exponential growth growth of a system in which the amount being added to the system is proportional...
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EXPONENTIAL OPPORTUNITY
A time of exponential opportunity for New Zealand
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EXPONENTIAL GROWTH
Growth of a system in which the amount being added to the system is proportional to the amount already present.
The bigger the system is, the greater the increase.
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Once you take a domain or industry and power it with information technology and information properties its price/performance starts doubling.
Once that starts it doesn’t stop, you get exponential growth. Dr Ray Kurzweil
EXPONENTIAL GROWTH
Source: kurzweilai.net
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COMPUTING TRANSFORMATION
1st Platform – MainframeThousands of appsMillions of users
2nd Platform – PCTens of thousand appsHundreds of millions of
users
3rd Platform – Mobile/CloudMillions of appsBillions of usersTrillions of “Things”
Source: idc.com
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AI
Robotics
Biotech
Nanotech
Medicine
Neuroscience
Energy
Space
Computing
EXPONENTIAL TECHNOLOGIES
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AI
Robotics
Biotech
Nanotech
Medicine
Neuroscience
Energy
Space
Computing
EXPONENTIAL TECHNOLOGIES
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9% global penetration (2011)
25% global penetration (2015)
Exponential Growth of Smart Mobile Devices(Global unit sales, millions)
Source: eMarketer
MOBILE DEVICES
EXPONENTIAL TECHNOLOGIES
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Global Internet Users Growing Fast(Global internet users, billions)
Source: ITU
MOBILE INTERNET
EXPONENTIAL TECHNOLOGIES
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From $30 /KWh (1980)
To $0.16 /KWh (2014)
200x in 34 years
Cost of Solar Plummeting(Price per KWh)
Sources: DOE NREL Solar Market Report, SolarBuzz Retail Price Environment
SOLAR ENERGY
EXPONENTIAL TECHNOLOGIES
Coal/Natural Gas Price Band
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From $10,000,000 (2007)
To $1,000 (2014)
10,000x in 7 years
Cost to Sequence Human Genome (Logarithmic scale)
Source: Lilly Clinical
BIOTECH
EXPONENTIAL TECHNOLOGIES
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From $500,000 (2008)
To $135,000 (2010)
To $22,000 (2012)
23x in 5 years
Industrial Robot Advances(Indexed)
Sources: htetechnologies.com
INDUSTRIAL ROBOTS
Source: UNECE
EXPONENTIAL TECHNOLOGIES
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Do you think you will need a Drivers License?
Source: Google
AUTONOMOUS VEHICALS
EXPONENTIAL TECHNOLOGIES
From $350,000 of sensors (2011)
To $1,000 (2015)
300x in 4 years
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AI
Robotics
Biotech
Nanotech
Medicine
Neuroscience
Energy
Space
Computing
EXPONENTIAL TECHNOLOGIES
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Source: Economist
UNICORNS - $1B VALUATIONS
EXPONENTIAL ORGANISATIONS
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PLATFORMS & ECOSYSTEMS
EXPONENTIAL OPPORTUNITY
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