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TRANSCRIPT
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Field Study Conducted by Information International Company
for Rashad Center at Adyan Foundation
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Different Voters for One Nation: Post-Elections Study Opinion Poll
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Table of Contents I. Introduction .................................................................................................................................... 3 II. Objectives ....................................................................................................................................... 3 III. Methodology ................................................................................................................................. 3 4
i. Sample Description ......................................................................................................... 3 IV. Electoral Law ................................................................................................................................ 5
V. Voting in May 2018’s Elections ...................................................................................................10
i. Non-Voting Reasons .....................................................................................................11 ii. Voting Reasons ............................................................................................................13 iii. Role in 2018 Elections .................................................................................................16
VI. Factors Underlying Voters Electoral Choice ...............................................................................16 VII. Factors Underlying Voters Choice of Preferential Vote ............................................................18 VIII. Views About the Current Parliament .......................................................................................21
IX. Civil Law and Civil Society ............................................................................................................30 X. Political/Sectarian Preferences ...................................................................................................34
XI. Religiosity and Belief ..................................................................................................................36
XII. Conclusions ................................................................................................................................46
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Different Voters for One Nation: Post-Elections Study Opinion Poll
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I. Introduction
In the context of the Lebanese parliament elections that occurred in May 2018, political
sectarianism is viewed as one of the various factors affecting fair elections in Lebanon. To
this end, Rashad Center at Adyan Foundation is organizing “Different Voter for One
Nation” project. The project includes conducting pre- and post-election studies on the role
of sectarianism on the voting behavior of Lebanese youth and first-time voters.
II. Objectives
The “Different Voters for One Nation” project aims at ensuring a civil and political
environment conductive to fair and transparent elections by shifting Lebanese’s voting
behavior from a sectarian and communitarian trend to a behavior based on pluralistic
inclusive citizenship and national public interest.
The Post-elections study will study the change in voting behavior after the May 2018
elections.
III. Methodology
In order to achieve the objectives behind the survey, Information International conducted a
survey with 1,000 respondents aged 21-28 years first time voters.
Data was collected from August 8-25, 2018, through face-to-face interviews by trained
professional interviewers.
Interviews were selected using a multi-stage probability sampling to ensure a random,
representative sample for identifying households and main respondents.
The questionnaires were distributed proportionally to the number of voters in each
governorate (Mohafaza) of Lebanon (North, Akkar, South/Nabatieh, Mount Lebanon,
Beirut and Beqaa).
Each governorate was stratified into districts (26 districts in total) and the capital city of
each district was selected for the purpose of the survey, in addition to other villages to
ensure a proper representation by confession in each caza.
The response rate was 82.6%.
The overall margin of error is +3.1% at the midranges of a 95% confidence level.
i. Sample Description
The sample consisted of 1,000 Lebanese aged 21-28 years, distributed proportionally over
the Lebanese districts as per the below table:
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Different Voters for One Nation: Post-Elections Study Opinion Poll
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Table 1: Distribution of Respondents by District
District Frequency Percent
Beirut D1 36 3.6
Beirut D2 96 9.6
Metn 48 4.8
Keserwan 25 2.5
Jbeil 22 2.2
Baabda 45 4.5
Aley 34 3.4
Chouf 54 5.4
West Beqaa 25 2.5
Rachaya 13 1.3
Zahle 47 4.7
Baalbeck 70 7
Hermel 14 1.4
Saida 17 1.7
Zahrani 30 3
Jezzine 16 1.6
Nabatieh 38 3.8
Tyre 52 5.2
Bint Jbeil 41 4.1
Marjeyoun 30 3
Hasbayya 13 1.3
Tripoli 60 6
Minieh-Dinnieh 33 3.3
Koura 15 1.5
Batroun 16 1.6
Zgharta 21 2.1
Bcharre 13 1.3
Akkar 76 7.6
Total 1,000 100.0%
The sample surveyed consisted of 52.7% males (527 respondents) and 47.3% females (473
respondents).
28.7% of the respondents are Sunni, 28.6% Shia’a, 20.3% Maronites, and 7.2% Orthodox.
The sect of the surveyed respondents is detailed in table 2 below.
Table 2: Distribution of Respondents By Sect
Religious Community Frequency Percent
Maronite 203 20.3
Orthodox 72 7.2
Catholic 47 4.7
Armenian Orthodox/ Armenian Catholic 27 2.7
Sunni 287 28.7
Shia’a 286 28.6
Druze 56 5.6
Alawi 9 0.9
Other Christian Minorities (Syriac, Latin, etc..) 13 1.3
Total 1,000 100.0%
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Different Voters for One Nation: Post-Elections Study Opinion Poll
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Table 3: Age Distribution of the Respondents
Age Frequency Percent
21 138 13.8
22 131 13.1
23 112 11.2
24 109 10.9
25 146 14.6
26 98 9.8
27 104 10.4
28 162 16.2
Total 1,000 100.0%
As indicated in Table 4 below, the largest segment of respondents surveyed have
completed university (49.6%), followed by those who have completed secondary
education (25.5%). 12% ended their education at the intermediate level up to the 9th grade;
subsequently were the respondents who completed a vocational education (8.1%),
followed by respondents who completed their Post Graduate Studies (4.8%).
Table 4: Educational Background
Highest Level of Education Completed Frequency Percent
Intermediate 120 12
Secondary 255 25.5
University (BA/BS) 496 49.6
Post Graduate Studies 48 4.8
Vocational Studies 81 8.1
Total 1,000 100.0%
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Different Voters for One Nation: Post-Elections Study Opinion Poll
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IV. Electoral Law
Responses were almost equally split between respondents who stated that, in their opinion,
the new electoral law is better than the previous one (46.6%), and those who stated the
opposite (46.8%). Another 6.6% who could not give a clear-cut answer to this question
and answered that they “Don’t Know” (Graph 1).
Graph 1: Do you think that the new electoral law is better than the previous law?
Shia’a voters were the most to report that the new electoral law is better, in their opinion,
than the previous one (59.4%). Percentages decrease significantly for the other sects and
score 46.8% among the Catholic, 44.4% among the Orthodox, 42.2% among the Sunni,
41.4% among the Maronites, while the lowest score was voiced by the Druze and
Christian Minorities where only 30.4% and 23.1% respectively mentioned that the new
electoral law adopted in 2018 elections is better than the previous one (Table 5).
Table 5: Do you think that the new electoral law is better than the previous law?- By Sect
Maronite Orthodox Catholic
Armenian
Orthodox/
Catholic
Christian
Minorities Sunni Shia`a Druze Alawite Total
Yes 41.4% 44.4% 46.8% 48.1% 23.1% 42.2% 59.4% 30.4% 44.4% 46.6%
No 51.7% 50% 46.8% 22.2% 53.8% 54% 32.9% 69.6% 44.4% 46.8%
Don’t Know 6.9% 5.6% 6.4% 29.6% 23.1% 3.8% 7.7% 0.0% 11.1% 6.6%
Total 100.0% 100.0% 100.0% 100.0% 100.0% 100.0% 100.0% 100.0% 100.0% 100.0%
Moreover, the highest rates in favor of the new electoral law were recorded in South
Lebanon First District (Saida- Jezzine) (69.7%), South Lebanon Third District
Do you think that the new electoral law that was adopted in the recent elections in May
2018 is better than the previous law? (%)
46.6 46.8
6.6
0
10
20
30
40
50
60
70
80
90
100
Yes No DK
Base: 1000
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Different Voters for One Nation: Post-Elections Study Opinion Poll
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(Nabatieh/Bint Jbeil/Marjeyoun/Hasbaya) (63.9%), Beqaa Second District (West
Beqaa/Rachaya) (55.3%), Baalbeck/Hermel (52.4%) and Akkar (51.3%).
On the other hand, the lowest rates favoring the new electoral law were recorded in
Baabda (28.9%) and Beirut First District (33.3%) (Table 6).
Table 6: Do you think that the new electoral law is better than the previous law?- By
Electoral District
Beir
ut
Dis
tric
t I
Beir
ut
Dis
tric
t II
Mo
un
t L
eb
an
on
`s F
irst
Dis
tric
t (K
ese
rw
an
- J
beil
)
Mo
un
t L
eb
an
on
`s S
eco
nd
Dis
tric
t (M
etn
)
Mo
un
t L
eb
an
on
`s T
hir
d
Dis
tric
t (B
aa
bd
a)
Mo
un
t L
eb
an
on
`s F
ou
rth
Dis
tric
t (C
ho
uf
- A
ley
)
So
uth
Leb
an
on
`s F
irst
Dis
tric
t
(Sa
ida
- J
ezzin
e)
So
uth
Leb
an
on
`s S
eco
nd
Dis
tric
t (Z
ah
ra
ni
- S
ou
r)
So
uth
Leb
an
on
`s T
hir
d
Dis
tric
t (N
ab
ati
eh
- B
int
Jb
eil
-
Ma
rje
yo
un
- H
asb
ay
a)
Beq
aa
`s F
irst
Dis
tric
t (Z
ah
le)
Beq
aa
`s S
eco
nd
Dis
tric
t (W
est
Beq
aa
- R
ash
ay
a)
Beq
aa
`s T
hir
d D
istr
ict
(Ba
alb
eck
- H
erm
el)
No
rth
Leb
an
on
`s F
irst
Dis
tric
t
(Ak
ka
r)
No
rth
Leb
an
on
`s S
eco
nd
Dis
tric
t (T
rip
oli
- M
inie
h -
Den
nie
h)
No
rth
Leb
an
on
`s T
hir
d
Dis
tric
t (B
sha
rri
- B
atr
ou
n -
Ko
ura
- Z
gh
arta
)
To
tal
Yes 33.3% 45.8% 40.4% 35.4% 28.9% 34.1% 69.7% 48.8% 63.9% 42.6% 55.3% 52.4% 51.3% 43.0% 40.0% 46.6%
No 41.7% 51.0% 51.1% 45.8% 71.1% 64.8% 24.2% 39.0% 25.4% 55.3% 44.7% 46.4% 43.4% 52.7% 52.3% 46.8%
DK 25.0% 3.1% 8.5% 18.8% 0.0% 1.1% 6.1% 12.2% 10.7% 2.1% 0.0% 1.2% 5.3% 4.3% 7.7% 6.6%
Total 100.0% 100.0% 100.0% 100.0% 100.0% 100.0% 100.0% 100.0% 100.0% 100.0% 100.0% 100.0% 100.0% 100.0% 100.0% 100.0%
Respondents who reported that the new electoral law was better than the previous one
backed up their opinion by stating that the new electoral law gives proper representation of
each political power in the first place (41%), fosters competition (23.2%), promotes
equality (18.7%) and allows a better representation of sects (12.4%) (Graph 2).
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Different Voters for One Nation: Post-Elections Study Opinion Poll
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Graph 2: If you think that the new electoral law is better than the previous law, Please
specify the Reason?
No significant differences were reported by gender, sect or electoral district as to the
reasons listed for preferring the new electoral law to the previous one.
On the other hand, respondents who stated that the new electoral law is Not better than the
previous law, reported various reasons for their opinion. Limiting the voter’s choice in
choosing candidates from different lists ranked first (34.8%) as the main reason for their
negative opinion about the new electoral law, followed by eliminating independent
candidates (20.1%), promoting sectarianism due to the form of electoral districts (19%),
promoting bribery (16.7%), not giving proper representation of sects (8.1%) as well as
keeping the same political class (1.3%) (Graph 3).
If you think that the new electoral law is better than the previous law, please specify the
main reason … (%)
41
23.2
18.7
12.4
3.4
1.3
0 10 20 30 40 50 60 70 80 90 100
It gives proper representation of
each political power
It fosters competition
It promotes equality
It allows better representation of
sects
It encourages the establishment
of cross-sectarian parties
Gives a chance to new
candidates
Base: 466
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Different Voters for One Nation: Post-Elections Study Opinion Poll
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Graph 3: If you do Not think that the new electoral law is better than the previous law,
Please Specify the Reason?
More females than males accused the new electoral law to eliminate independent
candidates and to limit the voters’ choice in choosing candidates for different lists (22.4%
vs. 17.8% and 37.5% vs. 32.2% respectively).
On the other hand, a higher percent of males advocated that the new electoral law
promotes sectarianism due to the form of electoral districts (22.5% of males compared to
15.5% of females), in addition to not giving proper representation of sects (10.2% of males
vs. 6% of females) (Table 7).
Table 7: If you do Not think that the new electoral law is better than the previous law,
Please Specify the Reason?- By Gender
Male Female Total
It does not give proper representation of sects 10.2% 6.0% 8.1%
It promotes bribery 15.3% 18.1% 16.7%
It eliminates independent candidates 17.8% 22.4% 20.1%
It promotes sectarianism due to the form of
electoral districts 22.5% 15.5% 19%
It limits the voter’s choice in choosing Candidates
from different Lists 32.2% 37.5% 34.8%
It kept the same political Class 2.1% 0.4% 1.3%
Total 100.0% 100.0% 100.0%
If you think that the new electoral law is Not better than the previous law, please specify
the main reason … (%)
34.8
20.1
19
16.7
8.1
1.3
0 10 20 30 40 50 60 70 80 90 100
It limits the voter's choice in choosing candidates from different
lists
It eliminates independent candidates
It promotes sectarianism due to the form of electoral districts
It promotes bribery
It does not give proper representation of sects
It kept the same political class
Base: 468
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Different Voters for One Nation: Post-Elections Study Opinion Poll
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Limiting the voter’s choice in choosing candidates from different lists was the main reason
reported in Metn (63.6%) and Beirut First District (60%) for not preferring the new
electoral law over the previous one, while eliminating independent candidates was highest
among Akkar and Keserwan/Jbeil first time voters (30.3% and 29.2% respectively).
The new electoral law was accused of promoting sectarianism due to the form of electoral
districts mainly by Beirut District 2 voters (36.7%) and Zahrani/Sour (31.2%), while
Promoting bribery was mainly mentioned in Zahle (34.6%) and Baalbeck/Hermel (33.3%).
Finally, Saida/Jezzine first time voters who do not think the new electoral law is better
than the previous one justified their opinion by reporting it does not give proper
representation of sects in the first place (37.5%) (Table 8).
Table 8: If you do Not think that the new electoral law is better than the previous law,
Please Specify the Reason?- By Electoral District
Beir
ut
Dis
tric
t I
Beir
ut
Dis
tric
t II
Mo
un
t L
eb
an
on
`s F
irst
Dis
tric
t (K
ese
rw
an
- J
beil
)
Mo
un
t L
eb
an
on
`s S
eco
nd
Dis
tric
t (M
etn
)
Mo
un
t L
eb
an
on
`s T
hir
d
Dis
tric
t (B
aa
bd
a)
Mo
un
t L
eb
an
on
`s F
ou
rth
Dis
tric
t (C
ho
uf
- A
ley
)
So
uth
Leb
an
on
`s F
irst
Dis
tric
t
(Sa
ida
- J
ezzin
e)
So
uth
Leb
an
on
`s S
eco
nd
Dis
tric
t (Z
ah
ra
ni
- S
ou
r)
So
uth
Leb
an
on
`s T
hir
d
Dis
tric
t (N
ab
ati
eh
- B
int
Jb
eil
-
Ma
rje
yo
un
- H
asb
ay
a)
Beq
aa
`s F
irst
Dis
tric
t (Z
ah
le)
Beq
aa
`s S
eco
nd
Dis
tric
t (W
est
Beq
aa
- R
ash
ay
a)
Beq
aa
`s T
hir
d D
istr
ict
(Ba
alb
eck
- H
erm
el)
No
rth
Leb
an
on
`s F
irst
Dis
tric
t
(Ak
ka
r)
No
rth
Leb
an
on
`s S
eco
nd
Dis
tric
t (T
rip
oli
- M
inie
h -
Den
nie
h)
No
rth
Leb
an
on
`s T
hir
d
Dis
tric
t (B
sha
rri
- B
atr
ou
n -
Ko
ura
- Z
gh
arta
)
To
tal
It does not give proper
representation of sects6.7% 4.1% 0.0% 4.5% 0.0% 8.8% 37.5% 6.3% 19.4% 7.7% 0.0% 2.6% 9.1% 12.2% 17.6% 8.1%
It promotes bribery 6.7% 14.3% 16.7% 4.5% 9.4% 14.0% 0.0% 0.0% 3.2% 34.6% 17.6% 33.3% 27.3% 22.4% 23.5% 16.7%
It eliminates independent
candidates13.3% 16.3% 29.2% 22.7% 28.1% 14.0% 12.5% 18.8% 29.0% 11.5% 23.5% 20.5% 30.3% 14.3% 20.6% 20.1%
It promotes sectarianism
due to the form of
electoral districts
13.3% 36.7% 16.7% 4.5% 15.6% 22.8% 12.5% 31.3% 12.9% 15.4% 17.6% 5.1% 12.1% 24.5% 17.6% 19.0%
It limits the voter’s choice
in choosing Candidates
from different Lists
60.0% 28.6% 37.5% 63.6% 46.9% 40.4% 37.5% 34.4% 29.0% 30.8% 41.2% 38.5% 21.2% 24.5% 20.6% 34.8%
It kept the same political
Class0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 9.4% 6.5% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 2.0% 0.0% 1.3%
Total 100.0% 100.0% 100.0% 100.0% 100.0% 100.0% 100.0% 100.0% 100.0% 100.0% 100.0% 100.0% 100.0% 100.0% 100.0% 100.0%
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Different Voters for One Nation: Post-Elections Study Opinion Poll
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V. Voting in May 2018’s Elections
50.8% of the surveyed first- time voters reported to have participated in the Parliamentary
Elections in May 6, 2018, compared to 49.2% who did not vote (Graph 4).
Graph 4: Did you Vote in the Recent Parliamentary Elections in May 2018?
A higher voting rate is observed among males than females in the recent Parliamentary
elections in May 2018 (54.1% for males vs. 47.1% for females) (Table 9).
Table 9: Did you Vote in the Recent Parliamentary Elections in May 2018?- By Gender
Male Female Total
Yes 54.1% 47.1% 50.8%
No 45.9% 52.9% 49.2%
Total 100.0% 100.0% 100.0%
The highest voting rates were recorded among the Alawite (66.7%), Armenians (59.3%),
Shia’a (57.3%) and Maronite respondents (53.7%), while responses were lowest among
Christian Minorities where only 23.1% reported to have voted in the recent elections in
May 2018 (Table 10).
Table 10: Did you Vote in the Recent Parliamentary Elections in May 2018?- By Sect
Maronite Orthodox Catholic
Armenian
Orthodox/
Catholic
Christian
Minorities Sunni Shia`a Druze Alawite Total
Yes 53.7% 45.8% 44.7% 59.3% 23.1% 44.9% 57.3% 48.2% 66.7% 50.8%
No 46.3% 54.2% 55.3% 40.7% 76.9% 55.1% 42.7% 51.8% 33.3% 49.2%
Total 100.0% 100.0% 100.0% 100.0% 100.0% 100.0% 100.0% 100.0% 100.0% 100.0%
Did you vote in the recent parliamentary elections in May 2018? (%)
50.8 49.2
0
10
20
30
40
50
60
70
80
90
100
Yes NoBase: 1000
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Different Voters for One Nation: Post-Elections Study Opinion Poll
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Although variations in the voting rate were detected between the electoral districts, but
these were not statistically significant.
i. Non-Voting Reasons
Respondents who did not vote in the recent elections justified their choice by not being
convinced by any list (21.5%). Lack of hope in change ranked second with 17.9%,
followed by 14% who backed up their choice by the form of the current electoral law
where they could not choose candidates from multiple lists.
Another 13.2% considered all candidates to be corrupt and hence did not vote, 11.8%
reported their lack of trust in the electoral process and 6.9% are not interested in politics.
Moreover, the form of the electoral coalitions and boycott as a means to express one’s
opinion were also listed as reasons for not voting in the recent Parliamentary Elections in
May 2018 (5.9% each) (Graph 5).
Graph 5: If you Did Not Vote, Please Specify the Main Reason?
Orthodox, Sunni and Maronite non-voters were the most to report that they did not vote
because they were not convinced by any list (28.2%, 25.3% and 24.5% respectively). On
the other hand, 31% of Druze non-voters justified their non- participation in the elections
by the fact that they lack trust in the electoral process, and another 20.7% because of the
form of the electoral law where they could not choose candidates from multiple lists.
Along the same line, 19.2% of Catholic respondents did not vote because they lack hope in
change, while the highest percent of Shia’a (17.2%) who did not vote justified their choice
by considering all the candidates to be corrupt (Table 11).
If not, please specify the main reason … (%)
21.5
17.9
14
13.2
11.8
6.9
5.9
5.9
2
0.8
0 10 20 30 40 50 60 70 80 90 100
I wasn't convinced by any list
Lack of hope in change
Because of the form of the current electoral law (I could
not choose candidates from multiple lists)
I think all candidates are corrupt
Lack of trust in the electoral process
Lack of interest in political affairs
The form of the Electoral Coalitions
Boycotting as a mean to express an opinion
My polling center was too far away from where I live
My name did not figure out on the voters' lists
Base: 492
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Different Voters for One Nation: Post-Elections Study Opinion Poll
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Table 11: If you Did Not Vote, Please Specify the Main Reason - By Sect
Maronite Orthodox Catholic
Armenian
Orthodox/
Catholic
Christian
Minorities Sunni Shia`a Druze Alawite Total
Lack of hope in
change 20.2% 23.1% 19.2% 27.3% 10% 18.4% 15.6% 10.3% 0.0% 17.9%
I wasn't convinced
by any list 24.5% 28.2% 19.2% 0.0% 20% 25.3% 16.4% 13.8% 33.3% 21.5%
Lack of interest
in political affairs 11.7% 0.0% 3.8% 0.0% 10% 5.1% 10.7% 0.0% 0.0% 6.9%
I think all
candidates are
corrupt
11.7% 12.8% 15.4% 18.2% 30% 10.1% 17.2% 10.3% 0.0% 13.2%
Lack of trust in
the electoral
process
4.3% 5.1% 11.5% 18.2% 10% 13.3% 13.1% 31% 0.0% 11.8%
The form of the
Electoral
Coalitions
4.3% 7.7% 3.8% 9.1% 0.0% 7.6% 3.3% 6.9% 66.7% 5.9%
My polling center
was too far away
from where I live
1.1% 0.0% 3.8% 0.0% 0.0% 3.2% 2.5% 0.0% 0.0% 2%
Because of the
form of the
current electoral
law (I could not
choose candidates
from multiple
lists)
14.9% 20.5% 15.4% 0.0% 0.0% 11.4% 15.6% 20.7% 0.0% 14%
Boycotting as a
mean to express
an opinion
7.4% 2.6% 7.7% 27.3% 10% 5.1% 4.1% 6.9% 0.0% 5.9%
My name did not
figure out on the
voters' lists
0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 10% 0.6% 1.6% 0.0% 0.0% 0.8%
Total 100.0% 100.0% 100.0% 100.0% 100.0% 100.0% 100.0% 100.0% 100.0% 100.0%
Variations in answers were also observed when looking at the answers by electoral
districts. Not being convinced by any list, as a reason for not voting, was mostly expressed
in North Lebanon second district (30.8%) and Akkar (25.6%).
Relating the fact of not voting to corrupt candidates was mainly mentioned in Zahle
(27.3%), while the form of the current electoral law where respondents could not choose
candidates from multiple lists was the main reason for not voting in West Beqaa/Rachaya
(31.6%), Baalbeck/Hermel (31.3%) and Baabda (26.1%). Lack of hope in change and the
form of the electoral coalitions were mainly mentioned Beirut First District (25% in each)
(Table 12).
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Different Voters for One Nation: Post-Elections Study Opinion Poll
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Table 12: If you Did Not Vote, Please Specify the Main Reason - By Electoral District
Beir
ut
Dis
tric
t I
Beir
ut
Dis
tric
t II
Mo
un
t L
eb
an
on
`s F
irst
Dis
tric
t (K
ese
rw
an
-
Jb
eil
)
Mo
un
t L
eb
an
on
`s
Seco
nd
Dis
tric
t (M
etn
)
Mo
un
t L
eb
an
on
`s T
hir
d
Dis
tric
t (B
aa
bd
a)
Mo
un
t L
eb
an
on
`s F
ou
rth
Dis
tric
t (C
ho
uf
- A
ley
)
So
uth
Leb
an
on
`s F
irst
Dis
tric
t (S
aid
a -
Jezzin
e)
So
uth
Leb
an
on
`s S
eco
nd
Dis
tric
t (Z
ah
ra
ni
- S
ou
r)
So
uth
Leb
an
on
`s T
hir
d
Dis
tric
t (N
ab
ati
eh
- B
int
Jb
eil
- M
arje
yo
un
-
Ha
sba
ya
)
Beq
aa
`s F
irst
Dis
tric
t
(Za
hle
)
Beq
aa
`s S
eco
nd
Dis
tric
t
(West
Beq
aa
- R
ash
ay
a)
Beq
aa
`s T
hir
d D
istr
ict
(Ba
alb
eck
- H
erm
el)
No
rth
Leb
an
on
`s F
irst
Dis
tric
t (A
kk
ar)
No
rth
Leb
an
on
`s S
eco
nd
Dis
tric
t (T
rip
oli
- M
inie
h -
Den
nie
h)
No
rth
Leb
an
on
`s T
hir
d
Dis
tric
t (B
sha
rri
-
Ba
tro
un
- K
ou
ra
-
Zg
ha
rta
)
To
tal
Lack of hope in change 25.0% 15.4% 23.5% 17.4% 21.7% 15.0% 0.0% 17.1% 22.0% 13.6% 21.1% 12.5% 7.7% 28.8% 17.1% 17.9%
I wasn't convinced by any
list8.3% 19.2% 11.8% 17.4% 13.0% 20.0% 28.6% 24.4% 22.0% 18.2% 10.5% 12.5% 25.6% 30.8% 40.0% 21.5%
Lack of interest in
political affairs0.0% 0.0% 17.6% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 35.7% 17.1% 11.9% 13.6% 0.0% 3.1% 2.6% 7.7% 8.6% 6.9%
I think all candidates are
corrupt4.2% 15.4% 11.8% 17.4% 13.0% 17.5% 14.3% 19.5% 11.9% 27.3% 0.0% 21.9% 15.4% 5.8% 2.9% 13.2%
Lack of trust in the
electoral process12.5% 23.1% 0.0% 13.0% 8.7% 20.0% 7.1% 4.9% 15.3% 0.0% 21.1% 15.6% 15.4% 1.9% 5.7% 11.8%
The form of the Electoral
Coalitions25.0% 11.5% 0.0% 4.3% 4.3% 5.0% 0.0% 2.4% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 12.8% 11.5% 2.9% 5.9%
My polling center was too
far away from where I
live
0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 2.4% 0.0% 0.0% 15.8% 3.1% 10.3% 1.9% 0.0% 2.0%
Because of the form of
the current electoral law
(I could not choose
candidates from multiple
lists)
8.3% 9.6% 17.6% 21.7% 26.1% 20.0% 0.0% 4.9% 11.9% 27.3% 31.6% 31.3% 7.7% 3.8% 11.4% 14.0%
Boycotting as a mean to
express an opinion16.7% 5.8% 17.6% 4.3% 13.0% 0.0% 14.3% 7.3% 1.7% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 2.6% 7.7% 11.4% 5.9%
My name did not figure
out on the voters' lists0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 4.3% 0.0% 2.5% 0.0% 0.0% 3.4% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% .8%
Total 100.0% 100.0% 100.0% 100.0% 100.0% 100.0% 100.0% 100.0% 100.0% 100.0% 100.0% 100.0% 100.0% 100.0% 100.0% 100.0%
ii. Voting Reasons
First time-voters who participated in the recent parliamentary elections did so in the first
place because their preferred political party was running (28.9%). Voting because ones’
preferred candidate was running ranked second (24.4%), followed by doing so out of
“national duty” (21.9%).
Other reasons were also listed but at less significant rates such as voting to induce change
(8.7%) or voting to support one’s sect (8.1%) (Graph 6).
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Different Voters for One Nation: Post-Elections Study Opinion Poll
-----------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------
Graph 6: If you Voted, Please Specify the Main Reason?
Shia’a voters reported the most that they voted because their preferred political party was
running (40.9%), so did 29.6% of the Druze and 29.4% of the Maronites.
On the other hand, more than one third of the Catholic voters (38.1%) voted because their
preferred candidate was running, while one third of the Orthodox (33.3%) reported voting
because of national duty and another equal rate of 33.3% reported doing so because their
preferred political party was running.
As for the Sunni, 26.4% of them mentioned they voted because their preferred candidate
was running and another 24% did so because it is their national duty (Table 13).
Please specify the main reason for voting … (%)
28.9
24.4
21.9
8.7
8.1
4.3
3.3
0.4
0 10 20 30 40 50 60 70 80 90 100
My preferred political party was
running
My preferred candidate was running
My national duty
For change
To support my sect
New candidates were running
Cash/services offered by a candidate
Family pressure
Base: 508
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Different Voters for One Nation: Post-Elections Study Opinion Poll
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Table 13: If you Voted, Please Specify the Main Reason?- By Sect
Maronite Orthodox Catholic
Armenian
Orthodox/
Catholic
Christian
Minorities Sunni Shia`a Druze Alawite Total
My preferred
political party
was running
29.4% 33.3% 23.8% 6.3% 0.0% 17.1% 40.9% 29.6% 16.7% 28.9%
My preferred
candidate was
running
22.9% 12.1% 38.1% 25% 66.7% 26.4% 24.4% 22.2% 16.7% 24.4%
Cash/services
offered by a
candidate
3.7% 6.1% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 6.2% 0.6% 3.7% 16.7% 3.3%
My national duty 24.8% 33.3% 28.6% 25% 0.0% 24% 15.2% 18.5% 33.3% 21.9%
To support my
sect 2.8% 3% 0% 18.8% 0.0% 11.6% 9.8% 7.4% 16.7% 8.1%
New candidates
were running 5.5% 0.0% 4.8% 25% 33.3% 1.6% 3.7% 7.4% 0.0% 4.3%
For change 10.1% 9.1% 4.8% 0.0% 0.0% 13.2% 5.5% 11.1% 0.0% 8.7%
Family pressure 0.9% 3% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.4% Total 100.0% 100.0% 100.0% 100.0% 100.0% 100.0% 100.0% 100.0% 100.0% 100.0%
Looking at the results by electoral districts, it is noted that voting because one’s preferred
political party was running was highest in South Lebanon’s Third District (41.3%) and
Beqaa’s second district (42.1%), while voting because one’s preferred candidate was
running was mainly mentioned in Keserwan/Jbeil (46.7%) and Baabda (36.4%).
Cash services offered by candidates as a reason for voting were highlighted in Akkar
(16.2%), while voting out of national duty was reported mainly in North Lebanon second
district (43.9%), North Lebanon third district (36.7%) and Akkar (32.4%). On the other
hand, voting to support one’s sect was most prevalent in Zahle (28%) and
Baalbeck/Hermel (25%) (Table 14).
Table 14: If you Voted, Please Specify the Main Reason?- By Electoral District
Beir
ut
Dis
tric
t I
Beir
ut
Dis
tric
t II
Mo
un
t L
eb
an
on
`s F
irst
Dis
tric
t (K
ese
rw
an
-
Jb
eil
)
Mo
un
t L
eb
an
on
`s S
eco
nd
Dis
tric
t (M
etn
)
Mo
un
t L
eb
an
on
`s T
hir
d
Dis
tric
t (B
aa
bd
a)
Mo
un
t L
eb
an
on
`s F
ou
rth
Dis
tric
t (C
ho
uf
- A
ley
)
So
uth
Leb
an
on
`s F
irst
Dis
tric
t (S
aid
a -
Jezzin
e)
So
uth
Leb
an
on
`s S
eco
nd
Dis
tric
t (Z
ah
ra
ni
- S
ou
r)
So
uth
Leb
an
on
`s T
hir
d
Dis
tric
t (N
ab
ati
eh
- B
int
Jb
eil
- M
arje
yo
un
-
Ha
sba
ya
)
Beq
aa
`s F
irst
Dis
tric
t
(Za
hle
)
Beq
aa
`s S
eco
nd
Dis
tric
t
(West
Beq
aa
- R
ash
ay
a)
Beq
aa
`s T
hir
d D
istr
ict
(Ba
alb
eck
- H
erm
el)
No
rth
Leb
an
on
`s F
irst
Dis
tric
t (A
kk
ar)
No
rth
Leb
an
on
`s S
eco
nd
Dis
tric
t (T
rip
oli
- M
inie
h -
Den
nie
h)
No
rth
Leb
an
on
`s T
hir
d
Dis
tric
t (B
sha
rri
-
Ba
tro
un
- K
ou
ra
-
Zg
ha
rta
)
To
tal
My preferred political
party was running8.3% 34.1% 33.3% 12.0% 9.1% 25.0% 31.6% 39.0% 41.3% 32.0% 42.1% 36.5% 21.6% 12.2% 26.7% 28.9%
My preferred candidate
was running8.3% 25.0% 46.7% 32.0% 36.4% 16.7% 31.6% 34.1% 33.3% 20.0% 15.8% 17.3% 8.1% 19.5% 16.7% 24.4%
Cash/services offered by
a candidate0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 8.0% 0.0% 4.2% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 4.0% 0.0% 1.9% 16.2% 9.8% 3.3% 3.3%
My national duty 16.7% 13.6% 16.7% 24.0% 27.3% 25.0% 15.8% 19.5% 19.0% 8.0% 21.1% 7.7% 32.4% 43.9% 36.7% 21.9%
To support my sect 8.3% 9.1% 0.0% 4.0% 4.5% 4.2% 5.3% 4.9% 1.6% 28.0% 10.5% 25.0% 10.8% 2.4% 3.3% 8.1%
New candidates were
running33.3% 11.4% 3.3% 8.0% 0.0% 14.6% 5.3% 0.0% 3.2% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 4.3%
For change 25.0% 6.8% 0.0% 12.0% 22.7% 10.4% 10.5% 2.4% 1.6% 8.0% 10.5% 11.5% 10.8% 12.2% 6.7% 8.7%
Family pressure 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 6.7% .4%
Total 100.0% 100.0% 100.0% 100.0% 100.0% 100.0% 100.0% 100.0% 100.0% 100.0% 100.0% 100.0% 100.0% 100.0% 100.0% 100.0%
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Different Voters for One Nation: Post-Elections Study Opinion Poll
-----------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------
iii. Role in 2018 lections
Most of the first-time voters in the recent parliamentary elections were only voters
(89.4%), while 10% were also delegates and 0.6% were observers (Graph 7).
Graph 7: If you Voted, What Was Your Role?
VI. Factors Underlying Voters Electoral Choice
When asked what helped them the most in their electoral choice, the political party ranked
first with 30.3% of voters mentioning it was the main determinant of their electoral choice.
Family ranked second (22.8%), followed by the field elections campaigns of candidates
(21.1%). Another 16.3% of voters mentioned that their electoral choice was based on their
own personal decision and hence, was not influenced by external factors.
Other reasons were also reported as determinants of electoral choice, but to a lesser extent,
such as social media (4.3%), candidate brokers (3.3%), audiovisual media (1.4%) and
endorsement by religious leaders (0.4%) (Graph 8).
If you voted in the recent parliamentary elections, what was your role? (%)
89.4
0.6
10
0
10
20
30
40
50
60
70
80
90
100
Voter Observer DelegateBase: 508
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Different Voters for One Nation: Post-Elections Study Opinion Poll
-----------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------
Graph 8: What Helped You the Most in your Electoral Choice?
The Political party was the main determinant of the electoral choice of the Alawite voters
(66.7%), Shia’a voters (40.9%) and Maronites (28.4%).
On the other hand, “Family” was the main determinant of the electoral choice for the
Orthodox voters (45.5%), Sunni (38.8%) and Catholic (33.3%), while the field elections
campaigns of the candidates were voiced the most by the Druze voters (37%), followed by
their political party (33.3%).
Noteworthy, is that 22% of Maronite voters and another 23.2% of Shia’a voters mentioned
that their electoral choice was their own personal decision and as such, was not influenced
by any other factor (Table 15).
Table 15: What Helped You the Most in your Electoral Choice?- By Sect
Maronite Orthodox Catholic
Armenian
Orthodox/
Catholic
Christian
Minorities Sunni Shia`a Druze Alawite Total
Field Election Campaign of a specific candidate
20.2% 9.1% 9.5% 31.2% 100.0% 20.2% 22% 37% 0.0% 21.1%
Social media 3.7% 0.0% 4.8% 6.3% 0.0% 8.5% 1.8% 7.4% 0.0% 4.3%
Audiovisual media 2.8% 0.0% 4.8% 6.3% 0.0% 0.0% 1.2% 0.0% 0.0% 1.4%
Family 19.3% 45.5% 33.3% 12.5% 0.0% 38.8% 9.1% 18.5% 16.7% 22.8%
Political Party 28.4% 30.3% 28.6% 12.5% 0.0% 19.4% 40.9% 33.3% 66.7% 30.3%
Endorsement by
religious leaders 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 1.2% 0.0% 0.0% 0.4%
Candidate brokers who negotiate with families to secure vote
3.7% 6.1% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 6.2% 0.6% 3.7% 16.7% 3.3%
Personal Decision 22% 9.1% 19% 31.3% 0.0% 7% 23.2% 0.0% 0.0% 16.3%
Total 100.0% 100.0% 100.0% 100.0% 100.0% 100.0% 100.0% 100.0% 100.0% 100.0%
What helped you the most in your electoral choice? (%)
30.3
22.8
21.1
16.3
4.3
3.3
1.4
0.4
0 10 20 30 40 50 60 70 80 90 100
Political party
Family
Field Election Campaign of a specific
candidate
Personal decision
Social media
Candidate brokers who negotiate with
families to secure vote
Audiovisual media
Endorsement by religious leaders
Base: 508
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Different Voters for One Nation: Post-Elections Study Opinion Poll
-----------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------
The majority of West Beqaa/Rachaya voters mentioned that their electoral choice was
mainly affected by their political party affiliation (73.7%). 55.8% of Baalbeck/Hermel
voters mentioned the same, as well as 56% of Zahle voters.
On the other hand, Family was the main factor to affect the choice of voters in each of
Akkar (56.8%) and North Lebanon’s Third District (43.3%).
The field elections campaigns of specific candidates, as a factor affecting their electoral
choice, was mainly voiced by Beirut voters (45.5% in District 2 and 33.3% in District 1),
as well as in Baabda (31.8%) (Table 16).
Table 16: What Helped You the Most in your Electoral Choice?- By Electoral District
Beir
ut
Dis
tric
t I
Beir
ut
Dis
tric
t II
Mo
un
t L
eb
an
on
`s F
irst
Dis
tric
t (K
ese
rw
an
-
Jb
eil
)
Mo
un
t L
eb
an
on
`s
Seco
nd
Dis
tric
t (M
etn
)
Mo
un
t L
eb
an
on
`s T
hir
d
Dis
tric
t (B
aa
bd
a)
Mo
un
t L
eb
an
on
`s
Fo
urth
Dis
tric
t (C
ho
uf
-
Ale
y)
So
uth
Leb
an
on
`s F
irst
Dis
tric
t (S
aid
a -
Jezzin
e)
So
uth
Leb
an
on
`s
Seco
nd
Dis
tric
t (Z
ah
ra
ni
- S
ou
r)
So
uth
Leb
an
on
`s T
hir
d
Dis
tric
t (N
ab
ati
eh
- B
int
Jb
eil
- M
arje
yo
un
-
Ha
sba
ya
)
Beq
aa
`s F
irst
Dis
tric
t
(Za
hle
)
Beq
aa
`s S
eco
nd
Dis
tric
t
(West
Beq
aa
- R
ash
ay
a)
Beq
aa
`s T
hir
d D
istr
ict
(Ba
alb
eck
- H
erm
el)
No
rth
Leb
an
on
`s F
irst
Dis
tric
t (A
kk
ar)
No
rth
Leb
an
on
`s
Seco
nd
Dis
tric
t (T
rip
oli
-
Min
ieh
- D
en
nie
h)
No
rth
Leb
an
on
`s T
hir
d
Dis
tric
t (B
sha
rri
-
Ba
tro
un
- K
ou
ra
-
Zg
ha
rta
)
To
tal
Field Election Campaign
of a specific candidate33.3% 45.5% 23.3% 12.0% 31.8% 27.1% 15.8% 19.5% 27.0% 24.0% 5.3% 7.7% 5.4% 12.2% 23.3% 21.1%
Social media 16.7% 4.5% 0.0% 4.0% 4.5% 10.4% 0.0% 2.4% 1.6% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 5.4% 12.2% 6.7% 4.3%
Audiovisual media 8.3% 0.0% 6.7% 8.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 3.2% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 1.4%
Family 33.3% 25.0% 6.7% 24.0% 31.8% 25.0% 5.3% 2.4% 1.6% 16.0% 21.1% 28.8% 56.8% 34.1% 43.3% 22.8%
Political Party 8.3% 22.7% 30.0% 16.0% 22.7% 20.8% 21.1% 36.6% 28.6% 56.0% 73.7% 55.8% 13.5% 24.4% 20.0% 30.3%
Endorsement by religious
leaders0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 3.2% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.4%
Candidate brokers who
negotiate with families to
secure vote
0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 8.0% 0.0% 4.2% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 4.0% 0.0% 1.9% 16.2% 9.8% 3.3% 3.3%
Personal Decision 0.0% 2.3% 33.3% 28.0% 9.1% 12.5% 57.9% 39.0% 34.9% 0.0% 0.0% 5.8% 2.7% 7.3% 3.3% 16.3%
Total 100.0% 100.0% 100.0% 100.0% 100.0% 100.0% 100.0% 100.0% 100.0% 100.0% 100.0% 100.0% 100.0% 100.0% 100.0% 100.0%
VII. Factors Underlying Voters Choice of Preferential Vote
The main factor behind the respondents’ choice to vote for a certain candidate as
preferential vote was to support a qualified candidate (37.4%), followed by supporting a
candidate of a particular political party (30.1%).
Percentages decrease significantly for other reported answers such as supporting the
strongest candidate of one’s sect (10.8%), the electoral program of the candidate (7.3%) as
well as the candidate’s offerings of cash/services (5.3%) (Graph 9).
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Different Voters for One Nation: Post-Elections Study Opinion Poll
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Graph 9: Please Specify the Main Reason for Choosing the Preferential Vote?
Supporting a qualified candidate- as a reason for choosing the preferential vote- ranked
highest among the Maronites (43.1%) and Catholics (42.9%) and to a lower extent among
the Sunni (34.1%).
On the other hand, choosing the preferential vote to support a candidate of a particular
political party mostly voiced by the Shia’a (40.9%), Druze (37%) and Orthodox (27.3%)
respondents (Table 17).
Please specify the main reason for choosing the preferential vote … (%)
37.4
30.1
10.8
7.3
5.3
1.8
0.4
0.2
0 10 20 30 40 50 60 70 80 90 100
To support a qualified candidate
To support a candidate of a particular
party
To support the strongest candidate of
my sect
The electoral program of the candidate
The candidate offered me cash/services
The independent status of the
candidate
I did not choose a preferential vote
Advice from religious leaders
Base: 508
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Different Voters for One Nation: Post-Elections Study Opinion Poll
-----------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------
Table 17: Please Specify the Main Reason for Choosing the Preferential Vote?- By Sect
Maronite Orthodox Catholic
Armenian
Orthodox/
Catholic
Christian
Minorities Sunni Shia`a Druze Alawite Total
To support the
strongest
candidate of my
sect
7.3% 12.1% 9.5% 12.5% 0.0% 17.8% 8.5% 7.4% 0.0% 10.8%
To support a
candidate of a
particular party 25.7% 27.3% 28.6% 6.3% 0.0% 22.5% 40.9% 37% 50% 30.1%
To fulfill the
desire of
parents/relatives 4.6% 15.2% 14.3% 0.0% 0.0% 10.1% 2.4% 14.8% 0.0% 6.7%
To support a
qualified
candidate 43.1% 24.2% 42.9% 75% 66.7% 34.1% 35.4% 29.6% 33.3% 37.4%
The candidate
offered me
cash/services 7.3% 9.1% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 9.3% 1.2% 3.7% 16.7% 5.3%
The electoral
program of the
candidate 9.2% 9.1% 0.0% 6.3% 33.3% 3.9% 9.1% 7.4% 0.0% 7.3%
The
independent
status of the
candidate
2.8% 3.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 2.3% 1.2% 0.0% 0.0% 1.8%
Advice from
religious
leaders 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.6% 0.0% 0.0% 0.2%
I did not choose
a preferential
Vote
0.0% 0.0% 4.8% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.6% 0.0% 0.0% 0.4%
Total 100.0% 100.0% 100.0% 100.0% 100.0% 100.0% 100.0% 100.0% 100.0% 100.0%
A closer look at the results of this question by electoral districts reveals that choosing the
preferential vote based on the candidate’s qualifications ranked first across most electoral
districts and was highest in Metn (68%), Baabda (59.1%), Beirut first district (58.3%),
Saida/Jezzine (42.1%) and Beirut second district (40.9%).
Supporting a candidate of a particular party as a reason for choosing the preferential vote
was mainly mentioned by voters in Beqaa’s second and third districts (52.6% and 42.3%
respectively), the South second and third Districts (39% and 38.1% respectively), as well
as Zahle (36%).
On the other hand, choosing the preferential vote based on supporting the strongest
candidate of one’s sect was more significant in Beqaa’s second district (21.1%) and North
Lebanon’s first district (18.9%).
Moreover, choosing the preferential vote to fulfill the desire of parents/relatives was
mostly voiced in Beirut first district (25%), while doing so because of the cash/services
offered by the candidate was highest in Akkar (21.6%). Noteworthy, is that 26.3% of
Saida/Jezzine voters reported to have chosen their preferential vote based on the electoral
program of the candidate (Table 18).
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Different Voters for One Nation: Post-Elections Study Opinion Poll
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Table 18: Please Specify the Main Reason for Choosing the Preferential Vote?- By
Electoral District
Beir
ut
Dis
tric
t I
Beir
ut
Dis
tric
t II
Mo
un
t L
eb
an
on
`s F
irst
Dis
tric
t (K
ese
rw
an
-
Jb
eil
)
Mo
un
t L
eb
an
on
`s
Seco
nd
Dis
tric
t (M
etn
)
Mo
un
t L
eb
an
on
`s T
hir
d
Dis
tric
t (B
aa
bd
a)
Mo
un
t L
eb
an
on
`s F
ou
rth
Dis
tric
t (C
ho
uf
- A
ley
)
So
uth
Leb
an
on
`s F
irst
Dis
tric
t (S
aid
a -
Jezzin
e)
So
uth
Leb
an
on
`s S
eco
nd
Dis
tric
t (Z
ah
ra
ni
- S
ou
r)
So
uth
Leb
an
on
`s T
hir
d
Dis
tric
t (N
ab
ati
eh
- B
int
Jb
eil
- M
arje
yo
un
-
Ha
sba
ya
)
Beq
aa
`s F
irst
Dis
tric
t
(Za
hle
)
Beq
aa
`s S
eco
nd
Dis
tric
t
(West
Beq
aa
- R
ash
ay
a)
Beq
aa
`s T
hir
d D
istr
ict
(Ba
alb
eck
- H
erm
el)
No
rth
Leb
an
on
`s F
irst
Dis
tric
t (A
kk
ar)
No
rth
Leb
an
on
`s S
eco
nd
Dis
tric
t (T
rip
oli
- M
inie
h -
Den
nie
h)
No
rth
Leb
an
on
`s T
hir
d
Dis
tric
t (B
sha
rri
-
Ba
tro
un
- K
ou
ra
-
Zg
ha
rta
)
To
tal
To support the strongest
candidate of my sect0.0% 11.4% 10.0% 0.0% 0.0% 6.3% 5.3% 9.8% 14.3% 16.0% 21.1% 5.8% 18.9% 17.1% 16.7% 10.8%
To support a candidate of
a particular party0.0% 27.3% 33.3% 12.0% 18.2% 29.2% 26.3% 39.0% 38.1% 36.0% 52.6% 42.3% 21.6% 26.8% 16.7% 30.1%
To fulfill the desire of
parents/relatives25.0% 13.6% 3.3% 0.0% 9.1% 10.4% 0.0% 0.0% 1.6% 4.0% 0.0% 7.7% 8.1% 9.8% 13.3% 6.7%
To support a qualified
candidate 58.3% 40.9% 33.3% 68.0% 59.1% 35.4% 42.1% 36.6% 27.0% 28.0% 26.3% 36.5% 27.0% 31.7% 46.7% 37.4%
The candidate offered me
cash/services0.0% 2.3% 0.0% 8.0% 4.5% 8.3% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 8.0% 0.0% 3.8% 21.6% 12.2% 6.7% 5.3%
The electoral program of
the candidate16.7% 4.5% 16.7% 8.0% 0.0% 4.2% 26.3% 14.6% 14.3% 8.0% 0.0% 3.8% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 7.3%
The independent status of
the candidate0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 4.0% 9.1% 4.2% 0.0% 0.0% 3.2% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 2.7% 2.4% 0.0% 1.8%
Advice from religious
leaders0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 1.6% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% .2%
I did not choose a
preferential Vote0.0% 0.0% 3.3% 0.0% 0.0% 2.1% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% .4%
Total 100.0% 100.0% 100.0% 100.0% 100.0% 100.0% 100.0% 100.0% 100.0% 100.0% 100.0% 100.0% 100.0% 100.0% 100.0% 100.0%
VIII. Views About the Current Parliament
More than one third of the first-time surveyed voters reported being “very unsatisfied” of
the structure of the current parliament (36.6%), followed closely by another 33.8% who
mentioned being “somehow satisfied”. Another 23.6% were “somehow unsatisfied” while
only 3.6% reported being “very satisfied” of the structure of the current parliament (Graph
10).
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Different Voters for One Nation: Post-Elections Study Opinion Poll
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Graph 10: What is Your Level of Satisfaction Regarding the Structure of the Current
Parliament?
Voters across all confessions- except the Shia’a and Alawite- reported being mainly “Very
Unsatisfied” of the structure of the current Parliament. Such rates of non-satisfaction were
highest among the Druze (60.7%), Catholic (46.8%) and Orthodox (45.8%).
On the other hand, the highest majority of Shia’a first time voters (49.3%) reported being
“somehow satisfied” of the structure of the current parliament, while the majority of the
Alawite (44.4%) mentioned being “somehow unsatisfied” (Table 19).
Table 19: What is Your Level of Satisfaction Regarding the Structure of the Current
Parliament?- By Sect
Maronite Orthodox Catholic
Armenian
Orthodox/
Catholic
Christian
Minorities Sunni Shia`a Druze Alawite Total
Very Satisfied 6.4% 5.6% 2.1% 0.0% 0.0% 2.8% 3.1% 1.8% 0.0% 3.6%
Somehow
Satisfied 29.6% 25% 38.3% 33.3% 7.7% 27.2% 49.3% 17.9% 33.3% 33.8%
Somehow
Unsatisfied 24.6% 20.8% 10.6% 29.6% 23.1% 28.2% 20.6% 19.6% 44.4% 23.6%
Very
Unsatisfied 36% 45.8% 46.8% 37% 69.2% 39.7% 24.1% 60.7% 22.2% 36.6%
Don’t Know 2.5% 2.8% 2.1% 0.0% 0.0% 1.7% 1.7% 0.0% 0.0% 1.8%
Refuse to
Answer 1.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.3% 1% 0.0% 0.0% 0.6%
Total 100.0% 100.0% 100.0% 100.0% 100.0% 100.0% 100.0% 100.0% 100.0% 100.0%
What is your level of satisfaction regarding the structure of the current parliament? (%)
3.6
33.8
23.6
36.6
1.8
0.6
0 10 20 30 40 50 60 70 80 90 100
Very satisfied
Somehow satisfied
Somehow unsatisfied
Very unsatisfied
DK
RA
Base: 1000
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Different Voters for One Nation: Post-Elections Study Opinion Poll
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Looking at the results of this question by electoral districts reveals that the majority of
voters in Beirut (63.9% in Beirut first district and 58.3% in Beirut second district), Baabda
(60%) and Metn (54.2%) reported being “very unsatisfied” of the structure of the current
parliament.
On the other hand, around two thirds of the voters in South Lebanon First District (63.6%)
and Beqaa’s second district (60.5%) reported being “somehow satisfied” of the current
parliament. 47.6% of voters in Beqaa’s third district reported the same, along with 44.3%
in South Lebanon’s third district, 40.4% in Zahle and 40.2% in South Lebanon’s second
district.
Along the same line, a significant rate of North Lebanon’s second and third district
reported being “somehow unsatisfied” of the structure of the current Parliament (36.6%
and 32.3% respectively) (Table 20).
Table 20: What is Your Level of Satisfaction Regarding the Structure of the Current
Parliament?- By Electoral District
Beir
ut
Dis
tric
t I
Beir
ut
Dis
tric
t II
Mo
un
t L
eb
an
on
`s F
irst
Dis
tric
t (K
eserw
an
-
Jb
eil
)
Mo
un
t L
eb
an
on
`s
Seco
nd
Dis
tric
t (M
etn
)
Mo
un
t L
eb
an
on
`s T
hir
d
Dis
tric
t (B
aa
bd
a)
Mo
un
t L
eb
an
on
`s F
ou
rth
Dis
tric
t (C
ho
uf
- A
ley
)
So
uth
Leb
an
on
`s F
irst
Dis
tric
t (S
aid
a -
Jezzin
e)
So
uth
Leb
an
on
`s S
eco
nd
Dis
tric
t (Z
ah
ra
ni
- S
ou
r)
So
uth
Leb
an
on
`s T
hir
d
Dis
tric
t (N
ab
ati
eh
- B
int
Jb
eil
- M
arje
yo
un
-
Ha
sb
ay
a)
Beq
aa
`s F
irst
Dis
tric
t
(Za
hle
)
Beq
aa
`s S
eco
nd
Dis
tric
t
(West
Beq
aa
- R
ash
ay
a)
Beq
aa
`s T
hir
d D
istr
ict
(Ba
alb
eck
- H
erm
el)
No
rth
Leb
an
on
`s F
irst
Dis
tric
t (A
kk
ar)
No
rth
Leb
an
on
`s S
eco
nd
Dis
tric
t (T
rip
oli
- M
inie
h -
Den
nie
h)
No
rth
Leb
an
on
`s T
hir
d
Dis
tric
t (B
sh
arri
-
Ba
tro
un
- K
ou
ra
-
Zg
ha
rta
)
To
tal
Very Satisfied 0.0% 2.1% 4.3% 2.1% 0.0% 2.3% 0.0% 6.1% .8% 6.4% 0.0% 3.6% 7.9% 1.1% 15.4% 3.6%
Somehow Satisfied 8.3% 20.8% 38.3% 18.8% 20.0% 22.7% 63.6% 40.2% 44.3% 40.4% 60.5% 47.6% 34.2% 32.3% 20.0% 33.8%
Somehow Unsatisfied 27.8% 18.8% 8.5% 20.8% 20.0% 26.1% 18.2% 14.6% 24.6% 23.4% 7.9% 27.4% 28.9% 36.6% 32.3% 23.6%
Very Unsatisfied 63.9% 58.3% 42.6% 54.2% 60.0% 48.9% 18.2% 35.4% 27.0% 29.8% 31.6% 19.0% 22.4% 30.1% 24.6% 36.6%
Don’t Know 0.0% 0.0% 2.1% 2.1% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 3.3% 0.0% 0.0% 2.4% 6.6% 0.0% 7.7% 1.8%
Refuse to Answer 0.0% 0.0% 4.3% 2.1% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 3.7% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% .6%
Total 100.0% 100.0% 100.0% 100.0% 100.0% 100.0% 100.0% 100.0% 100.0% 100.0% 100.0% 100.0% 100.0% 100.0% 100.0% 100.0%
More than one third of the surveyed first-time voters considered the current parliament to
be similar to the previous one (38.7%), followed by 19.4% who considered it to be more
sectarian than the previous parliament.
On the other hand, 13.8% mentioned that the current parliament is more patriotic than the
previous one, and another 13.6% reported it to be less sectarian. 7.6% considered it to be
less patriotic while 6.9% did not answer this question (Graph 11).
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Different Voters for One Nation: Post-Elections Study Opinion Poll
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Graph 11: Do You Consider the Current Parliament to be…?
A higher rate of females considered the current parliament to be similar to the previous
one (42.5% of females vs. 35.3% of males), while more males reported that the current
parliament is more sectarian than the previous one (22% of males vs. 16.5% of females)
(Table 21).
Table 21: Do You Consider the Current Parliament to be…?- By Gender
Male Female Total
More sectarian than the previous one 22% 16.5% 19.4%
Less sectarian than the previous one 13.1% 14.2% 13.6%
More patriotic than the previous one 15.7% 11.6% 13.8%
Less patriotic than the previous one 7.2% 8% 7.6%
Similar to the previous one 35.3% 42.5% 38.7%
DK/NA 6.6% 7.2% 6.9%
Total 100.0% 100.0% 100.0%
The majority of surveyed first-time voters across all confessions considered the current
parliament to be similar to the previous one, with the highest rates being recoded among
the Orthodox (48.6%), Druze (41.1%) Maronite (40.4%) and Sunni voters (39%).
On the other hand, a relatively significant percent of Druze (33.9%), Sunni (22.3%) and
Maronite (20.2%) voters also mentioned that they view the current parliament to be more
sectarian than the previous one.
Moreover, 25.5% of Catholic voters mentioned that the current parliament is less sectarian
than the previous one, while another 25.5% of Shia’a voters reported it is more patriotic
than the previous parliament (Table 22).
Do You consider the current parliament to be … (%)
19.4
13.6
13.8
7.6
38.7
6.9
0 10 20 30 40 50 60 70 80 90 100
More sectarian than the previous one
Less sectarian than the previous one
More patriotic than the previous one
Less patriotic than the previous one
Similar to the previous one
DK/NA
Base: 1000
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Different Voters for One Nation: Post-Elections Study Opinion Poll
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Table 22: Do You Consider the Current Parliament to be…?- By Sect
Maronite Orthodox Catholic
Armenian
Orthodox/
Catholic
Christian
Minorities Sunni Shia`a Druze Alawite Total
More sectarian
than the
previous one 20.2% 16.7% 17% 25.9% 7.7% 22.3% 14% 33.9% 22.2% 19.4%
Less sectarian
than the
previous one 11.8% 16.7% 25.5% 7.4% 0.0% 14.6% 13.3% 10.7% 0.0% 13.6%
More patriotic
than the
previous one 13.3% 6.9% 8.5% 7.4% 7.7% 7% 25.5% 5.4% 33.3% 13.8%
Less patriotic
than the
previous one 10.3% 8.3% 8.5% 3.7% 15.4% 9.1% 3.5% 8.9% 11.1% 7.6%
Similar to the
previous one 40.4% 48.6% 29.8% 40.7% 61.5% 39% 34.6% 41.1% 33.3% 38.7%
DK/NA 3.9% 2.8% 10.6% 14.8% 7.7% 8% 9.1% 0.0% 0.0% 6.9%
Total 100.0% 100.0% 100.0% 100.0% 100.0% 100.0% 100.0% 100.0% 100.0% 100.0%
Looking at the results of this question by electoral districts, it is clear that voters across the
majority of the electoral districts consider the current parliament to be similar to the
previous one, with the highest rates being recorded in Baabda and Beirut first district
(55.6% each), North Lebanon second district (47.3%), Beirut second district (44.8%) as
well as South Lebanon Third district (42.6%) and North Lebanon Third district (41.5%).
The current Parliament was viewed as more sectarian than the previous one mostly in
Chouf/Aley electoral district (43.2%) and, to a lesser extent in Keserwan/Jbeil (29.8%),
while 36.4% of voters in Saida/Jezzine, 26.2% in South Lebanon’s third district and
another 25.5% in Keserwan/Jbeil considered it as more patriotic than the previous
parliament.
Moreover, 31.6% of Beqaa’s second district voters reported that the current parliament is
less sectarian than the previous one, while another 35.4% of Metn voters mentioned it is
less patriotic (Table 23).
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Different Voters for One Nation: Post-Elections Study Opinion Poll
-----------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------
Table 23: Do You Consider the Current Parliament to be…?- By Electoral District
Beir
ut
Dis
tric
t I
Beir
ut
Dis
tric
t II
Mo
un
t L
eb
an
on
`s F
irst
Dis
tric
t (K
eserw
an
-
Jb
eil
)
Mo
un
t L
eb
an
on
`s
Seco
nd
Dis
tric
t (M
etn
)
Mo
un
t L
eb
an
on
`s T
hir
d
Dis
tric
t (B
aa
bd
a)
Mo
un
t L
eb
an
on
`s
Fo
urth
Dis
tric
t (C
ho
uf
-
Ale
y)
So
uth
Leb
an
on
`s F
irst
Dis
tric
t (S
aid
a -
Jezzin
e)
So
uth
Leb
an
on
`s
Seco
nd
Dis
tric
t (Z
ah
ra
ni
- S
ou
r)
So
uth
Leb
an
on
`s T
hir
d
Dis
tric
t (N
ab
ati
eh
- B
int
Jb
eil
- M
arje
yo
un
-
Ha
sb
ay
a)
Beq
aa
`s F
irst
Dis
tric
t
(Za
hle
)
Beq
aa
`s S
eco
nd
Dis
tric
t
(West
Beq
aa
- R
ash
ay
a)
Beq
aa
`s T
hir
d D
istr
ict
(Ba
alb
eck
- H
erm
el)
No
rth
Leb
an
on
`s F
irst
Dis
tric
t (A
kk
ar)
No
rth
Leb
an
on
`s
Seco
nd
Dis
tric
t (T
rip
oli
-
Min
ieh
- D
en
nie
h)
No
rth
Leb
an
on
`s T
hir
d
Dis
tric
t (B
sh
arri
-
Ba
tro
un
- K
ou
ra
-
Zg
ha
rta
)
To
tal
More sectarian than the
previous one25.0% 24.0% 29.8% 16.7% 24.4% 43.2% 3.0% 13.4% 13.1% 21.3% 13.2% 11.9% 10.5% 17.2% 21.5% 19.4%
Less sectarian than the
previous one0.0% 11.5% 2.1% 4.2% 8.9% 13.6% 12.1% 13.4% 5.7% 25.5% 31.6% 17.9% 22.4% 14.0% 23.1% 13.6%
More patriotic than the
previous one0.0% 4.2% 25.5% 6.3% 4.4% 5.7% 36.4% 20.7% 26.2% 10.6% 15.8% 23.8% 10.5% 9.7% 4.6% 13.8%
Less patriotic than the
previous one2.8% 10.4% 4.3% 35.4% 4.4% 5.7% 12.1% 7.3% 4.1% 2.1% 7.9% 4.8% 7.9% 7.5% 4.6% 7.6%
Similar to the previous one 55.6% 44.8% 31.9% 33.3% 55.6% 31.8% 27.3% 37.8% 42.6% 27.7% 26.3% 29.8% 38.2% 47.3% 41.5% 38.7%
DK/NA 16.7% 5.2% 6.4% 4.2% 2.2% 0.0% 9.1% 7.3% 8.2% 12.8% 5.3% 11.9% 10.5% 4.3% 4.6% 6.9%
Total 100.0% 100.0% 100.0% 100.0% 100.0% 100.0% 100.0% 100.0% 100.0% 100.0% 100.0% 100.0% 100.0% 100.0% 100.0% 100.0%
First time voters who considered the current Parliament more sectarian than the previous
one justified their response by stating that each MP looks to serve people from his sect
only (64.9%). Other responses were also mentioned but at much lower rates, such as the
current parliament reinforces sectarianism in the forming of the government (17%) as well
as the Lebanese sects are represented unequally in this Parliament (10.3%) (Graph 12).
Graph 12: If You Consider the Current Parliament to be More Sectarian, Please Specify
the Reason?
If you consider the current parliament to be More Sectarian than the previous one,
please specify the reason (%)
64.9
17
10.3
5.7
1
1
0 10 20 30 40 50 60 70 80 90 100
Each MP looks to serve people from
his sect only
The current parliament reinforces
sectarianism in the forming of the
Government
The different Lebanese sects are
represented unequally. Some sects
have more shares than others
Because of the new electoral law
Each sect chose its leader "Zaiim" in
the current parliament
The parliamentary committees were
divided based on sects
Base: 194
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Different Voters for One Nation: Post-Elections Study Opinion Poll
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On the other hand, the majority of voters who considered the current parliament to be less
sectarian than the previous one, backed up their opinion by reporting that the political
coalitions decreased sectarianism (72.8%). Other listed responses included an equal
presentation of services to everyone (14.7%) or the young MPs and the new ones
improved the performance of the parliament (7.4%) (Graph 13).
Graph 13: If You Consider the Current Parliament to be Less Sectarian, Please Specify the
Reason?
As for the respondents who reported a more patriotic parliament (138 respondents), 40.6%
of them said so because they thought services are presented equally to everyone, another
34.8% viewed that the situation in Lebanon is in general heading to the better and 15.9%
mentioned it is because of the young MPs and the new ones who improved the
performance of the parliament (Graph 14).
If you consider the current parliament to be Less Sectarian than the previous one,
please specify the reason (%)
72.8
14.7
7.4
3.7
0.7
0.7
0 10 20 30 40 50 60 70 80 90 100
The political coalitions decreased sectarianism
Services are presented equally to everyone
The young MPs and the new ones improved theperformance of the parliament
Because of the new electoral law
The openess of some MPs decreased the existing
sectarianism
Lack of Sectarian speech
Base: 136
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Different Voters for One Nation: Post-Elections Study Opinion Poll
-----------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------
Graph 14: If You Consider the Current Parliament to be More Patriotic, Please Specify the
Reason?
Along the same line, voters who reported a current less patriotic parliament justified their
response in the first place by their view that each MP looks to achieve personal interests
(44.7%). Another 17.1% mentioned that corruption is widespread among the MPs, 14.5%
for the current parliament did not achieve anything until now and 10.5% because of the
new electoral law adopted in the last elections (Graph 15).
If you consider the current parliament to be More Patriotic than the previous one,
please specify the reason (%)
40.6
34.8
15.9
5.8
2.9
0 10 20 30 40 50 60 70 80 90 100
Services are presented equally to
everyone
The situation in Lebanon is in general
heading to the better
The young MPs and the new ones
improved the performance of the
parliament
The party I support received the
highest number of MPs in the
parliament and as such, services have
increased
It looks to provide more security
Base: 138
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Different Voters for One Nation: Post-Elections Study Opinion Poll
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Graph 15: If You Consider the Current Parliament to be Less Patriotic, Please Specify the
Reason?
Finally, almost half of the respondents who considered the current parliament to be similar
to the previous one reported so because, in their opinion, the MPs did not change but are
still the same (48.3%), while another 22.7% mentioned that the parliament still did not
achieve anything until now (Graph 16).
If you consider the current parliament to be Less Patriotic than the previous one,
please specify the reason (%)
44.7
17.1
14.5
10.5
6.6
2.6
2.6
1.3
0 10 20 30 40 50 60 70 80 90 100
Each MP looks to achieve personal
interests
Corruption is widespread among MPs
The parliament did not achieve
anything until now
Because of the new electoral law
The parliament lacks independent
MPs
MPs are not trustworthy
MPs are busy in dividing their shares
among themselves only
Lack of harmony between the MPs
Base: 76
-
Different Voters for One Nation: Post-Elections Study Opinion Poll
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Graph 16: If You Consider the Current Parliament to be Similar to the Previous one,
Please Specify the Reason?
IX. Civil Law and Civil Society
When asked whether they support an optional civil law for personal affairs in Lebanon,
almost half of the surveyed first- time voters (48.1%) replied positively, compared to
31.9% who refused the related concept and another 20% who marked themselves as not
concerned/no difference for them (Graph 17).
If you consider the current parliament to be Similar to the previous one, please specify the
reason (%)
48.3
22.7
4.7
4.7
3.4
3.4
3.1
2.6
1.8
1.8
1.3
1
0.5
0.5
0.3
0 10 20 30 40 50 60 70 80 90 100
The MPs are still the same, they did not change
The parliament did not achieve anything until now
The same sects are present in the parliament
They do not keep their promises and they plan things the wrong
way
Corruption is widespread among MPs
MPs are not trustworthy
A sectarian Parliament
Each MP looks to achieve personal interests
The sons of some MPs are replacing them in the current
Parliament
MPs are busy in dividing their shares among themselves only
Don't know/No Answer
It reinforces unemployment
Each MP looks to serve people from his sect only
It enact laws that impose on the population to elect specific persons
The parliament lacks independent MPs
Base: 387
-
Different Voters for One Nation: Post-Elections Study Opinion Poll
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Graph 17: Do You Support an Optional Civil Law for Personal Affairs in Lebanon?
Gender differences were noticed concerning this question. Male first-time voters seem to
be more supportive of an optional civil law for personal affairs in Lebanon than females,
with 52.9% of males replying positively to this question compared to 42.7% of females
(Table 24).
Table 24: Do You Support an Optional Civil Law for Personal Affairs in Lebanon?- By
Gender
Male Female Total
Yes 52.9% 42.7% 48.1%
No 28.3% 35.9% 31.9%
No Difference/Not Concerned 18.8% 21.4% 20.0%
Total 100.0% 100.0% 100.0%
The highest rates of support for an optional civil law for personal affairs in Lebanon was
recorded among the Catholic (70.2%), Druze (69.6%), Maronite (64.5%) and Orthodox
(58.3%) respondents, while the lowest rates of support for such a law were recorded
among the Shia’a (44.4%) and Sunni (30.3%) voters (Table 25).
Table 25: Do You Support an Optional Civil Law for Personal Affairs in Lebanon?- By Sect
Maronite Orthodox Catholic
Armenian
Orthodox/
Catholic
Christian
Minorities Sunni Shia`a Druze Alawite Total
Yes 64.5% 58.3% 70.2% 44.4% 69.2% 30.3% 44.4% 69.6% 11.1% 48.1%
No 16.3% 27.8% 8.5% 25.9% 15.4% 54% 30.1% 14.3% 44.4% 31.9%
No
Difference/Not
Concerned 19.2% 13.9% 21.3% 29.6% 15.4% 15.7% 25.5% 16.1% 44.4% 20.0%
Total 100.0% 100.0% 100.0% 100.0% 100.0% 100.0% 100.0% 100.0% 100.0% 100.0%
Do you support an optional civil law for personal affairs in Lebanon? (%)
48.1
31.9
20
0 10 20 30 40 50 60 70 80 90 100
Yes
No
No difference/Not concerned
Base: 1000
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Different Voters for One Nation: Post-Elections Study Opinion Poll
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Voters in Beirut first district, Baabda and Chouf/Aley districts voiced the most their support
of an optional civil law for personal affairs in Lebanon (75%, 71.1% and 70.5%
respectively).
On the other hand, the lowest rate of support for such a law were recorded in
Baalbeck/Hermel (19%) and West Beqaa/Rachaya Districts (13.2%) (Table 26).
Table 26: Do You Support an Optional Civil Law for Personal Affairs in Lebanon?- By
Electoral District
Beir
ut
Dis
tric
t I
Beir
ut
Dis
tric
t II
Mo
un
t L
eb
an
on
`s F
irst
Dis
tric
t (K
eserw
an
-
Jb
eil
)
Mo
un
t L
eb
an
on
`s
Seco
nd
Dis
tric
t (M
etn
)
Mo
un
t L
eb
an
on
`s T
hir
d
Dis
tric
t (B
aa
bd
a)
Mo
un
t L
eb
an
on
`s
Fo
urth
Dis
tric
t (C
ho
uf
-
Ale
y)
So
uth
Leb
an
on
`s F
irst
Dis
tric
t (S
aid
a -
Jezzin
e)
So
uth
Leb
an
on
`s
Seco
nd
Dis
tric
t (Z
ah
ra
ni
- S
ou
r)
So
uth
Leb
an
on
`s T
hir
d
Dis
tric
t (N
ab
ati
eh
- B
int
Jb
eil
- M
arje
yo
un
-
Ha
sb
ay
a)
Beq
aa
`s F
irst
Dis
tric
t
(Za
hle
)
Beq
aa
`s S
eco
nd
Dis
tric
t
(West
Beq
aa
- R
ash
ay
a)
Beq
aa
`s T
hir
d D
istr
ict
(Ba
alb
eck
- H
erm
el)
No
rth
Leb
an
on
`s F
irst
Dis
tric
t (A
kk
ar)
No
rth
Leb
an
on
`s
Seco
nd
Dis
tric
t (T
rip
oli
-
Min
ieh
- D
en
nie
h)
No
rth
Leb
an
on
`s T
hir
d
Dis
tric
t (B
sh
arri
-
Ba
tro
un
- K
ou
ra
-
Zg
ha
rta
)
To
tal
Yes 75.0% 50.0% 57.4% 66.7% 71.1% 70.5% 69.7% 65.9% 56.6% 31.9% 13.2% 19.0% 22.4% 24.7% 47.7% 48.1%
No 11.1% 40.6% 14.9% 12.5% 20.0% 12.5% 21.2% 13.4% 13.9% 40.4% 36.8% 44.0% 72.4% 61.3% 40.0% 31.9%
No Difference/Not
Concerned13.9% 9.4% 27.7% 20.8% 8.9% 17.0% 9.1% 20.7% 29.5% 27.7% 50.0% 36.9% 5.3% 14.0% 12.3% 20.0%
Total 100.0% 100.0% 100.0% 100.0% 100.0% 100.0% 100.0% 100.0% 100.0% 100.0% 100.0% 100.0% 100.0% 100.0% 100.0% 100.0%
Within the same context, respondents were also asked whether their attitude towards the
Lebanese civil society changed after the recent Parliamentary elections. Only 31.9%
replied positively while the remaining majority (68.1%) reported its attitude/position
towards the Lebanese civil society did not change after the elections (Graph 18).
Graph 18: Did Your Attitude Towards the Lebanese Civil Society Change after the Recent
Parliamentary Elections?
Did your attitude/position towards the Lebanese civil society change after the recent
parliamentary elections? (%)
Yes
31.9
No
68.1
Base: 1000
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Different Voters for One Nation: Post-Elections Study Opinion Poll
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Druze and Orthodox respondents were the most to report that their attitude towards the
Lebanese civil society changed after the elections (51.8% and 48.6% respectively), while
the lowest rates were recorded among the Sunni (25.1%) and Shia’a respondents (24.5%)
(Table 27).
Table 27: Did Your Attitude Towards the Lebanese Civil Society Change after the Recent
Parliamentary Elections?- By Sect
Maronite Orthodox Catholic
Armenian
Orthodox/
Catholic
Christian
Minorities Sunni Shia`a Druze Alawite Total
Yes 39.9% 48.6% 38.3% 40.7% 23.1% 25.1% 24.5% 51.8% 0.0% 31.9%
No 60.1% 51.4% 61.7% 59.3% 76.9% 74.9% 75.5% 48.2% 100.0% 68.1%
Total 100.0% 100.0% 100.0% 100.0% 100.0% 100.0% 100.0% 100.0% 100.0% 100.0%
As for the results of this question by electoral districts, voters in Baabda (60%),
Chouf/Aley (56.8%) and Metn (56.3%) were the most to report that their attitude towards
the Lebanese Civil Society have changed after the Recent Parliamentary Elections.
On the other hand, the lowest rate for this question was recorded in Saida/Jezzine (15.2%)
(Table 28).
Table 28: Did Your Attitude Towards the Lebanese Civil Society Change after the Recent
Parliamentary Elections?- By Electoral District
Beir
ut
Dis
tric
t I
Beir
ut
Dis
tric
t II
Mo
un
t L
eb
an
on
`s F
irst
Dis
tric
t (K
eserw
an
-
Jb
eil
)
Mo
un
t L
eb
an
on
`s
Seco
nd
Dis
tric
t (M
etn
)
Mo
un
t L
eb
an
on
`s T
hir
d
Dis
tric
t (B
aa
bd
a)
Mo
un
t L
eb
an
on
`s
Fo
urth
Dis
tric
t (C
ho
uf
-
Ale
y)
So
uth
Leb
an
on
`s F
irst
Dis
tric
t (S
aid
a -
Jezzin
e