ffd malaysia2[1]

SOPs FOR FLOOD FORECASTING/ EARLY WARNINGS

AND

DESSIMINATIONS

M.AKRAM ANJUM

Director

PAKISTAN METEOROLOGICAL DEPARTMENT

FLOOD FORECASTING DIVISION

LAHORE-PAKISTAN

Monsoon Season in Pakistan

(15th June to 15th October )

• Pre Monsoon 15th June to 15th July

• Monsoon 16th July to 15th Sept

• Post Monsoon 16th Sept to 15th Oct

Monsoon Season

StakeholdersProvincial Irrigation and Drainage Authority (PIDA)

National Disaster Management Authority (NDMA)

Water And Power Development Authority (WAPDA)

Provincial Relief Organization

Pakistan Army

Pakistan Commissioner for Indus Waters (PCIW)

Emergency Relief Cell (ERC)

Federal Flood Commission (FFC)

WAPDA TELEMETRIC STATIONS NETWORK

(Data Received through Meteoroburst System)

Specialized Early Warning Centres of PAKISTAN

National Weather Forecasting Centre

Islamabad(NWFC)

National Drought Monitoring & Early

Warning CentreIslamabad(NDMC)

National Seismic Monitoring &Tsunami Early Warning Centre

Karachi(NTWC)

Marine Meteorology & Tropical Cyclone Early

Warning CentreKarachi(TCWC)

Flood Forecasting DivisionLahore (FFD)

Flood Forecasting & Warning Centre

For Lai Nullah BasinIslamabad

Processing at FFD LahoreMnaual

Computer Models

National Data PMD

WAPDAIrrigitaion Dept

InternationalDataPCIWWMO

ProductFlood Forecast & Warnings

Dessimination

FFD provides qualitative forecast minimum 24-36 hours in advance of actual precipitation indicating the intensity of rain bearing system (Bulletin A & B daily basis)

FFD provides quantitative forecast about 12-hours in advance of actual peak describing range of peak and minimum & maximum volume of flood hydrograph

(Significant flood forecast/ warning) when it is required

SOP FOR ISSUANCE OF FLOOD FORECAST FOR STAKEHOLDERS

According to SOP Data available on PMD Website for users

http://www.pakmet.com.pk/ (Click Flood Update)

•Qualitative Forecast (Bulletin-A)•Quantitative Forecast (Bulletin-B)•Significant Flood Forecast (Warning)•Dams Flow•Hydrological Data /Hydrographs•Rainfall•Historical Peaks•Other Relevant Information

http://www.pakmet.com.pk/

CONTENTSCONTENTS OF BULLITEN A&B AS PER SOPs CONTENTSCONTENTS OF BULLITEN A&B AS PER SOPs




CONTENTS OF BULLITEN A&B

AS PER SOPs

CONTENTS OF BULLITEN A&B

AS PER SOPs

GOVERNMENT OF PAKISTAN

PAKISTAN METEOROLOGICAL DEPARTMENT

FLOOD FORECASTING DIVISION 46-JAIL ROAD LAHORE-54000

BULLETIN No. A-078 1. Federal Minister, Water & Power, Islamabad. 2. Governor (All Provinces). 3. Chairman NDMA., Islamabad. 4. Chief Minister (All Provinces). 5. Secretary, Ministry of Defence, Rawalpindi. 6. Secretary, Ministry of Water & Power, Islamabad. 7. Secretary, Ministry of Information, Islamabad. 8. Chairman NHA, Islamabad. 9. Chief Secretary (All Provinces & AJK). 10. PDMA’S( D.G’S, All Provinces & AJK). 11. Administrator & Chief Secretary, Gilgit-Baltistan 12. Chairman, Indus River System Authority, Islamabad. 13. Chairman, Federal Flood Commission, Islamabad.

14. Commissioner for Indus Waters, Lahore. 15. Relief Commissioner, (All Provinces & A.J.K). 16. The Secretary General, Pakistan Red Crescent Society, Islamabad. 17. Secretary, Irrigation Department, (All Provinces). 18. D.G. Relief, (All Provinces). 19. D.G. Emergency Relief Cell, Cabinet Division, Islamabad. 20. Chief Engineer, Mangla/Tarbela/Chashma. 21. Chief Engineer, Irrigation (All Provinces). 22. Chief Engineer, (All Barrages). 23. Chief Engineer, C.D.O. (Muzaffarabad). 24. All concerned D. C. Os.

SUBJECT:- FLOOD SITUATION AND WEATHER FORECAST FOR NEXT 24 HOURS: I. FLOOD SITUATION:

River Indus at Kotri is in Exceptionally High Flood and falling. River Indus at

Guddu & Sukkur is in High Flood. River Kabul at Nowshera & River Chenab at

Punjnad are in Low Flood.

II. HYDRO METEOROLOGICAL FEATURES:

(a) Seasonal low lies over Balochistan with its trough extends Southeast Sindh.

(b) Moist current from Bay of Bengal is penetrating into Punjab and Kashmir upto 3000

feet.

(c)

III. FORECAST: Scattered thundershowers is expected over sub-mountainous areas of Punjab, Southeast Sindh

and Kashmir.

IV. RAINFALL RECORDED(MM) DURING PAST 24 HRS (UPTO 0800 PST):

NIL. V. WEATHER OUTLOOK FOR NEXT 48-HOURS:

Scattered thundershowers is expected over Punjab, Khyber Pakhtunkhwa, Gilgit-Baltistan and

Kashmir.

Web Site Address:- www.pakmet.com.pk (Flood Update) Duty Officer 24 hrs. Phone: LHR 99200139, 99201238 99201244, 99205159, 99205160

(M. AKRAM ANJ UM) Chief Meteorologist

Ph. Office : 042-99200208 Fax: 042-99200209

Dated:- 31st Aug, 2010 Time:- 09: 45 hours (PST)

GOVERNMENT OF PAKISTAN PAKISTAN METEOROLOGICAL DEPARTMENT

FLOOD FORECASTING DIVISION 46-JAIL ROAD LAHORE-54000

BULLETIN No. B-078 WEATHER/RAINFALL FORECAST FOR NEXT 24 HRS:

RIVERS Upper Catchments (Above Rim Stations)

Lower Catchments (Below Rim Stations)

INDUS Mainly Dry

Scattered thundershowers (Rawalpindi Division)

JHELUM Scattered thundershowers Mainly Dry (Sargodha Division)

CHENAB -do- Scattered thundershowers (Gujranwala Division)

RAVI -do- Mainly Dry (Lahore Division)

SUTLEJ -do- -do- (B. Pur Divisions)

FLOOD FORECAST OF GAUGING STATIONS (IN THOUSANDS OF CUSECS)

RIVERS Stations Design Capacity

Actual Observations at 0600 PST Computerized Forecast for Next 24 hrs. ( Inflow )

Forecasted Flood Level

( Inflow )

Danger Level (Very High Flood)

Inflow Outflow INDUS Tarbela 1500 169.0 178.2 170-185 Below Low 650 Kalabagh 950 219.9 214.9 No significant change -do- 650 Chashma 950 179.1 177.7 -do- -do- 650 Taunsa 1000 241.0 237.0 200-230 -do- 650 Guddu 1200 565.6 550.8 565 F 510 High 700 Sukkur 900 541.7 496.8 530-540 -do- 700 Kotri 850 832.6 820.7 830 F 790 Exceptionally High

to Very High 650

Kabul Nowshera - 46.4 46.4 40-45 Below Low 200 JHELUM Mangla 1060 42.8 43.0 35-45 -do- 225 Rasul 850 32.5 31.2 No significant change -do- 225 CHENAB Marala 1100 66.5 53.4 50-80 -do- 400

Khanki 800 48.7 42.2 No significant change -do- 400 Qadirabad 807 44.7 37.7 -do- -do- 400

Trimmu 645 118.4 113.2 -do- -do- 450 Punjnad 700 159.6 146.9 160-175 Low 450

RAVI Jassar 275 4.1 4.1 No significant change Below Low 150 Shahdara 250 8.2 8.2 -do- -do- 135 Balloki 225 26.5 0.0 -do- -do- 135 Sidhnai 150 26.7 13.7 -do- -do- 90 SUTLEJ G.S.Wala -- 11.0(feet) (Gauge only) -do- -do- 25.3 (Feet) Sulemanki 325 35.9 22.9 -do- -do- 175 Islam 300 18.4 15.9 18-25 -do- 175 Isolated=20 to 30% of area Scattered= 30 to 50% of area Widespread= 90 to 100% of area R= Rising F= Falling www.pakmet.com.pk (Flood Update)

Duty Officer 24 hrs. Phone: LHR 99200139, 99201238 99201244, 99205159

99205160

Dated:- 31st Aug, 2010 Time:- 09 :50 hours (PST)

(M. AKRAM ANJ UM) Chief Meteorologist

Ph. Office : 042-99200208 Fax: 042-99200209

DAMS POSITION (0600 PST)

TARBELA Level:- 1550.00 Feet

Max. Conservation Level: 1550.00 Feet

MANGLA Level:- 1206.00 Feet

Max Conservation Level: 1210.00 Feet

SOP FOR ISSUANCE OF FLOOD FORECAST FOR STAKEHOLDERS

CAT – I

3 - 5 LAC

Cusecs

FLOODS DUE TO THE INTENSITY OF THE SW

& SE MONSOON CURRENTS

CAT – II

5 - 7 LAC

Cusecs

FLOODS DUE TO THE INDIRECT EFFECT OF

MONSOON DEPRESSION

CAT – III

ABOVE 7

LAC Cusecs

FLOODS DUE TO THE DIRECT EFFECT OF

MONSOON DEPRESSION

BLUE ALERT

YELLOW ALERT

RED ALERT

Depression at Rajhastan

Turning towards the catchment

Arrives in the catchments of Eastern Rivers

SOPs Between PMD& Stakeholders for Mangla Dam

DBLUE ALERT

D

BLUE ALERT

YELLOW ALERT

D

BLUE ALERT

YELLOW ALERT

RED ALERT

Category – I

Floods (3-5 Lac cusecs)

Category – II

Floods (5-7 Lac cusecs)

Category – III

Floods(Above 7 Lac cusecs)

Dissemination of Flood Forecast as per SOPs

Fax Machines ( More than 200 Agencies)

Web service

SMS Service

Telephone Service

Electronic Media

(i) Tickers & Beepers on TV

(ii) Live & in Camera interviews

(iii) Live briefing about Disaster on TV in a Special

Transmission for disasters.

Print Media( daily Press Conference is conducted in the evening during Flood

disaster and others)

SMS Messenger

Duty Forecasting Officer

Data Dissemination

Fax to National Agencies

Fax to Provincial Authorities

Fax to Media

Disaster Management Authorities

Federal & Provincial Relief Agencies

Print and Electronic Media

Internet & E-mail realtime transmission

mailto:[email protected]

mailto:[email protected]

Dissemination of Flood Forecast as per SOPs

Radio Pakistan and FM channels

E-mails to concerned with disasters

Coastal Radio (ASK)

Flood Forecast By Fax/Phone

S.No. Agency1 Federal Minister, Water & Power, Islamabad2 Chairman NDMA, P.M. House.3 The Secretary Ministry of Defence4 The Chairman/Chief Engineering Adviser,Federal Flood Commission, Islamabad.

5 The Secretary, Ministry of Information, Islamabad.6 The Secretary, Ministry of Water & Power Islambad.

7 The Sectretary, Planning Islamabad.8 Emergency Relief Cell, Cabinet Division, Islamabad.

9 NPCC, WAPDA, Islamabad.10 D.G.Met. S., Islamabad11 Indus River System Authority, Islamabad.12 Radio Pakistan, Islamabad.13 PTV Director, Islamabad.14 Brig. Ilyas,The Secretary General, Pakistan Red Cresent Society

Region-Federal (Islamabad)

WEATHER / FLOOD FORECAST TO

Region - Punjab

S.No. Agency Phone No. Fax No.

1 Chief Minister, House 99203131-33 99203224, 99203229

2 (GHQ) Engineers , Pakistan Army, Rawalpindi. 051/56133405,56133527 051/56133024,56131768

3 Chief Secretary, Punjab, Lahore. Off:99212121/Res:9200886 37324489

4 Secretary Irrigation, Punjab, Lahore. 99212117-18 99212116- 37324489

5 Army Flood Relief Centre, Rawalpindi 051/56133527

6 Secretary, Comm. & Works. Deptt., Lahore. 99210454 99210454, 99210453

7 Director General (Relief), 99210782, 99204406 99204405

8 Relief Commissioner Flood Punjab 99210780-81 99204439

9 Administrator LMC Lahore 99211022, 99211029 99211050-99211590

10 Commissioner, Lahore. 99211003-04, 99214332 99214334

11 Pakistan Commissioner for Indus Water, Lahore 99212789-790 99212783,4,5

12 DCO, Lahore. 99210910 99211006

13 D.C.Office, Kasur. 0499250162,152 9250162

14 D.C.Gujranwala. 0431/9200022-23 0431/9200021

15 H.Q. Engineers 4-Corps, Lahore Cantt. 366992360 366992370-60

16 H.Q.Engineer CORPS, Gujranwala. 0431/269/2232 0431/269/3310

17 Member, WAPDA (Water), Lahore. 99202226 99202485

18 Chief Eng. Pak. Railway Lahore 99201699/9201660 99201760

19 Chief Eng. D&F (Ferozepur Road) Lahore 35862671 35862081 (Res) 35421537

20 Chief Eng. Irrigation Deptt. LHR 99212085-86 99212084

21 Director Flood Punjab, LHR 5862081

22 Director Hydrology Flood Drainage, LHR 5169430 5169727

23 Xen Design Railway HQ LHR 9201760

24 Xen Narowal 0542412374 0542 / 411684

25 Xen Marala 0523-502102 0523/ 502120

26 Divisional Sup. Railway LHR 9201961

27 Supt. Eng. Upper Chenab Canal, LHR 6826804 6867198

28 Supt. Eng. Dipalpur Canal Circle, LHR 6825510

29 Supt. Eng. Drainage Circle, LHR 6823627 6864205

30 Supt. Eng. Link Canal Bank Dharampura , LHR 6864205

31 Director Press & Information LHR 9201371 9201374

32 Xen Pasroor 052-9250088 052-9250089

33 Consultant Irrigation & Power Deptt. 9212134 9211554, 9212116

34 Flood Warning Centre, Lahore. 7572091 7572091-93

35 WASA, Lahore. 5756739- 5712219 5752960

36 NESPAK, Lahore - 99231940

37 W.R.M.D. WAPDA, Lahore. 99202483,99202598 99204031

38 APP, Lahore. 9201566-67 9201563

39 PTV., Lahore. 9200617-19 9200620/9200612

40 PPI, Lahore. 7562226-27 7562225

41 Radio Pakistan, Lahore. 9200674 9200685

42 Daily Nawa-I-Waqt, Lahore (Mr. ShoaibudDin) 6367551 6367583

43 Daily DAWN, Lahore (Mr. Intikhab Hanif). 5758120-25 5711879

44 Daily Awaz ( Mr. Javed Farooqi) 6367480-84 6361026

45 Daily Jang ( Mr. Zahid Ali Khan) 6362316, 6309762

46 Daily Nation ( Mr. Latif Ather Rana) 6367551-4 6367583, 6367005

47 H.Q. 15 Div. Sialkot (only significant forecast) 052-5713231

48 AGRICULTURE DEPTT. 9211796

WEATHER / FLOOD FORECAST TO DISTRICT COORDINATION OFFICERS BY FAXS.No. DISTRICT CODE PHONE FAX

1 BHAKKAR 04653 412688 413161

2 BHAWALNAGAR 0631 74547-48 71773

3 BHAWALPUR 0621 9250061-62 9250064

4 D.G.KHAN 0641 462119-462121 463288

5 FAISALABAD 041 9200205-06 9200301-9200212

6 GUJRANWALA 0431 9200051-52 9200043

7 GUJRAT 0433 9260010 9260016

8 HAFIZABAD 0438 521784 521075

9 JHANG 0471 625881 613000

10 JHELUM 0541 623733 623834

11 KASUR 0492 9250143 9250162

12 KHANEWAL 0692 52600 53961

13 KHUSHAB 0454 720626-721421 720469

14 LAHORE 042 9211003-04 9200286

15 LAYYAH 0694 43703-04 413702

16 LODHRAN 06517 62710-61074 62460

17 MANDI BAHAUDDIN 0546 504220 504100

18 MULTAN 061 9200042 9200043

19 MUZAFFARGARH 0661 423699 423959

20 NAROWAL 0542 9200027 9200032

21 OKARA 044 521925 528411

22 PAKPATTAN 0443 74198 71035-71023

23 R.Y.KHAN 0731 9230266-(9230277Res) 9230267

24 RAJANPUR 06516 689131 688492

25 SAHIWAL 0441 62482 221058

26 SARGODHA 0451 9230025-26 9230024

27 SHEIKHUPURA 04931 52236, 52018 52323

28 SIALKOT 0432 269624, 268590 262751


S.No. Agency Phone No. Fax No.40 Governor House, Sindh, Karachi 021/9201201-5,9201211 021/9201222,9201226

41 Chief Minister,Karachi 021/9202051-9202044 021/9202000

42 Chief Engineer Irrigation,Guddu 07057/76926 071/9310181-82

43 Chief Engineer Irrigation,Sakhar 07161/3912 071/9310181-82

44 Chief Engineer Irrigation, Kotri 0221/877426 0221-877426

45 Secretary Irrigation, Sindh, Karachi. 021/9211445-451 021/9211447

46 Relief Commissioner Sindh, Karachi 021/9203407 021/9202630

47 Add. Relief Commissioner Sindh, Hyderabad 022/9200573 022/9200569,9200479

48 5-CORPS, Karachi 021/5602360,5602362 021/5602360

49 Chief Secretary, Sindh 021/9212949-50 021/9212941

50 Pakistan State Oil021/9203792,9203870,90,9203801

021/9203767

51 Geo TV, Karachi 021/111436111 021/32636937

52 Met.HQ,Karachi 021/9261407 021/9261405

53 Local Government, katchi abadis,Karachi 021/9211537 021/9211537,9213080

54 Headquartors Corps Rescrve 5 Corps Karachi 021/34952525 021/34952542

55 D.C.O. Baddin 0227-62362,61001 0227-61471

Region - Sindh



56 Governor House, Peshawar 091/9210651-6,9210702 091/9210751,9210899

57 Chief Minister, Peshawar 091/9210712,14.9211705 091/9210707,9210409

58 Chief Secretary, Peshawar. 091/9210666 091/9210447,9210970

59 Secretary Irrigation, Peshawar. 091/9210845-601303 091/9210874-9213099

60 Secretary TA Dept. Peshawar 091/9210071 091/9210201

61 Relief Commissioner , Peshawar 091/9210338 091/9210975

62 11 Corp Peshawar 091/2012010-2012362 091/2012011,2012360

63 Flood Warning Centre, Peshawar 091/9212114 091/9211907

64 UARS, Peshawar 091/9210184 091/9210223-9210190

65 Chief Engineer, Mangla 0541/639161 0541/639162

66 Chief Engineer, Tarbela. 0995/660198 0995/660003

67 Chief Engineer, (I & P) Irrigation, Peshawar 091/9212116 091/9212116-8

68 Chief Engineer, (Dev.) Irrigation, Peshawar 091/9212123 091/9212112

69 Civil Defence Office, Peshawar 091/263158 091/263159

Region - Khyber Pakhtoonkhawa



70 Governor House, Baluchistan, Quetta 081/9202170,73,74 081/920178,9202992

71 Chief Minister Baluchistan, Quetta 081/9202061,9202281 081/9202280

72 G.C.Quetta 081-853032,4 081-853032

73 Secretary Irrigation, Baluchistan, Quetta. 081/9201074 081/9202157,9201745

74 C.E,Irrigation (South) 081/9211605 081/9211721

75 C.E,Irrigation (North) 081/9211190-9211600 081/9211601

76 Deputy Relief Commissioner Balochistan, Quetta 081-9202778 081-9202778

77 12 corps, Quetta. 081-92092362 081/92092360

78 Board of Revenue, Quetta 081-9201774 081/9201774

79 Relief Commissioner, Baluchistan 081/9201045 081/9201720

Region - Baluchistan



80 Relief Commissioner, AJK, Muzaffarabad 05822921537 921536

81 Director,C.D.O,AJK, Muzaffarabad 05822-920917 920917

82 Secretary, Works & Communication 05822-92141 921925

83 Chief Secretary 05822-921242 921982


84 Administrator c/o 05811/50200, 50212 05811/50201,50422

Relief Commissioner/Chief Secretary

Gilgit

85 Deputy Chief Executive 05811-50210 05811-521593

Region - Azad Kashmir

Region - Gilgit Baltistan

ffd malaysia2[1]

Education