final results march 2008 - petrofac · 2020. 5. 21. · by oil & gas sector iea estimates...
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2007 Final results March 2008
Important Notice
This document has been prepared by Petrofac Limited (the Company) solely for use at presentations held in connection with the announcement of its results for the year ended 31 December 2007. The information in this document has not been independently verified and no representation or warranty, express or implied, is made as to, and no reliance should be placed on, the fairness, accuracy, completeness or correctness of the information or opinions contained herein. None of the Company or any of its affiliates, advisors or representatives shall have any liability whatsoever (in negligence or otherwise) for any loss whatsoever arising from any use of this document, or its contents, or otherwise arising in connection with this document.
This document does not constitute or form part of any offer or invitation to sell, or any solicitation of any offer to purchase any shares in the Company, nor shall it or any part of it or the fact of its distribution form the basis of, or be relied on in connection with, any contract or commitment or investment decisions relating thereto, nor does it constitute a recommendation regarding the shares of the Company.
Certain statements in this presentation are forward looking statements. By their nature, forward looking statements involve a number of risks, uncertainties or assumptions that could cause actual results or events to differ materially from those expressed or implied by the forward looking statements. These risks, uncertainties or assumptions could adversely affect the outcome and financial effects of the plans and events described herein. Statements contained in this presentation regarding past trends or activities should not be taken as representation that such trends or activities will continue in the future. You should not place undue reliance on forward looking statements, which only speak as of the date of this presentation.
The Company is under no obligation to update or keep current the information contained in this presentation, including any forward looking statements, or to correct any inaccuracies which may become apparent and any opinions expressed in it are subject to change without notice.
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Ayman Asfari Group Chief Executive
Headlines
Strong revenue and net profit margin growth across all three divisions in 2007
Growth in backlog to US$4.4 billion; healthy bidding pipeline for 2008
Demand for our services remains underpinned by long‐term market drivers
Well positioned for strong growth over the medium term
629 952
1,485
2,440
1,864
2003 2004 2005 2006 2007
Revenue (US$m) Net profit (US$m) Backlog (US$m)
40% CAGR
38.4 46.1
75.4
120.3
188.7
2003 2004 2005 2006 2007
1,097
1,740
3,244
4,441 4,173
2003 2004 2005 2006 2007
49% CAGR 42% CAGR
4
Operating environment: strong demand for our services
Demand for group’s services driven by global energy demand: – expected to increase 55% over the
period 2005‐2030
– 44% of increase expected to be met by oil & gas sector
IEA estimates US$9.6 trillion of investment in oil & gas production capacity from 2006‐2030
Equivalent to US$384 billion p.a.
Petrofac well placed to participate in multi‐phase multi‐billion developments in core markets Source: World Energy Outlook 2007,
International Energy Agency
0
4,000
8,000
12,000
16,000
20,000
1980 2000 2005 2015 2030
World Energy Demand (mtoe)
5
Investment in Energy Infrastructure 20062030 (US$tn)
Oil & Gas US$9.6 trillion
Coal & Power US$12.2 trillion
Divisional performance
Good revenue growth in service divisions driven by new projects and contracts in service divisions and full year of Cendor production in ED
Net profit margins increased across all three division due to strong operational performance
Achieved significant expansion of capacity of group to position for further growth
6.4% 8.8%
20.3% 22.2% 23.2%
9.7%
3.6% 3.4% 4.7%
2005 2006 2007
2006: US$1.9 billion
58% 39% 3%
E&C OS ED
Revenue Net profit margin*
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2007: US$2.4 billion
58% 37% 5%
2006: US$120.3 million
75% 14% 11%
2007: US$188.7 million
69% 14% 17%
Net profit
* ED excludes Cendor / UKCS / NT/P68 deferred tax credits and NT/P68 impairment; OS expressed on net revenue, adjusted to exclude amortisation and finance charges relating to acquisition intangibles and deferred consideration
Woking, UK
Dec 2006
Dec 2007
260 56
0
Dec 2007
Sharjah / Dubai, UAE
Dec 2006
Dec 2007
3700
3100
1900
Mumbai, India
Dec 2006
Dec 2007
410 450
Nil
Chennai, India
Dec 2006
Dec 2007
185
We now have approximately 9,600 employees (2006: 7,800)
Growth driven by: E&C growth in Sharjah; new Chennai office; Woking ‐ Karachaganak Phase III award; Dubai Petroleum contract 7
Positioning for further growth Aberdeen, UK
Dec 2006
3700
3720
Employees by function
15%
30%
3% 4%
43%
5%
Management and support services Engineering
Project management Procurement
Operations and maintenance HSE/QA
Operational highlights: Karachaganak Phase III FEED award
Phase III is group’s largest FEED study to date
Demonstrates Petrofac’s capability to deliver FEED studies for world‐scale projects
Petrofac remains well positioned in Kazakhstan, including two of the three world‐class developments (Kashagan and Karachaganak)
Phase III key facts:
– up to 450 engineering staff, predominantly in Woking
– will require 700 kilometres of pipeline, 5,000 kilometres of cabling, 40,000 tonnes of structural steel
– will process equivalent to 750,000 bpd of oil, LPG and gas
8
Operational highlights: Dubai Petroleum transition
Safe and efficient transition of facilities in April 2007
Facilities comprise four offshore fields, 70 platforms, 400 wells, 800 kilometres of pipelines and 1,100 personnel
First government entity to exploit its reserves through direct contracting with service provider
Strong operational performance in OS division increasingly driven through incentive income
Incentive income more than doubled in two years to 19% of gross profit (2005: 9%)
19%
81%
91%
9%
Incentive income as a % of gross margin
2005
9
2007
Operational highlights: ED value creation – Don Area assets
Final field development plans for Don Southwest and West Don submitted late 2007
Northern Producer floating production facility secured to receive and process production from both fields
‘Fast track’ development plan targeting first oil in 2009
7 well drilling programme due to commence Q2 2008
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Operational highlights: ED value creation – Cendor PM304
Achieved production on Cendor field of over 14,300 barrels per day, 98% uptime in 2007 and safe operation
2007 drilling programme completed; should extend peak production into 2009 and proved additional reserves
Conceptual design study commenced for PM304 phase II
Project demonstrates the group’s ability to create value through leveraging its service capability
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Operational highlights: ED value creation ‐ Chergui
Central processing facility due for mechanical completion by end of Q1 2008; pipeline due for completion early Q2 2008
Value created through leveraging group’s engineering, construction, commissioning and operations capability
First gas now expected before end Q2 2008; revised timing due to legacy issues with subcontractors
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Keith Roberts Chief Financial Officer
Headline Numbers – Income Statement
86% 8.8 cents 16.4 cents Full year dividend
55% 34.9 cents 54.1 cents EPS (diluted)
45.7% 47.3% ROCE
52% 198.3 301.3 EBITDA
57% 120.3 188.7 Profit for the year
(51.3) (69.5) Income tax expense
171.7 258.2 Profit before tax
2.1 9.7 Net finance income
47% 169.5 248.5 Operating profit
31% 1,863.9 2,440.3 Revenue
2006 US$m
2007 US$m
14
Headline Numbers – Cash Flow
***Interest‐bearing loans and borrowings/total equity
36.1% 22.7% Gross gearing ratio***
**As netted‐off against cash and cash equivalents and included in interest‐bearing loans and borrowings
340.7 471.5 Net cash
20.5 15.7 Add back bank overdrafts**
(117.2) (110.1) Less interest‐bearing loans and borrowings
*Excludes restricted cash and is net of bank overdrafts
29% 437.4 565.9 Cash and cash equivalents at 31 December*
234.6 128.5 Net increase in cash and cash equivalents
(32.6) (63.7) Net cash flows used in financing activities
(34.5) (139.2) Net cash flows used in investing activities
301.7 331.4 Net cash flows from operating activities
2006 US$m
2007 US$m
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Group Overview
Revenue increased by 31%, reflecting strong growth in all three divisions
Geographic split – Middle East & Africa 45% – Europe 33% – CIS & Asia 21%
Backlog increased to US$4.4 billion at 31 December 2007
Represents 1.8 times 2007 revenue (2006: 2.2 times)
2,440
1,864
1,485
56.1% 25.5% 30.9%
2005 2006 2007
4,441 4,173
3,244
86.4% 28.6% 6.4%
2005 2006 2007
h h
Revenue (US$m)
Backlog (US$m)
h h h
h
16
Group Overview
EBITDA increased by 52%
EBITDA margin increased from 10.6% to 12.3%:
– higher E&C and OS margins
– greater contribution from high margin ED division
Net profit increased by 57% to US$188.7 million
Net profit margin increased from 6.5% to 7.7% due to increased net profit margins across all three divisions
74.6
120.3
188.7
6.5%
5.0%
7.7%
2005 2006 2007
115.0
198.3
301.3
12.3%
10.6%
7.7%
2005 2006 2007
EBITDA & margin (US$m) Net profit & margin (US$m)
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Effective Tax Rate 2007
Engineering & Construction division reported a lower ETR than estimated as there was a higher proportion of profits earned in lower tax jurisdictions Operations Services reported a slightly increased ETR due to provisions being marginally higher than anticipated at the half year
Energy Developments ETR is lower than estimated at the half year due to the recognition of UKCS pre trading expenditure and a net credit in respect of Australian activities 18
Tax charge by division FY 2007 1H 2007 2007 reported reported estimate
Engineering & Construction 21.9% 27.0% 35%
Operations Services 30.8% 27.3% 29%
Energy Developments 35.5% 50.1% 35%
Effective Tax Rate, estimated for 2008
Tax charge by division 2008 2007 estimate reported
Engineering & Construction 23% 21.9%
Operations Services 25% 30.8%
Energy Developments 46% 35.5%
Steady Engineering & Construction ETR due principally to a similar mix of income as 2007
Operations Services estimated ETR lower due to increased proportion of profits arising from outside UKCS Energy Developments estimated ETR higher due to the impact of the recognition of UKCS pre trading expenditure and a net credit in respect of Australian activities in 2007
19
858
1,081
1,415
81.3% 26.0% 30.9%
2005 2006 2007
Engineering & Construction
Revenue increased 31%
– High levels of activity on lump‐ sum EPC projects
– Strong growth in reimbursable engineering business
Backlog increased to US$2.5 billion
Key awards during the year included:
– In Salah gas compression project
– Kashagan third oil train
2,121 2,228
2,540
186.6% 5.0% 14.0%
2005 2006 2007
h h h
h
Revenue (US$m)
Backlog (US$m)
h h
20
Engineering & Construction
EBITDA increased by 37% due to revenue growth and margin improvement
EBITDA margin improvement due to continued strength in execution performance
EBITDA margin improvement lower than net profit margin improvement due to a reduction in the division’s ETR from 24.8% to 21.9%
Net profit increased by 44%
Net profit margin increased from 8.8% to 9.7%
63.5
127.3
173.9
7.4% 11.8% 12.3%
2005 2006 2007
EBITDA & margin (US$m)
Net profit & margin (US$m)
95.4
55.1
137.1
6.4% 8.8% 9.7%
2005 2006 2007 21
Operations Services
Revenue increased by 25%; net revenue increased by 35%*
Revenue growth driven by:
– commencement of Dubai petroleum contract
– international growth in Training and Brownfield engineering
– acquisition of SPD
Backlog remained steady
* Revenue excluding pass‐through revenue
Revenue (US$m)
Backlog (US$m)
1,123
1,945 1,901
2005 2006 2007
729
605
911
153
222
227
2005 2006 2007
h
20.5% 37.5%
h73.2% h12.2%
Passthrough revenue
24.9%
2.3% $
22
h h
Operations Services
EBITDA increased by 56%
EBITDA margin increased from 4.5% to 5.6% due to good operational performance
Net profit increased by 60%
Net profit margin increased from 2.5% to 3.2%
Excluding amortisation and finance charges due to acquisition intangibles and deferred consideration, underlying net margin increased to 4.7%
EBITDA & margin (US$m)
Net profit & margin (US$m)
15.6 18.1
28.9
3.4% 3.6%
2.5% 2.5%
4.7%
2005 2006 2007
27.5 32.9
51.2
4.5% 4.5% 5.6%
2005 2006 2007
3.2%
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Energy Developments
Revenue more than doubled due to full year contribution from Cendor (came on stream September 2006)
EBITDA increased from US$40.1m to US$82.8m due to full year contribution from Cendor Ohanet gas plant and Kyrgyzstan refinery continue to perform well
Revenue (US$m)
EBITDA & margin (US$m)
32.6 40.1
82.8
70.4% 64.6% 62.3%
2005 2006 2007
h 20.5%
h h
h 114%
132.8
46.3
62.1
2005 2006 2007
2.9% 34.1%
113.8%
h
h
h
24
Energy Developments
Net profit increased to US$33.4 million due to full year contribution from Cendor
Net profit is after:
– Recognition of a net tax asset of US$11.3 million in relation to UKCS pre‐trading expenditure and NT/P68 expenditure
– A provision of US$8.7 million against the division’s investment in NT/P68 following uncertainties surrounding the commercial outcome
25
Net profit & margin (US$m)
18.3 14.4
33.4
39.5% 23.1% 25.1%
2005 2006 2007
Energy Developments
Reserve table presented in results for first time
Proven and probable reserves increased significantly during 2007, from 8.8 million barrels of oil equivalent to 36.7 million
Growth principally from recognition of reserves for Don Southwest, West Don and Chergui
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Proven plus probable reserves
31 Dec 2007: 36.7 mmboe
1 Jan 2007: 8.8 mmboe
2.5
17.6
6.0
5.7
4.9 Ohanet Cendor Chergui Don SW W Don
5.5 3.3
‐ ‐ ‐
Outlook
Engineering & Construction – Strong backlog provides good visibility for current year revenue
– Backlog, awards and bidding pipeline should underpin strong growth in 2008 and beyond
– Net profit margins should be broadly maintained at recent levels
Operations Services – Continued growth in 2008; full year contribution from Dubai Petroleum (2007:9 months)
– Progress towards targeted net profit margins* of 5% in medium‐term
Energy Developments – Drilling programme planned for Cendor PM304; further development options to be assessed
– First gas on Chergui before middle of 2008
– Significant progress planned for Don Area assets: drilling programme, refurbishment of production vessel and installation of subsea infrastructure with a view to first oil in 2009
– Further investments expected during 2008
Well positioned for continued strong growth over the medium term
h h
27 * On revenue excluding pass‐through revenue
Notes EBITDA means earnings before interest, tax, depreciation and amortisation and is calculated as profit from operations before tax and finance costs adjusted to add back charges for depreciation, amortisation and impairment.
Net profit (for the group) means profit for the year from operations attributable to Petrofac Limited shareholders.
Backlog consists of the estimated revenue attributable to the uncompleted portion of lump‐sum engineering, procurement and construction contracts and variation orders plus, with regard to engineering services and facilities management contracts, the estimated revenue attributable to the lesser of the remaining term of the contract and, in the case of life of field facilities management contracts, five years. To the extent work advances on these contracts, revenue is recognised and removed from the backlog. Where contracts extend beyond five years, the backlog relating thereto is added to the backlog on a rolling monthly basis. Backlog includes only the revenue attributable to signed contracts for which all pre‐conditions to entry have been met and only the proportionate share of joint venture contracts that is attributable to Petrofac. Backlog does not include any revenue expected to arise from contracts where the client has no commitment to draw upon services from Petrofac. Backlog is not an audited measure. Other companies in the oil and gas industry may calculate these measures differently.
The group reports its financial results in US dollars and, accordingly, will declare any dividends in US dollars together with a Sterling equivalent. Unless shareholders have made valid elections to the contrary, they will receive any dividends payable in Sterling. Conversion of the 2007 final dividend from US dollars into Sterling is based upon an exchange rate of US$2.0146:£1, being the Bank of England Sterling spot rate as at midday, 7 March 2008.
Return on capital employed is defined as the ratio of earnings before interest, tax, amortisation and impairment charges (EBITA) divided by average capital employed, being average total assets employed less average total current liabilities.
Operating profit means profit from operations before tax and finance costs. 28
Appendices
11%
15%
20% 40%
14% Ohanet
Cendor
Chergui
Don SW
W Don
7%
13%
16%
48%
16%
Appendix 1: Energy Developments reserves
1 Jan 2007: 7.5 mmboe
31 Dec 2007: 22.7 mmboe
1 Jan 2007: 8.8 mmboe
Proven plus probable reserves Proven reserves
38%
62% 44%
56%
31 Dec 2007: 36.7 mmboe
Appendix 2: Energy Developments reserves by project
Appendix 3: five largest ongoing EPC contracts
Dec 04 Dec 05 Dec 06 Dec 07 Dec 08 Dec 09 Dec 10
Facilities upgrade, Kuwait
In Salah gas compression, Algeria
Harweel cluster development, Oman
Hasdrubal gas plant, Tunisia
Salam gas plant, Egypt
US$600m
US$376m
US$410m
US$983m
US$680m
Original contract value
2007 Final results March 2008