farming system opportunities and limitations in rwanda: exploring scenarios to improve welfare and...

17
A member of CGIAR consortium www.iita.org Farming system opportunities and limitations in Rwanda: Exploring scenarios to improve welfare and sustainable land use JH Ainembabazi, PMN Dontsop, G Nziguheba, M van Wijk, L Klapwijk, L Jassogne , B Vanlauwe, P van Asten, V. Manyong

Upload: humidtropics-a-cgiar-research-program

Post on 10-Aug-2015

47 views

Category:

Data & Analytics


0 download

TRANSCRIPT

A member of CGIAR consortium www.iita.org

Farming system opportunities and

limitations in Rwanda: Exploring scenarios

to improve welfare and sustainable land use

JH Ainembabazi, PMN Dontsop, G Nziguheba, M van

Wijk, L Klapwijk, L Jassogne, B Vanlauwe, P van Asten,

V. Manyong

A member of CGIAR consortium www.iita.org

• Farming systems are diverse:

– Small farm size <2 ha

– Low yields <30% of attainable yield levels

– Subsistence orientation

– Low adoption of technologies

• Sustainability of these systems is uncertain

– Level of intensification

– Resource use & management

– Spatial and temporal scales

– Market orientation

• A holistic analytical strategy is required

Motivation

A member of CGIAR consortium www.iita.org

• Aim:

– Assessment of sustainability of cropping systems

– Link sustainability and welfare indicators

• Methodology:

– Framework for assessing sustainability of NRM

systems (MESMIS)

• Productivity, stability, reliability, resilience,

adaptability and self-reliance

– Cluster analysis used to generate cropping systems

• Predominant crops grown and land allocation

Aim and methodology

A member of CGIAR consortium www.iita.org

Data: Humidtropics field sites

A member of CGIAR consortium www.iita.org

0.0 10.0 20.0 30.0 40.0 50.0 60.0 70.0

Maize

Sorghum

Rice

Millet

Wheat

Cassava

Sweet potatoes

Irish potatoes

Yam

Beans

Groundnuts

Soyabean

Pigeon peas

Banana

Sweet banana

Kale

Tomatoes

carrots

Leafy vegetables

Chilies

Pineapple

Coffee

Cotton

Timber

Fodder

others

Frequency (%)

Frequency of crops per season

Long rain season

Short rain season

A member of CGIAR consortium www.iita.org

0.2

.4.6

.81

Are

a sh

are

of

farm

siz

e

Cluster 1 Cluster 2 Cluster 3

Cereals Legumes

Roots & Tubers Bananas

Clustering based on land allocation

A member of CGIAR consortium www.iita.org

Productivity indicators 0

1,0

00

2,0

00

3,0

00

Pro

duct

ivity

($/h

a)

Legumesystems

Bananasystems

Cerealsystems

Land productivity ($/ha)

010

20

30

Valu

e (

$/T

LU

)Legumesystems

Bananasystems

Cerealsystems

Value of livestock products ($/TLU)

020

40

60

80

Inco

me (

$/c

apita

)

Legumesystems

Bananasystems

Cerealsystems

Net cash income/capita/year ($)

0.1

.2.3

Input/outp

ut ra

tio

Legumesystems

Bananasystems

Cerealsystems

Economic inefficiency

A member of CGIAR consortium www.iita.org

Stability indicators 0

.1.2

.3

land s

ize (

ha)

Legumesystems

Bananasystems

Cerealsystems

Land owned/capita (ha)

0.5

11.5

Liv

est

ock

(ha)

Legumesystems

Bananasystems

Cerealsystems

Livestock onwnership (TLU)

020

40

60

80

Farm

ass

ets

(%

)

Legumesystems

Bananasystems

Cerealsystems

Value of farm assets share (%)

020

40

60

80

Ow

n la

bor

input (%

)

Legumesystems

Bananasystems

Cerealsystems

HH members work on own farm (%)

A member of CGIAR consortium www.iita.org

01

23

4

Num

ber

of m

onth

s

Legumesystems

Bananasystems

Cerealsystems

# of months of inadequate food supplies

0

100

200

300

FS

R/F

SS

R

Legumesystems

Bananasystems

Cerealsystems

Food security/ self-sufficiency ratios (FSR/FSSR)

FSR FSSR

Self-reliance indicators

Food consumption

• Food security

• Food self sufficiency

• Food amount in bad months

• # months of inadequate food

01

02

03

04

05

0

Ina

de

qu

ate

fo

od

su

pp

lies (

%)

Legumesystems

Bananasystems

Cerealsystems

Share of a meal consumed in months of inadequate food (%)

A member of CGIAR consortium www.iita.org

Self-reliance indicators … 0

24

6

Share

rente

d in

(%

)

Legumesystems

Bananasystems

Cerealsystems

Only 12% of sample rented in land

Share of operated area rented in (%)

05

10

15

% o

f in

org

anic

fert

Legumesystems

Bananasystems

Cerealsystems

Share of inorganic fertilizer use[% of total use (inorganic and organic)]

02

46

Cre

dit/

ass

et va

lue r

atio

Legumesystems

Bananasystems

Cerealsystems

Total debt to assets ratio (indebtedness)

05

10

15

Share

off farm

(%

)

Legumesystems

Bananasystems

Cerealsystems

HH members in off farm employment (%)

A member of CGIAR consortium www.iita.org

Adaptability indicators 0

12

3

Num

ber

of cr

ops

gro

wn

Legumesystems

Bananasystems

Cerealsystems

Seasonal crop diversity

Long rain Short rain

01

23

4

# p

arc

els

and p

lots

opera

ted

Legumesystems

Bananasystems

Cerealsystems

# of different parcels/plots operated

Parcels Plots

020

40

60

80

Share

plo

ts p

rote

cted (

%)

Legumesystems

Bananasystems

Cerealsystems

Share of plot area protected by SCP (%)

05

10

15

20

25

# o

f tr

ees

Legumesystems

Bananasystems

Cerealsystems

Average # of trees per plot

A member of CGIAR consortium www.iita.org

05

10

15

20

25

Share

of plo

ts (

%)

Legumesystems

Bananasystems

Cerealsystems

Application of inorganic fertilizer

020

40

60

Share

of plo

ts (

%)

Legumesystems

Bananasystems

Cerealsystems

Application of organic manure

02

46

8

Share

of plo

ts (

%)

Legumesystems

Bananasystems

Cerealsystems

Application of pesticides & herbicides

020

40

60

80

Share

of plo

ts (

%)

Legumesystems

Bananasystems

Cerealsystems

Incorporation of crop resides

Adaptability indicators …

A member of CGIAR consortium www.iita.org

05

10

15

20

Share

of to

tal i

nco

me (

%)

Legumesystems

Bananasystems

Cerealsystems

Off-farm income (%)

0.5

1

# e

xtensi

on v

isits

Legumesystems

Bananasystems

Cerealsystems

Extension visits in 2 years

Adaptability indicators …

A member of CGIAR consortium www.iita.org

Productivity

Stability

Self-reliance

Adaptability

10

20

30

Sustainability scores in 25th quartileProductivity

Stability

Self-reliance

Adaptability

10

20

30

40

Median scores for sustainability

Productivity

Stability

Self-reliance

Adaptability

10

20

30

40

Sustainability scores in 75th quartile

Productivity

Stability

Self-reliance

Adaptability

10

20

30

Legume sytems

Banana systems

Cereal systems

Average scores for sustainability

Scores for sustainability attributes

A member of CGIAR consortium www.iita.org

10

20

30

40

50

Ove

rall

sust

ain

abili

ty in

dex

0 2 4 6 8log of FSR/FSSR

FSR FSSR

FSR FSSR

FS and FSS ratios

Legume based systems

10

20

30

40

Ove

rall

sust

ain

abili

ty in

dex

0 2 4 6 8log of FSR/FSSR

FSR FSSR

FSR FSSR

FS and FSS ratios

Banana based systems

10

20

30

40

Ove

rall

sust

ain

abili

ty in

dex

0 2 4 6 8log of FSR/FSSR

FSR FSSR

FSR FSSR

FS and FSS ratios

Cereal based systems

10

20

30

40

50

Ove

rall

sust

ain

abili

ty in

dex

0 2 4 6 8 10log of total consumable income/capita

Annual income per capita

Legume based systems

10

20

30

40

Ove

rall

sust

ain

abili

ty in

dex

0 2 4 6 8 10log of total consumable income/capita

Annual income per capita

Banana based systems

10

20

30

40

Ove

rall

sust

ain

abili

ty in

dex

0 2 4 6 8 10log of total consumable income/capita

Annual income per capita

Cereal based systems

Relationship between food security and

income

A member of CGIAR consortium www.iita.org

• Trade-off: socio-economic (stability/self-reliance) Vs

bio-physical indicators (productivity/adaptability)

– Cereal systems are more stable & self-reliant

– Banana & legume systems are more productive & adaptive

• Sustainability – welfare indicators relationship

– Increases at decreasing rate, stabilizes then declines

• Maximum sustainability scores <50%

• Holistic interventions & analyses – not appropriate

– Farming systems Vs individual farms

Conclusions and implications

A member of CGIAR consortium www.iita.org

THANK YOU