fernandes et al-2015-american journal of physical anthropology

16
Quantitative Diet Reconstruction of a Neolithic Population Using a Bayesian Mixing Model (FRUITS): The Case Study of Ostorf (Germany) Ricardo Fernandes, 1,2,3 * Pieter Grootes, 1 Marie-Jos ee Nadeau, 4 and Olaf Nehlich 5,6 1 Institute for Ecosystem Research, University of Kiel, Kiel, Germany 2 Leibniz-Laboratory for Radiometric Dating and Isotope Research, University of Kiel, Kiel, Germany 3 McDonald Institute for Archaeological Research, University of Cambridge, Cambridge CB2 1TN, United Kingdom 4 National Laboratory for Age Determination, Museum of Natural History and Archaeology, Norwegian University of Science and Technology, Trondheim, Norway 5 Department of Anthropology, University of British Columbia, Vancouver, BC V6T 1Z4, Canada 6 Department of Human Evolution, Max Planck Institute for Evolutionary Anthropology, Leipzig, Germany KEY WORDS Neolithic; Ostorf; FRUITS; diet; isotopes; collagen; bioapatite ABSTRACT OBJECTIVES: The island cemetery site of Ostorf (Germany) consists of individual human graves containing Funnel Beaker ceramics dating to the Early or Middle Neolithic. However, previous isotope and radiocarbon analysis demonstrated that the Ostorf indi- viduals had a diet rich in freshwater fish. The present study was undertaken to quantitatively reconstruct the diet of the Ostorf population and establish if dietary habits are consistent with the traditional characteriza- tion of a Neolithic diet. METHODS: Quantitative diet reconstruction was achieved through a novel approach consisting of the use of the Bayesian mixing model Food Reconstruction Using Isotopic Transferred Signals (FRUITS) to model isotope measurements from multiple dietary proxies (d 13 C collagen , d 15 N collagen , d 13 C bioapatite , d 34 S methione , 14 C col- lagen ). The accuracy of model estimates was verified by comparing the agreement between observed and esti- mated human dietary radiocarbon reservoir effects. RESULTS: Quantitative diet reconstruction estimates confirm that the Ostorf individuals had a high protein intake due to the consumption of fish and terrestrial ani- mal products. However, FRUITS estimates also show that plant foods represented a significant source of calo- ries. Observed and estimated human dietary radiocarbon reservoir effects are in good agreement provided that the aquatic reservoir effect at Lake Ostorf is taken as reference. CONCLUSIONS: The Ostorf population apparently adopted elements associated with a Neolithic culture but adapted to available local food resources and imple- mented a subsistence strategy that involved a large pro- portion of fish and terrestrial meat consumption. This case study exemplifies the diversity of subsistence strat- egies followed during the Neolithic. Am J Phys Anthro- pol 000:000–000, 2015. V C 2015 Wiley Periodicals, Inc. The island cemetery site of Ostorf-Tannenwerder, hereafter referred to as Ostorf, in northern Germany consists of individual adult graves containing lithics, pottery, and tooth pendants of wild animals as grave goods (Lubke et al., 2009). Farming was practiced in the Western Baltic region of Northern Europe from at least ca. 4,000 cal BC (Craig et al., 2011) and pottery found at Ostorf includes Funnel Beaker types assigned to the Early or Middle Neolithic. The majority of calibrated radiocarbon dates obtained on collagen extracted from bone artefacts recovered from the site fall between ca. 3,400 and 2,900 cal BC. However, human bone-collagen radiocarbon dates in most instances appear to be several hundreds of years older than associated animal dates (Olsen et al., 2010). This constitutes an example of die- tary radiocarbon reservoir effect (RRE) caused by the consumption of aquatic resources that are depleted in 14 C compared to the contemporary atmosphere (Lanting and van der Plicht, 1998; Cook et al., 2001; Fernandes et al., 2014). A high intake of aquatic protein was previ- ously confirmed by isotope analysis (d 15 N collagen and d 13 C collagen ) of human bone collagen. Human bone colla- Additional Supporting Information may be found in the online version of this article. Abbreviations: aDNA, Ancient DNA; FRUITS, Food Reconstruction Using Isotopic Transferred Signals; FTIR, Fourier transform infra- red spectroscopy; RRE, Radiocarbon reservoir effect; SF, Splitting factor Grant sponsor: German Research Foundation within the frame of the Priority Program SPP 1400; Grant number: DFG project NA 776/2; Grant sponsor: Graduate School ‘‘Human Development in Landscapes’’ of the German Excellence Initiative. *Correspondence to: Ricardo Fernandes, Leibniz-Laboratory for Radiometric Dating and Isotope Research, University of Kiel, Kiel, Germany. E-mail: [email protected] Received 14 August 2014; revised 23 May 2015; accepted 26 May 2015 DOI: 10.1002/ajpa.22788 Published online 00 Month 2015 in Wiley Online Library (wileyonlinelibrary.com). Ó 2015 WILEY PERIODICALS, INC. AMERICAN JOURNAL OF PHYSICAL ANTHROPOLOGY 00:00–00 (2015)

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  • Quantitative Diet Reconstruction of a NeolithicPopulation Using a Bayesian Mixing Model (FRUITS):The Case Study of Ostorf (Germany)

    Ricardo Fernandes,1,2,3* Pieter Grootes,1 Marie-Josee Nadeau,4 and Olaf Nehlich5,6

    1Institute for Ecosystem Research, University of Kiel, Kiel, Germany2Leibniz-Laboratory for Radiometric Dating and Isotope Research, University of Kiel, Kiel, Germany3McDonald Institute for Archaeological Research, University of Cambridge, Cambridge CB2 1TN, United Kingdom4National Laboratory for Age Determination, Museum of Natural History and Archaeology, Norwegian Universityof Science and Technology, Trondheim, Norway5Department of Anthropology, University of British Columbia, Vancouver, BC V6T 1Z4, Canada6Department of Human Evolution, Max Planck Institute for Evolutionary Anthropology, Leipzig, Germany

    KEY WORDS Neolithic; Ostorf; FRUITS; diet; isotopes; collagen; bioapatite

    ABSTRACT OBJECTIVES: The island cemetery siteof Ostorf (Germany) consists of individual human gravescontaining Funnel Beaker ceramics dating to the Earlyor Middle Neolithic. However, previous isotope andradiocarbon analysis demonstrated that the Ostorf indi-viduals had a diet rich in freshwater fish. The presentstudy was undertaken to quantitatively reconstruct thediet of the Ostorf population and establish if dietaryhabits are consistent with the traditional characteriza-tion of a Neolithic diet.METHODS: Quantitative diet reconstruction wasachieved through a novel approach consisting of the useof the Bayesian mixing model Food ReconstructionUsing Isotopic Transferred Signals (FRUITS) to modelisotope measurements from multiple dietary proxies(d13Ccollagen, d

    15Ncollagen, d13Cbioapatite, d

    34Smethione,14Ccol-

    lagen). The accuracy of model estimates was verified bycomparing the agreement between observed and esti-mated human dietary radiocarbon reservoir effects.

    RESULTS: Quantitative diet reconstruction estimatesconfirm that the Ostorf individuals had a high proteinintake due to the consumption of fish and terrestrial ani-mal products. However, FRUITS estimates also showthat plant foods represented a significant source of calo-ries. Observed and estimated human dietary radiocarbonreservoir effects are in good agreement provided thatthe aquatic reservoir effect at Lake Ostorf is taken asreference.CONCLUSIONS: The Ostorf population apparentlyadopted elements associated with a Neolithic culture butadapted to available local food resources and imple-mented a subsistence strategy that involved a large pro-portion of fish and terrestrial meat consumption. Thiscase study exemplifies the diversity of subsistence strat-egies followed during the Neolithic. Am J Phys Anthro-pol 000:000000, 2015. VC 2015 Wiley Periodicals, Inc.

    The island cemetery site of Ostorf-Tannenwerder,hereafter referred to as Ostorf, in northern Germanyconsists of individual adult graves containing lithics,pottery, and tooth pendants of wild animals as gravegoods (Lubke et al., 2009). Farming was practiced in theWestern Baltic region of Northern Europe from at leastca. 4,000 cal BC (Craig et al., 2011) and pottery found atOstorf includes Funnel Beaker types assigned to theEarly or Middle Neolithic. The majority of calibratedradiocarbon dates obtained on collagen extracted frombone artefacts recovered from the site fall between ca.3,400 and 2,900 cal BC. However, human bone-collagenradiocarbon dates in most instances appear to be severalhundreds of years older than associated animal dates(Olsen et al., 2010). This constitutes an example of die-tary radiocarbon reservoir effect (RRE) caused by theconsumption of aquatic resources that are depleted in14C compared to the contemporary atmosphere (Lantingand van der Plicht, 1998; Cook et al., 2001; Fernandeset al., 2014). A high intake of aquatic protein was previ-ously confirmed by isotope analysis (d15Ncollagen andd13Ccollagen) of human bone collagen. Human bone colla-

    Additional Supporting Information may be found in the onlineversion of this article.

    Abbreviations: aDNA, Ancient DNA; FRUITS, Food ReconstructionUsing Isotopic Transferred Signals; FTIR, Fourier transform infra-red spectroscopy; RRE, Radiocarbon reservoir effect; SF, Splittingfactor

    Grant sponsor: German Research Foundation within the frame ofthe Priority Program SPP 1400; Grant number: DFG project NA776/2; Grant sponsor: Graduate School Human Development inLandscapes of the German Excellence Initiative.

    *Correspondence to: Ricardo Fernandes, Leibniz-Laboratory forRadiometric Dating and Isotope Research, University of Kiel, Kiel,Germany. E-mail: [email protected]

    Received 14 August 2014; revised 23 May 2015; accepted 26 May2015

    DOI: 10.1002/ajpa.22788Published online 00 Month 2015 in Wiley Online Library

    (wileyonlinelibrary.com).

    2015 WILEY PERIODICALS, INC.

    AMERICAN JOURNAL OF PHYSICAL ANTHROPOLOGY 00:0000 (2015)

  • gen d15Ncollagen values were elevated compared withother Neolithic populations (Olsen et al., 2010) as maybe expected from the consumption of fish enriched in15N. Human bone collagen d13Ccollagen values were simi-lar to other inland Neolithic populations, suggestingthat marine species enriched in 13C were not significantdietary components. In addition, a human tooth wearstudy revealed tooth abrasion patterns consistent withthe intake of protein-rich foods (Patolla and Henke,2007). However, similar to the site of Blatterhohle, alsoin Germany, ancient DNA (aDNA) analysis has shownthat the Ostorf individuals share mitochondrial DNAsignatures associated with early Neolithic Europeanfarmers and that these differ from those observed forlate Mesolithic European hunter-gatherers (Bramantiet al., 2009; Deguilloux et al., 2012; Bollongino et al.,2013). In light of all collected evidence, Ostorf has beenboth described as an enclave of a late hunter-gathererpopulation surrounded by Neolithic farmers (Bramantiet al., 2009) or as former farmers that shifted to a modeof subsistence relying preferentially on aquatic resources(Lubke et al., 2009).Much of the debate concerning the Ostorf individuals

    derives from the interpretation of human isotope data.However, the methods of interpretation employed weresemi-quantitative and based on the comparison of humanisotope values with pre-defined isotope ranges associatedwith a certain type of diet. Furthermore, the radiocarbonage offsets between associated human and animal arte-facts show some clear outliers (Olsen et al., 2010). Thepresent study builds upon previous work at Ostorf byrepeating radiocarbon measurements on humans andassociated animal remains, including two additional iso-topic dietary proxies (d13Cbioapatite and d

    34Smethionine), andquantitatively reconstructing the diet of the Ostorf popu-lation using the Bayesian mixing model FRUITS (Fer-nandes et al., 2012c; Fernandes et al., 2014b). Estimatesgenerated by FRUITS include the relative calorie contri-bution from available food groups, levels of protein intake,and the relative protein contribution from each foodgroup. These estimates can be compared with data frommodern populations or ethnographic case studies to char-acterize the diet of the Ostorf population (Lands et al.,1990; Cordain et al., 2000).The application of this approach to the Ostorf case

    study provides an opportunity to gauge the extent towhich a population within a spatially and temporallyNeolithic context that had adopted some Neolithic cul-tural elements also shows aspects which are typicallyassociated with a hunter-gatherer subsistence strategy.

    MATERIAL AND SITE DESCRIPTION

    Lake Ostorf is part of the Mecklenburg Lake District,and is located ca. 1.5 km southwest of the larger LakeSchwerin (Fig. 1). Within Lake Ostorf, the island of Tan-nenwerder contains a prehistoric cemetery with individ-ual burials. These graves contain a variety of grave goods,including pendants from wild animal teeth (Lubke et al.,2009). Previous isotope and radiocarbon analyses weremade on animal and human remains (Lubke et al., 2009;Olsen et al., 2010). New long-bone samples were takenfrom ten previously radiocarbon dated human adults fornew isotope and radiocarbon analysis (Table 1). Eight ani-mal tooth pendants from each burial were also sampled(Table 1). Collagen extracted from animal tooth dentinwas analyzed isotopically and where possible also by

    radiocarbon dating. Since no fish bones were recoveredfrom archaeological excavations, modern fish and musselspecimens were collected from lakes Schwerin and Ostorffor isotope and radiocarbon analysis of the flesh. Part ofthese results was published previously in a separate studythat investigated the ecological variability of RREs (Fer-nandes et al., 2013).

    ANALYTICAL METHODS

    The following represents a brief description ofemployed analytical methods. A more detailed descrip-tion is provided in Supporting Information File 1.

    Bone and teeth pre-treatment

    Bone and tooth dentin collagen was extracted at the MaxPlanck Institute for Evolutionary Anthropology (Leipzig,Germany) using an acid-base-acid protocol plus a filtrationstep (Hublin et al., 2012) based on the method developed byLongin (Longin, 1971). Unbleached bioapatite powder(grain size

  • products, fish) having similar isotopic and nutrientcompositions.

    Use of a sufficient number of dietary proxies. To pre-cisely estimate the contributions of defined foodgroups, it is necessary to include a sufficient numberof dietary proxies that, when combined, offer unambig-uous estimates.

    Quantification of diet-to-tissue isotopic offsets and die-tary routing. This relies primarily on data obtainedfrom controlled feeding experiments done either onhumans or on omnivorous mammals.

    Use of a Bayesian mixing model for data analysis. TheBayesian mixing model Food Reconstruction UsingIsotopic Transferred Signals (FRUITS) was used toproduce estimates of the intake of different foodgroups based on measured dietary proxies and isotopicvalues of available food (Fernandes et al., 2012c; Fer-nandes et al., 2014b). This model is capable of han-dling uncertainties associated with all the parametersdescribed above. It also allows the user to inputdiverse forms of prior information.

    Testing model performance. Model predictions shouldbe tested for robustness. This implies assessing thedegree of sensitivity in generated estimates to smallmodifications in the values of model parameters. Inthe present case study, the accuracy of model predic-

    tions was also tested by comparing estimated andobserved human dietary RREs.

    Modelling parameters

    The following describes the model parameters and val-ues considered in the diet reconstruction of the Ostorfpopulation. The robustness of diet estimates produced bythe model was assessed by comparing the estimates gen-erated for different model instances or dietary scenarios.Four dietary scenarios were considered, corresponding totwo different reference d15N plant values (manuredplants for scenarios 1 & 2 vs. unmanured for scenarios 3& 4) and the inclusion or exclusion of sulfur isotope data(included in scenarios 1 & 3 vs. excluded in scenarios 2& 4) in the modeling.

    Dietary proxies. Each of the four dietary proxies(d13Ccollagen, d

    15Ncollagen, d13Cbioapatite, d

    34Smethionine)employed in this case study is represented in FRUITSby a unique code: 13Ccoll (d13Ccollagen), 15Ncoll (d

    15Ncolla-gen), 13Cbioa (d

    13Cbioapatite), 34Smeth (d34Smethionine).

    Average isotope values of the Ostorf population are giventogether with associated standard error of the mean(standard deviation divided by the square root of the

    Fig. 1. Location of Lake Ostorf and the neighboring Lake Schwerin (Germany). The star symbol marks the location of theIsland of Ostorf (Tannenwerder).

    DIET RECONSTRUCTION OF THE OSTORF POPULATION 3

    American Journal of Physical Anthropology

  • TABLE1.Samplelistandisotope,elem

    ental,andSFresultsforarchaeological(*)andmodern(**)samplesfrom

    OstorfIsland(OI),LakeOstorf(LO),andLakeSchwerin

    (LS)

    KIA

    number

    Grave

    Species

    Sex

    Age

    Fraction

    d13Corganic

    (&)

    d15Norganic

    (&)

    d34Smethionine

    (&)

    C (%)

    N (%)

    S (%)

    Atomic

    C/N

    Atomic

    C/S

    Atomic

    N/S

    d13Cbioapatite

    (&)

    SF

    46904*O

    I190401

    Human

    Male

    3060

    Radiuscollagen

    219.8

    12.1

    4.0

    49.0

    17.5

    0.246

    3.3

    532

    163

    214.6

    3.2

    46906*O

    I196101

    Human

    Male

    Tibia

    collagen

    220.3

    13.3

    3.1

    44.3

    15.7

    0.208

    3.3

    568

    172

    214.7

    3.8

    46908*O

    I190402

    Human

    Male

    Radiuscollagen

    221.1

    13.6

    6.1

    48.2

    17.5

    0.234

    3.2

    550

    171

    214.8

    3.2

    46909*O

    I193503

    Human

    Male

    3569

    Fem

    urcollagen

    220.2

    11.8

    7.6

    49.5

    17.8

    0.262

    3.3

    504

    155

    214.8

    3.1

    46911*O

    I193504

    Human

    Male

    3560

    Fem

    urcollagen

    220.0

    11.9

    6.5

    48.3

    17.5

    0.232

    3.2

    556

    172

    215.6

    3.3

    46913*O

    I196104

    Human

    Fem

    ale

    Fem

    urcollagen

    220.0

    13.2

    2.3

    50.0

    17.7

    0.243

    3.3

    550

    166

    215.2

    3.7

    46915*O

    I196105

    Human

    Fem

    ale

    Fem

    urcollagen

    219.5

    12.7

    1.2

    48.9

    17.6

    0.253

    3.3

    516

    159

    215.2

    3.4

    46917*O

    I196107

    Human

    Fem

    ale

    Fem

    urcollagen

    219.7

    11.7

    4.2

    49.4

    17.6

    0.25

    3.3

    528

    161

    213.9

    3.2

    46919*O

    I196108

    Human

    Male

    1730

    Fem

    urcollagen

    219.8

    12.8

    3.0

    49.3

    17.7

    0.234

    3.2

    561

    173

    215.4

    3.7

    46921*O

    I196109

    Human

    Fem

    ale

    Fem

    urcollagen

    219.0

    12.9

    2.3

    49.7

    17.4

    0.225

    3.3

    589

    177

    214.1

    3.5

    Isotope

    average

    219.960.2

    12.660.2

    4.060.3

    46905*O

    I190401

    Wildboar

    Dentincollagen

    222.1

    6.2

    7.7

    48.9

    16.5

    0.232

    3.5

    562

    163

    46907*O

    I196101

    Deer

    Dentincollagen

    221.3

    5.8

    7.2

    48.8

    17.1

    0.227

    3.3

    573

    172

    46910*O

    I193503

    Deer

    Dentincollagen

    222.7

    5.0

    11.3

    48.0

    17.1

    0.229

    3.3

    559

    170

    46912*O

    I193504

    Red

    deer

    Dentincollagen

    223.0

    5.4

    10.5

    49.9

    17.5

    0.192

    3.3

    692

    208

    46914*O

    I196104

    Wildboar

    Dentincollagen

    222.6

    5.2

    8.7

    51.5

    18.2

    0.227

    3.3

    605

    183

    46916*O

    I196105

    Roe

    deer

    Dentincollagen

    222.1

    4.4

    7.9

    46.7

    16.2

    0.232

    3.4

    538

    160

    46918*O

    I196107

    Carnivore

    Dentincollagen

    218.0

    11.0

    15.3

    48.3

    17.2

    0.22

    3.3

    584

    178

    46920*O

    I196108

    Roe

    deer

    Dentincollagen

    221.7

    5.2

    9.0

    49.1

    17.2

    0.237

    3.3

    552

    166

    Isotope

    average

    222.760.6a

    6.060.7a

    9.760.9b

    46304**LS

    Pike

    Flesh

    bulk

    219.6

    13.0

    20.5

    46.6

    17.4

    0.63

    3.1

    197

    63

    46305**LS

    Bream

    Flesh

    bulk

    219.3

    11.5

    22.3

    47.1

    8.0

    0.55

    6.9

    228

    33

    46306**LS

    Eel

    Flesh

    bulk

    215.0

    12.8

    1.2

    50.3

    17.5

    0.509

    3.3

    264

    79

    46307**LS

    Eel

    Flesh

    bulk

    220.6

    17.0

    24.1

    49.7

    18.8

    0.516

    3.1

    257

    83

    46310**LS

    Zebra

    mussel

    Flesh

    bulk

    227.1

    8.1

    54.8

    10.5

    6.1

    46311**LO

    Zebra

    mussel

    Flesh

    bulk

    227.8

    14.6

    43.9

    10.7

    4.8

    Isotope

    average

    (musselsnot

    included)

    218.661.2a

    13.661.2a

    21.461.1b

    Humansexandagedeterminations(when

    available)are

    alsoincluded.See

    textdescription

    foruncertainties

    ofisotopemeasurements.Meanisotopevalues

    ofhumans(bonecolla-

    gen),terrestrialanim

    als(tooth

    dentincollagen),andfish

    (bulk

    flesh)are

    reportedwithanuncertainty

    representingthestandard

    errorof

    themean.

    aListedmeanvalues

    are

    given

    asreference

    only.Thesewerenot

    usedin

    themodellingprocess

    since

    itwaspossible

    forcarbon

    andnitrogen

    stable

    isotopes

    toobtain

    archaeologi-

    calreference

    values

    from

    alarger

    dataset(see

    sectionIsotopiccompositionof

    food

    groups).

    bGiven

    thesm

    allnumber

    ofsamples,standard

    deviation

    values

    (d34ST.anim

    als=9.762.6&,d3

    4Sfish=21.462.3&)wereusedin

    themodellingprocess

    tothedefinetheuncertainty

    ofd3

    4Smethioninevalues

    rather

    thanlisted

    standard

    errorof

    themean(see

    sectionIsotopiccompositionof

    food

    groups).

    4 R. FERNANDES ET AL.

    American Journal of Physical Anthropology

  • number of individuals) in Table 1. These values wereused in the modeling process to reconstruct the groupdiet. Individual diets were also reconstructed, however,the uncertainty of the dietary proxies (d13Ccollagen,d15Ncollagen, and d

    13Cbioapatite) was set at 0.5& to accountfor isotopic variability within and between bones of thesame individual (Schoeninger et al., 1983; Baker et al.,1998; Balasse et al., 1999; Waters-Rist et al., 2011).A more conservative uncertainty of 1& was taken asreference for the d34Smethionine dietary proxy given thelarger instrumental uncertainty associated with thisdietary proxy (see Supporting Information File 1).

    Nutrient composition of food groups. Three mainfood groups were considered: terrestrial plant cereals,meat of terrestrial animals, and meat of freshwater fish.Their nutrient content (protein, carbohydrates, lipids,and methionine) is expressed as dry weight carbon con-tent (wtC %) with carbohydrates and lipids combinedinto a single fraction (carbs/lipids). Carbon content canalso be defined using calorie composition values giventhat calorie vs. carbon content ratios for the differentmacronutrients are broadly similar (Morrison et al.,2000; Otten et al., 2006).The macronutrient composition of foods can vary

    (FAOSTAT, 2009), however, recorded patterns of humandietary intakes show that the average nutrient contribu-tion of the food groups listed here is relatively constant(see Supporting Information File 2 Table 1). The fol-lowing lists the macronutrient content, rounded to amultiple of five, taken in the modelling process for eachfood group: plant cereals (protein: 1062.5% wtC %;carbs/lipids: 906 2.5% wtC %), meat of terrestrial ani-mals (306 2.5% wtC %; carbs/lipids: 706 2.5% wtC %),meat of freshwater fish (6565% wtC %; carbs/lipids:356 5% wtC %). These values are similar among regionsand time periods with variations in plant cereals andterrestrial animals typically smaller than 5% and infreshwater fish smaller than 10% (see Supporting Infor-mation File 2 Table 1). In the case of plant foods, nutsalso show a protein content of ca. 10% and the selecteduncertainty for the plant food group is sufficiently largeto encompass within a 2r range (ca. 5%) plant foodswith a lower protein content (e.g. fruits, starchy roots).It was assumed that pulses, with a significantly higherprotein content than cereals, did not represent an impor-

    tant food source (Jacomet, 2004). The methionine con-tent was established using reported USDA data (USDA,2012) for plants (0.00260.001 wtC %), the flesh of ter-restrial animals (0.0260.01 wtC %), and fish(0.026 0.01 wtC %) expressed as caloric percentage (seeSupporting Information File 2 Tables (24)).

    Isotopic composition of food groups. The referenceisotopic composition for protein, carbs/lipids, and methio-nine of the food groups is provided in Table 2. Given thelimited number of archaeological food remains recoveredfrom Ostorf, previously published isotope data were usedto define the carbon and nitrogen isotopic composition ofterrestrial animals and freshwater fish. These data,major outliers removed, originate from Late Mesolithicand Neolithic central and northern European sites(Boric et al., 2004; Ogrinc and Budja, 2005; Bosl et al.,2006; Durrwachter et al., 2006; Bocherens et al., 2007;Hedges et al., 2008; Oelze et al., 2011; Dolphin et al.,2013). The average stable isotope values and standarderror of the mean for bone collagen from terrestrial ani-mals and fish are d13C5221.26 0.1&,d15N55.960.1& (n5 268), for the former, andd13C5222.36 0.3&, d15N5 8.860.3& (n5 27), for thelatter. The standard error of the mean, rather than thestandard deviation, is reported given that human longbones integrate food isotopic signals during multiyearsampling periods (Hedges et al., 2007). Isotope values ofterrestrial animals and fish protein and lipids (carbohy-drate contribution assumed to be comparatively negligible)were estimated, from bone-collagen values, relying on pre-viously reported offsets between macronutrient and colla-gen isotopic values for these organisms (Vogel, 1978; Hareet al., 1991; Sholto-Douglas et al., 1991; Tieszen and Fagre,1993; Pinnegar and Polunin, 1999; Fischer et al., 2007;Post et al., 2007; Logan et al., 2008; Warinner and Tuross,2010; Fernandes et al., 2014a). Chosen offsets representapproximate consensus values (terrestrial animals: D13Cpro-tein-collagen522&, D

    13Clipids-collagen528&, D15Nprotein-

    collagen512&; fish: D13Cprotein-collagen521&, D

    13Clipids-collagen527&, D

    15Nprotein-collagen512&). To cover theoffset ranges in previously listed studies, a conservativeuncertainty of 1& was taken as reference for estimatedprotein and lipid isotope values (Table 2). Given thatd13Cbioapatite is a dietary proxy that signals the carbon ofthe dietary mix (see section Diet-to-tissue isotope offsets

    TABLE 2. Isotope values of the different food group fractions in relationship to the dietary proxy, represented by their FRUITScode, to which the isotope values are relevant. The asterisks mark the different plant isotope values corresponding to manured (*)

    plants (dietary scenarios 1 and 2) and unmanured (**) plants (dietary scenarios 3 and 4)

    Food group Fraction13Ccoll(&)

    15Ncoll(&)

    13Cbioa(&)

    34Smeth(&)

    Plant Bulk 224.061 Plant Protein 226.06 1 4.56 1*

    2.06 1**Plant Carbs/Lipids 223.56 1 Plant Methionine 9.76 2.6T. animals Bulk 227.461 T. animals Protein 223.26 1 7.96 1 T. animals Carbs/Lipids 229.26 1 T. animals Methionine 9.76 2.6Fish Bulk 225.461 Fish Protein 223.36 1 10.861 Fish Carbs/Lipids 229.36 1 Fish Methionine 21.46 2.3

    DIET RECONSTRUCTION OF THE OSTORF POPULATION 5

    American Journal of Physical Anthropology

  • and weight contributions), the relevant d13C signal of eachfood group is that of the bulk carbon. Terrestrial animalsand fish d13C bulk values were estimated as a weightedmean (according to nutrient compositionsee above) oflipid and protein d13C values. Sulfur isotope values wereonly available from a limited number of measurementsmade on archaeological (terrestrial animals) and modern(fish) samples (n=12) at Ostorf (Table 1). Given thissmall dataset, the standard deviation of average values,and not the standard error of the mean, was used asuncertainty for each food group (d34ST. animals59.762.6&,d34Sfish521.46 2.3&).Recent research has provided isotope values for bulk

    cereal grains, corrected for charring effects, during theEuropean Neolithic (Bogaard et al., 2013). Bulk cerealisotope values within Germany are ca. 4.5& for d15Nand 224.0& for d13C. The elevated d15N values denotethe influence of manuring and this value was taken asbasis for dietary scenarios 1 and 2. A d15N value of 2&represents a typical value for edible European plantsduring the Holocene (Richards and Trinkaus, 2009), andwas taken as basis for dietary scenarios 3 and 4. For allscenarios, bulk isotope plant values are adjusted for iso-tope offsets between bulk d13C values and protein (ca.22&), and between bulk d13C values and carbohydrates(ca. 10.5&, with lipid contribution assumed to be com-paratively negligible) (Tieszen, 1991). In both scenarios,a conservative uncertainty of 1& was assigned to plantd15N and d13C values. No modern or archaeological plantd34S measurements were available and it was assumedthat plants would have the same isotope value(d34Splant=9.76 2.6&) as local terrestrial animals (seeabove).

    Diet-to-tissue isotope offsets and weight contribu-tions. Diet-to-collagen and diet-to-bioapatite d13C iso-tope offsets are based on the statistical model presentedby Fernandes et al., (2012b), equivalent to the graph-based model by Kellner and Schoeninger (2007) andlater updated by Froehle et al., (2010). Isotope offsetswere defined using data from controlled feeding experi-ments on omnivorous mammals (Ambrose and Norr,1993; Tieszen and Fagre, 1993; Howland et al., 2003;Jim et al., 2004; Warinner and Tuross, 2009). Statisticalanalysis of these data provided a diet-to-collagen d13Coffset of 4.860.2&, and a diet-to-bioapatite offset of10.16 0.2& However, given that these estimates arebased on data from small mammals, a more conservativeuncertainty (0.5&) was used to account for the possibleeffect of body size (Passey et al., 2005). Statistical analy-sis of animal data showed that the source of bioapatitecarbon is the dietary carbon mix without a bias towardsa particular macronutrient. It also showed that collagencarbon is routed from 7464% dietary protein carbonand the remaining 26% from carbohydrates and lipids(Fernandes et al., 2012b).The source of collagen nitrogen is essentially dietary

    protein, and a value of 5.56 0.5& was used for humand15N diet-to-collagen isotope offset. This represents aconsensus value determined from published data onhuman diet-to-hair d15N enrichment values (Minagawaet al., 1986; Schoeller et al., 1986; Minagawa, 1992;Yoshinaga et al., 1996; Hedges et al., 2009; Huelsemannet al., 2009) to which was added the isotope offset (ca.1&) between human hair and bone collagen (OConnelland Hedges, 1999; OConnell et al., 2001; Richards,

    TABLE3.Bone-collagen

    radiocarbon

    resultsobtained

    inthisstudyandpreviouslybyOlsen

    etal.(2010)forpre-historicadultindividualsandassociatedanim

    alremainsfrom

    thesiteofOstorf

    Grave

    Labcode

    (anim

    al)

    14C

    (yrBP)

    Labcode

    (anim

    al)

    14C

    (yrBP)

    Lab

    code

    (human)

    14C

    (yrBP)

    Lab

    code

    (human)

    14C

    (yrBP)

    RRE(yr)

    (Olsen

    etal.2010)

    RRE(yr)

    (thisstudy)

    190401

    AAR-10590

    4400634

    UtC-8173

    4568640

    KIA

    -46904

    4786622*

    168652

    386640

    196101

    AAR-10589

    4435636

    KIA

    -46907

    4504624*

    UtC-7447

    4699649

    KIA

    -46906

    4793626*

    264661

    289635

    190402

    AAR-10591

    4449634

    UtC-7440

    4737641

    KIA

    -46908

    4717622*

    288653

    268640

    193503

    AAR-10595

    4387635

    UtC-7445

    4356644

    KIA

    -46909

    4581621*

    231656

    194641

    1935204

    AAR-10596

    4402631

    UtC-7446

    4299650

    KIA

    -46911

    4702625*

    2103659

    300640

    196104

    AAR-10592

    4500665

    KIA

    -46914

    4470637

    UtC-7448

    4827647

    KIA

    -46913

    5061629*

    327680

    591647

    196105

    AAR-10594

    4398634

    UtC-8180

    4833638

    KIA

    -46915

    5018625*

    435651

    620642

    196107

    AAR-10593

    4429632

    KIA

    -46918

    4496634

    AAR-9752

    4830647

    KIA

    -46917

    4828621*

    401657

    332640

    196108

    AAR-10597

    4135641

    KIA

    -46920

    4594631

    UtC-7449

    4970650

    KIA

    -46919

    4968626*

    835665

    374640

    196109

    AAR-10598

    4303634

    UtC-8179

    4855649

    KIA

    -46921

    5085664

    552660

    782672

    RRE

    represents

    theagedifference

    betweenhumanandanim

    alradiocarbon

    ages.WherenoLeibniz

    Labanim

    aldate

    could

    beobtained,RRE

    represents

    theagedifference

    betweenthehumandatedattheLeibniz

    Lab(KIA

    )andtheanim

    aldatedattheAarhusLab(AAR).

    HumansamplesmeasuredattheUtrechtLab(U

    tC)are

    alsolisted.

    (*weightedmeanof

    twomeasurements,seeSupportingInform

    ation

    File2).

    6 R. FERNANDES ET AL.

    American Journal of Physical Anthropology

  • 2001; Lehn et al., 2014). The chosen offset is similar tothe ca. 6& estimated from isotope values measured inhuman red blood cells during a controlled feeding experi-ment (OConnell et al., 2012).A review of human and animal data suggests that

    there is little isotopic fractionation between methioninein diet and body tissues, provided that there is anadequate protein intake (McCutchan et al., 2003; Rich-ards et al., 2003a; Tanz and Schmidt, 2010; Nehlich,2014). However, a diet-to-collagen methionine offset of06 0.5& was taken as reference.

    Prior information. A purely physiological priorassumption based on acceptable levels of dietary proteinintake (Otten et al., 2006), between 5 and 45% of proteincarbon contribution, was incorporated into all dietaryscenarios. The implementation of this prior is describedin Fernandes et al. (2014b).

    ANALYTICAL RESULTS

    Sample preservation

    Collagen preservation for human long bones and ani-mal dentine was generally good. Collagen yield valuesobtained by a protocol involving ultra-filtration are notdirectly comparable to standard reference values, how-ever, all collagen yields were above the cut-off referenceof 1% (van Klinken, 1999). The atomic C/N ratiosbetween 3.2 and 3.5 (Table 1) were also all within theexpected collagen range 2.9 to 3.6 (DeNiro, 1985). Simi-larly, sulfur atomic ratios are within the expected rangefor mammalian bones both for C/S (6006 300) and N/S(2006 300) (Nehlich and Richards, 2009).When measured using FTIR-ATR, bone bioapatite of

    fresh bones shows SF values between ca. 2.8 and 3.2;the upper limit is extended to ca. 3.9 for relatively well-preserved bone (Hollund et al., 2012). For the Ostorfhuman bone samples SF values were between 3.1 and3.8 (Table 1). This indicates that the bone bioapatitesamples were comparatively well-preserved. Yet, toaccount for possible external contamination (e.g. ionicexchange), the uncertainty for d13Cbioapatite measure-ments was set at a value (0.5&), higher than the instru-mental uncertainty of 0.05& (Fernandes et al., 2012a).

    Radiocarbon results

    Radiocarbon results from archaeological samplesobtained at the Leibniz Laboratory in Kiel, Germany(lab code KIA) were compared with radiocarbon datesreported by Olsen et al. (2010). These latter were meas-ured at the Utrecht Laboratory, the Netherlands (labcode UtC) and at the Aarhus Laboratory, Denmark (labcode AAR). From each individual context the samehuman bone material was dated in this and in the studyby Olsen et al. However, different animal teeth wereradiocarbon dated in each study. To check the reproduci-bility of the measurements obtained at the Leibniz Labo-ratory where enough material was available, bonesamples were measured twice on the same collagenextract, but with independent combustion, reduction,and AMS counting. These results are provided in Sup-porting Information File 3. The age differences betweenthe repeats range from 8 years, 0.15r, for KIA-46906 to85 years, 2.0r, for KIA-46909 and 100 years, 1.6r, forKIA-46913 and are within the expected 95% statisticalrange (r5 standard uncertainty). This supports the reli-ability of the results.Human dietary RRE is here defined as the difference

    in 14C concentration between human bone collagen andthe contemporary atmosphere. The latter is establishedby measuring the radiocarbon age of animal bones foundin association with each individual human. In this wayradiocarbon is employed as a dietary proxy given thataquatic foods have a 14C concentration lower than ter-restrial foods (Fernandes et al., 2014). It is assumedthat terrestrial animals did not consume aquatic foodsand thus have no RRE, although this cannot be fullyexcluded in the case of omnivores or carnivores (Table1). Furthermore, it is also assumed that the local reser-voir effect during the Neolithic is similar to present day.Local freshwater reservoir effects can vary in time withchanging environmental conditions. Nonetheless, thefew comparisons of past and present day freshwater res-ervoir effects within Germany show similar values (Fer-nandes et al., 2014). Average human and animalradiocarbon dates obtained in this study and the result-ing dietary RREs are listed in Table 3, together withresults previously reported by Olsen et al. (2010). Where

    TABLE 4. Radiocarbon results from modern aquatic samples. See text description for estimates of reservoir ages

    Lab code Lake location Species 14C (yr BP)Reservoirage (yr)

    KIA-46304a Schwerin Pike (Esox lucius) 2706 20 ca. 590KIA-46305a Schwerin Bream (Abramis brama) 1906 30 ca. 510KIA-46306a Schwerin Eel (Anguilla anguilla) 2606 25 ca. 580KIA-46307a Schwerin Eel (Anguilla anguilla) 6256 25 ca. 945KIA-46310a Schwerin Zebra mussel (Dreissena polymorpha) 2306 20 ca. 550KIA-48715b Schwerin Zebra mussel (Dreissena polymorpha) 2406 30 ca. 500KIA-49512b Schwerin Zebra mussel (Dreissena polymorpha) 2906 15 ca. 550KIA-49919b Schwerin Zebra mussel (Dreissena polymorpha) 3006 15 ca. 560KIA-46311a Ostorf Zebra mussel (Dreissena polymorpha) 11206 20 ca. 1440KIA-48717b Ostorf Zebra mussel (Dreissena polymorpha) 10856 35 ca. 1345KIA-48718b Ostorf Unidentified bivalve species 11456 30 ca. 1405KIA-49516b Ostorf Unidentified bivalve species 10756 20 ca. 1335KIA-49912b Ostorf Zebra mussel (Dreissena polymorpha) 12956 25 ca. 1555KIA-49921b Ostorf Zebra mussel (Dreissena polymorpha) 11806 15 ca. 1440KIA-49922b Ostorf Unidentified bivalve species 11906 25 ca. 1450

    aRadiocarbon results for samples collected in 2011 and reported in Fernandes et al. (2013).b Radiocarbon results from an ongoing study (samples collected in 2012/2013).

    DIET RECONSTRUCTION OF THE OSTORF POPULATION 7

    American Journal of Physical Anthropology

  • no Leibniz Lab animal dates could be obtained, reportedhuman dietary RREs represent the age differencebetween humans dated at the Leibniz Lab and animalsdated at the Aarhus Lab. Four of the five samples datedboth at the Aarhus Lab and the Leibniz Lab agree. Onlythe animal tooth from grave 196108 (AAR-10597)shows a statistically significant difference in agebetween the labs. The animal sample AAR-10597, previ-ously measured by Olsen et al., gave the youngest dateof all the samples, making it a clear outlier (Table 3).Olsen et al. reported some doubts on its reliability, giventhe poor preservation of the sample material. There isno general agreement between the radiocarbon measure-ments reported by the Utrecht Lab and the Leibniz Lab.Six of the nine human bone results of the Utrecht Lab(graves 190401, 193503, 193504, 196104, 196105,and 196109) are significantly younger (by 2.97.2r)than the Leibniz Lab results for the same individuals.No direct comparisons between the Utrecht and Aarhuslab results are possible. Among the samples showingthe largest disagreements between the Leibniz andUtrecht laboratories were those from graves 193503and 193504. In the study by Olsen et al., the associ-ated pairs from these graves (Table 3) indicated nega-tive human dietary RREs (radiocarbon dates fromhumans younger than those from associated animalremains), which suggests that the Utrecht results weretoo young, possibly due to incomplete removal of ayounger contaminant (e.g., humic acids). Overall theresults from the different laboratories confirm a patternof significant human dietary RREs in the Ostorf popu-lation. Some significant differences between the twostudies, in particular a major outlier (grave 196109)

    that showed a reservoir effect of 782672 yr, warrantfuture investigation.Radiocarbon results for the flesh of modern fish and

    mussels from lakes Schwerin and Ostorf were reportedpreviously (Fernandes et al., 2013) and are given inTable 4. Included are also new radiocarbon dates froman ongoing study that collected bivalve samples from thesame lakes during the second half of 2012 and the firsthalf of 2013. Atmospheric nuclear weapons tests, carriedout mostly between 1954 and 1963, have produced sig-nificant amounts of 14C. Thus, post 1954 AD atmos-pheric 14C concentrations are higher than 100 pMC(percent modern carbon) and their radiocarbon ageshave negative values. The atmospheric radiocarbonage for 2011 was ca. 2320 yr and ca. 2260 yr duringlate 2012 and early 2013. The RRE of aquatic species isthe difference in 14C concentration between the contem-porary atmosphere and the aquatic sample. Thus, to cal-culate the reservoir age of fish and bivalve samplescollected in 2011 it is necessary to add ca. 320 yr toreported radiocarbon ages and 260 yr to samples col-lected during late 2012 and early 2013 (Table 4). Thereservoir ages for Lake Schwerin are, in most cases ca.550 yr with a single eel specimen as an outlier (KIA-46307). This eel also has a high d15N (Table 1) and theolder radiocarbon age has been linked to probable die-tary specialization in planktivorous fauna; remainingspecies are probably associated with a pelagic food webwith radiocarbon ages similar to those of the aquaticflora (see Fernandes et al., 2013 for further details).This is corroborated by the agreement in 14C agesbetween the fish species and the zebra mussel fromLake Schwerin, given that zebra mussels primarily

    TABLE 5. Estimates generated by FRUITS for average isotope values of the Ostorf population and for each dietary scenario

    Scenario 1a Scenario 2b Scenario 3c Scenario 4d

    Food (%)Plant 65617 616 18 566 15 586 17T. animals 23615 296 17 286 15 296 18Fish 1268 106 8 166 9 136 9

    Fraction (%)Bulk 5061 506 0 506 1 506 0Protein 1163 106 3 126 3 116 3Carbs/Lipids 3963 406 3 386 3 396 3Methionine 060 06 0

    Proxy (Food) (%)13Ccoll (Plant) 57617 536 18 476 14 496 1613Ccoll (T. animals) 25615 336 18 306 15 326 1913Ccoll (Fish) 18611 146 11 236 11 186 1115Ncoll (Plant) 35615 286 14 256 10 246 1115Ncoll (T. animals) 31618 446 21 346 17 416 2215Ncoll (Fish) 34615 286 18 406 15 366 1913Cbioa (Plant) 65617 616 18 566 15 586 1713Cbioa (T. animals) 23615 296 17 286 15 296 1813Cbioa (Fish) 1268 106 8 166 9 136 934Smeth (Plant) 30617 226 13 34Smeth (T. animals) 42620 456 19 34Smeth (Fish) 28615 326 15

    Ostorf - Estimated RRE (yr) 2666155 2046 163 3366 161 2686 167Schwerin - Estimated RRE (yr) 101659 786 62 1286 61 1026 63

    aPlant d15Nprotein54.5& and d34S included; b Plant d15Nprotein54.5& and d

    34S not includedc Plant d15Nprotein52.0& and d

    34S included; d Plant d15Nprotein5 2.0& and d34S not included.

    Food (%) reports the estimate of carbon/calorie dietary contribution from each food group. Fraction (%) reports the estimate of car-bon/calorie contribution from each food fraction. Proxy (Food) (%) reports the estimate of calorie/carbon contribution from each foodgroup towards each dietary proxy. The last two rows list estimated group human dietary RRE values (estimated using as referencethe aquatic RREs at Lakes Ostorf and Schwerin).

    8 R. FERNANDES ET AL.

    American Journal of Physical Anthropology

  • consume phytoplankton (Baker et al., 1998). Similarly,zebra mussel specimens from Lake Ostorf, with radiocar-bon reservoir ages of ca. 1,450 yr, should provide a refer-ence RRE value for the local pelagic fish species (seeFernandes et al., 2013 for further details).

    ESTIMATES GENERATED BY FRUITS

    Interpreting FRUITS estimates

    The interpretation of the estimates generated for par-ticular FRUITS model instances depends on how thesemodel instances were parametrized. Given that the mac-ronutrient concentrations are expressed as carbon con-tent or broadly equivalently calories, generatedestimates represent carbon or calorie contributions (theterms carbon or calorie contributions can be used inter-changeably). For the case study presented here three dif-ferent types of model estimates are generated: (1) the

    calorie contribution of each food grouprepresentedhere as Food (%); (2) the calorie contribution of eachfood fraction (bulk, protein, carbs/energy, methionine)represented here as Fraction (%); (3) the calorie contri-bution of each food group towards a specific isotopicproxy (d13Ccollagen, d

    15Ncollagen, d13Cbioapatite, d

    34Smethio-nine)represented here as Proxy (Food) (%) where Proxyis each of the isotopic proxies and Food each of the foodgroups. The different estimates are expressed as relativecontributions (adding to 100%) with an associated1-sigma uncertainty (Table 5). The estimate Food (%)expresses the relative calorie contribution of each foodgroup and is also represented in Figure 2 as probabilitydistributions or credible intervals. Likewise, the esti-mate Fraction (%) represents the relative calorie contri-bution from each food fraction. The fraction bulk wasintroduced given that the signal of the dietary proxyd13Cbioapatite is determined by the bulk d

    13C food signal.

    Fig. 2. Model estimates of calorie intake under the different dietary scenarios for the isotope mean of the Ostorf individuals(credible intervals on the right and probability distributions on the left). Boxes represent a 68% credible interval (corresponding tothe 16th and 84th percentiles) while the whiskers represent a 95% credible interval (corresponding to the 2.5th and 97.5th percen-tiles). The horizontal continuous line represents the estimated mean while the horizontal discontinuous line represents the esti-mated median (50th percentile).

    DIET RECONSTRUCTION OF THE OSTORF POPULATION 9

    American Journal of Physical Anthropology

  • For each food group, a concentration value of 100% wasassigned to the fraction bulk. The concentrations of thefractions protein, carbs/lipids, and methionine wereassigned independently and sum to ca. 100%. This sumis negligibly larger than 100% given the contributionfrom methionine. Thus the sum of all defined fractions(bulk1protein1 carbs/lipids1methionine) is ca. 200%.In the modeling process only the relative concentrationvalues are taken into account, irrespective of the unitsused to define concentration. However, the generatedestimate Fraction (%) is normalized to 100% and thus,since by definition bulk5protein1 carbs/lipids, theFraction (%) estimate for bulk contribution is necessarily50% and the remaining fraction contribution estimatesadd to 50%. From the Fraction (%) estimates the ratioprotein vs. carbs/lipids can be calculated expressing therelative carbon or calorie dietary contribution of thesemacronutrients. Finally, the estimates Proxy (Food) (%)require a specific interpretation for each of the differentisotopic proxies (in FRUITS notation: 13Ccoll, 15Ncoll,

    13Cbioa, 34Smeth). As mentioned previously the carbonisotopic signal of the proxy 13Cbioa is defined by thebulk d13C food signal. Thus, the estimates generated for13Cbioa provide the same values for each food group asthe estimates given by Fraction (%). Given that the onlysource of dietary nitrogen is assumed to be protein theestimate for 15Ncoll indicates the relative calorie proteincontribution of the different food groups. It is importantto emphasize that the modeling process takes intoaccount the relative fraction concentrations irrespectiveof the units in which these are expressed (Fernandeset al., 2014b). Given that nitrogen content is similar forproteins in different foods (Merrill and Watt, 1973), rela-tive nitrogen compositions can be expressed in FRUITSas relative carbon or calorie compositions. Similarly to15Ncoll the estimates for 34Smeth indicate the relativecalorie methionine contribution from each food group.The estimates for 13Ccoll differ from those generated for15Ncoll given that 13Ccoll includes a routed carbon con-tribution from carbs/lipids. Estimated fish carbon

    Fig. 2. (Continued).

    10 R. FERNANDES ET AL.

    American Journal of Physical Anthropology

  • contribution towards 13Ccoll together with observedlocal reservoir effects are here used to provide an esti-mate of individual dietary RREs.

    Robustness of model estimates

    The values associated with each modeling parameterplus a physiological prior define specific models forwhich FRUITS generates dietary estimates. These esti-mates quantify the relative dietary intake, expressed ascarbon or calorie contributions, of plant, terrestrial ani-mals, and fish food groups. Estimates were generated forfour models corresponding to different dietary scenarios:scenario 1 (manured plants with plant d15Nprotein54.5&and with d34S proxy included); scenario 2 (manuredplants with plant d15Nprotein54.5& and with d

    34S proxyexcluded); scenario 3 (unmanured plants with plantd15Nprotein5 2.0& and with d

    34S proxy included); sce-nario 4 (unmanured plants with plant d15Nprotein52.0&and d34S proxy excluded). Under the different dietaryscenarios similar probability distributions are observedfor dietary estimates of Food (%) representing the car-bon/calorie contributions from each food group (Fig. 2).This demonstrates that the estimates generated are rela-

    tively robust under the different model parameters.Uncertainties associated with each average of estimateare in most cases above 10% (Table 5). For dietary sce-narios 2 and 4, which do not include the d34S proxy, theloss of information results in an increase in the uncer-tainty of model estimates compared with dietary scenar-ios 1 and 3.

    Accuracy of model estimates

    Given the different modeling assumptions it becomesuseful to verify the accuracy of generated estimates underthe different dietary scenarios. The dietary scenario withthe most accurate estimates should also provide the bestagreement with observed human dietary RREs. For theOstorf population group, the carbon contribution fromfreshwater fish to human bone collagen is given in Table 5and corresponds to the fish contribution towards the die-tary proxy d13Ccollagen (FRUITS code: 13Ccoll). The fishRRE at Lake Ostorf is ca. 1,450 yr, while for LakeSchwerin, the fish RRE is ca. 550 yr if the eel outlier(KIA-46307) is removed (Table 4). The average humandietary RRE in this study was 3736 144 yr with the majoroutlier removed (grave 196109). Table 5 lists, for theOstorf group, the estimated dietary RREs values relyingon the fish 13Ccoll values listed in the same table and thelocal reservoir effects at lakes Schwerin and Ostorf. Theresults show that the best agreement between observedand estimated group dietary RREs is obtained under die-tary scenario 3 and having Lake Ostorf as the mainsource of freshwater fish (Table 5). Dietary scenario 3 isalso the model providing the most precise estimates. How-ever, given the relatively large uncertainties of group esti-mates, individual estimates of human dietary RREsunder dietary scenario 3 were also made. These are repre-sented in Figure 3 and numeric values are given in Table6. Comparison of observed and estimated individual die-tary RREs shows overall a remarkably good agreementwhen considering as reference the reservoir effect at LakeOstorf (1,450 yr). In this case, the difference for 8 out of10 individuals between observed and estimated RREs issmaller than 115 yr and not statistically significant (Table6). The exceptions to the general good agreement betweenobserved and estimated values are samples KIA-46906with a difference of 2296 119 yr and KIA-46921 with adifference of 2866218 yr. However, as mentioned previ-ously, sample KIA-46921 constitutes a clear radiocarbonoutlier. With the exception of KIA-46906, the agreementis extremely poor between observed and estimated RREvalues when considering as reference the reservoir effectat Lake Schwerin (550 yr). These results support theaccuracy of model estimates provided that the reservoireffect at Lake Ostorf is taken as reference. Thus, theradiocarbon results provide also an insight into the mobil-ity patterns of the Ostorf population suggesting signifi-cant periods of residence in the vicinity of Lake Ostorf.

    DISCUSSION

    The following discussion is based on the approximateaverage values of model estimates under dietary sce-nario 3 given that this scenario provides the best consis-tency between estimated and observed human RREs.The average calorie contribution of each food group(Food (%)) for the Ostorf population was ca. 55% plants,30% terrestrial animals, and 15% fish (Table 5). Theestimate of macronutrient contribution is given by theprotein to carbs/lipids ratio of the values [Fraction (%)]

    Fig. 3. Observed (circle symbols) and estimated human die-tary RREs for the Ostorf individuals (identified by KIA number)taking as reference the reservoir effect at Lake Ostorf (trian-gles) and Lake Schwerin (square symbols). Error bars representone standard deviation.

    DIET RECONSTRUCTION OF THE OSTORF POPULATION 11

    American Journal of Physical Anthropology

  • TABLE6.Estim

    atesgeneratedbyFRUITSforeach

    Ostorfindividualunder

    dietary

    scenario3

    Human(KIA

    )46904(m

    )46906(m

    )46908(m

    )46909(m

    )46911

    (m)

    46919(m

    )46913(f)

    46915(f)

    46917(f)

    46921(f)

    Food(%

    )Plant

    63615

    49619

    37618

    57616

    51618

    50619

    45619

    55618

    72612

    63616

    T.anim

    al

    23615

    25616

    44618

    35616

    40618

    28617

    26617

    18614

    17612

    13611

    Fish

    1468

    26613

    19611

    866

    967

    22613

    28614

    27614

    1167

    24612

    Fraction(%

    )Bulk

    5061

    5061

    5061

    5061

    5061

    5061

    5061

    5061

    5061

    5061

    Protein

    1163

    1564

    1563

    1162

    1263

    1464

    1564

    1464

    1062

    1364

    Carbs/Lipids

    3963

    3564

    3563

    3962

    3862

    3664

    3564

    3664

    4062

    3764

    Methionine

    060

    060

    060

    060

    060

    060

    060

    060

    060

    060

    Proxy(Food)(%

    )13Ccoll(Plant)

    54615

    39617

    30615

    49615

    43617

    41617

    36617

    44617

    63613

    52616

    13Ccoll(T.anim

    al)

    25615

    25616

    44618

    39616

    43618

    28617

    26616

    18614

    19613

    14611

    13Ccoll(Fish)

    21611

    36615

    26614

    1268

    14610

    31615

    38616

    37615

    1869

    34614

    15Ncoll(Plant)

    31612

    19611

    1469

    29612

    25612

    21611

    17610

    23612

    39612

    27611

    15Ncoll(T.anim

    al)

    31618

    26616

    46619

    48618

    51619

    30618

    26617

    19615

    25616

    16613

    15Ncoll(Fish)

    38616

    55616

    40618

    22614

    24615

    49617

    57617

    58616

    36615

    57615

    13Cbioa(Plant)

    63615

    49619

    37618

    57616

    51618

    50619

    45619

    55618

    72612

    63616

    13Cbioa(T.anim

    al)

    23615

    25616

    44618

    35616

    40618

    28617

    26617

    18614

    17612

    13611

    13Cbioa(Fish)

    1468

    26613

    19611

    866

    967

    22613

    28614

    27614

    1167

    24612

    34Smeth(Plant)

    28615

    18613

    11610

    21614

    18613

    19613

    16612

    21613

    35616

    26614

    34Smeth(T.anim

    al)

    41620

    37619

    63617

    65617

    66618

    39620

    34618

    24616

    36620

    23616

    34Smeth(Fish)

    31616

    46617

    25614

    13610

    16612

    42618

    50617

    55617

    29615

    50617

    Observed

    RRE(yr)

    386640

    289635

    268640

    194641

    300640

    374640

    591647

    620642

    332640

    782672

    Ostorf-Estim

    atedRRE(yr)

    3016161

    5186216

    3796202

    1736121

    1996141

    4516214

    5546231

    5396223

    2596134

    4966206

    Schwerin

    -Estim

    atedRRE(yr)

    114661

    197682

    144677

    66646

    76653

    171681

    210687

    204685

    98651

    188678

    Food(%

    )reports

    theestimate

    ofcarbon/caloriedietary

    contribution

    from

    each

    food

    group.Fraction(%

    )reports

    theestimate

    ofcarbon/caloriecontribution

    from

    each

    food

    fraction.

    Proxy(Food)(%

    )reports

    theestimate

    ofcalorie/carbon

    contribution

    from

    each

    food

    grouptowardseach

    dietary

    proxy.Letters

    betweenparentheses

    infirstrowidentify

    females(f)

    andmales(m

    ).Thelast

    threerowslist

    observed

    andestimatedhumandietary

    RREvalues

    (estim

    atedusingasreference

    theaquaticRREsatLakes

    OstorfandSchwerin).

    12 R. FERNANDES ET AL.

    American Journal of Physical Anthropology

  • reported in Table 5. This provides an approximate esti-mate of the caloric contribution of each macronutrient.The estimated intake of ca. 25% dietary calorie protein

    is significantly higher than the intake observed in mod-ern western diets (ca. 15%) (Lands et al., 1990), but sim-ilar to that observed in some ethnographic studies ofhunter-gatherer populations (Cordain et al., 2000). Theresults for 15Ncoll (Food) (%) (Table 5) show that themain sources of protein calories were fish and terrestrialanimals at ca. 40% and 35%, respectively. Plant foodsrepresented ca. 25% of protein calorie contribution.The primary goal of the research presented here was

    to analyze the dietary pattrns of the Ostorf individualsas a group. However, useful information is also providedby estimated individual diets (Table 6 and Fig. 4). Theseprovide a potential use in future studies to investigate,for instance, relationships between gender or social sta-tus and dietary preferences, as the estimates show somedifferences in individual diets. For instance, althoughthe number of individuals is small, FRUITS outputs sug-gest, with the exception of KIA-46917, that women hada higher fish intake than men (Fig. 4).The overview of estimates under dietary scenario 3 for

    the Ostorf group shows that a significant, and possiblythe main, dietary calorie contribution came from plantswhile their major protein calorie contribution came fromfish and terrestrial animals. A high caloric dependenceon plant foods is unusual in hunter-gatherers at suchhigh latitudes (>508 N) (Cordain et al., 2000). There are,however, historical analogues that show that a diet richin protein is compatible with a caloric intake predomi-nantly from plant foods. For instance, it is well-knownfrom historical records that medieval Europeans oftenhad a high protein intake from meat and fish while foodsproduced from cereals (e.g., bread, ale) were the mainsource of energy (Dyer, 1988; Harvey, 1993; Woolgar,2010). Fish consumption was particularly high duringthe medieval period and isotope analysis of medievalindividuals often shows values similar to those observedin the Ostorf individuals (e.g. Bayliss et al., 2004; Yoder,2012). The best estimate performance under dietary sce-nario 3 would suggest that unmanured plants were con-sumed. However, model estimates under dietaryscenarios 1 and 3 are similar and thus it is not possibleto securely establish if the dietary contributions of plantfoods corresponded to manured or unmanured plants.The latter could also include wild plants, the consump-tion of which has been established for the Mesolithicperiod in northern Europe (Kubiak-Martens, 1996;Kubiak-Martens, 1999). Significant periods of residencein the vicinity of Lake Ostorf are suggested by the over-all agreement between the estimates of the fish contribu-tions towards bone-collagen carbon and the localreservoir effect (Fig. 3). Thus the Ostorf population,while within a spatially and temporally Neolithic con-text, adopted some Neolithic cultural elements, but fol-lowed a subsistence strategy with aspects more oftenassociated with a hunter-gatherer diet.Large isotope studies have shown that there is, in gen-

    eral, a significant shift in modes of subsistence followingthe Mesolithic-Neolithic transition with a decrease inthe consumption of aquatic resources (Tauber, 1981;Richards et al., 2003b). However, local adaptations thatdeviate from the general pattern have also beenobserved from human isotope studies and the analysis ofarchaeological material evidence (Liden, 1995; Craiget al., 2011; Bollongino et al., 2013). The Ostorf casestudy represents such an example of an adaptation tolocal natural resources and shows that there was a richdiversity of subsistence strategies during the Neolithic.

    Fig. 4. Individual model estimates of calorie intake,expressed as credible intervals, for dietary scenario 3 (plantd15N5 2&). Boxes represent a 68% credible interval (correspond-ing to the 16th and 84th percentiles) while the whiskers repre-sent a 95% credible interval (corresponding to the 2.5th and97.5th percentiles). The horizontal continuous line represents theestimated mean while the horizontal discontinuous line repre-sents the estimated median (50th percentile). Mars symbol indi-cates a male while the Venus symbol indicates a female.

    DIET RECONSTRUCTION OF THE OSTORF POPULATION 13

    American Journal of Physical Anthropology

  • CONCLUSIONS

    The diet of the Ostorf pre-historic population was esti-mated using a novel approach that included the use ofthe Bayesian mixing model FRUITS. The dietary esti-mates were tested considering dietary scenarios with dif-ferent model parameters and values. Generatedestimates were not overly sensitive to model modifica-tions, confirming the robustness of the results. Theseresults indicate that, in general, the individuals studiedhad a diet with a high protein intake and relied princi-pally on fish and terrestrial animals as their proteinsources. Model estimates also suggest that plant foodsrepresented a significant, possibly the main, source ofcalories. However, the uncertainties associated with esti-mates do not allow for a definitive statement. Observeddietary RREs are in good agreement with generated esti-mates using the local aquatic reservoir effect at LakeOstorf, and incompatible with model estimates if a muchlower or higher local aquatic reservoir effect is applied.Thus the radiocarbon results provide an insight into themobility patterns of the Ostorf population suggestingthat the prehistoric individuals spent a significantamount of time in the vicinity of Lake Ostorf. Overallthese results describe a population chronologicallywithin the local early and middle Neolithic that adopteda subsistence strategy that involved a major proportionof fishing and hunting.

    ACKNOWLEDGMENTS

    The authors thank two anonymous reviewers for theirconstructive comments, which helped us to improve themanuscript. They thank Dr. JohnMeadows for his insight-ful feedback and English revision and Dr. Harald Lubkefor providing additional background information on theOstorf individuals. Finally, they thank Dr. Detlef Jantzen,Prof. Dr. Friedrich Luth, and Prof. Dr. Thomas Terbergerfor providing access to the archaeological material.

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