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Page 1: European Community. Corruption Perception Index u u Transparency International u u Gottingen University u u Berlin, Germany u u

European Community

Page 2: European Community. Corruption Perception Index u u Transparency International u u Gottingen University u u Berlin, Germany u u

Corruption Perception Index

Transparency International Gottingen University Berlin, Germany http://www.transparency.org

Page 3: European Community. Corruption Perception Index u u Transparency International u u Gottingen University u u Berlin, Germany u u

Corruption Perception Index

Rank Country Score

1

2

3

4

5

6

Page 4: European Community. Corruption Perception Index u u Transparency International u u Gottingen University u u Berlin, Germany u u

2014 Corruption Perception Index

Rank Country Score

1 Denmark 92

2 New Zealand 91

3 Finland 89

4 Sweden 87

5 Norway 86

5 Switzerland 86

Page 5: European Community. Corruption Perception Index u u Transparency International u u Gottingen University u u Berlin, Germany u u

2014 Corruption Perception Index

Rank Country Score

170 Iraq 16

171 S. Sudan 15

172 Afghanistan 12

173 Sudan 11

174 N. Korea 8

174 Somolia 8

Page 6: European Community. Corruption Perception Index u u Transparency International u u Gottingen University u u Berlin, Germany u u

2014 Corruption Perception Index

Rank Country Score

10 Canada 81

15 Japan 76

17 U. S. A. 74

26 France 69

100 China 36

103 Mexico 35

Page 7: European Community. Corruption Perception Index u u Transparency International u u Gottingen University u u Berlin, Germany u u

Shapiro: Chapter 3

The International The International Monetary SystemMonetary System

Page 8: European Community. Corruption Perception Index u u Transparency International u u Gottingen University u u Berlin, Germany u u

Alternative Exchange Rate Systems

Free (“Clean”) Float Managed (“Dirty”) Float Target-Zone Fixed Rate Hybrid

Page 9: European Community. Corruption Perception Index u u Transparency International u u Gottingen University u u Berlin, Germany u u

Free (“Clean”) Float System

Supply & demand for currency Price level changes (inflation) Interest rate differentials Economic growth Exchange rates fluctuate randomly Adjust quickly to new information

Page 10: European Community. Corruption Perception Index u u Transparency International u u Gottingen University u u Berlin, Germany u u

Managed (“Dirty”) Float System

Central bank intervention Reduce economic uncertainty Impact on domestic economy Appreciation (reduces exports) Depreciation (higher inflation)

Page 11: European Community. Corruption Perception Index u u Transparency International u u Gottingen University u u Berlin, Germany u u

Managed (“Dirty”) Float System

Categories:– 1. smoothing daily fluctuations– 2. “leaning against the wind”– 3. unofficial pegging

Page 12: European Community. Corruption Perception Index u u Transparency International u u Gottingen University u u Berlin, Germany u u

Fluctuating Value of the Yen[¥ per $,1954 - 2015]

Page 13: European Community. Corruption Perception Index u u Transparency International u u Gottingen University u u Berlin, Germany u u

“Japan spends 4 trillion yen on currency interventions in September”

-MSNBC, 9/30/03

“Japan spent more than 4 trillion yen ($36.2 billion) over the last month intervening in currency markets, adding to a record figure it has spent this year in an aggressive yen-weakening campaign that has been criticized by its trading partners.”

Page 14: European Community. Corruption Perception Index u u Transparency International u u Gottingen University u u Berlin, Germany u u

“Japan spends 4 trillion yen on currency interventions in September”

-MSNBC, 9/30/03

“That brought the total for the year to 13.48 trillion yen ($122.01 billion). The cumulative figure has already surpassed the previous full-year record of 7.64 trillion yen in 1999.”

Page 15: European Community. Corruption Perception Index u u Transparency International u u Gottingen University u u Berlin, Germany u u

“Japan spends 4 trillion yen on currency interventions in September”

-MSNBC, 9/30/03

“Japanese officials often threaten to step into the market to prevent ‘excessive’ movements by the Japanese currency, whose fluctuations have a direct impact on profits by exporters.”

Page 16: European Community. Corruption Perception Index u u Transparency International u u Gottingen University u u Berlin, Germany u u

Target-Zone Arrangement

Adjust national economic policies

Maintain exchange rates in a “band” around official rates

European Monetary System (EMS)

Page 17: European Community. Corruption Perception Index u u Transparency International u u Gottingen University u u Berlin, Germany u u

Target-Zone Arrangement[European Currency Unit (ECU)]

electronic unit of account – 1979-1999 composite currency twelve European countries exchange rate mechanism (ERM) originally a ±2.25% range

Page 18: European Community. Corruption Perception Index u u Transparency International u u Gottingen University u u Berlin, Germany u u

Target Zone Arrangement[European Monetary System]

80

85

90

95

100

105

110

115

120

1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9

Time

Exc

hang

e R

ate

Central Rate

Page 19: European Community. Corruption Perception Index u u Transparency International u u Gottingen University u u Berlin, Germany u u

Target Zone Arrangement[European Monetary System]

9596979899100101102103104105

1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9

Time

Exc

han

ge R

ate +2.25%

-2.25%

Page 20: European Community. Corruption Perception Index u u Transparency International u u Gottingen University u u Berlin, Germany u u

Target Zone Arrangement[European Monetary System]

9596979899100101102103104105

1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9

Time

Exc

han

ge R

ate +2.25%

-2.25%

Page 21: European Community. Corruption Perception Index u u Transparency International u u Gottingen University u u Berlin, Germany u u

Target Zone Arrangement[European Monetary System]

+2.25%

-2.25%

?

?

Page 22: European Community. Corruption Perception Index u u Transparency International u u Gottingen University u u Berlin, Germany u u

Target Zone Arrangement[European Monetary System]

+2.25%

-2.25%

Buy

Sell

Page 23: European Community. Corruption Perception Index u u Transparency International u u Gottingen University u u Berlin, Germany u u

Target-Zone Arrangement[European Currency Unit (ECU)]

electronic unit of account – 1979-1999electronic unit of account – 1979-1999 composite currencycomposite currency twelve European countriestwelve European countries exchange rate mechanism (ERM)exchange rate mechanism (ERM) originally a ±2.25% rangeoriginally a ±2.25% range adjusted to a ±15% rangeadjusted to a ±15% range

Page 24: European Community. Corruption Perception Index u u Transparency International u u Gottingen University u u Berlin, Germany u u

Target Zone Arrangement[European Monetary System]

80

85

90

95

100

105

110

115

120

1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9

Time

Exc

han

ge R

ate +15%

-15%

+2.25%

-2.25%

Page 25: European Community. Corruption Perception Index u u Transparency International u u Gottingen University u u Berlin, Germany u u

European Monetary Union Maastricht Treaty (7 Feb. 1992) Single central bank (ECB) Single European currency (“Euro”) Qualification standards

– inflation– currency stability– national debt and deficit

Page 26: European Community. Corruption Perception Index u u Transparency International u u Gottingen University u u Berlin, Germany u u

European Monetary Union[Convergence Criteria]

Inflation: no more than 1.5% above avg. of three members with lowest rate

L-T interest rate: no more than 2% above avg. of three members with lowest rate

Fiscal deficit: no more than 3% of GDP

Govt. debt: no more than 60% of GDP

Page 27: European Community. Corruption Perception Index u u Transparency International u u Gottingen University u u Berlin, Germany u u

European Monetary Union[Advantages]

Lower currency conversion costs Eliminate risk of currency fluctuations Encourage trade and investment Efficient allocation of resources Coordinate monetary policy Similar inflation rate

Page 28: European Community. Corruption Perception Index u u Transparency International u u Gottingen University u u Berlin, Germany u u

Fixed-Rate System(Bretton Woods)

Target exchange rates Central bank buys or sells currency to

maintain rate Coordinated monetary policy Same inflation rate for each country Sacrifices control of domestic economic

policy

Page 29: European Community. Corruption Perception Index u u Transparency International u u Gottingen University u u Berlin, Germany u u

The Gold Standard

Why? Distrust of fiat (paper) money and governments

Automatic adjustment mechanism “price-specie-flow” mechanism

Page 30: European Community. Corruption Perception Index u u Transparency International u u Gottingen University u u Berlin, Germany u u
Page 31: European Community. Corruption Perception Index u u Transparency International u u Gottingen University u u Berlin, Germany u u

Reasons for Currency Crises

Global trade links Integrated financial systems Debt policy – excessive short-term

debt

Page 32: European Community. Corruption Perception Index u u Transparency International u u Gottingen University u u Berlin, Germany u u

Avoiding Financial Crises

Currency controls Freely floating currency Fixed exchange rates Better information

Page 33: European Community. Corruption Perception Index u u Transparency International u u Gottingen University u u Berlin, Germany u u

Economics U$A Video

“Exchange Rates”

[# 1183]