296-0.0842569

_Iisco_4 |-0.22072550.0386312-5.710.000 -.29644114-0.11456097

_Iisco_5 |-0.3287510.0797637-4.120.000 -.485685-0.1724169

_Iisco_6 |-0.19722810.0773006-2.550.011 -.3487344-0.0457217

_Iisco_7 |-0.2698320.0531143-5.080.000 -.3739903-0.1656737

_Iisco_8 |-0.36820540.0566416-7.270.000 -.467461-0.2689498

_cons |10.178660.084536114.410.000 10.0129710.34435

-------------+----------------------------------------------------------------

partic1 |

ika1834 |0.7411411450.114966244.950.000 .44808151.034747

ika3544 |0.85222020.15370045.540.000 .55697291.153468

ika4554 |0.661146710.114248044.640.000 .38221070.9407235

dbu35 |0.21920250.11428231.970.049 .00109310.4373119

dbu68 |0.56271890.15630523.180.001 .19244640.8129913

laps06 |-0.5675980.1021602-5.750.000 -.7878283-0.3873676

sivsa |0.05578570.13160790.420.672 -.20216110.3137325

_Ipptyoai_2 |0.19698920.1729791.1140.255 -.114204350.5360219

_Ipptyoai_3 |-0.05360590.095649-0.560.576 -.241146650.1342547

psupply |-0.00019840.0001839-1.080.281 -.00055690.0001621

owndr |0.28202740.09130683.090.002 .10306940.4609854

_Ikunry_1 |0.22440350.10444792.150.032 .01968940.4291177

_Ikunry_2 |0.00538990.109114480.050.961 -.20852990.2193097

_cons |-0.1135380.3104453-0.370.715 -.72199950.4949235

-------------+----------------------------------------------------------------

/athrho |-1.3363610.1263449-10.560.000 -1.563992-1.088729

/lnsigma |-0.87813370.0344263-25.510.000 -.945608-0.8106594

-------------+----------------------------------------------------------------

rho |-0.87079540.0305395-0.9192231-0.7964138

sigma |0.41555770.011430610.38844330.4445648

lambba |-0.36186560.0210597-0.40311421-0.3205695

------------------------------------------------------------------------------

Walb tdst of inbdp. dqns.(rho = 0): chi2(1) =114.87 Prob > chi20

------------------------------------------------------------------------------

tableTarjonta

Heckman selection modelNumber of obs =2728

(regression model with sample selection)Censored obs =310

Taulukko 12. Tyn tarjonta miehill ja naisillaUncensored obs =2418

MiesNainenOsallistumisyhtlMiesNainen

MuuttujakerroinkeskivirhekerroinkeskivirheMuuttujakerroinkeskivirhekerroinkeskivirhekdskivirhdWald chi2(25) =94.2

heckw |Ennustettu palkka-16.771(8.601)2.388(6.041)Ennustettu palkka3.623(0.787)**3.234(0.522)**okheckw |1.6725375.287272-1.230.217 -16.890933.834797

raha_u |Perheen pomatulo-0.000(0)0.000(0)Perheen pomatulo0.000(0)-0.000(0)0.000okraha_u |0.00007160.00006250.460.647 -.00009380.000151

edu35 |Ammattikoulutus4.156(2.228)-2.805(1.411)*Ammattikoulutus-0.303(0.165)0.451(0.143)**0.000okedu35 |-3.1394631.301293-0.640.524 -3.3795921.721382

edu68 |Korkeakoulutus13.644(4.318)**-4.821(2.354)*Korkeakoulutus-1.344(0.488)**-0.545(0.25)*0.000okedu68 |-4.3181672.1921920.90.367 -2.3196986.273536

ika4564 |Ikryhm 45-641.415(2.633)1.462(1.876)Ikryhm 45-641.087(0.289)**-0.231(0.202)0.000okika4564 |0.65136971.7020430.10.921 -3.1673693.504516

tyokoke |Tyokokemus0.508(0.344)0.033(0.249)Tyokokemus-0.138(0.039)**-0.048(0.024)*tyokoke |0.15474810.21649931.260.206 -.15068920.6979723

tyokoke2 |Tyokokemus2-0.008(0.007)-0.004(0.005)Tyokokemus20.001(0.001)0.000(0)tyokoke2 |-0.00462720.0045672-0.90.370 -.01304380.0048594

osa_aik |Osa-aikainen-14.829(5.615)**1.539(2.544)Ty ja vapaa-aika %0.041(0.02)*0.140(0.057)*osa_aik |-0.41035662.340781-2.290.022 -9.943145-0.7674539

Mraikainen-0.096(2.034)2.358(1.42)Kotity ja vapaa-aika %-0.010(0.004)*-0.018(0.002)**

Ilta- tai yty0.513(2.234)1.324(1.504)Kiireinen0.323(0.17)0.579(0.137)**

maaraik |Muu tyaika, ei tyllinen-2.295(2.579)2.634(1.902)Kiireinen ja aikapula1.083(0.31)**1.066(0.185)**maaraik |3.8212211.2994521.750.081 -.27839194.815365

_Ityoai_2 |Vaikuttaa omaan tyaikaan-0.488(1.51)-2.003(1.004)*Sosiaalinen kanssakyminen0.398(0.496)0.611(0.329)_Ityoai_2 |1.7177981.4651710.330.738 -2.3820953.361269

_Ityoai_3 |Ty ja kotity %0.542(0.916)0.434(0.568)Aktiivinen vapaa-aika-0.457(0.79)0.328(0.448)_Ityoai_3 |3.1538451.6365371.560.119 -.65823335.756876

vai_aik |Kotity ja ty %2.299(0.548)**1.230(0.34)**Terveys keskinkertainen, hyv-0.401(0.202)*-0.375(0.151)*vai_aik |-1.6929880.9758433-0.390.697 -2.2928031.532432

_Ibusy_2 |Ty ja vapaa-aika %0.131(0.054)*0.253(0.03)**Terveys huono-0.781(0.365)*0.516(0.44)_Ibusy_2 |-1.2542921.4464120.670.501 -1.861723.80811

_Ibusy_3 |Kotity ja vapaa-aika %-0.456(0.047)**-0.450(0.029)**Pitkaikainen sairaus-0.065(0.154)-0.060(0.127)_Ibusy_3 |1.5338351.6965861.490.137 -.80085985.849636

asostimi |Kiireinen3.837(1.845)*-0.018(1.746)Lasten lukumr0.084(0.1)-0.064(0.064)asostimi |-15.874153.292945-3.350.001 -17.48743-4.579321

napvol |Kiireinen ja aikapula5.976(2.346)*2.671(2.01)Alle 7 vuotiaita lapsia-0.004(0.213)-0.786(0.16)**napvol |-3.8787733.968996-1.840.065 -15.093940.4642391

_Ibadcond_2 |Sosiaalinen kanssakyminen-1.246(3.969)-9.814(3.586)**Naimisissa tai avoliitossa1.968(6.305)-4.858(4.843)_Ibadcond_2 |0.17269881.145131-0.850.395 -3.2188191.270013

_Ibadcond_3 |Aktiivinen vapaa-aika-10.906(6.223)-2.321(3.894)Puolison ennustettu palkka-0.230(0.652)0.555(0.504)_Ibadcond_3 |-12.057573.255229-1.770.076 -12.157610.6026492

s91 |Terveys keskinkertainen, hyv-3.311(1.521)*0.452(1.266)Puolison tyn tarjonta0.001(0)**-0.001(0)**s91 |-2.9239951.069264-2.480.013 -4.750273-0.5588367

lapslkm |Terveys huono-2.627(4.195)-9.796(4.005)*Puoliso korkeasti koulutettu0.328(0.403)0.166(0.181)lapslkm |-0.21142160.6281442-0.190.847 -1.3522351.110045

hoito |Pitkaikainen sairaus-0.595(1.422)-0.614(1.123)Omistusasunto0.724(0.172)**0.442(0.125)**hoito |-2.9119470.9062374-1.020.308 -2.6998850.8524999

sivsa |Lasten lukumr-0.397(0.809)-0.719(0.675)Taajama-0.310(0.172)-0.027(0.125)sivsa |44.6863744.815710.610.541 -60.40967115.2647

pheckw |Lapsia hoidossa1.340(1.287)-3.147(1.06)**Maaseutu-0.155(0.157)-0.080(0.121)pheckw |-4.7646554.589456-0.580.563 -11.646686.343656

PuoNaimisissa tai avoliitossa40.871(61.741)35.354(51.665)Asiantuntija0.273(0.303)-0.189(0.222)psupply |0.0087679

pedu68 |Puolison ennustettu palkka-4.204(6.274)-3.792(5.332)Toimisto- tai asiakaspalvelu0.687(0.503)-0.520(0.206)*pedu68 |-1.1358571.356424-1.470.142 -4.6489180.6681643

_cons |Puolison tyn tarjonta0.010(0.003)**0.007(0.002)**Palvelu-, myynti-, hoitoty0.633(0.388)0.331(0.226)_cons |-23.8681189.093990.810.419 -102.6868246.5552

-------------+-Puoliso korkeasti koulutettu-3.573(1.914)-1.468(1.505)Maanviljely, metsty1.513(0.412)**0.973(0.324)**-------------+----------------------------------------------------------------

partic |Vakio151.717(131.049)-17.175(100.931)Rakennus- korjaus- ja valmistus0.113(0.237)-0.209(0.27)partic |

heckw |* Tilastollisesti merkitsev 95% luottamustasolla, ** merkitsev 99% luottamustasolla. Selitettv muuttuja tuntipalkka. Viiteryhmt ovat: ammattiryhmiss ylemmt toimihenkilt, eritysasiantuntijat, koulututuksessa vhemmn kuin 3 vuoden ammattillinen kProsessi- ja kuljetus-0.005(0.247)0.428(0.331)0.4497776.810.000 2.1804813.943574

raha_u |Muu0.068(0.295)0.585(0.283)*heckw |3.4899860.4497776.810.000 2.1804813.943574

edu35 |Vakio-34.119(12.801)**-24.643(8.889)**raha_u |-0.00001229.45E-06-0.170.866 -.00002010.0000169

edu68 |l-10.6834.848-13.7431.626edu35 |0.41642250.0988842-0.020.981 -.19615560.1914634

ika4564 |Havaintojen lukumr/rajoitetut1428 / 1171428 / 193edu68 |-0.34412020.2375699-3.930.000 -1.400343-0.4690864

tyokoke |ika4564 |-0.22941610.16405092.460.014 .0824260.7254935

tyokoke2 |0.0000.0000.0000.0000.000tyokoke |-0.04853540.0188647-3.950.000 -.1114665-0.0375183

_Ibusy_2 |tyokoke2 |0.00010750.0003750.830.407 -.00042390.001046

_Ibusy_3 |Osallistumisyhtl_Ibusy_2 |0.6417990.10491834.50.000 .26644920.6777214

asostimi |Ennustettu palkkaCoef.0.000log likeli0.000_Ibusy_3 |1.1070220.15492286.60.000 .74745531.326842

napvol |Perheen pomatulo-----------0.000log likeli0.000asostimi |0.51135210.25543122.090.037 .03216731.033439

_Ibadcond_2 |Ammattikoulutus0.0000.000log likeli0.000napvol |-0.15313070.3361212-1.090.275 -1.0256460.291925

_Ibadcond_3 |Korkeakoulutus-8.441(8.377)0.0000.000_Ibadcond_2 |-0.36176210.1187997-3.060.002 -.5963125-0.1306263

s91 |Ikryhm 45-64-0.000(0)ion model0.000_Ibadcond_3 |0.12621360.2672915-0.860.387 -.75498480.2927786

lapslkm |Tyokokemus2.173(2.133)del with sa0.000s91 |-0.0874760.0879737-0.790.432 -.24161920.1032313

laps06 |Tyokokemus26.797(3.911)0.0000.000lapslkm |-0.09462870.05318650.160.869 -.09547810.1130091

0.000

0.000

sivsa |Kiireinen2.220(2.361)0.0000.000laps06 |-0.78387030.1215622-4.280.000 -.758557-0.2820419

pheckw |Kiireinen ja aikapula0.627(0.311)*0.0000.000ped due to0.0000.000oksivsa |-4.7061243.683635-0.690.490 -9.7649264.67466

psupply |Sosiaalinen kanssakyminen-0.013(0.007)*-264192.000(1)**0.0000.0000.000okpheckw |0.54260830.38173750.750.452 -.46099561.035388

pedu68 |Aktiivinen vapaa-aika-15.627(4.77)**0.0000.000log likeli0.0000.000psupply |-0.00067080.00020280.290.774 -.00033910.0004557

owner |Terveys keskinkertainen, hyv-1.777(1.548)0.0000.000log likeli0.0000.000okpedu68 |0.21383310.16111650.890.376 -.17314810.4584171

_Ikunry_1 |Terveys huono3.169(1.981)-----------0.000log likeli0.0000.000okowner |0.450830.09847776.090.000 .40658120.7926066

_Ikunry_2 |Pitkaikainen sairaus-1.130(2.362)0.0000.000log likeli0.0000.000_Ikunry_1 |-0.03311160.0944233-0.530.596 -.23509080.1350416

suk |Lasten lukumr-0.572(1.307)Coef.0.0000.000_Ikunry_2 |0.01300510.0927352-10.319 -.27417250.0893428

Alle 7 vuotiaita lapsia0.486(0.944)-----------0.000log likeli0.000_Iisco_2 |-0.03625590.1614853-0.370.713 -.37584280.2571679

_Iisco_3 |Naimisissa tai avoliitossa0.377(0.51)0.0000.0000.0000.0000.000ok_Iisco_3 |-0.33736030.1540985-2.240.025 -.6477588-0.0437037

_Iisco_4 |Puolison ennustettu palkka-0.078(0.108)2.388(6.041)ion model0.0000.000ok_Iisco_4 |0.57713360.18002612.040.041 .01503930.7207288

_Iisco_5 |Puolison tyn tarjonta-0.062(0.051)0.000(0)del with sa0.0000.000ok_Iisco_5 |1.1612860.23643884.920.000 .69957061.626394

_Iisco_6 |Puoliso korkeasti koulutettu2.295(1.634)-2.805(1.411)*0.0000.0000.000ok_Iisco_6 |0.0786070.167350300.997 -.32736690.3286341

_Iisco_7 |Omistusasunto6.857(1.854)**-4.821(2.354)*0.0000.0000.000ok_Iisco_7 |0.36882570.17434570.190.847 -.30801760.375405

_Iisco_8 |Taajama2.984(3.607)1.462(1.876)0.0000.0000.000ok_Iisco_8 |0.71217970.1826451.160.247 -.14666610.5692893

_cons |Maaseutu-6.370(5.877)0.033(0.249)0.000ok_cons |-27.528427.492763-3.370.001 -39.90256-10.53147

-------------+-Asiantuntija-2.945(1.319)*-0.004(0.005)-------------+------------0.1616922-6.250.000 -1.32711-0.6932883

/athrho |Toimisto- tai asiakaspalvelu3.818(3.035)1.539(2.544)/athrho |-1.039650.0200573149.990.000 2.9691473.04777

/lnsigma |Palvelu-, myynti-, hoitoty0.636(1.294)2.358(1.42)/lnsigma |2.945097----------------------------------------------------

-------------+-Maanviljely, metsty-1.015(0.703)1.324(1.504)-------------+------------0.0668569-0.8685413-0.6000903

rho |Rakennus- korjaus- ja valmistus1.179(1.084)2.634(1.902)rho |-0.77774970.406283919.4752921.06831

sigma |Prosessi- ja kuljetus65.914(66.377)-2.003(1.004)*sigma |19.01251.554892-18.56059-12.46552

lambda |Muu-6.393(6.724)0.434(0.568)lambda |-14.78697----------------------------------------------------

---------------Vakio0.001(0.003)1.230(0.34)**--------------------------(rho = 0): chi2(1) =39.03 Prob > chi20

l-0.249(0.156)0.452(1.266)

Havaintojen lukumr/rajoitetut// ace;

* Tilastollisesti merkitsev 95% luottamustasolla, ** merkitsev 99% luottamustasolla. Selitettv muuttuja tuntipalkka. Viiteryhmt ovat: ammattiryhmiss ylemmt toimihenkilt, eritysasiantuntijat, koulututuksessa vhemmn kuin 3 vuoden ammattillinen k

tableTarjoall



Taulukko 11. Tyn tarjonta yhteensUncensored obs =2418

Rajoitteena tyllinenRajoitteena positiivinen tyn tarjontaRajoitteena tyllinenRajoitteena positiivinen tyn tarjonta


heckw |Ennustettu palkka_Ibusy_0.000_Ibusy_0.000Osallistumisyhtl0.000okheckw |3.0510025.287272-1.230.217 -16.890933.834797

raha_u |Perheen pomatulo_Ibadco0.000_Ibadco0.000Ennustettu palkka1.562(1.547)0.508(0.344)0.000okraha_u |-0.00004920.00006250.460.647 -.00009380.000151

edu35 |Ammattikoulutus_Isuk_00.000_Ikunry0.000Perheen pomatulo0.059(0.196)-0.008(0.007)0.000okedu35 |-0.68966921.301293-0.640.524 -3.3795921.721382

edu68 |Korkeakoulutus_Ikunry0.000_Iisco_0.000Ammattikoulutus-0.002(0.004)-14.829(5.615)**0.000okedu68 |-1.6653152.1921920.90.367 -2.3196986.273536

ika4564 |Ikryhm 45-64_Iisco_0.0000.0000.000Korkeakoulutus-2.783(2.101)-0.096(2.034)0.000okika4564 |2.9762611.7020430.10.921 -3.1673693.504516

tyokoke |Tyokokemus0.0000.000log likeli0.000Ikryhm 45-641.291(1.184)0.513(2.234)tyokoke |-0.10405720.21649931.260.206 -.15068920.6979723

tyokoke2 |Tyokokemus2log likeli0.000log likeli0.000Tyokokemus0.413(1.254)-2.295(2.579)tyokoke2 |0.0003080.0045672-0.90.370 -.01304380.0048594

osa_aik |Osa-aikainenlog likeli0.000log likeli0.000Tyokokemus21.312(1.476)-0.488(1.51)osa_aik |-3.5106122.340781-2.290.022 -9.943145-0.7674539

maaraik |Mraikainenlog likeli0.000log likeli0.000Ty ja vapaa-aika %maaraik |-0.38653481.2994521.750.081 -.27839194.815365

_Ityoai_2 |Ilta- tai ytylog likeli0.000log likeli0.000Kotity ja vapaa-aika %_Ityoai_2 |1.5738031.4651710.330.738 -2.3820953.361269

_Ityoai_3 |Muu tyaika, ei tyllinenlog likeli0.0000.0000.000Kiireinen-1.129(0.887)0.542(0.916)_Ityoai_3 |0.30327841.6365371.560.119 -.65823335.756876

vai_aik |Vaikuttaa omaan tyaikaan0.0000.000ion model0.000Kiireinen ja aikapula0.202(0.512)2.299(0.548)**vai_aik |-1.0694150.9758433-0.390.697 -2.2928031.532432

Ty ja kotity %Sosiaalinen kanssakyminen1.626(0.296)**0.131(0.054)*

Kotity ja ty %Aktiivinen vapaa-aika0.181(0.036)**-0.456(0.047)**

Ty ja vapaa-aika %Terveys keskinkertainen, hyv-0.445(0.026)**3.837(1.845)*

Kotity ja vapaa-aika %Terveys huono1.681(1.375)5.976(2.346)*

_Ibusy_2 |Kiireinenion model0.000del with sa0.000Pitkaikainen sairaus3.493(1.592)*-1.246(3.969)_Ibusy_2 |1.7442231.4464120.670.501 -1.861723.80811

_Ibusy_3 |Kiireinen ja aikapuladel with sa0.0000.0000.000Lasten lukumr-5.793(2.881)*-10.906(6.223)_Ibusy_3 |4.7513131.6965861.490.137 -.80085985.849636

asostimi |Sosiaalinen kanssakyminen0.0000.0000.0000.000Alle 7 vuotiaita lapsia-6.105(3.764)-3.311(1.521)*asostimi |0.84523383.292945-3.350.001 -17.48743-4.579321

napvol |Aktiivinen vapaa-aika0.0000.0000.0000.000Naimisissa tai avoliitossa-1.074(1)-2.627(4.195)napvol |-4.4721643.968996-1.840.065 -15.093940.4642391

_Ibadcond_2 |Terveys keskinkertainen, hyv0.0000.000-278940.000(4)**Puolison ennustettu palkka-4.597(2.999)-0.595(1.422)_Ibadcond_2 |-1.4190181.145131-0.850.395 -3.2188191.270013

_Ibadcond_3 |Terveys huono-548929.000(6)**0.0000.000Puolison tyn tarjonta-0.732(0.91)-0.397(0.809)_Ibadcond_3 |1.2727253.255229-1.770.076 -12.157610.6026492

s91 |Pitkaikainen sairaus0.0000.0000.0000.000Puoliso korkeasti koulutettu-0.464(0.546)1.340(1.287)s91 |-0.7145331.069264-2.480.013 -4.750273-0.5588367

lapslkm |Lasten lukumr0.0000.000-----------0.000Omistusasunto-0.861(0.82)40.871(61.741)lapslkm |-0.34628450.6281442-0.190.847 -1.3522351.110045

hoito |Lapsia hoidossa-----------0.0000.0000.000Taajama22.540(40.457)-4.204(6.274)hoito |0.72440560.9062374-1.020.308 -2.6998850.8524999

sivsa |Naimisissa tai avoliitossa0.0000.000Coef.0.000Maaseutu-4.448(1.009)**0.010(0.003)**sivsa |44.5893544.815710.610.541 -60.40967115.2647

pheckw |Puolison ennustettu palkkaCoef.0.000-----------0.000Sukupuoli-2.470(4.143)-3.573(1.914)pheckw |-4.4822494.589456-0.580.563 -11.646686.343656

Puolison tyn tarjonta-----------0.0000.0000.000Asiantuntija0.008(0.002)**151.717(131.049)

pedu68 |Puoliso korkeasti koulutettu0.0000.000-16.771(8.601)Toimisto- tai asiakaspalvelu-2.637(1.262)*-----------0.000pedu68 |-0.78984411.356424-1.470.142 -4.6489180.6681643

suk |Nainen-4.353(5.058)-0.000(0)Palvelu-, myynti-, hoitoty60.146(83.578)0.0000.000suk |-2.3733531.087071-5.720.000 -8.345595-4.084354

_cons |Vakio0.000(0)4.156(2.228)Maanviljely, metsty-----------0.0003.623(0.787)**_cons |-29.7071989.093990.810.419 -102.6868246.5552

-------------+-Rakennus- korjaus- ja valmistus0.0000.0000.000(0)-------------+----------------------------------------------------------------

partic |Prosessi- ja kuljetus2.826(0.468)**-0.303(0.165)partsu |

heckw |Muu-0.000(0)-1.344(0.488)**0.4497776.810.000 2.1804813.943574

raha_u |Vakio0.004(0.103)1.087(0.289)**heckw |1.743140.4497776.810.000 2.1804813.943574

edu35 |l0.446(0.11)**0.398(0.496)raha_u |0.00001089.45E-06-0.170.866 -.00002010.0000169

edu68 |Havaintojen lukumr/rajoitetut/0.000/0.000edu35 |-0.05557350.0988842-0.020.981 -.19615560.1914634

ika4564 |* Tilastollisesti merkitsev 95% luottamustasolla, ** merkitsev 99% luottamustasolla. Selitettv muuttuja tuntipalkka. Viiteryhmt ovat: ammattiryhmiss ylemmt toimihenkilt, eritysasiantuntijat, koulututuksessa vhemmn kuin 3 vuoden ammattillinen kedu68 |-0.43016220.2375699-3.930.000 -1.400343-0.4690864

tyokoke |ika4564 |0.07824340.16405092.460.014 .0824260.7254935

tyokoke2 |tyokoke |-0.02485820.0188647-3.950.000 -.1114665-0.0375183

_Ibusy_2 |Osallistumisyhtl0.0000.0000.0000.0000.000tyokoke2 |-0.00002740.0003750.830.407 -.00042390.001046

_Ibusy_3 |Ennustettu palkka1.562(1.547)0.508(0.344)0.0000.0000.0000.0000.000_Ibusy_2 |0.25363420.10491834.50.000 .26644920.6777214

asostimi |Perheen pomatulo0.059(0.196)-0.008(0.007)0.0000.0000.0000.0000.000_Ibusy_3 |0.41485510.15492286.60.000 .71955531.326842

napvol |Ammattikoulutus-0.002(0.004)-14.829(5.615)**0.0000.0000.0000.0000.000asostimi |-0.51789450.25543122.090.037 .03216731.033439

_Ibadcond_2 |Korkeakoulutus-2.783(2.101)-0.096(2.034)napvol |-0.51345490.3361212-1.090.275 -1.0256460.291925

_Ibadcond_3 |Ikryhm 45-641.291(1.184)0.513(2.234)_Ibadcond_2 |-0.20345360.1187997-3.060.002 -.5963125-0.1306263

s91 |Tyokokemus0.413(1.254)-2.295(2.579)_Ibadcond_3 |-0.60307770.2672915-0.860.387 -.75498480.2927786

lapslkm |Tyokokemus21.312(1.476)-0.488(1.51)s91 |-0.14918860.0879737-0.790.432 -.24161920.1032313

laps06 |Kiireinen-1.129(0.887)0.542(0.916)lapslkm |-0.02091810.05318650.160.869 -.09547810.1130091

sivsa |Kiireinen ja aikapula0.202(0.512)2.299(0.548)**laps06 |-0.26461370.1215622-4.280.000 -.758557-0.2820419

pheckw |Sosiaalinen kanssakyminen1.626(0.296)**0.131(0.054)*0.000oksivsa |3.098623.683635-0.690.490 -9.7649264.67466

psupply |Aktiivinen vapaa-aika0.181(0.036)**-0.456(0.047)**0.0000.0000.000okpheckw |-0.31665210.38173750.750.452 -.46099561.035388

pedu68 |Terveys keskinkertainen, hyv-0.445(0.026)**3.837(1.845)*0.0000.0000.000psupply |0.00058430.00020280.290.774 -.00033910.0004557

owner |Terveys huono1.681(1.375)5.976(2.346)*0.0000.0000.000okpedu68 |-0.10565610.16111650.890.376 -.17314810.4584171

_Ikunry_1 |Pitkaikainen sairaus3.493(1.592)*-1.246(3.969)0.0000.0000.000okowner |0.26226950.09847776.090.000 .40658120.7926066

_Ikunry_2 |Lasten lukumr-5.793(2.881)*-10.906(6.223)0.0000.0000.000_Ikunry_1 |-0.09784060.0944233-0.530.596 -.23509080.1350416

suk |Alle 7 vuotiaita lapsia-6.105(3.764)-3.311(1.521)*0.0000.0000.000_Ikunry_2 |-0.03511090.0927352-10.319 -.27417250.0893428

_Iisco_2 |Naimisissa tai avoliitossa-1.074(1)-2.627(4.195)0.0000.0000.000oksuk |-0.14683140.11822131.550.122 -.04891730.4145017

Puolison ennustettu palkka-4.597(2.999)-0.595(1.422)_Iisco_2 |-0.02395550.1614853-0.370.713 -.37584280.2571679

_Iisco_3 |Puolison tyn tarjonta-0.732(0.91)-0.397(0.809)0.0000.0000.000ok_Iisco_3 |-0.04627810.1540985-2.240.025 -.6477588-0.0437037

_Iisco_4 |Puoliso korkeasti koulutettu-0.464(0.546)1.340(1.287)0.0000.0000.000ok_Iisco_4 |0.13809660.18002612.040.041 .01503930.7207288

_Iisco_5 |Omistusasunto-0.861(0.82)40.871(61.741)0.0000.0000.000ok_Iisco_5 |0.81096550.23643884.920.000 .69957061.626394

_Iisco_6 |Taajama22.540(40.457)-4.204(6.274)0.0000.0000.000ok_Iisco_6 |0.07207210.167350300.997 -.32736690.3286341

_Iisco_7 |Maaseutu-4.448(1.009)**0.010(0.003)**0.0000.0000.000ok_Iisco_7 |-0.13362010.17434570.190.847 -.30801760.375405

_Iisco_8 |Sukupuoli-2.470(4.143)-3.573(1.914)0.0000.0000.000ok_Iisco_8 |-0.00015910.1826451.160.247 -.14666610.5692893

_cons |Asiantuntija0.008(0.002)**151.717(131.049)0.0000.0000.000ok_cons |-18.918097.492763-3.370.001 -39.90256-10.53147

-------------+-Toimisto- tai asiakaspalvelu-2.637(1.262)*-----------0.000-------------+------------0.1616922-6.250.000 -1.32711-0.6932883

/athrho |Palvelu-, myynti-, hoitoty60.146(83.578)0.0000.000/athrho |-0.70961550.0200573149.990.000 2.9691473.04777

/lnsigma |Maanviljely, metsty-----------0.0003.623(0.787)**/lnsigma |2.725211----------------------------------------------------

-------------+-Rakennus- korjaus- ja valmistus0.0000.0000.000(0)-------------+------------0.0668569-0.8685413-0.6000903

rho |Prosessi- ja kuljetus2.826(0.468)**-0.303(0.165)sigma |15.259630.406283919.4752921.06831

sigma |Muu-0.000(0)-1.344(0.488)**lambda |-9.3150221.554892-18.56059-12.46552

lambda |Vakio0.004(0.103)1.087(0.289)**------------------------------------------------------------------------------

---------------l0.446(0.11)**0.398(0.496)Wald test of indep. eqns.(rho = 0): chi2(1) =39.03 Prob > chi20

Havaintojen lukumr/rajoitetut//

* Tilastollisesti merkitsev 95% luottamustasolla, ** merkitsev 99% luottamustasolla. Selitettv muuttuja tuntipalkka. Viiteryhmt ovat: ammattiryhmiss ylemmt toimihenkilt, eritysasiantuntijat, koulututuksessa vhemmn kuin 3 vuoden ammattillinen k

tarall

-------------------------------------------------------------------------------

log: p:\projektit\tyomarkkinat\agir\tyoaika\jaksajat.log

log type: text

opened on: 15 Oct 2002,10:24:15

. xi: correlate

> supply psupply i.busy yp103

> yp112 yp113/*ty sivutoimi vapaa-aika*/

> yp121 /*tysivutoimi ei muuta*/

> ;

i.busy_Ibusy_1-Mar(naturallycoded; _Ibusy_1 omitted)

(obs=2730)

|supplypsupply _Ibusy_2 _Ibusy_3 yp103 yp112yp113

-------------+---------------------------------------------------------------

supply |1

psupply |0.13421

_Ibusy_2 |0.00140.0188 1.0

_Ibusy_3 |0.10490.0266 -0.6529 1.000

yp103 |-0.0871-0.0089 0.0100 0.0550 1.0000

yp112 |0.05150.0548 -0.0102 0.0218 -0.0174 1.0000

yp113 |0.20470.0269 -0.0038 0.0186 0.1140 0.04071

yp121 |0.07350.0125 0.0245 -0.0165 0.0125 0.00050.0169

|yp121

-------------+---------

yp121 |1

. /*naiset jamiehet*/

> xi: heckmansupply heckw raha_u

> edu35 edu68ika4564 tyokoke tyokoke2

> osa_aik maaraik i.tyoai

> vai_aik yp112 yp121 yp113 yp123 i.busy

> asostimi napvol i.badcond s91

> lapslkm hoito

> sivsa i.sukpheckw psupply /*pedu35*/ pedu68

> /*i.intern*//*owner*//*tiheys2*/

> /*i.isco*/ [pweight=wpkvak],

>

> select(partic= heckw raha_u


> /*osa_aik*//*maaraik*//*i.tyoai*/

> /*vai_aik*/yp113 yp123i.busy


> lapslkm laps06 /*hoito*/

> sivsa i.sukpheckw psupply /*pedu35*/ pedu68

> /*i.intern*/owner /*tiheys2*/ i.kunry i.isco

> ) robust cluster(konu);

i.tyoai_Ityoai_1-3(naturallycoded; _Ityoai_1 omitted)


i.badcond_Ibadcond_1-3(naturallycoded; _Ibadcond_1omitted)

i.suk_Isuk_0-1(naturallycoded; _Isuk_0 omitted)

i.kunry_Ikunry_0-2(naturallycoded; _Ikunry_0 omitted)

i.isco_Iisco_1-Aug(naturallycoded; _Iisco_1 omitted)

Iteration 0:log likelihood = -5492520.7







Uncensored obs =2418

Wald chi2(30) =527.6

Log likelihood-5489296Prob > chi2 =0

(standard errors adjusted for clustering on konu)

------------------------------------------------------------------------------

|Robust

|Coef.Std. Err.zP>|z| [95% Conf.Interval]

-------------+----------------------------------------------------------------

supply |

heckw |-4.3532265.057711-0.860.389 -14.266165.559706

raha_u |0.00001690.00005930.290.775 -.00009930.0001332

edu35 |-0.30612251.203176-0.250.799 -2.6643032.052058

edu68 |1.8583392.0882590.890.374 -2.2345745.951252

ika4564 |1.5621591.5470961.010.313 -1.4700924.594411

tyokoke |0.05900940.19620610.30.764 -.32554760.4435664

tyokoke2 |-0.0015890.0041553-0.380.702 -.00973330.0065553

osa_aik |-2.7826912.100977-1.320.185 -6.9005291.335148

maaraik |1.2906541.1843651.090.276 -1.030663.611967

_Ityoai_2 |0.41291751.2540690.330.742 -2.0450122.870847

_Ityoai_3 |1.311561.4763370.890.374 -1.5820074.205126

vai_aik |-1.128760.8870825-1.270.203 -2.867410.6098896

yp112 |0.20182290.51172420.390.693 -.80113811.204784

yp121 |1.6261440.29635875.490.000 1.0452922.206997

yp113 |0.18060640.03642554.960.000 .10921360.2519991

yp123 |-0.44483570.0264882-16.790.000 -.4967516-0.3929199

_Ibusy_2 |1.6811781.3747081.220.221 -1.0132014.375557

_Ibusy_3 |3.4925641.5918762.190.028 .37254536.612583

asostimi |-5.793452.88126-2.010.044 -11.44062-0.1462855

napvol |-6.1054613.763508-1.620.105 -13.48181.270878

_Ibadcond_2 |-1.0738621.000066-1.070.283 -3.0339550.8862317

_Ibadcond_3 |-4.5974292.999479-1.530.125 -10.47631.281441

s91 |-0.73247030.9103197-0.80.421 -2.5166641.051724

lapslkm |-0.46422390.5461329-0.850.395 -1.5346250.6061768

hoito |-0.86136620.82033-1.050.294 -2.4691840.7464511

sivsa |22.5400640.456970.560.577 -56.75415101.8343

_Isuk_1 |-4.4475741.009391-4.410.000 -6.425944-2.469204

pheckw |-2.4701354.142757-0.60.551 -10.589795.649519

psupply |0.0080420.00222873.610.000 .00367370.0124102

pedu68 |-2.6367081.261774-2.090.037 -5.109739-0.1636766

_cons |60.1455583.57830.720.472 -103.6649223.956

-------------+----------------------------------------------------------------

partic |

heckw |2.8261570.46841696.030.000 1.9080773.744238

raha_u |-3.88E-068.93E-06-0.430.664 -.00002140.0000136

edu35 |0.0041430.10276920.040.968 -.19728080.2055669

edu68 |-0.99066710.2250932-4.40.000 -1.431842-0.5494926

ika4564 |0.37506420.16421752.280.022 .05320370.6969247

tyokoke |-0.0640990.019648-3.260.001 -.1026082-0.0255897

tyokoke2 |0.00020140.00038820.520.604 -.00055940.0009622

yp113 |0.06649560.02558752.60.009 .0163450.1166461

yp123 |-0.01470710.002155-6.820.000 -.0189308-0.0104835

_Ibusy_2 |0.44556650.11020154.040.000 .22957550.6615576

_Ibusy_3 |1.0125610.15692186.450.000 .70499991.320122

asostimi |0.53062830.27998211.90.058 -.01812661.079383

napvol |-0.04188190.4024061-0.10.917 -.83058340.7468196

_Ibadcond_2 |-0.37412530.1214128-3.080.002 -.6120901-0.1361605

_Ibadcond_3 |-0.21558510.2865045-0.750.452 -.77712360.3459534

s91 |-0.06297650.0929429-0.680.498 -.24514130.1191883

lapslkm |-0.00861880.0548585-0.160.875 -.11613940.0989019

laps06 |-0.43104010.1319618-3.270.001 -.6896805-0.1723998

sivsa |-3.8909243.95074-0.980.325 -11.634233.852384

_Isuk_1 |0.31289860.12531042.50.013 .06729460.5585025

pheckw |0.42826350.40982191.040.296 -.37497261.2315

psupply |-0.00022550.0002105-1.070.284 -.0006380.0001871

pedu68 |0.16137250.1436791.120.261 -.12023310.4429781

owner |0.55938330.10640345.260.000 .35083640.7679302

_Ikunry_1 |-0.05753880.0961618-0.60.550 -.24601250.130935

_Ikunry_2 |-0.07248470.094886-0.760.445 -.25845790.1134885

_Iisco_2 |-0.03039410.1601184-0.190.849 -.34422050.2834322

_Iisco_3 |-0.32817380.1577791-2.080.038 -.6374151-0.0189324

_Iisco_4 |0.32715450.17482671.870.061 -.01549940.6698085

_Iisco_5 |1.0992140.25898994.240.000 .59160331.606825

_Iisco_6 |-0.07603490.1782128-0.430.670 -.42532550.2732557

_Iisco_7 |0.02832920.18498430.150.878 -.33423340.3908918

_Iisco_8 |0.19598310.19793330.990.322 -.19195910.5839253

_cons |-21.62477.969775-2.710.007 -37.24517-6.004225

-------------+----------------------------------------------------------------

/athrho |-0.97318170.2017465-4.820.000 -1.368598-0.5777659

/lnsigma |2.9049870.0222482130.570.000 2.8613822.948593

-------------+----------------------------------------------------------------

rho |-0.75009910.0882341-0.8783722-0.5210397

sigma |18.265010.406363417.4856719.07909

lambda |-13.700571.80747-17.24314-10.15799

------------------------------------------------------------------------------

Wald test of indep. eqns.(rho = 0):chi2(1) =23.27 Prob > chi2 = 0.0000

------------------------------------------------------------------------------

. log close;


log type: text

closed on: 15 Oct 2002,10:25:07

-------------------------------------------------------------------------------

-------------------------------------------------------------------------------


log type: text

opened on: 15 Oct 2002,10:25:08

. /*miehet*/






> lapslkm hoito

> sivsa pheckwpsupply /*pedu35*/ pedu68


> /*i.isco*/ [pweight=wpkvak] if suk==0,





> /*alko*/ asostimi napvol i.badconds91













Iteration 3:log likelihood = -2789404





Wald chi2(29) =220.12



------------------------------------------------------------------------------

|Robust


-------------+----------------------------------------------------------------

supply |

heckw |-16.7718.600523-1.950.051 -33.627720.085712

raha_u |-0.00003290.0000708-0.460.642 -.00017150.0001058

edu35 |4.1560752.2284521.870.062 -.21160988.52376

edu68 |13.643994.3179753.160.002 5.18091122.10706

ika4564 |1.4150612.6328780.540.591 -3.7452846.575407

tyokoke |0.50829190.34393491.480.139 -.1658081.182392

tyokoke2 |-0.00774770.0067261-1.150.249 -.02093060.0054353

osa_aik |-14.829225.61543-2.640.008 -25.83526-3.823177

maaraik |-0.09582582.033545-0.050.962 -4.0815013.88985

_Ityoai_2 |0.513392.2341720.230.818 -3.8655064.892286

_Ityoai_3 |-2.2947922.578932-0.890.374 -7.3494062.759822

vai_aik |-0.48799091.509972-0.320.747 -3.4474832.471501

yp112 |0.54196650.91616280.590.554 -1.253682.337613

yp121 |2.2994460.54823384.190.000 1.2249283.373965

yp113 |0.13082910.05434462.410.016 .02431580.2373425

yp123 |-0.45567430.0465559-9.790.000 -.5469223-0.3644263

_Ibusy_2 |3.8370871.8446242.080.038 .22169047.452483

_Ibusy_3 |5.9756322.345582.550.011 1.3783810.57288

asostimi |-1.2460783.969468-0.310.754 -9.0260926.533935

napvol |-10.905816.223352-1.750.080 -23.103361.291737

_Ibadcond_2 |-3.3109091.52135-2.180.030 -6.292701-0.3291182

_Ibadcond_3 |-2.6271794.195073-0.630.531 -10.849375.595014

s91 |-0.59468351.421548-0.420.676 -3.3808662.191499

lapslkm |-0.39691550.8085743-0.490.624 -1.9816921.187861

hoito |1.3399741.2867631.040.298 -1.1820353.861982

sivsa |40.8713461.741310.660.508 -80.13941161.8821

pheckw |-4.2044716.274279-0.670.503 -16.501838.09289

psupply |0.00959180.00329222.910.004 .00313920.0160444

pedu68 |-3.5731781.914353-1.870.062 -7.3252410.1788862

_cons |151.7173131.04861.160.247 -105.1332408.5678

-------------+----------------------------------------------------------------

partic |

heckw |3.6233530.78700714.60.000 2.0808485.165859

raha_u |1.26E-060.00001120.110.911 -.00002070.0000232

edu35 |-0.30258510.165262-1.830.067 -.62649270.0213225

edu68 |-1.3444540.4875543-2.760.006 -2.300043-0.3888654

ika4564 |1.0873960.28939423.760.000 .52019381.654598

tyokoke |-0.13774190.0389516-3.540.000 -.2140855-0.0613982

tyokoke2 |0.00108180.00076351.420.156 -.00041460.0025782

yp113 |0.04072310.0199312.040.041 .00165910.0797871

yp123 |-0.00994740.0041229-2.410.016 -.0180281-0.0018667

_Ibusy_2 |0.32258460.1704091.890.058 -.01141090.65658

_Ibusy_3 |1.0832420.30969593.50.000 .47624971.690235

asostimi |0.39816250.49568580.80.422 -.57336381.369689

napvol |-0.45656350.7903833-0.580.564 -2.0056861.092559

_Ibadcond_2 |-0.40126270.2022256-1.980.047 -.7976175-0.0049079

_Ibadcond_3 |-0.7812260.3654156-2.140.033 -1.497427-0.0650247

s91 |-0.06528040.1536105-0.420.671 -.36635150.2357907

lapslkm |0.08437290.10005740.840.399 -.11173590.2804818

laps06 |-0.00376540.2134939-0.020.986 -.42220590.414675

sivsa |1.9676226.3053710.310.755 -10.3906814.32592

pheckw |-0.22963010.6522545-0.350.725 -1.5080251.048765

psupply |0.00098540.00037252.650.008 .00025520.0017155

pedu68 |0.32781890.40320260.810.416 -.46244371.118081

owner |0.72434890.17241224.20.000 .38642721.062271

_Ikunry_1 |-0.30990420.1717882-1.80.071 -.6466030.0267946

_Ikunry_2 |-0.15549280.1568977-0.990.322 -.46300670.152021

_Iisco_2 |0.2732560.30335210.90.368 -.32130330.8678153

_Iisco_3 |0.68722760.50295071.370.172 -.29853771.672993

_Iisco_4 |0.63332440.38790851.630.103 -.12696231.393611

_Iisco_5 |1.5133590.41161843.680.000 .70660232.320117

_Iisco_6 |0.1134980.23685770.480.632 -.35073460.5777306

_Iisco_7 |-0.00479440.2465651-0.020.984 -.48805310.4784643

_Iisco_8 |0.06762920.29528440.230.819 -.51111760.6463761

_cons |-34.1187212.8012-2.670.008 -59.20862-9.028828

-------------+----------------------------------------------------------------

/athrho |-0.64630930.3654218-1.770.077 -1.3625230.0699043

/lnsigma |2.9322010.03296188.960.000 2.8675992.996803

-------------+----------------------------------------------------------------

rho |-0.56918020.2470375-0.87697690.0697906

sigma |18.768890.618640817.5947220.02143

lambda |-10.682884.848298-20.18537-1.180393

------------------------------------------------------------------------------


------------------------------------------------------------------------------

. predict presupplm;

(option xb assumed; fitted values)

(2 missing values generated)

. save "p:\projektit\tyomarkkinat\agir\tyoaika\presupplym.dta", replace;

file p:\projektit\tyomarkkinat\agir\tyoaika\presupplym.dta saved

. log close;


log type: text

closed on: 15 Oct 2002,10:25:19

-------------------------------------------------------------------------------

-------------------------------------------------------------------------------


log type: text

opened on: 15 Oct 2002,10:25:19

. xi: heckmansupply heckw raha_u





> lapslkm hoito


> /*i.intern*//*owner*//*tiheys2*/suk


>

> select(partsu= heckw raha_u



> /*vai_aik*/yp113 yp123 i.busy




> /*i.intern*/owner /*tiheys2*/ i.kunry suk i.isco







note: suk dropped due tocollinearity

note: suk dropped due tocollinearity










Wald chi2(29) =59.87

Log likelihood-2463898Prob > chi2 =0.0006


------------------------------------------------------------------------------

|Robust


-------------+----------------------------------------------------------------

supply |

heckw |-8.4407948.376733-1.010.314 -24.858897.977302

raha_u |-0.00008850.0000732-1.210.226 -.00023190.0000549

edu35 |2.1732482.1333151.020.308 -2.0079736.35447

edu68 |6.7969383.9111851.740.082 -.868844114.46272

ika4564 |2.2199182.3609810.940.347 -2.4075186.847355

tyokoke |0.62697390.31106852.020.044 .01729091.236657

tyokoke2 |-0.01289220.0065138-1.980.048 -.0256591-0.0001254

osa_aik |-15.627364.769917-3.280.001 -24.97622-6.278493

maaraik |-1.7766121.548329-1.150.251 -4.8112811.258058

_Ityoai_2 |3.1691881.9808161.60.110 -.71313957.051516

_Ityoai_3 |-1.130122.361776-0.480.632 -5.7591153.498876

vai_aik |-0.57209651.306637-0.440.662 -3.1330581.988865

yp112 |0.48602430.94435040.510.607 -1.3648682.336917

yp121 |0.37658480.51007750.740.460 -.62314891.376318

yp103 |-0.07774350.1082499-0.720.473 -.28990940.1344223

yp113 |-0.06162270.0512794-1.20.229 -.16212840.0388829

_Ibusy_2 |2.2945511.6344971.40.160 -.90900435.498106

_Ibusy_3 |6.8565521.8543333.70.000 3.22212710.49098

asostimi |2.9838643.6072940.830.408 -4.08630210.05403

napvol |-6.3702115.877058-1.080.278 -17.889035.148612

_Ibadcond_2 |-2.9445651.319002-2.230.026 -5.529762-0.3593677

_Ibadcond_3 |3.8181443.0346371.260.208 -2.1296359.765924

s91 |0.63620931.2942120.490.623 -1.90043.172819

lapslkm |-1.0154750.7031549-1.440.149 -2.3936330.3626834

hoito |1.1792191.0837851.090.277 -.94496073.3034

sivsa |65.9138666.377320.990.321 -64.18329196.011

pheckw |-6.3930796.724155-0.950.342 -19.572186.786023

psupply |0.00108790.0030440.360.721 -.00487820.0070539

pedu68 |-1.4381151.714669-0.840.402 -4.7988051.922575

_cons |49.87794135.83030.370.713 -216.3446316.1005

-------------+----------------------------------------------------------------

partsu |

heckw |2.1248550.62710593.390.001 .89574973.35396

raha_u |8.11E-060.00001080.750.452 -.0000130.0000293

edu35 |-0.24910210.1559807-1.60.110 -.55481870.0566145

edu68 |-0.66462450.3025431-2.20.028 -1.257598-0.0716508

ika4564 |0.44328230.19622042.260.024 .05869730.8278673

tyokoke |-0.07661020.0265856-2.880.004 -.1287169-0.0245035

tyokoke2 |0.0008190.00053411.530.125 -.00022770.0018658

yp113 |0.07405150.02865572.580.010 .01788730.1302157

yp123 |-0.02682980.0043677-6.140.000 -.0353904-0.0182693

_Ibusy_2 |0.31754170.13221942.40.016 .05839640.576687

_Ibusy_3 |0.3373740.16542722.040.041 .01314260.6616055

asostimi |-0.37691930.3100526-1.220.224 -.98461120.2307725

napvol |-0.52915460.4233631-1.250.211 -1.3589310.3006219

_Ibadcond_2 |-0.24816810.1317324-1.880.060 -.50635890.0100227

_Ibadcond_3 |-0.81396970.2774707-2.930.003 -1.357802-0.2701371

s91 |-0.21027840.1089389-1.930.054 -.42379480.0032379

lapslkm |0.0148840.06086720.240.807 -.10441340.1341815

laps06 |0.21905350.15508241.410.158 -.08490240.5230094

sivsa |6.6125015.6298921.170.240 -4.42188417.64689

pheckw |-0.71025740.5794421-1.230.220 -1.8459430.4254283

psupply |0.00109680.00024114.550.000 .00062420.0015694

pedu68 |-0.17156720.1565922-1.10.273 -.47848230.1353478

owner |0.39475530.12517413.150.002 .14941850.6400921

_Ikunry_1 |-0.26323860.1219053-2.160.031 -.5021685-0.0243086

_Ikunry_2 |-0.15178360.1290195-1.180.239 -.40465720.1010899

_Iisco_2 |0.00960140.16732440.060.954 -.31834840.3375511

_Iisco_3 |0.42701490.35896181.190.234 -.27653721.130567

_Iisco_4 |0.01910370.27043430.070.944 -.51093780.5491451

_Iisco_5 |0.86000110.28294443.040.002 .30544031.414562

_Iisco_6 |0.01126190.17031080.070.947 -.32254120.3450649

_Iisco_7 |-0.47934840.1854785-2.580.010 -.8428797-0.1158172

_Iisco_8 |-0.24276670.2155831-1.130.260 -.66530190.1797685

_cons |-25.2571510.99799-2.30.022 -46.81282-3.701485

-------------+----------------------------------------------------------------

/athrho |-0.69735570.1426411-4.890.000 -.9769271-0.4177844

/lnsigma |2.7819830.041685666.740.000 2.7002812.863685

-------------+----------------------------------------------------------------

rho |-0.60268670.0908294-0.7517326-0.3950623

sigma |16.151010.673263914.8839117.52599

lambda |-9.7341.685476-13.03747-6.430527

------------------------------------------------------------------------------


------------------------------------------------------------------------------

. predict presupplm2;



. keep heckw lraha_e supply presupplmpresupplm2toiminta partic partsu;

. save "p:\projektit\tyomarkkinat\agir\tyoaika\presupplym.dta", replace;

file p:\projektit\tyomarkkinat\agir\tyoaika\presupplym.dta saved

. log close;


log type: text

closed on: 15 Oct 2002,10:26:12

-------------------------------------------------------------------------------

-------------------------------------------------------------------------------


log type: text

opened on: 15 Oct 2002,10:26:13

. /*naiset*/






> lapslkm hoito


























Wald chi2(29) =554.25



------------------------------------------------------------------------------

|Robust


-------------+----------------------------------------------------------------

supply |

heckw |2.3881956.0413130.40.693 -9.4525614.22895

raha_u |0.00010990.00006571.670.095 -.0000190.0002387

edu35 |-2.8048181.411303-1.990.047 -5.570921-0.0387144

edu68 |-4.8213352.354289-2.050.041 -9.435657-0.2070133

ika4564 |1.4616171.875710.780.436 -2.2147085.137941

tyokoke |0.03320570.24908580.130.894 -.45499360.5214049

tyokoke2 |-0.00368580.0052091-0.710.479 -.01389550.0065239

osa_aik |1.5385842.5444490.60.545 -3.4484456.525613

maaraik |2.3583941.4197621.660.097 -.42428765.141075

_Ityoai_2 |1.3235091.5044620.880.379 -1.6251814.2722

_Ityoai_3 |2.6341261.9021751.380.166 -1.0940696.362321

vai_aik |-2.0025011.004195-1.990.046 -3.970687-0.0343146

yp112 |0.43425310.5675120.770.444 -.67805011.546556

yp121 |1.2301250.3404583.610.000 .56283921.89741

yp113 |0.25324210.0302718.370.000 .19391210.3125721

yp123 |-0.45016260.0292661-15.380.000 -.5075231-0.3928021

_Ibusy_2 |-0.0177131.745962-0.010.992 -3.4397363.40431

_Ibusy_3 |2.6713622.0101021.330.184 -1.2683656.611088

asostimi |-9.8143453.586326-2.740.006 -16.84341-2.785275

napvol |-2.3208573.894305-0.60.551 -9.9535555.31184

_Ibadcond_2 |0.45205751.2655240.360.721 -2.0283242.932439

_Ibadcond_3 |-9.7963084.004888-2.450.014 -17.64574-1.946873

s91 |-0.61381441.1225-0.550.584 -2.8138741.586245

lapslkm |-0.71904740.6752875-1.060.287 -2.0425870.6044918

hoito |-3.1472091.059933-2.970.003 -5.224639-1.06978

sivsa |35.3544351.664820.680.494 -65.90675136.6156

pheckw |-3.7916785.331626-0.710.477 -14.241476.658116

psupply |0.00713460.00230633.090.002 .00261430.0116549

pedu68 |-1.4683861.504736-0.980.329 -4.4176151.480844

_cons |-17.17458100.9305-0.170.865 -214.9947180.6455

-------------+----------------------------------------------------------------

partic |

heckw |3.2344880.52158796.20.000 2.2121954.256782

raha_u |-0.00001258.13E-06-1.540.123 -.00002853.38E-06

edu35 |0.45119390.14287763.160.002 .1711590.7312288

edu68 |-0.5451010.2501128-2.180.029 -1.035313-0.0548889

ika4564 |-0.23072490.2018652-1.140.253 -.62637340.1649237

tyokoke |-0.04840070.0236545-2.050.041 -.0947627-0.0020388

tyokoke2 |0.00028320.00048750.580.561 -.00067230.0012388

yp113 |0.14022850.05717872.450.014 .02816040.2522966

yp123 |-0.01798150.0024977-7.20.000 -.0228768-0.0130862

_Ibusy_2 |0.57934570.13704074.230.000 .31075070.8479406

_Ibusy_3 |1.0663110.18507185.760.000 .70357711.429045

asostimi |0.61102710.32935411.860.064 -.0344951.256549

napvol |0.3276470.44848510.730.465 -.55136751.206662

_Ibadcond_2 |-0.37482320.1514901-2.470.013 -.6717383-0.0779081

_Ibadcond_3 |0.51636630.43954461.170.240 -.34512541.377858

s91 |-0.05953330.1267359-0.470.639 -.3079310.1888645

lapslkm |-0.06362570.0642046-0.990.322 -.18946430.062213

laps06 |-0.78590530.1599175-4.910.000 -1.099338-0.4724727

sivsa |-4.8583294.843064-10.316 -14.350564.633903

pheckw |0.55500340.503661.10.270 -.43215211.542159

psupply |-0.00072830.0002332-3.120.002 -.0011854-0.0002712

pedu68 |0.16623440.18134980.920.359 -.18920460.5216735

owner |0.44234880.12501783.540.000 .19731830.6873793

_Ikunry_1 |-0.02729990.1252405-0.220.827 -.27276680.2181669

_Ikunry_2 |-0.08047690.1210044-0.670.506 -.31764110.1566873

_Iisco_2 |-0.18920590.2218062-0.850.394 -.6239380.2455262

_Iisco_3 |-0.52049990.2059638-2.530.011 -.9241815-0.1168182

_Iisco_4 |0.33125860.22600921.470.143 -.11171130.7742285

_Iisco_5 |0.97281940.32373.010.003 .33837911.60726

_Iisco_6 |-0.2092320.2700216-0.770.438 -.73846470.3200006

_Iisco_7 |0.42805990.33107691.290.196 -.22083891.076959

_Iisco_8 |0.58516410.28274332.070.038 .03099741.139331

_cons |-24.642738.889353-2.770.006 -42.06555-7.219921

-------------+----------------------------------------------------------------

/athrho |-1.1885360.2650207-4.480.000 -1.707967-0.6691054

/lnsigma |2.8067050.0271645103.320.000 2.7534632.859946

-------------+----------------------------------------------------------------

rho |-0.83012440.0823932-0.9363977-0.5843911

sigma |16.555270.449716415.696917.46058

lambda |-13.742931.625573-16.929-10.55687

------------------------------------------------------------------------------


------------------------------------------------------------------------------

. predict presupply;



. save "p:\projektit\tyomarkkinat\agir\tyoaika\presupply.dta", replace;

file p:\projektit\tyomarkkinat\agir\tyoaika\presupply.dta saved

. log close;


log type: text

closed on: 15 Oct 2002,10:26:21

-------------------------------------------------------------------------------

-------------------------------------------------------------------------------


log type: text

opened on: 15 Oct 2002,10:26:22

. xi: heckmansupply heckw raha_u





> lapslkm hoito




> select(partsu= heckw raha_u




















Uncensored obs =992

Wald chi2(29) =153.53



------------------------------------------------------------------------------

|Robust


-------------+----------------------------------------------------------------

supply |

heckw |7.0797364.3846811.610.106 -1.51408115.67355

raha_u |0.00005560.0000541.030.304 -.00005030.0001615

edu35 |-0.06667421.100635-0.060.952 -2.223882.090532

edu68 |-3.2785881.830728-1.790.073 -6.8667490.3095741

ika4564 |2.4509811.4673261.670.095 -.42492555.326887

tyokoke |-0.38623720.1896698-2.040.042 -.7579831-0.0144912

tyokoke2 |0.00565040.00388111.460.145 -.00195640.0132572

osa_aik |-1.0118292.057541-0.490.623 -5.0445363.020878

maaraik |-0.33685421.084413-0.310.756 -2.4622641.788556

_Ityoai_2 |1.2478071.239951.010.314 -1.182453.678064

_Ityoai_3 |-2.3987931.503932-1.60.111 -5.3464450.5488592

vai_aik |-1.4757040.7797711-1.890.058 -3.0040270.052619

yp112 |-0.74171850.5039032-1.470.141 -1.7293510.2459135

yp121 |0.01011190.37403610.030.978 -.72298540.7432092

yp113 |0.09460970.03043563.110.002 .0349570.1542623

yp123 |-0.35063660.0383675-9.140.000 -.4258354-0.2754377

_Ibusy_2 |2.6381011.2952842.040.042 .09939145.17681

_Ibusy_3 |5.5726011.4813513.760.000 2.6692068.475995

asostimi |-3.1703482.703392-1.170.241 -8.4688992.128202

napvol |-3.2782352.819822-1.160.245 -8.8049842.248514

_Ibadcond_2 |0.28282170.96186570.290.769 -1.60242.168044

_Ibadcond_3 |-6.4568085.235962-1.230.218 -16.71913.805488

s91 |-2.3249220.8719023-2.670.008 -4.033819-0.6160251

lapslkm |-0.63076030.5563503-1.130.257 -1.7211870.4596662

hoito |-0.25494840.9252092-0.280.783 -2.0683251.558428

sivsa |38.5256538.731550.990.320 -37.38679114.4381

pheckw |-4.0138073.978633-1.010.313 -11.811783.78417

psupply |0.00196730.00183591.070.284 -.0016310.0055657

pedu68 |0.17993221.1087660.160.871 -1.993212.353074

_cons |-61.6495273.30096-0.840.400 -205.316882.01771

-------------+----------------------------------------------------------------

partsu |

heckw |1.636720.52927523.090.002 .59935972.67408

raha_u |4.18E-068.86E-060.470.637 -.00001320.0000215

edu35 |0.20989420.12377281.70.090 -.0326960.4524844

edu68 |-0.19765230.2075127-0.950.341 -.60436970.2090651

ika4564 |-0.25653820.1854642-1.380.167 -.62004140.1069649

tyokoke |0.00903260.02313330.390.696 -.03630790.054373

tyokoke2 |-0.00047010.0004483-1.050.294 -.00134880.0004086

yp113 |0.47241990.11045674.280.000 .25592880.6889111

yp123 |-0.03476370.0032046-10.850.000 -.0410446-0.0284828

_Ibusy_2 |0.11085210.13388380.830.408 -.15155530.3732595

_Ibusy_3 |0.36689180.16213152.260.024 .04911990.6846636

asostimi |-0.39424410.3079883-1.280.201 -.99788990.2094018

napvol |-0.00808830.4225135-0.020.985 -.83619960.8200229

_Ibadcond_2 |-0.15552990.12119-1.280.199 -.3930580.0819982

_Ibadcond_3 |-0.50960450.3507115-1.450.146 -1.1969860.1777774

s91 |0.08419330.10471370.80.421 -.12104180.2894283

lapslkm |-0.10944940.0590886-1.850.064 -.22526090.0063622

laps06 |-0.69833680.1424668-4.90.000 -.9775666-0.4191071

sivsa |-0.33439584.830259-0.070.945 -9.8015299.132738

pheckw |0.04320510.49825540.090.931 -.93335751.019768

psupply |0.00033420.00019981.670.094 -.00005750.0007258

pedu68 |-0.00624980.1485731-0.040.966 -.29744770.2849482

owner |-0.01296890.1386461-0.090.925 -.28471040.2587725

_Ikunry_1 |-0.02426150.1134663-0.210.831 -.24665140.1981284

_Ikunry_2 |0.09897780.12688130.780.435 -.14970480.3476605

_Iisco_2 |0.23706130.15973921.480.138 -.07602180.5501444

_Iisco_3 |-0.05314760.1699491-0.310.754 -.38624180.2799466

_Iisco_4 |0.36916520.18687841.980.048 .00289030.7354401

_Iisco_5 |0.86363380.31163012.770.006 .25285011.474418

_Iisco_6 |0.27730120.29241140.950.343 -.29581450.8504169

_Iisco_7 |0.28195760.26737481.050.292 -.24208750.8060026

_Iisco_8 |0.29484750.24013071.230.219 -.17580010.7654951

_cons |-14.773479.401559-1.570.116 -33.200193.653248

-------------+----------------------------------------------------------------

/athrho |-0.26518670.123821-2.140.032 -.5078715-0.0225019

/lnsigma |2.3913270.031476275.970.000 2.3296352.45302

-------------+----------------------------------------------------------------

rho |-0.25914040.115506-0.4682851-0.0224981

sigma |10.927990.343971710.2741911.62339

lambda |-2.8318841.287017-5.354391-0.3093769

------------------------------------------------------------------------------


------------------------------------------------------------------------------

. predict presupply2;



. keep heckw lraha_e supply presupplypresupply2toiminta partic partsu;

. save "p:\projektit\tyomarkkinat\agir\tyoaika\presupply.dta", replace;

file p:\projektit\tyomarkkinat\agir\tyoaika\presupply.dta saved

. log close;


log type: text

closed on: 15 Oct 2002,10:26:43

-------------------------------------------------------------------------------

tableTarik



Taulukko 13. Tyn tarjonta 45-64 vuotiaatUncensored obs =2418

MiesNainenOsallistumisyhtlMiesNainen


heckw |Ennustettu palkka5.952(19.228)9.578(9.878)Ennustettu palkka5.527(1.143)**3.080(0.893)**heckw |okheckw |-13.66745.287272-1.230.217 -16.890933.834797

raha_u |Perheen pomatulo-0.000(0)0.000(0)Perheen pomatulo0.000(0)-0.000(0)raha_u |okraha_u |2.19E-060.00006250.460.647 -.00009380.000151

edu35 |Ammattikoulutus-0.944(3.057)-3.769(1.862)*Ammattikoulutus-0.664(0.267)*0.321(0.179)edu35 |okedu35 |-1.0211671.301293-0.640.524 -3.3795921.721382

edu68 |Korkeakoulutus5.917(7.053)-10.151(3.389)**Korkeakoulutus-3.206(0.648)**-0.713(0.39)edu68 |okedu68 |9.3343522.1921920.90.367 -2.3196986.273536

tyokoke |Tyokokemus2.063(1.831)-0.050(1.612)Tyokokemus-0.830(0.347)*-0.205(0.236)tyokoke |tyokoke |3.1609110.21649931.260.206 -.15068920.6979723

tyokoke2 |Tyokokemus2-0.031(0.027)-0.007(0.024)Tyokokemus20.011(0.005)*0.002(0.003)tyokoke2 |tyokoke2 |-0.04276960.0045672-0.90.370 -.01304380.0048594

maaraik |Osa-aikainen8.039(4.129)Ty ja vapaa-aika %0.070(0.036)0.104(0.049)*yp113 |_Ityoai_2 |-1.2322342.340781-2.290.022 -9.943145-0.7674539

maaraik |Mraikainen-3.106(4.192)-0.267(2.32)Kotity ja vapaa-aika %-0.011(0.006)*-0.021(0.004)**yp123 |_Ityoai_3 |5.7105611.2994521.750.081 -.27839194.815365

_Ityoai_2 |Ilta- tai yty-1.308(3.636)-2.327(2.206)Kiireinen0.263(0.259)0.518(0.173)**_Ibusy_2 |vai_aik |4.2573741.4651710.330.738 -2.3820953.361269

_Ityoai_3 |Muu tyaika, ei tyllinen5.308(3.777)4.617(3.078)Kiireinen ja aikapula1.417(0.714)*1.274(0.331)**_Ibusy_3 |_Ibusy_2 |4.9504111.6365371.560.119 -.65823335.756876

vai_aik |Vaikuttaa omaan tyaikaan2.832(1.981)-5.559(1.68)**Sosiaalinen kanssakyminen0.628(1.038)1.384(0.82)asostimi |_Ibusy_3 |4.877080.9758433-0.390.697 -2.2928031.532432

yp112 |Ty ja kotity %1.394(1.288)1.432(0.705)*Aktiivinen vapaa-aika0.145(1.066)-0.396(0.629)napvol |asostimi |-11.988361.4464120.670.501 -1.861723.80811

yp121 |Kotity ja ty %2.031(0.758)**1.805(0.538)**Terveys keskinkertainen, hyv-0.806(0.368)*-0.499(0.268)_Ibadcond_2 |

yp113 |Ty ja vapaa-aika %0.300(0.077)**0.222(0.049)**Terveys huono-1.494(0.515)**0.359(0.699)_Ibadcond_3 |_Ibadcond_2 |2.9306853.292945-3.350.001 -17.48743-4.579321

yp123 |Kotity ja vapaa-aika %-0.512(0.071)**-0.426(0.046)**Pitkaikainen sairaus0.051(0.251)0.034(0.172)s91 |_Ibadcond_3 |5.4988353.968996-1.840.065 -15.093940.4642391

_Ibusy_2 |Kiireinen6.488(2.64)*-0.880(2.223)Lasten lukumr-0.052(0.144)-0.109(0.105)lapslkm |s91 |-5.3295421.145131-0.850.395 -3.2188191.270013

_Ibusy_3 |Kiireinen ja aikapula7.529(3.806)*1.952(2.832)Naimisissa tai avoliitossa2.205(10.216)-2.191(8.177)laps06 |lapslkm |-0.76222813.255229-1.770.076 -12.157610.6026492

asostimi |Sosiaalinen kanssakyminen-5.577(6.55)-13.533(6.194)*Puolison ennustettu palkka-0.247(1.054)0.276(0.842)sivsa |hoito |2.6596921.069264-2.480.013 -4.750273-0.5588367

napvol |Aktiivinen vapaa-aika-0.404(7.489)2.844(4.698)Puolison tyn tarjonta0.001(0.001)-0.001(0.001)pheckw |pheckw |0.01361740.6281442-0.190.847 -1.3522351.110045

_Ibadcond_2 |Terveys keskinkertainen, hyv0.708(2.821)0.079(2.139)Puoliso korkeasti koulutettu9.640(2.415)**0.099(0.253)psupply |psupply |0.01350390.9062374-1.020.308 -2.6998850.8524999

_Ibadcond_3 |Terveys huono2.295(6.088)-7.700(6.57)Taajama-0.035(0.304)0.570(0.184)**pedu68 |pedu68 |-4.71807444.815710.610.541 -60.40967115.2647

s91 |Pitkaikainen sairaus-2.706(2.054)-0.684(1.658)Maaseutu0.348(0.27)0.033(0.257)owner |_cons |107.10254.589456-0.580.563 -11.646686.343656

lapslkm |Lasten lukumr-0.224(1.178)-2.488(1.223)*Asiantuntija0.146(0.432)-0.096(0.234)_Ikunry_1 |-------------+------------

sivsa |Naimisissa tai avoliitossa111.460(130.07)16.158(87.419)Toimisto- tai asiakaspalvelu0.600(0.685)0.068(0.307)_Ikunry_2 |partic |1.356424-1.470.142 -4.6489180.6681643

pheckw |Puolison ennustettu palkka-11.523(13.113)-1.785(8.896)Palvelu-, myynti-, hoitoty0.929(0.552)-0.601(0.316)_Iisco_2 |89.093990.810.419 -102.6868246.5552

psupply |Puolison tyn tarjonta0.011(0.005)*0.003(0.004)Maanviljely, metsty2.431(0.709)**0.412(0.32)_Iisco_3 |----------------------------------------------------

pedu68 |Puoliso korkeasti koulutettu-5.782(3.06)-0.241(2.102)Rakennus- korjaus- ja valmistus0.317(0.363)0.822(0.53)_Iisco_4 |

_cons |Vakio-172.045(307.923)-56.585(177.143)Prosessi- ja kuljetus-0.351(0.401)-0.043(0.425)_Iisco_5 |0.4497776.810.000 2.1804813.943574

raha_u |* Tilastollisesti merkitsev 95% luottamustasolla, ** merkitsev 99% luottamustasolla. Selitettv muuttuja tuntipalkka. Viiteryhmt ovat: ammattiryhmiss ylemmt toimihenkilt, eritysasiantuntijat, koulututuksessa vhemmn kuin 3 vuoden ammattillinen kMuu0.330(0.544)0.312(0.486)_Iisco_6 |heckw |3.5717640.4497776.810.000 2.1804813.943574

edu35 |Vakio-38.516(20.366)0.889(0.408)*_Iisco_7 |raha_u |3.49E-069.45E-06-0.170.866 -.00002010.0000169

edu68 |l-7.0139.945-14.869(4.646)**_Iisco_8 |edu35 |-0.36672950.0988842-0.020.981 -.19615560.1914634

ika4564 |Havaintojen lukumr/rajoitetut597 / 60670 / 94_cons |edu68 |-2.6615710.2375699-3.930.000 -1.400343-0.4690864

tyokoke2 |tyokoke |-1.0414860.0188647-3.950.000 -.1114665-0.0375183

_Ibusy_2 |tyokoke2 |0.0129150.0003750.830.407 -.00042390.001046

_Ibusy_3 |_Ibusy_2 |0.29218790.10491834.50.000 .26644920.6777214

asostimi |_Ibusy_3 |1.653270.15492286.60.000 .71955531.326842

napvol |asostimi |-0.31688850.25543122.090.037 .03216731.033439

_Ibadcond_2 |napvol |-0.72167970.3361212-1.090.275 -1.0256460.291925

_Ibadcond_3 |_Ibadcond_2 |-0.79347040.1187997-3.060.002 -.5963125-0.1306263

s91 |_Ibadcond_3 |-1.4408890.2672915-0.860.387 -.75498480.2927786

lapslkm |s91 |-0.0698230.0879737-0.790.432 -.24161920.1032313

laps06 |lapslkm |-0.00806650.05318650.160.869 -.09547810.1130091

pheckw |0.000okpheckw |0.02340993.683635-0.690.490 -9.7649264.67466

psupply |0.0000.0000.000okpsupply |0.00120180.38173750.750.452 -.46099561.035388

pedu68 |0.0000.0000.000owner |0.65722940.00020280.290.774 -.00033910.0004557

owner |0.0000.0000.000ok_Ikunry_1 |0.49822070.16111650.890.376 -.17314810.4584171

_Ikunry_1 |0.0000.0000.000ok_Ikunry_2 |-0.04753360.09847776.090.000 .40658120.7926066

_Ikunry_2 |0.0000.0000.000_Iisco_2 |-0.12446820.0944233-0.530.596 -.23509080.1350416

suk |0.0000.0000.000_Iisco_3 |-1.3167790.0927352-10.319 -.27417250.0893428

_Iisco_4 |0.13441070.1614853-0.370.713 -.37584280.2571679

_Iisco_3 |0.0000.0000.000ok_Iisco_5 |2.218860.1540985-2.240.025 -.6477588-0.0437037

_Iisco_4 |0.0000.0000.000ok_Iisco_6 |-0.13980660.18002612.040.041 .01503930.7207288

_Iisco_5 |0.0000.0000.000ok_Iisco_7 |-0.22012570.23643884.920.000 .69957061.626394

_Iisco_6 |0.0000.0000.000ok_Iisco_8 |-0.3700650.167350300.997 -.32736690.3286341

_Iisco_7 |0.0000.0000.000ok_cons |-13.393970.17434570.190.847 -.30801760.375405

_Iisco_8 |0.0000.0000.000ok-------------+------------0.1826451.160.247 -.14666610.5692893

_cons |0.0000.0000.000ok/athrho |-12.695447.492763-3.370.001 -39.90256-10.53147

-------------+-/lnsigma |3.0665080.1616922-6.250.000 -1.32711-0.6932883

/athrho |-------------+------------0.0200573149.990.000 2.9691473.04777

/lnsigma |rho |-1----------------------------------------------------

-------------+-sigma |21.466810.0668569-0.8685413-0.6000903

rho |lambda |-21.466810.406283919.4752921.06831

sigma |--------------------------1.554892-18.56059-12.46552

lambda |lambda |4.930228----------------------------------------------------

-----------------------------------------(rho = 0): chi2(1) =39.03 Prob > chi20

Wald test of inWald test of indep. eqns.----------------------------------------------------

--------------------------0.1598323-6.40.000 -1.336576-0.7100449

tarik

-------------------------------------------------------------------------------

log: p:\projektit\tyomarkkinat\agir\tyoaika\jaksaika.log

log type: text

opened on: 15 Oct 2002,12:31:10

. /*miehet yli44 vuotiaat*/

> /*osa_aik maaraik napvol sivsa ja partic yhtlss

> sivsa pedu68ei tuota varianssia*/



> /*osa_aik*/maaraik i.tyoai



> lapslkm



> /*i.isco*/ [pweight=wpkvak] if ika> 44 & suk==0,






> lapslkm /*laps06*/ /*hoito*/


> /*i.intern*//*owner*//*tiheys2*/i.kunry i.isco







note: ika4564dropped dueto collinearity

note: ika4564dropped dueto collinearity







Uncensored obs =537

Wald chi2(26) =159.41



------------------------------------------------------------------------------

|Robust


-------------+----------------------------------------------------------------

supply |

heckw |5.95206919.228110.310.757 -31.7343343.63847

raha_u |-4.20E-060.0001096-0.040.969 -.0002190.0002106

edu35 |-0.94364133.056627-0.310.758 -6.9345215.047238

edu68 |5.9170517.0529470.840.401 -7.90647219.74057

tyokoke |2.0626061.8313831.130.260 -1.5268385.65205

tyokoke2 |-0.03097190.0267837-1.160.248 -.0834670.0215232

maaraik |-3.1063454.191633-0.740.459 -11.32185.109106

_Ityoai_2 |-1.3075043.635525-0.360.719 -8.4330015.817994

_Ityoai_3 |5.3081223.7766111.410.160 -2.09389912.71014

vai_aik |2.8318291.980791.430.153 -1.0504496.714107

yp112 |1.394241.2884231.080.279 -1.1310233.919503

yp121 |2.0307020.75792122.680.007 .54520363.5162

yp113 |0.29988460.07718613.890.000 .14860260.4511666

yp123 |-0.51224820.0714657-7.170.000 -.6523184-0.3721779

_Ibusy_2 |6.4876652.6395742.460.014 1.31419511.66114

_Ibusy_3 |7.5285553.80581.980.048 .069323514.98779

asostimi |-5.5766446.550276-0.850.395 -18.414957.26166

napvol |-0.40362167.488617-0.050.957 -15.0810414.2738

_Ibadcond_2 |0.70777122.8205910.250.802 -4.8204856.236027

_Ibadcond_3 |2.2946976.0882420.380.706 -9.63803814.22743

s91 |-2.7055342.054034-1.320.188 -6.7313671.320298

lapslkm |-0.22385811.178466-0.190.849 -2.5336082.085892

sivsa |111.4601130.07020.860.391 -143.4729366.3931

pheckw |-11.5225813.11262-0.880.380 -37.2228514.17769

psupply |0.01091820.00507462.150.031 .00097220.0208643

pedu68 |-5.7816383.060287-1.890.059 -11.779690.2164145

_cons |-172.045307.9228-0.560.576 -775.5626431.4725

-------------+----------------------------------------------------------------

partic |

heckw |5.5269521.1434374.830.000 3.2858567.768048

raha_u |7.35E-060.00001280.580.565 -.00001770.0000324

edu35 |-0.66365090.266615-2.490.013 -1.186207-0.1410952

edu68 |-3.2057590.6483711-4.940.000 -4.476543-1.934975

tyokoke |-0.83034820.3467208-2.390.017 -1.509908-0.1507879

tyokoke2 |0.01052390.00475042.220.027 .00121330.0198345

yp113 |0.06959870.0363511.910.056 -.00164790.1408453

yp123 |-0.01133060.0055265-2.050.040 -.0221624-0.0004988

_Ibusy_2 |0.26302830.25862681.020.309 -.2438710.7699276

_Ibusy_3 |1.4170960.71417171.980.047 .01734552.816847

asostimi |0.62756451.0376610.60.545 -1.4062132.661342

napvol |0.14503321.0657220.140.892 -1.9437432.23381

_Ibadcond_2 |-0.80643390.3682889-2.190.029 -1.528267-0.0846009

_Ibadcond_3 |-1.4942280.5152919-2.90.004 -2.504182-0.4842747

s91 |0.05145940.2507920.210.837 -.44008380.5430027

lapslkm |-0.05207280.1440392-0.360.718 -.33438440.2302388

sivsa |2.2053410.216070.220.829 -17.817822.22848

pheckw |-0.24722811.053816-0.230.815 -2.312671.818213

psupply |0.00098240.00051621.90.057 -.00002940.0019942

pedu68 |9.64042.4152293.990.000 4.90663714.37416

_Ikunry_1 |-0.03472020.3043547-0.110.909 -.63124440.5618041

_Ikunry_2 |0.34844820.26960991.290.196 -.17997750.876874

_Iisco_2 |0.14601310.43231210.340.736 -.7013030.9933292

_Iisco_3 |0.59956770.68538880.870.382 -.74376961.942905

_Iisco_4 |0.92942490.55227291.680.092 -.15301012.01186

_Iisco_5 |2.4309180.70886413.430.001 1.041573.820266

_Iisco_6 |0.31700790.36271040.870.382 -.39389141.027907

_Iisco_7 |-0.35105210.4005391-0.880.381 -1.1360940.43399

_Iisco_8 |0.33012560.54410590.610.544 -.73630241.396554

_cons |-38.5156420.36574-1.890.059 -78.431761.400479

-------------+----------------------------------------------------------------

/athrho |-0.40379480.6229749

etla/piekkola&harmoinen 1 agir -project workshop 14-15 february 2003 cpb, hague option value for...

Documents

unhealthy work

weektotal work

work smallerprediction

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