expert selections - churchill downs...#1 mia bella rossa – ran big here in the spring; on edge. #2...

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JOE KRISTUFEK Racing Analyst @JoeyDaKRacing EXPERT SELECTIONS Joe Kristufek returns for his third season as Churchill Downs’ paddock host. He has an extensive background in horse racing and wagering and has been instrumental in the creation of and hosting fan education programs at the premier racing events at racetracks coast to coast. A native of Chicago, Kristufek is the morning-line odds maker for several racetracks, including his hometown Arlington Park. He is also the racing writer and handicapper for the Daily Herald newspaper in Arlington Heights, IL. Joe is well recognized for his diversified handicapping skills and suggested wagering tactics and he loves interacting with all racing fans - from beginner to expert. ©2017 Equibase Company LLC and Churchill Downs, Inc. All rights reserved. Data provided or compiled by Equibase Company LLC generally are accurate, but occasionally errors and omissions occur as a result of incorrect data received from others, mistakes in processing and other causes. Equibase Company LLC and Churchill Downs, Inc. disclaim responsibility for the consequences, if any, of such errors but would appreciate having any such errors called to their attention. Selections subject to change due to scratches, off the turf, etc. Tune in to the twinspires.com pre-race paddock show for the most up to the minute information. Check program numbers for accuracy. Joe’s '17 Top Pick Stats through Oct. 29 Races Wins 2nd 3rd Win% WPS% 560 160 87 72 28.6% 57% Friday, November 10, 2017 Race 1 #7 Hail Spring – Impressive Indiana debut; translates? #6 Bringyourownbottle – Slow start cost her; capable here. #3 Saucy At Midnight – Touch of class; tough to gauge dirt. #5 Lonely Petunia – Turned the corner in last; can repeat. Joe’s SELECTIONS – 7-6-3-5/4-1-2 Race 2 #7 La Majestique – Woke up on drop & earned class hike. #3 Mizz Tutu – 7 furlong win at Saratoga; rested & ready. #6 Karla With a K – Fits like a glove; distance the question. #1/1a Ritzy Lass/Northern Connect – Both halves of entry fit. Joe’s SELECTIONS – 7-3-6-1-1a-4-2/5 Race 3 #4 Indian Gem – Overwhelmed maidens with blinkers on. #8 Clever Serve – Tough loss off claim; proven at Churchill. #3 One Dollar – Put it all together in last; has more to give? #5 Jemrose – What you see is what you get; gimmicks. Joe’s SELECTIONS – 4-8-3-5-7/1-2-6 Race 4 #1 Mia Bella Rossa – Ran big here in the spring; on edge. #2 Girls Know Best – Speedy claim on top of her game. #3 Nineteenth Street – Capable of better; drop awakens? #4 Lightning Dove – Cuts back off claim; gimmick player. Joe’s SELECTIONS – 1-2-3-4-7/8-6-5 Race 5 #3 Imma Bling – Proven at the trip & sharp as a tack; edge. #1 Unmoored – Better than he looks; cut back helps cause. #2 K Wave – Promising runs so far; gets first turf test here. #5 Irritator – Flashes pesky speed; tough to dismiss. Joe’s SELECTIONS – 3/1-2-5/7-6/4 Race 6 #7 Forge Ahead Frankie – Rapid slide down class ladder. #10 Dr. Callahan – Sneaky good runs prior to benching. #4 Renn Lake – Failed in route; best work in sprints. #12 Big Coulee – Sharp runs last two on dirt; consider. Joe’s SELECTIONS – 7-10-4-12-14-13-8-6-5-1-3-9-11-15

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  • JOE KRISTUFEKRacing Analyst @JoeyDaKRacing

    EXPERT SELECTIONS

    Joe Kristufek returns for his third season as Churchill Downs’ paddock host. He has an extensive background in horse racing and wagering and has been instrumental in the creation of and hosting fan education programs at the premier racing events at racetracks coast to coast. A native of Chicago, Kristufek is the morning-line odds maker for several racetracks, including his hometown Arlington Park. He is also the racing writer and handicapper for the Daily Herald newspaper in Arlington Heights, IL. Joe is well recognized for his diversified handicapping skills and suggested wagering tactics and he loves interacting with all racing fans - from beginner to expert.

    ©2017 Equibase Company LLC and Churchill Downs, Inc. All rights reserved. Data provided or compiled by Equibase Company LLC generally are accurate, but occasionally errors and omissions occur as a result of incorrect data received from others, mistakes in processing and other causes. Equibase Company LLC and Churchill Downs, Inc. disclaim responsibility for the consequences, if any, of such errors but would appreciate having any such errors called to their attention.

    Selections subject to change due to scratches, off the turf, etc. Tune in to the twinspires.com pre-race paddock show for the most up to the minute information. Check program numbers for accuracy.

    Joe’s '17 Top Pick Stats through Oct. 29 Races Wins 2nd 3rd Win% WPS% 560 160 87 72 28.6% 57% Friday,November10,2017Race1#7HailSpring–ImpressiveIndianadebut;translates?#6Bringyourownbottle–Slowstartcosther;capablehere.#3SaucyAtMidnight–Touchofclass;toughtogaugedirt.#5LonelyPetunia–Turnedthecornerinlast;canrepeat.Joe’sSELECTIONS–7-6-3-5/4-1-2Race2#7LaMajestique–Wokeupondrop&earnedclasshike.#3MizzTutu–7furlongwinatSaratoga;rested&ready.#6KarlaWithaK–Fitslikeaglove;distancethequestion.#1/1aRitzyLass/NorthernConnect–Bothhalvesofentryfit.Joe’sSELECTIONS–7-3-6-1-1a-4-2/5Race3#4IndianGem–Overwhelmedmaidenswithblinkerson.#8CleverServe–Toughlossoffclaim;provenatChurchill.#3OneDollar–Putitalltogetherinlast;hasmoretogive?#5Jemrose–Whatyouseeiswhatyouget;gimmicks.Joe’sSELECTIONS–4-8-3-5-7/1-2-6

    Race4#1MiaBellaRossa–Ranbighereinthespring;onedge.#2GirlsKnowBest–Speedyclaimontopofhergame.#3NineteenthStreet–Capableofbetter;dropawakens?#4LightningDove–Cutsbackoffclaim;gimmickplayer.Joe’sSELECTIONS–1-2-3-4-7/8-6-5Race5#3ImmaBling–Provenatthetrip&sharpasatack;edge.#1Unmoored–Betterthanhelooks;cutbackhelpscause.#2KWave–Promisingrunssofar;getsfirstturftesthere.#5Irritator–Flashespeskyspeed;toughtodismiss.Joe’sSELECTIONS–3/1-2-5/7-6/4Race6#7ForgeAheadFrankie–Rapidslidedownclassladder.#10Dr.Callahan–Sneakygoodrunspriortobenching.#4RennLake–Failedinroute;bestworkinsprints.#12BigCoulee–Sharprunslasttwoondirt;consider.Joe’sSELECTIONS–7-10-4-12-14-13-8-6-5-1-3-9-11-15

  • Race7#7Nottaway–Tookabigstepforwardin2ndtry;edge.#8Demolition–Slowstartcosthimindebut;1stLasix.#9PrincipeGuilherme–Bredtobeagoodone;Mr.Steve.#4JonathanMcD–Geldedoffevendebut;gimmicks.Joe’sSELECTIONS–7-8-9/4-5-11-3-2-10-1a-13-12Race8#8GettheFacts–Improvedw/blinks;two-turnexperience.#4PrivateEye–Geldedoffsharpwin;shouldhandleroute.#5GrandpaKnowsBest–Setslowfractioninsolidwirejob.#1BoxingGlove–Provinghisworth;answersthebell.Joe’sSELECTIONS–8-4-5/1-7-6/3-2Race9#3Browse–RandownsaltylawnmowersatKeeneland.#10CelestialInsight–Provenonturf;roundingintoform.#6MoKnows–Solidgrassresume;excuserecentclunker?#7WealthyShipman–WonMidwestdebutinstylishfashion.Joe’sSELECTIONS–3/10-6-7-5-4-8-9

    Race10#3DiamondDelight–DropsinwithCoreyforMr.Brad.#2Justanotherbird–Roundingintoform;sproutswings.#11MalibuAtMidnight–Fitswellondrop;mustworkatrip.#6Levanto–Signsoflikewithblinkersoffinlast;gimmicks.Joe’sSELECTIONS–3-2-11-6/4-7-1-5-8

    Race7:TherecouldbealotofpotentialtalentinRace7thisafternoonatChurchillDowns.#9PrincipeGuilhermehasbeenconsistentlybreezingsincelateAugustatChurchillDownsinpreparationforhisdebut.The2-year-oldbyTapitisthefirstfoaloutofthemareAubbyKwhowonthe2013HumanaDistaffatChurchillDowns.SuggestedPlay:#9PrincipeGuilherme

    KK’sPlayoftheDayBy:KevinKerstein

    @HorseRacingKK

    WorkoftheDayBy:BrandonStauble

    @bstaubs22

    Race8:10/19-#8GettheFactsworkedstrongtothewirewithArrivalandgallopedoutbig.Workingwellenoughondirttogiveanothertry.Forvaluableinformationonmorningworkoutsandracedayanalysis,followBrandononTwitter@bstaubs22.