familial hypercholesterolaemia: a primary care perspective · familial hypercholesterolaemia: a...

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Familial Hypercholesterolaemia: a Primary Care Perspective Dr Mariam Molokhia Reader in Clinical Epidemiology & Primary Care King’s College London School of Population Health and Environmental Sciences Pan London FH Clinic Collaboration Event 22 nd January 2019 in collaboration with Mark Ashworth, Peter Schofield, Stevo Durbaba (KCL)

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Page 1: Familial Hypercholesterolaemia: a Primary Care Perspective · Familial Hypercholesterolaemia: a Primary Care Perspective Dr Mariam Molokhia Reader in Clinical Epidemiology & Primary

Familial Hypercholesterolaemia: a Primary Care Perspective

Dr Mariam Molokhia

Reader in Clinical Epidemiology & Primary Care

King’s College London

School of Population Health and Environmental Sciences

Pan London FH Clinic Collaboration Event 22nd January 2019

in collaboration with

Mark Ashworth, Peter Schofield, Stevo Durbaba (KCL)

Page 2: Familial Hypercholesterolaemia: a Primary Care Perspective · Familial Hypercholesterolaemia: a Primary Care Perspective Dr Mariam Molokhia Reader in Clinical Epidemiology & Primary

Cholesterol….

Harley Schwadron for Reader's Digest

Page 3: Familial Hypercholesterolaemia: a Primary Care Perspective · Familial Hypercholesterolaemia: a Primary Care Perspective Dr Mariam Molokhia Reader in Clinical Epidemiology & Primary

➢Data source: Lambeth DataNet Primary Care EHRs from 44 practices (~400,000 patients), in SE London, inner city ethnically diverse population.

‘Personal profile’ data:

Ethnicity*, language*, religion, country of birth*

Clinical data: Clinical diagnoses, laboratory values, medication,

measurements BMI, Blood pressure

Prescribing: Dose, frequency, amount

Longitudinal data: monitoring conditions, treatments, outcomes

Lambeth DataNet (LDN)

Lambeth DataNet http://www.lambethccg.nhs.uk/your-health/Information-for-patients/Pages/DataNet.aspx

Page 4: Familial Hypercholesterolaemia: a Primary Care Perspective · Familial Hypercholesterolaemia: a Primary Care Perspective Dr Mariam Molokhia Reader in Clinical Epidemiology & Primary

Lambeth, London

➢FH assessed according to modified Simon Broome Criteria

cholesterol ≥ 7.5mmol/L and raised LDL ≥ 4.9mmol/L

➢Explored by age strata and ethnic groups

Page 5: Familial Hypercholesterolaemia: a Primary Care Perspective · Familial Hypercholesterolaemia: a Primary Care Perspective Dr Mariam Molokhia Reader in Clinical Epidemiology & Primary

2019 Lambeth population by ethnic group (all ages) n = 399036

0

50000

100000

150000

200000

250000

Nu

mb

er

Ethnic group

Page 6: Familial Hypercholesterolaemia: a Primary Care Perspective · Familial Hypercholesterolaemia: a Primary Care Perspective Dr Mariam Molokhia Reader in Clinical Epidemiology & Primary

Age adjusted percentage in Lambeth LSOAs

for raised cholesterol ≥ 7.5mmol/L

Age adjusted percentage in Lambeth LSOAs

for raised LDL ≥ 4.9mmol/L

Age adjusted percentage in Lambeth LSOAs

for raised cholesterol ≥ 7.5mmol/L and raised

LDL ≥ 4.9mmol/L

Lambeth DataNet Extract 05/2018

Age adjusted lipid distribution in adults ≥ 40 yearsn=151, 140

Page 7: Familial Hypercholesterolaemia: a Primary Care Perspective · Familial Hypercholesterolaemia: a Primary Care Perspective Dr Mariam Molokhia Reader in Clinical Epidemiology & Primary

Screening for possible FH: cholesterol ≥ 7.5mmol/L and raised LDL ≥ 4.9mmol/L

Methods:

Generalised linear models (R) (GLM) is a flexible

generalization of ordinary linear regression - allows for

response variables that have error distribution models

other than a normal distribution

Model of raised cholesterol by i) age-group and ii) ethnicity

Page 8: Familial Hypercholesterolaemia: a Primary Care Perspective · Familial Hypercholesterolaemia: a Primary Care Perspective Dr Mariam Molokhia Reader in Clinical Epidemiology & Primary

Prevalence of cholesterol ≥ 7.5mmol/L and raised LDL ≥ 4.9mmol/L by age group

0%

1%

2%

3%

4%

5%

6%

7%

8%

40s 50s 60s 70s 80s 90+

Pre

vale

nce

mo

de

lled

%)

Age Groups

Interpretation: For patient in 40’s there is a probability (fit) ~1.2% of raised cholesterol & LDLincreases to around 6.3% in 70’s then decreases

Page 9: Familial Hypercholesterolaemia: a Primary Care Perspective · Familial Hypercholesterolaemia: a Primary Care Perspective Dr Mariam Molokhia Reader in Clinical Epidemiology & Primary

Prevalence of cholesterol ≥ 7.5mmol/L and raised LDL ≥ 4.9mmol/L by ethnic group in adults ≥ 40 years

0.0%

0.5%

1.0%

1.5%

2.0%

2.5%

3.0%

3.5%

Pre

vale

nce

(ag

e a

dju

ste

d %

)

Ethnicity

Page 10: Familial Hypercholesterolaemia: a Primary Care Perspective · Familial Hypercholesterolaemia: a Primary Care Perspective Dr Mariam Molokhia Reader in Clinical Epidemiology & Primary

FAMCAT FEASIBILITY PILOT: South London

Aim: To prospectively evaluate usability of the FAMCAT tool to identify familial hypercholesterolaemia in primary care.

Design: Feasibility study 5 EMISWEB practices in S London (Lambeth & Southwark)

Intervention: 1. Use of a FAMCAT, in GP electronic health records, to identify

patients with a high probability of FH2. FAMCAT tool feedback

Outcomes: Ranked list high risk FH cases for further clinical assessment

Page 11: Familial Hypercholesterolaemia: a Primary Care Perspective · Familial Hypercholesterolaemia: a Primary Care Perspective Dr Mariam Molokhia Reader in Clinical Epidemiology & Primary

Familial Hypercholesterolaemia Case Ascertainment Tool (FAMCAT) & web based calculator

Risk score

https://prism-uon.shinyapps.io/FAMCAT/

Page 12: Familial Hypercholesterolaemia: a Primary Care Perspective · Familial Hypercholesterolaemia: a Primary Care Perspective Dr Mariam Molokhia Reader in Clinical Epidemiology & Primary

https://www.nottingham.ac.uk/primis/tools-audits/tools-audits/familial-hypercholesterolaemia.aspx

Familial Hypercholesterolaemia Case Ascertainment Tool (FAMCAT)

Page 13: Familial Hypercholesterolaemia: a Primary Care Perspective · Familial Hypercholesterolaemia: a Primary Care Perspective Dr Mariam Molokhia Reader in Clinical Epidemiology & Primary

FAMCAT Searches Lambeth: FH CHART Summary Report

Diagnosis and Screening

Lipid lowering prescribing

Family History Recording

Total very high risk FH (4 practices; 5th IP ) n=234/37, 365 ~0.07%

Page 14: Familial Hypercholesterolaemia: a Primary Care Perspective · Familial Hypercholesterolaemia: a Primary Care Perspective Dr Mariam Molokhia Reader in Clinical Epidemiology & Primary

Ranked list highest>lowest probability of FH

Several (< 50 years) with high FH risk

Risk stratification → these are the priority cases to be assessed

Sample patient data from a South London general practice

Page 15: Familial Hypercholesterolaemia: a Primary Care Perspective · Familial Hypercholesterolaemia: a Primary Care Perspective Dr Mariam Molokhia Reader in Clinical Epidemiology & Primary

Why documenting cholesterol is important:CPRD Matched cohort study of new users of AC/AP drugsComparator = non-use (within 365 days before index date)

Risk 1 (death, 10218 events)

Risk 2 (hospital admissions, 57678 events)

Risk 3 (ICB (stroke), 430 events)Risk 4 (Gastrointestinal Bleed, 5385 events)

Targeted statistical methods for translational precision medicine (MRC/KCL CIC): Rowley, Dregan, Coolen, Molokhia 2018

Page 16: Familial Hypercholesterolaemia: a Primary Care Perspective · Familial Hypercholesterolaemia: a Primary Care Perspective Dr Mariam Molokhia Reader in Clinical Epidemiology & Primary

Bias: Informative missingness

Risk 1 (death): Longitudinal data suggest patients with missing cholesterol have poorer survival

Page 17: Familial Hypercholesterolaemia: a Primary Care Perspective · Familial Hypercholesterolaemia: a Primary Care Perspective Dr Mariam Molokhia Reader in Clinical Epidemiology & Primary

Conclusions

Burden of undiagnosed and untreated cases- avoidable CVD and morbidity

Inequalities and unmet need: significant younger age groups

Feasible diagnostic and ascertainment pilot in S London

Page 18: Familial Hypercholesterolaemia: a Primary Care Perspective · Familial Hypercholesterolaemia: a Primary Care Perspective Dr Mariam Molokhia Reader in Clinical Epidemiology & Primary

With thanks to Nadeem Qureshi, Stephen Weng, Ton Coolen, Mark Rowley, participating practices and patients and colleagues

Page 19: Familial Hypercholesterolaemia: a Primary Care Perspective · Familial Hypercholesterolaemia: a Primary Care Perspective Dr Mariam Molokhia Reader in Clinical Epidemiology & Primary

Prevalence of cholesterol ≥ 7.5mmol/L and raised LDL ≥ 4.9mmol/L by ethnic group

0%

2%

4%

6%

8%

10%

12%

14%

16%

18%

20%

Pre

vale

nce

(ag

e a

dju

ste

d %

)

Ethnicity