final presentation; business profile - githunguri constituency
DESCRIPTION
Examples of profiles of Business Opportunities in a Kenyan Rural administrative unit. This particular case applies to Githunguri District, Kiambu County in Central province about 40 kilometers Northwest of NairobiTRANSCRIPT
Githunguri District
Small scale cereals reseller Food for catering
A healthy dairy Cow Greenhouse farmed tomatoes A Cup of yoghurt
Business Opportunities Profiling
By Samuel Mwangi
January 2012
Cereal Trading Catering services
A Healthy Dairy Cow Greenhouse Tomato farming A Cup of Fresh Yogurt
ii Business Opportunities Profiling – Githunguri Constituency
Acknowledgement & Appreciation
I would like to acknowledge the involvement and contribution of various institutions in the preparation
of this Business Opportunity profiling activity. The people who have significantly provided inspiration,
information and advice were Gachiku G, Mbugua Joseph, Waruingi George, Wachiuri John and Elijah
Ndung’u in their personal and business capacities.
The institutions that have provided a lot of the factual information used as the basis for the market
surveys in various categories are ; the Ministry of Agriculture, Market information department and
FAOSTAT database; the District Crops, Veterinary and Livestock production officer, Githunguri district
and the Kenya National Bureau of Statistics.
I would also like to appreciate the information derived from my interaction with various suppliers like
CAIS, Amiran Kenya, NARL and the Kenya Dairy Board.
Without them, this report would be hollow and lacking in fact and substance.
Finally, I would like to acknowledge the efforts of the Ministry of Youth Affairs and UNDP in the Kenya
National Youth Empowerment Project for being the inspiration behind this work. It opened my eyes to
some of the opportunities in my backyard that I had never thought about.
iii Business Opportunities Profiling – Githunguri Constituency
Table of Contents
Acknowledgement & Appreciation ............................................................................................................... ii
Table of Contents ......................................................................................................................................... iii
Executive summary ...................................................................................................................................... iv
Market Survey ............................................................................................................................................... 1
Evaluation ..................................................................................................................................................... 2
Findings ......................................................................................................................................................... 6
Business Opportunities chosen ..................................................................................................................... 6
Conclusions & Recommendations ................................................................................................................ 6
Business Profile 1; Veterinary Services ......................................................................................................... 7
Business Profile 2; Dairy Processing............................................................................................................ 10
Business Profile 3; Green house farming .................................................................................................... 14
Business Profile 4; Cereals Supply............................................................................................................... 16
Business Profile 5; Catering Services .......................................................................................................... 19
iv Business Opportunities Profiling – Githunguri Constituency
Executive summary
Githunguri District is one of the new Districts inaugurated in the year 2009. The district is however a net
exporter of skilled labour, dairy products and poultry. The district has one main urban centre at
Githunguri where the district headquarters are located, and several smaller peri-urban centres like
Kigumo, Kwa Maiko & Ikinu. There are very few post-secondary school training institutions in the
district.
There are various services needed by the residents of Githunguri district. Educational services at the
basic level are another rapidly growing service sector. Evaluation of businesses or business opportunities
is not an exact science. We came up with nine characteristics of a typical business against which to
evaluate the various business opportunities. We gave each characteristic three weights, High , Medium
and Low were used representing the ranking of the business opportunity qualitatively and/or
quantitatively with regard to that particular aspect of the business.
From the business opportunity evaluation and ranking exercise, the following business opportunities
were ranked according to their scores in order of preference;
Animal production related services are also very profitable whereas there is a significant showing of
service- related opportunities. The business opportunities chosen for profiling are therefore Veterinary
services, Dairy processing, Greenhouse farming, Cereals supply and Catering.Githunguri district has very
profitable veterinary services, dairy processing, greenhouse farming, cereal trading and catering services
openings that have not been exploited.
Veterinary Services
The amount of milk produced and marketed through formal processing channels generates between
Kshs 2.5 to 4.0 billion annually. Part of this income is also used to buy services and inputs associated
with dairy production like feeds, drugs, semen and veterinary services.
Assuming that only five percent of this amount is used to procure animal health services, that is still a
potential market of between Kshs 100 – 160 million annually in animal health goods and services alone.
The customers for these services are the 25,000 dairy farmers within the district. Even a conservative
market share target size of 3% of this market translates to 750 farmers and between Kshs 3 – 5 million in
annual revenues.
Dairy Processing
The technical knowledge required to process the milk will be a basic certificate or artisanal course in
dairy processing. For milk handling at the milk bars, basic hygiene education will suffice for the milk
handlers and selling assistantsThe returns on investment are higher for processed products than for raw
v Business Opportunities Profiling – Githunguri Constituency
milk, and therefore a Mini dairy though it has higher capital requirements is more profitable than a
micro dairy to the higher volumes of processed products sold.
Green house tomato production
From the annual production, 90 % of the production was meant for the fresh produce market while the
remaining percentage was processed into various products. Nearly all the tomatoes produced in Kenya
are consumes locally, very little of the fresh tomato produce is exported as processed products. The
major institution that can support Tomato greenhouse farmers on basic agronomic practices is the
District Horticulture department at Githunguri Township
Cereal trading
The major market for cereal s is the institutional market. The district has 20 private boarding schools,
and 35 secondary schools that serve meals for either day scholar or boarder students. There are no
other large institutions within the district. The other market that I have chosen to target is the small
reseller market and the institutional market. The other predictable market is the small cereal resellers.
This business does not require any particular specialized skill.
Catering Services
In our church home congregation, there is a wedding at least once every other month. Our location has
13 such congregations, and very at least five main denominations. Assuming that only 1 in 5 or (20 %) of
these occasions will require commercial catering services, this is still a very big catering market of 156
occasions. We intend to hire, train and certify our food handlers in catering and food production and run
the business from a dedicated kitchen at home to save on premises hiring costs. We also intend to make
the food presentation and service more professional to differentiate our service.
1 Business Opportunities Profiling – Githunguri Constituency
Market Survey
Population & location
Githunguri District is one of the new Districts inaugurated in the year 2009. The borders of the district
correlate with the constituency boundaries of Githunguri constituency. It has a Total population of
147,463 persons and an area of 61.3 square kilometers. The district borders Gatundu to the North-East,
Ruiru to the East, Kiambu East to the South- East, Kiambu west to the southwest and Lari to the
Northwest. Githunguri district is located about 50 Kilometers Northwest of Nairobi and has a lot of
potential as a commuter town serving the working population of Nairobi City.
There is a youthful working population with a significant disposable income for a rural area
Agricultural and Industrial production
In terms of agricultural production, it is in the mid altitude (1800 – 2100 m ASL) coffee- tea high
productivity transition zone. The area is therefore characterized by intensive Coffee, Tea, Horticultural
and subsistence production. It also has one of the most famous and highly productive dairy zone in the
country. However, since the land holdings are small due to a high population, the district is a net
importer of food. This therefore means that maize, beans, potatoes, cabbages, pulses and even cows for
meat are imported into the district. The district is however a net exporter of skilled labour, dairy
products and poultry. There is a gradual industrialization taking place around Githunguri town as there
are three dairies, a Tea factory and a small brewery. These firms however do not employ more than
1,000 people in total.
Employment and urbanization
About half the populations are gainfully employed, while 30,000 are in some form of economically
productive engagement and about 5,000 are looking for work and are therefore available for
employment. Only 25% of the population lives below the national poverty line. The rate of literacy for
the general population is very high with most of the people under the age of 40 having gone through
secondary school education. The district has one main urban centre at Githunguri where the district
headquarters are located, and several smaller peri-urban centres like Kigumo, Kwa Maiko & Ikinu.
There are very few post-secondary school training institutions in the district. There is also a lack of
relevant Vocational school training institutions.
Services
2 Business Opportunities Profiling – Githunguri Constituency
There are various services needed by the residents of Githunguri district. The district has a good number
of all weather roads. The main ones are the class C trunk road from Nairobi –Kiambu – Githunguri –
Uplands and the Ruiru – Kwa Maiko – Githunguri –Kagwe –Kimende routes. The Nairobi – Kiambu – Kwa
Maiko – Kibichoi route also passes through the southeastern part of the district. There are many
matatus plying the various routes. In the last three years, there has also been a profusion of motorcycle
transport services that ply the shorter routes within the district not serves by regular matatus.
Educational services at the basic level are another rapidly growing service sector. This is because people
who originally came from the district and have settled in urban areas prefer to bring their children to
boarding schools within the district. Parents who also want to give their children quality education also
prefer boarding schools to the public day schools.
There are also numerous trading activities that cater to various needs of local residents.
Evaluation
Evaluation of businesses or business opportunities is not an exact science. Profiling businesses however
is guided by several rules of the thumb depending on what the aim of the exercise is. There are
therefore several criteria which one can use in-order to illuminate the critical aspects of the
business/business opportunities that one is interested in. Some of the aspects that one would want to
evaluate are; profitability, scalability, compliance, employment creation, barriers to entry, level of
technology/specialist knowledge required and market size among others. We have therefore chosen
several characteristics to give a more rounded character of the business opportunities available.
We came up with nine characteristics of a typical business against which to evaluate the various
business opportunities. We gave each characteristic three weights, High , Medium and Low were used
representing the ranking of the business opportunity qualitatively and/or quantitatively with regard to
that particular aspect of the business. For each weight of a particular aspect, a ‘high’ rank attracted a
numerical score of 5, a ‘medium’ rank a numerical score of 3 and a ‘low’ rank a numerical score of 1.
These particular aspect or categories chosen were;
1. Profitability
For any commercial enterprise, the most attractive factor that determines whether one will
engage or will not engage in a business is the likely returns otherwise called profit. We therefore
considered this as one of the primary characteristics
2. Market size/Number of prospective customers
The size of the market is an important consideration for an entrepreneur. A large market means
a higher likelihood of success than a small market.
3. Length of the Production/sales cycle
3 Business Opportunities Profiling – Githunguri Constituency
A short production and sales cycle usually means higher revenues within a given time which
have a direct bearing on profitability. A short production cycle is also advantageous since one
can minimize losses and make adjustments to improve the product as one goes along, in
response to demand or according to other environmental conditions affecting the business.
Businesses with a short production/sales cycle are therefore more preferable than ones with
longer production/sales cycle.
4. Business risk profile
Businesses face various risks. These risks might be internal or external and depend on the type
of the business enterprise, the control that one has over the production process, the
competence and skill of one’s employees and other factors external to the business like location,
security, cash transaction volumes, alternative uses of business products and inputs among
other risk factor
5. Employment opportunities created
As a general rule, in high unemployment situations, enterprises that create many employment
opportunities are preferred. This usually entails the use of manual labour instead of automated
processes and mechanical equipment. If the production process is not very elaborate, then the
use of manual labour maybe convenient where utilities like electricity, piped water and gas are
unavailable. However this introduces many points of failure and contamination and is not
preferred where the quality requirements are very high since this requires a very high level of
skill and control to achieve. Start-ups however begin with manual labour creating employment
and then mechanize processes as they move up higher along the value chain and quality
requirements.
6. Linkages to other business/value chains in the locality
Businesses that create linkages to other enterprises in the locality are better in the long run
since they are more economically beneficial to where they are situated. The economic
multipliers in the form of employment, revenues, technology, support services and technology
transfer cannot be gainsaid.
7. Barriers to entry
Each type of business has its own prerequisites that must be met before start-up, and that must
also be maintained for the business to run profitably. In a rural setting, business with low
barriers is preferable since the technology, capital, skill pools and inputs available are fewer
than in an industrial/urban setting. In some ways, low barriers to entry can be a disadvantage
since it means that the likely competition is very high
8. Capital required
Most young people do not have tangible assets that they can sell or use to secure commercial
credit. Therefore businesses that require little or no capital are preferred. A majority of rural
4 Business Opportunities Profiling – Githunguri Constituency
dwellers also do not have high regular incomes and therefore low capital requirements favour
them.
9. Technological complexity of equipment/process of running the businesses
There is a level of knowledge, skill or specialization that one must either have before starting
certain businesses or that one must acquire in the course of running such a business. Simple
services like typing and typesetting, printing and photocopying require a level of skill higher than
running a duka. Veterinary services can only be offered by recognized professional while
mechanics must either have formal training and qualifications or experience acquired over some
time in order for them to give satisfactory service.
We totaled the scores for each opportunity across the nine categories and ranked the opportunities
according to their respective scores in order of preference. From the foregoing, we selected 10 business
ideas that were feasible and viable;
Business opportunity character score
Business Opportunity
Pro
fita
bil
ity
Nu
mb
er#
of
pro
spe
ctiv
e
cust
om
ers
Pro
du
ctio
n/S
ale
s cy
cle
Ris
k p
rofi
le
Em
plo
ym
en
t
op
po
rtu
nit
ies
cre
ate
d
Lin
ka
ge
s t
o
loca
l v
alu
e
cha
ins
Ba
rrie
rs t
o
en
try
Ca
pit
al
req
uir
ed
Te
chn
olo
gic
a
l co
mp
lex
ity
Flour milling High High Short Low Low Medium High High Medium
Cereals supply High High Short Low Medium Medium High High Low
Motorcycle repair Medium High Short High Low High Medium Low High
Veterinary services High High Short High Low High High High High
Fingerlings supply High Medium Short High Medium Medium High High Medium
Yoghurt processing High High Short Low Medium High Medium Medium High
Catering services High High Short Low Medium High Medium Medium Medium
Rabbit breeding High Medium Short Medium Medium Medium Medium Medium Medium
Green house farming High High Long High Low Medium High High High
Mushroom farming High Low Long High Low Medium High High High
Business Characteristic scoring scheme
Pro
fita
bil
ity
Nu
mb
er#
of
pro
spe
ctiv
e
cust
om
ers
Pro
du
ctio
n/S
ale
s cy
cle
Ris
k p
rofi
le
Em
plo
ym
en
t
op
po
rtu
nit
ies
cre
ate
d
Lin
ka
ge
s t
o
loca
l v
alu
e
cha
ins
Ba
rrie
rs t
o
en
try
Ca
pit
al
req
uir
ed
Te
chn
olo
gic
a
l co
mp
lex
ity
High 5
Medium 3
Low 1
High 5
Medium 3
Low 1
Short 5
Long 1
High 5
Medium 3
Low 1
High 5
Medium 3
Low 1
High 5
Medium 3
Low 1
High 5
Medium 3
Low 1
High 5
Medium 3
Low 1
5 Business Opportunities Profiling – Githunguri Constituency
Business Opportunity ranking scheme
B
usi
ne
ss
Op
po
rtu
nit
y
Pro
fita
bil
ity
Nu
mb
er#
of
pro
spe
ctiv
e
cust
om
ers
Pro
du
ctio
n/S
ale
s
cycl
e
Ris
k p
rofi
le
Em
plo
ym
en
t
op
po
rtu
nit
ies
cre
ate
d
Lin
ka
ge
s t
o l
oca
l
va
lue
ch
ain
s
Ba
rrie
rs t
o e
ntr
y
Ca
pit
al
req
uir
ed
Te
chn
olo
gic
al
com
ple
xit
y
Ra
nk
ing
To
tals
Bu
sin
ess
Op
po
rtu
nit
y
Ra
nk
1.
Flour
milling
High
5.00
High
5.00
Short
5.00
Low
1.00
Low
1.00
Medium
3.00
High
5.00
High
5.00
Medium
3.00 28 10
2.
Cereals
supply
High
5.00
High
5.00
Short
5.00
Low
1.00
Medium
3.00
Medium
3.00
High
5.00
High
5.00
Low
1.00 33 4
3.
Motorcycle
repair
Medium
3.00
High
5.00
Short
5.00
High
5.00
Low
1.00
High
5.00
Medium
3.00
Low
1.00
High
5.00 28 9
4.
Veterinary
services
High
5.00
High
5.00
Short
5.00
High
5.00
Low
1.00
High
5.00
High
5.00
High
5.00
High
5.00 41 1
5.
Fingerlings
supply
High
5.00
Medium
3.00
Short
5.00
High
5.00
Medium
3.00
Medium
3.00
High
5.00
High
5.00
Medium
3.00 32 6
6.
Yoghurt
processing
High
5.00
High
5.00
Short
5.00
Low
1.00
Medium
3.00
High
5.00
Medium
3.00
Medium
3.00
High
5.00 36 2
7.
Catering
services
High
5.00
High
5.00
Short
5.00
Low
1.00
Medium
3.00
High
5.00
Medium
3.00
Medium
3.00
Medium
3.00 32 5
8.
Rabbit
breeding
High
5.00
Medium
3.00
Short
5.00
Medium
3.00
Medium
3.00
Medium
3.00
Medium
3.00
Medium
3.00
Medium
3.00 31 7
9.
Green
house
farming
High
5.00
High
5.00
Long
1.00
High
5.00
Low
1.00
Medium
3.00
High
5.00
High
5.00
High
5.00 35 3
10.
Mushroom
farming
High
5.00
Low
1.00
Long
1.00
High
5.00
Low
1.00
Medium
3.00
High
5.00
High
5.00
High
5.00 31 8
6 Business Opportunities Profiling – Githunguri Constituency
Findings
From the business opportunity evaluation and ranking exercise, the following business opportunities
were ranked according to their scores in order of preference;
Rank Business Opportunity Category
1. Veterinary Services Animal health Service
2. Dairy processing Cottage Production
3. Greenhouse farming Crop production
4. Cereals supply Trading
5. Catering Service
6. Fingerlings supply Fisheries production
7. Rabbit rearing Animal production
8. Mushroom farming Crop production
9. Motorcycle repair Service
10. Flour milling Cottage production
From the exercise, it is clear that agriculture ad agro related opportunities predominate the
opportunities available in the constituency. Animal production related services are also very profitable
whereas there is a significant showing of service- related opportunities.
Business Opportunities chosen
The business opportunities chosen for profiling are therefore Veterinary services, Dairy processing,
Greenhouse farming, Cereals supply and Catering
Conclusions & Recommendations
Githunguri district has very profitable veterinary services, dairy processing, greenhouse farming, cereal
trading and catering services openings that have not been exploited.
I therefore recommend that it behooves young people like me to realize that there are opportunities
that can pay better than a white collar job. One of my resolutions for this year is to get into dairy
processing and start exploiting them.
7 Business Opportunities Profiling – Githunguri Constituency
Business Profile 1; Veterinary Services
In the preparation of this profile, I talked to a trained and practicing veterinary officer. I was also able to
talk to the District veterinary and Livestock production officers. The data about the growth in the
number of cows in the district and the trends towards increase were obtained from the district livestock
production office. They are however official but unpublished. I was also able to corroborate this with
anecdotal and firsthand information since I hail from the district.
Market demand
The following are the total number of cows and the trends in dairy cow population the last three years;
Year Number of Dairy Cows Dairy Cows Population
Growth
Processed Production
(Liters)
Estimated production
(Liters)
2009 38,373 0% 83,554,980 150,000,000
2010 42,381 10% 123, 451,864 220,000,000
2011 46,450 10% 132, 162, 385 250,000,000
As illustrated in the second column of the table, the population of cows has been increasing by a rate of
10 % annually. This is also marked by an increased rate of milk productivity. A lot of this milk is marketed
through formal processing channels generating between Kshs 2.5 to 4.0 billion annually. This money
apart from providing the dairy farmers with an income is also used to buy services and inputs associated
with dairy production like feeds, drugs, semen and veterinary services.
Assuming that only five percent of this amount is used to procure animal health services, that is still a
potential market of between Kshs 100 – 160 million annually in Animal health goods and services. The
customers for these services are the 25,000 dairy farmers within the district.
Even a conservative market share target size of 3% of this market translates to 750 farmers and between
Kshs 3 – 5 million in annual revenues.
Veterinary Service Delivery
Veterinary services are provided by qualified professionals. These professionals usually run veterinary
and animal stockiest shops as a point of presence in the major shopping centres. They walk around and
introduce themselves to farmers and leave their mobile phone contacts with them. When a farmer
needs a service, they often call their favorite animal health provider who more often uses a motorcycle
and comes to provide the requisitioned service at the farm. This is a very efficient mode of service
delivery
8 Business Opportunities Profiling – Githunguri Constituency
Technology and equipment needed
The animal health or veterinary service provider needs to carry with them a range of drugs for the
common animal health problems. They can also carry with them different equipment for basic animal
surgery, vaccination or artificial insemination service. To store the drugs and semen under the specified
storage conditions, the stockist will need to have either a freezer of a fridge. A motorcycle comes in
handy for fast and cheap movement from point to point as services are requested. This is detailed
further in the table below.
Range of size of Investment –micro to medium size in shilling
Equipment & Supplies Full equipment Route Simple route
Syringes 1 lot (100) x 1800
1,800.00
100 ml
200.00
Needles 1 lot (100) x 400
400.00
100 ml
200.00
1 Freezer 1 lot x 25000
25,000.00
-
Antibiotics – Oxytetracycline 1 Liter pack x 2400
2,400.00
100 ml
200.00
Antibiotics – Pedistrep 1 Liter pack x 3200
3,200.00
100 ml
350.00
Albafas ( Dewormer) 1 liter pack
1,500.00
100 ml
200.00
Multi Vitamin Boosters 1 liter pack
1,800.00
100 ml
200.00
Semen Flask 10 Liter Pack x
50000
50,000.00
2 liter pack x 10000
10,000.00
Antibiotic spray 1 liter pack x 2200
2,200.00
100 ml
250.00
Epson Salts 1 Kg pack x 1700
1,700.00
100 ml
200.00
Intra mammary infusions I liter pack x 2500
2,500.00
100 ml
300.00
Sutures & needle I set X 500
500.00
I set x 500
500.00
Thermometer 1 piece x 300
300.00
1 piece x 300
300.00
Motorcycle 1 Motorcycle x
70000
70,000.00
0
-
Fuel 1 lot x 5000
5,000.00
0
-
Labour I lot x 5000
5,000.00
Labour
5,000.00
-
-
Kshs
173,300.00
Kshs
17,900.00
9 Business Opportunities Profiling – Githunguri Constituency
Returns on Investment
The typical service schedule in one month is as follows;
Monthly returns
Service Cost of Service (Kshs) Rate charged (Kshs) Service
calls
Revenues
Mastitis Treatment 300.00 1,000.00 15 15,000.00
- Pneumonia Treatment 300.00 1,200.00 15 18,000.00
- Minor Surgery 750.00 2,000.00 10 20,000.00
- Major surgery 1,500.00 3,500.00 3 10,500.00
- AI service A 500.00 1,200.00 20 24,000.00
- AI service B 1,000.00 2,200.00 10 22,000.00
Revenues 109,500.00
The major suppliers of key inputs for animal health products and services are the Centre for Artificial
Insemination Services (CAIS) in Kabete and the major resellers of animal health services in Nairobi. The
Ministry of Livestock Development & Marketing also carries out disease surveillance and monitoring and
supports in the sensitization of farmers. The ministry also works hand in hand with the service providers
as they help the ministry in carrying out its mandate.
10 Business Opportunities Profiling – Githunguri Constituency
Business Profile 2; Dairy Processing
According to the Kenya Dairy Board, the dairy industry is the single largest agricultural sub-sector; it is
even larger than the tea subsector. It contributes some 14% of agricultural GDP and 3.5% of total GDP.
Kenyans consume more milk than almost anyone else in the developing world. In terms of milk
consumption per unit of average income, Kenya ranks only behind Mauritania and Mongolia globally
among developing countries. On average, each Kenyan drinks, according to the International Livestock
Research Institute (ILRI), about 145 litres of milk a year, three times his Ugandan counterpart and four
times the average for Sub-Saharan Africa. A 1999 survey found that urban households spent an average
of 18 percent of their income on dairy products, second only to their expenditure on cereals such as
maize.
The following table summarizes the milk production data for nine years between years 2000 and 2008;
Production in tonnes
Cow milk Goat milk Camel milk Total
2000 2,224,000 116,000 25,200 2,365,200
2001 2,444,150 97,100 25,200 2,566,450
2002 2,811,950 10,100 25,200 2,847,250
2003 2,819,500 107,230 25,200 2,951,930
2004 2,829,900 118,500 36,000 2,984,400
2005 2,650,000 129,000 25,200 2,804,200
2006 3,500,000 105,000 32,200 3,637,200
2007 4,230,000 108,000 32,500 4,370,500
2008 3,990,000 110.000 27,000 4,127,000
In Githunguri Constituency, the Dairy sector production statistics are as follows;
Year Number of Dairy Cows Processed Production (Liters) Estimated production (Liters)
2009 38,373
83,554,980 150,000,000
2010 42,381
123, 451,864 220,000,000
2011 46,450
132, 162, 385 250,000,000
11 Business Opportunities Profiling – Githunguri Constituency
There is a marked preference for the consumption of raw milk in rural areas and peri-urban towns due
to its cheaper cost and familiarity. This has however been accompanied by an increased appreciation for
other processed liquid dairy products like yoghurt and mala (fermented) milk which have a long African
tradition. Yoghurt is well liked as a refreshing, nutritional and flavorful drink for both children and adults
alike. Mala is consumed by adults either as a refreshment or as part of a meal as an accompaniment to
Ugali.
Market Demand
There is an estimated minimum daily demand of about 1,000 litres of raw milk and processed products
in Githunguri town alone. This is because it has now become a residential town with many workers living
there who work in Nairobi, in the industries and service institutions surrounding the town, and in the
businesses that support these institutions. The town has also become the district and constituency
headquarters attracting many residents who come daily to seek various administrative services and who
consume dairy products in the various catering institutions in the town.
Dairy Processing
The idea is to collect fresh raw milk from contracted farmers. This will always be tested for quality and
contamination at the point of collection/uptake. This milk will be cooled down; half the quantity will be
sold directly to consumers in two milk bars within the town and the rest processed into various dairy
products. About 400 litres will be processed into yoghurt everyday whereas 100 litres will be processed
into Mala. The processed dairy products will be sold loose at the small milk shops, while a proportion
will be packaged in plastic containers and sold through supermarkets and shops in Githunguri town and
three other major peri-urban centres within the district.
Technical skills or knowledge required
The technical knowledge required to process the milk will be a basic certificate or artisanal course in
dairy processing. For milk handling at the milk bars, basic hygiene education will suffice for the milk
handlers and selling assistants
Technology and equipment needed
The technology and equipment required are as follows; large aluminium milk churns; jacketed
aluminium or stainless steel heating vessels; large modified wood-fired cooking stoves for heating;
thermometers for temperature control; plastic containers for cleaning; a 5,000 litre water tank and
hired vehicle for milk collection purposes.
12 Business Opportunities Profiling – Githunguri Constituency
Dairy processing investment options
Type of equipment Micro dairy Mini dairy
(100 – 200 litres per day) (500 – 1000 litres per day) Aluminium Oil Collection churns ( 5 x 8,000)
32,000.00
(20 X 8,000)
160,000.00
Stainless Steel jacketed vessels (4 x 15,000)
60,000.00
( 10 x 15,000)
150,000.00
Lease (4 months) (4 x 7,500)
30,000.00
(4 x 10,000)
40,000.00
Cooking Stoves (1 x 50,000)
50,000.00
(2 x 50,000)
100,000.00
Starter cultures & Flavours (1 x 2,000)
2,000.00
(3 x 2,000)
6,000.00
Assorted Dual use plastic ware (1 Lot x 10,000)
10,000.00
( 3 lots x 10,000)
30,000.00
Assorted Small equipment ( I Lot x 10,000)
10,000.00
(1 Lot x 10,000)
10,000.00
Labour ( 4 months) ( 2 Staff x 4 months x 8000)
64,000.00
( 5 Staff x 4 months x 8000)
160,000.00
Licenses I Lot x 15000
15,000.00
1 lot x 25000
25,000.00
Cost of Milk ( 200 liters x 30 days x Kshs 30)
180,000.00
( 1000 liters x 30 days x Kshs 30)
900,000.00
Packaging containers 1 Lot x Kshs 25,000 25,000.00 1 Lot x Kshs 80,000
80,000.00
Water tank 1 Tank (5000 liter) x Kshs 12,000
20,0000.00 1 Tank (10000 liter) x Kshs
20,000
20,000.00
Kshs
466,000.00
Kshs
1,681,000.00
Dairy processing return on Investment
The returns on investment are higher for processed products than for raw milk, and therefore a Mini
dairy though it has higher capital requirements is more profitable than a micro dairy to to the higher
volumes of processed products sold.
Product Micro dairy (200 litres per day)
Mini dairy
(1000 litres per day)
Raw Milk ( 100 litres x Kshs 50 x 30 days)
150,000.00
(500 litres x Kshs 50 x 30 days)
750,000.00
Yoghurt (80 Liters x Kshs 100 x 30 days)
240,000.00
(400 Liters x Kshs 100 x 30 days)
1,200,000.00
Mala (20 Liters x Kshs 80 x 30 days)
48,000.00
(100 Liters x Kshs 100 x 30 days)
240,000.00
Kshs
438,000.00
Kshs
2,190,000.00
13 Business Opportunities Profiling – Githunguri Constituency
Major suppliers of key inputs
The major suppliers of inputs are Kenya Dairy Board, Supermarkets and jua kali shops.
Support institution that can provide technical support
The Nairobi regional office of the Kenya Dairy Board can provide support in terms of technical training
and Hygiene certification.
14 Business Opportunities Profiling – Githunguri Constituency
Business Profile 3; Green house farming
Methodology of preparing this business profile
I had done some preliminary research while compiling an irrigation proposal for one of my regular
clients. I visited several suppliers who supply greenhouse kits or who sell all the supplies required to
fabricate one. The price of a kilo of tomatoes was the lowest wholesale price available from the Market
Information Department – Ministry of Agriculture weekly bulletin.
Market Demand
Tomatoes are one of the most common vegetable in Kenya. According to the FAO CountryStat database,
Kenya produced 529,922 million metric tonnes of tomatoes in 2009 and 539,151 metric tonnes of
tomatoes in the year 2010. From the annual production, 90 % of the production was meant for the fresh
produce market while the remaining percentage was processed into various products. Nearly all the
tomatoes produced in Kenya are consumes locally, very little of the fresh tomato produce is exported as
processed products. Fresh Tomatoes are therefore one of the most highly traded commodities in Kenya
Fabricating Process
When the greenhouse is purchased as a kit, the selling company sends someone to do the installation.
There is also a complete and easy to follow kit of DIY instructions. One can also buy the supplies and use
local materials as like wooden poles in place of the metal superstructure to build the greenhouse tunnel
with plastic sheeting. This latter type of greenhouse cannot however last more than 4 years.
It is however a cheaper alternative and one need just basic fundi skills to put of the structure and
connect the irrigation kit.
Technical skills or knowledge required
Tomato farming requires one to know basic things like how to prepare a seedbed, harden seedlings,
correctly space the seedlings, transplant them, do the correct thinning and train them on lines. One also
needs to observe basic hygiene to prevent plant disease infestation. Basic agronomic and pesticide
handling skills also come in handy
Technology and equipment needed
The technology and equipment required are listed in the table below and listed together with the
investment required
Range of size of Investment
As at October 2011, these were the corresponding levels of investment for the two sizes of
greenhouses;
15 Business Opportunities Profiling – Githunguri Constituency
Size of greenhouse Component parts Investment Required
Small 1/8 Acre
Plastic Sheeting & Plastic netting
Metal Superstructure
Knapsack Sprayer & Agrochemicals
Water container & Drip irrigation
Tomato Seeds & Fertilizer
Kshs 125, 000/-
Medium ¼ Acre
Plastic Sheeting & Plastic netting
Metal Superstructure
Knapsack Sprayer & Agrochemicals
Water container & Drip irrigation
Tomato Seeds & Fertilizer
Kshs 180,000/-
Possible return of investment
The possible return on investment is as follows;
For every quarter acre of greenhouse tomatoes;
Yields
150 - 250 kilograms weekly.
Production = (Average production)X(Period of 12 weeks) X
(2 production seasons in one Year)
High productivity scenario ; 250 kg x 12 weeks x 2 = 6,000 kgs
Moderate ; 180 kg x 12 weeks x 2 = 4,320 kgs
The gross revenue = { Production(Kgs) X Selling price per
(Kg)}
Scenario 1 = 6,000 kgs x Kshs 50/kg = Kshs 300,000
Scenario 2 = 4,320 kgs x Kshs 40/kg = Kshs 216,000
Major suppliers of key inputs
The major suppliers in fabrication of greenhouses are Amiran Kenya, the KARI National Agricultural
Research Laboratories-Westlands and Hydroconsult Limited. The costing used here are for the Amiran
Kenya Full irrigation kit.
Support institution that can provide technical support /guidance
The major institution that can support Tomato greenhouse farmers on basic agronomic practices is the
District Horticulture department at Githunguri Township
16 Business Opportunities Profiling – Githunguri Constituency
Business Profile 4; Cereals Supply
According to survey findings in the Basic Report on Wellbeing in Kenya, by the Kenya National Bureau of
Statistics, each central province household spends 57 % of all their income on food purchases. This was
about Kshs 1,700/- per month (Year 2005 figures). A half of this amount is spent in buying cereals which
are the main component of their diet in the form of maize, maize flour, beans, green grams, cowpeas,
rice, and lab lab. There are also many public and private primary and secondary schools which procure
these cereals in bulk for catering meals. The district has 20 private boarding schools, and 35 secondary
schools that serve meals for either day scholar or boarder students. These institutions serve between 5
– 10 meals every week that has a major cereal component. There are no other large institutions within
the district.
The markets that I have chosen to target are the small reseller market and the institutional market. The
types of cereals that I used as a reference are as follows with their prices at Source and destination
markets as at 27th
January 2012;
Cereal Quantity
(Kgs)
Price @
Source
(Kshs)
Price @
Market
(Kshs)
Price
Differential
Quantity
Bags
Dry Maize 90 2100 3300 1200 200
Green Maize 110 1600 3600 2000 40
Finger Millet 90 4500 4700 200 20
Sorghum 90 2600 3600 1000 20
Beans Canadian 90 3800 5000 1200 25
Beans Rosecoco 90 3800 5200 1400 25
Beans Mwitemania 90 3800 5000 1200 25
Beans Mwezi Moja 90 4800 5000 200 25
Beans Dolichos (Njahi) 90 5400 6500 1100 40
Green Gram 90 5800 7000 1200 40
Cowpeas 90 4600 7200 2600 40
Fresh Peas 51 2000 2800 800 25
Groundnuts 90 9600 11000 1400 10
535
a) The methodology that you followed in the preparation of each business profile – indicate the
sources of data and market survey that you undertook
17 Business Opportunities Profiling – Githunguri Constituency
Cereal trading services
There are no unique skills required to trade in cereals. It is however important to keep abreast of
development in terms of production trends of agricultural produce in various source markets and
destination markets in order to take maximum advantage of trade differentials since this is a margins
business. It is also advisable to work with large institutional buyers since they have almost consistent
demand throughout the year therefore assuring one of a regular market. These customers are schools,
hospitals, training institutions and university colleges.
The other predictable market is the small cereal resellers. In my district, not everyone has agricultural
land to produce subsistence crops. Whereas local demand is influenced by seasonal production, there is
no surplus for marketing meaning demand is only low during the period immediately after harvest when
households have some cereals from the immediate harvest for at maximum two months before they
come again to the market.
Technical skills or knowledge required
This business does not require any particular specialized skill. However, the seriousness of aflatoxin
poisoning in the recent past means that one must know how to judge the right moisture content at
which to harvest, transport and store cereals to preserve their quality. One must also know how to
prepare the cereals and protects them from pests like weevils, rats and theft.
It is also prudent to ensure that the grain one buys has been adequately cleaned and graded in order to
reduce contamination and wastage at the end markets. Bulk buyers often want to buy clean grain to
reduce time taken in food preparation
Technology and equipment needed
One needs dry, well ventilated, safe and secure means of storage, transportation and distribution
facilities. A warehouse that is waterproofed and well ventilated can be hired for aggregation purposes at
the sources markets, and a big lorry secured to transport the commodities to the destination markets.
At the buyer end, it is important to have a large permanent warehouse where one can both store and
sell the commodities from.
A weighing system is a key requirement at the destination market since commodities are sold per
weight.
Range of size of Investment required & returns on investment
The range of investment required in cereal trading ranges from a few hundred thousand to tens of
millions for a medium scale operation
Returns of cereal trading
The largest proportion Kenyan staple diet comprises of cereals or cereal products. There is therefore
demand for cereals throughout the year. The highest demand occurs in high population centres like
urban centres and also in other high population and cash crop high production areas. There is also
moderate demand in marginal areas where there is no local cereal production. In good years when there
18 Business Opportunities Profiling – Githunguri Constituency
is adequate rainfall and bumper harvests, the margins are moderate. However when there is crop failure
or a bad season with poor harvests, the margins rise as local and national demand cannot be met
without sourcing from distant markets or even importing which puts an upward pressure on prices as
demand is high all over the country.
This is a typical profile of likely returns during the current market;
Cereal Qty (Kgs) Price
@
Source
Price
@
Marke
t
Price
Differe
ntial
Quantity of bags
(Kshs) (Kshs) Local reseller Wholesaler Large reseller
Dry Maize 90 2100 3300 1200 10
12,000.00
50
60,000.00
200
240,000.00
Green Maize 110 1600 3600 2000 0
-
-
40
80,000.00
Finger Millet 90 4500 4700 200 1
200.00
5
1,000.00
20
4,000.00
Sorghum 90 2600 3600 1000 1
1,000.00
5
5,000.00
20
20,000.00
Beans Canadian 90 3800 5000 1200 2
2,400.00
10
12,000.00
50
60,000.00
Beans Rosecoco 90 3800 5200 1400 2
2,800.00
10
14,000.00
50
70,000.00
Beans Mwitemania 90 3800 5000 1200 3
3,600.00
10
12,000.00
50
60,000.00
Beans Mwezi Moja 90 4800 5000 200 3
600.00
10
2,000.00
50
10,000.00
Beans Dolichos
(Njahi)
90 5400 6500 1100 2
2,200.00
15
16,500.00
40
44,000.00
Green Gram 90 5800 7000 1200 2
2,400.00
15
18,000.00
40
48,000.00
Cowpeas 90 4600 7200 2600 2
5,200.00
15
39,000.00
40
104,000.00
Fresh Peas 51 2000 2800 800 2
1,600.00
15
12,000.00
25
20,000.00
Groundnuts 90 9600 11000 1400 1
1,400.00
5
7,000.00
40
56,000.00
31.0
0
35,400.00
165.
00
198,500.00
665.
00
816,000.00
Major suppliers and support institutions for the cereal trading services
There are no major suppliers of any of the related services for traders. They however utilize the normal
transport and banking services.
19 Business Opportunities Profiling – Githunguri Constituency
Business Profile 5; Catering Services
The people of Githunguri have believed so much in the spirit of community service that must social
occasions are usually catered for by women from the community. However, as the town has grown and
increased in prominence, there is a growing need for variety and more professionalized catering
services. Right now, there are very few established caterers and their services are run on an ad hoc basis
instead of as an ongoing business concern. An anecdotal evidence of the dire need for such services is
the fact that even the district headquarters does not enjoy the services of a regular caterer during their
meetings, and they rely on inconsistent hotel services.
There are however many weddings and other social occasions that a professional caterer can profitably
service.
Market Demand in the local area
In our church home congregation, there is a wedding at least once every other month. Our location has
13 such congregations, and very at least five main denominations. That makes a total minimum of (13 x
12 x 5) = 780 occasions that need to be catered for regularly. Assuming that only 1 in 5 or (20 %) of these
occasions will require commercial catering services, this is still a very big catering market of 156
occasions. As a start up, we could aim to cater for at least one occasion every week.
Catering service delivery
This is a rural setting where quality at the most affordable cost is the key consideration. We will
therefore operate the business by giving a maximum of four set menus, with a budget of between Kshs
200/- to Kshs 300/- per plate inclusive of Food, Drinks & Waitressing Service. We intend to procure
equipment like cooking sets, serving set and non-perishable consumables in bulk flours, cereals, fuel,
cooking oils and fats from wholesalers at concessional rates. For perishable products, we intend to have
standing orders with purveyors of high quality products and farm produce. This will be an effective cost
management strategy.
We intend to hire, train and certify our food handlers in catering and food production and run the
business from a dedicated kitchen at home to save on premises hiring costs. We also intend to make the
food presentation and service more professional to differentiate our service.
Equipment needed
We will procure the following equipment; A large deep freezer, four jacketed fuel efficient stoves, eight
big sufurias, 5 large frying woks, 4 large frying pans, assorted storage and preparation containers, 600
cutlery serving sets, 600 plates, 4 food serving sets, 4 large food transport containers.
20 Business Opportunities Profiling – Githunguri Constituency
Equipment & Supplies Full equipment Route Simple route
Kshs Kshs
4Fuel Efficient stoves 4 x 40,000
160,000.00
0
-
8 Large Sufurias 8 x 2,500
20,000.00
8 x 2,500
20,000.00
1 Freezer 1 x 50,000
50,000.00
0
-
Assorted storage & preparation
containers
1 x 35,000
35,000.00
1 x 15,000
15,000.00
4 Large woks 4 x 2000
8,000.00
0
-
4 Large pans 4 x 2000
8,000.00
4 x 2000
8,000.00
4 Large serving sets 4 x 4000
16,000.00
0
-
600 Cutlery serving sets I Lot X 30000
30,000.00
I Lot X 30000
30,000.00
600 plates I lot X 75000
75,000.00
I lot X 45000
75,000.00
4 large food transport
containers
4 x 2000
8,000.00
0
-
Fuel 1 Lot x 20000
20,000.00
1 Lot x 10000
10,000.00
Labour 1 Lot x 60000
60,000.00
1 Lot x 30000
30,000.00
Supplies 1 Lot
100,000.00
1 Lot
30,000.00
Kshs
590,000.00
Kshs
218,000.00
Returns on investment
While the upfront cost of running a fully fledged catering business seems high, a lot of the equipment
can be discounted over a life of between 5 – 8 years therefore drastically reducing the chargeable
expense to the business.
For a typical wedding, catering gross revenues for a party of 600 people @ Kshs 250/- per person are
Kshs 150,000/-. With a conservative margin of 20 %, the takings per occasion are Kshs 30,000/-. If you
catered for an occasion every fortnight, that will be gross profit of a minimum of Kshs 780,000/- per
annum.
Major suppliers of key inputs
The major suppliers of jacketed fuel efficient stoves are found at the Muthurwa jua kali sheds. All other
supplies are readily available in hops, wholesalers and traders in Nairobi, Githunguri or locally.
There are no major support institutions that support the catering trade apart from training institutions