export value thai export to major destinations asian ... · jan 2017 apr jul 2017 oct jan 2018 apr...
TRANSCRIPT
1
75
85
95
105
115
125
Jan2015
Jul Jan2016
Jul Jan2017
Jul Jan2018
Jul Jan2019
Jul
Thai Export to Major Destinations
60
70
80
90
100
110
120
130
140
Jan2015
Jul Jan2016
Jul Jan2017
Jul Jan2018
Jul Jan2019
Jul
Asian Export PerformanceIndex sa, 3mma (Jan 2015=100) Ex.gold
Index sa, 3mma (Jan 2015=100)
EU
Japan*China
ASEAN5
ME
* ex. aircraft, other vehicles and other manufacturing goods** ex other manufacturing products
US**
Aug 2019 = 21.9 Bn USD
Ex. gold = 20.0 Bn USD
Ex.Gold = 15.8 Bn USD
%MoM calculated from seasonally adjusted data. P = Preliminary data.Note: Data above are recorded by custom basis, except total export value which is recorded by BOP basis. Custom basis considers recording as goods pass through Customs, while BOP basis considers changes in ownership between residents and non-residents.Source: Compiled from Customs Department’s data
%YoYShare
20182018P
2018P 2019P
H1 H2 Q1 Q2 Q3 Aug SepSep
(%MoM)
Agriculture 7.2 0.4 3.4 -2.5 -2.1 -4.9 -8.9 -10.0 -19.5 -16.7
Fishery 0.8 -6.5 -1.4 -11.0 -14.9 -9.2 -2.9 -2.2 -6.7 -3.6
Manufacturing 88.9 8.6 13.2 4.4 -1.9 -5.4 -4.9 -10.6 -2.1 0.7
Agro-manufacturing 12.4 7.6 10.2 5.2 0.7 -5.7 -0.7 -3.8 5.3 0.3
Electronics 14.8 5.0 12.4 -1.5 -11.3 -9.5 -6.0 -9.5 -3.3 4.4
Electrical Appliances 5.3 1.6 6.6 -3.6 -4.6 2.2 2.8 -4.6 8.4 3.1
Automotive 15.2 7.9 15.3 1.4 -3.8 -3.5 -0.5 -8.1 6.8 -1.4
Machinery &
Equipment 8.7 6.7 10.3 3.4 -2.9 -6.2 -7.2 -7.0 -9.5 -6.4
Petroleum Related 13.1 21.8 26.5 17.8 -7.2 -13.4 -17.9 -24.5 -16.2 3.0
Total (BOP Basis) 100.0 7.5 12.4 2.9 -4.0 -4.2 0.0 -2.1 -1.5 -6.4
Ex. Gold - 8.2 12.9 3.9 -4.2 -5.8 -4.8 -8.9 -3.3 -0.8
Ex. Gold &
Petroleum Related - 6.4 11.1 2.0 -3.8 -4.6 -2.7 -6.5 -1.4 -1.2
Export ValueSep 2019 = 20.4 Bn USD
Ex. gold = 19.8 Bn USD
1) ( ) represents export share in 20182) Firm size is classified by their export share in 2013-2018;
Large Exporter (> 0.1%), Medium (0.01% - 0.1%), Small (< 0.01%)3) Data include only firms that registered to the Department of Business Development
Export by Firm SizeIndex sa, 3mma (2015=100)
CLMV
Note: Thai export excludes gold. Indonesian export excludes oil&gas.Source: CEIC, Customs Department, calculated by Bank of Thailand
PH INDOMY
THTW
CNSGKR
9095
100105110115120125130
Jan-
15
Jun-
15
Nov
-15
Apr-1
6
Sep-
16
Feb-
17
Jul-1
7
Dec-
17
May
-18
Oct
-18
Mar
-19
Aug-
19
TotalLarge Exporter (52%)Medium Exporter (32%)Small Exporter (16%)
Sep 19
2
Import Value IndexIndex sa, 3mma (Jan 2015=100)
* Regrouping to include vehicle parts, which appear in “others” in the accompanying table.
40
60
80
100
120
140
Jan2015
Jul Jan2016
Jul Jan2017
Jul Jan2018
Jul Jan2019
Jul
Total imports Consumer goodsRaw materials ex. fuel* FuelCapital goods
%YoYShare
20182018P
2018P 2019P
H1 H2 Q1 Q2 Q3 Aug SepSep
(%MoM)
Consumer 10.3 12.5 16.7 8.6 -1.3 1.6 8.9 -2.2 9.1 2.6
Raw material &
Intermediate56.0 17.9 19.5 16.3 -0.1 -4.8 -7.0 -10.6 -9.7 -6.1
o/w Fuel 16.0 36.9 36.9 36.9 7.9 -3.7 -11.5 -0.9 -21.3 -23.2
o/w Raw mat &
Interm ex. Fuel 40.1 11.7 14.1 9.3 -2.9 -5.2 -5.1 -14.2 -5.0 1.3
Capital 22.8 1.0 5.6 -3.3 -9.1 -5.0 4.1 -4.6 4.9 4.5
Others 10.8 9.0 15.2 4.4 10.3 2.0 -29.3 -47.9 -6.7 8.5
Total (BOP Basis) 100.0 13.7 16.7 11.1 -2.9 -3.4 -6.8 -15.5 -4.5 -0.5
Ex. Gold - 14.4 17.1 11.9 -0.1 -3.7 -2.6 -8.0 -3.5 -1.3
Ex.
Gold&Fuel- 10.3 13.6 7.2 -1.7 -3.7 -0.5 -9.5 0.6 3.6
%MoM calculated from seasonally adjusted data. P = Preliminary data.Note: 1/ Data above are recorded by custom basis, except total import value which is recorded by BOP basis. Custom basis considers recording as goods pass through Customs, while BOP basis considers changes in ownership between residents and non-residents. 2/ Import of consumer goods In July includes temporarily imported jewellery for exhibition but is excluded in the total import value in BOP basis due to no changes in ownership.Source: Compiled from Customs Department’s data
Import ValueAug 2019 = 18.3 Bn USD
Ex.Gold = 17.6 Bn USD
Sep 2019 = 17.7 Bn USD
Ex.Gold = 16.9 Bn USD
80
90
100
110
120
130
Jan2015
Jul Jan2016
Jul Jan2017
Jul Jan2018
Jul Jan2019
Jul
Value Quantity Price
Index sa, 3mma (Jan 2015=100)
3
80
90
100
110
120
Jan2014
Jul Jan2015
Jul Jan2016
Jul Jan2017
Jul Jan2018
Jul Jan2019
Jul
Semi-durable Index sa,3mma
Durable Index sa, 3mma
Jan 2014 = 100
Private Consumption Indicators
%YoY 20182018 2019P
H1 H2 Q1 Q2 Q3 Aug SepP %MoM sa
Non-durable index 1.4 1.3 1.4 2.4 3.3 1.8 1.7 1.1 -0.9
Semi-durable index 2.8 2.5 3.1 1.4 1.0 0.9 -0.6 1.3 0.7
Durable index 8.0 7.9 8.2 5.3 0.1 -3.1 -4.0 -5.7 -3.4
Service index 5.3 7.1 3.6 3.5 2.2 2.6 2.7 3.7 0.7
(less) Net tourist spending -0.6 3.6 -4.3 -2.5 1.8 4.6 5.9 7.5 0.8
Private Consumption Index 4.6 4.7 4.4 4.2 2.5 1.4 1.0 1.3 -0.3
Note: * Comprises of the VAT on hotel and restaurant sector and the sale of transportation sector** Expenditure of non-resident in Thailand subtracted by expenditure of resident abroad
Source: Bank of Thailand
Nielsen’s FMCG Index & Fuel Index
Durable and Semi-durable Indices
Jan 2014 = 100 Jan 2014 = 100
60
80
100
120
140
160
180
80
90
100
110
120
130
140
Jan2014
Jul Jan2015
Jul Jan2016
Jul Jan2017
Jul Jan2018
Jul Jan2019
Jul
Service Index sa, 3mma
Net tourist spending Index sa, 3mma (RHS)
Jan 2014 = 100Jan 2014 = 100
Service Index* & Net Tourist Spending Index**
90
100
110
120
130
140
150
160
90
95
100
105
110
115
120
Jan2014
Jul Jan2015
Jul Jan2016
Jul Jan2017
Jul Jan2018
Jul Jan2019
Jul
Nielsen’s FMCG Index sa, 3mmaFuel Index, sa (RHS)Fuel Index sa, 3mma (RHS)
Source: The Nielsen company and Department of Energy Business, calculated by Bank of Thailand
Source: Bank of Thailand Note: %MoM is calculated from seasonally adjusted data P = Preliminary DataSource: Bank of Thailand
4
Farm Income
Contribution to Growth: Farm Income%YoY
(%YoY) 20182018 2019
H1 H2 Q1 Q2 Q3 Aug Sep
Nominal farm
incomeP1.6 0.8 3.1 0.2 -0.4 3.4 4.1 4.0
Agricultural
productionP7.7 10.7 5.4 0.8 -2.4 1.1 1.4 1.3
Agricultural
price-5.7 -8.9 -2.1 -0.6 2.1 2.4 2.7 2.6
Nominal Farm Income
Note: Farm income does not include government subsidies and transfers. P = Preliminary dataSource: Office of Agricultural Economics and calculated by Bank of Thailand
Source: Office of Agricultural Economics and calculated by Bank of Thailand
4.0
-20
-10
0
10
20
30
40
50
Jan2017
Apr Jul2017
Oct Jan2018
Apr Jul2018
Oct Jan2019
Apr Jul2019
Paddy Rice Sugarcane CassavaRubber Fruit Oil PalmLivestock Shrimp OthersTotal Farm Income
Source: NSO, Office of Agricultural Economics and calculated by Bank of Thailand
-1.73
-10
-5
0
5
10
15
Jan2014
Jul Jan2015
Jul Jan2016
Jul Jan2017
Jul Jan2018
Jul Jan2019
Jul
Non-Farm Real Total Earning%YoY
40
50
60
70
80
90
100
Jan2014
Jul Jan2015
Jul Jan2016
Jul Jan2017
Jul Jan2018
Jul Jan2019
Jul
Total Current
Next 6 months Average 5 years
Consumer Confidence IndexDiffusion Index, sa(Unchanged = 100)
Average 5 years = 76.2
Source: The University of the Thai Chamber of Commerce, calculated by Bank of Thailand
5
Manufacturing Production Index (MPI)
Note: the new MPI series as adjusted by the OIE (coverage and base year at 2016)R = 2019 Revision P = Preliminary dataSource: Office of Industrial Economics and seasonally adjusted by Bank of Thailand
(%YoY)Share2016R 2018
2018 2019
H1 H2 Q1 Q2 Q3 Aug SepP %MoM
sa
Food & Beverages 19.9 4.8 5.6 3.9 0.6 -1.5 1.6 0.9 -0.1 -0.9Automotives 13.9 9.9 11.6 8.3 4.7 -1.0 -6.3 -7.7 -5.0 -3.5
- Passenger Cars 4.8 10.0 10.1 10.0 6.7 -0.5 -8.3 -9.8 -5.5 0.6
- Commercial Vehicles 7.2 10.3 12.1 8.6 4.6 -0.2 -5.1 -5.8 -5.6 -2.1
- Engine 1.3 9.5 15.4 4.2 -2.8 -6.8 -5.8 -8.1 -1.3 -2.7
Petroleum 9.6 4.8 7.5 2.3 1.2 0.8 -7.4 -3.2 -11.2 -4.5Chemicals 9.2 4.6 6.4 2.7 -0.7 -1.3 1.7 3.0 5.9 0.5Rubbers & Plastics 8.9 -1.2 -0.2 -2.1 -4.1 -7.2 -9.4 -9.4 -12.2 -3.9Cement & Construction 5.5 4.6 3.7 5.5 -0.3 1.0 -4.2 -6.3 -2.8 -0.8
IC & Semiconductors 5.5 2.6 0.8 4.4 -2.5 -4.5 -12.0 -15.2 -9.4 2.3
Electrical Appliances 3.8 0.9 -0.8 3.1 2.3 7.8 1.3 -6.1 -0.2 -1.0Textiles & Apparels 3.5 2.0 -0.3 4.3 -3.7 -5.7 -9.0 -10.2 -4.8 1.0Hard Disk Drive 3.4 2.7 12.9 -5.9 -15.2 -13.4 0.5 13.3 -6.6 -14.4
Others 16.7 -0.5 1.0 -1.9 -6.1 -5.4 -5.7 -8.3 -7.1 -1.8
MPI 100.0 3.6 4.9 2.4 -1.2 -2.5 -4.2 -4.4 -4.7 -2.3
MPI sa ∆% from last
period100.0 - 2.9 0.7 -2.5 -0.4 -2.0 -0.4 -2.3 -
Capacity Utilization
(SA)- 69.8 69.9 69.6 68.3 67.5 65.9 66.5 64.5 - * The latest month was estimated by the BOT
Index sa(Jan 2014 = 100)
80
90
100
110
Jan2014
Jul Jan2015
Jul Jan2016
Jul Jan2017
Jul Jan 2018
Jul Jan 2019
Jul
Industrial Electricity Consumption*
Quantity of Imported Raw Materials
Index of Work Hours in Manufacturing (3mma)
MPI Classified by Export Share
Index sa(Jan 2014 = 100)
Other Indicators of Manufacturing Production
70
80
90
100
110
120
Jan2014
Jul Jan2015
Jul Jan2016
Jul Jan2017
Jul Jan 2018
Jul Jan 2019
Jul
Export<30% 30%<Export<60% Export>60%
Sources: NSO, OIE, Customs Department and seasonally adjusted by Bank Of Thailand
Sources: Office of Industrial Economics , calculated by Bank of Thailand
-2.0 %
-2.2%
-2.8 %
%MoM sa
%MoM sa
-0.8 %
-6.4 %
-1.1 %
6
4,000
4,500
5,000
5,500
6,000
6,500
7,000
707580859095
100105
Jan2014
Jul Jan2015
Jul Jan2016
Jul Jan2017
Jul Jan2018
Jul Jan2019
Jul
Construction Materials Index
Permitted Construction Area (RHS)
Investment in Machinery and Equipment Investment in Construction1,000 m2
9mmaIndex sa
(Jan 2014=100) Index sa
(Jan 2014 = 100)
60
80
100
120
140
Jan2014
Jul Jan2015
Jul Jan2016
Jul Jan2017
Jul Jan2018
Jul Jan2019
Jul
Real Imports of Capital GoodsDomestic Machinery SalesCar Registered for Investment
% YoY 20182018 2019P
H1 H2 Q1 Q2 Q3 Aug Sep %MoM sa
Permitted Construction Area (9mma) -3.3 0.7 -7.3 -13.1 -11.3 -6.8 -7.2 -4.1 0.5
Construction Materials Index 4.5 1.4 7.7 1.0 2.4 -3.8 -8.1 -1.6 1.4
Real Imports of Capital Goods 3.6 5.2 2.2 2.6 -2.1 -1.3 -8.5 -2.6 2.6
Real Domestic Machinery Sales 6.1 6.6 5.5 -2.3 -5.3 -6.8 -7.7 -8.0 -0.6
Newly Registered Motor Vehicles for Investment 5.7 4.9 6.6 6.6 -1.8 -2.5 -8.2 -3.8 -1.9
Private Investment Index 3.5 4.2 2.9 -1.0 -3.3 -3.4 -6.3 -3.9 0.5
Private Investment Indicators
Note: All data is in real terms.Source: Department of Land Transport, Customs Department, Revenue Department, calculated by Bank of Thailand
Note: All data is in real terms.Source: NSO and Bank of Thailand
Note: %MoM is calculated from seasonally adjusted data P = Preliminary DataSource: Bank of Thailand
Note: Business credits and debt refer to change in outstanding (par); equity refers to new issuance at par value.
Source: Bank of Thailand, ThaiBMA, SET
Sources of Corporate Financing Billion baht
-50
0
50
100
150
200
Jan Jul Jan Jul Jan Jul
Business Credits (SA) Equity Debt 3MMA
2017 2018 2019
7
60
80
100
120
140
160
180
Oct Dec Feb Apr Jun Aug
avg. FY2016-18 FY2018 FY2019
0
10
20
30
40
50
60
Oct Dec Feb Apr Jun Aug
avg. FY2016-18 FY2018 FY2019
Sep
-3.0%
Sep
14.0%
Billion baht Central Government Current Expenditure(Excl. Subsidies/Grants and Other)
Central Government Capital Expenditure(Ex. Subsidies/Grants and Other)
Billion baht
Note: P = Preliminary data 1/ Includes cash payments for operating and purchase of non-financial assets, except loan repayments 2/ Excludes loan principal and interest payment
Fiscal Position (Cash basis)
Billion baht FY2018 FY2019FY2018 FY2019
Q3 Q4 Q1 Q2 Q3 Q4 Aug Sep
Revenue 2,513 2,538 758 671 615 551 777 595 182 226
(%YoY) (6.8) (1.0) (8.7) (8.9) (12.8) (2.3) (2.5) (-11.3) (-8.7) (-25.1)
Expenditure1/ 2,882 2,975 731 606 924 719 654 679 168 281
(%YoY) (3.1) (3.2) (14.0) (2.3) (-2.2) (19.9) (-10.5) (11.9) (-3.9) (22.4)
Budgetary B/L -368 -437 28 65 -309 -168 124 -83 14 -55
Non-Budgetary B/L -28 127 53 -70 -28 -21 123 53 -12 58
Cash B/L (CG) -396 -310 81 -5 -337 -190 247 -30 2 2
Primary balance 2/ -258 -159 139 5 -274 -178 313 -20 3 8
Net Financing 506 190 83 212 84 99 -38 45 26 -2
Treasury B/L 633 513 427 633 380 289 497 513 512 513Source: Comptroller General’s Department, Fiscal Policy Office and Bank of Thailand
0
10
20
30
40
Oct Dec Feb Apr Jun Aug
avg. FY2016-18 FY2018 FY2019
State Owned Enterprises Capital ExpenditureBillion baht
Sep
-5.2%
8
50
100
150
200
Jan2015
Jul Jan2016
Jul Jan2017
Jul Jan2018
Jul Jan2019
Jul
Total China (28%)Malaysia (11%) Asia ex. CN MY (30%)Europe ex. Russia (14%) Russia (4%)
20182018 2019
H1 H2 Q1 Q2 Q3 Aug SepP YTD
No. of tourists (’000)
38,178 19,425 18,753 10,795 8,974 9,696 3,466 2,903 29,466
%YoY 7.3 11.9 2.9 2.1 1.4 7.2 7.4 10.1 3.5
%QoQsa, %MoMsa - - - 2.6 -0.9 3.3 1.4 2.2 -
Index sa(Jan 2015 = 100) Tourists Classified by Nationality
Note: ( ) denotes share of total tourist arrivals in 2018 P = Preliminary dataSource: Ministry of Tourism and Sports, calculated by Bank of Thailand
9
-2
-1
0
1
2
3
Jan2014
Jul Jan2015
Jul Jan2016
Jul Jan2017
Jul Jan2018
Jul Jan2019
Jul
Raw food (15.69%)Energy (11.75%)Core Inflation (72.56%)
0
1
2
3
Jan2014
Jul Jan2015
Jul Jan2016
Jul Jan2017
Jul Jan2018
Jul Jan2019
Jul
Rent (19.62%)Food & Beverage (28.17%)Non-Food & Beverage ex. Rent (52.21%)
Sources: Ministry of Commerce calculated by Bank of Thailand
Core inflation contributionHeadline inflation contribution%YoY %YoY
Sep0.32%
Sep0.44%
( ) Share in Core Inflation
( ) Share in Headline Inflation
Sources: Ministry of Commerce calculated by Bank of Thailand
EmploymentThousand persons sa, 3mma
10,000
12,000
14,000
16,000
18,000
20,000
20,000
22,000
24,000
26,000
28,000
30,000
Jan2014
Jul Jan2015
Jul Jan2016
Jul Jan2017
Jul Jan2018
Jul Jan2019
Jul
Non-Agriculture (sa, 3mma) Non-Agriculture (sa)Agriculture (sa, 3mma) (RHS) Agriculture (sa) (RHS)Not in Labor Force (sa, 3mma) (RHS) Not in Labor Force (sa) (RHS)
Source: Labor Force Survey (NSO), calculated by BOT
Thousand persons sa, 3mma
Labor Market Indicators
Source: Labor Force Survey (NSO), calculated by BOT
%YOY2018 2018 2019
H1 H2 Q1 Q2 Q3 Aug Sep
Unemployment rate
(sa)1.1 1.2 1.0
0.9
(0.9)
1.0
(0.9)
1.0
(1.0)
1.0
(1.0)
1.0
(1.0)
Employed persons (%YoY)
(%QoQ, %MoMsa3mma)1.1 0.4 1.8
0.9
(-0.2)
-0.3
(-0.3)
-2.1
(-1.3)
-1.7
(-0.5)
-1.9
(-0.5)
Underemployment rate 0.8 0.8 0.7 0.9 0.6 0.5 0.4 0.5
10
Source: Bank of Thailand P = Preliminary data E = Estimated data
Balance of Payments
Billion USD 2018P2018P 2019P
H1 H2 Q1 Q2 Q3 Aug SepE YTD
Trade Balance 22.4 13.8 8.6 6.5 5.7 8.0 3.6 2.7 20.1
Exports (f.o.b.) 251.1 125.6 125.5 59.9 60.6 63.3 21.9 20.4 183.7
%YoY 7.5 12.4 2.9 -4.0 -4.2 0.0 -2.1 -1.5 -2.7
Imports (f.o.b.) 228.7 111.7 117.0 53.4 54.8 55.3 18.3 17.7 163.6
%YoY 13.7 16.7 11.1 -2.9 -3.4 -6.8 -15.5 -4.5 -4.4
Net Services, Income & Transfers 6.1 4.5 1.5 5.8 -0.6 1.2 0.4 0.8 6.3
Current Account 28.5 18.4 10.1 12.2 5.1 9.1 4.0 3.5 26.4
Capital and Financial Account -15.6 -12.0 -3.6 -5.1 -3.2 0.2 -1.4 -0.9 -8.1
Overall Balance 7.3 7.6 -0.4 5.5 0.1 6.8 1.0 1.0 12.3
11
Millions of USD 2018P 2018P 2019P
YTDH1 H2 Q1 Q2 Q3 Aug SepE
1. Assets -22,624 -9,195 -13,429 -5,115 -4,841 -831 -748 -1,654 -10,788TDI -21,249 -11,008 -10,241 -4,427 -3,498 -3,714 -557 -1,793 -11,639- Equity -8,326 -3,274 -5,051 -1,293 -1,861 -984 -280 -315 -4,138- Reinvestment of earnings -1,272 -676 -596 -375 -306 -486 -162 -162 -1,167
Thai portfolio investment -1,952 -520 -1,432 -1,278 -1,383 -2,857 -329 -2,446 -5,519- Equity security investment -2,477 -4,465 1,989 86 -43 -1,122 -522 -519 -1,079- Debt security investment 525 3,946 -3,421 -1,364 -1,341 -1,735 193 -1,926 -4,439
Loans -1,176 -1,047 -129 400 704 505 110 92 1,609 Other investments 1,753 3,380 -1,627 190 -665 5,235 28 2,492 4,760 - Trade credits 2,541 12 2,529 -345 -245 -276 248 -697 -866- Deposits abroad -6,722 1,442 -8,164 -372 -3,330 4,380 136 2,344 678
2. Liabilities 7,676 -2,203 9,879 7 1,625 1,012 -688 729 2,644 FDI 13,205 6,067 7,138 669 1,988 5,188 447 3,674 7,845 - Equity 5,797 2,769 3,028 -1,603 2,337 2,892 181 1,780 3,626 - Reinvestment of earnings 7,535 3,372 4,163 2,640 -70 942 314 314 3,512
Foreign portfolio investment -3,911 -6,523 2,611 -1,291 2,581 -3,164 -2,188 -804 -1,874- Equity security investment -7,101 -4,632 -2,469 -401 1,244 -1,117 -1,359 -241 -274- Debt security investment 3,190 -1,890 5,080 -890 1,337 -2,048 -829 -564 -1,600
Loans 2,342 -893 3,235 1,317 -2,382 799 1,117 -1,015 -266Other investments -3,960 -854 -3,106 -689 -562 -1,810 -64 -1,126 -3,061- Trade credits 77 838 -762 -17 -606 -1,475 -460 -595 -2,098- Deposits abroad 368 493 -126 283 555 477 282 -102 1,315
Total financial flows (1+2) -14,948 -11,398 -3,550 -5,109 -3,216 181 -1,436 -925 -8,143
Net Financial Flows
Source: Bank of Thailand P = Preliminary data E = Estimated data
12
80
90
100
110
120
130
Jan2014
Jul Jan2015
Jul Jan2016
Jul Jan2017
Jul Jan2018
Jul Jan2019
Jul
NEER REER USDTHB
Sources: Bank of Thailand and Reuters
-1.2%
-0.4% -0.2% -0.1%0.0%
0.5% 0.6% 0.6% 0.8% 0.8%1.0%
1.2%
2.1%
-0.9%
0.4%
1.2%
0.0%
1.0%
-0.4% -0.3%
0.1%
-0.6%
0.3%
1.2%
0.5%
2.5%
-2%
-1%
0%
1%
2%
3%
JPY EUR PHP VND THB IDR MYR CNY INR SGD TWD KRW GBP
End of Sep 19 compared to end of Aug 1924 Oct 19 compared to end of Sep 19
Exchange Rate Movement % p.a.
0%
2%
4%
6%
8%
10%
29-D
ec-1
723
-Jan
-18
13-F
eb-1
87-
Mar
-18
28-M
ar-1
823
-Apr
-18
15-M
ay-1
86-
Jun-
1827
-Jun
-18
18-J
ul-1
810
-Aug
-18
3-Se
p-18
24-S
ep-1
816
-Oct
-18
7-N
ov-1
828
-Nov
-18
21-D
ec-1
815
-Jan
-19
5-Fe
b-19
27-F
eb-1
920
-Mar
-19
11-A
pr-1
98-
May
-19
30-M
ay-1
921
-Jun
-19
12-J
ul-1
95-
Aug-
1927
-Aug
-19
17-S
ep-1
98-
Oct
-19
Latest data 24 Oct 2019
Exchange Rate Volatility (vis-à-vis USD)
Index (Jan 2014 = 100)
Oct 2019(Average data
until 24 Oct 2019)THB Appreciation
Sep-19114.5
Oct-19124.4
Oct-19108.3
Sources: Reuters, calculated by Bank of ThailandNote: End-period data, + = Appreciation against USD Sources: Reuters, Bank of Thailand
0
1
2
3
4
5
6
2010
2011
2012
2013
2014
2015
2016
2017
Q12
018
Q22
018
Q32
018
Q42
018
Q12
019
Q22
019
Q32
019
Aug-
19
Sep-
19
Reserves/Short-term DebtTimes
Sep 2019E
3.7