feature p36 upfront p15 q&a p26 - mit technology...
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july/august 2013 | vol. 116 no. 4
America’s Drone Dilemma Feature p36
Bringing Back Lost EyesightUpfront p15
Interview: Google Glass GuruQ&A p26
Computing advances are making even many white-collar workers obsolete.
Are we headed toward chronic unemployment?
<!-- see p28 -->
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TECHNOLOGYREVIEW.COM
MIT TECHNOLOGY REVIEW
VOL. 116 | NO. 4
From the Editor
While we await Immanuel Kant’s per-
petual peace, there will be wars; and if
the president of the United States must
sometimes defend the bad against the
worse, perhaps it’s as well that he should
make war with unmanned aerial vehi-
cles, or drones.
To a fastidious and cautious politi-
cian, drone strikes are appealing. They
cause fewer civilian casualties than other
forms of air war, because the muni-
tions are small and accurate. Compared
with any deployment of troops—even
with what the military euphemistically
calls “direct action” (the kind of special-
forces operation that killed Osama bin
Laden)—drone strikes have few costs
and little risk.
These facts explain why drones have
become “the favored technology for tar-
geted assassinations in the global war on
terror,” according to Fred Kaplan in “The
World as Free-Fire Zone” (see page 36).
They are a peculiarly American weapon:
today, while many countries use drones
for surveillance, only the United States
has the combination of intelligence-
gathering and targeting technologies to
kill a particular person or type of person
anywhere, at any time.
The fierce distaste critics feel for
this “arrogant sort of warfare,” Kaplan
writes, is the common, historical reac-
tion to any new weapon that kills from a
distance. People felt same way when the
Royal Air Force bombed Germany’s cit-
ies during the Second World War. But, he
concedes, drones are di�erent. One way
they are di�erent is they’re so easy to use
that commanders order strikes in parts
of the world where the United States is
not at war. The e�ect upon us is of course
regrettable; monopolies, especially those
of violence, are corrupting to those who
enjoy them. But drone strikes may also
possess negligible strategic value. There
is a wearying futility to the whole busi-
ness: when a number 3 leader of al-
Qaeda is taken out by a drone, Kaplan
says, there’s always some number 4
leader of al-Qaeda ready to take his place.
The development of drones should
remind us that technological advances
are not the same as progress (a fact often
forgotten, at least by technologists).
Elsewhere in this issue, David Rotman
explains how robots, automation, and
software have increased the productiv-
ity of the United States at the same time
that job growth has wilted (see “How
Technology Is Destroying Jobs,” page
28). Some economists believe that tech-
nological change has been “destroying
jobs faster than it is creating them, con-
tributing to … the growth of inequality.”
Rotman concludes that economists don’t
know if the decoupling of productivity
from employment is permanent; but he
says it’s “hard to ignore … that technol-
ogy is widening the income gap between
the tech-savvy and everyone else.”
Drones and automation push
humans to the perimeter of activities
where they were once the central actors.
Both writers suggest that whether the
advance of machines into war and work
is a progressive matter depends less on
the technologies themselves than on
how we choose to react and adapt to our
newfound capabilities. Kaplan deplores
covert use of drones by the Central Intel-
ligence Agency and wishes the flights to
be part of the ordinary, legally restricted
military operations conducted by the
Department of Defense. One economist
Rotman quotes, who believes the econ-
omy may have really changed, says that
our ability to recover will depend on rec-
ognizing the problem and taking such
steps as investing more in the training
and education of workers.
Both insist that we must think how
we wish to use new technologies, and
not be used by them. But write to me at
and tell me what you think. GU
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VIT
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MIT TECHNOLOGY REVIEW
VOL. 116 | NO. 4
Front
2 From the Editor
8 Feedback
VIEWS
10 Deleting Memories
Erasing the trauma from our
pasts raises ethical questions.
10 Flying Robots
Forget the scary kind; drones
can be big helpers, too.
12 Greener Plastics
Plastic doesn’t have to be a
scourge to the environment.
UPFRONT
15 Artifi cial Retinas Are
Coming into View
New “eyes” for the blind.
18 TV Stays in the Picture
The Web hasn’t dethroned the
largest mass medium.
20 Reading the Tea Leaves
of Censorship
How China inadvertently
reveals what it’s about to do.
21 With a Little Help from My
Friends
Three music apps duke it out.
One winner emerges.
22 What You Find When You
Ping the Whole Internet
A security researcher spots
troubling vulnerabilities.
24 Can Carbon Capture Clean
Up Canada’s Oil Sands?
An Alberta project may give us
the answer.
Plus: To Market
Q+A
26 Thad Starner
Google Glass’s mastermind.
Back
BUSINESS REPORT
63 Big Data Gets Personal
The Internet can now predict
all your wants and needs.
You’re okay with that, right?
REVIEWS
72 Home Truths
Why it makes little sense to
have Facebook be central on a
smartphone.
By Paul Ford
76 A Chocolate Maker’s
Big Innovation
Can a San Francisco startup
remake the chocolate factory?
By Corby Kummer
79 The Secret to a Video-
Game Phenomenon
With Minecraft, self-publishing
has migrated to game creators.
By Simon Parkin
DEMO
84 Plastic from Grass
Can we churn biodegradable
plastics out of plants?
By David Talbot
75 YEARS AGO
88 Untapped Potential
Even in 1938, the promise of
solar power was tantalizing.
Contents
July/August 2013
28 | How Technology Is Destroying Jobs
Digital technologies are eliminating the need for many
types of jobs. Will yours be next? By David Rotman
36 | The World as Free-Fire Zone
Drones have changed warfare by making it easy to kill
nearly any particular person anywhere. By Fred Kaplan
48 | Repairing Bad Memories
A prominent neuroscientist thinks we might be able to
soften the pain in our pasts. By Stephen S. Hall
56 | America’s Petrochemical Landscape
Beyond the drilling rigs, the fossil-fuel industry spreads
far and wide across the land.
Photographs by Richard Misrach
WA
LT
ER
SM
ITH
Neuroscientist
Daniella Schiller
p48
How Technology Is
Destroying Jobs, p28
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MIT TECHNOLOGY REVIEW
VOL. 116 | NO. 4
Feedback
5 Most Discussed StoriesMIT Technology Review Volume 116, Number 3
Climate Change:
The Moral Choices
The only moral choice is
this: Will we steal even
more from the next gener-
ation using the false prom-
ise of “solutions right now,”
or will we demonstrate the
wisdom to simply wait for
the real emerging solu-
tions to become both
desirable and commodity
priced? —breister
It’s funny to see the com-
ment area of every climate
change article. There are
more posts from people
who deny it than from peo-
ple who accept it. Where
do all the deniers find the
time to go around and post
on everything? —5862xwg
Ultra-E�cient
Solar Power
What solar needs most,
in my opinion, is e�cient,
sustainable, and inexpen-
sive energy storage; we
can produce solar power
well enough, but mak-
ing it available whenever
it’s needed drives up the
price. —Tsuarok
I think it’s more accurate
to say storage is a major
issue, not the issue. If
solar becomes cheap
enough through a doubling
of conversion e�ciency,
then everyone could a�ord
it, at least to meet demand
for half a dozen hours a
day. So, yes, solar might
never meet 24/7 demand,
but then it doesn’t need
to. —falsta
The Enduring
Technology of Coal
World coal consumption
is at eight billion tons, and
there’s one trillion tons
of coal on public lands in
the United States, which
represents 125 years of
consumption. So where
else do you think energy
technology will be in 125
years? —eric25001
According to OPEC, coal
will be the first source of
primary energy in 2035.
International Energy
Outlook 2011, from the
U.S. government, has coal
in second place, but with
an increase of 50 percent
in 2035 compared to
2008. That’s gonna hap-
pen, despite AGW alarm-
ists. —luisvb
Deep Learning
I think we’ll see a blurring
between computer sci-
ence and AI with biological
science and our deeper
understanding of brain
structure, functioning, and
consciousness. Very inter-
esting times. —Hotgirlpilot
Machines help us think
already. The ease of find-
ing and organizing infor-
mation—this is what
makes us better thinkers
now. I recall how in the
gloomy days of old, one
would have to spend days
in dusty libraries to find
some speck of data that
today we can locate in
seconds. As AI becomes
widespread, these intellec-
tual helpers will become
self-driving cars: the sky’s
the limit. —zdzisiekm
Proceed with
Caution toward the
Self-Driving Car
I would rather see less
driving automation and
more active monitoring
systems for vehicle parts:
engines that are aware
of the condition of wear
and gunk; hoses and
belts with embedded sen-
sors to detect wear and
damage; tires that know
when they are worn or if
they are out of alignment.
I would also like to see
more technologies built
into the roads and high-
ways. Automated tra�c
flow control. Digital speed
limit signs that change
with the changes of traf-
fic, and direction signs
that can suggest alternate
routes. —Brad1966
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