eu market situation for poultry common · eu market situation for poultry 18 june 2015 exports of...

EU Market Situation

for Poultry

Committee for the

Common Organisation of the Agricultural Markets

18 June 2015

EU market situation for Poultry 18 June 2015

1,0

1,5

2,0

2,5

3,0

3,5

I 2008 I 2009 I 2010 I 2011 I 2012 I 2013 I 2014 I 2015 I

source:http://europa.eu.int/comm/budget/inforeuro/fr/index.htm

€uro Exchange rate

1 Euro = .....…US$ / BRZ Real/

BRZ Real

USA $


0

50

100

150

200

250

300

350

400

| 2011 | 2012 | 2013 | 2014 | 2015 |

Eu

ro

/ T

(fe

ed

)

Eu

ro

/ 1

00

kg

(B

ro

ile

r)

Price development of Compound feed for Broilers, a Broiler Cereal-Feedmix and Broiler price

margin broiler/ comp feed (2.7 (2011) - 2.4 (2014))Cereal-mixCompound feedBroilerAvg. Margin 2009 - 2013 (93,99 €/100kg)

NB. Comp. Feed 2014 =Forecast as from February 2015.Cereal mix and Poultry = Forecast as from June 2015.


75

85

95

105

115

125

1 3 5 7 9 11 13 15 17 19 21 23 25 27 29 31 33 35 37 39 41 43 45 47 49 51 53

Rem

aind

er €

uro/

100

kg

100KG Broiler minus feedcost for Broilersfeedconversionrate = 2,7 (2011) - 2,4 (2014)

Marge Average10 - 14

Marge Broiler 2012 Marge Broiler 2013

Marge Broiler 2014 Marge Broiler 2015


175

185

195

205

janv. févr. mars avr. mai juin juil. août sept. oct. nov. déc.

€ur

o/ 1

00

kg

Evolution of the weekly EU average price for Broiler

Moy. 10-14 2013 2014 2015

189,22 €/100 kg

Source: MSs weekly communications


189,22

191,42

95,99

75,00

100,00

125,00

150,00

175,00

200,00

| 10 | 11 | 12 | 13 | 14 | 15

Broiler prices in EU, USA and Brazilin €uro/ 100kg

EU broiler

US broiler €uro

BR Broil €uro/ (Ave world)

EU = weighted avg of MS prices Broiler 65% US = weekly USDA prices Fresh chicken grade A ,ChicagoBR = avg of prices in main producing states (Aveworld.com.br)


0

150

300

450

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900

0

150.000

300.000

450.000

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750.000

| 2011 | 2012 | 2013 | 2014 | 2015

Re

alise

d sla

ug

hte

r in

1000 TFo

reca

st i

n t

on

ne

s

Forecast and Production of Broilers.In Tonn

Forecast Production Broiler Broiler slaughter

Jan. Feb. March April May June July Aug. Sept. Oct. Nov. Dec.2013 580 736 647 722 686 792 629 810 696 568 727 383 705 763 683 621 718 661 695 745 679 356 706 715 2014 573 133 675 908 692 269 647 505 706 405 733 270 720 545 710 874 733 943 680 341 696 5 88 689 888 2015 534 590 676 032 710 523 671 775 551 187


0

100.000

200.000

300.000

400.000

500.000

600.000

| 2011 | 2012 | 2013 | 2014 | 2015

1 00

0 p

Placings of Broiler chicks (1 000 pieces)compared to the baseline trend

(baseline= monthly avg 2011 - 2015)

Placings Broiler (baseline= monthly avg 2011 - 2015) - Broiler chicks

Jan. Feb. March April May June July Aug. Sept. Oct. Nov. Dec.2013 513 645 477 489 532 079 549 359 531 593 524 160 535 570 535 521 514 895 529 349 443 478 511 348 2014 518 996 490 967 534 351 551 180 545 726 536 031 552 421 513 339 525 981 519 933 404 549 371 829 2015 532 643 497 724 463 904

Source: Eurostat

TRADE



Imports of Poultry meat from selected origins

Compared

tonnes % tonnes % tonnes % tonnes % tonnes % to Jan-Apr 14

Brazil 615.832 71,9% 583.449 67,3% 514.339 63,2% 500.569 59,7% 136.693 53,4% - 23%

Thailand 155.788 18,2% 197.962 22,8% 228.238 28,0% 250.338 29,9% 92.271 36,0% + 16%

Ukraine 31 0,0% 276 0,0% 19.928 2,4% 8.614 3,4% +++

Chile 44.433 5,2% 42.192 4,9% 30.515 3,7% 25.801 3,1% 7.673 3,0% - 17%

China 13.874 1,6% 15.698 1,8% 18.145 2,2% 19.703 2,4% 5.466 2,1% - 19%

Argentina 15.700 1,8% 13.766 1,6% 10.783 1,3% 10.993 1,3% 2.467 1,0% - 22%

USA 129 0,0% 352 0,0% 193 0,0% 43 0,0% 794 0,3% +++

Sw itzerland 1.253 0,1% 3.817 0,4% 3.817 0,5% 4.234 0,5% 730 0,3% - 50%

Others 10.051 1,2% 9.968 1,1% 7.525 0,9% 6.326 0,8% 1.366 0,5% #N/A

EXTRA EU 28 857.092 867.203 813.832 837.935 256.074

% change + 1% - 6% + 3% - 8,6%

2011 2012 2013 Jan-Apr 152014


0

20.000

40.000

60.000

80.000

100.000

120.000

|

Jan

06

2006 |

Jan

07

2007 |

Jan

08

2008 |

Jan

09

2009 |

Jan

10

2010 |

Jan

11

2011 |

Jan

12

2012 |

Jan

13

2013 |

Jan

14

2014 |

Jan

15

in T

onne

s cw

e

Imports of selected Poultry products

FROZEN PREPARED SALTED OTHERS


Exports of Poultry Meat to Selected Destinations

Compared

tonnes % tonnes % tonnes % tonnes % tonnes % to Jan-Apr 14

Benin 126.213 8,9% 139.817 9,8% 139.247 9,8% 163.793 10,9% 55.127 11,8% + 9%

South Africa 94.083 6,7% 131.832 9,2% 158.510 11,1% 203.414 13,5% 51.735 11,1% - 12%

Saudi Arabia 151.520 10,7% 149.310 10,4% 154.775 10,9% 123.559 8,2% 45.700 9,8% + 6%

Philippines 30.341 2,1% 30.764 2,2% 35.674 2,5% 57.621 3,8% 36.770 7,9% + 173%

Hong Kong 189.151 13,4% 126.072 8,8% 117.152 8,2% 136.088 9,0% 33.496 7,2% - 21%

Ghana 68.978 4,9% 69.156 4,8% 75.216 5,3% 56.883 3,8% 22.454 4,8% + 55%

Ukraine 81.687 5,8% 103.427 7,2% 75.966 5,3% 80.208 5,3% 17.975 3,9% + 26%

Gabon 25.601 1,8% 26.298 1,8% 25.070 1,8% 29.409 2,0% 13.801 3,0% + 47%

Congo (Dem. Rep.) 29.972 2,1% 34.231 2,4% 28.625 2,0% 33.723 2,2% 11.479 2,5% + 12%

For.JRep.Mac 24.790 1,8% 32.747 2,3% 36.530 2,6% 33.552 2,2% 11.174 2,4% + 4%

Russia 115.136 8,1% 113.134 7,9% 95.179 6,7% 68.325 4,5% 300 0,1% - 99%

Other Destinations 476.174 33,7% 473.766 33,1% 484.421 34,0% 517.311 34,4% 166.375 35,7%

Extra-EU 28 1.413.647 1.430.554 1.426.365 1.503.885 466.387

% change + 1% - 0% + 5% + 2,5%

2011 2012 2013 Jan-Apr 152014


EU Poultry meat Export

60.447 64.470 76.220

98.655 63.936 79.5455.493

7.29317.423

438.207399.344

407.167

700.481

636.959684.644

0

100.000

200.000

300.000

400.000

500.000

600.000

700.000

800.000

Jan-Apr 13 Jan-Apr 14 Jan-Apr 15

10

00

EU

R

EU EXPORTS of Poultry Meat (1000 EUR)

Benin South Africa Saudi Arabia Philippines Hong Kong Other dest inations *

* countries trading less than 48 000 ('000 EUR)

43.686 50.748 55.127

51.735

43.044 45.7007.312 13.472 36.77044.684 42.152

33.496

269.937 246.949 243.559

469.011 455.156 466.387

0

50.000

100.000

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200.000

250.000

300.000

350.000

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Jan-Apr 13 Jan-Apr 14 Jan-Apr 15

To

nn

es

cw

EU EXPORTS of Poultry Meat (Tonnes cwe)

Benin South Africa Saudi Arabia Philippines Hong Kong Other destinations *

* countries trading less than 23 000 Tons


0

20.000

40.000

60.000

80.000

100.000

120.000

140.000

160.000

180.000

|Jan06

2006 |Jan07

2007 |Jan08

2008 |Jan09

2009 |Jan10

2010 |Jan11

2011 |Jan12

2012 |Jan13

2013 |Jan14

2014 |Jan15

In

tons

CWE

Exports of selected Poultry products

FROZEN PREPARED FRESH OTHERS


EU Poultry meat Trade Balance

302277 292 310

371

676

794

480

614 616

858891 876

821857 867

814838

256

1.017

1.101 1.1161.153

1.114

1.275

1.063 1.046

997 997

867

9821.016

1.265

1.414 1.431 1.426

1.504

466

0

200

400

600

800

1.000

1.200

1.400

1.600

1997 1998 1999 2000 2001 2002 2003 2004 2005 2006 2007 2008 2009 2010 2011 2012 2013 2014 Jan-Apr15

in 1000 Tonnes cwe

IMPORTS EXPORTS

Parameters for the calculation of the estimated production of broilers


BE BG CZ DK DE EE GR ES FR HR IE IT CY LV LT LU HU MT NL AT PL PT RO SI SK FI SE UK

ParameterNational Average Live

weight (kg) at

Slaughter

2,40 2,10 1,90 2,10 2,11 2,39 2,40 2,66 2,02 1,99 2,04 2,60 2,64 2,10 2,44 2,40 2,33 2,55 2,23 1,83 2,44 1,85 2,20 2,20 2,12 2,34 1,91 2,23

National Average

Carcass yield (%)68% 73,0% 74,0% 75,0% 70,0% 71,0% 75,0% 70,2% 67,0% 69,4% 71,7% 70,1% 77,0% 74,4% 75,1% 68% 70,1% 74,0% 66,0% 75,0% 69,9% 72,4% 70,5% 72,5% 72,5% 75,0% 69,0%

National Average

Mortality (%)2,0% 4,3% 4,0% 2,5%

3.0-

3.5%

(l.w)

4.0%

(h.w.)

2,5%

-

3,0%

6,0% 5,2% 4,2% 3,7% 2,9% 5,0% 3,2% 3,3% 5,0% 2,0% 4,2% 6,5% 3,5% 4,2% 4,2% 2,6% 2,5% 3,9% 3,5% 3,5% 4,8%

National Average

Period of rearing

(days)

40,0 51* 35,0 35,030 -

3837 - 40 45,0 43,5 37,7 35,0 36,9 35/46 47,4 37,1 40,0 40,0 41,5 45,0 41,0 35,00 42,0 37,8 41,0 37,7 38,5 37,0 42,0

2013

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