execution of a wind farm project - norcowe for web/ss2015-presentasonar/exec… · bay du nord...
TRANSCRIPT
Offshore wind strategy Create value on O&G legacy
3
• Become one of the leading players
in the offshore wind segment world
within 2020
• Build material and industrial position
• Seek partnerships
• Flexible approach to funding
• Continuously optimize portfolio
Classificati
on: Internal
2013-08-22
4
Green field and
consenting
Project development
Project construction
and installations
Operations and
maintenance
Power trading
Value creation in renewables - offshore wind Creating value from superior O&G experience
Value chain
Current Portfolio
Project pipeline Starting to expand our business case
2009- 2012- 2017
2.3MW
Sheringham
Shoal Hywind
Demo
317MW
1.11 Twh / yr
Hywind
Commercial
Park
Increase Portfolio
Hywind
pilot park
402MW
1.7 Twh / yr
Dudgeon
30MW
0,14 Twh / yr
1200MW each
project
Dogger
Bank
In operation In operation Concept selection FID
Construction and
installation phase
2017- 2020-
Japan
US
North West Europe
Adding volumes to Peregrino
GINA KROG
Supporting the Sleipner area strategy
Start up 2017
VALEMON
Short term production contribution
Start up 2014
GUDRUN
Short term production contribution
Start up 2014
AASTA HANSTEEN Pioneer in deep water area
Start up 2017
What is a project and why is it important Major projects
ÅSGARD SUBSEA COMPRESSION A step change in technology
Start up 2015
Increased recovery Extended lifetime Fast-track
Ambitious directions for offshore wind
DUDGEON WIND PARK
Door opener to a new core area
World class discovery
Start up 2019
JOHAN SVERDRUP JOHAN CASTBERG
Start up 2021 Start up 2017
PEREGRINO II
Start up 2018
Door opener to international deep water
TANZANIA OFFSH.
Start up 2021
Door opener to a new area
BAY DU NORD
Start up 2022
MARINER
Heavy oil field project
Start up 2017
Objective of the Lecture
• Present and discuss the main principles and the work related to
in developing a offshore wind farm – floating and fixed
• Give an insight in how we develop and mature a project through
the different project phases, what the important issues are and
reflect on the main challenges
• Give an insight in how we structure our project strategically in
order to handle risk, reduce uncertainty and manage potential
consequences
• Give an insight in the internal and external process related to the
assert and project development work
Classification: Internal 2013-08-22 7
Structure of the lecture
1. The capital Value Process, the project Phases
and the management decision process
2. The main components in a offshore wind farm
3. Risk management and project execution
strategy
4. Typical cost, schedule and organization of a
offshore wind project
Classification: Internal 2013-08-22 8
Structure of the lecture
1. The capital Value Process, the project Phases
and the management decision process
2. The main components in a offshore wind farm
3. Risk management and project execution
strategy
4. Typical cost, schedule and organization of a
offshore wind project
Classification: Internal 2013-08-22 9
The Capital Value Process
The Capital Value Process (CVP) is our stage gate decision process for
investment
1
1
-
Classificati
on: Internal
2011-05-04
What to remember before starting a new CVP Phase
Business case alignment
Overall strategic link, business drivers, business case objectives and execution strategy
Stakeholders and their requirements
Main decisions and milestones, governance structure and requirements
Alternatives for concept selection
Risks (threats and opportunities)
Alignment of work
Implementation of CVP elements (SC, Risk Management, Benchmarking, Corporate project review)
Main deliveries - DGSP and Decision memo
Organisation and interfaces
Main principles for project assignment(s)
Schedule and budget
Premises for Start-up (operation)
1
2
-
Classificati
on: Internal
2011-05-04
Overall deliverables BCSR to DG1
Commercial model and agreements • Application for Grid Connection (if appl.) • Application for Lease (if applicable) • Financial structure • MOUs’
Risk overview • Top 10 risk list • Country risk assessment • Social risk assessment
O&M • O&M Principles • Preparation for operational plan • Manning studies and recruitment plan • HSE risk
Cost estimates • Cap Ex (Class B) • Op EX (Class B) • System for cost control • Benchmarking
Governance structure and stakeholders • IDD and CSR plan • Communication strategy • Stakeholder and auth. management plan • Governance structure • Authority Matrix • QA plan
Concept description • Feasibility report on one concept • Technology Assessment and TQP • TORG and Design Basis • Consent application • Technical risk assessment • Constructability and installation analysis
Evaluation of value chain alternatives • Value chain assessment • Concept evaluations • Grid assessment?
Business Case Definition • Business case execution strategy • Business Model • CSR Report • Partner models
Product market assessments and competitive considerations
• Market assignment • Support and tariff regimes • Competitor analysis
Resources and income potential • Wind Assessment • Production Estimate • Preliminary layout and park design • Measurement plan • Site assessment
Profitability and economic analysis •Economic analysis •Sensitivity analysis
Execution of project • Project master schedule incl risk • Organization of project (MPP) • Project Management System • HSE Program • EIA program and plan
1
3
-
Classificati
on: Internal
2011-05-04
DGA DGB DG0 DG4 DGC
Feasibility
Concep
t Pre-eng
Project
execution
Operations
Screening
Bid
prep Negotiation Bus. case
Project planning Business development
DG3 DG2 DG1
WBD
WBD
WBD
WBD
WBD
WBD WBD
WBD
WBD WBD
WPR/WBD
WBD WBD
Business Case
Definition
Commercial Model
and Agreements
Product market
Assessment and
Competitor Analysis
Cost Estimates
Concept Description
Resource and Income
Potential
Evaluation of value
chain alternatives
O&M
Risk overview
WPR
WBD
WSR
WBD
NA
WOP
WPR
WOP
Governance Structure
and Stakeholders
Profitability and
Economic Analysis
Project Execution
WPR WPR WPR WPR WPR WPR WPR WPR
WPR
WBD
WPR
WBD
WPR
WBD
WPR
WBD
WPR
WBD
WPR
WBD
WPR
WBD
WSR
WBD
WSR
WBD
WSR
WBD NA
WPR
WOP
WOP
WOP WOP WOP WOP WOP WOP WOP WOP WOP
WOP WBD WBD WBD WBD WPR WPR WPR WPR
AN
WOP
WPR WPR WPR
WSR
WBD
WSR
WBD
WSR
WBD
WSR
WBD
WPR WPR WPR WPR WOP WBD WBD WBD WBD
WOP
WPR WPR WPR WPR
NA
NA
WOP
WBD
WOP
WBD
WOP
WBD
WOP
WBD WOP
WPR
WOP
WPR
WOP
WPR
WOP
WPR WPR WPR WPR
WPR
WOP
WPR
WOP
WPR
WOP
WPR
WOP
WPR
WOP
WPR
WOP
WPR
WOP
WPR
WOP
WBD WBD WBD WBD
WPR
WPR WPR WPR WPR
Structure of the lecture
1. The capital Value Process, the project Phases
and the management decision process
2. The main components in a offshore wind farm
3. Risk management and project execution
strategy
4. Typical cost, schedule and organization of a
offshore wind project
Classification: Internal 2013-08-22 14
Dudgeon Offshore Wind Farm
Facility HSE Average 12m (Target)
SIF 0.0 (0.4)
TRIF 0.0 (3.0)
FOF 0.0 (0.7)
Key figures (Facilities 100%)
Statoil equity interest 70%
Statkraft equity interest 30%
Number of wind turbines 67
Facility Capex DG2 (MGBP) 1431
Facility Capex FC (MNOK)
Facility Target cost DG3(MNOK) ????
Progress (actual/planned) (%)
Main contractors:Siemens, ABB, SHL
Main Milestones Date
DG3 01.07.14
Start fabrication 1Q 2015
Start offshore installation 4Q 2015
Production start-up March 2017
DG4 Q4 2017
Facilities description
• Development of a 402MW wind park offshore Norfolk. 55 km2
• 67 off 6 MW Siemens wind turbines on monopile foundations
• 32 km to shore in water depths 18–25 m.
• 42 km offshore + 47 km onshore cable length.
• One offshore substation, onshore substation in Necton
• Foundation challenge with large variations across the site including
chalk of variable stiffness from 10 m below mud line and very stiff clay
in some areas.
• Grid access 2016
Main challenges and mitigating actions
Opportunities:
• Optimized monopile design
• Industry standards reflected in project system specifications
• Improved efficiency of marine operations and logistics
• Optimized electrical system infrastructure
• Reduced requirement for pile drilling
• Maximize onshore completion
Threats:
• WTG supply constraints
• Vessel availability
• ESI maturity and execution
• HSE performance by contractors not familiar with O&G safety culture
• Risk of UXO in park area and cable route
Other information (phase dependent)
Status
• Acquisition agreement signed 16 October 2012
• DG2 December 2013
• Wind Turbine Generator, marine export cable and WTG foundations and
substation installation contacts awarded
Classification: Internal 16
Statoil and Statkraft acquired the Dudgeon offshore wind project in October 2012.
Statoil is 70% owner and operator. Joint project development team.
Sheringham Shoal Dudgeon
Award UK R2 UK R2
Area 35 km2 35 km2
Water depth 17-23 m 18-25 m
Average wind speed 9.2 m/s 9.55 m/s
Mean waves, Hs 0.9 m 1.1 m
Installed capacity 317 MW 402 MW
Distance to shore 20 km 45 km
Onshore cable length 22 km 45 km
Turbine Siemens SWT-3.6-107 Siemens SWT-6.0-154
Foundation Monopile Monopile or Jacket
Dudgeon – Short background
Dudgeon in large numbers
• 55 m2 park area and 32 km cable route
• 67 off 6 MW turbines on XL monopiles
• 402 MW installed capacity
• One offshore substation
• Energy production 1.73 TWh/year, 50% more than Sheringham
• Approx 90 km to onshore connection
• More than 90 000 mt structural steel
• Approx 25 000 mt equipment
• Approx 500 heavy lifts
• Approx 30 000 offshore lifts Potential for significant reduction!
• More than 5000 vessel days
External Stakeholders
Classification: Internal 2013-01-30
1
8
Probability
Manage closely The Crown Estate
Marine Management Organisation (MMO)
Department of Energy and Climate Change (DECC)
National Grid
Eastport UK
Great Yarmouth Borough Council
Breckland Counsil
North Norfolk District Counsil
Landowner – not satisfied
Wells&District Fishermen Organisation
North Norfolk Fishermen’s Society
Independent Fishermen’s Organisation
Independent Fishermen
Blue Transmission ShSh Ltd
National Air Traffic Services (NATS)
Contracors and suppliers
Ofgem
Keep satisfied MPs (North Norfolk, Mid Norfolk, Breckland, Great Yarmouth)
Labour Unions wrt UK content/Key industry forums/UK suppliers
Local business forums
Health and Safety Executive
Highway Authorities/Highway Agency
Norfolk County Council
Natural England
Joint Nature Conservation Committee (JNCC)
Ministry of Defence
Royal Society for Protection of Birds (RSPB)
CEFAS
Maritime & Coastguard Agency
Trinity House Lighthouse Services
County Archeologists
English Heritage
Norfolk Wildlife Trust
Landowners - satisfied
Minimum effort
UK media
Norwegian media
Business Forums etc in the area
National Trails
Keep informed
General Public
Local community including Parish Councils
Local media
Trade media
Scira
Wells Harbour
The Greater Wash Developers
Fishery Local Action group
Perenco, ATP
Degre
e o
f im
pact
High
Hig
h
Lo
w
Low
20 Classification: Internal
Dudgeon
Offshore Wind
Farm
Substation at Necton
Landfall at
Waybourne Hope
Park layout
Facility Development
Onshore substation Export cables Foundation WTG Offshore substation
1. Conceptual design is standardized modules, which are parameterized to fit specific asset project sites e.g. weight of WTG tower
Monopile
Jacket w/
piles
Jacket with
suction
bucket
Floating
Spar
TRL 6 at DG3
Sta
ndariz
atio
n
Qu
alific
atio
n
Infield cables
5 MW G
6 MW DD
6 MW G
7 MW MS
8 MW MS
Floating
Semi
Monopile
suction
bucket
GBS
33 AC
66 AC
DC
33/132/220
AC/AC
DC
String
Mounted
AC
132/220
AC
HVDC
GIS
Project Planning and Execution
Measurements Layout Access O&M Model Surveys
1. Conceptual design is standardized modules, which are parameterized to fit specific asset project sites e.g. weight of WTG tower
TRL 6 at DG3
Sta
ndariz
atio
n
Qualific
atio
n
Foundation
installation
CM
Remote
Ops
High Speed
PTV Helichopter
Spar
Offshore
Assembly
Horizontal
Installation
Floating
LIdar FUGA
Met Mast
O&M Logistics
Fixed Lidar
Wind Pro
WASP
Ansys
Wind
Modeller
SOWFA
CPT Monopiles
Jack Up
Monopiles
Floating
Jacket
Jack Up
Spar
Inshore
Assembly
PTV’s
SOV
Boatlanding
Gangway
5 year
Service
Agreemeent
24 Classification: Internal
Foundation concepts being evaluated
At present different concepts are being
evaluated
Monopile
4 legged jacket with sleeve and pile
4 legged jacket with suction bucket
Classificati
on: Internal
2012-04-24
28
http://scira.co.uk/newsdownloads/multimed
ia_construction.php
Structure of the lecture
1. The capital Value Process, the project Phases
and the management decision process
2. The main components in a offshore wind farm
3. Risk management and project execution
strategy
4. Typical cost, schedule and organization of a
offshore wind project
Classification: Internal 2013-08-22 29
Sheringham Shoal Experience
• Robust installation vessel
• Cable installation
• Access to foundations
• Foundation design must be improved
• In operation – to much down time of turbines(?)
• The offshore wind industry is immature – Design
Basis and follow up important
Classification: Internal 30
Classification: Internal 31
HSE - Sheringham Shoal Experience
Main risks
• Dropped objects - more that
40 000 lifts, 1 500 heavy lifts
• Repetitive work
• Personnel Transfer from vessel
to turbine foundation
Dudgeon - Main risks
• WTG foundation design
− Fail to document short embeded pile design selected for 11 high density
and rock chalk locations (risk reduced for 10 locations)
− Optimization continuing 56 locations OK, 11 in last batch
− Phased delivery of AFC drawings (OK for SIF/Smulders)
• Delayed delivery of offshore substation
− Mobilized on construction site
− Close follow-up of engineering phase – minimize change – involve operations early
− Secure jack-up as flotell for hook-up and commissioning
• Project improvement program
− Optimize WTG foundations, material quality, weight
− Optimize installation, hook-up and completion activities
− No change
2015-
03-19
32 Classification: Internal
Structure of the lecture
1. The capital Value Process, the project Phases
and the management decision process
2. The main components in a offshore wind farm
3. Risk management and project execution
strategy
4. Typical cost, schedule and organization of a
offshore wind project
Classification: Internal 2013-08-22 35
Project Organisation DG1-DG3
Classification: Internal 36
Asset Owner
Asset Manager
Representative Facilities PFO
TPD PRO MPR RE WOP
Stakeholder mgm Consenting HSE
Classification: Internal
Project Organization DG1 – DG3
Engineering
HSE
WTG Marine
Operations
Procurement
QRM
Project Control
Facilities Manager
Completion & Commissionin
Substructure
Technical interface
El- infrastructur
MPP DG1- DG2
Facilities team 31 FTE
37
Cost reduction is about improving Cost of Energy –
not only about Cap – Ex….however
4
1
-
Cost of Electricity = CAPEX + OPEX
YIELD
The callenge is to reduce investment and operation costs and increase
yield - and capture the value added
The Concept
2014-
04-14
42 Classification: Internal
LCoE Model UK Benchmark German Benchmark Hywind Scotland Thoughts for Future
PROJECT AND SITE - INPUT
1) Includes also electrical loss calculation 2) Project parameters: Installed capacity, number of turbines, spacing
COE -ENGINE COMPONENTS - INPUT
Electrical lo
ss
SUB
STRU
CTU
RE
4 YIELD
7 COE
5 OPEX
EL. INFR
ASTR
UC
TUR
E
WTG
Techn
ical A
vailability
Wind conditions
Turbine design
Metocean cond
Project life
An
nu
al p
rod
uctio
n
Discount rate
Turbine design Metocean cond
Metocean cond.
Substructure type
sub
structu
re
design
Turbine design
An
nu
al O
PEX
CA
PEX
In
vest
3 INSPECTION & MAINTENANCE
Fabricatio
n
cost
T&I co
st
Soil cond. & depth
sub
structu
re
design
Pro
du
ction
p
rofile
1 DESIGN & FABRICATION𝟏 (1.1 SUBSTRUCTURE - 1.2 EL INFRASTRUCTURE)
El. infra.
design
El. infra.
design
2 TRANSPORT & INSTALLATION
Voltage levels Dist. Shore and grid
Distance to T&I port
I&M
Co
st
Grid connection & land lease
Dist. to O&M port
Project parameters2
Project parameters2
Project parameters2
Project parameters2
Project parameters2
PR
OJEC
T
Turbine design
Project parameters2
6 CAPEX
SITE
2014-
04-14
43 Classification: Internal
LCoE Model UK Benchmark German Benchmark Hywind Scotland Thoughts for Future
Concept Realized
• Invest in Technology
Development
• Broad Industrial
Cooperation
• First Movers
• Long Term Commitment &
Short Term Results
• Industrial Approach
Going forward – Success Criteria
Objective of the Lecture
• Present and discuss the main principles and the work
related to in developing a offshore wind farm – floating
and fixed
• Give an insight in how we develop and mature a project
through the different project phases, what the important
issues are and reflect on the main challenges
• Give an insight in how we structure our project
strategically in order to handle risk, reduce uncertainty
and manage potential consequences
• Give an insight in the internal and external process related
to the assert and project development work
Classification: Internal 2013-08-22 46
48 Classification: Internal 2013-10-14 © Statoil ASA 2013
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applicable to the circumstances of any particular case, despite
our efforts. Statoil cannot accept any liability for any
inaccuracies or omissions.
Jan Fredrik Stadaas
Technology Manager
Tel: +47 41 44 00 46 www.statoil.com