federalregulatorymanagement!of!theautomobile! … · 2011. 12. 22. ·...
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FEDERAL REGULATORY MANAGEMENT OF THE AUTOMOBILE IN THE UNITED STATES,
1966–1988
by
LEE JARED VINSEL
DISSERTATION
Presented to the Faculty of the College of Humanities and Social Sciences of Carnegie Mellon University in
Partial Fulfillment of the Requirements For the Degree of
DOCTOR OF PHILOSOPHY
Carnegie Mellon University
May 2011
Dissertation Committee: Professor David A. Hounshell, Chair Professor Jay Aronson Professor John Soluri Professor Joel A. Tarr Professor Steven Usselman (Georgia Tech)
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© 2011 Lee Jared Vinsel
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Dedication
For the Vinsels, the McFaddens, and the Middletons
and
for Abigail, who held the ship steady
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Abstract
Federal Regulatory Management of the Automobile
in the United States, 1966–1988
by LEE JARED VINSEL
Dissertation Director:
Professor David A. Hounshell
Throughout the 20th century, the automobile became the great American machine, a
technological object that became inseparable from every level of American life and
culture from the cycles of the national economy to the passions of teen dating, from
the travails of labor struggles to the travels of “soccer moms.” Yet, the automobile
brought with it multiple dimensions of risk: crashes mangled bodies, tailpipes
spewed toxic exhausts, and engines “guzzled” increasingly limited fuel resources.
During the 1960s and 1970s, the United States Federal government created
institutions—primarily the National Highway Traffic Safety Administration within
the Department of Transportation and the Office of Mobile Source
Pollution Control in the Environmental Protection Agency—to regulate the
automobile industry around three concerns, namely crash safety, fuel efficiency, and
control of emissions. This dissertation examines the growth of state institutions to
regulate these three concerns during the 1960s and 1970s through the 1980s when
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the state came under fire from new political forces and governmental bureaucracies
experienced large cutbacks in budgets and staff.
While most previous studies of regulation have focused either on biographies of
regulatory visionaries (a.k.a. policy entrepreneurs) or on legislative histories, this
dissertation examines how the federal government built bureaucratic organizations
and administrative capacity to regulate and force change in the automobile through
performance standards. Employees of these agencies helped shape automobile
design by creating routine regulatory procedures that intervened in the
longstanding traditions of automobile design. Only by examining these micro-‐
practices of governmental power, I argue, can we understand how regulatory
regimes have truly influenced their intended objects. My dissertation examines how
these institutions developed, learned, and evolved, with an eye to how these
transformations shaped technological change in the automobile industry. By
examining the mundane world of federal test procedures, scientific studies, agency
meetings, and administrative hearings, I will show how low-‐level bureaucrats
formed new networks between government and industry, established the state of
the art in automobile technology, and forced innovation in automobile design.
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Acknowledgments
Over the three years of this dissertation’s making, a number of institutions
have supported my research and writing. Two National Science Foundation grants
funded my research and studies early on, the grant that created the Climate Decision
Making Center and the grant titled “The Socio-‐Political Construction of Technologies
under "Technology-‐Forcing" Regulations: A Tale of Two Automotive Technologies,
"One" Government and "One" Industry.” I was pleased and honored to receive a
Dissertation Improvement Grant from the National Science Foundation and the John
E. Rovensky Fellowship in American Business or Economic History for the 2009–
2010 academic year. Two dissertation workshops helped me improve and winnow
down my work: Sheila Jasanoff and Clark Miller challenged me to clarify and refine
my thinking during the Social Science Research Council Dissertation Proposal
Development Fellowship in 2008. Pamela Laird, Mary O’Sullivan, and Steve Tolliday
also helped me consider new avenues of research and unexplored corners of my
topic at the Business History Conference’s Oxford Journals Colloquium in Business
History in 2009. (Thanks, too, to Jenna Alden for organizing the BHC Colloquium in
Milan, Italy.) Finally, in 2008, a Ford Motor Company Research Funding grant
assisted my continuing work. Thanks also to the librarians at Carnegie Mellon,
especially Kara Kreger and Sue Collins, who always effectively answered my
questions.
A number of people inside and outside government helped me in locating
both people and records. The librarians and record managers David Doernberg
(Department of Transportation) and Kirk Nims (Environmental Protection Agency)
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led me to important archival discoveries. My work at the EPA may have gone
nowhere at all if not for Joseph Somers, who both shared recollections from his near
photographic memory and gave me the contact info of several retired EPA staff
members. The most important of these contacts was Eric Stork. Eric helped me in
innumerable ways, offering his time whenever I requested it, allowing me to
interview him several times, sharing his large collection of press clipping and
private papers, and reviewing my chapter drafts to ensure that I did not botch some
matter of fact. I owe him a great deal. Karl Hellman also helped by trusting me with
his memories and with his large collection of EPA memos and reports, which he
gave me in the summer of 2010. Thanks also to other present and former EPA staff
members who allowed me to interview them, including Ernie Rosenberg, Janet
Auerbach, Richard Lawrence, Joseph Merenda, Charles Gray, Rich Cook, and
Katherine A. Sargent. Though I chose in the end not to rely on oral histories in the
chapters on federal auto safety regulations, I could not have negotiated the
landscape of automotive crash safety without several interviews that gave me some
insight into the workings of the National Highway Traffic Safety Administration. I
am particularly indebted to Michael Finkelstein, Marilena Amoni, Joseph Kanianthra,
Sam Daniels, Clarke Harper, Harry Thompson, Jim Simons, and John Hinch. Through
interviews, Bill King and Richard Klimisch gave me insight into the auto industry’s
side of the story, and Steve Plotkin helped me see the complexity of auto regulation.
It has become a convention for authors’ to list a number of commentators
who have improved their work, and then to write something like, “All errors are
mine and mine alone.” We should equally say this about our selves. I have been
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blessed to have many people (and institutions) in my life who have helped shape me
in positive ways—including the part of me that wrote this dissertation. All
remaining errors (of self) are mine and mine alone.
At Carnegie Mellon, I benefited greatly from being a member of the Climate
Decision Making Center, an interdisciplinary group dedicated to studying climate
change policy-‐ and decision-‐making under uncertainty. The professors and students
of that group formed my thinking in ways that I did not come to realize until much
later. I am indebted to Granger Morgan, Lester Lave, Marija Ilic, and Jay Apt. The
students of the CDMC always enlivened me and led me to think about new subjects.
I am particularly thankful to (and miss) Inês Azevedo, Vanessa Schweizer,
Constantine Samaras, Josh Stolaroff, and Andy Grieshop. I was also lucky to be able
to sit in on the seminars of SETChange (Strategy, Entrepreneurship, and
Technological Change). Being around Steven Klepper and Francisco Veloso taught
me a great deal, and their student Leonardo Reyes-‐Gonzalez left an indelible
impression. In the History Department, Steve Schlossman guided my early forays
into the archive in the graduate research seminar. Paul Eiss kept my theory chops
honed. Scott Sandage taught me not only about the arts of writing history and
teaching but also about the art of living. It’s rare to find someone who can teach you
so much, and I can’t thank him enough for it. Kevin Brown, Cian McMahon, Susan
Spellman, and Patrick Zimmerman have been true friends. Susan has frequently
tightened my prose, challenged my hazy thoughts, and, generally, kicked me when I
needed kicking. Thanks, sister. Thanks, finally, to the History Department’s staff
members, especially Natalie Taylor and Gail Tooks.
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I am very lucky to have found such an excellent dissertation committee in
David Hounshell, Jay Aronson, John Soluri, Joel Tarr, and Steven Usselman. Jay led
me in an important guided reading on Science and Technology Studies and has
helped me along in other essential ways. John also carried out an extended guided
reading with me on global environmental history. John has always asked me very
hard and smart questions and has pushed me to broaden my thinking on all levels.
Joel has always encouraged my broad interests and searching mind. He honed my
historical skills by allowing me to assist his research and by teaching me what he
was thinking as I did so. I thank him for always being supportive. Joel will have
always been my intellectual grandfather . . . or, perhaps more appropriately,
Godfather.
As an undergraduate, I trained in philosophy and imagined that I would
always remain in that field. Then, fatefully, I happened upon a book called
Regulating Railroad Innovation by a man named Steven Usselman. Steve was kind to
reply a random fan letter from a kid in Chicago but kinder to become a mentor and
friend. His work continues to provide a model of great historical thinking. Steve put
me in touch with historians of technology in Chicago, who brought me into the fold.
Thanks especially to Richard John, who trusted a stranger to assist his research and
taught me a great deal. And thanks to the regular attendees of the Newbery Library’s
seminar in the history of technology, particularly Tom Misa. I have benefited
immensely from being a member of that happy republic, the Society for the History
of Technology, and of the Business History Conference. Thanks particularly to Meg
Graham, Hugh Gorman, Bill Leslie, Daniel Holbrook, Chris Rosen, Arwen Mohun, and
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Bernie and Jane Carlson. I am blessed to have found an excellent group of peers in
these societies—my own little intellectual “school.” Thanks to Hyungsub Choi,
Barbara Hahn, Eric Hintz, Eric Nystrom, Dominique Tobell, Ben Waterhouse, and
especially to my historical soul mate, Andy Russell.
Three men have been instrumental in mentoring my intellectual life. After a
random inquiry I made after watching the movie Clueless, my high school English
teacher, Mark Wilson, gave me some Nietzsche to read in my sophomore year. He
then mentored me as I moved through that irascible German to the existentialists
and, finally, by my senior year, the structuralists and post-‐structuralists. He
answered my every curiousity and counseled me in the life of the heart as well as
that of the mind. I know that I would not be who I am today were it not for “Mr.
Wilson.” In my days as an undergraduate, Professor Bill Schroeder became the
person who answered my long list of philosophical questions and who lectured with
such furious enthusiasm that I became assured of earlier inklings that I wanted to
get a PhD. Most of all, Bill taught me that study required the fire of passion as much
as it did the cool order-‐making of reason. He remains a fast friend who continues to
inspire me in important ways.
Finally, Professor David Hounshell has taught me in more ways than I can
enumerate. He has always patiently humored my whim and curiousity, while
fostering in me whatever discipline, rigor, and clarity I possess. His encyclopedic
knowledge of history and historiography answered my every query. Most
importantly, David took on a student who wrote broken and mangled prose and
turned him into someone who is occasionally capable of producing a clear English
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sentence. For all these things and many more (which he would happily itemize for
you), I owe David a great deal and thank him for allowing me to be his apprentice.
If my intellectual mentors have been men, all of my spiritual ones have been
women. I owe much to Rev. Deborah Warren, Rev. Mary Louise McCullough, Bonnie
Thurston, Rev. Maureen Dickman, Sr. Karen Freund, and my dear late friend Sandra
Mellen.
My hometown, Joliet, was a hard place that rarely fostered aspirations.
Several adults helped me along the way, however, including Mr. Michael Reilly, Carol
Sossong, the Coughlen family, and Pat McGuire. My friends—“the circus”—always
gave me hope. I thank Ramon, Kahlil, Ben (HBH), Nina, Ellen, Eliot (forever), Jean,
Bill, Andrew, and my brothers, Mike and Casey. Since those days, I have been lucky
to befriend and be challenged and supported by Thom Moran, Darcy Bean, Dan
Pride, Matei Costinescu, Ben Wachter, Brian Beahan, and Sarah Ratermann Beahan.
Thanks to Sarah Ratermann Beahan and Emily Murphy for helping me edit my
dissertation at various points.
I dedicate this dissertation to my family, the Vinsels, the McFaddens, the
Middletons, and to my wife, Abigail Middleton. My parents provided a home that
encouraged learning, thinking, and the development of eccentricity. To them, I can
only say, thank you, knowing that no words will ever suffice. Much love to my
sisters, Hannah and Rachel, and especially to my brother, Jaco, who always lifts my
spirits. My nuclear family is the confluence of two wonderful streams. I thank the
Vinsels and McFaddens for always being there, and I dedicate my work especially to
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the memory of Grandma Lydia, Grandpa Loren, and Uncle Mike, and in tribute to my
namesake, my Uncle Lee. I hope I have done them proud.
Abigail, we met when we both knew that we wanted to pursue graduate
education but only had vague ideas of what that would entail. Thanks to the
Middletons and, especially, your parents for raising such a lovely daughter and for
supporting us in every way. Thank you for the quiet, private world we have built
together with Baron and Gypsy. Thank you for being strong and keeping my head
level as I threw myself into my work, and thanks, most of all, for loving me
regardless of the outcome it.
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TABLE OF CONTENTS
Dedication iii Abstract iv Acknowledgements vi Introduction 1 Chapter 1—Making the Crash Barrier: Medical Authority, Engineering Culture, and Bureaucratic Practice in American Automotive Safety 30 Chapter 2—Constructing Standard 201 and the Limiting of Federal Automotive Safety Regulations 62 Chapter 3—The Banality of Justice 113 Chapter 4—Organizing Federal Automotive Emissions Control: Bureaucratic Change as a Strategic Enterprise 194 Chapter 5—Establishing the State of the Art: Administering the Clean Air Act of 1970, 1972-‐1973 265 Chapter 6— The Long Road to Federal Fuel Economy Standards: Capabilities-‐Building, Bureaucratic Self-‐Defense, and the Fine Art of Gamesmanship 323 Epilogue 380 Bibliography 406
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Introduction
Sometime during the week of January 16, 1967, in New York City, Henry Ford
II, the grandson of the founder of Ford Motor Company, gave a speech before the
National Retail Merchants Association, a trade group for retail businesses. Ford II’s
theme was the dangerous precedent that federal regulation was setting. He warned
the audience that there were “strong signs” that recently imposed regulations would
be only the beginning.1 The federal government was beginning to take control of
automobile design, he said.2 Soon these regulations could lead to “a total ban on the
internal combustion engine, the development under government auspices of
alternative power sources, and public policies to force people in metropolitan areas
out of private cars and into public transit facilities,” he cautioned. If audience
members were deluding themselves that this was only a problem in the auto
industry, they should wake up, Ford II insisted. “Similar things are happening in the
food and drug industries, in finance and insurance, in advertising and retailing. In
virtually every industry, government looms increasingly large between business and
its customers, its employees, its shareholders, and the general public.” Ford II
reminded the audience not to turn the matter into an issue of “good guys vs. bad
guys.” The point, he claimed, was to draw a firm line between the responsibilities of
1 The following statements of Henry Ford II are quoted from “Ford Cites ‘Strong Signs’ of New Federal Inroads,” Automotive News, January 16, 1967. 2 The Automotive News ran several stories on the production of automobiles in the USSR’s command-‐and-‐control economy during this period, often emphasizing that automobile design was state controlled in the Soviet Union. In this way, talk of the US government mandating automobile design could be tantamount to “red-‐baiting,” insinuating that federal programs were, in effect, “socialism.”
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government and the responsibilities of industry. In Ford II’s view, this line was the
very thing government was trying to undo.
A few weeks earlier, on January 2, 1967, Automotive News, a trade newspaper
whose primary audience was car dealers, announced that its editorial staff had
voted “auto safety” as the top news story of 1966.3 The second-‐place story of 1966
concerned Ralph Nader, a young lawyer who was a chief architect of federal auto
safety regulations. In 1965, Nader had published a book, Unsafe at Any Speed, an
exposé about the lack of safety features and the presence of “designed-‐in” dangers in
automobiles. The book paid special attention to the Chevrolet Corvair, a sporty
coupe that Nader said had “some remarkable characteristics”: “It’s one of the few
cars I know that can do the Bossa Nova on dry pavement and the Watusi on wet.”4
Passage of the federal auto safety law, the Traffic Safety Act of 1966, was virtually
guaranteed when Congress learned that General Motors had hired a private
investigator to examine Nader’s private life, including his sexuality and whether he
was anti-‐Semitic. The third-‐place story at Automotive News had to do with the
decline in car sales in 1966. A series written by Joseph M. Callahan, the engineering
editor of Automotive News, came in fourth. The series, titled “The Billion-‐Dollar
Smog Hoax,” eventually ran to over thirty pieces. In it, Callahan skewered what he
saw as the fraud science of smog and its health effects, claiming both that scientists
had not established the dangers of smog and that automotive emission controls
were unnecessary. Thus, three of the editors’ top four choices for 1966 were related
3 John K. Teahen Jr., “’Safety’ Voted Top News of ’66,” Automotive News, January 2, 1967. 4 Quoted from archival video footage of Nader speaking in the documentary film, An Unreasonable Man (2006).
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to federal regulation. In the same January 2 issue, the publisher of the paper, Pete
Wemhoff, wrote an open letter to auto dealers, warning, “The auto industry is in
trouble—deep trouble, and not solely because of declining sales. The industry has
again become the favorite ‘whipping boy’ of Washington politicians and
bureaucrats, do-‐gooders, and some elements of the press.” He then admonished the
dealers to contact their congressmen. “Today’s crisis in the auto industry is not just
the makers’ problem—it’s yours, too.” Clearly, federal regulations threatened the
auto industry—from the most powerful inheritor of an auto manufacturer to the
lowly auto dealer.
This dissertation examines the history of federal regulation of the automobile
in the United States around crash safety, emissions control, and fuel efficiency. It
builds on the work of other historians, who have been studying regulatory history
for decades.5 Where most previous histories of regulation have focused either on
the biographies of “policy entrepreneurs,” who imagine a new regulatory regime, or
on the legislation that enabled a regulation, this work takes a different tack: it
examines how federal civil servants managed the regulations with which they were
charged. I examine two aspects of this process, namely how federal administrators
built the capabilities of their agencies—both human and physical—and then how
they used those capabilities to create and enforce regulations. I focus on two 5 Thomas McCraw “Regulation in America: A Review Article,” The Business History Review, Vol. 49, No. 2 (Summer, 1975), 159-‐183; idem., Prophets of Regulation: Charles Francis Adams, Louis D. Brandeis, James M. Landis, Alfred E. Kahn (Cambridge, Mass.: Harvard University Press, 1984); David Vogel’s “The ‘New’ Social Regulation in Historical and Comparative Perspective” in Regulation in Perspective: Historical Essays, Thomas K. McCraw, ed. (Cambridge, Mass.: Harvard University Press, 1981), 155-‐185; Richard H. K. Vietor, Contrived Competition: Regulation and Deregulation in America (Cambridge, Mass.: The Harvard University Press, 1994); Stephen W. Usselman, Regulating Railroad Innovation: Business, Technology, and Politics in America, 1840–1920 (Cambridge: Cambridge University Press, 2002).
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regulatory agencies: a division of the Department of Transportation known as the
National Highway Safety Bureau (NHSB), which was renamed the National Highway
Traffic Safety Administration (NHTSA) in 1970, and the Office of Mobile Source Air
Pollution Control, a bureau within the Environmental Protection Agency. Today,
this latter bureau is known as the Office of Transportation and Air Quality.
The Performance Standard as a Liberal Technology of Governance
The hazards of technique are a universal aspect of human experience. Fire,
one of the simplest of human “tools,” burned human hands, blackened lungs, and
polluted the air long before the rise of agriculture, let alone modern society. People
doubtlessly injured themselves while making stone tools, just as they were certainly
hurt while building ancient monumental structures, such as pyramids and temples.
The dangers of technology are as indifferent to political economy as they are to
history. Socialist countries have fouled their natural environments and disabled
their workers just as effectively and prolifically as capitalist ones. Air pollution has
never bothered to learn the distinction between constitutional monarchies and
republics. Images of Chinese citizens strolling through their cities while wearing
anti-‐pollution facemasks take their place next to photographs of Cleveland’s
Cuyahoga River ablaze.
Yet, each society in human history has chosen to control or regulate
technological risk differently. The opposite extremes of governance are banning a
technique or technology outright and allowing them to go on unfettered (permission
can equally be a kind of governance). But within this broad swath of limitation,
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governments, or states, have developed a wide-‐variety of “tools” to rein in
technology. From pouring money into researching safe technologies to creating
draconian laws against people who harm others, authorities have sought ways to
alleviate technology’s problems while retaining its benefits.
In the United States, the car is the ultimate liberal technology. Liberalism is a
political philosophy founded on the centrality of the individual, on “rights,” or
freedom from coercion, the ability to make one’s own decisions as long as those
decisions don’t impinge on another’s ability to make his or her own decisions, and
so on. Implicit in this idea is an image of life lived independently. In the United
States, this image fostered a specific desire for a stand alone, single-‐family house
free of the density, noise, and dinginess of urban spaces. As transportation
technologies increasingly improved over the course of the late 19th and 20th
centuries, people began moving out of urban centers to “suburbs,” and the suburbs
became the great liberal geography. The “streetcar suburbs” were an early
development, preceded by strips built along rail lines, horse cars, and other
transportation systems.6 Wealthy businessmen, the only ones who could afford such
luxuries, began buying property in suburbs as the streetcar allowed them to
commute between their downtown workplaces and their distant homes in a
reasonable and formerly unthinkable amount of time. In the Post-‐World War II era,
however, suburban development was almost completely based around the
6 Sam Bass Warner, Street Car Suburbs: The Process of Growth in Boston, 1870–1900 (Cambridge: Harvard University Press, 1962); Clay McShane, The Horse in the City: Living Machines in the Nineteenth Century (Baltimore: The John Hopkins University Press, 2007).
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automobile. The car became a central pillar of the “American Dream,” embodying
home and land ownership and independence.
But the car is liberal beyond its ability to foster an independent life: it is also
a hallmark of individuality.7 In one of his radio addresses in the late-‐1970s, the
future president Ronald Reagan said, “Personally I’ve always believed the
automobile gave us one of the truly last great freedoms. For the first time the
ordinary man could go where he wanted to go, when he wanted to, choose his own
departure and arrival time free at last from timetables and fixed routes.”8 If the
automobile played an important role in the financial economy, it was also a central
character in the libidinal economy. Once an object of wealthy conspicuous
consumption, the vehicle had become democratized. Teens learned to love in the
backseat of their parents’ cars. Cruising, or driving slowly up and down a town’s
main drag, became a weekend pastime. Backyard mechanics built or modified cars,
creating hotrods and lowriders. The automobile became a central part of the how
people imagined freedom in the United States. Building on earlier ideas of the
frontier and the liberating potential of the railroad, in films and popular songs, the
paired technologies, the car and the open road, allowed one to escape the confines
of tradition, repressive community, and even the “dysfunctional” family. In his song
“Thunder Road,” songwriter Bruce Springsteen paints the picture of a young man
and woman living in a broken, stultifying, nowhere town. He sings,
7 For the automobile’s deep connection to individualism, see James J. Flink, “Three Stages of American Automobile Consciousness,” American Quarterly, Vol. 24, No. 4 (Oct., 1972), 451-‐473 8 Kiron K. Skinner, Annelise Anderson, and Martin Anderson, eds., Reagan’s Path to Victory: The Shaping of Ronald Reagan’s Vision: Selected Writings (New York: Free Press, 2004), 237.
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Well, now, I'm no hero That's understood All the redemption I can offer, girl Is beneath this dirty hood With a chance to make it good somehow Hey what else can we do now Except roll down the window And let the wind blow back your hair Well the night's busting open These two lanes will take us anywhere We got one last chance to make it real To trade in these wings on some wheels Climb in back Heaven's waiting down on the tracks Oh, oh, come take my hand Riding out tonight to case the promised land Oh, oh, Thunder Road, oh, Thunder Road
The male narrator of the song warns the woman he is wooing that if she does not
join him she will be left behind to nothingness, “tonight we’ll be free . . . Mary climb
in, this is a town full of losers, and I’m pulling out of here.”
How does a democratically-‐elected government attempt to control the
harmful aspects of a technology that is so central to a “way of life,” to how its
citizens imagine themselves? How does it regulate such a technology when the
government has a tradition of invading the activities of individuals and business
organizations as little as possible? In the United States, one form of technological
regulation that gained prominence in the 20th century was known as “performance
standards.” They were well fitted to the United States’ liberal society. Performance
standards are typically contrasted with “design standards” (also known as
“technology standards”), which specify the kinds of technologies firms should use to
solve a technical problem. Performance standards, on the other hand, simply set a
given criteria and allow the regulated firms to meet the criteria in whatever way
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they wish. If a performance standard is set at a level high enough that producers
cannot yet reach it and have to “innovate” to do so, they are known as “technology-‐
forcing” standards. Performance standards allow the government to curb targeted
risks without requiring too heavy a hand—they are a liberal technology of
governance. The standards interfere minimally with the sovereignty of the
consumer or the driver; they place responsibility for reducing the technological
risks firmly on the shoulders of producers. But performance standards also regulate
producers in a way that allow them as much flexibility as possible. Firms can meet
the criteria established in the standards however they wish. Thus, this dissertation
examines on how the US federal government used performance standards to
regulate technological risks associated with automotive crash safety, emissions
control, and fuel efficiency.
Although we may look back at the history of auto regulation and see
moments set in stone, nothing could have prepared the auto industry, especially the
“Big Three” domestic automobile manufacturers, for the federal government’s
decisive entry. Perhaps, then, it is best to begin the story just before the automobile
became the object of considerable federal regulation, that is, about 1960.
The Automobile in 1960
In 1960, the biggest story the self-‐styled “The Newspaper of the Industry,”
Automotive News, was the coming of the compact car. The Volkswagen Beetle was
making waves during the mid-‐to-‐late 1950s, and other foreign automakers,
including Opel, Volvo, and Fiat, were lining up to get a piece of the action. People
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wanted—demanded—smaller cars news stories and editorials said again and again.
“Market Braces for Compact Storm,” an article warned.9 Automotive News was no fan
of the new, smaller cars. “This is the compact age,” a staff editorial admitted, “and it
is foolish to stay in business unless you have the opportunity to offer what the
public wants.” But the paper warned, “Undeniably, the compact cars have caught the
imagination of the public. But the compact car is not the answer to every automotive
need.”10 Another staff editorial cautioned, “Dealers surveyed by Automotive News
predict that compact cars will take an increasing share of the market. But don’t sell
your big car yet.”11 A cartoon depicted a car so tiny that a male driver’s and wife’s
derrieres stuck out the back of a burst open trunk. American Motors Corporation
(AMC), formed out of the merger of Nash and Hudson Motor Company, had
pioneered the first domestic compact car. The AMC Rambler made its appearance in
1954, giving birth to a new “market segment.” Columnists sang praises of George
Romney, President of AMC, for saving the troubled company. The respite was brief,
however. Within a few years, the company would be troubled again. Fears that
Americans would forfeit their large cars in favor of more economical ones also
proved a bit premature.
In many ways, the modern domestic auto industry, as we know it today, had
only emerged about 1960. In 1957, a recession had set in, and it killed many of
smaller automakers, including Kaiser Motors and Packard, all of whom had
struggled for years. Nash and Hudson might have joined that crowd had they not 9 Robert M. Lienart, “Market Braces for Compact Storm: Fierce Competitive Clash Feared . . .” Automotive News, July 11, 1960, 1. 10 “As Dealers Eye the Changes in U.S. Auto Market,” Automotive News, April 25, 1960. 11 “Capsule Comment,” Automotive News, March 7, 1960, 12. Italics in original.
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merged a few years earlier. It was a late-‐date shake out, and the hungry beast of
efficiency had feasted on these smaller firms. The winds of “creative destruction”
left only the “Big Three”—General Motors, Ford, and Chrysler—and a few small
firms, including American Motors, Lark, and Studebaker-‐Packard. Moreover,
Chrysler, the Big Three’s red-‐headed step child, faced bankruptcy. It would not be
the company’s last experience with such matters. Most small automakers crashed on
the rocks. Bigness won. Columnists made rosy predictions for the decade. There
would be new stability after shake out. For all the talk of compact cars, the Big
Three automakers formed the backbone of a muscular industry that made muscular
machines.
In 1960, President Dwight D. Eisenhower still held the White House, and the
automakers did not fear government. Indeed, the auto companies put a great deal of
faith in the federal government, particularly in road construction, which found its
strongest embodiment in the Federal-‐Aid Highway Act of 1956 . Many heralded the
increased construction of highways as a major factor in pulling the nation out of the
recession of ’57–’58. All members of the industry took great comfort in this
automotive Keynesianism. Automakers knew the importance of roads. The
National Highway Users Conference, which Automotive News called “an important
arm of the automotive industry,” put continual pressure on the President and both
houses of Congress.12 “Chairman emeritus” Alfred P. Sloan, the former and famous
head of General Motors, and other elites within the automakers continued to steer
the group, but it had been joined by an increasing number of ancillary businesses, 12 William Ullman, “Highway Administration Angers Road Users,” Automotive News, May 23, 1960, 10.
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including “oil and tire interests, National Automobile Dealers Assn., truckers, and
manufacturers who use trucks to haul their products.”13 Municipalities, real estate
agents, and land developers were also important members. The National Highway
Users Group had been a major pressure group behind the passage of the Federal-‐Aid
Highway Act of 1956, and it continued to press the Department of Commerce, the
agency responsible for implementing the Act.
William S. Richardson, the chairman of the group and a director of B.F.
Goodrich Co., said that he was “never very enthusiastic” about the Department of
Commerce being responsible for the Highway Act, claiming “Personally, I had hoped
the United States Commerce would have established a National Highway Board.”14
This vision of an agency dedicated only to transportation issues was in the air. James
M. Landis, who President-‐elect John F. Kennedy had asked to write a report on
regulatory agencies, suggested the creation of “ministry of transportation.”15 But the
idea would have to wait six more years until the Johnson administration created the
Department of Transportation.
But the government did not require a centralized authority to make one thing
true: the car-‐dependent suburbs marched outward.16 Earlier transportation
technologies—such as the street-‐car and even the railroad itself—had assisted
homebuyers who sought single-‐family houses, yards as large as possible, clean air,
and other benefits difficult to find in the dirty and smoky city. The automobile 13 Ibid. 14 Ibid. 15 William Ullman, “Ray of Hope Penetrates Economic Forecasts,” Automotive News, November 28, 1960, 13. 16 Adam Rome, The Bulldozer in the Countryside: Suburban Sprawl and Rise of American Environmentalism (Cambridge: Cambridge University Press, 2001).
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allowed consumers and developers to hasten—and democratize—this process. The
veterans of World War II streamed into suburban subdivisions, most famously
Levittown, New York, a completely planned, fabricated town.
Home-‐building and suburban development were important engines of
economic “growth.” And though the automobile had its part in this expansion of
wealth and increased quality of living, the car was an engine of economic growth in
its own right. This fact had been realized much earlier. By the late 1920s, the
National Automobile Chamber of Commerce, which was formed in 1913 and
renamed the Automobile Manufacturers Association in 1934, began publicizing facts
about the car’s vital role in the overall economy. As the historian Daniel M. Albert
writes, “By 1928, automobile manufacturing used 18 percent of the nation’s steel, 19
percent of its wood, 23 percent of its aluminum, 74 percent of its glass, and 85
percent of its rubber.”17 Not only those employed directly by the automobile
manufacturers but also a huge number of people throughout the nation (and around
the world) owed their livelihood to the US automobile industry. But these figures
were not merely boosterism for the auto industry; professional economists also
realized the centrality of the industry in the US economy. In 1939, Charles F. Roos
penned work a titled The Dynamics of Automobile Demand.18 Only two years earlier,
Roos had published another book, NRA Economic Planning, in which he ruminated
on his experiences as the director of research of the National Recovery
17 Daniel Marc Albert, “Order Out of Chaos: Automobile Safety, Technology, and Society, 1925 to 1965,” (Ph.D. Diss., University of Michigan, 1997), 9. 18 Charles Frederick Roos, The Dynamics of Automobile Demand (New York: General Motors Corporation, 1939).
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Administration (which the Supreme Court declared unconstitutional in 1935).19 In
The Dynamics of Automobile Demand, Roos, who originated the notion of “disposable
personal income,” examined trends and explanations for consumer demand for
automobiles. His analysis fit into the emerging Keynesian belief that demand would
drive economic recovery. Although Roos did not emphasize the automobile’s
importance to the nation’s economy, his book was a symptom of it. The auto
industry was also an important center of employment. Since Henry Ford instituted
the five-‐dollar day in 1914, the auto industry had been an important site for the
shaping of labor policy, trade unionism, and the philosophy that laborers also played
a critical role as consumers.20 Under the leadership of William Reuther, the United
Auto Workers rose to previously unimagined power after World War II.21 The
notion that the nation’s financial health depended on the auto industry found its
apogee in the phrase, “What’s good for General Motors is good for America,”
famously misattributed to Charles E. Wilson, as he moved from being the head of GM
to being Eisenhower’s Secretary of Defense in 1953. Eisenhower’s appointment of
Wilson was echoed less than a decade later, when John F. Kennedy appointed Ford
president Robert McNamara to the same position. The auto industry, the federal
government, and the national economy were all tightly interwoven.
Yet, the industry was also changing. New production techniques entered the
industry, most famously forms of “automation,” which threatened and, therefore,
19 Charles Frederick Roos, NRA Economic Planning (Bloomington, Ind.: The Principia Press, 1937). 20 Stephen Meyer, The Five Dollar Day: Labor, Management, and Social Control in the Ford Motor Company, 1908–1921 (Albany: State University of New York Press, 1981). 21 Nelson Lichtenstein, The Most Dangerous Man in Detroit: Walter Reuther and Fate of American Labor (New York: Basic Books, 1995).
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angered workers.22 In the post-‐War period, automakers quickly moved to
monocoque, or unitized body, construction in which the vehicle’s external shell
provided its structural support, rather than an internal frame. Throughout the
period, the domestic automakers and others continued to experiment with
alternative engines, such as electric engines, the Wankel (or rotary) engine, the
stratified charge engine, the gas turbine, and the Rankine engine. Yet, most the
automakers’ “innovative activity” went into the so-‐called “horsepower wars,” a Cold
War-‐style “arms race” to see which of the automakers could make the most
powerful, high-‐performing, and quickest car on the market.23 Meanwhile, a host of
industries vied for a piece of the American automotive industry. Aluminum
manufacturers and steel makers squared off over whose product made the ideal
material for bumpers. Plastics corporations spun out a plethora of new applications
for the car. The auto industry was giant customer. Winning its business was winning
big.
No one suffered troubled sleep over the thought of serious, strict federal
regulation of the automobile, or at least they did not confess to it. In 1960, the US
Congress had carried out the first major hearings on automotive emissions, but
these hearings received no detailed coverage from the press. The Automotive News
22 David F. Noble, Forces of Production: A Social History of Industrial Automation (Oxford: Oxford University Press, 1984); David A. Hounshell, “Planning and Executing ‘Automation’ at Ford Motor Company, 1945–65: The Cleveland Engine Plant and Its Consequences” in Fordism Transformed: The Development of Production Methods in the Automobile Industry, Haruhito Shiomi and Kazuo Wada, eds. (Oxford: Oxford University Press, 1995), 49–86. 23 On the “horsepower race,” see David A. Hounshell, “Planning and Executing ‘Automation’ at Ford Motor Company,” 75–76. In the economic literature, the now classic article by Franklin M. Fisher, Zvi Grilliches, and Carl Kaysen, “The Costs of Automobile Model Changes since 1949,” The Journal of Political Economy, Vol. 70, No. 5 (Oct., 1962), 433–451 gave rise to an extended discussion of the issue of the horsepower race and annual model changes.
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staff noted weakly, “Witnesses clash at air-‐pollution hearings in Washington. Not all
the smog is in Los Angeles.”24 This statement, perhaps a play on words suggesting
that the Congressional hearing room was itself a site of smog production, was true
enough: Cities around the country were coming to realize that they had serious air
pollution problems. Similarly, California had passed the nation’s first automotive
emissions regulations, but few outside the state saw these regulations as a big deal,
and the industry took the news with a shrug.
In 1960, the automakers, their suppliers, and all those tied to the industry
looked forward with expectantly. They had no inkling of what awaited them.
How Cars Became “Problems”
For decades now, sociologists, thinkers in Science, Technology, and Society
studies, and other scholars have examined how issues become “problems” in
society. 25 A core assumption of such analyses is that problems do not simply arise
on their own; problems are not “natural.” Rather, a host of different social,
economic, political, and media factors come together to focus the public’s mind on a
“problem,” or if the issue is dire enough, a “crisis.”
24 “Capsule Comment,” Automotive News, March 7, 1960, 12. 25 Joseph R. Gusfield, The Culture of Public Problems: Drinking-driving and the Symbolic Order (Chicago: University of Chicago Press, 1981). The historian of technology Thomas Hughes has emphasized the role of problem-‐formation in his examination of technological change. See Hughes, Networks of Power: Electrification in Western Society, 1880–1930 (Baltimore: Johns Hopkins University Press, 1983). Joseph W. Schneider and Peter Conrad give a beautiful phenomenological reconstruction of how people come to realize that they have epilepsy, a disease whose very nature often involves blackouts that prevent the sufferer from forming memories of the event. Their description has wider applicability to “problems” that are not immediately perceivable. Schneider and Conrad, Having Epilepsy: The Experience and Control of Illness (Philadelphia, Temple University Press, 1985).
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Following this train of thought leads one to ask, how and when did cars
become problems? The answer to this question is clear enough: cars have always
been problems. From their inception, cars have been hazardous, and some people
have always seen them as such.
Early cars were dangerous.26 Their chassis and axles broke while the cars were
moving at full speed. Early vehicles were open-bodied; seatbelts were non-existent.
When cars crashed, drivers and passengers were often thrown from the vehicle. The risk
of driving, however, emerged simultaneously with a masculine culture based on proving
one’s manhood through feats of speed and daring. Early drivers, almost all men, were
people who embraced being “risk-takers.”27 Automobile manufacturers won attention
and good press through auto races and hill-climbing competitions. This marketing of risk 26 The earliest and now classic history of automotive safety is Joel W. Eastman, Safety vs. Styling: The American Automobile Industry and the Development of Automotive Safety, 1900–1966 (Lanham: University Press of America, 1984). Other classic works include James J. Flink, The Automobile Age (Cambridge, Mass.: The MIT Press, 1988) and William J. Abernathy, The Productivity Dilemma: Roadblock to Innovation in the Automobile Industry (Baltimore: The Johns Hopkins University Press, 1978). The work of John D. Graham, though coming primarily from a public health and policy studies perspective, provides a number of important historical insights. See, John D. Graham, “Automobile Safety: An Investigation of Occupant Protection Policies,” Ph.D. diss. Carnegie Mellon University, 1983; idem., “Saving Gasoline and Lives” in Risk versus Risk: Tradeoffs in Protecting Health and the Environment, John D. Graham and Jonathan Baert Wiener, eds. (Cambridge, Mass.: Harvard University Press, 1995); idem., Auto Safety: Assessing America’s Performance (Dover, Mass.: Auburn House Publishing Company, 1989); John D. Graham, ed., Preventing Automobile Injury: New Findings from Evaluation Research (Dover, Mass.: Auburn House Publishing Company, 1988). However problematic, the best legal history of auto safety is Jerry L. Mashaw and David L. Harfst, The Struggle for Auto Safety (Cambridge, Mass.: Harvard University Press, 1990). Today, automotive history is a burgeoning field with recent works including Jeremy Packer, Mobility without Mayhem: Safety, Cars, and Citizenship (Durham: Duke University Press, 2008); David Blanke, Hell on Wheels: The Promise and Peril of America’s Car Culture, 1900–1940 (Lawrence, KS: University Press of Kansas, 2007); and Peter D. Norton, “Street Rivals: Jay Walking and the Invention of the Motor Age Street,” Technology and Culture, Vol. 48, No. 2 (April 2007), 331–359. 27 Sally H. Clarke, Trust and Power: Consumers, the Modern Corporation, and the Making of the United States Automobile Market (Cambridge: Cambridge University Press, 2007), 40-49. In the first chapter—“The Arrogance of Wealth”—of his book Auto Mania, Tom McCarthy emphasizes that early drivers were wealthy as well as being risk-takers. Owning and using a car were some of the grandest forms of conspicuous consumption during the early days of the automobile. Of course, luxury cars continue that tradition to this day. Tom McCarthy, Auto Mania: Cars, Consumers, and the Environment (New Haven: Yale University Press, 2007). In her work, Taking the Wheel: Women and the Coming of the Motor Age (New York: Free Press, 1991), Virginia Scharff describes how Suffragists and other early female drivers challenged the era’s dominant notion of womanhood, a passive, frail, and easily traumatized femininity.
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could expand the market only so far, however. If the automakers wanted to sell large
quantities of cars, consumers would need to find everyday, practical uses for their
product, and they would need to feel relatively safe while doing so.
Many different actors—including “traffic engineers, traffic police, forensic
psychiatrists, and driving educators”—shaped the automobile’s new safety regime. 28
Traffic signals and laws regulated the vehicle’s use. Mandatory driver education and
driver licensing created a base of competency around the vehicle. Yet, most of these
rules and requirements were pointed at the driver and placed responsibility firmly on the
driver’s shoulders. 29 By 1960, automakers had placed few safety features in their
vehicles. Earlier, when Robert McNamara headed a division of the larger Ford Motor
Company, he had attempted to include safety features in vehicles and to make safety a
selling point, but his efforts failed, reinforcing the old Detroit mantra that “safety doesn’t
sell.”30 At the same time, the transportation system of roads and highways was growing
increasingly complex. In 1966, Lyndon Baines Johnson explained this complexity in his
signing statement for the creation of the Department of Transportation. In 1946, 31
million motor vehicles crisscrossed the nation’s roadways; by 1966, the number had
increased to 90 million, and government agencies estimated the number would grow to
120 million by 1975. With this growth in vehicle use came a great increase in collisions,
28 Daniel Marc Albert, “Order Out of Chaos: Automobile Safety, Technology, and Society, 1925 to 1965,” (Ph.D. Diss., University of Michigan, 1997), especially chapters 2 and 5. 29 Jameson Wetmore, “Systems of Restraint: Redistributing Responsibilities for Automobile Safety in the United States Since the 1960s,” (Ph.D. Diss., Cornell University, 2003). 30 John A. Byrne, The Whiz Kids: The Founding Fathers of American Business—and the Legacy They Left Us (New York: Doubleday, 1993), ch. 17. The quotation is typically attributed to General Motor’s long-time President Alfred Sloan.
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and every year tens of thousands of people died on the road. Johnson called this situation
an “epidemic.” 31
The car safety epidemic had become more acute in the public’s consciousness a
year earlier with the publication of Ralph Nader’s Unsafe at Any Speed.32 Automakers
had already been under considerable pressure from politicians and public interest groups.
In 1964, the auto companies voluntarily adopted seatbelts as standard equipment to head
off possible legislation.33 This move did not appease safety advocates. As the media
began to investigate accusations of the auto industry’s using private investigators to spy
on Nader, momentum gathered for federal legislation and standardization. This
movement eventually came to fruition in the Highway Safety Act of 1966, which created
the National Highway Safety Bureau (NHSB), which in turn became the National
Highway Traffic Safety Administration (NHTSA) in 1970. The NHSB promulgated
twenty standards in its first two years. Though the NHSB and the NHTSA have
experienced moments of strength and weakness, the Highway Safety Act created a lasting
institution to develop and support crash safety regulations.
The battle against automotive emissions has roots in the much longer and broader
history of urban smoke control efforts.34 Ironically, the car was seen as a relatively clean
technology when it was first introduced. In 1901, Ransom Olds advertised his gas-buggy
31 “The White House Message on Transportation,” page 1, NARA, Record Group 416, Finding Aid UD-UP-3, Box 1, Folder 2. 32 Ralph Nader, Unsafe at Any Speed: The Designed-In Dangers of the American Automobile (New York: Grossman, 1965). 33 Stan Luger, Corporate Power, American Democracy, and the Automobile Industry (Cambridge: Cambridge University Press, 2000), 66. 34 David Stradling, Smokestacks and Progressives: Environmentalists, Engineers, and Air Quality in America, 1881-1951 (Baltimore: Johns Hopkins University Press, 1999).
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as “Odorless, Noiseless, Safe.”35 It did not spew the smoke that formed the basis of suits
and movements against railroads. Nor did cars produce the odorous effluent particular to
horses.36 In matters of air pollution, the state of California led the nation on almost every
front.37 The Los Angeles basin had been seen as a paradise for motorists, but its natural
tendency toward inversions and unchecked development transformed Southern California
into the “Smog Capital” of North America.38 The science of “smog” arose from the work
of A. J. Haagen-Smit and other California-based scientists, and the California Air
Resources Board (CARB) developed the earliest auto emissions standards. The federal
government entered the scene primarily through the Clean Air Act of 1965. This law,
however, set a very low bar for emissions controls, and the US manufacturers were able
to meet the standards by making minor adjustments to their engines, leaning the fuel mix,
thereby, emitting fewer of the regulated pollutants. The federal government’s powers
were considerably strengthened through the Clean Air Amendments of 1970, also called
the Muskie Act in recognition of Maine Senator Edmund S. Muskie’s intense support of
the bill. A small office within the Department of Health, Education, and Welfare had
administered the Clean Air Act of 1965, but the 1970 Act made automotive emissions
control part of the newly organized Environmental Protection Agency, which
35 Quoted in Clarke, Trust and Power, 34. Emphasis added. 36 Joel A. Tarr, “Urban Pollution: Many Long Years Ago,” American Heritage Magazine 22 (October 1971), 65–69. See also, Clay McShane and Joel A. Tarr, The Horse in the City: Living Machines in the Nineteenth Century (Baltimore: The Johns Hopkins University Press, 2007) and Ann Norton Greene, Horses at Work: Harnessing Power in Industrial America (Cambridge, Mass.: Harvard University Press, 2008). 37 James E. Krier and Edmund Ursin, Pollution and Policy: A Case Essay on California and Federal Experience with Motor Vehicle Air Pollution, 1940-1975 (Berkeley: University of California Press, 1977). 38 Scott Hamilton Dewey, Don’t Breathe the Air: Air Pollution and U.S. Environmental Politics, 1945-1970 (College Station, TX: Texas A&M University Press, 2000), 38.
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reinvigorated already existing programs and considerably expanded new ones in the
Office of Mobile Source Pollution Control.39
Automotive fuel efficiency has the thinnest history and historiography of these
three domains. Fuel shortages around World War I drove research into ways of using
poorer quality petroleum. Charles “Boss” Kettering’s and Thomas Midgley’s discovery
of tetraethyl lead was partly a response to this situation.40 And fuel economy was always
a concern and topic of conversation for drivers. From 1936 to 1968, the Mobil Oil
Corporation sponsored the Mobil Economy Run, a coast-to-coast road test that carefully
monitored the fuel economy of stock cars. Until the 1970s, however, Americans enjoyed
the fruits of cheap fuel, and their lifestyle became dependent upon it.41 For most of that
time, the United States’ rather large domestic petroleum sources provided most of the
nation’s energy demand. Over time, however, the United States became more dependent
on foreign sources. This dependence became increasingly true as the so-called
“horsepower race” took off throughout the 1950s and 1960s, wherein, domestic
automakers greatly increased engine size and “performance,” also causing fuel
consumption to expand markedly.42 By 1973, the United States produced roughly eleven
million barrels of oil a day, but it was importing over six million barrels of crude, about
39 See Krier and Ursin, Pollution and Policy, especially chapters 10 and 11; Luger, Corporate Power, 87–88. 40 For a treatment of Kettering’s creation of tetraethyl lead, see Stuart W. Leslie, Boss Kettering (New York: Columbia University Press, 1983). On the history and hazards ot tetraethyl lead, see Christopher C. Sellers, Hazards of the Job: From Industrial Disease to Environmental Health Science (Chapel Hill: The University of North Carolina Press, 1997) and Christian Warren, A Brush with Death: A Social History of Lead Poisoning (Baltimore: The Johns Hopkins University Press, 2000). 41 David Nye has argued that the “energy crisis” of the 1970s was, in fact, a crisis of middle class culture since shortages threatened the “American way of life.” David Nye, “ The Energy Crisis of the 1970s as a Cultural Crisis” in Living with America, 1946-1996, Ed. Rob Kroes and Cristina Giorcelli (Amsterdam: VU Press, 1997). 42 See Hounshell, “Planning and Executing ‘Automation’ at Ford Motor Company, 1945–65,” 75–76.
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thirty-five percent of the nation’s demand.43 When the OPEC oil embargo began on
October 17, 1973, policy makers in the United States began to scramble for ways to
conserve energy and produce new supplies. They used many means to attain this end. In
1975, Congress enacted the Energy Policy Conservation Act, which contained a section
titled, “Improving Automotive Efficiency.” The standards formed from this act
eventually became known as the Corporate Average Fuel Efficiency (CAFE) standards.44
The management of fuel economy standards has always been a complex affair. NHTSA
technically creates and enforces the standards, but the EPA measures the cars’ fuel
efficiency as part of the agency’s emissions control efforts, and the Department of Energy
publishes the automotive fuel efficiency statistics as part of its energy information
efforts.45
Expertise and Bureaucracy During the Postwar Period of Institution-Building
Both the New Deal and World War II had shown people the power of the
federal government to induce change. Socially and technologically, war efforts had
an enormous influence on the status quo. Yet, by the end of the war, the zeal for
institution-‐building and for state intervention in society had waned.46 President
43 Statistics from the Energy Information Administration: http://www.eia.doe.gov/emeu/aer/txt/ptb0501.html 44 The CAFE program has always faced a number of criticisms, especially the criticism that it decreases the safety of automobiles. For a representative conservative criticism of CAFE from one of the libertarian Cato Institute’s publications, see Andrew N. Kleit, “CAFE Changes, By the Numbers,” Regulation, Vol. 25, No. 3 (Fall 2002). Additionally, many economists and policy-analysts agree that the best way to spur a decrease in driving and an increase in fuel-efficient vehicles would be to levy a substantial tax on gasoline. But many also believe that such a tax is politically impossible. 45 On the federal government’s creation of energy statistics and forecasting, Lee Vinsel, “’Every Week We Find a New Devil’: The Crusade for Credible Energy Information and Analysis in an Era of Great Mistrust, 1973-77,” History and Technology, revise and resubmit. 46 Alan Brinkley, The End of Reform: New Deal Liberalism in Recession and War (New York: Vintage Books, 1996).
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Dwight D. Eisenhower had little love for the civil service, believing that its ranks had
been infiltrated and colonized by New Dealers and other pro-‐spending forces.47
Eisenhower began policies that allowed him to push political appointees deeper into
federal agencies, ensuring the loyalty of people who held key positions. Eisenhower
had little faith in the supposedly “detached objectivity” of experts in the civil service.
This mindset nearly inverted with the election of John F. Kennedy, and he
began a movement towards using government to protect consumers and workers.
The historian Lizbeth Cohen has listed over forty-‐two laws passed from 1960 to
1977 that were aimed at protecting consumers.48 Kennedy loved and surrounded
himself with experts—the “best and the brightest,” as David Halberstram
memorably called them.49 The White House was hip-‐deep in Ivy League mandarins.
Kennedy’s appointment of Robert McNamara as Secretary of Defense was one
notable example. McNamara held an MBA from Harvard Business School and, as a
faculty member there, specialized in accounting methods. He applied his
considerable quantitative skills as a Captain in the Air Force’s Office of Statistical
Control during World War II. The Office of Statistical Control would become an
important seedbed for ways of applying mathematical methodologies to an
increasing number of problems. George Dantzig, the father of Operations Research
in the United States, also worked at the office. After the war, McNamara went on to
apply these methods at Ford Motor Company, becoming one of Henry Ford II’s so-‐
47 Francis E. Rourke, “Responsiveness and Neutral Competence in American Bureaucracy,” Public Administration Review, Vol. 52, No. 6 (Nov. – Dec. 1992), 539–546. 48 Lizbeth Cohen, A Consumers Republic: The Politics of Mass Consumption in Postwar America (New York: Vintage Books, 2003), 360. 49 David Halberstram, The Best and the Brightest (New York: Random House, 1972).
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called “Whiz Kids” and eventually rising to the presidency of the company, the
position he had held for only a month when Kennedy asked him to become
Secretary of Defense.50
This trust in experts only increased when Lyndon Baines Johnson took over
the presidency after Kennedy’s assassination.51 Johnson idealized Franklin Delano
Roosevelt’s New Deal, and he believed in the power of government to improve
society. Although, in the days and months after Kennedy’s assassination, Johnson
attempted maintain a balance that honored Kennedy’s earlier work, he slowly began
to move towards his more activist conception of the government’s role in society. In
January 1964, in his first State of th