eurotech : visione esponenziale
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Eurotech: storia e strategiaTRANSCRIPT
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Eurotech : Visione EsponenzialeDa un’Idea ad una Multinazionale tascabile
19-12-2013
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Il paradigmadella crisi
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La visione esponenziale:
Test
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Il cambiamento è esponenziale
laPercezione
istintiva è
Lineare
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La Tecnologia è in accelerazione
....nel 21º secolo nonassisteremo a 100 anni diprogresso ….ma a 20.000anni di progresso.
Ray Kurzweil
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Predizioni sbagliate … XX secolo 1
"Il cavallo è qui per restare, l'automobile è solo una novità passeggera."Un direttore di banca del Michigan a Henry Ford nel 1908.
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Predizioni sbagliate … XX secolo 2
" Gli aerei sono giocattoli interessanti, ma di nessun valore militare"
-Maréchal F. Foch, Professore di Strategia, Ecole Supérieure de Guerre 1928
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Predizioni sbagliate … XX secolo 3
"Chi si aspetta una fonte di energia dalla trasformazione dell'atomo sta parlando di cose senza senso".
Lord Rutherford, padre della fisica atomica 1930
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Predizioni sbagliate … XX secolo 4
"Non c'è motivo per cui qualcuno dovrebbe volere un computer nella propria casa."
Ken Olson, presidente e fondatore della Digital Equipment Corp, 1977
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Predizioni sbagliate … XX secolo 5
"Prevedo che Internet ... sarà una spettacolare supernova e nel 1996 sarà un catastrofico collasso"
Bob Metcalfe, fondatore di 3Com e inventore della rete Ethernet, 1995
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in un'intervista su Collier’s del 1926
Qualcuno invece vede il futuro
1856-1943
Quando le tecnologie wireless saranno perfettamente implementate tutta la Terra si trasformerà in un enorme cervello, come del resto lo è già, infatti tutte le cose sono elementi di un vero e proprio insieme coordinato...
...e gli strumenti attraverso i quali questo si realizzerà saranno incredibilmente semplici rispetto all’attuale nostro telefono. L'uomo sarà in grado di portarne uno nel taschino del panciotto.
Nikola Tesla nel 1926
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Technology Trigger
Peak of Inflated Expectations
Trough of Disillusionment
Slope of Enlightenment
Plateau of Productivity MATURITY
VISIBILITY
GARTNER HYPE CYCLE
HumanPerception
Technology
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il progresso
“Il principio è di fare semprepiù con sempre meno
peso, tempo ed energiaper ogni livello dato di
performance ….”
R. Buckminster Fuller
R. Buckminster Fuller1895 - 1983
….. va dal materiale all’astratto
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Ieri
con 175,000 tonnellate di cavodi rame transatlantico
oggi
con un satellite da ¼ di tonnellatache svolge le stesse funzioni e meglio
progresso tecnologico e smaterializzazione
Una telefonata dall’America all’Europa:
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Lions - 2013
C’era una volta il singolo transistor
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1952: 1 transistor
2008: 47 milioni di transistor in 24 mm2
2011: 1,16 miliardi di transistor in 216 mm2
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L’Innovazione si fa per Compressione di Spazio,Tempo,Energia,Materia
SpazioTempoEnergiaMateria Informazione
Computazione
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O meglio
In un mondo globalenon cercate di costruire muri.
Regola #1:
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Levels of Internationalization
Telephone calls
Immigrants (to Population)
Direct investment
Equity investment
Exports (to GDP)
20% 40% 60% 80% 100%
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StartSmall
Think
BigBe Glocal
Less is More20
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Eurotech Group Overview
GlobalLeaderSustainable
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Tecnologia ‘12
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LA VISIONE : Digital Technologies for a better World
“ Le Tecnologie più importanti sonoquelle che scompaiono.Esse si intrecciano con la vita di tutti igiorni fintantochè diventanoindistinguibili da questa ”
"The Computer for the 21st Century", Scientific American, Vol. 265-N9, 1991Mark Weiser
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Lions - 2013 23
Adattato da: John Smart "Acceleration Studies Foundation"
Legge di Moore - Miniaturizzazione Processing, Storage, ... Price/Performance 2X ogni 18 mesi
Legge di Metcalfe - Interconnessione Il valore di un network cresce con “quasi” il quadrato del
numero delle connessioni
Legge di Gilder - Quantizzazione La larghezza di banda cresce di 6X ogni 18 mesi
I Meta-Trend Tecnologici
Legge di Negroponte :: DigitalizzazioneNella “Digital Economy" le idee sono il materiale di partenza
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Essence of the STRATEGY
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HW + SW: reducing TCO for CustomersThe original idea behind Eurotech:
the Critical Factor is in the Software C
ost
Time
HW-1
HW-2
SW-1
SW-2TCO-1
TCO-2
-$
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HW2+SW2 < HW1+SW1
Sometime a more expensive Hardware lead to a lower Total Cost
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Group Global Footprint
J APAN
I TALYF R AN C EU S A
U S A U K
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EUROTECH:
VISION
Computers will be increasingly miniaturised and interconnected.
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By relying on our expertise in modular hardware, software and services, our customers are free to focus on their core competencies for successful realization of their
leading-edge business applications.
MISSION
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Eurotech's Essence
• Behind the products of more than 20 Global 500
• World top 10 player in the Embedded Computers market
• True global footprint spanning over 3 continents
• Core competences: Miniaturization & Interconnection of computing devices
• 2 Strategic Business Units: – NanoPC SBU: Pervasive Computing Devices & Device Data
Management – HPC SBU: Green Supercomputers
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Eurotech Product Portfolio
VerticalApplicationSolutions
High Perf. Computing
Boards &Modules
Devices &Systems
Software & Services
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Transport & Mobility
Defence &Aerospace
Medical &Healthcare
Industrial & Commercial
Logistics &Networking
Security &Surveillance
Horizontal Product Lines. Vertical Industry Solutions.
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Eurotech: some of our Customers
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The history: 1992-20121992:EuroTech S.r.l. is founded upon the idea of miniaturizing the PC (Personal Computer) to address new, unexplored application, fields
1992 2001 2005 2006 2007
Private Equity3,7 €
IPO25M€
Capital Increase109 M€
29.8
50.7
76.5
6.4
2008
Revenues (M€)
Arcomacquisition
91.7
31
ADS acquisition
Advanetacquisition
83.5
2009
Erimacquisition
IPSacquisition
Parvusacquisition
99.3
Dynatemacquisition
2010 2011
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93,.8
TODAY: public company with 80% free float
93,.6
2012
~120MUSD
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La nascita e l’incubazione
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fase 1: dal ‘92 al ‘00
Start Small Think Big
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1992:
Un modello di Fabbrica delle Idee senza la Fabbrica delle Macchine……..aperta all’ Europa ..e al mondo (Euro)e alle nuove Tecnologie (TecH)
“ Le barriere doganali sono per le economie ciò che gli anabolizzanti sono per gli atleti. A breve termine fanno vincere, ma alla fine squalificano ” Robert Allen
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Computers will be increasingly miniaturised and interconnected.
They will merge with the surroundings of everyday life until they become indistinguishable from them.
VISION & MISSION in the 1992
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Embedded PC and LAN
Integrate the state-of-the-art of Computing and Communication
technologies to develop innovative applications, able to provide a competitive
advantage to our Customers.
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Eurotech la storia della crescita..1
1992 2001 2005 2006 2007
6.4
2008
Revenues (M€)
35
2009
CAGR 54%
FFF
2010 2011
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First Gen-E Private-equity Fund
FriuliaMerchant Bank
Il passaggio alla Fase 2: 2001....05
dalPrivate Equity allaBorsa
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Eurotech la storia della crescita..2
1992 2001 2005 2006 2007
29.8
6.4
2008
CAGR 47%Revenues
(M€)
37
2009
CAGR 54%
PE
FFF
2010 2011
37
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La storia recente
fase 1: dal ‘92 al ‘00
fase 2: dal ‘01 al ’05
fase 3: dal ’06 a oggi
Come Dante nel mezzo del cammino della loro vita, uomini e organizzazioni si ritrovano spesso in una selva oscura. La selva
oscura è la complessita del reale in cui siamo immersi.
Alberto F. De Toni
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93,9
Eurotech la storia della crescita..3
1992 2001 2005 2006 2007
29.8
50.7
76.5
6.4
2008
CAGR 47%
CAGR 21%
Revenues (M€)
91.7
39
83.5
2009
CAGR 54%
PE
FFF
P
99.3
2010 2011
39
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La Saturazione
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Le curve a S invecchiano
Tempo
Pres
tazi
oni
Evoluzione
decollo
Ricerca
Diminuzione del ritorno nuova
Tecnologia
Tecnologiaesistente
Evoluzione
Ogni nuovo substrato TECNOLOGICO è molto più efficiente del precedente
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1960 1970 1980 1990 2000
The Computers Evolution: recap
Hundreds
Thousands
Millions
Hundreds of Millions
Billion
Mainframe
Minicomputers
PersonalComputers
Internetfor People
Internetfor Devices
ARE WE READY ?
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Internet of Things (IoT) a new big opportunity
At the inflection point of the transformation from embedded to pervasive computers
and the dawn of the nextSigmoid-curve of growth
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VISION & MISSION in the 2012
Computers will be increasingly miniaturised and interconnected.
They will merge with the surroundings of everyday life until they become indistinguishable from them.
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Eurotech offers sophisticated computer and communications technologies
that provide a competitive advantage to its customers.
By relying on our expertise in modular hardware, software and services,
our customers are free to focus on their core competencies for successful realization of their leading-edge business applications.
2013: The Year of the Internet of Things
Improve everyday life, making it simpler, safer and more pleasant
through the pervasive use of technology
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The Essence of Eurotech strategy for the IoT
Finding the right PLATFORM that reduce Customer’s TCO and TTMAgain, for this decade
It's a matter of scalable SW vs. scalable HW
Cos
t
Time
HW COST
SW COST
-$For the IoT
the Cloud is the platform
choosen by Eurotech
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EUROTECH IS THE GREENEST…
• Two Eurotech supercomputers scored both first and second place in the June 2013 Green 500, the list of most energy efficient supercomputers in the world
• The Eurora supercomputer, installed at CINECA, was ranked 1st
• The Aurora Tigon supercomputer, installed at the Finmeccanicacompany Selex ES for cyber security applications, was ranked 2nd
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HPC: The next generation
Eurora
(COTS product) (Prototype)
Unleash th Hybrid Power
CPU + GPU
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L’internet delle cose• Le applicazioni sono ovunque…
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EUROTECH iPaaS
• “Cool Vendors” in the 2013 IT/OT
• Gartner defines a "Cool vendor" as one of the 400 companies world-wide that offers technologies or solutions that are:
"innovative, impactful and intriguing"
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M2M Integration PlatformEveryware Cloud - “Integration Platform as a Service”
Devices
PaaS
SaaS
IaaSSystem InfrastructureService Layer
Application InfrastructureService Layer
Application ServiceLayer M2M Integration Platform
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Everyware Device CloudTransforming Bits of Data at the Edge of the Network into Actionable Information in the Business Users’ Hands
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Cloud based Device Data Management
and Delivery
Device Firmware /Application
Sensors & Device Hardware
Business ApplicationIntegration
EurotechEnd-To-End
Solution
Devices running the Everyware Device Cloud Client
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Eurotech OfferingA combination of platforms ready to address the complexity of today’s world: Pervasive Computers and Internet of Things
Transportation & Mobility
Medical &Healthcare
Industrial & Commercial
Logistics &Networking
Security &Surveillance
The Eurotech Product portfolio is a fundamental element for the development of complex technology architectures such as Smart Cities, whose criticality lies in simplifying the collection of data and their analysis (Open Data and Big Data). In
these technological area we expect a lot of investments in the coming years. 51
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ConclusioniC’è sempreun nuovo inizio
che ci attende…grazie alla tecnologia
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La forza del cambiamento: l’ICT come una commodity
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Innovazione
Prodottopersonalizzato
Prodottostandardizzato
Servizio
(Prodottocome commodity)
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Nell’era della Transformazione
• Anni ’80: Qualità
• Anni ’90: Re-engineering (BPR)
• Nuovo Millennio: Business Transformation
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Viviamo in un periodo di innovazionecombinatoriale
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Ci sono periodi nella storia dove c’è la disponibilità di diversi componenti che gli innovatori poossono combinare e ricombinare per creare nuove invenzioni.
1800 parti meccaniche1920 parti elettroniche 1970 circuiti integrati
1990 circuiti integrati per PC2005 componenti Cloud -IT
Hal Varian Chief Economist Google
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COMPONENTIZZAZIONE + ORGANIZZAZIONE GERARCHICA = CRESCITA
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“Il tasso di evoluzionedi qualsiasi sistema èdipendente dallaorganizzazione dei suoisottosistemi”
Herbert Simon, Theory of Hierarchy and
componentization
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dal Know-How
al
Know-WhoeKnow-Where
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Lions - 2013 58
1
Valore Futuro ------------Certezza
La formula
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Lions - 2013 59
Gli analfabeti del XXI secolo non saranno coloro che non sapranno leggere o scrivere, ma coloro che non sapranno
imparare, disimparare e imparare di nuovo. Alvin Toffler,
Credits : Marie hamadryades flikr Solar Impulse :)
imparare, disimparare e imparare di nuovo
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L’unicacomponente stabile
in naturaè il cambiamento!
The tentative fourth law of thermodynamics.S.E. Joergensen
The Golden RuleLa sintesi
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Lions - 2013
Rimpariamo a sognare
“Non smettete di pensare alla vita come a un'avventura. Non c'è sicurezza per chi non sa vivere con coraggio, con emozione, con immaginazione; per chi non sa scegliere una sfida invece di una competenza.”
Eleanor Roosevelt-April 1961
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Lions - 2013
Grazie
It has become appallingly obvious that our technology has exceeded our humanity.
Albert Einstein