exploration & production - eni · 2 disclaimer this presentation contains forward-looking...
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2
Disclaimer
This presentation contains forward-looking statements regarding future events and the future results of Eni that are based on current expectations, estimates, forecasts, and projections about the industries in which Eni operates and the beliefs and assumptions of the management of Eni. In particular, among other statements, certain statements with regard to management objectives, trends in results of operations, margins, costs, return on equity, risk management and competition are forward-looking in nature. Words such as ‘expects’, ‘anticipates’, ‘targets’, ‘goals’, ‘projects’, ‘intends’, ‘plans’, ‘believes’, ‘seeks’, ‘estimates’, variations of such words, and similar expressions are intended to identify such forward-looking statements. These forward-looking statements are only predictions and are subject to risks, uncertainties, and assumptions that are difficult to predict because they relate to events and depend on circumstances that will occur in the future. Therefore, Eni’s actual results may differ materially and adversely from those expressed or implied in any forward-looking statements. Factors that might cause or contribute to such differences include, but are not limited to, economic conditions globally, the impact of competition, political and economic developments in the countries in which Eni operates, regulatory developments in Italy and internationally and changes in oil prices and in the margins for Eni products. Any forward-looking statements made by or on behalf of Eni speak only as of the date they are made. Eni does not undertake to update forward-looking statements to reflect any changes in Eni’s expectations with regard thereto or any changes in events, conditions or circumstances on which any such statement is based. The reader should, however, consult any further disclosures Eni may make in documents it files with the US Securities and Exchange Commission.
4
Production Growthkboe/d
1,737
1,624
1,8061,704
3226
1000
1100
1200
1300
1400
1500
1600
1700
1800
4Q 04 4Q 05 2004 2005
+7.5% +8.9%
+6.0% +7.0%
44.0 56.9 38.2 54.4Brent $/bl
PSA effect Excluding Psa effectReported1$/bl: ~ 2 kboe/d
Stronger growthin
higher price scenario
5
2005 Production Contributionkboe/d
237
1,737
1,624
-32 -10
45
-127
2004 PSA HurricaneGoM
Depletion Growth Start-ups 200520052004
Gross Operated2,466
6
Main Start-ups and Exploration Discoveries
• ALGERIARod 403 D (1Q05 - Op.)
• ANGOLABomboco/Sanha Cond. (2Q05)Kizomba B (3Q05)Belize Benguela (1Q06)
• AUSTRALIALNG Bayu Undan (1Q06)
• CHINAHZ 19-2 (1Q05)
• CROAZIAIka/Ida (1Q06 - Op.)
• EGYPTBarboni (2Q05 - Op.)
• LIBYABahr Essalam (3Q05 - Op.)
• NIGERIABonga (4Q05)4&5 Train LNG (4Q05)
• NORWAYKristin (4Q05)Svale/Staer (4Q05)
• PAKISTANRehmat (1Q05)
• USAK-2 (2Q05 - Op).
• ALGERIAROM 6 (100% Op.)
• AUSTRALIAVesta 1 (40% Op.)
• BRAZILBelmonte 1 (100% Op.)
• CHINAHZ 25-4-1 (100% Op.)HZ 25-3-2 (33% Op.)
• EGYPTBelaym L SW 1 (100% Op.)Port Fouad MD 1 (100% Op.)
• INDONESIAAster 2&3 (62% Op.)
• LIBYAT1-NC 41 (100% Op.)
• NIGERIAAbo 8 (50% Op.)Bolia 3X (12.5%)Bonga N2 (12.5%)
• NORWAYGoliat/Barents Sea (65% Op.)
• PAKISTANDujan 1 (32%)
• TUNISIANour 1 (50%)
• USAAllegheny South (100% Op.)
Total exploration reserves 730 Mboe
2006 production contribution220 kboe/d
Start upsExploration discoveries
7
Organic Production Growth(kboe/d)
1,737>1,800
2005 2006 2009 2012
~4%>2,000
~3%
Brent: 54.5 $/bl 2006, 45 $/bl 2007, 34 $/bl 2008, 32 $/bl 2009, 2010+ 30 $/bl r.t.
CAGR
2008 TARGET
05-08 Plan at 25 $/bl2,000 kboe/d
proforma at 25 $/bl2,025 kboe/d06-09 Plan
8
Production Renewal(kboe/d)
Newproduction
19%
2005 2009
>2,000
1,737
NewProduction
Depletion Growth
Main fieldsBahr-EssalamBongaElephantKizomba BKristinSouth Pars 4&5Temsah
Main fieldsBBLTBlacktipBlock 208CorocoroKashaganMondoNikaitchuq &OoogurukNorth BardawilSaxi-Batuque
9
Proved Reserves
Proved reserves(Billion boe)
2002Reported
2003Reported
2005Proforma
Reservesreplacement (%)
Year-end Brent ($/bl)
0
10 0 0
2 0 0 0
3 0 0 0
4 0 0 0
5 0 0 0
6 0 0 0
7 0 0 0
8 0 0 0
2004Proforma
40
120
118
142
119
30 30 30 30 58.2
2005Reported
7.0 7.36.8
7.4 7.5
SEC rules
115 at 40 $/bl
10
Proved Reserves (cont.)
13.2 12.7 12.110.8
2002 2003 2004 200563%60%58%
53%
7.0 7.3 7.26.8
11.5 at 30 $/bl
Gas
Liquids
Proved reserves(Billion boe)
Life index (year)
Proved developedas % provedRRR Proved dev.
100% at 58 $/bl160% at 30 $/bl
SEC rules
11
Capex(Bln euro)
5.55.04.9
0.6
0
1
2
3
4
5
6
7
2004 2005 Yearly Avg2006-09
6.1
$/euro: 1.29 (average 2006-09)
OpportunitiesGas Projects
Integrated LNG Projects
Access to large oil reserves
Non conventional
2006-09 24.4 Bln euro
12
Total Capex
Exploration12%
Development69%
Opportunities10%
TransportSystem
5%LNG4%
(*) Including not consolidated investment of 0.9 Bln euro, mainly LNG
25.3
17.4 0.6 4.70.3
1.21.1
2005-08 Plan Transport LNG Opportunities Expl. Devel. 2006-09 Plan
Capex increase 7.9 Bln euroActivities 5.1Cost Inflation 2.8
2005-08Plan
2006-09Plan
25.3 Bln euro*
13
Exploration Strategy
Renewal of Portfolio
• New acreage in core areas
• Access to high potentialareas
Selective exploration
More funds
Capex(Million euro)
avg (06-09)avg (02-05)
720
760 M$760 M$ 930 M$930 M$
680
14
Renewal of Exploration PortfolioNew Acreage
2005 net new acreage ~ 44,000 kmq 93% operated 45% of total acreage renewed in the last three years
• ALGERIA1 block onshore
• ANGOLA1 block offshore
• EGYPT3 blocks onshore2 blocks offshore
• IRELAND4 blocks offshore
• LIBYA4 blocks onshore
• NIGERIA2 blocks offshore
• PAKISTAN4 blocks onshore 2 blocks offshore
• USA30 blocks deepwater
• ALASKA77 blocks onshore27 blocks offshore
• BRAZIL1 block offshore
• INDIA1 block onshore1 block deepwater
• SAUDI ARABIA1 block onshore
New areasCore areas
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New Projects
Start-up Jan 2006 Jan 2006 2006-07
Angola
BBLT Bl. 14
Eni 20%
Australia
LNG - Bayu Undan
Eni 12%
Alaska
Oooguruk
Eni 30%
16
T C F P
T A TT A PT A F 1
T A F 2
A F P
K O U A L A L A F 1
L A F 2
P P N 2
P P N 1
P P C
M A H I A
E M V UE M V FE M E R A U D E
P U N T A N E R A
D J E N O
D J E N O T E R M I N A L
A W A
K i t i n a o N ’ K o s s a B l e n d ?
AWA & PALOUKOU
DJENO TERMINAL
New Projects (cont.)
Start-up 2007 2007 2007
Angola
Mondo Bl. 15
Eni 20%
Congo
Awa-Paloukou
Eni 100% Op.
Nigeria
Bonny LNG 6th train
Eni 10.4%
17
New Projects (cont.)
Start-up 2008 2008 2008
Algeria
Block 208
Eni 12.3%
Egypt
North Bardawil
Eni 60% Op.
Kazakhstan
Kashagan
Eni 18.5% Op.
Algeria
B208B405a
B404-B403a
B212
EKT
EMN
EMEEMK
HBN/HBNS
EOR IAN
Condensate export
to Gassi Touill
MLSE
West Barrier
D Island
South Barrier
Riser Island
18
BLACKTIP Platform
Existing PWC Plant in Darwin
WADAYE Gas Treatment Plant
16” x 108 km offshore line
Existing gas line from Amadeus Basin
New PWC onshore gas line –340 km.
New Projects (cont.)
Start-up 2009 2009 2009
Angola
Landana Tombua Bl. 14
Eni 20%
Australia
Blacktip
Eni 100% Op.
Norway - Barents Sea
Goliath
Eni 65% Op.
6916
7016
7116 7117
7017
7118
7018 7019 7020 7021
71217119 7120 7122 7123 71287124 7125 7126 7127 7129 713
703
Goliat Central/Main
Goliat South
GoliatSnØhvit
AlbatrossAskeladden
HAMMERFEST
2009 New Production
>350 kboe/d
19
North Caspian Sea PSA
Russia
Kazakhstan
Caspian Sea
KASHAGAN SWKASHAGAN SW
KALAMKASKALAMKAS
KAIRANKAIRAN
AKTOTEAKTOTE
KASHAGANKASHAGAN
D Island
Kashagan Experimental Program
40% of development completedCosts review in progress
• Weakening of US dollar• Increased costs for material and services • Lack of benchmark for offshore
Reconfiguration of wells and offshore facilitiesProduction start up: late 2008
Appraisal campaign
Kashagan: one well in East area, 4 wells in Neck and West area in 2006-08Kalamkas: 2 wells in 2006-08Kairan: 1 well in 2006Aktote: studies to appraise discovery
20
Transportation System
Iraq
CaspianSea
KASHAGAN
Samara Samara
Turkey
Uzbekistan
Kazakhstan
Russia
Georgia
UkraineMoldavia
Azerbaijan
CeyhanCeyhan
TbilisiTbilisi
BakuBaku
NovorossiyskNovorossiysk
To Baltic SeaTo Baltic Sea
MakhachkalaMakhachkala
Samsun
BTC (Eni 5%)
CPC (Eni 2%)
1.1 Bln euro capexin 2006-09
1.1 Bln euro capexin 2006-09
Bolashak
KurykKuryk
AtyrauAtyrau
AktauAktau
To ChinaTo China
Existing
New terminal/infrastructures
Shuttle vessels
Planned alternatives
Future alternatives
In progress
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DAMIETTA
OMAN
PANIGAGLIA
SINES
REGANOSA
BRASS
SAGUNTO
BONNYT&T
CAMEROON
BONTANG
DARWIN
LNG Expansion for Long Term Growth(bcm)
Liquefaction Regassification
Equity production Main LNG routes
2000 2005 2009 2012E
0.9
7.79.6
>16
Liquefaction Capacity
LNG Sales
2000 2005 2009 2012E
2.97.0
~13
>20
Direct
In association
2000 2005 2009 2012E
2.03.8
11.5~15
2000 2005 2009 2012E
0.6
4.4
7.3
>12
Equity Gas Supply
Regassification Capacity
23
1.9
1.5
Referred to Proved Reserves of key projects in three core areas; 5 bln $ of capex to be recovered
Reserves(Bln boe)
Revenues
IRR
Payouttime
+11.5 Bln $
+5%
-2 years
PRODUCTION
0
50
100
150
200
250
300
350
2006
2010
2015
2020
2025
2030
2035
Payout time: 3.9 years
Payout time: 1.9 years
(kboe/d)
Brent price 30 $/bl 58 $/bl
PSA - Price Effect
24
Performance Index
Proforma Brent 30 $/blReportedDiscovery and F&D costs net of Lasmo and Fortum acquisitions; F&D costs net of Buy Back (Iran)
Reserves Replac. (organic)(%)
Discovery Cost($/bl)
F&D Cost($/bl)
80
117127
116
137132
01-03 02-04 03-05
1.7
1.21.2
1.11.0
1.2
01-03 02-04 03-05
10.7
7.3
6.57.2
6.26.3
01-03 02-04 03-05
25
Focus on Unit CostsEni Benchmark Group
Benchmark Group includes BP, Chevron, ConocoPhillips, Eni, ExxonMobil, Shell, TotalCash Flow = Net Income + Exploration expenses + DD&A
0
1
2
3
4
5
6
00-02 '01-03 '02-04 '03-05
4.8
4.33.93.8
3.22.9
2.73.0
0
1
2
3
4
5
6
00-02 01-03 02-04 03-05
Opex
3
4
5
6
7
8
9
10
11
12
13
14
15
16
17
18
00-02 '01-03 '02-04 '03-05
11.8 11.7
13.4
16.1
3
6
9
12
15
18
00-02 01-03 02-04 03-05
Lifting Costs($/boe)
Cash Flow($/boe)
26
HR - Technology - HSE
Safety
Environment
Health
In compliance with most advanced International
Standards
Talent Management
Knowledge and Professional skill
International approach
Organization flexibility
To sustain growthZero Emission Well Testing
Drilling time
Targetdepth
Dep
th
Access to possibledeeper targets
Reduced time, costs and wastes
CRS StackCONVENTIONAL WELL TESTING
EMISSIONSEMISSIONS(HC(HC--GASGAS--COCO22-- HH22S)S)
ZERO EMISSIONSZERO EMISSIONS
UNCONVENTIONAL WELL TESTING
No Risk of Environmental impact
Risk of Environmental impact
Lean Profile
ENI’s Technology
TechnoloyHuman Resources HSE