exponential economy - 7 key success factors ands success stories
TRANSCRIPT
Exponential Economy 7 Key Success Factors
Didier Tranchier [email protected]
New Economy• A phenomenon started in the 90’s, it accelerates and amplifies, and
is now global
• New Economy is replacing the Old Economy because New Economy is exponential
• faster
• more efficient
• more profitable
• I will present 7 key success factors of New Economy using Success Stories examples
• Finally, we will examine what is the situation in France, take examples of French Startups and Why France will be a Winner
1st Law of Exponential Economy: Vehicle of New Economy
Instant, Global and Viral access to Customers• Digital networks and social media networks can instantly disseminate information and offer, they are
sound boxes that industrialized the « word of mouth » Effect
• Consequently, a good offer is "accelerated" by digital networks
• We can observe what is called « Traction » , that is to say, a growth rate exceeding 10 % per week or per month , this is the base of the exponential growth
• In order to benefit from Traction, you need Scalability
• The Arithmetic progression of the Old Economy is competing with the Geometric progression of the New Economy
The Digital Economy is changing the whole economy and makes it more efficient
• More competition
• More efficiency for new products
• More flexibility on price
• More agility to meet offer and demand
• What happens if you don’t adapt to these new conditions ?
Exponential Accelerators
• Google, Facebook, Youtube and all social media are Exponential Accelerators
• Why ?
• How we can measure ?
Dynamic ranking creates exponential growth
• Ranking is not only based on traffic and also on traffic growth
• And in particular look not only at your growth but your acceleration
How many views ? 816 Millions
Paradigm shift
Product
Distribution
Marketing & Sales
Brand
Old Economy
New Economy
Brand
Marketing & Sales
Distribution
Product
More qualified Jobs• Some predict that Digital Economy destroys
jobs
• All traditional jobs will disappear in favor of jobs in the New Economy: a Painful Transition !!!
• But the New Economy is not just a substitution economy, it actually creates New Markets and New Types of Jobs:
• Markets: video games, social network, digital service providers, big data, cloud, web security, web sites, ...
• Jobs: community manager , data scientists , CTO , digital marketing, ...
• The creation of a new type of job / market is based on the following conditions:
• Demand
• Expertise
• Economic Efficiency
Uber : a typically French need
• Founded in 2009, following a trip in France …
• Valuation : $41 Billions
• What impact?
• What value?
• Transferable to other markets?
• Key Success Factor # 1: Reinventing the customer service from the customer's need
• What impact?
• What value?
• Transferable to other markets?
• Key Success Factor #2: Inventing Services that solve Big Problems
• What impact?
• What value?
• Transferable to other markets?
• Key Success Factor #3: Value Existing Assets by creating new Sharing Services
340 341 394
488 475
235
450
515 526 521
2004 2005 2006 2007 2008 2009 2010 2011 2012 2013 2014
6.9% 6.9% 7.5%
8.4% 8.6%
4.7%
8.4% 9.3% 9.3% 9.6%
11.0%
| ACCOR FY 2014 RESULTS | February 18, 2015 16
Record EBIT and EBIT margin in 2014 EBIT (in €m)
Margin
602
Accor figures, restated from Edenred / Motel 6 / Red Roof Inn / GLB
Positive effects from the transformation of Accor and operating momentum
• Founded in 1967
• 5th world's largest hotel group
• €5,5 Billions Revenues in 2014, 4000 hotels, 160 000 employees
• Financial Results are excellent
• New CEO has launched a Digital Transformation Plan in October 2014Digitale en octobre 2014 : €220 Millions investment in 4 years
• Strategy?
• Founded in 1996 in Amsterdam by a computer geek, acquired in 2005 by Priceline for $ 133 Million
• A catalog of 600,000 hotels worldwide, 202 countries, 49 languages
• 12,700 employees, $ 8.4 billion revenues in 2014 ( + 20%) margin: 40%
• An extraordinary ability to sell : 700,000 nights per day, able to direct the flow of customers in an instant
• Online advertising expenditures: $ 2.36 billion in 2014
• What is it going to happen?
• What impact?
• What value?
• Transferable to other markets?
• Key Success Factor #4: Take Digital Power
• Founded in 2003 by Elon Musk, Electric Car Manufacturer
• Model S : Autonomy : 500 km, 691 horsepower, performances > all sportcars, $70000
• Self park, autopilot, opens with a mobile phone
• Production 2014 : 70 000, predicted in 2015 : 200 000
• What impact?
• What value?
• Transferable to other markets?
• Key Success Factor #5: Digital reinvents all industrial products
• Founded in 2002
• NASA sub-contracts to Space-X to compete against Ariane
• Key Success Factor #5: Digital reinvents all industrial products (whole industry)
Netflix is an American company founded in 1997 by Reed Hastings, an entrepreneur from the Software industry
Based in Los Gatos, California, it rents DVDs with an unlimited subscription for $ 7.99 / month
DVDs are ordered and sent back by post unlimited
In 1999 , the model is dematerialized and DVDs are replaced by streaming
In March 2014, they have 50 million customers in the US
Now embarked on an international expansion: Canada, UK , Ireland, Denmark , Sweden, Finland Norway, South America and France
Revenues 2014 : $ 5.5 billion, net income of $ 268 million
Netflix data used to be hosted by Amazon Web Services
Netflix traffic represents 35% of total Internet traffic in the United States during peak hours and 30% of total traffic
Netflix PrizeIn 2006, Netflix launched the Netflix Prize, an open competition for the best collaborative filtering algorithm to predict user ratings for films, based on previous ratings without any other information about the users or films, i.e. without the users or the films being identified except by numbers assigned for the contest
One condition: the algorithm must be at least 10 % more efficient than the one designed by Netflix
More than 51,000 participants from 186 different countries
The winning team, BellKor 's Pragmatic Chaos, is comprised of 2 canadian engineers from Montreal Piotte Martin and Martin Chabbert, two researchers from AT & T, a scientific Yahoo and two Austrian researchers
New Value Chain
Film Producer 14cts
Cinemas 95% € 6.86
Customer € 7
Film Producer € 2,1
Netflix 70% € 4.9
Customer € 7
€ €
€€
Data Data
• What impact?
• What value?
• Transferable to other markets?
• Key Success Factor #6: Develop customer loyalty by measuring his interest and generating what interest him
• What impact?
• What value?
• Transferable to other markets?
• Key Success Factor #7: Exit traditional industrial models and identify new needs and supporters customers (long tail )
The 7 Key Success Factors of the New Economy
• # 1: Reinventing the customer service from the customer's need
• #2: Inventing Services that solve Big Problems
• #3: Value Existing Assets by creating new Sharing Services
• #4: Take Digital Power
• #5: Digital reinvents all industrial products (whole industry)
• #6: Develop customer loyalty by measuring his interest and generating what interest him
• #7: Exit traditional industrial models and identify new needs and supporters customers (long tail )
• Founded in 2005
• Retargeting inventor
• Revenues 2013 : € 440 Millions
• Listed on Nasdaq, valuation : $ 2,25 Milliards
• Founded in 2006
• 10 Millions users
• Car sharing leader in France, presence in 12 countries
• July 2014, $ 100 Millions round of financing from Index Venture
• Founded in 2007 by a former Nortel engineer
• Hybrid music amplifier (Analog Digital Hybrid)
• In 2012, they raise € 15 Millions from Bernard Arnault, Jacques-Antoine Granjon, Xavier Niel, Henri Seydoux, Stéphane Bohbot
• $ 5 Millions revenues in 2013
Heart + Passion
Invented by Pr Alain Carpentier in 2008, founder of Carmat
www.carmatsa.com
France late … or younger?
• Californian model is based on 3 values:
• Skills
• Speed / Competition
• Work
• We are able to do better on these 3 values… and more
• This is only the beginning …