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FEASIBILITY STUDY – PRELIMINARY ANALYSIS
SUBJECT PROPERTY
Proposed Hotel
Hartselle, AL
CLIENT
City of Hartselle
200 Sparkman Street NW
Hartselle, AL 35640
EFFECTIVE DATES
Hypothetical Market Value “At Stabilization” March 31, 2015
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April 28, 2015
Mayor Don Hall
City of Hartselle
200 Sparkman Street NW
Hartselle, AL 35640
Re: Proposed Hotel – Hartselle, AL
Mayor Hall:
I have provided my preliminary conclusions for the development of a hotel in Hartselle,
which are presented in the following pages.
This study is limited in reporting, intended only to provide my preliminary conclusions
on the project. Additional support for the reported conclusions is retained in my work
file.
This study works under the assumption that the most likely hotel development would be a
60-rooom Hampton Inn or Holiday Inn Express. For simplicity in presentation, I
considered how the subject property would perform if open and stabilized today.
Although market conditions will likely continue to improve over the next few years, the
development costs will increase at an equal or faster rate.
This report was prepared in conformance with the requirements of Financial Institutions
Reform, Recovery, and Enforcement Act (FIRREA); the Interagency Appraisal and
Evaluation Guidelines; the Uniform Standards of Professional Appraisal Practice
(USPAP); client requirements; and the Alabama Appraiser Licensing and Certification
Board.
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This report was completed under the following extraordinary assumptions. If any of
these assumptions are proved to be false, it may impact the conclusions shown in
this report.
The property would be built according to the brand prototype plans and in the time frame referenced.
No unknown issues would exist that would impact the development cost. The owner would qualify for and be issued the appropriate franchise license. The hotel would be operated by competent management.
Based on the conclusions shown in the report, development of a hotel in Hartselle, AL
does not appear to be financially feasible at this time. Outside of a significant monetary
incentive to a developer to subsidize the cost, there are no changes that I am aware of that
could make this project feasible right now. Major factors impacting feasibility are
legality of alcohol (which restricts restaurant development) and the lack of corporate
demand generators in Hartselle. Note that both factors appear subject to change in the
forseeable future, which could impact financial feasibility.
Thank you for the opportunity to be of service. If you have any questions concerning the
report, please do not hesitate to contact me at 205-382-0616 or
Sincerely,
Adam Cowart, MAI
Certified General Real Property Appraiser
Alabama Certificate # G00940
Expires: September 30, 2015
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CERTIFICATION I certify that to the best of my knowledge and belief:
1. The statements of fact contained in this report are true and correct.
2. The reported analyses, opinions, and conclusions are limited only by the reported
assumptions and limited conditions and are my personal, impartial, and unbiased
professional analyses, opinions, and conclusions.
3. I have no present or prospective interest in the property that is the subject of this
report, and no personal interest or bias with respect to the parties involved.
4. I have no bias with respect to the property that is the subject of this report or to
the parties involved with this assignment.
5. My engagement in this assignment was not contingent upon developing or
reporting predetermined results.
6. This assignment was not based on a requested minimum valuation, a specific
valuation, or the approval of a loan.
7. My compensation for completing this assignment is not contingent upon the
development or reporting of a predetermined value or direction in value that
favors the cause of the client, the amount of the value opinion, the attainment of a
stipulated result, or the occurrence of a subsequent event directly related to the
intended use of this appraisal.
8. My analyses, opinion, and conclusions were developed, and this report has been
prepared, in conformity with the requirements of the Uniform Standards of
Professional Appraisal Practice.
9. I made a personal inspection of the property that is the subject of this report on
March 31, 2015.
10. John Ritger provided significant real property appraisal assistance to the persons
signing this certification.
11. This assignment was made subject to regulations of the Tennessee Appraiser
Licensing and Certification Board. The undersigned state licensed real estate
appraisers have met the requirements that allow this report to be regarded as
“certified.”
12. I certify that, to the best of my knowledge and belief, the reported analyses,
opinions, and conclusions were developed, and this report has been prepared, in
conformity with the requirements of the Code of Professional Ethics and the
Standards of Professional Appraisal Practice of the Appraisal Institute. The use
of this report is subject to the requirements of the Appraisal Institute relating to
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review by its duly authorized representatives.
13. My state registration or certification has not been revoked, suspended, canceled,
or restricted.
14. I have not provided services of any type related to the subject property within the
past three years.
Adam Cowart, MAI
Certified General Real Property Appraiser
Alabama Certificate # G00940
Expires: September 30, 2015
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Property Assumptions This market supports hotel demand in the economy and midscale segments. Relevant hotel
supply is located in Hartselle (two hotels) and Priceville (four hotels; 5 miles north of
subject). Hotel supply is classified by segment (i.e. economy or midscale) and within the
segment (lower, middle or upper tier).
Room supply is now concentrated in the economy segment. Based on the existing supply
composition, developers would only consider building a hotel in the midscale segment. The
upper-midscale segment is currently the most popular with developers. Within that segment,
the most popular brands are Hampton Inn and Holiday Inn Express. These are the only
brands most developers would consider for this location. These brands are interchangeable in
this type of market in terms of appeal to developers and performance.
Each brand has their respective prototype design standards,
which are for specific sizes and are intended to act as a
starting point. Instead of relying on the prototype size for
each brand, I considered what currently exists in the
market. To the right is a summary of the room size for a
collective group of hotels that opened in the last seven
years.
Based on the available information and the demand and size of a market like Hartselle, I
reconciled a size near the bottom of the range. Although a property could physically be built
smaller, the brands would most likely prevent it. There is also a certain size that is feasible to
operate due to the highly fixed cost components and this represents that level.
Therefore, I am proceeding under the assumption that a developer would only consider
building a 60-room Hampton Inn or Holiday Inn Express. Both are limited-service (no food
and beverage) hotels operating in the upper-tier of the midscale segment. The hotel would be
located at exit 328, adjacent to the Cracker Barrel restaurant.
Sample Size 578
Age <7 years old
Low Room Ct 58
High Room Ct 218
Avg. Room Ct 93
Reconciled Size 60
Hampton Inn/Holiday Inn Express
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Demand Analysis
We used all available data sources to analyze local and regional hotel demand, as
summarized in the following sections. We also conducted extensive interviews with
many market participants, then attempted to quantify potential demand for a hotel in
Hartselle. Market data is summarized as follows:
1. Hartselle Hotels.
Hotel supply in Hartselle consists of the 33-room Express Inn and 40-room Americas
Best Value Inn. Based on lodging tax collections, I analyzed performance over the
last 5 year period. Occupancy is estimated based on a fixed $50 ADR.
These hotels operate in the economy segment and therefore provide a poor indication of
potential performance for the subject. Takeaways:
Weak performance relative to other economy segment hotels. These hotels are
operating at 35% occupancy (assuming an ADR of $45)
Increasing revenue trends. During the last 4.5 years, revenues increased 16%, or
a 3.6% annual growth rate
25.0%
30.0%
35.0%
40.0%
$350,000
$370,000
$390,000
$410,000
$430,000
$450,000
Sep‐10
Dec‐10
Mar‐11
Jun‐11
Sep‐11
Dec‐11
Mar‐12
Jun‐12
Sep‐12
Dec‐12
Mar‐13
Jun‐13
Sep‐13
Dec‐13
Mar‐14
Jun‐14
Sep‐14
Dec‐14
Hartselle, AL: Room Revenue & Occupancy Trends
TTM Revenue TTM Occ @ $45 ADR
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2. Regional Competitive Set of Midscale Hotels
We purchased a Smith Travel Research (STR) Trend Report that shows detailed
occupancy and ADR (average daily rate) data for a sample of hotels we selected in the
region. The sample includes hotels franchised as Hampton Inn, Holiday Inn Express,
Fairfield Inn and Comfort Inn in Athens, Decatur and Cullman. This data is not directly
relevant to the subject’s potential performance, but provides good data on how similar
hotels are performing in nearby markets. The data is most useful in providing a general
indication of trends in demand and ADR. Using data obtained from confidential sources,
we were able to estimate performance (occupancy, ADR, RevPAR) for each individual
hotel in the competitive set. These are summarized in the table below, along with
estimates of demand segmentation.
Competitive market occupancy has ranged between 68% and 72% in the last four years
and was 71.7% for the trailing-twelve-month (TTM) February 2015 period. ADR has
grown strongly from $88 in 2011 to $102.50 in TTM 2015, averaging 4.1% annual
growth, with growth of 5.0% in the last year. Excluding the Comfort Inn (required per
STR criteria), these hotels have average occupancy of 75% and average ADR of $105.
1 2 3 4 Total Occ % IndexRooms
per DayShare ADR Index RevPAR Index
Hampton Inn Cul lman 86 1996 18 20% 40% 10% 30% 100% 75% 1.04 65 16% $98 0.96 $74 1.00
Hol iday Inn Express & Suites Cul lman 78 2002 12 20% 40% 10% 30% 100% 70% 0.97 55 14% $98 0.96 $69 0.93
Hampton Inn Decatur 90 1994 20 30% 50% 20% 0% 100% 73% 1.02 66 17% $103 1.00 $75 1.02
Comfort Inn Decatur 58 1999 15 30% 20% 10% 40% 100% 50% 0.70 29 7% $77 0.75 $39 0.52
Fairfield Inn & Sui tes Athens I 65 75 2013 1 15% 35% 10% 40% 100% 70% 0.97 53 13% $107 1.04 $75 1.02
Hampton Inn Sui tes Athens I 65 88 2010 4 15% 35% 10% 40% 100% 76% 1.06 67 17% $114 1.11 $87 1.18
Hol iday Inn Express & Suites Athens Ala 71 2006 8 15% 35% 10% 40% 100% 83% 1.16 59 15% $107 1.04 $89 1.21
Tota ls/Average 546 11 20% 38% 12% 30% 100% 72% 392 100% $103 $74
STR Survey 546 72% 392 $103 $74
Market segmentation and operating performance estimates as of February 28, 2015
Market Segments: 1
2
3
4
Estimated Operating Performance
Built
STR data includes same competitive set for twelve months ending February 28, 2015
Average age of competi tors i s based on a rooms ‐weighted computation.
Property Age
Competitive Market Survey
Estimated Market Segmentation
Rooms
Group/Specia l Event
Leisure ‐ Termina l
Corporate ‐ Terminal
Interstate
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Supply Trends
While demand is currently growing strongly, supply growth is becoming a factor. Under
construction and proposed hotels include:
61-room La Quinta in Cullman; construction beginning soon
83-room Holiday Inn Express in Decatur; construction beginning soon
165-room Doubletree in Decatur; conversion from ex-Holiday Inn; U/C opening
9/1/2015
N/A-room Towneplace Suites Decatur; rumored
STR competitive set takeaways:
Current trends indicate moderate to strong growth rates in both demand and ADR.
Demand growth trends are strong and have accelerated in the last year
Premium branded hotels have strong occupancy, averaging 75%, although ADR is
only $100
Significant supply is under construction or proposed. 248 rooms will open in the
next 6 months in Decatur and another 150 are likely in Decatur/Cullman in the
following year.
The proposed supply is likely to absorb demand currently captured by the
competitive market hotels, which will likely lead to falling occupancy levels and
less potential overflow demand for a hotel in Hartselle.
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Subject’s Marketability
Most of the industry in Morgan County is concentrated to the north in Decatur;
and regionally to the north in Athens and to the south in Cullman. See map below
There is no hospital or university in Hartselle, nor are there any major tourist
attractions.
The illegality of alcohol limits the quality of restaurants, which in turn limits the
area’s appeal to overnight travelers. Many people currently visiting the area will
stay elsewhere due to the better restaurant selection.
While I-65 is a significant factor, the nearby hotel/retail/restaurant clusters of
Athens and Cullman offer would-be guests significantly more appeal and identical
product, as Hampton Inn and Holiday Inn Express are present in both markets.
While there appears to be sufficient demand drivers for weekend demand;
weekday demand drivers are very limited, due to limited corporate terminal
demand in Hartselle.
The most important factors impacting the feasibility of a hotel in Hartselle are the lack of
significant demand generators, especially corporate, and the dry alcohol law. Nearby
fully developed hotel markets in Athens, Cullman and Decatur offer travelers a much
better selection of restaurants, lodging options, and a closer location to major demand
drivers in the regional market. Leisure travelers and sports teams are more rate sensitive
than corporate travelers, and a proposed hotel would need to offer discounts to attract
their business away from those markets. These factors support a below average ADR.
Hartselle: only
strong in 1 of 5
categories (wood
products)
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Hotel Demand Survey & Projections Demand Survey
I attempted to quantify potential demand for a proposed hotel in Hartselle by estimating
potential demand from each source. The primary source of information was interviews
with local market participants. We conducted interviews with representatives of all
major employers in Hartselle, reaching someone at all companies except Busche
Alabama. We also spoke with representatives from the Morgan County Economic
Development Association; the Decatur Morgan County Convention & Visitors Bureau;
Hartselle Schools; Hartselle Parks & Recreation and Celebration Arena.
Demand Projections Rationale
I developed a pessimistic (low), likely and optimistic (high) estimate of potential room
nights for the subject. I then reconciled that information into a pessimistic, likely and
optimistic potential occupancy for the hotel, which was used to develop a pro forma
financial statement.
Much of the variance is attributed to the alcohol status, as potential performance would
significantly increase with legalization, because that would drive additional restaurant
development. Nearly all market participants noted the dry factor during market
interviews, especially representatives of local corporations. Several noted that they
would continue to patronize hotels in Decatur or Cullman because they have better
restaurants and alcohol.
Demand Projections Development Other Hotels
I estimated the total room nights sold for the Express Inn and Americas Best Value Inn in
Hartselle last year, using the lodging tax reported and an estimated ADR of $45-$50. I
believe that if the subject property opened, it would steal between 10% and 30% of the
total business from these hotels. The two existing hotels operate at a much lower price
point than the subject would, so it is unlikely to displace a significant amount of demand
from them.
Local Business
As part of my due diligence, we called and spoke with someone from every local
company to estimate their lodging needs. We were able to get in touch with most
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that Busche would be one of the corporations with the highest amount of hotel demand,
which was considered in estimating its room nights. We also made a miscellaneous
allotment for companies we spoke with that had less than 100 room nights annually. Of
these estimates, I believe the subject will capture between 50% and 75% of the room
nights. Many would also opt for a cheaper room, or continue to travel to other markets
due to their superior restaurants and other amenities.
I-65 Travelers
I-65 has average annually daily traffic counts of about 34,000. A proposed hotel in
Hartselle is likely to derive some demand from this category; however, the location is
close to mature, far more developed interstate exit markets in Cullman and Athens.
Those markets have identical brand product to what would be proposed in Hartselle (both
have Hampton Inn and Holiday Inn Express, as well as other brands) and far more
restaurants – that serve alcohol. As such, most people would stop at those exits before
stopping in Hartselle. Still, some demand is likely, and the amount was based on
discussions with owners of similar properties.
Social Events
The primary source in estimating this demand was the list of events and projected
attendance provided by the city of Hartselle. Most of the demand is related to sports
tournament, the growth of which was noted by market participants. Many tournaments
generate little demand as competitors live in the region and drive-in for the day.
Travelling sports teams are typically very rate sensitive and would many would be at a
price point below what a Hampton Inn or Holiday Inn Express could offer. Demand from
this category is concentrated on weekends, mostly Friday and Saturday.
Miscellaneous Other Room Nights
This segment is captured from unquantified sources, either from people coming to the
area to visit family and friends or just passing through. This is considered as a percent of
population in Hartselle, with estimates ranging from 20% to 30%. This ratio takes into
account nearby other cities that could use the hotel.
Conclusion
Based on all of these demand sources, I estimate that there is a potential demand for
between 9,600 and 17,700 room nights. Occupancy is estimated to be 55% to 70%. See
the chart on the following page.
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Other Hotels (used Fiscal 2014 figures) Room Nights Pessimistic Likely Optimistic
Express Inn & Americas Best Value 9,000
Total 9,000
Estimated Share (%) 10% 20% 30%
Estimated Share (#) 900 1,800 2,700
Local Businesses Room Nights Pessimistic Likely Optimistic
Ilpea (Holm) Industries 2,000
Busche 500
Sonoco‐Baker 150
Profab Machine 150
Hartselle Board of Education 165
Valley Rubber 120
Cerro Wire & Cable 100
Miscellanous (less than 100/each) 750
Total 3,935
Estimated Share (%) 50% 62.5% 75%
Estimated Share (#) 1,968 2,459 2,951
I‐65 Travelers Pessimistic Likely Optimistic
Average Annual Daily Traffic 34,000
Estimated Daily Room Nights 5 7.5 10
Annual Room Nights 1,825 2,738 3,650
Social Events Pessimistic Likely Optimistic
Estimated based on Hartselle Events
Calendar: includes tournaments,
festivals, graduations, events
Estimated Share (#) 2,000 3,000 4,000
Miscellaneous Other Room Nights Room Nights Pessimistic Likely Optimistic
Population 14,500
% of room nights 20% 25% 30%
Random room nights 2,900 3,625 4,350
Pessimistic Likely Optimistic
Total Available Supply (Room Nights) 21,900 21,900 21,900
Total Potential Demand (Room Nights) 9,593 13,622 17,651
Rounded 9,600 13,600 17,700
Implied Occupancy 43.8% 62.1% 80.8%
Reconciled Occupancy 55.0% 65.0% 72.5%
Reconciled ADR $92.00 $92.00 $92.00
RevPAR $50.60 $59.80 $66.70
Notes:
Implied Occupancy = total potential room nights ÷ total available room nights
Reconciled Occupancy = Our estimated occupancy based on demand analysis
Estimated Market Demand Sources
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Reconstructed Operating Statement
Using this estimate of projected demand, I reconciled an income statement for the
pessimistic, likely and optimistic occupancy levels.
ADR was estimated based on the Index Method, in which the subject’s potential is
indexed against the competitive market average ADR. Location characteristics, including
the quantity/quality of restaurants and proximity to demand generators, support a below
average ADR Index. I derived the ADR based an ADR Index of 90% to the market’s
performance.
Fiscal Year Market ADR Subject ADR Index Subject ADR Rounded
2015 $102.54 0.90 $92.29 $92.00
Base Year ADR ‐ Stabilized ADR Index in 2015 $ ‐ Subject Property ‐ 60‐room Hampton Inn
This rate is supported by the performance of other similar hotels in markets with similar
characteristics. The $92 ADR assumes the hotel was open today and also considers
current market performance. This ADR is used in all projected demand scenarios.
The reconstructed operating statement is shown on the following page.
# Rooms 68 60 60 60
# Days open 365 365 365 365
# Rooms available 24,638 21,900 21,900 21,900
# Occupied Rooms 16,300 12,045 14,235 15,878
Occupancy % 66.2% 55.0% 65.0% 72.5%
Average Room Rate (ADR) $85.53 $92.00 $92.00 $92.00
RevPAR $56.59 $50.60 $59.80 $66.70
REVENUE $ % $PAR $POR $ % $PAR $POR $ % $PAR $POR $ % $PAR $POR
Rooms 1,394,125$ 98.0% 20,654$ 85.53$ 1,108,140$ 99.3% 18,469$ 92.00$ 1,309,620$ 99.2% 21,827$ 92.00$ 1,460,730$ 99.2% 24,346$ 92.00$
Other Operated Departments 1,206$ 0.1% 18$ 0.07$ ‐$ 0.0% ‐$ ‐$ ‐$ 0.0% ‐$ ‐$ ‐$ 0.0% ‐$ ‐$
Rentals & Other Income 26,792$ 1.9% 397$ 1.64$ 8,000$ 0.7% 133$ 0.66$ 10,000$ 0.8% 167$ 0.70$ 12,000$ 0.8% 200$ 0.76$
Total Revenue 1,422,124$ 100.0% 21,068$ 87.24$ 1,116,140$ 100.0% 18,602$ 92.66$ 1,319,620$ 100.0% 21,994$ 92.70$ 1,472,730$ 100.0% 24,546$ 92.76$
DEPARTMENTAL EXPENSES
Rooms* 405,582$ 29.1% 6,009$ 24.88$ 350,000$ 31.6% 5,833$ 29.06$ 380,000$ 29.0% 6,333$ 26.69$ 400,000$ 27.4% 6,667$ 25.19$
Other Operated Departments* 15,302$ 57.1% 227$ 0.94$ 8,000$ 100.0% 133$ 0.66$ 9,000$ 90.0% 150$ 0.63$ 10,000$ 83.3% 167$ 0.63$
Total Departmental Expenses 420,884$ 29.6% 6,235$ 25.82$ 358,000$ 32.1% 5,967$ 29.72$ 389,000$ 29.5% 6,483$ 27.33$ 410,000$ 27.8% 6,833$ 25.82$
UNDISTRIBUTED OPERATING EXPENSES
Administrative & General 125,881$ 8.9% 1,865$ 7.72$ 106,033$ 9.5% 1,767$ 8.80$ 118,766$ 9.0% 1,979$ 8.34$ 125,182$ 8.5% 2,086$ 7.88$
Sales & Marketing 146,386$ 10.3% 2,169$ 8.98$ 150,679$ 13.5% 2,511$ 12.51$ 178,149$ 13.5% 2,969$ 12.51$ 198,819$ 13.5% 3,314$ 12.52$
Property Operations & Maintenance 81,134$ 5.7% 1,202$ 4.98$ 65,000$ 5.8% 1,083$ 5.40$ 70,000$ 5.3% 1,167$ 4.92$ 73,000$ 5.0% 1,217$ 4.60$
Utilities 98,375$ 6.9% 1,457$ 6.04$ 65,000$ 5.8% 1,083$ 5.40$ 70,000$ 5.3% 1,167$ 4.92$ 73,000$ 5.0% 1,217$ 4.60$
Total Undistributed Operating Expenses 451,776$ 31.8% 6,693$ 27.72$ 386,712$ 34.6% 6,445$ 32.11$ 436,915$ 33.1% 7,282$ 30.69$ 470,001$ 31.9% 7,833$ 29.60$
INCOME BEFORE FIXED EXPENSES 549,464$ 38.6% 8,140$ 33.71$ 371,428$ 33.3% 6,190$ 30.84$ 493,706$ 37.4% 8,228$ 34.68$ 592,729$ 40.2% 9,879$ 37.33$
FIXED EXPENSES
Management Fees 39,124$ 2.8% 580$ 2.40$ 33,484$ 3.0% 558$ 2.78$ 39,589$ 3.0% 660$ 2.78$ 44,182$ 3.0% 736$ 2.78$
Property Tax 44,632$ 3.1% 661$ 2.74$ 35,000$ 3.1% 583$ 2.91$ 35,000$ 2.7% 583$ 2.46$ 35,000$ 2.4% 583$ 2.20$
Insurance 23,532$ 1.7% 349$ 1.44$ 20,000$ 1.8% 333$ 1.66$ 20,000$ 1.5% 333$ 1.40$ 20,000$ 1.4% 333$ 1.26$
Total Fixed Expenses 107,288$ 7.5% 1,589$ 6.58$ 88,484$ 7.9% 1,475$ 7.35$ 94,589$ 7.2% 1,576$ 6.64$ 99,182$ 6.7% 1,653$ 6.25$
Total Operating Expenses 979,947$ 68.9% 14,518$ 60.12$ 833,196$ 74.6% 13,887$ 69.17$ 920,503$ 69.8% 15,342$ 64.66$ 979,183$ 66.5% 16,320$ 61.67$
Net Operating Income (NOI)** 442,176$ 31.1% 6,551$ 27.13$ 282,944$ 25.4% 4,716$ 23.49$ 399,117$ 30.2% 6,652$ 28.04$ 493,548$ 33.5% 8,226$ 31.08$
* Expense shown as a percentage of departmental revenue.
** Before deduction for interest, income taxes, depreciation, amortization, and replacement reserves.
Operating Statement ‐ Hampton Inn/Holiday Inn Express
Comparable ‐ Averaged Reconstructed ‐ Pessimistic Reconstructed ‐ OptimisticReconstructed ‐ Likely
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Projected Valuation I used direct capitalization to value the subject property under each of the scenarios
illustrated on the preceding page. This information is shown below.
Therefore, I am projecting a likely value of $4,450,000 and an optimistic value of
$5,500,000 for the proposed 60-room Hampton Inn/Holiday Inn Express.
Development Cost Using comparable data, I estimated the development cost of the subject property. This
information is summarized on the following page.
Net Operating Income (NOI) 282,944$
Overall Capitalization Rate (OAR) 9.00%
Indicated Value As Stabil ized 3,143,818$
Rounded 3,150,000$
Per Room 52,500$
Net Operating Income (NOI) 399,117$
Overall Capitalization Rate (OAR) 9.00%
Indicated Value As Stabil ized 4,434,632$
Rounded 4,450,000$
Per Room 74,167$
Net Operating Income (NOI) 493,548$
Overall Capitalization Rate (OAR) 9.00%
Indicated Value As Stabil ized 5,483,861$
Rounded 5,500,000$
Per Room 91,667$
Direct Capitalization ‐ Optimistic
Direct Capitalization ‐ Pessimistic
Direct Capitalization ‐ Likely
Subject Property:
Location:
Hotel Room Count:
Hotel building and site improvements: 36,000 SF @ $125.00 /SF = 4,500,000$
4,500,000$
Furniture, Fixtures, and Equipment (FF&E)
FF&E ‐ Hotel: $13,750 /Room = 825,000$
Total F&E: 825,000$
Architectural, engineering, design and supervision: 200,000$
Pre‐opening cost: 150,000$
Administrative costs/operating deficit reserve: 100,000$
60,000$
Construction loan financing cost: 4.5% 130,000$
640,000$
Entrepreneurial Incentive*
Entrepreneurial Incentive: 5.0% 300,000$
Total Cost of the Improvements
6,265,000$
Physical Deterioration: ‐$
Functional Obsolescence: ‐$
External Obsolescence: ‐$
Total Depreciation: ‐$
Market value of the land: 495,000$
6,760,000$
6,750,000$
* Calculated based on the sum of improvements, FF&E, and other soft costs.
COST APPROACH SUMMARYHampton Inn/Holiday Inn Express
Hartselle, AL
60
Improvements
Total Improvements:
Soft costs
Franchise license:
Interest Rate
Total Soft Costs:
Total cost of the improvements:
Depreciation
Land Value
Conclusion
Cost approach indication:
Rounded:
18
Feasibility Conclusion Feasibility is determined by deducting the development cost from the value “at
stabilization,” which must be offset by enough to justify undertaking the risk in
development.
As this chart illustrates, even in my optimistic scenario, the development exceeds the
projected value by $1,250,000. Based on the conclusions shown in the report,
development of a hotel in Hartselle, AL is not financially feasible at this time.
Future Factors Impacting Feasibility
Legalization of alcohol would likely increase the number and general appeal of
restaurants in Hartselle to travelers. This is turn would increase the appeal of a hotel in
Hartselle, both to guests and to developers.
The lack of weekday corporate demand in Hartselle is a major current limiting factor.
Per discussion with the MCEDA, the county is currently marketing a new 135-acre
industrial park site in Hartselle and is focusing on attracting industry there. Growth in
corporations located in Hartselle could significantly increase potential demand and
financial feasibility of a hotel.
Pessimistic Likely OptimisticStabilized Value 3,150,000$ 4,450,000$ 5,500,000$ Development Cost 6,750,000$ 6,750,000$ 6,750,000$ Profit (loss) in Development (3,600,000)$ (2,300,000)$ (1,250,000)$
60-room Hampton Inn/Holiday Inn Express