final san mateo county child care needs … care...future c hild care demand and supply in 2025 in...

66
0 Brion Economics '"c M E M O R A N D U M To: Kristen Anderson, Sarah Kinahan, Jenifer Clark, and Nirmala Dillman cc: Edwin Chen, Human Services Agency, San Mateo County From: Joanne Brion and Michelle Nilsson, Brion Economics Team Subject: Final San Mateo County Child Care Needs Assessment – 2015 and 2025 – Supply and Demand Analysis; BE #2513 - SMC Date: June 12, 2016 This memorandum presents methodology, analysis, and results of the Child Care Needs Assessment for current conditions (2015) and future conditions (2015) for children from birth to four years old by city/area in San Mateo County. The study does not include five-year-olds because it is assumed that the majority will be attending transitional kindergarten. The Needs Assessment has been prepared for the County of San Mateo, Human Services Agency, and Office of Education and First 5 of San Mateo County. Summary of Findings In 2015, there were an estimated 47,700 children ages birth to four-years-old in San Mateo County. Overall, 33,800 or 71% of those children require licensed or license- exempt care, based on labor force participation rates and demand factors (as discussed in more detail below). In San Mateo County, there is currently a shortage of 3,000 infant spaces and 7,800 preschool spaces. Overall, 68% of demand across both age groups is currently met. 1 By 2025, it is estimated that the demand for infant spaces will be 7,500 and demand for preschool spaces will be 29,500. Based on the current supply of spaces, there will be shortfall of almost 14,000 spaces overall and 62% of demand will be met. Overall, San Mateo County will see an increase in population of 60,200 residents between 2015 and 2025 for a total of 805,600 in 2025. For children birth to four-years- old, there will be an increase of 4,400 for a total of 52,130. 1 Demand for or shortage of infant and preschool spaces refers to licensed or license-exempt spaces. 707.494.6648 | [email protected] | www.brionecon.com

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Page 1: Final San Mateo County Child Care Needs … Care...Future C hild Care Demand and Supply in 2025 in Daly City/Colma San Mateo County Child Care Study - 2016 Note: All footnote references

0 Brion Economics c

M E M O R A N D U M

To Kristen Anderson Sarah Kinahan Jenifer Clark and Nirmala Dillman cc Edwin Chen Human Services Agency San Mateo County

From Joanne Brion and Michelle Nilsson Brion Economics Team

Subject Final San Mateo County Child Care Needs Assessment ndash 2015 and 2025 ndash Supply and Demand Analysis BE 2513 - SMC

Date June 12 2016

This memorandum presents methodology analysis and results of the Child Care Needs Assessment for current conditions (2015) and future conditions (2015) for children from birth to four years old by cityarea in San Mateo County The study does not include five-year-olds because it is assumed that the majority will be attending transitional kindergarten The Needs Assessment has been prepared for the County of San Mateo Human Services Agency and Office of Education and First 5 of San Mateo County

Summary of Findings

bull In 2015 there were an estimated 47700 children ages birth to four-years-old in San Mateo County Overall 33800 or 71 of those children require licensed or license-exempt care based on labor force participation rates and demand factors (as discussed in more detail below)

bull In San Mateo County there is currently a shortage of 3000 infant spaces and 7800 preschool spaces Overall 68 of demand across both age groups is currently met1

bull By 2025 it is estimated that the demand for infant spaces will be 7500 and demand for preschool spaces will be 29500 Based on the current supply of spaces there will be shortfall of almost 14000 spaces overall and 62 of demand will be met

bull Overall San Mateo County will see an increase in population of 60200 residents between 2015 and 2025 for a total of 805600 in 2025 For children birth to four-years-old there will be an increase of 4400 for a total of 52130

1 Demand for or shortage of infant and preschool spaces refers to licensed or license-exempt spaces

7074946648 | joannebrioneconcom | wwwbrioneconcom

--

middot - I

Final Child Care Needs Assessment ndash 2015 and 2025 San Mateo Early Learning Facilities Study

June 12 2016 Page 2 of 9

Supply and Demand for Child Care in San Mateo County - 2015 40000

6821

26971

33792

3815

19189

23003

(3006)

(7783)

(10789) (15000)

(10000)

(5000)

0

5000

10000

15000

20000

25000

30000

35000

Under 2 Years Old 2 to 4 Years Old Total 0 to 4 Years Old

Num

ber o

f Chi

ld C

are

Spac

es

Children by Age Group

Demand Supply Surplus(Shortage)

29506

36984

30000

40000

Supply and Demand for Child Care in San Mateo County - 2025

7478

3815

19189

23003

(3663)

(10318) (10000)

0

10000

20000

Num

ber o

f Chi

ld C

are

Spac

es

(13981)

(20000)

Under 2 Years Old 2 to 4 Years Old Total 0 to 4 Years Old

Children by Age Group

Demand Supply Surplus(Shortage)

Prepared by Brion Economics Inc Final Report

Final Child Care Needs Assessment ndash 2015 and 2025 San Mateo Early Learning Facilities Study

June 12 2016 Page 3 of 9

The Needs Assessment begins with the underlying demographic data and then growth projections are incorporated into the analysis Child care supply and demand analysis by city and for the County is then estimated at 2015 and 2025 Appendix A presents the full Needs Assessment tables and the supporting data

Appendix A Tables 1 to 13 comprise the population employment summary of supply and demand estimates and any unmet demand by cityarea These data tables are followed by detailed analysis tables one set for each of the 20 citiesareas analyzed for this study and one for San Mateo County as a whole under current 2015 conditions (Tables A-1 to A-21) Tables B-1 to B-21 present the analysis of future 2025 conditions for the same set of citiesareas Table C-1 includes the endnotes for all Appendix A tables Table C-2 summarizes labor force participation rates by cityarea

This study focuses on children ages 0 to 4 with the following breakdown

bull Infants ndash children under age 2 bull Preschool ndash children ages 2 to 4

While most needs assessment focus on children ages 0 to 12 or 13 this study is particularly focused on children birth to four-years-old or infants and preschool children It is assumed that most five-year-olds will be enrolled in kindergarten or transitional kindergarten and will not be generating demand for preschool age child care spaces The committee overseeing this effort made a policy decision to focus on 0 to 4 year olds for this effort although technically First 5 serves children from birth through age five

Demographic Tables

The Needs Assessment is focused on 18 incorporated cities and two other unincorporated special areas as shown in Table 1 The two unincorporated areas are defined as the Half Moon Bay Region and South Coast Half Moon Bay Region includes the City of Half Moon Bay as well as the communities of El Granada Montara and Moss Beach South Coast includes the communities of La Honda Loma Mar and Pescadero

Table 1 shows population estimates for each of the citiesareas from different sources and at different time periods Population from the 2010 US Census is listed as well as 2010 and 2015 estimates by the Association of Bay Area Governments (ABAG) Projections 2013 The US Census breaks out the communities in the Half Moon Bay Region and South Coast areas individually ABAG does not provide this detail although it breaks out an area called Half Moon Bay Unincorporated To calculate the population for Half Moon Bay Region using the ABAG data 93 of the Half Moon Bay Unincorporated population was added to the population of the City of Half Moon Bay based on the percentage of population of the Half Moon Bay Region compared to South Coast from the US Census To calculate the population for South Coast 7 of the Half Moon Bay Unincorporated population was attributed to the other area

Prepared by Brion Economics Inc Final Report

Final Child Care Needs Assessment ndash 2015 and 2025 San Mateo Early Learning Facilities Study

June 12 2016 Page 4 of 9

ABAG also lists 6300 residents in the ldquoRemainderrdquo of San Mateo County The analysis uses ABAG population that includes each cityrsquos sphere of influence (SOI) However ABAG still designates a remainder area with an amount of population and employment that is assumed to represent pockets of unincorporated areas on the east side of the County This Remainder was distributed evenly between the cities of Redwood City and Menlo Park which both have substantial unincorporated pockets and adjacent areas As shown in Table 1 total population for San Mateo County in 2015 is estimated at 745400

Based on ABAG data Table 2 shows population growth by cityarea between 2015 and 2025 Overall the County is expected to grow from 745500 residents to 805600 an increase of 60200 or 81 In terms of size Redwood City will see the largest population growth in the county with approximately 12000 new residents followed by San Mateo with an estimated 9000 new residents The City of Millbrae is projected to see the largest percentage increase of population at 123 given its small base The cities of East Palo Alto Redwood City San Bruno and South San Francisco are all expected to see around 11 growth

Age Groupings

Table 3 calculates 2015 population by age group for all children under two years old and children two to four years old The breakdown of children by age is calculated based on data from the 2010 US Census which breaks down population by age The percentage of children from birth to two years and from two to four years was applied to current 2015 population figures to estimate the current number of children by age group Countywide there are approximately 19000 children under the age of two years and 28676 children between the ages of two and four years old for a total of 47684 Children ages four and under make up approximately 64 of the total County population

Employment

Current and future employment based on ABAG projections is summarized in Table 4 For employment projections the Half Moon Bay Region includes the City of Half Moon Bay as well as all of Unincorporated Half Moon Bay as estimated by ABAG South Coast area does not have employment according to ABAG We included San Francisco Airport and Remainder as separate line items for employment projections As of 2015 there are approximately 374900 employees or jobs in San Mateo County Total employment is expected to increase by 105 to 414240 by 2025 The San Francisco Airport is estimated to see the largest employee growth percentage-wise at 139 followed by East Palo Alto at 134 San Mateo at 132 and Redwood City at 126 The Cities of Redwood City and San Mateo have the largest expected job growth in terms of actual number of jobs

Based on other work by Brion Economics current ABAG projections do not accurately capture expected employment growth in both Menlo Park and East Palo Alto ABAG estimates employment in Menlo Park to increase from 31920 in 2015 to 34390 in 2025 or a net increase

Prepared by Brion Economics Inc Final Report

Final Child Care Needs Assessment ndash 2015 and 2025 San Mateo Early Learning Facilities Study

June 12 2016 Page 5 of 9

of 2470 Based on a new study2 by the Menlo Park Fire Protection District (MPFPD) employment at 2025 is estimated at 40300 which is substantially higher or a net increase of almost 84003 For East Palo Alto ABAG also underestimates growth forecasting a total of 3310 employees in 2025 Based on the study by MPFPD this figure is estimated at 6046 jobs Because other cities may be planning for growth that we are not aware of we are using the published ABAG projections for all of the citiesareas even though we know that some figures may be understated This suggests that the analysis is conservative and growth and therefore child care demand may be higher than analyzed here

Also shown in Table 4 is the percent and number of employees that work in each cityarea but live outside the County based on data from the US Census Journey-to-Work data4 These numbers are calculated for 2015 and the 2015 assumptions are applied to 2025 total employment estimates Overall approximately 41 of employees that work in citiesareas of San Mateo County reside outside of the County In 2015 this accounts for approximately 154300 employees and in 2025 it is estimated to total 170400 employees based on applying current percentages to future employment estimates

Supply

Table 5 summarizes current licensed and legally license-exempt5 child care supply by age group for Infants and Preschool by cityarea as of June 2015 based on information provided by Child Care Coordinating Council of San Mateo County (4Cs) and Child Care Licensing Supply data includes the number of providers by type (either Family Child Care Homes or Licensed Centers) and breaks down the number of spaces by age group either Infants or Preschool Total child care supply for each cityarea is calculated as well as the distribution of spaces by age group6

Countywide there are approximately 3800 infant spaces and 19200 preschool spaces for a total of just over 23000 spaces Based on actual number of spaces the City of San Mateo has the most with almost 3900 spaces It is followed by Redwood City with approximately 3300 spaces

2 Based on data from ldquoPublic Review Draft Menlo Park Fire Protection District Emergency Services and Fire Protection Impact Fee Nexus Study 2015rdquo 3 The Menlo Park Fire Protection District Study estimates employment at 2015 and 2035 The figure used here for 2025 was calculated using an average growth rate per year and applying it to the next 10 years 4 For cities with populations over 65000 the Journey-to-Work data is from 2006-2008 (most current available) for cities with smaller populations the data is based on a different Journey-to-Work data from 2006-2010 (most current available) Data was provided by Shimon Israel at MTC in March 2016 5 Legally license-exempt programs include programs run by City Park amp Recreation programs Co-operativeParent Participation programs school district programs and federal migrant programs 6 One center with an Atherton address and five centers with Menlo Park addresses have been moved to count towards Redwood City per Kristen Andersonrsquos request

Prepared by Brion Economics Inc Final Report

Final Child Care Needs Assessment ndash 2015 and 2025 San Mateo Early Learning Facilities Study

June 12 2016 Page 6 of 9

Demand

Demand is calculated by taking the number of children by age group with working parents based on applying labor force participation rates (LFPRs) for children under age six (from the 2014 5-Year American Community Survey) to the number of Infants and Preschoolers to calculate the number of children in each of those age groups with working parents Three- and four-year-olds are not discounted by LFPRs because the County wants to include all three- and four-year-olds in the demand factor to support the Countyrsquos universal preschool policy Labor force participation rates include families with two working parents or a single parent who works

Relevant demand factors are then applied to the number of children with working parents to determine the number of those children requiring licensed care as discussed above It is assumed that only a percentage of children with working parents require licensed care because some parents choose to have nannies extended family friends or other arrangements for their children and are therefore not looking for a licensed child care space

For Infants a demand factor of 37 is applied This is the demand factor recommended by the California Child Care Coordinators Association for needs assessments and agreed upon by the data committee for this project

For Preschool children demand factors typically vary between 75 and 100 of children with working parents At the direction of the data committee we are using 100 of three- and four-year-old children requiring care regardless of whether their parents work in support of the Countyrsquos overall policy to promote universal preschool For two-year-olds a 75 licensed care demand factor is applied after LFPRs are applied For three- and four-year-olds a 100 licensed care demand factor is applied assuming all three- and four-year-olds in the County require a licensed child care space

Once demand is calculated the percent distribution of total demand for spaces by age group is calculated as well as the percent of total children requiring licensed care

The total demand for spaces by age group for both 2015 and 2025 is summarized in Table 6 At 2015 Redwood City shows the greatest demand for both age groups needing over 5800 spaces The City of San Mateo follows requiring almost 5000 spaces Overall there is demand for over 6800 infant spaces and almost 27000 preschool spaces or 33800 spaces countywide in 2015 In 2025 the demand in Redwood City is still highest with a 179 increase for total demand of over 6600 spaces In 2025 it is expected that there will be a need for 7500 infant spaces and 29500 preschool spaces for a total demand of almost 37000 licensed child care spaces

Current child care demand from employees is calculated in Table 7 based on the employment numbers calculated in Table 4 for each cityarea It is assumed that 3 of employees require

Prepared by Brion Economics Inc Final Report

Final Child Care Needs Assessment ndash 2015 and 2025 San Mateo Early Learning Facilities Study

June 12 2016 Page 7 of 9

licensed care in the County based on other studies that have looked at employee demand The analysis assumes one child aged birth to four years old per employee on average Of those children it is assumed that 40 require infant spaces and 60 require preschool spaces This breakdown is based on the current ratio of infants and preschool age children in the County currently It is estimated that there are approximately 4600 children of employees who work in the County that require care Of those 1800 are estimated to be infants and almost 2800 are estimated to be preschool age Demand for SF Airport is included in total demand for South San Francisco and employee demand for the Remainder area is applied to Redwood City

Table 8 presents the same data as Table 7 but for 2025 conditions It is estimated that 5100 employee children from birth to four years old will demand licensed care in the County in 2025 with approximately 2000 requiring infant spaces and 3100 requiring preschool spaces

The surplusshortage and percent of demand met for licensed infant and preschool care by cityarea in 2015 is shown in Table 9 Countywide 56 of infant demand is met and 71 of current preschool demand is met Table 10 shows the same data for 2025 it is estimated that 51 and 65 of demand for infant and preschool spaces respectively will be met These figures assume existing supply and do not account for any new supply that may be built over the next 10 years The communities of Atherton Foster City and South Coast do show some surpluses of child care spaces

The number of current child care providers by type is summarized in Table 11 There are currently 621 family child care homes and 309 licensed and license-exempt centers in San Mateo County

Tables 12 and 13 summarize the shortage of spaces by type (family child care home or center) and by age group (infant or preschool) at 2015 and 2025 These figures are estimated based on the current distribution of space by type of providers on a pro rata basis For example if a community has 60 of its infant spaces in family child care homes and 40 in centers the current shortage of spaces is distributed at that same ratio If there is a shortage of 100 infant spaces it would be assumed that 60 new infant spaces at family child care homes and 40 center spaces would be needed

Table A-1 shows a summary of current 2015 supply and demand countywide and Tables A-2 through A-21 estimate supply and demand by cityarea Tables B-1 through B-21 show the summary of future demand compared to existing supply at 2025 Table C-1 has the endnotes for all of the A and B Tables and Table C-2 summarizes labor force participation rates by cityarea

Prepared by Brion Economics Inc Final Report

Final Child Care Needs Assessment ndash 2015 and 2025 San Mateo Early Learning Facilities Study

June 12 2016 Page 8 of 9

APPENDIX TABLES Table Index Appendix A Child Care Needs Assessment (Supply and Demand) as of 2015 and 2015 San Mateo County Child Care Study - 2016 Table Table Name

Table 1 Population Summary Table for 2010 2015 and 2025 Table 2 Population Growth by City 2015 and 2025 from ABAG Table 3 Population by Age Group by City 2015 and 2025 Table 4 Employment Growth and Employee Residence by City 2015 and 2025 Table 5 Child Care Supply Summary Table for 2015 Table 6 Child Care Demand Summary Table for 2015 and 2025 Table 7 Employee Demand Summary Table for 2015 Table 8 Employee Demand Summary Table for 2025 Table 9 Summary of Demand Met by Existing Facilities in Each Community at 2015 Table 10 Summary of Demand Met by Existing Facilities in Each Community at 2025 Table 11 Number of Child Care Providers by City in 2015 Table 12 Summary of Shortage of Child Care Center Spaces by Age - 2015 Table 13 Summary of Shortage of Child Care Center Spaces by Age - 2025

Existing Conditions - 2015 Table A-1 Existing Child Care Demand and Supply in 2015 Countywide Table A-2 Existing Child Care Demand and Supply in 2015 in Atherton Table A-3 Existing Child Care Demand and Supply in 2015 in Belmont Table A-4 Existing Child Care Demand and Supply in 2015 in Brisbane Table A-5 Existing Child Care Demand and Supply in 2015 in Burlingame Table A-6 Existing Child Care Demand and Supply in 2015 in Daly CityColma Table A-7 Existing Child Care Demand and Supply in 2015 in East Palo Alto Table A-8 Existing Child Care Demand and Supply in 2015 in Foster City Table A-9 Existing Child Care Demand and Supply in 2015 in Half Moon Bay Region Table A-10 Existing Child Care Demand and Supply in 2015 in Hillsborough Table A-11 Existing Child Care Demand and Supply in 2015 in Menlo Park Table A-12 Existing Child Care Demand and Supply in 2015 in Millbrae Table A-13 Existing Child Care Demand and Supply in 2015 in Pacifica Table A-14 Existing Child Care Demand and Supply in 2015 in Portola Valley Table A-15 Existing Child Care Demand and Supply in 2015 in Redwood City Table A-16 Existing Child Care Demand and Supply in 2015 in San Bruno Table A-17 Existing Child Care Demand and Supply in 2015 in San Carlos Table A-18 Existing Child Care Demand and Supply in 2015 in San Mateo Table A-19 Existing Child Care Demand and Supply in 2015 in South Coast Table A-20 Existing Child Care Demand and Supply in 2015 in South San Francisco Table A-21 Existing Child Care Demand and Supply in 2015 in Woodside Continued

Prepared by Brion Economics Inc Final Report

Final Child Care Needs Assessment ndash 2015 and 2025 San Mateo Early Learning Facilities Study

June 12 2016 Page 9 of 9

Future Conditions - 2025 Table B-1 Future Child Care Demand and Supply in 2025 Countywide Table B-2 Future Child Care Demand and Supply in 2025 in Atherton Table B-3 Future Child Care Demand and Supply in 2025 in Belmont Table B-4 Future Child Care Demand and Supply in 2025 in Brisbane Table B-5 Future Child Care Demand and Supply in 2025 in Burlingame Table B-6 Future Child Care Demand and Supply in 2025 in Daly CityColma Table B-7 Future Child Care Demand and Supply in 2025 in East Palo Alto Table B-8 Future Child Care Demand and Supply in 2025 in Foster City Table B-9 Future Child Care Demand and Supply in 2025 in Half Moon Bay Region Table B-10 Future Child Care Demand and Supply in 2025 in Hillsborough Table B-11 Future Child Care Demand and Supply in 2025 in Menlo Park Table B-12 Future Child Care Demand and Supply in 2025 in Millbrae Table B-13 Future Child Care Demand and Supply in 2025 in Pacifica Table B-14 Future Child Care Demand and Supply in 2025 in Portola Valley Table B-15 Future Child Care Demand and Supply in 2025 in Redwood City Table B-16 Future Child Care Demand and Supply in 2025 in San Bruno Table B-17 Future Child Care Demand and Supply in 2025 in San Carlos Table B-18 Future Child Care Demand and Supply in 2025 in San Mateo Table B-19 Future Child Care Demand and Supply in 2025 in South Coast Table B-20 Future Child Care Demand and Supply in 2025 in South San Francisco Table B-21 Future Child Care Demand and Supply in 2025 in Woodside

Table C-1 Endnotes for Tables Table C-2 Labor Force Participation Rates by CityArea

Source Brion Economics Inc

Prepared by Brion Economics Inc Final Report

2010 Population 2010 Population 2015 Population

CityArea (Census) (ABAG) (ABAG)

Atherton 6914 6914 7100

Belmont 25835 25995 26600

Brisbane 4282 4282 4400

Burlingame 28806 29873 31300

Daly CityColma 102915 108167 111200

East Palo Alto 28155 28155 29200

Foster City 30567 30567 31000

Half Moon Bay Region (1) 22803 21956 22329

Hillsborough 10825 10825 11000

Menlo Park (2) 32026 36816 40850

Millbrae 21532 21532 22800

Pacifica 37234 37234 37600

Portola Valley 4353 6432 6500

Redwood City (2) 76815 100509 109350

San Bruno 41114 41114 43500

San Carlos 28406 30015 30800

San Mateo 97207 101234 105600

South Coast (3) 1684 847 871

South San Francisco 63632 63803 67400

Woodside 5287 5933 6000

Total 670392 712203 745400

FINAL

Table 1

Population Summary Table for 2010 2015 and 2025

San Mateo County Child Care Study - 2016

(1) Half Moon Bay Region includes the City of Half Moon Bay El Granada Montara

and Moss Beach

(2) ABAG Projections have 6300 people listed as Remainder population this

amount is divided equally between Menlo Park and Redwood City given that

they are surrounded by unincorporated areas

(3) South Coast includes La Honda Loma Mar and Pescadero

Sources 2010 US Census ABAG Projections 2013 Brion Economics Inc

Prepared by Brion Economics Inc 2513-SMC NA Final Tables 61216 6122016

CityArea

Population

at 2015

Population

at 2025

CHANGE 2015 to 2025

2015 to

2025 Change

Atherton

Belmont

Brisbane

Burlingame

Daly CityColma

East Palo Alto

Foster City

Half Moon Bay Region (1)

Hillsborough

Menlo Park (2)

Millbrae

Pacifica

Portola Valley

Redwood City (2)

San Bruno

San Carlos

San Mateo

South Coast (3)

South San Francisco

Woodside

Total by Age

7100

26600

4400

31300

111200

29200

31000

22329

11000

40850

22800

37600

6500

109350

43500

30800

105600

871

67400

6000

7400

27900

4600

34300

118000

32400

32300

24140

11400

42750

25600

39000

6700

121350

48400

32600

114600

960

75000

6200

300

1300

200

3000

6800

3200

1300

1811

400

1900

2800

1400

200

12000

4900

1800

9000

89

7600

200

42

49

45

96

61

110

42

81

36

47

123

37

31

110

113

58

85

102

113

33

745400 805600 60200 81 I I I I

FINAL

Table 2

Population Growth by City 2015 and 2025 from ABAG

San Mateo County Child Care Study - 2016

(1) Half Moon Bay Region includes the City of Half Moon Bay El Granada

Montara and Moss Beach

(2) ABAG Projections have 6300 people listed as Remainder population this

amount is divided equally between Menlo Park and Redwood City given that

they are surrounded by unincorporated areas

(3) South Coast includes La Honda Loma Mar and Pescadero

Sources 2010 US Census ABAG Projections 2013 Brion Economics Inc

Prepared by Brion Economics Inc 2513-SMC NA Final Tables 61216 6122016

2015 2025 CHANGE 2015 to 2025

Children 4 and Under

Under 2 2 to 4 as of Total Under 2 2 to 4 Under 2 2 to 4

CityArea Years Old Year Olds Total Population Years Old Year Olds Total Years Old Year Olds Total

Atherton 105 185 290 41 109 193 302 4 8 12

Belmont 708 1045 1753 66 743 1095 1838 35 50 85

Brisbane 125 166 292 66 131 174 305 6 8 13

Burlingame 824 1216 2040 65 903 1332 2235 79 117 195

Daly CityColma 2495 3575 6070 55 2647 3793 6440 153 218 370

East Palo Alto 1046 1667 2713 93 1161 1849 3010 115 183 297

Foster City 836 1277 2113 68 871 1330 2201 35 54 89

Half Moon Bay Region (1) 511 860 1371 61 553 929 1482 41 70 111

Hillsborough 138 331 469 43 143 343 487 5 12 17

Menlo Park (2) 1170 1723 2893 71 1327 1954 3281 157 231 388

Millbrae 421 717 1138 50 473 805 1278 52 88 140

Pacifica 787 1253 2040 54 816 1300 2116 29 47 76

Portola Valley 75 187 261 40 77 192 269 2 6 8

Redwood City (2) 3260 4706 7966 73 3725 5378 9103 465 671 1136

San Bruno 1069 1553 2622 60 1189 1728 2917 120 175 295

San Carlos 735 1308 2043 66 778 1384 2162 43 76 119

San Mateo 2943 4213 7156 68 3194 4572 7766 251 359 610

South Coast (3) 21 29 50 57 23 32 55 2 3 5

South San Francisco 1649 2507 4156 62 1835 2790 4625 186 283 469

Woodside 90 160 250 42 93 165 258 3 5 8

Total by Age 19008 28678 47686 64 20790 31340 52130 1783 2662 4444

FINAL

Table 3

Population by Age Group by City 2015 and 2025

San Mateo County Child Care Study - 2016

(1) Half Moon Bay Region includes the City of Half Moon Bay El Granada Montara and Moss Beach

(2) ABAG Projections have 6300 people listed as Remainder population this amount is divided equally between Menlo Park and Redwood City given that they

are surrounded by unincorporated areas

(3) South Coast includes La Honda Loma Mar and Pescadero

Sources 2010 US Census ABAG Projections 2013 Brion Economics Inc

Prepared by Brion Economics Inc 2513-SMC NA Final Tables 61216 6122016

CHANGE 2015 to 2025 2015 2025

Percent that Work Employees that Percent that Work Employees that

Jobs at Jobs at in City and Live Work in City and in City and Live Work in City and

CityArea 2015 2025 2015 to 2025 Change Outside Co Live Outside Co Outside Co Live Outside Co

Atherton 2730 2920 190 70 360 983 360 1051

Belmont 9540 10430 890 93 298 2843 298 3108

Brisbane 7320 7790 470 64 590 4316 590 4593

Burlingame 32040 35250 3210 100 365 11680 365 12850

Daly CityColma 26110 28540 2430 93 404 10540 404 11521

East Palo Alto 2920 3310 390 134 508 1485 508 1683

Foster City 14810 16190 1380 93 412 6108 412 6677

Half Moon Bay Region (1) 7830 8410 580 74 135 1060 135 1138

Hillsborough 1950 2080 130 67 280 546 280 583

Menlo Park 31920 34390 2470 77 576 18390 576 19813

Millbrae 7480 8370 890 119 308 2304 308 2578

Pacifica 6210 6650 440 71 242 1504 242 1611

Portola Valley 2060 2200 140 68 334 689 334 736

Redwood City 71460 80430 8970 126 480 34317 480 38624

San Bruno 13800 15390 1590 115 370 5106 370 5695

San Carlos 18100 19650 1550 86 348 6295 348 6834

San Mateo 58680 66400 7720 132 329 19314 329 21855

South Coast (2) 0 0 0 00 149 0 149 0

South San Francisco 47380 51760 4380 92 467 22128 467 24173

Woodside 2520 2660 140 56 281 708 281 747

SF Airport (3) 7870 8960 1090 139 467 3676 467 4185

Remainder (3) 2210 2460 250 113 135 299 135 333

Total Employment 374940 414240 39300 105 412 154289 411 170387

FINAL

Table 4

Employment Growth and Employee Residence by City 2015 and 2025

San Mateo County Child Care Study - 2016

Note This analysis uses the published projections prepared by ABAG from ldquoProjections 2013rdquo and the cities including their sphere of influence or SOI This is done for consistency purposes While individual cities may be planning for additional growth not included in ABAGrsquos forecast (such as Menlo Park and East Palo Alto) it was decided that the consistency of using one data source was more important Thus these estimates could be considered

conservative

(1) For employment Half Moon Bay Region includes all of the City of Half Moon Bay and Unincorporated Half Moon Bay as defined by ABAG

(2) No data on employment is available through ABAG for the South Coast area

(3) SF Airport and Remainder are groupings by ABAG We listed them separately as SF Airport has no residential population

Sources ABAG Projections 2013 Brion Economics Inc

Prepared by Brion Economics Inc 2513-SMC NA Final Tables 61216 6122016

Under 2 2 to 4 Year Total CityArea as of

CityArea Years Old Olds Supply Total Supply

Atherton 29 273 302 13

Belmont 106 615 722 31

Brisbane 4 69 73 03

Burlingame 119 965 1085 47

Daly CityColma 372 1626 1997 87

East Palo Alto 110 739 849 37

Foster City 206 1349 1555 68

Half Moon Bay Region (1) 131 406 536 23

Hillsborough 5 97 102 04

Menlo Park (2) 149 1427 1576 69

Millbrae 62 454 517 22

Pacifica 116 798 914 40

Portola Valley 0 153 153 07

Redwood City (2) 752 2533 3285 143

San Bruno 148 1336 1484 65

San Carlos 149 707 855 37

San Mateo 701 3196 3897 169

South Coast (3) 0 54 54 02

South San Francisco 652 2283 2935 128

Woodside 4 108 112 05

Total 3815 19189 23003 1000

FINAL

Table 5

Child Care Supply Summary Table for 2015

San Mateo County Child Care Study - 2016

Note Totals may be off slightly due to rounding

(1) Half Moon Bay Region includes the City of Half Moon Bay El Granada Montara

and Moss Beach

(2) ABAG Projections have 6300 people listed as Remainder population this

amount is divided equally between Menlo Park and Redwood City given that

they are surrounded by unincorporated areas

(3) South Coast includes La Honda Loma Mar and Pescadero

Sources Child Care Coordinating Council of San Mateo County (4Cs) Community

Care Licensing Brion Economics Inc

Prepared by Brion Economics Inc 2513-SMC NA Final Tables 61216 6122016

2015 2025

CityArea as CityArea as

Under 2 2 to 4 Year Total of Total Under 2 2 to 4 Total of Total

CityArea Years Old Olds Demand Demand Years Old Year Olds Demand Demand

Atherton 27 165 192 06 29 173 201 05

Belmont 237 950 1187 35 250 999 1249 34

Brisbane 98 231 329 10 103 243 346 09

Burlingame 338 1236 1574 47 371 1356 1726 47

Daly CityColma 811 3237 4048 120 865 3441 4306 116

East Palo Alto 292 1419 1711 51 324 1575 1900 51

Foster City 268 1145 1414 42 283 1199 1483 40

Half Moon Bay Region (1) 144 742 885 26 155 802 957 26

Hillsborough 33 282 315 09 34 292 327 09

Menlo Park (2) 516 1790 2306 68 573 2011 2584 70

Millbrae 124 640 764 23 139 718 857 23

Pacifica 244 1117 1360 40 254 1159 1413 38

Portola Valley 26 171 198 06 28 177 204 06

Redwood City (2) 1241 4567 5808 172 1411 5208 6619 179

San Bruno 364 1418 1782 53 405 1578 1983 54

San Carlos 270 1222 1492 44 288 1297 1585 43

San Mateo 1003 3886 4889 145 1099 4233 5332 144

South Coast (3) 4 23 28 01 5 26 30 01

South San Francisco 755 2588 3343 99 835 2874 3709 100

Woodside 27 141 168 05 28 146 174 05

Total 6821 26971 33792 1000 7478 29506 36984 1000

FINAL

Table 6

Child Care Demand Summary Table for 2015 and 2025

San Mateo County Child Care Study - 2016

(1) Half Moon Bay Region includes the City of Half Moon Bay El Granada Montara and Moss Beach

(2) ABAG Projections have 6300 people listed as Remainder population this amount is divided equally between Menlo Park

and Redwood City given that they are surrounded by unincorporated areas

(3) South Coast includes La Honda Loma Mar and Pescadero

Sources 2010 US Census ABAG Projections 2013 Brion Economics Inc

Prepared by Brion Economics Inc 2513-SMC NA Final Tables 61216 6122016

No of Non- No of Employee

Resident No of 0 to 2 No of 3 to 4 Children Needing

CityArea Assumptions Employees Year Olds Year Olds Licensed Care

Estimated Percent of Employees

Needing Licensed Care (1) 300 40 60 100

Atherton 983 12 18 29

Belmont 2843 34 51 85

Brisbane 4316 52 78 129

Burlingame 11680 140 211 350

Daly CityColma 10540 126 190 316

East Palo Alto 1485 18 27 45

Foster City 6108 73 110 183

Half Moon Bay Region (2) 1060 13 19 32

Hillsborough 546 7 10 16

Menlo Park 18390 220 332 552

Millbrae 2304 28 42 69

Pacifica 1504 18 27 45

Portola Valley 689 8 12 21

Redwood City 34317 410 619 1029

San Bruno 5106 61 92 153

San Carlos 6295 75 114 189

San Mateo 19314 231 348 579

South Coast (3) 0 0 0 0

South San Francisco 22128 265 399 664

Woodside 708 8 13 21

SF Airport (4) 3676 44 66 110

Remainder (4) 299 4 5 9

Total Countywide 154289 1845 2784 4629

FINAL

Table 7

Employee Demand Summary Table for 2015

San Mateo County Child Care Study - 2016

Note Totals may be off slightly due to rounding

(1) We are assuming 3 of employees children require licensed care the breakdown of demand for infant and

preschool spaces is based on the percentage of infants and preschoolers who currently reside in San Mateo

County

(2) Half Moon Bay Region includes the City of Half Moon Bay El Granada Montara and Moss Beach

(3) South Coast includes La Honda Loma Mar and Pescadero

(4) SF Airport and Remainder are groupings by ABAG For employment SF Airport demand is attributed to South San

Francisco and Remainder demand is included with Redwood City

Sources 2010 US Census ABAG Projections 2013 2014 5-Year American Community Survey Journey-To-Work Data

Brion Economics Inc

Prepared by Brion Economics Inc 2513-SMC NA Final Tables 61216 6122016

No of Non- No of Employee

Resident No of 0 to 2 No of 3 to 4 Children Needing

CityArea Assumptions Employees Year Olds Year Olds Licensed Care

Estimated Percent of Employees

Needing Licensed Care (1) 300 40 60 100

Atherton 1051 13 19 32

Belmont 3108 37 56 93

Brisbane 4593 55 83 138

Burlingame 12850 154 232 385

Daly CityColma 11521 138 208 346

East Palo Alto 1683 20 30 50

Foster City 6677 80 120 200

Half Moon Bay Region (2) 1138 14 21 34

Hillsborough 583 7 11 17

Menlo Park 19813 237 357 594

Millbrae 2578 31 47 77

Pacifica 1611 19 29 48

Portola Valley 736 9 13 22

Redwood City 38624 462 697 1159

San Bruno 5695 68 103 171

San Carlos 6834 82 123 205

San Mateo 21855 261 394 656

South Coast (3) 0 0 0 0

South San Francisco 24173 289 436 725

Woodside 747 9 13 22

SF Airport (4) 4185 50 75 126

Remainder (4) 333 4 6 10

Total Countywide 170387 2037 3074 5112

FINAL

Table 8

Employee Demand Summary Table for 2025

San Mateo County Child Care Study - 2016

Note Totals may be off slightly due to rounding

(1) We are assuming 3 of employees children require licensed care the breakdown of demand for infant and

preschool spaces is based on the percentage of infants and preschoolers who currently reside in San Mateo County

(2) Half Moon Bay Region includes the City of Half Moon Bay El Granada Montara and Moss Beach

(3) South Coast includes La Honda Loma Mar and Pescadero

(4) SF Airport and Remainder are groupings by ABAG For employment SF Airport demand is attributed to South San

Francisco and Remainder demand is included with Redwood City

Sources 2010 US Census ABAG Projections 2013 2014 5-Year American Community Survey Journey-To-Work Data

Brion Economics Inc

Prepared by Brion Economics Inc 2513-SMC NA Final Tables 61216 6122016

2015

Surplus(Shortage) of Infant Surplus(Shortage) of Preschool Total Total

CityArea of Infant Spaces Demand Met of Preschool Spaces Demand Met Surplus(Shortage) Demand Met

Atherton 2 107 108 165 110 157

Belmont (130) 45 (335) 65 (465) 61

Brisbane (94) 4 (162) 30 (255) 22

Burlingame (219) 35 (271) 78 (489) 69

Daly CityColma (439) 46 (1612) 50 (2051) 49

East Palo Alto (182) 38 (680) 52 (862) 50

Foster City (62) 77 203 118 141 110

Half Moon Bay Region (1) (13) 91 (336) 55 (349) 61

Hillsborough (28) 15 (185) 34 (213) 32

Menlo Park (2) (367) 29 (363) 80 (730) 68

Millbrae (61) 50 (186) 71 (247) 0

Pacifica (128) 48 (319) 71 (447) 67

Portola Valley (26) 0 (18) 89 (45) 77

Redwood City (2) (490) 61 (2034) 55 (2524) 57

San Bruno (216) 41 (82) 94 (298) 83

San Carlos (121) 55 (516) 58 (637) 57

San Mateo (302) 70 (690) 82 (992) 80

South Coast (3) (4) 0 31 230 26 195

South San Francisco (103) 86 (306) 88 (408) 88

Woodside (23) 16 (33) 77 (55) 67

Countywide (3006) 56 (7783) 71 (10789) 68

FINAL

Table 9

Summary of Demand Met by Existing Facilities in Each Community at 2015

San Mateo County Child Care Study - 2016

Note Totals may be off slightly due to rounding

(1) Half Moon Bay Region includes the City of Half Moon Bay El Granada Montara and Moss Beach

(2) ABAG Projections have 6300 people listed as Remainder population this amount is divided equally between Menlo Park and Redwood

City given that they are surrounded by unincorporated areas

(3) South Coast includes La Honda Loma Mar and Pescadero

Sources 2010 US Census ABAG Projections 2013 Brion Economics Inc

Prepared by Brion Economics Inc 2513-SMC NA Final Tables 61216 6122016

2025

Surplus(Shortage) of Infant Surplus(Shortage) of Preschool Total Total

CityArea of Infant Spaces Demand Met of Preschool Spaces Demand Met Surplus(Shortage) Demand Met

Atherton 0 101 101 158 101 150

Belmont (143) 43 (384) 62 (527) 58

Brisbane (99) 4 (174) 29 (273) 21

Burlingame (252) 32 (390) 71 (642) 63

Daly CityColma (493) 43 (1816) 47 (2308) 46

East Palo Alto (215) 34 (836) 47 (1050) 45

Foster City (77) 73 150 112 73 105

Half Moon Bay Region (1) (24) 84 (396) 51 (421) 56

Hillsborough (29) 14 (195) 33 (225) 31

Menlo Park (2) (424) 26 (584) 71 (1008) 61

Millbrae (76) 45 (264) 63 (340) 60

Pacifica (138) 46 (361) 69 (499) 65

Portola Valley (28) 0 (24) 87 (51) 75

Redwood City (2) (660) 53 (2674) 49 (3334) 50

San Bruno (257) 37 (242) 85 (499) 75

San Carlos (139) 52 (590) 54 (729) 54

San Mateo (398) 64 (1037) 75 (1435) 73

South Coast (3) (5) 0 28 209 24 177

South San Francisco (183) 78 (591) 79 (775) 79

Woodside (24) 15 (38) 74 (61) 65

Countywide (3663) 51 (10318) 65 (13981) 62

FINAL

Table 10

Summary of Demand Met by Existing Facilities in Each Community at 2025

San Mateo County Child Care Study - 2016

Note Totals may be off slightly due to rounding

(1) Half Moon Bay Region includes the City of Half Moon Bay El Granada Montara and Moss Beach

(2) ABAG Projections have 6300 people listed as Remainder population this amount is divided equally between Menlo Park and Redwood

City given that they are surrounded by unincorporated areas

(3) South Coast includes La Honda Loma Mar and Pescadero

Sources 2010 US Census ABAG Projections 2013 Brion Economics Inc

Prepared by Brion Economics Inc 2513-SMC NA Final Tables 61216 6122016

Table 11

Number of Child Care Providers by City in 2015

San Mateo County Child Care Study - 2016

Family Child Licensed

CityArea Care Homes Centers Total

Atherton 1 6 7

Belmont 18 9 27

Brisbane 1 1 2

Burlingame 21 14 35

Daly CityColma 85 28 113

East Palo Alto 21 6 27

Foster City 29 12 41

Half Moon Bay Region (1) 28 11 39

Hillsborough 1 4 5

Menlo Park (2) 18 25 43

Millbrae 17 7 24

Pacifica 21 18 39

Portola Valley 0 4 4

Redwood City (2) 111 45 156

San Bruno 34 15 49

San Carlos 20 14 34

San Mateo 126 59 185

South Coast (3) 0 2 2

South San Francisco 68 27 95

Woodside 1 2 3

Countywide 621 309 930

FINAL

(1) Half Moon Bay Region includes the City of Half Moon Bay El Granada

Montara and Moss Beach

(2) ABAG Projections have 6300 people listed as Remainder population

this amount is divided equally between Menlo Park and Redwood City

given that they are surrounded by unincorporated areas

(3) South Coast includes La Honda Loma Mar and Pescadero

Sources Child Care Coordinating Council of San Mateo County (4Cs)

Community Care Licensing Brion Economics Inc

Prepared by Brion Economics Inc 2513-SMC NA Final Tables 61216 6122016

CityArea

Shortage

Infant

Center

Spaces

Infant care

Percentage

of Shortage

Shortage

Preschool

Center

Spaces

Preschool

Percentage

of Shortage

Total Center-

Based Space

Shortage

Atherton

Belmont

Brisbane

Burlingame

Daly CityColma

East Palo Alto

Foster City

Half Moon Bay Region

Hillsborough

Menlo Park

Millbrae

Pacifica

Portola Valley

Redwood City

San Bruno

San Carlos

San Mateo

South Coast

South San Francisco

Woodside

Countywide

NA

(48)

NA

(73)

(99)

(42)

(27)

(3)

NA

(180)

0

(43)

(26)

(232)

(38)

(62)

(90)

(2)

(63)

NA

NA

14

NA

23

7

7

100

1

NA

35

0

13

59

12

34

12

14

NA

19

NA

NA

(289)

(149)

(243)

(1253)

(582)

NA

(236)

(173)

(338)

(154)

(280)

(18)

(1635)

(73)

(449)

(557)

NA

(263)

(31)

NA

86

100

77

93

93

NA

99

100

65

100

87

41

88

66

88

86

NA

81

100

NA

(337)

(149)

(316)

(1352)

(623)

(27)

(240)

(173)

(518)

(154)

(323)

(45)

(1867)

(110)

(511)

(647)

(2)

(326)

(31)

(1193) 15 (6609) 85 (7802)

FINAL

Table 12

Summary of Shortage of Child Care Center Spaces by Age - 2015

San Mateo County Child Care Study - 2016

Sources Child Care Coordinating Council of San Mateo County (4Cs) Community Care Licensing

Brion Economics Inc

Prepared by Brion Economics Inc 2513-SMC NA Final Tables 61216 6122016

CityArea

Shortage

Infant Center

Spaces

Infant care

Percentage

of Shortage

Shortage

Preschool

Center

Spaces

Preschool

Percentage

of Shortage

Total Center-

Based Space

Shortage

Atherton

Belmont

Brisbane

Burlingame

Daly CityColma

East Palo Alto

Foster City

Half Moon Bay Region

Hillsborough

Menlo Park

Millbrae

Pacifica

Portola Valley

Redwood City

San Bruno

San Carlos

San Mateo

South Coast

South San Francisco

Woodside

Countywide

NA

(53)

NA

(85)

(111)

(49)

(33)

(6)

NA

(207)

0

(46)

(28)

(313)

(45)

(71)

(119)

(5)

(113)

0

NA

14

NA

19

7

6

100

2

NA

28

0

13

54

13

17

12

12

NA

18

NA

NA

(331)

(160)

(350)

(1412)

(715)

NA

(279)

(183)

(544)

(219)

(317)

(24)

(2149)

(214)

(514)

(837)

NA

(509)

(36)

NA

86

100

81

93

94

NA

98

100

72

100

87

46

87

83

88

88

NA

82

100

NA

(384)

(160)

(434)

(1523)

(764)

(33)

(285)

(183)

(752)

(219)

(364)

(51)

(2462)

(259)

(585)

(955)

(5)

(622)

(36)

(1454) 14 (8762) 86 (10216)

FINAL

Table 13

Summary of Shortage of Child Care Center Spaces by Age - 2025

San Mateo County Child Care Study - 2016

Sources Child Care Coordinating Council of San Mateo County (4Cs) Community Care Licensing

Brion Economics Inc

Prepared by Brion Economics Inc 2513-SMC NA Final Tables 61216 6122016

COUNTYWIDE

Child Care as of 2015

No of

Providers

Under 2 Years

Old

2 to 4 Year

Olds

Total 0 to 4

Years

EXISTING DEMAND Child Care Demand

Estimated Total Children

Average LFPRAdjustment Factor

Children With Working Parents

Licensed Care Demand Factor

Resident Children Needing Licensed Care

of Total Resident Children Needing Licensed Care

Children from Non-Resident Employees Needing

Licensed Care

Total Demand for Child Care Spaces

Distribution

EXISTING SUPPLY

(1)

(2)

(3)

(4)

19008 28678

71

13449 25720

37

4976 24188

26 84

1845 2784

6821 26971

20 80

Child Care Spaces

47686

39169

86

29164

61

4629

33792

100

Family Child Care Home Supply

Child Care Center Supply

Current Child Care Supply

Distribution

EXISTING SURPLUS(SHORTAGE)

Distribution

Percentage of Demand Met

by Existing FacilitiesSpaces

Shortage of Family Child Care Home Spaces

Shortage of Center-Based Spaces

(5)

(6)

(6)

621

309 -930

2301 2893

1514 16296 - -3815 19189

17 83

(3006) (7783)

28 72

56 71

(1813) (1173)

(1193) (6609)

5193

17810 -23003

100

(10789)

100

68

(2986)

(7802)

FINAL

Table A-1

Existing Child Care Demand and Supply in 2015 Countywide

San Mateo County Child Care Study - 2016

Note All footnote references can be found in Table C-1 at the end of this file

Sources 2010 US Census ABAG Projections 2013 2014 American Community Survey ACS Journey-to-Work data 2006-2008 and 2006-2010

Child Care Coordinating Council of San Mateo County (4Cs) Community Care Licensing Brion Economics Inc

Prepared by Brion Economics Inc 2513-SMC NA Final Tables 61216 6122016

ATHERTON

Child Care as of 2015

No of

Providers

Under 2 Years

Old

2 to 4 Year

Olds

Total 0 to 4

Years

EXISTING DEMAND Child Care Demand

Estimated Total Children

Average LFPRAdjustment Factor

Children With Working Parents

Licensed Care Demand Factor

Resident Children Needing Licensed Care

of Total Resident Children Needing Licensed Care

Children from Non-Resident Employees Needing

Licensed Care

(1)

(2)

(3)

105 185

40

42 153

37

15 147

15 80

12 18

290

194

84

163

56

29

Total Demand for Child Care Spaces

Distribution

EXISTING SUPPLY (4)

27 165

14 86

Child Care Spaces

192

100

Family Child Care Home Supply

Child Care Center Supply

Current Child Care Supply

Distribution

EXISTING SURPLUS(SHORTAGE)

Distribution

Percentage of Demand Met

by Existing FacilitiesSpaces

Shortage of Family Child Care Home Spaces

Shortage of Center-Based Spaces

(5)

(6)

(6)

1

6

7

5 6

24 267

29 273

10 90

2 108

2 98

107 165

NA NA

NA NA

11

291

302

100

110

100

157

NA

NA

FINAL

Table A-2

Existing Child Care Demand and Supply in 2015 in Atherton

San Mateo Co unty Child Care Study - 2016

Note All footnote references can be found in Table C-1 at the end of this file

Sources 2010 US Census ABAG Projections 2013 2014 American Community Survey ACS Journey-to-Work data 2006-2008 and 2006-2010

Child Care Coordinating Council of San Mateo County (4Cs) Community Care Licensing Brion Economics Inc

Prepared by Brion Economics Inc 2513-SMC NA Final Tables 61216 6122016

BELMONT

Child Care as of 2015

No of

Providers

Under 2 Years

Old

2 to 4 Year

Olds

Total 0 to 4

Years

EXISTING DEMAND Child Care Demand

Estimated Total Children

Average LFPRAdjustment Factor

Children With Working Parents

Licensed Care Demand Factor

Resident Children Needing Licensed Care

of Total Resident Children Needing Licensed Care

Children from Non-Resident Employees Needing

Licensed Care

(1)

(2)

(3)

708 1045

77

548 966

37

203 899

29 86

34 51

1753

1513

73

1102

63

85

Total Demand for Child Care Spaces

Distribution

EXISTING SUPPLY (4)

237 950

20 80

Child Care Spaces

1187

100

Family Child Care Home Supply

Child Care Center Supply

Current Child Care Supply

Distribution

EXISTING SURPLUS(SHORTAGE)

Distribution

Percentage of Demand Met

by Existing FacilitiesSpaces

Shortage of Family Child Care Home Spaces

Shortage of Center-Based Spaces

(5)

(6)

(6)

18

9

27

67 84

39 531

106 615

15 85

(130) (335)

28 72

45 65

(83) (46)

(48) (289)

152

570

722

100

(465)

100

61

(128)

(337)

FINAL

Table A-3

Existing Child Care Demand and Supply in 2015 in Belmont

San Mateo County Child Care Study - 2016

Note All footnote references can be found in Table C-1 at the end of this file Sources 2010 US Census ABAG Projections 2013 2014 American Community Survey ACS Journey-to-Work data 2006-2008 and

2006-2010 Child Care Coordinating Council of San Mateo County (4Cs) Community Care Licensing Brion Economics Inc

Prepared by Brion Economics Inc 2513-SMC NA Final Tables 61216 6122016

FINAL

Table A-4

Existing Child Care Demand and Supply in 2015 in Brisbane

San Mateo County Child Care Study - 2016

BRISBANE

Child Care as of 2015

No of

Providers

Under 2 Years

Old

2 to 4 Year

Olds

Total 0 to 4

Years

EXISTING DEMAND Child Care Demand

Estimated Total Children (1) 125 166 292

Average LFPRAdjustment Factor (2) 100

Children With Working Parents 125 166 292

Licensed Care Demand Factor (3) 37 68

Resident Children Needing Licensed Care 46 153 199

of Total Resident Children Needing Licensed Care 37 92 68

Children from Non-Resident Employees Needing

Licensed Care 52 78 129

Total Demand for Child Care Spaces 98 231 329

Distribution 30 70 100

EXISTING SUPPLY (4) Child Care Spaces

Family Child Care Home Supply 1 4 5 9

Child Care Center Supply 1 - 64 64

Current Child Care Supply 2 4 69 73

Distribution 6 94 100

EXISTING SURPLUS(SHORTAGE) (94) (162) (255)

Distribution 37 63 100

Percentage of Demand Met

by Existing FacilitiesSpaces (5) 4 30 22

Shortage of Family Child Care Home Spaces (6) (94) (12) (106)

Shortage of Center-Based Spaces (6) 0 (149) (149)

Note All footnote references can be found in Table C-1 at the end of this file

Sources 2010 US Census ABAG Projections 2013 2014 American Community Survey ACS Journey-to-Work data 2006-2008 and 2006-2010

Child Care Coordinating Council of San Mateo County (4Cs) Community Care Licensing Brion Economics Inc

Prepared by Brion Economics Inc 2513-SMC NA Final Tables 61216 6122016

BURLINGAME

Child Care as of 2015

No of

Providers

Under 2 Years

Old

2 to 4 Year

Olds

Total 0 to 4

Years

EXISTING DEMAND Child Care Demand

Estimated Total Children

Average LFPRAdjustment Factor

Children With Working Parents

Licensed Care Demand Factor

Resident Children Needing Licensed Care

of Total Resident Children Needing Licensed Care

Children from Non-Resident Employees Needing

Licensed Care

(1)

(2)

(3)

824 1216

65

535 1086

37

198 1025

24 84

140 211

2040

1621

75

1224

60

350

Total Demand for Child Care Spaces

Distribution

EXISTING SUPPLY (4)

338 1236

21 79

Child Care Spaces

1574

100

Family Child Care Home Supply

Child Care Center Supply

Current Child Care Supply

Distribution

EXISTING SURPLUS(SHORTAGE)

Distribution

Percentage of Demand Met

by Existing FacilitiesSpaces

Shortage of Family Child Care Home Spaces

Shortage of Center-Based Spaces

(5)

(6)

(6)

21

14

35

79 99

40 866

119 965

11 89

(219) (271)

45 55

35 78

(145) (28)

(73) (243)

179

906

1085

100

(489)

100

69

(173)

(316)

FINAL

Table A-5

Existing Child Care Demand and Supply in 2015 in Burlingame

San Mateo County Child Care Study - 2016

Note All footnote references can be found in Table C-1 at the end of this file

Sources 2010 US Census ABAG Projections 2013 2014 American Community Survey ACS Journey-to-Work data 2006-2008 and 2006-2010

Child Care Coordinating Council of San Mateo County (4Cs) Community Care Licensing Brion Economics Inc

Prepared by Brion Economics Inc 2513-SMC NA Final Tables 61216 6122016

DALY CITYCOLMA

Child Care as of 2015

No of

Providers

Under 2 Years

Old

2 to 4 Year

Olds

Total 0 to 4

Years

EXISTING DEMAND Child Care Demand

Estimated Total Children

Average LFPRAdjustment Factor

Children With Working Parents

Licensed Care Demand Factor

Resident Children Needing Licensed Care

of Total Resident Children Needing Licensed Care

Children from Non-Resident Employees Needing

Licensed Care

(1)

(2)

(3)

2495 3575

742

1851 3268

37

685 3047

27 85

126 190

6070

5119

73

3732

61

316

Total Demand for Child Care Spaces

Distribution

EXISTING SUPPLY (4)

811 3237

20 80

Child Care Spaces

4048

100

Family Child Care Home Supply

Child Care Center Supply

Current Child Care Supply

Distribution

EXISTING SURPLUS(SHORTAGE)

Distribution

Percentage of Demand Met

by Existing FacilitiesSpaces

Shortage of Family Child Care Home Spaces

Shortage of Center-Based Spaces

(5)

(6)

(6)

85

28

113

288 362

84 1264

372 1626

19 81

(439) (1612)

21 79

46 50

(340) (359)

(99) (1253)

649

1348

1997

100

(2051)

100

49

(698)

(1352)

FINAL

Table A-6

Existing Child Care Demand and Supply in 2015 in Daly CityColma

San Mateo Co unty Child Care Study - 2016

Note All footnote references can be found in Table C-1 at the end of this file

Sources 2010 US Census ABAG Projections 2013 2014 American Community Survey ACS Journey-to-Work data 2006-2008 and 2006-2010

Child Care Coordinating Council of San Mateo County (4Cs) Community Care Licensing Brion Economics Inc

Prepared by Brion Economics Inc 2513-SMC NA Final Tables 61216 6122016

EAST PALO ALTO

Child Care as of 2015

No of

Providers

Under 2 Years

Old

2 to 4 Year

Olds

Total 0 to 4

Years

EXISTING DEMAND Child Care Demand

Estimated Total Children

Average LFPRAdjustment Factor

Children With Working Parents

Licensed Care Demand Factor

Resident Children Needing Licensed Care

of Total Resident Children Needing Licensed Care

Children from Non-Resident Employees Needing

Licensed Care

(1)

(2)

(3)

1046 1667

71

741 1496

37

274 1392

26 84

18 27

2713

2237

75

1666

61

45

Total Demand for Child Care Spaces

Distribution

EXISTING SUPPLY (4)

292 1419

17 83

Child Care Spaces

1711

100

Family Child Care Home Supply

Child Care Center Supply

Current Child Care Supply

Distribution

EXISTING SURPLUS(SHORTAGE)

Distribution

Percentage of Demand Met

by Existing FacilitiesSpaces

Shortage of Family Child Care Home Spaces

Shortage of Center-Based Spaces

(5)

(6)

(6)

21

6

27

85 106

25 633

110 739

13 87

(182) (680)

21 79

38 52

(141) (98)

(42) (582)

191

658

849

100

(862)

100

50

(239)

(623)

FINAL

Table A-7

Existing Child Care Demand and Supply in 2015 in East Palo Alto

San Mateo County Child Care Study - 2016

Note All footnote references can be found in Table C-1 at the end of this file Sources 2010 US Census ABAG Projections 2013 2014 American Community Survey ACS Journey-to-Work data 2006-2008 and 2006-2010

Child Care Coordinating Council of San Mateo County (4Cs) Community Care Licensing Brion Economics Inc

Prepared by Brion Economics Inc 2513-SMC NA Final Tables 61216 6122016

FOSTER CITY

Child Care as of 2015

No of

Providers

Under 2 Years

Old

2 to 4 Year

Olds

Total 0 to 4

Years

EXISTING DEMAND Child Care Demand

Estimated Total Children

Average LFPRAdjustment Factor

Children With Working Parents

Licensed Care Demand Factor

Resident Children Needing Licensed Care

of Total Resident Children Needing Licensed Care

Children from Non-Resident Employees Needing

Licensed Care

(1)

(2)

(3)

836 1277

63

528 1108

37

195 1035

23 81

73 110

2113

1636

75

1231

58

183

Total Demand for Child Care Spaces

Distribution

EXISTING SUPPLY (4)

268 1145

19 81

Child Care Spaces

1414

100

Family Child Care Home Supply

Child Care Center Supply

Current Child Care Supply

Distribution

EXISTING SURPLUS(SHORTAGE)

Distribution

Percentage of Demand Met

by Existing FacilitiesSpaces

Shortage of Family Child Care Home Spaces

Shortage of Center-Based Spaces

(5)

(6)

(6)

29

12

41

118 149

88 1200

206 1349

13 87

(62) 203

NA NA

77 118

(36) NA

(27) NA

267

1288

1555

100

141

NA

110

(36)

(27)

FINAL

Table A-8

Existing Child Care Demand and Supply in 2015 in Foster City

San Mateo County Child Care Study - 2016

Note All footnote references can be found in Table C-1 at the end of this file

Sources 2010 US Census ABAG Projections 2013 2014 American Community Survey ACS Journey-to-Work data 2006-2008 and 2006-2010

Child Care Coordinating Council of San Mateo County (4Cs) Community Care Licensing Brion Economics Inc

Prepared by Brion Economics Inc 2513-SMC NA Final Tables 61216 6122016

HALF MOON BAY REGION

Child Care as of 2015

No of

Providers

Under 2 Years

Old

2 to 4 Year

Olds

Total 0 to 4

Years

EXISTING DEMAND Child Care Demand

Estimated Total Children

Average LFPRAdjustment Factor

Children With Working Parents

Licensed Care Demand Factor

Resident Children Needing Licensed Care

of Total Resident Children Needing Licensed Care

Children from Non-Resident Employees Needing

Licensed Care

(1)

(2)

(3)

511 860

69

354 772

37

131 723

26 84

13 19

1371

1126

76

854

62

32

Total Demand for Child Care Spaces

Distribution

EXISTING SUPPLY (4)

144 742

16 84

Child Care Spaces

885

100

Family Child Care Home Supply

Child Care Center Supply

Current Child Care Supply

Distribution

EXISTING SURPLUS(SHORTAGE)

Distribution

Percentage of Demand Met

by Existing FacilitiesSpaces

Shortage of Family Child Care Home Spaces

Shortage of Center-Based Spaces

(5)

(6)

(6)

28

11

39

96 121

35 285

131 406

24 76

(13) (336)

4 96

91 55

(9) (100)

(3) (236)

216

320

536

100

(349)

100

61

(109)

(240)

FINAL

Table A-9

Existing Child Care Demand and Supply in 2015 in Half Moon Bay Region

San Mateo County Child Care Study - 2016

Note All footnote references can be found in Table C-1 at the end of this file

Sources 2010 US Census ABAG Projections 2013 2014 American Community Survey ACS Journey-to-Work data 2006-2008 and 2006-2010

Child Care Coordinating Council of San Mateo County (4Cs) Community Care Licensing Brion Economics Inc

Prepared by Brion Economics Inc 2513-SMC NA Final Tables 61216 6122016

HILLSBOROUGH

Child Care as of 2015

No of

Providers

Under 2 Years

Old

2 to 4 Year

Olds

Total 0 to 4

Years

EXISTING DEMAND Child Care Demand

Estimated Total Children

Average LFPRAdjustment Factor

Children With Working Parents

Licensed Care Demand Factor

Resident Children Needing Licensed Care

of Total Resident Children Needing Licensed Care

Children from Non-Resident Employees Needing

Licensed Care

(1)

(2)

(3)

138 331

52

71 284

37

26 272

19 82

7 10

469

356

84

298

64

16

Total Demand for Child Care Spaces

Distribution

EXISTING SUPPLY (4)

33 282

10 90

Child Care Spaces

315

100

Family Child Care Home Supply

Child Care Center Supply

Current Child Care Supply

Distribution

EXISTING SURPLUS(SHORTAGE)

Distribution

Percentage of Demand Met

by Existing FacilitiesSpaces

Shortage of Family Child Care Home Spaces

Shortage of Center-Based Spaces

(5)

(6)

(6)

1

4

5

5 6

- 91

5 97

5 95

(28) (185)

13 87

15 34

(28) (12)

0 (173)

11

91

102

100

(213)

100

32

(40)

(173)

FINAL

Table A-10

Existing Child Care Demand and Supply in 2015 in Hillsborough

San Mateo County Child Care Study - 2016

Note All footnote references can be found in Table C-1 at the end of this file Sources 2010 US Census ABAG Projections 2013 2014 American Community Survey ACS Journey-to-Work data 2006-2008 and 2006-2010

Child Care Coordinating Council of San Mateo County (4Cs) Community Care Licensing Brion Economics Inc

Prepared by Brion Economics Inc 2513-SMC NA Final Tables 61216 6122016

MENLO PARK

Child Care as of 2015

No of

Providers

Under 2 Years

Old

2 to 4 Year

Olds

Total 0 to 4

Years

EXISTING DEMAND Child Care Demand

Estimated Total Children

Average LFPRAdjustment Factor

Children With Working Parents

Licensed Care Demand Factor

Resident Children Needing Licensed Care

of Total Resident Children Needing Licensed Care

Children from Non-Resident Employees Needing

Licensed Care

(1)

(2)

(3)

1170 1723

69

802 1551

37

297 1458

25 85

220 332

2893

2353

75

1754

61

552

Total Demand for Child Care Spaces

Distribution

EXISTING SUPPLY (4)

516 1790

22 78

Child Care Spaces

2306

100

Family Child Care Home Supply

Child Care Center Supply

Current Child Care Supply

Distribution

EXISTING SURPLUS(SHORTAGE)

Distribution

Percentage of Demand Met

by Existing FacilitiesSpaces

Shortage of Family Child Care Home Spaces

Shortage of Center-Based Spaces

(5)

(6)

(6)

18

25

43

76 96

73 1331

149 1427

9 91

(367) (363)

50 50

29 80

(188) (24)

(180) (338)

172

1404

1576

100

(730)

100

68

(212)

(518)

FINAL

Table A-11

Existing Child Care Demand and Supply in 2015 in Menlo Park

San Mateo County Child Care Study - 2016

Note All footnote references can be found in Table C-1 at the end of this file Sources 2010 US Census ABAG Projections 2013 2014 American Community Survey ACS Journey-to-Work data 2006-2008 and 2006-2010

Child Care Coordinating Council of San Mateo County (4Cs) Community Care Licensing Brion Economics Inc

Prepared by Brion Economics Inc 2513-SMC NA Final Tables 61216 6122016

MILLBRAE

Child Care as of 2015

No of

Providers

Under 2 Years

Old

2 to 4 Year

Olds

Total 0 to 4

Years

EXISTING DEMAND Child Care Demand

Total Children

Average LFPRAdjustment Factor

Children With Working Parents

Licensed Care Demand Factor

Resident Children Needing Licensed Care

of Total Resident Children Needing Licensed Care

Children from Non-Resident Employees Needing

Licensed Care

(1)

(2)

(3)

421 717

62

260 632

37

96 598

23 83

28 42

1138

892

78

694

61

69

Total Demand for Child Care Spaces

Distribution

EXISTING SUPPLY (4)

124 640

16 84

Child Care Spaces

764

100

Family Child Care Home Supply

Child Care Center Supply

Current Child Care Supply

Distribution

EXISTING SURPLUS(SHORTAGE)

Distribution

Percentage of Demand Met

by Existing FacilitiesSpaces

Shortage of Family Child Care Home Spaces

Shortage of Center-Based Spaces

(5)

(6)

(6)

17

7

24

62 78

- 376

62 454

12 88

(61) (186)

25 75

50 71

(61) (32)

0 (154)

141

376

517

100

(247)

100

68

(93)

(154)

FINAL

Table A-12

Existing Child Care Demand and Supply in 2015 in Millbrae

San Mateo Co unty Child Care Study - 2016

Note All footnote references can be found in Table C-1 at the end of this file

Sources 2010 US Census ABAG Projections 2013 2014 American Community Survey ACS Journey-to-Work data 2006-2008 and 2006-2010

Child Care Coordinating Council of San Mateo County (4Cs) Community Care Licensing Brion Economics Inc

Prepared by Brion Economics Inc 2513-SMC NA Final Tables 61216 6122016

PACIFICA

Child Care as of 2015

No of

Providers

Under 2 Years

Old

2 to 4 Year

Olds

Total 0 to 4

Years

EXISTING DEMAND Child Care Demand

Estimated Total Children

Average LFPRAdjustment Factor

Children With Working Parents

Licensed Care Demand Factor

Resident Children Needing Licensed Care

of Total Resident Children Needing Licensed Care

Children from Non-Resident Employees Needing

Licensed Care

(1)

(2)

(3)

787 1253

78

610 1165

37

226 1089

29 87

18 27

2040

1776

74

1315

64

45

Total Demand for Child Care Spaces

Distribution

EXISTING SUPPLY (4)

244 1117

18 83

Child Care Spaces

1360

100

Family Child Care Home Supply

Child Care Center Supply

Current Child Care Supply

Distribution

EXISTING SURPLUS(SHORTAGE)

Distribution

Percentage of Demand Met

by Existing FacilitiesSpaces

Shortage of Family Child Care Home Spaces

Shortage of Center-Based Spaces

(5)

(6)

(6)

21

18

39

77 97

39 701

116 798

13 87

(128) (319)

29 71

48 71

(85) (39)

(43) (280)

174

740

914

100

(447)

100

67

(124)

(323)

FINAL

Table A-13

Existing Child Care Demand and Supply in 2015 in Pacifica

San Mateo County Child Care Study - 2016

Note All footnote references can be found in Table C-1 at the end of this file Sources 2010 US Census ABAG Projections 2013 2014 American Community Survey ACS Journey-to-Work data 2006-2008 and 2006-2010

Child Care Coordinating Council of San Mateo County (4Cs) Community Care Licensing Brion Economics Inc

Prepared by Brion Economics Inc 2513-SMC NA Final Tables 61216 6122016

PORTOLA VALLEY

No of

Providers

Child Care as of 2015

Under 2 Years

Old

2 to 4 Year

Olds

Total 0 to 4

Years

EXISTING DEMAND Child Care Demand

Estimated Total Children

Average LFPRAdjustment Factor

Children With Working Parents

Licensed Care Demand Factor

Resident Children Needing Licensed Care

of Total Resident Children Needing Licensed Care

Children from Non-Resident Employees Needing

Licensed Care

(1)

(2)

(3)

75 187

66

49 168

37

18 159

24 85

8 12

261

217

82

177

68

21

Total Demand for Child Care Spaces

Distribution

EXISTING SUPPLY (4)

26 171

13 87

Child Care Spaces

198

100

Family Child Care Home Supply

Child Care Center Supply

Current Child Care Supply

Distribution

EXISTING SURPLUS(SHORTAGE)

Distribution

Percentage of Demand Met

by Existing FacilitiesSpaces

Shortage of Family Child Care Home Spaces

Shortage of Center-Based Spaces

(5)

(6)

(6)

0

4

4

0 0

0 153

0 153

0 100

(26) (18)

59 41

0 89

0 0

(26) (18)

0

153

153

100

(45)

100

77

0

(45)

FINAL

Table A-14

Existing Child Care Demand and Supply in 2015 in Portola Valley

San Mateo County Child Care Study - 2016

Note All footnote references can be found in Table C-1 at the end of this file Sources 2010 US Census ABAG Projections 2013 2014 American Community Survey ACS Journey-to-Work data 2006-2008 and 2006-2010

Child Care Coordinating Council of San Mateo County (4Cs) Community Care Licensing Brion Economics Inc

Prepared by Brion Economics Inc 2513-SMC NA Final Tables 61216 6122016

REDWOOD CITY

Child Care as of 2015

No of

Providers

Under 2 Years

Old

2 to 4 Year

Olds

Total 0 to 4

Years

EXISTING DEMAND Child Care Demand

Estimated Total Children

Average LFPRAdjustment Factor

Children With Working Parents

Licensed Care Demand Factor

Resident Children Needing Licensed Care

of Total Resident Children Needing Licensed Care

Children from Non-Resident Employees Needing

Licensed Care

Total Demand for Child Care Spaces

Distribution

EXISTING SUPPLY

(1)

(2)

(3)

(4)

3260 4706

69

2236 4212

37

827 3942

25 84

414 625

1241 4567

21 79

Child Care Spaces

7966

6449

74

4770

60

1038

5808

100

Family Child Care Home Supply

Child Care Center Supply

Current Child Care Supply

Distribution

EXISTING SURPLUS(SHORTAGE)

Distribution

Percentage of Demand Met

by Existing FacilitiesSpaces

Shortage of Family Child Care Home Spaces

Shortage of Center-Based Spaces

(5)

(6)

(6)

111

45

156

396 497

356 2036

752 2533

23 77

(490) (2034)

19 81

61 55

(258) (399)

(232) (1635)

893

2392

3285

100

(2524)

100

57

(657)

(1867)

FINAL

Table A-15

Existing Child Care Demand and Supply in 2015 in Redwood City

San Mateo County Child Care Study - 2016

Note All footnote references can be found in Table C-1 at the end of this file Sources 2010 US Census ABAG Projections 2013 2014 American Community Survey ACS Journey-to-Work data 2006-2008 and 2006-2010

Child Care Coordinating Council of San Mateo County (4Cs) Community Care Licensing Brion Economics Inc

Prepared by Brion Economics Inc 2513-SMC NA Final Tables 61216 6122016

SAN BRUNO

Child Care as of 2015

No of

Providers

Under 2 Years

Old

2 to 4 Year

Olds

Total 0 to 4

Years

EXISTING DEMAND Child Care Demand

Estimated Total Children

Average LFPRAdjustment Factor

Children With Working Parents

Licensed Care Demand Factor

Resident Children Needing Licensed Care

of Total Resident Children Needing Licensed Care

Children from Non-Resident Employees Needing

Licensed Care

(1)

(2)

(3)

1069 1553

77

817 1428

37

302 1326

28 85

61 92

2622

2245

73

1628

62

153

Total Demand for Child Care Spaces

Distribution

EXISTING SUPPLY (4)

364 1418

20 80

Child Care Spaces

1782

100

Family Child Care Home Supply

Child Care Center Supply

Current Child Care Supply

Distribution

EXISTING SURPLUS(SHORTAGE)

Distribution

Percentage of Demand Met

by Existing FacilitiesSpaces

Shortage of Family Child Care Home Spaces

Shortage of Center-Based Spaces

(5)

(6)

(6)

34

15

49

122 153

26 1183

148 1336

10 90

(216) (82)

72 28

41 94

(178) (9)

(38) (73)

275

1209

1484

100

(298)

100

83

(187)

(110)

FINAL

Table A-16

Existing Child Care Demand and Supply in 2015 in San Bruno

San Mateo County Child Care Study - 2016

Note All footnote references can be found in Table C-1 at the end of this file Sources 2010 US Census ABAG Projections 2013 2014 American Community Survey ACS Journey-to-Work data 2006-2008 and 2006-2010

Child Care Coordinating Council of San Mateo County (4Cs) Community Care Licensing Brion Economics Inc

Prepared by Brion Economics Inc 2513-SMC NA Final Tables 61216 6122016

SAN CARLOS

Child Care as of 2015

No of

Providers

Under 2 Years

Old

2 to 4 Year

Olds

Total 0 to 4

Years

EXISTING DEMAND Child Care Demand

Estimated Total Children

Average LFPRAdjustment Factor

Children With Working Parents

Licensed Care Demand Factor

Resident Children Needing Licensed Care

of Total Resident Children Needing Licensed Care

Children from Non-Resident Employees Needing

Licensed Care

(1)

(2)

(3)

735 1308

72

526 1186

37

195 1109

26 85

75 114

2043

1712

76

1304

64

189

Total Demand for Child Care Spaces

Distribution

EXISTING SUPPLY (4)

270 1222

18 82

Child Care Spaces

1492

100

Family Child Care Home Supply

Child Care Center Supply

Current Child Care Supply

Distribution

EXISTING SURPLUS(SHORTAGE)

Distribution

Percentage of Demand Met

by Existing FacilitiesSpaces

Shortage of Family Child Care Home Spaces

Shortage of Center-Based Spaces

(5)

(6)

(6)

20

14

34

73 92

76 615

149 707

17 83

(121) (516)

19 81

55 58

(59) (67)

(62) (449)

164

691

855

100

(637)

100

57

(126)

(511)

FINAL

Table A-17

Existing Child Care Demand and Supply in 2015 in San Carlos

San Mateo County Child Care Study - 2016

Note All footnote references can be found in Table C-1 at the end of this file

Sources 2010 US Census ABAG Projections 2013 2014 American Community Survey ACS Journey-to-Work data 2006-2008 and 2006-2010

Child Care Coordinating Council of San Mateo County (4Cs) Community Care Licensing Brion Economics Inc

Prepared by Brion Economics Inc 2513-SMC NA Final Tables 61216 6122016

SAN MATEO

Child Care as of 2015

No of

Providers

Under 2 Years

Old

2 to 4 Year

Olds

Total 0 to 4

Years

EXISTING DEMAND Child Care Demand

Estimated Total Children

Average LFPRAdjustment Factor

Children With Working Parents

Licensed Care Demand Factor

Resident Children Needing Licensed Care

of Total Resident Children Needing Licensed Care

Children from Non-Resident Employees Needing

Licensed Care

(1)

(2)

(3)

2943 4213

71

2087 3793

37

772 3537

26 84

231 348

7156

5880

73

4309

60

579

Total Demand for Child Care Spaces

Distribution

EXISTING SUPPLY (4)

1003 3886

21 79

Child Care Spaces

4889

100

Family Child Care Home Supply

Child Care Center Supply

Current Child Care Supply

Distribution

EXISTING SURPLUS(SHORTAGE)

Distribution

Percentage of Demand Met

by Existing FacilitiesSpaces

Shortage of Family Child Care Home Spaces

Shortage of Center-Based Spaces

(5)

(6)

(6)

126

59

185

492 619

209 2577

701 3196

18 82

(302) (690)

30 70

70 82

(212) (134)

(90) (557)

1111

2786

3897

100

(992)

100

80

(345)

(647)

FINAL

Table A-18

Existing Child Care Demand and Supply in 2015 in San Mateo

San Mateo County Child Care Study - 2016

Note All footnote references can be found in Table C-1 at the end of this file

Sources 2010 US Census ABAG Projections 2013 2014 American Community Survey ACS Journey-to-Work data 2006-2008 and 2006-2010

Child Care Coordinating Council of San Mateo County (4Cs) Community Care Licensing Brion Economics Inc

Prepared by Brion Economics Inc 2513-SMC NA Final Tables 61216 6122016

SOUTH COAST

Child Care as of 2015

No of

Providers

Under 2 Years

Old

2 to 4 Year

Olds

Total 0 to 4

Years

EXISTING DEMAND Child Care Demand

Estimated Total Children

Average LFPRAdjustment Factor

Children With Working Parents

Licensed Care Demand Factor

Resident Children Needing Licensed Care

of Total Resident Children Needing Licensed Care

Children from Non-Resident Employees Needing

Licensed Care

(1)

(2)

(3)

21 29

54

11 25

37

4 23

20 81

0 0

50

36

77

28

56

0

Total Demand for Child Care Spaces

Distribution

EXISTING SUPPLY (4)

4 23

15 85

Child Care Spaces

28

100

Family Child Care Home Supply

Child Care Center Supply

Current Child Care Supply

Distribution

EXISTING SURPLUS(SHORTAGE)

Distribution

Percentage of Demand Met

by Existing FacilitiesSpaces

Shortage of Family Child Care Home Spaces

Shortage of Center-Based Spaces

(5)

(6)

(6)

-

2

2

- -

- 54

- 54

0 100

(4) 31

-16 116

0 230

(2) NA

(2) NA

0

54

54

100

26

100

195

(2)

(2)

FINAL

Table A-19

Existing Child Care Demand and Supply in 2015 in South Coast

San Mateo County Child Care Study - 2016

Note All footnote references can be found in Table C-1 at the end of this file

Sources 2010 US Census ABAG Projections 2013 2014 American Community Survey ACS Journey-to-Work data 2006-2008 and 2006-2010

Child Care Coordinating Council of San Mateo County (4Cs) Community Care Licensing Brion Economics Inc

Prepared by Brion Economics Inc 2513-SMC NA Final Tables 61216 6122016

SOUTH SAN FRANCISCO

Child Care as of 2015

No of

Providers

Under 2 Years

Old

2 to 4 Year

Olds

Total 0 to 4

Years

EXISTING DEMAND Child Care Demand

Estimated Total Children

Average LFPRAdjustment Factor

Children With Working Parents

Licensed Care Demand Factor

Resident Children Needing Licensed Care

of Total Resident Children Needing Licensed Care

Children from Non-Resident Employees Needing

Licensed Care

(1)

(2)

(3)

1649 2507

73

1206 2278

37

446 2123

27 85

309 466

4156

3484

74

2569

62

774

Total Demand for Child Care Spaces

Distribution

EXISTING SUPPLY (4)

755 2588

23 77

Child Care Spaces

3343

100

Family Child Care Home Supply

Child Care Center Supply

Current Child Care Supply

Distribution

EXISTING SURPLUS(SHORTAGE)

Distribution

Percentage of Demand Met

by Existing FacilitiesSpaces

Shortage of Family Child Care Home Spaces

Shortage of Center-Based Spaces

(5)

(6)

(6)

68

27

95

252 317

400 1966

652 2283

22 78

(103) (306)

25 75

86 88

(40) (42)

(63) (263)

569

2366

2935

100

(408)

100

88

(82)

(326)

FINAL

Table A-20

Existing Child Care Demand and Supply in 2015 in South San Francisco

San Mateo County Child Care Study - 2016

Note All footnote references can be found in Table C-1 at the end of this file Sources 2010 US Census ABAG Projections 2013 2014 American Community Survey ACS Journey-to-Work data 2006-2008 and 2006-2010

Child Care Coordinating Council of San Mateo County (4Cs) Community Care Licensing Brion Economics Inc

Prepared by Brion Economics Inc 2513-SMC NA Final Tables 61216 6122016

WOODSIDE

No of

Providers

Child Care as of 2015

Under 2 Years

Old

2 to 4 Year

Olds

Total 0 to 4

Years

EXISTING DEMAND Child Care Demand

Estimated Total Children

Average LFPRAdjustment Factor

Children With Working Parents

Licensed Care Demand Factor

Resident Children Needing Licensed Care

of Total Resident Children Needing Licensed Care

Children from Non-Resident Employees Needing

Licensed Care

(1)

(2)

(3)

90 160

56

50 136

37

18 128

21 80

8 13

250

186

79

147

59

21

Total Demand for Child Care Spaces

Distribution

EXISTING SUPPLY (4)

27 141

16 84

Child Care Spaces

168

100

Family Child Care Home Supply

Child Care Center Supply

Current Child Care Supply

Distribution

EXISTING SURPLUS(SHORTAGE)

Distribution

Percentage of Demand Met

by Existing FacilitiesSpaces

Shortage of Family Child Care Home Spaces

Shortage of Center-Based Spaces

(5)

(6)

(6)

1

2

3

4 5

0 103

4 108

4 96

(23) (33)

41 59

16 77

(23) (2)

0 (31)

9

103

112

100

(55)

100

67

(24)

(31)

FINAL

Table A-21

Existing Child Care Demand and Supply in 2015 in Woodside

San Mateo County Child Care Study - 2016

Note All footnote references can be found in Table C-1 at the end of this file Sources 2010 US Census ABAG Projections 2013 2014 American Community Survey ACS Journey-to-Work data 2006-2008 and 2006-2010

Child Care Coordinating Council of San Mateo County (4Cs) Community Care Licensing Brion Economics Inc

Prepared by Brion Economics Inc 2513-SMC NA Final Tables 61216 6122016

COUNTYWIDE

Child Care as of 2025

No of

Providers

Under 2 Years

Old

2 to 4 Year

Olds

Total 0 to 4

Years

EXISTING DEMAND Child Care Demand

Estimated Total Children

Average LFPRAdjustment Factor

Children With Working Parents

Licensed Care Demand Factor

Resident Children Needing Licensed Care

of Total Resident Children Needing Licensed Care

Children from Non-Resident Employees Needing

Licensed Care

Total Demand for Child Care Spaces

Distribution

EXISTING SUPPLY

(1)

(2)

(3)

(4)

20790 31340

71

14704 28273

37

5441 26432

26 84

2037 3074

7478 29506

20 80

Child Care Spaces

52130

42978

86

31873

61

5112

36984

100

Family Child Care Home Supply

Child Care Center Supply

Current Child Care Supply

Distribution

EXISTING SURPLUS(SHORTAGE)

Distribution

Percentage of Demand Met

by Existing FacilitiesSpaces

Shortage of Family Child Care Home Spaces

Shortage of Center-Based Spaces

(5)

(6)

(6)

621

309

930

2301 2893

1514 16296

3815 19189

17 83

(3663) (10318)

26 74

51 65

(2209) (1555)

(1454) (8762)

5193

17810

23003

100

(13981)

100

62

(3765)

(10216)

FINAL

Table B-1

Future C hild Care Demand and Supply in 2025 Countywide

San Mateo County Child Care Study - 2016

Note All footnote references can be found in Table C-1 at the end of this file

Sources 2010 US Census ABAG Projections 2013 2014 American Community Survey ACS Journey-to-Work data 2006-2008 and 2006-2010

Child Care Coordinating Council of San Mateo County (4Cs) Community Care Licensing Brion Economics Inc

Prepared by Brion Economics Inc 2513-SMC NA Final Tables 61216 6122016

ATHERTON

No of

Providers

Child Care as of 2025

Under 2 Years

Old

2 to 4 Year

Olds

Total 0 to 4

Years

EXISTING DEMAND Child Care Demand

Estimated Total Children

Average LFPRAdjustment Factor

Children With Working Parents

Licensed Care Demand Factor

Resident Children Needing Licensed Care

of Total Resident Children Needing Licensed Care

Children from Non-Resident Employees Needing

Licensed Care

(1)

(2)

(3)

109 193

40

43 159

37

16 154

15 80

13 19

302

202

84

170

56

32

Total Demand for Child Care Spaces

Distribution

EXISTING SUPPLY (4)

29 173

14 86

Child Care Spaces

201

100

Family Child Care Home Supply

Child Care Center Supply

Current Child Care Supply

Distribution

EXISTING SURPLUS(SHORTAGE)

Distribution

Percentage of Demand Met

by Existing FacilitiesSpaces

Shortage of Family Child Care Home Spaces

Shortage of Center-Based Spaces

(5)

(6)

(6)

1

6

7

5 6

24 267

29 273

10 90

0 101

0 100

101 158

NA NA

NA NA

11

291

302

100

101

100

150

NA

NA

FINAL

Table B-2

Future Child Care Demand and Supply in 2025 in Atherton

San Mateo Co unty Child Care Study - 2016

Note All footnote references can be found in Table C-1 at the end of this file Sources 2010 US Census ABAG Projections 2013 2014 American Community Survey ACS Journey-to-Work data 2006-2008 and 2006-2010

Child Care Coordinating Council of San Mateo County (4Cs) Community Care Licensing Brion Economics Inc

Prepared by Brion Economics Inc 2513-SMC NA Final Tables 61216 6122016

BELMONT

Child Care as of 2025

No of

Providers

Under 2 Years

Old

2 to 4 Year

Olds

Total 0 to 4

Years

EXISTING DEMAND Child Care Demand

Estimated Total Children

Average LFPRAdjustment Factor

Children With Working Parents

Licensed Care Demand Factor

Resident Children Needing Licensed Care

of Total Resident Children Needing Licensed Care

Children from Non-Resident Employees Needing

Licensed Care

(1)

(2)

(3)

743 1095

77

574 1013

37

213 943

29 86

37 56

1838

1587

73

1156

63

93

Total Demand for Child Care Spaces

Distribution

EXISTING SUPPLY (4)

250 999

20 80

Child Care Spaces

1249

100

Family Child Care Home Supply

Child Care Center Supply

Current Child Care Supply

Distribution

EXISTING SURPLUS(SHORTAGE)

Distribution

Percentage of Demand Met

by Existing FacilitiesSpaces

Shortage of Family Child Care Home Spaces

Shortage of Center-Based Spaces

(5)

(6)

(6)

8

9

17

67 84

39 531

106 615

15 85

(143) (384)

27 73

43 62

(91) (53)

(53) (331)

152

570

722

100

(527)

100

58

(143)

(384)

FINAL

Table B-3

Future Child Care Demand and Supply in 2025 in Belmont

San Mateo County Child Care Study - 2016

Note All footnote references can be found in Table C-1 at the end of this file

Sources 2010 US Census ABAG Projections 2013 2014 American Community Survey ACS Journey-to-Work data 2006-2008 and 2006-2010

Child Care Coordinating Council of San Mateo County (4Cs) Community Care Licensing Brion Economics Inc

Prepared by Brion Economics Inc 2513-SMC NA Final Tables 61216 6122016

BRISBANE

Child Care as of 2025

No of

Providers

Under 2 Years

Old

2 to 4 Year

Olds

Total 0 to 4

Years

EXISTING DEMAND Child Care Demand

Estimated Total Children

Average LFPRAdjustment Factor

Children With Working Parents

Licensed Care Demand Factor

Resident Children Needing Licensed Care

of Total Resident Children Needing Licensed Care

Children from Non-Resident Employees Needing

Licensed Care

(1)

(2)

(3)

131 174

100

131 174

37

48 160

37 92

55 83

305

305

68

209

68

138

Total Demand for Child Care Spaces

Distribution

EXISTING SUPPLY (4)

103 243

30 70

Child Care Spaces

346

100

Family Child Care Home Supply

Child Care Center Supply

Current Child Care Supply

Distribution

EXISTING SURPLUS(SHORTAGE)

Distribution

Percentage of Demand Met

by Existing FacilitiesSpaces

Shortage of Family Child Care Home Spaces

Shortage of Center-Based Spaces

(5)

(6)

(6)

1

1

2

4 5

0 64

4 69

6 94

(99) (174)

36 64

4 29

(99) (13)

0 (160)

9

64

73

100

(273)

100

21

(112)

(160)

FINAL

Table B-4

Future Child Care Demand and Supply in 2025 in Brisbane

San Mateo County Child Care Study - 2016

Note All footnote references can be found in Table C-1 at the end of this file Sources 2010 US Census ABAG Projections 2013 2014 American Community Survey ACS Journey-to-Work data 2006-2008 and 2006-2010

Child Care Coordinating Council of San Mateo County (4Cs) Community Care Licensing Brion Economics Inc

Prepared by Brion Economics Inc 2513-SMC NA Final Tables 61216 6122016

BURLINGAME

Child Care as of 2025

No of

Providers

Under 2 Years

Old

2 to 4 Year

Olds

Total 0 to 4

Years

EXISTING DEMAND Child Care Demand

Estimated Total Children

Average LFPRAdjustment Factor

Children With Working Parents

Licensed Care Demand Factor

Resident Children Needing Licensed Care

of Total Resident Children Needing Licensed Care

Children from Non-Resident Employees Needing

Licensed Care

(1)

(2)

(3)

903 1332

65

587 1190

37

217 1124

24 84

154 232

2235

1777

75

1341

60

385

Total Demand for Child Care Spaces

Distribution

EXISTING SUPPLY (4)

371 1356

21 79

Child Care Spaces

1726

100

Family Child Care Home Supply

Child Care Center Supply

Current Child Care Supply

Distribution

EXISTING SURPLUS(SHORTAGE)

Distribution

Percentage of Demand Met

by Existing FacilitiesSpaces

Shortage of Family Child Care Home Spaces

Shortage of Center-Based Spaces

(5)

(6)

(6)

10

14

24

79 99

40 866

119 965

11 89

(252) (390)

39 61

32 71

(167) (40)

(85) (350)

179

906

1085

100

(642)

100

63

(207)

(434)

FINAL

Table B-5

Future Child Care Demand and Supply in 2025 in Burlingame

San Mateo County Child Care Study - 2016

Note All footnote references can be found in Table C-1 at the end of this file

Sources 2010 US Census ABAG Projections 2013 2014 American Community Survey ACS Journey-to-Work data 2006-2008 and 2006-2010

Child Care Coordinating Council of San Mateo County (4Cs) Community Care Licensing Brion Economics Inc

Prepared by Brion Economics Inc 2513-SMC NA Final Tables 61216 6122016

DALY CITYCOLMA

Child Care as of 2025

No of

Providers

Under 2 Years

Old

2 to 4 Year

Olds

Total 0 to 4

Years

EXISTING DEMAND Child Care Demand

Estimated Total Children

Average LFPRAdjustment Factor

Children With Working Parents

Licensed Care Demand Factor

Resident Children Needing Licensed Care

of Total Resident Children Needing Licensed Care

Children from Non-Resident Employees Needing

Licensed Care

(1)

(2)

(3)

2647 3793

74

1964 3467

37

727 3233

27 85

138 208

6440

5432

73

3960

61

346

Total Demand for Child Care Spaces

Distribution

EXISTING SUPPLY (4)

865 3441

20 80

Child Care Spaces

4306

100

Family Child Care Home Supply

Child Care Center Supply

Current Child Care Supply

Distribution

EXISTING SURPLUS(SHORTAGE)

Distribution

Percentage of Demand Met

by Existing FacilitiesSpaces

Shortage of Family Child Care Home Spaces

Shortage of Center-Based Spaces

(5)

(6)

(6)

25

28

28

288 362

84 1264

372 1626

19 81

(493) (1816)

21 79

43 47

(381) (404)

(111) (1412)

649

1348

1997

100

(2308)

100

46

(785)

(1523)

FINAL

Table B-6

Future C hild Care Demand and Supply in 2025 in Daly CityColma

San Mateo County Child Care Study - 2016

Note All footnote references can be found in Table C-1 at the end of this file

Sources 2010 US Census ABAG Projections 2013 2014 American Community Survey ACS Journey-to-Work data 2006-2008 and 2006-2010

Child Care Coordinating Council of San Mateo County (4Cs) Community Care Licensing Brion Economics Inc

Prepared by Brion Economics Inc 2513-SMC NA Final Tables 61216 6122016

EAST PALO ALTO

Child Care as of 2025

No of

Providers

Under 2 Years

Old

2 to 4 Year

Olds

Total 0 to 4

Years

EXISTING DEMAND Child Care Demand

Estimated Total Children

Average LFPRAdjustment Factor

Children With Working Parents

Licensed Care Demand Factor

Resident Children Needing Licensed Care

of Total Resident Children Needing Licensed Care

Children from Non-Resident Employees Needing

Licensed Care

(1)

(2)

(3)

1161 1849

71

822 1660

37

304 1545

26 84

20 30

3010

2482

75

1849

61

50

Total Demand for Child Care Spaces

Distribution

EXISTING SUPPLY (4)

324 1575

17 83

Child Care Spaces

1900

100

Family Child Care Home Supply

Child Care Center Supply

Current Child Care Supply

Distribution

EXISTING SURPLUS(SHORTAGE)

Distribution

Percentage of Demand Met

by Existing FacilitiesSpaces

Shortage of Family Child Care Home Spaces

Shortage of Center-Based Spaces

(5)

(6)

(6)

13

6

19

85 106

25 633

110 739

13 87

(215) (836)

20 80

34 47

(166) (120)

(49) (715)

191

658

849

100

(1050)

100

45

(286)

(764)

FINAL

Table B-7

Future Child Care Demand and Supply in 2025 in East Palo Alto

San Mateo County Child Care Study - 2016

Note All footnote references can be found in Table C-1 at the end of this file

Sources 2010 US Census ABAG Projections 2013 2014 American Community Survey ACS Journey-to-Work data 2006-2008 and 2006-2010

Child Care Coordinating Council of San Mateo County (4Cs) Community Care Licensing Brion Economics Inc

Prepared by Brion Economics Inc 2513-SMC NA Final Tables 61216 6122016

FOSTER CITY

Child Care as of 2025

No of

Providers

Under 2 Years

Old

2 to 4 Year

Olds

Total 0 to 4

Years

EXISTING DEMAND Child Care Demand

Estimated Total Children

Average LFPRAdjustment Factor

Children With Working Parents

Licensed Care Demand Factor

Resident Children Needing Licensed Care

of Total Resident Children Needing Licensed Care

Children from Non-Resident Employees Needing

Licensed Care

(1)

(2)

(3)

871 1330

63

550 1154

37

204 1079

23 81

80 120

2201

1705

75

1282

58

200

Total Demand for Child Care Spaces

Distribution

EXISTING SUPPLY (4)

283 1199

19 81

Child Care Spaces

1483

100

Family Child Care Home Supply

Child Care Center Supply

Current Child Care Supply

Distribution

EXISTING SURPLUS(SHORTAGE)

Distribution

Percentage of Demand Met

by Existing FacilitiesSpaces

Shortage of Family Child Care Home Spaces

Shortage of Center-Based Spaces

(5)

(6)

(6)

19

12

31

118 149

88 1200

206 1349

13 87

(77) 150

-106 206

73 112

(44) NA

(33) NA

267

1288

1555

100

73

100

105

(44)

(33)

FINAL

Table B-8

Future Child Care Demand and Supply in 2025 in Foster City

San Mateo County Child Care Study - 2016

Note All footnote references can be found in Table C-1 at the end of this file

Sources 2010 US Census ABAG Projections 2013 2014 American Community Survey ACS Journey-to-Work data 2006-2008 and 2006-2010

Child Care Coordinating Council of San Mateo County (4Cs) Community Care Licensing Brion Economics Inc

Prepared by Brion Economics Inc 2513-SMC NA Final Tables 61216 6122016

HALF MOON BAY REGION

Child Care as of 2025

No of

Providers

Under 2 Years

Old

2 to 4 Year

Olds

Total 0 to 4

Years

EXISTING DEMAND Child Care Demand

Estimated Total Children

Average LFPRAdjustment Factor

Children With Working Parents

Licensed Care Demand Factor

Resident Children Needing Licensed Care

of Total Resident Children Needing Licensed Care

Children from Non-Resident Employees Needing

Licensed Care

(1)

(2)

(3)

553 929

69

383 835

37

142 781

26 84

14 21

1482

1217

76

923

62

34

Total Demand for Child Care Spaces

Distribution

EXISTING SUPPLY (4)

155 802

16 84

Child Care Spaces

957

100

Family Child Care Home Supply

Child Care Center Supply

Current Child Care Supply

Distribution

EXISTING SURPLUS(SHORTAGE)

Distribution

Percentage of Demand Met

by Existing FacilitiesSpaces

Shortage of Family Child Care Home Spaces

Shortage of Center-Based Spaces

(5)

(6)

(6)

10

11

21

96 121

35 285

131 406

24 76

(24) (396)

6 94

84 51

(18) (118)

(6) (279)

216

320

536

100

(421)

100

56

(136)

(285)

FINAL

Table B-9

Future Child Care Demand and Supply in 2025 in Half Moon Bay Region

San Mateo County Child Care Study - 2016

Note All footnote references can be found in Table C-1 at the end of this file

Sources 2010 US Census ABAG Projections 2013 2014 American Community Survey ACS Journey-to-Work data 2006-2008 and 2006-2010

Child Care Coordinating Council of San Mateo County (4Cs) Community Care Licensing Brion Economics Inc

Prepared by Brion Economics Inc 2513-SMC NA Final Tables 61216 6122016

HILLSBOROUGH

Child Care as of 2025

No of

Providers

Under 2 Years

Old

2 to 4 Year

Olds

Total 0 to 4

Years

EXISTING DEMAND Child Care Demand

Estimated Total Children

Average LFPRAdjustment Factor

Children With Working Parents

Licensed Care Demand Factor

Resident Children Needing Licensed Care

of Total Resident Children Needing Licensed Care

Children from Non-Resident Employees Needing

Licensed Care

(1)

(2)

(3)

143 343

52

74 295

37

27 282

19 82

7 11

487

369

84

309

64

17

Total Demand for Child Care Spaces

Distribution

EXISTING SUPPLY (4)

34 292

10 90

Child Care Spaces

327

100

Family Child Care Home Supply

Child Care Center Supply

Current Child Care Supply

Distribution

EXISTING SURPLUS(SHORTAGE)

Distribution

Percentage of Demand Met

by Existing FacilitiesSpaces

Shortage of Family Child Care Home Spaces

Shortage of Center-Based Spaces

(5)

(6)

(6)

1

4

5

5 6

- 91

5 97

5 95

(29) (195)

13 87

14 33

(29) (12)

0 (183)

11

91

102

100

(225)

100

31

(42)

(183)

FINAL

Table B-10

Future Child Care Demand and Supply in 2025 in Hillsborough

San Mateo County Child Care Study - 2016

Note All footnote references can be found in Table C-1 at the end of this file

Sources 2010 US Census ABAG Projections 2013 2014 American Community Survey ACS Journey-to-Work data 2006-2008 and 2006-2010

Child Care Coordinating Council of San Mateo County (4Cs) Community Care Licensing Brion Economics Inc

Prepared by Brion Economics Inc 2513-SMC NA Final Tables 61216 6122016

MENLO PARK

Child Care as of 2025

No of

Providers

Under 2 Years

Old

2 to 4 Year

Olds

Total 0 to 4

Years

EXISTING DEMAND Child Care Demand

Estimated Total Children

Average LFPRAdjustment Factor

Children With Working Parents

Licensed Care Demand Factor

Resident Children Needing Licensed Care

of Total Resident Children Needing Licensed Care

Children from Non-Resident Employees Needing

Licensed Care

(1)

(2)

(3)

1327 1954

69

909 1759

37

336 1653

25 85

237 357

3281

2668

75

1989

61

594

Total Demand for Child Care Spaces

Distribution

EXISTING SUPPLY (4)

573 2011

22 78

Child Care Spaces

2584

100

Family Child Care Home Supply

Child Care Center Supply

Current Child Care Supply

Distribution

EXISTING SURPLUS(SHORTAGE)

Distribution

Percentage of Demand Met

by Existing FacilitiesSpaces

Shortage of Family Child Care Home Spaces

Shortage of Center-Based Spaces

(5)

(6)

(6)

15

25

40

76 96

73 1331

149 1427

9 91

(424) (584)

42 58

26 71

(217) (39)

(207) (544)

172

1404

1576

100

(1008)

100

61

(256)

(752)

FINAL

Table B-11

Future Child Care Demand and Supply in 2025 in Menlo Park

San Mateo County Child Care Study - 2016

Note All footnote references can be found in Table C-1 at the end of this file

Sources 2010 US Census ABAG Projections 2013 2014 American Community Survey ACS Journey-to-Work data 2006-2008 and 2006-2010

Child Care Coordinating Council of San Mateo County (4Cs) Community Care Licensing Brion Economics Inc

Prepared by Brion Economics Inc 2513-SMC NA Final Tables 61216 6122016

MILLBRAE

Child Care as of 2025

No of

Providers

Under 2 Years

Old

2 to 4 Year

Olds

Total 0 to 4

Years

EXISTING DEMAND Child Care Demand

Estimated Total Children

Average LFPRAdjustment Factor

Children With Working Parents

Licensed Care Demand Factor

Resident Children Needing Licensed Care

of Total Resident Children Needing Licensed Care

Children from Non-Resident Employees Needing

Licensed Care

(1)

(2)

(3)

473 805

62

291 710

37

108 672

23 83

31 47

1278

1001

78

780

61

77

Total Demand for Child Care Spaces

Distribution

EXISTING SUPPLY (4)

139 718

16 84

Child Care Spaces

857

100

Family Child Care Home Supply

Child Care Center Supply

Current Child Care Supply

Distribution

EXISTING SURPLUS(SHORTAGE)

Distribution

Percentage of Demand Met

by Existing FacilitiesSpaces

Shortage of Family Child Care Home Spaces

Shortage of Center-Based Spaces

(5)

(6)

(6)

7

7

14

62 78

- 376

62 454

12 88

(76) (264)

22 78

45 63

(76) (46)

0 (219)

141

376

517

100

(340)

100

60

(122)

(219)

FINAL

Table B-12

Future C hild Care Demand and Supply in 2025 in Millbrae

San Mateo County Child Care Study - 2016

Note All footnote references can be found in Table C-1 at the end of this file

Sources 2010 US Census ABAG Projections 2013 2014 American Community Survey ACS Journey-to-Work data 2006-2008 and 2006-2010

Child Care Coordinating Council of San Mateo County (4Cs) Community Care Licensing Brion Economics Inc

Prepared by Brion Economics Inc 2513-SMC NA Final Tables 61216 6122016

FINAL

Table B-13

Future Child Care Demand and Supply in 2025 in Pacifica

San Mateo County Child Care Study - 2016

PACIFICA

Child Care as of 2025

No of

Providers

Under 2 Years

Old

2 to 4 Year

Olds

Total 0 to 4

Years

EXISTING DEMAND Child Care Demand

Estimated Total Children

Average L FPRAdjustment Factor

Children With Working Parents

Licensed Care Demand Factor

Resident Children Needing Licensed Care

of Total Resident Children Needing Licensed Care

Children from Non-Resident Employees Needing

Licensed Care

(1)

(2)

(3)

816 1300

78

633 1209

37

234 1130

29 87

19 29

2116

1842

74

1364

64

48

Total Demand for Child Care Spaces

Distribution

EXISTING SUPPLY (4)

254 1159

18 82

Child Care Spaces

1413

100

Family Child Care Home Supply

Child Care Center Supply

Current Child Care Supply

Distribution

EXISTING SURPLUS(SHORTAGE)

Distribution

Percentage of Demand Met

by Existing FacilitiesSpaces

Shortage of Family Child Care Home Spaces

Shortage of Center-Based Spaces

(5)

(6)

(6)

9

18

27

77 97

39 701

116 798

13 87

(138) (361)

28 72

46 69

(91) (44)

(46) (317)

174

740

914

100

(499)

100

65

(135)

(364)

Note All footnote references can be found in Table C-1 at the end of this file

Sources 2010 US Census ABAG Projections 2013 2014 American Community Survey ACS Journey-to-Work data 2006-2008 and 2006-2010

Child Care Coordinating Council of San Mateo County (4Cs) Community Care Licensing Brion Economics Inc

Prepared by Brion Economics Inc 2513-SMC NA Final Tables 61216 6122016

PORTOLA VALLEY

Child Care as of 2025

No of

Providers

Under 2 Years

Old

2 to 4 Year

Olds

Total 0 to 4

Years

EXISTING DEMAND Child Care Demand

Estimated Total Children

Average LFPRAdjustment Factor

Children With Working Parents

Licensed Care Demand Factor

Resident Children Needing Licensed Care

of Total Resident Children Needing Licensed Care

Children from Non-Resident Employees Needing

Licensed Care

(1)

(2)

(3)

77 192

66

51 173

37

19 164

24 85

9 13

269

224

82

182

68

22

Total Demand for Child Care Spaces

Distribution

EXISTING SUPPLY (4)

28 177

13 87

Child Care Spaces

204

100

Family Child Care Home Supply

Child Care Center Supply

Current Child Care Supply

Distribution

EXISTING SURPLUS(SHORTAGE)

Distribution

Percentage of Demand Met

by Existing FacilitiesSpaces

Shortage of Family Child Care Home Spaces

Shortage of Center-Based Spaces

(5)

(6)

(6)

0

4

4

- -

- 153

- 153

0 100

(28) (24)

54 46

0 87

0 0

(28) (24)

0

153

153

100

(51)

100

75

0

(51)

FINAL

Table B-14

Future Child Care Demand and Supply in 2025 in Portola Valley

San Mateo County Child Care Study - 2016

Note All footnote references can be found in Table C-1 at the end of this file

Sources 2010 US Census ABAG Projections 2013 2014 American Community Survey ACS Journey-to-Work data 2006-2008 and 2006-2010

Child Care Coordinating Council of San Mateo County (4Cs) Community Care Licensing Brion Economics Inc

Prepared by Brion Economics Inc 2513-SMC NA Final Tables 61216 6122016

REDWOOD CITY

No of

Providers

Child Care as of 2025

Under 2 Years

Old

2 to 4 Year

Olds

Total 0 to 4

Years

EXISTING DEMAND Child Care Demand

Estimated Total Children

Average LFPRAdjustment Factor

Children With Working Parents

Licensed Care Demand Factor

Resident Children Needing Licensed Care

of Total Resident Children Needing Licensed Care

Children from Non-Resident Employees Needing

Licensed Care

Total Demand for Child Care Spaces

Distribution

EXISTING SUPPLY

(1)

(2)

(3)

(4)

3725 5378

69

2555 4813

37

946 4505

25 84

466 703

1411 5208

21 79

Child Care Spaces

9103

7368

74

5450

60

1169

6619

100

Family Child Care Home Supply

Child Care Center Supply

Current Child Care Supply

Distribution

EXISTING SURPLUS(SHORTAGE)

Distribution

Percentage of Demand Met

by Existing FacilitiesSpaces

Shortage of Family Child Care Home Spaces

Shortage of Center-Based Spaces

(5)

(6)

(6)

42

41

83

396 497

356 2036

752 2533

23 77

(660) (2674)

20 80

53 49

(347) (525)

(313) (2149)

893

2392

3285

100

(3334)

100

50

(872)

(2462)

FINAL

Table B-15

Future Child Care Demand and Supply in 2025 in Redwood City

San Mateo County Child Care Study - 2016

Note All footnote references can be found in Table C-1 at the end of this file

Sources 2010 US Census ABAG Projections 2013 2014 American Community Survey ACS Journey-to-Work data 2006-2008 and 2006-2010

Child Care Coordinating Council of San Mateo County (4Cs) Community Care Licensing Brion Economics Inc

Prepared by Brion Economics Inc 2513-SMC NA Final Tables 61216 6122016

SAN BRUNO

Child Care as of 2025

No of

Providers

Under 2 Years

Old

2 to 4 Year

Olds

Total 0 to 4

Years

EXISTING DEMAND Child Care Demand

Estimated Total Children

Average LFPRAdjustment Factor

Children With Working Parents

Licensed Care Demand Factor

Resident Children Needing Licensed Care

of Total Resident Children Needing Licensed Care

Children from Non-Resident Employees Needing

Licensed Care

(1)

(2)

(3)

1189 1728

77

910 1589

37

337 1475

28 85

68 103

2917

2498

73

1812

62

171

Total Demand for Child Care Spaces

Distribution

EXISTING SUPPLY (4)

405 1578

20 80

Child Care Spaces

1983

100

Family Child Care Home Supply

Child Care Center Supply

Current Child Care Supply

Distribution

EXISTING SURPLUS(SHORTAGE)

Distribution

Percentage of Demand Met

by Existing FacilitiesSpaces

Shortage of Family Child Care Home Spaces

Shortage of Center-Based Spaces

(5)

(6)

(6)

13

15

28

122 153

26 1183

148 1336

10 90

(257) (242)

52 48

37 85

(212) (28)

(45) (214)

275

1209

1484

100

(499)

100

75

(239)

(259)

FINAL

Table B-16

Future C hild Care Demand and Supply in 2025 in San Bruno

San Mateo County Child Care Study - 2016

Note All footnote references can be found in Table C-1 at the end of this file

Sources 2010 US Census ABAG Projections 2013 2014 American Community Survey ACS Journey-to-Work data 2006-2008 and 2006-2010

Child Care Coordinating Council of San Mateo County (4Cs) Community Care Licensing Brion Economics Inc

Prepared by Brion Economics Inc 2513-SMC NA Final Tables 61216 6122016

SAN CARLOS

Child Care as of 2025

No of

Providers

Under 2 Years

Old

2 to 4 Year

Olds

Total 0 to 4

Years

EXISTING DEMAND Child Care Demand

Estimated Total Children

Average LFPRAdjustment Factor

Children With Working Parents

Licensed Care Demand Factor

Resident Children Needing Licensed Care

of Total Resident Children Needing Licensed Care

Children from Non-Resident Employees Needing

Licensed Care

(1)

(2)

(3)

778 1384

72

557 1255

37

206 1174

26 85

82 123

2162

1812

76

1380

64

205

Total Demand for Child Care Spaces

Distribution

EXISTING SUPPLY (4)

288 1297

18 82

Child Care Spaces

1585

100

Family Child Care Home Supply

Child Care Center Supply

Current Child Care Supply

Distribution

EXISTING SURPLUS(SHORTAGE)

Distribution

Percentage of Demand Met

by Existing FacilitiesSpaces

Shortage of Family Child Care Home Spaces

Shortage of Center-Based Spaces

(5)

(6)

(6)

28

14

42

73 92

76 615

149 707

17 83

(139) (590)

19 81

52 54

(68) (76)

(71) (514)

164

691

855

100

(729)

100

54

(145)

(585)

FINAL

Table B-17

Future Child Care Demand and Supply in 2025 in San Carlos

San Mateo County Child Care Study - 2016

Note All footnote references can be found in Table C-1 at the end of this file

Sources 2010 US Census ABAG Projections 2013 2014 American Community Survey ACS Journey-to-Work data 2006-2008 and 2006-2010

Child Care Coordinating Council of San Mateo County (4Cs) Community Care Licensing Brion Economics Inc

Prepared by Brion Economics Inc 2513-SMC NA Final Tables 61216 6122016

SAN MATEO

Child Care as of 2025

No of

Providers

Under 2 Years

Old

2 to 4 Year

Olds

Total 0 to 4

Years

EXISTING DEMAND Child Care Demand

Estimated Total Children

Average LFPRAdjustment Factor

Children With Working Parents

Licensed Care Demand Factor

Resident Children Needing Licensed Care

of Total Resident Children Needing Licensed Care

Children from Non-Resident Employees Needing

Licensed Care

(1)

(2)

(3)

3194 4572

71

2264 4116

37

838 3839

26 84

261 394

7766

6381

73

4677

60

656

Total Demand for Child Care Spaces

Distribution

EXISTING SUPPLY (4)

1099 4233

21 79

Child Care Spaces

5332

100

Family Child Care Home Supply

Child Care Center Supply

Current Child Care Supply

Distribution

EXISTING SURPLUS(SHORTAGE)

Distribution

Percentage of Demand Met

by Existing FacilitiesSpaces

Shortage of Family Child Care Home Spaces

Shortage of Center-Based Spaces

(5)

(6)

(6)

69

59

128

492 619

209 2577

701 3196

18 82

(398) (1037)

28 72

64 75

(279) (201)

(119) (837)

1111

2786

3897

100

(1435)

100

73

(480)

(955)

FINAL

Table B-18

Future Child Care Demand and Supply in 2025 in San Mateo

San Mateo County Child Care Study - 2016

Note All footnote references can be found in Table C-1 at the end of this file

Sources 2010 US Census ABAG Projections 2013 2014 American Community Survey ACS Journey-to-Work data 2006-2008 and 2006-2010

Child Care Coordinating Council of San Mateo County (4Cs) Community Care Licensing Brion Economics Inc

Prepared by Brion Economics Inc 2513-SMC NA Final Tables 61216 6122016

FINAL

Table B-19

Future Child Care Demand and Supply in 2025 in South Coast

San Mateo County Child Care Study - 2016

SOUTH COAST

Child Care as of 2025

No of

Providers

Under 2 Years

Old

2 to 4 Year

Olds

Total 0 to 4

Years

EXISTING DEMAND Child Care Demand

Estimated Total Children (1) 23 32 55

Average LFPRAdjustment Factor (2) 54

Children With Working Parents 12 27 40

Licensed Care Demand Factor (3) 37 77

Resident Children Needing Licensed Care 5 26 30

of Total Resident Children Needing Licensed Care 20 81 56

Children from Non-Resident Employees Needing

Licensed Care 0 0 0

Total Demand for Child Care Spaces 5 26 30

Distribution 15 85 100

EXISTING SUPPLY (4) Child Care Spaces

Family Child Care Home Supply - 0 0 0

Child Care Center Supply 2 0 54 54

Current Child Care Supply 2 - 54 54

Distribution 0 100 100

EXISTING SURPLUS(SHORTAGE) (5) 28 24

Distribution -19 119 100

Percentage of Demand Met

by Existing FacilitiesSpaces (5) 0 209 177

Shortage of Family Child Care Home Spaces (6) 0 NA 0

Shortage of Center-Based Spaces (6) (5) NA (5)

Note All footnote references can be found in Table C-1 at the end of this file

Sources 2010 US Census ABAG Projections 2013 2014 American Community Survey ACS Journey-to-Work data 2006-2008 and 2006-2010

Child Care Coordinating Council of San Mateo County (4Cs) Community Care Licensing Brion Economics Inc

Prepared by Brion Economics Inc 2513-SMC NA Final Tables 61216 6122016

SOUTH SAN FRANCISCO

Child Care as of 2025

No of

Providers

Under 2 Years

Old

2 to 4 Year

Olds

Total 0 to 4

Years

EXISTING DEMAND Child Care Demand

Estimated Total Children

Average LFPRAdjustment Factor

Children With Working Parents

Licensed Care Demand Factor

Resident Children Needing Licensed Care

of Total Resident Children Needing Licensed Care

Children from Non-Resident Employees Needing

Licensed Care

(1)

(2)

(3)

1835 2790

73

1342 2535

37

496 2362

27 85

339 512

4625

3877

74

2859

62

851

Total Demand for Child Care Spaces

Distribution

EXISTING SUPPLY (4)

835 2874

23 77

Child Care Spaces

3709

100

Family Child Care Home Supply

Child Care Center Supply

Current Child Care Supply

Distribution

EXISTING SURPLUS(SHORTAGE)

Distribution

Percentage of Demand Met

by Existing FacilitiesSpaces

Shortage of Family Child Care Home Spaces

Shortage of Center-Based Spaces

(5)

(6)

(6)

30

27

57

252 317

400 1966

652 2283

22 78

(183) (591)

24 76

78 79

(71) (82)

(113) (509)

569

2366

2935

100

(775)

100

79

(153)

(622)

FINAL

Table B-20

Future Child Care Demand and Supply in 2025 in South San Francisco

San Mateo County Child Care Study - 2016

Note All footnote references can be found in Table C-1 at the end of this file

Sources 2010 US Census ABAG Projections 2013 2014 American Community Survey ACS Journey-to-Work data 2006-2008 and 2006-2010

Child Care Coordinating Council of San Mateo County (4Cs) Community Care Licensing Brion Economics Inc

Prepared by Brion Economics Inc 2513-SMC NA Final Tables 61216 6122016

WOODSIDE

No of

Providers

Child Care as of 2025

Under 2 Years

Old

2 to 4 Year

Olds

Total 0 to 4

Years

EXISTING DEMAND Child Care Demand

Estimated Total Children

Average LFPRAdjustment Factor

Children With Working Parents

Licensed Care Demand Factor

Resident Children Needing Licensed Care

of Total Resident Children Needing Licensed Care

Children from Non-Resident Employees Needing

Licensed Care

(1)

(2)

(3)

93 165

56

51 140

37

19 132

21 80

9 13

258

192

79

152

59

22

Total Demand for Child Care Spaces

Distribution

EXISTING SUPPLY (4)

28 146

16 84

Child Care Spaces

174

100

Family Child Care Home Supply

Child Care Center Supply

Current Child Care Supply

Distribution

EXISTING SURPLUS(SHORTAGE)

Distribution

Percentage of Demand Met

by Existing FacilitiesSpaces

Shortage of Family Child Care Home Spaces

Shortage of Center-Based Spaces

(5)

(6)

(6)

1

2

3

4 5

- 103

4 108

4 96

(24) (38)

39 61

15 74

(24) (2)

0 (36)

9

103

112

100

(61)

100

65

(26)

(36)

FINAL

Table B-21

Future Child Care Demand and Supply in 2025 in Woodside

San Mateo County Child Care Study - 2016

Note All footnote references can be found in Table C-1 at the end of this file

Sources 2010 US Census ABAG Projections 2013 2014 American Community Survey ACS Journey-to-Work data 2006-2008 and 2006-2010

Child Care Coordinating Council of San Mateo County (4Cs) Community Care Licensing Brion Economics Inc

Prepared by Brion Economics Inc 2513-SMC NA Final Tables 61216 6122016

FINAL

Table C-1

Endnotes for Tables

San Mateo County Child Care Study - 2016

(1) Population by age is based on the percentage breakdown from the 2010 US Census and applied

to population estimates for 2015 using ABAGs Projections 2013 population data The ABAG data

for each area includes its Sphere of Influence and is not based on strict jurisdictional boundaries

(2) Labor force participation rates are from the 5-Year American Community Survey 2014 and include

children under six years old with two working parents or a single working parent For the 2- to 4-year

olds the labor force participation rate is applied to 2 year olds For 3- and 4-year olds it is assumed

that 100 need licensed care to support preschool for every child so the number of

3- and 4-year olds is not discounted by labor force participation rates

(3) Not all children with working parents are assumed to need licensed care percentage assumptions are

used to calculate the number of children requiring licensed care under each age category The

remaining children are assumed to be cared for in alternate arrangements such as by family members

nannies friends and other unlicensed care For children ages 3- and 4-years old it is assumed that

they all need care in the form of preschool

(4) Data on child care supply provided by the Child Care Coordinating Council of San Mateo County (4Cs)

and Community Care Licensing Division of the California Department of Social Services (CCLD) Data is

for June 2015

(5) Demand that calculates as less than 100 means that there is greater demand than supply percent of

demand that is over 100 means supply exceeds demand

(6) Unmet demand is broken down into shortage by type of care based on the proportion of FCCHs and

child care centers spaces available in each area If an area does not have any FCCHs or centers the

unmet demand is placed in the type of care that is available in the area (eg if there are only centers

all demand goes to centers)

Source Brion Economics Inc

Prepared by Brion Economics Inc 2513-SMC NA Final Tables 61216 6122016

DRAFT REPORT

Table C-2

Labor Force Participation Rates by CityArea

San Mateo County Child Care Study - 2016

CityArea

Labor Force

Participation Rate (1)

Atherton

Belmont

Brisbane

Burlingame

Daly CityColma

East Palo Alto

Foster City

Half Moon Bay Region

Hillsborough

Menlo Park

Millbrae

Pacifica

Portola Valley

Redwood City

San Bruno

San Carlos

San Mateo

South Coast

South San Francisco

Woodside

40

77

100

65

74

71

63

69

52

69

62

78

66

69

77

72

71

54

73

56

(1) Labor force participation rates (LFPRs) are for

families with children under age six with two

working parents or a single parent who works Sources American Community Survey 2014 5-Year

Survey Brion Economics Inc

Prepared by Brion Economics Inc 2513-SMC NA Final Tables 61216 6122016

  • 2513-SMC FINAL NA Memo-61216
  • 2513-SMC NA Final Tables 61216
Page 2: Final San Mateo County Child Care Needs … Care...Future C hild Care Demand and Supply in 2025 in Daly City/Colma San Mateo County Child Care Study - 2016 Note: All footnote references

--

middot - I

Final Child Care Needs Assessment ndash 2015 and 2025 San Mateo Early Learning Facilities Study

June 12 2016 Page 2 of 9

Supply and Demand for Child Care in San Mateo County - 2015 40000

6821

26971

33792

3815

19189

23003

(3006)

(7783)

(10789) (15000)

(10000)

(5000)

0

5000

10000

15000

20000

25000

30000

35000

Under 2 Years Old 2 to 4 Years Old Total 0 to 4 Years Old

Num

ber o

f Chi

ld C

are

Spac

es

Children by Age Group

Demand Supply Surplus(Shortage)

29506

36984

30000

40000

Supply and Demand for Child Care in San Mateo County - 2025

7478

3815

19189

23003

(3663)

(10318) (10000)

0

10000

20000

Num

ber o

f Chi

ld C

are

Spac

es

(13981)

(20000)

Under 2 Years Old 2 to 4 Years Old Total 0 to 4 Years Old

Children by Age Group

Demand Supply Surplus(Shortage)

Prepared by Brion Economics Inc Final Report

Final Child Care Needs Assessment ndash 2015 and 2025 San Mateo Early Learning Facilities Study

June 12 2016 Page 3 of 9

The Needs Assessment begins with the underlying demographic data and then growth projections are incorporated into the analysis Child care supply and demand analysis by city and for the County is then estimated at 2015 and 2025 Appendix A presents the full Needs Assessment tables and the supporting data

Appendix A Tables 1 to 13 comprise the population employment summary of supply and demand estimates and any unmet demand by cityarea These data tables are followed by detailed analysis tables one set for each of the 20 citiesareas analyzed for this study and one for San Mateo County as a whole under current 2015 conditions (Tables A-1 to A-21) Tables B-1 to B-21 present the analysis of future 2025 conditions for the same set of citiesareas Table C-1 includes the endnotes for all Appendix A tables Table C-2 summarizes labor force participation rates by cityarea

This study focuses on children ages 0 to 4 with the following breakdown

bull Infants ndash children under age 2 bull Preschool ndash children ages 2 to 4

While most needs assessment focus on children ages 0 to 12 or 13 this study is particularly focused on children birth to four-years-old or infants and preschool children It is assumed that most five-year-olds will be enrolled in kindergarten or transitional kindergarten and will not be generating demand for preschool age child care spaces The committee overseeing this effort made a policy decision to focus on 0 to 4 year olds for this effort although technically First 5 serves children from birth through age five

Demographic Tables

The Needs Assessment is focused on 18 incorporated cities and two other unincorporated special areas as shown in Table 1 The two unincorporated areas are defined as the Half Moon Bay Region and South Coast Half Moon Bay Region includes the City of Half Moon Bay as well as the communities of El Granada Montara and Moss Beach South Coast includes the communities of La Honda Loma Mar and Pescadero

Table 1 shows population estimates for each of the citiesareas from different sources and at different time periods Population from the 2010 US Census is listed as well as 2010 and 2015 estimates by the Association of Bay Area Governments (ABAG) Projections 2013 The US Census breaks out the communities in the Half Moon Bay Region and South Coast areas individually ABAG does not provide this detail although it breaks out an area called Half Moon Bay Unincorporated To calculate the population for Half Moon Bay Region using the ABAG data 93 of the Half Moon Bay Unincorporated population was added to the population of the City of Half Moon Bay based on the percentage of population of the Half Moon Bay Region compared to South Coast from the US Census To calculate the population for South Coast 7 of the Half Moon Bay Unincorporated population was attributed to the other area

Prepared by Brion Economics Inc Final Report

Final Child Care Needs Assessment ndash 2015 and 2025 San Mateo Early Learning Facilities Study

June 12 2016 Page 4 of 9

ABAG also lists 6300 residents in the ldquoRemainderrdquo of San Mateo County The analysis uses ABAG population that includes each cityrsquos sphere of influence (SOI) However ABAG still designates a remainder area with an amount of population and employment that is assumed to represent pockets of unincorporated areas on the east side of the County This Remainder was distributed evenly between the cities of Redwood City and Menlo Park which both have substantial unincorporated pockets and adjacent areas As shown in Table 1 total population for San Mateo County in 2015 is estimated at 745400

Based on ABAG data Table 2 shows population growth by cityarea between 2015 and 2025 Overall the County is expected to grow from 745500 residents to 805600 an increase of 60200 or 81 In terms of size Redwood City will see the largest population growth in the county with approximately 12000 new residents followed by San Mateo with an estimated 9000 new residents The City of Millbrae is projected to see the largest percentage increase of population at 123 given its small base The cities of East Palo Alto Redwood City San Bruno and South San Francisco are all expected to see around 11 growth

Age Groupings

Table 3 calculates 2015 population by age group for all children under two years old and children two to four years old The breakdown of children by age is calculated based on data from the 2010 US Census which breaks down population by age The percentage of children from birth to two years and from two to four years was applied to current 2015 population figures to estimate the current number of children by age group Countywide there are approximately 19000 children under the age of two years and 28676 children between the ages of two and four years old for a total of 47684 Children ages four and under make up approximately 64 of the total County population

Employment

Current and future employment based on ABAG projections is summarized in Table 4 For employment projections the Half Moon Bay Region includes the City of Half Moon Bay as well as all of Unincorporated Half Moon Bay as estimated by ABAG South Coast area does not have employment according to ABAG We included San Francisco Airport and Remainder as separate line items for employment projections As of 2015 there are approximately 374900 employees or jobs in San Mateo County Total employment is expected to increase by 105 to 414240 by 2025 The San Francisco Airport is estimated to see the largest employee growth percentage-wise at 139 followed by East Palo Alto at 134 San Mateo at 132 and Redwood City at 126 The Cities of Redwood City and San Mateo have the largest expected job growth in terms of actual number of jobs

Based on other work by Brion Economics current ABAG projections do not accurately capture expected employment growth in both Menlo Park and East Palo Alto ABAG estimates employment in Menlo Park to increase from 31920 in 2015 to 34390 in 2025 or a net increase

Prepared by Brion Economics Inc Final Report

Final Child Care Needs Assessment ndash 2015 and 2025 San Mateo Early Learning Facilities Study

June 12 2016 Page 5 of 9

of 2470 Based on a new study2 by the Menlo Park Fire Protection District (MPFPD) employment at 2025 is estimated at 40300 which is substantially higher or a net increase of almost 84003 For East Palo Alto ABAG also underestimates growth forecasting a total of 3310 employees in 2025 Based on the study by MPFPD this figure is estimated at 6046 jobs Because other cities may be planning for growth that we are not aware of we are using the published ABAG projections for all of the citiesareas even though we know that some figures may be understated This suggests that the analysis is conservative and growth and therefore child care demand may be higher than analyzed here

Also shown in Table 4 is the percent and number of employees that work in each cityarea but live outside the County based on data from the US Census Journey-to-Work data4 These numbers are calculated for 2015 and the 2015 assumptions are applied to 2025 total employment estimates Overall approximately 41 of employees that work in citiesareas of San Mateo County reside outside of the County In 2015 this accounts for approximately 154300 employees and in 2025 it is estimated to total 170400 employees based on applying current percentages to future employment estimates

Supply

Table 5 summarizes current licensed and legally license-exempt5 child care supply by age group for Infants and Preschool by cityarea as of June 2015 based on information provided by Child Care Coordinating Council of San Mateo County (4Cs) and Child Care Licensing Supply data includes the number of providers by type (either Family Child Care Homes or Licensed Centers) and breaks down the number of spaces by age group either Infants or Preschool Total child care supply for each cityarea is calculated as well as the distribution of spaces by age group6

Countywide there are approximately 3800 infant spaces and 19200 preschool spaces for a total of just over 23000 spaces Based on actual number of spaces the City of San Mateo has the most with almost 3900 spaces It is followed by Redwood City with approximately 3300 spaces

2 Based on data from ldquoPublic Review Draft Menlo Park Fire Protection District Emergency Services and Fire Protection Impact Fee Nexus Study 2015rdquo 3 The Menlo Park Fire Protection District Study estimates employment at 2015 and 2035 The figure used here for 2025 was calculated using an average growth rate per year and applying it to the next 10 years 4 For cities with populations over 65000 the Journey-to-Work data is from 2006-2008 (most current available) for cities with smaller populations the data is based on a different Journey-to-Work data from 2006-2010 (most current available) Data was provided by Shimon Israel at MTC in March 2016 5 Legally license-exempt programs include programs run by City Park amp Recreation programs Co-operativeParent Participation programs school district programs and federal migrant programs 6 One center with an Atherton address and five centers with Menlo Park addresses have been moved to count towards Redwood City per Kristen Andersonrsquos request

Prepared by Brion Economics Inc Final Report

Final Child Care Needs Assessment ndash 2015 and 2025 San Mateo Early Learning Facilities Study

June 12 2016 Page 6 of 9

Demand

Demand is calculated by taking the number of children by age group with working parents based on applying labor force participation rates (LFPRs) for children under age six (from the 2014 5-Year American Community Survey) to the number of Infants and Preschoolers to calculate the number of children in each of those age groups with working parents Three- and four-year-olds are not discounted by LFPRs because the County wants to include all three- and four-year-olds in the demand factor to support the Countyrsquos universal preschool policy Labor force participation rates include families with two working parents or a single parent who works

Relevant demand factors are then applied to the number of children with working parents to determine the number of those children requiring licensed care as discussed above It is assumed that only a percentage of children with working parents require licensed care because some parents choose to have nannies extended family friends or other arrangements for their children and are therefore not looking for a licensed child care space

For Infants a demand factor of 37 is applied This is the demand factor recommended by the California Child Care Coordinators Association for needs assessments and agreed upon by the data committee for this project

For Preschool children demand factors typically vary between 75 and 100 of children with working parents At the direction of the data committee we are using 100 of three- and four-year-old children requiring care regardless of whether their parents work in support of the Countyrsquos overall policy to promote universal preschool For two-year-olds a 75 licensed care demand factor is applied after LFPRs are applied For three- and four-year-olds a 100 licensed care demand factor is applied assuming all three- and four-year-olds in the County require a licensed child care space

Once demand is calculated the percent distribution of total demand for spaces by age group is calculated as well as the percent of total children requiring licensed care

The total demand for spaces by age group for both 2015 and 2025 is summarized in Table 6 At 2015 Redwood City shows the greatest demand for both age groups needing over 5800 spaces The City of San Mateo follows requiring almost 5000 spaces Overall there is demand for over 6800 infant spaces and almost 27000 preschool spaces or 33800 spaces countywide in 2015 In 2025 the demand in Redwood City is still highest with a 179 increase for total demand of over 6600 spaces In 2025 it is expected that there will be a need for 7500 infant spaces and 29500 preschool spaces for a total demand of almost 37000 licensed child care spaces

Current child care demand from employees is calculated in Table 7 based on the employment numbers calculated in Table 4 for each cityarea It is assumed that 3 of employees require

Prepared by Brion Economics Inc Final Report

Final Child Care Needs Assessment ndash 2015 and 2025 San Mateo Early Learning Facilities Study

June 12 2016 Page 7 of 9

licensed care in the County based on other studies that have looked at employee demand The analysis assumes one child aged birth to four years old per employee on average Of those children it is assumed that 40 require infant spaces and 60 require preschool spaces This breakdown is based on the current ratio of infants and preschool age children in the County currently It is estimated that there are approximately 4600 children of employees who work in the County that require care Of those 1800 are estimated to be infants and almost 2800 are estimated to be preschool age Demand for SF Airport is included in total demand for South San Francisco and employee demand for the Remainder area is applied to Redwood City

Table 8 presents the same data as Table 7 but for 2025 conditions It is estimated that 5100 employee children from birth to four years old will demand licensed care in the County in 2025 with approximately 2000 requiring infant spaces and 3100 requiring preschool spaces

The surplusshortage and percent of demand met for licensed infant and preschool care by cityarea in 2015 is shown in Table 9 Countywide 56 of infant demand is met and 71 of current preschool demand is met Table 10 shows the same data for 2025 it is estimated that 51 and 65 of demand for infant and preschool spaces respectively will be met These figures assume existing supply and do not account for any new supply that may be built over the next 10 years The communities of Atherton Foster City and South Coast do show some surpluses of child care spaces

The number of current child care providers by type is summarized in Table 11 There are currently 621 family child care homes and 309 licensed and license-exempt centers in San Mateo County

Tables 12 and 13 summarize the shortage of spaces by type (family child care home or center) and by age group (infant or preschool) at 2015 and 2025 These figures are estimated based on the current distribution of space by type of providers on a pro rata basis For example if a community has 60 of its infant spaces in family child care homes and 40 in centers the current shortage of spaces is distributed at that same ratio If there is a shortage of 100 infant spaces it would be assumed that 60 new infant spaces at family child care homes and 40 center spaces would be needed

Table A-1 shows a summary of current 2015 supply and demand countywide and Tables A-2 through A-21 estimate supply and demand by cityarea Tables B-1 through B-21 show the summary of future demand compared to existing supply at 2025 Table C-1 has the endnotes for all of the A and B Tables and Table C-2 summarizes labor force participation rates by cityarea

Prepared by Brion Economics Inc Final Report

Final Child Care Needs Assessment ndash 2015 and 2025 San Mateo Early Learning Facilities Study

June 12 2016 Page 8 of 9

APPENDIX TABLES Table Index Appendix A Child Care Needs Assessment (Supply and Demand) as of 2015 and 2015 San Mateo County Child Care Study - 2016 Table Table Name

Table 1 Population Summary Table for 2010 2015 and 2025 Table 2 Population Growth by City 2015 and 2025 from ABAG Table 3 Population by Age Group by City 2015 and 2025 Table 4 Employment Growth and Employee Residence by City 2015 and 2025 Table 5 Child Care Supply Summary Table for 2015 Table 6 Child Care Demand Summary Table for 2015 and 2025 Table 7 Employee Demand Summary Table for 2015 Table 8 Employee Demand Summary Table for 2025 Table 9 Summary of Demand Met by Existing Facilities in Each Community at 2015 Table 10 Summary of Demand Met by Existing Facilities in Each Community at 2025 Table 11 Number of Child Care Providers by City in 2015 Table 12 Summary of Shortage of Child Care Center Spaces by Age - 2015 Table 13 Summary of Shortage of Child Care Center Spaces by Age - 2025

Existing Conditions - 2015 Table A-1 Existing Child Care Demand and Supply in 2015 Countywide Table A-2 Existing Child Care Demand and Supply in 2015 in Atherton Table A-3 Existing Child Care Demand and Supply in 2015 in Belmont Table A-4 Existing Child Care Demand and Supply in 2015 in Brisbane Table A-5 Existing Child Care Demand and Supply in 2015 in Burlingame Table A-6 Existing Child Care Demand and Supply in 2015 in Daly CityColma Table A-7 Existing Child Care Demand and Supply in 2015 in East Palo Alto Table A-8 Existing Child Care Demand and Supply in 2015 in Foster City Table A-9 Existing Child Care Demand and Supply in 2015 in Half Moon Bay Region Table A-10 Existing Child Care Demand and Supply in 2015 in Hillsborough Table A-11 Existing Child Care Demand and Supply in 2015 in Menlo Park Table A-12 Existing Child Care Demand and Supply in 2015 in Millbrae Table A-13 Existing Child Care Demand and Supply in 2015 in Pacifica Table A-14 Existing Child Care Demand and Supply in 2015 in Portola Valley Table A-15 Existing Child Care Demand and Supply in 2015 in Redwood City Table A-16 Existing Child Care Demand and Supply in 2015 in San Bruno Table A-17 Existing Child Care Demand and Supply in 2015 in San Carlos Table A-18 Existing Child Care Demand and Supply in 2015 in San Mateo Table A-19 Existing Child Care Demand and Supply in 2015 in South Coast Table A-20 Existing Child Care Demand and Supply in 2015 in South San Francisco Table A-21 Existing Child Care Demand and Supply in 2015 in Woodside Continued

Prepared by Brion Economics Inc Final Report

Final Child Care Needs Assessment ndash 2015 and 2025 San Mateo Early Learning Facilities Study

June 12 2016 Page 9 of 9

Future Conditions - 2025 Table B-1 Future Child Care Demand and Supply in 2025 Countywide Table B-2 Future Child Care Demand and Supply in 2025 in Atherton Table B-3 Future Child Care Demand and Supply in 2025 in Belmont Table B-4 Future Child Care Demand and Supply in 2025 in Brisbane Table B-5 Future Child Care Demand and Supply in 2025 in Burlingame Table B-6 Future Child Care Demand and Supply in 2025 in Daly CityColma Table B-7 Future Child Care Demand and Supply in 2025 in East Palo Alto Table B-8 Future Child Care Demand and Supply in 2025 in Foster City Table B-9 Future Child Care Demand and Supply in 2025 in Half Moon Bay Region Table B-10 Future Child Care Demand and Supply in 2025 in Hillsborough Table B-11 Future Child Care Demand and Supply in 2025 in Menlo Park Table B-12 Future Child Care Demand and Supply in 2025 in Millbrae Table B-13 Future Child Care Demand and Supply in 2025 in Pacifica Table B-14 Future Child Care Demand and Supply in 2025 in Portola Valley Table B-15 Future Child Care Demand and Supply in 2025 in Redwood City Table B-16 Future Child Care Demand and Supply in 2025 in San Bruno Table B-17 Future Child Care Demand and Supply in 2025 in San Carlos Table B-18 Future Child Care Demand and Supply in 2025 in San Mateo Table B-19 Future Child Care Demand and Supply in 2025 in South Coast Table B-20 Future Child Care Demand and Supply in 2025 in South San Francisco Table B-21 Future Child Care Demand and Supply in 2025 in Woodside

Table C-1 Endnotes for Tables Table C-2 Labor Force Participation Rates by CityArea

Source Brion Economics Inc

Prepared by Brion Economics Inc Final Report

2010 Population 2010 Population 2015 Population

CityArea (Census) (ABAG) (ABAG)

Atherton 6914 6914 7100

Belmont 25835 25995 26600

Brisbane 4282 4282 4400

Burlingame 28806 29873 31300

Daly CityColma 102915 108167 111200

East Palo Alto 28155 28155 29200

Foster City 30567 30567 31000

Half Moon Bay Region (1) 22803 21956 22329

Hillsborough 10825 10825 11000

Menlo Park (2) 32026 36816 40850

Millbrae 21532 21532 22800

Pacifica 37234 37234 37600

Portola Valley 4353 6432 6500

Redwood City (2) 76815 100509 109350

San Bruno 41114 41114 43500

San Carlos 28406 30015 30800

San Mateo 97207 101234 105600

South Coast (3) 1684 847 871

South San Francisco 63632 63803 67400

Woodside 5287 5933 6000

Total 670392 712203 745400

FINAL

Table 1

Population Summary Table for 2010 2015 and 2025

San Mateo County Child Care Study - 2016

(1) Half Moon Bay Region includes the City of Half Moon Bay El Granada Montara

and Moss Beach

(2) ABAG Projections have 6300 people listed as Remainder population this

amount is divided equally between Menlo Park and Redwood City given that

they are surrounded by unincorporated areas

(3) South Coast includes La Honda Loma Mar and Pescadero

Sources 2010 US Census ABAG Projections 2013 Brion Economics Inc

Prepared by Brion Economics Inc 2513-SMC NA Final Tables 61216 6122016

CityArea

Population

at 2015

Population

at 2025

CHANGE 2015 to 2025

2015 to

2025 Change

Atherton

Belmont

Brisbane

Burlingame

Daly CityColma

East Palo Alto

Foster City

Half Moon Bay Region (1)

Hillsborough

Menlo Park (2)

Millbrae

Pacifica

Portola Valley

Redwood City (2)

San Bruno

San Carlos

San Mateo

South Coast (3)

South San Francisco

Woodside

Total by Age

7100

26600

4400

31300

111200

29200

31000

22329

11000

40850

22800

37600

6500

109350

43500

30800

105600

871

67400

6000

7400

27900

4600

34300

118000

32400

32300

24140

11400

42750

25600

39000

6700

121350

48400

32600

114600

960

75000

6200

300

1300

200

3000

6800

3200

1300

1811

400

1900

2800

1400

200

12000

4900

1800

9000

89

7600

200

42

49

45

96

61

110

42

81

36

47

123

37

31

110

113

58

85

102

113

33

745400 805600 60200 81 I I I I

FINAL

Table 2

Population Growth by City 2015 and 2025 from ABAG

San Mateo County Child Care Study - 2016

(1) Half Moon Bay Region includes the City of Half Moon Bay El Granada

Montara and Moss Beach

(2) ABAG Projections have 6300 people listed as Remainder population this

amount is divided equally between Menlo Park and Redwood City given that

they are surrounded by unincorporated areas

(3) South Coast includes La Honda Loma Mar and Pescadero

Sources 2010 US Census ABAG Projections 2013 Brion Economics Inc

Prepared by Brion Economics Inc 2513-SMC NA Final Tables 61216 6122016

2015 2025 CHANGE 2015 to 2025

Children 4 and Under

Under 2 2 to 4 as of Total Under 2 2 to 4 Under 2 2 to 4

CityArea Years Old Year Olds Total Population Years Old Year Olds Total Years Old Year Olds Total

Atherton 105 185 290 41 109 193 302 4 8 12

Belmont 708 1045 1753 66 743 1095 1838 35 50 85

Brisbane 125 166 292 66 131 174 305 6 8 13

Burlingame 824 1216 2040 65 903 1332 2235 79 117 195

Daly CityColma 2495 3575 6070 55 2647 3793 6440 153 218 370

East Palo Alto 1046 1667 2713 93 1161 1849 3010 115 183 297

Foster City 836 1277 2113 68 871 1330 2201 35 54 89

Half Moon Bay Region (1) 511 860 1371 61 553 929 1482 41 70 111

Hillsborough 138 331 469 43 143 343 487 5 12 17

Menlo Park (2) 1170 1723 2893 71 1327 1954 3281 157 231 388

Millbrae 421 717 1138 50 473 805 1278 52 88 140

Pacifica 787 1253 2040 54 816 1300 2116 29 47 76

Portola Valley 75 187 261 40 77 192 269 2 6 8

Redwood City (2) 3260 4706 7966 73 3725 5378 9103 465 671 1136

San Bruno 1069 1553 2622 60 1189 1728 2917 120 175 295

San Carlos 735 1308 2043 66 778 1384 2162 43 76 119

San Mateo 2943 4213 7156 68 3194 4572 7766 251 359 610

South Coast (3) 21 29 50 57 23 32 55 2 3 5

South San Francisco 1649 2507 4156 62 1835 2790 4625 186 283 469

Woodside 90 160 250 42 93 165 258 3 5 8

Total by Age 19008 28678 47686 64 20790 31340 52130 1783 2662 4444

FINAL

Table 3

Population by Age Group by City 2015 and 2025

San Mateo County Child Care Study - 2016

(1) Half Moon Bay Region includes the City of Half Moon Bay El Granada Montara and Moss Beach

(2) ABAG Projections have 6300 people listed as Remainder population this amount is divided equally between Menlo Park and Redwood City given that they

are surrounded by unincorporated areas

(3) South Coast includes La Honda Loma Mar and Pescadero

Sources 2010 US Census ABAG Projections 2013 Brion Economics Inc

Prepared by Brion Economics Inc 2513-SMC NA Final Tables 61216 6122016

CHANGE 2015 to 2025 2015 2025

Percent that Work Employees that Percent that Work Employees that

Jobs at Jobs at in City and Live Work in City and in City and Live Work in City and

CityArea 2015 2025 2015 to 2025 Change Outside Co Live Outside Co Outside Co Live Outside Co

Atherton 2730 2920 190 70 360 983 360 1051

Belmont 9540 10430 890 93 298 2843 298 3108

Brisbane 7320 7790 470 64 590 4316 590 4593

Burlingame 32040 35250 3210 100 365 11680 365 12850

Daly CityColma 26110 28540 2430 93 404 10540 404 11521

East Palo Alto 2920 3310 390 134 508 1485 508 1683

Foster City 14810 16190 1380 93 412 6108 412 6677

Half Moon Bay Region (1) 7830 8410 580 74 135 1060 135 1138

Hillsborough 1950 2080 130 67 280 546 280 583

Menlo Park 31920 34390 2470 77 576 18390 576 19813

Millbrae 7480 8370 890 119 308 2304 308 2578

Pacifica 6210 6650 440 71 242 1504 242 1611

Portola Valley 2060 2200 140 68 334 689 334 736

Redwood City 71460 80430 8970 126 480 34317 480 38624

San Bruno 13800 15390 1590 115 370 5106 370 5695

San Carlos 18100 19650 1550 86 348 6295 348 6834

San Mateo 58680 66400 7720 132 329 19314 329 21855

South Coast (2) 0 0 0 00 149 0 149 0

South San Francisco 47380 51760 4380 92 467 22128 467 24173

Woodside 2520 2660 140 56 281 708 281 747

SF Airport (3) 7870 8960 1090 139 467 3676 467 4185

Remainder (3) 2210 2460 250 113 135 299 135 333

Total Employment 374940 414240 39300 105 412 154289 411 170387

FINAL

Table 4

Employment Growth and Employee Residence by City 2015 and 2025

San Mateo County Child Care Study - 2016

Note This analysis uses the published projections prepared by ABAG from ldquoProjections 2013rdquo and the cities including their sphere of influence or SOI This is done for consistency purposes While individual cities may be planning for additional growth not included in ABAGrsquos forecast (such as Menlo Park and East Palo Alto) it was decided that the consistency of using one data source was more important Thus these estimates could be considered

conservative

(1) For employment Half Moon Bay Region includes all of the City of Half Moon Bay and Unincorporated Half Moon Bay as defined by ABAG

(2) No data on employment is available through ABAG for the South Coast area

(3) SF Airport and Remainder are groupings by ABAG We listed them separately as SF Airport has no residential population

Sources ABAG Projections 2013 Brion Economics Inc

Prepared by Brion Economics Inc 2513-SMC NA Final Tables 61216 6122016

Under 2 2 to 4 Year Total CityArea as of

CityArea Years Old Olds Supply Total Supply

Atherton 29 273 302 13

Belmont 106 615 722 31

Brisbane 4 69 73 03

Burlingame 119 965 1085 47

Daly CityColma 372 1626 1997 87

East Palo Alto 110 739 849 37

Foster City 206 1349 1555 68

Half Moon Bay Region (1) 131 406 536 23

Hillsborough 5 97 102 04

Menlo Park (2) 149 1427 1576 69

Millbrae 62 454 517 22

Pacifica 116 798 914 40

Portola Valley 0 153 153 07

Redwood City (2) 752 2533 3285 143

San Bruno 148 1336 1484 65

San Carlos 149 707 855 37

San Mateo 701 3196 3897 169

South Coast (3) 0 54 54 02

South San Francisco 652 2283 2935 128

Woodside 4 108 112 05

Total 3815 19189 23003 1000

FINAL

Table 5

Child Care Supply Summary Table for 2015

San Mateo County Child Care Study - 2016

Note Totals may be off slightly due to rounding

(1) Half Moon Bay Region includes the City of Half Moon Bay El Granada Montara

and Moss Beach

(2) ABAG Projections have 6300 people listed as Remainder population this

amount is divided equally between Menlo Park and Redwood City given that

they are surrounded by unincorporated areas

(3) South Coast includes La Honda Loma Mar and Pescadero

Sources Child Care Coordinating Council of San Mateo County (4Cs) Community

Care Licensing Brion Economics Inc

Prepared by Brion Economics Inc 2513-SMC NA Final Tables 61216 6122016

2015 2025

CityArea as CityArea as

Under 2 2 to 4 Year Total of Total Under 2 2 to 4 Total of Total

CityArea Years Old Olds Demand Demand Years Old Year Olds Demand Demand

Atherton 27 165 192 06 29 173 201 05

Belmont 237 950 1187 35 250 999 1249 34

Brisbane 98 231 329 10 103 243 346 09

Burlingame 338 1236 1574 47 371 1356 1726 47

Daly CityColma 811 3237 4048 120 865 3441 4306 116

East Palo Alto 292 1419 1711 51 324 1575 1900 51

Foster City 268 1145 1414 42 283 1199 1483 40

Half Moon Bay Region (1) 144 742 885 26 155 802 957 26

Hillsborough 33 282 315 09 34 292 327 09

Menlo Park (2) 516 1790 2306 68 573 2011 2584 70

Millbrae 124 640 764 23 139 718 857 23

Pacifica 244 1117 1360 40 254 1159 1413 38

Portola Valley 26 171 198 06 28 177 204 06

Redwood City (2) 1241 4567 5808 172 1411 5208 6619 179

San Bruno 364 1418 1782 53 405 1578 1983 54

San Carlos 270 1222 1492 44 288 1297 1585 43

San Mateo 1003 3886 4889 145 1099 4233 5332 144

South Coast (3) 4 23 28 01 5 26 30 01

South San Francisco 755 2588 3343 99 835 2874 3709 100

Woodside 27 141 168 05 28 146 174 05

Total 6821 26971 33792 1000 7478 29506 36984 1000

FINAL

Table 6

Child Care Demand Summary Table for 2015 and 2025

San Mateo County Child Care Study - 2016

(1) Half Moon Bay Region includes the City of Half Moon Bay El Granada Montara and Moss Beach

(2) ABAG Projections have 6300 people listed as Remainder population this amount is divided equally between Menlo Park

and Redwood City given that they are surrounded by unincorporated areas

(3) South Coast includes La Honda Loma Mar and Pescadero

Sources 2010 US Census ABAG Projections 2013 Brion Economics Inc

Prepared by Brion Economics Inc 2513-SMC NA Final Tables 61216 6122016

No of Non- No of Employee

Resident No of 0 to 2 No of 3 to 4 Children Needing

CityArea Assumptions Employees Year Olds Year Olds Licensed Care

Estimated Percent of Employees

Needing Licensed Care (1) 300 40 60 100

Atherton 983 12 18 29

Belmont 2843 34 51 85

Brisbane 4316 52 78 129

Burlingame 11680 140 211 350

Daly CityColma 10540 126 190 316

East Palo Alto 1485 18 27 45

Foster City 6108 73 110 183

Half Moon Bay Region (2) 1060 13 19 32

Hillsborough 546 7 10 16

Menlo Park 18390 220 332 552

Millbrae 2304 28 42 69

Pacifica 1504 18 27 45

Portola Valley 689 8 12 21

Redwood City 34317 410 619 1029

San Bruno 5106 61 92 153

San Carlos 6295 75 114 189

San Mateo 19314 231 348 579

South Coast (3) 0 0 0 0

South San Francisco 22128 265 399 664

Woodside 708 8 13 21

SF Airport (4) 3676 44 66 110

Remainder (4) 299 4 5 9

Total Countywide 154289 1845 2784 4629

FINAL

Table 7

Employee Demand Summary Table for 2015

San Mateo County Child Care Study - 2016

Note Totals may be off slightly due to rounding

(1) We are assuming 3 of employees children require licensed care the breakdown of demand for infant and

preschool spaces is based on the percentage of infants and preschoolers who currently reside in San Mateo

County

(2) Half Moon Bay Region includes the City of Half Moon Bay El Granada Montara and Moss Beach

(3) South Coast includes La Honda Loma Mar and Pescadero

(4) SF Airport and Remainder are groupings by ABAG For employment SF Airport demand is attributed to South San

Francisco and Remainder demand is included with Redwood City

Sources 2010 US Census ABAG Projections 2013 2014 5-Year American Community Survey Journey-To-Work Data

Brion Economics Inc

Prepared by Brion Economics Inc 2513-SMC NA Final Tables 61216 6122016

No of Non- No of Employee

Resident No of 0 to 2 No of 3 to 4 Children Needing

CityArea Assumptions Employees Year Olds Year Olds Licensed Care

Estimated Percent of Employees

Needing Licensed Care (1) 300 40 60 100

Atherton 1051 13 19 32

Belmont 3108 37 56 93

Brisbane 4593 55 83 138

Burlingame 12850 154 232 385

Daly CityColma 11521 138 208 346

East Palo Alto 1683 20 30 50

Foster City 6677 80 120 200

Half Moon Bay Region (2) 1138 14 21 34

Hillsborough 583 7 11 17

Menlo Park 19813 237 357 594

Millbrae 2578 31 47 77

Pacifica 1611 19 29 48

Portola Valley 736 9 13 22

Redwood City 38624 462 697 1159

San Bruno 5695 68 103 171

San Carlos 6834 82 123 205

San Mateo 21855 261 394 656

South Coast (3) 0 0 0 0

South San Francisco 24173 289 436 725

Woodside 747 9 13 22

SF Airport (4) 4185 50 75 126

Remainder (4) 333 4 6 10

Total Countywide 170387 2037 3074 5112

FINAL

Table 8

Employee Demand Summary Table for 2025

San Mateo County Child Care Study - 2016

Note Totals may be off slightly due to rounding

(1) We are assuming 3 of employees children require licensed care the breakdown of demand for infant and

preschool spaces is based on the percentage of infants and preschoolers who currently reside in San Mateo County

(2) Half Moon Bay Region includes the City of Half Moon Bay El Granada Montara and Moss Beach

(3) South Coast includes La Honda Loma Mar and Pescadero

(4) SF Airport and Remainder are groupings by ABAG For employment SF Airport demand is attributed to South San

Francisco and Remainder demand is included with Redwood City

Sources 2010 US Census ABAG Projections 2013 2014 5-Year American Community Survey Journey-To-Work Data

Brion Economics Inc

Prepared by Brion Economics Inc 2513-SMC NA Final Tables 61216 6122016

2015

Surplus(Shortage) of Infant Surplus(Shortage) of Preschool Total Total

CityArea of Infant Spaces Demand Met of Preschool Spaces Demand Met Surplus(Shortage) Demand Met

Atherton 2 107 108 165 110 157

Belmont (130) 45 (335) 65 (465) 61

Brisbane (94) 4 (162) 30 (255) 22

Burlingame (219) 35 (271) 78 (489) 69

Daly CityColma (439) 46 (1612) 50 (2051) 49

East Palo Alto (182) 38 (680) 52 (862) 50

Foster City (62) 77 203 118 141 110

Half Moon Bay Region (1) (13) 91 (336) 55 (349) 61

Hillsborough (28) 15 (185) 34 (213) 32

Menlo Park (2) (367) 29 (363) 80 (730) 68

Millbrae (61) 50 (186) 71 (247) 0

Pacifica (128) 48 (319) 71 (447) 67

Portola Valley (26) 0 (18) 89 (45) 77

Redwood City (2) (490) 61 (2034) 55 (2524) 57

San Bruno (216) 41 (82) 94 (298) 83

San Carlos (121) 55 (516) 58 (637) 57

San Mateo (302) 70 (690) 82 (992) 80

South Coast (3) (4) 0 31 230 26 195

South San Francisco (103) 86 (306) 88 (408) 88

Woodside (23) 16 (33) 77 (55) 67

Countywide (3006) 56 (7783) 71 (10789) 68

FINAL

Table 9

Summary of Demand Met by Existing Facilities in Each Community at 2015

San Mateo County Child Care Study - 2016

Note Totals may be off slightly due to rounding

(1) Half Moon Bay Region includes the City of Half Moon Bay El Granada Montara and Moss Beach

(2) ABAG Projections have 6300 people listed as Remainder population this amount is divided equally between Menlo Park and Redwood

City given that they are surrounded by unincorporated areas

(3) South Coast includes La Honda Loma Mar and Pescadero

Sources 2010 US Census ABAG Projections 2013 Brion Economics Inc

Prepared by Brion Economics Inc 2513-SMC NA Final Tables 61216 6122016

2025

Surplus(Shortage) of Infant Surplus(Shortage) of Preschool Total Total

CityArea of Infant Spaces Demand Met of Preschool Spaces Demand Met Surplus(Shortage) Demand Met

Atherton 0 101 101 158 101 150

Belmont (143) 43 (384) 62 (527) 58

Brisbane (99) 4 (174) 29 (273) 21

Burlingame (252) 32 (390) 71 (642) 63

Daly CityColma (493) 43 (1816) 47 (2308) 46

East Palo Alto (215) 34 (836) 47 (1050) 45

Foster City (77) 73 150 112 73 105

Half Moon Bay Region (1) (24) 84 (396) 51 (421) 56

Hillsborough (29) 14 (195) 33 (225) 31

Menlo Park (2) (424) 26 (584) 71 (1008) 61

Millbrae (76) 45 (264) 63 (340) 60

Pacifica (138) 46 (361) 69 (499) 65

Portola Valley (28) 0 (24) 87 (51) 75

Redwood City (2) (660) 53 (2674) 49 (3334) 50

San Bruno (257) 37 (242) 85 (499) 75

San Carlos (139) 52 (590) 54 (729) 54

San Mateo (398) 64 (1037) 75 (1435) 73

South Coast (3) (5) 0 28 209 24 177

South San Francisco (183) 78 (591) 79 (775) 79

Woodside (24) 15 (38) 74 (61) 65

Countywide (3663) 51 (10318) 65 (13981) 62

FINAL

Table 10

Summary of Demand Met by Existing Facilities in Each Community at 2025

San Mateo County Child Care Study - 2016

Note Totals may be off slightly due to rounding

(1) Half Moon Bay Region includes the City of Half Moon Bay El Granada Montara and Moss Beach

(2) ABAG Projections have 6300 people listed as Remainder population this amount is divided equally between Menlo Park and Redwood

City given that they are surrounded by unincorporated areas

(3) South Coast includes La Honda Loma Mar and Pescadero

Sources 2010 US Census ABAG Projections 2013 Brion Economics Inc

Prepared by Brion Economics Inc 2513-SMC NA Final Tables 61216 6122016

Table 11

Number of Child Care Providers by City in 2015

San Mateo County Child Care Study - 2016

Family Child Licensed

CityArea Care Homes Centers Total

Atherton 1 6 7

Belmont 18 9 27

Brisbane 1 1 2

Burlingame 21 14 35

Daly CityColma 85 28 113

East Palo Alto 21 6 27

Foster City 29 12 41

Half Moon Bay Region (1) 28 11 39

Hillsborough 1 4 5

Menlo Park (2) 18 25 43

Millbrae 17 7 24

Pacifica 21 18 39

Portola Valley 0 4 4

Redwood City (2) 111 45 156

San Bruno 34 15 49

San Carlos 20 14 34

San Mateo 126 59 185

South Coast (3) 0 2 2

South San Francisco 68 27 95

Woodside 1 2 3

Countywide 621 309 930

FINAL

(1) Half Moon Bay Region includes the City of Half Moon Bay El Granada

Montara and Moss Beach

(2) ABAG Projections have 6300 people listed as Remainder population

this amount is divided equally between Menlo Park and Redwood City

given that they are surrounded by unincorporated areas

(3) South Coast includes La Honda Loma Mar and Pescadero

Sources Child Care Coordinating Council of San Mateo County (4Cs)

Community Care Licensing Brion Economics Inc

Prepared by Brion Economics Inc 2513-SMC NA Final Tables 61216 6122016

CityArea

Shortage

Infant

Center

Spaces

Infant care

Percentage

of Shortage

Shortage

Preschool

Center

Spaces

Preschool

Percentage

of Shortage

Total Center-

Based Space

Shortage

Atherton

Belmont

Brisbane

Burlingame

Daly CityColma

East Palo Alto

Foster City

Half Moon Bay Region

Hillsborough

Menlo Park

Millbrae

Pacifica

Portola Valley

Redwood City

San Bruno

San Carlos

San Mateo

South Coast

South San Francisco

Woodside

Countywide

NA

(48)

NA

(73)

(99)

(42)

(27)

(3)

NA

(180)

0

(43)

(26)

(232)

(38)

(62)

(90)

(2)

(63)

NA

NA

14

NA

23

7

7

100

1

NA

35

0

13

59

12

34

12

14

NA

19

NA

NA

(289)

(149)

(243)

(1253)

(582)

NA

(236)

(173)

(338)

(154)

(280)

(18)

(1635)

(73)

(449)

(557)

NA

(263)

(31)

NA

86

100

77

93

93

NA

99

100

65

100

87

41

88

66

88

86

NA

81

100

NA

(337)

(149)

(316)

(1352)

(623)

(27)

(240)

(173)

(518)

(154)

(323)

(45)

(1867)

(110)

(511)

(647)

(2)

(326)

(31)

(1193) 15 (6609) 85 (7802)

FINAL

Table 12

Summary of Shortage of Child Care Center Spaces by Age - 2015

San Mateo County Child Care Study - 2016

Sources Child Care Coordinating Council of San Mateo County (4Cs) Community Care Licensing

Brion Economics Inc

Prepared by Brion Economics Inc 2513-SMC NA Final Tables 61216 6122016

CityArea

Shortage

Infant Center

Spaces

Infant care

Percentage

of Shortage

Shortage

Preschool

Center

Spaces

Preschool

Percentage

of Shortage

Total Center-

Based Space

Shortage

Atherton

Belmont

Brisbane

Burlingame

Daly CityColma

East Palo Alto

Foster City

Half Moon Bay Region

Hillsborough

Menlo Park

Millbrae

Pacifica

Portola Valley

Redwood City

San Bruno

San Carlos

San Mateo

South Coast

South San Francisco

Woodside

Countywide

NA

(53)

NA

(85)

(111)

(49)

(33)

(6)

NA

(207)

0

(46)

(28)

(313)

(45)

(71)

(119)

(5)

(113)

0

NA

14

NA

19

7

6

100

2

NA

28

0

13

54

13

17

12

12

NA

18

NA

NA

(331)

(160)

(350)

(1412)

(715)

NA

(279)

(183)

(544)

(219)

(317)

(24)

(2149)

(214)

(514)

(837)

NA

(509)

(36)

NA

86

100

81

93

94

NA

98

100

72

100

87

46

87

83

88

88

NA

82

100

NA

(384)

(160)

(434)

(1523)

(764)

(33)

(285)

(183)

(752)

(219)

(364)

(51)

(2462)

(259)

(585)

(955)

(5)

(622)

(36)

(1454) 14 (8762) 86 (10216)

FINAL

Table 13

Summary of Shortage of Child Care Center Spaces by Age - 2025

San Mateo County Child Care Study - 2016

Sources Child Care Coordinating Council of San Mateo County (4Cs) Community Care Licensing

Brion Economics Inc

Prepared by Brion Economics Inc 2513-SMC NA Final Tables 61216 6122016

COUNTYWIDE

Child Care as of 2015

No of

Providers

Under 2 Years

Old

2 to 4 Year

Olds

Total 0 to 4

Years

EXISTING DEMAND Child Care Demand

Estimated Total Children

Average LFPRAdjustment Factor

Children With Working Parents

Licensed Care Demand Factor

Resident Children Needing Licensed Care

of Total Resident Children Needing Licensed Care

Children from Non-Resident Employees Needing

Licensed Care

Total Demand for Child Care Spaces

Distribution

EXISTING SUPPLY

(1)

(2)

(3)

(4)

19008 28678

71

13449 25720

37

4976 24188

26 84

1845 2784

6821 26971

20 80

Child Care Spaces

47686

39169

86

29164

61

4629

33792

100

Family Child Care Home Supply

Child Care Center Supply

Current Child Care Supply

Distribution

EXISTING SURPLUS(SHORTAGE)

Distribution

Percentage of Demand Met

by Existing FacilitiesSpaces

Shortage of Family Child Care Home Spaces

Shortage of Center-Based Spaces

(5)

(6)

(6)

621

309 -930

2301 2893

1514 16296 - -3815 19189

17 83

(3006) (7783)

28 72

56 71

(1813) (1173)

(1193) (6609)

5193

17810 -23003

100

(10789)

100

68

(2986)

(7802)

FINAL

Table A-1

Existing Child Care Demand and Supply in 2015 Countywide

San Mateo County Child Care Study - 2016

Note All footnote references can be found in Table C-1 at the end of this file

Sources 2010 US Census ABAG Projections 2013 2014 American Community Survey ACS Journey-to-Work data 2006-2008 and 2006-2010

Child Care Coordinating Council of San Mateo County (4Cs) Community Care Licensing Brion Economics Inc

Prepared by Brion Economics Inc 2513-SMC NA Final Tables 61216 6122016

ATHERTON

Child Care as of 2015

No of

Providers

Under 2 Years

Old

2 to 4 Year

Olds

Total 0 to 4

Years

EXISTING DEMAND Child Care Demand

Estimated Total Children

Average LFPRAdjustment Factor

Children With Working Parents

Licensed Care Demand Factor

Resident Children Needing Licensed Care

of Total Resident Children Needing Licensed Care

Children from Non-Resident Employees Needing

Licensed Care

(1)

(2)

(3)

105 185

40

42 153

37

15 147

15 80

12 18

290

194

84

163

56

29

Total Demand for Child Care Spaces

Distribution

EXISTING SUPPLY (4)

27 165

14 86

Child Care Spaces

192

100

Family Child Care Home Supply

Child Care Center Supply

Current Child Care Supply

Distribution

EXISTING SURPLUS(SHORTAGE)

Distribution

Percentage of Demand Met

by Existing FacilitiesSpaces

Shortage of Family Child Care Home Spaces

Shortage of Center-Based Spaces

(5)

(6)

(6)

1

6

7

5 6

24 267

29 273

10 90

2 108

2 98

107 165

NA NA

NA NA

11

291

302

100

110

100

157

NA

NA

FINAL

Table A-2

Existing Child Care Demand and Supply in 2015 in Atherton

San Mateo Co unty Child Care Study - 2016

Note All footnote references can be found in Table C-1 at the end of this file

Sources 2010 US Census ABAG Projections 2013 2014 American Community Survey ACS Journey-to-Work data 2006-2008 and 2006-2010

Child Care Coordinating Council of San Mateo County (4Cs) Community Care Licensing Brion Economics Inc

Prepared by Brion Economics Inc 2513-SMC NA Final Tables 61216 6122016

BELMONT

Child Care as of 2015

No of

Providers

Under 2 Years

Old

2 to 4 Year

Olds

Total 0 to 4

Years

EXISTING DEMAND Child Care Demand

Estimated Total Children

Average LFPRAdjustment Factor

Children With Working Parents

Licensed Care Demand Factor

Resident Children Needing Licensed Care

of Total Resident Children Needing Licensed Care

Children from Non-Resident Employees Needing

Licensed Care

(1)

(2)

(3)

708 1045

77

548 966

37

203 899

29 86

34 51

1753

1513

73

1102

63

85

Total Demand for Child Care Spaces

Distribution

EXISTING SUPPLY (4)

237 950

20 80

Child Care Spaces

1187

100

Family Child Care Home Supply

Child Care Center Supply

Current Child Care Supply

Distribution

EXISTING SURPLUS(SHORTAGE)

Distribution

Percentage of Demand Met

by Existing FacilitiesSpaces

Shortage of Family Child Care Home Spaces

Shortage of Center-Based Spaces

(5)

(6)

(6)

18

9

27

67 84

39 531

106 615

15 85

(130) (335)

28 72

45 65

(83) (46)

(48) (289)

152

570

722

100

(465)

100

61

(128)

(337)

FINAL

Table A-3

Existing Child Care Demand and Supply in 2015 in Belmont

San Mateo County Child Care Study - 2016

Note All footnote references can be found in Table C-1 at the end of this file Sources 2010 US Census ABAG Projections 2013 2014 American Community Survey ACS Journey-to-Work data 2006-2008 and

2006-2010 Child Care Coordinating Council of San Mateo County (4Cs) Community Care Licensing Brion Economics Inc

Prepared by Brion Economics Inc 2513-SMC NA Final Tables 61216 6122016

FINAL

Table A-4

Existing Child Care Demand and Supply in 2015 in Brisbane

San Mateo County Child Care Study - 2016

BRISBANE

Child Care as of 2015

No of

Providers

Under 2 Years

Old

2 to 4 Year

Olds

Total 0 to 4

Years

EXISTING DEMAND Child Care Demand

Estimated Total Children (1) 125 166 292

Average LFPRAdjustment Factor (2) 100

Children With Working Parents 125 166 292

Licensed Care Demand Factor (3) 37 68

Resident Children Needing Licensed Care 46 153 199

of Total Resident Children Needing Licensed Care 37 92 68

Children from Non-Resident Employees Needing

Licensed Care 52 78 129

Total Demand for Child Care Spaces 98 231 329

Distribution 30 70 100

EXISTING SUPPLY (4) Child Care Spaces

Family Child Care Home Supply 1 4 5 9

Child Care Center Supply 1 - 64 64

Current Child Care Supply 2 4 69 73

Distribution 6 94 100

EXISTING SURPLUS(SHORTAGE) (94) (162) (255)

Distribution 37 63 100

Percentage of Demand Met

by Existing FacilitiesSpaces (5) 4 30 22

Shortage of Family Child Care Home Spaces (6) (94) (12) (106)

Shortage of Center-Based Spaces (6) 0 (149) (149)

Note All footnote references can be found in Table C-1 at the end of this file

Sources 2010 US Census ABAG Projections 2013 2014 American Community Survey ACS Journey-to-Work data 2006-2008 and 2006-2010

Child Care Coordinating Council of San Mateo County (4Cs) Community Care Licensing Brion Economics Inc

Prepared by Brion Economics Inc 2513-SMC NA Final Tables 61216 6122016

BURLINGAME

Child Care as of 2015

No of

Providers

Under 2 Years

Old

2 to 4 Year

Olds

Total 0 to 4

Years

EXISTING DEMAND Child Care Demand

Estimated Total Children

Average LFPRAdjustment Factor

Children With Working Parents

Licensed Care Demand Factor

Resident Children Needing Licensed Care

of Total Resident Children Needing Licensed Care

Children from Non-Resident Employees Needing

Licensed Care

(1)

(2)

(3)

824 1216

65

535 1086

37

198 1025

24 84

140 211

2040

1621

75

1224

60

350

Total Demand for Child Care Spaces

Distribution

EXISTING SUPPLY (4)

338 1236

21 79

Child Care Spaces

1574

100

Family Child Care Home Supply

Child Care Center Supply

Current Child Care Supply

Distribution

EXISTING SURPLUS(SHORTAGE)

Distribution

Percentage of Demand Met

by Existing FacilitiesSpaces

Shortage of Family Child Care Home Spaces

Shortage of Center-Based Spaces

(5)

(6)

(6)

21

14

35

79 99

40 866

119 965

11 89

(219) (271)

45 55

35 78

(145) (28)

(73) (243)

179

906

1085

100

(489)

100

69

(173)

(316)

FINAL

Table A-5

Existing Child Care Demand and Supply in 2015 in Burlingame

San Mateo County Child Care Study - 2016

Note All footnote references can be found in Table C-1 at the end of this file

Sources 2010 US Census ABAG Projections 2013 2014 American Community Survey ACS Journey-to-Work data 2006-2008 and 2006-2010

Child Care Coordinating Council of San Mateo County (4Cs) Community Care Licensing Brion Economics Inc

Prepared by Brion Economics Inc 2513-SMC NA Final Tables 61216 6122016

DALY CITYCOLMA

Child Care as of 2015

No of

Providers

Under 2 Years

Old

2 to 4 Year

Olds

Total 0 to 4

Years

EXISTING DEMAND Child Care Demand

Estimated Total Children

Average LFPRAdjustment Factor

Children With Working Parents

Licensed Care Demand Factor

Resident Children Needing Licensed Care

of Total Resident Children Needing Licensed Care

Children from Non-Resident Employees Needing

Licensed Care

(1)

(2)

(3)

2495 3575

742

1851 3268

37

685 3047

27 85

126 190

6070

5119

73

3732

61

316

Total Demand for Child Care Spaces

Distribution

EXISTING SUPPLY (4)

811 3237

20 80

Child Care Spaces

4048

100

Family Child Care Home Supply

Child Care Center Supply

Current Child Care Supply

Distribution

EXISTING SURPLUS(SHORTAGE)

Distribution

Percentage of Demand Met

by Existing FacilitiesSpaces

Shortage of Family Child Care Home Spaces

Shortage of Center-Based Spaces

(5)

(6)

(6)

85

28

113

288 362

84 1264

372 1626

19 81

(439) (1612)

21 79

46 50

(340) (359)

(99) (1253)

649

1348

1997

100

(2051)

100

49

(698)

(1352)

FINAL

Table A-6

Existing Child Care Demand and Supply in 2015 in Daly CityColma

San Mateo Co unty Child Care Study - 2016

Note All footnote references can be found in Table C-1 at the end of this file

Sources 2010 US Census ABAG Projections 2013 2014 American Community Survey ACS Journey-to-Work data 2006-2008 and 2006-2010

Child Care Coordinating Council of San Mateo County (4Cs) Community Care Licensing Brion Economics Inc

Prepared by Brion Economics Inc 2513-SMC NA Final Tables 61216 6122016

EAST PALO ALTO

Child Care as of 2015

No of

Providers

Under 2 Years

Old

2 to 4 Year

Olds

Total 0 to 4

Years

EXISTING DEMAND Child Care Demand

Estimated Total Children

Average LFPRAdjustment Factor

Children With Working Parents

Licensed Care Demand Factor

Resident Children Needing Licensed Care

of Total Resident Children Needing Licensed Care

Children from Non-Resident Employees Needing

Licensed Care

(1)

(2)

(3)

1046 1667

71

741 1496

37

274 1392

26 84

18 27

2713

2237

75

1666

61

45

Total Demand for Child Care Spaces

Distribution

EXISTING SUPPLY (4)

292 1419

17 83

Child Care Spaces

1711

100

Family Child Care Home Supply

Child Care Center Supply

Current Child Care Supply

Distribution

EXISTING SURPLUS(SHORTAGE)

Distribution

Percentage of Demand Met

by Existing FacilitiesSpaces

Shortage of Family Child Care Home Spaces

Shortage of Center-Based Spaces

(5)

(6)

(6)

21

6

27

85 106

25 633

110 739

13 87

(182) (680)

21 79

38 52

(141) (98)

(42) (582)

191

658

849

100

(862)

100

50

(239)

(623)

FINAL

Table A-7

Existing Child Care Demand and Supply in 2015 in East Palo Alto

San Mateo County Child Care Study - 2016

Note All footnote references can be found in Table C-1 at the end of this file Sources 2010 US Census ABAG Projections 2013 2014 American Community Survey ACS Journey-to-Work data 2006-2008 and 2006-2010

Child Care Coordinating Council of San Mateo County (4Cs) Community Care Licensing Brion Economics Inc

Prepared by Brion Economics Inc 2513-SMC NA Final Tables 61216 6122016

FOSTER CITY

Child Care as of 2015

No of

Providers

Under 2 Years

Old

2 to 4 Year

Olds

Total 0 to 4

Years

EXISTING DEMAND Child Care Demand

Estimated Total Children

Average LFPRAdjustment Factor

Children With Working Parents

Licensed Care Demand Factor

Resident Children Needing Licensed Care

of Total Resident Children Needing Licensed Care

Children from Non-Resident Employees Needing

Licensed Care

(1)

(2)

(3)

836 1277

63

528 1108

37

195 1035

23 81

73 110

2113

1636

75

1231

58

183

Total Demand for Child Care Spaces

Distribution

EXISTING SUPPLY (4)

268 1145

19 81

Child Care Spaces

1414

100

Family Child Care Home Supply

Child Care Center Supply

Current Child Care Supply

Distribution

EXISTING SURPLUS(SHORTAGE)

Distribution

Percentage of Demand Met

by Existing FacilitiesSpaces

Shortage of Family Child Care Home Spaces

Shortage of Center-Based Spaces

(5)

(6)

(6)

29

12

41

118 149

88 1200

206 1349

13 87

(62) 203

NA NA

77 118

(36) NA

(27) NA

267

1288

1555

100

141

NA

110

(36)

(27)

FINAL

Table A-8

Existing Child Care Demand and Supply in 2015 in Foster City

San Mateo County Child Care Study - 2016

Note All footnote references can be found in Table C-1 at the end of this file

Sources 2010 US Census ABAG Projections 2013 2014 American Community Survey ACS Journey-to-Work data 2006-2008 and 2006-2010

Child Care Coordinating Council of San Mateo County (4Cs) Community Care Licensing Brion Economics Inc

Prepared by Brion Economics Inc 2513-SMC NA Final Tables 61216 6122016

HALF MOON BAY REGION

Child Care as of 2015

No of

Providers

Under 2 Years

Old

2 to 4 Year

Olds

Total 0 to 4

Years

EXISTING DEMAND Child Care Demand

Estimated Total Children

Average LFPRAdjustment Factor

Children With Working Parents

Licensed Care Demand Factor

Resident Children Needing Licensed Care

of Total Resident Children Needing Licensed Care

Children from Non-Resident Employees Needing

Licensed Care

(1)

(2)

(3)

511 860

69

354 772

37

131 723

26 84

13 19

1371

1126

76

854

62

32

Total Demand for Child Care Spaces

Distribution

EXISTING SUPPLY (4)

144 742

16 84

Child Care Spaces

885

100

Family Child Care Home Supply

Child Care Center Supply

Current Child Care Supply

Distribution

EXISTING SURPLUS(SHORTAGE)

Distribution

Percentage of Demand Met

by Existing FacilitiesSpaces

Shortage of Family Child Care Home Spaces

Shortage of Center-Based Spaces

(5)

(6)

(6)

28

11

39

96 121

35 285

131 406

24 76

(13) (336)

4 96

91 55

(9) (100)

(3) (236)

216

320

536

100

(349)

100

61

(109)

(240)

FINAL

Table A-9

Existing Child Care Demand and Supply in 2015 in Half Moon Bay Region

San Mateo County Child Care Study - 2016

Note All footnote references can be found in Table C-1 at the end of this file

Sources 2010 US Census ABAG Projections 2013 2014 American Community Survey ACS Journey-to-Work data 2006-2008 and 2006-2010

Child Care Coordinating Council of San Mateo County (4Cs) Community Care Licensing Brion Economics Inc

Prepared by Brion Economics Inc 2513-SMC NA Final Tables 61216 6122016

HILLSBOROUGH

Child Care as of 2015

No of

Providers

Under 2 Years

Old

2 to 4 Year

Olds

Total 0 to 4

Years

EXISTING DEMAND Child Care Demand

Estimated Total Children

Average LFPRAdjustment Factor

Children With Working Parents

Licensed Care Demand Factor

Resident Children Needing Licensed Care

of Total Resident Children Needing Licensed Care

Children from Non-Resident Employees Needing

Licensed Care

(1)

(2)

(3)

138 331

52

71 284

37

26 272

19 82

7 10

469

356

84

298

64

16

Total Demand for Child Care Spaces

Distribution

EXISTING SUPPLY (4)

33 282

10 90

Child Care Spaces

315

100

Family Child Care Home Supply

Child Care Center Supply

Current Child Care Supply

Distribution

EXISTING SURPLUS(SHORTAGE)

Distribution

Percentage of Demand Met

by Existing FacilitiesSpaces

Shortage of Family Child Care Home Spaces

Shortage of Center-Based Spaces

(5)

(6)

(6)

1

4

5

5 6

- 91

5 97

5 95

(28) (185)

13 87

15 34

(28) (12)

0 (173)

11

91

102

100

(213)

100

32

(40)

(173)

FINAL

Table A-10

Existing Child Care Demand and Supply in 2015 in Hillsborough

San Mateo County Child Care Study - 2016

Note All footnote references can be found in Table C-1 at the end of this file Sources 2010 US Census ABAG Projections 2013 2014 American Community Survey ACS Journey-to-Work data 2006-2008 and 2006-2010

Child Care Coordinating Council of San Mateo County (4Cs) Community Care Licensing Brion Economics Inc

Prepared by Brion Economics Inc 2513-SMC NA Final Tables 61216 6122016

MENLO PARK

Child Care as of 2015

No of

Providers

Under 2 Years

Old

2 to 4 Year

Olds

Total 0 to 4

Years

EXISTING DEMAND Child Care Demand

Estimated Total Children

Average LFPRAdjustment Factor

Children With Working Parents

Licensed Care Demand Factor

Resident Children Needing Licensed Care

of Total Resident Children Needing Licensed Care

Children from Non-Resident Employees Needing

Licensed Care

(1)

(2)

(3)

1170 1723

69

802 1551

37

297 1458

25 85

220 332

2893

2353

75

1754

61

552

Total Demand for Child Care Spaces

Distribution

EXISTING SUPPLY (4)

516 1790

22 78

Child Care Spaces

2306

100

Family Child Care Home Supply

Child Care Center Supply

Current Child Care Supply

Distribution

EXISTING SURPLUS(SHORTAGE)

Distribution

Percentage of Demand Met

by Existing FacilitiesSpaces

Shortage of Family Child Care Home Spaces

Shortage of Center-Based Spaces

(5)

(6)

(6)

18

25

43

76 96

73 1331

149 1427

9 91

(367) (363)

50 50

29 80

(188) (24)

(180) (338)

172

1404

1576

100

(730)

100

68

(212)

(518)

FINAL

Table A-11

Existing Child Care Demand and Supply in 2015 in Menlo Park

San Mateo County Child Care Study - 2016

Note All footnote references can be found in Table C-1 at the end of this file Sources 2010 US Census ABAG Projections 2013 2014 American Community Survey ACS Journey-to-Work data 2006-2008 and 2006-2010

Child Care Coordinating Council of San Mateo County (4Cs) Community Care Licensing Brion Economics Inc

Prepared by Brion Economics Inc 2513-SMC NA Final Tables 61216 6122016

MILLBRAE

Child Care as of 2015

No of

Providers

Under 2 Years

Old

2 to 4 Year

Olds

Total 0 to 4

Years

EXISTING DEMAND Child Care Demand

Total Children

Average LFPRAdjustment Factor

Children With Working Parents

Licensed Care Demand Factor

Resident Children Needing Licensed Care

of Total Resident Children Needing Licensed Care

Children from Non-Resident Employees Needing

Licensed Care

(1)

(2)

(3)

421 717

62

260 632

37

96 598

23 83

28 42

1138

892

78

694

61

69

Total Demand for Child Care Spaces

Distribution

EXISTING SUPPLY (4)

124 640

16 84

Child Care Spaces

764

100

Family Child Care Home Supply

Child Care Center Supply

Current Child Care Supply

Distribution

EXISTING SURPLUS(SHORTAGE)

Distribution

Percentage of Demand Met

by Existing FacilitiesSpaces

Shortage of Family Child Care Home Spaces

Shortage of Center-Based Spaces

(5)

(6)

(6)

17

7

24

62 78

- 376

62 454

12 88

(61) (186)

25 75

50 71

(61) (32)

0 (154)

141

376

517

100

(247)

100

68

(93)

(154)

FINAL

Table A-12

Existing Child Care Demand and Supply in 2015 in Millbrae

San Mateo Co unty Child Care Study - 2016

Note All footnote references can be found in Table C-1 at the end of this file

Sources 2010 US Census ABAG Projections 2013 2014 American Community Survey ACS Journey-to-Work data 2006-2008 and 2006-2010

Child Care Coordinating Council of San Mateo County (4Cs) Community Care Licensing Brion Economics Inc

Prepared by Brion Economics Inc 2513-SMC NA Final Tables 61216 6122016

PACIFICA

Child Care as of 2015

No of

Providers

Under 2 Years

Old

2 to 4 Year

Olds

Total 0 to 4

Years

EXISTING DEMAND Child Care Demand

Estimated Total Children

Average LFPRAdjustment Factor

Children With Working Parents

Licensed Care Demand Factor

Resident Children Needing Licensed Care

of Total Resident Children Needing Licensed Care

Children from Non-Resident Employees Needing

Licensed Care

(1)

(2)

(3)

787 1253

78

610 1165

37

226 1089

29 87

18 27

2040

1776

74

1315

64

45

Total Demand for Child Care Spaces

Distribution

EXISTING SUPPLY (4)

244 1117

18 83

Child Care Spaces

1360

100

Family Child Care Home Supply

Child Care Center Supply

Current Child Care Supply

Distribution

EXISTING SURPLUS(SHORTAGE)

Distribution

Percentage of Demand Met

by Existing FacilitiesSpaces

Shortage of Family Child Care Home Spaces

Shortage of Center-Based Spaces

(5)

(6)

(6)

21

18

39

77 97

39 701

116 798

13 87

(128) (319)

29 71

48 71

(85) (39)

(43) (280)

174

740

914

100

(447)

100

67

(124)

(323)

FINAL

Table A-13

Existing Child Care Demand and Supply in 2015 in Pacifica

San Mateo County Child Care Study - 2016

Note All footnote references can be found in Table C-1 at the end of this file Sources 2010 US Census ABAG Projections 2013 2014 American Community Survey ACS Journey-to-Work data 2006-2008 and 2006-2010

Child Care Coordinating Council of San Mateo County (4Cs) Community Care Licensing Brion Economics Inc

Prepared by Brion Economics Inc 2513-SMC NA Final Tables 61216 6122016

PORTOLA VALLEY

No of

Providers

Child Care as of 2015

Under 2 Years

Old

2 to 4 Year

Olds

Total 0 to 4

Years

EXISTING DEMAND Child Care Demand

Estimated Total Children

Average LFPRAdjustment Factor

Children With Working Parents

Licensed Care Demand Factor

Resident Children Needing Licensed Care

of Total Resident Children Needing Licensed Care

Children from Non-Resident Employees Needing

Licensed Care

(1)

(2)

(3)

75 187

66

49 168

37

18 159

24 85

8 12

261

217

82

177

68

21

Total Demand for Child Care Spaces

Distribution

EXISTING SUPPLY (4)

26 171

13 87

Child Care Spaces

198

100

Family Child Care Home Supply

Child Care Center Supply

Current Child Care Supply

Distribution

EXISTING SURPLUS(SHORTAGE)

Distribution

Percentage of Demand Met

by Existing FacilitiesSpaces

Shortage of Family Child Care Home Spaces

Shortage of Center-Based Spaces

(5)

(6)

(6)

0

4

4

0 0

0 153

0 153

0 100

(26) (18)

59 41

0 89

0 0

(26) (18)

0

153

153

100

(45)

100

77

0

(45)

FINAL

Table A-14

Existing Child Care Demand and Supply in 2015 in Portola Valley

San Mateo County Child Care Study - 2016

Note All footnote references can be found in Table C-1 at the end of this file Sources 2010 US Census ABAG Projections 2013 2014 American Community Survey ACS Journey-to-Work data 2006-2008 and 2006-2010

Child Care Coordinating Council of San Mateo County (4Cs) Community Care Licensing Brion Economics Inc

Prepared by Brion Economics Inc 2513-SMC NA Final Tables 61216 6122016

REDWOOD CITY

Child Care as of 2015

No of

Providers

Under 2 Years

Old

2 to 4 Year

Olds

Total 0 to 4

Years

EXISTING DEMAND Child Care Demand

Estimated Total Children

Average LFPRAdjustment Factor

Children With Working Parents

Licensed Care Demand Factor

Resident Children Needing Licensed Care

of Total Resident Children Needing Licensed Care

Children from Non-Resident Employees Needing

Licensed Care

Total Demand for Child Care Spaces

Distribution

EXISTING SUPPLY

(1)

(2)

(3)

(4)

3260 4706

69

2236 4212

37

827 3942

25 84

414 625

1241 4567

21 79

Child Care Spaces

7966

6449

74

4770

60

1038

5808

100

Family Child Care Home Supply

Child Care Center Supply

Current Child Care Supply

Distribution

EXISTING SURPLUS(SHORTAGE)

Distribution

Percentage of Demand Met

by Existing FacilitiesSpaces

Shortage of Family Child Care Home Spaces

Shortage of Center-Based Spaces

(5)

(6)

(6)

111

45

156

396 497

356 2036

752 2533

23 77

(490) (2034)

19 81

61 55

(258) (399)

(232) (1635)

893

2392

3285

100

(2524)

100

57

(657)

(1867)

FINAL

Table A-15

Existing Child Care Demand and Supply in 2015 in Redwood City

San Mateo County Child Care Study - 2016

Note All footnote references can be found in Table C-1 at the end of this file Sources 2010 US Census ABAG Projections 2013 2014 American Community Survey ACS Journey-to-Work data 2006-2008 and 2006-2010

Child Care Coordinating Council of San Mateo County (4Cs) Community Care Licensing Brion Economics Inc

Prepared by Brion Economics Inc 2513-SMC NA Final Tables 61216 6122016

SAN BRUNO

Child Care as of 2015

No of

Providers

Under 2 Years

Old

2 to 4 Year

Olds

Total 0 to 4

Years

EXISTING DEMAND Child Care Demand

Estimated Total Children

Average LFPRAdjustment Factor

Children With Working Parents

Licensed Care Demand Factor

Resident Children Needing Licensed Care

of Total Resident Children Needing Licensed Care

Children from Non-Resident Employees Needing

Licensed Care

(1)

(2)

(3)

1069 1553

77

817 1428

37

302 1326

28 85

61 92

2622

2245

73

1628

62

153

Total Demand for Child Care Spaces

Distribution

EXISTING SUPPLY (4)

364 1418

20 80

Child Care Spaces

1782

100

Family Child Care Home Supply

Child Care Center Supply

Current Child Care Supply

Distribution

EXISTING SURPLUS(SHORTAGE)

Distribution

Percentage of Demand Met

by Existing FacilitiesSpaces

Shortage of Family Child Care Home Spaces

Shortage of Center-Based Spaces

(5)

(6)

(6)

34

15

49

122 153

26 1183

148 1336

10 90

(216) (82)

72 28

41 94

(178) (9)

(38) (73)

275

1209

1484

100

(298)

100

83

(187)

(110)

FINAL

Table A-16

Existing Child Care Demand and Supply in 2015 in San Bruno

San Mateo County Child Care Study - 2016

Note All footnote references can be found in Table C-1 at the end of this file Sources 2010 US Census ABAG Projections 2013 2014 American Community Survey ACS Journey-to-Work data 2006-2008 and 2006-2010

Child Care Coordinating Council of San Mateo County (4Cs) Community Care Licensing Brion Economics Inc

Prepared by Brion Economics Inc 2513-SMC NA Final Tables 61216 6122016

SAN CARLOS

Child Care as of 2015

No of

Providers

Under 2 Years

Old

2 to 4 Year

Olds

Total 0 to 4

Years

EXISTING DEMAND Child Care Demand

Estimated Total Children

Average LFPRAdjustment Factor

Children With Working Parents

Licensed Care Demand Factor

Resident Children Needing Licensed Care

of Total Resident Children Needing Licensed Care

Children from Non-Resident Employees Needing

Licensed Care

(1)

(2)

(3)

735 1308

72

526 1186

37

195 1109

26 85

75 114

2043

1712

76

1304

64

189

Total Demand for Child Care Spaces

Distribution

EXISTING SUPPLY (4)

270 1222

18 82

Child Care Spaces

1492

100

Family Child Care Home Supply

Child Care Center Supply

Current Child Care Supply

Distribution

EXISTING SURPLUS(SHORTAGE)

Distribution

Percentage of Demand Met

by Existing FacilitiesSpaces

Shortage of Family Child Care Home Spaces

Shortage of Center-Based Spaces

(5)

(6)

(6)

20

14

34

73 92

76 615

149 707

17 83

(121) (516)

19 81

55 58

(59) (67)

(62) (449)

164

691

855

100

(637)

100

57

(126)

(511)

FINAL

Table A-17

Existing Child Care Demand and Supply in 2015 in San Carlos

San Mateo County Child Care Study - 2016

Note All footnote references can be found in Table C-1 at the end of this file

Sources 2010 US Census ABAG Projections 2013 2014 American Community Survey ACS Journey-to-Work data 2006-2008 and 2006-2010

Child Care Coordinating Council of San Mateo County (4Cs) Community Care Licensing Brion Economics Inc

Prepared by Brion Economics Inc 2513-SMC NA Final Tables 61216 6122016

SAN MATEO

Child Care as of 2015

No of

Providers

Under 2 Years

Old

2 to 4 Year

Olds

Total 0 to 4

Years

EXISTING DEMAND Child Care Demand

Estimated Total Children

Average LFPRAdjustment Factor

Children With Working Parents

Licensed Care Demand Factor

Resident Children Needing Licensed Care

of Total Resident Children Needing Licensed Care

Children from Non-Resident Employees Needing

Licensed Care

(1)

(2)

(3)

2943 4213

71

2087 3793

37

772 3537

26 84

231 348

7156

5880

73

4309

60

579

Total Demand for Child Care Spaces

Distribution

EXISTING SUPPLY (4)

1003 3886

21 79

Child Care Spaces

4889

100

Family Child Care Home Supply

Child Care Center Supply

Current Child Care Supply

Distribution

EXISTING SURPLUS(SHORTAGE)

Distribution

Percentage of Demand Met

by Existing FacilitiesSpaces

Shortage of Family Child Care Home Spaces

Shortage of Center-Based Spaces

(5)

(6)

(6)

126

59

185

492 619

209 2577

701 3196

18 82

(302) (690)

30 70

70 82

(212) (134)

(90) (557)

1111

2786

3897

100

(992)

100

80

(345)

(647)

FINAL

Table A-18

Existing Child Care Demand and Supply in 2015 in San Mateo

San Mateo County Child Care Study - 2016

Note All footnote references can be found in Table C-1 at the end of this file

Sources 2010 US Census ABAG Projections 2013 2014 American Community Survey ACS Journey-to-Work data 2006-2008 and 2006-2010

Child Care Coordinating Council of San Mateo County (4Cs) Community Care Licensing Brion Economics Inc

Prepared by Brion Economics Inc 2513-SMC NA Final Tables 61216 6122016

SOUTH COAST

Child Care as of 2015

No of

Providers

Under 2 Years

Old

2 to 4 Year

Olds

Total 0 to 4

Years

EXISTING DEMAND Child Care Demand

Estimated Total Children

Average LFPRAdjustment Factor

Children With Working Parents

Licensed Care Demand Factor

Resident Children Needing Licensed Care

of Total Resident Children Needing Licensed Care

Children from Non-Resident Employees Needing

Licensed Care

(1)

(2)

(3)

21 29

54

11 25

37

4 23

20 81

0 0

50

36

77

28

56

0

Total Demand for Child Care Spaces

Distribution

EXISTING SUPPLY (4)

4 23

15 85

Child Care Spaces

28

100

Family Child Care Home Supply

Child Care Center Supply

Current Child Care Supply

Distribution

EXISTING SURPLUS(SHORTAGE)

Distribution

Percentage of Demand Met

by Existing FacilitiesSpaces

Shortage of Family Child Care Home Spaces

Shortage of Center-Based Spaces

(5)

(6)

(6)

-

2

2

- -

- 54

- 54

0 100

(4) 31

-16 116

0 230

(2) NA

(2) NA

0

54

54

100

26

100

195

(2)

(2)

FINAL

Table A-19

Existing Child Care Demand and Supply in 2015 in South Coast

San Mateo County Child Care Study - 2016

Note All footnote references can be found in Table C-1 at the end of this file

Sources 2010 US Census ABAG Projections 2013 2014 American Community Survey ACS Journey-to-Work data 2006-2008 and 2006-2010

Child Care Coordinating Council of San Mateo County (4Cs) Community Care Licensing Brion Economics Inc

Prepared by Brion Economics Inc 2513-SMC NA Final Tables 61216 6122016

SOUTH SAN FRANCISCO

Child Care as of 2015

No of

Providers

Under 2 Years

Old

2 to 4 Year

Olds

Total 0 to 4

Years

EXISTING DEMAND Child Care Demand

Estimated Total Children

Average LFPRAdjustment Factor

Children With Working Parents

Licensed Care Demand Factor

Resident Children Needing Licensed Care

of Total Resident Children Needing Licensed Care

Children from Non-Resident Employees Needing

Licensed Care

(1)

(2)

(3)

1649 2507

73

1206 2278

37

446 2123

27 85

309 466

4156

3484

74

2569

62

774

Total Demand for Child Care Spaces

Distribution

EXISTING SUPPLY (4)

755 2588

23 77

Child Care Spaces

3343

100

Family Child Care Home Supply

Child Care Center Supply

Current Child Care Supply

Distribution

EXISTING SURPLUS(SHORTAGE)

Distribution

Percentage of Demand Met

by Existing FacilitiesSpaces

Shortage of Family Child Care Home Spaces

Shortage of Center-Based Spaces

(5)

(6)

(6)

68

27

95

252 317

400 1966

652 2283

22 78

(103) (306)

25 75

86 88

(40) (42)

(63) (263)

569

2366

2935

100

(408)

100

88

(82)

(326)

FINAL

Table A-20

Existing Child Care Demand and Supply in 2015 in South San Francisco

San Mateo County Child Care Study - 2016

Note All footnote references can be found in Table C-1 at the end of this file Sources 2010 US Census ABAG Projections 2013 2014 American Community Survey ACS Journey-to-Work data 2006-2008 and 2006-2010

Child Care Coordinating Council of San Mateo County (4Cs) Community Care Licensing Brion Economics Inc

Prepared by Brion Economics Inc 2513-SMC NA Final Tables 61216 6122016

WOODSIDE

No of

Providers

Child Care as of 2015

Under 2 Years

Old

2 to 4 Year

Olds

Total 0 to 4

Years

EXISTING DEMAND Child Care Demand

Estimated Total Children

Average LFPRAdjustment Factor

Children With Working Parents

Licensed Care Demand Factor

Resident Children Needing Licensed Care

of Total Resident Children Needing Licensed Care

Children from Non-Resident Employees Needing

Licensed Care

(1)

(2)

(3)

90 160

56

50 136

37

18 128

21 80

8 13

250

186

79

147

59

21

Total Demand for Child Care Spaces

Distribution

EXISTING SUPPLY (4)

27 141

16 84

Child Care Spaces

168

100

Family Child Care Home Supply

Child Care Center Supply

Current Child Care Supply

Distribution

EXISTING SURPLUS(SHORTAGE)

Distribution

Percentage of Demand Met

by Existing FacilitiesSpaces

Shortage of Family Child Care Home Spaces

Shortage of Center-Based Spaces

(5)

(6)

(6)

1

2

3

4 5

0 103

4 108

4 96

(23) (33)

41 59

16 77

(23) (2)

0 (31)

9

103

112

100

(55)

100

67

(24)

(31)

FINAL

Table A-21

Existing Child Care Demand and Supply in 2015 in Woodside

San Mateo County Child Care Study - 2016

Note All footnote references can be found in Table C-1 at the end of this file Sources 2010 US Census ABAG Projections 2013 2014 American Community Survey ACS Journey-to-Work data 2006-2008 and 2006-2010

Child Care Coordinating Council of San Mateo County (4Cs) Community Care Licensing Brion Economics Inc

Prepared by Brion Economics Inc 2513-SMC NA Final Tables 61216 6122016

COUNTYWIDE

Child Care as of 2025

No of

Providers

Under 2 Years

Old

2 to 4 Year

Olds

Total 0 to 4

Years

EXISTING DEMAND Child Care Demand

Estimated Total Children

Average LFPRAdjustment Factor

Children With Working Parents

Licensed Care Demand Factor

Resident Children Needing Licensed Care

of Total Resident Children Needing Licensed Care

Children from Non-Resident Employees Needing

Licensed Care

Total Demand for Child Care Spaces

Distribution

EXISTING SUPPLY

(1)

(2)

(3)

(4)

20790 31340

71

14704 28273

37

5441 26432

26 84

2037 3074

7478 29506

20 80

Child Care Spaces

52130

42978

86

31873

61

5112

36984

100

Family Child Care Home Supply

Child Care Center Supply

Current Child Care Supply

Distribution

EXISTING SURPLUS(SHORTAGE)

Distribution

Percentage of Demand Met

by Existing FacilitiesSpaces

Shortage of Family Child Care Home Spaces

Shortage of Center-Based Spaces

(5)

(6)

(6)

621

309

930

2301 2893

1514 16296

3815 19189

17 83

(3663) (10318)

26 74

51 65

(2209) (1555)

(1454) (8762)

5193

17810

23003

100

(13981)

100

62

(3765)

(10216)

FINAL

Table B-1

Future C hild Care Demand and Supply in 2025 Countywide

San Mateo County Child Care Study - 2016

Note All footnote references can be found in Table C-1 at the end of this file

Sources 2010 US Census ABAG Projections 2013 2014 American Community Survey ACS Journey-to-Work data 2006-2008 and 2006-2010

Child Care Coordinating Council of San Mateo County (4Cs) Community Care Licensing Brion Economics Inc

Prepared by Brion Economics Inc 2513-SMC NA Final Tables 61216 6122016

ATHERTON

No of

Providers

Child Care as of 2025

Under 2 Years

Old

2 to 4 Year

Olds

Total 0 to 4

Years

EXISTING DEMAND Child Care Demand

Estimated Total Children

Average LFPRAdjustment Factor

Children With Working Parents

Licensed Care Demand Factor

Resident Children Needing Licensed Care

of Total Resident Children Needing Licensed Care

Children from Non-Resident Employees Needing

Licensed Care

(1)

(2)

(3)

109 193

40

43 159

37

16 154

15 80

13 19

302

202

84

170

56

32

Total Demand for Child Care Spaces

Distribution

EXISTING SUPPLY (4)

29 173

14 86

Child Care Spaces

201

100

Family Child Care Home Supply

Child Care Center Supply

Current Child Care Supply

Distribution

EXISTING SURPLUS(SHORTAGE)

Distribution

Percentage of Demand Met

by Existing FacilitiesSpaces

Shortage of Family Child Care Home Spaces

Shortage of Center-Based Spaces

(5)

(6)

(6)

1

6

7

5 6

24 267

29 273

10 90

0 101

0 100

101 158

NA NA

NA NA

11

291

302

100

101

100

150

NA

NA

FINAL

Table B-2

Future Child Care Demand and Supply in 2025 in Atherton

San Mateo Co unty Child Care Study - 2016

Note All footnote references can be found in Table C-1 at the end of this file Sources 2010 US Census ABAG Projections 2013 2014 American Community Survey ACS Journey-to-Work data 2006-2008 and 2006-2010

Child Care Coordinating Council of San Mateo County (4Cs) Community Care Licensing Brion Economics Inc

Prepared by Brion Economics Inc 2513-SMC NA Final Tables 61216 6122016

BELMONT

Child Care as of 2025

No of

Providers

Under 2 Years

Old

2 to 4 Year

Olds

Total 0 to 4

Years

EXISTING DEMAND Child Care Demand

Estimated Total Children

Average LFPRAdjustment Factor

Children With Working Parents

Licensed Care Demand Factor

Resident Children Needing Licensed Care

of Total Resident Children Needing Licensed Care

Children from Non-Resident Employees Needing

Licensed Care

(1)

(2)

(3)

743 1095

77

574 1013

37

213 943

29 86

37 56

1838

1587

73

1156

63

93

Total Demand for Child Care Spaces

Distribution

EXISTING SUPPLY (4)

250 999

20 80

Child Care Spaces

1249

100

Family Child Care Home Supply

Child Care Center Supply

Current Child Care Supply

Distribution

EXISTING SURPLUS(SHORTAGE)

Distribution

Percentage of Demand Met

by Existing FacilitiesSpaces

Shortage of Family Child Care Home Spaces

Shortage of Center-Based Spaces

(5)

(6)

(6)

8

9

17

67 84

39 531

106 615

15 85

(143) (384)

27 73

43 62

(91) (53)

(53) (331)

152

570

722

100

(527)

100

58

(143)

(384)

FINAL

Table B-3

Future Child Care Demand and Supply in 2025 in Belmont

San Mateo County Child Care Study - 2016

Note All footnote references can be found in Table C-1 at the end of this file

Sources 2010 US Census ABAG Projections 2013 2014 American Community Survey ACS Journey-to-Work data 2006-2008 and 2006-2010

Child Care Coordinating Council of San Mateo County (4Cs) Community Care Licensing Brion Economics Inc

Prepared by Brion Economics Inc 2513-SMC NA Final Tables 61216 6122016

BRISBANE

Child Care as of 2025

No of

Providers

Under 2 Years

Old

2 to 4 Year

Olds

Total 0 to 4

Years

EXISTING DEMAND Child Care Demand

Estimated Total Children

Average LFPRAdjustment Factor

Children With Working Parents

Licensed Care Demand Factor

Resident Children Needing Licensed Care

of Total Resident Children Needing Licensed Care

Children from Non-Resident Employees Needing

Licensed Care

(1)

(2)

(3)

131 174

100

131 174

37

48 160

37 92

55 83

305

305

68

209

68

138

Total Demand for Child Care Spaces

Distribution

EXISTING SUPPLY (4)

103 243

30 70

Child Care Spaces

346

100

Family Child Care Home Supply

Child Care Center Supply

Current Child Care Supply

Distribution

EXISTING SURPLUS(SHORTAGE)

Distribution

Percentage of Demand Met

by Existing FacilitiesSpaces

Shortage of Family Child Care Home Spaces

Shortage of Center-Based Spaces

(5)

(6)

(6)

1

1

2

4 5

0 64

4 69

6 94

(99) (174)

36 64

4 29

(99) (13)

0 (160)

9

64

73

100

(273)

100

21

(112)

(160)

FINAL

Table B-4

Future Child Care Demand and Supply in 2025 in Brisbane

San Mateo County Child Care Study - 2016

Note All footnote references can be found in Table C-1 at the end of this file Sources 2010 US Census ABAG Projections 2013 2014 American Community Survey ACS Journey-to-Work data 2006-2008 and 2006-2010

Child Care Coordinating Council of San Mateo County (4Cs) Community Care Licensing Brion Economics Inc

Prepared by Brion Economics Inc 2513-SMC NA Final Tables 61216 6122016

BURLINGAME

Child Care as of 2025

No of

Providers

Under 2 Years

Old

2 to 4 Year

Olds

Total 0 to 4

Years

EXISTING DEMAND Child Care Demand

Estimated Total Children

Average LFPRAdjustment Factor

Children With Working Parents

Licensed Care Demand Factor

Resident Children Needing Licensed Care

of Total Resident Children Needing Licensed Care

Children from Non-Resident Employees Needing

Licensed Care

(1)

(2)

(3)

903 1332

65

587 1190

37

217 1124

24 84

154 232

2235

1777

75

1341

60

385

Total Demand for Child Care Spaces

Distribution

EXISTING SUPPLY (4)

371 1356

21 79

Child Care Spaces

1726

100

Family Child Care Home Supply

Child Care Center Supply

Current Child Care Supply

Distribution

EXISTING SURPLUS(SHORTAGE)

Distribution

Percentage of Demand Met

by Existing FacilitiesSpaces

Shortage of Family Child Care Home Spaces

Shortage of Center-Based Spaces

(5)

(6)

(6)

10

14

24

79 99

40 866

119 965

11 89

(252) (390)

39 61

32 71

(167) (40)

(85) (350)

179

906

1085

100

(642)

100

63

(207)

(434)

FINAL

Table B-5

Future Child Care Demand and Supply in 2025 in Burlingame

San Mateo County Child Care Study - 2016

Note All footnote references can be found in Table C-1 at the end of this file

Sources 2010 US Census ABAG Projections 2013 2014 American Community Survey ACS Journey-to-Work data 2006-2008 and 2006-2010

Child Care Coordinating Council of San Mateo County (4Cs) Community Care Licensing Brion Economics Inc

Prepared by Brion Economics Inc 2513-SMC NA Final Tables 61216 6122016

DALY CITYCOLMA

Child Care as of 2025

No of

Providers

Under 2 Years

Old

2 to 4 Year

Olds

Total 0 to 4

Years

EXISTING DEMAND Child Care Demand

Estimated Total Children

Average LFPRAdjustment Factor

Children With Working Parents

Licensed Care Demand Factor

Resident Children Needing Licensed Care

of Total Resident Children Needing Licensed Care

Children from Non-Resident Employees Needing

Licensed Care

(1)

(2)

(3)

2647 3793

74

1964 3467

37

727 3233

27 85

138 208

6440

5432

73

3960

61

346

Total Demand for Child Care Spaces

Distribution

EXISTING SUPPLY (4)

865 3441

20 80

Child Care Spaces

4306

100

Family Child Care Home Supply

Child Care Center Supply

Current Child Care Supply

Distribution

EXISTING SURPLUS(SHORTAGE)

Distribution

Percentage of Demand Met

by Existing FacilitiesSpaces

Shortage of Family Child Care Home Spaces

Shortage of Center-Based Spaces

(5)

(6)

(6)

25

28

28

288 362

84 1264

372 1626

19 81

(493) (1816)

21 79

43 47

(381) (404)

(111) (1412)

649

1348

1997

100

(2308)

100

46

(785)

(1523)

FINAL

Table B-6

Future C hild Care Demand and Supply in 2025 in Daly CityColma

San Mateo County Child Care Study - 2016

Note All footnote references can be found in Table C-1 at the end of this file

Sources 2010 US Census ABAG Projections 2013 2014 American Community Survey ACS Journey-to-Work data 2006-2008 and 2006-2010

Child Care Coordinating Council of San Mateo County (4Cs) Community Care Licensing Brion Economics Inc

Prepared by Brion Economics Inc 2513-SMC NA Final Tables 61216 6122016

EAST PALO ALTO

Child Care as of 2025

No of

Providers

Under 2 Years

Old

2 to 4 Year

Olds

Total 0 to 4

Years

EXISTING DEMAND Child Care Demand

Estimated Total Children

Average LFPRAdjustment Factor

Children With Working Parents

Licensed Care Demand Factor

Resident Children Needing Licensed Care

of Total Resident Children Needing Licensed Care

Children from Non-Resident Employees Needing

Licensed Care

(1)

(2)

(3)

1161 1849

71

822 1660

37

304 1545

26 84

20 30

3010

2482

75

1849

61

50

Total Demand for Child Care Spaces

Distribution

EXISTING SUPPLY (4)

324 1575

17 83

Child Care Spaces

1900

100

Family Child Care Home Supply

Child Care Center Supply

Current Child Care Supply

Distribution

EXISTING SURPLUS(SHORTAGE)

Distribution

Percentage of Demand Met

by Existing FacilitiesSpaces

Shortage of Family Child Care Home Spaces

Shortage of Center-Based Spaces

(5)

(6)

(6)

13

6

19

85 106

25 633

110 739

13 87

(215) (836)

20 80

34 47

(166) (120)

(49) (715)

191

658

849

100

(1050)

100

45

(286)

(764)

FINAL

Table B-7

Future Child Care Demand and Supply in 2025 in East Palo Alto

San Mateo County Child Care Study - 2016

Note All footnote references can be found in Table C-1 at the end of this file

Sources 2010 US Census ABAG Projections 2013 2014 American Community Survey ACS Journey-to-Work data 2006-2008 and 2006-2010

Child Care Coordinating Council of San Mateo County (4Cs) Community Care Licensing Brion Economics Inc

Prepared by Brion Economics Inc 2513-SMC NA Final Tables 61216 6122016

FOSTER CITY

Child Care as of 2025

No of

Providers

Under 2 Years

Old

2 to 4 Year

Olds

Total 0 to 4

Years

EXISTING DEMAND Child Care Demand

Estimated Total Children

Average LFPRAdjustment Factor

Children With Working Parents

Licensed Care Demand Factor

Resident Children Needing Licensed Care

of Total Resident Children Needing Licensed Care

Children from Non-Resident Employees Needing

Licensed Care

(1)

(2)

(3)

871 1330

63

550 1154

37

204 1079

23 81

80 120

2201

1705

75

1282

58

200

Total Demand for Child Care Spaces

Distribution

EXISTING SUPPLY (4)

283 1199

19 81

Child Care Spaces

1483

100

Family Child Care Home Supply

Child Care Center Supply

Current Child Care Supply

Distribution

EXISTING SURPLUS(SHORTAGE)

Distribution

Percentage of Demand Met

by Existing FacilitiesSpaces

Shortage of Family Child Care Home Spaces

Shortage of Center-Based Spaces

(5)

(6)

(6)

19

12

31

118 149

88 1200

206 1349

13 87

(77) 150

-106 206

73 112

(44) NA

(33) NA

267

1288

1555

100

73

100

105

(44)

(33)

FINAL

Table B-8

Future Child Care Demand and Supply in 2025 in Foster City

San Mateo County Child Care Study - 2016

Note All footnote references can be found in Table C-1 at the end of this file

Sources 2010 US Census ABAG Projections 2013 2014 American Community Survey ACS Journey-to-Work data 2006-2008 and 2006-2010

Child Care Coordinating Council of San Mateo County (4Cs) Community Care Licensing Brion Economics Inc

Prepared by Brion Economics Inc 2513-SMC NA Final Tables 61216 6122016

HALF MOON BAY REGION

Child Care as of 2025

No of

Providers

Under 2 Years

Old

2 to 4 Year

Olds

Total 0 to 4

Years

EXISTING DEMAND Child Care Demand

Estimated Total Children

Average LFPRAdjustment Factor

Children With Working Parents

Licensed Care Demand Factor

Resident Children Needing Licensed Care

of Total Resident Children Needing Licensed Care

Children from Non-Resident Employees Needing

Licensed Care

(1)

(2)

(3)

553 929

69

383 835

37

142 781

26 84

14 21

1482

1217

76

923

62

34

Total Demand for Child Care Spaces

Distribution

EXISTING SUPPLY (4)

155 802

16 84

Child Care Spaces

957

100

Family Child Care Home Supply

Child Care Center Supply

Current Child Care Supply

Distribution

EXISTING SURPLUS(SHORTAGE)

Distribution

Percentage of Demand Met

by Existing FacilitiesSpaces

Shortage of Family Child Care Home Spaces

Shortage of Center-Based Spaces

(5)

(6)

(6)

10

11

21

96 121

35 285

131 406

24 76

(24) (396)

6 94

84 51

(18) (118)

(6) (279)

216

320

536

100

(421)

100

56

(136)

(285)

FINAL

Table B-9

Future Child Care Demand and Supply in 2025 in Half Moon Bay Region

San Mateo County Child Care Study - 2016

Note All footnote references can be found in Table C-1 at the end of this file

Sources 2010 US Census ABAG Projections 2013 2014 American Community Survey ACS Journey-to-Work data 2006-2008 and 2006-2010

Child Care Coordinating Council of San Mateo County (4Cs) Community Care Licensing Brion Economics Inc

Prepared by Brion Economics Inc 2513-SMC NA Final Tables 61216 6122016

HILLSBOROUGH

Child Care as of 2025

No of

Providers

Under 2 Years

Old

2 to 4 Year

Olds

Total 0 to 4

Years

EXISTING DEMAND Child Care Demand

Estimated Total Children

Average LFPRAdjustment Factor

Children With Working Parents

Licensed Care Demand Factor

Resident Children Needing Licensed Care

of Total Resident Children Needing Licensed Care

Children from Non-Resident Employees Needing

Licensed Care

(1)

(2)

(3)

143 343

52

74 295

37

27 282

19 82

7 11

487

369

84

309

64

17

Total Demand for Child Care Spaces

Distribution

EXISTING SUPPLY (4)

34 292

10 90

Child Care Spaces

327

100

Family Child Care Home Supply

Child Care Center Supply

Current Child Care Supply

Distribution

EXISTING SURPLUS(SHORTAGE)

Distribution

Percentage of Demand Met

by Existing FacilitiesSpaces

Shortage of Family Child Care Home Spaces

Shortage of Center-Based Spaces

(5)

(6)

(6)

1

4

5

5 6

- 91

5 97

5 95

(29) (195)

13 87

14 33

(29) (12)

0 (183)

11

91

102

100

(225)

100

31

(42)

(183)

FINAL

Table B-10

Future Child Care Demand and Supply in 2025 in Hillsborough

San Mateo County Child Care Study - 2016

Note All footnote references can be found in Table C-1 at the end of this file

Sources 2010 US Census ABAG Projections 2013 2014 American Community Survey ACS Journey-to-Work data 2006-2008 and 2006-2010

Child Care Coordinating Council of San Mateo County (4Cs) Community Care Licensing Brion Economics Inc

Prepared by Brion Economics Inc 2513-SMC NA Final Tables 61216 6122016

MENLO PARK

Child Care as of 2025

No of

Providers

Under 2 Years

Old

2 to 4 Year

Olds

Total 0 to 4

Years

EXISTING DEMAND Child Care Demand

Estimated Total Children

Average LFPRAdjustment Factor

Children With Working Parents

Licensed Care Demand Factor

Resident Children Needing Licensed Care

of Total Resident Children Needing Licensed Care

Children from Non-Resident Employees Needing

Licensed Care

(1)

(2)

(3)

1327 1954

69

909 1759

37

336 1653

25 85

237 357

3281

2668

75

1989

61

594

Total Demand for Child Care Spaces

Distribution

EXISTING SUPPLY (4)

573 2011

22 78

Child Care Spaces

2584

100

Family Child Care Home Supply

Child Care Center Supply

Current Child Care Supply

Distribution

EXISTING SURPLUS(SHORTAGE)

Distribution

Percentage of Demand Met

by Existing FacilitiesSpaces

Shortage of Family Child Care Home Spaces

Shortage of Center-Based Spaces

(5)

(6)

(6)

15

25

40

76 96

73 1331

149 1427

9 91

(424) (584)

42 58

26 71

(217) (39)

(207) (544)

172

1404

1576

100

(1008)

100

61

(256)

(752)

FINAL

Table B-11

Future Child Care Demand and Supply in 2025 in Menlo Park

San Mateo County Child Care Study - 2016

Note All footnote references can be found in Table C-1 at the end of this file

Sources 2010 US Census ABAG Projections 2013 2014 American Community Survey ACS Journey-to-Work data 2006-2008 and 2006-2010

Child Care Coordinating Council of San Mateo County (4Cs) Community Care Licensing Brion Economics Inc

Prepared by Brion Economics Inc 2513-SMC NA Final Tables 61216 6122016

MILLBRAE

Child Care as of 2025

No of

Providers

Under 2 Years

Old

2 to 4 Year

Olds

Total 0 to 4

Years

EXISTING DEMAND Child Care Demand

Estimated Total Children

Average LFPRAdjustment Factor

Children With Working Parents

Licensed Care Demand Factor

Resident Children Needing Licensed Care

of Total Resident Children Needing Licensed Care

Children from Non-Resident Employees Needing

Licensed Care

(1)

(2)

(3)

473 805

62

291 710

37

108 672

23 83

31 47

1278

1001

78

780

61

77

Total Demand for Child Care Spaces

Distribution

EXISTING SUPPLY (4)

139 718

16 84

Child Care Spaces

857

100

Family Child Care Home Supply

Child Care Center Supply

Current Child Care Supply

Distribution

EXISTING SURPLUS(SHORTAGE)

Distribution

Percentage of Demand Met

by Existing FacilitiesSpaces

Shortage of Family Child Care Home Spaces

Shortage of Center-Based Spaces

(5)

(6)

(6)

7

7

14

62 78

- 376

62 454

12 88

(76) (264)

22 78

45 63

(76) (46)

0 (219)

141

376

517

100

(340)

100

60

(122)

(219)

FINAL

Table B-12

Future C hild Care Demand and Supply in 2025 in Millbrae

San Mateo County Child Care Study - 2016

Note All footnote references can be found in Table C-1 at the end of this file

Sources 2010 US Census ABAG Projections 2013 2014 American Community Survey ACS Journey-to-Work data 2006-2008 and 2006-2010

Child Care Coordinating Council of San Mateo County (4Cs) Community Care Licensing Brion Economics Inc

Prepared by Brion Economics Inc 2513-SMC NA Final Tables 61216 6122016

FINAL

Table B-13

Future Child Care Demand and Supply in 2025 in Pacifica

San Mateo County Child Care Study - 2016

PACIFICA

Child Care as of 2025

No of

Providers

Under 2 Years

Old

2 to 4 Year

Olds

Total 0 to 4

Years

EXISTING DEMAND Child Care Demand

Estimated Total Children

Average L FPRAdjustment Factor

Children With Working Parents

Licensed Care Demand Factor

Resident Children Needing Licensed Care

of Total Resident Children Needing Licensed Care

Children from Non-Resident Employees Needing

Licensed Care

(1)

(2)

(3)

816 1300

78

633 1209

37

234 1130

29 87

19 29

2116

1842

74

1364

64

48

Total Demand for Child Care Spaces

Distribution

EXISTING SUPPLY (4)

254 1159

18 82

Child Care Spaces

1413

100

Family Child Care Home Supply

Child Care Center Supply

Current Child Care Supply

Distribution

EXISTING SURPLUS(SHORTAGE)

Distribution

Percentage of Demand Met

by Existing FacilitiesSpaces

Shortage of Family Child Care Home Spaces

Shortage of Center-Based Spaces

(5)

(6)

(6)

9

18

27

77 97

39 701

116 798

13 87

(138) (361)

28 72

46 69

(91) (44)

(46) (317)

174

740

914

100

(499)

100

65

(135)

(364)

Note All footnote references can be found in Table C-1 at the end of this file

Sources 2010 US Census ABAG Projections 2013 2014 American Community Survey ACS Journey-to-Work data 2006-2008 and 2006-2010

Child Care Coordinating Council of San Mateo County (4Cs) Community Care Licensing Brion Economics Inc

Prepared by Brion Economics Inc 2513-SMC NA Final Tables 61216 6122016

PORTOLA VALLEY

Child Care as of 2025

No of

Providers

Under 2 Years

Old

2 to 4 Year

Olds

Total 0 to 4

Years

EXISTING DEMAND Child Care Demand

Estimated Total Children

Average LFPRAdjustment Factor

Children With Working Parents

Licensed Care Demand Factor

Resident Children Needing Licensed Care

of Total Resident Children Needing Licensed Care

Children from Non-Resident Employees Needing

Licensed Care

(1)

(2)

(3)

77 192

66

51 173

37

19 164

24 85

9 13

269

224

82

182

68

22

Total Demand for Child Care Spaces

Distribution

EXISTING SUPPLY (4)

28 177

13 87

Child Care Spaces

204

100

Family Child Care Home Supply

Child Care Center Supply

Current Child Care Supply

Distribution

EXISTING SURPLUS(SHORTAGE)

Distribution

Percentage of Demand Met

by Existing FacilitiesSpaces

Shortage of Family Child Care Home Spaces

Shortage of Center-Based Spaces

(5)

(6)

(6)

0

4

4

- -

- 153

- 153

0 100

(28) (24)

54 46

0 87

0 0

(28) (24)

0

153

153

100

(51)

100

75

0

(51)

FINAL

Table B-14

Future Child Care Demand and Supply in 2025 in Portola Valley

San Mateo County Child Care Study - 2016

Note All footnote references can be found in Table C-1 at the end of this file

Sources 2010 US Census ABAG Projections 2013 2014 American Community Survey ACS Journey-to-Work data 2006-2008 and 2006-2010

Child Care Coordinating Council of San Mateo County (4Cs) Community Care Licensing Brion Economics Inc

Prepared by Brion Economics Inc 2513-SMC NA Final Tables 61216 6122016

REDWOOD CITY

No of

Providers

Child Care as of 2025

Under 2 Years

Old

2 to 4 Year

Olds

Total 0 to 4

Years

EXISTING DEMAND Child Care Demand

Estimated Total Children

Average LFPRAdjustment Factor

Children With Working Parents

Licensed Care Demand Factor

Resident Children Needing Licensed Care

of Total Resident Children Needing Licensed Care

Children from Non-Resident Employees Needing

Licensed Care

Total Demand for Child Care Spaces

Distribution

EXISTING SUPPLY

(1)

(2)

(3)

(4)

3725 5378

69

2555 4813

37

946 4505

25 84

466 703

1411 5208

21 79

Child Care Spaces

9103

7368

74

5450

60

1169

6619

100

Family Child Care Home Supply

Child Care Center Supply

Current Child Care Supply

Distribution

EXISTING SURPLUS(SHORTAGE)

Distribution

Percentage of Demand Met

by Existing FacilitiesSpaces

Shortage of Family Child Care Home Spaces

Shortage of Center-Based Spaces

(5)

(6)

(6)

42

41

83

396 497

356 2036

752 2533

23 77

(660) (2674)

20 80

53 49

(347) (525)

(313) (2149)

893

2392

3285

100

(3334)

100

50

(872)

(2462)

FINAL

Table B-15

Future Child Care Demand and Supply in 2025 in Redwood City

San Mateo County Child Care Study - 2016

Note All footnote references can be found in Table C-1 at the end of this file

Sources 2010 US Census ABAG Projections 2013 2014 American Community Survey ACS Journey-to-Work data 2006-2008 and 2006-2010

Child Care Coordinating Council of San Mateo County (4Cs) Community Care Licensing Brion Economics Inc

Prepared by Brion Economics Inc 2513-SMC NA Final Tables 61216 6122016

SAN BRUNO

Child Care as of 2025

No of

Providers

Under 2 Years

Old

2 to 4 Year

Olds

Total 0 to 4

Years

EXISTING DEMAND Child Care Demand

Estimated Total Children

Average LFPRAdjustment Factor

Children With Working Parents

Licensed Care Demand Factor

Resident Children Needing Licensed Care

of Total Resident Children Needing Licensed Care

Children from Non-Resident Employees Needing

Licensed Care

(1)

(2)

(3)

1189 1728

77

910 1589

37

337 1475

28 85

68 103

2917

2498

73

1812

62

171

Total Demand for Child Care Spaces

Distribution

EXISTING SUPPLY (4)

405 1578

20 80

Child Care Spaces

1983

100

Family Child Care Home Supply

Child Care Center Supply

Current Child Care Supply

Distribution

EXISTING SURPLUS(SHORTAGE)

Distribution

Percentage of Demand Met

by Existing FacilitiesSpaces

Shortage of Family Child Care Home Spaces

Shortage of Center-Based Spaces

(5)

(6)

(6)

13

15

28

122 153

26 1183

148 1336

10 90

(257) (242)

52 48

37 85

(212) (28)

(45) (214)

275

1209

1484

100

(499)

100

75

(239)

(259)

FINAL

Table B-16

Future C hild Care Demand and Supply in 2025 in San Bruno

San Mateo County Child Care Study - 2016

Note All footnote references can be found in Table C-1 at the end of this file

Sources 2010 US Census ABAG Projections 2013 2014 American Community Survey ACS Journey-to-Work data 2006-2008 and 2006-2010

Child Care Coordinating Council of San Mateo County (4Cs) Community Care Licensing Brion Economics Inc

Prepared by Brion Economics Inc 2513-SMC NA Final Tables 61216 6122016

SAN CARLOS

Child Care as of 2025

No of

Providers

Under 2 Years

Old

2 to 4 Year

Olds

Total 0 to 4

Years

EXISTING DEMAND Child Care Demand

Estimated Total Children

Average LFPRAdjustment Factor

Children With Working Parents

Licensed Care Demand Factor

Resident Children Needing Licensed Care

of Total Resident Children Needing Licensed Care

Children from Non-Resident Employees Needing

Licensed Care

(1)

(2)

(3)

778 1384

72

557 1255

37

206 1174

26 85

82 123

2162

1812

76

1380

64

205

Total Demand for Child Care Spaces

Distribution

EXISTING SUPPLY (4)

288 1297

18 82

Child Care Spaces

1585

100

Family Child Care Home Supply

Child Care Center Supply

Current Child Care Supply

Distribution

EXISTING SURPLUS(SHORTAGE)

Distribution

Percentage of Demand Met

by Existing FacilitiesSpaces

Shortage of Family Child Care Home Spaces

Shortage of Center-Based Spaces

(5)

(6)

(6)

28

14

42

73 92

76 615

149 707

17 83

(139) (590)

19 81

52 54

(68) (76)

(71) (514)

164

691

855

100

(729)

100

54

(145)

(585)

FINAL

Table B-17

Future Child Care Demand and Supply in 2025 in San Carlos

San Mateo County Child Care Study - 2016

Note All footnote references can be found in Table C-1 at the end of this file

Sources 2010 US Census ABAG Projections 2013 2014 American Community Survey ACS Journey-to-Work data 2006-2008 and 2006-2010

Child Care Coordinating Council of San Mateo County (4Cs) Community Care Licensing Brion Economics Inc

Prepared by Brion Economics Inc 2513-SMC NA Final Tables 61216 6122016

SAN MATEO

Child Care as of 2025

No of

Providers

Under 2 Years

Old

2 to 4 Year

Olds

Total 0 to 4

Years

EXISTING DEMAND Child Care Demand

Estimated Total Children

Average LFPRAdjustment Factor

Children With Working Parents

Licensed Care Demand Factor

Resident Children Needing Licensed Care

of Total Resident Children Needing Licensed Care

Children from Non-Resident Employees Needing

Licensed Care

(1)

(2)

(3)

3194 4572

71

2264 4116

37

838 3839

26 84

261 394

7766

6381

73

4677

60

656

Total Demand for Child Care Spaces

Distribution

EXISTING SUPPLY (4)

1099 4233

21 79

Child Care Spaces

5332

100

Family Child Care Home Supply

Child Care Center Supply

Current Child Care Supply

Distribution

EXISTING SURPLUS(SHORTAGE)

Distribution

Percentage of Demand Met

by Existing FacilitiesSpaces

Shortage of Family Child Care Home Spaces

Shortage of Center-Based Spaces

(5)

(6)

(6)

69

59

128

492 619

209 2577

701 3196

18 82

(398) (1037)

28 72

64 75

(279) (201)

(119) (837)

1111

2786

3897

100

(1435)

100

73

(480)

(955)

FINAL

Table B-18

Future Child Care Demand and Supply in 2025 in San Mateo

San Mateo County Child Care Study - 2016

Note All footnote references can be found in Table C-1 at the end of this file

Sources 2010 US Census ABAG Projections 2013 2014 American Community Survey ACS Journey-to-Work data 2006-2008 and 2006-2010

Child Care Coordinating Council of San Mateo County (4Cs) Community Care Licensing Brion Economics Inc

Prepared by Brion Economics Inc 2513-SMC NA Final Tables 61216 6122016

FINAL

Table B-19

Future Child Care Demand and Supply in 2025 in South Coast

San Mateo County Child Care Study - 2016

SOUTH COAST

Child Care as of 2025

No of

Providers

Under 2 Years

Old

2 to 4 Year

Olds

Total 0 to 4

Years

EXISTING DEMAND Child Care Demand

Estimated Total Children (1) 23 32 55

Average LFPRAdjustment Factor (2) 54

Children With Working Parents 12 27 40

Licensed Care Demand Factor (3) 37 77

Resident Children Needing Licensed Care 5 26 30

of Total Resident Children Needing Licensed Care 20 81 56

Children from Non-Resident Employees Needing

Licensed Care 0 0 0

Total Demand for Child Care Spaces 5 26 30

Distribution 15 85 100

EXISTING SUPPLY (4) Child Care Spaces

Family Child Care Home Supply - 0 0 0

Child Care Center Supply 2 0 54 54

Current Child Care Supply 2 - 54 54

Distribution 0 100 100

EXISTING SURPLUS(SHORTAGE) (5) 28 24

Distribution -19 119 100

Percentage of Demand Met

by Existing FacilitiesSpaces (5) 0 209 177

Shortage of Family Child Care Home Spaces (6) 0 NA 0

Shortage of Center-Based Spaces (6) (5) NA (5)

Note All footnote references can be found in Table C-1 at the end of this file

Sources 2010 US Census ABAG Projections 2013 2014 American Community Survey ACS Journey-to-Work data 2006-2008 and 2006-2010

Child Care Coordinating Council of San Mateo County (4Cs) Community Care Licensing Brion Economics Inc

Prepared by Brion Economics Inc 2513-SMC NA Final Tables 61216 6122016

SOUTH SAN FRANCISCO

Child Care as of 2025

No of

Providers

Under 2 Years

Old

2 to 4 Year

Olds

Total 0 to 4

Years

EXISTING DEMAND Child Care Demand

Estimated Total Children

Average LFPRAdjustment Factor

Children With Working Parents

Licensed Care Demand Factor

Resident Children Needing Licensed Care

of Total Resident Children Needing Licensed Care

Children from Non-Resident Employees Needing

Licensed Care

(1)

(2)

(3)

1835 2790

73

1342 2535

37

496 2362

27 85

339 512

4625

3877

74

2859

62

851

Total Demand for Child Care Spaces

Distribution

EXISTING SUPPLY (4)

835 2874

23 77

Child Care Spaces

3709

100

Family Child Care Home Supply

Child Care Center Supply

Current Child Care Supply

Distribution

EXISTING SURPLUS(SHORTAGE)

Distribution

Percentage of Demand Met

by Existing FacilitiesSpaces

Shortage of Family Child Care Home Spaces

Shortage of Center-Based Spaces

(5)

(6)

(6)

30

27

57

252 317

400 1966

652 2283

22 78

(183) (591)

24 76

78 79

(71) (82)

(113) (509)

569

2366

2935

100

(775)

100

79

(153)

(622)

FINAL

Table B-20

Future Child Care Demand and Supply in 2025 in South San Francisco

San Mateo County Child Care Study - 2016

Note All footnote references can be found in Table C-1 at the end of this file

Sources 2010 US Census ABAG Projections 2013 2014 American Community Survey ACS Journey-to-Work data 2006-2008 and 2006-2010

Child Care Coordinating Council of San Mateo County (4Cs) Community Care Licensing Brion Economics Inc

Prepared by Brion Economics Inc 2513-SMC NA Final Tables 61216 6122016

WOODSIDE

No of

Providers

Child Care as of 2025

Under 2 Years

Old

2 to 4 Year

Olds

Total 0 to 4

Years

EXISTING DEMAND Child Care Demand

Estimated Total Children

Average LFPRAdjustment Factor

Children With Working Parents

Licensed Care Demand Factor

Resident Children Needing Licensed Care

of Total Resident Children Needing Licensed Care

Children from Non-Resident Employees Needing

Licensed Care

(1)

(2)

(3)

93 165

56

51 140

37

19 132

21 80

9 13

258

192

79

152

59

22

Total Demand for Child Care Spaces

Distribution

EXISTING SUPPLY (4)

28 146

16 84

Child Care Spaces

174

100

Family Child Care Home Supply

Child Care Center Supply

Current Child Care Supply

Distribution

EXISTING SURPLUS(SHORTAGE)

Distribution

Percentage of Demand Met

by Existing FacilitiesSpaces

Shortage of Family Child Care Home Spaces

Shortage of Center-Based Spaces

(5)

(6)

(6)

1

2

3

4 5

- 103

4 108

4 96

(24) (38)

39 61

15 74

(24) (2)

0 (36)

9

103

112

100

(61)

100

65

(26)

(36)

FINAL

Table B-21

Future Child Care Demand and Supply in 2025 in Woodside

San Mateo County Child Care Study - 2016

Note All footnote references can be found in Table C-1 at the end of this file

Sources 2010 US Census ABAG Projections 2013 2014 American Community Survey ACS Journey-to-Work data 2006-2008 and 2006-2010

Child Care Coordinating Council of San Mateo County (4Cs) Community Care Licensing Brion Economics Inc

Prepared by Brion Economics Inc 2513-SMC NA Final Tables 61216 6122016

FINAL

Table C-1

Endnotes for Tables

San Mateo County Child Care Study - 2016

(1) Population by age is based on the percentage breakdown from the 2010 US Census and applied

to population estimates for 2015 using ABAGs Projections 2013 population data The ABAG data

for each area includes its Sphere of Influence and is not based on strict jurisdictional boundaries

(2) Labor force participation rates are from the 5-Year American Community Survey 2014 and include

children under six years old with two working parents or a single working parent For the 2- to 4-year

olds the labor force participation rate is applied to 2 year olds For 3- and 4-year olds it is assumed

that 100 need licensed care to support preschool for every child so the number of

3- and 4-year olds is not discounted by labor force participation rates

(3) Not all children with working parents are assumed to need licensed care percentage assumptions are

used to calculate the number of children requiring licensed care under each age category The

remaining children are assumed to be cared for in alternate arrangements such as by family members

nannies friends and other unlicensed care For children ages 3- and 4-years old it is assumed that

they all need care in the form of preschool

(4) Data on child care supply provided by the Child Care Coordinating Council of San Mateo County (4Cs)

and Community Care Licensing Division of the California Department of Social Services (CCLD) Data is

for June 2015

(5) Demand that calculates as less than 100 means that there is greater demand than supply percent of

demand that is over 100 means supply exceeds demand

(6) Unmet demand is broken down into shortage by type of care based on the proportion of FCCHs and

child care centers spaces available in each area If an area does not have any FCCHs or centers the

unmet demand is placed in the type of care that is available in the area (eg if there are only centers

all demand goes to centers)

Source Brion Economics Inc

Prepared by Brion Economics Inc 2513-SMC NA Final Tables 61216 6122016

DRAFT REPORT

Table C-2

Labor Force Participation Rates by CityArea

San Mateo County Child Care Study - 2016

CityArea

Labor Force

Participation Rate (1)

Atherton

Belmont

Brisbane

Burlingame

Daly CityColma

East Palo Alto

Foster City

Half Moon Bay Region

Hillsborough

Menlo Park

Millbrae

Pacifica

Portola Valley

Redwood City

San Bruno

San Carlos

San Mateo

South Coast

South San Francisco

Woodside

40

77

100

65

74

71

63

69

52

69

62

78

66

69

77

72

71

54

73

56

(1) Labor force participation rates (LFPRs) are for

families with children under age six with two

working parents or a single parent who works Sources American Community Survey 2014 5-Year

Survey Brion Economics Inc

Prepared by Brion Economics Inc 2513-SMC NA Final Tables 61216 6122016

  • 2513-SMC FINAL NA Memo-61216
  • 2513-SMC NA Final Tables 61216
Page 3: Final San Mateo County Child Care Needs … Care...Future C hild Care Demand and Supply in 2025 in Daly City/Colma San Mateo County Child Care Study - 2016 Note: All footnote references

Final Child Care Needs Assessment ndash 2015 and 2025 San Mateo Early Learning Facilities Study

June 12 2016 Page 3 of 9

The Needs Assessment begins with the underlying demographic data and then growth projections are incorporated into the analysis Child care supply and demand analysis by city and for the County is then estimated at 2015 and 2025 Appendix A presents the full Needs Assessment tables and the supporting data

Appendix A Tables 1 to 13 comprise the population employment summary of supply and demand estimates and any unmet demand by cityarea These data tables are followed by detailed analysis tables one set for each of the 20 citiesareas analyzed for this study and one for San Mateo County as a whole under current 2015 conditions (Tables A-1 to A-21) Tables B-1 to B-21 present the analysis of future 2025 conditions for the same set of citiesareas Table C-1 includes the endnotes for all Appendix A tables Table C-2 summarizes labor force participation rates by cityarea

This study focuses on children ages 0 to 4 with the following breakdown

bull Infants ndash children under age 2 bull Preschool ndash children ages 2 to 4

While most needs assessment focus on children ages 0 to 12 or 13 this study is particularly focused on children birth to four-years-old or infants and preschool children It is assumed that most five-year-olds will be enrolled in kindergarten or transitional kindergarten and will not be generating demand for preschool age child care spaces The committee overseeing this effort made a policy decision to focus on 0 to 4 year olds for this effort although technically First 5 serves children from birth through age five

Demographic Tables

The Needs Assessment is focused on 18 incorporated cities and two other unincorporated special areas as shown in Table 1 The two unincorporated areas are defined as the Half Moon Bay Region and South Coast Half Moon Bay Region includes the City of Half Moon Bay as well as the communities of El Granada Montara and Moss Beach South Coast includes the communities of La Honda Loma Mar and Pescadero

Table 1 shows population estimates for each of the citiesareas from different sources and at different time periods Population from the 2010 US Census is listed as well as 2010 and 2015 estimates by the Association of Bay Area Governments (ABAG) Projections 2013 The US Census breaks out the communities in the Half Moon Bay Region and South Coast areas individually ABAG does not provide this detail although it breaks out an area called Half Moon Bay Unincorporated To calculate the population for Half Moon Bay Region using the ABAG data 93 of the Half Moon Bay Unincorporated population was added to the population of the City of Half Moon Bay based on the percentage of population of the Half Moon Bay Region compared to South Coast from the US Census To calculate the population for South Coast 7 of the Half Moon Bay Unincorporated population was attributed to the other area

Prepared by Brion Economics Inc Final Report

Final Child Care Needs Assessment ndash 2015 and 2025 San Mateo Early Learning Facilities Study

June 12 2016 Page 4 of 9

ABAG also lists 6300 residents in the ldquoRemainderrdquo of San Mateo County The analysis uses ABAG population that includes each cityrsquos sphere of influence (SOI) However ABAG still designates a remainder area with an amount of population and employment that is assumed to represent pockets of unincorporated areas on the east side of the County This Remainder was distributed evenly between the cities of Redwood City and Menlo Park which both have substantial unincorporated pockets and adjacent areas As shown in Table 1 total population for San Mateo County in 2015 is estimated at 745400

Based on ABAG data Table 2 shows population growth by cityarea between 2015 and 2025 Overall the County is expected to grow from 745500 residents to 805600 an increase of 60200 or 81 In terms of size Redwood City will see the largest population growth in the county with approximately 12000 new residents followed by San Mateo with an estimated 9000 new residents The City of Millbrae is projected to see the largest percentage increase of population at 123 given its small base The cities of East Palo Alto Redwood City San Bruno and South San Francisco are all expected to see around 11 growth

Age Groupings

Table 3 calculates 2015 population by age group for all children under two years old and children two to four years old The breakdown of children by age is calculated based on data from the 2010 US Census which breaks down population by age The percentage of children from birth to two years and from two to four years was applied to current 2015 population figures to estimate the current number of children by age group Countywide there are approximately 19000 children under the age of two years and 28676 children between the ages of two and four years old for a total of 47684 Children ages four and under make up approximately 64 of the total County population

Employment

Current and future employment based on ABAG projections is summarized in Table 4 For employment projections the Half Moon Bay Region includes the City of Half Moon Bay as well as all of Unincorporated Half Moon Bay as estimated by ABAG South Coast area does not have employment according to ABAG We included San Francisco Airport and Remainder as separate line items for employment projections As of 2015 there are approximately 374900 employees or jobs in San Mateo County Total employment is expected to increase by 105 to 414240 by 2025 The San Francisco Airport is estimated to see the largest employee growth percentage-wise at 139 followed by East Palo Alto at 134 San Mateo at 132 and Redwood City at 126 The Cities of Redwood City and San Mateo have the largest expected job growth in terms of actual number of jobs

Based on other work by Brion Economics current ABAG projections do not accurately capture expected employment growth in both Menlo Park and East Palo Alto ABAG estimates employment in Menlo Park to increase from 31920 in 2015 to 34390 in 2025 or a net increase

Prepared by Brion Economics Inc Final Report

Final Child Care Needs Assessment ndash 2015 and 2025 San Mateo Early Learning Facilities Study

June 12 2016 Page 5 of 9

of 2470 Based on a new study2 by the Menlo Park Fire Protection District (MPFPD) employment at 2025 is estimated at 40300 which is substantially higher or a net increase of almost 84003 For East Palo Alto ABAG also underestimates growth forecasting a total of 3310 employees in 2025 Based on the study by MPFPD this figure is estimated at 6046 jobs Because other cities may be planning for growth that we are not aware of we are using the published ABAG projections for all of the citiesareas even though we know that some figures may be understated This suggests that the analysis is conservative and growth and therefore child care demand may be higher than analyzed here

Also shown in Table 4 is the percent and number of employees that work in each cityarea but live outside the County based on data from the US Census Journey-to-Work data4 These numbers are calculated for 2015 and the 2015 assumptions are applied to 2025 total employment estimates Overall approximately 41 of employees that work in citiesareas of San Mateo County reside outside of the County In 2015 this accounts for approximately 154300 employees and in 2025 it is estimated to total 170400 employees based on applying current percentages to future employment estimates

Supply

Table 5 summarizes current licensed and legally license-exempt5 child care supply by age group for Infants and Preschool by cityarea as of June 2015 based on information provided by Child Care Coordinating Council of San Mateo County (4Cs) and Child Care Licensing Supply data includes the number of providers by type (either Family Child Care Homes or Licensed Centers) and breaks down the number of spaces by age group either Infants or Preschool Total child care supply for each cityarea is calculated as well as the distribution of spaces by age group6

Countywide there are approximately 3800 infant spaces and 19200 preschool spaces for a total of just over 23000 spaces Based on actual number of spaces the City of San Mateo has the most with almost 3900 spaces It is followed by Redwood City with approximately 3300 spaces

2 Based on data from ldquoPublic Review Draft Menlo Park Fire Protection District Emergency Services and Fire Protection Impact Fee Nexus Study 2015rdquo 3 The Menlo Park Fire Protection District Study estimates employment at 2015 and 2035 The figure used here for 2025 was calculated using an average growth rate per year and applying it to the next 10 years 4 For cities with populations over 65000 the Journey-to-Work data is from 2006-2008 (most current available) for cities with smaller populations the data is based on a different Journey-to-Work data from 2006-2010 (most current available) Data was provided by Shimon Israel at MTC in March 2016 5 Legally license-exempt programs include programs run by City Park amp Recreation programs Co-operativeParent Participation programs school district programs and federal migrant programs 6 One center with an Atherton address and five centers with Menlo Park addresses have been moved to count towards Redwood City per Kristen Andersonrsquos request

Prepared by Brion Economics Inc Final Report

Final Child Care Needs Assessment ndash 2015 and 2025 San Mateo Early Learning Facilities Study

June 12 2016 Page 6 of 9

Demand

Demand is calculated by taking the number of children by age group with working parents based on applying labor force participation rates (LFPRs) for children under age six (from the 2014 5-Year American Community Survey) to the number of Infants and Preschoolers to calculate the number of children in each of those age groups with working parents Three- and four-year-olds are not discounted by LFPRs because the County wants to include all three- and four-year-olds in the demand factor to support the Countyrsquos universal preschool policy Labor force participation rates include families with two working parents or a single parent who works

Relevant demand factors are then applied to the number of children with working parents to determine the number of those children requiring licensed care as discussed above It is assumed that only a percentage of children with working parents require licensed care because some parents choose to have nannies extended family friends or other arrangements for their children and are therefore not looking for a licensed child care space

For Infants a demand factor of 37 is applied This is the demand factor recommended by the California Child Care Coordinators Association for needs assessments and agreed upon by the data committee for this project

For Preschool children demand factors typically vary between 75 and 100 of children with working parents At the direction of the data committee we are using 100 of three- and four-year-old children requiring care regardless of whether their parents work in support of the Countyrsquos overall policy to promote universal preschool For two-year-olds a 75 licensed care demand factor is applied after LFPRs are applied For three- and four-year-olds a 100 licensed care demand factor is applied assuming all three- and four-year-olds in the County require a licensed child care space

Once demand is calculated the percent distribution of total demand for spaces by age group is calculated as well as the percent of total children requiring licensed care

The total demand for spaces by age group for both 2015 and 2025 is summarized in Table 6 At 2015 Redwood City shows the greatest demand for both age groups needing over 5800 spaces The City of San Mateo follows requiring almost 5000 spaces Overall there is demand for over 6800 infant spaces and almost 27000 preschool spaces or 33800 spaces countywide in 2015 In 2025 the demand in Redwood City is still highest with a 179 increase for total demand of over 6600 spaces In 2025 it is expected that there will be a need for 7500 infant spaces and 29500 preschool spaces for a total demand of almost 37000 licensed child care spaces

Current child care demand from employees is calculated in Table 7 based on the employment numbers calculated in Table 4 for each cityarea It is assumed that 3 of employees require

Prepared by Brion Economics Inc Final Report

Final Child Care Needs Assessment ndash 2015 and 2025 San Mateo Early Learning Facilities Study

June 12 2016 Page 7 of 9

licensed care in the County based on other studies that have looked at employee demand The analysis assumes one child aged birth to four years old per employee on average Of those children it is assumed that 40 require infant spaces and 60 require preschool spaces This breakdown is based on the current ratio of infants and preschool age children in the County currently It is estimated that there are approximately 4600 children of employees who work in the County that require care Of those 1800 are estimated to be infants and almost 2800 are estimated to be preschool age Demand for SF Airport is included in total demand for South San Francisco and employee demand for the Remainder area is applied to Redwood City

Table 8 presents the same data as Table 7 but for 2025 conditions It is estimated that 5100 employee children from birth to four years old will demand licensed care in the County in 2025 with approximately 2000 requiring infant spaces and 3100 requiring preschool spaces

The surplusshortage and percent of demand met for licensed infant and preschool care by cityarea in 2015 is shown in Table 9 Countywide 56 of infant demand is met and 71 of current preschool demand is met Table 10 shows the same data for 2025 it is estimated that 51 and 65 of demand for infant and preschool spaces respectively will be met These figures assume existing supply and do not account for any new supply that may be built over the next 10 years The communities of Atherton Foster City and South Coast do show some surpluses of child care spaces

The number of current child care providers by type is summarized in Table 11 There are currently 621 family child care homes and 309 licensed and license-exempt centers in San Mateo County

Tables 12 and 13 summarize the shortage of spaces by type (family child care home or center) and by age group (infant or preschool) at 2015 and 2025 These figures are estimated based on the current distribution of space by type of providers on a pro rata basis For example if a community has 60 of its infant spaces in family child care homes and 40 in centers the current shortage of spaces is distributed at that same ratio If there is a shortage of 100 infant spaces it would be assumed that 60 new infant spaces at family child care homes and 40 center spaces would be needed

Table A-1 shows a summary of current 2015 supply and demand countywide and Tables A-2 through A-21 estimate supply and demand by cityarea Tables B-1 through B-21 show the summary of future demand compared to existing supply at 2025 Table C-1 has the endnotes for all of the A and B Tables and Table C-2 summarizes labor force participation rates by cityarea

Prepared by Brion Economics Inc Final Report

Final Child Care Needs Assessment ndash 2015 and 2025 San Mateo Early Learning Facilities Study

June 12 2016 Page 8 of 9

APPENDIX TABLES Table Index Appendix A Child Care Needs Assessment (Supply and Demand) as of 2015 and 2015 San Mateo County Child Care Study - 2016 Table Table Name

Table 1 Population Summary Table for 2010 2015 and 2025 Table 2 Population Growth by City 2015 and 2025 from ABAG Table 3 Population by Age Group by City 2015 and 2025 Table 4 Employment Growth and Employee Residence by City 2015 and 2025 Table 5 Child Care Supply Summary Table for 2015 Table 6 Child Care Demand Summary Table for 2015 and 2025 Table 7 Employee Demand Summary Table for 2015 Table 8 Employee Demand Summary Table for 2025 Table 9 Summary of Demand Met by Existing Facilities in Each Community at 2015 Table 10 Summary of Demand Met by Existing Facilities in Each Community at 2025 Table 11 Number of Child Care Providers by City in 2015 Table 12 Summary of Shortage of Child Care Center Spaces by Age - 2015 Table 13 Summary of Shortage of Child Care Center Spaces by Age - 2025

Existing Conditions - 2015 Table A-1 Existing Child Care Demand and Supply in 2015 Countywide Table A-2 Existing Child Care Demand and Supply in 2015 in Atherton Table A-3 Existing Child Care Demand and Supply in 2015 in Belmont Table A-4 Existing Child Care Demand and Supply in 2015 in Brisbane Table A-5 Existing Child Care Demand and Supply in 2015 in Burlingame Table A-6 Existing Child Care Demand and Supply in 2015 in Daly CityColma Table A-7 Existing Child Care Demand and Supply in 2015 in East Palo Alto Table A-8 Existing Child Care Demand and Supply in 2015 in Foster City Table A-9 Existing Child Care Demand and Supply in 2015 in Half Moon Bay Region Table A-10 Existing Child Care Demand and Supply in 2015 in Hillsborough Table A-11 Existing Child Care Demand and Supply in 2015 in Menlo Park Table A-12 Existing Child Care Demand and Supply in 2015 in Millbrae Table A-13 Existing Child Care Demand and Supply in 2015 in Pacifica Table A-14 Existing Child Care Demand and Supply in 2015 in Portola Valley Table A-15 Existing Child Care Demand and Supply in 2015 in Redwood City Table A-16 Existing Child Care Demand and Supply in 2015 in San Bruno Table A-17 Existing Child Care Demand and Supply in 2015 in San Carlos Table A-18 Existing Child Care Demand and Supply in 2015 in San Mateo Table A-19 Existing Child Care Demand and Supply in 2015 in South Coast Table A-20 Existing Child Care Demand and Supply in 2015 in South San Francisco Table A-21 Existing Child Care Demand and Supply in 2015 in Woodside Continued

Prepared by Brion Economics Inc Final Report

Final Child Care Needs Assessment ndash 2015 and 2025 San Mateo Early Learning Facilities Study

June 12 2016 Page 9 of 9

Future Conditions - 2025 Table B-1 Future Child Care Demand and Supply in 2025 Countywide Table B-2 Future Child Care Demand and Supply in 2025 in Atherton Table B-3 Future Child Care Demand and Supply in 2025 in Belmont Table B-4 Future Child Care Demand and Supply in 2025 in Brisbane Table B-5 Future Child Care Demand and Supply in 2025 in Burlingame Table B-6 Future Child Care Demand and Supply in 2025 in Daly CityColma Table B-7 Future Child Care Demand and Supply in 2025 in East Palo Alto Table B-8 Future Child Care Demand and Supply in 2025 in Foster City Table B-9 Future Child Care Demand and Supply in 2025 in Half Moon Bay Region Table B-10 Future Child Care Demand and Supply in 2025 in Hillsborough Table B-11 Future Child Care Demand and Supply in 2025 in Menlo Park Table B-12 Future Child Care Demand and Supply in 2025 in Millbrae Table B-13 Future Child Care Demand and Supply in 2025 in Pacifica Table B-14 Future Child Care Demand and Supply in 2025 in Portola Valley Table B-15 Future Child Care Demand and Supply in 2025 in Redwood City Table B-16 Future Child Care Demand and Supply in 2025 in San Bruno Table B-17 Future Child Care Demand and Supply in 2025 in San Carlos Table B-18 Future Child Care Demand and Supply in 2025 in San Mateo Table B-19 Future Child Care Demand and Supply in 2025 in South Coast Table B-20 Future Child Care Demand and Supply in 2025 in South San Francisco Table B-21 Future Child Care Demand and Supply in 2025 in Woodside

Table C-1 Endnotes for Tables Table C-2 Labor Force Participation Rates by CityArea

Source Brion Economics Inc

Prepared by Brion Economics Inc Final Report

2010 Population 2010 Population 2015 Population

CityArea (Census) (ABAG) (ABAG)

Atherton 6914 6914 7100

Belmont 25835 25995 26600

Brisbane 4282 4282 4400

Burlingame 28806 29873 31300

Daly CityColma 102915 108167 111200

East Palo Alto 28155 28155 29200

Foster City 30567 30567 31000

Half Moon Bay Region (1) 22803 21956 22329

Hillsborough 10825 10825 11000

Menlo Park (2) 32026 36816 40850

Millbrae 21532 21532 22800

Pacifica 37234 37234 37600

Portola Valley 4353 6432 6500

Redwood City (2) 76815 100509 109350

San Bruno 41114 41114 43500

San Carlos 28406 30015 30800

San Mateo 97207 101234 105600

South Coast (3) 1684 847 871

South San Francisco 63632 63803 67400

Woodside 5287 5933 6000

Total 670392 712203 745400

FINAL

Table 1

Population Summary Table for 2010 2015 and 2025

San Mateo County Child Care Study - 2016

(1) Half Moon Bay Region includes the City of Half Moon Bay El Granada Montara

and Moss Beach

(2) ABAG Projections have 6300 people listed as Remainder population this

amount is divided equally between Menlo Park and Redwood City given that

they are surrounded by unincorporated areas

(3) South Coast includes La Honda Loma Mar and Pescadero

Sources 2010 US Census ABAG Projections 2013 Brion Economics Inc

Prepared by Brion Economics Inc 2513-SMC NA Final Tables 61216 6122016

CityArea

Population

at 2015

Population

at 2025

CHANGE 2015 to 2025

2015 to

2025 Change

Atherton

Belmont

Brisbane

Burlingame

Daly CityColma

East Palo Alto

Foster City

Half Moon Bay Region (1)

Hillsborough

Menlo Park (2)

Millbrae

Pacifica

Portola Valley

Redwood City (2)

San Bruno

San Carlos

San Mateo

South Coast (3)

South San Francisco

Woodside

Total by Age

7100

26600

4400

31300

111200

29200

31000

22329

11000

40850

22800

37600

6500

109350

43500

30800

105600

871

67400

6000

7400

27900

4600

34300

118000

32400

32300

24140

11400

42750

25600

39000

6700

121350

48400

32600

114600

960

75000

6200

300

1300

200

3000

6800

3200

1300

1811

400

1900

2800

1400

200

12000

4900

1800

9000

89

7600

200

42

49

45

96

61

110

42

81

36

47

123

37

31

110

113

58

85

102

113

33

745400 805600 60200 81 I I I I

FINAL

Table 2

Population Growth by City 2015 and 2025 from ABAG

San Mateo County Child Care Study - 2016

(1) Half Moon Bay Region includes the City of Half Moon Bay El Granada

Montara and Moss Beach

(2) ABAG Projections have 6300 people listed as Remainder population this

amount is divided equally between Menlo Park and Redwood City given that

they are surrounded by unincorporated areas

(3) South Coast includes La Honda Loma Mar and Pescadero

Sources 2010 US Census ABAG Projections 2013 Brion Economics Inc

Prepared by Brion Economics Inc 2513-SMC NA Final Tables 61216 6122016

2015 2025 CHANGE 2015 to 2025

Children 4 and Under

Under 2 2 to 4 as of Total Under 2 2 to 4 Under 2 2 to 4

CityArea Years Old Year Olds Total Population Years Old Year Olds Total Years Old Year Olds Total

Atherton 105 185 290 41 109 193 302 4 8 12

Belmont 708 1045 1753 66 743 1095 1838 35 50 85

Brisbane 125 166 292 66 131 174 305 6 8 13

Burlingame 824 1216 2040 65 903 1332 2235 79 117 195

Daly CityColma 2495 3575 6070 55 2647 3793 6440 153 218 370

East Palo Alto 1046 1667 2713 93 1161 1849 3010 115 183 297

Foster City 836 1277 2113 68 871 1330 2201 35 54 89

Half Moon Bay Region (1) 511 860 1371 61 553 929 1482 41 70 111

Hillsborough 138 331 469 43 143 343 487 5 12 17

Menlo Park (2) 1170 1723 2893 71 1327 1954 3281 157 231 388

Millbrae 421 717 1138 50 473 805 1278 52 88 140

Pacifica 787 1253 2040 54 816 1300 2116 29 47 76

Portola Valley 75 187 261 40 77 192 269 2 6 8

Redwood City (2) 3260 4706 7966 73 3725 5378 9103 465 671 1136

San Bruno 1069 1553 2622 60 1189 1728 2917 120 175 295

San Carlos 735 1308 2043 66 778 1384 2162 43 76 119

San Mateo 2943 4213 7156 68 3194 4572 7766 251 359 610

South Coast (3) 21 29 50 57 23 32 55 2 3 5

South San Francisco 1649 2507 4156 62 1835 2790 4625 186 283 469

Woodside 90 160 250 42 93 165 258 3 5 8

Total by Age 19008 28678 47686 64 20790 31340 52130 1783 2662 4444

FINAL

Table 3

Population by Age Group by City 2015 and 2025

San Mateo County Child Care Study - 2016

(1) Half Moon Bay Region includes the City of Half Moon Bay El Granada Montara and Moss Beach

(2) ABAG Projections have 6300 people listed as Remainder population this amount is divided equally between Menlo Park and Redwood City given that they

are surrounded by unincorporated areas

(3) South Coast includes La Honda Loma Mar and Pescadero

Sources 2010 US Census ABAG Projections 2013 Brion Economics Inc

Prepared by Brion Economics Inc 2513-SMC NA Final Tables 61216 6122016

CHANGE 2015 to 2025 2015 2025

Percent that Work Employees that Percent that Work Employees that

Jobs at Jobs at in City and Live Work in City and in City and Live Work in City and

CityArea 2015 2025 2015 to 2025 Change Outside Co Live Outside Co Outside Co Live Outside Co

Atherton 2730 2920 190 70 360 983 360 1051

Belmont 9540 10430 890 93 298 2843 298 3108

Brisbane 7320 7790 470 64 590 4316 590 4593

Burlingame 32040 35250 3210 100 365 11680 365 12850

Daly CityColma 26110 28540 2430 93 404 10540 404 11521

East Palo Alto 2920 3310 390 134 508 1485 508 1683

Foster City 14810 16190 1380 93 412 6108 412 6677

Half Moon Bay Region (1) 7830 8410 580 74 135 1060 135 1138

Hillsborough 1950 2080 130 67 280 546 280 583

Menlo Park 31920 34390 2470 77 576 18390 576 19813

Millbrae 7480 8370 890 119 308 2304 308 2578

Pacifica 6210 6650 440 71 242 1504 242 1611

Portola Valley 2060 2200 140 68 334 689 334 736

Redwood City 71460 80430 8970 126 480 34317 480 38624

San Bruno 13800 15390 1590 115 370 5106 370 5695

San Carlos 18100 19650 1550 86 348 6295 348 6834

San Mateo 58680 66400 7720 132 329 19314 329 21855

South Coast (2) 0 0 0 00 149 0 149 0

South San Francisco 47380 51760 4380 92 467 22128 467 24173

Woodside 2520 2660 140 56 281 708 281 747

SF Airport (3) 7870 8960 1090 139 467 3676 467 4185

Remainder (3) 2210 2460 250 113 135 299 135 333

Total Employment 374940 414240 39300 105 412 154289 411 170387

FINAL

Table 4

Employment Growth and Employee Residence by City 2015 and 2025

San Mateo County Child Care Study - 2016

Note This analysis uses the published projections prepared by ABAG from ldquoProjections 2013rdquo and the cities including their sphere of influence or SOI This is done for consistency purposes While individual cities may be planning for additional growth not included in ABAGrsquos forecast (such as Menlo Park and East Palo Alto) it was decided that the consistency of using one data source was more important Thus these estimates could be considered

conservative

(1) For employment Half Moon Bay Region includes all of the City of Half Moon Bay and Unincorporated Half Moon Bay as defined by ABAG

(2) No data on employment is available through ABAG for the South Coast area

(3) SF Airport and Remainder are groupings by ABAG We listed them separately as SF Airport has no residential population

Sources ABAG Projections 2013 Brion Economics Inc

Prepared by Brion Economics Inc 2513-SMC NA Final Tables 61216 6122016

Under 2 2 to 4 Year Total CityArea as of

CityArea Years Old Olds Supply Total Supply

Atherton 29 273 302 13

Belmont 106 615 722 31

Brisbane 4 69 73 03

Burlingame 119 965 1085 47

Daly CityColma 372 1626 1997 87

East Palo Alto 110 739 849 37

Foster City 206 1349 1555 68

Half Moon Bay Region (1) 131 406 536 23

Hillsborough 5 97 102 04

Menlo Park (2) 149 1427 1576 69

Millbrae 62 454 517 22

Pacifica 116 798 914 40

Portola Valley 0 153 153 07

Redwood City (2) 752 2533 3285 143

San Bruno 148 1336 1484 65

San Carlos 149 707 855 37

San Mateo 701 3196 3897 169

South Coast (3) 0 54 54 02

South San Francisco 652 2283 2935 128

Woodside 4 108 112 05

Total 3815 19189 23003 1000

FINAL

Table 5

Child Care Supply Summary Table for 2015

San Mateo County Child Care Study - 2016

Note Totals may be off slightly due to rounding

(1) Half Moon Bay Region includes the City of Half Moon Bay El Granada Montara

and Moss Beach

(2) ABAG Projections have 6300 people listed as Remainder population this

amount is divided equally between Menlo Park and Redwood City given that

they are surrounded by unincorporated areas

(3) South Coast includes La Honda Loma Mar and Pescadero

Sources Child Care Coordinating Council of San Mateo County (4Cs) Community

Care Licensing Brion Economics Inc

Prepared by Brion Economics Inc 2513-SMC NA Final Tables 61216 6122016

2015 2025

CityArea as CityArea as

Under 2 2 to 4 Year Total of Total Under 2 2 to 4 Total of Total

CityArea Years Old Olds Demand Demand Years Old Year Olds Demand Demand

Atherton 27 165 192 06 29 173 201 05

Belmont 237 950 1187 35 250 999 1249 34

Brisbane 98 231 329 10 103 243 346 09

Burlingame 338 1236 1574 47 371 1356 1726 47

Daly CityColma 811 3237 4048 120 865 3441 4306 116

East Palo Alto 292 1419 1711 51 324 1575 1900 51

Foster City 268 1145 1414 42 283 1199 1483 40

Half Moon Bay Region (1) 144 742 885 26 155 802 957 26

Hillsborough 33 282 315 09 34 292 327 09

Menlo Park (2) 516 1790 2306 68 573 2011 2584 70

Millbrae 124 640 764 23 139 718 857 23

Pacifica 244 1117 1360 40 254 1159 1413 38

Portola Valley 26 171 198 06 28 177 204 06

Redwood City (2) 1241 4567 5808 172 1411 5208 6619 179

San Bruno 364 1418 1782 53 405 1578 1983 54

San Carlos 270 1222 1492 44 288 1297 1585 43

San Mateo 1003 3886 4889 145 1099 4233 5332 144

South Coast (3) 4 23 28 01 5 26 30 01

South San Francisco 755 2588 3343 99 835 2874 3709 100

Woodside 27 141 168 05 28 146 174 05

Total 6821 26971 33792 1000 7478 29506 36984 1000

FINAL

Table 6

Child Care Demand Summary Table for 2015 and 2025

San Mateo County Child Care Study - 2016

(1) Half Moon Bay Region includes the City of Half Moon Bay El Granada Montara and Moss Beach

(2) ABAG Projections have 6300 people listed as Remainder population this amount is divided equally between Menlo Park

and Redwood City given that they are surrounded by unincorporated areas

(3) South Coast includes La Honda Loma Mar and Pescadero

Sources 2010 US Census ABAG Projections 2013 Brion Economics Inc

Prepared by Brion Economics Inc 2513-SMC NA Final Tables 61216 6122016

No of Non- No of Employee

Resident No of 0 to 2 No of 3 to 4 Children Needing

CityArea Assumptions Employees Year Olds Year Olds Licensed Care

Estimated Percent of Employees

Needing Licensed Care (1) 300 40 60 100

Atherton 983 12 18 29

Belmont 2843 34 51 85

Brisbane 4316 52 78 129

Burlingame 11680 140 211 350

Daly CityColma 10540 126 190 316

East Palo Alto 1485 18 27 45

Foster City 6108 73 110 183

Half Moon Bay Region (2) 1060 13 19 32

Hillsborough 546 7 10 16

Menlo Park 18390 220 332 552

Millbrae 2304 28 42 69

Pacifica 1504 18 27 45

Portola Valley 689 8 12 21

Redwood City 34317 410 619 1029

San Bruno 5106 61 92 153

San Carlos 6295 75 114 189

San Mateo 19314 231 348 579

South Coast (3) 0 0 0 0

South San Francisco 22128 265 399 664

Woodside 708 8 13 21

SF Airport (4) 3676 44 66 110

Remainder (4) 299 4 5 9

Total Countywide 154289 1845 2784 4629

FINAL

Table 7

Employee Demand Summary Table for 2015

San Mateo County Child Care Study - 2016

Note Totals may be off slightly due to rounding

(1) We are assuming 3 of employees children require licensed care the breakdown of demand for infant and

preschool spaces is based on the percentage of infants and preschoolers who currently reside in San Mateo

County

(2) Half Moon Bay Region includes the City of Half Moon Bay El Granada Montara and Moss Beach

(3) South Coast includes La Honda Loma Mar and Pescadero

(4) SF Airport and Remainder are groupings by ABAG For employment SF Airport demand is attributed to South San

Francisco and Remainder demand is included with Redwood City

Sources 2010 US Census ABAG Projections 2013 2014 5-Year American Community Survey Journey-To-Work Data

Brion Economics Inc

Prepared by Brion Economics Inc 2513-SMC NA Final Tables 61216 6122016

No of Non- No of Employee

Resident No of 0 to 2 No of 3 to 4 Children Needing

CityArea Assumptions Employees Year Olds Year Olds Licensed Care

Estimated Percent of Employees

Needing Licensed Care (1) 300 40 60 100

Atherton 1051 13 19 32

Belmont 3108 37 56 93

Brisbane 4593 55 83 138

Burlingame 12850 154 232 385

Daly CityColma 11521 138 208 346

East Palo Alto 1683 20 30 50

Foster City 6677 80 120 200

Half Moon Bay Region (2) 1138 14 21 34

Hillsborough 583 7 11 17

Menlo Park 19813 237 357 594

Millbrae 2578 31 47 77

Pacifica 1611 19 29 48

Portola Valley 736 9 13 22

Redwood City 38624 462 697 1159

San Bruno 5695 68 103 171

San Carlos 6834 82 123 205

San Mateo 21855 261 394 656

South Coast (3) 0 0 0 0

South San Francisco 24173 289 436 725

Woodside 747 9 13 22

SF Airport (4) 4185 50 75 126

Remainder (4) 333 4 6 10

Total Countywide 170387 2037 3074 5112

FINAL

Table 8

Employee Demand Summary Table for 2025

San Mateo County Child Care Study - 2016

Note Totals may be off slightly due to rounding

(1) We are assuming 3 of employees children require licensed care the breakdown of demand for infant and

preschool spaces is based on the percentage of infants and preschoolers who currently reside in San Mateo County

(2) Half Moon Bay Region includes the City of Half Moon Bay El Granada Montara and Moss Beach

(3) South Coast includes La Honda Loma Mar and Pescadero

(4) SF Airport and Remainder are groupings by ABAG For employment SF Airport demand is attributed to South San

Francisco and Remainder demand is included with Redwood City

Sources 2010 US Census ABAG Projections 2013 2014 5-Year American Community Survey Journey-To-Work Data

Brion Economics Inc

Prepared by Brion Economics Inc 2513-SMC NA Final Tables 61216 6122016

2015

Surplus(Shortage) of Infant Surplus(Shortage) of Preschool Total Total

CityArea of Infant Spaces Demand Met of Preschool Spaces Demand Met Surplus(Shortage) Demand Met

Atherton 2 107 108 165 110 157

Belmont (130) 45 (335) 65 (465) 61

Brisbane (94) 4 (162) 30 (255) 22

Burlingame (219) 35 (271) 78 (489) 69

Daly CityColma (439) 46 (1612) 50 (2051) 49

East Palo Alto (182) 38 (680) 52 (862) 50

Foster City (62) 77 203 118 141 110

Half Moon Bay Region (1) (13) 91 (336) 55 (349) 61

Hillsborough (28) 15 (185) 34 (213) 32

Menlo Park (2) (367) 29 (363) 80 (730) 68

Millbrae (61) 50 (186) 71 (247) 0

Pacifica (128) 48 (319) 71 (447) 67

Portola Valley (26) 0 (18) 89 (45) 77

Redwood City (2) (490) 61 (2034) 55 (2524) 57

San Bruno (216) 41 (82) 94 (298) 83

San Carlos (121) 55 (516) 58 (637) 57

San Mateo (302) 70 (690) 82 (992) 80

South Coast (3) (4) 0 31 230 26 195

South San Francisco (103) 86 (306) 88 (408) 88

Woodside (23) 16 (33) 77 (55) 67

Countywide (3006) 56 (7783) 71 (10789) 68

FINAL

Table 9

Summary of Demand Met by Existing Facilities in Each Community at 2015

San Mateo County Child Care Study - 2016

Note Totals may be off slightly due to rounding

(1) Half Moon Bay Region includes the City of Half Moon Bay El Granada Montara and Moss Beach

(2) ABAG Projections have 6300 people listed as Remainder population this amount is divided equally between Menlo Park and Redwood

City given that they are surrounded by unincorporated areas

(3) South Coast includes La Honda Loma Mar and Pescadero

Sources 2010 US Census ABAG Projections 2013 Brion Economics Inc

Prepared by Brion Economics Inc 2513-SMC NA Final Tables 61216 6122016

2025

Surplus(Shortage) of Infant Surplus(Shortage) of Preschool Total Total

CityArea of Infant Spaces Demand Met of Preschool Spaces Demand Met Surplus(Shortage) Demand Met

Atherton 0 101 101 158 101 150

Belmont (143) 43 (384) 62 (527) 58

Brisbane (99) 4 (174) 29 (273) 21

Burlingame (252) 32 (390) 71 (642) 63

Daly CityColma (493) 43 (1816) 47 (2308) 46

East Palo Alto (215) 34 (836) 47 (1050) 45

Foster City (77) 73 150 112 73 105

Half Moon Bay Region (1) (24) 84 (396) 51 (421) 56

Hillsborough (29) 14 (195) 33 (225) 31

Menlo Park (2) (424) 26 (584) 71 (1008) 61

Millbrae (76) 45 (264) 63 (340) 60

Pacifica (138) 46 (361) 69 (499) 65

Portola Valley (28) 0 (24) 87 (51) 75

Redwood City (2) (660) 53 (2674) 49 (3334) 50

San Bruno (257) 37 (242) 85 (499) 75

San Carlos (139) 52 (590) 54 (729) 54

San Mateo (398) 64 (1037) 75 (1435) 73

South Coast (3) (5) 0 28 209 24 177

South San Francisco (183) 78 (591) 79 (775) 79

Woodside (24) 15 (38) 74 (61) 65

Countywide (3663) 51 (10318) 65 (13981) 62

FINAL

Table 10

Summary of Demand Met by Existing Facilities in Each Community at 2025

San Mateo County Child Care Study - 2016

Note Totals may be off slightly due to rounding

(1) Half Moon Bay Region includes the City of Half Moon Bay El Granada Montara and Moss Beach

(2) ABAG Projections have 6300 people listed as Remainder population this amount is divided equally between Menlo Park and Redwood

City given that they are surrounded by unincorporated areas

(3) South Coast includes La Honda Loma Mar and Pescadero

Sources 2010 US Census ABAG Projections 2013 Brion Economics Inc

Prepared by Brion Economics Inc 2513-SMC NA Final Tables 61216 6122016

Table 11

Number of Child Care Providers by City in 2015

San Mateo County Child Care Study - 2016

Family Child Licensed

CityArea Care Homes Centers Total

Atherton 1 6 7

Belmont 18 9 27

Brisbane 1 1 2

Burlingame 21 14 35

Daly CityColma 85 28 113

East Palo Alto 21 6 27

Foster City 29 12 41

Half Moon Bay Region (1) 28 11 39

Hillsborough 1 4 5

Menlo Park (2) 18 25 43

Millbrae 17 7 24

Pacifica 21 18 39

Portola Valley 0 4 4

Redwood City (2) 111 45 156

San Bruno 34 15 49

San Carlos 20 14 34

San Mateo 126 59 185

South Coast (3) 0 2 2

South San Francisco 68 27 95

Woodside 1 2 3

Countywide 621 309 930

FINAL

(1) Half Moon Bay Region includes the City of Half Moon Bay El Granada

Montara and Moss Beach

(2) ABAG Projections have 6300 people listed as Remainder population

this amount is divided equally between Menlo Park and Redwood City

given that they are surrounded by unincorporated areas

(3) South Coast includes La Honda Loma Mar and Pescadero

Sources Child Care Coordinating Council of San Mateo County (4Cs)

Community Care Licensing Brion Economics Inc

Prepared by Brion Economics Inc 2513-SMC NA Final Tables 61216 6122016

CityArea

Shortage

Infant

Center

Spaces

Infant care

Percentage

of Shortage

Shortage

Preschool

Center

Spaces

Preschool

Percentage

of Shortage

Total Center-

Based Space

Shortage

Atherton

Belmont

Brisbane

Burlingame

Daly CityColma

East Palo Alto

Foster City

Half Moon Bay Region

Hillsborough

Menlo Park

Millbrae

Pacifica

Portola Valley

Redwood City

San Bruno

San Carlos

San Mateo

South Coast

South San Francisco

Woodside

Countywide

NA

(48)

NA

(73)

(99)

(42)

(27)

(3)

NA

(180)

0

(43)

(26)

(232)

(38)

(62)

(90)

(2)

(63)

NA

NA

14

NA

23

7

7

100

1

NA

35

0

13

59

12

34

12

14

NA

19

NA

NA

(289)

(149)

(243)

(1253)

(582)

NA

(236)

(173)

(338)

(154)

(280)

(18)

(1635)

(73)

(449)

(557)

NA

(263)

(31)

NA

86

100

77

93

93

NA

99

100

65

100

87

41

88

66

88

86

NA

81

100

NA

(337)

(149)

(316)

(1352)

(623)

(27)

(240)

(173)

(518)

(154)

(323)

(45)

(1867)

(110)

(511)

(647)

(2)

(326)

(31)

(1193) 15 (6609) 85 (7802)

FINAL

Table 12

Summary of Shortage of Child Care Center Spaces by Age - 2015

San Mateo County Child Care Study - 2016

Sources Child Care Coordinating Council of San Mateo County (4Cs) Community Care Licensing

Brion Economics Inc

Prepared by Brion Economics Inc 2513-SMC NA Final Tables 61216 6122016

CityArea

Shortage

Infant Center

Spaces

Infant care

Percentage

of Shortage

Shortage

Preschool

Center

Spaces

Preschool

Percentage

of Shortage

Total Center-

Based Space

Shortage

Atherton

Belmont

Brisbane

Burlingame

Daly CityColma

East Palo Alto

Foster City

Half Moon Bay Region

Hillsborough

Menlo Park

Millbrae

Pacifica

Portola Valley

Redwood City

San Bruno

San Carlos

San Mateo

South Coast

South San Francisco

Woodside

Countywide

NA

(53)

NA

(85)

(111)

(49)

(33)

(6)

NA

(207)

0

(46)

(28)

(313)

(45)

(71)

(119)

(5)

(113)

0

NA

14

NA

19

7

6

100

2

NA

28

0

13

54

13

17

12

12

NA

18

NA

NA

(331)

(160)

(350)

(1412)

(715)

NA

(279)

(183)

(544)

(219)

(317)

(24)

(2149)

(214)

(514)

(837)

NA

(509)

(36)

NA

86

100

81

93

94

NA

98

100

72

100

87

46

87

83

88

88

NA

82

100

NA

(384)

(160)

(434)

(1523)

(764)

(33)

(285)

(183)

(752)

(219)

(364)

(51)

(2462)

(259)

(585)

(955)

(5)

(622)

(36)

(1454) 14 (8762) 86 (10216)

FINAL

Table 13

Summary of Shortage of Child Care Center Spaces by Age - 2025

San Mateo County Child Care Study - 2016

Sources Child Care Coordinating Council of San Mateo County (4Cs) Community Care Licensing

Brion Economics Inc

Prepared by Brion Economics Inc 2513-SMC NA Final Tables 61216 6122016

COUNTYWIDE

Child Care as of 2015

No of

Providers

Under 2 Years

Old

2 to 4 Year

Olds

Total 0 to 4

Years

EXISTING DEMAND Child Care Demand

Estimated Total Children

Average LFPRAdjustment Factor

Children With Working Parents

Licensed Care Demand Factor

Resident Children Needing Licensed Care

of Total Resident Children Needing Licensed Care

Children from Non-Resident Employees Needing

Licensed Care

Total Demand for Child Care Spaces

Distribution

EXISTING SUPPLY

(1)

(2)

(3)

(4)

19008 28678

71

13449 25720

37

4976 24188

26 84

1845 2784

6821 26971

20 80

Child Care Spaces

47686

39169

86

29164

61

4629

33792

100

Family Child Care Home Supply

Child Care Center Supply

Current Child Care Supply

Distribution

EXISTING SURPLUS(SHORTAGE)

Distribution

Percentage of Demand Met

by Existing FacilitiesSpaces

Shortage of Family Child Care Home Spaces

Shortage of Center-Based Spaces

(5)

(6)

(6)

621

309 -930

2301 2893

1514 16296 - -3815 19189

17 83

(3006) (7783)

28 72

56 71

(1813) (1173)

(1193) (6609)

5193

17810 -23003

100

(10789)

100

68

(2986)

(7802)

FINAL

Table A-1

Existing Child Care Demand and Supply in 2015 Countywide

San Mateo County Child Care Study - 2016

Note All footnote references can be found in Table C-1 at the end of this file

Sources 2010 US Census ABAG Projections 2013 2014 American Community Survey ACS Journey-to-Work data 2006-2008 and 2006-2010

Child Care Coordinating Council of San Mateo County (4Cs) Community Care Licensing Brion Economics Inc

Prepared by Brion Economics Inc 2513-SMC NA Final Tables 61216 6122016

ATHERTON

Child Care as of 2015

No of

Providers

Under 2 Years

Old

2 to 4 Year

Olds

Total 0 to 4

Years

EXISTING DEMAND Child Care Demand

Estimated Total Children

Average LFPRAdjustment Factor

Children With Working Parents

Licensed Care Demand Factor

Resident Children Needing Licensed Care

of Total Resident Children Needing Licensed Care

Children from Non-Resident Employees Needing

Licensed Care

(1)

(2)

(3)

105 185

40

42 153

37

15 147

15 80

12 18

290

194

84

163

56

29

Total Demand for Child Care Spaces

Distribution

EXISTING SUPPLY (4)

27 165

14 86

Child Care Spaces

192

100

Family Child Care Home Supply

Child Care Center Supply

Current Child Care Supply

Distribution

EXISTING SURPLUS(SHORTAGE)

Distribution

Percentage of Demand Met

by Existing FacilitiesSpaces

Shortage of Family Child Care Home Spaces

Shortage of Center-Based Spaces

(5)

(6)

(6)

1

6

7

5 6

24 267

29 273

10 90

2 108

2 98

107 165

NA NA

NA NA

11

291

302

100

110

100

157

NA

NA

FINAL

Table A-2

Existing Child Care Demand and Supply in 2015 in Atherton

San Mateo Co unty Child Care Study - 2016

Note All footnote references can be found in Table C-1 at the end of this file

Sources 2010 US Census ABAG Projections 2013 2014 American Community Survey ACS Journey-to-Work data 2006-2008 and 2006-2010

Child Care Coordinating Council of San Mateo County (4Cs) Community Care Licensing Brion Economics Inc

Prepared by Brion Economics Inc 2513-SMC NA Final Tables 61216 6122016

BELMONT

Child Care as of 2015

No of

Providers

Under 2 Years

Old

2 to 4 Year

Olds

Total 0 to 4

Years

EXISTING DEMAND Child Care Demand

Estimated Total Children

Average LFPRAdjustment Factor

Children With Working Parents

Licensed Care Demand Factor

Resident Children Needing Licensed Care

of Total Resident Children Needing Licensed Care

Children from Non-Resident Employees Needing

Licensed Care

(1)

(2)

(3)

708 1045

77

548 966

37

203 899

29 86

34 51

1753

1513

73

1102

63

85

Total Demand for Child Care Spaces

Distribution

EXISTING SUPPLY (4)

237 950

20 80

Child Care Spaces

1187

100

Family Child Care Home Supply

Child Care Center Supply

Current Child Care Supply

Distribution

EXISTING SURPLUS(SHORTAGE)

Distribution

Percentage of Demand Met

by Existing FacilitiesSpaces

Shortage of Family Child Care Home Spaces

Shortage of Center-Based Spaces

(5)

(6)

(6)

18

9

27

67 84

39 531

106 615

15 85

(130) (335)

28 72

45 65

(83) (46)

(48) (289)

152

570

722

100

(465)

100

61

(128)

(337)

FINAL

Table A-3

Existing Child Care Demand and Supply in 2015 in Belmont

San Mateo County Child Care Study - 2016

Note All footnote references can be found in Table C-1 at the end of this file Sources 2010 US Census ABAG Projections 2013 2014 American Community Survey ACS Journey-to-Work data 2006-2008 and

2006-2010 Child Care Coordinating Council of San Mateo County (4Cs) Community Care Licensing Brion Economics Inc

Prepared by Brion Economics Inc 2513-SMC NA Final Tables 61216 6122016

FINAL

Table A-4

Existing Child Care Demand and Supply in 2015 in Brisbane

San Mateo County Child Care Study - 2016

BRISBANE

Child Care as of 2015

No of

Providers

Under 2 Years

Old

2 to 4 Year

Olds

Total 0 to 4

Years

EXISTING DEMAND Child Care Demand

Estimated Total Children (1) 125 166 292

Average LFPRAdjustment Factor (2) 100

Children With Working Parents 125 166 292

Licensed Care Demand Factor (3) 37 68

Resident Children Needing Licensed Care 46 153 199

of Total Resident Children Needing Licensed Care 37 92 68

Children from Non-Resident Employees Needing

Licensed Care 52 78 129

Total Demand for Child Care Spaces 98 231 329

Distribution 30 70 100

EXISTING SUPPLY (4) Child Care Spaces

Family Child Care Home Supply 1 4 5 9

Child Care Center Supply 1 - 64 64

Current Child Care Supply 2 4 69 73

Distribution 6 94 100

EXISTING SURPLUS(SHORTAGE) (94) (162) (255)

Distribution 37 63 100

Percentage of Demand Met

by Existing FacilitiesSpaces (5) 4 30 22

Shortage of Family Child Care Home Spaces (6) (94) (12) (106)

Shortage of Center-Based Spaces (6) 0 (149) (149)

Note All footnote references can be found in Table C-1 at the end of this file

Sources 2010 US Census ABAG Projections 2013 2014 American Community Survey ACS Journey-to-Work data 2006-2008 and 2006-2010

Child Care Coordinating Council of San Mateo County (4Cs) Community Care Licensing Brion Economics Inc

Prepared by Brion Economics Inc 2513-SMC NA Final Tables 61216 6122016

BURLINGAME

Child Care as of 2015

No of

Providers

Under 2 Years

Old

2 to 4 Year

Olds

Total 0 to 4

Years

EXISTING DEMAND Child Care Demand

Estimated Total Children

Average LFPRAdjustment Factor

Children With Working Parents

Licensed Care Demand Factor

Resident Children Needing Licensed Care

of Total Resident Children Needing Licensed Care

Children from Non-Resident Employees Needing

Licensed Care

(1)

(2)

(3)

824 1216

65

535 1086

37

198 1025

24 84

140 211

2040

1621

75

1224

60

350

Total Demand for Child Care Spaces

Distribution

EXISTING SUPPLY (4)

338 1236

21 79

Child Care Spaces

1574

100

Family Child Care Home Supply

Child Care Center Supply

Current Child Care Supply

Distribution

EXISTING SURPLUS(SHORTAGE)

Distribution

Percentage of Demand Met

by Existing FacilitiesSpaces

Shortage of Family Child Care Home Spaces

Shortage of Center-Based Spaces

(5)

(6)

(6)

21

14

35

79 99

40 866

119 965

11 89

(219) (271)

45 55

35 78

(145) (28)

(73) (243)

179

906

1085

100

(489)

100

69

(173)

(316)

FINAL

Table A-5

Existing Child Care Demand and Supply in 2015 in Burlingame

San Mateo County Child Care Study - 2016

Note All footnote references can be found in Table C-1 at the end of this file

Sources 2010 US Census ABAG Projections 2013 2014 American Community Survey ACS Journey-to-Work data 2006-2008 and 2006-2010

Child Care Coordinating Council of San Mateo County (4Cs) Community Care Licensing Brion Economics Inc

Prepared by Brion Economics Inc 2513-SMC NA Final Tables 61216 6122016

DALY CITYCOLMA

Child Care as of 2015

No of

Providers

Under 2 Years

Old

2 to 4 Year

Olds

Total 0 to 4

Years

EXISTING DEMAND Child Care Demand

Estimated Total Children

Average LFPRAdjustment Factor

Children With Working Parents

Licensed Care Demand Factor

Resident Children Needing Licensed Care

of Total Resident Children Needing Licensed Care

Children from Non-Resident Employees Needing

Licensed Care

(1)

(2)

(3)

2495 3575

742

1851 3268

37

685 3047

27 85

126 190

6070

5119

73

3732

61

316

Total Demand for Child Care Spaces

Distribution

EXISTING SUPPLY (4)

811 3237

20 80

Child Care Spaces

4048

100

Family Child Care Home Supply

Child Care Center Supply

Current Child Care Supply

Distribution

EXISTING SURPLUS(SHORTAGE)

Distribution

Percentage of Demand Met

by Existing FacilitiesSpaces

Shortage of Family Child Care Home Spaces

Shortage of Center-Based Spaces

(5)

(6)

(6)

85

28

113

288 362

84 1264

372 1626

19 81

(439) (1612)

21 79

46 50

(340) (359)

(99) (1253)

649

1348

1997

100

(2051)

100

49

(698)

(1352)

FINAL

Table A-6

Existing Child Care Demand and Supply in 2015 in Daly CityColma

San Mateo Co unty Child Care Study - 2016

Note All footnote references can be found in Table C-1 at the end of this file

Sources 2010 US Census ABAG Projections 2013 2014 American Community Survey ACS Journey-to-Work data 2006-2008 and 2006-2010

Child Care Coordinating Council of San Mateo County (4Cs) Community Care Licensing Brion Economics Inc

Prepared by Brion Economics Inc 2513-SMC NA Final Tables 61216 6122016

EAST PALO ALTO

Child Care as of 2015

No of

Providers

Under 2 Years

Old

2 to 4 Year

Olds

Total 0 to 4

Years

EXISTING DEMAND Child Care Demand

Estimated Total Children

Average LFPRAdjustment Factor

Children With Working Parents

Licensed Care Demand Factor

Resident Children Needing Licensed Care

of Total Resident Children Needing Licensed Care

Children from Non-Resident Employees Needing

Licensed Care

(1)

(2)

(3)

1046 1667

71

741 1496

37

274 1392

26 84

18 27

2713

2237

75

1666

61

45

Total Demand for Child Care Spaces

Distribution

EXISTING SUPPLY (4)

292 1419

17 83

Child Care Spaces

1711

100

Family Child Care Home Supply

Child Care Center Supply

Current Child Care Supply

Distribution

EXISTING SURPLUS(SHORTAGE)

Distribution

Percentage of Demand Met

by Existing FacilitiesSpaces

Shortage of Family Child Care Home Spaces

Shortage of Center-Based Spaces

(5)

(6)

(6)

21

6

27

85 106

25 633

110 739

13 87

(182) (680)

21 79

38 52

(141) (98)

(42) (582)

191

658

849

100

(862)

100

50

(239)

(623)

FINAL

Table A-7

Existing Child Care Demand and Supply in 2015 in East Palo Alto

San Mateo County Child Care Study - 2016

Note All footnote references can be found in Table C-1 at the end of this file Sources 2010 US Census ABAG Projections 2013 2014 American Community Survey ACS Journey-to-Work data 2006-2008 and 2006-2010

Child Care Coordinating Council of San Mateo County (4Cs) Community Care Licensing Brion Economics Inc

Prepared by Brion Economics Inc 2513-SMC NA Final Tables 61216 6122016

FOSTER CITY

Child Care as of 2015

No of

Providers

Under 2 Years

Old

2 to 4 Year

Olds

Total 0 to 4

Years

EXISTING DEMAND Child Care Demand

Estimated Total Children

Average LFPRAdjustment Factor

Children With Working Parents

Licensed Care Demand Factor

Resident Children Needing Licensed Care

of Total Resident Children Needing Licensed Care

Children from Non-Resident Employees Needing

Licensed Care

(1)

(2)

(3)

836 1277

63

528 1108

37

195 1035

23 81

73 110

2113

1636

75

1231

58

183

Total Demand for Child Care Spaces

Distribution

EXISTING SUPPLY (4)

268 1145

19 81

Child Care Spaces

1414

100

Family Child Care Home Supply

Child Care Center Supply

Current Child Care Supply

Distribution

EXISTING SURPLUS(SHORTAGE)

Distribution

Percentage of Demand Met

by Existing FacilitiesSpaces

Shortage of Family Child Care Home Spaces

Shortage of Center-Based Spaces

(5)

(6)

(6)

29

12

41

118 149

88 1200

206 1349

13 87

(62) 203

NA NA

77 118

(36) NA

(27) NA

267

1288

1555

100

141

NA

110

(36)

(27)

FINAL

Table A-8

Existing Child Care Demand and Supply in 2015 in Foster City

San Mateo County Child Care Study - 2016

Note All footnote references can be found in Table C-1 at the end of this file

Sources 2010 US Census ABAG Projections 2013 2014 American Community Survey ACS Journey-to-Work data 2006-2008 and 2006-2010

Child Care Coordinating Council of San Mateo County (4Cs) Community Care Licensing Brion Economics Inc

Prepared by Brion Economics Inc 2513-SMC NA Final Tables 61216 6122016

HALF MOON BAY REGION

Child Care as of 2015

No of

Providers

Under 2 Years

Old

2 to 4 Year

Olds

Total 0 to 4

Years

EXISTING DEMAND Child Care Demand

Estimated Total Children

Average LFPRAdjustment Factor

Children With Working Parents

Licensed Care Demand Factor

Resident Children Needing Licensed Care

of Total Resident Children Needing Licensed Care

Children from Non-Resident Employees Needing

Licensed Care

(1)

(2)

(3)

511 860

69

354 772

37

131 723

26 84

13 19

1371

1126

76

854

62

32

Total Demand for Child Care Spaces

Distribution

EXISTING SUPPLY (4)

144 742

16 84

Child Care Spaces

885

100

Family Child Care Home Supply

Child Care Center Supply

Current Child Care Supply

Distribution

EXISTING SURPLUS(SHORTAGE)

Distribution

Percentage of Demand Met

by Existing FacilitiesSpaces

Shortage of Family Child Care Home Spaces

Shortage of Center-Based Spaces

(5)

(6)

(6)

28

11

39

96 121

35 285

131 406

24 76

(13) (336)

4 96

91 55

(9) (100)

(3) (236)

216

320

536

100

(349)

100

61

(109)

(240)

FINAL

Table A-9

Existing Child Care Demand and Supply in 2015 in Half Moon Bay Region

San Mateo County Child Care Study - 2016

Note All footnote references can be found in Table C-1 at the end of this file

Sources 2010 US Census ABAG Projections 2013 2014 American Community Survey ACS Journey-to-Work data 2006-2008 and 2006-2010

Child Care Coordinating Council of San Mateo County (4Cs) Community Care Licensing Brion Economics Inc

Prepared by Brion Economics Inc 2513-SMC NA Final Tables 61216 6122016

HILLSBOROUGH

Child Care as of 2015

No of

Providers

Under 2 Years

Old

2 to 4 Year

Olds

Total 0 to 4

Years

EXISTING DEMAND Child Care Demand

Estimated Total Children

Average LFPRAdjustment Factor

Children With Working Parents

Licensed Care Demand Factor

Resident Children Needing Licensed Care

of Total Resident Children Needing Licensed Care

Children from Non-Resident Employees Needing

Licensed Care

(1)

(2)

(3)

138 331

52

71 284

37

26 272

19 82

7 10

469

356

84

298

64

16

Total Demand for Child Care Spaces

Distribution

EXISTING SUPPLY (4)

33 282

10 90

Child Care Spaces

315

100

Family Child Care Home Supply

Child Care Center Supply

Current Child Care Supply

Distribution

EXISTING SURPLUS(SHORTAGE)

Distribution

Percentage of Demand Met

by Existing FacilitiesSpaces

Shortage of Family Child Care Home Spaces

Shortage of Center-Based Spaces

(5)

(6)

(6)

1

4

5

5 6

- 91

5 97

5 95

(28) (185)

13 87

15 34

(28) (12)

0 (173)

11

91

102

100

(213)

100

32

(40)

(173)

FINAL

Table A-10

Existing Child Care Demand and Supply in 2015 in Hillsborough

San Mateo County Child Care Study - 2016

Note All footnote references can be found in Table C-1 at the end of this file Sources 2010 US Census ABAG Projections 2013 2014 American Community Survey ACS Journey-to-Work data 2006-2008 and 2006-2010

Child Care Coordinating Council of San Mateo County (4Cs) Community Care Licensing Brion Economics Inc

Prepared by Brion Economics Inc 2513-SMC NA Final Tables 61216 6122016

MENLO PARK

Child Care as of 2015

No of

Providers

Under 2 Years

Old

2 to 4 Year

Olds

Total 0 to 4

Years

EXISTING DEMAND Child Care Demand

Estimated Total Children

Average LFPRAdjustment Factor

Children With Working Parents

Licensed Care Demand Factor

Resident Children Needing Licensed Care

of Total Resident Children Needing Licensed Care

Children from Non-Resident Employees Needing

Licensed Care

(1)

(2)

(3)

1170 1723

69

802 1551

37

297 1458

25 85

220 332

2893

2353

75

1754

61

552

Total Demand for Child Care Spaces

Distribution

EXISTING SUPPLY (4)

516 1790

22 78

Child Care Spaces

2306

100

Family Child Care Home Supply

Child Care Center Supply

Current Child Care Supply

Distribution

EXISTING SURPLUS(SHORTAGE)

Distribution

Percentage of Demand Met

by Existing FacilitiesSpaces

Shortage of Family Child Care Home Spaces

Shortage of Center-Based Spaces

(5)

(6)

(6)

18

25

43

76 96

73 1331

149 1427

9 91

(367) (363)

50 50

29 80

(188) (24)

(180) (338)

172

1404

1576

100

(730)

100

68

(212)

(518)

FINAL

Table A-11

Existing Child Care Demand and Supply in 2015 in Menlo Park

San Mateo County Child Care Study - 2016

Note All footnote references can be found in Table C-1 at the end of this file Sources 2010 US Census ABAG Projections 2013 2014 American Community Survey ACS Journey-to-Work data 2006-2008 and 2006-2010

Child Care Coordinating Council of San Mateo County (4Cs) Community Care Licensing Brion Economics Inc

Prepared by Brion Economics Inc 2513-SMC NA Final Tables 61216 6122016

MILLBRAE

Child Care as of 2015

No of

Providers

Under 2 Years

Old

2 to 4 Year

Olds

Total 0 to 4

Years

EXISTING DEMAND Child Care Demand

Total Children

Average LFPRAdjustment Factor

Children With Working Parents

Licensed Care Demand Factor

Resident Children Needing Licensed Care

of Total Resident Children Needing Licensed Care

Children from Non-Resident Employees Needing

Licensed Care

(1)

(2)

(3)

421 717

62

260 632

37

96 598

23 83

28 42

1138

892

78

694

61

69

Total Demand for Child Care Spaces

Distribution

EXISTING SUPPLY (4)

124 640

16 84

Child Care Spaces

764

100

Family Child Care Home Supply

Child Care Center Supply

Current Child Care Supply

Distribution

EXISTING SURPLUS(SHORTAGE)

Distribution

Percentage of Demand Met

by Existing FacilitiesSpaces

Shortage of Family Child Care Home Spaces

Shortage of Center-Based Spaces

(5)

(6)

(6)

17

7

24

62 78

- 376

62 454

12 88

(61) (186)

25 75

50 71

(61) (32)

0 (154)

141

376

517

100

(247)

100

68

(93)

(154)

FINAL

Table A-12

Existing Child Care Demand and Supply in 2015 in Millbrae

San Mateo Co unty Child Care Study - 2016

Note All footnote references can be found in Table C-1 at the end of this file

Sources 2010 US Census ABAG Projections 2013 2014 American Community Survey ACS Journey-to-Work data 2006-2008 and 2006-2010

Child Care Coordinating Council of San Mateo County (4Cs) Community Care Licensing Brion Economics Inc

Prepared by Brion Economics Inc 2513-SMC NA Final Tables 61216 6122016

PACIFICA

Child Care as of 2015

No of

Providers

Under 2 Years

Old

2 to 4 Year

Olds

Total 0 to 4

Years

EXISTING DEMAND Child Care Demand

Estimated Total Children

Average LFPRAdjustment Factor

Children With Working Parents

Licensed Care Demand Factor

Resident Children Needing Licensed Care

of Total Resident Children Needing Licensed Care

Children from Non-Resident Employees Needing

Licensed Care

(1)

(2)

(3)

787 1253

78

610 1165

37

226 1089

29 87

18 27

2040

1776

74

1315

64

45

Total Demand for Child Care Spaces

Distribution

EXISTING SUPPLY (4)

244 1117

18 83

Child Care Spaces

1360

100

Family Child Care Home Supply

Child Care Center Supply

Current Child Care Supply

Distribution

EXISTING SURPLUS(SHORTAGE)

Distribution

Percentage of Demand Met

by Existing FacilitiesSpaces

Shortage of Family Child Care Home Spaces

Shortage of Center-Based Spaces

(5)

(6)

(6)

21

18

39

77 97

39 701

116 798

13 87

(128) (319)

29 71

48 71

(85) (39)

(43) (280)

174

740

914

100

(447)

100

67

(124)

(323)

FINAL

Table A-13

Existing Child Care Demand and Supply in 2015 in Pacifica

San Mateo County Child Care Study - 2016

Note All footnote references can be found in Table C-1 at the end of this file Sources 2010 US Census ABAG Projections 2013 2014 American Community Survey ACS Journey-to-Work data 2006-2008 and 2006-2010

Child Care Coordinating Council of San Mateo County (4Cs) Community Care Licensing Brion Economics Inc

Prepared by Brion Economics Inc 2513-SMC NA Final Tables 61216 6122016

PORTOLA VALLEY

No of

Providers

Child Care as of 2015

Under 2 Years

Old

2 to 4 Year

Olds

Total 0 to 4

Years

EXISTING DEMAND Child Care Demand

Estimated Total Children

Average LFPRAdjustment Factor

Children With Working Parents

Licensed Care Demand Factor

Resident Children Needing Licensed Care

of Total Resident Children Needing Licensed Care

Children from Non-Resident Employees Needing

Licensed Care

(1)

(2)

(3)

75 187

66

49 168

37

18 159

24 85

8 12

261

217

82

177

68

21

Total Demand for Child Care Spaces

Distribution

EXISTING SUPPLY (4)

26 171

13 87

Child Care Spaces

198

100

Family Child Care Home Supply

Child Care Center Supply

Current Child Care Supply

Distribution

EXISTING SURPLUS(SHORTAGE)

Distribution

Percentage of Demand Met

by Existing FacilitiesSpaces

Shortage of Family Child Care Home Spaces

Shortage of Center-Based Spaces

(5)

(6)

(6)

0

4

4

0 0

0 153

0 153

0 100

(26) (18)

59 41

0 89

0 0

(26) (18)

0

153

153

100

(45)

100

77

0

(45)

FINAL

Table A-14

Existing Child Care Demand and Supply in 2015 in Portola Valley

San Mateo County Child Care Study - 2016

Note All footnote references can be found in Table C-1 at the end of this file Sources 2010 US Census ABAG Projections 2013 2014 American Community Survey ACS Journey-to-Work data 2006-2008 and 2006-2010

Child Care Coordinating Council of San Mateo County (4Cs) Community Care Licensing Brion Economics Inc

Prepared by Brion Economics Inc 2513-SMC NA Final Tables 61216 6122016

REDWOOD CITY

Child Care as of 2015

No of

Providers

Under 2 Years

Old

2 to 4 Year

Olds

Total 0 to 4

Years

EXISTING DEMAND Child Care Demand

Estimated Total Children

Average LFPRAdjustment Factor

Children With Working Parents

Licensed Care Demand Factor

Resident Children Needing Licensed Care

of Total Resident Children Needing Licensed Care

Children from Non-Resident Employees Needing

Licensed Care

Total Demand for Child Care Spaces

Distribution

EXISTING SUPPLY

(1)

(2)

(3)

(4)

3260 4706

69

2236 4212

37

827 3942

25 84

414 625

1241 4567

21 79

Child Care Spaces

7966

6449

74

4770

60

1038

5808

100

Family Child Care Home Supply

Child Care Center Supply

Current Child Care Supply

Distribution

EXISTING SURPLUS(SHORTAGE)

Distribution

Percentage of Demand Met

by Existing FacilitiesSpaces

Shortage of Family Child Care Home Spaces

Shortage of Center-Based Spaces

(5)

(6)

(6)

111

45

156

396 497

356 2036

752 2533

23 77

(490) (2034)

19 81

61 55

(258) (399)

(232) (1635)

893

2392

3285

100

(2524)

100

57

(657)

(1867)

FINAL

Table A-15

Existing Child Care Demand and Supply in 2015 in Redwood City

San Mateo County Child Care Study - 2016

Note All footnote references can be found in Table C-1 at the end of this file Sources 2010 US Census ABAG Projections 2013 2014 American Community Survey ACS Journey-to-Work data 2006-2008 and 2006-2010

Child Care Coordinating Council of San Mateo County (4Cs) Community Care Licensing Brion Economics Inc

Prepared by Brion Economics Inc 2513-SMC NA Final Tables 61216 6122016

SAN BRUNO

Child Care as of 2015

No of

Providers

Under 2 Years

Old

2 to 4 Year

Olds

Total 0 to 4

Years

EXISTING DEMAND Child Care Demand

Estimated Total Children

Average LFPRAdjustment Factor

Children With Working Parents

Licensed Care Demand Factor

Resident Children Needing Licensed Care

of Total Resident Children Needing Licensed Care

Children from Non-Resident Employees Needing

Licensed Care

(1)

(2)

(3)

1069 1553

77

817 1428

37

302 1326

28 85

61 92

2622

2245

73

1628

62

153

Total Demand for Child Care Spaces

Distribution

EXISTING SUPPLY (4)

364 1418

20 80

Child Care Spaces

1782

100

Family Child Care Home Supply

Child Care Center Supply

Current Child Care Supply

Distribution

EXISTING SURPLUS(SHORTAGE)

Distribution

Percentage of Demand Met

by Existing FacilitiesSpaces

Shortage of Family Child Care Home Spaces

Shortage of Center-Based Spaces

(5)

(6)

(6)

34

15

49

122 153

26 1183

148 1336

10 90

(216) (82)

72 28

41 94

(178) (9)

(38) (73)

275

1209

1484

100

(298)

100

83

(187)

(110)

FINAL

Table A-16

Existing Child Care Demand and Supply in 2015 in San Bruno

San Mateo County Child Care Study - 2016

Note All footnote references can be found in Table C-1 at the end of this file Sources 2010 US Census ABAG Projections 2013 2014 American Community Survey ACS Journey-to-Work data 2006-2008 and 2006-2010

Child Care Coordinating Council of San Mateo County (4Cs) Community Care Licensing Brion Economics Inc

Prepared by Brion Economics Inc 2513-SMC NA Final Tables 61216 6122016

SAN CARLOS

Child Care as of 2015

No of

Providers

Under 2 Years

Old

2 to 4 Year

Olds

Total 0 to 4

Years

EXISTING DEMAND Child Care Demand

Estimated Total Children

Average LFPRAdjustment Factor

Children With Working Parents

Licensed Care Demand Factor

Resident Children Needing Licensed Care

of Total Resident Children Needing Licensed Care

Children from Non-Resident Employees Needing

Licensed Care

(1)

(2)

(3)

735 1308

72

526 1186

37

195 1109

26 85

75 114

2043

1712

76

1304

64

189

Total Demand for Child Care Spaces

Distribution

EXISTING SUPPLY (4)

270 1222

18 82

Child Care Spaces

1492

100

Family Child Care Home Supply

Child Care Center Supply

Current Child Care Supply

Distribution

EXISTING SURPLUS(SHORTAGE)

Distribution

Percentage of Demand Met

by Existing FacilitiesSpaces

Shortage of Family Child Care Home Spaces

Shortage of Center-Based Spaces

(5)

(6)

(6)

20

14

34

73 92

76 615

149 707

17 83

(121) (516)

19 81

55 58

(59) (67)

(62) (449)

164

691

855

100

(637)

100

57

(126)

(511)

FINAL

Table A-17

Existing Child Care Demand and Supply in 2015 in San Carlos

San Mateo County Child Care Study - 2016

Note All footnote references can be found in Table C-1 at the end of this file

Sources 2010 US Census ABAG Projections 2013 2014 American Community Survey ACS Journey-to-Work data 2006-2008 and 2006-2010

Child Care Coordinating Council of San Mateo County (4Cs) Community Care Licensing Brion Economics Inc

Prepared by Brion Economics Inc 2513-SMC NA Final Tables 61216 6122016

SAN MATEO

Child Care as of 2015

No of

Providers

Under 2 Years

Old

2 to 4 Year

Olds

Total 0 to 4

Years

EXISTING DEMAND Child Care Demand

Estimated Total Children

Average LFPRAdjustment Factor

Children With Working Parents

Licensed Care Demand Factor

Resident Children Needing Licensed Care

of Total Resident Children Needing Licensed Care

Children from Non-Resident Employees Needing

Licensed Care

(1)

(2)

(3)

2943 4213

71

2087 3793

37

772 3537

26 84

231 348

7156

5880

73

4309

60

579

Total Demand for Child Care Spaces

Distribution

EXISTING SUPPLY (4)

1003 3886

21 79

Child Care Spaces

4889

100

Family Child Care Home Supply

Child Care Center Supply

Current Child Care Supply

Distribution

EXISTING SURPLUS(SHORTAGE)

Distribution

Percentage of Demand Met

by Existing FacilitiesSpaces

Shortage of Family Child Care Home Spaces

Shortage of Center-Based Spaces

(5)

(6)

(6)

126

59

185

492 619

209 2577

701 3196

18 82

(302) (690)

30 70

70 82

(212) (134)

(90) (557)

1111

2786

3897

100

(992)

100

80

(345)

(647)

FINAL

Table A-18

Existing Child Care Demand and Supply in 2015 in San Mateo

San Mateo County Child Care Study - 2016

Note All footnote references can be found in Table C-1 at the end of this file

Sources 2010 US Census ABAG Projections 2013 2014 American Community Survey ACS Journey-to-Work data 2006-2008 and 2006-2010

Child Care Coordinating Council of San Mateo County (4Cs) Community Care Licensing Brion Economics Inc

Prepared by Brion Economics Inc 2513-SMC NA Final Tables 61216 6122016

SOUTH COAST

Child Care as of 2015

No of

Providers

Under 2 Years

Old

2 to 4 Year

Olds

Total 0 to 4

Years

EXISTING DEMAND Child Care Demand

Estimated Total Children

Average LFPRAdjustment Factor

Children With Working Parents

Licensed Care Demand Factor

Resident Children Needing Licensed Care

of Total Resident Children Needing Licensed Care

Children from Non-Resident Employees Needing

Licensed Care

(1)

(2)

(3)

21 29

54

11 25

37

4 23

20 81

0 0

50

36

77

28

56

0

Total Demand for Child Care Spaces

Distribution

EXISTING SUPPLY (4)

4 23

15 85

Child Care Spaces

28

100

Family Child Care Home Supply

Child Care Center Supply

Current Child Care Supply

Distribution

EXISTING SURPLUS(SHORTAGE)

Distribution

Percentage of Demand Met

by Existing FacilitiesSpaces

Shortage of Family Child Care Home Spaces

Shortage of Center-Based Spaces

(5)

(6)

(6)

-

2

2

- -

- 54

- 54

0 100

(4) 31

-16 116

0 230

(2) NA

(2) NA

0

54

54

100

26

100

195

(2)

(2)

FINAL

Table A-19

Existing Child Care Demand and Supply in 2015 in South Coast

San Mateo County Child Care Study - 2016

Note All footnote references can be found in Table C-1 at the end of this file

Sources 2010 US Census ABAG Projections 2013 2014 American Community Survey ACS Journey-to-Work data 2006-2008 and 2006-2010

Child Care Coordinating Council of San Mateo County (4Cs) Community Care Licensing Brion Economics Inc

Prepared by Brion Economics Inc 2513-SMC NA Final Tables 61216 6122016

SOUTH SAN FRANCISCO

Child Care as of 2015

No of

Providers

Under 2 Years

Old

2 to 4 Year

Olds

Total 0 to 4

Years

EXISTING DEMAND Child Care Demand

Estimated Total Children

Average LFPRAdjustment Factor

Children With Working Parents

Licensed Care Demand Factor

Resident Children Needing Licensed Care

of Total Resident Children Needing Licensed Care

Children from Non-Resident Employees Needing

Licensed Care

(1)

(2)

(3)

1649 2507

73

1206 2278

37

446 2123

27 85

309 466

4156

3484

74

2569

62

774

Total Demand for Child Care Spaces

Distribution

EXISTING SUPPLY (4)

755 2588

23 77

Child Care Spaces

3343

100

Family Child Care Home Supply

Child Care Center Supply

Current Child Care Supply

Distribution

EXISTING SURPLUS(SHORTAGE)

Distribution

Percentage of Demand Met

by Existing FacilitiesSpaces

Shortage of Family Child Care Home Spaces

Shortage of Center-Based Spaces

(5)

(6)

(6)

68

27

95

252 317

400 1966

652 2283

22 78

(103) (306)

25 75

86 88

(40) (42)

(63) (263)

569

2366

2935

100

(408)

100

88

(82)

(326)

FINAL

Table A-20

Existing Child Care Demand and Supply in 2015 in South San Francisco

San Mateo County Child Care Study - 2016

Note All footnote references can be found in Table C-1 at the end of this file Sources 2010 US Census ABAG Projections 2013 2014 American Community Survey ACS Journey-to-Work data 2006-2008 and 2006-2010

Child Care Coordinating Council of San Mateo County (4Cs) Community Care Licensing Brion Economics Inc

Prepared by Brion Economics Inc 2513-SMC NA Final Tables 61216 6122016

WOODSIDE

No of

Providers

Child Care as of 2015

Under 2 Years

Old

2 to 4 Year

Olds

Total 0 to 4

Years

EXISTING DEMAND Child Care Demand

Estimated Total Children

Average LFPRAdjustment Factor

Children With Working Parents

Licensed Care Demand Factor

Resident Children Needing Licensed Care

of Total Resident Children Needing Licensed Care

Children from Non-Resident Employees Needing

Licensed Care

(1)

(2)

(3)

90 160

56

50 136

37

18 128

21 80

8 13

250

186

79

147

59

21

Total Demand for Child Care Spaces

Distribution

EXISTING SUPPLY (4)

27 141

16 84

Child Care Spaces

168

100

Family Child Care Home Supply

Child Care Center Supply

Current Child Care Supply

Distribution

EXISTING SURPLUS(SHORTAGE)

Distribution

Percentage of Demand Met

by Existing FacilitiesSpaces

Shortage of Family Child Care Home Spaces

Shortage of Center-Based Spaces

(5)

(6)

(6)

1

2

3

4 5

0 103

4 108

4 96

(23) (33)

41 59

16 77

(23) (2)

0 (31)

9

103

112

100

(55)

100

67

(24)

(31)

FINAL

Table A-21

Existing Child Care Demand and Supply in 2015 in Woodside

San Mateo County Child Care Study - 2016

Note All footnote references can be found in Table C-1 at the end of this file Sources 2010 US Census ABAG Projections 2013 2014 American Community Survey ACS Journey-to-Work data 2006-2008 and 2006-2010

Child Care Coordinating Council of San Mateo County (4Cs) Community Care Licensing Brion Economics Inc

Prepared by Brion Economics Inc 2513-SMC NA Final Tables 61216 6122016

COUNTYWIDE

Child Care as of 2025

No of

Providers

Under 2 Years

Old

2 to 4 Year

Olds

Total 0 to 4

Years

EXISTING DEMAND Child Care Demand

Estimated Total Children

Average LFPRAdjustment Factor

Children With Working Parents

Licensed Care Demand Factor

Resident Children Needing Licensed Care

of Total Resident Children Needing Licensed Care

Children from Non-Resident Employees Needing

Licensed Care

Total Demand for Child Care Spaces

Distribution

EXISTING SUPPLY

(1)

(2)

(3)

(4)

20790 31340

71

14704 28273

37

5441 26432

26 84

2037 3074

7478 29506

20 80

Child Care Spaces

52130

42978

86

31873

61

5112

36984

100

Family Child Care Home Supply

Child Care Center Supply

Current Child Care Supply

Distribution

EXISTING SURPLUS(SHORTAGE)

Distribution

Percentage of Demand Met

by Existing FacilitiesSpaces

Shortage of Family Child Care Home Spaces

Shortage of Center-Based Spaces

(5)

(6)

(6)

621

309

930

2301 2893

1514 16296

3815 19189

17 83

(3663) (10318)

26 74

51 65

(2209) (1555)

(1454) (8762)

5193

17810

23003

100

(13981)

100

62

(3765)

(10216)

FINAL

Table B-1

Future C hild Care Demand and Supply in 2025 Countywide

San Mateo County Child Care Study - 2016

Note All footnote references can be found in Table C-1 at the end of this file

Sources 2010 US Census ABAG Projections 2013 2014 American Community Survey ACS Journey-to-Work data 2006-2008 and 2006-2010

Child Care Coordinating Council of San Mateo County (4Cs) Community Care Licensing Brion Economics Inc

Prepared by Brion Economics Inc 2513-SMC NA Final Tables 61216 6122016

ATHERTON

No of

Providers

Child Care as of 2025

Under 2 Years

Old

2 to 4 Year

Olds

Total 0 to 4

Years

EXISTING DEMAND Child Care Demand

Estimated Total Children

Average LFPRAdjustment Factor

Children With Working Parents

Licensed Care Demand Factor

Resident Children Needing Licensed Care

of Total Resident Children Needing Licensed Care

Children from Non-Resident Employees Needing

Licensed Care

(1)

(2)

(3)

109 193

40

43 159

37

16 154

15 80

13 19

302

202

84

170

56

32

Total Demand for Child Care Spaces

Distribution

EXISTING SUPPLY (4)

29 173

14 86

Child Care Spaces

201

100

Family Child Care Home Supply

Child Care Center Supply

Current Child Care Supply

Distribution

EXISTING SURPLUS(SHORTAGE)

Distribution

Percentage of Demand Met

by Existing FacilitiesSpaces

Shortage of Family Child Care Home Spaces

Shortage of Center-Based Spaces

(5)

(6)

(6)

1

6

7

5 6

24 267

29 273

10 90

0 101

0 100

101 158

NA NA

NA NA

11

291

302

100

101

100

150

NA

NA

FINAL

Table B-2

Future Child Care Demand and Supply in 2025 in Atherton

San Mateo Co unty Child Care Study - 2016

Note All footnote references can be found in Table C-1 at the end of this file Sources 2010 US Census ABAG Projections 2013 2014 American Community Survey ACS Journey-to-Work data 2006-2008 and 2006-2010

Child Care Coordinating Council of San Mateo County (4Cs) Community Care Licensing Brion Economics Inc

Prepared by Brion Economics Inc 2513-SMC NA Final Tables 61216 6122016

BELMONT

Child Care as of 2025

No of

Providers

Under 2 Years

Old

2 to 4 Year

Olds

Total 0 to 4

Years

EXISTING DEMAND Child Care Demand

Estimated Total Children

Average LFPRAdjustment Factor

Children With Working Parents

Licensed Care Demand Factor

Resident Children Needing Licensed Care

of Total Resident Children Needing Licensed Care

Children from Non-Resident Employees Needing

Licensed Care

(1)

(2)

(3)

743 1095

77

574 1013

37

213 943

29 86

37 56

1838

1587

73

1156

63

93

Total Demand for Child Care Spaces

Distribution

EXISTING SUPPLY (4)

250 999

20 80

Child Care Spaces

1249

100

Family Child Care Home Supply

Child Care Center Supply

Current Child Care Supply

Distribution

EXISTING SURPLUS(SHORTAGE)

Distribution

Percentage of Demand Met

by Existing FacilitiesSpaces

Shortage of Family Child Care Home Spaces

Shortage of Center-Based Spaces

(5)

(6)

(6)

8

9

17

67 84

39 531

106 615

15 85

(143) (384)

27 73

43 62

(91) (53)

(53) (331)

152

570

722

100

(527)

100

58

(143)

(384)

FINAL

Table B-3

Future Child Care Demand and Supply in 2025 in Belmont

San Mateo County Child Care Study - 2016

Note All footnote references can be found in Table C-1 at the end of this file

Sources 2010 US Census ABAG Projections 2013 2014 American Community Survey ACS Journey-to-Work data 2006-2008 and 2006-2010

Child Care Coordinating Council of San Mateo County (4Cs) Community Care Licensing Brion Economics Inc

Prepared by Brion Economics Inc 2513-SMC NA Final Tables 61216 6122016

BRISBANE

Child Care as of 2025

No of

Providers

Under 2 Years

Old

2 to 4 Year

Olds

Total 0 to 4

Years

EXISTING DEMAND Child Care Demand

Estimated Total Children

Average LFPRAdjustment Factor

Children With Working Parents

Licensed Care Demand Factor

Resident Children Needing Licensed Care

of Total Resident Children Needing Licensed Care

Children from Non-Resident Employees Needing

Licensed Care

(1)

(2)

(3)

131 174

100

131 174

37

48 160

37 92

55 83

305

305

68

209

68

138

Total Demand for Child Care Spaces

Distribution

EXISTING SUPPLY (4)

103 243

30 70

Child Care Spaces

346

100

Family Child Care Home Supply

Child Care Center Supply

Current Child Care Supply

Distribution

EXISTING SURPLUS(SHORTAGE)

Distribution

Percentage of Demand Met

by Existing FacilitiesSpaces

Shortage of Family Child Care Home Spaces

Shortage of Center-Based Spaces

(5)

(6)

(6)

1

1

2

4 5

0 64

4 69

6 94

(99) (174)

36 64

4 29

(99) (13)

0 (160)

9

64

73

100

(273)

100

21

(112)

(160)

FINAL

Table B-4

Future Child Care Demand and Supply in 2025 in Brisbane

San Mateo County Child Care Study - 2016

Note All footnote references can be found in Table C-1 at the end of this file Sources 2010 US Census ABAG Projections 2013 2014 American Community Survey ACS Journey-to-Work data 2006-2008 and 2006-2010

Child Care Coordinating Council of San Mateo County (4Cs) Community Care Licensing Brion Economics Inc

Prepared by Brion Economics Inc 2513-SMC NA Final Tables 61216 6122016

BURLINGAME

Child Care as of 2025

No of

Providers

Under 2 Years

Old

2 to 4 Year

Olds

Total 0 to 4

Years

EXISTING DEMAND Child Care Demand

Estimated Total Children

Average LFPRAdjustment Factor

Children With Working Parents

Licensed Care Demand Factor

Resident Children Needing Licensed Care

of Total Resident Children Needing Licensed Care

Children from Non-Resident Employees Needing

Licensed Care

(1)

(2)

(3)

903 1332

65

587 1190

37

217 1124

24 84

154 232

2235

1777

75

1341

60

385

Total Demand for Child Care Spaces

Distribution

EXISTING SUPPLY (4)

371 1356

21 79

Child Care Spaces

1726

100

Family Child Care Home Supply

Child Care Center Supply

Current Child Care Supply

Distribution

EXISTING SURPLUS(SHORTAGE)

Distribution

Percentage of Demand Met

by Existing FacilitiesSpaces

Shortage of Family Child Care Home Spaces

Shortage of Center-Based Spaces

(5)

(6)

(6)

10

14

24

79 99

40 866

119 965

11 89

(252) (390)

39 61

32 71

(167) (40)

(85) (350)

179

906

1085

100

(642)

100

63

(207)

(434)

FINAL

Table B-5

Future Child Care Demand and Supply in 2025 in Burlingame

San Mateo County Child Care Study - 2016

Note All footnote references can be found in Table C-1 at the end of this file

Sources 2010 US Census ABAG Projections 2013 2014 American Community Survey ACS Journey-to-Work data 2006-2008 and 2006-2010

Child Care Coordinating Council of San Mateo County (4Cs) Community Care Licensing Brion Economics Inc

Prepared by Brion Economics Inc 2513-SMC NA Final Tables 61216 6122016

DALY CITYCOLMA

Child Care as of 2025

No of

Providers

Under 2 Years

Old

2 to 4 Year

Olds

Total 0 to 4

Years

EXISTING DEMAND Child Care Demand

Estimated Total Children

Average LFPRAdjustment Factor

Children With Working Parents

Licensed Care Demand Factor

Resident Children Needing Licensed Care

of Total Resident Children Needing Licensed Care

Children from Non-Resident Employees Needing

Licensed Care

(1)

(2)

(3)

2647 3793

74

1964 3467

37

727 3233

27 85

138 208

6440

5432

73

3960

61

346

Total Demand for Child Care Spaces

Distribution

EXISTING SUPPLY (4)

865 3441

20 80

Child Care Spaces

4306

100

Family Child Care Home Supply

Child Care Center Supply

Current Child Care Supply

Distribution

EXISTING SURPLUS(SHORTAGE)

Distribution

Percentage of Demand Met

by Existing FacilitiesSpaces

Shortage of Family Child Care Home Spaces

Shortage of Center-Based Spaces

(5)

(6)

(6)

25

28

28

288 362

84 1264

372 1626

19 81

(493) (1816)

21 79

43 47

(381) (404)

(111) (1412)

649

1348

1997

100

(2308)

100

46

(785)

(1523)

FINAL

Table B-6

Future C hild Care Demand and Supply in 2025 in Daly CityColma

San Mateo County Child Care Study - 2016

Note All footnote references can be found in Table C-1 at the end of this file

Sources 2010 US Census ABAG Projections 2013 2014 American Community Survey ACS Journey-to-Work data 2006-2008 and 2006-2010

Child Care Coordinating Council of San Mateo County (4Cs) Community Care Licensing Brion Economics Inc

Prepared by Brion Economics Inc 2513-SMC NA Final Tables 61216 6122016

EAST PALO ALTO

Child Care as of 2025

No of

Providers

Under 2 Years

Old

2 to 4 Year

Olds

Total 0 to 4

Years

EXISTING DEMAND Child Care Demand

Estimated Total Children

Average LFPRAdjustment Factor

Children With Working Parents

Licensed Care Demand Factor

Resident Children Needing Licensed Care

of Total Resident Children Needing Licensed Care

Children from Non-Resident Employees Needing

Licensed Care

(1)

(2)

(3)

1161 1849

71

822 1660

37

304 1545

26 84

20 30

3010

2482

75

1849

61

50

Total Demand for Child Care Spaces

Distribution

EXISTING SUPPLY (4)

324 1575

17 83

Child Care Spaces

1900

100

Family Child Care Home Supply

Child Care Center Supply

Current Child Care Supply

Distribution

EXISTING SURPLUS(SHORTAGE)

Distribution

Percentage of Demand Met

by Existing FacilitiesSpaces

Shortage of Family Child Care Home Spaces

Shortage of Center-Based Spaces

(5)

(6)

(6)

13

6

19

85 106

25 633

110 739

13 87

(215) (836)

20 80

34 47

(166) (120)

(49) (715)

191

658

849

100

(1050)

100

45

(286)

(764)

FINAL

Table B-7

Future Child Care Demand and Supply in 2025 in East Palo Alto

San Mateo County Child Care Study - 2016

Note All footnote references can be found in Table C-1 at the end of this file

Sources 2010 US Census ABAG Projections 2013 2014 American Community Survey ACS Journey-to-Work data 2006-2008 and 2006-2010

Child Care Coordinating Council of San Mateo County (4Cs) Community Care Licensing Brion Economics Inc

Prepared by Brion Economics Inc 2513-SMC NA Final Tables 61216 6122016

FOSTER CITY

Child Care as of 2025

No of

Providers

Under 2 Years

Old

2 to 4 Year

Olds

Total 0 to 4

Years

EXISTING DEMAND Child Care Demand

Estimated Total Children

Average LFPRAdjustment Factor

Children With Working Parents

Licensed Care Demand Factor

Resident Children Needing Licensed Care

of Total Resident Children Needing Licensed Care

Children from Non-Resident Employees Needing

Licensed Care

(1)

(2)

(3)

871 1330

63

550 1154

37

204 1079

23 81

80 120

2201

1705

75

1282

58

200

Total Demand for Child Care Spaces

Distribution

EXISTING SUPPLY (4)

283 1199

19 81

Child Care Spaces

1483

100

Family Child Care Home Supply

Child Care Center Supply

Current Child Care Supply

Distribution

EXISTING SURPLUS(SHORTAGE)

Distribution

Percentage of Demand Met

by Existing FacilitiesSpaces

Shortage of Family Child Care Home Spaces

Shortage of Center-Based Spaces

(5)

(6)

(6)

19

12

31

118 149

88 1200

206 1349

13 87

(77) 150

-106 206

73 112

(44) NA

(33) NA

267

1288

1555

100

73

100

105

(44)

(33)

FINAL

Table B-8

Future Child Care Demand and Supply in 2025 in Foster City

San Mateo County Child Care Study - 2016

Note All footnote references can be found in Table C-1 at the end of this file

Sources 2010 US Census ABAG Projections 2013 2014 American Community Survey ACS Journey-to-Work data 2006-2008 and 2006-2010

Child Care Coordinating Council of San Mateo County (4Cs) Community Care Licensing Brion Economics Inc

Prepared by Brion Economics Inc 2513-SMC NA Final Tables 61216 6122016

HALF MOON BAY REGION

Child Care as of 2025

No of

Providers

Under 2 Years

Old

2 to 4 Year

Olds

Total 0 to 4

Years

EXISTING DEMAND Child Care Demand

Estimated Total Children

Average LFPRAdjustment Factor

Children With Working Parents

Licensed Care Demand Factor

Resident Children Needing Licensed Care

of Total Resident Children Needing Licensed Care

Children from Non-Resident Employees Needing

Licensed Care

(1)

(2)

(3)

553 929

69

383 835

37

142 781

26 84

14 21

1482

1217

76

923

62

34

Total Demand for Child Care Spaces

Distribution

EXISTING SUPPLY (4)

155 802

16 84

Child Care Spaces

957

100

Family Child Care Home Supply

Child Care Center Supply

Current Child Care Supply

Distribution

EXISTING SURPLUS(SHORTAGE)

Distribution

Percentage of Demand Met

by Existing FacilitiesSpaces

Shortage of Family Child Care Home Spaces

Shortage of Center-Based Spaces

(5)

(6)

(6)

10

11

21

96 121

35 285

131 406

24 76

(24) (396)

6 94

84 51

(18) (118)

(6) (279)

216

320

536

100

(421)

100

56

(136)

(285)

FINAL

Table B-9

Future Child Care Demand and Supply in 2025 in Half Moon Bay Region

San Mateo County Child Care Study - 2016

Note All footnote references can be found in Table C-1 at the end of this file

Sources 2010 US Census ABAG Projections 2013 2014 American Community Survey ACS Journey-to-Work data 2006-2008 and 2006-2010

Child Care Coordinating Council of San Mateo County (4Cs) Community Care Licensing Brion Economics Inc

Prepared by Brion Economics Inc 2513-SMC NA Final Tables 61216 6122016

HILLSBOROUGH

Child Care as of 2025

No of

Providers

Under 2 Years

Old

2 to 4 Year

Olds

Total 0 to 4

Years

EXISTING DEMAND Child Care Demand

Estimated Total Children

Average LFPRAdjustment Factor

Children With Working Parents

Licensed Care Demand Factor

Resident Children Needing Licensed Care

of Total Resident Children Needing Licensed Care

Children from Non-Resident Employees Needing

Licensed Care

(1)

(2)

(3)

143 343

52

74 295

37

27 282

19 82

7 11

487

369

84

309

64

17

Total Demand for Child Care Spaces

Distribution

EXISTING SUPPLY (4)

34 292

10 90

Child Care Spaces

327

100

Family Child Care Home Supply

Child Care Center Supply

Current Child Care Supply

Distribution

EXISTING SURPLUS(SHORTAGE)

Distribution

Percentage of Demand Met

by Existing FacilitiesSpaces

Shortage of Family Child Care Home Spaces

Shortage of Center-Based Spaces

(5)

(6)

(6)

1

4

5

5 6

- 91

5 97

5 95

(29) (195)

13 87

14 33

(29) (12)

0 (183)

11

91

102

100

(225)

100

31

(42)

(183)

FINAL

Table B-10

Future Child Care Demand and Supply in 2025 in Hillsborough

San Mateo County Child Care Study - 2016

Note All footnote references can be found in Table C-1 at the end of this file

Sources 2010 US Census ABAG Projections 2013 2014 American Community Survey ACS Journey-to-Work data 2006-2008 and 2006-2010

Child Care Coordinating Council of San Mateo County (4Cs) Community Care Licensing Brion Economics Inc

Prepared by Brion Economics Inc 2513-SMC NA Final Tables 61216 6122016

MENLO PARK

Child Care as of 2025

No of

Providers

Under 2 Years

Old

2 to 4 Year

Olds

Total 0 to 4

Years

EXISTING DEMAND Child Care Demand

Estimated Total Children

Average LFPRAdjustment Factor

Children With Working Parents

Licensed Care Demand Factor

Resident Children Needing Licensed Care

of Total Resident Children Needing Licensed Care

Children from Non-Resident Employees Needing

Licensed Care

(1)

(2)

(3)

1327 1954

69

909 1759

37

336 1653

25 85

237 357

3281

2668

75

1989

61

594

Total Demand for Child Care Spaces

Distribution

EXISTING SUPPLY (4)

573 2011

22 78

Child Care Spaces

2584

100

Family Child Care Home Supply

Child Care Center Supply

Current Child Care Supply

Distribution

EXISTING SURPLUS(SHORTAGE)

Distribution

Percentage of Demand Met

by Existing FacilitiesSpaces

Shortage of Family Child Care Home Spaces

Shortage of Center-Based Spaces

(5)

(6)

(6)

15

25

40

76 96

73 1331

149 1427

9 91

(424) (584)

42 58

26 71

(217) (39)

(207) (544)

172

1404

1576

100

(1008)

100

61

(256)

(752)

FINAL

Table B-11

Future Child Care Demand and Supply in 2025 in Menlo Park

San Mateo County Child Care Study - 2016

Note All footnote references can be found in Table C-1 at the end of this file

Sources 2010 US Census ABAG Projections 2013 2014 American Community Survey ACS Journey-to-Work data 2006-2008 and 2006-2010

Child Care Coordinating Council of San Mateo County (4Cs) Community Care Licensing Brion Economics Inc

Prepared by Brion Economics Inc 2513-SMC NA Final Tables 61216 6122016

MILLBRAE

Child Care as of 2025

No of

Providers

Under 2 Years

Old

2 to 4 Year

Olds

Total 0 to 4

Years

EXISTING DEMAND Child Care Demand

Estimated Total Children

Average LFPRAdjustment Factor

Children With Working Parents

Licensed Care Demand Factor

Resident Children Needing Licensed Care

of Total Resident Children Needing Licensed Care

Children from Non-Resident Employees Needing

Licensed Care

(1)

(2)

(3)

473 805

62

291 710

37

108 672

23 83

31 47

1278

1001

78

780

61

77

Total Demand for Child Care Spaces

Distribution

EXISTING SUPPLY (4)

139 718

16 84

Child Care Spaces

857

100

Family Child Care Home Supply

Child Care Center Supply

Current Child Care Supply

Distribution

EXISTING SURPLUS(SHORTAGE)

Distribution

Percentage of Demand Met

by Existing FacilitiesSpaces

Shortage of Family Child Care Home Spaces

Shortage of Center-Based Spaces

(5)

(6)

(6)

7

7

14

62 78

- 376

62 454

12 88

(76) (264)

22 78

45 63

(76) (46)

0 (219)

141

376

517

100

(340)

100

60

(122)

(219)

FINAL

Table B-12

Future C hild Care Demand and Supply in 2025 in Millbrae

San Mateo County Child Care Study - 2016

Note All footnote references can be found in Table C-1 at the end of this file

Sources 2010 US Census ABAG Projections 2013 2014 American Community Survey ACS Journey-to-Work data 2006-2008 and 2006-2010

Child Care Coordinating Council of San Mateo County (4Cs) Community Care Licensing Brion Economics Inc

Prepared by Brion Economics Inc 2513-SMC NA Final Tables 61216 6122016

FINAL

Table B-13

Future Child Care Demand and Supply in 2025 in Pacifica

San Mateo County Child Care Study - 2016

PACIFICA

Child Care as of 2025

No of

Providers

Under 2 Years

Old

2 to 4 Year

Olds

Total 0 to 4

Years

EXISTING DEMAND Child Care Demand

Estimated Total Children

Average L FPRAdjustment Factor

Children With Working Parents

Licensed Care Demand Factor

Resident Children Needing Licensed Care

of Total Resident Children Needing Licensed Care

Children from Non-Resident Employees Needing

Licensed Care

(1)

(2)

(3)

816 1300

78

633 1209

37

234 1130

29 87

19 29

2116

1842

74

1364

64

48

Total Demand for Child Care Spaces

Distribution

EXISTING SUPPLY (4)

254 1159

18 82

Child Care Spaces

1413

100

Family Child Care Home Supply

Child Care Center Supply

Current Child Care Supply

Distribution

EXISTING SURPLUS(SHORTAGE)

Distribution

Percentage of Demand Met

by Existing FacilitiesSpaces

Shortage of Family Child Care Home Spaces

Shortage of Center-Based Spaces

(5)

(6)

(6)

9

18

27

77 97

39 701

116 798

13 87

(138) (361)

28 72

46 69

(91) (44)

(46) (317)

174

740

914

100

(499)

100

65

(135)

(364)

Note All footnote references can be found in Table C-1 at the end of this file

Sources 2010 US Census ABAG Projections 2013 2014 American Community Survey ACS Journey-to-Work data 2006-2008 and 2006-2010

Child Care Coordinating Council of San Mateo County (4Cs) Community Care Licensing Brion Economics Inc

Prepared by Brion Economics Inc 2513-SMC NA Final Tables 61216 6122016

PORTOLA VALLEY

Child Care as of 2025

No of

Providers

Under 2 Years

Old

2 to 4 Year

Olds

Total 0 to 4

Years

EXISTING DEMAND Child Care Demand

Estimated Total Children

Average LFPRAdjustment Factor

Children With Working Parents

Licensed Care Demand Factor

Resident Children Needing Licensed Care

of Total Resident Children Needing Licensed Care

Children from Non-Resident Employees Needing

Licensed Care

(1)

(2)

(3)

77 192

66

51 173

37

19 164

24 85

9 13

269

224

82

182

68

22

Total Demand for Child Care Spaces

Distribution

EXISTING SUPPLY (4)

28 177

13 87

Child Care Spaces

204

100

Family Child Care Home Supply

Child Care Center Supply

Current Child Care Supply

Distribution

EXISTING SURPLUS(SHORTAGE)

Distribution

Percentage of Demand Met

by Existing FacilitiesSpaces

Shortage of Family Child Care Home Spaces

Shortage of Center-Based Spaces

(5)

(6)

(6)

0

4

4

- -

- 153

- 153

0 100

(28) (24)

54 46

0 87

0 0

(28) (24)

0

153

153

100

(51)

100

75

0

(51)

FINAL

Table B-14

Future Child Care Demand and Supply in 2025 in Portola Valley

San Mateo County Child Care Study - 2016

Note All footnote references can be found in Table C-1 at the end of this file

Sources 2010 US Census ABAG Projections 2013 2014 American Community Survey ACS Journey-to-Work data 2006-2008 and 2006-2010

Child Care Coordinating Council of San Mateo County (4Cs) Community Care Licensing Brion Economics Inc

Prepared by Brion Economics Inc 2513-SMC NA Final Tables 61216 6122016

REDWOOD CITY

No of

Providers

Child Care as of 2025

Under 2 Years

Old

2 to 4 Year

Olds

Total 0 to 4

Years

EXISTING DEMAND Child Care Demand

Estimated Total Children

Average LFPRAdjustment Factor

Children With Working Parents

Licensed Care Demand Factor

Resident Children Needing Licensed Care

of Total Resident Children Needing Licensed Care

Children from Non-Resident Employees Needing

Licensed Care

Total Demand for Child Care Spaces

Distribution

EXISTING SUPPLY

(1)

(2)

(3)

(4)

3725 5378

69

2555 4813

37

946 4505

25 84

466 703

1411 5208

21 79

Child Care Spaces

9103

7368

74

5450

60

1169

6619

100

Family Child Care Home Supply

Child Care Center Supply

Current Child Care Supply

Distribution

EXISTING SURPLUS(SHORTAGE)

Distribution

Percentage of Demand Met

by Existing FacilitiesSpaces

Shortage of Family Child Care Home Spaces

Shortage of Center-Based Spaces

(5)

(6)

(6)

42

41

83

396 497

356 2036

752 2533

23 77

(660) (2674)

20 80

53 49

(347) (525)

(313) (2149)

893

2392

3285

100

(3334)

100

50

(872)

(2462)

FINAL

Table B-15

Future Child Care Demand and Supply in 2025 in Redwood City

San Mateo County Child Care Study - 2016

Note All footnote references can be found in Table C-1 at the end of this file

Sources 2010 US Census ABAG Projections 2013 2014 American Community Survey ACS Journey-to-Work data 2006-2008 and 2006-2010

Child Care Coordinating Council of San Mateo County (4Cs) Community Care Licensing Brion Economics Inc

Prepared by Brion Economics Inc 2513-SMC NA Final Tables 61216 6122016

SAN BRUNO

Child Care as of 2025

No of

Providers

Under 2 Years

Old

2 to 4 Year

Olds

Total 0 to 4

Years

EXISTING DEMAND Child Care Demand

Estimated Total Children

Average LFPRAdjustment Factor

Children With Working Parents

Licensed Care Demand Factor

Resident Children Needing Licensed Care

of Total Resident Children Needing Licensed Care

Children from Non-Resident Employees Needing

Licensed Care

(1)

(2)

(3)

1189 1728

77

910 1589

37

337 1475

28 85

68 103

2917

2498

73

1812

62

171

Total Demand for Child Care Spaces

Distribution

EXISTING SUPPLY (4)

405 1578

20 80

Child Care Spaces

1983

100

Family Child Care Home Supply

Child Care Center Supply

Current Child Care Supply

Distribution

EXISTING SURPLUS(SHORTAGE)

Distribution

Percentage of Demand Met

by Existing FacilitiesSpaces

Shortage of Family Child Care Home Spaces

Shortage of Center-Based Spaces

(5)

(6)

(6)

13

15

28

122 153

26 1183

148 1336

10 90

(257) (242)

52 48

37 85

(212) (28)

(45) (214)

275

1209

1484

100

(499)

100

75

(239)

(259)

FINAL

Table B-16

Future C hild Care Demand and Supply in 2025 in San Bruno

San Mateo County Child Care Study - 2016

Note All footnote references can be found in Table C-1 at the end of this file

Sources 2010 US Census ABAG Projections 2013 2014 American Community Survey ACS Journey-to-Work data 2006-2008 and 2006-2010

Child Care Coordinating Council of San Mateo County (4Cs) Community Care Licensing Brion Economics Inc

Prepared by Brion Economics Inc 2513-SMC NA Final Tables 61216 6122016

SAN CARLOS

Child Care as of 2025

No of

Providers

Under 2 Years

Old

2 to 4 Year

Olds

Total 0 to 4

Years

EXISTING DEMAND Child Care Demand

Estimated Total Children

Average LFPRAdjustment Factor

Children With Working Parents

Licensed Care Demand Factor

Resident Children Needing Licensed Care

of Total Resident Children Needing Licensed Care

Children from Non-Resident Employees Needing

Licensed Care

(1)

(2)

(3)

778 1384

72

557 1255

37

206 1174

26 85

82 123

2162

1812

76

1380

64

205

Total Demand for Child Care Spaces

Distribution

EXISTING SUPPLY (4)

288 1297

18 82

Child Care Spaces

1585

100

Family Child Care Home Supply

Child Care Center Supply

Current Child Care Supply

Distribution

EXISTING SURPLUS(SHORTAGE)

Distribution

Percentage of Demand Met

by Existing FacilitiesSpaces

Shortage of Family Child Care Home Spaces

Shortage of Center-Based Spaces

(5)

(6)

(6)

28

14

42

73 92

76 615

149 707

17 83

(139) (590)

19 81

52 54

(68) (76)

(71) (514)

164

691

855

100

(729)

100

54

(145)

(585)

FINAL

Table B-17

Future Child Care Demand and Supply in 2025 in San Carlos

San Mateo County Child Care Study - 2016

Note All footnote references can be found in Table C-1 at the end of this file

Sources 2010 US Census ABAG Projections 2013 2014 American Community Survey ACS Journey-to-Work data 2006-2008 and 2006-2010

Child Care Coordinating Council of San Mateo County (4Cs) Community Care Licensing Brion Economics Inc

Prepared by Brion Economics Inc 2513-SMC NA Final Tables 61216 6122016

SAN MATEO

Child Care as of 2025

No of

Providers

Under 2 Years

Old

2 to 4 Year

Olds

Total 0 to 4

Years

EXISTING DEMAND Child Care Demand

Estimated Total Children

Average LFPRAdjustment Factor

Children With Working Parents

Licensed Care Demand Factor

Resident Children Needing Licensed Care

of Total Resident Children Needing Licensed Care

Children from Non-Resident Employees Needing

Licensed Care

(1)

(2)

(3)

3194 4572

71

2264 4116

37

838 3839

26 84

261 394

7766

6381

73

4677

60

656

Total Demand for Child Care Spaces

Distribution

EXISTING SUPPLY (4)

1099 4233

21 79

Child Care Spaces

5332

100

Family Child Care Home Supply

Child Care Center Supply

Current Child Care Supply

Distribution

EXISTING SURPLUS(SHORTAGE)

Distribution

Percentage of Demand Met

by Existing FacilitiesSpaces

Shortage of Family Child Care Home Spaces

Shortage of Center-Based Spaces

(5)

(6)

(6)

69

59

128

492 619

209 2577

701 3196

18 82

(398) (1037)

28 72

64 75

(279) (201)

(119) (837)

1111

2786

3897

100

(1435)

100

73

(480)

(955)

FINAL

Table B-18

Future Child Care Demand and Supply in 2025 in San Mateo

San Mateo County Child Care Study - 2016

Note All footnote references can be found in Table C-1 at the end of this file

Sources 2010 US Census ABAG Projections 2013 2014 American Community Survey ACS Journey-to-Work data 2006-2008 and 2006-2010

Child Care Coordinating Council of San Mateo County (4Cs) Community Care Licensing Brion Economics Inc

Prepared by Brion Economics Inc 2513-SMC NA Final Tables 61216 6122016

FINAL

Table B-19

Future Child Care Demand and Supply in 2025 in South Coast

San Mateo County Child Care Study - 2016

SOUTH COAST

Child Care as of 2025

No of

Providers

Under 2 Years

Old

2 to 4 Year

Olds

Total 0 to 4

Years

EXISTING DEMAND Child Care Demand

Estimated Total Children (1) 23 32 55

Average LFPRAdjustment Factor (2) 54

Children With Working Parents 12 27 40

Licensed Care Demand Factor (3) 37 77

Resident Children Needing Licensed Care 5 26 30

of Total Resident Children Needing Licensed Care 20 81 56

Children from Non-Resident Employees Needing

Licensed Care 0 0 0

Total Demand for Child Care Spaces 5 26 30

Distribution 15 85 100

EXISTING SUPPLY (4) Child Care Spaces

Family Child Care Home Supply - 0 0 0

Child Care Center Supply 2 0 54 54

Current Child Care Supply 2 - 54 54

Distribution 0 100 100

EXISTING SURPLUS(SHORTAGE) (5) 28 24

Distribution -19 119 100

Percentage of Demand Met

by Existing FacilitiesSpaces (5) 0 209 177

Shortage of Family Child Care Home Spaces (6) 0 NA 0

Shortage of Center-Based Spaces (6) (5) NA (5)

Note All footnote references can be found in Table C-1 at the end of this file

Sources 2010 US Census ABAG Projections 2013 2014 American Community Survey ACS Journey-to-Work data 2006-2008 and 2006-2010

Child Care Coordinating Council of San Mateo County (4Cs) Community Care Licensing Brion Economics Inc

Prepared by Brion Economics Inc 2513-SMC NA Final Tables 61216 6122016

SOUTH SAN FRANCISCO

Child Care as of 2025

No of

Providers

Under 2 Years

Old

2 to 4 Year

Olds

Total 0 to 4

Years

EXISTING DEMAND Child Care Demand

Estimated Total Children

Average LFPRAdjustment Factor

Children With Working Parents

Licensed Care Demand Factor

Resident Children Needing Licensed Care

of Total Resident Children Needing Licensed Care

Children from Non-Resident Employees Needing

Licensed Care

(1)

(2)

(3)

1835 2790

73

1342 2535

37

496 2362

27 85

339 512

4625

3877

74

2859

62

851

Total Demand for Child Care Spaces

Distribution

EXISTING SUPPLY (4)

835 2874

23 77

Child Care Spaces

3709

100

Family Child Care Home Supply

Child Care Center Supply

Current Child Care Supply

Distribution

EXISTING SURPLUS(SHORTAGE)

Distribution

Percentage of Demand Met

by Existing FacilitiesSpaces

Shortage of Family Child Care Home Spaces

Shortage of Center-Based Spaces

(5)

(6)

(6)

30

27

57

252 317

400 1966

652 2283

22 78

(183) (591)

24 76

78 79

(71) (82)

(113) (509)

569

2366

2935

100

(775)

100

79

(153)

(622)

FINAL

Table B-20

Future Child Care Demand and Supply in 2025 in South San Francisco

San Mateo County Child Care Study - 2016

Note All footnote references can be found in Table C-1 at the end of this file

Sources 2010 US Census ABAG Projections 2013 2014 American Community Survey ACS Journey-to-Work data 2006-2008 and 2006-2010

Child Care Coordinating Council of San Mateo County (4Cs) Community Care Licensing Brion Economics Inc

Prepared by Brion Economics Inc 2513-SMC NA Final Tables 61216 6122016

WOODSIDE

No of

Providers

Child Care as of 2025

Under 2 Years

Old

2 to 4 Year

Olds

Total 0 to 4

Years

EXISTING DEMAND Child Care Demand

Estimated Total Children

Average LFPRAdjustment Factor

Children With Working Parents

Licensed Care Demand Factor

Resident Children Needing Licensed Care

of Total Resident Children Needing Licensed Care

Children from Non-Resident Employees Needing

Licensed Care

(1)

(2)

(3)

93 165

56

51 140

37

19 132

21 80

9 13

258

192

79

152

59

22

Total Demand for Child Care Spaces

Distribution

EXISTING SUPPLY (4)

28 146

16 84

Child Care Spaces

174

100

Family Child Care Home Supply

Child Care Center Supply

Current Child Care Supply

Distribution

EXISTING SURPLUS(SHORTAGE)

Distribution

Percentage of Demand Met

by Existing FacilitiesSpaces

Shortage of Family Child Care Home Spaces

Shortage of Center-Based Spaces

(5)

(6)

(6)

1

2

3

4 5

- 103

4 108

4 96

(24) (38)

39 61

15 74

(24) (2)

0 (36)

9

103

112

100

(61)

100

65

(26)

(36)

FINAL

Table B-21

Future Child Care Demand and Supply in 2025 in Woodside

San Mateo County Child Care Study - 2016

Note All footnote references can be found in Table C-1 at the end of this file

Sources 2010 US Census ABAG Projections 2013 2014 American Community Survey ACS Journey-to-Work data 2006-2008 and 2006-2010

Child Care Coordinating Council of San Mateo County (4Cs) Community Care Licensing Brion Economics Inc

Prepared by Brion Economics Inc 2513-SMC NA Final Tables 61216 6122016

FINAL

Table C-1

Endnotes for Tables

San Mateo County Child Care Study - 2016

(1) Population by age is based on the percentage breakdown from the 2010 US Census and applied

to population estimates for 2015 using ABAGs Projections 2013 population data The ABAG data

for each area includes its Sphere of Influence and is not based on strict jurisdictional boundaries

(2) Labor force participation rates are from the 5-Year American Community Survey 2014 and include

children under six years old with two working parents or a single working parent For the 2- to 4-year

olds the labor force participation rate is applied to 2 year olds For 3- and 4-year olds it is assumed

that 100 need licensed care to support preschool for every child so the number of

3- and 4-year olds is not discounted by labor force participation rates

(3) Not all children with working parents are assumed to need licensed care percentage assumptions are

used to calculate the number of children requiring licensed care under each age category The

remaining children are assumed to be cared for in alternate arrangements such as by family members

nannies friends and other unlicensed care For children ages 3- and 4-years old it is assumed that

they all need care in the form of preschool

(4) Data on child care supply provided by the Child Care Coordinating Council of San Mateo County (4Cs)

and Community Care Licensing Division of the California Department of Social Services (CCLD) Data is

for June 2015

(5) Demand that calculates as less than 100 means that there is greater demand than supply percent of

demand that is over 100 means supply exceeds demand

(6) Unmet demand is broken down into shortage by type of care based on the proportion of FCCHs and

child care centers spaces available in each area If an area does not have any FCCHs or centers the

unmet demand is placed in the type of care that is available in the area (eg if there are only centers

all demand goes to centers)

Source Brion Economics Inc

Prepared by Brion Economics Inc 2513-SMC NA Final Tables 61216 6122016

DRAFT REPORT

Table C-2

Labor Force Participation Rates by CityArea

San Mateo County Child Care Study - 2016

CityArea

Labor Force

Participation Rate (1)

Atherton

Belmont

Brisbane

Burlingame

Daly CityColma

East Palo Alto

Foster City

Half Moon Bay Region

Hillsborough

Menlo Park

Millbrae

Pacifica

Portola Valley

Redwood City

San Bruno

San Carlos

San Mateo

South Coast

South San Francisco

Woodside

40

77

100

65

74

71

63

69

52

69

62

78

66

69

77

72

71

54

73

56

(1) Labor force participation rates (LFPRs) are for

families with children under age six with two

working parents or a single parent who works Sources American Community Survey 2014 5-Year

Survey Brion Economics Inc

Prepared by Brion Economics Inc 2513-SMC NA Final Tables 61216 6122016

  • 2513-SMC FINAL NA Memo-61216
  • 2513-SMC NA Final Tables 61216
Page 4: Final San Mateo County Child Care Needs … Care...Future C hild Care Demand and Supply in 2025 in Daly City/Colma San Mateo County Child Care Study - 2016 Note: All footnote references

Final Child Care Needs Assessment ndash 2015 and 2025 San Mateo Early Learning Facilities Study

June 12 2016 Page 4 of 9

ABAG also lists 6300 residents in the ldquoRemainderrdquo of San Mateo County The analysis uses ABAG population that includes each cityrsquos sphere of influence (SOI) However ABAG still designates a remainder area with an amount of population and employment that is assumed to represent pockets of unincorporated areas on the east side of the County This Remainder was distributed evenly between the cities of Redwood City and Menlo Park which both have substantial unincorporated pockets and adjacent areas As shown in Table 1 total population for San Mateo County in 2015 is estimated at 745400

Based on ABAG data Table 2 shows population growth by cityarea between 2015 and 2025 Overall the County is expected to grow from 745500 residents to 805600 an increase of 60200 or 81 In terms of size Redwood City will see the largest population growth in the county with approximately 12000 new residents followed by San Mateo with an estimated 9000 new residents The City of Millbrae is projected to see the largest percentage increase of population at 123 given its small base The cities of East Palo Alto Redwood City San Bruno and South San Francisco are all expected to see around 11 growth

Age Groupings

Table 3 calculates 2015 population by age group for all children under two years old and children two to four years old The breakdown of children by age is calculated based on data from the 2010 US Census which breaks down population by age The percentage of children from birth to two years and from two to four years was applied to current 2015 population figures to estimate the current number of children by age group Countywide there are approximately 19000 children under the age of two years and 28676 children between the ages of two and four years old for a total of 47684 Children ages four and under make up approximately 64 of the total County population

Employment

Current and future employment based on ABAG projections is summarized in Table 4 For employment projections the Half Moon Bay Region includes the City of Half Moon Bay as well as all of Unincorporated Half Moon Bay as estimated by ABAG South Coast area does not have employment according to ABAG We included San Francisco Airport and Remainder as separate line items for employment projections As of 2015 there are approximately 374900 employees or jobs in San Mateo County Total employment is expected to increase by 105 to 414240 by 2025 The San Francisco Airport is estimated to see the largest employee growth percentage-wise at 139 followed by East Palo Alto at 134 San Mateo at 132 and Redwood City at 126 The Cities of Redwood City and San Mateo have the largest expected job growth in terms of actual number of jobs

Based on other work by Brion Economics current ABAG projections do not accurately capture expected employment growth in both Menlo Park and East Palo Alto ABAG estimates employment in Menlo Park to increase from 31920 in 2015 to 34390 in 2025 or a net increase

Prepared by Brion Economics Inc Final Report

Final Child Care Needs Assessment ndash 2015 and 2025 San Mateo Early Learning Facilities Study

June 12 2016 Page 5 of 9

of 2470 Based on a new study2 by the Menlo Park Fire Protection District (MPFPD) employment at 2025 is estimated at 40300 which is substantially higher or a net increase of almost 84003 For East Palo Alto ABAG also underestimates growth forecasting a total of 3310 employees in 2025 Based on the study by MPFPD this figure is estimated at 6046 jobs Because other cities may be planning for growth that we are not aware of we are using the published ABAG projections for all of the citiesareas even though we know that some figures may be understated This suggests that the analysis is conservative and growth and therefore child care demand may be higher than analyzed here

Also shown in Table 4 is the percent and number of employees that work in each cityarea but live outside the County based on data from the US Census Journey-to-Work data4 These numbers are calculated for 2015 and the 2015 assumptions are applied to 2025 total employment estimates Overall approximately 41 of employees that work in citiesareas of San Mateo County reside outside of the County In 2015 this accounts for approximately 154300 employees and in 2025 it is estimated to total 170400 employees based on applying current percentages to future employment estimates

Supply

Table 5 summarizes current licensed and legally license-exempt5 child care supply by age group for Infants and Preschool by cityarea as of June 2015 based on information provided by Child Care Coordinating Council of San Mateo County (4Cs) and Child Care Licensing Supply data includes the number of providers by type (either Family Child Care Homes or Licensed Centers) and breaks down the number of spaces by age group either Infants or Preschool Total child care supply for each cityarea is calculated as well as the distribution of spaces by age group6

Countywide there are approximately 3800 infant spaces and 19200 preschool spaces for a total of just over 23000 spaces Based on actual number of spaces the City of San Mateo has the most with almost 3900 spaces It is followed by Redwood City with approximately 3300 spaces

2 Based on data from ldquoPublic Review Draft Menlo Park Fire Protection District Emergency Services and Fire Protection Impact Fee Nexus Study 2015rdquo 3 The Menlo Park Fire Protection District Study estimates employment at 2015 and 2035 The figure used here for 2025 was calculated using an average growth rate per year and applying it to the next 10 years 4 For cities with populations over 65000 the Journey-to-Work data is from 2006-2008 (most current available) for cities with smaller populations the data is based on a different Journey-to-Work data from 2006-2010 (most current available) Data was provided by Shimon Israel at MTC in March 2016 5 Legally license-exempt programs include programs run by City Park amp Recreation programs Co-operativeParent Participation programs school district programs and federal migrant programs 6 One center with an Atherton address and five centers with Menlo Park addresses have been moved to count towards Redwood City per Kristen Andersonrsquos request

Prepared by Brion Economics Inc Final Report

Final Child Care Needs Assessment ndash 2015 and 2025 San Mateo Early Learning Facilities Study

June 12 2016 Page 6 of 9

Demand

Demand is calculated by taking the number of children by age group with working parents based on applying labor force participation rates (LFPRs) for children under age six (from the 2014 5-Year American Community Survey) to the number of Infants and Preschoolers to calculate the number of children in each of those age groups with working parents Three- and four-year-olds are not discounted by LFPRs because the County wants to include all three- and four-year-olds in the demand factor to support the Countyrsquos universal preschool policy Labor force participation rates include families with two working parents or a single parent who works

Relevant demand factors are then applied to the number of children with working parents to determine the number of those children requiring licensed care as discussed above It is assumed that only a percentage of children with working parents require licensed care because some parents choose to have nannies extended family friends or other arrangements for their children and are therefore not looking for a licensed child care space

For Infants a demand factor of 37 is applied This is the demand factor recommended by the California Child Care Coordinators Association for needs assessments and agreed upon by the data committee for this project

For Preschool children demand factors typically vary between 75 and 100 of children with working parents At the direction of the data committee we are using 100 of three- and four-year-old children requiring care regardless of whether their parents work in support of the Countyrsquos overall policy to promote universal preschool For two-year-olds a 75 licensed care demand factor is applied after LFPRs are applied For three- and four-year-olds a 100 licensed care demand factor is applied assuming all three- and four-year-olds in the County require a licensed child care space

Once demand is calculated the percent distribution of total demand for spaces by age group is calculated as well as the percent of total children requiring licensed care

The total demand for spaces by age group for both 2015 and 2025 is summarized in Table 6 At 2015 Redwood City shows the greatest demand for both age groups needing over 5800 spaces The City of San Mateo follows requiring almost 5000 spaces Overall there is demand for over 6800 infant spaces and almost 27000 preschool spaces or 33800 spaces countywide in 2015 In 2025 the demand in Redwood City is still highest with a 179 increase for total demand of over 6600 spaces In 2025 it is expected that there will be a need for 7500 infant spaces and 29500 preschool spaces for a total demand of almost 37000 licensed child care spaces

Current child care demand from employees is calculated in Table 7 based on the employment numbers calculated in Table 4 for each cityarea It is assumed that 3 of employees require

Prepared by Brion Economics Inc Final Report

Final Child Care Needs Assessment ndash 2015 and 2025 San Mateo Early Learning Facilities Study

June 12 2016 Page 7 of 9

licensed care in the County based on other studies that have looked at employee demand The analysis assumes one child aged birth to four years old per employee on average Of those children it is assumed that 40 require infant spaces and 60 require preschool spaces This breakdown is based on the current ratio of infants and preschool age children in the County currently It is estimated that there are approximately 4600 children of employees who work in the County that require care Of those 1800 are estimated to be infants and almost 2800 are estimated to be preschool age Demand for SF Airport is included in total demand for South San Francisco and employee demand for the Remainder area is applied to Redwood City

Table 8 presents the same data as Table 7 but for 2025 conditions It is estimated that 5100 employee children from birth to four years old will demand licensed care in the County in 2025 with approximately 2000 requiring infant spaces and 3100 requiring preschool spaces

The surplusshortage and percent of demand met for licensed infant and preschool care by cityarea in 2015 is shown in Table 9 Countywide 56 of infant demand is met and 71 of current preschool demand is met Table 10 shows the same data for 2025 it is estimated that 51 and 65 of demand for infant and preschool spaces respectively will be met These figures assume existing supply and do not account for any new supply that may be built over the next 10 years The communities of Atherton Foster City and South Coast do show some surpluses of child care spaces

The number of current child care providers by type is summarized in Table 11 There are currently 621 family child care homes and 309 licensed and license-exempt centers in San Mateo County

Tables 12 and 13 summarize the shortage of spaces by type (family child care home or center) and by age group (infant or preschool) at 2015 and 2025 These figures are estimated based on the current distribution of space by type of providers on a pro rata basis For example if a community has 60 of its infant spaces in family child care homes and 40 in centers the current shortage of spaces is distributed at that same ratio If there is a shortage of 100 infant spaces it would be assumed that 60 new infant spaces at family child care homes and 40 center spaces would be needed

Table A-1 shows a summary of current 2015 supply and demand countywide and Tables A-2 through A-21 estimate supply and demand by cityarea Tables B-1 through B-21 show the summary of future demand compared to existing supply at 2025 Table C-1 has the endnotes for all of the A and B Tables and Table C-2 summarizes labor force participation rates by cityarea

Prepared by Brion Economics Inc Final Report

Final Child Care Needs Assessment ndash 2015 and 2025 San Mateo Early Learning Facilities Study

June 12 2016 Page 8 of 9

APPENDIX TABLES Table Index Appendix A Child Care Needs Assessment (Supply and Demand) as of 2015 and 2015 San Mateo County Child Care Study - 2016 Table Table Name

Table 1 Population Summary Table for 2010 2015 and 2025 Table 2 Population Growth by City 2015 and 2025 from ABAG Table 3 Population by Age Group by City 2015 and 2025 Table 4 Employment Growth and Employee Residence by City 2015 and 2025 Table 5 Child Care Supply Summary Table for 2015 Table 6 Child Care Demand Summary Table for 2015 and 2025 Table 7 Employee Demand Summary Table for 2015 Table 8 Employee Demand Summary Table for 2025 Table 9 Summary of Demand Met by Existing Facilities in Each Community at 2015 Table 10 Summary of Demand Met by Existing Facilities in Each Community at 2025 Table 11 Number of Child Care Providers by City in 2015 Table 12 Summary of Shortage of Child Care Center Spaces by Age - 2015 Table 13 Summary of Shortage of Child Care Center Spaces by Age - 2025

Existing Conditions - 2015 Table A-1 Existing Child Care Demand and Supply in 2015 Countywide Table A-2 Existing Child Care Demand and Supply in 2015 in Atherton Table A-3 Existing Child Care Demand and Supply in 2015 in Belmont Table A-4 Existing Child Care Demand and Supply in 2015 in Brisbane Table A-5 Existing Child Care Demand and Supply in 2015 in Burlingame Table A-6 Existing Child Care Demand and Supply in 2015 in Daly CityColma Table A-7 Existing Child Care Demand and Supply in 2015 in East Palo Alto Table A-8 Existing Child Care Demand and Supply in 2015 in Foster City Table A-9 Existing Child Care Demand and Supply in 2015 in Half Moon Bay Region Table A-10 Existing Child Care Demand and Supply in 2015 in Hillsborough Table A-11 Existing Child Care Demand and Supply in 2015 in Menlo Park Table A-12 Existing Child Care Demand and Supply in 2015 in Millbrae Table A-13 Existing Child Care Demand and Supply in 2015 in Pacifica Table A-14 Existing Child Care Demand and Supply in 2015 in Portola Valley Table A-15 Existing Child Care Demand and Supply in 2015 in Redwood City Table A-16 Existing Child Care Demand and Supply in 2015 in San Bruno Table A-17 Existing Child Care Demand and Supply in 2015 in San Carlos Table A-18 Existing Child Care Demand and Supply in 2015 in San Mateo Table A-19 Existing Child Care Demand and Supply in 2015 in South Coast Table A-20 Existing Child Care Demand and Supply in 2015 in South San Francisco Table A-21 Existing Child Care Demand and Supply in 2015 in Woodside Continued

Prepared by Brion Economics Inc Final Report

Final Child Care Needs Assessment ndash 2015 and 2025 San Mateo Early Learning Facilities Study

June 12 2016 Page 9 of 9

Future Conditions - 2025 Table B-1 Future Child Care Demand and Supply in 2025 Countywide Table B-2 Future Child Care Demand and Supply in 2025 in Atherton Table B-3 Future Child Care Demand and Supply in 2025 in Belmont Table B-4 Future Child Care Demand and Supply in 2025 in Brisbane Table B-5 Future Child Care Demand and Supply in 2025 in Burlingame Table B-6 Future Child Care Demand and Supply in 2025 in Daly CityColma Table B-7 Future Child Care Demand and Supply in 2025 in East Palo Alto Table B-8 Future Child Care Demand and Supply in 2025 in Foster City Table B-9 Future Child Care Demand and Supply in 2025 in Half Moon Bay Region Table B-10 Future Child Care Demand and Supply in 2025 in Hillsborough Table B-11 Future Child Care Demand and Supply in 2025 in Menlo Park Table B-12 Future Child Care Demand and Supply in 2025 in Millbrae Table B-13 Future Child Care Demand and Supply in 2025 in Pacifica Table B-14 Future Child Care Demand and Supply in 2025 in Portola Valley Table B-15 Future Child Care Demand and Supply in 2025 in Redwood City Table B-16 Future Child Care Demand and Supply in 2025 in San Bruno Table B-17 Future Child Care Demand and Supply in 2025 in San Carlos Table B-18 Future Child Care Demand and Supply in 2025 in San Mateo Table B-19 Future Child Care Demand and Supply in 2025 in South Coast Table B-20 Future Child Care Demand and Supply in 2025 in South San Francisco Table B-21 Future Child Care Demand and Supply in 2025 in Woodside

Table C-1 Endnotes for Tables Table C-2 Labor Force Participation Rates by CityArea

Source Brion Economics Inc

Prepared by Brion Economics Inc Final Report

2010 Population 2010 Population 2015 Population

CityArea (Census) (ABAG) (ABAG)

Atherton 6914 6914 7100

Belmont 25835 25995 26600

Brisbane 4282 4282 4400

Burlingame 28806 29873 31300

Daly CityColma 102915 108167 111200

East Palo Alto 28155 28155 29200

Foster City 30567 30567 31000

Half Moon Bay Region (1) 22803 21956 22329

Hillsborough 10825 10825 11000

Menlo Park (2) 32026 36816 40850

Millbrae 21532 21532 22800

Pacifica 37234 37234 37600

Portola Valley 4353 6432 6500

Redwood City (2) 76815 100509 109350

San Bruno 41114 41114 43500

San Carlos 28406 30015 30800

San Mateo 97207 101234 105600

South Coast (3) 1684 847 871

South San Francisco 63632 63803 67400

Woodside 5287 5933 6000

Total 670392 712203 745400

FINAL

Table 1

Population Summary Table for 2010 2015 and 2025

San Mateo County Child Care Study - 2016

(1) Half Moon Bay Region includes the City of Half Moon Bay El Granada Montara

and Moss Beach

(2) ABAG Projections have 6300 people listed as Remainder population this

amount is divided equally between Menlo Park and Redwood City given that

they are surrounded by unincorporated areas

(3) South Coast includes La Honda Loma Mar and Pescadero

Sources 2010 US Census ABAG Projections 2013 Brion Economics Inc

Prepared by Brion Economics Inc 2513-SMC NA Final Tables 61216 6122016

CityArea

Population

at 2015

Population

at 2025

CHANGE 2015 to 2025

2015 to

2025 Change

Atherton

Belmont

Brisbane

Burlingame

Daly CityColma

East Palo Alto

Foster City

Half Moon Bay Region (1)

Hillsborough

Menlo Park (2)

Millbrae

Pacifica

Portola Valley

Redwood City (2)

San Bruno

San Carlos

San Mateo

South Coast (3)

South San Francisco

Woodside

Total by Age

7100

26600

4400

31300

111200

29200

31000

22329

11000

40850

22800

37600

6500

109350

43500

30800

105600

871

67400

6000

7400

27900

4600

34300

118000

32400

32300

24140

11400

42750

25600

39000

6700

121350

48400

32600

114600

960

75000

6200

300

1300

200

3000

6800

3200

1300

1811

400

1900

2800

1400

200

12000

4900

1800

9000

89

7600

200

42

49

45

96

61

110

42

81

36

47

123

37

31

110

113

58

85

102

113

33

745400 805600 60200 81 I I I I

FINAL

Table 2

Population Growth by City 2015 and 2025 from ABAG

San Mateo County Child Care Study - 2016

(1) Half Moon Bay Region includes the City of Half Moon Bay El Granada

Montara and Moss Beach

(2) ABAG Projections have 6300 people listed as Remainder population this

amount is divided equally between Menlo Park and Redwood City given that

they are surrounded by unincorporated areas

(3) South Coast includes La Honda Loma Mar and Pescadero

Sources 2010 US Census ABAG Projections 2013 Brion Economics Inc

Prepared by Brion Economics Inc 2513-SMC NA Final Tables 61216 6122016

2015 2025 CHANGE 2015 to 2025

Children 4 and Under

Under 2 2 to 4 as of Total Under 2 2 to 4 Under 2 2 to 4

CityArea Years Old Year Olds Total Population Years Old Year Olds Total Years Old Year Olds Total

Atherton 105 185 290 41 109 193 302 4 8 12

Belmont 708 1045 1753 66 743 1095 1838 35 50 85

Brisbane 125 166 292 66 131 174 305 6 8 13

Burlingame 824 1216 2040 65 903 1332 2235 79 117 195

Daly CityColma 2495 3575 6070 55 2647 3793 6440 153 218 370

East Palo Alto 1046 1667 2713 93 1161 1849 3010 115 183 297

Foster City 836 1277 2113 68 871 1330 2201 35 54 89

Half Moon Bay Region (1) 511 860 1371 61 553 929 1482 41 70 111

Hillsborough 138 331 469 43 143 343 487 5 12 17

Menlo Park (2) 1170 1723 2893 71 1327 1954 3281 157 231 388

Millbrae 421 717 1138 50 473 805 1278 52 88 140

Pacifica 787 1253 2040 54 816 1300 2116 29 47 76

Portola Valley 75 187 261 40 77 192 269 2 6 8

Redwood City (2) 3260 4706 7966 73 3725 5378 9103 465 671 1136

San Bruno 1069 1553 2622 60 1189 1728 2917 120 175 295

San Carlos 735 1308 2043 66 778 1384 2162 43 76 119

San Mateo 2943 4213 7156 68 3194 4572 7766 251 359 610

South Coast (3) 21 29 50 57 23 32 55 2 3 5

South San Francisco 1649 2507 4156 62 1835 2790 4625 186 283 469

Woodside 90 160 250 42 93 165 258 3 5 8

Total by Age 19008 28678 47686 64 20790 31340 52130 1783 2662 4444

FINAL

Table 3

Population by Age Group by City 2015 and 2025

San Mateo County Child Care Study - 2016

(1) Half Moon Bay Region includes the City of Half Moon Bay El Granada Montara and Moss Beach

(2) ABAG Projections have 6300 people listed as Remainder population this amount is divided equally between Menlo Park and Redwood City given that they

are surrounded by unincorporated areas

(3) South Coast includes La Honda Loma Mar and Pescadero

Sources 2010 US Census ABAG Projections 2013 Brion Economics Inc

Prepared by Brion Economics Inc 2513-SMC NA Final Tables 61216 6122016

CHANGE 2015 to 2025 2015 2025

Percent that Work Employees that Percent that Work Employees that

Jobs at Jobs at in City and Live Work in City and in City and Live Work in City and

CityArea 2015 2025 2015 to 2025 Change Outside Co Live Outside Co Outside Co Live Outside Co

Atherton 2730 2920 190 70 360 983 360 1051

Belmont 9540 10430 890 93 298 2843 298 3108

Brisbane 7320 7790 470 64 590 4316 590 4593

Burlingame 32040 35250 3210 100 365 11680 365 12850

Daly CityColma 26110 28540 2430 93 404 10540 404 11521

East Palo Alto 2920 3310 390 134 508 1485 508 1683

Foster City 14810 16190 1380 93 412 6108 412 6677

Half Moon Bay Region (1) 7830 8410 580 74 135 1060 135 1138

Hillsborough 1950 2080 130 67 280 546 280 583

Menlo Park 31920 34390 2470 77 576 18390 576 19813

Millbrae 7480 8370 890 119 308 2304 308 2578

Pacifica 6210 6650 440 71 242 1504 242 1611

Portola Valley 2060 2200 140 68 334 689 334 736

Redwood City 71460 80430 8970 126 480 34317 480 38624

San Bruno 13800 15390 1590 115 370 5106 370 5695

San Carlos 18100 19650 1550 86 348 6295 348 6834

San Mateo 58680 66400 7720 132 329 19314 329 21855

South Coast (2) 0 0 0 00 149 0 149 0

South San Francisco 47380 51760 4380 92 467 22128 467 24173

Woodside 2520 2660 140 56 281 708 281 747

SF Airport (3) 7870 8960 1090 139 467 3676 467 4185

Remainder (3) 2210 2460 250 113 135 299 135 333

Total Employment 374940 414240 39300 105 412 154289 411 170387

FINAL

Table 4

Employment Growth and Employee Residence by City 2015 and 2025

San Mateo County Child Care Study - 2016

Note This analysis uses the published projections prepared by ABAG from ldquoProjections 2013rdquo and the cities including their sphere of influence or SOI This is done for consistency purposes While individual cities may be planning for additional growth not included in ABAGrsquos forecast (such as Menlo Park and East Palo Alto) it was decided that the consistency of using one data source was more important Thus these estimates could be considered

conservative

(1) For employment Half Moon Bay Region includes all of the City of Half Moon Bay and Unincorporated Half Moon Bay as defined by ABAG

(2) No data on employment is available through ABAG for the South Coast area

(3) SF Airport and Remainder are groupings by ABAG We listed them separately as SF Airport has no residential population

Sources ABAG Projections 2013 Brion Economics Inc

Prepared by Brion Economics Inc 2513-SMC NA Final Tables 61216 6122016

Under 2 2 to 4 Year Total CityArea as of

CityArea Years Old Olds Supply Total Supply

Atherton 29 273 302 13

Belmont 106 615 722 31

Brisbane 4 69 73 03

Burlingame 119 965 1085 47

Daly CityColma 372 1626 1997 87

East Palo Alto 110 739 849 37

Foster City 206 1349 1555 68

Half Moon Bay Region (1) 131 406 536 23

Hillsborough 5 97 102 04

Menlo Park (2) 149 1427 1576 69

Millbrae 62 454 517 22

Pacifica 116 798 914 40

Portola Valley 0 153 153 07

Redwood City (2) 752 2533 3285 143

San Bruno 148 1336 1484 65

San Carlos 149 707 855 37

San Mateo 701 3196 3897 169

South Coast (3) 0 54 54 02

South San Francisco 652 2283 2935 128

Woodside 4 108 112 05

Total 3815 19189 23003 1000

FINAL

Table 5

Child Care Supply Summary Table for 2015

San Mateo County Child Care Study - 2016

Note Totals may be off slightly due to rounding

(1) Half Moon Bay Region includes the City of Half Moon Bay El Granada Montara

and Moss Beach

(2) ABAG Projections have 6300 people listed as Remainder population this

amount is divided equally between Menlo Park and Redwood City given that

they are surrounded by unincorporated areas

(3) South Coast includes La Honda Loma Mar and Pescadero

Sources Child Care Coordinating Council of San Mateo County (4Cs) Community

Care Licensing Brion Economics Inc

Prepared by Brion Economics Inc 2513-SMC NA Final Tables 61216 6122016

2015 2025

CityArea as CityArea as

Under 2 2 to 4 Year Total of Total Under 2 2 to 4 Total of Total

CityArea Years Old Olds Demand Demand Years Old Year Olds Demand Demand

Atherton 27 165 192 06 29 173 201 05

Belmont 237 950 1187 35 250 999 1249 34

Brisbane 98 231 329 10 103 243 346 09

Burlingame 338 1236 1574 47 371 1356 1726 47

Daly CityColma 811 3237 4048 120 865 3441 4306 116

East Palo Alto 292 1419 1711 51 324 1575 1900 51

Foster City 268 1145 1414 42 283 1199 1483 40

Half Moon Bay Region (1) 144 742 885 26 155 802 957 26

Hillsborough 33 282 315 09 34 292 327 09

Menlo Park (2) 516 1790 2306 68 573 2011 2584 70

Millbrae 124 640 764 23 139 718 857 23

Pacifica 244 1117 1360 40 254 1159 1413 38

Portola Valley 26 171 198 06 28 177 204 06

Redwood City (2) 1241 4567 5808 172 1411 5208 6619 179

San Bruno 364 1418 1782 53 405 1578 1983 54

San Carlos 270 1222 1492 44 288 1297 1585 43

San Mateo 1003 3886 4889 145 1099 4233 5332 144

South Coast (3) 4 23 28 01 5 26 30 01

South San Francisco 755 2588 3343 99 835 2874 3709 100

Woodside 27 141 168 05 28 146 174 05

Total 6821 26971 33792 1000 7478 29506 36984 1000

FINAL

Table 6

Child Care Demand Summary Table for 2015 and 2025

San Mateo County Child Care Study - 2016

(1) Half Moon Bay Region includes the City of Half Moon Bay El Granada Montara and Moss Beach

(2) ABAG Projections have 6300 people listed as Remainder population this amount is divided equally between Menlo Park

and Redwood City given that they are surrounded by unincorporated areas

(3) South Coast includes La Honda Loma Mar and Pescadero

Sources 2010 US Census ABAG Projections 2013 Brion Economics Inc

Prepared by Brion Economics Inc 2513-SMC NA Final Tables 61216 6122016

No of Non- No of Employee

Resident No of 0 to 2 No of 3 to 4 Children Needing

CityArea Assumptions Employees Year Olds Year Olds Licensed Care

Estimated Percent of Employees

Needing Licensed Care (1) 300 40 60 100

Atherton 983 12 18 29

Belmont 2843 34 51 85

Brisbane 4316 52 78 129

Burlingame 11680 140 211 350

Daly CityColma 10540 126 190 316

East Palo Alto 1485 18 27 45

Foster City 6108 73 110 183

Half Moon Bay Region (2) 1060 13 19 32

Hillsborough 546 7 10 16

Menlo Park 18390 220 332 552

Millbrae 2304 28 42 69

Pacifica 1504 18 27 45

Portola Valley 689 8 12 21

Redwood City 34317 410 619 1029

San Bruno 5106 61 92 153

San Carlos 6295 75 114 189

San Mateo 19314 231 348 579

South Coast (3) 0 0 0 0

South San Francisco 22128 265 399 664

Woodside 708 8 13 21

SF Airport (4) 3676 44 66 110

Remainder (4) 299 4 5 9

Total Countywide 154289 1845 2784 4629

FINAL

Table 7

Employee Demand Summary Table for 2015

San Mateo County Child Care Study - 2016

Note Totals may be off slightly due to rounding

(1) We are assuming 3 of employees children require licensed care the breakdown of demand for infant and

preschool spaces is based on the percentage of infants and preschoolers who currently reside in San Mateo

County

(2) Half Moon Bay Region includes the City of Half Moon Bay El Granada Montara and Moss Beach

(3) South Coast includes La Honda Loma Mar and Pescadero

(4) SF Airport and Remainder are groupings by ABAG For employment SF Airport demand is attributed to South San

Francisco and Remainder demand is included with Redwood City

Sources 2010 US Census ABAG Projections 2013 2014 5-Year American Community Survey Journey-To-Work Data

Brion Economics Inc

Prepared by Brion Economics Inc 2513-SMC NA Final Tables 61216 6122016

No of Non- No of Employee

Resident No of 0 to 2 No of 3 to 4 Children Needing

CityArea Assumptions Employees Year Olds Year Olds Licensed Care

Estimated Percent of Employees

Needing Licensed Care (1) 300 40 60 100

Atherton 1051 13 19 32

Belmont 3108 37 56 93

Brisbane 4593 55 83 138

Burlingame 12850 154 232 385

Daly CityColma 11521 138 208 346

East Palo Alto 1683 20 30 50

Foster City 6677 80 120 200

Half Moon Bay Region (2) 1138 14 21 34

Hillsborough 583 7 11 17

Menlo Park 19813 237 357 594

Millbrae 2578 31 47 77

Pacifica 1611 19 29 48

Portola Valley 736 9 13 22

Redwood City 38624 462 697 1159

San Bruno 5695 68 103 171

San Carlos 6834 82 123 205

San Mateo 21855 261 394 656

South Coast (3) 0 0 0 0

South San Francisco 24173 289 436 725

Woodside 747 9 13 22

SF Airport (4) 4185 50 75 126

Remainder (4) 333 4 6 10

Total Countywide 170387 2037 3074 5112

FINAL

Table 8

Employee Demand Summary Table for 2025

San Mateo County Child Care Study - 2016

Note Totals may be off slightly due to rounding

(1) We are assuming 3 of employees children require licensed care the breakdown of demand for infant and

preschool spaces is based on the percentage of infants and preschoolers who currently reside in San Mateo County

(2) Half Moon Bay Region includes the City of Half Moon Bay El Granada Montara and Moss Beach

(3) South Coast includes La Honda Loma Mar and Pescadero

(4) SF Airport and Remainder are groupings by ABAG For employment SF Airport demand is attributed to South San

Francisco and Remainder demand is included with Redwood City

Sources 2010 US Census ABAG Projections 2013 2014 5-Year American Community Survey Journey-To-Work Data

Brion Economics Inc

Prepared by Brion Economics Inc 2513-SMC NA Final Tables 61216 6122016

2015

Surplus(Shortage) of Infant Surplus(Shortage) of Preschool Total Total

CityArea of Infant Spaces Demand Met of Preschool Spaces Demand Met Surplus(Shortage) Demand Met

Atherton 2 107 108 165 110 157

Belmont (130) 45 (335) 65 (465) 61

Brisbane (94) 4 (162) 30 (255) 22

Burlingame (219) 35 (271) 78 (489) 69

Daly CityColma (439) 46 (1612) 50 (2051) 49

East Palo Alto (182) 38 (680) 52 (862) 50

Foster City (62) 77 203 118 141 110

Half Moon Bay Region (1) (13) 91 (336) 55 (349) 61

Hillsborough (28) 15 (185) 34 (213) 32

Menlo Park (2) (367) 29 (363) 80 (730) 68

Millbrae (61) 50 (186) 71 (247) 0

Pacifica (128) 48 (319) 71 (447) 67

Portola Valley (26) 0 (18) 89 (45) 77

Redwood City (2) (490) 61 (2034) 55 (2524) 57

San Bruno (216) 41 (82) 94 (298) 83

San Carlos (121) 55 (516) 58 (637) 57

San Mateo (302) 70 (690) 82 (992) 80

South Coast (3) (4) 0 31 230 26 195

South San Francisco (103) 86 (306) 88 (408) 88

Woodside (23) 16 (33) 77 (55) 67

Countywide (3006) 56 (7783) 71 (10789) 68

FINAL

Table 9

Summary of Demand Met by Existing Facilities in Each Community at 2015

San Mateo County Child Care Study - 2016

Note Totals may be off slightly due to rounding

(1) Half Moon Bay Region includes the City of Half Moon Bay El Granada Montara and Moss Beach

(2) ABAG Projections have 6300 people listed as Remainder population this amount is divided equally between Menlo Park and Redwood

City given that they are surrounded by unincorporated areas

(3) South Coast includes La Honda Loma Mar and Pescadero

Sources 2010 US Census ABAG Projections 2013 Brion Economics Inc

Prepared by Brion Economics Inc 2513-SMC NA Final Tables 61216 6122016

2025

Surplus(Shortage) of Infant Surplus(Shortage) of Preschool Total Total

CityArea of Infant Spaces Demand Met of Preschool Spaces Demand Met Surplus(Shortage) Demand Met

Atherton 0 101 101 158 101 150

Belmont (143) 43 (384) 62 (527) 58

Brisbane (99) 4 (174) 29 (273) 21

Burlingame (252) 32 (390) 71 (642) 63

Daly CityColma (493) 43 (1816) 47 (2308) 46

East Palo Alto (215) 34 (836) 47 (1050) 45

Foster City (77) 73 150 112 73 105

Half Moon Bay Region (1) (24) 84 (396) 51 (421) 56

Hillsborough (29) 14 (195) 33 (225) 31

Menlo Park (2) (424) 26 (584) 71 (1008) 61

Millbrae (76) 45 (264) 63 (340) 60

Pacifica (138) 46 (361) 69 (499) 65

Portola Valley (28) 0 (24) 87 (51) 75

Redwood City (2) (660) 53 (2674) 49 (3334) 50

San Bruno (257) 37 (242) 85 (499) 75

San Carlos (139) 52 (590) 54 (729) 54

San Mateo (398) 64 (1037) 75 (1435) 73

South Coast (3) (5) 0 28 209 24 177

South San Francisco (183) 78 (591) 79 (775) 79

Woodside (24) 15 (38) 74 (61) 65

Countywide (3663) 51 (10318) 65 (13981) 62

FINAL

Table 10

Summary of Demand Met by Existing Facilities in Each Community at 2025

San Mateo County Child Care Study - 2016

Note Totals may be off slightly due to rounding

(1) Half Moon Bay Region includes the City of Half Moon Bay El Granada Montara and Moss Beach

(2) ABAG Projections have 6300 people listed as Remainder population this amount is divided equally between Menlo Park and Redwood

City given that they are surrounded by unincorporated areas

(3) South Coast includes La Honda Loma Mar and Pescadero

Sources 2010 US Census ABAG Projections 2013 Brion Economics Inc

Prepared by Brion Economics Inc 2513-SMC NA Final Tables 61216 6122016

Table 11

Number of Child Care Providers by City in 2015

San Mateo County Child Care Study - 2016

Family Child Licensed

CityArea Care Homes Centers Total

Atherton 1 6 7

Belmont 18 9 27

Brisbane 1 1 2

Burlingame 21 14 35

Daly CityColma 85 28 113

East Palo Alto 21 6 27

Foster City 29 12 41

Half Moon Bay Region (1) 28 11 39

Hillsborough 1 4 5

Menlo Park (2) 18 25 43

Millbrae 17 7 24

Pacifica 21 18 39

Portola Valley 0 4 4

Redwood City (2) 111 45 156

San Bruno 34 15 49

San Carlos 20 14 34

San Mateo 126 59 185

South Coast (3) 0 2 2

South San Francisco 68 27 95

Woodside 1 2 3

Countywide 621 309 930

FINAL

(1) Half Moon Bay Region includes the City of Half Moon Bay El Granada

Montara and Moss Beach

(2) ABAG Projections have 6300 people listed as Remainder population

this amount is divided equally between Menlo Park and Redwood City

given that they are surrounded by unincorporated areas

(3) South Coast includes La Honda Loma Mar and Pescadero

Sources Child Care Coordinating Council of San Mateo County (4Cs)

Community Care Licensing Brion Economics Inc

Prepared by Brion Economics Inc 2513-SMC NA Final Tables 61216 6122016

CityArea

Shortage

Infant

Center

Spaces

Infant care

Percentage

of Shortage

Shortage

Preschool

Center

Spaces

Preschool

Percentage

of Shortage

Total Center-

Based Space

Shortage

Atherton

Belmont

Brisbane

Burlingame

Daly CityColma

East Palo Alto

Foster City

Half Moon Bay Region

Hillsborough

Menlo Park

Millbrae

Pacifica

Portola Valley

Redwood City

San Bruno

San Carlos

San Mateo

South Coast

South San Francisco

Woodside

Countywide

NA

(48)

NA

(73)

(99)

(42)

(27)

(3)

NA

(180)

0

(43)

(26)

(232)

(38)

(62)

(90)

(2)

(63)

NA

NA

14

NA

23

7

7

100

1

NA

35

0

13

59

12

34

12

14

NA

19

NA

NA

(289)

(149)

(243)

(1253)

(582)

NA

(236)

(173)

(338)

(154)

(280)

(18)

(1635)

(73)

(449)

(557)

NA

(263)

(31)

NA

86

100

77

93

93

NA

99

100

65

100

87

41

88

66

88

86

NA

81

100

NA

(337)

(149)

(316)

(1352)

(623)

(27)

(240)

(173)

(518)

(154)

(323)

(45)

(1867)

(110)

(511)

(647)

(2)

(326)

(31)

(1193) 15 (6609) 85 (7802)

FINAL

Table 12

Summary of Shortage of Child Care Center Spaces by Age - 2015

San Mateo County Child Care Study - 2016

Sources Child Care Coordinating Council of San Mateo County (4Cs) Community Care Licensing

Brion Economics Inc

Prepared by Brion Economics Inc 2513-SMC NA Final Tables 61216 6122016

CityArea

Shortage

Infant Center

Spaces

Infant care

Percentage

of Shortage

Shortage

Preschool

Center

Spaces

Preschool

Percentage

of Shortage

Total Center-

Based Space

Shortage

Atherton

Belmont

Brisbane

Burlingame

Daly CityColma

East Palo Alto

Foster City

Half Moon Bay Region

Hillsborough

Menlo Park

Millbrae

Pacifica

Portola Valley

Redwood City

San Bruno

San Carlos

San Mateo

South Coast

South San Francisco

Woodside

Countywide

NA

(53)

NA

(85)

(111)

(49)

(33)

(6)

NA

(207)

0

(46)

(28)

(313)

(45)

(71)

(119)

(5)

(113)

0

NA

14

NA

19

7

6

100

2

NA

28

0

13

54

13

17

12

12

NA

18

NA

NA

(331)

(160)

(350)

(1412)

(715)

NA

(279)

(183)

(544)

(219)

(317)

(24)

(2149)

(214)

(514)

(837)

NA

(509)

(36)

NA

86

100

81

93

94

NA

98

100

72

100

87

46

87

83

88

88

NA

82

100

NA

(384)

(160)

(434)

(1523)

(764)

(33)

(285)

(183)

(752)

(219)

(364)

(51)

(2462)

(259)

(585)

(955)

(5)

(622)

(36)

(1454) 14 (8762) 86 (10216)

FINAL

Table 13

Summary of Shortage of Child Care Center Spaces by Age - 2025

San Mateo County Child Care Study - 2016

Sources Child Care Coordinating Council of San Mateo County (4Cs) Community Care Licensing

Brion Economics Inc

Prepared by Brion Economics Inc 2513-SMC NA Final Tables 61216 6122016

COUNTYWIDE

Child Care as of 2015

No of

Providers

Under 2 Years

Old

2 to 4 Year

Olds

Total 0 to 4

Years

EXISTING DEMAND Child Care Demand

Estimated Total Children

Average LFPRAdjustment Factor

Children With Working Parents

Licensed Care Demand Factor

Resident Children Needing Licensed Care

of Total Resident Children Needing Licensed Care

Children from Non-Resident Employees Needing

Licensed Care

Total Demand for Child Care Spaces

Distribution

EXISTING SUPPLY

(1)

(2)

(3)

(4)

19008 28678

71

13449 25720

37

4976 24188

26 84

1845 2784

6821 26971

20 80

Child Care Spaces

47686

39169

86

29164

61

4629

33792

100

Family Child Care Home Supply

Child Care Center Supply

Current Child Care Supply

Distribution

EXISTING SURPLUS(SHORTAGE)

Distribution

Percentage of Demand Met

by Existing FacilitiesSpaces

Shortage of Family Child Care Home Spaces

Shortage of Center-Based Spaces

(5)

(6)

(6)

621

309 -930

2301 2893

1514 16296 - -3815 19189

17 83

(3006) (7783)

28 72

56 71

(1813) (1173)

(1193) (6609)

5193

17810 -23003

100

(10789)

100

68

(2986)

(7802)

FINAL

Table A-1

Existing Child Care Demand and Supply in 2015 Countywide

San Mateo County Child Care Study - 2016

Note All footnote references can be found in Table C-1 at the end of this file

Sources 2010 US Census ABAG Projections 2013 2014 American Community Survey ACS Journey-to-Work data 2006-2008 and 2006-2010

Child Care Coordinating Council of San Mateo County (4Cs) Community Care Licensing Brion Economics Inc

Prepared by Brion Economics Inc 2513-SMC NA Final Tables 61216 6122016

ATHERTON

Child Care as of 2015

No of

Providers

Under 2 Years

Old

2 to 4 Year

Olds

Total 0 to 4

Years

EXISTING DEMAND Child Care Demand

Estimated Total Children

Average LFPRAdjustment Factor

Children With Working Parents

Licensed Care Demand Factor

Resident Children Needing Licensed Care

of Total Resident Children Needing Licensed Care

Children from Non-Resident Employees Needing

Licensed Care

(1)

(2)

(3)

105 185

40

42 153

37

15 147

15 80

12 18

290

194

84

163

56

29

Total Demand for Child Care Spaces

Distribution

EXISTING SUPPLY (4)

27 165

14 86

Child Care Spaces

192

100

Family Child Care Home Supply

Child Care Center Supply

Current Child Care Supply

Distribution

EXISTING SURPLUS(SHORTAGE)

Distribution

Percentage of Demand Met

by Existing FacilitiesSpaces

Shortage of Family Child Care Home Spaces

Shortage of Center-Based Spaces

(5)

(6)

(6)

1

6

7

5 6

24 267

29 273

10 90

2 108

2 98

107 165

NA NA

NA NA

11

291

302

100

110

100

157

NA

NA

FINAL

Table A-2

Existing Child Care Demand and Supply in 2015 in Atherton

San Mateo Co unty Child Care Study - 2016

Note All footnote references can be found in Table C-1 at the end of this file

Sources 2010 US Census ABAG Projections 2013 2014 American Community Survey ACS Journey-to-Work data 2006-2008 and 2006-2010

Child Care Coordinating Council of San Mateo County (4Cs) Community Care Licensing Brion Economics Inc

Prepared by Brion Economics Inc 2513-SMC NA Final Tables 61216 6122016

BELMONT

Child Care as of 2015

No of

Providers

Under 2 Years

Old

2 to 4 Year

Olds

Total 0 to 4

Years

EXISTING DEMAND Child Care Demand

Estimated Total Children

Average LFPRAdjustment Factor

Children With Working Parents

Licensed Care Demand Factor

Resident Children Needing Licensed Care

of Total Resident Children Needing Licensed Care

Children from Non-Resident Employees Needing

Licensed Care

(1)

(2)

(3)

708 1045

77

548 966

37

203 899

29 86

34 51

1753

1513

73

1102

63

85

Total Demand for Child Care Spaces

Distribution

EXISTING SUPPLY (4)

237 950

20 80

Child Care Spaces

1187

100

Family Child Care Home Supply

Child Care Center Supply

Current Child Care Supply

Distribution

EXISTING SURPLUS(SHORTAGE)

Distribution

Percentage of Demand Met

by Existing FacilitiesSpaces

Shortage of Family Child Care Home Spaces

Shortage of Center-Based Spaces

(5)

(6)

(6)

18

9

27

67 84

39 531

106 615

15 85

(130) (335)

28 72

45 65

(83) (46)

(48) (289)

152

570

722

100

(465)

100

61

(128)

(337)

FINAL

Table A-3

Existing Child Care Demand and Supply in 2015 in Belmont

San Mateo County Child Care Study - 2016

Note All footnote references can be found in Table C-1 at the end of this file Sources 2010 US Census ABAG Projections 2013 2014 American Community Survey ACS Journey-to-Work data 2006-2008 and

2006-2010 Child Care Coordinating Council of San Mateo County (4Cs) Community Care Licensing Brion Economics Inc

Prepared by Brion Economics Inc 2513-SMC NA Final Tables 61216 6122016

FINAL

Table A-4

Existing Child Care Demand and Supply in 2015 in Brisbane

San Mateo County Child Care Study - 2016

BRISBANE

Child Care as of 2015

No of

Providers

Under 2 Years

Old

2 to 4 Year

Olds

Total 0 to 4

Years

EXISTING DEMAND Child Care Demand

Estimated Total Children (1) 125 166 292

Average LFPRAdjustment Factor (2) 100

Children With Working Parents 125 166 292

Licensed Care Demand Factor (3) 37 68

Resident Children Needing Licensed Care 46 153 199

of Total Resident Children Needing Licensed Care 37 92 68

Children from Non-Resident Employees Needing

Licensed Care 52 78 129

Total Demand for Child Care Spaces 98 231 329

Distribution 30 70 100

EXISTING SUPPLY (4) Child Care Spaces

Family Child Care Home Supply 1 4 5 9

Child Care Center Supply 1 - 64 64

Current Child Care Supply 2 4 69 73

Distribution 6 94 100

EXISTING SURPLUS(SHORTAGE) (94) (162) (255)

Distribution 37 63 100

Percentage of Demand Met

by Existing FacilitiesSpaces (5) 4 30 22

Shortage of Family Child Care Home Spaces (6) (94) (12) (106)

Shortage of Center-Based Spaces (6) 0 (149) (149)

Note All footnote references can be found in Table C-1 at the end of this file

Sources 2010 US Census ABAG Projections 2013 2014 American Community Survey ACS Journey-to-Work data 2006-2008 and 2006-2010

Child Care Coordinating Council of San Mateo County (4Cs) Community Care Licensing Brion Economics Inc

Prepared by Brion Economics Inc 2513-SMC NA Final Tables 61216 6122016

BURLINGAME

Child Care as of 2015

No of

Providers

Under 2 Years

Old

2 to 4 Year

Olds

Total 0 to 4

Years

EXISTING DEMAND Child Care Demand

Estimated Total Children

Average LFPRAdjustment Factor

Children With Working Parents

Licensed Care Demand Factor

Resident Children Needing Licensed Care

of Total Resident Children Needing Licensed Care

Children from Non-Resident Employees Needing

Licensed Care

(1)

(2)

(3)

824 1216

65

535 1086

37

198 1025

24 84

140 211

2040

1621

75

1224

60

350

Total Demand for Child Care Spaces

Distribution

EXISTING SUPPLY (4)

338 1236

21 79

Child Care Spaces

1574

100

Family Child Care Home Supply

Child Care Center Supply

Current Child Care Supply

Distribution

EXISTING SURPLUS(SHORTAGE)

Distribution

Percentage of Demand Met

by Existing FacilitiesSpaces

Shortage of Family Child Care Home Spaces

Shortage of Center-Based Spaces

(5)

(6)

(6)

21

14

35

79 99

40 866

119 965

11 89

(219) (271)

45 55

35 78

(145) (28)

(73) (243)

179

906

1085

100

(489)

100

69

(173)

(316)

FINAL

Table A-5

Existing Child Care Demand and Supply in 2015 in Burlingame

San Mateo County Child Care Study - 2016

Note All footnote references can be found in Table C-1 at the end of this file

Sources 2010 US Census ABAG Projections 2013 2014 American Community Survey ACS Journey-to-Work data 2006-2008 and 2006-2010

Child Care Coordinating Council of San Mateo County (4Cs) Community Care Licensing Brion Economics Inc

Prepared by Brion Economics Inc 2513-SMC NA Final Tables 61216 6122016

DALY CITYCOLMA

Child Care as of 2015

No of

Providers

Under 2 Years

Old

2 to 4 Year

Olds

Total 0 to 4

Years

EXISTING DEMAND Child Care Demand

Estimated Total Children

Average LFPRAdjustment Factor

Children With Working Parents

Licensed Care Demand Factor

Resident Children Needing Licensed Care

of Total Resident Children Needing Licensed Care

Children from Non-Resident Employees Needing

Licensed Care

(1)

(2)

(3)

2495 3575

742

1851 3268

37

685 3047

27 85

126 190

6070

5119

73

3732

61

316

Total Demand for Child Care Spaces

Distribution

EXISTING SUPPLY (4)

811 3237

20 80

Child Care Spaces

4048

100

Family Child Care Home Supply

Child Care Center Supply

Current Child Care Supply

Distribution

EXISTING SURPLUS(SHORTAGE)

Distribution

Percentage of Demand Met

by Existing FacilitiesSpaces

Shortage of Family Child Care Home Spaces

Shortage of Center-Based Spaces

(5)

(6)

(6)

85

28

113

288 362

84 1264

372 1626

19 81

(439) (1612)

21 79

46 50

(340) (359)

(99) (1253)

649

1348

1997

100

(2051)

100

49

(698)

(1352)

FINAL

Table A-6

Existing Child Care Demand and Supply in 2015 in Daly CityColma

San Mateo Co unty Child Care Study - 2016

Note All footnote references can be found in Table C-1 at the end of this file

Sources 2010 US Census ABAG Projections 2013 2014 American Community Survey ACS Journey-to-Work data 2006-2008 and 2006-2010

Child Care Coordinating Council of San Mateo County (4Cs) Community Care Licensing Brion Economics Inc

Prepared by Brion Economics Inc 2513-SMC NA Final Tables 61216 6122016

EAST PALO ALTO

Child Care as of 2015

No of

Providers

Under 2 Years

Old

2 to 4 Year

Olds

Total 0 to 4

Years

EXISTING DEMAND Child Care Demand

Estimated Total Children

Average LFPRAdjustment Factor

Children With Working Parents

Licensed Care Demand Factor

Resident Children Needing Licensed Care

of Total Resident Children Needing Licensed Care

Children from Non-Resident Employees Needing

Licensed Care

(1)

(2)

(3)

1046 1667

71

741 1496

37

274 1392

26 84

18 27

2713

2237

75

1666

61

45

Total Demand for Child Care Spaces

Distribution

EXISTING SUPPLY (4)

292 1419

17 83

Child Care Spaces

1711

100

Family Child Care Home Supply

Child Care Center Supply

Current Child Care Supply

Distribution

EXISTING SURPLUS(SHORTAGE)

Distribution

Percentage of Demand Met

by Existing FacilitiesSpaces

Shortage of Family Child Care Home Spaces

Shortage of Center-Based Spaces

(5)

(6)

(6)

21

6

27

85 106

25 633

110 739

13 87

(182) (680)

21 79

38 52

(141) (98)

(42) (582)

191

658

849

100

(862)

100

50

(239)

(623)

FINAL

Table A-7

Existing Child Care Demand and Supply in 2015 in East Palo Alto

San Mateo County Child Care Study - 2016

Note All footnote references can be found in Table C-1 at the end of this file Sources 2010 US Census ABAG Projections 2013 2014 American Community Survey ACS Journey-to-Work data 2006-2008 and 2006-2010

Child Care Coordinating Council of San Mateo County (4Cs) Community Care Licensing Brion Economics Inc

Prepared by Brion Economics Inc 2513-SMC NA Final Tables 61216 6122016

FOSTER CITY

Child Care as of 2015

No of

Providers

Under 2 Years

Old

2 to 4 Year

Olds

Total 0 to 4

Years

EXISTING DEMAND Child Care Demand

Estimated Total Children

Average LFPRAdjustment Factor

Children With Working Parents

Licensed Care Demand Factor

Resident Children Needing Licensed Care

of Total Resident Children Needing Licensed Care

Children from Non-Resident Employees Needing

Licensed Care

(1)

(2)

(3)

836 1277

63

528 1108

37

195 1035

23 81

73 110

2113

1636

75

1231

58

183

Total Demand for Child Care Spaces

Distribution

EXISTING SUPPLY (4)

268 1145

19 81

Child Care Spaces

1414

100

Family Child Care Home Supply

Child Care Center Supply

Current Child Care Supply

Distribution

EXISTING SURPLUS(SHORTAGE)

Distribution

Percentage of Demand Met

by Existing FacilitiesSpaces

Shortage of Family Child Care Home Spaces

Shortage of Center-Based Spaces

(5)

(6)

(6)

29

12

41

118 149

88 1200

206 1349

13 87

(62) 203

NA NA

77 118

(36) NA

(27) NA

267

1288

1555

100

141

NA

110

(36)

(27)

FINAL

Table A-8

Existing Child Care Demand and Supply in 2015 in Foster City

San Mateo County Child Care Study - 2016

Note All footnote references can be found in Table C-1 at the end of this file

Sources 2010 US Census ABAG Projections 2013 2014 American Community Survey ACS Journey-to-Work data 2006-2008 and 2006-2010

Child Care Coordinating Council of San Mateo County (4Cs) Community Care Licensing Brion Economics Inc

Prepared by Brion Economics Inc 2513-SMC NA Final Tables 61216 6122016

HALF MOON BAY REGION

Child Care as of 2015

No of

Providers

Under 2 Years

Old

2 to 4 Year

Olds

Total 0 to 4

Years

EXISTING DEMAND Child Care Demand

Estimated Total Children

Average LFPRAdjustment Factor

Children With Working Parents

Licensed Care Demand Factor

Resident Children Needing Licensed Care

of Total Resident Children Needing Licensed Care

Children from Non-Resident Employees Needing

Licensed Care

(1)

(2)

(3)

511 860

69

354 772

37

131 723

26 84

13 19

1371

1126

76

854

62

32

Total Demand for Child Care Spaces

Distribution

EXISTING SUPPLY (4)

144 742

16 84

Child Care Spaces

885

100

Family Child Care Home Supply

Child Care Center Supply

Current Child Care Supply

Distribution

EXISTING SURPLUS(SHORTAGE)

Distribution

Percentage of Demand Met

by Existing FacilitiesSpaces

Shortage of Family Child Care Home Spaces

Shortage of Center-Based Spaces

(5)

(6)

(6)

28

11

39

96 121

35 285

131 406

24 76

(13) (336)

4 96

91 55

(9) (100)

(3) (236)

216

320

536

100

(349)

100

61

(109)

(240)

FINAL

Table A-9

Existing Child Care Demand and Supply in 2015 in Half Moon Bay Region

San Mateo County Child Care Study - 2016

Note All footnote references can be found in Table C-1 at the end of this file

Sources 2010 US Census ABAG Projections 2013 2014 American Community Survey ACS Journey-to-Work data 2006-2008 and 2006-2010

Child Care Coordinating Council of San Mateo County (4Cs) Community Care Licensing Brion Economics Inc

Prepared by Brion Economics Inc 2513-SMC NA Final Tables 61216 6122016

HILLSBOROUGH

Child Care as of 2015

No of

Providers

Under 2 Years

Old

2 to 4 Year

Olds

Total 0 to 4

Years

EXISTING DEMAND Child Care Demand

Estimated Total Children

Average LFPRAdjustment Factor

Children With Working Parents

Licensed Care Demand Factor

Resident Children Needing Licensed Care

of Total Resident Children Needing Licensed Care

Children from Non-Resident Employees Needing

Licensed Care

(1)

(2)

(3)

138 331

52

71 284

37

26 272

19 82

7 10

469

356

84

298

64

16

Total Demand for Child Care Spaces

Distribution

EXISTING SUPPLY (4)

33 282

10 90

Child Care Spaces

315

100

Family Child Care Home Supply

Child Care Center Supply

Current Child Care Supply

Distribution

EXISTING SURPLUS(SHORTAGE)

Distribution

Percentage of Demand Met

by Existing FacilitiesSpaces

Shortage of Family Child Care Home Spaces

Shortage of Center-Based Spaces

(5)

(6)

(6)

1

4

5

5 6

- 91

5 97

5 95

(28) (185)

13 87

15 34

(28) (12)

0 (173)

11

91

102

100

(213)

100

32

(40)

(173)

FINAL

Table A-10

Existing Child Care Demand and Supply in 2015 in Hillsborough

San Mateo County Child Care Study - 2016

Note All footnote references can be found in Table C-1 at the end of this file Sources 2010 US Census ABAG Projections 2013 2014 American Community Survey ACS Journey-to-Work data 2006-2008 and 2006-2010

Child Care Coordinating Council of San Mateo County (4Cs) Community Care Licensing Brion Economics Inc

Prepared by Brion Economics Inc 2513-SMC NA Final Tables 61216 6122016

MENLO PARK

Child Care as of 2015

No of

Providers

Under 2 Years

Old

2 to 4 Year

Olds

Total 0 to 4

Years

EXISTING DEMAND Child Care Demand

Estimated Total Children

Average LFPRAdjustment Factor

Children With Working Parents

Licensed Care Demand Factor

Resident Children Needing Licensed Care

of Total Resident Children Needing Licensed Care

Children from Non-Resident Employees Needing

Licensed Care

(1)

(2)

(3)

1170 1723

69

802 1551

37

297 1458

25 85

220 332

2893

2353

75

1754

61

552

Total Demand for Child Care Spaces

Distribution

EXISTING SUPPLY (4)

516 1790

22 78

Child Care Spaces

2306

100

Family Child Care Home Supply

Child Care Center Supply

Current Child Care Supply

Distribution

EXISTING SURPLUS(SHORTAGE)

Distribution

Percentage of Demand Met

by Existing FacilitiesSpaces

Shortage of Family Child Care Home Spaces

Shortage of Center-Based Spaces

(5)

(6)

(6)

18

25

43

76 96

73 1331

149 1427

9 91

(367) (363)

50 50

29 80

(188) (24)

(180) (338)

172

1404

1576

100

(730)

100

68

(212)

(518)

FINAL

Table A-11

Existing Child Care Demand and Supply in 2015 in Menlo Park

San Mateo County Child Care Study - 2016

Note All footnote references can be found in Table C-1 at the end of this file Sources 2010 US Census ABAG Projections 2013 2014 American Community Survey ACS Journey-to-Work data 2006-2008 and 2006-2010

Child Care Coordinating Council of San Mateo County (4Cs) Community Care Licensing Brion Economics Inc

Prepared by Brion Economics Inc 2513-SMC NA Final Tables 61216 6122016

MILLBRAE

Child Care as of 2015

No of

Providers

Under 2 Years

Old

2 to 4 Year

Olds

Total 0 to 4

Years

EXISTING DEMAND Child Care Demand

Total Children

Average LFPRAdjustment Factor

Children With Working Parents

Licensed Care Demand Factor

Resident Children Needing Licensed Care

of Total Resident Children Needing Licensed Care

Children from Non-Resident Employees Needing

Licensed Care

(1)

(2)

(3)

421 717

62

260 632

37

96 598

23 83

28 42

1138

892

78

694

61

69

Total Demand for Child Care Spaces

Distribution

EXISTING SUPPLY (4)

124 640

16 84

Child Care Spaces

764

100

Family Child Care Home Supply

Child Care Center Supply

Current Child Care Supply

Distribution

EXISTING SURPLUS(SHORTAGE)

Distribution

Percentage of Demand Met

by Existing FacilitiesSpaces

Shortage of Family Child Care Home Spaces

Shortage of Center-Based Spaces

(5)

(6)

(6)

17

7

24

62 78

- 376

62 454

12 88

(61) (186)

25 75

50 71

(61) (32)

0 (154)

141

376

517

100

(247)

100

68

(93)

(154)

FINAL

Table A-12

Existing Child Care Demand and Supply in 2015 in Millbrae

San Mateo Co unty Child Care Study - 2016

Note All footnote references can be found in Table C-1 at the end of this file

Sources 2010 US Census ABAG Projections 2013 2014 American Community Survey ACS Journey-to-Work data 2006-2008 and 2006-2010

Child Care Coordinating Council of San Mateo County (4Cs) Community Care Licensing Brion Economics Inc

Prepared by Brion Economics Inc 2513-SMC NA Final Tables 61216 6122016

PACIFICA

Child Care as of 2015

No of

Providers

Under 2 Years

Old

2 to 4 Year

Olds

Total 0 to 4

Years

EXISTING DEMAND Child Care Demand

Estimated Total Children

Average LFPRAdjustment Factor

Children With Working Parents

Licensed Care Demand Factor

Resident Children Needing Licensed Care

of Total Resident Children Needing Licensed Care

Children from Non-Resident Employees Needing

Licensed Care

(1)

(2)

(3)

787 1253

78

610 1165

37

226 1089

29 87

18 27

2040

1776

74

1315

64

45

Total Demand for Child Care Spaces

Distribution

EXISTING SUPPLY (4)

244 1117

18 83

Child Care Spaces

1360

100

Family Child Care Home Supply

Child Care Center Supply

Current Child Care Supply

Distribution

EXISTING SURPLUS(SHORTAGE)

Distribution

Percentage of Demand Met

by Existing FacilitiesSpaces

Shortage of Family Child Care Home Spaces

Shortage of Center-Based Spaces

(5)

(6)

(6)

21

18

39

77 97

39 701

116 798

13 87

(128) (319)

29 71

48 71

(85) (39)

(43) (280)

174

740

914

100

(447)

100

67

(124)

(323)

FINAL

Table A-13

Existing Child Care Demand and Supply in 2015 in Pacifica

San Mateo County Child Care Study - 2016

Note All footnote references can be found in Table C-1 at the end of this file Sources 2010 US Census ABAG Projections 2013 2014 American Community Survey ACS Journey-to-Work data 2006-2008 and 2006-2010

Child Care Coordinating Council of San Mateo County (4Cs) Community Care Licensing Brion Economics Inc

Prepared by Brion Economics Inc 2513-SMC NA Final Tables 61216 6122016

PORTOLA VALLEY

No of

Providers

Child Care as of 2015

Under 2 Years

Old

2 to 4 Year

Olds

Total 0 to 4

Years

EXISTING DEMAND Child Care Demand

Estimated Total Children

Average LFPRAdjustment Factor

Children With Working Parents

Licensed Care Demand Factor

Resident Children Needing Licensed Care

of Total Resident Children Needing Licensed Care

Children from Non-Resident Employees Needing

Licensed Care

(1)

(2)

(3)

75 187

66

49 168

37

18 159

24 85

8 12

261

217

82

177

68

21

Total Demand for Child Care Spaces

Distribution

EXISTING SUPPLY (4)

26 171

13 87

Child Care Spaces

198

100

Family Child Care Home Supply

Child Care Center Supply

Current Child Care Supply

Distribution

EXISTING SURPLUS(SHORTAGE)

Distribution

Percentage of Demand Met

by Existing FacilitiesSpaces

Shortage of Family Child Care Home Spaces

Shortage of Center-Based Spaces

(5)

(6)

(6)

0

4

4

0 0

0 153

0 153

0 100

(26) (18)

59 41

0 89

0 0

(26) (18)

0

153

153

100

(45)

100

77

0

(45)

FINAL

Table A-14

Existing Child Care Demand and Supply in 2015 in Portola Valley

San Mateo County Child Care Study - 2016

Note All footnote references can be found in Table C-1 at the end of this file Sources 2010 US Census ABAG Projections 2013 2014 American Community Survey ACS Journey-to-Work data 2006-2008 and 2006-2010

Child Care Coordinating Council of San Mateo County (4Cs) Community Care Licensing Brion Economics Inc

Prepared by Brion Economics Inc 2513-SMC NA Final Tables 61216 6122016

REDWOOD CITY

Child Care as of 2015

No of

Providers

Under 2 Years

Old

2 to 4 Year

Olds

Total 0 to 4

Years

EXISTING DEMAND Child Care Demand

Estimated Total Children

Average LFPRAdjustment Factor

Children With Working Parents

Licensed Care Demand Factor

Resident Children Needing Licensed Care

of Total Resident Children Needing Licensed Care

Children from Non-Resident Employees Needing

Licensed Care

Total Demand for Child Care Spaces

Distribution

EXISTING SUPPLY

(1)

(2)

(3)

(4)

3260 4706

69

2236 4212

37

827 3942

25 84

414 625

1241 4567

21 79

Child Care Spaces

7966

6449

74

4770

60

1038

5808

100

Family Child Care Home Supply

Child Care Center Supply

Current Child Care Supply

Distribution

EXISTING SURPLUS(SHORTAGE)

Distribution

Percentage of Demand Met

by Existing FacilitiesSpaces

Shortage of Family Child Care Home Spaces

Shortage of Center-Based Spaces

(5)

(6)

(6)

111

45

156

396 497

356 2036

752 2533

23 77

(490) (2034)

19 81

61 55

(258) (399)

(232) (1635)

893

2392

3285

100

(2524)

100

57

(657)

(1867)

FINAL

Table A-15

Existing Child Care Demand and Supply in 2015 in Redwood City

San Mateo County Child Care Study - 2016

Note All footnote references can be found in Table C-1 at the end of this file Sources 2010 US Census ABAG Projections 2013 2014 American Community Survey ACS Journey-to-Work data 2006-2008 and 2006-2010

Child Care Coordinating Council of San Mateo County (4Cs) Community Care Licensing Brion Economics Inc

Prepared by Brion Economics Inc 2513-SMC NA Final Tables 61216 6122016

SAN BRUNO

Child Care as of 2015

No of

Providers

Under 2 Years

Old

2 to 4 Year

Olds

Total 0 to 4

Years

EXISTING DEMAND Child Care Demand

Estimated Total Children

Average LFPRAdjustment Factor

Children With Working Parents

Licensed Care Demand Factor

Resident Children Needing Licensed Care

of Total Resident Children Needing Licensed Care

Children from Non-Resident Employees Needing

Licensed Care

(1)

(2)

(3)

1069 1553

77

817 1428

37

302 1326

28 85

61 92

2622

2245

73

1628

62

153

Total Demand for Child Care Spaces

Distribution

EXISTING SUPPLY (4)

364 1418

20 80

Child Care Spaces

1782

100

Family Child Care Home Supply

Child Care Center Supply

Current Child Care Supply

Distribution

EXISTING SURPLUS(SHORTAGE)

Distribution

Percentage of Demand Met

by Existing FacilitiesSpaces

Shortage of Family Child Care Home Spaces

Shortage of Center-Based Spaces

(5)

(6)

(6)

34

15

49

122 153

26 1183

148 1336

10 90

(216) (82)

72 28

41 94

(178) (9)

(38) (73)

275

1209

1484

100

(298)

100

83

(187)

(110)

FINAL

Table A-16

Existing Child Care Demand and Supply in 2015 in San Bruno

San Mateo County Child Care Study - 2016

Note All footnote references can be found in Table C-1 at the end of this file Sources 2010 US Census ABAG Projections 2013 2014 American Community Survey ACS Journey-to-Work data 2006-2008 and 2006-2010

Child Care Coordinating Council of San Mateo County (4Cs) Community Care Licensing Brion Economics Inc

Prepared by Brion Economics Inc 2513-SMC NA Final Tables 61216 6122016

SAN CARLOS

Child Care as of 2015

No of

Providers

Under 2 Years

Old

2 to 4 Year

Olds

Total 0 to 4

Years

EXISTING DEMAND Child Care Demand

Estimated Total Children

Average LFPRAdjustment Factor

Children With Working Parents

Licensed Care Demand Factor

Resident Children Needing Licensed Care

of Total Resident Children Needing Licensed Care

Children from Non-Resident Employees Needing

Licensed Care

(1)

(2)

(3)

735 1308

72

526 1186

37

195 1109

26 85

75 114

2043

1712

76

1304

64

189

Total Demand for Child Care Spaces

Distribution

EXISTING SUPPLY (4)

270 1222

18 82

Child Care Spaces

1492

100

Family Child Care Home Supply

Child Care Center Supply

Current Child Care Supply

Distribution

EXISTING SURPLUS(SHORTAGE)

Distribution

Percentage of Demand Met

by Existing FacilitiesSpaces

Shortage of Family Child Care Home Spaces

Shortage of Center-Based Spaces

(5)

(6)

(6)

20

14

34

73 92

76 615

149 707

17 83

(121) (516)

19 81

55 58

(59) (67)

(62) (449)

164

691

855

100

(637)

100

57

(126)

(511)

FINAL

Table A-17

Existing Child Care Demand and Supply in 2015 in San Carlos

San Mateo County Child Care Study - 2016

Note All footnote references can be found in Table C-1 at the end of this file

Sources 2010 US Census ABAG Projections 2013 2014 American Community Survey ACS Journey-to-Work data 2006-2008 and 2006-2010

Child Care Coordinating Council of San Mateo County (4Cs) Community Care Licensing Brion Economics Inc

Prepared by Brion Economics Inc 2513-SMC NA Final Tables 61216 6122016

SAN MATEO

Child Care as of 2015

No of

Providers

Under 2 Years

Old

2 to 4 Year

Olds

Total 0 to 4

Years

EXISTING DEMAND Child Care Demand

Estimated Total Children

Average LFPRAdjustment Factor

Children With Working Parents

Licensed Care Demand Factor

Resident Children Needing Licensed Care

of Total Resident Children Needing Licensed Care

Children from Non-Resident Employees Needing

Licensed Care

(1)

(2)

(3)

2943 4213

71

2087 3793

37

772 3537

26 84

231 348

7156

5880

73

4309

60

579

Total Demand for Child Care Spaces

Distribution

EXISTING SUPPLY (4)

1003 3886

21 79

Child Care Spaces

4889

100

Family Child Care Home Supply

Child Care Center Supply

Current Child Care Supply

Distribution

EXISTING SURPLUS(SHORTAGE)

Distribution

Percentage of Demand Met

by Existing FacilitiesSpaces

Shortage of Family Child Care Home Spaces

Shortage of Center-Based Spaces

(5)

(6)

(6)

126

59

185

492 619

209 2577

701 3196

18 82

(302) (690)

30 70

70 82

(212) (134)

(90) (557)

1111

2786

3897

100

(992)

100

80

(345)

(647)

FINAL

Table A-18

Existing Child Care Demand and Supply in 2015 in San Mateo

San Mateo County Child Care Study - 2016

Note All footnote references can be found in Table C-1 at the end of this file

Sources 2010 US Census ABAG Projections 2013 2014 American Community Survey ACS Journey-to-Work data 2006-2008 and 2006-2010

Child Care Coordinating Council of San Mateo County (4Cs) Community Care Licensing Brion Economics Inc

Prepared by Brion Economics Inc 2513-SMC NA Final Tables 61216 6122016

SOUTH COAST

Child Care as of 2015

No of

Providers

Under 2 Years

Old

2 to 4 Year

Olds

Total 0 to 4

Years

EXISTING DEMAND Child Care Demand

Estimated Total Children

Average LFPRAdjustment Factor

Children With Working Parents

Licensed Care Demand Factor

Resident Children Needing Licensed Care

of Total Resident Children Needing Licensed Care

Children from Non-Resident Employees Needing

Licensed Care

(1)

(2)

(3)

21 29

54

11 25

37

4 23

20 81

0 0

50

36

77

28

56

0

Total Demand for Child Care Spaces

Distribution

EXISTING SUPPLY (4)

4 23

15 85

Child Care Spaces

28

100

Family Child Care Home Supply

Child Care Center Supply

Current Child Care Supply

Distribution

EXISTING SURPLUS(SHORTAGE)

Distribution

Percentage of Demand Met

by Existing FacilitiesSpaces

Shortage of Family Child Care Home Spaces

Shortage of Center-Based Spaces

(5)

(6)

(6)

-

2

2

- -

- 54

- 54

0 100

(4) 31

-16 116

0 230

(2) NA

(2) NA

0

54

54

100

26

100

195

(2)

(2)

FINAL

Table A-19

Existing Child Care Demand and Supply in 2015 in South Coast

San Mateo County Child Care Study - 2016

Note All footnote references can be found in Table C-1 at the end of this file

Sources 2010 US Census ABAG Projections 2013 2014 American Community Survey ACS Journey-to-Work data 2006-2008 and 2006-2010

Child Care Coordinating Council of San Mateo County (4Cs) Community Care Licensing Brion Economics Inc

Prepared by Brion Economics Inc 2513-SMC NA Final Tables 61216 6122016

SOUTH SAN FRANCISCO

Child Care as of 2015

No of

Providers

Under 2 Years

Old

2 to 4 Year

Olds

Total 0 to 4

Years

EXISTING DEMAND Child Care Demand

Estimated Total Children

Average LFPRAdjustment Factor

Children With Working Parents

Licensed Care Demand Factor

Resident Children Needing Licensed Care

of Total Resident Children Needing Licensed Care

Children from Non-Resident Employees Needing

Licensed Care

(1)

(2)

(3)

1649 2507

73

1206 2278

37

446 2123

27 85

309 466

4156

3484

74

2569

62

774

Total Demand for Child Care Spaces

Distribution

EXISTING SUPPLY (4)

755 2588

23 77

Child Care Spaces

3343

100

Family Child Care Home Supply

Child Care Center Supply

Current Child Care Supply

Distribution

EXISTING SURPLUS(SHORTAGE)

Distribution

Percentage of Demand Met

by Existing FacilitiesSpaces

Shortage of Family Child Care Home Spaces

Shortage of Center-Based Spaces

(5)

(6)

(6)

68

27

95

252 317

400 1966

652 2283

22 78

(103) (306)

25 75

86 88

(40) (42)

(63) (263)

569

2366

2935

100

(408)

100

88

(82)

(326)

FINAL

Table A-20

Existing Child Care Demand and Supply in 2015 in South San Francisco

San Mateo County Child Care Study - 2016

Note All footnote references can be found in Table C-1 at the end of this file Sources 2010 US Census ABAG Projections 2013 2014 American Community Survey ACS Journey-to-Work data 2006-2008 and 2006-2010

Child Care Coordinating Council of San Mateo County (4Cs) Community Care Licensing Brion Economics Inc

Prepared by Brion Economics Inc 2513-SMC NA Final Tables 61216 6122016

WOODSIDE

No of

Providers

Child Care as of 2015

Under 2 Years

Old

2 to 4 Year

Olds

Total 0 to 4

Years

EXISTING DEMAND Child Care Demand

Estimated Total Children

Average LFPRAdjustment Factor

Children With Working Parents

Licensed Care Demand Factor

Resident Children Needing Licensed Care

of Total Resident Children Needing Licensed Care

Children from Non-Resident Employees Needing

Licensed Care

(1)

(2)

(3)

90 160

56

50 136

37

18 128

21 80

8 13

250

186

79

147

59

21

Total Demand for Child Care Spaces

Distribution

EXISTING SUPPLY (4)

27 141

16 84

Child Care Spaces

168

100

Family Child Care Home Supply

Child Care Center Supply

Current Child Care Supply

Distribution

EXISTING SURPLUS(SHORTAGE)

Distribution

Percentage of Demand Met

by Existing FacilitiesSpaces

Shortage of Family Child Care Home Spaces

Shortage of Center-Based Spaces

(5)

(6)

(6)

1

2

3

4 5

0 103

4 108

4 96

(23) (33)

41 59

16 77

(23) (2)

0 (31)

9

103

112

100

(55)

100

67

(24)

(31)

FINAL

Table A-21

Existing Child Care Demand and Supply in 2015 in Woodside

San Mateo County Child Care Study - 2016

Note All footnote references can be found in Table C-1 at the end of this file Sources 2010 US Census ABAG Projections 2013 2014 American Community Survey ACS Journey-to-Work data 2006-2008 and 2006-2010

Child Care Coordinating Council of San Mateo County (4Cs) Community Care Licensing Brion Economics Inc

Prepared by Brion Economics Inc 2513-SMC NA Final Tables 61216 6122016

COUNTYWIDE

Child Care as of 2025

No of

Providers

Under 2 Years

Old

2 to 4 Year

Olds

Total 0 to 4

Years

EXISTING DEMAND Child Care Demand

Estimated Total Children

Average LFPRAdjustment Factor

Children With Working Parents

Licensed Care Demand Factor

Resident Children Needing Licensed Care

of Total Resident Children Needing Licensed Care

Children from Non-Resident Employees Needing

Licensed Care

Total Demand for Child Care Spaces

Distribution

EXISTING SUPPLY

(1)

(2)

(3)

(4)

20790 31340

71

14704 28273

37

5441 26432

26 84

2037 3074

7478 29506

20 80

Child Care Spaces

52130

42978

86

31873

61

5112

36984

100

Family Child Care Home Supply

Child Care Center Supply

Current Child Care Supply

Distribution

EXISTING SURPLUS(SHORTAGE)

Distribution

Percentage of Demand Met

by Existing FacilitiesSpaces

Shortage of Family Child Care Home Spaces

Shortage of Center-Based Spaces

(5)

(6)

(6)

621

309

930

2301 2893

1514 16296

3815 19189

17 83

(3663) (10318)

26 74

51 65

(2209) (1555)

(1454) (8762)

5193

17810

23003

100

(13981)

100

62

(3765)

(10216)

FINAL

Table B-1

Future C hild Care Demand and Supply in 2025 Countywide

San Mateo County Child Care Study - 2016

Note All footnote references can be found in Table C-1 at the end of this file

Sources 2010 US Census ABAG Projections 2013 2014 American Community Survey ACS Journey-to-Work data 2006-2008 and 2006-2010

Child Care Coordinating Council of San Mateo County (4Cs) Community Care Licensing Brion Economics Inc

Prepared by Brion Economics Inc 2513-SMC NA Final Tables 61216 6122016

ATHERTON

No of

Providers

Child Care as of 2025

Under 2 Years

Old

2 to 4 Year

Olds

Total 0 to 4

Years

EXISTING DEMAND Child Care Demand

Estimated Total Children

Average LFPRAdjustment Factor

Children With Working Parents

Licensed Care Demand Factor

Resident Children Needing Licensed Care

of Total Resident Children Needing Licensed Care

Children from Non-Resident Employees Needing

Licensed Care

(1)

(2)

(3)

109 193

40

43 159

37

16 154

15 80

13 19

302

202

84

170

56

32

Total Demand for Child Care Spaces

Distribution

EXISTING SUPPLY (4)

29 173

14 86

Child Care Spaces

201

100

Family Child Care Home Supply

Child Care Center Supply

Current Child Care Supply

Distribution

EXISTING SURPLUS(SHORTAGE)

Distribution

Percentage of Demand Met

by Existing FacilitiesSpaces

Shortage of Family Child Care Home Spaces

Shortage of Center-Based Spaces

(5)

(6)

(6)

1

6

7

5 6

24 267

29 273

10 90

0 101

0 100

101 158

NA NA

NA NA

11

291

302

100

101

100

150

NA

NA

FINAL

Table B-2

Future Child Care Demand and Supply in 2025 in Atherton

San Mateo Co unty Child Care Study - 2016

Note All footnote references can be found in Table C-1 at the end of this file Sources 2010 US Census ABAG Projections 2013 2014 American Community Survey ACS Journey-to-Work data 2006-2008 and 2006-2010

Child Care Coordinating Council of San Mateo County (4Cs) Community Care Licensing Brion Economics Inc

Prepared by Brion Economics Inc 2513-SMC NA Final Tables 61216 6122016

BELMONT

Child Care as of 2025

No of

Providers

Under 2 Years

Old

2 to 4 Year

Olds

Total 0 to 4

Years

EXISTING DEMAND Child Care Demand

Estimated Total Children

Average LFPRAdjustment Factor

Children With Working Parents

Licensed Care Demand Factor

Resident Children Needing Licensed Care

of Total Resident Children Needing Licensed Care

Children from Non-Resident Employees Needing

Licensed Care

(1)

(2)

(3)

743 1095

77

574 1013

37

213 943

29 86

37 56

1838

1587

73

1156

63

93

Total Demand for Child Care Spaces

Distribution

EXISTING SUPPLY (4)

250 999

20 80

Child Care Spaces

1249

100

Family Child Care Home Supply

Child Care Center Supply

Current Child Care Supply

Distribution

EXISTING SURPLUS(SHORTAGE)

Distribution

Percentage of Demand Met

by Existing FacilitiesSpaces

Shortage of Family Child Care Home Spaces

Shortage of Center-Based Spaces

(5)

(6)

(6)

8

9

17

67 84

39 531

106 615

15 85

(143) (384)

27 73

43 62

(91) (53)

(53) (331)

152

570

722

100

(527)

100

58

(143)

(384)

FINAL

Table B-3

Future Child Care Demand and Supply in 2025 in Belmont

San Mateo County Child Care Study - 2016

Note All footnote references can be found in Table C-1 at the end of this file

Sources 2010 US Census ABAG Projections 2013 2014 American Community Survey ACS Journey-to-Work data 2006-2008 and 2006-2010

Child Care Coordinating Council of San Mateo County (4Cs) Community Care Licensing Brion Economics Inc

Prepared by Brion Economics Inc 2513-SMC NA Final Tables 61216 6122016

BRISBANE

Child Care as of 2025

No of

Providers

Under 2 Years

Old

2 to 4 Year

Olds

Total 0 to 4

Years

EXISTING DEMAND Child Care Demand

Estimated Total Children

Average LFPRAdjustment Factor

Children With Working Parents

Licensed Care Demand Factor

Resident Children Needing Licensed Care

of Total Resident Children Needing Licensed Care

Children from Non-Resident Employees Needing

Licensed Care

(1)

(2)

(3)

131 174

100

131 174

37

48 160

37 92

55 83

305

305

68

209

68

138

Total Demand for Child Care Spaces

Distribution

EXISTING SUPPLY (4)

103 243

30 70

Child Care Spaces

346

100

Family Child Care Home Supply

Child Care Center Supply

Current Child Care Supply

Distribution

EXISTING SURPLUS(SHORTAGE)

Distribution

Percentage of Demand Met

by Existing FacilitiesSpaces

Shortage of Family Child Care Home Spaces

Shortage of Center-Based Spaces

(5)

(6)

(6)

1

1

2

4 5

0 64

4 69

6 94

(99) (174)

36 64

4 29

(99) (13)

0 (160)

9

64

73

100

(273)

100

21

(112)

(160)

FINAL

Table B-4

Future Child Care Demand and Supply in 2025 in Brisbane

San Mateo County Child Care Study - 2016

Note All footnote references can be found in Table C-1 at the end of this file Sources 2010 US Census ABAG Projections 2013 2014 American Community Survey ACS Journey-to-Work data 2006-2008 and 2006-2010

Child Care Coordinating Council of San Mateo County (4Cs) Community Care Licensing Brion Economics Inc

Prepared by Brion Economics Inc 2513-SMC NA Final Tables 61216 6122016

BURLINGAME

Child Care as of 2025

No of

Providers

Under 2 Years

Old

2 to 4 Year

Olds

Total 0 to 4

Years

EXISTING DEMAND Child Care Demand

Estimated Total Children

Average LFPRAdjustment Factor

Children With Working Parents

Licensed Care Demand Factor

Resident Children Needing Licensed Care

of Total Resident Children Needing Licensed Care

Children from Non-Resident Employees Needing

Licensed Care

(1)

(2)

(3)

903 1332

65

587 1190

37

217 1124

24 84

154 232

2235

1777

75

1341

60

385

Total Demand for Child Care Spaces

Distribution

EXISTING SUPPLY (4)

371 1356

21 79

Child Care Spaces

1726

100

Family Child Care Home Supply

Child Care Center Supply

Current Child Care Supply

Distribution

EXISTING SURPLUS(SHORTAGE)

Distribution

Percentage of Demand Met

by Existing FacilitiesSpaces

Shortage of Family Child Care Home Spaces

Shortage of Center-Based Spaces

(5)

(6)

(6)

10

14

24

79 99

40 866

119 965

11 89

(252) (390)

39 61

32 71

(167) (40)

(85) (350)

179

906

1085

100

(642)

100

63

(207)

(434)

FINAL

Table B-5

Future Child Care Demand and Supply in 2025 in Burlingame

San Mateo County Child Care Study - 2016

Note All footnote references can be found in Table C-1 at the end of this file

Sources 2010 US Census ABAG Projections 2013 2014 American Community Survey ACS Journey-to-Work data 2006-2008 and 2006-2010

Child Care Coordinating Council of San Mateo County (4Cs) Community Care Licensing Brion Economics Inc

Prepared by Brion Economics Inc 2513-SMC NA Final Tables 61216 6122016

DALY CITYCOLMA

Child Care as of 2025

No of

Providers

Under 2 Years

Old

2 to 4 Year

Olds

Total 0 to 4

Years

EXISTING DEMAND Child Care Demand

Estimated Total Children

Average LFPRAdjustment Factor

Children With Working Parents

Licensed Care Demand Factor

Resident Children Needing Licensed Care

of Total Resident Children Needing Licensed Care

Children from Non-Resident Employees Needing

Licensed Care

(1)

(2)

(3)

2647 3793

74

1964 3467

37

727 3233

27 85

138 208

6440

5432

73

3960

61

346

Total Demand for Child Care Spaces

Distribution

EXISTING SUPPLY (4)

865 3441

20 80

Child Care Spaces

4306

100

Family Child Care Home Supply

Child Care Center Supply

Current Child Care Supply

Distribution

EXISTING SURPLUS(SHORTAGE)

Distribution

Percentage of Demand Met

by Existing FacilitiesSpaces

Shortage of Family Child Care Home Spaces

Shortage of Center-Based Spaces

(5)

(6)

(6)

25

28

28

288 362

84 1264

372 1626

19 81

(493) (1816)

21 79

43 47

(381) (404)

(111) (1412)

649

1348

1997

100

(2308)

100

46

(785)

(1523)

FINAL

Table B-6

Future C hild Care Demand and Supply in 2025 in Daly CityColma

San Mateo County Child Care Study - 2016

Note All footnote references can be found in Table C-1 at the end of this file

Sources 2010 US Census ABAG Projections 2013 2014 American Community Survey ACS Journey-to-Work data 2006-2008 and 2006-2010

Child Care Coordinating Council of San Mateo County (4Cs) Community Care Licensing Brion Economics Inc

Prepared by Brion Economics Inc 2513-SMC NA Final Tables 61216 6122016

EAST PALO ALTO

Child Care as of 2025

No of

Providers

Under 2 Years

Old

2 to 4 Year

Olds

Total 0 to 4

Years

EXISTING DEMAND Child Care Demand

Estimated Total Children

Average LFPRAdjustment Factor

Children With Working Parents

Licensed Care Demand Factor

Resident Children Needing Licensed Care

of Total Resident Children Needing Licensed Care

Children from Non-Resident Employees Needing

Licensed Care

(1)

(2)

(3)

1161 1849

71

822 1660

37

304 1545

26 84

20 30

3010

2482

75

1849

61

50

Total Demand for Child Care Spaces

Distribution

EXISTING SUPPLY (4)

324 1575

17 83

Child Care Spaces

1900

100

Family Child Care Home Supply

Child Care Center Supply

Current Child Care Supply

Distribution

EXISTING SURPLUS(SHORTAGE)

Distribution

Percentage of Demand Met

by Existing FacilitiesSpaces

Shortage of Family Child Care Home Spaces

Shortage of Center-Based Spaces

(5)

(6)

(6)

13

6

19

85 106

25 633

110 739

13 87

(215) (836)

20 80

34 47

(166) (120)

(49) (715)

191

658

849

100

(1050)

100

45

(286)

(764)

FINAL

Table B-7

Future Child Care Demand and Supply in 2025 in East Palo Alto

San Mateo County Child Care Study - 2016

Note All footnote references can be found in Table C-1 at the end of this file

Sources 2010 US Census ABAG Projections 2013 2014 American Community Survey ACS Journey-to-Work data 2006-2008 and 2006-2010

Child Care Coordinating Council of San Mateo County (4Cs) Community Care Licensing Brion Economics Inc

Prepared by Brion Economics Inc 2513-SMC NA Final Tables 61216 6122016

FOSTER CITY

Child Care as of 2025

No of

Providers

Under 2 Years

Old

2 to 4 Year

Olds

Total 0 to 4

Years

EXISTING DEMAND Child Care Demand

Estimated Total Children

Average LFPRAdjustment Factor

Children With Working Parents

Licensed Care Demand Factor

Resident Children Needing Licensed Care

of Total Resident Children Needing Licensed Care

Children from Non-Resident Employees Needing

Licensed Care

(1)

(2)

(3)

871 1330

63

550 1154

37

204 1079

23 81

80 120

2201

1705

75

1282

58

200

Total Demand for Child Care Spaces

Distribution

EXISTING SUPPLY (4)

283 1199

19 81

Child Care Spaces

1483

100

Family Child Care Home Supply

Child Care Center Supply

Current Child Care Supply

Distribution

EXISTING SURPLUS(SHORTAGE)

Distribution

Percentage of Demand Met

by Existing FacilitiesSpaces

Shortage of Family Child Care Home Spaces

Shortage of Center-Based Spaces

(5)

(6)

(6)

19

12

31

118 149

88 1200

206 1349

13 87

(77) 150

-106 206

73 112

(44) NA

(33) NA

267

1288

1555

100

73

100

105

(44)

(33)

FINAL

Table B-8

Future Child Care Demand and Supply in 2025 in Foster City

San Mateo County Child Care Study - 2016

Note All footnote references can be found in Table C-1 at the end of this file

Sources 2010 US Census ABAG Projections 2013 2014 American Community Survey ACS Journey-to-Work data 2006-2008 and 2006-2010

Child Care Coordinating Council of San Mateo County (4Cs) Community Care Licensing Brion Economics Inc

Prepared by Brion Economics Inc 2513-SMC NA Final Tables 61216 6122016

HALF MOON BAY REGION

Child Care as of 2025

No of

Providers

Under 2 Years

Old

2 to 4 Year

Olds

Total 0 to 4

Years

EXISTING DEMAND Child Care Demand

Estimated Total Children

Average LFPRAdjustment Factor

Children With Working Parents

Licensed Care Demand Factor

Resident Children Needing Licensed Care

of Total Resident Children Needing Licensed Care

Children from Non-Resident Employees Needing

Licensed Care

(1)

(2)

(3)

553 929

69

383 835

37

142 781

26 84

14 21

1482

1217

76

923

62

34

Total Demand for Child Care Spaces

Distribution

EXISTING SUPPLY (4)

155 802

16 84

Child Care Spaces

957

100

Family Child Care Home Supply

Child Care Center Supply

Current Child Care Supply

Distribution

EXISTING SURPLUS(SHORTAGE)

Distribution

Percentage of Demand Met

by Existing FacilitiesSpaces

Shortage of Family Child Care Home Spaces

Shortage of Center-Based Spaces

(5)

(6)

(6)

10

11

21

96 121

35 285

131 406

24 76

(24) (396)

6 94

84 51

(18) (118)

(6) (279)

216

320

536

100

(421)

100

56

(136)

(285)

FINAL

Table B-9

Future Child Care Demand and Supply in 2025 in Half Moon Bay Region

San Mateo County Child Care Study - 2016

Note All footnote references can be found in Table C-1 at the end of this file

Sources 2010 US Census ABAG Projections 2013 2014 American Community Survey ACS Journey-to-Work data 2006-2008 and 2006-2010

Child Care Coordinating Council of San Mateo County (4Cs) Community Care Licensing Brion Economics Inc

Prepared by Brion Economics Inc 2513-SMC NA Final Tables 61216 6122016

HILLSBOROUGH

Child Care as of 2025

No of

Providers

Under 2 Years

Old

2 to 4 Year

Olds

Total 0 to 4

Years

EXISTING DEMAND Child Care Demand

Estimated Total Children

Average LFPRAdjustment Factor

Children With Working Parents

Licensed Care Demand Factor

Resident Children Needing Licensed Care

of Total Resident Children Needing Licensed Care

Children from Non-Resident Employees Needing

Licensed Care

(1)

(2)

(3)

143 343

52

74 295

37

27 282

19 82

7 11

487

369

84

309

64

17

Total Demand for Child Care Spaces

Distribution

EXISTING SUPPLY (4)

34 292

10 90

Child Care Spaces

327

100

Family Child Care Home Supply

Child Care Center Supply

Current Child Care Supply

Distribution

EXISTING SURPLUS(SHORTAGE)

Distribution

Percentage of Demand Met

by Existing FacilitiesSpaces

Shortage of Family Child Care Home Spaces

Shortage of Center-Based Spaces

(5)

(6)

(6)

1

4

5

5 6

- 91

5 97

5 95

(29) (195)

13 87

14 33

(29) (12)

0 (183)

11

91

102

100

(225)

100

31

(42)

(183)

FINAL

Table B-10

Future Child Care Demand and Supply in 2025 in Hillsborough

San Mateo County Child Care Study - 2016

Note All footnote references can be found in Table C-1 at the end of this file

Sources 2010 US Census ABAG Projections 2013 2014 American Community Survey ACS Journey-to-Work data 2006-2008 and 2006-2010

Child Care Coordinating Council of San Mateo County (4Cs) Community Care Licensing Brion Economics Inc

Prepared by Brion Economics Inc 2513-SMC NA Final Tables 61216 6122016

MENLO PARK

Child Care as of 2025

No of

Providers

Under 2 Years

Old

2 to 4 Year

Olds

Total 0 to 4

Years

EXISTING DEMAND Child Care Demand

Estimated Total Children

Average LFPRAdjustment Factor

Children With Working Parents

Licensed Care Demand Factor

Resident Children Needing Licensed Care

of Total Resident Children Needing Licensed Care

Children from Non-Resident Employees Needing

Licensed Care

(1)

(2)

(3)

1327 1954

69

909 1759

37

336 1653

25 85

237 357

3281

2668

75

1989

61

594

Total Demand for Child Care Spaces

Distribution

EXISTING SUPPLY (4)

573 2011

22 78

Child Care Spaces

2584

100

Family Child Care Home Supply

Child Care Center Supply

Current Child Care Supply

Distribution

EXISTING SURPLUS(SHORTAGE)

Distribution

Percentage of Demand Met

by Existing FacilitiesSpaces

Shortage of Family Child Care Home Spaces

Shortage of Center-Based Spaces

(5)

(6)

(6)

15

25

40

76 96

73 1331

149 1427

9 91

(424) (584)

42 58

26 71

(217) (39)

(207) (544)

172

1404

1576

100

(1008)

100

61

(256)

(752)

FINAL

Table B-11

Future Child Care Demand and Supply in 2025 in Menlo Park

San Mateo County Child Care Study - 2016

Note All footnote references can be found in Table C-1 at the end of this file

Sources 2010 US Census ABAG Projections 2013 2014 American Community Survey ACS Journey-to-Work data 2006-2008 and 2006-2010

Child Care Coordinating Council of San Mateo County (4Cs) Community Care Licensing Brion Economics Inc

Prepared by Brion Economics Inc 2513-SMC NA Final Tables 61216 6122016

MILLBRAE

Child Care as of 2025

No of

Providers

Under 2 Years

Old

2 to 4 Year

Olds

Total 0 to 4

Years

EXISTING DEMAND Child Care Demand

Estimated Total Children

Average LFPRAdjustment Factor

Children With Working Parents

Licensed Care Demand Factor

Resident Children Needing Licensed Care

of Total Resident Children Needing Licensed Care

Children from Non-Resident Employees Needing

Licensed Care

(1)

(2)

(3)

473 805

62

291 710

37

108 672

23 83

31 47

1278

1001

78

780

61

77

Total Demand for Child Care Spaces

Distribution

EXISTING SUPPLY (4)

139 718

16 84

Child Care Spaces

857

100

Family Child Care Home Supply

Child Care Center Supply

Current Child Care Supply

Distribution

EXISTING SURPLUS(SHORTAGE)

Distribution

Percentage of Demand Met

by Existing FacilitiesSpaces

Shortage of Family Child Care Home Spaces

Shortage of Center-Based Spaces

(5)

(6)

(6)

7

7

14

62 78

- 376

62 454

12 88

(76) (264)

22 78

45 63

(76) (46)

0 (219)

141

376

517

100

(340)

100

60

(122)

(219)

FINAL

Table B-12

Future C hild Care Demand and Supply in 2025 in Millbrae

San Mateo County Child Care Study - 2016

Note All footnote references can be found in Table C-1 at the end of this file

Sources 2010 US Census ABAG Projections 2013 2014 American Community Survey ACS Journey-to-Work data 2006-2008 and 2006-2010

Child Care Coordinating Council of San Mateo County (4Cs) Community Care Licensing Brion Economics Inc

Prepared by Brion Economics Inc 2513-SMC NA Final Tables 61216 6122016

FINAL

Table B-13

Future Child Care Demand and Supply in 2025 in Pacifica

San Mateo County Child Care Study - 2016

PACIFICA

Child Care as of 2025

No of

Providers

Under 2 Years

Old

2 to 4 Year

Olds

Total 0 to 4

Years

EXISTING DEMAND Child Care Demand

Estimated Total Children

Average L FPRAdjustment Factor

Children With Working Parents

Licensed Care Demand Factor

Resident Children Needing Licensed Care

of Total Resident Children Needing Licensed Care

Children from Non-Resident Employees Needing

Licensed Care

(1)

(2)

(3)

816 1300

78

633 1209

37

234 1130

29 87

19 29

2116

1842

74

1364

64

48

Total Demand for Child Care Spaces

Distribution

EXISTING SUPPLY (4)

254 1159

18 82

Child Care Spaces

1413

100

Family Child Care Home Supply

Child Care Center Supply

Current Child Care Supply

Distribution

EXISTING SURPLUS(SHORTAGE)

Distribution

Percentage of Demand Met

by Existing FacilitiesSpaces

Shortage of Family Child Care Home Spaces

Shortage of Center-Based Spaces

(5)

(6)

(6)

9

18

27

77 97

39 701

116 798

13 87

(138) (361)

28 72

46 69

(91) (44)

(46) (317)

174

740

914

100

(499)

100

65

(135)

(364)

Note All footnote references can be found in Table C-1 at the end of this file

Sources 2010 US Census ABAG Projections 2013 2014 American Community Survey ACS Journey-to-Work data 2006-2008 and 2006-2010

Child Care Coordinating Council of San Mateo County (4Cs) Community Care Licensing Brion Economics Inc

Prepared by Brion Economics Inc 2513-SMC NA Final Tables 61216 6122016

PORTOLA VALLEY

Child Care as of 2025

No of

Providers

Under 2 Years

Old

2 to 4 Year

Olds

Total 0 to 4

Years

EXISTING DEMAND Child Care Demand

Estimated Total Children

Average LFPRAdjustment Factor

Children With Working Parents

Licensed Care Demand Factor

Resident Children Needing Licensed Care

of Total Resident Children Needing Licensed Care

Children from Non-Resident Employees Needing

Licensed Care

(1)

(2)

(3)

77 192

66

51 173

37

19 164

24 85

9 13

269

224

82

182

68

22

Total Demand for Child Care Spaces

Distribution

EXISTING SUPPLY (4)

28 177

13 87

Child Care Spaces

204

100

Family Child Care Home Supply

Child Care Center Supply

Current Child Care Supply

Distribution

EXISTING SURPLUS(SHORTAGE)

Distribution

Percentage of Demand Met

by Existing FacilitiesSpaces

Shortage of Family Child Care Home Spaces

Shortage of Center-Based Spaces

(5)

(6)

(6)

0

4

4

- -

- 153

- 153

0 100

(28) (24)

54 46

0 87

0 0

(28) (24)

0

153

153

100

(51)

100

75

0

(51)

FINAL

Table B-14

Future Child Care Demand and Supply in 2025 in Portola Valley

San Mateo County Child Care Study - 2016

Note All footnote references can be found in Table C-1 at the end of this file

Sources 2010 US Census ABAG Projections 2013 2014 American Community Survey ACS Journey-to-Work data 2006-2008 and 2006-2010

Child Care Coordinating Council of San Mateo County (4Cs) Community Care Licensing Brion Economics Inc

Prepared by Brion Economics Inc 2513-SMC NA Final Tables 61216 6122016

REDWOOD CITY

No of

Providers

Child Care as of 2025

Under 2 Years

Old

2 to 4 Year

Olds

Total 0 to 4

Years

EXISTING DEMAND Child Care Demand

Estimated Total Children

Average LFPRAdjustment Factor

Children With Working Parents

Licensed Care Demand Factor

Resident Children Needing Licensed Care

of Total Resident Children Needing Licensed Care

Children from Non-Resident Employees Needing

Licensed Care

Total Demand for Child Care Spaces

Distribution

EXISTING SUPPLY

(1)

(2)

(3)

(4)

3725 5378

69

2555 4813

37

946 4505

25 84

466 703

1411 5208

21 79

Child Care Spaces

9103

7368

74

5450

60

1169

6619

100

Family Child Care Home Supply

Child Care Center Supply

Current Child Care Supply

Distribution

EXISTING SURPLUS(SHORTAGE)

Distribution

Percentage of Demand Met

by Existing FacilitiesSpaces

Shortage of Family Child Care Home Spaces

Shortage of Center-Based Spaces

(5)

(6)

(6)

42

41

83

396 497

356 2036

752 2533

23 77

(660) (2674)

20 80

53 49

(347) (525)

(313) (2149)

893

2392

3285

100

(3334)

100

50

(872)

(2462)

FINAL

Table B-15

Future Child Care Demand and Supply in 2025 in Redwood City

San Mateo County Child Care Study - 2016

Note All footnote references can be found in Table C-1 at the end of this file

Sources 2010 US Census ABAG Projections 2013 2014 American Community Survey ACS Journey-to-Work data 2006-2008 and 2006-2010

Child Care Coordinating Council of San Mateo County (4Cs) Community Care Licensing Brion Economics Inc

Prepared by Brion Economics Inc 2513-SMC NA Final Tables 61216 6122016

SAN BRUNO

Child Care as of 2025

No of

Providers

Under 2 Years

Old

2 to 4 Year

Olds

Total 0 to 4

Years

EXISTING DEMAND Child Care Demand

Estimated Total Children

Average LFPRAdjustment Factor

Children With Working Parents

Licensed Care Demand Factor

Resident Children Needing Licensed Care

of Total Resident Children Needing Licensed Care

Children from Non-Resident Employees Needing

Licensed Care

(1)

(2)

(3)

1189 1728

77

910 1589

37

337 1475

28 85

68 103

2917

2498

73

1812

62

171

Total Demand for Child Care Spaces

Distribution

EXISTING SUPPLY (4)

405 1578

20 80

Child Care Spaces

1983

100

Family Child Care Home Supply

Child Care Center Supply

Current Child Care Supply

Distribution

EXISTING SURPLUS(SHORTAGE)

Distribution

Percentage of Demand Met

by Existing FacilitiesSpaces

Shortage of Family Child Care Home Spaces

Shortage of Center-Based Spaces

(5)

(6)

(6)

13

15

28

122 153

26 1183

148 1336

10 90

(257) (242)

52 48

37 85

(212) (28)

(45) (214)

275

1209

1484

100

(499)

100

75

(239)

(259)

FINAL

Table B-16

Future C hild Care Demand and Supply in 2025 in San Bruno

San Mateo County Child Care Study - 2016

Note All footnote references can be found in Table C-1 at the end of this file

Sources 2010 US Census ABAG Projections 2013 2014 American Community Survey ACS Journey-to-Work data 2006-2008 and 2006-2010

Child Care Coordinating Council of San Mateo County (4Cs) Community Care Licensing Brion Economics Inc

Prepared by Brion Economics Inc 2513-SMC NA Final Tables 61216 6122016

SAN CARLOS

Child Care as of 2025

No of

Providers

Under 2 Years

Old

2 to 4 Year

Olds

Total 0 to 4

Years

EXISTING DEMAND Child Care Demand

Estimated Total Children

Average LFPRAdjustment Factor

Children With Working Parents

Licensed Care Demand Factor

Resident Children Needing Licensed Care

of Total Resident Children Needing Licensed Care

Children from Non-Resident Employees Needing

Licensed Care

(1)

(2)

(3)

778 1384

72

557 1255

37

206 1174

26 85

82 123

2162

1812

76

1380

64

205

Total Demand for Child Care Spaces

Distribution

EXISTING SUPPLY (4)

288 1297

18 82

Child Care Spaces

1585

100

Family Child Care Home Supply

Child Care Center Supply

Current Child Care Supply

Distribution

EXISTING SURPLUS(SHORTAGE)

Distribution

Percentage of Demand Met

by Existing FacilitiesSpaces

Shortage of Family Child Care Home Spaces

Shortage of Center-Based Spaces

(5)

(6)

(6)

28

14

42

73 92

76 615

149 707

17 83

(139) (590)

19 81

52 54

(68) (76)

(71) (514)

164

691

855

100

(729)

100

54

(145)

(585)

FINAL

Table B-17

Future Child Care Demand and Supply in 2025 in San Carlos

San Mateo County Child Care Study - 2016

Note All footnote references can be found in Table C-1 at the end of this file

Sources 2010 US Census ABAG Projections 2013 2014 American Community Survey ACS Journey-to-Work data 2006-2008 and 2006-2010

Child Care Coordinating Council of San Mateo County (4Cs) Community Care Licensing Brion Economics Inc

Prepared by Brion Economics Inc 2513-SMC NA Final Tables 61216 6122016

SAN MATEO

Child Care as of 2025

No of

Providers

Under 2 Years

Old

2 to 4 Year

Olds

Total 0 to 4

Years

EXISTING DEMAND Child Care Demand

Estimated Total Children

Average LFPRAdjustment Factor

Children With Working Parents

Licensed Care Demand Factor

Resident Children Needing Licensed Care

of Total Resident Children Needing Licensed Care

Children from Non-Resident Employees Needing

Licensed Care

(1)

(2)

(3)

3194 4572

71

2264 4116

37

838 3839

26 84

261 394

7766

6381

73

4677

60

656

Total Demand for Child Care Spaces

Distribution

EXISTING SUPPLY (4)

1099 4233

21 79

Child Care Spaces

5332

100

Family Child Care Home Supply

Child Care Center Supply

Current Child Care Supply

Distribution

EXISTING SURPLUS(SHORTAGE)

Distribution

Percentage of Demand Met

by Existing FacilitiesSpaces

Shortage of Family Child Care Home Spaces

Shortage of Center-Based Spaces

(5)

(6)

(6)

69

59

128

492 619

209 2577

701 3196

18 82

(398) (1037)

28 72

64 75

(279) (201)

(119) (837)

1111

2786

3897

100

(1435)

100

73

(480)

(955)

FINAL

Table B-18

Future Child Care Demand and Supply in 2025 in San Mateo

San Mateo County Child Care Study - 2016

Note All footnote references can be found in Table C-1 at the end of this file

Sources 2010 US Census ABAG Projections 2013 2014 American Community Survey ACS Journey-to-Work data 2006-2008 and 2006-2010

Child Care Coordinating Council of San Mateo County (4Cs) Community Care Licensing Brion Economics Inc

Prepared by Brion Economics Inc 2513-SMC NA Final Tables 61216 6122016

FINAL

Table B-19

Future Child Care Demand and Supply in 2025 in South Coast

San Mateo County Child Care Study - 2016

SOUTH COAST

Child Care as of 2025

No of

Providers

Under 2 Years

Old

2 to 4 Year

Olds

Total 0 to 4

Years

EXISTING DEMAND Child Care Demand

Estimated Total Children (1) 23 32 55

Average LFPRAdjustment Factor (2) 54

Children With Working Parents 12 27 40

Licensed Care Demand Factor (3) 37 77

Resident Children Needing Licensed Care 5 26 30

of Total Resident Children Needing Licensed Care 20 81 56

Children from Non-Resident Employees Needing

Licensed Care 0 0 0

Total Demand for Child Care Spaces 5 26 30

Distribution 15 85 100

EXISTING SUPPLY (4) Child Care Spaces

Family Child Care Home Supply - 0 0 0

Child Care Center Supply 2 0 54 54

Current Child Care Supply 2 - 54 54

Distribution 0 100 100

EXISTING SURPLUS(SHORTAGE) (5) 28 24

Distribution -19 119 100

Percentage of Demand Met

by Existing FacilitiesSpaces (5) 0 209 177

Shortage of Family Child Care Home Spaces (6) 0 NA 0

Shortage of Center-Based Spaces (6) (5) NA (5)

Note All footnote references can be found in Table C-1 at the end of this file

Sources 2010 US Census ABAG Projections 2013 2014 American Community Survey ACS Journey-to-Work data 2006-2008 and 2006-2010

Child Care Coordinating Council of San Mateo County (4Cs) Community Care Licensing Brion Economics Inc

Prepared by Brion Economics Inc 2513-SMC NA Final Tables 61216 6122016

SOUTH SAN FRANCISCO

Child Care as of 2025

No of

Providers

Under 2 Years

Old

2 to 4 Year

Olds

Total 0 to 4

Years

EXISTING DEMAND Child Care Demand

Estimated Total Children

Average LFPRAdjustment Factor

Children With Working Parents

Licensed Care Demand Factor

Resident Children Needing Licensed Care

of Total Resident Children Needing Licensed Care

Children from Non-Resident Employees Needing

Licensed Care

(1)

(2)

(3)

1835 2790

73

1342 2535

37

496 2362

27 85

339 512

4625

3877

74

2859

62

851

Total Demand for Child Care Spaces

Distribution

EXISTING SUPPLY (4)

835 2874

23 77

Child Care Spaces

3709

100

Family Child Care Home Supply

Child Care Center Supply

Current Child Care Supply

Distribution

EXISTING SURPLUS(SHORTAGE)

Distribution

Percentage of Demand Met

by Existing FacilitiesSpaces

Shortage of Family Child Care Home Spaces

Shortage of Center-Based Spaces

(5)

(6)

(6)

30

27

57

252 317

400 1966

652 2283

22 78

(183) (591)

24 76

78 79

(71) (82)

(113) (509)

569

2366

2935

100

(775)

100

79

(153)

(622)

FINAL

Table B-20

Future Child Care Demand and Supply in 2025 in South San Francisco

San Mateo County Child Care Study - 2016

Note All footnote references can be found in Table C-1 at the end of this file

Sources 2010 US Census ABAG Projections 2013 2014 American Community Survey ACS Journey-to-Work data 2006-2008 and 2006-2010

Child Care Coordinating Council of San Mateo County (4Cs) Community Care Licensing Brion Economics Inc

Prepared by Brion Economics Inc 2513-SMC NA Final Tables 61216 6122016

WOODSIDE

No of

Providers

Child Care as of 2025

Under 2 Years

Old

2 to 4 Year

Olds

Total 0 to 4

Years

EXISTING DEMAND Child Care Demand

Estimated Total Children

Average LFPRAdjustment Factor

Children With Working Parents

Licensed Care Demand Factor

Resident Children Needing Licensed Care

of Total Resident Children Needing Licensed Care

Children from Non-Resident Employees Needing

Licensed Care

(1)

(2)

(3)

93 165

56

51 140

37

19 132

21 80

9 13

258

192

79

152

59

22

Total Demand for Child Care Spaces

Distribution

EXISTING SUPPLY (4)

28 146

16 84

Child Care Spaces

174

100

Family Child Care Home Supply

Child Care Center Supply

Current Child Care Supply

Distribution

EXISTING SURPLUS(SHORTAGE)

Distribution

Percentage of Demand Met

by Existing FacilitiesSpaces

Shortage of Family Child Care Home Spaces

Shortage of Center-Based Spaces

(5)

(6)

(6)

1

2

3

4 5

- 103

4 108

4 96

(24) (38)

39 61

15 74

(24) (2)

0 (36)

9

103

112

100

(61)

100

65

(26)

(36)

FINAL

Table B-21

Future Child Care Demand and Supply in 2025 in Woodside

San Mateo County Child Care Study - 2016

Note All footnote references can be found in Table C-1 at the end of this file

Sources 2010 US Census ABAG Projections 2013 2014 American Community Survey ACS Journey-to-Work data 2006-2008 and 2006-2010

Child Care Coordinating Council of San Mateo County (4Cs) Community Care Licensing Brion Economics Inc

Prepared by Brion Economics Inc 2513-SMC NA Final Tables 61216 6122016

FINAL

Table C-1

Endnotes for Tables

San Mateo County Child Care Study - 2016

(1) Population by age is based on the percentage breakdown from the 2010 US Census and applied

to population estimates for 2015 using ABAGs Projections 2013 population data The ABAG data

for each area includes its Sphere of Influence and is not based on strict jurisdictional boundaries

(2) Labor force participation rates are from the 5-Year American Community Survey 2014 and include

children under six years old with two working parents or a single working parent For the 2- to 4-year

olds the labor force participation rate is applied to 2 year olds For 3- and 4-year olds it is assumed

that 100 need licensed care to support preschool for every child so the number of

3- and 4-year olds is not discounted by labor force participation rates

(3) Not all children with working parents are assumed to need licensed care percentage assumptions are

used to calculate the number of children requiring licensed care under each age category The

remaining children are assumed to be cared for in alternate arrangements such as by family members

nannies friends and other unlicensed care For children ages 3- and 4-years old it is assumed that

they all need care in the form of preschool

(4) Data on child care supply provided by the Child Care Coordinating Council of San Mateo County (4Cs)

and Community Care Licensing Division of the California Department of Social Services (CCLD) Data is

for June 2015

(5) Demand that calculates as less than 100 means that there is greater demand than supply percent of

demand that is over 100 means supply exceeds demand

(6) Unmet demand is broken down into shortage by type of care based on the proportion of FCCHs and

child care centers spaces available in each area If an area does not have any FCCHs or centers the

unmet demand is placed in the type of care that is available in the area (eg if there are only centers

all demand goes to centers)

Source Brion Economics Inc

Prepared by Brion Economics Inc 2513-SMC NA Final Tables 61216 6122016

DRAFT REPORT

Table C-2

Labor Force Participation Rates by CityArea

San Mateo County Child Care Study - 2016

CityArea

Labor Force

Participation Rate (1)

Atherton

Belmont

Brisbane

Burlingame

Daly CityColma

East Palo Alto

Foster City

Half Moon Bay Region

Hillsborough

Menlo Park

Millbrae

Pacifica

Portola Valley

Redwood City

San Bruno

San Carlos

San Mateo

South Coast

South San Francisco

Woodside

40

77

100

65

74

71

63

69

52

69

62

78

66

69

77

72

71

54

73

56

(1) Labor force participation rates (LFPRs) are for

families with children under age six with two

working parents or a single parent who works Sources American Community Survey 2014 5-Year

Survey Brion Economics Inc

Prepared by Brion Economics Inc 2513-SMC NA Final Tables 61216 6122016

  • 2513-SMC FINAL NA Memo-61216
  • 2513-SMC NA Final Tables 61216
Page 5: Final San Mateo County Child Care Needs … Care...Future C hild Care Demand and Supply in 2025 in Daly City/Colma San Mateo County Child Care Study - 2016 Note: All footnote references

Final Child Care Needs Assessment ndash 2015 and 2025 San Mateo Early Learning Facilities Study

June 12 2016 Page 5 of 9

of 2470 Based on a new study2 by the Menlo Park Fire Protection District (MPFPD) employment at 2025 is estimated at 40300 which is substantially higher or a net increase of almost 84003 For East Palo Alto ABAG also underestimates growth forecasting a total of 3310 employees in 2025 Based on the study by MPFPD this figure is estimated at 6046 jobs Because other cities may be planning for growth that we are not aware of we are using the published ABAG projections for all of the citiesareas even though we know that some figures may be understated This suggests that the analysis is conservative and growth and therefore child care demand may be higher than analyzed here

Also shown in Table 4 is the percent and number of employees that work in each cityarea but live outside the County based on data from the US Census Journey-to-Work data4 These numbers are calculated for 2015 and the 2015 assumptions are applied to 2025 total employment estimates Overall approximately 41 of employees that work in citiesareas of San Mateo County reside outside of the County In 2015 this accounts for approximately 154300 employees and in 2025 it is estimated to total 170400 employees based on applying current percentages to future employment estimates

Supply

Table 5 summarizes current licensed and legally license-exempt5 child care supply by age group for Infants and Preschool by cityarea as of June 2015 based on information provided by Child Care Coordinating Council of San Mateo County (4Cs) and Child Care Licensing Supply data includes the number of providers by type (either Family Child Care Homes or Licensed Centers) and breaks down the number of spaces by age group either Infants or Preschool Total child care supply for each cityarea is calculated as well as the distribution of spaces by age group6

Countywide there are approximately 3800 infant spaces and 19200 preschool spaces for a total of just over 23000 spaces Based on actual number of spaces the City of San Mateo has the most with almost 3900 spaces It is followed by Redwood City with approximately 3300 spaces

2 Based on data from ldquoPublic Review Draft Menlo Park Fire Protection District Emergency Services and Fire Protection Impact Fee Nexus Study 2015rdquo 3 The Menlo Park Fire Protection District Study estimates employment at 2015 and 2035 The figure used here for 2025 was calculated using an average growth rate per year and applying it to the next 10 years 4 For cities with populations over 65000 the Journey-to-Work data is from 2006-2008 (most current available) for cities with smaller populations the data is based on a different Journey-to-Work data from 2006-2010 (most current available) Data was provided by Shimon Israel at MTC in March 2016 5 Legally license-exempt programs include programs run by City Park amp Recreation programs Co-operativeParent Participation programs school district programs and federal migrant programs 6 One center with an Atherton address and five centers with Menlo Park addresses have been moved to count towards Redwood City per Kristen Andersonrsquos request

Prepared by Brion Economics Inc Final Report

Final Child Care Needs Assessment ndash 2015 and 2025 San Mateo Early Learning Facilities Study

June 12 2016 Page 6 of 9

Demand

Demand is calculated by taking the number of children by age group with working parents based on applying labor force participation rates (LFPRs) for children under age six (from the 2014 5-Year American Community Survey) to the number of Infants and Preschoolers to calculate the number of children in each of those age groups with working parents Three- and four-year-olds are not discounted by LFPRs because the County wants to include all three- and four-year-olds in the demand factor to support the Countyrsquos universal preschool policy Labor force participation rates include families with two working parents or a single parent who works

Relevant demand factors are then applied to the number of children with working parents to determine the number of those children requiring licensed care as discussed above It is assumed that only a percentage of children with working parents require licensed care because some parents choose to have nannies extended family friends or other arrangements for their children and are therefore not looking for a licensed child care space

For Infants a demand factor of 37 is applied This is the demand factor recommended by the California Child Care Coordinators Association for needs assessments and agreed upon by the data committee for this project

For Preschool children demand factors typically vary between 75 and 100 of children with working parents At the direction of the data committee we are using 100 of three- and four-year-old children requiring care regardless of whether their parents work in support of the Countyrsquos overall policy to promote universal preschool For two-year-olds a 75 licensed care demand factor is applied after LFPRs are applied For three- and four-year-olds a 100 licensed care demand factor is applied assuming all three- and four-year-olds in the County require a licensed child care space

Once demand is calculated the percent distribution of total demand for spaces by age group is calculated as well as the percent of total children requiring licensed care

The total demand for spaces by age group for both 2015 and 2025 is summarized in Table 6 At 2015 Redwood City shows the greatest demand for both age groups needing over 5800 spaces The City of San Mateo follows requiring almost 5000 spaces Overall there is demand for over 6800 infant spaces and almost 27000 preschool spaces or 33800 spaces countywide in 2015 In 2025 the demand in Redwood City is still highest with a 179 increase for total demand of over 6600 spaces In 2025 it is expected that there will be a need for 7500 infant spaces and 29500 preschool spaces for a total demand of almost 37000 licensed child care spaces

Current child care demand from employees is calculated in Table 7 based on the employment numbers calculated in Table 4 for each cityarea It is assumed that 3 of employees require

Prepared by Brion Economics Inc Final Report

Final Child Care Needs Assessment ndash 2015 and 2025 San Mateo Early Learning Facilities Study

June 12 2016 Page 7 of 9

licensed care in the County based on other studies that have looked at employee demand The analysis assumes one child aged birth to four years old per employee on average Of those children it is assumed that 40 require infant spaces and 60 require preschool spaces This breakdown is based on the current ratio of infants and preschool age children in the County currently It is estimated that there are approximately 4600 children of employees who work in the County that require care Of those 1800 are estimated to be infants and almost 2800 are estimated to be preschool age Demand for SF Airport is included in total demand for South San Francisco and employee demand for the Remainder area is applied to Redwood City

Table 8 presents the same data as Table 7 but for 2025 conditions It is estimated that 5100 employee children from birth to four years old will demand licensed care in the County in 2025 with approximately 2000 requiring infant spaces and 3100 requiring preschool spaces

The surplusshortage and percent of demand met for licensed infant and preschool care by cityarea in 2015 is shown in Table 9 Countywide 56 of infant demand is met and 71 of current preschool demand is met Table 10 shows the same data for 2025 it is estimated that 51 and 65 of demand for infant and preschool spaces respectively will be met These figures assume existing supply and do not account for any new supply that may be built over the next 10 years The communities of Atherton Foster City and South Coast do show some surpluses of child care spaces

The number of current child care providers by type is summarized in Table 11 There are currently 621 family child care homes and 309 licensed and license-exempt centers in San Mateo County

Tables 12 and 13 summarize the shortage of spaces by type (family child care home or center) and by age group (infant or preschool) at 2015 and 2025 These figures are estimated based on the current distribution of space by type of providers on a pro rata basis For example if a community has 60 of its infant spaces in family child care homes and 40 in centers the current shortage of spaces is distributed at that same ratio If there is a shortage of 100 infant spaces it would be assumed that 60 new infant spaces at family child care homes and 40 center spaces would be needed

Table A-1 shows a summary of current 2015 supply and demand countywide and Tables A-2 through A-21 estimate supply and demand by cityarea Tables B-1 through B-21 show the summary of future demand compared to existing supply at 2025 Table C-1 has the endnotes for all of the A and B Tables and Table C-2 summarizes labor force participation rates by cityarea

Prepared by Brion Economics Inc Final Report

Final Child Care Needs Assessment ndash 2015 and 2025 San Mateo Early Learning Facilities Study

June 12 2016 Page 8 of 9

APPENDIX TABLES Table Index Appendix A Child Care Needs Assessment (Supply and Demand) as of 2015 and 2015 San Mateo County Child Care Study - 2016 Table Table Name

Table 1 Population Summary Table for 2010 2015 and 2025 Table 2 Population Growth by City 2015 and 2025 from ABAG Table 3 Population by Age Group by City 2015 and 2025 Table 4 Employment Growth and Employee Residence by City 2015 and 2025 Table 5 Child Care Supply Summary Table for 2015 Table 6 Child Care Demand Summary Table for 2015 and 2025 Table 7 Employee Demand Summary Table for 2015 Table 8 Employee Demand Summary Table for 2025 Table 9 Summary of Demand Met by Existing Facilities in Each Community at 2015 Table 10 Summary of Demand Met by Existing Facilities in Each Community at 2025 Table 11 Number of Child Care Providers by City in 2015 Table 12 Summary of Shortage of Child Care Center Spaces by Age - 2015 Table 13 Summary of Shortage of Child Care Center Spaces by Age - 2025

Existing Conditions - 2015 Table A-1 Existing Child Care Demand and Supply in 2015 Countywide Table A-2 Existing Child Care Demand and Supply in 2015 in Atherton Table A-3 Existing Child Care Demand and Supply in 2015 in Belmont Table A-4 Existing Child Care Demand and Supply in 2015 in Brisbane Table A-5 Existing Child Care Demand and Supply in 2015 in Burlingame Table A-6 Existing Child Care Demand and Supply in 2015 in Daly CityColma Table A-7 Existing Child Care Demand and Supply in 2015 in East Palo Alto Table A-8 Existing Child Care Demand and Supply in 2015 in Foster City Table A-9 Existing Child Care Demand and Supply in 2015 in Half Moon Bay Region Table A-10 Existing Child Care Demand and Supply in 2015 in Hillsborough Table A-11 Existing Child Care Demand and Supply in 2015 in Menlo Park Table A-12 Existing Child Care Demand and Supply in 2015 in Millbrae Table A-13 Existing Child Care Demand and Supply in 2015 in Pacifica Table A-14 Existing Child Care Demand and Supply in 2015 in Portola Valley Table A-15 Existing Child Care Demand and Supply in 2015 in Redwood City Table A-16 Existing Child Care Demand and Supply in 2015 in San Bruno Table A-17 Existing Child Care Demand and Supply in 2015 in San Carlos Table A-18 Existing Child Care Demand and Supply in 2015 in San Mateo Table A-19 Existing Child Care Demand and Supply in 2015 in South Coast Table A-20 Existing Child Care Demand and Supply in 2015 in South San Francisco Table A-21 Existing Child Care Demand and Supply in 2015 in Woodside Continued

Prepared by Brion Economics Inc Final Report

Final Child Care Needs Assessment ndash 2015 and 2025 San Mateo Early Learning Facilities Study

June 12 2016 Page 9 of 9

Future Conditions - 2025 Table B-1 Future Child Care Demand and Supply in 2025 Countywide Table B-2 Future Child Care Demand and Supply in 2025 in Atherton Table B-3 Future Child Care Demand and Supply in 2025 in Belmont Table B-4 Future Child Care Demand and Supply in 2025 in Brisbane Table B-5 Future Child Care Demand and Supply in 2025 in Burlingame Table B-6 Future Child Care Demand and Supply in 2025 in Daly CityColma Table B-7 Future Child Care Demand and Supply in 2025 in East Palo Alto Table B-8 Future Child Care Demand and Supply in 2025 in Foster City Table B-9 Future Child Care Demand and Supply in 2025 in Half Moon Bay Region Table B-10 Future Child Care Demand and Supply in 2025 in Hillsborough Table B-11 Future Child Care Demand and Supply in 2025 in Menlo Park Table B-12 Future Child Care Demand and Supply in 2025 in Millbrae Table B-13 Future Child Care Demand and Supply in 2025 in Pacifica Table B-14 Future Child Care Demand and Supply in 2025 in Portola Valley Table B-15 Future Child Care Demand and Supply in 2025 in Redwood City Table B-16 Future Child Care Demand and Supply in 2025 in San Bruno Table B-17 Future Child Care Demand and Supply in 2025 in San Carlos Table B-18 Future Child Care Demand and Supply in 2025 in San Mateo Table B-19 Future Child Care Demand and Supply in 2025 in South Coast Table B-20 Future Child Care Demand and Supply in 2025 in South San Francisco Table B-21 Future Child Care Demand and Supply in 2025 in Woodside

Table C-1 Endnotes for Tables Table C-2 Labor Force Participation Rates by CityArea

Source Brion Economics Inc

Prepared by Brion Economics Inc Final Report

2010 Population 2010 Population 2015 Population

CityArea (Census) (ABAG) (ABAG)

Atherton 6914 6914 7100

Belmont 25835 25995 26600

Brisbane 4282 4282 4400

Burlingame 28806 29873 31300

Daly CityColma 102915 108167 111200

East Palo Alto 28155 28155 29200

Foster City 30567 30567 31000

Half Moon Bay Region (1) 22803 21956 22329

Hillsborough 10825 10825 11000

Menlo Park (2) 32026 36816 40850

Millbrae 21532 21532 22800

Pacifica 37234 37234 37600

Portola Valley 4353 6432 6500

Redwood City (2) 76815 100509 109350

San Bruno 41114 41114 43500

San Carlos 28406 30015 30800

San Mateo 97207 101234 105600

South Coast (3) 1684 847 871

South San Francisco 63632 63803 67400

Woodside 5287 5933 6000

Total 670392 712203 745400

FINAL

Table 1

Population Summary Table for 2010 2015 and 2025

San Mateo County Child Care Study - 2016

(1) Half Moon Bay Region includes the City of Half Moon Bay El Granada Montara

and Moss Beach

(2) ABAG Projections have 6300 people listed as Remainder population this

amount is divided equally between Menlo Park and Redwood City given that

they are surrounded by unincorporated areas

(3) South Coast includes La Honda Loma Mar and Pescadero

Sources 2010 US Census ABAG Projections 2013 Brion Economics Inc

Prepared by Brion Economics Inc 2513-SMC NA Final Tables 61216 6122016

CityArea

Population

at 2015

Population

at 2025

CHANGE 2015 to 2025

2015 to

2025 Change

Atherton

Belmont

Brisbane

Burlingame

Daly CityColma

East Palo Alto

Foster City

Half Moon Bay Region (1)

Hillsborough

Menlo Park (2)

Millbrae

Pacifica

Portola Valley

Redwood City (2)

San Bruno

San Carlos

San Mateo

South Coast (3)

South San Francisco

Woodside

Total by Age

7100

26600

4400

31300

111200

29200

31000

22329

11000

40850

22800

37600

6500

109350

43500

30800

105600

871

67400

6000

7400

27900

4600

34300

118000

32400

32300

24140

11400

42750

25600

39000

6700

121350

48400

32600

114600

960

75000

6200

300

1300

200

3000

6800

3200

1300

1811

400

1900

2800

1400

200

12000

4900

1800

9000

89

7600

200

42

49

45

96

61

110

42

81

36

47

123

37

31

110

113

58

85

102

113

33

745400 805600 60200 81 I I I I

FINAL

Table 2

Population Growth by City 2015 and 2025 from ABAG

San Mateo County Child Care Study - 2016

(1) Half Moon Bay Region includes the City of Half Moon Bay El Granada

Montara and Moss Beach

(2) ABAG Projections have 6300 people listed as Remainder population this

amount is divided equally between Menlo Park and Redwood City given that

they are surrounded by unincorporated areas

(3) South Coast includes La Honda Loma Mar and Pescadero

Sources 2010 US Census ABAG Projections 2013 Brion Economics Inc

Prepared by Brion Economics Inc 2513-SMC NA Final Tables 61216 6122016

2015 2025 CHANGE 2015 to 2025

Children 4 and Under

Under 2 2 to 4 as of Total Under 2 2 to 4 Under 2 2 to 4

CityArea Years Old Year Olds Total Population Years Old Year Olds Total Years Old Year Olds Total

Atherton 105 185 290 41 109 193 302 4 8 12

Belmont 708 1045 1753 66 743 1095 1838 35 50 85

Brisbane 125 166 292 66 131 174 305 6 8 13

Burlingame 824 1216 2040 65 903 1332 2235 79 117 195

Daly CityColma 2495 3575 6070 55 2647 3793 6440 153 218 370

East Palo Alto 1046 1667 2713 93 1161 1849 3010 115 183 297

Foster City 836 1277 2113 68 871 1330 2201 35 54 89

Half Moon Bay Region (1) 511 860 1371 61 553 929 1482 41 70 111

Hillsborough 138 331 469 43 143 343 487 5 12 17

Menlo Park (2) 1170 1723 2893 71 1327 1954 3281 157 231 388

Millbrae 421 717 1138 50 473 805 1278 52 88 140

Pacifica 787 1253 2040 54 816 1300 2116 29 47 76

Portola Valley 75 187 261 40 77 192 269 2 6 8

Redwood City (2) 3260 4706 7966 73 3725 5378 9103 465 671 1136

San Bruno 1069 1553 2622 60 1189 1728 2917 120 175 295

San Carlos 735 1308 2043 66 778 1384 2162 43 76 119

San Mateo 2943 4213 7156 68 3194 4572 7766 251 359 610

South Coast (3) 21 29 50 57 23 32 55 2 3 5

South San Francisco 1649 2507 4156 62 1835 2790 4625 186 283 469

Woodside 90 160 250 42 93 165 258 3 5 8

Total by Age 19008 28678 47686 64 20790 31340 52130 1783 2662 4444

FINAL

Table 3

Population by Age Group by City 2015 and 2025

San Mateo County Child Care Study - 2016

(1) Half Moon Bay Region includes the City of Half Moon Bay El Granada Montara and Moss Beach

(2) ABAG Projections have 6300 people listed as Remainder population this amount is divided equally between Menlo Park and Redwood City given that they

are surrounded by unincorporated areas

(3) South Coast includes La Honda Loma Mar and Pescadero

Sources 2010 US Census ABAG Projections 2013 Brion Economics Inc

Prepared by Brion Economics Inc 2513-SMC NA Final Tables 61216 6122016

CHANGE 2015 to 2025 2015 2025

Percent that Work Employees that Percent that Work Employees that

Jobs at Jobs at in City and Live Work in City and in City and Live Work in City and

CityArea 2015 2025 2015 to 2025 Change Outside Co Live Outside Co Outside Co Live Outside Co

Atherton 2730 2920 190 70 360 983 360 1051

Belmont 9540 10430 890 93 298 2843 298 3108

Brisbane 7320 7790 470 64 590 4316 590 4593

Burlingame 32040 35250 3210 100 365 11680 365 12850

Daly CityColma 26110 28540 2430 93 404 10540 404 11521

East Palo Alto 2920 3310 390 134 508 1485 508 1683

Foster City 14810 16190 1380 93 412 6108 412 6677

Half Moon Bay Region (1) 7830 8410 580 74 135 1060 135 1138

Hillsborough 1950 2080 130 67 280 546 280 583

Menlo Park 31920 34390 2470 77 576 18390 576 19813

Millbrae 7480 8370 890 119 308 2304 308 2578

Pacifica 6210 6650 440 71 242 1504 242 1611

Portola Valley 2060 2200 140 68 334 689 334 736

Redwood City 71460 80430 8970 126 480 34317 480 38624

San Bruno 13800 15390 1590 115 370 5106 370 5695

San Carlos 18100 19650 1550 86 348 6295 348 6834

San Mateo 58680 66400 7720 132 329 19314 329 21855

South Coast (2) 0 0 0 00 149 0 149 0

South San Francisco 47380 51760 4380 92 467 22128 467 24173

Woodside 2520 2660 140 56 281 708 281 747

SF Airport (3) 7870 8960 1090 139 467 3676 467 4185

Remainder (3) 2210 2460 250 113 135 299 135 333

Total Employment 374940 414240 39300 105 412 154289 411 170387

FINAL

Table 4

Employment Growth and Employee Residence by City 2015 and 2025

San Mateo County Child Care Study - 2016

Note This analysis uses the published projections prepared by ABAG from ldquoProjections 2013rdquo and the cities including their sphere of influence or SOI This is done for consistency purposes While individual cities may be planning for additional growth not included in ABAGrsquos forecast (such as Menlo Park and East Palo Alto) it was decided that the consistency of using one data source was more important Thus these estimates could be considered

conservative

(1) For employment Half Moon Bay Region includes all of the City of Half Moon Bay and Unincorporated Half Moon Bay as defined by ABAG

(2) No data on employment is available through ABAG for the South Coast area

(3) SF Airport and Remainder are groupings by ABAG We listed them separately as SF Airport has no residential population

Sources ABAG Projections 2013 Brion Economics Inc

Prepared by Brion Economics Inc 2513-SMC NA Final Tables 61216 6122016

Under 2 2 to 4 Year Total CityArea as of

CityArea Years Old Olds Supply Total Supply

Atherton 29 273 302 13

Belmont 106 615 722 31

Brisbane 4 69 73 03

Burlingame 119 965 1085 47

Daly CityColma 372 1626 1997 87

East Palo Alto 110 739 849 37

Foster City 206 1349 1555 68

Half Moon Bay Region (1) 131 406 536 23

Hillsborough 5 97 102 04

Menlo Park (2) 149 1427 1576 69

Millbrae 62 454 517 22

Pacifica 116 798 914 40

Portola Valley 0 153 153 07

Redwood City (2) 752 2533 3285 143

San Bruno 148 1336 1484 65

San Carlos 149 707 855 37

San Mateo 701 3196 3897 169

South Coast (3) 0 54 54 02

South San Francisco 652 2283 2935 128

Woodside 4 108 112 05

Total 3815 19189 23003 1000

FINAL

Table 5

Child Care Supply Summary Table for 2015

San Mateo County Child Care Study - 2016

Note Totals may be off slightly due to rounding

(1) Half Moon Bay Region includes the City of Half Moon Bay El Granada Montara

and Moss Beach

(2) ABAG Projections have 6300 people listed as Remainder population this

amount is divided equally between Menlo Park and Redwood City given that

they are surrounded by unincorporated areas

(3) South Coast includes La Honda Loma Mar and Pescadero

Sources Child Care Coordinating Council of San Mateo County (4Cs) Community

Care Licensing Brion Economics Inc

Prepared by Brion Economics Inc 2513-SMC NA Final Tables 61216 6122016

2015 2025

CityArea as CityArea as

Under 2 2 to 4 Year Total of Total Under 2 2 to 4 Total of Total

CityArea Years Old Olds Demand Demand Years Old Year Olds Demand Demand

Atherton 27 165 192 06 29 173 201 05

Belmont 237 950 1187 35 250 999 1249 34

Brisbane 98 231 329 10 103 243 346 09

Burlingame 338 1236 1574 47 371 1356 1726 47

Daly CityColma 811 3237 4048 120 865 3441 4306 116

East Palo Alto 292 1419 1711 51 324 1575 1900 51

Foster City 268 1145 1414 42 283 1199 1483 40

Half Moon Bay Region (1) 144 742 885 26 155 802 957 26

Hillsborough 33 282 315 09 34 292 327 09

Menlo Park (2) 516 1790 2306 68 573 2011 2584 70

Millbrae 124 640 764 23 139 718 857 23

Pacifica 244 1117 1360 40 254 1159 1413 38

Portola Valley 26 171 198 06 28 177 204 06

Redwood City (2) 1241 4567 5808 172 1411 5208 6619 179

San Bruno 364 1418 1782 53 405 1578 1983 54

San Carlos 270 1222 1492 44 288 1297 1585 43

San Mateo 1003 3886 4889 145 1099 4233 5332 144

South Coast (3) 4 23 28 01 5 26 30 01

South San Francisco 755 2588 3343 99 835 2874 3709 100

Woodside 27 141 168 05 28 146 174 05

Total 6821 26971 33792 1000 7478 29506 36984 1000

FINAL

Table 6

Child Care Demand Summary Table for 2015 and 2025

San Mateo County Child Care Study - 2016

(1) Half Moon Bay Region includes the City of Half Moon Bay El Granada Montara and Moss Beach

(2) ABAG Projections have 6300 people listed as Remainder population this amount is divided equally between Menlo Park

and Redwood City given that they are surrounded by unincorporated areas

(3) South Coast includes La Honda Loma Mar and Pescadero

Sources 2010 US Census ABAG Projections 2013 Brion Economics Inc

Prepared by Brion Economics Inc 2513-SMC NA Final Tables 61216 6122016

No of Non- No of Employee

Resident No of 0 to 2 No of 3 to 4 Children Needing

CityArea Assumptions Employees Year Olds Year Olds Licensed Care

Estimated Percent of Employees

Needing Licensed Care (1) 300 40 60 100

Atherton 983 12 18 29

Belmont 2843 34 51 85

Brisbane 4316 52 78 129

Burlingame 11680 140 211 350

Daly CityColma 10540 126 190 316

East Palo Alto 1485 18 27 45

Foster City 6108 73 110 183

Half Moon Bay Region (2) 1060 13 19 32

Hillsborough 546 7 10 16

Menlo Park 18390 220 332 552

Millbrae 2304 28 42 69

Pacifica 1504 18 27 45

Portola Valley 689 8 12 21

Redwood City 34317 410 619 1029

San Bruno 5106 61 92 153

San Carlos 6295 75 114 189

San Mateo 19314 231 348 579

South Coast (3) 0 0 0 0

South San Francisco 22128 265 399 664

Woodside 708 8 13 21

SF Airport (4) 3676 44 66 110

Remainder (4) 299 4 5 9

Total Countywide 154289 1845 2784 4629

FINAL

Table 7

Employee Demand Summary Table for 2015

San Mateo County Child Care Study - 2016

Note Totals may be off slightly due to rounding

(1) We are assuming 3 of employees children require licensed care the breakdown of demand for infant and

preschool spaces is based on the percentage of infants and preschoolers who currently reside in San Mateo

County

(2) Half Moon Bay Region includes the City of Half Moon Bay El Granada Montara and Moss Beach

(3) South Coast includes La Honda Loma Mar and Pescadero

(4) SF Airport and Remainder are groupings by ABAG For employment SF Airport demand is attributed to South San

Francisco and Remainder demand is included with Redwood City

Sources 2010 US Census ABAG Projections 2013 2014 5-Year American Community Survey Journey-To-Work Data

Brion Economics Inc

Prepared by Brion Economics Inc 2513-SMC NA Final Tables 61216 6122016

No of Non- No of Employee

Resident No of 0 to 2 No of 3 to 4 Children Needing

CityArea Assumptions Employees Year Olds Year Olds Licensed Care

Estimated Percent of Employees

Needing Licensed Care (1) 300 40 60 100

Atherton 1051 13 19 32

Belmont 3108 37 56 93

Brisbane 4593 55 83 138

Burlingame 12850 154 232 385

Daly CityColma 11521 138 208 346

East Palo Alto 1683 20 30 50

Foster City 6677 80 120 200

Half Moon Bay Region (2) 1138 14 21 34

Hillsborough 583 7 11 17

Menlo Park 19813 237 357 594

Millbrae 2578 31 47 77

Pacifica 1611 19 29 48

Portola Valley 736 9 13 22

Redwood City 38624 462 697 1159

San Bruno 5695 68 103 171

San Carlos 6834 82 123 205

San Mateo 21855 261 394 656

South Coast (3) 0 0 0 0

South San Francisco 24173 289 436 725

Woodside 747 9 13 22

SF Airport (4) 4185 50 75 126

Remainder (4) 333 4 6 10

Total Countywide 170387 2037 3074 5112

FINAL

Table 8

Employee Demand Summary Table for 2025

San Mateo County Child Care Study - 2016

Note Totals may be off slightly due to rounding

(1) We are assuming 3 of employees children require licensed care the breakdown of demand for infant and

preschool spaces is based on the percentage of infants and preschoolers who currently reside in San Mateo County

(2) Half Moon Bay Region includes the City of Half Moon Bay El Granada Montara and Moss Beach

(3) South Coast includes La Honda Loma Mar and Pescadero

(4) SF Airport and Remainder are groupings by ABAG For employment SF Airport demand is attributed to South San

Francisco and Remainder demand is included with Redwood City

Sources 2010 US Census ABAG Projections 2013 2014 5-Year American Community Survey Journey-To-Work Data

Brion Economics Inc

Prepared by Brion Economics Inc 2513-SMC NA Final Tables 61216 6122016

2015

Surplus(Shortage) of Infant Surplus(Shortage) of Preschool Total Total

CityArea of Infant Spaces Demand Met of Preschool Spaces Demand Met Surplus(Shortage) Demand Met

Atherton 2 107 108 165 110 157

Belmont (130) 45 (335) 65 (465) 61

Brisbane (94) 4 (162) 30 (255) 22

Burlingame (219) 35 (271) 78 (489) 69

Daly CityColma (439) 46 (1612) 50 (2051) 49

East Palo Alto (182) 38 (680) 52 (862) 50

Foster City (62) 77 203 118 141 110

Half Moon Bay Region (1) (13) 91 (336) 55 (349) 61

Hillsborough (28) 15 (185) 34 (213) 32

Menlo Park (2) (367) 29 (363) 80 (730) 68

Millbrae (61) 50 (186) 71 (247) 0

Pacifica (128) 48 (319) 71 (447) 67

Portola Valley (26) 0 (18) 89 (45) 77

Redwood City (2) (490) 61 (2034) 55 (2524) 57

San Bruno (216) 41 (82) 94 (298) 83

San Carlos (121) 55 (516) 58 (637) 57

San Mateo (302) 70 (690) 82 (992) 80

South Coast (3) (4) 0 31 230 26 195

South San Francisco (103) 86 (306) 88 (408) 88

Woodside (23) 16 (33) 77 (55) 67

Countywide (3006) 56 (7783) 71 (10789) 68

FINAL

Table 9

Summary of Demand Met by Existing Facilities in Each Community at 2015

San Mateo County Child Care Study - 2016

Note Totals may be off slightly due to rounding

(1) Half Moon Bay Region includes the City of Half Moon Bay El Granada Montara and Moss Beach

(2) ABAG Projections have 6300 people listed as Remainder population this amount is divided equally between Menlo Park and Redwood

City given that they are surrounded by unincorporated areas

(3) South Coast includes La Honda Loma Mar and Pescadero

Sources 2010 US Census ABAG Projections 2013 Brion Economics Inc

Prepared by Brion Economics Inc 2513-SMC NA Final Tables 61216 6122016

2025

Surplus(Shortage) of Infant Surplus(Shortage) of Preschool Total Total

CityArea of Infant Spaces Demand Met of Preschool Spaces Demand Met Surplus(Shortage) Demand Met

Atherton 0 101 101 158 101 150

Belmont (143) 43 (384) 62 (527) 58

Brisbane (99) 4 (174) 29 (273) 21

Burlingame (252) 32 (390) 71 (642) 63

Daly CityColma (493) 43 (1816) 47 (2308) 46

East Palo Alto (215) 34 (836) 47 (1050) 45

Foster City (77) 73 150 112 73 105

Half Moon Bay Region (1) (24) 84 (396) 51 (421) 56

Hillsborough (29) 14 (195) 33 (225) 31

Menlo Park (2) (424) 26 (584) 71 (1008) 61

Millbrae (76) 45 (264) 63 (340) 60

Pacifica (138) 46 (361) 69 (499) 65

Portola Valley (28) 0 (24) 87 (51) 75

Redwood City (2) (660) 53 (2674) 49 (3334) 50

San Bruno (257) 37 (242) 85 (499) 75

San Carlos (139) 52 (590) 54 (729) 54

San Mateo (398) 64 (1037) 75 (1435) 73

South Coast (3) (5) 0 28 209 24 177

South San Francisco (183) 78 (591) 79 (775) 79

Woodside (24) 15 (38) 74 (61) 65

Countywide (3663) 51 (10318) 65 (13981) 62

FINAL

Table 10

Summary of Demand Met by Existing Facilities in Each Community at 2025

San Mateo County Child Care Study - 2016

Note Totals may be off slightly due to rounding

(1) Half Moon Bay Region includes the City of Half Moon Bay El Granada Montara and Moss Beach

(2) ABAG Projections have 6300 people listed as Remainder population this amount is divided equally between Menlo Park and Redwood

City given that they are surrounded by unincorporated areas

(3) South Coast includes La Honda Loma Mar and Pescadero

Sources 2010 US Census ABAG Projections 2013 Brion Economics Inc

Prepared by Brion Economics Inc 2513-SMC NA Final Tables 61216 6122016

Table 11

Number of Child Care Providers by City in 2015

San Mateo County Child Care Study - 2016

Family Child Licensed

CityArea Care Homes Centers Total

Atherton 1 6 7

Belmont 18 9 27

Brisbane 1 1 2

Burlingame 21 14 35

Daly CityColma 85 28 113

East Palo Alto 21 6 27

Foster City 29 12 41

Half Moon Bay Region (1) 28 11 39

Hillsborough 1 4 5

Menlo Park (2) 18 25 43

Millbrae 17 7 24

Pacifica 21 18 39

Portola Valley 0 4 4

Redwood City (2) 111 45 156

San Bruno 34 15 49

San Carlos 20 14 34

San Mateo 126 59 185

South Coast (3) 0 2 2

South San Francisco 68 27 95

Woodside 1 2 3

Countywide 621 309 930

FINAL

(1) Half Moon Bay Region includes the City of Half Moon Bay El Granada

Montara and Moss Beach

(2) ABAG Projections have 6300 people listed as Remainder population

this amount is divided equally between Menlo Park and Redwood City

given that they are surrounded by unincorporated areas

(3) South Coast includes La Honda Loma Mar and Pescadero

Sources Child Care Coordinating Council of San Mateo County (4Cs)

Community Care Licensing Brion Economics Inc

Prepared by Brion Economics Inc 2513-SMC NA Final Tables 61216 6122016

CityArea

Shortage

Infant

Center

Spaces

Infant care

Percentage

of Shortage

Shortage

Preschool

Center

Spaces

Preschool

Percentage

of Shortage

Total Center-

Based Space

Shortage

Atherton

Belmont

Brisbane

Burlingame

Daly CityColma

East Palo Alto

Foster City

Half Moon Bay Region

Hillsborough

Menlo Park

Millbrae

Pacifica

Portola Valley

Redwood City

San Bruno

San Carlos

San Mateo

South Coast

South San Francisco

Woodside

Countywide

NA

(48)

NA

(73)

(99)

(42)

(27)

(3)

NA

(180)

0

(43)

(26)

(232)

(38)

(62)

(90)

(2)

(63)

NA

NA

14

NA

23

7

7

100

1

NA

35

0

13

59

12

34

12

14

NA

19

NA

NA

(289)

(149)

(243)

(1253)

(582)

NA

(236)

(173)

(338)

(154)

(280)

(18)

(1635)

(73)

(449)

(557)

NA

(263)

(31)

NA

86

100

77

93

93

NA

99

100

65

100

87

41

88

66

88

86

NA

81

100

NA

(337)

(149)

(316)

(1352)

(623)

(27)

(240)

(173)

(518)

(154)

(323)

(45)

(1867)

(110)

(511)

(647)

(2)

(326)

(31)

(1193) 15 (6609) 85 (7802)

FINAL

Table 12

Summary of Shortage of Child Care Center Spaces by Age - 2015

San Mateo County Child Care Study - 2016

Sources Child Care Coordinating Council of San Mateo County (4Cs) Community Care Licensing

Brion Economics Inc

Prepared by Brion Economics Inc 2513-SMC NA Final Tables 61216 6122016

CityArea

Shortage

Infant Center

Spaces

Infant care

Percentage

of Shortage

Shortage

Preschool

Center

Spaces

Preschool

Percentage

of Shortage

Total Center-

Based Space

Shortage

Atherton

Belmont

Brisbane

Burlingame

Daly CityColma

East Palo Alto

Foster City

Half Moon Bay Region

Hillsborough

Menlo Park

Millbrae

Pacifica

Portola Valley

Redwood City

San Bruno

San Carlos

San Mateo

South Coast

South San Francisco

Woodside

Countywide

NA

(53)

NA

(85)

(111)

(49)

(33)

(6)

NA

(207)

0

(46)

(28)

(313)

(45)

(71)

(119)

(5)

(113)

0

NA

14

NA

19

7

6

100

2

NA

28

0

13

54

13

17

12

12

NA

18

NA

NA

(331)

(160)

(350)

(1412)

(715)

NA

(279)

(183)

(544)

(219)

(317)

(24)

(2149)

(214)

(514)

(837)

NA

(509)

(36)

NA

86

100

81

93

94

NA

98

100

72

100

87

46

87

83

88

88

NA

82

100

NA

(384)

(160)

(434)

(1523)

(764)

(33)

(285)

(183)

(752)

(219)

(364)

(51)

(2462)

(259)

(585)

(955)

(5)

(622)

(36)

(1454) 14 (8762) 86 (10216)

FINAL

Table 13

Summary of Shortage of Child Care Center Spaces by Age - 2025

San Mateo County Child Care Study - 2016

Sources Child Care Coordinating Council of San Mateo County (4Cs) Community Care Licensing

Brion Economics Inc

Prepared by Brion Economics Inc 2513-SMC NA Final Tables 61216 6122016

COUNTYWIDE

Child Care as of 2015

No of

Providers

Under 2 Years

Old

2 to 4 Year

Olds

Total 0 to 4

Years

EXISTING DEMAND Child Care Demand

Estimated Total Children

Average LFPRAdjustment Factor

Children With Working Parents

Licensed Care Demand Factor

Resident Children Needing Licensed Care

of Total Resident Children Needing Licensed Care

Children from Non-Resident Employees Needing

Licensed Care

Total Demand for Child Care Spaces

Distribution

EXISTING SUPPLY

(1)

(2)

(3)

(4)

19008 28678

71

13449 25720

37

4976 24188

26 84

1845 2784

6821 26971

20 80

Child Care Spaces

47686

39169

86

29164

61

4629

33792

100

Family Child Care Home Supply

Child Care Center Supply

Current Child Care Supply

Distribution

EXISTING SURPLUS(SHORTAGE)

Distribution

Percentage of Demand Met

by Existing FacilitiesSpaces

Shortage of Family Child Care Home Spaces

Shortage of Center-Based Spaces

(5)

(6)

(6)

621

309 -930

2301 2893

1514 16296 - -3815 19189

17 83

(3006) (7783)

28 72

56 71

(1813) (1173)

(1193) (6609)

5193

17810 -23003

100

(10789)

100

68

(2986)

(7802)

FINAL

Table A-1

Existing Child Care Demand and Supply in 2015 Countywide

San Mateo County Child Care Study - 2016

Note All footnote references can be found in Table C-1 at the end of this file

Sources 2010 US Census ABAG Projections 2013 2014 American Community Survey ACS Journey-to-Work data 2006-2008 and 2006-2010

Child Care Coordinating Council of San Mateo County (4Cs) Community Care Licensing Brion Economics Inc

Prepared by Brion Economics Inc 2513-SMC NA Final Tables 61216 6122016

ATHERTON

Child Care as of 2015

No of

Providers

Under 2 Years

Old

2 to 4 Year

Olds

Total 0 to 4

Years

EXISTING DEMAND Child Care Demand

Estimated Total Children

Average LFPRAdjustment Factor

Children With Working Parents

Licensed Care Demand Factor

Resident Children Needing Licensed Care

of Total Resident Children Needing Licensed Care

Children from Non-Resident Employees Needing

Licensed Care

(1)

(2)

(3)

105 185

40

42 153

37

15 147

15 80

12 18

290

194

84

163

56

29

Total Demand for Child Care Spaces

Distribution

EXISTING SUPPLY (4)

27 165

14 86

Child Care Spaces

192

100

Family Child Care Home Supply

Child Care Center Supply

Current Child Care Supply

Distribution

EXISTING SURPLUS(SHORTAGE)

Distribution

Percentage of Demand Met

by Existing FacilitiesSpaces

Shortage of Family Child Care Home Spaces

Shortage of Center-Based Spaces

(5)

(6)

(6)

1

6

7

5 6

24 267

29 273

10 90

2 108

2 98

107 165

NA NA

NA NA

11

291

302

100

110

100

157

NA

NA

FINAL

Table A-2

Existing Child Care Demand and Supply in 2015 in Atherton

San Mateo Co unty Child Care Study - 2016

Note All footnote references can be found in Table C-1 at the end of this file

Sources 2010 US Census ABAG Projections 2013 2014 American Community Survey ACS Journey-to-Work data 2006-2008 and 2006-2010

Child Care Coordinating Council of San Mateo County (4Cs) Community Care Licensing Brion Economics Inc

Prepared by Brion Economics Inc 2513-SMC NA Final Tables 61216 6122016

BELMONT

Child Care as of 2015

No of

Providers

Under 2 Years

Old

2 to 4 Year

Olds

Total 0 to 4

Years

EXISTING DEMAND Child Care Demand

Estimated Total Children

Average LFPRAdjustment Factor

Children With Working Parents

Licensed Care Demand Factor

Resident Children Needing Licensed Care

of Total Resident Children Needing Licensed Care

Children from Non-Resident Employees Needing

Licensed Care

(1)

(2)

(3)

708 1045

77

548 966

37

203 899

29 86

34 51

1753

1513

73

1102

63

85

Total Demand for Child Care Spaces

Distribution

EXISTING SUPPLY (4)

237 950

20 80

Child Care Spaces

1187

100

Family Child Care Home Supply

Child Care Center Supply

Current Child Care Supply

Distribution

EXISTING SURPLUS(SHORTAGE)

Distribution

Percentage of Demand Met

by Existing FacilitiesSpaces

Shortage of Family Child Care Home Spaces

Shortage of Center-Based Spaces

(5)

(6)

(6)

18

9

27

67 84

39 531

106 615

15 85

(130) (335)

28 72

45 65

(83) (46)

(48) (289)

152

570

722

100

(465)

100

61

(128)

(337)

FINAL

Table A-3

Existing Child Care Demand and Supply in 2015 in Belmont

San Mateo County Child Care Study - 2016

Note All footnote references can be found in Table C-1 at the end of this file Sources 2010 US Census ABAG Projections 2013 2014 American Community Survey ACS Journey-to-Work data 2006-2008 and

2006-2010 Child Care Coordinating Council of San Mateo County (4Cs) Community Care Licensing Brion Economics Inc

Prepared by Brion Economics Inc 2513-SMC NA Final Tables 61216 6122016

FINAL

Table A-4

Existing Child Care Demand and Supply in 2015 in Brisbane

San Mateo County Child Care Study - 2016

BRISBANE

Child Care as of 2015

No of

Providers

Under 2 Years

Old

2 to 4 Year

Olds

Total 0 to 4

Years

EXISTING DEMAND Child Care Demand

Estimated Total Children (1) 125 166 292

Average LFPRAdjustment Factor (2) 100

Children With Working Parents 125 166 292

Licensed Care Demand Factor (3) 37 68

Resident Children Needing Licensed Care 46 153 199

of Total Resident Children Needing Licensed Care 37 92 68

Children from Non-Resident Employees Needing

Licensed Care 52 78 129

Total Demand for Child Care Spaces 98 231 329

Distribution 30 70 100

EXISTING SUPPLY (4) Child Care Spaces

Family Child Care Home Supply 1 4 5 9

Child Care Center Supply 1 - 64 64

Current Child Care Supply 2 4 69 73

Distribution 6 94 100

EXISTING SURPLUS(SHORTAGE) (94) (162) (255)

Distribution 37 63 100

Percentage of Demand Met

by Existing FacilitiesSpaces (5) 4 30 22

Shortage of Family Child Care Home Spaces (6) (94) (12) (106)

Shortage of Center-Based Spaces (6) 0 (149) (149)

Note All footnote references can be found in Table C-1 at the end of this file

Sources 2010 US Census ABAG Projections 2013 2014 American Community Survey ACS Journey-to-Work data 2006-2008 and 2006-2010

Child Care Coordinating Council of San Mateo County (4Cs) Community Care Licensing Brion Economics Inc

Prepared by Brion Economics Inc 2513-SMC NA Final Tables 61216 6122016

BURLINGAME

Child Care as of 2015

No of

Providers

Under 2 Years

Old

2 to 4 Year

Olds

Total 0 to 4

Years

EXISTING DEMAND Child Care Demand

Estimated Total Children

Average LFPRAdjustment Factor

Children With Working Parents

Licensed Care Demand Factor

Resident Children Needing Licensed Care

of Total Resident Children Needing Licensed Care

Children from Non-Resident Employees Needing

Licensed Care

(1)

(2)

(3)

824 1216

65

535 1086

37

198 1025

24 84

140 211

2040

1621

75

1224

60

350

Total Demand for Child Care Spaces

Distribution

EXISTING SUPPLY (4)

338 1236

21 79

Child Care Spaces

1574

100

Family Child Care Home Supply

Child Care Center Supply

Current Child Care Supply

Distribution

EXISTING SURPLUS(SHORTAGE)

Distribution

Percentage of Demand Met

by Existing FacilitiesSpaces

Shortage of Family Child Care Home Spaces

Shortage of Center-Based Spaces

(5)

(6)

(6)

21

14

35

79 99

40 866

119 965

11 89

(219) (271)

45 55

35 78

(145) (28)

(73) (243)

179

906

1085

100

(489)

100

69

(173)

(316)

FINAL

Table A-5

Existing Child Care Demand and Supply in 2015 in Burlingame

San Mateo County Child Care Study - 2016

Note All footnote references can be found in Table C-1 at the end of this file

Sources 2010 US Census ABAG Projections 2013 2014 American Community Survey ACS Journey-to-Work data 2006-2008 and 2006-2010

Child Care Coordinating Council of San Mateo County (4Cs) Community Care Licensing Brion Economics Inc

Prepared by Brion Economics Inc 2513-SMC NA Final Tables 61216 6122016

DALY CITYCOLMA

Child Care as of 2015

No of

Providers

Under 2 Years

Old

2 to 4 Year

Olds

Total 0 to 4

Years

EXISTING DEMAND Child Care Demand

Estimated Total Children

Average LFPRAdjustment Factor

Children With Working Parents

Licensed Care Demand Factor

Resident Children Needing Licensed Care

of Total Resident Children Needing Licensed Care

Children from Non-Resident Employees Needing

Licensed Care

(1)

(2)

(3)

2495 3575

742

1851 3268

37

685 3047

27 85

126 190

6070

5119

73

3732

61

316

Total Demand for Child Care Spaces

Distribution

EXISTING SUPPLY (4)

811 3237

20 80

Child Care Spaces

4048

100

Family Child Care Home Supply

Child Care Center Supply

Current Child Care Supply

Distribution

EXISTING SURPLUS(SHORTAGE)

Distribution

Percentage of Demand Met

by Existing FacilitiesSpaces

Shortage of Family Child Care Home Spaces

Shortage of Center-Based Spaces

(5)

(6)

(6)

85

28

113

288 362

84 1264

372 1626

19 81

(439) (1612)

21 79

46 50

(340) (359)

(99) (1253)

649

1348

1997

100

(2051)

100

49

(698)

(1352)

FINAL

Table A-6

Existing Child Care Demand and Supply in 2015 in Daly CityColma

San Mateo Co unty Child Care Study - 2016

Note All footnote references can be found in Table C-1 at the end of this file

Sources 2010 US Census ABAG Projections 2013 2014 American Community Survey ACS Journey-to-Work data 2006-2008 and 2006-2010

Child Care Coordinating Council of San Mateo County (4Cs) Community Care Licensing Brion Economics Inc

Prepared by Brion Economics Inc 2513-SMC NA Final Tables 61216 6122016

EAST PALO ALTO

Child Care as of 2015

No of

Providers

Under 2 Years

Old

2 to 4 Year

Olds

Total 0 to 4

Years

EXISTING DEMAND Child Care Demand

Estimated Total Children

Average LFPRAdjustment Factor

Children With Working Parents

Licensed Care Demand Factor

Resident Children Needing Licensed Care

of Total Resident Children Needing Licensed Care

Children from Non-Resident Employees Needing

Licensed Care

(1)

(2)

(3)

1046 1667

71

741 1496

37

274 1392

26 84

18 27

2713

2237

75

1666

61

45

Total Demand for Child Care Spaces

Distribution

EXISTING SUPPLY (4)

292 1419

17 83

Child Care Spaces

1711

100

Family Child Care Home Supply

Child Care Center Supply

Current Child Care Supply

Distribution

EXISTING SURPLUS(SHORTAGE)

Distribution

Percentage of Demand Met

by Existing FacilitiesSpaces

Shortage of Family Child Care Home Spaces

Shortage of Center-Based Spaces

(5)

(6)

(6)

21

6

27

85 106

25 633

110 739

13 87

(182) (680)

21 79

38 52

(141) (98)

(42) (582)

191

658

849

100

(862)

100

50

(239)

(623)

FINAL

Table A-7

Existing Child Care Demand and Supply in 2015 in East Palo Alto

San Mateo County Child Care Study - 2016

Note All footnote references can be found in Table C-1 at the end of this file Sources 2010 US Census ABAG Projections 2013 2014 American Community Survey ACS Journey-to-Work data 2006-2008 and 2006-2010

Child Care Coordinating Council of San Mateo County (4Cs) Community Care Licensing Brion Economics Inc

Prepared by Brion Economics Inc 2513-SMC NA Final Tables 61216 6122016

FOSTER CITY

Child Care as of 2015

No of

Providers

Under 2 Years

Old

2 to 4 Year

Olds

Total 0 to 4

Years

EXISTING DEMAND Child Care Demand

Estimated Total Children

Average LFPRAdjustment Factor

Children With Working Parents

Licensed Care Demand Factor

Resident Children Needing Licensed Care

of Total Resident Children Needing Licensed Care

Children from Non-Resident Employees Needing

Licensed Care

(1)

(2)

(3)

836 1277

63

528 1108

37

195 1035

23 81

73 110

2113

1636

75

1231

58

183

Total Demand for Child Care Spaces

Distribution

EXISTING SUPPLY (4)

268 1145

19 81

Child Care Spaces

1414

100

Family Child Care Home Supply

Child Care Center Supply

Current Child Care Supply

Distribution

EXISTING SURPLUS(SHORTAGE)

Distribution

Percentage of Demand Met

by Existing FacilitiesSpaces

Shortage of Family Child Care Home Spaces

Shortage of Center-Based Spaces

(5)

(6)

(6)

29

12

41

118 149

88 1200

206 1349

13 87

(62) 203

NA NA

77 118

(36) NA

(27) NA

267

1288

1555

100

141

NA

110

(36)

(27)

FINAL

Table A-8

Existing Child Care Demand and Supply in 2015 in Foster City

San Mateo County Child Care Study - 2016

Note All footnote references can be found in Table C-1 at the end of this file

Sources 2010 US Census ABAG Projections 2013 2014 American Community Survey ACS Journey-to-Work data 2006-2008 and 2006-2010

Child Care Coordinating Council of San Mateo County (4Cs) Community Care Licensing Brion Economics Inc

Prepared by Brion Economics Inc 2513-SMC NA Final Tables 61216 6122016

HALF MOON BAY REGION

Child Care as of 2015

No of

Providers

Under 2 Years

Old

2 to 4 Year

Olds

Total 0 to 4

Years

EXISTING DEMAND Child Care Demand

Estimated Total Children

Average LFPRAdjustment Factor

Children With Working Parents

Licensed Care Demand Factor

Resident Children Needing Licensed Care

of Total Resident Children Needing Licensed Care

Children from Non-Resident Employees Needing

Licensed Care

(1)

(2)

(3)

511 860

69

354 772

37

131 723

26 84

13 19

1371

1126

76

854

62

32

Total Demand for Child Care Spaces

Distribution

EXISTING SUPPLY (4)

144 742

16 84

Child Care Spaces

885

100

Family Child Care Home Supply

Child Care Center Supply

Current Child Care Supply

Distribution

EXISTING SURPLUS(SHORTAGE)

Distribution

Percentage of Demand Met

by Existing FacilitiesSpaces

Shortage of Family Child Care Home Spaces

Shortage of Center-Based Spaces

(5)

(6)

(6)

28

11

39

96 121

35 285

131 406

24 76

(13) (336)

4 96

91 55

(9) (100)

(3) (236)

216

320

536

100

(349)

100

61

(109)

(240)

FINAL

Table A-9

Existing Child Care Demand and Supply in 2015 in Half Moon Bay Region

San Mateo County Child Care Study - 2016

Note All footnote references can be found in Table C-1 at the end of this file

Sources 2010 US Census ABAG Projections 2013 2014 American Community Survey ACS Journey-to-Work data 2006-2008 and 2006-2010

Child Care Coordinating Council of San Mateo County (4Cs) Community Care Licensing Brion Economics Inc

Prepared by Brion Economics Inc 2513-SMC NA Final Tables 61216 6122016

HILLSBOROUGH

Child Care as of 2015

No of

Providers

Under 2 Years

Old

2 to 4 Year

Olds

Total 0 to 4

Years

EXISTING DEMAND Child Care Demand

Estimated Total Children

Average LFPRAdjustment Factor

Children With Working Parents

Licensed Care Demand Factor

Resident Children Needing Licensed Care

of Total Resident Children Needing Licensed Care

Children from Non-Resident Employees Needing

Licensed Care

(1)

(2)

(3)

138 331

52

71 284

37

26 272

19 82

7 10

469

356

84

298

64

16

Total Demand for Child Care Spaces

Distribution

EXISTING SUPPLY (4)

33 282

10 90

Child Care Spaces

315

100

Family Child Care Home Supply

Child Care Center Supply

Current Child Care Supply

Distribution

EXISTING SURPLUS(SHORTAGE)

Distribution

Percentage of Demand Met

by Existing FacilitiesSpaces

Shortage of Family Child Care Home Spaces

Shortage of Center-Based Spaces

(5)

(6)

(6)

1

4

5

5 6

- 91

5 97

5 95

(28) (185)

13 87

15 34

(28) (12)

0 (173)

11

91

102

100

(213)

100

32

(40)

(173)

FINAL

Table A-10

Existing Child Care Demand and Supply in 2015 in Hillsborough

San Mateo County Child Care Study - 2016

Note All footnote references can be found in Table C-1 at the end of this file Sources 2010 US Census ABAG Projections 2013 2014 American Community Survey ACS Journey-to-Work data 2006-2008 and 2006-2010

Child Care Coordinating Council of San Mateo County (4Cs) Community Care Licensing Brion Economics Inc

Prepared by Brion Economics Inc 2513-SMC NA Final Tables 61216 6122016

MENLO PARK

Child Care as of 2015

No of

Providers

Under 2 Years

Old

2 to 4 Year

Olds

Total 0 to 4

Years

EXISTING DEMAND Child Care Demand

Estimated Total Children

Average LFPRAdjustment Factor

Children With Working Parents

Licensed Care Demand Factor

Resident Children Needing Licensed Care

of Total Resident Children Needing Licensed Care

Children from Non-Resident Employees Needing

Licensed Care

(1)

(2)

(3)

1170 1723

69

802 1551

37

297 1458

25 85

220 332

2893

2353

75

1754

61

552

Total Demand for Child Care Spaces

Distribution

EXISTING SUPPLY (4)

516 1790

22 78

Child Care Spaces

2306

100

Family Child Care Home Supply

Child Care Center Supply

Current Child Care Supply

Distribution

EXISTING SURPLUS(SHORTAGE)

Distribution

Percentage of Demand Met

by Existing FacilitiesSpaces

Shortage of Family Child Care Home Spaces

Shortage of Center-Based Spaces

(5)

(6)

(6)

18

25

43

76 96

73 1331

149 1427

9 91

(367) (363)

50 50

29 80

(188) (24)

(180) (338)

172

1404

1576

100

(730)

100

68

(212)

(518)

FINAL

Table A-11

Existing Child Care Demand and Supply in 2015 in Menlo Park

San Mateo County Child Care Study - 2016

Note All footnote references can be found in Table C-1 at the end of this file Sources 2010 US Census ABAG Projections 2013 2014 American Community Survey ACS Journey-to-Work data 2006-2008 and 2006-2010

Child Care Coordinating Council of San Mateo County (4Cs) Community Care Licensing Brion Economics Inc

Prepared by Brion Economics Inc 2513-SMC NA Final Tables 61216 6122016

MILLBRAE

Child Care as of 2015

No of

Providers

Under 2 Years

Old

2 to 4 Year

Olds

Total 0 to 4

Years

EXISTING DEMAND Child Care Demand

Total Children

Average LFPRAdjustment Factor

Children With Working Parents

Licensed Care Demand Factor

Resident Children Needing Licensed Care

of Total Resident Children Needing Licensed Care

Children from Non-Resident Employees Needing

Licensed Care

(1)

(2)

(3)

421 717

62

260 632

37

96 598

23 83

28 42

1138

892

78

694

61

69

Total Demand for Child Care Spaces

Distribution

EXISTING SUPPLY (4)

124 640

16 84

Child Care Spaces

764

100

Family Child Care Home Supply

Child Care Center Supply

Current Child Care Supply

Distribution

EXISTING SURPLUS(SHORTAGE)

Distribution

Percentage of Demand Met

by Existing FacilitiesSpaces

Shortage of Family Child Care Home Spaces

Shortage of Center-Based Spaces

(5)

(6)

(6)

17

7

24

62 78

- 376

62 454

12 88

(61) (186)

25 75

50 71

(61) (32)

0 (154)

141

376

517

100

(247)

100

68

(93)

(154)

FINAL

Table A-12

Existing Child Care Demand and Supply in 2015 in Millbrae

San Mateo Co unty Child Care Study - 2016

Note All footnote references can be found in Table C-1 at the end of this file

Sources 2010 US Census ABAG Projections 2013 2014 American Community Survey ACS Journey-to-Work data 2006-2008 and 2006-2010

Child Care Coordinating Council of San Mateo County (4Cs) Community Care Licensing Brion Economics Inc

Prepared by Brion Economics Inc 2513-SMC NA Final Tables 61216 6122016

PACIFICA

Child Care as of 2015

No of

Providers

Under 2 Years

Old

2 to 4 Year

Olds

Total 0 to 4

Years

EXISTING DEMAND Child Care Demand

Estimated Total Children

Average LFPRAdjustment Factor

Children With Working Parents

Licensed Care Demand Factor

Resident Children Needing Licensed Care

of Total Resident Children Needing Licensed Care

Children from Non-Resident Employees Needing

Licensed Care

(1)

(2)

(3)

787 1253

78

610 1165

37

226 1089

29 87

18 27

2040

1776

74

1315

64

45

Total Demand for Child Care Spaces

Distribution

EXISTING SUPPLY (4)

244 1117

18 83

Child Care Spaces

1360

100

Family Child Care Home Supply

Child Care Center Supply

Current Child Care Supply

Distribution

EXISTING SURPLUS(SHORTAGE)

Distribution

Percentage of Demand Met

by Existing FacilitiesSpaces

Shortage of Family Child Care Home Spaces

Shortage of Center-Based Spaces

(5)

(6)

(6)

21

18

39

77 97

39 701

116 798

13 87

(128) (319)

29 71

48 71

(85) (39)

(43) (280)

174

740

914

100

(447)

100

67

(124)

(323)

FINAL

Table A-13

Existing Child Care Demand and Supply in 2015 in Pacifica

San Mateo County Child Care Study - 2016

Note All footnote references can be found in Table C-1 at the end of this file Sources 2010 US Census ABAG Projections 2013 2014 American Community Survey ACS Journey-to-Work data 2006-2008 and 2006-2010

Child Care Coordinating Council of San Mateo County (4Cs) Community Care Licensing Brion Economics Inc

Prepared by Brion Economics Inc 2513-SMC NA Final Tables 61216 6122016

PORTOLA VALLEY

No of

Providers

Child Care as of 2015

Under 2 Years

Old

2 to 4 Year

Olds

Total 0 to 4

Years

EXISTING DEMAND Child Care Demand

Estimated Total Children

Average LFPRAdjustment Factor

Children With Working Parents

Licensed Care Demand Factor

Resident Children Needing Licensed Care

of Total Resident Children Needing Licensed Care

Children from Non-Resident Employees Needing

Licensed Care

(1)

(2)

(3)

75 187

66

49 168

37

18 159

24 85

8 12

261

217

82

177

68

21

Total Demand for Child Care Spaces

Distribution

EXISTING SUPPLY (4)

26 171

13 87

Child Care Spaces

198

100

Family Child Care Home Supply

Child Care Center Supply

Current Child Care Supply

Distribution

EXISTING SURPLUS(SHORTAGE)

Distribution

Percentage of Demand Met

by Existing FacilitiesSpaces

Shortage of Family Child Care Home Spaces

Shortage of Center-Based Spaces

(5)

(6)

(6)

0

4

4

0 0

0 153

0 153

0 100

(26) (18)

59 41

0 89

0 0

(26) (18)

0

153

153

100

(45)

100

77

0

(45)

FINAL

Table A-14

Existing Child Care Demand and Supply in 2015 in Portola Valley

San Mateo County Child Care Study - 2016

Note All footnote references can be found in Table C-1 at the end of this file Sources 2010 US Census ABAG Projections 2013 2014 American Community Survey ACS Journey-to-Work data 2006-2008 and 2006-2010

Child Care Coordinating Council of San Mateo County (4Cs) Community Care Licensing Brion Economics Inc

Prepared by Brion Economics Inc 2513-SMC NA Final Tables 61216 6122016

REDWOOD CITY

Child Care as of 2015

No of

Providers

Under 2 Years

Old

2 to 4 Year

Olds

Total 0 to 4

Years

EXISTING DEMAND Child Care Demand

Estimated Total Children

Average LFPRAdjustment Factor

Children With Working Parents

Licensed Care Demand Factor

Resident Children Needing Licensed Care

of Total Resident Children Needing Licensed Care

Children from Non-Resident Employees Needing

Licensed Care

Total Demand for Child Care Spaces

Distribution

EXISTING SUPPLY

(1)

(2)

(3)

(4)

3260 4706

69

2236 4212

37

827 3942

25 84

414 625

1241 4567

21 79

Child Care Spaces

7966

6449

74

4770

60

1038

5808

100

Family Child Care Home Supply

Child Care Center Supply

Current Child Care Supply

Distribution

EXISTING SURPLUS(SHORTAGE)

Distribution

Percentage of Demand Met

by Existing FacilitiesSpaces

Shortage of Family Child Care Home Spaces

Shortage of Center-Based Spaces

(5)

(6)

(6)

111

45

156

396 497

356 2036

752 2533

23 77

(490) (2034)

19 81

61 55

(258) (399)

(232) (1635)

893

2392

3285

100

(2524)

100

57

(657)

(1867)

FINAL

Table A-15

Existing Child Care Demand and Supply in 2015 in Redwood City

San Mateo County Child Care Study - 2016

Note All footnote references can be found in Table C-1 at the end of this file Sources 2010 US Census ABAG Projections 2013 2014 American Community Survey ACS Journey-to-Work data 2006-2008 and 2006-2010

Child Care Coordinating Council of San Mateo County (4Cs) Community Care Licensing Brion Economics Inc

Prepared by Brion Economics Inc 2513-SMC NA Final Tables 61216 6122016

SAN BRUNO

Child Care as of 2015

No of

Providers

Under 2 Years

Old

2 to 4 Year

Olds

Total 0 to 4

Years

EXISTING DEMAND Child Care Demand

Estimated Total Children

Average LFPRAdjustment Factor

Children With Working Parents

Licensed Care Demand Factor

Resident Children Needing Licensed Care

of Total Resident Children Needing Licensed Care

Children from Non-Resident Employees Needing

Licensed Care

(1)

(2)

(3)

1069 1553

77

817 1428

37

302 1326

28 85

61 92

2622

2245

73

1628

62

153

Total Demand for Child Care Spaces

Distribution

EXISTING SUPPLY (4)

364 1418

20 80

Child Care Spaces

1782

100

Family Child Care Home Supply

Child Care Center Supply

Current Child Care Supply

Distribution

EXISTING SURPLUS(SHORTAGE)

Distribution

Percentage of Demand Met

by Existing FacilitiesSpaces

Shortage of Family Child Care Home Spaces

Shortage of Center-Based Spaces

(5)

(6)

(6)

34

15

49

122 153

26 1183

148 1336

10 90

(216) (82)

72 28

41 94

(178) (9)

(38) (73)

275

1209

1484

100

(298)

100

83

(187)

(110)

FINAL

Table A-16

Existing Child Care Demand and Supply in 2015 in San Bruno

San Mateo County Child Care Study - 2016

Note All footnote references can be found in Table C-1 at the end of this file Sources 2010 US Census ABAG Projections 2013 2014 American Community Survey ACS Journey-to-Work data 2006-2008 and 2006-2010

Child Care Coordinating Council of San Mateo County (4Cs) Community Care Licensing Brion Economics Inc

Prepared by Brion Economics Inc 2513-SMC NA Final Tables 61216 6122016

SAN CARLOS

Child Care as of 2015

No of

Providers

Under 2 Years

Old

2 to 4 Year

Olds

Total 0 to 4

Years

EXISTING DEMAND Child Care Demand

Estimated Total Children

Average LFPRAdjustment Factor

Children With Working Parents

Licensed Care Demand Factor

Resident Children Needing Licensed Care

of Total Resident Children Needing Licensed Care

Children from Non-Resident Employees Needing

Licensed Care

(1)

(2)

(3)

735 1308

72

526 1186

37

195 1109

26 85

75 114

2043

1712

76

1304

64

189

Total Demand for Child Care Spaces

Distribution

EXISTING SUPPLY (4)

270 1222

18 82

Child Care Spaces

1492

100

Family Child Care Home Supply

Child Care Center Supply

Current Child Care Supply

Distribution

EXISTING SURPLUS(SHORTAGE)

Distribution

Percentage of Demand Met

by Existing FacilitiesSpaces

Shortage of Family Child Care Home Spaces

Shortage of Center-Based Spaces

(5)

(6)

(6)

20

14

34

73 92

76 615

149 707

17 83

(121) (516)

19 81

55 58

(59) (67)

(62) (449)

164

691

855

100

(637)

100

57

(126)

(511)

FINAL

Table A-17

Existing Child Care Demand and Supply in 2015 in San Carlos

San Mateo County Child Care Study - 2016

Note All footnote references can be found in Table C-1 at the end of this file

Sources 2010 US Census ABAG Projections 2013 2014 American Community Survey ACS Journey-to-Work data 2006-2008 and 2006-2010

Child Care Coordinating Council of San Mateo County (4Cs) Community Care Licensing Brion Economics Inc

Prepared by Brion Economics Inc 2513-SMC NA Final Tables 61216 6122016

SAN MATEO

Child Care as of 2015

No of

Providers

Under 2 Years

Old

2 to 4 Year

Olds

Total 0 to 4

Years

EXISTING DEMAND Child Care Demand

Estimated Total Children

Average LFPRAdjustment Factor

Children With Working Parents

Licensed Care Demand Factor

Resident Children Needing Licensed Care

of Total Resident Children Needing Licensed Care

Children from Non-Resident Employees Needing

Licensed Care

(1)

(2)

(3)

2943 4213

71

2087 3793

37

772 3537

26 84

231 348

7156

5880

73

4309

60

579

Total Demand for Child Care Spaces

Distribution

EXISTING SUPPLY (4)

1003 3886

21 79

Child Care Spaces

4889

100

Family Child Care Home Supply

Child Care Center Supply

Current Child Care Supply

Distribution

EXISTING SURPLUS(SHORTAGE)

Distribution

Percentage of Demand Met

by Existing FacilitiesSpaces

Shortage of Family Child Care Home Spaces

Shortage of Center-Based Spaces

(5)

(6)

(6)

126

59

185

492 619

209 2577

701 3196

18 82

(302) (690)

30 70

70 82

(212) (134)

(90) (557)

1111

2786

3897

100

(992)

100

80

(345)

(647)

FINAL

Table A-18

Existing Child Care Demand and Supply in 2015 in San Mateo

San Mateo County Child Care Study - 2016

Note All footnote references can be found in Table C-1 at the end of this file

Sources 2010 US Census ABAG Projections 2013 2014 American Community Survey ACS Journey-to-Work data 2006-2008 and 2006-2010

Child Care Coordinating Council of San Mateo County (4Cs) Community Care Licensing Brion Economics Inc

Prepared by Brion Economics Inc 2513-SMC NA Final Tables 61216 6122016

SOUTH COAST

Child Care as of 2015

No of

Providers

Under 2 Years

Old

2 to 4 Year

Olds

Total 0 to 4

Years

EXISTING DEMAND Child Care Demand

Estimated Total Children

Average LFPRAdjustment Factor

Children With Working Parents

Licensed Care Demand Factor

Resident Children Needing Licensed Care

of Total Resident Children Needing Licensed Care

Children from Non-Resident Employees Needing

Licensed Care

(1)

(2)

(3)

21 29

54

11 25

37

4 23

20 81

0 0

50

36

77

28

56

0

Total Demand for Child Care Spaces

Distribution

EXISTING SUPPLY (4)

4 23

15 85

Child Care Spaces

28

100

Family Child Care Home Supply

Child Care Center Supply

Current Child Care Supply

Distribution

EXISTING SURPLUS(SHORTAGE)

Distribution

Percentage of Demand Met

by Existing FacilitiesSpaces

Shortage of Family Child Care Home Spaces

Shortage of Center-Based Spaces

(5)

(6)

(6)

-

2

2

- -

- 54

- 54

0 100

(4) 31

-16 116

0 230

(2) NA

(2) NA

0

54

54

100

26

100

195

(2)

(2)

FINAL

Table A-19

Existing Child Care Demand and Supply in 2015 in South Coast

San Mateo County Child Care Study - 2016

Note All footnote references can be found in Table C-1 at the end of this file

Sources 2010 US Census ABAG Projections 2013 2014 American Community Survey ACS Journey-to-Work data 2006-2008 and 2006-2010

Child Care Coordinating Council of San Mateo County (4Cs) Community Care Licensing Brion Economics Inc

Prepared by Brion Economics Inc 2513-SMC NA Final Tables 61216 6122016

SOUTH SAN FRANCISCO

Child Care as of 2015

No of

Providers

Under 2 Years

Old

2 to 4 Year

Olds

Total 0 to 4

Years

EXISTING DEMAND Child Care Demand

Estimated Total Children

Average LFPRAdjustment Factor

Children With Working Parents

Licensed Care Demand Factor

Resident Children Needing Licensed Care

of Total Resident Children Needing Licensed Care

Children from Non-Resident Employees Needing

Licensed Care

(1)

(2)

(3)

1649 2507

73

1206 2278

37

446 2123

27 85

309 466

4156

3484

74

2569

62

774

Total Demand for Child Care Spaces

Distribution

EXISTING SUPPLY (4)

755 2588

23 77

Child Care Spaces

3343

100

Family Child Care Home Supply

Child Care Center Supply

Current Child Care Supply

Distribution

EXISTING SURPLUS(SHORTAGE)

Distribution

Percentage of Demand Met

by Existing FacilitiesSpaces

Shortage of Family Child Care Home Spaces

Shortage of Center-Based Spaces

(5)

(6)

(6)

68

27

95

252 317

400 1966

652 2283

22 78

(103) (306)

25 75

86 88

(40) (42)

(63) (263)

569

2366

2935

100

(408)

100

88

(82)

(326)

FINAL

Table A-20

Existing Child Care Demand and Supply in 2015 in South San Francisco

San Mateo County Child Care Study - 2016

Note All footnote references can be found in Table C-1 at the end of this file Sources 2010 US Census ABAG Projections 2013 2014 American Community Survey ACS Journey-to-Work data 2006-2008 and 2006-2010

Child Care Coordinating Council of San Mateo County (4Cs) Community Care Licensing Brion Economics Inc

Prepared by Brion Economics Inc 2513-SMC NA Final Tables 61216 6122016

WOODSIDE

No of

Providers

Child Care as of 2015

Under 2 Years

Old

2 to 4 Year

Olds

Total 0 to 4

Years

EXISTING DEMAND Child Care Demand

Estimated Total Children

Average LFPRAdjustment Factor

Children With Working Parents

Licensed Care Demand Factor

Resident Children Needing Licensed Care

of Total Resident Children Needing Licensed Care

Children from Non-Resident Employees Needing

Licensed Care

(1)

(2)

(3)

90 160

56

50 136

37

18 128

21 80

8 13

250

186

79

147

59

21

Total Demand for Child Care Spaces

Distribution

EXISTING SUPPLY (4)

27 141

16 84

Child Care Spaces

168

100

Family Child Care Home Supply

Child Care Center Supply

Current Child Care Supply

Distribution

EXISTING SURPLUS(SHORTAGE)

Distribution

Percentage of Demand Met

by Existing FacilitiesSpaces

Shortage of Family Child Care Home Spaces

Shortage of Center-Based Spaces

(5)

(6)

(6)

1

2

3

4 5

0 103

4 108

4 96

(23) (33)

41 59

16 77

(23) (2)

0 (31)

9

103

112

100

(55)

100

67

(24)

(31)

FINAL

Table A-21

Existing Child Care Demand and Supply in 2015 in Woodside

San Mateo County Child Care Study - 2016

Note All footnote references can be found in Table C-1 at the end of this file Sources 2010 US Census ABAG Projections 2013 2014 American Community Survey ACS Journey-to-Work data 2006-2008 and 2006-2010

Child Care Coordinating Council of San Mateo County (4Cs) Community Care Licensing Brion Economics Inc

Prepared by Brion Economics Inc 2513-SMC NA Final Tables 61216 6122016

COUNTYWIDE

Child Care as of 2025

No of

Providers

Under 2 Years

Old

2 to 4 Year

Olds

Total 0 to 4

Years

EXISTING DEMAND Child Care Demand

Estimated Total Children

Average LFPRAdjustment Factor

Children With Working Parents

Licensed Care Demand Factor

Resident Children Needing Licensed Care

of Total Resident Children Needing Licensed Care

Children from Non-Resident Employees Needing

Licensed Care

Total Demand for Child Care Spaces

Distribution

EXISTING SUPPLY

(1)

(2)

(3)

(4)

20790 31340

71

14704 28273

37

5441 26432

26 84

2037 3074

7478 29506

20 80

Child Care Spaces

52130

42978

86

31873

61

5112

36984

100

Family Child Care Home Supply

Child Care Center Supply

Current Child Care Supply

Distribution

EXISTING SURPLUS(SHORTAGE)

Distribution

Percentage of Demand Met

by Existing FacilitiesSpaces

Shortage of Family Child Care Home Spaces

Shortage of Center-Based Spaces

(5)

(6)

(6)

621

309

930

2301 2893

1514 16296

3815 19189

17 83

(3663) (10318)

26 74

51 65

(2209) (1555)

(1454) (8762)

5193

17810

23003

100

(13981)

100

62

(3765)

(10216)

FINAL

Table B-1

Future C hild Care Demand and Supply in 2025 Countywide

San Mateo County Child Care Study - 2016

Note All footnote references can be found in Table C-1 at the end of this file

Sources 2010 US Census ABAG Projections 2013 2014 American Community Survey ACS Journey-to-Work data 2006-2008 and 2006-2010

Child Care Coordinating Council of San Mateo County (4Cs) Community Care Licensing Brion Economics Inc

Prepared by Brion Economics Inc 2513-SMC NA Final Tables 61216 6122016

ATHERTON

No of

Providers

Child Care as of 2025

Under 2 Years

Old

2 to 4 Year

Olds

Total 0 to 4

Years

EXISTING DEMAND Child Care Demand

Estimated Total Children

Average LFPRAdjustment Factor

Children With Working Parents

Licensed Care Demand Factor

Resident Children Needing Licensed Care

of Total Resident Children Needing Licensed Care

Children from Non-Resident Employees Needing

Licensed Care

(1)

(2)

(3)

109 193

40

43 159

37

16 154

15 80

13 19

302

202

84

170

56

32

Total Demand for Child Care Spaces

Distribution

EXISTING SUPPLY (4)

29 173

14 86

Child Care Spaces

201

100

Family Child Care Home Supply

Child Care Center Supply

Current Child Care Supply

Distribution

EXISTING SURPLUS(SHORTAGE)

Distribution

Percentage of Demand Met

by Existing FacilitiesSpaces

Shortage of Family Child Care Home Spaces

Shortage of Center-Based Spaces

(5)

(6)

(6)

1

6

7

5 6

24 267

29 273

10 90

0 101

0 100

101 158

NA NA

NA NA

11

291

302

100

101

100

150

NA

NA

FINAL

Table B-2

Future Child Care Demand and Supply in 2025 in Atherton

San Mateo Co unty Child Care Study - 2016

Note All footnote references can be found in Table C-1 at the end of this file Sources 2010 US Census ABAG Projections 2013 2014 American Community Survey ACS Journey-to-Work data 2006-2008 and 2006-2010

Child Care Coordinating Council of San Mateo County (4Cs) Community Care Licensing Brion Economics Inc

Prepared by Brion Economics Inc 2513-SMC NA Final Tables 61216 6122016

BELMONT

Child Care as of 2025

No of

Providers

Under 2 Years

Old

2 to 4 Year

Olds

Total 0 to 4

Years

EXISTING DEMAND Child Care Demand

Estimated Total Children

Average LFPRAdjustment Factor

Children With Working Parents

Licensed Care Demand Factor

Resident Children Needing Licensed Care

of Total Resident Children Needing Licensed Care

Children from Non-Resident Employees Needing

Licensed Care

(1)

(2)

(3)

743 1095

77

574 1013

37

213 943

29 86

37 56

1838

1587

73

1156

63

93

Total Demand for Child Care Spaces

Distribution

EXISTING SUPPLY (4)

250 999

20 80

Child Care Spaces

1249

100

Family Child Care Home Supply

Child Care Center Supply

Current Child Care Supply

Distribution

EXISTING SURPLUS(SHORTAGE)

Distribution

Percentage of Demand Met

by Existing FacilitiesSpaces

Shortage of Family Child Care Home Spaces

Shortage of Center-Based Spaces

(5)

(6)

(6)

8

9

17

67 84

39 531

106 615

15 85

(143) (384)

27 73

43 62

(91) (53)

(53) (331)

152

570

722

100

(527)

100

58

(143)

(384)

FINAL

Table B-3

Future Child Care Demand and Supply in 2025 in Belmont

San Mateo County Child Care Study - 2016

Note All footnote references can be found in Table C-1 at the end of this file

Sources 2010 US Census ABAG Projections 2013 2014 American Community Survey ACS Journey-to-Work data 2006-2008 and 2006-2010

Child Care Coordinating Council of San Mateo County (4Cs) Community Care Licensing Brion Economics Inc

Prepared by Brion Economics Inc 2513-SMC NA Final Tables 61216 6122016

BRISBANE

Child Care as of 2025

No of

Providers

Under 2 Years

Old

2 to 4 Year

Olds

Total 0 to 4

Years

EXISTING DEMAND Child Care Demand

Estimated Total Children

Average LFPRAdjustment Factor

Children With Working Parents

Licensed Care Demand Factor

Resident Children Needing Licensed Care

of Total Resident Children Needing Licensed Care

Children from Non-Resident Employees Needing

Licensed Care

(1)

(2)

(3)

131 174

100

131 174

37

48 160

37 92

55 83

305

305

68

209

68

138

Total Demand for Child Care Spaces

Distribution

EXISTING SUPPLY (4)

103 243

30 70

Child Care Spaces

346

100

Family Child Care Home Supply

Child Care Center Supply

Current Child Care Supply

Distribution

EXISTING SURPLUS(SHORTAGE)

Distribution

Percentage of Demand Met

by Existing FacilitiesSpaces

Shortage of Family Child Care Home Spaces

Shortage of Center-Based Spaces

(5)

(6)

(6)

1

1

2

4 5

0 64

4 69

6 94

(99) (174)

36 64

4 29

(99) (13)

0 (160)

9

64

73

100

(273)

100

21

(112)

(160)

FINAL

Table B-4

Future Child Care Demand and Supply in 2025 in Brisbane

San Mateo County Child Care Study - 2016

Note All footnote references can be found in Table C-1 at the end of this file Sources 2010 US Census ABAG Projections 2013 2014 American Community Survey ACS Journey-to-Work data 2006-2008 and 2006-2010

Child Care Coordinating Council of San Mateo County (4Cs) Community Care Licensing Brion Economics Inc

Prepared by Brion Economics Inc 2513-SMC NA Final Tables 61216 6122016

BURLINGAME

Child Care as of 2025

No of

Providers

Under 2 Years

Old

2 to 4 Year

Olds

Total 0 to 4

Years

EXISTING DEMAND Child Care Demand

Estimated Total Children

Average LFPRAdjustment Factor

Children With Working Parents

Licensed Care Demand Factor

Resident Children Needing Licensed Care

of Total Resident Children Needing Licensed Care

Children from Non-Resident Employees Needing

Licensed Care

(1)

(2)

(3)

903 1332

65

587 1190

37

217 1124

24 84

154 232

2235

1777

75

1341

60

385

Total Demand for Child Care Spaces

Distribution

EXISTING SUPPLY (4)

371 1356

21 79

Child Care Spaces

1726

100

Family Child Care Home Supply

Child Care Center Supply

Current Child Care Supply

Distribution

EXISTING SURPLUS(SHORTAGE)

Distribution

Percentage of Demand Met

by Existing FacilitiesSpaces

Shortage of Family Child Care Home Spaces

Shortage of Center-Based Spaces

(5)

(6)

(6)

10

14

24

79 99

40 866

119 965

11 89

(252) (390)

39 61

32 71

(167) (40)

(85) (350)

179

906

1085

100

(642)

100

63

(207)

(434)

FINAL

Table B-5

Future Child Care Demand and Supply in 2025 in Burlingame

San Mateo County Child Care Study - 2016

Note All footnote references can be found in Table C-1 at the end of this file

Sources 2010 US Census ABAG Projections 2013 2014 American Community Survey ACS Journey-to-Work data 2006-2008 and 2006-2010

Child Care Coordinating Council of San Mateo County (4Cs) Community Care Licensing Brion Economics Inc

Prepared by Brion Economics Inc 2513-SMC NA Final Tables 61216 6122016

DALY CITYCOLMA

Child Care as of 2025

No of

Providers

Under 2 Years

Old

2 to 4 Year

Olds

Total 0 to 4

Years

EXISTING DEMAND Child Care Demand

Estimated Total Children

Average LFPRAdjustment Factor

Children With Working Parents

Licensed Care Demand Factor

Resident Children Needing Licensed Care

of Total Resident Children Needing Licensed Care

Children from Non-Resident Employees Needing

Licensed Care

(1)

(2)

(3)

2647 3793

74

1964 3467

37

727 3233

27 85

138 208

6440

5432

73

3960

61

346

Total Demand for Child Care Spaces

Distribution

EXISTING SUPPLY (4)

865 3441

20 80

Child Care Spaces

4306

100

Family Child Care Home Supply

Child Care Center Supply

Current Child Care Supply

Distribution

EXISTING SURPLUS(SHORTAGE)

Distribution

Percentage of Demand Met

by Existing FacilitiesSpaces

Shortage of Family Child Care Home Spaces

Shortage of Center-Based Spaces

(5)

(6)

(6)

25

28

28

288 362

84 1264

372 1626

19 81

(493) (1816)

21 79

43 47

(381) (404)

(111) (1412)

649

1348

1997

100

(2308)

100

46

(785)

(1523)

FINAL

Table B-6

Future C hild Care Demand and Supply in 2025 in Daly CityColma

San Mateo County Child Care Study - 2016

Note All footnote references can be found in Table C-1 at the end of this file

Sources 2010 US Census ABAG Projections 2013 2014 American Community Survey ACS Journey-to-Work data 2006-2008 and 2006-2010

Child Care Coordinating Council of San Mateo County (4Cs) Community Care Licensing Brion Economics Inc

Prepared by Brion Economics Inc 2513-SMC NA Final Tables 61216 6122016

EAST PALO ALTO

Child Care as of 2025

No of

Providers

Under 2 Years

Old

2 to 4 Year

Olds

Total 0 to 4

Years

EXISTING DEMAND Child Care Demand

Estimated Total Children

Average LFPRAdjustment Factor

Children With Working Parents

Licensed Care Demand Factor

Resident Children Needing Licensed Care

of Total Resident Children Needing Licensed Care

Children from Non-Resident Employees Needing

Licensed Care

(1)

(2)

(3)

1161 1849

71

822 1660

37

304 1545

26 84

20 30

3010

2482

75

1849

61

50

Total Demand for Child Care Spaces

Distribution

EXISTING SUPPLY (4)

324 1575

17 83

Child Care Spaces

1900

100

Family Child Care Home Supply

Child Care Center Supply

Current Child Care Supply

Distribution

EXISTING SURPLUS(SHORTAGE)

Distribution

Percentage of Demand Met

by Existing FacilitiesSpaces

Shortage of Family Child Care Home Spaces

Shortage of Center-Based Spaces

(5)

(6)

(6)

13

6

19

85 106

25 633

110 739

13 87

(215) (836)

20 80

34 47

(166) (120)

(49) (715)

191

658

849

100

(1050)

100

45

(286)

(764)

FINAL

Table B-7

Future Child Care Demand and Supply in 2025 in East Palo Alto

San Mateo County Child Care Study - 2016

Note All footnote references can be found in Table C-1 at the end of this file

Sources 2010 US Census ABAG Projections 2013 2014 American Community Survey ACS Journey-to-Work data 2006-2008 and 2006-2010

Child Care Coordinating Council of San Mateo County (4Cs) Community Care Licensing Brion Economics Inc

Prepared by Brion Economics Inc 2513-SMC NA Final Tables 61216 6122016

FOSTER CITY

Child Care as of 2025

No of

Providers

Under 2 Years

Old

2 to 4 Year

Olds

Total 0 to 4

Years

EXISTING DEMAND Child Care Demand

Estimated Total Children

Average LFPRAdjustment Factor

Children With Working Parents

Licensed Care Demand Factor

Resident Children Needing Licensed Care

of Total Resident Children Needing Licensed Care

Children from Non-Resident Employees Needing

Licensed Care

(1)

(2)

(3)

871 1330

63

550 1154

37

204 1079

23 81

80 120

2201

1705

75

1282

58

200

Total Demand for Child Care Spaces

Distribution

EXISTING SUPPLY (4)

283 1199

19 81

Child Care Spaces

1483

100

Family Child Care Home Supply

Child Care Center Supply

Current Child Care Supply

Distribution

EXISTING SURPLUS(SHORTAGE)

Distribution

Percentage of Demand Met

by Existing FacilitiesSpaces

Shortage of Family Child Care Home Spaces

Shortage of Center-Based Spaces

(5)

(6)

(6)

19

12

31

118 149

88 1200

206 1349

13 87

(77) 150

-106 206

73 112

(44) NA

(33) NA

267

1288

1555

100

73

100

105

(44)

(33)

FINAL

Table B-8

Future Child Care Demand and Supply in 2025 in Foster City

San Mateo County Child Care Study - 2016

Note All footnote references can be found in Table C-1 at the end of this file

Sources 2010 US Census ABAG Projections 2013 2014 American Community Survey ACS Journey-to-Work data 2006-2008 and 2006-2010

Child Care Coordinating Council of San Mateo County (4Cs) Community Care Licensing Brion Economics Inc

Prepared by Brion Economics Inc 2513-SMC NA Final Tables 61216 6122016

HALF MOON BAY REGION

Child Care as of 2025

No of

Providers

Under 2 Years

Old

2 to 4 Year

Olds

Total 0 to 4

Years

EXISTING DEMAND Child Care Demand

Estimated Total Children

Average LFPRAdjustment Factor

Children With Working Parents

Licensed Care Demand Factor

Resident Children Needing Licensed Care

of Total Resident Children Needing Licensed Care

Children from Non-Resident Employees Needing

Licensed Care

(1)

(2)

(3)

553 929

69

383 835

37

142 781

26 84

14 21

1482

1217

76

923

62

34

Total Demand for Child Care Spaces

Distribution

EXISTING SUPPLY (4)

155 802

16 84

Child Care Spaces

957

100

Family Child Care Home Supply

Child Care Center Supply

Current Child Care Supply

Distribution

EXISTING SURPLUS(SHORTAGE)

Distribution

Percentage of Demand Met

by Existing FacilitiesSpaces

Shortage of Family Child Care Home Spaces

Shortage of Center-Based Spaces

(5)

(6)

(6)

10

11

21

96 121

35 285

131 406

24 76

(24) (396)

6 94

84 51

(18) (118)

(6) (279)

216

320

536

100

(421)

100

56

(136)

(285)

FINAL

Table B-9

Future Child Care Demand and Supply in 2025 in Half Moon Bay Region

San Mateo County Child Care Study - 2016

Note All footnote references can be found in Table C-1 at the end of this file

Sources 2010 US Census ABAG Projections 2013 2014 American Community Survey ACS Journey-to-Work data 2006-2008 and 2006-2010

Child Care Coordinating Council of San Mateo County (4Cs) Community Care Licensing Brion Economics Inc

Prepared by Brion Economics Inc 2513-SMC NA Final Tables 61216 6122016

HILLSBOROUGH

Child Care as of 2025

No of

Providers

Under 2 Years

Old

2 to 4 Year

Olds

Total 0 to 4

Years

EXISTING DEMAND Child Care Demand

Estimated Total Children

Average LFPRAdjustment Factor

Children With Working Parents

Licensed Care Demand Factor

Resident Children Needing Licensed Care

of Total Resident Children Needing Licensed Care

Children from Non-Resident Employees Needing

Licensed Care

(1)

(2)

(3)

143 343

52

74 295

37

27 282

19 82

7 11

487

369

84

309

64

17

Total Demand for Child Care Spaces

Distribution

EXISTING SUPPLY (4)

34 292

10 90

Child Care Spaces

327

100

Family Child Care Home Supply

Child Care Center Supply

Current Child Care Supply

Distribution

EXISTING SURPLUS(SHORTAGE)

Distribution

Percentage of Demand Met

by Existing FacilitiesSpaces

Shortage of Family Child Care Home Spaces

Shortage of Center-Based Spaces

(5)

(6)

(6)

1

4

5

5 6

- 91

5 97

5 95

(29) (195)

13 87

14 33

(29) (12)

0 (183)

11

91

102

100

(225)

100

31

(42)

(183)

FINAL

Table B-10

Future Child Care Demand and Supply in 2025 in Hillsborough

San Mateo County Child Care Study - 2016

Note All footnote references can be found in Table C-1 at the end of this file

Sources 2010 US Census ABAG Projections 2013 2014 American Community Survey ACS Journey-to-Work data 2006-2008 and 2006-2010

Child Care Coordinating Council of San Mateo County (4Cs) Community Care Licensing Brion Economics Inc

Prepared by Brion Economics Inc 2513-SMC NA Final Tables 61216 6122016

MENLO PARK

Child Care as of 2025

No of

Providers

Under 2 Years

Old

2 to 4 Year

Olds

Total 0 to 4

Years

EXISTING DEMAND Child Care Demand

Estimated Total Children

Average LFPRAdjustment Factor

Children With Working Parents

Licensed Care Demand Factor

Resident Children Needing Licensed Care

of Total Resident Children Needing Licensed Care

Children from Non-Resident Employees Needing

Licensed Care

(1)

(2)

(3)

1327 1954

69

909 1759

37

336 1653

25 85

237 357

3281

2668

75

1989

61

594

Total Demand for Child Care Spaces

Distribution

EXISTING SUPPLY (4)

573 2011

22 78

Child Care Spaces

2584

100

Family Child Care Home Supply

Child Care Center Supply

Current Child Care Supply

Distribution

EXISTING SURPLUS(SHORTAGE)

Distribution

Percentage of Demand Met

by Existing FacilitiesSpaces

Shortage of Family Child Care Home Spaces

Shortage of Center-Based Spaces

(5)

(6)

(6)

15

25

40

76 96

73 1331

149 1427

9 91

(424) (584)

42 58

26 71

(217) (39)

(207) (544)

172

1404

1576

100

(1008)

100

61

(256)

(752)

FINAL

Table B-11

Future Child Care Demand and Supply in 2025 in Menlo Park

San Mateo County Child Care Study - 2016

Note All footnote references can be found in Table C-1 at the end of this file

Sources 2010 US Census ABAG Projections 2013 2014 American Community Survey ACS Journey-to-Work data 2006-2008 and 2006-2010

Child Care Coordinating Council of San Mateo County (4Cs) Community Care Licensing Brion Economics Inc

Prepared by Brion Economics Inc 2513-SMC NA Final Tables 61216 6122016

MILLBRAE

Child Care as of 2025

No of

Providers

Under 2 Years

Old

2 to 4 Year

Olds

Total 0 to 4

Years

EXISTING DEMAND Child Care Demand

Estimated Total Children

Average LFPRAdjustment Factor

Children With Working Parents

Licensed Care Demand Factor

Resident Children Needing Licensed Care

of Total Resident Children Needing Licensed Care

Children from Non-Resident Employees Needing

Licensed Care

(1)

(2)

(3)

473 805

62

291 710

37

108 672

23 83

31 47

1278

1001

78

780

61

77

Total Demand for Child Care Spaces

Distribution

EXISTING SUPPLY (4)

139 718

16 84

Child Care Spaces

857

100

Family Child Care Home Supply

Child Care Center Supply

Current Child Care Supply

Distribution

EXISTING SURPLUS(SHORTAGE)

Distribution

Percentage of Demand Met

by Existing FacilitiesSpaces

Shortage of Family Child Care Home Spaces

Shortage of Center-Based Spaces

(5)

(6)

(6)

7

7

14

62 78

- 376

62 454

12 88

(76) (264)

22 78

45 63

(76) (46)

0 (219)

141

376

517

100

(340)

100

60

(122)

(219)

FINAL

Table B-12

Future C hild Care Demand and Supply in 2025 in Millbrae

San Mateo County Child Care Study - 2016

Note All footnote references can be found in Table C-1 at the end of this file

Sources 2010 US Census ABAG Projections 2013 2014 American Community Survey ACS Journey-to-Work data 2006-2008 and 2006-2010

Child Care Coordinating Council of San Mateo County (4Cs) Community Care Licensing Brion Economics Inc

Prepared by Brion Economics Inc 2513-SMC NA Final Tables 61216 6122016

FINAL

Table B-13

Future Child Care Demand and Supply in 2025 in Pacifica

San Mateo County Child Care Study - 2016

PACIFICA

Child Care as of 2025

No of

Providers

Under 2 Years

Old

2 to 4 Year

Olds

Total 0 to 4

Years

EXISTING DEMAND Child Care Demand

Estimated Total Children

Average L FPRAdjustment Factor

Children With Working Parents

Licensed Care Demand Factor

Resident Children Needing Licensed Care

of Total Resident Children Needing Licensed Care

Children from Non-Resident Employees Needing

Licensed Care

(1)

(2)

(3)

816 1300

78

633 1209

37

234 1130

29 87

19 29

2116

1842

74

1364

64

48

Total Demand for Child Care Spaces

Distribution

EXISTING SUPPLY (4)

254 1159

18 82

Child Care Spaces

1413

100

Family Child Care Home Supply

Child Care Center Supply

Current Child Care Supply

Distribution

EXISTING SURPLUS(SHORTAGE)

Distribution

Percentage of Demand Met

by Existing FacilitiesSpaces

Shortage of Family Child Care Home Spaces

Shortage of Center-Based Spaces

(5)

(6)

(6)

9

18

27

77 97

39 701

116 798

13 87

(138) (361)

28 72

46 69

(91) (44)

(46) (317)

174

740

914

100

(499)

100

65

(135)

(364)

Note All footnote references can be found in Table C-1 at the end of this file

Sources 2010 US Census ABAG Projections 2013 2014 American Community Survey ACS Journey-to-Work data 2006-2008 and 2006-2010

Child Care Coordinating Council of San Mateo County (4Cs) Community Care Licensing Brion Economics Inc

Prepared by Brion Economics Inc 2513-SMC NA Final Tables 61216 6122016

PORTOLA VALLEY

Child Care as of 2025

No of

Providers

Under 2 Years

Old

2 to 4 Year

Olds

Total 0 to 4

Years

EXISTING DEMAND Child Care Demand

Estimated Total Children

Average LFPRAdjustment Factor

Children With Working Parents

Licensed Care Demand Factor

Resident Children Needing Licensed Care

of Total Resident Children Needing Licensed Care

Children from Non-Resident Employees Needing

Licensed Care

(1)

(2)

(3)

77 192

66

51 173

37

19 164

24 85

9 13

269

224

82

182

68

22

Total Demand for Child Care Spaces

Distribution

EXISTING SUPPLY (4)

28 177

13 87

Child Care Spaces

204

100

Family Child Care Home Supply

Child Care Center Supply

Current Child Care Supply

Distribution

EXISTING SURPLUS(SHORTAGE)

Distribution

Percentage of Demand Met

by Existing FacilitiesSpaces

Shortage of Family Child Care Home Spaces

Shortage of Center-Based Spaces

(5)

(6)

(6)

0

4

4

- -

- 153

- 153

0 100

(28) (24)

54 46

0 87

0 0

(28) (24)

0

153

153

100

(51)

100

75

0

(51)

FINAL

Table B-14

Future Child Care Demand and Supply in 2025 in Portola Valley

San Mateo County Child Care Study - 2016

Note All footnote references can be found in Table C-1 at the end of this file

Sources 2010 US Census ABAG Projections 2013 2014 American Community Survey ACS Journey-to-Work data 2006-2008 and 2006-2010

Child Care Coordinating Council of San Mateo County (4Cs) Community Care Licensing Brion Economics Inc

Prepared by Brion Economics Inc 2513-SMC NA Final Tables 61216 6122016

REDWOOD CITY

No of

Providers

Child Care as of 2025

Under 2 Years

Old

2 to 4 Year

Olds

Total 0 to 4

Years

EXISTING DEMAND Child Care Demand

Estimated Total Children

Average LFPRAdjustment Factor

Children With Working Parents

Licensed Care Demand Factor

Resident Children Needing Licensed Care

of Total Resident Children Needing Licensed Care

Children from Non-Resident Employees Needing

Licensed Care

Total Demand for Child Care Spaces

Distribution

EXISTING SUPPLY

(1)

(2)

(3)

(4)

3725 5378

69

2555 4813

37

946 4505

25 84

466 703

1411 5208

21 79

Child Care Spaces

9103

7368

74

5450

60

1169

6619

100

Family Child Care Home Supply

Child Care Center Supply

Current Child Care Supply

Distribution

EXISTING SURPLUS(SHORTAGE)

Distribution

Percentage of Demand Met

by Existing FacilitiesSpaces

Shortage of Family Child Care Home Spaces

Shortage of Center-Based Spaces

(5)

(6)

(6)

42

41

83

396 497

356 2036

752 2533

23 77

(660) (2674)

20 80

53 49

(347) (525)

(313) (2149)

893

2392

3285

100

(3334)

100

50

(872)

(2462)

FINAL

Table B-15

Future Child Care Demand and Supply in 2025 in Redwood City

San Mateo County Child Care Study - 2016

Note All footnote references can be found in Table C-1 at the end of this file

Sources 2010 US Census ABAG Projections 2013 2014 American Community Survey ACS Journey-to-Work data 2006-2008 and 2006-2010

Child Care Coordinating Council of San Mateo County (4Cs) Community Care Licensing Brion Economics Inc

Prepared by Brion Economics Inc 2513-SMC NA Final Tables 61216 6122016

SAN BRUNO

Child Care as of 2025

No of

Providers

Under 2 Years

Old

2 to 4 Year

Olds

Total 0 to 4

Years

EXISTING DEMAND Child Care Demand

Estimated Total Children

Average LFPRAdjustment Factor

Children With Working Parents

Licensed Care Demand Factor

Resident Children Needing Licensed Care

of Total Resident Children Needing Licensed Care

Children from Non-Resident Employees Needing

Licensed Care

(1)

(2)

(3)

1189 1728

77

910 1589

37

337 1475

28 85

68 103

2917

2498

73

1812

62

171

Total Demand for Child Care Spaces

Distribution

EXISTING SUPPLY (4)

405 1578

20 80

Child Care Spaces

1983

100

Family Child Care Home Supply

Child Care Center Supply

Current Child Care Supply

Distribution

EXISTING SURPLUS(SHORTAGE)

Distribution

Percentage of Demand Met

by Existing FacilitiesSpaces

Shortage of Family Child Care Home Spaces

Shortage of Center-Based Spaces

(5)

(6)

(6)

13

15

28

122 153

26 1183

148 1336

10 90

(257) (242)

52 48

37 85

(212) (28)

(45) (214)

275

1209

1484

100

(499)

100

75

(239)

(259)

FINAL

Table B-16

Future C hild Care Demand and Supply in 2025 in San Bruno

San Mateo County Child Care Study - 2016

Note All footnote references can be found in Table C-1 at the end of this file

Sources 2010 US Census ABAG Projections 2013 2014 American Community Survey ACS Journey-to-Work data 2006-2008 and 2006-2010

Child Care Coordinating Council of San Mateo County (4Cs) Community Care Licensing Brion Economics Inc

Prepared by Brion Economics Inc 2513-SMC NA Final Tables 61216 6122016

SAN CARLOS

Child Care as of 2025

No of

Providers

Under 2 Years

Old

2 to 4 Year

Olds

Total 0 to 4

Years

EXISTING DEMAND Child Care Demand

Estimated Total Children

Average LFPRAdjustment Factor

Children With Working Parents

Licensed Care Demand Factor

Resident Children Needing Licensed Care

of Total Resident Children Needing Licensed Care

Children from Non-Resident Employees Needing

Licensed Care

(1)

(2)

(3)

778 1384

72

557 1255

37

206 1174

26 85

82 123

2162

1812

76

1380

64

205

Total Demand for Child Care Spaces

Distribution

EXISTING SUPPLY (4)

288 1297

18 82

Child Care Spaces

1585

100

Family Child Care Home Supply

Child Care Center Supply

Current Child Care Supply

Distribution

EXISTING SURPLUS(SHORTAGE)

Distribution

Percentage of Demand Met

by Existing FacilitiesSpaces

Shortage of Family Child Care Home Spaces

Shortage of Center-Based Spaces

(5)

(6)

(6)

28

14

42

73 92

76 615

149 707

17 83

(139) (590)

19 81

52 54

(68) (76)

(71) (514)

164

691

855

100

(729)

100

54

(145)

(585)

FINAL

Table B-17

Future Child Care Demand and Supply in 2025 in San Carlos

San Mateo County Child Care Study - 2016

Note All footnote references can be found in Table C-1 at the end of this file

Sources 2010 US Census ABAG Projections 2013 2014 American Community Survey ACS Journey-to-Work data 2006-2008 and 2006-2010

Child Care Coordinating Council of San Mateo County (4Cs) Community Care Licensing Brion Economics Inc

Prepared by Brion Economics Inc 2513-SMC NA Final Tables 61216 6122016

SAN MATEO

Child Care as of 2025

No of

Providers

Under 2 Years

Old

2 to 4 Year

Olds

Total 0 to 4

Years

EXISTING DEMAND Child Care Demand

Estimated Total Children

Average LFPRAdjustment Factor

Children With Working Parents

Licensed Care Demand Factor

Resident Children Needing Licensed Care

of Total Resident Children Needing Licensed Care

Children from Non-Resident Employees Needing

Licensed Care

(1)

(2)

(3)

3194 4572

71

2264 4116

37

838 3839

26 84

261 394

7766

6381

73

4677

60

656

Total Demand for Child Care Spaces

Distribution

EXISTING SUPPLY (4)

1099 4233

21 79

Child Care Spaces

5332

100

Family Child Care Home Supply

Child Care Center Supply

Current Child Care Supply

Distribution

EXISTING SURPLUS(SHORTAGE)

Distribution

Percentage of Demand Met

by Existing FacilitiesSpaces

Shortage of Family Child Care Home Spaces

Shortage of Center-Based Spaces

(5)

(6)

(6)

69

59

128

492 619

209 2577

701 3196

18 82

(398) (1037)

28 72

64 75

(279) (201)

(119) (837)

1111

2786

3897

100

(1435)

100

73

(480)

(955)

FINAL

Table B-18

Future Child Care Demand and Supply in 2025 in San Mateo

San Mateo County Child Care Study - 2016

Note All footnote references can be found in Table C-1 at the end of this file

Sources 2010 US Census ABAG Projections 2013 2014 American Community Survey ACS Journey-to-Work data 2006-2008 and 2006-2010

Child Care Coordinating Council of San Mateo County (4Cs) Community Care Licensing Brion Economics Inc

Prepared by Brion Economics Inc 2513-SMC NA Final Tables 61216 6122016

FINAL

Table B-19

Future Child Care Demand and Supply in 2025 in South Coast

San Mateo County Child Care Study - 2016

SOUTH COAST

Child Care as of 2025

No of

Providers

Under 2 Years

Old

2 to 4 Year

Olds

Total 0 to 4

Years

EXISTING DEMAND Child Care Demand

Estimated Total Children (1) 23 32 55

Average LFPRAdjustment Factor (2) 54

Children With Working Parents 12 27 40

Licensed Care Demand Factor (3) 37 77

Resident Children Needing Licensed Care 5 26 30

of Total Resident Children Needing Licensed Care 20 81 56

Children from Non-Resident Employees Needing

Licensed Care 0 0 0

Total Demand for Child Care Spaces 5 26 30

Distribution 15 85 100

EXISTING SUPPLY (4) Child Care Spaces

Family Child Care Home Supply - 0 0 0

Child Care Center Supply 2 0 54 54

Current Child Care Supply 2 - 54 54

Distribution 0 100 100

EXISTING SURPLUS(SHORTAGE) (5) 28 24

Distribution -19 119 100

Percentage of Demand Met

by Existing FacilitiesSpaces (5) 0 209 177

Shortage of Family Child Care Home Spaces (6) 0 NA 0

Shortage of Center-Based Spaces (6) (5) NA (5)

Note All footnote references can be found in Table C-1 at the end of this file

Sources 2010 US Census ABAG Projections 2013 2014 American Community Survey ACS Journey-to-Work data 2006-2008 and 2006-2010

Child Care Coordinating Council of San Mateo County (4Cs) Community Care Licensing Brion Economics Inc

Prepared by Brion Economics Inc 2513-SMC NA Final Tables 61216 6122016

SOUTH SAN FRANCISCO

Child Care as of 2025

No of

Providers

Under 2 Years

Old

2 to 4 Year

Olds

Total 0 to 4

Years

EXISTING DEMAND Child Care Demand

Estimated Total Children

Average LFPRAdjustment Factor

Children With Working Parents

Licensed Care Demand Factor

Resident Children Needing Licensed Care

of Total Resident Children Needing Licensed Care

Children from Non-Resident Employees Needing

Licensed Care

(1)

(2)

(3)

1835 2790

73

1342 2535

37

496 2362

27 85

339 512

4625

3877

74

2859

62

851

Total Demand for Child Care Spaces

Distribution

EXISTING SUPPLY (4)

835 2874

23 77

Child Care Spaces

3709

100

Family Child Care Home Supply

Child Care Center Supply

Current Child Care Supply

Distribution

EXISTING SURPLUS(SHORTAGE)

Distribution

Percentage of Demand Met

by Existing FacilitiesSpaces

Shortage of Family Child Care Home Spaces

Shortage of Center-Based Spaces

(5)

(6)

(6)

30

27

57

252 317

400 1966

652 2283

22 78

(183) (591)

24 76

78 79

(71) (82)

(113) (509)

569

2366

2935

100

(775)

100

79

(153)

(622)

FINAL

Table B-20

Future Child Care Demand and Supply in 2025 in South San Francisco

San Mateo County Child Care Study - 2016

Note All footnote references can be found in Table C-1 at the end of this file

Sources 2010 US Census ABAG Projections 2013 2014 American Community Survey ACS Journey-to-Work data 2006-2008 and 2006-2010

Child Care Coordinating Council of San Mateo County (4Cs) Community Care Licensing Brion Economics Inc

Prepared by Brion Economics Inc 2513-SMC NA Final Tables 61216 6122016

WOODSIDE

No of

Providers

Child Care as of 2025

Under 2 Years

Old

2 to 4 Year

Olds

Total 0 to 4

Years

EXISTING DEMAND Child Care Demand

Estimated Total Children

Average LFPRAdjustment Factor

Children With Working Parents

Licensed Care Demand Factor

Resident Children Needing Licensed Care

of Total Resident Children Needing Licensed Care

Children from Non-Resident Employees Needing

Licensed Care

(1)

(2)

(3)

93 165

56

51 140

37

19 132

21 80

9 13

258

192

79

152

59

22

Total Demand for Child Care Spaces

Distribution

EXISTING SUPPLY (4)

28 146

16 84

Child Care Spaces

174

100

Family Child Care Home Supply

Child Care Center Supply

Current Child Care Supply

Distribution

EXISTING SURPLUS(SHORTAGE)

Distribution

Percentage of Demand Met

by Existing FacilitiesSpaces

Shortage of Family Child Care Home Spaces

Shortage of Center-Based Spaces

(5)

(6)

(6)

1

2

3

4 5

- 103

4 108

4 96

(24) (38)

39 61

15 74

(24) (2)

0 (36)

9

103

112

100

(61)

100

65

(26)

(36)

FINAL

Table B-21

Future Child Care Demand and Supply in 2025 in Woodside

San Mateo County Child Care Study - 2016

Note All footnote references can be found in Table C-1 at the end of this file

Sources 2010 US Census ABAG Projections 2013 2014 American Community Survey ACS Journey-to-Work data 2006-2008 and 2006-2010

Child Care Coordinating Council of San Mateo County (4Cs) Community Care Licensing Brion Economics Inc

Prepared by Brion Economics Inc 2513-SMC NA Final Tables 61216 6122016

FINAL

Table C-1

Endnotes for Tables

San Mateo County Child Care Study - 2016

(1) Population by age is based on the percentage breakdown from the 2010 US Census and applied

to population estimates for 2015 using ABAGs Projections 2013 population data The ABAG data

for each area includes its Sphere of Influence and is not based on strict jurisdictional boundaries

(2) Labor force participation rates are from the 5-Year American Community Survey 2014 and include

children under six years old with two working parents or a single working parent For the 2- to 4-year

olds the labor force participation rate is applied to 2 year olds For 3- and 4-year olds it is assumed

that 100 need licensed care to support preschool for every child so the number of

3- and 4-year olds is not discounted by labor force participation rates

(3) Not all children with working parents are assumed to need licensed care percentage assumptions are

used to calculate the number of children requiring licensed care under each age category The

remaining children are assumed to be cared for in alternate arrangements such as by family members

nannies friends and other unlicensed care For children ages 3- and 4-years old it is assumed that

they all need care in the form of preschool

(4) Data on child care supply provided by the Child Care Coordinating Council of San Mateo County (4Cs)

and Community Care Licensing Division of the California Department of Social Services (CCLD) Data is

for June 2015

(5) Demand that calculates as less than 100 means that there is greater demand than supply percent of

demand that is over 100 means supply exceeds demand

(6) Unmet demand is broken down into shortage by type of care based on the proportion of FCCHs and

child care centers spaces available in each area If an area does not have any FCCHs or centers the

unmet demand is placed in the type of care that is available in the area (eg if there are only centers

all demand goes to centers)

Source Brion Economics Inc

Prepared by Brion Economics Inc 2513-SMC NA Final Tables 61216 6122016

DRAFT REPORT

Table C-2

Labor Force Participation Rates by CityArea

San Mateo County Child Care Study - 2016

CityArea

Labor Force

Participation Rate (1)

Atherton

Belmont

Brisbane

Burlingame

Daly CityColma

East Palo Alto

Foster City

Half Moon Bay Region

Hillsborough

Menlo Park

Millbrae

Pacifica

Portola Valley

Redwood City

San Bruno

San Carlos

San Mateo

South Coast

South San Francisco

Woodside

40

77

100

65

74

71

63

69

52

69

62

78

66

69

77

72

71

54

73

56

(1) Labor force participation rates (LFPRs) are for

families with children under age six with two

working parents or a single parent who works Sources American Community Survey 2014 5-Year

Survey Brion Economics Inc

Prepared by Brion Economics Inc 2513-SMC NA Final Tables 61216 6122016

  • 2513-SMC FINAL NA Memo-61216
  • 2513-SMC NA Final Tables 61216
Page 6: Final San Mateo County Child Care Needs … Care...Future C hild Care Demand and Supply in 2025 in Daly City/Colma San Mateo County Child Care Study - 2016 Note: All footnote references

Final Child Care Needs Assessment ndash 2015 and 2025 San Mateo Early Learning Facilities Study

June 12 2016 Page 6 of 9

Demand

Demand is calculated by taking the number of children by age group with working parents based on applying labor force participation rates (LFPRs) for children under age six (from the 2014 5-Year American Community Survey) to the number of Infants and Preschoolers to calculate the number of children in each of those age groups with working parents Three- and four-year-olds are not discounted by LFPRs because the County wants to include all three- and four-year-olds in the demand factor to support the Countyrsquos universal preschool policy Labor force participation rates include families with two working parents or a single parent who works

Relevant demand factors are then applied to the number of children with working parents to determine the number of those children requiring licensed care as discussed above It is assumed that only a percentage of children with working parents require licensed care because some parents choose to have nannies extended family friends or other arrangements for their children and are therefore not looking for a licensed child care space

For Infants a demand factor of 37 is applied This is the demand factor recommended by the California Child Care Coordinators Association for needs assessments and agreed upon by the data committee for this project

For Preschool children demand factors typically vary between 75 and 100 of children with working parents At the direction of the data committee we are using 100 of three- and four-year-old children requiring care regardless of whether their parents work in support of the Countyrsquos overall policy to promote universal preschool For two-year-olds a 75 licensed care demand factor is applied after LFPRs are applied For three- and four-year-olds a 100 licensed care demand factor is applied assuming all three- and four-year-olds in the County require a licensed child care space

Once demand is calculated the percent distribution of total demand for spaces by age group is calculated as well as the percent of total children requiring licensed care

The total demand for spaces by age group for both 2015 and 2025 is summarized in Table 6 At 2015 Redwood City shows the greatest demand for both age groups needing over 5800 spaces The City of San Mateo follows requiring almost 5000 spaces Overall there is demand for over 6800 infant spaces and almost 27000 preschool spaces or 33800 spaces countywide in 2015 In 2025 the demand in Redwood City is still highest with a 179 increase for total demand of over 6600 spaces In 2025 it is expected that there will be a need for 7500 infant spaces and 29500 preschool spaces for a total demand of almost 37000 licensed child care spaces

Current child care demand from employees is calculated in Table 7 based on the employment numbers calculated in Table 4 for each cityarea It is assumed that 3 of employees require

Prepared by Brion Economics Inc Final Report

Final Child Care Needs Assessment ndash 2015 and 2025 San Mateo Early Learning Facilities Study

June 12 2016 Page 7 of 9

licensed care in the County based on other studies that have looked at employee demand The analysis assumes one child aged birth to four years old per employee on average Of those children it is assumed that 40 require infant spaces and 60 require preschool spaces This breakdown is based on the current ratio of infants and preschool age children in the County currently It is estimated that there are approximately 4600 children of employees who work in the County that require care Of those 1800 are estimated to be infants and almost 2800 are estimated to be preschool age Demand for SF Airport is included in total demand for South San Francisco and employee demand for the Remainder area is applied to Redwood City

Table 8 presents the same data as Table 7 but for 2025 conditions It is estimated that 5100 employee children from birth to four years old will demand licensed care in the County in 2025 with approximately 2000 requiring infant spaces and 3100 requiring preschool spaces

The surplusshortage and percent of demand met for licensed infant and preschool care by cityarea in 2015 is shown in Table 9 Countywide 56 of infant demand is met and 71 of current preschool demand is met Table 10 shows the same data for 2025 it is estimated that 51 and 65 of demand for infant and preschool spaces respectively will be met These figures assume existing supply and do not account for any new supply that may be built over the next 10 years The communities of Atherton Foster City and South Coast do show some surpluses of child care spaces

The number of current child care providers by type is summarized in Table 11 There are currently 621 family child care homes and 309 licensed and license-exempt centers in San Mateo County

Tables 12 and 13 summarize the shortage of spaces by type (family child care home or center) and by age group (infant or preschool) at 2015 and 2025 These figures are estimated based on the current distribution of space by type of providers on a pro rata basis For example if a community has 60 of its infant spaces in family child care homes and 40 in centers the current shortage of spaces is distributed at that same ratio If there is a shortage of 100 infant spaces it would be assumed that 60 new infant spaces at family child care homes and 40 center spaces would be needed

Table A-1 shows a summary of current 2015 supply and demand countywide and Tables A-2 through A-21 estimate supply and demand by cityarea Tables B-1 through B-21 show the summary of future demand compared to existing supply at 2025 Table C-1 has the endnotes for all of the A and B Tables and Table C-2 summarizes labor force participation rates by cityarea

Prepared by Brion Economics Inc Final Report

Final Child Care Needs Assessment ndash 2015 and 2025 San Mateo Early Learning Facilities Study

June 12 2016 Page 8 of 9

APPENDIX TABLES Table Index Appendix A Child Care Needs Assessment (Supply and Demand) as of 2015 and 2015 San Mateo County Child Care Study - 2016 Table Table Name

Table 1 Population Summary Table for 2010 2015 and 2025 Table 2 Population Growth by City 2015 and 2025 from ABAG Table 3 Population by Age Group by City 2015 and 2025 Table 4 Employment Growth and Employee Residence by City 2015 and 2025 Table 5 Child Care Supply Summary Table for 2015 Table 6 Child Care Demand Summary Table for 2015 and 2025 Table 7 Employee Demand Summary Table for 2015 Table 8 Employee Demand Summary Table for 2025 Table 9 Summary of Demand Met by Existing Facilities in Each Community at 2015 Table 10 Summary of Demand Met by Existing Facilities in Each Community at 2025 Table 11 Number of Child Care Providers by City in 2015 Table 12 Summary of Shortage of Child Care Center Spaces by Age - 2015 Table 13 Summary of Shortage of Child Care Center Spaces by Age - 2025

Existing Conditions - 2015 Table A-1 Existing Child Care Demand and Supply in 2015 Countywide Table A-2 Existing Child Care Demand and Supply in 2015 in Atherton Table A-3 Existing Child Care Demand and Supply in 2015 in Belmont Table A-4 Existing Child Care Demand and Supply in 2015 in Brisbane Table A-5 Existing Child Care Demand and Supply in 2015 in Burlingame Table A-6 Existing Child Care Demand and Supply in 2015 in Daly CityColma Table A-7 Existing Child Care Demand and Supply in 2015 in East Palo Alto Table A-8 Existing Child Care Demand and Supply in 2015 in Foster City Table A-9 Existing Child Care Demand and Supply in 2015 in Half Moon Bay Region Table A-10 Existing Child Care Demand and Supply in 2015 in Hillsborough Table A-11 Existing Child Care Demand and Supply in 2015 in Menlo Park Table A-12 Existing Child Care Demand and Supply in 2015 in Millbrae Table A-13 Existing Child Care Demand and Supply in 2015 in Pacifica Table A-14 Existing Child Care Demand and Supply in 2015 in Portola Valley Table A-15 Existing Child Care Demand and Supply in 2015 in Redwood City Table A-16 Existing Child Care Demand and Supply in 2015 in San Bruno Table A-17 Existing Child Care Demand and Supply in 2015 in San Carlos Table A-18 Existing Child Care Demand and Supply in 2015 in San Mateo Table A-19 Existing Child Care Demand and Supply in 2015 in South Coast Table A-20 Existing Child Care Demand and Supply in 2015 in South San Francisco Table A-21 Existing Child Care Demand and Supply in 2015 in Woodside Continued

Prepared by Brion Economics Inc Final Report

Final Child Care Needs Assessment ndash 2015 and 2025 San Mateo Early Learning Facilities Study

June 12 2016 Page 9 of 9

Future Conditions - 2025 Table B-1 Future Child Care Demand and Supply in 2025 Countywide Table B-2 Future Child Care Demand and Supply in 2025 in Atherton Table B-3 Future Child Care Demand and Supply in 2025 in Belmont Table B-4 Future Child Care Demand and Supply in 2025 in Brisbane Table B-5 Future Child Care Demand and Supply in 2025 in Burlingame Table B-6 Future Child Care Demand and Supply in 2025 in Daly CityColma Table B-7 Future Child Care Demand and Supply in 2025 in East Palo Alto Table B-8 Future Child Care Demand and Supply in 2025 in Foster City Table B-9 Future Child Care Demand and Supply in 2025 in Half Moon Bay Region Table B-10 Future Child Care Demand and Supply in 2025 in Hillsborough Table B-11 Future Child Care Demand and Supply in 2025 in Menlo Park Table B-12 Future Child Care Demand and Supply in 2025 in Millbrae Table B-13 Future Child Care Demand and Supply in 2025 in Pacifica Table B-14 Future Child Care Demand and Supply in 2025 in Portola Valley Table B-15 Future Child Care Demand and Supply in 2025 in Redwood City Table B-16 Future Child Care Demand and Supply in 2025 in San Bruno Table B-17 Future Child Care Demand and Supply in 2025 in San Carlos Table B-18 Future Child Care Demand and Supply in 2025 in San Mateo Table B-19 Future Child Care Demand and Supply in 2025 in South Coast Table B-20 Future Child Care Demand and Supply in 2025 in South San Francisco Table B-21 Future Child Care Demand and Supply in 2025 in Woodside

Table C-1 Endnotes for Tables Table C-2 Labor Force Participation Rates by CityArea

Source Brion Economics Inc

Prepared by Brion Economics Inc Final Report

2010 Population 2010 Population 2015 Population

CityArea (Census) (ABAG) (ABAG)

Atherton 6914 6914 7100

Belmont 25835 25995 26600

Brisbane 4282 4282 4400

Burlingame 28806 29873 31300

Daly CityColma 102915 108167 111200

East Palo Alto 28155 28155 29200

Foster City 30567 30567 31000

Half Moon Bay Region (1) 22803 21956 22329

Hillsborough 10825 10825 11000

Menlo Park (2) 32026 36816 40850

Millbrae 21532 21532 22800

Pacifica 37234 37234 37600

Portola Valley 4353 6432 6500

Redwood City (2) 76815 100509 109350

San Bruno 41114 41114 43500

San Carlos 28406 30015 30800

San Mateo 97207 101234 105600

South Coast (3) 1684 847 871

South San Francisco 63632 63803 67400

Woodside 5287 5933 6000

Total 670392 712203 745400

FINAL

Table 1

Population Summary Table for 2010 2015 and 2025

San Mateo County Child Care Study - 2016

(1) Half Moon Bay Region includes the City of Half Moon Bay El Granada Montara

and Moss Beach

(2) ABAG Projections have 6300 people listed as Remainder population this

amount is divided equally between Menlo Park and Redwood City given that

they are surrounded by unincorporated areas

(3) South Coast includes La Honda Loma Mar and Pescadero

Sources 2010 US Census ABAG Projections 2013 Brion Economics Inc

Prepared by Brion Economics Inc 2513-SMC NA Final Tables 61216 6122016

CityArea

Population

at 2015

Population

at 2025

CHANGE 2015 to 2025

2015 to

2025 Change

Atherton

Belmont

Brisbane

Burlingame

Daly CityColma

East Palo Alto

Foster City

Half Moon Bay Region (1)

Hillsborough

Menlo Park (2)

Millbrae

Pacifica

Portola Valley

Redwood City (2)

San Bruno

San Carlos

San Mateo

South Coast (3)

South San Francisco

Woodside

Total by Age

7100

26600

4400

31300

111200

29200

31000

22329

11000

40850

22800

37600

6500

109350

43500

30800

105600

871

67400

6000

7400

27900

4600

34300

118000

32400

32300

24140

11400

42750

25600

39000

6700

121350

48400

32600

114600

960

75000

6200

300

1300

200

3000

6800

3200

1300

1811

400

1900

2800

1400

200

12000

4900

1800

9000

89

7600

200

42

49

45

96

61

110

42

81

36

47

123

37

31

110

113

58

85

102

113

33

745400 805600 60200 81 I I I I

FINAL

Table 2

Population Growth by City 2015 and 2025 from ABAG

San Mateo County Child Care Study - 2016

(1) Half Moon Bay Region includes the City of Half Moon Bay El Granada

Montara and Moss Beach

(2) ABAG Projections have 6300 people listed as Remainder population this

amount is divided equally between Menlo Park and Redwood City given that

they are surrounded by unincorporated areas

(3) South Coast includes La Honda Loma Mar and Pescadero

Sources 2010 US Census ABAG Projections 2013 Brion Economics Inc

Prepared by Brion Economics Inc 2513-SMC NA Final Tables 61216 6122016

2015 2025 CHANGE 2015 to 2025

Children 4 and Under

Under 2 2 to 4 as of Total Under 2 2 to 4 Under 2 2 to 4

CityArea Years Old Year Olds Total Population Years Old Year Olds Total Years Old Year Olds Total

Atherton 105 185 290 41 109 193 302 4 8 12

Belmont 708 1045 1753 66 743 1095 1838 35 50 85

Brisbane 125 166 292 66 131 174 305 6 8 13

Burlingame 824 1216 2040 65 903 1332 2235 79 117 195

Daly CityColma 2495 3575 6070 55 2647 3793 6440 153 218 370

East Palo Alto 1046 1667 2713 93 1161 1849 3010 115 183 297

Foster City 836 1277 2113 68 871 1330 2201 35 54 89

Half Moon Bay Region (1) 511 860 1371 61 553 929 1482 41 70 111

Hillsborough 138 331 469 43 143 343 487 5 12 17

Menlo Park (2) 1170 1723 2893 71 1327 1954 3281 157 231 388

Millbrae 421 717 1138 50 473 805 1278 52 88 140

Pacifica 787 1253 2040 54 816 1300 2116 29 47 76

Portola Valley 75 187 261 40 77 192 269 2 6 8

Redwood City (2) 3260 4706 7966 73 3725 5378 9103 465 671 1136

San Bruno 1069 1553 2622 60 1189 1728 2917 120 175 295

San Carlos 735 1308 2043 66 778 1384 2162 43 76 119

San Mateo 2943 4213 7156 68 3194 4572 7766 251 359 610

South Coast (3) 21 29 50 57 23 32 55 2 3 5

South San Francisco 1649 2507 4156 62 1835 2790 4625 186 283 469

Woodside 90 160 250 42 93 165 258 3 5 8

Total by Age 19008 28678 47686 64 20790 31340 52130 1783 2662 4444

FINAL

Table 3

Population by Age Group by City 2015 and 2025

San Mateo County Child Care Study - 2016

(1) Half Moon Bay Region includes the City of Half Moon Bay El Granada Montara and Moss Beach

(2) ABAG Projections have 6300 people listed as Remainder population this amount is divided equally between Menlo Park and Redwood City given that they

are surrounded by unincorporated areas

(3) South Coast includes La Honda Loma Mar and Pescadero

Sources 2010 US Census ABAG Projections 2013 Brion Economics Inc

Prepared by Brion Economics Inc 2513-SMC NA Final Tables 61216 6122016

CHANGE 2015 to 2025 2015 2025

Percent that Work Employees that Percent that Work Employees that

Jobs at Jobs at in City and Live Work in City and in City and Live Work in City and

CityArea 2015 2025 2015 to 2025 Change Outside Co Live Outside Co Outside Co Live Outside Co

Atherton 2730 2920 190 70 360 983 360 1051

Belmont 9540 10430 890 93 298 2843 298 3108

Brisbane 7320 7790 470 64 590 4316 590 4593

Burlingame 32040 35250 3210 100 365 11680 365 12850

Daly CityColma 26110 28540 2430 93 404 10540 404 11521

East Palo Alto 2920 3310 390 134 508 1485 508 1683

Foster City 14810 16190 1380 93 412 6108 412 6677

Half Moon Bay Region (1) 7830 8410 580 74 135 1060 135 1138

Hillsborough 1950 2080 130 67 280 546 280 583

Menlo Park 31920 34390 2470 77 576 18390 576 19813

Millbrae 7480 8370 890 119 308 2304 308 2578

Pacifica 6210 6650 440 71 242 1504 242 1611

Portola Valley 2060 2200 140 68 334 689 334 736

Redwood City 71460 80430 8970 126 480 34317 480 38624

San Bruno 13800 15390 1590 115 370 5106 370 5695

San Carlos 18100 19650 1550 86 348 6295 348 6834

San Mateo 58680 66400 7720 132 329 19314 329 21855

South Coast (2) 0 0 0 00 149 0 149 0

South San Francisco 47380 51760 4380 92 467 22128 467 24173

Woodside 2520 2660 140 56 281 708 281 747

SF Airport (3) 7870 8960 1090 139 467 3676 467 4185

Remainder (3) 2210 2460 250 113 135 299 135 333

Total Employment 374940 414240 39300 105 412 154289 411 170387

FINAL

Table 4

Employment Growth and Employee Residence by City 2015 and 2025

San Mateo County Child Care Study - 2016

Note This analysis uses the published projections prepared by ABAG from ldquoProjections 2013rdquo and the cities including their sphere of influence or SOI This is done for consistency purposes While individual cities may be planning for additional growth not included in ABAGrsquos forecast (such as Menlo Park and East Palo Alto) it was decided that the consistency of using one data source was more important Thus these estimates could be considered

conservative

(1) For employment Half Moon Bay Region includes all of the City of Half Moon Bay and Unincorporated Half Moon Bay as defined by ABAG

(2) No data on employment is available through ABAG for the South Coast area

(3) SF Airport and Remainder are groupings by ABAG We listed them separately as SF Airport has no residential population

Sources ABAG Projections 2013 Brion Economics Inc

Prepared by Brion Economics Inc 2513-SMC NA Final Tables 61216 6122016

Under 2 2 to 4 Year Total CityArea as of

CityArea Years Old Olds Supply Total Supply

Atherton 29 273 302 13

Belmont 106 615 722 31

Brisbane 4 69 73 03

Burlingame 119 965 1085 47

Daly CityColma 372 1626 1997 87

East Palo Alto 110 739 849 37

Foster City 206 1349 1555 68

Half Moon Bay Region (1) 131 406 536 23

Hillsborough 5 97 102 04

Menlo Park (2) 149 1427 1576 69

Millbrae 62 454 517 22

Pacifica 116 798 914 40

Portola Valley 0 153 153 07

Redwood City (2) 752 2533 3285 143

San Bruno 148 1336 1484 65

San Carlos 149 707 855 37

San Mateo 701 3196 3897 169

South Coast (3) 0 54 54 02

South San Francisco 652 2283 2935 128

Woodside 4 108 112 05

Total 3815 19189 23003 1000

FINAL

Table 5

Child Care Supply Summary Table for 2015

San Mateo County Child Care Study - 2016

Note Totals may be off slightly due to rounding

(1) Half Moon Bay Region includes the City of Half Moon Bay El Granada Montara

and Moss Beach

(2) ABAG Projections have 6300 people listed as Remainder population this

amount is divided equally between Menlo Park and Redwood City given that

they are surrounded by unincorporated areas

(3) South Coast includes La Honda Loma Mar and Pescadero

Sources Child Care Coordinating Council of San Mateo County (4Cs) Community

Care Licensing Brion Economics Inc

Prepared by Brion Economics Inc 2513-SMC NA Final Tables 61216 6122016

2015 2025

CityArea as CityArea as

Under 2 2 to 4 Year Total of Total Under 2 2 to 4 Total of Total

CityArea Years Old Olds Demand Demand Years Old Year Olds Demand Demand

Atherton 27 165 192 06 29 173 201 05

Belmont 237 950 1187 35 250 999 1249 34

Brisbane 98 231 329 10 103 243 346 09

Burlingame 338 1236 1574 47 371 1356 1726 47

Daly CityColma 811 3237 4048 120 865 3441 4306 116

East Palo Alto 292 1419 1711 51 324 1575 1900 51

Foster City 268 1145 1414 42 283 1199 1483 40

Half Moon Bay Region (1) 144 742 885 26 155 802 957 26

Hillsborough 33 282 315 09 34 292 327 09

Menlo Park (2) 516 1790 2306 68 573 2011 2584 70

Millbrae 124 640 764 23 139 718 857 23

Pacifica 244 1117 1360 40 254 1159 1413 38

Portola Valley 26 171 198 06 28 177 204 06

Redwood City (2) 1241 4567 5808 172 1411 5208 6619 179

San Bruno 364 1418 1782 53 405 1578 1983 54

San Carlos 270 1222 1492 44 288 1297 1585 43

San Mateo 1003 3886 4889 145 1099 4233 5332 144

South Coast (3) 4 23 28 01 5 26 30 01

South San Francisco 755 2588 3343 99 835 2874 3709 100

Woodside 27 141 168 05 28 146 174 05

Total 6821 26971 33792 1000 7478 29506 36984 1000

FINAL

Table 6

Child Care Demand Summary Table for 2015 and 2025

San Mateo County Child Care Study - 2016

(1) Half Moon Bay Region includes the City of Half Moon Bay El Granada Montara and Moss Beach

(2) ABAG Projections have 6300 people listed as Remainder population this amount is divided equally between Menlo Park

and Redwood City given that they are surrounded by unincorporated areas

(3) South Coast includes La Honda Loma Mar and Pescadero

Sources 2010 US Census ABAG Projections 2013 Brion Economics Inc

Prepared by Brion Economics Inc 2513-SMC NA Final Tables 61216 6122016

No of Non- No of Employee

Resident No of 0 to 2 No of 3 to 4 Children Needing

CityArea Assumptions Employees Year Olds Year Olds Licensed Care

Estimated Percent of Employees

Needing Licensed Care (1) 300 40 60 100

Atherton 983 12 18 29

Belmont 2843 34 51 85

Brisbane 4316 52 78 129

Burlingame 11680 140 211 350

Daly CityColma 10540 126 190 316

East Palo Alto 1485 18 27 45

Foster City 6108 73 110 183

Half Moon Bay Region (2) 1060 13 19 32

Hillsborough 546 7 10 16

Menlo Park 18390 220 332 552

Millbrae 2304 28 42 69

Pacifica 1504 18 27 45

Portola Valley 689 8 12 21

Redwood City 34317 410 619 1029

San Bruno 5106 61 92 153

San Carlos 6295 75 114 189

San Mateo 19314 231 348 579

South Coast (3) 0 0 0 0

South San Francisco 22128 265 399 664

Woodside 708 8 13 21

SF Airport (4) 3676 44 66 110

Remainder (4) 299 4 5 9

Total Countywide 154289 1845 2784 4629

FINAL

Table 7

Employee Demand Summary Table for 2015

San Mateo County Child Care Study - 2016

Note Totals may be off slightly due to rounding

(1) We are assuming 3 of employees children require licensed care the breakdown of demand for infant and

preschool spaces is based on the percentage of infants and preschoolers who currently reside in San Mateo

County

(2) Half Moon Bay Region includes the City of Half Moon Bay El Granada Montara and Moss Beach

(3) South Coast includes La Honda Loma Mar and Pescadero

(4) SF Airport and Remainder are groupings by ABAG For employment SF Airport demand is attributed to South San

Francisco and Remainder demand is included with Redwood City

Sources 2010 US Census ABAG Projections 2013 2014 5-Year American Community Survey Journey-To-Work Data

Brion Economics Inc

Prepared by Brion Economics Inc 2513-SMC NA Final Tables 61216 6122016

No of Non- No of Employee

Resident No of 0 to 2 No of 3 to 4 Children Needing

CityArea Assumptions Employees Year Olds Year Olds Licensed Care

Estimated Percent of Employees

Needing Licensed Care (1) 300 40 60 100

Atherton 1051 13 19 32

Belmont 3108 37 56 93

Brisbane 4593 55 83 138

Burlingame 12850 154 232 385

Daly CityColma 11521 138 208 346

East Palo Alto 1683 20 30 50

Foster City 6677 80 120 200

Half Moon Bay Region (2) 1138 14 21 34

Hillsborough 583 7 11 17

Menlo Park 19813 237 357 594

Millbrae 2578 31 47 77

Pacifica 1611 19 29 48

Portola Valley 736 9 13 22

Redwood City 38624 462 697 1159

San Bruno 5695 68 103 171

San Carlos 6834 82 123 205

San Mateo 21855 261 394 656

South Coast (3) 0 0 0 0

South San Francisco 24173 289 436 725

Woodside 747 9 13 22

SF Airport (4) 4185 50 75 126

Remainder (4) 333 4 6 10

Total Countywide 170387 2037 3074 5112

FINAL

Table 8

Employee Demand Summary Table for 2025

San Mateo County Child Care Study - 2016

Note Totals may be off slightly due to rounding

(1) We are assuming 3 of employees children require licensed care the breakdown of demand for infant and

preschool spaces is based on the percentage of infants and preschoolers who currently reside in San Mateo County

(2) Half Moon Bay Region includes the City of Half Moon Bay El Granada Montara and Moss Beach

(3) South Coast includes La Honda Loma Mar and Pescadero

(4) SF Airport and Remainder are groupings by ABAG For employment SF Airport demand is attributed to South San

Francisco and Remainder demand is included with Redwood City

Sources 2010 US Census ABAG Projections 2013 2014 5-Year American Community Survey Journey-To-Work Data

Brion Economics Inc

Prepared by Brion Economics Inc 2513-SMC NA Final Tables 61216 6122016

2015

Surplus(Shortage) of Infant Surplus(Shortage) of Preschool Total Total

CityArea of Infant Spaces Demand Met of Preschool Spaces Demand Met Surplus(Shortage) Demand Met

Atherton 2 107 108 165 110 157

Belmont (130) 45 (335) 65 (465) 61

Brisbane (94) 4 (162) 30 (255) 22

Burlingame (219) 35 (271) 78 (489) 69

Daly CityColma (439) 46 (1612) 50 (2051) 49

East Palo Alto (182) 38 (680) 52 (862) 50

Foster City (62) 77 203 118 141 110

Half Moon Bay Region (1) (13) 91 (336) 55 (349) 61

Hillsborough (28) 15 (185) 34 (213) 32

Menlo Park (2) (367) 29 (363) 80 (730) 68

Millbrae (61) 50 (186) 71 (247) 0

Pacifica (128) 48 (319) 71 (447) 67

Portola Valley (26) 0 (18) 89 (45) 77

Redwood City (2) (490) 61 (2034) 55 (2524) 57

San Bruno (216) 41 (82) 94 (298) 83

San Carlos (121) 55 (516) 58 (637) 57

San Mateo (302) 70 (690) 82 (992) 80

South Coast (3) (4) 0 31 230 26 195

South San Francisco (103) 86 (306) 88 (408) 88

Woodside (23) 16 (33) 77 (55) 67

Countywide (3006) 56 (7783) 71 (10789) 68

FINAL

Table 9

Summary of Demand Met by Existing Facilities in Each Community at 2015

San Mateo County Child Care Study - 2016

Note Totals may be off slightly due to rounding

(1) Half Moon Bay Region includes the City of Half Moon Bay El Granada Montara and Moss Beach

(2) ABAG Projections have 6300 people listed as Remainder population this amount is divided equally between Menlo Park and Redwood

City given that they are surrounded by unincorporated areas

(3) South Coast includes La Honda Loma Mar and Pescadero

Sources 2010 US Census ABAG Projections 2013 Brion Economics Inc

Prepared by Brion Economics Inc 2513-SMC NA Final Tables 61216 6122016

2025

Surplus(Shortage) of Infant Surplus(Shortage) of Preschool Total Total

CityArea of Infant Spaces Demand Met of Preschool Spaces Demand Met Surplus(Shortage) Demand Met

Atherton 0 101 101 158 101 150

Belmont (143) 43 (384) 62 (527) 58

Brisbane (99) 4 (174) 29 (273) 21

Burlingame (252) 32 (390) 71 (642) 63

Daly CityColma (493) 43 (1816) 47 (2308) 46

East Palo Alto (215) 34 (836) 47 (1050) 45

Foster City (77) 73 150 112 73 105

Half Moon Bay Region (1) (24) 84 (396) 51 (421) 56

Hillsborough (29) 14 (195) 33 (225) 31

Menlo Park (2) (424) 26 (584) 71 (1008) 61

Millbrae (76) 45 (264) 63 (340) 60

Pacifica (138) 46 (361) 69 (499) 65

Portola Valley (28) 0 (24) 87 (51) 75

Redwood City (2) (660) 53 (2674) 49 (3334) 50

San Bruno (257) 37 (242) 85 (499) 75

San Carlos (139) 52 (590) 54 (729) 54

San Mateo (398) 64 (1037) 75 (1435) 73

South Coast (3) (5) 0 28 209 24 177

South San Francisco (183) 78 (591) 79 (775) 79

Woodside (24) 15 (38) 74 (61) 65

Countywide (3663) 51 (10318) 65 (13981) 62

FINAL

Table 10

Summary of Demand Met by Existing Facilities in Each Community at 2025

San Mateo County Child Care Study - 2016

Note Totals may be off slightly due to rounding

(1) Half Moon Bay Region includes the City of Half Moon Bay El Granada Montara and Moss Beach

(2) ABAG Projections have 6300 people listed as Remainder population this amount is divided equally between Menlo Park and Redwood

City given that they are surrounded by unincorporated areas

(3) South Coast includes La Honda Loma Mar and Pescadero

Sources 2010 US Census ABAG Projections 2013 Brion Economics Inc

Prepared by Brion Economics Inc 2513-SMC NA Final Tables 61216 6122016

Table 11

Number of Child Care Providers by City in 2015

San Mateo County Child Care Study - 2016

Family Child Licensed

CityArea Care Homes Centers Total

Atherton 1 6 7

Belmont 18 9 27

Brisbane 1 1 2

Burlingame 21 14 35

Daly CityColma 85 28 113

East Palo Alto 21 6 27

Foster City 29 12 41

Half Moon Bay Region (1) 28 11 39

Hillsborough 1 4 5

Menlo Park (2) 18 25 43

Millbrae 17 7 24

Pacifica 21 18 39

Portola Valley 0 4 4

Redwood City (2) 111 45 156

San Bruno 34 15 49

San Carlos 20 14 34

San Mateo 126 59 185

South Coast (3) 0 2 2

South San Francisco 68 27 95

Woodside 1 2 3

Countywide 621 309 930

FINAL

(1) Half Moon Bay Region includes the City of Half Moon Bay El Granada

Montara and Moss Beach

(2) ABAG Projections have 6300 people listed as Remainder population

this amount is divided equally between Menlo Park and Redwood City

given that they are surrounded by unincorporated areas

(3) South Coast includes La Honda Loma Mar and Pescadero

Sources Child Care Coordinating Council of San Mateo County (4Cs)

Community Care Licensing Brion Economics Inc

Prepared by Brion Economics Inc 2513-SMC NA Final Tables 61216 6122016

CityArea

Shortage

Infant

Center

Spaces

Infant care

Percentage

of Shortage

Shortage

Preschool

Center

Spaces

Preschool

Percentage

of Shortage

Total Center-

Based Space

Shortage

Atherton

Belmont

Brisbane

Burlingame

Daly CityColma

East Palo Alto

Foster City

Half Moon Bay Region

Hillsborough

Menlo Park

Millbrae

Pacifica

Portola Valley

Redwood City

San Bruno

San Carlos

San Mateo

South Coast

South San Francisco

Woodside

Countywide

NA

(48)

NA

(73)

(99)

(42)

(27)

(3)

NA

(180)

0

(43)

(26)

(232)

(38)

(62)

(90)

(2)

(63)

NA

NA

14

NA

23

7

7

100

1

NA

35

0

13

59

12

34

12

14

NA

19

NA

NA

(289)

(149)

(243)

(1253)

(582)

NA

(236)

(173)

(338)

(154)

(280)

(18)

(1635)

(73)

(449)

(557)

NA

(263)

(31)

NA

86

100

77

93

93

NA

99

100

65

100

87

41

88

66

88

86

NA

81

100

NA

(337)

(149)

(316)

(1352)

(623)

(27)

(240)

(173)

(518)

(154)

(323)

(45)

(1867)

(110)

(511)

(647)

(2)

(326)

(31)

(1193) 15 (6609) 85 (7802)

FINAL

Table 12

Summary of Shortage of Child Care Center Spaces by Age - 2015

San Mateo County Child Care Study - 2016

Sources Child Care Coordinating Council of San Mateo County (4Cs) Community Care Licensing

Brion Economics Inc

Prepared by Brion Economics Inc 2513-SMC NA Final Tables 61216 6122016

CityArea

Shortage

Infant Center

Spaces

Infant care

Percentage

of Shortage

Shortage

Preschool

Center

Spaces

Preschool

Percentage

of Shortage

Total Center-

Based Space

Shortage

Atherton

Belmont

Brisbane

Burlingame

Daly CityColma

East Palo Alto

Foster City

Half Moon Bay Region

Hillsborough

Menlo Park

Millbrae

Pacifica

Portola Valley

Redwood City

San Bruno

San Carlos

San Mateo

South Coast

South San Francisco

Woodside

Countywide

NA

(53)

NA

(85)

(111)

(49)

(33)

(6)

NA

(207)

0

(46)

(28)

(313)

(45)

(71)

(119)

(5)

(113)

0

NA

14

NA

19

7

6

100

2

NA

28

0

13

54

13

17

12

12

NA

18

NA

NA

(331)

(160)

(350)

(1412)

(715)

NA

(279)

(183)

(544)

(219)

(317)

(24)

(2149)

(214)

(514)

(837)

NA

(509)

(36)

NA

86

100

81

93

94

NA

98

100

72

100

87

46

87

83

88

88

NA

82

100

NA

(384)

(160)

(434)

(1523)

(764)

(33)

(285)

(183)

(752)

(219)

(364)

(51)

(2462)

(259)

(585)

(955)

(5)

(622)

(36)

(1454) 14 (8762) 86 (10216)

FINAL

Table 13

Summary of Shortage of Child Care Center Spaces by Age - 2025

San Mateo County Child Care Study - 2016

Sources Child Care Coordinating Council of San Mateo County (4Cs) Community Care Licensing

Brion Economics Inc

Prepared by Brion Economics Inc 2513-SMC NA Final Tables 61216 6122016

COUNTYWIDE

Child Care as of 2015

No of

Providers

Under 2 Years

Old

2 to 4 Year

Olds

Total 0 to 4

Years

EXISTING DEMAND Child Care Demand

Estimated Total Children

Average LFPRAdjustment Factor

Children With Working Parents

Licensed Care Demand Factor

Resident Children Needing Licensed Care

of Total Resident Children Needing Licensed Care

Children from Non-Resident Employees Needing

Licensed Care

Total Demand for Child Care Spaces

Distribution

EXISTING SUPPLY

(1)

(2)

(3)

(4)

19008 28678

71

13449 25720

37

4976 24188

26 84

1845 2784

6821 26971

20 80

Child Care Spaces

47686

39169

86

29164

61

4629

33792

100

Family Child Care Home Supply

Child Care Center Supply

Current Child Care Supply

Distribution

EXISTING SURPLUS(SHORTAGE)

Distribution

Percentage of Demand Met

by Existing FacilitiesSpaces

Shortage of Family Child Care Home Spaces

Shortage of Center-Based Spaces

(5)

(6)

(6)

621

309 -930

2301 2893

1514 16296 - -3815 19189

17 83

(3006) (7783)

28 72

56 71

(1813) (1173)

(1193) (6609)

5193

17810 -23003

100

(10789)

100

68

(2986)

(7802)

FINAL

Table A-1

Existing Child Care Demand and Supply in 2015 Countywide

San Mateo County Child Care Study - 2016

Note All footnote references can be found in Table C-1 at the end of this file

Sources 2010 US Census ABAG Projections 2013 2014 American Community Survey ACS Journey-to-Work data 2006-2008 and 2006-2010

Child Care Coordinating Council of San Mateo County (4Cs) Community Care Licensing Brion Economics Inc

Prepared by Brion Economics Inc 2513-SMC NA Final Tables 61216 6122016

ATHERTON

Child Care as of 2015

No of

Providers

Under 2 Years

Old

2 to 4 Year

Olds

Total 0 to 4

Years

EXISTING DEMAND Child Care Demand

Estimated Total Children

Average LFPRAdjustment Factor

Children With Working Parents

Licensed Care Demand Factor

Resident Children Needing Licensed Care

of Total Resident Children Needing Licensed Care

Children from Non-Resident Employees Needing

Licensed Care

(1)

(2)

(3)

105 185

40

42 153

37

15 147

15 80

12 18

290

194

84

163

56

29

Total Demand for Child Care Spaces

Distribution

EXISTING SUPPLY (4)

27 165

14 86

Child Care Spaces

192

100

Family Child Care Home Supply

Child Care Center Supply

Current Child Care Supply

Distribution

EXISTING SURPLUS(SHORTAGE)

Distribution

Percentage of Demand Met

by Existing FacilitiesSpaces

Shortage of Family Child Care Home Spaces

Shortage of Center-Based Spaces

(5)

(6)

(6)

1

6

7

5 6

24 267

29 273

10 90

2 108

2 98

107 165

NA NA

NA NA

11

291

302

100

110

100

157

NA

NA

FINAL

Table A-2

Existing Child Care Demand and Supply in 2015 in Atherton

San Mateo Co unty Child Care Study - 2016

Note All footnote references can be found in Table C-1 at the end of this file

Sources 2010 US Census ABAG Projections 2013 2014 American Community Survey ACS Journey-to-Work data 2006-2008 and 2006-2010

Child Care Coordinating Council of San Mateo County (4Cs) Community Care Licensing Brion Economics Inc

Prepared by Brion Economics Inc 2513-SMC NA Final Tables 61216 6122016

BELMONT

Child Care as of 2015

No of

Providers

Under 2 Years

Old

2 to 4 Year

Olds

Total 0 to 4

Years

EXISTING DEMAND Child Care Demand

Estimated Total Children

Average LFPRAdjustment Factor

Children With Working Parents

Licensed Care Demand Factor

Resident Children Needing Licensed Care

of Total Resident Children Needing Licensed Care

Children from Non-Resident Employees Needing

Licensed Care

(1)

(2)

(3)

708 1045

77

548 966

37

203 899

29 86

34 51

1753

1513

73

1102

63

85

Total Demand for Child Care Spaces

Distribution

EXISTING SUPPLY (4)

237 950

20 80

Child Care Spaces

1187

100

Family Child Care Home Supply

Child Care Center Supply

Current Child Care Supply

Distribution

EXISTING SURPLUS(SHORTAGE)

Distribution

Percentage of Demand Met

by Existing FacilitiesSpaces

Shortage of Family Child Care Home Spaces

Shortage of Center-Based Spaces

(5)

(6)

(6)

18

9

27

67 84

39 531

106 615

15 85

(130) (335)

28 72

45 65

(83) (46)

(48) (289)

152

570

722

100

(465)

100

61

(128)

(337)

FINAL

Table A-3

Existing Child Care Demand and Supply in 2015 in Belmont

San Mateo County Child Care Study - 2016

Note All footnote references can be found in Table C-1 at the end of this file Sources 2010 US Census ABAG Projections 2013 2014 American Community Survey ACS Journey-to-Work data 2006-2008 and

2006-2010 Child Care Coordinating Council of San Mateo County (4Cs) Community Care Licensing Brion Economics Inc

Prepared by Brion Economics Inc 2513-SMC NA Final Tables 61216 6122016

FINAL

Table A-4

Existing Child Care Demand and Supply in 2015 in Brisbane

San Mateo County Child Care Study - 2016

BRISBANE

Child Care as of 2015

No of

Providers

Under 2 Years

Old

2 to 4 Year

Olds

Total 0 to 4

Years

EXISTING DEMAND Child Care Demand

Estimated Total Children (1) 125 166 292

Average LFPRAdjustment Factor (2) 100

Children With Working Parents 125 166 292

Licensed Care Demand Factor (3) 37 68

Resident Children Needing Licensed Care 46 153 199

of Total Resident Children Needing Licensed Care 37 92 68

Children from Non-Resident Employees Needing

Licensed Care 52 78 129

Total Demand for Child Care Spaces 98 231 329

Distribution 30 70 100

EXISTING SUPPLY (4) Child Care Spaces

Family Child Care Home Supply 1 4 5 9

Child Care Center Supply 1 - 64 64

Current Child Care Supply 2 4 69 73

Distribution 6 94 100

EXISTING SURPLUS(SHORTAGE) (94) (162) (255)

Distribution 37 63 100

Percentage of Demand Met

by Existing FacilitiesSpaces (5) 4 30 22

Shortage of Family Child Care Home Spaces (6) (94) (12) (106)

Shortage of Center-Based Spaces (6) 0 (149) (149)

Note All footnote references can be found in Table C-1 at the end of this file

Sources 2010 US Census ABAG Projections 2013 2014 American Community Survey ACS Journey-to-Work data 2006-2008 and 2006-2010

Child Care Coordinating Council of San Mateo County (4Cs) Community Care Licensing Brion Economics Inc

Prepared by Brion Economics Inc 2513-SMC NA Final Tables 61216 6122016

BURLINGAME

Child Care as of 2015

No of

Providers

Under 2 Years

Old

2 to 4 Year

Olds

Total 0 to 4

Years

EXISTING DEMAND Child Care Demand

Estimated Total Children

Average LFPRAdjustment Factor

Children With Working Parents

Licensed Care Demand Factor

Resident Children Needing Licensed Care

of Total Resident Children Needing Licensed Care

Children from Non-Resident Employees Needing

Licensed Care

(1)

(2)

(3)

824 1216

65

535 1086

37

198 1025

24 84

140 211

2040

1621

75

1224

60

350

Total Demand for Child Care Spaces

Distribution

EXISTING SUPPLY (4)

338 1236

21 79

Child Care Spaces

1574

100

Family Child Care Home Supply

Child Care Center Supply

Current Child Care Supply

Distribution

EXISTING SURPLUS(SHORTAGE)

Distribution

Percentage of Demand Met

by Existing FacilitiesSpaces

Shortage of Family Child Care Home Spaces

Shortage of Center-Based Spaces

(5)

(6)

(6)

21

14

35

79 99

40 866

119 965

11 89

(219) (271)

45 55

35 78

(145) (28)

(73) (243)

179

906

1085

100

(489)

100

69

(173)

(316)

FINAL

Table A-5

Existing Child Care Demand and Supply in 2015 in Burlingame

San Mateo County Child Care Study - 2016

Note All footnote references can be found in Table C-1 at the end of this file

Sources 2010 US Census ABAG Projections 2013 2014 American Community Survey ACS Journey-to-Work data 2006-2008 and 2006-2010

Child Care Coordinating Council of San Mateo County (4Cs) Community Care Licensing Brion Economics Inc

Prepared by Brion Economics Inc 2513-SMC NA Final Tables 61216 6122016

DALY CITYCOLMA

Child Care as of 2015

No of

Providers

Under 2 Years

Old

2 to 4 Year

Olds

Total 0 to 4

Years

EXISTING DEMAND Child Care Demand

Estimated Total Children

Average LFPRAdjustment Factor

Children With Working Parents

Licensed Care Demand Factor

Resident Children Needing Licensed Care

of Total Resident Children Needing Licensed Care

Children from Non-Resident Employees Needing

Licensed Care

(1)

(2)

(3)

2495 3575

742

1851 3268

37

685 3047

27 85

126 190

6070

5119

73

3732

61

316

Total Demand for Child Care Spaces

Distribution

EXISTING SUPPLY (4)

811 3237

20 80

Child Care Spaces

4048

100

Family Child Care Home Supply

Child Care Center Supply

Current Child Care Supply

Distribution

EXISTING SURPLUS(SHORTAGE)

Distribution

Percentage of Demand Met

by Existing FacilitiesSpaces

Shortage of Family Child Care Home Spaces

Shortage of Center-Based Spaces

(5)

(6)

(6)

85

28

113

288 362

84 1264

372 1626

19 81

(439) (1612)

21 79

46 50

(340) (359)

(99) (1253)

649

1348

1997

100

(2051)

100

49

(698)

(1352)

FINAL

Table A-6

Existing Child Care Demand and Supply in 2015 in Daly CityColma

San Mateo Co unty Child Care Study - 2016

Note All footnote references can be found in Table C-1 at the end of this file

Sources 2010 US Census ABAG Projections 2013 2014 American Community Survey ACS Journey-to-Work data 2006-2008 and 2006-2010

Child Care Coordinating Council of San Mateo County (4Cs) Community Care Licensing Brion Economics Inc

Prepared by Brion Economics Inc 2513-SMC NA Final Tables 61216 6122016

EAST PALO ALTO

Child Care as of 2015

No of

Providers

Under 2 Years

Old

2 to 4 Year

Olds

Total 0 to 4

Years

EXISTING DEMAND Child Care Demand

Estimated Total Children

Average LFPRAdjustment Factor

Children With Working Parents

Licensed Care Demand Factor

Resident Children Needing Licensed Care

of Total Resident Children Needing Licensed Care

Children from Non-Resident Employees Needing

Licensed Care

(1)

(2)

(3)

1046 1667

71

741 1496

37

274 1392

26 84

18 27

2713

2237

75

1666

61

45

Total Demand for Child Care Spaces

Distribution

EXISTING SUPPLY (4)

292 1419

17 83

Child Care Spaces

1711

100

Family Child Care Home Supply

Child Care Center Supply

Current Child Care Supply

Distribution

EXISTING SURPLUS(SHORTAGE)

Distribution

Percentage of Demand Met

by Existing FacilitiesSpaces

Shortage of Family Child Care Home Spaces

Shortage of Center-Based Spaces

(5)

(6)

(6)

21

6

27

85 106

25 633

110 739

13 87

(182) (680)

21 79

38 52

(141) (98)

(42) (582)

191

658

849

100

(862)

100

50

(239)

(623)

FINAL

Table A-7

Existing Child Care Demand and Supply in 2015 in East Palo Alto

San Mateo County Child Care Study - 2016

Note All footnote references can be found in Table C-1 at the end of this file Sources 2010 US Census ABAG Projections 2013 2014 American Community Survey ACS Journey-to-Work data 2006-2008 and 2006-2010

Child Care Coordinating Council of San Mateo County (4Cs) Community Care Licensing Brion Economics Inc

Prepared by Brion Economics Inc 2513-SMC NA Final Tables 61216 6122016

FOSTER CITY

Child Care as of 2015

No of

Providers

Under 2 Years

Old

2 to 4 Year

Olds

Total 0 to 4

Years

EXISTING DEMAND Child Care Demand

Estimated Total Children

Average LFPRAdjustment Factor

Children With Working Parents

Licensed Care Demand Factor

Resident Children Needing Licensed Care

of Total Resident Children Needing Licensed Care

Children from Non-Resident Employees Needing

Licensed Care

(1)

(2)

(3)

836 1277

63

528 1108

37

195 1035

23 81

73 110

2113

1636

75

1231

58

183

Total Demand for Child Care Spaces

Distribution

EXISTING SUPPLY (4)

268 1145

19 81

Child Care Spaces

1414

100

Family Child Care Home Supply

Child Care Center Supply

Current Child Care Supply

Distribution

EXISTING SURPLUS(SHORTAGE)

Distribution

Percentage of Demand Met

by Existing FacilitiesSpaces

Shortage of Family Child Care Home Spaces

Shortage of Center-Based Spaces

(5)

(6)

(6)

29

12

41

118 149

88 1200

206 1349

13 87

(62) 203

NA NA

77 118

(36) NA

(27) NA

267

1288

1555

100

141

NA

110

(36)

(27)

FINAL

Table A-8

Existing Child Care Demand and Supply in 2015 in Foster City

San Mateo County Child Care Study - 2016

Note All footnote references can be found in Table C-1 at the end of this file

Sources 2010 US Census ABAG Projections 2013 2014 American Community Survey ACS Journey-to-Work data 2006-2008 and 2006-2010

Child Care Coordinating Council of San Mateo County (4Cs) Community Care Licensing Brion Economics Inc

Prepared by Brion Economics Inc 2513-SMC NA Final Tables 61216 6122016

HALF MOON BAY REGION

Child Care as of 2015

No of

Providers

Under 2 Years

Old

2 to 4 Year

Olds

Total 0 to 4

Years

EXISTING DEMAND Child Care Demand

Estimated Total Children

Average LFPRAdjustment Factor

Children With Working Parents

Licensed Care Demand Factor

Resident Children Needing Licensed Care

of Total Resident Children Needing Licensed Care

Children from Non-Resident Employees Needing

Licensed Care

(1)

(2)

(3)

511 860

69

354 772

37

131 723

26 84

13 19

1371

1126

76

854

62

32

Total Demand for Child Care Spaces

Distribution

EXISTING SUPPLY (4)

144 742

16 84

Child Care Spaces

885

100

Family Child Care Home Supply

Child Care Center Supply

Current Child Care Supply

Distribution

EXISTING SURPLUS(SHORTAGE)

Distribution

Percentage of Demand Met

by Existing FacilitiesSpaces

Shortage of Family Child Care Home Spaces

Shortage of Center-Based Spaces

(5)

(6)

(6)

28

11

39

96 121

35 285

131 406

24 76

(13) (336)

4 96

91 55

(9) (100)

(3) (236)

216

320

536

100

(349)

100

61

(109)

(240)

FINAL

Table A-9

Existing Child Care Demand and Supply in 2015 in Half Moon Bay Region

San Mateo County Child Care Study - 2016

Note All footnote references can be found in Table C-1 at the end of this file

Sources 2010 US Census ABAG Projections 2013 2014 American Community Survey ACS Journey-to-Work data 2006-2008 and 2006-2010

Child Care Coordinating Council of San Mateo County (4Cs) Community Care Licensing Brion Economics Inc

Prepared by Brion Economics Inc 2513-SMC NA Final Tables 61216 6122016

HILLSBOROUGH

Child Care as of 2015

No of

Providers

Under 2 Years

Old

2 to 4 Year

Olds

Total 0 to 4

Years

EXISTING DEMAND Child Care Demand

Estimated Total Children

Average LFPRAdjustment Factor

Children With Working Parents

Licensed Care Demand Factor

Resident Children Needing Licensed Care

of Total Resident Children Needing Licensed Care

Children from Non-Resident Employees Needing

Licensed Care

(1)

(2)

(3)

138 331

52

71 284

37

26 272

19 82

7 10

469

356

84

298

64

16

Total Demand for Child Care Spaces

Distribution

EXISTING SUPPLY (4)

33 282

10 90

Child Care Spaces

315

100

Family Child Care Home Supply

Child Care Center Supply

Current Child Care Supply

Distribution

EXISTING SURPLUS(SHORTAGE)

Distribution

Percentage of Demand Met

by Existing FacilitiesSpaces

Shortage of Family Child Care Home Spaces

Shortage of Center-Based Spaces

(5)

(6)

(6)

1

4

5

5 6

- 91

5 97

5 95

(28) (185)

13 87

15 34

(28) (12)

0 (173)

11

91

102

100

(213)

100

32

(40)

(173)

FINAL

Table A-10

Existing Child Care Demand and Supply in 2015 in Hillsborough

San Mateo County Child Care Study - 2016

Note All footnote references can be found in Table C-1 at the end of this file Sources 2010 US Census ABAG Projections 2013 2014 American Community Survey ACS Journey-to-Work data 2006-2008 and 2006-2010

Child Care Coordinating Council of San Mateo County (4Cs) Community Care Licensing Brion Economics Inc

Prepared by Brion Economics Inc 2513-SMC NA Final Tables 61216 6122016

MENLO PARK

Child Care as of 2015

No of

Providers

Under 2 Years

Old

2 to 4 Year

Olds

Total 0 to 4

Years

EXISTING DEMAND Child Care Demand

Estimated Total Children

Average LFPRAdjustment Factor

Children With Working Parents

Licensed Care Demand Factor

Resident Children Needing Licensed Care

of Total Resident Children Needing Licensed Care

Children from Non-Resident Employees Needing

Licensed Care

(1)

(2)

(3)

1170 1723

69

802 1551

37

297 1458

25 85

220 332

2893

2353

75

1754

61

552

Total Demand for Child Care Spaces

Distribution

EXISTING SUPPLY (4)

516 1790

22 78

Child Care Spaces

2306

100

Family Child Care Home Supply

Child Care Center Supply

Current Child Care Supply

Distribution

EXISTING SURPLUS(SHORTAGE)

Distribution

Percentage of Demand Met

by Existing FacilitiesSpaces

Shortage of Family Child Care Home Spaces

Shortage of Center-Based Spaces

(5)

(6)

(6)

18

25

43

76 96

73 1331

149 1427

9 91

(367) (363)

50 50

29 80

(188) (24)

(180) (338)

172

1404

1576

100

(730)

100

68

(212)

(518)

FINAL

Table A-11

Existing Child Care Demand and Supply in 2015 in Menlo Park

San Mateo County Child Care Study - 2016

Note All footnote references can be found in Table C-1 at the end of this file Sources 2010 US Census ABAG Projections 2013 2014 American Community Survey ACS Journey-to-Work data 2006-2008 and 2006-2010

Child Care Coordinating Council of San Mateo County (4Cs) Community Care Licensing Brion Economics Inc

Prepared by Brion Economics Inc 2513-SMC NA Final Tables 61216 6122016

MILLBRAE

Child Care as of 2015

No of

Providers

Under 2 Years

Old

2 to 4 Year

Olds

Total 0 to 4

Years

EXISTING DEMAND Child Care Demand

Total Children

Average LFPRAdjustment Factor

Children With Working Parents

Licensed Care Demand Factor

Resident Children Needing Licensed Care

of Total Resident Children Needing Licensed Care

Children from Non-Resident Employees Needing

Licensed Care

(1)

(2)

(3)

421 717

62

260 632

37

96 598

23 83

28 42

1138

892

78

694

61

69

Total Demand for Child Care Spaces

Distribution

EXISTING SUPPLY (4)

124 640

16 84

Child Care Spaces

764

100

Family Child Care Home Supply

Child Care Center Supply

Current Child Care Supply

Distribution

EXISTING SURPLUS(SHORTAGE)

Distribution

Percentage of Demand Met

by Existing FacilitiesSpaces

Shortage of Family Child Care Home Spaces

Shortage of Center-Based Spaces

(5)

(6)

(6)

17

7

24

62 78

- 376

62 454

12 88

(61) (186)

25 75

50 71

(61) (32)

0 (154)

141

376

517

100

(247)

100

68

(93)

(154)

FINAL

Table A-12

Existing Child Care Demand and Supply in 2015 in Millbrae

San Mateo Co unty Child Care Study - 2016

Note All footnote references can be found in Table C-1 at the end of this file

Sources 2010 US Census ABAG Projections 2013 2014 American Community Survey ACS Journey-to-Work data 2006-2008 and 2006-2010

Child Care Coordinating Council of San Mateo County (4Cs) Community Care Licensing Brion Economics Inc

Prepared by Brion Economics Inc 2513-SMC NA Final Tables 61216 6122016

PACIFICA

Child Care as of 2015

No of

Providers

Under 2 Years

Old

2 to 4 Year

Olds

Total 0 to 4

Years

EXISTING DEMAND Child Care Demand

Estimated Total Children

Average LFPRAdjustment Factor

Children With Working Parents

Licensed Care Demand Factor

Resident Children Needing Licensed Care

of Total Resident Children Needing Licensed Care

Children from Non-Resident Employees Needing

Licensed Care

(1)

(2)

(3)

787 1253

78

610 1165

37

226 1089

29 87

18 27

2040

1776

74

1315

64

45

Total Demand for Child Care Spaces

Distribution

EXISTING SUPPLY (4)

244 1117

18 83

Child Care Spaces

1360

100

Family Child Care Home Supply

Child Care Center Supply

Current Child Care Supply

Distribution

EXISTING SURPLUS(SHORTAGE)

Distribution

Percentage of Demand Met

by Existing FacilitiesSpaces

Shortage of Family Child Care Home Spaces

Shortage of Center-Based Spaces

(5)

(6)

(6)

21

18

39

77 97

39 701

116 798

13 87

(128) (319)

29 71

48 71

(85) (39)

(43) (280)

174

740

914

100

(447)

100

67

(124)

(323)

FINAL

Table A-13

Existing Child Care Demand and Supply in 2015 in Pacifica

San Mateo County Child Care Study - 2016

Note All footnote references can be found in Table C-1 at the end of this file Sources 2010 US Census ABAG Projections 2013 2014 American Community Survey ACS Journey-to-Work data 2006-2008 and 2006-2010

Child Care Coordinating Council of San Mateo County (4Cs) Community Care Licensing Brion Economics Inc

Prepared by Brion Economics Inc 2513-SMC NA Final Tables 61216 6122016

PORTOLA VALLEY

No of

Providers

Child Care as of 2015

Under 2 Years

Old

2 to 4 Year

Olds

Total 0 to 4

Years

EXISTING DEMAND Child Care Demand

Estimated Total Children

Average LFPRAdjustment Factor

Children With Working Parents

Licensed Care Demand Factor

Resident Children Needing Licensed Care

of Total Resident Children Needing Licensed Care

Children from Non-Resident Employees Needing

Licensed Care

(1)

(2)

(3)

75 187

66

49 168

37

18 159

24 85

8 12

261

217

82

177

68

21

Total Demand for Child Care Spaces

Distribution

EXISTING SUPPLY (4)

26 171

13 87

Child Care Spaces

198

100

Family Child Care Home Supply

Child Care Center Supply

Current Child Care Supply

Distribution

EXISTING SURPLUS(SHORTAGE)

Distribution

Percentage of Demand Met

by Existing FacilitiesSpaces

Shortage of Family Child Care Home Spaces

Shortage of Center-Based Spaces

(5)

(6)

(6)

0

4

4

0 0

0 153

0 153

0 100

(26) (18)

59 41

0 89

0 0

(26) (18)

0

153

153

100

(45)

100

77

0

(45)

FINAL

Table A-14

Existing Child Care Demand and Supply in 2015 in Portola Valley

San Mateo County Child Care Study - 2016

Note All footnote references can be found in Table C-1 at the end of this file Sources 2010 US Census ABAG Projections 2013 2014 American Community Survey ACS Journey-to-Work data 2006-2008 and 2006-2010

Child Care Coordinating Council of San Mateo County (4Cs) Community Care Licensing Brion Economics Inc

Prepared by Brion Economics Inc 2513-SMC NA Final Tables 61216 6122016

REDWOOD CITY

Child Care as of 2015

No of

Providers

Under 2 Years

Old

2 to 4 Year

Olds

Total 0 to 4

Years

EXISTING DEMAND Child Care Demand

Estimated Total Children

Average LFPRAdjustment Factor

Children With Working Parents

Licensed Care Demand Factor

Resident Children Needing Licensed Care

of Total Resident Children Needing Licensed Care

Children from Non-Resident Employees Needing

Licensed Care

Total Demand for Child Care Spaces

Distribution

EXISTING SUPPLY

(1)

(2)

(3)

(4)

3260 4706

69

2236 4212

37

827 3942

25 84

414 625

1241 4567

21 79

Child Care Spaces

7966

6449

74

4770

60

1038

5808

100

Family Child Care Home Supply

Child Care Center Supply

Current Child Care Supply

Distribution

EXISTING SURPLUS(SHORTAGE)

Distribution

Percentage of Demand Met

by Existing FacilitiesSpaces

Shortage of Family Child Care Home Spaces

Shortage of Center-Based Spaces

(5)

(6)

(6)

111

45

156

396 497

356 2036

752 2533

23 77

(490) (2034)

19 81

61 55

(258) (399)

(232) (1635)

893

2392

3285

100

(2524)

100

57

(657)

(1867)

FINAL

Table A-15

Existing Child Care Demand and Supply in 2015 in Redwood City

San Mateo County Child Care Study - 2016

Note All footnote references can be found in Table C-1 at the end of this file Sources 2010 US Census ABAG Projections 2013 2014 American Community Survey ACS Journey-to-Work data 2006-2008 and 2006-2010

Child Care Coordinating Council of San Mateo County (4Cs) Community Care Licensing Brion Economics Inc

Prepared by Brion Economics Inc 2513-SMC NA Final Tables 61216 6122016

SAN BRUNO

Child Care as of 2015

No of

Providers

Under 2 Years

Old

2 to 4 Year

Olds

Total 0 to 4

Years

EXISTING DEMAND Child Care Demand

Estimated Total Children

Average LFPRAdjustment Factor

Children With Working Parents

Licensed Care Demand Factor

Resident Children Needing Licensed Care

of Total Resident Children Needing Licensed Care

Children from Non-Resident Employees Needing

Licensed Care

(1)

(2)

(3)

1069 1553

77

817 1428

37

302 1326

28 85

61 92

2622

2245

73

1628

62

153

Total Demand for Child Care Spaces

Distribution

EXISTING SUPPLY (4)

364 1418

20 80

Child Care Spaces

1782

100

Family Child Care Home Supply

Child Care Center Supply

Current Child Care Supply

Distribution

EXISTING SURPLUS(SHORTAGE)

Distribution

Percentage of Demand Met

by Existing FacilitiesSpaces

Shortage of Family Child Care Home Spaces

Shortage of Center-Based Spaces

(5)

(6)

(6)

34

15

49

122 153

26 1183

148 1336

10 90

(216) (82)

72 28

41 94

(178) (9)

(38) (73)

275

1209

1484

100

(298)

100

83

(187)

(110)

FINAL

Table A-16

Existing Child Care Demand and Supply in 2015 in San Bruno

San Mateo County Child Care Study - 2016

Note All footnote references can be found in Table C-1 at the end of this file Sources 2010 US Census ABAG Projections 2013 2014 American Community Survey ACS Journey-to-Work data 2006-2008 and 2006-2010

Child Care Coordinating Council of San Mateo County (4Cs) Community Care Licensing Brion Economics Inc

Prepared by Brion Economics Inc 2513-SMC NA Final Tables 61216 6122016

SAN CARLOS

Child Care as of 2015

No of

Providers

Under 2 Years

Old

2 to 4 Year

Olds

Total 0 to 4

Years

EXISTING DEMAND Child Care Demand

Estimated Total Children

Average LFPRAdjustment Factor

Children With Working Parents

Licensed Care Demand Factor

Resident Children Needing Licensed Care

of Total Resident Children Needing Licensed Care

Children from Non-Resident Employees Needing

Licensed Care

(1)

(2)

(3)

735 1308

72

526 1186

37

195 1109

26 85

75 114

2043

1712

76

1304

64

189

Total Demand for Child Care Spaces

Distribution

EXISTING SUPPLY (4)

270 1222

18 82

Child Care Spaces

1492

100

Family Child Care Home Supply

Child Care Center Supply

Current Child Care Supply

Distribution

EXISTING SURPLUS(SHORTAGE)

Distribution

Percentage of Demand Met

by Existing FacilitiesSpaces

Shortage of Family Child Care Home Spaces

Shortage of Center-Based Spaces

(5)

(6)

(6)

20

14

34

73 92

76 615

149 707

17 83

(121) (516)

19 81

55 58

(59) (67)

(62) (449)

164

691

855

100

(637)

100

57

(126)

(511)

FINAL

Table A-17

Existing Child Care Demand and Supply in 2015 in San Carlos

San Mateo County Child Care Study - 2016

Note All footnote references can be found in Table C-1 at the end of this file

Sources 2010 US Census ABAG Projections 2013 2014 American Community Survey ACS Journey-to-Work data 2006-2008 and 2006-2010

Child Care Coordinating Council of San Mateo County (4Cs) Community Care Licensing Brion Economics Inc

Prepared by Brion Economics Inc 2513-SMC NA Final Tables 61216 6122016

SAN MATEO

Child Care as of 2015

No of

Providers

Under 2 Years

Old

2 to 4 Year

Olds

Total 0 to 4

Years

EXISTING DEMAND Child Care Demand

Estimated Total Children

Average LFPRAdjustment Factor

Children With Working Parents

Licensed Care Demand Factor

Resident Children Needing Licensed Care

of Total Resident Children Needing Licensed Care

Children from Non-Resident Employees Needing

Licensed Care

(1)

(2)

(3)

2943 4213

71

2087 3793

37

772 3537

26 84

231 348

7156

5880

73

4309

60

579

Total Demand for Child Care Spaces

Distribution

EXISTING SUPPLY (4)

1003 3886

21 79

Child Care Spaces

4889

100

Family Child Care Home Supply

Child Care Center Supply

Current Child Care Supply

Distribution

EXISTING SURPLUS(SHORTAGE)

Distribution

Percentage of Demand Met

by Existing FacilitiesSpaces

Shortage of Family Child Care Home Spaces

Shortage of Center-Based Spaces

(5)

(6)

(6)

126

59

185

492 619

209 2577

701 3196

18 82

(302) (690)

30 70

70 82

(212) (134)

(90) (557)

1111

2786

3897

100

(992)

100

80

(345)

(647)

FINAL

Table A-18

Existing Child Care Demand and Supply in 2015 in San Mateo

San Mateo County Child Care Study - 2016

Note All footnote references can be found in Table C-1 at the end of this file

Sources 2010 US Census ABAG Projections 2013 2014 American Community Survey ACS Journey-to-Work data 2006-2008 and 2006-2010

Child Care Coordinating Council of San Mateo County (4Cs) Community Care Licensing Brion Economics Inc

Prepared by Brion Economics Inc 2513-SMC NA Final Tables 61216 6122016

SOUTH COAST

Child Care as of 2015

No of

Providers

Under 2 Years

Old

2 to 4 Year

Olds

Total 0 to 4

Years

EXISTING DEMAND Child Care Demand

Estimated Total Children

Average LFPRAdjustment Factor

Children With Working Parents

Licensed Care Demand Factor

Resident Children Needing Licensed Care

of Total Resident Children Needing Licensed Care

Children from Non-Resident Employees Needing

Licensed Care

(1)

(2)

(3)

21 29

54

11 25

37

4 23

20 81

0 0

50

36

77

28

56

0

Total Demand for Child Care Spaces

Distribution

EXISTING SUPPLY (4)

4 23

15 85

Child Care Spaces

28

100

Family Child Care Home Supply

Child Care Center Supply

Current Child Care Supply

Distribution

EXISTING SURPLUS(SHORTAGE)

Distribution

Percentage of Demand Met

by Existing FacilitiesSpaces

Shortage of Family Child Care Home Spaces

Shortage of Center-Based Spaces

(5)

(6)

(6)

-

2

2

- -

- 54

- 54

0 100

(4) 31

-16 116

0 230

(2) NA

(2) NA

0

54

54

100

26

100

195

(2)

(2)

FINAL

Table A-19

Existing Child Care Demand and Supply in 2015 in South Coast

San Mateo County Child Care Study - 2016

Note All footnote references can be found in Table C-1 at the end of this file

Sources 2010 US Census ABAG Projections 2013 2014 American Community Survey ACS Journey-to-Work data 2006-2008 and 2006-2010

Child Care Coordinating Council of San Mateo County (4Cs) Community Care Licensing Brion Economics Inc

Prepared by Brion Economics Inc 2513-SMC NA Final Tables 61216 6122016

SOUTH SAN FRANCISCO

Child Care as of 2015

No of

Providers

Under 2 Years

Old

2 to 4 Year

Olds

Total 0 to 4

Years

EXISTING DEMAND Child Care Demand

Estimated Total Children

Average LFPRAdjustment Factor

Children With Working Parents

Licensed Care Demand Factor

Resident Children Needing Licensed Care

of Total Resident Children Needing Licensed Care

Children from Non-Resident Employees Needing

Licensed Care

(1)

(2)

(3)

1649 2507

73

1206 2278

37

446 2123

27 85

309 466

4156

3484

74

2569

62

774

Total Demand for Child Care Spaces

Distribution

EXISTING SUPPLY (4)

755 2588

23 77

Child Care Spaces

3343

100

Family Child Care Home Supply

Child Care Center Supply

Current Child Care Supply

Distribution

EXISTING SURPLUS(SHORTAGE)

Distribution

Percentage of Demand Met

by Existing FacilitiesSpaces

Shortage of Family Child Care Home Spaces

Shortage of Center-Based Spaces

(5)

(6)

(6)

68

27

95

252 317

400 1966

652 2283

22 78

(103) (306)

25 75

86 88

(40) (42)

(63) (263)

569

2366

2935

100

(408)

100

88

(82)

(326)

FINAL

Table A-20

Existing Child Care Demand and Supply in 2015 in South San Francisco

San Mateo County Child Care Study - 2016

Note All footnote references can be found in Table C-1 at the end of this file Sources 2010 US Census ABAG Projections 2013 2014 American Community Survey ACS Journey-to-Work data 2006-2008 and 2006-2010

Child Care Coordinating Council of San Mateo County (4Cs) Community Care Licensing Brion Economics Inc

Prepared by Brion Economics Inc 2513-SMC NA Final Tables 61216 6122016

WOODSIDE

No of

Providers

Child Care as of 2015

Under 2 Years

Old

2 to 4 Year

Olds

Total 0 to 4

Years

EXISTING DEMAND Child Care Demand

Estimated Total Children

Average LFPRAdjustment Factor

Children With Working Parents

Licensed Care Demand Factor

Resident Children Needing Licensed Care

of Total Resident Children Needing Licensed Care

Children from Non-Resident Employees Needing

Licensed Care

(1)

(2)

(3)

90 160

56

50 136

37

18 128

21 80

8 13

250

186

79

147

59

21

Total Demand for Child Care Spaces

Distribution

EXISTING SUPPLY (4)

27 141

16 84

Child Care Spaces

168

100

Family Child Care Home Supply

Child Care Center Supply

Current Child Care Supply

Distribution

EXISTING SURPLUS(SHORTAGE)

Distribution

Percentage of Demand Met

by Existing FacilitiesSpaces

Shortage of Family Child Care Home Spaces

Shortage of Center-Based Spaces

(5)

(6)

(6)

1

2

3

4 5

0 103

4 108

4 96

(23) (33)

41 59

16 77

(23) (2)

0 (31)

9

103

112

100

(55)

100

67

(24)

(31)

FINAL

Table A-21

Existing Child Care Demand and Supply in 2015 in Woodside

San Mateo County Child Care Study - 2016

Note All footnote references can be found in Table C-1 at the end of this file Sources 2010 US Census ABAG Projections 2013 2014 American Community Survey ACS Journey-to-Work data 2006-2008 and 2006-2010

Child Care Coordinating Council of San Mateo County (4Cs) Community Care Licensing Brion Economics Inc

Prepared by Brion Economics Inc 2513-SMC NA Final Tables 61216 6122016

COUNTYWIDE

Child Care as of 2025

No of

Providers

Under 2 Years

Old

2 to 4 Year

Olds

Total 0 to 4

Years

EXISTING DEMAND Child Care Demand

Estimated Total Children

Average LFPRAdjustment Factor

Children With Working Parents

Licensed Care Demand Factor

Resident Children Needing Licensed Care

of Total Resident Children Needing Licensed Care

Children from Non-Resident Employees Needing

Licensed Care

Total Demand for Child Care Spaces

Distribution

EXISTING SUPPLY

(1)

(2)

(3)

(4)

20790 31340

71

14704 28273

37

5441 26432

26 84

2037 3074

7478 29506

20 80

Child Care Spaces

52130

42978

86

31873

61

5112

36984

100

Family Child Care Home Supply

Child Care Center Supply

Current Child Care Supply

Distribution

EXISTING SURPLUS(SHORTAGE)

Distribution

Percentage of Demand Met

by Existing FacilitiesSpaces

Shortage of Family Child Care Home Spaces

Shortage of Center-Based Spaces

(5)

(6)

(6)

621

309

930

2301 2893

1514 16296

3815 19189

17 83

(3663) (10318)

26 74

51 65

(2209) (1555)

(1454) (8762)

5193

17810

23003

100

(13981)

100

62

(3765)

(10216)

FINAL

Table B-1

Future C hild Care Demand and Supply in 2025 Countywide

San Mateo County Child Care Study - 2016

Note All footnote references can be found in Table C-1 at the end of this file

Sources 2010 US Census ABAG Projections 2013 2014 American Community Survey ACS Journey-to-Work data 2006-2008 and 2006-2010

Child Care Coordinating Council of San Mateo County (4Cs) Community Care Licensing Brion Economics Inc

Prepared by Brion Economics Inc 2513-SMC NA Final Tables 61216 6122016

ATHERTON

No of

Providers

Child Care as of 2025

Under 2 Years

Old

2 to 4 Year

Olds

Total 0 to 4

Years

EXISTING DEMAND Child Care Demand

Estimated Total Children

Average LFPRAdjustment Factor

Children With Working Parents

Licensed Care Demand Factor

Resident Children Needing Licensed Care

of Total Resident Children Needing Licensed Care

Children from Non-Resident Employees Needing

Licensed Care

(1)

(2)

(3)

109 193

40

43 159

37

16 154

15 80

13 19

302

202

84

170

56

32

Total Demand for Child Care Spaces

Distribution

EXISTING SUPPLY (4)

29 173

14 86

Child Care Spaces

201

100

Family Child Care Home Supply

Child Care Center Supply

Current Child Care Supply

Distribution

EXISTING SURPLUS(SHORTAGE)

Distribution

Percentage of Demand Met

by Existing FacilitiesSpaces

Shortage of Family Child Care Home Spaces

Shortage of Center-Based Spaces

(5)

(6)

(6)

1

6

7

5 6

24 267

29 273

10 90

0 101

0 100

101 158

NA NA

NA NA

11

291

302

100

101

100

150

NA

NA

FINAL

Table B-2

Future Child Care Demand and Supply in 2025 in Atherton

San Mateo Co unty Child Care Study - 2016

Note All footnote references can be found in Table C-1 at the end of this file Sources 2010 US Census ABAG Projections 2013 2014 American Community Survey ACS Journey-to-Work data 2006-2008 and 2006-2010

Child Care Coordinating Council of San Mateo County (4Cs) Community Care Licensing Brion Economics Inc

Prepared by Brion Economics Inc 2513-SMC NA Final Tables 61216 6122016

BELMONT

Child Care as of 2025

No of

Providers

Under 2 Years

Old

2 to 4 Year

Olds

Total 0 to 4

Years

EXISTING DEMAND Child Care Demand

Estimated Total Children

Average LFPRAdjustment Factor

Children With Working Parents

Licensed Care Demand Factor

Resident Children Needing Licensed Care

of Total Resident Children Needing Licensed Care

Children from Non-Resident Employees Needing

Licensed Care

(1)

(2)

(3)

743 1095

77

574 1013

37

213 943

29 86

37 56

1838

1587

73

1156

63

93

Total Demand for Child Care Spaces

Distribution

EXISTING SUPPLY (4)

250 999

20 80

Child Care Spaces

1249

100

Family Child Care Home Supply

Child Care Center Supply

Current Child Care Supply

Distribution

EXISTING SURPLUS(SHORTAGE)

Distribution

Percentage of Demand Met

by Existing FacilitiesSpaces

Shortage of Family Child Care Home Spaces

Shortage of Center-Based Spaces

(5)

(6)

(6)

8

9

17

67 84

39 531

106 615

15 85

(143) (384)

27 73

43 62

(91) (53)

(53) (331)

152

570

722

100

(527)

100

58

(143)

(384)

FINAL

Table B-3

Future Child Care Demand and Supply in 2025 in Belmont

San Mateo County Child Care Study - 2016

Note All footnote references can be found in Table C-1 at the end of this file

Sources 2010 US Census ABAG Projections 2013 2014 American Community Survey ACS Journey-to-Work data 2006-2008 and 2006-2010

Child Care Coordinating Council of San Mateo County (4Cs) Community Care Licensing Brion Economics Inc

Prepared by Brion Economics Inc 2513-SMC NA Final Tables 61216 6122016

BRISBANE

Child Care as of 2025

No of

Providers

Under 2 Years

Old

2 to 4 Year

Olds

Total 0 to 4

Years

EXISTING DEMAND Child Care Demand

Estimated Total Children

Average LFPRAdjustment Factor

Children With Working Parents

Licensed Care Demand Factor

Resident Children Needing Licensed Care

of Total Resident Children Needing Licensed Care

Children from Non-Resident Employees Needing

Licensed Care

(1)

(2)

(3)

131 174

100

131 174

37

48 160

37 92

55 83

305

305

68

209

68

138

Total Demand for Child Care Spaces

Distribution

EXISTING SUPPLY (4)

103 243

30 70

Child Care Spaces

346

100

Family Child Care Home Supply

Child Care Center Supply

Current Child Care Supply

Distribution

EXISTING SURPLUS(SHORTAGE)

Distribution

Percentage of Demand Met

by Existing FacilitiesSpaces

Shortage of Family Child Care Home Spaces

Shortage of Center-Based Spaces

(5)

(6)

(6)

1

1

2

4 5

0 64

4 69

6 94

(99) (174)

36 64

4 29

(99) (13)

0 (160)

9

64

73

100

(273)

100

21

(112)

(160)

FINAL

Table B-4

Future Child Care Demand and Supply in 2025 in Brisbane

San Mateo County Child Care Study - 2016

Note All footnote references can be found in Table C-1 at the end of this file Sources 2010 US Census ABAG Projections 2013 2014 American Community Survey ACS Journey-to-Work data 2006-2008 and 2006-2010

Child Care Coordinating Council of San Mateo County (4Cs) Community Care Licensing Brion Economics Inc

Prepared by Brion Economics Inc 2513-SMC NA Final Tables 61216 6122016

BURLINGAME

Child Care as of 2025

No of

Providers

Under 2 Years

Old

2 to 4 Year

Olds

Total 0 to 4

Years

EXISTING DEMAND Child Care Demand

Estimated Total Children

Average LFPRAdjustment Factor

Children With Working Parents

Licensed Care Demand Factor

Resident Children Needing Licensed Care

of Total Resident Children Needing Licensed Care

Children from Non-Resident Employees Needing

Licensed Care

(1)

(2)

(3)

903 1332

65

587 1190

37

217 1124

24 84

154 232

2235

1777

75

1341

60

385

Total Demand for Child Care Spaces

Distribution

EXISTING SUPPLY (4)

371 1356

21 79

Child Care Spaces

1726

100

Family Child Care Home Supply

Child Care Center Supply

Current Child Care Supply

Distribution

EXISTING SURPLUS(SHORTAGE)

Distribution

Percentage of Demand Met

by Existing FacilitiesSpaces

Shortage of Family Child Care Home Spaces

Shortage of Center-Based Spaces

(5)

(6)

(6)

10

14

24

79 99

40 866

119 965

11 89

(252) (390)

39 61

32 71

(167) (40)

(85) (350)

179

906

1085

100

(642)

100

63

(207)

(434)

FINAL

Table B-5

Future Child Care Demand and Supply in 2025 in Burlingame

San Mateo County Child Care Study - 2016

Note All footnote references can be found in Table C-1 at the end of this file

Sources 2010 US Census ABAG Projections 2013 2014 American Community Survey ACS Journey-to-Work data 2006-2008 and 2006-2010

Child Care Coordinating Council of San Mateo County (4Cs) Community Care Licensing Brion Economics Inc

Prepared by Brion Economics Inc 2513-SMC NA Final Tables 61216 6122016

DALY CITYCOLMA

Child Care as of 2025

No of

Providers

Under 2 Years

Old

2 to 4 Year

Olds

Total 0 to 4

Years

EXISTING DEMAND Child Care Demand

Estimated Total Children

Average LFPRAdjustment Factor

Children With Working Parents

Licensed Care Demand Factor

Resident Children Needing Licensed Care

of Total Resident Children Needing Licensed Care

Children from Non-Resident Employees Needing

Licensed Care

(1)

(2)

(3)

2647 3793

74

1964 3467

37

727 3233

27 85

138 208

6440

5432

73

3960

61

346

Total Demand for Child Care Spaces

Distribution

EXISTING SUPPLY (4)

865 3441

20 80

Child Care Spaces

4306

100

Family Child Care Home Supply

Child Care Center Supply

Current Child Care Supply

Distribution

EXISTING SURPLUS(SHORTAGE)

Distribution

Percentage of Demand Met

by Existing FacilitiesSpaces

Shortage of Family Child Care Home Spaces

Shortage of Center-Based Spaces

(5)

(6)

(6)

25

28

28

288 362

84 1264

372 1626

19 81

(493) (1816)

21 79

43 47

(381) (404)

(111) (1412)

649

1348

1997

100

(2308)

100

46

(785)

(1523)

FINAL

Table B-6

Future C hild Care Demand and Supply in 2025 in Daly CityColma

San Mateo County Child Care Study - 2016

Note All footnote references can be found in Table C-1 at the end of this file

Sources 2010 US Census ABAG Projections 2013 2014 American Community Survey ACS Journey-to-Work data 2006-2008 and 2006-2010

Child Care Coordinating Council of San Mateo County (4Cs) Community Care Licensing Brion Economics Inc

Prepared by Brion Economics Inc 2513-SMC NA Final Tables 61216 6122016

EAST PALO ALTO

Child Care as of 2025

No of

Providers

Under 2 Years

Old

2 to 4 Year

Olds

Total 0 to 4

Years

EXISTING DEMAND Child Care Demand

Estimated Total Children

Average LFPRAdjustment Factor

Children With Working Parents

Licensed Care Demand Factor

Resident Children Needing Licensed Care

of Total Resident Children Needing Licensed Care

Children from Non-Resident Employees Needing

Licensed Care

(1)

(2)

(3)

1161 1849

71

822 1660

37

304 1545

26 84

20 30

3010

2482

75

1849

61

50

Total Demand for Child Care Spaces

Distribution

EXISTING SUPPLY (4)

324 1575

17 83

Child Care Spaces

1900

100

Family Child Care Home Supply

Child Care Center Supply

Current Child Care Supply

Distribution

EXISTING SURPLUS(SHORTAGE)

Distribution

Percentage of Demand Met

by Existing FacilitiesSpaces

Shortage of Family Child Care Home Spaces

Shortage of Center-Based Spaces

(5)

(6)

(6)

13

6

19

85 106

25 633

110 739

13 87

(215) (836)

20 80

34 47

(166) (120)

(49) (715)

191

658

849

100

(1050)

100

45

(286)

(764)

FINAL

Table B-7

Future Child Care Demand and Supply in 2025 in East Palo Alto

San Mateo County Child Care Study - 2016

Note All footnote references can be found in Table C-1 at the end of this file

Sources 2010 US Census ABAG Projections 2013 2014 American Community Survey ACS Journey-to-Work data 2006-2008 and 2006-2010

Child Care Coordinating Council of San Mateo County (4Cs) Community Care Licensing Brion Economics Inc

Prepared by Brion Economics Inc 2513-SMC NA Final Tables 61216 6122016

FOSTER CITY

Child Care as of 2025

No of

Providers

Under 2 Years

Old

2 to 4 Year

Olds

Total 0 to 4

Years

EXISTING DEMAND Child Care Demand

Estimated Total Children

Average LFPRAdjustment Factor

Children With Working Parents

Licensed Care Demand Factor

Resident Children Needing Licensed Care

of Total Resident Children Needing Licensed Care

Children from Non-Resident Employees Needing

Licensed Care

(1)

(2)

(3)

871 1330

63

550 1154

37

204 1079

23 81

80 120

2201

1705

75

1282

58

200

Total Demand for Child Care Spaces

Distribution

EXISTING SUPPLY (4)

283 1199

19 81

Child Care Spaces

1483

100

Family Child Care Home Supply

Child Care Center Supply

Current Child Care Supply

Distribution

EXISTING SURPLUS(SHORTAGE)

Distribution

Percentage of Demand Met

by Existing FacilitiesSpaces

Shortage of Family Child Care Home Spaces

Shortage of Center-Based Spaces

(5)

(6)

(6)

19

12

31

118 149

88 1200

206 1349

13 87

(77) 150

-106 206

73 112

(44) NA

(33) NA

267

1288

1555

100

73

100

105

(44)

(33)

FINAL

Table B-8

Future Child Care Demand and Supply in 2025 in Foster City

San Mateo County Child Care Study - 2016

Note All footnote references can be found in Table C-1 at the end of this file

Sources 2010 US Census ABAG Projections 2013 2014 American Community Survey ACS Journey-to-Work data 2006-2008 and 2006-2010

Child Care Coordinating Council of San Mateo County (4Cs) Community Care Licensing Brion Economics Inc

Prepared by Brion Economics Inc 2513-SMC NA Final Tables 61216 6122016

HALF MOON BAY REGION

Child Care as of 2025

No of

Providers

Under 2 Years

Old

2 to 4 Year

Olds

Total 0 to 4

Years

EXISTING DEMAND Child Care Demand

Estimated Total Children

Average LFPRAdjustment Factor

Children With Working Parents

Licensed Care Demand Factor

Resident Children Needing Licensed Care

of Total Resident Children Needing Licensed Care

Children from Non-Resident Employees Needing

Licensed Care

(1)

(2)

(3)

553 929

69

383 835

37

142 781

26 84

14 21

1482

1217

76

923

62

34

Total Demand for Child Care Spaces

Distribution

EXISTING SUPPLY (4)

155 802

16 84

Child Care Spaces

957

100

Family Child Care Home Supply

Child Care Center Supply

Current Child Care Supply

Distribution

EXISTING SURPLUS(SHORTAGE)

Distribution

Percentage of Demand Met

by Existing FacilitiesSpaces

Shortage of Family Child Care Home Spaces

Shortage of Center-Based Spaces

(5)

(6)

(6)

10

11

21

96 121

35 285

131 406

24 76

(24) (396)

6 94

84 51

(18) (118)

(6) (279)

216

320

536

100

(421)

100

56

(136)

(285)

FINAL

Table B-9

Future Child Care Demand and Supply in 2025 in Half Moon Bay Region

San Mateo County Child Care Study - 2016

Note All footnote references can be found in Table C-1 at the end of this file

Sources 2010 US Census ABAG Projections 2013 2014 American Community Survey ACS Journey-to-Work data 2006-2008 and 2006-2010

Child Care Coordinating Council of San Mateo County (4Cs) Community Care Licensing Brion Economics Inc

Prepared by Brion Economics Inc 2513-SMC NA Final Tables 61216 6122016

HILLSBOROUGH

Child Care as of 2025

No of

Providers

Under 2 Years

Old

2 to 4 Year

Olds

Total 0 to 4

Years

EXISTING DEMAND Child Care Demand

Estimated Total Children

Average LFPRAdjustment Factor

Children With Working Parents

Licensed Care Demand Factor

Resident Children Needing Licensed Care

of Total Resident Children Needing Licensed Care

Children from Non-Resident Employees Needing

Licensed Care

(1)

(2)

(3)

143 343

52

74 295

37

27 282

19 82

7 11

487

369

84

309

64

17

Total Demand for Child Care Spaces

Distribution

EXISTING SUPPLY (4)

34 292

10 90

Child Care Spaces

327

100

Family Child Care Home Supply

Child Care Center Supply

Current Child Care Supply

Distribution

EXISTING SURPLUS(SHORTAGE)

Distribution

Percentage of Demand Met

by Existing FacilitiesSpaces

Shortage of Family Child Care Home Spaces

Shortage of Center-Based Spaces

(5)

(6)

(6)

1

4

5

5 6

- 91

5 97

5 95

(29) (195)

13 87

14 33

(29) (12)

0 (183)

11

91

102

100

(225)

100

31

(42)

(183)

FINAL

Table B-10

Future Child Care Demand and Supply in 2025 in Hillsborough

San Mateo County Child Care Study - 2016

Note All footnote references can be found in Table C-1 at the end of this file

Sources 2010 US Census ABAG Projections 2013 2014 American Community Survey ACS Journey-to-Work data 2006-2008 and 2006-2010

Child Care Coordinating Council of San Mateo County (4Cs) Community Care Licensing Brion Economics Inc

Prepared by Brion Economics Inc 2513-SMC NA Final Tables 61216 6122016

MENLO PARK

Child Care as of 2025

No of

Providers

Under 2 Years

Old

2 to 4 Year

Olds

Total 0 to 4

Years

EXISTING DEMAND Child Care Demand

Estimated Total Children

Average LFPRAdjustment Factor

Children With Working Parents

Licensed Care Demand Factor

Resident Children Needing Licensed Care

of Total Resident Children Needing Licensed Care

Children from Non-Resident Employees Needing

Licensed Care

(1)

(2)

(3)

1327 1954

69

909 1759

37

336 1653

25 85

237 357

3281

2668

75

1989

61

594

Total Demand for Child Care Spaces

Distribution

EXISTING SUPPLY (4)

573 2011

22 78

Child Care Spaces

2584

100

Family Child Care Home Supply

Child Care Center Supply

Current Child Care Supply

Distribution

EXISTING SURPLUS(SHORTAGE)

Distribution

Percentage of Demand Met

by Existing FacilitiesSpaces

Shortage of Family Child Care Home Spaces

Shortage of Center-Based Spaces

(5)

(6)

(6)

15

25

40

76 96

73 1331

149 1427

9 91

(424) (584)

42 58

26 71

(217) (39)

(207) (544)

172

1404

1576

100

(1008)

100

61

(256)

(752)

FINAL

Table B-11

Future Child Care Demand and Supply in 2025 in Menlo Park

San Mateo County Child Care Study - 2016

Note All footnote references can be found in Table C-1 at the end of this file

Sources 2010 US Census ABAG Projections 2013 2014 American Community Survey ACS Journey-to-Work data 2006-2008 and 2006-2010

Child Care Coordinating Council of San Mateo County (4Cs) Community Care Licensing Brion Economics Inc

Prepared by Brion Economics Inc 2513-SMC NA Final Tables 61216 6122016

MILLBRAE

Child Care as of 2025

No of

Providers

Under 2 Years

Old

2 to 4 Year

Olds

Total 0 to 4

Years

EXISTING DEMAND Child Care Demand

Estimated Total Children

Average LFPRAdjustment Factor

Children With Working Parents

Licensed Care Demand Factor

Resident Children Needing Licensed Care

of Total Resident Children Needing Licensed Care

Children from Non-Resident Employees Needing

Licensed Care

(1)

(2)

(3)

473 805

62

291 710

37

108 672

23 83

31 47

1278

1001

78

780

61

77

Total Demand for Child Care Spaces

Distribution

EXISTING SUPPLY (4)

139 718

16 84

Child Care Spaces

857

100

Family Child Care Home Supply

Child Care Center Supply

Current Child Care Supply

Distribution

EXISTING SURPLUS(SHORTAGE)

Distribution

Percentage of Demand Met

by Existing FacilitiesSpaces

Shortage of Family Child Care Home Spaces

Shortage of Center-Based Spaces

(5)

(6)

(6)

7

7

14

62 78

- 376

62 454

12 88

(76) (264)

22 78

45 63

(76) (46)

0 (219)

141

376

517

100

(340)

100

60

(122)

(219)

FINAL

Table B-12

Future C hild Care Demand and Supply in 2025 in Millbrae

San Mateo County Child Care Study - 2016

Note All footnote references can be found in Table C-1 at the end of this file

Sources 2010 US Census ABAG Projections 2013 2014 American Community Survey ACS Journey-to-Work data 2006-2008 and 2006-2010

Child Care Coordinating Council of San Mateo County (4Cs) Community Care Licensing Brion Economics Inc

Prepared by Brion Economics Inc 2513-SMC NA Final Tables 61216 6122016

FINAL

Table B-13

Future Child Care Demand and Supply in 2025 in Pacifica

San Mateo County Child Care Study - 2016

PACIFICA

Child Care as of 2025

No of

Providers

Under 2 Years

Old

2 to 4 Year

Olds

Total 0 to 4

Years

EXISTING DEMAND Child Care Demand

Estimated Total Children

Average L FPRAdjustment Factor

Children With Working Parents

Licensed Care Demand Factor

Resident Children Needing Licensed Care

of Total Resident Children Needing Licensed Care

Children from Non-Resident Employees Needing

Licensed Care

(1)

(2)

(3)

816 1300

78

633 1209

37

234 1130

29 87

19 29

2116

1842

74

1364

64

48

Total Demand for Child Care Spaces

Distribution

EXISTING SUPPLY (4)

254 1159

18 82

Child Care Spaces

1413

100

Family Child Care Home Supply

Child Care Center Supply

Current Child Care Supply

Distribution

EXISTING SURPLUS(SHORTAGE)

Distribution

Percentage of Demand Met

by Existing FacilitiesSpaces

Shortage of Family Child Care Home Spaces

Shortage of Center-Based Spaces

(5)

(6)

(6)

9

18

27

77 97

39 701

116 798

13 87

(138) (361)

28 72

46 69

(91) (44)

(46) (317)

174

740

914

100

(499)

100

65

(135)

(364)

Note All footnote references can be found in Table C-1 at the end of this file

Sources 2010 US Census ABAG Projections 2013 2014 American Community Survey ACS Journey-to-Work data 2006-2008 and 2006-2010

Child Care Coordinating Council of San Mateo County (4Cs) Community Care Licensing Brion Economics Inc

Prepared by Brion Economics Inc 2513-SMC NA Final Tables 61216 6122016

PORTOLA VALLEY

Child Care as of 2025

No of

Providers

Under 2 Years

Old

2 to 4 Year

Olds

Total 0 to 4

Years

EXISTING DEMAND Child Care Demand

Estimated Total Children

Average LFPRAdjustment Factor

Children With Working Parents

Licensed Care Demand Factor

Resident Children Needing Licensed Care

of Total Resident Children Needing Licensed Care

Children from Non-Resident Employees Needing

Licensed Care

(1)

(2)

(3)

77 192

66

51 173

37

19 164

24 85

9 13

269

224

82

182

68

22

Total Demand for Child Care Spaces

Distribution

EXISTING SUPPLY (4)

28 177

13 87

Child Care Spaces

204

100

Family Child Care Home Supply

Child Care Center Supply

Current Child Care Supply

Distribution

EXISTING SURPLUS(SHORTAGE)

Distribution

Percentage of Demand Met

by Existing FacilitiesSpaces

Shortage of Family Child Care Home Spaces

Shortage of Center-Based Spaces

(5)

(6)

(6)

0

4

4

- -

- 153

- 153

0 100

(28) (24)

54 46

0 87

0 0

(28) (24)

0

153

153

100

(51)

100

75

0

(51)

FINAL

Table B-14

Future Child Care Demand and Supply in 2025 in Portola Valley

San Mateo County Child Care Study - 2016

Note All footnote references can be found in Table C-1 at the end of this file

Sources 2010 US Census ABAG Projections 2013 2014 American Community Survey ACS Journey-to-Work data 2006-2008 and 2006-2010

Child Care Coordinating Council of San Mateo County (4Cs) Community Care Licensing Brion Economics Inc

Prepared by Brion Economics Inc 2513-SMC NA Final Tables 61216 6122016

REDWOOD CITY

No of

Providers

Child Care as of 2025

Under 2 Years

Old

2 to 4 Year

Olds

Total 0 to 4

Years

EXISTING DEMAND Child Care Demand

Estimated Total Children

Average LFPRAdjustment Factor

Children With Working Parents

Licensed Care Demand Factor

Resident Children Needing Licensed Care

of Total Resident Children Needing Licensed Care

Children from Non-Resident Employees Needing

Licensed Care

Total Demand for Child Care Spaces

Distribution

EXISTING SUPPLY

(1)

(2)

(3)

(4)

3725 5378

69

2555 4813

37

946 4505

25 84

466 703

1411 5208

21 79

Child Care Spaces

9103

7368

74

5450

60

1169

6619

100

Family Child Care Home Supply

Child Care Center Supply

Current Child Care Supply

Distribution

EXISTING SURPLUS(SHORTAGE)

Distribution

Percentage of Demand Met

by Existing FacilitiesSpaces

Shortage of Family Child Care Home Spaces

Shortage of Center-Based Spaces

(5)

(6)

(6)

42

41

83

396 497

356 2036

752 2533

23 77

(660) (2674)

20 80

53 49

(347) (525)

(313) (2149)

893

2392

3285

100

(3334)

100

50

(872)

(2462)

FINAL

Table B-15

Future Child Care Demand and Supply in 2025 in Redwood City

San Mateo County Child Care Study - 2016

Note All footnote references can be found in Table C-1 at the end of this file

Sources 2010 US Census ABAG Projections 2013 2014 American Community Survey ACS Journey-to-Work data 2006-2008 and 2006-2010

Child Care Coordinating Council of San Mateo County (4Cs) Community Care Licensing Brion Economics Inc

Prepared by Brion Economics Inc 2513-SMC NA Final Tables 61216 6122016

SAN BRUNO

Child Care as of 2025

No of

Providers

Under 2 Years

Old

2 to 4 Year

Olds

Total 0 to 4

Years

EXISTING DEMAND Child Care Demand

Estimated Total Children

Average LFPRAdjustment Factor

Children With Working Parents

Licensed Care Demand Factor

Resident Children Needing Licensed Care

of Total Resident Children Needing Licensed Care

Children from Non-Resident Employees Needing

Licensed Care

(1)

(2)

(3)

1189 1728

77

910 1589

37

337 1475

28 85

68 103

2917

2498

73

1812

62

171

Total Demand for Child Care Spaces

Distribution

EXISTING SUPPLY (4)

405 1578

20 80

Child Care Spaces

1983

100

Family Child Care Home Supply

Child Care Center Supply

Current Child Care Supply

Distribution

EXISTING SURPLUS(SHORTAGE)

Distribution

Percentage of Demand Met

by Existing FacilitiesSpaces

Shortage of Family Child Care Home Spaces

Shortage of Center-Based Spaces

(5)

(6)

(6)

13

15

28

122 153

26 1183

148 1336

10 90

(257) (242)

52 48

37 85

(212) (28)

(45) (214)

275

1209

1484

100

(499)

100

75

(239)

(259)

FINAL

Table B-16

Future C hild Care Demand and Supply in 2025 in San Bruno

San Mateo County Child Care Study - 2016

Note All footnote references can be found in Table C-1 at the end of this file

Sources 2010 US Census ABAG Projections 2013 2014 American Community Survey ACS Journey-to-Work data 2006-2008 and 2006-2010

Child Care Coordinating Council of San Mateo County (4Cs) Community Care Licensing Brion Economics Inc

Prepared by Brion Economics Inc 2513-SMC NA Final Tables 61216 6122016

SAN CARLOS

Child Care as of 2025

No of

Providers

Under 2 Years

Old

2 to 4 Year

Olds

Total 0 to 4

Years

EXISTING DEMAND Child Care Demand

Estimated Total Children

Average LFPRAdjustment Factor

Children With Working Parents

Licensed Care Demand Factor

Resident Children Needing Licensed Care

of Total Resident Children Needing Licensed Care

Children from Non-Resident Employees Needing

Licensed Care

(1)

(2)

(3)

778 1384

72

557 1255

37

206 1174

26 85

82 123

2162

1812

76

1380

64

205

Total Demand for Child Care Spaces

Distribution

EXISTING SUPPLY (4)

288 1297

18 82

Child Care Spaces

1585

100

Family Child Care Home Supply

Child Care Center Supply

Current Child Care Supply

Distribution

EXISTING SURPLUS(SHORTAGE)

Distribution

Percentage of Demand Met

by Existing FacilitiesSpaces

Shortage of Family Child Care Home Spaces

Shortage of Center-Based Spaces

(5)

(6)

(6)

28

14

42

73 92

76 615

149 707

17 83

(139) (590)

19 81

52 54

(68) (76)

(71) (514)

164

691

855

100

(729)

100

54

(145)

(585)

FINAL

Table B-17

Future Child Care Demand and Supply in 2025 in San Carlos

San Mateo County Child Care Study - 2016

Note All footnote references can be found in Table C-1 at the end of this file

Sources 2010 US Census ABAG Projections 2013 2014 American Community Survey ACS Journey-to-Work data 2006-2008 and 2006-2010

Child Care Coordinating Council of San Mateo County (4Cs) Community Care Licensing Brion Economics Inc

Prepared by Brion Economics Inc 2513-SMC NA Final Tables 61216 6122016

SAN MATEO

Child Care as of 2025

No of

Providers

Under 2 Years

Old

2 to 4 Year

Olds

Total 0 to 4

Years

EXISTING DEMAND Child Care Demand

Estimated Total Children

Average LFPRAdjustment Factor

Children With Working Parents

Licensed Care Demand Factor

Resident Children Needing Licensed Care

of Total Resident Children Needing Licensed Care

Children from Non-Resident Employees Needing

Licensed Care

(1)

(2)

(3)

3194 4572

71

2264 4116

37

838 3839

26 84

261 394

7766

6381

73

4677

60

656

Total Demand for Child Care Spaces

Distribution

EXISTING SUPPLY (4)

1099 4233

21 79

Child Care Spaces

5332

100

Family Child Care Home Supply

Child Care Center Supply

Current Child Care Supply

Distribution

EXISTING SURPLUS(SHORTAGE)

Distribution

Percentage of Demand Met

by Existing FacilitiesSpaces

Shortage of Family Child Care Home Spaces

Shortage of Center-Based Spaces

(5)

(6)

(6)

69

59

128

492 619

209 2577

701 3196

18 82

(398) (1037)

28 72

64 75

(279) (201)

(119) (837)

1111

2786

3897

100

(1435)

100

73

(480)

(955)

FINAL

Table B-18

Future Child Care Demand and Supply in 2025 in San Mateo

San Mateo County Child Care Study - 2016

Note All footnote references can be found in Table C-1 at the end of this file

Sources 2010 US Census ABAG Projections 2013 2014 American Community Survey ACS Journey-to-Work data 2006-2008 and 2006-2010

Child Care Coordinating Council of San Mateo County (4Cs) Community Care Licensing Brion Economics Inc

Prepared by Brion Economics Inc 2513-SMC NA Final Tables 61216 6122016

FINAL

Table B-19

Future Child Care Demand and Supply in 2025 in South Coast

San Mateo County Child Care Study - 2016

SOUTH COAST

Child Care as of 2025

No of

Providers

Under 2 Years

Old

2 to 4 Year

Olds

Total 0 to 4

Years

EXISTING DEMAND Child Care Demand

Estimated Total Children (1) 23 32 55

Average LFPRAdjustment Factor (2) 54

Children With Working Parents 12 27 40

Licensed Care Demand Factor (3) 37 77

Resident Children Needing Licensed Care 5 26 30

of Total Resident Children Needing Licensed Care 20 81 56

Children from Non-Resident Employees Needing

Licensed Care 0 0 0

Total Demand for Child Care Spaces 5 26 30

Distribution 15 85 100

EXISTING SUPPLY (4) Child Care Spaces

Family Child Care Home Supply - 0 0 0

Child Care Center Supply 2 0 54 54

Current Child Care Supply 2 - 54 54

Distribution 0 100 100

EXISTING SURPLUS(SHORTAGE) (5) 28 24

Distribution -19 119 100

Percentage of Demand Met

by Existing FacilitiesSpaces (5) 0 209 177

Shortage of Family Child Care Home Spaces (6) 0 NA 0

Shortage of Center-Based Spaces (6) (5) NA (5)

Note All footnote references can be found in Table C-1 at the end of this file

Sources 2010 US Census ABAG Projections 2013 2014 American Community Survey ACS Journey-to-Work data 2006-2008 and 2006-2010

Child Care Coordinating Council of San Mateo County (4Cs) Community Care Licensing Brion Economics Inc

Prepared by Brion Economics Inc 2513-SMC NA Final Tables 61216 6122016

SOUTH SAN FRANCISCO

Child Care as of 2025

No of

Providers

Under 2 Years

Old

2 to 4 Year

Olds

Total 0 to 4

Years

EXISTING DEMAND Child Care Demand

Estimated Total Children

Average LFPRAdjustment Factor

Children With Working Parents

Licensed Care Demand Factor

Resident Children Needing Licensed Care

of Total Resident Children Needing Licensed Care

Children from Non-Resident Employees Needing

Licensed Care

(1)

(2)

(3)

1835 2790

73

1342 2535

37

496 2362

27 85

339 512

4625

3877

74

2859

62

851

Total Demand for Child Care Spaces

Distribution

EXISTING SUPPLY (4)

835 2874

23 77

Child Care Spaces

3709

100

Family Child Care Home Supply

Child Care Center Supply

Current Child Care Supply

Distribution

EXISTING SURPLUS(SHORTAGE)

Distribution

Percentage of Demand Met

by Existing FacilitiesSpaces

Shortage of Family Child Care Home Spaces

Shortage of Center-Based Spaces

(5)

(6)

(6)

30

27

57

252 317

400 1966

652 2283

22 78

(183) (591)

24 76

78 79

(71) (82)

(113) (509)

569

2366

2935

100

(775)

100

79

(153)

(622)

FINAL

Table B-20

Future Child Care Demand and Supply in 2025 in South San Francisco

San Mateo County Child Care Study - 2016

Note All footnote references can be found in Table C-1 at the end of this file

Sources 2010 US Census ABAG Projections 2013 2014 American Community Survey ACS Journey-to-Work data 2006-2008 and 2006-2010

Child Care Coordinating Council of San Mateo County (4Cs) Community Care Licensing Brion Economics Inc

Prepared by Brion Economics Inc 2513-SMC NA Final Tables 61216 6122016

WOODSIDE

No of

Providers

Child Care as of 2025

Under 2 Years

Old

2 to 4 Year

Olds

Total 0 to 4

Years

EXISTING DEMAND Child Care Demand

Estimated Total Children

Average LFPRAdjustment Factor

Children With Working Parents

Licensed Care Demand Factor

Resident Children Needing Licensed Care

of Total Resident Children Needing Licensed Care

Children from Non-Resident Employees Needing

Licensed Care

(1)

(2)

(3)

93 165

56

51 140

37

19 132

21 80

9 13

258

192

79

152

59

22

Total Demand for Child Care Spaces

Distribution

EXISTING SUPPLY (4)

28 146

16 84

Child Care Spaces

174

100

Family Child Care Home Supply

Child Care Center Supply

Current Child Care Supply

Distribution

EXISTING SURPLUS(SHORTAGE)

Distribution

Percentage of Demand Met

by Existing FacilitiesSpaces

Shortage of Family Child Care Home Spaces

Shortage of Center-Based Spaces

(5)

(6)

(6)

1

2

3

4 5

- 103

4 108

4 96

(24) (38)

39 61

15 74

(24) (2)

0 (36)

9

103

112

100

(61)

100

65

(26)

(36)

FINAL

Table B-21

Future Child Care Demand and Supply in 2025 in Woodside

San Mateo County Child Care Study - 2016

Note All footnote references can be found in Table C-1 at the end of this file

Sources 2010 US Census ABAG Projections 2013 2014 American Community Survey ACS Journey-to-Work data 2006-2008 and 2006-2010

Child Care Coordinating Council of San Mateo County (4Cs) Community Care Licensing Brion Economics Inc

Prepared by Brion Economics Inc 2513-SMC NA Final Tables 61216 6122016

FINAL

Table C-1

Endnotes for Tables

San Mateo County Child Care Study - 2016

(1) Population by age is based on the percentage breakdown from the 2010 US Census and applied

to population estimates for 2015 using ABAGs Projections 2013 population data The ABAG data

for each area includes its Sphere of Influence and is not based on strict jurisdictional boundaries

(2) Labor force participation rates are from the 5-Year American Community Survey 2014 and include

children under six years old with two working parents or a single working parent For the 2- to 4-year

olds the labor force participation rate is applied to 2 year olds For 3- and 4-year olds it is assumed

that 100 need licensed care to support preschool for every child so the number of

3- and 4-year olds is not discounted by labor force participation rates

(3) Not all children with working parents are assumed to need licensed care percentage assumptions are

used to calculate the number of children requiring licensed care under each age category The

remaining children are assumed to be cared for in alternate arrangements such as by family members

nannies friends and other unlicensed care For children ages 3- and 4-years old it is assumed that

they all need care in the form of preschool

(4) Data on child care supply provided by the Child Care Coordinating Council of San Mateo County (4Cs)

and Community Care Licensing Division of the California Department of Social Services (CCLD) Data is

for June 2015

(5) Demand that calculates as less than 100 means that there is greater demand than supply percent of

demand that is over 100 means supply exceeds demand

(6) Unmet demand is broken down into shortage by type of care based on the proportion of FCCHs and

child care centers spaces available in each area If an area does not have any FCCHs or centers the

unmet demand is placed in the type of care that is available in the area (eg if there are only centers

all demand goes to centers)

Source Brion Economics Inc

Prepared by Brion Economics Inc 2513-SMC NA Final Tables 61216 6122016

DRAFT REPORT

Table C-2

Labor Force Participation Rates by CityArea

San Mateo County Child Care Study - 2016

CityArea

Labor Force

Participation Rate (1)

Atherton

Belmont

Brisbane

Burlingame

Daly CityColma

East Palo Alto

Foster City

Half Moon Bay Region

Hillsborough

Menlo Park

Millbrae

Pacifica

Portola Valley

Redwood City

San Bruno

San Carlos

San Mateo

South Coast

South San Francisco

Woodside

40

77

100

65

74

71

63

69

52

69

62

78

66

69

77

72

71

54

73

56

(1) Labor force participation rates (LFPRs) are for

families with children under age six with two

working parents or a single parent who works Sources American Community Survey 2014 5-Year

Survey Brion Economics Inc

Prepared by Brion Economics Inc 2513-SMC NA Final Tables 61216 6122016

  • 2513-SMC FINAL NA Memo-61216
  • 2513-SMC NA Final Tables 61216
Page 7: Final San Mateo County Child Care Needs … Care...Future C hild Care Demand and Supply in 2025 in Daly City/Colma San Mateo County Child Care Study - 2016 Note: All footnote references

Final Child Care Needs Assessment ndash 2015 and 2025 San Mateo Early Learning Facilities Study

June 12 2016 Page 7 of 9

licensed care in the County based on other studies that have looked at employee demand The analysis assumes one child aged birth to four years old per employee on average Of those children it is assumed that 40 require infant spaces and 60 require preschool spaces This breakdown is based on the current ratio of infants and preschool age children in the County currently It is estimated that there are approximately 4600 children of employees who work in the County that require care Of those 1800 are estimated to be infants and almost 2800 are estimated to be preschool age Demand for SF Airport is included in total demand for South San Francisco and employee demand for the Remainder area is applied to Redwood City

Table 8 presents the same data as Table 7 but for 2025 conditions It is estimated that 5100 employee children from birth to four years old will demand licensed care in the County in 2025 with approximately 2000 requiring infant spaces and 3100 requiring preschool spaces

The surplusshortage and percent of demand met for licensed infant and preschool care by cityarea in 2015 is shown in Table 9 Countywide 56 of infant demand is met and 71 of current preschool demand is met Table 10 shows the same data for 2025 it is estimated that 51 and 65 of demand for infant and preschool spaces respectively will be met These figures assume existing supply and do not account for any new supply that may be built over the next 10 years The communities of Atherton Foster City and South Coast do show some surpluses of child care spaces

The number of current child care providers by type is summarized in Table 11 There are currently 621 family child care homes and 309 licensed and license-exempt centers in San Mateo County

Tables 12 and 13 summarize the shortage of spaces by type (family child care home or center) and by age group (infant or preschool) at 2015 and 2025 These figures are estimated based on the current distribution of space by type of providers on a pro rata basis For example if a community has 60 of its infant spaces in family child care homes and 40 in centers the current shortage of spaces is distributed at that same ratio If there is a shortage of 100 infant spaces it would be assumed that 60 new infant spaces at family child care homes and 40 center spaces would be needed

Table A-1 shows a summary of current 2015 supply and demand countywide and Tables A-2 through A-21 estimate supply and demand by cityarea Tables B-1 through B-21 show the summary of future demand compared to existing supply at 2025 Table C-1 has the endnotes for all of the A and B Tables and Table C-2 summarizes labor force participation rates by cityarea

Prepared by Brion Economics Inc Final Report

Final Child Care Needs Assessment ndash 2015 and 2025 San Mateo Early Learning Facilities Study

June 12 2016 Page 8 of 9

APPENDIX TABLES Table Index Appendix A Child Care Needs Assessment (Supply and Demand) as of 2015 and 2015 San Mateo County Child Care Study - 2016 Table Table Name

Table 1 Population Summary Table for 2010 2015 and 2025 Table 2 Population Growth by City 2015 and 2025 from ABAG Table 3 Population by Age Group by City 2015 and 2025 Table 4 Employment Growth and Employee Residence by City 2015 and 2025 Table 5 Child Care Supply Summary Table for 2015 Table 6 Child Care Demand Summary Table for 2015 and 2025 Table 7 Employee Demand Summary Table for 2015 Table 8 Employee Demand Summary Table for 2025 Table 9 Summary of Demand Met by Existing Facilities in Each Community at 2015 Table 10 Summary of Demand Met by Existing Facilities in Each Community at 2025 Table 11 Number of Child Care Providers by City in 2015 Table 12 Summary of Shortage of Child Care Center Spaces by Age - 2015 Table 13 Summary of Shortage of Child Care Center Spaces by Age - 2025

Existing Conditions - 2015 Table A-1 Existing Child Care Demand and Supply in 2015 Countywide Table A-2 Existing Child Care Demand and Supply in 2015 in Atherton Table A-3 Existing Child Care Demand and Supply in 2015 in Belmont Table A-4 Existing Child Care Demand and Supply in 2015 in Brisbane Table A-5 Existing Child Care Demand and Supply in 2015 in Burlingame Table A-6 Existing Child Care Demand and Supply in 2015 in Daly CityColma Table A-7 Existing Child Care Demand and Supply in 2015 in East Palo Alto Table A-8 Existing Child Care Demand and Supply in 2015 in Foster City Table A-9 Existing Child Care Demand and Supply in 2015 in Half Moon Bay Region Table A-10 Existing Child Care Demand and Supply in 2015 in Hillsborough Table A-11 Existing Child Care Demand and Supply in 2015 in Menlo Park Table A-12 Existing Child Care Demand and Supply in 2015 in Millbrae Table A-13 Existing Child Care Demand and Supply in 2015 in Pacifica Table A-14 Existing Child Care Demand and Supply in 2015 in Portola Valley Table A-15 Existing Child Care Demand and Supply in 2015 in Redwood City Table A-16 Existing Child Care Demand and Supply in 2015 in San Bruno Table A-17 Existing Child Care Demand and Supply in 2015 in San Carlos Table A-18 Existing Child Care Demand and Supply in 2015 in San Mateo Table A-19 Existing Child Care Demand and Supply in 2015 in South Coast Table A-20 Existing Child Care Demand and Supply in 2015 in South San Francisco Table A-21 Existing Child Care Demand and Supply in 2015 in Woodside Continued

Prepared by Brion Economics Inc Final Report

Final Child Care Needs Assessment ndash 2015 and 2025 San Mateo Early Learning Facilities Study

June 12 2016 Page 9 of 9

Future Conditions - 2025 Table B-1 Future Child Care Demand and Supply in 2025 Countywide Table B-2 Future Child Care Demand and Supply in 2025 in Atherton Table B-3 Future Child Care Demand and Supply in 2025 in Belmont Table B-4 Future Child Care Demand and Supply in 2025 in Brisbane Table B-5 Future Child Care Demand and Supply in 2025 in Burlingame Table B-6 Future Child Care Demand and Supply in 2025 in Daly CityColma Table B-7 Future Child Care Demand and Supply in 2025 in East Palo Alto Table B-8 Future Child Care Demand and Supply in 2025 in Foster City Table B-9 Future Child Care Demand and Supply in 2025 in Half Moon Bay Region Table B-10 Future Child Care Demand and Supply in 2025 in Hillsborough Table B-11 Future Child Care Demand and Supply in 2025 in Menlo Park Table B-12 Future Child Care Demand and Supply in 2025 in Millbrae Table B-13 Future Child Care Demand and Supply in 2025 in Pacifica Table B-14 Future Child Care Demand and Supply in 2025 in Portola Valley Table B-15 Future Child Care Demand and Supply in 2025 in Redwood City Table B-16 Future Child Care Demand and Supply in 2025 in San Bruno Table B-17 Future Child Care Demand and Supply in 2025 in San Carlos Table B-18 Future Child Care Demand and Supply in 2025 in San Mateo Table B-19 Future Child Care Demand and Supply in 2025 in South Coast Table B-20 Future Child Care Demand and Supply in 2025 in South San Francisco Table B-21 Future Child Care Demand and Supply in 2025 in Woodside

Table C-1 Endnotes for Tables Table C-2 Labor Force Participation Rates by CityArea

Source Brion Economics Inc

Prepared by Brion Economics Inc Final Report

2010 Population 2010 Population 2015 Population

CityArea (Census) (ABAG) (ABAG)

Atherton 6914 6914 7100

Belmont 25835 25995 26600

Brisbane 4282 4282 4400

Burlingame 28806 29873 31300

Daly CityColma 102915 108167 111200

East Palo Alto 28155 28155 29200

Foster City 30567 30567 31000

Half Moon Bay Region (1) 22803 21956 22329

Hillsborough 10825 10825 11000

Menlo Park (2) 32026 36816 40850

Millbrae 21532 21532 22800

Pacifica 37234 37234 37600

Portola Valley 4353 6432 6500

Redwood City (2) 76815 100509 109350

San Bruno 41114 41114 43500

San Carlos 28406 30015 30800

San Mateo 97207 101234 105600

South Coast (3) 1684 847 871

South San Francisco 63632 63803 67400

Woodside 5287 5933 6000

Total 670392 712203 745400

FINAL

Table 1

Population Summary Table for 2010 2015 and 2025

San Mateo County Child Care Study - 2016

(1) Half Moon Bay Region includes the City of Half Moon Bay El Granada Montara

and Moss Beach

(2) ABAG Projections have 6300 people listed as Remainder population this

amount is divided equally between Menlo Park and Redwood City given that

they are surrounded by unincorporated areas

(3) South Coast includes La Honda Loma Mar and Pescadero

Sources 2010 US Census ABAG Projections 2013 Brion Economics Inc

Prepared by Brion Economics Inc 2513-SMC NA Final Tables 61216 6122016

CityArea

Population

at 2015

Population

at 2025

CHANGE 2015 to 2025

2015 to

2025 Change

Atherton

Belmont

Brisbane

Burlingame

Daly CityColma

East Palo Alto

Foster City

Half Moon Bay Region (1)

Hillsborough

Menlo Park (2)

Millbrae

Pacifica

Portola Valley

Redwood City (2)

San Bruno

San Carlos

San Mateo

South Coast (3)

South San Francisco

Woodside

Total by Age

7100

26600

4400

31300

111200

29200

31000

22329

11000

40850

22800

37600

6500

109350

43500

30800

105600

871

67400

6000

7400

27900

4600

34300

118000

32400

32300

24140

11400

42750

25600

39000

6700

121350

48400

32600

114600

960

75000

6200

300

1300

200

3000

6800

3200

1300

1811

400

1900

2800

1400

200

12000

4900

1800

9000

89

7600

200

42

49

45

96

61

110

42

81

36

47

123

37

31

110

113

58

85

102

113

33

745400 805600 60200 81 I I I I

FINAL

Table 2

Population Growth by City 2015 and 2025 from ABAG

San Mateo County Child Care Study - 2016

(1) Half Moon Bay Region includes the City of Half Moon Bay El Granada

Montara and Moss Beach

(2) ABAG Projections have 6300 people listed as Remainder population this

amount is divided equally between Menlo Park and Redwood City given that

they are surrounded by unincorporated areas

(3) South Coast includes La Honda Loma Mar and Pescadero

Sources 2010 US Census ABAG Projections 2013 Brion Economics Inc

Prepared by Brion Economics Inc 2513-SMC NA Final Tables 61216 6122016

2015 2025 CHANGE 2015 to 2025

Children 4 and Under

Under 2 2 to 4 as of Total Under 2 2 to 4 Under 2 2 to 4

CityArea Years Old Year Olds Total Population Years Old Year Olds Total Years Old Year Olds Total

Atherton 105 185 290 41 109 193 302 4 8 12

Belmont 708 1045 1753 66 743 1095 1838 35 50 85

Brisbane 125 166 292 66 131 174 305 6 8 13

Burlingame 824 1216 2040 65 903 1332 2235 79 117 195

Daly CityColma 2495 3575 6070 55 2647 3793 6440 153 218 370

East Palo Alto 1046 1667 2713 93 1161 1849 3010 115 183 297

Foster City 836 1277 2113 68 871 1330 2201 35 54 89

Half Moon Bay Region (1) 511 860 1371 61 553 929 1482 41 70 111

Hillsborough 138 331 469 43 143 343 487 5 12 17

Menlo Park (2) 1170 1723 2893 71 1327 1954 3281 157 231 388

Millbrae 421 717 1138 50 473 805 1278 52 88 140

Pacifica 787 1253 2040 54 816 1300 2116 29 47 76

Portola Valley 75 187 261 40 77 192 269 2 6 8

Redwood City (2) 3260 4706 7966 73 3725 5378 9103 465 671 1136

San Bruno 1069 1553 2622 60 1189 1728 2917 120 175 295

San Carlos 735 1308 2043 66 778 1384 2162 43 76 119

San Mateo 2943 4213 7156 68 3194 4572 7766 251 359 610

South Coast (3) 21 29 50 57 23 32 55 2 3 5

South San Francisco 1649 2507 4156 62 1835 2790 4625 186 283 469

Woodside 90 160 250 42 93 165 258 3 5 8

Total by Age 19008 28678 47686 64 20790 31340 52130 1783 2662 4444

FINAL

Table 3

Population by Age Group by City 2015 and 2025

San Mateo County Child Care Study - 2016

(1) Half Moon Bay Region includes the City of Half Moon Bay El Granada Montara and Moss Beach

(2) ABAG Projections have 6300 people listed as Remainder population this amount is divided equally between Menlo Park and Redwood City given that they

are surrounded by unincorporated areas

(3) South Coast includes La Honda Loma Mar and Pescadero

Sources 2010 US Census ABAG Projections 2013 Brion Economics Inc

Prepared by Brion Economics Inc 2513-SMC NA Final Tables 61216 6122016

CHANGE 2015 to 2025 2015 2025

Percent that Work Employees that Percent that Work Employees that

Jobs at Jobs at in City and Live Work in City and in City and Live Work in City and

CityArea 2015 2025 2015 to 2025 Change Outside Co Live Outside Co Outside Co Live Outside Co

Atherton 2730 2920 190 70 360 983 360 1051

Belmont 9540 10430 890 93 298 2843 298 3108

Brisbane 7320 7790 470 64 590 4316 590 4593

Burlingame 32040 35250 3210 100 365 11680 365 12850

Daly CityColma 26110 28540 2430 93 404 10540 404 11521

East Palo Alto 2920 3310 390 134 508 1485 508 1683

Foster City 14810 16190 1380 93 412 6108 412 6677

Half Moon Bay Region (1) 7830 8410 580 74 135 1060 135 1138

Hillsborough 1950 2080 130 67 280 546 280 583

Menlo Park 31920 34390 2470 77 576 18390 576 19813

Millbrae 7480 8370 890 119 308 2304 308 2578

Pacifica 6210 6650 440 71 242 1504 242 1611

Portola Valley 2060 2200 140 68 334 689 334 736

Redwood City 71460 80430 8970 126 480 34317 480 38624

San Bruno 13800 15390 1590 115 370 5106 370 5695

San Carlos 18100 19650 1550 86 348 6295 348 6834

San Mateo 58680 66400 7720 132 329 19314 329 21855

South Coast (2) 0 0 0 00 149 0 149 0

South San Francisco 47380 51760 4380 92 467 22128 467 24173

Woodside 2520 2660 140 56 281 708 281 747

SF Airport (3) 7870 8960 1090 139 467 3676 467 4185

Remainder (3) 2210 2460 250 113 135 299 135 333

Total Employment 374940 414240 39300 105 412 154289 411 170387

FINAL

Table 4

Employment Growth and Employee Residence by City 2015 and 2025

San Mateo County Child Care Study - 2016

Note This analysis uses the published projections prepared by ABAG from ldquoProjections 2013rdquo and the cities including their sphere of influence or SOI This is done for consistency purposes While individual cities may be planning for additional growth not included in ABAGrsquos forecast (such as Menlo Park and East Palo Alto) it was decided that the consistency of using one data source was more important Thus these estimates could be considered

conservative

(1) For employment Half Moon Bay Region includes all of the City of Half Moon Bay and Unincorporated Half Moon Bay as defined by ABAG

(2) No data on employment is available through ABAG for the South Coast area

(3) SF Airport and Remainder are groupings by ABAG We listed them separately as SF Airport has no residential population

Sources ABAG Projections 2013 Brion Economics Inc

Prepared by Brion Economics Inc 2513-SMC NA Final Tables 61216 6122016

Under 2 2 to 4 Year Total CityArea as of

CityArea Years Old Olds Supply Total Supply

Atherton 29 273 302 13

Belmont 106 615 722 31

Brisbane 4 69 73 03

Burlingame 119 965 1085 47

Daly CityColma 372 1626 1997 87

East Palo Alto 110 739 849 37

Foster City 206 1349 1555 68

Half Moon Bay Region (1) 131 406 536 23

Hillsborough 5 97 102 04

Menlo Park (2) 149 1427 1576 69

Millbrae 62 454 517 22

Pacifica 116 798 914 40

Portola Valley 0 153 153 07

Redwood City (2) 752 2533 3285 143

San Bruno 148 1336 1484 65

San Carlos 149 707 855 37

San Mateo 701 3196 3897 169

South Coast (3) 0 54 54 02

South San Francisco 652 2283 2935 128

Woodside 4 108 112 05

Total 3815 19189 23003 1000

FINAL

Table 5

Child Care Supply Summary Table for 2015

San Mateo County Child Care Study - 2016

Note Totals may be off slightly due to rounding

(1) Half Moon Bay Region includes the City of Half Moon Bay El Granada Montara

and Moss Beach

(2) ABAG Projections have 6300 people listed as Remainder population this

amount is divided equally between Menlo Park and Redwood City given that

they are surrounded by unincorporated areas

(3) South Coast includes La Honda Loma Mar and Pescadero

Sources Child Care Coordinating Council of San Mateo County (4Cs) Community

Care Licensing Brion Economics Inc

Prepared by Brion Economics Inc 2513-SMC NA Final Tables 61216 6122016

2015 2025

CityArea as CityArea as

Under 2 2 to 4 Year Total of Total Under 2 2 to 4 Total of Total

CityArea Years Old Olds Demand Demand Years Old Year Olds Demand Demand

Atherton 27 165 192 06 29 173 201 05

Belmont 237 950 1187 35 250 999 1249 34

Brisbane 98 231 329 10 103 243 346 09

Burlingame 338 1236 1574 47 371 1356 1726 47

Daly CityColma 811 3237 4048 120 865 3441 4306 116

East Palo Alto 292 1419 1711 51 324 1575 1900 51

Foster City 268 1145 1414 42 283 1199 1483 40

Half Moon Bay Region (1) 144 742 885 26 155 802 957 26

Hillsborough 33 282 315 09 34 292 327 09

Menlo Park (2) 516 1790 2306 68 573 2011 2584 70

Millbrae 124 640 764 23 139 718 857 23

Pacifica 244 1117 1360 40 254 1159 1413 38

Portola Valley 26 171 198 06 28 177 204 06

Redwood City (2) 1241 4567 5808 172 1411 5208 6619 179

San Bruno 364 1418 1782 53 405 1578 1983 54

San Carlos 270 1222 1492 44 288 1297 1585 43

San Mateo 1003 3886 4889 145 1099 4233 5332 144

South Coast (3) 4 23 28 01 5 26 30 01

South San Francisco 755 2588 3343 99 835 2874 3709 100

Woodside 27 141 168 05 28 146 174 05

Total 6821 26971 33792 1000 7478 29506 36984 1000

FINAL

Table 6

Child Care Demand Summary Table for 2015 and 2025

San Mateo County Child Care Study - 2016

(1) Half Moon Bay Region includes the City of Half Moon Bay El Granada Montara and Moss Beach

(2) ABAG Projections have 6300 people listed as Remainder population this amount is divided equally between Menlo Park

and Redwood City given that they are surrounded by unincorporated areas

(3) South Coast includes La Honda Loma Mar and Pescadero

Sources 2010 US Census ABAG Projections 2013 Brion Economics Inc

Prepared by Brion Economics Inc 2513-SMC NA Final Tables 61216 6122016

No of Non- No of Employee

Resident No of 0 to 2 No of 3 to 4 Children Needing

CityArea Assumptions Employees Year Olds Year Olds Licensed Care

Estimated Percent of Employees

Needing Licensed Care (1) 300 40 60 100

Atherton 983 12 18 29

Belmont 2843 34 51 85

Brisbane 4316 52 78 129

Burlingame 11680 140 211 350

Daly CityColma 10540 126 190 316

East Palo Alto 1485 18 27 45

Foster City 6108 73 110 183

Half Moon Bay Region (2) 1060 13 19 32

Hillsborough 546 7 10 16

Menlo Park 18390 220 332 552

Millbrae 2304 28 42 69

Pacifica 1504 18 27 45

Portola Valley 689 8 12 21

Redwood City 34317 410 619 1029

San Bruno 5106 61 92 153

San Carlos 6295 75 114 189

San Mateo 19314 231 348 579

South Coast (3) 0 0 0 0

South San Francisco 22128 265 399 664

Woodside 708 8 13 21

SF Airport (4) 3676 44 66 110

Remainder (4) 299 4 5 9

Total Countywide 154289 1845 2784 4629

FINAL

Table 7

Employee Demand Summary Table for 2015

San Mateo County Child Care Study - 2016

Note Totals may be off slightly due to rounding

(1) We are assuming 3 of employees children require licensed care the breakdown of demand for infant and

preschool spaces is based on the percentage of infants and preschoolers who currently reside in San Mateo

County

(2) Half Moon Bay Region includes the City of Half Moon Bay El Granada Montara and Moss Beach

(3) South Coast includes La Honda Loma Mar and Pescadero

(4) SF Airport and Remainder are groupings by ABAG For employment SF Airport demand is attributed to South San

Francisco and Remainder demand is included with Redwood City

Sources 2010 US Census ABAG Projections 2013 2014 5-Year American Community Survey Journey-To-Work Data

Brion Economics Inc

Prepared by Brion Economics Inc 2513-SMC NA Final Tables 61216 6122016

No of Non- No of Employee

Resident No of 0 to 2 No of 3 to 4 Children Needing

CityArea Assumptions Employees Year Olds Year Olds Licensed Care

Estimated Percent of Employees

Needing Licensed Care (1) 300 40 60 100

Atherton 1051 13 19 32

Belmont 3108 37 56 93

Brisbane 4593 55 83 138

Burlingame 12850 154 232 385

Daly CityColma 11521 138 208 346

East Palo Alto 1683 20 30 50

Foster City 6677 80 120 200

Half Moon Bay Region (2) 1138 14 21 34

Hillsborough 583 7 11 17

Menlo Park 19813 237 357 594

Millbrae 2578 31 47 77

Pacifica 1611 19 29 48

Portola Valley 736 9 13 22

Redwood City 38624 462 697 1159

San Bruno 5695 68 103 171

San Carlos 6834 82 123 205

San Mateo 21855 261 394 656

South Coast (3) 0 0 0 0

South San Francisco 24173 289 436 725

Woodside 747 9 13 22

SF Airport (4) 4185 50 75 126

Remainder (4) 333 4 6 10

Total Countywide 170387 2037 3074 5112

FINAL

Table 8

Employee Demand Summary Table for 2025

San Mateo County Child Care Study - 2016

Note Totals may be off slightly due to rounding

(1) We are assuming 3 of employees children require licensed care the breakdown of demand for infant and

preschool spaces is based on the percentage of infants and preschoolers who currently reside in San Mateo County

(2) Half Moon Bay Region includes the City of Half Moon Bay El Granada Montara and Moss Beach

(3) South Coast includes La Honda Loma Mar and Pescadero

(4) SF Airport and Remainder are groupings by ABAG For employment SF Airport demand is attributed to South San

Francisco and Remainder demand is included with Redwood City

Sources 2010 US Census ABAG Projections 2013 2014 5-Year American Community Survey Journey-To-Work Data

Brion Economics Inc

Prepared by Brion Economics Inc 2513-SMC NA Final Tables 61216 6122016

2015

Surplus(Shortage) of Infant Surplus(Shortage) of Preschool Total Total

CityArea of Infant Spaces Demand Met of Preschool Spaces Demand Met Surplus(Shortage) Demand Met

Atherton 2 107 108 165 110 157

Belmont (130) 45 (335) 65 (465) 61

Brisbane (94) 4 (162) 30 (255) 22

Burlingame (219) 35 (271) 78 (489) 69

Daly CityColma (439) 46 (1612) 50 (2051) 49

East Palo Alto (182) 38 (680) 52 (862) 50

Foster City (62) 77 203 118 141 110

Half Moon Bay Region (1) (13) 91 (336) 55 (349) 61

Hillsborough (28) 15 (185) 34 (213) 32

Menlo Park (2) (367) 29 (363) 80 (730) 68

Millbrae (61) 50 (186) 71 (247) 0

Pacifica (128) 48 (319) 71 (447) 67

Portola Valley (26) 0 (18) 89 (45) 77

Redwood City (2) (490) 61 (2034) 55 (2524) 57

San Bruno (216) 41 (82) 94 (298) 83

San Carlos (121) 55 (516) 58 (637) 57

San Mateo (302) 70 (690) 82 (992) 80

South Coast (3) (4) 0 31 230 26 195

South San Francisco (103) 86 (306) 88 (408) 88

Woodside (23) 16 (33) 77 (55) 67

Countywide (3006) 56 (7783) 71 (10789) 68

FINAL

Table 9

Summary of Demand Met by Existing Facilities in Each Community at 2015

San Mateo County Child Care Study - 2016

Note Totals may be off slightly due to rounding

(1) Half Moon Bay Region includes the City of Half Moon Bay El Granada Montara and Moss Beach

(2) ABAG Projections have 6300 people listed as Remainder population this amount is divided equally between Menlo Park and Redwood

City given that they are surrounded by unincorporated areas

(3) South Coast includes La Honda Loma Mar and Pescadero

Sources 2010 US Census ABAG Projections 2013 Brion Economics Inc

Prepared by Brion Economics Inc 2513-SMC NA Final Tables 61216 6122016

2025

Surplus(Shortage) of Infant Surplus(Shortage) of Preschool Total Total

CityArea of Infant Spaces Demand Met of Preschool Spaces Demand Met Surplus(Shortage) Demand Met

Atherton 0 101 101 158 101 150

Belmont (143) 43 (384) 62 (527) 58

Brisbane (99) 4 (174) 29 (273) 21

Burlingame (252) 32 (390) 71 (642) 63

Daly CityColma (493) 43 (1816) 47 (2308) 46

East Palo Alto (215) 34 (836) 47 (1050) 45

Foster City (77) 73 150 112 73 105

Half Moon Bay Region (1) (24) 84 (396) 51 (421) 56

Hillsborough (29) 14 (195) 33 (225) 31

Menlo Park (2) (424) 26 (584) 71 (1008) 61

Millbrae (76) 45 (264) 63 (340) 60

Pacifica (138) 46 (361) 69 (499) 65

Portola Valley (28) 0 (24) 87 (51) 75

Redwood City (2) (660) 53 (2674) 49 (3334) 50

San Bruno (257) 37 (242) 85 (499) 75

San Carlos (139) 52 (590) 54 (729) 54

San Mateo (398) 64 (1037) 75 (1435) 73

South Coast (3) (5) 0 28 209 24 177

South San Francisco (183) 78 (591) 79 (775) 79

Woodside (24) 15 (38) 74 (61) 65

Countywide (3663) 51 (10318) 65 (13981) 62

FINAL

Table 10

Summary of Demand Met by Existing Facilities in Each Community at 2025

San Mateo County Child Care Study - 2016

Note Totals may be off slightly due to rounding

(1) Half Moon Bay Region includes the City of Half Moon Bay El Granada Montara and Moss Beach

(2) ABAG Projections have 6300 people listed as Remainder population this amount is divided equally between Menlo Park and Redwood

City given that they are surrounded by unincorporated areas

(3) South Coast includes La Honda Loma Mar and Pescadero

Sources 2010 US Census ABAG Projections 2013 Brion Economics Inc

Prepared by Brion Economics Inc 2513-SMC NA Final Tables 61216 6122016

Table 11

Number of Child Care Providers by City in 2015

San Mateo County Child Care Study - 2016

Family Child Licensed

CityArea Care Homes Centers Total

Atherton 1 6 7

Belmont 18 9 27

Brisbane 1 1 2

Burlingame 21 14 35

Daly CityColma 85 28 113

East Palo Alto 21 6 27

Foster City 29 12 41

Half Moon Bay Region (1) 28 11 39

Hillsborough 1 4 5

Menlo Park (2) 18 25 43

Millbrae 17 7 24

Pacifica 21 18 39

Portola Valley 0 4 4

Redwood City (2) 111 45 156

San Bruno 34 15 49

San Carlos 20 14 34

San Mateo 126 59 185

South Coast (3) 0 2 2

South San Francisco 68 27 95

Woodside 1 2 3

Countywide 621 309 930

FINAL

(1) Half Moon Bay Region includes the City of Half Moon Bay El Granada

Montara and Moss Beach

(2) ABAG Projections have 6300 people listed as Remainder population

this amount is divided equally between Menlo Park and Redwood City

given that they are surrounded by unincorporated areas

(3) South Coast includes La Honda Loma Mar and Pescadero

Sources Child Care Coordinating Council of San Mateo County (4Cs)

Community Care Licensing Brion Economics Inc

Prepared by Brion Economics Inc 2513-SMC NA Final Tables 61216 6122016

CityArea

Shortage

Infant

Center

Spaces

Infant care

Percentage

of Shortage

Shortage

Preschool

Center

Spaces

Preschool

Percentage

of Shortage

Total Center-

Based Space

Shortage

Atherton

Belmont

Brisbane

Burlingame

Daly CityColma

East Palo Alto

Foster City

Half Moon Bay Region

Hillsborough

Menlo Park

Millbrae

Pacifica

Portola Valley

Redwood City

San Bruno

San Carlos

San Mateo

South Coast

South San Francisco

Woodside

Countywide

NA

(48)

NA

(73)

(99)

(42)

(27)

(3)

NA

(180)

0

(43)

(26)

(232)

(38)

(62)

(90)

(2)

(63)

NA

NA

14

NA

23

7

7

100

1

NA

35

0

13

59

12

34

12

14

NA

19

NA

NA

(289)

(149)

(243)

(1253)

(582)

NA

(236)

(173)

(338)

(154)

(280)

(18)

(1635)

(73)

(449)

(557)

NA

(263)

(31)

NA

86

100

77

93

93

NA

99

100

65

100

87

41

88

66

88

86

NA

81

100

NA

(337)

(149)

(316)

(1352)

(623)

(27)

(240)

(173)

(518)

(154)

(323)

(45)

(1867)

(110)

(511)

(647)

(2)

(326)

(31)

(1193) 15 (6609) 85 (7802)

FINAL

Table 12

Summary of Shortage of Child Care Center Spaces by Age - 2015

San Mateo County Child Care Study - 2016

Sources Child Care Coordinating Council of San Mateo County (4Cs) Community Care Licensing

Brion Economics Inc

Prepared by Brion Economics Inc 2513-SMC NA Final Tables 61216 6122016

CityArea

Shortage

Infant Center

Spaces

Infant care

Percentage

of Shortage

Shortage

Preschool

Center

Spaces

Preschool

Percentage

of Shortage

Total Center-

Based Space

Shortage

Atherton

Belmont

Brisbane

Burlingame

Daly CityColma

East Palo Alto

Foster City

Half Moon Bay Region

Hillsborough

Menlo Park

Millbrae

Pacifica

Portola Valley

Redwood City

San Bruno

San Carlos

San Mateo

South Coast

South San Francisco

Woodside

Countywide

NA

(53)

NA

(85)

(111)

(49)

(33)

(6)

NA

(207)

0

(46)

(28)

(313)

(45)

(71)

(119)

(5)

(113)

0

NA

14

NA

19

7

6

100

2

NA

28

0

13

54

13

17

12

12

NA

18

NA

NA

(331)

(160)

(350)

(1412)

(715)

NA

(279)

(183)

(544)

(219)

(317)

(24)

(2149)

(214)

(514)

(837)

NA

(509)

(36)

NA

86

100

81

93

94

NA

98

100

72

100

87

46

87

83

88

88

NA

82

100

NA

(384)

(160)

(434)

(1523)

(764)

(33)

(285)

(183)

(752)

(219)

(364)

(51)

(2462)

(259)

(585)

(955)

(5)

(622)

(36)

(1454) 14 (8762) 86 (10216)

FINAL

Table 13

Summary of Shortage of Child Care Center Spaces by Age - 2025

San Mateo County Child Care Study - 2016

Sources Child Care Coordinating Council of San Mateo County (4Cs) Community Care Licensing

Brion Economics Inc

Prepared by Brion Economics Inc 2513-SMC NA Final Tables 61216 6122016

COUNTYWIDE

Child Care as of 2015

No of

Providers

Under 2 Years

Old

2 to 4 Year

Olds

Total 0 to 4

Years

EXISTING DEMAND Child Care Demand

Estimated Total Children

Average LFPRAdjustment Factor

Children With Working Parents

Licensed Care Demand Factor

Resident Children Needing Licensed Care

of Total Resident Children Needing Licensed Care

Children from Non-Resident Employees Needing

Licensed Care

Total Demand for Child Care Spaces

Distribution

EXISTING SUPPLY

(1)

(2)

(3)

(4)

19008 28678

71

13449 25720

37

4976 24188

26 84

1845 2784

6821 26971

20 80

Child Care Spaces

47686

39169

86

29164

61

4629

33792

100

Family Child Care Home Supply

Child Care Center Supply

Current Child Care Supply

Distribution

EXISTING SURPLUS(SHORTAGE)

Distribution

Percentage of Demand Met

by Existing FacilitiesSpaces

Shortage of Family Child Care Home Spaces

Shortage of Center-Based Spaces

(5)

(6)

(6)

621

309 -930

2301 2893

1514 16296 - -3815 19189

17 83

(3006) (7783)

28 72

56 71

(1813) (1173)

(1193) (6609)

5193

17810 -23003

100

(10789)

100

68

(2986)

(7802)

FINAL

Table A-1

Existing Child Care Demand and Supply in 2015 Countywide

San Mateo County Child Care Study - 2016

Note All footnote references can be found in Table C-1 at the end of this file

Sources 2010 US Census ABAG Projections 2013 2014 American Community Survey ACS Journey-to-Work data 2006-2008 and 2006-2010

Child Care Coordinating Council of San Mateo County (4Cs) Community Care Licensing Brion Economics Inc

Prepared by Brion Economics Inc 2513-SMC NA Final Tables 61216 6122016

ATHERTON

Child Care as of 2015

No of

Providers

Under 2 Years

Old

2 to 4 Year

Olds

Total 0 to 4

Years

EXISTING DEMAND Child Care Demand

Estimated Total Children

Average LFPRAdjustment Factor

Children With Working Parents

Licensed Care Demand Factor

Resident Children Needing Licensed Care

of Total Resident Children Needing Licensed Care

Children from Non-Resident Employees Needing

Licensed Care

(1)

(2)

(3)

105 185

40

42 153

37

15 147

15 80

12 18

290

194

84

163

56

29

Total Demand for Child Care Spaces

Distribution

EXISTING SUPPLY (4)

27 165

14 86

Child Care Spaces

192

100

Family Child Care Home Supply

Child Care Center Supply

Current Child Care Supply

Distribution

EXISTING SURPLUS(SHORTAGE)

Distribution

Percentage of Demand Met

by Existing FacilitiesSpaces

Shortage of Family Child Care Home Spaces

Shortage of Center-Based Spaces

(5)

(6)

(6)

1

6

7

5 6

24 267

29 273

10 90

2 108

2 98

107 165

NA NA

NA NA

11

291

302

100

110

100

157

NA

NA

FINAL

Table A-2

Existing Child Care Demand and Supply in 2015 in Atherton

San Mateo Co unty Child Care Study - 2016

Note All footnote references can be found in Table C-1 at the end of this file

Sources 2010 US Census ABAG Projections 2013 2014 American Community Survey ACS Journey-to-Work data 2006-2008 and 2006-2010

Child Care Coordinating Council of San Mateo County (4Cs) Community Care Licensing Brion Economics Inc

Prepared by Brion Economics Inc 2513-SMC NA Final Tables 61216 6122016

BELMONT

Child Care as of 2015

No of

Providers

Under 2 Years

Old

2 to 4 Year

Olds

Total 0 to 4

Years

EXISTING DEMAND Child Care Demand

Estimated Total Children

Average LFPRAdjustment Factor

Children With Working Parents

Licensed Care Demand Factor

Resident Children Needing Licensed Care

of Total Resident Children Needing Licensed Care

Children from Non-Resident Employees Needing

Licensed Care

(1)

(2)

(3)

708 1045

77

548 966

37

203 899

29 86

34 51

1753

1513

73

1102

63

85

Total Demand for Child Care Spaces

Distribution

EXISTING SUPPLY (4)

237 950

20 80

Child Care Spaces

1187

100

Family Child Care Home Supply

Child Care Center Supply

Current Child Care Supply

Distribution

EXISTING SURPLUS(SHORTAGE)

Distribution

Percentage of Demand Met

by Existing FacilitiesSpaces

Shortage of Family Child Care Home Spaces

Shortage of Center-Based Spaces

(5)

(6)

(6)

18

9

27

67 84

39 531

106 615

15 85

(130) (335)

28 72

45 65

(83) (46)

(48) (289)

152

570

722

100

(465)

100

61

(128)

(337)

FINAL

Table A-3

Existing Child Care Demand and Supply in 2015 in Belmont

San Mateo County Child Care Study - 2016

Note All footnote references can be found in Table C-1 at the end of this file Sources 2010 US Census ABAG Projections 2013 2014 American Community Survey ACS Journey-to-Work data 2006-2008 and

2006-2010 Child Care Coordinating Council of San Mateo County (4Cs) Community Care Licensing Brion Economics Inc

Prepared by Brion Economics Inc 2513-SMC NA Final Tables 61216 6122016

FINAL

Table A-4

Existing Child Care Demand and Supply in 2015 in Brisbane

San Mateo County Child Care Study - 2016

BRISBANE

Child Care as of 2015

No of

Providers

Under 2 Years

Old

2 to 4 Year

Olds

Total 0 to 4

Years

EXISTING DEMAND Child Care Demand

Estimated Total Children (1) 125 166 292

Average LFPRAdjustment Factor (2) 100

Children With Working Parents 125 166 292

Licensed Care Demand Factor (3) 37 68

Resident Children Needing Licensed Care 46 153 199

of Total Resident Children Needing Licensed Care 37 92 68

Children from Non-Resident Employees Needing

Licensed Care 52 78 129

Total Demand for Child Care Spaces 98 231 329

Distribution 30 70 100

EXISTING SUPPLY (4) Child Care Spaces

Family Child Care Home Supply 1 4 5 9

Child Care Center Supply 1 - 64 64

Current Child Care Supply 2 4 69 73

Distribution 6 94 100

EXISTING SURPLUS(SHORTAGE) (94) (162) (255)

Distribution 37 63 100

Percentage of Demand Met

by Existing FacilitiesSpaces (5) 4 30 22

Shortage of Family Child Care Home Spaces (6) (94) (12) (106)

Shortage of Center-Based Spaces (6) 0 (149) (149)

Note All footnote references can be found in Table C-1 at the end of this file

Sources 2010 US Census ABAG Projections 2013 2014 American Community Survey ACS Journey-to-Work data 2006-2008 and 2006-2010

Child Care Coordinating Council of San Mateo County (4Cs) Community Care Licensing Brion Economics Inc

Prepared by Brion Economics Inc 2513-SMC NA Final Tables 61216 6122016

BURLINGAME

Child Care as of 2015

No of

Providers

Under 2 Years

Old

2 to 4 Year

Olds

Total 0 to 4

Years

EXISTING DEMAND Child Care Demand

Estimated Total Children

Average LFPRAdjustment Factor

Children With Working Parents

Licensed Care Demand Factor

Resident Children Needing Licensed Care

of Total Resident Children Needing Licensed Care

Children from Non-Resident Employees Needing

Licensed Care

(1)

(2)

(3)

824 1216

65

535 1086

37

198 1025

24 84

140 211

2040

1621

75

1224

60

350

Total Demand for Child Care Spaces

Distribution

EXISTING SUPPLY (4)

338 1236

21 79

Child Care Spaces

1574

100

Family Child Care Home Supply

Child Care Center Supply

Current Child Care Supply

Distribution

EXISTING SURPLUS(SHORTAGE)

Distribution

Percentage of Demand Met

by Existing FacilitiesSpaces

Shortage of Family Child Care Home Spaces

Shortage of Center-Based Spaces

(5)

(6)

(6)

21

14

35

79 99

40 866

119 965

11 89

(219) (271)

45 55

35 78

(145) (28)

(73) (243)

179

906

1085

100

(489)

100

69

(173)

(316)

FINAL

Table A-5

Existing Child Care Demand and Supply in 2015 in Burlingame

San Mateo County Child Care Study - 2016

Note All footnote references can be found in Table C-1 at the end of this file

Sources 2010 US Census ABAG Projections 2013 2014 American Community Survey ACS Journey-to-Work data 2006-2008 and 2006-2010

Child Care Coordinating Council of San Mateo County (4Cs) Community Care Licensing Brion Economics Inc

Prepared by Brion Economics Inc 2513-SMC NA Final Tables 61216 6122016

DALY CITYCOLMA

Child Care as of 2015

No of

Providers

Under 2 Years

Old

2 to 4 Year

Olds

Total 0 to 4

Years

EXISTING DEMAND Child Care Demand

Estimated Total Children

Average LFPRAdjustment Factor

Children With Working Parents

Licensed Care Demand Factor

Resident Children Needing Licensed Care

of Total Resident Children Needing Licensed Care

Children from Non-Resident Employees Needing

Licensed Care

(1)

(2)

(3)

2495 3575

742

1851 3268

37

685 3047

27 85

126 190

6070

5119

73

3732

61

316

Total Demand for Child Care Spaces

Distribution

EXISTING SUPPLY (4)

811 3237

20 80

Child Care Spaces

4048

100

Family Child Care Home Supply

Child Care Center Supply

Current Child Care Supply

Distribution

EXISTING SURPLUS(SHORTAGE)

Distribution

Percentage of Demand Met

by Existing FacilitiesSpaces

Shortage of Family Child Care Home Spaces

Shortage of Center-Based Spaces

(5)

(6)

(6)

85

28

113

288 362

84 1264

372 1626

19 81

(439) (1612)

21 79

46 50

(340) (359)

(99) (1253)

649

1348

1997

100

(2051)

100

49

(698)

(1352)

FINAL

Table A-6

Existing Child Care Demand and Supply in 2015 in Daly CityColma

San Mateo Co unty Child Care Study - 2016

Note All footnote references can be found in Table C-1 at the end of this file

Sources 2010 US Census ABAG Projections 2013 2014 American Community Survey ACS Journey-to-Work data 2006-2008 and 2006-2010

Child Care Coordinating Council of San Mateo County (4Cs) Community Care Licensing Brion Economics Inc

Prepared by Brion Economics Inc 2513-SMC NA Final Tables 61216 6122016

EAST PALO ALTO

Child Care as of 2015

No of

Providers

Under 2 Years

Old

2 to 4 Year

Olds

Total 0 to 4

Years

EXISTING DEMAND Child Care Demand

Estimated Total Children

Average LFPRAdjustment Factor

Children With Working Parents

Licensed Care Demand Factor

Resident Children Needing Licensed Care

of Total Resident Children Needing Licensed Care

Children from Non-Resident Employees Needing

Licensed Care

(1)

(2)

(3)

1046 1667

71

741 1496

37

274 1392

26 84

18 27

2713

2237

75

1666

61

45

Total Demand for Child Care Spaces

Distribution

EXISTING SUPPLY (4)

292 1419

17 83

Child Care Spaces

1711

100

Family Child Care Home Supply

Child Care Center Supply

Current Child Care Supply

Distribution

EXISTING SURPLUS(SHORTAGE)

Distribution

Percentage of Demand Met

by Existing FacilitiesSpaces

Shortage of Family Child Care Home Spaces

Shortage of Center-Based Spaces

(5)

(6)

(6)

21

6

27

85 106

25 633

110 739

13 87

(182) (680)

21 79

38 52

(141) (98)

(42) (582)

191

658

849

100

(862)

100

50

(239)

(623)

FINAL

Table A-7

Existing Child Care Demand and Supply in 2015 in East Palo Alto

San Mateo County Child Care Study - 2016

Note All footnote references can be found in Table C-1 at the end of this file Sources 2010 US Census ABAG Projections 2013 2014 American Community Survey ACS Journey-to-Work data 2006-2008 and 2006-2010

Child Care Coordinating Council of San Mateo County (4Cs) Community Care Licensing Brion Economics Inc

Prepared by Brion Economics Inc 2513-SMC NA Final Tables 61216 6122016

FOSTER CITY

Child Care as of 2015

No of

Providers

Under 2 Years

Old

2 to 4 Year

Olds

Total 0 to 4

Years

EXISTING DEMAND Child Care Demand

Estimated Total Children

Average LFPRAdjustment Factor

Children With Working Parents

Licensed Care Demand Factor

Resident Children Needing Licensed Care

of Total Resident Children Needing Licensed Care

Children from Non-Resident Employees Needing

Licensed Care

(1)

(2)

(3)

836 1277

63

528 1108

37

195 1035

23 81

73 110

2113

1636

75

1231

58

183

Total Demand for Child Care Spaces

Distribution

EXISTING SUPPLY (4)

268 1145

19 81

Child Care Spaces

1414

100

Family Child Care Home Supply

Child Care Center Supply

Current Child Care Supply

Distribution

EXISTING SURPLUS(SHORTAGE)

Distribution

Percentage of Demand Met

by Existing FacilitiesSpaces

Shortage of Family Child Care Home Spaces

Shortage of Center-Based Spaces

(5)

(6)

(6)

29

12

41

118 149

88 1200

206 1349

13 87

(62) 203

NA NA

77 118

(36) NA

(27) NA

267

1288

1555

100

141

NA

110

(36)

(27)

FINAL

Table A-8

Existing Child Care Demand and Supply in 2015 in Foster City

San Mateo County Child Care Study - 2016

Note All footnote references can be found in Table C-1 at the end of this file

Sources 2010 US Census ABAG Projections 2013 2014 American Community Survey ACS Journey-to-Work data 2006-2008 and 2006-2010

Child Care Coordinating Council of San Mateo County (4Cs) Community Care Licensing Brion Economics Inc

Prepared by Brion Economics Inc 2513-SMC NA Final Tables 61216 6122016

HALF MOON BAY REGION

Child Care as of 2015

No of

Providers

Under 2 Years

Old

2 to 4 Year

Olds

Total 0 to 4

Years

EXISTING DEMAND Child Care Demand

Estimated Total Children

Average LFPRAdjustment Factor

Children With Working Parents

Licensed Care Demand Factor

Resident Children Needing Licensed Care

of Total Resident Children Needing Licensed Care

Children from Non-Resident Employees Needing

Licensed Care

(1)

(2)

(3)

511 860

69

354 772

37

131 723

26 84

13 19

1371

1126

76

854

62

32

Total Demand for Child Care Spaces

Distribution

EXISTING SUPPLY (4)

144 742

16 84

Child Care Spaces

885

100

Family Child Care Home Supply

Child Care Center Supply

Current Child Care Supply

Distribution

EXISTING SURPLUS(SHORTAGE)

Distribution

Percentage of Demand Met

by Existing FacilitiesSpaces

Shortage of Family Child Care Home Spaces

Shortage of Center-Based Spaces

(5)

(6)

(6)

28

11

39

96 121

35 285

131 406

24 76

(13) (336)

4 96

91 55

(9) (100)

(3) (236)

216

320

536

100

(349)

100

61

(109)

(240)

FINAL

Table A-9

Existing Child Care Demand and Supply in 2015 in Half Moon Bay Region

San Mateo County Child Care Study - 2016

Note All footnote references can be found in Table C-1 at the end of this file

Sources 2010 US Census ABAG Projections 2013 2014 American Community Survey ACS Journey-to-Work data 2006-2008 and 2006-2010

Child Care Coordinating Council of San Mateo County (4Cs) Community Care Licensing Brion Economics Inc

Prepared by Brion Economics Inc 2513-SMC NA Final Tables 61216 6122016

HILLSBOROUGH

Child Care as of 2015

No of

Providers

Under 2 Years

Old

2 to 4 Year

Olds

Total 0 to 4

Years

EXISTING DEMAND Child Care Demand

Estimated Total Children

Average LFPRAdjustment Factor

Children With Working Parents

Licensed Care Demand Factor

Resident Children Needing Licensed Care

of Total Resident Children Needing Licensed Care

Children from Non-Resident Employees Needing

Licensed Care

(1)

(2)

(3)

138 331

52

71 284

37

26 272

19 82

7 10

469

356

84

298

64

16

Total Demand for Child Care Spaces

Distribution

EXISTING SUPPLY (4)

33 282

10 90

Child Care Spaces

315

100

Family Child Care Home Supply

Child Care Center Supply

Current Child Care Supply

Distribution

EXISTING SURPLUS(SHORTAGE)

Distribution

Percentage of Demand Met

by Existing FacilitiesSpaces

Shortage of Family Child Care Home Spaces

Shortage of Center-Based Spaces

(5)

(6)

(6)

1

4

5

5 6

- 91

5 97

5 95

(28) (185)

13 87

15 34

(28) (12)

0 (173)

11

91

102

100

(213)

100

32

(40)

(173)

FINAL

Table A-10

Existing Child Care Demand and Supply in 2015 in Hillsborough

San Mateo County Child Care Study - 2016

Note All footnote references can be found in Table C-1 at the end of this file Sources 2010 US Census ABAG Projections 2013 2014 American Community Survey ACS Journey-to-Work data 2006-2008 and 2006-2010

Child Care Coordinating Council of San Mateo County (4Cs) Community Care Licensing Brion Economics Inc

Prepared by Brion Economics Inc 2513-SMC NA Final Tables 61216 6122016

MENLO PARK

Child Care as of 2015

No of

Providers

Under 2 Years

Old

2 to 4 Year

Olds

Total 0 to 4

Years

EXISTING DEMAND Child Care Demand

Estimated Total Children

Average LFPRAdjustment Factor

Children With Working Parents

Licensed Care Demand Factor

Resident Children Needing Licensed Care

of Total Resident Children Needing Licensed Care

Children from Non-Resident Employees Needing

Licensed Care

(1)

(2)

(3)

1170 1723

69

802 1551

37

297 1458

25 85

220 332

2893

2353

75

1754

61

552

Total Demand for Child Care Spaces

Distribution

EXISTING SUPPLY (4)

516 1790

22 78

Child Care Spaces

2306

100

Family Child Care Home Supply

Child Care Center Supply

Current Child Care Supply

Distribution

EXISTING SURPLUS(SHORTAGE)

Distribution

Percentage of Demand Met

by Existing FacilitiesSpaces

Shortage of Family Child Care Home Spaces

Shortage of Center-Based Spaces

(5)

(6)

(6)

18

25

43

76 96

73 1331

149 1427

9 91

(367) (363)

50 50

29 80

(188) (24)

(180) (338)

172

1404

1576

100

(730)

100

68

(212)

(518)

FINAL

Table A-11

Existing Child Care Demand and Supply in 2015 in Menlo Park

San Mateo County Child Care Study - 2016

Note All footnote references can be found in Table C-1 at the end of this file Sources 2010 US Census ABAG Projections 2013 2014 American Community Survey ACS Journey-to-Work data 2006-2008 and 2006-2010

Child Care Coordinating Council of San Mateo County (4Cs) Community Care Licensing Brion Economics Inc

Prepared by Brion Economics Inc 2513-SMC NA Final Tables 61216 6122016

MILLBRAE

Child Care as of 2015

No of

Providers

Under 2 Years

Old

2 to 4 Year

Olds

Total 0 to 4

Years

EXISTING DEMAND Child Care Demand

Total Children

Average LFPRAdjustment Factor

Children With Working Parents

Licensed Care Demand Factor

Resident Children Needing Licensed Care

of Total Resident Children Needing Licensed Care

Children from Non-Resident Employees Needing

Licensed Care

(1)

(2)

(3)

421 717

62

260 632

37

96 598

23 83

28 42

1138

892

78

694

61

69

Total Demand for Child Care Spaces

Distribution

EXISTING SUPPLY (4)

124 640

16 84

Child Care Spaces

764

100

Family Child Care Home Supply

Child Care Center Supply

Current Child Care Supply

Distribution

EXISTING SURPLUS(SHORTAGE)

Distribution

Percentage of Demand Met

by Existing FacilitiesSpaces

Shortage of Family Child Care Home Spaces

Shortage of Center-Based Spaces

(5)

(6)

(6)

17

7

24

62 78

- 376

62 454

12 88

(61) (186)

25 75

50 71

(61) (32)

0 (154)

141

376

517

100

(247)

100

68

(93)

(154)

FINAL

Table A-12

Existing Child Care Demand and Supply in 2015 in Millbrae

San Mateo Co unty Child Care Study - 2016

Note All footnote references can be found in Table C-1 at the end of this file

Sources 2010 US Census ABAG Projections 2013 2014 American Community Survey ACS Journey-to-Work data 2006-2008 and 2006-2010

Child Care Coordinating Council of San Mateo County (4Cs) Community Care Licensing Brion Economics Inc

Prepared by Brion Economics Inc 2513-SMC NA Final Tables 61216 6122016

PACIFICA

Child Care as of 2015

No of

Providers

Under 2 Years

Old

2 to 4 Year

Olds

Total 0 to 4

Years

EXISTING DEMAND Child Care Demand

Estimated Total Children

Average LFPRAdjustment Factor

Children With Working Parents

Licensed Care Demand Factor

Resident Children Needing Licensed Care

of Total Resident Children Needing Licensed Care

Children from Non-Resident Employees Needing

Licensed Care

(1)

(2)

(3)

787 1253

78

610 1165

37

226 1089

29 87

18 27

2040

1776

74

1315

64

45

Total Demand for Child Care Spaces

Distribution

EXISTING SUPPLY (4)

244 1117

18 83

Child Care Spaces

1360

100

Family Child Care Home Supply

Child Care Center Supply

Current Child Care Supply

Distribution

EXISTING SURPLUS(SHORTAGE)

Distribution

Percentage of Demand Met

by Existing FacilitiesSpaces

Shortage of Family Child Care Home Spaces

Shortage of Center-Based Spaces

(5)

(6)

(6)

21

18

39

77 97

39 701

116 798

13 87

(128) (319)

29 71

48 71

(85) (39)

(43) (280)

174

740

914

100

(447)

100

67

(124)

(323)

FINAL

Table A-13

Existing Child Care Demand and Supply in 2015 in Pacifica

San Mateo County Child Care Study - 2016

Note All footnote references can be found in Table C-1 at the end of this file Sources 2010 US Census ABAG Projections 2013 2014 American Community Survey ACS Journey-to-Work data 2006-2008 and 2006-2010

Child Care Coordinating Council of San Mateo County (4Cs) Community Care Licensing Brion Economics Inc

Prepared by Brion Economics Inc 2513-SMC NA Final Tables 61216 6122016

PORTOLA VALLEY

No of

Providers

Child Care as of 2015

Under 2 Years

Old

2 to 4 Year

Olds

Total 0 to 4

Years

EXISTING DEMAND Child Care Demand

Estimated Total Children

Average LFPRAdjustment Factor

Children With Working Parents

Licensed Care Demand Factor

Resident Children Needing Licensed Care

of Total Resident Children Needing Licensed Care

Children from Non-Resident Employees Needing

Licensed Care

(1)

(2)

(3)

75 187

66

49 168

37

18 159

24 85

8 12

261

217

82

177

68

21

Total Demand for Child Care Spaces

Distribution

EXISTING SUPPLY (4)

26 171

13 87

Child Care Spaces

198

100

Family Child Care Home Supply

Child Care Center Supply

Current Child Care Supply

Distribution

EXISTING SURPLUS(SHORTAGE)

Distribution

Percentage of Demand Met

by Existing FacilitiesSpaces

Shortage of Family Child Care Home Spaces

Shortage of Center-Based Spaces

(5)

(6)

(6)

0

4

4

0 0

0 153

0 153

0 100

(26) (18)

59 41

0 89

0 0

(26) (18)

0

153

153

100

(45)

100

77

0

(45)

FINAL

Table A-14

Existing Child Care Demand and Supply in 2015 in Portola Valley

San Mateo County Child Care Study - 2016

Note All footnote references can be found in Table C-1 at the end of this file Sources 2010 US Census ABAG Projections 2013 2014 American Community Survey ACS Journey-to-Work data 2006-2008 and 2006-2010

Child Care Coordinating Council of San Mateo County (4Cs) Community Care Licensing Brion Economics Inc

Prepared by Brion Economics Inc 2513-SMC NA Final Tables 61216 6122016

REDWOOD CITY

Child Care as of 2015

No of

Providers

Under 2 Years

Old

2 to 4 Year

Olds

Total 0 to 4

Years

EXISTING DEMAND Child Care Demand

Estimated Total Children

Average LFPRAdjustment Factor

Children With Working Parents

Licensed Care Demand Factor

Resident Children Needing Licensed Care

of Total Resident Children Needing Licensed Care

Children from Non-Resident Employees Needing

Licensed Care

Total Demand for Child Care Spaces

Distribution

EXISTING SUPPLY

(1)

(2)

(3)

(4)

3260 4706

69

2236 4212

37

827 3942

25 84

414 625

1241 4567

21 79

Child Care Spaces

7966

6449

74

4770

60

1038

5808

100

Family Child Care Home Supply

Child Care Center Supply

Current Child Care Supply

Distribution

EXISTING SURPLUS(SHORTAGE)

Distribution

Percentage of Demand Met

by Existing FacilitiesSpaces

Shortage of Family Child Care Home Spaces

Shortage of Center-Based Spaces

(5)

(6)

(6)

111

45

156

396 497

356 2036

752 2533

23 77

(490) (2034)

19 81

61 55

(258) (399)

(232) (1635)

893

2392

3285

100

(2524)

100

57

(657)

(1867)

FINAL

Table A-15

Existing Child Care Demand and Supply in 2015 in Redwood City

San Mateo County Child Care Study - 2016

Note All footnote references can be found in Table C-1 at the end of this file Sources 2010 US Census ABAG Projections 2013 2014 American Community Survey ACS Journey-to-Work data 2006-2008 and 2006-2010

Child Care Coordinating Council of San Mateo County (4Cs) Community Care Licensing Brion Economics Inc

Prepared by Brion Economics Inc 2513-SMC NA Final Tables 61216 6122016

SAN BRUNO

Child Care as of 2015

No of

Providers

Under 2 Years

Old

2 to 4 Year

Olds

Total 0 to 4

Years

EXISTING DEMAND Child Care Demand

Estimated Total Children

Average LFPRAdjustment Factor

Children With Working Parents

Licensed Care Demand Factor

Resident Children Needing Licensed Care

of Total Resident Children Needing Licensed Care

Children from Non-Resident Employees Needing

Licensed Care

(1)

(2)

(3)

1069 1553

77

817 1428

37

302 1326

28 85

61 92

2622

2245

73

1628

62

153

Total Demand for Child Care Spaces

Distribution

EXISTING SUPPLY (4)

364 1418

20 80

Child Care Spaces

1782

100

Family Child Care Home Supply

Child Care Center Supply

Current Child Care Supply

Distribution

EXISTING SURPLUS(SHORTAGE)

Distribution

Percentage of Demand Met

by Existing FacilitiesSpaces

Shortage of Family Child Care Home Spaces

Shortage of Center-Based Spaces

(5)

(6)

(6)

34

15

49

122 153

26 1183

148 1336

10 90

(216) (82)

72 28

41 94

(178) (9)

(38) (73)

275

1209

1484

100

(298)

100

83

(187)

(110)

FINAL

Table A-16

Existing Child Care Demand and Supply in 2015 in San Bruno

San Mateo County Child Care Study - 2016

Note All footnote references can be found in Table C-1 at the end of this file Sources 2010 US Census ABAG Projections 2013 2014 American Community Survey ACS Journey-to-Work data 2006-2008 and 2006-2010

Child Care Coordinating Council of San Mateo County (4Cs) Community Care Licensing Brion Economics Inc

Prepared by Brion Economics Inc 2513-SMC NA Final Tables 61216 6122016

SAN CARLOS

Child Care as of 2015

No of

Providers

Under 2 Years

Old

2 to 4 Year

Olds

Total 0 to 4

Years

EXISTING DEMAND Child Care Demand

Estimated Total Children

Average LFPRAdjustment Factor

Children With Working Parents

Licensed Care Demand Factor

Resident Children Needing Licensed Care

of Total Resident Children Needing Licensed Care

Children from Non-Resident Employees Needing

Licensed Care

(1)

(2)

(3)

735 1308

72

526 1186

37

195 1109

26 85

75 114

2043

1712

76

1304

64

189

Total Demand for Child Care Spaces

Distribution

EXISTING SUPPLY (4)

270 1222

18 82

Child Care Spaces

1492

100

Family Child Care Home Supply

Child Care Center Supply

Current Child Care Supply

Distribution

EXISTING SURPLUS(SHORTAGE)

Distribution

Percentage of Demand Met

by Existing FacilitiesSpaces

Shortage of Family Child Care Home Spaces

Shortage of Center-Based Spaces

(5)

(6)

(6)

20

14

34

73 92

76 615

149 707

17 83

(121) (516)

19 81

55 58

(59) (67)

(62) (449)

164

691

855

100

(637)

100

57

(126)

(511)

FINAL

Table A-17

Existing Child Care Demand and Supply in 2015 in San Carlos

San Mateo County Child Care Study - 2016

Note All footnote references can be found in Table C-1 at the end of this file

Sources 2010 US Census ABAG Projections 2013 2014 American Community Survey ACS Journey-to-Work data 2006-2008 and 2006-2010

Child Care Coordinating Council of San Mateo County (4Cs) Community Care Licensing Brion Economics Inc

Prepared by Brion Economics Inc 2513-SMC NA Final Tables 61216 6122016

SAN MATEO

Child Care as of 2015

No of

Providers

Under 2 Years

Old

2 to 4 Year

Olds

Total 0 to 4

Years

EXISTING DEMAND Child Care Demand

Estimated Total Children

Average LFPRAdjustment Factor

Children With Working Parents

Licensed Care Demand Factor

Resident Children Needing Licensed Care

of Total Resident Children Needing Licensed Care

Children from Non-Resident Employees Needing

Licensed Care

(1)

(2)

(3)

2943 4213

71

2087 3793

37

772 3537

26 84

231 348

7156

5880

73

4309

60

579

Total Demand for Child Care Spaces

Distribution

EXISTING SUPPLY (4)

1003 3886

21 79

Child Care Spaces

4889

100

Family Child Care Home Supply

Child Care Center Supply

Current Child Care Supply

Distribution

EXISTING SURPLUS(SHORTAGE)

Distribution

Percentage of Demand Met

by Existing FacilitiesSpaces

Shortage of Family Child Care Home Spaces

Shortage of Center-Based Spaces

(5)

(6)

(6)

126

59

185

492 619

209 2577

701 3196

18 82

(302) (690)

30 70

70 82

(212) (134)

(90) (557)

1111

2786

3897

100

(992)

100

80

(345)

(647)

FINAL

Table A-18

Existing Child Care Demand and Supply in 2015 in San Mateo

San Mateo County Child Care Study - 2016

Note All footnote references can be found in Table C-1 at the end of this file

Sources 2010 US Census ABAG Projections 2013 2014 American Community Survey ACS Journey-to-Work data 2006-2008 and 2006-2010

Child Care Coordinating Council of San Mateo County (4Cs) Community Care Licensing Brion Economics Inc

Prepared by Brion Economics Inc 2513-SMC NA Final Tables 61216 6122016

SOUTH COAST

Child Care as of 2015

No of

Providers

Under 2 Years

Old

2 to 4 Year

Olds

Total 0 to 4

Years

EXISTING DEMAND Child Care Demand

Estimated Total Children

Average LFPRAdjustment Factor

Children With Working Parents

Licensed Care Demand Factor

Resident Children Needing Licensed Care

of Total Resident Children Needing Licensed Care

Children from Non-Resident Employees Needing

Licensed Care

(1)

(2)

(3)

21 29

54

11 25

37

4 23

20 81

0 0

50

36

77

28

56

0

Total Demand for Child Care Spaces

Distribution

EXISTING SUPPLY (4)

4 23

15 85

Child Care Spaces

28

100

Family Child Care Home Supply

Child Care Center Supply

Current Child Care Supply

Distribution

EXISTING SURPLUS(SHORTAGE)

Distribution

Percentage of Demand Met

by Existing FacilitiesSpaces

Shortage of Family Child Care Home Spaces

Shortage of Center-Based Spaces

(5)

(6)

(6)

-

2

2

- -

- 54

- 54

0 100

(4) 31

-16 116

0 230

(2) NA

(2) NA

0

54

54

100

26

100

195

(2)

(2)

FINAL

Table A-19

Existing Child Care Demand and Supply in 2015 in South Coast

San Mateo County Child Care Study - 2016

Note All footnote references can be found in Table C-1 at the end of this file

Sources 2010 US Census ABAG Projections 2013 2014 American Community Survey ACS Journey-to-Work data 2006-2008 and 2006-2010

Child Care Coordinating Council of San Mateo County (4Cs) Community Care Licensing Brion Economics Inc

Prepared by Brion Economics Inc 2513-SMC NA Final Tables 61216 6122016

SOUTH SAN FRANCISCO

Child Care as of 2015

No of

Providers

Under 2 Years

Old

2 to 4 Year

Olds

Total 0 to 4

Years

EXISTING DEMAND Child Care Demand

Estimated Total Children

Average LFPRAdjustment Factor

Children With Working Parents

Licensed Care Demand Factor

Resident Children Needing Licensed Care

of Total Resident Children Needing Licensed Care

Children from Non-Resident Employees Needing

Licensed Care

(1)

(2)

(3)

1649 2507

73

1206 2278

37

446 2123

27 85

309 466

4156

3484

74

2569

62

774

Total Demand for Child Care Spaces

Distribution

EXISTING SUPPLY (4)

755 2588

23 77

Child Care Spaces

3343

100

Family Child Care Home Supply

Child Care Center Supply

Current Child Care Supply

Distribution

EXISTING SURPLUS(SHORTAGE)

Distribution

Percentage of Demand Met

by Existing FacilitiesSpaces

Shortage of Family Child Care Home Spaces

Shortage of Center-Based Spaces

(5)

(6)

(6)

68

27

95

252 317

400 1966

652 2283

22 78

(103) (306)

25 75

86 88

(40) (42)

(63) (263)

569

2366

2935

100

(408)

100

88

(82)

(326)

FINAL

Table A-20

Existing Child Care Demand and Supply in 2015 in South San Francisco

San Mateo County Child Care Study - 2016

Note All footnote references can be found in Table C-1 at the end of this file Sources 2010 US Census ABAG Projections 2013 2014 American Community Survey ACS Journey-to-Work data 2006-2008 and 2006-2010

Child Care Coordinating Council of San Mateo County (4Cs) Community Care Licensing Brion Economics Inc

Prepared by Brion Economics Inc 2513-SMC NA Final Tables 61216 6122016

WOODSIDE

No of

Providers

Child Care as of 2015

Under 2 Years

Old

2 to 4 Year

Olds

Total 0 to 4

Years

EXISTING DEMAND Child Care Demand

Estimated Total Children

Average LFPRAdjustment Factor

Children With Working Parents

Licensed Care Demand Factor

Resident Children Needing Licensed Care

of Total Resident Children Needing Licensed Care

Children from Non-Resident Employees Needing

Licensed Care

(1)

(2)

(3)

90 160

56

50 136

37

18 128

21 80

8 13

250

186

79

147

59

21

Total Demand for Child Care Spaces

Distribution

EXISTING SUPPLY (4)

27 141

16 84

Child Care Spaces

168

100

Family Child Care Home Supply

Child Care Center Supply

Current Child Care Supply

Distribution

EXISTING SURPLUS(SHORTAGE)

Distribution

Percentage of Demand Met

by Existing FacilitiesSpaces

Shortage of Family Child Care Home Spaces

Shortage of Center-Based Spaces

(5)

(6)

(6)

1

2

3

4 5

0 103

4 108

4 96

(23) (33)

41 59

16 77

(23) (2)

0 (31)

9

103

112

100

(55)

100

67

(24)

(31)

FINAL

Table A-21

Existing Child Care Demand and Supply in 2015 in Woodside

San Mateo County Child Care Study - 2016

Note All footnote references can be found in Table C-1 at the end of this file Sources 2010 US Census ABAG Projections 2013 2014 American Community Survey ACS Journey-to-Work data 2006-2008 and 2006-2010

Child Care Coordinating Council of San Mateo County (4Cs) Community Care Licensing Brion Economics Inc

Prepared by Brion Economics Inc 2513-SMC NA Final Tables 61216 6122016

COUNTYWIDE

Child Care as of 2025

No of

Providers

Under 2 Years

Old

2 to 4 Year

Olds

Total 0 to 4

Years

EXISTING DEMAND Child Care Demand

Estimated Total Children

Average LFPRAdjustment Factor

Children With Working Parents

Licensed Care Demand Factor

Resident Children Needing Licensed Care

of Total Resident Children Needing Licensed Care

Children from Non-Resident Employees Needing

Licensed Care

Total Demand for Child Care Spaces

Distribution

EXISTING SUPPLY

(1)

(2)

(3)

(4)

20790 31340

71

14704 28273

37

5441 26432

26 84

2037 3074

7478 29506

20 80

Child Care Spaces

52130

42978

86

31873

61

5112

36984

100

Family Child Care Home Supply

Child Care Center Supply

Current Child Care Supply

Distribution

EXISTING SURPLUS(SHORTAGE)

Distribution

Percentage of Demand Met

by Existing FacilitiesSpaces

Shortage of Family Child Care Home Spaces

Shortage of Center-Based Spaces

(5)

(6)

(6)

621

309

930

2301 2893

1514 16296

3815 19189

17 83

(3663) (10318)

26 74

51 65

(2209) (1555)

(1454) (8762)

5193

17810

23003

100

(13981)

100

62

(3765)

(10216)

FINAL

Table B-1

Future C hild Care Demand and Supply in 2025 Countywide

San Mateo County Child Care Study - 2016

Note All footnote references can be found in Table C-1 at the end of this file

Sources 2010 US Census ABAG Projections 2013 2014 American Community Survey ACS Journey-to-Work data 2006-2008 and 2006-2010

Child Care Coordinating Council of San Mateo County (4Cs) Community Care Licensing Brion Economics Inc

Prepared by Brion Economics Inc 2513-SMC NA Final Tables 61216 6122016

ATHERTON

No of

Providers

Child Care as of 2025

Under 2 Years

Old

2 to 4 Year

Olds

Total 0 to 4

Years

EXISTING DEMAND Child Care Demand

Estimated Total Children

Average LFPRAdjustment Factor

Children With Working Parents

Licensed Care Demand Factor

Resident Children Needing Licensed Care

of Total Resident Children Needing Licensed Care

Children from Non-Resident Employees Needing

Licensed Care

(1)

(2)

(3)

109 193

40

43 159

37

16 154

15 80

13 19

302

202

84

170

56

32

Total Demand for Child Care Spaces

Distribution

EXISTING SUPPLY (4)

29 173

14 86

Child Care Spaces

201

100

Family Child Care Home Supply

Child Care Center Supply

Current Child Care Supply

Distribution

EXISTING SURPLUS(SHORTAGE)

Distribution

Percentage of Demand Met

by Existing FacilitiesSpaces

Shortage of Family Child Care Home Spaces

Shortage of Center-Based Spaces

(5)

(6)

(6)

1

6

7

5 6

24 267

29 273

10 90

0 101

0 100

101 158

NA NA

NA NA

11

291

302

100

101

100

150

NA

NA

FINAL

Table B-2

Future Child Care Demand and Supply in 2025 in Atherton

San Mateo Co unty Child Care Study - 2016

Note All footnote references can be found in Table C-1 at the end of this file Sources 2010 US Census ABAG Projections 2013 2014 American Community Survey ACS Journey-to-Work data 2006-2008 and 2006-2010

Child Care Coordinating Council of San Mateo County (4Cs) Community Care Licensing Brion Economics Inc

Prepared by Brion Economics Inc 2513-SMC NA Final Tables 61216 6122016

BELMONT

Child Care as of 2025

No of

Providers

Under 2 Years

Old

2 to 4 Year

Olds

Total 0 to 4

Years

EXISTING DEMAND Child Care Demand

Estimated Total Children

Average LFPRAdjustment Factor

Children With Working Parents

Licensed Care Demand Factor

Resident Children Needing Licensed Care

of Total Resident Children Needing Licensed Care

Children from Non-Resident Employees Needing

Licensed Care

(1)

(2)

(3)

743 1095

77

574 1013

37

213 943

29 86

37 56

1838

1587

73

1156

63

93

Total Demand for Child Care Spaces

Distribution

EXISTING SUPPLY (4)

250 999

20 80

Child Care Spaces

1249

100

Family Child Care Home Supply

Child Care Center Supply

Current Child Care Supply

Distribution

EXISTING SURPLUS(SHORTAGE)

Distribution

Percentage of Demand Met

by Existing FacilitiesSpaces

Shortage of Family Child Care Home Spaces

Shortage of Center-Based Spaces

(5)

(6)

(6)

8

9

17

67 84

39 531

106 615

15 85

(143) (384)

27 73

43 62

(91) (53)

(53) (331)

152

570

722

100

(527)

100

58

(143)

(384)

FINAL

Table B-3

Future Child Care Demand and Supply in 2025 in Belmont

San Mateo County Child Care Study - 2016

Note All footnote references can be found in Table C-1 at the end of this file

Sources 2010 US Census ABAG Projections 2013 2014 American Community Survey ACS Journey-to-Work data 2006-2008 and 2006-2010

Child Care Coordinating Council of San Mateo County (4Cs) Community Care Licensing Brion Economics Inc

Prepared by Brion Economics Inc 2513-SMC NA Final Tables 61216 6122016

BRISBANE

Child Care as of 2025

No of

Providers

Under 2 Years

Old

2 to 4 Year

Olds

Total 0 to 4

Years

EXISTING DEMAND Child Care Demand

Estimated Total Children

Average LFPRAdjustment Factor

Children With Working Parents

Licensed Care Demand Factor

Resident Children Needing Licensed Care

of Total Resident Children Needing Licensed Care

Children from Non-Resident Employees Needing

Licensed Care

(1)

(2)

(3)

131 174

100

131 174

37

48 160

37 92

55 83

305

305

68

209

68

138

Total Demand for Child Care Spaces

Distribution

EXISTING SUPPLY (4)

103 243

30 70

Child Care Spaces

346

100

Family Child Care Home Supply

Child Care Center Supply

Current Child Care Supply

Distribution

EXISTING SURPLUS(SHORTAGE)

Distribution

Percentage of Demand Met

by Existing FacilitiesSpaces

Shortage of Family Child Care Home Spaces

Shortage of Center-Based Spaces

(5)

(6)

(6)

1

1

2

4 5

0 64

4 69

6 94

(99) (174)

36 64

4 29

(99) (13)

0 (160)

9

64

73

100

(273)

100

21

(112)

(160)

FINAL

Table B-4

Future Child Care Demand and Supply in 2025 in Brisbane

San Mateo County Child Care Study - 2016

Note All footnote references can be found in Table C-1 at the end of this file Sources 2010 US Census ABAG Projections 2013 2014 American Community Survey ACS Journey-to-Work data 2006-2008 and 2006-2010

Child Care Coordinating Council of San Mateo County (4Cs) Community Care Licensing Brion Economics Inc

Prepared by Brion Economics Inc 2513-SMC NA Final Tables 61216 6122016

BURLINGAME

Child Care as of 2025

No of

Providers

Under 2 Years

Old

2 to 4 Year

Olds

Total 0 to 4

Years

EXISTING DEMAND Child Care Demand

Estimated Total Children

Average LFPRAdjustment Factor

Children With Working Parents

Licensed Care Demand Factor

Resident Children Needing Licensed Care

of Total Resident Children Needing Licensed Care

Children from Non-Resident Employees Needing

Licensed Care

(1)

(2)

(3)

903 1332

65

587 1190

37

217 1124

24 84

154 232

2235

1777

75

1341

60

385

Total Demand for Child Care Spaces

Distribution

EXISTING SUPPLY (4)

371 1356

21 79

Child Care Spaces

1726

100

Family Child Care Home Supply

Child Care Center Supply

Current Child Care Supply

Distribution

EXISTING SURPLUS(SHORTAGE)

Distribution

Percentage of Demand Met

by Existing FacilitiesSpaces

Shortage of Family Child Care Home Spaces

Shortage of Center-Based Spaces

(5)

(6)

(6)

10

14

24

79 99

40 866

119 965

11 89

(252) (390)

39 61

32 71

(167) (40)

(85) (350)

179

906

1085

100

(642)

100

63

(207)

(434)

FINAL

Table B-5

Future Child Care Demand and Supply in 2025 in Burlingame

San Mateo County Child Care Study - 2016

Note All footnote references can be found in Table C-1 at the end of this file

Sources 2010 US Census ABAG Projections 2013 2014 American Community Survey ACS Journey-to-Work data 2006-2008 and 2006-2010

Child Care Coordinating Council of San Mateo County (4Cs) Community Care Licensing Brion Economics Inc

Prepared by Brion Economics Inc 2513-SMC NA Final Tables 61216 6122016

DALY CITYCOLMA

Child Care as of 2025

No of

Providers

Under 2 Years

Old

2 to 4 Year

Olds

Total 0 to 4

Years

EXISTING DEMAND Child Care Demand

Estimated Total Children

Average LFPRAdjustment Factor

Children With Working Parents

Licensed Care Demand Factor

Resident Children Needing Licensed Care

of Total Resident Children Needing Licensed Care

Children from Non-Resident Employees Needing

Licensed Care

(1)

(2)

(3)

2647 3793

74

1964 3467

37

727 3233

27 85

138 208

6440

5432

73

3960

61

346

Total Demand for Child Care Spaces

Distribution

EXISTING SUPPLY (4)

865 3441

20 80

Child Care Spaces

4306

100

Family Child Care Home Supply

Child Care Center Supply

Current Child Care Supply

Distribution

EXISTING SURPLUS(SHORTAGE)

Distribution

Percentage of Demand Met

by Existing FacilitiesSpaces

Shortage of Family Child Care Home Spaces

Shortage of Center-Based Spaces

(5)

(6)

(6)

25

28

28

288 362

84 1264

372 1626

19 81

(493) (1816)

21 79

43 47

(381) (404)

(111) (1412)

649

1348

1997

100

(2308)

100

46

(785)

(1523)

FINAL

Table B-6

Future C hild Care Demand and Supply in 2025 in Daly CityColma

San Mateo County Child Care Study - 2016

Note All footnote references can be found in Table C-1 at the end of this file

Sources 2010 US Census ABAG Projections 2013 2014 American Community Survey ACS Journey-to-Work data 2006-2008 and 2006-2010

Child Care Coordinating Council of San Mateo County (4Cs) Community Care Licensing Brion Economics Inc

Prepared by Brion Economics Inc 2513-SMC NA Final Tables 61216 6122016

EAST PALO ALTO

Child Care as of 2025

No of

Providers

Under 2 Years

Old

2 to 4 Year

Olds

Total 0 to 4

Years

EXISTING DEMAND Child Care Demand

Estimated Total Children

Average LFPRAdjustment Factor

Children With Working Parents

Licensed Care Demand Factor

Resident Children Needing Licensed Care

of Total Resident Children Needing Licensed Care

Children from Non-Resident Employees Needing

Licensed Care

(1)

(2)

(3)

1161 1849

71

822 1660

37

304 1545

26 84

20 30

3010

2482

75

1849

61

50

Total Demand for Child Care Spaces

Distribution

EXISTING SUPPLY (4)

324 1575

17 83

Child Care Spaces

1900

100

Family Child Care Home Supply

Child Care Center Supply

Current Child Care Supply

Distribution

EXISTING SURPLUS(SHORTAGE)

Distribution

Percentage of Demand Met

by Existing FacilitiesSpaces

Shortage of Family Child Care Home Spaces

Shortage of Center-Based Spaces

(5)

(6)

(6)

13

6

19

85 106

25 633

110 739

13 87

(215) (836)

20 80

34 47

(166) (120)

(49) (715)

191

658

849

100

(1050)

100

45

(286)

(764)

FINAL

Table B-7

Future Child Care Demand and Supply in 2025 in East Palo Alto

San Mateo County Child Care Study - 2016

Note All footnote references can be found in Table C-1 at the end of this file

Sources 2010 US Census ABAG Projections 2013 2014 American Community Survey ACS Journey-to-Work data 2006-2008 and 2006-2010

Child Care Coordinating Council of San Mateo County (4Cs) Community Care Licensing Brion Economics Inc

Prepared by Brion Economics Inc 2513-SMC NA Final Tables 61216 6122016

FOSTER CITY

Child Care as of 2025

No of

Providers

Under 2 Years

Old

2 to 4 Year

Olds

Total 0 to 4

Years

EXISTING DEMAND Child Care Demand

Estimated Total Children

Average LFPRAdjustment Factor

Children With Working Parents

Licensed Care Demand Factor

Resident Children Needing Licensed Care

of Total Resident Children Needing Licensed Care

Children from Non-Resident Employees Needing

Licensed Care

(1)

(2)

(3)

871 1330

63

550 1154

37

204 1079

23 81

80 120

2201

1705

75

1282

58

200

Total Demand for Child Care Spaces

Distribution

EXISTING SUPPLY (4)

283 1199

19 81

Child Care Spaces

1483

100

Family Child Care Home Supply

Child Care Center Supply

Current Child Care Supply

Distribution

EXISTING SURPLUS(SHORTAGE)

Distribution

Percentage of Demand Met

by Existing FacilitiesSpaces

Shortage of Family Child Care Home Spaces

Shortage of Center-Based Spaces

(5)

(6)

(6)

19

12

31

118 149

88 1200

206 1349

13 87

(77) 150

-106 206

73 112

(44) NA

(33) NA

267

1288

1555

100

73

100

105

(44)

(33)

FINAL

Table B-8

Future Child Care Demand and Supply in 2025 in Foster City

San Mateo County Child Care Study - 2016

Note All footnote references can be found in Table C-1 at the end of this file

Sources 2010 US Census ABAG Projections 2013 2014 American Community Survey ACS Journey-to-Work data 2006-2008 and 2006-2010

Child Care Coordinating Council of San Mateo County (4Cs) Community Care Licensing Brion Economics Inc

Prepared by Brion Economics Inc 2513-SMC NA Final Tables 61216 6122016

HALF MOON BAY REGION

Child Care as of 2025

No of

Providers

Under 2 Years

Old

2 to 4 Year

Olds

Total 0 to 4

Years

EXISTING DEMAND Child Care Demand

Estimated Total Children

Average LFPRAdjustment Factor

Children With Working Parents

Licensed Care Demand Factor

Resident Children Needing Licensed Care

of Total Resident Children Needing Licensed Care

Children from Non-Resident Employees Needing

Licensed Care

(1)

(2)

(3)

553 929

69

383 835

37

142 781

26 84

14 21

1482

1217

76

923

62

34

Total Demand for Child Care Spaces

Distribution

EXISTING SUPPLY (4)

155 802

16 84

Child Care Spaces

957

100

Family Child Care Home Supply

Child Care Center Supply

Current Child Care Supply

Distribution

EXISTING SURPLUS(SHORTAGE)

Distribution

Percentage of Demand Met

by Existing FacilitiesSpaces

Shortage of Family Child Care Home Spaces

Shortage of Center-Based Spaces

(5)

(6)

(6)

10

11

21

96 121

35 285

131 406

24 76

(24) (396)

6 94

84 51

(18) (118)

(6) (279)

216

320

536

100

(421)

100

56

(136)

(285)

FINAL

Table B-9

Future Child Care Demand and Supply in 2025 in Half Moon Bay Region

San Mateo County Child Care Study - 2016

Note All footnote references can be found in Table C-1 at the end of this file

Sources 2010 US Census ABAG Projections 2013 2014 American Community Survey ACS Journey-to-Work data 2006-2008 and 2006-2010

Child Care Coordinating Council of San Mateo County (4Cs) Community Care Licensing Brion Economics Inc

Prepared by Brion Economics Inc 2513-SMC NA Final Tables 61216 6122016

HILLSBOROUGH

Child Care as of 2025

No of

Providers

Under 2 Years

Old

2 to 4 Year

Olds

Total 0 to 4

Years

EXISTING DEMAND Child Care Demand

Estimated Total Children

Average LFPRAdjustment Factor

Children With Working Parents

Licensed Care Demand Factor

Resident Children Needing Licensed Care

of Total Resident Children Needing Licensed Care

Children from Non-Resident Employees Needing

Licensed Care

(1)

(2)

(3)

143 343

52

74 295

37

27 282

19 82

7 11

487

369

84

309

64

17

Total Demand for Child Care Spaces

Distribution

EXISTING SUPPLY (4)

34 292

10 90

Child Care Spaces

327

100

Family Child Care Home Supply

Child Care Center Supply

Current Child Care Supply

Distribution

EXISTING SURPLUS(SHORTAGE)

Distribution

Percentage of Demand Met

by Existing FacilitiesSpaces

Shortage of Family Child Care Home Spaces

Shortage of Center-Based Spaces

(5)

(6)

(6)

1

4

5

5 6

- 91

5 97

5 95

(29) (195)

13 87

14 33

(29) (12)

0 (183)

11

91

102

100

(225)

100

31

(42)

(183)

FINAL

Table B-10

Future Child Care Demand and Supply in 2025 in Hillsborough

San Mateo County Child Care Study - 2016

Note All footnote references can be found in Table C-1 at the end of this file

Sources 2010 US Census ABAG Projections 2013 2014 American Community Survey ACS Journey-to-Work data 2006-2008 and 2006-2010

Child Care Coordinating Council of San Mateo County (4Cs) Community Care Licensing Brion Economics Inc

Prepared by Brion Economics Inc 2513-SMC NA Final Tables 61216 6122016

MENLO PARK

Child Care as of 2025

No of

Providers

Under 2 Years

Old

2 to 4 Year

Olds

Total 0 to 4

Years

EXISTING DEMAND Child Care Demand

Estimated Total Children

Average LFPRAdjustment Factor

Children With Working Parents

Licensed Care Demand Factor

Resident Children Needing Licensed Care

of Total Resident Children Needing Licensed Care

Children from Non-Resident Employees Needing

Licensed Care

(1)

(2)

(3)

1327 1954

69

909 1759

37

336 1653

25 85

237 357

3281

2668

75

1989

61

594

Total Demand for Child Care Spaces

Distribution

EXISTING SUPPLY (4)

573 2011

22 78

Child Care Spaces

2584

100

Family Child Care Home Supply

Child Care Center Supply

Current Child Care Supply

Distribution

EXISTING SURPLUS(SHORTAGE)

Distribution

Percentage of Demand Met

by Existing FacilitiesSpaces

Shortage of Family Child Care Home Spaces

Shortage of Center-Based Spaces

(5)

(6)

(6)

15

25

40

76 96

73 1331

149 1427

9 91

(424) (584)

42 58

26 71

(217) (39)

(207) (544)

172

1404

1576

100

(1008)

100

61

(256)

(752)

FINAL

Table B-11

Future Child Care Demand and Supply in 2025 in Menlo Park

San Mateo County Child Care Study - 2016

Note All footnote references can be found in Table C-1 at the end of this file

Sources 2010 US Census ABAG Projections 2013 2014 American Community Survey ACS Journey-to-Work data 2006-2008 and 2006-2010

Child Care Coordinating Council of San Mateo County (4Cs) Community Care Licensing Brion Economics Inc

Prepared by Brion Economics Inc 2513-SMC NA Final Tables 61216 6122016

MILLBRAE

Child Care as of 2025

No of

Providers

Under 2 Years

Old

2 to 4 Year

Olds

Total 0 to 4

Years

EXISTING DEMAND Child Care Demand

Estimated Total Children

Average LFPRAdjustment Factor

Children With Working Parents

Licensed Care Demand Factor

Resident Children Needing Licensed Care

of Total Resident Children Needing Licensed Care

Children from Non-Resident Employees Needing

Licensed Care

(1)

(2)

(3)

473 805

62

291 710

37

108 672

23 83

31 47

1278

1001

78

780

61

77

Total Demand for Child Care Spaces

Distribution

EXISTING SUPPLY (4)

139 718

16 84

Child Care Spaces

857

100

Family Child Care Home Supply

Child Care Center Supply

Current Child Care Supply

Distribution

EXISTING SURPLUS(SHORTAGE)

Distribution

Percentage of Demand Met

by Existing FacilitiesSpaces

Shortage of Family Child Care Home Spaces

Shortage of Center-Based Spaces

(5)

(6)

(6)

7

7

14

62 78

- 376

62 454

12 88

(76) (264)

22 78

45 63

(76) (46)

0 (219)

141

376

517

100

(340)

100

60

(122)

(219)

FINAL

Table B-12

Future C hild Care Demand and Supply in 2025 in Millbrae

San Mateo County Child Care Study - 2016

Note All footnote references can be found in Table C-1 at the end of this file

Sources 2010 US Census ABAG Projections 2013 2014 American Community Survey ACS Journey-to-Work data 2006-2008 and 2006-2010

Child Care Coordinating Council of San Mateo County (4Cs) Community Care Licensing Brion Economics Inc

Prepared by Brion Economics Inc 2513-SMC NA Final Tables 61216 6122016

FINAL

Table B-13

Future Child Care Demand and Supply in 2025 in Pacifica

San Mateo County Child Care Study - 2016

PACIFICA

Child Care as of 2025

No of

Providers

Under 2 Years

Old

2 to 4 Year

Olds

Total 0 to 4

Years

EXISTING DEMAND Child Care Demand

Estimated Total Children

Average L FPRAdjustment Factor

Children With Working Parents

Licensed Care Demand Factor

Resident Children Needing Licensed Care

of Total Resident Children Needing Licensed Care

Children from Non-Resident Employees Needing

Licensed Care

(1)

(2)

(3)

816 1300

78

633 1209

37

234 1130

29 87

19 29

2116

1842

74

1364

64

48

Total Demand for Child Care Spaces

Distribution

EXISTING SUPPLY (4)

254 1159

18 82

Child Care Spaces

1413

100

Family Child Care Home Supply

Child Care Center Supply

Current Child Care Supply

Distribution

EXISTING SURPLUS(SHORTAGE)

Distribution

Percentage of Demand Met

by Existing FacilitiesSpaces

Shortage of Family Child Care Home Spaces

Shortage of Center-Based Spaces

(5)

(6)

(6)

9

18

27

77 97

39 701

116 798

13 87

(138) (361)

28 72

46 69

(91) (44)

(46) (317)

174

740

914

100

(499)

100

65

(135)

(364)

Note All footnote references can be found in Table C-1 at the end of this file

Sources 2010 US Census ABAG Projections 2013 2014 American Community Survey ACS Journey-to-Work data 2006-2008 and 2006-2010

Child Care Coordinating Council of San Mateo County (4Cs) Community Care Licensing Brion Economics Inc

Prepared by Brion Economics Inc 2513-SMC NA Final Tables 61216 6122016

PORTOLA VALLEY

Child Care as of 2025

No of

Providers

Under 2 Years

Old

2 to 4 Year

Olds

Total 0 to 4

Years

EXISTING DEMAND Child Care Demand

Estimated Total Children

Average LFPRAdjustment Factor

Children With Working Parents

Licensed Care Demand Factor

Resident Children Needing Licensed Care

of Total Resident Children Needing Licensed Care

Children from Non-Resident Employees Needing

Licensed Care

(1)

(2)

(3)

77 192

66

51 173

37

19 164

24 85

9 13

269

224

82

182

68

22

Total Demand for Child Care Spaces

Distribution

EXISTING SUPPLY (4)

28 177

13 87

Child Care Spaces

204

100

Family Child Care Home Supply

Child Care Center Supply

Current Child Care Supply

Distribution

EXISTING SURPLUS(SHORTAGE)

Distribution

Percentage of Demand Met

by Existing FacilitiesSpaces

Shortage of Family Child Care Home Spaces

Shortage of Center-Based Spaces

(5)

(6)

(6)

0

4

4

- -

- 153

- 153

0 100

(28) (24)

54 46

0 87

0 0

(28) (24)

0

153

153

100

(51)

100

75

0

(51)

FINAL

Table B-14

Future Child Care Demand and Supply in 2025 in Portola Valley

San Mateo County Child Care Study - 2016

Note All footnote references can be found in Table C-1 at the end of this file

Sources 2010 US Census ABAG Projections 2013 2014 American Community Survey ACS Journey-to-Work data 2006-2008 and 2006-2010

Child Care Coordinating Council of San Mateo County (4Cs) Community Care Licensing Brion Economics Inc

Prepared by Brion Economics Inc 2513-SMC NA Final Tables 61216 6122016

REDWOOD CITY

No of

Providers

Child Care as of 2025

Under 2 Years

Old

2 to 4 Year

Olds

Total 0 to 4

Years

EXISTING DEMAND Child Care Demand

Estimated Total Children

Average LFPRAdjustment Factor

Children With Working Parents

Licensed Care Demand Factor

Resident Children Needing Licensed Care

of Total Resident Children Needing Licensed Care

Children from Non-Resident Employees Needing

Licensed Care

Total Demand for Child Care Spaces

Distribution

EXISTING SUPPLY

(1)

(2)

(3)

(4)

3725 5378

69

2555 4813

37

946 4505

25 84

466 703

1411 5208

21 79

Child Care Spaces

9103

7368

74

5450

60

1169

6619

100

Family Child Care Home Supply

Child Care Center Supply

Current Child Care Supply

Distribution

EXISTING SURPLUS(SHORTAGE)

Distribution

Percentage of Demand Met

by Existing FacilitiesSpaces

Shortage of Family Child Care Home Spaces

Shortage of Center-Based Spaces

(5)

(6)

(6)

42

41

83

396 497

356 2036

752 2533

23 77

(660) (2674)

20 80

53 49

(347) (525)

(313) (2149)

893

2392

3285

100

(3334)

100

50

(872)

(2462)

FINAL

Table B-15

Future Child Care Demand and Supply in 2025 in Redwood City

San Mateo County Child Care Study - 2016

Note All footnote references can be found in Table C-1 at the end of this file

Sources 2010 US Census ABAG Projections 2013 2014 American Community Survey ACS Journey-to-Work data 2006-2008 and 2006-2010

Child Care Coordinating Council of San Mateo County (4Cs) Community Care Licensing Brion Economics Inc

Prepared by Brion Economics Inc 2513-SMC NA Final Tables 61216 6122016

SAN BRUNO

Child Care as of 2025

No of

Providers

Under 2 Years

Old

2 to 4 Year

Olds

Total 0 to 4

Years

EXISTING DEMAND Child Care Demand

Estimated Total Children

Average LFPRAdjustment Factor

Children With Working Parents

Licensed Care Demand Factor

Resident Children Needing Licensed Care

of Total Resident Children Needing Licensed Care

Children from Non-Resident Employees Needing

Licensed Care

(1)

(2)

(3)

1189 1728

77

910 1589

37

337 1475

28 85

68 103

2917

2498

73

1812

62

171

Total Demand for Child Care Spaces

Distribution

EXISTING SUPPLY (4)

405 1578

20 80

Child Care Spaces

1983

100

Family Child Care Home Supply

Child Care Center Supply

Current Child Care Supply

Distribution

EXISTING SURPLUS(SHORTAGE)

Distribution

Percentage of Demand Met

by Existing FacilitiesSpaces

Shortage of Family Child Care Home Spaces

Shortage of Center-Based Spaces

(5)

(6)

(6)

13

15

28

122 153

26 1183

148 1336

10 90

(257) (242)

52 48

37 85

(212) (28)

(45) (214)

275

1209

1484

100

(499)

100

75

(239)

(259)

FINAL

Table B-16

Future C hild Care Demand and Supply in 2025 in San Bruno

San Mateo County Child Care Study - 2016

Note All footnote references can be found in Table C-1 at the end of this file

Sources 2010 US Census ABAG Projections 2013 2014 American Community Survey ACS Journey-to-Work data 2006-2008 and 2006-2010

Child Care Coordinating Council of San Mateo County (4Cs) Community Care Licensing Brion Economics Inc

Prepared by Brion Economics Inc 2513-SMC NA Final Tables 61216 6122016

SAN CARLOS

Child Care as of 2025

No of

Providers

Under 2 Years

Old

2 to 4 Year

Olds

Total 0 to 4

Years

EXISTING DEMAND Child Care Demand

Estimated Total Children

Average LFPRAdjustment Factor

Children With Working Parents

Licensed Care Demand Factor

Resident Children Needing Licensed Care

of Total Resident Children Needing Licensed Care

Children from Non-Resident Employees Needing

Licensed Care

(1)

(2)

(3)

778 1384

72

557 1255

37

206 1174

26 85

82 123

2162

1812

76

1380

64

205

Total Demand for Child Care Spaces

Distribution

EXISTING SUPPLY (4)

288 1297

18 82

Child Care Spaces

1585

100

Family Child Care Home Supply

Child Care Center Supply

Current Child Care Supply

Distribution

EXISTING SURPLUS(SHORTAGE)

Distribution

Percentage of Demand Met

by Existing FacilitiesSpaces

Shortage of Family Child Care Home Spaces

Shortage of Center-Based Spaces

(5)

(6)

(6)

28

14

42

73 92

76 615

149 707

17 83

(139) (590)

19 81

52 54

(68) (76)

(71) (514)

164

691

855

100

(729)

100

54

(145)

(585)

FINAL

Table B-17

Future Child Care Demand and Supply in 2025 in San Carlos

San Mateo County Child Care Study - 2016

Note All footnote references can be found in Table C-1 at the end of this file

Sources 2010 US Census ABAG Projections 2013 2014 American Community Survey ACS Journey-to-Work data 2006-2008 and 2006-2010

Child Care Coordinating Council of San Mateo County (4Cs) Community Care Licensing Brion Economics Inc

Prepared by Brion Economics Inc 2513-SMC NA Final Tables 61216 6122016

SAN MATEO

Child Care as of 2025

No of

Providers

Under 2 Years

Old

2 to 4 Year

Olds

Total 0 to 4

Years

EXISTING DEMAND Child Care Demand

Estimated Total Children

Average LFPRAdjustment Factor

Children With Working Parents

Licensed Care Demand Factor

Resident Children Needing Licensed Care

of Total Resident Children Needing Licensed Care

Children from Non-Resident Employees Needing

Licensed Care

(1)

(2)

(3)

3194 4572

71

2264 4116

37

838 3839

26 84

261 394

7766

6381

73

4677

60

656

Total Demand for Child Care Spaces

Distribution

EXISTING SUPPLY (4)

1099 4233

21 79

Child Care Spaces

5332

100

Family Child Care Home Supply

Child Care Center Supply

Current Child Care Supply

Distribution

EXISTING SURPLUS(SHORTAGE)

Distribution

Percentage of Demand Met

by Existing FacilitiesSpaces

Shortage of Family Child Care Home Spaces

Shortage of Center-Based Spaces

(5)

(6)

(6)

69

59

128

492 619

209 2577

701 3196

18 82

(398) (1037)

28 72

64 75

(279) (201)

(119) (837)

1111

2786

3897

100

(1435)

100

73

(480)

(955)

FINAL

Table B-18

Future Child Care Demand and Supply in 2025 in San Mateo

San Mateo County Child Care Study - 2016

Note All footnote references can be found in Table C-1 at the end of this file

Sources 2010 US Census ABAG Projections 2013 2014 American Community Survey ACS Journey-to-Work data 2006-2008 and 2006-2010

Child Care Coordinating Council of San Mateo County (4Cs) Community Care Licensing Brion Economics Inc

Prepared by Brion Economics Inc 2513-SMC NA Final Tables 61216 6122016

FINAL

Table B-19

Future Child Care Demand and Supply in 2025 in South Coast

San Mateo County Child Care Study - 2016

SOUTH COAST

Child Care as of 2025

No of

Providers

Under 2 Years

Old

2 to 4 Year

Olds

Total 0 to 4

Years

EXISTING DEMAND Child Care Demand

Estimated Total Children (1) 23 32 55

Average LFPRAdjustment Factor (2) 54

Children With Working Parents 12 27 40

Licensed Care Demand Factor (3) 37 77

Resident Children Needing Licensed Care 5 26 30

of Total Resident Children Needing Licensed Care 20 81 56

Children from Non-Resident Employees Needing

Licensed Care 0 0 0

Total Demand for Child Care Spaces 5 26 30

Distribution 15 85 100

EXISTING SUPPLY (4) Child Care Spaces

Family Child Care Home Supply - 0 0 0

Child Care Center Supply 2 0 54 54

Current Child Care Supply 2 - 54 54

Distribution 0 100 100

EXISTING SURPLUS(SHORTAGE) (5) 28 24

Distribution -19 119 100

Percentage of Demand Met

by Existing FacilitiesSpaces (5) 0 209 177

Shortage of Family Child Care Home Spaces (6) 0 NA 0

Shortage of Center-Based Spaces (6) (5) NA (5)

Note All footnote references can be found in Table C-1 at the end of this file

Sources 2010 US Census ABAG Projections 2013 2014 American Community Survey ACS Journey-to-Work data 2006-2008 and 2006-2010

Child Care Coordinating Council of San Mateo County (4Cs) Community Care Licensing Brion Economics Inc

Prepared by Brion Economics Inc 2513-SMC NA Final Tables 61216 6122016

SOUTH SAN FRANCISCO

Child Care as of 2025

No of

Providers

Under 2 Years

Old

2 to 4 Year

Olds

Total 0 to 4

Years

EXISTING DEMAND Child Care Demand

Estimated Total Children

Average LFPRAdjustment Factor

Children With Working Parents

Licensed Care Demand Factor

Resident Children Needing Licensed Care

of Total Resident Children Needing Licensed Care

Children from Non-Resident Employees Needing

Licensed Care

(1)

(2)

(3)

1835 2790

73

1342 2535

37

496 2362

27 85

339 512

4625

3877

74

2859

62

851

Total Demand for Child Care Spaces

Distribution

EXISTING SUPPLY (4)

835 2874

23 77

Child Care Spaces

3709

100

Family Child Care Home Supply

Child Care Center Supply

Current Child Care Supply

Distribution

EXISTING SURPLUS(SHORTAGE)

Distribution

Percentage of Demand Met

by Existing FacilitiesSpaces

Shortage of Family Child Care Home Spaces

Shortage of Center-Based Spaces

(5)

(6)

(6)

30

27

57

252 317

400 1966

652 2283

22 78

(183) (591)

24 76

78 79

(71) (82)

(113) (509)

569

2366

2935

100

(775)

100

79

(153)

(622)

FINAL

Table B-20

Future Child Care Demand and Supply in 2025 in South San Francisco

San Mateo County Child Care Study - 2016

Note All footnote references can be found in Table C-1 at the end of this file

Sources 2010 US Census ABAG Projections 2013 2014 American Community Survey ACS Journey-to-Work data 2006-2008 and 2006-2010

Child Care Coordinating Council of San Mateo County (4Cs) Community Care Licensing Brion Economics Inc

Prepared by Brion Economics Inc 2513-SMC NA Final Tables 61216 6122016

WOODSIDE

No of

Providers

Child Care as of 2025

Under 2 Years

Old

2 to 4 Year

Olds

Total 0 to 4

Years

EXISTING DEMAND Child Care Demand

Estimated Total Children

Average LFPRAdjustment Factor

Children With Working Parents

Licensed Care Demand Factor

Resident Children Needing Licensed Care

of Total Resident Children Needing Licensed Care

Children from Non-Resident Employees Needing

Licensed Care

(1)

(2)

(3)

93 165

56

51 140

37

19 132

21 80

9 13

258

192

79

152

59

22

Total Demand for Child Care Spaces

Distribution

EXISTING SUPPLY (4)

28 146

16 84

Child Care Spaces

174

100

Family Child Care Home Supply

Child Care Center Supply

Current Child Care Supply

Distribution

EXISTING SURPLUS(SHORTAGE)

Distribution

Percentage of Demand Met

by Existing FacilitiesSpaces

Shortage of Family Child Care Home Spaces

Shortage of Center-Based Spaces

(5)

(6)

(6)

1

2

3

4 5

- 103

4 108

4 96

(24) (38)

39 61

15 74

(24) (2)

0 (36)

9

103

112

100

(61)

100

65

(26)

(36)

FINAL

Table B-21

Future Child Care Demand and Supply in 2025 in Woodside

San Mateo County Child Care Study - 2016

Note All footnote references can be found in Table C-1 at the end of this file

Sources 2010 US Census ABAG Projections 2013 2014 American Community Survey ACS Journey-to-Work data 2006-2008 and 2006-2010

Child Care Coordinating Council of San Mateo County (4Cs) Community Care Licensing Brion Economics Inc

Prepared by Brion Economics Inc 2513-SMC NA Final Tables 61216 6122016

FINAL

Table C-1

Endnotes for Tables

San Mateo County Child Care Study - 2016

(1) Population by age is based on the percentage breakdown from the 2010 US Census and applied

to population estimates for 2015 using ABAGs Projections 2013 population data The ABAG data

for each area includes its Sphere of Influence and is not based on strict jurisdictional boundaries

(2) Labor force participation rates are from the 5-Year American Community Survey 2014 and include

children under six years old with two working parents or a single working parent For the 2- to 4-year

olds the labor force participation rate is applied to 2 year olds For 3- and 4-year olds it is assumed

that 100 need licensed care to support preschool for every child so the number of

3- and 4-year olds is not discounted by labor force participation rates

(3) Not all children with working parents are assumed to need licensed care percentage assumptions are

used to calculate the number of children requiring licensed care under each age category The

remaining children are assumed to be cared for in alternate arrangements such as by family members

nannies friends and other unlicensed care For children ages 3- and 4-years old it is assumed that

they all need care in the form of preschool

(4) Data on child care supply provided by the Child Care Coordinating Council of San Mateo County (4Cs)

and Community Care Licensing Division of the California Department of Social Services (CCLD) Data is

for June 2015

(5) Demand that calculates as less than 100 means that there is greater demand than supply percent of

demand that is over 100 means supply exceeds demand

(6) Unmet demand is broken down into shortage by type of care based on the proportion of FCCHs and

child care centers spaces available in each area If an area does not have any FCCHs or centers the

unmet demand is placed in the type of care that is available in the area (eg if there are only centers

all demand goes to centers)

Source Brion Economics Inc

Prepared by Brion Economics Inc 2513-SMC NA Final Tables 61216 6122016

DRAFT REPORT

Table C-2

Labor Force Participation Rates by CityArea

San Mateo County Child Care Study - 2016

CityArea

Labor Force

Participation Rate (1)

Atherton

Belmont

Brisbane

Burlingame

Daly CityColma

East Palo Alto

Foster City

Half Moon Bay Region

Hillsborough

Menlo Park

Millbrae

Pacifica

Portola Valley

Redwood City

San Bruno

San Carlos

San Mateo

South Coast

South San Francisco

Woodside

40

77

100

65

74

71

63

69

52

69

62

78

66

69

77

72

71

54

73

56

(1) Labor force participation rates (LFPRs) are for

families with children under age six with two

working parents or a single parent who works Sources American Community Survey 2014 5-Year

Survey Brion Economics Inc

Prepared by Brion Economics Inc 2513-SMC NA Final Tables 61216 6122016

  • 2513-SMC FINAL NA Memo-61216
  • 2513-SMC NA Final Tables 61216
Page 8: Final San Mateo County Child Care Needs … Care...Future C hild Care Demand and Supply in 2025 in Daly City/Colma San Mateo County Child Care Study - 2016 Note: All footnote references

Final Child Care Needs Assessment ndash 2015 and 2025 San Mateo Early Learning Facilities Study

June 12 2016 Page 8 of 9

APPENDIX TABLES Table Index Appendix A Child Care Needs Assessment (Supply and Demand) as of 2015 and 2015 San Mateo County Child Care Study - 2016 Table Table Name

Table 1 Population Summary Table for 2010 2015 and 2025 Table 2 Population Growth by City 2015 and 2025 from ABAG Table 3 Population by Age Group by City 2015 and 2025 Table 4 Employment Growth and Employee Residence by City 2015 and 2025 Table 5 Child Care Supply Summary Table for 2015 Table 6 Child Care Demand Summary Table for 2015 and 2025 Table 7 Employee Demand Summary Table for 2015 Table 8 Employee Demand Summary Table for 2025 Table 9 Summary of Demand Met by Existing Facilities in Each Community at 2015 Table 10 Summary of Demand Met by Existing Facilities in Each Community at 2025 Table 11 Number of Child Care Providers by City in 2015 Table 12 Summary of Shortage of Child Care Center Spaces by Age - 2015 Table 13 Summary of Shortage of Child Care Center Spaces by Age - 2025

Existing Conditions - 2015 Table A-1 Existing Child Care Demand and Supply in 2015 Countywide Table A-2 Existing Child Care Demand and Supply in 2015 in Atherton Table A-3 Existing Child Care Demand and Supply in 2015 in Belmont Table A-4 Existing Child Care Demand and Supply in 2015 in Brisbane Table A-5 Existing Child Care Demand and Supply in 2015 in Burlingame Table A-6 Existing Child Care Demand and Supply in 2015 in Daly CityColma Table A-7 Existing Child Care Demand and Supply in 2015 in East Palo Alto Table A-8 Existing Child Care Demand and Supply in 2015 in Foster City Table A-9 Existing Child Care Demand and Supply in 2015 in Half Moon Bay Region Table A-10 Existing Child Care Demand and Supply in 2015 in Hillsborough Table A-11 Existing Child Care Demand and Supply in 2015 in Menlo Park Table A-12 Existing Child Care Demand and Supply in 2015 in Millbrae Table A-13 Existing Child Care Demand and Supply in 2015 in Pacifica Table A-14 Existing Child Care Demand and Supply in 2015 in Portola Valley Table A-15 Existing Child Care Demand and Supply in 2015 in Redwood City Table A-16 Existing Child Care Demand and Supply in 2015 in San Bruno Table A-17 Existing Child Care Demand and Supply in 2015 in San Carlos Table A-18 Existing Child Care Demand and Supply in 2015 in San Mateo Table A-19 Existing Child Care Demand and Supply in 2015 in South Coast Table A-20 Existing Child Care Demand and Supply in 2015 in South San Francisco Table A-21 Existing Child Care Demand and Supply in 2015 in Woodside Continued

Prepared by Brion Economics Inc Final Report

Final Child Care Needs Assessment ndash 2015 and 2025 San Mateo Early Learning Facilities Study

June 12 2016 Page 9 of 9

Future Conditions - 2025 Table B-1 Future Child Care Demand and Supply in 2025 Countywide Table B-2 Future Child Care Demand and Supply in 2025 in Atherton Table B-3 Future Child Care Demand and Supply in 2025 in Belmont Table B-4 Future Child Care Demand and Supply in 2025 in Brisbane Table B-5 Future Child Care Demand and Supply in 2025 in Burlingame Table B-6 Future Child Care Demand and Supply in 2025 in Daly CityColma Table B-7 Future Child Care Demand and Supply in 2025 in East Palo Alto Table B-8 Future Child Care Demand and Supply in 2025 in Foster City Table B-9 Future Child Care Demand and Supply in 2025 in Half Moon Bay Region Table B-10 Future Child Care Demand and Supply in 2025 in Hillsborough Table B-11 Future Child Care Demand and Supply in 2025 in Menlo Park Table B-12 Future Child Care Demand and Supply in 2025 in Millbrae Table B-13 Future Child Care Demand and Supply in 2025 in Pacifica Table B-14 Future Child Care Demand and Supply in 2025 in Portola Valley Table B-15 Future Child Care Demand and Supply in 2025 in Redwood City Table B-16 Future Child Care Demand and Supply in 2025 in San Bruno Table B-17 Future Child Care Demand and Supply in 2025 in San Carlos Table B-18 Future Child Care Demand and Supply in 2025 in San Mateo Table B-19 Future Child Care Demand and Supply in 2025 in South Coast Table B-20 Future Child Care Demand and Supply in 2025 in South San Francisco Table B-21 Future Child Care Demand and Supply in 2025 in Woodside

Table C-1 Endnotes for Tables Table C-2 Labor Force Participation Rates by CityArea

Source Brion Economics Inc

Prepared by Brion Economics Inc Final Report

2010 Population 2010 Population 2015 Population

CityArea (Census) (ABAG) (ABAG)

Atherton 6914 6914 7100

Belmont 25835 25995 26600

Brisbane 4282 4282 4400

Burlingame 28806 29873 31300

Daly CityColma 102915 108167 111200

East Palo Alto 28155 28155 29200

Foster City 30567 30567 31000

Half Moon Bay Region (1) 22803 21956 22329

Hillsborough 10825 10825 11000

Menlo Park (2) 32026 36816 40850

Millbrae 21532 21532 22800

Pacifica 37234 37234 37600

Portola Valley 4353 6432 6500

Redwood City (2) 76815 100509 109350

San Bruno 41114 41114 43500

San Carlos 28406 30015 30800

San Mateo 97207 101234 105600

South Coast (3) 1684 847 871

South San Francisco 63632 63803 67400

Woodside 5287 5933 6000

Total 670392 712203 745400

FINAL

Table 1

Population Summary Table for 2010 2015 and 2025

San Mateo County Child Care Study - 2016

(1) Half Moon Bay Region includes the City of Half Moon Bay El Granada Montara

and Moss Beach

(2) ABAG Projections have 6300 people listed as Remainder population this

amount is divided equally between Menlo Park and Redwood City given that

they are surrounded by unincorporated areas

(3) South Coast includes La Honda Loma Mar and Pescadero

Sources 2010 US Census ABAG Projections 2013 Brion Economics Inc

Prepared by Brion Economics Inc 2513-SMC NA Final Tables 61216 6122016

CityArea

Population

at 2015

Population

at 2025

CHANGE 2015 to 2025

2015 to

2025 Change

Atherton

Belmont

Brisbane

Burlingame

Daly CityColma

East Palo Alto

Foster City

Half Moon Bay Region (1)

Hillsborough

Menlo Park (2)

Millbrae

Pacifica

Portola Valley

Redwood City (2)

San Bruno

San Carlos

San Mateo

South Coast (3)

South San Francisco

Woodside

Total by Age

7100

26600

4400

31300

111200

29200

31000

22329

11000

40850

22800

37600

6500

109350

43500

30800

105600

871

67400

6000

7400

27900

4600

34300

118000

32400

32300

24140

11400

42750

25600

39000

6700

121350

48400

32600

114600

960

75000

6200

300

1300

200

3000

6800

3200

1300

1811

400

1900

2800

1400

200

12000

4900

1800

9000

89

7600

200

42

49

45

96

61

110

42

81

36

47

123

37

31

110

113

58

85

102

113

33

745400 805600 60200 81 I I I I

FINAL

Table 2

Population Growth by City 2015 and 2025 from ABAG

San Mateo County Child Care Study - 2016

(1) Half Moon Bay Region includes the City of Half Moon Bay El Granada

Montara and Moss Beach

(2) ABAG Projections have 6300 people listed as Remainder population this

amount is divided equally between Menlo Park and Redwood City given that

they are surrounded by unincorporated areas

(3) South Coast includes La Honda Loma Mar and Pescadero

Sources 2010 US Census ABAG Projections 2013 Brion Economics Inc

Prepared by Brion Economics Inc 2513-SMC NA Final Tables 61216 6122016

2015 2025 CHANGE 2015 to 2025

Children 4 and Under

Under 2 2 to 4 as of Total Under 2 2 to 4 Under 2 2 to 4

CityArea Years Old Year Olds Total Population Years Old Year Olds Total Years Old Year Olds Total

Atherton 105 185 290 41 109 193 302 4 8 12

Belmont 708 1045 1753 66 743 1095 1838 35 50 85

Brisbane 125 166 292 66 131 174 305 6 8 13

Burlingame 824 1216 2040 65 903 1332 2235 79 117 195

Daly CityColma 2495 3575 6070 55 2647 3793 6440 153 218 370

East Palo Alto 1046 1667 2713 93 1161 1849 3010 115 183 297

Foster City 836 1277 2113 68 871 1330 2201 35 54 89

Half Moon Bay Region (1) 511 860 1371 61 553 929 1482 41 70 111

Hillsborough 138 331 469 43 143 343 487 5 12 17

Menlo Park (2) 1170 1723 2893 71 1327 1954 3281 157 231 388

Millbrae 421 717 1138 50 473 805 1278 52 88 140

Pacifica 787 1253 2040 54 816 1300 2116 29 47 76

Portola Valley 75 187 261 40 77 192 269 2 6 8

Redwood City (2) 3260 4706 7966 73 3725 5378 9103 465 671 1136

San Bruno 1069 1553 2622 60 1189 1728 2917 120 175 295

San Carlos 735 1308 2043 66 778 1384 2162 43 76 119

San Mateo 2943 4213 7156 68 3194 4572 7766 251 359 610

South Coast (3) 21 29 50 57 23 32 55 2 3 5

South San Francisco 1649 2507 4156 62 1835 2790 4625 186 283 469

Woodside 90 160 250 42 93 165 258 3 5 8

Total by Age 19008 28678 47686 64 20790 31340 52130 1783 2662 4444

FINAL

Table 3

Population by Age Group by City 2015 and 2025

San Mateo County Child Care Study - 2016

(1) Half Moon Bay Region includes the City of Half Moon Bay El Granada Montara and Moss Beach

(2) ABAG Projections have 6300 people listed as Remainder population this amount is divided equally between Menlo Park and Redwood City given that they

are surrounded by unincorporated areas

(3) South Coast includes La Honda Loma Mar and Pescadero

Sources 2010 US Census ABAG Projections 2013 Brion Economics Inc

Prepared by Brion Economics Inc 2513-SMC NA Final Tables 61216 6122016

CHANGE 2015 to 2025 2015 2025

Percent that Work Employees that Percent that Work Employees that

Jobs at Jobs at in City and Live Work in City and in City and Live Work in City and

CityArea 2015 2025 2015 to 2025 Change Outside Co Live Outside Co Outside Co Live Outside Co

Atherton 2730 2920 190 70 360 983 360 1051

Belmont 9540 10430 890 93 298 2843 298 3108

Brisbane 7320 7790 470 64 590 4316 590 4593

Burlingame 32040 35250 3210 100 365 11680 365 12850

Daly CityColma 26110 28540 2430 93 404 10540 404 11521

East Palo Alto 2920 3310 390 134 508 1485 508 1683

Foster City 14810 16190 1380 93 412 6108 412 6677

Half Moon Bay Region (1) 7830 8410 580 74 135 1060 135 1138

Hillsborough 1950 2080 130 67 280 546 280 583

Menlo Park 31920 34390 2470 77 576 18390 576 19813

Millbrae 7480 8370 890 119 308 2304 308 2578

Pacifica 6210 6650 440 71 242 1504 242 1611

Portola Valley 2060 2200 140 68 334 689 334 736

Redwood City 71460 80430 8970 126 480 34317 480 38624

San Bruno 13800 15390 1590 115 370 5106 370 5695

San Carlos 18100 19650 1550 86 348 6295 348 6834

San Mateo 58680 66400 7720 132 329 19314 329 21855

South Coast (2) 0 0 0 00 149 0 149 0

South San Francisco 47380 51760 4380 92 467 22128 467 24173

Woodside 2520 2660 140 56 281 708 281 747

SF Airport (3) 7870 8960 1090 139 467 3676 467 4185

Remainder (3) 2210 2460 250 113 135 299 135 333

Total Employment 374940 414240 39300 105 412 154289 411 170387

FINAL

Table 4

Employment Growth and Employee Residence by City 2015 and 2025

San Mateo County Child Care Study - 2016

Note This analysis uses the published projections prepared by ABAG from ldquoProjections 2013rdquo and the cities including their sphere of influence or SOI This is done for consistency purposes While individual cities may be planning for additional growth not included in ABAGrsquos forecast (such as Menlo Park and East Palo Alto) it was decided that the consistency of using one data source was more important Thus these estimates could be considered

conservative

(1) For employment Half Moon Bay Region includes all of the City of Half Moon Bay and Unincorporated Half Moon Bay as defined by ABAG

(2) No data on employment is available through ABAG for the South Coast area

(3) SF Airport and Remainder are groupings by ABAG We listed them separately as SF Airport has no residential population

Sources ABAG Projections 2013 Brion Economics Inc

Prepared by Brion Economics Inc 2513-SMC NA Final Tables 61216 6122016

Under 2 2 to 4 Year Total CityArea as of

CityArea Years Old Olds Supply Total Supply

Atherton 29 273 302 13

Belmont 106 615 722 31

Brisbane 4 69 73 03

Burlingame 119 965 1085 47

Daly CityColma 372 1626 1997 87

East Palo Alto 110 739 849 37

Foster City 206 1349 1555 68

Half Moon Bay Region (1) 131 406 536 23

Hillsborough 5 97 102 04

Menlo Park (2) 149 1427 1576 69

Millbrae 62 454 517 22

Pacifica 116 798 914 40

Portola Valley 0 153 153 07

Redwood City (2) 752 2533 3285 143

San Bruno 148 1336 1484 65

San Carlos 149 707 855 37

San Mateo 701 3196 3897 169

South Coast (3) 0 54 54 02

South San Francisco 652 2283 2935 128

Woodside 4 108 112 05

Total 3815 19189 23003 1000

FINAL

Table 5

Child Care Supply Summary Table for 2015

San Mateo County Child Care Study - 2016

Note Totals may be off slightly due to rounding

(1) Half Moon Bay Region includes the City of Half Moon Bay El Granada Montara

and Moss Beach

(2) ABAG Projections have 6300 people listed as Remainder population this

amount is divided equally between Menlo Park and Redwood City given that

they are surrounded by unincorporated areas

(3) South Coast includes La Honda Loma Mar and Pescadero

Sources Child Care Coordinating Council of San Mateo County (4Cs) Community

Care Licensing Brion Economics Inc

Prepared by Brion Economics Inc 2513-SMC NA Final Tables 61216 6122016

2015 2025

CityArea as CityArea as

Under 2 2 to 4 Year Total of Total Under 2 2 to 4 Total of Total

CityArea Years Old Olds Demand Demand Years Old Year Olds Demand Demand

Atherton 27 165 192 06 29 173 201 05

Belmont 237 950 1187 35 250 999 1249 34

Brisbane 98 231 329 10 103 243 346 09

Burlingame 338 1236 1574 47 371 1356 1726 47

Daly CityColma 811 3237 4048 120 865 3441 4306 116

East Palo Alto 292 1419 1711 51 324 1575 1900 51

Foster City 268 1145 1414 42 283 1199 1483 40

Half Moon Bay Region (1) 144 742 885 26 155 802 957 26

Hillsborough 33 282 315 09 34 292 327 09

Menlo Park (2) 516 1790 2306 68 573 2011 2584 70

Millbrae 124 640 764 23 139 718 857 23

Pacifica 244 1117 1360 40 254 1159 1413 38

Portola Valley 26 171 198 06 28 177 204 06

Redwood City (2) 1241 4567 5808 172 1411 5208 6619 179

San Bruno 364 1418 1782 53 405 1578 1983 54

San Carlos 270 1222 1492 44 288 1297 1585 43

San Mateo 1003 3886 4889 145 1099 4233 5332 144

South Coast (3) 4 23 28 01 5 26 30 01

South San Francisco 755 2588 3343 99 835 2874 3709 100

Woodside 27 141 168 05 28 146 174 05

Total 6821 26971 33792 1000 7478 29506 36984 1000

FINAL

Table 6

Child Care Demand Summary Table for 2015 and 2025

San Mateo County Child Care Study - 2016

(1) Half Moon Bay Region includes the City of Half Moon Bay El Granada Montara and Moss Beach

(2) ABAG Projections have 6300 people listed as Remainder population this amount is divided equally between Menlo Park

and Redwood City given that they are surrounded by unincorporated areas

(3) South Coast includes La Honda Loma Mar and Pescadero

Sources 2010 US Census ABAG Projections 2013 Brion Economics Inc

Prepared by Brion Economics Inc 2513-SMC NA Final Tables 61216 6122016

No of Non- No of Employee

Resident No of 0 to 2 No of 3 to 4 Children Needing

CityArea Assumptions Employees Year Olds Year Olds Licensed Care

Estimated Percent of Employees

Needing Licensed Care (1) 300 40 60 100

Atherton 983 12 18 29

Belmont 2843 34 51 85

Brisbane 4316 52 78 129

Burlingame 11680 140 211 350

Daly CityColma 10540 126 190 316

East Palo Alto 1485 18 27 45

Foster City 6108 73 110 183

Half Moon Bay Region (2) 1060 13 19 32

Hillsborough 546 7 10 16

Menlo Park 18390 220 332 552

Millbrae 2304 28 42 69

Pacifica 1504 18 27 45

Portola Valley 689 8 12 21

Redwood City 34317 410 619 1029

San Bruno 5106 61 92 153

San Carlos 6295 75 114 189

San Mateo 19314 231 348 579

South Coast (3) 0 0 0 0

South San Francisco 22128 265 399 664

Woodside 708 8 13 21

SF Airport (4) 3676 44 66 110

Remainder (4) 299 4 5 9

Total Countywide 154289 1845 2784 4629

FINAL

Table 7

Employee Demand Summary Table for 2015

San Mateo County Child Care Study - 2016

Note Totals may be off slightly due to rounding

(1) We are assuming 3 of employees children require licensed care the breakdown of demand for infant and

preschool spaces is based on the percentage of infants and preschoolers who currently reside in San Mateo

County

(2) Half Moon Bay Region includes the City of Half Moon Bay El Granada Montara and Moss Beach

(3) South Coast includes La Honda Loma Mar and Pescadero

(4) SF Airport and Remainder are groupings by ABAG For employment SF Airport demand is attributed to South San

Francisco and Remainder demand is included with Redwood City

Sources 2010 US Census ABAG Projections 2013 2014 5-Year American Community Survey Journey-To-Work Data

Brion Economics Inc

Prepared by Brion Economics Inc 2513-SMC NA Final Tables 61216 6122016

No of Non- No of Employee

Resident No of 0 to 2 No of 3 to 4 Children Needing

CityArea Assumptions Employees Year Olds Year Olds Licensed Care

Estimated Percent of Employees

Needing Licensed Care (1) 300 40 60 100

Atherton 1051 13 19 32

Belmont 3108 37 56 93

Brisbane 4593 55 83 138

Burlingame 12850 154 232 385

Daly CityColma 11521 138 208 346

East Palo Alto 1683 20 30 50

Foster City 6677 80 120 200

Half Moon Bay Region (2) 1138 14 21 34

Hillsborough 583 7 11 17

Menlo Park 19813 237 357 594

Millbrae 2578 31 47 77

Pacifica 1611 19 29 48

Portola Valley 736 9 13 22

Redwood City 38624 462 697 1159

San Bruno 5695 68 103 171

San Carlos 6834 82 123 205

San Mateo 21855 261 394 656

South Coast (3) 0 0 0 0

South San Francisco 24173 289 436 725

Woodside 747 9 13 22

SF Airport (4) 4185 50 75 126

Remainder (4) 333 4 6 10

Total Countywide 170387 2037 3074 5112

FINAL

Table 8

Employee Demand Summary Table for 2025

San Mateo County Child Care Study - 2016

Note Totals may be off slightly due to rounding

(1) We are assuming 3 of employees children require licensed care the breakdown of demand for infant and

preschool spaces is based on the percentage of infants and preschoolers who currently reside in San Mateo County

(2) Half Moon Bay Region includes the City of Half Moon Bay El Granada Montara and Moss Beach

(3) South Coast includes La Honda Loma Mar and Pescadero

(4) SF Airport and Remainder are groupings by ABAG For employment SF Airport demand is attributed to South San

Francisco and Remainder demand is included with Redwood City

Sources 2010 US Census ABAG Projections 2013 2014 5-Year American Community Survey Journey-To-Work Data

Brion Economics Inc

Prepared by Brion Economics Inc 2513-SMC NA Final Tables 61216 6122016

2015

Surplus(Shortage) of Infant Surplus(Shortage) of Preschool Total Total

CityArea of Infant Spaces Demand Met of Preschool Spaces Demand Met Surplus(Shortage) Demand Met

Atherton 2 107 108 165 110 157

Belmont (130) 45 (335) 65 (465) 61

Brisbane (94) 4 (162) 30 (255) 22

Burlingame (219) 35 (271) 78 (489) 69

Daly CityColma (439) 46 (1612) 50 (2051) 49

East Palo Alto (182) 38 (680) 52 (862) 50

Foster City (62) 77 203 118 141 110

Half Moon Bay Region (1) (13) 91 (336) 55 (349) 61

Hillsborough (28) 15 (185) 34 (213) 32

Menlo Park (2) (367) 29 (363) 80 (730) 68

Millbrae (61) 50 (186) 71 (247) 0

Pacifica (128) 48 (319) 71 (447) 67

Portola Valley (26) 0 (18) 89 (45) 77

Redwood City (2) (490) 61 (2034) 55 (2524) 57

San Bruno (216) 41 (82) 94 (298) 83

San Carlos (121) 55 (516) 58 (637) 57

San Mateo (302) 70 (690) 82 (992) 80

South Coast (3) (4) 0 31 230 26 195

South San Francisco (103) 86 (306) 88 (408) 88

Woodside (23) 16 (33) 77 (55) 67

Countywide (3006) 56 (7783) 71 (10789) 68

FINAL

Table 9

Summary of Demand Met by Existing Facilities in Each Community at 2015

San Mateo County Child Care Study - 2016

Note Totals may be off slightly due to rounding

(1) Half Moon Bay Region includes the City of Half Moon Bay El Granada Montara and Moss Beach

(2) ABAG Projections have 6300 people listed as Remainder population this amount is divided equally between Menlo Park and Redwood

City given that they are surrounded by unincorporated areas

(3) South Coast includes La Honda Loma Mar and Pescadero

Sources 2010 US Census ABAG Projections 2013 Brion Economics Inc

Prepared by Brion Economics Inc 2513-SMC NA Final Tables 61216 6122016

2025

Surplus(Shortage) of Infant Surplus(Shortage) of Preschool Total Total

CityArea of Infant Spaces Demand Met of Preschool Spaces Demand Met Surplus(Shortage) Demand Met

Atherton 0 101 101 158 101 150

Belmont (143) 43 (384) 62 (527) 58

Brisbane (99) 4 (174) 29 (273) 21

Burlingame (252) 32 (390) 71 (642) 63

Daly CityColma (493) 43 (1816) 47 (2308) 46

East Palo Alto (215) 34 (836) 47 (1050) 45

Foster City (77) 73 150 112 73 105

Half Moon Bay Region (1) (24) 84 (396) 51 (421) 56

Hillsborough (29) 14 (195) 33 (225) 31

Menlo Park (2) (424) 26 (584) 71 (1008) 61

Millbrae (76) 45 (264) 63 (340) 60

Pacifica (138) 46 (361) 69 (499) 65

Portola Valley (28) 0 (24) 87 (51) 75

Redwood City (2) (660) 53 (2674) 49 (3334) 50

San Bruno (257) 37 (242) 85 (499) 75

San Carlos (139) 52 (590) 54 (729) 54

San Mateo (398) 64 (1037) 75 (1435) 73

South Coast (3) (5) 0 28 209 24 177

South San Francisco (183) 78 (591) 79 (775) 79

Woodside (24) 15 (38) 74 (61) 65

Countywide (3663) 51 (10318) 65 (13981) 62

FINAL

Table 10

Summary of Demand Met by Existing Facilities in Each Community at 2025

San Mateo County Child Care Study - 2016

Note Totals may be off slightly due to rounding

(1) Half Moon Bay Region includes the City of Half Moon Bay El Granada Montara and Moss Beach

(2) ABAG Projections have 6300 people listed as Remainder population this amount is divided equally between Menlo Park and Redwood

City given that they are surrounded by unincorporated areas

(3) South Coast includes La Honda Loma Mar and Pescadero

Sources 2010 US Census ABAG Projections 2013 Brion Economics Inc

Prepared by Brion Economics Inc 2513-SMC NA Final Tables 61216 6122016

Table 11

Number of Child Care Providers by City in 2015

San Mateo County Child Care Study - 2016

Family Child Licensed

CityArea Care Homes Centers Total

Atherton 1 6 7

Belmont 18 9 27

Brisbane 1 1 2

Burlingame 21 14 35

Daly CityColma 85 28 113

East Palo Alto 21 6 27

Foster City 29 12 41

Half Moon Bay Region (1) 28 11 39

Hillsborough 1 4 5

Menlo Park (2) 18 25 43

Millbrae 17 7 24

Pacifica 21 18 39

Portola Valley 0 4 4

Redwood City (2) 111 45 156

San Bruno 34 15 49

San Carlos 20 14 34

San Mateo 126 59 185

South Coast (3) 0 2 2

South San Francisco 68 27 95

Woodside 1 2 3

Countywide 621 309 930

FINAL

(1) Half Moon Bay Region includes the City of Half Moon Bay El Granada

Montara and Moss Beach

(2) ABAG Projections have 6300 people listed as Remainder population

this amount is divided equally between Menlo Park and Redwood City

given that they are surrounded by unincorporated areas

(3) South Coast includes La Honda Loma Mar and Pescadero

Sources Child Care Coordinating Council of San Mateo County (4Cs)

Community Care Licensing Brion Economics Inc

Prepared by Brion Economics Inc 2513-SMC NA Final Tables 61216 6122016

CityArea

Shortage

Infant

Center

Spaces

Infant care

Percentage

of Shortage

Shortage

Preschool

Center

Spaces

Preschool

Percentage

of Shortage

Total Center-

Based Space

Shortage

Atherton

Belmont

Brisbane

Burlingame

Daly CityColma

East Palo Alto

Foster City

Half Moon Bay Region

Hillsborough

Menlo Park

Millbrae

Pacifica

Portola Valley

Redwood City

San Bruno

San Carlos

San Mateo

South Coast

South San Francisco

Woodside

Countywide

NA

(48)

NA

(73)

(99)

(42)

(27)

(3)

NA

(180)

0

(43)

(26)

(232)

(38)

(62)

(90)

(2)

(63)

NA

NA

14

NA

23

7

7

100

1

NA

35

0

13

59

12

34

12

14

NA

19

NA

NA

(289)

(149)

(243)

(1253)

(582)

NA

(236)

(173)

(338)

(154)

(280)

(18)

(1635)

(73)

(449)

(557)

NA

(263)

(31)

NA

86

100

77

93

93

NA

99

100

65

100

87

41

88

66

88

86

NA

81

100

NA

(337)

(149)

(316)

(1352)

(623)

(27)

(240)

(173)

(518)

(154)

(323)

(45)

(1867)

(110)

(511)

(647)

(2)

(326)

(31)

(1193) 15 (6609) 85 (7802)

FINAL

Table 12

Summary of Shortage of Child Care Center Spaces by Age - 2015

San Mateo County Child Care Study - 2016

Sources Child Care Coordinating Council of San Mateo County (4Cs) Community Care Licensing

Brion Economics Inc

Prepared by Brion Economics Inc 2513-SMC NA Final Tables 61216 6122016

CityArea

Shortage

Infant Center

Spaces

Infant care

Percentage

of Shortage

Shortage

Preschool

Center

Spaces

Preschool

Percentage

of Shortage

Total Center-

Based Space

Shortage

Atherton

Belmont

Brisbane

Burlingame

Daly CityColma

East Palo Alto

Foster City

Half Moon Bay Region

Hillsborough

Menlo Park

Millbrae

Pacifica

Portola Valley

Redwood City

San Bruno

San Carlos

San Mateo

South Coast

South San Francisco

Woodside

Countywide

NA

(53)

NA

(85)

(111)

(49)

(33)

(6)

NA

(207)

0

(46)

(28)

(313)

(45)

(71)

(119)

(5)

(113)

0

NA

14

NA

19

7

6

100

2

NA

28

0

13

54

13

17

12

12

NA

18

NA

NA

(331)

(160)

(350)

(1412)

(715)

NA

(279)

(183)

(544)

(219)

(317)

(24)

(2149)

(214)

(514)

(837)

NA

(509)

(36)

NA

86

100

81

93

94

NA

98

100

72

100

87

46

87

83

88

88

NA

82

100

NA

(384)

(160)

(434)

(1523)

(764)

(33)

(285)

(183)

(752)

(219)

(364)

(51)

(2462)

(259)

(585)

(955)

(5)

(622)

(36)

(1454) 14 (8762) 86 (10216)

FINAL

Table 13

Summary of Shortage of Child Care Center Spaces by Age - 2025

San Mateo County Child Care Study - 2016

Sources Child Care Coordinating Council of San Mateo County (4Cs) Community Care Licensing

Brion Economics Inc

Prepared by Brion Economics Inc 2513-SMC NA Final Tables 61216 6122016

COUNTYWIDE

Child Care as of 2015

No of

Providers

Under 2 Years

Old

2 to 4 Year

Olds

Total 0 to 4

Years

EXISTING DEMAND Child Care Demand

Estimated Total Children

Average LFPRAdjustment Factor

Children With Working Parents

Licensed Care Demand Factor

Resident Children Needing Licensed Care

of Total Resident Children Needing Licensed Care

Children from Non-Resident Employees Needing

Licensed Care

Total Demand for Child Care Spaces

Distribution

EXISTING SUPPLY

(1)

(2)

(3)

(4)

19008 28678

71

13449 25720

37

4976 24188

26 84

1845 2784

6821 26971

20 80

Child Care Spaces

47686

39169

86

29164

61

4629

33792

100

Family Child Care Home Supply

Child Care Center Supply

Current Child Care Supply

Distribution

EXISTING SURPLUS(SHORTAGE)

Distribution

Percentage of Demand Met

by Existing FacilitiesSpaces

Shortage of Family Child Care Home Spaces

Shortage of Center-Based Spaces

(5)

(6)

(6)

621

309 -930

2301 2893

1514 16296 - -3815 19189

17 83

(3006) (7783)

28 72

56 71

(1813) (1173)

(1193) (6609)

5193

17810 -23003

100

(10789)

100

68

(2986)

(7802)

FINAL

Table A-1

Existing Child Care Demand and Supply in 2015 Countywide

San Mateo County Child Care Study - 2016

Note All footnote references can be found in Table C-1 at the end of this file

Sources 2010 US Census ABAG Projections 2013 2014 American Community Survey ACS Journey-to-Work data 2006-2008 and 2006-2010

Child Care Coordinating Council of San Mateo County (4Cs) Community Care Licensing Brion Economics Inc

Prepared by Brion Economics Inc 2513-SMC NA Final Tables 61216 6122016

ATHERTON

Child Care as of 2015

No of

Providers

Under 2 Years

Old

2 to 4 Year

Olds

Total 0 to 4

Years

EXISTING DEMAND Child Care Demand

Estimated Total Children

Average LFPRAdjustment Factor

Children With Working Parents

Licensed Care Demand Factor

Resident Children Needing Licensed Care

of Total Resident Children Needing Licensed Care

Children from Non-Resident Employees Needing

Licensed Care

(1)

(2)

(3)

105 185

40

42 153

37

15 147

15 80

12 18

290

194

84

163

56

29

Total Demand for Child Care Spaces

Distribution

EXISTING SUPPLY (4)

27 165

14 86

Child Care Spaces

192

100

Family Child Care Home Supply

Child Care Center Supply

Current Child Care Supply

Distribution

EXISTING SURPLUS(SHORTAGE)

Distribution

Percentage of Demand Met

by Existing FacilitiesSpaces

Shortage of Family Child Care Home Spaces

Shortage of Center-Based Spaces

(5)

(6)

(6)

1

6

7

5 6

24 267

29 273

10 90

2 108

2 98

107 165

NA NA

NA NA

11

291

302

100

110

100

157

NA

NA

FINAL

Table A-2

Existing Child Care Demand and Supply in 2015 in Atherton

San Mateo Co unty Child Care Study - 2016

Note All footnote references can be found in Table C-1 at the end of this file

Sources 2010 US Census ABAG Projections 2013 2014 American Community Survey ACS Journey-to-Work data 2006-2008 and 2006-2010

Child Care Coordinating Council of San Mateo County (4Cs) Community Care Licensing Brion Economics Inc

Prepared by Brion Economics Inc 2513-SMC NA Final Tables 61216 6122016

BELMONT

Child Care as of 2015

No of

Providers

Under 2 Years

Old

2 to 4 Year

Olds

Total 0 to 4

Years

EXISTING DEMAND Child Care Demand

Estimated Total Children

Average LFPRAdjustment Factor

Children With Working Parents

Licensed Care Demand Factor

Resident Children Needing Licensed Care

of Total Resident Children Needing Licensed Care

Children from Non-Resident Employees Needing

Licensed Care

(1)

(2)

(3)

708 1045

77

548 966

37

203 899

29 86

34 51

1753

1513

73

1102

63

85

Total Demand for Child Care Spaces

Distribution

EXISTING SUPPLY (4)

237 950

20 80

Child Care Spaces

1187

100

Family Child Care Home Supply

Child Care Center Supply

Current Child Care Supply

Distribution

EXISTING SURPLUS(SHORTAGE)

Distribution

Percentage of Demand Met

by Existing FacilitiesSpaces

Shortage of Family Child Care Home Spaces

Shortage of Center-Based Spaces

(5)

(6)

(6)

18

9

27

67 84

39 531

106 615

15 85

(130) (335)

28 72

45 65

(83) (46)

(48) (289)

152

570

722

100

(465)

100

61

(128)

(337)

FINAL

Table A-3

Existing Child Care Demand and Supply in 2015 in Belmont

San Mateo County Child Care Study - 2016

Note All footnote references can be found in Table C-1 at the end of this file Sources 2010 US Census ABAG Projections 2013 2014 American Community Survey ACS Journey-to-Work data 2006-2008 and

2006-2010 Child Care Coordinating Council of San Mateo County (4Cs) Community Care Licensing Brion Economics Inc

Prepared by Brion Economics Inc 2513-SMC NA Final Tables 61216 6122016

FINAL

Table A-4

Existing Child Care Demand and Supply in 2015 in Brisbane

San Mateo County Child Care Study - 2016

BRISBANE

Child Care as of 2015

No of

Providers

Under 2 Years

Old

2 to 4 Year

Olds

Total 0 to 4

Years

EXISTING DEMAND Child Care Demand

Estimated Total Children (1) 125 166 292

Average LFPRAdjustment Factor (2) 100

Children With Working Parents 125 166 292

Licensed Care Demand Factor (3) 37 68

Resident Children Needing Licensed Care 46 153 199

of Total Resident Children Needing Licensed Care 37 92 68

Children from Non-Resident Employees Needing

Licensed Care 52 78 129

Total Demand for Child Care Spaces 98 231 329

Distribution 30 70 100

EXISTING SUPPLY (4) Child Care Spaces

Family Child Care Home Supply 1 4 5 9

Child Care Center Supply 1 - 64 64

Current Child Care Supply 2 4 69 73

Distribution 6 94 100

EXISTING SURPLUS(SHORTAGE) (94) (162) (255)

Distribution 37 63 100

Percentage of Demand Met

by Existing FacilitiesSpaces (5) 4 30 22

Shortage of Family Child Care Home Spaces (6) (94) (12) (106)

Shortage of Center-Based Spaces (6) 0 (149) (149)

Note All footnote references can be found in Table C-1 at the end of this file

Sources 2010 US Census ABAG Projections 2013 2014 American Community Survey ACS Journey-to-Work data 2006-2008 and 2006-2010

Child Care Coordinating Council of San Mateo County (4Cs) Community Care Licensing Brion Economics Inc

Prepared by Brion Economics Inc 2513-SMC NA Final Tables 61216 6122016

BURLINGAME

Child Care as of 2015

No of

Providers

Under 2 Years

Old

2 to 4 Year

Olds

Total 0 to 4

Years

EXISTING DEMAND Child Care Demand

Estimated Total Children

Average LFPRAdjustment Factor

Children With Working Parents

Licensed Care Demand Factor

Resident Children Needing Licensed Care

of Total Resident Children Needing Licensed Care

Children from Non-Resident Employees Needing

Licensed Care

(1)

(2)

(3)

824 1216

65

535 1086

37

198 1025

24 84

140 211

2040

1621

75

1224

60

350

Total Demand for Child Care Spaces

Distribution

EXISTING SUPPLY (4)

338 1236

21 79

Child Care Spaces

1574

100

Family Child Care Home Supply

Child Care Center Supply

Current Child Care Supply

Distribution

EXISTING SURPLUS(SHORTAGE)

Distribution

Percentage of Demand Met

by Existing FacilitiesSpaces

Shortage of Family Child Care Home Spaces

Shortage of Center-Based Spaces

(5)

(6)

(6)

21

14

35

79 99

40 866

119 965

11 89

(219) (271)

45 55

35 78

(145) (28)

(73) (243)

179

906

1085

100

(489)

100

69

(173)

(316)

FINAL

Table A-5

Existing Child Care Demand and Supply in 2015 in Burlingame

San Mateo County Child Care Study - 2016

Note All footnote references can be found in Table C-1 at the end of this file

Sources 2010 US Census ABAG Projections 2013 2014 American Community Survey ACS Journey-to-Work data 2006-2008 and 2006-2010

Child Care Coordinating Council of San Mateo County (4Cs) Community Care Licensing Brion Economics Inc

Prepared by Brion Economics Inc 2513-SMC NA Final Tables 61216 6122016

DALY CITYCOLMA

Child Care as of 2015

No of

Providers

Under 2 Years

Old

2 to 4 Year

Olds

Total 0 to 4

Years

EXISTING DEMAND Child Care Demand

Estimated Total Children

Average LFPRAdjustment Factor

Children With Working Parents

Licensed Care Demand Factor

Resident Children Needing Licensed Care

of Total Resident Children Needing Licensed Care

Children from Non-Resident Employees Needing

Licensed Care

(1)

(2)

(3)

2495 3575

742

1851 3268

37

685 3047

27 85

126 190

6070

5119

73

3732

61

316

Total Demand for Child Care Spaces

Distribution

EXISTING SUPPLY (4)

811 3237

20 80

Child Care Spaces

4048

100

Family Child Care Home Supply

Child Care Center Supply

Current Child Care Supply

Distribution

EXISTING SURPLUS(SHORTAGE)

Distribution

Percentage of Demand Met

by Existing FacilitiesSpaces

Shortage of Family Child Care Home Spaces

Shortage of Center-Based Spaces

(5)

(6)

(6)

85

28

113

288 362

84 1264

372 1626

19 81

(439) (1612)

21 79

46 50

(340) (359)

(99) (1253)

649

1348

1997

100

(2051)

100

49

(698)

(1352)

FINAL

Table A-6

Existing Child Care Demand and Supply in 2015 in Daly CityColma

San Mateo Co unty Child Care Study - 2016

Note All footnote references can be found in Table C-1 at the end of this file

Sources 2010 US Census ABAG Projections 2013 2014 American Community Survey ACS Journey-to-Work data 2006-2008 and 2006-2010

Child Care Coordinating Council of San Mateo County (4Cs) Community Care Licensing Brion Economics Inc

Prepared by Brion Economics Inc 2513-SMC NA Final Tables 61216 6122016

EAST PALO ALTO

Child Care as of 2015

No of

Providers

Under 2 Years

Old

2 to 4 Year

Olds

Total 0 to 4

Years

EXISTING DEMAND Child Care Demand

Estimated Total Children

Average LFPRAdjustment Factor

Children With Working Parents

Licensed Care Demand Factor

Resident Children Needing Licensed Care

of Total Resident Children Needing Licensed Care

Children from Non-Resident Employees Needing

Licensed Care

(1)

(2)

(3)

1046 1667

71

741 1496

37

274 1392

26 84

18 27

2713

2237

75

1666

61

45

Total Demand for Child Care Spaces

Distribution

EXISTING SUPPLY (4)

292 1419

17 83

Child Care Spaces

1711

100

Family Child Care Home Supply

Child Care Center Supply

Current Child Care Supply

Distribution

EXISTING SURPLUS(SHORTAGE)

Distribution

Percentage of Demand Met

by Existing FacilitiesSpaces

Shortage of Family Child Care Home Spaces

Shortage of Center-Based Spaces

(5)

(6)

(6)

21

6

27

85 106

25 633

110 739

13 87

(182) (680)

21 79

38 52

(141) (98)

(42) (582)

191

658

849

100

(862)

100

50

(239)

(623)

FINAL

Table A-7

Existing Child Care Demand and Supply in 2015 in East Palo Alto

San Mateo County Child Care Study - 2016

Note All footnote references can be found in Table C-1 at the end of this file Sources 2010 US Census ABAG Projections 2013 2014 American Community Survey ACS Journey-to-Work data 2006-2008 and 2006-2010

Child Care Coordinating Council of San Mateo County (4Cs) Community Care Licensing Brion Economics Inc

Prepared by Brion Economics Inc 2513-SMC NA Final Tables 61216 6122016

FOSTER CITY

Child Care as of 2015

No of

Providers

Under 2 Years

Old

2 to 4 Year

Olds

Total 0 to 4

Years

EXISTING DEMAND Child Care Demand

Estimated Total Children

Average LFPRAdjustment Factor

Children With Working Parents

Licensed Care Demand Factor

Resident Children Needing Licensed Care

of Total Resident Children Needing Licensed Care

Children from Non-Resident Employees Needing

Licensed Care

(1)

(2)

(3)

836 1277

63

528 1108

37

195 1035

23 81

73 110

2113

1636

75

1231

58

183

Total Demand for Child Care Spaces

Distribution

EXISTING SUPPLY (4)

268 1145

19 81

Child Care Spaces

1414

100

Family Child Care Home Supply

Child Care Center Supply

Current Child Care Supply

Distribution

EXISTING SURPLUS(SHORTAGE)

Distribution

Percentage of Demand Met

by Existing FacilitiesSpaces

Shortage of Family Child Care Home Spaces

Shortage of Center-Based Spaces

(5)

(6)

(6)

29

12

41

118 149

88 1200

206 1349

13 87

(62) 203

NA NA

77 118

(36) NA

(27) NA

267

1288

1555

100

141

NA

110

(36)

(27)

FINAL

Table A-8

Existing Child Care Demand and Supply in 2015 in Foster City

San Mateo County Child Care Study - 2016

Note All footnote references can be found in Table C-1 at the end of this file

Sources 2010 US Census ABAG Projections 2013 2014 American Community Survey ACS Journey-to-Work data 2006-2008 and 2006-2010

Child Care Coordinating Council of San Mateo County (4Cs) Community Care Licensing Brion Economics Inc

Prepared by Brion Economics Inc 2513-SMC NA Final Tables 61216 6122016

HALF MOON BAY REGION

Child Care as of 2015

No of

Providers

Under 2 Years

Old

2 to 4 Year

Olds

Total 0 to 4

Years

EXISTING DEMAND Child Care Demand

Estimated Total Children

Average LFPRAdjustment Factor

Children With Working Parents

Licensed Care Demand Factor

Resident Children Needing Licensed Care

of Total Resident Children Needing Licensed Care

Children from Non-Resident Employees Needing

Licensed Care

(1)

(2)

(3)

511 860

69

354 772

37

131 723

26 84

13 19

1371

1126

76

854

62

32

Total Demand for Child Care Spaces

Distribution

EXISTING SUPPLY (4)

144 742

16 84

Child Care Spaces

885

100

Family Child Care Home Supply

Child Care Center Supply

Current Child Care Supply

Distribution

EXISTING SURPLUS(SHORTAGE)

Distribution

Percentage of Demand Met

by Existing FacilitiesSpaces

Shortage of Family Child Care Home Spaces

Shortage of Center-Based Spaces

(5)

(6)

(6)

28

11

39

96 121

35 285

131 406

24 76

(13) (336)

4 96

91 55

(9) (100)

(3) (236)

216

320

536

100

(349)

100

61

(109)

(240)

FINAL

Table A-9

Existing Child Care Demand and Supply in 2015 in Half Moon Bay Region

San Mateo County Child Care Study - 2016

Note All footnote references can be found in Table C-1 at the end of this file

Sources 2010 US Census ABAG Projections 2013 2014 American Community Survey ACS Journey-to-Work data 2006-2008 and 2006-2010

Child Care Coordinating Council of San Mateo County (4Cs) Community Care Licensing Brion Economics Inc

Prepared by Brion Economics Inc 2513-SMC NA Final Tables 61216 6122016

HILLSBOROUGH

Child Care as of 2015

No of

Providers

Under 2 Years

Old

2 to 4 Year

Olds

Total 0 to 4

Years

EXISTING DEMAND Child Care Demand

Estimated Total Children

Average LFPRAdjustment Factor

Children With Working Parents

Licensed Care Demand Factor

Resident Children Needing Licensed Care

of Total Resident Children Needing Licensed Care

Children from Non-Resident Employees Needing

Licensed Care

(1)

(2)

(3)

138 331

52

71 284

37

26 272

19 82

7 10

469

356

84

298

64

16

Total Demand for Child Care Spaces

Distribution

EXISTING SUPPLY (4)

33 282

10 90

Child Care Spaces

315

100

Family Child Care Home Supply

Child Care Center Supply

Current Child Care Supply

Distribution

EXISTING SURPLUS(SHORTAGE)

Distribution

Percentage of Demand Met

by Existing FacilitiesSpaces

Shortage of Family Child Care Home Spaces

Shortage of Center-Based Spaces

(5)

(6)

(6)

1

4

5

5 6

- 91

5 97

5 95

(28) (185)

13 87

15 34

(28) (12)

0 (173)

11

91

102

100

(213)

100

32

(40)

(173)

FINAL

Table A-10

Existing Child Care Demand and Supply in 2015 in Hillsborough

San Mateo County Child Care Study - 2016

Note All footnote references can be found in Table C-1 at the end of this file Sources 2010 US Census ABAG Projections 2013 2014 American Community Survey ACS Journey-to-Work data 2006-2008 and 2006-2010

Child Care Coordinating Council of San Mateo County (4Cs) Community Care Licensing Brion Economics Inc

Prepared by Brion Economics Inc 2513-SMC NA Final Tables 61216 6122016

MENLO PARK

Child Care as of 2015

No of

Providers

Under 2 Years

Old

2 to 4 Year

Olds

Total 0 to 4

Years

EXISTING DEMAND Child Care Demand

Estimated Total Children

Average LFPRAdjustment Factor

Children With Working Parents

Licensed Care Demand Factor

Resident Children Needing Licensed Care

of Total Resident Children Needing Licensed Care

Children from Non-Resident Employees Needing

Licensed Care

(1)

(2)

(3)

1170 1723

69

802 1551

37

297 1458

25 85

220 332

2893

2353

75

1754

61

552

Total Demand for Child Care Spaces

Distribution

EXISTING SUPPLY (4)

516 1790

22 78

Child Care Spaces

2306

100

Family Child Care Home Supply

Child Care Center Supply

Current Child Care Supply

Distribution

EXISTING SURPLUS(SHORTAGE)

Distribution

Percentage of Demand Met

by Existing FacilitiesSpaces

Shortage of Family Child Care Home Spaces

Shortage of Center-Based Spaces

(5)

(6)

(6)

18

25

43

76 96

73 1331

149 1427

9 91

(367) (363)

50 50

29 80

(188) (24)

(180) (338)

172

1404

1576

100

(730)

100

68

(212)

(518)

FINAL

Table A-11

Existing Child Care Demand and Supply in 2015 in Menlo Park

San Mateo County Child Care Study - 2016

Note All footnote references can be found in Table C-1 at the end of this file Sources 2010 US Census ABAG Projections 2013 2014 American Community Survey ACS Journey-to-Work data 2006-2008 and 2006-2010

Child Care Coordinating Council of San Mateo County (4Cs) Community Care Licensing Brion Economics Inc

Prepared by Brion Economics Inc 2513-SMC NA Final Tables 61216 6122016

MILLBRAE

Child Care as of 2015

No of

Providers

Under 2 Years

Old

2 to 4 Year

Olds

Total 0 to 4

Years

EXISTING DEMAND Child Care Demand

Total Children

Average LFPRAdjustment Factor

Children With Working Parents

Licensed Care Demand Factor

Resident Children Needing Licensed Care

of Total Resident Children Needing Licensed Care

Children from Non-Resident Employees Needing

Licensed Care

(1)

(2)

(3)

421 717

62

260 632

37

96 598

23 83

28 42

1138

892

78

694

61

69

Total Demand for Child Care Spaces

Distribution

EXISTING SUPPLY (4)

124 640

16 84

Child Care Spaces

764

100

Family Child Care Home Supply

Child Care Center Supply

Current Child Care Supply

Distribution

EXISTING SURPLUS(SHORTAGE)

Distribution

Percentage of Demand Met

by Existing FacilitiesSpaces

Shortage of Family Child Care Home Spaces

Shortage of Center-Based Spaces

(5)

(6)

(6)

17

7

24

62 78

- 376

62 454

12 88

(61) (186)

25 75

50 71

(61) (32)

0 (154)

141

376

517

100

(247)

100

68

(93)

(154)

FINAL

Table A-12

Existing Child Care Demand and Supply in 2015 in Millbrae

San Mateo Co unty Child Care Study - 2016

Note All footnote references can be found in Table C-1 at the end of this file

Sources 2010 US Census ABAG Projections 2013 2014 American Community Survey ACS Journey-to-Work data 2006-2008 and 2006-2010

Child Care Coordinating Council of San Mateo County (4Cs) Community Care Licensing Brion Economics Inc

Prepared by Brion Economics Inc 2513-SMC NA Final Tables 61216 6122016

PACIFICA

Child Care as of 2015

No of

Providers

Under 2 Years

Old

2 to 4 Year

Olds

Total 0 to 4

Years

EXISTING DEMAND Child Care Demand

Estimated Total Children

Average LFPRAdjustment Factor

Children With Working Parents

Licensed Care Demand Factor

Resident Children Needing Licensed Care

of Total Resident Children Needing Licensed Care

Children from Non-Resident Employees Needing

Licensed Care

(1)

(2)

(3)

787 1253

78

610 1165

37

226 1089

29 87

18 27

2040

1776

74

1315

64

45

Total Demand for Child Care Spaces

Distribution

EXISTING SUPPLY (4)

244 1117

18 83

Child Care Spaces

1360

100

Family Child Care Home Supply

Child Care Center Supply

Current Child Care Supply

Distribution

EXISTING SURPLUS(SHORTAGE)

Distribution

Percentage of Demand Met

by Existing FacilitiesSpaces

Shortage of Family Child Care Home Spaces

Shortage of Center-Based Spaces

(5)

(6)

(6)

21

18

39

77 97

39 701

116 798

13 87

(128) (319)

29 71

48 71

(85) (39)

(43) (280)

174

740

914

100

(447)

100

67

(124)

(323)

FINAL

Table A-13

Existing Child Care Demand and Supply in 2015 in Pacifica

San Mateo County Child Care Study - 2016

Note All footnote references can be found in Table C-1 at the end of this file Sources 2010 US Census ABAG Projections 2013 2014 American Community Survey ACS Journey-to-Work data 2006-2008 and 2006-2010

Child Care Coordinating Council of San Mateo County (4Cs) Community Care Licensing Brion Economics Inc

Prepared by Brion Economics Inc 2513-SMC NA Final Tables 61216 6122016

PORTOLA VALLEY

No of

Providers

Child Care as of 2015

Under 2 Years

Old

2 to 4 Year

Olds

Total 0 to 4

Years

EXISTING DEMAND Child Care Demand

Estimated Total Children

Average LFPRAdjustment Factor

Children With Working Parents

Licensed Care Demand Factor

Resident Children Needing Licensed Care

of Total Resident Children Needing Licensed Care

Children from Non-Resident Employees Needing

Licensed Care

(1)

(2)

(3)

75 187

66

49 168

37

18 159

24 85

8 12

261

217

82

177

68

21

Total Demand for Child Care Spaces

Distribution

EXISTING SUPPLY (4)

26 171

13 87

Child Care Spaces

198

100

Family Child Care Home Supply

Child Care Center Supply

Current Child Care Supply

Distribution

EXISTING SURPLUS(SHORTAGE)

Distribution

Percentage of Demand Met

by Existing FacilitiesSpaces

Shortage of Family Child Care Home Spaces

Shortage of Center-Based Spaces

(5)

(6)

(6)

0

4

4

0 0

0 153

0 153

0 100

(26) (18)

59 41

0 89

0 0

(26) (18)

0

153

153

100

(45)

100

77

0

(45)

FINAL

Table A-14

Existing Child Care Demand and Supply in 2015 in Portola Valley

San Mateo County Child Care Study - 2016

Note All footnote references can be found in Table C-1 at the end of this file Sources 2010 US Census ABAG Projections 2013 2014 American Community Survey ACS Journey-to-Work data 2006-2008 and 2006-2010

Child Care Coordinating Council of San Mateo County (4Cs) Community Care Licensing Brion Economics Inc

Prepared by Brion Economics Inc 2513-SMC NA Final Tables 61216 6122016

REDWOOD CITY

Child Care as of 2015

No of

Providers

Under 2 Years

Old

2 to 4 Year

Olds

Total 0 to 4

Years

EXISTING DEMAND Child Care Demand

Estimated Total Children

Average LFPRAdjustment Factor

Children With Working Parents

Licensed Care Demand Factor

Resident Children Needing Licensed Care

of Total Resident Children Needing Licensed Care

Children from Non-Resident Employees Needing

Licensed Care

Total Demand for Child Care Spaces

Distribution

EXISTING SUPPLY

(1)

(2)

(3)

(4)

3260 4706

69

2236 4212

37

827 3942

25 84

414 625

1241 4567

21 79

Child Care Spaces

7966

6449

74

4770

60

1038

5808

100

Family Child Care Home Supply

Child Care Center Supply

Current Child Care Supply

Distribution

EXISTING SURPLUS(SHORTAGE)

Distribution

Percentage of Demand Met

by Existing FacilitiesSpaces

Shortage of Family Child Care Home Spaces

Shortage of Center-Based Spaces

(5)

(6)

(6)

111

45

156

396 497

356 2036

752 2533

23 77

(490) (2034)

19 81

61 55

(258) (399)

(232) (1635)

893

2392

3285

100

(2524)

100

57

(657)

(1867)

FINAL

Table A-15

Existing Child Care Demand and Supply in 2015 in Redwood City

San Mateo County Child Care Study - 2016

Note All footnote references can be found in Table C-1 at the end of this file Sources 2010 US Census ABAG Projections 2013 2014 American Community Survey ACS Journey-to-Work data 2006-2008 and 2006-2010

Child Care Coordinating Council of San Mateo County (4Cs) Community Care Licensing Brion Economics Inc

Prepared by Brion Economics Inc 2513-SMC NA Final Tables 61216 6122016

SAN BRUNO

Child Care as of 2015

No of

Providers

Under 2 Years

Old

2 to 4 Year

Olds

Total 0 to 4

Years

EXISTING DEMAND Child Care Demand

Estimated Total Children

Average LFPRAdjustment Factor

Children With Working Parents

Licensed Care Demand Factor

Resident Children Needing Licensed Care

of Total Resident Children Needing Licensed Care

Children from Non-Resident Employees Needing

Licensed Care

(1)

(2)

(3)

1069 1553

77

817 1428

37

302 1326

28 85

61 92

2622

2245

73

1628

62

153

Total Demand for Child Care Spaces

Distribution

EXISTING SUPPLY (4)

364 1418

20 80

Child Care Spaces

1782

100

Family Child Care Home Supply

Child Care Center Supply

Current Child Care Supply

Distribution

EXISTING SURPLUS(SHORTAGE)

Distribution

Percentage of Demand Met

by Existing FacilitiesSpaces

Shortage of Family Child Care Home Spaces

Shortage of Center-Based Spaces

(5)

(6)

(6)

34

15

49

122 153

26 1183

148 1336

10 90

(216) (82)

72 28

41 94

(178) (9)

(38) (73)

275

1209

1484

100

(298)

100

83

(187)

(110)

FINAL

Table A-16

Existing Child Care Demand and Supply in 2015 in San Bruno

San Mateo County Child Care Study - 2016

Note All footnote references can be found in Table C-1 at the end of this file Sources 2010 US Census ABAG Projections 2013 2014 American Community Survey ACS Journey-to-Work data 2006-2008 and 2006-2010

Child Care Coordinating Council of San Mateo County (4Cs) Community Care Licensing Brion Economics Inc

Prepared by Brion Economics Inc 2513-SMC NA Final Tables 61216 6122016

SAN CARLOS

Child Care as of 2015

No of

Providers

Under 2 Years

Old

2 to 4 Year

Olds

Total 0 to 4

Years

EXISTING DEMAND Child Care Demand

Estimated Total Children

Average LFPRAdjustment Factor

Children With Working Parents

Licensed Care Demand Factor

Resident Children Needing Licensed Care

of Total Resident Children Needing Licensed Care

Children from Non-Resident Employees Needing

Licensed Care

(1)

(2)

(3)

735 1308

72

526 1186

37

195 1109

26 85

75 114

2043

1712

76

1304

64

189

Total Demand for Child Care Spaces

Distribution

EXISTING SUPPLY (4)

270 1222

18 82

Child Care Spaces

1492

100

Family Child Care Home Supply

Child Care Center Supply

Current Child Care Supply

Distribution

EXISTING SURPLUS(SHORTAGE)

Distribution

Percentage of Demand Met

by Existing FacilitiesSpaces

Shortage of Family Child Care Home Spaces

Shortage of Center-Based Spaces

(5)

(6)

(6)

20

14

34

73 92

76 615

149 707

17 83

(121) (516)

19 81

55 58

(59) (67)

(62) (449)

164

691

855

100

(637)

100

57

(126)

(511)

FINAL

Table A-17

Existing Child Care Demand and Supply in 2015 in San Carlos

San Mateo County Child Care Study - 2016

Note All footnote references can be found in Table C-1 at the end of this file

Sources 2010 US Census ABAG Projections 2013 2014 American Community Survey ACS Journey-to-Work data 2006-2008 and 2006-2010

Child Care Coordinating Council of San Mateo County (4Cs) Community Care Licensing Brion Economics Inc

Prepared by Brion Economics Inc 2513-SMC NA Final Tables 61216 6122016

SAN MATEO

Child Care as of 2015

No of

Providers

Under 2 Years

Old

2 to 4 Year

Olds

Total 0 to 4

Years

EXISTING DEMAND Child Care Demand

Estimated Total Children

Average LFPRAdjustment Factor

Children With Working Parents

Licensed Care Demand Factor

Resident Children Needing Licensed Care

of Total Resident Children Needing Licensed Care

Children from Non-Resident Employees Needing

Licensed Care

(1)

(2)

(3)

2943 4213

71

2087 3793

37

772 3537

26 84

231 348

7156

5880

73

4309

60

579

Total Demand for Child Care Spaces

Distribution

EXISTING SUPPLY (4)

1003 3886

21 79

Child Care Spaces

4889

100

Family Child Care Home Supply

Child Care Center Supply

Current Child Care Supply

Distribution

EXISTING SURPLUS(SHORTAGE)

Distribution

Percentage of Demand Met

by Existing FacilitiesSpaces

Shortage of Family Child Care Home Spaces

Shortage of Center-Based Spaces

(5)

(6)

(6)

126

59

185

492 619

209 2577

701 3196

18 82

(302) (690)

30 70

70 82

(212) (134)

(90) (557)

1111

2786

3897

100

(992)

100

80

(345)

(647)

FINAL

Table A-18

Existing Child Care Demand and Supply in 2015 in San Mateo

San Mateo County Child Care Study - 2016

Note All footnote references can be found in Table C-1 at the end of this file

Sources 2010 US Census ABAG Projections 2013 2014 American Community Survey ACS Journey-to-Work data 2006-2008 and 2006-2010

Child Care Coordinating Council of San Mateo County (4Cs) Community Care Licensing Brion Economics Inc

Prepared by Brion Economics Inc 2513-SMC NA Final Tables 61216 6122016

SOUTH COAST

Child Care as of 2015

No of

Providers

Under 2 Years

Old

2 to 4 Year

Olds

Total 0 to 4

Years

EXISTING DEMAND Child Care Demand

Estimated Total Children

Average LFPRAdjustment Factor

Children With Working Parents

Licensed Care Demand Factor

Resident Children Needing Licensed Care

of Total Resident Children Needing Licensed Care

Children from Non-Resident Employees Needing

Licensed Care

(1)

(2)

(3)

21 29

54

11 25

37

4 23

20 81

0 0

50

36

77

28

56

0

Total Demand for Child Care Spaces

Distribution

EXISTING SUPPLY (4)

4 23

15 85

Child Care Spaces

28

100

Family Child Care Home Supply

Child Care Center Supply

Current Child Care Supply

Distribution

EXISTING SURPLUS(SHORTAGE)

Distribution

Percentage of Demand Met

by Existing FacilitiesSpaces

Shortage of Family Child Care Home Spaces

Shortage of Center-Based Spaces

(5)

(6)

(6)

-

2

2

- -

- 54

- 54

0 100

(4) 31

-16 116

0 230

(2) NA

(2) NA

0

54

54

100

26

100

195

(2)

(2)

FINAL

Table A-19

Existing Child Care Demand and Supply in 2015 in South Coast

San Mateo County Child Care Study - 2016

Note All footnote references can be found in Table C-1 at the end of this file

Sources 2010 US Census ABAG Projections 2013 2014 American Community Survey ACS Journey-to-Work data 2006-2008 and 2006-2010

Child Care Coordinating Council of San Mateo County (4Cs) Community Care Licensing Brion Economics Inc

Prepared by Brion Economics Inc 2513-SMC NA Final Tables 61216 6122016

SOUTH SAN FRANCISCO

Child Care as of 2015

No of

Providers

Under 2 Years

Old

2 to 4 Year

Olds

Total 0 to 4

Years

EXISTING DEMAND Child Care Demand

Estimated Total Children

Average LFPRAdjustment Factor

Children With Working Parents

Licensed Care Demand Factor

Resident Children Needing Licensed Care

of Total Resident Children Needing Licensed Care

Children from Non-Resident Employees Needing

Licensed Care

(1)

(2)

(3)

1649 2507

73

1206 2278

37

446 2123

27 85

309 466

4156

3484

74

2569

62

774

Total Demand for Child Care Spaces

Distribution

EXISTING SUPPLY (4)

755 2588

23 77

Child Care Spaces

3343

100

Family Child Care Home Supply

Child Care Center Supply

Current Child Care Supply

Distribution

EXISTING SURPLUS(SHORTAGE)

Distribution

Percentage of Demand Met

by Existing FacilitiesSpaces

Shortage of Family Child Care Home Spaces

Shortage of Center-Based Spaces

(5)

(6)

(6)

68

27

95

252 317

400 1966

652 2283

22 78

(103) (306)

25 75

86 88

(40) (42)

(63) (263)

569

2366

2935

100

(408)

100

88

(82)

(326)

FINAL

Table A-20

Existing Child Care Demand and Supply in 2015 in South San Francisco

San Mateo County Child Care Study - 2016

Note All footnote references can be found in Table C-1 at the end of this file Sources 2010 US Census ABAG Projections 2013 2014 American Community Survey ACS Journey-to-Work data 2006-2008 and 2006-2010

Child Care Coordinating Council of San Mateo County (4Cs) Community Care Licensing Brion Economics Inc

Prepared by Brion Economics Inc 2513-SMC NA Final Tables 61216 6122016

WOODSIDE

No of

Providers

Child Care as of 2015

Under 2 Years

Old

2 to 4 Year

Olds

Total 0 to 4

Years

EXISTING DEMAND Child Care Demand

Estimated Total Children

Average LFPRAdjustment Factor

Children With Working Parents

Licensed Care Demand Factor

Resident Children Needing Licensed Care

of Total Resident Children Needing Licensed Care

Children from Non-Resident Employees Needing

Licensed Care

(1)

(2)

(3)

90 160

56

50 136

37

18 128

21 80

8 13

250

186

79

147

59

21

Total Demand for Child Care Spaces

Distribution

EXISTING SUPPLY (4)

27 141

16 84

Child Care Spaces

168

100

Family Child Care Home Supply

Child Care Center Supply

Current Child Care Supply

Distribution

EXISTING SURPLUS(SHORTAGE)

Distribution

Percentage of Demand Met

by Existing FacilitiesSpaces

Shortage of Family Child Care Home Spaces

Shortage of Center-Based Spaces

(5)

(6)

(6)

1

2

3

4 5

0 103

4 108

4 96

(23) (33)

41 59

16 77

(23) (2)

0 (31)

9

103

112

100

(55)

100

67

(24)

(31)

FINAL

Table A-21

Existing Child Care Demand and Supply in 2015 in Woodside

San Mateo County Child Care Study - 2016

Note All footnote references can be found in Table C-1 at the end of this file Sources 2010 US Census ABAG Projections 2013 2014 American Community Survey ACS Journey-to-Work data 2006-2008 and 2006-2010

Child Care Coordinating Council of San Mateo County (4Cs) Community Care Licensing Brion Economics Inc

Prepared by Brion Economics Inc 2513-SMC NA Final Tables 61216 6122016

COUNTYWIDE

Child Care as of 2025

No of

Providers

Under 2 Years

Old

2 to 4 Year

Olds

Total 0 to 4

Years

EXISTING DEMAND Child Care Demand

Estimated Total Children

Average LFPRAdjustment Factor

Children With Working Parents

Licensed Care Demand Factor

Resident Children Needing Licensed Care

of Total Resident Children Needing Licensed Care

Children from Non-Resident Employees Needing

Licensed Care

Total Demand for Child Care Spaces

Distribution

EXISTING SUPPLY

(1)

(2)

(3)

(4)

20790 31340

71

14704 28273

37

5441 26432

26 84

2037 3074

7478 29506

20 80

Child Care Spaces

52130

42978

86

31873

61

5112

36984

100

Family Child Care Home Supply

Child Care Center Supply

Current Child Care Supply

Distribution

EXISTING SURPLUS(SHORTAGE)

Distribution

Percentage of Demand Met

by Existing FacilitiesSpaces

Shortage of Family Child Care Home Spaces

Shortage of Center-Based Spaces

(5)

(6)

(6)

621

309

930

2301 2893

1514 16296

3815 19189

17 83

(3663) (10318)

26 74

51 65

(2209) (1555)

(1454) (8762)

5193

17810

23003

100

(13981)

100

62

(3765)

(10216)

FINAL

Table B-1

Future C hild Care Demand and Supply in 2025 Countywide

San Mateo County Child Care Study - 2016

Note All footnote references can be found in Table C-1 at the end of this file

Sources 2010 US Census ABAG Projections 2013 2014 American Community Survey ACS Journey-to-Work data 2006-2008 and 2006-2010

Child Care Coordinating Council of San Mateo County (4Cs) Community Care Licensing Brion Economics Inc

Prepared by Brion Economics Inc 2513-SMC NA Final Tables 61216 6122016

ATHERTON

No of

Providers

Child Care as of 2025

Under 2 Years

Old

2 to 4 Year

Olds

Total 0 to 4

Years

EXISTING DEMAND Child Care Demand

Estimated Total Children

Average LFPRAdjustment Factor

Children With Working Parents

Licensed Care Demand Factor

Resident Children Needing Licensed Care

of Total Resident Children Needing Licensed Care

Children from Non-Resident Employees Needing

Licensed Care

(1)

(2)

(3)

109 193

40

43 159

37

16 154

15 80

13 19

302

202

84

170

56

32

Total Demand for Child Care Spaces

Distribution

EXISTING SUPPLY (4)

29 173

14 86

Child Care Spaces

201

100

Family Child Care Home Supply

Child Care Center Supply

Current Child Care Supply

Distribution

EXISTING SURPLUS(SHORTAGE)

Distribution

Percentage of Demand Met

by Existing FacilitiesSpaces

Shortage of Family Child Care Home Spaces

Shortage of Center-Based Spaces

(5)

(6)

(6)

1

6

7

5 6

24 267

29 273

10 90

0 101

0 100

101 158

NA NA

NA NA

11

291

302

100

101

100

150

NA

NA

FINAL

Table B-2

Future Child Care Demand and Supply in 2025 in Atherton

San Mateo Co unty Child Care Study - 2016

Note All footnote references can be found in Table C-1 at the end of this file Sources 2010 US Census ABAG Projections 2013 2014 American Community Survey ACS Journey-to-Work data 2006-2008 and 2006-2010

Child Care Coordinating Council of San Mateo County (4Cs) Community Care Licensing Brion Economics Inc

Prepared by Brion Economics Inc 2513-SMC NA Final Tables 61216 6122016

BELMONT

Child Care as of 2025

No of

Providers

Under 2 Years

Old

2 to 4 Year

Olds

Total 0 to 4

Years

EXISTING DEMAND Child Care Demand

Estimated Total Children

Average LFPRAdjustment Factor

Children With Working Parents

Licensed Care Demand Factor

Resident Children Needing Licensed Care

of Total Resident Children Needing Licensed Care

Children from Non-Resident Employees Needing

Licensed Care

(1)

(2)

(3)

743 1095

77

574 1013

37

213 943

29 86

37 56

1838

1587

73

1156

63

93

Total Demand for Child Care Spaces

Distribution

EXISTING SUPPLY (4)

250 999

20 80

Child Care Spaces

1249

100

Family Child Care Home Supply

Child Care Center Supply

Current Child Care Supply

Distribution

EXISTING SURPLUS(SHORTAGE)

Distribution

Percentage of Demand Met

by Existing FacilitiesSpaces

Shortage of Family Child Care Home Spaces

Shortage of Center-Based Spaces

(5)

(6)

(6)

8

9

17

67 84

39 531

106 615

15 85

(143) (384)

27 73

43 62

(91) (53)

(53) (331)

152

570

722

100

(527)

100

58

(143)

(384)

FINAL

Table B-3

Future Child Care Demand and Supply in 2025 in Belmont

San Mateo County Child Care Study - 2016

Note All footnote references can be found in Table C-1 at the end of this file

Sources 2010 US Census ABAG Projections 2013 2014 American Community Survey ACS Journey-to-Work data 2006-2008 and 2006-2010

Child Care Coordinating Council of San Mateo County (4Cs) Community Care Licensing Brion Economics Inc

Prepared by Brion Economics Inc 2513-SMC NA Final Tables 61216 6122016

BRISBANE

Child Care as of 2025

No of

Providers

Under 2 Years

Old

2 to 4 Year

Olds

Total 0 to 4

Years

EXISTING DEMAND Child Care Demand

Estimated Total Children

Average LFPRAdjustment Factor

Children With Working Parents

Licensed Care Demand Factor

Resident Children Needing Licensed Care

of Total Resident Children Needing Licensed Care

Children from Non-Resident Employees Needing

Licensed Care

(1)

(2)

(3)

131 174

100

131 174

37

48 160

37 92

55 83

305

305

68

209

68

138

Total Demand for Child Care Spaces

Distribution

EXISTING SUPPLY (4)

103 243

30 70

Child Care Spaces

346

100

Family Child Care Home Supply

Child Care Center Supply

Current Child Care Supply

Distribution

EXISTING SURPLUS(SHORTAGE)

Distribution

Percentage of Demand Met

by Existing FacilitiesSpaces

Shortage of Family Child Care Home Spaces

Shortage of Center-Based Spaces

(5)

(6)

(6)

1

1

2

4 5

0 64

4 69

6 94

(99) (174)

36 64

4 29

(99) (13)

0 (160)

9

64

73

100

(273)

100

21

(112)

(160)

FINAL

Table B-4

Future Child Care Demand and Supply in 2025 in Brisbane

San Mateo County Child Care Study - 2016

Note All footnote references can be found in Table C-1 at the end of this file Sources 2010 US Census ABAG Projections 2013 2014 American Community Survey ACS Journey-to-Work data 2006-2008 and 2006-2010

Child Care Coordinating Council of San Mateo County (4Cs) Community Care Licensing Brion Economics Inc

Prepared by Brion Economics Inc 2513-SMC NA Final Tables 61216 6122016

BURLINGAME

Child Care as of 2025

No of

Providers

Under 2 Years

Old

2 to 4 Year

Olds

Total 0 to 4

Years

EXISTING DEMAND Child Care Demand

Estimated Total Children

Average LFPRAdjustment Factor

Children With Working Parents

Licensed Care Demand Factor

Resident Children Needing Licensed Care

of Total Resident Children Needing Licensed Care

Children from Non-Resident Employees Needing

Licensed Care

(1)

(2)

(3)

903 1332

65

587 1190

37

217 1124

24 84

154 232

2235

1777

75

1341

60

385

Total Demand for Child Care Spaces

Distribution

EXISTING SUPPLY (4)

371 1356

21 79

Child Care Spaces

1726

100

Family Child Care Home Supply

Child Care Center Supply

Current Child Care Supply

Distribution

EXISTING SURPLUS(SHORTAGE)

Distribution

Percentage of Demand Met

by Existing FacilitiesSpaces

Shortage of Family Child Care Home Spaces

Shortage of Center-Based Spaces

(5)

(6)

(6)

10

14

24

79 99

40 866

119 965

11 89

(252) (390)

39 61

32 71

(167) (40)

(85) (350)

179

906

1085

100

(642)

100

63

(207)

(434)

FINAL

Table B-5

Future Child Care Demand and Supply in 2025 in Burlingame

San Mateo County Child Care Study - 2016

Note All footnote references can be found in Table C-1 at the end of this file

Sources 2010 US Census ABAG Projections 2013 2014 American Community Survey ACS Journey-to-Work data 2006-2008 and 2006-2010

Child Care Coordinating Council of San Mateo County (4Cs) Community Care Licensing Brion Economics Inc

Prepared by Brion Economics Inc 2513-SMC NA Final Tables 61216 6122016

DALY CITYCOLMA

Child Care as of 2025

No of

Providers

Under 2 Years

Old

2 to 4 Year

Olds

Total 0 to 4

Years

EXISTING DEMAND Child Care Demand

Estimated Total Children

Average LFPRAdjustment Factor

Children With Working Parents

Licensed Care Demand Factor

Resident Children Needing Licensed Care

of Total Resident Children Needing Licensed Care

Children from Non-Resident Employees Needing

Licensed Care

(1)

(2)

(3)

2647 3793

74

1964 3467

37

727 3233

27 85

138 208

6440

5432

73

3960

61

346

Total Demand for Child Care Spaces

Distribution

EXISTING SUPPLY (4)

865 3441

20 80

Child Care Spaces

4306

100

Family Child Care Home Supply

Child Care Center Supply

Current Child Care Supply

Distribution

EXISTING SURPLUS(SHORTAGE)

Distribution

Percentage of Demand Met

by Existing FacilitiesSpaces

Shortage of Family Child Care Home Spaces

Shortage of Center-Based Spaces

(5)

(6)

(6)

25

28

28

288 362

84 1264

372 1626

19 81

(493) (1816)

21 79

43 47

(381) (404)

(111) (1412)

649

1348

1997

100

(2308)

100

46

(785)

(1523)

FINAL

Table B-6

Future C hild Care Demand and Supply in 2025 in Daly CityColma

San Mateo County Child Care Study - 2016

Note All footnote references can be found in Table C-1 at the end of this file

Sources 2010 US Census ABAG Projections 2013 2014 American Community Survey ACS Journey-to-Work data 2006-2008 and 2006-2010

Child Care Coordinating Council of San Mateo County (4Cs) Community Care Licensing Brion Economics Inc

Prepared by Brion Economics Inc 2513-SMC NA Final Tables 61216 6122016

EAST PALO ALTO

Child Care as of 2025

No of

Providers

Under 2 Years

Old

2 to 4 Year

Olds

Total 0 to 4

Years

EXISTING DEMAND Child Care Demand

Estimated Total Children

Average LFPRAdjustment Factor

Children With Working Parents

Licensed Care Demand Factor

Resident Children Needing Licensed Care

of Total Resident Children Needing Licensed Care

Children from Non-Resident Employees Needing

Licensed Care

(1)

(2)

(3)

1161 1849

71

822 1660

37

304 1545

26 84

20 30

3010

2482

75

1849

61

50

Total Demand for Child Care Spaces

Distribution

EXISTING SUPPLY (4)

324 1575

17 83

Child Care Spaces

1900

100

Family Child Care Home Supply

Child Care Center Supply

Current Child Care Supply

Distribution

EXISTING SURPLUS(SHORTAGE)

Distribution

Percentage of Demand Met

by Existing FacilitiesSpaces

Shortage of Family Child Care Home Spaces

Shortage of Center-Based Spaces

(5)

(6)

(6)

13

6

19

85 106

25 633

110 739

13 87

(215) (836)

20 80

34 47

(166) (120)

(49) (715)

191

658

849

100

(1050)

100

45

(286)

(764)

FINAL

Table B-7

Future Child Care Demand and Supply in 2025 in East Palo Alto

San Mateo County Child Care Study - 2016

Note All footnote references can be found in Table C-1 at the end of this file

Sources 2010 US Census ABAG Projections 2013 2014 American Community Survey ACS Journey-to-Work data 2006-2008 and 2006-2010

Child Care Coordinating Council of San Mateo County (4Cs) Community Care Licensing Brion Economics Inc

Prepared by Brion Economics Inc 2513-SMC NA Final Tables 61216 6122016

FOSTER CITY

Child Care as of 2025

No of

Providers

Under 2 Years

Old

2 to 4 Year

Olds

Total 0 to 4

Years

EXISTING DEMAND Child Care Demand

Estimated Total Children

Average LFPRAdjustment Factor

Children With Working Parents

Licensed Care Demand Factor

Resident Children Needing Licensed Care

of Total Resident Children Needing Licensed Care

Children from Non-Resident Employees Needing

Licensed Care

(1)

(2)

(3)

871 1330

63

550 1154

37

204 1079

23 81

80 120

2201

1705

75

1282

58

200

Total Demand for Child Care Spaces

Distribution

EXISTING SUPPLY (4)

283 1199

19 81

Child Care Spaces

1483

100

Family Child Care Home Supply

Child Care Center Supply

Current Child Care Supply

Distribution

EXISTING SURPLUS(SHORTAGE)

Distribution

Percentage of Demand Met

by Existing FacilitiesSpaces

Shortage of Family Child Care Home Spaces

Shortage of Center-Based Spaces

(5)

(6)

(6)

19

12

31

118 149

88 1200

206 1349

13 87

(77) 150

-106 206

73 112

(44) NA

(33) NA

267

1288

1555

100

73

100

105

(44)

(33)

FINAL

Table B-8

Future Child Care Demand and Supply in 2025 in Foster City

San Mateo County Child Care Study - 2016

Note All footnote references can be found in Table C-1 at the end of this file

Sources 2010 US Census ABAG Projections 2013 2014 American Community Survey ACS Journey-to-Work data 2006-2008 and 2006-2010

Child Care Coordinating Council of San Mateo County (4Cs) Community Care Licensing Brion Economics Inc

Prepared by Brion Economics Inc 2513-SMC NA Final Tables 61216 6122016

HALF MOON BAY REGION

Child Care as of 2025

No of

Providers

Under 2 Years

Old

2 to 4 Year

Olds

Total 0 to 4

Years

EXISTING DEMAND Child Care Demand

Estimated Total Children

Average LFPRAdjustment Factor

Children With Working Parents

Licensed Care Demand Factor

Resident Children Needing Licensed Care

of Total Resident Children Needing Licensed Care

Children from Non-Resident Employees Needing

Licensed Care

(1)

(2)

(3)

553 929

69

383 835

37

142 781

26 84

14 21

1482

1217

76

923

62

34

Total Demand for Child Care Spaces

Distribution

EXISTING SUPPLY (4)

155 802

16 84

Child Care Spaces

957

100

Family Child Care Home Supply

Child Care Center Supply

Current Child Care Supply

Distribution

EXISTING SURPLUS(SHORTAGE)

Distribution

Percentage of Demand Met

by Existing FacilitiesSpaces

Shortage of Family Child Care Home Spaces

Shortage of Center-Based Spaces

(5)

(6)

(6)

10

11

21

96 121

35 285

131 406

24 76

(24) (396)

6 94

84 51

(18) (118)

(6) (279)

216

320

536

100

(421)

100

56

(136)

(285)

FINAL

Table B-9

Future Child Care Demand and Supply in 2025 in Half Moon Bay Region

San Mateo County Child Care Study - 2016

Note All footnote references can be found in Table C-1 at the end of this file

Sources 2010 US Census ABAG Projections 2013 2014 American Community Survey ACS Journey-to-Work data 2006-2008 and 2006-2010

Child Care Coordinating Council of San Mateo County (4Cs) Community Care Licensing Brion Economics Inc

Prepared by Brion Economics Inc 2513-SMC NA Final Tables 61216 6122016

HILLSBOROUGH

Child Care as of 2025

No of

Providers

Under 2 Years

Old

2 to 4 Year

Olds

Total 0 to 4

Years

EXISTING DEMAND Child Care Demand

Estimated Total Children

Average LFPRAdjustment Factor

Children With Working Parents

Licensed Care Demand Factor

Resident Children Needing Licensed Care

of Total Resident Children Needing Licensed Care

Children from Non-Resident Employees Needing

Licensed Care

(1)

(2)

(3)

143 343

52

74 295

37

27 282

19 82

7 11

487

369

84

309

64

17

Total Demand for Child Care Spaces

Distribution

EXISTING SUPPLY (4)

34 292

10 90

Child Care Spaces

327

100

Family Child Care Home Supply

Child Care Center Supply

Current Child Care Supply

Distribution

EXISTING SURPLUS(SHORTAGE)

Distribution

Percentage of Demand Met

by Existing FacilitiesSpaces

Shortage of Family Child Care Home Spaces

Shortage of Center-Based Spaces

(5)

(6)

(6)

1

4

5

5 6

- 91

5 97

5 95

(29) (195)

13 87

14 33

(29) (12)

0 (183)

11

91

102

100

(225)

100

31

(42)

(183)

FINAL

Table B-10

Future Child Care Demand and Supply in 2025 in Hillsborough

San Mateo County Child Care Study - 2016

Note All footnote references can be found in Table C-1 at the end of this file

Sources 2010 US Census ABAG Projections 2013 2014 American Community Survey ACS Journey-to-Work data 2006-2008 and 2006-2010

Child Care Coordinating Council of San Mateo County (4Cs) Community Care Licensing Brion Economics Inc

Prepared by Brion Economics Inc 2513-SMC NA Final Tables 61216 6122016

MENLO PARK

Child Care as of 2025

No of

Providers

Under 2 Years

Old

2 to 4 Year

Olds

Total 0 to 4

Years

EXISTING DEMAND Child Care Demand

Estimated Total Children

Average LFPRAdjustment Factor

Children With Working Parents

Licensed Care Demand Factor

Resident Children Needing Licensed Care

of Total Resident Children Needing Licensed Care

Children from Non-Resident Employees Needing

Licensed Care

(1)

(2)

(3)

1327 1954

69

909 1759

37

336 1653

25 85

237 357

3281

2668

75

1989

61

594

Total Demand for Child Care Spaces

Distribution

EXISTING SUPPLY (4)

573 2011

22 78

Child Care Spaces

2584

100

Family Child Care Home Supply

Child Care Center Supply

Current Child Care Supply

Distribution

EXISTING SURPLUS(SHORTAGE)

Distribution

Percentage of Demand Met

by Existing FacilitiesSpaces

Shortage of Family Child Care Home Spaces

Shortage of Center-Based Spaces

(5)

(6)

(6)

15

25

40

76 96

73 1331

149 1427

9 91

(424) (584)

42 58

26 71

(217) (39)

(207) (544)

172

1404

1576

100

(1008)

100

61

(256)

(752)

FINAL

Table B-11

Future Child Care Demand and Supply in 2025 in Menlo Park

San Mateo County Child Care Study - 2016

Note All footnote references can be found in Table C-1 at the end of this file

Sources 2010 US Census ABAG Projections 2013 2014 American Community Survey ACS Journey-to-Work data 2006-2008 and 2006-2010

Child Care Coordinating Council of San Mateo County (4Cs) Community Care Licensing Brion Economics Inc

Prepared by Brion Economics Inc 2513-SMC NA Final Tables 61216 6122016

MILLBRAE

Child Care as of 2025

No of

Providers

Under 2 Years

Old

2 to 4 Year

Olds

Total 0 to 4

Years

EXISTING DEMAND Child Care Demand

Estimated Total Children

Average LFPRAdjustment Factor

Children With Working Parents

Licensed Care Demand Factor

Resident Children Needing Licensed Care

of Total Resident Children Needing Licensed Care

Children from Non-Resident Employees Needing

Licensed Care

(1)

(2)

(3)

473 805

62

291 710

37

108 672

23 83

31 47

1278

1001

78

780

61

77

Total Demand for Child Care Spaces

Distribution

EXISTING SUPPLY (4)

139 718

16 84

Child Care Spaces

857

100

Family Child Care Home Supply

Child Care Center Supply

Current Child Care Supply

Distribution

EXISTING SURPLUS(SHORTAGE)

Distribution

Percentage of Demand Met

by Existing FacilitiesSpaces

Shortage of Family Child Care Home Spaces

Shortage of Center-Based Spaces

(5)

(6)

(6)

7

7

14

62 78

- 376

62 454

12 88

(76) (264)

22 78

45 63

(76) (46)

0 (219)

141

376

517

100

(340)

100

60

(122)

(219)

FINAL

Table B-12

Future C hild Care Demand and Supply in 2025 in Millbrae

San Mateo County Child Care Study - 2016

Note All footnote references can be found in Table C-1 at the end of this file

Sources 2010 US Census ABAG Projections 2013 2014 American Community Survey ACS Journey-to-Work data 2006-2008 and 2006-2010

Child Care Coordinating Council of San Mateo County (4Cs) Community Care Licensing Brion Economics Inc

Prepared by Brion Economics Inc 2513-SMC NA Final Tables 61216 6122016

FINAL

Table B-13

Future Child Care Demand and Supply in 2025 in Pacifica

San Mateo County Child Care Study - 2016

PACIFICA

Child Care as of 2025

No of

Providers

Under 2 Years

Old

2 to 4 Year

Olds

Total 0 to 4

Years

EXISTING DEMAND Child Care Demand

Estimated Total Children

Average L FPRAdjustment Factor

Children With Working Parents

Licensed Care Demand Factor

Resident Children Needing Licensed Care

of Total Resident Children Needing Licensed Care

Children from Non-Resident Employees Needing

Licensed Care

(1)

(2)

(3)

816 1300

78

633 1209

37

234 1130

29 87

19 29

2116

1842

74

1364

64

48

Total Demand for Child Care Spaces

Distribution

EXISTING SUPPLY (4)

254 1159

18 82

Child Care Spaces

1413

100

Family Child Care Home Supply

Child Care Center Supply

Current Child Care Supply

Distribution

EXISTING SURPLUS(SHORTAGE)

Distribution

Percentage of Demand Met

by Existing FacilitiesSpaces

Shortage of Family Child Care Home Spaces

Shortage of Center-Based Spaces

(5)

(6)

(6)

9

18

27

77 97

39 701

116 798

13 87

(138) (361)

28 72

46 69

(91) (44)

(46) (317)

174

740

914

100

(499)

100

65

(135)

(364)

Note All footnote references can be found in Table C-1 at the end of this file

Sources 2010 US Census ABAG Projections 2013 2014 American Community Survey ACS Journey-to-Work data 2006-2008 and 2006-2010

Child Care Coordinating Council of San Mateo County (4Cs) Community Care Licensing Brion Economics Inc

Prepared by Brion Economics Inc 2513-SMC NA Final Tables 61216 6122016

PORTOLA VALLEY

Child Care as of 2025

No of

Providers

Under 2 Years

Old

2 to 4 Year

Olds

Total 0 to 4

Years

EXISTING DEMAND Child Care Demand

Estimated Total Children

Average LFPRAdjustment Factor

Children With Working Parents

Licensed Care Demand Factor

Resident Children Needing Licensed Care

of Total Resident Children Needing Licensed Care

Children from Non-Resident Employees Needing

Licensed Care

(1)

(2)

(3)

77 192

66

51 173

37

19 164

24 85

9 13

269

224

82

182

68

22

Total Demand for Child Care Spaces

Distribution

EXISTING SUPPLY (4)

28 177

13 87

Child Care Spaces

204

100

Family Child Care Home Supply

Child Care Center Supply

Current Child Care Supply

Distribution

EXISTING SURPLUS(SHORTAGE)

Distribution

Percentage of Demand Met

by Existing FacilitiesSpaces

Shortage of Family Child Care Home Spaces

Shortage of Center-Based Spaces

(5)

(6)

(6)

0

4

4

- -

- 153

- 153

0 100

(28) (24)

54 46

0 87

0 0

(28) (24)

0

153

153

100

(51)

100

75

0

(51)

FINAL

Table B-14

Future Child Care Demand and Supply in 2025 in Portola Valley

San Mateo County Child Care Study - 2016

Note All footnote references can be found in Table C-1 at the end of this file

Sources 2010 US Census ABAG Projections 2013 2014 American Community Survey ACS Journey-to-Work data 2006-2008 and 2006-2010

Child Care Coordinating Council of San Mateo County (4Cs) Community Care Licensing Brion Economics Inc

Prepared by Brion Economics Inc 2513-SMC NA Final Tables 61216 6122016

REDWOOD CITY

No of

Providers

Child Care as of 2025

Under 2 Years

Old

2 to 4 Year

Olds

Total 0 to 4

Years

EXISTING DEMAND Child Care Demand

Estimated Total Children

Average LFPRAdjustment Factor

Children With Working Parents

Licensed Care Demand Factor

Resident Children Needing Licensed Care

of Total Resident Children Needing Licensed Care

Children from Non-Resident Employees Needing

Licensed Care

Total Demand for Child Care Spaces

Distribution

EXISTING SUPPLY

(1)

(2)

(3)

(4)

3725 5378

69

2555 4813

37

946 4505

25 84

466 703

1411 5208

21 79

Child Care Spaces

9103

7368

74

5450

60

1169

6619

100

Family Child Care Home Supply

Child Care Center Supply

Current Child Care Supply

Distribution

EXISTING SURPLUS(SHORTAGE)

Distribution

Percentage of Demand Met

by Existing FacilitiesSpaces

Shortage of Family Child Care Home Spaces

Shortage of Center-Based Spaces

(5)

(6)

(6)

42

41

83

396 497

356 2036

752 2533

23 77

(660) (2674)

20 80

53 49

(347) (525)

(313) (2149)

893

2392

3285

100

(3334)

100

50

(872)

(2462)

FINAL

Table B-15

Future Child Care Demand and Supply in 2025 in Redwood City

San Mateo County Child Care Study - 2016

Note All footnote references can be found in Table C-1 at the end of this file

Sources 2010 US Census ABAG Projections 2013 2014 American Community Survey ACS Journey-to-Work data 2006-2008 and 2006-2010

Child Care Coordinating Council of San Mateo County (4Cs) Community Care Licensing Brion Economics Inc

Prepared by Brion Economics Inc 2513-SMC NA Final Tables 61216 6122016

SAN BRUNO

Child Care as of 2025

No of

Providers

Under 2 Years

Old

2 to 4 Year

Olds

Total 0 to 4

Years

EXISTING DEMAND Child Care Demand

Estimated Total Children

Average LFPRAdjustment Factor

Children With Working Parents

Licensed Care Demand Factor

Resident Children Needing Licensed Care

of Total Resident Children Needing Licensed Care

Children from Non-Resident Employees Needing

Licensed Care

(1)

(2)

(3)

1189 1728

77

910 1589

37

337 1475

28 85

68 103

2917

2498

73

1812

62

171

Total Demand for Child Care Spaces

Distribution

EXISTING SUPPLY (4)

405 1578

20 80

Child Care Spaces

1983

100

Family Child Care Home Supply

Child Care Center Supply

Current Child Care Supply

Distribution

EXISTING SURPLUS(SHORTAGE)

Distribution

Percentage of Demand Met

by Existing FacilitiesSpaces

Shortage of Family Child Care Home Spaces

Shortage of Center-Based Spaces

(5)

(6)

(6)

13

15

28

122 153

26 1183

148 1336

10 90

(257) (242)

52 48

37 85

(212) (28)

(45) (214)

275

1209

1484

100

(499)

100

75

(239)

(259)

FINAL

Table B-16

Future C hild Care Demand and Supply in 2025 in San Bruno

San Mateo County Child Care Study - 2016

Note All footnote references can be found in Table C-1 at the end of this file

Sources 2010 US Census ABAG Projections 2013 2014 American Community Survey ACS Journey-to-Work data 2006-2008 and 2006-2010

Child Care Coordinating Council of San Mateo County (4Cs) Community Care Licensing Brion Economics Inc

Prepared by Brion Economics Inc 2513-SMC NA Final Tables 61216 6122016

SAN CARLOS

Child Care as of 2025

No of

Providers

Under 2 Years

Old

2 to 4 Year

Olds

Total 0 to 4

Years

EXISTING DEMAND Child Care Demand

Estimated Total Children

Average LFPRAdjustment Factor

Children With Working Parents

Licensed Care Demand Factor

Resident Children Needing Licensed Care

of Total Resident Children Needing Licensed Care

Children from Non-Resident Employees Needing

Licensed Care

(1)

(2)

(3)

778 1384

72

557 1255

37

206 1174

26 85

82 123

2162

1812

76

1380

64

205

Total Demand for Child Care Spaces

Distribution

EXISTING SUPPLY (4)

288 1297

18 82

Child Care Spaces

1585

100

Family Child Care Home Supply

Child Care Center Supply

Current Child Care Supply

Distribution

EXISTING SURPLUS(SHORTAGE)

Distribution

Percentage of Demand Met

by Existing FacilitiesSpaces

Shortage of Family Child Care Home Spaces

Shortage of Center-Based Spaces

(5)

(6)

(6)

28

14

42

73 92

76 615

149 707

17 83

(139) (590)

19 81

52 54

(68) (76)

(71) (514)

164

691

855

100

(729)

100

54

(145)

(585)

FINAL

Table B-17

Future Child Care Demand and Supply in 2025 in San Carlos

San Mateo County Child Care Study - 2016

Note All footnote references can be found in Table C-1 at the end of this file

Sources 2010 US Census ABAG Projections 2013 2014 American Community Survey ACS Journey-to-Work data 2006-2008 and 2006-2010

Child Care Coordinating Council of San Mateo County (4Cs) Community Care Licensing Brion Economics Inc

Prepared by Brion Economics Inc 2513-SMC NA Final Tables 61216 6122016

SAN MATEO

Child Care as of 2025

No of

Providers

Under 2 Years

Old

2 to 4 Year

Olds

Total 0 to 4

Years

EXISTING DEMAND Child Care Demand

Estimated Total Children

Average LFPRAdjustment Factor

Children With Working Parents

Licensed Care Demand Factor

Resident Children Needing Licensed Care

of Total Resident Children Needing Licensed Care

Children from Non-Resident Employees Needing

Licensed Care

(1)

(2)

(3)

3194 4572

71

2264 4116

37

838 3839

26 84

261 394

7766

6381

73

4677

60

656

Total Demand for Child Care Spaces

Distribution

EXISTING SUPPLY (4)

1099 4233

21 79

Child Care Spaces

5332

100

Family Child Care Home Supply

Child Care Center Supply

Current Child Care Supply

Distribution

EXISTING SURPLUS(SHORTAGE)

Distribution

Percentage of Demand Met

by Existing FacilitiesSpaces

Shortage of Family Child Care Home Spaces

Shortage of Center-Based Spaces

(5)

(6)

(6)

69

59

128

492 619

209 2577

701 3196

18 82

(398) (1037)

28 72

64 75

(279) (201)

(119) (837)

1111

2786

3897

100

(1435)

100

73

(480)

(955)

FINAL

Table B-18

Future Child Care Demand and Supply in 2025 in San Mateo

San Mateo County Child Care Study - 2016

Note All footnote references can be found in Table C-1 at the end of this file

Sources 2010 US Census ABAG Projections 2013 2014 American Community Survey ACS Journey-to-Work data 2006-2008 and 2006-2010

Child Care Coordinating Council of San Mateo County (4Cs) Community Care Licensing Brion Economics Inc

Prepared by Brion Economics Inc 2513-SMC NA Final Tables 61216 6122016

FINAL

Table B-19

Future Child Care Demand and Supply in 2025 in South Coast

San Mateo County Child Care Study - 2016

SOUTH COAST

Child Care as of 2025

No of

Providers

Under 2 Years

Old

2 to 4 Year

Olds

Total 0 to 4

Years

EXISTING DEMAND Child Care Demand

Estimated Total Children (1) 23 32 55

Average LFPRAdjustment Factor (2) 54

Children With Working Parents 12 27 40

Licensed Care Demand Factor (3) 37 77

Resident Children Needing Licensed Care 5 26 30

of Total Resident Children Needing Licensed Care 20 81 56

Children from Non-Resident Employees Needing

Licensed Care 0 0 0

Total Demand for Child Care Spaces 5 26 30

Distribution 15 85 100

EXISTING SUPPLY (4) Child Care Spaces

Family Child Care Home Supply - 0 0 0

Child Care Center Supply 2 0 54 54

Current Child Care Supply 2 - 54 54

Distribution 0 100 100

EXISTING SURPLUS(SHORTAGE) (5) 28 24

Distribution -19 119 100

Percentage of Demand Met

by Existing FacilitiesSpaces (5) 0 209 177

Shortage of Family Child Care Home Spaces (6) 0 NA 0

Shortage of Center-Based Spaces (6) (5) NA (5)

Note All footnote references can be found in Table C-1 at the end of this file

Sources 2010 US Census ABAG Projections 2013 2014 American Community Survey ACS Journey-to-Work data 2006-2008 and 2006-2010

Child Care Coordinating Council of San Mateo County (4Cs) Community Care Licensing Brion Economics Inc

Prepared by Brion Economics Inc 2513-SMC NA Final Tables 61216 6122016

SOUTH SAN FRANCISCO

Child Care as of 2025

No of

Providers

Under 2 Years

Old

2 to 4 Year

Olds

Total 0 to 4

Years

EXISTING DEMAND Child Care Demand

Estimated Total Children

Average LFPRAdjustment Factor

Children With Working Parents

Licensed Care Demand Factor

Resident Children Needing Licensed Care

of Total Resident Children Needing Licensed Care

Children from Non-Resident Employees Needing

Licensed Care

(1)

(2)

(3)

1835 2790

73

1342 2535

37

496 2362

27 85

339 512

4625

3877

74

2859

62

851

Total Demand for Child Care Spaces

Distribution

EXISTING SUPPLY (4)

835 2874

23 77

Child Care Spaces

3709

100

Family Child Care Home Supply

Child Care Center Supply

Current Child Care Supply

Distribution

EXISTING SURPLUS(SHORTAGE)

Distribution

Percentage of Demand Met

by Existing FacilitiesSpaces

Shortage of Family Child Care Home Spaces

Shortage of Center-Based Spaces

(5)

(6)

(6)

30

27

57

252 317

400 1966

652 2283

22 78

(183) (591)

24 76

78 79

(71) (82)

(113) (509)

569

2366

2935

100

(775)

100

79

(153)

(622)

FINAL

Table B-20

Future Child Care Demand and Supply in 2025 in South San Francisco

San Mateo County Child Care Study - 2016

Note All footnote references can be found in Table C-1 at the end of this file

Sources 2010 US Census ABAG Projections 2013 2014 American Community Survey ACS Journey-to-Work data 2006-2008 and 2006-2010

Child Care Coordinating Council of San Mateo County (4Cs) Community Care Licensing Brion Economics Inc

Prepared by Brion Economics Inc 2513-SMC NA Final Tables 61216 6122016

WOODSIDE

No of

Providers

Child Care as of 2025

Under 2 Years

Old

2 to 4 Year

Olds

Total 0 to 4

Years

EXISTING DEMAND Child Care Demand

Estimated Total Children

Average LFPRAdjustment Factor

Children With Working Parents

Licensed Care Demand Factor

Resident Children Needing Licensed Care

of Total Resident Children Needing Licensed Care

Children from Non-Resident Employees Needing

Licensed Care

(1)

(2)

(3)

93 165

56

51 140

37

19 132

21 80

9 13

258

192

79

152

59

22

Total Demand for Child Care Spaces

Distribution

EXISTING SUPPLY (4)

28 146

16 84

Child Care Spaces

174

100

Family Child Care Home Supply

Child Care Center Supply

Current Child Care Supply

Distribution

EXISTING SURPLUS(SHORTAGE)

Distribution

Percentage of Demand Met

by Existing FacilitiesSpaces

Shortage of Family Child Care Home Spaces

Shortage of Center-Based Spaces

(5)

(6)

(6)

1

2

3

4 5

- 103

4 108

4 96

(24) (38)

39 61

15 74

(24) (2)

0 (36)

9

103

112

100

(61)

100

65

(26)

(36)

FINAL

Table B-21

Future Child Care Demand and Supply in 2025 in Woodside

San Mateo County Child Care Study - 2016

Note All footnote references can be found in Table C-1 at the end of this file

Sources 2010 US Census ABAG Projections 2013 2014 American Community Survey ACS Journey-to-Work data 2006-2008 and 2006-2010

Child Care Coordinating Council of San Mateo County (4Cs) Community Care Licensing Brion Economics Inc

Prepared by Brion Economics Inc 2513-SMC NA Final Tables 61216 6122016

FINAL

Table C-1

Endnotes for Tables

San Mateo County Child Care Study - 2016

(1) Population by age is based on the percentage breakdown from the 2010 US Census and applied

to population estimates for 2015 using ABAGs Projections 2013 population data The ABAG data

for each area includes its Sphere of Influence and is not based on strict jurisdictional boundaries

(2) Labor force participation rates are from the 5-Year American Community Survey 2014 and include

children under six years old with two working parents or a single working parent For the 2- to 4-year

olds the labor force participation rate is applied to 2 year olds For 3- and 4-year olds it is assumed

that 100 need licensed care to support preschool for every child so the number of

3- and 4-year olds is not discounted by labor force participation rates

(3) Not all children with working parents are assumed to need licensed care percentage assumptions are

used to calculate the number of children requiring licensed care under each age category The

remaining children are assumed to be cared for in alternate arrangements such as by family members

nannies friends and other unlicensed care For children ages 3- and 4-years old it is assumed that

they all need care in the form of preschool

(4) Data on child care supply provided by the Child Care Coordinating Council of San Mateo County (4Cs)

and Community Care Licensing Division of the California Department of Social Services (CCLD) Data is

for June 2015

(5) Demand that calculates as less than 100 means that there is greater demand than supply percent of

demand that is over 100 means supply exceeds demand

(6) Unmet demand is broken down into shortage by type of care based on the proportion of FCCHs and

child care centers spaces available in each area If an area does not have any FCCHs or centers the

unmet demand is placed in the type of care that is available in the area (eg if there are only centers

all demand goes to centers)

Source Brion Economics Inc

Prepared by Brion Economics Inc 2513-SMC NA Final Tables 61216 6122016

DRAFT REPORT

Table C-2

Labor Force Participation Rates by CityArea

San Mateo County Child Care Study - 2016

CityArea

Labor Force

Participation Rate (1)

Atherton

Belmont

Brisbane

Burlingame

Daly CityColma

East Palo Alto

Foster City

Half Moon Bay Region

Hillsborough

Menlo Park

Millbrae

Pacifica

Portola Valley

Redwood City

San Bruno

San Carlos

San Mateo

South Coast

South San Francisco

Woodside

40

77

100

65

74

71

63

69

52

69

62

78

66

69

77

72

71

54

73

56

(1) Labor force participation rates (LFPRs) are for

families with children under age six with two

working parents or a single parent who works Sources American Community Survey 2014 5-Year

Survey Brion Economics Inc

Prepared by Brion Economics Inc 2513-SMC NA Final Tables 61216 6122016

  • 2513-SMC FINAL NA Memo-61216
  • 2513-SMC NA Final Tables 61216
Page 9: Final San Mateo County Child Care Needs … Care...Future C hild Care Demand and Supply in 2025 in Daly City/Colma San Mateo County Child Care Study - 2016 Note: All footnote references

Final Child Care Needs Assessment ndash 2015 and 2025 San Mateo Early Learning Facilities Study

June 12 2016 Page 9 of 9

Future Conditions - 2025 Table B-1 Future Child Care Demand and Supply in 2025 Countywide Table B-2 Future Child Care Demand and Supply in 2025 in Atherton Table B-3 Future Child Care Demand and Supply in 2025 in Belmont Table B-4 Future Child Care Demand and Supply in 2025 in Brisbane Table B-5 Future Child Care Demand and Supply in 2025 in Burlingame Table B-6 Future Child Care Demand and Supply in 2025 in Daly CityColma Table B-7 Future Child Care Demand and Supply in 2025 in East Palo Alto Table B-8 Future Child Care Demand and Supply in 2025 in Foster City Table B-9 Future Child Care Demand and Supply in 2025 in Half Moon Bay Region Table B-10 Future Child Care Demand and Supply in 2025 in Hillsborough Table B-11 Future Child Care Demand and Supply in 2025 in Menlo Park Table B-12 Future Child Care Demand and Supply in 2025 in Millbrae Table B-13 Future Child Care Demand and Supply in 2025 in Pacifica Table B-14 Future Child Care Demand and Supply in 2025 in Portola Valley Table B-15 Future Child Care Demand and Supply in 2025 in Redwood City Table B-16 Future Child Care Demand and Supply in 2025 in San Bruno Table B-17 Future Child Care Demand and Supply in 2025 in San Carlos Table B-18 Future Child Care Demand and Supply in 2025 in San Mateo Table B-19 Future Child Care Demand and Supply in 2025 in South Coast Table B-20 Future Child Care Demand and Supply in 2025 in South San Francisco Table B-21 Future Child Care Demand and Supply in 2025 in Woodside

Table C-1 Endnotes for Tables Table C-2 Labor Force Participation Rates by CityArea

Source Brion Economics Inc

Prepared by Brion Economics Inc Final Report

2010 Population 2010 Population 2015 Population

CityArea (Census) (ABAG) (ABAG)

Atherton 6914 6914 7100

Belmont 25835 25995 26600

Brisbane 4282 4282 4400

Burlingame 28806 29873 31300

Daly CityColma 102915 108167 111200

East Palo Alto 28155 28155 29200

Foster City 30567 30567 31000

Half Moon Bay Region (1) 22803 21956 22329

Hillsborough 10825 10825 11000

Menlo Park (2) 32026 36816 40850

Millbrae 21532 21532 22800

Pacifica 37234 37234 37600

Portola Valley 4353 6432 6500

Redwood City (2) 76815 100509 109350

San Bruno 41114 41114 43500

San Carlos 28406 30015 30800

San Mateo 97207 101234 105600

South Coast (3) 1684 847 871

South San Francisco 63632 63803 67400

Woodside 5287 5933 6000

Total 670392 712203 745400

FINAL

Table 1

Population Summary Table for 2010 2015 and 2025

San Mateo County Child Care Study - 2016

(1) Half Moon Bay Region includes the City of Half Moon Bay El Granada Montara

and Moss Beach

(2) ABAG Projections have 6300 people listed as Remainder population this

amount is divided equally between Menlo Park and Redwood City given that

they are surrounded by unincorporated areas

(3) South Coast includes La Honda Loma Mar and Pescadero

Sources 2010 US Census ABAG Projections 2013 Brion Economics Inc

Prepared by Brion Economics Inc 2513-SMC NA Final Tables 61216 6122016

CityArea

Population

at 2015

Population

at 2025

CHANGE 2015 to 2025

2015 to

2025 Change

Atherton

Belmont

Brisbane

Burlingame

Daly CityColma

East Palo Alto

Foster City

Half Moon Bay Region (1)

Hillsborough

Menlo Park (2)

Millbrae

Pacifica

Portola Valley

Redwood City (2)

San Bruno

San Carlos

San Mateo

South Coast (3)

South San Francisco

Woodside

Total by Age

7100

26600

4400

31300

111200

29200

31000

22329

11000

40850

22800

37600

6500

109350

43500

30800

105600

871

67400

6000

7400

27900

4600

34300

118000

32400

32300

24140

11400

42750

25600

39000

6700

121350

48400

32600

114600

960

75000

6200

300

1300

200

3000

6800

3200

1300

1811

400

1900

2800

1400

200

12000

4900

1800

9000

89

7600

200

42

49

45

96

61

110

42

81

36

47

123

37

31

110

113

58

85

102

113

33

745400 805600 60200 81 I I I I

FINAL

Table 2

Population Growth by City 2015 and 2025 from ABAG

San Mateo County Child Care Study - 2016

(1) Half Moon Bay Region includes the City of Half Moon Bay El Granada

Montara and Moss Beach

(2) ABAG Projections have 6300 people listed as Remainder population this

amount is divided equally between Menlo Park and Redwood City given that

they are surrounded by unincorporated areas

(3) South Coast includes La Honda Loma Mar and Pescadero

Sources 2010 US Census ABAG Projections 2013 Brion Economics Inc

Prepared by Brion Economics Inc 2513-SMC NA Final Tables 61216 6122016

2015 2025 CHANGE 2015 to 2025

Children 4 and Under

Under 2 2 to 4 as of Total Under 2 2 to 4 Under 2 2 to 4

CityArea Years Old Year Olds Total Population Years Old Year Olds Total Years Old Year Olds Total

Atherton 105 185 290 41 109 193 302 4 8 12

Belmont 708 1045 1753 66 743 1095 1838 35 50 85

Brisbane 125 166 292 66 131 174 305 6 8 13

Burlingame 824 1216 2040 65 903 1332 2235 79 117 195

Daly CityColma 2495 3575 6070 55 2647 3793 6440 153 218 370

East Palo Alto 1046 1667 2713 93 1161 1849 3010 115 183 297

Foster City 836 1277 2113 68 871 1330 2201 35 54 89

Half Moon Bay Region (1) 511 860 1371 61 553 929 1482 41 70 111

Hillsborough 138 331 469 43 143 343 487 5 12 17

Menlo Park (2) 1170 1723 2893 71 1327 1954 3281 157 231 388

Millbrae 421 717 1138 50 473 805 1278 52 88 140

Pacifica 787 1253 2040 54 816 1300 2116 29 47 76

Portola Valley 75 187 261 40 77 192 269 2 6 8

Redwood City (2) 3260 4706 7966 73 3725 5378 9103 465 671 1136

San Bruno 1069 1553 2622 60 1189 1728 2917 120 175 295

San Carlos 735 1308 2043 66 778 1384 2162 43 76 119

San Mateo 2943 4213 7156 68 3194 4572 7766 251 359 610

South Coast (3) 21 29 50 57 23 32 55 2 3 5

South San Francisco 1649 2507 4156 62 1835 2790 4625 186 283 469

Woodside 90 160 250 42 93 165 258 3 5 8

Total by Age 19008 28678 47686 64 20790 31340 52130 1783 2662 4444

FINAL

Table 3

Population by Age Group by City 2015 and 2025

San Mateo County Child Care Study - 2016

(1) Half Moon Bay Region includes the City of Half Moon Bay El Granada Montara and Moss Beach

(2) ABAG Projections have 6300 people listed as Remainder population this amount is divided equally between Menlo Park and Redwood City given that they

are surrounded by unincorporated areas

(3) South Coast includes La Honda Loma Mar and Pescadero

Sources 2010 US Census ABAG Projections 2013 Brion Economics Inc

Prepared by Brion Economics Inc 2513-SMC NA Final Tables 61216 6122016

CHANGE 2015 to 2025 2015 2025

Percent that Work Employees that Percent that Work Employees that

Jobs at Jobs at in City and Live Work in City and in City and Live Work in City and

CityArea 2015 2025 2015 to 2025 Change Outside Co Live Outside Co Outside Co Live Outside Co

Atherton 2730 2920 190 70 360 983 360 1051

Belmont 9540 10430 890 93 298 2843 298 3108

Brisbane 7320 7790 470 64 590 4316 590 4593

Burlingame 32040 35250 3210 100 365 11680 365 12850

Daly CityColma 26110 28540 2430 93 404 10540 404 11521

East Palo Alto 2920 3310 390 134 508 1485 508 1683

Foster City 14810 16190 1380 93 412 6108 412 6677

Half Moon Bay Region (1) 7830 8410 580 74 135 1060 135 1138

Hillsborough 1950 2080 130 67 280 546 280 583

Menlo Park 31920 34390 2470 77 576 18390 576 19813

Millbrae 7480 8370 890 119 308 2304 308 2578

Pacifica 6210 6650 440 71 242 1504 242 1611

Portola Valley 2060 2200 140 68 334 689 334 736

Redwood City 71460 80430 8970 126 480 34317 480 38624

San Bruno 13800 15390 1590 115 370 5106 370 5695

San Carlos 18100 19650 1550 86 348 6295 348 6834

San Mateo 58680 66400 7720 132 329 19314 329 21855

South Coast (2) 0 0 0 00 149 0 149 0

South San Francisco 47380 51760 4380 92 467 22128 467 24173

Woodside 2520 2660 140 56 281 708 281 747

SF Airport (3) 7870 8960 1090 139 467 3676 467 4185

Remainder (3) 2210 2460 250 113 135 299 135 333

Total Employment 374940 414240 39300 105 412 154289 411 170387

FINAL

Table 4

Employment Growth and Employee Residence by City 2015 and 2025

San Mateo County Child Care Study - 2016

Note This analysis uses the published projections prepared by ABAG from ldquoProjections 2013rdquo and the cities including their sphere of influence or SOI This is done for consistency purposes While individual cities may be planning for additional growth not included in ABAGrsquos forecast (such as Menlo Park and East Palo Alto) it was decided that the consistency of using one data source was more important Thus these estimates could be considered

conservative

(1) For employment Half Moon Bay Region includes all of the City of Half Moon Bay and Unincorporated Half Moon Bay as defined by ABAG

(2) No data on employment is available through ABAG for the South Coast area

(3) SF Airport and Remainder are groupings by ABAG We listed them separately as SF Airport has no residential population

Sources ABAG Projections 2013 Brion Economics Inc

Prepared by Brion Economics Inc 2513-SMC NA Final Tables 61216 6122016

Under 2 2 to 4 Year Total CityArea as of

CityArea Years Old Olds Supply Total Supply

Atherton 29 273 302 13

Belmont 106 615 722 31

Brisbane 4 69 73 03

Burlingame 119 965 1085 47

Daly CityColma 372 1626 1997 87

East Palo Alto 110 739 849 37

Foster City 206 1349 1555 68

Half Moon Bay Region (1) 131 406 536 23

Hillsborough 5 97 102 04

Menlo Park (2) 149 1427 1576 69

Millbrae 62 454 517 22

Pacifica 116 798 914 40

Portola Valley 0 153 153 07

Redwood City (2) 752 2533 3285 143

San Bruno 148 1336 1484 65

San Carlos 149 707 855 37

San Mateo 701 3196 3897 169

South Coast (3) 0 54 54 02

South San Francisco 652 2283 2935 128

Woodside 4 108 112 05

Total 3815 19189 23003 1000

FINAL

Table 5

Child Care Supply Summary Table for 2015

San Mateo County Child Care Study - 2016

Note Totals may be off slightly due to rounding

(1) Half Moon Bay Region includes the City of Half Moon Bay El Granada Montara

and Moss Beach

(2) ABAG Projections have 6300 people listed as Remainder population this

amount is divided equally between Menlo Park and Redwood City given that

they are surrounded by unincorporated areas

(3) South Coast includes La Honda Loma Mar and Pescadero

Sources Child Care Coordinating Council of San Mateo County (4Cs) Community

Care Licensing Brion Economics Inc

Prepared by Brion Economics Inc 2513-SMC NA Final Tables 61216 6122016

2015 2025

CityArea as CityArea as

Under 2 2 to 4 Year Total of Total Under 2 2 to 4 Total of Total

CityArea Years Old Olds Demand Demand Years Old Year Olds Demand Demand

Atherton 27 165 192 06 29 173 201 05

Belmont 237 950 1187 35 250 999 1249 34

Brisbane 98 231 329 10 103 243 346 09

Burlingame 338 1236 1574 47 371 1356 1726 47

Daly CityColma 811 3237 4048 120 865 3441 4306 116

East Palo Alto 292 1419 1711 51 324 1575 1900 51

Foster City 268 1145 1414 42 283 1199 1483 40

Half Moon Bay Region (1) 144 742 885 26 155 802 957 26

Hillsborough 33 282 315 09 34 292 327 09

Menlo Park (2) 516 1790 2306 68 573 2011 2584 70

Millbrae 124 640 764 23 139 718 857 23

Pacifica 244 1117 1360 40 254 1159 1413 38

Portola Valley 26 171 198 06 28 177 204 06

Redwood City (2) 1241 4567 5808 172 1411 5208 6619 179

San Bruno 364 1418 1782 53 405 1578 1983 54

San Carlos 270 1222 1492 44 288 1297 1585 43

San Mateo 1003 3886 4889 145 1099 4233 5332 144

South Coast (3) 4 23 28 01 5 26 30 01

South San Francisco 755 2588 3343 99 835 2874 3709 100

Woodside 27 141 168 05 28 146 174 05

Total 6821 26971 33792 1000 7478 29506 36984 1000

FINAL

Table 6

Child Care Demand Summary Table for 2015 and 2025

San Mateo County Child Care Study - 2016

(1) Half Moon Bay Region includes the City of Half Moon Bay El Granada Montara and Moss Beach

(2) ABAG Projections have 6300 people listed as Remainder population this amount is divided equally between Menlo Park

and Redwood City given that they are surrounded by unincorporated areas

(3) South Coast includes La Honda Loma Mar and Pescadero

Sources 2010 US Census ABAG Projections 2013 Brion Economics Inc

Prepared by Brion Economics Inc 2513-SMC NA Final Tables 61216 6122016

No of Non- No of Employee

Resident No of 0 to 2 No of 3 to 4 Children Needing

CityArea Assumptions Employees Year Olds Year Olds Licensed Care

Estimated Percent of Employees

Needing Licensed Care (1) 300 40 60 100

Atherton 983 12 18 29

Belmont 2843 34 51 85

Brisbane 4316 52 78 129

Burlingame 11680 140 211 350

Daly CityColma 10540 126 190 316

East Palo Alto 1485 18 27 45

Foster City 6108 73 110 183

Half Moon Bay Region (2) 1060 13 19 32

Hillsborough 546 7 10 16

Menlo Park 18390 220 332 552

Millbrae 2304 28 42 69

Pacifica 1504 18 27 45

Portola Valley 689 8 12 21

Redwood City 34317 410 619 1029

San Bruno 5106 61 92 153

San Carlos 6295 75 114 189

San Mateo 19314 231 348 579

South Coast (3) 0 0 0 0

South San Francisco 22128 265 399 664

Woodside 708 8 13 21

SF Airport (4) 3676 44 66 110

Remainder (4) 299 4 5 9

Total Countywide 154289 1845 2784 4629

FINAL

Table 7

Employee Demand Summary Table for 2015

San Mateo County Child Care Study - 2016

Note Totals may be off slightly due to rounding

(1) We are assuming 3 of employees children require licensed care the breakdown of demand for infant and

preschool spaces is based on the percentage of infants and preschoolers who currently reside in San Mateo

County

(2) Half Moon Bay Region includes the City of Half Moon Bay El Granada Montara and Moss Beach

(3) South Coast includes La Honda Loma Mar and Pescadero

(4) SF Airport and Remainder are groupings by ABAG For employment SF Airport demand is attributed to South San

Francisco and Remainder demand is included with Redwood City

Sources 2010 US Census ABAG Projections 2013 2014 5-Year American Community Survey Journey-To-Work Data

Brion Economics Inc

Prepared by Brion Economics Inc 2513-SMC NA Final Tables 61216 6122016

No of Non- No of Employee

Resident No of 0 to 2 No of 3 to 4 Children Needing

CityArea Assumptions Employees Year Olds Year Olds Licensed Care

Estimated Percent of Employees

Needing Licensed Care (1) 300 40 60 100

Atherton 1051 13 19 32

Belmont 3108 37 56 93

Brisbane 4593 55 83 138

Burlingame 12850 154 232 385

Daly CityColma 11521 138 208 346

East Palo Alto 1683 20 30 50

Foster City 6677 80 120 200

Half Moon Bay Region (2) 1138 14 21 34

Hillsborough 583 7 11 17

Menlo Park 19813 237 357 594

Millbrae 2578 31 47 77

Pacifica 1611 19 29 48

Portola Valley 736 9 13 22

Redwood City 38624 462 697 1159

San Bruno 5695 68 103 171

San Carlos 6834 82 123 205

San Mateo 21855 261 394 656

South Coast (3) 0 0 0 0

South San Francisco 24173 289 436 725

Woodside 747 9 13 22

SF Airport (4) 4185 50 75 126

Remainder (4) 333 4 6 10

Total Countywide 170387 2037 3074 5112

FINAL

Table 8

Employee Demand Summary Table for 2025

San Mateo County Child Care Study - 2016

Note Totals may be off slightly due to rounding

(1) We are assuming 3 of employees children require licensed care the breakdown of demand for infant and

preschool spaces is based on the percentage of infants and preschoolers who currently reside in San Mateo County

(2) Half Moon Bay Region includes the City of Half Moon Bay El Granada Montara and Moss Beach

(3) South Coast includes La Honda Loma Mar and Pescadero

(4) SF Airport and Remainder are groupings by ABAG For employment SF Airport demand is attributed to South San

Francisco and Remainder demand is included with Redwood City

Sources 2010 US Census ABAG Projections 2013 2014 5-Year American Community Survey Journey-To-Work Data

Brion Economics Inc

Prepared by Brion Economics Inc 2513-SMC NA Final Tables 61216 6122016

2015

Surplus(Shortage) of Infant Surplus(Shortage) of Preschool Total Total

CityArea of Infant Spaces Demand Met of Preschool Spaces Demand Met Surplus(Shortage) Demand Met

Atherton 2 107 108 165 110 157

Belmont (130) 45 (335) 65 (465) 61

Brisbane (94) 4 (162) 30 (255) 22

Burlingame (219) 35 (271) 78 (489) 69

Daly CityColma (439) 46 (1612) 50 (2051) 49

East Palo Alto (182) 38 (680) 52 (862) 50

Foster City (62) 77 203 118 141 110

Half Moon Bay Region (1) (13) 91 (336) 55 (349) 61

Hillsborough (28) 15 (185) 34 (213) 32

Menlo Park (2) (367) 29 (363) 80 (730) 68

Millbrae (61) 50 (186) 71 (247) 0

Pacifica (128) 48 (319) 71 (447) 67

Portola Valley (26) 0 (18) 89 (45) 77

Redwood City (2) (490) 61 (2034) 55 (2524) 57

San Bruno (216) 41 (82) 94 (298) 83

San Carlos (121) 55 (516) 58 (637) 57

San Mateo (302) 70 (690) 82 (992) 80

South Coast (3) (4) 0 31 230 26 195

South San Francisco (103) 86 (306) 88 (408) 88

Woodside (23) 16 (33) 77 (55) 67

Countywide (3006) 56 (7783) 71 (10789) 68

FINAL

Table 9

Summary of Demand Met by Existing Facilities in Each Community at 2015

San Mateo County Child Care Study - 2016

Note Totals may be off slightly due to rounding

(1) Half Moon Bay Region includes the City of Half Moon Bay El Granada Montara and Moss Beach

(2) ABAG Projections have 6300 people listed as Remainder population this amount is divided equally between Menlo Park and Redwood

City given that they are surrounded by unincorporated areas

(3) South Coast includes La Honda Loma Mar and Pescadero

Sources 2010 US Census ABAG Projections 2013 Brion Economics Inc

Prepared by Brion Economics Inc 2513-SMC NA Final Tables 61216 6122016

2025

Surplus(Shortage) of Infant Surplus(Shortage) of Preschool Total Total

CityArea of Infant Spaces Demand Met of Preschool Spaces Demand Met Surplus(Shortage) Demand Met

Atherton 0 101 101 158 101 150

Belmont (143) 43 (384) 62 (527) 58

Brisbane (99) 4 (174) 29 (273) 21

Burlingame (252) 32 (390) 71 (642) 63

Daly CityColma (493) 43 (1816) 47 (2308) 46

East Palo Alto (215) 34 (836) 47 (1050) 45

Foster City (77) 73 150 112 73 105

Half Moon Bay Region (1) (24) 84 (396) 51 (421) 56

Hillsborough (29) 14 (195) 33 (225) 31

Menlo Park (2) (424) 26 (584) 71 (1008) 61

Millbrae (76) 45 (264) 63 (340) 60

Pacifica (138) 46 (361) 69 (499) 65

Portola Valley (28) 0 (24) 87 (51) 75

Redwood City (2) (660) 53 (2674) 49 (3334) 50

San Bruno (257) 37 (242) 85 (499) 75

San Carlos (139) 52 (590) 54 (729) 54

San Mateo (398) 64 (1037) 75 (1435) 73

South Coast (3) (5) 0 28 209 24 177

South San Francisco (183) 78 (591) 79 (775) 79

Woodside (24) 15 (38) 74 (61) 65

Countywide (3663) 51 (10318) 65 (13981) 62

FINAL

Table 10

Summary of Demand Met by Existing Facilities in Each Community at 2025

San Mateo County Child Care Study - 2016

Note Totals may be off slightly due to rounding

(1) Half Moon Bay Region includes the City of Half Moon Bay El Granada Montara and Moss Beach

(2) ABAG Projections have 6300 people listed as Remainder population this amount is divided equally between Menlo Park and Redwood

City given that they are surrounded by unincorporated areas

(3) South Coast includes La Honda Loma Mar and Pescadero

Sources 2010 US Census ABAG Projections 2013 Brion Economics Inc

Prepared by Brion Economics Inc 2513-SMC NA Final Tables 61216 6122016

Table 11

Number of Child Care Providers by City in 2015

San Mateo County Child Care Study - 2016

Family Child Licensed

CityArea Care Homes Centers Total

Atherton 1 6 7

Belmont 18 9 27

Brisbane 1 1 2

Burlingame 21 14 35

Daly CityColma 85 28 113

East Palo Alto 21 6 27

Foster City 29 12 41

Half Moon Bay Region (1) 28 11 39

Hillsborough 1 4 5

Menlo Park (2) 18 25 43

Millbrae 17 7 24

Pacifica 21 18 39

Portola Valley 0 4 4

Redwood City (2) 111 45 156

San Bruno 34 15 49

San Carlos 20 14 34

San Mateo 126 59 185

South Coast (3) 0 2 2

South San Francisco 68 27 95

Woodside 1 2 3

Countywide 621 309 930

FINAL

(1) Half Moon Bay Region includes the City of Half Moon Bay El Granada

Montara and Moss Beach

(2) ABAG Projections have 6300 people listed as Remainder population

this amount is divided equally between Menlo Park and Redwood City

given that they are surrounded by unincorporated areas

(3) South Coast includes La Honda Loma Mar and Pescadero

Sources Child Care Coordinating Council of San Mateo County (4Cs)

Community Care Licensing Brion Economics Inc

Prepared by Brion Economics Inc 2513-SMC NA Final Tables 61216 6122016

CityArea

Shortage

Infant

Center

Spaces

Infant care

Percentage

of Shortage

Shortage

Preschool

Center

Spaces

Preschool

Percentage

of Shortage

Total Center-

Based Space

Shortage

Atherton

Belmont

Brisbane

Burlingame

Daly CityColma

East Palo Alto

Foster City

Half Moon Bay Region

Hillsborough

Menlo Park

Millbrae

Pacifica

Portola Valley

Redwood City

San Bruno

San Carlos

San Mateo

South Coast

South San Francisco

Woodside

Countywide

NA

(48)

NA

(73)

(99)

(42)

(27)

(3)

NA

(180)

0

(43)

(26)

(232)

(38)

(62)

(90)

(2)

(63)

NA

NA

14

NA

23

7

7

100

1

NA

35

0

13

59

12

34

12

14

NA

19

NA

NA

(289)

(149)

(243)

(1253)

(582)

NA

(236)

(173)

(338)

(154)

(280)

(18)

(1635)

(73)

(449)

(557)

NA

(263)

(31)

NA

86

100

77

93

93

NA

99

100

65

100

87

41

88

66

88

86

NA

81

100

NA

(337)

(149)

(316)

(1352)

(623)

(27)

(240)

(173)

(518)

(154)

(323)

(45)

(1867)

(110)

(511)

(647)

(2)

(326)

(31)

(1193) 15 (6609) 85 (7802)

FINAL

Table 12

Summary of Shortage of Child Care Center Spaces by Age - 2015

San Mateo County Child Care Study - 2016

Sources Child Care Coordinating Council of San Mateo County (4Cs) Community Care Licensing

Brion Economics Inc

Prepared by Brion Economics Inc 2513-SMC NA Final Tables 61216 6122016

CityArea

Shortage

Infant Center

Spaces

Infant care

Percentage

of Shortage

Shortage

Preschool

Center

Spaces

Preschool

Percentage

of Shortage

Total Center-

Based Space

Shortage

Atherton

Belmont

Brisbane

Burlingame

Daly CityColma

East Palo Alto

Foster City

Half Moon Bay Region

Hillsborough

Menlo Park

Millbrae

Pacifica

Portola Valley

Redwood City

San Bruno

San Carlos

San Mateo

South Coast

South San Francisco

Woodside

Countywide

NA

(53)

NA

(85)

(111)

(49)

(33)

(6)

NA

(207)

0

(46)

(28)

(313)

(45)

(71)

(119)

(5)

(113)

0

NA

14

NA

19

7

6

100

2

NA

28

0

13

54

13

17

12

12

NA

18

NA

NA

(331)

(160)

(350)

(1412)

(715)

NA

(279)

(183)

(544)

(219)

(317)

(24)

(2149)

(214)

(514)

(837)

NA

(509)

(36)

NA

86

100

81

93

94

NA

98

100

72

100

87

46

87

83

88

88

NA

82

100

NA

(384)

(160)

(434)

(1523)

(764)

(33)

(285)

(183)

(752)

(219)

(364)

(51)

(2462)

(259)

(585)

(955)

(5)

(622)

(36)

(1454) 14 (8762) 86 (10216)

FINAL

Table 13

Summary of Shortage of Child Care Center Spaces by Age - 2025

San Mateo County Child Care Study - 2016

Sources Child Care Coordinating Council of San Mateo County (4Cs) Community Care Licensing

Brion Economics Inc

Prepared by Brion Economics Inc 2513-SMC NA Final Tables 61216 6122016

COUNTYWIDE

Child Care as of 2015

No of

Providers

Under 2 Years

Old

2 to 4 Year

Olds

Total 0 to 4

Years

EXISTING DEMAND Child Care Demand

Estimated Total Children

Average LFPRAdjustment Factor

Children With Working Parents

Licensed Care Demand Factor

Resident Children Needing Licensed Care

of Total Resident Children Needing Licensed Care

Children from Non-Resident Employees Needing

Licensed Care

Total Demand for Child Care Spaces

Distribution

EXISTING SUPPLY

(1)

(2)

(3)

(4)

19008 28678

71

13449 25720

37

4976 24188

26 84

1845 2784

6821 26971

20 80

Child Care Spaces

47686

39169

86

29164

61

4629

33792

100

Family Child Care Home Supply

Child Care Center Supply

Current Child Care Supply

Distribution

EXISTING SURPLUS(SHORTAGE)

Distribution

Percentage of Demand Met

by Existing FacilitiesSpaces

Shortage of Family Child Care Home Spaces

Shortage of Center-Based Spaces

(5)

(6)

(6)

621

309 -930

2301 2893

1514 16296 - -3815 19189

17 83

(3006) (7783)

28 72

56 71

(1813) (1173)

(1193) (6609)

5193

17810 -23003

100

(10789)

100

68

(2986)

(7802)

FINAL

Table A-1

Existing Child Care Demand and Supply in 2015 Countywide

San Mateo County Child Care Study - 2016

Note All footnote references can be found in Table C-1 at the end of this file

Sources 2010 US Census ABAG Projections 2013 2014 American Community Survey ACS Journey-to-Work data 2006-2008 and 2006-2010

Child Care Coordinating Council of San Mateo County (4Cs) Community Care Licensing Brion Economics Inc

Prepared by Brion Economics Inc 2513-SMC NA Final Tables 61216 6122016

ATHERTON

Child Care as of 2015

No of

Providers

Under 2 Years

Old

2 to 4 Year

Olds

Total 0 to 4

Years

EXISTING DEMAND Child Care Demand

Estimated Total Children

Average LFPRAdjustment Factor

Children With Working Parents

Licensed Care Demand Factor

Resident Children Needing Licensed Care

of Total Resident Children Needing Licensed Care

Children from Non-Resident Employees Needing

Licensed Care

(1)

(2)

(3)

105 185

40

42 153

37

15 147

15 80

12 18

290

194

84

163

56

29

Total Demand for Child Care Spaces

Distribution

EXISTING SUPPLY (4)

27 165

14 86

Child Care Spaces

192

100

Family Child Care Home Supply

Child Care Center Supply

Current Child Care Supply

Distribution

EXISTING SURPLUS(SHORTAGE)

Distribution

Percentage of Demand Met

by Existing FacilitiesSpaces

Shortage of Family Child Care Home Spaces

Shortage of Center-Based Spaces

(5)

(6)

(6)

1

6

7

5 6

24 267

29 273

10 90

2 108

2 98

107 165

NA NA

NA NA

11

291

302

100

110

100

157

NA

NA

FINAL

Table A-2

Existing Child Care Demand and Supply in 2015 in Atherton

San Mateo Co unty Child Care Study - 2016

Note All footnote references can be found in Table C-1 at the end of this file

Sources 2010 US Census ABAG Projections 2013 2014 American Community Survey ACS Journey-to-Work data 2006-2008 and 2006-2010

Child Care Coordinating Council of San Mateo County (4Cs) Community Care Licensing Brion Economics Inc

Prepared by Brion Economics Inc 2513-SMC NA Final Tables 61216 6122016

BELMONT

Child Care as of 2015

No of

Providers

Under 2 Years

Old

2 to 4 Year

Olds

Total 0 to 4

Years

EXISTING DEMAND Child Care Demand

Estimated Total Children

Average LFPRAdjustment Factor

Children With Working Parents

Licensed Care Demand Factor

Resident Children Needing Licensed Care

of Total Resident Children Needing Licensed Care

Children from Non-Resident Employees Needing

Licensed Care

(1)

(2)

(3)

708 1045

77

548 966

37

203 899

29 86

34 51

1753

1513

73

1102

63

85

Total Demand for Child Care Spaces

Distribution

EXISTING SUPPLY (4)

237 950

20 80

Child Care Spaces

1187

100

Family Child Care Home Supply

Child Care Center Supply

Current Child Care Supply

Distribution

EXISTING SURPLUS(SHORTAGE)

Distribution

Percentage of Demand Met

by Existing FacilitiesSpaces

Shortage of Family Child Care Home Spaces

Shortage of Center-Based Spaces

(5)

(6)

(6)

18

9

27

67 84

39 531

106 615

15 85

(130) (335)

28 72

45 65

(83) (46)

(48) (289)

152

570

722

100

(465)

100

61

(128)

(337)

FINAL

Table A-3

Existing Child Care Demand and Supply in 2015 in Belmont

San Mateo County Child Care Study - 2016

Note All footnote references can be found in Table C-1 at the end of this file Sources 2010 US Census ABAG Projections 2013 2014 American Community Survey ACS Journey-to-Work data 2006-2008 and

2006-2010 Child Care Coordinating Council of San Mateo County (4Cs) Community Care Licensing Brion Economics Inc

Prepared by Brion Economics Inc 2513-SMC NA Final Tables 61216 6122016

FINAL

Table A-4

Existing Child Care Demand and Supply in 2015 in Brisbane

San Mateo County Child Care Study - 2016

BRISBANE

Child Care as of 2015

No of

Providers

Under 2 Years

Old

2 to 4 Year

Olds

Total 0 to 4

Years

EXISTING DEMAND Child Care Demand

Estimated Total Children (1) 125 166 292

Average LFPRAdjustment Factor (2) 100

Children With Working Parents 125 166 292

Licensed Care Demand Factor (3) 37 68

Resident Children Needing Licensed Care 46 153 199

of Total Resident Children Needing Licensed Care 37 92 68

Children from Non-Resident Employees Needing

Licensed Care 52 78 129

Total Demand for Child Care Spaces 98 231 329

Distribution 30 70 100

EXISTING SUPPLY (4) Child Care Spaces

Family Child Care Home Supply 1 4 5 9

Child Care Center Supply 1 - 64 64

Current Child Care Supply 2 4 69 73

Distribution 6 94 100

EXISTING SURPLUS(SHORTAGE) (94) (162) (255)

Distribution 37 63 100

Percentage of Demand Met

by Existing FacilitiesSpaces (5) 4 30 22

Shortage of Family Child Care Home Spaces (6) (94) (12) (106)

Shortage of Center-Based Spaces (6) 0 (149) (149)

Note All footnote references can be found in Table C-1 at the end of this file

Sources 2010 US Census ABAG Projections 2013 2014 American Community Survey ACS Journey-to-Work data 2006-2008 and 2006-2010

Child Care Coordinating Council of San Mateo County (4Cs) Community Care Licensing Brion Economics Inc

Prepared by Brion Economics Inc 2513-SMC NA Final Tables 61216 6122016

BURLINGAME

Child Care as of 2015

No of

Providers

Under 2 Years

Old

2 to 4 Year

Olds

Total 0 to 4

Years

EXISTING DEMAND Child Care Demand

Estimated Total Children

Average LFPRAdjustment Factor

Children With Working Parents

Licensed Care Demand Factor

Resident Children Needing Licensed Care

of Total Resident Children Needing Licensed Care

Children from Non-Resident Employees Needing

Licensed Care

(1)

(2)

(3)

824 1216

65

535 1086

37

198 1025

24 84

140 211

2040

1621

75

1224

60

350

Total Demand for Child Care Spaces

Distribution

EXISTING SUPPLY (4)

338 1236

21 79

Child Care Spaces

1574

100

Family Child Care Home Supply

Child Care Center Supply

Current Child Care Supply

Distribution

EXISTING SURPLUS(SHORTAGE)

Distribution

Percentage of Demand Met

by Existing FacilitiesSpaces

Shortage of Family Child Care Home Spaces

Shortage of Center-Based Spaces

(5)

(6)

(6)

21

14

35

79 99

40 866

119 965

11 89

(219) (271)

45 55

35 78

(145) (28)

(73) (243)

179

906

1085

100

(489)

100

69

(173)

(316)

FINAL

Table A-5

Existing Child Care Demand and Supply in 2015 in Burlingame

San Mateo County Child Care Study - 2016

Note All footnote references can be found in Table C-1 at the end of this file

Sources 2010 US Census ABAG Projections 2013 2014 American Community Survey ACS Journey-to-Work data 2006-2008 and 2006-2010

Child Care Coordinating Council of San Mateo County (4Cs) Community Care Licensing Brion Economics Inc

Prepared by Brion Economics Inc 2513-SMC NA Final Tables 61216 6122016

DALY CITYCOLMA

Child Care as of 2015

No of

Providers

Under 2 Years

Old

2 to 4 Year

Olds

Total 0 to 4

Years

EXISTING DEMAND Child Care Demand

Estimated Total Children

Average LFPRAdjustment Factor

Children With Working Parents

Licensed Care Demand Factor

Resident Children Needing Licensed Care

of Total Resident Children Needing Licensed Care

Children from Non-Resident Employees Needing

Licensed Care

(1)

(2)

(3)

2495 3575

742

1851 3268

37

685 3047

27 85

126 190

6070

5119

73

3732

61

316

Total Demand for Child Care Spaces

Distribution

EXISTING SUPPLY (4)

811 3237

20 80

Child Care Spaces

4048

100

Family Child Care Home Supply

Child Care Center Supply

Current Child Care Supply

Distribution

EXISTING SURPLUS(SHORTAGE)

Distribution

Percentage of Demand Met

by Existing FacilitiesSpaces

Shortage of Family Child Care Home Spaces

Shortage of Center-Based Spaces

(5)

(6)

(6)

85

28

113

288 362

84 1264

372 1626

19 81

(439) (1612)

21 79

46 50

(340) (359)

(99) (1253)

649

1348

1997

100

(2051)

100

49

(698)

(1352)

FINAL

Table A-6

Existing Child Care Demand and Supply in 2015 in Daly CityColma

San Mateo Co unty Child Care Study - 2016

Note All footnote references can be found in Table C-1 at the end of this file

Sources 2010 US Census ABAG Projections 2013 2014 American Community Survey ACS Journey-to-Work data 2006-2008 and 2006-2010

Child Care Coordinating Council of San Mateo County (4Cs) Community Care Licensing Brion Economics Inc

Prepared by Brion Economics Inc 2513-SMC NA Final Tables 61216 6122016

EAST PALO ALTO

Child Care as of 2015

No of

Providers

Under 2 Years

Old

2 to 4 Year

Olds

Total 0 to 4

Years

EXISTING DEMAND Child Care Demand

Estimated Total Children

Average LFPRAdjustment Factor

Children With Working Parents

Licensed Care Demand Factor

Resident Children Needing Licensed Care

of Total Resident Children Needing Licensed Care

Children from Non-Resident Employees Needing

Licensed Care

(1)

(2)

(3)

1046 1667

71

741 1496

37

274 1392

26 84

18 27

2713

2237

75

1666

61

45

Total Demand for Child Care Spaces

Distribution

EXISTING SUPPLY (4)

292 1419

17 83

Child Care Spaces

1711

100

Family Child Care Home Supply

Child Care Center Supply

Current Child Care Supply

Distribution

EXISTING SURPLUS(SHORTAGE)

Distribution

Percentage of Demand Met

by Existing FacilitiesSpaces

Shortage of Family Child Care Home Spaces

Shortage of Center-Based Spaces

(5)

(6)

(6)

21

6

27

85 106

25 633

110 739

13 87

(182) (680)

21 79

38 52

(141) (98)

(42) (582)

191

658

849

100

(862)

100

50

(239)

(623)

FINAL

Table A-7

Existing Child Care Demand and Supply in 2015 in East Palo Alto

San Mateo County Child Care Study - 2016

Note All footnote references can be found in Table C-1 at the end of this file Sources 2010 US Census ABAG Projections 2013 2014 American Community Survey ACS Journey-to-Work data 2006-2008 and 2006-2010

Child Care Coordinating Council of San Mateo County (4Cs) Community Care Licensing Brion Economics Inc

Prepared by Brion Economics Inc 2513-SMC NA Final Tables 61216 6122016

FOSTER CITY

Child Care as of 2015

No of

Providers

Under 2 Years

Old

2 to 4 Year

Olds

Total 0 to 4

Years

EXISTING DEMAND Child Care Demand

Estimated Total Children

Average LFPRAdjustment Factor

Children With Working Parents

Licensed Care Demand Factor

Resident Children Needing Licensed Care

of Total Resident Children Needing Licensed Care

Children from Non-Resident Employees Needing

Licensed Care

(1)

(2)

(3)

836 1277

63

528 1108

37

195 1035

23 81

73 110

2113

1636

75

1231

58

183

Total Demand for Child Care Spaces

Distribution

EXISTING SUPPLY (4)

268 1145

19 81

Child Care Spaces

1414

100

Family Child Care Home Supply

Child Care Center Supply

Current Child Care Supply

Distribution

EXISTING SURPLUS(SHORTAGE)

Distribution

Percentage of Demand Met

by Existing FacilitiesSpaces

Shortage of Family Child Care Home Spaces

Shortage of Center-Based Spaces

(5)

(6)

(6)

29

12

41

118 149

88 1200

206 1349

13 87

(62) 203

NA NA

77 118

(36) NA

(27) NA

267

1288

1555

100

141

NA

110

(36)

(27)

FINAL

Table A-8

Existing Child Care Demand and Supply in 2015 in Foster City

San Mateo County Child Care Study - 2016

Note All footnote references can be found in Table C-1 at the end of this file

Sources 2010 US Census ABAG Projections 2013 2014 American Community Survey ACS Journey-to-Work data 2006-2008 and 2006-2010

Child Care Coordinating Council of San Mateo County (4Cs) Community Care Licensing Brion Economics Inc

Prepared by Brion Economics Inc 2513-SMC NA Final Tables 61216 6122016

HALF MOON BAY REGION

Child Care as of 2015

No of

Providers

Under 2 Years

Old

2 to 4 Year

Olds

Total 0 to 4

Years

EXISTING DEMAND Child Care Demand

Estimated Total Children

Average LFPRAdjustment Factor

Children With Working Parents

Licensed Care Demand Factor

Resident Children Needing Licensed Care

of Total Resident Children Needing Licensed Care

Children from Non-Resident Employees Needing

Licensed Care

(1)

(2)

(3)

511 860

69

354 772

37

131 723

26 84

13 19

1371

1126

76

854

62

32

Total Demand for Child Care Spaces

Distribution

EXISTING SUPPLY (4)

144 742

16 84

Child Care Spaces

885

100

Family Child Care Home Supply

Child Care Center Supply

Current Child Care Supply

Distribution

EXISTING SURPLUS(SHORTAGE)

Distribution

Percentage of Demand Met

by Existing FacilitiesSpaces

Shortage of Family Child Care Home Spaces

Shortage of Center-Based Spaces

(5)

(6)

(6)

28

11

39

96 121

35 285

131 406

24 76

(13) (336)

4 96

91 55

(9) (100)

(3) (236)

216

320

536

100

(349)

100

61

(109)

(240)

FINAL

Table A-9

Existing Child Care Demand and Supply in 2015 in Half Moon Bay Region

San Mateo County Child Care Study - 2016

Note All footnote references can be found in Table C-1 at the end of this file

Sources 2010 US Census ABAG Projections 2013 2014 American Community Survey ACS Journey-to-Work data 2006-2008 and 2006-2010

Child Care Coordinating Council of San Mateo County (4Cs) Community Care Licensing Brion Economics Inc

Prepared by Brion Economics Inc 2513-SMC NA Final Tables 61216 6122016

HILLSBOROUGH

Child Care as of 2015

No of

Providers

Under 2 Years

Old

2 to 4 Year

Olds

Total 0 to 4

Years

EXISTING DEMAND Child Care Demand

Estimated Total Children

Average LFPRAdjustment Factor

Children With Working Parents

Licensed Care Demand Factor

Resident Children Needing Licensed Care

of Total Resident Children Needing Licensed Care

Children from Non-Resident Employees Needing

Licensed Care

(1)

(2)

(3)

138 331

52

71 284

37

26 272

19 82

7 10

469

356

84

298

64

16

Total Demand for Child Care Spaces

Distribution

EXISTING SUPPLY (4)

33 282

10 90

Child Care Spaces

315

100

Family Child Care Home Supply

Child Care Center Supply

Current Child Care Supply

Distribution

EXISTING SURPLUS(SHORTAGE)

Distribution

Percentage of Demand Met

by Existing FacilitiesSpaces

Shortage of Family Child Care Home Spaces

Shortage of Center-Based Spaces

(5)

(6)

(6)

1

4

5

5 6

- 91

5 97

5 95

(28) (185)

13 87

15 34

(28) (12)

0 (173)

11

91

102

100

(213)

100

32

(40)

(173)

FINAL

Table A-10

Existing Child Care Demand and Supply in 2015 in Hillsborough

San Mateo County Child Care Study - 2016

Note All footnote references can be found in Table C-1 at the end of this file Sources 2010 US Census ABAG Projections 2013 2014 American Community Survey ACS Journey-to-Work data 2006-2008 and 2006-2010

Child Care Coordinating Council of San Mateo County (4Cs) Community Care Licensing Brion Economics Inc

Prepared by Brion Economics Inc 2513-SMC NA Final Tables 61216 6122016

MENLO PARK

Child Care as of 2015

No of

Providers

Under 2 Years

Old

2 to 4 Year

Olds

Total 0 to 4

Years

EXISTING DEMAND Child Care Demand

Estimated Total Children

Average LFPRAdjustment Factor

Children With Working Parents

Licensed Care Demand Factor

Resident Children Needing Licensed Care

of Total Resident Children Needing Licensed Care

Children from Non-Resident Employees Needing

Licensed Care

(1)

(2)

(3)

1170 1723

69

802 1551

37

297 1458

25 85

220 332

2893

2353

75

1754

61

552

Total Demand for Child Care Spaces

Distribution

EXISTING SUPPLY (4)

516 1790

22 78

Child Care Spaces

2306

100

Family Child Care Home Supply

Child Care Center Supply

Current Child Care Supply

Distribution

EXISTING SURPLUS(SHORTAGE)

Distribution

Percentage of Demand Met

by Existing FacilitiesSpaces

Shortage of Family Child Care Home Spaces

Shortage of Center-Based Spaces

(5)

(6)

(6)

18

25

43

76 96

73 1331

149 1427

9 91

(367) (363)

50 50

29 80

(188) (24)

(180) (338)

172

1404

1576

100

(730)

100

68

(212)

(518)

FINAL

Table A-11

Existing Child Care Demand and Supply in 2015 in Menlo Park

San Mateo County Child Care Study - 2016

Note All footnote references can be found in Table C-1 at the end of this file Sources 2010 US Census ABAG Projections 2013 2014 American Community Survey ACS Journey-to-Work data 2006-2008 and 2006-2010

Child Care Coordinating Council of San Mateo County (4Cs) Community Care Licensing Brion Economics Inc

Prepared by Brion Economics Inc 2513-SMC NA Final Tables 61216 6122016

MILLBRAE

Child Care as of 2015

No of

Providers

Under 2 Years

Old

2 to 4 Year

Olds

Total 0 to 4

Years

EXISTING DEMAND Child Care Demand

Total Children

Average LFPRAdjustment Factor

Children With Working Parents

Licensed Care Demand Factor

Resident Children Needing Licensed Care

of Total Resident Children Needing Licensed Care

Children from Non-Resident Employees Needing

Licensed Care

(1)

(2)

(3)

421 717

62

260 632

37

96 598

23 83

28 42

1138

892

78

694

61

69

Total Demand for Child Care Spaces

Distribution

EXISTING SUPPLY (4)

124 640

16 84

Child Care Spaces

764

100

Family Child Care Home Supply

Child Care Center Supply

Current Child Care Supply

Distribution

EXISTING SURPLUS(SHORTAGE)

Distribution

Percentage of Demand Met

by Existing FacilitiesSpaces

Shortage of Family Child Care Home Spaces

Shortage of Center-Based Spaces

(5)

(6)

(6)

17

7

24

62 78

- 376

62 454

12 88

(61) (186)

25 75

50 71

(61) (32)

0 (154)

141

376

517

100

(247)

100

68

(93)

(154)

FINAL

Table A-12

Existing Child Care Demand and Supply in 2015 in Millbrae

San Mateo Co unty Child Care Study - 2016

Note All footnote references can be found in Table C-1 at the end of this file

Sources 2010 US Census ABAG Projections 2013 2014 American Community Survey ACS Journey-to-Work data 2006-2008 and 2006-2010

Child Care Coordinating Council of San Mateo County (4Cs) Community Care Licensing Brion Economics Inc

Prepared by Brion Economics Inc 2513-SMC NA Final Tables 61216 6122016

PACIFICA

Child Care as of 2015

No of

Providers

Under 2 Years

Old

2 to 4 Year

Olds

Total 0 to 4

Years

EXISTING DEMAND Child Care Demand

Estimated Total Children

Average LFPRAdjustment Factor

Children With Working Parents

Licensed Care Demand Factor

Resident Children Needing Licensed Care

of Total Resident Children Needing Licensed Care

Children from Non-Resident Employees Needing

Licensed Care

(1)

(2)

(3)

787 1253

78

610 1165

37

226 1089

29 87

18 27

2040

1776

74

1315

64

45

Total Demand for Child Care Spaces

Distribution

EXISTING SUPPLY (4)

244 1117

18 83

Child Care Spaces

1360

100

Family Child Care Home Supply

Child Care Center Supply

Current Child Care Supply

Distribution

EXISTING SURPLUS(SHORTAGE)

Distribution

Percentage of Demand Met

by Existing FacilitiesSpaces

Shortage of Family Child Care Home Spaces

Shortage of Center-Based Spaces

(5)

(6)

(6)

21

18

39

77 97

39 701

116 798

13 87

(128) (319)

29 71

48 71

(85) (39)

(43) (280)

174

740

914

100

(447)

100

67

(124)

(323)

FINAL

Table A-13

Existing Child Care Demand and Supply in 2015 in Pacifica

San Mateo County Child Care Study - 2016

Note All footnote references can be found in Table C-1 at the end of this file Sources 2010 US Census ABAG Projections 2013 2014 American Community Survey ACS Journey-to-Work data 2006-2008 and 2006-2010

Child Care Coordinating Council of San Mateo County (4Cs) Community Care Licensing Brion Economics Inc

Prepared by Brion Economics Inc 2513-SMC NA Final Tables 61216 6122016

PORTOLA VALLEY

No of

Providers

Child Care as of 2015

Under 2 Years

Old

2 to 4 Year

Olds

Total 0 to 4

Years

EXISTING DEMAND Child Care Demand

Estimated Total Children

Average LFPRAdjustment Factor

Children With Working Parents

Licensed Care Demand Factor

Resident Children Needing Licensed Care

of Total Resident Children Needing Licensed Care

Children from Non-Resident Employees Needing

Licensed Care

(1)

(2)

(3)

75 187

66

49 168

37

18 159

24 85

8 12

261

217

82

177

68

21

Total Demand for Child Care Spaces

Distribution

EXISTING SUPPLY (4)

26 171

13 87

Child Care Spaces

198

100

Family Child Care Home Supply

Child Care Center Supply

Current Child Care Supply

Distribution

EXISTING SURPLUS(SHORTAGE)

Distribution

Percentage of Demand Met

by Existing FacilitiesSpaces

Shortage of Family Child Care Home Spaces

Shortage of Center-Based Spaces

(5)

(6)

(6)

0

4

4

0 0

0 153

0 153

0 100

(26) (18)

59 41

0 89

0 0

(26) (18)

0

153

153

100

(45)

100

77

0

(45)

FINAL

Table A-14

Existing Child Care Demand and Supply in 2015 in Portola Valley

San Mateo County Child Care Study - 2016

Note All footnote references can be found in Table C-1 at the end of this file Sources 2010 US Census ABAG Projections 2013 2014 American Community Survey ACS Journey-to-Work data 2006-2008 and 2006-2010

Child Care Coordinating Council of San Mateo County (4Cs) Community Care Licensing Brion Economics Inc

Prepared by Brion Economics Inc 2513-SMC NA Final Tables 61216 6122016

REDWOOD CITY

Child Care as of 2015

No of

Providers

Under 2 Years

Old

2 to 4 Year

Olds

Total 0 to 4

Years

EXISTING DEMAND Child Care Demand

Estimated Total Children

Average LFPRAdjustment Factor

Children With Working Parents

Licensed Care Demand Factor

Resident Children Needing Licensed Care

of Total Resident Children Needing Licensed Care

Children from Non-Resident Employees Needing

Licensed Care

Total Demand for Child Care Spaces

Distribution

EXISTING SUPPLY

(1)

(2)

(3)

(4)

3260 4706

69

2236 4212

37

827 3942

25 84

414 625

1241 4567

21 79

Child Care Spaces

7966

6449

74

4770

60

1038

5808

100

Family Child Care Home Supply

Child Care Center Supply

Current Child Care Supply

Distribution

EXISTING SURPLUS(SHORTAGE)

Distribution

Percentage of Demand Met

by Existing FacilitiesSpaces

Shortage of Family Child Care Home Spaces

Shortage of Center-Based Spaces

(5)

(6)

(6)

111

45

156

396 497

356 2036

752 2533

23 77

(490) (2034)

19 81

61 55

(258) (399)

(232) (1635)

893

2392

3285

100

(2524)

100

57

(657)

(1867)

FINAL

Table A-15

Existing Child Care Demand and Supply in 2015 in Redwood City

San Mateo County Child Care Study - 2016

Note All footnote references can be found in Table C-1 at the end of this file Sources 2010 US Census ABAG Projections 2013 2014 American Community Survey ACS Journey-to-Work data 2006-2008 and 2006-2010

Child Care Coordinating Council of San Mateo County (4Cs) Community Care Licensing Brion Economics Inc

Prepared by Brion Economics Inc 2513-SMC NA Final Tables 61216 6122016

SAN BRUNO

Child Care as of 2015

No of

Providers

Under 2 Years

Old

2 to 4 Year

Olds

Total 0 to 4

Years

EXISTING DEMAND Child Care Demand

Estimated Total Children

Average LFPRAdjustment Factor

Children With Working Parents

Licensed Care Demand Factor

Resident Children Needing Licensed Care

of Total Resident Children Needing Licensed Care

Children from Non-Resident Employees Needing

Licensed Care

(1)

(2)

(3)

1069 1553

77

817 1428

37

302 1326

28 85

61 92

2622

2245

73

1628

62

153

Total Demand for Child Care Spaces

Distribution

EXISTING SUPPLY (4)

364 1418

20 80

Child Care Spaces

1782

100

Family Child Care Home Supply

Child Care Center Supply

Current Child Care Supply

Distribution

EXISTING SURPLUS(SHORTAGE)

Distribution

Percentage of Demand Met

by Existing FacilitiesSpaces

Shortage of Family Child Care Home Spaces

Shortage of Center-Based Spaces

(5)

(6)

(6)

34

15

49

122 153

26 1183

148 1336

10 90

(216) (82)

72 28

41 94

(178) (9)

(38) (73)

275

1209

1484

100

(298)

100

83

(187)

(110)

FINAL

Table A-16

Existing Child Care Demand and Supply in 2015 in San Bruno

San Mateo County Child Care Study - 2016

Note All footnote references can be found in Table C-1 at the end of this file Sources 2010 US Census ABAG Projections 2013 2014 American Community Survey ACS Journey-to-Work data 2006-2008 and 2006-2010

Child Care Coordinating Council of San Mateo County (4Cs) Community Care Licensing Brion Economics Inc

Prepared by Brion Economics Inc 2513-SMC NA Final Tables 61216 6122016

SAN CARLOS

Child Care as of 2015

No of

Providers

Under 2 Years

Old

2 to 4 Year

Olds

Total 0 to 4

Years

EXISTING DEMAND Child Care Demand

Estimated Total Children

Average LFPRAdjustment Factor

Children With Working Parents

Licensed Care Demand Factor

Resident Children Needing Licensed Care

of Total Resident Children Needing Licensed Care

Children from Non-Resident Employees Needing

Licensed Care

(1)

(2)

(3)

735 1308

72

526 1186

37

195 1109

26 85

75 114

2043

1712

76

1304

64

189

Total Demand for Child Care Spaces

Distribution

EXISTING SUPPLY (4)

270 1222

18 82

Child Care Spaces

1492

100

Family Child Care Home Supply

Child Care Center Supply

Current Child Care Supply

Distribution

EXISTING SURPLUS(SHORTAGE)

Distribution

Percentage of Demand Met

by Existing FacilitiesSpaces

Shortage of Family Child Care Home Spaces

Shortage of Center-Based Spaces

(5)

(6)

(6)

20

14

34

73 92

76 615

149 707

17 83

(121) (516)

19 81

55 58

(59) (67)

(62) (449)

164

691

855

100

(637)

100

57

(126)

(511)

FINAL

Table A-17

Existing Child Care Demand and Supply in 2015 in San Carlos

San Mateo County Child Care Study - 2016

Note All footnote references can be found in Table C-1 at the end of this file

Sources 2010 US Census ABAG Projections 2013 2014 American Community Survey ACS Journey-to-Work data 2006-2008 and 2006-2010

Child Care Coordinating Council of San Mateo County (4Cs) Community Care Licensing Brion Economics Inc

Prepared by Brion Economics Inc 2513-SMC NA Final Tables 61216 6122016

SAN MATEO

Child Care as of 2015

No of

Providers

Under 2 Years

Old

2 to 4 Year

Olds

Total 0 to 4

Years

EXISTING DEMAND Child Care Demand

Estimated Total Children

Average LFPRAdjustment Factor

Children With Working Parents

Licensed Care Demand Factor

Resident Children Needing Licensed Care

of Total Resident Children Needing Licensed Care

Children from Non-Resident Employees Needing

Licensed Care

(1)

(2)

(3)

2943 4213

71

2087 3793

37

772 3537

26 84

231 348

7156

5880

73

4309

60

579

Total Demand for Child Care Spaces

Distribution

EXISTING SUPPLY (4)

1003 3886

21 79

Child Care Spaces

4889

100

Family Child Care Home Supply

Child Care Center Supply

Current Child Care Supply

Distribution

EXISTING SURPLUS(SHORTAGE)

Distribution

Percentage of Demand Met

by Existing FacilitiesSpaces

Shortage of Family Child Care Home Spaces

Shortage of Center-Based Spaces

(5)

(6)

(6)

126

59

185

492 619

209 2577

701 3196

18 82

(302) (690)

30 70

70 82

(212) (134)

(90) (557)

1111

2786

3897

100

(992)

100

80

(345)

(647)

FINAL

Table A-18

Existing Child Care Demand and Supply in 2015 in San Mateo

San Mateo County Child Care Study - 2016

Note All footnote references can be found in Table C-1 at the end of this file

Sources 2010 US Census ABAG Projections 2013 2014 American Community Survey ACS Journey-to-Work data 2006-2008 and 2006-2010

Child Care Coordinating Council of San Mateo County (4Cs) Community Care Licensing Brion Economics Inc

Prepared by Brion Economics Inc 2513-SMC NA Final Tables 61216 6122016

SOUTH COAST

Child Care as of 2015

No of

Providers

Under 2 Years

Old

2 to 4 Year

Olds

Total 0 to 4

Years

EXISTING DEMAND Child Care Demand

Estimated Total Children

Average LFPRAdjustment Factor

Children With Working Parents

Licensed Care Demand Factor

Resident Children Needing Licensed Care

of Total Resident Children Needing Licensed Care

Children from Non-Resident Employees Needing

Licensed Care

(1)

(2)

(3)

21 29

54

11 25

37

4 23

20 81

0 0

50

36

77

28

56

0

Total Demand for Child Care Spaces

Distribution

EXISTING SUPPLY (4)

4 23

15 85

Child Care Spaces

28

100

Family Child Care Home Supply

Child Care Center Supply

Current Child Care Supply

Distribution

EXISTING SURPLUS(SHORTAGE)

Distribution

Percentage of Demand Met

by Existing FacilitiesSpaces

Shortage of Family Child Care Home Spaces

Shortage of Center-Based Spaces

(5)

(6)

(6)

-

2

2

- -

- 54

- 54

0 100

(4) 31

-16 116

0 230

(2) NA

(2) NA

0

54

54

100

26

100

195

(2)

(2)

FINAL

Table A-19

Existing Child Care Demand and Supply in 2015 in South Coast

San Mateo County Child Care Study - 2016

Note All footnote references can be found in Table C-1 at the end of this file

Sources 2010 US Census ABAG Projections 2013 2014 American Community Survey ACS Journey-to-Work data 2006-2008 and 2006-2010

Child Care Coordinating Council of San Mateo County (4Cs) Community Care Licensing Brion Economics Inc

Prepared by Brion Economics Inc 2513-SMC NA Final Tables 61216 6122016

SOUTH SAN FRANCISCO

Child Care as of 2015

No of

Providers

Under 2 Years

Old

2 to 4 Year

Olds

Total 0 to 4

Years

EXISTING DEMAND Child Care Demand

Estimated Total Children

Average LFPRAdjustment Factor

Children With Working Parents

Licensed Care Demand Factor

Resident Children Needing Licensed Care

of Total Resident Children Needing Licensed Care

Children from Non-Resident Employees Needing

Licensed Care

(1)

(2)

(3)

1649 2507

73

1206 2278

37

446 2123

27 85

309 466

4156

3484

74

2569

62

774

Total Demand for Child Care Spaces

Distribution

EXISTING SUPPLY (4)

755 2588

23 77

Child Care Spaces

3343

100

Family Child Care Home Supply

Child Care Center Supply

Current Child Care Supply

Distribution

EXISTING SURPLUS(SHORTAGE)

Distribution

Percentage of Demand Met

by Existing FacilitiesSpaces

Shortage of Family Child Care Home Spaces

Shortage of Center-Based Spaces

(5)

(6)

(6)

68

27

95

252 317

400 1966

652 2283

22 78

(103) (306)

25 75

86 88

(40) (42)

(63) (263)

569

2366

2935

100

(408)

100

88

(82)

(326)

FINAL

Table A-20

Existing Child Care Demand and Supply in 2015 in South San Francisco

San Mateo County Child Care Study - 2016

Note All footnote references can be found in Table C-1 at the end of this file Sources 2010 US Census ABAG Projections 2013 2014 American Community Survey ACS Journey-to-Work data 2006-2008 and 2006-2010

Child Care Coordinating Council of San Mateo County (4Cs) Community Care Licensing Brion Economics Inc

Prepared by Brion Economics Inc 2513-SMC NA Final Tables 61216 6122016

WOODSIDE

No of

Providers

Child Care as of 2015

Under 2 Years

Old

2 to 4 Year

Olds

Total 0 to 4

Years

EXISTING DEMAND Child Care Demand

Estimated Total Children

Average LFPRAdjustment Factor

Children With Working Parents

Licensed Care Demand Factor

Resident Children Needing Licensed Care

of Total Resident Children Needing Licensed Care

Children from Non-Resident Employees Needing

Licensed Care

(1)

(2)

(3)

90 160

56

50 136

37

18 128

21 80

8 13

250

186

79

147

59

21

Total Demand for Child Care Spaces

Distribution

EXISTING SUPPLY (4)

27 141

16 84

Child Care Spaces

168

100

Family Child Care Home Supply

Child Care Center Supply

Current Child Care Supply

Distribution

EXISTING SURPLUS(SHORTAGE)

Distribution

Percentage of Demand Met

by Existing FacilitiesSpaces

Shortage of Family Child Care Home Spaces

Shortage of Center-Based Spaces

(5)

(6)

(6)

1

2

3

4 5

0 103

4 108

4 96

(23) (33)

41 59

16 77

(23) (2)

0 (31)

9

103

112

100

(55)

100

67

(24)

(31)

FINAL

Table A-21

Existing Child Care Demand and Supply in 2015 in Woodside

San Mateo County Child Care Study - 2016

Note All footnote references can be found in Table C-1 at the end of this file Sources 2010 US Census ABAG Projections 2013 2014 American Community Survey ACS Journey-to-Work data 2006-2008 and 2006-2010

Child Care Coordinating Council of San Mateo County (4Cs) Community Care Licensing Brion Economics Inc

Prepared by Brion Economics Inc 2513-SMC NA Final Tables 61216 6122016

COUNTYWIDE

Child Care as of 2025

No of

Providers

Under 2 Years

Old

2 to 4 Year

Olds

Total 0 to 4

Years

EXISTING DEMAND Child Care Demand

Estimated Total Children

Average LFPRAdjustment Factor

Children With Working Parents

Licensed Care Demand Factor

Resident Children Needing Licensed Care

of Total Resident Children Needing Licensed Care

Children from Non-Resident Employees Needing

Licensed Care

Total Demand for Child Care Spaces

Distribution

EXISTING SUPPLY

(1)

(2)

(3)

(4)

20790 31340

71

14704 28273

37

5441 26432

26 84

2037 3074

7478 29506

20 80

Child Care Spaces

52130

42978

86

31873

61

5112

36984

100

Family Child Care Home Supply

Child Care Center Supply

Current Child Care Supply

Distribution

EXISTING SURPLUS(SHORTAGE)

Distribution

Percentage of Demand Met

by Existing FacilitiesSpaces

Shortage of Family Child Care Home Spaces

Shortage of Center-Based Spaces

(5)

(6)

(6)

621

309

930

2301 2893

1514 16296

3815 19189

17 83

(3663) (10318)

26 74

51 65

(2209) (1555)

(1454) (8762)

5193

17810

23003

100

(13981)

100

62

(3765)

(10216)

FINAL

Table B-1

Future C hild Care Demand and Supply in 2025 Countywide

San Mateo County Child Care Study - 2016

Note All footnote references can be found in Table C-1 at the end of this file

Sources 2010 US Census ABAG Projections 2013 2014 American Community Survey ACS Journey-to-Work data 2006-2008 and 2006-2010

Child Care Coordinating Council of San Mateo County (4Cs) Community Care Licensing Brion Economics Inc

Prepared by Brion Economics Inc 2513-SMC NA Final Tables 61216 6122016

ATHERTON

No of

Providers

Child Care as of 2025

Under 2 Years

Old

2 to 4 Year

Olds

Total 0 to 4

Years

EXISTING DEMAND Child Care Demand

Estimated Total Children

Average LFPRAdjustment Factor

Children With Working Parents

Licensed Care Demand Factor

Resident Children Needing Licensed Care

of Total Resident Children Needing Licensed Care

Children from Non-Resident Employees Needing

Licensed Care

(1)

(2)

(3)

109 193

40

43 159

37

16 154

15 80

13 19

302

202

84

170

56

32

Total Demand for Child Care Spaces

Distribution

EXISTING SUPPLY (4)

29 173

14 86

Child Care Spaces

201

100

Family Child Care Home Supply

Child Care Center Supply

Current Child Care Supply

Distribution

EXISTING SURPLUS(SHORTAGE)

Distribution

Percentage of Demand Met

by Existing FacilitiesSpaces

Shortage of Family Child Care Home Spaces

Shortage of Center-Based Spaces

(5)

(6)

(6)

1

6

7

5 6

24 267

29 273

10 90

0 101

0 100

101 158

NA NA

NA NA

11

291

302

100

101

100

150

NA

NA

FINAL

Table B-2

Future Child Care Demand and Supply in 2025 in Atherton

San Mateo Co unty Child Care Study - 2016

Note All footnote references can be found in Table C-1 at the end of this file Sources 2010 US Census ABAG Projections 2013 2014 American Community Survey ACS Journey-to-Work data 2006-2008 and 2006-2010

Child Care Coordinating Council of San Mateo County (4Cs) Community Care Licensing Brion Economics Inc

Prepared by Brion Economics Inc 2513-SMC NA Final Tables 61216 6122016

BELMONT

Child Care as of 2025

No of

Providers

Under 2 Years

Old

2 to 4 Year

Olds

Total 0 to 4

Years

EXISTING DEMAND Child Care Demand

Estimated Total Children

Average LFPRAdjustment Factor

Children With Working Parents

Licensed Care Demand Factor

Resident Children Needing Licensed Care

of Total Resident Children Needing Licensed Care

Children from Non-Resident Employees Needing

Licensed Care

(1)

(2)

(3)

743 1095

77

574 1013

37

213 943

29 86

37 56

1838

1587

73

1156

63

93

Total Demand for Child Care Spaces

Distribution

EXISTING SUPPLY (4)

250 999

20 80

Child Care Spaces

1249

100

Family Child Care Home Supply

Child Care Center Supply

Current Child Care Supply

Distribution

EXISTING SURPLUS(SHORTAGE)

Distribution

Percentage of Demand Met

by Existing FacilitiesSpaces

Shortage of Family Child Care Home Spaces

Shortage of Center-Based Spaces

(5)

(6)

(6)

8

9

17

67 84

39 531

106 615

15 85

(143) (384)

27 73

43 62

(91) (53)

(53) (331)

152

570

722

100

(527)

100

58

(143)

(384)

FINAL

Table B-3

Future Child Care Demand and Supply in 2025 in Belmont

San Mateo County Child Care Study - 2016

Note All footnote references can be found in Table C-1 at the end of this file

Sources 2010 US Census ABAG Projections 2013 2014 American Community Survey ACS Journey-to-Work data 2006-2008 and 2006-2010

Child Care Coordinating Council of San Mateo County (4Cs) Community Care Licensing Brion Economics Inc

Prepared by Brion Economics Inc 2513-SMC NA Final Tables 61216 6122016

BRISBANE

Child Care as of 2025

No of

Providers

Under 2 Years

Old

2 to 4 Year

Olds

Total 0 to 4

Years

EXISTING DEMAND Child Care Demand

Estimated Total Children

Average LFPRAdjustment Factor

Children With Working Parents

Licensed Care Demand Factor

Resident Children Needing Licensed Care

of Total Resident Children Needing Licensed Care

Children from Non-Resident Employees Needing

Licensed Care

(1)

(2)

(3)

131 174

100

131 174

37

48 160

37 92

55 83

305

305

68

209

68

138

Total Demand for Child Care Spaces

Distribution

EXISTING SUPPLY (4)

103 243

30 70

Child Care Spaces

346

100

Family Child Care Home Supply

Child Care Center Supply

Current Child Care Supply

Distribution

EXISTING SURPLUS(SHORTAGE)

Distribution

Percentage of Demand Met

by Existing FacilitiesSpaces

Shortage of Family Child Care Home Spaces

Shortage of Center-Based Spaces

(5)

(6)

(6)

1

1

2

4 5

0 64

4 69

6 94

(99) (174)

36 64

4 29

(99) (13)

0 (160)

9

64

73

100

(273)

100

21

(112)

(160)

FINAL

Table B-4

Future Child Care Demand and Supply in 2025 in Brisbane

San Mateo County Child Care Study - 2016

Note All footnote references can be found in Table C-1 at the end of this file Sources 2010 US Census ABAG Projections 2013 2014 American Community Survey ACS Journey-to-Work data 2006-2008 and 2006-2010

Child Care Coordinating Council of San Mateo County (4Cs) Community Care Licensing Brion Economics Inc

Prepared by Brion Economics Inc 2513-SMC NA Final Tables 61216 6122016

BURLINGAME

Child Care as of 2025

No of

Providers

Under 2 Years

Old

2 to 4 Year

Olds

Total 0 to 4

Years

EXISTING DEMAND Child Care Demand

Estimated Total Children

Average LFPRAdjustment Factor

Children With Working Parents

Licensed Care Demand Factor

Resident Children Needing Licensed Care

of Total Resident Children Needing Licensed Care

Children from Non-Resident Employees Needing

Licensed Care

(1)

(2)

(3)

903 1332

65

587 1190

37

217 1124

24 84

154 232

2235

1777

75

1341

60

385

Total Demand for Child Care Spaces

Distribution

EXISTING SUPPLY (4)

371 1356

21 79

Child Care Spaces

1726

100

Family Child Care Home Supply

Child Care Center Supply

Current Child Care Supply

Distribution

EXISTING SURPLUS(SHORTAGE)

Distribution

Percentage of Demand Met

by Existing FacilitiesSpaces

Shortage of Family Child Care Home Spaces

Shortage of Center-Based Spaces

(5)

(6)

(6)

10

14

24

79 99

40 866

119 965

11 89

(252) (390)

39 61

32 71

(167) (40)

(85) (350)

179

906

1085

100

(642)

100

63

(207)

(434)

FINAL

Table B-5

Future Child Care Demand and Supply in 2025 in Burlingame

San Mateo County Child Care Study - 2016

Note All footnote references can be found in Table C-1 at the end of this file

Sources 2010 US Census ABAG Projections 2013 2014 American Community Survey ACS Journey-to-Work data 2006-2008 and 2006-2010

Child Care Coordinating Council of San Mateo County (4Cs) Community Care Licensing Brion Economics Inc

Prepared by Brion Economics Inc 2513-SMC NA Final Tables 61216 6122016

DALY CITYCOLMA

Child Care as of 2025

No of

Providers

Under 2 Years

Old

2 to 4 Year

Olds

Total 0 to 4

Years

EXISTING DEMAND Child Care Demand

Estimated Total Children

Average LFPRAdjustment Factor

Children With Working Parents

Licensed Care Demand Factor

Resident Children Needing Licensed Care

of Total Resident Children Needing Licensed Care

Children from Non-Resident Employees Needing

Licensed Care

(1)

(2)

(3)

2647 3793

74

1964 3467

37

727 3233

27 85

138 208

6440

5432

73

3960

61

346

Total Demand for Child Care Spaces

Distribution

EXISTING SUPPLY (4)

865 3441

20 80

Child Care Spaces

4306

100

Family Child Care Home Supply

Child Care Center Supply

Current Child Care Supply

Distribution

EXISTING SURPLUS(SHORTAGE)

Distribution

Percentage of Demand Met

by Existing FacilitiesSpaces

Shortage of Family Child Care Home Spaces

Shortage of Center-Based Spaces

(5)

(6)

(6)

25

28

28

288 362

84 1264

372 1626

19 81

(493) (1816)

21 79

43 47

(381) (404)

(111) (1412)

649

1348

1997

100

(2308)

100

46

(785)

(1523)

FINAL

Table B-6

Future C hild Care Demand and Supply in 2025 in Daly CityColma

San Mateo County Child Care Study - 2016

Note All footnote references can be found in Table C-1 at the end of this file

Sources 2010 US Census ABAG Projections 2013 2014 American Community Survey ACS Journey-to-Work data 2006-2008 and 2006-2010

Child Care Coordinating Council of San Mateo County (4Cs) Community Care Licensing Brion Economics Inc

Prepared by Brion Economics Inc 2513-SMC NA Final Tables 61216 6122016

EAST PALO ALTO

Child Care as of 2025

No of

Providers

Under 2 Years

Old

2 to 4 Year

Olds

Total 0 to 4

Years

EXISTING DEMAND Child Care Demand

Estimated Total Children

Average LFPRAdjustment Factor

Children With Working Parents

Licensed Care Demand Factor

Resident Children Needing Licensed Care

of Total Resident Children Needing Licensed Care

Children from Non-Resident Employees Needing

Licensed Care

(1)

(2)

(3)

1161 1849

71

822 1660

37

304 1545

26 84

20 30

3010

2482

75

1849

61

50

Total Demand for Child Care Spaces

Distribution

EXISTING SUPPLY (4)

324 1575

17 83

Child Care Spaces

1900

100

Family Child Care Home Supply

Child Care Center Supply

Current Child Care Supply

Distribution

EXISTING SURPLUS(SHORTAGE)

Distribution

Percentage of Demand Met

by Existing FacilitiesSpaces

Shortage of Family Child Care Home Spaces

Shortage of Center-Based Spaces

(5)

(6)

(6)

13

6

19

85 106

25 633

110 739

13 87

(215) (836)

20 80

34 47

(166) (120)

(49) (715)

191

658

849

100

(1050)

100

45

(286)

(764)

FINAL

Table B-7

Future Child Care Demand and Supply in 2025 in East Palo Alto

San Mateo County Child Care Study - 2016

Note All footnote references can be found in Table C-1 at the end of this file

Sources 2010 US Census ABAG Projections 2013 2014 American Community Survey ACS Journey-to-Work data 2006-2008 and 2006-2010

Child Care Coordinating Council of San Mateo County (4Cs) Community Care Licensing Brion Economics Inc

Prepared by Brion Economics Inc 2513-SMC NA Final Tables 61216 6122016

FOSTER CITY

Child Care as of 2025

No of

Providers

Under 2 Years

Old

2 to 4 Year

Olds

Total 0 to 4

Years

EXISTING DEMAND Child Care Demand

Estimated Total Children

Average LFPRAdjustment Factor

Children With Working Parents

Licensed Care Demand Factor

Resident Children Needing Licensed Care

of Total Resident Children Needing Licensed Care

Children from Non-Resident Employees Needing

Licensed Care

(1)

(2)

(3)

871 1330

63

550 1154

37

204 1079

23 81

80 120

2201

1705

75

1282

58

200

Total Demand for Child Care Spaces

Distribution

EXISTING SUPPLY (4)

283 1199

19 81

Child Care Spaces

1483

100

Family Child Care Home Supply

Child Care Center Supply

Current Child Care Supply

Distribution

EXISTING SURPLUS(SHORTAGE)

Distribution

Percentage of Demand Met

by Existing FacilitiesSpaces

Shortage of Family Child Care Home Spaces

Shortage of Center-Based Spaces

(5)

(6)

(6)

19

12

31

118 149

88 1200

206 1349

13 87

(77) 150

-106 206

73 112

(44) NA

(33) NA

267

1288

1555

100

73

100

105

(44)

(33)

FINAL

Table B-8

Future Child Care Demand and Supply in 2025 in Foster City

San Mateo County Child Care Study - 2016

Note All footnote references can be found in Table C-1 at the end of this file

Sources 2010 US Census ABAG Projections 2013 2014 American Community Survey ACS Journey-to-Work data 2006-2008 and 2006-2010

Child Care Coordinating Council of San Mateo County (4Cs) Community Care Licensing Brion Economics Inc

Prepared by Brion Economics Inc 2513-SMC NA Final Tables 61216 6122016

HALF MOON BAY REGION

Child Care as of 2025

No of

Providers

Under 2 Years

Old

2 to 4 Year

Olds

Total 0 to 4

Years

EXISTING DEMAND Child Care Demand

Estimated Total Children

Average LFPRAdjustment Factor

Children With Working Parents

Licensed Care Demand Factor

Resident Children Needing Licensed Care

of Total Resident Children Needing Licensed Care

Children from Non-Resident Employees Needing

Licensed Care

(1)

(2)

(3)

553 929

69

383 835

37

142 781

26 84

14 21

1482

1217

76

923

62

34

Total Demand for Child Care Spaces

Distribution

EXISTING SUPPLY (4)

155 802

16 84

Child Care Spaces

957

100

Family Child Care Home Supply

Child Care Center Supply

Current Child Care Supply

Distribution

EXISTING SURPLUS(SHORTAGE)

Distribution

Percentage of Demand Met

by Existing FacilitiesSpaces

Shortage of Family Child Care Home Spaces

Shortage of Center-Based Spaces

(5)

(6)

(6)

10

11

21

96 121

35 285

131 406

24 76

(24) (396)

6 94

84 51

(18) (118)

(6) (279)

216

320

536

100

(421)

100

56

(136)

(285)

FINAL

Table B-9

Future Child Care Demand and Supply in 2025 in Half Moon Bay Region

San Mateo County Child Care Study - 2016

Note All footnote references can be found in Table C-1 at the end of this file

Sources 2010 US Census ABAG Projections 2013 2014 American Community Survey ACS Journey-to-Work data 2006-2008 and 2006-2010

Child Care Coordinating Council of San Mateo County (4Cs) Community Care Licensing Brion Economics Inc

Prepared by Brion Economics Inc 2513-SMC NA Final Tables 61216 6122016

HILLSBOROUGH

Child Care as of 2025

No of

Providers

Under 2 Years

Old

2 to 4 Year

Olds

Total 0 to 4

Years

EXISTING DEMAND Child Care Demand

Estimated Total Children

Average LFPRAdjustment Factor

Children With Working Parents

Licensed Care Demand Factor

Resident Children Needing Licensed Care

of Total Resident Children Needing Licensed Care

Children from Non-Resident Employees Needing

Licensed Care

(1)

(2)

(3)

143 343

52

74 295

37

27 282

19 82

7 11

487

369

84

309

64

17

Total Demand for Child Care Spaces

Distribution

EXISTING SUPPLY (4)

34 292

10 90

Child Care Spaces

327

100

Family Child Care Home Supply

Child Care Center Supply

Current Child Care Supply

Distribution

EXISTING SURPLUS(SHORTAGE)

Distribution

Percentage of Demand Met

by Existing FacilitiesSpaces

Shortage of Family Child Care Home Spaces

Shortage of Center-Based Spaces

(5)

(6)

(6)

1

4

5

5 6

- 91

5 97

5 95

(29) (195)

13 87

14 33

(29) (12)

0 (183)

11

91

102

100

(225)

100

31

(42)

(183)

FINAL

Table B-10

Future Child Care Demand and Supply in 2025 in Hillsborough

San Mateo County Child Care Study - 2016

Note All footnote references can be found in Table C-1 at the end of this file

Sources 2010 US Census ABAG Projections 2013 2014 American Community Survey ACS Journey-to-Work data 2006-2008 and 2006-2010

Child Care Coordinating Council of San Mateo County (4Cs) Community Care Licensing Brion Economics Inc

Prepared by Brion Economics Inc 2513-SMC NA Final Tables 61216 6122016

MENLO PARK

Child Care as of 2025

No of

Providers

Under 2 Years

Old

2 to 4 Year

Olds

Total 0 to 4

Years

EXISTING DEMAND Child Care Demand

Estimated Total Children

Average LFPRAdjustment Factor

Children With Working Parents

Licensed Care Demand Factor

Resident Children Needing Licensed Care

of Total Resident Children Needing Licensed Care

Children from Non-Resident Employees Needing

Licensed Care

(1)

(2)

(3)

1327 1954

69

909 1759

37

336 1653

25 85

237 357

3281

2668

75

1989

61

594

Total Demand for Child Care Spaces

Distribution

EXISTING SUPPLY (4)

573 2011

22 78

Child Care Spaces

2584

100

Family Child Care Home Supply

Child Care Center Supply

Current Child Care Supply

Distribution

EXISTING SURPLUS(SHORTAGE)

Distribution

Percentage of Demand Met

by Existing FacilitiesSpaces

Shortage of Family Child Care Home Spaces

Shortage of Center-Based Spaces

(5)

(6)

(6)

15

25

40

76 96

73 1331

149 1427

9 91

(424) (584)

42 58

26 71

(217) (39)

(207) (544)

172

1404

1576

100

(1008)

100

61

(256)

(752)

FINAL

Table B-11

Future Child Care Demand and Supply in 2025 in Menlo Park

San Mateo County Child Care Study - 2016

Note All footnote references can be found in Table C-1 at the end of this file

Sources 2010 US Census ABAG Projections 2013 2014 American Community Survey ACS Journey-to-Work data 2006-2008 and 2006-2010

Child Care Coordinating Council of San Mateo County (4Cs) Community Care Licensing Brion Economics Inc

Prepared by Brion Economics Inc 2513-SMC NA Final Tables 61216 6122016

MILLBRAE

Child Care as of 2025

No of

Providers

Under 2 Years

Old

2 to 4 Year

Olds

Total 0 to 4

Years

EXISTING DEMAND Child Care Demand

Estimated Total Children

Average LFPRAdjustment Factor

Children With Working Parents

Licensed Care Demand Factor

Resident Children Needing Licensed Care

of Total Resident Children Needing Licensed Care

Children from Non-Resident Employees Needing

Licensed Care

(1)

(2)

(3)

473 805

62

291 710

37

108 672

23 83

31 47

1278

1001

78

780

61

77

Total Demand for Child Care Spaces

Distribution

EXISTING SUPPLY (4)

139 718

16 84

Child Care Spaces

857

100

Family Child Care Home Supply

Child Care Center Supply

Current Child Care Supply

Distribution

EXISTING SURPLUS(SHORTAGE)

Distribution

Percentage of Demand Met

by Existing FacilitiesSpaces

Shortage of Family Child Care Home Spaces

Shortage of Center-Based Spaces

(5)

(6)

(6)

7

7

14

62 78

- 376

62 454

12 88

(76) (264)

22 78

45 63

(76) (46)

0 (219)

141

376

517

100

(340)

100

60

(122)

(219)

FINAL

Table B-12

Future C hild Care Demand and Supply in 2025 in Millbrae

San Mateo County Child Care Study - 2016

Note All footnote references can be found in Table C-1 at the end of this file

Sources 2010 US Census ABAG Projections 2013 2014 American Community Survey ACS Journey-to-Work data 2006-2008 and 2006-2010

Child Care Coordinating Council of San Mateo County (4Cs) Community Care Licensing Brion Economics Inc

Prepared by Brion Economics Inc 2513-SMC NA Final Tables 61216 6122016

FINAL

Table B-13

Future Child Care Demand and Supply in 2025 in Pacifica

San Mateo County Child Care Study - 2016

PACIFICA

Child Care as of 2025

No of

Providers

Under 2 Years

Old

2 to 4 Year

Olds

Total 0 to 4

Years

EXISTING DEMAND Child Care Demand

Estimated Total Children

Average L FPRAdjustment Factor

Children With Working Parents

Licensed Care Demand Factor

Resident Children Needing Licensed Care

of Total Resident Children Needing Licensed Care

Children from Non-Resident Employees Needing

Licensed Care

(1)

(2)

(3)

816 1300

78

633 1209

37

234 1130

29 87

19 29

2116

1842

74

1364

64

48

Total Demand for Child Care Spaces

Distribution

EXISTING SUPPLY (4)

254 1159

18 82

Child Care Spaces

1413

100

Family Child Care Home Supply

Child Care Center Supply

Current Child Care Supply

Distribution

EXISTING SURPLUS(SHORTAGE)

Distribution

Percentage of Demand Met

by Existing FacilitiesSpaces

Shortage of Family Child Care Home Spaces

Shortage of Center-Based Spaces

(5)

(6)

(6)

9

18

27

77 97

39 701

116 798

13 87

(138) (361)

28 72

46 69

(91) (44)

(46) (317)

174

740

914

100

(499)

100

65

(135)

(364)

Note All footnote references can be found in Table C-1 at the end of this file

Sources 2010 US Census ABAG Projections 2013 2014 American Community Survey ACS Journey-to-Work data 2006-2008 and 2006-2010

Child Care Coordinating Council of San Mateo County (4Cs) Community Care Licensing Brion Economics Inc

Prepared by Brion Economics Inc 2513-SMC NA Final Tables 61216 6122016

PORTOLA VALLEY

Child Care as of 2025

No of

Providers

Under 2 Years

Old

2 to 4 Year

Olds

Total 0 to 4

Years

EXISTING DEMAND Child Care Demand

Estimated Total Children

Average LFPRAdjustment Factor

Children With Working Parents

Licensed Care Demand Factor

Resident Children Needing Licensed Care

of Total Resident Children Needing Licensed Care

Children from Non-Resident Employees Needing

Licensed Care

(1)

(2)

(3)

77 192

66

51 173

37

19 164

24 85

9 13

269

224

82

182

68

22

Total Demand for Child Care Spaces

Distribution

EXISTING SUPPLY (4)

28 177

13 87

Child Care Spaces

204

100

Family Child Care Home Supply

Child Care Center Supply

Current Child Care Supply

Distribution

EXISTING SURPLUS(SHORTAGE)

Distribution

Percentage of Demand Met

by Existing FacilitiesSpaces

Shortage of Family Child Care Home Spaces

Shortage of Center-Based Spaces

(5)

(6)

(6)

0

4

4

- -

- 153

- 153

0 100

(28) (24)

54 46

0 87

0 0

(28) (24)

0

153

153

100

(51)

100

75

0

(51)

FINAL

Table B-14

Future Child Care Demand and Supply in 2025 in Portola Valley

San Mateo County Child Care Study - 2016

Note All footnote references can be found in Table C-1 at the end of this file

Sources 2010 US Census ABAG Projections 2013 2014 American Community Survey ACS Journey-to-Work data 2006-2008 and 2006-2010

Child Care Coordinating Council of San Mateo County (4Cs) Community Care Licensing Brion Economics Inc

Prepared by Brion Economics Inc 2513-SMC NA Final Tables 61216 6122016

REDWOOD CITY

No of

Providers

Child Care as of 2025

Under 2 Years

Old

2 to 4 Year

Olds

Total 0 to 4

Years

EXISTING DEMAND Child Care Demand

Estimated Total Children

Average LFPRAdjustment Factor

Children With Working Parents

Licensed Care Demand Factor

Resident Children Needing Licensed Care

of Total Resident Children Needing Licensed Care

Children from Non-Resident Employees Needing

Licensed Care

Total Demand for Child Care Spaces

Distribution

EXISTING SUPPLY

(1)

(2)

(3)

(4)

3725 5378

69

2555 4813

37

946 4505

25 84

466 703

1411 5208

21 79

Child Care Spaces

9103

7368

74

5450

60

1169

6619

100

Family Child Care Home Supply

Child Care Center Supply

Current Child Care Supply

Distribution

EXISTING SURPLUS(SHORTAGE)

Distribution

Percentage of Demand Met

by Existing FacilitiesSpaces

Shortage of Family Child Care Home Spaces

Shortage of Center-Based Spaces

(5)

(6)

(6)

42

41

83

396 497

356 2036

752 2533

23 77

(660) (2674)

20 80

53 49

(347) (525)

(313) (2149)

893

2392

3285

100

(3334)

100

50

(872)

(2462)

FINAL

Table B-15

Future Child Care Demand and Supply in 2025 in Redwood City

San Mateo County Child Care Study - 2016

Note All footnote references can be found in Table C-1 at the end of this file

Sources 2010 US Census ABAG Projections 2013 2014 American Community Survey ACS Journey-to-Work data 2006-2008 and 2006-2010

Child Care Coordinating Council of San Mateo County (4Cs) Community Care Licensing Brion Economics Inc

Prepared by Brion Economics Inc 2513-SMC NA Final Tables 61216 6122016

SAN BRUNO

Child Care as of 2025

No of

Providers

Under 2 Years

Old

2 to 4 Year

Olds

Total 0 to 4

Years

EXISTING DEMAND Child Care Demand

Estimated Total Children

Average LFPRAdjustment Factor

Children With Working Parents

Licensed Care Demand Factor

Resident Children Needing Licensed Care

of Total Resident Children Needing Licensed Care

Children from Non-Resident Employees Needing

Licensed Care

(1)

(2)

(3)

1189 1728

77

910 1589

37

337 1475

28 85

68 103

2917

2498

73

1812

62

171

Total Demand for Child Care Spaces

Distribution

EXISTING SUPPLY (4)

405 1578

20 80

Child Care Spaces

1983

100

Family Child Care Home Supply

Child Care Center Supply

Current Child Care Supply

Distribution

EXISTING SURPLUS(SHORTAGE)

Distribution

Percentage of Demand Met

by Existing FacilitiesSpaces

Shortage of Family Child Care Home Spaces

Shortage of Center-Based Spaces

(5)

(6)

(6)

13

15

28

122 153

26 1183

148 1336

10 90

(257) (242)

52 48

37 85

(212) (28)

(45) (214)

275

1209

1484

100

(499)

100

75

(239)

(259)

FINAL

Table B-16

Future C hild Care Demand and Supply in 2025 in San Bruno

San Mateo County Child Care Study - 2016

Note All footnote references can be found in Table C-1 at the end of this file

Sources 2010 US Census ABAG Projections 2013 2014 American Community Survey ACS Journey-to-Work data 2006-2008 and 2006-2010

Child Care Coordinating Council of San Mateo County (4Cs) Community Care Licensing Brion Economics Inc

Prepared by Brion Economics Inc 2513-SMC NA Final Tables 61216 6122016

SAN CARLOS

Child Care as of 2025

No of

Providers

Under 2 Years

Old

2 to 4 Year

Olds

Total 0 to 4

Years

EXISTING DEMAND Child Care Demand

Estimated Total Children

Average LFPRAdjustment Factor

Children With Working Parents

Licensed Care Demand Factor

Resident Children Needing Licensed Care

of Total Resident Children Needing Licensed Care

Children from Non-Resident Employees Needing

Licensed Care

(1)

(2)

(3)

778 1384

72

557 1255

37

206 1174

26 85

82 123

2162

1812

76

1380

64

205

Total Demand for Child Care Spaces

Distribution

EXISTING SUPPLY (4)

288 1297

18 82

Child Care Spaces

1585

100

Family Child Care Home Supply

Child Care Center Supply

Current Child Care Supply

Distribution

EXISTING SURPLUS(SHORTAGE)

Distribution

Percentage of Demand Met

by Existing FacilitiesSpaces

Shortage of Family Child Care Home Spaces

Shortage of Center-Based Spaces

(5)

(6)

(6)

28

14

42

73 92

76 615

149 707

17 83

(139) (590)

19 81

52 54

(68) (76)

(71) (514)

164

691

855

100

(729)

100

54

(145)

(585)

FINAL

Table B-17

Future Child Care Demand and Supply in 2025 in San Carlos

San Mateo County Child Care Study - 2016

Note All footnote references can be found in Table C-1 at the end of this file

Sources 2010 US Census ABAG Projections 2013 2014 American Community Survey ACS Journey-to-Work data 2006-2008 and 2006-2010

Child Care Coordinating Council of San Mateo County (4Cs) Community Care Licensing Brion Economics Inc

Prepared by Brion Economics Inc 2513-SMC NA Final Tables 61216 6122016

SAN MATEO

Child Care as of 2025

No of

Providers

Under 2 Years

Old

2 to 4 Year

Olds

Total 0 to 4

Years

EXISTING DEMAND Child Care Demand

Estimated Total Children

Average LFPRAdjustment Factor

Children With Working Parents

Licensed Care Demand Factor

Resident Children Needing Licensed Care

of Total Resident Children Needing Licensed Care

Children from Non-Resident Employees Needing

Licensed Care

(1)

(2)

(3)

3194 4572

71

2264 4116

37

838 3839

26 84

261 394

7766

6381

73

4677

60

656

Total Demand for Child Care Spaces

Distribution

EXISTING SUPPLY (4)

1099 4233

21 79

Child Care Spaces

5332

100

Family Child Care Home Supply

Child Care Center Supply

Current Child Care Supply

Distribution

EXISTING SURPLUS(SHORTAGE)

Distribution

Percentage of Demand Met

by Existing FacilitiesSpaces

Shortage of Family Child Care Home Spaces

Shortage of Center-Based Spaces

(5)

(6)

(6)

69

59

128

492 619

209 2577

701 3196

18 82

(398) (1037)

28 72

64 75

(279) (201)

(119) (837)

1111

2786

3897

100

(1435)

100

73

(480)

(955)

FINAL

Table B-18

Future Child Care Demand and Supply in 2025 in San Mateo

San Mateo County Child Care Study - 2016

Note All footnote references can be found in Table C-1 at the end of this file

Sources 2010 US Census ABAG Projections 2013 2014 American Community Survey ACS Journey-to-Work data 2006-2008 and 2006-2010

Child Care Coordinating Council of San Mateo County (4Cs) Community Care Licensing Brion Economics Inc

Prepared by Brion Economics Inc 2513-SMC NA Final Tables 61216 6122016

FINAL

Table B-19

Future Child Care Demand and Supply in 2025 in South Coast

San Mateo County Child Care Study - 2016

SOUTH COAST

Child Care as of 2025

No of

Providers

Under 2 Years

Old

2 to 4 Year

Olds

Total 0 to 4

Years

EXISTING DEMAND Child Care Demand

Estimated Total Children (1) 23 32 55

Average LFPRAdjustment Factor (2) 54

Children With Working Parents 12 27 40

Licensed Care Demand Factor (3) 37 77

Resident Children Needing Licensed Care 5 26 30

of Total Resident Children Needing Licensed Care 20 81 56

Children from Non-Resident Employees Needing

Licensed Care 0 0 0

Total Demand for Child Care Spaces 5 26 30

Distribution 15 85 100

EXISTING SUPPLY (4) Child Care Spaces

Family Child Care Home Supply - 0 0 0

Child Care Center Supply 2 0 54 54

Current Child Care Supply 2 - 54 54

Distribution 0 100 100

EXISTING SURPLUS(SHORTAGE) (5) 28 24

Distribution -19 119 100

Percentage of Demand Met

by Existing FacilitiesSpaces (5) 0 209 177

Shortage of Family Child Care Home Spaces (6) 0 NA 0

Shortage of Center-Based Spaces (6) (5) NA (5)

Note All footnote references can be found in Table C-1 at the end of this file

Sources 2010 US Census ABAG Projections 2013 2014 American Community Survey ACS Journey-to-Work data 2006-2008 and 2006-2010

Child Care Coordinating Council of San Mateo County (4Cs) Community Care Licensing Brion Economics Inc

Prepared by Brion Economics Inc 2513-SMC NA Final Tables 61216 6122016

SOUTH SAN FRANCISCO

Child Care as of 2025

No of

Providers

Under 2 Years

Old

2 to 4 Year

Olds

Total 0 to 4

Years

EXISTING DEMAND Child Care Demand

Estimated Total Children

Average LFPRAdjustment Factor

Children With Working Parents

Licensed Care Demand Factor

Resident Children Needing Licensed Care

of Total Resident Children Needing Licensed Care

Children from Non-Resident Employees Needing

Licensed Care

(1)

(2)

(3)

1835 2790

73

1342 2535

37

496 2362

27 85

339 512

4625

3877

74

2859

62

851

Total Demand for Child Care Spaces

Distribution

EXISTING SUPPLY (4)

835 2874

23 77

Child Care Spaces

3709

100

Family Child Care Home Supply

Child Care Center Supply

Current Child Care Supply

Distribution

EXISTING SURPLUS(SHORTAGE)

Distribution

Percentage of Demand Met

by Existing FacilitiesSpaces

Shortage of Family Child Care Home Spaces

Shortage of Center-Based Spaces

(5)

(6)

(6)

30

27

57

252 317

400 1966

652 2283

22 78

(183) (591)

24 76

78 79

(71) (82)

(113) (509)

569

2366

2935

100

(775)

100

79

(153)

(622)

FINAL

Table B-20

Future Child Care Demand and Supply in 2025 in South San Francisco

San Mateo County Child Care Study - 2016

Note All footnote references can be found in Table C-1 at the end of this file

Sources 2010 US Census ABAG Projections 2013 2014 American Community Survey ACS Journey-to-Work data 2006-2008 and 2006-2010

Child Care Coordinating Council of San Mateo County (4Cs) Community Care Licensing Brion Economics Inc

Prepared by Brion Economics Inc 2513-SMC NA Final Tables 61216 6122016

WOODSIDE

No of

Providers

Child Care as of 2025

Under 2 Years

Old

2 to 4 Year

Olds

Total 0 to 4

Years

EXISTING DEMAND Child Care Demand

Estimated Total Children

Average LFPRAdjustment Factor

Children With Working Parents

Licensed Care Demand Factor

Resident Children Needing Licensed Care

of Total Resident Children Needing Licensed Care

Children from Non-Resident Employees Needing

Licensed Care

(1)

(2)

(3)

93 165

56

51 140

37

19 132

21 80

9 13

258

192

79

152

59

22

Total Demand for Child Care Spaces

Distribution

EXISTING SUPPLY (4)

28 146

16 84

Child Care Spaces

174

100

Family Child Care Home Supply

Child Care Center Supply

Current Child Care Supply

Distribution

EXISTING SURPLUS(SHORTAGE)

Distribution

Percentage of Demand Met

by Existing FacilitiesSpaces

Shortage of Family Child Care Home Spaces

Shortage of Center-Based Spaces

(5)

(6)

(6)

1

2

3

4 5

- 103

4 108

4 96

(24) (38)

39 61

15 74

(24) (2)

0 (36)

9

103

112

100

(61)

100

65

(26)

(36)

FINAL

Table B-21

Future Child Care Demand and Supply in 2025 in Woodside

San Mateo County Child Care Study - 2016

Note All footnote references can be found in Table C-1 at the end of this file

Sources 2010 US Census ABAG Projections 2013 2014 American Community Survey ACS Journey-to-Work data 2006-2008 and 2006-2010

Child Care Coordinating Council of San Mateo County (4Cs) Community Care Licensing Brion Economics Inc

Prepared by Brion Economics Inc 2513-SMC NA Final Tables 61216 6122016

FINAL

Table C-1

Endnotes for Tables

San Mateo County Child Care Study - 2016

(1) Population by age is based on the percentage breakdown from the 2010 US Census and applied

to population estimates for 2015 using ABAGs Projections 2013 population data The ABAG data

for each area includes its Sphere of Influence and is not based on strict jurisdictional boundaries

(2) Labor force participation rates are from the 5-Year American Community Survey 2014 and include

children under six years old with two working parents or a single working parent For the 2- to 4-year

olds the labor force participation rate is applied to 2 year olds For 3- and 4-year olds it is assumed

that 100 need licensed care to support preschool for every child so the number of

3- and 4-year olds is not discounted by labor force participation rates

(3) Not all children with working parents are assumed to need licensed care percentage assumptions are

used to calculate the number of children requiring licensed care under each age category The

remaining children are assumed to be cared for in alternate arrangements such as by family members

nannies friends and other unlicensed care For children ages 3- and 4-years old it is assumed that

they all need care in the form of preschool

(4) Data on child care supply provided by the Child Care Coordinating Council of San Mateo County (4Cs)

and Community Care Licensing Division of the California Department of Social Services (CCLD) Data is

for June 2015

(5) Demand that calculates as less than 100 means that there is greater demand than supply percent of

demand that is over 100 means supply exceeds demand

(6) Unmet demand is broken down into shortage by type of care based on the proportion of FCCHs and

child care centers spaces available in each area If an area does not have any FCCHs or centers the

unmet demand is placed in the type of care that is available in the area (eg if there are only centers

all demand goes to centers)

Source Brion Economics Inc

Prepared by Brion Economics Inc 2513-SMC NA Final Tables 61216 6122016

DRAFT REPORT

Table C-2

Labor Force Participation Rates by CityArea

San Mateo County Child Care Study - 2016

CityArea

Labor Force

Participation Rate (1)

Atherton

Belmont

Brisbane

Burlingame

Daly CityColma

East Palo Alto

Foster City

Half Moon Bay Region

Hillsborough

Menlo Park

Millbrae

Pacifica

Portola Valley

Redwood City

San Bruno

San Carlos

San Mateo

South Coast

South San Francisco

Woodside

40

77

100

65

74

71

63

69

52

69

62

78

66

69

77

72

71

54

73

56

(1) Labor force participation rates (LFPRs) are for

families with children under age six with two

working parents or a single parent who works Sources American Community Survey 2014 5-Year

Survey Brion Economics Inc

Prepared by Brion Economics Inc 2513-SMC NA Final Tables 61216 6122016

  • 2513-SMC FINAL NA Memo-61216
  • 2513-SMC NA Final Tables 61216
Page 10: Final San Mateo County Child Care Needs … Care...Future C hild Care Demand and Supply in 2025 in Daly City/Colma San Mateo County Child Care Study - 2016 Note: All footnote references

2010 Population 2010 Population 2015 Population

CityArea (Census) (ABAG) (ABAG)

Atherton 6914 6914 7100

Belmont 25835 25995 26600

Brisbane 4282 4282 4400

Burlingame 28806 29873 31300

Daly CityColma 102915 108167 111200

East Palo Alto 28155 28155 29200

Foster City 30567 30567 31000

Half Moon Bay Region (1) 22803 21956 22329

Hillsborough 10825 10825 11000

Menlo Park (2) 32026 36816 40850

Millbrae 21532 21532 22800

Pacifica 37234 37234 37600

Portola Valley 4353 6432 6500

Redwood City (2) 76815 100509 109350

San Bruno 41114 41114 43500

San Carlos 28406 30015 30800

San Mateo 97207 101234 105600

South Coast (3) 1684 847 871

South San Francisco 63632 63803 67400

Woodside 5287 5933 6000

Total 670392 712203 745400

FINAL

Table 1

Population Summary Table for 2010 2015 and 2025

San Mateo County Child Care Study - 2016

(1) Half Moon Bay Region includes the City of Half Moon Bay El Granada Montara

and Moss Beach

(2) ABAG Projections have 6300 people listed as Remainder population this

amount is divided equally between Menlo Park and Redwood City given that

they are surrounded by unincorporated areas

(3) South Coast includes La Honda Loma Mar and Pescadero

Sources 2010 US Census ABAG Projections 2013 Brion Economics Inc

Prepared by Brion Economics Inc 2513-SMC NA Final Tables 61216 6122016

CityArea

Population

at 2015

Population

at 2025

CHANGE 2015 to 2025

2015 to

2025 Change

Atherton

Belmont

Brisbane

Burlingame

Daly CityColma

East Palo Alto

Foster City

Half Moon Bay Region (1)

Hillsborough

Menlo Park (2)

Millbrae

Pacifica

Portola Valley

Redwood City (2)

San Bruno

San Carlos

San Mateo

South Coast (3)

South San Francisco

Woodside

Total by Age

7100

26600

4400

31300

111200

29200

31000

22329

11000

40850

22800

37600

6500

109350

43500

30800

105600

871

67400

6000

7400

27900

4600

34300

118000

32400

32300

24140

11400

42750

25600

39000

6700

121350

48400

32600

114600

960

75000

6200

300

1300

200

3000

6800

3200

1300

1811

400

1900

2800

1400

200

12000

4900

1800

9000

89

7600

200

42

49

45

96

61

110

42

81

36

47

123

37

31

110

113

58

85

102

113

33

745400 805600 60200 81 I I I I

FINAL

Table 2

Population Growth by City 2015 and 2025 from ABAG

San Mateo County Child Care Study - 2016

(1) Half Moon Bay Region includes the City of Half Moon Bay El Granada

Montara and Moss Beach

(2) ABAG Projections have 6300 people listed as Remainder population this

amount is divided equally between Menlo Park and Redwood City given that

they are surrounded by unincorporated areas

(3) South Coast includes La Honda Loma Mar and Pescadero

Sources 2010 US Census ABAG Projections 2013 Brion Economics Inc

Prepared by Brion Economics Inc 2513-SMC NA Final Tables 61216 6122016

2015 2025 CHANGE 2015 to 2025

Children 4 and Under

Under 2 2 to 4 as of Total Under 2 2 to 4 Under 2 2 to 4

CityArea Years Old Year Olds Total Population Years Old Year Olds Total Years Old Year Olds Total

Atherton 105 185 290 41 109 193 302 4 8 12

Belmont 708 1045 1753 66 743 1095 1838 35 50 85

Brisbane 125 166 292 66 131 174 305 6 8 13

Burlingame 824 1216 2040 65 903 1332 2235 79 117 195

Daly CityColma 2495 3575 6070 55 2647 3793 6440 153 218 370

East Palo Alto 1046 1667 2713 93 1161 1849 3010 115 183 297

Foster City 836 1277 2113 68 871 1330 2201 35 54 89

Half Moon Bay Region (1) 511 860 1371 61 553 929 1482 41 70 111

Hillsborough 138 331 469 43 143 343 487 5 12 17

Menlo Park (2) 1170 1723 2893 71 1327 1954 3281 157 231 388

Millbrae 421 717 1138 50 473 805 1278 52 88 140

Pacifica 787 1253 2040 54 816 1300 2116 29 47 76

Portola Valley 75 187 261 40 77 192 269 2 6 8

Redwood City (2) 3260 4706 7966 73 3725 5378 9103 465 671 1136

San Bruno 1069 1553 2622 60 1189 1728 2917 120 175 295

San Carlos 735 1308 2043 66 778 1384 2162 43 76 119

San Mateo 2943 4213 7156 68 3194 4572 7766 251 359 610

South Coast (3) 21 29 50 57 23 32 55 2 3 5

South San Francisco 1649 2507 4156 62 1835 2790 4625 186 283 469

Woodside 90 160 250 42 93 165 258 3 5 8

Total by Age 19008 28678 47686 64 20790 31340 52130 1783 2662 4444

FINAL

Table 3

Population by Age Group by City 2015 and 2025

San Mateo County Child Care Study - 2016

(1) Half Moon Bay Region includes the City of Half Moon Bay El Granada Montara and Moss Beach

(2) ABAG Projections have 6300 people listed as Remainder population this amount is divided equally between Menlo Park and Redwood City given that they

are surrounded by unincorporated areas

(3) South Coast includes La Honda Loma Mar and Pescadero

Sources 2010 US Census ABAG Projections 2013 Brion Economics Inc

Prepared by Brion Economics Inc 2513-SMC NA Final Tables 61216 6122016

CHANGE 2015 to 2025 2015 2025

Percent that Work Employees that Percent that Work Employees that

Jobs at Jobs at in City and Live Work in City and in City and Live Work in City and

CityArea 2015 2025 2015 to 2025 Change Outside Co Live Outside Co Outside Co Live Outside Co

Atherton 2730 2920 190 70 360 983 360 1051

Belmont 9540 10430 890 93 298 2843 298 3108

Brisbane 7320 7790 470 64 590 4316 590 4593

Burlingame 32040 35250 3210 100 365 11680 365 12850

Daly CityColma 26110 28540 2430 93 404 10540 404 11521

East Palo Alto 2920 3310 390 134 508 1485 508 1683

Foster City 14810 16190 1380 93 412 6108 412 6677

Half Moon Bay Region (1) 7830 8410 580 74 135 1060 135 1138

Hillsborough 1950 2080 130 67 280 546 280 583

Menlo Park 31920 34390 2470 77 576 18390 576 19813

Millbrae 7480 8370 890 119 308 2304 308 2578

Pacifica 6210 6650 440 71 242 1504 242 1611

Portola Valley 2060 2200 140 68 334 689 334 736

Redwood City 71460 80430 8970 126 480 34317 480 38624

San Bruno 13800 15390 1590 115 370 5106 370 5695

San Carlos 18100 19650 1550 86 348 6295 348 6834

San Mateo 58680 66400 7720 132 329 19314 329 21855

South Coast (2) 0 0 0 00 149 0 149 0

South San Francisco 47380 51760 4380 92 467 22128 467 24173

Woodside 2520 2660 140 56 281 708 281 747

SF Airport (3) 7870 8960 1090 139 467 3676 467 4185

Remainder (3) 2210 2460 250 113 135 299 135 333

Total Employment 374940 414240 39300 105 412 154289 411 170387

FINAL

Table 4

Employment Growth and Employee Residence by City 2015 and 2025

San Mateo County Child Care Study - 2016

Note This analysis uses the published projections prepared by ABAG from ldquoProjections 2013rdquo and the cities including their sphere of influence or SOI This is done for consistency purposes While individual cities may be planning for additional growth not included in ABAGrsquos forecast (such as Menlo Park and East Palo Alto) it was decided that the consistency of using one data source was more important Thus these estimates could be considered

conservative

(1) For employment Half Moon Bay Region includes all of the City of Half Moon Bay and Unincorporated Half Moon Bay as defined by ABAG

(2) No data on employment is available through ABAG for the South Coast area

(3) SF Airport and Remainder are groupings by ABAG We listed them separately as SF Airport has no residential population

Sources ABAG Projections 2013 Brion Economics Inc

Prepared by Brion Economics Inc 2513-SMC NA Final Tables 61216 6122016

Under 2 2 to 4 Year Total CityArea as of

CityArea Years Old Olds Supply Total Supply

Atherton 29 273 302 13

Belmont 106 615 722 31

Brisbane 4 69 73 03

Burlingame 119 965 1085 47

Daly CityColma 372 1626 1997 87

East Palo Alto 110 739 849 37

Foster City 206 1349 1555 68

Half Moon Bay Region (1) 131 406 536 23

Hillsborough 5 97 102 04

Menlo Park (2) 149 1427 1576 69

Millbrae 62 454 517 22

Pacifica 116 798 914 40

Portola Valley 0 153 153 07

Redwood City (2) 752 2533 3285 143

San Bruno 148 1336 1484 65

San Carlos 149 707 855 37

San Mateo 701 3196 3897 169

South Coast (3) 0 54 54 02

South San Francisco 652 2283 2935 128

Woodside 4 108 112 05

Total 3815 19189 23003 1000

FINAL

Table 5

Child Care Supply Summary Table for 2015

San Mateo County Child Care Study - 2016

Note Totals may be off slightly due to rounding

(1) Half Moon Bay Region includes the City of Half Moon Bay El Granada Montara

and Moss Beach

(2) ABAG Projections have 6300 people listed as Remainder population this

amount is divided equally between Menlo Park and Redwood City given that

they are surrounded by unincorporated areas

(3) South Coast includes La Honda Loma Mar and Pescadero

Sources Child Care Coordinating Council of San Mateo County (4Cs) Community

Care Licensing Brion Economics Inc

Prepared by Brion Economics Inc 2513-SMC NA Final Tables 61216 6122016

2015 2025

CityArea as CityArea as

Under 2 2 to 4 Year Total of Total Under 2 2 to 4 Total of Total

CityArea Years Old Olds Demand Demand Years Old Year Olds Demand Demand

Atherton 27 165 192 06 29 173 201 05

Belmont 237 950 1187 35 250 999 1249 34

Brisbane 98 231 329 10 103 243 346 09

Burlingame 338 1236 1574 47 371 1356 1726 47

Daly CityColma 811 3237 4048 120 865 3441 4306 116

East Palo Alto 292 1419 1711 51 324 1575 1900 51

Foster City 268 1145 1414 42 283 1199 1483 40

Half Moon Bay Region (1) 144 742 885 26 155 802 957 26

Hillsborough 33 282 315 09 34 292 327 09

Menlo Park (2) 516 1790 2306 68 573 2011 2584 70

Millbrae 124 640 764 23 139 718 857 23

Pacifica 244 1117 1360 40 254 1159 1413 38

Portola Valley 26 171 198 06 28 177 204 06

Redwood City (2) 1241 4567 5808 172 1411 5208 6619 179

San Bruno 364 1418 1782 53 405 1578 1983 54

San Carlos 270 1222 1492 44 288 1297 1585 43

San Mateo 1003 3886 4889 145 1099 4233 5332 144

South Coast (3) 4 23 28 01 5 26 30 01

South San Francisco 755 2588 3343 99 835 2874 3709 100

Woodside 27 141 168 05 28 146 174 05

Total 6821 26971 33792 1000 7478 29506 36984 1000

FINAL

Table 6

Child Care Demand Summary Table for 2015 and 2025

San Mateo County Child Care Study - 2016

(1) Half Moon Bay Region includes the City of Half Moon Bay El Granada Montara and Moss Beach

(2) ABAG Projections have 6300 people listed as Remainder population this amount is divided equally between Menlo Park

and Redwood City given that they are surrounded by unincorporated areas

(3) South Coast includes La Honda Loma Mar and Pescadero

Sources 2010 US Census ABAG Projections 2013 Brion Economics Inc

Prepared by Brion Economics Inc 2513-SMC NA Final Tables 61216 6122016

No of Non- No of Employee

Resident No of 0 to 2 No of 3 to 4 Children Needing

CityArea Assumptions Employees Year Olds Year Olds Licensed Care

Estimated Percent of Employees

Needing Licensed Care (1) 300 40 60 100

Atherton 983 12 18 29

Belmont 2843 34 51 85

Brisbane 4316 52 78 129

Burlingame 11680 140 211 350

Daly CityColma 10540 126 190 316

East Palo Alto 1485 18 27 45

Foster City 6108 73 110 183

Half Moon Bay Region (2) 1060 13 19 32

Hillsborough 546 7 10 16

Menlo Park 18390 220 332 552

Millbrae 2304 28 42 69

Pacifica 1504 18 27 45

Portola Valley 689 8 12 21

Redwood City 34317 410 619 1029

San Bruno 5106 61 92 153

San Carlos 6295 75 114 189

San Mateo 19314 231 348 579

South Coast (3) 0 0 0 0

South San Francisco 22128 265 399 664

Woodside 708 8 13 21

SF Airport (4) 3676 44 66 110

Remainder (4) 299 4 5 9

Total Countywide 154289 1845 2784 4629

FINAL

Table 7

Employee Demand Summary Table for 2015

San Mateo County Child Care Study - 2016

Note Totals may be off slightly due to rounding

(1) We are assuming 3 of employees children require licensed care the breakdown of demand for infant and

preschool spaces is based on the percentage of infants and preschoolers who currently reside in San Mateo

County

(2) Half Moon Bay Region includes the City of Half Moon Bay El Granada Montara and Moss Beach

(3) South Coast includes La Honda Loma Mar and Pescadero

(4) SF Airport and Remainder are groupings by ABAG For employment SF Airport demand is attributed to South San

Francisco and Remainder demand is included with Redwood City

Sources 2010 US Census ABAG Projections 2013 2014 5-Year American Community Survey Journey-To-Work Data

Brion Economics Inc

Prepared by Brion Economics Inc 2513-SMC NA Final Tables 61216 6122016

No of Non- No of Employee

Resident No of 0 to 2 No of 3 to 4 Children Needing

CityArea Assumptions Employees Year Olds Year Olds Licensed Care

Estimated Percent of Employees

Needing Licensed Care (1) 300 40 60 100

Atherton 1051 13 19 32

Belmont 3108 37 56 93

Brisbane 4593 55 83 138

Burlingame 12850 154 232 385

Daly CityColma 11521 138 208 346

East Palo Alto 1683 20 30 50

Foster City 6677 80 120 200

Half Moon Bay Region (2) 1138 14 21 34

Hillsborough 583 7 11 17

Menlo Park 19813 237 357 594

Millbrae 2578 31 47 77

Pacifica 1611 19 29 48

Portola Valley 736 9 13 22

Redwood City 38624 462 697 1159

San Bruno 5695 68 103 171

San Carlos 6834 82 123 205

San Mateo 21855 261 394 656

South Coast (3) 0 0 0 0

South San Francisco 24173 289 436 725

Woodside 747 9 13 22

SF Airport (4) 4185 50 75 126

Remainder (4) 333 4 6 10

Total Countywide 170387 2037 3074 5112

FINAL

Table 8

Employee Demand Summary Table for 2025

San Mateo County Child Care Study - 2016

Note Totals may be off slightly due to rounding

(1) We are assuming 3 of employees children require licensed care the breakdown of demand for infant and

preschool spaces is based on the percentage of infants and preschoolers who currently reside in San Mateo County

(2) Half Moon Bay Region includes the City of Half Moon Bay El Granada Montara and Moss Beach

(3) South Coast includes La Honda Loma Mar and Pescadero

(4) SF Airport and Remainder are groupings by ABAG For employment SF Airport demand is attributed to South San

Francisco and Remainder demand is included with Redwood City

Sources 2010 US Census ABAG Projections 2013 2014 5-Year American Community Survey Journey-To-Work Data

Brion Economics Inc

Prepared by Brion Economics Inc 2513-SMC NA Final Tables 61216 6122016

2015

Surplus(Shortage) of Infant Surplus(Shortage) of Preschool Total Total

CityArea of Infant Spaces Demand Met of Preschool Spaces Demand Met Surplus(Shortage) Demand Met

Atherton 2 107 108 165 110 157

Belmont (130) 45 (335) 65 (465) 61

Brisbane (94) 4 (162) 30 (255) 22

Burlingame (219) 35 (271) 78 (489) 69

Daly CityColma (439) 46 (1612) 50 (2051) 49

East Palo Alto (182) 38 (680) 52 (862) 50

Foster City (62) 77 203 118 141 110

Half Moon Bay Region (1) (13) 91 (336) 55 (349) 61

Hillsborough (28) 15 (185) 34 (213) 32

Menlo Park (2) (367) 29 (363) 80 (730) 68

Millbrae (61) 50 (186) 71 (247) 0

Pacifica (128) 48 (319) 71 (447) 67

Portola Valley (26) 0 (18) 89 (45) 77

Redwood City (2) (490) 61 (2034) 55 (2524) 57

San Bruno (216) 41 (82) 94 (298) 83

San Carlos (121) 55 (516) 58 (637) 57

San Mateo (302) 70 (690) 82 (992) 80

South Coast (3) (4) 0 31 230 26 195

South San Francisco (103) 86 (306) 88 (408) 88

Woodside (23) 16 (33) 77 (55) 67

Countywide (3006) 56 (7783) 71 (10789) 68

FINAL

Table 9

Summary of Demand Met by Existing Facilities in Each Community at 2015

San Mateo County Child Care Study - 2016

Note Totals may be off slightly due to rounding

(1) Half Moon Bay Region includes the City of Half Moon Bay El Granada Montara and Moss Beach

(2) ABAG Projections have 6300 people listed as Remainder population this amount is divided equally between Menlo Park and Redwood

City given that they are surrounded by unincorporated areas

(3) South Coast includes La Honda Loma Mar and Pescadero

Sources 2010 US Census ABAG Projections 2013 Brion Economics Inc

Prepared by Brion Economics Inc 2513-SMC NA Final Tables 61216 6122016

2025

Surplus(Shortage) of Infant Surplus(Shortage) of Preschool Total Total

CityArea of Infant Spaces Demand Met of Preschool Spaces Demand Met Surplus(Shortage) Demand Met

Atherton 0 101 101 158 101 150

Belmont (143) 43 (384) 62 (527) 58

Brisbane (99) 4 (174) 29 (273) 21

Burlingame (252) 32 (390) 71 (642) 63

Daly CityColma (493) 43 (1816) 47 (2308) 46

East Palo Alto (215) 34 (836) 47 (1050) 45

Foster City (77) 73 150 112 73 105

Half Moon Bay Region (1) (24) 84 (396) 51 (421) 56

Hillsborough (29) 14 (195) 33 (225) 31

Menlo Park (2) (424) 26 (584) 71 (1008) 61

Millbrae (76) 45 (264) 63 (340) 60

Pacifica (138) 46 (361) 69 (499) 65

Portola Valley (28) 0 (24) 87 (51) 75

Redwood City (2) (660) 53 (2674) 49 (3334) 50

San Bruno (257) 37 (242) 85 (499) 75

San Carlos (139) 52 (590) 54 (729) 54

San Mateo (398) 64 (1037) 75 (1435) 73

South Coast (3) (5) 0 28 209 24 177

South San Francisco (183) 78 (591) 79 (775) 79

Woodside (24) 15 (38) 74 (61) 65

Countywide (3663) 51 (10318) 65 (13981) 62

FINAL

Table 10

Summary of Demand Met by Existing Facilities in Each Community at 2025

San Mateo County Child Care Study - 2016

Note Totals may be off slightly due to rounding

(1) Half Moon Bay Region includes the City of Half Moon Bay El Granada Montara and Moss Beach

(2) ABAG Projections have 6300 people listed as Remainder population this amount is divided equally between Menlo Park and Redwood

City given that they are surrounded by unincorporated areas

(3) South Coast includes La Honda Loma Mar and Pescadero

Sources 2010 US Census ABAG Projections 2013 Brion Economics Inc

Prepared by Brion Economics Inc 2513-SMC NA Final Tables 61216 6122016

Table 11

Number of Child Care Providers by City in 2015

San Mateo County Child Care Study - 2016

Family Child Licensed

CityArea Care Homes Centers Total

Atherton 1 6 7

Belmont 18 9 27

Brisbane 1 1 2

Burlingame 21 14 35

Daly CityColma 85 28 113

East Palo Alto 21 6 27

Foster City 29 12 41

Half Moon Bay Region (1) 28 11 39

Hillsborough 1 4 5

Menlo Park (2) 18 25 43

Millbrae 17 7 24

Pacifica 21 18 39

Portola Valley 0 4 4

Redwood City (2) 111 45 156

San Bruno 34 15 49

San Carlos 20 14 34

San Mateo 126 59 185

South Coast (3) 0 2 2

South San Francisco 68 27 95

Woodside 1 2 3

Countywide 621 309 930

FINAL

(1) Half Moon Bay Region includes the City of Half Moon Bay El Granada

Montara and Moss Beach

(2) ABAG Projections have 6300 people listed as Remainder population

this amount is divided equally between Menlo Park and Redwood City

given that they are surrounded by unincorporated areas

(3) South Coast includes La Honda Loma Mar and Pescadero

Sources Child Care Coordinating Council of San Mateo County (4Cs)

Community Care Licensing Brion Economics Inc

Prepared by Brion Economics Inc 2513-SMC NA Final Tables 61216 6122016

CityArea

Shortage

Infant

Center

Spaces

Infant care

Percentage

of Shortage

Shortage

Preschool

Center

Spaces

Preschool

Percentage

of Shortage

Total Center-

Based Space

Shortage

Atherton

Belmont

Brisbane

Burlingame

Daly CityColma

East Palo Alto

Foster City

Half Moon Bay Region

Hillsborough

Menlo Park

Millbrae

Pacifica

Portola Valley

Redwood City

San Bruno

San Carlos

San Mateo

South Coast

South San Francisco

Woodside

Countywide

NA

(48)

NA

(73)

(99)

(42)

(27)

(3)

NA

(180)

0

(43)

(26)

(232)

(38)

(62)

(90)

(2)

(63)

NA

NA

14

NA

23

7

7

100

1

NA

35

0

13

59

12

34

12

14

NA

19

NA

NA

(289)

(149)

(243)

(1253)

(582)

NA

(236)

(173)

(338)

(154)

(280)

(18)

(1635)

(73)

(449)

(557)

NA

(263)

(31)

NA

86

100

77

93

93

NA

99

100

65

100

87

41

88

66

88

86

NA

81

100

NA

(337)

(149)

(316)

(1352)

(623)

(27)

(240)

(173)

(518)

(154)

(323)

(45)

(1867)

(110)

(511)

(647)

(2)

(326)

(31)

(1193) 15 (6609) 85 (7802)

FINAL

Table 12

Summary of Shortage of Child Care Center Spaces by Age - 2015

San Mateo County Child Care Study - 2016

Sources Child Care Coordinating Council of San Mateo County (4Cs) Community Care Licensing

Brion Economics Inc

Prepared by Brion Economics Inc 2513-SMC NA Final Tables 61216 6122016

CityArea

Shortage

Infant Center

Spaces

Infant care

Percentage

of Shortage

Shortage

Preschool

Center

Spaces

Preschool

Percentage

of Shortage

Total Center-

Based Space

Shortage

Atherton

Belmont

Brisbane

Burlingame

Daly CityColma

East Palo Alto

Foster City

Half Moon Bay Region

Hillsborough

Menlo Park

Millbrae

Pacifica

Portola Valley

Redwood City

San Bruno

San Carlos

San Mateo

South Coast

South San Francisco

Woodside

Countywide

NA

(53)

NA

(85)

(111)

(49)

(33)

(6)

NA

(207)

0

(46)

(28)

(313)

(45)

(71)

(119)

(5)

(113)

0

NA

14

NA

19

7

6

100

2

NA

28

0

13

54

13

17

12

12

NA

18

NA

NA

(331)

(160)

(350)

(1412)

(715)

NA

(279)

(183)

(544)

(219)

(317)

(24)

(2149)

(214)

(514)

(837)

NA

(509)

(36)

NA

86

100

81

93

94

NA

98

100

72

100

87

46

87

83

88

88

NA

82

100

NA

(384)

(160)

(434)

(1523)

(764)

(33)

(285)

(183)

(752)

(219)

(364)

(51)

(2462)

(259)

(585)

(955)

(5)

(622)

(36)

(1454) 14 (8762) 86 (10216)

FINAL

Table 13

Summary of Shortage of Child Care Center Spaces by Age - 2025

San Mateo County Child Care Study - 2016

Sources Child Care Coordinating Council of San Mateo County (4Cs) Community Care Licensing

Brion Economics Inc

Prepared by Brion Economics Inc 2513-SMC NA Final Tables 61216 6122016

COUNTYWIDE

Child Care as of 2015

No of

Providers

Under 2 Years

Old

2 to 4 Year

Olds

Total 0 to 4

Years

EXISTING DEMAND Child Care Demand

Estimated Total Children

Average LFPRAdjustment Factor

Children With Working Parents

Licensed Care Demand Factor

Resident Children Needing Licensed Care

of Total Resident Children Needing Licensed Care

Children from Non-Resident Employees Needing

Licensed Care

Total Demand for Child Care Spaces

Distribution

EXISTING SUPPLY

(1)

(2)

(3)

(4)

19008 28678

71

13449 25720

37

4976 24188

26 84

1845 2784

6821 26971

20 80

Child Care Spaces

47686

39169

86

29164

61

4629

33792

100

Family Child Care Home Supply

Child Care Center Supply

Current Child Care Supply

Distribution

EXISTING SURPLUS(SHORTAGE)

Distribution

Percentage of Demand Met

by Existing FacilitiesSpaces

Shortage of Family Child Care Home Spaces

Shortage of Center-Based Spaces

(5)

(6)

(6)

621

309 -930

2301 2893

1514 16296 - -3815 19189

17 83

(3006) (7783)

28 72

56 71

(1813) (1173)

(1193) (6609)

5193

17810 -23003

100

(10789)

100

68

(2986)

(7802)

FINAL

Table A-1

Existing Child Care Demand and Supply in 2015 Countywide

San Mateo County Child Care Study - 2016

Note All footnote references can be found in Table C-1 at the end of this file

Sources 2010 US Census ABAG Projections 2013 2014 American Community Survey ACS Journey-to-Work data 2006-2008 and 2006-2010

Child Care Coordinating Council of San Mateo County (4Cs) Community Care Licensing Brion Economics Inc

Prepared by Brion Economics Inc 2513-SMC NA Final Tables 61216 6122016

ATHERTON

Child Care as of 2015

No of

Providers

Under 2 Years

Old

2 to 4 Year

Olds

Total 0 to 4

Years

EXISTING DEMAND Child Care Demand

Estimated Total Children

Average LFPRAdjustment Factor

Children With Working Parents

Licensed Care Demand Factor

Resident Children Needing Licensed Care

of Total Resident Children Needing Licensed Care

Children from Non-Resident Employees Needing

Licensed Care

(1)

(2)

(3)

105 185

40

42 153

37

15 147

15 80

12 18

290

194

84

163

56

29

Total Demand for Child Care Spaces

Distribution

EXISTING SUPPLY (4)

27 165

14 86

Child Care Spaces

192

100

Family Child Care Home Supply

Child Care Center Supply

Current Child Care Supply

Distribution

EXISTING SURPLUS(SHORTAGE)

Distribution

Percentage of Demand Met

by Existing FacilitiesSpaces

Shortage of Family Child Care Home Spaces

Shortage of Center-Based Spaces

(5)

(6)

(6)

1

6

7

5 6

24 267

29 273

10 90

2 108

2 98

107 165

NA NA

NA NA

11

291

302

100

110

100

157

NA

NA

FINAL

Table A-2

Existing Child Care Demand and Supply in 2015 in Atherton

San Mateo Co unty Child Care Study - 2016

Note All footnote references can be found in Table C-1 at the end of this file

Sources 2010 US Census ABAG Projections 2013 2014 American Community Survey ACS Journey-to-Work data 2006-2008 and 2006-2010

Child Care Coordinating Council of San Mateo County (4Cs) Community Care Licensing Brion Economics Inc

Prepared by Brion Economics Inc 2513-SMC NA Final Tables 61216 6122016

BELMONT

Child Care as of 2015

No of

Providers

Under 2 Years

Old

2 to 4 Year

Olds

Total 0 to 4

Years

EXISTING DEMAND Child Care Demand

Estimated Total Children

Average LFPRAdjustment Factor

Children With Working Parents

Licensed Care Demand Factor

Resident Children Needing Licensed Care

of Total Resident Children Needing Licensed Care

Children from Non-Resident Employees Needing

Licensed Care

(1)

(2)

(3)

708 1045

77

548 966

37

203 899

29 86

34 51

1753

1513

73

1102

63

85

Total Demand for Child Care Spaces

Distribution

EXISTING SUPPLY (4)

237 950

20 80

Child Care Spaces

1187

100

Family Child Care Home Supply

Child Care Center Supply

Current Child Care Supply

Distribution

EXISTING SURPLUS(SHORTAGE)

Distribution

Percentage of Demand Met

by Existing FacilitiesSpaces

Shortage of Family Child Care Home Spaces

Shortage of Center-Based Spaces

(5)

(6)

(6)

18

9

27

67 84

39 531

106 615

15 85

(130) (335)

28 72

45 65

(83) (46)

(48) (289)

152

570

722

100

(465)

100

61

(128)

(337)

FINAL

Table A-3

Existing Child Care Demand and Supply in 2015 in Belmont

San Mateo County Child Care Study - 2016

Note All footnote references can be found in Table C-1 at the end of this file Sources 2010 US Census ABAG Projections 2013 2014 American Community Survey ACS Journey-to-Work data 2006-2008 and

2006-2010 Child Care Coordinating Council of San Mateo County (4Cs) Community Care Licensing Brion Economics Inc

Prepared by Brion Economics Inc 2513-SMC NA Final Tables 61216 6122016

FINAL

Table A-4

Existing Child Care Demand and Supply in 2015 in Brisbane

San Mateo County Child Care Study - 2016

BRISBANE

Child Care as of 2015

No of

Providers

Under 2 Years

Old

2 to 4 Year

Olds

Total 0 to 4

Years

EXISTING DEMAND Child Care Demand

Estimated Total Children (1) 125 166 292

Average LFPRAdjustment Factor (2) 100

Children With Working Parents 125 166 292

Licensed Care Demand Factor (3) 37 68

Resident Children Needing Licensed Care 46 153 199

of Total Resident Children Needing Licensed Care 37 92 68

Children from Non-Resident Employees Needing

Licensed Care 52 78 129

Total Demand for Child Care Spaces 98 231 329

Distribution 30 70 100

EXISTING SUPPLY (4) Child Care Spaces

Family Child Care Home Supply 1 4 5 9

Child Care Center Supply 1 - 64 64

Current Child Care Supply 2 4 69 73

Distribution 6 94 100

EXISTING SURPLUS(SHORTAGE) (94) (162) (255)

Distribution 37 63 100

Percentage of Demand Met

by Existing FacilitiesSpaces (5) 4 30 22

Shortage of Family Child Care Home Spaces (6) (94) (12) (106)

Shortage of Center-Based Spaces (6) 0 (149) (149)

Note All footnote references can be found in Table C-1 at the end of this file

Sources 2010 US Census ABAG Projections 2013 2014 American Community Survey ACS Journey-to-Work data 2006-2008 and 2006-2010

Child Care Coordinating Council of San Mateo County (4Cs) Community Care Licensing Brion Economics Inc

Prepared by Brion Economics Inc 2513-SMC NA Final Tables 61216 6122016

BURLINGAME

Child Care as of 2015

No of

Providers

Under 2 Years

Old

2 to 4 Year

Olds

Total 0 to 4

Years

EXISTING DEMAND Child Care Demand

Estimated Total Children

Average LFPRAdjustment Factor

Children With Working Parents

Licensed Care Demand Factor

Resident Children Needing Licensed Care

of Total Resident Children Needing Licensed Care

Children from Non-Resident Employees Needing

Licensed Care

(1)

(2)

(3)

824 1216

65

535 1086

37

198 1025

24 84

140 211

2040

1621

75

1224

60

350

Total Demand for Child Care Spaces

Distribution

EXISTING SUPPLY (4)

338 1236

21 79

Child Care Spaces

1574

100

Family Child Care Home Supply

Child Care Center Supply

Current Child Care Supply

Distribution

EXISTING SURPLUS(SHORTAGE)

Distribution

Percentage of Demand Met

by Existing FacilitiesSpaces

Shortage of Family Child Care Home Spaces

Shortage of Center-Based Spaces

(5)

(6)

(6)

21

14

35

79 99

40 866

119 965

11 89

(219) (271)

45 55

35 78

(145) (28)

(73) (243)

179

906

1085

100

(489)

100

69

(173)

(316)

FINAL

Table A-5

Existing Child Care Demand and Supply in 2015 in Burlingame

San Mateo County Child Care Study - 2016

Note All footnote references can be found in Table C-1 at the end of this file

Sources 2010 US Census ABAG Projections 2013 2014 American Community Survey ACS Journey-to-Work data 2006-2008 and 2006-2010

Child Care Coordinating Council of San Mateo County (4Cs) Community Care Licensing Brion Economics Inc

Prepared by Brion Economics Inc 2513-SMC NA Final Tables 61216 6122016

DALY CITYCOLMA

Child Care as of 2015

No of

Providers

Under 2 Years

Old

2 to 4 Year

Olds

Total 0 to 4

Years

EXISTING DEMAND Child Care Demand

Estimated Total Children

Average LFPRAdjustment Factor

Children With Working Parents

Licensed Care Demand Factor

Resident Children Needing Licensed Care

of Total Resident Children Needing Licensed Care

Children from Non-Resident Employees Needing

Licensed Care

(1)

(2)

(3)

2495 3575

742

1851 3268

37

685 3047

27 85

126 190

6070

5119

73

3732

61

316

Total Demand for Child Care Spaces

Distribution

EXISTING SUPPLY (4)

811 3237

20 80

Child Care Spaces

4048

100

Family Child Care Home Supply

Child Care Center Supply

Current Child Care Supply

Distribution

EXISTING SURPLUS(SHORTAGE)

Distribution

Percentage of Demand Met

by Existing FacilitiesSpaces

Shortage of Family Child Care Home Spaces

Shortage of Center-Based Spaces

(5)

(6)

(6)

85

28

113

288 362

84 1264

372 1626

19 81

(439) (1612)

21 79

46 50

(340) (359)

(99) (1253)

649

1348

1997

100

(2051)

100

49

(698)

(1352)

FINAL

Table A-6

Existing Child Care Demand and Supply in 2015 in Daly CityColma

San Mateo Co unty Child Care Study - 2016

Note All footnote references can be found in Table C-1 at the end of this file

Sources 2010 US Census ABAG Projections 2013 2014 American Community Survey ACS Journey-to-Work data 2006-2008 and 2006-2010

Child Care Coordinating Council of San Mateo County (4Cs) Community Care Licensing Brion Economics Inc

Prepared by Brion Economics Inc 2513-SMC NA Final Tables 61216 6122016

EAST PALO ALTO

Child Care as of 2015

No of

Providers

Under 2 Years

Old

2 to 4 Year

Olds

Total 0 to 4

Years

EXISTING DEMAND Child Care Demand

Estimated Total Children

Average LFPRAdjustment Factor

Children With Working Parents

Licensed Care Demand Factor

Resident Children Needing Licensed Care

of Total Resident Children Needing Licensed Care

Children from Non-Resident Employees Needing

Licensed Care

(1)

(2)

(3)

1046 1667

71

741 1496

37

274 1392

26 84

18 27

2713

2237

75

1666

61

45

Total Demand for Child Care Spaces

Distribution

EXISTING SUPPLY (4)

292 1419

17 83

Child Care Spaces

1711

100

Family Child Care Home Supply

Child Care Center Supply

Current Child Care Supply

Distribution

EXISTING SURPLUS(SHORTAGE)

Distribution

Percentage of Demand Met

by Existing FacilitiesSpaces

Shortage of Family Child Care Home Spaces

Shortage of Center-Based Spaces

(5)

(6)

(6)

21

6

27

85 106

25 633

110 739

13 87

(182) (680)

21 79

38 52

(141) (98)

(42) (582)

191

658

849

100

(862)

100

50

(239)

(623)

FINAL

Table A-7

Existing Child Care Demand and Supply in 2015 in East Palo Alto

San Mateo County Child Care Study - 2016

Note All footnote references can be found in Table C-1 at the end of this file Sources 2010 US Census ABAG Projections 2013 2014 American Community Survey ACS Journey-to-Work data 2006-2008 and 2006-2010

Child Care Coordinating Council of San Mateo County (4Cs) Community Care Licensing Brion Economics Inc

Prepared by Brion Economics Inc 2513-SMC NA Final Tables 61216 6122016

FOSTER CITY

Child Care as of 2015

No of

Providers

Under 2 Years

Old

2 to 4 Year

Olds

Total 0 to 4

Years

EXISTING DEMAND Child Care Demand

Estimated Total Children

Average LFPRAdjustment Factor

Children With Working Parents

Licensed Care Demand Factor

Resident Children Needing Licensed Care

of Total Resident Children Needing Licensed Care

Children from Non-Resident Employees Needing

Licensed Care

(1)

(2)

(3)

836 1277

63

528 1108

37

195 1035

23 81

73 110

2113

1636

75

1231

58

183

Total Demand for Child Care Spaces

Distribution

EXISTING SUPPLY (4)

268 1145

19 81

Child Care Spaces

1414

100

Family Child Care Home Supply

Child Care Center Supply

Current Child Care Supply

Distribution

EXISTING SURPLUS(SHORTAGE)

Distribution

Percentage of Demand Met

by Existing FacilitiesSpaces

Shortage of Family Child Care Home Spaces

Shortage of Center-Based Spaces

(5)

(6)

(6)

29

12

41

118 149

88 1200

206 1349

13 87

(62) 203

NA NA

77 118

(36) NA

(27) NA

267

1288

1555

100

141

NA

110

(36)

(27)

FINAL

Table A-8

Existing Child Care Demand and Supply in 2015 in Foster City

San Mateo County Child Care Study - 2016

Note All footnote references can be found in Table C-1 at the end of this file

Sources 2010 US Census ABAG Projections 2013 2014 American Community Survey ACS Journey-to-Work data 2006-2008 and 2006-2010

Child Care Coordinating Council of San Mateo County (4Cs) Community Care Licensing Brion Economics Inc

Prepared by Brion Economics Inc 2513-SMC NA Final Tables 61216 6122016

HALF MOON BAY REGION

Child Care as of 2015

No of

Providers

Under 2 Years

Old

2 to 4 Year

Olds

Total 0 to 4

Years

EXISTING DEMAND Child Care Demand

Estimated Total Children

Average LFPRAdjustment Factor

Children With Working Parents

Licensed Care Demand Factor

Resident Children Needing Licensed Care

of Total Resident Children Needing Licensed Care

Children from Non-Resident Employees Needing

Licensed Care

(1)

(2)

(3)

511 860

69

354 772

37

131 723

26 84

13 19

1371

1126

76

854

62

32

Total Demand for Child Care Spaces

Distribution

EXISTING SUPPLY (4)

144 742

16 84

Child Care Spaces

885

100

Family Child Care Home Supply

Child Care Center Supply

Current Child Care Supply

Distribution

EXISTING SURPLUS(SHORTAGE)

Distribution

Percentage of Demand Met

by Existing FacilitiesSpaces

Shortage of Family Child Care Home Spaces

Shortage of Center-Based Spaces

(5)

(6)

(6)

28

11

39

96 121

35 285

131 406

24 76

(13) (336)

4 96

91 55

(9) (100)

(3) (236)

216

320

536

100

(349)

100

61

(109)

(240)

FINAL

Table A-9

Existing Child Care Demand and Supply in 2015 in Half Moon Bay Region

San Mateo County Child Care Study - 2016

Note All footnote references can be found in Table C-1 at the end of this file

Sources 2010 US Census ABAG Projections 2013 2014 American Community Survey ACS Journey-to-Work data 2006-2008 and 2006-2010

Child Care Coordinating Council of San Mateo County (4Cs) Community Care Licensing Brion Economics Inc

Prepared by Brion Economics Inc 2513-SMC NA Final Tables 61216 6122016

HILLSBOROUGH

Child Care as of 2015

No of

Providers

Under 2 Years

Old

2 to 4 Year

Olds

Total 0 to 4

Years

EXISTING DEMAND Child Care Demand

Estimated Total Children

Average LFPRAdjustment Factor

Children With Working Parents

Licensed Care Demand Factor

Resident Children Needing Licensed Care

of Total Resident Children Needing Licensed Care

Children from Non-Resident Employees Needing

Licensed Care

(1)

(2)

(3)

138 331

52

71 284

37

26 272

19 82

7 10

469

356

84

298

64

16

Total Demand for Child Care Spaces

Distribution

EXISTING SUPPLY (4)

33 282

10 90

Child Care Spaces

315

100

Family Child Care Home Supply

Child Care Center Supply

Current Child Care Supply

Distribution

EXISTING SURPLUS(SHORTAGE)

Distribution

Percentage of Demand Met

by Existing FacilitiesSpaces

Shortage of Family Child Care Home Spaces

Shortage of Center-Based Spaces

(5)

(6)

(6)

1

4

5

5 6

- 91

5 97

5 95

(28) (185)

13 87

15 34

(28) (12)

0 (173)

11

91

102

100

(213)

100

32

(40)

(173)

FINAL

Table A-10

Existing Child Care Demand and Supply in 2015 in Hillsborough

San Mateo County Child Care Study - 2016

Note All footnote references can be found in Table C-1 at the end of this file Sources 2010 US Census ABAG Projections 2013 2014 American Community Survey ACS Journey-to-Work data 2006-2008 and 2006-2010

Child Care Coordinating Council of San Mateo County (4Cs) Community Care Licensing Brion Economics Inc

Prepared by Brion Economics Inc 2513-SMC NA Final Tables 61216 6122016

MENLO PARK

Child Care as of 2015

No of

Providers

Under 2 Years

Old

2 to 4 Year

Olds

Total 0 to 4

Years

EXISTING DEMAND Child Care Demand

Estimated Total Children

Average LFPRAdjustment Factor

Children With Working Parents

Licensed Care Demand Factor

Resident Children Needing Licensed Care

of Total Resident Children Needing Licensed Care

Children from Non-Resident Employees Needing

Licensed Care

(1)

(2)

(3)

1170 1723

69

802 1551

37

297 1458

25 85

220 332

2893

2353

75

1754

61

552

Total Demand for Child Care Spaces

Distribution

EXISTING SUPPLY (4)

516 1790

22 78

Child Care Spaces

2306

100

Family Child Care Home Supply

Child Care Center Supply

Current Child Care Supply

Distribution

EXISTING SURPLUS(SHORTAGE)

Distribution

Percentage of Demand Met

by Existing FacilitiesSpaces

Shortage of Family Child Care Home Spaces

Shortage of Center-Based Spaces

(5)

(6)

(6)

18

25

43

76 96

73 1331

149 1427

9 91

(367) (363)

50 50

29 80

(188) (24)

(180) (338)

172

1404

1576

100

(730)

100

68

(212)

(518)

FINAL

Table A-11

Existing Child Care Demand and Supply in 2015 in Menlo Park

San Mateo County Child Care Study - 2016

Note All footnote references can be found in Table C-1 at the end of this file Sources 2010 US Census ABAG Projections 2013 2014 American Community Survey ACS Journey-to-Work data 2006-2008 and 2006-2010

Child Care Coordinating Council of San Mateo County (4Cs) Community Care Licensing Brion Economics Inc

Prepared by Brion Economics Inc 2513-SMC NA Final Tables 61216 6122016

MILLBRAE

Child Care as of 2015

No of

Providers

Under 2 Years

Old

2 to 4 Year

Olds

Total 0 to 4

Years

EXISTING DEMAND Child Care Demand

Total Children

Average LFPRAdjustment Factor

Children With Working Parents

Licensed Care Demand Factor

Resident Children Needing Licensed Care

of Total Resident Children Needing Licensed Care

Children from Non-Resident Employees Needing

Licensed Care

(1)

(2)

(3)

421 717

62

260 632

37

96 598

23 83

28 42

1138

892

78

694

61

69

Total Demand for Child Care Spaces

Distribution

EXISTING SUPPLY (4)

124 640

16 84

Child Care Spaces

764

100

Family Child Care Home Supply

Child Care Center Supply

Current Child Care Supply

Distribution

EXISTING SURPLUS(SHORTAGE)

Distribution

Percentage of Demand Met

by Existing FacilitiesSpaces

Shortage of Family Child Care Home Spaces

Shortage of Center-Based Spaces

(5)

(6)

(6)

17

7

24

62 78

- 376

62 454

12 88

(61) (186)

25 75

50 71

(61) (32)

0 (154)

141

376

517

100

(247)

100

68

(93)

(154)

FINAL

Table A-12

Existing Child Care Demand and Supply in 2015 in Millbrae

San Mateo Co unty Child Care Study - 2016

Note All footnote references can be found in Table C-1 at the end of this file

Sources 2010 US Census ABAG Projections 2013 2014 American Community Survey ACS Journey-to-Work data 2006-2008 and 2006-2010

Child Care Coordinating Council of San Mateo County (4Cs) Community Care Licensing Brion Economics Inc

Prepared by Brion Economics Inc 2513-SMC NA Final Tables 61216 6122016

PACIFICA

Child Care as of 2015

No of

Providers

Under 2 Years

Old

2 to 4 Year

Olds

Total 0 to 4

Years

EXISTING DEMAND Child Care Demand

Estimated Total Children

Average LFPRAdjustment Factor

Children With Working Parents

Licensed Care Demand Factor

Resident Children Needing Licensed Care

of Total Resident Children Needing Licensed Care

Children from Non-Resident Employees Needing

Licensed Care

(1)

(2)

(3)

787 1253

78

610 1165

37

226 1089

29 87

18 27

2040

1776

74

1315

64

45

Total Demand for Child Care Spaces

Distribution

EXISTING SUPPLY (4)

244 1117

18 83

Child Care Spaces

1360

100

Family Child Care Home Supply

Child Care Center Supply

Current Child Care Supply

Distribution

EXISTING SURPLUS(SHORTAGE)

Distribution

Percentage of Demand Met

by Existing FacilitiesSpaces

Shortage of Family Child Care Home Spaces

Shortage of Center-Based Spaces

(5)

(6)

(6)

21

18

39

77 97

39 701

116 798

13 87

(128) (319)

29 71

48 71

(85) (39)

(43) (280)

174

740

914

100

(447)

100

67

(124)

(323)

FINAL

Table A-13

Existing Child Care Demand and Supply in 2015 in Pacifica

San Mateo County Child Care Study - 2016

Note All footnote references can be found in Table C-1 at the end of this file Sources 2010 US Census ABAG Projections 2013 2014 American Community Survey ACS Journey-to-Work data 2006-2008 and 2006-2010

Child Care Coordinating Council of San Mateo County (4Cs) Community Care Licensing Brion Economics Inc

Prepared by Brion Economics Inc 2513-SMC NA Final Tables 61216 6122016

PORTOLA VALLEY

No of

Providers

Child Care as of 2015

Under 2 Years

Old

2 to 4 Year

Olds

Total 0 to 4

Years

EXISTING DEMAND Child Care Demand

Estimated Total Children

Average LFPRAdjustment Factor

Children With Working Parents

Licensed Care Demand Factor

Resident Children Needing Licensed Care

of Total Resident Children Needing Licensed Care

Children from Non-Resident Employees Needing

Licensed Care

(1)

(2)

(3)

75 187

66

49 168

37

18 159

24 85

8 12

261

217

82

177

68

21

Total Demand for Child Care Spaces

Distribution

EXISTING SUPPLY (4)

26 171

13 87

Child Care Spaces

198

100

Family Child Care Home Supply

Child Care Center Supply

Current Child Care Supply

Distribution

EXISTING SURPLUS(SHORTAGE)

Distribution

Percentage of Demand Met

by Existing FacilitiesSpaces

Shortage of Family Child Care Home Spaces

Shortage of Center-Based Spaces

(5)

(6)

(6)

0

4

4

0 0

0 153

0 153

0 100

(26) (18)

59 41

0 89

0 0

(26) (18)

0

153

153

100

(45)

100

77

0

(45)

FINAL

Table A-14

Existing Child Care Demand and Supply in 2015 in Portola Valley

San Mateo County Child Care Study - 2016

Note All footnote references can be found in Table C-1 at the end of this file Sources 2010 US Census ABAG Projections 2013 2014 American Community Survey ACS Journey-to-Work data 2006-2008 and 2006-2010

Child Care Coordinating Council of San Mateo County (4Cs) Community Care Licensing Brion Economics Inc

Prepared by Brion Economics Inc 2513-SMC NA Final Tables 61216 6122016

REDWOOD CITY

Child Care as of 2015

No of

Providers

Under 2 Years

Old

2 to 4 Year

Olds

Total 0 to 4

Years

EXISTING DEMAND Child Care Demand

Estimated Total Children

Average LFPRAdjustment Factor

Children With Working Parents

Licensed Care Demand Factor

Resident Children Needing Licensed Care

of Total Resident Children Needing Licensed Care

Children from Non-Resident Employees Needing

Licensed Care

Total Demand for Child Care Spaces

Distribution

EXISTING SUPPLY

(1)

(2)

(3)

(4)

3260 4706

69

2236 4212

37

827 3942

25 84

414 625

1241 4567

21 79

Child Care Spaces

7966

6449

74

4770

60

1038

5808

100

Family Child Care Home Supply

Child Care Center Supply

Current Child Care Supply

Distribution

EXISTING SURPLUS(SHORTAGE)

Distribution

Percentage of Demand Met

by Existing FacilitiesSpaces

Shortage of Family Child Care Home Spaces

Shortage of Center-Based Spaces

(5)

(6)

(6)

111

45

156

396 497

356 2036

752 2533

23 77

(490) (2034)

19 81

61 55

(258) (399)

(232) (1635)

893

2392

3285

100

(2524)

100

57

(657)

(1867)

FINAL

Table A-15

Existing Child Care Demand and Supply in 2015 in Redwood City

San Mateo County Child Care Study - 2016

Note All footnote references can be found in Table C-1 at the end of this file Sources 2010 US Census ABAG Projections 2013 2014 American Community Survey ACS Journey-to-Work data 2006-2008 and 2006-2010

Child Care Coordinating Council of San Mateo County (4Cs) Community Care Licensing Brion Economics Inc

Prepared by Brion Economics Inc 2513-SMC NA Final Tables 61216 6122016

SAN BRUNO

Child Care as of 2015

No of

Providers

Under 2 Years

Old

2 to 4 Year

Olds

Total 0 to 4

Years

EXISTING DEMAND Child Care Demand

Estimated Total Children

Average LFPRAdjustment Factor

Children With Working Parents

Licensed Care Demand Factor

Resident Children Needing Licensed Care

of Total Resident Children Needing Licensed Care

Children from Non-Resident Employees Needing

Licensed Care

(1)

(2)

(3)

1069 1553

77

817 1428

37

302 1326

28 85

61 92

2622

2245

73

1628

62

153

Total Demand for Child Care Spaces

Distribution

EXISTING SUPPLY (4)

364 1418

20 80

Child Care Spaces

1782

100

Family Child Care Home Supply

Child Care Center Supply

Current Child Care Supply

Distribution

EXISTING SURPLUS(SHORTAGE)

Distribution

Percentage of Demand Met

by Existing FacilitiesSpaces

Shortage of Family Child Care Home Spaces

Shortage of Center-Based Spaces

(5)

(6)

(6)

34

15

49

122 153

26 1183

148 1336

10 90

(216) (82)

72 28

41 94

(178) (9)

(38) (73)

275

1209

1484

100

(298)

100

83

(187)

(110)

FINAL

Table A-16

Existing Child Care Demand and Supply in 2015 in San Bruno

San Mateo County Child Care Study - 2016

Note All footnote references can be found in Table C-1 at the end of this file Sources 2010 US Census ABAG Projections 2013 2014 American Community Survey ACS Journey-to-Work data 2006-2008 and 2006-2010

Child Care Coordinating Council of San Mateo County (4Cs) Community Care Licensing Brion Economics Inc

Prepared by Brion Economics Inc 2513-SMC NA Final Tables 61216 6122016

SAN CARLOS

Child Care as of 2015

No of

Providers

Under 2 Years

Old

2 to 4 Year

Olds

Total 0 to 4

Years

EXISTING DEMAND Child Care Demand

Estimated Total Children

Average LFPRAdjustment Factor

Children With Working Parents

Licensed Care Demand Factor

Resident Children Needing Licensed Care

of Total Resident Children Needing Licensed Care

Children from Non-Resident Employees Needing

Licensed Care

(1)

(2)

(3)

735 1308

72

526 1186

37

195 1109

26 85

75 114

2043

1712

76

1304

64

189

Total Demand for Child Care Spaces

Distribution

EXISTING SUPPLY (4)

270 1222

18 82

Child Care Spaces

1492

100

Family Child Care Home Supply

Child Care Center Supply

Current Child Care Supply

Distribution

EXISTING SURPLUS(SHORTAGE)

Distribution

Percentage of Demand Met

by Existing FacilitiesSpaces

Shortage of Family Child Care Home Spaces

Shortage of Center-Based Spaces

(5)

(6)

(6)

20

14

34

73 92

76 615

149 707

17 83

(121) (516)

19 81

55 58

(59) (67)

(62) (449)

164

691

855

100

(637)

100

57

(126)

(511)

FINAL

Table A-17

Existing Child Care Demand and Supply in 2015 in San Carlos

San Mateo County Child Care Study - 2016

Note All footnote references can be found in Table C-1 at the end of this file

Sources 2010 US Census ABAG Projections 2013 2014 American Community Survey ACS Journey-to-Work data 2006-2008 and 2006-2010

Child Care Coordinating Council of San Mateo County (4Cs) Community Care Licensing Brion Economics Inc

Prepared by Brion Economics Inc 2513-SMC NA Final Tables 61216 6122016

SAN MATEO

Child Care as of 2015

No of

Providers

Under 2 Years

Old

2 to 4 Year

Olds

Total 0 to 4

Years

EXISTING DEMAND Child Care Demand

Estimated Total Children

Average LFPRAdjustment Factor

Children With Working Parents

Licensed Care Demand Factor

Resident Children Needing Licensed Care

of Total Resident Children Needing Licensed Care

Children from Non-Resident Employees Needing

Licensed Care

(1)

(2)

(3)

2943 4213

71

2087 3793

37

772 3537

26 84

231 348

7156

5880

73

4309

60

579

Total Demand for Child Care Spaces

Distribution

EXISTING SUPPLY (4)

1003 3886

21 79

Child Care Spaces

4889

100

Family Child Care Home Supply

Child Care Center Supply

Current Child Care Supply

Distribution

EXISTING SURPLUS(SHORTAGE)

Distribution

Percentage of Demand Met

by Existing FacilitiesSpaces

Shortage of Family Child Care Home Spaces

Shortage of Center-Based Spaces

(5)

(6)

(6)

126

59

185

492 619

209 2577

701 3196

18 82

(302) (690)

30 70

70 82

(212) (134)

(90) (557)

1111

2786

3897

100

(992)

100

80

(345)

(647)

FINAL

Table A-18

Existing Child Care Demand and Supply in 2015 in San Mateo

San Mateo County Child Care Study - 2016

Note All footnote references can be found in Table C-1 at the end of this file

Sources 2010 US Census ABAG Projections 2013 2014 American Community Survey ACS Journey-to-Work data 2006-2008 and 2006-2010

Child Care Coordinating Council of San Mateo County (4Cs) Community Care Licensing Brion Economics Inc

Prepared by Brion Economics Inc 2513-SMC NA Final Tables 61216 6122016

SOUTH COAST

Child Care as of 2015

No of

Providers

Under 2 Years

Old

2 to 4 Year

Olds

Total 0 to 4

Years

EXISTING DEMAND Child Care Demand

Estimated Total Children

Average LFPRAdjustment Factor

Children With Working Parents

Licensed Care Demand Factor

Resident Children Needing Licensed Care

of Total Resident Children Needing Licensed Care

Children from Non-Resident Employees Needing

Licensed Care

(1)

(2)

(3)

21 29

54

11 25

37

4 23

20 81

0 0

50

36

77

28

56

0

Total Demand for Child Care Spaces

Distribution

EXISTING SUPPLY (4)

4 23

15 85

Child Care Spaces

28

100

Family Child Care Home Supply

Child Care Center Supply

Current Child Care Supply

Distribution

EXISTING SURPLUS(SHORTAGE)

Distribution

Percentage of Demand Met

by Existing FacilitiesSpaces

Shortage of Family Child Care Home Spaces

Shortage of Center-Based Spaces

(5)

(6)

(6)

-

2

2

- -

- 54

- 54

0 100

(4) 31

-16 116

0 230

(2) NA

(2) NA

0

54

54

100

26

100

195

(2)

(2)

FINAL

Table A-19

Existing Child Care Demand and Supply in 2015 in South Coast

San Mateo County Child Care Study - 2016

Note All footnote references can be found in Table C-1 at the end of this file

Sources 2010 US Census ABAG Projections 2013 2014 American Community Survey ACS Journey-to-Work data 2006-2008 and 2006-2010

Child Care Coordinating Council of San Mateo County (4Cs) Community Care Licensing Brion Economics Inc

Prepared by Brion Economics Inc 2513-SMC NA Final Tables 61216 6122016

SOUTH SAN FRANCISCO

Child Care as of 2015

No of

Providers

Under 2 Years

Old

2 to 4 Year

Olds

Total 0 to 4

Years

EXISTING DEMAND Child Care Demand

Estimated Total Children

Average LFPRAdjustment Factor

Children With Working Parents

Licensed Care Demand Factor

Resident Children Needing Licensed Care

of Total Resident Children Needing Licensed Care

Children from Non-Resident Employees Needing

Licensed Care

(1)

(2)

(3)

1649 2507

73

1206 2278

37

446 2123

27 85

309 466

4156

3484

74

2569

62

774

Total Demand for Child Care Spaces

Distribution

EXISTING SUPPLY (4)

755 2588

23 77

Child Care Spaces

3343

100

Family Child Care Home Supply

Child Care Center Supply

Current Child Care Supply

Distribution

EXISTING SURPLUS(SHORTAGE)

Distribution

Percentage of Demand Met

by Existing FacilitiesSpaces

Shortage of Family Child Care Home Spaces

Shortage of Center-Based Spaces

(5)

(6)

(6)

68

27

95

252 317

400 1966

652 2283

22 78

(103) (306)

25 75

86 88

(40) (42)

(63) (263)

569

2366

2935

100

(408)

100

88

(82)

(326)

FINAL

Table A-20

Existing Child Care Demand and Supply in 2015 in South San Francisco

San Mateo County Child Care Study - 2016

Note All footnote references can be found in Table C-1 at the end of this file Sources 2010 US Census ABAG Projections 2013 2014 American Community Survey ACS Journey-to-Work data 2006-2008 and 2006-2010

Child Care Coordinating Council of San Mateo County (4Cs) Community Care Licensing Brion Economics Inc

Prepared by Brion Economics Inc 2513-SMC NA Final Tables 61216 6122016

WOODSIDE

No of

Providers

Child Care as of 2015

Under 2 Years

Old

2 to 4 Year

Olds

Total 0 to 4

Years

EXISTING DEMAND Child Care Demand

Estimated Total Children

Average LFPRAdjustment Factor

Children With Working Parents

Licensed Care Demand Factor

Resident Children Needing Licensed Care

of Total Resident Children Needing Licensed Care

Children from Non-Resident Employees Needing

Licensed Care

(1)

(2)

(3)

90 160

56

50 136

37

18 128

21 80

8 13

250

186

79

147

59

21

Total Demand for Child Care Spaces

Distribution

EXISTING SUPPLY (4)

27 141

16 84

Child Care Spaces

168

100

Family Child Care Home Supply

Child Care Center Supply

Current Child Care Supply

Distribution

EXISTING SURPLUS(SHORTAGE)

Distribution

Percentage of Demand Met

by Existing FacilitiesSpaces

Shortage of Family Child Care Home Spaces

Shortage of Center-Based Spaces

(5)

(6)

(6)

1

2

3

4 5

0 103

4 108

4 96

(23) (33)

41 59

16 77

(23) (2)

0 (31)

9

103

112

100

(55)

100

67

(24)

(31)

FINAL

Table A-21

Existing Child Care Demand and Supply in 2015 in Woodside

San Mateo County Child Care Study - 2016

Note All footnote references can be found in Table C-1 at the end of this file Sources 2010 US Census ABAG Projections 2013 2014 American Community Survey ACS Journey-to-Work data 2006-2008 and 2006-2010

Child Care Coordinating Council of San Mateo County (4Cs) Community Care Licensing Brion Economics Inc

Prepared by Brion Economics Inc 2513-SMC NA Final Tables 61216 6122016

COUNTYWIDE

Child Care as of 2025

No of

Providers

Under 2 Years

Old

2 to 4 Year

Olds

Total 0 to 4

Years

EXISTING DEMAND Child Care Demand

Estimated Total Children

Average LFPRAdjustment Factor

Children With Working Parents

Licensed Care Demand Factor

Resident Children Needing Licensed Care

of Total Resident Children Needing Licensed Care

Children from Non-Resident Employees Needing

Licensed Care

Total Demand for Child Care Spaces

Distribution

EXISTING SUPPLY

(1)

(2)

(3)

(4)

20790 31340

71

14704 28273

37

5441 26432

26 84

2037 3074

7478 29506

20 80

Child Care Spaces

52130

42978

86

31873

61

5112

36984

100

Family Child Care Home Supply

Child Care Center Supply

Current Child Care Supply

Distribution

EXISTING SURPLUS(SHORTAGE)

Distribution

Percentage of Demand Met

by Existing FacilitiesSpaces

Shortage of Family Child Care Home Spaces

Shortage of Center-Based Spaces

(5)

(6)

(6)

621

309

930

2301 2893

1514 16296

3815 19189

17 83

(3663) (10318)

26 74

51 65

(2209) (1555)

(1454) (8762)

5193

17810

23003

100

(13981)

100

62

(3765)

(10216)

FINAL

Table B-1

Future C hild Care Demand and Supply in 2025 Countywide

San Mateo County Child Care Study - 2016

Note All footnote references can be found in Table C-1 at the end of this file

Sources 2010 US Census ABAG Projections 2013 2014 American Community Survey ACS Journey-to-Work data 2006-2008 and 2006-2010

Child Care Coordinating Council of San Mateo County (4Cs) Community Care Licensing Brion Economics Inc

Prepared by Brion Economics Inc 2513-SMC NA Final Tables 61216 6122016

ATHERTON

No of

Providers

Child Care as of 2025

Under 2 Years

Old

2 to 4 Year

Olds

Total 0 to 4

Years

EXISTING DEMAND Child Care Demand

Estimated Total Children

Average LFPRAdjustment Factor

Children With Working Parents

Licensed Care Demand Factor

Resident Children Needing Licensed Care

of Total Resident Children Needing Licensed Care

Children from Non-Resident Employees Needing

Licensed Care

(1)

(2)

(3)

109 193

40

43 159

37

16 154

15 80

13 19

302

202

84

170

56

32

Total Demand for Child Care Spaces

Distribution

EXISTING SUPPLY (4)

29 173

14 86

Child Care Spaces

201

100

Family Child Care Home Supply

Child Care Center Supply

Current Child Care Supply

Distribution

EXISTING SURPLUS(SHORTAGE)

Distribution

Percentage of Demand Met

by Existing FacilitiesSpaces

Shortage of Family Child Care Home Spaces

Shortage of Center-Based Spaces

(5)

(6)

(6)

1

6

7

5 6

24 267

29 273

10 90

0 101

0 100

101 158

NA NA

NA NA

11

291

302

100

101

100

150

NA

NA

FINAL

Table B-2

Future Child Care Demand and Supply in 2025 in Atherton

San Mateo Co unty Child Care Study - 2016

Note All footnote references can be found in Table C-1 at the end of this file Sources 2010 US Census ABAG Projections 2013 2014 American Community Survey ACS Journey-to-Work data 2006-2008 and 2006-2010

Child Care Coordinating Council of San Mateo County (4Cs) Community Care Licensing Brion Economics Inc

Prepared by Brion Economics Inc 2513-SMC NA Final Tables 61216 6122016

BELMONT

Child Care as of 2025

No of

Providers

Under 2 Years

Old

2 to 4 Year

Olds

Total 0 to 4

Years

EXISTING DEMAND Child Care Demand

Estimated Total Children

Average LFPRAdjustment Factor

Children With Working Parents

Licensed Care Demand Factor

Resident Children Needing Licensed Care

of Total Resident Children Needing Licensed Care

Children from Non-Resident Employees Needing

Licensed Care

(1)

(2)

(3)

743 1095

77

574 1013

37

213 943

29 86

37 56

1838

1587

73

1156

63

93

Total Demand for Child Care Spaces

Distribution

EXISTING SUPPLY (4)

250 999

20 80

Child Care Spaces

1249

100

Family Child Care Home Supply

Child Care Center Supply

Current Child Care Supply

Distribution

EXISTING SURPLUS(SHORTAGE)

Distribution

Percentage of Demand Met

by Existing FacilitiesSpaces

Shortage of Family Child Care Home Spaces

Shortage of Center-Based Spaces

(5)

(6)

(6)

8

9

17

67 84

39 531

106 615

15 85

(143) (384)

27 73

43 62

(91) (53)

(53) (331)

152

570

722

100

(527)

100

58

(143)

(384)

FINAL

Table B-3

Future Child Care Demand and Supply in 2025 in Belmont

San Mateo County Child Care Study - 2016

Note All footnote references can be found in Table C-1 at the end of this file

Sources 2010 US Census ABAG Projections 2013 2014 American Community Survey ACS Journey-to-Work data 2006-2008 and 2006-2010

Child Care Coordinating Council of San Mateo County (4Cs) Community Care Licensing Brion Economics Inc

Prepared by Brion Economics Inc 2513-SMC NA Final Tables 61216 6122016

BRISBANE

Child Care as of 2025

No of

Providers

Under 2 Years

Old

2 to 4 Year

Olds

Total 0 to 4

Years

EXISTING DEMAND Child Care Demand

Estimated Total Children

Average LFPRAdjustment Factor

Children With Working Parents

Licensed Care Demand Factor

Resident Children Needing Licensed Care

of Total Resident Children Needing Licensed Care

Children from Non-Resident Employees Needing

Licensed Care

(1)

(2)

(3)

131 174

100

131 174

37

48 160

37 92

55 83

305

305

68

209

68

138

Total Demand for Child Care Spaces

Distribution

EXISTING SUPPLY (4)

103 243

30 70

Child Care Spaces

346

100

Family Child Care Home Supply

Child Care Center Supply

Current Child Care Supply

Distribution

EXISTING SURPLUS(SHORTAGE)

Distribution

Percentage of Demand Met

by Existing FacilitiesSpaces

Shortage of Family Child Care Home Spaces

Shortage of Center-Based Spaces

(5)

(6)

(6)

1

1

2

4 5

0 64

4 69

6 94

(99) (174)

36 64

4 29

(99) (13)

0 (160)

9

64

73

100

(273)

100

21

(112)

(160)

FINAL

Table B-4

Future Child Care Demand and Supply in 2025 in Brisbane

San Mateo County Child Care Study - 2016

Note All footnote references can be found in Table C-1 at the end of this file Sources 2010 US Census ABAG Projections 2013 2014 American Community Survey ACS Journey-to-Work data 2006-2008 and 2006-2010

Child Care Coordinating Council of San Mateo County (4Cs) Community Care Licensing Brion Economics Inc

Prepared by Brion Economics Inc 2513-SMC NA Final Tables 61216 6122016

BURLINGAME

Child Care as of 2025

No of

Providers

Under 2 Years

Old

2 to 4 Year

Olds

Total 0 to 4

Years

EXISTING DEMAND Child Care Demand

Estimated Total Children

Average LFPRAdjustment Factor

Children With Working Parents

Licensed Care Demand Factor

Resident Children Needing Licensed Care

of Total Resident Children Needing Licensed Care

Children from Non-Resident Employees Needing

Licensed Care

(1)

(2)

(3)

903 1332

65

587 1190

37

217 1124

24 84

154 232

2235

1777

75

1341

60

385

Total Demand for Child Care Spaces

Distribution

EXISTING SUPPLY (4)

371 1356

21 79

Child Care Spaces

1726

100

Family Child Care Home Supply

Child Care Center Supply

Current Child Care Supply

Distribution

EXISTING SURPLUS(SHORTAGE)

Distribution

Percentage of Demand Met

by Existing FacilitiesSpaces

Shortage of Family Child Care Home Spaces

Shortage of Center-Based Spaces

(5)

(6)

(6)

10

14

24

79 99

40 866

119 965

11 89

(252) (390)

39 61

32 71

(167) (40)

(85) (350)

179

906

1085

100

(642)

100

63

(207)

(434)

FINAL

Table B-5

Future Child Care Demand and Supply in 2025 in Burlingame

San Mateo County Child Care Study - 2016

Note All footnote references can be found in Table C-1 at the end of this file

Sources 2010 US Census ABAG Projections 2013 2014 American Community Survey ACS Journey-to-Work data 2006-2008 and 2006-2010

Child Care Coordinating Council of San Mateo County (4Cs) Community Care Licensing Brion Economics Inc

Prepared by Brion Economics Inc 2513-SMC NA Final Tables 61216 6122016

DALY CITYCOLMA

Child Care as of 2025

No of

Providers

Under 2 Years

Old

2 to 4 Year

Olds

Total 0 to 4

Years

EXISTING DEMAND Child Care Demand

Estimated Total Children

Average LFPRAdjustment Factor

Children With Working Parents

Licensed Care Demand Factor

Resident Children Needing Licensed Care

of Total Resident Children Needing Licensed Care

Children from Non-Resident Employees Needing

Licensed Care

(1)

(2)

(3)

2647 3793

74

1964 3467

37

727 3233

27 85

138 208

6440

5432

73

3960

61

346

Total Demand for Child Care Spaces

Distribution

EXISTING SUPPLY (4)

865 3441

20 80

Child Care Spaces

4306

100

Family Child Care Home Supply

Child Care Center Supply

Current Child Care Supply

Distribution

EXISTING SURPLUS(SHORTAGE)

Distribution

Percentage of Demand Met

by Existing FacilitiesSpaces

Shortage of Family Child Care Home Spaces

Shortage of Center-Based Spaces

(5)

(6)

(6)

25

28

28

288 362

84 1264

372 1626

19 81

(493) (1816)

21 79

43 47

(381) (404)

(111) (1412)

649

1348

1997

100

(2308)

100

46

(785)

(1523)

FINAL

Table B-6

Future C hild Care Demand and Supply in 2025 in Daly CityColma

San Mateo County Child Care Study - 2016

Note All footnote references can be found in Table C-1 at the end of this file

Sources 2010 US Census ABAG Projections 2013 2014 American Community Survey ACS Journey-to-Work data 2006-2008 and 2006-2010

Child Care Coordinating Council of San Mateo County (4Cs) Community Care Licensing Brion Economics Inc

Prepared by Brion Economics Inc 2513-SMC NA Final Tables 61216 6122016

EAST PALO ALTO

Child Care as of 2025

No of

Providers

Under 2 Years

Old

2 to 4 Year

Olds

Total 0 to 4

Years

EXISTING DEMAND Child Care Demand

Estimated Total Children

Average LFPRAdjustment Factor

Children With Working Parents

Licensed Care Demand Factor

Resident Children Needing Licensed Care

of Total Resident Children Needing Licensed Care

Children from Non-Resident Employees Needing

Licensed Care

(1)

(2)

(3)

1161 1849

71

822 1660

37

304 1545

26 84

20 30

3010

2482

75

1849

61

50

Total Demand for Child Care Spaces

Distribution

EXISTING SUPPLY (4)

324 1575

17 83

Child Care Spaces

1900

100

Family Child Care Home Supply

Child Care Center Supply

Current Child Care Supply

Distribution

EXISTING SURPLUS(SHORTAGE)

Distribution

Percentage of Demand Met

by Existing FacilitiesSpaces

Shortage of Family Child Care Home Spaces

Shortage of Center-Based Spaces

(5)

(6)

(6)

13

6

19

85 106

25 633

110 739

13 87

(215) (836)

20 80

34 47

(166) (120)

(49) (715)

191

658

849

100

(1050)

100

45

(286)

(764)

FINAL

Table B-7

Future Child Care Demand and Supply in 2025 in East Palo Alto

San Mateo County Child Care Study - 2016

Note All footnote references can be found in Table C-1 at the end of this file

Sources 2010 US Census ABAG Projections 2013 2014 American Community Survey ACS Journey-to-Work data 2006-2008 and 2006-2010

Child Care Coordinating Council of San Mateo County (4Cs) Community Care Licensing Brion Economics Inc

Prepared by Brion Economics Inc 2513-SMC NA Final Tables 61216 6122016

FOSTER CITY

Child Care as of 2025

No of

Providers

Under 2 Years

Old

2 to 4 Year

Olds

Total 0 to 4

Years

EXISTING DEMAND Child Care Demand

Estimated Total Children

Average LFPRAdjustment Factor

Children With Working Parents

Licensed Care Demand Factor

Resident Children Needing Licensed Care

of Total Resident Children Needing Licensed Care

Children from Non-Resident Employees Needing

Licensed Care

(1)

(2)

(3)

871 1330

63

550 1154

37

204 1079

23 81

80 120

2201

1705

75

1282

58

200

Total Demand for Child Care Spaces

Distribution

EXISTING SUPPLY (4)

283 1199

19 81

Child Care Spaces

1483

100

Family Child Care Home Supply

Child Care Center Supply

Current Child Care Supply

Distribution

EXISTING SURPLUS(SHORTAGE)

Distribution

Percentage of Demand Met

by Existing FacilitiesSpaces

Shortage of Family Child Care Home Spaces

Shortage of Center-Based Spaces

(5)

(6)

(6)

19

12

31

118 149

88 1200

206 1349

13 87

(77) 150

-106 206

73 112

(44) NA

(33) NA

267

1288

1555

100

73

100

105

(44)

(33)

FINAL

Table B-8

Future Child Care Demand and Supply in 2025 in Foster City

San Mateo County Child Care Study - 2016

Note All footnote references can be found in Table C-1 at the end of this file

Sources 2010 US Census ABAG Projections 2013 2014 American Community Survey ACS Journey-to-Work data 2006-2008 and 2006-2010

Child Care Coordinating Council of San Mateo County (4Cs) Community Care Licensing Brion Economics Inc

Prepared by Brion Economics Inc 2513-SMC NA Final Tables 61216 6122016

HALF MOON BAY REGION

Child Care as of 2025

No of

Providers

Under 2 Years

Old

2 to 4 Year

Olds

Total 0 to 4

Years

EXISTING DEMAND Child Care Demand

Estimated Total Children

Average LFPRAdjustment Factor

Children With Working Parents

Licensed Care Demand Factor

Resident Children Needing Licensed Care

of Total Resident Children Needing Licensed Care

Children from Non-Resident Employees Needing

Licensed Care

(1)

(2)

(3)

553 929

69

383 835

37

142 781

26 84

14 21

1482

1217

76

923

62

34

Total Demand for Child Care Spaces

Distribution

EXISTING SUPPLY (4)

155 802

16 84

Child Care Spaces

957

100

Family Child Care Home Supply

Child Care Center Supply

Current Child Care Supply

Distribution

EXISTING SURPLUS(SHORTAGE)

Distribution

Percentage of Demand Met

by Existing FacilitiesSpaces

Shortage of Family Child Care Home Spaces

Shortage of Center-Based Spaces

(5)

(6)

(6)

10

11

21

96 121

35 285

131 406

24 76

(24) (396)

6 94

84 51

(18) (118)

(6) (279)

216

320

536

100

(421)

100

56

(136)

(285)

FINAL

Table B-9

Future Child Care Demand and Supply in 2025 in Half Moon Bay Region

San Mateo County Child Care Study - 2016

Note All footnote references can be found in Table C-1 at the end of this file

Sources 2010 US Census ABAG Projections 2013 2014 American Community Survey ACS Journey-to-Work data 2006-2008 and 2006-2010

Child Care Coordinating Council of San Mateo County (4Cs) Community Care Licensing Brion Economics Inc

Prepared by Brion Economics Inc 2513-SMC NA Final Tables 61216 6122016

HILLSBOROUGH

Child Care as of 2025

No of

Providers

Under 2 Years

Old

2 to 4 Year

Olds

Total 0 to 4

Years

EXISTING DEMAND Child Care Demand

Estimated Total Children

Average LFPRAdjustment Factor

Children With Working Parents

Licensed Care Demand Factor

Resident Children Needing Licensed Care

of Total Resident Children Needing Licensed Care

Children from Non-Resident Employees Needing

Licensed Care

(1)

(2)

(3)

143 343

52

74 295

37

27 282

19 82

7 11

487

369

84

309

64

17

Total Demand for Child Care Spaces

Distribution

EXISTING SUPPLY (4)

34 292

10 90

Child Care Spaces

327

100

Family Child Care Home Supply

Child Care Center Supply

Current Child Care Supply

Distribution

EXISTING SURPLUS(SHORTAGE)

Distribution

Percentage of Demand Met

by Existing FacilitiesSpaces

Shortage of Family Child Care Home Spaces

Shortage of Center-Based Spaces

(5)

(6)

(6)

1

4

5

5 6

- 91

5 97

5 95

(29) (195)

13 87

14 33

(29) (12)

0 (183)

11

91

102

100

(225)

100

31

(42)

(183)

FINAL

Table B-10

Future Child Care Demand and Supply in 2025 in Hillsborough

San Mateo County Child Care Study - 2016

Note All footnote references can be found in Table C-1 at the end of this file

Sources 2010 US Census ABAG Projections 2013 2014 American Community Survey ACS Journey-to-Work data 2006-2008 and 2006-2010

Child Care Coordinating Council of San Mateo County (4Cs) Community Care Licensing Brion Economics Inc

Prepared by Brion Economics Inc 2513-SMC NA Final Tables 61216 6122016

MENLO PARK

Child Care as of 2025

No of

Providers

Under 2 Years

Old

2 to 4 Year

Olds

Total 0 to 4

Years

EXISTING DEMAND Child Care Demand

Estimated Total Children

Average LFPRAdjustment Factor

Children With Working Parents

Licensed Care Demand Factor

Resident Children Needing Licensed Care

of Total Resident Children Needing Licensed Care

Children from Non-Resident Employees Needing

Licensed Care

(1)

(2)

(3)

1327 1954

69

909 1759

37

336 1653

25 85

237 357

3281

2668

75

1989

61

594

Total Demand for Child Care Spaces

Distribution

EXISTING SUPPLY (4)

573 2011

22 78

Child Care Spaces

2584

100

Family Child Care Home Supply

Child Care Center Supply

Current Child Care Supply

Distribution

EXISTING SURPLUS(SHORTAGE)

Distribution

Percentage of Demand Met

by Existing FacilitiesSpaces

Shortage of Family Child Care Home Spaces

Shortage of Center-Based Spaces

(5)

(6)

(6)

15

25

40

76 96

73 1331

149 1427

9 91

(424) (584)

42 58

26 71

(217) (39)

(207) (544)

172

1404

1576

100

(1008)

100

61

(256)

(752)

FINAL

Table B-11

Future Child Care Demand and Supply in 2025 in Menlo Park

San Mateo County Child Care Study - 2016

Note All footnote references can be found in Table C-1 at the end of this file

Sources 2010 US Census ABAG Projections 2013 2014 American Community Survey ACS Journey-to-Work data 2006-2008 and 2006-2010

Child Care Coordinating Council of San Mateo County (4Cs) Community Care Licensing Brion Economics Inc

Prepared by Brion Economics Inc 2513-SMC NA Final Tables 61216 6122016

MILLBRAE

Child Care as of 2025

No of

Providers

Under 2 Years

Old

2 to 4 Year

Olds

Total 0 to 4

Years

EXISTING DEMAND Child Care Demand

Estimated Total Children

Average LFPRAdjustment Factor

Children With Working Parents

Licensed Care Demand Factor

Resident Children Needing Licensed Care

of Total Resident Children Needing Licensed Care

Children from Non-Resident Employees Needing

Licensed Care

(1)

(2)

(3)

473 805

62

291 710

37

108 672

23 83

31 47

1278

1001

78

780

61

77

Total Demand for Child Care Spaces

Distribution

EXISTING SUPPLY (4)

139 718

16 84

Child Care Spaces

857

100

Family Child Care Home Supply

Child Care Center Supply

Current Child Care Supply

Distribution

EXISTING SURPLUS(SHORTAGE)

Distribution

Percentage of Demand Met

by Existing FacilitiesSpaces

Shortage of Family Child Care Home Spaces

Shortage of Center-Based Spaces

(5)

(6)

(6)

7

7

14

62 78

- 376

62 454

12 88

(76) (264)

22 78

45 63

(76) (46)

0 (219)

141

376

517

100

(340)

100

60

(122)

(219)

FINAL

Table B-12

Future C hild Care Demand and Supply in 2025 in Millbrae

San Mateo County Child Care Study - 2016

Note All footnote references can be found in Table C-1 at the end of this file

Sources 2010 US Census ABAG Projections 2013 2014 American Community Survey ACS Journey-to-Work data 2006-2008 and 2006-2010

Child Care Coordinating Council of San Mateo County (4Cs) Community Care Licensing Brion Economics Inc

Prepared by Brion Economics Inc 2513-SMC NA Final Tables 61216 6122016

FINAL

Table B-13

Future Child Care Demand and Supply in 2025 in Pacifica

San Mateo County Child Care Study - 2016

PACIFICA

Child Care as of 2025

No of

Providers

Under 2 Years

Old

2 to 4 Year

Olds

Total 0 to 4

Years

EXISTING DEMAND Child Care Demand

Estimated Total Children

Average L FPRAdjustment Factor

Children With Working Parents

Licensed Care Demand Factor

Resident Children Needing Licensed Care

of Total Resident Children Needing Licensed Care

Children from Non-Resident Employees Needing

Licensed Care

(1)

(2)

(3)

816 1300

78

633 1209

37

234 1130

29 87

19 29

2116

1842

74

1364

64

48

Total Demand for Child Care Spaces

Distribution

EXISTING SUPPLY (4)

254 1159

18 82

Child Care Spaces

1413

100

Family Child Care Home Supply

Child Care Center Supply

Current Child Care Supply

Distribution

EXISTING SURPLUS(SHORTAGE)

Distribution

Percentage of Demand Met

by Existing FacilitiesSpaces

Shortage of Family Child Care Home Spaces

Shortage of Center-Based Spaces

(5)

(6)

(6)

9

18

27

77 97

39 701

116 798

13 87

(138) (361)

28 72

46 69

(91) (44)

(46) (317)

174

740

914

100

(499)

100

65

(135)

(364)

Note All footnote references can be found in Table C-1 at the end of this file

Sources 2010 US Census ABAG Projections 2013 2014 American Community Survey ACS Journey-to-Work data 2006-2008 and 2006-2010

Child Care Coordinating Council of San Mateo County (4Cs) Community Care Licensing Brion Economics Inc

Prepared by Brion Economics Inc 2513-SMC NA Final Tables 61216 6122016

PORTOLA VALLEY

Child Care as of 2025

No of

Providers

Under 2 Years

Old

2 to 4 Year

Olds

Total 0 to 4

Years

EXISTING DEMAND Child Care Demand

Estimated Total Children

Average LFPRAdjustment Factor

Children With Working Parents

Licensed Care Demand Factor

Resident Children Needing Licensed Care

of Total Resident Children Needing Licensed Care

Children from Non-Resident Employees Needing

Licensed Care

(1)

(2)

(3)

77 192

66

51 173

37

19 164

24 85

9 13

269

224

82

182

68

22

Total Demand for Child Care Spaces

Distribution

EXISTING SUPPLY (4)

28 177

13 87

Child Care Spaces

204

100

Family Child Care Home Supply

Child Care Center Supply

Current Child Care Supply

Distribution

EXISTING SURPLUS(SHORTAGE)

Distribution

Percentage of Demand Met

by Existing FacilitiesSpaces

Shortage of Family Child Care Home Spaces

Shortage of Center-Based Spaces

(5)

(6)

(6)

0

4

4

- -

- 153

- 153

0 100

(28) (24)

54 46

0 87

0 0

(28) (24)

0

153

153

100

(51)

100

75

0

(51)

FINAL

Table B-14

Future Child Care Demand and Supply in 2025 in Portola Valley

San Mateo County Child Care Study - 2016

Note All footnote references can be found in Table C-1 at the end of this file

Sources 2010 US Census ABAG Projections 2013 2014 American Community Survey ACS Journey-to-Work data 2006-2008 and 2006-2010

Child Care Coordinating Council of San Mateo County (4Cs) Community Care Licensing Brion Economics Inc

Prepared by Brion Economics Inc 2513-SMC NA Final Tables 61216 6122016

REDWOOD CITY

No of

Providers

Child Care as of 2025

Under 2 Years

Old

2 to 4 Year

Olds

Total 0 to 4

Years

EXISTING DEMAND Child Care Demand

Estimated Total Children

Average LFPRAdjustment Factor

Children With Working Parents

Licensed Care Demand Factor

Resident Children Needing Licensed Care

of Total Resident Children Needing Licensed Care

Children from Non-Resident Employees Needing

Licensed Care

Total Demand for Child Care Spaces

Distribution

EXISTING SUPPLY

(1)

(2)

(3)

(4)

3725 5378

69

2555 4813

37

946 4505

25 84

466 703

1411 5208

21 79

Child Care Spaces

9103

7368

74

5450

60

1169

6619

100

Family Child Care Home Supply

Child Care Center Supply

Current Child Care Supply

Distribution

EXISTING SURPLUS(SHORTAGE)

Distribution

Percentage of Demand Met

by Existing FacilitiesSpaces

Shortage of Family Child Care Home Spaces

Shortage of Center-Based Spaces

(5)

(6)

(6)

42

41

83

396 497

356 2036

752 2533

23 77

(660) (2674)

20 80

53 49

(347) (525)

(313) (2149)

893

2392

3285

100

(3334)

100

50

(872)

(2462)

FINAL

Table B-15

Future Child Care Demand and Supply in 2025 in Redwood City

San Mateo County Child Care Study - 2016

Note All footnote references can be found in Table C-1 at the end of this file

Sources 2010 US Census ABAG Projections 2013 2014 American Community Survey ACS Journey-to-Work data 2006-2008 and 2006-2010

Child Care Coordinating Council of San Mateo County (4Cs) Community Care Licensing Brion Economics Inc

Prepared by Brion Economics Inc 2513-SMC NA Final Tables 61216 6122016

SAN BRUNO

Child Care as of 2025

No of

Providers

Under 2 Years

Old

2 to 4 Year

Olds

Total 0 to 4

Years

EXISTING DEMAND Child Care Demand

Estimated Total Children

Average LFPRAdjustment Factor

Children With Working Parents

Licensed Care Demand Factor

Resident Children Needing Licensed Care

of Total Resident Children Needing Licensed Care

Children from Non-Resident Employees Needing

Licensed Care

(1)

(2)

(3)

1189 1728

77

910 1589

37

337 1475

28 85

68 103

2917

2498

73

1812

62

171

Total Demand for Child Care Spaces

Distribution

EXISTING SUPPLY (4)

405 1578

20 80

Child Care Spaces

1983

100

Family Child Care Home Supply

Child Care Center Supply

Current Child Care Supply

Distribution

EXISTING SURPLUS(SHORTAGE)

Distribution

Percentage of Demand Met

by Existing FacilitiesSpaces

Shortage of Family Child Care Home Spaces

Shortage of Center-Based Spaces

(5)

(6)

(6)

13

15

28

122 153

26 1183

148 1336

10 90

(257) (242)

52 48

37 85

(212) (28)

(45) (214)

275

1209

1484

100

(499)

100

75

(239)

(259)

FINAL

Table B-16

Future C hild Care Demand and Supply in 2025 in San Bruno

San Mateo County Child Care Study - 2016

Note All footnote references can be found in Table C-1 at the end of this file

Sources 2010 US Census ABAG Projections 2013 2014 American Community Survey ACS Journey-to-Work data 2006-2008 and 2006-2010

Child Care Coordinating Council of San Mateo County (4Cs) Community Care Licensing Brion Economics Inc

Prepared by Brion Economics Inc 2513-SMC NA Final Tables 61216 6122016

SAN CARLOS

Child Care as of 2025

No of

Providers

Under 2 Years

Old

2 to 4 Year

Olds

Total 0 to 4

Years

EXISTING DEMAND Child Care Demand

Estimated Total Children

Average LFPRAdjustment Factor

Children With Working Parents

Licensed Care Demand Factor

Resident Children Needing Licensed Care

of Total Resident Children Needing Licensed Care

Children from Non-Resident Employees Needing

Licensed Care

(1)

(2)

(3)

778 1384

72

557 1255

37

206 1174

26 85

82 123

2162

1812

76

1380

64

205

Total Demand for Child Care Spaces

Distribution

EXISTING SUPPLY (4)

288 1297

18 82

Child Care Spaces

1585

100

Family Child Care Home Supply

Child Care Center Supply

Current Child Care Supply

Distribution

EXISTING SURPLUS(SHORTAGE)

Distribution

Percentage of Demand Met

by Existing FacilitiesSpaces

Shortage of Family Child Care Home Spaces

Shortage of Center-Based Spaces

(5)

(6)

(6)

28

14

42

73 92

76 615

149 707

17 83

(139) (590)

19 81

52 54

(68) (76)

(71) (514)

164

691

855

100

(729)

100

54

(145)

(585)

FINAL

Table B-17

Future Child Care Demand and Supply in 2025 in San Carlos

San Mateo County Child Care Study - 2016

Note All footnote references can be found in Table C-1 at the end of this file

Sources 2010 US Census ABAG Projections 2013 2014 American Community Survey ACS Journey-to-Work data 2006-2008 and 2006-2010

Child Care Coordinating Council of San Mateo County (4Cs) Community Care Licensing Brion Economics Inc

Prepared by Brion Economics Inc 2513-SMC NA Final Tables 61216 6122016

SAN MATEO

Child Care as of 2025

No of

Providers

Under 2 Years

Old

2 to 4 Year

Olds

Total 0 to 4

Years

EXISTING DEMAND Child Care Demand

Estimated Total Children

Average LFPRAdjustment Factor

Children With Working Parents

Licensed Care Demand Factor

Resident Children Needing Licensed Care

of Total Resident Children Needing Licensed Care

Children from Non-Resident Employees Needing

Licensed Care

(1)

(2)

(3)

3194 4572

71

2264 4116

37

838 3839

26 84

261 394

7766

6381

73

4677

60

656

Total Demand for Child Care Spaces

Distribution

EXISTING SUPPLY (4)

1099 4233

21 79

Child Care Spaces

5332

100

Family Child Care Home Supply

Child Care Center Supply

Current Child Care Supply

Distribution

EXISTING SURPLUS(SHORTAGE)

Distribution

Percentage of Demand Met

by Existing FacilitiesSpaces

Shortage of Family Child Care Home Spaces

Shortage of Center-Based Spaces

(5)

(6)

(6)

69

59

128

492 619

209 2577

701 3196

18 82

(398) (1037)

28 72

64 75

(279) (201)

(119) (837)

1111

2786

3897

100

(1435)

100

73

(480)

(955)

FINAL

Table B-18

Future Child Care Demand and Supply in 2025 in San Mateo

San Mateo County Child Care Study - 2016

Note All footnote references can be found in Table C-1 at the end of this file

Sources 2010 US Census ABAG Projections 2013 2014 American Community Survey ACS Journey-to-Work data 2006-2008 and 2006-2010

Child Care Coordinating Council of San Mateo County (4Cs) Community Care Licensing Brion Economics Inc

Prepared by Brion Economics Inc 2513-SMC NA Final Tables 61216 6122016

FINAL

Table B-19

Future Child Care Demand and Supply in 2025 in South Coast

San Mateo County Child Care Study - 2016

SOUTH COAST

Child Care as of 2025

No of

Providers

Under 2 Years

Old

2 to 4 Year

Olds

Total 0 to 4

Years

EXISTING DEMAND Child Care Demand

Estimated Total Children (1) 23 32 55

Average LFPRAdjustment Factor (2) 54

Children With Working Parents 12 27 40

Licensed Care Demand Factor (3) 37 77

Resident Children Needing Licensed Care 5 26 30

of Total Resident Children Needing Licensed Care 20 81 56

Children from Non-Resident Employees Needing

Licensed Care 0 0 0

Total Demand for Child Care Spaces 5 26 30

Distribution 15 85 100

EXISTING SUPPLY (4) Child Care Spaces

Family Child Care Home Supply - 0 0 0

Child Care Center Supply 2 0 54 54

Current Child Care Supply 2 - 54 54

Distribution 0 100 100

EXISTING SURPLUS(SHORTAGE) (5) 28 24

Distribution -19 119 100

Percentage of Demand Met

by Existing FacilitiesSpaces (5) 0 209 177

Shortage of Family Child Care Home Spaces (6) 0 NA 0

Shortage of Center-Based Spaces (6) (5) NA (5)

Note All footnote references can be found in Table C-1 at the end of this file

Sources 2010 US Census ABAG Projections 2013 2014 American Community Survey ACS Journey-to-Work data 2006-2008 and 2006-2010

Child Care Coordinating Council of San Mateo County (4Cs) Community Care Licensing Brion Economics Inc

Prepared by Brion Economics Inc 2513-SMC NA Final Tables 61216 6122016

SOUTH SAN FRANCISCO

Child Care as of 2025

No of

Providers

Under 2 Years

Old

2 to 4 Year

Olds

Total 0 to 4

Years

EXISTING DEMAND Child Care Demand

Estimated Total Children

Average LFPRAdjustment Factor

Children With Working Parents

Licensed Care Demand Factor

Resident Children Needing Licensed Care

of Total Resident Children Needing Licensed Care

Children from Non-Resident Employees Needing

Licensed Care

(1)

(2)

(3)

1835 2790

73

1342 2535

37

496 2362

27 85

339 512

4625

3877

74

2859

62

851

Total Demand for Child Care Spaces

Distribution

EXISTING SUPPLY (4)

835 2874

23 77

Child Care Spaces

3709

100

Family Child Care Home Supply

Child Care Center Supply

Current Child Care Supply

Distribution

EXISTING SURPLUS(SHORTAGE)

Distribution

Percentage of Demand Met

by Existing FacilitiesSpaces

Shortage of Family Child Care Home Spaces

Shortage of Center-Based Spaces

(5)

(6)

(6)

30

27

57

252 317

400 1966

652 2283

22 78

(183) (591)

24 76

78 79

(71) (82)

(113) (509)

569

2366

2935

100

(775)

100

79

(153)

(622)

FINAL

Table B-20

Future Child Care Demand and Supply in 2025 in South San Francisco

San Mateo County Child Care Study - 2016

Note All footnote references can be found in Table C-1 at the end of this file

Sources 2010 US Census ABAG Projections 2013 2014 American Community Survey ACS Journey-to-Work data 2006-2008 and 2006-2010

Child Care Coordinating Council of San Mateo County (4Cs) Community Care Licensing Brion Economics Inc

Prepared by Brion Economics Inc 2513-SMC NA Final Tables 61216 6122016

WOODSIDE

No of

Providers

Child Care as of 2025

Under 2 Years

Old

2 to 4 Year

Olds

Total 0 to 4

Years

EXISTING DEMAND Child Care Demand

Estimated Total Children

Average LFPRAdjustment Factor

Children With Working Parents

Licensed Care Demand Factor

Resident Children Needing Licensed Care

of Total Resident Children Needing Licensed Care

Children from Non-Resident Employees Needing

Licensed Care

(1)

(2)

(3)

93 165

56

51 140

37

19 132

21 80

9 13

258

192

79

152

59

22

Total Demand for Child Care Spaces

Distribution

EXISTING SUPPLY (4)

28 146

16 84

Child Care Spaces

174

100

Family Child Care Home Supply

Child Care Center Supply

Current Child Care Supply

Distribution

EXISTING SURPLUS(SHORTAGE)

Distribution

Percentage of Demand Met

by Existing FacilitiesSpaces

Shortage of Family Child Care Home Spaces

Shortage of Center-Based Spaces

(5)

(6)

(6)

1

2

3

4 5

- 103

4 108

4 96

(24) (38)

39 61

15 74

(24) (2)

0 (36)

9

103

112

100

(61)

100

65

(26)

(36)

FINAL

Table B-21

Future Child Care Demand and Supply in 2025 in Woodside

San Mateo County Child Care Study - 2016

Note All footnote references can be found in Table C-1 at the end of this file

Sources 2010 US Census ABAG Projections 2013 2014 American Community Survey ACS Journey-to-Work data 2006-2008 and 2006-2010

Child Care Coordinating Council of San Mateo County (4Cs) Community Care Licensing Brion Economics Inc

Prepared by Brion Economics Inc 2513-SMC NA Final Tables 61216 6122016

FINAL

Table C-1

Endnotes for Tables

San Mateo County Child Care Study - 2016

(1) Population by age is based on the percentage breakdown from the 2010 US Census and applied

to population estimates for 2015 using ABAGs Projections 2013 population data The ABAG data

for each area includes its Sphere of Influence and is not based on strict jurisdictional boundaries

(2) Labor force participation rates are from the 5-Year American Community Survey 2014 and include

children under six years old with two working parents or a single working parent For the 2- to 4-year

olds the labor force participation rate is applied to 2 year olds For 3- and 4-year olds it is assumed

that 100 need licensed care to support preschool for every child so the number of

3- and 4-year olds is not discounted by labor force participation rates

(3) Not all children with working parents are assumed to need licensed care percentage assumptions are

used to calculate the number of children requiring licensed care under each age category The

remaining children are assumed to be cared for in alternate arrangements such as by family members

nannies friends and other unlicensed care For children ages 3- and 4-years old it is assumed that

they all need care in the form of preschool

(4) Data on child care supply provided by the Child Care Coordinating Council of San Mateo County (4Cs)

and Community Care Licensing Division of the California Department of Social Services (CCLD) Data is

for June 2015

(5) Demand that calculates as less than 100 means that there is greater demand than supply percent of

demand that is over 100 means supply exceeds demand

(6) Unmet demand is broken down into shortage by type of care based on the proportion of FCCHs and

child care centers spaces available in each area If an area does not have any FCCHs or centers the

unmet demand is placed in the type of care that is available in the area (eg if there are only centers

all demand goes to centers)

Source Brion Economics Inc

Prepared by Brion Economics Inc 2513-SMC NA Final Tables 61216 6122016

DRAFT REPORT

Table C-2

Labor Force Participation Rates by CityArea

San Mateo County Child Care Study - 2016

CityArea

Labor Force

Participation Rate (1)

Atherton

Belmont

Brisbane

Burlingame

Daly CityColma

East Palo Alto

Foster City

Half Moon Bay Region

Hillsborough

Menlo Park

Millbrae

Pacifica

Portola Valley

Redwood City

San Bruno

San Carlos

San Mateo

South Coast

South San Francisco

Woodside

40

77

100

65

74

71

63

69

52

69

62

78

66

69

77

72

71

54

73

56

(1) Labor force participation rates (LFPRs) are for

families with children under age six with two

working parents or a single parent who works Sources American Community Survey 2014 5-Year

Survey Brion Economics Inc

Prepared by Brion Economics Inc 2513-SMC NA Final Tables 61216 6122016

  • 2513-SMC FINAL NA Memo-61216
  • 2513-SMC NA Final Tables 61216
Page 11: Final San Mateo County Child Care Needs … Care...Future C hild Care Demand and Supply in 2025 in Daly City/Colma San Mateo County Child Care Study - 2016 Note: All footnote references

CityArea

Population

at 2015

Population

at 2025

CHANGE 2015 to 2025

2015 to

2025 Change

Atherton

Belmont

Brisbane

Burlingame

Daly CityColma

East Palo Alto

Foster City

Half Moon Bay Region (1)

Hillsborough

Menlo Park (2)

Millbrae

Pacifica

Portola Valley

Redwood City (2)

San Bruno

San Carlos

San Mateo

South Coast (3)

South San Francisco

Woodside

Total by Age

7100

26600

4400

31300

111200

29200

31000

22329

11000

40850

22800

37600

6500

109350

43500

30800

105600

871

67400

6000

7400

27900

4600

34300

118000

32400

32300

24140

11400

42750

25600

39000

6700

121350

48400

32600

114600

960

75000

6200

300

1300

200

3000

6800

3200

1300

1811

400

1900

2800

1400

200

12000

4900

1800

9000

89

7600

200

42

49

45

96

61

110

42

81

36

47

123

37

31

110

113

58

85

102

113

33

745400 805600 60200 81 I I I I

FINAL

Table 2

Population Growth by City 2015 and 2025 from ABAG

San Mateo County Child Care Study - 2016

(1) Half Moon Bay Region includes the City of Half Moon Bay El Granada

Montara and Moss Beach

(2) ABAG Projections have 6300 people listed as Remainder population this

amount is divided equally between Menlo Park and Redwood City given that

they are surrounded by unincorporated areas

(3) South Coast includes La Honda Loma Mar and Pescadero

Sources 2010 US Census ABAG Projections 2013 Brion Economics Inc

Prepared by Brion Economics Inc 2513-SMC NA Final Tables 61216 6122016

2015 2025 CHANGE 2015 to 2025

Children 4 and Under

Under 2 2 to 4 as of Total Under 2 2 to 4 Under 2 2 to 4

CityArea Years Old Year Olds Total Population Years Old Year Olds Total Years Old Year Olds Total

Atherton 105 185 290 41 109 193 302 4 8 12

Belmont 708 1045 1753 66 743 1095 1838 35 50 85

Brisbane 125 166 292 66 131 174 305 6 8 13

Burlingame 824 1216 2040 65 903 1332 2235 79 117 195

Daly CityColma 2495 3575 6070 55 2647 3793 6440 153 218 370

East Palo Alto 1046 1667 2713 93 1161 1849 3010 115 183 297

Foster City 836 1277 2113 68 871 1330 2201 35 54 89

Half Moon Bay Region (1) 511 860 1371 61 553 929 1482 41 70 111

Hillsborough 138 331 469 43 143 343 487 5 12 17

Menlo Park (2) 1170 1723 2893 71 1327 1954 3281 157 231 388

Millbrae 421 717 1138 50 473 805 1278 52 88 140

Pacifica 787 1253 2040 54 816 1300 2116 29 47 76

Portola Valley 75 187 261 40 77 192 269 2 6 8

Redwood City (2) 3260 4706 7966 73 3725 5378 9103 465 671 1136

San Bruno 1069 1553 2622 60 1189 1728 2917 120 175 295

San Carlos 735 1308 2043 66 778 1384 2162 43 76 119

San Mateo 2943 4213 7156 68 3194 4572 7766 251 359 610

South Coast (3) 21 29 50 57 23 32 55 2 3 5

South San Francisco 1649 2507 4156 62 1835 2790 4625 186 283 469

Woodside 90 160 250 42 93 165 258 3 5 8

Total by Age 19008 28678 47686 64 20790 31340 52130 1783 2662 4444

FINAL

Table 3

Population by Age Group by City 2015 and 2025

San Mateo County Child Care Study - 2016

(1) Half Moon Bay Region includes the City of Half Moon Bay El Granada Montara and Moss Beach

(2) ABAG Projections have 6300 people listed as Remainder population this amount is divided equally between Menlo Park and Redwood City given that they

are surrounded by unincorporated areas

(3) South Coast includes La Honda Loma Mar and Pescadero

Sources 2010 US Census ABAG Projections 2013 Brion Economics Inc

Prepared by Brion Economics Inc 2513-SMC NA Final Tables 61216 6122016

CHANGE 2015 to 2025 2015 2025

Percent that Work Employees that Percent that Work Employees that

Jobs at Jobs at in City and Live Work in City and in City and Live Work in City and

CityArea 2015 2025 2015 to 2025 Change Outside Co Live Outside Co Outside Co Live Outside Co

Atherton 2730 2920 190 70 360 983 360 1051

Belmont 9540 10430 890 93 298 2843 298 3108

Brisbane 7320 7790 470 64 590 4316 590 4593

Burlingame 32040 35250 3210 100 365 11680 365 12850

Daly CityColma 26110 28540 2430 93 404 10540 404 11521

East Palo Alto 2920 3310 390 134 508 1485 508 1683

Foster City 14810 16190 1380 93 412 6108 412 6677

Half Moon Bay Region (1) 7830 8410 580 74 135 1060 135 1138

Hillsborough 1950 2080 130 67 280 546 280 583

Menlo Park 31920 34390 2470 77 576 18390 576 19813

Millbrae 7480 8370 890 119 308 2304 308 2578

Pacifica 6210 6650 440 71 242 1504 242 1611

Portola Valley 2060 2200 140 68 334 689 334 736

Redwood City 71460 80430 8970 126 480 34317 480 38624

San Bruno 13800 15390 1590 115 370 5106 370 5695

San Carlos 18100 19650 1550 86 348 6295 348 6834

San Mateo 58680 66400 7720 132 329 19314 329 21855

South Coast (2) 0 0 0 00 149 0 149 0

South San Francisco 47380 51760 4380 92 467 22128 467 24173

Woodside 2520 2660 140 56 281 708 281 747

SF Airport (3) 7870 8960 1090 139 467 3676 467 4185

Remainder (3) 2210 2460 250 113 135 299 135 333

Total Employment 374940 414240 39300 105 412 154289 411 170387

FINAL

Table 4

Employment Growth and Employee Residence by City 2015 and 2025

San Mateo County Child Care Study - 2016

Note This analysis uses the published projections prepared by ABAG from ldquoProjections 2013rdquo and the cities including their sphere of influence or SOI This is done for consistency purposes While individual cities may be planning for additional growth not included in ABAGrsquos forecast (such as Menlo Park and East Palo Alto) it was decided that the consistency of using one data source was more important Thus these estimates could be considered

conservative

(1) For employment Half Moon Bay Region includes all of the City of Half Moon Bay and Unincorporated Half Moon Bay as defined by ABAG

(2) No data on employment is available through ABAG for the South Coast area

(3) SF Airport and Remainder are groupings by ABAG We listed them separately as SF Airport has no residential population

Sources ABAG Projections 2013 Brion Economics Inc

Prepared by Brion Economics Inc 2513-SMC NA Final Tables 61216 6122016

Under 2 2 to 4 Year Total CityArea as of

CityArea Years Old Olds Supply Total Supply

Atherton 29 273 302 13

Belmont 106 615 722 31

Brisbane 4 69 73 03

Burlingame 119 965 1085 47

Daly CityColma 372 1626 1997 87

East Palo Alto 110 739 849 37

Foster City 206 1349 1555 68

Half Moon Bay Region (1) 131 406 536 23

Hillsborough 5 97 102 04

Menlo Park (2) 149 1427 1576 69

Millbrae 62 454 517 22

Pacifica 116 798 914 40

Portola Valley 0 153 153 07

Redwood City (2) 752 2533 3285 143

San Bruno 148 1336 1484 65

San Carlos 149 707 855 37

San Mateo 701 3196 3897 169

South Coast (3) 0 54 54 02

South San Francisco 652 2283 2935 128

Woodside 4 108 112 05

Total 3815 19189 23003 1000

FINAL

Table 5

Child Care Supply Summary Table for 2015

San Mateo County Child Care Study - 2016

Note Totals may be off slightly due to rounding

(1) Half Moon Bay Region includes the City of Half Moon Bay El Granada Montara

and Moss Beach

(2) ABAG Projections have 6300 people listed as Remainder population this

amount is divided equally between Menlo Park and Redwood City given that

they are surrounded by unincorporated areas

(3) South Coast includes La Honda Loma Mar and Pescadero

Sources Child Care Coordinating Council of San Mateo County (4Cs) Community

Care Licensing Brion Economics Inc

Prepared by Brion Economics Inc 2513-SMC NA Final Tables 61216 6122016

2015 2025

CityArea as CityArea as

Under 2 2 to 4 Year Total of Total Under 2 2 to 4 Total of Total

CityArea Years Old Olds Demand Demand Years Old Year Olds Demand Demand

Atherton 27 165 192 06 29 173 201 05

Belmont 237 950 1187 35 250 999 1249 34

Brisbane 98 231 329 10 103 243 346 09

Burlingame 338 1236 1574 47 371 1356 1726 47

Daly CityColma 811 3237 4048 120 865 3441 4306 116

East Palo Alto 292 1419 1711 51 324 1575 1900 51

Foster City 268 1145 1414 42 283 1199 1483 40

Half Moon Bay Region (1) 144 742 885 26 155 802 957 26

Hillsborough 33 282 315 09 34 292 327 09

Menlo Park (2) 516 1790 2306 68 573 2011 2584 70

Millbrae 124 640 764 23 139 718 857 23

Pacifica 244 1117 1360 40 254 1159 1413 38

Portola Valley 26 171 198 06 28 177 204 06

Redwood City (2) 1241 4567 5808 172 1411 5208 6619 179

San Bruno 364 1418 1782 53 405 1578 1983 54

San Carlos 270 1222 1492 44 288 1297 1585 43

San Mateo 1003 3886 4889 145 1099 4233 5332 144

South Coast (3) 4 23 28 01 5 26 30 01

South San Francisco 755 2588 3343 99 835 2874 3709 100

Woodside 27 141 168 05 28 146 174 05

Total 6821 26971 33792 1000 7478 29506 36984 1000

FINAL

Table 6

Child Care Demand Summary Table for 2015 and 2025

San Mateo County Child Care Study - 2016

(1) Half Moon Bay Region includes the City of Half Moon Bay El Granada Montara and Moss Beach

(2) ABAG Projections have 6300 people listed as Remainder population this amount is divided equally between Menlo Park

and Redwood City given that they are surrounded by unincorporated areas

(3) South Coast includes La Honda Loma Mar and Pescadero

Sources 2010 US Census ABAG Projections 2013 Brion Economics Inc

Prepared by Brion Economics Inc 2513-SMC NA Final Tables 61216 6122016

No of Non- No of Employee

Resident No of 0 to 2 No of 3 to 4 Children Needing

CityArea Assumptions Employees Year Olds Year Olds Licensed Care

Estimated Percent of Employees

Needing Licensed Care (1) 300 40 60 100

Atherton 983 12 18 29

Belmont 2843 34 51 85

Brisbane 4316 52 78 129

Burlingame 11680 140 211 350

Daly CityColma 10540 126 190 316

East Palo Alto 1485 18 27 45

Foster City 6108 73 110 183

Half Moon Bay Region (2) 1060 13 19 32

Hillsborough 546 7 10 16

Menlo Park 18390 220 332 552

Millbrae 2304 28 42 69

Pacifica 1504 18 27 45

Portola Valley 689 8 12 21

Redwood City 34317 410 619 1029

San Bruno 5106 61 92 153

San Carlos 6295 75 114 189

San Mateo 19314 231 348 579

South Coast (3) 0 0 0 0

South San Francisco 22128 265 399 664

Woodside 708 8 13 21

SF Airport (4) 3676 44 66 110

Remainder (4) 299 4 5 9

Total Countywide 154289 1845 2784 4629

FINAL

Table 7

Employee Demand Summary Table for 2015

San Mateo County Child Care Study - 2016

Note Totals may be off slightly due to rounding

(1) We are assuming 3 of employees children require licensed care the breakdown of demand for infant and

preschool spaces is based on the percentage of infants and preschoolers who currently reside in San Mateo

County

(2) Half Moon Bay Region includes the City of Half Moon Bay El Granada Montara and Moss Beach

(3) South Coast includes La Honda Loma Mar and Pescadero

(4) SF Airport and Remainder are groupings by ABAG For employment SF Airport demand is attributed to South San

Francisco and Remainder demand is included with Redwood City

Sources 2010 US Census ABAG Projections 2013 2014 5-Year American Community Survey Journey-To-Work Data

Brion Economics Inc

Prepared by Brion Economics Inc 2513-SMC NA Final Tables 61216 6122016

No of Non- No of Employee

Resident No of 0 to 2 No of 3 to 4 Children Needing

CityArea Assumptions Employees Year Olds Year Olds Licensed Care

Estimated Percent of Employees

Needing Licensed Care (1) 300 40 60 100

Atherton 1051 13 19 32

Belmont 3108 37 56 93

Brisbane 4593 55 83 138

Burlingame 12850 154 232 385

Daly CityColma 11521 138 208 346

East Palo Alto 1683 20 30 50

Foster City 6677 80 120 200

Half Moon Bay Region (2) 1138 14 21 34

Hillsborough 583 7 11 17

Menlo Park 19813 237 357 594

Millbrae 2578 31 47 77

Pacifica 1611 19 29 48

Portola Valley 736 9 13 22

Redwood City 38624 462 697 1159

San Bruno 5695 68 103 171

San Carlos 6834 82 123 205

San Mateo 21855 261 394 656

South Coast (3) 0 0 0 0

South San Francisco 24173 289 436 725

Woodside 747 9 13 22

SF Airport (4) 4185 50 75 126

Remainder (4) 333 4 6 10

Total Countywide 170387 2037 3074 5112

FINAL

Table 8

Employee Demand Summary Table for 2025

San Mateo County Child Care Study - 2016

Note Totals may be off slightly due to rounding

(1) We are assuming 3 of employees children require licensed care the breakdown of demand for infant and

preschool spaces is based on the percentage of infants and preschoolers who currently reside in San Mateo County

(2) Half Moon Bay Region includes the City of Half Moon Bay El Granada Montara and Moss Beach

(3) South Coast includes La Honda Loma Mar and Pescadero

(4) SF Airport and Remainder are groupings by ABAG For employment SF Airport demand is attributed to South San

Francisco and Remainder demand is included with Redwood City

Sources 2010 US Census ABAG Projections 2013 2014 5-Year American Community Survey Journey-To-Work Data

Brion Economics Inc

Prepared by Brion Economics Inc 2513-SMC NA Final Tables 61216 6122016

2015

Surplus(Shortage) of Infant Surplus(Shortage) of Preschool Total Total

CityArea of Infant Spaces Demand Met of Preschool Spaces Demand Met Surplus(Shortage) Demand Met

Atherton 2 107 108 165 110 157

Belmont (130) 45 (335) 65 (465) 61

Brisbane (94) 4 (162) 30 (255) 22

Burlingame (219) 35 (271) 78 (489) 69

Daly CityColma (439) 46 (1612) 50 (2051) 49

East Palo Alto (182) 38 (680) 52 (862) 50

Foster City (62) 77 203 118 141 110

Half Moon Bay Region (1) (13) 91 (336) 55 (349) 61

Hillsborough (28) 15 (185) 34 (213) 32

Menlo Park (2) (367) 29 (363) 80 (730) 68

Millbrae (61) 50 (186) 71 (247) 0

Pacifica (128) 48 (319) 71 (447) 67

Portola Valley (26) 0 (18) 89 (45) 77

Redwood City (2) (490) 61 (2034) 55 (2524) 57

San Bruno (216) 41 (82) 94 (298) 83

San Carlos (121) 55 (516) 58 (637) 57

San Mateo (302) 70 (690) 82 (992) 80

South Coast (3) (4) 0 31 230 26 195

South San Francisco (103) 86 (306) 88 (408) 88

Woodside (23) 16 (33) 77 (55) 67

Countywide (3006) 56 (7783) 71 (10789) 68

FINAL

Table 9

Summary of Demand Met by Existing Facilities in Each Community at 2015

San Mateo County Child Care Study - 2016

Note Totals may be off slightly due to rounding

(1) Half Moon Bay Region includes the City of Half Moon Bay El Granada Montara and Moss Beach

(2) ABAG Projections have 6300 people listed as Remainder population this amount is divided equally between Menlo Park and Redwood

City given that they are surrounded by unincorporated areas

(3) South Coast includes La Honda Loma Mar and Pescadero

Sources 2010 US Census ABAG Projections 2013 Brion Economics Inc

Prepared by Brion Economics Inc 2513-SMC NA Final Tables 61216 6122016

2025

Surplus(Shortage) of Infant Surplus(Shortage) of Preschool Total Total

CityArea of Infant Spaces Demand Met of Preschool Spaces Demand Met Surplus(Shortage) Demand Met

Atherton 0 101 101 158 101 150

Belmont (143) 43 (384) 62 (527) 58

Brisbane (99) 4 (174) 29 (273) 21

Burlingame (252) 32 (390) 71 (642) 63

Daly CityColma (493) 43 (1816) 47 (2308) 46

East Palo Alto (215) 34 (836) 47 (1050) 45

Foster City (77) 73 150 112 73 105

Half Moon Bay Region (1) (24) 84 (396) 51 (421) 56

Hillsborough (29) 14 (195) 33 (225) 31

Menlo Park (2) (424) 26 (584) 71 (1008) 61

Millbrae (76) 45 (264) 63 (340) 60

Pacifica (138) 46 (361) 69 (499) 65

Portola Valley (28) 0 (24) 87 (51) 75

Redwood City (2) (660) 53 (2674) 49 (3334) 50

San Bruno (257) 37 (242) 85 (499) 75

San Carlos (139) 52 (590) 54 (729) 54

San Mateo (398) 64 (1037) 75 (1435) 73

South Coast (3) (5) 0 28 209 24 177

South San Francisco (183) 78 (591) 79 (775) 79

Woodside (24) 15 (38) 74 (61) 65

Countywide (3663) 51 (10318) 65 (13981) 62

FINAL

Table 10

Summary of Demand Met by Existing Facilities in Each Community at 2025

San Mateo County Child Care Study - 2016

Note Totals may be off slightly due to rounding

(1) Half Moon Bay Region includes the City of Half Moon Bay El Granada Montara and Moss Beach

(2) ABAG Projections have 6300 people listed as Remainder population this amount is divided equally between Menlo Park and Redwood

City given that they are surrounded by unincorporated areas

(3) South Coast includes La Honda Loma Mar and Pescadero

Sources 2010 US Census ABAG Projections 2013 Brion Economics Inc

Prepared by Brion Economics Inc 2513-SMC NA Final Tables 61216 6122016

Table 11

Number of Child Care Providers by City in 2015

San Mateo County Child Care Study - 2016

Family Child Licensed

CityArea Care Homes Centers Total

Atherton 1 6 7

Belmont 18 9 27

Brisbane 1 1 2

Burlingame 21 14 35

Daly CityColma 85 28 113

East Palo Alto 21 6 27

Foster City 29 12 41

Half Moon Bay Region (1) 28 11 39

Hillsborough 1 4 5

Menlo Park (2) 18 25 43

Millbrae 17 7 24

Pacifica 21 18 39

Portola Valley 0 4 4

Redwood City (2) 111 45 156

San Bruno 34 15 49

San Carlos 20 14 34

San Mateo 126 59 185

South Coast (3) 0 2 2

South San Francisco 68 27 95

Woodside 1 2 3

Countywide 621 309 930

FINAL

(1) Half Moon Bay Region includes the City of Half Moon Bay El Granada

Montara and Moss Beach

(2) ABAG Projections have 6300 people listed as Remainder population

this amount is divided equally between Menlo Park and Redwood City

given that they are surrounded by unincorporated areas

(3) South Coast includes La Honda Loma Mar and Pescadero

Sources Child Care Coordinating Council of San Mateo County (4Cs)

Community Care Licensing Brion Economics Inc

Prepared by Brion Economics Inc 2513-SMC NA Final Tables 61216 6122016

CityArea

Shortage

Infant

Center

Spaces

Infant care

Percentage

of Shortage

Shortage

Preschool

Center

Spaces

Preschool

Percentage

of Shortage

Total Center-

Based Space

Shortage

Atherton

Belmont

Brisbane

Burlingame

Daly CityColma

East Palo Alto

Foster City

Half Moon Bay Region

Hillsborough

Menlo Park

Millbrae

Pacifica

Portola Valley

Redwood City

San Bruno

San Carlos

San Mateo

South Coast

South San Francisco

Woodside

Countywide

NA

(48)

NA

(73)

(99)

(42)

(27)

(3)

NA

(180)

0

(43)

(26)

(232)

(38)

(62)

(90)

(2)

(63)

NA

NA

14

NA

23

7

7

100

1

NA

35

0

13

59

12

34

12

14

NA

19

NA

NA

(289)

(149)

(243)

(1253)

(582)

NA

(236)

(173)

(338)

(154)

(280)

(18)

(1635)

(73)

(449)

(557)

NA

(263)

(31)

NA

86

100

77

93

93

NA

99

100

65

100

87

41

88

66

88

86

NA

81

100

NA

(337)

(149)

(316)

(1352)

(623)

(27)

(240)

(173)

(518)

(154)

(323)

(45)

(1867)

(110)

(511)

(647)

(2)

(326)

(31)

(1193) 15 (6609) 85 (7802)

FINAL

Table 12

Summary of Shortage of Child Care Center Spaces by Age - 2015

San Mateo County Child Care Study - 2016

Sources Child Care Coordinating Council of San Mateo County (4Cs) Community Care Licensing

Brion Economics Inc

Prepared by Brion Economics Inc 2513-SMC NA Final Tables 61216 6122016

CityArea

Shortage

Infant Center

Spaces

Infant care

Percentage

of Shortage

Shortage

Preschool

Center

Spaces

Preschool

Percentage

of Shortage

Total Center-

Based Space

Shortage

Atherton

Belmont

Brisbane

Burlingame

Daly CityColma

East Palo Alto

Foster City

Half Moon Bay Region

Hillsborough

Menlo Park

Millbrae

Pacifica

Portola Valley

Redwood City

San Bruno

San Carlos

San Mateo

South Coast

South San Francisco

Woodside

Countywide

NA

(53)

NA

(85)

(111)

(49)

(33)

(6)

NA

(207)

0

(46)

(28)

(313)

(45)

(71)

(119)

(5)

(113)

0

NA

14

NA

19

7

6

100

2

NA

28

0

13

54

13

17

12

12

NA

18

NA

NA

(331)

(160)

(350)

(1412)

(715)

NA

(279)

(183)

(544)

(219)

(317)

(24)

(2149)

(214)

(514)

(837)

NA

(509)

(36)

NA

86

100

81

93

94

NA

98

100

72

100

87

46

87

83

88

88

NA

82

100

NA

(384)

(160)

(434)

(1523)

(764)

(33)

(285)

(183)

(752)

(219)

(364)

(51)

(2462)

(259)

(585)

(955)

(5)

(622)

(36)

(1454) 14 (8762) 86 (10216)

FINAL

Table 13

Summary of Shortage of Child Care Center Spaces by Age - 2025

San Mateo County Child Care Study - 2016

Sources Child Care Coordinating Council of San Mateo County (4Cs) Community Care Licensing

Brion Economics Inc

Prepared by Brion Economics Inc 2513-SMC NA Final Tables 61216 6122016

COUNTYWIDE

Child Care as of 2015

No of

Providers

Under 2 Years

Old

2 to 4 Year

Olds

Total 0 to 4

Years

EXISTING DEMAND Child Care Demand

Estimated Total Children

Average LFPRAdjustment Factor

Children With Working Parents

Licensed Care Demand Factor

Resident Children Needing Licensed Care

of Total Resident Children Needing Licensed Care

Children from Non-Resident Employees Needing

Licensed Care

Total Demand for Child Care Spaces

Distribution

EXISTING SUPPLY

(1)

(2)

(3)

(4)

19008 28678

71

13449 25720

37

4976 24188

26 84

1845 2784

6821 26971

20 80

Child Care Spaces

47686

39169

86

29164

61

4629

33792

100

Family Child Care Home Supply

Child Care Center Supply

Current Child Care Supply

Distribution

EXISTING SURPLUS(SHORTAGE)

Distribution

Percentage of Demand Met

by Existing FacilitiesSpaces

Shortage of Family Child Care Home Spaces

Shortage of Center-Based Spaces

(5)

(6)

(6)

621

309 -930

2301 2893

1514 16296 - -3815 19189

17 83

(3006) (7783)

28 72

56 71

(1813) (1173)

(1193) (6609)

5193

17810 -23003

100

(10789)

100

68

(2986)

(7802)

FINAL

Table A-1

Existing Child Care Demand and Supply in 2015 Countywide

San Mateo County Child Care Study - 2016

Note All footnote references can be found in Table C-1 at the end of this file

Sources 2010 US Census ABAG Projections 2013 2014 American Community Survey ACS Journey-to-Work data 2006-2008 and 2006-2010

Child Care Coordinating Council of San Mateo County (4Cs) Community Care Licensing Brion Economics Inc

Prepared by Brion Economics Inc 2513-SMC NA Final Tables 61216 6122016

ATHERTON

Child Care as of 2015

No of

Providers

Under 2 Years

Old

2 to 4 Year

Olds

Total 0 to 4

Years

EXISTING DEMAND Child Care Demand

Estimated Total Children

Average LFPRAdjustment Factor

Children With Working Parents

Licensed Care Demand Factor

Resident Children Needing Licensed Care

of Total Resident Children Needing Licensed Care

Children from Non-Resident Employees Needing

Licensed Care

(1)

(2)

(3)

105 185

40

42 153

37

15 147

15 80

12 18

290

194

84

163

56

29

Total Demand for Child Care Spaces

Distribution

EXISTING SUPPLY (4)

27 165

14 86

Child Care Spaces

192

100

Family Child Care Home Supply

Child Care Center Supply

Current Child Care Supply

Distribution

EXISTING SURPLUS(SHORTAGE)

Distribution

Percentage of Demand Met

by Existing FacilitiesSpaces

Shortage of Family Child Care Home Spaces

Shortage of Center-Based Spaces

(5)

(6)

(6)

1

6

7

5 6

24 267

29 273

10 90

2 108

2 98

107 165

NA NA

NA NA

11

291

302

100

110

100

157

NA

NA

FINAL

Table A-2

Existing Child Care Demand and Supply in 2015 in Atherton

San Mateo Co unty Child Care Study - 2016

Note All footnote references can be found in Table C-1 at the end of this file

Sources 2010 US Census ABAG Projections 2013 2014 American Community Survey ACS Journey-to-Work data 2006-2008 and 2006-2010

Child Care Coordinating Council of San Mateo County (4Cs) Community Care Licensing Brion Economics Inc

Prepared by Brion Economics Inc 2513-SMC NA Final Tables 61216 6122016

BELMONT

Child Care as of 2015

No of

Providers

Under 2 Years

Old

2 to 4 Year

Olds

Total 0 to 4

Years

EXISTING DEMAND Child Care Demand

Estimated Total Children

Average LFPRAdjustment Factor

Children With Working Parents

Licensed Care Demand Factor

Resident Children Needing Licensed Care

of Total Resident Children Needing Licensed Care

Children from Non-Resident Employees Needing

Licensed Care

(1)

(2)

(3)

708 1045

77

548 966

37

203 899

29 86

34 51

1753

1513

73

1102

63

85

Total Demand for Child Care Spaces

Distribution

EXISTING SUPPLY (4)

237 950

20 80

Child Care Spaces

1187

100

Family Child Care Home Supply

Child Care Center Supply

Current Child Care Supply

Distribution

EXISTING SURPLUS(SHORTAGE)

Distribution

Percentage of Demand Met

by Existing FacilitiesSpaces

Shortage of Family Child Care Home Spaces

Shortage of Center-Based Spaces

(5)

(6)

(6)

18

9

27

67 84

39 531

106 615

15 85

(130) (335)

28 72

45 65

(83) (46)

(48) (289)

152

570

722

100

(465)

100

61

(128)

(337)

FINAL

Table A-3

Existing Child Care Demand and Supply in 2015 in Belmont

San Mateo County Child Care Study - 2016

Note All footnote references can be found in Table C-1 at the end of this file Sources 2010 US Census ABAG Projections 2013 2014 American Community Survey ACS Journey-to-Work data 2006-2008 and

2006-2010 Child Care Coordinating Council of San Mateo County (4Cs) Community Care Licensing Brion Economics Inc

Prepared by Brion Economics Inc 2513-SMC NA Final Tables 61216 6122016

FINAL

Table A-4

Existing Child Care Demand and Supply in 2015 in Brisbane

San Mateo County Child Care Study - 2016

BRISBANE

Child Care as of 2015

No of

Providers

Under 2 Years

Old

2 to 4 Year

Olds

Total 0 to 4

Years

EXISTING DEMAND Child Care Demand

Estimated Total Children (1) 125 166 292

Average LFPRAdjustment Factor (2) 100

Children With Working Parents 125 166 292

Licensed Care Demand Factor (3) 37 68

Resident Children Needing Licensed Care 46 153 199

of Total Resident Children Needing Licensed Care 37 92 68

Children from Non-Resident Employees Needing

Licensed Care 52 78 129

Total Demand for Child Care Spaces 98 231 329

Distribution 30 70 100

EXISTING SUPPLY (4) Child Care Spaces

Family Child Care Home Supply 1 4 5 9

Child Care Center Supply 1 - 64 64

Current Child Care Supply 2 4 69 73

Distribution 6 94 100

EXISTING SURPLUS(SHORTAGE) (94) (162) (255)

Distribution 37 63 100

Percentage of Demand Met

by Existing FacilitiesSpaces (5) 4 30 22

Shortage of Family Child Care Home Spaces (6) (94) (12) (106)

Shortage of Center-Based Spaces (6) 0 (149) (149)

Note All footnote references can be found in Table C-1 at the end of this file

Sources 2010 US Census ABAG Projections 2013 2014 American Community Survey ACS Journey-to-Work data 2006-2008 and 2006-2010

Child Care Coordinating Council of San Mateo County (4Cs) Community Care Licensing Brion Economics Inc

Prepared by Brion Economics Inc 2513-SMC NA Final Tables 61216 6122016

BURLINGAME

Child Care as of 2015

No of

Providers

Under 2 Years

Old

2 to 4 Year

Olds

Total 0 to 4

Years

EXISTING DEMAND Child Care Demand

Estimated Total Children

Average LFPRAdjustment Factor

Children With Working Parents

Licensed Care Demand Factor

Resident Children Needing Licensed Care

of Total Resident Children Needing Licensed Care

Children from Non-Resident Employees Needing

Licensed Care

(1)

(2)

(3)

824 1216

65

535 1086

37

198 1025

24 84

140 211

2040

1621

75

1224

60

350

Total Demand for Child Care Spaces

Distribution

EXISTING SUPPLY (4)

338 1236

21 79

Child Care Spaces

1574

100

Family Child Care Home Supply

Child Care Center Supply

Current Child Care Supply

Distribution

EXISTING SURPLUS(SHORTAGE)

Distribution

Percentage of Demand Met

by Existing FacilitiesSpaces

Shortage of Family Child Care Home Spaces

Shortage of Center-Based Spaces

(5)

(6)

(6)

21

14

35

79 99

40 866

119 965

11 89

(219) (271)

45 55

35 78

(145) (28)

(73) (243)

179

906

1085

100

(489)

100

69

(173)

(316)

FINAL

Table A-5

Existing Child Care Demand and Supply in 2015 in Burlingame

San Mateo County Child Care Study - 2016

Note All footnote references can be found in Table C-1 at the end of this file

Sources 2010 US Census ABAG Projections 2013 2014 American Community Survey ACS Journey-to-Work data 2006-2008 and 2006-2010

Child Care Coordinating Council of San Mateo County (4Cs) Community Care Licensing Brion Economics Inc

Prepared by Brion Economics Inc 2513-SMC NA Final Tables 61216 6122016

DALY CITYCOLMA

Child Care as of 2015

No of

Providers

Under 2 Years

Old

2 to 4 Year

Olds

Total 0 to 4

Years

EXISTING DEMAND Child Care Demand

Estimated Total Children

Average LFPRAdjustment Factor

Children With Working Parents

Licensed Care Demand Factor

Resident Children Needing Licensed Care

of Total Resident Children Needing Licensed Care

Children from Non-Resident Employees Needing

Licensed Care

(1)

(2)

(3)

2495 3575

742

1851 3268

37

685 3047

27 85

126 190

6070

5119

73

3732

61

316

Total Demand for Child Care Spaces

Distribution

EXISTING SUPPLY (4)

811 3237

20 80

Child Care Spaces

4048

100

Family Child Care Home Supply

Child Care Center Supply

Current Child Care Supply

Distribution

EXISTING SURPLUS(SHORTAGE)

Distribution

Percentage of Demand Met

by Existing FacilitiesSpaces

Shortage of Family Child Care Home Spaces

Shortage of Center-Based Spaces

(5)

(6)

(6)

85

28

113

288 362

84 1264

372 1626

19 81

(439) (1612)

21 79

46 50

(340) (359)

(99) (1253)

649

1348

1997

100

(2051)

100

49

(698)

(1352)

FINAL

Table A-6

Existing Child Care Demand and Supply in 2015 in Daly CityColma

San Mateo Co unty Child Care Study - 2016

Note All footnote references can be found in Table C-1 at the end of this file

Sources 2010 US Census ABAG Projections 2013 2014 American Community Survey ACS Journey-to-Work data 2006-2008 and 2006-2010

Child Care Coordinating Council of San Mateo County (4Cs) Community Care Licensing Brion Economics Inc

Prepared by Brion Economics Inc 2513-SMC NA Final Tables 61216 6122016

EAST PALO ALTO

Child Care as of 2015

No of

Providers

Under 2 Years

Old

2 to 4 Year

Olds

Total 0 to 4

Years

EXISTING DEMAND Child Care Demand

Estimated Total Children

Average LFPRAdjustment Factor

Children With Working Parents

Licensed Care Demand Factor

Resident Children Needing Licensed Care

of Total Resident Children Needing Licensed Care

Children from Non-Resident Employees Needing

Licensed Care

(1)

(2)

(3)

1046 1667

71

741 1496

37

274 1392

26 84

18 27

2713

2237

75

1666

61

45

Total Demand for Child Care Spaces

Distribution

EXISTING SUPPLY (4)

292 1419

17 83

Child Care Spaces

1711

100

Family Child Care Home Supply

Child Care Center Supply

Current Child Care Supply

Distribution

EXISTING SURPLUS(SHORTAGE)

Distribution

Percentage of Demand Met

by Existing FacilitiesSpaces

Shortage of Family Child Care Home Spaces

Shortage of Center-Based Spaces

(5)

(6)

(6)

21

6

27

85 106

25 633

110 739

13 87

(182) (680)

21 79

38 52

(141) (98)

(42) (582)

191

658

849

100

(862)

100

50

(239)

(623)

FINAL

Table A-7

Existing Child Care Demand and Supply in 2015 in East Palo Alto

San Mateo County Child Care Study - 2016

Note All footnote references can be found in Table C-1 at the end of this file Sources 2010 US Census ABAG Projections 2013 2014 American Community Survey ACS Journey-to-Work data 2006-2008 and 2006-2010

Child Care Coordinating Council of San Mateo County (4Cs) Community Care Licensing Brion Economics Inc

Prepared by Brion Economics Inc 2513-SMC NA Final Tables 61216 6122016

FOSTER CITY

Child Care as of 2015

No of

Providers

Under 2 Years

Old

2 to 4 Year

Olds

Total 0 to 4

Years

EXISTING DEMAND Child Care Demand

Estimated Total Children

Average LFPRAdjustment Factor

Children With Working Parents

Licensed Care Demand Factor

Resident Children Needing Licensed Care

of Total Resident Children Needing Licensed Care

Children from Non-Resident Employees Needing

Licensed Care

(1)

(2)

(3)

836 1277

63

528 1108

37

195 1035

23 81

73 110

2113

1636

75

1231

58

183

Total Demand for Child Care Spaces

Distribution

EXISTING SUPPLY (4)

268 1145

19 81

Child Care Spaces

1414

100

Family Child Care Home Supply

Child Care Center Supply

Current Child Care Supply

Distribution

EXISTING SURPLUS(SHORTAGE)

Distribution

Percentage of Demand Met

by Existing FacilitiesSpaces

Shortage of Family Child Care Home Spaces

Shortage of Center-Based Spaces

(5)

(6)

(6)

29

12

41

118 149

88 1200

206 1349

13 87

(62) 203

NA NA

77 118

(36) NA

(27) NA

267

1288

1555

100

141

NA

110

(36)

(27)

FINAL

Table A-8

Existing Child Care Demand and Supply in 2015 in Foster City

San Mateo County Child Care Study - 2016

Note All footnote references can be found in Table C-1 at the end of this file

Sources 2010 US Census ABAG Projections 2013 2014 American Community Survey ACS Journey-to-Work data 2006-2008 and 2006-2010

Child Care Coordinating Council of San Mateo County (4Cs) Community Care Licensing Brion Economics Inc

Prepared by Brion Economics Inc 2513-SMC NA Final Tables 61216 6122016

HALF MOON BAY REGION

Child Care as of 2015

No of

Providers

Under 2 Years

Old

2 to 4 Year

Olds

Total 0 to 4

Years

EXISTING DEMAND Child Care Demand

Estimated Total Children

Average LFPRAdjustment Factor

Children With Working Parents

Licensed Care Demand Factor

Resident Children Needing Licensed Care

of Total Resident Children Needing Licensed Care

Children from Non-Resident Employees Needing

Licensed Care

(1)

(2)

(3)

511 860

69

354 772

37

131 723

26 84

13 19

1371

1126

76

854

62

32

Total Demand for Child Care Spaces

Distribution

EXISTING SUPPLY (4)

144 742

16 84

Child Care Spaces

885

100

Family Child Care Home Supply

Child Care Center Supply

Current Child Care Supply

Distribution

EXISTING SURPLUS(SHORTAGE)

Distribution

Percentage of Demand Met

by Existing FacilitiesSpaces

Shortage of Family Child Care Home Spaces

Shortage of Center-Based Spaces

(5)

(6)

(6)

28

11

39

96 121

35 285

131 406

24 76

(13) (336)

4 96

91 55

(9) (100)

(3) (236)

216

320

536

100

(349)

100

61

(109)

(240)

FINAL

Table A-9

Existing Child Care Demand and Supply in 2015 in Half Moon Bay Region

San Mateo County Child Care Study - 2016

Note All footnote references can be found in Table C-1 at the end of this file

Sources 2010 US Census ABAG Projections 2013 2014 American Community Survey ACS Journey-to-Work data 2006-2008 and 2006-2010

Child Care Coordinating Council of San Mateo County (4Cs) Community Care Licensing Brion Economics Inc

Prepared by Brion Economics Inc 2513-SMC NA Final Tables 61216 6122016

HILLSBOROUGH

Child Care as of 2015

No of

Providers

Under 2 Years

Old

2 to 4 Year

Olds

Total 0 to 4

Years

EXISTING DEMAND Child Care Demand

Estimated Total Children

Average LFPRAdjustment Factor

Children With Working Parents

Licensed Care Demand Factor

Resident Children Needing Licensed Care

of Total Resident Children Needing Licensed Care

Children from Non-Resident Employees Needing

Licensed Care

(1)

(2)

(3)

138 331

52

71 284

37

26 272

19 82

7 10

469

356

84

298

64

16

Total Demand for Child Care Spaces

Distribution

EXISTING SUPPLY (4)

33 282

10 90

Child Care Spaces

315

100

Family Child Care Home Supply

Child Care Center Supply

Current Child Care Supply

Distribution

EXISTING SURPLUS(SHORTAGE)

Distribution

Percentage of Demand Met

by Existing FacilitiesSpaces

Shortage of Family Child Care Home Spaces

Shortage of Center-Based Spaces

(5)

(6)

(6)

1

4

5

5 6

- 91

5 97

5 95

(28) (185)

13 87

15 34

(28) (12)

0 (173)

11

91

102

100

(213)

100

32

(40)

(173)

FINAL

Table A-10

Existing Child Care Demand and Supply in 2015 in Hillsborough

San Mateo County Child Care Study - 2016

Note All footnote references can be found in Table C-1 at the end of this file Sources 2010 US Census ABAG Projections 2013 2014 American Community Survey ACS Journey-to-Work data 2006-2008 and 2006-2010

Child Care Coordinating Council of San Mateo County (4Cs) Community Care Licensing Brion Economics Inc

Prepared by Brion Economics Inc 2513-SMC NA Final Tables 61216 6122016

MENLO PARK

Child Care as of 2015

No of

Providers

Under 2 Years

Old

2 to 4 Year

Olds

Total 0 to 4

Years

EXISTING DEMAND Child Care Demand

Estimated Total Children

Average LFPRAdjustment Factor

Children With Working Parents

Licensed Care Demand Factor

Resident Children Needing Licensed Care

of Total Resident Children Needing Licensed Care

Children from Non-Resident Employees Needing

Licensed Care

(1)

(2)

(3)

1170 1723

69

802 1551

37

297 1458

25 85

220 332

2893

2353

75

1754

61

552

Total Demand for Child Care Spaces

Distribution

EXISTING SUPPLY (4)

516 1790

22 78

Child Care Spaces

2306

100

Family Child Care Home Supply

Child Care Center Supply

Current Child Care Supply

Distribution

EXISTING SURPLUS(SHORTAGE)

Distribution

Percentage of Demand Met

by Existing FacilitiesSpaces

Shortage of Family Child Care Home Spaces

Shortage of Center-Based Spaces

(5)

(6)

(6)

18

25

43

76 96

73 1331

149 1427

9 91

(367) (363)

50 50

29 80

(188) (24)

(180) (338)

172

1404

1576

100

(730)

100

68

(212)

(518)

FINAL

Table A-11

Existing Child Care Demand and Supply in 2015 in Menlo Park

San Mateo County Child Care Study - 2016

Note All footnote references can be found in Table C-1 at the end of this file Sources 2010 US Census ABAG Projections 2013 2014 American Community Survey ACS Journey-to-Work data 2006-2008 and 2006-2010

Child Care Coordinating Council of San Mateo County (4Cs) Community Care Licensing Brion Economics Inc

Prepared by Brion Economics Inc 2513-SMC NA Final Tables 61216 6122016

MILLBRAE

Child Care as of 2015

No of

Providers

Under 2 Years

Old

2 to 4 Year

Olds

Total 0 to 4

Years

EXISTING DEMAND Child Care Demand

Total Children

Average LFPRAdjustment Factor

Children With Working Parents

Licensed Care Demand Factor

Resident Children Needing Licensed Care

of Total Resident Children Needing Licensed Care

Children from Non-Resident Employees Needing

Licensed Care

(1)

(2)

(3)

421 717

62

260 632

37

96 598

23 83

28 42

1138

892

78

694

61

69

Total Demand for Child Care Spaces

Distribution

EXISTING SUPPLY (4)

124 640

16 84

Child Care Spaces

764

100

Family Child Care Home Supply

Child Care Center Supply

Current Child Care Supply

Distribution

EXISTING SURPLUS(SHORTAGE)

Distribution

Percentage of Demand Met

by Existing FacilitiesSpaces

Shortage of Family Child Care Home Spaces

Shortage of Center-Based Spaces

(5)

(6)

(6)

17

7

24

62 78

- 376

62 454

12 88

(61) (186)

25 75

50 71

(61) (32)

0 (154)

141

376

517

100

(247)

100

68

(93)

(154)

FINAL

Table A-12

Existing Child Care Demand and Supply in 2015 in Millbrae

San Mateo Co unty Child Care Study - 2016

Note All footnote references can be found in Table C-1 at the end of this file

Sources 2010 US Census ABAG Projections 2013 2014 American Community Survey ACS Journey-to-Work data 2006-2008 and 2006-2010

Child Care Coordinating Council of San Mateo County (4Cs) Community Care Licensing Brion Economics Inc

Prepared by Brion Economics Inc 2513-SMC NA Final Tables 61216 6122016

PACIFICA

Child Care as of 2015

No of

Providers

Under 2 Years

Old

2 to 4 Year

Olds

Total 0 to 4

Years

EXISTING DEMAND Child Care Demand

Estimated Total Children

Average LFPRAdjustment Factor

Children With Working Parents

Licensed Care Demand Factor

Resident Children Needing Licensed Care

of Total Resident Children Needing Licensed Care

Children from Non-Resident Employees Needing

Licensed Care

(1)

(2)

(3)

787 1253

78

610 1165

37

226 1089

29 87

18 27

2040

1776

74

1315

64

45

Total Demand for Child Care Spaces

Distribution

EXISTING SUPPLY (4)

244 1117

18 83

Child Care Spaces

1360

100

Family Child Care Home Supply

Child Care Center Supply

Current Child Care Supply

Distribution

EXISTING SURPLUS(SHORTAGE)

Distribution

Percentage of Demand Met

by Existing FacilitiesSpaces

Shortage of Family Child Care Home Spaces

Shortage of Center-Based Spaces

(5)

(6)

(6)

21

18

39

77 97

39 701

116 798

13 87

(128) (319)

29 71

48 71

(85) (39)

(43) (280)

174

740

914

100

(447)

100

67

(124)

(323)

FINAL

Table A-13

Existing Child Care Demand and Supply in 2015 in Pacifica

San Mateo County Child Care Study - 2016

Note All footnote references can be found in Table C-1 at the end of this file Sources 2010 US Census ABAG Projections 2013 2014 American Community Survey ACS Journey-to-Work data 2006-2008 and 2006-2010

Child Care Coordinating Council of San Mateo County (4Cs) Community Care Licensing Brion Economics Inc

Prepared by Brion Economics Inc 2513-SMC NA Final Tables 61216 6122016

PORTOLA VALLEY

No of

Providers

Child Care as of 2015

Under 2 Years

Old

2 to 4 Year

Olds

Total 0 to 4

Years

EXISTING DEMAND Child Care Demand

Estimated Total Children

Average LFPRAdjustment Factor

Children With Working Parents

Licensed Care Demand Factor

Resident Children Needing Licensed Care

of Total Resident Children Needing Licensed Care

Children from Non-Resident Employees Needing

Licensed Care

(1)

(2)

(3)

75 187

66

49 168

37

18 159

24 85

8 12

261

217

82

177

68

21

Total Demand for Child Care Spaces

Distribution

EXISTING SUPPLY (4)

26 171

13 87

Child Care Spaces

198

100

Family Child Care Home Supply

Child Care Center Supply

Current Child Care Supply

Distribution

EXISTING SURPLUS(SHORTAGE)

Distribution

Percentage of Demand Met

by Existing FacilitiesSpaces

Shortage of Family Child Care Home Spaces

Shortage of Center-Based Spaces

(5)

(6)

(6)

0

4

4

0 0

0 153

0 153

0 100

(26) (18)

59 41

0 89

0 0

(26) (18)

0

153

153

100

(45)

100

77

0

(45)

FINAL

Table A-14

Existing Child Care Demand and Supply in 2015 in Portola Valley

San Mateo County Child Care Study - 2016

Note All footnote references can be found in Table C-1 at the end of this file Sources 2010 US Census ABAG Projections 2013 2014 American Community Survey ACS Journey-to-Work data 2006-2008 and 2006-2010

Child Care Coordinating Council of San Mateo County (4Cs) Community Care Licensing Brion Economics Inc

Prepared by Brion Economics Inc 2513-SMC NA Final Tables 61216 6122016

REDWOOD CITY

Child Care as of 2015

No of

Providers

Under 2 Years

Old

2 to 4 Year

Olds

Total 0 to 4

Years

EXISTING DEMAND Child Care Demand

Estimated Total Children

Average LFPRAdjustment Factor

Children With Working Parents

Licensed Care Demand Factor

Resident Children Needing Licensed Care

of Total Resident Children Needing Licensed Care

Children from Non-Resident Employees Needing

Licensed Care

Total Demand for Child Care Spaces

Distribution

EXISTING SUPPLY

(1)

(2)

(3)

(4)

3260 4706

69

2236 4212

37

827 3942

25 84

414 625

1241 4567

21 79

Child Care Spaces

7966

6449

74

4770

60

1038

5808

100

Family Child Care Home Supply

Child Care Center Supply

Current Child Care Supply

Distribution

EXISTING SURPLUS(SHORTAGE)

Distribution

Percentage of Demand Met

by Existing FacilitiesSpaces

Shortage of Family Child Care Home Spaces

Shortage of Center-Based Spaces

(5)

(6)

(6)

111

45

156

396 497

356 2036

752 2533

23 77

(490) (2034)

19 81

61 55

(258) (399)

(232) (1635)

893

2392

3285

100

(2524)

100

57

(657)

(1867)

FINAL

Table A-15

Existing Child Care Demand and Supply in 2015 in Redwood City

San Mateo County Child Care Study - 2016

Note All footnote references can be found in Table C-1 at the end of this file Sources 2010 US Census ABAG Projections 2013 2014 American Community Survey ACS Journey-to-Work data 2006-2008 and 2006-2010

Child Care Coordinating Council of San Mateo County (4Cs) Community Care Licensing Brion Economics Inc

Prepared by Brion Economics Inc 2513-SMC NA Final Tables 61216 6122016

SAN BRUNO

Child Care as of 2015

No of

Providers

Under 2 Years

Old

2 to 4 Year

Olds

Total 0 to 4

Years

EXISTING DEMAND Child Care Demand

Estimated Total Children

Average LFPRAdjustment Factor

Children With Working Parents

Licensed Care Demand Factor

Resident Children Needing Licensed Care

of Total Resident Children Needing Licensed Care

Children from Non-Resident Employees Needing

Licensed Care

(1)

(2)

(3)

1069 1553

77

817 1428

37

302 1326

28 85

61 92

2622

2245

73

1628

62

153

Total Demand for Child Care Spaces

Distribution

EXISTING SUPPLY (4)

364 1418

20 80

Child Care Spaces

1782

100

Family Child Care Home Supply

Child Care Center Supply

Current Child Care Supply

Distribution

EXISTING SURPLUS(SHORTAGE)

Distribution

Percentage of Demand Met

by Existing FacilitiesSpaces

Shortage of Family Child Care Home Spaces

Shortage of Center-Based Spaces

(5)

(6)

(6)

34

15

49

122 153

26 1183

148 1336

10 90

(216) (82)

72 28

41 94

(178) (9)

(38) (73)

275

1209

1484

100

(298)

100

83

(187)

(110)

FINAL

Table A-16

Existing Child Care Demand and Supply in 2015 in San Bruno

San Mateo County Child Care Study - 2016

Note All footnote references can be found in Table C-1 at the end of this file Sources 2010 US Census ABAG Projections 2013 2014 American Community Survey ACS Journey-to-Work data 2006-2008 and 2006-2010

Child Care Coordinating Council of San Mateo County (4Cs) Community Care Licensing Brion Economics Inc

Prepared by Brion Economics Inc 2513-SMC NA Final Tables 61216 6122016

SAN CARLOS

Child Care as of 2015

No of

Providers

Under 2 Years

Old

2 to 4 Year

Olds

Total 0 to 4

Years

EXISTING DEMAND Child Care Demand

Estimated Total Children

Average LFPRAdjustment Factor

Children With Working Parents

Licensed Care Demand Factor

Resident Children Needing Licensed Care

of Total Resident Children Needing Licensed Care

Children from Non-Resident Employees Needing

Licensed Care

(1)

(2)

(3)

735 1308

72

526 1186

37

195 1109

26 85

75 114

2043

1712

76

1304

64

189

Total Demand for Child Care Spaces

Distribution

EXISTING SUPPLY (4)

270 1222

18 82

Child Care Spaces

1492

100

Family Child Care Home Supply

Child Care Center Supply

Current Child Care Supply

Distribution

EXISTING SURPLUS(SHORTAGE)

Distribution

Percentage of Demand Met

by Existing FacilitiesSpaces

Shortage of Family Child Care Home Spaces

Shortage of Center-Based Spaces

(5)

(6)

(6)

20

14

34

73 92

76 615

149 707

17 83

(121) (516)

19 81

55 58

(59) (67)

(62) (449)

164

691

855

100

(637)

100

57

(126)

(511)

FINAL

Table A-17

Existing Child Care Demand and Supply in 2015 in San Carlos

San Mateo County Child Care Study - 2016

Note All footnote references can be found in Table C-1 at the end of this file

Sources 2010 US Census ABAG Projections 2013 2014 American Community Survey ACS Journey-to-Work data 2006-2008 and 2006-2010

Child Care Coordinating Council of San Mateo County (4Cs) Community Care Licensing Brion Economics Inc

Prepared by Brion Economics Inc 2513-SMC NA Final Tables 61216 6122016

SAN MATEO

Child Care as of 2015

No of

Providers

Under 2 Years

Old

2 to 4 Year

Olds

Total 0 to 4

Years

EXISTING DEMAND Child Care Demand

Estimated Total Children

Average LFPRAdjustment Factor

Children With Working Parents

Licensed Care Demand Factor

Resident Children Needing Licensed Care

of Total Resident Children Needing Licensed Care

Children from Non-Resident Employees Needing

Licensed Care

(1)

(2)

(3)

2943 4213

71

2087 3793

37

772 3537

26 84

231 348

7156

5880

73

4309

60

579

Total Demand for Child Care Spaces

Distribution

EXISTING SUPPLY (4)

1003 3886

21 79

Child Care Spaces

4889

100

Family Child Care Home Supply

Child Care Center Supply

Current Child Care Supply

Distribution

EXISTING SURPLUS(SHORTAGE)

Distribution

Percentage of Demand Met

by Existing FacilitiesSpaces

Shortage of Family Child Care Home Spaces

Shortage of Center-Based Spaces

(5)

(6)

(6)

126

59

185

492 619

209 2577

701 3196

18 82

(302) (690)

30 70

70 82

(212) (134)

(90) (557)

1111

2786

3897

100

(992)

100

80

(345)

(647)

FINAL

Table A-18

Existing Child Care Demand and Supply in 2015 in San Mateo

San Mateo County Child Care Study - 2016

Note All footnote references can be found in Table C-1 at the end of this file

Sources 2010 US Census ABAG Projections 2013 2014 American Community Survey ACS Journey-to-Work data 2006-2008 and 2006-2010

Child Care Coordinating Council of San Mateo County (4Cs) Community Care Licensing Brion Economics Inc

Prepared by Brion Economics Inc 2513-SMC NA Final Tables 61216 6122016

SOUTH COAST

Child Care as of 2015

No of

Providers

Under 2 Years

Old

2 to 4 Year

Olds

Total 0 to 4

Years

EXISTING DEMAND Child Care Demand

Estimated Total Children

Average LFPRAdjustment Factor

Children With Working Parents

Licensed Care Demand Factor

Resident Children Needing Licensed Care

of Total Resident Children Needing Licensed Care

Children from Non-Resident Employees Needing

Licensed Care

(1)

(2)

(3)

21 29

54

11 25

37

4 23

20 81

0 0

50

36

77

28

56

0

Total Demand for Child Care Spaces

Distribution

EXISTING SUPPLY (4)

4 23

15 85

Child Care Spaces

28

100

Family Child Care Home Supply

Child Care Center Supply

Current Child Care Supply

Distribution

EXISTING SURPLUS(SHORTAGE)

Distribution

Percentage of Demand Met

by Existing FacilitiesSpaces

Shortage of Family Child Care Home Spaces

Shortage of Center-Based Spaces

(5)

(6)

(6)

-

2

2

- -

- 54

- 54

0 100

(4) 31

-16 116

0 230

(2) NA

(2) NA

0

54

54

100

26

100

195

(2)

(2)

FINAL

Table A-19

Existing Child Care Demand and Supply in 2015 in South Coast

San Mateo County Child Care Study - 2016

Note All footnote references can be found in Table C-1 at the end of this file

Sources 2010 US Census ABAG Projections 2013 2014 American Community Survey ACS Journey-to-Work data 2006-2008 and 2006-2010

Child Care Coordinating Council of San Mateo County (4Cs) Community Care Licensing Brion Economics Inc

Prepared by Brion Economics Inc 2513-SMC NA Final Tables 61216 6122016

SOUTH SAN FRANCISCO

Child Care as of 2015

No of

Providers

Under 2 Years

Old

2 to 4 Year

Olds

Total 0 to 4

Years

EXISTING DEMAND Child Care Demand

Estimated Total Children

Average LFPRAdjustment Factor

Children With Working Parents

Licensed Care Demand Factor

Resident Children Needing Licensed Care

of Total Resident Children Needing Licensed Care

Children from Non-Resident Employees Needing

Licensed Care

(1)

(2)

(3)

1649 2507

73

1206 2278

37

446 2123

27 85

309 466

4156

3484

74

2569

62

774

Total Demand for Child Care Spaces

Distribution

EXISTING SUPPLY (4)

755 2588

23 77

Child Care Spaces

3343

100

Family Child Care Home Supply

Child Care Center Supply

Current Child Care Supply

Distribution

EXISTING SURPLUS(SHORTAGE)

Distribution

Percentage of Demand Met

by Existing FacilitiesSpaces

Shortage of Family Child Care Home Spaces

Shortage of Center-Based Spaces

(5)

(6)

(6)

68

27

95

252 317

400 1966

652 2283

22 78

(103) (306)

25 75

86 88

(40) (42)

(63) (263)

569

2366

2935

100

(408)

100

88

(82)

(326)

FINAL

Table A-20

Existing Child Care Demand and Supply in 2015 in South San Francisco

San Mateo County Child Care Study - 2016

Note All footnote references can be found in Table C-1 at the end of this file Sources 2010 US Census ABAG Projections 2013 2014 American Community Survey ACS Journey-to-Work data 2006-2008 and 2006-2010

Child Care Coordinating Council of San Mateo County (4Cs) Community Care Licensing Brion Economics Inc

Prepared by Brion Economics Inc 2513-SMC NA Final Tables 61216 6122016

WOODSIDE

No of

Providers

Child Care as of 2015

Under 2 Years

Old

2 to 4 Year

Olds

Total 0 to 4

Years

EXISTING DEMAND Child Care Demand

Estimated Total Children

Average LFPRAdjustment Factor

Children With Working Parents

Licensed Care Demand Factor

Resident Children Needing Licensed Care

of Total Resident Children Needing Licensed Care

Children from Non-Resident Employees Needing

Licensed Care

(1)

(2)

(3)

90 160

56

50 136

37

18 128

21 80

8 13

250

186

79

147

59

21

Total Demand for Child Care Spaces

Distribution

EXISTING SUPPLY (4)

27 141

16 84

Child Care Spaces

168

100

Family Child Care Home Supply

Child Care Center Supply

Current Child Care Supply

Distribution

EXISTING SURPLUS(SHORTAGE)

Distribution

Percentage of Demand Met

by Existing FacilitiesSpaces

Shortage of Family Child Care Home Spaces

Shortage of Center-Based Spaces

(5)

(6)

(6)

1

2

3

4 5

0 103

4 108

4 96

(23) (33)

41 59

16 77

(23) (2)

0 (31)

9

103

112

100

(55)

100

67

(24)

(31)

FINAL

Table A-21

Existing Child Care Demand and Supply in 2015 in Woodside

San Mateo County Child Care Study - 2016

Note All footnote references can be found in Table C-1 at the end of this file Sources 2010 US Census ABAG Projections 2013 2014 American Community Survey ACS Journey-to-Work data 2006-2008 and 2006-2010

Child Care Coordinating Council of San Mateo County (4Cs) Community Care Licensing Brion Economics Inc

Prepared by Brion Economics Inc 2513-SMC NA Final Tables 61216 6122016

COUNTYWIDE

Child Care as of 2025

No of

Providers

Under 2 Years

Old

2 to 4 Year

Olds

Total 0 to 4

Years

EXISTING DEMAND Child Care Demand

Estimated Total Children

Average LFPRAdjustment Factor

Children With Working Parents

Licensed Care Demand Factor

Resident Children Needing Licensed Care

of Total Resident Children Needing Licensed Care

Children from Non-Resident Employees Needing

Licensed Care

Total Demand for Child Care Spaces

Distribution

EXISTING SUPPLY

(1)

(2)

(3)

(4)

20790 31340

71

14704 28273

37

5441 26432

26 84

2037 3074

7478 29506

20 80

Child Care Spaces

52130

42978

86

31873

61

5112

36984

100

Family Child Care Home Supply

Child Care Center Supply

Current Child Care Supply

Distribution

EXISTING SURPLUS(SHORTAGE)

Distribution

Percentage of Demand Met

by Existing FacilitiesSpaces

Shortage of Family Child Care Home Spaces

Shortage of Center-Based Spaces

(5)

(6)

(6)

621

309

930

2301 2893

1514 16296

3815 19189

17 83

(3663) (10318)

26 74

51 65

(2209) (1555)

(1454) (8762)

5193

17810

23003

100

(13981)

100

62

(3765)

(10216)

FINAL

Table B-1

Future C hild Care Demand and Supply in 2025 Countywide

San Mateo County Child Care Study - 2016

Note All footnote references can be found in Table C-1 at the end of this file

Sources 2010 US Census ABAG Projections 2013 2014 American Community Survey ACS Journey-to-Work data 2006-2008 and 2006-2010

Child Care Coordinating Council of San Mateo County (4Cs) Community Care Licensing Brion Economics Inc

Prepared by Brion Economics Inc 2513-SMC NA Final Tables 61216 6122016

ATHERTON

No of

Providers

Child Care as of 2025

Under 2 Years

Old

2 to 4 Year

Olds

Total 0 to 4

Years

EXISTING DEMAND Child Care Demand

Estimated Total Children

Average LFPRAdjustment Factor

Children With Working Parents

Licensed Care Demand Factor

Resident Children Needing Licensed Care

of Total Resident Children Needing Licensed Care

Children from Non-Resident Employees Needing

Licensed Care

(1)

(2)

(3)

109 193

40

43 159

37

16 154

15 80

13 19

302

202

84

170

56

32

Total Demand for Child Care Spaces

Distribution

EXISTING SUPPLY (4)

29 173

14 86

Child Care Spaces

201

100

Family Child Care Home Supply

Child Care Center Supply

Current Child Care Supply

Distribution

EXISTING SURPLUS(SHORTAGE)

Distribution

Percentage of Demand Met

by Existing FacilitiesSpaces

Shortage of Family Child Care Home Spaces

Shortage of Center-Based Spaces

(5)

(6)

(6)

1

6

7

5 6

24 267

29 273

10 90

0 101

0 100

101 158

NA NA

NA NA

11

291

302

100

101

100

150

NA

NA

FINAL

Table B-2

Future Child Care Demand and Supply in 2025 in Atherton

San Mateo Co unty Child Care Study - 2016

Note All footnote references can be found in Table C-1 at the end of this file Sources 2010 US Census ABAG Projections 2013 2014 American Community Survey ACS Journey-to-Work data 2006-2008 and 2006-2010

Child Care Coordinating Council of San Mateo County (4Cs) Community Care Licensing Brion Economics Inc

Prepared by Brion Economics Inc 2513-SMC NA Final Tables 61216 6122016

BELMONT

Child Care as of 2025

No of

Providers

Under 2 Years

Old

2 to 4 Year

Olds

Total 0 to 4

Years

EXISTING DEMAND Child Care Demand

Estimated Total Children

Average LFPRAdjustment Factor

Children With Working Parents

Licensed Care Demand Factor

Resident Children Needing Licensed Care

of Total Resident Children Needing Licensed Care

Children from Non-Resident Employees Needing

Licensed Care

(1)

(2)

(3)

743 1095

77

574 1013

37

213 943

29 86

37 56

1838

1587

73

1156

63

93

Total Demand for Child Care Spaces

Distribution

EXISTING SUPPLY (4)

250 999

20 80

Child Care Spaces

1249

100

Family Child Care Home Supply

Child Care Center Supply

Current Child Care Supply

Distribution

EXISTING SURPLUS(SHORTAGE)

Distribution

Percentage of Demand Met

by Existing FacilitiesSpaces

Shortage of Family Child Care Home Spaces

Shortage of Center-Based Spaces

(5)

(6)

(6)

8

9

17

67 84

39 531

106 615

15 85

(143) (384)

27 73

43 62

(91) (53)

(53) (331)

152

570

722

100

(527)

100

58

(143)

(384)

FINAL

Table B-3

Future Child Care Demand and Supply in 2025 in Belmont

San Mateo County Child Care Study - 2016

Note All footnote references can be found in Table C-1 at the end of this file

Sources 2010 US Census ABAG Projections 2013 2014 American Community Survey ACS Journey-to-Work data 2006-2008 and 2006-2010

Child Care Coordinating Council of San Mateo County (4Cs) Community Care Licensing Brion Economics Inc

Prepared by Brion Economics Inc 2513-SMC NA Final Tables 61216 6122016

BRISBANE

Child Care as of 2025

No of

Providers

Under 2 Years

Old

2 to 4 Year

Olds

Total 0 to 4

Years

EXISTING DEMAND Child Care Demand

Estimated Total Children

Average LFPRAdjustment Factor

Children With Working Parents

Licensed Care Demand Factor

Resident Children Needing Licensed Care

of Total Resident Children Needing Licensed Care

Children from Non-Resident Employees Needing

Licensed Care

(1)

(2)

(3)

131 174

100

131 174

37

48 160

37 92

55 83

305

305

68

209

68

138

Total Demand for Child Care Spaces

Distribution

EXISTING SUPPLY (4)

103 243

30 70

Child Care Spaces

346

100

Family Child Care Home Supply

Child Care Center Supply

Current Child Care Supply

Distribution

EXISTING SURPLUS(SHORTAGE)

Distribution

Percentage of Demand Met

by Existing FacilitiesSpaces

Shortage of Family Child Care Home Spaces

Shortage of Center-Based Spaces

(5)

(6)

(6)

1

1

2

4 5

0 64

4 69

6 94

(99) (174)

36 64

4 29

(99) (13)

0 (160)

9

64

73

100

(273)

100

21

(112)

(160)

FINAL

Table B-4

Future Child Care Demand and Supply in 2025 in Brisbane

San Mateo County Child Care Study - 2016

Note All footnote references can be found in Table C-1 at the end of this file Sources 2010 US Census ABAG Projections 2013 2014 American Community Survey ACS Journey-to-Work data 2006-2008 and 2006-2010

Child Care Coordinating Council of San Mateo County (4Cs) Community Care Licensing Brion Economics Inc

Prepared by Brion Economics Inc 2513-SMC NA Final Tables 61216 6122016

BURLINGAME

Child Care as of 2025

No of

Providers

Under 2 Years

Old

2 to 4 Year

Olds

Total 0 to 4

Years

EXISTING DEMAND Child Care Demand

Estimated Total Children

Average LFPRAdjustment Factor

Children With Working Parents

Licensed Care Demand Factor

Resident Children Needing Licensed Care

of Total Resident Children Needing Licensed Care

Children from Non-Resident Employees Needing

Licensed Care

(1)

(2)

(3)

903 1332

65

587 1190

37

217 1124

24 84

154 232

2235

1777

75

1341

60

385

Total Demand for Child Care Spaces

Distribution

EXISTING SUPPLY (4)

371 1356

21 79

Child Care Spaces

1726

100

Family Child Care Home Supply

Child Care Center Supply

Current Child Care Supply

Distribution

EXISTING SURPLUS(SHORTAGE)

Distribution

Percentage of Demand Met

by Existing FacilitiesSpaces

Shortage of Family Child Care Home Spaces

Shortage of Center-Based Spaces

(5)

(6)

(6)

10

14

24

79 99

40 866

119 965

11 89

(252) (390)

39 61

32 71

(167) (40)

(85) (350)

179

906

1085

100

(642)

100

63

(207)

(434)

FINAL

Table B-5

Future Child Care Demand and Supply in 2025 in Burlingame

San Mateo County Child Care Study - 2016

Note All footnote references can be found in Table C-1 at the end of this file

Sources 2010 US Census ABAG Projections 2013 2014 American Community Survey ACS Journey-to-Work data 2006-2008 and 2006-2010

Child Care Coordinating Council of San Mateo County (4Cs) Community Care Licensing Brion Economics Inc

Prepared by Brion Economics Inc 2513-SMC NA Final Tables 61216 6122016

DALY CITYCOLMA

Child Care as of 2025

No of

Providers

Under 2 Years

Old

2 to 4 Year

Olds

Total 0 to 4

Years

EXISTING DEMAND Child Care Demand

Estimated Total Children

Average LFPRAdjustment Factor

Children With Working Parents

Licensed Care Demand Factor

Resident Children Needing Licensed Care

of Total Resident Children Needing Licensed Care

Children from Non-Resident Employees Needing

Licensed Care

(1)

(2)

(3)

2647 3793

74

1964 3467

37

727 3233

27 85

138 208

6440

5432

73

3960

61

346

Total Demand for Child Care Spaces

Distribution

EXISTING SUPPLY (4)

865 3441

20 80

Child Care Spaces

4306

100

Family Child Care Home Supply

Child Care Center Supply

Current Child Care Supply

Distribution

EXISTING SURPLUS(SHORTAGE)

Distribution

Percentage of Demand Met

by Existing FacilitiesSpaces

Shortage of Family Child Care Home Spaces

Shortage of Center-Based Spaces

(5)

(6)

(6)

25

28

28

288 362

84 1264

372 1626

19 81

(493) (1816)

21 79

43 47

(381) (404)

(111) (1412)

649

1348

1997

100

(2308)

100

46

(785)

(1523)

FINAL

Table B-6

Future C hild Care Demand and Supply in 2025 in Daly CityColma

San Mateo County Child Care Study - 2016

Note All footnote references can be found in Table C-1 at the end of this file

Sources 2010 US Census ABAG Projections 2013 2014 American Community Survey ACS Journey-to-Work data 2006-2008 and 2006-2010

Child Care Coordinating Council of San Mateo County (4Cs) Community Care Licensing Brion Economics Inc

Prepared by Brion Economics Inc 2513-SMC NA Final Tables 61216 6122016

EAST PALO ALTO

Child Care as of 2025

No of

Providers

Under 2 Years

Old

2 to 4 Year

Olds

Total 0 to 4

Years

EXISTING DEMAND Child Care Demand

Estimated Total Children

Average LFPRAdjustment Factor

Children With Working Parents

Licensed Care Demand Factor

Resident Children Needing Licensed Care

of Total Resident Children Needing Licensed Care

Children from Non-Resident Employees Needing

Licensed Care

(1)

(2)

(3)

1161 1849

71

822 1660

37

304 1545

26 84

20 30

3010

2482

75

1849

61

50

Total Demand for Child Care Spaces

Distribution

EXISTING SUPPLY (4)

324 1575

17 83

Child Care Spaces

1900

100

Family Child Care Home Supply

Child Care Center Supply

Current Child Care Supply

Distribution

EXISTING SURPLUS(SHORTAGE)

Distribution

Percentage of Demand Met

by Existing FacilitiesSpaces

Shortage of Family Child Care Home Spaces

Shortage of Center-Based Spaces

(5)

(6)

(6)

13

6

19

85 106

25 633

110 739

13 87

(215) (836)

20 80

34 47

(166) (120)

(49) (715)

191

658

849

100

(1050)

100

45

(286)

(764)

FINAL

Table B-7

Future Child Care Demand and Supply in 2025 in East Palo Alto

San Mateo County Child Care Study - 2016

Note All footnote references can be found in Table C-1 at the end of this file

Sources 2010 US Census ABAG Projections 2013 2014 American Community Survey ACS Journey-to-Work data 2006-2008 and 2006-2010

Child Care Coordinating Council of San Mateo County (4Cs) Community Care Licensing Brion Economics Inc

Prepared by Brion Economics Inc 2513-SMC NA Final Tables 61216 6122016

FOSTER CITY

Child Care as of 2025

No of

Providers

Under 2 Years

Old

2 to 4 Year

Olds

Total 0 to 4

Years

EXISTING DEMAND Child Care Demand

Estimated Total Children

Average LFPRAdjustment Factor

Children With Working Parents

Licensed Care Demand Factor

Resident Children Needing Licensed Care

of Total Resident Children Needing Licensed Care

Children from Non-Resident Employees Needing

Licensed Care

(1)

(2)

(3)

871 1330

63

550 1154

37

204 1079

23 81

80 120

2201

1705

75

1282

58

200

Total Demand for Child Care Spaces

Distribution

EXISTING SUPPLY (4)

283 1199

19 81

Child Care Spaces

1483

100

Family Child Care Home Supply

Child Care Center Supply

Current Child Care Supply

Distribution

EXISTING SURPLUS(SHORTAGE)

Distribution

Percentage of Demand Met

by Existing FacilitiesSpaces

Shortage of Family Child Care Home Spaces

Shortage of Center-Based Spaces

(5)

(6)

(6)

19

12

31

118 149

88 1200

206 1349

13 87

(77) 150

-106 206

73 112

(44) NA

(33) NA

267

1288

1555

100

73

100

105

(44)

(33)

FINAL

Table B-8

Future Child Care Demand and Supply in 2025 in Foster City

San Mateo County Child Care Study - 2016

Note All footnote references can be found in Table C-1 at the end of this file

Sources 2010 US Census ABAG Projections 2013 2014 American Community Survey ACS Journey-to-Work data 2006-2008 and 2006-2010

Child Care Coordinating Council of San Mateo County (4Cs) Community Care Licensing Brion Economics Inc

Prepared by Brion Economics Inc 2513-SMC NA Final Tables 61216 6122016

HALF MOON BAY REGION

Child Care as of 2025

No of

Providers

Under 2 Years

Old

2 to 4 Year

Olds

Total 0 to 4

Years

EXISTING DEMAND Child Care Demand

Estimated Total Children

Average LFPRAdjustment Factor

Children With Working Parents

Licensed Care Demand Factor

Resident Children Needing Licensed Care

of Total Resident Children Needing Licensed Care

Children from Non-Resident Employees Needing

Licensed Care

(1)

(2)

(3)

553 929

69

383 835

37

142 781

26 84

14 21

1482

1217

76

923

62

34

Total Demand for Child Care Spaces

Distribution

EXISTING SUPPLY (4)

155 802

16 84

Child Care Spaces

957

100

Family Child Care Home Supply

Child Care Center Supply

Current Child Care Supply

Distribution

EXISTING SURPLUS(SHORTAGE)

Distribution

Percentage of Demand Met

by Existing FacilitiesSpaces

Shortage of Family Child Care Home Spaces

Shortage of Center-Based Spaces

(5)

(6)

(6)

10

11

21

96 121

35 285

131 406

24 76

(24) (396)

6 94

84 51

(18) (118)

(6) (279)

216

320

536

100

(421)

100

56

(136)

(285)

FINAL

Table B-9

Future Child Care Demand and Supply in 2025 in Half Moon Bay Region

San Mateo County Child Care Study - 2016

Note All footnote references can be found in Table C-1 at the end of this file

Sources 2010 US Census ABAG Projections 2013 2014 American Community Survey ACS Journey-to-Work data 2006-2008 and 2006-2010

Child Care Coordinating Council of San Mateo County (4Cs) Community Care Licensing Brion Economics Inc

Prepared by Brion Economics Inc 2513-SMC NA Final Tables 61216 6122016

HILLSBOROUGH

Child Care as of 2025

No of

Providers

Under 2 Years

Old

2 to 4 Year

Olds

Total 0 to 4

Years

EXISTING DEMAND Child Care Demand

Estimated Total Children

Average LFPRAdjustment Factor

Children With Working Parents

Licensed Care Demand Factor

Resident Children Needing Licensed Care

of Total Resident Children Needing Licensed Care

Children from Non-Resident Employees Needing

Licensed Care

(1)

(2)

(3)

143 343

52

74 295

37

27 282

19 82

7 11

487

369

84

309

64

17

Total Demand for Child Care Spaces

Distribution

EXISTING SUPPLY (4)

34 292

10 90

Child Care Spaces

327

100

Family Child Care Home Supply

Child Care Center Supply

Current Child Care Supply

Distribution

EXISTING SURPLUS(SHORTAGE)

Distribution

Percentage of Demand Met

by Existing FacilitiesSpaces

Shortage of Family Child Care Home Spaces

Shortage of Center-Based Spaces

(5)

(6)

(6)

1

4

5

5 6

- 91

5 97

5 95

(29) (195)

13 87

14 33

(29) (12)

0 (183)

11

91

102

100

(225)

100

31

(42)

(183)

FINAL

Table B-10

Future Child Care Demand and Supply in 2025 in Hillsborough

San Mateo County Child Care Study - 2016

Note All footnote references can be found in Table C-1 at the end of this file

Sources 2010 US Census ABAG Projections 2013 2014 American Community Survey ACS Journey-to-Work data 2006-2008 and 2006-2010

Child Care Coordinating Council of San Mateo County (4Cs) Community Care Licensing Brion Economics Inc

Prepared by Brion Economics Inc 2513-SMC NA Final Tables 61216 6122016

MENLO PARK

Child Care as of 2025

No of

Providers

Under 2 Years

Old

2 to 4 Year

Olds

Total 0 to 4

Years

EXISTING DEMAND Child Care Demand

Estimated Total Children

Average LFPRAdjustment Factor

Children With Working Parents

Licensed Care Demand Factor

Resident Children Needing Licensed Care

of Total Resident Children Needing Licensed Care

Children from Non-Resident Employees Needing

Licensed Care

(1)

(2)

(3)

1327 1954

69

909 1759

37

336 1653

25 85

237 357

3281

2668

75

1989

61

594

Total Demand for Child Care Spaces

Distribution

EXISTING SUPPLY (4)

573 2011

22 78

Child Care Spaces

2584

100

Family Child Care Home Supply

Child Care Center Supply

Current Child Care Supply

Distribution

EXISTING SURPLUS(SHORTAGE)

Distribution

Percentage of Demand Met

by Existing FacilitiesSpaces

Shortage of Family Child Care Home Spaces

Shortage of Center-Based Spaces

(5)

(6)

(6)

15

25

40

76 96

73 1331

149 1427

9 91

(424) (584)

42 58

26 71

(217) (39)

(207) (544)

172

1404

1576

100

(1008)

100

61

(256)

(752)

FINAL

Table B-11

Future Child Care Demand and Supply in 2025 in Menlo Park

San Mateo County Child Care Study - 2016

Note All footnote references can be found in Table C-1 at the end of this file

Sources 2010 US Census ABAG Projections 2013 2014 American Community Survey ACS Journey-to-Work data 2006-2008 and 2006-2010

Child Care Coordinating Council of San Mateo County (4Cs) Community Care Licensing Brion Economics Inc

Prepared by Brion Economics Inc 2513-SMC NA Final Tables 61216 6122016

MILLBRAE

Child Care as of 2025

No of

Providers

Under 2 Years

Old

2 to 4 Year

Olds

Total 0 to 4

Years

EXISTING DEMAND Child Care Demand

Estimated Total Children

Average LFPRAdjustment Factor

Children With Working Parents

Licensed Care Demand Factor

Resident Children Needing Licensed Care

of Total Resident Children Needing Licensed Care

Children from Non-Resident Employees Needing

Licensed Care

(1)

(2)

(3)

473 805

62

291 710

37

108 672

23 83

31 47

1278

1001

78

780

61

77

Total Demand for Child Care Spaces

Distribution

EXISTING SUPPLY (4)

139 718

16 84

Child Care Spaces

857

100

Family Child Care Home Supply

Child Care Center Supply

Current Child Care Supply

Distribution

EXISTING SURPLUS(SHORTAGE)

Distribution

Percentage of Demand Met

by Existing FacilitiesSpaces

Shortage of Family Child Care Home Spaces

Shortage of Center-Based Spaces

(5)

(6)

(6)

7

7

14

62 78

- 376

62 454

12 88

(76) (264)

22 78

45 63

(76) (46)

0 (219)

141

376

517

100

(340)

100

60

(122)

(219)

FINAL

Table B-12

Future C hild Care Demand and Supply in 2025 in Millbrae

San Mateo County Child Care Study - 2016

Note All footnote references can be found in Table C-1 at the end of this file

Sources 2010 US Census ABAG Projections 2013 2014 American Community Survey ACS Journey-to-Work data 2006-2008 and 2006-2010

Child Care Coordinating Council of San Mateo County (4Cs) Community Care Licensing Brion Economics Inc

Prepared by Brion Economics Inc 2513-SMC NA Final Tables 61216 6122016

FINAL

Table B-13

Future Child Care Demand and Supply in 2025 in Pacifica

San Mateo County Child Care Study - 2016

PACIFICA

Child Care as of 2025

No of

Providers

Under 2 Years

Old

2 to 4 Year

Olds

Total 0 to 4

Years

EXISTING DEMAND Child Care Demand

Estimated Total Children

Average L FPRAdjustment Factor

Children With Working Parents

Licensed Care Demand Factor

Resident Children Needing Licensed Care

of Total Resident Children Needing Licensed Care

Children from Non-Resident Employees Needing

Licensed Care

(1)

(2)

(3)

816 1300

78

633 1209

37

234 1130

29 87

19 29

2116

1842

74

1364

64

48

Total Demand for Child Care Spaces

Distribution

EXISTING SUPPLY (4)

254 1159

18 82

Child Care Spaces

1413

100

Family Child Care Home Supply

Child Care Center Supply

Current Child Care Supply

Distribution

EXISTING SURPLUS(SHORTAGE)

Distribution

Percentage of Demand Met

by Existing FacilitiesSpaces

Shortage of Family Child Care Home Spaces

Shortage of Center-Based Spaces

(5)

(6)

(6)

9

18

27

77 97

39 701

116 798

13 87

(138) (361)

28 72

46 69

(91) (44)

(46) (317)

174

740

914

100

(499)

100

65

(135)

(364)

Note All footnote references can be found in Table C-1 at the end of this file

Sources 2010 US Census ABAG Projections 2013 2014 American Community Survey ACS Journey-to-Work data 2006-2008 and 2006-2010

Child Care Coordinating Council of San Mateo County (4Cs) Community Care Licensing Brion Economics Inc

Prepared by Brion Economics Inc 2513-SMC NA Final Tables 61216 6122016

PORTOLA VALLEY

Child Care as of 2025

No of

Providers

Under 2 Years

Old

2 to 4 Year

Olds

Total 0 to 4

Years

EXISTING DEMAND Child Care Demand

Estimated Total Children

Average LFPRAdjustment Factor

Children With Working Parents

Licensed Care Demand Factor

Resident Children Needing Licensed Care

of Total Resident Children Needing Licensed Care

Children from Non-Resident Employees Needing

Licensed Care

(1)

(2)

(3)

77 192

66

51 173

37

19 164

24 85

9 13

269

224

82

182

68

22

Total Demand for Child Care Spaces

Distribution

EXISTING SUPPLY (4)

28 177

13 87

Child Care Spaces

204

100

Family Child Care Home Supply

Child Care Center Supply

Current Child Care Supply

Distribution

EXISTING SURPLUS(SHORTAGE)

Distribution

Percentage of Demand Met

by Existing FacilitiesSpaces

Shortage of Family Child Care Home Spaces

Shortage of Center-Based Spaces

(5)

(6)

(6)

0

4

4

- -

- 153

- 153

0 100

(28) (24)

54 46

0 87

0 0

(28) (24)

0

153

153

100

(51)

100

75

0

(51)

FINAL

Table B-14

Future Child Care Demand and Supply in 2025 in Portola Valley

San Mateo County Child Care Study - 2016

Note All footnote references can be found in Table C-1 at the end of this file

Sources 2010 US Census ABAG Projections 2013 2014 American Community Survey ACS Journey-to-Work data 2006-2008 and 2006-2010

Child Care Coordinating Council of San Mateo County (4Cs) Community Care Licensing Brion Economics Inc

Prepared by Brion Economics Inc 2513-SMC NA Final Tables 61216 6122016

REDWOOD CITY

No of

Providers

Child Care as of 2025

Under 2 Years

Old

2 to 4 Year

Olds

Total 0 to 4

Years

EXISTING DEMAND Child Care Demand

Estimated Total Children

Average LFPRAdjustment Factor

Children With Working Parents

Licensed Care Demand Factor

Resident Children Needing Licensed Care

of Total Resident Children Needing Licensed Care

Children from Non-Resident Employees Needing

Licensed Care

Total Demand for Child Care Spaces

Distribution

EXISTING SUPPLY

(1)

(2)

(3)

(4)

3725 5378

69

2555 4813

37

946 4505

25 84

466 703

1411 5208

21 79

Child Care Spaces

9103

7368

74

5450

60

1169

6619

100

Family Child Care Home Supply

Child Care Center Supply

Current Child Care Supply

Distribution

EXISTING SURPLUS(SHORTAGE)

Distribution

Percentage of Demand Met

by Existing FacilitiesSpaces

Shortage of Family Child Care Home Spaces

Shortage of Center-Based Spaces

(5)

(6)

(6)

42

41

83

396 497

356 2036

752 2533

23 77

(660) (2674)

20 80

53 49

(347) (525)

(313) (2149)

893

2392

3285

100

(3334)

100

50

(872)

(2462)

FINAL

Table B-15

Future Child Care Demand and Supply in 2025 in Redwood City

San Mateo County Child Care Study - 2016

Note All footnote references can be found in Table C-1 at the end of this file

Sources 2010 US Census ABAG Projections 2013 2014 American Community Survey ACS Journey-to-Work data 2006-2008 and 2006-2010

Child Care Coordinating Council of San Mateo County (4Cs) Community Care Licensing Brion Economics Inc

Prepared by Brion Economics Inc 2513-SMC NA Final Tables 61216 6122016

SAN BRUNO

Child Care as of 2025

No of

Providers

Under 2 Years

Old

2 to 4 Year

Olds

Total 0 to 4

Years

EXISTING DEMAND Child Care Demand

Estimated Total Children

Average LFPRAdjustment Factor

Children With Working Parents

Licensed Care Demand Factor

Resident Children Needing Licensed Care

of Total Resident Children Needing Licensed Care

Children from Non-Resident Employees Needing

Licensed Care

(1)

(2)

(3)

1189 1728

77

910 1589

37

337 1475

28 85

68 103

2917

2498

73

1812

62

171

Total Demand for Child Care Spaces

Distribution

EXISTING SUPPLY (4)

405 1578

20 80

Child Care Spaces

1983

100

Family Child Care Home Supply

Child Care Center Supply

Current Child Care Supply

Distribution

EXISTING SURPLUS(SHORTAGE)

Distribution

Percentage of Demand Met

by Existing FacilitiesSpaces

Shortage of Family Child Care Home Spaces

Shortage of Center-Based Spaces

(5)

(6)

(6)

13

15

28

122 153

26 1183

148 1336

10 90

(257) (242)

52 48

37 85

(212) (28)

(45) (214)

275

1209

1484

100

(499)

100

75

(239)

(259)

FINAL

Table B-16

Future C hild Care Demand and Supply in 2025 in San Bruno

San Mateo County Child Care Study - 2016

Note All footnote references can be found in Table C-1 at the end of this file

Sources 2010 US Census ABAG Projections 2013 2014 American Community Survey ACS Journey-to-Work data 2006-2008 and 2006-2010

Child Care Coordinating Council of San Mateo County (4Cs) Community Care Licensing Brion Economics Inc

Prepared by Brion Economics Inc 2513-SMC NA Final Tables 61216 6122016

SAN CARLOS

Child Care as of 2025

No of

Providers

Under 2 Years

Old

2 to 4 Year

Olds

Total 0 to 4

Years

EXISTING DEMAND Child Care Demand

Estimated Total Children

Average LFPRAdjustment Factor

Children With Working Parents

Licensed Care Demand Factor

Resident Children Needing Licensed Care

of Total Resident Children Needing Licensed Care

Children from Non-Resident Employees Needing

Licensed Care

(1)

(2)

(3)

778 1384

72

557 1255

37

206 1174

26 85

82 123

2162

1812

76

1380

64

205

Total Demand for Child Care Spaces

Distribution

EXISTING SUPPLY (4)

288 1297

18 82

Child Care Spaces

1585

100

Family Child Care Home Supply

Child Care Center Supply

Current Child Care Supply

Distribution

EXISTING SURPLUS(SHORTAGE)

Distribution

Percentage of Demand Met

by Existing FacilitiesSpaces

Shortage of Family Child Care Home Spaces

Shortage of Center-Based Spaces

(5)

(6)

(6)

28

14

42

73 92

76 615

149 707

17 83

(139) (590)

19 81

52 54

(68) (76)

(71) (514)

164

691

855

100

(729)

100

54

(145)

(585)

FINAL

Table B-17

Future Child Care Demand and Supply in 2025 in San Carlos

San Mateo County Child Care Study - 2016

Note All footnote references can be found in Table C-1 at the end of this file

Sources 2010 US Census ABAG Projections 2013 2014 American Community Survey ACS Journey-to-Work data 2006-2008 and 2006-2010

Child Care Coordinating Council of San Mateo County (4Cs) Community Care Licensing Brion Economics Inc

Prepared by Brion Economics Inc 2513-SMC NA Final Tables 61216 6122016

SAN MATEO

Child Care as of 2025

No of

Providers

Under 2 Years

Old

2 to 4 Year

Olds

Total 0 to 4

Years

EXISTING DEMAND Child Care Demand

Estimated Total Children

Average LFPRAdjustment Factor

Children With Working Parents

Licensed Care Demand Factor

Resident Children Needing Licensed Care

of Total Resident Children Needing Licensed Care

Children from Non-Resident Employees Needing

Licensed Care

(1)

(2)

(3)

3194 4572

71

2264 4116

37

838 3839

26 84

261 394

7766

6381

73

4677

60

656

Total Demand for Child Care Spaces

Distribution

EXISTING SUPPLY (4)

1099 4233

21 79

Child Care Spaces

5332

100

Family Child Care Home Supply

Child Care Center Supply

Current Child Care Supply

Distribution

EXISTING SURPLUS(SHORTAGE)

Distribution

Percentage of Demand Met

by Existing FacilitiesSpaces

Shortage of Family Child Care Home Spaces

Shortage of Center-Based Spaces

(5)

(6)

(6)

69

59

128

492 619

209 2577

701 3196

18 82

(398) (1037)

28 72

64 75

(279) (201)

(119) (837)

1111

2786

3897

100

(1435)

100

73

(480)

(955)

FINAL

Table B-18

Future Child Care Demand and Supply in 2025 in San Mateo

San Mateo County Child Care Study - 2016

Note All footnote references can be found in Table C-1 at the end of this file

Sources 2010 US Census ABAG Projections 2013 2014 American Community Survey ACS Journey-to-Work data 2006-2008 and 2006-2010

Child Care Coordinating Council of San Mateo County (4Cs) Community Care Licensing Brion Economics Inc

Prepared by Brion Economics Inc 2513-SMC NA Final Tables 61216 6122016

FINAL

Table B-19

Future Child Care Demand and Supply in 2025 in South Coast

San Mateo County Child Care Study - 2016

SOUTH COAST

Child Care as of 2025

No of

Providers

Under 2 Years

Old

2 to 4 Year

Olds

Total 0 to 4

Years

EXISTING DEMAND Child Care Demand

Estimated Total Children (1) 23 32 55

Average LFPRAdjustment Factor (2) 54

Children With Working Parents 12 27 40

Licensed Care Demand Factor (3) 37 77

Resident Children Needing Licensed Care 5 26 30

of Total Resident Children Needing Licensed Care 20 81 56

Children from Non-Resident Employees Needing

Licensed Care 0 0 0

Total Demand for Child Care Spaces 5 26 30

Distribution 15 85 100

EXISTING SUPPLY (4) Child Care Spaces

Family Child Care Home Supply - 0 0 0

Child Care Center Supply 2 0 54 54

Current Child Care Supply 2 - 54 54

Distribution 0 100 100

EXISTING SURPLUS(SHORTAGE) (5) 28 24

Distribution -19 119 100

Percentage of Demand Met

by Existing FacilitiesSpaces (5) 0 209 177

Shortage of Family Child Care Home Spaces (6) 0 NA 0

Shortage of Center-Based Spaces (6) (5) NA (5)

Note All footnote references can be found in Table C-1 at the end of this file

Sources 2010 US Census ABAG Projections 2013 2014 American Community Survey ACS Journey-to-Work data 2006-2008 and 2006-2010

Child Care Coordinating Council of San Mateo County (4Cs) Community Care Licensing Brion Economics Inc

Prepared by Brion Economics Inc 2513-SMC NA Final Tables 61216 6122016

SOUTH SAN FRANCISCO

Child Care as of 2025

No of

Providers

Under 2 Years

Old

2 to 4 Year

Olds

Total 0 to 4

Years

EXISTING DEMAND Child Care Demand

Estimated Total Children

Average LFPRAdjustment Factor

Children With Working Parents

Licensed Care Demand Factor

Resident Children Needing Licensed Care

of Total Resident Children Needing Licensed Care

Children from Non-Resident Employees Needing

Licensed Care

(1)

(2)

(3)

1835 2790

73

1342 2535

37

496 2362

27 85

339 512

4625

3877

74

2859

62

851

Total Demand for Child Care Spaces

Distribution

EXISTING SUPPLY (4)

835 2874

23 77

Child Care Spaces

3709

100

Family Child Care Home Supply

Child Care Center Supply

Current Child Care Supply

Distribution

EXISTING SURPLUS(SHORTAGE)

Distribution

Percentage of Demand Met

by Existing FacilitiesSpaces

Shortage of Family Child Care Home Spaces

Shortage of Center-Based Spaces

(5)

(6)

(6)

30

27

57

252 317

400 1966

652 2283

22 78

(183) (591)

24 76

78 79

(71) (82)

(113) (509)

569

2366

2935

100

(775)

100

79

(153)

(622)

FINAL

Table B-20

Future Child Care Demand and Supply in 2025 in South San Francisco

San Mateo County Child Care Study - 2016

Note All footnote references can be found in Table C-1 at the end of this file

Sources 2010 US Census ABAG Projections 2013 2014 American Community Survey ACS Journey-to-Work data 2006-2008 and 2006-2010

Child Care Coordinating Council of San Mateo County (4Cs) Community Care Licensing Brion Economics Inc

Prepared by Brion Economics Inc 2513-SMC NA Final Tables 61216 6122016

WOODSIDE

No of

Providers

Child Care as of 2025

Under 2 Years

Old

2 to 4 Year

Olds

Total 0 to 4

Years

EXISTING DEMAND Child Care Demand

Estimated Total Children

Average LFPRAdjustment Factor

Children With Working Parents

Licensed Care Demand Factor

Resident Children Needing Licensed Care

of Total Resident Children Needing Licensed Care

Children from Non-Resident Employees Needing

Licensed Care

(1)

(2)

(3)

93 165

56

51 140

37

19 132

21 80

9 13

258

192

79

152

59

22

Total Demand for Child Care Spaces

Distribution

EXISTING SUPPLY (4)

28 146

16 84

Child Care Spaces

174

100

Family Child Care Home Supply

Child Care Center Supply

Current Child Care Supply

Distribution

EXISTING SURPLUS(SHORTAGE)

Distribution

Percentage of Demand Met

by Existing FacilitiesSpaces

Shortage of Family Child Care Home Spaces

Shortage of Center-Based Spaces

(5)

(6)

(6)

1

2

3

4 5

- 103

4 108

4 96

(24) (38)

39 61

15 74

(24) (2)

0 (36)

9

103

112

100

(61)

100

65

(26)

(36)

FINAL

Table B-21

Future Child Care Demand and Supply in 2025 in Woodside

San Mateo County Child Care Study - 2016

Note All footnote references can be found in Table C-1 at the end of this file

Sources 2010 US Census ABAG Projections 2013 2014 American Community Survey ACS Journey-to-Work data 2006-2008 and 2006-2010

Child Care Coordinating Council of San Mateo County (4Cs) Community Care Licensing Brion Economics Inc

Prepared by Brion Economics Inc 2513-SMC NA Final Tables 61216 6122016

FINAL

Table C-1

Endnotes for Tables

San Mateo County Child Care Study - 2016

(1) Population by age is based on the percentage breakdown from the 2010 US Census and applied

to population estimates for 2015 using ABAGs Projections 2013 population data The ABAG data

for each area includes its Sphere of Influence and is not based on strict jurisdictional boundaries

(2) Labor force participation rates are from the 5-Year American Community Survey 2014 and include

children under six years old with two working parents or a single working parent For the 2- to 4-year

olds the labor force participation rate is applied to 2 year olds For 3- and 4-year olds it is assumed

that 100 need licensed care to support preschool for every child so the number of

3- and 4-year olds is not discounted by labor force participation rates

(3) Not all children with working parents are assumed to need licensed care percentage assumptions are

used to calculate the number of children requiring licensed care under each age category The

remaining children are assumed to be cared for in alternate arrangements such as by family members

nannies friends and other unlicensed care For children ages 3- and 4-years old it is assumed that

they all need care in the form of preschool

(4) Data on child care supply provided by the Child Care Coordinating Council of San Mateo County (4Cs)

and Community Care Licensing Division of the California Department of Social Services (CCLD) Data is

for June 2015

(5) Demand that calculates as less than 100 means that there is greater demand than supply percent of

demand that is over 100 means supply exceeds demand

(6) Unmet demand is broken down into shortage by type of care based on the proportion of FCCHs and

child care centers spaces available in each area If an area does not have any FCCHs or centers the

unmet demand is placed in the type of care that is available in the area (eg if there are only centers

all demand goes to centers)

Source Brion Economics Inc

Prepared by Brion Economics Inc 2513-SMC NA Final Tables 61216 6122016

DRAFT REPORT

Table C-2

Labor Force Participation Rates by CityArea

San Mateo County Child Care Study - 2016

CityArea

Labor Force

Participation Rate (1)

Atherton

Belmont

Brisbane

Burlingame

Daly CityColma

East Palo Alto

Foster City

Half Moon Bay Region

Hillsborough

Menlo Park

Millbrae

Pacifica

Portola Valley

Redwood City

San Bruno

San Carlos

San Mateo

South Coast

South San Francisco

Woodside

40

77

100

65

74

71

63

69

52

69

62

78

66

69

77

72

71

54

73

56

(1) Labor force participation rates (LFPRs) are for

families with children under age six with two

working parents or a single parent who works Sources American Community Survey 2014 5-Year

Survey Brion Economics Inc

Prepared by Brion Economics Inc 2513-SMC NA Final Tables 61216 6122016

  • 2513-SMC FINAL NA Memo-61216
  • 2513-SMC NA Final Tables 61216
Page 12: Final San Mateo County Child Care Needs … Care...Future C hild Care Demand and Supply in 2025 in Daly City/Colma San Mateo County Child Care Study - 2016 Note: All footnote references

2015 2025 CHANGE 2015 to 2025

Children 4 and Under

Under 2 2 to 4 as of Total Under 2 2 to 4 Under 2 2 to 4

CityArea Years Old Year Olds Total Population Years Old Year Olds Total Years Old Year Olds Total

Atherton 105 185 290 41 109 193 302 4 8 12

Belmont 708 1045 1753 66 743 1095 1838 35 50 85

Brisbane 125 166 292 66 131 174 305 6 8 13

Burlingame 824 1216 2040 65 903 1332 2235 79 117 195

Daly CityColma 2495 3575 6070 55 2647 3793 6440 153 218 370

East Palo Alto 1046 1667 2713 93 1161 1849 3010 115 183 297

Foster City 836 1277 2113 68 871 1330 2201 35 54 89

Half Moon Bay Region (1) 511 860 1371 61 553 929 1482 41 70 111

Hillsborough 138 331 469 43 143 343 487 5 12 17

Menlo Park (2) 1170 1723 2893 71 1327 1954 3281 157 231 388

Millbrae 421 717 1138 50 473 805 1278 52 88 140

Pacifica 787 1253 2040 54 816 1300 2116 29 47 76

Portola Valley 75 187 261 40 77 192 269 2 6 8

Redwood City (2) 3260 4706 7966 73 3725 5378 9103 465 671 1136

San Bruno 1069 1553 2622 60 1189 1728 2917 120 175 295

San Carlos 735 1308 2043 66 778 1384 2162 43 76 119

San Mateo 2943 4213 7156 68 3194 4572 7766 251 359 610

South Coast (3) 21 29 50 57 23 32 55 2 3 5

South San Francisco 1649 2507 4156 62 1835 2790 4625 186 283 469

Woodside 90 160 250 42 93 165 258 3 5 8

Total by Age 19008 28678 47686 64 20790 31340 52130 1783 2662 4444

FINAL

Table 3

Population by Age Group by City 2015 and 2025

San Mateo County Child Care Study - 2016

(1) Half Moon Bay Region includes the City of Half Moon Bay El Granada Montara and Moss Beach

(2) ABAG Projections have 6300 people listed as Remainder population this amount is divided equally between Menlo Park and Redwood City given that they

are surrounded by unincorporated areas

(3) South Coast includes La Honda Loma Mar and Pescadero

Sources 2010 US Census ABAG Projections 2013 Brion Economics Inc

Prepared by Brion Economics Inc 2513-SMC NA Final Tables 61216 6122016

CHANGE 2015 to 2025 2015 2025

Percent that Work Employees that Percent that Work Employees that

Jobs at Jobs at in City and Live Work in City and in City and Live Work in City and

CityArea 2015 2025 2015 to 2025 Change Outside Co Live Outside Co Outside Co Live Outside Co

Atherton 2730 2920 190 70 360 983 360 1051

Belmont 9540 10430 890 93 298 2843 298 3108

Brisbane 7320 7790 470 64 590 4316 590 4593

Burlingame 32040 35250 3210 100 365 11680 365 12850

Daly CityColma 26110 28540 2430 93 404 10540 404 11521

East Palo Alto 2920 3310 390 134 508 1485 508 1683

Foster City 14810 16190 1380 93 412 6108 412 6677

Half Moon Bay Region (1) 7830 8410 580 74 135 1060 135 1138

Hillsborough 1950 2080 130 67 280 546 280 583

Menlo Park 31920 34390 2470 77 576 18390 576 19813

Millbrae 7480 8370 890 119 308 2304 308 2578

Pacifica 6210 6650 440 71 242 1504 242 1611

Portola Valley 2060 2200 140 68 334 689 334 736

Redwood City 71460 80430 8970 126 480 34317 480 38624

San Bruno 13800 15390 1590 115 370 5106 370 5695

San Carlos 18100 19650 1550 86 348 6295 348 6834

San Mateo 58680 66400 7720 132 329 19314 329 21855

South Coast (2) 0 0 0 00 149 0 149 0

South San Francisco 47380 51760 4380 92 467 22128 467 24173

Woodside 2520 2660 140 56 281 708 281 747

SF Airport (3) 7870 8960 1090 139 467 3676 467 4185

Remainder (3) 2210 2460 250 113 135 299 135 333

Total Employment 374940 414240 39300 105 412 154289 411 170387

FINAL

Table 4

Employment Growth and Employee Residence by City 2015 and 2025

San Mateo County Child Care Study - 2016

Note This analysis uses the published projections prepared by ABAG from ldquoProjections 2013rdquo and the cities including their sphere of influence or SOI This is done for consistency purposes While individual cities may be planning for additional growth not included in ABAGrsquos forecast (such as Menlo Park and East Palo Alto) it was decided that the consistency of using one data source was more important Thus these estimates could be considered

conservative

(1) For employment Half Moon Bay Region includes all of the City of Half Moon Bay and Unincorporated Half Moon Bay as defined by ABAG

(2) No data on employment is available through ABAG for the South Coast area

(3) SF Airport and Remainder are groupings by ABAG We listed them separately as SF Airport has no residential population

Sources ABAG Projections 2013 Brion Economics Inc

Prepared by Brion Economics Inc 2513-SMC NA Final Tables 61216 6122016

Under 2 2 to 4 Year Total CityArea as of

CityArea Years Old Olds Supply Total Supply

Atherton 29 273 302 13

Belmont 106 615 722 31

Brisbane 4 69 73 03

Burlingame 119 965 1085 47

Daly CityColma 372 1626 1997 87

East Palo Alto 110 739 849 37

Foster City 206 1349 1555 68

Half Moon Bay Region (1) 131 406 536 23

Hillsborough 5 97 102 04

Menlo Park (2) 149 1427 1576 69

Millbrae 62 454 517 22

Pacifica 116 798 914 40

Portola Valley 0 153 153 07

Redwood City (2) 752 2533 3285 143

San Bruno 148 1336 1484 65

San Carlos 149 707 855 37

San Mateo 701 3196 3897 169

South Coast (3) 0 54 54 02

South San Francisco 652 2283 2935 128

Woodside 4 108 112 05

Total 3815 19189 23003 1000

FINAL

Table 5

Child Care Supply Summary Table for 2015

San Mateo County Child Care Study - 2016

Note Totals may be off slightly due to rounding

(1) Half Moon Bay Region includes the City of Half Moon Bay El Granada Montara

and Moss Beach

(2) ABAG Projections have 6300 people listed as Remainder population this

amount is divided equally between Menlo Park and Redwood City given that

they are surrounded by unincorporated areas

(3) South Coast includes La Honda Loma Mar and Pescadero

Sources Child Care Coordinating Council of San Mateo County (4Cs) Community

Care Licensing Brion Economics Inc

Prepared by Brion Economics Inc 2513-SMC NA Final Tables 61216 6122016

2015 2025

CityArea as CityArea as

Under 2 2 to 4 Year Total of Total Under 2 2 to 4 Total of Total

CityArea Years Old Olds Demand Demand Years Old Year Olds Demand Demand

Atherton 27 165 192 06 29 173 201 05

Belmont 237 950 1187 35 250 999 1249 34

Brisbane 98 231 329 10 103 243 346 09

Burlingame 338 1236 1574 47 371 1356 1726 47

Daly CityColma 811 3237 4048 120 865 3441 4306 116

East Palo Alto 292 1419 1711 51 324 1575 1900 51

Foster City 268 1145 1414 42 283 1199 1483 40

Half Moon Bay Region (1) 144 742 885 26 155 802 957 26

Hillsborough 33 282 315 09 34 292 327 09

Menlo Park (2) 516 1790 2306 68 573 2011 2584 70

Millbrae 124 640 764 23 139 718 857 23

Pacifica 244 1117 1360 40 254 1159 1413 38

Portola Valley 26 171 198 06 28 177 204 06

Redwood City (2) 1241 4567 5808 172 1411 5208 6619 179

San Bruno 364 1418 1782 53 405 1578 1983 54

San Carlos 270 1222 1492 44 288 1297 1585 43

San Mateo 1003 3886 4889 145 1099 4233 5332 144

South Coast (3) 4 23 28 01 5 26 30 01

South San Francisco 755 2588 3343 99 835 2874 3709 100

Woodside 27 141 168 05 28 146 174 05

Total 6821 26971 33792 1000 7478 29506 36984 1000

FINAL

Table 6

Child Care Demand Summary Table for 2015 and 2025

San Mateo County Child Care Study - 2016

(1) Half Moon Bay Region includes the City of Half Moon Bay El Granada Montara and Moss Beach

(2) ABAG Projections have 6300 people listed as Remainder population this amount is divided equally between Menlo Park

and Redwood City given that they are surrounded by unincorporated areas

(3) South Coast includes La Honda Loma Mar and Pescadero

Sources 2010 US Census ABAG Projections 2013 Brion Economics Inc

Prepared by Brion Economics Inc 2513-SMC NA Final Tables 61216 6122016

No of Non- No of Employee

Resident No of 0 to 2 No of 3 to 4 Children Needing

CityArea Assumptions Employees Year Olds Year Olds Licensed Care

Estimated Percent of Employees

Needing Licensed Care (1) 300 40 60 100

Atherton 983 12 18 29

Belmont 2843 34 51 85

Brisbane 4316 52 78 129

Burlingame 11680 140 211 350

Daly CityColma 10540 126 190 316

East Palo Alto 1485 18 27 45

Foster City 6108 73 110 183

Half Moon Bay Region (2) 1060 13 19 32

Hillsborough 546 7 10 16

Menlo Park 18390 220 332 552

Millbrae 2304 28 42 69

Pacifica 1504 18 27 45

Portola Valley 689 8 12 21

Redwood City 34317 410 619 1029

San Bruno 5106 61 92 153

San Carlos 6295 75 114 189

San Mateo 19314 231 348 579

South Coast (3) 0 0 0 0

South San Francisco 22128 265 399 664

Woodside 708 8 13 21

SF Airport (4) 3676 44 66 110

Remainder (4) 299 4 5 9

Total Countywide 154289 1845 2784 4629

FINAL

Table 7

Employee Demand Summary Table for 2015

San Mateo County Child Care Study - 2016

Note Totals may be off slightly due to rounding

(1) We are assuming 3 of employees children require licensed care the breakdown of demand for infant and

preschool spaces is based on the percentage of infants and preschoolers who currently reside in San Mateo

County

(2) Half Moon Bay Region includes the City of Half Moon Bay El Granada Montara and Moss Beach

(3) South Coast includes La Honda Loma Mar and Pescadero

(4) SF Airport and Remainder are groupings by ABAG For employment SF Airport demand is attributed to South San

Francisco and Remainder demand is included with Redwood City

Sources 2010 US Census ABAG Projections 2013 2014 5-Year American Community Survey Journey-To-Work Data

Brion Economics Inc

Prepared by Brion Economics Inc 2513-SMC NA Final Tables 61216 6122016

No of Non- No of Employee

Resident No of 0 to 2 No of 3 to 4 Children Needing

CityArea Assumptions Employees Year Olds Year Olds Licensed Care

Estimated Percent of Employees

Needing Licensed Care (1) 300 40 60 100

Atherton 1051 13 19 32

Belmont 3108 37 56 93

Brisbane 4593 55 83 138

Burlingame 12850 154 232 385

Daly CityColma 11521 138 208 346

East Palo Alto 1683 20 30 50

Foster City 6677 80 120 200

Half Moon Bay Region (2) 1138 14 21 34

Hillsborough 583 7 11 17

Menlo Park 19813 237 357 594

Millbrae 2578 31 47 77

Pacifica 1611 19 29 48

Portola Valley 736 9 13 22

Redwood City 38624 462 697 1159

San Bruno 5695 68 103 171

San Carlos 6834 82 123 205

San Mateo 21855 261 394 656

South Coast (3) 0 0 0 0

South San Francisco 24173 289 436 725

Woodside 747 9 13 22

SF Airport (4) 4185 50 75 126

Remainder (4) 333 4 6 10

Total Countywide 170387 2037 3074 5112

FINAL

Table 8

Employee Demand Summary Table for 2025

San Mateo County Child Care Study - 2016

Note Totals may be off slightly due to rounding

(1) We are assuming 3 of employees children require licensed care the breakdown of demand for infant and

preschool spaces is based on the percentage of infants and preschoolers who currently reside in San Mateo County

(2) Half Moon Bay Region includes the City of Half Moon Bay El Granada Montara and Moss Beach

(3) South Coast includes La Honda Loma Mar and Pescadero

(4) SF Airport and Remainder are groupings by ABAG For employment SF Airport demand is attributed to South San

Francisco and Remainder demand is included with Redwood City

Sources 2010 US Census ABAG Projections 2013 2014 5-Year American Community Survey Journey-To-Work Data

Brion Economics Inc

Prepared by Brion Economics Inc 2513-SMC NA Final Tables 61216 6122016

2015

Surplus(Shortage) of Infant Surplus(Shortage) of Preschool Total Total

CityArea of Infant Spaces Demand Met of Preschool Spaces Demand Met Surplus(Shortage) Demand Met

Atherton 2 107 108 165 110 157

Belmont (130) 45 (335) 65 (465) 61

Brisbane (94) 4 (162) 30 (255) 22

Burlingame (219) 35 (271) 78 (489) 69

Daly CityColma (439) 46 (1612) 50 (2051) 49

East Palo Alto (182) 38 (680) 52 (862) 50

Foster City (62) 77 203 118 141 110

Half Moon Bay Region (1) (13) 91 (336) 55 (349) 61

Hillsborough (28) 15 (185) 34 (213) 32

Menlo Park (2) (367) 29 (363) 80 (730) 68

Millbrae (61) 50 (186) 71 (247) 0

Pacifica (128) 48 (319) 71 (447) 67

Portola Valley (26) 0 (18) 89 (45) 77

Redwood City (2) (490) 61 (2034) 55 (2524) 57

San Bruno (216) 41 (82) 94 (298) 83

San Carlos (121) 55 (516) 58 (637) 57

San Mateo (302) 70 (690) 82 (992) 80

South Coast (3) (4) 0 31 230 26 195

South San Francisco (103) 86 (306) 88 (408) 88

Woodside (23) 16 (33) 77 (55) 67

Countywide (3006) 56 (7783) 71 (10789) 68

FINAL

Table 9

Summary of Demand Met by Existing Facilities in Each Community at 2015

San Mateo County Child Care Study - 2016

Note Totals may be off slightly due to rounding

(1) Half Moon Bay Region includes the City of Half Moon Bay El Granada Montara and Moss Beach

(2) ABAG Projections have 6300 people listed as Remainder population this amount is divided equally between Menlo Park and Redwood

City given that they are surrounded by unincorporated areas

(3) South Coast includes La Honda Loma Mar and Pescadero

Sources 2010 US Census ABAG Projections 2013 Brion Economics Inc

Prepared by Brion Economics Inc 2513-SMC NA Final Tables 61216 6122016

2025

Surplus(Shortage) of Infant Surplus(Shortage) of Preschool Total Total

CityArea of Infant Spaces Demand Met of Preschool Spaces Demand Met Surplus(Shortage) Demand Met

Atherton 0 101 101 158 101 150

Belmont (143) 43 (384) 62 (527) 58

Brisbane (99) 4 (174) 29 (273) 21

Burlingame (252) 32 (390) 71 (642) 63

Daly CityColma (493) 43 (1816) 47 (2308) 46

East Palo Alto (215) 34 (836) 47 (1050) 45

Foster City (77) 73 150 112 73 105

Half Moon Bay Region (1) (24) 84 (396) 51 (421) 56

Hillsborough (29) 14 (195) 33 (225) 31

Menlo Park (2) (424) 26 (584) 71 (1008) 61

Millbrae (76) 45 (264) 63 (340) 60

Pacifica (138) 46 (361) 69 (499) 65

Portola Valley (28) 0 (24) 87 (51) 75

Redwood City (2) (660) 53 (2674) 49 (3334) 50

San Bruno (257) 37 (242) 85 (499) 75

San Carlos (139) 52 (590) 54 (729) 54

San Mateo (398) 64 (1037) 75 (1435) 73

South Coast (3) (5) 0 28 209 24 177

South San Francisco (183) 78 (591) 79 (775) 79

Woodside (24) 15 (38) 74 (61) 65

Countywide (3663) 51 (10318) 65 (13981) 62

FINAL

Table 10

Summary of Demand Met by Existing Facilities in Each Community at 2025

San Mateo County Child Care Study - 2016

Note Totals may be off slightly due to rounding

(1) Half Moon Bay Region includes the City of Half Moon Bay El Granada Montara and Moss Beach

(2) ABAG Projections have 6300 people listed as Remainder population this amount is divided equally between Menlo Park and Redwood

City given that they are surrounded by unincorporated areas

(3) South Coast includes La Honda Loma Mar and Pescadero

Sources 2010 US Census ABAG Projections 2013 Brion Economics Inc

Prepared by Brion Economics Inc 2513-SMC NA Final Tables 61216 6122016

Table 11

Number of Child Care Providers by City in 2015

San Mateo County Child Care Study - 2016

Family Child Licensed

CityArea Care Homes Centers Total

Atherton 1 6 7

Belmont 18 9 27

Brisbane 1 1 2

Burlingame 21 14 35

Daly CityColma 85 28 113

East Palo Alto 21 6 27

Foster City 29 12 41

Half Moon Bay Region (1) 28 11 39

Hillsborough 1 4 5

Menlo Park (2) 18 25 43

Millbrae 17 7 24

Pacifica 21 18 39

Portola Valley 0 4 4

Redwood City (2) 111 45 156

San Bruno 34 15 49

San Carlos 20 14 34

San Mateo 126 59 185

South Coast (3) 0 2 2

South San Francisco 68 27 95

Woodside 1 2 3

Countywide 621 309 930

FINAL

(1) Half Moon Bay Region includes the City of Half Moon Bay El Granada

Montara and Moss Beach

(2) ABAG Projections have 6300 people listed as Remainder population

this amount is divided equally between Menlo Park and Redwood City

given that they are surrounded by unincorporated areas

(3) South Coast includes La Honda Loma Mar and Pescadero

Sources Child Care Coordinating Council of San Mateo County (4Cs)

Community Care Licensing Brion Economics Inc

Prepared by Brion Economics Inc 2513-SMC NA Final Tables 61216 6122016

CityArea

Shortage

Infant

Center

Spaces

Infant care

Percentage

of Shortage

Shortage

Preschool

Center

Spaces

Preschool

Percentage

of Shortage

Total Center-

Based Space

Shortage

Atherton

Belmont

Brisbane

Burlingame

Daly CityColma

East Palo Alto

Foster City

Half Moon Bay Region

Hillsborough

Menlo Park

Millbrae

Pacifica

Portola Valley

Redwood City

San Bruno

San Carlos

San Mateo

South Coast

South San Francisco

Woodside

Countywide

NA

(48)

NA

(73)

(99)

(42)

(27)

(3)

NA

(180)

0

(43)

(26)

(232)

(38)

(62)

(90)

(2)

(63)

NA

NA

14

NA

23

7

7

100

1

NA

35

0

13

59

12

34

12

14

NA

19

NA

NA

(289)

(149)

(243)

(1253)

(582)

NA

(236)

(173)

(338)

(154)

(280)

(18)

(1635)

(73)

(449)

(557)

NA

(263)

(31)

NA

86

100

77

93

93

NA

99

100

65

100

87

41

88

66

88

86

NA

81

100

NA

(337)

(149)

(316)

(1352)

(623)

(27)

(240)

(173)

(518)

(154)

(323)

(45)

(1867)

(110)

(511)

(647)

(2)

(326)

(31)

(1193) 15 (6609) 85 (7802)

FINAL

Table 12

Summary of Shortage of Child Care Center Spaces by Age - 2015

San Mateo County Child Care Study - 2016

Sources Child Care Coordinating Council of San Mateo County (4Cs) Community Care Licensing

Brion Economics Inc

Prepared by Brion Economics Inc 2513-SMC NA Final Tables 61216 6122016

CityArea

Shortage

Infant Center

Spaces

Infant care

Percentage

of Shortage

Shortage

Preschool

Center

Spaces

Preschool

Percentage

of Shortage

Total Center-

Based Space

Shortage

Atherton

Belmont

Brisbane

Burlingame

Daly CityColma

East Palo Alto

Foster City

Half Moon Bay Region

Hillsborough

Menlo Park

Millbrae

Pacifica

Portola Valley

Redwood City

San Bruno

San Carlos

San Mateo

South Coast

South San Francisco

Woodside

Countywide

NA

(53)

NA

(85)

(111)

(49)

(33)

(6)

NA

(207)

0

(46)

(28)

(313)

(45)

(71)

(119)

(5)

(113)

0

NA

14

NA

19

7

6

100

2

NA

28

0

13

54

13

17

12

12

NA

18

NA

NA

(331)

(160)

(350)

(1412)

(715)

NA

(279)

(183)

(544)

(219)

(317)

(24)

(2149)

(214)

(514)

(837)

NA

(509)

(36)

NA

86

100

81

93

94

NA

98

100

72

100

87

46

87

83

88

88

NA

82

100

NA

(384)

(160)

(434)

(1523)

(764)

(33)

(285)

(183)

(752)

(219)

(364)

(51)

(2462)

(259)

(585)

(955)

(5)

(622)

(36)

(1454) 14 (8762) 86 (10216)

FINAL

Table 13

Summary of Shortage of Child Care Center Spaces by Age - 2025

San Mateo County Child Care Study - 2016

Sources Child Care Coordinating Council of San Mateo County (4Cs) Community Care Licensing

Brion Economics Inc

Prepared by Brion Economics Inc 2513-SMC NA Final Tables 61216 6122016

COUNTYWIDE

Child Care as of 2015

No of

Providers

Under 2 Years

Old

2 to 4 Year

Olds

Total 0 to 4

Years

EXISTING DEMAND Child Care Demand

Estimated Total Children

Average LFPRAdjustment Factor

Children With Working Parents

Licensed Care Demand Factor

Resident Children Needing Licensed Care

of Total Resident Children Needing Licensed Care

Children from Non-Resident Employees Needing

Licensed Care

Total Demand for Child Care Spaces

Distribution

EXISTING SUPPLY

(1)

(2)

(3)

(4)

19008 28678

71

13449 25720

37

4976 24188

26 84

1845 2784

6821 26971

20 80

Child Care Spaces

47686

39169

86

29164

61

4629

33792

100

Family Child Care Home Supply

Child Care Center Supply

Current Child Care Supply

Distribution

EXISTING SURPLUS(SHORTAGE)

Distribution

Percentage of Demand Met

by Existing FacilitiesSpaces

Shortage of Family Child Care Home Spaces

Shortage of Center-Based Spaces

(5)

(6)

(6)

621

309 -930

2301 2893

1514 16296 - -3815 19189

17 83

(3006) (7783)

28 72

56 71

(1813) (1173)

(1193) (6609)

5193

17810 -23003

100

(10789)

100

68

(2986)

(7802)

FINAL

Table A-1

Existing Child Care Demand and Supply in 2015 Countywide

San Mateo County Child Care Study - 2016

Note All footnote references can be found in Table C-1 at the end of this file

Sources 2010 US Census ABAG Projections 2013 2014 American Community Survey ACS Journey-to-Work data 2006-2008 and 2006-2010

Child Care Coordinating Council of San Mateo County (4Cs) Community Care Licensing Brion Economics Inc

Prepared by Brion Economics Inc 2513-SMC NA Final Tables 61216 6122016

ATHERTON

Child Care as of 2015

No of

Providers

Under 2 Years

Old

2 to 4 Year

Olds

Total 0 to 4

Years

EXISTING DEMAND Child Care Demand

Estimated Total Children

Average LFPRAdjustment Factor

Children With Working Parents

Licensed Care Demand Factor

Resident Children Needing Licensed Care

of Total Resident Children Needing Licensed Care

Children from Non-Resident Employees Needing

Licensed Care

(1)

(2)

(3)

105 185

40

42 153

37

15 147

15 80

12 18

290

194

84

163

56

29

Total Demand for Child Care Spaces

Distribution

EXISTING SUPPLY (4)

27 165

14 86

Child Care Spaces

192

100

Family Child Care Home Supply

Child Care Center Supply

Current Child Care Supply

Distribution

EXISTING SURPLUS(SHORTAGE)

Distribution

Percentage of Demand Met

by Existing FacilitiesSpaces

Shortage of Family Child Care Home Spaces

Shortage of Center-Based Spaces

(5)

(6)

(6)

1

6

7

5 6

24 267

29 273

10 90

2 108

2 98

107 165

NA NA

NA NA

11

291

302

100

110

100

157

NA

NA

FINAL

Table A-2

Existing Child Care Demand and Supply in 2015 in Atherton

San Mateo Co unty Child Care Study - 2016

Note All footnote references can be found in Table C-1 at the end of this file

Sources 2010 US Census ABAG Projections 2013 2014 American Community Survey ACS Journey-to-Work data 2006-2008 and 2006-2010

Child Care Coordinating Council of San Mateo County (4Cs) Community Care Licensing Brion Economics Inc

Prepared by Brion Economics Inc 2513-SMC NA Final Tables 61216 6122016

BELMONT

Child Care as of 2015

No of

Providers

Under 2 Years

Old

2 to 4 Year

Olds

Total 0 to 4

Years

EXISTING DEMAND Child Care Demand

Estimated Total Children

Average LFPRAdjustment Factor

Children With Working Parents

Licensed Care Demand Factor

Resident Children Needing Licensed Care

of Total Resident Children Needing Licensed Care

Children from Non-Resident Employees Needing

Licensed Care

(1)

(2)

(3)

708 1045

77

548 966

37

203 899

29 86

34 51

1753

1513

73

1102

63

85

Total Demand for Child Care Spaces

Distribution

EXISTING SUPPLY (4)

237 950

20 80

Child Care Spaces

1187

100

Family Child Care Home Supply

Child Care Center Supply

Current Child Care Supply

Distribution

EXISTING SURPLUS(SHORTAGE)

Distribution

Percentage of Demand Met

by Existing FacilitiesSpaces

Shortage of Family Child Care Home Spaces

Shortage of Center-Based Spaces

(5)

(6)

(6)

18

9

27

67 84

39 531

106 615

15 85

(130) (335)

28 72

45 65

(83) (46)

(48) (289)

152

570

722

100

(465)

100

61

(128)

(337)

FINAL

Table A-3

Existing Child Care Demand and Supply in 2015 in Belmont

San Mateo County Child Care Study - 2016

Note All footnote references can be found in Table C-1 at the end of this file Sources 2010 US Census ABAG Projections 2013 2014 American Community Survey ACS Journey-to-Work data 2006-2008 and

2006-2010 Child Care Coordinating Council of San Mateo County (4Cs) Community Care Licensing Brion Economics Inc

Prepared by Brion Economics Inc 2513-SMC NA Final Tables 61216 6122016

FINAL

Table A-4

Existing Child Care Demand and Supply in 2015 in Brisbane

San Mateo County Child Care Study - 2016

BRISBANE

Child Care as of 2015

No of

Providers

Under 2 Years

Old

2 to 4 Year

Olds

Total 0 to 4

Years

EXISTING DEMAND Child Care Demand

Estimated Total Children (1) 125 166 292

Average LFPRAdjustment Factor (2) 100

Children With Working Parents 125 166 292

Licensed Care Demand Factor (3) 37 68

Resident Children Needing Licensed Care 46 153 199

of Total Resident Children Needing Licensed Care 37 92 68

Children from Non-Resident Employees Needing

Licensed Care 52 78 129

Total Demand for Child Care Spaces 98 231 329

Distribution 30 70 100

EXISTING SUPPLY (4) Child Care Spaces

Family Child Care Home Supply 1 4 5 9

Child Care Center Supply 1 - 64 64

Current Child Care Supply 2 4 69 73

Distribution 6 94 100

EXISTING SURPLUS(SHORTAGE) (94) (162) (255)

Distribution 37 63 100

Percentage of Demand Met

by Existing FacilitiesSpaces (5) 4 30 22

Shortage of Family Child Care Home Spaces (6) (94) (12) (106)

Shortage of Center-Based Spaces (6) 0 (149) (149)

Note All footnote references can be found in Table C-1 at the end of this file

Sources 2010 US Census ABAG Projections 2013 2014 American Community Survey ACS Journey-to-Work data 2006-2008 and 2006-2010

Child Care Coordinating Council of San Mateo County (4Cs) Community Care Licensing Brion Economics Inc

Prepared by Brion Economics Inc 2513-SMC NA Final Tables 61216 6122016

BURLINGAME

Child Care as of 2015

No of

Providers

Under 2 Years

Old

2 to 4 Year

Olds

Total 0 to 4

Years

EXISTING DEMAND Child Care Demand

Estimated Total Children

Average LFPRAdjustment Factor

Children With Working Parents

Licensed Care Demand Factor

Resident Children Needing Licensed Care

of Total Resident Children Needing Licensed Care

Children from Non-Resident Employees Needing

Licensed Care

(1)

(2)

(3)

824 1216

65

535 1086

37

198 1025

24 84

140 211

2040

1621

75

1224

60

350

Total Demand for Child Care Spaces

Distribution

EXISTING SUPPLY (4)

338 1236

21 79

Child Care Spaces

1574

100

Family Child Care Home Supply

Child Care Center Supply

Current Child Care Supply

Distribution

EXISTING SURPLUS(SHORTAGE)

Distribution

Percentage of Demand Met

by Existing FacilitiesSpaces

Shortage of Family Child Care Home Spaces

Shortage of Center-Based Spaces

(5)

(6)

(6)

21

14

35

79 99

40 866

119 965

11 89

(219) (271)

45 55

35 78

(145) (28)

(73) (243)

179

906

1085

100

(489)

100

69

(173)

(316)

FINAL

Table A-5

Existing Child Care Demand and Supply in 2015 in Burlingame

San Mateo County Child Care Study - 2016

Note All footnote references can be found in Table C-1 at the end of this file

Sources 2010 US Census ABAG Projections 2013 2014 American Community Survey ACS Journey-to-Work data 2006-2008 and 2006-2010

Child Care Coordinating Council of San Mateo County (4Cs) Community Care Licensing Brion Economics Inc

Prepared by Brion Economics Inc 2513-SMC NA Final Tables 61216 6122016

DALY CITYCOLMA

Child Care as of 2015

No of

Providers

Under 2 Years

Old

2 to 4 Year

Olds

Total 0 to 4

Years

EXISTING DEMAND Child Care Demand

Estimated Total Children

Average LFPRAdjustment Factor

Children With Working Parents

Licensed Care Demand Factor

Resident Children Needing Licensed Care

of Total Resident Children Needing Licensed Care

Children from Non-Resident Employees Needing

Licensed Care

(1)

(2)

(3)

2495 3575

742

1851 3268

37

685 3047

27 85

126 190

6070

5119

73

3732

61

316

Total Demand for Child Care Spaces

Distribution

EXISTING SUPPLY (4)

811 3237

20 80

Child Care Spaces

4048

100

Family Child Care Home Supply

Child Care Center Supply

Current Child Care Supply

Distribution

EXISTING SURPLUS(SHORTAGE)

Distribution

Percentage of Demand Met

by Existing FacilitiesSpaces

Shortage of Family Child Care Home Spaces

Shortage of Center-Based Spaces

(5)

(6)

(6)

85

28

113

288 362

84 1264

372 1626

19 81

(439) (1612)

21 79

46 50

(340) (359)

(99) (1253)

649

1348

1997

100

(2051)

100

49

(698)

(1352)

FINAL

Table A-6

Existing Child Care Demand and Supply in 2015 in Daly CityColma

San Mateo Co unty Child Care Study - 2016

Note All footnote references can be found in Table C-1 at the end of this file

Sources 2010 US Census ABAG Projections 2013 2014 American Community Survey ACS Journey-to-Work data 2006-2008 and 2006-2010

Child Care Coordinating Council of San Mateo County (4Cs) Community Care Licensing Brion Economics Inc

Prepared by Brion Economics Inc 2513-SMC NA Final Tables 61216 6122016

EAST PALO ALTO

Child Care as of 2015

No of

Providers

Under 2 Years

Old

2 to 4 Year

Olds

Total 0 to 4

Years

EXISTING DEMAND Child Care Demand

Estimated Total Children

Average LFPRAdjustment Factor

Children With Working Parents

Licensed Care Demand Factor

Resident Children Needing Licensed Care

of Total Resident Children Needing Licensed Care

Children from Non-Resident Employees Needing

Licensed Care

(1)

(2)

(3)

1046 1667

71

741 1496

37

274 1392

26 84

18 27

2713

2237

75

1666

61

45

Total Demand for Child Care Spaces

Distribution

EXISTING SUPPLY (4)

292 1419

17 83

Child Care Spaces

1711

100

Family Child Care Home Supply

Child Care Center Supply

Current Child Care Supply

Distribution

EXISTING SURPLUS(SHORTAGE)

Distribution

Percentage of Demand Met

by Existing FacilitiesSpaces

Shortage of Family Child Care Home Spaces

Shortage of Center-Based Spaces

(5)

(6)

(6)

21

6

27

85 106

25 633

110 739

13 87

(182) (680)

21 79

38 52

(141) (98)

(42) (582)

191

658

849

100

(862)

100

50

(239)

(623)

FINAL

Table A-7

Existing Child Care Demand and Supply in 2015 in East Palo Alto

San Mateo County Child Care Study - 2016

Note All footnote references can be found in Table C-1 at the end of this file Sources 2010 US Census ABAG Projections 2013 2014 American Community Survey ACS Journey-to-Work data 2006-2008 and 2006-2010

Child Care Coordinating Council of San Mateo County (4Cs) Community Care Licensing Brion Economics Inc

Prepared by Brion Economics Inc 2513-SMC NA Final Tables 61216 6122016

FOSTER CITY

Child Care as of 2015

No of

Providers

Under 2 Years

Old

2 to 4 Year

Olds

Total 0 to 4

Years

EXISTING DEMAND Child Care Demand

Estimated Total Children

Average LFPRAdjustment Factor

Children With Working Parents

Licensed Care Demand Factor

Resident Children Needing Licensed Care

of Total Resident Children Needing Licensed Care

Children from Non-Resident Employees Needing

Licensed Care

(1)

(2)

(3)

836 1277

63

528 1108

37

195 1035

23 81

73 110

2113

1636

75

1231

58

183

Total Demand for Child Care Spaces

Distribution

EXISTING SUPPLY (4)

268 1145

19 81

Child Care Spaces

1414

100

Family Child Care Home Supply

Child Care Center Supply

Current Child Care Supply

Distribution

EXISTING SURPLUS(SHORTAGE)

Distribution

Percentage of Demand Met

by Existing FacilitiesSpaces

Shortage of Family Child Care Home Spaces

Shortage of Center-Based Spaces

(5)

(6)

(6)

29

12

41

118 149

88 1200

206 1349

13 87

(62) 203

NA NA

77 118

(36) NA

(27) NA

267

1288

1555

100

141

NA

110

(36)

(27)

FINAL

Table A-8

Existing Child Care Demand and Supply in 2015 in Foster City

San Mateo County Child Care Study - 2016

Note All footnote references can be found in Table C-1 at the end of this file

Sources 2010 US Census ABAG Projections 2013 2014 American Community Survey ACS Journey-to-Work data 2006-2008 and 2006-2010

Child Care Coordinating Council of San Mateo County (4Cs) Community Care Licensing Brion Economics Inc

Prepared by Brion Economics Inc 2513-SMC NA Final Tables 61216 6122016

HALF MOON BAY REGION

Child Care as of 2015

No of

Providers

Under 2 Years

Old

2 to 4 Year

Olds

Total 0 to 4

Years

EXISTING DEMAND Child Care Demand

Estimated Total Children

Average LFPRAdjustment Factor

Children With Working Parents

Licensed Care Demand Factor

Resident Children Needing Licensed Care

of Total Resident Children Needing Licensed Care

Children from Non-Resident Employees Needing

Licensed Care

(1)

(2)

(3)

511 860

69

354 772

37

131 723

26 84

13 19

1371

1126

76

854

62

32

Total Demand for Child Care Spaces

Distribution

EXISTING SUPPLY (4)

144 742

16 84

Child Care Spaces

885

100

Family Child Care Home Supply

Child Care Center Supply

Current Child Care Supply

Distribution

EXISTING SURPLUS(SHORTAGE)

Distribution

Percentage of Demand Met

by Existing FacilitiesSpaces

Shortage of Family Child Care Home Spaces

Shortage of Center-Based Spaces

(5)

(6)

(6)

28

11

39

96 121

35 285

131 406

24 76

(13) (336)

4 96

91 55

(9) (100)

(3) (236)

216

320

536

100

(349)

100

61

(109)

(240)

FINAL

Table A-9

Existing Child Care Demand and Supply in 2015 in Half Moon Bay Region

San Mateo County Child Care Study - 2016

Note All footnote references can be found in Table C-1 at the end of this file

Sources 2010 US Census ABAG Projections 2013 2014 American Community Survey ACS Journey-to-Work data 2006-2008 and 2006-2010

Child Care Coordinating Council of San Mateo County (4Cs) Community Care Licensing Brion Economics Inc

Prepared by Brion Economics Inc 2513-SMC NA Final Tables 61216 6122016

HILLSBOROUGH

Child Care as of 2015

No of

Providers

Under 2 Years

Old

2 to 4 Year

Olds

Total 0 to 4

Years

EXISTING DEMAND Child Care Demand

Estimated Total Children

Average LFPRAdjustment Factor

Children With Working Parents

Licensed Care Demand Factor

Resident Children Needing Licensed Care

of Total Resident Children Needing Licensed Care

Children from Non-Resident Employees Needing

Licensed Care

(1)

(2)

(3)

138 331

52

71 284

37

26 272

19 82

7 10

469

356

84

298

64

16

Total Demand for Child Care Spaces

Distribution

EXISTING SUPPLY (4)

33 282

10 90

Child Care Spaces

315

100

Family Child Care Home Supply

Child Care Center Supply

Current Child Care Supply

Distribution

EXISTING SURPLUS(SHORTAGE)

Distribution

Percentage of Demand Met

by Existing FacilitiesSpaces

Shortage of Family Child Care Home Spaces

Shortage of Center-Based Spaces

(5)

(6)

(6)

1

4

5

5 6

- 91

5 97

5 95

(28) (185)

13 87

15 34

(28) (12)

0 (173)

11

91

102

100

(213)

100

32

(40)

(173)

FINAL

Table A-10

Existing Child Care Demand and Supply in 2015 in Hillsborough

San Mateo County Child Care Study - 2016

Note All footnote references can be found in Table C-1 at the end of this file Sources 2010 US Census ABAG Projections 2013 2014 American Community Survey ACS Journey-to-Work data 2006-2008 and 2006-2010

Child Care Coordinating Council of San Mateo County (4Cs) Community Care Licensing Brion Economics Inc

Prepared by Brion Economics Inc 2513-SMC NA Final Tables 61216 6122016

MENLO PARK

Child Care as of 2015

No of

Providers

Under 2 Years

Old

2 to 4 Year

Olds

Total 0 to 4

Years

EXISTING DEMAND Child Care Demand

Estimated Total Children

Average LFPRAdjustment Factor

Children With Working Parents

Licensed Care Demand Factor

Resident Children Needing Licensed Care

of Total Resident Children Needing Licensed Care

Children from Non-Resident Employees Needing

Licensed Care

(1)

(2)

(3)

1170 1723

69

802 1551

37

297 1458

25 85

220 332

2893

2353

75

1754

61

552

Total Demand for Child Care Spaces

Distribution

EXISTING SUPPLY (4)

516 1790

22 78

Child Care Spaces

2306

100

Family Child Care Home Supply

Child Care Center Supply

Current Child Care Supply

Distribution

EXISTING SURPLUS(SHORTAGE)

Distribution

Percentage of Demand Met

by Existing FacilitiesSpaces

Shortage of Family Child Care Home Spaces

Shortage of Center-Based Spaces

(5)

(6)

(6)

18

25

43

76 96

73 1331

149 1427

9 91

(367) (363)

50 50

29 80

(188) (24)

(180) (338)

172

1404

1576

100

(730)

100

68

(212)

(518)

FINAL

Table A-11

Existing Child Care Demand and Supply in 2015 in Menlo Park

San Mateo County Child Care Study - 2016

Note All footnote references can be found in Table C-1 at the end of this file Sources 2010 US Census ABAG Projections 2013 2014 American Community Survey ACS Journey-to-Work data 2006-2008 and 2006-2010

Child Care Coordinating Council of San Mateo County (4Cs) Community Care Licensing Brion Economics Inc

Prepared by Brion Economics Inc 2513-SMC NA Final Tables 61216 6122016

MILLBRAE

Child Care as of 2015

No of

Providers

Under 2 Years

Old

2 to 4 Year

Olds

Total 0 to 4

Years

EXISTING DEMAND Child Care Demand

Total Children

Average LFPRAdjustment Factor

Children With Working Parents

Licensed Care Demand Factor

Resident Children Needing Licensed Care

of Total Resident Children Needing Licensed Care

Children from Non-Resident Employees Needing

Licensed Care

(1)

(2)

(3)

421 717

62

260 632

37

96 598

23 83

28 42

1138

892

78

694

61

69

Total Demand for Child Care Spaces

Distribution

EXISTING SUPPLY (4)

124 640

16 84

Child Care Spaces

764

100

Family Child Care Home Supply

Child Care Center Supply

Current Child Care Supply

Distribution

EXISTING SURPLUS(SHORTAGE)

Distribution

Percentage of Demand Met

by Existing FacilitiesSpaces

Shortage of Family Child Care Home Spaces

Shortage of Center-Based Spaces

(5)

(6)

(6)

17

7

24

62 78

- 376

62 454

12 88

(61) (186)

25 75

50 71

(61) (32)

0 (154)

141

376

517

100

(247)

100

68

(93)

(154)

FINAL

Table A-12

Existing Child Care Demand and Supply in 2015 in Millbrae

San Mateo Co unty Child Care Study - 2016

Note All footnote references can be found in Table C-1 at the end of this file

Sources 2010 US Census ABAG Projections 2013 2014 American Community Survey ACS Journey-to-Work data 2006-2008 and 2006-2010

Child Care Coordinating Council of San Mateo County (4Cs) Community Care Licensing Brion Economics Inc

Prepared by Brion Economics Inc 2513-SMC NA Final Tables 61216 6122016

PACIFICA

Child Care as of 2015

No of

Providers

Under 2 Years

Old

2 to 4 Year

Olds

Total 0 to 4

Years

EXISTING DEMAND Child Care Demand

Estimated Total Children

Average LFPRAdjustment Factor

Children With Working Parents

Licensed Care Demand Factor

Resident Children Needing Licensed Care

of Total Resident Children Needing Licensed Care

Children from Non-Resident Employees Needing

Licensed Care

(1)

(2)

(3)

787 1253

78

610 1165

37

226 1089

29 87

18 27

2040

1776

74

1315

64

45

Total Demand for Child Care Spaces

Distribution

EXISTING SUPPLY (4)

244 1117

18 83

Child Care Spaces

1360

100

Family Child Care Home Supply

Child Care Center Supply

Current Child Care Supply

Distribution

EXISTING SURPLUS(SHORTAGE)

Distribution

Percentage of Demand Met

by Existing FacilitiesSpaces

Shortage of Family Child Care Home Spaces

Shortage of Center-Based Spaces

(5)

(6)

(6)

21

18

39

77 97

39 701

116 798

13 87

(128) (319)

29 71

48 71

(85) (39)

(43) (280)

174

740

914

100

(447)

100

67

(124)

(323)

FINAL

Table A-13

Existing Child Care Demand and Supply in 2015 in Pacifica

San Mateo County Child Care Study - 2016

Note All footnote references can be found in Table C-1 at the end of this file Sources 2010 US Census ABAG Projections 2013 2014 American Community Survey ACS Journey-to-Work data 2006-2008 and 2006-2010

Child Care Coordinating Council of San Mateo County (4Cs) Community Care Licensing Brion Economics Inc

Prepared by Brion Economics Inc 2513-SMC NA Final Tables 61216 6122016

PORTOLA VALLEY

No of

Providers

Child Care as of 2015

Under 2 Years

Old

2 to 4 Year

Olds

Total 0 to 4

Years

EXISTING DEMAND Child Care Demand

Estimated Total Children

Average LFPRAdjustment Factor

Children With Working Parents

Licensed Care Demand Factor

Resident Children Needing Licensed Care

of Total Resident Children Needing Licensed Care

Children from Non-Resident Employees Needing

Licensed Care

(1)

(2)

(3)

75 187

66

49 168

37

18 159

24 85

8 12

261

217

82

177

68

21

Total Demand for Child Care Spaces

Distribution

EXISTING SUPPLY (4)

26 171

13 87

Child Care Spaces

198

100

Family Child Care Home Supply

Child Care Center Supply

Current Child Care Supply

Distribution

EXISTING SURPLUS(SHORTAGE)

Distribution

Percentage of Demand Met

by Existing FacilitiesSpaces

Shortage of Family Child Care Home Spaces

Shortage of Center-Based Spaces

(5)

(6)

(6)

0

4

4

0 0

0 153

0 153

0 100

(26) (18)

59 41

0 89

0 0

(26) (18)

0

153

153

100

(45)

100

77

0

(45)

FINAL

Table A-14

Existing Child Care Demand and Supply in 2015 in Portola Valley

San Mateo County Child Care Study - 2016

Note All footnote references can be found in Table C-1 at the end of this file Sources 2010 US Census ABAG Projections 2013 2014 American Community Survey ACS Journey-to-Work data 2006-2008 and 2006-2010

Child Care Coordinating Council of San Mateo County (4Cs) Community Care Licensing Brion Economics Inc

Prepared by Brion Economics Inc 2513-SMC NA Final Tables 61216 6122016

REDWOOD CITY

Child Care as of 2015

No of

Providers

Under 2 Years

Old

2 to 4 Year

Olds

Total 0 to 4

Years

EXISTING DEMAND Child Care Demand

Estimated Total Children

Average LFPRAdjustment Factor

Children With Working Parents

Licensed Care Demand Factor

Resident Children Needing Licensed Care

of Total Resident Children Needing Licensed Care

Children from Non-Resident Employees Needing

Licensed Care

Total Demand for Child Care Spaces

Distribution

EXISTING SUPPLY

(1)

(2)

(3)

(4)

3260 4706

69

2236 4212

37

827 3942

25 84

414 625

1241 4567

21 79

Child Care Spaces

7966

6449

74

4770

60

1038

5808

100

Family Child Care Home Supply

Child Care Center Supply

Current Child Care Supply

Distribution

EXISTING SURPLUS(SHORTAGE)

Distribution

Percentage of Demand Met

by Existing FacilitiesSpaces

Shortage of Family Child Care Home Spaces

Shortage of Center-Based Spaces

(5)

(6)

(6)

111

45

156

396 497

356 2036

752 2533

23 77

(490) (2034)

19 81

61 55

(258) (399)

(232) (1635)

893

2392

3285

100

(2524)

100

57

(657)

(1867)

FINAL

Table A-15

Existing Child Care Demand and Supply in 2015 in Redwood City

San Mateo County Child Care Study - 2016

Note All footnote references can be found in Table C-1 at the end of this file Sources 2010 US Census ABAG Projections 2013 2014 American Community Survey ACS Journey-to-Work data 2006-2008 and 2006-2010

Child Care Coordinating Council of San Mateo County (4Cs) Community Care Licensing Brion Economics Inc

Prepared by Brion Economics Inc 2513-SMC NA Final Tables 61216 6122016

SAN BRUNO

Child Care as of 2015

No of

Providers

Under 2 Years

Old

2 to 4 Year

Olds

Total 0 to 4

Years

EXISTING DEMAND Child Care Demand

Estimated Total Children

Average LFPRAdjustment Factor

Children With Working Parents

Licensed Care Demand Factor

Resident Children Needing Licensed Care

of Total Resident Children Needing Licensed Care

Children from Non-Resident Employees Needing

Licensed Care

(1)

(2)

(3)

1069 1553

77

817 1428

37

302 1326

28 85

61 92

2622

2245

73

1628

62

153

Total Demand for Child Care Spaces

Distribution

EXISTING SUPPLY (4)

364 1418

20 80

Child Care Spaces

1782

100

Family Child Care Home Supply

Child Care Center Supply

Current Child Care Supply

Distribution

EXISTING SURPLUS(SHORTAGE)

Distribution

Percentage of Demand Met

by Existing FacilitiesSpaces

Shortage of Family Child Care Home Spaces

Shortage of Center-Based Spaces

(5)

(6)

(6)

34

15

49

122 153

26 1183

148 1336

10 90

(216) (82)

72 28

41 94

(178) (9)

(38) (73)

275

1209

1484

100

(298)

100

83

(187)

(110)

FINAL

Table A-16

Existing Child Care Demand and Supply in 2015 in San Bruno

San Mateo County Child Care Study - 2016

Note All footnote references can be found in Table C-1 at the end of this file Sources 2010 US Census ABAG Projections 2013 2014 American Community Survey ACS Journey-to-Work data 2006-2008 and 2006-2010

Child Care Coordinating Council of San Mateo County (4Cs) Community Care Licensing Brion Economics Inc

Prepared by Brion Economics Inc 2513-SMC NA Final Tables 61216 6122016

SAN CARLOS

Child Care as of 2015

No of

Providers

Under 2 Years

Old

2 to 4 Year

Olds

Total 0 to 4

Years

EXISTING DEMAND Child Care Demand

Estimated Total Children

Average LFPRAdjustment Factor

Children With Working Parents

Licensed Care Demand Factor

Resident Children Needing Licensed Care

of Total Resident Children Needing Licensed Care

Children from Non-Resident Employees Needing

Licensed Care

(1)

(2)

(3)

735 1308

72

526 1186

37

195 1109

26 85

75 114

2043

1712

76

1304

64

189

Total Demand for Child Care Spaces

Distribution

EXISTING SUPPLY (4)

270 1222

18 82

Child Care Spaces

1492

100

Family Child Care Home Supply

Child Care Center Supply

Current Child Care Supply

Distribution

EXISTING SURPLUS(SHORTAGE)

Distribution

Percentage of Demand Met

by Existing FacilitiesSpaces

Shortage of Family Child Care Home Spaces

Shortage of Center-Based Spaces

(5)

(6)

(6)

20

14

34

73 92

76 615

149 707

17 83

(121) (516)

19 81

55 58

(59) (67)

(62) (449)

164

691

855

100

(637)

100

57

(126)

(511)

FINAL

Table A-17

Existing Child Care Demand and Supply in 2015 in San Carlos

San Mateo County Child Care Study - 2016

Note All footnote references can be found in Table C-1 at the end of this file

Sources 2010 US Census ABAG Projections 2013 2014 American Community Survey ACS Journey-to-Work data 2006-2008 and 2006-2010

Child Care Coordinating Council of San Mateo County (4Cs) Community Care Licensing Brion Economics Inc

Prepared by Brion Economics Inc 2513-SMC NA Final Tables 61216 6122016

SAN MATEO

Child Care as of 2015

No of

Providers

Under 2 Years

Old

2 to 4 Year

Olds

Total 0 to 4

Years

EXISTING DEMAND Child Care Demand

Estimated Total Children

Average LFPRAdjustment Factor

Children With Working Parents

Licensed Care Demand Factor

Resident Children Needing Licensed Care

of Total Resident Children Needing Licensed Care

Children from Non-Resident Employees Needing

Licensed Care

(1)

(2)

(3)

2943 4213

71

2087 3793

37

772 3537

26 84

231 348

7156

5880

73

4309

60

579

Total Demand for Child Care Spaces

Distribution

EXISTING SUPPLY (4)

1003 3886

21 79

Child Care Spaces

4889

100

Family Child Care Home Supply

Child Care Center Supply

Current Child Care Supply

Distribution

EXISTING SURPLUS(SHORTAGE)

Distribution

Percentage of Demand Met

by Existing FacilitiesSpaces

Shortage of Family Child Care Home Spaces

Shortage of Center-Based Spaces

(5)

(6)

(6)

126

59

185

492 619

209 2577

701 3196

18 82

(302) (690)

30 70

70 82

(212) (134)

(90) (557)

1111

2786

3897

100

(992)

100

80

(345)

(647)

FINAL

Table A-18

Existing Child Care Demand and Supply in 2015 in San Mateo

San Mateo County Child Care Study - 2016

Note All footnote references can be found in Table C-1 at the end of this file

Sources 2010 US Census ABAG Projections 2013 2014 American Community Survey ACS Journey-to-Work data 2006-2008 and 2006-2010

Child Care Coordinating Council of San Mateo County (4Cs) Community Care Licensing Brion Economics Inc

Prepared by Brion Economics Inc 2513-SMC NA Final Tables 61216 6122016

SOUTH COAST

Child Care as of 2015

No of

Providers

Under 2 Years

Old

2 to 4 Year

Olds

Total 0 to 4

Years

EXISTING DEMAND Child Care Demand

Estimated Total Children

Average LFPRAdjustment Factor

Children With Working Parents

Licensed Care Demand Factor

Resident Children Needing Licensed Care

of Total Resident Children Needing Licensed Care

Children from Non-Resident Employees Needing

Licensed Care

(1)

(2)

(3)

21 29

54

11 25

37

4 23

20 81

0 0

50

36

77

28

56

0

Total Demand for Child Care Spaces

Distribution

EXISTING SUPPLY (4)

4 23

15 85

Child Care Spaces

28

100

Family Child Care Home Supply

Child Care Center Supply

Current Child Care Supply

Distribution

EXISTING SURPLUS(SHORTAGE)

Distribution

Percentage of Demand Met

by Existing FacilitiesSpaces

Shortage of Family Child Care Home Spaces

Shortage of Center-Based Spaces

(5)

(6)

(6)

-

2

2

- -

- 54

- 54

0 100

(4) 31

-16 116

0 230

(2) NA

(2) NA

0

54

54

100

26

100

195

(2)

(2)

FINAL

Table A-19

Existing Child Care Demand and Supply in 2015 in South Coast

San Mateo County Child Care Study - 2016

Note All footnote references can be found in Table C-1 at the end of this file

Sources 2010 US Census ABAG Projections 2013 2014 American Community Survey ACS Journey-to-Work data 2006-2008 and 2006-2010

Child Care Coordinating Council of San Mateo County (4Cs) Community Care Licensing Brion Economics Inc

Prepared by Brion Economics Inc 2513-SMC NA Final Tables 61216 6122016

SOUTH SAN FRANCISCO

Child Care as of 2015

No of

Providers

Under 2 Years

Old

2 to 4 Year

Olds

Total 0 to 4

Years

EXISTING DEMAND Child Care Demand

Estimated Total Children

Average LFPRAdjustment Factor

Children With Working Parents

Licensed Care Demand Factor

Resident Children Needing Licensed Care

of Total Resident Children Needing Licensed Care

Children from Non-Resident Employees Needing

Licensed Care

(1)

(2)

(3)

1649 2507

73

1206 2278

37

446 2123

27 85

309 466

4156

3484

74

2569

62

774

Total Demand for Child Care Spaces

Distribution

EXISTING SUPPLY (4)

755 2588

23 77

Child Care Spaces

3343

100

Family Child Care Home Supply

Child Care Center Supply

Current Child Care Supply

Distribution

EXISTING SURPLUS(SHORTAGE)

Distribution

Percentage of Demand Met

by Existing FacilitiesSpaces

Shortage of Family Child Care Home Spaces

Shortage of Center-Based Spaces

(5)

(6)

(6)

68

27

95

252 317

400 1966

652 2283

22 78

(103) (306)

25 75

86 88

(40) (42)

(63) (263)

569

2366

2935

100

(408)

100

88

(82)

(326)

FINAL

Table A-20

Existing Child Care Demand and Supply in 2015 in South San Francisco

San Mateo County Child Care Study - 2016

Note All footnote references can be found in Table C-1 at the end of this file Sources 2010 US Census ABAG Projections 2013 2014 American Community Survey ACS Journey-to-Work data 2006-2008 and 2006-2010

Child Care Coordinating Council of San Mateo County (4Cs) Community Care Licensing Brion Economics Inc

Prepared by Brion Economics Inc 2513-SMC NA Final Tables 61216 6122016

WOODSIDE

No of

Providers

Child Care as of 2015

Under 2 Years

Old

2 to 4 Year

Olds

Total 0 to 4

Years

EXISTING DEMAND Child Care Demand

Estimated Total Children

Average LFPRAdjustment Factor

Children With Working Parents

Licensed Care Demand Factor

Resident Children Needing Licensed Care

of Total Resident Children Needing Licensed Care

Children from Non-Resident Employees Needing

Licensed Care

(1)

(2)

(3)

90 160

56

50 136

37

18 128

21 80

8 13

250

186

79

147

59

21

Total Demand for Child Care Spaces

Distribution

EXISTING SUPPLY (4)

27 141

16 84

Child Care Spaces

168

100

Family Child Care Home Supply

Child Care Center Supply

Current Child Care Supply

Distribution

EXISTING SURPLUS(SHORTAGE)

Distribution

Percentage of Demand Met

by Existing FacilitiesSpaces

Shortage of Family Child Care Home Spaces

Shortage of Center-Based Spaces

(5)

(6)

(6)

1

2

3

4 5

0 103

4 108

4 96

(23) (33)

41 59

16 77

(23) (2)

0 (31)

9

103

112

100

(55)

100

67

(24)

(31)

FINAL

Table A-21

Existing Child Care Demand and Supply in 2015 in Woodside

San Mateo County Child Care Study - 2016

Note All footnote references can be found in Table C-1 at the end of this file Sources 2010 US Census ABAG Projections 2013 2014 American Community Survey ACS Journey-to-Work data 2006-2008 and 2006-2010

Child Care Coordinating Council of San Mateo County (4Cs) Community Care Licensing Brion Economics Inc

Prepared by Brion Economics Inc 2513-SMC NA Final Tables 61216 6122016

COUNTYWIDE

Child Care as of 2025

No of

Providers

Under 2 Years

Old

2 to 4 Year

Olds

Total 0 to 4

Years

EXISTING DEMAND Child Care Demand

Estimated Total Children

Average LFPRAdjustment Factor

Children With Working Parents

Licensed Care Demand Factor

Resident Children Needing Licensed Care

of Total Resident Children Needing Licensed Care

Children from Non-Resident Employees Needing

Licensed Care

Total Demand for Child Care Spaces

Distribution

EXISTING SUPPLY

(1)

(2)

(3)

(4)

20790 31340

71

14704 28273

37

5441 26432

26 84

2037 3074

7478 29506

20 80

Child Care Spaces

52130

42978

86

31873

61

5112

36984

100

Family Child Care Home Supply

Child Care Center Supply

Current Child Care Supply

Distribution

EXISTING SURPLUS(SHORTAGE)

Distribution

Percentage of Demand Met

by Existing FacilitiesSpaces

Shortage of Family Child Care Home Spaces

Shortage of Center-Based Spaces

(5)

(6)

(6)

621

309

930

2301 2893

1514 16296

3815 19189

17 83

(3663) (10318)

26 74

51 65

(2209) (1555)

(1454) (8762)

5193

17810

23003

100

(13981)

100

62

(3765)

(10216)

FINAL

Table B-1

Future C hild Care Demand and Supply in 2025 Countywide

San Mateo County Child Care Study - 2016

Note All footnote references can be found in Table C-1 at the end of this file

Sources 2010 US Census ABAG Projections 2013 2014 American Community Survey ACS Journey-to-Work data 2006-2008 and 2006-2010

Child Care Coordinating Council of San Mateo County (4Cs) Community Care Licensing Brion Economics Inc

Prepared by Brion Economics Inc 2513-SMC NA Final Tables 61216 6122016

ATHERTON

No of

Providers

Child Care as of 2025

Under 2 Years

Old

2 to 4 Year

Olds

Total 0 to 4

Years

EXISTING DEMAND Child Care Demand

Estimated Total Children

Average LFPRAdjustment Factor

Children With Working Parents

Licensed Care Demand Factor

Resident Children Needing Licensed Care

of Total Resident Children Needing Licensed Care

Children from Non-Resident Employees Needing

Licensed Care

(1)

(2)

(3)

109 193

40

43 159

37

16 154

15 80

13 19

302

202

84

170

56

32

Total Demand for Child Care Spaces

Distribution

EXISTING SUPPLY (4)

29 173

14 86

Child Care Spaces

201

100

Family Child Care Home Supply

Child Care Center Supply

Current Child Care Supply

Distribution

EXISTING SURPLUS(SHORTAGE)

Distribution

Percentage of Demand Met

by Existing FacilitiesSpaces

Shortage of Family Child Care Home Spaces

Shortage of Center-Based Spaces

(5)

(6)

(6)

1

6

7

5 6

24 267

29 273

10 90

0 101

0 100

101 158

NA NA

NA NA

11

291

302

100

101

100

150

NA

NA

FINAL

Table B-2

Future Child Care Demand and Supply in 2025 in Atherton

San Mateo Co unty Child Care Study - 2016

Note All footnote references can be found in Table C-1 at the end of this file Sources 2010 US Census ABAG Projections 2013 2014 American Community Survey ACS Journey-to-Work data 2006-2008 and 2006-2010

Child Care Coordinating Council of San Mateo County (4Cs) Community Care Licensing Brion Economics Inc

Prepared by Brion Economics Inc 2513-SMC NA Final Tables 61216 6122016

BELMONT

Child Care as of 2025

No of

Providers

Under 2 Years

Old

2 to 4 Year

Olds

Total 0 to 4

Years

EXISTING DEMAND Child Care Demand

Estimated Total Children

Average LFPRAdjustment Factor

Children With Working Parents

Licensed Care Demand Factor

Resident Children Needing Licensed Care

of Total Resident Children Needing Licensed Care

Children from Non-Resident Employees Needing

Licensed Care

(1)

(2)

(3)

743 1095

77

574 1013

37

213 943

29 86

37 56

1838

1587

73

1156

63

93

Total Demand for Child Care Spaces

Distribution

EXISTING SUPPLY (4)

250 999

20 80

Child Care Spaces

1249

100

Family Child Care Home Supply

Child Care Center Supply

Current Child Care Supply

Distribution

EXISTING SURPLUS(SHORTAGE)

Distribution

Percentage of Demand Met

by Existing FacilitiesSpaces

Shortage of Family Child Care Home Spaces

Shortage of Center-Based Spaces

(5)

(6)

(6)

8

9

17

67 84

39 531

106 615

15 85

(143) (384)

27 73

43 62

(91) (53)

(53) (331)

152

570

722

100

(527)

100

58

(143)

(384)

FINAL

Table B-3

Future Child Care Demand and Supply in 2025 in Belmont

San Mateo County Child Care Study - 2016

Note All footnote references can be found in Table C-1 at the end of this file

Sources 2010 US Census ABAG Projections 2013 2014 American Community Survey ACS Journey-to-Work data 2006-2008 and 2006-2010

Child Care Coordinating Council of San Mateo County (4Cs) Community Care Licensing Brion Economics Inc

Prepared by Brion Economics Inc 2513-SMC NA Final Tables 61216 6122016

BRISBANE

Child Care as of 2025

No of

Providers

Under 2 Years

Old

2 to 4 Year

Olds

Total 0 to 4

Years

EXISTING DEMAND Child Care Demand

Estimated Total Children

Average LFPRAdjustment Factor

Children With Working Parents

Licensed Care Demand Factor

Resident Children Needing Licensed Care

of Total Resident Children Needing Licensed Care

Children from Non-Resident Employees Needing

Licensed Care

(1)

(2)

(3)

131 174

100

131 174

37

48 160

37 92

55 83

305

305

68

209

68

138

Total Demand for Child Care Spaces

Distribution

EXISTING SUPPLY (4)

103 243

30 70

Child Care Spaces

346

100

Family Child Care Home Supply

Child Care Center Supply

Current Child Care Supply

Distribution

EXISTING SURPLUS(SHORTAGE)

Distribution

Percentage of Demand Met

by Existing FacilitiesSpaces

Shortage of Family Child Care Home Spaces

Shortage of Center-Based Spaces

(5)

(6)

(6)

1

1

2

4 5

0 64

4 69

6 94

(99) (174)

36 64

4 29

(99) (13)

0 (160)

9

64

73

100

(273)

100

21

(112)

(160)

FINAL

Table B-4

Future Child Care Demand and Supply in 2025 in Brisbane

San Mateo County Child Care Study - 2016

Note All footnote references can be found in Table C-1 at the end of this file Sources 2010 US Census ABAG Projections 2013 2014 American Community Survey ACS Journey-to-Work data 2006-2008 and 2006-2010

Child Care Coordinating Council of San Mateo County (4Cs) Community Care Licensing Brion Economics Inc

Prepared by Brion Economics Inc 2513-SMC NA Final Tables 61216 6122016

BURLINGAME

Child Care as of 2025

No of

Providers

Under 2 Years

Old

2 to 4 Year

Olds

Total 0 to 4

Years

EXISTING DEMAND Child Care Demand

Estimated Total Children

Average LFPRAdjustment Factor

Children With Working Parents

Licensed Care Demand Factor

Resident Children Needing Licensed Care

of Total Resident Children Needing Licensed Care

Children from Non-Resident Employees Needing

Licensed Care

(1)

(2)

(3)

903 1332

65

587 1190

37

217 1124

24 84

154 232

2235

1777

75

1341

60

385

Total Demand for Child Care Spaces

Distribution

EXISTING SUPPLY (4)

371 1356

21 79

Child Care Spaces

1726

100

Family Child Care Home Supply

Child Care Center Supply

Current Child Care Supply

Distribution

EXISTING SURPLUS(SHORTAGE)

Distribution

Percentage of Demand Met

by Existing FacilitiesSpaces

Shortage of Family Child Care Home Spaces

Shortage of Center-Based Spaces

(5)

(6)

(6)

10

14

24

79 99

40 866

119 965

11 89

(252) (390)

39 61

32 71

(167) (40)

(85) (350)

179

906

1085

100

(642)

100

63

(207)

(434)

FINAL

Table B-5

Future Child Care Demand and Supply in 2025 in Burlingame

San Mateo County Child Care Study - 2016

Note All footnote references can be found in Table C-1 at the end of this file

Sources 2010 US Census ABAG Projections 2013 2014 American Community Survey ACS Journey-to-Work data 2006-2008 and 2006-2010

Child Care Coordinating Council of San Mateo County (4Cs) Community Care Licensing Brion Economics Inc

Prepared by Brion Economics Inc 2513-SMC NA Final Tables 61216 6122016

DALY CITYCOLMA

Child Care as of 2025

No of

Providers

Under 2 Years

Old

2 to 4 Year

Olds

Total 0 to 4

Years

EXISTING DEMAND Child Care Demand

Estimated Total Children

Average LFPRAdjustment Factor

Children With Working Parents

Licensed Care Demand Factor

Resident Children Needing Licensed Care

of Total Resident Children Needing Licensed Care

Children from Non-Resident Employees Needing

Licensed Care

(1)

(2)

(3)

2647 3793

74

1964 3467

37

727 3233

27 85

138 208

6440

5432

73

3960

61

346

Total Demand for Child Care Spaces

Distribution

EXISTING SUPPLY (4)

865 3441

20 80

Child Care Spaces

4306

100

Family Child Care Home Supply

Child Care Center Supply

Current Child Care Supply

Distribution

EXISTING SURPLUS(SHORTAGE)

Distribution

Percentage of Demand Met

by Existing FacilitiesSpaces

Shortage of Family Child Care Home Spaces

Shortage of Center-Based Spaces

(5)

(6)

(6)

25

28

28

288 362

84 1264

372 1626

19 81

(493) (1816)

21 79

43 47

(381) (404)

(111) (1412)

649

1348

1997

100

(2308)

100

46

(785)

(1523)

FINAL

Table B-6

Future C hild Care Demand and Supply in 2025 in Daly CityColma

San Mateo County Child Care Study - 2016

Note All footnote references can be found in Table C-1 at the end of this file

Sources 2010 US Census ABAG Projections 2013 2014 American Community Survey ACS Journey-to-Work data 2006-2008 and 2006-2010

Child Care Coordinating Council of San Mateo County (4Cs) Community Care Licensing Brion Economics Inc

Prepared by Brion Economics Inc 2513-SMC NA Final Tables 61216 6122016

EAST PALO ALTO

Child Care as of 2025

No of

Providers

Under 2 Years

Old

2 to 4 Year

Olds

Total 0 to 4

Years

EXISTING DEMAND Child Care Demand

Estimated Total Children

Average LFPRAdjustment Factor

Children With Working Parents

Licensed Care Demand Factor

Resident Children Needing Licensed Care

of Total Resident Children Needing Licensed Care

Children from Non-Resident Employees Needing

Licensed Care

(1)

(2)

(3)

1161 1849

71

822 1660

37

304 1545

26 84

20 30

3010

2482

75

1849

61

50

Total Demand for Child Care Spaces

Distribution

EXISTING SUPPLY (4)

324 1575

17 83

Child Care Spaces

1900

100

Family Child Care Home Supply

Child Care Center Supply

Current Child Care Supply

Distribution

EXISTING SURPLUS(SHORTAGE)

Distribution

Percentage of Demand Met

by Existing FacilitiesSpaces

Shortage of Family Child Care Home Spaces

Shortage of Center-Based Spaces

(5)

(6)

(6)

13

6

19

85 106

25 633

110 739

13 87

(215) (836)

20 80

34 47

(166) (120)

(49) (715)

191

658

849

100

(1050)

100

45

(286)

(764)

FINAL

Table B-7

Future Child Care Demand and Supply in 2025 in East Palo Alto

San Mateo County Child Care Study - 2016

Note All footnote references can be found in Table C-1 at the end of this file

Sources 2010 US Census ABAG Projections 2013 2014 American Community Survey ACS Journey-to-Work data 2006-2008 and 2006-2010

Child Care Coordinating Council of San Mateo County (4Cs) Community Care Licensing Brion Economics Inc

Prepared by Brion Economics Inc 2513-SMC NA Final Tables 61216 6122016

FOSTER CITY

Child Care as of 2025

No of

Providers

Under 2 Years

Old

2 to 4 Year

Olds

Total 0 to 4

Years

EXISTING DEMAND Child Care Demand

Estimated Total Children

Average LFPRAdjustment Factor

Children With Working Parents

Licensed Care Demand Factor

Resident Children Needing Licensed Care

of Total Resident Children Needing Licensed Care

Children from Non-Resident Employees Needing

Licensed Care

(1)

(2)

(3)

871 1330

63

550 1154

37

204 1079

23 81

80 120

2201

1705

75

1282

58

200

Total Demand for Child Care Spaces

Distribution

EXISTING SUPPLY (4)

283 1199

19 81

Child Care Spaces

1483

100

Family Child Care Home Supply

Child Care Center Supply

Current Child Care Supply

Distribution

EXISTING SURPLUS(SHORTAGE)

Distribution

Percentage of Demand Met

by Existing FacilitiesSpaces

Shortage of Family Child Care Home Spaces

Shortage of Center-Based Spaces

(5)

(6)

(6)

19

12

31

118 149

88 1200

206 1349

13 87

(77) 150

-106 206

73 112

(44) NA

(33) NA

267

1288

1555

100

73

100

105

(44)

(33)

FINAL

Table B-8

Future Child Care Demand and Supply in 2025 in Foster City

San Mateo County Child Care Study - 2016

Note All footnote references can be found in Table C-1 at the end of this file

Sources 2010 US Census ABAG Projections 2013 2014 American Community Survey ACS Journey-to-Work data 2006-2008 and 2006-2010

Child Care Coordinating Council of San Mateo County (4Cs) Community Care Licensing Brion Economics Inc

Prepared by Brion Economics Inc 2513-SMC NA Final Tables 61216 6122016

HALF MOON BAY REGION

Child Care as of 2025

No of

Providers

Under 2 Years

Old

2 to 4 Year

Olds

Total 0 to 4

Years

EXISTING DEMAND Child Care Demand

Estimated Total Children

Average LFPRAdjustment Factor

Children With Working Parents

Licensed Care Demand Factor

Resident Children Needing Licensed Care

of Total Resident Children Needing Licensed Care

Children from Non-Resident Employees Needing

Licensed Care

(1)

(2)

(3)

553 929

69

383 835

37

142 781

26 84

14 21

1482

1217

76

923

62

34

Total Demand for Child Care Spaces

Distribution

EXISTING SUPPLY (4)

155 802

16 84

Child Care Spaces

957

100

Family Child Care Home Supply

Child Care Center Supply

Current Child Care Supply

Distribution

EXISTING SURPLUS(SHORTAGE)

Distribution

Percentage of Demand Met

by Existing FacilitiesSpaces

Shortage of Family Child Care Home Spaces

Shortage of Center-Based Spaces

(5)

(6)

(6)

10

11

21

96 121

35 285

131 406

24 76

(24) (396)

6 94

84 51

(18) (118)

(6) (279)

216

320

536

100

(421)

100

56

(136)

(285)

FINAL

Table B-9

Future Child Care Demand and Supply in 2025 in Half Moon Bay Region

San Mateo County Child Care Study - 2016

Note All footnote references can be found in Table C-1 at the end of this file

Sources 2010 US Census ABAG Projections 2013 2014 American Community Survey ACS Journey-to-Work data 2006-2008 and 2006-2010

Child Care Coordinating Council of San Mateo County (4Cs) Community Care Licensing Brion Economics Inc

Prepared by Brion Economics Inc 2513-SMC NA Final Tables 61216 6122016

HILLSBOROUGH

Child Care as of 2025

No of

Providers

Under 2 Years

Old

2 to 4 Year

Olds

Total 0 to 4

Years

EXISTING DEMAND Child Care Demand

Estimated Total Children

Average LFPRAdjustment Factor

Children With Working Parents

Licensed Care Demand Factor

Resident Children Needing Licensed Care

of Total Resident Children Needing Licensed Care

Children from Non-Resident Employees Needing

Licensed Care

(1)

(2)

(3)

143 343

52

74 295

37

27 282

19 82

7 11

487

369

84

309

64

17

Total Demand for Child Care Spaces

Distribution

EXISTING SUPPLY (4)

34 292

10 90

Child Care Spaces

327

100

Family Child Care Home Supply

Child Care Center Supply

Current Child Care Supply

Distribution

EXISTING SURPLUS(SHORTAGE)

Distribution

Percentage of Demand Met

by Existing FacilitiesSpaces

Shortage of Family Child Care Home Spaces

Shortage of Center-Based Spaces

(5)

(6)

(6)

1

4

5

5 6

- 91

5 97

5 95

(29) (195)

13 87

14 33

(29) (12)

0 (183)

11

91

102

100

(225)

100

31

(42)

(183)

FINAL

Table B-10

Future Child Care Demand and Supply in 2025 in Hillsborough

San Mateo County Child Care Study - 2016

Note All footnote references can be found in Table C-1 at the end of this file

Sources 2010 US Census ABAG Projections 2013 2014 American Community Survey ACS Journey-to-Work data 2006-2008 and 2006-2010

Child Care Coordinating Council of San Mateo County (4Cs) Community Care Licensing Brion Economics Inc

Prepared by Brion Economics Inc 2513-SMC NA Final Tables 61216 6122016

MENLO PARK

Child Care as of 2025

No of

Providers

Under 2 Years

Old

2 to 4 Year

Olds

Total 0 to 4

Years

EXISTING DEMAND Child Care Demand

Estimated Total Children

Average LFPRAdjustment Factor

Children With Working Parents

Licensed Care Demand Factor

Resident Children Needing Licensed Care

of Total Resident Children Needing Licensed Care

Children from Non-Resident Employees Needing

Licensed Care

(1)

(2)

(3)

1327 1954

69

909 1759

37

336 1653

25 85

237 357

3281

2668

75

1989

61

594

Total Demand for Child Care Spaces

Distribution

EXISTING SUPPLY (4)

573 2011

22 78

Child Care Spaces

2584

100

Family Child Care Home Supply

Child Care Center Supply

Current Child Care Supply

Distribution

EXISTING SURPLUS(SHORTAGE)

Distribution

Percentage of Demand Met

by Existing FacilitiesSpaces

Shortage of Family Child Care Home Spaces

Shortage of Center-Based Spaces

(5)

(6)

(6)

15

25

40

76 96

73 1331

149 1427

9 91

(424) (584)

42 58

26 71

(217) (39)

(207) (544)

172

1404

1576

100

(1008)

100

61

(256)

(752)

FINAL

Table B-11

Future Child Care Demand and Supply in 2025 in Menlo Park

San Mateo County Child Care Study - 2016

Note All footnote references can be found in Table C-1 at the end of this file

Sources 2010 US Census ABAG Projections 2013 2014 American Community Survey ACS Journey-to-Work data 2006-2008 and 2006-2010

Child Care Coordinating Council of San Mateo County (4Cs) Community Care Licensing Brion Economics Inc

Prepared by Brion Economics Inc 2513-SMC NA Final Tables 61216 6122016

MILLBRAE

Child Care as of 2025

No of

Providers

Under 2 Years

Old

2 to 4 Year

Olds

Total 0 to 4

Years

EXISTING DEMAND Child Care Demand

Estimated Total Children

Average LFPRAdjustment Factor

Children With Working Parents

Licensed Care Demand Factor

Resident Children Needing Licensed Care

of Total Resident Children Needing Licensed Care

Children from Non-Resident Employees Needing

Licensed Care

(1)

(2)

(3)

473 805

62

291 710

37

108 672

23 83

31 47

1278

1001

78

780

61

77

Total Demand for Child Care Spaces

Distribution

EXISTING SUPPLY (4)

139 718

16 84

Child Care Spaces

857

100

Family Child Care Home Supply

Child Care Center Supply

Current Child Care Supply

Distribution

EXISTING SURPLUS(SHORTAGE)

Distribution

Percentage of Demand Met

by Existing FacilitiesSpaces

Shortage of Family Child Care Home Spaces

Shortage of Center-Based Spaces

(5)

(6)

(6)

7

7

14

62 78

- 376

62 454

12 88

(76) (264)

22 78

45 63

(76) (46)

0 (219)

141

376

517

100

(340)

100

60

(122)

(219)

FINAL

Table B-12

Future C hild Care Demand and Supply in 2025 in Millbrae

San Mateo County Child Care Study - 2016

Note All footnote references can be found in Table C-1 at the end of this file

Sources 2010 US Census ABAG Projections 2013 2014 American Community Survey ACS Journey-to-Work data 2006-2008 and 2006-2010

Child Care Coordinating Council of San Mateo County (4Cs) Community Care Licensing Brion Economics Inc

Prepared by Brion Economics Inc 2513-SMC NA Final Tables 61216 6122016

FINAL

Table B-13

Future Child Care Demand and Supply in 2025 in Pacifica

San Mateo County Child Care Study - 2016

PACIFICA

Child Care as of 2025

No of

Providers

Under 2 Years

Old

2 to 4 Year

Olds

Total 0 to 4

Years

EXISTING DEMAND Child Care Demand

Estimated Total Children

Average L FPRAdjustment Factor

Children With Working Parents

Licensed Care Demand Factor

Resident Children Needing Licensed Care

of Total Resident Children Needing Licensed Care

Children from Non-Resident Employees Needing

Licensed Care

(1)

(2)

(3)

816 1300

78

633 1209

37

234 1130

29 87

19 29

2116

1842

74

1364

64

48

Total Demand for Child Care Spaces

Distribution

EXISTING SUPPLY (4)

254 1159

18 82

Child Care Spaces

1413

100

Family Child Care Home Supply

Child Care Center Supply

Current Child Care Supply

Distribution

EXISTING SURPLUS(SHORTAGE)

Distribution

Percentage of Demand Met

by Existing FacilitiesSpaces

Shortage of Family Child Care Home Spaces

Shortage of Center-Based Spaces

(5)

(6)

(6)

9

18

27

77 97

39 701

116 798

13 87

(138) (361)

28 72

46 69

(91) (44)

(46) (317)

174

740

914

100

(499)

100

65

(135)

(364)

Note All footnote references can be found in Table C-1 at the end of this file

Sources 2010 US Census ABAG Projections 2013 2014 American Community Survey ACS Journey-to-Work data 2006-2008 and 2006-2010

Child Care Coordinating Council of San Mateo County (4Cs) Community Care Licensing Brion Economics Inc

Prepared by Brion Economics Inc 2513-SMC NA Final Tables 61216 6122016

PORTOLA VALLEY

Child Care as of 2025

No of

Providers

Under 2 Years

Old

2 to 4 Year

Olds

Total 0 to 4

Years

EXISTING DEMAND Child Care Demand

Estimated Total Children

Average LFPRAdjustment Factor

Children With Working Parents

Licensed Care Demand Factor

Resident Children Needing Licensed Care

of Total Resident Children Needing Licensed Care

Children from Non-Resident Employees Needing

Licensed Care

(1)

(2)

(3)

77 192

66

51 173

37

19 164

24 85

9 13

269

224

82

182

68

22

Total Demand for Child Care Spaces

Distribution

EXISTING SUPPLY (4)

28 177

13 87

Child Care Spaces

204

100

Family Child Care Home Supply

Child Care Center Supply

Current Child Care Supply

Distribution

EXISTING SURPLUS(SHORTAGE)

Distribution

Percentage of Demand Met

by Existing FacilitiesSpaces

Shortage of Family Child Care Home Spaces

Shortage of Center-Based Spaces

(5)

(6)

(6)

0

4

4

- -

- 153

- 153

0 100

(28) (24)

54 46

0 87

0 0

(28) (24)

0

153

153

100

(51)

100

75

0

(51)

FINAL

Table B-14

Future Child Care Demand and Supply in 2025 in Portola Valley

San Mateo County Child Care Study - 2016

Note All footnote references can be found in Table C-1 at the end of this file

Sources 2010 US Census ABAG Projections 2013 2014 American Community Survey ACS Journey-to-Work data 2006-2008 and 2006-2010

Child Care Coordinating Council of San Mateo County (4Cs) Community Care Licensing Brion Economics Inc

Prepared by Brion Economics Inc 2513-SMC NA Final Tables 61216 6122016

REDWOOD CITY

No of

Providers

Child Care as of 2025

Under 2 Years

Old

2 to 4 Year

Olds

Total 0 to 4

Years

EXISTING DEMAND Child Care Demand

Estimated Total Children

Average LFPRAdjustment Factor

Children With Working Parents

Licensed Care Demand Factor

Resident Children Needing Licensed Care

of Total Resident Children Needing Licensed Care

Children from Non-Resident Employees Needing

Licensed Care

Total Demand for Child Care Spaces

Distribution

EXISTING SUPPLY

(1)

(2)

(3)

(4)

3725 5378

69

2555 4813

37

946 4505

25 84

466 703

1411 5208

21 79

Child Care Spaces

9103

7368

74

5450

60

1169

6619

100

Family Child Care Home Supply

Child Care Center Supply

Current Child Care Supply

Distribution

EXISTING SURPLUS(SHORTAGE)

Distribution

Percentage of Demand Met

by Existing FacilitiesSpaces

Shortage of Family Child Care Home Spaces

Shortage of Center-Based Spaces

(5)

(6)

(6)

42

41

83

396 497

356 2036

752 2533

23 77

(660) (2674)

20 80

53 49

(347) (525)

(313) (2149)

893

2392

3285

100

(3334)

100

50

(872)

(2462)

FINAL

Table B-15

Future Child Care Demand and Supply in 2025 in Redwood City

San Mateo County Child Care Study - 2016

Note All footnote references can be found in Table C-1 at the end of this file

Sources 2010 US Census ABAG Projections 2013 2014 American Community Survey ACS Journey-to-Work data 2006-2008 and 2006-2010

Child Care Coordinating Council of San Mateo County (4Cs) Community Care Licensing Brion Economics Inc

Prepared by Brion Economics Inc 2513-SMC NA Final Tables 61216 6122016

SAN BRUNO

Child Care as of 2025

No of

Providers

Under 2 Years

Old

2 to 4 Year

Olds

Total 0 to 4

Years

EXISTING DEMAND Child Care Demand

Estimated Total Children

Average LFPRAdjustment Factor

Children With Working Parents

Licensed Care Demand Factor

Resident Children Needing Licensed Care

of Total Resident Children Needing Licensed Care

Children from Non-Resident Employees Needing

Licensed Care

(1)

(2)

(3)

1189 1728

77

910 1589

37

337 1475

28 85

68 103

2917

2498

73

1812

62

171

Total Demand for Child Care Spaces

Distribution

EXISTING SUPPLY (4)

405 1578

20 80

Child Care Spaces

1983

100

Family Child Care Home Supply

Child Care Center Supply

Current Child Care Supply

Distribution

EXISTING SURPLUS(SHORTAGE)

Distribution

Percentage of Demand Met

by Existing FacilitiesSpaces

Shortage of Family Child Care Home Spaces

Shortage of Center-Based Spaces

(5)

(6)

(6)

13

15

28

122 153

26 1183

148 1336

10 90

(257) (242)

52 48

37 85

(212) (28)

(45) (214)

275

1209

1484

100

(499)

100

75

(239)

(259)

FINAL

Table B-16

Future C hild Care Demand and Supply in 2025 in San Bruno

San Mateo County Child Care Study - 2016

Note All footnote references can be found in Table C-1 at the end of this file

Sources 2010 US Census ABAG Projections 2013 2014 American Community Survey ACS Journey-to-Work data 2006-2008 and 2006-2010

Child Care Coordinating Council of San Mateo County (4Cs) Community Care Licensing Brion Economics Inc

Prepared by Brion Economics Inc 2513-SMC NA Final Tables 61216 6122016

SAN CARLOS

Child Care as of 2025

No of

Providers

Under 2 Years

Old

2 to 4 Year

Olds

Total 0 to 4

Years

EXISTING DEMAND Child Care Demand

Estimated Total Children

Average LFPRAdjustment Factor

Children With Working Parents

Licensed Care Demand Factor

Resident Children Needing Licensed Care

of Total Resident Children Needing Licensed Care

Children from Non-Resident Employees Needing

Licensed Care

(1)

(2)

(3)

778 1384

72

557 1255

37

206 1174

26 85

82 123

2162

1812

76

1380

64

205

Total Demand for Child Care Spaces

Distribution

EXISTING SUPPLY (4)

288 1297

18 82

Child Care Spaces

1585

100

Family Child Care Home Supply

Child Care Center Supply

Current Child Care Supply

Distribution

EXISTING SURPLUS(SHORTAGE)

Distribution

Percentage of Demand Met

by Existing FacilitiesSpaces

Shortage of Family Child Care Home Spaces

Shortage of Center-Based Spaces

(5)

(6)

(6)

28

14

42

73 92

76 615

149 707

17 83

(139) (590)

19 81

52 54

(68) (76)

(71) (514)

164

691

855

100

(729)

100

54

(145)

(585)

FINAL

Table B-17

Future Child Care Demand and Supply in 2025 in San Carlos

San Mateo County Child Care Study - 2016

Note All footnote references can be found in Table C-1 at the end of this file

Sources 2010 US Census ABAG Projections 2013 2014 American Community Survey ACS Journey-to-Work data 2006-2008 and 2006-2010

Child Care Coordinating Council of San Mateo County (4Cs) Community Care Licensing Brion Economics Inc

Prepared by Brion Economics Inc 2513-SMC NA Final Tables 61216 6122016

SAN MATEO

Child Care as of 2025

No of

Providers

Under 2 Years

Old

2 to 4 Year

Olds

Total 0 to 4

Years

EXISTING DEMAND Child Care Demand

Estimated Total Children

Average LFPRAdjustment Factor

Children With Working Parents

Licensed Care Demand Factor

Resident Children Needing Licensed Care

of Total Resident Children Needing Licensed Care

Children from Non-Resident Employees Needing

Licensed Care

(1)

(2)

(3)

3194 4572

71

2264 4116

37

838 3839

26 84

261 394

7766

6381

73

4677

60

656

Total Demand for Child Care Spaces

Distribution

EXISTING SUPPLY (4)

1099 4233

21 79

Child Care Spaces

5332

100

Family Child Care Home Supply

Child Care Center Supply

Current Child Care Supply

Distribution

EXISTING SURPLUS(SHORTAGE)

Distribution

Percentage of Demand Met

by Existing FacilitiesSpaces

Shortage of Family Child Care Home Spaces

Shortage of Center-Based Spaces

(5)

(6)

(6)

69

59

128

492 619

209 2577

701 3196

18 82

(398) (1037)

28 72

64 75

(279) (201)

(119) (837)

1111

2786

3897

100

(1435)

100

73

(480)

(955)

FINAL

Table B-18

Future Child Care Demand and Supply in 2025 in San Mateo

San Mateo County Child Care Study - 2016

Note All footnote references can be found in Table C-1 at the end of this file

Sources 2010 US Census ABAG Projections 2013 2014 American Community Survey ACS Journey-to-Work data 2006-2008 and 2006-2010

Child Care Coordinating Council of San Mateo County (4Cs) Community Care Licensing Brion Economics Inc

Prepared by Brion Economics Inc 2513-SMC NA Final Tables 61216 6122016

FINAL

Table B-19

Future Child Care Demand and Supply in 2025 in South Coast

San Mateo County Child Care Study - 2016

SOUTH COAST

Child Care as of 2025

No of

Providers

Under 2 Years

Old

2 to 4 Year

Olds

Total 0 to 4

Years

EXISTING DEMAND Child Care Demand

Estimated Total Children (1) 23 32 55

Average LFPRAdjustment Factor (2) 54

Children With Working Parents 12 27 40

Licensed Care Demand Factor (3) 37 77

Resident Children Needing Licensed Care 5 26 30

of Total Resident Children Needing Licensed Care 20 81 56

Children from Non-Resident Employees Needing

Licensed Care 0 0 0

Total Demand for Child Care Spaces 5 26 30

Distribution 15 85 100

EXISTING SUPPLY (4) Child Care Spaces

Family Child Care Home Supply - 0 0 0

Child Care Center Supply 2 0 54 54

Current Child Care Supply 2 - 54 54

Distribution 0 100 100

EXISTING SURPLUS(SHORTAGE) (5) 28 24

Distribution -19 119 100

Percentage of Demand Met

by Existing FacilitiesSpaces (5) 0 209 177

Shortage of Family Child Care Home Spaces (6) 0 NA 0

Shortage of Center-Based Spaces (6) (5) NA (5)

Note All footnote references can be found in Table C-1 at the end of this file

Sources 2010 US Census ABAG Projections 2013 2014 American Community Survey ACS Journey-to-Work data 2006-2008 and 2006-2010

Child Care Coordinating Council of San Mateo County (4Cs) Community Care Licensing Brion Economics Inc

Prepared by Brion Economics Inc 2513-SMC NA Final Tables 61216 6122016

SOUTH SAN FRANCISCO

Child Care as of 2025

No of

Providers

Under 2 Years

Old

2 to 4 Year

Olds

Total 0 to 4

Years

EXISTING DEMAND Child Care Demand

Estimated Total Children

Average LFPRAdjustment Factor

Children With Working Parents

Licensed Care Demand Factor

Resident Children Needing Licensed Care

of Total Resident Children Needing Licensed Care

Children from Non-Resident Employees Needing

Licensed Care

(1)

(2)

(3)

1835 2790

73

1342 2535

37

496 2362

27 85

339 512

4625

3877

74

2859

62

851

Total Demand for Child Care Spaces

Distribution

EXISTING SUPPLY (4)

835 2874

23 77

Child Care Spaces

3709

100

Family Child Care Home Supply

Child Care Center Supply

Current Child Care Supply

Distribution

EXISTING SURPLUS(SHORTAGE)

Distribution

Percentage of Demand Met

by Existing FacilitiesSpaces

Shortage of Family Child Care Home Spaces

Shortage of Center-Based Spaces

(5)

(6)

(6)

30

27

57

252 317

400 1966

652 2283

22 78

(183) (591)

24 76

78 79

(71) (82)

(113) (509)

569

2366

2935

100

(775)

100

79

(153)

(622)

FINAL

Table B-20

Future Child Care Demand and Supply in 2025 in South San Francisco

San Mateo County Child Care Study - 2016

Note All footnote references can be found in Table C-1 at the end of this file

Sources 2010 US Census ABAG Projections 2013 2014 American Community Survey ACS Journey-to-Work data 2006-2008 and 2006-2010

Child Care Coordinating Council of San Mateo County (4Cs) Community Care Licensing Brion Economics Inc

Prepared by Brion Economics Inc 2513-SMC NA Final Tables 61216 6122016

WOODSIDE

No of

Providers

Child Care as of 2025

Under 2 Years

Old

2 to 4 Year

Olds

Total 0 to 4

Years

EXISTING DEMAND Child Care Demand

Estimated Total Children

Average LFPRAdjustment Factor

Children With Working Parents

Licensed Care Demand Factor

Resident Children Needing Licensed Care

of Total Resident Children Needing Licensed Care

Children from Non-Resident Employees Needing

Licensed Care

(1)

(2)

(3)

93 165

56

51 140

37

19 132

21 80

9 13

258

192

79

152

59

22

Total Demand for Child Care Spaces

Distribution

EXISTING SUPPLY (4)

28 146

16 84

Child Care Spaces

174

100

Family Child Care Home Supply

Child Care Center Supply

Current Child Care Supply

Distribution

EXISTING SURPLUS(SHORTAGE)

Distribution

Percentage of Demand Met

by Existing FacilitiesSpaces

Shortage of Family Child Care Home Spaces

Shortage of Center-Based Spaces

(5)

(6)

(6)

1

2

3

4 5

- 103

4 108

4 96

(24) (38)

39 61

15 74

(24) (2)

0 (36)

9

103

112

100

(61)

100

65

(26)

(36)

FINAL

Table B-21

Future Child Care Demand and Supply in 2025 in Woodside

San Mateo County Child Care Study - 2016

Note All footnote references can be found in Table C-1 at the end of this file

Sources 2010 US Census ABAG Projections 2013 2014 American Community Survey ACS Journey-to-Work data 2006-2008 and 2006-2010

Child Care Coordinating Council of San Mateo County (4Cs) Community Care Licensing Brion Economics Inc

Prepared by Brion Economics Inc 2513-SMC NA Final Tables 61216 6122016

FINAL

Table C-1

Endnotes for Tables

San Mateo County Child Care Study - 2016

(1) Population by age is based on the percentage breakdown from the 2010 US Census and applied

to population estimates for 2015 using ABAGs Projections 2013 population data The ABAG data

for each area includes its Sphere of Influence and is not based on strict jurisdictional boundaries

(2) Labor force participation rates are from the 5-Year American Community Survey 2014 and include

children under six years old with two working parents or a single working parent For the 2- to 4-year

olds the labor force participation rate is applied to 2 year olds For 3- and 4-year olds it is assumed

that 100 need licensed care to support preschool for every child so the number of

3- and 4-year olds is not discounted by labor force participation rates

(3) Not all children with working parents are assumed to need licensed care percentage assumptions are

used to calculate the number of children requiring licensed care under each age category The

remaining children are assumed to be cared for in alternate arrangements such as by family members

nannies friends and other unlicensed care For children ages 3- and 4-years old it is assumed that

they all need care in the form of preschool

(4) Data on child care supply provided by the Child Care Coordinating Council of San Mateo County (4Cs)

and Community Care Licensing Division of the California Department of Social Services (CCLD) Data is

for June 2015

(5) Demand that calculates as less than 100 means that there is greater demand than supply percent of

demand that is over 100 means supply exceeds demand

(6) Unmet demand is broken down into shortage by type of care based on the proportion of FCCHs and

child care centers spaces available in each area If an area does not have any FCCHs or centers the

unmet demand is placed in the type of care that is available in the area (eg if there are only centers

all demand goes to centers)

Source Brion Economics Inc

Prepared by Brion Economics Inc 2513-SMC NA Final Tables 61216 6122016

DRAFT REPORT

Table C-2

Labor Force Participation Rates by CityArea

San Mateo County Child Care Study - 2016

CityArea

Labor Force

Participation Rate (1)

Atherton

Belmont

Brisbane

Burlingame

Daly CityColma

East Palo Alto

Foster City

Half Moon Bay Region

Hillsborough

Menlo Park

Millbrae

Pacifica

Portola Valley

Redwood City

San Bruno

San Carlos

San Mateo

South Coast

South San Francisco

Woodside

40

77

100

65

74

71

63

69

52

69

62

78

66

69

77

72

71

54

73

56

(1) Labor force participation rates (LFPRs) are for

families with children under age six with two

working parents or a single parent who works Sources American Community Survey 2014 5-Year

Survey Brion Economics Inc

Prepared by Brion Economics Inc 2513-SMC NA Final Tables 61216 6122016

  • 2513-SMC FINAL NA Memo-61216
  • 2513-SMC NA Final Tables 61216
Page 13: Final San Mateo County Child Care Needs … Care...Future C hild Care Demand and Supply in 2025 in Daly City/Colma San Mateo County Child Care Study - 2016 Note: All footnote references

CHANGE 2015 to 2025 2015 2025

Percent that Work Employees that Percent that Work Employees that

Jobs at Jobs at in City and Live Work in City and in City and Live Work in City and

CityArea 2015 2025 2015 to 2025 Change Outside Co Live Outside Co Outside Co Live Outside Co

Atherton 2730 2920 190 70 360 983 360 1051

Belmont 9540 10430 890 93 298 2843 298 3108

Brisbane 7320 7790 470 64 590 4316 590 4593

Burlingame 32040 35250 3210 100 365 11680 365 12850

Daly CityColma 26110 28540 2430 93 404 10540 404 11521

East Palo Alto 2920 3310 390 134 508 1485 508 1683

Foster City 14810 16190 1380 93 412 6108 412 6677

Half Moon Bay Region (1) 7830 8410 580 74 135 1060 135 1138

Hillsborough 1950 2080 130 67 280 546 280 583

Menlo Park 31920 34390 2470 77 576 18390 576 19813

Millbrae 7480 8370 890 119 308 2304 308 2578

Pacifica 6210 6650 440 71 242 1504 242 1611

Portola Valley 2060 2200 140 68 334 689 334 736

Redwood City 71460 80430 8970 126 480 34317 480 38624

San Bruno 13800 15390 1590 115 370 5106 370 5695

San Carlos 18100 19650 1550 86 348 6295 348 6834

San Mateo 58680 66400 7720 132 329 19314 329 21855

South Coast (2) 0 0 0 00 149 0 149 0

South San Francisco 47380 51760 4380 92 467 22128 467 24173

Woodside 2520 2660 140 56 281 708 281 747

SF Airport (3) 7870 8960 1090 139 467 3676 467 4185

Remainder (3) 2210 2460 250 113 135 299 135 333

Total Employment 374940 414240 39300 105 412 154289 411 170387

FINAL

Table 4

Employment Growth and Employee Residence by City 2015 and 2025

San Mateo County Child Care Study - 2016

Note This analysis uses the published projections prepared by ABAG from ldquoProjections 2013rdquo and the cities including their sphere of influence or SOI This is done for consistency purposes While individual cities may be planning for additional growth not included in ABAGrsquos forecast (such as Menlo Park and East Palo Alto) it was decided that the consistency of using one data source was more important Thus these estimates could be considered

conservative

(1) For employment Half Moon Bay Region includes all of the City of Half Moon Bay and Unincorporated Half Moon Bay as defined by ABAG

(2) No data on employment is available through ABAG for the South Coast area

(3) SF Airport and Remainder are groupings by ABAG We listed them separately as SF Airport has no residential population

Sources ABAG Projections 2013 Brion Economics Inc

Prepared by Brion Economics Inc 2513-SMC NA Final Tables 61216 6122016

Under 2 2 to 4 Year Total CityArea as of

CityArea Years Old Olds Supply Total Supply

Atherton 29 273 302 13

Belmont 106 615 722 31

Brisbane 4 69 73 03

Burlingame 119 965 1085 47

Daly CityColma 372 1626 1997 87

East Palo Alto 110 739 849 37

Foster City 206 1349 1555 68

Half Moon Bay Region (1) 131 406 536 23

Hillsborough 5 97 102 04

Menlo Park (2) 149 1427 1576 69

Millbrae 62 454 517 22

Pacifica 116 798 914 40

Portola Valley 0 153 153 07

Redwood City (2) 752 2533 3285 143

San Bruno 148 1336 1484 65

San Carlos 149 707 855 37

San Mateo 701 3196 3897 169

South Coast (3) 0 54 54 02

South San Francisco 652 2283 2935 128

Woodside 4 108 112 05

Total 3815 19189 23003 1000

FINAL

Table 5

Child Care Supply Summary Table for 2015

San Mateo County Child Care Study - 2016

Note Totals may be off slightly due to rounding

(1) Half Moon Bay Region includes the City of Half Moon Bay El Granada Montara

and Moss Beach

(2) ABAG Projections have 6300 people listed as Remainder population this

amount is divided equally between Menlo Park and Redwood City given that

they are surrounded by unincorporated areas

(3) South Coast includes La Honda Loma Mar and Pescadero

Sources Child Care Coordinating Council of San Mateo County (4Cs) Community

Care Licensing Brion Economics Inc

Prepared by Brion Economics Inc 2513-SMC NA Final Tables 61216 6122016

2015 2025

CityArea as CityArea as

Under 2 2 to 4 Year Total of Total Under 2 2 to 4 Total of Total

CityArea Years Old Olds Demand Demand Years Old Year Olds Demand Demand

Atherton 27 165 192 06 29 173 201 05

Belmont 237 950 1187 35 250 999 1249 34

Brisbane 98 231 329 10 103 243 346 09

Burlingame 338 1236 1574 47 371 1356 1726 47

Daly CityColma 811 3237 4048 120 865 3441 4306 116

East Palo Alto 292 1419 1711 51 324 1575 1900 51

Foster City 268 1145 1414 42 283 1199 1483 40

Half Moon Bay Region (1) 144 742 885 26 155 802 957 26

Hillsborough 33 282 315 09 34 292 327 09

Menlo Park (2) 516 1790 2306 68 573 2011 2584 70

Millbrae 124 640 764 23 139 718 857 23

Pacifica 244 1117 1360 40 254 1159 1413 38

Portola Valley 26 171 198 06 28 177 204 06

Redwood City (2) 1241 4567 5808 172 1411 5208 6619 179

San Bruno 364 1418 1782 53 405 1578 1983 54

San Carlos 270 1222 1492 44 288 1297 1585 43

San Mateo 1003 3886 4889 145 1099 4233 5332 144

South Coast (3) 4 23 28 01 5 26 30 01

South San Francisco 755 2588 3343 99 835 2874 3709 100

Woodside 27 141 168 05 28 146 174 05

Total 6821 26971 33792 1000 7478 29506 36984 1000

FINAL

Table 6

Child Care Demand Summary Table for 2015 and 2025

San Mateo County Child Care Study - 2016

(1) Half Moon Bay Region includes the City of Half Moon Bay El Granada Montara and Moss Beach

(2) ABAG Projections have 6300 people listed as Remainder population this amount is divided equally between Menlo Park

and Redwood City given that they are surrounded by unincorporated areas

(3) South Coast includes La Honda Loma Mar and Pescadero

Sources 2010 US Census ABAG Projections 2013 Brion Economics Inc

Prepared by Brion Economics Inc 2513-SMC NA Final Tables 61216 6122016

No of Non- No of Employee

Resident No of 0 to 2 No of 3 to 4 Children Needing

CityArea Assumptions Employees Year Olds Year Olds Licensed Care

Estimated Percent of Employees

Needing Licensed Care (1) 300 40 60 100

Atherton 983 12 18 29

Belmont 2843 34 51 85

Brisbane 4316 52 78 129

Burlingame 11680 140 211 350

Daly CityColma 10540 126 190 316

East Palo Alto 1485 18 27 45

Foster City 6108 73 110 183

Half Moon Bay Region (2) 1060 13 19 32

Hillsborough 546 7 10 16

Menlo Park 18390 220 332 552

Millbrae 2304 28 42 69

Pacifica 1504 18 27 45

Portola Valley 689 8 12 21

Redwood City 34317 410 619 1029

San Bruno 5106 61 92 153

San Carlos 6295 75 114 189

San Mateo 19314 231 348 579

South Coast (3) 0 0 0 0

South San Francisco 22128 265 399 664

Woodside 708 8 13 21

SF Airport (4) 3676 44 66 110

Remainder (4) 299 4 5 9

Total Countywide 154289 1845 2784 4629

FINAL

Table 7

Employee Demand Summary Table for 2015

San Mateo County Child Care Study - 2016

Note Totals may be off slightly due to rounding

(1) We are assuming 3 of employees children require licensed care the breakdown of demand for infant and

preschool spaces is based on the percentage of infants and preschoolers who currently reside in San Mateo

County

(2) Half Moon Bay Region includes the City of Half Moon Bay El Granada Montara and Moss Beach

(3) South Coast includes La Honda Loma Mar and Pescadero

(4) SF Airport and Remainder are groupings by ABAG For employment SF Airport demand is attributed to South San

Francisco and Remainder demand is included with Redwood City

Sources 2010 US Census ABAG Projections 2013 2014 5-Year American Community Survey Journey-To-Work Data

Brion Economics Inc

Prepared by Brion Economics Inc 2513-SMC NA Final Tables 61216 6122016

No of Non- No of Employee

Resident No of 0 to 2 No of 3 to 4 Children Needing

CityArea Assumptions Employees Year Olds Year Olds Licensed Care

Estimated Percent of Employees

Needing Licensed Care (1) 300 40 60 100

Atherton 1051 13 19 32

Belmont 3108 37 56 93

Brisbane 4593 55 83 138

Burlingame 12850 154 232 385

Daly CityColma 11521 138 208 346

East Palo Alto 1683 20 30 50

Foster City 6677 80 120 200

Half Moon Bay Region (2) 1138 14 21 34

Hillsborough 583 7 11 17

Menlo Park 19813 237 357 594

Millbrae 2578 31 47 77

Pacifica 1611 19 29 48

Portola Valley 736 9 13 22

Redwood City 38624 462 697 1159

San Bruno 5695 68 103 171

San Carlos 6834 82 123 205

San Mateo 21855 261 394 656

South Coast (3) 0 0 0 0

South San Francisco 24173 289 436 725

Woodside 747 9 13 22

SF Airport (4) 4185 50 75 126

Remainder (4) 333 4 6 10

Total Countywide 170387 2037 3074 5112

FINAL

Table 8

Employee Demand Summary Table for 2025

San Mateo County Child Care Study - 2016

Note Totals may be off slightly due to rounding

(1) We are assuming 3 of employees children require licensed care the breakdown of demand for infant and

preschool spaces is based on the percentage of infants and preschoolers who currently reside in San Mateo County

(2) Half Moon Bay Region includes the City of Half Moon Bay El Granada Montara and Moss Beach

(3) South Coast includes La Honda Loma Mar and Pescadero

(4) SF Airport and Remainder are groupings by ABAG For employment SF Airport demand is attributed to South San

Francisco and Remainder demand is included with Redwood City

Sources 2010 US Census ABAG Projections 2013 2014 5-Year American Community Survey Journey-To-Work Data

Brion Economics Inc

Prepared by Brion Economics Inc 2513-SMC NA Final Tables 61216 6122016

2015

Surplus(Shortage) of Infant Surplus(Shortage) of Preschool Total Total

CityArea of Infant Spaces Demand Met of Preschool Spaces Demand Met Surplus(Shortage) Demand Met

Atherton 2 107 108 165 110 157

Belmont (130) 45 (335) 65 (465) 61

Brisbane (94) 4 (162) 30 (255) 22

Burlingame (219) 35 (271) 78 (489) 69

Daly CityColma (439) 46 (1612) 50 (2051) 49

East Palo Alto (182) 38 (680) 52 (862) 50

Foster City (62) 77 203 118 141 110

Half Moon Bay Region (1) (13) 91 (336) 55 (349) 61

Hillsborough (28) 15 (185) 34 (213) 32

Menlo Park (2) (367) 29 (363) 80 (730) 68

Millbrae (61) 50 (186) 71 (247) 0

Pacifica (128) 48 (319) 71 (447) 67

Portola Valley (26) 0 (18) 89 (45) 77

Redwood City (2) (490) 61 (2034) 55 (2524) 57

San Bruno (216) 41 (82) 94 (298) 83

San Carlos (121) 55 (516) 58 (637) 57

San Mateo (302) 70 (690) 82 (992) 80

South Coast (3) (4) 0 31 230 26 195

South San Francisco (103) 86 (306) 88 (408) 88

Woodside (23) 16 (33) 77 (55) 67

Countywide (3006) 56 (7783) 71 (10789) 68

FINAL

Table 9

Summary of Demand Met by Existing Facilities in Each Community at 2015

San Mateo County Child Care Study - 2016

Note Totals may be off slightly due to rounding

(1) Half Moon Bay Region includes the City of Half Moon Bay El Granada Montara and Moss Beach

(2) ABAG Projections have 6300 people listed as Remainder population this amount is divided equally between Menlo Park and Redwood

City given that they are surrounded by unincorporated areas

(3) South Coast includes La Honda Loma Mar and Pescadero

Sources 2010 US Census ABAG Projections 2013 Brion Economics Inc

Prepared by Brion Economics Inc 2513-SMC NA Final Tables 61216 6122016

2025

Surplus(Shortage) of Infant Surplus(Shortage) of Preschool Total Total

CityArea of Infant Spaces Demand Met of Preschool Spaces Demand Met Surplus(Shortage) Demand Met

Atherton 0 101 101 158 101 150

Belmont (143) 43 (384) 62 (527) 58

Brisbane (99) 4 (174) 29 (273) 21

Burlingame (252) 32 (390) 71 (642) 63

Daly CityColma (493) 43 (1816) 47 (2308) 46

East Palo Alto (215) 34 (836) 47 (1050) 45

Foster City (77) 73 150 112 73 105

Half Moon Bay Region (1) (24) 84 (396) 51 (421) 56

Hillsborough (29) 14 (195) 33 (225) 31

Menlo Park (2) (424) 26 (584) 71 (1008) 61

Millbrae (76) 45 (264) 63 (340) 60

Pacifica (138) 46 (361) 69 (499) 65

Portola Valley (28) 0 (24) 87 (51) 75

Redwood City (2) (660) 53 (2674) 49 (3334) 50

San Bruno (257) 37 (242) 85 (499) 75

San Carlos (139) 52 (590) 54 (729) 54

San Mateo (398) 64 (1037) 75 (1435) 73

South Coast (3) (5) 0 28 209 24 177

South San Francisco (183) 78 (591) 79 (775) 79

Woodside (24) 15 (38) 74 (61) 65

Countywide (3663) 51 (10318) 65 (13981) 62

FINAL

Table 10

Summary of Demand Met by Existing Facilities in Each Community at 2025

San Mateo County Child Care Study - 2016

Note Totals may be off slightly due to rounding

(1) Half Moon Bay Region includes the City of Half Moon Bay El Granada Montara and Moss Beach

(2) ABAG Projections have 6300 people listed as Remainder population this amount is divided equally between Menlo Park and Redwood

City given that they are surrounded by unincorporated areas

(3) South Coast includes La Honda Loma Mar and Pescadero

Sources 2010 US Census ABAG Projections 2013 Brion Economics Inc

Prepared by Brion Economics Inc 2513-SMC NA Final Tables 61216 6122016

Table 11

Number of Child Care Providers by City in 2015

San Mateo County Child Care Study - 2016

Family Child Licensed

CityArea Care Homes Centers Total

Atherton 1 6 7

Belmont 18 9 27

Brisbane 1 1 2

Burlingame 21 14 35

Daly CityColma 85 28 113

East Palo Alto 21 6 27

Foster City 29 12 41

Half Moon Bay Region (1) 28 11 39

Hillsborough 1 4 5

Menlo Park (2) 18 25 43

Millbrae 17 7 24

Pacifica 21 18 39

Portola Valley 0 4 4

Redwood City (2) 111 45 156

San Bruno 34 15 49

San Carlos 20 14 34

San Mateo 126 59 185

South Coast (3) 0 2 2

South San Francisco 68 27 95

Woodside 1 2 3

Countywide 621 309 930

FINAL

(1) Half Moon Bay Region includes the City of Half Moon Bay El Granada

Montara and Moss Beach

(2) ABAG Projections have 6300 people listed as Remainder population

this amount is divided equally between Menlo Park and Redwood City

given that they are surrounded by unincorporated areas

(3) South Coast includes La Honda Loma Mar and Pescadero

Sources Child Care Coordinating Council of San Mateo County (4Cs)

Community Care Licensing Brion Economics Inc

Prepared by Brion Economics Inc 2513-SMC NA Final Tables 61216 6122016

CityArea

Shortage

Infant

Center

Spaces

Infant care

Percentage

of Shortage

Shortage

Preschool

Center

Spaces

Preschool

Percentage

of Shortage

Total Center-

Based Space

Shortage

Atherton

Belmont

Brisbane

Burlingame

Daly CityColma

East Palo Alto

Foster City

Half Moon Bay Region

Hillsborough

Menlo Park

Millbrae

Pacifica

Portola Valley

Redwood City

San Bruno

San Carlos

San Mateo

South Coast

South San Francisco

Woodside

Countywide

NA

(48)

NA

(73)

(99)

(42)

(27)

(3)

NA

(180)

0

(43)

(26)

(232)

(38)

(62)

(90)

(2)

(63)

NA

NA

14

NA

23

7

7

100

1

NA

35

0

13

59

12

34

12

14

NA

19

NA

NA

(289)

(149)

(243)

(1253)

(582)

NA

(236)

(173)

(338)

(154)

(280)

(18)

(1635)

(73)

(449)

(557)

NA

(263)

(31)

NA

86

100

77

93

93

NA

99

100

65

100

87

41

88

66

88

86

NA

81

100

NA

(337)

(149)

(316)

(1352)

(623)

(27)

(240)

(173)

(518)

(154)

(323)

(45)

(1867)

(110)

(511)

(647)

(2)

(326)

(31)

(1193) 15 (6609) 85 (7802)

FINAL

Table 12

Summary of Shortage of Child Care Center Spaces by Age - 2015

San Mateo County Child Care Study - 2016

Sources Child Care Coordinating Council of San Mateo County (4Cs) Community Care Licensing

Brion Economics Inc

Prepared by Brion Economics Inc 2513-SMC NA Final Tables 61216 6122016

CityArea

Shortage

Infant Center

Spaces

Infant care

Percentage

of Shortage

Shortage

Preschool

Center

Spaces

Preschool

Percentage

of Shortage

Total Center-

Based Space

Shortage

Atherton

Belmont

Brisbane

Burlingame

Daly CityColma

East Palo Alto

Foster City

Half Moon Bay Region

Hillsborough

Menlo Park

Millbrae

Pacifica

Portola Valley

Redwood City

San Bruno

San Carlos

San Mateo

South Coast

South San Francisco

Woodside

Countywide

NA

(53)

NA

(85)

(111)

(49)

(33)

(6)

NA

(207)

0

(46)

(28)

(313)

(45)

(71)

(119)

(5)

(113)

0

NA

14

NA

19

7

6

100

2

NA

28

0

13

54

13

17

12

12

NA

18

NA

NA

(331)

(160)

(350)

(1412)

(715)

NA

(279)

(183)

(544)

(219)

(317)

(24)

(2149)

(214)

(514)

(837)

NA

(509)

(36)

NA

86

100

81

93

94

NA

98

100

72

100

87

46

87

83

88

88

NA

82

100

NA

(384)

(160)

(434)

(1523)

(764)

(33)

(285)

(183)

(752)

(219)

(364)

(51)

(2462)

(259)

(585)

(955)

(5)

(622)

(36)

(1454) 14 (8762) 86 (10216)

FINAL

Table 13

Summary of Shortage of Child Care Center Spaces by Age - 2025

San Mateo County Child Care Study - 2016

Sources Child Care Coordinating Council of San Mateo County (4Cs) Community Care Licensing

Brion Economics Inc

Prepared by Brion Economics Inc 2513-SMC NA Final Tables 61216 6122016

COUNTYWIDE

Child Care as of 2015

No of

Providers

Under 2 Years

Old

2 to 4 Year

Olds

Total 0 to 4

Years

EXISTING DEMAND Child Care Demand

Estimated Total Children

Average LFPRAdjustment Factor

Children With Working Parents

Licensed Care Demand Factor

Resident Children Needing Licensed Care

of Total Resident Children Needing Licensed Care

Children from Non-Resident Employees Needing

Licensed Care

Total Demand for Child Care Spaces

Distribution

EXISTING SUPPLY

(1)

(2)

(3)

(4)

19008 28678

71

13449 25720

37

4976 24188

26 84

1845 2784

6821 26971

20 80

Child Care Spaces

47686

39169

86

29164

61

4629

33792

100

Family Child Care Home Supply

Child Care Center Supply

Current Child Care Supply

Distribution

EXISTING SURPLUS(SHORTAGE)

Distribution

Percentage of Demand Met

by Existing FacilitiesSpaces

Shortage of Family Child Care Home Spaces

Shortage of Center-Based Spaces

(5)

(6)

(6)

621

309 -930

2301 2893

1514 16296 - -3815 19189

17 83

(3006) (7783)

28 72

56 71

(1813) (1173)

(1193) (6609)

5193

17810 -23003

100

(10789)

100

68

(2986)

(7802)

FINAL

Table A-1

Existing Child Care Demand and Supply in 2015 Countywide

San Mateo County Child Care Study - 2016

Note All footnote references can be found in Table C-1 at the end of this file

Sources 2010 US Census ABAG Projections 2013 2014 American Community Survey ACS Journey-to-Work data 2006-2008 and 2006-2010

Child Care Coordinating Council of San Mateo County (4Cs) Community Care Licensing Brion Economics Inc

Prepared by Brion Economics Inc 2513-SMC NA Final Tables 61216 6122016

ATHERTON

Child Care as of 2015

No of

Providers

Under 2 Years

Old

2 to 4 Year

Olds

Total 0 to 4

Years

EXISTING DEMAND Child Care Demand

Estimated Total Children

Average LFPRAdjustment Factor

Children With Working Parents

Licensed Care Demand Factor

Resident Children Needing Licensed Care

of Total Resident Children Needing Licensed Care

Children from Non-Resident Employees Needing

Licensed Care

(1)

(2)

(3)

105 185

40

42 153

37

15 147

15 80

12 18

290

194

84

163

56

29

Total Demand for Child Care Spaces

Distribution

EXISTING SUPPLY (4)

27 165

14 86

Child Care Spaces

192

100

Family Child Care Home Supply

Child Care Center Supply

Current Child Care Supply

Distribution

EXISTING SURPLUS(SHORTAGE)

Distribution

Percentage of Demand Met

by Existing FacilitiesSpaces

Shortage of Family Child Care Home Spaces

Shortage of Center-Based Spaces

(5)

(6)

(6)

1

6

7

5 6

24 267

29 273

10 90

2 108

2 98

107 165

NA NA

NA NA

11

291

302

100

110

100

157

NA

NA

FINAL

Table A-2

Existing Child Care Demand and Supply in 2015 in Atherton

San Mateo Co unty Child Care Study - 2016

Note All footnote references can be found in Table C-1 at the end of this file

Sources 2010 US Census ABAG Projections 2013 2014 American Community Survey ACS Journey-to-Work data 2006-2008 and 2006-2010

Child Care Coordinating Council of San Mateo County (4Cs) Community Care Licensing Brion Economics Inc

Prepared by Brion Economics Inc 2513-SMC NA Final Tables 61216 6122016

BELMONT

Child Care as of 2015

No of

Providers

Under 2 Years

Old

2 to 4 Year

Olds

Total 0 to 4

Years

EXISTING DEMAND Child Care Demand

Estimated Total Children

Average LFPRAdjustment Factor

Children With Working Parents

Licensed Care Demand Factor

Resident Children Needing Licensed Care

of Total Resident Children Needing Licensed Care

Children from Non-Resident Employees Needing

Licensed Care

(1)

(2)

(3)

708 1045

77

548 966

37

203 899

29 86

34 51

1753

1513

73

1102

63

85

Total Demand for Child Care Spaces

Distribution

EXISTING SUPPLY (4)

237 950

20 80

Child Care Spaces

1187

100

Family Child Care Home Supply

Child Care Center Supply

Current Child Care Supply

Distribution

EXISTING SURPLUS(SHORTAGE)

Distribution

Percentage of Demand Met

by Existing FacilitiesSpaces

Shortage of Family Child Care Home Spaces

Shortage of Center-Based Spaces

(5)

(6)

(6)

18

9

27

67 84

39 531

106 615

15 85

(130) (335)

28 72

45 65

(83) (46)

(48) (289)

152

570

722

100

(465)

100

61

(128)

(337)

FINAL

Table A-3

Existing Child Care Demand and Supply in 2015 in Belmont

San Mateo County Child Care Study - 2016

Note All footnote references can be found in Table C-1 at the end of this file Sources 2010 US Census ABAG Projections 2013 2014 American Community Survey ACS Journey-to-Work data 2006-2008 and

2006-2010 Child Care Coordinating Council of San Mateo County (4Cs) Community Care Licensing Brion Economics Inc

Prepared by Brion Economics Inc 2513-SMC NA Final Tables 61216 6122016

FINAL

Table A-4

Existing Child Care Demand and Supply in 2015 in Brisbane

San Mateo County Child Care Study - 2016

BRISBANE

Child Care as of 2015

No of

Providers

Under 2 Years

Old

2 to 4 Year

Olds

Total 0 to 4

Years

EXISTING DEMAND Child Care Demand

Estimated Total Children (1) 125 166 292

Average LFPRAdjustment Factor (2) 100

Children With Working Parents 125 166 292

Licensed Care Demand Factor (3) 37 68

Resident Children Needing Licensed Care 46 153 199

of Total Resident Children Needing Licensed Care 37 92 68

Children from Non-Resident Employees Needing

Licensed Care 52 78 129

Total Demand for Child Care Spaces 98 231 329

Distribution 30 70 100

EXISTING SUPPLY (4) Child Care Spaces

Family Child Care Home Supply 1 4 5 9

Child Care Center Supply 1 - 64 64

Current Child Care Supply 2 4 69 73

Distribution 6 94 100

EXISTING SURPLUS(SHORTAGE) (94) (162) (255)

Distribution 37 63 100

Percentage of Demand Met

by Existing FacilitiesSpaces (5) 4 30 22

Shortage of Family Child Care Home Spaces (6) (94) (12) (106)

Shortage of Center-Based Spaces (6) 0 (149) (149)

Note All footnote references can be found in Table C-1 at the end of this file

Sources 2010 US Census ABAG Projections 2013 2014 American Community Survey ACS Journey-to-Work data 2006-2008 and 2006-2010

Child Care Coordinating Council of San Mateo County (4Cs) Community Care Licensing Brion Economics Inc

Prepared by Brion Economics Inc 2513-SMC NA Final Tables 61216 6122016

BURLINGAME

Child Care as of 2015

No of

Providers

Under 2 Years

Old

2 to 4 Year

Olds

Total 0 to 4

Years

EXISTING DEMAND Child Care Demand

Estimated Total Children

Average LFPRAdjustment Factor

Children With Working Parents

Licensed Care Demand Factor

Resident Children Needing Licensed Care

of Total Resident Children Needing Licensed Care

Children from Non-Resident Employees Needing

Licensed Care

(1)

(2)

(3)

824 1216

65

535 1086

37

198 1025

24 84

140 211

2040

1621

75

1224

60

350

Total Demand for Child Care Spaces

Distribution

EXISTING SUPPLY (4)

338 1236

21 79

Child Care Spaces

1574

100

Family Child Care Home Supply

Child Care Center Supply

Current Child Care Supply

Distribution

EXISTING SURPLUS(SHORTAGE)

Distribution

Percentage of Demand Met

by Existing FacilitiesSpaces

Shortage of Family Child Care Home Spaces

Shortage of Center-Based Spaces

(5)

(6)

(6)

21

14

35

79 99

40 866

119 965

11 89

(219) (271)

45 55

35 78

(145) (28)

(73) (243)

179

906

1085

100

(489)

100

69

(173)

(316)

FINAL

Table A-5

Existing Child Care Demand and Supply in 2015 in Burlingame

San Mateo County Child Care Study - 2016

Note All footnote references can be found in Table C-1 at the end of this file

Sources 2010 US Census ABAG Projections 2013 2014 American Community Survey ACS Journey-to-Work data 2006-2008 and 2006-2010

Child Care Coordinating Council of San Mateo County (4Cs) Community Care Licensing Brion Economics Inc

Prepared by Brion Economics Inc 2513-SMC NA Final Tables 61216 6122016

DALY CITYCOLMA

Child Care as of 2015

No of

Providers

Under 2 Years

Old

2 to 4 Year

Olds

Total 0 to 4

Years

EXISTING DEMAND Child Care Demand

Estimated Total Children

Average LFPRAdjustment Factor

Children With Working Parents

Licensed Care Demand Factor

Resident Children Needing Licensed Care

of Total Resident Children Needing Licensed Care

Children from Non-Resident Employees Needing

Licensed Care

(1)

(2)

(3)

2495 3575

742

1851 3268

37

685 3047

27 85

126 190

6070

5119

73

3732

61

316

Total Demand for Child Care Spaces

Distribution

EXISTING SUPPLY (4)

811 3237

20 80

Child Care Spaces

4048

100

Family Child Care Home Supply

Child Care Center Supply

Current Child Care Supply

Distribution

EXISTING SURPLUS(SHORTAGE)

Distribution

Percentage of Demand Met

by Existing FacilitiesSpaces

Shortage of Family Child Care Home Spaces

Shortage of Center-Based Spaces

(5)

(6)

(6)

85

28

113

288 362

84 1264

372 1626

19 81

(439) (1612)

21 79

46 50

(340) (359)

(99) (1253)

649

1348

1997

100

(2051)

100

49

(698)

(1352)

FINAL

Table A-6

Existing Child Care Demand and Supply in 2015 in Daly CityColma

San Mateo Co unty Child Care Study - 2016

Note All footnote references can be found in Table C-1 at the end of this file

Sources 2010 US Census ABAG Projections 2013 2014 American Community Survey ACS Journey-to-Work data 2006-2008 and 2006-2010

Child Care Coordinating Council of San Mateo County (4Cs) Community Care Licensing Brion Economics Inc

Prepared by Brion Economics Inc 2513-SMC NA Final Tables 61216 6122016

EAST PALO ALTO

Child Care as of 2015

No of

Providers

Under 2 Years

Old

2 to 4 Year

Olds

Total 0 to 4

Years

EXISTING DEMAND Child Care Demand

Estimated Total Children

Average LFPRAdjustment Factor

Children With Working Parents

Licensed Care Demand Factor

Resident Children Needing Licensed Care

of Total Resident Children Needing Licensed Care

Children from Non-Resident Employees Needing

Licensed Care

(1)

(2)

(3)

1046 1667

71

741 1496

37

274 1392

26 84

18 27

2713

2237

75

1666

61

45

Total Demand for Child Care Spaces

Distribution

EXISTING SUPPLY (4)

292 1419

17 83

Child Care Spaces

1711

100

Family Child Care Home Supply

Child Care Center Supply

Current Child Care Supply

Distribution

EXISTING SURPLUS(SHORTAGE)

Distribution

Percentage of Demand Met

by Existing FacilitiesSpaces

Shortage of Family Child Care Home Spaces

Shortage of Center-Based Spaces

(5)

(6)

(6)

21

6

27

85 106

25 633

110 739

13 87

(182) (680)

21 79

38 52

(141) (98)

(42) (582)

191

658

849

100

(862)

100

50

(239)

(623)

FINAL

Table A-7

Existing Child Care Demand and Supply in 2015 in East Palo Alto

San Mateo County Child Care Study - 2016

Note All footnote references can be found in Table C-1 at the end of this file Sources 2010 US Census ABAG Projections 2013 2014 American Community Survey ACS Journey-to-Work data 2006-2008 and 2006-2010

Child Care Coordinating Council of San Mateo County (4Cs) Community Care Licensing Brion Economics Inc

Prepared by Brion Economics Inc 2513-SMC NA Final Tables 61216 6122016

FOSTER CITY

Child Care as of 2015

No of

Providers

Under 2 Years

Old

2 to 4 Year

Olds

Total 0 to 4

Years

EXISTING DEMAND Child Care Demand

Estimated Total Children

Average LFPRAdjustment Factor

Children With Working Parents

Licensed Care Demand Factor

Resident Children Needing Licensed Care

of Total Resident Children Needing Licensed Care

Children from Non-Resident Employees Needing

Licensed Care

(1)

(2)

(3)

836 1277

63

528 1108

37

195 1035

23 81

73 110

2113

1636

75

1231

58

183

Total Demand for Child Care Spaces

Distribution

EXISTING SUPPLY (4)

268 1145

19 81

Child Care Spaces

1414

100

Family Child Care Home Supply

Child Care Center Supply

Current Child Care Supply

Distribution

EXISTING SURPLUS(SHORTAGE)

Distribution

Percentage of Demand Met

by Existing FacilitiesSpaces

Shortage of Family Child Care Home Spaces

Shortage of Center-Based Spaces

(5)

(6)

(6)

29

12

41

118 149

88 1200

206 1349

13 87

(62) 203

NA NA

77 118

(36) NA

(27) NA

267

1288

1555

100

141

NA

110

(36)

(27)

FINAL

Table A-8

Existing Child Care Demand and Supply in 2015 in Foster City

San Mateo County Child Care Study - 2016

Note All footnote references can be found in Table C-1 at the end of this file

Sources 2010 US Census ABAG Projections 2013 2014 American Community Survey ACS Journey-to-Work data 2006-2008 and 2006-2010

Child Care Coordinating Council of San Mateo County (4Cs) Community Care Licensing Brion Economics Inc

Prepared by Brion Economics Inc 2513-SMC NA Final Tables 61216 6122016

HALF MOON BAY REGION

Child Care as of 2015

No of

Providers

Under 2 Years

Old

2 to 4 Year

Olds

Total 0 to 4

Years

EXISTING DEMAND Child Care Demand

Estimated Total Children

Average LFPRAdjustment Factor

Children With Working Parents

Licensed Care Demand Factor

Resident Children Needing Licensed Care

of Total Resident Children Needing Licensed Care

Children from Non-Resident Employees Needing

Licensed Care

(1)

(2)

(3)

511 860

69

354 772

37

131 723

26 84

13 19

1371

1126

76

854

62

32

Total Demand for Child Care Spaces

Distribution

EXISTING SUPPLY (4)

144 742

16 84

Child Care Spaces

885

100

Family Child Care Home Supply

Child Care Center Supply

Current Child Care Supply

Distribution

EXISTING SURPLUS(SHORTAGE)

Distribution

Percentage of Demand Met

by Existing FacilitiesSpaces

Shortage of Family Child Care Home Spaces

Shortage of Center-Based Spaces

(5)

(6)

(6)

28

11

39

96 121

35 285

131 406

24 76

(13) (336)

4 96

91 55

(9) (100)

(3) (236)

216

320

536

100

(349)

100

61

(109)

(240)

FINAL

Table A-9

Existing Child Care Demand and Supply in 2015 in Half Moon Bay Region

San Mateo County Child Care Study - 2016

Note All footnote references can be found in Table C-1 at the end of this file

Sources 2010 US Census ABAG Projections 2013 2014 American Community Survey ACS Journey-to-Work data 2006-2008 and 2006-2010

Child Care Coordinating Council of San Mateo County (4Cs) Community Care Licensing Brion Economics Inc

Prepared by Brion Economics Inc 2513-SMC NA Final Tables 61216 6122016

HILLSBOROUGH

Child Care as of 2015

No of

Providers

Under 2 Years

Old

2 to 4 Year

Olds

Total 0 to 4

Years

EXISTING DEMAND Child Care Demand

Estimated Total Children

Average LFPRAdjustment Factor

Children With Working Parents

Licensed Care Demand Factor

Resident Children Needing Licensed Care

of Total Resident Children Needing Licensed Care

Children from Non-Resident Employees Needing

Licensed Care

(1)

(2)

(3)

138 331

52

71 284

37

26 272

19 82

7 10

469

356

84

298

64

16

Total Demand for Child Care Spaces

Distribution

EXISTING SUPPLY (4)

33 282

10 90

Child Care Spaces

315

100

Family Child Care Home Supply

Child Care Center Supply

Current Child Care Supply

Distribution

EXISTING SURPLUS(SHORTAGE)

Distribution

Percentage of Demand Met

by Existing FacilitiesSpaces

Shortage of Family Child Care Home Spaces

Shortage of Center-Based Spaces

(5)

(6)

(6)

1

4

5

5 6

- 91

5 97

5 95

(28) (185)

13 87

15 34

(28) (12)

0 (173)

11

91

102

100

(213)

100

32

(40)

(173)

FINAL

Table A-10

Existing Child Care Demand and Supply in 2015 in Hillsborough

San Mateo County Child Care Study - 2016

Note All footnote references can be found in Table C-1 at the end of this file Sources 2010 US Census ABAG Projections 2013 2014 American Community Survey ACS Journey-to-Work data 2006-2008 and 2006-2010

Child Care Coordinating Council of San Mateo County (4Cs) Community Care Licensing Brion Economics Inc

Prepared by Brion Economics Inc 2513-SMC NA Final Tables 61216 6122016

MENLO PARK

Child Care as of 2015

No of

Providers

Under 2 Years

Old

2 to 4 Year

Olds

Total 0 to 4

Years

EXISTING DEMAND Child Care Demand

Estimated Total Children

Average LFPRAdjustment Factor

Children With Working Parents

Licensed Care Demand Factor

Resident Children Needing Licensed Care

of Total Resident Children Needing Licensed Care

Children from Non-Resident Employees Needing

Licensed Care

(1)

(2)

(3)

1170 1723

69

802 1551

37

297 1458

25 85

220 332

2893

2353

75

1754

61

552

Total Demand for Child Care Spaces

Distribution

EXISTING SUPPLY (4)

516 1790

22 78

Child Care Spaces

2306

100

Family Child Care Home Supply

Child Care Center Supply

Current Child Care Supply

Distribution

EXISTING SURPLUS(SHORTAGE)

Distribution

Percentage of Demand Met

by Existing FacilitiesSpaces

Shortage of Family Child Care Home Spaces

Shortage of Center-Based Spaces

(5)

(6)

(6)

18

25

43

76 96

73 1331

149 1427

9 91

(367) (363)

50 50

29 80

(188) (24)

(180) (338)

172

1404

1576

100

(730)

100

68

(212)

(518)

FINAL

Table A-11

Existing Child Care Demand and Supply in 2015 in Menlo Park

San Mateo County Child Care Study - 2016

Note All footnote references can be found in Table C-1 at the end of this file Sources 2010 US Census ABAG Projections 2013 2014 American Community Survey ACS Journey-to-Work data 2006-2008 and 2006-2010

Child Care Coordinating Council of San Mateo County (4Cs) Community Care Licensing Brion Economics Inc

Prepared by Brion Economics Inc 2513-SMC NA Final Tables 61216 6122016

MILLBRAE

Child Care as of 2015

No of

Providers

Under 2 Years

Old

2 to 4 Year

Olds

Total 0 to 4

Years

EXISTING DEMAND Child Care Demand

Total Children

Average LFPRAdjustment Factor

Children With Working Parents

Licensed Care Demand Factor

Resident Children Needing Licensed Care

of Total Resident Children Needing Licensed Care

Children from Non-Resident Employees Needing

Licensed Care

(1)

(2)

(3)

421 717

62

260 632

37

96 598

23 83

28 42

1138

892

78

694

61

69

Total Demand for Child Care Spaces

Distribution

EXISTING SUPPLY (4)

124 640

16 84

Child Care Spaces

764

100

Family Child Care Home Supply

Child Care Center Supply

Current Child Care Supply

Distribution

EXISTING SURPLUS(SHORTAGE)

Distribution

Percentage of Demand Met

by Existing FacilitiesSpaces

Shortage of Family Child Care Home Spaces

Shortage of Center-Based Spaces

(5)

(6)

(6)

17

7

24

62 78

- 376

62 454

12 88

(61) (186)

25 75

50 71

(61) (32)

0 (154)

141

376

517

100

(247)

100

68

(93)

(154)

FINAL

Table A-12

Existing Child Care Demand and Supply in 2015 in Millbrae

San Mateo Co unty Child Care Study - 2016

Note All footnote references can be found in Table C-1 at the end of this file

Sources 2010 US Census ABAG Projections 2013 2014 American Community Survey ACS Journey-to-Work data 2006-2008 and 2006-2010

Child Care Coordinating Council of San Mateo County (4Cs) Community Care Licensing Brion Economics Inc

Prepared by Brion Economics Inc 2513-SMC NA Final Tables 61216 6122016

PACIFICA

Child Care as of 2015

No of

Providers

Under 2 Years

Old

2 to 4 Year

Olds

Total 0 to 4

Years

EXISTING DEMAND Child Care Demand

Estimated Total Children

Average LFPRAdjustment Factor

Children With Working Parents

Licensed Care Demand Factor

Resident Children Needing Licensed Care

of Total Resident Children Needing Licensed Care

Children from Non-Resident Employees Needing

Licensed Care

(1)

(2)

(3)

787 1253

78

610 1165

37

226 1089

29 87

18 27

2040

1776

74

1315

64

45

Total Demand for Child Care Spaces

Distribution

EXISTING SUPPLY (4)

244 1117

18 83

Child Care Spaces

1360

100

Family Child Care Home Supply

Child Care Center Supply

Current Child Care Supply

Distribution

EXISTING SURPLUS(SHORTAGE)

Distribution

Percentage of Demand Met

by Existing FacilitiesSpaces

Shortage of Family Child Care Home Spaces

Shortage of Center-Based Spaces

(5)

(6)

(6)

21

18

39

77 97

39 701

116 798

13 87

(128) (319)

29 71

48 71

(85) (39)

(43) (280)

174

740

914

100

(447)

100

67

(124)

(323)

FINAL

Table A-13

Existing Child Care Demand and Supply in 2015 in Pacifica

San Mateo County Child Care Study - 2016

Note All footnote references can be found in Table C-1 at the end of this file Sources 2010 US Census ABAG Projections 2013 2014 American Community Survey ACS Journey-to-Work data 2006-2008 and 2006-2010

Child Care Coordinating Council of San Mateo County (4Cs) Community Care Licensing Brion Economics Inc

Prepared by Brion Economics Inc 2513-SMC NA Final Tables 61216 6122016

PORTOLA VALLEY

No of

Providers

Child Care as of 2015

Under 2 Years

Old

2 to 4 Year

Olds

Total 0 to 4

Years

EXISTING DEMAND Child Care Demand

Estimated Total Children

Average LFPRAdjustment Factor

Children With Working Parents

Licensed Care Demand Factor

Resident Children Needing Licensed Care

of Total Resident Children Needing Licensed Care

Children from Non-Resident Employees Needing

Licensed Care

(1)

(2)

(3)

75 187

66

49 168

37

18 159

24 85

8 12

261

217

82

177

68

21

Total Demand for Child Care Spaces

Distribution

EXISTING SUPPLY (4)

26 171

13 87

Child Care Spaces

198

100

Family Child Care Home Supply

Child Care Center Supply

Current Child Care Supply

Distribution

EXISTING SURPLUS(SHORTAGE)

Distribution

Percentage of Demand Met

by Existing FacilitiesSpaces

Shortage of Family Child Care Home Spaces

Shortage of Center-Based Spaces

(5)

(6)

(6)

0

4

4

0 0

0 153

0 153

0 100

(26) (18)

59 41

0 89

0 0

(26) (18)

0

153

153

100

(45)

100

77

0

(45)

FINAL

Table A-14

Existing Child Care Demand and Supply in 2015 in Portola Valley

San Mateo County Child Care Study - 2016

Note All footnote references can be found in Table C-1 at the end of this file Sources 2010 US Census ABAG Projections 2013 2014 American Community Survey ACS Journey-to-Work data 2006-2008 and 2006-2010

Child Care Coordinating Council of San Mateo County (4Cs) Community Care Licensing Brion Economics Inc

Prepared by Brion Economics Inc 2513-SMC NA Final Tables 61216 6122016

REDWOOD CITY

Child Care as of 2015

No of

Providers

Under 2 Years

Old

2 to 4 Year

Olds

Total 0 to 4

Years

EXISTING DEMAND Child Care Demand

Estimated Total Children

Average LFPRAdjustment Factor

Children With Working Parents

Licensed Care Demand Factor

Resident Children Needing Licensed Care

of Total Resident Children Needing Licensed Care

Children from Non-Resident Employees Needing

Licensed Care

Total Demand for Child Care Spaces

Distribution

EXISTING SUPPLY

(1)

(2)

(3)

(4)

3260 4706

69

2236 4212

37

827 3942

25 84

414 625

1241 4567

21 79

Child Care Spaces

7966

6449

74

4770

60

1038

5808

100

Family Child Care Home Supply

Child Care Center Supply

Current Child Care Supply

Distribution

EXISTING SURPLUS(SHORTAGE)

Distribution

Percentage of Demand Met

by Existing FacilitiesSpaces

Shortage of Family Child Care Home Spaces

Shortage of Center-Based Spaces

(5)

(6)

(6)

111

45

156

396 497

356 2036

752 2533

23 77

(490) (2034)

19 81

61 55

(258) (399)

(232) (1635)

893

2392

3285

100

(2524)

100

57

(657)

(1867)

FINAL

Table A-15

Existing Child Care Demand and Supply in 2015 in Redwood City

San Mateo County Child Care Study - 2016

Note All footnote references can be found in Table C-1 at the end of this file Sources 2010 US Census ABAG Projections 2013 2014 American Community Survey ACS Journey-to-Work data 2006-2008 and 2006-2010

Child Care Coordinating Council of San Mateo County (4Cs) Community Care Licensing Brion Economics Inc

Prepared by Brion Economics Inc 2513-SMC NA Final Tables 61216 6122016

SAN BRUNO

Child Care as of 2015

No of

Providers

Under 2 Years

Old

2 to 4 Year

Olds

Total 0 to 4

Years

EXISTING DEMAND Child Care Demand

Estimated Total Children

Average LFPRAdjustment Factor

Children With Working Parents

Licensed Care Demand Factor

Resident Children Needing Licensed Care

of Total Resident Children Needing Licensed Care

Children from Non-Resident Employees Needing

Licensed Care

(1)

(2)

(3)

1069 1553

77

817 1428

37

302 1326

28 85

61 92

2622

2245

73

1628

62

153

Total Demand for Child Care Spaces

Distribution

EXISTING SUPPLY (4)

364 1418

20 80

Child Care Spaces

1782

100

Family Child Care Home Supply

Child Care Center Supply

Current Child Care Supply

Distribution

EXISTING SURPLUS(SHORTAGE)

Distribution

Percentage of Demand Met

by Existing FacilitiesSpaces

Shortage of Family Child Care Home Spaces

Shortage of Center-Based Spaces

(5)

(6)

(6)

34

15

49

122 153

26 1183

148 1336

10 90

(216) (82)

72 28

41 94

(178) (9)

(38) (73)

275

1209

1484

100

(298)

100

83

(187)

(110)

FINAL

Table A-16

Existing Child Care Demand and Supply in 2015 in San Bruno

San Mateo County Child Care Study - 2016

Note All footnote references can be found in Table C-1 at the end of this file Sources 2010 US Census ABAG Projections 2013 2014 American Community Survey ACS Journey-to-Work data 2006-2008 and 2006-2010

Child Care Coordinating Council of San Mateo County (4Cs) Community Care Licensing Brion Economics Inc

Prepared by Brion Economics Inc 2513-SMC NA Final Tables 61216 6122016

SAN CARLOS

Child Care as of 2015

No of

Providers

Under 2 Years

Old

2 to 4 Year

Olds

Total 0 to 4

Years

EXISTING DEMAND Child Care Demand

Estimated Total Children

Average LFPRAdjustment Factor

Children With Working Parents

Licensed Care Demand Factor

Resident Children Needing Licensed Care

of Total Resident Children Needing Licensed Care

Children from Non-Resident Employees Needing

Licensed Care

(1)

(2)

(3)

735 1308

72

526 1186

37

195 1109

26 85

75 114

2043

1712

76

1304

64

189

Total Demand for Child Care Spaces

Distribution

EXISTING SUPPLY (4)

270 1222

18 82

Child Care Spaces

1492

100

Family Child Care Home Supply

Child Care Center Supply

Current Child Care Supply

Distribution

EXISTING SURPLUS(SHORTAGE)

Distribution

Percentage of Demand Met

by Existing FacilitiesSpaces

Shortage of Family Child Care Home Spaces

Shortage of Center-Based Spaces

(5)

(6)

(6)

20

14

34

73 92

76 615

149 707

17 83

(121) (516)

19 81

55 58

(59) (67)

(62) (449)

164

691

855

100

(637)

100

57

(126)

(511)

FINAL

Table A-17

Existing Child Care Demand and Supply in 2015 in San Carlos

San Mateo County Child Care Study - 2016

Note All footnote references can be found in Table C-1 at the end of this file

Sources 2010 US Census ABAG Projections 2013 2014 American Community Survey ACS Journey-to-Work data 2006-2008 and 2006-2010

Child Care Coordinating Council of San Mateo County (4Cs) Community Care Licensing Brion Economics Inc

Prepared by Brion Economics Inc 2513-SMC NA Final Tables 61216 6122016

SAN MATEO

Child Care as of 2015

No of

Providers

Under 2 Years

Old

2 to 4 Year

Olds

Total 0 to 4

Years

EXISTING DEMAND Child Care Demand

Estimated Total Children

Average LFPRAdjustment Factor

Children With Working Parents

Licensed Care Demand Factor

Resident Children Needing Licensed Care

of Total Resident Children Needing Licensed Care

Children from Non-Resident Employees Needing

Licensed Care

(1)

(2)

(3)

2943 4213

71

2087 3793

37

772 3537

26 84

231 348

7156

5880

73

4309

60

579

Total Demand for Child Care Spaces

Distribution

EXISTING SUPPLY (4)

1003 3886

21 79

Child Care Spaces

4889

100

Family Child Care Home Supply

Child Care Center Supply

Current Child Care Supply

Distribution

EXISTING SURPLUS(SHORTAGE)

Distribution

Percentage of Demand Met

by Existing FacilitiesSpaces

Shortage of Family Child Care Home Spaces

Shortage of Center-Based Spaces

(5)

(6)

(6)

126

59

185

492 619

209 2577

701 3196

18 82

(302) (690)

30 70

70 82

(212) (134)

(90) (557)

1111

2786

3897

100

(992)

100

80

(345)

(647)

FINAL

Table A-18

Existing Child Care Demand and Supply in 2015 in San Mateo

San Mateo County Child Care Study - 2016

Note All footnote references can be found in Table C-1 at the end of this file

Sources 2010 US Census ABAG Projections 2013 2014 American Community Survey ACS Journey-to-Work data 2006-2008 and 2006-2010

Child Care Coordinating Council of San Mateo County (4Cs) Community Care Licensing Brion Economics Inc

Prepared by Brion Economics Inc 2513-SMC NA Final Tables 61216 6122016

SOUTH COAST

Child Care as of 2015

No of

Providers

Under 2 Years

Old

2 to 4 Year

Olds

Total 0 to 4

Years

EXISTING DEMAND Child Care Demand

Estimated Total Children

Average LFPRAdjustment Factor

Children With Working Parents

Licensed Care Demand Factor

Resident Children Needing Licensed Care

of Total Resident Children Needing Licensed Care

Children from Non-Resident Employees Needing

Licensed Care

(1)

(2)

(3)

21 29

54

11 25

37

4 23

20 81

0 0

50

36

77

28

56

0

Total Demand for Child Care Spaces

Distribution

EXISTING SUPPLY (4)

4 23

15 85

Child Care Spaces

28

100

Family Child Care Home Supply

Child Care Center Supply

Current Child Care Supply

Distribution

EXISTING SURPLUS(SHORTAGE)

Distribution

Percentage of Demand Met

by Existing FacilitiesSpaces

Shortage of Family Child Care Home Spaces

Shortage of Center-Based Spaces

(5)

(6)

(6)

-

2

2

- -

- 54

- 54

0 100

(4) 31

-16 116

0 230

(2) NA

(2) NA

0

54

54

100

26

100

195

(2)

(2)

FINAL

Table A-19

Existing Child Care Demand and Supply in 2015 in South Coast

San Mateo County Child Care Study - 2016

Note All footnote references can be found in Table C-1 at the end of this file

Sources 2010 US Census ABAG Projections 2013 2014 American Community Survey ACS Journey-to-Work data 2006-2008 and 2006-2010

Child Care Coordinating Council of San Mateo County (4Cs) Community Care Licensing Brion Economics Inc

Prepared by Brion Economics Inc 2513-SMC NA Final Tables 61216 6122016

SOUTH SAN FRANCISCO

Child Care as of 2015

No of

Providers

Under 2 Years

Old

2 to 4 Year

Olds

Total 0 to 4

Years

EXISTING DEMAND Child Care Demand

Estimated Total Children

Average LFPRAdjustment Factor

Children With Working Parents

Licensed Care Demand Factor

Resident Children Needing Licensed Care

of Total Resident Children Needing Licensed Care

Children from Non-Resident Employees Needing

Licensed Care

(1)

(2)

(3)

1649 2507

73

1206 2278

37

446 2123

27 85

309 466

4156

3484

74

2569

62

774

Total Demand for Child Care Spaces

Distribution

EXISTING SUPPLY (4)

755 2588

23 77

Child Care Spaces

3343

100

Family Child Care Home Supply

Child Care Center Supply

Current Child Care Supply

Distribution

EXISTING SURPLUS(SHORTAGE)

Distribution

Percentage of Demand Met

by Existing FacilitiesSpaces

Shortage of Family Child Care Home Spaces

Shortage of Center-Based Spaces

(5)

(6)

(6)

68

27

95

252 317

400 1966

652 2283

22 78

(103) (306)

25 75

86 88

(40) (42)

(63) (263)

569

2366

2935

100

(408)

100

88

(82)

(326)

FINAL

Table A-20

Existing Child Care Demand and Supply in 2015 in South San Francisco

San Mateo County Child Care Study - 2016

Note All footnote references can be found in Table C-1 at the end of this file Sources 2010 US Census ABAG Projections 2013 2014 American Community Survey ACS Journey-to-Work data 2006-2008 and 2006-2010

Child Care Coordinating Council of San Mateo County (4Cs) Community Care Licensing Brion Economics Inc

Prepared by Brion Economics Inc 2513-SMC NA Final Tables 61216 6122016

WOODSIDE

No of

Providers

Child Care as of 2015

Under 2 Years

Old

2 to 4 Year

Olds

Total 0 to 4

Years

EXISTING DEMAND Child Care Demand

Estimated Total Children

Average LFPRAdjustment Factor

Children With Working Parents

Licensed Care Demand Factor

Resident Children Needing Licensed Care

of Total Resident Children Needing Licensed Care

Children from Non-Resident Employees Needing

Licensed Care

(1)

(2)

(3)

90 160

56

50 136

37

18 128

21 80

8 13

250

186

79

147

59

21

Total Demand for Child Care Spaces

Distribution

EXISTING SUPPLY (4)

27 141

16 84

Child Care Spaces

168

100

Family Child Care Home Supply

Child Care Center Supply

Current Child Care Supply

Distribution

EXISTING SURPLUS(SHORTAGE)

Distribution

Percentage of Demand Met

by Existing FacilitiesSpaces

Shortage of Family Child Care Home Spaces

Shortage of Center-Based Spaces

(5)

(6)

(6)

1

2

3

4 5

0 103

4 108

4 96

(23) (33)

41 59

16 77

(23) (2)

0 (31)

9

103

112

100

(55)

100

67

(24)

(31)

FINAL

Table A-21

Existing Child Care Demand and Supply in 2015 in Woodside

San Mateo County Child Care Study - 2016

Note All footnote references can be found in Table C-1 at the end of this file Sources 2010 US Census ABAG Projections 2013 2014 American Community Survey ACS Journey-to-Work data 2006-2008 and 2006-2010

Child Care Coordinating Council of San Mateo County (4Cs) Community Care Licensing Brion Economics Inc

Prepared by Brion Economics Inc 2513-SMC NA Final Tables 61216 6122016

COUNTYWIDE

Child Care as of 2025

No of

Providers

Under 2 Years

Old

2 to 4 Year

Olds

Total 0 to 4

Years

EXISTING DEMAND Child Care Demand

Estimated Total Children

Average LFPRAdjustment Factor

Children With Working Parents

Licensed Care Demand Factor

Resident Children Needing Licensed Care

of Total Resident Children Needing Licensed Care

Children from Non-Resident Employees Needing

Licensed Care

Total Demand for Child Care Spaces

Distribution

EXISTING SUPPLY

(1)

(2)

(3)

(4)

20790 31340

71

14704 28273

37

5441 26432

26 84

2037 3074

7478 29506

20 80

Child Care Spaces

52130

42978

86

31873

61

5112

36984

100

Family Child Care Home Supply

Child Care Center Supply

Current Child Care Supply

Distribution

EXISTING SURPLUS(SHORTAGE)

Distribution

Percentage of Demand Met

by Existing FacilitiesSpaces

Shortage of Family Child Care Home Spaces

Shortage of Center-Based Spaces

(5)

(6)

(6)

621

309

930

2301 2893

1514 16296

3815 19189

17 83

(3663) (10318)

26 74

51 65

(2209) (1555)

(1454) (8762)

5193

17810

23003

100

(13981)

100

62

(3765)

(10216)

FINAL

Table B-1

Future C hild Care Demand and Supply in 2025 Countywide

San Mateo County Child Care Study - 2016

Note All footnote references can be found in Table C-1 at the end of this file

Sources 2010 US Census ABAG Projections 2013 2014 American Community Survey ACS Journey-to-Work data 2006-2008 and 2006-2010

Child Care Coordinating Council of San Mateo County (4Cs) Community Care Licensing Brion Economics Inc

Prepared by Brion Economics Inc 2513-SMC NA Final Tables 61216 6122016

ATHERTON

No of

Providers

Child Care as of 2025

Under 2 Years

Old

2 to 4 Year

Olds

Total 0 to 4

Years

EXISTING DEMAND Child Care Demand

Estimated Total Children

Average LFPRAdjustment Factor

Children With Working Parents

Licensed Care Demand Factor

Resident Children Needing Licensed Care

of Total Resident Children Needing Licensed Care

Children from Non-Resident Employees Needing

Licensed Care

(1)

(2)

(3)

109 193

40

43 159

37

16 154

15 80

13 19

302

202

84

170

56

32

Total Demand for Child Care Spaces

Distribution

EXISTING SUPPLY (4)

29 173

14 86

Child Care Spaces

201

100

Family Child Care Home Supply

Child Care Center Supply

Current Child Care Supply

Distribution

EXISTING SURPLUS(SHORTAGE)

Distribution

Percentage of Demand Met

by Existing FacilitiesSpaces

Shortage of Family Child Care Home Spaces

Shortage of Center-Based Spaces

(5)

(6)

(6)

1

6

7

5 6

24 267

29 273

10 90

0 101

0 100

101 158

NA NA

NA NA

11

291

302

100

101

100

150

NA

NA

FINAL

Table B-2

Future Child Care Demand and Supply in 2025 in Atherton

San Mateo Co unty Child Care Study - 2016

Note All footnote references can be found in Table C-1 at the end of this file Sources 2010 US Census ABAG Projections 2013 2014 American Community Survey ACS Journey-to-Work data 2006-2008 and 2006-2010

Child Care Coordinating Council of San Mateo County (4Cs) Community Care Licensing Brion Economics Inc

Prepared by Brion Economics Inc 2513-SMC NA Final Tables 61216 6122016

BELMONT

Child Care as of 2025

No of

Providers

Under 2 Years

Old

2 to 4 Year

Olds

Total 0 to 4

Years

EXISTING DEMAND Child Care Demand

Estimated Total Children

Average LFPRAdjustment Factor

Children With Working Parents

Licensed Care Demand Factor

Resident Children Needing Licensed Care

of Total Resident Children Needing Licensed Care

Children from Non-Resident Employees Needing

Licensed Care

(1)

(2)

(3)

743 1095

77

574 1013

37

213 943

29 86

37 56

1838

1587

73

1156

63

93

Total Demand for Child Care Spaces

Distribution

EXISTING SUPPLY (4)

250 999

20 80

Child Care Spaces

1249

100

Family Child Care Home Supply

Child Care Center Supply

Current Child Care Supply

Distribution

EXISTING SURPLUS(SHORTAGE)

Distribution

Percentage of Demand Met

by Existing FacilitiesSpaces

Shortage of Family Child Care Home Spaces

Shortage of Center-Based Spaces

(5)

(6)

(6)

8

9

17

67 84

39 531

106 615

15 85

(143) (384)

27 73

43 62

(91) (53)

(53) (331)

152

570

722

100

(527)

100

58

(143)

(384)

FINAL

Table B-3

Future Child Care Demand and Supply in 2025 in Belmont

San Mateo County Child Care Study - 2016

Note All footnote references can be found in Table C-1 at the end of this file

Sources 2010 US Census ABAG Projections 2013 2014 American Community Survey ACS Journey-to-Work data 2006-2008 and 2006-2010

Child Care Coordinating Council of San Mateo County (4Cs) Community Care Licensing Brion Economics Inc

Prepared by Brion Economics Inc 2513-SMC NA Final Tables 61216 6122016

BRISBANE

Child Care as of 2025

No of

Providers

Under 2 Years

Old

2 to 4 Year

Olds

Total 0 to 4

Years

EXISTING DEMAND Child Care Demand

Estimated Total Children

Average LFPRAdjustment Factor

Children With Working Parents

Licensed Care Demand Factor

Resident Children Needing Licensed Care

of Total Resident Children Needing Licensed Care

Children from Non-Resident Employees Needing

Licensed Care

(1)

(2)

(3)

131 174

100

131 174

37

48 160

37 92

55 83

305

305

68

209

68

138

Total Demand for Child Care Spaces

Distribution

EXISTING SUPPLY (4)

103 243

30 70

Child Care Spaces

346

100

Family Child Care Home Supply

Child Care Center Supply

Current Child Care Supply

Distribution

EXISTING SURPLUS(SHORTAGE)

Distribution

Percentage of Demand Met

by Existing FacilitiesSpaces

Shortage of Family Child Care Home Spaces

Shortage of Center-Based Spaces

(5)

(6)

(6)

1

1

2

4 5

0 64

4 69

6 94

(99) (174)

36 64

4 29

(99) (13)

0 (160)

9

64

73

100

(273)

100

21

(112)

(160)

FINAL

Table B-4

Future Child Care Demand and Supply in 2025 in Brisbane

San Mateo County Child Care Study - 2016

Note All footnote references can be found in Table C-1 at the end of this file Sources 2010 US Census ABAG Projections 2013 2014 American Community Survey ACS Journey-to-Work data 2006-2008 and 2006-2010

Child Care Coordinating Council of San Mateo County (4Cs) Community Care Licensing Brion Economics Inc

Prepared by Brion Economics Inc 2513-SMC NA Final Tables 61216 6122016

BURLINGAME

Child Care as of 2025

No of

Providers

Under 2 Years

Old

2 to 4 Year

Olds

Total 0 to 4

Years

EXISTING DEMAND Child Care Demand

Estimated Total Children

Average LFPRAdjustment Factor

Children With Working Parents

Licensed Care Demand Factor

Resident Children Needing Licensed Care

of Total Resident Children Needing Licensed Care

Children from Non-Resident Employees Needing

Licensed Care

(1)

(2)

(3)

903 1332

65

587 1190

37

217 1124

24 84

154 232

2235

1777

75

1341

60

385

Total Demand for Child Care Spaces

Distribution

EXISTING SUPPLY (4)

371 1356

21 79

Child Care Spaces

1726

100

Family Child Care Home Supply

Child Care Center Supply

Current Child Care Supply

Distribution

EXISTING SURPLUS(SHORTAGE)

Distribution

Percentage of Demand Met

by Existing FacilitiesSpaces

Shortage of Family Child Care Home Spaces

Shortage of Center-Based Spaces

(5)

(6)

(6)

10

14

24

79 99

40 866

119 965

11 89

(252) (390)

39 61

32 71

(167) (40)

(85) (350)

179

906

1085

100

(642)

100

63

(207)

(434)

FINAL

Table B-5

Future Child Care Demand and Supply in 2025 in Burlingame

San Mateo County Child Care Study - 2016

Note All footnote references can be found in Table C-1 at the end of this file

Sources 2010 US Census ABAG Projections 2013 2014 American Community Survey ACS Journey-to-Work data 2006-2008 and 2006-2010

Child Care Coordinating Council of San Mateo County (4Cs) Community Care Licensing Brion Economics Inc

Prepared by Brion Economics Inc 2513-SMC NA Final Tables 61216 6122016

DALY CITYCOLMA

Child Care as of 2025

No of

Providers

Under 2 Years

Old

2 to 4 Year

Olds

Total 0 to 4

Years

EXISTING DEMAND Child Care Demand

Estimated Total Children

Average LFPRAdjustment Factor

Children With Working Parents

Licensed Care Demand Factor

Resident Children Needing Licensed Care

of Total Resident Children Needing Licensed Care

Children from Non-Resident Employees Needing

Licensed Care

(1)

(2)

(3)

2647 3793

74

1964 3467

37

727 3233

27 85

138 208

6440

5432

73

3960

61

346

Total Demand for Child Care Spaces

Distribution

EXISTING SUPPLY (4)

865 3441

20 80

Child Care Spaces

4306

100

Family Child Care Home Supply

Child Care Center Supply

Current Child Care Supply

Distribution

EXISTING SURPLUS(SHORTAGE)

Distribution

Percentage of Demand Met

by Existing FacilitiesSpaces

Shortage of Family Child Care Home Spaces

Shortage of Center-Based Spaces

(5)

(6)

(6)

25

28

28

288 362

84 1264

372 1626

19 81

(493) (1816)

21 79

43 47

(381) (404)

(111) (1412)

649

1348

1997

100

(2308)

100

46

(785)

(1523)

FINAL

Table B-6

Future C hild Care Demand and Supply in 2025 in Daly CityColma

San Mateo County Child Care Study - 2016

Note All footnote references can be found in Table C-1 at the end of this file

Sources 2010 US Census ABAG Projections 2013 2014 American Community Survey ACS Journey-to-Work data 2006-2008 and 2006-2010

Child Care Coordinating Council of San Mateo County (4Cs) Community Care Licensing Brion Economics Inc

Prepared by Brion Economics Inc 2513-SMC NA Final Tables 61216 6122016

EAST PALO ALTO

Child Care as of 2025

No of

Providers

Under 2 Years

Old

2 to 4 Year

Olds

Total 0 to 4

Years

EXISTING DEMAND Child Care Demand

Estimated Total Children

Average LFPRAdjustment Factor

Children With Working Parents

Licensed Care Demand Factor

Resident Children Needing Licensed Care

of Total Resident Children Needing Licensed Care

Children from Non-Resident Employees Needing

Licensed Care

(1)

(2)

(3)

1161 1849

71

822 1660

37

304 1545

26 84

20 30

3010

2482

75

1849

61

50

Total Demand for Child Care Spaces

Distribution

EXISTING SUPPLY (4)

324 1575

17 83

Child Care Spaces

1900

100

Family Child Care Home Supply

Child Care Center Supply

Current Child Care Supply

Distribution

EXISTING SURPLUS(SHORTAGE)

Distribution

Percentage of Demand Met

by Existing FacilitiesSpaces

Shortage of Family Child Care Home Spaces

Shortage of Center-Based Spaces

(5)

(6)

(6)

13

6

19

85 106

25 633

110 739

13 87

(215) (836)

20 80

34 47

(166) (120)

(49) (715)

191

658

849

100

(1050)

100

45

(286)

(764)

FINAL

Table B-7

Future Child Care Demand and Supply in 2025 in East Palo Alto

San Mateo County Child Care Study - 2016

Note All footnote references can be found in Table C-1 at the end of this file

Sources 2010 US Census ABAG Projections 2013 2014 American Community Survey ACS Journey-to-Work data 2006-2008 and 2006-2010

Child Care Coordinating Council of San Mateo County (4Cs) Community Care Licensing Brion Economics Inc

Prepared by Brion Economics Inc 2513-SMC NA Final Tables 61216 6122016

FOSTER CITY

Child Care as of 2025

No of

Providers

Under 2 Years

Old

2 to 4 Year

Olds

Total 0 to 4

Years

EXISTING DEMAND Child Care Demand

Estimated Total Children

Average LFPRAdjustment Factor

Children With Working Parents

Licensed Care Demand Factor

Resident Children Needing Licensed Care

of Total Resident Children Needing Licensed Care

Children from Non-Resident Employees Needing

Licensed Care

(1)

(2)

(3)

871 1330

63

550 1154

37

204 1079

23 81

80 120

2201

1705

75

1282

58

200

Total Demand for Child Care Spaces

Distribution

EXISTING SUPPLY (4)

283 1199

19 81

Child Care Spaces

1483

100

Family Child Care Home Supply

Child Care Center Supply

Current Child Care Supply

Distribution

EXISTING SURPLUS(SHORTAGE)

Distribution

Percentage of Demand Met

by Existing FacilitiesSpaces

Shortage of Family Child Care Home Spaces

Shortage of Center-Based Spaces

(5)

(6)

(6)

19

12

31

118 149

88 1200

206 1349

13 87

(77) 150

-106 206

73 112

(44) NA

(33) NA

267

1288

1555

100

73

100

105

(44)

(33)

FINAL

Table B-8

Future Child Care Demand and Supply in 2025 in Foster City

San Mateo County Child Care Study - 2016

Note All footnote references can be found in Table C-1 at the end of this file

Sources 2010 US Census ABAG Projections 2013 2014 American Community Survey ACS Journey-to-Work data 2006-2008 and 2006-2010

Child Care Coordinating Council of San Mateo County (4Cs) Community Care Licensing Brion Economics Inc

Prepared by Brion Economics Inc 2513-SMC NA Final Tables 61216 6122016

HALF MOON BAY REGION

Child Care as of 2025

No of

Providers

Under 2 Years

Old

2 to 4 Year

Olds

Total 0 to 4

Years

EXISTING DEMAND Child Care Demand

Estimated Total Children

Average LFPRAdjustment Factor

Children With Working Parents

Licensed Care Demand Factor

Resident Children Needing Licensed Care

of Total Resident Children Needing Licensed Care

Children from Non-Resident Employees Needing

Licensed Care

(1)

(2)

(3)

553 929

69

383 835

37

142 781

26 84

14 21

1482

1217

76

923

62

34

Total Demand for Child Care Spaces

Distribution

EXISTING SUPPLY (4)

155 802

16 84

Child Care Spaces

957

100

Family Child Care Home Supply

Child Care Center Supply

Current Child Care Supply

Distribution

EXISTING SURPLUS(SHORTAGE)

Distribution

Percentage of Demand Met

by Existing FacilitiesSpaces

Shortage of Family Child Care Home Spaces

Shortage of Center-Based Spaces

(5)

(6)

(6)

10

11

21

96 121

35 285

131 406

24 76

(24) (396)

6 94

84 51

(18) (118)

(6) (279)

216

320

536

100

(421)

100

56

(136)

(285)

FINAL

Table B-9

Future Child Care Demand and Supply in 2025 in Half Moon Bay Region

San Mateo County Child Care Study - 2016

Note All footnote references can be found in Table C-1 at the end of this file

Sources 2010 US Census ABAG Projections 2013 2014 American Community Survey ACS Journey-to-Work data 2006-2008 and 2006-2010

Child Care Coordinating Council of San Mateo County (4Cs) Community Care Licensing Brion Economics Inc

Prepared by Brion Economics Inc 2513-SMC NA Final Tables 61216 6122016

HILLSBOROUGH

Child Care as of 2025

No of

Providers

Under 2 Years

Old

2 to 4 Year

Olds

Total 0 to 4

Years

EXISTING DEMAND Child Care Demand

Estimated Total Children

Average LFPRAdjustment Factor

Children With Working Parents

Licensed Care Demand Factor

Resident Children Needing Licensed Care

of Total Resident Children Needing Licensed Care

Children from Non-Resident Employees Needing

Licensed Care

(1)

(2)

(3)

143 343

52

74 295

37

27 282

19 82

7 11

487

369

84

309

64

17

Total Demand for Child Care Spaces

Distribution

EXISTING SUPPLY (4)

34 292

10 90

Child Care Spaces

327

100

Family Child Care Home Supply

Child Care Center Supply

Current Child Care Supply

Distribution

EXISTING SURPLUS(SHORTAGE)

Distribution

Percentage of Demand Met

by Existing FacilitiesSpaces

Shortage of Family Child Care Home Spaces

Shortage of Center-Based Spaces

(5)

(6)

(6)

1

4

5

5 6

- 91

5 97

5 95

(29) (195)

13 87

14 33

(29) (12)

0 (183)

11

91

102

100

(225)

100

31

(42)

(183)

FINAL

Table B-10

Future Child Care Demand and Supply in 2025 in Hillsborough

San Mateo County Child Care Study - 2016

Note All footnote references can be found in Table C-1 at the end of this file

Sources 2010 US Census ABAG Projections 2013 2014 American Community Survey ACS Journey-to-Work data 2006-2008 and 2006-2010

Child Care Coordinating Council of San Mateo County (4Cs) Community Care Licensing Brion Economics Inc

Prepared by Brion Economics Inc 2513-SMC NA Final Tables 61216 6122016

MENLO PARK

Child Care as of 2025

No of

Providers

Under 2 Years

Old

2 to 4 Year

Olds

Total 0 to 4

Years

EXISTING DEMAND Child Care Demand

Estimated Total Children

Average LFPRAdjustment Factor

Children With Working Parents

Licensed Care Demand Factor

Resident Children Needing Licensed Care

of Total Resident Children Needing Licensed Care

Children from Non-Resident Employees Needing

Licensed Care

(1)

(2)

(3)

1327 1954

69

909 1759

37

336 1653

25 85

237 357

3281

2668

75

1989

61

594

Total Demand for Child Care Spaces

Distribution

EXISTING SUPPLY (4)

573 2011

22 78

Child Care Spaces

2584

100

Family Child Care Home Supply

Child Care Center Supply

Current Child Care Supply

Distribution

EXISTING SURPLUS(SHORTAGE)

Distribution

Percentage of Demand Met

by Existing FacilitiesSpaces

Shortage of Family Child Care Home Spaces

Shortage of Center-Based Spaces

(5)

(6)

(6)

15

25

40

76 96

73 1331

149 1427

9 91

(424) (584)

42 58

26 71

(217) (39)

(207) (544)

172

1404

1576

100

(1008)

100

61

(256)

(752)

FINAL

Table B-11

Future Child Care Demand and Supply in 2025 in Menlo Park

San Mateo County Child Care Study - 2016

Note All footnote references can be found in Table C-1 at the end of this file

Sources 2010 US Census ABAG Projections 2013 2014 American Community Survey ACS Journey-to-Work data 2006-2008 and 2006-2010

Child Care Coordinating Council of San Mateo County (4Cs) Community Care Licensing Brion Economics Inc

Prepared by Brion Economics Inc 2513-SMC NA Final Tables 61216 6122016

MILLBRAE

Child Care as of 2025

No of

Providers

Under 2 Years

Old

2 to 4 Year

Olds

Total 0 to 4

Years

EXISTING DEMAND Child Care Demand

Estimated Total Children

Average LFPRAdjustment Factor

Children With Working Parents

Licensed Care Demand Factor

Resident Children Needing Licensed Care

of Total Resident Children Needing Licensed Care

Children from Non-Resident Employees Needing

Licensed Care

(1)

(2)

(3)

473 805

62

291 710

37

108 672

23 83

31 47

1278

1001

78

780

61

77

Total Demand for Child Care Spaces

Distribution

EXISTING SUPPLY (4)

139 718

16 84

Child Care Spaces

857

100

Family Child Care Home Supply

Child Care Center Supply

Current Child Care Supply

Distribution

EXISTING SURPLUS(SHORTAGE)

Distribution

Percentage of Demand Met

by Existing FacilitiesSpaces

Shortage of Family Child Care Home Spaces

Shortage of Center-Based Spaces

(5)

(6)

(6)

7

7

14

62 78

- 376

62 454

12 88

(76) (264)

22 78

45 63

(76) (46)

0 (219)

141

376

517

100

(340)

100

60

(122)

(219)

FINAL

Table B-12

Future C hild Care Demand and Supply in 2025 in Millbrae

San Mateo County Child Care Study - 2016

Note All footnote references can be found in Table C-1 at the end of this file

Sources 2010 US Census ABAG Projections 2013 2014 American Community Survey ACS Journey-to-Work data 2006-2008 and 2006-2010

Child Care Coordinating Council of San Mateo County (4Cs) Community Care Licensing Brion Economics Inc

Prepared by Brion Economics Inc 2513-SMC NA Final Tables 61216 6122016

FINAL

Table B-13

Future Child Care Demand and Supply in 2025 in Pacifica

San Mateo County Child Care Study - 2016

PACIFICA

Child Care as of 2025

No of

Providers

Under 2 Years

Old

2 to 4 Year

Olds

Total 0 to 4

Years

EXISTING DEMAND Child Care Demand

Estimated Total Children

Average L FPRAdjustment Factor

Children With Working Parents

Licensed Care Demand Factor

Resident Children Needing Licensed Care

of Total Resident Children Needing Licensed Care

Children from Non-Resident Employees Needing

Licensed Care

(1)

(2)

(3)

816 1300

78

633 1209

37

234 1130

29 87

19 29

2116

1842

74

1364

64

48

Total Demand for Child Care Spaces

Distribution

EXISTING SUPPLY (4)

254 1159

18 82

Child Care Spaces

1413

100

Family Child Care Home Supply

Child Care Center Supply

Current Child Care Supply

Distribution

EXISTING SURPLUS(SHORTAGE)

Distribution

Percentage of Demand Met

by Existing FacilitiesSpaces

Shortage of Family Child Care Home Spaces

Shortage of Center-Based Spaces

(5)

(6)

(6)

9

18

27

77 97

39 701

116 798

13 87

(138) (361)

28 72

46 69

(91) (44)

(46) (317)

174

740

914

100

(499)

100

65

(135)

(364)

Note All footnote references can be found in Table C-1 at the end of this file

Sources 2010 US Census ABAG Projections 2013 2014 American Community Survey ACS Journey-to-Work data 2006-2008 and 2006-2010

Child Care Coordinating Council of San Mateo County (4Cs) Community Care Licensing Brion Economics Inc

Prepared by Brion Economics Inc 2513-SMC NA Final Tables 61216 6122016

PORTOLA VALLEY

Child Care as of 2025

No of

Providers

Under 2 Years

Old

2 to 4 Year

Olds

Total 0 to 4

Years

EXISTING DEMAND Child Care Demand

Estimated Total Children

Average LFPRAdjustment Factor

Children With Working Parents

Licensed Care Demand Factor

Resident Children Needing Licensed Care

of Total Resident Children Needing Licensed Care

Children from Non-Resident Employees Needing

Licensed Care

(1)

(2)

(3)

77 192

66

51 173

37

19 164

24 85

9 13

269

224

82

182

68

22

Total Demand for Child Care Spaces

Distribution

EXISTING SUPPLY (4)

28 177

13 87

Child Care Spaces

204

100

Family Child Care Home Supply

Child Care Center Supply

Current Child Care Supply

Distribution

EXISTING SURPLUS(SHORTAGE)

Distribution

Percentage of Demand Met

by Existing FacilitiesSpaces

Shortage of Family Child Care Home Spaces

Shortage of Center-Based Spaces

(5)

(6)

(6)

0

4

4

- -

- 153

- 153

0 100

(28) (24)

54 46

0 87

0 0

(28) (24)

0

153

153

100

(51)

100

75

0

(51)

FINAL

Table B-14

Future Child Care Demand and Supply in 2025 in Portola Valley

San Mateo County Child Care Study - 2016

Note All footnote references can be found in Table C-1 at the end of this file

Sources 2010 US Census ABAG Projections 2013 2014 American Community Survey ACS Journey-to-Work data 2006-2008 and 2006-2010

Child Care Coordinating Council of San Mateo County (4Cs) Community Care Licensing Brion Economics Inc

Prepared by Brion Economics Inc 2513-SMC NA Final Tables 61216 6122016

REDWOOD CITY

No of

Providers

Child Care as of 2025

Under 2 Years

Old

2 to 4 Year

Olds

Total 0 to 4

Years

EXISTING DEMAND Child Care Demand

Estimated Total Children

Average LFPRAdjustment Factor

Children With Working Parents

Licensed Care Demand Factor

Resident Children Needing Licensed Care

of Total Resident Children Needing Licensed Care

Children from Non-Resident Employees Needing

Licensed Care

Total Demand for Child Care Spaces

Distribution

EXISTING SUPPLY

(1)

(2)

(3)

(4)

3725 5378

69

2555 4813

37

946 4505

25 84

466 703

1411 5208

21 79

Child Care Spaces

9103

7368

74

5450

60

1169

6619

100

Family Child Care Home Supply

Child Care Center Supply

Current Child Care Supply

Distribution

EXISTING SURPLUS(SHORTAGE)

Distribution

Percentage of Demand Met

by Existing FacilitiesSpaces

Shortage of Family Child Care Home Spaces

Shortage of Center-Based Spaces

(5)

(6)

(6)

42

41

83

396 497

356 2036

752 2533

23 77

(660) (2674)

20 80

53 49

(347) (525)

(313) (2149)

893

2392

3285

100

(3334)

100

50

(872)

(2462)

FINAL

Table B-15

Future Child Care Demand and Supply in 2025 in Redwood City

San Mateo County Child Care Study - 2016

Note All footnote references can be found in Table C-1 at the end of this file

Sources 2010 US Census ABAG Projections 2013 2014 American Community Survey ACS Journey-to-Work data 2006-2008 and 2006-2010

Child Care Coordinating Council of San Mateo County (4Cs) Community Care Licensing Brion Economics Inc

Prepared by Brion Economics Inc 2513-SMC NA Final Tables 61216 6122016

SAN BRUNO

Child Care as of 2025

No of

Providers

Under 2 Years

Old

2 to 4 Year

Olds

Total 0 to 4

Years

EXISTING DEMAND Child Care Demand

Estimated Total Children

Average LFPRAdjustment Factor

Children With Working Parents

Licensed Care Demand Factor

Resident Children Needing Licensed Care

of Total Resident Children Needing Licensed Care

Children from Non-Resident Employees Needing

Licensed Care

(1)

(2)

(3)

1189 1728

77

910 1589

37

337 1475

28 85

68 103

2917

2498

73

1812

62

171

Total Demand for Child Care Spaces

Distribution

EXISTING SUPPLY (4)

405 1578

20 80

Child Care Spaces

1983

100

Family Child Care Home Supply

Child Care Center Supply

Current Child Care Supply

Distribution

EXISTING SURPLUS(SHORTAGE)

Distribution

Percentage of Demand Met

by Existing FacilitiesSpaces

Shortage of Family Child Care Home Spaces

Shortage of Center-Based Spaces

(5)

(6)

(6)

13

15

28

122 153

26 1183

148 1336

10 90

(257) (242)

52 48

37 85

(212) (28)

(45) (214)

275

1209

1484

100

(499)

100

75

(239)

(259)

FINAL

Table B-16

Future C hild Care Demand and Supply in 2025 in San Bruno

San Mateo County Child Care Study - 2016

Note All footnote references can be found in Table C-1 at the end of this file

Sources 2010 US Census ABAG Projections 2013 2014 American Community Survey ACS Journey-to-Work data 2006-2008 and 2006-2010

Child Care Coordinating Council of San Mateo County (4Cs) Community Care Licensing Brion Economics Inc

Prepared by Brion Economics Inc 2513-SMC NA Final Tables 61216 6122016

SAN CARLOS

Child Care as of 2025

No of

Providers

Under 2 Years

Old

2 to 4 Year

Olds

Total 0 to 4

Years

EXISTING DEMAND Child Care Demand

Estimated Total Children

Average LFPRAdjustment Factor

Children With Working Parents

Licensed Care Demand Factor

Resident Children Needing Licensed Care

of Total Resident Children Needing Licensed Care

Children from Non-Resident Employees Needing

Licensed Care

(1)

(2)

(3)

778 1384

72

557 1255

37

206 1174

26 85

82 123

2162

1812

76

1380

64

205

Total Demand for Child Care Spaces

Distribution

EXISTING SUPPLY (4)

288 1297

18 82

Child Care Spaces

1585

100

Family Child Care Home Supply

Child Care Center Supply

Current Child Care Supply

Distribution

EXISTING SURPLUS(SHORTAGE)

Distribution

Percentage of Demand Met

by Existing FacilitiesSpaces

Shortage of Family Child Care Home Spaces

Shortage of Center-Based Spaces

(5)

(6)

(6)

28

14

42

73 92

76 615

149 707

17 83

(139) (590)

19 81

52 54

(68) (76)

(71) (514)

164

691

855

100

(729)

100

54

(145)

(585)

FINAL

Table B-17

Future Child Care Demand and Supply in 2025 in San Carlos

San Mateo County Child Care Study - 2016

Note All footnote references can be found in Table C-1 at the end of this file

Sources 2010 US Census ABAG Projections 2013 2014 American Community Survey ACS Journey-to-Work data 2006-2008 and 2006-2010

Child Care Coordinating Council of San Mateo County (4Cs) Community Care Licensing Brion Economics Inc

Prepared by Brion Economics Inc 2513-SMC NA Final Tables 61216 6122016

SAN MATEO

Child Care as of 2025

No of

Providers

Under 2 Years

Old

2 to 4 Year

Olds

Total 0 to 4

Years

EXISTING DEMAND Child Care Demand

Estimated Total Children

Average LFPRAdjustment Factor

Children With Working Parents

Licensed Care Demand Factor

Resident Children Needing Licensed Care

of Total Resident Children Needing Licensed Care

Children from Non-Resident Employees Needing

Licensed Care

(1)

(2)

(3)

3194 4572

71

2264 4116

37

838 3839

26 84

261 394

7766

6381

73

4677

60

656

Total Demand for Child Care Spaces

Distribution

EXISTING SUPPLY (4)

1099 4233

21 79

Child Care Spaces

5332

100

Family Child Care Home Supply

Child Care Center Supply

Current Child Care Supply

Distribution

EXISTING SURPLUS(SHORTAGE)

Distribution

Percentage of Demand Met

by Existing FacilitiesSpaces

Shortage of Family Child Care Home Spaces

Shortage of Center-Based Spaces

(5)

(6)

(6)

69

59

128

492 619

209 2577

701 3196

18 82

(398) (1037)

28 72

64 75

(279) (201)

(119) (837)

1111

2786

3897

100

(1435)

100

73

(480)

(955)

FINAL

Table B-18

Future Child Care Demand and Supply in 2025 in San Mateo

San Mateo County Child Care Study - 2016

Note All footnote references can be found in Table C-1 at the end of this file

Sources 2010 US Census ABAG Projections 2013 2014 American Community Survey ACS Journey-to-Work data 2006-2008 and 2006-2010

Child Care Coordinating Council of San Mateo County (4Cs) Community Care Licensing Brion Economics Inc

Prepared by Brion Economics Inc 2513-SMC NA Final Tables 61216 6122016

FINAL

Table B-19

Future Child Care Demand and Supply in 2025 in South Coast

San Mateo County Child Care Study - 2016

SOUTH COAST

Child Care as of 2025

No of

Providers

Under 2 Years

Old

2 to 4 Year

Olds

Total 0 to 4

Years

EXISTING DEMAND Child Care Demand

Estimated Total Children (1) 23 32 55

Average LFPRAdjustment Factor (2) 54

Children With Working Parents 12 27 40

Licensed Care Demand Factor (3) 37 77

Resident Children Needing Licensed Care 5 26 30

of Total Resident Children Needing Licensed Care 20 81 56

Children from Non-Resident Employees Needing

Licensed Care 0 0 0

Total Demand for Child Care Spaces 5 26 30

Distribution 15 85 100

EXISTING SUPPLY (4) Child Care Spaces

Family Child Care Home Supply - 0 0 0

Child Care Center Supply 2 0 54 54

Current Child Care Supply 2 - 54 54

Distribution 0 100 100

EXISTING SURPLUS(SHORTAGE) (5) 28 24

Distribution -19 119 100

Percentage of Demand Met

by Existing FacilitiesSpaces (5) 0 209 177

Shortage of Family Child Care Home Spaces (6) 0 NA 0

Shortage of Center-Based Spaces (6) (5) NA (5)

Note All footnote references can be found in Table C-1 at the end of this file

Sources 2010 US Census ABAG Projections 2013 2014 American Community Survey ACS Journey-to-Work data 2006-2008 and 2006-2010

Child Care Coordinating Council of San Mateo County (4Cs) Community Care Licensing Brion Economics Inc

Prepared by Brion Economics Inc 2513-SMC NA Final Tables 61216 6122016

SOUTH SAN FRANCISCO

Child Care as of 2025

No of

Providers

Under 2 Years

Old

2 to 4 Year

Olds

Total 0 to 4

Years

EXISTING DEMAND Child Care Demand

Estimated Total Children

Average LFPRAdjustment Factor

Children With Working Parents

Licensed Care Demand Factor

Resident Children Needing Licensed Care

of Total Resident Children Needing Licensed Care

Children from Non-Resident Employees Needing

Licensed Care

(1)

(2)

(3)

1835 2790

73

1342 2535

37

496 2362

27 85

339 512

4625

3877

74

2859

62

851

Total Demand for Child Care Spaces

Distribution

EXISTING SUPPLY (4)

835 2874

23 77

Child Care Spaces

3709

100

Family Child Care Home Supply

Child Care Center Supply

Current Child Care Supply

Distribution

EXISTING SURPLUS(SHORTAGE)

Distribution

Percentage of Demand Met

by Existing FacilitiesSpaces

Shortage of Family Child Care Home Spaces

Shortage of Center-Based Spaces

(5)

(6)

(6)

30

27

57

252 317

400 1966

652 2283

22 78

(183) (591)

24 76

78 79

(71) (82)

(113) (509)

569

2366

2935

100

(775)

100

79

(153)

(622)

FINAL

Table B-20

Future Child Care Demand and Supply in 2025 in South San Francisco

San Mateo County Child Care Study - 2016

Note All footnote references can be found in Table C-1 at the end of this file

Sources 2010 US Census ABAG Projections 2013 2014 American Community Survey ACS Journey-to-Work data 2006-2008 and 2006-2010

Child Care Coordinating Council of San Mateo County (4Cs) Community Care Licensing Brion Economics Inc

Prepared by Brion Economics Inc 2513-SMC NA Final Tables 61216 6122016

WOODSIDE

No of

Providers

Child Care as of 2025

Under 2 Years

Old

2 to 4 Year

Olds

Total 0 to 4

Years

EXISTING DEMAND Child Care Demand

Estimated Total Children

Average LFPRAdjustment Factor

Children With Working Parents

Licensed Care Demand Factor

Resident Children Needing Licensed Care

of Total Resident Children Needing Licensed Care

Children from Non-Resident Employees Needing

Licensed Care

(1)

(2)

(3)

93 165

56

51 140

37

19 132

21 80

9 13

258

192

79

152

59

22

Total Demand for Child Care Spaces

Distribution

EXISTING SUPPLY (4)

28 146

16 84

Child Care Spaces

174

100

Family Child Care Home Supply

Child Care Center Supply

Current Child Care Supply

Distribution

EXISTING SURPLUS(SHORTAGE)

Distribution

Percentage of Demand Met

by Existing FacilitiesSpaces

Shortage of Family Child Care Home Spaces

Shortage of Center-Based Spaces

(5)

(6)

(6)

1

2

3

4 5

- 103

4 108

4 96

(24) (38)

39 61

15 74

(24) (2)

0 (36)

9

103

112

100

(61)

100

65

(26)

(36)

FINAL

Table B-21

Future Child Care Demand and Supply in 2025 in Woodside

San Mateo County Child Care Study - 2016

Note All footnote references can be found in Table C-1 at the end of this file

Sources 2010 US Census ABAG Projections 2013 2014 American Community Survey ACS Journey-to-Work data 2006-2008 and 2006-2010

Child Care Coordinating Council of San Mateo County (4Cs) Community Care Licensing Brion Economics Inc

Prepared by Brion Economics Inc 2513-SMC NA Final Tables 61216 6122016

FINAL

Table C-1

Endnotes for Tables

San Mateo County Child Care Study - 2016

(1) Population by age is based on the percentage breakdown from the 2010 US Census and applied

to population estimates for 2015 using ABAGs Projections 2013 population data The ABAG data

for each area includes its Sphere of Influence and is not based on strict jurisdictional boundaries

(2) Labor force participation rates are from the 5-Year American Community Survey 2014 and include

children under six years old with two working parents or a single working parent For the 2- to 4-year

olds the labor force participation rate is applied to 2 year olds For 3- and 4-year olds it is assumed

that 100 need licensed care to support preschool for every child so the number of

3- and 4-year olds is not discounted by labor force participation rates

(3) Not all children with working parents are assumed to need licensed care percentage assumptions are

used to calculate the number of children requiring licensed care under each age category The

remaining children are assumed to be cared for in alternate arrangements such as by family members

nannies friends and other unlicensed care For children ages 3- and 4-years old it is assumed that

they all need care in the form of preschool

(4) Data on child care supply provided by the Child Care Coordinating Council of San Mateo County (4Cs)

and Community Care Licensing Division of the California Department of Social Services (CCLD) Data is

for June 2015

(5) Demand that calculates as less than 100 means that there is greater demand than supply percent of

demand that is over 100 means supply exceeds demand

(6) Unmet demand is broken down into shortage by type of care based on the proportion of FCCHs and

child care centers spaces available in each area If an area does not have any FCCHs or centers the

unmet demand is placed in the type of care that is available in the area (eg if there are only centers

all demand goes to centers)

Source Brion Economics Inc

Prepared by Brion Economics Inc 2513-SMC NA Final Tables 61216 6122016

DRAFT REPORT

Table C-2

Labor Force Participation Rates by CityArea

San Mateo County Child Care Study - 2016

CityArea

Labor Force

Participation Rate (1)

Atherton

Belmont

Brisbane

Burlingame

Daly CityColma

East Palo Alto

Foster City

Half Moon Bay Region

Hillsborough

Menlo Park

Millbrae

Pacifica

Portola Valley

Redwood City

San Bruno

San Carlos

San Mateo

South Coast

South San Francisco

Woodside

40

77

100

65

74

71

63

69

52

69

62

78

66

69

77

72

71

54

73

56

(1) Labor force participation rates (LFPRs) are for

families with children under age six with two

working parents or a single parent who works Sources American Community Survey 2014 5-Year

Survey Brion Economics Inc

Prepared by Brion Economics Inc 2513-SMC NA Final Tables 61216 6122016

  • 2513-SMC FINAL NA Memo-61216
  • 2513-SMC NA Final Tables 61216
Page 14: Final San Mateo County Child Care Needs … Care...Future C hild Care Demand and Supply in 2025 in Daly City/Colma San Mateo County Child Care Study - 2016 Note: All footnote references

Under 2 2 to 4 Year Total CityArea as of

CityArea Years Old Olds Supply Total Supply

Atherton 29 273 302 13

Belmont 106 615 722 31

Brisbane 4 69 73 03

Burlingame 119 965 1085 47

Daly CityColma 372 1626 1997 87

East Palo Alto 110 739 849 37

Foster City 206 1349 1555 68

Half Moon Bay Region (1) 131 406 536 23

Hillsborough 5 97 102 04

Menlo Park (2) 149 1427 1576 69

Millbrae 62 454 517 22

Pacifica 116 798 914 40

Portola Valley 0 153 153 07

Redwood City (2) 752 2533 3285 143

San Bruno 148 1336 1484 65

San Carlos 149 707 855 37

San Mateo 701 3196 3897 169

South Coast (3) 0 54 54 02

South San Francisco 652 2283 2935 128

Woodside 4 108 112 05

Total 3815 19189 23003 1000

FINAL

Table 5

Child Care Supply Summary Table for 2015

San Mateo County Child Care Study - 2016

Note Totals may be off slightly due to rounding

(1) Half Moon Bay Region includes the City of Half Moon Bay El Granada Montara

and Moss Beach

(2) ABAG Projections have 6300 people listed as Remainder population this

amount is divided equally between Menlo Park and Redwood City given that

they are surrounded by unincorporated areas

(3) South Coast includes La Honda Loma Mar and Pescadero

Sources Child Care Coordinating Council of San Mateo County (4Cs) Community

Care Licensing Brion Economics Inc

Prepared by Brion Economics Inc 2513-SMC NA Final Tables 61216 6122016

2015 2025

CityArea as CityArea as

Under 2 2 to 4 Year Total of Total Under 2 2 to 4 Total of Total

CityArea Years Old Olds Demand Demand Years Old Year Olds Demand Demand

Atherton 27 165 192 06 29 173 201 05

Belmont 237 950 1187 35 250 999 1249 34

Brisbane 98 231 329 10 103 243 346 09

Burlingame 338 1236 1574 47 371 1356 1726 47

Daly CityColma 811 3237 4048 120 865 3441 4306 116

East Palo Alto 292 1419 1711 51 324 1575 1900 51

Foster City 268 1145 1414 42 283 1199 1483 40

Half Moon Bay Region (1) 144 742 885 26 155 802 957 26

Hillsborough 33 282 315 09 34 292 327 09

Menlo Park (2) 516 1790 2306 68 573 2011 2584 70

Millbrae 124 640 764 23 139 718 857 23

Pacifica 244 1117 1360 40 254 1159 1413 38

Portola Valley 26 171 198 06 28 177 204 06

Redwood City (2) 1241 4567 5808 172 1411 5208 6619 179

San Bruno 364 1418 1782 53 405 1578 1983 54

San Carlos 270 1222 1492 44 288 1297 1585 43

San Mateo 1003 3886 4889 145 1099 4233 5332 144

South Coast (3) 4 23 28 01 5 26 30 01

South San Francisco 755 2588 3343 99 835 2874 3709 100

Woodside 27 141 168 05 28 146 174 05

Total 6821 26971 33792 1000 7478 29506 36984 1000

FINAL

Table 6

Child Care Demand Summary Table for 2015 and 2025

San Mateo County Child Care Study - 2016

(1) Half Moon Bay Region includes the City of Half Moon Bay El Granada Montara and Moss Beach

(2) ABAG Projections have 6300 people listed as Remainder population this amount is divided equally between Menlo Park

and Redwood City given that they are surrounded by unincorporated areas

(3) South Coast includes La Honda Loma Mar and Pescadero

Sources 2010 US Census ABAG Projections 2013 Brion Economics Inc

Prepared by Brion Economics Inc 2513-SMC NA Final Tables 61216 6122016

No of Non- No of Employee

Resident No of 0 to 2 No of 3 to 4 Children Needing

CityArea Assumptions Employees Year Olds Year Olds Licensed Care

Estimated Percent of Employees

Needing Licensed Care (1) 300 40 60 100

Atherton 983 12 18 29

Belmont 2843 34 51 85

Brisbane 4316 52 78 129

Burlingame 11680 140 211 350

Daly CityColma 10540 126 190 316

East Palo Alto 1485 18 27 45

Foster City 6108 73 110 183

Half Moon Bay Region (2) 1060 13 19 32

Hillsborough 546 7 10 16

Menlo Park 18390 220 332 552

Millbrae 2304 28 42 69

Pacifica 1504 18 27 45

Portola Valley 689 8 12 21

Redwood City 34317 410 619 1029

San Bruno 5106 61 92 153

San Carlos 6295 75 114 189

San Mateo 19314 231 348 579

South Coast (3) 0 0 0 0

South San Francisco 22128 265 399 664

Woodside 708 8 13 21

SF Airport (4) 3676 44 66 110

Remainder (4) 299 4 5 9

Total Countywide 154289 1845 2784 4629

FINAL

Table 7

Employee Demand Summary Table for 2015

San Mateo County Child Care Study - 2016

Note Totals may be off slightly due to rounding

(1) We are assuming 3 of employees children require licensed care the breakdown of demand for infant and

preschool spaces is based on the percentage of infants and preschoolers who currently reside in San Mateo

County

(2) Half Moon Bay Region includes the City of Half Moon Bay El Granada Montara and Moss Beach

(3) South Coast includes La Honda Loma Mar and Pescadero

(4) SF Airport and Remainder are groupings by ABAG For employment SF Airport demand is attributed to South San

Francisco and Remainder demand is included with Redwood City

Sources 2010 US Census ABAG Projections 2013 2014 5-Year American Community Survey Journey-To-Work Data

Brion Economics Inc

Prepared by Brion Economics Inc 2513-SMC NA Final Tables 61216 6122016

No of Non- No of Employee

Resident No of 0 to 2 No of 3 to 4 Children Needing

CityArea Assumptions Employees Year Olds Year Olds Licensed Care

Estimated Percent of Employees

Needing Licensed Care (1) 300 40 60 100

Atherton 1051 13 19 32

Belmont 3108 37 56 93

Brisbane 4593 55 83 138

Burlingame 12850 154 232 385

Daly CityColma 11521 138 208 346

East Palo Alto 1683 20 30 50

Foster City 6677 80 120 200

Half Moon Bay Region (2) 1138 14 21 34

Hillsborough 583 7 11 17

Menlo Park 19813 237 357 594

Millbrae 2578 31 47 77

Pacifica 1611 19 29 48

Portola Valley 736 9 13 22

Redwood City 38624 462 697 1159

San Bruno 5695 68 103 171

San Carlos 6834 82 123 205

San Mateo 21855 261 394 656

South Coast (3) 0 0 0 0

South San Francisco 24173 289 436 725

Woodside 747 9 13 22

SF Airport (4) 4185 50 75 126

Remainder (4) 333 4 6 10

Total Countywide 170387 2037 3074 5112

FINAL

Table 8

Employee Demand Summary Table for 2025

San Mateo County Child Care Study - 2016

Note Totals may be off slightly due to rounding

(1) We are assuming 3 of employees children require licensed care the breakdown of demand for infant and

preschool spaces is based on the percentage of infants and preschoolers who currently reside in San Mateo County

(2) Half Moon Bay Region includes the City of Half Moon Bay El Granada Montara and Moss Beach

(3) South Coast includes La Honda Loma Mar and Pescadero

(4) SF Airport and Remainder are groupings by ABAG For employment SF Airport demand is attributed to South San

Francisco and Remainder demand is included with Redwood City

Sources 2010 US Census ABAG Projections 2013 2014 5-Year American Community Survey Journey-To-Work Data

Brion Economics Inc

Prepared by Brion Economics Inc 2513-SMC NA Final Tables 61216 6122016

2015

Surplus(Shortage) of Infant Surplus(Shortage) of Preschool Total Total

CityArea of Infant Spaces Demand Met of Preschool Spaces Demand Met Surplus(Shortage) Demand Met

Atherton 2 107 108 165 110 157

Belmont (130) 45 (335) 65 (465) 61

Brisbane (94) 4 (162) 30 (255) 22

Burlingame (219) 35 (271) 78 (489) 69

Daly CityColma (439) 46 (1612) 50 (2051) 49

East Palo Alto (182) 38 (680) 52 (862) 50

Foster City (62) 77 203 118 141 110

Half Moon Bay Region (1) (13) 91 (336) 55 (349) 61

Hillsborough (28) 15 (185) 34 (213) 32

Menlo Park (2) (367) 29 (363) 80 (730) 68

Millbrae (61) 50 (186) 71 (247) 0

Pacifica (128) 48 (319) 71 (447) 67

Portola Valley (26) 0 (18) 89 (45) 77

Redwood City (2) (490) 61 (2034) 55 (2524) 57

San Bruno (216) 41 (82) 94 (298) 83

San Carlos (121) 55 (516) 58 (637) 57

San Mateo (302) 70 (690) 82 (992) 80

South Coast (3) (4) 0 31 230 26 195

South San Francisco (103) 86 (306) 88 (408) 88

Woodside (23) 16 (33) 77 (55) 67

Countywide (3006) 56 (7783) 71 (10789) 68

FINAL

Table 9

Summary of Demand Met by Existing Facilities in Each Community at 2015

San Mateo County Child Care Study - 2016

Note Totals may be off slightly due to rounding

(1) Half Moon Bay Region includes the City of Half Moon Bay El Granada Montara and Moss Beach

(2) ABAG Projections have 6300 people listed as Remainder population this amount is divided equally between Menlo Park and Redwood

City given that they are surrounded by unincorporated areas

(3) South Coast includes La Honda Loma Mar and Pescadero

Sources 2010 US Census ABAG Projections 2013 Brion Economics Inc

Prepared by Brion Economics Inc 2513-SMC NA Final Tables 61216 6122016

2025

Surplus(Shortage) of Infant Surplus(Shortage) of Preschool Total Total

CityArea of Infant Spaces Demand Met of Preschool Spaces Demand Met Surplus(Shortage) Demand Met

Atherton 0 101 101 158 101 150

Belmont (143) 43 (384) 62 (527) 58

Brisbane (99) 4 (174) 29 (273) 21

Burlingame (252) 32 (390) 71 (642) 63

Daly CityColma (493) 43 (1816) 47 (2308) 46

East Palo Alto (215) 34 (836) 47 (1050) 45

Foster City (77) 73 150 112 73 105

Half Moon Bay Region (1) (24) 84 (396) 51 (421) 56

Hillsborough (29) 14 (195) 33 (225) 31

Menlo Park (2) (424) 26 (584) 71 (1008) 61

Millbrae (76) 45 (264) 63 (340) 60

Pacifica (138) 46 (361) 69 (499) 65

Portola Valley (28) 0 (24) 87 (51) 75

Redwood City (2) (660) 53 (2674) 49 (3334) 50

San Bruno (257) 37 (242) 85 (499) 75

San Carlos (139) 52 (590) 54 (729) 54

San Mateo (398) 64 (1037) 75 (1435) 73

South Coast (3) (5) 0 28 209 24 177

South San Francisco (183) 78 (591) 79 (775) 79

Woodside (24) 15 (38) 74 (61) 65

Countywide (3663) 51 (10318) 65 (13981) 62

FINAL

Table 10

Summary of Demand Met by Existing Facilities in Each Community at 2025

San Mateo County Child Care Study - 2016

Note Totals may be off slightly due to rounding

(1) Half Moon Bay Region includes the City of Half Moon Bay El Granada Montara and Moss Beach

(2) ABAG Projections have 6300 people listed as Remainder population this amount is divided equally between Menlo Park and Redwood

City given that they are surrounded by unincorporated areas

(3) South Coast includes La Honda Loma Mar and Pescadero

Sources 2010 US Census ABAG Projections 2013 Brion Economics Inc

Prepared by Brion Economics Inc 2513-SMC NA Final Tables 61216 6122016

Table 11

Number of Child Care Providers by City in 2015

San Mateo County Child Care Study - 2016

Family Child Licensed

CityArea Care Homes Centers Total

Atherton 1 6 7

Belmont 18 9 27

Brisbane 1 1 2

Burlingame 21 14 35

Daly CityColma 85 28 113

East Palo Alto 21 6 27

Foster City 29 12 41

Half Moon Bay Region (1) 28 11 39

Hillsborough 1 4 5

Menlo Park (2) 18 25 43

Millbrae 17 7 24

Pacifica 21 18 39

Portola Valley 0 4 4

Redwood City (2) 111 45 156

San Bruno 34 15 49

San Carlos 20 14 34

San Mateo 126 59 185

South Coast (3) 0 2 2

South San Francisco 68 27 95

Woodside 1 2 3

Countywide 621 309 930

FINAL

(1) Half Moon Bay Region includes the City of Half Moon Bay El Granada

Montara and Moss Beach

(2) ABAG Projections have 6300 people listed as Remainder population

this amount is divided equally between Menlo Park and Redwood City

given that they are surrounded by unincorporated areas

(3) South Coast includes La Honda Loma Mar and Pescadero

Sources Child Care Coordinating Council of San Mateo County (4Cs)

Community Care Licensing Brion Economics Inc

Prepared by Brion Economics Inc 2513-SMC NA Final Tables 61216 6122016

CityArea

Shortage

Infant

Center

Spaces

Infant care

Percentage

of Shortage

Shortage

Preschool

Center

Spaces

Preschool

Percentage

of Shortage

Total Center-

Based Space

Shortage

Atherton

Belmont

Brisbane

Burlingame

Daly CityColma

East Palo Alto

Foster City

Half Moon Bay Region

Hillsborough

Menlo Park

Millbrae

Pacifica

Portola Valley

Redwood City

San Bruno

San Carlos

San Mateo

South Coast

South San Francisco

Woodside

Countywide

NA

(48)

NA

(73)

(99)

(42)

(27)

(3)

NA

(180)

0

(43)

(26)

(232)

(38)

(62)

(90)

(2)

(63)

NA

NA

14

NA

23

7

7

100

1

NA

35

0

13

59

12

34

12

14

NA

19

NA

NA

(289)

(149)

(243)

(1253)

(582)

NA

(236)

(173)

(338)

(154)

(280)

(18)

(1635)

(73)

(449)

(557)

NA

(263)

(31)

NA

86

100

77

93

93

NA

99

100

65

100

87

41

88

66

88

86

NA

81

100

NA

(337)

(149)

(316)

(1352)

(623)

(27)

(240)

(173)

(518)

(154)

(323)

(45)

(1867)

(110)

(511)

(647)

(2)

(326)

(31)

(1193) 15 (6609) 85 (7802)

FINAL

Table 12

Summary of Shortage of Child Care Center Spaces by Age - 2015

San Mateo County Child Care Study - 2016

Sources Child Care Coordinating Council of San Mateo County (4Cs) Community Care Licensing

Brion Economics Inc

Prepared by Brion Economics Inc 2513-SMC NA Final Tables 61216 6122016

CityArea

Shortage

Infant Center

Spaces

Infant care

Percentage

of Shortage

Shortage

Preschool

Center

Spaces

Preschool

Percentage

of Shortage

Total Center-

Based Space

Shortage

Atherton

Belmont

Brisbane

Burlingame

Daly CityColma

East Palo Alto

Foster City

Half Moon Bay Region

Hillsborough

Menlo Park

Millbrae

Pacifica

Portola Valley

Redwood City

San Bruno

San Carlos

San Mateo

South Coast

South San Francisco

Woodside

Countywide

NA

(53)

NA

(85)

(111)

(49)

(33)

(6)

NA

(207)

0

(46)

(28)

(313)

(45)

(71)

(119)

(5)

(113)

0

NA

14

NA

19

7

6

100

2

NA

28

0

13

54

13

17

12

12

NA

18

NA

NA

(331)

(160)

(350)

(1412)

(715)

NA

(279)

(183)

(544)

(219)

(317)

(24)

(2149)

(214)

(514)

(837)

NA

(509)

(36)

NA

86

100

81

93

94

NA

98

100

72

100

87

46

87

83

88

88

NA

82

100

NA

(384)

(160)

(434)

(1523)

(764)

(33)

(285)

(183)

(752)

(219)

(364)

(51)

(2462)

(259)

(585)

(955)

(5)

(622)

(36)

(1454) 14 (8762) 86 (10216)

FINAL

Table 13

Summary of Shortage of Child Care Center Spaces by Age - 2025

San Mateo County Child Care Study - 2016

Sources Child Care Coordinating Council of San Mateo County (4Cs) Community Care Licensing

Brion Economics Inc

Prepared by Brion Economics Inc 2513-SMC NA Final Tables 61216 6122016

COUNTYWIDE

Child Care as of 2015

No of

Providers

Under 2 Years

Old

2 to 4 Year

Olds

Total 0 to 4

Years

EXISTING DEMAND Child Care Demand

Estimated Total Children

Average LFPRAdjustment Factor

Children With Working Parents

Licensed Care Demand Factor

Resident Children Needing Licensed Care

of Total Resident Children Needing Licensed Care

Children from Non-Resident Employees Needing

Licensed Care

Total Demand for Child Care Spaces

Distribution

EXISTING SUPPLY

(1)

(2)

(3)

(4)

19008 28678

71

13449 25720

37

4976 24188

26 84

1845 2784

6821 26971

20 80

Child Care Spaces

47686

39169

86

29164

61

4629

33792

100

Family Child Care Home Supply

Child Care Center Supply

Current Child Care Supply

Distribution

EXISTING SURPLUS(SHORTAGE)

Distribution

Percentage of Demand Met

by Existing FacilitiesSpaces

Shortage of Family Child Care Home Spaces

Shortage of Center-Based Spaces

(5)

(6)

(6)

621

309 -930

2301 2893

1514 16296 - -3815 19189

17 83

(3006) (7783)

28 72

56 71

(1813) (1173)

(1193) (6609)

5193

17810 -23003

100

(10789)

100

68

(2986)

(7802)

FINAL

Table A-1

Existing Child Care Demand and Supply in 2015 Countywide

San Mateo County Child Care Study - 2016

Note All footnote references can be found in Table C-1 at the end of this file

Sources 2010 US Census ABAG Projections 2013 2014 American Community Survey ACS Journey-to-Work data 2006-2008 and 2006-2010

Child Care Coordinating Council of San Mateo County (4Cs) Community Care Licensing Brion Economics Inc

Prepared by Brion Economics Inc 2513-SMC NA Final Tables 61216 6122016

ATHERTON

Child Care as of 2015

No of

Providers

Under 2 Years

Old

2 to 4 Year

Olds

Total 0 to 4

Years

EXISTING DEMAND Child Care Demand

Estimated Total Children

Average LFPRAdjustment Factor

Children With Working Parents

Licensed Care Demand Factor

Resident Children Needing Licensed Care

of Total Resident Children Needing Licensed Care

Children from Non-Resident Employees Needing

Licensed Care

(1)

(2)

(3)

105 185

40

42 153

37

15 147

15 80

12 18

290

194

84

163

56

29

Total Demand for Child Care Spaces

Distribution

EXISTING SUPPLY (4)

27 165

14 86

Child Care Spaces

192

100

Family Child Care Home Supply

Child Care Center Supply

Current Child Care Supply

Distribution

EXISTING SURPLUS(SHORTAGE)

Distribution

Percentage of Demand Met

by Existing FacilitiesSpaces

Shortage of Family Child Care Home Spaces

Shortage of Center-Based Spaces

(5)

(6)

(6)

1

6

7

5 6

24 267

29 273

10 90

2 108

2 98

107 165

NA NA

NA NA

11

291

302

100

110

100

157

NA

NA

FINAL

Table A-2

Existing Child Care Demand and Supply in 2015 in Atherton

San Mateo Co unty Child Care Study - 2016

Note All footnote references can be found in Table C-1 at the end of this file

Sources 2010 US Census ABAG Projections 2013 2014 American Community Survey ACS Journey-to-Work data 2006-2008 and 2006-2010

Child Care Coordinating Council of San Mateo County (4Cs) Community Care Licensing Brion Economics Inc

Prepared by Brion Economics Inc 2513-SMC NA Final Tables 61216 6122016

BELMONT

Child Care as of 2015

No of

Providers

Under 2 Years

Old

2 to 4 Year

Olds

Total 0 to 4

Years

EXISTING DEMAND Child Care Demand

Estimated Total Children

Average LFPRAdjustment Factor

Children With Working Parents

Licensed Care Demand Factor

Resident Children Needing Licensed Care

of Total Resident Children Needing Licensed Care

Children from Non-Resident Employees Needing

Licensed Care

(1)

(2)

(3)

708 1045

77

548 966

37

203 899

29 86

34 51

1753

1513

73

1102

63

85

Total Demand for Child Care Spaces

Distribution

EXISTING SUPPLY (4)

237 950

20 80

Child Care Spaces

1187

100

Family Child Care Home Supply

Child Care Center Supply

Current Child Care Supply

Distribution

EXISTING SURPLUS(SHORTAGE)

Distribution

Percentage of Demand Met

by Existing FacilitiesSpaces

Shortage of Family Child Care Home Spaces

Shortage of Center-Based Spaces

(5)

(6)

(6)

18

9

27

67 84

39 531

106 615

15 85

(130) (335)

28 72

45 65

(83) (46)

(48) (289)

152

570

722

100

(465)

100

61

(128)

(337)

FINAL

Table A-3

Existing Child Care Demand and Supply in 2015 in Belmont

San Mateo County Child Care Study - 2016

Note All footnote references can be found in Table C-1 at the end of this file Sources 2010 US Census ABAG Projections 2013 2014 American Community Survey ACS Journey-to-Work data 2006-2008 and

2006-2010 Child Care Coordinating Council of San Mateo County (4Cs) Community Care Licensing Brion Economics Inc

Prepared by Brion Economics Inc 2513-SMC NA Final Tables 61216 6122016

FINAL

Table A-4

Existing Child Care Demand and Supply in 2015 in Brisbane

San Mateo County Child Care Study - 2016

BRISBANE

Child Care as of 2015

No of

Providers

Under 2 Years

Old

2 to 4 Year

Olds

Total 0 to 4

Years

EXISTING DEMAND Child Care Demand

Estimated Total Children (1) 125 166 292

Average LFPRAdjustment Factor (2) 100

Children With Working Parents 125 166 292

Licensed Care Demand Factor (3) 37 68

Resident Children Needing Licensed Care 46 153 199

of Total Resident Children Needing Licensed Care 37 92 68

Children from Non-Resident Employees Needing

Licensed Care 52 78 129

Total Demand for Child Care Spaces 98 231 329

Distribution 30 70 100

EXISTING SUPPLY (4) Child Care Spaces

Family Child Care Home Supply 1 4 5 9

Child Care Center Supply 1 - 64 64

Current Child Care Supply 2 4 69 73

Distribution 6 94 100

EXISTING SURPLUS(SHORTAGE) (94) (162) (255)

Distribution 37 63 100

Percentage of Demand Met

by Existing FacilitiesSpaces (5) 4 30 22

Shortage of Family Child Care Home Spaces (6) (94) (12) (106)

Shortage of Center-Based Spaces (6) 0 (149) (149)

Note All footnote references can be found in Table C-1 at the end of this file

Sources 2010 US Census ABAG Projections 2013 2014 American Community Survey ACS Journey-to-Work data 2006-2008 and 2006-2010

Child Care Coordinating Council of San Mateo County (4Cs) Community Care Licensing Brion Economics Inc

Prepared by Brion Economics Inc 2513-SMC NA Final Tables 61216 6122016

BURLINGAME

Child Care as of 2015

No of

Providers

Under 2 Years

Old

2 to 4 Year

Olds

Total 0 to 4

Years

EXISTING DEMAND Child Care Demand

Estimated Total Children

Average LFPRAdjustment Factor

Children With Working Parents

Licensed Care Demand Factor

Resident Children Needing Licensed Care

of Total Resident Children Needing Licensed Care

Children from Non-Resident Employees Needing

Licensed Care

(1)

(2)

(3)

824 1216

65

535 1086

37

198 1025

24 84

140 211

2040

1621

75

1224

60

350

Total Demand for Child Care Spaces

Distribution

EXISTING SUPPLY (4)

338 1236

21 79

Child Care Spaces

1574

100

Family Child Care Home Supply

Child Care Center Supply

Current Child Care Supply

Distribution

EXISTING SURPLUS(SHORTAGE)

Distribution

Percentage of Demand Met

by Existing FacilitiesSpaces

Shortage of Family Child Care Home Spaces

Shortage of Center-Based Spaces

(5)

(6)

(6)

21

14

35

79 99

40 866

119 965

11 89

(219) (271)

45 55

35 78

(145) (28)

(73) (243)

179

906

1085

100

(489)

100

69

(173)

(316)

FINAL

Table A-5

Existing Child Care Demand and Supply in 2015 in Burlingame

San Mateo County Child Care Study - 2016

Note All footnote references can be found in Table C-1 at the end of this file

Sources 2010 US Census ABAG Projections 2013 2014 American Community Survey ACS Journey-to-Work data 2006-2008 and 2006-2010

Child Care Coordinating Council of San Mateo County (4Cs) Community Care Licensing Brion Economics Inc

Prepared by Brion Economics Inc 2513-SMC NA Final Tables 61216 6122016

DALY CITYCOLMA

Child Care as of 2015

No of

Providers

Under 2 Years

Old

2 to 4 Year

Olds

Total 0 to 4

Years

EXISTING DEMAND Child Care Demand

Estimated Total Children

Average LFPRAdjustment Factor

Children With Working Parents

Licensed Care Demand Factor

Resident Children Needing Licensed Care

of Total Resident Children Needing Licensed Care

Children from Non-Resident Employees Needing

Licensed Care

(1)

(2)

(3)

2495 3575

742

1851 3268

37

685 3047

27 85

126 190

6070

5119

73

3732

61

316

Total Demand for Child Care Spaces

Distribution

EXISTING SUPPLY (4)

811 3237

20 80

Child Care Spaces

4048

100

Family Child Care Home Supply

Child Care Center Supply

Current Child Care Supply

Distribution

EXISTING SURPLUS(SHORTAGE)

Distribution

Percentage of Demand Met

by Existing FacilitiesSpaces

Shortage of Family Child Care Home Spaces

Shortage of Center-Based Spaces

(5)

(6)

(6)

85

28

113

288 362

84 1264

372 1626

19 81

(439) (1612)

21 79

46 50

(340) (359)

(99) (1253)

649

1348

1997

100

(2051)

100

49

(698)

(1352)

FINAL

Table A-6

Existing Child Care Demand and Supply in 2015 in Daly CityColma

San Mateo Co unty Child Care Study - 2016

Note All footnote references can be found in Table C-1 at the end of this file

Sources 2010 US Census ABAG Projections 2013 2014 American Community Survey ACS Journey-to-Work data 2006-2008 and 2006-2010

Child Care Coordinating Council of San Mateo County (4Cs) Community Care Licensing Brion Economics Inc

Prepared by Brion Economics Inc 2513-SMC NA Final Tables 61216 6122016

EAST PALO ALTO

Child Care as of 2015

No of

Providers

Under 2 Years

Old

2 to 4 Year

Olds

Total 0 to 4

Years

EXISTING DEMAND Child Care Demand

Estimated Total Children

Average LFPRAdjustment Factor

Children With Working Parents

Licensed Care Demand Factor

Resident Children Needing Licensed Care

of Total Resident Children Needing Licensed Care

Children from Non-Resident Employees Needing

Licensed Care

(1)

(2)

(3)

1046 1667

71

741 1496

37

274 1392

26 84

18 27

2713

2237

75

1666

61

45

Total Demand for Child Care Spaces

Distribution

EXISTING SUPPLY (4)

292 1419

17 83

Child Care Spaces

1711

100

Family Child Care Home Supply

Child Care Center Supply

Current Child Care Supply

Distribution

EXISTING SURPLUS(SHORTAGE)

Distribution

Percentage of Demand Met

by Existing FacilitiesSpaces

Shortage of Family Child Care Home Spaces

Shortage of Center-Based Spaces

(5)

(6)

(6)

21

6

27

85 106

25 633

110 739

13 87

(182) (680)

21 79

38 52

(141) (98)

(42) (582)

191

658

849

100

(862)

100

50

(239)

(623)

FINAL

Table A-7

Existing Child Care Demand and Supply in 2015 in East Palo Alto

San Mateo County Child Care Study - 2016

Note All footnote references can be found in Table C-1 at the end of this file Sources 2010 US Census ABAG Projections 2013 2014 American Community Survey ACS Journey-to-Work data 2006-2008 and 2006-2010

Child Care Coordinating Council of San Mateo County (4Cs) Community Care Licensing Brion Economics Inc

Prepared by Brion Economics Inc 2513-SMC NA Final Tables 61216 6122016

FOSTER CITY

Child Care as of 2015

No of

Providers

Under 2 Years

Old

2 to 4 Year

Olds

Total 0 to 4

Years

EXISTING DEMAND Child Care Demand

Estimated Total Children

Average LFPRAdjustment Factor

Children With Working Parents

Licensed Care Demand Factor

Resident Children Needing Licensed Care

of Total Resident Children Needing Licensed Care

Children from Non-Resident Employees Needing

Licensed Care

(1)

(2)

(3)

836 1277

63

528 1108

37

195 1035

23 81

73 110

2113

1636

75

1231

58

183

Total Demand for Child Care Spaces

Distribution

EXISTING SUPPLY (4)

268 1145

19 81

Child Care Spaces

1414

100

Family Child Care Home Supply

Child Care Center Supply

Current Child Care Supply

Distribution

EXISTING SURPLUS(SHORTAGE)

Distribution

Percentage of Demand Met

by Existing FacilitiesSpaces

Shortage of Family Child Care Home Spaces

Shortage of Center-Based Spaces

(5)

(6)

(6)

29

12

41

118 149

88 1200

206 1349

13 87

(62) 203

NA NA

77 118

(36) NA

(27) NA

267

1288

1555

100

141

NA

110

(36)

(27)

FINAL

Table A-8

Existing Child Care Demand and Supply in 2015 in Foster City

San Mateo County Child Care Study - 2016

Note All footnote references can be found in Table C-1 at the end of this file

Sources 2010 US Census ABAG Projections 2013 2014 American Community Survey ACS Journey-to-Work data 2006-2008 and 2006-2010

Child Care Coordinating Council of San Mateo County (4Cs) Community Care Licensing Brion Economics Inc

Prepared by Brion Economics Inc 2513-SMC NA Final Tables 61216 6122016

HALF MOON BAY REGION

Child Care as of 2015

No of

Providers

Under 2 Years

Old

2 to 4 Year

Olds

Total 0 to 4

Years

EXISTING DEMAND Child Care Demand

Estimated Total Children

Average LFPRAdjustment Factor

Children With Working Parents

Licensed Care Demand Factor

Resident Children Needing Licensed Care

of Total Resident Children Needing Licensed Care

Children from Non-Resident Employees Needing

Licensed Care

(1)

(2)

(3)

511 860

69

354 772

37

131 723

26 84

13 19

1371

1126

76

854

62

32

Total Demand for Child Care Spaces

Distribution

EXISTING SUPPLY (4)

144 742

16 84

Child Care Spaces

885

100

Family Child Care Home Supply

Child Care Center Supply

Current Child Care Supply

Distribution

EXISTING SURPLUS(SHORTAGE)

Distribution

Percentage of Demand Met

by Existing FacilitiesSpaces

Shortage of Family Child Care Home Spaces

Shortage of Center-Based Spaces

(5)

(6)

(6)

28

11

39

96 121

35 285

131 406

24 76

(13) (336)

4 96

91 55

(9) (100)

(3) (236)

216

320

536

100

(349)

100

61

(109)

(240)

FINAL

Table A-9

Existing Child Care Demand and Supply in 2015 in Half Moon Bay Region

San Mateo County Child Care Study - 2016

Note All footnote references can be found in Table C-1 at the end of this file

Sources 2010 US Census ABAG Projections 2013 2014 American Community Survey ACS Journey-to-Work data 2006-2008 and 2006-2010

Child Care Coordinating Council of San Mateo County (4Cs) Community Care Licensing Brion Economics Inc

Prepared by Brion Economics Inc 2513-SMC NA Final Tables 61216 6122016

HILLSBOROUGH

Child Care as of 2015

No of

Providers

Under 2 Years

Old

2 to 4 Year

Olds

Total 0 to 4

Years

EXISTING DEMAND Child Care Demand

Estimated Total Children

Average LFPRAdjustment Factor

Children With Working Parents

Licensed Care Demand Factor

Resident Children Needing Licensed Care

of Total Resident Children Needing Licensed Care

Children from Non-Resident Employees Needing

Licensed Care

(1)

(2)

(3)

138 331

52

71 284

37

26 272

19 82

7 10

469

356

84

298

64

16

Total Demand for Child Care Spaces

Distribution

EXISTING SUPPLY (4)

33 282

10 90

Child Care Spaces

315

100

Family Child Care Home Supply

Child Care Center Supply

Current Child Care Supply

Distribution

EXISTING SURPLUS(SHORTAGE)

Distribution

Percentage of Demand Met

by Existing FacilitiesSpaces

Shortage of Family Child Care Home Spaces

Shortage of Center-Based Spaces

(5)

(6)

(6)

1

4

5

5 6

- 91

5 97

5 95

(28) (185)

13 87

15 34

(28) (12)

0 (173)

11

91

102

100

(213)

100

32

(40)

(173)

FINAL

Table A-10

Existing Child Care Demand and Supply in 2015 in Hillsborough

San Mateo County Child Care Study - 2016

Note All footnote references can be found in Table C-1 at the end of this file Sources 2010 US Census ABAG Projections 2013 2014 American Community Survey ACS Journey-to-Work data 2006-2008 and 2006-2010

Child Care Coordinating Council of San Mateo County (4Cs) Community Care Licensing Brion Economics Inc

Prepared by Brion Economics Inc 2513-SMC NA Final Tables 61216 6122016

MENLO PARK

Child Care as of 2015

No of

Providers

Under 2 Years

Old

2 to 4 Year

Olds

Total 0 to 4

Years

EXISTING DEMAND Child Care Demand

Estimated Total Children

Average LFPRAdjustment Factor

Children With Working Parents

Licensed Care Demand Factor

Resident Children Needing Licensed Care

of Total Resident Children Needing Licensed Care

Children from Non-Resident Employees Needing

Licensed Care

(1)

(2)

(3)

1170 1723

69

802 1551

37

297 1458

25 85

220 332

2893

2353

75

1754

61

552

Total Demand for Child Care Spaces

Distribution

EXISTING SUPPLY (4)

516 1790

22 78

Child Care Spaces

2306

100

Family Child Care Home Supply

Child Care Center Supply

Current Child Care Supply

Distribution

EXISTING SURPLUS(SHORTAGE)

Distribution

Percentage of Demand Met

by Existing FacilitiesSpaces

Shortage of Family Child Care Home Spaces

Shortage of Center-Based Spaces

(5)

(6)

(6)

18

25

43

76 96

73 1331

149 1427

9 91

(367) (363)

50 50

29 80

(188) (24)

(180) (338)

172

1404

1576

100

(730)

100

68

(212)

(518)

FINAL

Table A-11

Existing Child Care Demand and Supply in 2015 in Menlo Park

San Mateo County Child Care Study - 2016

Note All footnote references can be found in Table C-1 at the end of this file Sources 2010 US Census ABAG Projections 2013 2014 American Community Survey ACS Journey-to-Work data 2006-2008 and 2006-2010

Child Care Coordinating Council of San Mateo County (4Cs) Community Care Licensing Brion Economics Inc

Prepared by Brion Economics Inc 2513-SMC NA Final Tables 61216 6122016

MILLBRAE

Child Care as of 2015

No of

Providers

Under 2 Years

Old

2 to 4 Year

Olds

Total 0 to 4

Years

EXISTING DEMAND Child Care Demand

Total Children

Average LFPRAdjustment Factor

Children With Working Parents

Licensed Care Demand Factor

Resident Children Needing Licensed Care

of Total Resident Children Needing Licensed Care

Children from Non-Resident Employees Needing

Licensed Care

(1)

(2)

(3)

421 717

62

260 632

37

96 598

23 83

28 42

1138

892

78

694

61

69

Total Demand for Child Care Spaces

Distribution

EXISTING SUPPLY (4)

124 640

16 84

Child Care Spaces

764

100

Family Child Care Home Supply

Child Care Center Supply

Current Child Care Supply

Distribution

EXISTING SURPLUS(SHORTAGE)

Distribution

Percentage of Demand Met

by Existing FacilitiesSpaces

Shortage of Family Child Care Home Spaces

Shortage of Center-Based Spaces

(5)

(6)

(6)

17

7

24

62 78

- 376

62 454

12 88

(61) (186)

25 75

50 71

(61) (32)

0 (154)

141

376

517

100

(247)

100

68

(93)

(154)

FINAL

Table A-12

Existing Child Care Demand and Supply in 2015 in Millbrae

San Mateo Co unty Child Care Study - 2016

Note All footnote references can be found in Table C-1 at the end of this file

Sources 2010 US Census ABAG Projections 2013 2014 American Community Survey ACS Journey-to-Work data 2006-2008 and 2006-2010

Child Care Coordinating Council of San Mateo County (4Cs) Community Care Licensing Brion Economics Inc

Prepared by Brion Economics Inc 2513-SMC NA Final Tables 61216 6122016

PACIFICA

Child Care as of 2015

No of

Providers

Under 2 Years

Old

2 to 4 Year

Olds

Total 0 to 4

Years

EXISTING DEMAND Child Care Demand

Estimated Total Children

Average LFPRAdjustment Factor

Children With Working Parents

Licensed Care Demand Factor

Resident Children Needing Licensed Care

of Total Resident Children Needing Licensed Care

Children from Non-Resident Employees Needing

Licensed Care

(1)

(2)

(3)

787 1253

78

610 1165

37

226 1089

29 87

18 27

2040

1776

74

1315

64

45

Total Demand for Child Care Spaces

Distribution

EXISTING SUPPLY (4)

244 1117

18 83

Child Care Spaces

1360

100

Family Child Care Home Supply

Child Care Center Supply

Current Child Care Supply

Distribution

EXISTING SURPLUS(SHORTAGE)

Distribution

Percentage of Demand Met

by Existing FacilitiesSpaces

Shortage of Family Child Care Home Spaces

Shortage of Center-Based Spaces

(5)

(6)

(6)

21

18

39

77 97

39 701

116 798

13 87

(128) (319)

29 71

48 71

(85) (39)

(43) (280)

174

740

914

100

(447)

100

67

(124)

(323)

FINAL

Table A-13

Existing Child Care Demand and Supply in 2015 in Pacifica

San Mateo County Child Care Study - 2016

Note All footnote references can be found in Table C-1 at the end of this file Sources 2010 US Census ABAG Projections 2013 2014 American Community Survey ACS Journey-to-Work data 2006-2008 and 2006-2010

Child Care Coordinating Council of San Mateo County (4Cs) Community Care Licensing Brion Economics Inc

Prepared by Brion Economics Inc 2513-SMC NA Final Tables 61216 6122016

PORTOLA VALLEY

No of

Providers

Child Care as of 2015

Under 2 Years

Old

2 to 4 Year

Olds

Total 0 to 4

Years

EXISTING DEMAND Child Care Demand

Estimated Total Children

Average LFPRAdjustment Factor

Children With Working Parents

Licensed Care Demand Factor

Resident Children Needing Licensed Care

of Total Resident Children Needing Licensed Care

Children from Non-Resident Employees Needing

Licensed Care

(1)

(2)

(3)

75 187

66

49 168

37

18 159

24 85

8 12

261

217

82

177

68

21

Total Demand for Child Care Spaces

Distribution

EXISTING SUPPLY (4)

26 171

13 87

Child Care Spaces

198

100

Family Child Care Home Supply

Child Care Center Supply

Current Child Care Supply

Distribution

EXISTING SURPLUS(SHORTAGE)

Distribution

Percentage of Demand Met

by Existing FacilitiesSpaces

Shortage of Family Child Care Home Spaces

Shortage of Center-Based Spaces

(5)

(6)

(6)

0

4

4

0 0

0 153

0 153

0 100

(26) (18)

59 41

0 89

0 0

(26) (18)

0

153

153

100

(45)

100

77

0

(45)

FINAL

Table A-14

Existing Child Care Demand and Supply in 2015 in Portola Valley

San Mateo County Child Care Study - 2016

Note All footnote references can be found in Table C-1 at the end of this file Sources 2010 US Census ABAG Projections 2013 2014 American Community Survey ACS Journey-to-Work data 2006-2008 and 2006-2010

Child Care Coordinating Council of San Mateo County (4Cs) Community Care Licensing Brion Economics Inc

Prepared by Brion Economics Inc 2513-SMC NA Final Tables 61216 6122016

REDWOOD CITY

Child Care as of 2015

No of

Providers

Under 2 Years

Old

2 to 4 Year

Olds

Total 0 to 4

Years

EXISTING DEMAND Child Care Demand

Estimated Total Children

Average LFPRAdjustment Factor

Children With Working Parents

Licensed Care Demand Factor

Resident Children Needing Licensed Care

of Total Resident Children Needing Licensed Care

Children from Non-Resident Employees Needing

Licensed Care

Total Demand for Child Care Spaces

Distribution

EXISTING SUPPLY

(1)

(2)

(3)

(4)

3260 4706

69

2236 4212

37

827 3942

25 84

414 625

1241 4567

21 79

Child Care Spaces

7966

6449

74

4770

60

1038

5808

100

Family Child Care Home Supply

Child Care Center Supply

Current Child Care Supply

Distribution

EXISTING SURPLUS(SHORTAGE)

Distribution

Percentage of Demand Met

by Existing FacilitiesSpaces

Shortage of Family Child Care Home Spaces

Shortage of Center-Based Spaces

(5)

(6)

(6)

111

45

156

396 497

356 2036

752 2533

23 77

(490) (2034)

19 81

61 55

(258) (399)

(232) (1635)

893

2392

3285

100

(2524)

100

57

(657)

(1867)

FINAL

Table A-15

Existing Child Care Demand and Supply in 2015 in Redwood City

San Mateo County Child Care Study - 2016

Note All footnote references can be found in Table C-1 at the end of this file Sources 2010 US Census ABAG Projections 2013 2014 American Community Survey ACS Journey-to-Work data 2006-2008 and 2006-2010

Child Care Coordinating Council of San Mateo County (4Cs) Community Care Licensing Brion Economics Inc

Prepared by Brion Economics Inc 2513-SMC NA Final Tables 61216 6122016

SAN BRUNO

Child Care as of 2015

No of

Providers

Under 2 Years

Old

2 to 4 Year

Olds

Total 0 to 4

Years

EXISTING DEMAND Child Care Demand

Estimated Total Children

Average LFPRAdjustment Factor

Children With Working Parents

Licensed Care Demand Factor

Resident Children Needing Licensed Care

of Total Resident Children Needing Licensed Care

Children from Non-Resident Employees Needing

Licensed Care

(1)

(2)

(3)

1069 1553

77

817 1428

37

302 1326

28 85

61 92

2622

2245

73

1628

62

153

Total Demand for Child Care Spaces

Distribution

EXISTING SUPPLY (4)

364 1418

20 80

Child Care Spaces

1782

100

Family Child Care Home Supply

Child Care Center Supply

Current Child Care Supply

Distribution

EXISTING SURPLUS(SHORTAGE)

Distribution

Percentage of Demand Met

by Existing FacilitiesSpaces

Shortage of Family Child Care Home Spaces

Shortage of Center-Based Spaces

(5)

(6)

(6)

34

15

49

122 153

26 1183

148 1336

10 90

(216) (82)

72 28

41 94

(178) (9)

(38) (73)

275

1209

1484

100

(298)

100

83

(187)

(110)

FINAL

Table A-16

Existing Child Care Demand and Supply in 2015 in San Bruno

San Mateo County Child Care Study - 2016

Note All footnote references can be found in Table C-1 at the end of this file Sources 2010 US Census ABAG Projections 2013 2014 American Community Survey ACS Journey-to-Work data 2006-2008 and 2006-2010

Child Care Coordinating Council of San Mateo County (4Cs) Community Care Licensing Brion Economics Inc

Prepared by Brion Economics Inc 2513-SMC NA Final Tables 61216 6122016

SAN CARLOS

Child Care as of 2015

No of

Providers

Under 2 Years

Old

2 to 4 Year

Olds

Total 0 to 4

Years

EXISTING DEMAND Child Care Demand

Estimated Total Children

Average LFPRAdjustment Factor

Children With Working Parents

Licensed Care Demand Factor

Resident Children Needing Licensed Care

of Total Resident Children Needing Licensed Care

Children from Non-Resident Employees Needing

Licensed Care

(1)

(2)

(3)

735 1308

72

526 1186

37

195 1109

26 85

75 114

2043

1712

76

1304

64

189

Total Demand for Child Care Spaces

Distribution

EXISTING SUPPLY (4)

270 1222

18 82

Child Care Spaces

1492

100

Family Child Care Home Supply

Child Care Center Supply

Current Child Care Supply

Distribution

EXISTING SURPLUS(SHORTAGE)

Distribution

Percentage of Demand Met

by Existing FacilitiesSpaces

Shortage of Family Child Care Home Spaces

Shortage of Center-Based Spaces

(5)

(6)

(6)

20

14

34

73 92

76 615

149 707

17 83

(121) (516)

19 81

55 58

(59) (67)

(62) (449)

164

691

855

100

(637)

100

57

(126)

(511)

FINAL

Table A-17

Existing Child Care Demand and Supply in 2015 in San Carlos

San Mateo County Child Care Study - 2016

Note All footnote references can be found in Table C-1 at the end of this file

Sources 2010 US Census ABAG Projections 2013 2014 American Community Survey ACS Journey-to-Work data 2006-2008 and 2006-2010

Child Care Coordinating Council of San Mateo County (4Cs) Community Care Licensing Brion Economics Inc

Prepared by Brion Economics Inc 2513-SMC NA Final Tables 61216 6122016

SAN MATEO

Child Care as of 2015

No of

Providers

Under 2 Years

Old

2 to 4 Year

Olds

Total 0 to 4

Years

EXISTING DEMAND Child Care Demand

Estimated Total Children

Average LFPRAdjustment Factor

Children With Working Parents

Licensed Care Demand Factor

Resident Children Needing Licensed Care

of Total Resident Children Needing Licensed Care

Children from Non-Resident Employees Needing

Licensed Care

(1)

(2)

(3)

2943 4213

71

2087 3793

37

772 3537

26 84

231 348

7156

5880

73

4309

60

579

Total Demand for Child Care Spaces

Distribution

EXISTING SUPPLY (4)

1003 3886

21 79

Child Care Spaces

4889

100

Family Child Care Home Supply

Child Care Center Supply

Current Child Care Supply

Distribution

EXISTING SURPLUS(SHORTAGE)

Distribution

Percentage of Demand Met

by Existing FacilitiesSpaces

Shortage of Family Child Care Home Spaces

Shortage of Center-Based Spaces

(5)

(6)

(6)

126

59

185

492 619

209 2577

701 3196

18 82

(302) (690)

30 70

70 82

(212) (134)

(90) (557)

1111

2786

3897

100

(992)

100

80

(345)

(647)

FINAL

Table A-18

Existing Child Care Demand and Supply in 2015 in San Mateo

San Mateo County Child Care Study - 2016

Note All footnote references can be found in Table C-1 at the end of this file

Sources 2010 US Census ABAG Projections 2013 2014 American Community Survey ACS Journey-to-Work data 2006-2008 and 2006-2010

Child Care Coordinating Council of San Mateo County (4Cs) Community Care Licensing Brion Economics Inc

Prepared by Brion Economics Inc 2513-SMC NA Final Tables 61216 6122016

SOUTH COAST

Child Care as of 2015

No of

Providers

Under 2 Years

Old

2 to 4 Year

Olds

Total 0 to 4

Years

EXISTING DEMAND Child Care Demand

Estimated Total Children

Average LFPRAdjustment Factor

Children With Working Parents

Licensed Care Demand Factor

Resident Children Needing Licensed Care

of Total Resident Children Needing Licensed Care

Children from Non-Resident Employees Needing

Licensed Care

(1)

(2)

(3)

21 29

54

11 25

37

4 23

20 81

0 0

50

36

77

28

56

0

Total Demand for Child Care Spaces

Distribution

EXISTING SUPPLY (4)

4 23

15 85

Child Care Spaces

28

100

Family Child Care Home Supply

Child Care Center Supply

Current Child Care Supply

Distribution

EXISTING SURPLUS(SHORTAGE)

Distribution

Percentage of Demand Met

by Existing FacilitiesSpaces

Shortage of Family Child Care Home Spaces

Shortage of Center-Based Spaces

(5)

(6)

(6)

-

2

2

- -

- 54

- 54

0 100

(4) 31

-16 116

0 230

(2) NA

(2) NA

0

54

54

100

26

100

195

(2)

(2)

FINAL

Table A-19

Existing Child Care Demand and Supply in 2015 in South Coast

San Mateo County Child Care Study - 2016

Note All footnote references can be found in Table C-1 at the end of this file

Sources 2010 US Census ABAG Projections 2013 2014 American Community Survey ACS Journey-to-Work data 2006-2008 and 2006-2010

Child Care Coordinating Council of San Mateo County (4Cs) Community Care Licensing Brion Economics Inc

Prepared by Brion Economics Inc 2513-SMC NA Final Tables 61216 6122016

SOUTH SAN FRANCISCO

Child Care as of 2015

No of

Providers

Under 2 Years

Old

2 to 4 Year

Olds

Total 0 to 4

Years

EXISTING DEMAND Child Care Demand

Estimated Total Children

Average LFPRAdjustment Factor

Children With Working Parents

Licensed Care Demand Factor

Resident Children Needing Licensed Care

of Total Resident Children Needing Licensed Care

Children from Non-Resident Employees Needing

Licensed Care

(1)

(2)

(3)

1649 2507

73

1206 2278

37

446 2123

27 85

309 466

4156

3484

74

2569

62

774

Total Demand for Child Care Spaces

Distribution

EXISTING SUPPLY (4)

755 2588

23 77

Child Care Spaces

3343

100

Family Child Care Home Supply

Child Care Center Supply

Current Child Care Supply

Distribution

EXISTING SURPLUS(SHORTAGE)

Distribution

Percentage of Demand Met

by Existing FacilitiesSpaces

Shortage of Family Child Care Home Spaces

Shortage of Center-Based Spaces

(5)

(6)

(6)

68

27

95

252 317

400 1966

652 2283

22 78

(103) (306)

25 75

86 88

(40) (42)

(63) (263)

569

2366

2935

100

(408)

100

88

(82)

(326)

FINAL

Table A-20

Existing Child Care Demand and Supply in 2015 in South San Francisco

San Mateo County Child Care Study - 2016

Note All footnote references can be found in Table C-1 at the end of this file Sources 2010 US Census ABAG Projections 2013 2014 American Community Survey ACS Journey-to-Work data 2006-2008 and 2006-2010

Child Care Coordinating Council of San Mateo County (4Cs) Community Care Licensing Brion Economics Inc

Prepared by Brion Economics Inc 2513-SMC NA Final Tables 61216 6122016

WOODSIDE

No of

Providers

Child Care as of 2015

Under 2 Years

Old

2 to 4 Year

Olds

Total 0 to 4

Years

EXISTING DEMAND Child Care Demand

Estimated Total Children

Average LFPRAdjustment Factor

Children With Working Parents

Licensed Care Demand Factor

Resident Children Needing Licensed Care

of Total Resident Children Needing Licensed Care

Children from Non-Resident Employees Needing

Licensed Care

(1)

(2)

(3)

90 160

56

50 136

37

18 128

21 80

8 13

250

186

79

147

59

21

Total Demand for Child Care Spaces

Distribution

EXISTING SUPPLY (4)

27 141

16 84

Child Care Spaces

168

100

Family Child Care Home Supply

Child Care Center Supply

Current Child Care Supply

Distribution

EXISTING SURPLUS(SHORTAGE)

Distribution

Percentage of Demand Met

by Existing FacilitiesSpaces

Shortage of Family Child Care Home Spaces

Shortage of Center-Based Spaces

(5)

(6)

(6)

1

2

3

4 5

0 103

4 108

4 96

(23) (33)

41 59

16 77

(23) (2)

0 (31)

9

103

112

100

(55)

100

67

(24)

(31)

FINAL

Table A-21

Existing Child Care Demand and Supply in 2015 in Woodside

San Mateo County Child Care Study - 2016

Note All footnote references can be found in Table C-1 at the end of this file Sources 2010 US Census ABAG Projections 2013 2014 American Community Survey ACS Journey-to-Work data 2006-2008 and 2006-2010

Child Care Coordinating Council of San Mateo County (4Cs) Community Care Licensing Brion Economics Inc

Prepared by Brion Economics Inc 2513-SMC NA Final Tables 61216 6122016

COUNTYWIDE

Child Care as of 2025

No of

Providers

Under 2 Years

Old

2 to 4 Year

Olds

Total 0 to 4

Years

EXISTING DEMAND Child Care Demand

Estimated Total Children

Average LFPRAdjustment Factor

Children With Working Parents

Licensed Care Demand Factor

Resident Children Needing Licensed Care

of Total Resident Children Needing Licensed Care

Children from Non-Resident Employees Needing

Licensed Care

Total Demand for Child Care Spaces

Distribution

EXISTING SUPPLY

(1)

(2)

(3)

(4)

20790 31340

71

14704 28273

37

5441 26432

26 84

2037 3074

7478 29506

20 80

Child Care Spaces

52130

42978

86

31873

61

5112

36984

100

Family Child Care Home Supply

Child Care Center Supply

Current Child Care Supply

Distribution

EXISTING SURPLUS(SHORTAGE)

Distribution

Percentage of Demand Met

by Existing FacilitiesSpaces

Shortage of Family Child Care Home Spaces

Shortage of Center-Based Spaces

(5)

(6)

(6)

621

309

930

2301 2893

1514 16296

3815 19189

17 83

(3663) (10318)

26 74

51 65

(2209) (1555)

(1454) (8762)

5193

17810

23003

100

(13981)

100

62

(3765)

(10216)

FINAL

Table B-1

Future C hild Care Demand and Supply in 2025 Countywide

San Mateo County Child Care Study - 2016

Note All footnote references can be found in Table C-1 at the end of this file

Sources 2010 US Census ABAG Projections 2013 2014 American Community Survey ACS Journey-to-Work data 2006-2008 and 2006-2010

Child Care Coordinating Council of San Mateo County (4Cs) Community Care Licensing Brion Economics Inc

Prepared by Brion Economics Inc 2513-SMC NA Final Tables 61216 6122016

ATHERTON

No of

Providers

Child Care as of 2025

Under 2 Years

Old

2 to 4 Year

Olds

Total 0 to 4

Years

EXISTING DEMAND Child Care Demand

Estimated Total Children

Average LFPRAdjustment Factor

Children With Working Parents

Licensed Care Demand Factor

Resident Children Needing Licensed Care

of Total Resident Children Needing Licensed Care

Children from Non-Resident Employees Needing

Licensed Care

(1)

(2)

(3)

109 193

40

43 159

37

16 154

15 80

13 19

302

202

84

170

56

32

Total Demand for Child Care Spaces

Distribution

EXISTING SUPPLY (4)

29 173

14 86

Child Care Spaces

201

100

Family Child Care Home Supply

Child Care Center Supply

Current Child Care Supply

Distribution

EXISTING SURPLUS(SHORTAGE)

Distribution

Percentage of Demand Met

by Existing FacilitiesSpaces

Shortage of Family Child Care Home Spaces

Shortage of Center-Based Spaces

(5)

(6)

(6)

1

6

7

5 6

24 267

29 273

10 90

0 101

0 100

101 158

NA NA

NA NA

11

291

302

100

101

100

150

NA

NA

FINAL

Table B-2

Future Child Care Demand and Supply in 2025 in Atherton

San Mateo Co unty Child Care Study - 2016

Note All footnote references can be found in Table C-1 at the end of this file Sources 2010 US Census ABAG Projections 2013 2014 American Community Survey ACS Journey-to-Work data 2006-2008 and 2006-2010

Child Care Coordinating Council of San Mateo County (4Cs) Community Care Licensing Brion Economics Inc

Prepared by Brion Economics Inc 2513-SMC NA Final Tables 61216 6122016

BELMONT

Child Care as of 2025

No of

Providers

Under 2 Years

Old

2 to 4 Year

Olds

Total 0 to 4

Years

EXISTING DEMAND Child Care Demand

Estimated Total Children

Average LFPRAdjustment Factor

Children With Working Parents

Licensed Care Demand Factor

Resident Children Needing Licensed Care

of Total Resident Children Needing Licensed Care

Children from Non-Resident Employees Needing

Licensed Care

(1)

(2)

(3)

743 1095

77

574 1013

37

213 943

29 86

37 56

1838

1587

73

1156

63

93

Total Demand for Child Care Spaces

Distribution

EXISTING SUPPLY (4)

250 999

20 80

Child Care Spaces

1249

100

Family Child Care Home Supply

Child Care Center Supply

Current Child Care Supply

Distribution

EXISTING SURPLUS(SHORTAGE)

Distribution

Percentage of Demand Met

by Existing FacilitiesSpaces

Shortage of Family Child Care Home Spaces

Shortage of Center-Based Spaces

(5)

(6)

(6)

8

9

17

67 84

39 531

106 615

15 85

(143) (384)

27 73

43 62

(91) (53)

(53) (331)

152

570

722

100

(527)

100

58

(143)

(384)

FINAL

Table B-3

Future Child Care Demand and Supply in 2025 in Belmont

San Mateo County Child Care Study - 2016

Note All footnote references can be found in Table C-1 at the end of this file

Sources 2010 US Census ABAG Projections 2013 2014 American Community Survey ACS Journey-to-Work data 2006-2008 and 2006-2010

Child Care Coordinating Council of San Mateo County (4Cs) Community Care Licensing Brion Economics Inc

Prepared by Brion Economics Inc 2513-SMC NA Final Tables 61216 6122016

BRISBANE

Child Care as of 2025

No of

Providers

Under 2 Years

Old

2 to 4 Year

Olds

Total 0 to 4

Years

EXISTING DEMAND Child Care Demand

Estimated Total Children

Average LFPRAdjustment Factor

Children With Working Parents

Licensed Care Demand Factor

Resident Children Needing Licensed Care

of Total Resident Children Needing Licensed Care

Children from Non-Resident Employees Needing

Licensed Care

(1)

(2)

(3)

131 174

100

131 174

37

48 160

37 92

55 83

305

305

68

209

68

138

Total Demand for Child Care Spaces

Distribution

EXISTING SUPPLY (4)

103 243

30 70

Child Care Spaces

346

100

Family Child Care Home Supply

Child Care Center Supply

Current Child Care Supply

Distribution

EXISTING SURPLUS(SHORTAGE)

Distribution

Percentage of Demand Met

by Existing FacilitiesSpaces

Shortage of Family Child Care Home Spaces

Shortage of Center-Based Spaces

(5)

(6)

(6)

1

1

2

4 5

0 64

4 69

6 94

(99) (174)

36 64

4 29

(99) (13)

0 (160)

9

64

73

100

(273)

100

21

(112)

(160)

FINAL

Table B-4

Future Child Care Demand and Supply in 2025 in Brisbane

San Mateo County Child Care Study - 2016

Note All footnote references can be found in Table C-1 at the end of this file Sources 2010 US Census ABAG Projections 2013 2014 American Community Survey ACS Journey-to-Work data 2006-2008 and 2006-2010

Child Care Coordinating Council of San Mateo County (4Cs) Community Care Licensing Brion Economics Inc

Prepared by Brion Economics Inc 2513-SMC NA Final Tables 61216 6122016

BURLINGAME

Child Care as of 2025

No of

Providers

Under 2 Years

Old

2 to 4 Year

Olds

Total 0 to 4

Years

EXISTING DEMAND Child Care Demand

Estimated Total Children

Average LFPRAdjustment Factor

Children With Working Parents

Licensed Care Demand Factor

Resident Children Needing Licensed Care

of Total Resident Children Needing Licensed Care

Children from Non-Resident Employees Needing

Licensed Care

(1)

(2)

(3)

903 1332

65

587 1190

37

217 1124

24 84

154 232

2235

1777

75

1341

60

385

Total Demand for Child Care Spaces

Distribution

EXISTING SUPPLY (4)

371 1356

21 79

Child Care Spaces

1726

100

Family Child Care Home Supply

Child Care Center Supply

Current Child Care Supply

Distribution

EXISTING SURPLUS(SHORTAGE)

Distribution

Percentage of Demand Met

by Existing FacilitiesSpaces

Shortage of Family Child Care Home Spaces

Shortage of Center-Based Spaces

(5)

(6)

(6)

10

14

24

79 99

40 866

119 965

11 89

(252) (390)

39 61

32 71

(167) (40)

(85) (350)

179

906

1085

100

(642)

100

63

(207)

(434)

FINAL

Table B-5

Future Child Care Demand and Supply in 2025 in Burlingame

San Mateo County Child Care Study - 2016

Note All footnote references can be found in Table C-1 at the end of this file

Sources 2010 US Census ABAG Projections 2013 2014 American Community Survey ACS Journey-to-Work data 2006-2008 and 2006-2010

Child Care Coordinating Council of San Mateo County (4Cs) Community Care Licensing Brion Economics Inc

Prepared by Brion Economics Inc 2513-SMC NA Final Tables 61216 6122016

DALY CITYCOLMA

Child Care as of 2025

No of

Providers

Under 2 Years

Old

2 to 4 Year

Olds

Total 0 to 4

Years

EXISTING DEMAND Child Care Demand

Estimated Total Children

Average LFPRAdjustment Factor

Children With Working Parents

Licensed Care Demand Factor

Resident Children Needing Licensed Care

of Total Resident Children Needing Licensed Care

Children from Non-Resident Employees Needing

Licensed Care

(1)

(2)

(3)

2647 3793

74

1964 3467

37

727 3233

27 85

138 208

6440

5432

73

3960

61

346

Total Demand for Child Care Spaces

Distribution

EXISTING SUPPLY (4)

865 3441

20 80

Child Care Spaces

4306

100

Family Child Care Home Supply

Child Care Center Supply

Current Child Care Supply

Distribution

EXISTING SURPLUS(SHORTAGE)

Distribution

Percentage of Demand Met

by Existing FacilitiesSpaces

Shortage of Family Child Care Home Spaces

Shortage of Center-Based Spaces

(5)

(6)

(6)

25

28

28

288 362

84 1264

372 1626

19 81

(493) (1816)

21 79

43 47

(381) (404)

(111) (1412)

649

1348

1997

100

(2308)

100

46

(785)

(1523)

FINAL

Table B-6

Future C hild Care Demand and Supply in 2025 in Daly CityColma

San Mateo County Child Care Study - 2016

Note All footnote references can be found in Table C-1 at the end of this file

Sources 2010 US Census ABAG Projections 2013 2014 American Community Survey ACS Journey-to-Work data 2006-2008 and 2006-2010

Child Care Coordinating Council of San Mateo County (4Cs) Community Care Licensing Brion Economics Inc

Prepared by Brion Economics Inc 2513-SMC NA Final Tables 61216 6122016

EAST PALO ALTO

Child Care as of 2025

No of

Providers

Under 2 Years

Old

2 to 4 Year

Olds

Total 0 to 4

Years

EXISTING DEMAND Child Care Demand

Estimated Total Children

Average LFPRAdjustment Factor

Children With Working Parents

Licensed Care Demand Factor

Resident Children Needing Licensed Care

of Total Resident Children Needing Licensed Care

Children from Non-Resident Employees Needing

Licensed Care

(1)

(2)

(3)

1161 1849

71

822 1660

37

304 1545

26 84

20 30

3010

2482

75

1849

61

50

Total Demand for Child Care Spaces

Distribution

EXISTING SUPPLY (4)

324 1575

17 83

Child Care Spaces

1900

100

Family Child Care Home Supply

Child Care Center Supply

Current Child Care Supply

Distribution

EXISTING SURPLUS(SHORTAGE)

Distribution

Percentage of Demand Met

by Existing FacilitiesSpaces

Shortage of Family Child Care Home Spaces

Shortage of Center-Based Spaces

(5)

(6)

(6)

13

6

19

85 106

25 633

110 739

13 87

(215) (836)

20 80

34 47

(166) (120)

(49) (715)

191

658

849

100

(1050)

100

45

(286)

(764)

FINAL

Table B-7

Future Child Care Demand and Supply in 2025 in East Palo Alto

San Mateo County Child Care Study - 2016

Note All footnote references can be found in Table C-1 at the end of this file

Sources 2010 US Census ABAG Projections 2013 2014 American Community Survey ACS Journey-to-Work data 2006-2008 and 2006-2010

Child Care Coordinating Council of San Mateo County (4Cs) Community Care Licensing Brion Economics Inc

Prepared by Brion Economics Inc 2513-SMC NA Final Tables 61216 6122016

FOSTER CITY

Child Care as of 2025

No of

Providers

Under 2 Years

Old

2 to 4 Year

Olds

Total 0 to 4

Years

EXISTING DEMAND Child Care Demand

Estimated Total Children

Average LFPRAdjustment Factor

Children With Working Parents

Licensed Care Demand Factor

Resident Children Needing Licensed Care

of Total Resident Children Needing Licensed Care

Children from Non-Resident Employees Needing

Licensed Care

(1)

(2)

(3)

871 1330

63

550 1154

37

204 1079

23 81

80 120

2201

1705

75

1282

58

200

Total Demand for Child Care Spaces

Distribution

EXISTING SUPPLY (4)

283 1199

19 81

Child Care Spaces

1483

100

Family Child Care Home Supply

Child Care Center Supply

Current Child Care Supply

Distribution

EXISTING SURPLUS(SHORTAGE)

Distribution

Percentage of Demand Met

by Existing FacilitiesSpaces

Shortage of Family Child Care Home Spaces

Shortage of Center-Based Spaces

(5)

(6)

(6)

19

12

31

118 149

88 1200

206 1349

13 87

(77) 150

-106 206

73 112

(44) NA

(33) NA

267

1288

1555

100

73

100

105

(44)

(33)

FINAL

Table B-8

Future Child Care Demand and Supply in 2025 in Foster City

San Mateo County Child Care Study - 2016

Note All footnote references can be found in Table C-1 at the end of this file

Sources 2010 US Census ABAG Projections 2013 2014 American Community Survey ACS Journey-to-Work data 2006-2008 and 2006-2010

Child Care Coordinating Council of San Mateo County (4Cs) Community Care Licensing Brion Economics Inc

Prepared by Brion Economics Inc 2513-SMC NA Final Tables 61216 6122016

HALF MOON BAY REGION

Child Care as of 2025

No of

Providers

Under 2 Years

Old

2 to 4 Year

Olds

Total 0 to 4

Years

EXISTING DEMAND Child Care Demand

Estimated Total Children

Average LFPRAdjustment Factor

Children With Working Parents

Licensed Care Demand Factor

Resident Children Needing Licensed Care

of Total Resident Children Needing Licensed Care

Children from Non-Resident Employees Needing

Licensed Care

(1)

(2)

(3)

553 929

69

383 835

37

142 781

26 84

14 21

1482

1217

76

923

62

34

Total Demand for Child Care Spaces

Distribution

EXISTING SUPPLY (4)

155 802

16 84

Child Care Spaces

957

100

Family Child Care Home Supply

Child Care Center Supply

Current Child Care Supply

Distribution

EXISTING SURPLUS(SHORTAGE)

Distribution

Percentage of Demand Met

by Existing FacilitiesSpaces

Shortage of Family Child Care Home Spaces

Shortage of Center-Based Spaces

(5)

(6)

(6)

10

11

21

96 121

35 285

131 406

24 76

(24) (396)

6 94

84 51

(18) (118)

(6) (279)

216

320

536

100

(421)

100

56

(136)

(285)

FINAL

Table B-9

Future Child Care Demand and Supply in 2025 in Half Moon Bay Region

San Mateo County Child Care Study - 2016

Note All footnote references can be found in Table C-1 at the end of this file

Sources 2010 US Census ABAG Projections 2013 2014 American Community Survey ACS Journey-to-Work data 2006-2008 and 2006-2010

Child Care Coordinating Council of San Mateo County (4Cs) Community Care Licensing Brion Economics Inc

Prepared by Brion Economics Inc 2513-SMC NA Final Tables 61216 6122016

HILLSBOROUGH

Child Care as of 2025

No of

Providers

Under 2 Years

Old

2 to 4 Year

Olds

Total 0 to 4

Years

EXISTING DEMAND Child Care Demand

Estimated Total Children

Average LFPRAdjustment Factor

Children With Working Parents

Licensed Care Demand Factor

Resident Children Needing Licensed Care

of Total Resident Children Needing Licensed Care

Children from Non-Resident Employees Needing

Licensed Care

(1)

(2)

(3)

143 343

52

74 295

37

27 282

19 82

7 11

487

369

84

309

64

17

Total Demand for Child Care Spaces

Distribution

EXISTING SUPPLY (4)

34 292

10 90

Child Care Spaces

327

100

Family Child Care Home Supply

Child Care Center Supply

Current Child Care Supply

Distribution

EXISTING SURPLUS(SHORTAGE)

Distribution

Percentage of Demand Met

by Existing FacilitiesSpaces

Shortage of Family Child Care Home Spaces

Shortage of Center-Based Spaces

(5)

(6)

(6)

1

4

5

5 6

- 91

5 97

5 95

(29) (195)

13 87

14 33

(29) (12)

0 (183)

11

91

102

100

(225)

100

31

(42)

(183)

FINAL

Table B-10

Future Child Care Demand and Supply in 2025 in Hillsborough

San Mateo County Child Care Study - 2016

Note All footnote references can be found in Table C-1 at the end of this file

Sources 2010 US Census ABAG Projections 2013 2014 American Community Survey ACS Journey-to-Work data 2006-2008 and 2006-2010

Child Care Coordinating Council of San Mateo County (4Cs) Community Care Licensing Brion Economics Inc

Prepared by Brion Economics Inc 2513-SMC NA Final Tables 61216 6122016

MENLO PARK

Child Care as of 2025

No of

Providers

Under 2 Years

Old

2 to 4 Year

Olds

Total 0 to 4

Years

EXISTING DEMAND Child Care Demand

Estimated Total Children

Average LFPRAdjustment Factor

Children With Working Parents

Licensed Care Demand Factor

Resident Children Needing Licensed Care

of Total Resident Children Needing Licensed Care

Children from Non-Resident Employees Needing

Licensed Care

(1)

(2)

(3)

1327 1954

69

909 1759

37

336 1653

25 85

237 357

3281

2668

75

1989

61

594

Total Demand for Child Care Spaces

Distribution

EXISTING SUPPLY (4)

573 2011

22 78

Child Care Spaces

2584

100

Family Child Care Home Supply

Child Care Center Supply

Current Child Care Supply

Distribution

EXISTING SURPLUS(SHORTAGE)

Distribution

Percentage of Demand Met

by Existing FacilitiesSpaces

Shortage of Family Child Care Home Spaces

Shortage of Center-Based Spaces

(5)

(6)

(6)

15

25

40

76 96

73 1331

149 1427

9 91

(424) (584)

42 58

26 71

(217) (39)

(207) (544)

172

1404

1576

100

(1008)

100

61

(256)

(752)

FINAL

Table B-11

Future Child Care Demand and Supply in 2025 in Menlo Park

San Mateo County Child Care Study - 2016

Note All footnote references can be found in Table C-1 at the end of this file

Sources 2010 US Census ABAG Projections 2013 2014 American Community Survey ACS Journey-to-Work data 2006-2008 and 2006-2010

Child Care Coordinating Council of San Mateo County (4Cs) Community Care Licensing Brion Economics Inc

Prepared by Brion Economics Inc 2513-SMC NA Final Tables 61216 6122016

MILLBRAE

Child Care as of 2025

No of

Providers

Under 2 Years

Old

2 to 4 Year

Olds

Total 0 to 4

Years

EXISTING DEMAND Child Care Demand

Estimated Total Children

Average LFPRAdjustment Factor

Children With Working Parents

Licensed Care Demand Factor

Resident Children Needing Licensed Care

of Total Resident Children Needing Licensed Care

Children from Non-Resident Employees Needing

Licensed Care

(1)

(2)

(3)

473 805

62

291 710

37

108 672

23 83

31 47

1278

1001

78

780

61

77

Total Demand for Child Care Spaces

Distribution

EXISTING SUPPLY (4)

139 718

16 84

Child Care Spaces

857

100

Family Child Care Home Supply

Child Care Center Supply

Current Child Care Supply

Distribution

EXISTING SURPLUS(SHORTAGE)

Distribution

Percentage of Demand Met

by Existing FacilitiesSpaces

Shortage of Family Child Care Home Spaces

Shortage of Center-Based Spaces

(5)

(6)

(6)

7

7

14

62 78

- 376

62 454

12 88

(76) (264)

22 78

45 63

(76) (46)

0 (219)

141

376

517

100

(340)

100

60

(122)

(219)

FINAL

Table B-12

Future C hild Care Demand and Supply in 2025 in Millbrae

San Mateo County Child Care Study - 2016

Note All footnote references can be found in Table C-1 at the end of this file

Sources 2010 US Census ABAG Projections 2013 2014 American Community Survey ACS Journey-to-Work data 2006-2008 and 2006-2010

Child Care Coordinating Council of San Mateo County (4Cs) Community Care Licensing Brion Economics Inc

Prepared by Brion Economics Inc 2513-SMC NA Final Tables 61216 6122016

FINAL

Table B-13

Future Child Care Demand and Supply in 2025 in Pacifica

San Mateo County Child Care Study - 2016

PACIFICA

Child Care as of 2025

No of

Providers

Under 2 Years

Old

2 to 4 Year

Olds

Total 0 to 4

Years

EXISTING DEMAND Child Care Demand

Estimated Total Children

Average L FPRAdjustment Factor

Children With Working Parents

Licensed Care Demand Factor

Resident Children Needing Licensed Care

of Total Resident Children Needing Licensed Care

Children from Non-Resident Employees Needing

Licensed Care

(1)

(2)

(3)

816 1300

78

633 1209

37

234 1130

29 87

19 29

2116

1842

74

1364

64

48

Total Demand for Child Care Spaces

Distribution

EXISTING SUPPLY (4)

254 1159

18 82

Child Care Spaces

1413

100

Family Child Care Home Supply

Child Care Center Supply

Current Child Care Supply

Distribution

EXISTING SURPLUS(SHORTAGE)

Distribution

Percentage of Demand Met

by Existing FacilitiesSpaces

Shortage of Family Child Care Home Spaces

Shortage of Center-Based Spaces

(5)

(6)

(6)

9

18

27

77 97

39 701

116 798

13 87

(138) (361)

28 72

46 69

(91) (44)

(46) (317)

174

740

914

100

(499)

100

65

(135)

(364)

Note All footnote references can be found in Table C-1 at the end of this file

Sources 2010 US Census ABAG Projections 2013 2014 American Community Survey ACS Journey-to-Work data 2006-2008 and 2006-2010

Child Care Coordinating Council of San Mateo County (4Cs) Community Care Licensing Brion Economics Inc

Prepared by Brion Economics Inc 2513-SMC NA Final Tables 61216 6122016

PORTOLA VALLEY

Child Care as of 2025

No of

Providers

Under 2 Years

Old

2 to 4 Year

Olds

Total 0 to 4

Years

EXISTING DEMAND Child Care Demand

Estimated Total Children

Average LFPRAdjustment Factor

Children With Working Parents

Licensed Care Demand Factor

Resident Children Needing Licensed Care

of Total Resident Children Needing Licensed Care

Children from Non-Resident Employees Needing

Licensed Care

(1)

(2)

(3)

77 192

66

51 173

37

19 164

24 85

9 13

269

224

82

182

68

22

Total Demand for Child Care Spaces

Distribution

EXISTING SUPPLY (4)

28 177

13 87

Child Care Spaces

204

100

Family Child Care Home Supply

Child Care Center Supply

Current Child Care Supply

Distribution

EXISTING SURPLUS(SHORTAGE)

Distribution

Percentage of Demand Met

by Existing FacilitiesSpaces

Shortage of Family Child Care Home Spaces

Shortage of Center-Based Spaces

(5)

(6)

(6)

0

4

4

- -

- 153

- 153

0 100

(28) (24)

54 46

0 87

0 0

(28) (24)

0

153

153

100

(51)

100

75

0

(51)

FINAL

Table B-14

Future Child Care Demand and Supply in 2025 in Portola Valley

San Mateo County Child Care Study - 2016

Note All footnote references can be found in Table C-1 at the end of this file

Sources 2010 US Census ABAG Projections 2013 2014 American Community Survey ACS Journey-to-Work data 2006-2008 and 2006-2010

Child Care Coordinating Council of San Mateo County (4Cs) Community Care Licensing Brion Economics Inc

Prepared by Brion Economics Inc 2513-SMC NA Final Tables 61216 6122016

REDWOOD CITY

No of

Providers

Child Care as of 2025

Under 2 Years

Old

2 to 4 Year

Olds

Total 0 to 4

Years

EXISTING DEMAND Child Care Demand

Estimated Total Children

Average LFPRAdjustment Factor

Children With Working Parents

Licensed Care Demand Factor

Resident Children Needing Licensed Care

of Total Resident Children Needing Licensed Care

Children from Non-Resident Employees Needing

Licensed Care

Total Demand for Child Care Spaces

Distribution

EXISTING SUPPLY

(1)

(2)

(3)

(4)

3725 5378

69

2555 4813

37

946 4505

25 84

466 703

1411 5208

21 79

Child Care Spaces

9103

7368

74

5450

60

1169

6619

100

Family Child Care Home Supply

Child Care Center Supply

Current Child Care Supply

Distribution

EXISTING SURPLUS(SHORTAGE)

Distribution

Percentage of Demand Met

by Existing FacilitiesSpaces

Shortage of Family Child Care Home Spaces

Shortage of Center-Based Spaces

(5)

(6)

(6)

42

41

83

396 497

356 2036

752 2533

23 77

(660) (2674)

20 80

53 49

(347) (525)

(313) (2149)

893

2392

3285

100

(3334)

100

50

(872)

(2462)

FINAL

Table B-15

Future Child Care Demand and Supply in 2025 in Redwood City

San Mateo County Child Care Study - 2016

Note All footnote references can be found in Table C-1 at the end of this file

Sources 2010 US Census ABAG Projections 2013 2014 American Community Survey ACS Journey-to-Work data 2006-2008 and 2006-2010

Child Care Coordinating Council of San Mateo County (4Cs) Community Care Licensing Brion Economics Inc

Prepared by Brion Economics Inc 2513-SMC NA Final Tables 61216 6122016

SAN BRUNO

Child Care as of 2025

No of

Providers

Under 2 Years

Old

2 to 4 Year

Olds

Total 0 to 4

Years

EXISTING DEMAND Child Care Demand

Estimated Total Children

Average LFPRAdjustment Factor

Children With Working Parents

Licensed Care Demand Factor

Resident Children Needing Licensed Care

of Total Resident Children Needing Licensed Care

Children from Non-Resident Employees Needing

Licensed Care

(1)

(2)

(3)

1189 1728

77

910 1589

37

337 1475

28 85

68 103

2917

2498

73

1812

62

171

Total Demand for Child Care Spaces

Distribution

EXISTING SUPPLY (4)

405 1578

20 80

Child Care Spaces

1983

100

Family Child Care Home Supply

Child Care Center Supply

Current Child Care Supply

Distribution

EXISTING SURPLUS(SHORTAGE)

Distribution

Percentage of Demand Met

by Existing FacilitiesSpaces

Shortage of Family Child Care Home Spaces

Shortage of Center-Based Spaces

(5)

(6)

(6)

13

15

28

122 153

26 1183

148 1336

10 90

(257) (242)

52 48

37 85

(212) (28)

(45) (214)

275

1209

1484

100

(499)

100

75

(239)

(259)

FINAL

Table B-16

Future C hild Care Demand and Supply in 2025 in San Bruno

San Mateo County Child Care Study - 2016

Note All footnote references can be found in Table C-1 at the end of this file

Sources 2010 US Census ABAG Projections 2013 2014 American Community Survey ACS Journey-to-Work data 2006-2008 and 2006-2010

Child Care Coordinating Council of San Mateo County (4Cs) Community Care Licensing Brion Economics Inc

Prepared by Brion Economics Inc 2513-SMC NA Final Tables 61216 6122016

SAN CARLOS

Child Care as of 2025

No of

Providers

Under 2 Years

Old

2 to 4 Year

Olds

Total 0 to 4

Years

EXISTING DEMAND Child Care Demand

Estimated Total Children

Average LFPRAdjustment Factor

Children With Working Parents

Licensed Care Demand Factor

Resident Children Needing Licensed Care

of Total Resident Children Needing Licensed Care

Children from Non-Resident Employees Needing

Licensed Care

(1)

(2)

(3)

778 1384

72

557 1255

37

206 1174

26 85

82 123

2162

1812

76

1380

64

205

Total Demand for Child Care Spaces

Distribution

EXISTING SUPPLY (4)

288 1297

18 82

Child Care Spaces

1585

100

Family Child Care Home Supply

Child Care Center Supply

Current Child Care Supply

Distribution

EXISTING SURPLUS(SHORTAGE)

Distribution

Percentage of Demand Met

by Existing FacilitiesSpaces

Shortage of Family Child Care Home Spaces

Shortage of Center-Based Spaces

(5)

(6)

(6)

28

14

42

73 92

76 615

149 707

17 83

(139) (590)

19 81

52 54

(68) (76)

(71) (514)

164

691

855

100

(729)

100

54

(145)

(585)

FINAL

Table B-17

Future Child Care Demand and Supply in 2025 in San Carlos

San Mateo County Child Care Study - 2016

Note All footnote references can be found in Table C-1 at the end of this file

Sources 2010 US Census ABAG Projections 2013 2014 American Community Survey ACS Journey-to-Work data 2006-2008 and 2006-2010

Child Care Coordinating Council of San Mateo County (4Cs) Community Care Licensing Brion Economics Inc

Prepared by Brion Economics Inc 2513-SMC NA Final Tables 61216 6122016

SAN MATEO

Child Care as of 2025

No of

Providers

Under 2 Years

Old

2 to 4 Year

Olds

Total 0 to 4

Years

EXISTING DEMAND Child Care Demand

Estimated Total Children

Average LFPRAdjustment Factor

Children With Working Parents

Licensed Care Demand Factor

Resident Children Needing Licensed Care

of Total Resident Children Needing Licensed Care

Children from Non-Resident Employees Needing

Licensed Care

(1)

(2)

(3)

3194 4572

71

2264 4116

37

838 3839

26 84

261 394

7766

6381

73

4677

60

656

Total Demand for Child Care Spaces

Distribution

EXISTING SUPPLY (4)

1099 4233

21 79

Child Care Spaces

5332

100

Family Child Care Home Supply

Child Care Center Supply

Current Child Care Supply

Distribution

EXISTING SURPLUS(SHORTAGE)

Distribution

Percentage of Demand Met

by Existing FacilitiesSpaces

Shortage of Family Child Care Home Spaces

Shortage of Center-Based Spaces

(5)

(6)

(6)

69

59

128

492 619

209 2577

701 3196

18 82

(398) (1037)

28 72

64 75

(279) (201)

(119) (837)

1111

2786

3897

100

(1435)

100

73

(480)

(955)

FINAL

Table B-18

Future Child Care Demand and Supply in 2025 in San Mateo

San Mateo County Child Care Study - 2016

Note All footnote references can be found in Table C-1 at the end of this file

Sources 2010 US Census ABAG Projections 2013 2014 American Community Survey ACS Journey-to-Work data 2006-2008 and 2006-2010

Child Care Coordinating Council of San Mateo County (4Cs) Community Care Licensing Brion Economics Inc

Prepared by Brion Economics Inc 2513-SMC NA Final Tables 61216 6122016

FINAL

Table B-19

Future Child Care Demand and Supply in 2025 in South Coast

San Mateo County Child Care Study - 2016

SOUTH COAST

Child Care as of 2025

No of

Providers

Under 2 Years

Old

2 to 4 Year

Olds

Total 0 to 4

Years

EXISTING DEMAND Child Care Demand

Estimated Total Children (1) 23 32 55

Average LFPRAdjustment Factor (2) 54

Children With Working Parents 12 27 40

Licensed Care Demand Factor (3) 37 77

Resident Children Needing Licensed Care 5 26 30

of Total Resident Children Needing Licensed Care 20 81 56

Children from Non-Resident Employees Needing

Licensed Care 0 0 0

Total Demand for Child Care Spaces 5 26 30

Distribution 15 85 100

EXISTING SUPPLY (4) Child Care Spaces

Family Child Care Home Supply - 0 0 0

Child Care Center Supply 2 0 54 54

Current Child Care Supply 2 - 54 54

Distribution 0 100 100

EXISTING SURPLUS(SHORTAGE) (5) 28 24

Distribution -19 119 100

Percentage of Demand Met

by Existing FacilitiesSpaces (5) 0 209 177

Shortage of Family Child Care Home Spaces (6) 0 NA 0

Shortage of Center-Based Spaces (6) (5) NA (5)

Note All footnote references can be found in Table C-1 at the end of this file

Sources 2010 US Census ABAG Projections 2013 2014 American Community Survey ACS Journey-to-Work data 2006-2008 and 2006-2010

Child Care Coordinating Council of San Mateo County (4Cs) Community Care Licensing Brion Economics Inc

Prepared by Brion Economics Inc 2513-SMC NA Final Tables 61216 6122016

SOUTH SAN FRANCISCO

Child Care as of 2025

No of

Providers

Under 2 Years

Old

2 to 4 Year

Olds

Total 0 to 4

Years

EXISTING DEMAND Child Care Demand

Estimated Total Children

Average LFPRAdjustment Factor

Children With Working Parents

Licensed Care Demand Factor

Resident Children Needing Licensed Care

of Total Resident Children Needing Licensed Care

Children from Non-Resident Employees Needing

Licensed Care

(1)

(2)

(3)

1835 2790

73

1342 2535

37

496 2362

27 85

339 512

4625

3877

74

2859

62

851

Total Demand for Child Care Spaces

Distribution

EXISTING SUPPLY (4)

835 2874

23 77

Child Care Spaces

3709

100

Family Child Care Home Supply

Child Care Center Supply

Current Child Care Supply

Distribution

EXISTING SURPLUS(SHORTAGE)

Distribution

Percentage of Demand Met

by Existing FacilitiesSpaces

Shortage of Family Child Care Home Spaces

Shortage of Center-Based Spaces

(5)

(6)

(6)

30

27

57

252 317

400 1966

652 2283

22 78

(183) (591)

24 76

78 79

(71) (82)

(113) (509)

569

2366

2935

100

(775)

100

79

(153)

(622)

FINAL

Table B-20

Future Child Care Demand and Supply in 2025 in South San Francisco

San Mateo County Child Care Study - 2016

Note All footnote references can be found in Table C-1 at the end of this file

Sources 2010 US Census ABAG Projections 2013 2014 American Community Survey ACS Journey-to-Work data 2006-2008 and 2006-2010

Child Care Coordinating Council of San Mateo County (4Cs) Community Care Licensing Brion Economics Inc

Prepared by Brion Economics Inc 2513-SMC NA Final Tables 61216 6122016

WOODSIDE

No of

Providers

Child Care as of 2025

Under 2 Years

Old

2 to 4 Year

Olds

Total 0 to 4

Years

EXISTING DEMAND Child Care Demand

Estimated Total Children

Average LFPRAdjustment Factor

Children With Working Parents

Licensed Care Demand Factor

Resident Children Needing Licensed Care

of Total Resident Children Needing Licensed Care

Children from Non-Resident Employees Needing

Licensed Care

(1)

(2)

(3)

93 165

56

51 140

37

19 132

21 80

9 13

258

192

79

152

59

22

Total Demand for Child Care Spaces

Distribution

EXISTING SUPPLY (4)

28 146

16 84

Child Care Spaces

174

100

Family Child Care Home Supply

Child Care Center Supply

Current Child Care Supply

Distribution

EXISTING SURPLUS(SHORTAGE)

Distribution

Percentage of Demand Met

by Existing FacilitiesSpaces

Shortage of Family Child Care Home Spaces

Shortage of Center-Based Spaces

(5)

(6)

(6)

1

2

3

4 5

- 103

4 108

4 96

(24) (38)

39 61

15 74

(24) (2)

0 (36)

9

103

112

100

(61)

100

65

(26)

(36)

FINAL

Table B-21

Future Child Care Demand and Supply in 2025 in Woodside

San Mateo County Child Care Study - 2016

Note All footnote references can be found in Table C-1 at the end of this file

Sources 2010 US Census ABAG Projections 2013 2014 American Community Survey ACS Journey-to-Work data 2006-2008 and 2006-2010

Child Care Coordinating Council of San Mateo County (4Cs) Community Care Licensing Brion Economics Inc

Prepared by Brion Economics Inc 2513-SMC NA Final Tables 61216 6122016

FINAL

Table C-1

Endnotes for Tables

San Mateo County Child Care Study - 2016

(1) Population by age is based on the percentage breakdown from the 2010 US Census and applied

to population estimates for 2015 using ABAGs Projections 2013 population data The ABAG data

for each area includes its Sphere of Influence and is not based on strict jurisdictional boundaries

(2) Labor force participation rates are from the 5-Year American Community Survey 2014 and include

children under six years old with two working parents or a single working parent For the 2- to 4-year

olds the labor force participation rate is applied to 2 year olds For 3- and 4-year olds it is assumed

that 100 need licensed care to support preschool for every child so the number of

3- and 4-year olds is not discounted by labor force participation rates

(3) Not all children with working parents are assumed to need licensed care percentage assumptions are

used to calculate the number of children requiring licensed care under each age category The

remaining children are assumed to be cared for in alternate arrangements such as by family members

nannies friends and other unlicensed care For children ages 3- and 4-years old it is assumed that

they all need care in the form of preschool

(4) Data on child care supply provided by the Child Care Coordinating Council of San Mateo County (4Cs)

and Community Care Licensing Division of the California Department of Social Services (CCLD) Data is

for June 2015

(5) Demand that calculates as less than 100 means that there is greater demand than supply percent of

demand that is over 100 means supply exceeds demand

(6) Unmet demand is broken down into shortage by type of care based on the proportion of FCCHs and

child care centers spaces available in each area If an area does not have any FCCHs or centers the

unmet demand is placed in the type of care that is available in the area (eg if there are only centers

all demand goes to centers)

Source Brion Economics Inc

Prepared by Brion Economics Inc 2513-SMC NA Final Tables 61216 6122016

DRAFT REPORT

Table C-2

Labor Force Participation Rates by CityArea

San Mateo County Child Care Study - 2016

CityArea

Labor Force

Participation Rate (1)

Atherton

Belmont

Brisbane

Burlingame

Daly CityColma

East Palo Alto

Foster City

Half Moon Bay Region

Hillsborough

Menlo Park

Millbrae

Pacifica

Portola Valley

Redwood City

San Bruno

San Carlos

San Mateo

South Coast

South San Francisco

Woodside

40

77

100

65

74

71

63

69

52

69

62

78

66

69

77

72

71

54

73

56

(1) Labor force participation rates (LFPRs) are for

families with children under age six with two

working parents or a single parent who works Sources American Community Survey 2014 5-Year

Survey Brion Economics Inc

Prepared by Brion Economics Inc 2513-SMC NA Final Tables 61216 6122016

  • 2513-SMC FINAL NA Memo-61216
  • 2513-SMC NA Final Tables 61216
Page 15: Final San Mateo County Child Care Needs … Care...Future C hild Care Demand and Supply in 2025 in Daly City/Colma San Mateo County Child Care Study - 2016 Note: All footnote references

2015 2025

CityArea as CityArea as

Under 2 2 to 4 Year Total of Total Under 2 2 to 4 Total of Total

CityArea Years Old Olds Demand Demand Years Old Year Olds Demand Demand

Atherton 27 165 192 06 29 173 201 05

Belmont 237 950 1187 35 250 999 1249 34

Brisbane 98 231 329 10 103 243 346 09

Burlingame 338 1236 1574 47 371 1356 1726 47

Daly CityColma 811 3237 4048 120 865 3441 4306 116

East Palo Alto 292 1419 1711 51 324 1575 1900 51

Foster City 268 1145 1414 42 283 1199 1483 40

Half Moon Bay Region (1) 144 742 885 26 155 802 957 26

Hillsborough 33 282 315 09 34 292 327 09

Menlo Park (2) 516 1790 2306 68 573 2011 2584 70

Millbrae 124 640 764 23 139 718 857 23

Pacifica 244 1117 1360 40 254 1159 1413 38

Portola Valley 26 171 198 06 28 177 204 06

Redwood City (2) 1241 4567 5808 172 1411 5208 6619 179

San Bruno 364 1418 1782 53 405 1578 1983 54

San Carlos 270 1222 1492 44 288 1297 1585 43

San Mateo 1003 3886 4889 145 1099 4233 5332 144

South Coast (3) 4 23 28 01 5 26 30 01

South San Francisco 755 2588 3343 99 835 2874 3709 100

Woodside 27 141 168 05 28 146 174 05

Total 6821 26971 33792 1000 7478 29506 36984 1000

FINAL

Table 6

Child Care Demand Summary Table for 2015 and 2025

San Mateo County Child Care Study - 2016

(1) Half Moon Bay Region includes the City of Half Moon Bay El Granada Montara and Moss Beach

(2) ABAG Projections have 6300 people listed as Remainder population this amount is divided equally between Menlo Park

and Redwood City given that they are surrounded by unincorporated areas

(3) South Coast includes La Honda Loma Mar and Pescadero

Sources 2010 US Census ABAG Projections 2013 Brion Economics Inc

Prepared by Brion Economics Inc 2513-SMC NA Final Tables 61216 6122016

No of Non- No of Employee

Resident No of 0 to 2 No of 3 to 4 Children Needing

CityArea Assumptions Employees Year Olds Year Olds Licensed Care

Estimated Percent of Employees

Needing Licensed Care (1) 300 40 60 100

Atherton 983 12 18 29

Belmont 2843 34 51 85

Brisbane 4316 52 78 129

Burlingame 11680 140 211 350

Daly CityColma 10540 126 190 316

East Palo Alto 1485 18 27 45

Foster City 6108 73 110 183

Half Moon Bay Region (2) 1060 13 19 32

Hillsborough 546 7 10 16

Menlo Park 18390 220 332 552

Millbrae 2304 28 42 69

Pacifica 1504 18 27 45

Portola Valley 689 8 12 21

Redwood City 34317 410 619 1029

San Bruno 5106 61 92 153

San Carlos 6295 75 114 189

San Mateo 19314 231 348 579

South Coast (3) 0 0 0 0

South San Francisco 22128 265 399 664

Woodside 708 8 13 21

SF Airport (4) 3676 44 66 110

Remainder (4) 299 4 5 9

Total Countywide 154289 1845 2784 4629

FINAL

Table 7

Employee Demand Summary Table for 2015

San Mateo County Child Care Study - 2016

Note Totals may be off slightly due to rounding

(1) We are assuming 3 of employees children require licensed care the breakdown of demand for infant and

preschool spaces is based on the percentage of infants and preschoolers who currently reside in San Mateo

County

(2) Half Moon Bay Region includes the City of Half Moon Bay El Granada Montara and Moss Beach

(3) South Coast includes La Honda Loma Mar and Pescadero

(4) SF Airport and Remainder are groupings by ABAG For employment SF Airport demand is attributed to South San

Francisco and Remainder demand is included with Redwood City

Sources 2010 US Census ABAG Projections 2013 2014 5-Year American Community Survey Journey-To-Work Data

Brion Economics Inc

Prepared by Brion Economics Inc 2513-SMC NA Final Tables 61216 6122016

No of Non- No of Employee

Resident No of 0 to 2 No of 3 to 4 Children Needing

CityArea Assumptions Employees Year Olds Year Olds Licensed Care

Estimated Percent of Employees

Needing Licensed Care (1) 300 40 60 100

Atherton 1051 13 19 32

Belmont 3108 37 56 93

Brisbane 4593 55 83 138

Burlingame 12850 154 232 385

Daly CityColma 11521 138 208 346

East Palo Alto 1683 20 30 50

Foster City 6677 80 120 200

Half Moon Bay Region (2) 1138 14 21 34

Hillsborough 583 7 11 17

Menlo Park 19813 237 357 594

Millbrae 2578 31 47 77

Pacifica 1611 19 29 48

Portola Valley 736 9 13 22

Redwood City 38624 462 697 1159

San Bruno 5695 68 103 171

San Carlos 6834 82 123 205

San Mateo 21855 261 394 656

South Coast (3) 0 0 0 0

South San Francisco 24173 289 436 725

Woodside 747 9 13 22

SF Airport (4) 4185 50 75 126

Remainder (4) 333 4 6 10

Total Countywide 170387 2037 3074 5112

FINAL

Table 8

Employee Demand Summary Table for 2025

San Mateo County Child Care Study - 2016

Note Totals may be off slightly due to rounding

(1) We are assuming 3 of employees children require licensed care the breakdown of demand for infant and

preschool spaces is based on the percentage of infants and preschoolers who currently reside in San Mateo County

(2) Half Moon Bay Region includes the City of Half Moon Bay El Granada Montara and Moss Beach

(3) South Coast includes La Honda Loma Mar and Pescadero

(4) SF Airport and Remainder are groupings by ABAG For employment SF Airport demand is attributed to South San

Francisco and Remainder demand is included with Redwood City

Sources 2010 US Census ABAG Projections 2013 2014 5-Year American Community Survey Journey-To-Work Data

Brion Economics Inc

Prepared by Brion Economics Inc 2513-SMC NA Final Tables 61216 6122016

2015

Surplus(Shortage) of Infant Surplus(Shortage) of Preschool Total Total

CityArea of Infant Spaces Demand Met of Preschool Spaces Demand Met Surplus(Shortage) Demand Met

Atherton 2 107 108 165 110 157

Belmont (130) 45 (335) 65 (465) 61

Brisbane (94) 4 (162) 30 (255) 22

Burlingame (219) 35 (271) 78 (489) 69

Daly CityColma (439) 46 (1612) 50 (2051) 49

East Palo Alto (182) 38 (680) 52 (862) 50

Foster City (62) 77 203 118 141 110

Half Moon Bay Region (1) (13) 91 (336) 55 (349) 61

Hillsborough (28) 15 (185) 34 (213) 32

Menlo Park (2) (367) 29 (363) 80 (730) 68

Millbrae (61) 50 (186) 71 (247) 0

Pacifica (128) 48 (319) 71 (447) 67

Portola Valley (26) 0 (18) 89 (45) 77

Redwood City (2) (490) 61 (2034) 55 (2524) 57

San Bruno (216) 41 (82) 94 (298) 83

San Carlos (121) 55 (516) 58 (637) 57

San Mateo (302) 70 (690) 82 (992) 80

South Coast (3) (4) 0 31 230 26 195

South San Francisco (103) 86 (306) 88 (408) 88

Woodside (23) 16 (33) 77 (55) 67

Countywide (3006) 56 (7783) 71 (10789) 68

FINAL

Table 9

Summary of Demand Met by Existing Facilities in Each Community at 2015

San Mateo County Child Care Study - 2016

Note Totals may be off slightly due to rounding

(1) Half Moon Bay Region includes the City of Half Moon Bay El Granada Montara and Moss Beach

(2) ABAG Projections have 6300 people listed as Remainder population this amount is divided equally between Menlo Park and Redwood

City given that they are surrounded by unincorporated areas

(3) South Coast includes La Honda Loma Mar and Pescadero

Sources 2010 US Census ABAG Projections 2013 Brion Economics Inc

Prepared by Brion Economics Inc 2513-SMC NA Final Tables 61216 6122016

2025

Surplus(Shortage) of Infant Surplus(Shortage) of Preschool Total Total

CityArea of Infant Spaces Demand Met of Preschool Spaces Demand Met Surplus(Shortage) Demand Met

Atherton 0 101 101 158 101 150

Belmont (143) 43 (384) 62 (527) 58

Brisbane (99) 4 (174) 29 (273) 21

Burlingame (252) 32 (390) 71 (642) 63

Daly CityColma (493) 43 (1816) 47 (2308) 46

East Palo Alto (215) 34 (836) 47 (1050) 45

Foster City (77) 73 150 112 73 105

Half Moon Bay Region (1) (24) 84 (396) 51 (421) 56

Hillsborough (29) 14 (195) 33 (225) 31

Menlo Park (2) (424) 26 (584) 71 (1008) 61

Millbrae (76) 45 (264) 63 (340) 60

Pacifica (138) 46 (361) 69 (499) 65

Portola Valley (28) 0 (24) 87 (51) 75

Redwood City (2) (660) 53 (2674) 49 (3334) 50

San Bruno (257) 37 (242) 85 (499) 75

San Carlos (139) 52 (590) 54 (729) 54

San Mateo (398) 64 (1037) 75 (1435) 73

South Coast (3) (5) 0 28 209 24 177

South San Francisco (183) 78 (591) 79 (775) 79

Woodside (24) 15 (38) 74 (61) 65

Countywide (3663) 51 (10318) 65 (13981) 62

FINAL

Table 10

Summary of Demand Met by Existing Facilities in Each Community at 2025

San Mateo County Child Care Study - 2016

Note Totals may be off slightly due to rounding

(1) Half Moon Bay Region includes the City of Half Moon Bay El Granada Montara and Moss Beach

(2) ABAG Projections have 6300 people listed as Remainder population this amount is divided equally between Menlo Park and Redwood

City given that they are surrounded by unincorporated areas

(3) South Coast includes La Honda Loma Mar and Pescadero

Sources 2010 US Census ABAG Projections 2013 Brion Economics Inc

Prepared by Brion Economics Inc 2513-SMC NA Final Tables 61216 6122016

Table 11

Number of Child Care Providers by City in 2015

San Mateo County Child Care Study - 2016

Family Child Licensed

CityArea Care Homes Centers Total

Atherton 1 6 7

Belmont 18 9 27

Brisbane 1 1 2

Burlingame 21 14 35

Daly CityColma 85 28 113

East Palo Alto 21 6 27

Foster City 29 12 41

Half Moon Bay Region (1) 28 11 39

Hillsborough 1 4 5

Menlo Park (2) 18 25 43

Millbrae 17 7 24

Pacifica 21 18 39

Portola Valley 0 4 4

Redwood City (2) 111 45 156

San Bruno 34 15 49

San Carlos 20 14 34

San Mateo 126 59 185

South Coast (3) 0 2 2

South San Francisco 68 27 95

Woodside 1 2 3

Countywide 621 309 930

FINAL

(1) Half Moon Bay Region includes the City of Half Moon Bay El Granada

Montara and Moss Beach

(2) ABAG Projections have 6300 people listed as Remainder population

this amount is divided equally between Menlo Park and Redwood City

given that they are surrounded by unincorporated areas

(3) South Coast includes La Honda Loma Mar and Pescadero

Sources Child Care Coordinating Council of San Mateo County (4Cs)

Community Care Licensing Brion Economics Inc

Prepared by Brion Economics Inc 2513-SMC NA Final Tables 61216 6122016

CityArea

Shortage

Infant

Center

Spaces

Infant care

Percentage

of Shortage

Shortage

Preschool

Center

Spaces

Preschool

Percentage

of Shortage

Total Center-

Based Space

Shortage

Atherton

Belmont

Brisbane

Burlingame

Daly CityColma

East Palo Alto

Foster City

Half Moon Bay Region

Hillsborough

Menlo Park

Millbrae

Pacifica

Portola Valley

Redwood City

San Bruno

San Carlos

San Mateo

South Coast

South San Francisco

Woodside

Countywide

NA

(48)

NA

(73)

(99)

(42)

(27)

(3)

NA

(180)

0

(43)

(26)

(232)

(38)

(62)

(90)

(2)

(63)

NA

NA

14

NA

23

7

7

100

1

NA

35

0

13

59

12

34

12

14

NA

19

NA

NA

(289)

(149)

(243)

(1253)

(582)

NA

(236)

(173)

(338)

(154)

(280)

(18)

(1635)

(73)

(449)

(557)

NA

(263)

(31)

NA

86

100

77

93

93

NA

99

100

65

100

87

41

88

66

88

86

NA

81

100

NA

(337)

(149)

(316)

(1352)

(623)

(27)

(240)

(173)

(518)

(154)

(323)

(45)

(1867)

(110)

(511)

(647)

(2)

(326)

(31)

(1193) 15 (6609) 85 (7802)

FINAL

Table 12

Summary of Shortage of Child Care Center Spaces by Age - 2015

San Mateo County Child Care Study - 2016

Sources Child Care Coordinating Council of San Mateo County (4Cs) Community Care Licensing

Brion Economics Inc

Prepared by Brion Economics Inc 2513-SMC NA Final Tables 61216 6122016

CityArea

Shortage

Infant Center

Spaces

Infant care

Percentage

of Shortage

Shortage

Preschool

Center

Spaces

Preschool

Percentage

of Shortage

Total Center-

Based Space

Shortage

Atherton

Belmont

Brisbane

Burlingame

Daly CityColma

East Palo Alto

Foster City

Half Moon Bay Region

Hillsborough

Menlo Park

Millbrae

Pacifica

Portola Valley

Redwood City

San Bruno

San Carlos

San Mateo

South Coast

South San Francisco

Woodside

Countywide

NA

(53)

NA

(85)

(111)

(49)

(33)

(6)

NA

(207)

0

(46)

(28)

(313)

(45)

(71)

(119)

(5)

(113)

0

NA

14

NA

19

7

6

100

2

NA

28

0

13

54

13

17

12

12

NA

18

NA

NA

(331)

(160)

(350)

(1412)

(715)

NA

(279)

(183)

(544)

(219)

(317)

(24)

(2149)

(214)

(514)

(837)

NA

(509)

(36)

NA

86

100

81

93

94

NA

98

100

72

100

87

46

87

83

88

88

NA

82

100

NA

(384)

(160)

(434)

(1523)

(764)

(33)

(285)

(183)

(752)

(219)

(364)

(51)

(2462)

(259)

(585)

(955)

(5)

(622)

(36)

(1454) 14 (8762) 86 (10216)

FINAL

Table 13

Summary of Shortage of Child Care Center Spaces by Age - 2025

San Mateo County Child Care Study - 2016

Sources Child Care Coordinating Council of San Mateo County (4Cs) Community Care Licensing

Brion Economics Inc

Prepared by Brion Economics Inc 2513-SMC NA Final Tables 61216 6122016

COUNTYWIDE

Child Care as of 2015

No of

Providers

Under 2 Years

Old

2 to 4 Year

Olds

Total 0 to 4

Years

EXISTING DEMAND Child Care Demand

Estimated Total Children

Average LFPRAdjustment Factor

Children With Working Parents

Licensed Care Demand Factor

Resident Children Needing Licensed Care

of Total Resident Children Needing Licensed Care

Children from Non-Resident Employees Needing

Licensed Care

Total Demand for Child Care Spaces

Distribution

EXISTING SUPPLY

(1)

(2)

(3)

(4)

19008 28678

71

13449 25720

37

4976 24188

26 84

1845 2784

6821 26971

20 80

Child Care Spaces

47686

39169

86

29164

61

4629

33792

100

Family Child Care Home Supply

Child Care Center Supply

Current Child Care Supply

Distribution

EXISTING SURPLUS(SHORTAGE)

Distribution

Percentage of Demand Met

by Existing FacilitiesSpaces

Shortage of Family Child Care Home Spaces

Shortage of Center-Based Spaces

(5)

(6)

(6)

621

309 -930

2301 2893

1514 16296 - -3815 19189

17 83

(3006) (7783)

28 72

56 71

(1813) (1173)

(1193) (6609)

5193

17810 -23003

100

(10789)

100

68

(2986)

(7802)

FINAL

Table A-1

Existing Child Care Demand and Supply in 2015 Countywide

San Mateo County Child Care Study - 2016

Note All footnote references can be found in Table C-1 at the end of this file

Sources 2010 US Census ABAG Projections 2013 2014 American Community Survey ACS Journey-to-Work data 2006-2008 and 2006-2010

Child Care Coordinating Council of San Mateo County (4Cs) Community Care Licensing Brion Economics Inc

Prepared by Brion Economics Inc 2513-SMC NA Final Tables 61216 6122016

ATHERTON

Child Care as of 2015

No of

Providers

Under 2 Years

Old

2 to 4 Year

Olds

Total 0 to 4

Years

EXISTING DEMAND Child Care Demand

Estimated Total Children

Average LFPRAdjustment Factor

Children With Working Parents

Licensed Care Demand Factor

Resident Children Needing Licensed Care

of Total Resident Children Needing Licensed Care

Children from Non-Resident Employees Needing

Licensed Care

(1)

(2)

(3)

105 185

40

42 153

37

15 147

15 80

12 18

290

194

84

163

56

29

Total Demand for Child Care Spaces

Distribution

EXISTING SUPPLY (4)

27 165

14 86

Child Care Spaces

192

100

Family Child Care Home Supply

Child Care Center Supply

Current Child Care Supply

Distribution

EXISTING SURPLUS(SHORTAGE)

Distribution

Percentage of Demand Met

by Existing FacilitiesSpaces

Shortage of Family Child Care Home Spaces

Shortage of Center-Based Spaces

(5)

(6)

(6)

1

6

7

5 6

24 267

29 273

10 90

2 108

2 98

107 165

NA NA

NA NA

11

291

302

100

110

100

157

NA

NA

FINAL

Table A-2

Existing Child Care Demand and Supply in 2015 in Atherton

San Mateo Co unty Child Care Study - 2016

Note All footnote references can be found in Table C-1 at the end of this file

Sources 2010 US Census ABAG Projections 2013 2014 American Community Survey ACS Journey-to-Work data 2006-2008 and 2006-2010

Child Care Coordinating Council of San Mateo County (4Cs) Community Care Licensing Brion Economics Inc

Prepared by Brion Economics Inc 2513-SMC NA Final Tables 61216 6122016

BELMONT

Child Care as of 2015

No of

Providers

Under 2 Years

Old

2 to 4 Year

Olds

Total 0 to 4

Years

EXISTING DEMAND Child Care Demand

Estimated Total Children

Average LFPRAdjustment Factor

Children With Working Parents

Licensed Care Demand Factor

Resident Children Needing Licensed Care

of Total Resident Children Needing Licensed Care

Children from Non-Resident Employees Needing

Licensed Care

(1)

(2)

(3)

708 1045

77

548 966

37

203 899

29 86

34 51

1753

1513

73

1102

63

85

Total Demand for Child Care Spaces

Distribution

EXISTING SUPPLY (4)

237 950

20 80

Child Care Spaces

1187

100

Family Child Care Home Supply

Child Care Center Supply

Current Child Care Supply

Distribution

EXISTING SURPLUS(SHORTAGE)

Distribution

Percentage of Demand Met

by Existing FacilitiesSpaces

Shortage of Family Child Care Home Spaces

Shortage of Center-Based Spaces

(5)

(6)

(6)

18

9

27

67 84

39 531

106 615

15 85

(130) (335)

28 72

45 65

(83) (46)

(48) (289)

152

570

722

100

(465)

100

61

(128)

(337)

FINAL

Table A-3

Existing Child Care Demand and Supply in 2015 in Belmont

San Mateo County Child Care Study - 2016

Note All footnote references can be found in Table C-1 at the end of this file Sources 2010 US Census ABAG Projections 2013 2014 American Community Survey ACS Journey-to-Work data 2006-2008 and

2006-2010 Child Care Coordinating Council of San Mateo County (4Cs) Community Care Licensing Brion Economics Inc

Prepared by Brion Economics Inc 2513-SMC NA Final Tables 61216 6122016

FINAL

Table A-4

Existing Child Care Demand and Supply in 2015 in Brisbane

San Mateo County Child Care Study - 2016

BRISBANE

Child Care as of 2015

No of

Providers

Under 2 Years

Old

2 to 4 Year

Olds

Total 0 to 4

Years

EXISTING DEMAND Child Care Demand

Estimated Total Children (1) 125 166 292

Average LFPRAdjustment Factor (2) 100

Children With Working Parents 125 166 292

Licensed Care Demand Factor (3) 37 68

Resident Children Needing Licensed Care 46 153 199

of Total Resident Children Needing Licensed Care 37 92 68

Children from Non-Resident Employees Needing

Licensed Care 52 78 129

Total Demand for Child Care Spaces 98 231 329

Distribution 30 70 100

EXISTING SUPPLY (4) Child Care Spaces

Family Child Care Home Supply 1 4 5 9

Child Care Center Supply 1 - 64 64

Current Child Care Supply 2 4 69 73

Distribution 6 94 100

EXISTING SURPLUS(SHORTAGE) (94) (162) (255)

Distribution 37 63 100

Percentage of Demand Met

by Existing FacilitiesSpaces (5) 4 30 22

Shortage of Family Child Care Home Spaces (6) (94) (12) (106)

Shortage of Center-Based Spaces (6) 0 (149) (149)

Note All footnote references can be found in Table C-1 at the end of this file

Sources 2010 US Census ABAG Projections 2013 2014 American Community Survey ACS Journey-to-Work data 2006-2008 and 2006-2010

Child Care Coordinating Council of San Mateo County (4Cs) Community Care Licensing Brion Economics Inc

Prepared by Brion Economics Inc 2513-SMC NA Final Tables 61216 6122016

BURLINGAME

Child Care as of 2015

No of

Providers

Under 2 Years

Old

2 to 4 Year

Olds

Total 0 to 4

Years

EXISTING DEMAND Child Care Demand

Estimated Total Children

Average LFPRAdjustment Factor

Children With Working Parents

Licensed Care Demand Factor

Resident Children Needing Licensed Care

of Total Resident Children Needing Licensed Care

Children from Non-Resident Employees Needing

Licensed Care

(1)

(2)

(3)

824 1216

65

535 1086

37

198 1025

24 84

140 211

2040

1621

75

1224

60

350

Total Demand for Child Care Spaces

Distribution

EXISTING SUPPLY (4)

338 1236

21 79

Child Care Spaces

1574

100

Family Child Care Home Supply

Child Care Center Supply

Current Child Care Supply

Distribution

EXISTING SURPLUS(SHORTAGE)

Distribution

Percentage of Demand Met

by Existing FacilitiesSpaces

Shortage of Family Child Care Home Spaces

Shortage of Center-Based Spaces

(5)

(6)

(6)

21

14

35

79 99

40 866

119 965

11 89

(219) (271)

45 55

35 78

(145) (28)

(73) (243)

179

906

1085

100

(489)

100

69

(173)

(316)

FINAL

Table A-5

Existing Child Care Demand and Supply in 2015 in Burlingame

San Mateo County Child Care Study - 2016

Note All footnote references can be found in Table C-1 at the end of this file

Sources 2010 US Census ABAG Projections 2013 2014 American Community Survey ACS Journey-to-Work data 2006-2008 and 2006-2010

Child Care Coordinating Council of San Mateo County (4Cs) Community Care Licensing Brion Economics Inc

Prepared by Brion Economics Inc 2513-SMC NA Final Tables 61216 6122016

DALY CITYCOLMA

Child Care as of 2015

No of

Providers

Under 2 Years

Old

2 to 4 Year

Olds

Total 0 to 4

Years

EXISTING DEMAND Child Care Demand

Estimated Total Children

Average LFPRAdjustment Factor

Children With Working Parents

Licensed Care Demand Factor

Resident Children Needing Licensed Care

of Total Resident Children Needing Licensed Care

Children from Non-Resident Employees Needing

Licensed Care

(1)

(2)

(3)

2495 3575

742

1851 3268

37

685 3047

27 85

126 190

6070

5119

73

3732

61

316

Total Demand for Child Care Spaces

Distribution

EXISTING SUPPLY (4)

811 3237

20 80

Child Care Spaces

4048

100

Family Child Care Home Supply

Child Care Center Supply

Current Child Care Supply

Distribution

EXISTING SURPLUS(SHORTAGE)

Distribution

Percentage of Demand Met

by Existing FacilitiesSpaces

Shortage of Family Child Care Home Spaces

Shortage of Center-Based Spaces

(5)

(6)

(6)

85

28

113

288 362

84 1264

372 1626

19 81

(439) (1612)

21 79

46 50

(340) (359)

(99) (1253)

649

1348

1997

100

(2051)

100

49

(698)

(1352)

FINAL

Table A-6

Existing Child Care Demand and Supply in 2015 in Daly CityColma

San Mateo Co unty Child Care Study - 2016

Note All footnote references can be found in Table C-1 at the end of this file

Sources 2010 US Census ABAG Projections 2013 2014 American Community Survey ACS Journey-to-Work data 2006-2008 and 2006-2010

Child Care Coordinating Council of San Mateo County (4Cs) Community Care Licensing Brion Economics Inc

Prepared by Brion Economics Inc 2513-SMC NA Final Tables 61216 6122016

EAST PALO ALTO

Child Care as of 2015

No of

Providers

Under 2 Years

Old

2 to 4 Year

Olds

Total 0 to 4

Years

EXISTING DEMAND Child Care Demand

Estimated Total Children

Average LFPRAdjustment Factor

Children With Working Parents

Licensed Care Demand Factor

Resident Children Needing Licensed Care

of Total Resident Children Needing Licensed Care

Children from Non-Resident Employees Needing

Licensed Care

(1)

(2)

(3)

1046 1667

71

741 1496

37

274 1392

26 84

18 27

2713

2237

75

1666

61

45

Total Demand for Child Care Spaces

Distribution

EXISTING SUPPLY (4)

292 1419

17 83

Child Care Spaces

1711

100

Family Child Care Home Supply

Child Care Center Supply

Current Child Care Supply

Distribution

EXISTING SURPLUS(SHORTAGE)

Distribution

Percentage of Demand Met

by Existing FacilitiesSpaces

Shortage of Family Child Care Home Spaces

Shortage of Center-Based Spaces

(5)

(6)

(6)

21

6

27

85 106

25 633

110 739

13 87

(182) (680)

21 79

38 52

(141) (98)

(42) (582)

191

658

849

100

(862)

100

50

(239)

(623)

FINAL

Table A-7

Existing Child Care Demand and Supply in 2015 in East Palo Alto

San Mateo County Child Care Study - 2016

Note All footnote references can be found in Table C-1 at the end of this file Sources 2010 US Census ABAG Projections 2013 2014 American Community Survey ACS Journey-to-Work data 2006-2008 and 2006-2010

Child Care Coordinating Council of San Mateo County (4Cs) Community Care Licensing Brion Economics Inc

Prepared by Brion Economics Inc 2513-SMC NA Final Tables 61216 6122016

FOSTER CITY

Child Care as of 2015

No of

Providers

Under 2 Years

Old

2 to 4 Year

Olds

Total 0 to 4

Years

EXISTING DEMAND Child Care Demand

Estimated Total Children

Average LFPRAdjustment Factor

Children With Working Parents

Licensed Care Demand Factor

Resident Children Needing Licensed Care

of Total Resident Children Needing Licensed Care

Children from Non-Resident Employees Needing

Licensed Care

(1)

(2)

(3)

836 1277

63

528 1108

37

195 1035

23 81

73 110

2113

1636

75

1231

58

183

Total Demand for Child Care Spaces

Distribution

EXISTING SUPPLY (4)

268 1145

19 81

Child Care Spaces

1414

100

Family Child Care Home Supply

Child Care Center Supply

Current Child Care Supply

Distribution

EXISTING SURPLUS(SHORTAGE)

Distribution

Percentage of Demand Met

by Existing FacilitiesSpaces

Shortage of Family Child Care Home Spaces

Shortage of Center-Based Spaces

(5)

(6)

(6)

29

12

41

118 149

88 1200

206 1349

13 87

(62) 203

NA NA

77 118

(36) NA

(27) NA

267

1288

1555

100

141

NA

110

(36)

(27)

FINAL

Table A-8

Existing Child Care Demand and Supply in 2015 in Foster City

San Mateo County Child Care Study - 2016

Note All footnote references can be found in Table C-1 at the end of this file

Sources 2010 US Census ABAG Projections 2013 2014 American Community Survey ACS Journey-to-Work data 2006-2008 and 2006-2010

Child Care Coordinating Council of San Mateo County (4Cs) Community Care Licensing Brion Economics Inc

Prepared by Brion Economics Inc 2513-SMC NA Final Tables 61216 6122016

HALF MOON BAY REGION

Child Care as of 2015

No of

Providers

Under 2 Years

Old

2 to 4 Year

Olds

Total 0 to 4

Years

EXISTING DEMAND Child Care Demand

Estimated Total Children

Average LFPRAdjustment Factor

Children With Working Parents

Licensed Care Demand Factor

Resident Children Needing Licensed Care

of Total Resident Children Needing Licensed Care

Children from Non-Resident Employees Needing

Licensed Care

(1)

(2)

(3)

511 860

69

354 772

37

131 723

26 84

13 19

1371

1126

76

854

62

32

Total Demand for Child Care Spaces

Distribution

EXISTING SUPPLY (4)

144 742

16 84

Child Care Spaces

885

100

Family Child Care Home Supply

Child Care Center Supply

Current Child Care Supply

Distribution

EXISTING SURPLUS(SHORTAGE)

Distribution

Percentage of Demand Met

by Existing FacilitiesSpaces

Shortage of Family Child Care Home Spaces

Shortage of Center-Based Spaces

(5)

(6)

(6)

28

11

39

96 121

35 285

131 406

24 76

(13) (336)

4 96

91 55

(9) (100)

(3) (236)

216

320

536

100

(349)

100

61

(109)

(240)

FINAL

Table A-9

Existing Child Care Demand and Supply in 2015 in Half Moon Bay Region

San Mateo County Child Care Study - 2016

Note All footnote references can be found in Table C-1 at the end of this file

Sources 2010 US Census ABAG Projections 2013 2014 American Community Survey ACS Journey-to-Work data 2006-2008 and 2006-2010

Child Care Coordinating Council of San Mateo County (4Cs) Community Care Licensing Brion Economics Inc

Prepared by Brion Economics Inc 2513-SMC NA Final Tables 61216 6122016

HILLSBOROUGH

Child Care as of 2015

No of

Providers

Under 2 Years

Old

2 to 4 Year

Olds

Total 0 to 4

Years

EXISTING DEMAND Child Care Demand

Estimated Total Children

Average LFPRAdjustment Factor

Children With Working Parents

Licensed Care Demand Factor

Resident Children Needing Licensed Care

of Total Resident Children Needing Licensed Care

Children from Non-Resident Employees Needing

Licensed Care

(1)

(2)

(3)

138 331

52

71 284

37

26 272

19 82

7 10

469

356

84

298

64

16

Total Demand for Child Care Spaces

Distribution

EXISTING SUPPLY (4)

33 282

10 90

Child Care Spaces

315

100

Family Child Care Home Supply

Child Care Center Supply

Current Child Care Supply

Distribution

EXISTING SURPLUS(SHORTAGE)

Distribution

Percentage of Demand Met

by Existing FacilitiesSpaces

Shortage of Family Child Care Home Spaces

Shortage of Center-Based Spaces

(5)

(6)

(6)

1

4

5

5 6

- 91

5 97

5 95

(28) (185)

13 87

15 34

(28) (12)

0 (173)

11

91

102

100

(213)

100

32

(40)

(173)

FINAL

Table A-10

Existing Child Care Demand and Supply in 2015 in Hillsborough

San Mateo County Child Care Study - 2016

Note All footnote references can be found in Table C-1 at the end of this file Sources 2010 US Census ABAG Projections 2013 2014 American Community Survey ACS Journey-to-Work data 2006-2008 and 2006-2010

Child Care Coordinating Council of San Mateo County (4Cs) Community Care Licensing Brion Economics Inc

Prepared by Brion Economics Inc 2513-SMC NA Final Tables 61216 6122016

MENLO PARK

Child Care as of 2015

No of

Providers

Under 2 Years

Old

2 to 4 Year

Olds

Total 0 to 4

Years

EXISTING DEMAND Child Care Demand

Estimated Total Children

Average LFPRAdjustment Factor

Children With Working Parents

Licensed Care Demand Factor

Resident Children Needing Licensed Care

of Total Resident Children Needing Licensed Care

Children from Non-Resident Employees Needing

Licensed Care

(1)

(2)

(3)

1170 1723

69

802 1551

37

297 1458

25 85

220 332

2893

2353

75

1754

61

552

Total Demand for Child Care Spaces

Distribution

EXISTING SUPPLY (4)

516 1790

22 78

Child Care Spaces

2306

100

Family Child Care Home Supply

Child Care Center Supply

Current Child Care Supply

Distribution

EXISTING SURPLUS(SHORTAGE)

Distribution

Percentage of Demand Met

by Existing FacilitiesSpaces

Shortage of Family Child Care Home Spaces

Shortage of Center-Based Spaces

(5)

(6)

(6)

18

25

43

76 96

73 1331

149 1427

9 91

(367) (363)

50 50

29 80

(188) (24)

(180) (338)

172

1404

1576

100

(730)

100

68

(212)

(518)

FINAL

Table A-11

Existing Child Care Demand and Supply in 2015 in Menlo Park

San Mateo County Child Care Study - 2016

Note All footnote references can be found in Table C-1 at the end of this file Sources 2010 US Census ABAG Projections 2013 2014 American Community Survey ACS Journey-to-Work data 2006-2008 and 2006-2010

Child Care Coordinating Council of San Mateo County (4Cs) Community Care Licensing Brion Economics Inc

Prepared by Brion Economics Inc 2513-SMC NA Final Tables 61216 6122016

MILLBRAE

Child Care as of 2015

No of

Providers

Under 2 Years

Old

2 to 4 Year

Olds

Total 0 to 4

Years

EXISTING DEMAND Child Care Demand

Total Children

Average LFPRAdjustment Factor

Children With Working Parents

Licensed Care Demand Factor

Resident Children Needing Licensed Care

of Total Resident Children Needing Licensed Care

Children from Non-Resident Employees Needing

Licensed Care

(1)

(2)

(3)

421 717

62

260 632

37

96 598

23 83

28 42

1138

892

78

694

61

69

Total Demand for Child Care Spaces

Distribution

EXISTING SUPPLY (4)

124 640

16 84

Child Care Spaces

764

100

Family Child Care Home Supply

Child Care Center Supply

Current Child Care Supply

Distribution

EXISTING SURPLUS(SHORTAGE)

Distribution

Percentage of Demand Met

by Existing FacilitiesSpaces

Shortage of Family Child Care Home Spaces

Shortage of Center-Based Spaces

(5)

(6)

(6)

17

7

24

62 78

- 376

62 454

12 88

(61) (186)

25 75

50 71

(61) (32)

0 (154)

141

376

517

100

(247)

100

68

(93)

(154)

FINAL

Table A-12

Existing Child Care Demand and Supply in 2015 in Millbrae

San Mateo Co unty Child Care Study - 2016

Note All footnote references can be found in Table C-1 at the end of this file

Sources 2010 US Census ABAG Projections 2013 2014 American Community Survey ACS Journey-to-Work data 2006-2008 and 2006-2010

Child Care Coordinating Council of San Mateo County (4Cs) Community Care Licensing Brion Economics Inc

Prepared by Brion Economics Inc 2513-SMC NA Final Tables 61216 6122016

PACIFICA

Child Care as of 2015

No of

Providers

Under 2 Years

Old

2 to 4 Year

Olds

Total 0 to 4

Years

EXISTING DEMAND Child Care Demand

Estimated Total Children

Average LFPRAdjustment Factor

Children With Working Parents

Licensed Care Demand Factor

Resident Children Needing Licensed Care

of Total Resident Children Needing Licensed Care

Children from Non-Resident Employees Needing

Licensed Care

(1)

(2)

(3)

787 1253

78

610 1165

37

226 1089

29 87

18 27

2040

1776

74

1315

64

45

Total Demand for Child Care Spaces

Distribution

EXISTING SUPPLY (4)

244 1117

18 83

Child Care Spaces

1360

100

Family Child Care Home Supply

Child Care Center Supply

Current Child Care Supply

Distribution

EXISTING SURPLUS(SHORTAGE)

Distribution

Percentage of Demand Met

by Existing FacilitiesSpaces

Shortage of Family Child Care Home Spaces

Shortage of Center-Based Spaces

(5)

(6)

(6)

21

18

39

77 97

39 701

116 798

13 87

(128) (319)

29 71

48 71

(85) (39)

(43) (280)

174

740

914

100

(447)

100

67

(124)

(323)

FINAL

Table A-13

Existing Child Care Demand and Supply in 2015 in Pacifica

San Mateo County Child Care Study - 2016

Note All footnote references can be found in Table C-1 at the end of this file Sources 2010 US Census ABAG Projections 2013 2014 American Community Survey ACS Journey-to-Work data 2006-2008 and 2006-2010

Child Care Coordinating Council of San Mateo County (4Cs) Community Care Licensing Brion Economics Inc

Prepared by Brion Economics Inc 2513-SMC NA Final Tables 61216 6122016

PORTOLA VALLEY

No of

Providers

Child Care as of 2015

Under 2 Years

Old

2 to 4 Year

Olds

Total 0 to 4

Years

EXISTING DEMAND Child Care Demand

Estimated Total Children

Average LFPRAdjustment Factor

Children With Working Parents

Licensed Care Demand Factor

Resident Children Needing Licensed Care

of Total Resident Children Needing Licensed Care

Children from Non-Resident Employees Needing

Licensed Care

(1)

(2)

(3)

75 187

66

49 168

37

18 159

24 85

8 12

261

217

82

177

68

21

Total Demand for Child Care Spaces

Distribution

EXISTING SUPPLY (4)

26 171

13 87

Child Care Spaces

198

100

Family Child Care Home Supply

Child Care Center Supply

Current Child Care Supply

Distribution

EXISTING SURPLUS(SHORTAGE)

Distribution

Percentage of Demand Met

by Existing FacilitiesSpaces

Shortage of Family Child Care Home Spaces

Shortage of Center-Based Spaces

(5)

(6)

(6)

0

4

4

0 0

0 153

0 153

0 100

(26) (18)

59 41

0 89

0 0

(26) (18)

0

153

153

100

(45)

100

77

0

(45)

FINAL

Table A-14

Existing Child Care Demand and Supply in 2015 in Portola Valley

San Mateo County Child Care Study - 2016

Note All footnote references can be found in Table C-1 at the end of this file Sources 2010 US Census ABAG Projections 2013 2014 American Community Survey ACS Journey-to-Work data 2006-2008 and 2006-2010

Child Care Coordinating Council of San Mateo County (4Cs) Community Care Licensing Brion Economics Inc

Prepared by Brion Economics Inc 2513-SMC NA Final Tables 61216 6122016

REDWOOD CITY

Child Care as of 2015

No of

Providers

Under 2 Years

Old

2 to 4 Year

Olds

Total 0 to 4

Years

EXISTING DEMAND Child Care Demand

Estimated Total Children

Average LFPRAdjustment Factor

Children With Working Parents

Licensed Care Demand Factor

Resident Children Needing Licensed Care

of Total Resident Children Needing Licensed Care

Children from Non-Resident Employees Needing

Licensed Care

Total Demand for Child Care Spaces

Distribution

EXISTING SUPPLY

(1)

(2)

(3)

(4)

3260 4706

69

2236 4212

37

827 3942

25 84

414 625

1241 4567

21 79

Child Care Spaces

7966

6449

74

4770

60

1038

5808

100

Family Child Care Home Supply

Child Care Center Supply

Current Child Care Supply

Distribution

EXISTING SURPLUS(SHORTAGE)

Distribution

Percentage of Demand Met

by Existing FacilitiesSpaces

Shortage of Family Child Care Home Spaces

Shortage of Center-Based Spaces

(5)

(6)

(6)

111

45

156

396 497

356 2036

752 2533

23 77

(490) (2034)

19 81

61 55

(258) (399)

(232) (1635)

893

2392

3285

100

(2524)

100

57

(657)

(1867)

FINAL

Table A-15

Existing Child Care Demand and Supply in 2015 in Redwood City

San Mateo County Child Care Study - 2016

Note All footnote references can be found in Table C-1 at the end of this file Sources 2010 US Census ABAG Projections 2013 2014 American Community Survey ACS Journey-to-Work data 2006-2008 and 2006-2010

Child Care Coordinating Council of San Mateo County (4Cs) Community Care Licensing Brion Economics Inc

Prepared by Brion Economics Inc 2513-SMC NA Final Tables 61216 6122016

SAN BRUNO

Child Care as of 2015

No of

Providers

Under 2 Years

Old

2 to 4 Year

Olds

Total 0 to 4

Years

EXISTING DEMAND Child Care Demand

Estimated Total Children

Average LFPRAdjustment Factor

Children With Working Parents

Licensed Care Demand Factor

Resident Children Needing Licensed Care

of Total Resident Children Needing Licensed Care

Children from Non-Resident Employees Needing

Licensed Care

(1)

(2)

(3)

1069 1553

77

817 1428

37

302 1326

28 85

61 92

2622

2245

73

1628

62

153

Total Demand for Child Care Spaces

Distribution

EXISTING SUPPLY (4)

364 1418

20 80

Child Care Spaces

1782

100

Family Child Care Home Supply

Child Care Center Supply

Current Child Care Supply

Distribution

EXISTING SURPLUS(SHORTAGE)

Distribution

Percentage of Demand Met

by Existing FacilitiesSpaces

Shortage of Family Child Care Home Spaces

Shortage of Center-Based Spaces

(5)

(6)

(6)

34

15

49

122 153

26 1183

148 1336

10 90

(216) (82)

72 28

41 94

(178) (9)

(38) (73)

275

1209

1484

100

(298)

100

83

(187)

(110)

FINAL

Table A-16

Existing Child Care Demand and Supply in 2015 in San Bruno

San Mateo County Child Care Study - 2016

Note All footnote references can be found in Table C-1 at the end of this file Sources 2010 US Census ABAG Projections 2013 2014 American Community Survey ACS Journey-to-Work data 2006-2008 and 2006-2010

Child Care Coordinating Council of San Mateo County (4Cs) Community Care Licensing Brion Economics Inc

Prepared by Brion Economics Inc 2513-SMC NA Final Tables 61216 6122016

SAN CARLOS

Child Care as of 2015

No of

Providers

Under 2 Years

Old

2 to 4 Year

Olds

Total 0 to 4

Years

EXISTING DEMAND Child Care Demand

Estimated Total Children

Average LFPRAdjustment Factor

Children With Working Parents

Licensed Care Demand Factor

Resident Children Needing Licensed Care

of Total Resident Children Needing Licensed Care

Children from Non-Resident Employees Needing

Licensed Care

(1)

(2)

(3)

735 1308

72

526 1186

37

195 1109

26 85

75 114

2043

1712

76

1304

64

189

Total Demand for Child Care Spaces

Distribution

EXISTING SUPPLY (4)

270 1222

18 82

Child Care Spaces

1492

100

Family Child Care Home Supply

Child Care Center Supply

Current Child Care Supply

Distribution

EXISTING SURPLUS(SHORTAGE)

Distribution

Percentage of Demand Met

by Existing FacilitiesSpaces

Shortage of Family Child Care Home Spaces

Shortage of Center-Based Spaces

(5)

(6)

(6)

20

14

34

73 92

76 615

149 707

17 83

(121) (516)

19 81

55 58

(59) (67)

(62) (449)

164

691

855

100

(637)

100

57

(126)

(511)

FINAL

Table A-17

Existing Child Care Demand and Supply in 2015 in San Carlos

San Mateo County Child Care Study - 2016

Note All footnote references can be found in Table C-1 at the end of this file

Sources 2010 US Census ABAG Projections 2013 2014 American Community Survey ACS Journey-to-Work data 2006-2008 and 2006-2010

Child Care Coordinating Council of San Mateo County (4Cs) Community Care Licensing Brion Economics Inc

Prepared by Brion Economics Inc 2513-SMC NA Final Tables 61216 6122016

SAN MATEO

Child Care as of 2015

No of

Providers

Under 2 Years

Old

2 to 4 Year

Olds

Total 0 to 4

Years

EXISTING DEMAND Child Care Demand

Estimated Total Children

Average LFPRAdjustment Factor

Children With Working Parents

Licensed Care Demand Factor

Resident Children Needing Licensed Care

of Total Resident Children Needing Licensed Care

Children from Non-Resident Employees Needing

Licensed Care

(1)

(2)

(3)

2943 4213

71

2087 3793

37

772 3537

26 84

231 348

7156

5880

73

4309

60

579

Total Demand for Child Care Spaces

Distribution

EXISTING SUPPLY (4)

1003 3886

21 79

Child Care Spaces

4889

100

Family Child Care Home Supply

Child Care Center Supply

Current Child Care Supply

Distribution

EXISTING SURPLUS(SHORTAGE)

Distribution

Percentage of Demand Met

by Existing FacilitiesSpaces

Shortage of Family Child Care Home Spaces

Shortage of Center-Based Spaces

(5)

(6)

(6)

126

59

185

492 619

209 2577

701 3196

18 82

(302) (690)

30 70

70 82

(212) (134)

(90) (557)

1111

2786

3897

100

(992)

100

80

(345)

(647)

FINAL

Table A-18

Existing Child Care Demand and Supply in 2015 in San Mateo

San Mateo County Child Care Study - 2016

Note All footnote references can be found in Table C-1 at the end of this file

Sources 2010 US Census ABAG Projections 2013 2014 American Community Survey ACS Journey-to-Work data 2006-2008 and 2006-2010

Child Care Coordinating Council of San Mateo County (4Cs) Community Care Licensing Brion Economics Inc

Prepared by Brion Economics Inc 2513-SMC NA Final Tables 61216 6122016

SOUTH COAST

Child Care as of 2015

No of

Providers

Under 2 Years

Old

2 to 4 Year

Olds

Total 0 to 4

Years

EXISTING DEMAND Child Care Demand

Estimated Total Children

Average LFPRAdjustment Factor

Children With Working Parents

Licensed Care Demand Factor

Resident Children Needing Licensed Care

of Total Resident Children Needing Licensed Care

Children from Non-Resident Employees Needing

Licensed Care

(1)

(2)

(3)

21 29

54

11 25

37

4 23

20 81

0 0

50

36

77

28

56

0

Total Demand for Child Care Spaces

Distribution

EXISTING SUPPLY (4)

4 23

15 85

Child Care Spaces

28

100

Family Child Care Home Supply

Child Care Center Supply

Current Child Care Supply

Distribution

EXISTING SURPLUS(SHORTAGE)

Distribution

Percentage of Demand Met

by Existing FacilitiesSpaces

Shortage of Family Child Care Home Spaces

Shortage of Center-Based Spaces

(5)

(6)

(6)

-

2

2

- -

- 54

- 54

0 100

(4) 31

-16 116

0 230

(2) NA

(2) NA

0

54

54

100

26

100

195

(2)

(2)

FINAL

Table A-19

Existing Child Care Demand and Supply in 2015 in South Coast

San Mateo County Child Care Study - 2016

Note All footnote references can be found in Table C-1 at the end of this file

Sources 2010 US Census ABAG Projections 2013 2014 American Community Survey ACS Journey-to-Work data 2006-2008 and 2006-2010

Child Care Coordinating Council of San Mateo County (4Cs) Community Care Licensing Brion Economics Inc

Prepared by Brion Economics Inc 2513-SMC NA Final Tables 61216 6122016

SOUTH SAN FRANCISCO

Child Care as of 2015

No of

Providers

Under 2 Years

Old

2 to 4 Year

Olds

Total 0 to 4

Years

EXISTING DEMAND Child Care Demand

Estimated Total Children

Average LFPRAdjustment Factor

Children With Working Parents

Licensed Care Demand Factor

Resident Children Needing Licensed Care

of Total Resident Children Needing Licensed Care

Children from Non-Resident Employees Needing

Licensed Care

(1)

(2)

(3)

1649 2507

73

1206 2278

37

446 2123

27 85

309 466

4156

3484

74

2569

62

774

Total Demand for Child Care Spaces

Distribution

EXISTING SUPPLY (4)

755 2588

23 77

Child Care Spaces

3343

100

Family Child Care Home Supply

Child Care Center Supply

Current Child Care Supply

Distribution

EXISTING SURPLUS(SHORTAGE)

Distribution

Percentage of Demand Met

by Existing FacilitiesSpaces

Shortage of Family Child Care Home Spaces

Shortage of Center-Based Spaces

(5)

(6)

(6)

68

27

95

252 317

400 1966

652 2283

22 78

(103) (306)

25 75

86 88

(40) (42)

(63) (263)

569

2366

2935

100

(408)

100

88

(82)

(326)

FINAL

Table A-20

Existing Child Care Demand and Supply in 2015 in South San Francisco

San Mateo County Child Care Study - 2016

Note All footnote references can be found in Table C-1 at the end of this file Sources 2010 US Census ABAG Projections 2013 2014 American Community Survey ACS Journey-to-Work data 2006-2008 and 2006-2010

Child Care Coordinating Council of San Mateo County (4Cs) Community Care Licensing Brion Economics Inc

Prepared by Brion Economics Inc 2513-SMC NA Final Tables 61216 6122016

WOODSIDE

No of

Providers

Child Care as of 2015

Under 2 Years

Old

2 to 4 Year

Olds

Total 0 to 4

Years

EXISTING DEMAND Child Care Demand

Estimated Total Children

Average LFPRAdjustment Factor

Children With Working Parents

Licensed Care Demand Factor

Resident Children Needing Licensed Care

of Total Resident Children Needing Licensed Care

Children from Non-Resident Employees Needing

Licensed Care

(1)

(2)

(3)

90 160

56

50 136

37

18 128

21 80

8 13

250

186

79

147

59

21

Total Demand for Child Care Spaces

Distribution

EXISTING SUPPLY (4)

27 141

16 84

Child Care Spaces

168

100

Family Child Care Home Supply

Child Care Center Supply

Current Child Care Supply

Distribution

EXISTING SURPLUS(SHORTAGE)

Distribution

Percentage of Demand Met

by Existing FacilitiesSpaces

Shortage of Family Child Care Home Spaces

Shortage of Center-Based Spaces

(5)

(6)

(6)

1

2

3

4 5

0 103

4 108

4 96

(23) (33)

41 59

16 77

(23) (2)

0 (31)

9

103

112

100

(55)

100

67

(24)

(31)

FINAL

Table A-21

Existing Child Care Demand and Supply in 2015 in Woodside

San Mateo County Child Care Study - 2016

Note All footnote references can be found in Table C-1 at the end of this file Sources 2010 US Census ABAG Projections 2013 2014 American Community Survey ACS Journey-to-Work data 2006-2008 and 2006-2010

Child Care Coordinating Council of San Mateo County (4Cs) Community Care Licensing Brion Economics Inc

Prepared by Brion Economics Inc 2513-SMC NA Final Tables 61216 6122016

COUNTYWIDE

Child Care as of 2025

No of

Providers

Under 2 Years

Old

2 to 4 Year

Olds

Total 0 to 4

Years

EXISTING DEMAND Child Care Demand

Estimated Total Children

Average LFPRAdjustment Factor

Children With Working Parents

Licensed Care Demand Factor

Resident Children Needing Licensed Care

of Total Resident Children Needing Licensed Care

Children from Non-Resident Employees Needing

Licensed Care

Total Demand for Child Care Spaces

Distribution

EXISTING SUPPLY

(1)

(2)

(3)

(4)

20790 31340

71

14704 28273

37

5441 26432

26 84

2037 3074

7478 29506

20 80

Child Care Spaces

52130

42978

86

31873

61

5112

36984

100

Family Child Care Home Supply

Child Care Center Supply

Current Child Care Supply

Distribution

EXISTING SURPLUS(SHORTAGE)

Distribution

Percentage of Demand Met

by Existing FacilitiesSpaces

Shortage of Family Child Care Home Spaces

Shortage of Center-Based Spaces

(5)

(6)

(6)

621

309

930

2301 2893

1514 16296

3815 19189

17 83

(3663) (10318)

26 74

51 65

(2209) (1555)

(1454) (8762)

5193

17810

23003

100

(13981)

100

62

(3765)

(10216)

FINAL

Table B-1

Future C hild Care Demand and Supply in 2025 Countywide

San Mateo County Child Care Study - 2016

Note All footnote references can be found in Table C-1 at the end of this file

Sources 2010 US Census ABAG Projections 2013 2014 American Community Survey ACS Journey-to-Work data 2006-2008 and 2006-2010

Child Care Coordinating Council of San Mateo County (4Cs) Community Care Licensing Brion Economics Inc

Prepared by Brion Economics Inc 2513-SMC NA Final Tables 61216 6122016

ATHERTON

No of

Providers

Child Care as of 2025

Under 2 Years

Old

2 to 4 Year

Olds

Total 0 to 4

Years

EXISTING DEMAND Child Care Demand

Estimated Total Children

Average LFPRAdjustment Factor

Children With Working Parents

Licensed Care Demand Factor

Resident Children Needing Licensed Care

of Total Resident Children Needing Licensed Care

Children from Non-Resident Employees Needing

Licensed Care

(1)

(2)

(3)

109 193

40

43 159

37

16 154

15 80

13 19

302

202

84

170

56

32

Total Demand for Child Care Spaces

Distribution

EXISTING SUPPLY (4)

29 173

14 86

Child Care Spaces

201

100

Family Child Care Home Supply

Child Care Center Supply

Current Child Care Supply

Distribution

EXISTING SURPLUS(SHORTAGE)

Distribution

Percentage of Demand Met

by Existing FacilitiesSpaces

Shortage of Family Child Care Home Spaces

Shortage of Center-Based Spaces

(5)

(6)

(6)

1

6

7

5 6

24 267

29 273

10 90

0 101

0 100

101 158

NA NA

NA NA

11

291

302

100

101

100

150

NA

NA

FINAL

Table B-2

Future Child Care Demand and Supply in 2025 in Atherton

San Mateo Co unty Child Care Study - 2016

Note All footnote references can be found in Table C-1 at the end of this file Sources 2010 US Census ABAG Projections 2013 2014 American Community Survey ACS Journey-to-Work data 2006-2008 and 2006-2010

Child Care Coordinating Council of San Mateo County (4Cs) Community Care Licensing Brion Economics Inc

Prepared by Brion Economics Inc 2513-SMC NA Final Tables 61216 6122016

BELMONT

Child Care as of 2025

No of

Providers

Under 2 Years

Old

2 to 4 Year

Olds

Total 0 to 4

Years

EXISTING DEMAND Child Care Demand

Estimated Total Children

Average LFPRAdjustment Factor

Children With Working Parents

Licensed Care Demand Factor

Resident Children Needing Licensed Care

of Total Resident Children Needing Licensed Care

Children from Non-Resident Employees Needing

Licensed Care

(1)

(2)

(3)

743 1095

77

574 1013

37

213 943

29 86

37 56

1838

1587

73

1156

63

93

Total Demand for Child Care Spaces

Distribution

EXISTING SUPPLY (4)

250 999

20 80

Child Care Spaces

1249

100

Family Child Care Home Supply

Child Care Center Supply

Current Child Care Supply

Distribution

EXISTING SURPLUS(SHORTAGE)

Distribution

Percentage of Demand Met

by Existing FacilitiesSpaces

Shortage of Family Child Care Home Spaces

Shortage of Center-Based Spaces

(5)

(6)

(6)

8

9

17

67 84

39 531

106 615

15 85

(143) (384)

27 73

43 62

(91) (53)

(53) (331)

152

570

722

100

(527)

100

58

(143)

(384)

FINAL

Table B-3

Future Child Care Demand and Supply in 2025 in Belmont

San Mateo County Child Care Study - 2016

Note All footnote references can be found in Table C-1 at the end of this file

Sources 2010 US Census ABAG Projections 2013 2014 American Community Survey ACS Journey-to-Work data 2006-2008 and 2006-2010

Child Care Coordinating Council of San Mateo County (4Cs) Community Care Licensing Brion Economics Inc

Prepared by Brion Economics Inc 2513-SMC NA Final Tables 61216 6122016

BRISBANE

Child Care as of 2025

No of

Providers

Under 2 Years

Old

2 to 4 Year

Olds

Total 0 to 4

Years

EXISTING DEMAND Child Care Demand

Estimated Total Children

Average LFPRAdjustment Factor

Children With Working Parents

Licensed Care Demand Factor

Resident Children Needing Licensed Care

of Total Resident Children Needing Licensed Care

Children from Non-Resident Employees Needing

Licensed Care

(1)

(2)

(3)

131 174

100

131 174

37

48 160

37 92

55 83

305

305

68

209

68

138

Total Demand for Child Care Spaces

Distribution

EXISTING SUPPLY (4)

103 243

30 70

Child Care Spaces

346

100

Family Child Care Home Supply

Child Care Center Supply

Current Child Care Supply

Distribution

EXISTING SURPLUS(SHORTAGE)

Distribution

Percentage of Demand Met

by Existing FacilitiesSpaces

Shortage of Family Child Care Home Spaces

Shortage of Center-Based Spaces

(5)

(6)

(6)

1

1

2

4 5

0 64

4 69

6 94

(99) (174)

36 64

4 29

(99) (13)

0 (160)

9

64

73

100

(273)

100

21

(112)

(160)

FINAL

Table B-4

Future Child Care Demand and Supply in 2025 in Brisbane

San Mateo County Child Care Study - 2016

Note All footnote references can be found in Table C-1 at the end of this file Sources 2010 US Census ABAG Projections 2013 2014 American Community Survey ACS Journey-to-Work data 2006-2008 and 2006-2010

Child Care Coordinating Council of San Mateo County (4Cs) Community Care Licensing Brion Economics Inc

Prepared by Brion Economics Inc 2513-SMC NA Final Tables 61216 6122016

BURLINGAME

Child Care as of 2025

No of

Providers

Under 2 Years

Old

2 to 4 Year

Olds

Total 0 to 4

Years

EXISTING DEMAND Child Care Demand

Estimated Total Children

Average LFPRAdjustment Factor

Children With Working Parents

Licensed Care Demand Factor

Resident Children Needing Licensed Care

of Total Resident Children Needing Licensed Care

Children from Non-Resident Employees Needing

Licensed Care

(1)

(2)

(3)

903 1332

65

587 1190

37

217 1124

24 84

154 232

2235

1777

75

1341

60

385

Total Demand for Child Care Spaces

Distribution

EXISTING SUPPLY (4)

371 1356

21 79

Child Care Spaces

1726

100

Family Child Care Home Supply

Child Care Center Supply

Current Child Care Supply

Distribution

EXISTING SURPLUS(SHORTAGE)

Distribution

Percentage of Demand Met

by Existing FacilitiesSpaces

Shortage of Family Child Care Home Spaces

Shortage of Center-Based Spaces

(5)

(6)

(6)

10

14

24

79 99

40 866

119 965

11 89

(252) (390)

39 61

32 71

(167) (40)

(85) (350)

179

906

1085

100

(642)

100

63

(207)

(434)

FINAL

Table B-5

Future Child Care Demand and Supply in 2025 in Burlingame

San Mateo County Child Care Study - 2016

Note All footnote references can be found in Table C-1 at the end of this file

Sources 2010 US Census ABAG Projections 2013 2014 American Community Survey ACS Journey-to-Work data 2006-2008 and 2006-2010

Child Care Coordinating Council of San Mateo County (4Cs) Community Care Licensing Brion Economics Inc

Prepared by Brion Economics Inc 2513-SMC NA Final Tables 61216 6122016

DALY CITYCOLMA

Child Care as of 2025

No of

Providers

Under 2 Years

Old

2 to 4 Year

Olds

Total 0 to 4

Years

EXISTING DEMAND Child Care Demand

Estimated Total Children

Average LFPRAdjustment Factor

Children With Working Parents

Licensed Care Demand Factor

Resident Children Needing Licensed Care

of Total Resident Children Needing Licensed Care

Children from Non-Resident Employees Needing

Licensed Care

(1)

(2)

(3)

2647 3793

74

1964 3467

37

727 3233

27 85

138 208

6440

5432

73

3960

61

346

Total Demand for Child Care Spaces

Distribution

EXISTING SUPPLY (4)

865 3441

20 80

Child Care Spaces

4306

100

Family Child Care Home Supply

Child Care Center Supply

Current Child Care Supply

Distribution

EXISTING SURPLUS(SHORTAGE)

Distribution

Percentage of Demand Met

by Existing FacilitiesSpaces

Shortage of Family Child Care Home Spaces

Shortage of Center-Based Spaces

(5)

(6)

(6)

25

28

28

288 362

84 1264

372 1626

19 81

(493) (1816)

21 79

43 47

(381) (404)

(111) (1412)

649

1348

1997

100

(2308)

100

46

(785)

(1523)

FINAL

Table B-6

Future C hild Care Demand and Supply in 2025 in Daly CityColma

San Mateo County Child Care Study - 2016

Note All footnote references can be found in Table C-1 at the end of this file

Sources 2010 US Census ABAG Projections 2013 2014 American Community Survey ACS Journey-to-Work data 2006-2008 and 2006-2010

Child Care Coordinating Council of San Mateo County (4Cs) Community Care Licensing Brion Economics Inc

Prepared by Brion Economics Inc 2513-SMC NA Final Tables 61216 6122016

EAST PALO ALTO

Child Care as of 2025

No of

Providers

Under 2 Years

Old

2 to 4 Year

Olds

Total 0 to 4

Years

EXISTING DEMAND Child Care Demand

Estimated Total Children

Average LFPRAdjustment Factor

Children With Working Parents

Licensed Care Demand Factor

Resident Children Needing Licensed Care

of Total Resident Children Needing Licensed Care

Children from Non-Resident Employees Needing

Licensed Care

(1)

(2)

(3)

1161 1849

71

822 1660

37

304 1545

26 84

20 30

3010

2482

75

1849

61

50

Total Demand for Child Care Spaces

Distribution

EXISTING SUPPLY (4)

324 1575

17 83

Child Care Spaces

1900

100

Family Child Care Home Supply

Child Care Center Supply

Current Child Care Supply

Distribution

EXISTING SURPLUS(SHORTAGE)

Distribution

Percentage of Demand Met

by Existing FacilitiesSpaces

Shortage of Family Child Care Home Spaces

Shortage of Center-Based Spaces

(5)

(6)

(6)

13

6

19

85 106

25 633

110 739

13 87

(215) (836)

20 80

34 47

(166) (120)

(49) (715)

191

658

849

100

(1050)

100

45

(286)

(764)

FINAL

Table B-7

Future Child Care Demand and Supply in 2025 in East Palo Alto

San Mateo County Child Care Study - 2016

Note All footnote references can be found in Table C-1 at the end of this file

Sources 2010 US Census ABAG Projections 2013 2014 American Community Survey ACS Journey-to-Work data 2006-2008 and 2006-2010

Child Care Coordinating Council of San Mateo County (4Cs) Community Care Licensing Brion Economics Inc

Prepared by Brion Economics Inc 2513-SMC NA Final Tables 61216 6122016

FOSTER CITY

Child Care as of 2025

No of

Providers

Under 2 Years

Old

2 to 4 Year

Olds

Total 0 to 4

Years

EXISTING DEMAND Child Care Demand

Estimated Total Children

Average LFPRAdjustment Factor

Children With Working Parents

Licensed Care Demand Factor

Resident Children Needing Licensed Care

of Total Resident Children Needing Licensed Care

Children from Non-Resident Employees Needing

Licensed Care

(1)

(2)

(3)

871 1330

63

550 1154

37

204 1079

23 81

80 120

2201

1705

75

1282

58

200

Total Demand for Child Care Spaces

Distribution

EXISTING SUPPLY (4)

283 1199

19 81

Child Care Spaces

1483

100

Family Child Care Home Supply

Child Care Center Supply

Current Child Care Supply

Distribution

EXISTING SURPLUS(SHORTAGE)

Distribution

Percentage of Demand Met

by Existing FacilitiesSpaces

Shortage of Family Child Care Home Spaces

Shortage of Center-Based Spaces

(5)

(6)

(6)

19

12

31

118 149

88 1200

206 1349

13 87

(77) 150

-106 206

73 112

(44) NA

(33) NA

267

1288

1555

100

73

100

105

(44)

(33)

FINAL

Table B-8

Future Child Care Demand and Supply in 2025 in Foster City

San Mateo County Child Care Study - 2016

Note All footnote references can be found in Table C-1 at the end of this file

Sources 2010 US Census ABAG Projections 2013 2014 American Community Survey ACS Journey-to-Work data 2006-2008 and 2006-2010

Child Care Coordinating Council of San Mateo County (4Cs) Community Care Licensing Brion Economics Inc

Prepared by Brion Economics Inc 2513-SMC NA Final Tables 61216 6122016

HALF MOON BAY REGION

Child Care as of 2025

No of

Providers

Under 2 Years

Old

2 to 4 Year

Olds

Total 0 to 4

Years

EXISTING DEMAND Child Care Demand

Estimated Total Children

Average LFPRAdjustment Factor

Children With Working Parents

Licensed Care Demand Factor

Resident Children Needing Licensed Care

of Total Resident Children Needing Licensed Care

Children from Non-Resident Employees Needing

Licensed Care

(1)

(2)

(3)

553 929

69

383 835

37

142 781

26 84

14 21

1482

1217

76

923

62

34

Total Demand for Child Care Spaces

Distribution

EXISTING SUPPLY (4)

155 802

16 84

Child Care Spaces

957

100

Family Child Care Home Supply

Child Care Center Supply

Current Child Care Supply

Distribution

EXISTING SURPLUS(SHORTAGE)

Distribution

Percentage of Demand Met

by Existing FacilitiesSpaces

Shortage of Family Child Care Home Spaces

Shortage of Center-Based Spaces

(5)

(6)

(6)

10

11

21

96 121

35 285

131 406

24 76

(24) (396)

6 94

84 51

(18) (118)

(6) (279)

216

320

536

100

(421)

100

56

(136)

(285)

FINAL

Table B-9

Future Child Care Demand and Supply in 2025 in Half Moon Bay Region

San Mateo County Child Care Study - 2016

Note All footnote references can be found in Table C-1 at the end of this file

Sources 2010 US Census ABAG Projections 2013 2014 American Community Survey ACS Journey-to-Work data 2006-2008 and 2006-2010

Child Care Coordinating Council of San Mateo County (4Cs) Community Care Licensing Brion Economics Inc

Prepared by Brion Economics Inc 2513-SMC NA Final Tables 61216 6122016

HILLSBOROUGH

Child Care as of 2025

No of

Providers

Under 2 Years

Old

2 to 4 Year

Olds

Total 0 to 4

Years

EXISTING DEMAND Child Care Demand

Estimated Total Children

Average LFPRAdjustment Factor

Children With Working Parents

Licensed Care Demand Factor

Resident Children Needing Licensed Care

of Total Resident Children Needing Licensed Care

Children from Non-Resident Employees Needing

Licensed Care

(1)

(2)

(3)

143 343

52

74 295

37

27 282

19 82

7 11

487

369

84

309

64

17

Total Demand for Child Care Spaces

Distribution

EXISTING SUPPLY (4)

34 292

10 90

Child Care Spaces

327

100

Family Child Care Home Supply

Child Care Center Supply

Current Child Care Supply

Distribution

EXISTING SURPLUS(SHORTAGE)

Distribution

Percentage of Demand Met

by Existing FacilitiesSpaces

Shortage of Family Child Care Home Spaces

Shortage of Center-Based Spaces

(5)

(6)

(6)

1

4

5

5 6

- 91

5 97

5 95

(29) (195)

13 87

14 33

(29) (12)

0 (183)

11

91

102

100

(225)

100

31

(42)

(183)

FINAL

Table B-10

Future Child Care Demand and Supply in 2025 in Hillsborough

San Mateo County Child Care Study - 2016

Note All footnote references can be found in Table C-1 at the end of this file

Sources 2010 US Census ABAG Projections 2013 2014 American Community Survey ACS Journey-to-Work data 2006-2008 and 2006-2010

Child Care Coordinating Council of San Mateo County (4Cs) Community Care Licensing Brion Economics Inc

Prepared by Brion Economics Inc 2513-SMC NA Final Tables 61216 6122016

MENLO PARK

Child Care as of 2025

No of

Providers

Under 2 Years

Old

2 to 4 Year

Olds

Total 0 to 4

Years

EXISTING DEMAND Child Care Demand

Estimated Total Children

Average LFPRAdjustment Factor

Children With Working Parents

Licensed Care Demand Factor

Resident Children Needing Licensed Care

of Total Resident Children Needing Licensed Care

Children from Non-Resident Employees Needing

Licensed Care

(1)

(2)

(3)

1327 1954

69

909 1759

37

336 1653

25 85

237 357

3281

2668

75

1989

61

594

Total Demand for Child Care Spaces

Distribution

EXISTING SUPPLY (4)

573 2011

22 78

Child Care Spaces

2584

100

Family Child Care Home Supply

Child Care Center Supply

Current Child Care Supply

Distribution

EXISTING SURPLUS(SHORTAGE)

Distribution

Percentage of Demand Met

by Existing FacilitiesSpaces

Shortage of Family Child Care Home Spaces

Shortage of Center-Based Spaces

(5)

(6)

(6)

15

25

40

76 96

73 1331

149 1427

9 91

(424) (584)

42 58

26 71

(217) (39)

(207) (544)

172

1404

1576

100

(1008)

100

61

(256)

(752)

FINAL

Table B-11

Future Child Care Demand and Supply in 2025 in Menlo Park

San Mateo County Child Care Study - 2016

Note All footnote references can be found in Table C-1 at the end of this file

Sources 2010 US Census ABAG Projections 2013 2014 American Community Survey ACS Journey-to-Work data 2006-2008 and 2006-2010

Child Care Coordinating Council of San Mateo County (4Cs) Community Care Licensing Brion Economics Inc

Prepared by Brion Economics Inc 2513-SMC NA Final Tables 61216 6122016

MILLBRAE

Child Care as of 2025

No of

Providers

Under 2 Years

Old

2 to 4 Year

Olds

Total 0 to 4

Years

EXISTING DEMAND Child Care Demand

Estimated Total Children

Average LFPRAdjustment Factor

Children With Working Parents

Licensed Care Demand Factor

Resident Children Needing Licensed Care

of Total Resident Children Needing Licensed Care

Children from Non-Resident Employees Needing

Licensed Care

(1)

(2)

(3)

473 805

62

291 710

37

108 672

23 83

31 47

1278

1001

78

780

61

77

Total Demand for Child Care Spaces

Distribution

EXISTING SUPPLY (4)

139 718

16 84

Child Care Spaces

857

100

Family Child Care Home Supply

Child Care Center Supply

Current Child Care Supply

Distribution

EXISTING SURPLUS(SHORTAGE)

Distribution

Percentage of Demand Met

by Existing FacilitiesSpaces

Shortage of Family Child Care Home Spaces

Shortage of Center-Based Spaces

(5)

(6)

(6)

7

7

14

62 78

- 376

62 454

12 88

(76) (264)

22 78

45 63

(76) (46)

0 (219)

141

376

517

100

(340)

100

60

(122)

(219)

FINAL

Table B-12

Future C hild Care Demand and Supply in 2025 in Millbrae

San Mateo County Child Care Study - 2016

Note All footnote references can be found in Table C-1 at the end of this file

Sources 2010 US Census ABAG Projections 2013 2014 American Community Survey ACS Journey-to-Work data 2006-2008 and 2006-2010

Child Care Coordinating Council of San Mateo County (4Cs) Community Care Licensing Brion Economics Inc

Prepared by Brion Economics Inc 2513-SMC NA Final Tables 61216 6122016

FINAL

Table B-13

Future Child Care Demand and Supply in 2025 in Pacifica

San Mateo County Child Care Study - 2016

PACIFICA

Child Care as of 2025

No of

Providers

Under 2 Years

Old

2 to 4 Year

Olds

Total 0 to 4

Years

EXISTING DEMAND Child Care Demand

Estimated Total Children

Average L FPRAdjustment Factor

Children With Working Parents

Licensed Care Demand Factor

Resident Children Needing Licensed Care

of Total Resident Children Needing Licensed Care

Children from Non-Resident Employees Needing

Licensed Care

(1)

(2)

(3)

816 1300

78

633 1209

37

234 1130

29 87

19 29

2116

1842

74

1364

64

48

Total Demand for Child Care Spaces

Distribution

EXISTING SUPPLY (4)

254 1159

18 82

Child Care Spaces

1413

100

Family Child Care Home Supply

Child Care Center Supply

Current Child Care Supply

Distribution

EXISTING SURPLUS(SHORTAGE)

Distribution

Percentage of Demand Met

by Existing FacilitiesSpaces

Shortage of Family Child Care Home Spaces

Shortage of Center-Based Spaces

(5)

(6)

(6)

9

18

27

77 97

39 701

116 798

13 87

(138) (361)

28 72

46 69

(91) (44)

(46) (317)

174

740

914

100

(499)

100

65

(135)

(364)

Note All footnote references can be found in Table C-1 at the end of this file

Sources 2010 US Census ABAG Projections 2013 2014 American Community Survey ACS Journey-to-Work data 2006-2008 and 2006-2010

Child Care Coordinating Council of San Mateo County (4Cs) Community Care Licensing Brion Economics Inc

Prepared by Brion Economics Inc 2513-SMC NA Final Tables 61216 6122016

PORTOLA VALLEY

Child Care as of 2025

No of

Providers

Under 2 Years

Old

2 to 4 Year

Olds

Total 0 to 4

Years

EXISTING DEMAND Child Care Demand

Estimated Total Children

Average LFPRAdjustment Factor

Children With Working Parents

Licensed Care Demand Factor

Resident Children Needing Licensed Care

of Total Resident Children Needing Licensed Care

Children from Non-Resident Employees Needing

Licensed Care

(1)

(2)

(3)

77 192

66

51 173

37

19 164

24 85

9 13

269

224

82

182

68

22

Total Demand for Child Care Spaces

Distribution

EXISTING SUPPLY (4)

28 177

13 87

Child Care Spaces

204

100

Family Child Care Home Supply

Child Care Center Supply

Current Child Care Supply

Distribution

EXISTING SURPLUS(SHORTAGE)

Distribution

Percentage of Demand Met

by Existing FacilitiesSpaces

Shortage of Family Child Care Home Spaces

Shortage of Center-Based Spaces

(5)

(6)

(6)

0

4

4

- -

- 153

- 153

0 100

(28) (24)

54 46

0 87

0 0

(28) (24)

0

153

153

100

(51)

100

75

0

(51)

FINAL

Table B-14

Future Child Care Demand and Supply in 2025 in Portola Valley

San Mateo County Child Care Study - 2016

Note All footnote references can be found in Table C-1 at the end of this file

Sources 2010 US Census ABAG Projections 2013 2014 American Community Survey ACS Journey-to-Work data 2006-2008 and 2006-2010

Child Care Coordinating Council of San Mateo County (4Cs) Community Care Licensing Brion Economics Inc

Prepared by Brion Economics Inc 2513-SMC NA Final Tables 61216 6122016

REDWOOD CITY

No of

Providers

Child Care as of 2025

Under 2 Years

Old

2 to 4 Year

Olds

Total 0 to 4

Years

EXISTING DEMAND Child Care Demand

Estimated Total Children

Average LFPRAdjustment Factor

Children With Working Parents

Licensed Care Demand Factor

Resident Children Needing Licensed Care

of Total Resident Children Needing Licensed Care

Children from Non-Resident Employees Needing

Licensed Care

Total Demand for Child Care Spaces

Distribution

EXISTING SUPPLY

(1)

(2)

(3)

(4)

3725 5378

69

2555 4813

37

946 4505

25 84

466 703

1411 5208

21 79

Child Care Spaces

9103

7368

74

5450

60

1169

6619

100

Family Child Care Home Supply

Child Care Center Supply

Current Child Care Supply

Distribution

EXISTING SURPLUS(SHORTAGE)

Distribution

Percentage of Demand Met

by Existing FacilitiesSpaces

Shortage of Family Child Care Home Spaces

Shortage of Center-Based Spaces

(5)

(6)

(6)

42

41

83

396 497

356 2036

752 2533

23 77

(660) (2674)

20 80

53 49

(347) (525)

(313) (2149)

893

2392

3285

100

(3334)

100

50

(872)

(2462)

FINAL

Table B-15

Future Child Care Demand and Supply in 2025 in Redwood City

San Mateo County Child Care Study - 2016

Note All footnote references can be found in Table C-1 at the end of this file

Sources 2010 US Census ABAG Projections 2013 2014 American Community Survey ACS Journey-to-Work data 2006-2008 and 2006-2010

Child Care Coordinating Council of San Mateo County (4Cs) Community Care Licensing Brion Economics Inc

Prepared by Brion Economics Inc 2513-SMC NA Final Tables 61216 6122016

SAN BRUNO

Child Care as of 2025

No of

Providers

Under 2 Years

Old

2 to 4 Year

Olds

Total 0 to 4

Years

EXISTING DEMAND Child Care Demand

Estimated Total Children

Average LFPRAdjustment Factor

Children With Working Parents

Licensed Care Demand Factor

Resident Children Needing Licensed Care

of Total Resident Children Needing Licensed Care

Children from Non-Resident Employees Needing

Licensed Care

(1)

(2)

(3)

1189 1728

77

910 1589

37

337 1475

28 85

68 103

2917

2498

73

1812

62

171

Total Demand for Child Care Spaces

Distribution

EXISTING SUPPLY (4)

405 1578

20 80

Child Care Spaces

1983

100

Family Child Care Home Supply

Child Care Center Supply

Current Child Care Supply

Distribution

EXISTING SURPLUS(SHORTAGE)

Distribution

Percentage of Demand Met

by Existing FacilitiesSpaces

Shortage of Family Child Care Home Spaces

Shortage of Center-Based Spaces

(5)

(6)

(6)

13

15

28

122 153

26 1183

148 1336

10 90

(257) (242)

52 48

37 85

(212) (28)

(45) (214)

275

1209

1484

100

(499)

100

75

(239)

(259)

FINAL

Table B-16

Future C hild Care Demand and Supply in 2025 in San Bruno

San Mateo County Child Care Study - 2016

Note All footnote references can be found in Table C-1 at the end of this file

Sources 2010 US Census ABAG Projections 2013 2014 American Community Survey ACS Journey-to-Work data 2006-2008 and 2006-2010

Child Care Coordinating Council of San Mateo County (4Cs) Community Care Licensing Brion Economics Inc

Prepared by Brion Economics Inc 2513-SMC NA Final Tables 61216 6122016

SAN CARLOS

Child Care as of 2025

No of

Providers

Under 2 Years

Old

2 to 4 Year

Olds

Total 0 to 4

Years

EXISTING DEMAND Child Care Demand

Estimated Total Children

Average LFPRAdjustment Factor

Children With Working Parents

Licensed Care Demand Factor

Resident Children Needing Licensed Care

of Total Resident Children Needing Licensed Care

Children from Non-Resident Employees Needing

Licensed Care

(1)

(2)

(3)

778 1384

72

557 1255

37

206 1174

26 85

82 123

2162

1812

76

1380

64

205

Total Demand for Child Care Spaces

Distribution

EXISTING SUPPLY (4)

288 1297

18 82

Child Care Spaces

1585

100

Family Child Care Home Supply

Child Care Center Supply

Current Child Care Supply

Distribution

EXISTING SURPLUS(SHORTAGE)

Distribution

Percentage of Demand Met

by Existing FacilitiesSpaces

Shortage of Family Child Care Home Spaces

Shortage of Center-Based Spaces

(5)

(6)

(6)

28

14

42

73 92

76 615

149 707

17 83

(139) (590)

19 81

52 54

(68) (76)

(71) (514)

164

691

855

100

(729)

100

54

(145)

(585)

FINAL

Table B-17

Future Child Care Demand and Supply in 2025 in San Carlos

San Mateo County Child Care Study - 2016

Note All footnote references can be found in Table C-1 at the end of this file

Sources 2010 US Census ABAG Projections 2013 2014 American Community Survey ACS Journey-to-Work data 2006-2008 and 2006-2010

Child Care Coordinating Council of San Mateo County (4Cs) Community Care Licensing Brion Economics Inc

Prepared by Brion Economics Inc 2513-SMC NA Final Tables 61216 6122016

SAN MATEO

Child Care as of 2025

No of

Providers

Under 2 Years

Old

2 to 4 Year

Olds

Total 0 to 4

Years

EXISTING DEMAND Child Care Demand

Estimated Total Children

Average LFPRAdjustment Factor

Children With Working Parents

Licensed Care Demand Factor

Resident Children Needing Licensed Care

of Total Resident Children Needing Licensed Care

Children from Non-Resident Employees Needing

Licensed Care

(1)

(2)

(3)

3194 4572

71

2264 4116

37

838 3839

26 84

261 394

7766

6381

73

4677

60

656

Total Demand for Child Care Spaces

Distribution

EXISTING SUPPLY (4)

1099 4233

21 79

Child Care Spaces

5332

100

Family Child Care Home Supply

Child Care Center Supply

Current Child Care Supply

Distribution

EXISTING SURPLUS(SHORTAGE)

Distribution

Percentage of Demand Met

by Existing FacilitiesSpaces

Shortage of Family Child Care Home Spaces

Shortage of Center-Based Spaces

(5)

(6)

(6)

69

59

128

492 619

209 2577

701 3196

18 82

(398) (1037)

28 72

64 75

(279) (201)

(119) (837)

1111

2786

3897

100

(1435)

100

73

(480)

(955)

FINAL

Table B-18

Future Child Care Demand and Supply in 2025 in San Mateo

San Mateo County Child Care Study - 2016

Note All footnote references can be found in Table C-1 at the end of this file

Sources 2010 US Census ABAG Projections 2013 2014 American Community Survey ACS Journey-to-Work data 2006-2008 and 2006-2010

Child Care Coordinating Council of San Mateo County (4Cs) Community Care Licensing Brion Economics Inc

Prepared by Brion Economics Inc 2513-SMC NA Final Tables 61216 6122016

FINAL

Table B-19

Future Child Care Demand and Supply in 2025 in South Coast

San Mateo County Child Care Study - 2016

SOUTH COAST

Child Care as of 2025

No of

Providers

Under 2 Years

Old

2 to 4 Year

Olds

Total 0 to 4

Years

EXISTING DEMAND Child Care Demand

Estimated Total Children (1) 23 32 55

Average LFPRAdjustment Factor (2) 54

Children With Working Parents 12 27 40

Licensed Care Demand Factor (3) 37 77

Resident Children Needing Licensed Care 5 26 30

of Total Resident Children Needing Licensed Care 20 81 56

Children from Non-Resident Employees Needing

Licensed Care 0 0 0

Total Demand for Child Care Spaces 5 26 30

Distribution 15 85 100

EXISTING SUPPLY (4) Child Care Spaces

Family Child Care Home Supply - 0 0 0

Child Care Center Supply 2 0 54 54

Current Child Care Supply 2 - 54 54

Distribution 0 100 100

EXISTING SURPLUS(SHORTAGE) (5) 28 24

Distribution -19 119 100

Percentage of Demand Met

by Existing FacilitiesSpaces (5) 0 209 177

Shortage of Family Child Care Home Spaces (6) 0 NA 0

Shortage of Center-Based Spaces (6) (5) NA (5)

Note All footnote references can be found in Table C-1 at the end of this file

Sources 2010 US Census ABAG Projections 2013 2014 American Community Survey ACS Journey-to-Work data 2006-2008 and 2006-2010

Child Care Coordinating Council of San Mateo County (4Cs) Community Care Licensing Brion Economics Inc

Prepared by Brion Economics Inc 2513-SMC NA Final Tables 61216 6122016

SOUTH SAN FRANCISCO

Child Care as of 2025

No of

Providers

Under 2 Years

Old

2 to 4 Year

Olds

Total 0 to 4

Years

EXISTING DEMAND Child Care Demand

Estimated Total Children

Average LFPRAdjustment Factor

Children With Working Parents

Licensed Care Demand Factor

Resident Children Needing Licensed Care

of Total Resident Children Needing Licensed Care

Children from Non-Resident Employees Needing

Licensed Care

(1)

(2)

(3)

1835 2790

73

1342 2535

37

496 2362

27 85

339 512

4625

3877

74

2859

62

851

Total Demand for Child Care Spaces

Distribution

EXISTING SUPPLY (4)

835 2874

23 77

Child Care Spaces

3709

100

Family Child Care Home Supply

Child Care Center Supply

Current Child Care Supply

Distribution

EXISTING SURPLUS(SHORTAGE)

Distribution

Percentage of Demand Met

by Existing FacilitiesSpaces

Shortage of Family Child Care Home Spaces

Shortage of Center-Based Spaces

(5)

(6)

(6)

30

27

57

252 317

400 1966

652 2283

22 78

(183) (591)

24 76

78 79

(71) (82)

(113) (509)

569

2366

2935

100

(775)

100

79

(153)

(622)

FINAL

Table B-20

Future Child Care Demand and Supply in 2025 in South San Francisco

San Mateo County Child Care Study - 2016

Note All footnote references can be found in Table C-1 at the end of this file

Sources 2010 US Census ABAG Projections 2013 2014 American Community Survey ACS Journey-to-Work data 2006-2008 and 2006-2010

Child Care Coordinating Council of San Mateo County (4Cs) Community Care Licensing Brion Economics Inc

Prepared by Brion Economics Inc 2513-SMC NA Final Tables 61216 6122016

WOODSIDE

No of

Providers

Child Care as of 2025

Under 2 Years

Old

2 to 4 Year

Olds

Total 0 to 4

Years

EXISTING DEMAND Child Care Demand

Estimated Total Children

Average LFPRAdjustment Factor

Children With Working Parents

Licensed Care Demand Factor

Resident Children Needing Licensed Care

of Total Resident Children Needing Licensed Care

Children from Non-Resident Employees Needing

Licensed Care

(1)

(2)

(3)

93 165

56

51 140

37

19 132

21 80

9 13

258

192

79

152

59

22

Total Demand for Child Care Spaces

Distribution

EXISTING SUPPLY (4)

28 146

16 84

Child Care Spaces

174

100

Family Child Care Home Supply

Child Care Center Supply

Current Child Care Supply

Distribution

EXISTING SURPLUS(SHORTAGE)

Distribution

Percentage of Demand Met

by Existing FacilitiesSpaces

Shortage of Family Child Care Home Spaces

Shortage of Center-Based Spaces

(5)

(6)

(6)

1

2

3

4 5

- 103

4 108

4 96

(24) (38)

39 61

15 74

(24) (2)

0 (36)

9

103

112

100

(61)

100

65

(26)

(36)

FINAL

Table B-21

Future Child Care Demand and Supply in 2025 in Woodside

San Mateo County Child Care Study - 2016

Note All footnote references can be found in Table C-1 at the end of this file

Sources 2010 US Census ABAG Projections 2013 2014 American Community Survey ACS Journey-to-Work data 2006-2008 and 2006-2010

Child Care Coordinating Council of San Mateo County (4Cs) Community Care Licensing Brion Economics Inc

Prepared by Brion Economics Inc 2513-SMC NA Final Tables 61216 6122016

FINAL

Table C-1

Endnotes for Tables

San Mateo County Child Care Study - 2016

(1) Population by age is based on the percentage breakdown from the 2010 US Census and applied

to population estimates for 2015 using ABAGs Projections 2013 population data The ABAG data

for each area includes its Sphere of Influence and is not based on strict jurisdictional boundaries

(2) Labor force participation rates are from the 5-Year American Community Survey 2014 and include

children under six years old with two working parents or a single working parent For the 2- to 4-year

olds the labor force participation rate is applied to 2 year olds For 3- and 4-year olds it is assumed

that 100 need licensed care to support preschool for every child so the number of

3- and 4-year olds is not discounted by labor force participation rates

(3) Not all children with working parents are assumed to need licensed care percentage assumptions are

used to calculate the number of children requiring licensed care under each age category The

remaining children are assumed to be cared for in alternate arrangements such as by family members

nannies friends and other unlicensed care For children ages 3- and 4-years old it is assumed that

they all need care in the form of preschool

(4) Data on child care supply provided by the Child Care Coordinating Council of San Mateo County (4Cs)

and Community Care Licensing Division of the California Department of Social Services (CCLD) Data is

for June 2015

(5) Demand that calculates as less than 100 means that there is greater demand than supply percent of

demand that is over 100 means supply exceeds demand

(6) Unmet demand is broken down into shortage by type of care based on the proportion of FCCHs and

child care centers spaces available in each area If an area does not have any FCCHs or centers the

unmet demand is placed in the type of care that is available in the area (eg if there are only centers

all demand goes to centers)

Source Brion Economics Inc

Prepared by Brion Economics Inc 2513-SMC NA Final Tables 61216 6122016

DRAFT REPORT

Table C-2

Labor Force Participation Rates by CityArea

San Mateo County Child Care Study - 2016

CityArea

Labor Force

Participation Rate (1)

Atherton

Belmont

Brisbane

Burlingame

Daly CityColma

East Palo Alto

Foster City

Half Moon Bay Region

Hillsborough

Menlo Park

Millbrae

Pacifica

Portola Valley

Redwood City

San Bruno

San Carlos

San Mateo

South Coast

South San Francisco

Woodside

40

77

100

65

74

71

63

69

52

69

62

78

66

69

77

72

71

54

73

56

(1) Labor force participation rates (LFPRs) are for

families with children under age six with two

working parents or a single parent who works Sources American Community Survey 2014 5-Year

Survey Brion Economics Inc

Prepared by Brion Economics Inc 2513-SMC NA Final Tables 61216 6122016

  • 2513-SMC FINAL NA Memo-61216
  • 2513-SMC NA Final Tables 61216
Page 16: Final San Mateo County Child Care Needs … Care...Future C hild Care Demand and Supply in 2025 in Daly City/Colma San Mateo County Child Care Study - 2016 Note: All footnote references

No of Non- No of Employee

Resident No of 0 to 2 No of 3 to 4 Children Needing

CityArea Assumptions Employees Year Olds Year Olds Licensed Care

Estimated Percent of Employees

Needing Licensed Care (1) 300 40 60 100

Atherton 983 12 18 29

Belmont 2843 34 51 85

Brisbane 4316 52 78 129

Burlingame 11680 140 211 350

Daly CityColma 10540 126 190 316

East Palo Alto 1485 18 27 45

Foster City 6108 73 110 183

Half Moon Bay Region (2) 1060 13 19 32

Hillsborough 546 7 10 16

Menlo Park 18390 220 332 552

Millbrae 2304 28 42 69

Pacifica 1504 18 27 45

Portola Valley 689 8 12 21

Redwood City 34317 410 619 1029

San Bruno 5106 61 92 153

San Carlos 6295 75 114 189

San Mateo 19314 231 348 579

South Coast (3) 0 0 0 0

South San Francisco 22128 265 399 664

Woodside 708 8 13 21

SF Airport (4) 3676 44 66 110

Remainder (4) 299 4 5 9

Total Countywide 154289 1845 2784 4629

FINAL

Table 7

Employee Demand Summary Table for 2015

San Mateo County Child Care Study - 2016

Note Totals may be off slightly due to rounding

(1) We are assuming 3 of employees children require licensed care the breakdown of demand for infant and

preschool spaces is based on the percentage of infants and preschoolers who currently reside in San Mateo

County

(2) Half Moon Bay Region includes the City of Half Moon Bay El Granada Montara and Moss Beach

(3) South Coast includes La Honda Loma Mar and Pescadero

(4) SF Airport and Remainder are groupings by ABAG For employment SF Airport demand is attributed to South San

Francisco and Remainder demand is included with Redwood City

Sources 2010 US Census ABAG Projections 2013 2014 5-Year American Community Survey Journey-To-Work Data

Brion Economics Inc

Prepared by Brion Economics Inc 2513-SMC NA Final Tables 61216 6122016

No of Non- No of Employee

Resident No of 0 to 2 No of 3 to 4 Children Needing

CityArea Assumptions Employees Year Olds Year Olds Licensed Care

Estimated Percent of Employees

Needing Licensed Care (1) 300 40 60 100

Atherton 1051 13 19 32

Belmont 3108 37 56 93

Brisbane 4593 55 83 138

Burlingame 12850 154 232 385

Daly CityColma 11521 138 208 346

East Palo Alto 1683 20 30 50

Foster City 6677 80 120 200

Half Moon Bay Region (2) 1138 14 21 34

Hillsborough 583 7 11 17

Menlo Park 19813 237 357 594

Millbrae 2578 31 47 77

Pacifica 1611 19 29 48

Portola Valley 736 9 13 22

Redwood City 38624 462 697 1159

San Bruno 5695 68 103 171

San Carlos 6834 82 123 205

San Mateo 21855 261 394 656

South Coast (3) 0 0 0 0

South San Francisco 24173 289 436 725

Woodside 747 9 13 22

SF Airport (4) 4185 50 75 126

Remainder (4) 333 4 6 10

Total Countywide 170387 2037 3074 5112

FINAL

Table 8

Employee Demand Summary Table for 2025

San Mateo County Child Care Study - 2016

Note Totals may be off slightly due to rounding

(1) We are assuming 3 of employees children require licensed care the breakdown of demand for infant and

preschool spaces is based on the percentage of infants and preschoolers who currently reside in San Mateo County

(2) Half Moon Bay Region includes the City of Half Moon Bay El Granada Montara and Moss Beach

(3) South Coast includes La Honda Loma Mar and Pescadero

(4) SF Airport and Remainder are groupings by ABAG For employment SF Airport demand is attributed to South San

Francisco and Remainder demand is included with Redwood City

Sources 2010 US Census ABAG Projections 2013 2014 5-Year American Community Survey Journey-To-Work Data

Brion Economics Inc

Prepared by Brion Economics Inc 2513-SMC NA Final Tables 61216 6122016

2015

Surplus(Shortage) of Infant Surplus(Shortage) of Preschool Total Total

CityArea of Infant Spaces Demand Met of Preschool Spaces Demand Met Surplus(Shortage) Demand Met

Atherton 2 107 108 165 110 157

Belmont (130) 45 (335) 65 (465) 61

Brisbane (94) 4 (162) 30 (255) 22

Burlingame (219) 35 (271) 78 (489) 69

Daly CityColma (439) 46 (1612) 50 (2051) 49

East Palo Alto (182) 38 (680) 52 (862) 50

Foster City (62) 77 203 118 141 110

Half Moon Bay Region (1) (13) 91 (336) 55 (349) 61

Hillsborough (28) 15 (185) 34 (213) 32

Menlo Park (2) (367) 29 (363) 80 (730) 68

Millbrae (61) 50 (186) 71 (247) 0

Pacifica (128) 48 (319) 71 (447) 67

Portola Valley (26) 0 (18) 89 (45) 77

Redwood City (2) (490) 61 (2034) 55 (2524) 57

San Bruno (216) 41 (82) 94 (298) 83

San Carlos (121) 55 (516) 58 (637) 57

San Mateo (302) 70 (690) 82 (992) 80

South Coast (3) (4) 0 31 230 26 195

South San Francisco (103) 86 (306) 88 (408) 88

Woodside (23) 16 (33) 77 (55) 67

Countywide (3006) 56 (7783) 71 (10789) 68

FINAL

Table 9

Summary of Demand Met by Existing Facilities in Each Community at 2015

San Mateo County Child Care Study - 2016

Note Totals may be off slightly due to rounding

(1) Half Moon Bay Region includes the City of Half Moon Bay El Granada Montara and Moss Beach

(2) ABAG Projections have 6300 people listed as Remainder population this amount is divided equally between Menlo Park and Redwood

City given that they are surrounded by unincorporated areas

(3) South Coast includes La Honda Loma Mar and Pescadero

Sources 2010 US Census ABAG Projections 2013 Brion Economics Inc

Prepared by Brion Economics Inc 2513-SMC NA Final Tables 61216 6122016

2025

Surplus(Shortage) of Infant Surplus(Shortage) of Preschool Total Total

CityArea of Infant Spaces Demand Met of Preschool Spaces Demand Met Surplus(Shortage) Demand Met

Atherton 0 101 101 158 101 150

Belmont (143) 43 (384) 62 (527) 58

Brisbane (99) 4 (174) 29 (273) 21

Burlingame (252) 32 (390) 71 (642) 63

Daly CityColma (493) 43 (1816) 47 (2308) 46

East Palo Alto (215) 34 (836) 47 (1050) 45

Foster City (77) 73 150 112 73 105

Half Moon Bay Region (1) (24) 84 (396) 51 (421) 56

Hillsborough (29) 14 (195) 33 (225) 31

Menlo Park (2) (424) 26 (584) 71 (1008) 61

Millbrae (76) 45 (264) 63 (340) 60

Pacifica (138) 46 (361) 69 (499) 65

Portola Valley (28) 0 (24) 87 (51) 75

Redwood City (2) (660) 53 (2674) 49 (3334) 50

San Bruno (257) 37 (242) 85 (499) 75

San Carlos (139) 52 (590) 54 (729) 54

San Mateo (398) 64 (1037) 75 (1435) 73

South Coast (3) (5) 0 28 209 24 177

South San Francisco (183) 78 (591) 79 (775) 79

Woodside (24) 15 (38) 74 (61) 65

Countywide (3663) 51 (10318) 65 (13981) 62

FINAL

Table 10

Summary of Demand Met by Existing Facilities in Each Community at 2025

San Mateo County Child Care Study - 2016

Note Totals may be off slightly due to rounding

(1) Half Moon Bay Region includes the City of Half Moon Bay El Granada Montara and Moss Beach

(2) ABAG Projections have 6300 people listed as Remainder population this amount is divided equally between Menlo Park and Redwood

City given that they are surrounded by unincorporated areas

(3) South Coast includes La Honda Loma Mar and Pescadero

Sources 2010 US Census ABAG Projections 2013 Brion Economics Inc

Prepared by Brion Economics Inc 2513-SMC NA Final Tables 61216 6122016

Table 11

Number of Child Care Providers by City in 2015

San Mateo County Child Care Study - 2016

Family Child Licensed

CityArea Care Homes Centers Total

Atherton 1 6 7

Belmont 18 9 27

Brisbane 1 1 2

Burlingame 21 14 35

Daly CityColma 85 28 113

East Palo Alto 21 6 27

Foster City 29 12 41

Half Moon Bay Region (1) 28 11 39

Hillsborough 1 4 5

Menlo Park (2) 18 25 43

Millbrae 17 7 24

Pacifica 21 18 39

Portola Valley 0 4 4

Redwood City (2) 111 45 156

San Bruno 34 15 49

San Carlos 20 14 34

San Mateo 126 59 185

South Coast (3) 0 2 2

South San Francisco 68 27 95

Woodside 1 2 3

Countywide 621 309 930

FINAL

(1) Half Moon Bay Region includes the City of Half Moon Bay El Granada

Montara and Moss Beach

(2) ABAG Projections have 6300 people listed as Remainder population

this amount is divided equally between Menlo Park and Redwood City

given that they are surrounded by unincorporated areas

(3) South Coast includes La Honda Loma Mar and Pescadero

Sources Child Care Coordinating Council of San Mateo County (4Cs)

Community Care Licensing Brion Economics Inc

Prepared by Brion Economics Inc 2513-SMC NA Final Tables 61216 6122016

CityArea

Shortage

Infant

Center

Spaces

Infant care

Percentage

of Shortage

Shortage

Preschool

Center

Spaces

Preschool

Percentage

of Shortage

Total Center-

Based Space

Shortage

Atherton

Belmont

Brisbane

Burlingame

Daly CityColma

East Palo Alto

Foster City

Half Moon Bay Region

Hillsborough

Menlo Park

Millbrae

Pacifica

Portola Valley

Redwood City

San Bruno

San Carlos

San Mateo

South Coast

South San Francisco

Woodside

Countywide

NA

(48)

NA

(73)

(99)

(42)

(27)

(3)

NA

(180)

0

(43)

(26)

(232)

(38)

(62)

(90)

(2)

(63)

NA

NA

14

NA

23

7

7

100

1

NA

35

0

13

59

12

34

12

14

NA

19

NA

NA

(289)

(149)

(243)

(1253)

(582)

NA

(236)

(173)

(338)

(154)

(280)

(18)

(1635)

(73)

(449)

(557)

NA

(263)

(31)

NA

86

100

77

93

93

NA

99

100

65

100

87

41

88

66

88

86

NA

81

100

NA

(337)

(149)

(316)

(1352)

(623)

(27)

(240)

(173)

(518)

(154)

(323)

(45)

(1867)

(110)

(511)

(647)

(2)

(326)

(31)

(1193) 15 (6609) 85 (7802)

FINAL

Table 12

Summary of Shortage of Child Care Center Spaces by Age - 2015

San Mateo County Child Care Study - 2016

Sources Child Care Coordinating Council of San Mateo County (4Cs) Community Care Licensing

Brion Economics Inc

Prepared by Brion Economics Inc 2513-SMC NA Final Tables 61216 6122016

CityArea

Shortage

Infant Center

Spaces

Infant care

Percentage

of Shortage

Shortage

Preschool

Center

Spaces

Preschool

Percentage

of Shortage

Total Center-

Based Space

Shortage

Atherton

Belmont

Brisbane

Burlingame

Daly CityColma

East Palo Alto

Foster City

Half Moon Bay Region

Hillsborough

Menlo Park

Millbrae

Pacifica

Portola Valley

Redwood City

San Bruno

San Carlos

San Mateo

South Coast

South San Francisco

Woodside

Countywide

NA

(53)

NA

(85)

(111)

(49)

(33)

(6)

NA

(207)

0

(46)

(28)

(313)

(45)

(71)

(119)

(5)

(113)

0

NA

14

NA

19

7

6

100

2

NA

28

0

13

54

13

17

12

12

NA

18

NA

NA

(331)

(160)

(350)

(1412)

(715)

NA

(279)

(183)

(544)

(219)

(317)

(24)

(2149)

(214)

(514)

(837)

NA

(509)

(36)

NA

86

100

81

93

94

NA

98

100

72

100

87

46

87

83

88

88

NA

82

100

NA

(384)

(160)

(434)

(1523)

(764)

(33)

(285)

(183)

(752)

(219)

(364)

(51)

(2462)

(259)

(585)

(955)

(5)

(622)

(36)

(1454) 14 (8762) 86 (10216)

FINAL

Table 13

Summary of Shortage of Child Care Center Spaces by Age - 2025

San Mateo County Child Care Study - 2016

Sources Child Care Coordinating Council of San Mateo County (4Cs) Community Care Licensing

Brion Economics Inc

Prepared by Brion Economics Inc 2513-SMC NA Final Tables 61216 6122016

COUNTYWIDE

Child Care as of 2015

No of

Providers

Under 2 Years

Old

2 to 4 Year

Olds

Total 0 to 4

Years

EXISTING DEMAND Child Care Demand

Estimated Total Children

Average LFPRAdjustment Factor

Children With Working Parents

Licensed Care Demand Factor

Resident Children Needing Licensed Care

of Total Resident Children Needing Licensed Care

Children from Non-Resident Employees Needing

Licensed Care

Total Demand for Child Care Spaces

Distribution

EXISTING SUPPLY

(1)

(2)

(3)

(4)

19008 28678

71

13449 25720

37

4976 24188

26 84

1845 2784

6821 26971

20 80

Child Care Spaces

47686

39169

86

29164

61

4629

33792

100

Family Child Care Home Supply

Child Care Center Supply

Current Child Care Supply

Distribution

EXISTING SURPLUS(SHORTAGE)

Distribution

Percentage of Demand Met

by Existing FacilitiesSpaces

Shortage of Family Child Care Home Spaces

Shortage of Center-Based Spaces

(5)

(6)

(6)

621

309 -930

2301 2893

1514 16296 - -3815 19189

17 83

(3006) (7783)

28 72

56 71

(1813) (1173)

(1193) (6609)

5193

17810 -23003

100

(10789)

100

68

(2986)

(7802)

FINAL

Table A-1

Existing Child Care Demand and Supply in 2015 Countywide

San Mateo County Child Care Study - 2016

Note All footnote references can be found in Table C-1 at the end of this file

Sources 2010 US Census ABAG Projections 2013 2014 American Community Survey ACS Journey-to-Work data 2006-2008 and 2006-2010

Child Care Coordinating Council of San Mateo County (4Cs) Community Care Licensing Brion Economics Inc

Prepared by Brion Economics Inc 2513-SMC NA Final Tables 61216 6122016

ATHERTON

Child Care as of 2015

No of

Providers

Under 2 Years

Old

2 to 4 Year

Olds

Total 0 to 4

Years

EXISTING DEMAND Child Care Demand

Estimated Total Children

Average LFPRAdjustment Factor

Children With Working Parents

Licensed Care Demand Factor

Resident Children Needing Licensed Care

of Total Resident Children Needing Licensed Care

Children from Non-Resident Employees Needing

Licensed Care

(1)

(2)

(3)

105 185

40

42 153

37

15 147

15 80

12 18

290

194

84

163

56

29

Total Demand for Child Care Spaces

Distribution

EXISTING SUPPLY (4)

27 165

14 86

Child Care Spaces

192

100

Family Child Care Home Supply

Child Care Center Supply

Current Child Care Supply

Distribution

EXISTING SURPLUS(SHORTAGE)

Distribution

Percentage of Demand Met

by Existing FacilitiesSpaces

Shortage of Family Child Care Home Spaces

Shortage of Center-Based Spaces

(5)

(6)

(6)

1

6

7

5 6

24 267

29 273

10 90

2 108

2 98

107 165

NA NA

NA NA

11

291

302

100

110

100

157

NA

NA

FINAL

Table A-2

Existing Child Care Demand and Supply in 2015 in Atherton

San Mateo Co unty Child Care Study - 2016

Note All footnote references can be found in Table C-1 at the end of this file

Sources 2010 US Census ABAG Projections 2013 2014 American Community Survey ACS Journey-to-Work data 2006-2008 and 2006-2010

Child Care Coordinating Council of San Mateo County (4Cs) Community Care Licensing Brion Economics Inc

Prepared by Brion Economics Inc 2513-SMC NA Final Tables 61216 6122016

BELMONT

Child Care as of 2015

No of

Providers

Under 2 Years

Old

2 to 4 Year

Olds

Total 0 to 4

Years

EXISTING DEMAND Child Care Demand

Estimated Total Children

Average LFPRAdjustment Factor

Children With Working Parents

Licensed Care Demand Factor

Resident Children Needing Licensed Care

of Total Resident Children Needing Licensed Care

Children from Non-Resident Employees Needing

Licensed Care

(1)

(2)

(3)

708 1045

77

548 966

37

203 899

29 86

34 51

1753

1513

73

1102

63

85

Total Demand for Child Care Spaces

Distribution

EXISTING SUPPLY (4)

237 950

20 80

Child Care Spaces

1187

100

Family Child Care Home Supply

Child Care Center Supply

Current Child Care Supply

Distribution

EXISTING SURPLUS(SHORTAGE)

Distribution

Percentage of Demand Met

by Existing FacilitiesSpaces

Shortage of Family Child Care Home Spaces

Shortage of Center-Based Spaces

(5)

(6)

(6)

18

9

27

67 84

39 531

106 615

15 85

(130) (335)

28 72

45 65

(83) (46)

(48) (289)

152

570

722

100

(465)

100

61

(128)

(337)

FINAL

Table A-3

Existing Child Care Demand and Supply in 2015 in Belmont

San Mateo County Child Care Study - 2016

Note All footnote references can be found in Table C-1 at the end of this file Sources 2010 US Census ABAG Projections 2013 2014 American Community Survey ACS Journey-to-Work data 2006-2008 and

2006-2010 Child Care Coordinating Council of San Mateo County (4Cs) Community Care Licensing Brion Economics Inc

Prepared by Brion Economics Inc 2513-SMC NA Final Tables 61216 6122016

FINAL

Table A-4

Existing Child Care Demand and Supply in 2015 in Brisbane

San Mateo County Child Care Study - 2016

BRISBANE

Child Care as of 2015

No of

Providers

Under 2 Years

Old

2 to 4 Year

Olds

Total 0 to 4

Years

EXISTING DEMAND Child Care Demand

Estimated Total Children (1) 125 166 292

Average LFPRAdjustment Factor (2) 100

Children With Working Parents 125 166 292

Licensed Care Demand Factor (3) 37 68

Resident Children Needing Licensed Care 46 153 199

of Total Resident Children Needing Licensed Care 37 92 68

Children from Non-Resident Employees Needing

Licensed Care 52 78 129

Total Demand for Child Care Spaces 98 231 329

Distribution 30 70 100

EXISTING SUPPLY (4) Child Care Spaces

Family Child Care Home Supply 1 4 5 9

Child Care Center Supply 1 - 64 64

Current Child Care Supply 2 4 69 73

Distribution 6 94 100

EXISTING SURPLUS(SHORTAGE) (94) (162) (255)

Distribution 37 63 100

Percentage of Demand Met

by Existing FacilitiesSpaces (5) 4 30 22

Shortage of Family Child Care Home Spaces (6) (94) (12) (106)

Shortage of Center-Based Spaces (6) 0 (149) (149)

Note All footnote references can be found in Table C-1 at the end of this file

Sources 2010 US Census ABAG Projections 2013 2014 American Community Survey ACS Journey-to-Work data 2006-2008 and 2006-2010

Child Care Coordinating Council of San Mateo County (4Cs) Community Care Licensing Brion Economics Inc

Prepared by Brion Economics Inc 2513-SMC NA Final Tables 61216 6122016

BURLINGAME

Child Care as of 2015

No of

Providers

Under 2 Years

Old

2 to 4 Year

Olds

Total 0 to 4

Years

EXISTING DEMAND Child Care Demand

Estimated Total Children

Average LFPRAdjustment Factor

Children With Working Parents

Licensed Care Demand Factor

Resident Children Needing Licensed Care

of Total Resident Children Needing Licensed Care

Children from Non-Resident Employees Needing

Licensed Care

(1)

(2)

(3)

824 1216

65

535 1086

37

198 1025

24 84

140 211

2040

1621

75

1224

60

350

Total Demand for Child Care Spaces

Distribution

EXISTING SUPPLY (4)

338 1236

21 79

Child Care Spaces

1574

100

Family Child Care Home Supply

Child Care Center Supply

Current Child Care Supply

Distribution

EXISTING SURPLUS(SHORTAGE)

Distribution

Percentage of Demand Met

by Existing FacilitiesSpaces

Shortage of Family Child Care Home Spaces

Shortage of Center-Based Spaces

(5)

(6)

(6)

21

14

35

79 99

40 866

119 965

11 89

(219) (271)

45 55

35 78

(145) (28)

(73) (243)

179

906

1085

100

(489)

100

69

(173)

(316)

FINAL

Table A-5

Existing Child Care Demand and Supply in 2015 in Burlingame

San Mateo County Child Care Study - 2016

Note All footnote references can be found in Table C-1 at the end of this file

Sources 2010 US Census ABAG Projections 2013 2014 American Community Survey ACS Journey-to-Work data 2006-2008 and 2006-2010

Child Care Coordinating Council of San Mateo County (4Cs) Community Care Licensing Brion Economics Inc

Prepared by Brion Economics Inc 2513-SMC NA Final Tables 61216 6122016

DALY CITYCOLMA

Child Care as of 2015

No of

Providers

Under 2 Years

Old

2 to 4 Year

Olds

Total 0 to 4

Years

EXISTING DEMAND Child Care Demand

Estimated Total Children

Average LFPRAdjustment Factor

Children With Working Parents

Licensed Care Demand Factor

Resident Children Needing Licensed Care

of Total Resident Children Needing Licensed Care

Children from Non-Resident Employees Needing

Licensed Care

(1)

(2)

(3)

2495 3575

742

1851 3268

37

685 3047

27 85

126 190

6070

5119

73

3732

61

316

Total Demand for Child Care Spaces

Distribution

EXISTING SUPPLY (4)

811 3237

20 80

Child Care Spaces

4048

100

Family Child Care Home Supply

Child Care Center Supply

Current Child Care Supply

Distribution

EXISTING SURPLUS(SHORTAGE)

Distribution

Percentage of Demand Met

by Existing FacilitiesSpaces

Shortage of Family Child Care Home Spaces

Shortage of Center-Based Spaces

(5)

(6)

(6)

85

28

113

288 362

84 1264

372 1626

19 81

(439) (1612)

21 79

46 50

(340) (359)

(99) (1253)

649

1348

1997

100

(2051)

100

49

(698)

(1352)

FINAL

Table A-6

Existing Child Care Demand and Supply in 2015 in Daly CityColma

San Mateo Co unty Child Care Study - 2016

Note All footnote references can be found in Table C-1 at the end of this file

Sources 2010 US Census ABAG Projections 2013 2014 American Community Survey ACS Journey-to-Work data 2006-2008 and 2006-2010

Child Care Coordinating Council of San Mateo County (4Cs) Community Care Licensing Brion Economics Inc

Prepared by Brion Economics Inc 2513-SMC NA Final Tables 61216 6122016

EAST PALO ALTO

Child Care as of 2015

No of

Providers

Under 2 Years

Old

2 to 4 Year

Olds

Total 0 to 4

Years

EXISTING DEMAND Child Care Demand

Estimated Total Children

Average LFPRAdjustment Factor

Children With Working Parents

Licensed Care Demand Factor

Resident Children Needing Licensed Care

of Total Resident Children Needing Licensed Care

Children from Non-Resident Employees Needing

Licensed Care

(1)

(2)

(3)

1046 1667

71

741 1496

37

274 1392

26 84

18 27

2713

2237

75

1666

61

45

Total Demand for Child Care Spaces

Distribution

EXISTING SUPPLY (4)

292 1419

17 83

Child Care Spaces

1711

100

Family Child Care Home Supply

Child Care Center Supply

Current Child Care Supply

Distribution

EXISTING SURPLUS(SHORTAGE)

Distribution

Percentage of Demand Met

by Existing FacilitiesSpaces

Shortage of Family Child Care Home Spaces

Shortage of Center-Based Spaces

(5)

(6)

(6)

21

6

27

85 106

25 633

110 739

13 87

(182) (680)

21 79

38 52

(141) (98)

(42) (582)

191

658

849

100

(862)

100

50

(239)

(623)

FINAL

Table A-7

Existing Child Care Demand and Supply in 2015 in East Palo Alto

San Mateo County Child Care Study - 2016

Note All footnote references can be found in Table C-1 at the end of this file Sources 2010 US Census ABAG Projections 2013 2014 American Community Survey ACS Journey-to-Work data 2006-2008 and 2006-2010

Child Care Coordinating Council of San Mateo County (4Cs) Community Care Licensing Brion Economics Inc

Prepared by Brion Economics Inc 2513-SMC NA Final Tables 61216 6122016

FOSTER CITY

Child Care as of 2015

No of

Providers

Under 2 Years

Old

2 to 4 Year

Olds

Total 0 to 4

Years

EXISTING DEMAND Child Care Demand

Estimated Total Children

Average LFPRAdjustment Factor

Children With Working Parents

Licensed Care Demand Factor

Resident Children Needing Licensed Care

of Total Resident Children Needing Licensed Care

Children from Non-Resident Employees Needing

Licensed Care

(1)

(2)

(3)

836 1277

63

528 1108

37

195 1035

23 81

73 110

2113

1636

75

1231

58

183

Total Demand for Child Care Spaces

Distribution

EXISTING SUPPLY (4)

268 1145

19 81

Child Care Spaces

1414

100

Family Child Care Home Supply

Child Care Center Supply

Current Child Care Supply

Distribution

EXISTING SURPLUS(SHORTAGE)

Distribution

Percentage of Demand Met

by Existing FacilitiesSpaces

Shortage of Family Child Care Home Spaces

Shortage of Center-Based Spaces

(5)

(6)

(6)

29

12

41

118 149

88 1200

206 1349

13 87

(62) 203

NA NA

77 118

(36) NA

(27) NA

267

1288

1555

100

141

NA

110

(36)

(27)

FINAL

Table A-8

Existing Child Care Demand and Supply in 2015 in Foster City

San Mateo County Child Care Study - 2016

Note All footnote references can be found in Table C-1 at the end of this file

Sources 2010 US Census ABAG Projections 2013 2014 American Community Survey ACS Journey-to-Work data 2006-2008 and 2006-2010

Child Care Coordinating Council of San Mateo County (4Cs) Community Care Licensing Brion Economics Inc

Prepared by Brion Economics Inc 2513-SMC NA Final Tables 61216 6122016

HALF MOON BAY REGION

Child Care as of 2015

No of

Providers

Under 2 Years

Old

2 to 4 Year

Olds

Total 0 to 4

Years

EXISTING DEMAND Child Care Demand

Estimated Total Children

Average LFPRAdjustment Factor

Children With Working Parents

Licensed Care Demand Factor

Resident Children Needing Licensed Care

of Total Resident Children Needing Licensed Care

Children from Non-Resident Employees Needing

Licensed Care

(1)

(2)

(3)

511 860

69

354 772

37

131 723

26 84

13 19

1371

1126

76

854

62

32

Total Demand for Child Care Spaces

Distribution

EXISTING SUPPLY (4)

144 742

16 84

Child Care Spaces

885

100

Family Child Care Home Supply

Child Care Center Supply

Current Child Care Supply

Distribution

EXISTING SURPLUS(SHORTAGE)

Distribution

Percentage of Demand Met

by Existing FacilitiesSpaces

Shortage of Family Child Care Home Spaces

Shortage of Center-Based Spaces

(5)

(6)

(6)

28

11

39

96 121

35 285

131 406

24 76

(13) (336)

4 96

91 55

(9) (100)

(3) (236)

216

320

536

100

(349)

100

61

(109)

(240)

FINAL

Table A-9

Existing Child Care Demand and Supply in 2015 in Half Moon Bay Region

San Mateo County Child Care Study - 2016

Note All footnote references can be found in Table C-1 at the end of this file

Sources 2010 US Census ABAG Projections 2013 2014 American Community Survey ACS Journey-to-Work data 2006-2008 and 2006-2010

Child Care Coordinating Council of San Mateo County (4Cs) Community Care Licensing Brion Economics Inc

Prepared by Brion Economics Inc 2513-SMC NA Final Tables 61216 6122016

HILLSBOROUGH

Child Care as of 2015

No of

Providers

Under 2 Years

Old

2 to 4 Year

Olds

Total 0 to 4

Years

EXISTING DEMAND Child Care Demand

Estimated Total Children

Average LFPRAdjustment Factor

Children With Working Parents

Licensed Care Demand Factor

Resident Children Needing Licensed Care

of Total Resident Children Needing Licensed Care

Children from Non-Resident Employees Needing

Licensed Care

(1)

(2)

(3)

138 331

52

71 284

37

26 272

19 82

7 10

469

356

84

298

64

16

Total Demand for Child Care Spaces

Distribution

EXISTING SUPPLY (4)

33 282

10 90

Child Care Spaces

315

100

Family Child Care Home Supply

Child Care Center Supply

Current Child Care Supply

Distribution

EXISTING SURPLUS(SHORTAGE)

Distribution

Percentage of Demand Met

by Existing FacilitiesSpaces

Shortage of Family Child Care Home Spaces

Shortage of Center-Based Spaces

(5)

(6)

(6)

1

4

5

5 6

- 91

5 97

5 95

(28) (185)

13 87

15 34

(28) (12)

0 (173)

11

91

102

100

(213)

100

32

(40)

(173)

FINAL

Table A-10

Existing Child Care Demand and Supply in 2015 in Hillsborough

San Mateo County Child Care Study - 2016

Note All footnote references can be found in Table C-1 at the end of this file Sources 2010 US Census ABAG Projections 2013 2014 American Community Survey ACS Journey-to-Work data 2006-2008 and 2006-2010

Child Care Coordinating Council of San Mateo County (4Cs) Community Care Licensing Brion Economics Inc

Prepared by Brion Economics Inc 2513-SMC NA Final Tables 61216 6122016

MENLO PARK

Child Care as of 2015

No of

Providers

Under 2 Years

Old

2 to 4 Year

Olds

Total 0 to 4

Years

EXISTING DEMAND Child Care Demand

Estimated Total Children

Average LFPRAdjustment Factor

Children With Working Parents

Licensed Care Demand Factor

Resident Children Needing Licensed Care

of Total Resident Children Needing Licensed Care

Children from Non-Resident Employees Needing

Licensed Care

(1)

(2)

(3)

1170 1723

69

802 1551

37

297 1458

25 85

220 332

2893

2353

75

1754

61

552

Total Demand for Child Care Spaces

Distribution

EXISTING SUPPLY (4)

516 1790

22 78

Child Care Spaces

2306

100

Family Child Care Home Supply

Child Care Center Supply

Current Child Care Supply

Distribution

EXISTING SURPLUS(SHORTAGE)

Distribution

Percentage of Demand Met

by Existing FacilitiesSpaces

Shortage of Family Child Care Home Spaces

Shortage of Center-Based Spaces

(5)

(6)

(6)

18

25

43

76 96

73 1331

149 1427

9 91

(367) (363)

50 50

29 80

(188) (24)

(180) (338)

172

1404

1576

100

(730)

100

68

(212)

(518)

FINAL

Table A-11

Existing Child Care Demand and Supply in 2015 in Menlo Park

San Mateo County Child Care Study - 2016

Note All footnote references can be found in Table C-1 at the end of this file Sources 2010 US Census ABAG Projections 2013 2014 American Community Survey ACS Journey-to-Work data 2006-2008 and 2006-2010

Child Care Coordinating Council of San Mateo County (4Cs) Community Care Licensing Brion Economics Inc

Prepared by Brion Economics Inc 2513-SMC NA Final Tables 61216 6122016

MILLBRAE

Child Care as of 2015

No of

Providers

Under 2 Years

Old

2 to 4 Year

Olds

Total 0 to 4

Years

EXISTING DEMAND Child Care Demand

Total Children

Average LFPRAdjustment Factor

Children With Working Parents

Licensed Care Demand Factor

Resident Children Needing Licensed Care

of Total Resident Children Needing Licensed Care

Children from Non-Resident Employees Needing

Licensed Care

(1)

(2)

(3)

421 717

62

260 632

37

96 598

23 83

28 42

1138

892

78

694

61

69

Total Demand for Child Care Spaces

Distribution

EXISTING SUPPLY (4)

124 640

16 84

Child Care Spaces

764

100

Family Child Care Home Supply

Child Care Center Supply

Current Child Care Supply

Distribution

EXISTING SURPLUS(SHORTAGE)

Distribution

Percentage of Demand Met

by Existing FacilitiesSpaces

Shortage of Family Child Care Home Spaces

Shortage of Center-Based Spaces

(5)

(6)

(6)

17

7

24

62 78

- 376

62 454

12 88

(61) (186)

25 75

50 71

(61) (32)

0 (154)

141

376

517

100

(247)

100

68

(93)

(154)

FINAL

Table A-12

Existing Child Care Demand and Supply in 2015 in Millbrae

San Mateo Co unty Child Care Study - 2016

Note All footnote references can be found in Table C-1 at the end of this file

Sources 2010 US Census ABAG Projections 2013 2014 American Community Survey ACS Journey-to-Work data 2006-2008 and 2006-2010

Child Care Coordinating Council of San Mateo County (4Cs) Community Care Licensing Brion Economics Inc

Prepared by Brion Economics Inc 2513-SMC NA Final Tables 61216 6122016

PACIFICA

Child Care as of 2015

No of

Providers

Under 2 Years

Old

2 to 4 Year

Olds

Total 0 to 4

Years

EXISTING DEMAND Child Care Demand

Estimated Total Children

Average LFPRAdjustment Factor

Children With Working Parents

Licensed Care Demand Factor

Resident Children Needing Licensed Care

of Total Resident Children Needing Licensed Care

Children from Non-Resident Employees Needing

Licensed Care

(1)

(2)

(3)

787 1253

78

610 1165

37

226 1089

29 87

18 27

2040

1776

74

1315

64

45

Total Demand for Child Care Spaces

Distribution

EXISTING SUPPLY (4)

244 1117

18 83

Child Care Spaces

1360

100

Family Child Care Home Supply

Child Care Center Supply

Current Child Care Supply

Distribution

EXISTING SURPLUS(SHORTAGE)

Distribution

Percentage of Demand Met

by Existing FacilitiesSpaces

Shortage of Family Child Care Home Spaces

Shortage of Center-Based Spaces

(5)

(6)

(6)

21

18

39

77 97

39 701

116 798

13 87

(128) (319)

29 71

48 71

(85) (39)

(43) (280)

174

740

914

100

(447)

100

67

(124)

(323)

FINAL

Table A-13

Existing Child Care Demand and Supply in 2015 in Pacifica

San Mateo County Child Care Study - 2016

Note All footnote references can be found in Table C-1 at the end of this file Sources 2010 US Census ABAG Projections 2013 2014 American Community Survey ACS Journey-to-Work data 2006-2008 and 2006-2010

Child Care Coordinating Council of San Mateo County (4Cs) Community Care Licensing Brion Economics Inc

Prepared by Brion Economics Inc 2513-SMC NA Final Tables 61216 6122016

PORTOLA VALLEY

No of

Providers

Child Care as of 2015

Under 2 Years

Old

2 to 4 Year

Olds

Total 0 to 4

Years

EXISTING DEMAND Child Care Demand

Estimated Total Children

Average LFPRAdjustment Factor

Children With Working Parents

Licensed Care Demand Factor

Resident Children Needing Licensed Care

of Total Resident Children Needing Licensed Care

Children from Non-Resident Employees Needing

Licensed Care

(1)

(2)

(3)

75 187

66

49 168

37

18 159

24 85

8 12

261

217

82

177

68

21

Total Demand for Child Care Spaces

Distribution

EXISTING SUPPLY (4)

26 171

13 87

Child Care Spaces

198

100

Family Child Care Home Supply

Child Care Center Supply

Current Child Care Supply

Distribution

EXISTING SURPLUS(SHORTAGE)

Distribution

Percentage of Demand Met

by Existing FacilitiesSpaces

Shortage of Family Child Care Home Spaces

Shortage of Center-Based Spaces

(5)

(6)

(6)

0

4

4

0 0

0 153

0 153

0 100

(26) (18)

59 41

0 89

0 0

(26) (18)

0

153

153

100

(45)

100

77

0

(45)

FINAL

Table A-14

Existing Child Care Demand and Supply in 2015 in Portola Valley

San Mateo County Child Care Study - 2016

Note All footnote references can be found in Table C-1 at the end of this file Sources 2010 US Census ABAG Projections 2013 2014 American Community Survey ACS Journey-to-Work data 2006-2008 and 2006-2010

Child Care Coordinating Council of San Mateo County (4Cs) Community Care Licensing Brion Economics Inc

Prepared by Brion Economics Inc 2513-SMC NA Final Tables 61216 6122016

REDWOOD CITY

Child Care as of 2015

No of

Providers

Under 2 Years

Old

2 to 4 Year

Olds

Total 0 to 4

Years

EXISTING DEMAND Child Care Demand

Estimated Total Children

Average LFPRAdjustment Factor

Children With Working Parents

Licensed Care Demand Factor

Resident Children Needing Licensed Care

of Total Resident Children Needing Licensed Care

Children from Non-Resident Employees Needing

Licensed Care

Total Demand for Child Care Spaces

Distribution

EXISTING SUPPLY

(1)

(2)

(3)

(4)

3260 4706

69

2236 4212

37

827 3942

25 84

414 625

1241 4567

21 79

Child Care Spaces

7966

6449

74

4770

60

1038

5808

100

Family Child Care Home Supply

Child Care Center Supply

Current Child Care Supply

Distribution

EXISTING SURPLUS(SHORTAGE)

Distribution

Percentage of Demand Met

by Existing FacilitiesSpaces

Shortage of Family Child Care Home Spaces

Shortage of Center-Based Spaces

(5)

(6)

(6)

111

45

156

396 497

356 2036

752 2533

23 77

(490) (2034)

19 81

61 55

(258) (399)

(232) (1635)

893

2392

3285

100

(2524)

100

57

(657)

(1867)

FINAL

Table A-15

Existing Child Care Demand and Supply in 2015 in Redwood City

San Mateo County Child Care Study - 2016

Note All footnote references can be found in Table C-1 at the end of this file Sources 2010 US Census ABAG Projections 2013 2014 American Community Survey ACS Journey-to-Work data 2006-2008 and 2006-2010

Child Care Coordinating Council of San Mateo County (4Cs) Community Care Licensing Brion Economics Inc

Prepared by Brion Economics Inc 2513-SMC NA Final Tables 61216 6122016

SAN BRUNO

Child Care as of 2015

No of

Providers

Under 2 Years

Old

2 to 4 Year

Olds

Total 0 to 4

Years

EXISTING DEMAND Child Care Demand

Estimated Total Children

Average LFPRAdjustment Factor

Children With Working Parents

Licensed Care Demand Factor

Resident Children Needing Licensed Care

of Total Resident Children Needing Licensed Care

Children from Non-Resident Employees Needing

Licensed Care

(1)

(2)

(3)

1069 1553

77

817 1428

37

302 1326

28 85

61 92

2622

2245

73

1628

62

153

Total Demand for Child Care Spaces

Distribution

EXISTING SUPPLY (4)

364 1418

20 80

Child Care Spaces

1782

100

Family Child Care Home Supply

Child Care Center Supply

Current Child Care Supply

Distribution

EXISTING SURPLUS(SHORTAGE)

Distribution

Percentage of Demand Met

by Existing FacilitiesSpaces

Shortage of Family Child Care Home Spaces

Shortage of Center-Based Spaces

(5)

(6)

(6)

34

15

49

122 153

26 1183

148 1336

10 90

(216) (82)

72 28

41 94

(178) (9)

(38) (73)

275

1209

1484

100

(298)

100

83

(187)

(110)

FINAL

Table A-16

Existing Child Care Demand and Supply in 2015 in San Bruno

San Mateo County Child Care Study - 2016

Note All footnote references can be found in Table C-1 at the end of this file Sources 2010 US Census ABAG Projections 2013 2014 American Community Survey ACS Journey-to-Work data 2006-2008 and 2006-2010

Child Care Coordinating Council of San Mateo County (4Cs) Community Care Licensing Brion Economics Inc

Prepared by Brion Economics Inc 2513-SMC NA Final Tables 61216 6122016

SAN CARLOS

Child Care as of 2015

No of

Providers

Under 2 Years

Old

2 to 4 Year

Olds

Total 0 to 4

Years

EXISTING DEMAND Child Care Demand

Estimated Total Children

Average LFPRAdjustment Factor

Children With Working Parents

Licensed Care Demand Factor

Resident Children Needing Licensed Care

of Total Resident Children Needing Licensed Care

Children from Non-Resident Employees Needing

Licensed Care

(1)

(2)

(3)

735 1308

72

526 1186

37

195 1109

26 85

75 114

2043

1712

76

1304

64

189

Total Demand for Child Care Spaces

Distribution

EXISTING SUPPLY (4)

270 1222

18 82

Child Care Spaces

1492

100

Family Child Care Home Supply

Child Care Center Supply

Current Child Care Supply

Distribution

EXISTING SURPLUS(SHORTAGE)

Distribution

Percentage of Demand Met

by Existing FacilitiesSpaces

Shortage of Family Child Care Home Spaces

Shortage of Center-Based Spaces

(5)

(6)

(6)

20

14

34

73 92

76 615

149 707

17 83

(121) (516)

19 81

55 58

(59) (67)

(62) (449)

164

691

855

100

(637)

100

57

(126)

(511)

FINAL

Table A-17

Existing Child Care Demand and Supply in 2015 in San Carlos

San Mateo County Child Care Study - 2016

Note All footnote references can be found in Table C-1 at the end of this file

Sources 2010 US Census ABAG Projections 2013 2014 American Community Survey ACS Journey-to-Work data 2006-2008 and 2006-2010

Child Care Coordinating Council of San Mateo County (4Cs) Community Care Licensing Brion Economics Inc

Prepared by Brion Economics Inc 2513-SMC NA Final Tables 61216 6122016

SAN MATEO

Child Care as of 2015

No of

Providers

Under 2 Years

Old

2 to 4 Year

Olds

Total 0 to 4

Years

EXISTING DEMAND Child Care Demand

Estimated Total Children

Average LFPRAdjustment Factor

Children With Working Parents

Licensed Care Demand Factor

Resident Children Needing Licensed Care

of Total Resident Children Needing Licensed Care

Children from Non-Resident Employees Needing

Licensed Care

(1)

(2)

(3)

2943 4213

71

2087 3793

37

772 3537

26 84

231 348

7156

5880

73

4309

60

579

Total Demand for Child Care Spaces

Distribution

EXISTING SUPPLY (4)

1003 3886

21 79

Child Care Spaces

4889

100

Family Child Care Home Supply

Child Care Center Supply

Current Child Care Supply

Distribution

EXISTING SURPLUS(SHORTAGE)

Distribution

Percentage of Demand Met

by Existing FacilitiesSpaces

Shortage of Family Child Care Home Spaces

Shortage of Center-Based Spaces

(5)

(6)

(6)

126

59

185

492 619

209 2577

701 3196

18 82

(302) (690)

30 70

70 82

(212) (134)

(90) (557)

1111

2786

3897

100

(992)

100

80

(345)

(647)

FINAL

Table A-18

Existing Child Care Demand and Supply in 2015 in San Mateo

San Mateo County Child Care Study - 2016

Note All footnote references can be found in Table C-1 at the end of this file

Sources 2010 US Census ABAG Projections 2013 2014 American Community Survey ACS Journey-to-Work data 2006-2008 and 2006-2010

Child Care Coordinating Council of San Mateo County (4Cs) Community Care Licensing Brion Economics Inc

Prepared by Brion Economics Inc 2513-SMC NA Final Tables 61216 6122016

SOUTH COAST

Child Care as of 2015

No of

Providers

Under 2 Years

Old

2 to 4 Year

Olds

Total 0 to 4

Years

EXISTING DEMAND Child Care Demand

Estimated Total Children

Average LFPRAdjustment Factor

Children With Working Parents

Licensed Care Demand Factor

Resident Children Needing Licensed Care

of Total Resident Children Needing Licensed Care

Children from Non-Resident Employees Needing

Licensed Care

(1)

(2)

(3)

21 29

54

11 25

37

4 23

20 81

0 0

50

36

77

28

56

0

Total Demand for Child Care Spaces

Distribution

EXISTING SUPPLY (4)

4 23

15 85

Child Care Spaces

28

100

Family Child Care Home Supply

Child Care Center Supply

Current Child Care Supply

Distribution

EXISTING SURPLUS(SHORTAGE)

Distribution

Percentage of Demand Met

by Existing FacilitiesSpaces

Shortage of Family Child Care Home Spaces

Shortage of Center-Based Spaces

(5)

(6)

(6)

-

2

2

- -

- 54

- 54

0 100

(4) 31

-16 116

0 230

(2) NA

(2) NA

0

54

54

100

26

100

195

(2)

(2)

FINAL

Table A-19

Existing Child Care Demand and Supply in 2015 in South Coast

San Mateo County Child Care Study - 2016

Note All footnote references can be found in Table C-1 at the end of this file

Sources 2010 US Census ABAG Projections 2013 2014 American Community Survey ACS Journey-to-Work data 2006-2008 and 2006-2010

Child Care Coordinating Council of San Mateo County (4Cs) Community Care Licensing Brion Economics Inc

Prepared by Brion Economics Inc 2513-SMC NA Final Tables 61216 6122016

SOUTH SAN FRANCISCO

Child Care as of 2015

No of

Providers

Under 2 Years

Old

2 to 4 Year

Olds

Total 0 to 4

Years

EXISTING DEMAND Child Care Demand

Estimated Total Children

Average LFPRAdjustment Factor

Children With Working Parents

Licensed Care Demand Factor

Resident Children Needing Licensed Care

of Total Resident Children Needing Licensed Care

Children from Non-Resident Employees Needing

Licensed Care

(1)

(2)

(3)

1649 2507

73

1206 2278

37

446 2123

27 85

309 466

4156

3484

74

2569

62

774

Total Demand for Child Care Spaces

Distribution

EXISTING SUPPLY (4)

755 2588

23 77

Child Care Spaces

3343

100

Family Child Care Home Supply

Child Care Center Supply

Current Child Care Supply

Distribution

EXISTING SURPLUS(SHORTAGE)

Distribution

Percentage of Demand Met

by Existing FacilitiesSpaces

Shortage of Family Child Care Home Spaces

Shortage of Center-Based Spaces

(5)

(6)

(6)

68

27

95

252 317

400 1966

652 2283

22 78

(103) (306)

25 75

86 88

(40) (42)

(63) (263)

569

2366

2935

100

(408)

100

88

(82)

(326)

FINAL

Table A-20

Existing Child Care Demand and Supply in 2015 in South San Francisco

San Mateo County Child Care Study - 2016

Note All footnote references can be found in Table C-1 at the end of this file Sources 2010 US Census ABAG Projections 2013 2014 American Community Survey ACS Journey-to-Work data 2006-2008 and 2006-2010

Child Care Coordinating Council of San Mateo County (4Cs) Community Care Licensing Brion Economics Inc

Prepared by Brion Economics Inc 2513-SMC NA Final Tables 61216 6122016

WOODSIDE

No of

Providers

Child Care as of 2015

Under 2 Years

Old

2 to 4 Year

Olds

Total 0 to 4

Years

EXISTING DEMAND Child Care Demand

Estimated Total Children

Average LFPRAdjustment Factor

Children With Working Parents

Licensed Care Demand Factor

Resident Children Needing Licensed Care

of Total Resident Children Needing Licensed Care

Children from Non-Resident Employees Needing

Licensed Care

(1)

(2)

(3)

90 160

56

50 136

37

18 128

21 80

8 13

250

186

79

147

59

21

Total Demand for Child Care Spaces

Distribution

EXISTING SUPPLY (4)

27 141

16 84

Child Care Spaces

168

100

Family Child Care Home Supply

Child Care Center Supply

Current Child Care Supply

Distribution

EXISTING SURPLUS(SHORTAGE)

Distribution

Percentage of Demand Met

by Existing FacilitiesSpaces

Shortage of Family Child Care Home Spaces

Shortage of Center-Based Spaces

(5)

(6)

(6)

1

2

3

4 5

0 103

4 108

4 96

(23) (33)

41 59

16 77

(23) (2)

0 (31)

9

103

112

100

(55)

100

67

(24)

(31)

FINAL

Table A-21

Existing Child Care Demand and Supply in 2015 in Woodside

San Mateo County Child Care Study - 2016

Note All footnote references can be found in Table C-1 at the end of this file Sources 2010 US Census ABAG Projections 2013 2014 American Community Survey ACS Journey-to-Work data 2006-2008 and 2006-2010

Child Care Coordinating Council of San Mateo County (4Cs) Community Care Licensing Brion Economics Inc

Prepared by Brion Economics Inc 2513-SMC NA Final Tables 61216 6122016

COUNTYWIDE

Child Care as of 2025

No of

Providers

Under 2 Years

Old

2 to 4 Year

Olds

Total 0 to 4

Years

EXISTING DEMAND Child Care Demand

Estimated Total Children

Average LFPRAdjustment Factor

Children With Working Parents

Licensed Care Demand Factor

Resident Children Needing Licensed Care

of Total Resident Children Needing Licensed Care

Children from Non-Resident Employees Needing

Licensed Care

Total Demand for Child Care Spaces

Distribution

EXISTING SUPPLY

(1)

(2)

(3)

(4)

20790 31340

71

14704 28273

37

5441 26432

26 84

2037 3074

7478 29506

20 80

Child Care Spaces

52130

42978

86

31873

61

5112

36984

100

Family Child Care Home Supply

Child Care Center Supply

Current Child Care Supply

Distribution

EXISTING SURPLUS(SHORTAGE)

Distribution

Percentage of Demand Met

by Existing FacilitiesSpaces

Shortage of Family Child Care Home Spaces

Shortage of Center-Based Spaces

(5)

(6)

(6)

621

309

930

2301 2893

1514 16296

3815 19189

17 83

(3663) (10318)

26 74

51 65

(2209) (1555)

(1454) (8762)

5193

17810

23003

100

(13981)

100

62

(3765)

(10216)

FINAL

Table B-1

Future C hild Care Demand and Supply in 2025 Countywide

San Mateo County Child Care Study - 2016

Note All footnote references can be found in Table C-1 at the end of this file

Sources 2010 US Census ABAG Projections 2013 2014 American Community Survey ACS Journey-to-Work data 2006-2008 and 2006-2010

Child Care Coordinating Council of San Mateo County (4Cs) Community Care Licensing Brion Economics Inc

Prepared by Brion Economics Inc 2513-SMC NA Final Tables 61216 6122016

ATHERTON

No of

Providers

Child Care as of 2025

Under 2 Years

Old

2 to 4 Year

Olds

Total 0 to 4

Years

EXISTING DEMAND Child Care Demand

Estimated Total Children

Average LFPRAdjustment Factor

Children With Working Parents

Licensed Care Demand Factor

Resident Children Needing Licensed Care

of Total Resident Children Needing Licensed Care

Children from Non-Resident Employees Needing

Licensed Care

(1)

(2)

(3)

109 193

40

43 159

37

16 154

15 80

13 19

302

202

84

170

56

32

Total Demand for Child Care Spaces

Distribution

EXISTING SUPPLY (4)

29 173

14 86

Child Care Spaces

201

100

Family Child Care Home Supply

Child Care Center Supply

Current Child Care Supply

Distribution

EXISTING SURPLUS(SHORTAGE)

Distribution

Percentage of Demand Met

by Existing FacilitiesSpaces

Shortage of Family Child Care Home Spaces

Shortage of Center-Based Spaces

(5)

(6)

(6)

1

6

7

5 6

24 267

29 273

10 90

0 101

0 100

101 158

NA NA

NA NA

11

291

302

100

101

100

150

NA

NA

FINAL

Table B-2

Future Child Care Demand and Supply in 2025 in Atherton

San Mateo Co unty Child Care Study - 2016

Note All footnote references can be found in Table C-1 at the end of this file Sources 2010 US Census ABAG Projections 2013 2014 American Community Survey ACS Journey-to-Work data 2006-2008 and 2006-2010

Child Care Coordinating Council of San Mateo County (4Cs) Community Care Licensing Brion Economics Inc

Prepared by Brion Economics Inc 2513-SMC NA Final Tables 61216 6122016

BELMONT

Child Care as of 2025

No of

Providers

Under 2 Years

Old

2 to 4 Year

Olds

Total 0 to 4

Years

EXISTING DEMAND Child Care Demand

Estimated Total Children

Average LFPRAdjustment Factor

Children With Working Parents

Licensed Care Demand Factor

Resident Children Needing Licensed Care

of Total Resident Children Needing Licensed Care

Children from Non-Resident Employees Needing

Licensed Care

(1)

(2)

(3)

743 1095

77

574 1013

37

213 943

29 86

37 56

1838

1587

73

1156

63

93

Total Demand for Child Care Spaces

Distribution

EXISTING SUPPLY (4)

250 999

20 80

Child Care Spaces

1249

100

Family Child Care Home Supply

Child Care Center Supply

Current Child Care Supply

Distribution

EXISTING SURPLUS(SHORTAGE)

Distribution

Percentage of Demand Met

by Existing FacilitiesSpaces

Shortage of Family Child Care Home Spaces

Shortage of Center-Based Spaces

(5)

(6)

(6)

8

9

17

67 84

39 531

106 615

15 85

(143) (384)

27 73

43 62

(91) (53)

(53) (331)

152

570

722

100

(527)

100

58

(143)

(384)

FINAL

Table B-3

Future Child Care Demand and Supply in 2025 in Belmont

San Mateo County Child Care Study - 2016

Note All footnote references can be found in Table C-1 at the end of this file

Sources 2010 US Census ABAG Projections 2013 2014 American Community Survey ACS Journey-to-Work data 2006-2008 and 2006-2010

Child Care Coordinating Council of San Mateo County (4Cs) Community Care Licensing Brion Economics Inc

Prepared by Brion Economics Inc 2513-SMC NA Final Tables 61216 6122016

BRISBANE

Child Care as of 2025

No of

Providers

Under 2 Years

Old

2 to 4 Year

Olds

Total 0 to 4

Years

EXISTING DEMAND Child Care Demand

Estimated Total Children

Average LFPRAdjustment Factor

Children With Working Parents

Licensed Care Demand Factor

Resident Children Needing Licensed Care

of Total Resident Children Needing Licensed Care

Children from Non-Resident Employees Needing

Licensed Care

(1)

(2)

(3)

131 174

100

131 174

37

48 160

37 92

55 83

305

305

68

209

68

138

Total Demand for Child Care Spaces

Distribution

EXISTING SUPPLY (4)

103 243

30 70

Child Care Spaces

346

100

Family Child Care Home Supply

Child Care Center Supply

Current Child Care Supply

Distribution

EXISTING SURPLUS(SHORTAGE)

Distribution

Percentage of Demand Met

by Existing FacilitiesSpaces

Shortage of Family Child Care Home Spaces

Shortage of Center-Based Spaces

(5)

(6)

(6)

1

1

2

4 5

0 64

4 69

6 94

(99) (174)

36 64

4 29

(99) (13)

0 (160)

9

64

73

100

(273)

100

21

(112)

(160)

FINAL

Table B-4

Future Child Care Demand and Supply in 2025 in Brisbane

San Mateo County Child Care Study - 2016

Note All footnote references can be found in Table C-1 at the end of this file Sources 2010 US Census ABAG Projections 2013 2014 American Community Survey ACS Journey-to-Work data 2006-2008 and 2006-2010

Child Care Coordinating Council of San Mateo County (4Cs) Community Care Licensing Brion Economics Inc

Prepared by Brion Economics Inc 2513-SMC NA Final Tables 61216 6122016

BURLINGAME

Child Care as of 2025

No of

Providers

Under 2 Years

Old

2 to 4 Year

Olds

Total 0 to 4

Years

EXISTING DEMAND Child Care Demand

Estimated Total Children

Average LFPRAdjustment Factor

Children With Working Parents

Licensed Care Demand Factor

Resident Children Needing Licensed Care

of Total Resident Children Needing Licensed Care

Children from Non-Resident Employees Needing

Licensed Care

(1)

(2)

(3)

903 1332

65

587 1190

37

217 1124

24 84

154 232

2235

1777

75

1341

60

385

Total Demand for Child Care Spaces

Distribution

EXISTING SUPPLY (4)

371 1356

21 79

Child Care Spaces

1726

100

Family Child Care Home Supply

Child Care Center Supply

Current Child Care Supply

Distribution

EXISTING SURPLUS(SHORTAGE)

Distribution

Percentage of Demand Met

by Existing FacilitiesSpaces

Shortage of Family Child Care Home Spaces

Shortage of Center-Based Spaces

(5)

(6)

(6)

10

14

24

79 99

40 866

119 965

11 89

(252) (390)

39 61

32 71

(167) (40)

(85) (350)

179

906

1085

100

(642)

100

63

(207)

(434)

FINAL

Table B-5

Future Child Care Demand and Supply in 2025 in Burlingame

San Mateo County Child Care Study - 2016

Note All footnote references can be found in Table C-1 at the end of this file

Sources 2010 US Census ABAG Projections 2013 2014 American Community Survey ACS Journey-to-Work data 2006-2008 and 2006-2010

Child Care Coordinating Council of San Mateo County (4Cs) Community Care Licensing Brion Economics Inc

Prepared by Brion Economics Inc 2513-SMC NA Final Tables 61216 6122016

DALY CITYCOLMA

Child Care as of 2025

No of

Providers

Under 2 Years

Old

2 to 4 Year

Olds

Total 0 to 4

Years

EXISTING DEMAND Child Care Demand

Estimated Total Children

Average LFPRAdjustment Factor

Children With Working Parents

Licensed Care Demand Factor

Resident Children Needing Licensed Care

of Total Resident Children Needing Licensed Care

Children from Non-Resident Employees Needing

Licensed Care

(1)

(2)

(3)

2647 3793

74

1964 3467

37

727 3233

27 85

138 208

6440

5432

73

3960

61

346

Total Demand for Child Care Spaces

Distribution

EXISTING SUPPLY (4)

865 3441

20 80

Child Care Spaces

4306

100

Family Child Care Home Supply

Child Care Center Supply

Current Child Care Supply

Distribution

EXISTING SURPLUS(SHORTAGE)

Distribution

Percentage of Demand Met

by Existing FacilitiesSpaces

Shortage of Family Child Care Home Spaces

Shortage of Center-Based Spaces

(5)

(6)

(6)

25

28

28

288 362

84 1264

372 1626

19 81

(493) (1816)

21 79

43 47

(381) (404)

(111) (1412)

649

1348

1997

100

(2308)

100

46

(785)

(1523)

FINAL

Table B-6

Future C hild Care Demand and Supply in 2025 in Daly CityColma

San Mateo County Child Care Study - 2016

Note All footnote references can be found in Table C-1 at the end of this file

Sources 2010 US Census ABAG Projections 2013 2014 American Community Survey ACS Journey-to-Work data 2006-2008 and 2006-2010

Child Care Coordinating Council of San Mateo County (4Cs) Community Care Licensing Brion Economics Inc

Prepared by Brion Economics Inc 2513-SMC NA Final Tables 61216 6122016

EAST PALO ALTO

Child Care as of 2025

No of

Providers

Under 2 Years

Old

2 to 4 Year

Olds

Total 0 to 4

Years

EXISTING DEMAND Child Care Demand

Estimated Total Children

Average LFPRAdjustment Factor

Children With Working Parents

Licensed Care Demand Factor

Resident Children Needing Licensed Care

of Total Resident Children Needing Licensed Care

Children from Non-Resident Employees Needing

Licensed Care

(1)

(2)

(3)

1161 1849

71

822 1660

37

304 1545

26 84

20 30

3010

2482

75

1849

61

50

Total Demand for Child Care Spaces

Distribution

EXISTING SUPPLY (4)

324 1575

17 83

Child Care Spaces

1900

100

Family Child Care Home Supply

Child Care Center Supply

Current Child Care Supply

Distribution

EXISTING SURPLUS(SHORTAGE)

Distribution

Percentage of Demand Met

by Existing FacilitiesSpaces

Shortage of Family Child Care Home Spaces

Shortage of Center-Based Spaces

(5)

(6)

(6)

13

6

19

85 106

25 633

110 739

13 87

(215) (836)

20 80

34 47

(166) (120)

(49) (715)

191

658

849

100

(1050)

100

45

(286)

(764)

FINAL

Table B-7

Future Child Care Demand and Supply in 2025 in East Palo Alto

San Mateo County Child Care Study - 2016

Note All footnote references can be found in Table C-1 at the end of this file

Sources 2010 US Census ABAG Projections 2013 2014 American Community Survey ACS Journey-to-Work data 2006-2008 and 2006-2010

Child Care Coordinating Council of San Mateo County (4Cs) Community Care Licensing Brion Economics Inc

Prepared by Brion Economics Inc 2513-SMC NA Final Tables 61216 6122016

FOSTER CITY

Child Care as of 2025

No of

Providers

Under 2 Years

Old

2 to 4 Year

Olds

Total 0 to 4

Years

EXISTING DEMAND Child Care Demand

Estimated Total Children

Average LFPRAdjustment Factor

Children With Working Parents

Licensed Care Demand Factor

Resident Children Needing Licensed Care

of Total Resident Children Needing Licensed Care

Children from Non-Resident Employees Needing

Licensed Care

(1)

(2)

(3)

871 1330

63

550 1154

37

204 1079

23 81

80 120

2201

1705

75

1282

58

200

Total Demand for Child Care Spaces

Distribution

EXISTING SUPPLY (4)

283 1199

19 81

Child Care Spaces

1483

100

Family Child Care Home Supply

Child Care Center Supply

Current Child Care Supply

Distribution

EXISTING SURPLUS(SHORTAGE)

Distribution

Percentage of Demand Met

by Existing FacilitiesSpaces

Shortage of Family Child Care Home Spaces

Shortage of Center-Based Spaces

(5)

(6)

(6)

19

12

31

118 149

88 1200

206 1349

13 87

(77) 150

-106 206

73 112

(44) NA

(33) NA

267

1288

1555

100

73

100

105

(44)

(33)

FINAL

Table B-8

Future Child Care Demand and Supply in 2025 in Foster City

San Mateo County Child Care Study - 2016

Note All footnote references can be found in Table C-1 at the end of this file

Sources 2010 US Census ABAG Projections 2013 2014 American Community Survey ACS Journey-to-Work data 2006-2008 and 2006-2010

Child Care Coordinating Council of San Mateo County (4Cs) Community Care Licensing Brion Economics Inc

Prepared by Brion Economics Inc 2513-SMC NA Final Tables 61216 6122016

HALF MOON BAY REGION

Child Care as of 2025

No of

Providers

Under 2 Years

Old

2 to 4 Year

Olds

Total 0 to 4

Years

EXISTING DEMAND Child Care Demand

Estimated Total Children

Average LFPRAdjustment Factor

Children With Working Parents

Licensed Care Demand Factor

Resident Children Needing Licensed Care

of Total Resident Children Needing Licensed Care

Children from Non-Resident Employees Needing

Licensed Care

(1)

(2)

(3)

553 929

69

383 835

37

142 781

26 84

14 21

1482

1217

76

923

62

34

Total Demand for Child Care Spaces

Distribution

EXISTING SUPPLY (4)

155 802

16 84

Child Care Spaces

957

100

Family Child Care Home Supply

Child Care Center Supply

Current Child Care Supply

Distribution

EXISTING SURPLUS(SHORTAGE)

Distribution

Percentage of Demand Met

by Existing FacilitiesSpaces

Shortage of Family Child Care Home Spaces

Shortage of Center-Based Spaces

(5)

(6)

(6)

10

11

21

96 121

35 285

131 406

24 76

(24) (396)

6 94

84 51

(18) (118)

(6) (279)

216

320

536

100

(421)

100

56

(136)

(285)

FINAL

Table B-9

Future Child Care Demand and Supply in 2025 in Half Moon Bay Region

San Mateo County Child Care Study - 2016

Note All footnote references can be found in Table C-1 at the end of this file

Sources 2010 US Census ABAG Projections 2013 2014 American Community Survey ACS Journey-to-Work data 2006-2008 and 2006-2010

Child Care Coordinating Council of San Mateo County (4Cs) Community Care Licensing Brion Economics Inc

Prepared by Brion Economics Inc 2513-SMC NA Final Tables 61216 6122016

HILLSBOROUGH

Child Care as of 2025

No of

Providers

Under 2 Years

Old

2 to 4 Year

Olds

Total 0 to 4

Years

EXISTING DEMAND Child Care Demand

Estimated Total Children

Average LFPRAdjustment Factor

Children With Working Parents

Licensed Care Demand Factor

Resident Children Needing Licensed Care

of Total Resident Children Needing Licensed Care

Children from Non-Resident Employees Needing

Licensed Care

(1)

(2)

(3)

143 343

52

74 295

37

27 282

19 82

7 11

487

369

84

309

64

17

Total Demand for Child Care Spaces

Distribution

EXISTING SUPPLY (4)

34 292

10 90

Child Care Spaces

327

100

Family Child Care Home Supply

Child Care Center Supply

Current Child Care Supply

Distribution

EXISTING SURPLUS(SHORTAGE)

Distribution

Percentage of Demand Met

by Existing FacilitiesSpaces

Shortage of Family Child Care Home Spaces

Shortage of Center-Based Spaces

(5)

(6)

(6)

1

4

5

5 6

- 91

5 97

5 95

(29) (195)

13 87

14 33

(29) (12)

0 (183)

11

91

102

100

(225)

100

31

(42)

(183)

FINAL

Table B-10

Future Child Care Demand and Supply in 2025 in Hillsborough

San Mateo County Child Care Study - 2016

Note All footnote references can be found in Table C-1 at the end of this file

Sources 2010 US Census ABAG Projections 2013 2014 American Community Survey ACS Journey-to-Work data 2006-2008 and 2006-2010

Child Care Coordinating Council of San Mateo County (4Cs) Community Care Licensing Brion Economics Inc

Prepared by Brion Economics Inc 2513-SMC NA Final Tables 61216 6122016

MENLO PARK

Child Care as of 2025

No of

Providers

Under 2 Years

Old

2 to 4 Year

Olds

Total 0 to 4

Years

EXISTING DEMAND Child Care Demand

Estimated Total Children

Average LFPRAdjustment Factor

Children With Working Parents

Licensed Care Demand Factor

Resident Children Needing Licensed Care

of Total Resident Children Needing Licensed Care

Children from Non-Resident Employees Needing

Licensed Care

(1)

(2)

(3)

1327 1954

69

909 1759

37

336 1653

25 85

237 357

3281

2668

75

1989

61

594

Total Demand for Child Care Spaces

Distribution

EXISTING SUPPLY (4)

573 2011

22 78

Child Care Spaces

2584

100

Family Child Care Home Supply

Child Care Center Supply

Current Child Care Supply

Distribution

EXISTING SURPLUS(SHORTAGE)

Distribution

Percentage of Demand Met

by Existing FacilitiesSpaces

Shortage of Family Child Care Home Spaces

Shortage of Center-Based Spaces

(5)

(6)

(6)

15

25

40

76 96

73 1331

149 1427

9 91

(424) (584)

42 58

26 71

(217) (39)

(207) (544)

172

1404

1576

100

(1008)

100

61

(256)

(752)

FINAL

Table B-11

Future Child Care Demand and Supply in 2025 in Menlo Park

San Mateo County Child Care Study - 2016

Note All footnote references can be found in Table C-1 at the end of this file

Sources 2010 US Census ABAG Projections 2013 2014 American Community Survey ACS Journey-to-Work data 2006-2008 and 2006-2010

Child Care Coordinating Council of San Mateo County (4Cs) Community Care Licensing Brion Economics Inc

Prepared by Brion Economics Inc 2513-SMC NA Final Tables 61216 6122016

MILLBRAE

Child Care as of 2025

No of

Providers

Under 2 Years

Old

2 to 4 Year

Olds

Total 0 to 4

Years

EXISTING DEMAND Child Care Demand

Estimated Total Children

Average LFPRAdjustment Factor

Children With Working Parents

Licensed Care Demand Factor

Resident Children Needing Licensed Care

of Total Resident Children Needing Licensed Care

Children from Non-Resident Employees Needing

Licensed Care

(1)

(2)

(3)

473 805

62

291 710

37

108 672

23 83

31 47

1278

1001

78

780

61

77

Total Demand for Child Care Spaces

Distribution

EXISTING SUPPLY (4)

139 718

16 84

Child Care Spaces

857

100

Family Child Care Home Supply

Child Care Center Supply

Current Child Care Supply

Distribution

EXISTING SURPLUS(SHORTAGE)

Distribution

Percentage of Demand Met

by Existing FacilitiesSpaces

Shortage of Family Child Care Home Spaces

Shortage of Center-Based Spaces

(5)

(6)

(6)

7

7

14

62 78

- 376

62 454

12 88

(76) (264)

22 78

45 63

(76) (46)

0 (219)

141

376

517

100

(340)

100

60

(122)

(219)

FINAL

Table B-12

Future C hild Care Demand and Supply in 2025 in Millbrae

San Mateo County Child Care Study - 2016

Note All footnote references can be found in Table C-1 at the end of this file

Sources 2010 US Census ABAG Projections 2013 2014 American Community Survey ACS Journey-to-Work data 2006-2008 and 2006-2010

Child Care Coordinating Council of San Mateo County (4Cs) Community Care Licensing Brion Economics Inc

Prepared by Brion Economics Inc 2513-SMC NA Final Tables 61216 6122016

FINAL

Table B-13

Future Child Care Demand and Supply in 2025 in Pacifica

San Mateo County Child Care Study - 2016

PACIFICA

Child Care as of 2025

No of

Providers

Under 2 Years

Old

2 to 4 Year

Olds

Total 0 to 4

Years

EXISTING DEMAND Child Care Demand

Estimated Total Children

Average L FPRAdjustment Factor

Children With Working Parents

Licensed Care Demand Factor

Resident Children Needing Licensed Care

of Total Resident Children Needing Licensed Care

Children from Non-Resident Employees Needing

Licensed Care

(1)

(2)

(3)

816 1300

78

633 1209

37

234 1130

29 87

19 29

2116

1842

74

1364

64

48

Total Demand for Child Care Spaces

Distribution

EXISTING SUPPLY (4)

254 1159

18 82

Child Care Spaces

1413

100

Family Child Care Home Supply

Child Care Center Supply

Current Child Care Supply

Distribution

EXISTING SURPLUS(SHORTAGE)

Distribution

Percentage of Demand Met

by Existing FacilitiesSpaces

Shortage of Family Child Care Home Spaces

Shortage of Center-Based Spaces

(5)

(6)

(6)

9

18

27

77 97

39 701

116 798

13 87

(138) (361)

28 72

46 69

(91) (44)

(46) (317)

174

740

914

100

(499)

100

65

(135)

(364)

Note All footnote references can be found in Table C-1 at the end of this file

Sources 2010 US Census ABAG Projections 2013 2014 American Community Survey ACS Journey-to-Work data 2006-2008 and 2006-2010

Child Care Coordinating Council of San Mateo County (4Cs) Community Care Licensing Brion Economics Inc

Prepared by Brion Economics Inc 2513-SMC NA Final Tables 61216 6122016

PORTOLA VALLEY

Child Care as of 2025

No of

Providers

Under 2 Years

Old

2 to 4 Year

Olds

Total 0 to 4

Years

EXISTING DEMAND Child Care Demand

Estimated Total Children

Average LFPRAdjustment Factor

Children With Working Parents

Licensed Care Demand Factor

Resident Children Needing Licensed Care

of Total Resident Children Needing Licensed Care

Children from Non-Resident Employees Needing

Licensed Care

(1)

(2)

(3)

77 192

66

51 173

37

19 164

24 85

9 13

269

224

82

182

68

22

Total Demand for Child Care Spaces

Distribution

EXISTING SUPPLY (4)

28 177

13 87

Child Care Spaces

204

100

Family Child Care Home Supply

Child Care Center Supply

Current Child Care Supply

Distribution

EXISTING SURPLUS(SHORTAGE)

Distribution

Percentage of Demand Met

by Existing FacilitiesSpaces

Shortage of Family Child Care Home Spaces

Shortage of Center-Based Spaces

(5)

(6)

(6)

0

4

4

- -

- 153

- 153

0 100

(28) (24)

54 46

0 87

0 0

(28) (24)

0

153

153

100

(51)

100

75

0

(51)

FINAL

Table B-14

Future Child Care Demand and Supply in 2025 in Portola Valley

San Mateo County Child Care Study - 2016

Note All footnote references can be found in Table C-1 at the end of this file

Sources 2010 US Census ABAG Projections 2013 2014 American Community Survey ACS Journey-to-Work data 2006-2008 and 2006-2010

Child Care Coordinating Council of San Mateo County (4Cs) Community Care Licensing Brion Economics Inc

Prepared by Brion Economics Inc 2513-SMC NA Final Tables 61216 6122016

REDWOOD CITY

No of

Providers

Child Care as of 2025

Under 2 Years

Old

2 to 4 Year

Olds

Total 0 to 4

Years

EXISTING DEMAND Child Care Demand

Estimated Total Children

Average LFPRAdjustment Factor

Children With Working Parents

Licensed Care Demand Factor

Resident Children Needing Licensed Care

of Total Resident Children Needing Licensed Care

Children from Non-Resident Employees Needing

Licensed Care

Total Demand for Child Care Spaces

Distribution

EXISTING SUPPLY

(1)

(2)

(3)

(4)

3725 5378

69

2555 4813

37

946 4505

25 84

466 703

1411 5208

21 79

Child Care Spaces

9103

7368

74

5450

60

1169

6619

100

Family Child Care Home Supply

Child Care Center Supply

Current Child Care Supply

Distribution

EXISTING SURPLUS(SHORTAGE)

Distribution

Percentage of Demand Met

by Existing FacilitiesSpaces

Shortage of Family Child Care Home Spaces

Shortage of Center-Based Spaces

(5)

(6)

(6)

42

41

83

396 497

356 2036

752 2533

23 77

(660) (2674)

20 80

53 49

(347) (525)

(313) (2149)

893

2392

3285

100

(3334)

100

50

(872)

(2462)

FINAL

Table B-15

Future Child Care Demand and Supply in 2025 in Redwood City

San Mateo County Child Care Study - 2016

Note All footnote references can be found in Table C-1 at the end of this file

Sources 2010 US Census ABAG Projections 2013 2014 American Community Survey ACS Journey-to-Work data 2006-2008 and 2006-2010

Child Care Coordinating Council of San Mateo County (4Cs) Community Care Licensing Brion Economics Inc

Prepared by Brion Economics Inc 2513-SMC NA Final Tables 61216 6122016

SAN BRUNO

Child Care as of 2025

No of

Providers

Under 2 Years

Old

2 to 4 Year

Olds

Total 0 to 4

Years

EXISTING DEMAND Child Care Demand

Estimated Total Children

Average LFPRAdjustment Factor

Children With Working Parents

Licensed Care Demand Factor

Resident Children Needing Licensed Care

of Total Resident Children Needing Licensed Care

Children from Non-Resident Employees Needing

Licensed Care

(1)

(2)

(3)

1189 1728

77

910 1589

37

337 1475

28 85

68 103

2917

2498

73

1812

62

171

Total Demand for Child Care Spaces

Distribution

EXISTING SUPPLY (4)

405 1578

20 80

Child Care Spaces

1983

100

Family Child Care Home Supply

Child Care Center Supply

Current Child Care Supply

Distribution

EXISTING SURPLUS(SHORTAGE)

Distribution

Percentage of Demand Met

by Existing FacilitiesSpaces

Shortage of Family Child Care Home Spaces

Shortage of Center-Based Spaces

(5)

(6)

(6)

13

15

28

122 153

26 1183

148 1336

10 90

(257) (242)

52 48

37 85

(212) (28)

(45) (214)

275

1209

1484

100

(499)

100

75

(239)

(259)

FINAL

Table B-16

Future C hild Care Demand and Supply in 2025 in San Bruno

San Mateo County Child Care Study - 2016

Note All footnote references can be found in Table C-1 at the end of this file

Sources 2010 US Census ABAG Projections 2013 2014 American Community Survey ACS Journey-to-Work data 2006-2008 and 2006-2010

Child Care Coordinating Council of San Mateo County (4Cs) Community Care Licensing Brion Economics Inc

Prepared by Brion Economics Inc 2513-SMC NA Final Tables 61216 6122016

SAN CARLOS

Child Care as of 2025

No of

Providers

Under 2 Years

Old

2 to 4 Year

Olds

Total 0 to 4

Years

EXISTING DEMAND Child Care Demand

Estimated Total Children

Average LFPRAdjustment Factor

Children With Working Parents

Licensed Care Demand Factor

Resident Children Needing Licensed Care

of Total Resident Children Needing Licensed Care

Children from Non-Resident Employees Needing

Licensed Care

(1)

(2)

(3)

778 1384

72

557 1255

37

206 1174

26 85

82 123

2162

1812

76

1380

64

205

Total Demand for Child Care Spaces

Distribution

EXISTING SUPPLY (4)

288 1297

18 82

Child Care Spaces

1585

100

Family Child Care Home Supply

Child Care Center Supply

Current Child Care Supply

Distribution

EXISTING SURPLUS(SHORTAGE)

Distribution

Percentage of Demand Met

by Existing FacilitiesSpaces

Shortage of Family Child Care Home Spaces

Shortage of Center-Based Spaces

(5)

(6)

(6)

28

14

42

73 92

76 615

149 707

17 83

(139) (590)

19 81

52 54

(68) (76)

(71) (514)

164

691

855

100

(729)

100

54

(145)

(585)

FINAL

Table B-17

Future Child Care Demand and Supply in 2025 in San Carlos

San Mateo County Child Care Study - 2016

Note All footnote references can be found in Table C-1 at the end of this file

Sources 2010 US Census ABAG Projections 2013 2014 American Community Survey ACS Journey-to-Work data 2006-2008 and 2006-2010

Child Care Coordinating Council of San Mateo County (4Cs) Community Care Licensing Brion Economics Inc

Prepared by Brion Economics Inc 2513-SMC NA Final Tables 61216 6122016

SAN MATEO

Child Care as of 2025

No of

Providers

Under 2 Years

Old

2 to 4 Year

Olds

Total 0 to 4

Years

EXISTING DEMAND Child Care Demand

Estimated Total Children

Average LFPRAdjustment Factor

Children With Working Parents

Licensed Care Demand Factor

Resident Children Needing Licensed Care

of Total Resident Children Needing Licensed Care

Children from Non-Resident Employees Needing

Licensed Care

(1)

(2)

(3)

3194 4572

71

2264 4116

37

838 3839

26 84

261 394

7766

6381

73

4677

60

656

Total Demand for Child Care Spaces

Distribution

EXISTING SUPPLY (4)

1099 4233

21 79

Child Care Spaces

5332

100

Family Child Care Home Supply

Child Care Center Supply

Current Child Care Supply

Distribution

EXISTING SURPLUS(SHORTAGE)

Distribution

Percentage of Demand Met

by Existing FacilitiesSpaces

Shortage of Family Child Care Home Spaces

Shortage of Center-Based Spaces

(5)

(6)

(6)

69

59

128

492 619

209 2577

701 3196

18 82

(398) (1037)

28 72

64 75

(279) (201)

(119) (837)

1111

2786

3897

100

(1435)

100

73

(480)

(955)

FINAL

Table B-18

Future Child Care Demand and Supply in 2025 in San Mateo

San Mateo County Child Care Study - 2016

Note All footnote references can be found in Table C-1 at the end of this file

Sources 2010 US Census ABAG Projections 2013 2014 American Community Survey ACS Journey-to-Work data 2006-2008 and 2006-2010

Child Care Coordinating Council of San Mateo County (4Cs) Community Care Licensing Brion Economics Inc

Prepared by Brion Economics Inc 2513-SMC NA Final Tables 61216 6122016

FINAL

Table B-19

Future Child Care Demand and Supply in 2025 in South Coast

San Mateo County Child Care Study - 2016

SOUTH COAST

Child Care as of 2025

No of

Providers

Under 2 Years

Old

2 to 4 Year

Olds

Total 0 to 4

Years

EXISTING DEMAND Child Care Demand

Estimated Total Children (1) 23 32 55

Average LFPRAdjustment Factor (2) 54

Children With Working Parents 12 27 40

Licensed Care Demand Factor (3) 37 77

Resident Children Needing Licensed Care 5 26 30

of Total Resident Children Needing Licensed Care 20 81 56

Children from Non-Resident Employees Needing

Licensed Care 0 0 0

Total Demand for Child Care Spaces 5 26 30

Distribution 15 85 100

EXISTING SUPPLY (4) Child Care Spaces

Family Child Care Home Supply - 0 0 0

Child Care Center Supply 2 0 54 54

Current Child Care Supply 2 - 54 54

Distribution 0 100 100

EXISTING SURPLUS(SHORTAGE) (5) 28 24

Distribution -19 119 100

Percentage of Demand Met

by Existing FacilitiesSpaces (5) 0 209 177

Shortage of Family Child Care Home Spaces (6) 0 NA 0

Shortage of Center-Based Spaces (6) (5) NA (5)

Note All footnote references can be found in Table C-1 at the end of this file

Sources 2010 US Census ABAG Projections 2013 2014 American Community Survey ACS Journey-to-Work data 2006-2008 and 2006-2010

Child Care Coordinating Council of San Mateo County (4Cs) Community Care Licensing Brion Economics Inc

Prepared by Brion Economics Inc 2513-SMC NA Final Tables 61216 6122016

SOUTH SAN FRANCISCO

Child Care as of 2025

No of

Providers

Under 2 Years

Old

2 to 4 Year

Olds

Total 0 to 4

Years

EXISTING DEMAND Child Care Demand

Estimated Total Children

Average LFPRAdjustment Factor

Children With Working Parents

Licensed Care Demand Factor

Resident Children Needing Licensed Care

of Total Resident Children Needing Licensed Care

Children from Non-Resident Employees Needing

Licensed Care

(1)

(2)

(3)

1835 2790

73

1342 2535

37

496 2362

27 85

339 512

4625

3877

74

2859

62

851

Total Demand for Child Care Spaces

Distribution

EXISTING SUPPLY (4)

835 2874

23 77

Child Care Spaces

3709

100

Family Child Care Home Supply

Child Care Center Supply

Current Child Care Supply

Distribution

EXISTING SURPLUS(SHORTAGE)

Distribution

Percentage of Demand Met

by Existing FacilitiesSpaces

Shortage of Family Child Care Home Spaces

Shortage of Center-Based Spaces

(5)

(6)

(6)

30

27

57

252 317

400 1966

652 2283

22 78

(183) (591)

24 76

78 79

(71) (82)

(113) (509)

569

2366

2935

100

(775)

100

79

(153)

(622)

FINAL

Table B-20

Future Child Care Demand and Supply in 2025 in South San Francisco

San Mateo County Child Care Study - 2016

Note All footnote references can be found in Table C-1 at the end of this file

Sources 2010 US Census ABAG Projections 2013 2014 American Community Survey ACS Journey-to-Work data 2006-2008 and 2006-2010

Child Care Coordinating Council of San Mateo County (4Cs) Community Care Licensing Brion Economics Inc

Prepared by Brion Economics Inc 2513-SMC NA Final Tables 61216 6122016

WOODSIDE

No of

Providers

Child Care as of 2025

Under 2 Years

Old

2 to 4 Year

Olds

Total 0 to 4

Years

EXISTING DEMAND Child Care Demand

Estimated Total Children

Average LFPRAdjustment Factor

Children With Working Parents

Licensed Care Demand Factor

Resident Children Needing Licensed Care

of Total Resident Children Needing Licensed Care

Children from Non-Resident Employees Needing

Licensed Care

(1)

(2)

(3)

93 165

56

51 140

37

19 132

21 80

9 13

258

192

79

152

59

22

Total Demand for Child Care Spaces

Distribution

EXISTING SUPPLY (4)

28 146

16 84

Child Care Spaces

174

100

Family Child Care Home Supply

Child Care Center Supply

Current Child Care Supply

Distribution

EXISTING SURPLUS(SHORTAGE)

Distribution

Percentage of Demand Met

by Existing FacilitiesSpaces

Shortage of Family Child Care Home Spaces

Shortage of Center-Based Spaces

(5)

(6)

(6)

1

2

3

4 5

- 103

4 108

4 96

(24) (38)

39 61

15 74

(24) (2)

0 (36)

9

103

112

100

(61)

100

65

(26)

(36)

FINAL

Table B-21

Future Child Care Demand and Supply in 2025 in Woodside

San Mateo County Child Care Study - 2016

Note All footnote references can be found in Table C-1 at the end of this file

Sources 2010 US Census ABAG Projections 2013 2014 American Community Survey ACS Journey-to-Work data 2006-2008 and 2006-2010

Child Care Coordinating Council of San Mateo County (4Cs) Community Care Licensing Brion Economics Inc

Prepared by Brion Economics Inc 2513-SMC NA Final Tables 61216 6122016

FINAL

Table C-1

Endnotes for Tables

San Mateo County Child Care Study - 2016

(1) Population by age is based on the percentage breakdown from the 2010 US Census and applied

to population estimates for 2015 using ABAGs Projections 2013 population data The ABAG data

for each area includes its Sphere of Influence and is not based on strict jurisdictional boundaries

(2) Labor force participation rates are from the 5-Year American Community Survey 2014 and include

children under six years old with two working parents or a single working parent For the 2- to 4-year

olds the labor force participation rate is applied to 2 year olds For 3- and 4-year olds it is assumed

that 100 need licensed care to support preschool for every child so the number of

3- and 4-year olds is not discounted by labor force participation rates

(3) Not all children with working parents are assumed to need licensed care percentage assumptions are

used to calculate the number of children requiring licensed care under each age category The

remaining children are assumed to be cared for in alternate arrangements such as by family members

nannies friends and other unlicensed care For children ages 3- and 4-years old it is assumed that

they all need care in the form of preschool

(4) Data on child care supply provided by the Child Care Coordinating Council of San Mateo County (4Cs)

and Community Care Licensing Division of the California Department of Social Services (CCLD) Data is

for June 2015

(5) Demand that calculates as less than 100 means that there is greater demand than supply percent of

demand that is over 100 means supply exceeds demand

(6) Unmet demand is broken down into shortage by type of care based on the proportion of FCCHs and

child care centers spaces available in each area If an area does not have any FCCHs or centers the

unmet demand is placed in the type of care that is available in the area (eg if there are only centers

all demand goes to centers)

Source Brion Economics Inc

Prepared by Brion Economics Inc 2513-SMC NA Final Tables 61216 6122016

DRAFT REPORT

Table C-2

Labor Force Participation Rates by CityArea

San Mateo County Child Care Study - 2016

CityArea

Labor Force

Participation Rate (1)

Atherton

Belmont

Brisbane

Burlingame

Daly CityColma

East Palo Alto

Foster City

Half Moon Bay Region

Hillsborough

Menlo Park

Millbrae

Pacifica

Portola Valley

Redwood City

San Bruno

San Carlos

San Mateo

South Coast

South San Francisco

Woodside

40

77

100

65

74

71

63

69

52

69

62

78

66

69

77

72

71

54

73

56

(1) Labor force participation rates (LFPRs) are for

families with children under age six with two

working parents or a single parent who works Sources American Community Survey 2014 5-Year

Survey Brion Economics Inc

Prepared by Brion Economics Inc 2513-SMC NA Final Tables 61216 6122016

  • 2513-SMC FINAL NA Memo-61216
  • 2513-SMC NA Final Tables 61216
Page 17: Final San Mateo County Child Care Needs … Care...Future C hild Care Demand and Supply in 2025 in Daly City/Colma San Mateo County Child Care Study - 2016 Note: All footnote references

No of Non- No of Employee

Resident No of 0 to 2 No of 3 to 4 Children Needing

CityArea Assumptions Employees Year Olds Year Olds Licensed Care

Estimated Percent of Employees

Needing Licensed Care (1) 300 40 60 100

Atherton 1051 13 19 32

Belmont 3108 37 56 93

Brisbane 4593 55 83 138

Burlingame 12850 154 232 385

Daly CityColma 11521 138 208 346

East Palo Alto 1683 20 30 50

Foster City 6677 80 120 200

Half Moon Bay Region (2) 1138 14 21 34

Hillsborough 583 7 11 17

Menlo Park 19813 237 357 594

Millbrae 2578 31 47 77

Pacifica 1611 19 29 48

Portola Valley 736 9 13 22

Redwood City 38624 462 697 1159

San Bruno 5695 68 103 171

San Carlos 6834 82 123 205

San Mateo 21855 261 394 656

South Coast (3) 0 0 0 0

South San Francisco 24173 289 436 725

Woodside 747 9 13 22

SF Airport (4) 4185 50 75 126

Remainder (4) 333 4 6 10

Total Countywide 170387 2037 3074 5112

FINAL

Table 8

Employee Demand Summary Table for 2025

San Mateo County Child Care Study - 2016

Note Totals may be off slightly due to rounding

(1) We are assuming 3 of employees children require licensed care the breakdown of demand for infant and

preschool spaces is based on the percentage of infants and preschoolers who currently reside in San Mateo County

(2) Half Moon Bay Region includes the City of Half Moon Bay El Granada Montara and Moss Beach

(3) South Coast includes La Honda Loma Mar and Pescadero

(4) SF Airport and Remainder are groupings by ABAG For employment SF Airport demand is attributed to South San

Francisco and Remainder demand is included with Redwood City

Sources 2010 US Census ABAG Projections 2013 2014 5-Year American Community Survey Journey-To-Work Data

Brion Economics Inc

Prepared by Brion Economics Inc 2513-SMC NA Final Tables 61216 6122016

2015

Surplus(Shortage) of Infant Surplus(Shortage) of Preschool Total Total

CityArea of Infant Spaces Demand Met of Preschool Spaces Demand Met Surplus(Shortage) Demand Met

Atherton 2 107 108 165 110 157

Belmont (130) 45 (335) 65 (465) 61

Brisbane (94) 4 (162) 30 (255) 22

Burlingame (219) 35 (271) 78 (489) 69

Daly CityColma (439) 46 (1612) 50 (2051) 49

East Palo Alto (182) 38 (680) 52 (862) 50

Foster City (62) 77 203 118 141 110

Half Moon Bay Region (1) (13) 91 (336) 55 (349) 61

Hillsborough (28) 15 (185) 34 (213) 32

Menlo Park (2) (367) 29 (363) 80 (730) 68

Millbrae (61) 50 (186) 71 (247) 0

Pacifica (128) 48 (319) 71 (447) 67

Portola Valley (26) 0 (18) 89 (45) 77

Redwood City (2) (490) 61 (2034) 55 (2524) 57

San Bruno (216) 41 (82) 94 (298) 83

San Carlos (121) 55 (516) 58 (637) 57

San Mateo (302) 70 (690) 82 (992) 80

South Coast (3) (4) 0 31 230 26 195

South San Francisco (103) 86 (306) 88 (408) 88

Woodside (23) 16 (33) 77 (55) 67

Countywide (3006) 56 (7783) 71 (10789) 68

FINAL

Table 9

Summary of Demand Met by Existing Facilities in Each Community at 2015

San Mateo County Child Care Study - 2016

Note Totals may be off slightly due to rounding

(1) Half Moon Bay Region includes the City of Half Moon Bay El Granada Montara and Moss Beach

(2) ABAG Projections have 6300 people listed as Remainder population this amount is divided equally between Menlo Park and Redwood

City given that they are surrounded by unincorporated areas

(3) South Coast includes La Honda Loma Mar and Pescadero

Sources 2010 US Census ABAG Projections 2013 Brion Economics Inc

Prepared by Brion Economics Inc 2513-SMC NA Final Tables 61216 6122016

2025

Surplus(Shortage) of Infant Surplus(Shortage) of Preschool Total Total

CityArea of Infant Spaces Demand Met of Preschool Spaces Demand Met Surplus(Shortage) Demand Met

Atherton 0 101 101 158 101 150

Belmont (143) 43 (384) 62 (527) 58

Brisbane (99) 4 (174) 29 (273) 21

Burlingame (252) 32 (390) 71 (642) 63

Daly CityColma (493) 43 (1816) 47 (2308) 46

East Palo Alto (215) 34 (836) 47 (1050) 45

Foster City (77) 73 150 112 73 105

Half Moon Bay Region (1) (24) 84 (396) 51 (421) 56

Hillsborough (29) 14 (195) 33 (225) 31

Menlo Park (2) (424) 26 (584) 71 (1008) 61

Millbrae (76) 45 (264) 63 (340) 60

Pacifica (138) 46 (361) 69 (499) 65

Portola Valley (28) 0 (24) 87 (51) 75

Redwood City (2) (660) 53 (2674) 49 (3334) 50

San Bruno (257) 37 (242) 85 (499) 75

San Carlos (139) 52 (590) 54 (729) 54

San Mateo (398) 64 (1037) 75 (1435) 73

South Coast (3) (5) 0 28 209 24 177

South San Francisco (183) 78 (591) 79 (775) 79

Woodside (24) 15 (38) 74 (61) 65

Countywide (3663) 51 (10318) 65 (13981) 62

FINAL

Table 10

Summary of Demand Met by Existing Facilities in Each Community at 2025

San Mateo County Child Care Study - 2016

Note Totals may be off slightly due to rounding

(1) Half Moon Bay Region includes the City of Half Moon Bay El Granada Montara and Moss Beach

(2) ABAG Projections have 6300 people listed as Remainder population this amount is divided equally between Menlo Park and Redwood

City given that they are surrounded by unincorporated areas

(3) South Coast includes La Honda Loma Mar and Pescadero

Sources 2010 US Census ABAG Projections 2013 Brion Economics Inc

Prepared by Brion Economics Inc 2513-SMC NA Final Tables 61216 6122016

Table 11

Number of Child Care Providers by City in 2015

San Mateo County Child Care Study - 2016

Family Child Licensed

CityArea Care Homes Centers Total

Atherton 1 6 7

Belmont 18 9 27

Brisbane 1 1 2

Burlingame 21 14 35

Daly CityColma 85 28 113

East Palo Alto 21 6 27

Foster City 29 12 41

Half Moon Bay Region (1) 28 11 39

Hillsborough 1 4 5

Menlo Park (2) 18 25 43

Millbrae 17 7 24

Pacifica 21 18 39

Portola Valley 0 4 4

Redwood City (2) 111 45 156

San Bruno 34 15 49

San Carlos 20 14 34

San Mateo 126 59 185

South Coast (3) 0 2 2

South San Francisco 68 27 95

Woodside 1 2 3

Countywide 621 309 930

FINAL

(1) Half Moon Bay Region includes the City of Half Moon Bay El Granada

Montara and Moss Beach

(2) ABAG Projections have 6300 people listed as Remainder population

this amount is divided equally between Menlo Park and Redwood City

given that they are surrounded by unincorporated areas

(3) South Coast includes La Honda Loma Mar and Pescadero

Sources Child Care Coordinating Council of San Mateo County (4Cs)

Community Care Licensing Brion Economics Inc

Prepared by Brion Economics Inc 2513-SMC NA Final Tables 61216 6122016

CityArea

Shortage

Infant

Center

Spaces

Infant care

Percentage

of Shortage

Shortage

Preschool

Center

Spaces

Preschool

Percentage

of Shortage

Total Center-

Based Space

Shortage

Atherton

Belmont

Brisbane

Burlingame

Daly CityColma

East Palo Alto

Foster City

Half Moon Bay Region

Hillsborough

Menlo Park

Millbrae

Pacifica

Portola Valley

Redwood City

San Bruno

San Carlos

San Mateo

South Coast

South San Francisco

Woodside

Countywide

NA

(48)

NA

(73)

(99)

(42)

(27)

(3)

NA

(180)

0

(43)

(26)

(232)

(38)

(62)

(90)

(2)

(63)

NA

NA

14

NA

23

7

7

100

1

NA

35

0

13

59

12

34

12

14

NA

19

NA

NA

(289)

(149)

(243)

(1253)

(582)

NA

(236)

(173)

(338)

(154)

(280)

(18)

(1635)

(73)

(449)

(557)

NA

(263)

(31)

NA

86

100

77

93

93

NA

99

100

65

100

87

41

88

66

88

86

NA

81

100

NA

(337)

(149)

(316)

(1352)

(623)

(27)

(240)

(173)

(518)

(154)

(323)

(45)

(1867)

(110)

(511)

(647)

(2)

(326)

(31)

(1193) 15 (6609) 85 (7802)

FINAL

Table 12

Summary of Shortage of Child Care Center Spaces by Age - 2015

San Mateo County Child Care Study - 2016

Sources Child Care Coordinating Council of San Mateo County (4Cs) Community Care Licensing

Brion Economics Inc

Prepared by Brion Economics Inc 2513-SMC NA Final Tables 61216 6122016

CityArea

Shortage

Infant Center

Spaces

Infant care

Percentage

of Shortage

Shortage

Preschool

Center

Spaces

Preschool

Percentage

of Shortage

Total Center-

Based Space

Shortage

Atherton

Belmont

Brisbane

Burlingame

Daly CityColma

East Palo Alto

Foster City

Half Moon Bay Region

Hillsborough

Menlo Park

Millbrae

Pacifica

Portola Valley

Redwood City

San Bruno

San Carlos

San Mateo

South Coast

South San Francisco

Woodside

Countywide

NA

(53)

NA

(85)

(111)

(49)

(33)

(6)

NA

(207)

0

(46)

(28)

(313)

(45)

(71)

(119)

(5)

(113)

0

NA

14

NA

19

7

6

100

2

NA

28

0

13

54

13

17

12

12

NA

18

NA

NA

(331)

(160)

(350)

(1412)

(715)

NA

(279)

(183)

(544)

(219)

(317)

(24)

(2149)

(214)

(514)

(837)

NA

(509)

(36)

NA

86

100

81

93

94

NA

98

100

72

100

87

46

87

83

88

88

NA

82

100

NA

(384)

(160)

(434)

(1523)

(764)

(33)

(285)

(183)

(752)

(219)

(364)

(51)

(2462)

(259)

(585)

(955)

(5)

(622)

(36)

(1454) 14 (8762) 86 (10216)

FINAL

Table 13

Summary of Shortage of Child Care Center Spaces by Age - 2025

San Mateo County Child Care Study - 2016

Sources Child Care Coordinating Council of San Mateo County (4Cs) Community Care Licensing

Brion Economics Inc

Prepared by Brion Economics Inc 2513-SMC NA Final Tables 61216 6122016

COUNTYWIDE

Child Care as of 2015

No of

Providers

Under 2 Years

Old

2 to 4 Year

Olds

Total 0 to 4

Years

EXISTING DEMAND Child Care Demand

Estimated Total Children

Average LFPRAdjustment Factor

Children With Working Parents

Licensed Care Demand Factor

Resident Children Needing Licensed Care

of Total Resident Children Needing Licensed Care

Children from Non-Resident Employees Needing

Licensed Care

Total Demand for Child Care Spaces

Distribution

EXISTING SUPPLY

(1)

(2)

(3)

(4)

19008 28678

71

13449 25720

37

4976 24188

26 84

1845 2784

6821 26971

20 80

Child Care Spaces

47686

39169

86

29164

61

4629

33792

100

Family Child Care Home Supply

Child Care Center Supply

Current Child Care Supply

Distribution

EXISTING SURPLUS(SHORTAGE)

Distribution

Percentage of Demand Met

by Existing FacilitiesSpaces

Shortage of Family Child Care Home Spaces

Shortage of Center-Based Spaces

(5)

(6)

(6)

621

309 -930

2301 2893

1514 16296 - -3815 19189

17 83

(3006) (7783)

28 72

56 71

(1813) (1173)

(1193) (6609)

5193

17810 -23003

100

(10789)

100

68

(2986)

(7802)

FINAL

Table A-1

Existing Child Care Demand and Supply in 2015 Countywide

San Mateo County Child Care Study - 2016

Note All footnote references can be found in Table C-1 at the end of this file

Sources 2010 US Census ABAG Projections 2013 2014 American Community Survey ACS Journey-to-Work data 2006-2008 and 2006-2010

Child Care Coordinating Council of San Mateo County (4Cs) Community Care Licensing Brion Economics Inc

Prepared by Brion Economics Inc 2513-SMC NA Final Tables 61216 6122016

ATHERTON

Child Care as of 2015

No of

Providers

Under 2 Years

Old

2 to 4 Year

Olds

Total 0 to 4

Years

EXISTING DEMAND Child Care Demand

Estimated Total Children

Average LFPRAdjustment Factor

Children With Working Parents

Licensed Care Demand Factor

Resident Children Needing Licensed Care

of Total Resident Children Needing Licensed Care

Children from Non-Resident Employees Needing

Licensed Care

(1)

(2)

(3)

105 185

40

42 153

37

15 147

15 80

12 18

290

194

84

163

56

29

Total Demand for Child Care Spaces

Distribution

EXISTING SUPPLY (4)

27 165

14 86

Child Care Spaces

192

100

Family Child Care Home Supply

Child Care Center Supply

Current Child Care Supply

Distribution

EXISTING SURPLUS(SHORTAGE)

Distribution

Percentage of Demand Met

by Existing FacilitiesSpaces

Shortage of Family Child Care Home Spaces

Shortage of Center-Based Spaces

(5)

(6)

(6)

1

6

7

5 6

24 267

29 273

10 90

2 108

2 98

107 165

NA NA

NA NA

11

291

302

100

110

100

157

NA

NA

FINAL

Table A-2

Existing Child Care Demand and Supply in 2015 in Atherton

San Mateo Co unty Child Care Study - 2016

Note All footnote references can be found in Table C-1 at the end of this file

Sources 2010 US Census ABAG Projections 2013 2014 American Community Survey ACS Journey-to-Work data 2006-2008 and 2006-2010

Child Care Coordinating Council of San Mateo County (4Cs) Community Care Licensing Brion Economics Inc

Prepared by Brion Economics Inc 2513-SMC NA Final Tables 61216 6122016

BELMONT

Child Care as of 2015

No of

Providers

Under 2 Years

Old

2 to 4 Year

Olds

Total 0 to 4

Years

EXISTING DEMAND Child Care Demand

Estimated Total Children

Average LFPRAdjustment Factor

Children With Working Parents

Licensed Care Demand Factor

Resident Children Needing Licensed Care

of Total Resident Children Needing Licensed Care

Children from Non-Resident Employees Needing

Licensed Care

(1)

(2)

(3)

708 1045

77

548 966

37

203 899

29 86

34 51

1753

1513

73

1102

63

85

Total Demand for Child Care Spaces

Distribution

EXISTING SUPPLY (4)

237 950

20 80

Child Care Spaces

1187

100

Family Child Care Home Supply

Child Care Center Supply

Current Child Care Supply

Distribution

EXISTING SURPLUS(SHORTAGE)

Distribution

Percentage of Demand Met

by Existing FacilitiesSpaces

Shortage of Family Child Care Home Spaces

Shortage of Center-Based Spaces

(5)

(6)

(6)

18

9

27

67 84

39 531

106 615

15 85

(130) (335)

28 72

45 65

(83) (46)

(48) (289)

152

570

722

100

(465)

100

61

(128)

(337)

FINAL

Table A-3

Existing Child Care Demand and Supply in 2015 in Belmont

San Mateo County Child Care Study - 2016

Note All footnote references can be found in Table C-1 at the end of this file Sources 2010 US Census ABAG Projections 2013 2014 American Community Survey ACS Journey-to-Work data 2006-2008 and

2006-2010 Child Care Coordinating Council of San Mateo County (4Cs) Community Care Licensing Brion Economics Inc

Prepared by Brion Economics Inc 2513-SMC NA Final Tables 61216 6122016

FINAL

Table A-4

Existing Child Care Demand and Supply in 2015 in Brisbane

San Mateo County Child Care Study - 2016

BRISBANE

Child Care as of 2015

No of

Providers

Under 2 Years

Old

2 to 4 Year

Olds

Total 0 to 4

Years

EXISTING DEMAND Child Care Demand

Estimated Total Children (1) 125 166 292

Average LFPRAdjustment Factor (2) 100

Children With Working Parents 125 166 292

Licensed Care Demand Factor (3) 37 68

Resident Children Needing Licensed Care 46 153 199

of Total Resident Children Needing Licensed Care 37 92 68

Children from Non-Resident Employees Needing

Licensed Care 52 78 129

Total Demand for Child Care Spaces 98 231 329

Distribution 30 70 100

EXISTING SUPPLY (4) Child Care Spaces

Family Child Care Home Supply 1 4 5 9

Child Care Center Supply 1 - 64 64

Current Child Care Supply 2 4 69 73

Distribution 6 94 100

EXISTING SURPLUS(SHORTAGE) (94) (162) (255)

Distribution 37 63 100

Percentage of Demand Met

by Existing FacilitiesSpaces (5) 4 30 22

Shortage of Family Child Care Home Spaces (6) (94) (12) (106)

Shortage of Center-Based Spaces (6) 0 (149) (149)

Note All footnote references can be found in Table C-1 at the end of this file

Sources 2010 US Census ABAG Projections 2013 2014 American Community Survey ACS Journey-to-Work data 2006-2008 and 2006-2010

Child Care Coordinating Council of San Mateo County (4Cs) Community Care Licensing Brion Economics Inc

Prepared by Brion Economics Inc 2513-SMC NA Final Tables 61216 6122016

BURLINGAME

Child Care as of 2015

No of

Providers

Under 2 Years

Old

2 to 4 Year

Olds

Total 0 to 4

Years

EXISTING DEMAND Child Care Demand

Estimated Total Children

Average LFPRAdjustment Factor

Children With Working Parents

Licensed Care Demand Factor

Resident Children Needing Licensed Care

of Total Resident Children Needing Licensed Care

Children from Non-Resident Employees Needing

Licensed Care

(1)

(2)

(3)

824 1216

65

535 1086

37

198 1025

24 84

140 211

2040

1621

75

1224

60

350

Total Demand for Child Care Spaces

Distribution

EXISTING SUPPLY (4)

338 1236

21 79

Child Care Spaces

1574

100

Family Child Care Home Supply

Child Care Center Supply

Current Child Care Supply

Distribution

EXISTING SURPLUS(SHORTAGE)

Distribution

Percentage of Demand Met

by Existing FacilitiesSpaces

Shortage of Family Child Care Home Spaces

Shortage of Center-Based Spaces

(5)

(6)

(6)

21

14

35

79 99

40 866

119 965

11 89

(219) (271)

45 55

35 78

(145) (28)

(73) (243)

179

906

1085

100

(489)

100

69

(173)

(316)

FINAL

Table A-5

Existing Child Care Demand and Supply in 2015 in Burlingame

San Mateo County Child Care Study - 2016

Note All footnote references can be found in Table C-1 at the end of this file

Sources 2010 US Census ABAG Projections 2013 2014 American Community Survey ACS Journey-to-Work data 2006-2008 and 2006-2010

Child Care Coordinating Council of San Mateo County (4Cs) Community Care Licensing Brion Economics Inc

Prepared by Brion Economics Inc 2513-SMC NA Final Tables 61216 6122016

DALY CITYCOLMA

Child Care as of 2015

No of

Providers

Under 2 Years

Old

2 to 4 Year

Olds

Total 0 to 4

Years

EXISTING DEMAND Child Care Demand

Estimated Total Children

Average LFPRAdjustment Factor

Children With Working Parents

Licensed Care Demand Factor

Resident Children Needing Licensed Care

of Total Resident Children Needing Licensed Care

Children from Non-Resident Employees Needing

Licensed Care

(1)

(2)

(3)

2495 3575

742

1851 3268

37

685 3047

27 85

126 190

6070

5119

73

3732

61

316

Total Demand for Child Care Spaces

Distribution

EXISTING SUPPLY (4)

811 3237

20 80

Child Care Spaces

4048

100

Family Child Care Home Supply

Child Care Center Supply

Current Child Care Supply

Distribution

EXISTING SURPLUS(SHORTAGE)

Distribution

Percentage of Demand Met

by Existing FacilitiesSpaces

Shortage of Family Child Care Home Spaces

Shortage of Center-Based Spaces

(5)

(6)

(6)

85

28

113

288 362

84 1264

372 1626

19 81

(439) (1612)

21 79

46 50

(340) (359)

(99) (1253)

649

1348

1997

100

(2051)

100

49

(698)

(1352)

FINAL

Table A-6

Existing Child Care Demand and Supply in 2015 in Daly CityColma

San Mateo Co unty Child Care Study - 2016

Note All footnote references can be found in Table C-1 at the end of this file

Sources 2010 US Census ABAG Projections 2013 2014 American Community Survey ACS Journey-to-Work data 2006-2008 and 2006-2010

Child Care Coordinating Council of San Mateo County (4Cs) Community Care Licensing Brion Economics Inc

Prepared by Brion Economics Inc 2513-SMC NA Final Tables 61216 6122016

EAST PALO ALTO

Child Care as of 2015

No of

Providers

Under 2 Years

Old

2 to 4 Year

Olds

Total 0 to 4

Years

EXISTING DEMAND Child Care Demand

Estimated Total Children

Average LFPRAdjustment Factor

Children With Working Parents

Licensed Care Demand Factor

Resident Children Needing Licensed Care

of Total Resident Children Needing Licensed Care

Children from Non-Resident Employees Needing

Licensed Care

(1)

(2)

(3)

1046 1667

71

741 1496

37

274 1392

26 84

18 27

2713

2237

75

1666

61

45

Total Demand for Child Care Spaces

Distribution

EXISTING SUPPLY (4)

292 1419

17 83

Child Care Spaces

1711

100

Family Child Care Home Supply

Child Care Center Supply

Current Child Care Supply

Distribution

EXISTING SURPLUS(SHORTAGE)

Distribution

Percentage of Demand Met

by Existing FacilitiesSpaces

Shortage of Family Child Care Home Spaces

Shortage of Center-Based Spaces

(5)

(6)

(6)

21

6

27

85 106

25 633

110 739

13 87

(182) (680)

21 79

38 52

(141) (98)

(42) (582)

191

658

849

100

(862)

100

50

(239)

(623)

FINAL

Table A-7

Existing Child Care Demand and Supply in 2015 in East Palo Alto

San Mateo County Child Care Study - 2016

Note All footnote references can be found in Table C-1 at the end of this file Sources 2010 US Census ABAG Projections 2013 2014 American Community Survey ACS Journey-to-Work data 2006-2008 and 2006-2010

Child Care Coordinating Council of San Mateo County (4Cs) Community Care Licensing Brion Economics Inc

Prepared by Brion Economics Inc 2513-SMC NA Final Tables 61216 6122016

FOSTER CITY

Child Care as of 2015

No of

Providers

Under 2 Years

Old

2 to 4 Year

Olds

Total 0 to 4

Years

EXISTING DEMAND Child Care Demand

Estimated Total Children

Average LFPRAdjustment Factor

Children With Working Parents

Licensed Care Demand Factor

Resident Children Needing Licensed Care

of Total Resident Children Needing Licensed Care

Children from Non-Resident Employees Needing

Licensed Care

(1)

(2)

(3)

836 1277

63

528 1108

37

195 1035

23 81

73 110

2113

1636

75

1231

58

183

Total Demand for Child Care Spaces

Distribution

EXISTING SUPPLY (4)

268 1145

19 81

Child Care Spaces

1414

100

Family Child Care Home Supply

Child Care Center Supply

Current Child Care Supply

Distribution

EXISTING SURPLUS(SHORTAGE)

Distribution

Percentage of Demand Met

by Existing FacilitiesSpaces

Shortage of Family Child Care Home Spaces

Shortage of Center-Based Spaces

(5)

(6)

(6)

29

12

41

118 149

88 1200

206 1349

13 87

(62) 203

NA NA

77 118

(36) NA

(27) NA

267

1288

1555

100

141

NA

110

(36)

(27)

FINAL

Table A-8

Existing Child Care Demand and Supply in 2015 in Foster City

San Mateo County Child Care Study - 2016

Note All footnote references can be found in Table C-1 at the end of this file

Sources 2010 US Census ABAG Projections 2013 2014 American Community Survey ACS Journey-to-Work data 2006-2008 and 2006-2010

Child Care Coordinating Council of San Mateo County (4Cs) Community Care Licensing Brion Economics Inc

Prepared by Brion Economics Inc 2513-SMC NA Final Tables 61216 6122016

HALF MOON BAY REGION

Child Care as of 2015

No of

Providers

Under 2 Years

Old

2 to 4 Year

Olds

Total 0 to 4

Years

EXISTING DEMAND Child Care Demand

Estimated Total Children

Average LFPRAdjustment Factor

Children With Working Parents

Licensed Care Demand Factor

Resident Children Needing Licensed Care

of Total Resident Children Needing Licensed Care

Children from Non-Resident Employees Needing

Licensed Care

(1)

(2)

(3)

511 860

69

354 772

37

131 723

26 84

13 19

1371

1126

76

854

62

32

Total Demand for Child Care Spaces

Distribution

EXISTING SUPPLY (4)

144 742

16 84

Child Care Spaces

885

100

Family Child Care Home Supply

Child Care Center Supply

Current Child Care Supply

Distribution

EXISTING SURPLUS(SHORTAGE)

Distribution

Percentage of Demand Met

by Existing FacilitiesSpaces

Shortage of Family Child Care Home Spaces

Shortage of Center-Based Spaces

(5)

(6)

(6)

28

11

39

96 121

35 285

131 406

24 76

(13) (336)

4 96

91 55

(9) (100)

(3) (236)

216

320

536

100

(349)

100

61

(109)

(240)

FINAL

Table A-9

Existing Child Care Demand and Supply in 2015 in Half Moon Bay Region

San Mateo County Child Care Study - 2016

Note All footnote references can be found in Table C-1 at the end of this file

Sources 2010 US Census ABAG Projections 2013 2014 American Community Survey ACS Journey-to-Work data 2006-2008 and 2006-2010

Child Care Coordinating Council of San Mateo County (4Cs) Community Care Licensing Brion Economics Inc

Prepared by Brion Economics Inc 2513-SMC NA Final Tables 61216 6122016

HILLSBOROUGH

Child Care as of 2015

No of

Providers

Under 2 Years

Old

2 to 4 Year

Olds

Total 0 to 4

Years

EXISTING DEMAND Child Care Demand

Estimated Total Children

Average LFPRAdjustment Factor

Children With Working Parents

Licensed Care Demand Factor

Resident Children Needing Licensed Care

of Total Resident Children Needing Licensed Care

Children from Non-Resident Employees Needing

Licensed Care

(1)

(2)

(3)

138 331

52

71 284

37

26 272

19 82

7 10

469

356

84

298

64

16

Total Demand for Child Care Spaces

Distribution

EXISTING SUPPLY (4)

33 282

10 90

Child Care Spaces

315

100

Family Child Care Home Supply

Child Care Center Supply

Current Child Care Supply

Distribution

EXISTING SURPLUS(SHORTAGE)

Distribution

Percentage of Demand Met

by Existing FacilitiesSpaces

Shortage of Family Child Care Home Spaces

Shortage of Center-Based Spaces

(5)

(6)

(6)

1

4

5

5 6

- 91

5 97

5 95

(28) (185)

13 87

15 34

(28) (12)

0 (173)

11

91

102

100

(213)

100

32

(40)

(173)

FINAL

Table A-10

Existing Child Care Demand and Supply in 2015 in Hillsborough

San Mateo County Child Care Study - 2016

Note All footnote references can be found in Table C-1 at the end of this file Sources 2010 US Census ABAG Projections 2013 2014 American Community Survey ACS Journey-to-Work data 2006-2008 and 2006-2010

Child Care Coordinating Council of San Mateo County (4Cs) Community Care Licensing Brion Economics Inc

Prepared by Brion Economics Inc 2513-SMC NA Final Tables 61216 6122016

MENLO PARK

Child Care as of 2015

No of

Providers

Under 2 Years

Old

2 to 4 Year

Olds

Total 0 to 4

Years

EXISTING DEMAND Child Care Demand

Estimated Total Children

Average LFPRAdjustment Factor

Children With Working Parents

Licensed Care Demand Factor

Resident Children Needing Licensed Care

of Total Resident Children Needing Licensed Care

Children from Non-Resident Employees Needing

Licensed Care

(1)

(2)

(3)

1170 1723

69

802 1551

37

297 1458

25 85

220 332

2893

2353

75

1754

61

552

Total Demand for Child Care Spaces

Distribution

EXISTING SUPPLY (4)

516 1790

22 78

Child Care Spaces

2306

100

Family Child Care Home Supply

Child Care Center Supply

Current Child Care Supply

Distribution

EXISTING SURPLUS(SHORTAGE)

Distribution

Percentage of Demand Met

by Existing FacilitiesSpaces

Shortage of Family Child Care Home Spaces

Shortage of Center-Based Spaces

(5)

(6)

(6)

18

25

43

76 96

73 1331

149 1427

9 91

(367) (363)

50 50

29 80

(188) (24)

(180) (338)

172

1404

1576

100

(730)

100

68

(212)

(518)

FINAL

Table A-11

Existing Child Care Demand and Supply in 2015 in Menlo Park

San Mateo County Child Care Study - 2016

Note All footnote references can be found in Table C-1 at the end of this file Sources 2010 US Census ABAG Projections 2013 2014 American Community Survey ACS Journey-to-Work data 2006-2008 and 2006-2010

Child Care Coordinating Council of San Mateo County (4Cs) Community Care Licensing Brion Economics Inc

Prepared by Brion Economics Inc 2513-SMC NA Final Tables 61216 6122016

MILLBRAE

Child Care as of 2015

No of

Providers

Under 2 Years

Old

2 to 4 Year

Olds

Total 0 to 4

Years

EXISTING DEMAND Child Care Demand

Total Children

Average LFPRAdjustment Factor

Children With Working Parents

Licensed Care Demand Factor

Resident Children Needing Licensed Care

of Total Resident Children Needing Licensed Care

Children from Non-Resident Employees Needing

Licensed Care

(1)

(2)

(3)

421 717

62

260 632

37

96 598

23 83

28 42

1138

892

78

694

61

69

Total Demand for Child Care Spaces

Distribution

EXISTING SUPPLY (4)

124 640

16 84

Child Care Spaces

764

100

Family Child Care Home Supply

Child Care Center Supply

Current Child Care Supply

Distribution

EXISTING SURPLUS(SHORTAGE)

Distribution

Percentage of Demand Met

by Existing FacilitiesSpaces

Shortage of Family Child Care Home Spaces

Shortage of Center-Based Spaces

(5)

(6)

(6)

17

7

24

62 78

- 376

62 454

12 88

(61) (186)

25 75

50 71

(61) (32)

0 (154)

141

376

517

100

(247)

100

68

(93)

(154)

FINAL

Table A-12

Existing Child Care Demand and Supply in 2015 in Millbrae

San Mateo Co unty Child Care Study - 2016

Note All footnote references can be found in Table C-1 at the end of this file

Sources 2010 US Census ABAG Projections 2013 2014 American Community Survey ACS Journey-to-Work data 2006-2008 and 2006-2010

Child Care Coordinating Council of San Mateo County (4Cs) Community Care Licensing Brion Economics Inc

Prepared by Brion Economics Inc 2513-SMC NA Final Tables 61216 6122016

PACIFICA

Child Care as of 2015

No of

Providers

Under 2 Years

Old

2 to 4 Year

Olds

Total 0 to 4

Years

EXISTING DEMAND Child Care Demand

Estimated Total Children

Average LFPRAdjustment Factor

Children With Working Parents

Licensed Care Demand Factor

Resident Children Needing Licensed Care

of Total Resident Children Needing Licensed Care

Children from Non-Resident Employees Needing

Licensed Care

(1)

(2)

(3)

787 1253

78

610 1165

37

226 1089

29 87

18 27

2040

1776

74

1315

64

45

Total Demand for Child Care Spaces

Distribution

EXISTING SUPPLY (4)

244 1117

18 83

Child Care Spaces

1360

100

Family Child Care Home Supply

Child Care Center Supply

Current Child Care Supply

Distribution

EXISTING SURPLUS(SHORTAGE)

Distribution

Percentage of Demand Met

by Existing FacilitiesSpaces

Shortage of Family Child Care Home Spaces

Shortage of Center-Based Spaces

(5)

(6)

(6)

21

18

39

77 97

39 701

116 798

13 87

(128) (319)

29 71

48 71

(85) (39)

(43) (280)

174

740

914

100

(447)

100

67

(124)

(323)

FINAL

Table A-13

Existing Child Care Demand and Supply in 2015 in Pacifica

San Mateo County Child Care Study - 2016

Note All footnote references can be found in Table C-1 at the end of this file Sources 2010 US Census ABAG Projections 2013 2014 American Community Survey ACS Journey-to-Work data 2006-2008 and 2006-2010

Child Care Coordinating Council of San Mateo County (4Cs) Community Care Licensing Brion Economics Inc

Prepared by Brion Economics Inc 2513-SMC NA Final Tables 61216 6122016

PORTOLA VALLEY

No of

Providers

Child Care as of 2015

Under 2 Years

Old

2 to 4 Year

Olds

Total 0 to 4

Years

EXISTING DEMAND Child Care Demand

Estimated Total Children

Average LFPRAdjustment Factor

Children With Working Parents

Licensed Care Demand Factor

Resident Children Needing Licensed Care

of Total Resident Children Needing Licensed Care

Children from Non-Resident Employees Needing

Licensed Care

(1)

(2)

(3)

75 187

66

49 168

37

18 159

24 85

8 12

261

217

82

177

68

21

Total Demand for Child Care Spaces

Distribution

EXISTING SUPPLY (4)

26 171

13 87

Child Care Spaces

198

100

Family Child Care Home Supply

Child Care Center Supply

Current Child Care Supply

Distribution

EXISTING SURPLUS(SHORTAGE)

Distribution

Percentage of Demand Met

by Existing FacilitiesSpaces

Shortage of Family Child Care Home Spaces

Shortage of Center-Based Spaces

(5)

(6)

(6)

0

4

4

0 0

0 153

0 153

0 100

(26) (18)

59 41

0 89

0 0

(26) (18)

0

153

153

100

(45)

100

77

0

(45)

FINAL

Table A-14

Existing Child Care Demand and Supply in 2015 in Portola Valley

San Mateo County Child Care Study - 2016

Note All footnote references can be found in Table C-1 at the end of this file Sources 2010 US Census ABAG Projections 2013 2014 American Community Survey ACS Journey-to-Work data 2006-2008 and 2006-2010

Child Care Coordinating Council of San Mateo County (4Cs) Community Care Licensing Brion Economics Inc

Prepared by Brion Economics Inc 2513-SMC NA Final Tables 61216 6122016

REDWOOD CITY

Child Care as of 2015

No of

Providers

Under 2 Years

Old

2 to 4 Year

Olds

Total 0 to 4

Years

EXISTING DEMAND Child Care Demand

Estimated Total Children

Average LFPRAdjustment Factor

Children With Working Parents

Licensed Care Demand Factor

Resident Children Needing Licensed Care

of Total Resident Children Needing Licensed Care

Children from Non-Resident Employees Needing

Licensed Care

Total Demand for Child Care Spaces

Distribution

EXISTING SUPPLY

(1)

(2)

(3)

(4)

3260 4706

69

2236 4212

37

827 3942

25 84

414 625

1241 4567

21 79

Child Care Spaces

7966

6449

74

4770

60

1038

5808

100

Family Child Care Home Supply

Child Care Center Supply

Current Child Care Supply

Distribution

EXISTING SURPLUS(SHORTAGE)

Distribution

Percentage of Demand Met

by Existing FacilitiesSpaces

Shortage of Family Child Care Home Spaces

Shortage of Center-Based Spaces

(5)

(6)

(6)

111

45

156

396 497

356 2036

752 2533

23 77

(490) (2034)

19 81

61 55

(258) (399)

(232) (1635)

893

2392

3285

100

(2524)

100

57

(657)

(1867)

FINAL

Table A-15

Existing Child Care Demand and Supply in 2015 in Redwood City

San Mateo County Child Care Study - 2016

Note All footnote references can be found in Table C-1 at the end of this file Sources 2010 US Census ABAG Projections 2013 2014 American Community Survey ACS Journey-to-Work data 2006-2008 and 2006-2010

Child Care Coordinating Council of San Mateo County (4Cs) Community Care Licensing Brion Economics Inc

Prepared by Brion Economics Inc 2513-SMC NA Final Tables 61216 6122016

SAN BRUNO

Child Care as of 2015

No of

Providers

Under 2 Years

Old

2 to 4 Year

Olds

Total 0 to 4

Years

EXISTING DEMAND Child Care Demand

Estimated Total Children

Average LFPRAdjustment Factor

Children With Working Parents

Licensed Care Demand Factor

Resident Children Needing Licensed Care

of Total Resident Children Needing Licensed Care

Children from Non-Resident Employees Needing

Licensed Care

(1)

(2)

(3)

1069 1553

77

817 1428

37

302 1326

28 85

61 92

2622

2245

73

1628

62

153

Total Demand for Child Care Spaces

Distribution

EXISTING SUPPLY (4)

364 1418

20 80

Child Care Spaces

1782

100

Family Child Care Home Supply

Child Care Center Supply

Current Child Care Supply

Distribution

EXISTING SURPLUS(SHORTAGE)

Distribution

Percentage of Demand Met

by Existing FacilitiesSpaces

Shortage of Family Child Care Home Spaces

Shortage of Center-Based Spaces

(5)

(6)

(6)

34

15

49

122 153

26 1183

148 1336

10 90

(216) (82)

72 28

41 94

(178) (9)

(38) (73)

275

1209

1484

100

(298)

100

83

(187)

(110)

FINAL

Table A-16

Existing Child Care Demand and Supply in 2015 in San Bruno

San Mateo County Child Care Study - 2016

Note All footnote references can be found in Table C-1 at the end of this file Sources 2010 US Census ABAG Projections 2013 2014 American Community Survey ACS Journey-to-Work data 2006-2008 and 2006-2010

Child Care Coordinating Council of San Mateo County (4Cs) Community Care Licensing Brion Economics Inc

Prepared by Brion Economics Inc 2513-SMC NA Final Tables 61216 6122016

SAN CARLOS

Child Care as of 2015

No of

Providers

Under 2 Years

Old

2 to 4 Year

Olds

Total 0 to 4

Years

EXISTING DEMAND Child Care Demand

Estimated Total Children

Average LFPRAdjustment Factor

Children With Working Parents

Licensed Care Demand Factor

Resident Children Needing Licensed Care

of Total Resident Children Needing Licensed Care

Children from Non-Resident Employees Needing

Licensed Care

(1)

(2)

(3)

735 1308

72

526 1186

37

195 1109

26 85

75 114

2043

1712

76

1304

64

189

Total Demand for Child Care Spaces

Distribution

EXISTING SUPPLY (4)

270 1222

18 82

Child Care Spaces

1492

100

Family Child Care Home Supply

Child Care Center Supply

Current Child Care Supply

Distribution

EXISTING SURPLUS(SHORTAGE)

Distribution

Percentage of Demand Met

by Existing FacilitiesSpaces

Shortage of Family Child Care Home Spaces

Shortage of Center-Based Spaces

(5)

(6)

(6)

20

14

34

73 92

76 615

149 707

17 83

(121) (516)

19 81

55 58

(59) (67)

(62) (449)

164

691

855

100

(637)

100

57

(126)

(511)

FINAL

Table A-17

Existing Child Care Demand and Supply in 2015 in San Carlos

San Mateo County Child Care Study - 2016

Note All footnote references can be found in Table C-1 at the end of this file

Sources 2010 US Census ABAG Projections 2013 2014 American Community Survey ACS Journey-to-Work data 2006-2008 and 2006-2010

Child Care Coordinating Council of San Mateo County (4Cs) Community Care Licensing Brion Economics Inc

Prepared by Brion Economics Inc 2513-SMC NA Final Tables 61216 6122016

SAN MATEO

Child Care as of 2015

No of

Providers

Under 2 Years

Old

2 to 4 Year

Olds

Total 0 to 4

Years

EXISTING DEMAND Child Care Demand

Estimated Total Children

Average LFPRAdjustment Factor

Children With Working Parents

Licensed Care Demand Factor

Resident Children Needing Licensed Care

of Total Resident Children Needing Licensed Care

Children from Non-Resident Employees Needing

Licensed Care

(1)

(2)

(3)

2943 4213

71

2087 3793

37

772 3537

26 84

231 348

7156

5880

73

4309

60

579

Total Demand for Child Care Spaces

Distribution

EXISTING SUPPLY (4)

1003 3886

21 79

Child Care Spaces

4889

100

Family Child Care Home Supply

Child Care Center Supply

Current Child Care Supply

Distribution

EXISTING SURPLUS(SHORTAGE)

Distribution

Percentage of Demand Met

by Existing FacilitiesSpaces

Shortage of Family Child Care Home Spaces

Shortage of Center-Based Spaces

(5)

(6)

(6)

126

59

185

492 619

209 2577

701 3196

18 82

(302) (690)

30 70

70 82

(212) (134)

(90) (557)

1111

2786

3897

100

(992)

100

80

(345)

(647)

FINAL

Table A-18

Existing Child Care Demand and Supply in 2015 in San Mateo

San Mateo County Child Care Study - 2016

Note All footnote references can be found in Table C-1 at the end of this file

Sources 2010 US Census ABAG Projections 2013 2014 American Community Survey ACS Journey-to-Work data 2006-2008 and 2006-2010

Child Care Coordinating Council of San Mateo County (4Cs) Community Care Licensing Brion Economics Inc

Prepared by Brion Economics Inc 2513-SMC NA Final Tables 61216 6122016

SOUTH COAST

Child Care as of 2015

No of

Providers

Under 2 Years

Old

2 to 4 Year

Olds

Total 0 to 4

Years

EXISTING DEMAND Child Care Demand

Estimated Total Children

Average LFPRAdjustment Factor

Children With Working Parents

Licensed Care Demand Factor

Resident Children Needing Licensed Care

of Total Resident Children Needing Licensed Care

Children from Non-Resident Employees Needing

Licensed Care

(1)

(2)

(3)

21 29

54

11 25

37

4 23

20 81

0 0

50

36

77

28

56

0

Total Demand for Child Care Spaces

Distribution

EXISTING SUPPLY (4)

4 23

15 85

Child Care Spaces

28

100

Family Child Care Home Supply

Child Care Center Supply

Current Child Care Supply

Distribution

EXISTING SURPLUS(SHORTAGE)

Distribution

Percentage of Demand Met

by Existing FacilitiesSpaces

Shortage of Family Child Care Home Spaces

Shortage of Center-Based Spaces

(5)

(6)

(6)

-

2

2

- -

- 54

- 54

0 100

(4) 31

-16 116

0 230

(2) NA

(2) NA

0

54

54

100

26

100

195

(2)

(2)

FINAL

Table A-19

Existing Child Care Demand and Supply in 2015 in South Coast

San Mateo County Child Care Study - 2016

Note All footnote references can be found in Table C-1 at the end of this file

Sources 2010 US Census ABAG Projections 2013 2014 American Community Survey ACS Journey-to-Work data 2006-2008 and 2006-2010

Child Care Coordinating Council of San Mateo County (4Cs) Community Care Licensing Brion Economics Inc

Prepared by Brion Economics Inc 2513-SMC NA Final Tables 61216 6122016

SOUTH SAN FRANCISCO

Child Care as of 2015

No of

Providers

Under 2 Years

Old

2 to 4 Year

Olds

Total 0 to 4

Years

EXISTING DEMAND Child Care Demand

Estimated Total Children

Average LFPRAdjustment Factor

Children With Working Parents

Licensed Care Demand Factor

Resident Children Needing Licensed Care

of Total Resident Children Needing Licensed Care

Children from Non-Resident Employees Needing

Licensed Care

(1)

(2)

(3)

1649 2507

73

1206 2278

37

446 2123

27 85

309 466

4156

3484

74

2569

62

774

Total Demand for Child Care Spaces

Distribution

EXISTING SUPPLY (4)

755 2588

23 77

Child Care Spaces

3343

100

Family Child Care Home Supply

Child Care Center Supply

Current Child Care Supply

Distribution

EXISTING SURPLUS(SHORTAGE)

Distribution

Percentage of Demand Met

by Existing FacilitiesSpaces

Shortage of Family Child Care Home Spaces

Shortage of Center-Based Spaces

(5)

(6)

(6)

68

27

95

252 317

400 1966

652 2283

22 78

(103) (306)

25 75

86 88

(40) (42)

(63) (263)

569

2366

2935

100

(408)

100

88

(82)

(326)

FINAL

Table A-20

Existing Child Care Demand and Supply in 2015 in South San Francisco

San Mateo County Child Care Study - 2016

Note All footnote references can be found in Table C-1 at the end of this file Sources 2010 US Census ABAG Projections 2013 2014 American Community Survey ACS Journey-to-Work data 2006-2008 and 2006-2010

Child Care Coordinating Council of San Mateo County (4Cs) Community Care Licensing Brion Economics Inc

Prepared by Brion Economics Inc 2513-SMC NA Final Tables 61216 6122016

WOODSIDE

No of

Providers

Child Care as of 2015

Under 2 Years

Old

2 to 4 Year

Olds

Total 0 to 4

Years

EXISTING DEMAND Child Care Demand

Estimated Total Children

Average LFPRAdjustment Factor

Children With Working Parents

Licensed Care Demand Factor

Resident Children Needing Licensed Care

of Total Resident Children Needing Licensed Care

Children from Non-Resident Employees Needing

Licensed Care

(1)

(2)

(3)

90 160

56

50 136

37

18 128

21 80

8 13

250

186

79

147

59

21

Total Demand for Child Care Spaces

Distribution

EXISTING SUPPLY (4)

27 141

16 84

Child Care Spaces

168

100

Family Child Care Home Supply

Child Care Center Supply

Current Child Care Supply

Distribution

EXISTING SURPLUS(SHORTAGE)

Distribution

Percentage of Demand Met

by Existing FacilitiesSpaces

Shortage of Family Child Care Home Spaces

Shortage of Center-Based Spaces

(5)

(6)

(6)

1

2

3

4 5

0 103

4 108

4 96

(23) (33)

41 59

16 77

(23) (2)

0 (31)

9

103

112

100

(55)

100

67

(24)

(31)

FINAL

Table A-21

Existing Child Care Demand and Supply in 2015 in Woodside

San Mateo County Child Care Study - 2016

Note All footnote references can be found in Table C-1 at the end of this file Sources 2010 US Census ABAG Projections 2013 2014 American Community Survey ACS Journey-to-Work data 2006-2008 and 2006-2010

Child Care Coordinating Council of San Mateo County (4Cs) Community Care Licensing Brion Economics Inc

Prepared by Brion Economics Inc 2513-SMC NA Final Tables 61216 6122016

COUNTYWIDE

Child Care as of 2025

No of

Providers

Under 2 Years

Old

2 to 4 Year

Olds

Total 0 to 4

Years

EXISTING DEMAND Child Care Demand

Estimated Total Children

Average LFPRAdjustment Factor

Children With Working Parents

Licensed Care Demand Factor

Resident Children Needing Licensed Care

of Total Resident Children Needing Licensed Care

Children from Non-Resident Employees Needing

Licensed Care

Total Demand for Child Care Spaces

Distribution

EXISTING SUPPLY

(1)

(2)

(3)

(4)

20790 31340

71

14704 28273

37

5441 26432

26 84

2037 3074

7478 29506

20 80

Child Care Spaces

52130

42978

86

31873

61

5112

36984

100

Family Child Care Home Supply

Child Care Center Supply

Current Child Care Supply

Distribution

EXISTING SURPLUS(SHORTAGE)

Distribution

Percentage of Demand Met

by Existing FacilitiesSpaces

Shortage of Family Child Care Home Spaces

Shortage of Center-Based Spaces

(5)

(6)

(6)

621

309

930

2301 2893

1514 16296

3815 19189

17 83

(3663) (10318)

26 74

51 65

(2209) (1555)

(1454) (8762)

5193

17810

23003

100

(13981)

100

62

(3765)

(10216)

FINAL

Table B-1

Future C hild Care Demand and Supply in 2025 Countywide

San Mateo County Child Care Study - 2016

Note All footnote references can be found in Table C-1 at the end of this file

Sources 2010 US Census ABAG Projections 2013 2014 American Community Survey ACS Journey-to-Work data 2006-2008 and 2006-2010

Child Care Coordinating Council of San Mateo County (4Cs) Community Care Licensing Brion Economics Inc

Prepared by Brion Economics Inc 2513-SMC NA Final Tables 61216 6122016

ATHERTON

No of

Providers

Child Care as of 2025

Under 2 Years

Old

2 to 4 Year

Olds

Total 0 to 4

Years

EXISTING DEMAND Child Care Demand

Estimated Total Children

Average LFPRAdjustment Factor

Children With Working Parents

Licensed Care Demand Factor

Resident Children Needing Licensed Care

of Total Resident Children Needing Licensed Care

Children from Non-Resident Employees Needing

Licensed Care

(1)

(2)

(3)

109 193

40

43 159

37

16 154

15 80

13 19

302

202

84

170

56

32

Total Demand for Child Care Spaces

Distribution

EXISTING SUPPLY (4)

29 173

14 86

Child Care Spaces

201

100

Family Child Care Home Supply

Child Care Center Supply

Current Child Care Supply

Distribution

EXISTING SURPLUS(SHORTAGE)

Distribution

Percentage of Demand Met

by Existing FacilitiesSpaces

Shortage of Family Child Care Home Spaces

Shortage of Center-Based Spaces

(5)

(6)

(6)

1

6

7

5 6

24 267

29 273

10 90

0 101

0 100

101 158

NA NA

NA NA

11

291

302

100

101

100

150

NA

NA

FINAL

Table B-2

Future Child Care Demand and Supply in 2025 in Atherton

San Mateo Co unty Child Care Study - 2016

Note All footnote references can be found in Table C-1 at the end of this file Sources 2010 US Census ABAG Projections 2013 2014 American Community Survey ACS Journey-to-Work data 2006-2008 and 2006-2010

Child Care Coordinating Council of San Mateo County (4Cs) Community Care Licensing Brion Economics Inc

Prepared by Brion Economics Inc 2513-SMC NA Final Tables 61216 6122016

BELMONT

Child Care as of 2025

No of

Providers

Under 2 Years

Old

2 to 4 Year

Olds

Total 0 to 4

Years

EXISTING DEMAND Child Care Demand

Estimated Total Children

Average LFPRAdjustment Factor

Children With Working Parents

Licensed Care Demand Factor

Resident Children Needing Licensed Care

of Total Resident Children Needing Licensed Care

Children from Non-Resident Employees Needing

Licensed Care

(1)

(2)

(3)

743 1095

77

574 1013

37

213 943

29 86

37 56

1838

1587

73

1156

63

93

Total Demand for Child Care Spaces

Distribution

EXISTING SUPPLY (4)

250 999

20 80

Child Care Spaces

1249

100

Family Child Care Home Supply

Child Care Center Supply

Current Child Care Supply

Distribution

EXISTING SURPLUS(SHORTAGE)

Distribution

Percentage of Demand Met

by Existing FacilitiesSpaces

Shortage of Family Child Care Home Spaces

Shortage of Center-Based Spaces

(5)

(6)

(6)

8

9

17

67 84

39 531

106 615

15 85

(143) (384)

27 73

43 62

(91) (53)

(53) (331)

152

570

722

100

(527)

100

58

(143)

(384)

FINAL

Table B-3

Future Child Care Demand and Supply in 2025 in Belmont

San Mateo County Child Care Study - 2016

Note All footnote references can be found in Table C-1 at the end of this file

Sources 2010 US Census ABAG Projections 2013 2014 American Community Survey ACS Journey-to-Work data 2006-2008 and 2006-2010

Child Care Coordinating Council of San Mateo County (4Cs) Community Care Licensing Brion Economics Inc

Prepared by Brion Economics Inc 2513-SMC NA Final Tables 61216 6122016

BRISBANE

Child Care as of 2025

No of

Providers

Under 2 Years

Old

2 to 4 Year

Olds

Total 0 to 4

Years

EXISTING DEMAND Child Care Demand

Estimated Total Children

Average LFPRAdjustment Factor

Children With Working Parents

Licensed Care Demand Factor

Resident Children Needing Licensed Care

of Total Resident Children Needing Licensed Care

Children from Non-Resident Employees Needing

Licensed Care

(1)

(2)

(3)

131 174

100

131 174

37

48 160

37 92

55 83

305

305

68

209

68

138

Total Demand for Child Care Spaces

Distribution

EXISTING SUPPLY (4)

103 243

30 70

Child Care Spaces

346

100

Family Child Care Home Supply

Child Care Center Supply

Current Child Care Supply

Distribution

EXISTING SURPLUS(SHORTAGE)

Distribution

Percentage of Demand Met

by Existing FacilitiesSpaces

Shortage of Family Child Care Home Spaces

Shortage of Center-Based Spaces

(5)

(6)

(6)

1

1

2

4 5

0 64

4 69

6 94

(99) (174)

36 64

4 29

(99) (13)

0 (160)

9

64

73

100

(273)

100

21

(112)

(160)

FINAL

Table B-4

Future Child Care Demand and Supply in 2025 in Brisbane

San Mateo County Child Care Study - 2016

Note All footnote references can be found in Table C-1 at the end of this file Sources 2010 US Census ABAG Projections 2013 2014 American Community Survey ACS Journey-to-Work data 2006-2008 and 2006-2010

Child Care Coordinating Council of San Mateo County (4Cs) Community Care Licensing Brion Economics Inc

Prepared by Brion Economics Inc 2513-SMC NA Final Tables 61216 6122016

BURLINGAME

Child Care as of 2025

No of

Providers

Under 2 Years

Old

2 to 4 Year

Olds

Total 0 to 4

Years

EXISTING DEMAND Child Care Demand

Estimated Total Children

Average LFPRAdjustment Factor

Children With Working Parents

Licensed Care Demand Factor

Resident Children Needing Licensed Care

of Total Resident Children Needing Licensed Care

Children from Non-Resident Employees Needing

Licensed Care

(1)

(2)

(3)

903 1332

65

587 1190

37

217 1124

24 84

154 232

2235

1777

75

1341

60

385

Total Demand for Child Care Spaces

Distribution

EXISTING SUPPLY (4)

371 1356

21 79

Child Care Spaces

1726

100

Family Child Care Home Supply

Child Care Center Supply

Current Child Care Supply

Distribution

EXISTING SURPLUS(SHORTAGE)

Distribution

Percentage of Demand Met

by Existing FacilitiesSpaces

Shortage of Family Child Care Home Spaces

Shortage of Center-Based Spaces

(5)

(6)

(6)

10

14

24

79 99

40 866

119 965

11 89

(252) (390)

39 61

32 71

(167) (40)

(85) (350)

179

906

1085

100

(642)

100

63

(207)

(434)

FINAL

Table B-5

Future Child Care Demand and Supply in 2025 in Burlingame

San Mateo County Child Care Study - 2016

Note All footnote references can be found in Table C-1 at the end of this file

Sources 2010 US Census ABAG Projections 2013 2014 American Community Survey ACS Journey-to-Work data 2006-2008 and 2006-2010

Child Care Coordinating Council of San Mateo County (4Cs) Community Care Licensing Brion Economics Inc

Prepared by Brion Economics Inc 2513-SMC NA Final Tables 61216 6122016

DALY CITYCOLMA

Child Care as of 2025

No of

Providers

Under 2 Years

Old

2 to 4 Year

Olds

Total 0 to 4

Years

EXISTING DEMAND Child Care Demand

Estimated Total Children

Average LFPRAdjustment Factor

Children With Working Parents

Licensed Care Demand Factor

Resident Children Needing Licensed Care

of Total Resident Children Needing Licensed Care

Children from Non-Resident Employees Needing

Licensed Care

(1)

(2)

(3)

2647 3793

74

1964 3467

37

727 3233

27 85

138 208

6440

5432

73

3960

61

346

Total Demand for Child Care Spaces

Distribution

EXISTING SUPPLY (4)

865 3441

20 80

Child Care Spaces

4306

100

Family Child Care Home Supply

Child Care Center Supply

Current Child Care Supply

Distribution

EXISTING SURPLUS(SHORTAGE)

Distribution

Percentage of Demand Met

by Existing FacilitiesSpaces

Shortage of Family Child Care Home Spaces

Shortage of Center-Based Spaces

(5)

(6)

(6)

25

28

28

288 362

84 1264

372 1626

19 81

(493) (1816)

21 79

43 47

(381) (404)

(111) (1412)

649

1348

1997

100

(2308)

100

46

(785)

(1523)

FINAL

Table B-6

Future C hild Care Demand and Supply in 2025 in Daly CityColma

San Mateo County Child Care Study - 2016

Note All footnote references can be found in Table C-1 at the end of this file

Sources 2010 US Census ABAG Projections 2013 2014 American Community Survey ACS Journey-to-Work data 2006-2008 and 2006-2010

Child Care Coordinating Council of San Mateo County (4Cs) Community Care Licensing Brion Economics Inc

Prepared by Brion Economics Inc 2513-SMC NA Final Tables 61216 6122016

EAST PALO ALTO

Child Care as of 2025

No of

Providers

Under 2 Years

Old

2 to 4 Year

Olds

Total 0 to 4

Years

EXISTING DEMAND Child Care Demand

Estimated Total Children

Average LFPRAdjustment Factor

Children With Working Parents

Licensed Care Demand Factor

Resident Children Needing Licensed Care

of Total Resident Children Needing Licensed Care

Children from Non-Resident Employees Needing

Licensed Care

(1)

(2)

(3)

1161 1849

71

822 1660

37

304 1545

26 84

20 30

3010

2482

75

1849

61

50

Total Demand for Child Care Spaces

Distribution

EXISTING SUPPLY (4)

324 1575

17 83

Child Care Spaces

1900

100

Family Child Care Home Supply

Child Care Center Supply

Current Child Care Supply

Distribution

EXISTING SURPLUS(SHORTAGE)

Distribution

Percentage of Demand Met

by Existing FacilitiesSpaces

Shortage of Family Child Care Home Spaces

Shortage of Center-Based Spaces

(5)

(6)

(6)

13

6

19

85 106

25 633

110 739

13 87

(215) (836)

20 80

34 47

(166) (120)

(49) (715)

191

658

849

100

(1050)

100

45

(286)

(764)

FINAL

Table B-7

Future Child Care Demand and Supply in 2025 in East Palo Alto

San Mateo County Child Care Study - 2016

Note All footnote references can be found in Table C-1 at the end of this file

Sources 2010 US Census ABAG Projections 2013 2014 American Community Survey ACS Journey-to-Work data 2006-2008 and 2006-2010

Child Care Coordinating Council of San Mateo County (4Cs) Community Care Licensing Brion Economics Inc

Prepared by Brion Economics Inc 2513-SMC NA Final Tables 61216 6122016

FOSTER CITY

Child Care as of 2025

No of

Providers

Under 2 Years

Old

2 to 4 Year

Olds

Total 0 to 4

Years

EXISTING DEMAND Child Care Demand

Estimated Total Children

Average LFPRAdjustment Factor

Children With Working Parents

Licensed Care Demand Factor

Resident Children Needing Licensed Care

of Total Resident Children Needing Licensed Care

Children from Non-Resident Employees Needing

Licensed Care

(1)

(2)

(3)

871 1330

63

550 1154

37

204 1079

23 81

80 120

2201

1705

75

1282

58

200

Total Demand for Child Care Spaces

Distribution

EXISTING SUPPLY (4)

283 1199

19 81

Child Care Spaces

1483

100

Family Child Care Home Supply

Child Care Center Supply

Current Child Care Supply

Distribution

EXISTING SURPLUS(SHORTAGE)

Distribution

Percentage of Demand Met

by Existing FacilitiesSpaces

Shortage of Family Child Care Home Spaces

Shortage of Center-Based Spaces

(5)

(6)

(6)

19

12

31

118 149

88 1200

206 1349

13 87

(77) 150

-106 206

73 112

(44) NA

(33) NA

267

1288

1555

100

73

100

105

(44)

(33)

FINAL

Table B-8

Future Child Care Demand and Supply in 2025 in Foster City

San Mateo County Child Care Study - 2016

Note All footnote references can be found in Table C-1 at the end of this file

Sources 2010 US Census ABAG Projections 2013 2014 American Community Survey ACS Journey-to-Work data 2006-2008 and 2006-2010

Child Care Coordinating Council of San Mateo County (4Cs) Community Care Licensing Brion Economics Inc

Prepared by Brion Economics Inc 2513-SMC NA Final Tables 61216 6122016

HALF MOON BAY REGION

Child Care as of 2025

No of

Providers

Under 2 Years

Old

2 to 4 Year

Olds

Total 0 to 4

Years

EXISTING DEMAND Child Care Demand

Estimated Total Children

Average LFPRAdjustment Factor

Children With Working Parents

Licensed Care Demand Factor

Resident Children Needing Licensed Care

of Total Resident Children Needing Licensed Care

Children from Non-Resident Employees Needing

Licensed Care

(1)

(2)

(3)

553 929

69

383 835

37

142 781

26 84

14 21

1482

1217

76

923

62

34

Total Demand for Child Care Spaces

Distribution

EXISTING SUPPLY (4)

155 802

16 84

Child Care Spaces

957

100

Family Child Care Home Supply

Child Care Center Supply

Current Child Care Supply

Distribution

EXISTING SURPLUS(SHORTAGE)

Distribution

Percentage of Demand Met

by Existing FacilitiesSpaces

Shortage of Family Child Care Home Spaces

Shortage of Center-Based Spaces

(5)

(6)

(6)

10

11

21

96 121

35 285

131 406

24 76

(24) (396)

6 94

84 51

(18) (118)

(6) (279)

216

320

536

100

(421)

100

56

(136)

(285)

FINAL

Table B-9

Future Child Care Demand and Supply in 2025 in Half Moon Bay Region

San Mateo County Child Care Study - 2016

Note All footnote references can be found in Table C-1 at the end of this file

Sources 2010 US Census ABAG Projections 2013 2014 American Community Survey ACS Journey-to-Work data 2006-2008 and 2006-2010

Child Care Coordinating Council of San Mateo County (4Cs) Community Care Licensing Brion Economics Inc

Prepared by Brion Economics Inc 2513-SMC NA Final Tables 61216 6122016

HILLSBOROUGH

Child Care as of 2025

No of

Providers

Under 2 Years

Old

2 to 4 Year

Olds

Total 0 to 4

Years

EXISTING DEMAND Child Care Demand

Estimated Total Children

Average LFPRAdjustment Factor

Children With Working Parents

Licensed Care Demand Factor

Resident Children Needing Licensed Care

of Total Resident Children Needing Licensed Care

Children from Non-Resident Employees Needing

Licensed Care

(1)

(2)

(3)

143 343

52

74 295

37

27 282

19 82

7 11

487

369

84

309

64

17

Total Demand for Child Care Spaces

Distribution

EXISTING SUPPLY (4)

34 292

10 90

Child Care Spaces

327

100

Family Child Care Home Supply

Child Care Center Supply

Current Child Care Supply

Distribution

EXISTING SURPLUS(SHORTAGE)

Distribution

Percentage of Demand Met

by Existing FacilitiesSpaces

Shortage of Family Child Care Home Spaces

Shortage of Center-Based Spaces

(5)

(6)

(6)

1

4

5

5 6

- 91

5 97

5 95

(29) (195)

13 87

14 33

(29) (12)

0 (183)

11

91

102

100

(225)

100

31

(42)

(183)

FINAL

Table B-10

Future Child Care Demand and Supply in 2025 in Hillsborough

San Mateo County Child Care Study - 2016

Note All footnote references can be found in Table C-1 at the end of this file

Sources 2010 US Census ABAG Projections 2013 2014 American Community Survey ACS Journey-to-Work data 2006-2008 and 2006-2010

Child Care Coordinating Council of San Mateo County (4Cs) Community Care Licensing Brion Economics Inc

Prepared by Brion Economics Inc 2513-SMC NA Final Tables 61216 6122016

MENLO PARK

Child Care as of 2025

No of

Providers

Under 2 Years

Old

2 to 4 Year

Olds

Total 0 to 4

Years

EXISTING DEMAND Child Care Demand

Estimated Total Children

Average LFPRAdjustment Factor

Children With Working Parents

Licensed Care Demand Factor

Resident Children Needing Licensed Care

of Total Resident Children Needing Licensed Care

Children from Non-Resident Employees Needing

Licensed Care

(1)

(2)

(3)

1327 1954

69

909 1759

37

336 1653

25 85

237 357

3281

2668

75

1989

61

594

Total Demand for Child Care Spaces

Distribution

EXISTING SUPPLY (4)

573 2011

22 78

Child Care Spaces

2584

100

Family Child Care Home Supply

Child Care Center Supply

Current Child Care Supply

Distribution

EXISTING SURPLUS(SHORTAGE)

Distribution

Percentage of Demand Met

by Existing FacilitiesSpaces

Shortage of Family Child Care Home Spaces

Shortage of Center-Based Spaces

(5)

(6)

(6)

15

25

40

76 96

73 1331

149 1427

9 91

(424) (584)

42 58

26 71

(217) (39)

(207) (544)

172

1404

1576

100

(1008)

100

61

(256)

(752)

FINAL

Table B-11

Future Child Care Demand and Supply in 2025 in Menlo Park

San Mateo County Child Care Study - 2016

Note All footnote references can be found in Table C-1 at the end of this file

Sources 2010 US Census ABAG Projections 2013 2014 American Community Survey ACS Journey-to-Work data 2006-2008 and 2006-2010

Child Care Coordinating Council of San Mateo County (4Cs) Community Care Licensing Brion Economics Inc

Prepared by Brion Economics Inc 2513-SMC NA Final Tables 61216 6122016

MILLBRAE

Child Care as of 2025

No of

Providers

Under 2 Years

Old

2 to 4 Year

Olds

Total 0 to 4

Years

EXISTING DEMAND Child Care Demand

Estimated Total Children

Average LFPRAdjustment Factor

Children With Working Parents

Licensed Care Demand Factor

Resident Children Needing Licensed Care

of Total Resident Children Needing Licensed Care

Children from Non-Resident Employees Needing

Licensed Care

(1)

(2)

(3)

473 805

62

291 710

37

108 672

23 83

31 47

1278

1001

78

780

61

77

Total Demand for Child Care Spaces

Distribution

EXISTING SUPPLY (4)

139 718

16 84

Child Care Spaces

857

100

Family Child Care Home Supply

Child Care Center Supply

Current Child Care Supply

Distribution

EXISTING SURPLUS(SHORTAGE)

Distribution

Percentage of Demand Met

by Existing FacilitiesSpaces

Shortage of Family Child Care Home Spaces

Shortage of Center-Based Spaces

(5)

(6)

(6)

7

7

14

62 78

- 376

62 454

12 88

(76) (264)

22 78

45 63

(76) (46)

0 (219)

141

376

517

100

(340)

100

60

(122)

(219)

FINAL

Table B-12

Future C hild Care Demand and Supply in 2025 in Millbrae

San Mateo County Child Care Study - 2016

Note All footnote references can be found in Table C-1 at the end of this file

Sources 2010 US Census ABAG Projections 2013 2014 American Community Survey ACS Journey-to-Work data 2006-2008 and 2006-2010

Child Care Coordinating Council of San Mateo County (4Cs) Community Care Licensing Brion Economics Inc

Prepared by Brion Economics Inc 2513-SMC NA Final Tables 61216 6122016

FINAL

Table B-13

Future Child Care Demand and Supply in 2025 in Pacifica

San Mateo County Child Care Study - 2016

PACIFICA

Child Care as of 2025

No of

Providers

Under 2 Years

Old

2 to 4 Year

Olds

Total 0 to 4

Years

EXISTING DEMAND Child Care Demand

Estimated Total Children

Average L FPRAdjustment Factor

Children With Working Parents

Licensed Care Demand Factor

Resident Children Needing Licensed Care

of Total Resident Children Needing Licensed Care

Children from Non-Resident Employees Needing

Licensed Care

(1)

(2)

(3)

816 1300

78

633 1209

37

234 1130

29 87

19 29

2116

1842

74

1364

64

48

Total Demand for Child Care Spaces

Distribution

EXISTING SUPPLY (4)

254 1159

18 82

Child Care Spaces

1413

100

Family Child Care Home Supply

Child Care Center Supply

Current Child Care Supply

Distribution

EXISTING SURPLUS(SHORTAGE)

Distribution

Percentage of Demand Met

by Existing FacilitiesSpaces

Shortage of Family Child Care Home Spaces

Shortage of Center-Based Spaces

(5)

(6)

(6)

9

18

27

77 97

39 701

116 798

13 87

(138) (361)

28 72

46 69

(91) (44)

(46) (317)

174

740

914

100

(499)

100

65

(135)

(364)

Note All footnote references can be found in Table C-1 at the end of this file

Sources 2010 US Census ABAG Projections 2013 2014 American Community Survey ACS Journey-to-Work data 2006-2008 and 2006-2010

Child Care Coordinating Council of San Mateo County (4Cs) Community Care Licensing Brion Economics Inc

Prepared by Brion Economics Inc 2513-SMC NA Final Tables 61216 6122016

PORTOLA VALLEY

Child Care as of 2025

No of

Providers

Under 2 Years

Old

2 to 4 Year

Olds

Total 0 to 4

Years

EXISTING DEMAND Child Care Demand

Estimated Total Children

Average LFPRAdjustment Factor

Children With Working Parents

Licensed Care Demand Factor

Resident Children Needing Licensed Care

of Total Resident Children Needing Licensed Care

Children from Non-Resident Employees Needing

Licensed Care

(1)

(2)

(3)

77 192

66

51 173

37

19 164

24 85

9 13

269

224

82

182

68

22

Total Demand for Child Care Spaces

Distribution

EXISTING SUPPLY (4)

28 177

13 87

Child Care Spaces

204

100

Family Child Care Home Supply

Child Care Center Supply

Current Child Care Supply

Distribution

EXISTING SURPLUS(SHORTAGE)

Distribution

Percentage of Demand Met

by Existing FacilitiesSpaces

Shortage of Family Child Care Home Spaces

Shortage of Center-Based Spaces

(5)

(6)

(6)

0

4

4

- -

- 153

- 153

0 100

(28) (24)

54 46

0 87

0 0

(28) (24)

0

153

153

100

(51)

100

75

0

(51)

FINAL

Table B-14

Future Child Care Demand and Supply in 2025 in Portola Valley

San Mateo County Child Care Study - 2016

Note All footnote references can be found in Table C-1 at the end of this file

Sources 2010 US Census ABAG Projections 2013 2014 American Community Survey ACS Journey-to-Work data 2006-2008 and 2006-2010

Child Care Coordinating Council of San Mateo County (4Cs) Community Care Licensing Brion Economics Inc

Prepared by Brion Economics Inc 2513-SMC NA Final Tables 61216 6122016

REDWOOD CITY

No of

Providers

Child Care as of 2025

Under 2 Years

Old

2 to 4 Year

Olds

Total 0 to 4

Years

EXISTING DEMAND Child Care Demand

Estimated Total Children

Average LFPRAdjustment Factor

Children With Working Parents

Licensed Care Demand Factor

Resident Children Needing Licensed Care

of Total Resident Children Needing Licensed Care

Children from Non-Resident Employees Needing

Licensed Care

Total Demand for Child Care Spaces

Distribution

EXISTING SUPPLY

(1)

(2)

(3)

(4)

3725 5378

69

2555 4813

37

946 4505

25 84

466 703

1411 5208

21 79

Child Care Spaces

9103

7368

74

5450

60

1169

6619

100

Family Child Care Home Supply

Child Care Center Supply

Current Child Care Supply

Distribution

EXISTING SURPLUS(SHORTAGE)

Distribution

Percentage of Demand Met

by Existing FacilitiesSpaces

Shortage of Family Child Care Home Spaces

Shortage of Center-Based Spaces

(5)

(6)

(6)

42

41

83

396 497

356 2036

752 2533

23 77

(660) (2674)

20 80

53 49

(347) (525)

(313) (2149)

893

2392

3285

100

(3334)

100

50

(872)

(2462)

FINAL

Table B-15

Future Child Care Demand and Supply in 2025 in Redwood City

San Mateo County Child Care Study - 2016

Note All footnote references can be found in Table C-1 at the end of this file

Sources 2010 US Census ABAG Projections 2013 2014 American Community Survey ACS Journey-to-Work data 2006-2008 and 2006-2010

Child Care Coordinating Council of San Mateo County (4Cs) Community Care Licensing Brion Economics Inc

Prepared by Brion Economics Inc 2513-SMC NA Final Tables 61216 6122016

SAN BRUNO

Child Care as of 2025

No of

Providers

Under 2 Years

Old

2 to 4 Year

Olds

Total 0 to 4

Years

EXISTING DEMAND Child Care Demand

Estimated Total Children

Average LFPRAdjustment Factor

Children With Working Parents

Licensed Care Demand Factor

Resident Children Needing Licensed Care

of Total Resident Children Needing Licensed Care

Children from Non-Resident Employees Needing

Licensed Care

(1)

(2)

(3)

1189 1728

77

910 1589

37

337 1475

28 85

68 103

2917

2498

73

1812

62

171

Total Demand for Child Care Spaces

Distribution

EXISTING SUPPLY (4)

405 1578

20 80

Child Care Spaces

1983

100

Family Child Care Home Supply

Child Care Center Supply

Current Child Care Supply

Distribution

EXISTING SURPLUS(SHORTAGE)

Distribution

Percentage of Demand Met

by Existing FacilitiesSpaces

Shortage of Family Child Care Home Spaces

Shortage of Center-Based Spaces

(5)

(6)

(6)

13

15

28

122 153

26 1183

148 1336

10 90

(257) (242)

52 48

37 85

(212) (28)

(45) (214)

275

1209

1484

100

(499)

100

75

(239)

(259)

FINAL

Table B-16

Future C hild Care Demand and Supply in 2025 in San Bruno

San Mateo County Child Care Study - 2016

Note All footnote references can be found in Table C-1 at the end of this file

Sources 2010 US Census ABAG Projections 2013 2014 American Community Survey ACS Journey-to-Work data 2006-2008 and 2006-2010

Child Care Coordinating Council of San Mateo County (4Cs) Community Care Licensing Brion Economics Inc

Prepared by Brion Economics Inc 2513-SMC NA Final Tables 61216 6122016

SAN CARLOS

Child Care as of 2025

No of

Providers

Under 2 Years

Old

2 to 4 Year

Olds

Total 0 to 4

Years

EXISTING DEMAND Child Care Demand

Estimated Total Children

Average LFPRAdjustment Factor

Children With Working Parents

Licensed Care Demand Factor

Resident Children Needing Licensed Care

of Total Resident Children Needing Licensed Care

Children from Non-Resident Employees Needing

Licensed Care

(1)

(2)

(3)

778 1384

72

557 1255

37

206 1174

26 85

82 123

2162

1812

76

1380

64

205

Total Demand for Child Care Spaces

Distribution

EXISTING SUPPLY (4)

288 1297

18 82

Child Care Spaces

1585

100

Family Child Care Home Supply

Child Care Center Supply

Current Child Care Supply

Distribution

EXISTING SURPLUS(SHORTAGE)

Distribution

Percentage of Demand Met

by Existing FacilitiesSpaces

Shortage of Family Child Care Home Spaces

Shortage of Center-Based Spaces

(5)

(6)

(6)

28

14

42

73 92

76 615

149 707

17 83

(139) (590)

19 81

52 54

(68) (76)

(71) (514)

164

691

855

100

(729)

100

54

(145)

(585)

FINAL

Table B-17

Future Child Care Demand and Supply in 2025 in San Carlos

San Mateo County Child Care Study - 2016

Note All footnote references can be found in Table C-1 at the end of this file

Sources 2010 US Census ABAG Projections 2013 2014 American Community Survey ACS Journey-to-Work data 2006-2008 and 2006-2010

Child Care Coordinating Council of San Mateo County (4Cs) Community Care Licensing Brion Economics Inc

Prepared by Brion Economics Inc 2513-SMC NA Final Tables 61216 6122016

SAN MATEO

Child Care as of 2025

No of

Providers

Under 2 Years

Old

2 to 4 Year

Olds

Total 0 to 4

Years

EXISTING DEMAND Child Care Demand

Estimated Total Children

Average LFPRAdjustment Factor

Children With Working Parents

Licensed Care Demand Factor

Resident Children Needing Licensed Care

of Total Resident Children Needing Licensed Care

Children from Non-Resident Employees Needing

Licensed Care

(1)

(2)

(3)

3194 4572

71

2264 4116

37

838 3839

26 84

261 394

7766

6381

73

4677

60

656

Total Demand for Child Care Spaces

Distribution

EXISTING SUPPLY (4)

1099 4233

21 79

Child Care Spaces

5332

100

Family Child Care Home Supply

Child Care Center Supply

Current Child Care Supply

Distribution

EXISTING SURPLUS(SHORTAGE)

Distribution

Percentage of Demand Met

by Existing FacilitiesSpaces

Shortage of Family Child Care Home Spaces

Shortage of Center-Based Spaces

(5)

(6)

(6)

69

59

128

492 619

209 2577

701 3196

18 82

(398) (1037)

28 72

64 75

(279) (201)

(119) (837)

1111

2786

3897

100

(1435)

100

73

(480)

(955)

FINAL

Table B-18

Future Child Care Demand and Supply in 2025 in San Mateo

San Mateo County Child Care Study - 2016

Note All footnote references can be found in Table C-1 at the end of this file

Sources 2010 US Census ABAG Projections 2013 2014 American Community Survey ACS Journey-to-Work data 2006-2008 and 2006-2010

Child Care Coordinating Council of San Mateo County (4Cs) Community Care Licensing Brion Economics Inc

Prepared by Brion Economics Inc 2513-SMC NA Final Tables 61216 6122016

FINAL

Table B-19

Future Child Care Demand and Supply in 2025 in South Coast

San Mateo County Child Care Study - 2016

SOUTH COAST

Child Care as of 2025

No of

Providers

Under 2 Years

Old

2 to 4 Year

Olds

Total 0 to 4

Years

EXISTING DEMAND Child Care Demand

Estimated Total Children (1) 23 32 55

Average LFPRAdjustment Factor (2) 54

Children With Working Parents 12 27 40

Licensed Care Demand Factor (3) 37 77

Resident Children Needing Licensed Care 5 26 30

of Total Resident Children Needing Licensed Care 20 81 56

Children from Non-Resident Employees Needing

Licensed Care 0 0 0

Total Demand for Child Care Spaces 5 26 30

Distribution 15 85 100

EXISTING SUPPLY (4) Child Care Spaces

Family Child Care Home Supply - 0 0 0

Child Care Center Supply 2 0 54 54

Current Child Care Supply 2 - 54 54

Distribution 0 100 100

EXISTING SURPLUS(SHORTAGE) (5) 28 24

Distribution -19 119 100

Percentage of Demand Met

by Existing FacilitiesSpaces (5) 0 209 177

Shortage of Family Child Care Home Spaces (6) 0 NA 0

Shortage of Center-Based Spaces (6) (5) NA (5)

Note All footnote references can be found in Table C-1 at the end of this file

Sources 2010 US Census ABAG Projections 2013 2014 American Community Survey ACS Journey-to-Work data 2006-2008 and 2006-2010

Child Care Coordinating Council of San Mateo County (4Cs) Community Care Licensing Brion Economics Inc

Prepared by Brion Economics Inc 2513-SMC NA Final Tables 61216 6122016

SOUTH SAN FRANCISCO

Child Care as of 2025

No of

Providers

Under 2 Years

Old

2 to 4 Year

Olds

Total 0 to 4

Years

EXISTING DEMAND Child Care Demand

Estimated Total Children

Average LFPRAdjustment Factor

Children With Working Parents

Licensed Care Demand Factor

Resident Children Needing Licensed Care

of Total Resident Children Needing Licensed Care

Children from Non-Resident Employees Needing

Licensed Care

(1)

(2)

(3)

1835 2790

73

1342 2535

37

496 2362

27 85

339 512

4625

3877

74

2859

62

851

Total Demand for Child Care Spaces

Distribution

EXISTING SUPPLY (4)

835 2874

23 77

Child Care Spaces

3709

100

Family Child Care Home Supply

Child Care Center Supply

Current Child Care Supply

Distribution

EXISTING SURPLUS(SHORTAGE)

Distribution

Percentage of Demand Met

by Existing FacilitiesSpaces

Shortage of Family Child Care Home Spaces

Shortage of Center-Based Spaces

(5)

(6)

(6)

30

27

57

252 317

400 1966

652 2283

22 78

(183) (591)

24 76

78 79

(71) (82)

(113) (509)

569

2366

2935

100

(775)

100

79

(153)

(622)

FINAL

Table B-20

Future Child Care Demand and Supply in 2025 in South San Francisco

San Mateo County Child Care Study - 2016

Note All footnote references can be found in Table C-1 at the end of this file

Sources 2010 US Census ABAG Projections 2013 2014 American Community Survey ACS Journey-to-Work data 2006-2008 and 2006-2010

Child Care Coordinating Council of San Mateo County (4Cs) Community Care Licensing Brion Economics Inc

Prepared by Brion Economics Inc 2513-SMC NA Final Tables 61216 6122016

WOODSIDE

No of

Providers

Child Care as of 2025

Under 2 Years

Old

2 to 4 Year

Olds

Total 0 to 4

Years

EXISTING DEMAND Child Care Demand

Estimated Total Children

Average LFPRAdjustment Factor

Children With Working Parents

Licensed Care Demand Factor

Resident Children Needing Licensed Care

of Total Resident Children Needing Licensed Care

Children from Non-Resident Employees Needing

Licensed Care

(1)

(2)

(3)

93 165

56

51 140

37

19 132

21 80

9 13

258

192

79

152

59

22

Total Demand for Child Care Spaces

Distribution

EXISTING SUPPLY (4)

28 146

16 84

Child Care Spaces

174

100

Family Child Care Home Supply

Child Care Center Supply

Current Child Care Supply

Distribution

EXISTING SURPLUS(SHORTAGE)

Distribution

Percentage of Demand Met

by Existing FacilitiesSpaces

Shortage of Family Child Care Home Spaces

Shortage of Center-Based Spaces

(5)

(6)

(6)

1

2

3

4 5

- 103

4 108

4 96

(24) (38)

39 61

15 74

(24) (2)

0 (36)

9

103

112

100

(61)

100

65

(26)

(36)

FINAL

Table B-21

Future Child Care Demand and Supply in 2025 in Woodside

San Mateo County Child Care Study - 2016

Note All footnote references can be found in Table C-1 at the end of this file

Sources 2010 US Census ABAG Projections 2013 2014 American Community Survey ACS Journey-to-Work data 2006-2008 and 2006-2010

Child Care Coordinating Council of San Mateo County (4Cs) Community Care Licensing Brion Economics Inc

Prepared by Brion Economics Inc 2513-SMC NA Final Tables 61216 6122016

FINAL

Table C-1

Endnotes for Tables

San Mateo County Child Care Study - 2016

(1) Population by age is based on the percentage breakdown from the 2010 US Census and applied

to population estimates for 2015 using ABAGs Projections 2013 population data The ABAG data

for each area includes its Sphere of Influence and is not based on strict jurisdictional boundaries

(2) Labor force participation rates are from the 5-Year American Community Survey 2014 and include

children under six years old with two working parents or a single working parent For the 2- to 4-year

olds the labor force participation rate is applied to 2 year olds For 3- and 4-year olds it is assumed

that 100 need licensed care to support preschool for every child so the number of

3- and 4-year olds is not discounted by labor force participation rates

(3) Not all children with working parents are assumed to need licensed care percentage assumptions are

used to calculate the number of children requiring licensed care under each age category The

remaining children are assumed to be cared for in alternate arrangements such as by family members

nannies friends and other unlicensed care For children ages 3- and 4-years old it is assumed that

they all need care in the form of preschool

(4) Data on child care supply provided by the Child Care Coordinating Council of San Mateo County (4Cs)

and Community Care Licensing Division of the California Department of Social Services (CCLD) Data is

for June 2015

(5) Demand that calculates as less than 100 means that there is greater demand than supply percent of

demand that is over 100 means supply exceeds demand

(6) Unmet demand is broken down into shortage by type of care based on the proportion of FCCHs and

child care centers spaces available in each area If an area does not have any FCCHs or centers the

unmet demand is placed in the type of care that is available in the area (eg if there are only centers

all demand goes to centers)

Source Brion Economics Inc

Prepared by Brion Economics Inc 2513-SMC NA Final Tables 61216 6122016

DRAFT REPORT

Table C-2

Labor Force Participation Rates by CityArea

San Mateo County Child Care Study - 2016

CityArea

Labor Force

Participation Rate (1)

Atherton

Belmont

Brisbane

Burlingame

Daly CityColma

East Palo Alto

Foster City

Half Moon Bay Region

Hillsborough

Menlo Park

Millbrae

Pacifica

Portola Valley

Redwood City

San Bruno

San Carlos

San Mateo

South Coast

South San Francisco

Woodside

40

77

100

65

74

71

63

69

52

69

62

78

66

69

77

72

71

54

73

56

(1) Labor force participation rates (LFPRs) are for

families with children under age six with two

working parents or a single parent who works Sources American Community Survey 2014 5-Year

Survey Brion Economics Inc

Prepared by Brion Economics Inc 2513-SMC NA Final Tables 61216 6122016

  • 2513-SMC FINAL NA Memo-61216
  • 2513-SMC NA Final Tables 61216
Page 18: Final San Mateo County Child Care Needs … Care...Future C hild Care Demand and Supply in 2025 in Daly City/Colma San Mateo County Child Care Study - 2016 Note: All footnote references

2015

Surplus(Shortage) of Infant Surplus(Shortage) of Preschool Total Total

CityArea of Infant Spaces Demand Met of Preschool Spaces Demand Met Surplus(Shortage) Demand Met

Atherton 2 107 108 165 110 157

Belmont (130) 45 (335) 65 (465) 61

Brisbane (94) 4 (162) 30 (255) 22

Burlingame (219) 35 (271) 78 (489) 69

Daly CityColma (439) 46 (1612) 50 (2051) 49

East Palo Alto (182) 38 (680) 52 (862) 50

Foster City (62) 77 203 118 141 110

Half Moon Bay Region (1) (13) 91 (336) 55 (349) 61

Hillsborough (28) 15 (185) 34 (213) 32

Menlo Park (2) (367) 29 (363) 80 (730) 68

Millbrae (61) 50 (186) 71 (247) 0

Pacifica (128) 48 (319) 71 (447) 67

Portola Valley (26) 0 (18) 89 (45) 77

Redwood City (2) (490) 61 (2034) 55 (2524) 57

San Bruno (216) 41 (82) 94 (298) 83

San Carlos (121) 55 (516) 58 (637) 57

San Mateo (302) 70 (690) 82 (992) 80

South Coast (3) (4) 0 31 230 26 195

South San Francisco (103) 86 (306) 88 (408) 88

Woodside (23) 16 (33) 77 (55) 67

Countywide (3006) 56 (7783) 71 (10789) 68

FINAL

Table 9

Summary of Demand Met by Existing Facilities in Each Community at 2015

San Mateo County Child Care Study - 2016

Note Totals may be off slightly due to rounding

(1) Half Moon Bay Region includes the City of Half Moon Bay El Granada Montara and Moss Beach

(2) ABAG Projections have 6300 people listed as Remainder population this amount is divided equally between Menlo Park and Redwood

City given that they are surrounded by unincorporated areas

(3) South Coast includes La Honda Loma Mar and Pescadero

Sources 2010 US Census ABAG Projections 2013 Brion Economics Inc

Prepared by Brion Economics Inc 2513-SMC NA Final Tables 61216 6122016

2025

Surplus(Shortage) of Infant Surplus(Shortage) of Preschool Total Total

CityArea of Infant Spaces Demand Met of Preschool Spaces Demand Met Surplus(Shortage) Demand Met

Atherton 0 101 101 158 101 150

Belmont (143) 43 (384) 62 (527) 58

Brisbane (99) 4 (174) 29 (273) 21

Burlingame (252) 32 (390) 71 (642) 63

Daly CityColma (493) 43 (1816) 47 (2308) 46

East Palo Alto (215) 34 (836) 47 (1050) 45

Foster City (77) 73 150 112 73 105

Half Moon Bay Region (1) (24) 84 (396) 51 (421) 56

Hillsborough (29) 14 (195) 33 (225) 31

Menlo Park (2) (424) 26 (584) 71 (1008) 61

Millbrae (76) 45 (264) 63 (340) 60

Pacifica (138) 46 (361) 69 (499) 65

Portola Valley (28) 0 (24) 87 (51) 75

Redwood City (2) (660) 53 (2674) 49 (3334) 50

San Bruno (257) 37 (242) 85 (499) 75

San Carlos (139) 52 (590) 54 (729) 54

San Mateo (398) 64 (1037) 75 (1435) 73

South Coast (3) (5) 0 28 209 24 177

South San Francisco (183) 78 (591) 79 (775) 79

Woodside (24) 15 (38) 74 (61) 65

Countywide (3663) 51 (10318) 65 (13981) 62

FINAL

Table 10

Summary of Demand Met by Existing Facilities in Each Community at 2025

San Mateo County Child Care Study - 2016

Note Totals may be off slightly due to rounding

(1) Half Moon Bay Region includes the City of Half Moon Bay El Granada Montara and Moss Beach

(2) ABAG Projections have 6300 people listed as Remainder population this amount is divided equally between Menlo Park and Redwood

City given that they are surrounded by unincorporated areas

(3) South Coast includes La Honda Loma Mar and Pescadero

Sources 2010 US Census ABAG Projections 2013 Brion Economics Inc

Prepared by Brion Economics Inc 2513-SMC NA Final Tables 61216 6122016

Table 11

Number of Child Care Providers by City in 2015

San Mateo County Child Care Study - 2016

Family Child Licensed

CityArea Care Homes Centers Total

Atherton 1 6 7

Belmont 18 9 27

Brisbane 1 1 2

Burlingame 21 14 35

Daly CityColma 85 28 113

East Palo Alto 21 6 27

Foster City 29 12 41

Half Moon Bay Region (1) 28 11 39

Hillsborough 1 4 5

Menlo Park (2) 18 25 43

Millbrae 17 7 24

Pacifica 21 18 39

Portola Valley 0 4 4

Redwood City (2) 111 45 156

San Bruno 34 15 49

San Carlos 20 14 34

San Mateo 126 59 185

South Coast (3) 0 2 2

South San Francisco 68 27 95

Woodside 1 2 3

Countywide 621 309 930

FINAL

(1) Half Moon Bay Region includes the City of Half Moon Bay El Granada

Montara and Moss Beach

(2) ABAG Projections have 6300 people listed as Remainder population

this amount is divided equally between Menlo Park and Redwood City

given that they are surrounded by unincorporated areas

(3) South Coast includes La Honda Loma Mar and Pescadero

Sources Child Care Coordinating Council of San Mateo County (4Cs)

Community Care Licensing Brion Economics Inc

Prepared by Brion Economics Inc 2513-SMC NA Final Tables 61216 6122016

CityArea

Shortage

Infant

Center

Spaces

Infant care

Percentage

of Shortage

Shortage

Preschool

Center

Spaces

Preschool

Percentage

of Shortage

Total Center-

Based Space

Shortage

Atherton

Belmont

Brisbane

Burlingame

Daly CityColma

East Palo Alto

Foster City

Half Moon Bay Region

Hillsborough

Menlo Park

Millbrae

Pacifica

Portola Valley

Redwood City

San Bruno

San Carlos

San Mateo

South Coast

South San Francisco

Woodside

Countywide

NA

(48)

NA

(73)

(99)

(42)

(27)

(3)

NA

(180)

0

(43)

(26)

(232)

(38)

(62)

(90)

(2)

(63)

NA

NA

14

NA

23

7

7

100

1

NA

35

0

13

59

12

34

12

14

NA

19

NA

NA

(289)

(149)

(243)

(1253)

(582)

NA

(236)

(173)

(338)

(154)

(280)

(18)

(1635)

(73)

(449)

(557)

NA

(263)

(31)

NA

86

100

77

93

93

NA

99

100

65

100

87

41

88

66

88

86

NA

81

100

NA

(337)

(149)

(316)

(1352)

(623)

(27)

(240)

(173)

(518)

(154)

(323)

(45)

(1867)

(110)

(511)

(647)

(2)

(326)

(31)

(1193) 15 (6609) 85 (7802)

FINAL

Table 12

Summary of Shortage of Child Care Center Spaces by Age - 2015

San Mateo County Child Care Study - 2016

Sources Child Care Coordinating Council of San Mateo County (4Cs) Community Care Licensing

Brion Economics Inc

Prepared by Brion Economics Inc 2513-SMC NA Final Tables 61216 6122016

CityArea

Shortage

Infant Center

Spaces

Infant care

Percentage

of Shortage

Shortage

Preschool

Center

Spaces

Preschool

Percentage

of Shortage

Total Center-

Based Space

Shortage

Atherton

Belmont

Brisbane

Burlingame

Daly CityColma

East Palo Alto

Foster City

Half Moon Bay Region

Hillsborough

Menlo Park

Millbrae

Pacifica

Portola Valley

Redwood City

San Bruno

San Carlos

San Mateo

South Coast

South San Francisco

Woodside

Countywide

NA

(53)

NA

(85)

(111)

(49)

(33)

(6)

NA

(207)

0

(46)

(28)

(313)

(45)

(71)

(119)

(5)

(113)

0

NA

14

NA

19

7

6

100

2

NA

28

0

13

54

13

17

12

12

NA

18

NA

NA

(331)

(160)

(350)

(1412)

(715)

NA

(279)

(183)

(544)

(219)

(317)

(24)

(2149)

(214)

(514)

(837)

NA

(509)

(36)

NA

86

100

81

93

94

NA

98

100

72

100

87

46

87

83

88

88

NA

82

100

NA

(384)

(160)

(434)

(1523)

(764)

(33)

(285)

(183)

(752)

(219)

(364)

(51)

(2462)

(259)

(585)

(955)

(5)

(622)

(36)

(1454) 14 (8762) 86 (10216)

FINAL

Table 13

Summary of Shortage of Child Care Center Spaces by Age - 2025

San Mateo County Child Care Study - 2016

Sources Child Care Coordinating Council of San Mateo County (4Cs) Community Care Licensing

Brion Economics Inc

Prepared by Brion Economics Inc 2513-SMC NA Final Tables 61216 6122016

COUNTYWIDE

Child Care as of 2015

No of

Providers

Under 2 Years

Old

2 to 4 Year

Olds

Total 0 to 4

Years

EXISTING DEMAND Child Care Demand

Estimated Total Children

Average LFPRAdjustment Factor

Children With Working Parents

Licensed Care Demand Factor

Resident Children Needing Licensed Care

of Total Resident Children Needing Licensed Care

Children from Non-Resident Employees Needing

Licensed Care

Total Demand for Child Care Spaces

Distribution

EXISTING SUPPLY

(1)

(2)

(3)

(4)

19008 28678

71

13449 25720

37

4976 24188

26 84

1845 2784

6821 26971

20 80

Child Care Spaces

47686

39169

86

29164

61

4629

33792

100

Family Child Care Home Supply

Child Care Center Supply

Current Child Care Supply

Distribution

EXISTING SURPLUS(SHORTAGE)

Distribution

Percentage of Demand Met

by Existing FacilitiesSpaces

Shortage of Family Child Care Home Spaces

Shortage of Center-Based Spaces

(5)

(6)

(6)

621

309 -930

2301 2893

1514 16296 - -3815 19189

17 83

(3006) (7783)

28 72

56 71

(1813) (1173)

(1193) (6609)

5193

17810 -23003

100

(10789)

100

68

(2986)

(7802)

FINAL

Table A-1

Existing Child Care Demand and Supply in 2015 Countywide

San Mateo County Child Care Study - 2016

Note All footnote references can be found in Table C-1 at the end of this file

Sources 2010 US Census ABAG Projections 2013 2014 American Community Survey ACS Journey-to-Work data 2006-2008 and 2006-2010

Child Care Coordinating Council of San Mateo County (4Cs) Community Care Licensing Brion Economics Inc

Prepared by Brion Economics Inc 2513-SMC NA Final Tables 61216 6122016

ATHERTON

Child Care as of 2015

No of

Providers

Under 2 Years

Old

2 to 4 Year

Olds

Total 0 to 4

Years

EXISTING DEMAND Child Care Demand

Estimated Total Children

Average LFPRAdjustment Factor

Children With Working Parents

Licensed Care Demand Factor

Resident Children Needing Licensed Care

of Total Resident Children Needing Licensed Care

Children from Non-Resident Employees Needing

Licensed Care

(1)

(2)

(3)

105 185

40

42 153

37

15 147

15 80

12 18

290

194

84

163

56

29

Total Demand for Child Care Spaces

Distribution

EXISTING SUPPLY (4)

27 165

14 86

Child Care Spaces

192

100

Family Child Care Home Supply

Child Care Center Supply

Current Child Care Supply

Distribution

EXISTING SURPLUS(SHORTAGE)

Distribution

Percentage of Demand Met

by Existing FacilitiesSpaces

Shortage of Family Child Care Home Spaces

Shortage of Center-Based Spaces

(5)

(6)

(6)

1

6

7

5 6

24 267

29 273

10 90

2 108

2 98

107 165

NA NA

NA NA

11

291

302

100

110

100

157

NA

NA

FINAL

Table A-2

Existing Child Care Demand and Supply in 2015 in Atherton

San Mateo Co unty Child Care Study - 2016

Note All footnote references can be found in Table C-1 at the end of this file

Sources 2010 US Census ABAG Projections 2013 2014 American Community Survey ACS Journey-to-Work data 2006-2008 and 2006-2010

Child Care Coordinating Council of San Mateo County (4Cs) Community Care Licensing Brion Economics Inc

Prepared by Brion Economics Inc 2513-SMC NA Final Tables 61216 6122016

BELMONT

Child Care as of 2015

No of

Providers

Under 2 Years

Old

2 to 4 Year

Olds

Total 0 to 4

Years

EXISTING DEMAND Child Care Demand

Estimated Total Children

Average LFPRAdjustment Factor

Children With Working Parents

Licensed Care Demand Factor

Resident Children Needing Licensed Care

of Total Resident Children Needing Licensed Care

Children from Non-Resident Employees Needing

Licensed Care

(1)

(2)

(3)

708 1045

77

548 966

37

203 899

29 86

34 51

1753

1513

73

1102

63

85

Total Demand for Child Care Spaces

Distribution

EXISTING SUPPLY (4)

237 950

20 80

Child Care Spaces

1187

100

Family Child Care Home Supply

Child Care Center Supply

Current Child Care Supply

Distribution

EXISTING SURPLUS(SHORTAGE)

Distribution

Percentage of Demand Met

by Existing FacilitiesSpaces

Shortage of Family Child Care Home Spaces

Shortage of Center-Based Spaces

(5)

(6)

(6)

18

9

27

67 84

39 531

106 615

15 85

(130) (335)

28 72

45 65

(83) (46)

(48) (289)

152

570

722

100

(465)

100

61

(128)

(337)

FINAL

Table A-3

Existing Child Care Demand and Supply in 2015 in Belmont

San Mateo County Child Care Study - 2016

Note All footnote references can be found in Table C-1 at the end of this file Sources 2010 US Census ABAG Projections 2013 2014 American Community Survey ACS Journey-to-Work data 2006-2008 and

2006-2010 Child Care Coordinating Council of San Mateo County (4Cs) Community Care Licensing Brion Economics Inc

Prepared by Brion Economics Inc 2513-SMC NA Final Tables 61216 6122016

FINAL

Table A-4

Existing Child Care Demand and Supply in 2015 in Brisbane

San Mateo County Child Care Study - 2016

BRISBANE

Child Care as of 2015

No of

Providers

Under 2 Years

Old

2 to 4 Year

Olds

Total 0 to 4

Years

EXISTING DEMAND Child Care Demand

Estimated Total Children (1) 125 166 292

Average LFPRAdjustment Factor (2) 100

Children With Working Parents 125 166 292

Licensed Care Demand Factor (3) 37 68

Resident Children Needing Licensed Care 46 153 199

of Total Resident Children Needing Licensed Care 37 92 68

Children from Non-Resident Employees Needing

Licensed Care 52 78 129

Total Demand for Child Care Spaces 98 231 329

Distribution 30 70 100

EXISTING SUPPLY (4) Child Care Spaces

Family Child Care Home Supply 1 4 5 9

Child Care Center Supply 1 - 64 64

Current Child Care Supply 2 4 69 73

Distribution 6 94 100

EXISTING SURPLUS(SHORTAGE) (94) (162) (255)

Distribution 37 63 100

Percentage of Demand Met

by Existing FacilitiesSpaces (5) 4 30 22

Shortage of Family Child Care Home Spaces (6) (94) (12) (106)

Shortage of Center-Based Spaces (6) 0 (149) (149)

Note All footnote references can be found in Table C-1 at the end of this file

Sources 2010 US Census ABAG Projections 2013 2014 American Community Survey ACS Journey-to-Work data 2006-2008 and 2006-2010

Child Care Coordinating Council of San Mateo County (4Cs) Community Care Licensing Brion Economics Inc

Prepared by Brion Economics Inc 2513-SMC NA Final Tables 61216 6122016

BURLINGAME

Child Care as of 2015

No of

Providers

Under 2 Years

Old

2 to 4 Year

Olds

Total 0 to 4

Years

EXISTING DEMAND Child Care Demand

Estimated Total Children

Average LFPRAdjustment Factor

Children With Working Parents

Licensed Care Demand Factor

Resident Children Needing Licensed Care

of Total Resident Children Needing Licensed Care

Children from Non-Resident Employees Needing

Licensed Care

(1)

(2)

(3)

824 1216

65

535 1086

37

198 1025

24 84

140 211

2040

1621

75

1224

60

350

Total Demand for Child Care Spaces

Distribution

EXISTING SUPPLY (4)

338 1236

21 79

Child Care Spaces

1574

100

Family Child Care Home Supply

Child Care Center Supply

Current Child Care Supply

Distribution

EXISTING SURPLUS(SHORTAGE)

Distribution

Percentage of Demand Met

by Existing FacilitiesSpaces

Shortage of Family Child Care Home Spaces

Shortage of Center-Based Spaces

(5)

(6)

(6)

21

14

35

79 99

40 866

119 965

11 89

(219) (271)

45 55

35 78

(145) (28)

(73) (243)

179

906

1085

100

(489)

100

69

(173)

(316)

FINAL

Table A-5

Existing Child Care Demand and Supply in 2015 in Burlingame

San Mateo County Child Care Study - 2016

Note All footnote references can be found in Table C-1 at the end of this file

Sources 2010 US Census ABAG Projections 2013 2014 American Community Survey ACS Journey-to-Work data 2006-2008 and 2006-2010

Child Care Coordinating Council of San Mateo County (4Cs) Community Care Licensing Brion Economics Inc

Prepared by Brion Economics Inc 2513-SMC NA Final Tables 61216 6122016

DALY CITYCOLMA

Child Care as of 2015

No of

Providers

Under 2 Years

Old

2 to 4 Year

Olds

Total 0 to 4

Years

EXISTING DEMAND Child Care Demand

Estimated Total Children

Average LFPRAdjustment Factor

Children With Working Parents

Licensed Care Demand Factor

Resident Children Needing Licensed Care

of Total Resident Children Needing Licensed Care

Children from Non-Resident Employees Needing

Licensed Care

(1)

(2)

(3)

2495 3575

742

1851 3268

37

685 3047

27 85

126 190

6070

5119

73

3732

61

316

Total Demand for Child Care Spaces

Distribution

EXISTING SUPPLY (4)

811 3237

20 80

Child Care Spaces

4048

100

Family Child Care Home Supply

Child Care Center Supply

Current Child Care Supply

Distribution

EXISTING SURPLUS(SHORTAGE)

Distribution

Percentage of Demand Met

by Existing FacilitiesSpaces

Shortage of Family Child Care Home Spaces

Shortage of Center-Based Spaces

(5)

(6)

(6)

85

28

113

288 362

84 1264

372 1626

19 81

(439) (1612)

21 79

46 50

(340) (359)

(99) (1253)

649

1348

1997

100

(2051)

100

49

(698)

(1352)

FINAL

Table A-6

Existing Child Care Demand and Supply in 2015 in Daly CityColma

San Mateo Co unty Child Care Study - 2016

Note All footnote references can be found in Table C-1 at the end of this file

Sources 2010 US Census ABAG Projections 2013 2014 American Community Survey ACS Journey-to-Work data 2006-2008 and 2006-2010

Child Care Coordinating Council of San Mateo County (4Cs) Community Care Licensing Brion Economics Inc

Prepared by Brion Economics Inc 2513-SMC NA Final Tables 61216 6122016

EAST PALO ALTO

Child Care as of 2015

No of

Providers

Under 2 Years

Old

2 to 4 Year

Olds

Total 0 to 4

Years

EXISTING DEMAND Child Care Demand

Estimated Total Children

Average LFPRAdjustment Factor

Children With Working Parents

Licensed Care Demand Factor

Resident Children Needing Licensed Care

of Total Resident Children Needing Licensed Care

Children from Non-Resident Employees Needing

Licensed Care

(1)

(2)

(3)

1046 1667

71

741 1496

37

274 1392

26 84

18 27

2713

2237

75

1666

61

45

Total Demand for Child Care Spaces

Distribution

EXISTING SUPPLY (4)

292 1419

17 83

Child Care Spaces

1711

100

Family Child Care Home Supply

Child Care Center Supply

Current Child Care Supply

Distribution

EXISTING SURPLUS(SHORTAGE)

Distribution

Percentage of Demand Met

by Existing FacilitiesSpaces

Shortage of Family Child Care Home Spaces

Shortage of Center-Based Spaces

(5)

(6)

(6)

21

6

27

85 106

25 633

110 739

13 87

(182) (680)

21 79

38 52

(141) (98)

(42) (582)

191

658

849

100

(862)

100

50

(239)

(623)

FINAL

Table A-7

Existing Child Care Demand and Supply in 2015 in East Palo Alto

San Mateo County Child Care Study - 2016

Note All footnote references can be found in Table C-1 at the end of this file Sources 2010 US Census ABAG Projections 2013 2014 American Community Survey ACS Journey-to-Work data 2006-2008 and 2006-2010

Child Care Coordinating Council of San Mateo County (4Cs) Community Care Licensing Brion Economics Inc

Prepared by Brion Economics Inc 2513-SMC NA Final Tables 61216 6122016

FOSTER CITY

Child Care as of 2015

No of

Providers

Under 2 Years

Old

2 to 4 Year

Olds

Total 0 to 4

Years

EXISTING DEMAND Child Care Demand

Estimated Total Children

Average LFPRAdjustment Factor

Children With Working Parents

Licensed Care Demand Factor

Resident Children Needing Licensed Care

of Total Resident Children Needing Licensed Care

Children from Non-Resident Employees Needing

Licensed Care

(1)

(2)

(3)

836 1277

63

528 1108

37

195 1035

23 81

73 110

2113

1636

75

1231

58

183

Total Demand for Child Care Spaces

Distribution

EXISTING SUPPLY (4)

268 1145

19 81

Child Care Spaces

1414

100

Family Child Care Home Supply

Child Care Center Supply

Current Child Care Supply

Distribution

EXISTING SURPLUS(SHORTAGE)

Distribution

Percentage of Demand Met

by Existing FacilitiesSpaces

Shortage of Family Child Care Home Spaces

Shortage of Center-Based Spaces

(5)

(6)

(6)

29

12

41

118 149

88 1200

206 1349

13 87

(62) 203

NA NA

77 118

(36) NA

(27) NA

267

1288

1555

100

141

NA

110

(36)

(27)

FINAL

Table A-8

Existing Child Care Demand and Supply in 2015 in Foster City

San Mateo County Child Care Study - 2016

Note All footnote references can be found in Table C-1 at the end of this file

Sources 2010 US Census ABAG Projections 2013 2014 American Community Survey ACS Journey-to-Work data 2006-2008 and 2006-2010

Child Care Coordinating Council of San Mateo County (4Cs) Community Care Licensing Brion Economics Inc

Prepared by Brion Economics Inc 2513-SMC NA Final Tables 61216 6122016

HALF MOON BAY REGION

Child Care as of 2015

No of

Providers

Under 2 Years

Old

2 to 4 Year

Olds

Total 0 to 4

Years

EXISTING DEMAND Child Care Demand

Estimated Total Children

Average LFPRAdjustment Factor

Children With Working Parents

Licensed Care Demand Factor

Resident Children Needing Licensed Care

of Total Resident Children Needing Licensed Care

Children from Non-Resident Employees Needing

Licensed Care

(1)

(2)

(3)

511 860

69

354 772

37

131 723

26 84

13 19

1371

1126

76

854

62

32

Total Demand for Child Care Spaces

Distribution

EXISTING SUPPLY (4)

144 742

16 84

Child Care Spaces

885

100

Family Child Care Home Supply

Child Care Center Supply

Current Child Care Supply

Distribution

EXISTING SURPLUS(SHORTAGE)

Distribution

Percentage of Demand Met

by Existing FacilitiesSpaces

Shortage of Family Child Care Home Spaces

Shortage of Center-Based Spaces

(5)

(6)

(6)

28

11

39

96 121

35 285

131 406

24 76

(13) (336)

4 96

91 55

(9) (100)

(3) (236)

216

320

536

100

(349)

100

61

(109)

(240)

FINAL

Table A-9

Existing Child Care Demand and Supply in 2015 in Half Moon Bay Region

San Mateo County Child Care Study - 2016

Note All footnote references can be found in Table C-1 at the end of this file

Sources 2010 US Census ABAG Projections 2013 2014 American Community Survey ACS Journey-to-Work data 2006-2008 and 2006-2010

Child Care Coordinating Council of San Mateo County (4Cs) Community Care Licensing Brion Economics Inc

Prepared by Brion Economics Inc 2513-SMC NA Final Tables 61216 6122016

HILLSBOROUGH

Child Care as of 2015

No of

Providers

Under 2 Years

Old

2 to 4 Year

Olds

Total 0 to 4

Years

EXISTING DEMAND Child Care Demand

Estimated Total Children

Average LFPRAdjustment Factor

Children With Working Parents

Licensed Care Demand Factor

Resident Children Needing Licensed Care

of Total Resident Children Needing Licensed Care

Children from Non-Resident Employees Needing

Licensed Care

(1)

(2)

(3)

138 331

52

71 284

37

26 272

19 82

7 10

469

356

84

298

64

16

Total Demand for Child Care Spaces

Distribution

EXISTING SUPPLY (4)

33 282

10 90

Child Care Spaces

315

100

Family Child Care Home Supply

Child Care Center Supply

Current Child Care Supply

Distribution

EXISTING SURPLUS(SHORTAGE)

Distribution

Percentage of Demand Met

by Existing FacilitiesSpaces

Shortage of Family Child Care Home Spaces

Shortage of Center-Based Spaces

(5)

(6)

(6)

1

4

5

5 6

- 91

5 97

5 95

(28) (185)

13 87

15 34

(28) (12)

0 (173)

11

91

102

100

(213)

100

32

(40)

(173)

FINAL

Table A-10

Existing Child Care Demand and Supply in 2015 in Hillsborough

San Mateo County Child Care Study - 2016

Note All footnote references can be found in Table C-1 at the end of this file Sources 2010 US Census ABAG Projections 2013 2014 American Community Survey ACS Journey-to-Work data 2006-2008 and 2006-2010

Child Care Coordinating Council of San Mateo County (4Cs) Community Care Licensing Brion Economics Inc

Prepared by Brion Economics Inc 2513-SMC NA Final Tables 61216 6122016

MENLO PARK

Child Care as of 2015

No of

Providers

Under 2 Years

Old

2 to 4 Year

Olds

Total 0 to 4

Years

EXISTING DEMAND Child Care Demand

Estimated Total Children

Average LFPRAdjustment Factor

Children With Working Parents

Licensed Care Demand Factor

Resident Children Needing Licensed Care

of Total Resident Children Needing Licensed Care

Children from Non-Resident Employees Needing

Licensed Care

(1)

(2)

(3)

1170 1723

69

802 1551

37

297 1458

25 85

220 332

2893

2353

75

1754

61

552

Total Demand for Child Care Spaces

Distribution

EXISTING SUPPLY (4)

516 1790

22 78

Child Care Spaces

2306

100

Family Child Care Home Supply

Child Care Center Supply

Current Child Care Supply

Distribution

EXISTING SURPLUS(SHORTAGE)

Distribution

Percentage of Demand Met

by Existing FacilitiesSpaces

Shortage of Family Child Care Home Spaces

Shortage of Center-Based Spaces

(5)

(6)

(6)

18

25

43

76 96

73 1331

149 1427

9 91

(367) (363)

50 50

29 80

(188) (24)

(180) (338)

172

1404

1576

100

(730)

100

68

(212)

(518)

FINAL

Table A-11

Existing Child Care Demand and Supply in 2015 in Menlo Park

San Mateo County Child Care Study - 2016

Note All footnote references can be found in Table C-1 at the end of this file Sources 2010 US Census ABAG Projections 2013 2014 American Community Survey ACS Journey-to-Work data 2006-2008 and 2006-2010

Child Care Coordinating Council of San Mateo County (4Cs) Community Care Licensing Brion Economics Inc

Prepared by Brion Economics Inc 2513-SMC NA Final Tables 61216 6122016

MILLBRAE

Child Care as of 2015

No of

Providers

Under 2 Years

Old

2 to 4 Year

Olds

Total 0 to 4

Years

EXISTING DEMAND Child Care Demand

Total Children

Average LFPRAdjustment Factor

Children With Working Parents

Licensed Care Demand Factor

Resident Children Needing Licensed Care

of Total Resident Children Needing Licensed Care

Children from Non-Resident Employees Needing

Licensed Care

(1)

(2)

(3)

421 717

62

260 632

37

96 598

23 83

28 42

1138

892

78

694

61

69

Total Demand for Child Care Spaces

Distribution

EXISTING SUPPLY (4)

124 640

16 84

Child Care Spaces

764

100

Family Child Care Home Supply

Child Care Center Supply

Current Child Care Supply

Distribution

EXISTING SURPLUS(SHORTAGE)

Distribution

Percentage of Demand Met

by Existing FacilitiesSpaces

Shortage of Family Child Care Home Spaces

Shortage of Center-Based Spaces

(5)

(6)

(6)

17

7

24

62 78

- 376

62 454

12 88

(61) (186)

25 75

50 71

(61) (32)

0 (154)

141

376

517

100

(247)

100

68

(93)

(154)

FINAL

Table A-12

Existing Child Care Demand and Supply in 2015 in Millbrae

San Mateo Co unty Child Care Study - 2016

Note All footnote references can be found in Table C-1 at the end of this file

Sources 2010 US Census ABAG Projections 2013 2014 American Community Survey ACS Journey-to-Work data 2006-2008 and 2006-2010

Child Care Coordinating Council of San Mateo County (4Cs) Community Care Licensing Brion Economics Inc

Prepared by Brion Economics Inc 2513-SMC NA Final Tables 61216 6122016

PACIFICA

Child Care as of 2015

No of

Providers

Under 2 Years

Old

2 to 4 Year

Olds

Total 0 to 4

Years

EXISTING DEMAND Child Care Demand

Estimated Total Children

Average LFPRAdjustment Factor

Children With Working Parents

Licensed Care Demand Factor

Resident Children Needing Licensed Care

of Total Resident Children Needing Licensed Care

Children from Non-Resident Employees Needing

Licensed Care

(1)

(2)

(3)

787 1253

78

610 1165

37

226 1089

29 87

18 27

2040

1776

74

1315

64

45

Total Demand for Child Care Spaces

Distribution

EXISTING SUPPLY (4)

244 1117

18 83

Child Care Spaces

1360

100

Family Child Care Home Supply

Child Care Center Supply

Current Child Care Supply

Distribution

EXISTING SURPLUS(SHORTAGE)

Distribution

Percentage of Demand Met

by Existing FacilitiesSpaces

Shortage of Family Child Care Home Spaces

Shortage of Center-Based Spaces

(5)

(6)

(6)

21

18

39

77 97

39 701

116 798

13 87

(128) (319)

29 71

48 71

(85) (39)

(43) (280)

174

740

914

100

(447)

100

67

(124)

(323)

FINAL

Table A-13

Existing Child Care Demand and Supply in 2015 in Pacifica

San Mateo County Child Care Study - 2016

Note All footnote references can be found in Table C-1 at the end of this file Sources 2010 US Census ABAG Projections 2013 2014 American Community Survey ACS Journey-to-Work data 2006-2008 and 2006-2010

Child Care Coordinating Council of San Mateo County (4Cs) Community Care Licensing Brion Economics Inc

Prepared by Brion Economics Inc 2513-SMC NA Final Tables 61216 6122016

PORTOLA VALLEY

No of

Providers

Child Care as of 2015

Under 2 Years

Old

2 to 4 Year

Olds

Total 0 to 4

Years

EXISTING DEMAND Child Care Demand

Estimated Total Children

Average LFPRAdjustment Factor

Children With Working Parents

Licensed Care Demand Factor

Resident Children Needing Licensed Care

of Total Resident Children Needing Licensed Care

Children from Non-Resident Employees Needing

Licensed Care

(1)

(2)

(3)

75 187

66

49 168

37

18 159

24 85

8 12

261

217

82

177

68

21

Total Demand for Child Care Spaces

Distribution

EXISTING SUPPLY (4)

26 171

13 87

Child Care Spaces

198

100

Family Child Care Home Supply

Child Care Center Supply

Current Child Care Supply

Distribution

EXISTING SURPLUS(SHORTAGE)

Distribution

Percentage of Demand Met

by Existing FacilitiesSpaces

Shortage of Family Child Care Home Spaces

Shortage of Center-Based Spaces

(5)

(6)

(6)

0

4

4

0 0

0 153

0 153

0 100

(26) (18)

59 41

0 89

0 0

(26) (18)

0

153

153

100

(45)

100

77

0

(45)

FINAL

Table A-14

Existing Child Care Demand and Supply in 2015 in Portola Valley

San Mateo County Child Care Study - 2016

Note All footnote references can be found in Table C-1 at the end of this file Sources 2010 US Census ABAG Projections 2013 2014 American Community Survey ACS Journey-to-Work data 2006-2008 and 2006-2010

Child Care Coordinating Council of San Mateo County (4Cs) Community Care Licensing Brion Economics Inc

Prepared by Brion Economics Inc 2513-SMC NA Final Tables 61216 6122016

REDWOOD CITY

Child Care as of 2015

No of

Providers

Under 2 Years

Old

2 to 4 Year

Olds

Total 0 to 4

Years

EXISTING DEMAND Child Care Demand

Estimated Total Children

Average LFPRAdjustment Factor

Children With Working Parents

Licensed Care Demand Factor

Resident Children Needing Licensed Care

of Total Resident Children Needing Licensed Care

Children from Non-Resident Employees Needing

Licensed Care

Total Demand for Child Care Spaces

Distribution

EXISTING SUPPLY

(1)

(2)

(3)

(4)

3260 4706

69

2236 4212

37

827 3942

25 84

414 625

1241 4567

21 79

Child Care Spaces

7966

6449

74

4770

60

1038

5808

100

Family Child Care Home Supply

Child Care Center Supply

Current Child Care Supply

Distribution

EXISTING SURPLUS(SHORTAGE)

Distribution

Percentage of Demand Met

by Existing FacilitiesSpaces

Shortage of Family Child Care Home Spaces

Shortage of Center-Based Spaces

(5)

(6)

(6)

111

45

156

396 497

356 2036

752 2533

23 77

(490) (2034)

19 81

61 55

(258) (399)

(232) (1635)

893

2392

3285

100

(2524)

100

57

(657)

(1867)

FINAL

Table A-15

Existing Child Care Demand and Supply in 2015 in Redwood City

San Mateo County Child Care Study - 2016

Note All footnote references can be found in Table C-1 at the end of this file Sources 2010 US Census ABAG Projections 2013 2014 American Community Survey ACS Journey-to-Work data 2006-2008 and 2006-2010

Child Care Coordinating Council of San Mateo County (4Cs) Community Care Licensing Brion Economics Inc

Prepared by Brion Economics Inc 2513-SMC NA Final Tables 61216 6122016

SAN BRUNO

Child Care as of 2015

No of

Providers

Under 2 Years

Old

2 to 4 Year

Olds

Total 0 to 4

Years

EXISTING DEMAND Child Care Demand

Estimated Total Children

Average LFPRAdjustment Factor

Children With Working Parents

Licensed Care Demand Factor

Resident Children Needing Licensed Care

of Total Resident Children Needing Licensed Care

Children from Non-Resident Employees Needing

Licensed Care

(1)

(2)

(3)

1069 1553

77

817 1428

37

302 1326

28 85

61 92

2622

2245

73

1628

62

153

Total Demand for Child Care Spaces

Distribution

EXISTING SUPPLY (4)

364 1418

20 80

Child Care Spaces

1782

100

Family Child Care Home Supply

Child Care Center Supply

Current Child Care Supply

Distribution

EXISTING SURPLUS(SHORTAGE)

Distribution

Percentage of Demand Met

by Existing FacilitiesSpaces

Shortage of Family Child Care Home Spaces

Shortage of Center-Based Spaces

(5)

(6)

(6)

34

15

49

122 153

26 1183

148 1336

10 90

(216) (82)

72 28

41 94

(178) (9)

(38) (73)

275

1209

1484

100

(298)

100

83

(187)

(110)

FINAL

Table A-16

Existing Child Care Demand and Supply in 2015 in San Bruno

San Mateo County Child Care Study - 2016

Note All footnote references can be found in Table C-1 at the end of this file Sources 2010 US Census ABAG Projections 2013 2014 American Community Survey ACS Journey-to-Work data 2006-2008 and 2006-2010

Child Care Coordinating Council of San Mateo County (4Cs) Community Care Licensing Brion Economics Inc

Prepared by Brion Economics Inc 2513-SMC NA Final Tables 61216 6122016

SAN CARLOS

Child Care as of 2015

No of

Providers

Under 2 Years

Old

2 to 4 Year

Olds

Total 0 to 4

Years

EXISTING DEMAND Child Care Demand

Estimated Total Children

Average LFPRAdjustment Factor

Children With Working Parents

Licensed Care Demand Factor

Resident Children Needing Licensed Care

of Total Resident Children Needing Licensed Care

Children from Non-Resident Employees Needing

Licensed Care

(1)

(2)

(3)

735 1308

72

526 1186

37

195 1109

26 85

75 114

2043

1712

76

1304

64

189

Total Demand for Child Care Spaces

Distribution

EXISTING SUPPLY (4)

270 1222

18 82

Child Care Spaces

1492

100

Family Child Care Home Supply

Child Care Center Supply

Current Child Care Supply

Distribution

EXISTING SURPLUS(SHORTAGE)

Distribution

Percentage of Demand Met

by Existing FacilitiesSpaces

Shortage of Family Child Care Home Spaces

Shortage of Center-Based Spaces

(5)

(6)

(6)

20

14

34

73 92

76 615

149 707

17 83

(121) (516)

19 81

55 58

(59) (67)

(62) (449)

164

691

855

100

(637)

100

57

(126)

(511)

FINAL

Table A-17

Existing Child Care Demand and Supply in 2015 in San Carlos

San Mateo County Child Care Study - 2016

Note All footnote references can be found in Table C-1 at the end of this file

Sources 2010 US Census ABAG Projections 2013 2014 American Community Survey ACS Journey-to-Work data 2006-2008 and 2006-2010

Child Care Coordinating Council of San Mateo County (4Cs) Community Care Licensing Brion Economics Inc

Prepared by Brion Economics Inc 2513-SMC NA Final Tables 61216 6122016

SAN MATEO

Child Care as of 2015

No of

Providers

Under 2 Years

Old

2 to 4 Year

Olds

Total 0 to 4

Years

EXISTING DEMAND Child Care Demand

Estimated Total Children

Average LFPRAdjustment Factor

Children With Working Parents

Licensed Care Demand Factor

Resident Children Needing Licensed Care

of Total Resident Children Needing Licensed Care

Children from Non-Resident Employees Needing

Licensed Care

(1)

(2)

(3)

2943 4213

71

2087 3793

37

772 3537

26 84

231 348

7156

5880

73

4309

60

579

Total Demand for Child Care Spaces

Distribution

EXISTING SUPPLY (4)

1003 3886

21 79

Child Care Spaces

4889

100

Family Child Care Home Supply

Child Care Center Supply

Current Child Care Supply

Distribution

EXISTING SURPLUS(SHORTAGE)

Distribution

Percentage of Demand Met

by Existing FacilitiesSpaces

Shortage of Family Child Care Home Spaces

Shortage of Center-Based Spaces

(5)

(6)

(6)

126

59

185

492 619

209 2577

701 3196

18 82

(302) (690)

30 70

70 82

(212) (134)

(90) (557)

1111

2786

3897

100

(992)

100

80

(345)

(647)

FINAL

Table A-18

Existing Child Care Demand and Supply in 2015 in San Mateo

San Mateo County Child Care Study - 2016

Note All footnote references can be found in Table C-1 at the end of this file

Sources 2010 US Census ABAG Projections 2013 2014 American Community Survey ACS Journey-to-Work data 2006-2008 and 2006-2010

Child Care Coordinating Council of San Mateo County (4Cs) Community Care Licensing Brion Economics Inc

Prepared by Brion Economics Inc 2513-SMC NA Final Tables 61216 6122016

SOUTH COAST

Child Care as of 2015

No of

Providers

Under 2 Years

Old

2 to 4 Year

Olds

Total 0 to 4

Years

EXISTING DEMAND Child Care Demand

Estimated Total Children

Average LFPRAdjustment Factor

Children With Working Parents

Licensed Care Demand Factor

Resident Children Needing Licensed Care

of Total Resident Children Needing Licensed Care

Children from Non-Resident Employees Needing

Licensed Care

(1)

(2)

(3)

21 29

54

11 25

37

4 23

20 81

0 0

50

36

77

28

56

0

Total Demand for Child Care Spaces

Distribution

EXISTING SUPPLY (4)

4 23

15 85

Child Care Spaces

28

100

Family Child Care Home Supply

Child Care Center Supply

Current Child Care Supply

Distribution

EXISTING SURPLUS(SHORTAGE)

Distribution

Percentage of Demand Met

by Existing FacilitiesSpaces

Shortage of Family Child Care Home Spaces

Shortage of Center-Based Spaces

(5)

(6)

(6)

-

2

2

- -

- 54

- 54

0 100

(4) 31

-16 116

0 230

(2) NA

(2) NA

0

54

54

100

26

100

195

(2)

(2)

FINAL

Table A-19

Existing Child Care Demand and Supply in 2015 in South Coast

San Mateo County Child Care Study - 2016

Note All footnote references can be found in Table C-1 at the end of this file

Sources 2010 US Census ABAG Projections 2013 2014 American Community Survey ACS Journey-to-Work data 2006-2008 and 2006-2010

Child Care Coordinating Council of San Mateo County (4Cs) Community Care Licensing Brion Economics Inc

Prepared by Brion Economics Inc 2513-SMC NA Final Tables 61216 6122016

SOUTH SAN FRANCISCO

Child Care as of 2015

No of

Providers

Under 2 Years

Old

2 to 4 Year

Olds

Total 0 to 4

Years

EXISTING DEMAND Child Care Demand

Estimated Total Children

Average LFPRAdjustment Factor

Children With Working Parents

Licensed Care Demand Factor

Resident Children Needing Licensed Care

of Total Resident Children Needing Licensed Care

Children from Non-Resident Employees Needing

Licensed Care

(1)

(2)

(3)

1649 2507

73

1206 2278

37

446 2123

27 85

309 466

4156

3484

74

2569

62

774

Total Demand for Child Care Spaces

Distribution

EXISTING SUPPLY (4)

755 2588

23 77

Child Care Spaces

3343

100

Family Child Care Home Supply

Child Care Center Supply

Current Child Care Supply

Distribution

EXISTING SURPLUS(SHORTAGE)

Distribution

Percentage of Demand Met

by Existing FacilitiesSpaces

Shortage of Family Child Care Home Spaces

Shortage of Center-Based Spaces

(5)

(6)

(6)

68

27

95

252 317

400 1966

652 2283

22 78

(103) (306)

25 75

86 88

(40) (42)

(63) (263)

569

2366

2935

100

(408)

100

88

(82)

(326)

FINAL

Table A-20

Existing Child Care Demand and Supply in 2015 in South San Francisco

San Mateo County Child Care Study - 2016

Note All footnote references can be found in Table C-1 at the end of this file Sources 2010 US Census ABAG Projections 2013 2014 American Community Survey ACS Journey-to-Work data 2006-2008 and 2006-2010

Child Care Coordinating Council of San Mateo County (4Cs) Community Care Licensing Brion Economics Inc

Prepared by Brion Economics Inc 2513-SMC NA Final Tables 61216 6122016

WOODSIDE

No of

Providers

Child Care as of 2015

Under 2 Years

Old

2 to 4 Year

Olds

Total 0 to 4

Years

EXISTING DEMAND Child Care Demand

Estimated Total Children

Average LFPRAdjustment Factor

Children With Working Parents

Licensed Care Demand Factor

Resident Children Needing Licensed Care

of Total Resident Children Needing Licensed Care

Children from Non-Resident Employees Needing

Licensed Care

(1)

(2)

(3)

90 160

56

50 136

37

18 128

21 80

8 13

250

186

79

147

59

21

Total Demand for Child Care Spaces

Distribution

EXISTING SUPPLY (4)

27 141

16 84

Child Care Spaces

168

100

Family Child Care Home Supply

Child Care Center Supply

Current Child Care Supply

Distribution

EXISTING SURPLUS(SHORTAGE)

Distribution

Percentage of Demand Met

by Existing FacilitiesSpaces

Shortage of Family Child Care Home Spaces

Shortage of Center-Based Spaces

(5)

(6)

(6)

1

2

3

4 5

0 103

4 108

4 96

(23) (33)

41 59

16 77

(23) (2)

0 (31)

9

103

112

100

(55)

100

67

(24)

(31)

FINAL

Table A-21

Existing Child Care Demand and Supply in 2015 in Woodside

San Mateo County Child Care Study - 2016

Note All footnote references can be found in Table C-1 at the end of this file Sources 2010 US Census ABAG Projections 2013 2014 American Community Survey ACS Journey-to-Work data 2006-2008 and 2006-2010

Child Care Coordinating Council of San Mateo County (4Cs) Community Care Licensing Brion Economics Inc

Prepared by Brion Economics Inc 2513-SMC NA Final Tables 61216 6122016

COUNTYWIDE

Child Care as of 2025

No of

Providers

Under 2 Years

Old

2 to 4 Year

Olds

Total 0 to 4

Years

EXISTING DEMAND Child Care Demand

Estimated Total Children

Average LFPRAdjustment Factor

Children With Working Parents

Licensed Care Demand Factor

Resident Children Needing Licensed Care

of Total Resident Children Needing Licensed Care

Children from Non-Resident Employees Needing

Licensed Care

Total Demand for Child Care Spaces

Distribution

EXISTING SUPPLY

(1)

(2)

(3)

(4)

20790 31340

71

14704 28273

37

5441 26432

26 84

2037 3074

7478 29506

20 80

Child Care Spaces

52130

42978

86

31873

61

5112

36984

100

Family Child Care Home Supply

Child Care Center Supply

Current Child Care Supply

Distribution

EXISTING SURPLUS(SHORTAGE)

Distribution

Percentage of Demand Met

by Existing FacilitiesSpaces

Shortage of Family Child Care Home Spaces

Shortage of Center-Based Spaces

(5)

(6)

(6)

621

309

930

2301 2893

1514 16296

3815 19189

17 83

(3663) (10318)

26 74

51 65

(2209) (1555)

(1454) (8762)

5193

17810

23003

100

(13981)

100

62

(3765)

(10216)

FINAL

Table B-1

Future C hild Care Demand and Supply in 2025 Countywide

San Mateo County Child Care Study - 2016

Note All footnote references can be found in Table C-1 at the end of this file

Sources 2010 US Census ABAG Projections 2013 2014 American Community Survey ACS Journey-to-Work data 2006-2008 and 2006-2010

Child Care Coordinating Council of San Mateo County (4Cs) Community Care Licensing Brion Economics Inc

Prepared by Brion Economics Inc 2513-SMC NA Final Tables 61216 6122016

ATHERTON

No of

Providers

Child Care as of 2025

Under 2 Years

Old

2 to 4 Year

Olds

Total 0 to 4

Years

EXISTING DEMAND Child Care Demand

Estimated Total Children

Average LFPRAdjustment Factor

Children With Working Parents

Licensed Care Demand Factor

Resident Children Needing Licensed Care

of Total Resident Children Needing Licensed Care

Children from Non-Resident Employees Needing

Licensed Care

(1)

(2)

(3)

109 193

40

43 159

37

16 154

15 80

13 19

302

202

84

170

56

32

Total Demand for Child Care Spaces

Distribution

EXISTING SUPPLY (4)

29 173

14 86

Child Care Spaces

201

100

Family Child Care Home Supply

Child Care Center Supply

Current Child Care Supply

Distribution

EXISTING SURPLUS(SHORTAGE)

Distribution

Percentage of Demand Met

by Existing FacilitiesSpaces

Shortage of Family Child Care Home Spaces

Shortage of Center-Based Spaces

(5)

(6)

(6)

1

6

7

5 6

24 267

29 273

10 90

0 101

0 100

101 158

NA NA

NA NA

11

291

302

100

101

100

150

NA

NA

FINAL

Table B-2

Future Child Care Demand and Supply in 2025 in Atherton

San Mateo Co unty Child Care Study - 2016

Note All footnote references can be found in Table C-1 at the end of this file Sources 2010 US Census ABAG Projections 2013 2014 American Community Survey ACS Journey-to-Work data 2006-2008 and 2006-2010

Child Care Coordinating Council of San Mateo County (4Cs) Community Care Licensing Brion Economics Inc

Prepared by Brion Economics Inc 2513-SMC NA Final Tables 61216 6122016

BELMONT

Child Care as of 2025

No of

Providers

Under 2 Years

Old

2 to 4 Year

Olds

Total 0 to 4

Years

EXISTING DEMAND Child Care Demand

Estimated Total Children

Average LFPRAdjustment Factor

Children With Working Parents

Licensed Care Demand Factor

Resident Children Needing Licensed Care

of Total Resident Children Needing Licensed Care

Children from Non-Resident Employees Needing

Licensed Care

(1)

(2)

(3)

743 1095

77

574 1013

37

213 943

29 86

37 56

1838

1587

73

1156

63

93

Total Demand for Child Care Spaces

Distribution

EXISTING SUPPLY (4)

250 999

20 80

Child Care Spaces

1249

100

Family Child Care Home Supply

Child Care Center Supply

Current Child Care Supply

Distribution

EXISTING SURPLUS(SHORTAGE)

Distribution

Percentage of Demand Met

by Existing FacilitiesSpaces

Shortage of Family Child Care Home Spaces

Shortage of Center-Based Spaces

(5)

(6)

(6)

8

9

17

67 84

39 531

106 615

15 85

(143) (384)

27 73

43 62

(91) (53)

(53) (331)

152

570

722

100

(527)

100

58

(143)

(384)

FINAL

Table B-3

Future Child Care Demand and Supply in 2025 in Belmont

San Mateo County Child Care Study - 2016

Note All footnote references can be found in Table C-1 at the end of this file

Sources 2010 US Census ABAG Projections 2013 2014 American Community Survey ACS Journey-to-Work data 2006-2008 and 2006-2010

Child Care Coordinating Council of San Mateo County (4Cs) Community Care Licensing Brion Economics Inc

Prepared by Brion Economics Inc 2513-SMC NA Final Tables 61216 6122016

BRISBANE

Child Care as of 2025

No of

Providers

Under 2 Years

Old

2 to 4 Year

Olds

Total 0 to 4

Years

EXISTING DEMAND Child Care Demand

Estimated Total Children

Average LFPRAdjustment Factor

Children With Working Parents

Licensed Care Demand Factor

Resident Children Needing Licensed Care

of Total Resident Children Needing Licensed Care

Children from Non-Resident Employees Needing

Licensed Care

(1)

(2)

(3)

131 174

100

131 174

37

48 160

37 92

55 83

305

305

68

209

68

138

Total Demand for Child Care Spaces

Distribution

EXISTING SUPPLY (4)

103 243

30 70

Child Care Spaces

346

100

Family Child Care Home Supply

Child Care Center Supply

Current Child Care Supply

Distribution

EXISTING SURPLUS(SHORTAGE)

Distribution

Percentage of Demand Met

by Existing FacilitiesSpaces

Shortage of Family Child Care Home Spaces

Shortage of Center-Based Spaces

(5)

(6)

(6)

1

1

2

4 5

0 64

4 69

6 94

(99) (174)

36 64

4 29

(99) (13)

0 (160)

9

64

73

100

(273)

100

21

(112)

(160)

FINAL

Table B-4

Future Child Care Demand and Supply in 2025 in Brisbane

San Mateo County Child Care Study - 2016

Note All footnote references can be found in Table C-1 at the end of this file Sources 2010 US Census ABAG Projections 2013 2014 American Community Survey ACS Journey-to-Work data 2006-2008 and 2006-2010

Child Care Coordinating Council of San Mateo County (4Cs) Community Care Licensing Brion Economics Inc

Prepared by Brion Economics Inc 2513-SMC NA Final Tables 61216 6122016

BURLINGAME

Child Care as of 2025

No of

Providers

Under 2 Years

Old

2 to 4 Year

Olds

Total 0 to 4

Years

EXISTING DEMAND Child Care Demand

Estimated Total Children

Average LFPRAdjustment Factor

Children With Working Parents

Licensed Care Demand Factor

Resident Children Needing Licensed Care

of Total Resident Children Needing Licensed Care

Children from Non-Resident Employees Needing

Licensed Care

(1)

(2)

(3)

903 1332

65

587 1190

37

217 1124

24 84

154 232

2235

1777

75

1341

60

385

Total Demand for Child Care Spaces

Distribution

EXISTING SUPPLY (4)

371 1356

21 79

Child Care Spaces

1726

100

Family Child Care Home Supply

Child Care Center Supply

Current Child Care Supply

Distribution

EXISTING SURPLUS(SHORTAGE)

Distribution

Percentage of Demand Met

by Existing FacilitiesSpaces

Shortage of Family Child Care Home Spaces

Shortage of Center-Based Spaces

(5)

(6)

(6)

10

14

24

79 99

40 866

119 965

11 89

(252) (390)

39 61

32 71

(167) (40)

(85) (350)

179

906

1085

100

(642)

100

63

(207)

(434)

FINAL

Table B-5

Future Child Care Demand and Supply in 2025 in Burlingame

San Mateo County Child Care Study - 2016

Note All footnote references can be found in Table C-1 at the end of this file

Sources 2010 US Census ABAG Projections 2013 2014 American Community Survey ACS Journey-to-Work data 2006-2008 and 2006-2010

Child Care Coordinating Council of San Mateo County (4Cs) Community Care Licensing Brion Economics Inc

Prepared by Brion Economics Inc 2513-SMC NA Final Tables 61216 6122016

DALY CITYCOLMA

Child Care as of 2025

No of

Providers

Under 2 Years

Old

2 to 4 Year

Olds

Total 0 to 4

Years

EXISTING DEMAND Child Care Demand

Estimated Total Children

Average LFPRAdjustment Factor

Children With Working Parents

Licensed Care Demand Factor

Resident Children Needing Licensed Care

of Total Resident Children Needing Licensed Care

Children from Non-Resident Employees Needing

Licensed Care

(1)

(2)

(3)

2647 3793

74

1964 3467

37

727 3233

27 85

138 208

6440

5432

73

3960

61

346

Total Demand for Child Care Spaces

Distribution

EXISTING SUPPLY (4)

865 3441

20 80

Child Care Spaces

4306

100

Family Child Care Home Supply

Child Care Center Supply

Current Child Care Supply

Distribution

EXISTING SURPLUS(SHORTAGE)

Distribution

Percentage of Demand Met

by Existing FacilitiesSpaces

Shortage of Family Child Care Home Spaces

Shortage of Center-Based Spaces

(5)

(6)

(6)

25

28

28

288 362

84 1264

372 1626

19 81

(493) (1816)

21 79

43 47

(381) (404)

(111) (1412)

649

1348

1997

100

(2308)

100

46

(785)

(1523)

FINAL

Table B-6

Future C hild Care Demand and Supply in 2025 in Daly CityColma

San Mateo County Child Care Study - 2016

Note All footnote references can be found in Table C-1 at the end of this file

Sources 2010 US Census ABAG Projections 2013 2014 American Community Survey ACS Journey-to-Work data 2006-2008 and 2006-2010

Child Care Coordinating Council of San Mateo County (4Cs) Community Care Licensing Brion Economics Inc

Prepared by Brion Economics Inc 2513-SMC NA Final Tables 61216 6122016

EAST PALO ALTO

Child Care as of 2025

No of

Providers

Under 2 Years

Old

2 to 4 Year

Olds

Total 0 to 4

Years

EXISTING DEMAND Child Care Demand

Estimated Total Children

Average LFPRAdjustment Factor

Children With Working Parents

Licensed Care Demand Factor

Resident Children Needing Licensed Care

of Total Resident Children Needing Licensed Care

Children from Non-Resident Employees Needing

Licensed Care

(1)

(2)

(3)

1161 1849

71

822 1660

37

304 1545

26 84

20 30

3010

2482

75

1849

61

50

Total Demand for Child Care Spaces

Distribution

EXISTING SUPPLY (4)

324 1575

17 83

Child Care Spaces

1900

100

Family Child Care Home Supply

Child Care Center Supply

Current Child Care Supply

Distribution

EXISTING SURPLUS(SHORTAGE)

Distribution

Percentage of Demand Met

by Existing FacilitiesSpaces

Shortage of Family Child Care Home Spaces

Shortage of Center-Based Spaces

(5)

(6)

(6)

13

6

19

85 106

25 633

110 739

13 87

(215) (836)

20 80

34 47

(166) (120)

(49) (715)

191

658

849

100

(1050)

100

45

(286)

(764)

FINAL

Table B-7

Future Child Care Demand and Supply in 2025 in East Palo Alto

San Mateo County Child Care Study - 2016

Note All footnote references can be found in Table C-1 at the end of this file

Sources 2010 US Census ABAG Projections 2013 2014 American Community Survey ACS Journey-to-Work data 2006-2008 and 2006-2010

Child Care Coordinating Council of San Mateo County (4Cs) Community Care Licensing Brion Economics Inc

Prepared by Brion Economics Inc 2513-SMC NA Final Tables 61216 6122016

FOSTER CITY

Child Care as of 2025

No of

Providers

Under 2 Years

Old

2 to 4 Year

Olds

Total 0 to 4

Years

EXISTING DEMAND Child Care Demand

Estimated Total Children

Average LFPRAdjustment Factor

Children With Working Parents

Licensed Care Demand Factor

Resident Children Needing Licensed Care

of Total Resident Children Needing Licensed Care

Children from Non-Resident Employees Needing

Licensed Care

(1)

(2)

(3)

871 1330

63

550 1154

37

204 1079

23 81

80 120

2201

1705

75

1282

58

200

Total Demand for Child Care Spaces

Distribution

EXISTING SUPPLY (4)

283 1199

19 81

Child Care Spaces

1483

100

Family Child Care Home Supply

Child Care Center Supply

Current Child Care Supply

Distribution

EXISTING SURPLUS(SHORTAGE)

Distribution

Percentage of Demand Met

by Existing FacilitiesSpaces

Shortage of Family Child Care Home Spaces

Shortage of Center-Based Spaces

(5)

(6)

(6)

19

12

31

118 149

88 1200

206 1349

13 87

(77) 150

-106 206

73 112

(44) NA

(33) NA

267

1288

1555

100

73

100

105

(44)

(33)

FINAL

Table B-8

Future Child Care Demand and Supply in 2025 in Foster City

San Mateo County Child Care Study - 2016

Note All footnote references can be found in Table C-1 at the end of this file

Sources 2010 US Census ABAG Projections 2013 2014 American Community Survey ACS Journey-to-Work data 2006-2008 and 2006-2010

Child Care Coordinating Council of San Mateo County (4Cs) Community Care Licensing Brion Economics Inc

Prepared by Brion Economics Inc 2513-SMC NA Final Tables 61216 6122016

HALF MOON BAY REGION

Child Care as of 2025

No of

Providers

Under 2 Years

Old

2 to 4 Year

Olds

Total 0 to 4

Years

EXISTING DEMAND Child Care Demand

Estimated Total Children

Average LFPRAdjustment Factor

Children With Working Parents

Licensed Care Demand Factor

Resident Children Needing Licensed Care

of Total Resident Children Needing Licensed Care

Children from Non-Resident Employees Needing

Licensed Care

(1)

(2)

(3)

553 929

69

383 835

37

142 781

26 84

14 21

1482

1217

76

923

62

34

Total Demand for Child Care Spaces

Distribution

EXISTING SUPPLY (4)

155 802

16 84

Child Care Spaces

957

100

Family Child Care Home Supply

Child Care Center Supply

Current Child Care Supply

Distribution

EXISTING SURPLUS(SHORTAGE)

Distribution

Percentage of Demand Met

by Existing FacilitiesSpaces

Shortage of Family Child Care Home Spaces

Shortage of Center-Based Spaces

(5)

(6)

(6)

10

11

21

96 121

35 285

131 406

24 76

(24) (396)

6 94

84 51

(18) (118)

(6) (279)

216

320

536

100

(421)

100

56

(136)

(285)

FINAL

Table B-9

Future Child Care Demand and Supply in 2025 in Half Moon Bay Region

San Mateo County Child Care Study - 2016

Note All footnote references can be found in Table C-1 at the end of this file

Sources 2010 US Census ABAG Projections 2013 2014 American Community Survey ACS Journey-to-Work data 2006-2008 and 2006-2010

Child Care Coordinating Council of San Mateo County (4Cs) Community Care Licensing Brion Economics Inc

Prepared by Brion Economics Inc 2513-SMC NA Final Tables 61216 6122016

HILLSBOROUGH

Child Care as of 2025

No of

Providers

Under 2 Years

Old

2 to 4 Year

Olds

Total 0 to 4

Years

EXISTING DEMAND Child Care Demand

Estimated Total Children

Average LFPRAdjustment Factor

Children With Working Parents

Licensed Care Demand Factor

Resident Children Needing Licensed Care

of Total Resident Children Needing Licensed Care

Children from Non-Resident Employees Needing

Licensed Care

(1)

(2)

(3)

143 343

52

74 295

37

27 282

19 82

7 11

487

369

84

309

64

17

Total Demand for Child Care Spaces

Distribution

EXISTING SUPPLY (4)

34 292

10 90

Child Care Spaces

327

100

Family Child Care Home Supply

Child Care Center Supply

Current Child Care Supply

Distribution

EXISTING SURPLUS(SHORTAGE)

Distribution

Percentage of Demand Met

by Existing FacilitiesSpaces

Shortage of Family Child Care Home Spaces

Shortage of Center-Based Spaces

(5)

(6)

(6)

1

4

5

5 6

- 91

5 97

5 95

(29) (195)

13 87

14 33

(29) (12)

0 (183)

11

91

102

100

(225)

100

31

(42)

(183)

FINAL

Table B-10

Future Child Care Demand and Supply in 2025 in Hillsborough

San Mateo County Child Care Study - 2016

Note All footnote references can be found in Table C-1 at the end of this file

Sources 2010 US Census ABAG Projections 2013 2014 American Community Survey ACS Journey-to-Work data 2006-2008 and 2006-2010

Child Care Coordinating Council of San Mateo County (4Cs) Community Care Licensing Brion Economics Inc

Prepared by Brion Economics Inc 2513-SMC NA Final Tables 61216 6122016

MENLO PARK

Child Care as of 2025

No of

Providers

Under 2 Years

Old

2 to 4 Year

Olds

Total 0 to 4

Years

EXISTING DEMAND Child Care Demand

Estimated Total Children

Average LFPRAdjustment Factor

Children With Working Parents

Licensed Care Demand Factor

Resident Children Needing Licensed Care

of Total Resident Children Needing Licensed Care

Children from Non-Resident Employees Needing

Licensed Care

(1)

(2)

(3)

1327 1954

69

909 1759

37

336 1653

25 85

237 357

3281

2668

75

1989

61

594

Total Demand for Child Care Spaces

Distribution

EXISTING SUPPLY (4)

573 2011

22 78

Child Care Spaces

2584

100

Family Child Care Home Supply

Child Care Center Supply

Current Child Care Supply

Distribution

EXISTING SURPLUS(SHORTAGE)

Distribution

Percentage of Demand Met

by Existing FacilitiesSpaces

Shortage of Family Child Care Home Spaces

Shortage of Center-Based Spaces

(5)

(6)

(6)

15

25

40

76 96

73 1331

149 1427

9 91

(424) (584)

42 58

26 71

(217) (39)

(207) (544)

172

1404

1576

100

(1008)

100

61

(256)

(752)

FINAL

Table B-11

Future Child Care Demand and Supply in 2025 in Menlo Park

San Mateo County Child Care Study - 2016

Note All footnote references can be found in Table C-1 at the end of this file

Sources 2010 US Census ABAG Projections 2013 2014 American Community Survey ACS Journey-to-Work data 2006-2008 and 2006-2010

Child Care Coordinating Council of San Mateo County (4Cs) Community Care Licensing Brion Economics Inc

Prepared by Brion Economics Inc 2513-SMC NA Final Tables 61216 6122016

MILLBRAE

Child Care as of 2025

No of

Providers

Under 2 Years

Old

2 to 4 Year

Olds

Total 0 to 4

Years

EXISTING DEMAND Child Care Demand

Estimated Total Children

Average LFPRAdjustment Factor

Children With Working Parents

Licensed Care Demand Factor

Resident Children Needing Licensed Care

of Total Resident Children Needing Licensed Care

Children from Non-Resident Employees Needing

Licensed Care

(1)

(2)

(3)

473 805

62

291 710

37

108 672

23 83

31 47

1278

1001

78

780

61

77

Total Demand for Child Care Spaces

Distribution

EXISTING SUPPLY (4)

139 718

16 84

Child Care Spaces

857

100

Family Child Care Home Supply

Child Care Center Supply

Current Child Care Supply

Distribution

EXISTING SURPLUS(SHORTAGE)

Distribution

Percentage of Demand Met

by Existing FacilitiesSpaces

Shortage of Family Child Care Home Spaces

Shortage of Center-Based Spaces

(5)

(6)

(6)

7

7

14

62 78

- 376

62 454

12 88

(76) (264)

22 78

45 63

(76) (46)

0 (219)

141

376

517

100

(340)

100

60

(122)

(219)

FINAL

Table B-12

Future C hild Care Demand and Supply in 2025 in Millbrae

San Mateo County Child Care Study - 2016

Note All footnote references can be found in Table C-1 at the end of this file

Sources 2010 US Census ABAG Projections 2013 2014 American Community Survey ACS Journey-to-Work data 2006-2008 and 2006-2010

Child Care Coordinating Council of San Mateo County (4Cs) Community Care Licensing Brion Economics Inc

Prepared by Brion Economics Inc 2513-SMC NA Final Tables 61216 6122016

FINAL

Table B-13

Future Child Care Demand and Supply in 2025 in Pacifica

San Mateo County Child Care Study - 2016

PACIFICA

Child Care as of 2025

No of

Providers

Under 2 Years

Old

2 to 4 Year

Olds

Total 0 to 4

Years

EXISTING DEMAND Child Care Demand

Estimated Total Children

Average L FPRAdjustment Factor

Children With Working Parents

Licensed Care Demand Factor

Resident Children Needing Licensed Care

of Total Resident Children Needing Licensed Care

Children from Non-Resident Employees Needing

Licensed Care

(1)

(2)

(3)

816 1300

78

633 1209

37

234 1130

29 87

19 29

2116

1842

74

1364

64

48

Total Demand for Child Care Spaces

Distribution

EXISTING SUPPLY (4)

254 1159

18 82

Child Care Spaces

1413

100

Family Child Care Home Supply

Child Care Center Supply

Current Child Care Supply

Distribution

EXISTING SURPLUS(SHORTAGE)

Distribution

Percentage of Demand Met

by Existing FacilitiesSpaces

Shortage of Family Child Care Home Spaces

Shortage of Center-Based Spaces

(5)

(6)

(6)

9

18

27

77 97

39 701

116 798

13 87

(138) (361)

28 72

46 69

(91) (44)

(46) (317)

174

740

914

100

(499)

100

65

(135)

(364)

Note All footnote references can be found in Table C-1 at the end of this file

Sources 2010 US Census ABAG Projections 2013 2014 American Community Survey ACS Journey-to-Work data 2006-2008 and 2006-2010

Child Care Coordinating Council of San Mateo County (4Cs) Community Care Licensing Brion Economics Inc

Prepared by Brion Economics Inc 2513-SMC NA Final Tables 61216 6122016

PORTOLA VALLEY

Child Care as of 2025

No of

Providers

Under 2 Years

Old

2 to 4 Year

Olds

Total 0 to 4

Years

EXISTING DEMAND Child Care Demand

Estimated Total Children

Average LFPRAdjustment Factor

Children With Working Parents

Licensed Care Demand Factor

Resident Children Needing Licensed Care

of Total Resident Children Needing Licensed Care

Children from Non-Resident Employees Needing

Licensed Care

(1)

(2)

(3)

77 192

66

51 173

37

19 164

24 85

9 13

269

224

82

182

68

22

Total Demand for Child Care Spaces

Distribution

EXISTING SUPPLY (4)

28 177

13 87

Child Care Spaces

204

100

Family Child Care Home Supply

Child Care Center Supply

Current Child Care Supply

Distribution

EXISTING SURPLUS(SHORTAGE)

Distribution

Percentage of Demand Met

by Existing FacilitiesSpaces

Shortage of Family Child Care Home Spaces

Shortage of Center-Based Spaces

(5)

(6)

(6)

0

4

4

- -

- 153

- 153

0 100

(28) (24)

54 46

0 87

0 0

(28) (24)

0

153

153

100

(51)

100

75

0

(51)

FINAL

Table B-14

Future Child Care Demand and Supply in 2025 in Portola Valley

San Mateo County Child Care Study - 2016

Note All footnote references can be found in Table C-1 at the end of this file

Sources 2010 US Census ABAG Projections 2013 2014 American Community Survey ACS Journey-to-Work data 2006-2008 and 2006-2010

Child Care Coordinating Council of San Mateo County (4Cs) Community Care Licensing Brion Economics Inc

Prepared by Brion Economics Inc 2513-SMC NA Final Tables 61216 6122016

REDWOOD CITY

No of

Providers

Child Care as of 2025

Under 2 Years

Old

2 to 4 Year

Olds

Total 0 to 4

Years

EXISTING DEMAND Child Care Demand

Estimated Total Children

Average LFPRAdjustment Factor

Children With Working Parents

Licensed Care Demand Factor

Resident Children Needing Licensed Care

of Total Resident Children Needing Licensed Care

Children from Non-Resident Employees Needing

Licensed Care

Total Demand for Child Care Spaces

Distribution

EXISTING SUPPLY

(1)

(2)

(3)

(4)

3725 5378

69

2555 4813

37

946 4505

25 84

466 703

1411 5208

21 79

Child Care Spaces

9103

7368

74

5450

60

1169

6619

100

Family Child Care Home Supply

Child Care Center Supply

Current Child Care Supply

Distribution

EXISTING SURPLUS(SHORTAGE)

Distribution

Percentage of Demand Met

by Existing FacilitiesSpaces

Shortage of Family Child Care Home Spaces

Shortage of Center-Based Spaces

(5)

(6)

(6)

42

41

83

396 497

356 2036

752 2533

23 77

(660) (2674)

20 80

53 49

(347) (525)

(313) (2149)

893

2392

3285

100

(3334)

100

50

(872)

(2462)

FINAL

Table B-15

Future Child Care Demand and Supply in 2025 in Redwood City

San Mateo County Child Care Study - 2016

Note All footnote references can be found in Table C-1 at the end of this file

Sources 2010 US Census ABAG Projections 2013 2014 American Community Survey ACS Journey-to-Work data 2006-2008 and 2006-2010

Child Care Coordinating Council of San Mateo County (4Cs) Community Care Licensing Brion Economics Inc

Prepared by Brion Economics Inc 2513-SMC NA Final Tables 61216 6122016

SAN BRUNO

Child Care as of 2025

No of

Providers

Under 2 Years

Old

2 to 4 Year

Olds

Total 0 to 4

Years

EXISTING DEMAND Child Care Demand

Estimated Total Children

Average LFPRAdjustment Factor

Children With Working Parents

Licensed Care Demand Factor

Resident Children Needing Licensed Care

of Total Resident Children Needing Licensed Care

Children from Non-Resident Employees Needing

Licensed Care

(1)

(2)

(3)

1189 1728

77

910 1589

37

337 1475

28 85

68 103

2917

2498

73

1812

62

171

Total Demand for Child Care Spaces

Distribution

EXISTING SUPPLY (4)

405 1578

20 80

Child Care Spaces

1983

100

Family Child Care Home Supply

Child Care Center Supply

Current Child Care Supply

Distribution

EXISTING SURPLUS(SHORTAGE)

Distribution

Percentage of Demand Met

by Existing FacilitiesSpaces

Shortage of Family Child Care Home Spaces

Shortage of Center-Based Spaces

(5)

(6)

(6)

13

15

28

122 153

26 1183

148 1336

10 90

(257) (242)

52 48

37 85

(212) (28)

(45) (214)

275

1209

1484

100

(499)

100

75

(239)

(259)

FINAL

Table B-16

Future C hild Care Demand and Supply in 2025 in San Bruno

San Mateo County Child Care Study - 2016

Note All footnote references can be found in Table C-1 at the end of this file

Sources 2010 US Census ABAG Projections 2013 2014 American Community Survey ACS Journey-to-Work data 2006-2008 and 2006-2010

Child Care Coordinating Council of San Mateo County (4Cs) Community Care Licensing Brion Economics Inc

Prepared by Brion Economics Inc 2513-SMC NA Final Tables 61216 6122016

SAN CARLOS

Child Care as of 2025

No of

Providers

Under 2 Years

Old

2 to 4 Year

Olds

Total 0 to 4

Years

EXISTING DEMAND Child Care Demand

Estimated Total Children

Average LFPRAdjustment Factor

Children With Working Parents

Licensed Care Demand Factor

Resident Children Needing Licensed Care

of Total Resident Children Needing Licensed Care

Children from Non-Resident Employees Needing

Licensed Care

(1)

(2)

(3)

778 1384

72

557 1255

37

206 1174

26 85

82 123

2162

1812

76

1380

64

205

Total Demand for Child Care Spaces

Distribution

EXISTING SUPPLY (4)

288 1297

18 82

Child Care Spaces

1585

100

Family Child Care Home Supply

Child Care Center Supply

Current Child Care Supply

Distribution

EXISTING SURPLUS(SHORTAGE)

Distribution

Percentage of Demand Met

by Existing FacilitiesSpaces

Shortage of Family Child Care Home Spaces

Shortage of Center-Based Spaces

(5)

(6)

(6)

28

14

42

73 92

76 615

149 707

17 83

(139) (590)

19 81

52 54

(68) (76)

(71) (514)

164

691

855

100

(729)

100

54

(145)

(585)

FINAL

Table B-17

Future Child Care Demand and Supply in 2025 in San Carlos

San Mateo County Child Care Study - 2016

Note All footnote references can be found in Table C-1 at the end of this file

Sources 2010 US Census ABAG Projections 2013 2014 American Community Survey ACS Journey-to-Work data 2006-2008 and 2006-2010

Child Care Coordinating Council of San Mateo County (4Cs) Community Care Licensing Brion Economics Inc

Prepared by Brion Economics Inc 2513-SMC NA Final Tables 61216 6122016

SAN MATEO

Child Care as of 2025

No of

Providers

Under 2 Years

Old

2 to 4 Year

Olds

Total 0 to 4

Years

EXISTING DEMAND Child Care Demand

Estimated Total Children

Average LFPRAdjustment Factor

Children With Working Parents

Licensed Care Demand Factor

Resident Children Needing Licensed Care

of Total Resident Children Needing Licensed Care

Children from Non-Resident Employees Needing

Licensed Care

(1)

(2)

(3)

3194 4572

71

2264 4116

37

838 3839

26 84

261 394

7766

6381

73

4677

60

656

Total Demand for Child Care Spaces

Distribution

EXISTING SUPPLY (4)

1099 4233

21 79

Child Care Spaces

5332

100

Family Child Care Home Supply

Child Care Center Supply

Current Child Care Supply

Distribution

EXISTING SURPLUS(SHORTAGE)

Distribution

Percentage of Demand Met

by Existing FacilitiesSpaces

Shortage of Family Child Care Home Spaces

Shortage of Center-Based Spaces

(5)

(6)

(6)

69

59

128

492 619

209 2577

701 3196

18 82

(398) (1037)

28 72

64 75

(279) (201)

(119) (837)

1111

2786

3897

100

(1435)

100

73

(480)

(955)

FINAL

Table B-18

Future Child Care Demand and Supply in 2025 in San Mateo

San Mateo County Child Care Study - 2016

Note All footnote references can be found in Table C-1 at the end of this file

Sources 2010 US Census ABAG Projections 2013 2014 American Community Survey ACS Journey-to-Work data 2006-2008 and 2006-2010

Child Care Coordinating Council of San Mateo County (4Cs) Community Care Licensing Brion Economics Inc

Prepared by Brion Economics Inc 2513-SMC NA Final Tables 61216 6122016

FINAL

Table B-19

Future Child Care Demand and Supply in 2025 in South Coast

San Mateo County Child Care Study - 2016

SOUTH COAST

Child Care as of 2025

No of

Providers

Under 2 Years

Old

2 to 4 Year

Olds

Total 0 to 4

Years

EXISTING DEMAND Child Care Demand

Estimated Total Children (1) 23 32 55

Average LFPRAdjustment Factor (2) 54

Children With Working Parents 12 27 40

Licensed Care Demand Factor (3) 37 77

Resident Children Needing Licensed Care 5 26 30

of Total Resident Children Needing Licensed Care 20 81 56

Children from Non-Resident Employees Needing

Licensed Care 0 0 0

Total Demand for Child Care Spaces 5 26 30

Distribution 15 85 100

EXISTING SUPPLY (4) Child Care Spaces

Family Child Care Home Supply - 0 0 0

Child Care Center Supply 2 0 54 54

Current Child Care Supply 2 - 54 54

Distribution 0 100 100

EXISTING SURPLUS(SHORTAGE) (5) 28 24

Distribution -19 119 100

Percentage of Demand Met

by Existing FacilitiesSpaces (5) 0 209 177

Shortage of Family Child Care Home Spaces (6) 0 NA 0

Shortage of Center-Based Spaces (6) (5) NA (5)

Note All footnote references can be found in Table C-1 at the end of this file

Sources 2010 US Census ABAG Projections 2013 2014 American Community Survey ACS Journey-to-Work data 2006-2008 and 2006-2010

Child Care Coordinating Council of San Mateo County (4Cs) Community Care Licensing Brion Economics Inc

Prepared by Brion Economics Inc 2513-SMC NA Final Tables 61216 6122016

SOUTH SAN FRANCISCO

Child Care as of 2025

No of

Providers

Under 2 Years

Old

2 to 4 Year

Olds

Total 0 to 4

Years

EXISTING DEMAND Child Care Demand

Estimated Total Children

Average LFPRAdjustment Factor

Children With Working Parents

Licensed Care Demand Factor

Resident Children Needing Licensed Care

of Total Resident Children Needing Licensed Care

Children from Non-Resident Employees Needing

Licensed Care

(1)

(2)

(3)

1835 2790

73

1342 2535

37

496 2362

27 85

339 512

4625

3877

74

2859

62

851

Total Demand for Child Care Spaces

Distribution

EXISTING SUPPLY (4)

835 2874

23 77

Child Care Spaces

3709

100

Family Child Care Home Supply

Child Care Center Supply

Current Child Care Supply

Distribution

EXISTING SURPLUS(SHORTAGE)

Distribution

Percentage of Demand Met

by Existing FacilitiesSpaces

Shortage of Family Child Care Home Spaces

Shortage of Center-Based Spaces

(5)

(6)

(6)

30

27

57

252 317

400 1966

652 2283

22 78

(183) (591)

24 76

78 79

(71) (82)

(113) (509)

569

2366

2935

100

(775)

100

79

(153)

(622)

FINAL

Table B-20

Future Child Care Demand and Supply in 2025 in South San Francisco

San Mateo County Child Care Study - 2016

Note All footnote references can be found in Table C-1 at the end of this file

Sources 2010 US Census ABAG Projections 2013 2014 American Community Survey ACS Journey-to-Work data 2006-2008 and 2006-2010

Child Care Coordinating Council of San Mateo County (4Cs) Community Care Licensing Brion Economics Inc

Prepared by Brion Economics Inc 2513-SMC NA Final Tables 61216 6122016

WOODSIDE

No of

Providers

Child Care as of 2025

Under 2 Years

Old

2 to 4 Year

Olds

Total 0 to 4

Years

EXISTING DEMAND Child Care Demand

Estimated Total Children

Average LFPRAdjustment Factor

Children With Working Parents

Licensed Care Demand Factor

Resident Children Needing Licensed Care

of Total Resident Children Needing Licensed Care

Children from Non-Resident Employees Needing

Licensed Care

(1)

(2)

(3)

93 165

56

51 140

37

19 132

21 80

9 13

258

192

79

152

59

22

Total Demand for Child Care Spaces

Distribution

EXISTING SUPPLY (4)

28 146

16 84

Child Care Spaces

174

100

Family Child Care Home Supply

Child Care Center Supply

Current Child Care Supply

Distribution

EXISTING SURPLUS(SHORTAGE)

Distribution

Percentage of Demand Met

by Existing FacilitiesSpaces

Shortage of Family Child Care Home Spaces

Shortage of Center-Based Spaces

(5)

(6)

(6)

1

2

3

4 5

- 103

4 108

4 96

(24) (38)

39 61

15 74

(24) (2)

0 (36)

9

103

112

100

(61)

100

65

(26)

(36)

FINAL

Table B-21

Future Child Care Demand and Supply in 2025 in Woodside

San Mateo County Child Care Study - 2016

Note All footnote references can be found in Table C-1 at the end of this file

Sources 2010 US Census ABAG Projections 2013 2014 American Community Survey ACS Journey-to-Work data 2006-2008 and 2006-2010

Child Care Coordinating Council of San Mateo County (4Cs) Community Care Licensing Brion Economics Inc

Prepared by Brion Economics Inc 2513-SMC NA Final Tables 61216 6122016

FINAL

Table C-1

Endnotes for Tables

San Mateo County Child Care Study - 2016

(1) Population by age is based on the percentage breakdown from the 2010 US Census and applied

to population estimates for 2015 using ABAGs Projections 2013 population data The ABAG data

for each area includes its Sphere of Influence and is not based on strict jurisdictional boundaries

(2) Labor force participation rates are from the 5-Year American Community Survey 2014 and include

children under six years old with two working parents or a single working parent For the 2- to 4-year

olds the labor force participation rate is applied to 2 year olds For 3- and 4-year olds it is assumed

that 100 need licensed care to support preschool for every child so the number of

3- and 4-year olds is not discounted by labor force participation rates

(3) Not all children with working parents are assumed to need licensed care percentage assumptions are

used to calculate the number of children requiring licensed care under each age category The

remaining children are assumed to be cared for in alternate arrangements such as by family members

nannies friends and other unlicensed care For children ages 3- and 4-years old it is assumed that

they all need care in the form of preschool

(4) Data on child care supply provided by the Child Care Coordinating Council of San Mateo County (4Cs)

and Community Care Licensing Division of the California Department of Social Services (CCLD) Data is

for June 2015

(5) Demand that calculates as less than 100 means that there is greater demand than supply percent of

demand that is over 100 means supply exceeds demand

(6) Unmet demand is broken down into shortage by type of care based on the proportion of FCCHs and

child care centers spaces available in each area If an area does not have any FCCHs or centers the

unmet demand is placed in the type of care that is available in the area (eg if there are only centers

all demand goes to centers)

Source Brion Economics Inc

Prepared by Brion Economics Inc 2513-SMC NA Final Tables 61216 6122016

DRAFT REPORT

Table C-2

Labor Force Participation Rates by CityArea

San Mateo County Child Care Study - 2016

CityArea

Labor Force

Participation Rate (1)

Atherton

Belmont

Brisbane

Burlingame

Daly CityColma

East Palo Alto

Foster City

Half Moon Bay Region

Hillsborough

Menlo Park

Millbrae

Pacifica

Portola Valley

Redwood City

San Bruno

San Carlos

San Mateo

South Coast

South San Francisco

Woodside

40

77

100

65

74

71

63

69

52

69

62

78

66

69

77

72

71

54

73

56

(1) Labor force participation rates (LFPRs) are for

families with children under age six with two

working parents or a single parent who works Sources American Community Survey 2014 5-Year

Survey Brion Economics Inc

Prepared by Brion Economics Inc 2513-SMC NA Final Tables 61216 6122016

  • 2513-SMC FINAL NA Memo-61216
  • 2513-SMC NA Final Tables 61216
Page 19: Final San Mateo County Child Care Needs … Care...Future C hild Care Demand and Supply in 2025 in Daly City/Colma San Mateo County Child Care Study - 2016 Note: All footnote references

2025

Surplus(Shortage) of Infant Surplus(Shortage) of Preschool Total Total

CityArea of Infant Spaces Demand Met of Preschool Spaces Demand Met Surplus(Shortage) Demand Met

Atherton 0 101 101 158 101 150

Belmont (143) 43 (384) 62 (527) 58

Brisbane (99) 4 (174) 29 (273) 21

Burlingame (252) 32 (390) 71 (642) 63

Daly CityColma (493) 43 (1816) 47 (2308) 46

East Palo Alto (215) 34 (836) 47 (1050) 45

Foster City (77) 73 150 112 73 105

Half Moon Bay Region (1) (24) 84 (396) 51 (421) 56

Hillsborough (29) 14 (195) 33 (225) 31

Menlo Park (2) (424) 26 (584) 71 (1008) 61

Millbrae (76) 45 (264) 63 (340) 60

Pacifica (138) 46 (361) 69 (499) 65

Portola Valley (28) 0 (24) 87 (51) 75

Redwood City (2) (660) 53 (2674) 49 (3334) 50

San Bruno (257) 37 (242) 85 (499) 75

San Carlos (139) 52 (590) 54 (729) 54

San Mateo (398) 64 (1037) 75 (1435) 73

South Coast (3) (5) 0 28 209 24 177

South San Francisco (183) 78 (591) 79 (775) 79

Woodside (24) 15 (38) 74 (61) 65

Countywide (3663) 51 (10318) 65 (13981) 62

FINAL

Table 10

Summary of Demand Met by Existing Facilities in Each Community at 2025

San Mateo County Child Care Study - 2016

Note Totals may be off slightly due to rounding

(1) Half Moon Bay Region includes the City of Half Moon Bay El Granada Montara and Moss Beach

(2) ABAG Projections have 6300 people listed as Remainder population this amount is divided equally between Menlo Park and Redwood

City given that they are surrounded by unincorporated areas

(3) South Coast includes La Honda Loma Mar and Pescadero

Sources 2010 US Census ABAG Projections 2013 Brion Economics Inc

Prepared by Brion Economics Inc 2513-SMC NA Final Tables 61216 6122016

Table 11

Number of Child Care Providers by City in 2015

San Mateo County Child Care Study - 2016

Family Child Licensed

CityArea Care Homes Centers Total

Atherton 1 6 7

Belmont 18 9 27

Brisbane 1 1 2

Burlingame 21 14 35

Daly CityColma 85 28 113

East Palo Alto 21 6 27

Foster City 29 12 41

Half Moon Bay Region (1) 28 11 39

Hillsborough 1 4 5

Menlo Park (2) 18 25 43

Millbrae 17 7 24

Pacifica 21 18 39

Portola Valley 0 4 4

Redwood City (2) 111 45 156

San Bruno 34 15 49

San Carlos 20 14 34

San Mateo 126 59 185

South Coast (3) 0 2 2

South San Francisco 68 27 95

Woodside 1 2 3

Countywide 621 309 930

FINAL

(1) Half Moon Bay Region includes the City of Half Moon Bay El Granada

Montara and Moss Beach

(2) ABAG Projections have 6300 people listed as Remainder population

this amount is divided equally between Menlo Park and Redwood City

given that they are surrounded by unincorporated areas

(3) South Coast includes La Honda Loma Mar and Pescadero

Sources Child Care Coordinating Council of San Mateo County (4Cs)

Community Care Licensing Brion Economics Inc

Prepared by Brion Economics Inc 2513-SMC NA Final Tables 61216 6122016

CityArea

Shortage

Infant

Center

Spaces

Infant care

Percentage

of Shortage

Shortage

Preschool

Center

Spaces

Preschool

Percentage

of Shortage

Total Center-

Based Space

Shortage

Atherton

Belmont

Brisbane

Burlingame

Daly CityColma

East Palo Alto

Foster City

Half Moon Bay Region

Hillsborough

Menlo Park

Millbrae

Pacifica

Portola Valley

Redwood City

San Bruno

San Carlos

San Mateo

South Coast

South San Francisco

Woodside

Countywide

NA

(48)

NA

(73)

(99)

(42)

(27)

(3)

NA

(180)

0

(43)

(26)

(232)

(38)

(62)

(90)

(2)

(63)

NA

NA

14

NA

23

7

7

100

1

NA

35

0

13

59

12

34

12

14

NA

19

NA

NA

(289)

(149)

(243)

(1253)

(582)

NA

(236)

(173)

(338)

(154)

(280)

(18)

(1635)

(73)

(449)

(557)

NA

(263)

(31)

NA

86

100

77

93

93

NA

99

100

65

100

87

41

88

66

88

86

NA

81

100

NA

(337)

(149)

(316)

(1352)

(623)

(27)

(240)

(173)

(518)

(154)

(323)

(45)

(1867)

(110)

(511)

(647)

(2)

(326)

(31)

(1193) 15 (6609) 85 (7802)

FINAL

Table 12

Summary of Shortage of Child Care Center Spaces by Age - 2015

San Mateo County Child Care Study - 2016

Sources Child Care Coordinating Council of San Mateo County (4Cs) Community Care Licensing

Brion Economics Inc

Prepared by Brion Economics Inc 2513-SMC NA Final Tables 61216 6122016

CityArea

Shortage

Infant Center

Spaces

Infant care

Percentage

of Shortage

Shortage

Preschool

Center

Spaces

Preschool

Percentage

of Shortage

Total Center-

Based Space

Shortage

Atherton

Belmont

Brisbane

Burlingame

Daly CityColma

East Palo Alto

Foster City

Half Moon Bay Region

Hillsborough

Menlo Park

Millbrae

Pacifica

Portola Valley

Redwood City

San Bruno

San Carlos

San Mateo

South Coast

South San Francisco

Woodside

Countywide

NA

(53)

NA

(85)

(111)

(49)

(33)

(6)

NA

(207)

0

(46)

(28)

(313)

(45)

(71)

(119)

(5)

(113)

0

NA

14

NA

19

7

6

100

2

NA

28

0

13

54

13

17

12

12

NA

18

NA

NA

(331)

(160)

(350)

(1412)

(715)

NA

(279)

(183)

(544)

(219)

(317)

(24)

(2149)

(214)

(514)

(837)

NA

(509)

(36)

NA

86

100

81

93

94

NA

98

100

72

100

87

46

87

83

88

88

NA

82

100

NA

(384)

(160)

(434)

(1523)

(764)

(33)

(285)

(183)

(752)

(219)

(364)

(51)

(2462)

(259)

(585)

(955)

(5)

(622)

(36)

(1454) 14 (8762) 86 (10216)

FINAL

Table 13

Summary of Shortage of Child Care Center Spaces by Age - 2025

San Mateo County Child Care Study - 2016

Sources Child Care Coordinating Council of San Mateo County (4Cs) Community Care Licensing

Brion Economics Inc

Prepared by Brion Economics Inc 2513-SMC NA Final Tables 61216 6122016

COUNTYWIDE

Child Care as of 2015

No of

Providers

Under 2 Years

Old

2 to 4 Year

Olds

Total 0 to 4

Years

EXISTING DEMAND Child Care Demand

Estimated Total Children

Average LFPRAdjustment Factor

Children With Working Parents

Licensed Care Demand Factor

Resident Children Needing Licensed Care

of Total Resident Children Needing Licensed Care

Children from Non-Resident Employees Needing

Licensed Care

Total Demand for Child Care Spaces

Distribution

EXISTING SUPPLY

(1)

(2)

(3)

(4)

19008 28678

71

13449 25720

37

4976 24188

26 84

1845 2784

6821 26971

20 80

Child Care Spaces

47686

39169

86

29164

61

4629

33792

100

Family Child Care Home Supply

Child Care Center Supply

Current Child Care Supply

Distribution

EXISTING SURPLUS(SHORTAGE)

Distribution

Percentage of Demand Met

by Existing FacilitiesSpaces

Shortage of Family Child Care Home Spaces

Shortage of Center-Based Spaces

(5)

(6)

(6)

621

309 -930

2301 2893

1514 16296 - -3815 19189

17 83

(3006) (7783)

28 72

56 71

(1813) (1173)

(1193) (6609)

5193

17810 -23003

100

(10789)

100

68

(2986)

(7802)

FINAL

Table A-1

Existing Child Care Demand and Supply in 2015 Countywide

San Mateo County Child Care Study - 2016

Note All footnote references can be found in Table C-1 at the end of this file

Sources 2010 US Census ABAG Projections 2013 2014 American Community Survey ACS Journey-to-Work data 2006-2008 and 2006-2010

Child Care Coordinating Council of San Mateo County (4Cs) Community Care Licensing Brion Economics Inc

Prepared by Brion Economics Inc 2513-SMC NA Final Tables 61216 6122016

ATHERTON

Child Care as of 2015

No of

Providers

Under 2 Years

Old

2 to 4 Year

Olds

Total 0 to 4

Years

EXISTING DEMAND Child Care Demand

Estimated Total Children

Average LFPRAdjustment Factor

Children With Working Parents

Licensed Care Demand Factor

Resident Children Needing Licensed Care

of Total Resident Children Needing Licensed Care

Children from Non-Resident Employees Needing

Licensed Care

(1)

(2)

(3)

105 185

40

42 153

37

15 147

15 80

12 18

290

194

84

163

56

29

Total Demand for Child Care Spaces

Distribution

EXISTING SUPPLY (4)

27 165

14 86

Child Care Spaces

192

100

Family Child Care Home Supply

Child Care Center Supply

Current Child Care Supply

Distribution

EXISTING SURPLUS(SHORTAGE)

Distribution

Percentage of Demand Met

by Existing FacilitiesSpaces

Shortage of Family Child Care Home Spaces

Shortage of Center-Based Spaces

(5)

(6)

(6)

1

6

7

5 6

24 267

29 273

10 90

2 108

2 98

107 165

NA NA

NA NA

11

291

302

100

110

100

157

NA

NA

FINAL

Table A-2

Existing Child Care Demand and Supply in 2015 in Atherton

San Mateo Co unty Child Care Study - 2016

Note All footnote references can be found in Table C-1 at the end of this file

Sources 2010 US Census ABAG Projections 2013 2014 American Community Survey ACS Journey-to-Work data 2006-2008 and 2006-2010

Child Care Coordinating Council of San Mateo County (4Cs) Community Care Licensing Brion Economics Inc

Prepared by Brion Economics Inc 2513-SMC NA Final Tables 61216 6122016

BELMONT

Child Care as of 2015

No of

Providers

Under 2 Years

Old

2 to 4 Year

Olds

Total 0 to 4

Years

EXISTING DEMAND Child Care Demand

Estimated Total Children

Average LFPRAdjustment Factor

Children With Working Parents

Licensed Care Demand Factor

Resident Children Needing Licensed Care

of Total Resident Children Needing Licensed Care

Children from Non-Resident Employees Needing

Licensed Care

(1)

(2)

(3)

708 1045

77

548 966

37

203 899

29 86

34 51

1753

1513

73

1102

63

85

Total Demand for Child Care Spaces

Distribution

EXISTING SUPPLY (4)

237 950

20 80

Child Care Spaces

1187

100

Family Child Care Home Supply

Child Care Center Supply

Current Child Care Supply

Distribution

EXISTING SURPLUS(SHORTAGE)

Distribution

Percentage of Demand Met

by Existing FacilitiesSpaces

Shortage of Family Child Care Home Spaces

Shortage of Center-Based Spaces

(5)

(6)

(6)

18

9

27

67 84

39 531

106 615

15 85

(130) (335)

28 72

45 65

(83) (46)

(48) (289)

152

570

722

100

(465)

100

61

(128)

(337)

FINAL

Table A-3

Existing Child Care Demand and Supply in 2015 in Belmont

San Mateo County Child Care Study - 2016

Note All footnote references can be found in Table C-1 at the end of this file Sources 2010 US Census ABAG Projections 2013 2014 American Community Survey ACS Journey-to-Work data 2006-2008 and

2006-2010 Child Care Coordinating Council of San Mateo County (4Cs) Community Care Licensing Brion Economics Inc

Prepared by Brion Economics Inc 2513-SMC NA Final Tables 61216 6122016

FINAL

Table A-4

Existing Child Care Demand and Supply in 2015 in Brisbane

San Mateo County Child Care Study - 2016

BRISBANE

Child Care as of 2015

No of

Providers

Under 2 Years

Old

2 to 4 Year

Olds

Total 0 to 4

Years

EXISTING DEMAND Child Care Demand

Estimated Total Children (1) 125 166 292

Average LFPRAdjustment Factor (2) 100

Children With Working Parents 125 166 292

Licensed Care Demand Factor (3) 37 68

Resident Children Needing Licensed Care 46 153 199

of Total Resident Children Needing Licensed Care 37 92 68

Children from Non-Resident Employees Needing

Licensed Care 52 78 129

Total Demand for Child Care Spaces 98 231 329

Distribution 30 70 100

EXISTING SUPPLY (4) Child Care Spaces

Family Child Care Home Supply 1 4 5 9

Child Care Center Supply 1 - 64 64

Current Child Care Supply 2 4 69 73

Distribution 6 94 100

EXISTING SURPLUS(SHORTAGE) (94) (162) (255)

Distribution 37 63 100

Percentage of Demand Met

by Existing FacilitiesSpaces (5) 4 30 22

Shortage of Family Child Care Home Spaces (6) (94) (12) (106)

Shortage of Center-Based Spaces (6) 0 (149) (149)

Note All footnote references can be found in Table C-1 at the end of this file

Sources 2010 US Census ABAG Projections 2013 2014 American Community Survey ACS Journey-to-Work data 2006-2008 and 2006-2010

Child Care Coordinating Council of San Mateo County (4Cs) Community Care Licensing Brion Economics Inc

Prepared by Brion Economics Inc 2513-SMC NA Final Tables 61216 6122016

BURLINGAME

Child Care as of 2015

No of

Providers

Under 2 Years

Old

2 to 4 Year

Olds

Total 0 to 4

Years

EXISTING DEMAND Child Care Demand

Estimated Total Children

Average LFPRAdjustment Factor

Children With Working Parents

Licensed Care Demand Factor

Resident Children Needing Licensed Care

of Total Resident Children Needing Licensed Care

Children from Non-Resident Employees Needing

Licensed Care

(1)

(2)

(3)

824 1216

65

535 1086

37

198 1025

24 84

140 211

2040

1621

75

1224

60

350

Total Demand for Child Care Spaces

Distribution

EXISTING SUPPLY (4)

338 1236

21 79

Child Care Spaces

1574

100

Family Child Care Home Supply

Child Care Center Supply

Current Child Care Supply

Distribution

EXISTING SURPLUS(SHORTAGE)

Distribution

Percentage of Demand Met

by Existing FacilitiesSpaces

Shortage of Family Child Care Home Spaces

Shortage of Center-Based Spaces

(5)

(6)

(6)

21

14

35

79 99

40 866

119 965

11 89

(219) (271)

45 55

35 78

(145) (28)

(73) (243)

179

906

1085

100

(489)

100

69

(173)

(316)

FINAL

Table A-5

Existing Child Care Demand and Supply in 2015 in Burlingame

San Mateo County Child Care Study - 2016

Note All footnote references can be found in Table C-1 at the end of this file

Sources 2010 US Census ABAG Projections 2013 2014 American Community Survey ACS Journey-to-Work data 2006-2008 and 2006-2010

Child Care Coordinating Council of San Mateo County (4Cs) Community Care Licensing Brion Economics Inc

Prepared by Brion Economics Inc 2513-SMC NA Final Tables 61216 6122016

DALY CITYCOLMA

Child Care as of 2015

No of

Providers

Under 2 Years

Old

2 to 4 Year

Olds

Total 0 to 4

Years

EXISTING DEMAND Child Care Demand

Estimated Total Children

Average LFPRAdjustment Factor

Children With Working Parents

Licensed Care Demand Factor

Resident Children Needing Licensed Care

of Total Resident Children Needing Licensed Care

Children from Non-Resident Employees Needing

Licensed Care

(1)

(2)

(3)

2495 3575

742

1851 3268

37

685 3047

27 85

126 190

6070

5119

73

3732

61

316

Total Demand for Child Care Spaces

Distribution

EXISTING SUPPLY (4)

811 3237

20 80

Child Care Spaces

4048

100

Family Child Care Home Supply

Child Care Center Supply

Current Child Care Supply

Distribution

EXISTING SURPLUS(SHORTAGE)

Distribution

Percentage of Demand Met

by Existing FacilitiesSpaces

Shortage of Family Child Care Home Spaces

Shortage of Center-Based Spaces

(5)

(6)

(6)

85

28

113

288 362

84 1264

372 1626

19 81

(439) (1612)

21 79

46 50

(340) (359)

(99) (1253)

649

1348

1997

100

(2051)

100

49

(698)

(1352)

FINAL

Table A-6

Existing Child Care Demand and Supply in 2015 in Daly CityColma

San Mateo Co unty Child Care Study - 2016

Note All footnote references can be found in Table C-1 at the end of this file

Sources 2010 US Census ABAG Projections 2013 2014 American Community Survey ACS Journey-to-Work data 2006-2008 and 2006-2010

Child Care Coordinating Council of San Mateo County (4Cs) Community Care Licensing Brion Economics Inc

Prepared by Brion Economics Inc 2513-SMC NA Final Tables 61216 6122016

EAST PALO ALTO

Child Care as of 2015

No of

Providers

Under 2 Years

Old

2 to 4 Year

Olds

Total 0 to 4

Years

EXISTING DEMAND Child Care Demand

Estimated Total Children

Average LFPRAdjustment Factor

Children With Working Parents

Licensed Care Demand Factor

Resident Children Needing Licensed Care

of Total Resident Children Needing Licensed Care

Children from Non-Resident Employees Needing

Licensed Care

(1)

(2)

(3)

1046 1667

71

741 1496

37

274 1392

26 84

18 27

2713

2237

75

1666

61

45

Total Demand for Child Care Spaces

Distribution

EXISTING SUPPLY (4)

292 1419

17 83

Child Care Spaces

1711

100

Family Child Care Home Supply

Child Care Center Supply

Current Child Care Supply

Distribution

EXISTING SURPLUS(SHORTAGE)

Distribution

Percentage of Demand Met

by Existing FacilitiesSpaces

Shortage of Family Child Care Home Spaces

Shortage of Center-Based Spaces

(5)

(6)

(6)

21

6

27

85 106

25 633

110 739

13 87

(182) (680)

21 79

38 52

(141) (98)

(42) (582)

191

658

849

100

(862)

100

50

(239)

(623)

FINAL

Table A-7

Existing Child Care Demand and Supply in 2015 in East Palo Alto

San Mateo County Child Care Study - 2016

Note All footnote references can be found in Table C-1 at the end of this file Sources 2010 US Census ABAG Projections 2013 2014 American Community Survey ACS Journey-to-Work data 2006-2008 and 2006-2010

Child Care Coordinating Council of San Mateo County (4Cs) Community Care Licensing Brion Economics Inc

Prepared by Brion Economics Inc 2513-SMC NA Final Tables 61216 6122016

FOSTER CITY

Child Care as of 2015

No of

Providers

Under 2 Years

Old

2 to 4 Year

Olds

Total 0 to 4

Years

EXISTING DEMAND Child Care Demand

Estimated Total Children

Average LFPRAdjustment Factor

Children With Working Parents

Licensed Care Demand Factor

Resident Children Needing Licensed Care

of Total Resident Children Needing Licensed Care

Children from Non-Resident Employees Needing

Licensed Care

(1)

(2)

(3)

836 1277

63

528 1108

37

195 1035

23 81

73 110

2113

1636

75

1231

58

183

Total Demand for Child Care Spaces

Distribution

EXISTING SUPPLY (4)

268 1145

19 81

Child Care Spaces

1414

100

Family Child Care Home Supply

Child Care Center Supply

Current Child Care Supply

Distribution

EXISTING SURPLUS(SHORTAGE)

Distribution

Percentage of Demand Met

by Existing FacilitiesSpaces

Shortage of Family Child Care Home Spaces

Shortage of Center-Based Spaces

(5)

(6)

(6)

29

12

41

118 149

88 1200

206 1349

13 87

(62) 203

NA NA

77 118

(36) NA

(27) NA

267

1288

1555

100

141

NA

110

(36)

(27)

FINAL

Table A-8

Existing Child Care Demand and Supply in 2015 in Foster City

San Mateo County Child Care Study - 2016

Note All footnote references can be found in Table C-1 at the end of this file

Sources 2010 US Census ABAG Projections 2013 2014 American Community Survey ACS Journey-to-Work data 2006-2008 and 2006-2010

Child Care Coordinating Council of San Mateo County (4Cs) Community Care Licensing Brion Economics Inc

Prepared by Brion Economics Inc 2513-SMC NA Final Tables 61216 6122016

HALF MOON BAY REGION

Child Care as of 2015

No of

Providers

Under 2 Years

Old

2 to 4 Year

Olds

Total 0 to 4

Years

EXISTING DEMAND Child Care Demand

Estimated Total Children

Average LFPRAdjustment Factor

Children With Working Parents

Licensed Care Demand Factor

Resident Children Needing Licensed Care

of Total Resident Children Needing Licensed Care

Children from Non-Resident Employees Needing

Licensed Care

(1)

(2)

(3)

511 860

69

354 772

37

131 723

26 84

13 19

1371

1126

76

854

62

32

Total Demand for Child Care Spaces

Distribution

EXISTING SUPPLY (4)

144 742

16 84

Child Care Spaces

885

100

Family Child Care Home Supply

Child Care Center Supply

Current Child Care Supply

Distribution

EXISTING SURPLUS(SHORTAGE)

Distribution

Percentage of Demand Met

by Existing FacilitiesSpaces

Shortage of Family Child Care Home Spaces

Shortage of Center-Based Spaces

(5)

(6)

(6)

28

11

39

96 121

35 285

131 406

24 76

(13) (336)

4 96

91 55

(9) (100)

(3) (236)

216

320

536

100

(349)

100

61

(109)

(240)

FINAL

Table A-9

Existing Child Care Demand and Supply in 2015 in Half Moon Bay Region

San Mateo County Child Care Study - 2016

Note All footnote references can be found in Table C-1 at the end of this file

Sources 2010 US Census ABAG Projections 2013 2014 American Community Survey ACS Journey-to-Work data 2006-2008 and 2006-2010

Child Care Coordinating Council of San Mateo County (4Cs) Community Care Licensing Brion Economics Inc

Prepared by Brion Economics Inc 2513-SMC NA Final Tables 61216 6122016

HILLSBOROUGH

Child Care as of 2015

No of

Providers

Under 2 Years

Old

2 to 4 Year

Olds

Total 0 to 4

Years

EXISTING DEMAND Child Care Demand

Estimated Total Children

Average LFPRAdjustment Factor

Children With Working Parents

Licensed Care Demand Factor

Resident Children Needing Licensed Care

of Total Resident Children Needing Licensed Care

Children from Non-Resident Employees Needing

Licensed Care

(1)

(2)

(3)

138 331

52

71 284

37

26 272

19 82

7 10

469

356

84

298

64

16

Total Demand for Child Care Spaces

Distribution

EXISTING SUPPLY (4)

33 282

10 90

Child Care Spaces

315

100

Family Child Care Home Supply

Child Care Center Supply

Current Child Care Supply

Distribution

EXISTING SURPLUS(SHORTAGE)

Distribution

Percentage of Demand Met

by Existing FacilitiesSpaces

Shortage of Family Child Care Home Spaces

Shortage of Center-Based Spaces

(5)

(6)

(6)

1

4

5

5 6

- 91

5 97

5 95

(28) (185)

13 87

15 34

(28) (12)

0 (173)

11

91

102

100

(213)

100

32

(40)

(173)

FINAL

Table A-10

Existing Child Care Demand and Supply in 2015 in Hillsborough

San Mateo County Child Care Study - 2016

Note All footnote references can be found in Table C-1 at the end of this file Sources 2010 US Census ABAG Projections 2013 2014 American Community Survey ACS Journey-to-Work data 2006-2008 and 2006-2010

Child Care Coordinating Council of San Mateo County (4Cs) Community Care Licensing Brion Economics Inc

Prepared by Brion Economics Inc 2513-SMC NA Final Tables 61216 6122016

MENLO PARK

Child Care as of 2015

No of

Providers

Under 2 Years

Old

2 to 4 Year

Olds

Total 0 to 4

Years

EXISTING DEMAND Child Care Demand

Estimated Total Children

Average LFPRAdjustment Factor

Children With Working Parents

Licensed Care Demand Factor

Resident Children Needing Licensed Care

of Total Resident Children Needing Licensed Care

Children from Non-Resident Employees Needing

Licensed Care

(1)

(2)

(3)

1170 1723

69

802 1551

37

297 1458

25 85

220 332

2893

2353

75

1754

61

552

Total Demand for Child Care Spaces

Distribution

EXISTING SUPPLY (4)

516 1790

22 78

Child Care Spaces

2306

100

Family Child Care Home Supply

Child Care Center Supply

Current Child Care Supply

Distribution

EXISTING SURPLUS(SHORTAGE)

Distribution

Percentage of Demand Met

by Existing FacilitiesSpaces

Shortage of Family Child Care Home Spaces

Shortage of Center-Based Spaces

(5)

(6)

(6)

18

25

43

76 96

73 1331

149 1427

9 91

(367) (363)

50 50

29 80

(188) (24)

(180) (338)

172

1404

1576

100

(730)

100

68

(212)

(518)

FINAL

Table A-11

Existing Child Care Demand and Supply in 2015 in Menlo Park

San Mateo County Child Care Study - 2016

Note All footnote references can be found in Table C-1 at the end of this file Sources 2010 US Census ABAG Projections 2013 2014 American Community Survey ACS Journey-to-Work data 2006-2008 and 2006-2010

Child Care Coordinating Council of San Mateo County (4Cs) Community Care Licensing Brion Economics Inc

Prepared by Brion Economics Inc 2513-SMC NA Final Tables 61216 6122016

MILLBRAE

Child Care as of 2015

No of

Providers

Under 2 Years

Old

2 to 4 Year

Olds

Total 0 to 4

Years

EXISTING DEMAND Child Care Demand

Total Children

Average LFPRAdjustment Factor

Children With Working Parents

Licensed Care Demand Factor

Resident Children Needing Licensed Care

of Total Resident Children Needing Licensed Care

Children from Non-Resident Employees Needing

Licensed Care

(1)

(2)

(3)

421 717

62

260 632

37

96 598

23 83

28 42

1138

892

78

694

61

69

Total Demand for Child Care Spaces

Distribution

EXISTING SUPPLY (4)

124 640

16 84

Child Care Spaces

764

100

Family Child Care Home Supply

Child Care Center Supply

Current Child Care Supply

Distribution

EXISTING SURPLUS(SHORTAGE)

Distribution

Percentage of Demand Met

by Existing FacilitiesSpaces

Shortage of Family Child Care Home Spaces

Shortage of Center-Based Spaces

(5)

(6)

(6)

17

7

24

62 78

- 376

62 454

12 88

(61) (186)

25 75

50 71

(61) (32)

0 (154)

141

376

517

100

(247)

100

68

(93)

(154)

FINAL

Table A-12

Existing Child Care Demand and Supply in 2015 in Millbrae

San Mateo Co unty Child Care Study - 2016

Note All footnote references can be found in Table C-1 at the end of this file

Sources 2010 US Census ABAG Projections 2013 2014 American Community Survey ACS Journey-to-Work data 2006-2008 and 2006-2010

Child Care Coordinating Council of San Mateo County (4Cs) Community Care Licensing Brion Economics Inc

Prepared by Brion Economics Inc 2513-SMC NA Final Tables 61216 6122016

PACIFICA

Child Care as of 2015

No of

Providers

Under 2 Years

Old

2 to 4 Year

Olds

Total 0 to 4

Years

EXISTING DEMAND Child Care Demand

Estimated Total Children

Average LFPRAdjustment Factor

Children With Working Parents

Licensed Care Demand Factor

Resident Children Needing Licensed Care

of Total Resident Children Needing Licensed Care

Children from Non-Resident Employees Needing

Licensed Care

(1)

(2)

(3)

787 1253

78

610 1165

37

226 1089

29 87

18 27

2040

1776

74

1315

64

45

Total Demand for Child Care Spaces

Distribution

EXISTING SUPPLY (4)

244 1117

18 83

Child Care Spaces

1360

100

Family Child Care Home Supply

Child Care Center Supply

Current Child Care Supply

Distribution

EXISTING SURPLUS(SHORTAGE)

Distribution

Percentage of Demand Met

by Existing FacilitiesSpaces

Shortage of Family Child Care Home Spaces

Shortage of Center-Based Spaces

(5)

(6)

(6)

21

18

39

77 97

39 701

116 798

13 87

(128) (319)

29 71

48 71

(85) (39)

(43) (280)

174

740

914

100

(447)

100

67

(124)

(323)

FINAL

Table A-13

Existing Child Care Demand and Supply in 2015 in Pacifica

San Mateo County Child Care Study - 2016

Note All footnote references can be found in Table C-1 at the end of this file Sources 2010 US Census ABAG Projections 2013 2014 American Community Survey ACS Journey-to-Work data 2006-2008 and 2006-2010

Child Care Coordinating Council of San Mateo County (4Cs) Community Care Licensing Brion Economics Inc

Prepared by Brion Economics Inc 2513-SMC NA Final Tables 61216 6122016

PORTOLA VALLEY

No of

Providers

Child Care as of 2015

Under 2 Years

Old

2 to 4 Year

Olds

Total 0 to 4

Years

EXISTING DEMAND Child Care Demand

Estimated Total Children

Average LFPRAdjustment Factor

Children With Working Parents

Licensed Care Demand Factor

Resident Children Needing Licensed Care

of Total Resident Children Needing Licensed Care

Children from Non-Resident Employees Needing

Licensed Care

(1)

(2)

(3)

75 187

66

49 168

37

18 159

24 85

8 12

261

217

82

177

68

21

Total Demand for Child Care Spaces

Distribution

EXISTING SUPPLY (4)

26 171

13 87

Child Care Spaces

198

100

Family Child Care Home Supply

Child Care Center Supply

Current Child Care Supply

Distribution

EXISTING SURPLUS(SHORTAGE)

Distribution

Percentage of Demand Met

by Existing FacilitiesSpaces

Shortage of Family Child Care Home Spaces

Shortage of Center-Based Spaces

(5)

(6)

(6)

0

4

4

0 0

0 153

0 153

0 100

(26) (18)

59 41

0 89

0 0

(26) (18)

0

153

153

100

(45)

100

77

0

(45)

FINAL

Table A-14

Existing Child Care Demand and Supply in 2015 in Portola Valley

San Mateo County Child Care Study - 2016

Note All footnote references can be found in Table C-1 at the end of this file Sources 2010 US Census ABAG Projections 2013 2014 American Community Survey ACS Journey-to-Work data 2006-2008 and 2006-2010

Child Care Coordinating Council of San Mateo County (4Cs) Community Care Licensing Brion Economics Inc

Prepared by Brion Economics Inc 2513-SMC NA Final Tables 61216 6122016

REDWOOD CITY

Child Care as of 2015

No of

Providers

Under 2 Years

Old

2 to 4 Year

Olds

Total 0 to 4

Years

EXISTING DEMAND Child Care Demand

Estimated Total Children

Average LFPRAdjustment Factor

Children With Working Parents

Licensed Care Demand Factor

Resident Children Needing Licensed Care

of Total Resident Children Needing Licensed Care

Children from Non-Resident Employees Needing

Licensed Care

Total Demand for Child Care Spaces

Distribution

EXISTING SUPPLY

(1)

(2)

(3)

(4)

3260 4706

69

2236 4212

37

827 3942

25 84

414 625

1241 4567

21 79

Child Care Spaces

7966

6449

74

4770

60

1038

5808

100

Family Child Care Home Supply

Child Care Center Supply

Current Child Care Supply

Distribution

EXISTING SURPLUS(SHORTAGE)

Distribution

Percentage of Demand Met

by Existing FacilitiesSpaces

Shortage of Family Child Care Home Spaces

Shortage of Center-Based Spaces

(5)

(6)

(6)

111

45

156

396 497

356 2036

752 2533

23 77

(490) (2034)

19 81

61 55

(258) (399)

(232) (1635)

893

2392

3285

100

(2524)

100

57

(657)

(1867)

FINAL

Table A-15

Existing Child Care Demand and Supply in 2015 in Redwood City

San Mateo County Child Care Study - 2016

Note All footnote references can be found in Table C-1 at the end of this file Sources 2010 US Census ABAG Projections 2013 2014 American Community Survey ACS Journey-to-Work data 2006-2008 and 2006-2010

Child Care Coordinating Council of San Mateo County (4Cs) Community Care Licensing Brion Economics Inc

Prepared by Brion Economics Inc 2513-SMC NA Final Tables 61216 6122016

SAN BRUNO

Child Care as of 2015

No of

Providers

Under 2 Years

Old

2 to 4 Year

Olds

Total 0 to 4

Years

EXISTING DEMAND Child Care Demand

Estimated Total Children

Average LFPRAdjustment Factor

Children With Working Parents

Licensed Care Demand Factor

Resident Children Needing Licensed Care

of Total Resident Children Needing Licensed Care

Children from Non-Resident Employees Needing

Licensed Care

(1)

(2)

(3)

1069 1553

77

817 1428

37

302 1326

28 85

61 92

2622

2245

73

1628

62

153

Total Demand for Child Care Spaces

Distribution

EXISTING SUPPLY (4)

364 1418

20 80

Child Care Spaces

1782

100

Family Child Care Home Supply

Child Care Center Supply

Current Child Care Supply

Distribution

EXISTING SURPLUS(SHORTAGE)

Distribution

Percentage of Demand Met

by Existing FacilitiesSpaces

Shortage of Family Child Care Home Spaces

Shortage of Center-Based Spaces

(5)

(6)

(6)

34

15

49

122 153

26 1183

148 1336

10 90

(216) (82)

72 28

41 94

(178) (9)

(38) (73)

275

1209

1484

100

(298)

100

83

(187)

(110)

FINAL

Table A-16

Existing Child Care Demand and Supply in 2015 in San Bruno

San Mateo County Child Care Study - 2016

Note All footnote references can be found in Table C-1 at the end of this file Sources 2010 US Census ABAG Projections 2013 2014 American Community Survey ACS Journey-to-Work data 2006-2008 and 2006-2010

Child Care Coordinating Council of San Mateo County (4Cs) Community Care Licensing Brion Economics Inc

Prepared by Brion Economics Inc 2513-SMC NA Final Tables 61216 6122016

SAN CARLOS

Child Care as of 2015

No of

Providers

Under 2 Years

Old

2 to 4 Year

Olds

Total 0 to 4

Years

EXISTING DEMAND Child Care Demand

Estimated Total Children

Average LFPRAdjustment Factor

Children With Working Parents

Licensed Care Demand Factor

Resident Children Needing Licensed Care

of Total Resident Children Needing Licensed Care

Children from Non-Resident Employees Needing

Licensed Care

(1)

(2)

(3)

735 1308

72

526 1186

37

195 1109

26 85

75 114

2043

1712

76

1304

64

189

Total Demand for Child Care Spaces

Distribution

EXISTING SUPPLY (4)

270 1222

18 82

Child Care Spaces

1492

100

Family Child Care Home Supply

Child Care Center Supply

Current Child Care Supply

Distribution

EXISTING SURPLUS(SHORTAGE)

Distribution

Percentage of Demand Met

by Existing FacilitiesSpaces

Shortage of Family Child Care Home Spaces

Shortage of Center-Based Spaces

(5)

(6)

(6)

20

14

34

73 92

76 615

149 707

17 83

(121) (516)

19 81

55 58

(59) (67)

(62) (449)

164

691

855

100

(637)

100

57

(126)

(511)

FINAL

Table A-17

Existing Child Care Demand and Supply in 2015 in San Carlos

San Mateo County Child Care Study - 2016

Note All footnote references can be found in Table C-1 at the end of this file

Sources 2010 US Census ABAG Projections 2013 2014 American Community Survey ACS Journey-to-Work data 2006-2008 and 2006-2010

Child Care Coordinating Council of San Mateo County (4Cs) Community Care Licensing Brion Economics Inc

Prepared by Brion Economics Inc 2513-SMC NA Final Tables 61216 6122016

SAN MATEO

Child Care as of 2015

No of

Providers

Under 2 Years

Old

2 to 4 Year

Olds

Total 0 to 4

Years

EXISTING DEMAND Child Care Demand

Estimated Total Children

Average LFPRAdjustment Factor

Children With Working Parents

Licensed Care Demand Factor

Resident Children Needing Licensed Care

of Total Resident Children Needing Licensed Care

Children from Non-Resident Employees Needing

Licensed Care

(1)

(2)

(3)

2943 4213

71

2087 3793

37

772 3537

26 84

231 348

7156

5880

73

4309

60

579

Total Demand for Child Care Spaces

Distribution

EXISTING SUPPLY (4)

1003 3886

21 79

Child Care Spaces

4889

100

Family Child Care Home Supply

Child Care Center Supply

Current Child Care Supply

Distribution

EXISTING SURPLUS(SHORTAGE)

Distribution

Percentage of Demand Met

by Existing FacilitiesSpaces

Shortage of Family Child Care Home Spaces

Shortage of Center-Based Spaces

(5)

(6)

(6)

126

59

185

492 619

209 2577

701 3196

18 82

(302) (690)

30 70

70 82

(212) (134)

(90) (557)

1111

2786

3897

100

(992)

100

80

(345)

(647)

FINAL

Table A-18

Existing Child Care Demand and Supply in 2015 in San Mateo

San Mateo County Child Care Study - 2016

Note All footnote references can be found in Table C-1 at the end of this file

Sources 2010 US Census ABAG Projections 2013 2014 American Community Survey ACS Journey-to-Work data 2006-2008 and 2006-2010

Child Care Coordinating Council of San Mateo County (4Cs) Community Care Licensing Brion Economics Inc

Prepared by Brion Economics Inc 2513-SMC NA Final Tables 61216 6122016

SOUTH COAST

Child Care as of 2015

No of

Providers

Under 2 Years

Old

2 to 4 Year

Olds

Total 0 to 4

Years

EXISTING DEMAND Child Care Demand

Estimated Total Children

Average LFPRAdjustment Factor

Children With Working Parents

Licensed Care Demand Factor

Resident Children Needing Licensed Care

of Total Resident Children Needing Licensed Care

Children from Non-Resident Employees Needing

Licensed Care

(1)

(2)

(3)

21 29

54

11 25

37

4 23

20 81

0 0

50

36

77

28

56

0

Total Demand for Child Care Spaces

Distribution

EXISTING SUPPLY (4)

4 23

15 85

Child Care Spaces

28

100

Family Child Care Home Supply

Child Care Center Supply

Current Child Care Supply

Distribution

EXISTING SURPLUS(SHORTAGE)

Distribution

Percentage of Demand Met

by Existing FacilitiesSpaces

Shortage of Family Child Care Home Spaces

Shortage of Center-Based Spaces

(5)

(6)

(6)

-

2

2

- -

- 54

- 54

0 100

(4) 31

-16 116

0 230

(2) NA

(2) NA

0

54

54

100

26

100

195

(2)

(2)

FINAL

Table A-19

Existing Child Care Demand and Supply in 2015 in South Coast

San Mateo County Child Care Study - 2016

Note All footnote references can be found in Table C-1 at the end of this file

Sources 2010 US Census ABAG Projections 2013 2014 American Community Survey ACS Journey-to-Work data 2006-2008 and 2006-2010

Child Care Coordinating Council of San Mateo County (4Cs) Community Care Licensing Brion Economics Inc

Prepared by Brion Economics Inc 2513-SMC NA Final Tables 61216 6122016

SOUTH SAN FRANCISCO

Child Care as of 2015

No of

Providers

Under 2 Years

Old

2 to 4 Year

Olds

Total 0 to 4

Years

EXISTING DEMAND Child Care Demand

Estimated Total Children

Average LFPRAdjustment Factor

Children With Working Parents

Licensed Care Demand Factor

Resident Children Needing Licensed Care

of Total Resident Children Needing Licensed Care

Children from Non-Resident Employees Needing

Licensed Care

(1)

(2)

(3)

1649 2507

73

1206 2278

37

446 2123

27 85

309 466

4156

3484

74

2569

62

774

Total Demand for Child Care Spaces

Distribution

EXISTING SUPPLY (4)

755 2588

23 77

Child Care Spaces

3343

100

Family Child Care Home Supply

Child Care Center Supply

Current Child Care Supply

Distribution

EXISTING SURPLUS(SHORTAGE)

Distribution

Percentage of Demand Met

by Existing FacilitiesSpaces

Shortage of Family Child Care Home Spaces

Shortage of Center-Based Spaces

(5)

(6)

(6)

68

27

95

252 317

400 1966

652 2283

22 78

(103) (306)

25 75

86 88

(40) (42)

(63) (263)

569

2366

2935

100

(408)

100

88

(82)

(326)

FINAL

Table A-20

Existing Child Care Demand and Supply in 2015 in South San Francisco

San Mateo County Child Care Study - 2016

Note All footnote references can be found in Table C-1 at the end of this file Sources 2010 US Census ABAG Projections 2013 2014 American Community Survey ACS Journey-to-Work data 2006-2008 and 2006-2010

Child Care Coordinating Council of San Mateo County (4Cs) Community Care Licensing Brion Economics Inc

Prepared by Brion Economics Inc 2513-SMC NA Final Tables 61216 6122016

WOODSIDE

No of

Providers

Child Care as of 2015

Under 2 Years

Old

2 to 4 Year

Olds

Total 0 to 4

Years

EXISTING DEMAND Child Care Demand

Estimated Total Children

Average LFPRAdjustment Factor

Children With Working Parents

Licensed Care Demand Factor

Resident Children Needing Licensed Care

of Total Resident Children Needing Licensed Care

Children from Non-Resident Employees Needing

Licensed Care

(1)

(2)

(3)

90 160

56

50 136

37

18 128

21 80

8 13

250

186

79

147

59

21

Total Demand for Child Care Spaces

Distribution

EXISTING SUPPLY (4)

27 141

16 84

Child Care Spaces

168

100

Family Child Care Home Supply

Child Care Center Supply

Current Child Care Supply

Distribution

EXISTING SURPLUS(SHORTAGE)

Distribution

Percentage of Demand Met

by Existing FacilitiesSpaces

Shortage of Family Child Care Home Spaces

Shortage of Center-Based Spaces

(5)

(6)

(6)

1

2

3

4 5

0 103

4 108

4 96

(23) (33)

41 59

16 77

(23) (2)

0 (31)

9

103

112

100

(55)

100

67

(24)

(31)

FINAL

Table A-21

Existing Child Care Demand and Supply in 2015 in Woodside

San Mateo County Child Care Study - 2016

Note All footnote references can be found in Table C-1 at the end of this file Sources 2010 US Census ABAG Projections 2013 2014 American Community Survey ACS Journey-to-Work data 2006-2008 and 2006-2010

Child Care Coordinating Council of San Mateo County (4Cs) Community Care Licensing Brion Economics Inc

Prepared by Brion Economics Inc 2513-SMC NA Final Tables 61216 6122016

COUNTYWIDE

Child Care as of 2025

No of

Providers

Under 2 Years

Old

2 to 4 Year

Olds

Total 0 to 4

Years

EXISTING DEMAND Child Care Demand

Estimated Total Children

Average LFPRAdjustment Factor

Children With Working Parents

Licensed Care Demand Factor

Resident Children Needing Licensed Care

of Total Resident Children Needing Licensed Care

Children from Non-Resident Employees Needing

Licensed Care

Total Demand for Child Care Spaces

Distribution

EXISTING SUPPLY

(1)

(2)

(3)

(4)

20790 31340

71

14704 28273

37

5441 26432

26 84

2037 3074

7478 29506

20 80

Child Care Spaces

52130

42978

86

31873

61

5112

36984

100

Family Child Care Home Supply

Child Care Center Supply

Current Child Care Supply

Distribution

EXISTING SURPLUS(SHORTAGE)

Distribution

Percentage of Demand Met

by Existing FacilitiesSpaces

Shortage of Family Child Care Home Spaces

Shortage of Center-Based Spaces

(5)

(6)

(6)

621

309

930

2301 2893

1514 16296

3815 19189

17 83

(3663) (10318)

26 74

51 65

(2209) (1555)

(1454) (8762)

5193

17810

23003

100

(13981)

100

62

(3765)

(10216)

FINAL

Table B-1

Future C hild Care Demand and Supply in 2025 Countywide

San Mateo County Child Care Study - 2016

Note All footnote references can be found in Table C-1 at the end of this file

Sources 2010 US Census ABAG Projections 2013 2014 American Community Survey ACS Journey-to-Work data 2006-2008 and 2006-2010

Child Care Coordinating Council of San Mateo County (4Cs) Community Care Licensing Brion Economics Inc

Prepared by Brion Economics Inc 2513-SMC NA Final Tables 61216 6122016

ATHERTON

No of

Providers

Child Care as of 2025

Under 2 Years

Old

2 to 4 Year

Olds

Total 0 to 4

Years

EXISTING DEMAND Child Care Demand

Estimated Total Children

Average LFPRAdjustment Factor

Children With Working Parents

Licensed Care Demand Factor

Resident Children Needing Licensed Care

of Total Resident Children Needing Licensed Care

Children from Non-Resident Employees Needing

Licensed Care

(1)

(2)

(3)

109 193

40

43 159

37

16 154

15 80

13 19

302

202

84

170

56

32

Total Demand for Child Care Spaces

Distribution

EXISTING SUPPLY (4)

29 173

14 86

Child Care Spaces

201

100

Family Child Care Home Supply

Child Care Center Supply

Current Child Care Supply

Distribution

EXISTING SURPLUS(SHORTAGE)

Distribution

Percentage of Demand Met

by Existing FacilitiesSpaces

Shortage of Family Child Care Home Spaces

Shortage of Center-Based Spaces

(5)

(6)

(6)

1

6

7

5 6

24 267

29 273

10 90

0 101

0 100

101 158

NA NA

NA NA

11

291

302

100

101

100

150

NA

NA

FINAL

Table B-2

Future Child Care Demand and Supply in 2025 in Atherton

San Mateo Co unty Child Care Study - 2016

Note All footnote references can be found in Table C-1 at the end of this file Sources 2010 US Census ABAG Projections 2013 2014 American Community Survey ACS Journey-to-Work data 2006-2008 and 2006-2010

Child Care Coordinating Council of San Mateo County (4Cs) Community Care Licensing Brion Economics Inc

Prepared by Brion Economics Inc 2513-SMC NA Final Tables 61216 6122016

BELMONT

Child Care as of 2025

No of

Providers

Under 2 Years

Old

2 to 4 Year

Olds

Total 0 to 4

Years

EXISTING DEMAND Child Care Demand

Estimated Total Children

Average LFPRAdjustment Factor

Children With Working Parents

Licensed Care Demand Factor

Resident Children Needing Licensed Care

of Total Resident Children Needing Licensed Care

Children from Non-Resident Employees Needing

Licensed Care

(1)

(2)

(3)

743 1095

77

574 1013

37

213 943

29 86

37 56

1838

1587

73

1156

63

93

Total Demand for Child Care Spaces

Distribution

EXISTING SUPPLY (4)

250 999

20 80

Child Care Spaces

1249

100

Family Child Care Home Supply

Child Care Center Supply

Current Child Care Supply

Distribution

EXISTING SURPLUS(SHORTAGE)

Distribution

Percentage of Demand Met

by Existing FacilitiesSpaces

Shortage of Family Child Care Home Spaces

Shortage of Center-Based Spaces

(5)

(6)

(6)

8

9

17

67 84

39 531

106 615

15 85

(143) (384)

27 73

43 62

(91) (53)

(53) (331)

152

570

722

100

(527)

100

58

(143)

(384)

FINAL

Table B-3

Future Child Care Demand and Supply in 2025 in Belmont

San Mateo County Child Care Study - 2016

Note All footnote references can be found in Table C-1 at the end of this file

Sources 2010 US Census ABAG Projections 2013 2014 American Community Survey ACS Journey-to-Work data 2006-2008 and 2006-2010

Child Care Coordinating Council of San Mateo County (4Cs) Community Care Licensing Brion Economics Inc

Prepared by Brion Economics Inc 2513-SMC NA Final Tables 61216 6122016

BRISBANE

Child Care as of 2025

No of

Providers

Under 2 Years

Old

2 to 4 Year

Olds

Total 0 to 4

Years

EXISTING DEMAND Child Care Demand

Estimated Total Children

Average LFPRAdjustment Factor

Children With Working Parents

Licensed Care Demand Factor

Resident Children Needing Licensed Care

of Total Resident Children Needing Licensed Care

Children from Non-Resident Employees Needing

Licensed Care

(1)

(2)

(3)

131 174

100

131 174

37

48 160

37 92

55 83

305

305

68

209

68

138

Total Demand for Child Care Spaces

Distribution

EXISTING SUPPLY (4)

103 243

30 70

Child Care Spaces

346

100

Family Child Care Home Supply

Child Care Center Supply

Current Child Care Supply

Distribution

EXISTING SURPLUS(SHORTAGE)

Distribution

Percentage of Demand Met

by Existing FacilitiesSpaces

Shortage of Family Child Care Home Spaces

Shortage of Center-Based Spaces

(5)

(6)

(6)

1

1

2

4 5

0 64

4 69

6 94

(99) (174)

36 64

4 29

(99) (13)

0 (160)

9

64

73

100

(273)

100

21

(112)

(160)

FINAL

Table B-4

Future Child Care Demand and Supply in 2025 in Brisbane

San Mateo County Child Care Study - 2016

Note All footnote references can be found in Table C-1 at the end of this file Sources 2010 US Census ABAG Projections 2013 2014 American Community Survey ACS Journey-to-Work data 2006-2008 and 2006-2010

Child Care Coordinating Council of San Mateo County (4Cs) Community Care Licensing Brion Economics Inc

Prepared by Brion Economics Inc 2513-SMC NA Final Tables 61216 6122016

BURLINGAME

Child Care as of 2025

No of

Providers

Under 2 Years

Old

2 to 4 Year

Olds

Total 0 to 4

Years

EXISTING DEMAND Child Care Demand

Estimated Total Children

Average LFPRAdjustment Factor

Children With Working Parents

Licensed Care Demand Factor

Resident Children Needing Licensed Care

of Total Resident Children Needing Licensed Care

Children from Non-Resident Employees Needing

Licensed Care

(1)

(2)

(3)

903 1332

65

587 1190

37

217 1124

24 84

154 232

2235

1777

75

1341

60

385

Total Demand for Child Care Spaces

Distribution

EXISTING SUPPLY (4)

371 1356

21 79

Child Care Spaces

1726

100

Family Child Care Home Supply

Child Care Center Supply

Current Child Care Supply

Distribution

EXISTING SURPLUS(SHORTAGE)

Distribution

Percentage of Demand Met

by Existing FacilitiesSpaces

Shortage of Family Child Care Home Spaces

Shortage of Center-Based Spaces

(5)

(6)

(6)

10

14

24

79 99

40 866

119 965

11 89

(252) (390)

39 61

32 71

(167) (40)

(85) (350)

179

906

1085

100

(642)

100

63

(207)

(434)

FINAL

Table B-5

Future Child Care Demand and Supply in 2025 in Burlingame

San Mateo County Child Care Study - 2016

Note All footnote references can be found in Table C-1 at the end of this file

Sources 2010 US Census ABAG Projections 2013 2014 American Community Survey ACS Journey-to-Work data 2006-2008 and 2006-2010

Child Care Coordinating Council of San Mateo County (4Cs) Community Care Licensing Brion Economics Inc

Prepared by Brion Economics Inc 2513-SMC NA Final Tables 61216 6122016

DALY CITYCOLMA

Child Care as of 2025

No of

Providers

Under 2 Years

Old

2 to 4 Year

Olds

Total 0 to 4

Years

EXISTING DEMAND Child Care Demand

Estimated Total Children

Average LFPRAdjustment Factor

Children With Working Parents

Licensed Care Demand Factor

Resident Children Needing Licensed Care

of Total Resident Children Needing Licensed Care

Children from Non-Resident Employees Needing

Licensed Care

(1)

(2)

(3)

2647 3793

74

1964 3467

37

727 3233

27 85

138 208

6440

5432

73

3960

61

346

Total Demand for Child Care Spaces

Distribution

EXISTING SUPPLY (4)

865 3441

20 80

Child Care Spaces

4306

100

Family Child Care Home Supply

Child Care Center Supply

Current Child Care Supply

Distribution

EXISTING SURPLUS(SHORTAGE)

Distribution

Percentage of Demand Met

by Existing FacilitiesSpaces

Shortage of Family Child Care Home Spaces

Shortage of Center-Based Spaces

(5)

(6)

(6)

25

28

28

288 362

84 1264

372 1626

19 81

(493) (1816)

21 79

43 47

(381) (404)

(111) (1412)

649

1348

1997

100

(2308)

100

46

(785)

(1523)

FINAL

Table B-6

Future C hild Care Demand and Supply in 2025 in Daly CityColma

San Mateo County Child Care Study - 2016

Note All footnote references can be found in Table C-1 at the end of this file

Sources 2010 US Census ABAG Projections 2013 2014 American Community Survey ACS Journey-to-Work data 2006-2008 and 2006-2010

Child Care Coordinating Council of San Mateo County (4Cs) Community Care Licensing Brion Economics Inc

Prepared by Brion Economics Inc 2513-SMC NA Final Tables 61216 6122016

EAST PALO ALTO

Child Care as of 2025

No of

Providers

Under 2 Years

Old

2 to 4 Year

Olds

Total 0 to 4

Years

EXISTING DEMAND Child Care Demand

Estimated Total Children

Average LFPRAdjustment Factor

Children With Working Parents

Licensed Care Demand Factor

Resident Children Needing Licensed Care

of Total Resident Children Needing Licensed Care

Children from Non-Resident Employees Needing

Licensed Care

(1)

(2)

(3)

1161 1849

71

822 1660

37

304 1545

26 84

20 30

3010

2482

75

1849

61

50

Total Demand for Child Care Spaces

Distribution

EXISTING SUPPLY (4)

324 1575

17 83

Child Care Spaces

1900

100

Family Child Care Home Supply

Child Care Center Supply

Current Child Care Supply

Distribution

EXISTING SURPLUS(SHORTAGE)

Distribution

Percentage of Demand Met

by Existing FacilitiesSpaces

Shortage of Family Child Care Home Spaces

Shortage of Center-Based Spaces

(5)

(6)

(6)

13

6

19

85 106

25 633

110 739

13 87

(215) (836)

20 80

34 47

(166) (120)

(49) (715)

191

658

849

100

(1050)

100

45

(286)

(764)

FINAL

Table B-7

Future Child Care Demand and Supply in 2025 in East Palo Alto

San Mateo County Child Care Study - 2016

Note All footnote references can be found in Table C-1 at the end of this file

Sources 2010 US Census ABAG Projections 2013 2014 American Community Survey ACS Journey-to-Work data 2006-2008 and 2006-2010

Child Care Coordinating Council of San Mateo County (4Cs) Community Care Licensing Brion Economics Inc

Prepared by Brion Economics Inc 2513-SMC NA Final Tables 61216 6122016

FOSTER CITY

Child Care as of 2025

No of

Providers

Under 2 Years

Old

2 to 4 Year

Olds

Total 0 to 4

Years

EXISTING DEMAND Child Care Demand

Estimated Total Children

Average LFPRAdjustment Factor

Children With Working Parents

Licensed Care Demand Factor

Resident Children Needing Licensed Care

of Total Resident Children Needing Licensed Care

Children from Non-Resident Employees Needing

Licensed Care

(1)

(2)

(3)

871 1330

63

550 1154

37

204 1079

23 81

80 120

2201

1705

75

1282

58

200

Total Demand for Child Care Spaces

Distribution

EXISTING SUPPLY (4)

283 1199

19 81

Child Care Spaces

1483

100

Family Child Care Home Supply

Child Care Center Supply

Current Child Care Supply

Distribution

EXISTING SURPLUS(SHORTAGE)

Distribution

Percentage of Demand Met

by Existing FacilitiesSpaces

Shortage of Family Child Care Home Spaces

Shortage of Center-Based Spaces

(5)

(6)

(6)

19

12

31

118 149

88 1200

206 1349

13 87

(77) 150

-106 206

73 112

(44) NA

(33) NA

267

1288

1555

100

73

100

105

(44)

(33)

FINAL

Table B-8

Future Child Care Demand and Supply in 2025 in Foster City

San Mateo County Child Care Study - 2016

Note All footnote references can be found in Table C-1 at the end of this file

Sources 2010 US Census ABAG Projections 2013 2014 American Community Survey ACS Journey-to-Work data 2006-2008 and 2006-2010

Child Care Coordinating Council of San Mateo County (4Cs) Community Care Licensing Brion Economics Inc

Prepared by Brion Economics Inc 2513-SMC NA Final Tables 61216 6122016

HALF MOON BAY REGION

Child Care as of 2025

No of

Providers

Under 2 Years

Old

2 to 4 Year

Olds

Total 0 to 4

Years

EXISTING DEMAND Child Care Demand

Estimated Total Children

Average LFPRAdjustment Factor

Children With Working Parents

Licensed Care Demand Factor

Resident Children Needing Licensed Care

of Total Resident Children Needing Licensed Care

Children from Non-Resident Employees Needing

Licensed Care

(1)

(2)

(3)

553 929

69

383 835

37

142 781

26 84

14 21

1482

1217

76

923

62

34

Total Demand for Child Care Spaces

Distribution

EXISTING SUPPLY (4)

155 802

16 84

Child Care Spaces

957

100

Family Child Care Home Supply

Child Care Center Supply

Current Child Care Supply

Distribution

EXISTING SURPLUS(SHORTAGE)

Distribution

Percentage of Demand Met

by Existing FacilitiesSpaces

Shortage of Family Child Care Home Spaces

Shortage of Center-Based Spaces

(5)

(6)

(6)

10

11

21

96 121

35 285

131 406

24 76

(24) (396)

6 94

84 51

(18) (118)

(6) (279)

216

320

536

100

(421)

100

56

(136)

(285)

FINAL

Table B-9

Future Child Care Demand and Supply in 2025 in Half Moon Bay Region

San Mateo County Child Care Study - 2016

Note All footnote references can be found in Table C-1 at the end of this file

Sources 2010 US Census ABAG Projections 2013 2014 American Community Survey ACS Journey-to-Work data 2006-2008 and 2006-2010

Child Care Coordinating Council of San Mateo County (4Cs) Community Care Licensing Brion Economics Inc

Prepared by Brion Economics Inc 2513-SMC NA Final Tables 61216 6122016

HILLSBOROUGH

Child Care as of 2025

No of

Providers

Under 2 Years

Old

2 to 4 Year

Olds

Total 0 to 4

Years

EXISTING DEMAND Child Care Demand

Estimated Total Children

Average LFPRAdjustment Factor

Children With Working Parents

Licensed Care Demand Factor

Resident Children Needing Licensed Care

of Total Resident Children Needing Licensed Care

Children from Non-Resident Employees Needing

Licensed Care

(1)

(2)

(3)

143 343

52

74 295

37

27 282

19 82

7 11

487

369

84

309

64

17

Total Demand for Child Care Spaces

Distribution

EXISTING SUPPLY (4)

34 292

10 90

Child Care Spaces

327

100

Family Child Care Home Supply

Child Care Center Supply

Current Child Care Supply

Distribution

EXISTING SURPLUS(SHORTAGE)

Distribution

Percentage of Demand Met

by Existing FacilitiesSpaces

Shortage of Family Child Care Home Spaces

Shortage of Center-Based Spaces

(5)

(6)

(6)

1

4

5

5 6

- 91

5 97

5 95

(29) (195)

13 87

14 33

(29) (12)

0 (183)

11

91

102

100

(225)

100

31

(42)

(183)

FINAL

Table B-10

Future Child Care Demand and Supply in 2025 in Hillsborough

San Mateo County Child Care Study - 2016

Note All footnote references can be found in Table C-1 at the end of this file

Sources 2010 US Census ABAG Projections 2013 2014 American Community Survey ACS Journey-to-Work data 2006-2008 and 2006-2010

Child Care Coordinating Council of San Mateo County (4Cs) Community Care Licensing Brion Economics Inc

Prepared by Brion Economics Inc 2513-SMC NA Final Tables 61216 6122016

MENLO PARK

Child Care as of 2025

No of

Providers

Under 2 Years

Old

2 to 4 Year

Olds

Total 0 to 4

Years

EXISTING DEMAND Child Care Demand

Estimated Total Children

Average LFPRAdjustment Factor

Children With Working Parents

Licensed Care Demand Factor

Resident Children Needing Licensed Care

of Total Resident Children Needing Licensed Care

Children from Non-Resident Employees Needing

Licensed Care

(1)

(2)

(3)

1327 1954

69

909 1759

37

336 1653

25 85

237 357

3281

2668

75

1989

61

594

Total Demand for Child Care Spaces

Distribution

EXISTING SUPPLY (4)

573 2011

22 78

Child Care Spaces

2584

100

Family Child Care Home Supply

Child Care Center Supply

Current Child Care Supply

Distribution

EXISTING SURPLUS(SHORTAGE)

Distribution

Percentage of Demand Met

by Existing FacilitiesSpaces

Shortage of Family Child Care Home Spaces

Shortage of Center-Based Spaces

(5)

(6)

(6)

15

25

40

76 96

73 1331

149 1427

9 91

(424) (584)

42 58

26 71

(217) (39)

(207) (544)

172

1404

1576

100

(1008)

100

61

(256)

(752)

FINAL

Table B-11

Future Child Care Demand and Supply in 2025 in Menlo Park

San Mateo County Child Care Study - 2016

Note All footnote references can be found in Table C-1 at the end of this file

Sources 2010 US Census ABAG Projections 2013 2014 American Community Survey ACS Journey-to-Work data 2006-2008 and 2006-2010

Child Care Coordinating Council of San Mateo County (4Cs) Community Care Licensing Brion Economics Inc

Prepared by Brion Economics Inc 2513-SMC NA Final Tables 61216 6122016

MILLBRAE

Child Care as of 2025

No of

Providers

Under 2 Years

Old

2 to 4 Year

Olds

Total 0 to 4

Years

EXISTING DEMAND Child Care Demand

Estimated Total Children

Average LFPRAdjustment Factor

Children With Working Parents

Licensed Care Demand Factor

Resident Children Needing Licensed Care

of Total Resident Children Needing Licensed Care

Children from Non-Resident Employees Needing

Licensed Care

(1)

(2)

(3)

473 805

62

291 710

37

108 672

23 83

31 47

1278

1001

78

780

61

77

Total Demand for Child Care Spaces

Distribution

EXISTING SUPPLY (4)

139 718

16 84

Child Care Spaces

857

100

Family Child Care Home Supply

Child Care Center Supply

Current Child Care Supply

Distribution

EXISTING SURPLUS(SHORTAGE)

Distribution

Percentage of Demand Met

by Existing FacilitiesSpaces

Shortage of Family Child Care Home Spaces

Shortage of Center-Based Spaces

(5)

(6)

(6)

7

7

14

62 78

- 376

62 454

12 88

(76) (264)

22 78

45 63

(76) (46)

0 (219)

141

376

517

100

(340)

100

60

(122)

(219)

FINAL

Table B-12

Future C hild Care Demand and Supply in 2025 in Millbrae

San Mateo County Child Care Study - 2016

Note All footnote references can be found in Table C-1 at the end of this file

Sources 2010 US Census ABAG Projections 2013 2014 American Community Survey ACS Journey-to-Work data 2006-2008 and 2006-2010

Child Care Coordinating Council of San Mateo County (4Cs) Community Care Licensing Brion Economics Inc

Prepared by Brion Economics Inc 2513-SMC NA Final Tables 61216 6122016

FINAL

Table B-13

Future Child Care Demand and Supply in 2025 in Pacifica

San Mateo County Child Care Study - 2016

PACIFICA

Child Care as of 2025

No of

Providers

Under 2 Years

Old

2 to 4 Year

Olds

Total 0 to 4

Years

EXISTING DEMAND Child Care Demand

Estimated Total Children

Average L FPRAdjustment Factor

Children With Working Parents

Licensed Care Demand Factor

Resident Children Needing Licensed Care

of Total Resident Children Needing Licensed Care

Children from Non-Resident Employees Needing

Licensed Care

(1)

(2)

(3)

816 1300

78

633 1209

37

234 1130

29 87

19 29

2116

1842

74

1364

64

48

Total Demand for Child Care Spaces

Distribution

EXISTING SUPPLY (4)

254 1159

18 82

Child Care Spaces

1413

100

Family Child Care Home Supply

Child Care Center Supply

Current Child Care Supply

Distribution

EXISTING SURPLUS(SHORTAGE)

Distribution

Percentage of Demand Met

by Existing FacilitiesSpaces

Shortage of Family Child Care Home Spaces

Shortage of Center-Based Spaces

(5)

(6)

(6)

9

18

27

77 97

39 701

116 798

13 87

(138) (361)

28 72

46 69

(91) (44)

(46) (317)

174

740

914

100

(499)

100

65

(135)

(364)

Note All footnote references can be found in Table C-1 at the end of this file

Sources 2010 US Census ABAG Projections 2013 2014 American Community Survey ACS Journey-to-Work data 2006-2008 and 2006-2010

Child Care Coordinating Council of San Mateo County (4Cs) Community Care Licensing Brion Economics Inc

Prepared by Brion Economics Inc 2513-SMC NA Final Tables 61216 6122016

PORTOLA VALLEY

Child Care as of 2025

No of

Providers

Under 2 Years

Old

2 to 4 Year

Olds

Total 0 to 4

Years

EXISTING DEMAND Child Care Demand

Estimated Total Children

Average LFPRAdjustment Factor

Children With Working Parents

Licensed Care Demand Factor

Resident Children Needing Licensed Care

of Total Resident Children Needing Licensed Care

Children from Non-Resident Employees Needing

Licensed Care

(1)

(2)

(3)

77 192

66

51 173

37

19 164

24 85

9 13

269

224

82

182

68

22

Total Demand for Child Care Spaces

Distribution

EXISTING SUPPLY (4)

28 177

13 87

Child Care Spaces

204

100

Family Child Care Home Supply

Child Care Center Supply

Current Child Care Supply

Distribution

EXISTING SURPLUS(SHORTAGE)

Distribution

Percentage of Demand Met

by Existing FacilitiesSpaces

Shortage of Family Child Care Home Spaces

Shortage of Center-Based Spaces

(5)

(6)

(6)

0

4

4

- -

- 153

- 153

0 100

(28) (24)

54 46

0 87

0 0

(28) (24)

0

153

153

100

(51)

100

75

0

(51)

FINAL

Table B-14

Future Child Care Demand and Supply in 2025 in Portola Valley

San Mateo County Child Care Study - 2016

Note All footnote references can be found in Table C-1 at the end of this file

Sources 2010 US Census ABAG Projections 2013 2014 American Community Survey ACS Journey-to-Work data 2006-2008 and 2006-2010

Child Care Coordinating Council of San Mateo County (4Cs) Community Care Licensing Brion Economics Inc

Prepared by Brion Economics Inc 2513-SMC NA Final Tables 61216 6122016

REDWOOD CITY

No of

Providers

Child Care as of 2025

Under 2 Years

Old

2 to 4 Year

Olds

Total 0 to 4

Years

EXISTING DEMAND Child Care Demand

Estimated Total Children

Average LFPRAdjustment Factor

Children With Working Parents

Licensed Care Demand Factor

Resident Children Needing Licensed Care

of Total Resident Children Needing Licensed Care

Children from Non-Resident Employees Needing

Licensed Care

Total Demand for Child Care Spaces

Distribution

EXISTING SUPPLY

(1)

(2)

(3)

(4)

3725 5378

69

2555 4813

37

946 4505

25 84

466 703

1411 5208

21 79

Child Care Spaces

9103

7368

74

5450

60

1169

6619

100

Family Child Care Home Supply

Child Care Center Supply

Current Child Care Supply

Distribution

EXISTING SURPLUS(SHORTAGE)

Distribution

Percentage of Demand Met

by Existing FacilitiesSpaces

Shortage of Family Child Care Home Spaces

Shortage of Center-Based Spaces

(5)

(6)

(6)

42

41

83

396 497

356 2036

752 2533

23 77

(660) (2674)

20 80

53 49

(347) (525)

(313) (2149)

893

2392

3285

100

(3334)

100

50

(872)

(2462)

FINAL

Table B-15

Future Child Care Demand and Supply in 2025 in Redwood City

San Mateo County Child Care Study - 2016

Note All footnote references can be found in Table C-1 at the end of this file

Sources 2010 US Census ABAG Projections 2013 2014 American Community Survey ACS Journey-to-Work data 2006-2008 and 2006-2010

Child Care Coordinating Council of San Mateo County (4Cs) Community Care Licensing Brion Economics Inc

Prepared by Brion Economics Inc 2513-SMC NA Final Tables 61216 6122016

SAN BRUNO

Child Care as of 2025

No of

Providers

Under 2 Years

Old

2 to 4 Year

Olds

Total 0 to 4

Years

EXISTING DEMAND Child Care Demand

Estimated Total Children

Average LFPRAdjustment Factor

Children With Working Parents

Licensed Care Demand Factor

Resident Children Needing Licensed Care

of Total Resident Children Needing Licensed Care

Children from Non-Resident Employees Needing

Licensed Care

(1)

(2)

(3)

1189 1728

77

910 1589

37

337 1475

28 85

68 103

2917

2498

73

1812

62

171

Total Demand for Child Care Spaces

Distribution

EXISTING SUPPLY (4)

405 1578

20 80

Child Care Spaces

1983

100

Family Child Care Home Supply

Child Care Center Supply

Current Child Care Supply

Distribution

EXISTING SURPLUS(SHORTAGE)

Distribution

Percentage of Demand Met

by Existing FacilitiesSpaces

Shortage of Family Child Care Home Spaces

Shortage of Center-Based Spaces

(5)

(6)

(6)

13

15

28

122 153

26 1183

148 1336

10 90

(257) (242)

52 48

37 85

(212) (28)

(45) (214)

275

1209

1484

100

(499)

100

75

(239)

(259)

FINAL

Table B-16

Future C hild Care Demand and Supply in 2025 in San Bruno

San Mateo County Child Care Study - 2016

Note All footnote references can be found in Table C-1 at the end of this file

Sources 2010 US Census ABAG Projections 2013 2014 American Community Survey ACS Journey-to-Work data 2006-2008 and 2006-2010

Child Care Coordinating Council of San Mateo County (4Cs) Community Care Licensing Brion Economics Inc

Prepared by Brion Economics Inc 2513-SMC NA Final Tables 61216 6122016

SAN CARLOS

Child Care as of 2025

No of

Providers

Under 2 Years

Old

2 to 4 Year

Olds

Total 0 to 4

Years

EXISTING DEMAND Child Care Demand

Estimated Total Children

Average LFPRAdjustment Factor

Children With Working Parents

Licensed Care Demand Factor

Resident Children Needing Licensed Care

of Total Resident Children Needing Licensed Care

Children from Non-Resident Employees Needing

Licensed Care

(1)

(2)

(3)

778 1384

72

557 1255

37

206 1174

26 85

82 123

2162

1812

76

1380

64

205

Total Demand for Child Care Spaces

Distribution

EXISTING SUPPLY (4)

288 1297

18 82

Child Care Spaces

1585

100

Family Child Care Home Supply

Child Care Center Supply

Current Child Care Supply

Distribution

EXISTING SURPLUS(SHORTAGE)

Distribution

Percentage of Demand Met

by Existing FacilitiesSpaces

Shortage of Family Child Care Home Spaces

Shortage of Center-Based Spaces

(5)

(6)

(6)

28

14

42

73 92

76 615

149 707

17 83

(139) (590)

19 81

52 54

(68) (76)

(71) (514)

164

691

855

100

(729)

100

54

(145)

(585)

FINAL

Table B-17

Future Child Care Demand and Supply in 2025 in San Carlos

San Mateo County Child Care Study - 2016

Note All footnote references can be found in Table C-1 at the end of this file

Sources 2010 US Census ABAG Projections 2013 2014 American Community Survey ACS Journey-to-Work data 2006-2008 and 2006-2010

Child Care Coordinating Council of San Mateo County (4Cs) Community Care Licensing Brion Economics Inc

Prepared by Brion Economics Inc 2513-SMC NA Final Tables 61216 6122016

SAN MATEO

Child Care as of 2025

No of

Providers

Under 2 Years

Old

2 to 4 Year

Olds

Total 0 to 4

Years

EXISTING DEMAND Child Care Demand

Estimated Total Children

Average LFPRAdjustment Factor

Children With Working Parents

Licensed Care Demand Factor

Resident Children Needing Licensed Care

of Total Resident Children Needing Licensed Care

Children from Non-Resident Employees Needing

Licensed Care

(1)

(2)

(3)

3194 4572

71

2264 4116

37

838 3839

26 84

261 394

7766

6381

73

4677

60

656

Total Demand for Child Care Spaces

Distribution

EXISTING SUPPLY (4)

1099 4233

21 79

Child Care Spaces

5332

100

Family Child Care Home Supply

Child Care Center Supply

Current Child Care Supply

Distribution

EXISTING SURPLUS(SHORTAGE)

Distribution

Percentage of Demand Met

by Existing FacilitiesSpaces

Shortage of Family Child Care Home Spaces

Shortage of Center-Based Spaces

(5)

(6)

(6)

69

59

128

492 619

209 2577

701 3196

18 82

(398) (1037)

28 72

64 75

(279) (201)

(119) (837)

1111

2786

3897

100

(1435)

100

73

(480)

(955)

FINAL

Table B-18

Future Child Care Demand and Supply in 2025 in San Mateo

San Mateo County Child Care Study - 2016

Note All footnote references can be found in Table C-1 at the end of this file

Sources 2010 US Census ABAG Projections 2013 2014 American Community Survey ACS Journey-to-Work data 2006-2008 and 2006-2010

Child Care Coordinating Council of San Mateo County (4Cs) Community Care Licensing Brion Economics Inc

Prepared by Brion Economics Inc 2513-SMC NA Final Tables 61216 6122016

FINAL

Table B-19

Future Child Care Demand and Supply in 2025 in South Coast

San Mateo County Child Care Study - 2016

SOUTH COAST

Child Care as of 2025

No of

Providers

Under 2 Years

Old

2 to 4 Year

Olds

Total 0 to 4

Years

EXISTING DEMAND Child Care Demand

Estimated Total Children (1) 23 32 55

Average LFPRAdjustment Factor (2) 54

Children With Working Parents 12 27 40

Licensed Care Demand Factor (3) 37 77

Resident Children Needing Licensed Care 5 26 30

of Total Resident Children Needing Licensed Care 20 81 56

Children from Non-Resident Employees Needing

Licensed Care 0 0 0

Total Demand for Child Care Spaces 5 26 30

Distribution 15 85 100

EXISTING SUPPLY (4) Child Care Spaces

Family Child Care Home Supply - 0 0 0

Child Care Center Supply 2 0 54 54

Current Child Care Supply 2 - 54 54

Distribution 0 100 100

EXISTING SURPLUS(SHORTAGE) (5) 28 24

Distribution -19 119 100

Percentage of Demand Met

by Existing FacilitiesSpaces (5) 0 209 177

Shortage of Family Child Care Home Spaces (6) 0 NA 0

Shortage of Center-Based Spaces (6) (5) NA (5)

Note All footnote references can be found in Table C-1 at the end of this file

Sources 2010 US Census ABAG Projections 2013 2014 American Community Survey ACS Journey-to-Work data 2006-2008 and 2006-2010

Child Care Coordinating Council of San Mateo County (4Cs) Community Care Licensing Brion Economics Inc

Prepared by Brion Economics Inc 2513-SMC NA Final Tables 61216 6122016

SOUTH SAN FRANCISCO

Child Care as of 2025

No of

Providers

Under 2 Years

Old

2 to 4 Year

Olds

Total 0 to 4

Years

EXISTING DEMAND Child Care Demand

Estimated Total Children

Average LFPRAdjustment Factor

Children With Working Parents

Licensed Care Demand Factor

Resident Children Needing Licensed Care

of Total Resident Children Needing Licensed Care

Children from Non-Resident Employees Needing

Licensed Care

(1)

(2)

(3)

1835 2790

73

1342 2535

37

496 2362

27 85

339 512

4625

3877

74

2859

62

851

Total Demand for Child Care Spaces

Distribution

EXISTING SUPPLY (4)

835 2874

23 77

Child Care Spaces

3709

100

Family Child Care Home Supply

Child Care Center Supply

Current Child Care Supply

Distribution

EXISTING SURPLUS(SHORTAGE)

Distribution

Percentage of Demand Met

by Existing FacilitiesSpaces

Shortage of Family Child Care Home Spaces

Shortage of Center-Based Spaces

(5)

(6)

(6)

30

27

57

252 317

400 1966

652 2283

22 78

(183) (591)

24 76

78 79

(71) (82)

(113) (509)

569

2366

2935

100

(775)

100

79

(153)

(622)

FINAL

Table B-20

Future Child Care Demand and Supply in 2025 in South San Francisco

San Mateo County Child Care Study - 2016

Note All footnote references can be found in Table C-1 at the end of this file

Sources 2010 US Census ABAG Projections 2013 2014 American Community Survey ACS Journey-to-Work data 2006-2008 and 2006-2010

Child Care Coordinating Council of San Mateo County (4Cs) Community Care Licensing Brion Economics Inc

Prepared by Brion Economics Inc 2513-SMC NA Final Tables 61216 6122016

WOODSIDE

No of

Providers

Child Care as of 2025

Under 2 Years

Old

2 to 4 Year

Olds

Total 0 to 4

Years

EXISTING DEMAND Child Care Demand

Estimated Total Children

Average LFPRAdjustment Factor

Children With Working Parents

Licensed Care Demand Factor

Resident Children Needing Licensed Care

of Total Resident Children Needing Licensed Care

Children from Non-Resident Employees Needing

Licensed Care

(1)

(2)

(3)

93 165

56

51 140

37

19 132

21 80

9 13

258

192

79

152

59

22

Total Demand for Child Care Spaces

Distribution

EXISTING SUPPLY (4)

28 146

16 84

Child Care Spaces

174

100

Family Child Care Home Supply

Child Care Center Supply

Current Child Care Supply

Distribution

EXISTING SURPLUS(SHORTAGE)

Distribution

Percentage of Demand Met

by Existing FacilitiesSpaces

Shortage of Family Child Care Home Spaces

Shortage of Center-Based Spaces

(5)

(6)

(6)

1

2

3

4 5

- 103

4 108

4 96

(24) (38)

39 61

15 74

(24) (2)

0 (36)

9

103

112

100

(61)

100

65

(26)

(36)

FINAL

Table B-21

Future Child Care Demand and Supply in 2025 in Woodside

San Mateo County Child Care Study - 2016

Note All footnote references can be found in Table C-1 at the end of this file

Sources 2010 US Census ABAG Projections 2013 2014 American Community Survey ACS Journey-to-Work data 2006-2008 and 2006-2010

Child Care Coordinating Council of San Mateo County (4Cs) Community Care Licensing Brion Economics Inc

Prepared by Brion Economics Inc 2513-SMC NA Final Tables 61216 6122016

FINAL

Table C-1

Endnotes for Tables

San Mateo County Child Care Study - 2016

(1) Population by age is based on the percentage breakdown from the 2010 US Census and applied

to population estimates for 2015 using ABAGs Projections 2013 population data The ABAG data

for each area includes its Sphere of Influence and is not based on strict jurisdictional boundaries

(2) Labor force participation rates are from the 5-Year American Community Survey 2014 and include

children under six years old with two working parents or a single working parent For the 2- to 4-year

olds the labor force participation rate is applied to 2 year olds For 3- and 4-year olds it is assumed

that 100 need licensed care to support preschool for every child so the number of

3- and 4-year olds is not discounted by labor force participation rates

(3) Not all children with working parents are assumed to need licensed care percentage assumptions are

used to calculate the number of children requiring licensed care under each age category The

remaining children are assumed to be cared for in alternate arrangements such as by family members

nannies friends and other unlicensed care For children ages 3- and 4-years old it is assumed that

they all need care in the form of preschool

(4) Data on child care supply provided by the Child Care Coordinating Council of San Mateo County (4Cs)

and Community Care Licensing Division of the California Department of Social Services (CCLD) Data is

for June 2015

(5) Demand that calculates as less than 100 means that there is greater demand than supply percent of

demand that is over 100 means supply exceeds demand

(6) Unmet demand is broken down into shortage by type of care based on the proportion of FCCHs and

child care centers spaces available in each area If an area does not have any FCCHs or centers the

unmet demand is placed in the type of care that is available in the area (eg if there are only centers

all demand goes to centers)

Source Brion Economics Inc

Prepared by Brion Economics Inc 2513-SMC NA Final Tables 61216 6122016

DRAFT REPORT

Table C-2

Labor Force Participation Rates by CityArea

San Mateo County Child Care Study - 2016

CityArea

Labor Force

Participation Rate (1)

Atherton

Belmont

Brisbane

Burlingame

Daly CityColma

East Palo Alto

Foster City

Half Moon Bay Region

Hillsborough

Menlo Park

Millbrae

Pacifica

Portola Valley

Redwood City

San Bruno

San Carlos

San Mateo

South Coast

South San Francisco

Woodside

40

77

100

65

74

71

63

69

52

69

62

78

66

69

77

72

71

54

73

56

(1) Labor force participation rates (LFPRs) are for

families with children under age six with two

working parents or a single parent who works Sources American Community Survey 2014 5-Year

Survey Brion Economics Inc

Prepared by Brion Economics Inc 2513-SMC NA Final Tables 61216 6122016

  • 2513-SMC FINAL NA Memo-61216
  • 2513-SMC NA Final Tables 61216
Page 20: Final San Mateo County Child Care Needs … Care...Future C hild Care Demand and Supply in 2025 in Daly City/Colma San Mateo County Child Care Study - 2016 Note: All footnote references

Table 11

Number of Child Care Providers by City in 2015

San Mateo County Child Care Study - 2016

Family Child Licensed

CityArea Care Homes Centers Total

Atherton 1 6 7

Belmont 18 9 27

Brisbane 1 1 2

Burlingame 21 14 35

Daly CityColma 85 28 113

East Palo Alto 21 6 27

Foster City 29 12 41

Half Moon Bay Region (1) 28 11 39

Hillsborough 1 4 5

Menlo Park (2) 18 25 43

Millbrae 17 7 24

Pacifica 21 18 39

Portola Valley 0 4 4

Redwood City (2) 111 45 156

San Bruno 34 15 49

San Carlos 20 14 34

San Mateo 126 59 185

South Coast (3) 0 2 2

South San Francisco 68 27 95

Woodside 1 2 3

Countywide 621 309 930

FINAL

(1) Half Moon Bay Region includes the City of Half Moon Bay El Granada

Montara and Moss Beach

(2) ABAG Projections have 6300 people listed as Remainder population

this amount is divided equally between Menlo Park and Redwood City

given that they are surrounded by unincorporated areas

(3) South Coast includes La Honda Loma Mar and Pescadero

Sources Child Care Coordinating Council of San Mateo County (4Cs)

Community Care Licensing Brion Economics Inc

Prepared by Brion Economics Inc 2513-SMC NA Final Tables 61216 6122016

CityArea

Shortage

Infant

Center

Spaces

Infant care

Percentage

of Shortage

Shortage

Preschool

Center

Spaces

Preschool

Percentage

of Shortage

Total Center-

Based Space

Shortage

Atherton

Belmont

Brisbane

Burlingame

Daly CityColma

East Palo Alto

Foster City

Half Moon Bay Region

Hillsborough

Menlo Park

Millbrae

Pacifica

Portola Valley

Redwood City

San Bruno

San Carlos

San Mateo

South Coast

South San Francisco

Woodside

Countywide

NA

(48)

NA

(73)

(99)

(42)

(27)

(3)

NA

(180)

0

(43)

(26)

(232)

(38)

(62)

(90)

(2)

(63)

NA

NA

14

NA

23

7

7

100

1

NA

35

0

13

59

12

34

12

14

NA

19

NA

NA

(289)

(149)

(243)

(1253)

(582)

NA

(236)

(173)

(338)

(154)

(280)

(18)

(1635)

(73)

(449)

(557)

NA

(263)

(31)

NA

86

100

77

93

93

NA

99

100

65

100

87

41

88

66

88

86

NA

81

100

NA

(337)

(149)

(316)

(1352)

(623)

(27)

(240)

(173)

(518)

(154)

(323)

(45)

(1867)

(110)

(511)

(647)

(2)

(326)

(31)

(1193) 15 (6609) 85 (7802)

FINAL

Table 12

Summary of Shortage of Child Care Center Spaces by Age - 2015

San Mateo County Child Care Study - 2016

Sources Child Care Coordinating Council of San Mateo County (4Cs) Community Care Licensing

Brion Economics Inc

Prepared by Brion Economics Inc 2513-SMC NA Final Tables 61216 6122016

CityArea

Shortage

Infant Center

Spaces

Infant care

Percentage

of Shortage

Shortage

Preschool

Center

Spaces

Preschool

Percentage

of Shortage

Total Center-

Based Space

Shortage

Atherton

Belmont

Brisbane

Burlingame

Daly CityColma

East Palo Alto

Foster City

Half Moon Bay Region

Hillsborough

Menlo Park

Millbrae

Pacifica

Portola Valley

Redwood City

San Bruno

San Carlos

San Mateo

South Coast

South San Francisco

Woodside

Countywide

NA

(53)

NA

(85)

(111)

(49)

(33)

(6)

NA

(207)

0

(46)

(28)

(313)

(45)

(71)

(119)

(5)

(113)

0

NA

14

NA

19

7

6

100

2

NA

28

0

13

54

13

17

12

12

NA

18

NA

NA

(331)

(160)

(350)

(1412)

(715)

NA

(279)

(183)

(544)

(219)

(317)

(24)

(2149)

(214)

(514)

(837)

NA

(509)

(36)

NA

86

100

81

93

94

NA

98

100

72

100

87

46

87

83

88

88

NA

82

100

NA

(384)

(160)

(434)

(1523)

(764)

(33)

(285)

(183)

(752)

(219)

(364)

(51)

(2462)

(259)

(585)

(955)

(5)

(622)

(36)

(1454) 14 (8762) 86 (10216)

FINAL

Table 13

Summary of Shortage of Child Care Center Spaces by Age - 2025

San Mateo County Child Care Study - 2016

Sources Child Care Coordinating Council of San Mateo County (4Cs) Community Care Licensing

Brion Economics Inc

Prepared by Brion Economics Inc 2513-SMC NA Final Tables 61216 6122016

COUNTYWIDE

Child Care as of 2015

No of

Providers

Under 2 Years

Old

2 to 4 Year

Olds

Total 0 to 4

Years

EXISTING DEMAND Child Care Demand

Estimated Total Children

Average LFPRAdjustment Factor

Children With Working Parents

Licensed Care Demand Factor

Resident Children Needing Licensed Care

of Total Resident Children Needing Licensed Care

Children from Non-Resident Employees Needing

Licensed Care

Total Demand for Child Care Spaces

Distribution

EXISTING SUPPLY

(1)

(2)

(3)

(4)

19008 28678

71

13449 25720

37

4976 24188

26 84

1845 2784

6821 26971

20 80

Child Care Spaces

47686

39169

86

29164

61

4629

33792

100

Family Child Care Home Supply

Child Care Center Supply

Current Child Care Supply

Distribution

EXISTING SURPLUS(SHORTAGE)

Distribution

Percentage of Demand Met

by Existing FacilitiesSpaces

Shortage of Family Child Care Home Spaces

Shortage of Center-Based Spaces

(5)

(6)

(6)

621

309 -930

2301 2893

1514 16296 - -3815 19189

17 83

(3006) (7783)

28 72

56 71

(1813) (1173)

(1193) (6609)

5193

17810 -23003

100

(10789)

100

68

(2986)

(7802)

FINAL

Table A-1

Existing Child Care Demand and Supply in 2015 Countywide

San Mateo County Child Care Study - 2016

Note All footnote references can be found in Table C-1 at the end of this file

Sources 2010 US Census ABAG Projections 2013 2014 American Community Survey ACS Journey-to-Work data 2006-2008 and 2006-2010

Child Care Coordinating Council of San Mateo County (4Cs) Community Care Licensing Brion Economics Inc

Prepared by Brion Economics Inc 2513-SMC NA Final Tables 61216 6122016

ATHERTON

Child Care as of 2015

No of

Providers

Under 2 Years

Old

2 to 4 Year

Olds

Total 0 to 4

Years

EXISTING DEMAND Child Care Demand

Estimated Total Children

Average LFPRAdjustment Factor

Children With Working Parents

Licensed Care Demand Factor

Resident Children Needing Licensed Care

of Total Resident Children Needing Licensed Care

Children from Non-Resident Employees Needing

Licensed Care

(1)

(2)

(3)

105 185

40

42 153

37

15 147

15 80

12 18

290

194

84

163

56

29

Total Demand for Child Care Spaces

Distribution

EXISTING SUPPLY (4)

27 165

14 86

Child Care Spaces

192

100

Family Child Care Home Supply

Child Care Center Supply

Current Child Care Supply

Distribution

EXISTING SURPLUS(SHORTAGE)

Distribution

Percentage of Demand Met

by Existing FacilitiesSpaces

Shortage of Family Child Care Home Spaces

Shortage of Center-Based Spaces

(5)

(6)

(6)

1

6

7

5 6

24 267

29 273

10 90

2 108

2 98

107 165

NA NA

NA NA

11

291

302

100

110

100

157

NA

NA

FINAL

Table A-2

Existing Child Care Demand and Supply in 2015 in Atherton

San Mateo Co unty Child Care Study - 2016

Note All footnote references can be found in Table C-1 at the end of this file

Sources 2010 US Census ABAG Projections 2013 2014 American Community Survey ACS Journey-to-Work data 2006-2008 and 2006-2010

Child Care Coordinating Council of San Mateo County (4Cs) Community Care Licensing Brion Economics Inc

Prepared by Brion Economics Inc 2513-SMC NA Final Tables 61216 6122016

BELMONT

Child Care as of 2015

No of

Providers

Under 2 Years

Old

2 to 4 Year

Olds

Total 0 to 4

Years

EXISTING DEMAND Child Care Demand

Estimated Total Children

Average LFPRAdjustment Factor

Children With Working Parents

Licensed Care Demand Factor

Resident Children Needing Licensed Care

of Total Resident Children Needing Licensed Care

Children from Non-Resident Employees Needing

Licensed Care

(1)

(2)

(3)

708 1045

77

548 966

37

203 899

29 86

34 51

1753

1513

73

1102

63

85

Total Demand for Child Care Spaces

Distribution

EXISTING SUPPLY (4)

237 950

20 80

Child Care Spaces

1187

100

Family Child Care Home Supply

Child Care Center Supply

Current Child Care Supply

Distribution

EXISTING SURPLUS(SHORTAGE)

Distribution

Percentage of Demand Met

by Existing FacilitiesSpaces

Shortage of Family Child Care Home Spaces

Shortage of Center-Based Spaces

(5)

(6)

(6)

18

9

27

67 84

39 531

106 615

15 85

(130) (335)

28 72

45 65

(83) (46)

(48) (289)

152

570

722

100

(465)

100

61

(128)

(337)

FINAL

Table A-3

Existing Child Care Demand and Supply in 2015 in Belmont

San Mateo County Child Care Study - 2016

Note All footnote references can be found in Table C-1 at the end of this file Sources 2010 US Census ABAG Projections 2013 2014 American Community Survey ACS Journey-to-Work data 2006-2008 and

2006-2010 Child Care Coordinating Council of San Mateo County (4Cs) Community Care Licensing Brion Economics Inc

Prepared by Brion Economics Inc 2513-SMC NA Final Tables 61216 6122016

FINAL

Table A-4

Existing Child Care Demand and Supply in 2015 in Brisbane

San Mateo County Child Care Study - 2016

BRISBANE

Child Care as of 2015

No of

Providers

Under 2 Years

Old

2 to 4 Year

Olds

Total 0 to 4

Years

EXISTING DEMAND Child Care Demand

Estimated Total Children (1) 125 166 292

Average LFPRAdjustment Factor (2) 100

Children With Working Parents 125 166 292

Licensed Care Demand Factor (3) 37 68

Resident Children Needing Licensed Care 46 153 199

of Total Resident Children Needing Licensed Care 37 92 68

Children from Non-Resident Employees Needing

Licensed Care 52 78 129

Total Demand for Child Care Spaces 98 231 329

Distribution 30 70 100

EXISTING SUPPLY (4) Child Care Spaces

Family Child Care Home Supply 1 4 5 9

Child Care Center Supply 1 - 64 64

Current Child Care Supply 2 4 69 73

Distribution 6 94 100

EXISTING SURPLUS(SHORTAGE) (94) (162) (255)

Distribution 37 63 100

Percentage of Demand Met

by Existing FacilitiesSpaces (5) 4 30 22

Shortage of Family Child Care Home Spaces (6) (94) (12) (106)

Shortage of Center-Based Spaces (6) 0 (149) (149)

Note All footnote references can be found in Table C-1 at the end of this file

Sources 2010 US Census ABAG Projections 2013 2014 American Community Survey ACS Journey-to-Work data 2006-2008 and 2006-2010

Child Care Coordinating Council of San Mateo County (4Cs) Community Care Licensing Brion Economics Inc

Prepared by Brion Economics Inc 2513-SMC NA Final Tables 61216 6122016

BURLINGAME

Child Care as of 2015

No of

Providers

Under 2 Years

Old

2 to 4 Year

Olds

Total 0 to 4

Years

EXISTING DEMAND Child Care Demand

Estimated Total Children

Average LFPRAdjustment Factor

Children With Working Parents

Licensed Care Demand Factor

Resident Children Needing Licensed Care

of Total Resident Children Needing Licensed Care

Children from Non-Resident Employees Needing

Licensed Care

(1)

(2)

(3)

824 1216

65

535 1086

37

198 1025

24 84

140 211

2040

1621

75

1224

60

350

Total Demand for Child Care Spaces

Distribution

EXISTING SUPPLY (4)

338 1236

21 79

Child Care Spaces

1574

100

Family Child Care Home Supply

Child Care Center Supply

Current Child Care Supply

Distribution

EXISTING SURPLUS(SHORTAGE)

Distribution

Percentage of Demand Met

by Existing FacilitiesSpaces

Shortage of Family Child Care Home Spaces

Shortage of Center-Based Spaces

(5)

(6)

(6)

21

14

35

79 99

40 866

119 965

11 89

(219) (271)

45 55

35 78

(145) (28)

(73) (243)

179

906

1085

100

(489)

100

69

(173)

(316)

FINAL

Table A-5

Existing Child Care Demand and Supply in 2015 in Burlingame

San Mateo County Child Care Study - 2016

Note All footnote references can be found in Table C-1 at the end of this file

Sources 2010 US Census ABAG Projections 2013 2014 American Community Survey ACS Journey-to-Work data 2006-2008 and 2006-2010

Child Care Coordinating Council of San Mateo County (4Cs) Community Care Licensing Brion Economics Inc

Prepared by Brion Economics Inc 2513-SMC NA Final Tables 61216 6122016

DALY CITYCOLMA

Child Care as of 2015

No of

Providers

Under 2 Years

Old

2 to 4 Year

Olds

Total 0 to 4

Years

EXISTING DEMAND Child Care Demand

Estimated Total Children

Average LFPRAdjustment Factor

Children With Working Parents

Licensed Care Demand Factor

Resident Children Needing Licensed Care

of Total Resident Children Needing Licensed Care

Children from Non-Resident Employees Needing

Licensed Care

(1)

(2)

(3)

2495 3575

742

1851 3268

37

685 3047

27 85

126 190

6070

5119

73

3732

61

316

Total Demand for Child Care Spaces

Distribution

EXISTING SUPPLY (4)

811 3237

20 80

Child Care Spaces

4048

100

Family Child Care Home Supply

Child Care Center Supply

Current Child Care Supply

Distribution

EXISTING SURPLUS(SHORTAGE)

Distribution

Percentage of Demand Met

by Existing FacilitiesSpaces

Shortage of Family Child Care Home Spaces

Shortage of Center-Based Spaces

(5)

(6)

(6)

85

28

113

288 362

84 1264

372 1626

19 81

(439) (1612)

21 79

46 50

(340) (359)

(99) (1253)

649

1348

1997

100

(2051)

100

49

(698)

(1352)

FINAL

Table A-6

Existing Child Care Demand and Supply in 2015 in Daly CityColma

San Mateo Co unty Child Care Study - 2016

Note All footnote references can be found in Table C-1 at the end of this file

Sources 2010 US Census ABAG Projections 2013 2014 American Community Survey ACS Journey-to-Work data 2006-2008 and 2006-2010

Child Care Coordinating Council of San Mateo County (4Cs) Community Care Licensing Brion Economics Inc

Prepared by Brion Economics Inc 2513-SMC NA Final Tables 61216 6122016

EAST PALO ALTO

Child Care as of 2015

No of

Providers

Under 2 Years

Old

2 to 4 Year

Olds

Total 0 to 4

Years

EXISTING DEMAND Child Care Demand

Estimated Total Children

Average LFPRAdjustment Factor

Children With Working Parents

Licensed Care Demand Factor

Resident Children Needing Licensed Care

of Total Resident Children Needing Licensed Care

Children from Non-Resident Employees Needing

Licensed Care

(1)

(2)

(3)

1046 1667

71

741 1496

37

274 1392

26 84

18 27

2713

2237

75

1666

61

45

Total Demand for Child Care Spaces

Distribution

EXISTING SUPPLY (4)

292 1419

17 83

Child Care Spaces

1711

100

Family Child Care Home Supply

Child Care Center Supply

Current Child Care Supply

Distribution

EXISTING SURPLUS(SHORTAGE)

Distribution

Percentage of Demand Met

by Existing FacilitiesSpaces

Shortage of Family Child Care Home Spaces

Shortage of Center-Based Spaces

(5)

(6)

(6)

21

6

27

85 106

25 633

110 739

13 87

(182) (680)

21 79

38 52

(141) (98)

(42) (582)

191

658

849

100

(862)

100

50

(239)

(623)

FINAL

Table A-7

Existing Child Care Demand and Supply in 2015 in East Palo Alto

San Mateo County Child Care Study - 2016

Note All footnote references can be found in Table C-1 at the end of this file Sources 2010 US Census ABAG Projections 2013 2014 American Community Survey ACS Journey-to-Work data 2006-2008 and 2006-2010

Child Care Coordinating Council of San Mateo County (4Cs) Community Care Licensing Brion Economics Inc

Prepared by Brion Economics Inc 2513-SMC NA Final Tables 61216 6122016

FOSTER CITY

Child Care as of 2015

No of

Providers

Under 2 Years

Old

2 to 4 Year

Olds

Total 0 to 4

Years

EXISTING DEMAND Child Care Demand

Estimated Total Children

Average LFPRAdjustment Factor

Children With Working Parents

Licensed Care Demand Factor

Resident Children Needing Licensed Care

of Total Resident Children Needing Licensed Care

Children from Non-Resident Employees Needing

Licensed Care

(1)

(2)

(3)

836 1277

63

528 1108

37

195 1035

23 81

73 110

2113

1636

75

1231

58

183

Total Demand for Child Care Spaces

Distribution

EXISTING SUPPLY (4)

268 1145

19 81

Child Care Spaces

1414

100

Family Child Care Home Supply

Child Care Center Supply

Current Child Care Supply

Distribution

EXISTING SURPLUS(SHORTAGE)

Distribution

Percentage of Demand Met

by Existing FacilitiesSpaces

Shortage of Family Child Care Home Spaces

Shortage of Center-Based Spaces

(5)

(6)

(6)

29

12

41

118 149

88 1200

206 1349

13 87

(62) 203

NA NA

77 118

(36) NA

(27) NA

267

1288

1555

100

141

NA

110

(36)

(27)

FINAL

Table A-8

Existing Child Care Demand and Supply in 2015 in Foster City

San Mateo County Child Care Study - 2016

Note All footnote references can be found in Table C-1 at the end of this file

Sources 2010 US Census ABAG Projections 2013 2014 American Community Survey ACS Journey-to-Work data 2006-2008 and 2006-2010

Child Care Coordinating Council of San Mateo County (4Cs) Community Care Licensing Brion Economics Inc

Prepared by Brion Economics Inc 2513-SMC NA Final Tables 61216 6122016

HALF MOON BAY REGION

Child Care as of 2015

No of

Providers

Under 2 Years

Old

2 to 4 Year

Olds

Total 0 to 4

Years

EXISTING DEMAND Child Care Demand

Estimated Total Children

Average LFPRAdjustment Factor

Children With Working Parents

Licensed Care Demand Factor

Resident Children Needing Licensed Care

of Total Resident Children Needing Licensed Care

Children from Non-Resident Employees Needing

Licensed Care

(1)

(2)

(3)

511 860

69

354 772

37

131 723

26 84

13 19

1371

1126

76

854

62

32

Total Demand for Child Care Spaces

Distribution

EXISTING SUPPLY (4)

144 742

16 84

Child Care Spaces

885

100

Family Child Care Home Supply

Child Care Center Supply

Current Child Care Supply

Distribution

EXISTING SURPLUS(SHORTAGE)

Distribution

Percentage of Demand Met

by Existing FacilitiesSpaces

Shortage of Family Child Care Home Spaces

Shortage of Center-Based Spaces

(5)

(6)

(6)

28

11

39

96 121

35 285

131 406

24 76

(13) (336)

4 96

91 55

(9) (100)

(3) (236)

216

320

536

100

(349)

100

61

(109)

(240)

FINAL

Table A-9

Existing Child Care Demand and Supply in 2015 in Half Moon Bay Region

San Mateo County Child Care Study - 2016

Note All footnote references can be found in Table C-1 at the end of this file

Sources 2010 US Census ABAG Projections 2013 2014 American Community Survey ACS Journey-to-Work data 2006-2008 and 2006-2010

Child Care Coordinating Council of San Mateo County (4Cs) Community Care Licensing Brion Economics Inc

Prepared by Brion Economics Inc 2513-SMC NA Final Tables 61216 6122016

HILLSBOROUGH

Child Care as of 2015

No of

Providers

Under 2 Years

Old

2 to 4 Year

Olds

Total 0 to 4

Years

EXISTING DEMAND Child Care Demand

Estimated Total Children

Average LFPRAdjustment Factor

Children With Working Parents

Licensed Care Demand Factor

Resident Children Needing Licensed Care

of Total Resident Children Needing Licensed Care

Children from Non-Resident Employees Needing

Licensed Care

(1)

(2)

(3)

138 331

52

71 284

37

26 272

19 82

7 10

469

356

84

298

64

16

Total Demand for Child Care Spaces

Distribution

EXISTING SUPPLY (4)

33 282

10 90

Child Care Spaces

315

100

Family Child Care Home Supply

Child Care Center Supply

Current Child Care Supply

Distribution

EXISTING SURPLUS(SHORTAGE)

Distribution

Percentage of Demand Met

by Existing FacilitiesSpaces

Shortage of Family Child Care Home Spaces

Shortage of Center-Based Spaces

(5)

(6)

(6)

1

4

5

5 6

- 91

5 97

5 95

(28) (185)

13 87

15 34

(28) (12)

0 (173)

11

91

102

100

(213)

100

32

(40)

(173)

FINAL

Table A-10

Existing Child Care Demand and Supply in 2015 in Hillsborough

San Mateo County Child Care Study - 2016

Note All footnote references can be found in Table C-1 at the end of this file Sources 2010 US Census ABAG Projections 2013 2014 American Community Survey ACS Journey-to-Work data 2006-2008 and 2006-2010

Child Care Coordinating Council of San Mateo County (4Cs) Community Care Licensing Brion Economics Inc

Prepared by Brion Economics Inc 2513-SMC NA Final Tables 61216 6122016

MENLO PARK

Child Care as of 2015

No of

Providers

Under 2 Years

Old

2 to 4 Year

Olds

Total 0 to 4

Years

EXISTING DEMAND Child Care Demand

Estimated Total Children

Average LFPRAdjustment Factor

Children With Working Parents

Licensed Care Demand Factor

Resident Children Needing Licensed Care

of Total Resident Children Needing Licensed Care

Children from Non-Resident Employees Needing

Licensed Care

(1)

(2)

(3)

1170 1723

69

802 1551

37

297 1458

25 85

220 332

2893

2353

75

1754

61

552

Total Demand for Child Care Spaces

Distribution

EXISTING SUPPLY (4)

516 1790

22 78

Child Care Spaces

2306

100

Family Child Care Home Supply

Child Care Center Supply

Current Child Care Supply

Distribution

EXISTING SURPLUS(SHORTAGE)

Distribution

Percentage of Demand Met

by Existing FacilitiesSpaces

Shortage of Family Child Care Home Spaces

Shortage of Center-Based Spaces

(5)

(6)

(6)

18

25

43

76 96

73 1331

149 1427

9 91

(367) (363)

50 50

29 80

(188) (24)

(180) (338)

172

1404

1576

100

(730)

100

68

(212)

(518)

FINAL

Table A-11

Existing Child Care Demand and Supply in 2015 in Menlo Park

San Mateo County Child Care Study - 2016

Note All footnote references can be found in Table C-1 at the end of this file Sources 2010 US Census ABAG Projections 2013 2014 American Community Survey ACS Journey-to-Work data 2006-2008 and 2006-2010

Child Care Coordinating Council of San Mateo County (4Cs) Community Care Licensing Brion Economics Inc

Prepared by Brion Economics Inc 2513-SMC NA Final Tables 61216 6122016

MILLBRAE

Child Care as of 2015

No of

Providers

Under 2 Years

Old

2 to 4 Year

Olds

Total 0 to 4

Years

EXISTING DEMAND Child Care Demand

Total Children

Average LFPRAdjustment Factor

Children With Working Parents

Licensed Care Demand Factor

Resident Children Needing Licensed Care

of Total Resident Children Needing Licensed Care

Children from Non-Resident Employees Needing

Licensed Care

(1)

(2)

(3)

421 717

62

260 632

37

96 598

23 83

28 42

1138

892

78

694

61

69

Total Demand for Child Care Spaces

Distribution

EXISTING SUPPLY (4)

124 640

16 84

Child Care Spaces

764

100

Family Child Care Home Supply

Child Care Center Supply

Current Child Care Supply

Distribution

EXISTING SURPLUS(SHORTAGE)

Distribution

Percentage of Demand Met

by Existing FacilitiesSpaces

Shortage of Family Child Care Home Spaces

Shortage of Center-Based Spaces

(5)

(6)

(6)

17

7

24

62 78

- 376

62 454

12 88

(61) (186)

25 75

50 71

(61) (32)

0 (154)

141

376

517

100

(247)

100

68

(93)

(154)

FINAL

Table A-12

Existing Child Care Demand and Supply in 2015 in Millbrae

San Mateo Co unty Child Care Study - 2016

Note All footnote references can be found in Table C-1 at the end of this file

Sources 2010 US Census ABAG Projections 2013 2014 American Community Survey ACS Journey-to-Work data 2006-2008 and 2006-2010

Child Care Coordinating Council of San Mateo County (4Cs) Community Care Licensing Brion Economics Inc

Prepared by Brion Economics Inc 2513-SMC NA Final Tables 61216 6122016

PACIFICA

Child Care as of 2015

No of

Providers

Under 2 Years

Old

2 to 4 Year

Olds

Total 0 to 4

Years

EXISTING DEMAND Child Care Demand

Estimated Total Children

Average LFPRAdjustment Factor

Children With Working Parents

Licensed Care Demand Factor

Resident Children Needing Licensed Care

of Total Resident Children Needing Licensed Care

Children from Non-Resident Employees Needing

Licensed Care

(1)

(2)

(3)

787 1253

78

610 1165

37

226 1089

29 87

18 27

2040

1776

74

1315

64

45

Total Demand for Child Care Spaces

Distribution

EXISTING SUPPLY (4)

244 1117

18 83

Child Care Spaces

1360

100

Family Child Care Home Supply

Child Care Center Supply

Current Child Care Supply

Distribution

EXISTING SURPLUS(SHORTAGE)

Distribution

Percentage of Demand Met

by Existing FacilitiesSpaces

Shortage of Family Child Care Home Spaces

Shortage of Center-Based Spaces

(5)

(6)

(6)

21

18

39

77 97

39 701

116 798

13 87

(128) (319)

29 71

48 71

(85) (39)

(43) (280)

174

740

914

100

(447)

100

67

(124)

(323)

FINAL

Table A-13

Existing Child Care Demand and Supply in 2015 in Pacifica

San Mateo County Child Care Study - 2016

Note All footnote references can be found in Table C-1 at the end of this file Sources 2010 US Census ABAG Projections 2013 2014 American Community Survey ACS Journey-to-Work data 2006-2008 and 2006-2010

Child Care Coordinating Council of San Mateo County (4Cs) Community Care Licensing Brion Economics Inc

Prepared by Brion Economics Inc 2513-SMC NA Final Tables 61216 6122016

PORTOLA VALLEY

No of

Providers

Child Care as of 2015

Under 2 Years

Old

2 to 4 Year

Olds

Total 0 to 4

Years

EXISTING DEMAND Child Care Demand

Estimated Total Children

Average LFPRAdjustment Factor

Children With Working Parents

Licensed Care Demand Factor

Resident Children Needing Licensed Care

of Total Resident Children Needing Licensed Care

Children from Non-Resident Employees Needing

Licensed Care

(1)

(2)

(3)

75 187

66

49 168

37

18 159

24 85

8 12

261

217

82

177

68

21

Total Demand for Child Care Spaces

Distribution

EXISTING SUPPLY (4)

26 171

13 87

Child Care Spaces

198

100

Family Child Care Home Supply

Child Care Center Supply

Current Child Care Supply

Distribution

EXISTING SURPLUS(SHORTAGE)

Distribution

Percentage of Demand Met

by Existing FacilitiesSpaces

Shortage of Family Child Care Home Spaces

Shortage of Center-Based Spaces

(5)

(6)

(6)

0

4

4

0 0

0 153

0 153

0 100

(26) (18)

59 41

0 89

0 0

(26) (18)

0

153

153

100

(45)

100

77

0

(45)

FINAL

Table A-14

Existing Child Care Demand and Supply in 2015 in Portola Valley

San Mateo County Child Care Study - 2016

Note All footnote references can be found in Table C-1 at the end of this file Sources 2010 US Census ABAG Projections 2013 2014 American Community Survey ACS Journey-to-Work data 2006-2008 and 2006-2010

Child Care Coordinating Council of San Mateo County (4Cs) Community Care Licensing Brion Economics Inc

Prepared by Brion Economics Inc 2513-SMC NA Final Tables 61216 6122016

REDWOOD CITY

Child Care as of 2015

No of

Providers

Under 2 Years

Old

2 to 4 Year

Olds

Total 0 to 4

Years

EXISTING DEMAND Child Care Demand

Estimated Total Children

Average LFPRAdjustment Factor

Children With Working Parents

Licensed Care Demand Factor

Resident Children Needing Licensed Care

of Total Resident Children Needing Licensed Care

Children from Non-Resident Employees Needing

Licensed Care

Total Demand for Child Care Spaces

Distribution

EXISTING SUPPLY

(1)

(2)

(3)

(4)

3260 4706

69

2236 4212

37

827 3942

25 84

414 625

1241 4567

21 79

Child Care Spaces

7966

6449

74

4770

60

1038

5808

100

Family Child Care Home Supply

Child Care Center Supply

Current Child Care Supply

Distribution

EXISTING SURPLUS(SHORTAGE)

Distribution

Percentage of Demand Met

by Existing FacilitiesSpaces

Shortage of Family Child Care Home Spaces

Shortage of Center-Based Spaces

(5)

(6)

(6)

111

45

156

396 497

356 2036

752 2533

23 77

(490) (2034)

19 81

61 55

(258) (399)

(232) (1635)

893

2392

3285

100

(2524)

100

57

(657)

(1867)

FINAL

Table A-15

Existing Child Care Demand and Supply in 2015 in Redwood City

San Mateo County Child Care Study - 2016

Note All footnote references can be found in Table C-1 at the end of this file Sources 2010 US Census ABAG Projections 2013 2014 American Community Survey ACS Journey-to-Work data 2006-2008 and 2006-2010

Child Care Coordinating Council of San Mateo County (4Cs) Community Care Licensing Brion Economics Inc

Prepared by Brion Economics Inc 2513-SMC NA Final Tables 61216 6122016

SAN BRUNO

Child Care as of 2015

No of

Providers

Under 2 Years

Old

2 to 4 Year

Olds

Total 0 to 4

Years

EXISTING DEMAND Child Care Demand

Estimated Total Children

Average LFPRAdjustment Factor

Children With Working Parents

Licensed Care Demand Factor

Resident Children Needing Licensed Care

of Total Resident Children Needing Licensed Care

Children from Non-Resident Employees Needing

Licensed Care

(1)

(2)

(3)

1069 1553

77

817 1428

37

302 1326

28 85

61 92

2622

2245

73

1628

62

153

Total Demand for Child Care Spaces

Distribution

EXISTING SUPPLY (4)

364 1418

20 80

Child Care Spaces

1782

100

Family Child Care Home Supply

Child Care Center Supply

Current Child Care Supply

Distribution

EXISTING SURPLUS(SHORTAGE)

Distribution

Percentage of Demand Met

by Existing FacilitiesSpaces

Shortage of Family Child Care Home Spaces

Shortage of Center-Based Spaces

(5)

(6)

(6)

34

15

49

122 153

26 1183

148 1336

10 90

(216) (82)

72 28

41 94

(178) (9)

(38) (73)

275

1209

1484

100

(298)

100

83

(187)

(110)

FINAL

Table A-16

Existing Child Care Demand and Supply in 2015 in San Bruno

San Mateo County Child Care Study - 2016

Note All footnote references can be found in Table C-1 at the end of this file Sources 2010 US Census ABAG Projections 2013 2014 American Community Survey ACS Journey-to-Work data 2006-2008 and 2006-2010

Child Care Coordinating Council of San Mateo County (4Cs) Community Care Licensing Brion Economics Inc

Prepared by Brion Economics Inc 2513-SMC NA Final Tables 61216 6122016

SAN CARLOS

Child Care as of 2015

No of

Providers

Under 2 Years

Old

2 to 4 Year

Olds

Total 0 to 4

Years

EXISTING DEMAND Child Care Demand

Estimated Total Children

Average LFPRAdjustment Factor

Children With Working Parents

Licensed Care Demand Factor

Resident Children Needing Licensed Care

of Total Resident Children Needing Licensed Care

Children from Non-Resident Employees Needing

Licensed Care

(1)

(2)

(3)

735 1308

72

526 1186

37

195 1109

26 85

75 114

2043

1712

76

1304

64

189

Total Demand for Child Care Spaces

Distribution

EXISTING SUPPLY (4)

270 1222

18 82

Child Care Spaces

1492

100

Family Child Care Home Supply

Child Care Center Supply

Current Child Care Supply

Distribution

EXISTING SURPLUS(SHORTAGE)

Distribution

Percentage of Demand Met

by Existing FacilitiesSpaces

Shortage of Family Child Care Home Spaces

Shortage of Center-Based Spaces

(5)

(6)

(6)

20

14

34

73 92

76 615

149 707

17 83

(121) (516)

19 81

55 58

(59) (67)

(62) (449)

164

691

855

100

(637)

100

57

(126)

(511)

FINAL

Table A-17

Existing Child Care Demand and Supply in 2015 in San Carlos

San Mateo County Child Care Study - 2016

Note All footnote references can be found in Table C-1 at the end of this file

Sources 2010 US Census ABAG Projections 2013 2014 American Community Survey ACS Journey-to-Work data 2006-2008 and 2006-2010

Child Care Coordinating Council of San Mateo County (4Cs) Community Care Licensing Brion Economics Inc

Prepared by Brion Economics Inc 2513-SMC NA Final Tables 61216 6122016

SAN MATEO

Child Care as of 2015

No of

Providers

Under 2 Years

Old

2 to 4 Year

Olds

Total 0 to 4

Years

EXISTING DEMAND Child Care Demand

Estimated Total Children

Average LFPRAdjustment Factor

Children With Working Parents

Licensed Care Demand Factor

Resident Children Needing Licensed Care

of Total Resident Children Needing Licensed Care

Children from Non-Resident Employees Needing

Licensed Care

(1)

(2)

(3)

2943 4213

71

2087 3793

37

772 3537

26 84

231 348

7156

5880

73

4309

60

579

Total Demand for Child Care Spaces

Distribution

EXISTING SUPPLY (4)

1003 3886

21 79

Child Care Spaces

4889

100

Family Child Care Home Supply

Child Care Center Supply

Current Child Care Supply

Distribution

EXISTING SURPLUS(SHORTAGE)

Distribution

Percentage of Demand Met

by Existing FacilitiesSpaces

Shortage of Family Child Care Home Spaces

Shortage of Center-Based Spaces

(5)

(6)

(6)

126

59

185

492 619

209 2577

701 3196

18 82

(302) (690)

30 70

70 82

(212) (134)

(90) (557)

1111

2786

3897

100

(992)

100

80

(345)

(647)

FINAL

Table A-18

Existing Child Care Demand and Supply in 2015 in San Mateo

San Mateo County Child Care Study - 2016

Note All footnote references can be found in Table C-1 at the end of this file

Sources 2010 US Census ABAG Projections 2013 2014 American Community Survey ACS Journey-to-Work data 2006-2008 and 2006-2010

Child Care Coordinating Council of San Mateo County (4Cs) Community Care Licensing Brion Economics Inc

Prepared by Brion Economics Inc 2513-SMC NA Final Tables 61216 6122016

SOUTH COAST

Child Care as of 2015

No of

Providers

Under 2 Years

Old

2 to 4 Year

Olds

Total 0 to 4

Years

EXISTING DEMAND Child Care Demand

Estimated Total Children

Average LFPRAdjustment Factor

Children With Working Parents

Licensed Care Demand Factor

Resident Children Needing Licensed Care

of Total Resident Children Needing Licensed Care

Children from Non-Resident Employees Needing

Licensed Care

(1)

(2)

(3)

21 29

54

11 25

37

4 23

20 81

0 0

50

36

77

28

56

0

Total Demand for Child Care Spaces

Distribution

EXISTING SUPPLY (4)

4 23

15 85

Child Care Spaces

28

100

Family Child Care Home Supply

Child Care Center Supply

Current Child Care Supply

Distribution

EXISTING SURPLUS(SHORTAGE)

Distribution

Percentage of Demand Met

by Existing FacilitiesSpaces

Shortage of Family Child Care Home Spaces

Shortage of Center-Based Spaces

(5)

(6)

(6)

-

2

2

- -

- 54

- 54

0 100

(4) 31

-16 116

0 230

(2) NA

(2) NA

0

54

54

100

26

100

195

(2)

(2)

FINAL

Table A-19

Existing Child Care Demand and Supply in 2015 in South Coast

San Mateo County Child Care Study - 2016

Note All footnote references can be found in Table C-1 at the end of this file

Sources 2010 US Census ABAG Projections 2013 2014 American Community Survey ACS Journey-to-Work data 2006-2008 and 2006-2010

Child Care Coordinating Council of San Mateo County (4Cs) Community Care Licensing Brion Economics Inc

Prepared by Brion Economics Inc 2513-SMC NA Final Tables 61216 6122016

SOUTH SAN FRANCISCO

Child Care as of 2015

No of

Providers

Under 2 Years

Old

2 to 4 Year

Olds

Total 0 to 4

Years

EXISTING DEMAND Child Care Demand

Estimated Total Children

Average LFPRAdjustment Factor

Children With Working Parents

Licensed Care Demand Factor

Resident Children Needing Licensed Care

of Total Resident Children Needing Licensed Care

Children from Non-Resident Employees Needing

Licensed Care

(1)

(2)

(3)

1649 2507

73

1206 2278

37

446 2123

27 85

309 466

4156

3484

74

2569

62

774

Total Demand for Child Care Spaces

Distribution

EXISTING SUPPLY (4)

755 2588

23 77

Child Care Spaces

3343

100

Family Child Care Home Supply

Child Care Center Supply

Current Child Care Supply

Distribution

EXISTING SURPLUS(SHORTAGE)

Distribution

Percentage of Demand Met

by Existing FacilitiesSpaces

Shortage of Family Child Care Home Spaces

Shortage of Center-Based Spaces

(5)

(6)

(6)

68

27

95

252 317

400 1966

652 2283

22 78

(103) (306)

25 75

86 88

(40) (42)

(63) (263)

569

2366

2935

100

(408)

100

88

(82)

(326)

FINAL

Table A-20

Existing Child Care Demand and Supply in 2015 in South San Francisco

San Mateo County Child Care Study - 2016

Note All footnote references can be found in Table C-1 at the end of this file Sources 2010 US Census ABAG Projections 2013 2014 American Community Survey ACS Journey-to-Work data 2006-2008 and 2006-2010

Child Care Coordinating Council of San Mateo County (4Cs) Community Care Licensing Brion Economics Inc

Prepared by Brion Economics Inc 2513-SMC NA Final Tables 61216 6122016

WOODSIDE

No of

Providers

Child Care as of 2015

Under 2 Years

Old

2 to 4 Year

Olds

Total 0 to 4

Years

EXISTING DEMAND Child Care Demand

Estimated Total Children

Average LFPRAdjustment Factor

Children With Working Parents

Licensed Care Demand Factor

Resident Children Needing Licensed Care

of Total Resident Children Needing Licensed Care

Children from Non-Resident Employees Needing

Licensed Care

(1)

(2)

(3)

90 160

56

50 136

37

18 128

21 80

8 13

250

186

79

147

59

21

Total Demand for Child Care Spaces

Distribution

EXISTING SUPPLY (4)

27 141

16 84

Child Care Spaces

168

100

Family Child Care Home Supply

Child Care Center Supply

Current Child Care Supply

Distribution

EXISTING SURPLUS(SHORTAGE)

Distribution

Percentage of Demand Met

by Existing FacilitiesSpaces

Shortage of Family Child Care Home Spaces

Shortage of Center-Based Spaces

(5)

(6)

(6)

1

2

3

4 5

0 103

4 108

4 96

(23) (33)

41 59

16 77

(23) (2)

0 (31)

9

103

112

100

(55)

100

67

(24)

(31)

FINAL

Table A-21

Existing Child Care Demand and Supply in 2015 in Woodside

San Mateo County Child Care Study - 2016

Note All footnote references can be found in Table C-1 at the end of this file Sources 2010 US Census ABAG Projections 2013 2014 American Community Survey ACS Journey-to-Work data 2006-2008 and 2006-2010

Child Care Coordinating Council of San Mateo County (4Cs) Community Care Licensing Brion Economics Inc

Prepared by Brion Economics Inc 2513-SMC NA Final Tables 61216 6122016

COUNTYWIDE

Child Care as of 2025

No of

Providers

Under 2 Years

Old

2 to 4 Year

Olds

Total 0 to 4

Years

EXISTING DEMAND Child Care Demand

Estimated Total Children

Average LFPRAdjustment Factor

Children With Working Parents

Licensed Care Demand Factor

Resident Children Needing Licensed Care

of Total Resident Children Needing Licensed Care

Children from Non-Resident Employees Needing

Licensed Care

Total Demand for Child Care Spaces

Distribution

EXISTING SUPPLY

(1)

(2)

(3)

(4)

20790 31340

71

14704 28273

37

5441 26432

26 84

2037 3074

7478 29506

20 80

Child Care Spaces

52130

42978

86

31873

61

5112

36984

100

Family Child Care Home Supply

Child Care Center Supply

Current Child Care Supply

Distribution

EXISTING SURPLUS(SHORTAGE)

Distribution

Percentage of Demand Met

by Existing FacilitiesSpaces

Shortage of Family Child Care Home Spaces

Shortage of Center-Based Spaces

(5)

(6)

(6)

621

309

930

2301 2893

1514 16296

3815 19189

17 83

(3663) (10318)

26 74

51 65

(2209) (1555)

(1454) (8762)

5193

17810

23003

100

(13981)

100

62

(3765)

(10216)

FINAL

Table B-1

Future C hild Care Demand and Supply in 2025 Countywide

San Mateo County Child Care Study - 2016

Note All footnote references can be found in Table C-1 at the end of this file

Sources 2010 US Census ABAG Projections 2013 2014 American Community Survey ACS Journey-to-Work data 2006-2008 and 2006-2010

Child Care Coordinating Council of San Mateo County (4Cs) Community Care Licensing Brion Economics Inc

Prepared by Brion Economics Inc 2513-SMC NA Final Tables 61216 6122016

ATHERTON

No of

Providers

Child Care as of 2025

Under 2 Years

Old

2 to 4 Year

Olds

Total 0 to 4

Years

EXISTING DEMAND Child Care Demand

Estimated Total Children

Average LFPRAdjustment Factor

Children With Working Parents

Licensed Care Demand Factor

Resident Children Needing Licensed Care

of Total Resident Children Needing Licensed Care

Children from Non-Resident Employees Needing

Licensed Care

(1)

(2)

(3)

109 193

40

43 159

37

16 154

15 80

13 19

302

202

84

170

56

32

Total Demand for Child Care Spaces

Distribution

EXISTING SUPPLY (4)

29 173

14 86

Child Care Spaces

201

100

Family Child Care Home Supply

Child Care Center Supply

Current Child Care Supply

Distribution

EXISTING SURPLUS(SHORTAGE)

Distribution

Percentage of Demand Met

by Existing FacilitiesSpaces

Shortage of Family Child Care Home Spaces

Shortage of Center-Based Spaces

(5)

(6)

(6)

1

6

7

5 6

24 267

29 273

10 90

0 101

0 100

101 158

NA NA

NA NA

11

291

302

100

101

100

150

NA

NA

FINAL

Table B-2

Future Child Care Demand and Supply in 2025 in Atherton

San Mateo Co unty Child Care Study - 2016

Note All footnote references can be found in Table C-1 at the end of this file Sources 2010 US Census ABAG Projections 2013 2014 American Community Survey ACS Journey-to-Work data 2006-2008 and 2006-2010

Child Care Coordinating Council of San Mateo County (4Cs) Community Care Licensing Brion Economics Inc

Prepared by Brion Economics Inc 2513-SMC NA Final Tables 61216 6122016

BELMONT

Child Care as of 2025

No of

Providers

Under 2 Years

Old

2 to 4 Year

Olds

Total 0 to 4

Years

EXISTING DEMAND Child Care Demand

Estimated Total Children

Average LFPRAdjustment Factor

Children With Working Parents

Licensed Care Demand Factor

Resident Children Needing Licensed Care

of Total Resident Children Needing Licensed Care

Children from Non-Resident Employees Needing

Licensed Care

(1)

(2)

(3)

743 1095

77

574 1013

37

213 943

29 86

37 56

1838

1587

73

1156

63

93

Total Demand for Child Care Spaces

Distribution

EXISTING SUPPLY (4)

250 999

20 80

Child Care Spaces

1249

100

Family Child Care Home Supply

Child Care Center Supply

Current Child Care Supply

Distribution

EXISTING SURPLUS(SHORTAGE)

Distribution

Percentage of Demand Met

by Existing FacilitiesSpaces

Shortage of Family Child Care Home Spaces

Shortage of Center-Based Spaces

(5)

(6)

(6)

8

9

17

67 84

39 531

106 615

15 85

(143) (384)

27 73

43 62

(91) (53)

(53) (331)

152

570

722

100

(527)

100

58

(143)

(384)

FINAL

Table B-3

Future Child Care Demand and Supply in 2025 in Belmont

San Mateo County Child Care Study - 2016

Note All footnote references can be found in Table C-1 at the end of this file

Sources 2010 US Census ABAG Projections 2013 2014 American Community Survey ACS Journey-to-Work data 2006-2008 and 2006-2010

Child Care Coordinating Council of San Mateo County (4Cs) Community Care Licensing Brion Economics Inc

Prepared by Brion Economics Inc 2513-SMC NA Final Tables 61216 6122016

BRISBANE

Child Care as of 2025

No of

Providers

Under 2 Years

Old

2 to 4 Year

Olds

Total 0 to 4

Years

EXISTING DEMAND Child Care Demand

Estimated Total Children

Average LFPRAdjustment Factor

Children With Working Parents

Licensed Care Demand Factor

Resident Children Needing Licensed Care

of Total Resident Children Needing Licensed Care

Children from Non-Resident Employees Needing

Licensed Care

(1)

(2)

(3)

131 174

100

131 174

37

48 160

37 92

55 83

305

305

68

209

68

138

Total Demand for Child Care Spaces

Distribution

EXISTING SUPPLY (4)

103 243

30 70

Child Care Spaces

346

100

Family Child Care Home Supply

Child Care Center Supply

Current Child Care Supply

Distribution

EXISTING SURPLUS(SHORTAGE)

Distribution

Percentage of Demand Met

by Existing FacilitiesSpaces

Shortage of Family Child Care Home Spaces

Shortage of Center-Based Spaces

(5)

(6)

(6)

1

1

2

4 5

0 64

4 69

6 94

(99) (174)

36 64

4 29

(99) (13)

0 (160)

9

64

73

100

(273)

100

21

(112)

(160)

FINAL

Table B-4

Future Child Care Demand and Supply in 2025 in Brisbane

San Mateo County Child Care Study - 2016

Note All footnote references can be found in Table C-1 at the end of this file Sources 2010 US Census ABAG Projections 2013 2014 American Community Survey ACS Journey-to-Work data 2006-2008 and 2006-2010

Child Care Coordinating Council of San Mateo County (4Cs) Community Care Licensing Brion Economics Inc

Prepared by Brion Economics Inc 2513-SMC NA Final Tables 61216 6122016

BURLINGAME

Child Care as of 2025

No of

Providers

Under 2 Years

Old

2 to 4 Year

Olds

Total 0 to 4

Years

EXISTING DEMAND Child Care Demand

Estimated Total Children

Average LFPRAdjustment Factor

Children With Working Parents

Licensed Care Demand Factor

Resident Children Needing Licensed Care

of Total Resident Children Needing Licensed Care

Children from Non-Resident Employees Needing

Licensed Care

(1)

(2)

(3)

903 1332

65

587 1190

37

217 1124

24 84

154 232

2235

1777

75

1341

60

385

Total Demand for Child Care Spaces

Distribution

EXISTING SUPPLY (4)

371 1356

21 79

Child Care Spaces

1726

100

Family Child Care Home Supply

Child Care Center Supply

Current Child Care Supply

Distribution

EXISTING SURPLUS(SHORTAGE)

Distribution

Percentage of Demand Met

by Existing FacilitiesSpaces

Shortage of Family Child Care Home Spaces

Shortage of Center-Based Spaces

(5)

(6)

(6)

10

14

24

79 99

40 866

119 965

11 89

(252) (390)

39 61

32 71

(167) (40)

(85) (350)

179

906

1085

100

(642)

100

63

(207)

(434)

FINAL

Table B-5

Future Child Care Demand and Supply in 2025 in Burlingame

San Mateo County Child Care Study - 2016

Note All footnote references can be found in Table C-1 at the end of this file

Sources 2010 US Census ABAG Projections 2013 2014 American Community Survey ACS Journey-to-Work data 2006-2008 and 2006-2010

Child Care Coordinating Council of San Mateo County (4Cs) Community Care Licensing Brion Economics Inc

Prepared by Brion Economics Inc 2513-SMC NA Final Tables 61216 6122016

DALY CITYCOLMA

Child Care as of 2025

No of

Providers

Under 2 Years

Old

2 to 4 Year

Olds

Total 0 to 4

Years

EXISTING DEMAND Child Care Demand

Estimated Total Children

Average LFPRAdjustment Factor

Children With Working Parents

Licensed Care Demand Factor

Resident Children Needing Licensed Care

of Total Resident Children Needing Licensed Care

Children from Non-Resident Employees Needing

Licensed Care

(1)

(2)

(3)

2647 3793

74

1964 3467

37

727 3233

27 85

138 208

6440

5432

73

3960

61

346

Total Demand for Child Care Spaces

Distribution

EXISTING SUPPLY (4)

865 3441

20 80

Child Care Spaces

4306

100

Family Child Care Home Supply

Child Care Center Supply

Current Child Care Supply

Distribution

EXISTING SURPLUS(SHORTAGE)

Distribution

Percentage of Demand Met

by Existing FacilitiesSpaces

Shortage of Family Child Care Home Spaces

Shortage of Center-Based Spaces

(5)

(6)

(6)

25

28

28

288 362

84 1264

372 1626

19 81

(493) (1816)

21 79

43 47

(381) (404)

(111) (1412)

649

1348

1997

100

(2308)

100

46

(785)

(1523)

FINAL

Table B-6

Future C hild Care Demand and Supply in 2025 in Daly CityColma

San Mateo County Child Care Study - 2016

Note All footnote references can be found in Table C-1 at the end of this file

Sources 2010 US Census ABAG Projections 2013 2014 American Community Survey ACS Journey-to-Work data 2006-2008 and 2006-2010

Child Care Coordinating Council of San Mateo County (4Cs) Community Care Licensing Brion Economics Inc

Prepared by Brion Economics Inc 2513-SMC NA Final Tables 61216 6122016

EAST PALO ALTO

Child Care as of 2025

No of

Providers

Under 2 Years

Old

2 to 4 Year

Olds

Total 0 to 4

Years

EXISTING DEMAND Child Care Demand

Estimated Total Children

Average LFPRAdjustment Factor

Children With Working Parents

Licensed Care Demand Factor

Resident Children Needing Licensed Care

of Total Resident Children Needing Licensed Care

Children from Non-Resident Employees Needing

Licensed Care

(1)

(2)

(3)

1161 1849

71

822 1660

37

304 1545

26 84

20 30

3010

2482

75

1849

61

50

Total Demand for Child Care Spaces

Distribution

EXISTING SUPPLY (4)

324 1575

17 83

Child Care Spaces

1900

100

Family Child Care Home Supply

Child Care Center Supply

Current Child Care Supply

Distribution

EXISTING SURPLUS(SHORTAGE)

Distribution

Percentage of Demand Met

by Existing FacilitiesSpaces

Shortage of Family Child Care Home Spaces

Shortage of Center-Based Spaces

(5)

(6)

(6)

13

6

19

85 106

25 633

110 739

13 87

(215) (836)

20 80

34 47

(166) (120)

(49) (715)

191

658

849

100

(1050)

100

45

(286)

(764)

FINAL

Table B-7

Future Child Care Demand and Supply in 2025 in East Palo Alto

San Mateo County Child Care Study - 2016

Note All footnote references can be found in Table C-1 at the end of this file

Sources 2010 US Census ABAG Projections 2013 2014 American Community Survey ACS Journey-to-Work data 2006-2008 and 2006-2010

Child Care Coordinating Council of San Mateo County (4Cs) Community Care Licensing Brion Economics Inc

Prepared by Brion Economics Inc 2513-SMC NA Final Tables 61216 6122016

FOSTER CITY

Child Care as of 2025

No of

Providers

Under 2 Years

Old

2 to 4 Year

Olds

Total 0 to 4

Years

EXISTING DEMAND Child Care Demand

Estimated Total Children

Average LFPRAdjustment Factor

Children With Working Parents

Licensed Care Demand Factor

Resident Children Needing Licensed Care

of Total Resident Children Needing Licensed Care

Children from Non-Resident Employees Needing

Licensed Care

(1)

(2)

(3)

871 1330

63

550 1154

37

204 1079

23 81

80 120

2201

1705

75

1282

58

200

Total Demand for Child Care Spaces

Distribution

EXISTING SUPPLY (4)

283 1199

19 81

Child Care Spaces

1483

100

Family Child Care Home Supply

Child Care Center Supply

Current Child Care Supply

Distribution

EXISTING SURPLUS(SHORTAGE)

Distribution

Percentage of Demand Met

by Existing FacilitiesSpaces

Shortage of Family Child Care Home Spaces

Shortage of Center-Based Spaces

(5)

(6)

(6)

19

12

31

118 149

88 1200

206 1349

13 87

(77) 150

-106 206

73 112

(44) NA

(33) NA

267

1288

1555

100

73

100

105

(44)

(33)

FINAL

Table B-8

Future Child Care Demand and Supply in 2025 in Foster City

San Mateo County Child Care Study - 2016

Note All footnote references can be found in Table C-1 at the end of this file

Sources 2010 US Census ABAG Projections 2013 2014 American Community Survey ACS Journey-to-Work data 2006-2008 and 2006-2010

Child Care Coordinating Council of San Mateo County (4Cs) Community Care Licensing Brion Economics Inc

Prepared by Brion Economics Inc 2513-SMC NA Final Tables 61216 6122016

HALF MOON BAY REGION

Child Care as of 2025

No of

Providers

Under 2 Years

Old

2 to 4 Year

Olds

Total 0 to 4

Years

EXISTING DEMAND Child Care Demand

Estimated Total Children

Average LFPRAdjustment Factor

Children With Working Parents

Licensed Care Demand Factor

Resident Children Needing Licensed Care

of Total Resident Children Needing Licensed Care

Children from Non-Resident Employees Needing

Licensed Care

(1)

(2)

(3)

553 929

69

383 835

37

142 781

26 84

14 21

1482

1217

76

923

62

34

Total Demand for Child Care Spaces

Distribution

EXISTING SUPPLY (4)

155 802

16 84

Child Care Spaces

957

100

Family Child Care Home Supply

Child Care Center Supply

Current Child Care Supply

Distribution

EXISTING SURPLUS(SHORTAGE)

Distribution

Percentage of Demand Met

by Existing FacilitiesSpaces

Shortage of Family Child Care Home Spaces

Shortage of Center-Based Spaces

(5)

(6)

(6)

10

11

21

96 121

35 285

131 406

24 76

(24) (396)

6 94

84 51

(18) (118)

(6) (279)

216

320

536

100

(421)

100

56

(136)

(285)

FINAL

Table B-9

Future Child Care Demand and Supply in 2025 in Half Moon Bay Region

San Mateo County Child Care Study - 2016

Note All footnote references can be found in Table C-1 at the end of this file

Sources 2010 US Census ABAG Projections 2013 2014 American Community Survey ACS Journey-to-Work data 2006-2008 and 2006-2010

Child Care Coordinating Council of San Mateo County (4Cs) Community Care Licensing Brion Economics Inc

Prepared by Brion Economics Inc 2513-SMC NA Final Tables 61216 6122016

HILLSBOROUGH

Child Care as of 2025

No of

Providers

Under 2 Years

Old

2 to 4 Year

Olds

Total 0 to 4

Years

EXISTING DEMAND Child Care Demand

Estimated Total Children

Average LFPRAdjustment Factor

Children With Working Parents

Licensed Care Demand Factor

Resident Children Needing Licensed Care

of Total Resident Children Needing Licensed Care

Children from Non-Resident Employees Needing

Licensed Care

(1)

(2)

(3)

143 343

52

74 295

37

27 282

19 82

7 11

487

369

84

309

64

17

Total Demand for Child Care Spaces

Distribution

EXISTING SUPPLY (4)

34 292

10 90

Child Care Spaces

327

100

Family Child Care Home Supply

Child Care Center Supply

Current Child Care Supply

Distribution

EXISTING SURPLUS(SHORTAGE)

Distribution

Percentage of Demand Met

by Existing FacilitiesSpaces

Shortage of Family Child Care Home Spaces

Shortage of Center-Based Spaces

(5)

(6)

(6)

1

4

5

5 6

- 91

5 97

5 95

(29) (195)

13 87

14 33

(29) (12)

0 (183)

11

91

102

100

(225)

100

31

(42)

(183)

FINAL

Table B-10

Future Child Care Demand and Supply in 2025 in Hillsborough

San Mateo County Child Care Study - 2016

Note All footnote references can be found in Table C-1 at the end of this file

Sources 2010 US Census ABAG Projections 2013 2014 American Community Survey ACS Journey-to-Work data 2006-2008 and 2006-2010

Child Care Coordinating Council of San Mateo County (4Cs) Community Care Licensing Brion Economics Inc

Prepared by Brion Economics Inc 2513-SMC NA Final Tables 61216 6122016

MENLO PARK

Child Care as of 2025

No of

Providers

Under 2 Years

Old

2 to 4 Year

Olds

Total 0 to 4

Years

EXISTING DEMAND Child Care Demand

Estimated Total Children

Average LFPRAdjustment Factor

Children With Working Parents

Licensed Care Demand Factor

Resident Children Needing Licensed Care

of Total Resident Children Needing Licensed Care

Children from Non-Resident Employees Needing

Licensed Care

(1)

(2)

(3)

1327 1954

69

909 1759

37

336 1653

25 85

237 357

3281

2668

75

1989

61

594

Total Demand for Child Care Spaces

Distribution

EXISTING SUPPLY (4)

573 2011

22 78

Child Care Spaces

2584

100

Family Child Care Home Supply

Child Care Center Supply

Current Child Care Supply

Distribution

EXISTING SURPLUS(SHORTAGE)

Distribution

Percentage of Demand Met

by Existing FacilitiesSpaces

Shortage of Family Child Care Home Spaces

Shortage of Center-Based Spaces

(5)

(6)

(6)

15

25

40

76 96

73 1331

149 1427

9 91

(424) (584)

42 58

26 71

(217) (39)

(207) (544)

172

1404

1576

100

(1008)

100

61

(256)

(752)

FINAL

Table B-11

Future Child Care Demand and Supply in 2025 in Menlo Park

San Mateo County Child Care Study - 2016

Note All footnote references can be found in Table C-1 at the end of this file

Sources 2010 US Census ABAG Projections 2013 2014 American Community Survey ACS Journey-to-Work data 2006-2008 and 2006-2010

Child Care Coordinating Council of San Mateo County (4Cs) Community Care Licensing Brion Economics Inc

Prepared by Brion Economics Inc 2513-SMC NA Final Tables 61216 6122016

MILLBRAE

Child Care as of 2025

No of

Providers

Under 2 Years

Old

2 to 4 Year

Olds

Total 0 to 4

Years

EXISTING DEMAND Child Care Demand

Estimated Total Children

Average LFPRAdjustment Factor

Children With Working Parents

Licensed Care Demand Factor

Resident Children Needing Licensed Care

of Total Resident Children Needing Licensed Care

Children from Non-Resident Employees Needing

Licensed Care

(1)

(2)

(3)

473 805

62

291 710

37

108 672

23 83

31 47

1278

1001

78

780

61

77

Total Demand for Child Care Spaces

Distribution

EXISTING SUPPLY (4)

139 718

16 84

Child Care Spaces

857

100

Family Child Care Home Supply

Child Care Center Supply

Current Child Care Supply

Distribution

EXISTING SURPLUS(SHORTAGE)

Distribution

Percentage of Demand Met

by Existing FacilitiesSpaces

Shortage of Family Child Care Home Spaces

Shortage of Center-Based Spaces

(5)

(6)

(6)

7

7

14

62 78

- 376

62 454

12 88

(76) (264)

22 78

45 63

(76) (46)

0 (219)

141

376

517

100

(340)

100

60

(122)

(219)

FINAL

Table B-12

Future C hild Care Demand and Supply in 2025 in Millbrae

San Mateo County Child Care Study - 2016

Note All footnote references can be found in Table C-1 at the end of this file

Sources 2010 US Census ABAG Projections 2013 2014 American Community Survey ACS Journey-to-Work data 2006-2008 and 2006-2010

Child Care Coordinating Council of San Mateo County (4Cs) Community Care Licensing Brion Economics Inc

Prepared by Brion Economics Inc 2513-SMC NA Final Tables 61216 6122016

FINAL

Table B-13

Future Child Care Demand and Supply in 2025 in Pacifica

San Mateo County Child Care Study - 2016

PACIFICA

Child Care as of 2025

No of

Providers

Under 2 Years

Old

2 to 4 Year

Olds

Total 0 to 4

Years

EXISTING DEMAND Child Care Demand

Estimated Total Children

Average L FPRAdjustment Factor

Children With Working Parents

Licensed Care Demand Factor

Resident Children Needing Licensed Care

of Total Resident Children Needing Licensed Care

Children from Non-Resident Employees Needing

Licensed Care

(1)

(2)

(3)

816 1300

78

633 1209

37

234 1130

29 87

19 29

2116

1842

74

1364

64

48

Total Demand for Child Care Spaces

Distribution

EXISTING SUPPLY (4)

254 1159

18 82

Child Care Spaces

1413

100

Family Child Care Home Supply

Child Care Center Supply

Current Child Care Supply

Distribution

EXISTING SURPLUS(SHORTAGE)

Distribution

Percentage of Demand Met

by Existing FacilitiesSpaces

Shortage of Family Child Care Home Spaces

Shortage of Center-Based Spaces

(5)

(6)

(6)

9

18

27

77 97

39 701

116 798

13 87

(138) (361)

28 72

46 69

(91) (44)

(46) (317)

174

740

914

100

(499)

100

65

(135)

(364)

Note All footnote references can be found in Table C-1 at the end of this file

Sources 2010 US Census ABAG Projections 2013 2014 American Community Survey ACS Journey-to-Work data 2006-2008 and 2006-2010

Child Care Coordinating Council of San Mateo County (4Cs) Community Care Licensing Brion Economics Inc

Prepared by Brion Economics Inc 2513-SMC NA Final Tables 61216 6122016

PORTOLA VALLEY

Child Care as of 2025

No of

Providers

Under 2 Years

Old

2 to 4 Year

Olds

Total 0 to 4

Years

EXISTING DEMAND Child Care Demand

Estimated Total Children

Average LFPRAdjustment Factor

Children With Working Parents

Licensed Care Demand Factor

Resident Children Needing Licensed Care

of Total Resident Children Needing Licensed Care

Children from Non-Resident Employees Needing

Licensed Care

(1)

(2)

(3)

77 192

66

51 173

37

19 164

24 85

9 13

269

224

82

182

68

22

Total Demand for Child Care Spaces

Distribution

EXISTING SUPPLY (4)

28 177

13 87

Child Care Spaces

204

100

Family Child Care Home Supply

Child Care Center Supply

Current Child Care Supply

Distribution

EXISTING SURPLUS(SHORTAGE)

Distribution

Percentage of Demand Met

by Existing FacilitiesSpaces

Shortage of Family Child Care Home Spaces

Shortage of Center-Based Spaces

(5)

(6)

(6)

0

4

4

- -

- 153

- 153

0 100

(28) (24)

54 46

0 87

0 0

(28) (24)

0

153

153

100

(51)

100

75

0

(51)

FINAL

Table B-14

Future Child Care Demand and Supply in 2025 in Portola Valley

San Mateo County Child Care Study - 2016

Note All footnote references can be found in Table C-1 at the end of this file

Sources 2010 US Census ABAG Projections 2013 2014 American Community Survey ACS Journey-to-Work data 2006-2008 and 2006-2010

Child Care Coordinating Council of San Mateo County (4Cs) Community Care Licensing Brion Economics Inc

Prepared by Brion Economics Inc 2513-SMC NA Final Tables 61216 6122016

REDWOOD CITY

No of

Providers

Child Care as of 2025

Under 2 Years

Old

2 to 4 Year

Olds

Total 0 to 4

Years

EXISTING DEMAND Child Care Demand

Estimated Total Children

Average LFPRAdjustment Factor

Children With Working Parents

Licensed Care Demand Factor

Resident Children Needing Licensed Care

of Total Resident Children Needing Licensed Care

Children from Non-Resident Employees Needing

Licensed Care

Total Demand for Child Care Spaces

Distribution

EXISTING SUPPLY

(1)

(2)

(3)

(4)

3725 5378

69

2555 4813

37

946 4505

25 84

466 703

1411 5208

21 79

Child Care Spaces

9103

7368

74

5450

60

1169

6619

100

Family Child Care Home Supply

Child Care Center Supply

Current Child Care Supply

Distribution

EXISTING SURPLUS(SHORTAGE)

Distribution

Percentage of Demand Met

by Existing FacilitiesSpaces

Shortage of Family Child Care Home Spaces

Shortage of Center-Based Spaces

(5)

(6)

(6)

42

41

83

396 497

356 2036

752 2533

23 77

(660) (2674)

20 80

53 49

(347) (525)

(313) (2149)

893

2392

3285

100

(3334)

100

50

(872)

(2462)

FINAL

Table B-15

Future Child Care Demand and Supply in 2025 in Redwood City

San Mateo County Child Care Study - 2016

Note All footnote references can be found in Table C-1 at the end of this file

Sources 2010 US Census ABAG Projections 2013 2014 American Community Survey ACS Journey-to-Work data 2006-2008 and 2006-2010

Child Care Coordinating Council of San Mateo County (4Cs) Community Care Licensing Brion Economics Inc

Prepared by Brion Economics Inc 2513-SMC NA Final Tables 61216 6122016

SAN BRUNO

Child Care as of 2025

No of

Providers

Under 2 Years

Old

2 to 4 Year

Olds

Total 0 to 4

Years

EXISTING DEMAND Child Care Demand

Estimated Total Children

Average LFPRAdjustment Factor

Children With Working Parents

Licensed Care Demand Factor

Resident Children Needing Licensed Care

of Total Resident Children Needing Licensed Care

Children from Non-Resident Employees Needing

Licensed Care

(1)

(2)

(3)

1189 1728

77

910 1589

37

337 1475

28 85

68 103

2917

2498

73

1812

62

171

Total Demand for Child Care Spaces

Distribution

EXISTING SUPPLY (4)

405 1578

20 80

Child Care Spaces

1983

100

Family Child Care Home Supply

Child Care Center Supply

Current Child Care Supply

Distribution

EXISTING SURPLUS(SHORTAGE)

Distribution

Percentage of Demand Met

by Existing FacilitiesSpaces

Shortage of Family Child Care Home Spaces

Shortage of Center-Based Spaces

(5)

(6)

(6)

13

15

28

122 153

26 1183

148 1336

10 90

(257) (242)

52 48

37 85

(212) (28)

(45) (214)

275

1209

1484

100

(499)

100

75

(239)

(259)

FINAL

Table B-16

Future C hild Care Demand and Supply in 2025 in San Bruno

San Mateo County Child Care Study - 2016

Note All footnote references can be found in Table C-1 at the end of this file

Sources 2010 US Census ABAG Projections 2013 2014 American Community Survey ACS Journey-to-Work data 2006-2008 and 2006-2010

Child Care Coordinating Council of San Mateo County (4Cs) Community Care Licensing Brion Economics Inc

Prepared by Brion Economics Inc 2513-SMC NA Final Tables 61216 6122016

SAN CARLOS

Child Care as of 2025

No of

Providers

Under 2 Years

Old

2 to 4 Year

Olds

Total 0 to 4

Years

EXISTING DEMAND Child Care Demand

Estimated Total Children

Average LFPRAdjustment Factor

Children With Working Parents

Licensed Care Demand Factor

Resident Children Needing Licensed Care

of Total Resident Children Needing Licensed Care

Children from Non-Resident Employees Needing

Licensed Care

(1)

(2)

(3)

778 1384

72

557 1255

37

206 1174

26 85

82 123

2162

1812

76

1380

64

205

Total Demand for Child Care Spaces

Distribution

EXISTING SUPPLY (4)

288 1297

18 82

Child Care Spaces

1585

100

Family Child Care Home Supply

Child Care Center Supply

Current Child Care Supply

Distribution

EXISTING SURPLUS(SHORTAGE)

Distribution

Percentage of Demand Met

by Existing FacilitiesSpaces

Shortage of Family Child Care Home Spaces

Shortage of Center-Based Spaces

(5)

(6)

(6)

28

14

42

73 92

76 615

149 707

17 83

(139) (590)

19 81

52 54

(68) (76)

(71) (514)

164

691

855

100

(729)

100

54

(145)

(585)

FINAL

Table B-17

Future Child Care Demand and Supply in 2025 in San Carlos

San Mateo County Child Care Study - 2016

Note All footnote references can be found in Table C-1 at the end of this file

Sources 2010 US Census ABAG Projections 2013 2014 American Community Survey ACS Journey-to-Work data 2006-2008 and 2006-2010

Child Care Coordinating Council of San Mateo County (4Cs) Community Care Licensing Brion Economics Inc

Prepared by Brion Economics Inc 2513-SMC NA Final Tables 61216 6122016

SAN MATEO

Child Care as of 2025

No of

Providers

Under 2 Years

Old

2 to 4 Year

Olds

Total 0 to 4

Years

EXISTING DEMAND Child Care Demand

Estimated Total Children

Average LFPRAdjustment Factor

Children With Working Parents

Licensed Care Demand Factor

Resident Children Needing Licensed Care

of Total Resident Children Needing Licensed Care

Children from Non-Resident Employees Needing

Licensed Care

(1)

(2)

(3)

3194 4572

71

2264 4116

37

838 3839

26 84

261 394

7766

6381

73

4677

60

656

Total Demand for Child Care Spaces

Distribution

EXISTING SUPPLY (4)

1099 4233

21 79

Child Care Spaces

5332

100

Family Child Care Home Supply

Child Care Center Supply

Current Child Care Supply

Distribution

EXISTING SURPLUS(SHORTAGE)

Distribution

Percentage of Demand Met

by Existing FacilitiesSpaces

Shortage of Family Child Care Home Spaces

Shortage of Center-Based Spaces

(5)

(6)

(6)

69

59

128

492 619

209 2577

701 3196

18 82

(398) (1037)

28 72

64 75

(279) (201)

(119) (837)

1111

2786

3897

100

(1435)

100

73

(480)

(955)

FINAL

Table B-18

Future Child Care Demand and Supply in 2025 in San Mateo

San Mateo County Child Care Study - 2016

Note All footnote references can be found in Table C-1 at the end of this file

Sources 2010 US Census ABAG Projections 2013 2014 American Community Survey ACS Journey-to-Work data 2006-2008 and 2006-2010

Child Care Coordinating Council of San Mateo County (4Cs) Community Care Licensing Brion Economics Inc

Prepared by Brion Economics Inc 2513-SMC NA Final Tables 61216 6122016

FINAL

Table B-19

Future Child Care Demand and Supply in 2025 in South Coast

San Mateo County Child Care Study - 2016

SOUTH COAST

Child Care as of 2025

No of

Providers

Under 2 Years

Old

2 to 4 Year

Olds

Total 0 to 4

Years

EXISTING DEMAND Child Care Demand

Estimated Total Children (1) 23 32 55

Average LFPRAdjustment Factor (2) 54

Children With Working Parents 12 27 40

Licensed Care Demand Factor (3) 37 77

Resident Children Needing Licensed Care 5 26 30

of Total Resident Children Needing Licensed Care 20 81 56

Children from Non-Resident Employees Needing

Licensed Care 0 0 0

Total Demand for Child Care Spaces 5 26 30

Distribution 15 85 100

EXISTING SUPPLY (4) Child Care Spaces

Family Child Care Home Supply - 0 0 0

Child Care Center Supply 2 0 54 54

Current Child Care Supply 2 - 54 54

Distribution 0 100 100

EXISTING SURPLUS(SHORTAGE) (5) 28 24

Distribution -19 119 100

Percentage of Demand Met

by Existing FacilitiesSpaces (5) 0 209 177

Shortage of Family Child Care Home Spaces (6) 0 NA 0

Shortage of Center-Based Spaces (6) (5) NA (5)

Note All footnote references can be found in Table C-1 at the end of this file

Sources 2010 US Census ABAG Projections 2013 2014 American Community Survey ACS Journey-to-Work data 2006-2008 and 2006-2010

Child Care Coordinating Council of San Mateo County (4Cs) Community Care Licensing Brion Economics Inc

Prepared by Brion Economics Inc 2513-SMC NA Final Tables 61216 6122016

SOUTH SAN FRANCISCO

Child Care as of 2025

No of

Providers

Under 2 Years

Old

2 to 4 Year

Olds

Total 0 to 4

Years

EXISTING DEMAND Child Care Demand

Estimated Total Children

Average LFPRAdjustment Factor

Children With Working Parents

Licensed Care Demand Factor

Resident Children Needing Licensed Care

of Total Resident Children Needing Licensed Care

Children from Non-Resident Employees Needing

Licensed Care

(1)

(2)

(3)

1835 2790

73

1342 2535

37

496 2362

27 85

339 512

4625

3877

74

2859

62

851

Total Demand for Child Care Spaces

Distribution

EXISTING SUPPLY (4)

835 2874

23 77

Child Care Spaces

3709

100

Family Child Care Home Supply

Child Care Center Supply

Current Child Care Supply

Distribution

EXISTING SURPLUS(SHORTAGE)

Distribution

Percentage of Demand Met

by Existing FacilitiesSpaces

Shortage of Family Child Care Home Spaces

Shortage of Center-Based Spaces

(5)

(6)

(6)

30

27

57

252 317

400 1966

652 2283

22 78

(183) (591)

24 76

78 79

(71) (82)

(113) (509)

569

2366

2935

100

(775)

100

79

(153)

(622)

FINAL

Table B-20

Future Child Care Demand and Supply in 2025 in South San Francisco

San Mateo County Child Care Study - 2016

Note All footnote references can be found in Table C-1 at the end of this file

Sources 2010 US Census ABAG Projections 2013 2014 American Community Survey ACS Journey-to-Work data 2006-2008 and 2006-2010

Child Care Coordinating Council of San Mateo County (4Cs) Community Care Licensing Brion Economics Inc

Prepared by Brion Economics Inc 2513-SMC NA Final Tables 61216 6122016

WOODSIDE

No of

Providers

Child Care as of 2025

Under 2 Years

Old

2 to 4 Year

Olds

Total 0 to 4

Years

EXISTING DEMAND Child Care Demand

Estimated Total Children

Average LFPRAdjustment Factor

Children With Working Parents

Licensed Care Demand Factor

Resident Children Needing Licensed Care

of Total Resident Children Needing Licensed Care

Children from Non-Resident Employees Needing

Licensed Care

(1)

(2)

(3)

93 165

56

51 140

37

19 132

21 80

9 13

258

192

79

152

59

22

Total Demand for Child Care Spaces

Distribution

EXISTING SUPPLY (4)

28 146

16 84

Child Care Spaces

174

100

Family Child Care Home Supply

Child Care Center Supply

Current Child Care Supply

Distribution

EXISTING SURPLUS(SHORTAGE)

Distribution

Percentage of Demand Met

by Existing FacilitiesSpaces

Shortage of Family Child Care Home Spaces

Shortage of Center-Based Spaces

(5)

(6)

(6)

1

2

3

4 5

- 103

4 108

4 96

(24) (38)

39 61

15 74

(24) (2)

0 (36)

9

103

112

100

(61)

100

65

(26)

(36)

FINAL

Table B-21

Future Child Care Demand and Supply in 2025 in Woodside

San Mateo County Child Care Study - 2016

Note All footnote references can be found in Table C-1 at the end of this file

Sources 2010 US Census ABAG Projections 2013 2014 American Community Survey ACS Journey-to-Work data 2006-2008 and 2006-2010

Child Care Coordinating Council of San Mateo County (4Cs) Community Care Licensing Brion Economics Inc

Prepared by Brion Economics Inc 2513-SMC NA Final Tables 61216 6122016

FINAL

Table C-1

Endnotes for Tables

San Mateo County Child Care Study - 2016

(1) Population by age is based on the percentage breakdown from the 2010 US Census and applied

to population estimates for 2015 using ABAGs Projections 2013 population data The ABAG data

for each area includes its Sphere of Influence and is not based on strict jurisdictional boundaries

(2) Labor force participation rates are from the 5-Year American Community Survey 2014 and include

children under six years old with two working parents or a single working parent For the 2- to 4-year

olds the labor force participation rate is applied to 2 year olds For 3- and 4-year olds it is assumed

that 100 need licensed care to support preschool for every child so the number of

3- and 4-year olds is not discounted by labor force participation rates

(3) Not all children with working parents are assumed to need licensed care percentage assumptions are

used to calculate the number of children requiring licensed care under each age category The

remaining children are assumed to be cared for in alternate arrangements such as by family members

nannies friends and other unlicensed care For children ages 3- and 4-years old it is assumed that

they all need care in the form of preschool

(4) Data on child care supply provided by the Child Care Coordinating Council of San Mateo County (4Cs)

and Community Care Licensing Division of the California Department of Social Services (CCLD) Data is

for June 2015

(5) Demand that calculates as less than 100 means that there is greater demand than supply percent of

demand that is over 100 means supply exceeds demand

(6) Unmet demand is broken down into shortage by type of care based on the proportion of FCCHs and

child care centers spaces available in each area If an area does not have any FCCHs or centers the

unmet demand is placed in the type of care that is available in the area (eg if there are only centers

all demand goes to centers)

Source Brion Economics Inc

Prepared by Brion Economics Inc 2513-SMC NA Final Tables 61216 6122016

DRAFT REPORT

Table C-2

Labor Force Participation Rates by CityArea

San Mateo County Child Care Study - 2016

CityArea

Labor Force

Participation Rate (1)

Atherton

Belmont

Brisbane

Burlingame

Daly CityColma

East Palo Alto

Foster City

Half Moon Bay Region

Hillsborough

Menlo Park

Millbrae

Pacifica

Portola Valley

Redwood City

San Bruno

San Carlos

San Mateo

South Coast

South San Francisco

Woodside

40

77

100

65

74

71

63

69

52

69

62

78

66

69

77

72

71

54

73

56

(1) Labor force participation rates (LFPRs) are for

families with children under age six with two

working parents or a single parent who works Sources American Community Survey 2014 5-Year

Survey Brion Economics Inc

Prepared by Brion Economics Inc 2513-SMC NA Final Tables 61216 6122016

  • 2513-SMC FINAL NA Memo-61216
  • 2513-SMC NA Final Tables 61216
Page 21: Final San Mateo County Child Care Needs … Care...Future C hild Care Demand and Supply in 2025 in Daly City/Colma San Mateo County Child Care Study - 2016 Note: All footnote references

CityArea

Shortage

Infant

Center

Spaces

Infant care

Percentage

of Shortage

Shortage

Preschool

Center

Spaces

Preschool

Percentage

of Shortage

Total Center-

Based Space

Shortage

Atherton

Belmont

Brisbane

Burlingame

Daly CityColma

East Palo Alto

Foster City

Half Moon Bay Region

Hillsborough

Menlo Park

Millbrae

Pacifica

Portola Valley

Redwood City

San Bruno

San Carlos

San Mateo

South Coast

South San Francisco

Woodside

Countywide

NA

(48)

NA

(73)

(99)

(42)

(27)

(3)

NA

(180)

0

(43)

(26)

(232)

(38)

(62)

(90)

(2)

(63)

NA

NA

14

NA

23

7

7

100

1

NA

35

0

13

59

12

34

12

14

NA

19

NA

NA

(289)

(149)

(243)

(1253)

(582)

NA

(236)

(173)

(338)

(154)

(280)

(18)

(1635)

(73)

(449)

(557)

NA

(263)

(31)

NA

86

100

77

93

93

NA

99

100

65

100

87

41

88

66

88

86

NA

81

100

NA

(337)

(149)

(316)

(1352)

(623)

(27)

(240)

(173)

(518)

(154)

(323)

(45)

(1867)

(110)

(511)

(647)

(2)

(326)

(31)

(1193) 15 (6609) 85 (7802)

FINAL

Table 12

Summary of Shortage of Child Care Center Spaces by Age - 2015

San Mateo County Child Care Study - 2016

Sources Child Care Coordinating Council of San Mateo County (4Cs) Community Care Licensing

Brion Economics Inc

Prepared by Brion Economics Inc 2513-SMC NA Final Tables 61216 6122016

CityArea

Shortage

Infant Center

Spaces

Infant care

Percentage

of Shortage

Shortage

Preschool

Center

Spaces

Preschool

Percentage

of Shortage

Total Center-

Based Space

Shortage

Atherton

Belmont

Brisbane

Burlingame

Daly CityColma

East Palo Alto

Foster City

Half Moon Bay Region

Hillsborough

Menlo Park

Millbrae

Pacifica

Portola Valley

Redwood City

San Bruno

San Carlos

San Mateo

South Coast

South San Francisco

Woodside

Countywide

NA

(53)

NA

(85)

(111)

(49)

(33)

(6)

NA

(207)

0

(46)

(28)

(313)

(45)

(71)

(119)

(5)

(113)

0

NA

14

NA

19

7

6

100

2

NA

28

0

13

54

13

17

12

12

NA

18

NA

NA

(331)

(160)

(350)

(1412)

(715)

NA

(279)

(183)

(544)

(219)

(317)

(24)

(2149)

(214)

(514)

(837)

NA

(509)

(36)

NA

86

100

81

93

94

NA

98

100

72

100

87

46

87

83

88

88

NA

82

100

NA

(384)

(160)

(434)

(1523)

(764)

(33)

(285)

(183)

(752)

(219)

(364)

(51)

(2462)

(259)

(585)

(955)

(5)

(622)

(36)

(1454) 14 (8762) 86 (10216)

FINAL

Table 13

Summary of Shortage of Child Care Center Spaces by Age - 2025

San Mateo County Child Care Study - 2016

Sources Child Care Coordinating Council of San Mateo County (4Cs) Community Care Licensing

Brion Economics Inc

Prepared by Brion Economics Inc 2513-SMC NA Final Tables 61216 6122016

COUNTYWIDE

Child Care as of 2015

No of

Providers

Under 2 Years

Old

2 to 4 Year

Olds

Total 0 to 4

Years

EXISTING DEMAND Child Care Demand

Estimated Total Children

Average LFPRAdjustment Factor

Children With Working Parents

Licensed Care Demand Factor

Resident Children Needing Licensed Care

of Total Resident Children Needing Licensed Care

Children from Non-Resident Employees Needing

Licensed Care

Total Demand for Child Care Spaces

Distribution

EXISTING SUPPLY

(1)

(2)

(3)

(4)

19008 28678

71

13449 25720

37

4976 24188

26 84

1845 2784

6821 26971

20 80

Child Care Spaces

47686

39169

86

29164

61

4629

33792

100

Family Child Care Home Supply

Child Care Center Supply

Current Child Care Supply

Distribution

EXISTING SURPLUS(SHORTAGE)

Distribution

Percentage of Demand Met

by Existing FacilitiesSpaces

Shortage of Family Child Care Home Spaces

Shortage of Center-Based Spaces

(5)

(6)

(6)

621

309 -930

2301 2893

1514 16296 - -3815 19189

17 83

(3006) (7783)

28 72

56 71

(1813) (1173)

(1193) (6609)

5193

17810 -23003

100

(10789)

100

68

(2986)

(7802)

FINAL

Table A-1

Existing Child Care Demand and Supply in 2015 Countywide

San Mateo County Child Care Study - 2016

Note All footnote references can be found in Table C-1 at the end of this file

Sources 2010 US Census ABAG Projections 2013 2014 American Community Survey ACS Journey-to-Work data 2006-2008 and 2006-2010

Child Care Coordinating Council of San Mateo County (4Cs) Community Care Licensing Brion Economics Inc

Prepared by Brion Economics Inc 2513-SMC NA Final Tables 61216 6122016

ATHERTON

Child Care as of 2015

No of

Providers

Under 2 Years

Old

2 to 4 Year

Olds

Total 0 to 4

Years

EXISTING DEMAND Child Care Demand

Estimated Total Children

Average LFPRAdjustment Factor

Children With Working Parents

Licensed Care Demand Factor

Resident Children Needing Licensed Care

of Total Resident Children Needing Licensed Care

Children from Non-Resident Employees Needing

Licensed Care

(1)

(2)

(3)

105 185

40

42 153

37

15 147

15 80

12 18

290

194

84

163

56

29

Total Demand for Child Care Spaces

Distribution

EXISTING SUPPLY (4)

27 165

14 86

Child Care Spaces

192

100

Family Child Care Home Supply

Child Care Center Supply

Current Child Care Supply

Distribution

EXISTING SURPLUS(SHORTAGE)

Distribution

Percentage of Demand Met

by Existing FacilitiesSpaces

Shortage of Family Child Care Home Spaces

Shortage of Center-Based Spaces

(5)

(6)

(6)

1

6

7

5 6

24 267

29 273

10 90

2 108

2 98

107 165

NA NA

NA NA

11

291

302

100

110

100

157

NA

NA

FINAL

Table A-2

Existing Child Care Demand and Supply in 2015 in Atherton

San Mateo Co unty Child Care Study - 2016

Note All footnote references can be found in Table C-1 at the end of this file

Sources 2010 US Census ABAG Projections 2013 2014 American Community Survey ACS Journey-to-Work data 2006-2008 and 2006-2010

Child Care Coordinating Council of San Mateo County (4Cs) Community Care Licensing Brion Economics Inc

Prepared by Brion Economics Inc 2513-SMC NA Final Tables 61216 6122016

BELMONT

Child Care as of 2015

No of

Providers

Under 2 Years

Old

2 to 4 Year

Olds

Total 0 to 4

Years

EXISTING DEMAND Child Care Demand

Estimated Total Children

Average LFPRAdjustment Factor

Children With Working Parents

Licensed Care Demand Factor

Resident Children Needing Licensed Care

of Total Resident Children Needing Licensed Care

Children from Non-Resident Employees Needing

Licensed Care

(1)

(2)

(3)

708 1045

77

548 966

37

203 899

29 86

34 51

1753

1513

73

1102

63

85

Total Demand for Child Care Spaces

Distribution

EXISTING SUPPLY (4)

237 950

20 80

Child Care Spaces

1187

100

Family Child Care Home Supply

Child Care Center Supply

Current Child Care Supply

Distribution

EXISTING SURPLUS(SHORTAGE)

Distribution

Percentage of Demand Met

by Existing FacilitiesSpaces

Shortage of Family Child Care Home Spaces

Shortage of Center-Based Spaces

(5)

(6)

(6)

18

9

27

67 84

39 531

106 615

15 85

(130) (335)

28 72

45 65

(83) (46)

(48) (289)

152

570

722

100

(465)

100

61

(128)

(337)

FINAL

Table A-3

Existing Child Care Demand and Supply in 2015 in Belmont

San Mateo County Child Care Study - 2016

Note All footnote references can be found in Table C-1 at the end of this file Sources 2010 US Census ABAG Projections 2013 2014 American Community Survey ACS Journey-to-Work data 2006-2008 and

2006-2010 Child Care Coordinating Council of San Mateo County (4Cs) Community Care Licensing Brion Economics Inc

Prepared by Brion Economics Inc 2513-SMC NA Final Tables 61216 6122016

FINAL

Table A-4

Existing Child Care Demand and Supply in 2015 in Brisbane

San Mateo County Child Care Study - 2016

BRISBANE

Child Care as of 2015

No of

Providers

Under 2 Years

Old

2 to 4 Year

Olds

Total 0 to 4

Years

EXISTING DEMAND Child Care Demand

Estimated Total Children (1) 125 166 292

Average LFPRAdjustment Factor (2) 100

Children With Working Parents 125 166 292

Licensed Care Demand Factor (3) 37 68

Resident Children Needing Licensed Care 46 153 199

of Total Resident Children Needing Licensed Care 37 92 68

Children from Non-Resident Employees Needing

Licensed Care 52 78 129

Total Demand for Child Care Spaces 98 231 329

Distribution 30 70 100

EXISTING SUPPLY (4) Child Care Spaces

Family Child Care Home Supply 1 4 5 9

Child Care Center Supply 1 - 64 64

Current Child Care Supply 2 4 69 73

Distribution 6 94 100

EXISTING SURPLUS(SHORTAGE) (94) (162) (255)

Distribution 37 63 100

Percentage of Demand Met

by Existing FacilitiesSpaces (5) 4 30 22

Shortage of Family Child Care Home Spaces (6) (94) (12) (106)

Shortage of Center-Based Spaces (6) 0 (149) (149)

Note All footnote references can be found in Table C-1 at the end of this file

Sources 2010 US Census ABAG Projections 2013 2014 American Community Survey ACS Journey-to-Work data 2006-2008 and 2006-2010

Child Care Coordinating Council of San Mateo County (4Cs) Community Care Licensing Brion Economics Inc

Prepared by Brion Economics Inc 2513-SMC NA Final Tables 61216 6122016

BURLINGAME

Child Care as of 2015

No of

Providers

Under 2 Years

Old

2 to 4 Year

Olds

Total 0 to 4

Years

EXISTING DEMAND Child Care Demand

Estimated Total Children

Average LFPRAdjustment Factor

Children With Working Parents

Licensed Care Demand Factor

Resident Children Needing Licensed Care

of Total Resident Children Needing Licensed Care

Children from Non-Resident Employees Needing

Licensed Care

(1)

(2)

(3)

824 1216

65

535 1086

37

198 1025

24 84

140 211

2040

1621

75

1224

60

350

Total Demand for Child Care Spaces

Distribution

EXISTING SUPPLY (4)

338 1236

21 79

Child Care Spaces

1574

100

Family Child Care Home Supply

Child Care Center Supply

Current Child Care Supply

Distribution

EXISTING SURPLUS(SHORTAGE)

Distribution

Percentage of Demand Met

by Existing FacilitiesSpaces

Shortage of Family Child Care Home Spaces

Shortage of Center-Based Spaces

(5)

(6)

(6)

21

14

35

79 99

40 866

119 965

11 89

(219) (271)

45 55

35 78

(145) (28)

(73) (243)

179

906

1085

100

(489)

100

69

(173)

(316)

FINAL

Table A-5

Existing Child Care Demand and Supply in 2015 in Burlingame

San Mateo County Child Care Study - 2016

Note All footnote references can be found in Table C-1 at the end of this file

Sources 2010 US Census ABAG Projections 2013 2014 American Community Survey ACS Journey-to-Work data 2006-2008 and 2006-2010

Child Care Coordinating Council of San Mateo County (4Cs) Community Care Licensing Brion Economics Inc

Prepared by Brion Economics Inc 2513-SMC NA Final Tables 61216 6122016

DALY CITYCOLMA

Child Care as of 2015

No of

Providers

Under 2 Years

Old

2 to 4 Year

Olds

Total 0 to 4

Years

EXISTING DEMAND Child Care Demand

Estimated Total Children

Average LFPRAdjustment Factor

Children With Working Parents

Licensed Care Demand Factor

Resident Children Needing Licensed Care

of Total Resident Children Needing Licensed Care

Children from Non-Resident Employees Needing

Licensed Care

(1)

(2)

(3)

2495 3575

742

1851 3268

37

685 3047

27 85

126 190

6070

5119

73

3732

61

316

Total Demand for Child Care Spaces

Distribution

EXISTING SUPPLY (4)

811 3237

20 80

Child Care Spaces

4048

100

Family Child Care Home Supply

Child Care Center Supply

Current Child Care Supply

Distribution

EXISTING SURPLUS(SHORTAGE)

Distribution

Percentage of Demand Met

by Existing FacilitiesSpaces

Shortage of Family Child Care Home Spaces

Shortage of Center-Based Spaces

(5)

(6)

(6)

85

28

113

288 362

84 1264

372 1626

19 81

(439) (1612)

21 79

46 50

(340) (359)

(99) (1253)

649

1348

1997

100

(2051)

100

49

(698)

(1352)

FINAL

Table A-6

Existing Child Care Demand and Supply in 2015 in Daly CityColma

San Mateo Co unty Child Care Study - 2016

Note All footnote references can be found in Table C-1 at the end of this file

Sources 2010 US Census ABAG Projections 2013 2014 American Community Survey ACS Journey-to-Work data 2006-2008 and 2006-2010

Child Care Coordinating Council of San Mateo County (4Cs) Community Care Licensing Brion Economics Inc

Prepared by Brion Economics Inc 2513-SMC NA Final Tables 61216 6122016

EAST PALO ALTO

Child Care as of 2015

No of

Providers

Under 2 Years

Old

2 to 4 Year

Olds

Total 0 to 4

Years

EXISTING DEMAND Child Care Demand

Estimated Total Children

Average LFPRAdjustment Factor

Children With Working Parents

Licensed Care Demand Factor

Resident Children Needing Licensed Care

of Total Resident Children Needing Licensed Care

Children from Non-Resident Employees Needing

Licensed Care

(1)

(2)

(3)

1046 1667

71

741 1496

37

274 1392

26 84

18 27

2713

2237

75

1666

61

45

Total Demand for Child Care Spaces

Distribution

EXISTING SUPPLY (4)

292 1419

17 83

Child Care Spaces

1711

100

Family Child Care Home Supply

Child Care Center Supply

Current Child Care Supply

Distribution

EXISTING SURPLUS(SHORTAGE)

Distribution

Percentage of Demand Met

by Existing FacilitiesSpaces

Shortage of Family Child Care Home Spaces

Shortage of Center-Based Spaces

(5)

(6)

(6)

21

6

27

85 106

25 633

110 739

13 87

(182) (680)

21 79

38 52

(141) (98)

(42) (582)

191

658

849

100

(862)

100

50

(239)

(623)

FINAL

Table A-7

Existing Child Care Demand and Supply in 2015 in East Palo Alto

San Mateo County Child Care Study - 2016

Note All footnote references can be found in Table C-1 at the end of this file Sources 2010 US Census ABAG Projections 2013 2014 American Community Survey ACS Journey-to-Work data 2006-2008 and 2006-2010

Child Care Coordinating Council of San Mateo County (4Cs) Community Care Licensing Brion Economics Inc

Prepared by Brion Economics Inc 2513-SMC NA Final Tables 61216 6122016

FOSTER CITY

Child Care as of 2015

No of

Providers

Under 2 Years

Old

2 to 4 Year

Olds

Total 0 to 4

Years

EXISTING DEMAND Child Care Demand

Estimated Total Children

Average LFPRAdjustment Factor

Children With Working Parents

Licensed Care Demand Factor

Resident Children Needing Licensed Care

of Total Resident Children Needing Licensed Care

Children from Non-Resident Employees Needing

Licensed Care

(1)

(2)

(3)

836 1277

63

528 1108

37

195 1035

23 81

73 110

2113

1636

75

1231

58

183

Total Demand for Child Care Spaces

Distribution

EXISTING SUPPLY (4)

268 1145

19 81

Child Care Spaces

1414

100

Family Child Care Home Supply

Child Care Center Supply

Current Child Care Supply

Distribution

EXISTING SURPLUS(SHORTAGE)

Distribution

Percentage of Demand Met

by Existing FacilitiesSpaces

Shortage of Family Child Care Home Spaces

Shortage of Center-Based Spaces

(5)

(6)

(6)

29

12

41

118 149

88 1200

206 1349

13 87

(62) 203

NA NA

77 118

(36) NA

(27) NA

267

1288

1555

100

141

NA

110

(36)

(27)

FINAL

Table A-8

Existing Child Care Demand and Supply in 2015 in Foster City

San Mateo County Child Care Study - 2016

Note All footnote references can be found in Table C-1 at the end of this file

Sources 2010 US Census ABAG Projections 2013 2014 American Community Survey ACS Journey-to-Work data 2006-2008 and 2006-2010

Child Care Coordinating Council of San Mateo County (4Cs) Community Care Licensing Brion Economics Inc

Prepared by Brion Economics Inc 2513-SMC NA Final Tables 61216 6122016

HALF MOON BAY REGION

Child Care as of 2015

No of

Providers

Under 2 Years

Old

2 to 4 Year

Olds

Total 0 to 4

Years

EXISTING DEMAND Child Care Demand

Estimated Total Children

Average LFPRAdjustment Factor

Children With Working Parents

Licensed Care Demand Factor

Resident Children Needing Licensed Care

of Total Resident Children Needing Licensed Care

Children from Non-Resident Employees Needing

Licensed Care

(1)

(2)

(3)

511 860

69

354 772

37

131 723

26 84

13 19

1371

1126

76

854

62

32

Total Demand for Child Care Spaces

Distribution

EXISTING SUPPLY (4)

144 742

16 84

Child Care Spaces

885

100

Family Child Care Home Supply

Child Care Center Supply

Current Child Care Supply

Distribution

EXISTING SURPLUS(SHORTAGE)

Distribution

Percentage of Demand Met

by Existing FacilitiesSpaces

Shortage of Family Child Care Home Spaces

Shortage of Center-Based Spaces

(5)

(6)

(6)

28

11

39

96 121

35 285

131 406

24 76

(13) (336)

4 96

91 55

(9) (100)

(3) (236)

216

320

536

100

(349)

100

61

(109)

(240)

FINAL

Table A-9

Existing Child Care Demand and Supply in 2015 in Half Moon Bay Region

San Mateo County Child Care Study - 2016

Note All footnote references can be found in Table C-1 at the end of this file

Sources 2010 US Census ABAG Projections 2013 2014 American Community Survey ACS Journey-to-Work data 2006-2008 and 2006-2010

Child Care Coordinating Council of San Mateo County (4Cs) Community Care Licensing Brion Economics Inc

Prepared by Brion Economics Inc 2513-SMC NA Final Tables 61216 6122016

HILLSBOROUGH

Child Care as of 2015

No of

Providers

Under 2 Years

Old

2 to 4 Year

Olds

Total 0 to 4

Years

EXISTING DEMAND Child Care Demand

Estimated Total Children

Average LFPRAdjustment Factor

Children With Working Parents

Licensed Care Demand Factor

Resident Children Needing Licensed Care

of Total Resident Children Needing Licensed Care

Children from Non-Resident Employees Needing

Licensed Care

(1)

(2)

(3)

138 331

52

71 284

37

26 272

19 82

7 10

469

356

84

298

64

16

Total Demand for Child Care Spaces

Distribution

EXISTING SUPPLY (4)

33 282

10 90

Child Care Spaces

315

100

Family Child Care Home Supply

Child Care Center Supply

Current Child Care Supply

Distribution

EXISTING SURPLUS(SHORTAGE)

Distribution

Percentage of Demand Met

by Existing FacilitiesSpaces

Shortage of Family Child Care Home Spaces

Shortage of Center-Based Spaces

(5)

(6)

(6)

1

4

5

5 6

- 91

5 97

5 95

(28) (185)

13 87

15 34

(28) (12)

0 (173)

11

91

102

100

(213)

100

32

(40)

(173)

FINAL

Table A-10

Existing Child Care Demand and Supply in 2015 in Hillsborough

San Mateo County Child Care Study - 2016

Note All footnote references can be found in Table C-1 at the end of this file Sources 2010 US Census ABAG Projections 2013 2014 American Community Survey ACS Journey-to-Work data 2006-2008 and 2006-2010

Child Care Coordinating Council of San Mateo County (4Cs) Community Care Licensing Brion Economics Inc

Prepared by Brion Economics Inc 2513-SMC NA Final Tables 61216 6122016

MENLO PARK

Child Care as of 2015

No of

Providers

Under 2 Years

Old

2 to 4 Year

Olds

Total 0 to 4

Years

EXISTING DEMAND Child Care Demand

Estimated Total Children

Average LFPRAdjustment Factor

Children With Working Parents

Licensed Care Demand Factor

Resident Children Needing Licensed Care

of Total Resident Children Needing Licensed Care

Children from Non-Resident Employees Needing

Licensed Care

(1)

(2)

(3)

1170 1723

69

802 1551

37

297 1458

25 85

220 332

2893

2353

75

1754

61

552

Total Demand for Child Care Spaces

Distribution

EXISTING SUPPLY (4)

516 1790

22 78

Child Care Spaces

2306

100

Family Child Care Home Supply

Child Care Center Supply

Current Child Care Supply

Distribution

EXISTING SURPLUS(SHORTAGE)

Distribution

Percentage of Demand Met

by Existing FacilitiesSpaces

Shortage of Family Child Care Home Spaces

Shortage of Center-Based Spaces

(5)

(6)

(6)

18

25

43

76 96

73 1331

149 1427

9 91

(367) (363)

50 50

29 80

(188) (24)

(180) (338)

172

1404

1576

100

(730)

100

68

(212)

(518)

FINAL

Table A-11

Existing Child Care Demand and Supply in 2015 in Menlo Park

San Mateo County Child Care Study - 2016

Note All footnote references can be found in Table C-1 at the end of this file Sources 2010 US Census ABAG Projections 2013 2014 American Community Survey ACS Journey-to-Work data 2006-2008 and 2006-2010

Child Care Coordinating Council of San Mateo County (4Cs) Community Care Licensing Brion Economics Inc

Prepared by Brion Economics Inc 2513-SMC NA Final Tables 61216 6122016

MILLBRAE

Child Care as of 2015

No of

Providers

Under 2 Years

Old

2 to 4 Year

Olds

Total 0 to 4

Years

EXISTING DEMAND Child Care Demand

Total Children

Average LFPRAdjustment Factor

Children With Working Parents

Licensed Care Demand Factor

Resident Children Needing Licensed Care

of Total Resident Children Needing Licensed Care

Children from Non-Resident Employees Needing

Licensed Care

(1)

(2)

(3)

421 717

62

260 632

37

96 598

23 83

28 42

1138

892

78

694

61

69

Total Demand for Child Care Spaces

Distribution

EXISTING SUPPLY (4)

124 640

16 84

Child Care Spaces

764

100

Family Child Care Home Supply

Child Care Center Supply

Current Child Care Supply

Distribution

EXISTING SURPLUS(SHORTAGE)

Distribution

Percentage of Demand Met

by Existing FacilitiesSpaces

Shortage of Family Child Care Home Spaces

Shortage of Center-Based Spaces

(5)

(6)

(6)

17

7

24

62 78

- 376

62 454

12 88

(61) (186)

25 75

50 71

(61) (32)

0 (154)

141

376

517

100

(247)

100

68

(93)

(154)

FINAL

Table A-12

Existing Child Care Demand and Supply in 2015 in Millbrae

San Mateo Co unty Child Care Study - 2016

Note All footnote references can be found in Table C-1 at the end of this file

Sources 2010 US Census ABAG Projections 2013 2014 American Community Survey ACS Journey-to-Work data 2006-2008 and 2006-2010

Child Care Coordinating Council of San Mateo County (4Cs) Community Care Licensing Brion Economics Inc

Prepared by Brion Economics Inc 2513-SMC NA Final Tables 61216 6122016

PACIFICA

Child Care as of 2015

No of

Providers

Under 2 Years

Old

2 to 4 Year

Olds

Total 0 to 4

Years

EXISTING DEMAND Child Care Demand

Estimated Total Children

Average LFPRAdjustment Factor

Children With Working Parents

Licensed Care Demand Factor

Resident Children Needing Licensed Care

of Total Resident Children Needing Licensed Care

Children from Non-Resident Employees Needing

Licensed Care

(1)

(2)

(3)

787 1253

78

610 1165

37

226 1089

29 87

18 27

2040

1776

74

1315

64

45

Total Demand for Child Care Spaces

Distribution

EXISTING SUPPLY (4)

244 1117

18 83

Child Care Spaces

1360

100

Family Child Care Home Supply

Child Care Center Supply

Current Child Care Supply

Distribution

EXISTING SURPLUS(SHORTAGE)

Distribution

Percentage of Demand Met

by Existing FacilitiesSpaces

Shortage of Family Child Care Home Spaces

Shortage of Center-Based Spaces

(5)

(6)

(6)

21

18

39

77 97

39 701

116 798

13 87

(128) (319)

29 71

48 71

(85) (39)

(43) (280)

174

740

914

100

(447)

100

67

(124)

(323)

FINAL

Table A-13

Existing Child Care Demand and Supply in 2015 in Pacifica

San Mateo County Child Care Study - 2016

Note All footnote references can be found in Table C-1 at the end of this file Sources 2010 US Census ABAG Projections 2013 2014 American Community Survey ACS Journey-to-Work data 2006-2008 and 2006-2010

Child Care Coordinating Council of San Mateo County (4Cs) Community Care Licensing Brion Economics Inc

Prepared by Brion Economics Inc 2513-SMC NA Final Tables 61216 6122016

PORTOLA VALLEY

No of

Providers

Child Care as of 2015

Under 2 Years

Old

2 to 4 Year

Olds

Total 0 to 4

Years

EXISTING DEMAND Child Care Demand

Estimated Total Children

Average LFPRAdjustment Factor

Children With Working Parents

Licensed Care Demand Factor

Resident Children Needing Licensed Care

of Total Resident Children Needing Licensed Care

Children from Non-Resident Employees Needing

Licensed Care

(1)

(2)

(3)

75 187

66

49 168

37

18 159

24 85

8 12

261

217

82

177

68

21

Total Demand for Child Care Spaces

Distribution

EXISTING SUPPLY (4)

26 171

13 87

Child Care Spaces

198

100

Family Child Care Home Supply

Child Care Center Supply

Current Child Care Supply

Distribution

EXISTING SURPLUS(SHORTAGE)

Distribution

Percentage of Demand Met

by Existing FacilitiesSpaces

Shortage of Family Child Care Home Spaces

Shortage of Center-Based Spaces

(5)

(6)

(6)

0

4

4

0 0

0 153

0 153

0 100

(26) (18)

59 41

0 89

0 0

(26) (18)

0

153

153

100

(45)

100

77

0

(45)

FINAL

Table A-14

Existing Child Care Demand and Supply in 2015 in Portola Valley

San Mateo County Child Care Study - 2016

Note All footnote references can be found in Table C-1 at the end of this file Sources 2010 US Census ABAG Projections 2013 2014 American Community Survey ACS Journey-to-Work data 2006-2008 and 2006-2010

Child Care Coordinating Council of San Mateo County (4Cs) Community Care Licensing Brion Economics Inc

Prepared by Brion Economics Inc 2513-SMC NA Final Tables 61216 6122016

REDWOOD CITY

Child Care as of 2015

No of

Providers

Under 2 Years

Old

2 to 4 Year

Olds

Total 0 to 4

Years

EXISTING DEMAND Child Care Demand

Estimated Total Children

Average LFPRAdjustment Factor

Children With Working Parents

Licensed Care Demand Factor

Resident Children Needing Licensed Care

of Total Resident Children Needing Licensed Care

Children from Non-Resident Employees Needing

Licensed Care

Total Demand for Child Care Spaces

Distribution

EXISTING SUPPLY

(1)

(2)

(3)

(4)

3260 4706

69

2236 4212

37

827 3942

25 84

414 625

1241 4567

21 79

Child Care Spaces

7966

6449

74

4770

60

1038

5808

100

Family Child Care Home Supply

Child Care Center Supply

Current Child Care Supply

Distribution

EXISTING SURPLUS(SHORTAGE)

Distribution

Percentage of Demand Met

by Existing FacilitiesSpaces

Shortage of Family Child Care Home Spaces

Shortage of Center-Based Spaces

(5)

(6)

(6)

111

45

156

396 497

356 2036

752 2533

23 77

(490) (2034)

19 81

61 55

(258) (399)

(232) (1635)

893

2392

3285

100

(2524)

100

57

(657)

(1867)

FINAL

Table A-15

Existing Child Care Demand and Supply in 2015 in Redwood City

San Mateo County Child Care Study - 2016

Note All footnote references can be found in Table C-1 at the end of this file Sources 2010 US Census ABAG Projections 2013 2014 American Community Survey ACS Journey-to-Work data 2006-2008 and 2006-2010

Child Care Coordinating Council of San Mateo County (4Cs) Community Care Licensing Brion Economics Inc

Prepared by Brion Economics Inc 2513-SMC NA Final Tables 61216 6122016

SAN BRUNO

Child Care as of 2015

No of

Providers

Under 2 Years

Old

2 to 4 Year

Olds

Total 0 to 4

Years

EXISTING DEMAND Child Care Demand

Estimated Total Children

Average LFPRAdjustment Factor

Children With Working Parents

Licensed Care Demand Factor

Resident Children Needing Licensed Care

of Total Resident Children Needing Licensed Care

Children from Non-Resident Employees Needing

Licensed Care

(1)

(2)

(3)

1069 1553

77

817 1428

37

302 1326

28 85

61 92

2622

2245

73

1628

62

153

Total Demand for Child Care Spaces

Distribution

EXISTING SUPPLY (4)

364 1418

20 80

Child Care Spaces

1782

100

Family Child Care Home Supply

Child Care Center Supply

Current Child Care Supply

Distribution

EXISTING SURPLUS(SHORTAGE)

Distribution

Percentage of Demand Met

by Existing FacilitiesSpaces

Shortage of Family Child Care Home Spaces

Shortage of Center-Based Spaces

(5)

(6)

(6)

34

15

49

122 153

26 1183

148 1336

10 90

(216) (82)

72 28

41 94

(178) (9)

(38) (73)

275

1209

1484

100

(298)

100

83

(187)

(110)

FINAL

Table A-16

Existing Child Care Demand and Supply in 2015 in San Bruno

San Mateo County Child Care Study - 2016

Note All footnote references can be found in Table C-1 at the end of this file Sources 2010 US Census ABAG Projections 2013 2014 American Community Survey ACS Journey-to-Work data 2006-2008 and 2006-2010

Child Care Coordinating Council of San Mateo County (4Cs) Community Care Licensing Brion Economics Inc

Prepared by Brion Economics Inc 2513-SMC NA Final Tables 61216 6122016

SAN CARLOS

Child Care as of 2015

No of

Providers

Under 2 Years

Old

2 to 4 Year

Olds

Total 0 to 4

Years

EXISTING DEMAND Child Care Demand

Estimated Total Children

Average LFPRAdjustment Factor

Children With Working Parents

Licensed Care Demand Factor

Resident Children Needing Licensed Care

of Total Resident Children Needing Licensed Care

Children from Non-Resident Employees Needing

Licensed Care

(1)

(2)

(3)

735 1308

72

526 1186

37

195 1109

26 85

75 114

2043

1712

76

1304

64

189

Total Demand for Child Care Spaces

Distribution

EXISTING SUPPLY (4)

270 1222

18 82

Child Care Spaces

1492

100

Family Child Care Home Supply

Child Care Center Supply

Current Child Care Supply

Distribution

EXISTING SURPLUS(SHORTAGE)

Distribution

Percentage of Demand Met

by Existing FacilitiesSpaces

Shortage of Family Child Care Home Spaces

Shortage of Center-Based Spaces

(5)

(6)

(6)

20

14

34

73 92

76 615

149 707

17 83

(121) (516)

19 81

55 58

(59) (67)

(62) (449)

164

691

855

100

(637)

100

57

(126)

(511)

FINAL

Table A-17

Existing Child Care Demand and Supply in 2015 in San Carlos

San Mateo County Child Care Study - 2016

Note All footnote references can be found in Table C-1 at the end of this file

Sources 2010 US Census ABAG Projections 2013 2014 American Community Survey ACS Journey-to-Work data 2006-2008 and 2006-2010

Child Care Coordinating Council of San Mateo County (4Cs) Community Care Licensing Brion Economics Inc

Prepared by Brion Economics Inc 2513-SMC NA Final Tables 61216 6122016

SAN MATEO

Child Care as of 2015

No of

Providers

Under 2 Years

Old

2 to 4 Year

Olds

Total 0 to 4

Years

EXISTING DEMAND Child Care Demand

Estimated Total Children

Average LFPRAdjustment Factor

Children With Working Parents

Licensed Care Demand Factor

Resident Children Needing Licensed Care

of Total Resident Children Needing Licensed Care

Children from Non-Resident Employees Needing

Licensed Care

(1)

(2)

(3)

2943 4213

71

2087 3793

37

772 3537

26 84

231 348

7156

5880

73

4309

60

579

Total Demand for Child Care Spaces

Distribution

EXISTING SUPPLY (4)

1003 3886

21 79

Child Care Spaces

4889

100

Family Child Care Home Supply

Child Care Center Supply

Current Child Care Supply

Distribution

EXISTING SURPLUS(SHORTAGE)

Distribution

Percentage of Demand Met

by Existing FacilitiesSpaces

Shortage of Family Child Care Home Spaces

Shortage of Center-Based Spaces

(5)

(6)

(6)

126

59

185

492 619

209 2577

701 3196

18 82

(302) (690)

30 70

70 82

(212) (134)

(90) (557)

1111

2786

3897

100

(992)

100

80

(345)

(647)

FINAL

Table A-18

Existing Child Care Demand and Supply in 2015 in San Mateo

San Mateo County Child Care Study - 2016

Note All footnote references can be found in Table C-1 at the end of this file

Sources 2010 US Census ABAG Projections 2013 2014 American Community Survey ACS Journey-to-Work data 2006-2008 and 2006-2010

Child Care Coordinating Council of San Mateo County (4Cs) Community Care Licensing Brion Economics Inc

Prepared by Brion Economics Inc 2513-SMC NA Final Tables 61216 6122016

SOUTH COAST

Child Care as of 2015

No of

Providers

Under 2 Years

Old

2 to 4 Year

Olds

Total 0 to 4

Years

EXISTING DEMAND Child Care Demand

Estimated Total Children

Average LFPRAdjustment Factor

Children With Working Parents

Licensed Care Demand Factor

Resident Children Needing Licensed Care

of Total Resident Children Needing Licensed Care

Children from Non-Resident Employees Needing

Licensed Care

(1)

(2)

(3)

21 29

54

11 25

37

4 23

20 81

0 0

50

36

77

28

56

0

Total Demand for Child Care Spaces

Distribution

EXISTING SUPPLY (4)

4 23

15 85

Child Care Spaces

28

100

Family Child Care Home Supply

Child Care Center Supply

Current Child Care Supply

Distribution

EXISTING SURPLUS(SHORTAGE)

Distribution

Percentage of Demand Met

by Existing FacilitiesSpaces

Shortage of Family Child Care Home Spaces

Shortage of Center-Based Spaces

(5)

(6)

(6)

-

2

2

- -

- 54

- 54

0 100

(4) 31

-16 116

0 230

(2) NA

(2) NA

0

54

54

100

26

100

195

(2)

(2)

FINAL

Table A-19

Existing Child Care Demand and Supply in 2015 in South Coast

San Mateo County Child Care Study - 2016

Note All footnote references can be found in Table C-1 at the end of this file

Sources 2010 US Census ABAG Projections 2013 2014 American Community Survey ACS Journey-to-Work data 2006-2008 and 2006-2010

Child Care Coordinating Council of San Mateo County (4Cs) Community Care Licensing Brion Economics Inc

Prepared by Brion Economics Inc 2513-SMC NA Final Tables 61216 6122016

SOUTH SAN FRANCISCO

Child Care as of 2015

No of

Providers

Under 2 Years

Old

2 to 4 Year

Olds

Total 0 to 4

Years

EXISTING DEMAND Child Care Demand

Estimated Total Children

Average LFPRAdjustment Factor

Children With Working Parents

Licensed Care Demand Factor

Resident Children Needing Licensed Care

of Total Resident Children Needing Licensed Care

Children from Non-Resident Employees Needing

Licensed Care

(1)

(2)

(3)

1649 2507

73

1206 2278

37

446 2123

27 85

309 466

4156

3484

74

2569

62

774

Total Demand for Child Care Spaces

Distribution

EXISTING SUPPLY (4)

755 2588

23 77

Child Care Spaces

3343

100

Family Child Care Home Supply

Child Care Center Supply

Current Child Care Supply

Distribution

EXISTING SURPLUS(SHORTAGE)

Distribution

Percentage of Demand Met

by Existing FacilitiesSpaces

Shortage of Family Child Care Home Spaces

Shortage of Center-Based Spaces

(5)

(6)

(6)

68

27

95

252 317

400 1966

652 2283

22 78

(103) (306)

25 75

86 88

(40) (42)

(63) (263)

569

2366

2935

100

(408)

100

88

(82)

(326)

FINAL

Table A-20

Existing Child Care Demand and Supply in 2015 in South San Francisco

San Mateo County Child Care Study - 2016

Note All footnote references can be found in Table C-1 at the end of this file Sources 2010 US Census ABAG Projections 2013 2014 American Community Survey ACS Journey-to-Work data 2006-2008 and 2006-2010

Child Care Coordinating Council of San Mateo County (4Cs) Community Care Licensing Brion Economics Inc

Prepared by Brion Economics Inc 2513-SMC NA Final Tables 61216 6122016

WOODSIDE

No of

Providers

Child Care as of 2015

Under 2 Years

Old

2 to 4 Year

Olds

Total 0 to 4

Years

EXISTING DEMAND Child Care Demand

Estimated Total Children

Average LFPRAdjustment Factor

Children With Working Parents

Licensed Care Demand Factor

Resident Children Needing Licensed Care

of Total Resident Children Needing Licensed Care

Children from Non-Resident Employees Needing

Licensed Care

(1)

(2)

(3)

90 160

56

50 136

37

18 128

21 80

8 13

250

186

79

147

59

21

Total Demand for Child Care Spaces

Distribution

EXISTING SUPPLY (4)

27 141

16 84

Child Care Spaces

168

100

Family Child Care Home Supply

Child Care Center Supply

Current Child Care Supply

Distribution

EXISTING SURPLUS(SHORTAGE)

Distribution

Percentage of Demand Met

by Existing FacilitiesSpaces

Shortage of Family Child Care Home Spaces

Shortage of Center-Based Spaces

(5)

(6)

(6)

1

2

3

4 5

0 103

4 108

4 96

(23) (33)

41 59

16 77

(23) (2)

0 (31)

9

103

112

100

(55)

100

67

(24)

(31)

FINAL

Table A-21

Existing Child Care Demand and Supply in 2015 in Woodside

San Mateo County Child Care Study - 2016

Note All footnote references can be found in Table C-1 at the end of this file Sources 2010 US Census ABAG Projections 2013 2014 American Community Survey ACS Journey-to-Work data 2006-2008 and 2006-2010

Child Care Coordinating Council of San Mateo County (4Cs) Community Care Licensing Brion Economics Inc

Prepared by Brion Economics Inc 2513-SMC NA Final Tables 61216 6122016

COUNTYWIDE

Child Care as of 2025

No of

Providers

Under 2 Years

Old

2 to 4 Year

Olds

Total 0 to 4

Years

EXISTING DEMAND Child Care Demand

Estimated Total Children

Average LFPRAdjustment Factor

Children With Working Parents

Licensed Care Demand Factor

Resident Children Needing Licensed Care

of Total Resident Children Needing Licensed Care

Children from Non-Resident Employees Needing

Licensed Care

Total Demand for Child Care Spaces

Distribution

EXISTING SUPPLY

(1)

(2)

(3)

(4)

20790 31340

71

14704 28273

37

5441 26432

26 84

2037 3074

7478 29506

20 80

Child Care Spaces

52130

42978

86

31873

61

5112

36984

100

Family Child Care Home Supply

Child Care Center Supply

Current Child Care Supply

Distribution

EXISTING SURPLUS(SHORTAGE)

Distribution

Percentage of Demand Met

by Existing FacilitiesSpaces

Shortage of Family Child Care Home Spaces

Shortage of Center-Based Spaces

(5)

(6)

(6)

621

309

930

2301 2893

1514 16296

3815 19189

17 83

(3663) (10318)

26 74

51 65

(2209) (1555)

(1454) (8762)

5193

17810

23003

100

(13981)

100

62

(3765)

(10216)

FINAL

Table B-1

Future C hild Care Demand and Supply in 2025 Countywide

San Mateo County Child Care Study - 2016

Note All footnote references can be found in Table C-1 at the end of this file

Sources 2010 US Census ABAG Projections 2013 2014 American Community Survey ACS Journey-to-Work data 2006-2008 and 2006-2010

Child Care Coordinating Council of San Mateo County (4Cs) Community Care Licensing Brion Economics Inc

Prepared by Brion Economics Inc 2513-SMC NA Final Tables 61216 6122016

ATHERTON

No of

Providers

Child Care as of 2025

Under 2 Years

Old

2 to 4 Year

Olds

Total 0 to 4

Years

EXISTING DEMAND Child Care Demand

Estimated Total Children

Average LFPRAdjustment Factor

Children With Working Parents

Licensed Care Demand Factor

Resident Children Needing Licensed Care

of Total Resident Children Needing Licensed Care

Children from Non-Resident Employees Needing

Licensed Care

(1)

(2)

(3)

109 193

40

43 159

37

16 154

15 80

13 19

302

202

84

170

56

32

Total Demand for Child Care Spaces

Distribution

EXISTING SUPPLY (4)

29 173

14 86

Child Care Spaces

201

100

Family Child Care Home Supply

Child Care Center Supply

Current Child Care Supply

Distribution

EXISTING SURPLUS(SHORTAGE)

Distribution

Percentage of Demand Met

by Existing FacilitiesSpaces

Shortage of Family Child Care Home Spaces

Shortage of Center-Based Spaces

(5)

(6)

(6)

1

6

7

5 6

24 267

29 273

10 90

0 101

0 100

101 158

NA NA

NA NA

11

291

302

100

101

100

150

NA

NA

FINAL

Table B-2

Future Child Care Demand and Supply in 2025 in Atherton

San Mateo Co unty Child Care Study - 2016

Note All footnote references can be found in Table C-1 at the end of this file Sources 2010 US Census ABAG Projections 2013 2014 American Community Survey ACS Journey-to-Work data 2006-2008 and 2006-2010

Child Care Coordinating Council of San Mateo County (4Cs) Community Care Licensing Brion Economics Inc

Prepared by Brion Economics Inc 2513-SMC NA Final Tables 61216 6122016

BELMONT

Child Care as of 2025

No of

Providers

Under 2 Years

Old

2 to 4 Year

Olds

Total 0 to 4

Years

EXISTING DEMAND Child Care Demand

Estimated Total Children

Average LFPRAdjustment Factor

Children With Working Parents

Licensed Care Demand Factor

Resident Children Needing Licensed Care

of Total Resident Children Needing Licensed Care

Children from Non-Resident Employees Needing

Licensed Care

(1)

(2)

(3)

743 1095

77

574 1013

37

213 943

29 86

37 56

1838

1587

73

1156

63

93

Total Demand for Child Care Spaces

Distribution

EXISTING SUPPLY (4)

250 999

20 80

Child Care Spaces

1249

100

Family Child Care Home Supply

Child Care Center Supply

Current Child Care Supply

Distribution

EXISTING SURPLUS(SHORTAGE)

Distribution

Percentage of Demand Met

by Existing FacilitiesSpaces

Shortage of Family Child Care Home Spaces

Shortage of Center-Based Spaces

(5)

(6)

(6)

8

9

17

67 84

39 531

106 615

15 85

(143) (384)

27 73

43 62

(91) (53)

(53) (331)

152

570

722

100

(527)

100

58

(143)

(384)

FINAL

Table B-3

Future Child Care Demand and Supply in 2025 in Belmont

San Mateo County Child Care Study - 2016

Note All footnote references can be found in Table C-1 at the end of this file

Sources 2010 US Census ABAG Projections 2013 2014 American Community Survey ACS Journey-to-Work data 2006-2008 and 2006-2010

Child Care Coordinating Council of San Mateo County (4Cs) Community Care Licensing Brion Economics Inc

Prepared by Brion Economics Inc 2513-SMC NA Final Tables 61216 6122016

BRISBANE

Child Care as of 2025

No of

Providers

Under 2 Years

Old

2 to 4 Year

Olds

Total 0 to 4

Years

EXISTING DEMAND Child Care Demand

Estimated Total Children

Average LFPRAdjustment Factor

Children With Working Parents

Licensed Care Demand Factor

Resident Children Needing Licensed Care

of Total Resident Children Needing Licensed Care

Children from Non-Resident Employees Needing

Licensed Care

(1)

(2)

(3)

131 174

100

131 174

37

48 160

37 92

55 83

305

305

68

209

68

138

Total Demand for Child Care Spaces

Distribution

EXISTING SUPPLY (4)

103 243

30 70

Child Care Spaces

346

100

Family Child Care Home Supply

Child Care Center Supply

Current Child Care Supply

Distribution

EXISTING SURPLUS(SHORTAGE)

Distribution

Percentage of Demand Met

by Existing FacilitiesSpaces

Shortage of Family Child Care Home Spaces

Shortage of Center-Based Spaces

(5)

(6)

(6)

1

1

2

4 5

0 64

4 69

6 94

(99) (174)

36 64

4 29

(99) (13)

0 (160)

9

64

73

100

(273)

100

21

(112)

(160)

FINAL

Table B-4

Future Child Care Demand and Supply in 2025 in Brisbane

San Mateo County Child Care Study - 2016

Note All footnote references can be found in Table C-1 at the end of this file Sources 2010 US Census ABAG Projections 2013 2014 American Community Survey ACS Journey-to-Work data 2006-2008 and 2006-2010

Child Care Coordinating Council of San Mateo County (4Cs) Community Care Licensing Brion Economics Inc

Prepared by Brion Economics Inc 2513-SMC NA Final Tables 61216 6122016

BURLINGAME

Child Care as of 2025

No of

Providers

Under 2 Years

Old

2 to 4 Year

Olds

Total 0 to 4

Years

EXISTING DEMAND Child Care Demand

Estimated Total Children

Average LFPRAdjustment Factor

Children With Working Parents

Licensed Care Demand Factor

Resident Children Needing Licensed Care

of Total Resident Children Needing Licensed Care

Children from Non-Resident Employees Needing

Licensed Care

(1)

(2)

(3)

903 1332

65

587 1190

37

217 1124

24 84

154 232

2235

1777

75

1341

60

385

Total Demand for Child Care Spaces

Distribution

EXISTING SUPPLY (4)

371 1356

21 79

Child Care Spaces

1726

100

Family Child Care Home Supply

Child Care Center Supply

Current Child Care Supply

Distribution

EXISTING SURPLUS(SHORTAGE)

Distribution

Percentage of Demand Met

by Existing FacilitiesSpaces

Shortage of Family Child Care Home Spaces

Shortage of Center-Based Spaces

(5)

(6)

(6)

10

14

24

79 99

40 866

119 965

11 89

(252) (390)

39 61

32 71

(167) (40)

(85) (350)

179

906

1085

100

(642)

100

63

(207)

(434)

FINAL

Table B-5

Future Child Care Demand and Supply in 2025 in Burlingame

San Mateo County Child Care Study - 2016

Note All footnote references can be found in Table C-1 at the end of this file

Sources 2010 US Census ABAG Projections 2013 2014 American Community Survey ACS Journey-to-Work data 2006-2008 and 2006-2010

Child Care Coordinating Council of San Mateo County (4Cs) Community Care Licensing Brion Economics Inc

Prepared by Brion Economics Inc 2513-SMC NA Final Tables 61216 6122016

DALY CITYCOLMA

Child Care as of 2025

No of

Providers

Under 2 Years

Old

2 to 4 Year

Olds

Total 0 to 4

Years

EXISTING DEMAND Child Care Demand

Estimated Total Children

Average LFPRAdjustment Factor

Children With Working Parents

Licensed Care Demand Factor

Resident Children Needing Licensed Care

of Total Resident Children Needing Licensed Care

Children from Non-Resident Employees Needing

Licensed Care

(1)

(2)

(3)

2647 3793

74

1964 3467

37

727 3233

27 85

138 208

6440

5432

73

3960

61

346

Total Demand for Child Care Spaces

Distribution

EXISTING SUPPLY (4)

865 3441

20 80

Child Care Spaces

4306

100

Family Child Care Home Supply

Child Care Center Supply

Current Child Care Supply

Distribution

EXISTING SURPLUS(SHORTAGE)

Distribution

Percentage of Demand Met

by Existing FacilitiesSpaces

Shortage of Family Child Care Home Spaces

Shortage of Center-Based Spaces

(5)

(6)

(6)

25

28

28

288 362

84 1264

372 1626

19 81

(493) (1816)

21 79

43 47

(381) (404)

(111) (1412)

649

1348

1997

100

(2308)

100

46

(785)

(1523)

FINAL

Table B-6

Future C hild Care Demand and Supply in 2025 in Daly CityColma

San Mateo County Child Care Study - 2016

Note All footnote references can be found in Table C-1 at the end of this file

Sources 2010 US Census ABAG Projections 2013 2014 American Community Survey ACS Journey-to-Work data 2006-2008 and 2006-2010

Child Care Coordinating Council of San Mateo County (4Cs) Community Care Licensing Brion Economics Inc

Prepared by Brion Economics Inc 2513-SMC NA Final Tables 61216 6122016

EAST PALO ALTO

Child Care as of 2025

No of

Providers

Under 2 Years

Old

2 to 4 Year

Olds

Total 0 to 4

Years

EXISTING DEMAND Child Care Demand

Estimated Total Children

Average LFPRAdjustment Factor

Children With Working Parents

Licensed Care Demand Factor

Resident Children Needing Licensed Care

of Total Resident Children Needing Licensed Care

Children from Non-Resident Employees Needing

Licensed Care

(1)

(2)

(3)

1161 1849

71

822 1660

37

304 1545

26 84

20 30

3010

2482

75

1849

61

50

Total Demand for Child Care Spaces

Distribution

EXISTING SUPPLY (4)

324 1575

17 83

Child Care Spaces

1900

100

Family Child Care Home Supply

Child Care Center Supply

Current Child Care Supply

Distribution

EXISTING SURPLUS(SHORTAGE)

Distribution

Percentage of Demand Met

by Existing FacilitiesSpaces

Shortage of Family Child Care Home Spaces

Shortage of Center-Based Spaces

(5)

(6)

(6)

13

6

19

85 106

25 633

110 739

13 87

(215) (836)

20 80

34 47

(166) (120)

(49) (715)

191

658

849

100

(1050)

100

45

(286)

(764)

FINAL

Table B-7

Future Child Care Demand and Supply in 2025 in East Palo Alto

San Mateo County Child Care Study - 2016

Note All footnote references can be found in Table C-1 at the end of this file

Sources 2010 US Census ABAG Projections 2013 2014 American Community Survey ACS Journey-to-Work data 2006-2008 and 2006-2010

Child Care Coordinating Council of San Mateo County (4Cs) Community Care Licensing Brion Economics Inc

Prepared by Brion Economics Inc 2513-SMC NA Final Tables 61216 6122016

FOSTER CITY

Child Care as of 2025

No of

Providers

Under 2 Years

Old

2 to 4 Year

Olds

Total 0 to 4

Years

EXISTING DEMAND Child Care Demand

Estimated Total Children

Average LFPRAdjustment Factor

Children With Working Parents

Licensed Care Demand Factor

Resident Children Needing Licensed Care

of Total Resident Children Needing Licensed Care

Children from Non-Resident Employees Needing

Licensed Care

(1)

(2)

(3)

871 1330

63

550 1154

37

204 1079

23 81

80 120

2201

1705

75

1282

58

200

Total Demand for Child Care Spaces

Distribution

EXISTING SUPPLY (4)

283 1199

19 81

Child Care Spaces

1483

100

Family Child Care Home Supply

Child Care Center Supply

Current Child Care Supply

Distribution

EXISTING SURPLUS(SHORTAGE)

Distribution

Percentage of Demand Met

by Existing FacilitiesSpaces

Shortage of Family Child Care Home Spaces

Shortage of Center-Based Spaces

(5)

(6)

(6)

19

12

31

118 149

88 1200

206 1349

13 87

(77) 150

-106 206

73 112

(44) NA

(33) NA

267

1288

1555

100

73

100

105

(44)

(33)

FINAL

Table B-8

Future Child Care Demand and Supply in 2025 in Foster City

San Mateo County Child Care Study - 2016

Note All footnote references can be found in Table C-1 at the end of this file

Sources 2010 US Census ABAG Projections 2013 2014 American Community Survey ACS Journey-to-Work data 2006-2008 and 2006-2010

Child Care Coordinating Council of San Mateo County (4Cs) Community Care Licensing Brion Economics Inc

Prepared by Brion Economics Inc 2513-SMC NA Final Tables 61216 6122016

HALF MOON BAY REGION

Child Care as of 2025

No of

Providers

Under 2 Years

Old

2 to 4 Year

Olds

Total 0 to 4

Years

EXISTING DEMAND Child Care Demand

Estimated Total Children

Average LFPRAdjustment Factor

Children With Working Parents

Licensed Care Demand Factor

Resident Children Needing Licensed Care

of Total Resident Children Needing Licensed Care

Children from Non-Resident Employees Needing

Licensed Care

(1)

(2)

(3)

553 929

69

383 835

37

142 781

26 84

14 21

1482

1217

76

923

62

34

Total Demand for Child Care Spaces

Distribution

EXISTING SUPPLY (4)

155 802

16 84

Child Care Spaces

957

100

Family Child Care Home Supply

Child Care Center Supply

Current Child Care Supply

Distribution

EXISTING SURPLUS(SHORTAGE)

Distribution

Percentage of Demand Met

by Existing FacilitiesSpaces

Shortage of Family Child Care Home Spaces

Shortage of Center-Based Spaces

(5)

(6)

(6)

10

11

21

96 121

35 285

131 406

24 76

(24) (396)

6 94

84 51

(18) (118)

(6) (279)

216

320

536

100

(421)

100

56

(136)

(285)

FINAL

Table B-9

Future Child Care Demand and Supply in 2025 in Half Moon Bay Region

San Mateo County Child Care Study - 2016

Note All footnote references can be found in Table C-1 at the end of this file

Sources 2010 US Census ABAG Projections 2013 2014 American Community Survey ACS Journey-to-Work data 2006-2008 and 2006-2010

Child Care Coordinating Council of San Mateo County (4Cs) Community Care Licensing Brion Economics Inc

Prepared by Brion Economics Inc 2513-SMC NA Final Tables 61216 6122016

HILLSBOROUGH

Child Care as of 2025

No of

Providers

Under 2 Years

Old

2 to 4 Year

Olds

Total 0 to 4

Years

EXISTING DEMAND Child Care Demand

Estimated Total Children

Average LFPRAdjustment Factor

Children With Working Parents

Licensed Care Demand Factor

Resident Children Needing Licensed Care

of Total Resident Children Needing Licensed Care

Children from Non-Resident Employees Needing

Licensed Care

(1)

(2)

(3)

143 343

52

74 295

37

27 282

19 82

7 11

487

369

84

309

64

17

Total Demand for Child Care Spaces

Distribution

EXISTING SUPPLY (4)

34 292

10 90

Child Care Spaces

327

100

Family Child Care Home Supply

Child Care Center Supply

Current Child Care Supply

Distribution

EXISTING SURPLUS(SHORTAGE)

Distribution

Percentage of Demand Met

by Existing FacilitiesSpaces

Shortage of Family Child Care Home Spaces

Shortage of Center-Based Spaces

(5)

(6)

(6)

1

4

5

5 6

- 91

5 97

5 95

(29) (195)

13 87

14 33

(29) (12)

0 (183)

11

91

102

100

(225)

100

31

(42)

(183)

FINAL

Table B-10

Future Child Care Demand and Supply in 2025 in Hillsborough

San Mateo County Child Care Study - 2016

Note All footnote references can be found in Table C-1 at the end of this file

Sources 2010 US Census ABAG Projections 2013 2014 American Community Survey ACS Journey-to-Work data 2006-2008 and 2006-2010

Child Care Coordinating Council of San Mateo County (4Cs) Community Care Licensing Brion Economics Inc

Prepared by Brion Economics Inc 2513-SMC NA Final Tables 61216 6122016

MENLO PARK

Child Care as of 2025

No of

Providers

Under 2 Years

Old

2 to 4 Year

Olds

Total 0 to 4

Years

EXISTING DEMAND Child Care Demand

Estimated Total Children

Average LFPRAdjustment Factor

Children With Working Parents

Licensed Care Demand Factor

Resident Children Needing Licensed Care

of Total Resident Children Needing Licensed Care

Children from Non-Resident Employees Needing

Licensed Care

(1)

(2)

(3)

1327 1954

69

909 1759

37

336 1653

25 85

237 357

3281

2668

75

1989

61

594

Total Demand for Child Care Spaces

Distribution

EXISTING SUPPLY (4)

573 2011

22 78

Child Care Spaces

2584

100

Family Child Care Home Supply

Child Care Center Supply

Current Child Care Supply

Distribution

EXISTING SURPLUS(SHORTAGE)

Distribution

Percentage of Demand Met

by Existing FacilitiesSpaces

Shortage of Family Child Care Home Spaces

Shortage of Center-Based Spaces

(5)

(6)

(6)

15

25

40

76 96

73 1331

149 1427

9 91

(424) (584)

42 58

26 71

(217) (39)

(207) (544)

172

1404

1576

100

(1008)

100

61

(256)

(752)

FINAL

Table B-11

Future Child Care Demand and Supply in 2025 in Menlo Park

San Mateo County Child Care Study - 2016

Note All footnote references can be found in Table C-1 at the end of this file

Sources 2010 US Census ABAG Projections 2013 2014 American Community Survey ACS Journey-to-Work data 2006-2008 and 2006-2010

Child Care Coordinating Council of San Mateo County (4Cs) Community Care Licensing Brion Economics Inc

Prepared by Brion Economics Inc 2513-SMC NA Final Tables 61216 6122016

MILLBRAE

Child Care as of 2025

No of

Providers

Under 2 Years

Old

2 to 4 Year

Olds

Total 0 to 4

Years

EXISTING DEMAND Child Care Demand

Estimated Total Children

Average LFPRAdjustment Factor

Children With Working Parents

Licensed Care Demand Factor

Resident Children Needing Licensed Care

of Total Resident Children Needing Licensed Care

Children from Non-Resident Employees Needing

Licensed Care

(1)

(2)

(3)

473 805

62

291 710

37

108 672

23 83

31 47

1278

1001

78

780

61

77

Total Demand for Child Care Spaces

Distribution

EXISTING SUPPLY (4)

139 718

16 84

Child Care Spaces

857

100

Family Child Care Home Supply

Child Care Center Supply

Current Child Care Supply

Distribution

EXISTING SURPLUS(SHORTAGE)

Distribution

Percentage of Demand Met

by Existing FacilitiesSpaces

Shortage of Family Child Care Home Spaces

Shortage of Center-Based Spaces

(5)

(6)

(6)

7

7

14

62 78

- 376

62 454

12 88

(76) (264)

22 78

45 63

(76) (46)

0 (219)

141

376

517

100

(340)

100

60

(122)

(219)

FINAL

Table B-12

Future C hild Care Demand and Supply in 2025 in Millbrae

San Mateo County Child Care Study - 2016

Note All footnote references can be found in Table C-1 at the end of this file

Sources 2010 US Census ABAG Projections 2013 2014 American Community Survey ACS Journey-to-Work data 2006-2008 and 2006-2010

Child Care Coordinating Council of San Mateo County (4Cs) Community Care Licensing Brion Economics Inc

Prepared by Brion Economics Inc 2513-SMC NA Final Tables 61216 6122016

FINAL

Table B-13

Future Child Care Demand and Supply in 2025 in Pacifica

San Mateo County Child Care Study - 2016

PACIFICA

Child Care as of 2025

No of

Providers

Under 2 Years

Old

2 to 4 Year

Olds

Total 0 to 4

Years

EXISTING DEMAND Child Care Demand

Estimated Total Children

Average L FPRAdjustment Factor

Children With Working Parents

Licensed Care Demand Factor

Resident Children Needing Licensed Care

of Total Resident Children Needing Licensed Care

Children from Non-Resident Employees Needing

Licensed Care

(1)

(2)

(3)

816 1300

78

633 1209

37

234 1130

29 87

19 29

2116

1842

74

1364

64

48

Total Demand for Child Care Spaces

Distribution

EXISTING SUPPLY (4)

254 1159

18 82

Child Care Spaces

1413

100

Family Child Care Home Supply

Child Care Center Supply

Current Child Care Supply

Distribution

EXISTING SURPLUS(SHORTAGE)

Distribution

Percentage of Demand Met

by Existing FacilitiesSpaces

Shortage of Family Child Care Home Spaces

Shortage of Center-Based Spaces

(5)

(6)

(6)

9

18

27

77 97

39 701

116 798

13 87

(138) (361)

28 72

46 69

(91) (44)

(46) (317)

174

740

914

100

(499)

100

65

(135)

(364)

Note All footnote references can be found in Table C-1 at the end of this file

Sources 2010 US Census ABAG Projections 2013 2014 American Community Survey ACS Journey-to-Work data 2006-2008 and 2006-2010

Child Care Coordinating Council of San Mateo County (4Cs) Community Care Licensing Brion Economics Inc

Prepared by Brion Economics Inc 2513-SMC NA Final Tables 61216 6122016

PORTOLA VALLEY

Child Care as of 2025

No of

Providers

Under 2 Years

Old

2 to 4 Year

Olds

Total 0 to 4

Years

EXISTING DEMAND Child Care Demand

Estimated Total Children

Average LFPRAdjustment Factor

Children With Working Parents

Licensed Care Demand Factor

Resident Children Needing Licensed Care

of Total Resident Children Needing Licensed Care

Children from Non-Resident Employees Needing

Licensed Care

(1)

(2)

(3)

77 192

66

51 173

37

19 164

24 85

9 13

269

224

82

182

68

22

Total Demand for Child Care Spaces

Distribution

EXISTING SUPPLY (4)

28 177

13 87

Child Care Spaces

204

100

Family Child Care Home Supply

Child Care Center Supply

Current Child Care Supply

Distribution

EXISTING SURPLUS(SHORTAGE)

Distribution

Percentage of Demand Met

by Existing FacilitiesSpaces

Shortage of Family Child Care Home Spaces

Shortage of Center-Based Spaces

(5)

(6)

(6)

0

4

4

- -

- 153

- 153

0 100

(28) (24)

54 46

0 87

0 0

(28) (24)

0

153

153

100

(51)

100

75

0

(51)

FINAL

Table B-14

Future Child Care Demand and Supply in 2025 in Portola Valley

San Mateo County Child Care Study - 2016

Note All footnote references can be found in Table C-1 at the end of this file

Sources 2010 US Census ABAG Projections 2013 2014 American Community Survey ACS Journey-to-Work data 2006-2008 and 2006-2010

Child Care Coordinating Council of San Mateo County (4Cs) Community Care Licensing Brion Economics Inc

Prepared by Brion Economics Inc 2513-SMC NA Final Tables 61216 6122016

REDWOOD CITY

No of

Providers

Child Care as of 2025

Under 2 Years

Old

2 to 4 Year

Olds

Total 0 to 4

Years

EXISTING DEMAND Child Care Demand

Estimated Total Children

Average LFPRAdjustment Factor

Children With Working Parents

Licensed Care Demand Factor

Resident Children Needing Licensed Care

of Total Resident Children Needing Licensed Care

Children from Non-Resident Employees Needing

Licensed Care

Total Demand for Child Care Spaces

Distribution

EXISTING SUPPLY

(1)

(2)

(3)

(4)

3725 5378

69

2555 4813

37

946 4505

25 84

466 703

1411 5208

21 79

Child Care Spaces

9103

7368

74

5450

60

1169

6619

100

Family Child Care Home Supply

Child Care Center Supply

Current Child Care Supply

Distribution

EXISTING SURPLUS(SHORTAGE)

Distribution

Percentage of Demand Met

by Existing FacilitiesSpaces

Shortage of Family Child Care Home Spaces

Shortage of Center-Based Spaces

(5)

(6)

(6)

42

41

83

396 497

356 2036

752 2533

23 77

(660) (2674)

20 80

53 49

(347) (525)

(313) (2149)

893

2392

3285

100

(3334)

100

50

(872)

(2462)

FINAL

Table B-15

Future Child Care Demand and Supply in 2025 in Redwood City

San Mateo County Child Care Study - 2016

Note All footnote references can be found in Table C-1 at the end of this file

Sources 2010 US Census ABAG Projections 2013 2014 American Community Survey ACS Journey-to-Work data 2006-2008 and 2006-2010

Child Care Coordinating Council of San Mateo County (4Cs) Community Care Licensing Brion Economics Inc

Prepared by Brion Economics Inc 2513-SMC NA Final Tables 61216 6122016

SAN BRUNO

Child Care as of 2025

No of

Providers

Under 2 Years

Old

2 to 4 Year

Olds

Total 0 to 4

Years

EXISTING DEMAND Child Care Demand

Estimated Total Children

Average LFPRAdjustment Factor

Children With Working Parents

Licensed Care Demand Factor

Resident Children Needing Licensed Care

of Total Resident Children Needing Licensed Care

Children from Non-Resident Employees Needing

Licensed Care

(1)

(2)

(3)

1189 1728

77

910 1589

37

337 1475

28 85

68 103

2917

2498

73

1812

62

171

Total Demand for Child Care Spaces

Distribution

EXISTING SUPPLY (4)

405 1578

20 80

Child Care Spaces

1983

100

Family Child Care Home Supply

Child Care Center Supply

Current Child Care Supply

Distribution

EXISTING SURPLUS(SHORTAGE)

Distribution

Percentage of Demand Met

by Existing FacilitiesSpaces

Shortage of Family Child Care Home Spaces

Shortage of Center-Based Spaces

(5)

(6)

(6)

13

15

28

122 153

26 1183

148 1336

10 90

(257) (242)

52 48

37 85

(212) (28)

(45) (214)

275

1209

1484

100

(499)

100

75

(239)

(259)

FINAL

Table B-16

Future C hild Care Demand and Supply in 2025 in San Bruno

San Mateo County Child Care Study - 2016

Note All footnote references can be found in Table C-1 at the end of this file

Sources 2010 US Census ABAG Projections 2013 2014 American Community Survey ACS Journey-to-Work data 2006-2008 and 2006-2010

Child Care Coordinating Council of San Mateo County (4Cs) Community Care Licensing Brion Economics Inc

Prepared by Brion Economics Inc 2513-SMC NA Final Tables 61216 6122016

SAN CARLOS

Child Care as of 2025

No of

Providers

Under 2 Years

Old

2 to 4 Year

Olds

Total 0 to 4

Years

EXISTING DEMAND Child Care Demand

Estimated Total Children

Average LFPRAdjustment Factor

Children With Working Parents

Licensed Care Demand Factor

Resident Children Needing Licensed Care

of Total Resident Children Needing Licensed Care

Children from Non-Resident Employees Needing

Licensed Care

(1)

(2)

(3)

778 1384

72

557 1255

37

206 1174

26 85

82 123

2162

1812

76

1380

64

205

Total Demand for Child Care Spaces

Distribution

EXISTING SUPPLY (4)

288 1297

18 82

Child Care Spaces

1585

100

Family Child Care Home Supply

Child Care Center Supply

Current Child Care Supply

Distribution

EXISTING SURPLUS(SHORTAGE)

Distribution

Percentage of Demand Met

by Existing FacilitiesSpaces

Shortage of Family Child Care Home Spaces

Shortage of Center-Based Spaces

(5)

(6)

(6)

28

14

42

73 92

76 615

149 707

17 83

(139) (590)

19 81

52 54

(68) (76)

(71) (514)

164

691

855

100

(729)

100

54

(145)

(585)

FINAL

Table B-17

Future Child Care Demand and Supply in 2025 in San Carlos

San Mateo County Child Care Study - 2016

Note All footnote references can be found in Table C-1 at the end of this file

Sources 2010 US Census ABAG Projections 2013 2014 American Community Survey ACS Journey-to-Work data 2006-2008 and 2006-2010

Child Care Coordinating Council of San Mateo County (4Cs) Community Care Licensing Brion Economics Inc

Prepared by Brion Economics Inc 2513-SMC NA Final Tables 61216 6122016

SAN MATEO

Child Care as of 2025

No of

Providers

Under 2 Years

Old

2 to 4 Year

Olds

Total 0 to 4

Years

EXISTING DEMAND Child Care Demand

Estimated Total Children

Average LFPRAdjustment Factor

Children With Working Parents

Licensed Care Demand Factor

Resident Children Needing Licensed Care

of Total Resident Children Needing Licensed Care

Children from Non-Resident Employees Needing

Licensed Care

(1)

(2)

(3)

3194 4572

71

2264 4116

37

838 3839

26 84

261 394

7766

6381

73

4677

60

656

Total Demand for Child Care Spaces

Distribution

EXISTING SUPPLY (4)

1099 4233

21 79

Child Care Spaces

5332

100

Family Child Care Home Supply

Child Care Center Supply

Current Child Care Supply

Distribution

EXISTING SURPLUS(SHORTAGE)

Distribution

Percentage of Demand Met

by Existing FacilitiesSpaces

Shortage of Family Child Care Home Spaces

Shortage of Center-Based Spaces

(5)

(6)

(6)

69

59

128

492 619

209 2577

701 3196

18 82

(398) (1037)

28 72

64 75

(279) (201)

(119) (837)

1111

2786

3897

100

(1435)

100

73

(480)

(955)

FINAL

Table B-18

Future Child Care Demand and Supply in 2025 in San Mateo

San Mateo County Child Care Study - 2016

Note All footnote references can be found in Table C-1 at the end of this file

Sources 2010 US Census ABAG Projections 2013 2014 American Community Survey ACS Journey-to-Work data 2006-2008 and 2006-2010

Child Care Coordinating Council of San Mateo County (4Cs) Community Care Licensing Brion Economics Inc

Prepared by Brion Economics Inc 2513-SMC NA Final Tables 61216 6122016

FINAL

Table B-19

Future Child Care Demand and Supply in 2025 in South Coast

San Mateo County Child Care Study - 2016

SOUTH COAST

Child Care as of 2025

No of

Providers

Under 2 Years

Old

2 to 4 Year

Olds

Total 0 to 4

Years

EXISTING DEMAND Child Care Demand

Estimated Total Children (1) 23 32 55

Average LFPRAdjustment Factor (2) 54

Children With Working Parents 12 27 40

Licensed Care Demand Factor (3) 37 77

Resident Children Needing Licensed Care 5 26 30

of Total Resident Children Needing Licensed Care 20 81 56

Children from Non-Resident Employees Needing

Licensed Care 0 0 0

Total Demand for Child Care Spaces 5 26 30

Distribution 15 85 100

EXISTING SUPPLY (4) Child Care Spaces

Family Child Care Home Supply - 0 0 0

Child Care Center Supply 2 0 54 54

Current Child Care Supply 2 - 54 54

Distribution 0 100 100

EXISTING SURPLUS(SHORTAGE) (5) 28 24

Distribution -19 119 100

Percentage of Demand Met

by Existing FacilitiesSpaces (5) 0 209 177

Shortage of Family Child Care Home Spaces (6) 0 NA 0

Shortage of Center-Based Spaces (6) (5) NA (5)

Note All footnote references can be found in Table C-1 at the end of this file

Sources 2010 US Census ABAG Projections 2013 2014 American Community Survey ACS Journey-to-Work data 2006-2008 and 2006-2010

Child Care Coordinating Council of San Mateo County (4Cs) Community Care Licensing Brion Economics Inc

Prepared by Brion Economics Inc 2513-SMC NA Final Tables 61216 6122016

SOUTH SAN FRANCISCO

Child Care as of 2025

No of

Providers

Under 2 Years

Old

2 to 4 Year

Olds

Total 0 to 4

Years

EXISTING DEMAND Child Care Demand

Estimated Total Children

Average LFPRAdjustment Factor

Children With Working Parents

Licensed Care Demand Factor

Resident Children Needing Licensed Care

of Total Resident Children Needing Licensed Care

Children from Non-Resident Employees Needing

Licensed Care

(1)

(2)

(3)

1835 2790

73

1342 2535

37

496 2362

27 85

339 512

4625

3877

74

2859

62

851

Total Demand for Child Care Spaces

Distribution

EXISTING SUPPLY (4)

835 2874

23 77

Child Care Spaces

3709

100

Family Child Care Home Supply

Child Care Center Supply

Current Child Care Supply

Distribution

EXISTING SURPLUS(SHORTAGE)

Distribution

Percentage of Demand Met

by Existing FacilitiesSpaces

Shortage of Family Child Care Home Spaces

Shortage of Center-Based Spaces

(5)

(6)

(6)

30

27

57

252 317

400 1966

652 2283

22 78

(183) (591)

24 76

78 79

(71) (82)

(113) (509)

569

2366

2935

100

(775)

100

79

(153)

(622)

FINAL

Table B-20

Future Child Care Demand and Supply in 2025 in South San Francisco

San Mateo County Child Care Study - 2016

Note All footnote references can be found in Table C-1 at the end of this file

Sources 2010 US Census ABAG Projections 2013 2014 American Community Survey ACS Journey-to-Work data 2006-2008 and 2006-2010

Child Care Coordinating Council of San Mateo County (4Cs) Community Care Licensing Brion Economics Inc

Prepared by Brion Economics Inc 2513-SMC NA Final Tables 61216 6122016

WOODSIDE

No of

Providers

Child Care as of 2025

Under 2 Years

Old

2 to 4 Year

Olds

Total 0 to 4

Years

EXISTING DEMAND Child Care Demand

Estimated Total Children

Average LFPRAdjustment Factor

Children With Working Parents

Licensed Care Demand Factor

Resident Children Needing Licensed Care

of Total Resident Children Needing Licensed Care

Children from Non-Resident Employees Needing

Licensed Care

(1)

(2)

(3)

93 165

56

51 140

37

19 132

21 80

9 13

258

192

79

152

59

22

Total Demand for Child Care Spaces

Distribution

EXISTING SUPPLY (4)

28 146

16 84

Child Care Spaces

174

100

Family Child Care Home Supply

Child Care Center Supply

Current Child Care Supply

Distribution

EXISTING SURPLUS(SHORTAGE)

Distribution

Percentage of Demand Met

by Existing FacilitiesSpaces

Shortage of Family Child Care Home Spaces

Shortage of Center-Based Spaces

(5)

(6)

(6)

1

2

3

4 5

- 103

4 108

4 96

(24) (38)

39 61

15 74

(24) (2)

0 (36)

9

103

112

100

(61)

100

65

(26)

(36)

FINAL

Table B-21

Future Child Care Demand and Supply in 2025 in Woodside

San Mateo County Child Care Study - 2016

Note All footnote references can be found in Table C-1 at the end of this file

Sources 2010 US Census ABAG Projections 2013 2014 American Community Survey ACS Journey-to-Work data 2006-2008 and 2006-2010

Child Care Coordinating Council of San Mateo County (4Cs) Community Care Licensing Brion Economics Inc

Prepared by Brion Economics Inc 2513-SMC NA Final Tables 61216 6122016

FINAL

Table C-1

Endnotes for Tables

San Mateo County Child Care Study - 2016

(1) Population by age is based on the percentage breakdown from the 2010 US Census and applied

to population estimates for 2015 using ABAGs Projections 2013 population data The ABAG data

for each area includes its Sphere of Influence and is not based on strict jurisdictional boundaries

(2) Labor force participation rates are from the 5-Year American Community Survey 2014 and include

children under six years old with two working parents or a single working parent For the 2- to 4-year

olds the labor force participation rate is applied to 2 year olds For 3- and 4-year olds it is assumed

that 100 need licensed care to support preschool for every child so the number of

3- and 4-year olds is not discounted by labor force participation rates

(3) Not all children with working parents are assumed to need licensed care percentage assumptions are

used to calculate the number of children requiring licensed care under each age category The

remaining children are assumed to be cared for in alternate arrangements such as by family members

nannies friends and other unlicensed care For children ages 3- and 4-years old it is assumed that

they all need care in the form of preschool

(4) Data on child care supply provided by the Child Care Coordinating Council of San Mateo County (4Cs)

and Community Care Licensing Division of the California Department of Social Services (CCLD) Data is

for June 2015

(5) Demand that calculates as less than 100 means that there is greater demand than supply percent of

demand that is over 100 means supply exceeds demand

(6) Unmet demand is broken down into shortage by type of care based on the proportion of FCCHs and

child care centers spaces available in each area If an area does not have any FCCHs or centers the

unmet demand is placed in the type of care that is available in the area (eg if there are only centers

all demand goes to centers)

Source Brion Economics Inc

Prepared by Brion Economics Inc 2513-SMC NA Final Tables 61216 6122016

DRAFT REPORT

Table C-2

Labor Force Participation Rates by CityArea

San Mateo County Child Care Study - 2016

CityArea

Labor Force

Participation Rate (1)

Atherton

Belmont

Brisbane

Burlingame

Daly CityColma

East Palo Alto

Foster City

Half Moon Bay Region

Hillsborough

Menlo Park

Millbrae

Pacifica

Portola Valley

Redwood City

San Bruno

San Carlos

San Mateo

South Coast

South San Francisco

Woodside

40

77

100

65

74

71

63

69

52

69

62

78

66

69

77

72

71

54

73

56

(1) Labor force participation rates (LFPRs) are for

families with children under age six with two

working parents or a single parent who works Sources American Community Survey 2014 5-Year

Survey Brion Economics Inc

Prepared by Brion Economics Inc 2513-SMC NA Final Tables 61216 6122016

  • 2513-SMC FINAL NA Memo-61216
  • 2513-SMC NA Final Tables 61216
Page 22: Final San Mateo County Child Care Needs … Care...Future C hild Care Demand and Supply in 2025 in Daly City/Colma San Mateo County Child Care Study - 2016 Note: All footnote references

CityArea

Shortage

Infant Center

Spaces

Infant care

Percentage

of Shortage

Shortage

Preschool

Center

Spaces

Preschool

Percentage

of Shortage

Total Center-

Based Space

Shortage

Atherton

Belmont

Brisbane

Burlingame

Daly CityColma

East Palo Alto

Foster City

Half Moon Bay Region

Hillsborough

Menlo Park

Millbrae

Pacifica

Portola Valley

Redwood City

San Bruno

San Carlos

San Mateo

South Coast

South San Francisco

Woodside

Countywide

NA

(53)

NA

(85)

(111)

(49)

(33)

(6)

NA

(207)

0

(46)

(28)

(313)

(45)

(71)

(119)

(5)

(113)

0

NA

14

NA

19

7

6

100

2

NA

28

0

13

54

13

17

12

12

NA

18

NA

NA

(331)

(160)

(350)

(1412)

(715)

NA

(279)

(183)

(544)

(219)

(317)

(24)

(2149)

(214)

(514)

(837)

NA

(509)

(36)

NA

86

100

81

93

94

NA

98

100

72

100

87

46

87

83

88

88

NA

82

100

NA

(384)

(160)

(434)

(1523)

(764)

(33)

(285)

(183)

(752)

(219)

(364)

(51)

(2462)

(259)

(585)

(955)

(5)

(622)

(36)

(1454) 14 (8762) 86 (10216)

FINAL

Table 13

Summary of Shortage of Child Care Center Spaces by Age - 2025

San Mateo County Child Care Study - 2016

Sources Child Care Coordinating Council of San Mateo County (4Cs) Community Care Licensing

Brion Economics Inc

Prepared by Brion Economics Inc 2513-SMC NA Final Tables 61216 6122016

COUNTYWIDE

Child Care as of 2015

No of

Providers

Under 2 Years

Old

2 to 4 Year

Olds

Total 0 to 4

Years

EXISTING DEMAND Child Care Demand

Estimated Total Children

Average LFPRAdjustment Factor

Children With Working Parents

Licensed Care Demand Factor

Resident Children Needing Licensed Care

of Total Resident Children Needing Licensed Care

Children from Non-Resident Employees Needing

Licensed Care

Total Demand for Child Care Spaces

Distribution

EXISTING SUPPLY

(1)

(2)

(3)

(4)

19008 28678

71

13449 25720

37

4976 24188

26 84

1845 2784

6821 26971

20 80

Child Care Spaces

47686

39169

86

29164

61

4629

33792

100

Family Child Care Home Supply

Child Care Center Supply

Current Child Care Supply

Distribution

EXISTING SURPLUS(SHORTAGE)

Distribution

Percentage of Demand Met

by Existing FacilitiesSpaces

Shortage of Family Child Care Home Spaces

Shortage of Center-Based Spaces

(5)

(6)

(6)

621

309 -930

2301 2893

1514 16296 - -3815 19189

17 83

(3006) (7783)

28 72

56 71

(1813) (1173)

(1193) (6609)

5193

17810 -23003

100

(10789)

100

68

(2986)

(7802)

FINAL

Table A-1

Existing Child Care Demand and Supply in 2015 Countywide

San Mateo County Child Care Study - 2016

Note All footnote references can be found in Table C-1 at the end of this file

Sources 2010 US Census ABAG Projections 2013 2014 American Community Survey ACS Journey-to-Work data 2006-2008 and 2006-2010

Child Care Coordinating Council of San Mateo County (4Cs) Community Care Licensing Brion Economics Inc

Prepared by Brion Economics Inc 2513-SMC NA Final Tables 61216 6122016

ATHERTON

Child Care as of 2015

No of

Providers

Under 2 Years

Old

2 to 4 Year

Olds

Total 0 to 4

Years

EXISTING DEMAND Child Care Demand

Estimated Total Children

Average LFPRAdjustment Factor

Children With Working Parents

Licensed Care Demand Factor

Resident Children Needing Licensed Care

of Total Resident Children Needing Licensed Care

Children from Non-Resident Employees Needing

Licensed Care

(1)

(2)

(3)

105 185

40

42 153

37

15 147

15 80

12 18

290

194

84

163

56

29

Total Demand for Child Care Spaces

Distribution

EXISTING SUPPLY (4)

27 165

14 86

Child Care Spaces

192

100

Family Child Care Home Supply

Child Care Center Supply

Current Child Care Supply

Distribution

EXISTING SURPLUS(SHORTAGE)

Distribution

Percentage of Demand Met

by Existing FacilitiesSpaces

Shortage of Family Child Care Home Spaces

Shortage of Center-Based Spaces

(5)

(6)

(6)

1

6

7

5 6

24 267

29 273

10 90

2 108

2 98

107 165

NA NA

NA NA

11

291

302

100

110

100

157

NA

NA

FINAL

Table A-2

Existing Child Care Demand and Supply in 2015 in Atherton

San Mateo Co unty Child Care Study - 2016

Note All footnote references can be found in Table C-1 at the end of this file

Sources 2010 US Census ABAG Projections 2013 2014 American Community Survey ACS Journey-to-Work data 2006-2008 and 2006-2010

Child Care Coordinating Council of San Mateo County (4Cs) Community Care Licensing Brion Economics Inc

Prepared by Brion Economics Inc 2513-SMC NA Final Tables 61216 6122016

BELMONT

Child Care as of 2015

No of

Providers

Under 2 Years

Old

2 to 4 Year

Olds

Total 0 to 4

Years

EXISTING DEMAND Child Care Demand

Estimated Total Children

Average LFPRAdjustment Factor

Children With Working Parents

Licensed Care Demand Factor

Resident Children Needing Licensed Care

of Total Resident Children Needing Licensed Care

Children from Non-Resident Employees Needing

Licensed Care

(1)

(2)

(3)

708 1045

77

548 966

37

203 899

29 86

34 51

1753

1513

73

1102

63

85

Total Demand for Child Care Spaces

Distribution

EXISTING SUPPLY (4)

237 950

20 80

Child Care Spaces

1187

100

Family Child Care Home Supply

Child Care Center Supply

Current Child Care Supply

Distribution

EXISTING SURPLUS(SHORTAGE)

Distribution

Percentage of Demand Met

by Existing FacilitiesSpaces

Shortage of Family Child Care Home Spaces

Shortage of Center-Based Spaces

(5)

(6)

(6)

18

9

27

67 84

39 531

106 615

15 85

(130) (335)

28 72

45 65

(83) (46)

(48) (289)

152

570

722

100

(465)

100

61

(128)

(337)

FINAL

Table A-3

Existing Child Care Demand and Supply in 2015 in Belmont

San Mateo County Child Care Study - 2016

Note All footnote references can be found in Table C-1 at the end of this file Sources 2010 US Census ABAG Projections 2013 2014 American Community Survey ACS Journey-to-Work data 2006-2008 and

2006-2010 Child Care Coordinating Council of San Mateo County (4Cs) Community Care Licensing Brion Economics Inc

Prepared by Brion Economics Inc 2513-SMC NA Final Tables 61216 6122016

FINAL

Table A-4

Existing Child Care Demand and Supply in 2015 in Brisbane

San Mateo County Child Care Study - 2016

BRISBANE

Child Care as of 2015

No of

Providers

Under 2 Years

Old

2 to 4 Year

Olds

Total 0 to 4

Years

EXISTING DEMAND Child Care Demand

Estimated Total Children (1) 125 166 292

Average LFPRAdjustment Factor (2) 100

Children With Working Parents 125 166 292

Licensed Care Demand Factor (3) 37 68

Resident Children Needing Licensed Care 46 153 199

of Total Resident Children Needing Licensed Care 37 92 68

Children from Non-Resident Employees Needing

Licensed Care 52 78 129

Total Demand for Child Care Spaces 98 231 329

Distribution 30 70 100

EXISTING SUPPLY (4) Child Care Spaces

Family Child Care Home Supply 1 4 5 9

Child Care Center Supply 1 - 64 64

Current Child Care Supply 2 4 69 73

Distribution 6 94 100

EXISTING SURPLUS(SHORTAGE) (94) (162) (255)

Distribution 37 63 100

Percentage of Demand Met

by Existing FacilitiesSpaces (5) 4 30 22

Shortage of Family Child Care Home Spaces (6) (94) (12) (106)

Shortage of Center-Based Spaces (6) 0 (149) (149)

Note All footnote references can be found in Table C-1 at the end of this file

Sources 2010 US Census ABAG Projections 2013 2014 American Community Survey ACS Journey-to-Work data 2006-2008 and 2006-2010

Child Care Coordinating Council of San Mateo County (4Cs) Community Care Licensing Brion Economics Inc

Prepared by Brion Economics Inc 2513-SMC NA Final Tables 61216 6122016

BURLINGAME

Child Care as of 2015

No of

Providers

Under 2 Years

Old

2 to 4 Year

Olds

Total 0 to 4

Years

EXISTING DEMAND Child Care Demand

Estimated Total Children

Average LFPRAdjustment Factor

Children With Working Parents

Licensed Care Demand Factor

Resident Children Needing Licensed Care

of Total Resident Children Needing Licensed Care

Children from Non-Resident Employees Needing

Licensed Care

(1)

(2)

(3)

824 1216

65

535 1086

37

198 1025

24 84

140 211

2040

1621

75

1224

60

350

Total Demand for Child Care Spaces

Distribution

EXISTING SUPPLY (4)

338 1236

21 79

Child Care Spaces

1574

100

Family Child Care Home Supply

Child Care Center Supply

Current Child Care Supply

Distribution

EXISTING SURPLUS(SHORTAGE)

Distribution

Percentage of Demand Met

by Existing FacilitiesSpaces

Shortage of Family Child Care Home Spaces

Shortage of Center-Based Spaces

(5)

(6)

(6)

21

14

35

79 99

40 866

119 965

11 89

(219) (271)

45 55

35 78

(145) (28)

(73) (243)

179

906

1085

100

(489)

100

69

(173)

(316)

FINAL

Table A-5

Existing Child Care Demand and Supply in 2015 in Burlingame

San Mateo County Child Care Study - 2016

Note All footnote references can be found in Table C-1 at the end of this file

Sources 2010 US Census ABAG Projections 2013 2014 American Community Survey ACS Journey-to-Work data 2006-2008 and 2006-2010

Child Care Coordinating Council of San Mateo County (4Cs) Community Care Licensing Brion Economics Inc

Prepared by Brion Economics Inc 2513-SMC NA Final Tables 61216 6122016

DALY CITYCOLMA

Child Care as of 2015

No of

Providers

Under 2 Years

Old

2 to 4 Year

Olds

Total 0 to 4

Years

EXISTING DEMAND Child Care Demand

Estimated Total Children

Average LFPRAdjustment Factor

Children With Working Parents

Licensed Care Demand Factor

Resident Children Needing Licensed Care

of Total Resident Children Needing Licensed Care

Children from Non-Resident Employees Needing

Licensed Care

(1)

(2)

(3)

2495 3575

742

1851 3268

37

685 3047

27 85

126 190

6070

5119

73

3732

61

316

Total Demand for Child Care Spaces

Distribution

EXISTING SUPPLY (4)

811 3237

20 80

Child Care Spaces

4048

100

Family Child Care Home Supply

Child Care Center Supply

Current Child Care Supply

Distribution

EXISTING SURPLUS(SHORTAGE)

Distribution

Percentage of Demand Met

by Existing FacilitiesSpaces

Shortage of Family Child Care Home Spaces

Shortage of Center-Based Spaces

(5)

(6)

(6)

85

28

113

288 362

84 1264

372 1626

19 81

(439) (1612)

21 79

46 50

(340) (359)

(99) (1253)

649

1348

1997

100

(2051)

100

49

(698)

(1352)

FINAL

Table A-6

Existing Child Care Demand and Supply in 2015 in Daly CityColma

San Mateo Co unty Child Care Study - 2016

Note All footnote references can be found in Table C-1 at the end of this file

Sources 2010 US Census ABAG Projections 2013 2014 American Community Survey ACS Journey-to-Work data 2006-2008 and 2006-2010

Child Care Coordinating Council of San Mateo County (4Cs) Community Care Licensing Brion Economics Inc

Prepared by Brion Economics Inc 2513-SMC NA Final Tables 61216 6122016

EAST PALO ALTO

Child Care as of 2015

No of

Providers

Under 2 Years

Old

2 to 4 Year

Olds

Total 0 to 4

Years

EXISTING DEMAND Child Care Demand

Estimated Total Children

Average LFPRAdjustment Factor

Children With Working Parents

Licensed Care Demand Factor

Resident Children Needing Licensed Care

of Total Resident Children Needing Licensed Care

Children from Non-Resident Employees Needing

Licensed Care

(1)

(2)

(3)

1046 1667

71

741 1496

37

274 1392

26 84

18 27

2713

2237

75

1666

61

45

Total Demand for Child Care Spaces

Distribution

EXISTING SUPPLY (4)

292 1419

17 83

Child Care Spaces

1711

100

Family Child Care Home Supply

Child Care Center Supply

Current Child Care Supply

Distribution

EXISTING SURPLUS(SHORTAGE)

Distribution

Percentage of Demand Met

by Existing FacilitiesSpaces

Shortage of Family Child Care Home Spaces

Shortage of Center-Based Spaces

(5)

(6)

(6)

21

6

27

85 106

25 633

110 739

13 87

(182) (680)

21 79

38 52

(141) (98)

(42) (582)

191

658

849

100

(862)

100

50

(239)

(623)

FINAL

Table A-7

Existing Child Care Demand and Supply in 2015 in East Palo Alto

San Mateo County Child Care Study - 2016

Note All footnote references can be found in Table C-1 at the end of this file Sources 2010 US Census ABAG Projections 2013 2014 American Community Survey ACS Journey-to-Work data 2006-2008 and 2006-2010

Child Care Coordinating Council of San Mateo County (4Cs) Community Care Licensing Brion Economics Inc

Prepared by Brion Economics Inc 2513-SMC NA Final Tables 61216 6122016

FOSTER CITY

Child Care as of 2015

No of

Providers

Under 2 Years

Old

2 to 4 Year

Olds

Total 0 to 4

Years

EXISTING DEMAND Child Care Demand

Estimated Total Children

Average LFPRAdjustment Factor

Children With Working Parents

Licensed Care Demand Factor

Resident Children Needing Licensed Care

of Total Resident Children Needing Licensed Care

Children from Non-Resident Employees Needing

Licensed Care

(1)

(2)

(3)

836 1277

63

528 1108

37

195 1035

23 81

73 110

2113

1636

75

1231

58

183

Total Demand for Child Care Spaces

Distribution

EXISTING SUPPLY (4)

268 1145

19 81

Child Care Spaces

1414

100

Family Child Care Home Supply

Child Care Center Supply

Current Child Care Supply

Distribution

EXISTING SURPLUS(SHORTAGE)

Distribution

Percentage of Demand Met

by Existing FacilitiesSpaces

Shortage of Family Child Care Home Spaces

Shortage of Center-Based Spaces

(5)

(6)

(6)

29

12

41

118 149

88 1200

206 1349

13 87

(62) 203

NA NA

77 118

(36) NA

(27) NA

267

1288

1555

100

141

NA

110

(36)

(27)

FINAL

Table A-8

Existing Child Care Demand and Supply in 2015 in Foster City

San Mateo County Child Care Study - 2016

Note All footnote references can be found in Table C-1 at the end of this file

Sources 2010 US Census ABAG Projections 2013 2014 American Community Survey ACS Journey-to-Work data 2006-2008 and 2006-2010

Child Care Coordinating Council of San Mateo County (4Cs) Community Care Licensing Brion Economics Inc

Prepared by Brion Economics Inc 2513-SMC NA Final Tables 61216 6122016

HALF MOON BAY REGION

Child Care as of 2015

No of

Providers

Under 2 Years

Old

2 to 4 Year

Olds

Total 0 to 4

Years

EXISTING DEMAND Child Care Demand

Estimated Total Children

Average LFPRAdjustment Factor

Children With Working Parents

Licensed Care Demand Factor

Resident Children Needing Licensed Care

of Total Resident Children Needing Licensed Care

Children from Non-Resident Employees Needing

Licensed Care

(1)

(2)

(3)

511 860

69

354 772

37

131 723

26 84

13 19

1371

1126

76

854

62

32

Total Demand for Child Care Spaces

Distribution

EXISTING SUPPLY (4)

144 742

16 84

Child Care Spaces

885

100

Family Child Care Home Supply

Child Care Center Supply

Current Child Care Supply

Distribution

EXISTING SURPLUS(SHORTAGE)

Distribution

Percentage of Demand Met

by Existing FacilitiesSpaces

Shortage of Family Child Care Home Spaces

Shortage of Center-Based Spaces

(5)

(6)

(6)

28

11

39

96 121

35 285

131 406

24 76

(13) (336)

4 96

91 55

(9) (100)

(3) (236)

216

320

536

100

(349)

100

61

(109)

(240)

FINAL

Table A-9

Existing Child Care Demand and Supply in 2015 in Half Moon Bay Region

San Mateo County Child Care Study - 2016

Note All footnote references can be found in Table C-1 at the end of this file

Sources 2010 US Census ABAG Projections 2013 2014 American Community Survey ACS Journey-to-Work data 2006-2008 and 2006-2010

Child Care Coordinating Council of San Mateo County (4Cs) Community Care Licensing Brion Economics Inc

Prepared by Brion Economics Inc 2513-SMC NA Final Tables 61216 6122016

HILLSBOROUGH

Child Care as of 2015

No of

Providers

Under 2 Years

Old

2 to 4 Year

Olds

Total 0 to 4

Years

EXISTING DEMAND Child Care Demand

Estimated Total Children

Average LFPRAdjustment Factor

Children With Working Parents

Licensed Care Demand Factor

Resident Children Needing Licensed Care

of Total Resident Children Needing Licensed Care

Children from Non-Resident Employees Needing

Licensed Care

(1)

(2)

(3)

138 331

52

71 284

37

26 272

19 82

7 10

469

356

84

298

64

16

Total Demand for Child Care Spaces

Distribution

EXISTING SUPPLY (4)

33 282

10 90

Child Care Spaces

315

100

Family Child Care Home Supply

Child Care Center Supply

Current Child Care Supply

Distribution

EXISTING SURPLUS(SHORTAGE)

Distribution

Percentage of Demand Met

by Existing FacilitiesSpaces

Shortage of Family Child Care Home Spaces

Shortage of Center-Based Spaces

(5)

(6)

(6)

1

4

5

5 6

- 91

5 97

5 95

(28) (185)

13 87

15 34

(28) (12)

0 (173)

11

91

102

100

(213)

100

32

(40)

(173)

FINAL

Table A-10

Existing Child Care Demand and Supply in 2015 in Hillsborough

San Mateo County Child Care Study - 2016

Note All footnote references can be found in Table C-1 at the end of this file Sources 2010 US Census ABAG Projections 2013 2014 American Community Survey ACS Journey-to-Work data 2006-2008 and 2006-2010

Child Care Coordinating Council of San Mateo County (4Cs) Community Care Licensing Brion Economics Inc

Prepared by Brion Economics Inc 2513-SMC NA Final Tables 61216 6122016

MENLO PARK

Child Care as of 2015

No of

Providers

Under 2 Years

Old

2 to 4 Year

Olds

Total 0 to 4

Years

EXISTING DEMAND Child Care Demand

Estimated Total Children

Average LFPRAdjustment Factor

Children With Working Parents

Licensed Care Demand Factor

Resident Children Needing Licensed Care

of Total Resident Children Needing Licensed Care

Children from Non-Resident Employees Needing

Licensed Care

(1)

(2)

(3)

1170 1723

69

802 1551

37

297 1458

25 85

220 332

2893

2353

75

1754

61

552

Total Demand for Child Care Spaces

Distribution

EXISTING SUPPLY (4)

516 1790

22 78

Child Care Spaces

2306

100

Family Child Care Home Supply

Child Care Center Supply

Current Child Care Supply

Distribution

EXISTING SURPLUS(SHORTAGE)

Distribution

Percentage of Demand Met

by Existing FacilitiesSpaces

Shortage of Family Child Care Home Spaces

Shortage of Center-Based Spaces

(5)

(6)

(6)

18

25

43

76 96

73 1331

149 1427

9 91

(367) (363)

50 50

29 80

(188) (24)

(180) (338)

172

1404

1576

100

(730)

100

68

(212)

(518)

FINAL

Table A-11

Existing Child Care Demand and Supply in 2015 in Menlo Park

San Mateo County Child Care Study - 2016

Note All footnote references can be found in Table C-1 at the end of this file Sources 2010 US Census ABAG Projections 2013 2014 American Community Survey ACS Journey-to-Work data 2006-2008 and 2006-2010

Child Care Coordinating Council of San Mateo County (4Cs) Community Care Licensing Brion Economics Inc

Prepared by Brion Economics Inc 2513-SMC NA Final Tables 61216 6122016

MILLBRAE

Child Care as of 2015

No of

Providers

Under 2 Years

Old

2 to 4 Year

Olds

Total 0 to 4

Years

EXISTING DEMAND Child Care Demand

Total Children

Average LFPRAdjustment Factor

Children With Working Parents

Licensed Care Demand Factor

Resident Children Needing Licensed Care

of Total Resident Children Needing Licensed Care

Children from Non-Resident Employees Needing

Licensed Care

(1)

(2)

(3)

421 717

62

260 632

37

96 598

23 83

28 42

1138

892

78

694

61

69

Total Demand for Child Care Spaces

Distribution

EXISTING SUPPLY (4)

124 640

16 84

Child Care Spaces

764

100

Family Child Care Home Supply

Child Care Center Supply

Current Child Care Supply

Distribution

EXISTING SURPLUS(SHORTAGE)

Distribution

Percentage of Demand Met

by Existing FacilitiesSpaces

Shortage of Family Child Care Home Spaces

Shortage of Center-Based Spaces

(5)

(6)

(6)

17

7

24

62 78

- 376

62 454

12 88

(61) (186)

25 75

50 71

(61) (32)

0 (154)

141

376

517

100

(247)

100

68

(93)

(154)

FINAL

Table A-12

Existing Child Care Demand and Supply in 2015 in Millbrae

San Mateo Co unty Child Care Study - 2016

Note All footnote references can be found in Table C-1 at the end of this file

Sources 2010 US Census ABAG Projections 2013 2014 American Community Survey ACS Journey-to-Work data 2006-2008 and 2006-2010

Child Care Coordinating Council of San Mateo County (4Cs) Community Care Licensing Brion Economics Inc

Prepared by Brion Economics Inc 2513-SMC NA Final Tables 61216 6122016

PACIFICA

Child Care as of 2015

No of

Providers

Under 2 Years

Old

2 to 4 Year

Olds

Total 0 to 4

Years

EXISTING DEMAND Child Care Demand

Estimated Total Children

Average LFPRAdjustment Factor

Children With Working Parents

Licensed Care Demand Factor

Resident Children Needing Licensed Care

of Total Resident Children Needing Licensed Care

Children from Non-Resident Employees Needing

Licensed Care

(1)

(2)

(3)

787 1253

78

610 1165

37

226 1089

29 87

18 27

2040

1776

74

1315

64

45

Total Demand for Child Care Spaces

Distribution

EXISTING SUPPLY (4)

244 1117

18 83

Child Care Spaces

1360

100

Family Child Care Home Supply

Child Care Center Supply

Current Child Care Supply

Distribution

EXISTING SURPLUS(SHORTAGE)

Distribution

Percentage of Demand Met

by Existing FacilitiesSpaces

Shortage of Family Child Care Home Spaces

Shortage of Center-Based Spaces

(5)

(6)

(6)

21

18

39

77 97

39 701

116 798

13 87

(128) (319)

29 71

48 71

(85) (39)

(43) (280)

174

740

914

100

(447)

100

67

(124)

(323)

FINAL

Table A-13

Existing Child Care Demand and Supply in 2015 in Pacifica

San Mateo County Child Care Study - 2016

Note All footnote references can be found in Table C-1 at the end of this file Sources 2010 US Census ABAG Projections 2013 2014 American Community Survey ACS Journey-to-Work data 2006-2008 and 2006-2010

Child Care Coordinating Council of San Mateo County (4Cs) Community Care Licensing Brion Economics Inc

Prepared by Brion Economics Inc 2513-SMC NA Final Tables 61216 6122016

PORTOLA VALLEY

No of

Providers

Child Care as of 2015

Under 2 Years

Old

2 to 4 Year

Olds

Total 0 to 4

Years

EXISTING DEMAND Child Care Demand

Estimated Total Children

Average LFPRAdjustment Factor

Children With Working Parents

Licensed Care Demand Factor

Resident Children Needing Licensed Care

of Total Resident Children Needing Licensed Care

Children from Non-Resident Employees Needing

Licensed Care

(1)

(2)

(3)

75 187

66

49 168

37

18 159

24 85

8 12

261

217

82

177

68

21

Total Demand for Child Care Spaces

Distribution

EXISTING SUPPLY (4)

26 171

13 87

Child Care Spaces

198

100

Family Child Care Home Supply

Child Care Center Supply

Current Child Care Supply

Distribution

EXISTING SURPLUS(SHORTAGE)

Distribution

Percentage of Demand Met

by Existing FacilitiesSpaces

Shortage of Family Child Care Home Spaces

Shortage of Center-Based Spaces

(5)

(6)

(6)

0

4

4

0 0

0 153

0 153

0 100

(26) (18)

59 41

0 89

0 0

(26) (18)

0

153

153

100

(45)

100

77

0

(45)

FINAL

Table A-14

Existing Child Care Demand and Supply in 2015 in Portola Valley

San Mateo County Child Care Study - 2016

Note All footnote references can be found in Table C-1 at the end of this file Sources 2010 US Census ABAG Projections 2013 2014 American Community Survey ACS Journey-to-Work data 2006-2008 and 2006-2010

Child Care Coordinating Council of San Mateo County (4Cs) Community Care Licensing Brion Economics Inc

Prepared by Brion Economics Inc 2513-SMC NA Final Tables 61216 6122016

REDWOOD CITY

Child Care as of 2015

No of

Providers

Under 2 Years

Old

2 to 4 Year

Olds

Total 0 to 4

Years

EXISTING DEMAND Child Care Demand

Estimated Total Children

Average LFPRAdjustment Factor

Children With Working Parents

Licensed Care Demand Factor

Resident Children Needing Licensed Care

of Total Resident Children Needing Licensed Care

Children from Non-Resident Employees Needing

Licensed Care

Total Demand for Child Care Spaces

Distribution

EXISTING SUPPLY

(1)

(2)

(3)

(4)

3260 4706

69

2236 4212

37

827 3942

25 84

414 625

1241 4567

21 79

Child Care Spaces

7966

6449

74

4770

60

1038

5808

100

Family Child Care Home Supply

Child Care Center Supply

Current Child Care Supply

Distribution

EXISTING SURPLUS(SHORTAGE)

Distribution

Percentage of Demand Met

by Existing FacilitiesSpaces

Shortage of Family Child Care Home Spaces

Shortage of Center-Based Spaces

(5)

(6)

(6)

111

45

156

396 497

356 2036

752 2533

23 77

(490) (2034)

19 81

61 55

(258) (399)

(232) (1635)

893

2392

3285

100

(2524)

100

57

(657)

(1867)

FINAL

Table A-15

Existing Child Care Demand and Supply in 2015 in Redwood City

San Mateo County Child Care Study - 2016

Note All footnote references can be found in Table C-1 at the end of this file Sources 2010 US Census ABAG Projections 2013 2014 American Community Survey ACS Journey-to-Work data 2006-2008 and 2006-2010

Child Care Coordinating Council of San Mateo County (4Cs) Community Care Licensing Brion Economics Inc

Prepared by Brion Economics Inc 2513-SMC NA Final Tables 61216 6122016

SAN BRUNO

Child Care as of 2015

No of

Providers

Under 2 Years

Old

2 to 4 Year

Olds

Total 0 to 4

Years

EXISTING DEMAND Child Care Demand

Estimated Total Children

Average LFPRAdjustment Factor

Children With Working Parents

Licensed Care Demand Factor

Resident Children Needing Licensed Care

of Total Resident Children Needing Licensed Care

Children from Non-Resident Employees Needing

Licensed Care

(1)

(2)

(3)

1069 1553

77

817 1428

37

302 1326

28 85

61 92

2622

2245

73

1628

62

153

Total Demand for Child Care Spaces

Distribution

EXISTING SUPPLY (4)

364 1418

20 80

Child Care Spaces

1782

100

Family Child Care Home Supply

Child Care Center Supply

Current Child Care Supply

Distribution

EXISTING SURPLUS(SHORTAGE)

Distribution

Percentage of Demand Met

by Existing FacilitiesSpaces

Shortage of Family Child Care Home Spaces

Shortage of Center-Based Spaces

(5)

(6)

(6)

34

15

49

122 153

26 1183

148 1336

10 90

(216) (82)

72 28

41 94

(178) (9)

(38) (73)

275

1209

1484

100

(298)

100

83

(187)

(110)

FINAL

Table A-16

Existing Child Care Demand and Supply in 2015 in San Bruno

San Mateo County Child Care Study - 2016

Note All footnote references can be found in Table C-1 at the end of this file Sources 2010 US Census ABAG Projections 2013 2014 American Community Survey ACS Journey-to-Work data 2006-2008 and 2006-2010

Child Care Coordinating Council of San Mateo County (4Cs) Community Care Licensing Brion Economics Inc

Prepared by Brion Economics Inc 2513-SMC NA Final Tables 61216 6122016

SAN CARLOS

Child Care as of 2015

No of

Providers

Under 2 Years

Old

2 to 4 Year

Olds

Total 0 to 4

Years

EXISTING DEMAND Child Care Demand

Estimated Total Children

Average LFPRAdjustment Factor

Children With Working Parents

Licensed Care Demand Factor

Resident Children Needing Licensed Care

of Total Resident Children Needing Licensed Care

Children from Non-Resident Employees Needing

Licensed Care

(1)

(2)

(3)

735 1308

72

526 1186

37

195 1109

26 85

75 114

2043

1712

76

1304

64

189

Total Demand for Child Care Spaces

Distribution

EXISTING SUPPLY (4)

270 1222

18 82

Child Care Spaces

1492

100

Family Child Care Home Supply

Child Care Center Supply

Current Child Care Supply

Distribution

EXISTING SURPLUS(SHORTAGE)

Distribution

Percentage of Demand Met

by Existing FacilitiesSpaces

Shortage of Family Child Care Home Spaces

Shortage of Center-Based Spaces

(5)

(6)

(6)

20

14

34

73 92

76 615

149 707

17 83

(121) (516)

19 81

55 58

(59) (67)

(62) (449)

164

691

855

100

(637)

100

57

(126)

(511)

FINAL

Table A-17

Existing Child Care Demand and Supply in 2015 in San Carlos

San Mateo County Child Care Study - 2016

Note All footnote references can be found in Table C-1 at the end of this file

Sources 2010 US Census ABAG Projections 2013 2014 American Community Survey ACS Journey-to-Work data 2006-2008 and 2006-2010

Child Care Coordinating Council of San Mateo County (4Cs) Community Care Licensing Brion Economics Inc

Prepared by Brion Economics Inc 2513-SMC NA Final Tables 61216 6122016

SAN MATEO

Child Care as of 2015

No of

Providers

Under 2 Years

Old

2 to 4 Year

Olds

Total 0 to 4

Years

EXISTING DEMAND Child Care Demand

Estimated Total Children

Average LFPRAdjustment Factor

Children With Working Parents

Licensed Care Demand Factor

Resident Children Needing Licensed Care

of Total Resident Children Needing Licensed Care

Children from Non-Resident Employees Needing

Licensed Care

(1)

(2)

(3)

2943 4213

71

2087 3793

37

772 3537

26 84

231 348

7156

5880

73

4309

60

579

Total Demand for Child Care Spaces

Distribution

EXISTING SUPPLY (4)

1003 3886

21 79

Child Care Spaces

4889

100

Family Child Care Home Supply

Child Care Center Supply

Current Child Care Supply

Distribution

EXISTING SURPLUS(SHORTAGE)

Distribution

Percentage of Demand Met

by Existing FacilitiesSpaces

Shortage of Family Child Care Home Spaces

Shortage of Center-Based Spaces

(5)

(6)

(6)

126

59

185

492 619

209 2577

701 3196

18 82

(302) (690)

30 70

70 82

(212) (134)

(90) (557)

1111

2786

3897

100

(992)

100

80

(345)

(647)

FINAL

Table A-18

Existing Child Care Demand and Supply in 2015 in San Mateo

San Mateo County Child Care Study - 2016

Note All footnote references can be found in Table C-1 at the end of this file

Sources 2010 US Census ABAG Projections 2013 2014 American Community Survey ACS Journey-to-Work data 2006-2008 and 2006-2010

Child Care Coordinating Council of San Mateo County (4Cs) Community Care Licensing Brion Economics Inc

Prepared by Brion Economics Inc 2513-SMC NA Final Tables 61216 6122016

SOUTH COAST

Child Care as of 2015

No of

Providers

Under 2 Years

Old

2 to 4 Year

Olds

Total 0 to 4

Years

EXISTING DEMAND Child Care Demand

Estimated Total Children

Average LFPRAdjustment Factor

Children With Working Parents

Licensed Care Demand Factor

Resident Children Needing Licensed Care

of Total Resident Children Needing Licensed Care

Children from Non-Resident Employees Needing

Licensed Care

(1)

(2)

(3)

21 29

54

11 25

37

4 23

20 81

0 0

50

36

77

28

56

0

Total Demand for Child Care Spaces

Distribution

EXISTING SUPPLY (4)

4 23

15 85

Child Care Spaces

28

100

Family Child Care Home Supply

Child Care Center Supply

Current Child Care Supply

Distribution

EXISTING SURPLUS(SHORTAGE)

Distribution

Percentage of Demand Met

by Existing FacilitiesSpaces

Shortage of Family Child Care Home Spaces

Shortage of Center-Based Spaces

(5)

(6)

(6)

-

2

2

- -

- 54

- 54

0 100

(4) 31

-16 116

0 230

(2) NA

(2) NA

0

54

54

100

26

100

195

(2)

(2)

FINAL

Table A-19

Existing Child Care Demand and Supply in 2015 in South Coast

San Mateo County Child Care Study - 2016

Note All footnote references can be found in Table C-1 at the end of this file

Sources 2010 US Census ABAG Projections 2013 2014 American Community Survey ACS Journey-to-Work data 2006-2008 and 2006-2010

Child Care Coordinating Council of San Mateo County (4Cs) Community Care Licensing Brion Economics Inc

Prepared by Brion Economics Inc 2513-SMC NA Final Tables 61216 6122016

SOUTH SAN FRANCISCO

Child Care as of 2015

No of

Providers

Under 2 Years

Old

2 to 4 Year

Olds

Total 0 to 4

Years

EXISTING DEMAND Child Care Demand

Estimated Total Children

Average LFPRAdjustment Factor

Children With Working Parents

Licensed Care Demand Factor

Resident Children Needing Licensed Care

of Total Resident Children Needing Licensed Care

Children from Non-Resident Employees Needing

Licensed Care

(1)

(2)

(3)

1649 2507

73

1206 2278

37

446 2123

27 85

309 466

4156

3484

74

2569

62

774

Total Demand for Child Care Spaces

Distribution

EXISTING SUPPLY (4)

755 2588

23 77

Child Care Spaces

3343

100

Family Child Care Home Supply

Child Care Center Supply

Current Child Care Supply

Distribution

EXISTING SURPLUS(SHORTAGE)

Distribution

Percentage of Demand Met

by Existing FacilitiesSpaces

Shortage of Family Child Care Home Spaces

Shortage of Center-Based Spaces

(5)

(6)

(6)

68

27

95

252 317

400 1966

652 2283

22 78

(103) (306)

25 75

86 88

(40) (42)

(63) (263)

569

2366

2935

100

(408)

100

88

(82)

(326)

FINAL

Table A-20

Existing Child Care Demand and Supply in 2015 in South San Francisco

San Mateo County Child Care Study - 2016

Note All footnote references can be found in Table C-1 at the end of this file Sources 2010 US Census ABAG Projections 2013 2014 American Community Survey ACS Journey-to-Work data 2006-2008 and 2006-2010

Child Care Coordinating Council of San Mateo County (4Cs) Community Care Licensing Brion Economics Inc

Prepared by Brion Economics Inc 2513-SMC NA Final Tables 61216 6122016

WOODSIDE

No of

Providers

Child Care as of 2015

Under 2 Years

Old

2 to 4 Year

Olds

Total 0 to 4

Years

EXISTING DEMAND Child Care Demand

Estimated Total Children

Average LFPRAdjustment Factor

Children With Working Parents

Licensed Care Demand Factor

Resident Children Needing Licensed Care

of Total Resident Children Needing Licensed Care

Children from Non-Resident Employees Needing

Licensed Care

(1)

(2)

(3)

90 160

56

50 136

37

18 128

21 80

8 13

250

186

79

147

59

21

Total Demand for Child Care Spaces

Distribution

EXISTING SUPPLY (4)

27 141

16 84

Child Care Spaces

168

100

Family Child Care Home Supply

Child Care Center Supply

Current Child Care Supply

Distribution

EXISTING SURPLUS(SHORTAGE)

Distribution

Percentage of Demand Met

by Existing FacilitiesSpaces

Shortage of Family Child Care Home Spaces

Shortage of Center-Based Spaces

(5)

(6)

(6)

1

2

3

4 5

0 103

4 108

4 96

(23) (33)

41 59

16 77

(23) (2)

0 (31)

9

103

112

100

(55)

100

67

(24)

(31)

FINAL

Table A-21

Existing Child Care Demand and Supply in 2015 in Woodside

San Mateo County Child Care Study - 2016

Note All footnote references can be found in Table C-1 at the end of this file Sources 2010 US Census ABAG Projections 2013 2014 American Community Survey ACS Journey-to-Work data 2006-2008 and 2006-2010

Child Care Coordinating Council of San Mateo County (4Cs) Community Care Licensing Brion Economics Inc

Prepared by Brion Economics Inc 2513-SMC NA Final Tables 61216 6122016

COUNTYWIDE

Child Care as of 2025

No of

Providers

Under 2 Years

Old

2 to 4 Year

Olds

Total 0 to 4

Years

EXISTING DEMAND Child Care Demand

Estimated Total Children

Average LFPRAdjustment Factor

Children With Working Parents

Licensed Care Demand Factor

Resident Children Needing Licensed Care

of Total Resident Children Needing Licensed Care

Children from Non-Resident Employees Needing

Licensed Care

Total Demand for Child Care Spaces

Distribution

EXISTING SUPPLY

(1)

(2)

(3)

(4)

20790 31340

71

14704 28273

37

5441 26432

26 84

2037 3074

7478 29506

20 80

Child Care Spaces

52130

42978

86

31873

61

5112

36984

100

Family Child Care Home Supply

Child Care Center Supply

Current Child Care Supply

Distribution

EXISTING SURPLUS(SHORTAGE)

Distribution

Percentage of Demand Met

by Existing FacilitiesSpaces

Shortage of Family Child Care Home Spaces

Shortage of Center-Based Spaces

(5)

(6)

(6)

621

309

930

2301 2893

1514 16296

3815 19189

17 83

(3663) (10318)

26 74

51 65

(2209) (1555)

(1454) (8762)

5193

17810

23003

100

(13981)

100

62

(3765)

(10216)

FINAL

Table B-1

Future C hild Care Demand and Supply in 2025 Countywide

San Mateo County Child Care Study - 2016

Note All footnote references can be found in Table C-1 at the end of this file

Sources 2010 US Census ABAG Projections 2013 2014 American Community Survey ACS Journey-to-Work data 2006-2008 and 2006-2010

Child Care Coordinating Council of San Mateo County (4Cs) Community Care Licensing Brion Economics Inc

Prepared by Brion Economics Inc 2513-SMC NA Final Tables 61216 6122016

ATHERTON

No of

Providers

Child Care as of 2025

Under 2 Years

Old

2 to 4 Year

Olds

Total 0 to 4

Years

EXISTING DEMAND Child Care Demand

Estimated Total Children

Average LFPRAdjustment Factor

Children With Working Parents

Licensed Care Demand Factor

Resident Children Needing Licensed Care

of Total Resident Children Needing Licensed Care

Children from Non-Resident Employees Needing

Licensed Care

(1)

(2)

(3)

109 193

40

43 159

37

16 154

15 80

13 19

302

202

84

170

56

32

Total Demand for Child Care Spaces

Distribution

EXISTING SUPPLY (4)

29 173

14 86

Child Care Spaces

201

100

Family Child Care Home Supply

Child Care Center Supply

Current Child Care Supply

Distribution

EXISTING SURPLUS(SHORTAGE)

Distribution

Percentage of Demand Met

by Existing FacilitiesSpaces

Shortage of Family Child Care Home Spaces

Shortage of Center-Based Spaces

(5)

(6)

(6)

1

6

7

5 6

24 267

29 273

10 90

0 101

0 100

101 158

NA NA

NA NA

11

291

302

100

101

100

150

NA

NA

FINAL

Table B-2

Future Child Care Demand and Supply in 2025 in Atherton

San Mateo Co unty Child Care Study - 2016

Note All footnote references can be found in Table C-1 at the end of this file Sources 2010 US Census ABAG Projections 2013 2014 American Community Survey ACS Journey-to-Work data 2006-2008 and 2006-2010

Child Care Coordinating Council of San Mateo County (4Cs) Community Care Licensing Brion Economics Inc

Prepared by Brion Economics Inc 2513-SMC NA Final Tables 61216 6122016

BELMONT

Child Care as of 2025

No of

Providers

Under 2 Years

Old

2 to 4 Year

Olds

Total 0 to 4

Years

EXISTING DEMAND Child Care Demand

Estimated Total Children

Average LFPRAdjustment Factor

Children With Working Parents

Licensed Care Demand Factor

Resident Children Needing Licensed Care

of Total Resident Children Needing Licensed Care

Children from Non-Resident Employees Needing

Licensed Care

(1)

(2)

(3)

743 1095

77

574 1013

37

213 943

29 86

37 56

1838

1587

73

1156

63

93

Total Demand for Child Care Spaces

Distribution

EXISTING SUPPLY (4)

250 999

20 80

Child Care Spaces

1249

100

Family Child Care Home Supply

Child Care Center Supply

Current Child Care Supply

Distribution

EXISTING SURPLUS(SHORTAGE)

Distribution

Percentage of Demand Met

by Existing FacilitiesSpaces

Shortage of Family Child Care Home Spaces

Shortage of Center-Based Spaces

(5)

(6)

(6)

8

9

17

67 84

39 531

106 615

15 85

(143) (384)

27 73

43 62

(91) (53)

(53) (331)

152

570

722

100

(527)

100

58

(143)

(384)

FINAL

Table B-3

Future Child Care Demand and Supply in 2025 in Belmont

San Mateo County Child Care Study - 2016

Note All footnote references can be found in Table C-1 at the end of this file

Sources 2010 US Census ABAG Projections 2013 2014 American Community Survey ACS Journey-to-Work data 2006-2008 and 2006-2010

Child Care Coordinating Council of San Mateo County (4Cs) Community Care Licensing Brion Economics Inc

Prepared by Brion Economics Inc 2513-SMC NA Final Tables 61216 6122016

BRISBANE

Child Care as of 2025

No of

Providers

Under 2 Years

Old

2 to 4 Year

Olds

Total 0 to 4

Years

EXISTING DEMAND Child Care Demand

Estimated Total Children

Average LFPRAdjustment Factor

Children With Working Parents

Licensed Care Demand Factor

Resident Children Needing Licensed Care

of Total Resident Children Needing Licensed Care

Children from Non-Resident Employees Needing

Licensed Care

(1)

(2)

(3)

131 174

100

131 174

37

48 160

37 92

55 83

305

305

68

209

68

138

Total Demand for Child Care Spaces

Distribution

EXISTING SUPPLY (4)

103 243

30 70

Child Care Spaces

346

100

Family Child Care Home Supply

Child Care Center Supply

Current Child Care Supply

Distribution

EXISTING SURPLUS(SHORTAGE)

Distribution

Percentage of Demand Met

by Existing FacilitiesSpaces

Shortage of Family Child Care Home Spaces

Shortage of Center-Based Spaces

(5)

(6)

(6)

1

1

2

4 5

0 64

4 69

6 94

(99) (174)

36 64

4 29

(99) (13)

0 (160)

9

64

73

100

(273)

100

21

(112)

(160)

FINAL

Table B-4

Future Child Care Demand and Supply in 2025 in Brisbane

San Mateo County Child Care Study - 2016

Note All footnote references can be found in Table C-1 at the end of this file Sources 2010 US Census ABAG Projections 2013 2014 American Community Survey ACS Journey-to-Work data 2006-2008 and 2006-2010

Child Care Coordinating Council of San Mateo County (4Cs) Community Care Licensing Brion Economics Inc

Prepared by Brion Economics Inc 2513-SMC NA Final Tables 61216 6122016

BURLINGAME

Child Care as of 2025

No of

Providers

Under 2 Years

Old

2 to 4 Year

Olds

Total 0 to 4

Years

EXISTING DEMAND Child Care Demand

Estimated Total Children

Average LFPRAdjustment Factor

Children With Working Parents

Licensed Care Demand Factor

Resident Children Needing Licensed Care

of Total Resident Children Needing Licensed Care

Children from Non-Resident Employees Needing

Licensed Care

(1)

(2)

(3)

903 1332

65

587 1190

37

217 1124

24 84

154 232

2235

1777

75

1341

60

385

Total Demand for Child Care Spaces

Distribution

EXISTING SUPPLY (4)

371 1356

21 79

Child Care Spaces

1726

100

Family Child Care Home Supply

Child Care Center Supply

Current Child Care Supply

Distribution

EXISTING SURPLUS(SHORTAGE)

Distribution

Percentage of Demand Met

by Existing FacilitiesSpaces

Shortage of Family Child Care Home Spaces

Shortage of Center-Based Spaces

(5)

(6)

(6)

10

14

24

79 99

40 866

119 965

11 89

(252) (390)

39 61

32 71

(167) (40)

(85) (350)

179

906

1085

100

(642)

100

63

(207)

(434)

FINAL

Table B-5

Future Child Care Demand and Supply in 2025 in Burlingame

San Mateo County Child Care Study - 2016

Note All footnote references can be found in Table C-1 at the end of this file

Sources 2010 US Census ABAG Projections 2013 2014 American Community Survey ACS Journey-to-Work data 2006-2008 and 2006-2010

Child Care Coordinating Council of San Mateo County (4Cs) Community Care Licensing Brion Economics Inc

Prepared by Brion Economics Inc 2513-SMC NA Final Tables 61216 6122016

DALY CITYCOLMA

Child Care as of 2025

No of

Providers

Under 2 Years

Old

2 to 4 Year

Olds

Total 0 to 4

Years

EXISTING DEMAND Child Care Demand

Estimated Total Children

Average LFPRAdjustment Factor

Children With Working Parents

Licensed Care Demand Factor

Resident Children Needing Licensed Care

of Total Resident Children Needing Licensed Care

Children from Non-Resident Employees Needing

Licensed Care

(1)

(2)

(3)

2647 3793

74

1964 3467

37

727 3233

27 85

138 208

6440

5432

73

3960

61

346

Total Demand for Child Care Spaces

Distribution

EXISTING SUPPLY (4)

865 3441

20 80

Child Care Spaces

4306

100

Family Child Care Home Supply

Child Care Center Supply

Current Child Care Supply

Distribution

EXISTING SURPLUS(SHORTAGE)

Distribution

Percentage of Demand Met

by Existing FacilitiesSpaces

Shortage of Family Child Care Home Spaces

Shortage of Center-Based Spaces

(5)

(6)

(6)

25

28

28

288 362

84 1264

372 1626

19 81

(493) (1816)

21 79

43 47

(381) (404)

(111) (1412)

649

1348

1997

100

(2308)

100

46

(785)

(1523)

FINAL

Table B-6

Future C hild Care Demand and Supply in 2025 in Daly CityColma

San Mateo County Child Care Study - 2016

Note All footnote references can be found in Table C-1 at the end of this file

Sources 2010 US Census ABAG Projections 2013 2014 American Community Survey ACS Journey-to-Work data 2006-2008 and 2006-2010

Child Care Coordinating Council of San Mateo County (4Cs) Community Care Licensing Brion Economics Inc

Prepared by Brion Economics Inc 2513-SMC NA Final Tables 61216 6122016

EAST PALO ALTO

Child Care as of 2025

No of

Providers

Under 2 Years

Old

2 to 4 Year

Olds

Total 0 to 4

Years

EXISTING DEMAND Child Care Demand

Estimated Total Children

Average LFPRAdjustment Factor

Children With Working Parents

Licensed Care Demand Factor

Resident Children Needing Licensed Care

of Total Resident Children Needing Licensed Care

Children from Non-Resident Employees Needing

Licensed Care

(1)

(2)

(3)

1161 1849

71

822 1660

37

304 1545

26 84

20 30

3010

2482

75

1849

61

50

Total Demand for Child Care Spaces

Distribution

EXISTING SUPPLY (4)

324 1575

17 83

Child Care Spaces

1900

100

Family Child Care Home Supply

Child Care Center Supply

Current Child Care Supply

Distribution

EXISTING SURPLUS(SHORTAGE)

Distribution

Percentage of Demand Met

by Existing FacilitiesSpaces

Shortage of Family Child Care Home Spaces

Shortage of Center-Based Spaces

(5)

(6)

(6)

13

6

19

85 106

25 633

110 739

13 87

(215) (836)

20 80

34 47

(166) (120)

(49) (715)

191

658

849

100

(1050)

100

45

(286)

(764)

FINAL

Table B-7

Future Child Care Demand and Supply in 2025 in East Palo Alto

San Mateo County Child Care Study - 2016

Note All footnote references can be found in Table C-1 at the end of this file

Sources 2010 US Census ABAG Projections 2013 2014 American Community Survey ACS Journey-to-Work data 2006-2008 and 2006-2010

Child Care Coordinating Council of San Mateo County (4Cs) Community Care Licensing Brion Economics Inc

Prepared by Brion Economics Inc 2513-SMC NA Final Tables 61216 6122016

FOSTER CITY

Child Care as of 2025

No of

Providers

Under 2 Years

Old

2 to 4 Year

Olds

Total 0 to 4

Years

EXISTING DEMAND Child Care Demand

Estimated Total Children

Average LFPRAdjustment Factor

Children With Working Parents

Licensed Care Demand Factor

Resident Children Needing Licensed Care

of Total Resident Children Needing Licensed Care

Children from Non-Resident Employees Needing

Licensed Care

(1)

(2)

(3)

871 1330

63

550 1154

37

204 1079

23 81

80 120

2201

1705

75

1282

58

200

Total Demand for Child Care Spaces

Distribution

EXISTING SUPPLY (4)

283 1199

19 81

Child Care Spaces

1483

100

Family Child Care Home Supply

Child Care Center Supply

Current Child Care Supply

Distribution

EXISTING SURPLUS(SHORTAGE)

Distribution

Percentage of Demand Met

by Existing FacilitiesSpaces

Shortage of Family Child Care Home Spaces

Shortage of Center-Based Spaces

(5)

(6)

(6)

19

12

31

118 149

88 1200

206 1349

13 87

(77) 150

-106 206

73 112

(44) NA

(33) NA

267

1288

1555

100

73

100

105

(44)

(33)

FINAL

Table B-8

Future Child Care Demand and Supply in 2025 in Foster City

San Mateo County Child Care Study - 2016

Note All footnote references can be found in Table C-1 at the end of this file

Sources 2010 US Census ABAG Projections 2013 2014 American Community Survey ACS Journey-to-Work data 2006-2008 and 2006-2010

Child Care Coordinating Council of San Mateo County (4Cs) Community Care Licensing Brion Economics Inc

Prepared by Brion Economics Inc 2513-SMC NA Final Tables 61216 6122016

HALF MOON BAY REGION

Child Care as of 2025

No of

Providers

Under 2 Years

Old

2 to 4 Year

Olds

Total 0 to 4

Years

EXISTING DEMAND Child Care Demand

Estimated Total Children

Average LFPRAdjustment Factor

Children With Working Parents

Licensed Care Demand Factor

Resident Children Needing Licensed Care

of Total Resident Children Needing Licensed Care

Children from Non-Resident Employees Needing

Licensed Care

(1)

(2)

(3)

553 929

69

383 835

37

142 781

26 84

14 21

1482

1217

76

923

62

34

Total Demand for Child Care Spaces

Distribution

EXISTING SUPPLY (4)

155 802

16 84

Child Care Spaces

957

100

Family Child Care Home Supply

Child Care Center Supply

Current Child Care Supply

Distribution

EXISTING SURPLUS(SHORTAGE)

Distribution

Percentage of Demand Met

by Existing FacilitiesSpaces

Shortage of Family Child Care Home Spaces

Shortage of Center-Based Spaces

(5)

(6)

(6)

10

11

21

96 121

35 285

131 406

24 76

(24) (396)

6 94

84 51

(18) (118)

(6) (279)

216

320

536

100

(421)

100

56

(136)

(285)

FINAL

Table B-9

Future Child Care Demand and Supply in 2025 in Half Moon Bay Region

San Mateo County Child Care Study - 2016

Note All footnote references can be found in Table C-1 at the end of this file

Sources 2010 US Census ABAG Projections 2013 2014 American Community Survey ACS Journey-to-Work data 2006-2008 and 2006-2010

Child Care Coordinating Council of San Mateo County (4Cs) Community Care Licensing Brion Economics Inc

Prepared by Brion Economics Inc 2513-SMC NA Final Tables 61216 6122016

HILLSBOROUGH

Child Care as of 2025

No of

Providers

Under 2 Years

Old

2 to 4 Year

Olds

Total 0 to 4

Years

EXISTING DEMAND Child Care Demand

Estimated Total Children

Average LFPRAdjustment Factor

Children With Working Parents

Licensed Care Demand Factor

Resident Children Needing Licensed Care

of Total Resident Children Needing Licensed Care

Children from Non-Resident Employees Needing

Licensed Care

(1)

(2)

(3)

143 343

52

74 295

37

27 282

19 82

7 11

487

369

84

309

64

17

Total Demand for Child Care Spaces

Distribution

EXISTING SUPPLY (4)

34 292

10 90

Child Care Spaces

327

100

Family Child Care Home Supply

Child Care Center Supply

Current Child Care Supply

Distribution

EXISTING SURPLUS(SHORTAGE)

Distribution

Percentage of Demand Met

by Existing FacilitiesSpaces

Shortage of Family Child Care Home Spaces

Shortage of Center-Based Spaces

(5)

(6)

(6)

1

4

5

5 6

- 91

5 97

5 95

(29) (195)

13 87

14 33

(29) (12)

0 (183)

11

91

102

100

(225)

100

31

(42)

(183)

FINAL

Table B-10

Future Child Care Demand and Supply in 2025 in Hillsborough

San Mateo County Child Care Study - 2016

Note All footnote references can be found in Table C-1 at the end of this file

Sources 2010 US Census ABAG Projections 2013 2014 American Community Survey ACS Journey-to-Work data 2006-2008 and 2006-2010

Child Care Coordinating Council of San Mateo County (4Cs) Community Care Licensing Brion Economics Inc

Prepared by Brion Economics Inc 2513-SMC NA Final Tables 61216 6122016

MENLO PARK

Child Care as of 2025

No of

Providers

Under 2 Years

Old

2 to 4 Year

Olds

Total 0 to 4

Years

EXISTING DEMAND Child Care Demand

Estimated Total Children

Average LFPRAdjustment Factor

Children With Working Parents

Licensed Care Demand Factor

Resident Children Needing Licensed Care

of Total Resident Children Needing Licensed Care

Children from Non-Resident Employees Needing

Licensed Care

(1)

(2)

(3)

1327 1954

69

909 1759

37

336 1653

25 85

237 357

3281

2668

75

1989

61

594

Total Demand for Child Care Spaces

Distribution

EXISTING SUPPLY (4)

573 2011

22 78

Child Care Spaces

2584

100

Family Child Care Home Supply

Child Care Center Supply

Current Child Care Supply

Distribution

EXISTING SURPLUS(SHORTAGE)

Distribution

Percentage of Demand Met

by Existing FacilitiesSpaces

Shortage of Family Child Care Home Spaces

Shortage of Center-Based Spaces

(5)

(6)

(6)

15

25

40

76 96

73 1331

149 1427

9 91

(424) (584)

42 58

26 71

(217) (39)

(207) (544)

172

1404

1576

100

(1008)

100

61

(256)

(752)

FINAL

Table B-11

Future Child Care Demand and Supply in 2025 in Menlo Park

San Mateo County Child Care Study - 2016

Note All footnote references can be found in Table C-1 at the end of this file

Sources 2010 US Census ABAG Projections 2013 2014 American Community Survey ACS Journey-to-Work data 2006-2008 and 2006-2010

Child Care Coordinating Council of San Mateo County (4Cs) Community Care Licensing Brion Economics Inc

Prepared by Brion Economics Inc 2513-SMC NA Final Tables 61216 6122016

MILLBRAE

Child Care as of 2025

No of

Providers

Under 2 Years

Old

2 to 4 Year

Olds

Total 0 to 4

Years

EXISTING DEMAND Child Care Demand

Estimated Total Children

Average LFPRAdjustment Factor

Children With Working Parents

Licensed Care Demand Factor

Resident Children Needing Licensed Care

of Total Resident Children Needing Licensed Care

Children from Non-Resident Employees Needing

Licensed Care

(1)

(2)

(3)

473 805

62

291 710

37

108 672

23 83

31 47

1278

1001

78

780

61

77

Total Demand for Child Care Spaces

Distribution

EXISTING SUPPLY (4)

139 718

16 84

Child Care Spaces

857

100

Family Child Care Home Supply

Child Care Center Supply

Current Child Care Supply

Distribution

EXISTING SURPLUS(SHORTAGE)

Distribution

Percentage of Demand Met

by Existing FacilitiesSpaces

Shortage of Family Child Care Home Spaces

Shortage of Center-Based Spaces

(5)

(6)

(6)

7

7

14

62 78

- 376

62 454

12 88

(76) (264)

22 78

45 63

(76) (46)

0 (219)

141

376

517

100

(340)

100

60

(122)

(219)

FINAL

Table B-12

Future C hild Care Demand and Supply in 2025 in Millbrae

San Mateo County Child Care Study - 2016

Note All footnote references can be found in Table C-1 at the end of this file

Sources 2010 US Census ABAG Projections 2013 2014 American Community Survey ACS Journey-to-Work data 2006-2008 and 2006-2010

Child Care Coordinating Council of San Mateo County (4Cs) Community Care Licensing Brion Economics Inc

Prepared by Brion Economics Inc 2513-SMC NA Final Tables 61216 6122016

FINAL

Table B-13

Future Child Care Demand and Supply in 2025 in Pacifica

San Mateo County Child Care Study - 2016

PACIFICA

Child Care as of 2025

No of

Providers

Under 2 Years

Old

2 to 4 Year

Olds

Total 0 to 4

Years

EXISTING DEMAND Child Care Demand

Estimated Total Children

Average L FPRAdjustment Factor

Children With Working Parents

Licensed Care Demand Factor

Resident Children Needing Licensed Care

of Total Resident Children Needing Licensed Care

Children from Non-Resident Employees Needing

Licensed Care

(1)

(2)

(3)

816 1300

78

633 1209

37

234 1130

29 87

19 29

2116

1842

74

1364

64

48

Total Demand for Child Care Spaces

Distribution

EXISTING SUPPLY (4)

254 1159

18 82

Child Care Spaces

1413

100

Family Child Care Home Supply

Child Care Center Supply

Current Child Care Supply

Distribution

EXISTING SURPLUS(SHORTAGE)

Distribution

Percentage of Demand Met

by Existing FacilitiesSpaces

Shortage of Family Child Care Home Spaces

Shortage of Center-Based Spaces

(5)

(6)

(6)

9

18

27

77 97

39 701

116 798

13 87

(138) (361)

28 72

46 69

(91) (44)

(46) (317)

174

740

914

100

(499)

100

65

(135)

(364)

Note All footnote references can be found in Table C-1 at the end of this file

Sources 2010 US Census ABAG Projections 2013 2014 American Community Survey ACS Journey-to-Work data 2006-2008 and 2006-2010

Child Care Coordinating Council of San Mateo County (4Cs) Community Care Licensing Brion Economics Inc

Prepared by Brion Economics Inc 2513-SMC NA Final Tables 61216 6122016

PORTOLA VALLEY

Child Care as of 2025

No of

Providers

Under 2 Years

Old

2 to 4 Year

Olds

Total 0 to 4

Years

EXISTING DEMAND Child Care Demand

Estimated Total Children

Average LFPRAdjustment Factor

Children With Working Parents

Licensed Care Demand Factor

Resident Children Needing Licensed Care

of Total Resident Children Needing Licensed Care

Children from Non-Resident Employees Needing

Licensed Care

(1)

(2)

(3)

77 192

66

51 173

37

19 164

24 85

9 13

269

224

82

182

68

22

Total Demand for Child Care Spaces

Distribution

EXISTING SUPPLY (4)

28 177

13 87

Child Care Spaces

204

100

Family Child Care Home Supply

Child Care Center Supply

Current Child Care Supply

Distribution

EXISTING SURPLUS(SHORTAGE)

Distribution

Percentage of Demand Met

by Existing FacilitiesSpaces

Shortage of Family Child Care Home Spaces

Shortage of Center-Based Spaces

(5)

(6)

(6)

0

4

4

- -

- 153

- 153

0 100

(28) (24)

54 46

0 87

0 0

(28) (24)

0

153

153

100

(51)

100

75

0

(51)

FINAL

Table B-14

Future Child Care Demand and Supply in 2025 in Portola Valley

San Mateo County Child Care Study - 2016

Note All footnote references can be found in Table C-1 at the end of this file

Sources 2010 US Census ABAG Projections 2013 2014 American Community Survey ACS Journey-to-Work data 2006-2008 and 2006-2010

Child Care Coordinating Council of San Mateo County (4Cs) Community Care Licensing Brion Economics Inc

Prepared by Brion Economics Inc 2513-SMC NA Final Tables 61216 6122016

REDWOOD CITY

No of

Providers

Child Care as of 2025

Under 2 Years

Old

2 to 4 Year

Olds

Total 0 to 4

Years

EXISTING DEMAND Child Care Demand

Estimated Total Children

Average LFPRAdjustment Factor

Children With Working Parents

Licensed Care Demand Factor

Resident Children Needing Licensed Care

of Total Resident Children Needing Licensed Care

Children from Non-Resident Employees Needing

Licensed Care

Total Demand for Child Care Spaces

Distribution

EXISTING SUPPLY

(1)

(2)

(3)

(4)

3725 5378

69

2555 4813

37

946 4505

25 84

466 703

1411 5208

21 79

Child Care Spaces

9103

7368

74

5450

60

1169

6619

100

Family Child Care Home Supply

Child Care Center Supply

Current Child Care Supply

Distribution

EXISTING SURPLUS(SHORTAGE)

Distribution

Percentage of Demand Met

by Existing FacilitiesSpaces

Shortage of Family Child Care Home Spaces

Shortage of Center-Based Spaces

(5)

(6)

(6)

42

41

83

396 497

356 2036

752 2533

23 77

(660) (2674)

20 80

53 49

(347) (525)

(313) (2149)

893

2392

3285

100

(3334)

100

50

(872)

(2462)

FINAL

Table B-15

Future Child Care Demand and Supply in 2025 in Redwood City

San Mateo County Child Care Study - 2016

Note All footnote references can be found in Table C-1 at the end of this file

Sources 2010 US Census ABAG Projections 2013 2014 American Community Survey ACS Journey-to-Work data 2006-2008 and 2006-2010

Child Care Coordinating Council of San Mateo County (4Cs) Community Care Licensing Brion Economics Inc

Prepared by Brion Economics Inc 2513-SMC NA Final Tables 61216 6122016

SAN BRUNO

Child Care as of 2025

No of

Providers

Under 2 Years

Old

2 to 4 Year

Olds

Total 0 to 4

Years

EXISTING DEMAND Child Care Demand

Estimated Total Children

Average LFPRAdjustment Factor

Children With Working Parents

Licensed Care Demand Factor

Resident Children Needing Licensed Care

of Total Resident Children Needing Licensed Care

Children from Non-Resident Employees Needing

Licensed Care

(1)

(2)

(3)

1189 1728

77

910 1589

37

337 1475

28 85

68 103

2917

2498

73

1812

62

171

Total Demand for Child Care Spaces

Distribution

EXISTING SUPPLY (4)

405 1578

20 80

Child Care Spaces

1983

100

Family Child Care Home Supply

Child Care Center Supply

Current Child Care Supply

Distribution

EXISTING SURPLUS(SHORTAGE)

Distribution

Percentage of Demand Met

by Existing FacilitiesSpaces

Shortage of Family Child Care Home Spaces

Shortage of Center-Based Spaces

(5)

(6)

(6)

13

15

28

122 153

26 1183

148 1336

10 90

(257) (242)

52 48

37 85

(212) (28)

(45) (214)

275

1209

1484

100

(499)

100

75

(239)

(259)

FINAL

Table B-16

Future C hild Care Demand and Supply in 2025 in San Bruno

San Mateo County Child Care Study - 2016

Note All footnote references can be found in Table C-1 at the end of this file

Sources 2010 US Census ABAG Projections 2013 2014 American Community Survey ACS Journey-to-Work data 2006-2008 and 2006-2010

Child Care Coordinating Council of San Mateo County (4Cs) Community Care Licensing Brion Economics Inc

Prepared by Brion Economics Inc 2513-SMC NA Final Tables 61216 6122016

SAN CARLOS

Child Care as of 2025

No of

Providers

Under 2 Years

Old

2 to 4 Year

Olds

Total 0 to 4

Years

EXISTING DEMAND Child Care Demand

Estimated Total Children

Average LFPRAdjustment Factor

Children With Working Parents

Licensed Care Demand Factor

Resident Children Needing Licensed Care

of Total Resident Children Needing Licensed Care

Children from Non-Resident Employees Needing

Licensed Care

(1)

(2)

(3)

778 1384

72

557 1255

37

206 1174

26 85

82 123

2162

1812

76

1380

64

205

Total Demand for Child Care Spaces

Distribution

EXISTING SUPPLY (4)

288 1297

18 82

Child Care Spaces

1585

100

Family Child Care Home Supply

Child Care Center Supply

Current Child Care Supply

Distribution

EXISTING SURPLUS(SHORTAGE)

Distribution

Percentage of Demand Met

by Existing FacilitiesSpaces

Shortage of Family Child Care Home Spaces

Shortage of Center-Based Spaces

(5)

(6)

(6)

28

14

42

73 92

76 615

149 707

17 83

(139) (590)

19 81

52 54

(68) (76)

(71) (514)

164

691

855

100

(729)

100

54

(145)

(585)

FINAL

Table B-17

Future Child Care Demand and Supply in 2025 in San Carlos

San Mateo County Child Care Study - 2016

Note All footnote references can be found in Table C-1 at the end of this file

Sources 2010 US Census ABAG Projections 2013 2014 American Community Survey ACS Journey-to-Work data 2006-2008 and 2006-2010

Child Care Coordinating Council of San Mateo County (4Cs) Community Care Licensing Brion Economics Inc

Prepared by Brion Economics Inc 2513-SMC NA Final Tables 61216 6122016

SAN MATEO

Child Care as of 2025

No of

Providers

Under 2 Years

Old

2 to 4 Year

Olds

Total 0 to 4

Years

EXISTING DEMAND Child Care Demand

Estimated Total Children

Average LFPRAdjustment Factor

Children With Working Parents

Licensed Care Demand Factor

Resident Children Needing Licensed Care

of Total Resident Children Needing Licensed Care

Children from Non-Resident Employees Needing

Licensed Care

(1)

(2)

(3)

3194 4572

71

2264 4116

37

838 3839

26 84

261 394

7766

6381

73

4677

60

656

Total Demand for Child Care Spaces

Distribution

EXISTING SUPPLY (4)

1099 4233

21 79

Child Care Spaces

5332

100

Family Child Care Home Supply

Child Care Center Supply

Current Child Care Supply

Distribution

EXISTING SURPLUS(SHORTAGE)

Distribution

Percentage of Demand Met

by Existing FacilitiesSpaces

Shortage of Family Child Care Home Spaces

Shortage of Center-Based Spaces

(5)

(6)

(6)

69

59

128

492 619

209 2577

701 3196

18 82

(398) (1037)

28 72

64 75

(279) (201)

(119) (837)

1111

2786

3897

100

(1435)

100

73

(480)

(955)

FINAL

Table B-18

Future Child Care Demand and Supply in 2025 in San Mateo

San Mateo County Child Care Study - 2016

Note All footnote references can be found in Table C-1 at the end of this file

Sources 2010 US Census ABAG Projections 2013 2014 American Community Survey ACS Journey-to-Work data 2006-2008 and 2006-2010

Child Care Coordinating Council of San Mateo County (4Cs) Community Care Licensing Brion Economics Inc

Prepared by Brion Economics Inc 2513-SMC NA Final Tables 61216 6122016

FINAL

Table B-19

Future Child Care Demand and Supply in 2025 in South Coast

San Mateo County Child Care Study - 2016

SOUTH COAST

Child Care as of 2025

No of

Providers

Under 2 Years

Old

2 to 4 Year

Olds

Total 0 to 4

Years

EXISTING DEMAND Child Care Demand

Estimated Total Children (1) 23 32 55

Average LFPRAdjustment Factor (2) 54

Children With Working Parents 12 27 40

Licensed Care Demand Factor (3) 37 77

Resident Children Needing Licensed Care 5 26 30

of Total Resident Children Needing Licensed Care 20 81 56

Children from Non-Resident Employees Needing

Licensed Care 0 0 0

Total Demand for Child Care Spaces 5 26 30

Distribution 15 85 100

EXISTING SUPPLY (4) Child Care Spaces

Family Child Care Home Supply - 0 0 0

Child Care Center Supply 2 0 54 54

Current Child Care Supply 2 - 54 54

Distribution 0 100 100

EXISTING SURPLUS(SHORTAGE) (5) 28 24

Distribution -19 119 100

Percentage of Demand Met

by Existing FacilitiesSpaces (5) 0 209 177

Shortage of Family Child Care Home Spaces (6) 0 NA 0

Shortage of Center-Based Spaces (6) (5) NA (5)

Note All footnote references can be found in Table C-1 at the end of this file

Sources 2010 US Census ABAG Projections 2013 2014 American Community Survey ACS Journey-to-Work data 2006-2008 and 2006-2010

Child Care Coordinating Council of San Mateo County (4Cs) Community Care Licensing Brion Economics Inc

Prepared by Brion Economics Inc 2513-SMC NA Final Tables 61216 6122016

SOUTH SAN FRANCISCO

Child Care as of 2025

No of

Providers

Under 2 Years

Old

2 to 4 Year

Olds

Total 0 to 4

Years

EXISTING DEMAND Child Care Demand

Estimated Total Children

Average LFPRAdjustment Factor

Children With Working Parents

Licensed Care Demand Factor

Resident Children Needing Licensed Care

of Total Resident Children Needing Licensed Care

Children from Non-Resident Employees Needing

Licensed Care

(1)

(2)

(3)

1835 2790

73

1342 2535

37

496 2362

27 85

339 512

4625

3877

74

2859

62

851

Total Demand for Child Care Spaces

Distribution

EXISTING SUPPLY (4)

835 2874

23 77

Child Care Spaces

3709

100

Family Child Care Home Supply

Child Care Center Supply

Current Child Care Supply

Distribution

EXISTING SURPLUS(SHORTAGE)

Distribution

Percentage of Demand Met

by Existing FacilitiesSpaces

Shortage of Family Child Care Home Spaces

Shortage of Center-Based Spaces

(5)

(6)

(6)

30

27

57

252 317

400 1966

652 2283

22 78

(183) (591)

24 76

78 79

(71) (82)

(113) (509)

569

2366

2935

100

(775)

100

79

(153)

(622)

FINAL

Table B-20

Future Child Care Demand and Supply in 2025 in South San Francisco

San Mateo County Child Care Study - 2016

Note All footnote references can be found in Table C-1 at the end of this file

Sources 2010 US Census ABAG Projections 2013 2014 American Community Survey ACS Journey-to-Work data 2006-2008 and 2006-2010

Child Care Coordinating Council of San Mateo County (4Cs) Community Care Licensing Brion Economics Inc

Prepared by Brion Economics Inc 2513-SMC NA Final Tables 61216 6122016

WOODSIDE

No of

Providers

Child Care as of 2025

Under 2 Years

Old

2 to 4 Year

Olds

Total 0 to 4

Years

EXISTING DEMAND Child Care Demand

Estimated Total Children

Average LFPRAdjustment Factor

Children With Working Parents

Licensed Care Demand Factor

Resident Children Needing Licensed Care

of Total Resident Children Needing Licensed Care

Children from Non-Resident Employees Needing

Licensed Care

(1)

(2)

(3)

93 165

56

51 140

37

19 132

21 80

9 13

258

192

79

152

59

22

Total Demand for Child Care Spaces

Distribution

EXISTING SUPPLY (4)

28 146

16 84

Child Care Spaces

174

100

Family Child Care Home Supply

Child Care Center Supply

Current Child Care Supply

Distribution

EXISTING SURPLUS(SHORTAGE)

Distribution

Percentage of Demand Met

by Existing FacilitiesSpaces

Shortage of Family Child Care Home Spaces

Shortage of Center-Based Spaces

(5)

(6)

(6)

1

2

3

4 5

- 103

4 108

4 96

(24) (38)

39 61

15 74

(24) (2)

0 (36)

9

103

112

100

(61)

100

65

(26)

(36)

FINAL

Table B-21

Future Child Care Demand and Supply in 2025 in Woodside

San Mateo County Child Care Study - 2016

Note All footnote references can be found in Table C-1 at the end of this file

Sources 2010 US Census ABAG Projections 2013 2014 American Community Survey ACS Journey-to-Work data 2006-2008 and 2006-2010

Child Care Coordinating Council of San Mateo County (4Cs) Community Care Licensing Brion Economics Inc

Prepared by Brion Economics Inc 2513-SMC NA Final Tables 61216 6122016

FINAL

Table C-1

Endnotes for Tables

San Mateo County Child Care Study - 2016

(1) Population by age is based on the percentage breakdown from the 2010 US Census and applied

to population estimates for 2015 using ABAGs Projections 2013 population data The ABAG data

for each area includes its Sphere of Influence and is not based on strict jurisdictional boundaries

(2) Labor force participation rates are from the 5-Year American Community Survey 2014 and include

children under six years old with two working parents or a single working parent For the 2- to 4-year

olds the labor force participation rate is applied to 2 year olds For 3- and 4-year olds it is assumed

that 100 need licensed care to support preschool for every child so the number of

3- and 4-year olds is not discounted by labor force participation rates

(3) Not all children with working parents are assumed to need licensed care percentage assumptions are

used to calculate the number of children requiring licensed care under each age category The

remaining children are assumed to be cared for in alternate arrangements such as by family members

nannies friends and other unlicensed care For children ages 3- and 4-years old it is assumed that

they all need care in the form of preschool

(4) Data on child care supply provided by the Child Care Coordinating Council of San Mateo County (4Cs)

and Community Care Licensing Division of the California Department of Social Services (CCLD) Data is

for June 2015

(5) Demand that calculates as less than 100 means that there is greater demand than supply percent of

demand that is over 100 means supply exceeds demand

(6) Unmet demand is broken down into shortage by type of care based on the proportion of FCCHs and

child care centers spaces available in each area If an area does not have any FCCHs or centers the

unmet demand is placed in the type of care that is available in the area (eg if there are only centers

all demand goes to centers)

Source Brion Economics Inc

Prepared by Brion Economics Inc 2513-SMC NA Final Tables 61216 6122016

DRAFT REPORT

Table C-2

Labor Force Participation Rates by CityArea

San Mateo County Child Care Study - 2016

CityArea

Labor Force

Participation Rate (1)

Atherton

Belmont

Brisbane

Burlingame

Daly CityColma

East Palo Alto

Foster City

Half Moon Bay Region

Hillsborough

Menlo Park

Millbrae

Pacifica

Portola Valley

Redwood City

San Bruno

San Carlos

San Mateo

South Coast

South San Francisco

Woodside

40

77

100

65

74

71

63

69

52

69

62

78

66

69

77

72

71

54

73

56

(1) Labor force participation rates (LFPRs) are for

families with children under age six with two

working parents or a single parent who works Sources American Community Survey 2014 5-Year

Survey Brion Economics Inc

Prepared by Brion Economics Inc 2513-SMC NA Final Tables 61216 6122016

  • 2513-SMC FINAL NA Memo-61216
  • 2513-SMC NA Final Tables 61216
Page 23: Final San Mateo County Child Care Needs … Care...Future C hild Care Demand and Supply in 2025 in Daly City/Colma San Mateo County Child Care Study - 2016 Note: All footnote references

COUNTYWIDE

Child Care as of 2015

No of

Providers

Under 2 Years

Old

2 to 4 Year

Olds

Total 0 to 4

Years

EXISTING DEMAND Child Care Demand

Estimated Total Children

Average LFPRAdjustment Factor

Children With Working Parents

Licensed Care Demand Factor

Resident Children Needing Licensed Care

of Total Resident Children Needing Licensed Care

Children from Non-Resident Employees Needing

Licensed Care

Total Demand for Child Care Spaces

Distribution

EXISTING SUPPLY

(1)

(2)

(3)

(4)

19008 28678

71

13449 25720

37

4976 24188

26 84

1845 2784

6821 26971

20 80

Child Care Spaces

47686

39169

86

29164

61

4629

33792

100

Family Child Care Home Supply

Child Care Center Supply

Current Child Care Supply

Distribution

EXISTING SURPLUS(SHORTAGE)

Distribution

Percentage of Demand Met

by Existing FacilitiesSpaces

Shortage of Family Child Care Home Spaces

Shortage of Center-Based Spaces

(5)

(6)

(6)

621

309 -930

2301 2893

1514 16296 - -3815 19189

17 83

(3006) (7783)

28 72

56 71

(1813) (1173)

(1193) (6609)

5193

17810 -23003

100

(10789)

100

68

(2986)

(7802)

FINAL

Table A-1

Existing Child Care Demand and Supply in 2015 Countywide

San Mateo County Child Care Study - 2016

Note All footnote references can be found in Table C-1 at the end of this file

Sources 2010 US Census ABAG Projections 2013 2014 American Community Survey ACS Journey-to-Work data 2006-2008 and 2006-2010

Child Care Coordinating Council of San Mateo County (4Cs) Community Care Licensing Brion Economics Inc

Prepared by Brion Economics Inc 2513-SMC NA Final Tables 61216 6122016

ATHERTON

Child Care as of 2015

No of

Providers

Under 2 Years

Old

2 to 4 Year

Olds

Total 0 to 4

Years

EXISTING DEMAND Child Care Demand

Estimated Total Children

Average LFPRAdjustment Factor

Children With Working Parents

Licensed Care Demand Factor

Resident Children Needing Licensed Care

of Total Resident Children Needing Licensed Care

Children from Non-Resident Employees Needing

Licensed Care

(1)

(2)

(3)

105 185

40

42 153

37

15 147

15 80

12 18

290

194

84

163

56

29

Total Demand for Child Care Spaces

Distribution

EXISTING SUPPLY (4)

27 165

14 86

Child Care Spaces

192

100

Family Child Care Home Supply

Child Care Center Supply

Current Child Care Supply

Distribution

EXISTING SURPLUS(SHORTAGE)

Distribution

Percentage of Demand Met

by Existing FacilitiesSpaces

Shortage of Family Child Care Home Spaces

Shortage of Center-Based Spaces

(5)

(6)

(6)

1

6

7

5 6

24 267

29 273

10 90

2 108

2 98

107 165

NA NA

NA NA

11

291

302

100

110

100

157

NA

NA

FINAL

Table A-2

Existing Child Care Demand and Supply in 2015 in Atherton

San Mateo Co unty Child Care Study - 2016

Note All footnote references can be found in Table C-1 at the end of this file

Sources 2010 US Census ABAG Projections 2013 2014 American Community Survey ACS Journey-to-Work data 2006-2008 and 2006-2010

Child Care Coordinating Council of San Mateo County (4Cs) Community Care Licensing Brion Economics Inc

Prepared by Brion Economics Inc 2513-SMC NA Final Tables 61216 6122016

BELMONT

Child Care as of 2015

No of

Providers

Under 2 Years

Old

2 to 4 Year

Olds

Total 0 to 4

Years

EXISTING DEMAND Child Care Demand

Estimated Total Children

Average LFPRAdjustment Factor

Children With Working Parents

Licensed Care Demand Factor

Resident Children Needing Licensed Care

of Total Resident Children Needing Licensed Care

Children from Non-Resident Employees Needing

Licensed Care

(1)

(2)

(3)

708 1045

77

548 966

37

203 899

29 86

34 51

1753

1513

73

1102

63

85

Total Demand for Child Care Spaces

Distribution

EXISTING SUPPLY (4)

237 950

20 80

Child Care Spaces

1187

100

Family Child Care Home Supply

Child Care Center Supply

Current Child Care Supply

Distribution

EXISTING SURPLUS(SHORTAGE)

Distribution

Percentage of Demand Met

by Existing FacilitiesSpaces

Shortage of Family Child Care Home Spaces

Shortage of Center-Based Spaces

(5)

(6)

(6)

18

9

27

67 84

39 531

106 615

15 85

(130) (335)

28 72

45 65

(83) (46)

(48) (289)

152

570

722

100

(465)

100

61

(128)

(337)

FINAL

Table A-3

Existing Child Care Demand and Supply in 2015 in Belmont

San Mateo County Child Care Study - 2016

Note All footnote references can be found in Table C-1 at the end of this file Sources 2010 US Census ABAG Projections 2013 2014 American Community Survey ACS Journey-to-Work data 2006-2008 and

2006-2010 Child Care Coordinating Council of San Mateo County (4Cs) Community Care Licensing Brion Economics Inc

Prepared by Brion Economics Inc 2513-SMC NA Final Tables 61216 6122016

FINAL

Table A-4

Existing Child Care Demand and Supply in 2015 in Brisbane

San Mateo County Child Care Study - 2016

BRISBANE

Child Care as of 2015

No of

Providers

Under 2 Years

Old

2 to 4 Year

Olds

Total 0 to 4

Years

EXISTING DEMAND Child Care Demand

Estimated Total Children (1) 125 166 292

Average LFPRAdjustment Factor (2) 100

Children With Working Parents 125 166 292

Licensed Care Demand Factor (3) 37 68

Resident Children Needing Licensed Care 46 153 199

of Total Resident Children Needing Licensed Care 37 92 68

Children from Non-Resident Employees Needing

Licensed Care 52 78 129

Total Demand for Child Care Spaces 98 231 329

Distribution 30 70 100

EXISTING SUPPLY (4) Child Care Spaces

Family Child Care Home Supply 1 4 5 9

Child Care Center Supply 1 - 64 64

Current Child Care Supply 2 4 69 73

Distribution 6 94 100

EXISTING SURPLUS(SHORTAGE) (94) (162) (255)

Distribution 37 63 100

Percentage of Demand Met

by Existing FacilitiesSpaces (5) 4 30 22

Shortage of Family Child Care Home Spaces (6) (94) (12) (106)

Shortage of Center-Based Spaces (6) 0 (149) (149)

Note All footnote references can be found in Table C-1 at the end of this file

Sources 2010 US Census ABAG Projections 2013 2014 American Community Survey ACS Journey-to-Work data 2006-2008 and 2006-2010

Child Care Coordinating Council of San Mateo County (4Cs) Community Care Licensing Brion Economics Inc

Prepared by Brion Economics Inc 2513-SMC NA Final Tables 61216 6122016

BURLINGAME

Child Care as of 2015

No of

Providers

Under 2 Years

Old

2 to 4 Year

Olds

Total 0 to 4

Years

EXISTING DEMAND Child Care Demand

Estimated Total Children

Average LFPRAdjustment Factor

Children With Working Parents

Licensed Care Demand Factor

Resident Children Needing Licensed Care

of Total Resident Children Needing Licensed Care

Children from Non-Resident Employees Needing

Licensed Care

(1)

(2)

(3)

824 1216

65

535 1086

37

198 1025

24 84

140 211

2040

1621

75

1224

60

350

Total Demand for Child Care Spaces

Distribution

EXISTING SUPPLY (4)

338 1236

21 79

Child Care Spaces

1574

100

Family Child Care Home Supply

Child Care Center Supply

Current Child Care Supply

Distribution

EXISTING SURPLUS(SHORTAGE)

Distribution

Percentage of Demand Met

by Existing FacilitiesSpaces

Shortage of Family Child Care Home Spaces

Shortage of Center-Based Spaces

(5)

(6)

(6)

21

14

35

79 99

40 866

119 965

11 89

(219) (271)

45 55

35 78

(145) (28)

(73) (243)

179

906

1085

100

(489)

100

69

(173)

(316)

FINAL

Table A-5

Existing Child Care Demand and Supply in 2015 in Burlingame

San Mateo County Child Care Study - 2016

Note All footnote references can be found in Table C-1 at the end of this file

Sources 2010 US Census ABAG Projections 2013 2014 American Community Survey ACS Journey-to-Work data 2006-2008 and 2006-2010

Child Care Coordinating Council of San Mateo County (4Cs) Community Care Licensing Brion Economics Inc

Prepared by Brion Economics Inc 2513-SMC NA Final Tables 61216 6122016

DALY CITYCOLMA

Child Care as of 2015

No of

Providers

Under 2 Years

Old

2 to 4 Year

Olds

Total 0 to 4

Years

EXISTING DEMAND Child Care Demand

Estimated Total Children

Average LFPRAdjustment Factor

Children With Working Parents

Licensed Care Demand Factor

Resident Children Needing Licensed Care

of Total Resident Children Needing Licensed Care

Children from Non-Resident Employees Needing

Licensed Care

(1)

(2)

(3)

2495 3575

742

1851 3268

37

685 3047

27 85

126 190

6070

5119

73

3732

61

316

Total Demand for Child Care Spaces

Distribution

EXISTING SUPPLY (4)

811 3237

20 80

Child Care Spaces

4048

100

Family Child Care Home Supply

Child Care Center Supply

Current Child Care Supply

Distribution

EXISTING SURPLUS(SHORTAGE)

Distribution

Percentage of Demand Met

by Existing FacilitiesSpaces

Shortage of Family Child Care Home Spaces

Shortage of Center-Based Spaces

(5)

(6)

(6)

85

28

113

288 362

84 1264

372 1626

19 81

(439) (1612)

21 79

46 50

(340) (359)

(99) (1253)

649

1348

1997

100

(2051)

100

49

(698)

(1352)

FINAL

Table A-6

Existing Child Care Demand and Supply in 2015 in Daly CityColma

San Mateo Co unty Child Care Study - 2016

Note All footnote references can be found in Table C-1 at the end of this file

Sources 2010 US Census ABAG Projections 2013 2014 American Community Survey ACS Journey-to-Work data 2006-2008 and 2006-2010

Child Care Coordinating Council of San Mateo County (4Cs) Community Care Licensing Brion Economics Inc

Prepared by Brion Economics Inc 2513-SMC NA Final Tables 61216 6122016

EAST PALO ALTO

Child Care as of 2015

No of

Providers

Under 2 Years

Old

2 to 4 Year

Olds

Total 0 to 4

Years

EXISTING DEMAND Child Care Demand

Estimated Total Children

Average LFPRAdjustment Factor

Children With Working Parents

Licensed Care Demand Factor

Resident Children Needing Licensed Care

of Total Resident Children Needing Licensed Care

Children from Non-Resident Employees Needing

Licensed Care

(1)

(2)

(3)

1046 1667

71

741 1496

37

274 1392

26 84

18 27

2713

2237

75

1666

61

45

Total Demand for Child Care Spaces

Distribution

EXISTING SUPPLY (4)

292 1419

17 83

Child Care Spaces

1711

100

Family Child Care Home Supply

Child Care Center Supply

Current Child Care Supply

Distribution

EXISTING SURPLUS(SHORTAGE)

Distribution

Percentage of Demand Met

by Existing FacilitiesSpaces

Shortage of Family Child Care Home Spaces

Shortage of Center-Based Spaces

(5)

(6)

(6)

21

6

27

85 106

25 633

110 739

13 87

(182) (680)

21 79

38 52

(141) (98)

(42) (582)

191

658

849

100

(862)

100

50

(239)

(623)

FINAL

Table A-7

Existing Child Care Demand and Supply in 2015 in East Palo Alto

San Mateo County Child Care Study - 2016

Note All footnote references can be found in Table C-1 at the end of this file Sources 2010 US Census ABAG Projections 2013 2014 American Community Survey ACS Journey-to-Work data 2006-2008 and 2006-2010

Child Care Coordinating Council of San Mateo County (4Cs) Community Care Licensing Brion Economics Inc

Prepared by Brion Economics Inc 2513-SMC NA Final Tables 61216 6122016

FOSTER CITY

Child Care as of 2015

No of

Providers

Under 2 Years

Old

2 to 4 Year

Olds

Total 0 to 4

Years

EXISTING DEMAND Child Care Demand

Estimated Total Children

Average LFPRAdjustment Factor

Children With Working Parents

Licensed Care Demand Factor

Resident Children Needing Licensed Care

of Total Resident Children Needing Licensed Care

Children from Non-Resident Employees Needing

Licensed Care

(1)

(2)

(3)

836 1277

63

528 1108

37

195 1035

23 81

73 110

2113

1636

75

1231

58

183

Total Demand for Child Care Spaces

Distribution

EXISTING SUPPLY (4)

268 1145

19 81

Child Care Spaces

1414

100

Family Child Care Home Supply

Child Care Center Supply

Current Child Care Supply

Distribution

EXISTING SURPLUS(SHORTAGE)

Distribution

Percentage of Demand Met

by Existing FacilitiesSpaces

Shortage of Family Child Care Home Spaces

Shortage of Center-Based Spaces

(5)

(6)

(6)

29

12

41

118 149

88 1200

206 1349

13 87

(62) 203

NA NA

77 118

(36) NA

(27) NA

267

1288

1555

100

141

NA

110

(36)

(27)

FINAL

Table A-8

Existing Child Care Demand and Supply in 2015 in Foster City

San Mateo County Child Care Study - 2016

Note All footnote references can be found in Table C-1 at the end of this file

Sources 2010 US Census ABAG Projections 2013 2014 American Community Survey ACS Journey-to-Work data 2006-2008 and 2006-2010

Child Care Coordinating Council of San Mateo County (4Cs) Community Care Licensing Brion Economics Inc

Prepared by Brion Economics Inc 2513-SMC NA Final Tables 61216 6122016

HALF MOON BAY REGION

Child Care as of 2015

No of

Providers

Under 2 Years

Old

2 to 4 Year

Olds

Total 0 to 4

Years

EXISTING DEMAND Child Care Demand

Estimated Total Children

Average LFPRAdjustment Factor

Children With Working Parents

Licensed Care Demand Factor

Resident Children Needing Licensed Care

of Total Resident Children Needing Licensed Care

Children from Non-Resident Employees Needing

Licensed Care

(1)

(2)

(3)

511 860

69

354 772

37

131 723

26 84

13 19

1371

1126

76

854

62

32

Total Demand for Child Care Spaces

Distribution

EXISTING SUPPLY (4)

144 742

16 84

Child Care Spaces

885

100

Family Child Care Home Supply

Child Care Center Supply

Current Child Care Supply

Distribution

EXISTING SURPLUS(SHORTAGE)

Distribution

Percentage of Demand Met

by Existing FacilitiesSpaces

Shortage of Family Child Care Home Spaces

Shortage of Center-Based Spaces

(5)

(6)

(6)

28

11

39

96 121

35 285

131 406

24 76

(13) (336)

4 96

91 55

(9) (100)

(3) (236)

216

320

536

100

(349)

100

61

(109)

(240)

FINAL

Table A-9

Existing Child Care Demand and Supply in 2015 in Half Moon Bay Region

San Mateo County Child Care Study - 2016

Note All footnote references can be found in Table C-1 at the end of this file

Sources 2010 US Census ABAG Projections 2013 2014 American Community Survey ACS Journey-to-Work data 2006-2008 and 2006-2010

Child Care Coordinating Council of San Mateo County (4Cs) Community Care Licensing Brion Economics Inc

Prepared by Brion Economics Inc 2513-SMC NA Final Tables 61216 6122016

HILLSBOROUGH

Child Care as of 2015

No of

Providers

Under 2 Years

Old

2 to 4 Year

Olds

Total 0 to 4

Years

EXISTING DEMAND Child Care Demand

Estimated Total Children

Average LFPRAdjustment Factor

Children With Working Parents

Licensed Care Demand Factor

Resident Children Needing Licensed Care

of Total Resident Children Needing Licensed Care

Children from Non-Resident Employees Needing

Licensed Care

(1)

(2)

(3)

138 331

52

71 284

37

26 272

19 82

7 10

469

356

84

298

64

16

Total Demand for Child Care Spaces

Distribution

EXISTING SUPPLY (4)

33 282

10 90

Child Care Spaces

315

100

Family Child Care Home Supply

Child Care Center Supply

Current Child Care Supply

Distribution

EXISTING SURPLUS(SHORTAGE)

Distribution

Percentage of Demand Met

by Existing FacilitiesSpaces

Shortage of Family Child Care Home Spaces

Shortage of Center-Based Spaces

(5)

(6)

(6)

1

4

5

5 6

- 91

5 97

5 95

(28) (185)

13 87

15 34

(28) (12)

0 (173)

11

91

102

100

(213)

100

32

(40)

(173)

FINAL

Table A-10

Existing Child Care Demand and Supply in 2015 in Hillsborough

San Mateo County Child Care Study - 2016

Note All footnote references can be found in Table C-1 at the end of this file Sources 2010 US Census ABAG Projections 2013 2014 American Community Survey ACS Journey-to-Work data 2006-2008 and 2006-2010

Child Care Coordinating Council of San Mateo County (4Cs) Community Care Licensing Brion Economics Inc

Prepared by Brion Economics Inc 2513-SMC NA Final Tables 61216 6122016

MENLO PARK

Child Care as of 2015

No of

Providers

Under 2 Years

Old

2 to 4 Year

Olds

Total 0 to 4

Years

EXISTING DEMAND Child Care Demand

Estimated Total Children

Average LFPRAdjustment Factor

Children With Working Parents

Licensed Care Demand Factor

Resident Children Needing Licensed Care

of Total Resident Children Needing Licensed Care

Children from Non-Resident Employees Needing

Licensed Care

(1)

(2)

(3)

1170 1723

69

802 1551

37

297 1458

25 85

220 332

2893

2353

75

1754

61

552

Total Demand for Child Care Spaces

Distribution

EXISTING SUPPLY (4)

516 1790

22 78

Child Care Spaces

2306

100

Family Child Care Home Supply

Child Care Center Supply

Current Child Care Supply

Distribution

EXISTING SURPLUS(SHORTAGE)

Distribution

Percentage of Demand Met

by Existing FacilitiesSpaces

Shortage of Family Child Care Home Spaces

Shortage of Center-Based Spaces

(5)

(6)

(6)

18

25

43

76 96

73 1331

149 1427

9 91

(367) (363)

50 50

29 80

(188) (24)

(180) (338)

172

1404

1576

100

(730)

100

68

(212)

(518)

FINAL

Table A-11

Existing Child Care Demand and Supply in 2015 in Menlo Park

San Mateo County Child Care Study - 2016

Note All footnote references can be found in Table C-1 at the end of this file Sources 2010 US Census ABAG Projections 2013 2014 American Community Survey ACS Journey-to-Work data 2006-2008 and 2006-2010

Child Care Coordinating Council of San Mateo County (4Cs) Community Care Licensing Brion Economics Inc

Prepared by Brion Economics Inc 2513-SMC NA Final Tables 61216 6122016

MILLBRAE

Child Care as of 2015

No of

Providers

Under 2 Years

Old

2 to 4 Year

Olds

Total 0 to 4

Years

EXISTING DEMAND Child Care Demand

Total Children

Average LFPRAdjustment Factor

Children With Working Parents

Licensed Care Demand Factor

Resident Children Needing Licensed Care

of Total Resident Children Needing Licensed Care

Children from Non-Resident Employees Needing

Licensed Care

(1)

(2)

(3)

421 717

62

260 632

37

96 598

23 83

28 42

1138

892

78

694

61

69

Total Demand for Child Care Spaces

Distribution

EXISTING SUPPLY (4)

124 640

16 84

Child Care Spaces

764

100

Family Child Care Home Supply

Child Care Center Supply

Current Child Care Supply

Distribution

EXISTING SURPLUS(SHORTAGE)

Distribution

Percentage of Demand Met

by Existing FacilitiesSpaces

Shortage of Family Child Care Home Spaces

Shortage of Center-Based Spaces

(5)

(6)

(6)

17

7

24

62 78

- 376

62 454

12 88

(61) (186)

25 75

50 71

(61) (32)

0 (154)

141

376

517

100

(247)

100

68

(93)

(154)

FINAL

Table A-12

Existing Child Care Demand and Supply in 2015 in Millbrae

San Mateo Co unty Child Care Study - 2016

Note All footnote references can be found in Table C-1 at the end of this file

Sources 2010 US Census ABAG Projections 2013 2014 American Community Survey ACS Journey-to-Work data 2006-2008 and 2006-2010

Child Care Coordinating Council of San Mateo County (4Cs) Community Care Licensing Brion Economics Inc

Prepared by Brion Economics Inc 2513-SMC NA Final Tables 61216 6122016

PACIFICA

Child Care as of 2015

No of

Providers

Under 2 Years

Old

2 to 4 Year

Olds

Total 0 to 4

Years

EXISTING DEMAND Child Care Demand

Estimated Total Children

Average LFPRAdjustment Factor

Children With Working Parents

Licensed Care Demand Factor

Resident Children Needing Licensed Care

of Total Resident Children Needing Licensed Care

Children from Non-Resident Employees Needing

Licensed Care

(1)

(2)

(3)

787 1253

78

610 1165

37

226 1089

29 87

18 27

2040

1776

74

1315

64

45

Total Demand for Child Care Spaces

Distribution

EXISTING SUPPLY (4)

244 1117

18 83

Child Care Spaces

1360

100

Family Child Care Home Supply

Child Care Center Supply

Current Child Care Supply

Distribution

EXISTING SURPLUS(SHORTAGE)

Distribution

Percentage of Demand Met

by Existing FacilitiesSpaces

Shortage of Family Child Care Home Spaces

Shortage of Center-Based Spaces

(5)

(6)

(6)

21

18

39

77 97

39 701

116 798

13 87

(128) (319)

29 71

48 71

(85) (39)

(43) (280)

174

740

914

100

(447)

100

67

(124)

(323)

FINAL

Table A-13

Existing Child Care Demand and Supply in 2015 in Pacifica

San Mateo County Child Care Study - 2016

Note All footnote references can be found in Table C-1 at the end of this file Sources 2010 US Census ABAG Projections 2013 2014 American Community Survey ACS Journey-to-Work data 2006-2008 and 2006-2010

Child Care Coordinating Council of San Mateo County (4Cs) Community Care Licensing Brion Economics Inc

Prepared by Brion Economics Inc 2513-SMC NA Final Tables 61216 6122016

PORTOLA VALLEY

No of

Providers

Child Care as of 2015

Under 2 Years

Old

2 to 4 Year

Olds

Total 0 to 4

Years

EXISTING DEMAND Child Care Demand

Estimated Total Children

Average LFPRAdjustment Factor

Children With Working Parents

Licensed Care Demand Factor

Resident Children Needing Licensed Care

of Total Resident Children Needing Licensed Care

Children from Non-Resident Employees Needing

Licensed Care

(1)

(2)

(3)

75 187

66

49 168

37

18 159

24 85

8 12

261

217

82

177

68

21

Total Demand for Child Care Spaces

Distribution

EXISTING SUPPLY (4)

26 171

13 87

Child Care Spaces

198

100

Family Child Care Home Supply

Child Care Center Supply

Current Child Care Supply

Distribution

EXISTING SURPLUS(SHORTAGE)

Distribution

Percentage of Demand Met

by Existing FacilitiesSpaces

Shortage of Family Child Care Home Spaces

Shortage of Center-Based Spaces

(5)

(6)

(6)

0

4

4

0 0

0 153

0 153

0 100

(26) (18)

59 41

0 89

0 0

(26) (18)

0

153

153

100

(45)

100

77

0

(45)

FINAL

Table A-14

Existing Child Care Demand and Supply in 2015 in Portola Valley

San Mateo County Child Care Study - 2016

Note All footnote references can be found in Table C-1 at the end of this file Sources 2010 US Census ABAG Projections 2013 2014 American Community Survey ACS Journey-to-Work data 2006-2008 and 2006-2010

Child Care Coordinating Council of San Mateo County (4Cs) Community Care Licensing Brion Economics Inc

Prepared by Brion Economics Inc 2513-SMC NA Final Tables 61216 6122016

REDWOOD CITY

Child Care as of 2015

No of

Providers

Under 2 Years

Old

2 to 4 Year

Olds

Total 0 to 4

Years

EXISTING DEMAND Child Care Demand

Estimated Total Children

Average LFPRAdjustment Factor

Children With Working Parents

Licensed Care Demand Factor

Resident Children Needing Licensed Care

of Total Resident Children Needing Licensed Care

Children from Non-Resident Employees Needing

Licensed Care

Total Demand for Child Care Spaces

Distribution

EXISTING SUPPLY

(1)

(2)

(3)

(4)

3260 4706

69

2236 4212

37

827 3942

25 84

414 625

1241 4567

21 79

Child Care Spaces

7966

6449

74

4770

60

1038

5808

100

Family Child Care Home Supply

Child Care Center Supply

Current Child Care Supply

Distribution

EXISTING SURPLUS(SHORTAGE)

Distribution

Percentage of Demand Met

by Existing FacilitiesSpaces

Shortage of Family Child Care Home Spaces

Shortage of Center-Based Spaces

(5)

(6)

(6)

111

45

156

396 497

356 2036

752 2533

23 77

(490) (2034)

19 81

61 55

(258) (399)

(232) (1635)

893

2392

3285

100

(2524)

100

57

(657)

(1867)

FINAL

Table A-15

Existing Child Care Demand and Supply in 2015 in Redwood City

San Mateo County Child Care Study - 2016

Note All footnote references can be found in Table C-1 at the end of this file Sources 2010 US Census ABAG Projections 2013 2014 American Community Survey ACS Journey-to-Work data 2006-2008 and 2006-2010

Child Care Coordinating Council of San Mateo County (4Cs) Community Care Licensing Brion Economics Inc

Prepared by Brion Economics Inc 2513-SMC NA Final Tables 61216 6122016

SAN BRUNO

Child Care as of 2015

No of

Providers

Under 2 Years

Old

2 to 4 Year

Olds

Total 0 to 4

Years

EXISTING DEMAND Child Care Demand

Estimated Total Children

Average LFPRAdjustment Factor

Children With Working Parents

Licensed Care Demand Factor

Resident Children Needing Licensed Care

of Total Resident Children Needing Licensed Care

Children from Non-Resident Employees Needing

Licensed Care

(1)

(2)

(3)

1069 1553

77

817 1428

37

302 1326

28 85

61 92

2622

2245

73

1628

62

153

Total Demand for Child Care Spaces

Distribution

EXISTING SUPPLY (4)

364 1418

20 80

Child Care Spaces

1782

100

Family Child Care Home Supply

Child Care Center Supply

Current Child Care Supply

Distribution

EXISTING SURPLUS(SHORTAGE)

Distribution

Percentage of Demand Met

by Existing FacilitiesSpaces

Shortage of Family Child Care Home Spaces

Shortage of Center-Based Spaces

(5)

(6)

(6)

34

15

49

122 153

26 1183

148 1336

10 90

(216) (82)

72 28

41 94

(178) (9)

(38) (73)

275

1209

1484

100

(298)

100

83

(187)

(110)

FINAL

Table A-16

Existing Child Care Demand and Supply in 2015 in San Bruno

San Mateo County Child Care Study - 2016

Note All footnote references can be found in Table C-1 at the end of this file Sources 2010 US Census ABAG Projections 2013 2014 American Community Survey ACS Journey-to-Work data 2006-2008 and 2006-2010

Child Care Coordinating Council of San Mateo County (4Cs) Community Care Licensing Brion Economics Inc

Prepared by Brion Economics Inc 2513-SMC NA Final Tables 61216 6122016

SAN CARLOS

Child Care as of 2015

No of

Providers

Under 2 Years

Old

2 to 4 Year

Olds

Total 0 to 4

Years

EXISTING DEMAND Child Care Demand

Estimated Total Children

Average LFPRAdjustment Factor

Children With Working Parents

Licensed Care Demand Factor

Resident Children Needing Licensed Care

of Total Resident Children Needing Licensed Care

Children from Non-Resident Employees Needing

Licensed Care

(1)

(2)

(3)

735 1308

72

526 1186

37

195 1109

26 85

75 114

2043

1712

76

1304

64

189

Total Demand for Child Care Spaces

Distribution

EXISTING SUPPLY (4)

270 1222

18 82

Child Care Spaces

1492

100

Family Child Care Home Supply

Child Care Center Supply

Current Child Care Supply

Distribution

EXISTING SURPLUS(SHORTAGE)

Distribution

Percentage of Demand Met

by Existing FacilitiesSpaces

Shortage of Family Child Care Home Spaces

Shortage of Center-Based Spaces

(5)

(6)

(6)

20

14

34

73 92

76 615

149 707

17 83

(121) (516)

19 81

55 58

(59) (67)

(62) (449)

164

691

855

100

(637)

100

57

(126)

(511)

FINAL

Table A-17

Existing Child Care Demand and Supply in 2015 in San Carlos

San Mateo County Child Care Study - 2016

Note All footnote references can be found in Table C-1 at the end of this file

Sources 2010 US Census ABAG Projections 2013 2014 American Community Survey ACS Journey-to-Work data 2006-2008 and 2006-2010

Child Care Coordinating Council of San Mateo County (4Cs) Community Care Licensing Brion Economics Inc

Prepared by Brion Economics Inc 2513-SMC NA Final Tables 61216 6122016

SAN MATEO

Child Care as of 2015

No of

Providers

Under 2 Years

Old

2 to 4 Year

Olds

Total 0 to 4

Years

EXISTING DEMAND Child Care Demand

Estimated Total Children

Average LFPRAdjustment Factor

Children With Working Parents

Licensed Care Demand Factor

Resident Children Needing Licensed Care

of Total Resident Children Needing Licensed Care

Children from Non-Resident Employees Needing

Licensed Care

(1)

(2)

(3)

2943 4213

71

2087 3793

37

772 3537

26 84

231 348

7156

5880

73

4309

60

579

Total Demand for Child Care Spaces

Distribution

EXISTING SUPPLY (4)

1003 3886

21 79

Child Care Spaces

4889

100

Family Child Care Home Supply

Child Care Center Supply

Current Child Care Supply

Distribution

EXISTING SURPLUS(SHORTAGE)

Distribution

Percentage of Demand Met

by Existing FacilitiesSpaces

Shortage of Family Child Care Home Spaces

Shortage of Center-Based Spaces

(5)

(6)

(6)

126

59

185

492 619

209 2577

701 3196

18 82

(302) (690)

30 70

70 82

(212) (134)

(90) (557)

1111

2786

3897

100

(992)

100

80

(345)

(647)

FINAL

Table A-18

Existing Child Care Demand and Supply in 2015 in San Mateo

San Mateo County Child Care Study - 2016

Note All footnote references can be found in Table C-1 at the end of this file

Sources 2010 US Census ABAG Projections 2013 2014 American Community Survey ACS Journey-to-Work data 2006-2008 and 2006-2010

Child Care Coordinating Council of San Mateo County (4Cs) Community Care Licensing Brion Economics Inc

Prepared by Brion Economics Inc 2513-SMC NA Final Tables 61216 6122016

SOUTH COAST

Child Care as of 2015

No of

Providers

Under 2 Years

Old

2 to 4 Year

Olds

Total 0 to 4

Years

EXISTING DEMAND Child Care Demand

Estimated Total Children

Average LFPRAdjustment Factor

Children With Working Parents

Licensed Care Demand Factor

Resident Children Needing Licensed Care

of Total Resident Children Needing Licensed Care

Children from Non-Resident Employees Needing

Licensed Care

(1)

(2)

(3)

21 29

54

11 25

37

4 23

20 81

0 0

50

36

77

28

56

0

Total Demand for Child Care Spaces

Distribution

EXISTING SUPPLY (4)

4 23

15 85

Child Care Spaces

28

100

Family Child Care Home Supply

Child Care Center Supply

Current Child Care Supply

Distribution

EXISTING SURPLUS(SHORTAGE)

Distribution

Percentage of Demand Met

by Existing FacilitiesSpaces

Shortage of Family Child Care Home Spaces

Shortage of Center-Based Spaces

(5)

(6)

(6)

-

2

2

- -

- 54

- 54

0 100

(4) 31

-16 116

0 230

(2) NA

(2) NA

0

54

54

100

26

100

195

(2)

(2)

FINAL

Table A-19

Existing Child Care Demand and Supply in 2015 in South Coast

San Mateo County Child Care Study - 2016

Note All footnote references can be found in Table C-1 at the end of this file

Sources 2010 US Census ABAG Projections 2013 2014 American Community Survey ACS Journey-to-Work data 2006-2008 and 2006-2010

Child Care Coordinating Council of San Mateo County (4Cs) Community Care Licensing Brion Economics Inc

Prepared by Brion Economics Inc 2513-SMC NA Final Tables 61216 6122016

SOUTH SAN FRANCISCO

Child Care as of 2015

No of

Providers

Under 2 Years

Old

2 to 4 Year

Olds

Total 0 to 4

Years

EXISTING DEMAND Child Care Demand

Estimated Total Children

Average LFPRAdjustment Factor

Children With Working Parents

Licensed Care Demand Factor

Resident Children Needing Licensed Care

of Total Resident Children Needing Licensed Care

Children from Non-Resident Employees Needing

Licensed Care

(1)

(2)

(3)

1649 2507

73

1206 2278

37

446 2123

27 85

309 466

4156

3484

74

2569

62

774

Total Demand for Child Care Spaces

Distribution

EXISTING SUPPLY (4)

755 2588

23 77

Child Care Spaces

3343

100

Family Child Care Home Supply

Child Care Center Supply

Current Child Care Supply

Distribution

EXISTING SURPLUS(SHORTAGE)

Distribution

Percentage of Demand Met

by Existing FacilitiesSpaces

Shortage of Family Child Care Home Spaces

Shortage of Center-Based Spaces

(5)

(6)

(6)

68

27

95

252 317

400 1966

652 2283

22 78

(103) (306)

25 75

86 88

(40) (42)

(63) (263)

569

2366

2935

100

(408)

100

88

(82)

(326)

FINAL

Table A-20

Existing Child Care Demand and Supply in 2015 in South San Francisco

San Mateo County Child Care Study - 2016

Note All footnote references can be found in Table C-1 at the end of this file Sources 2010 US Census ABAG Projections 2013 2014 American Community Survey ACS Journey-to-Work data 2006-2008 and 2006-2010

Child Care Coordinating Council of San Mateo County (4Cs) Community Care Licensing Brion Economics Inc

Prepared by Brion Economics Inc 2513-SMC NA Final Tables 61216 6122016

WOODSIDE

No of

Providers

Child Care as of 2015

Under 2 Years

Old

2 to 4 Year

Olds

Total 0 to 4

Years

EXISTING DEMAND Child Care Demand

Estimated Total Children

Average LFPRAdjustment Factor

Children With Working Parents

Licensed Care Demand Factor

Resident Children Needing Licensed Care

of Total Resident Children Needing Licensed Care

Children from Non-Resident Employees Needing

Licensed Care

(1)

(2)

(3)

90 160

56

50 136

37

18 128

21 80

8 13

250

186

79

147

59

21

Total Demand for Child Care Spaces

Distribution

EXISTING SUPPLY (4)

27 141

16 84

Child Care Spaces

168

100

Family Child Care Home Supply

Child Care Center Supply

Current Child Care Supply

Distribution

EXISTING SURPLUS(SHORTAGE)

Distribution

Percentage of Demand Met

by Existing FacilitiesSpaces

Shortage of Family Child Care Home Spaces

Shortage of Center-Based Spaces

(5)

(6)

(6)

1

2

3

4 5

0 103

4 108

4 96

(23) (33)

41 59

16 77

(23) (2)

0 (31)

9

103

112

100

(55)

100

67

(24)

(31)

FINAL

Table A-21

Existing Child Care Demand and Supply in 2015 in Woodside

San Mateo County Child Care Study - 2016

Note All footnote references can be found in Table C-1 at the end of this file Sources 2010 US Census ABAG Projections 2013 2014 American Community Survey ACS Journey-to-Work data 2006-2008 and 2006-2010

Child Care Coordinating Council of San Mateo County (4Cs) Community Care Licensing Brion Economics Inc

Prepared by Brion Economics Inc 2513-SMC NA Final Tables 61216 6122016

COUNTYWIDE

Child Care as of 2025

No of

Providers

Under 2 Years

Old

2 to 4 Year

Olds

Total 0 to 4

Years

EXISTING DEMAND Child Care Demand

Estimated Total Children

Average LFPRAdjustment Factor

Children With Working Parents

Licensed Care Demand Factor

Resident Children Needing Licensed Care

of Total Resident Children Needing Licensed Care

Children from Non-Resident Employees Needing

Licensed Care

Total Demand for Child Care Spaces

Distribution

EXISTING SUPPLY

(1)

(2)

(3)

(4)

20790 31340

71

14704 28273

37

5441 26432

26 84

2037 3074

7478 29506

20 80

Child Care Spaces

52130

42978

86

31873

61

5112

36984

100

Family Child Care Home Supply

Child Care Center Supply

Current Child Care Supply

Distribution

EXISTING SURPLUS(SHORTAGE)

Distribution

Percentage of Demand Met

by Existing FacilitiesSpaces

Shortage of Family Child Care Home Spaces

Shortage of Center-Based Spaces

(5)

(6)

(6)

621

309

930

2301 2893

1514 16296

3815 19189

17 83

(3663) (10318)

26 74

51 65

(2209) (1555)

(1454) (8762)

5193

17810

23003

100

(13981)

100

62

(3765)

(10216)

FINAL

Table B-1

Future C hild Care Demand and Supply in 2025 Countywide

San Mateo County Child Care Study - 2016

Note All footnote references can be found in Table C-1 at the end of this file

Sources 2010 US Census ABAG Projections 2013 2014 American Community Survey ACS Journey-to-Work data 2006-2008 and 2006-2010

Child Care Coordinating Council of San Mateo County (4Cs) Community Care Licensing Brion Economics Inc

Prepared by Brion Economics Inc 2513-SMC NA Final Tables 61216 6122016

ATHERTON

No of

Providers

Child Care as of 2025

Under 2 Years

Old

2 to 4 Year

Olds

Total 0 to 4

Years

EXISTING DEMAND Child Care Demand

Estimated Total Children

Average LFPRAdjustment Factor

Children With Working Parents

Licensed Care Demand Factor

Resident Children Needing Licensed Care

of Total Resident Children Needing Licensed Care

Children from Non-Resident Employees Needing

Licensed Care

(1)

(2)

(3)

109 193

40

43 159

37

16 154

15 80

13 19

302

202

84

170

56

32

Total Demand for Child Care Spaces

Distribution

EXISTING SUPPLY (4)

29 173

14 86

Child Care Spaces

201

100

Family Child Care Home Supply

Child Care Center Supply

Current Child Care Supply

Distribution

EXISTING SURPLUS(SHORTAGE)

Distribution

Percentage of Demand Met

by Existing FacilitiesSpaces

Shortage of Family Child Care Home Spaces

Shortage of Center-Based Spaces

(5)

(6)

(6)

1

6

7

5 6

24 267

29 273

10 90

0 101

0 100

101 158

NA NA

NA NA

11

291

302

100

101

100

150

NA

NA

FINAL

Table B-2

Future Child Care Demand and Supply in 2025 in Atherton

San Mateo Co unty Child Care Study - 2016

Note All footnote references can be found in Table C-1 at the end of this file Sources 2010 US Census ABAG Projections 2013 2014 American Community Survey ACS Journey-to-Work data 2006-2008 and 2006-2010

Child Care Coordinating Council of San Mateo County (4Cs) Community Care Licensing Brion Economics Inc

Prepared by Brion Economics Inc 2513-SMC NA Final Tables 61216 6122016

BELMONT

Child Care as of 2025

No of

Providers

Under 2 Years

Old

2 to 4 Year

Olds

Total 0 to 4

Years

EXISTING DEMAND Child Care Demand

Estimated Total Children

Average LFPRAdjustment Factor

Children With Working Parents

Licensed Care Demand Factor

Resident Children Needing Licensed Care

of Total Resident Children Needing Licensed Care

Children from Non-Resident Employees Needing

Licensed Care

(1)

(2)

(3)

743 1095

77

574 1013

37

213 943

29 86

37 56

1838

1587

73

1156

63

93

Total Demand for Child Care Spaces

Distribution

EXISTING SUPPLY (4)

250 999

20 80

Child Care Spaces

1249

100

Family Child Care Home Supply

Child Care Center Supply

Current Child Care Supply

Distribution

EXISTING SURPLUS(SHORTAGE)

Distribution

Percentage of Demand Met

by Existing FacilitiesSpaces

Shortage of Family Child Care Home Spaces

Shortage of Center-Based Spaces

(5)

(6)

(6)

8

9

17

67 84

39 531

106 615

15 85

(143) (384)

27 73

43 62

(91) (53)

(53) (331)

152

570

722

100

(527)

100

58

(143)

(384)

FINAL

Table B-3

Future Child Care Demand and Supply in 2025 in Belmont

San Mateo County Child Care Study - 2016

Note All footnote references can be found in Table C-1 at the end of this file

Sources 2010 US Census ABAG Projections 2013 2014 American Community Survey ACS Journey-to-Work data 2006-2008 and 2006-2010

Child Care Coordinating Council of San Mateo County (4Cs) Community Care Licensing Brion Economics Inc

Prepared by Brion Economics Inc 2513-SMC NA Final Tables 61216 6122016

BRISBANE

Child Care as of 2025

No of

Providers

Under 2 Years

Old

2 to 4 Year

Olds

Total 0 to 4

Years

EXISTING DEMAND Child Care Demand

Estimated Total Children

Average LFPRAdjustment Factor

Children With Working Parents

Licensed Care Demand Factor

Resident Children Needing Licensed Care

of Total Resident Children Needing Licensed Care

Children from Non-Resident Employees Needing

Licensed Care

(1)

(2)

(3)

131 174

100

131 174

37

48 160

37 92

55 83

305

305

68

209

68

138

Total Demand for Child Care Spaces

Distribution

EXISTING SUPPLY (4)

103 243

30 70

Child Care Spaces

346

100

Family Child Care Home Supply

Child Care Center Supply

Current Child Care Supply

Distribution

EXISTING SURPLUS(SHORTAGE)

Distribution

Percentage of Demand Met

by Existing FacilitiesSpaces

Shortage of Family Child Care Home Spaces

Shortage of Center-Based Spaces

(5)

(6)

(6)

1

1

2

4 5

0 64

4 69

6 94

(99) (174)

36 64

4 29

(99) (13)

0 (160)

9

64

73

100

(273)

100

21

(112)

(160)

FINAL

Table B-4

Future Child Care Demand and Supply in 2025 in Brisbane

San Mateo County Child Care Study - 2016

Note All footnote references can be found in Table C-1 at the end of this file Sources 2010 US Census ABAG Projections 2013 2014 American Community Survey ACS Journey-to-Work data 2006-2008 and 2006-2010

Child Care Coordinating Council of San Mateo County (4Cs) Community Care Licensing Brion Economics Inc

Prepared by Brion Economics Inc 2513-SMC NA Final Tables 61216 6122016

BURLINGAME

Child Care as of 2025

No of

Providers

Under 2 Years

Old

2 to 4 Year

Olds

Total 0 to 4

Years

EXISTING DEMAND Child Care Demand

Estimated Total Children

Average LFPRAdjustment Factor

Children With Working Parents

Licensed Care Demand Factor

Resident Children Needing Licensed Care

of Total Resident Children Needing Licensed Care

Children from Non-Resident Employees Needing

Licensed Care

(1)

(2)

(3)

903 1332

65

587 1190

37

217 1124

24 84

154 232

2235

1777

75

1341

60

385

Total Demand for Child Care Spaces

Distribution

EXISTING SUPPLY (4)

371 1356

21 79

Child Care Spaces

1726

100

Family Child Care Home Supply

Child Care Center Supply

Current Child Care Supply

Distribution

EXISTING SURPLUS(SHORTAGE)

Distribution

Percentage of Demand Met

by Existing FacilitiesSpaces

Shortage of Family Child Care Home Spaces

Shortage of Center-Based Spaces

(5)

(6)

(6)

10

14

24

79 99

40 866

119 965

11 89

(252) (390)

39 61

32 71

(167) (40)

(85) (350)

179

906

1085

100

(642)

100

63

(207)

(434)

FINAL

Table B-5

Future Child Care Demand and Supply in 2025 in Burlingame

San Mateo County Child Care Study - 2016

Note All footnote references can be found in Table C-1 at the end of this file

Sources 2010 US Census ABAG Projections 2013 2014 American Community Survey ACS Journey-to-Work data 2006-2008 and 2006-2010

Child Care Coordinating Council of San Mateo County (4Cs) Community Care Licensing Brion Economics Inc

Prepared by Brion Economics Inc 2513-SMC NA Final Tables 61216 6122016

DALY CITYCOLMA

Child Care as of 2025

No of

Providers

Under 2 Years

Old

2 to 4 Year

Olds

Total 0 to 4

Years

EXISTING DEMAND Child Care Demand

Estimated Total Children

Average LFPRAdjustment Factor

Children With Working Parents

Licensed Care Demand Factor

Resident Children Needing Licensed Care

of Total Resident Children Needing Licensed Care

Children from Non-Resident Employees Needing

Licensed Care

(1)

(2)

(3)

2647 3793

74

1964 3467

37

727 3233

27 85

138 208

6440

5432

73

3960

61

346

Total Demand for Child Care Spaces

Distribution

EXISTING SUPPLY (4)

865 3441

20 80

Child Care Spaces

4306

100

Family Child Care Home Supply

Child Care Center Supply

Current Child Care Supply

Distribution

EXISTING SURPLUS(SHORTAGE)

Distribution

Percentage of Demand Met

by Existing FacilitiesSpaces

Shortage of Family Child Care Home Spaces

Shortage of Center-Based Spaces

(5)

(6)

(6)

25

28

28

288 362

84 1264

372 1626

19 81

(493) (1816)

21 79

43 47

(381) (404)

(111) (1412)

649

1348

1997

100

(2308)

100

46

(785)

(1523)

FINAL

Table B-6

Future C hild Care Demand and Supply in 2025 in Daly CityColma

San Mateo County Child Care Study - 2016

Note All footnote references can be found in Table C-1 at the end of this file

Sources 2010 US Census ABAG Projections 2013 2014 American Community Survey ACS Journey-to-Work data 2006-2008 and 2006-2010

Child Care Coordinating Council of San Mateo County (4Cs) Community Care Licensing Brion Economics Inc

Prepared by Brion Economics Inc 2513-SMC NA Final Tables 61216 6122016

EAST PALO ALTO

Child Care as of 2025

No of

Providers

Under 2 Years

Old

2 to 4 Year

Olds

Total 0 to 4

Years

EXISTING DEMAND Child Care Demand

Estimated Total Children

Average LFPRAdjustment Factor

Children With Working Parents

Licensed Care Demand Factor

Resident Children Needing Licensed Care

of Total Resident Children Needing Licensed Care

Children from Non-Resident Employees Needing

Licensed Care

(1)

(2)

(3)

1161 1849

71

822 1660

37

304 1545

26 84

20 30

3010

2482

75

1849

61

50

Total Demand for Child Care Spaces

Distribution

EXISTING SUPPLY (4)

324 1575

17 83

Child Care Spaces

1900

100

Family Child Care Home Supply

Child Care Center Supply

Current Child Care Supply

Distribution

EXISTING SURPLUS(SHORTAGE)

Distribution

Percentage of Demand Met

by Existing FacilitiesSpaces

Shortage of Family Child Care Home Spaces

Shortage of Center-Based Spaces

(5)

(6)

(6)

13

6

19

85 106

25 633

110 739

13 87

(215) (836)

20 80

34 47

(166) (120)

(49) (715)

191

658

849

100

(1050)

100

45

(286)

(764)

FINAL

Table B-7

Future Child Care Demand and Supply in 2025 in East Palo Alto

San Mateo County Child Care Study - 2016

Note All footnote references can be found in Table C-1 at the end of this file

Sources 2010 US Census ABAG Projections 2013 2014 American Community Survey ACS Journey-to-Work data 2006-2008 and 2006-2010

Child Care Coordinating Council of San Mateo County (4Cs) Community Care Licensing Brion Economics Inc

Prepared by Brion Economics Inc 2513-SMC NA Final Tables 61216 6122016

FOSTER CITY

Child Care as of 2025

No of

Providers

Under 2 Years

Old

2 to 4 Year

Olds

Total 0 to 4

Years

EXISTING DEMAND Child Care Demand

Estimated Total Children

Average LFPRAdjustment Factor

Children With Working Parents

Licensed Care Demand Factor

Resident Children Needing Licensed Care

of Total Resident Children Needing Licensed Care

Children from Non-Resident Employees Needing

Licensed Care

(1)

(2)

(3)

871 1330

63

550 1154

37

204 1079

23 81

80 120

2201

1705

75

1282

58

200

Total Demand for Child Care Spaces

Distribution

EXISTING SUPPLY (4)

283 1199

19 81

Child Care Spaces

1483

100

Family Child Care Home Supply

Child Care Center Supply

Current Child Care Supply

Distribution

EXISTING SURPLUS(SHORTAGE)

Distribution

Percentage of Demand Met

by Existing FacilitiesSpaces

Shortage of Family Child Care Home Spaces

Shortage of Center-Based Spaces

(5)

(6)

(6)

19

12

31

118 149

88 1200

206 1349

13 87

(77) 150

-106 206

73 112

(44) NA

(33) NA

267

1288

1555

100

73

100

105

(44)

(33)

FINAL

Table B-8

Future Child Care Demand and Supply in 2025 in Foster City

San Mateo County Child Care Study - 2016

Note All footnote references can be found in Table C-1 at the end of this file

Sources 2010 US Census ABAG Projections 2013 2014 American Community Survey ACS Journey-to-Work data 2006-2008 and 2006-2010

Child Care Coordinating Council of San Mateo County (4Cs) Community Care Licensing Brion Economics Inc

Prepared by Brion Economics Inc 2513-SMC NA Final Tables 61216 6122016

HALF MOON BAY REGION

Child Care as of 2025

No of

Providers

Under 2 Years

Old

2 to 4 Year

Olds

Total 0 to 4

Years

EXISTING DEMAND Child Care Demand

Estimated Total Children

Average LFPRAdjustment Factor

Children With Working Parents

Licensed Care Demand Factor

Resident Children Needing Licensed Care

of Total Resident Children Needing Licensed Care

Children from Non-Resident Employees Needing

Licensed Care

(1)

(2)

(3)

553 929

69

383 835

37

142 781

26 84

14 21

1482

1217

76

923

62

34

Total Demand for Child Care Spaces

Distribution

EXISTING SUPPLY (4)

155 802

16 84

Child Care Spaces

957

100

Family Child Care Home Supply

Child Care Center Supply

Current Child Care Supply

Distribution

EXISTING SURPLUS(SHORTAGE)

Distribution

Percentage of Demand Met

by Existing FacilitiesSpaces

Shortage of Family Child Care Home Spaces

Shortage of Center-Based Spaces

(5)

(6)

(6)

10

11

21

96 121

35 285

131 406

24 76

(24) (396)

6 94

84 51

(18) (118)

(6) (279)

216

320

536

100

(421)

100

56

(136)

(285)

FINAL

Table B-9

Future Child Care Demand and Supply in 2025 in Half Moon Bay Region

San Mateo County Child Care Study - 2016

Note All footnote references can be found in Table C-1 at the end of this file

Sources 2010 US Census ABAG Projections 2013 2014 American Community Survey ACS Journey-to-Work data 2006-2008 and 2006-2010

Child Care Coordinating Council of San Mateo County (4Cs) Community Care Licensing Brion Economics Inc

Prepared by Brion Economics Inc 2513-SMC NA Final Tables 61216 6122016

HILLSBOROUGH

Child Care as of 2025

No of

Providers

Under 2 Years

Old

2 to 4 Year

Olds

Total 0 to 4

Years

EXISTING DEMAND Child Care Demand

Estimated Total Children

Average LFPRAdjustment Factor

Children With Working Parents

Licensed Care Demand Factor

Resident Children Needing Licensed Care

of Total Resident Children Needing Licensed Care

Children from Non-Resident Employees Needing

Licensed Care

(1)

(2)

(3)

143 343

52

74 295

37

27 282

19 82

7 11

487

369

84

309

64

17

Total Demand for Child Care Spaces

Distribution

EXISTING SUPPLY (4)

34 292

10 90

Child Care Spaces

327

100

Family Child Care Home Supply

Child Care Center Supply

Current Child Care Supply

Distribution

EXISTING SURPLUS(SHORTAGE)

Distribution

Percentage of Demand Met

by Existing FacilitiesSpaces

Shortage of Family Child Care Home Spaces

Shortage of Center-Based Spaces

(5)

(6)

(6)

1

4

5

5 6

- 91

5 97

5 95

(29) (195)

13 87

14 33

(29) (12)

0 (183)

11

91

102

100

(225)

100

31

(42)

(183)

FINAL

Table B-10

Future Child Care Demand and Supply in 2025 in Hillsborough

San Mateo County Child Care Study - 2016

Note All footnote references can be found in Table C-1 at the end of this file

Sources 2010 US Census ABAG Projections 2013 2014 American Community Survey ACS Journey-to-Work data 2006-2008 and 2006-2010

Child Care Coordinating Council of San Mateo County (4Cs) Community Care Licensing Brion Economics Inc

Prepared by Brion Economics Inc 2513-SMC NA Final Tables 61216 6122016

MENLO PARK

Child Care as of 2025

No of

Providers

Under 2 Years

Old

2 to 4 Year

Olds

Total 0 to 4

Years

EXISTING DEMAND Child Care Demand

Estimated Total Children

Average LFPRAdjustment Factor

Children With Working Parents

Licensed Care Demand Factor

Resident Children Needing Licensed Care

of Total Resident Children Needing Licensed Care

Children from Non-Resident Employees Needing

Licensed Care

(1)

(2)

(3)

1327 1954

69

909 1759

37

336 1653

25 85

237 357

3281

2668

75

1989

61

594

Total Demand for Child Care Spaces

Distribution

EXISTING SUPPLY (4)

573 2011

22 78

Child Care Spaces

2584

100

Family Child Care Home Supply

Child Care Center Supply

Current Child Care Supply

Distribution

EXISTING SURPLUS(SHORTAGE)

Distribution

Percentage of Demand Met

by Existing FacilitiesSpaces

Shortage of Family Child Care Home Spaces

Shortage of Center-Based Spaces

(5)

(6)

(6)

15

25

40

76 96

73 1331

149 1427

9 91

(424) (584)

42 58

26 71

(217) (39)

(207) (544)

172

1404

1576

100

(1008)

100

61

(256)

(752)

FINAL

Table B-11

Future Child Care Demand and Supply in 2025 in Menlo Park

San Mateo County Child Care Study - 2016

Note All footnote references can be found in Table C-1 at the end of this file

Sources 2010 US Census ABAG Projections 2013 2014 American Community Survey ACS Journey-to-Work data 2006-2008 and 2006-2010

Child Care Coordinating Council of San Mateo County (4Cs) Community Care Licensing Brion Economics Inc

Prepared by Brion Economics Inc 2513-SMC NA Final Tables 61216 6122016

MILLBRAE

Child Care as of 2025

No of

Providers

Under 2 Years

Old

2 to 4 Year

Olds

Total 0 to 4

Years

EXISTING DEMAND Child Care Demand

Estimated Total Children

Average LFPRAdjustment Factor

Children With Working Parents

Licensed Care Demand Factor

Resident Children Needing Licensed Care

of Total Resident Children Needing Licensed Care

Children from Non-Resident Employees Needing

Licensed Care

(1)

(2)

(3)

473 805

62

291 710

37

108 672

23 83

31 47

1278

1001

78

780

61

77

Total Demand for Child Care Spaces

Distribution

EXISTING SUPPLY (4)

139 718

16 84

Child Care Spaces

857

100

Family Child Care Home Supply

Child Care Center Supply

Current Child Care Supply

Distribution

EXISTING SURPLUS(SHORTAGE)

Distribution

Percentage of Demand Met

by Existing FacilitiesSpaces

Shortage of Family Child Care Home Spaces

Shortage of Center-Based Spaces

(5)

(6)

(6)

7

7

14

62 78

- 376

62 454

12 88

(76) (264)

22 78

45 63

(76) (46)

0 (219)

141

376

517

100

(340)

100

60

(122)

(219)

FINAL

Table B-12

Future C hild Care Demand and Supply in 2025 in Millbrae

San Mateo County Child Care Study - 2016

Note All footnote references can be found in Table C-1 at the end of this file

Sources 2010 US Census ABAG Projections 2013 2014 American Community Survey ACS Journey-to-Work data 2006-2008 and 2006-2010

Child Care Coordinating Council of San Mateo County (4Cs) Community Care Licensing Brion Economics Inc

Prepared by Brion Economics Inc 2513-SMC NA Final Tables 61216 6122016

FINAL

Table B-13

Future Child Care Demand and Supply in 2025 in Pacifica

San Mateo County Child Care Study - 2016

PACIFICA

Child Care as of 2025

No of

Providers

Under 2 Years

Old

2 to 4 Year

Olds

Total 0 to 4

Years

EXISTING DEMAND Child Care Demand

Estimated Total Children

Average L FPRAdjustment Factor

Children With Working Parents

Licensed Care Demand Factor

Resident Children Needing Licensed Care

of Total Resident Children Needing Licensed Care

Children from Non-Resident Employees Needing

Licensed Care

(1)

(2)

(3)

816 1300

78

633 1209

37

234 1130

29 87

19 29

2116

1842

74

1364

64

48

Total Demand for Child Care Spaces

Distribution

EXISTING SUPPLY (4)

254 1159

18 82

Child Care Spaces

1413

100

Family Child Care Home Supply

Child Care Center Supply

Current Child Care Supply

Distribution

EXISTING SURPLUS(SHORTAGE)

Distribution

Percentage of Demand Met

by Existing FacilitiesSpaces

Shortage of Family Child Care Home Spaces

Shortage of Center-Based Spaces

(5)

(6)

(6)

9

18

27

77 97

39 701

116 798

13 87

(138) (361)

28 72

46 69

(91) (44)

(46) (317)

174

740

914

100

(499)

100

65

(135)

(364)

Note All footnote references can be found in Table C-1 at the end of this file

Sources 2010 US Census ABAG Projections 2013 2014 American Community Survey ACS Journey-to-Work data 2006-2008 and 2006-2010

Child Care Coordinating Council of San Mateo County (4Cs) Community Care Licensing Brion Economics Inc

Prepared by Brion Economics Inc 2513-SMC NA Final Tables 61216 6122016

PORTOLA VALLEY

Child Care as of 2025

No of

Providers

Under 2 Years

Old

2 to 4 Year

Olds

Total 0 to 4

Years

EXISTING DEMAND Child Care Demand

Estimated Total Children

Average LFPRAdjustment Factor

Children With Working Parents

Licensed Care Demand Factor

Resident Children Needing Licensed Care

of Total Resident Children Needing Licensed Care

Children from Non-Resident Employees Needing

Licensed Care

(1)

(2)

(3)

77 192

66

51 173

37

19 164

24 85

9 13

269

224

82

182

68

22

Total Demand for Child Care Spaces

Distribution

EXISTING SUPPLY (4)

28 177

13 87

Child Care Spaces

204

100

Family Child Care Home Supply

Child Care Center Supply

Current Child Care Supply

Distribution

EXISTING SURPLUS(SHORTAGE)

Distribution

Percentage of Demand Met

by Existing FacilitiesSpaces

Shortage of Family Child Care Home Spaces

Shortage of Center-Based Spaces

(5)

(6)

(6)

0

4

4

- -

- 153

- 153

0 100

(28) (24)

54 46

0 87

0 0

(28) (24)

0

153

153

100

(51)

100

75

0

(51)

FINAL

Table B-14

Future Child Care Demand and Supply in 2025 in Portola Valley

San Mateo County Child Care Study - 2016

Note All footnote references can be found in Table C-1 at the end of this file

Sources 2010 US Census ABAG Projections 2013 2014 American Community Survey ACS Journey-to-Work data 2006-2008 and 2006-2010

Child Care Coordinating Council of San Mateo County (4Cs) Community Care Licensing Brion Economics Inc

Prepared by Brion Economics Inc 2513-SMC NA Final Tables 61216 6122016

REDWOOD CITY

No of

Providers

Child Care as of 2025

Under 2 Years

Old

2 to 4 Year

Olds

Total 0 to 4

Years

EXISTING DEMAND Child Care Demand

Estimated Total Children

Average LFPRAdjustment Factor

Children With Working Parents

Licensed Care Demand Factor

Resident Children Needing Licensed Care

of Total Resident Children Needing Licensed Care

Children from Non-Resident Employees Needing

Licensed Care

Total Demand for Child Care Spaces

Distribution

EXISTING SUPPLY

(1)

(2)

(3)

(4)

3725 5378

69

2555 4813

37

946 4505

25 84

466 703

1411 5208

21 79

Child Care Spaces

9103

7368

74

5450

60

1169

6619

100

Family Child Care Home Supply

Child Care Center Supply

Current Child Care Supply

Distribution

EXISTING SURPLUS(SHORTAGE)

Distribution

Percentage of Demand Met

by Existing FacilitiesSpaces

Shortage of Family Child Care Home Spaces

Shortage of Center-Based Spaces

(5)

(6)

(6)

42

41

83

396 497

356 2036

752 2533

23 77

(660) (2674)

20 80

53 49

(347) (525)

(313) (2149)

893

2392

3285

100

(3334)

100

50

(872)

(2462)

FINAL

Table B-15

Future Child Care Demand and Supply in 2025 in Redwood City

San Mateo County Child Care Study - 2016

Note All footnote references can be found in Table C-1 at the end of this file

Sources 2010 US Census ABAG Projections 2013 2014 American Community Survey ACS Journey-to-Work data 2006-2008 and 2006-2010

Child Care Coordinating Council of San Mateo County (4Cs) Community Care Licensing Brion Economics Inc

Prepared by Brion Economics Inc 2513-SMC NA Final Tables 61216 6122016

SAN BRUNO

Child Care as of 2025

No of

Providers

Under 2 Years

Old

2 to 4 Year

Olds

Total 0 to 4

Years

EXISTING DEMAND Child Care Demand

Estimated Total Children

Average LFPRAdjustment Factor

Children With Working Parents

Licensed Care Demand Factor

Resident Children Needing Licensed Care

of Total Resident Children Needing Licensed Care

Children from Non-Resident Employees Needing

Licensed Care

(1)

(2)

(3)

1189 1728

77

910 1589

37

337 1475

28 85

68 103

2917

2498

73

1812

62

171

Total Demand for Child Care Spaces

Distribution

EXISTING SUPPLY (4)

405 1578

20 80

Child Care Spaces

1983

100

Family Child Care Home Supply

Child Care Center Supply

Current Child Care Supply

Distribution

EXISTING SURPLUS(SHORTAGE)

Distribution

Percentage of Demand Met

by Existing FacilitiesSpaces

Shortage of Family Child Care Home Spaces

Shortage of Center-Based Spaces

(5)

(6)

(6)

13

15

28

122 153

26 1183

148 1336

10 90

(257) (242)

52 48

37 85

(212) (28)

(45) (214)

275

1209

1484

100

(499)

100

75

(239)

(259)

FINAL

Table B-16

Future C hild Care Demand and Supply in 2025 in San Bruno

San Mateo County Child Care Study - 2016

Note All footnote references can be found in Table C-1 at the end of this file

Sources 2010 US Census ABAG Projections 2013 2014 American Community Survey ACS Journey-to-Work data 2006-2008 and 2006-2010

Child Care Coordinating Council of San Mateo County (4Cs) Community Care Licensing Brion Economics Inc

Prepared by Brion Economics Inc 2513-SMC NA Final Tables 61216 6122016

SAN CARLOS

Child Care as of 2025

No of

Providers

Under 2 Years

Old

2 to 4 Year

Olds

Total 0 to 4

Years

EXISTING DEMAND Child Care Demand

Estimated Total Children

Average LFPRAdjustment Factor

Children With Working Parents

Licensed Care Demand Factor

Resident Children Needing Licensed Care

of Total Resident Children Needing Licensed Care

Children from Non-Resident Employees Needing

Licensed Care

(1)

(2)

(3)

778 1384

72

557 1255

37

206 1174

26 85

82 123

2162

1812

76

1380

64

205

Total Demand for Child Care Spaces

Distribution

EXISTING SUPPLY (4)

288 1297

18 82

Child Care Spaces

1585

100

Family Child Care Home Supply

Child Care Center Supply

Current Child Care Supply

Distribution

EXISTING SURPLUS(SHORTAGE)

Distribution

Percentage of Demand Met

by Existing FacilitiesSpaces

Shortage of Family Child Care Home Spaces

Shortage of Center-Based Spaces

(5)

(6)

(6)

28

14

42

73 92

76 615

149 707

17 83

(139) (590)

19 81

52 54

(68) (76)

(71) (514)

164

691

855

100

(729)

100

54

(145)

(585)

FINAL

Table B-17

Future Child Care Demand and Supply in 2025 in San Carlos

San Mateo County Child Care Study - 2016

Note All footnote references can be found in Table C-1 at the end of this file

Sources 2010 US Census ABAG Projections 2013 2014 American Community Survey ACS Journey-to-Work data 2006-2008 and 2006-2010

Child Care Coordinating Council of San Mateo County (4Cs) Community Care Licensing Brion Economics Inc

Prepared by Brion Economics Inc 2513-SMC NA Final Tables 61216 6122016

SAN MATEO

Child Care as of 2025

No of

Providers

Under 2 Years

Old

2 to 4 Year

Olds

Total 0 to 4

Years

EXISTING DEMAND Child Care Demand

Estimated Total Children

Average LFPRAdjustment Factor

Children With Working Parents

Licensed Care Demand Factor

Resident Children Needing Licensed Care

of Total Resident Children Needing Licensed Care

Children from Non-Resident Employees Needing

Licensed Care

(1)

(2)

(3)

3194 4572

71

2264 4116

37

838 3839

26 84

261 394

7766

6381

73

4677

60

656

Total Demand for Child Care Spaces

Distribution

EXISTING SUPPLY (4)

1099 4233

21 79

Child Care Spaces

5332

100

Family Child Care Home Supply

Child Care Center Supply

Current Child Care Supply

Distribution

EXISTING SURPLUS(SHORTAGE)

Distribution

Percentage of Demand Met

by Existing FacilitiesSpaces

Shortage of Family Child Care Home Spaces

Shortage of Center-Based Spaces

(5)

(6)

(6)

69

59

128

492 619

209 2577

701 3196

18 82

(398) (1037)

28 72

64 75

(279) (201)

(119) (837)

1111

2786

3897

100

(1435)

100

73

(480)

(955)

FINAL

Table B-18

Future Child Care Demand and Supply in 2025 in San Mateo

San Mateo County Child Care Study - 2016

Note All footnote references can be found in Table C-1 at the end of this file

Sources 2010 US Census ABAG Projections 2013 2014 American Community Survey ACS Journey-to-Work data 2006-2008 and 2006-2010

Child Care Coordinating Council of San Mateo County (4Cs) Community Care Licensing Brion Economics Inc

Prepared by Brion Economics Inc 2513-SMC NA Final Tables 61216 6122016

FINAL

Table B-19

Future Child Care Demand and Supply in 2025 in South Coast

San Mateo County Child Care Study - 2016

SOUTH COAST

Child Care as of 2025

No of

Providers

Under 2 Years

Old

2 to 4 Year

Olds

Total 0 to 4

Years

EXISTING DEMAND Child Care Demand

Estimated Total Children (1) 23 32 55

Average LFPRAdjustment Factor (2) 54

Children With Working Parents 12 27 40

Licensed Care Demand Factor (3) 37 77

Resident Children Needing Licensed Care 5 26 30

of Total Resident Children Needing Licensed Care 20 81 56

Children from Non-Resident Employees Needing

Licensed Care 0 0 0

Total Demand for Child Care Spaces 5 26 30

Distribution 15 85 100

EXISTING SUPPLY (4) Child Care Spaces

Family Child Care Home Supply - 0 0 0

Child Care Center Supply 2 0 54 54

Current Child Care Supply 2 - 54 54

Distribution 0 100 100

EXISTING SURPLUS(SHORTAGE) (5) 28 24

Distribution -19 119 100

Percentage of Demand Met

by Existing FacilitiesSpaces (5) 0 209 177

Shortage of Family Child Care Home Spaces (6) 0 NA 0

Shortage of Center-Based Spaces (6) (5) NA (5)

Note All footnote references can be found in Table C-1 at the end of this file

Sources 2010 US Census ABAG Projections 2013 2014 American Community Survey ACS Journey-to-Work data 2006-2008 and 2006-2010

Child Care Coordinating Council of San Mateo County (4Cs) Community Care Licensing Brion Economics Inc

Prepared by Brion Economics Inc 2513-SMC NA Final Tables 61216 6122016

SOUTH SAN FRANCISCO

Child Care as of 2025

No of

Providers

Under 2 Years

Old

2 to 4 Year

Olds

Total 0 to 4

Years

EXISTING DEMAND Child Care Demand

Estimated Total Children

Average LFPRAdjustment Factor

Children With Working Parents

Licensed Care Demand Factor

Resident Children Needing Licensed Care

of Total Resident Children Needing Licensed Care

Children from Non-Resident Employees Needing

Licensed Care

(1)

(2)

(3)

1835 2790

73

1342 2535

37

496 2362

27 85

339 512

4625

3877

74

2859

62

851

Total Demand for Child Care Spaces

Distribution

EXISTING SUPPLY (4)

835 2874

23 77

Child Care Spaces

3709

100

Family Child Care Home Supply

Child Care Center Supply

Current Child Care Supply

Distribution

EXISTING SURPLUS(SHORTAGE)

Distribution

Percentage of Demand Met

by Existing FacilitiesSpaces

Shortage of Family Child Care Home Spaces

Shortage of Center-Based Spaces

(5)

(6)

(6)

30

27

57

252 317

400 1966

652 2283

22 78

(183) (591)

24 76

78 79

(71) (82)

(113) (509)

569

2366

2935

100

(775)

100

79

(153)

(622)

FINAL

Table B-20

Future Child Care Demand and Supply in 2025 in South San Francisco

San Mateo County Child Care Study - 2016

Note All footnote references can be found in Table C-1 at the end of this file

Sources 2010 US Census ABAG Projections 2013 2014 American Community Survey ACS Journey-to-Work data 2006-2008 and 2006-2010

Child Care Coordinating Council of San Mateo County (4Cs) Community Care Licensing Brion Economics Inc

Prepared by Brion Economics Inc 2513-SMC NA Final Tables 61216 6122016

WOODSIDE

No of

Providers

Child Care as of 2025

Under 2 Years

Old

2 to 4 Year

Olds

Total 0 to 4

Years

EXISTING DEMAND Child Care Demand

Estimated Total Children

Average LFPRAdjustment Factor

Children With Working Parents

Licensed Care Demand Factor

Resident Children Needing Licensed Care

of Total Resident Children Needing Licensed Care

Children from Non-Resident Employees Needing

Licensed Care

(1)

(2)

(3)

93 165

56

51 140

37

19 132

21 80

9 13

258

192

79

152

59

22

Total Demand for Child Care Spaces

Distribution

EXISTING SUPPLY (4)

28 146

16 84

Child Care Spaces

174

100

Family Child Care Home Supply

Child Care Center Supply

Current Child Care Supply

Distribution

EXISTING SURPLUS(SHORTAGE)

Distribution

Percentage of Demand Met

by Existing FacilitiesSpaces

Shortage of Family Child Care Home Spaces

Shortage of Center-Based Spaces

(5)

(6)

(6)

1

2

3

4 5

- 103

4 108

4 96

(24) (38)

39 61

15 74

(24) (2)

0 (36)

9

103

112

100

(61)

100

65

(26)

(36)

FINAL

Table B-21

Future Child Care Demand and Supply in 2025 in Woodside

San Mateo County Child Care Study - 2016

Note All footnote references can be found in Table C-1 at the end of this file

Sources 2010 US Census ABAG Projections 2013 2014 American Community Survey ACS Journey-to-Work data 2006-2008 and 2006-2010

Child Care Coordinating Council of San Mateo County (4Cs) Community Care Licensing Brion Economics Inc

Prepared by Brion Economics Inc 2513-SMC NA Final Tables 61216 6122016

FINAL

Table C-1

Endnotes for Tables

San Mateo County Child Care Study - 2016

(1) Population by age is based on the percentage breakdown from the 2010 US Census and applied

to population estimates for 2015 using ABAGs Projections 2013 population data The ABAG data

for each area includes its Sphere of Influence and is not based on strict jurisdictional boundaries

(2) Labor force participation rates are from the 5-Year American Community Survey 2014 and include

children under six years old with two working parents or a single working parent For the 2- to 4-year

olds the labor force participation rate is applied to 2 year olds For 3- and 4-year olds it is assumed

that 100 need licensed care to support preschool for every child so the number of

3- and 4-year olds is not discounted by labor force participation rates

(3) Not all children with working parents are assumed to need licensed care percentage assumptions are

used to calculate the number of children requiring licensed care under each age category The

remaining children are assumed to be cared for in alternate arrangements such as by family members

nannies friends and other unlicensed care For children ages 3- and 4-years old it is assumed that

they all need care in the form of preschool

(4) Data on child care supply provided by the Child Care Coordinating Council of San Mateo County (4Cs)

and Community Care Licensing Division of the California Department of Social Services (CCLD) Data is

for June 2015

(5) Demand that calculates as less than 100 means that there is greater demand than supply percent of

demand that is over 100 means supply exceeds demand

(6) Unmet demand is broken down into shortage by type of care based on the proportion of FCCHs and

child care centers spaces available in each area If an area does not have any FCCHs or centers the

unmet demand is placed in the type of care that is available in the area (eg if there are only centers

all demand goes to centers)

Source Brion Economics Inc

Prepared by Brion Economics Inc 2513-SMC NA Final Tables 61216 6122016

DRAFT REPORT

Table C-2

Labor Force Participation Rates by CityArea

San Mateo County Child Care Study - 2016

CityArea

Labor Force

Participation Rate (1)

Atherton

Belmont

Brisbane

Burlingame

Daly CityColma

East Palo Alto

Foster City

Half Moon Bay Region

Hillsborough

Menlo Park

Millbrae

Pacifica

Portola Valley

Redwood City

San Bruno

San Carlos

San Mateo

South Coast

South San Francisco

Woodside

40

77

100

65

74

71

63

69

52

69

62

78

66

69

77

72

71

54

73

56

(1) Labor force participation rates (LFPRs) are for

families with children under age six with two

working parents or a single parent who works Sources American Community Survey 2014 5-Year

Survey Brion Economics Inc

Prepared by Brion Economics Inc 2513-SMC NA Final Tables 61216 6122016

  • 2513-SMC FINAL NA Memo-61216
  • 2513-SMC NA Final Tables 61216
Page 24: Final San Mateo County Child Care Needs … Care...Future C hild Care Demand and Supply in 2025 in Daly City/Colma San Mateo County Child Care Study - 2016 Note: All footnote references

ATHERTON

Child Care as of 2015

No of

Providers

Under 2 Years

Old

2 to 4 Year

Olds

Total 0 to 4

Years

EXISTING DEMAND Child Care Demand

Estimated Total Children

Average LFPRAdjustment Factor

Children With Working Parents

Licensed Care Demand Factor

Resident Children Needing Licensed Care

of Total Resident Children Needing Licensed Care

Children from Non-Resident Employees Needing

Licensed Care

(1)

(2)

(3)

105 185

40

42 153

37

15 147

15 80

12 18

290

194

84

163

56

29

Total Demand for Child Care Spaces

Distribution

EXISTING SUPPLY (4)

27 165

14 86

Child Care Spaces

192

100

Family Child Care Home Supply

Child Care Center Supply

Current Child Care Supply

Distribution

EXISTING SURPLUS(SHORTAGE)

Distribution

Percentage of Demand Met

by Existing FacilitiesSpaces

Shortage of Family Child Care Home Spaces

Shortage of Center-Based Spaces

(5)

(6)

(6)

1

6

7

5 6

24 267

29 273

10 90

2 108

2 98

107 165

NA NA

NA NA

11

291

302

100

110

100

157

NA

NA

FINAL

Table A-2

Existing Child Care Demand and Supply in 2015 in Atherton

San Mateo Co unty Child Care Study - 2016

Note All footnote references can be found in Table C-1 at the end of this file

Sources 2010 US Census ABAG Projections 2013 2014 American Community Survey ACS Journey-to-Work data 2006-2008 and 2006-2010

Child Care Coordinating Council of San Mateo County (4Cs) Community Care Licensing Brion Economics Inc

Prepared by Brion Economics Inc 2513-SMC NA Final Tables 61216 6122016

BELMONT

Child Care as of 2015

No of

Providers

Under 2 Years

Old

2 to 4 Year

Olds

Total 0 to 4

Years

EXISTING DEMAND Child Care Demand

Estimated Total Children

Average LFPRAdjustment Factor

Children With Working Parents

Licensed Care Demand Factor

Resident Children Needing Licensed Care

of Total Resident Children Needing Licensed Care

Children from Non-Resident Employees Needing

Licensed Care

(1)

(2)

(3)

708 1045

77

548 966

37

203 899

29 86

34 51

1753

1513

73

1102

63

85

Total Demand for Child Care Spaces

Distribution

EXISTING SUPPLY (4)

237 950

20 80

Child Care Spaces

1187

100

Family Child Care Home Supply

Child Care Center Supply

Current Child Care Supply

Distribution

EXISTING SURPLUS(SHORTAGE)

Distribution

Percentage of Demand Met

by Existing FacilitiesSpaces

Shortage of Family Child Care Home Spaces

Shortage of Center-Based Spaces

(5)

(6)

(6)

18

9

27

67 84

39 531

106 615

15 85

(130) (335)

28 72

45 65

(83) (46)

(48) (289)

152

570

722

100

(465)

100

61

(128)

(337)

FINAL

Table A-3

Existing Child Care Demand and Supply in 2015 in Belmont

San Mateo County Child Care Study - 2016

Note All footnote references can be found in Table C-1 at the end of this file Sources 2010 US Census ABAG Projections 2013 2014 American Community Survey ACS Journey-to-Work data 2006-2008 and

2006-2010 Child Care Coordinating Council of San Mateo County (4Cs) Community Care Licensing Brion Economics Inc

Prepared by Brion Economics Inc 2513-SMC NA Final Tables 61216 6122016

FINAL

Table A-4

Existing Child Care Demand and Supply in 2015 in Brisbane

San Mateo County Child Care Study - 2016

BRISBANE

Child Care as of 2015

No of

Providers

Under 2 Years

Old

2 to 4 Year

Olds

Total 0 to 4

Years

EXISTING DEMAND Child Care Demand

Estimated Total Children (1) 125 166 292

Average LFPRAdjustment Factor (2) 100

Children With Working Parents 125 166 292

Licensed Care Demand Factor (3) 37 68

Resident Children Needing Licensed Care 46 153 199

of Total Resident Children Needing Licensed Care 37 92 68

Children from Non-Resident Employees Needing

Licensed Care 52 78 129

Total Demand for Child Care Spaces 98 231 329

Distribution 30 70 100

EXISTING SUPPLY (4) Child Care Spaces

Family Child Care Home Supply 1 4 5 9

Child Care Center Supply 1 - 64 64

Current Child Care Supply 2 4 69 73

Distribution 6 94 100

EXISTING SURPLUS(SHORTAGE) (94) (162) (255)

Distribution 37 63 100

Percentage of Demand Met

by Existing FacilitiesSpaces (5) 4 30 22

Shortage of Family Child Care Home Spaces (6) (94) (12) (106)

Shortage of Center-Based Spaces (6) 0 (149) (149)

Note All footnote references can be found in Table C-1 at the end of this file

Sources 2010 US Census ABAG Projections 2013 2014 American Community Survey ACS Journey-to-Work data 2006-2008 and 2006-2010

Child Care Coordinating Council of San Mateo County (4Cs) Community Care Licensing Brion Economics Inc

Prepared by Brion Economics Inc 2513-SMC NA Final Tables 61216 6122016

BURLINGAME

Child Care as of 2015

No of

Providers

Under 2 Years

Old

2 to 4 Year

Olds

Total 0 to 4

Years

EXISTING DEMAND Child Care Demand

Estimated Total Children

Average LFPRAdjustment Factor

Children With Working Parents

Licensed Care Demand Factor

Resident Children Needing Licensed Care

of Total Resident Children Needing Licensed Care

Children from Non-Resident Employees Needing

Licensed Care

(1)

(2)

(3)

824 1216

65

535 1086

37

198 1025

24 84

140 211

2040

1621

75

1224

60

350

Total Demand for Child Care Spaces

Distribution

EXISTING SUPPLY (4)

338 1236

21 79

Child Care Spaces

1574

100

Family Child Care Home Supply

Child Care Center Supply

Current Child Care Supply

Distribution

EXISTING SURPLUS(SHORTAGE)

Distribution

Percentage of Demand Met

by Existing FacilitiesSpaces

Shortage of Family Child Care Home Spaces

Shortage of Center-Based Spaces

(5)

(6)

(6)

21

14

35

79 99

40 866

119 965

11 89

(219) (271)

45 55

35 78

(145) (28)

(73) (243)

179

906

1085

100

(489)

100

69

(173)

(316)

FINAL

Table A-5

Existing Child Care Demand and Supply in 2015 in Burlingame

San Mateo County Child Care Study - 2016

Note All footnote references can be found in Table C-1 at the end of this file

Sources 2010 US Census ABAG Projections 2013 2014 American Community Survey ACS Journey-to-Work data 2006-2008 and 2006-2010

Child Care Coordinating Council of San Mateo County (4Cs) Community Care Licensing Brion Economics Inc

Prepared by Brion Economics Inc 2513-SMC NA Final Tables 61216 6122016

DALY CITYCOLMA

Child Care as of 2015

No of

Providers

Under 2 Years

Old

2 to 4 Year

Olds

Total 0 to 4

Years

EXISTING DEMAND Child Care Demand

Estimated Total Children

Average LFPRAdjustment Factor

Children With Working Parents

Licensed Care Demand Factor

Resident Children Needing Licensed Care

of Total Resident Children Needing Licensed Care

Children from Non-Resident Employees Needing

Licensed Care

(1)

(2)

(3)

2495 3575

742

1851 3268

37

685 3047

27 85

126 190

6070

5119

73

3732

61

316

Total Demand for Child Care Spaces

Distribution

EXISTING SUPPLY (4)

811 3237

20 80

Child Care Spaces

4048

100

Family Child Care Home Supply

Child Care Center Supply

Current Child Care Supply

Distribution

EXISTING SURPLUS(SHORTAGE)

Distribution

Percentage of Demand Met

by Existing FacilitiesSpaces

Shortage of Family Child Care Home Spaces

Shortage of Center-Based Spaces

(5)

(6)

(6)

85

28

113

288 362

84 1264

372 1626

19 81

(439) (1612)

21 79

46 50

(340) (359)

(99) (1253)

649

1348

1997

100

(2051)

100

49

(698)

(1352)

FINAL

Table A-6

Existing Child Care Demand and Supply in 2015 in Daly CityColma

San Mateo Co unty Child Care Study - 2016

Note All footnote references can be found in Table C-1 at the end of this file

Sources 2010 US Census ABAG Projections 2013 2014 American Community Survey ACS Journey-to-Work data 2006-2008 and 2006-2010

Child Care Coordinating Council of San Mateo County (4Cs) Community Care Licensing Brion Economics Inc

Prepared by Brion Economics Inc 2513-SMC NA Final Tables 61216 6122016

EAST PALO ALTO

Child Care as of 2015

No of

Providers

Under 2 Years

Old

2 to 4 Year

Olds

Total 0 to 4

Years

EXISTING DEMAND Child Care Demand

Estimated Total Children

Average LFPRAdjustment Factor

Children With Working Parents

Licensed Care Demand Factor

Resident Children Needing Licensed Care

of Total Resident Children Needing Licensed Care

Children from Non-Resident Employees Needing

Licensed Care

(1)

(2)

(3)

1046 1667

71

741 1496

37

274 1392

26 84

18 27

2713

2237

75

1666

61

45

Total Demand for Child Care Spaces

Distribution

EXISTING SUPPLY (4)

292 1419

17 83

Child Care Spaces

1711

100

Family Child Care Home Supply

Child Care Center Supply

Current Child Care Supply

Distribution

EXISTING SURPLUS(SHORTAGE)

Distribution

Percentage of Demand Met

by Existing FacilitiesSpaces

Shortage of Family Child Care Home Spaces

Shortage of Center-Based Spaces

(5)

(6)

(6)

21

6

27

85 106

25 633

110 739

13 87

(182) (680)

21 79

38 52

(141) (98)

(42) (582)

191

658

849

100

(862)

100

50

(239)

(623)

FINAL

Table A-7

Existing Child Care Demand and Supply in 2015 in East Palo Alto

San Mateo County Child Care Study - 2016

Note All footnote references can be found in Table C-1 at the end of this file Sources 2010 US Census ABAG Projections 2013 2014 American Community Survey ACS Journey-to-Work data 2006-2008 and 2006-2010

Child Care Coordinating Council of San Mateo County (4Cs) Community Care Licensing Brion Economics Inc

Prepared by Brion Economics Inc 2513-SMC NA Final Tables 61216 6122016

FOSTER CITY

Child Care as of 2015

No of

Providers

Under 2 Years

Old

2 to 4 Year

Olds

Total 0 to 4

Years

EXISTING DEMAND Child Care Demand

Estimated Total Children

Average LFPRAdjustment Factor

Children With Working Parents

Licensed Care Demand Factor

Resident Children Needing Licensed Care

of Total Resident Children Needing Licensed Care

Children from Non-Resident Employees Needing

Licensed Care

(1)

(2)

(3)

836 1277

63

528 1108

37

195 1035

23 81

73 110

2113

1636

75

1231

58

183

Total Demand for Child Care Spaces

Distribution

EXISTING SUPPLY (4)

268 1145

19 81

Child Care Spaces

1414

100

Family Child Care Home Supply

Child Care Center Supply

Current Child Care Supply

Distribution

EXISTING SURPLUS(SHORTAGE)

Distribution

Percentage of Demand Met

by Existing FacilitiesSpaces

Shortage of Family Child Care Home Spaces

Shortage of Center-Based Spaces

(5)

(6)

(6)

29

12

41

118 149

88 1200

206 1349

13 87

(62) 203

NA NA

77 118

(36) NA

(27) NA

267

1288

1555

100

141

NA

110

(36)

(27)

FINAL

Table A-8

Existing Child Care Demand and Supply in 2015 in Foster City

San Mateo County Child Care Study - 2016

Note All footnote references can be found in Table C-1 at the end of this file

Sources 2010 US Census ABAG Projections 2013 2014 American Community Survey ACS Journey-to-Work data 2006-2008 and 2006-2010

Child Care Coordinating Council of San Mateo County (4Cs) Community Care Licensing Brion Economics Inc

Prepared by Brion Economics Inc 2513-SMC NA Final Tables 61216 6122016

HALF MOON BAY REGION

Child Care as of 2015

No of

Providers

Under 2 Years

Old

2 to 4 Year

Olds

Total 0 to 4

Years

EXISTING DEMAND Child Care Demand

Estimated Total Children

Average LFPRAdjustment Factor

Children With Working Parents

Licensed Care Demand Factor

Resident Children Needing Licensed Care

of Total Resident Children Needing Licensed Care

Children from Non-Resident Employees Needing

Licensed Care

(1)

(2)

(3)

511 860

69

354 772

37

131 723

26 84

13 19

1371

1126

76

854

62

32

Total Demand for Child Care Spaces

Distribution

EXISTING SUPPLY (4)

144 742

16 84

Child Care Spaces

885

100

Family Child Care Home Supply

Child Care Center Supply

Current Child Care Supply

Distribution

EXISTING SURPLUS(SHORTAGE)

Distribution

Percentage of Demand Met

by Existing FacilitiesSpaces

Shortage of Family Child Care Home Spaces

Shortage of Center-Based Spaces

(5)

(6)

(6)

28

11

39

96 121

35 285

131 406

24 76

(13) (336)

4 96

91 55

(9) (100)

(3) (236)

216

320

536

100

(349)

100

61

(109)

(240)

FINAL

Table A-9

Existing Child Care Demand and Supply in 2015 in Half Moon Bay Region

San Mateo County Child Care Study - 2016

Note All footnote references can be found in Table C-1 at the end of this file

Sources 2010 US Census ABAG Projections 2013 2014 American Community Survey ACS Journey-to-Work data 2006-2008 and 2006-2010

Child Care Coordinating Council of San Mateo County (4Cs) Community Care Licensing Brion Economics Inc

Prepared by Brion Economics Inc 2513-SMC NA Final Tables 61216 6122016

HILLSBOROUGH

Child Care as of 2015

No of

Providers

Under 2 Years

Old

2 to 4 Year

Olds

Total 0 to 4

Years

EXISTING DEMAND Child Care Demand

Estimated Total Children

Average LFPRAdjustment Factor

Children With Working Parents

Licensed Care Demand Factor

Resident Children Needing Licensed Care

of Total Resident Children Needing Licensed Care

Children from Non-Resident Employees Needing

Licensed Care

(1)

(2)

(3)

138 331

52

71 284

37

26 272

19 82

7 10

469

356

84

298

64

16

Total Demand for Child Care Spaces

Distribution

EXISTING SUPPLY (4)

33 282

10 90

Child Care Spaces

315

100

Family Child Care Home Supply

Child Care Center Supply

Current Child Care Supply

Distribution

EXISTING SURPLUS(SHORTAGE)

Distribution

Percentage of Demand Met

by Existing FacilitiesSpaces

Shortage of Family Child Care Home Spaces

Shortage of Center-Based Spaces

(5)

(6)

(6)

1

4

5

5 6

- 91

5 97

5 95

(28) (185)

13 87

15 34

(28) (12)

0 (173)

11

91

102

100

(213)

100

32

(40)

(173)

FINAL

Table A-10

Existing Child Care Demand and Supply in 2015 in Hillsborough

San Mateo County Child Care Study - 2016

Note All footnote references can be found in Table C-1 at the end of this file Sources 2010 US Census ABAG Projections 2013 2014 American Community Survey ACS Journey-to-Work data 2006-2008 and 2006-2010

Child Care Coordinating Council of San Mateo County (4Cs) Community Care Licensing Brion Economics Inc

Prepared by Brion Economics Inc 2513-SMC NA Final Tables 61216 6122016

MENLO PARK

Child Care as of 2015

No of

Providers

Under 2 Years

Old

2 to 4 Year

Olds

Total 0 to 4

Years

EXISTING DEMAND Child Care Demand

Estimated Total Children

Average LFPRAdjustment Factor

Children With Working Parents

Licensed Care Demand Factor

Resident Children Needing Licensed Care

of Total Resident Children Needing Licensed Care

Children from Non-Resident Employees Needing

Licensed Care

(1)

(2)

(3)

1170 1723

69

802 1551

37

297 1458

25 85

220 332

2893

2353

75

1754

61

552

Total Demand for Child Care Spaces

Distribution

EXISTING SUPPLY (4)

516 1790

22 78

Child Care Spaces

2306

100

Family Child Care Home Supply

Child Care Center Supply

Current Child Care Supply

Distribution

EXISTING SURPLUS(SHORTAGE)

Distribution

Percentage of Demand Met

by Existing FacilitiesSpaces

Shortage of Family Child Care Home Spaces

Shortage of Center-Based Spaces

(5)

(6)

(6)

18

25

43

76 96

73 1331

149 1427

9 91

(367) (363)

50 50

29 80

(188) (24)

(180) (338)

172

1404

1576

100

(730)

100

68

(212)

(518)

FINAL

Table A-11

Existing Child Care Demand and Supply in 2015 in Menlo Park

San Mateo County Child Care Study - 2016

Note All footnote references can be found in Table C-1 at the end of this file Sources 2010 US Census ABAG Projections 2013 2014 American Community Survey ACS Journey-to-Work data 2006-2008 and 2006-2010

Child Care Coordinating Council of San Mateo County (4Cs) Community Care Licensing Brion Economics Inc

Prepared by Brion Economics Inc 2513-SMC NA Final Tables 61216 6122016

MILLBRAE

Child Care as of 2015

No of

Providers

Under 2 Years

Old

2 to 4 Year

Olds

Total 0 to 4

Years

EXISTING DEMAND Child Care Demand

Total Children

Average LFPRAdjustment Factor

Children With Working Parents

Licensed Care Demand Factor

Resident Children Needing Licensed Care

of Total Resident Children Needing Licensed Care

Children from Non-Resident Employees Needing

Licensed Care

(1)

(2)

(3)

421 717

62

260 632

37

96 598

23 83

28 42

1138

892

78

694

61

69

Total Demand for Child Care Spaces

Distribution

EXISTING SUPPLY (4)

124 640

16 84

Child Care Spaces

764

100

Family Child Care Home Supply

Child Care Center Supply

Current Child Care Supply

Distribution

EXISTING SURPLUS(SHORTAGE)

Distribution

Percentage of Demand Met

by Existing FacilitiesSpaces

Shortage of Family Child Care Home Spaces

Shortage of Center-Based Spaces

(5)

(6)

(6)

17

7

24

62 78

- 376

62 454

12 88

(61) (186)

25 75

50 71

(61) (32)

0 (154)

141

376

517

100

(247)

100

68

(93)

(154)

FINAL

Table A-12

Existing Child Care Demand and Supply in 2015 in Millbrae

San Mateo Co unty Child Care Study - 2016

Note All footnote references can be found in Table C-1 at the end of this file

Sources 2010 US Census ABAG Projections 2013 2014 American Community Survey ACS Journey-to-Work data 2006-2008 and 2006-2010

Child Care Coordinating Council of San Mateo County (4Cs) Community Care Licensing Brion Economics Inc

Prepared by Brion Economics Inc 2513-SMC NA Final Tables 61216 6122016

PACIFICA

Child Care as of 2015

No of

Providers

Under 2 Years

Old

2 to 4 Year

Olds

Total 0 to 4

Years

EXISTING DEMAND Child Care Demand

Estimated Total Children

Average LFPRAdjustment Factor

Children With Working Parents

Licensed Care Demand Factor

Resident Children Needing Licensed Care

of Total Resident Children Needing Licensed Care

Children from Non-Resident Employees Needing

Licensed Care

(1)

(2)

(3)

787 1253

78

610 1165

37

226 1089

29 87

18 27

2040

1776

74

1315

64

45

Total Demand for Child Care Spaces

Distribution

EXISTING SUPPLY (4)

244 1117

18 83

Child Care Spaces

1360

100

Family Child Care Home Supply

Child Care Center Supply

Current Child Care Supply

Distribution

EXISTING SURPLUS(SHORTAGE)

Distribution

Percentage of Demand Met

by Existing FacilitiesSpaces

Shortage of Family Child Care Home Spaces

Shortage of Center-Based Spaces

(5)

(6)

(6)

21

18

39

77 97

39 701

116 798

13 87

(128) (319)

29 71

48 71

(85) (39)

(43) (280)

174

740

914

100

(447)

100

67

(124)

(323)

FINAL

Table A-13

Existing Child Care Demand and Supply in 2015 in Pacifica

San Mateo County Child Care Study - 2016

Note All footnote references can be found in Table C-1 at the end of this file Sources 2010 US Census ABAG Projections 2013 2014 American Community Survey ACS Journey-to-Work data 2006-2008 and 2006-2010

Child Care Coordinating Council of San Mateo County (4Cs) Community Care Licensing Brion Economics Inc

Prepared by Brion Economics Inc 2513-SMC NA Final Tables 61216 6122016

PORTOLA VALLEY

No of

Providers

Child Care as of 2015

Under 2 Years

Old

2 to 4 Year

Olds

Total 0 to 4

Years

EXISTING DEMAND Child Care Demand

Estimated Total Children

Average LFPRAdjustment Factor

Children With Working Parents

Licensed Care Demand Factor

Resident Children Needing Licensed Care

of Total Resident Children Needing Licensed Care

Children from Non-Resident Employees Needing

Licensed Care

(1)

(2)

(3)

75 187

66

49 168

37

18 159

24 85

8 12

261

217

82

177

68

21

Total Demand for Child Care Spaces

Distribution

EXISTING SUPPLY (4)

26 171

13 87

Child Care Spaces

198

100

Family Child Care Home Supply

Child Care Center Supply

Current Child Care Supply

Distribution

EXISTING SURPLUS(SHORTAGE)

Distribution

Percentage of Demand Met

by Existing FacilitiesSpaces

Shortage of Family Child Care Home Spaces

Shortage of Center-Based Spaces

(5)

(6)

(6)

0

4

4

0 0

0 153

0 153

0 100

(26) (18)

59 41

0 89

0 0

(26) (18)

0

153

153

100

(45)

100

77

0

(45)

FINAL

Table A-14

Existing Child Care Demand and Supply in 2015 in Portola Valley

San Mateo County Child Care Study - 2016

Note All footnote references can be found in Table C-1 at the end of this file Sources 2010 US Census ABAG Projections 2013 2014 American Community Survey ACS Journey-to-Work data 2006-2008 and 2006-2010

Child Care Coordinating Council of San Mateo County (4Cs) Community Care Licensing Brion Economics Inc

Prepared by Brion Economics Inc 2513-SMC NA Final Tables 61216 6122016

REDWOOD CITY

Child Care as of 2015

No of

Providers

Under 2 Years

Old

2 to 4 Year

Olds

Total 0 to 4

Years

EXISTING DEMAND Child Care Demand

Estimated Total Children

Average LFPRAdjustment Factor

Children With Working Parents

Licensed Care Demand Factor

Resident Children Needing Licensed Care

of Total Resident Children Needing Licensed Care

Children from Non-Resident Employees Needing

Licensed Care

Total Demand for Child Care Spaces

Distribution

EXISTING SUPPLY

(1)

(2)

(3)

(4)

3260 4706

69

2236 4212

37

827 3942

25 84

414 625

1241 4567

21 79

Child Care Spaces

7966

6449

74

4770

60

1038

5808

100

Family Child Care Home Supply

Child Care Center Supply

Current Child Care Supply

Distribution

EXISTING SURPLUS(SHORTAGE)

Distribution

Percentage of Demand Met

by Existing FacilitiesSpaces

Shortage of Family Child Care Home Spaces

Shortage of Center-Based Spaces

(5)

(6)

(6)

111

45

156

396 497

356 2036

752 2533

23 77

(490) (2034)

19 81

61 55

(258) (399)

(232) (1635)

893

2392

3285

100

(2524)

100

57

(657)

(1867)

FINAL

Table A-15

Existing Child Care Demand and Supply in 2015 in Redwood City

San Mateo County Child Care Study - 2016

Note All footnote references can be found in Table C-1 at the end of this file Sources 2010 US Census ABAG Projections 2013 2014 American Community Survey ACS Journey-to-Work data 2006-2008 and 2006-2010

Child Care Coordinating Council of San Mateo County (4Cs) Community Care Licensing Brion Economics Inc

Prepared by Brion Economics Inc 2513-SMC NA Final Tables 61216 6122016

SAN BRUNO

Child Care as of 2015

No of

Providers

Under 2 Years

Old

2 to 4 Year

Olds

Total 0 to 4

Years

EXISTING DEMAND Child Care Demand

Estimated Total Children

Average LFPRAdjustment Factor

Children With Working Parents

Licensed Care Demand Factor

Resident Children Needing Licensed Care

of Total Resident Children Needing Licensed Care

Children from Non-Resident Employees Needing

Licensed Care

(1)

(2)

(3)

1069 1553

77

817 1428

37

302 1326

28 85

61 92

2622

2245

73

1628

62

153

Total Demand for Child Care Spaces

Distribution

EXISTING SUPPLY (4)

364 1418

20 80

Child Care Spaces

1782

100

Family Child Care Home Supply

Child Care Center Supply

Current Child Care Supply

Distribution

EXISTING SURPLUS(SHORTAGE)

Distribution

Percentage of Demand Met

by Existing FacilitiesSpaces

Shortage of Family Child Care Home Spaces

Shortage of Center-Based Spaces

(5)

(6)

(6)

34

15

49

122 153

26 1183

148 1336

10 90

(216) (82)

72 28

41 94

(178) (9)

(38) (73)

275

1209

1484

100

(298)

100

83

(187)

(110)

FINAL

Table A-16

Existing Child Care Demand and Supply in 2015 in San Bruno

San Mateo County Child Care Study - 2016

Note All footnote references can be found in Table C-1 at the end of this file Sources 2010 US Census ABAG Projections 2013 2014 American Community Survey ACS Journey-to-Work data 2006-2008 and 2006-2010

Child Care Coordinating Council of San Mateo County (4Cs) Community Care Licensing Brion Economics Inc

Prepared by Brion Economics Inc 2513-SMC NA Final Tables 61216 6122016

SAN CARLOS

Child Care as of 2015

No of

Providers

Under 2 Years

Old

2 to 4 Year

Olds

Total 0 to 4

Years

EXISTING DEMAND Child Care Demand

Estimated Total Children

Average LFPRAdjustment Factor

Children With Working Parents

Licensed Care Demand Factor

Resident Children Needing Licensed Care

of Total Resident Children Needing Licensed Care

Children from Non-Resident Employees Needing

Licensed Care

(1)

(2)

(3)

735 1308

72

526 1186

37

195 1109

26 85

75 114

2043

1712

76

1304

64

189

Total Demand for Child Care Spaces

Distribution

EXISTING SUPPLY (4)

270 1222

18 82

Child Care Spaces

1492

100

Family Child Care Home Supply

Child Care Center Supply

Current Child Care Supply

Distribution

EXISTING SURPLUS(SHORTAGE)

Distribution

Percentage of Demand Met

by Existing FacilitiesSpaces

Shortage of Family Child Care Home Spaces

Shortage of Center-Based Spaces

(5)

(6)

(6)

20

14

34

73 92

76 615

149 707

17 83

(121) (516)

19 81

55 58

(59) (67)

(62) (449)

164

691

855

100

(637)

100

57

(126)

(511)

FINAL

Table A-17

Existing Child Care Demand and Supply in 2015 in San Carlos

San Mateo County Child Care Study - 2016

Note All footnote references can be found in Table C-1 at the end of this file

Sources 2010 US Census ABAG Projections 2013 2014 American Community Survey ACS Journey-to-Work data 2006-2008 and 2006-2010

Child Care Coordinating Council of San Mateo County (4Cs) Community Care Licensing Brion Economics Inc

Prepared by Brion Economics Inc 2513-SMC NA Final Tables 61216 6122016

SAN MATEO

Child Care as of 2015

No of

Providers

Under 2 Years

Old

2 to 4 Year

Olds

Total 0 to 4

Years

EXISTING DEMAND Child Care Demand

Estimated Total Children

Average LFPRAdjustment Factor

Children With Working Parents

Licensed Care Demand Factor

Resident Children Needing Licensed Care

of Total Resident Children Needing Licensed Care

Children from Non-Resident Employees Needing

Licensed Care

(1)

(2)

(3)

2943 4213

71

2087 3793

37

772 3537

26 84

231 348

7156

5880

73

4309

60

579

Total Demand for Child Care Spaces

Distribution

EXISTING SUPPLY (4)

1003 3886

21 79

Child Care Spaces

4889

100

Family Child Care Home Supply

Child Care Center Supply

Current Child Care Supply

Distribution

EXISTING SURPLUS(SHORTAGE)

Distribution

Percentage of Demand Met

by Existing FacilitiesSpaces

Shortage of Family Child Care Home Spaces

Shortage of Center-Based Spaces

(5)

(6)

(6)

126

59

185

492 619

209 2577

701 3196

18 82

(302) (690)

30 70

70 82

(212) (134)

(90) (557)

1111

2786

3897

100

(992)

100

80

(345)

(647)

FINAL

Table A-18

Existing Child Care Demand and Supply in 2015 in San Mateo

San Mateo County Child Care Study - 2016

Note All footnote references can be found in Table C-1 at the end of this file

Sources 2010 US Census ABAG Projections 2013 2014 American Community Survey ACS Journey-to-Work data 2006-2008 and 2006-2010

Child Care Coordinating Council of San Mateo County (4Cs) Community Care Licensing Brion Economics Inc

Prepared by Brion Economics Inc 2513-SMC NA Final Tables 61216 6122016

SOUTH COAST

Child Care as of 2015

No of

Providers

Under 2 Years

Old

2 to 4 Year

Olds

Total 0 to 4

Years

EXISTING DEMAND Child Care Demand

Estimated Total Children

Average LFPRAdjustment Factor

Children With Working Parents

Licensed Care Demand Factor

Resident Children Needing Licensed Care

of Total Resident Children Needing Licensed Care

Children from Non-Resident Employees Needing

Licensed Care

(1)

(2)

(3)

21 29

54

11 25

37

4 23

20 81

0 0

50

36

77

28

56

0

Total Demand for Child Care Spaces

Distribution

EXISTING SUPPLY (4)

4 23

15 85

Child Care Spaces

28

100

Family Child Care Home Supply

Child Care Center Supply

Current Child Care Supply

Distribution

EXISTING SURPLUS(SHORTAGE)

Distribution

Percentage of Demand Met

by Existing FacilitiesSpaces

Shortage of Family Child Care Home Spaces

Shortage of Center-Based Spaces

(5)

(6)

(6)

-

2

2

- -

- 54

- 54

0 100

(4) 31

-16 116

0 230

(2) NA

(2) NA

0

54

54

100

26

100

195

(2)

(2)

FINAL

Table A-19

Existing Child Care Demand and Supply in 2015 in South Coast

San Mateo County Child Care Study - 2016

Note All footnote references can be found in Table C-1 at the end of this file

Sources 2010 US Census ABAG Projections 2013 2014 American Community Survey ACS Journey-to-Work data 2006-2008 and 2006-2010

Child Care Coordinating Council of San Mateo County (4Cs) Community Care Licensing Brion Economics Inc

Prepared by Brion Economics Inc 2513-SMC NA Final Tables 61216 6122016

SOUTH SAN FRANCISCO

Child Care as of 2015

No of

Providers

Under 2 Years

Old

2 to 4 Year

Olds

Total 0 to 4

Years

EXISTING DEMAND Child Care Demand

Estimated Total Children

Average LFPRAdjustment Factor

Children With Working Parents

Licensed Care Demand Factor

Resident Children Needing Licensed Care

of Total Resident Children Needing Licensed Care

Children from Non-Resident Employees Needing

Licensed Care

(1)

(2)

(3)

1649 2507

73

1206 2278

37

446 2123

27 85

309 466

4156

3484

74

2569

62

774

Total Demand for Child Care Spaces

Distribution

EXISTING SUPPLY (4)

755 2588

23 77

Child Care Spaces

3343

100

Family Child Care Home Supply

Child Care Center Supply

Current Child Care Supply

Distribution

EXISTING SURPLUS(SHORTAGE)

Distribution

Percentage of Demand Met

by Existing FacilitiesSpaces

Shortage of Family Child Care Home Spaces

Shortage of Center-Based Spaces

(5)

(6)

(6)

68

27

95

252 317

400 1966

652 2283

22 78

(103) (306)

25 75

86 88

(40) (42)

(63) (263)

569

2366

2935

100

(408)

100

88

(82)

(326)

FINAL

Table A-20

Existing Child Care Demand and Supply in 2015 in South San Francisco

San Mateo County Child Care Study - 2016

Note All footnote references can be found in Table C-1 at the end of this file Sources 2010 US Census ABAG Projections 2013 2014 American Community Survey ACS Journey-to-Work data 2006-2008 and 2006-2010

Child Care Coordinating Council of San Mateo County (4Cs) Community Care Licensing Brion Economics Inc

Prepared by Brion Economics Inc 2513-SMC NA Final Tables 61216 6122016

WOODSIDE

No of

Providers

Child Care as of 2015

Under 2 Years

Old

2 to 4 Year

Olds

Total 0 to 4

Years

EXISTING DEMAND Child Care Demand

Estimated Total Children

Average LFPRAdjustment Factor

Children With Working Parents

Licensed Care Demand Factor

Resident Children Needing Licensed Care

of Total Resident Children Needing Licensed Care

Children from Non-Resident Employees Needing

Licensed Care

(1)

(2)

(3)

90 160

56

50 136

37

18 128

21 80

8 13

250

186

79

147

59

21

Total Demand for Child Care Spaces

Distribution

EXISTING SUPPLY (4)

27 141

16 84

Child Care Spaces

168

100

Family Child Care Home Supply

Child Care Center Supply

Current Child Care Supply

Distribution

EXISTING SURPLUS(SHORTAGE)

Distribution

Percentage of Demand Met

by Existing FacilitiesSpaces

Shortage of Family Child Care Home Spaces

Shortage of Center-Based Spaces

(5)

(6)

(6)

1

2

3

4 5

0 103

4 108

4 96

(23) (33)

41 59

16 77

(23) (2)

0 (31)

9

103

112

100

(55)

100

67

(24)

(31)

FINAL

Table A-21

Existing Child Care Demand and Supply in 2015 in Woodside

San Mateo County Child Care Study - 2016

Note All footnote references can be found in Table C-1 at the end of this file Sources 2010 US Census ABAG Projections 2013 2014 American Community Survey ACS Journey-to-Work data 2006-2008 and 2006-2010

Child Care Coordinating Council of San Mateo County (4Cs) Community Care Licensing Brion Economics Inc

Prepared by Brion Economics Inc 2513-SMC NA Final Tables 61216 6122016

COUNTYWIDE

Child Care as of 2025

No of

Providers

Under 2 Years

Old

2 to 4 Year

Olds

Total 0 to 4

Years

EXISTING DEMAND Child Care Demand

Estimated Total Children

Average LFPRAdjustment Factor

Children With Working Parents

Licensed Care Demand Factor

Resident Children Needing Licensed Care

of Total Resident Children Needing Licensed Care

Children from Non-Resident Employees Needing

Licensed Care

Total Demand for Child Care Spaces

Distribution

EXISTING SUPPLY

(1)

(2)

(3)

(4)

20790 31340

71

14704 28273

37

5441 26432

26 84

2037 3074

7478 29506

20 80

Child Care Spaces

52130

42978

86

31873

61

5112

36984

100

Family Child Care Home Supply

Child Care Center Supply

Current Child Care Supply

Distribution

EXISTING SURPLUS(SHORTAGE)

Distribution

Percentage of Demand Met

by Existing FacilitiesSpaces

Shortage of Family Child Care Home Spaces

Shortage of Center-Based Spaces

(5)

(6)

(6)

621

309

930

2301 2893

1514 16296

3815 19189

17 83

(3663) (10318)

26 74

51 65

(2209) (1555)

(1454) (8762)

5193

17810

23003

100

(13981)

100

62

(3765)

(10216)

FINAL

Table B-1

Future C hild Care Demand and Supply in 2025 Countywide

San Mateo County Child Care Study - 2016

Note All footnote references can be found in Table C-1 at the end of this file

Sources 2010 US Census ABAG Projections 2013 2014 American Community Survey ACS Journey-to-Work data 2006-2008 and 2006-2010

Child Care Coordinating Council of San Mateo County (4Cs) Community Care Licensing Brion Economics Inc

Prepared by Brion Economics Inc 2513-SMC NA Final Tables 61216 6122016

ATHERTON

No of

Providers

Child Care as of 2025

Under 2 Years

Old

2 to 4 Year

Olds

Total 0 to 4

Years

EXISTING DEMAND Child Care Demand

Estimated Total Children

Average LFPRAdjustment Factor

Children With Working Parents

Licensed Care Demand Factor

Resident Children Needing Licensed Care

of Total Resident Children Needing Licensed Care

Children from Non-Resident Employees Needing

Licensed Care

(1)

(2)

(3)

109 193

40

43 159

37

16 154

15 80

13 19

302

202

84

170

56

32

Total Demand for Child Care Spaces

Distribution

EXISTING SUPPLY (4)

29 173

14 86

Child Care Spaces

201

100

Family Child Care Home Supply

Child Care Center Supply

Current Child Care Supply

Distribution

EXISTING SURPLUS(SHORTAGE)

Distribution

Percentage of Demand Met

by Existing FacilitiesSpaces

Shortage of Family Child Care Home Spaces

Shortage of Center-Based Spaces

(5)

(6)

(6)

1

6

7

5 6

24 267

29 273

10 90

0 101

0 100

101 158

NA NA

NA NA

11

291

302

100

101

100

150

NA

NA

FINAL

Table B-2

Future Child Care Demand and Supply in 2025 in Atherton

San Mateo Co unty Child Care Study - 2016

Note All footnote references can be found in Table C-1 at the end of this file Sources 2010 US Census ABAG Projections 2013 2014 American Community Survey ACS Journey-to-Work data 2006-2008 and 2006-2010

Child Care Coordinating Council of San Mateo County (4Cs) Community Care Licensing Brion Economics Inc

Prepared by Brion Economics Inc 2513-SMC NA Final Tables 61216 6122016

BELMONT

Child Care as of 2025

No of

Providers

Under 2 Years

Old

2 to 4 Year

Olds

Total 0 to 4

Years

EXISTING DEMAND Child Care Demand

Estimated Total Children

Average LFPRAdjustment Factor

Children With Working Parents

Licensed Care Demand Factor

Resident Children Needing Licensed Care

of Total Resident Children Needing Licensed Care

Children from Non-Resident Employees Needing

Licensed Care

(1)

(2)

(3)

743 1095

77

574 1013

37

213 943

29 86

37 56

1838

1587

73

1156

63

93

Total Demand for Child Care Spaces

Distribution

EXISTING SUPPLY (4)

250 999

20 80

Child Care Spaces

1249

100

Family Child Care Home Supply

Child Care Center Supply

Current Child Care Supply

Distribution

EXISTING SURPLUS(SHORTAGE)

Distribution

Percentage of Demand Met

by Existing FacilitiesSpaces

Shortage of Family Child Care Home Spaces

Shortage of Center-Based Spaces

(5)

(6)

(6)

8

9

17

67 84

39 531

106 615

15 85

(143) (384)

27 73

43 62

(91) (53)

(53) (331)

152

570

722

100

(527)

100

58

(143)

(384)

FINAL

Table B-3

Future Child Care Demand and Supply in 2025 in Belmont

San Mateo County Child Care Study - 2016

Note All footnote references can be found in Table C-1 at the end of this file

Sources 2010 US Census ABAG Projections 2013 2014 American Community Survey ACS Journey-to-Work data 2006-2008 and 2006-2010

Child Care Coordinating Council of San Mateo County (4Cs) Community Care Licensing Brion Economics Inc

Prepared by Brion Economics Inc 2513-SMC NA Final Tables 61216 6122016

BRISBANE

Child Care as of 2025

No of

Providers

Under 2 Years

Old

2 to 4 Year

Olds

Total 0 to 4

Years

EXISTING DEMAND Child Care Demand

Estimated Total Children

Average LFPRAdjustment Factor

Children With Working Parents

Licensed Care Demand Factor

Resident Children Needing Licensed Care

of Total Resident Children Needing Licensed Care

Children from Non-Resident Employees Needing

Licensed Care

(1)

(2)

(3)

131 174

100

131 174

37

48 160

37 92

55 83

305

305

68

209

68

138

Total Demand for Child Care Spaces

Distribution

EXISTING SUPPLY (4)

103 243

30 70

Child Care Spaces

346

100

Family Child Care Home Supply

Child Care Center Supply

Current Child Care Supply

Distribution

EXISTING SURPLUS(SHORTAGE)

Distribution

Percentage of Demand Met

by Existing FacilitiesSpaces

Shortage of Family Child Care Home Spaces

Shortage of Center-Based Spaces

(5)

(6)

(6)

1

1

2

4 5

0 64

4 69

6 94

(99) (174)

36 64

4 29

(99) (13)

0 (160)

9

64

73

100

(273)

100

21

(112)

(160)

FINAL

Table B-4

Future Child Care Demand and Supply in 2025 in Brisbane

San Mateo County Child Care Study - 2016

Note All footnote references can be found in Table C-1 at the end of this file Sources 2010 US Census ABAG Projections 2013 2014 American Community Survey ACS Journey-to-Work data 2006-2008 and 2006-2010

Child Care Coordinating Council of San Mateo County (4Cs) Community Care Licensing Brion Economics Inc

Prepared by Brion Economics Inc 2513-SMC NA Final Tables 61216 6122016

BURLINGAME

Child Care as of 2025

No of

Providers

Under 2 Years

Old

2 to 4 Year

Olds

Total 0 to 4

Years

EXISTING DEMAND Child Care Demand

Estimated Total Children

Average LFPRAdjustment Factor

Children With Working Parents

Licensed Care Demand Factor

Resident Children Needing Licensed Care

of Total Resident Children Needing Licensed Care

Children from Non-Resident Employees Needing

Licensed Care

(1)

(2)

(3)

903 1332

65

587 1190

37

217 1124

24 84

154 232

2235

1777

75

1341

60

385

Total Demand for Child Care Spaces

Distribution

EXISTING SUPPLY (4)

371 1356

21 79

Child Care Spaces

1726

100

Family Child Care Home Supply

Child Care Center Supply

Current Child Care Supply

Distribution

EXISTING SURPLUS(SHORTAGE)

Distribution

Percentage of Demand Met

by Existing FacilitiesSpaces

Shortage of Family Child Care Home Spaces

Shortage of Center-Based Spaces

(5)

(6)

(6)

10

14

24

79 99

40 866

119 965

11 89

(252) (390)

39 61

32 71

(167) (40)

(85) (350)

179

906

1085

100

(642)

100

63

(207)

(434)

FINAL

Table B-5

Future Child Care Demand and Supply in 2025 in Burlingame

San Mateo County Child Care Study - 2016

Note All footnote references can be found in Table C-1 at the end of this file

Sources 2010 US Census ABAG Projections 2013 2014 American Community Survey ACS Journey-to-Work data 2006-2008 and 2006-2010

Child Care Coordinating Council of San Mateo County (4Cs) Community Care Licensing Brion Economics Inc

Prepared by Brion Economics Inc 2513-SMC NA Final Tables 61216 6122016

DALY CITYCOLMA

Child Care as of 2025

No of

Providers

Under 2 Years

Old

2 to 4 Year

Olds

Total 0 to 4

Years

EXISTING DEMAND Child Care Demand

Estimated Total Children

Average LFPRAdjustment Factor

Children With Working Parents

Licensed Care Demand Factor

Resident Children Needing Licensed Care

of Total Resident Children Needing Licensed Care

Children from Non-Resident Employees Needing

Licensed Care

(1)

(2)

(3)

2647 3793

74

1964 3467

37

727 3233

27 85

138 208

6440

5432

73

3960

61

346

Total Demand for Child Care Spaces

Distribution

EXISTING SUPPLY (4)

865 3441

20 80

Child Care Spaces

4306

100

Family Child Care Home Supply

Child Care Center Supply

Current Child Care Supply

Distribution

EXISTING SURPLUS(SHORTAGE)

Distribution

Percentage of Demand Met

by Existing FacilitiesSpaces

Shortage of Family Child Care Home Spaces

Shortage of Center-Based Spaces

(5)

(6)

(6)

25

28

28

288 362

84 1264

372 1626

19 81

(493) (1816)

21 79

43 47

(381) (404)

(111) (1412)

649

1348

1997

100

(2308)

100

46

(785)

(1523)

FINAL

Table B-6

Future C hild Care Demand and Supply in 2025 in Daly CityColma

San Mateo County Child Care Study - 2016

Note All footnote references can be found in Table C-1 at the end of this file

Sources 2010 US Census ABAG Projections 2013 2014 American Community Survey ACS Journey-to-Work data 2006-2008 and 2006-2010

Child Care Coordinating Council of San Mateo County (4Cs) Community Care Licensing Brion Economics Inc

Prepared by Brion Economics Inc 2513-SMC NA Final Tables 61216 6122016

EAST PALO ALTO

Child Care as of 2025

No of

Providers

Under 2 Years

Old

2 to 4 Year

Olds

Total 0 to 4

Years

EXISTING DEMAND Child Care Demand

Estimated Total Children

Average LFPRAdjustment Factor

Children With Working Parents

Licensed Care Demand Factor

Resident Children Needing Licensed Care

of Total Resident Children Needing Licensed Care

Children from Non-Resident Employees Needing

Licensed Care

(1)

(2)

(3)

1161 1849

71

822 1660

37

304 1545

26 84

20 30

3010

2482

75

1849

61

50

Total Demand for Child Care Spaces

Distribution

EXISTING SUPPLY (4)

324 1575

17 83

Child Care Spaces

1900

100

Family Child Care Home Supply

Child Care Center Supply

Current Child Care Supply

Distribution

EXISTING SURPLUS(SHORTAGE)

Distribution

Percentage of Demand Met

by Existing FacilitiesSpaces

Shortage of Family Child Care Home Spaces

Shortage of Center-Based Spaces

(5)

(6)

(6)

13

6

19

85 106

25 633

110 739

13 87

(215) (836)

20 80

34 47

(166) (120)

(49) (715)

191

658

849

100

(1050)

100

45

(286)

(764)

FINAL

Table B-7

Future Child Care Demand and Supply in 2025 in East Palo Alto

San Mateo County Child Care Study - 2016

Note All footnote references can be found in Table C-1 at the end of this file

Sources 2010 US Census ABAG Projections 2013 2014 American Community Survey ACS Journey-to-Work data 2006-2008 and 2006-2010

Child Care Coordinating Council of San Mateo County (4Cs) Community Care Licensing Brion Economics Inc

Prepared by Brion Economics Inc 2513-SMC NA Final Tables 61216 6122016

FOSTER CITY

Child Care as of 2025

No of

Providers

Under 2 Years

Old

2 to 4 Year

Olds

Total 0 to 4

Years

EXISTING DEMAND Child Care Demand

Estimated Total Children

Average LFPRAdjustment Factor

Children With Working Parents

Licensed Care Demand Factor

Resident Children Needing Licensed Care

of Total Resident Children Needing Licensed Care

Children from Non-Resident Employees Needing

Licensed Care

(1)

(2)

(3)

871 1330

63

550 1154

37

204 1079

23 81

80 120

2201

1705

75

1282

58

200

Total Demand for Child Care Spaces

Distribution

EXISTING SUPPLY (4)

283 1199

19 81

Child Care Spaces

1483

100

Family Child Care Home Supply

Child Care Center Supply

Current Child Care Supply

Distribution

EXISTING SURPLUS(SHORTAGE)

Distribution

Percentage of Demand Met

by Existing FacilitiesSpaces

Shortage of Family Child Care Home Spaces

Shortage of Center-Based Spaces

(5)

(6)

(6)

19

12

31

118 149

88 1200

206 1349

13 87

(77) 150

-106 206

73 112

(44) NA

(33) NA

267

1288

1555

100

73

100

105

(44)

(33)

FINAL

Table B-8

Future Child Care Demand and Supply in 2025 in Foster City

San Mateo County Child Care Study - 2016

Note All footnote references can be found in Table C-1 at the end of this file

Sources 2010 US Census ABAG Projections 2013 2014 American Community Survey ACS Journey-to-Work data 2006-2008 and 2006-2010

Child Care Coordinating Council of San Mateo County (4Cs) Community Care Licensing Brion Economics Inc

Prepared by Brion Economics Inc 2513-SMC NA Final Tables 61216 6122016

HALF MOON BAY REGION

Child Care as of 2025

No of

Providers

Under 2 Years

Old

2 to 4 Year

Olds

Total 0 to 4

Years

EXISTING DEMAND Child Care Demand

Estimated Total Children

Average LFPRAdjustment Factor

Children With Working Parents

Licensed Care Demand Factor

Resident Children Needing Licensed Care

of Total Resident Children Needing Licensed Care

Children from Non-Resident Employees Needing

Licensed Care

(1)

(2)

(3)

553 929

69

383 835

37

142 781

26 84

14 21

1482

1217

76

923

62

34

Total Demand for Child Care Spaces

Distribution

EXISTING SUPPLY (4)

155 802

16 84

Child Care Spaces

957

100

Family Child Care Home Supply

Child Care Center Supply

Current Child Care Supply

Distribution

EXISTING SURPLUS(SHORTAGE)

Distribution

Percentage of Demand Met

by Existing FacilitiesSpaces

Shortage of Family Child Care Home Spaces

Shortage of Center-Based Spaces

(5)

(6)

(6)

10

11

21

96 121

35 285

131 406

24 76

(24) (396)

6 94

84 51

(18) (118)

(6) (279)

216

320

536

100

(421)

100

56

(136)

(285)

FINAL

Table B-9

Future Child Care Demand and Supply in 2025 in Half Moon Bay Region

San Mateo County Child Care Study - 2016

Note All footnote references can be found in Table C-1 at the end of this file

Sources 2010 US Census ABAG Projections 2013 2014 American Community Survey ACS Journey-to-Work data 2006-2008 and 2006-2010

Child Care Coordinating Council of San Mateo County (4Cs) Community Care Licensing Brion Economics Inc

Prepared by Brion Economics Inc 2513-SMC NA Final Tables 61216 6122016

HILLSBOROUGH

Child Care as of 2025

No of

Providers

Under 2 Years

Old

2 to 4 Year

Olds

Total 0 to 4

Years

EXISTING DEMAND Child Care Demand

Estimated Total Children

Average LFPRAdjustment Factor

Children With Working Parents

Licensed Care Demand Factor

Resident Children Needing Licensed Care

of Total Resident Children Needing Licensed Care

Children from Non-Resident Employees Needing

Licensed Care

(1)

(2)

(3)

143 343

52

74 295

37

27 282

19 82

7 11

487

369

84

309

64

17

Total Demand for Child Care Spaces

Distribution

EXISTING SUPPLY (4)

34 292

10 90

Child Care Spaces

327

100

Family Child Care Home Supply

Child Care Center Supply

Current Child Care Supply

Distribution

EXISTING SURPLUS(SHORTAGE)

Distribution

Percentage of Demand Met

by Existing FacilitiesSpaces

Shortage of Family Child Care Home Spaces

Shortage of Center-Based Spaces

(5)

(6)

(6)

1

4

5

5 6

- 91

5 97

5 95

(29) (195)

13 87

14 33

(29) (12)

0 (183)

11

91

102

100

(225)

100

31

(42)

(183)

FINAL

Table B-10

Future Child Care Demand and Supply in 2025 in Hillsborough

San Mateo County Child Care Study - 2016

Note All footnote references can be found in Table C-1 at the end of this file

Sources 2010 US Census ABAG Projections 2013 2014 American Community Survey ACS Journey-to-Work data 2006-2008 and 2006-2010

Child Care Coordinating Council of San Mateo County (4Cs) Community Care Licensing Brion Economics Inc

Prepared by Brion Economics Inc 2513-SMC NA Final Tables 61216 6122016

MENLO PARK

Child Care as of 2025

No of

Providers

Under 2 Years

Old

2 to 4 Year

Olds

Total 0 to 4

Years

EXISTING DEMAND Child Care Demand

Estimated Total Children

Average LFPRAdjustment Factor

Children With Working Parents

Licensed Care Demand Factor

Resident Children Needing Licensed Care

of Total Resident Children Needing Licensed Care

Children from Non-Resident Employees Needing

Licensed Care

(1)

(2)

(3)

1327 1954

69

909 1759

37

336 1653

25 85

237 357

3281

2668

75

1989

61

594

Total Demand for Child Care Spaces

Distribution

EXISTING SUPPLY (4)

573 2011

22 78

Child Care Spaces

2584

100

Family Child Care Home Supply

Child Care Center Supply

Current Child Care Supply

Distribution

EXISTING SURPLUS(SHORTAGE)

Distribution

Percentage of Demand Met

by Existing FacilitiesSpaces

Shortage of Family Child Care Home Spaces

Shortage of Center-Based Spaces

(5)

(6)

(6)

15

25

40

76 96

73 1331

149 1427

9 91

(424) (584)

42 58

26 71

(217) (39)

(207) (544)

172

1404

1576

100

(1008)

100

61

(256)

(752)

FINAL

Table B-11

Future Child Care Demand and Supply in 2025 in Menlo Park

San Mateo County Child Care Study - 2016

Note All footnote references can be found in Table C-1 at the end of this file

Sources 2010 US Census ABAG Projections 2013 2014 American Community Survey ACS Journey-to-Work data 2006-2008 and 2006-2010

Child Care Coordinating Council of San Mateo County (4Cs) Community Care Licensing Brion Economics Inc

Prepared by Brion Economics Inc 2513-SMC NA Final Tables 61216 6122016

MILLBRAE

Child Care as of 2025

No of

Providers

Under 2 Years

Old

2 to 4 Year

Olds

Total 0 to 4

Years

EXISTING DEMAND Child Care Demand

Estimated Total Children

Average LFPRAdjustment Factor

Children With Working Parents

Licensed Care Demand Factor

Resident Children Needing Licensed Care

of Total Resident Children Needing Licensed Care

Children from Non-Resident Employees Needing

Licensed Care

(1)

(2)

(3)

473 805

62

291 710

37

108 672

23 83

31 47

1278

1001

78

780

61

77

Total Demand for Child Care Spaces

Distribution

EXISTING SUPPLY (4)

139 718

16 84

Child Care Spaces

857

100

Family Child Care Home Supply

Child Care Center Supply

Current Child Care Supply

Distribution

EXISTING SURPLUS(SHORTAGE)

Distribution

Percentage of Demand Met

by Existing FacilitiesSpaces

Shortage of Family Child Care Home Spaces

Shortage of Center-Based Spaces

(5)

(6)

(6)

7

7

14

62 78

- 376

62 454

12 88

(76) (264)

22 78

45 63

(76) (46)

0 (219)

141

376

517

100

(340)

100

60

(122)

(219)

FINAL

Table B-12

Future C hild Care Demand and Supply in 2025 in Millbrae

San Mateo County Child Care Study - 2016

Note All footnote references can be found in Table C-1 at the end of this file

Sources 2010 US Census ABAG Projections 2013 2014 American Community Survey ACS Journey-to-Work data 2006-2008 and 2006-2010

Child Care Coordinating Council of San Mateo County (4Cs) Community Care Licensing Brion Economics Inc

Prepared by Brion Economics Inc 2513-SMC NA Final Tables 61216 6122016

FINAL

Table B-13

Future Child Care Demand and Supply in 2025 in Pacifica

San Mateo County Child Care Study - 2016

PACIFICA

Child Care as of 2025

No of

Providers

Under 2 Years

Old

2 to 4 Year

Olds

Total 0 to 4

Years

EXISTING DEMAND Child Care Demand

Estimated Total Children

Average L FPRAdjustment Factor

Children With Working Parents

Licensed Care Demand Factor

Resident Children Needing Licensed Care

of Total Resident Children Needing Licensed Care

Children from Non-Resident Employees Needing

Licensed Care

(1)

(2)

(3)

816 1300

78

633 1209

37

234 1130

29 87

19 29

2116

1842

74

1364

64

48

Total Demand for Child Care Spaces

Distribution

EXISTING SUPPLY (4)

254 1159

18 82

Child Care Spaces

1413

100

Family Child Care Home Supply

Child Care Center Supply

Current Child Care Supply

Distribution

EXISTING SURPLUS(SHORTAGE)

Distribution

Percentage of Demand Met

by Existing FacilitiesSpaces

Shortage of Family Child Care Home Spaces

Shortage of Center-Based Spaces

(5)

(6)

(6)

9

18

27

77 97

39 701

116 798

13 87

(138) (361)

28 72

46 69

(91) (44)

(46) (317)

174

740

914

100

(499)

100

65

(135)

(364)

Note All footnote references can be found in Table C-1 at the end of this file

Sources 2010 US Census ABAG Projections 2013 2014 American Community Survey ACS Journey-to-Work data 2006-2008 and 2006-2010

Child Care Coordinating Council of San Mateo County (4Cs) Community Care Licensing Brion Economics Inc

Prepared by Brion Economics Inc 2513-SMC NA Final Tables 61216 6122016

PORTOLA VALLEY

Child Care as of 2025

No of

Providers

Under 2 Years

Old

2 to 4 Year

Olds

Total 0 to 4

Years

EXISTING DEMAND Child Care Demand

Estimated Total Children

Average LFPRAdjustment Factor

Children With Working Parents

Licensed Care Demand Factor

Resident Children Needing Licensed Care

of Total Resident Children Needing Licensed Care

Children from Non-Resident Employees Needing

Licensed Care

(1)

(2)

(3)

77 192

66

51 173

37

19 164

24 85

9 13

269

224

82

182

68

22

Total Demand for Child Care Spaces

Distribution

EXISTING SUPPLY (4)

28 177

13 87

Child Care Spaces

204

100

Family Child Care Home Supply

Child Care Center Supply

Current Child Care Supply

Distribution

EXISTING SURPLUS(SHORTAGE)

Distribution

Percentage of Demand Met

by Existing FacilitiesSpaces

Shortage of Family Child Care Home Spaces

Shortage of Center-Based Spaces

(5)

(6)

(6)

0

4

4

- -

- 153

- 153

0 100

(28) (24)

54 46

0 87

0 0

(28) (24)

0

153

153

100

(51)

100

75

0

(51)

FINAL

Table B-14

Future Child Care Demand and Supply in 2025 in Portola Valley

San Mateo County Child Care Study - 2016

Note All footnote references can be found in Table C-1 at the end of this file

Sources 2010 US Census ABAG Projections 2013 2014 American Community Survey ACS Journey-to-Work data 2006-2008 and 2006-2010

Child Care Coordinating Council of San Mateo County (4Cs) Community Care Licensing Brion Economics Inc

Prepared by Brion Economics Inc 2513-SMC NA Final Tables 61216 6122016

REDWOOD CITY

No of

Providers

Child Care as of 2025

Under 2 Years

Old

2 to 4 Year

Olds

Total 0 to 4

Years

EXISTING DEMAND Child Care Demand

Estimated Total Children

Average LFPRAdjustment Factor

Children With Working Parents

Licensed Care Demand Factor

Resident Children Needing Licensed Care

of Total Resident Children Needing Licensed Care

Children from Non-Resident Employees Needing

Licensed Care

Total Demand for Child Care Spaces

Distribution

EXISTING SUPPLY

(1)

(2)

(3)

(4)

3725 5378

69

2555 4813

37

946 4505

25 84

466 703

1411 5208

21 79

Child Care Spaces

9103

7368

74

5450

60

1169

6619

100

Family Child Care Home Supply

Child Care Center Supply

Current Child Care Supply

Distribution

EXISTING SURPLUS(SHORTAGE)

Distribution

Percentage of Demand Met

by Existing FacilitiesSpaces

Shortage of Family Child Care Home Spaces

Shortage of Center-Based Spaces

(5)

(6)

(6)

42

41

83

396 497

356 2036

752 2533

23 77

(660) (2674)

20 80

53 49

(347) (525)

(313) (2149)

893

2392

3285

100

(3334)

100

50

(872)

(2462)

FINAL

Table B-15

Future Child Care Demand and Supply in 2025 in Redwood City

San Mateo County Child Care Study - 2016

Note All footnote references can be found in Table C-1 at the end of this file

Sources 2010 US Census ABAG Projections 2013 2014 American Community Survey ACS Journey-to-Work data 2006-2008 and 2006-2010

Child Care Coordinating Council of San Mateo County (4Cs) Community Care Licensing Brion Economics Inc

Prepared by Brion Economics Inc 2513-SMC NA Final Tables 61216 6122016

SAN BRUNO

Child Care as of 2025

No of

Providers

Under 2 Years

Old

2 to 4 Year

Olds

Total 0 to 4

Years

EXISTING DEMAND Child Care Demand

Estimated Total Children

Average LFPRAdjustment Factor

Children With Working Parents

Licensed Care Demand Factor

Resident Children Needing Licensed Care

of Total Resident Children Needing Licensed Care

Children from Non-Resident Employees Needing

Licensed Care

(1)

(2)

(3)

1189 1728

77

910 1589

37

337 1475

28 85

68 103

2917

2498

73

1812

62

171

Total Demand for Child Care Spaces

Distribution

EXISTING SUPPLY (4)

405 1578

20 80

Child Care Spaces

1983

100

Family Child Care Home Supply

Child Care Center Supply

Current Child Care Supply

Distribution

EXISTING SURPLUS(SHORTAGE)

Distribution

Percentage of Demand Met

by Existing FacilitiesSpaces

Shortage of Family Child Care Home Spaces

Shortage of Center-Based Spaces

(5)

(6)

(6)

13

15

28

122 153

26 1183

148 1336

10 90

(257) (242)

52 48

37 85

(212) (28)

(45) (214)

275

1209

1484

100

(499)

100

75

(239)

(259)

FINAL

Table B-16

Future C hild Care Demand and Supply in 2025 in San Bruno

San Mateo County Child Care Study - 2016

Note All footnote references can be found in Table C-1 at the end of this file

Sources 2010 US Census ABAG Projections 2013 2014 American Community Survey ACS Journey-to-Work data 2006-2008 and 2006-2010

Child Care Coordinating Council of San Mateo County (4Cs) Community Care Licensing Brion Economics Inc

Prepared by Brion Economics Inc 2513-SMC NA Final Tables 61216 6122016

SAN CARLOS

Child Care as of 2025

No of

Providers

Under 2 Years

Old

2 to 4 Year

Olds

Total 0 to 4

Years

EXISTING DEMAND Child Care Demand

Estimated Total Children

Average LFPRAdjustment Factor

Children With Working Parents

Licensed Care Demand Factor

Resident Children Needing Licensed Care

of Total Resident Children Needing Licensed Care

Children from Non-Resident Employees Needing

Licensed Care

(1)

(2)

(3)

778 1384

72

557 1255

37

206 1174

26 85

82 123

2162

1812

76

1380

64

205

Total Demand for Child Care Spaces

Distribution

EXISTING SUPPLY (4)

288 1297

18 82

Child Care Spaces

1585

100

Family Child Care Home Supply

Child Care Center Supply

Current Child Care Supply

Distribution

EXISTING SURPLUS(SHORTAGE)

Distribution

Percentage of Demand Met

by Existing FacilitiesSpaces

Shortage of Family Child Care Home Spaces

Shortage of Center-Based Spaces

(5)

(6)

(6)

28

14

42

73 92

76 615

149 707

17 83

(139) (590)

19 81

52 54

(68) (76)

(71) (514)

164

691

855

100

(729)

100

54

(145)

(585)

FINAL

Table B-17

Future Child Care Demand and Supply in 2025 in San Carlos

San Mateo County Child Care Study - 2016

Note All footnote references can be found in Table C-1 at the end of this file

Sources 2010 US Census ABAG Projections 2013 2014 American Community Survey ACS Journey-to-Work data 2006-2008 and 2006-2010

Child Care Coordinating Council of San Mateo County (4Cs) Community Care Licensing Brion Economics Inc

Prepared by Brion Economics Inc 2513-SMC NA Final Tables 61216 6122016

SAN MATEO

Child Care as of 2025

No of

Providers

Under 2 Years

Old

2 to 4 Year

Olds

Total 0 to 4

Years

EXISTING DEMAND Child Care Demand

Estimated Total Children

Average LFPRAdjustment Factor

Children With Working Parents

Licensed Care Demand Factor

Resident Children Needing Licensed Care

of Total Resident Children Needing Licensed Care

Children from Non-Resident Employees Needing

Licensed Care

(1)

(2)

(3)

3194 4572

71

2264 4116

37

838 3839

26 84

261 394

7766

6381

73

4677

60

656

Total Demand for Child Care Spaces

Distribution

EXISTING SUPPLY (4)

1099 4233

21 79

Child Care Spaces

5332

100

Family Child Care Home Supply

Child Care Center Supply

Current Child Care Supply

Distribution

EXISTING SURPLUS(SHORTAGE)

Distribution

Percentage of Demand Met

by Existing FacilitiesSpaces

Shortage of Family Child Care Home Spaces

Shortage of Center-Based Spaces

(5)

(6)

(6)

69

59

128

492 619

209 2577

701 3196

18 82

(398) (1037)

28 72

64 75

(279) (201)

(119) (837)

1111

2786

3897

100

(1435)

100

73

(480)

(955)

FINAL

Table B-18

Future Child Care Demand and Supply in 2025 in San Mateo

San Mateo County Child Care Study - 2016

Note All footnote references can be found in Table C-1 at the end of this file

Sources 2010 US Census ABAG Projections 2013 2014 American Community Survey ACS Journey-to-Work data 2006-2008 and 2006-2010

Child Care Coordinating Council of San Mateo County (4Cs) Community Care Licensing Brion Economics Inc

Prepared by Brion Economics Inc 2513-SMC NA Final Tables 61216 6122016

FINAL

Table B-19

Future Child Care Demand and Supply in 2025 in South Coast

San Mateo County Child Care Study - 2016

SOUTH COAST

Child Care as of 2025

No of

Providers

Under 2 Years

Old

2 to 4 Year

Olds

Total 0 to 4

Years

EXISTING DEMAND Child Care Demand

Estimated Total Children (1) 23 32 55

Average LFPRAdjustment Factor (2) 54

Children With Working Parents 12 27 40

Licensed Care Demand Factor (3) 37 77

Resident Children Needing Licensed Care 5 26 30

of Total Resident Children Needing Licensed Care 20 81 56

Children from Non-Resident Employees Needing

Licensed Care 0 0 0

Total Demand for Child Care Spaces 5 26 30

Distribution 15 85 100

EXISTING SUPPLY (4) Child Care Spaces

Family Child Care Home Supply - 0 0 0

Child Care Center Supply 2 0 54 54

Current Child Care Supply 2 - 54 54

Distribution 0 100 100

EXISTING SURPLUS(SHORTAGE) (5) 28 24

Distribution -19 119 100

Percentage of Demand Met

by Existing FacilitiesSpaces (5) 0 209 177

Shortage of Family Child Care Home Spaces (6) 0 NA 0

Shortage of Center-Based Spaces (6) (5) NA (5)

Note All footnote references can be found in Table C-1 at the end of this file

Sources 2010 US Census ABAG Projections 2013 2014 American Community Survey ACS Journey-to-Work data 2006-2008 and 2006-2010

Child Care Coordinating Council of San Mateo County (4Cs) Community Care Licensing Brion Economics Inc

Prepared by Brion Economics Inc 2513-SMC NA Final Tables 61216 6122016

SOUTH SAN FRANCISCO

Child Care as of 2025

No of

Providers

Under 2 Years

Old

2 to 4 Year

Olds

Total 0 to 4

Years

EXISTING DEMAND Child Care Demand

Estimated Total Children

Average LFPRAdjustment Factor

Children With Working Parents

Licensed Care Demand Factor

Resident Children Needing Licensed Care

of Total Resident Children Needing Licensed Care

Children from Non-Resident Employees Needing

Licensed Care

(1)

(2)

(3)

1835 2790

73

1342 2535

37

496 2362

27 85

339 512

4625

3877

74

2859

62

851

Total Demand for Child Care Spaces

Distribution

EXISTING SUPPLY (4)

835 2874

23 77

Child Care Spaces

3709

100

Family Child Care Home Supply

Child Care Center Supply

Current Child Care Supply

Distribution

EXISTING SURPLUS(SHORTAGE)

Distribution

Percentage of Demand Met

by Existing FacilitiesSpaces

Shortage of Family Child Care Home Spaces

Shortage of Center-Based Spaces

(5)

(6)

(6)

30

27

57

252 317

400 1966

652 2283

22 78

(183) (591)

24 76

78 79

(71) (82)

(113) (509)

569

2366

2935

100

(775)

100

79

(153)

(622)

FINAL

Table B-20

Future Child Care Demand and Supply in 2025 in South San Francisco

San Mateo County Child Care Study - 2016

Note All footnote references can be found in Table C-1 at the end of this file

Sources 2010 US Census ABAG Projections 2013 2014 American Community Survey ACS Journey-to-Work data 2006-2008 and 2006-2010

Child Care Coordinating Council of San Mateo County (4Cs) Community Care Licensing Brion Economics Inc

Prepared by Brion Economics Inc 2513-SMC NA Final Tables 61216 6122016

WOODSIDE

No of

Providers

Child Care as of 2025

Under 2 Years

Old

2 to 4 Year

Olds

Total 0 to 4

Years

EXISTING DEMAND Child Care Demand

Estimated Total Children

Average LFPRAdjustment Factor

Children With Working Parents

Licensed Care Demand Factor

Resident Children Needing Licensed Care

of Total Resident Children Needing Licensed Care

Children from Non-Resident Employees Needing

Licensed Care

(1)

(2)

(3)

93 165

56

51 140

37

19 132

21 80

9 13

258

192

79

152

59

22

Total Demand for Child Care Spaces

Distribution

EXISTING SUPPLY (4)

28 146

16 84

Child Care Spaces

174

100

Family Child Care Home Supply

Child Care Center Supply

Current Child Care Supply

Distribution

EXISTING SURPLUS(SHORTAGE)

Distribution

Percentage of Demand Met

by Existing FacilitiesSpaces

Shortage of Family Child Care Home Spaces

Shortage of Center-Based Spaces

(5)

(6)

(6)

1

2

3

4 5

- 103

4 108

4 96

(24) (38)

39 61

15 74

(24) (2)

0 (36)

9

103

112

100

(61)

100

65

(26)

(36)

FINAL

Table B-21

Future Child Care Demand and Supply in 2025 in Woodside

San Mateo County Child Care Study - 2016

Note All footnote references can be found in Table C-1 at the end of this file

Sources 2010 US Census ABAG Projections 2013 2014 American Community Survey ACS Journey-to-Work data 2006-2008 and 2006-2010

Child Care Coordinating Council of San Mateo County (4Cs) Community Care Licensing Brion Economics Inc

Prepared by Brion Economics Inc 2513-SMC NA Final Tables 61216 6122016

FINAL

Table C-1

Endnotes for Tables

San Mateo County Child Care Study - 2016

(1) Population by age is based on the percentage breakdown from the 2010 US Census and applied

to population estimates for 2015 using ABAGs Projections 2013 population data The ABAG data

for each area includes its Sphere of Influence and is not based on strict jurisdictional boundaries

(2) Labor force participation rates are from the 5-Year American Community Survey 2014 and include

children under six years old with two working parents or a single working parent For the 2- to 4-year

olds the labor force participation rate is applied to 2 year olds For 3- and 4-year olds it is assumed

that 100 need licensed care to support preschool for every child so the number of

3- and 4-year olds is not discounted by labor force participation rates

(3) Not all children with working parents are assumed to need licensed care percentage assumptions are

used to calculate the number of children requiring licensed care under each age category The

remaining children are assumed to be cared for in alternate arrangements such as by family members

nannies friends and other unlicensed care For children ages 3- and 4-years old it is assumed that

they all need care in the form of preschool

(4) Data on child care supply provided by the Child Care Coordinating Council of San Mateo County (4Cs)

and Community Care Licensing Division of the California Department of Social Services (CCLD) Data is

for June 2015

(5) Demand that calculates as less than 100 means that there is greater demand than supply percent of

demand that is over 100 means supply exceeds demand

(6) Unmet demand is broken down into shortage by type of care based on the proportion of FCCHs and

child care centers spaces available in each area If an area does not have any FCCHs or centers the

unmet demand is placed in the type of care that is available in the area (eg if there are only centers

all demand goes to centers)

Source Brion Economics Inc

Prepared by Brion Economics Inc 2513-SMC NA Final Tables 61216 6122016

DRAFT REPORT

Table C-2

Labor Force Participation Rates by CityArea

San Mateo County Child Care Study - 2016

CityArea

Labor Force

Participation Rate (1)

Atherton

Belmont

Brisbane

Burlingame

Daly CityColma

East Palo Alto

Foster City

Half Moon Bay Region

Hillsborough

Menlo Park

Millbrae

Pacifica

Portola Valley

Redwood City

San Bruno

San Carlos

San Mateo

South Coast

South San Francisco

Woodside

40

77

100

65

74

71

63

69

52

69

62

78

66

69

77

72

71

54

73

56

(1) Labor force participation rates (LFPRs) are for

families with children under age six with two

working parents or a single parent who works Sources American Community Survey 2014 5-Year

Survey Brion Economics Inc

Prepared by Brion Economics Inc 2513-SMC NA Final Tables 61216 6122016

  • 2513-SMC FINAL NA Memo-61216
  • 2513-SMC NA Final Tables 61216
Page 25: Final San Mateo County Child Care Needs … Care...Future C hild Care Demand and Supply in 2025 in Daly City/Colma San Mateo County Child Care Study - 2016 Note: All footnote references

BELMONT

Child Care as of 2015

No of

Providers

Under 2 Years

Old

2 to 4 Year

Olds

Total 0 to 4

Years

EXISTING DEMAND Child Care Demand

Estimated Total Children

Average LFPRAdjustment Factor

Children With Working Parents

Licensed Care Demand Factor

Resident Children Needing Licensed Care

of Total Resident Children Needing Licensed Care

Children from Non-Resident Employees Needing

Licensed Care

(1)

(2)

(3)

708 1045

77

548 966

37

203 899

29 86

34 51

1753

1513

73

1102

63

85

Total Demand for Child Care Spaces

Distribution

EXISTING SUPPLY (4)

237 950

20 80

Child Care Spaces

1187

100

Family Child Care Home Supply

Child Care Center Supply

Current Child Care Supply

Distribution

EXISTING SURPLUS(SHORTAGE)

Distribution

Percentage of Demand Met

by Existing FacilitiesSpaces

Shortage of Family Child Care Home Spaces

Shortage of Center-Based Spaces

(5)

(6)

(6)

18

9

27

67 84

39 531

106 615

15 85

(130) (335)

28 72

45 65

(83) (46)

(48) (289)

152

570

722

100

(465)

100

61

(128)

(337)

FINAL

Table A-3

Existing Child Care Demand and Supply in 2015 in Belmont

San Mateo County Child Care Study - 2016

Note All footnote references can be found in Table C-1 at the end of this file Sources 2010 US Census ABAG Projections 2013 2014 American Community Survey ACS Journey-to-Work data 2006-2008 and

2006-2010 Child Care Coordinating Council of San Mateo County (4Cs) Community Care Licensing Brion Economics Inc

Prepared by Brion Economics Inc 2513-SMC NA Final Tables 61216 6122016

FINAL

Table A-4

Existing Child Care Demand and Supply in 2015 in Brisbane

San Mateo County Child Care Study - 2016

BRISBANE

Child Care as of 2015

No of

Providers

Under 2 Years

Old

2 to 4 Year

Olds

Total 0 to 4

Years

EXISTING DEMAND Child Care Demand

Estimated Total Children (1) 125 166 292

Average LFPRAdjustment Factor (2) 100

Children With Working Parents 125 166 292

Licensed Care Demand Factor (3) 37 68

Resident Children Needing Licensed Care 46 153 199

of Total Resident Children Needing Licensed Care 37 92 68

Children from Non-Resident Employees Needing

Licensed Care 52 78 129

Total Demand for Child Care Spaces 98 231 329

Distribution 30 70 100

EXISTING SUPPLY (4) Child Care Spaces

Family Child Care Home Supply 1 4 5 9

Child Care Center Supply 1 - 64 64

Current Child Care Supply 2 4 69 73

Distribution 6 94 100

EXISTING SURPLUS(SHORTAGE) (94) (162) (255)

Distribution 37 63 100

Percentage of Demand Met

by Existing FacilitiesSpaces (5) 4 30 22

Shortage of Family Child Care Home Spaces (6) (94) (12) (106)

Shortage of Center-Based Spaces (6) 0 (149) (149)

Note All footnote references can be found in Table C-1 at the end of this file

Sources 2010 US Census ABAG Projections 2013 2014 American Community Survey ACS Journey-to-Work data 2006-2008 and 2006-2010

Child Care Coordinating Council of San Mateo County (4Cs) Community Care Licensing Brion Economics Inc

Prepared by Brion Economics Inc 2513-SMC NA Final Tables 61216 6122016

BURLINGAME

Child Care as of 2015

No of

Providers

Under 2 Years

Old

2 to 4 Year

Olds

Total 0 to 4

Years

EXISTING DEMAND Child Care Demand

Estimated Total Children

Average LFPRAdjustment Factor

Children With Working Parents

Licensed Care Demand Factor

Resident Children Needing Licensed Care

of Total Resident Children Needing Licensed Care

Children from Non-Resident Employees Needing

Licensed Care

(1)

(2)

(3)

824 1216

65

535 1086

37

198 1025

24 84

140 211

2040

1621

75

1224

60

350

Total Demand for Child Care Spaces

Distribution

EXISTING SUPPLY (4)

338 1236

21 79

Child Care Spaces

1574

100

Family Child Care Home Supply

Child Care Center Supply

Current Child Care Supply

Distribution

EXISTING SURPLUS(SHORTAGE)

Distribution

Percentage of Demand Met

by Existing FacilitiesSpaces

Shortage of Family Child Care Home Spaces

Shortage of Center-Based Spaces

(5)

(6)

(6)

21

14

35

79 99

40 866

119 965

11 89

(219) (271)

45 55

35 78

(145) (28)

(73) (243)

179

906

1085

100

(489)

100

69

(173)

(316)

FINAL

Table A-5

Existing Child Care Demand and Supply in 2015 in Burlingame

San Mateo County Child Care Study - 2016

Note All footnote references can be found in Table C-1 at the end of this file

Sources 2010 US Census ABAG Projections 2013 2014 American Community Survey ACS Journey-to-Work data 2006-2008 and 2006-2010

Child Care Coordinating Council of San Mateo County (4Cs) Community Care Licensing Brion Economics Inc

Prepared by Brion Economics Inc 2513-SMC NA Final Tables 61216 6122016

DALY CITYCOLMA

Child Care as of 2015

No of

Providers

Under 2 Years

Old

2 to 4 Year

Olds

Total 0 to 4

Years

EXISTING DEMAND Child Care Demand

Estimated Total Children

Average LFPRAdjustment Factor

Children With Working Parents

Licensed Care Demand Factor

Resident Children Needing Licensed Care

of Total Resident Children Needing Licensed Care

Children from Non-Resident Employees Needing

Licensed Care

(1)

(2)

(3)

2495 3575

742

1851 3268

37

685 3047

27 85

126 190

6070

5119

73

3732

61

316

Total Demand for Child Care Spaces

Distribution

EXISTING SUPPLY (4)

811 3237

20 80

Child Care Spaces

4048

100

Family Child Care Home Supply

Child Care Center Supply

Current Child Care Supply

Distribution

EXISTING SURPLUS(SHORTAGE)

Distribution

Percentage of Demand Met

by Existing FacilitiesSpaces

Shortage of Family Child Care Home Spaces

Shortage of Center-Based Spaces

(5)

(6)

(6)

85

28

113

288 362

84 1264

372 1626

19 81

(439) (1612)

21 79

46 50

(340) (359)

(99) (1253)

649

1348

1997

100

(2051)

100

49

(698)

(1352)

FINAL

Table A-6

Existing Child Care Demand and Supply in 2015 in Daly CityColma

San Mateo Co unty Child Care Study - 2016

Note All footnote references can be found in Table C-1 at the end of this file

Sources 2010 US Census ABAG Projections 2013 2014 American Community Survey ACS Journey-to-Work data 2006-2008 and 2006-2010

Child Care Coordinating Council of San Mateo County (4Cs) Community Care Licensing Brion Economics Inc

Prepared by Brion Economics Inc 2513-SMC NA Final Tables 61216 6122016

EAST PALO ALTO

Child Care as of 2015

No of

Providers

Under 2 Years

Old

2 to 4 Year

Olds

Total 0 to 4

Years

EXISTING DEMAND Child Care Demand

Estimated Total Children

Average LFPRAdjustment Factor

Children With Working Parents

Licensed Care Demand Factor

Resident Children Needing Licensed Care

of Total Resident Children Needing Licensed Care

Children from Non-Resident Employees Needing

Licensed Care

(1)

(2)

(3)

1046 1667

71

741 1496

37

274 1392

26 84

18 27

2713

2237

75

1666

61

45

Total Demand for Child Care Spaces

Distribution

EXISTING SUPPLY (4)

292 1419

17 83

Child Care Spaces

1711

100

Family Child Care Home Supply

Child Care Center Supply

Current Child Care Supply

Distribution

EXISTING SURPLUS(SHORTAGE)

Distribution

Percentage of Demand Met

by Existing FacilitiesSpaces

Shortage of Family Child Care Home Spaces

Shortage of Center-Based Spaces

(5)

(6)

(6)

21

6

27

85 106

25 633

110 739

13 87

(182) (680)

21 79

38 52

(141) (98)

(42) (582)

191

658

849

100

(862)

100

50

(239)

(623)

FINAL

Table A-7

Existing Child Care Demand and Supply in 2015 in East Palo Alto

San Mateo County Child Care Study - 2016

Note All footnote references can be found in Table C-1 at the end of this file Sources 2010 US Census ABAG Projections 2013 2014 American Community Survey ACS Journey-to-Work data 2006-2008 and 2006-2010

Child Care Coordinating Council of San Mateo County (4Cs) Community Care Licensing Brion Economics Inc

Prepared by Brion Economics Inc 2513-SMC NA Final Tables 61216 6122016

FOSTER CITY

Child Care as of 2015

No of

Providers

Under 2 Years

Old

2 to 4 Year

Olds

Total 0 to 4

Years

EXISTING DEMAND Child Care Demand

Estimated Total Children

Average LFPRAdjustment Factor

Children With Working Parents

Licensed Care Demand Factor

Resident Children Needing Licensed Care

of Total Resident Children Needing Licensed Care

Children from Non-Resident Employees Needing

Licensed Care

(1)

(2)

(3)

836 1277

63

528 1108

37

195 1035

23 81

73 110

2113

1636

75

1231

58

183

Total Demand for Child Care Spaces

Distribution

EXISTING SUPPLY (4)

268 1145

19 81

Child Care Spaces

1414

100

Family Child Care Home Supply

Child Care Center Supply

Current Child Care Supply

Distribution

EXISTING SURPLUS(SHORTAGE)

Distribution

Percentage of Demand Met

by Existing FacilitiesSpaces

Shortage of Family Child Care Home Spaces

Shortage of Center-Based Spaces

(5)

(6)

(6)

29

12

41

118 149

88 1200

206 1349

13 87

(62) 203

NA NA

77 118

(36) NA

(27) NA

267

1288

1555

100

141

NA

110

(36)

(27)

FINAL

Table A-8

Existing Child Care Demand and Supply in 2015 in Foster City

San Mateo County Child Care Study - 2016

Note All footnote references can be found in Table C-1 at the end of this file

Sources 2010 US Census ABAG Projections 2013 2014 American Community Survey ACS Journey-to-Work data 2006-2008 and 2006-2010

Child Care Coordinating Council of San Mateo County (4Cs) Community Care Licensing Brion Economics Inc

Prepared by Brion Economics Inc 2513-SMC NA Final Tables 61216 6122016

HALF MOON BAY REGION

Child Care as of 2015

No of

Providers

Under 2 Years

Old

2 to 4 Year

Olds

Total 0 to 4

Years

EXISTING DEMAND Child Care Demand

Estimated Total Children

Average LFPRAdjustment Factor

Children With Working Parents

Licensed Care Demand Factor

Resident Children Needing Licensed Care

of Total Resident Children Needing Licensed Care

Children from Non-Resident Employees Needing

Licensed Care

(1)

(2)

(3)

511 860

69

354 772

37

131 723

26 84

13 19

1371

1126

76

854

62

32

Total Demand for Child Care Spaces

Distribution

EXISTING SUPPLY (4)

144 742

16 84

Child Care Spaces

885

100

Family Child Care Home Supply

Child Care Center Supply

Current Child Care Supply

Distribution

EXISTING SURPLUS(SHORTAGE)

Distribution

Percentage of Demand Met

by Existing FacilitiesSpaces

Shortage of Family Child Care Home Spaces

Shortage of Center-Based Spaces

(5)

(6)

(6)

28

11

39

96 121

35 285

131 406

24 76

(13) (336)

4 96

91 55

(9) (100)

(3) (236)

216

320

536

100

(349)

100

61

(109)

(240)

FINAL

Table A-9

Existing Child Care Demand and Supply in 2015 in Half Moon Bay Region

San Mateo County Child Care Study - 2016

Note All footnote references can be found in Table C-1 at the end of this file

Sources 2010 US Census ABAG Projections 2013 2014 American Community Survey ACS Journey-to-Work data 2006-2008 and 2006-2010

Child Care Coordinating Council of San Mateo County (4Cs) Community Care Licensing Brion Economics Inc

Prepared by Brion Economics Inc 2513-SMC NA Final Tables 61216 6122016

HILLSBOROUGH

Child Care as of 2015

No of

Providers

Under 2 Years

Old

2 to 4 Year

Olds

Total 0 to 4

Years

EXISTING DEMAND Child Care Demand

Estimated Total Children

Average LFPRAdjustment Factor

Children With Working Parents

Licensed Care Demand Factor

Resident Children Needing Licensed Care

of Total Resident Children Needing Licensed Care

Children from Non-Resident Employees Needing

Licensed Care

(1)

(2)

(3)

138 331

52

71 284

37

26 272

19 82

7 10

469

356

84

298

64

16

Total Demand for Child Care Spaces

Distribution

EXISTING SUPPLY (4)

33 282

10 90

Child Care Spaces

315

100

Family Child Care Home Supply

Child Care Center Supply

Current Child Care Supply

Distribution

EXISTING SURPLUS(SHORTAGE)

Distribution

Percentage of Demand Met

by Existing FacilitiesSpaces

Shortage of Family Child Care Home Spaces

Shortage of Center-Based Spaces

(5)

(6)

(6)

1

4

5

5 6

- 91

5 97

5 95

(28) (185)

13 87

15 34

(28) (12)

0 (173)

11

91

102

100

(213)

100

32

(40)

(173)

FINAL

Table A-10

Existing Child Care Demand and Supply in 2015 in Hillsborough

San Mateo County Child Care Study - 2016

Note All footnote references can be found in Table C-1 at the end of this file Sources 2010 US Census ABAG Projections 2013 2014 American Community Survey ACS Journey-to-Work data 2006-2008 and 2006-2010

Child Care Coordinating Council of San Mateo County (4Cs) Community Care Licensing Brion Economics Inc

Prepared by Brion Economics Inc 2513-SMC NA Final Tables 61216 6122016

MENLO PARK

Child Care as of 2015

No of

Providers

Under 2 Years

Old

2 to 4 Year

Olds

Total 0 to 4

Years

EXISTING DEMAND Child Care Demand

Estimated Total Children

Average LFPRAdjustment Factor

Children With Working Parents

Licensed Care Demand Factor

Resident Children Needing Licensed Care

of Total Resident Children Needing Licensed Care

Children from Non-Resident Employees Needing

Licensed Care

(1)

(2)

(3)

1170 1723

69

802 1551

37

297 1458

25 85

220 332

2893

2353

75

1754

61

552

Total Demand for Child Care Spaces

Distribution

EXISTING SUPPLY (4)

516 1790

22 78

Child Care Spaces

2306

100

Family Child Care Home Supply

Child Care Center Supply

Current Child Care Supply

Distribution

EXISTING SURPLUS(SHORTAGE)

Distribution

Percentage of Demand Met

by Existing FacilitiesSpaces

Shortage of Family Child Care Home Spaces

Shortage of Center-Based Spaces

(5)

(6)

(6)

18

25

43

76 96

73 1331

149 1427

9 91

(367) (363)

50 50

29 80

(188) (24)

(180) (338)

172

1404

1576

100

(730)

100

68

(212)

(518)

FINAL

Table A-11

Existing Child Care Demand and Supply in 2015 in Menlo Park

San Mateo County Child Care Study - 2016

Note All footnote references can be found in Table C-1 at the end of this file Sources 2010 US Census ABAG Projections 2013 2014 American Community Survey ACS Journey-to-Work data 2006-2008 and 2006-2010

Child Care Coordinating Council of San Mateo County (4Cs) Community Care Licensing Brion Economics Inc

Prepared by Brion Economics Inc 2513-SMC NA Final Tables 61216 6122016

MILLBRAE

Child Care as of 2015

No of

Providers

Under 2 Years

Old

2 to 4 Year

Olds

Total 0 to 4

Years

EXISTING DEMAND Child Care Demand

Total Children

Average LFPRAdjustment Factor

Children With Working Parents

Licensed Care Demand Factor

Resident Children Needing Licensed Care

of Total Resident Children Needing Licensed Care

Children from Non-Resident Employees Needing

Licensed Care

(1)

(2)

(3)

421 717

62

260 632

37

96 598

23 83

28 42

1138

892

78

694

61

69

Total Demand for Child Care Spaces

Distribution

EXISTING SUPPLY (4)

124 640

16 84

Child Care Spaces

764

100

Family Child Care Home Supply

Child Care Center Supply

Current Child Care Supply

Distribution

EXISTING SURPLUS(SHORTAGE)

Distribution

Percentage of Demand Met

by Existing FacilitiesSpaces

Shortage of Family Child Care Home Spaces

Shortage of Center-Based Spaces

(5)

(6)

(6)

17

7

24

62 78

- 376

62 454

12 88

(61) (186)

25 75

50 71

(61) (32)

0 (154)

141

376

517

100

(247)

100

68

(93)

(154)

FINAL

Table A-12

Existing Child Care Demand and Supply in 2015 in Millbrae

San Mateo Co unty Child Care Study - 2016

Note All footnote references can be found in Table C-1 at the end of this file

Sources 2010 US Census ABAG Projections 2013 2014 American Community Survey ACS Journey-to-Work data 2006-2008 and 2006-2010

Child Care Coordinating Council of San Mateo County (4Cs) Community Care Licensing Brion Economics Inc

Prepared by Brion Economics Inc 2513-SMC NA Final Tables 61216 6122016

PACIFICA

Child Care as of 2015

No of

Providers

Under 2 Years

Old

2 to 4 Year

Olds

Total 0 to 4

Years

EXISTING DEMAND Child Care Demand

Estimated Total Children

Average LFPRAdjustment Factor

Children With Working Parents

Licensed Care Demand Factor

Resident Children Needing Licensed Care

of Total Resident Children Needing Licensed Care

Children from Non-Resident Employees Needing

Licensed Care

(1)

(2)

(3)

787 1253

78

610 1165

37

226 1089

29 87

18 27

2040

1776

74

1315

64

45

Total Demand for Child Care Spaces

Distribution

EXISTING SUPPLY (4)

244 1117

18 83

Child Care Spaces

1360

100

Family Child Care Home Supply

Child Care Center Supply

Current Child Care Supply

Distribution

EXISTING SURPLUS(SHORTAGE)

Distribution

Percentage of Demand Met

by Existing FacilitiesSpaces

Shortage of Family Child Care Home Spaces

Shortage of Center-Based Spaces

(5)

(6)

(6)

21

18

39

77 97

39 701

116 798

13 87

(128) (319)

29 71

48 71

(85) (39)

(43) (280)

174

740

914

100

(447)

100

67

(124)

(323)

FINAL

Table A-13

Existing Child Care Demand and Supply in 2015 in Pacifica

San Mateo County Child Care Study - 2016

Note All footnote references can be found in Table C-1 at the end of this file Sources 2010 US Census ABAG Projections 2013 2014 American Community Survey ACS Journey-to-Work data 2006-2008 and 2006-2010

Child Care Coordinating Council of San Mateo County (4Cs) Community Care Licensing Brion Economics Inc

Prepared by Brion Economics Inc 2513-SMC NA Final Tables 61216 6122016

PORTOLA VALLEY

No of

Providers

Child Care as of 2015

Under 2 Years

Old

2 to 4 Year

Olds

Total 0 to 4

Years

EXISTING DEMAND Child Care Demand

Estimated Total Children

Average LFPRAdjustment Factor

Children With Working Parents

Licensed Care Demand Factor

Resident Children Needing Licensed Care

of Total Resident Children Needing Licensed Care

Children from Non-Resident Employees Needing

Licensed Care

(1)

(2)

(3)

75 187

66

49 168

37

18 159

24 85

8 12

261

217

82

177

68

21

Total Demand for Child Care Spaces

Distribution

EXISTING SUPPLY (4)

26 171

13 87

Child Care Spaces

198

100

Family Child Care Home Supply

Child Care Center Supply

Current Child Care Supply

Distribution

EXISTING SURPLUS(SHORTAGE)

Distribution

Percentage of Demand Met

by Existing FacilitiesSpaces

Shortage of Family Child Care Home Spaces

Shortage of Center-Based Spaces

(5)

(6)

(6)

0

4

4

0 0

0 153

0 153

0 100

(26) (18)

59 41

0 89

0 0

(26) (18)

0

153

153

100

(45)

100

77

0

(45)

FINAL

Table A-14

Existing Child Care Demand and Supply in 2015 in Portola Valley

San Mateo County Child Care Study - 2016

Note All footnote references can be found in Table C-1 at the end of this file Sources 2010 US Census ABAG Projections 2013 2014 American Community Survey ACS Journey-to-Work data 2006-2008 and 2006-2010

Child Care Coordinating Council of San Mateo County (4Cs) Community Care Licensing Brion Economics Inc

Prepared by Brion Economics Inc 2513-SMC NA Final Tables 61216 6122016

REDWOOD CITY

Child Care as of 2015

No of

Providers

Under 2 Years

Old

2 to 4 Year

Olds

Total 0 to 4

Years

EXISTING DEMAND Child Care Demand

Estimated Total Children

Average LFPRAdjustment Factor

Children With Working Parents

Licensed Care Demand Factor

Resident Children Needing Licensed Care

of Total Resident Children Needing Licensed Care

Children from Non-Resident Employees Needing

Licensed Care

Total Demand for Child Care Spaces

Distribution

EXISTING SUPPLY

(1)

(2)

(3)

(4)

3260 4706

69

2236 4212

37

827 3942

25 84

414 625

1241 4567

21 79

Child Care Spaces

7966

6449

74

4770

60

1038

5808

100

Family Child Care Home Supply

Child Care Center Supply

Current Child Care Supply

Distribution

EXISTING SURPLUS(SHORTAGE)

Distribution

Percentage of Demand Met

by Existing FacilitiesSpaces

Shortage of Family Child Care Home Spaces

Shortage of Center-Based Spaces

(5)

(6)

(6)

111

45

156

396 497

356 2036

752 2533

23 77

(490) (2034)

19 81

61 55

(258) (399)

(232) (1635)

893

2392

3285

100

(2524)

100

57

(657)

(1867)

FINAL

Table A-15

Existing Child Care Demand and Supply in 2015 in Redwood City

San Mateo County Child Care Study - 2016

Note All footnote references can be found in Table C-1 at the end of this file Sources 2010 US Census ABAG Projections 2013 2014 American Community Survey ACS Journey-to-Work data 2006-2008 and 2006-2010

Child Care Coordinating Council of San Mateo County (4Cs) Community Care Licensing Brion Economics Inc

Prepared by Brion Economics Inc 2513-SMC NA Final Tables 61216 6122016

SAN BRUNO

Child Care as of 2015

No of

Providers

Under 2 Years

Old

2 to 4 Year

Olds

Total 0 to 4

Years

EXISTING DEMAND Child Care Demand

Estimated Total Children

Average LFPRAdjustment Factor

Children With Working Parents

Licensed Care Demand Factor

Resident Children Needing Licensed Care

of Total Resident Children Needing Licensed Care

Children from Non-Resident Employees Needing

Licensed Care

(1)

(2)

(3)

1069 1553

77

817 1428

37

302 1326

28 85

61 92

2622

2245

73

1628

62

153

Total Demand for Child Care Spaces

Distribution

EXISTING SUPPLY (4)

364 1418

20 80

Child Care Spaces

1782

100

Family Child Care Home Supply

Child Care Center Supply

Current Child Care Supply

Distribution

EXISTING SURPLUS(SHORTAGE)

Distribution

Percentage of Demand Met

by Existing FacilitiesSpaces

Shortage of Family Child Care Home Spaces

Shortage of Center-Based Spaces

(5)

(6)

(6)

34

15

49

122 153

26 1183

148 1336

10 90

(216) (82)

72 28

41 94

(178) (9)

(38) (73)

275

1209

1484

100

(298)

100

83

(187)

(110)

FINAL

Table A-16

Existing Child Care Demand and Supply in 2015 in San Bruno

San Mateo County Child Care Study - 2016

Note All footnote references can be found in Table C-1 at the end of this file Sources 2010 US Census ABAG Projections 2013 2014 American Community Survey ACS Journey-to-Work data 2006-2008 and 2006-2010

Child Care Coordinating Council of San Mateo County (4Cs) Community Care Licensing Brion Economics Inc

Prepared by Brion Economics Inc 2513-SMC NA Final Tables 61216 6122016

SAN CARLOS

Child Care as of 2015

No of

Providers

Under 2 Years

Old

2 to 4 Year

Olds

Total 0 to 4

Years

EXISTING DEMAND Child Care Demand

Estimated Total Children

Average LFPRAdjustment Factor

Children With Working Parents

Licensed Care Demand Factor

Resident Children Needing Licensed Care

of Total Resident Children Needing Licensed Care

Children from Non-Resident Employees Needing

Licensed Care

(1)

(2)

(3)

735 1308

72

526 1186

37

195 1109

26 85

75 114

2043

1712

76

1304

64

189

Total Demand for Child Care Spaces

Distribution

EXISTING SUPPLY (4)

270 1222

18 82

Child Care Spaces

1492

100

Family Child Care Home Supply

Child Care Center Supply

Current Child Care Supply

Distribution

EXISTING SURPLUS(SHORTAGE)

Distribution

Percentage of Demand Met

by Existing FacilitiesSpaces

Shortage of Family Child Care Home Spaces

Shortage of Center-Based Spaces

(5)

(6)

(6)

20

14

34

73 92

76 615

149 707

17 83

(121) (516)

19 81

55 58

(59) (67)

(62) (449)

164

691

855

100

(637)

100

57

(126)

(511)

FINAL

Table A-17

Existing Child Care Demand and Supply in 2015 in San Carlos

San Mateo County Child Care Study - 2016

Note All footnote references can be found in Table C-1 at the end of this file

Sources 2010 US Census ABAG Projections 2013 2014 American Community Survey ACS Journey-to-Work data 2006-2008 and 2006-2010

Child Care Coordinating Council of San Mateo County (4Cs) Community Care Licensing Brion Economics Inc

Prepared by Brion Economics Inc 2513-SMC NA Final Tables 61216 6122016

SAN MATEO

Child Care as of 2015

No of

Providers

Under 2 Years

Old

2 to 4 Year

Olds

Total 0 to 4

Years

EXISTING DEMAND Child Care Demand

Estimated Total Children

Average LFPRAdjustment Factor

Children With Working Parents

Licensed Care Demand Factor

Resident Children Needing Licensed Care

of Total Resident Children Needing Licensed Care

Children from Non-Resident Employees Needing

Licensed Care

(1)

(2)

(3)

2943 4213

71

2087 3793

37

772 3537

26 84

231 348

7156

5880

73

4309

60

579

Total Demand for Child Care Spaces

Distribution

EXISTING SUPPLY (4)

1003 3886

21 79

Child Care Spaces

4889

100

Family Child Care Home Supply

Child Care Center Supply

Current Child Care Supply

Distribution

EXISTING SURPLUS(SHORTAGE)

Distribution

Percentage of Demand Met

by Existing FacilitiesSpaces

Shortage of Family Child Care Home Spaces

Shortage of Center-Based Spaces

(5)

(6)

(6)

126

59

185

492 619

209 2577

701 3196

18 82

(302) (690)

30 70

70 82

(212) (134)

(90) (557)

1111

2786

3897

100

(992)

100

80

(345)

(647)

FINAL

Table A-18

Existing Child Care Demand and Supply in 2015 in San Mateo

San Mateo County Child Care Study - 2016

Note All footnote references can be found in Table C-1 at the end of this file

Sources 2010 US Census ABAG Projections 2013 2014 American Community Survey ACS Journey-to-Work data 2006-2008 and 2006-2010

Child Care Coordinating Council of San Mateo County (4Cs) Community Care Licensing Brion Economics Inc

Prepared by Brion Economics Inc 2513-SMC NA Final Tables 61216 6122016

SOUTH COAST

Child Care as of 2015

No of

Providers

Under 2 Years

Old

2 to 4 Year

Olds

Total 0 to 4

Years

EXISTING DEMAND Child Care Demand

Estimated Total Children

Average LFPRAdjustment Factor

Children With Working Parents

Licensed Care Demand Factor

Resident Children Needing Licensed Care

of Total Resident Children Needing Licensed Care

Children from Non-Resident Employees Needing

Licensed Care

(1)

(2)

(3)

21 29

54

11 25

37

4 23

20 81

0 0

50

36

77

28

56

0

Total Demand for Child Care Spaces

Distribution

EXISTING SUPPLY (4)

4 23

15 85

Child Care Spaces

28

100

Family Child Care Home Supply

Child Care Center Supply

Current Child Care Supply

Distribution

EXISTING SURPLUS(SHORTAGE)

Distribution

Percentage of Demand Met

by Existing FacilitiesSpaces

Shortage of Family Child Care Home Spaces

Shortage of Center-Based Spaces

(5)

(6)

(6)

-

2

2

- -

- 54

- 54

0 100

(4) 31

-16 116

0 230

(2) NA

(2) NA

0

54

54

100

26

100

195

(2)

(2)

FINAL

Table A-19

Existing Child Care Demand and Supply in 2015 in South Coast

San Mateo County Child Care Study - 2016

Note All footnote references can be found in Table C-1 at the end of this file

Sources 2010 US Census ABAG Projections 2013 2014 American Community Survey ACS Journey-to-Work data 2006-2008 and 2006-2010

Child Care Coordinating Council of San Mateo County (4Cs) Community Care Licensing Brion Economics Inc

Prepared by Brion Economics Inc 2513-SMC NA Final Tables 61216 6122016

SOUTH SAN FRANCISCO

Child Care as of 2015

No of

Providers

Under 2 Years

Old

2 to 4 Year

Olds

Total 0 to 4

Years

EXISTING DEMAND Child Care Demand

Estimated Total Children

Average LFPRAdjustment Factor

Children With Working Parents

Licensed Care Demand Factor

Resident Children Needing Licensed Care

of Total Resident Children Needing Licensed Care

Children from Non-Resident Employees Needing

Licensed Care

(1)

(2)

(3)

1649 2507

73

1206 2278

37

446 2123

27 85

309 466

4156

3484

74

2569

62

774

Total Demand for Child Care Spaces

Distribution

EXISTING SUPPLY (4)

755 2588

23 77

Child Care Spaces

3343

100

Family Child Care Home Supply

Child Care Center Supply

Current Child Care Supply

Distribution

EXISTING SURPLUS(SHORTAGE)

Distribution

Percentage of Demand Met

by Existing FacilitiesSpaces

Shortage of Family Child Care Home Spaces

Shortage of Center-Based Spaces

(5)

(6)

(6)

68

27

95

252 317

400 1966

652 2283

22 78

(103) (306)

25 75

86 88

(40) (42)

(63) (263)

569

2366

2935

100

(408)

100

88

(82)

(326)

FINAL

Table A-20

Existing Child Care Demand and Supply in 2015 in South San Francisco

San Mateo County Child Care Study - 2016

Note All footnote references can be found in Table C-1 at the end of this file Sources 2010 US Census ABAG Projections 2013 2014 American Community Survey ACS Journey-to-Work data 2006-2008 and 2006-2010

Child Care Coordinating Council of San Mateo County (4Cs) Community Care Licensing Brion Economics Inc

Prepared by Brion Economics Inc 2513-SMC NA Final Tables 61216 6122016

WOODSIDE

No of

Providers

Child Care as of 2015

Under 2 Years

Old

2 to 4 Year

Olds

Total 0 to 4

Years

EXISTING DEMAND Child Care Demand

Estimated Total Children

Average LFPRAdjustment Factor

Children With Working Parents

Licensed Care Demand Factor

Resident Children Needing Licensed Care

of Total Resident Children Needing Licensed Care

Children from Non-Resident Employees Needing

Licensed Care

(1)

(2)

(3)

90 160

56

50 136

37

18 128

21 80

8 13

250

186

79

147

59

21

Total Demand for Child Care Spaces

Distribution

EXISTING SUPPLY (4)

27 141

16 84

Child Care Spaces

168

100

Family Child Care Home Supply

Child Care Center Supply

Current Child Care Supply

Distribution

EXISTING SURPLUS(SHORTAGE)

Distribution

Percentage of Demand Met

by Existing FacilitiesSpaces

Shortage of Family Child Care Home Spaces

Shortage of Center-Based Spaces

(5)

(6)

(6)

1

2

3

4 5

0 103

4 108

4 96

(23) (33)

41 59

16 77

(23) (2)

0 (31)

9

103

112

100

(55)

100

67

(24)

(31)

FINAL

Table A-21

Existing Child Care Demand and Supply in 2015 in Woodside

San Mateo County Child Care Study - 2016

Note All footnote references can be found in Table C-1 at the end of this file Sources 2010 US Census ABAG Projections 2013 2014 American Community Survey ACS Journey-to-Work data 2006-2008 and 2006-2010

Child Care Coordinating Council of San Mateo County (4Cs) Community Care Licensing Brion Economics Inc

Prepared by Brion Economics Inc 2513-SMC NA Final Tables 61216 6122016

COUNTYWIDE

Child Care as of 2025

No of

Providers

Under 2 Years

Old

2 to 4 Year

Olds

Total 0 to 4

Years

EXISTING DEMAND Child Care Demand

Estimated Total Children

Average LFPRAdjustment Factor

Children With Working Parents

Licensed Care Demand Factor

Resident Children Needing Licensed Care

of Total Resident Children Needing Licensed Care

Children from Non-Resident Employees Needing

Licensed Care

Total Demand for Child Care Spaces

Distribution

EXISTING SUPPLY

(1)

(2)

(3)

(4)

20790 31340

71

14704 28273

37

5441 26432

26 84

2037 3074

7478 29506

20 80

Child Care Spaces

52130

42978

86

31873

61

5112

36984

100

Family Child Care Home Supply

Child Care Center Supply

Current Child Care Supply

Distribution

EXISTING SURPLUS(SHORTAGE)

Distribution

Percentage of Demand Met

by Existing FacilitiesSpaces

Shortage of Family Child Care Home Spaces

Shortage of Center-Based Spaces

(5)

(6)

(6)

621

309

930

2301 2893

1514 16296

3815 19189

17 83

(3663) (10318)

26 74

51 65

(2209) (1555)

(1454) (8762)

5193

17810

23003

100

(13981)

100

62

(3765)

(10216)

FINAL

Table B-1

Future C hild Care Demand and Supply in 2025 Countywide

San Mateo County Child Care Study - 2016

Note All footnote references can be found in Table C-1 at the end of this file

Sources 2010 US Census ABAG Projections 2013 2014 American Community Survey ACS Journey-to-Work data 2006-2008 and 2006-2010

Child Care Coordinating Council of San Mateo County (4Cs) Community Care Licensing Brion Economics Inc

Prepared by Brion Economics Inc 2513-SMC NA Final Tables 61216 6122016

ATHERTON

No of

Providers

Child Care as of 2025

Under 2 Years

Old

2 to 4 Year

Olds

Total 0 to 4

Years

EXISTING DEMAND Child Care Demand

Estimated Total Children

Average LFPRAdjustment Factor

Children With Working Parents

Licensed Care Demand Factor

Resident Children Needing Licensed Care

of Total Resident Children Needing Licensed Care

Children from Non-Resident Employees Needing

Licensed Care

(1)

(2)

(3)

109 193

40

43 159

37

16 154

15 80

13 19

302

202

84

170

56

32

Total Demand for Child Care Spaces

Distribution

EXISTING SUPPLY (4)

29 173

14 86

Child Care Spaces

201

100

Family Child Care Home Supply

Child Care Center Supply

Current Child Care Supply

Distribution

EXISTING SURPLUS(SHORTAGE)

Distribution

Percentage of Demand Met

by Existing FacilitiesSpaces

Shortage of Family Child Care Home Spaces

Shortage of Center-Based Spaces

(5)

(6)

(6)

1

6

7

5 6

24 267

29 273

10 90

0 101

0 100

101 158

NA NA

NA NA

11

291

302

100

101

100

150

NA

NA

FINAL

Table B-2

Future Child Care Demand and Supply in 2025 in Atherton

San Mateo Co unty Child Care Study - 2016

Note All footnote references can be found in Table C-1 at the end of this file Sources 2010 US Census ABAG Projections 2013 2014 American Community Survey ACS Journey-to-Work data 2006-2008 and 2006-2010

Child Care Coordinating Council of San Mateo County (4Cs) Community Care Licensing Brion Economics Inc

Prepared by Brion Economics Inc 2513-SMC NA Final Tables 61216 6122016

BELMONT

Child Care as of 2025

No of

Providers

Under 2 Years

Old

2 to 4 Year

Olds

Total 0 to 4

Years

EXISTING DEMAND Child Care Demand

Estimated Total Children

Average LFPRAdjustment Factor

Children With Working Parents

Licensed Care Demand Factor

Resident Children Needing Licensed Care

of Total Resident Children Needing Licensed Care

Children from Non-Resident Employees Needing

Licensed Care

(1)

(2)

(3)

743 1095

77

574 1013

37

213 943

29 86

37 56

1838

1587

73

1156

63

93

Total Demand for Child Care Spaces

Distribution

EXISTING SUPPLY (4)

250 999

20 80

Child Care Spaces

1249

100

Family Child Care Home Supply

Child Care Center Supply

Current Child Care Supply

Distribution

EXISTING SURPLUS(SHORTAGE)

Distribution

Percentage of Demand Met

by Existing FacilitiesSpaces

Shortage of Family Child Care Home Spaces

Shortage of Center-Based Spaces

(5)

(6)

(6)

8

9

17

67 84

39 531

106 615

15 85

(143) (384)

27 73

43 62

(91) (53)

(53) (331)

152

570

722

100

(527)

100

58

(143)

(384)

FINAL

Table B-3

Future Child Care Demand and Supply in 2025 in Belmont

San Mateo County Child Care Study - 2016

Note All footnote references can be found in Table C-1 at the end of this file

Sources 2010 US Census ABAG Projections 2013 2014 American Community Survey ACS Journey-to-Work data 2006-2008 and 2006-2010

Child Care Coordinating Council of San Mateo County (4Cs) Community Care Licensing Brion Economics Inc

Prepared by Brion Economics Inc 2513-SMC NA Final Tables 61216 6122016

BRISBANE

Child Care as of 2025

No of

Providers

Under 2 Years

Old

2 to 4 Year

Olds

Total 0 to 4

Years

EXISTING DEMAND Child Care Demand

Estimated Total Children

Average LFPRAdjustment Factor

Children With Working Parents

Licensed Care Demand Factor

Resident Children Needing Licensed Care

of Total Resident Children Needing Licensed Care

Children from Non-Resident Employees Needing

Licensed Care

(1)

(2)

(3)

131 174

100

131 174

37

48 160

37 92

55 83

305

305

68

209

68

138

Total Demand for Child Care Spaces

Distribution

EXISTING SUPPLY (4)

103 243

30 70

Child Care Spaces

346

100

Family Child Care Home Supply

Child Care Center Supply

Current Child Care Supply

Distribution

EXISTING SURPLUS(SHORTAGE)

Distribution

Percentage of Demand Met

by Existing FacilitiesSpaces

Shortage of Family Child Care Home Spaces

Shortage of Center-Based Spaces

(5)

(6)

(6)

1

1

2

4 5

0 64

4 69

6 94

(99) (174)

36 64

4 29

(99) (13)

0 (160)

9

64

73

100

(273)

100

21

(112)

(160)

FINAL

Table B-4

Future Child Care Demand and Supply in 2025 in Brisbane

San Mateo County Child Care Study - 2016

Note All footnote references can be found in Table C-1 at the end of this file Sources 2010 US Census ABAG Projections 2013 2014 American Community Survey ACS Journey-to-Work data 2006-2008 and 2006-2010

Child Care Coordinating Council of San Mateo County (4Cs) Community Care Licensing Brion Economics Inc

Prepared by Brion Economics Inc 2513-SMC NA Final Tables 61216 6122016

BURLINGAME

Child Care as of 2025

No of

Providers

Under 2 Years

Old

2 to 4 Year

Olds

Total 0 to 4

Years

EXISTING DEMAND Child Care Demand

Estimated Total Children

Average LFPRAdjustment Factor

Children With Working Parents

Licensed Care Demand Factor

Resident Children Needing Licensed Care

of Total Resident Children Needing Licensed Care

Children from Non-Resident Employees Needing

Licensed Care

(1)

(2)

(3)

903 1332

65

587 1190

37

217 1124

24 84

154 232

2235

1777

75

1341

60

385

Total Demand for Child Care Spaces

Distribution

EXISTING SUPPLY (4)

371 1356

21 79

Child Care Spaces

1726

100

Family Child Care Home Supply

Child Care Center Supply

Current Child Care Supply

Distribution

EXISTING SURPLUS(SHORTAGE)

Distribution

Percentage of Demand Met

by Existing FacilitiesSpaces

Shortage of Family Child Care Home Spaces

Shortage of Center-Based Spaces

(5)

(6)

(6)

10

14

24

79 99

40 866

119 965

11 89

(252) (390)

39 61

32 71

(167) (40)

(85) (350)

179

906

1085

100

(642)

100

63

(207)

(434)

FINAL

Table B-5

Future Child Care Demand and Supply in 2025 in Burlingame

San Mateo County Child Care Study - 2016

Note All footnote references can be found in Table C-1 at the end of this file

Sources 2010 US Census ABAG Projections 2013 2014 American Community Survey ACS Journey-to-Work data 2006-2008 and 2006-2010

Child Care Coordinating Council of San Mateo County (4Cs) Community Care Licensing Brion Economics Inc

Prepared by Brion Economics Inc 2513-SMC NA Final Tables 61216 6122016

DALY CITYCOLMA

Child Care as of 2025

No of

Providers

Under 2 Years

Old

2 to 4 Year

Olds

Total 0 to 4

Years

EXISTING DEMAND Child Care Demand

Estimated Total Children

Average LFPRAdjustment Factor

Children With Working Parents

Licensed Care Demand Factor

Resident Children Needing Licensed Care

of Total Resident Children Needing Licensed Care

Children from Non-Resident Employees Needing

Licensed Care

(1)

(2)

(3)

2647 3793

74

1964 3467

37

727 3233

27 85

138 208

6440

5432

73

3960

61

346

Total Demand for Child Care Spaces

Distribution

EXISTING SUPPLY (4)

865 3441

20 80

Child Care Spaces

4306

100

Family Child Care Home Supply

Child Care Center Supply

Current Child Care Supply

Distribution

EXISTING SURPLUS(SHORTAGE)

Distribution

Percentage of Demand Met

by Existing FacilitiesSpaces

Shortage of Family Child Care Home Spaces

Shortage of Center-Based Spaces

(5)

(6)

(6)

25

28

28

288 362

84 1264

372 1626

19 81

(493) (1816)

21 79

43 47

(381) (404)

(111) (1412)

649

1348

1997

100

(2308)

100

46

(785)

(1523)

FINAL

Table B-6

Future C hild Care Demand and Supply in 2025 in Daly CityColma

San Mateo County Child Care Study - 2016

Note All footnote references can be found in Table C-1 at the end of this file

Sources 2010 US Census ABAG Projections 2013 2014 American Community Survey ACS Journey-to-Work data 2006-2008 and 2006-2010

Child Care Coordinating Council of San Mateo County (4Cs) Community Care Licensing Brion Economics Inc

Prepared by Brion Economics Inc 2513-SMC NA Final Tables 61216 6122016

EAST PALO ALTO

Child Care as of 2025

No of

Providers

Under 2 Years

Old

2 to 4 Year

Olds

Total 0 to 4

Years

EXISTING DEMAND Child Care Demand

Estimated Total Children

Average LFPRAdjustment Factor

Children With Working Parents

Licensed Care Demand Factor

Resident Children Needing Licensed Care

of Total Resident Children Needing Licensed Care

Children from Non-Resident Employees Needing

Licensed Care

(1)

(2)

(3)

1161 1849

71

822 1660

37

304 1545

26 84

20 30

3010

2482

75

1849

61

50

Total Demand for Child Care Spaces

Distribution

EXISTING SUPPLY (4)

324 1575

17 83

Child Care Spaces

1900

100

Family Child Care Home Supply

Child Care Center Supply

Current Child Care Supply

Distribution

EXISTING SURPLUS(SHORTAGE)

Distribution

Percentage of Demand Met

by Existing FacilitiesSpaces

Shortage of Family Child Care Home Spaces

Shortage of Center-Based Spaces

(5)

(6)

(6)

13

6

19

85 106

25 633

110 739

13 87

(215) (836)

20 80

34 47

(166) (120)

(49) (715)

191

658

849

100

(1050)

100

45

(286)

(764)

FINAL

Table B-7

Future Child Care Demand and Supply in 2025 in East Palo Alto

San Mateo County Child Care Study - 2016

Note All footnote references can be found in Table C-1 at the end of this file

Sources 2010 US Census ABAG Projections 2013 2014 American Community Survey ACS Journey-to-Work data 2006-2008 and 2006-2010

Child Care Coordinating Council of San Mateo County (4Cs) Community Care Licensing Brion Economics Inc

Prepared by Brion Economics Inc 2513-SMC NA Final Tables 61216 6122016

FOSTER CITY

Child Care as of 2025

No of

Providers

Under 2 Years

Old

2 to 4 Year

Olds

Total 0 to 4

Years

EXISTING DEMAND Child Care Demand

Estimated Total Children

Average LFPRAdjustment Factor

Children With Working Parents

Licensed Care Demand Factor

Resident Children Needing Licensed Care

of Total Resident Children Needing Licensed Care

Children from Non-Resident Employees Needing

Licensed Care

(1)

(2)

(3)

871 1330

63

550 1154

37

204 1079

23 81

80 120

2201

1705

75

1282

58

200

Total Demand for Child Care Spaces

Distribution

EXISTING SUPPLY (4)

283 1199

19 81

Child Care Spaces

1483

100

Family Child Care Home Supply

Child Care Center Supply

Current Child Care Supply

Distribution

EXISTING SURPLUS(SHORTAGE)

Distribution

Percentage of Demand Met

by Existing FacilitiesSpaces

Shortage of Family Child Care Home Spaces

Shortage of Center-Based Spaces

(5)

(6)

(6)

19

12

31

118 149

88 1200

206 1349

13 87

(77) 150

-106 206

73 112

(44) NA

(33) NA

267

1288

1555

100

73

100

105

(44)

(33)

FINAL

Table B-8

Future Child Care Demand and Supply in 2025 in Foster City

San Mateo County Child Care Study - 2016

Note All footnote references can be found in Table C-1 at the end of this file

Sources 2010 US Census ABAG Projections 2013 2014 American Community Survey ACS Journey-to-Work data 2006-2008 and 2006-2010

Child Care Coordinating Council of San Mateo County (4Cs) Community Care Licensing Brion Economics Inc

Prepared by Brion Economics Inc 2513-SMC NA Final Tables 61216 6122016

HALF MOON BAY REGION

Child Care as of 2025

No of

Providers

Under 2 Years

Old

2 to 4 Year

Olds

Total 0 to 4

Years

EXISTING DEMAND Child Care Demand

Estimated Total Children

Average LFPRAdjustment Factor

Children With Working Parents

Licensed Care Demand Factor

Resident Children Needing Licensed Care

of Total Resident Children Needing Licensed Care

Children from Non-Resident Employees Needing

Licensed Care

(1)

(2)

(3)

553 929

69

383 835

37

142 781

26 84

14 21

1482

1217

76

923

62

34

Total Demand for Child Care Spaces

Distribution

EXISTING SUPPLY (4)

155 802

16 84

Child Care Spaces

957

100

Family Child Care Home Supply

Child Care Center Supply

Current Child Care Supply

Distribution

EXISTING SURPLUS(SHORTAGE)

Distribution

Percentage of Demand Met

by Existing FacilitiesSpaces

Shortage of Family Child Care Home Spaces

Shortage of Center-Based Spaces

(5)

(6)

(6)

10

11

21

96 121

35 285

131 406

24 76

(24) (396)

6 94

84 51

(18) (118)

(6) (279)

216

320

536

100

(421)

100

56

(136)

(285)

FINAL

Table B-9

Future Child Care Demand and Supply in 2025 in Half Moon Bay Region

San Mateo County Child Care Study - 2016

Note All footnote references can be found in Table C-1 at the end of this file

Sources 2010 US Census ABAG Projections 2013 2014 American Community Survey ACS Journey-to-Work data 2006-2008 and 2006-2010

Child Care Coordinating Council of San Mateo County (4Cs) Community Care Licensing Brion Economics Inc

Prepared by Brion Economics Inc 2513-SMC NA Final Tables 61216 6122016

HILLSBOROUGH

Child Care as of 2025

No of

Providers

Under 2 Years

Old

2 to 4 Year

Olds

Total 0 to 4

Years

EXISTING DEMAND Child Care Demand

Estimated Total Children

Average LFPRAdjustment Factor

Children With Working Parents

Licensed Care Demand Factor

Resident Children Needing Licensed Care

of Total Resident Children Needing Licensed Care

Children from Non-Resident Employees Needing

Licensed Care

(1)

(2)

(3)

143 343

52

74 295

37

27 282

19 82

7 11

487

369

84

309

64

17

Total Demand for Child Care Spaces

Distribution

EXISTING SUPPLY (4)

34 292

10 90

Child Care Spaces

327

100

Family Child Care Home Supply

Child Care Center Supply

Current Child Care Supply

Distribution

EXISTING SURPLUS(SHORTAGE)

Distribution

Percentage of Demand Met

by Existing FacilitiesSpaces

Shortage of Family Child Care Home Spaces

Shortage of Center-Based Spaces

(5)

(6)

(6)

1

4

5

5 6

- 91

5 97

5 95

(29) (195)

13 87

14 33

(29) (12)

0 (183)

11

91

102

100

(225)

100

31

(42)

(183)

FINAL

Table B-10

Future Child Care Demand and Supply in 2025 in Hillsborough

San Mateo County Child Care Study - 2016

Note All footnote references can be found in Table C-1 at the end of this file

Sources 2010 US Census ABAG Projections 2013 2014 American Community Survey ACS Journey-to-Work data 2006-2008 and 2006-2010

Child Care Coordinating Council of San Mateo County (4Cs) Community Care Licensing Brion Economics Inc

Prepared by Brion Economics Inc 2513-SMC NA Final Tables 61216 6122016

MENLO PARK

Child Care as of 2025

No of

Providers

Under 2 Years

Old

2 to 4 Year

Olds

Total 0 to 4

Years

EXISTING DEMAND Child Care Demand

Estimated Total Children

Average LFPRAdjustment Factor

Children With Working Parents

Licensed Care Demand Factor

Resident Children Needing Licensed Care

of Total Resident Children Needing Licensed Care

Children from Non-Resident Employees Needing

Licensed Care

(1)

(2)

(3)

1327 1954

69

909 1759

37

336 1653

25 85

237 357

3281

2668

75

1989

61

594

Total Demand for Child Care Spaces

Distribution

EXISTING SUPPLY (4)

573 2011

22 78

Child Care Spaces

2584

100

Family Child Care Home Supply

Child Care Center Supply

Current Child Care Supply

Distribution

EXISTING SURPLUS(SHORTAGE)

Distribution

Percentage of Demand Met

by Existing FacilitiesSpaces

Shortage of Family Child Care Home Spaces

Shortage of Center-Based Spaces

(5)

(6)

(6)

15

25

40

76 96

73 1331

149 1427

9 91

(424) (584)

42 58

26 71

(217) (39)

(207) (544)

172

1404

1576

100

(1008)

100

61

(256)

(752)

FINAL

Table B-11

Future Child Care Demand and Supply in 2025 in Menlo Park

San Mateo County Child Care Study - 2016

Note All footnote references can be found in Table C-1 at the end of this file

Sources 2010 US Census ABAG Projections 2013 2014 American Community Survey ACS Journey-to-Work data 2006-2008 and 2006-2010

Child Care Coordinating Council of San Mateo County (4Cs) Community Care Licensing Brion Economics Inc

Prepared by Brion Economics Inc 2513-SMC NA Final Tables 61216 6122016

MILLBRAE

Child Care as of 2025

No of

Providers

Under 2 Years

Old

2 to 4 Year

Olds

Total 0 to 4

Years

EXISTING DEMAND Child Care Demand

Estimated Total Children

Average LFPRAdjustment Factor

Children With Working Parents

Licensed Care Demand Factor

Resident Children Needing Licensed Care

of Total Resident Children Needing Licensed Care

Children from Non-Resident Employees Needing

Licensed Care

(1)

(2)

(3)

473 805

62

291 710

37

108 672

23 83

31 47

1278

1001

78

780

61

77

Total Demand for Child Care Spaces

Distribution

EXISTING SUPPLY (4)

139 718

16 84

Child Care Spaces

857

100

Family Child Care Home Supply

Child Care Center Supply

Current Child Care Supply

Distribution

EXISTING SURPLUS(SHORTAGE)

Distribution

Percentage of Demand Met

by Existing FacilitiesSpaces

Shortage of Family Child Care Home Spaces

Shortage of Center-Based Spaces

(5)

(6)

(6)

7

7

14

62 78

- 376

62 454

12 88

(76) (264)

22 78

45 63

(76) (46)

0 (219)

141

376

517

100

(340)

100

60

(122)

(219)

FINAL

Table B-12

Future C hild Care Demand and Supply in 2025 in Millbrae

San Mateo County Child Care Study - 2016

Note All footnote references can be found in Table C-1 at the end of this file

Sources 2010 US Census ABAG Projections 2013 2014 American Community Survey ACS Journey-to-Work data 2006-2008 and 2006-2010

Child Care Coordinating Council of San Mateo County (4Cs) Community Care Licensing Brion Economics Inc

Prepared by Brion Economics Inc 2513-SMC NA Final Tables 61216 6122016

FINAL

Table B-13

Future Child Care Demand and Supply in 2025 in Pacifica

San Mateo County Child Care Study - 2016

PACIFICA

Child Care as of 2025

No of

Providers

Under 2 Years

Old

2 to 4 Year

Olds

Total 0 to 4

Years

EXISTING DEMAND Child Care Demand

Estimated Total Children

Average L FPRAdjustment Factor

Children With Working Parents

Licensed Care Demand Factor

Resident Children Needing Licensed Care

of Total Resident Children Needing Licensed Care

Children from Non-Resident Employees Needing

Licensed Care

(1)

(2)

(3)

816 1300

78

633 1209

37

234 1130

29 87

19 29

2116

1842

74

1364

64

48

Total Demand for Child Care Spaces

Distribution

EXISTING SUPPLY (4)

254 1159

18 82

Child Care Spaces

1413

100

Family Child Care Home Supply

Child Care Center Supply

Current Child Care Supply

Distribution

EXISTING SURPLUS(SHORTAGE)

Distribution

Percentage of Demand Met

by Existing FacilitiesSpaces

Shortage of Family Child Care Home Spaces

Shortage of Center-Based Spaces

(5)

(6)

(6)

9

18

27

77 97

39 701

116 798

13 87

(138) (361)

28 72

46 69

(91) (44)

(46) (317)

174

740

914

100

(499)

100

65

(135)

(364)

Note All footnote references can be found in Table C-1 at the end of this file

Sources 2010 US Census ABAG Projections 2013 2014 American Community Survey ACS Journey-to-Work data 2006-2008 and 2006-2010

Child Care Coordinating Council of San Mateo County (4Cs) Community Care Licensing Brion Economics Inc

Prepared by Brion Economics Inc 2513-SMC NA Final Tables 61216 6122016

PORTOLA VALLEY

Child Care as of 2025

No of

Providers

Under 2 Years

Old

2 to 4 Year

Olds

Total 0 to 4

Years

EXISTING DEMAND Child Care Demand

Estimated Total Children

Average LFPRAdjustment Factor

Children With Working Parents

Licensed Care Demand Factor

Resident Children Needing Licensed Care

of Total Resident Children Needing Licensed Care

Children from Non-Resident Employees Needing

Licensed Care

(1)

(2)

(3)

77 192

66

51 173

37

19 164

24 85

9 13

269

224

82

182

68

22

Total Demand for Child Care Spaces

Distribution

EXISTING SUPPLY (4)

28 177

13 87

Child Care Spaces

204

100

Family Child Care Home Supply

Child Care Center Supply

Current Child Care Supply

Distribution

EXISTING SURPLUS(SHORTAGE)

Distribution

Percentage of Demand Met

by Existing FacilitiesSpaces

Shortage of Family Child Care Home Spaces

Shortage of Center-Based Spaces

(5)

(6)

(6)

0

4

4

- -

- 153

- 153

0 100

(28) (24)

54 46

0 87

0 0

(28) (24)

0

153

153

100

(51)

100

75

0

(51)

FINAL

Table B-14

Future Child Care Demand and Supply in 2025 in Portola Valley

San Mateo County Child Care Study - 2016

Note All footnote references can be found in Table C-1 at the end of this file

Sources 2010 US Census ABAG Projections 2013 2014 American Community Survey ACS Journey-to-Work data 2006-2008 and 2006-2010

Child Care Coordinating Council of San Mateo County (4Cs) Community Care Licensing Brion Economics Inc

Prepared by Brion Economics Inc 2513-SMC NA Final Tables 61216 6122016

REDWOOD CITY

No of

Providers

Child Care as of 2025

Under 2 Years

Old

2 to 4 Year

Olds

Total 0 to 4

Years

EXISTING DEMAND Child Care Demand

Estimated Total Children

Average LFPRAdjustment Factor

Children With Working Parents

Licensed Care Demand Factor

Resident Children Needing Licensed Care

of Total Resident Children Needing Licensed Care

Children from Non-Resident Employees Needing

Licensed Care

Total Demand for Child Care Spaces

Distribution

EXISTING SUPPLY

(1)

(2)

(3)

(4)

3725 5378

69

2555 4813

37

946 4505

25 84

466 703

1411 5208

21 79

Child Care Spaces

9103

7368

74

5450

60

1169

6619

100

Family Child Care Home Supply

Child Care Center Supply

Current Child Care Supply

Distribution

EXISTING SURPLUS(SHORTAGE)

Distribution

Percentage of Demand Met

by Existing FacilitiesSpaces

Shortage of Family Child Care Home Spaces

Shortage of Center-Based Spaces

(5)

(6)

(6)

42

41

83

396 497

356 2036

752 2533

23 77

(660) (2674)

20 80

53 49

(347) (525)

(313) (2149)

893

2392

3285

100

(3334)

100

50

(872)

(2462)

FINAL

Table B-15

Future Child Care Demand and Supply in 2025 in Redwood City

San Mateo County Child Care Study - 2016

Note All footnote references can be found in Table C-1 at the end of this file

Sources 2010 US Census ABAG Projections 2013 2014 American Community Survey ACS Journey-to-Work data 2006-2008 and 2006-2010

Child Care Coordinating Council of San Mateo County (4Cs) Community Care Licensing Brion Economics Inc

Prepared by Brion Economics Inc 2513-SMC NA Final Tables 61216 6122016

SAN BRUNO

Child Care as of 2025

No of

Providers

Under 2 Years

Old

2 to 4 Year

Olds

Total 0 to 4

Years

EXISTING DEMAND Child Care Demand

Estimated Total Children

Average LFPRAdjustment Factor

Children With Working Parents

Licensed Care Demand Factor

Resident Children Needing Licensed Care

of Total Resident Children Needing Licensed Care

Children from Non-Resident Employees Needing

Licensed Care

(1)

(2)

(3)

1189 1728

77

910 1589

37

337 1475

28 85

68 103

2917

2498

73

1812

62

171

Total Demand for Child Care Spaces

Distribution

EXISTING SUPPLY (4)

405 1578

20 80

Child Care Spaces

1983

100

Family Child Care Home Supply

Child Care Center Supply

Current Child Care Supply

Distribution

EXISTING SURPLUS(SHORTAGE)

Distribution

Percentage of Demand Met

by Existing FacilitiesSpaces

Shortage of Family Child Care Home Spaces

Shortage of Center-Based Spaces

(5)

(6)

(6)

13

15

28

122 153

26 1183

148 1336

10 90

(257) (242)

52 48

37 85

(212) (28)

(45) (214)

275

1209

1484

100

(499)

100

75

(239)

(259)

FINAL

Table B-16

Future C hild Care Demand and Supply in 2025 in San Bruno

San Mateo County Child Care Study - 2016

Note All footnote references can be found in Table C-1 at the end of this file

Sources 2010 US Census ABAG Projections 2013 2014 American Community Survey ACS Journey-to-Work data 2006-2008 and 2006-2010

Child Care Coordinating Council of San Mateo County (4Cs) Community Care Licensing Brion Economics Inc

Prepared by Brion Economics Inc 2513-SMC NA Final Tables 61216 6122016

SAN CARLOS

Child Care as of 2025

No of

Providers

Under 2 Years

Old

2 to 4 Year

Olds

Total 0 to 4

Years

EXISTING DEMAND Child Care Demand

Estimated Total Children

Average LFPRAdjustment Factor

Children With Working Parents

Licensed Care Demand Factor

Resident Children Needing Licensed Care

of Total Resident Children Needing Licensed Care

Children from Non-Resident Employees Needing

Licensed Care

(1)

(2)

(3)

778 1384

72

557 1255

37

206 1174

26 85

82 123

2162

1812

76

1380

64

205

Total Demand for Child Care Spaces

Distribution

EXISTING SUPPLY (4)

288 1297

18 82

Child Care Spaces

1585

100

Family Child Care Home Supply

Child Care Center Supply

Current Child Care Supply

Distribution

EXISTING SURPLUS(SHORTAGE)

Distribution

Percentage of Demand Met

by Existing FacilitiesSpaces

Shortage of Family Child Care Home Spaces

Shortage of Center-Based Spaces

(5)

(6)

(6)

28

14

42

73 92

76 615

149 707

17 83

(139) (590)

19 81

52 54

(68) (76)

(71) (514)

164

691

855

100

(729)

100

54

(145)

(585)

FINAL

Table B-17

Future Child Care Demand and Supply in 2025 in San Carlos

San Mateo County Child Care Study - 2016

Note All footnote references can be found in Table C-1 at the end of this file

Sources 2010 US Census ABAG Projections 2013 2014 American Community Survey ACS Journey-to-Work data 2006-2008 and 2006-2010

Child Care Coordinating Council of San Mateo County (4Cs) Community Care Licensing Brion Economics Inc

Prepared by Brion Economics Inc 2513-SMC NA Final Tables 61216 6122016

SAN MATEO

Child Care as of 2025

No of

Providers

Under 2 Years

Old

2 to 4 Year

Olds

Total 0 to 4

Years

EXISTING DEMAND Child Care Demand

Estimated Total Children

Average LFPRAdjustment Factor

Children With Working Parents

Licensed Care Demand Factor

Resident Children Needing Licensed Care

of Total Resident Children Needing Licensed Care

Children from Non-Resident Employees Needing

Licensed Care

(1)

(2)

(3)

3194 4572

71

2264 4116

37

838 3839

26 84

261 394

7766

6381

73

4677

60

656

Total Demand for Child Care Spaces

Distribution

EXISTING SUPPLY (4)

1099 4233

21 79

Child Care Spaces

5332

100

Family Child Care Home Supply

Child Care Center Supply

Current Child Care Supply

Distribution

EXISTING SURPLUS(SHORTAGE)

Distribution

Percentage of Demand Met

by Existing FacilitiesSpaces

Shortage of Family Child Care Home Spaces

Shortage of Center-Based Spaces

(5)

(6)

(6)

69

59

128

492 619

209 2577

701 3196

18 82

(398) (1037)

28 72

64 75

(279) (201)

(119) (837)

1111

2786

3897

100

(1435)

100

73

(480)

(955)

FINAL

Table B-18

Future Child Care Demand and Supply in 2025 in San Mateo

San Mateo County Child Care Study - 2016

Note All footnote references can be found in Table C-1 at the end of this file

Sources 2010 US Census ABAG Projections 2013 2014 American Community Survey ACS Journey-to-Work data 2006-2008 and 2006-2010

Child Care Coordinating Council of San Mateo County (4Cs) Community Care Licensing Brion Economics Inc

Prepared by Brion Economics Inc 2513-SMC NA Final Tables 61216 6122016

FINAL

Table B-19

Future Child Care Demand and Supply in 2025 in South Coast

San Mateo County Child Care Study - 2016

SOUTH COAST

Child Care as of 2025

No of

Providers

Under 2 Years

Old

2 to 4 Year

Olds

Total 0 to 4

Years

EXISTING DEMAND Child Care Demand

Estimated Total Children (1) 23 32 55

Average LFPRAdjustment Factor (2) 54

Children With Working Parents 12 27 40

Licensed Care Demand Factor (3) 37 77

Resident Children Needing Licensed Care 5 26 30

of Total Resident Children Needing Licensed Care 20 81 56

Children from Non-Resident Employees Needing

Licensed Care 0 0 0

Total Demand for Child Care Spaces 5 26 30

Distribution 15 85 100

EXISTING SUPPLY (4) Child Care Spaces

Family Child Care Home Supply - 0 0 0

Child Care Center Supply 2 0 54 54

Current Child Care Supply 2 - 54 54

Distribution 0 100 100

EXISTING SURPLUS(SHORTAGE) (5) 28 24

Distribution -19 119 100

Percentage of Demand Met

by Existing FacilitiesSpaces (5) 0 209 177

Shortage of Family Child Care Home Spaces (6) 0 NA 0

Shortage of Center-Based Spaces (6) (5) NA (5)

Note All footnote references can be found in Table C-1 at the end of this file

Sources 2010 US Census ABAG Projections 2013 2014 American Community Survey ACS Journey-to-Work data 2006-2008 and 2006-2010

Child Care Coordinating Council of San Mateo County (4Cs) Community Care Licensing Brion Economics Inc

Prepared by Brion Economics Inc 2513-SMC NA Final Tables 61216 6122016

SOUTH SAN FRANCISCO

Child Care as of 2025

No of

Providers

Under 2 Years

Old

2 to 4 Year

Olds

Total 0 to 4

Years

EXISTING DEMAND Child Care Demand

Estimated Total Children

Average LFPRAdjustment Factor

Children With Working Parents

Licensed Care Demand Factor

Resident Children Needing Licensed Care

of Total Resident Children Needing Licensed Care

Children from Non-Resident Employees Needing

Licensed Care

(1)

(2)

(3)

1835 2790

73

1342 2535

37

496 2362

27 85

339 512

4625

3877

74

2859

62

851

Total Demand for Child Care Spaces

Distribution

EXISTING SUPPLY (4)

835 2874

23 77

Child Care Spaces

3709

100

Family Child Care Home Supply

Child Care Center Supply

Current Child Care Supply

Distribution

EXISTING SURPLUS(SHORTAGE)

Distribution

Percentage of Demand Met

by Existing FacilitiesSpaces

Shortage of Family Child Care Home Spaces

Shortage of Center-Based Spaces

(5)

(6)

(6)

30

27

57

252 317

400 1966

652 2283

22 78

(183) (591)

24 76

78 79

(71) (82)

(113) (509)

569

2366

2935

100

(775)

100

79

(153)

(622)

FINAL

Table B-20

Future Child Care Demand and Supply in 2025 in South San Francisco

San Mateo County Child Care Study - 2016

Note All footnote references can be found in Table C-1 at the end of this file

Sources 2010 US Census ABAG Projections 2013 2014 American Community Survey ACS Journey-to-Work data 2006-2008 and 2006-2010

Child Care Coordinating Council of San Mateo County (4Cs) Community Care Licensing Brion Economics Inc

Prepared by Brion Economics Inc 2513-SMC NA Final Tables 61216 6122016

WOODSIDE

No of

Providers

Child Care as of 2025

Under 2 Years

Old

2 to 4 Year

Olds

Total 0 to 4

Years

EXISTING DEMAND Child Care Demand

Estimated Total Children

Average LFPRAdjustment Factor

Children With Working Parents

Licensed Care Demand Factor

Resident Children Needing Licensed Care

of Total Resident Children Needing Licensed Care

Children from Non-Resident Employees Needing

Licensed Care

(1)

(2)

(3)

93 165

56

51 140

37

19 132

21 80

9 13

258

192

79

152

59

22

Total Demand for Child Care Spaces

Distribution

EXISTING SUPPLY (4)

28 146

16 84

Child Care Spaces

174

100

Family Child Care Home Supply

Child Care Center Supply

Current Child Care Supply

Distribution

EXISTING SURPLUS(SHORTAGE)

Distribution

Percentage of Demand Met

by Existing FacilitiesSpaces

Shortage of Family Child Care Home Spaces

Shortage of Center-Based Spaces

(5)

(6)

(6)

1

2

3

4 5

- 103

4 108

4 96

(24) (38)

39 61

15 74

(24) (2)

0 (36)

9

103

112

100

(61)

100

65

(26)

(36)

FINAL

Table B-21

Future Child Care Demand and Supply in 2025 in Woodside

San Mateo County Child Care Study - 2016

Note All footnote references can be found in Table C-1 at the end of this file

Sources 2010 US Census ABAG Projections 2013 2014 American Community Survey ACS Journey-to-Work data 2006-2008 and 2006-2010

Child Care Coordinating Council of San Mateo County (4Cs) Community Care Licensing Brion Economics Inc

Prepared by Brion Economics Inc 2513-SMC NA Final Tables 61216 6122016

FINAL

Table C-1

Endnotes for Tables

San Mateo County Child Care Study - 2016

(1) Population by age is based on the percentage breakdown from the 2010 US Census and applied

to population estimates for 2015 using ABAGs Projections 2013 population data The ABAG data

for each area includes its Sphere of Influence and is not based on strict jurisdictional boundaries

(2) Labor force participation rates are from the 5-Year American Community Survey 2014 and include

children under six years old with two working parents or a single working parent For the 2- to 4-year

olds the labor force participation rate is applied to 2 year olds For 3- and 4-year olds it is assumed

that 100 need licensed care to support preschool for every child so the number of

3- and 4-year olds is not discounted by labor force participation rates

(3) Not all children with working parents are assumed to need licensed care percentage assumptions are

used to calculate the number of children requiring licensed care under each age category The

remaining children are assumed to be cared for in alternate arrangements such as by family members

nannies friends and other unlicensed care For children ages 3- and 4-years old it is assumed that

they all need care in the form of preschool

(4) Data on child care supply provided by the Child Care Coordinating Council of San Mateo County (4Cs)

and Community Care Licensing Division of the California Department of Social Services (CCLD) Data is

for June 2015

(5) Demand that calculates as less than 100 means that there is greater demand than supply percent of

demand that is over 100 means supply exceeds demand

(6) Unmet demand is broken down into shortage by type of care based on the proportion of FCCHs and

child care centers spaces available in each area If an area does not have any FCCHs or centers the

unmet demand is placed in the type of care that is available in the area (eg if there are only centers

all demand goes to centers)

Source Brion Economics Inc

Prepared by Brion Economics Inc 2513-SMC NA Final Tables 61216 6122016

DRAFT REPORT

Table C-2

Labor Force Participation Rates by CityArea

San Mateo County Child Care Study - 2016

CityArea

Labor Force

Participation Rate (1)

Atherton

Belmont

Brisbane

Burlingame

Daly CityColma

East Palo Alto

Foster City

Half Moon Bay Region

Hillsborough

Menlo Park

Millbrae

Pacifica

Portola Valley

Redwood City

San Bruno

San Carlos

San Mateo

South Coast

South San Francisco

Woodside

40

77

100

65

74

71

63

69

52

69

62

78

66

69

77

72

71

54

73

56

(1) Labor force participation rates (LFPRs) are for

families with children under age six with two

working parents or a single parent who works Sources American Community Survey 2014 5-Year

Survey Brion Economics Inc

Prepared by Brion Economics Inc 2513-SMC NA Final Tables 61216 6122016

  • 2513-SMC FINAL NA Memo-61216
  • 2513-SMC NA Final Tables 61216
Page 26: Final San Mateo County Child Care Needs … Care...Future C hild Care Demand and Supply in 2025 in Daly City/Colma San Mateo County Child Care Study - 2016 Note: All footnote references

FINAL

Table A-4

Existing Child Care Demand and Supply in 2015 in Brisbane

San Mateo County Child Care Study - 2016

BRISBANE

Child Care as of 2015

No of

Providers

Under 2 Years

Old

2 to 4 Year

Olds

Total 0 to 4

Years

EXISTING DEMAND Child Care Demand

Estimated Total Children (1) 125 166 292

Average LFPRAdjustment Factor (2) 100

Children With Working Parents 125 166 292

Licensed Care Demand Factor (3) 37 68

Resident Children Needing Licensed Care 46 153 199

of Total Resident Children Needing Licensed Care 37 92 68

Children from Non-Resident Employees Needing

Licensed Care 52 78 129

Total Demand for Child Care Spaces 98 231 329

Distribution 30 70 100

EXISTING SUPPLY (4) Child Care Spaces

Family Child Care Home Supply 1 4 5 9

Child Care Center Supply 1 - 64 64

Current Child Care Supply 2 4 69 73

Distribution 6 94 100

EXISTING SURPLUS(SHORTAGE) (94) (162) (255)

Distribution 37 63 100

Percentage of Demand Met

by Existing FacilitiesSpaces (5) 4 30 22

Shortage of Family Child Care Home Spaces (6) (94) (12) (106)

Shortage of Center-Based Spaces (6) 0 (149) (149)

Note All footnote references can be found in Table C-1 at the end of this file

Sources 2010 US Census ABAG Projections 2013 2014 American Community Survey ACS Journey-to-Work data 2006-2008 and 2006-2010

Child Care Coordinating Council of San Mateo County (4Cs) Community Care Licensing Brion Economics Inc

Prepared by Brion Economics Inc 2513-SMC NA Final Tables 61216 6122016

BURLINGAME

Child Care as of 2015

No of

Providers

Under 2 Years

Old

2 to 4 Year

Olds

Total 0 to 4

Years

EXISTING DEMAND Child Care Demand

Estimated Total Children

Average LFPRAdjustment Factor

Children With Working Parents

Licensed Care Demand Factor

Resident Children Needing Licensed Care

of Total Resident Children Needing Licensed Care

Children from Non-Resident Employees Needing

Licensed Care

(1)

(2)

(3)

824 1216

65

535 1086

37

198 1025

24 84

140 211

2040

1621

75

1224

60

350

Total Demand for Child Care Spaces

Distribution

EXISTING SUPPLY (4)

338 1236

21 79

Child Care Spaces

1574

100

Family Child Care Home Supply

Child Care Center Supply

Current Child Care Supply

Distribution

EXISTING SURPLUS(SHORTAGE)

Distribution

Percentage of Demand Met

by Existing FacilitiesSpaces

Shortage of Family Child Care Home Spaces

Shortage of Center-Based Spaces

(5)

(6)

(6)

21

14

35

79 99

40 866

119 965

11 89

(219) (271)

45 55

35 78

(145) (28)

(73) (243)

179

906

1085

100

(489)

100

69

(173)

(316)

FINAL

Table A-5

Existing Child Care Demand and Supply in 2015 in Burlingame

San Mateo County Child Care Study - 2016

Note All footnote references can be found in Table C-1 at the end of this file

Sources 2010 US Census ABAG Projections 2013 2014 American Community Survey ACS Journey-to-Work data 2006-2008 and 2006-2010

Child Care Coordinating Council of San Mateo County (4Cs) Community Care Licensing Brion Economics Inc

Prepared by Brion Economics Inc 2513-SMC NA Final Tables 61216 6122016

DALY CITYCOLMA

Child Care as of 2015

No of

Providers

Under 2 Years

Old

2 to 4 Year

Olds

Total 0 to 4

Years

EXISTING DEMAND Child Care Demand

Estimated Total Children

Average LFPRAdjustment Factor

Children With Working Parents

Licensed Care Demand Factor

Resident Children Needing Licensed Care

of Total Resident Children Needing Licensed Care

Children from Non-Resident Employees Needing

Licensed Care

(1)

(2)

(3)

2495 3575

742

1851 3268

37

685 3047

27 85

126 190

6070

5119

73

3732

61

316

Total Demand for Child Care Spaces

Distribution

EXISTING SUPPLY (4)

811 3237

20 80

Child Care Spaces

4048

100

Family Child Care Home Supply

Child Care Center Supply

Current Child Care Supply

Distribution

EXISTING SURPLUS(SHORTAGE)

Distribution

Percentage of Demand Met

by Existing FacilitiesSpaces

Shortage of Family Child Care Home Spaces

Shortage of Center-Based Spaces

(5)

(6)

(6)

85

28

113

288 362

84 1264

372 1626

19 81

(439) (1612)

21 79

46 50

(340) (359)

(99) (1253)

649

1348

1997

100

(2051)

100

49

(698)

(1352)

FINAL

Table A-6

Existing Child Care Demand and Supply in 2015 in Daly CityColma

San Mateo Co unty Child Care Study - 2016

Note All footnote references can be found in Table C-1 at the end of this file

Sources 2010 US Census ABAG Projections 2013 2014 American Community Survey ACS Journey-to-Work data 2006-2008 and 2006-2010

Child Care Coordinating Council of San Mateo County (4Cs) Community Care Licensing Brion Economics Inc

Prepared by Brion Economics Inc 2513-SMC NA Final Tables 61216 6122016

EAST PALO ALTO

Child Care as of 2015

No of

Providers

Under 2 Years

Old

2 to 4 Year

Olds

Total 0 to 4

Years

EXISTING DEMAND Child Care Demand

Estimated Total Children

Average LFPRAdjustment Factor

Children With Working Parents

Licensed Care Demand Factor

Resident Children Needing Licensed Care

of Total Resident Children Needing Licensed Care

Children from Non-Resident Employees Needing

Licensed Care

(1)

(2)

(3)

1046 1667

71

741 1496

37

274 1392

26 84

18 27

2713

2237

75

1666

61

45

Total Demand for Child Care Spaces

Distribution

EXISTING SUPPLY (4)

292 1419

17 83

Child Care Spaces

1711

100

Family Child Care Home Supply

Child Care Center Supply

Current Child Care Supply

Distribution

EXISTING SURPLUS(SHORTAGE)

Distribution

Percentage of Demand Met

by Existing FacilitiesSpaces

Shortage of Family Child Care Home Spaces

Shortage of Center-Based Spaces

(5)

(6)

(6)

21

6

27

85 106

25 633

110 739

13 87

(182) (680)

21 79

38 52

(141) (98)

(42) (582)

191

658

849

100

(862)

100

50

(239)

(623)

FINAL

Table A-7

Existing Child Care Demand and Supply in 2015 in East Palo Alto

San Mateo County Child Care Study - 2016

Note All footnote references can be found in Table C-1 at the end of this file Sources 2010 US Census ABAG Projections 2013 2014 American Community Survey ACS Journey-to-Work data 2006-2008 and 2006-2010

Child Care Coordinating Council of San Mateo County (4Cs) Community Care Licensing Brion Economics Inc

Prepared by Brion Economics Inc 2513-SMC NA Final Tables 61216 6122016

FOSTER CITY

Child Care as of 2015

No of

Providers

Under 2 Years

Old

2 to 4 Year

Olds

Total 0 to 4

Years

EXISTING DEMAND Child Care Demand

Estimated Total Children

Average LFPRAdjustment Factor

Children With Working Parents

Licensed Care Demand Factor

Resident Children Needing Licensed Care

of Total Resident Children Needing Licensed Care

Children from Non-Resident Employees Needing

Licensed Care

(1)

(2)

(3)

836 1277

63

528 1108

37

195 1035

23 81

73 110

2113

1636

75

1231

58

183

Total Demand for Child Care Spaces

Distribution

EXISTING SUPPLY (4)

268 1145

19 81

Child Care Spaces

1414

100

Family Child Care Home Supply

Child Care Center Supply

Current Child Care Supply

Distribution

EXISTING SURPLUS(SHORTAGE)

Distribution

Percentage of Demand Met

by Existing FacilitiesSpaces

Shortage of Family Child Care Home Spaces

Shortage of Center-Based Spaces

(5)

(6)

(6)

29

12

41

118 149

88 1200

206 1349

13 87

(62) 203

NA NA

77 118

(36) NA

(27) NA

267

1288

1555

100

141

NA

110

(36)

(27)

FINAL

Table A-8

Existing Child Care Demand and Supply in 2015 in Foster City

San Mateo County Child Care Study - 2016

Note All footnote references can be found in Table C-1 at the end of this file

Sources 2010 US Census ABAG Projections 2013 2014 American Community Survey ACS Journey-to-Work data 2006-2008 and 2006-2010

Child Care Coordinating Council of San Mateo County (4Cs) Community Care Licensing Brion Economics Inc

Prepared by Brion Economics Inc 2513-SMC NA Final Tables 61216 6122016

HALF MOON BAY REGION

Child Care as of 2015

No of

Providers

Under 2 Years

Old

2 to 4 Year

Olds

Total 0 to 4

Years

EXISTING DEMAND Child Care Demand

Estimated Total Children

Average LFPRAdjustment Factor

Children With Working Parents

Licensed Care Demand Factor

Resident Children Needing Licensed Care

of Total Resident Children Needing Licensed Care

Children from Non-Resident Employees Needing

Licensed Care

(1)

(2)

(3)

511 860

69

354 772

37

131 723

26 84

13 19

1371

1126

76

854

62

32

Total Demand for Child Care Spaces

Distribution

EXISTING SUPPLY (4)

144 742

16 84

Child Care Spaces

885

100

Family Child Care Home Supply

Child Care Center Supply

Current Child Care Supply

Distribution

EXISTING SURPLUS(SHORTAGE)

Distribution

Percentage of Demand Met

by Existing FacilitiesSpaces

Shortage of Family Child Care Home Spaces

Shortage of Center-Based Spaces

(5)

(6)

(6)

28

11

39

96 121

35 285

131 406

24 76

(13) (336)

4 96

91 55

(9) (100)

(3) (236)

216

320

536

100

(349)

100

61

(109)

(240)

FINAL

Table A-9

Existing Child Care Demand and Supply in 2015 in Half Moon Bay Region

San Mateo County Child Care Study - 2016

Note All footnote references can be found in Table C-1 at the end of this file

Sources 2010 US Census ABAG Projections 2013 2014 American Community Survey ACS Journey-to-Work data 2006-2008 and 2006-2010

Child Care Coordinating Council of San Mateo County (4Cs) Community Care Licensing Brion Economics Inc

Prepared by Brion Economics Inc 2513-SMC NA Final Tables 61216 6122016

HILLSBOROUGH

Child Care as of 2015

No of

Providers

Under 2 Years

Old

2 to 4 Year

Olds

Total 0 to 4

Years

EXISTING DEMAND Child Care Demand

Estimated Total Children

Average LFPRAdjustment Factor

Children With Working Parents

Licensed Care Demand Factor

Resident Children Needing Licensed Care

of Total Resident Children Needing Licensed Care

Children from Non-Resident Employees Needing

Licensed Care

(1)

(2)

(3)

138 331

52

71 284

37

26 272

19 82

7 10

469

356

84

298

64

16

Total Demand for Child Care Spaces

Distribution

EXISTING SUPPLY (4)

33 282

10 90

Child Care Spaces

315

100

Family Child Care Home Supply

Child Care Center Supply

Current Child Care Supply

Distribution

EXISTING SURPLUS(SHORTAGE)

Distribution

Percentage of Demand Met

by Existing FacilitiesSpaces

Shortage of Family Child Care Home Spaces

Shortage of Center-Based Spaces

(5)

(6)

(6)

1

4

5

5 6

- 91

5 97

5 95

(28) (185)

13 87

15 34

(28) (12)

0 (173)

11

91

102

100

(213)

100

32

(40)

(173)

FINAL

Table A-10

Existing Child Care Demand and Supply in 2015 in Hillsborough

San Mateo County Child Care Study - 2016

Note All footnote references can be found in Table C-1 at the end of this file Sources 2010 US Census ABAG Projections 2013 2014 American Community Survey ACS Journey-to-Work data 2006-2008 and 2006-2010

Child Care Coordinating Council of San Mateo County (4Cs) Community Care Licensing Brion Economics Inc

Prepared by Brion Economics Inc 2513-SMC NA Final Tables 61216 6122016

MENLO PARK

Child Care as of 2015

No of

Providers

Under 2 Years

Old

2 to 4 Year

Olds

Total 0 to 4

Years

EXISTING DEMAND Child Care Demand

Estimated Total Children

Average LFPRAdjustment Factor

Children With Working Parents

Licensed Care Demand Factor

Resident Children Needing Licensed Care

of Total Resident Children Needing Licensed Care

Children from Non-Resident Employees Needing

Licensed Care

(1)

(2)

(3)

1170 1723

69

802 1551

37

297 1458

25 85

220 332

2893

2353

75

1754

61

552

Total Demand for Child Care Spaces

Distribution

EXISTING SUPPLY (4)

516 1790

22 78

Child Care Spaces

2306

100

Family Child Care Home Supply

Child Care Center Supply

Current Child Care Supply

Distribution

EXISTING SURPLUS(SHORTAGE)

Distribution

Percentage of Demand Met

by Existing FacilitiesSpaces

Shortage of Family Child Care Home Spaces

Shortage of Center-Based Spaces

(5)

(6)

(6)

18

25

43

76 96

73 1331

149 1427

9 91

(367) (363)

50 50

29 80

(188) (24)

(180) (338)

172

1404

1576

100

(730)

100

68

(212)

(518)

FINAL

Table A-11

Existing Child Care Demand and Supply in 2015 in Menlo Park

San Mateo County Child Care Study - 2016

Note All footnote references can be found in Table C-1 at the end of this file Sources 2010 US Census ABAG Projections 2013 2014 American Community Survey ACS Journey-to-Work data 2006-2008 and 2006-2010

Child Care Coordinating Council of San Mateo County (4Cs) Community Care Licensing Brion Economics Inc

Prepared by Brion Economics Inc 2513-SMC NA Final Tables 61216 6122016

MILLBRAE

Child Care as of 2015

No of

Providers

Under 2 Years

Old

2 to 4 Year

Olds

Total 0 to 4

Years

EXISTING DEMAND Child Care Demand

Total Children

Average LFPRAdjustment Factor

Children With Working Parents

Licensed Care Demand Factor

Resident Children Needing Licensed Care

of Total Resident Children Needing Licensed Care

Children from Non-Resident Employees Needing

Licensed Care

(1)

(2)

(3)

421 717

62

260 632

37

96 598

23 83

28 42

1138

892

78

694

61

69

Total Demand for Child Care Spaces

Distribution

EXISTING SUPPLY (4)

124 640

16 84

Child Care Spaces

764

100

Family Child Care Home Supply

Child Care Center Supply

Current Child Care Supply

Distribution

EXISTING SURPLUS(SHORTAGE)

Distribution

Percentage of Demand Met

by Existing FacilitiesSpaces

Shortage of Family Child Care Home Spaces

Shortage of Center-Based Spaces

(5)

(6)

(6)

17

7

24

62 78

- 376

62 454

12 88

(61) (186)

25 75

50 71

(61) (32)

0 (154)

141

376

517

100

(247)

100

68

(93)

(154)

FINAL

Table A-12

Existing Child Care Demand and Supply in 2015 in Millbrae

San Mateo Co unty Child Care Study - 2016

Note All footnote references can be found in Table C-1 at the end of this file

Sources 2010 US Census ABAG Projections 2013 2014 American Community Survey ACS Journey-to-Work data 2006-2008 and 2006-2010

Child Care Coordinating Council of San Mateo County (4Cs) Community Care Licensing Brion Economics Inc

Prepared by Brion Economics Inc 2513-SMC NA Final Tables 61216 6122016

PACIFICA

Child Care as of 2015

No of

Providers

Under 2 Years

Old

2 to 4 Year

Olds

Total 0 to 4

Years

EXISTING DEMAND Child Care Demand

Estimated Total Children

Average LFPRAdjustment Factor

Children With Working Parents

Licensed Care Demand Factor

Resident Children Needing Licensed Care

of Total Resident Children Needing Licensed Care

Children from Non-Resident Employees Needing

Licensed Care

(1)

(2)

(3)

787 1253

78

610 1165

37

226 1089

29 87

18 27

2040

1776

74

1315

64

45

Total Demand for Child Care Spaces

Distribution

EXISTING SUPPLY (4)

244 1117

18 83

Child Care Spaces

1360

100

Family Child Care Home Supply

Child Care Center Supply

Current Child Care Supply

Distribution

EXISTING SURPLUS(SHORTAGE)

Distribution

Percentage of Demand Met

by Existing FacilitiesSpaces

Shortage of Family Child Care Home Spaces

Shortage of Center-Based Spaces

(5)

(6)

(6)

21

18

39

77 97

39 701

116 798

13 87

(128) (319)

29 71

48 71

(85) (39)

(43) (280)

174

740

914

100

(447)

100

67

(124)

(323)

FINAL

Table A-13

Existing Child Care Demand and Supply in 2015 in Pacifica

San Mateo County Child Care Study - 2016

Note All footnote references can be found in Table C-1 at the end of this file Sources 2010 US Census ABAG Projections 2013 2014 American Community Survey ACS Journey-to-Work data 2006-2008 and 2006-2010

Child Care Coordinating Council of San Mateo County (4Cs) Community Care Licensing Brion Economics Inc

Prepared by Brion Economics Inc 2513-SMC NA Final Tables 61216 6122016

PORTOLA VALLEY

No of

Providers

Child Care as of 2015

Under 2 Years

Old

2 to 4 Year

Olds

Total 0 to 4

Years

EXISTING DEMAND Child Care Demand

Estimated Total Children

Average LFPRAdjustment Factor

Children With Working Parents

Licensed Care Demand Factor

Resident Children Needing Licensed Care

of Total Resident Children Needing Licensed Care

Children from Non-Resident Employees Needing

Licensed Care

(1)

(2)

(3)

75 187

66

49 168

37

18 159

24 85

8 12

261

217

82

177

68

21

Total Demand for Child Care Spaces

Distribution

EXISTING SUPPLY (4)

26 171

13 87

Child Care Spaces

198

100

Family Child Care Home Supply

Child Care Center Supply

Current Child Care Supply

Distribution

EXISTING SURPLUS(SHORTAGE)

Distribution

Percentage of Demand Met

by Existing FacilitiesSpaces

Shortage of Family Child Care Home Spaces

Shortage of Center-Based Spaces

(5)

(6)

(6)

0

4

4

0 0

0 153

0 153

0 100

(26) (18)

59 41

0 89

0 0

(26) (18)

0

153

153

100

(45)

100

77

0

(45)

FINAL

Table A-14

Existing Child Care Demand and Supply in 2015 in Portola Valley

San Mateo County Child Care Study - 2016

Note All footnote references can be found in Table C-1 at the end of this file Sources 2010 US Census ABAG Projections 2013 2014 American Community Survey ACS Journey-to-Work data 2006-2008 and 2006-2010

Child Care Coordinating Council of San Mateo County (4Cs) Community Care Licensing Brion Economics Inc

Prepared by Brion Economics Inc 2513-SMC NA Final Tables 61216 6122016

REDWOOD CITY

Child Care as of 2015

No of

Providers

Under 2 Years

Old

2 to 4 Year

Olds

Total 0 to 4

Years

EXISTING DEMAND Child Care Demand

Estimated Total Children

Average LFPRAdjustment Factor

Children With Working Parents

Licensed Care Demand Factor

Resident Children Needing Licensed Care

of Total Resident Children Needing Licensed Care

Children from Non-Resident Employees Needing

Licensed Care

Total Demand for Child Care Spaces

Distribution

EXISTING SUPPLY

(1)

(2)

(3)

(4)

3260 4706

69

2236 4212

37

827 3942

25 84

414 625

1241 4567

21 79

Child Care Spaces

7966

6449

74

4770

60

1038

5808

100

Family Child Care Home Supply

Child Care Center Supply

Current Child Care Supply

Distribution

EXISTING SURPLUS(SHORTAGE)

Distribution

Percentage of Demand Met

by Existing FacilitiesSpaces

Shortage of Family Child Care Home Spaces

Shortage of Center-Based Spaces

(5)

(6)

(6)

111

45

156

396 497

356 2036

752 2533

23 77

(490) (2034)

19 81

61 55

(258) (399)

(232) (1635)

893

2392

3285

100

(2524)

100

57

(657)

(1867)

FINAL

Table A-15

Existing Child Care Demand and Supply in 2015 in Redwood City

San Mateo County Child Care Study - 2016

Note All footnote references can be found in Table C-1 at the end of this file Sources 2010 US Census ABAG Projections 2013 2014 American Community Survey ACS Journey-to-Work data 2006-2008 and 2006-2010

Child Care Coordinating Council of San Mateo County (4Cs) Community Care Licensing Brion Economics Inc

Prepared by Brion Economics Inc 2513-SMC NA Final Tables 61216 6122016

SAN BRUNO

Child Care as of 2015

No of

Providers

Under 2 Years

Old

2 to 4 Year

Olds

Total 0 to 4

Years

EXISTING DEMAND Child Care Demand

Estimated Total Children

Average LFPRAdjustment Factor

Children With Working Parents

Licensed Care Demand Factor

Resident Children Needing Licensed Care

of Total Resident Children Needing Licensed Care

Children from Non-Resident Employees Needing

Licensed Care

(1)

(2)

(3)

1069 1553

77

817 1428

37

302 1326

28 85

61 92

2622

2245

73

1628

62

153

Total Demand for Child Care Spaces

Distribution

EXISTING SUPPLY (4)

364 1418

20 80

Child Care Spaces

1782

100

Family Child Care Home Supply

Child Care Center Supply

Current Child Care Supply

Distribution

EXISTING SURPLUS(SHORTAGE)

Distribution

Percentage of Demand Met

by Existing FacilitiesSpaces

Shortage of Family Child Care Home Spaces

Shortage of Center-Based Spaces

(5)

(6)

(6)

34

15

49

122 153

26 1183

148 1336

10 90

(216) (82)

72 28

41 94

(178) (9)

(38) (73)

275

1209

1484

100

(298)

100

83

(187)

(110)

FINAL

Table A-16

Existing Child Care Demand and Supply in 2015 in San Bruno

San Mateo County Child Care Study - 2016

Note All footnote references can be found in Table C-1 at the end of this file Sources 2010 US Census ABAG Projections 2013 2014 American Community Survey ACS Journey-to-Work data 2006-2008 and 2006-2010

Child Care Coordinating Council of San Mateo County (4Cs) Community Care Licensing Brion Economics Inc

Prepared by Brion Economics Inc 2513-SMC NA Final Tables 61216 6122016

SAN CARLOS

Child Care as of 2015

No of

Providers

Under 2 Years

Old

2 to 4 Year

Olds

Total 0 to 4

Years

EXISTING DEMAND Child Care Demand

Estimated Total Children

Average LFPRAdjustment Factor

Children With Working Parents

Licensed Care Demand Factor

Resident Children Needing Licensed Care

of Total Resident Children Needing Licensed Care

Children from Non-Resident Employees Needing

Licensed Care

(1)

(2)

(3)

735 1308

72

526 1186

37

195 1109

26 85

75 114

2043

1712

76

1304

64

189

Total Demand for Child Care Spaces

Distribution

EXISTING SUPPLY (4)

270 1222

18 82

Child Care Spaces

1492

100

Family Child Care Home Supply

Child Care Center Supply

Current Child Care Supply

Distribution

EXISTING SURPLUS(SHORTAGE)

Distribution

Percentage of Demand Met

by Existing FacilitiesSpaces

Shortage of Family Child Care Home Spaces

Shortage of Center-Based Spaces

(5)

(6)

(6)

20

14

34

73 92

76 615

149 707

17 83

(121) (516)

19 81

55 58

(59) (67)

(62) (449)

164

691

855

100

(637)

100

57

(126)

(511)

FINAL

Table A-17

Existing Child Care Demand and Supply in 2015 in San Carlos

San Mateo County Child Care Study - 2016

Note All footnote references can be found in Table C-1 at the end of this file

Sources 2010 US Census ABAG Projections 2013 2014 American Community Survey ACS Journey-to-Work data 2006-2008 and 2006-2010

Child Care Coordinating Council of San Mateo County (4Cs) Community Care Licensing Brion Economics Inc

Prepared by Brion Economics Inc 2513-SMC NA Final Tables 61216 6122016

SAN MATEO

Child Care as of 2015

No of

Providers

Under 2 Years

Old

2 to 4 Year

Olds

Total 0 to 4

Years

EXISTING DEMAND Child Care Demand

Estimated Total Children

Average LFPRAdjustment Factor

Children With Working Parents

Licensed Care Demand Factor

Resident Children Needing Licensed Care

of Total Resident Children Needing Licensed Care

Children from Non-Resident Employees Needing

Licensed Care

(1)

(2)

(3)

2943 4213

71

2087 3793

37

772 3537

26 84

231 348

7156

5880

73

4309

60

579

Total Demand for Child Care Spaces

Distribution

EXISTING SUPPLY (4)

1003 3886

21 79

Child Care Spaces

4889

100

Family Child Care Home Supply

Child Care Center Supply

Current Child Care Supply

Distribution

EXISTING SURPLUS(SHORTAGE)

Distribution

Percentage of Demand Met

by Existing FacilitiesSpaces

Shortage of Family Child Care Home Spaces

Shortage of Center-Based Spaces

(5)

(6)

(6)

126

59

185

492 619

209 2577

701 3196

18 82

(302) (690)

30 70

70 82

(212) (134)

(90) (557)

1111

2786

3897

100

(992)

100

80

(345)

(647)

FINAL

Table A-18

Existing Child Care Demand and Supply in 2015 in San Mateo

San Mateo County Child Care Study - 2016

Note All footnote references can be found in Table C-1 at the end of this file

Sources 2010 US Census ABAG Projections 2013 2014 American Community Survey ACS Journey-to-Work data 2006-2008 and 2006-2010

Child Care Coordinating Council of San Mateo County (4Cs) Community Care Licensing Brion Economics Inc

Prepared by Brion Economics Inc 2513-SMC NA Final Tables 61216 6122016

SOUTH COAST

Child Care as of 2015

No of

Providers

Under 2 Years

Old

2 to 4 Year

Olds

Total 0 to 4

Years

EXISTING DEMAND Child Care Demand

Estimated Total Children

Average LFPRAdjustment Factor

Children With Working Parents

Licensed Care Demand Factor

Resident Children Needing Licensed Care

of Total Resident Children Needing Licensed Care

Children from Non-Resident Employees Needing

Licensed Care

(1)

(2)

(3)

21 29

54

11 25

37

4 23

20 81

0 0

50

36

77

28

56

0

Total Demand for Child Care Spaces

Distribution

EXISTING SUPPLY (4)

4 23

15 85

Child Care Spaces

28

100

Family Child Care Home Supply

Child Care Center Supply

Current Child Care Supply

Distribution

EXISTING SURPLUS(SHORTAGE)

Distribution

Percentage of Demand Met

by Existing FacilitiesSpaces

Shortage of Family Child Care Home Spaces

Shortage of Center-Based Spaces

(5)

(6)

(6)

-

2

2

- -

- 54

- 54

0 100

(4) 31

-16 116

0 230

(2) NA

(2) NA

0

54

54

100

26

100

195

(2)

(2)

FINAL

Table A-19

Existing Child Care Demand and Supply in 2015 in South Coast

San Mateo County Child Care Study - 2016

Note All footnote references can be found in Table C-1 at the end of this file

Sources 2010 US Census ABAG Projections 2013 2014 American Community Survey ACS Journey-to-Work data 2006-2008 and 2006-2010

Child Care Coordinating Council of San Mateo County (4Cs) Community Care Licensing Brion Economics Inc

Prepared by Brion Economics Inc 2513-SMC NA Final Tables 61216 6122016

SOUTH SAN FRANCISCO

Child Care as of 2015

No of

Providers

Under 2 Years

Old

2 to 4 Year

Olds

Total 0 to 4

Years

EXISTING DEMAND Child Care Demand

Estimated Total Children

Average LFPRAdjustment Factor

Children With Working Parents

Licensed Care Demand Factor

Resident Children Needing Licensed Care

of Total Resident Children Needing Licensed Care

Children from Non-Resident Employees Needing

Licensed Care

(1)

(2)

(3)

1649 2507

73

1206 2278

37

446 2123

27 85

309 466

4156

3484

74

2569

62

774

Total Demand for Child Care Spaces

Distribution

EXISTING SUPPLY (4)

755 2588

23 77

Child Care Spaces

3343

100

Family Child Care Home Supply

Child Care Center Supply

Current Child Care Supply

Distribution

EXISTING SURPLUS(SHORTAGE)

Distribution

Percentage of Demand Met

by Existing FacilitiesSpaces

Shortage of Family Child Care Home Spaces

Shortage of Center-Based Spaces

(5)

(6)

(6)

68

27

95

252 317

400 1966

652 2283

22 78

(103) (306)

25 75

86 88

(40) (42)

(63) (263)

569

2366

2935

100

(408)

100

88

(82)

(326)

FINAL

Table A-20

Existing Child Care Demand and Supply in 2015 in South San Francisco

San Mateo County Child Care Study - 2016

Note All footnote references can be found in Table C-1 at the end of this file Sources 2010 US Census ABAG Projections 2013 2014 American Community Survey ACS Journey-to-Work data 2006-2008 and 2006-2010

Child Care Coordinating Council of San Mateo County (4Cs) Community Care Licensing Brion Economics Inc

Prepared by Brion Economics Inc 2513-SMC NA Final Tables 61216 6122016

WOODSIDE

No of

Providers

Child Care as of 2015

Under 2 Years

Old

2 to 4 Year

Olds

Total 0 to 4

Years

EXISTING DEMAND Child Care Demand

Estimated Total Children

Average LFPRAdjustment Factor

Children With Working Parents

Licensed Care Demand Factor

Resident Children Needing Licensed Care

of Total Resident Children Needing Licensed Care

Children from Non-Resident Employees Needing

Licensed Care

(1)

(2)

(3)

90 160

56

50 136

37

18 128

21 80

8 13

250

186

79

147

59

21

Total Demand for Child Care Spaces

Distribution

EXISTING SUPPLY (4)

27 141

16 84

Child Care Spaces

168

100

Family Child Care Home Supply

Child Care Center Supply

Current Child Care Supply

Distribution

EXISTING SURPLUS(SHORTAGE)

Distribution

Percentage of Demand Met

by Existing FacilitiesSpaces

Shortage of Family Child Care Home Spaces

Shortage of Center-Based Spaces

(5)

(6)

(6)

1

2

3

4 5

0 103

4 108

4 96

(23) (33)

41 59

16 77

(23) (2)

0 (31)

9

103

112

100

(55)

100

67

(24)

(31)

FINAL

Table A-21

Existing Child Care Demand and Supply in 2015 in Woodside

San Mateo County Child Care Study - 2016

Note All footnote references can be found in Table C-1 at the end of this file Sources 2010 US Census ABAG Projections 2013 2014 American Community Survey ACS Journey-to-Work data 2006-2008 and 2006-2010

Child Care Coordinating Council of San Mateo County (4Cs) Community Care Licensing Brion Economics Inc

Prepared by Brion Economics Inc 2513-SMC NA Final Tables 61216 6122016

COUNTYWIDE

Child Care as of 2025

No of

Providers

Under 2 Years

Old

2 to 4 Year

Olds

Total 0 to 4

Years

EXISTING DEMAND Child Care Demand

Estimated Total Children

Average LFPRAdjustment Factor

Children With Working Parents

Licensed Care Demand Factor

Resident Children Needing Licensed Care

of Total Resident Children Needing Licensed Care

Children from Non-Resident Employees Needing

Licensed Care

Total Demand for Child Care Spaces

Distribution

EXISTING SUPPLY

(1)

(2)

(3)

(4)

20790 31340

71

14704 28273

37

5441 26432

26 84

2037 3074

7478 29506

20 80

Child Care Spaces

52130

42978

86

31873

61

5112

36984

100

Family Child Care Home Supply

Child Care Center Supply

Current Child Care Supply

Distribution

EXISTING SURPLUS(SHORTAGE)

Distribution

Percentage of Demand Met

by Existing FacilitiesSpaces

Shortage of Family Child Care Home Spaces

Shortage of Center-Based Spaces

(5)

(6)

(6)

621

309

930

2301 2893

1514 16296

3815 19189

17 83

(3663) (10318)

26 74

51 65

(2209) (1555)

(1454) (8762)

5193

17810

23003

100

(13981)

100

62

(3765)

(10216)

FINAL

Table B-1

Future C hild Care Demand and Supply in 2025 Countywide

San Mateo County Child Care Study - 2016

Note All footnote references can be found in Table C-1 at the end of this file

Sources 2010 US Census ABAG Projections 2013 2014 American Community Survey ACS Journey-to-Work data 2006-2008 and 2006-2010

Child Care Coordinating Council of San Mateo County (4Cs) Community Care Licensing Brion Economics Inc

Prepared by Brion Economics Inc 2513-SMC NA Final Tables 61216 6122016

ATHERTON

No of

Providers

Child Care as of 2025

Under 2 Years

Old

2 to 4 Year

Olds

Total 0 to 4

Years

EXISTING DEMAND Child Care Demand

Estimated Total Children

Average LFPRAdjustment Factor

Children With Working Parents

Licensed Care Demand Factor

Resident Children Needing Licensed Care

of Total Resident Children Needing Licensed Care

Children from Non-Resident Employees Needing

Licensed Care

(1)

(2)

(3)

109 193

40

43 159

37

16 154

15 80

13 19

302

202

84

170

56

32

Total Demand for Child Care Spaces

Distribution

EXISTING SUPPLY (4)

29 173

14 86

Child Care Spaces

201

100

Family Child Care Home Supply

Child Care Center Supply

Current Child Care Supply

Distribution

EXISTING SURPLUS(SHORTAGE)

Distribution

Percentage of Demand Met

by Existing FacilitiesSpaces

Shortage of Family Child Care Home Spaces

Shortage of Center-Based Spaces

(5)

(6)

(6)

1

6

7

5 6

24 267

29 273

10 90

0 101

0 100

101 158

NA NA

NA NA

11

291

302

100

101

100

150

NA

NA

FINAL

Table B-2

Future Child Care Demand and Supply in 2025 in Atherton

San Mateo Co unty Child Care Study - 2016

Note All footnote references can be found in Table C-1 at the end of this file Sources 2010 US Census ABAG Projections 2013 2014 American Community Survey ACS Journey-to-Work data 2006-2008 and 2006-2010

Child Care Coordinating Council of San Mateo County (4Cs) Community Care Licensing Brion Economics Inc

Prepared by Brion Economics Inc 2513-SMC NA Final Tables 61216 6122016

BELMONT

Child Care as of 2025

No of

Providers

Under 2 Years

Old

2 to 4 Year

Olds

Total 0 to 4

Years

EXISTING DEMAND Child Care Demand

Estimated Total Children

Average LFPRAdjustment Factor

Children With Working Parents

Licensed Care Demand Factor

Resident Children Needing Licensed Care

of Total Resident Children Needing Licensed Care

Children from Non-Resident Employees Needing

Licensed Care

(1)

(2)

(3)

743 1095

77

574 1013

37

213 943

29 86

37 56

1838

1587

73

1156

63

93

Total Demand for Child Care Spaces

Distribution

EXISTING SUPPLY (4)

250 999

20 80

Child Care Spaces

1249

100

Family Child Care Home Supply

Child Care Center Supply

Current Child Care Supply

Distribution

EXISTING SURPLUS(SHORTAGE)

Distribution

Percentage of Demand Met

by Existing FacilitiesSpaces

Shortage of Family Child Care Home Spaces

Shortage of Center-Based Spaces

(5)

(6)

(6)

8

9

17

67 84

39 531

106 615

15 85

(143) (384)

27 73

43 62

(91) (53)

(53) (331)

152

570

722

100

(527)

100

58

(143)

(384)

FINAL

Table B-3

Future Child Care Demand and Supply in 2025 in Belmont

San Mateo County Child Care Study - 2016

Note All footnote references can be found in Table C-1 at the end of this file

Sources 2010 US Census ABAG Projections 2013 2014 American Community Survey ACS Journey-to-Work data 2006-2008 and 2006-2010

Child Care Coordinating Council of San Mateo County (4Cs) Community Care Licensing Brion Economics Inc

Prepared by Brion Economics Inc 2513-SMC NA Final Tables 61216 6122016

BRISBANE

Child Care as of 2025

No of

Providers

Under 2 Years

Old

2 to 4 Year

Olds

Total 0 to 4

Years

EXISTING DEMAND Child Care Demand

Estimated Total Children

Average LFPRAdjustment Factor

Children With Working Parents

Licensed Care Demand Factor

Resident Children Needing Licensed Care

of Total Resident Children Needing Licensed Care

Children from Non-Resident Employees Needing

Licensed Care

(1)

(2)

(3)

131 174

100

131 174

37

48 160

37 92

55 83

305

305

68

209

68

138

Total Demand for Child Care Spaces

Distribution

EXISTING SUPPLY (4)

103 243

30 70

Child Care Spaces

346

100

Family Child Care Home Supply

Child Care Center Supply

Current Child Care Supply

Distribution

EXISTING SURPLUS(SHORTAGE)

Distribution

Percentage of Demand Met

by Existing FacilitiesSpaces

Shortage of Family Child Care Home Spaces

Shortage of Center-Based Spaces

(5)

(6)

(6)

1

1

2

4 5

0 64

4 69

6 94

(99) (174)

36 64

4 29

(99) (13)

0 (160)

9

64

73

100

(273)

100

21

(112)

(160)

FINAL

Table B-4

Future Child Care Demand and Supply in 2025 in Brisbane

San Mateo County Child Care Study - 2016

Note All footnote references can be found in Table C-1 at the end of this file Sources 2010 US Census ABAG Projections 2013 2014 American Community Survey ACS Journey-to-Work data 2006-2008 and 2006-2010

Child Care Coordinating Council of San Mateo County (4Cs) Community Care Licensing Brion Economics Inc

Prepared by Brion Economics Inc 2513-SMC NA Final Tables 61216 6122016

BURLINGAME

Child Care as of 2025

No of

Providers

Under 2 Years

Old

2 to 4 Year

Olds

Total 0 to 4

Years

EXISTING DEMAND Child Care Demand

Estimated Total Children

Average LFPRAdjustment Factor

Children With Working Parents

Licensed Care Demand Factor

Resident Children Needing Licensed Care

of Total Resident Children Needing Licensed Care

Children from Non-Resident Employees Needing

Licensed Care

(1)

(2)

(3)

903 1332

65

587 1190

37

217 1124

24 84

154 232

2235

1777

75

1341

60

385

Total Demand for Child Care Spaces

Distribution

EXISTING SUPPLY (4)

371 1356

21 79

Child Care Spaces

1726

100

Family Child Care Home Supply

Child Care Center Supply

Current Child Care Supply

Distribution

EXISTING SURPLUS(SHORTAGE)

Distribution

Percentage of Demand Met

by Existing FacilitiesSpaces

Shortage of Family Child Care Home Spaces

Shortage of Center-Based Spaces

(5)

(6)

(6)

10

14

24

79 99

40 866

119 965

11 89

(252) (390)

39 61

32 71

(167) (40)

(85) (350)

179

906

1085

100

(642)

100

63

(207)

(434)

FINAL

Table B-5

Future Child Care Demand and Supply in 2025 in Burlingame

San Mateo County Child Care Study - 2016

Note All footnote references can be found in Table C-1 at the end of this file

Sources 2010 US Census ABAG Projections 2013 2014 American Community Survey ACS Journey-to-Work data 2006-2008 and 2006-2010

Child Care Coordinating Council of San Mateo County (4Cs) Community Care Licensing Brion Economics Inc

Prepared by Brion Economics Inc 2513-SMC NA Final Tables 61216 6122016

DALY CITYCOLMA

Child Care as of 2025

No of

Providers

Under 2 Years

Old

2 to 4 Year

Olds

Total 0 to 4

Years

EXISTING DEMAND Child Care Demand

Estimated Total Children

Average LFPRAdjustment Factor

Children With Working Parents

Licensed Care Demand Factor

Resident Children Needing Licensed Care

of Total Resident Children Needing Licensed Care

Children from Non-Resident Employees Needing

Licensed Care

(1)

(2)

(3)

2647 3793

74

1964 3467

37

727 3233

27 85

138 208

6440

5432

73

3960

61

346

Total Demand for Child Care Spaces

Distribution

EXISTING SUPPLY (4)

865 3441

20 80

Child Care Spaces

4306

100

Family Child Care Home Supply

Child Care Center Supply

Current Child Care Supply

Distribution

EXISTING SURPLUS(SHORTAGE)

Distribution

Percentage of Demand Met

by Existing FacilitiesSpaces

Shortage of Family Child Care Home Spaces

Shortage of Center-Based Spaces

(5)

(6)

(6)

25

28

28

288 362

84 1264

372 1626

19 81

(493) (1816)

21 79

43 47

(381) (404)

(111) (1412)

649

1348

1997

100

(2308)

100

46

(785)

(1523)

FINAL

Table B-6

Future C hild Care Demand and Supply in 2025 in Daly CityColma

San Mateo County Child Care Study - 2016

Note All footnote references can be found in Table C-1 at the end of this file

Sources 2010 US Census ABAG Projections 2013 2014 American Community Survey ACS Journey-to-Work data 2006-2008 and 2006-2010

Child Care Coordinating Council of San Mateo County (4Cs) Community Care Licensing Brion Economics Inc

Prepared by Brion Economics Inc 2513-SMC NA Final Tables 61216 6122016

EAST PALO ALTO

Child Care as of 2025

No of

Providers

Under 2 Years

Old

2 to 4 Year

Olds

Total 0 to 4

Years

EXISTING DEMAND Child Care Demand

Estimated Total Children

Average LFPRAdjustment Factor

Children With Working Parents

Licensed Care Demand Factor

Resident Children Needing Licensed Care

of Total Resident Children Needing Licensed Care

Children from Non-Resident Employees Needing

Licensed Care

(1)

(2)

(3)

1161 1849

71

822 1660

37

304 1545

26 84

20 30

3010

2482

75

1849

61

50

Total Demand for Child Care Spaces

Distribution

EXISTING SUPPLY (4)

324 1575

17 83

Child Care Spaces

1900

100

Family Child Care Home Supply

Child Care Center Supply

Current Child Care Supply

Distribution

EXISTING SURPLUS(SHORTAGE)

Distribution

Percentage of Demand Met

by Existing FacilitiesSpaces

Shortage of Family Child Care Home Spaces

Shortage of Center-Based Spaces

(5)

(6)

(6)

13

6

19

85 106

25 633

110 739

13 87

(215) (836)

20 80

34 47

(166) (120)

(49) (715)

191

658

849

100

(1050)

100

45

(286)

(764)

FINAL

Table B-7

Future Child Care Demand and Supply in 2025 in East Palo Alto

San Mateo County Child Care Study - 2016

Note All footnote references can be found in Table C-1 at the end of this file

Sources 2010 US Census ABAG Projections 2013 2014 American Community Survey ACS Journey-to-Work data 2006-2008 and 2006-2010

Child Care Coordinating Council of San Mateo County (4Cs) Community Care Licensing Brion Economics Inc

Prepared by Brion Economics Inc 2513-SMC NA Final Tables 61216 6122016

FOSTER CITY

Child Care as of 2025

No of

Providers

Under 2 Years

Old

2 to 4 Year

Olds

Total 0 to 4

Years

EXISTING DEMAND Child Care Demand

Estimated Total Children

Average LFPRAdjustment Factor

Children With Working Parents

Licensed Care Demand Factor

Resident Children Needing Licensed Care

of Total Resident Children Needing Licensed Care

Children from Non-Resident Employees Needing

Licensed Care

(1)

(2)

(3)

871 1330

63

550 1154

37

204 1079

23 81

80 120

2201

1705

75

1282

58

200

Total Demand for Child Care Spaces

Distribution

EXISTING SUPPLY (4)

283 1199

19 81

Child Care Spaces

1483

100

Family Child Care Home Supply

Child Care Center Supply

Current Child Care Supply

Distribution

EXISTING SURPLUS(SHORTAGE)

Distribution

Percentage of Demand Met

by Existing FacilitiesSpaces

Shortage of Family Child Care Home Spaces

Shortage of Center-Based Spaces

(5)

(6)

(6)

19

12

31

118 149

88 1200

206 1349

13 87

(77) 150

-106 206

73 112

(44) NA

(33) NA

267

1288

1555

100

73

100

105

(44)

(33)

FINAL

Table B-8

Future Child Care Demand and Supply in 2025 in Foster City

San Mateo County Child Care Study - 2016

Note All footnote references can be found in Table C-1 at the end of this file

Sources 2010 US Census ABAG Projections 2013 2014 American Community Survey ACS Journey-to-Work data 2006-2008 and 2006-2010

Child Care Coordinating Council of San Mateo County (4Cs) Community Care Licensing Brion Economics Inc

Prepared by Brion Economics Inc 2513-SMC NA Final Tables 61216 6122016

HALF MOON BAY REGION

Child Care as of 2025

No of

Providers

Under 2 Years

Old

2 to 4 Year

Olds

Total 0 to 4

Years

EXISTING DEMAND Child Care Demand

Estimated Total Children

Average LFPRAdjustment Factor

Children With Working Parents

Licensed Care Demand Factor

Resident Children Needing Licensed Care

of Total Resident Children Needing Licensed Care

Children from Non-Resident Employees Needing

Licensed Care

(1)

(2)

(3)

553 929

69

383 835

37

142 781

26 84

14 21

1482

1217

76

923

62

34

Total Demand for Child Care Spaces

Distribution

EXISTING SUPPLY (4)

155 802

16 84

Child Care Spaces

957

100

Family Child Care Home Supply

Child Care Center Supply

Current Child Care Supply

Distribution

EXISTING SURPLUS(SHORTAGE)

Distribution

Percentage of Demand Met

by Existing FacilitiesSpaces

Shortage of Family Child Care Home Spaces

Shortage of Center-Based Spaces

(5)

(6)

(6)

10

11

21

96 121

35 285

131 406

24 76

(24) (396)

6 94

84 51

(18) (118)

(6) (279)

216

320

536

100

(421)

100

56

(136)

(285)

FINAL

Table B-9

Future Child Care Demand and Supply in 2025 in Half Moon Bay Region

San Mateo County Child Care Study - 2016

Note All footnote references can be found in Table C-1 at the end of this file

Sources 2010 US Census ABAG Projections 2013 2014 American Community Survey ACS Journey-to-Work data 2006-2008 and 2006-2010

Child Care Coordinating Council of San Mateo County (4Cs) Community Care Licensing Brion Economics Inc

Prepared by Brion Economics Inc 2513-SMC NA Final Tables 61216 6122016

HILLSBOROUGH

Child Care as of 2025

No of

Providers

Under 2 Years

Old

2 to 4 Year

Olds

Total 0 to 4

Years

EXISTING DEMAND Child Care Demand

Estimated Total Children

Average LFPRAdjustment Factor

Children With Working Parents

Licensed Care Demand Factor

Resident Children Needing Licensed Care

of Total Resident Children Needing Licensed Care

Children from Non-Resident Employees Needing

Licensed Care

(1)

(2)

(3)

143 343

52

74 295

37

27 282

19 82

7 11

487

369

84

309

64

17

Total Demand for Child Care Spaces

Distribution

EXISTING SUPPLY (4)

34 292

10 90

Child Care Spaces

327

100

Family Child Care Home Supply

Child Care Center Supply

Current Child Care Supply

Distribution

EXISTING SURPLUS(SHORTAGE)

Distribution

Percentage of Demand Met

by Existing FacilitiesSpaces

Shortage of Family Child Care Home Spaces

Shortage of Center-Based Spaces

(5)

(6)

(6)

1

4

5

5 6

- 91

5 97

5 95

(29) (195)

13 87

14 33

(29) (12)

0 (183)

11

91

102

100

(225)

100

31

(42)

(183)

FINAL

Table B-10

Future Child Care Demand and Supply in 2025 in Hillsborough

San Mateo County Child Care Study - 2016

Note All footnote references can be found in Table C-1 at the end of this file

Sources 2010 US Census ABAG Projections 2013 2014 American Community Survey ACS Journey-to-Work data 2006-2008 and 2006-2010

Child Care Coordinating Council of San Mateo County (4Cs) Community Care Licensing Brion Economics Inc

Prepared by Brion Economics Inc 2513-SMC NA Final Tables 61216 6122016

MENLO PARK

Child Care as of 2025

No of

Providers

Under 2 Years

Old

2 to 4 Year

Olds

Total 0 to 4

Years

EXISTING DEMAND Child Care Demand

Estimated Total Children

Average LFPRAdjustment Factor

Children With Working Parents

Licensed Care Demand Factor

Resident Children Needing Licensed Care

of Total Resident Children Needing Licensed Care

Children from Non-Resident Employees Needing

Licensed Care

(1)

(2)

(3)

1327 1954

69

909 1759

37

336 1653

25 85

237 357

3281

2668

75

1989

61

594

Total Demand for Child Care Spaces

Distribution

EXISTING SUPPLY (4)

573 2011

22 78

Child Care Spaces

2584

100

Family Child Care Home Supply

Child Care Center Supply

Current Child Care Supply

Distribution

EXISTING SURPLUS(SHORTAGE)

Distribution

Percentage of Demand Met

by Existing FacilitiesSpaces

Shortage of Family Child Care Home Spaces

Shortage of Center-Based Spaces

(5)

(6)

(6)

15

25

40

76 96

73 1331

149 1427

9 91

(424) (584)

42 58

26 71

(217) (39)

(207) (544)

172

1404

1576

100

(1008)

100

61

(256)

(752)

FINAL

Table B-11

Future Child Care Demand and Supply in 2025 in Menlo Park

San Mateo County Child Care Study - 2016

Note All footnote references can be found in Table C-1 at the end of this file

Sources 2010 US Census ABAG Projections 2013 2014 American Community Survey ACS Journey-to-Work data 2006-2008 and 2006-2010

Child Care Coordinating Council of San Mateo County (4Cs) Community Care Licensing Brion Economics Inc

Prepared by Brion Economics Inc 2513-SMC NA Final Tables 61216 6122016

MILLBRAE

Child Care as of 2025

No of

Providers

Under 2 Years

Old

2 to 4 Year

Olds

Total 0 to 4

Years

EXISTING DEMAND Child Care Demand

Estimated Total Children

Average LFPRAdjustment Factor

Children With Working Parents

Licensed Care Demand Factor

Resident Children Needing Licensed Care

of Total Resident Children Needing Licensed Care

Children from Non-Resident Employees Needing

Licensed Care

(1)

(2)

(3)

473 805

62

291 710

37

108 672

23 83

31 47

1278

1001

78

780

61

77

Total Demand for Child Care Spaces

Distribution

EXISTING SUPPLY (4)

139 718

16 84

Child Care Spaces

857

100

Family Child Care Home Supply

Child Care Center Supply

Current Child Care Supply

Distribution

EXISTING SURPLUS(SHORTAGE)

Distribution

Percentage of Demand Met

by Existing FacilitiesSpaces

Shortage of Family Child Care Home Spaces

Shortage of Center-Based Spaces

(5)

(6)

(6)

7

7

14

62 78

- 376

62 454

12 88

(76) (264)

22 78

45 63

(76) (46)

0 (219)

141

376

517

100

(340)

100

60

(122)

(219)

FINAL

Table B-12

Future C hild Care Demand and Supply in 2025 in Millbrae

San Mateo County Child Care Study - 2016

Note All footnote references can be found in Table C-1 at the end of this file

Sources 2010 US Census ABAG Projections 2013 2014 American Community Survey ACS Journey-to-Work data 2006-2008 and 2006-2010

Child Care Coordinating Council of San Mateo County (4Cs) Community Care Licensing Brion Economics Inc

Prepared by Brion Economics Inc 2513-SMC NA Final Tables 61216 6122016

FINAL

Table B-13

Future Child Care Demand and Supply in 2025 in Pacifica

San Mateo County Child Care Study - 2016

PACIFICA

Child Care as of 2025

No of

Providers

Under 2 Years

Old

2 to 4 Year

Olds

Total 0 to 4

Years

EXISTING DEMAND Child Care Demand

Estimated Total Children

Average L FPRAdjustment Factor

Children With Working Parents

Licensed Care Demand Factor

Resident Children Needing Licensed Care

of Total Resident Children Needing Licensed Care

Children from Non-Resident Employees Needing

Licensed Care

(1)

(2)

(3)

816 1300

78

633 1209

37

234 1130

29 87

19 29

2116

1842

74

1364

64

48

Total Demand for Child Care Spaces

Distribution

EXISTING SUPPLY (4)

254 1159

18 82

Child Care Spaces

1413

100

Family Child Care Home Supply

Child Care Center Supply

Current Child Care Supply

Distribution

EXISTING SURPLUS(SHORTAGE)

Distribution

Percentage of Demand Met

by Existing FacilitiesSpaces

Shortage of Family Child Care Home Spaces

Shortage of Center-Based Spaces

(5)

(6)

(6)

9

18

27

77 97

39 701

116 798

13 87

(138) (361)

28 72

46 69

(91) (44)

(46) (317)

174

740

914

100

(499)

100

65

(135)

(364)

Note All footnote references can be found in Table C-1 at the end of this file

Sources 2010 US Census ABAG Projections 2013 2014 American Community Survey ACS Journey-to-Work data 2006-2008 and 2006-2010

Child Care Coordinating Council of San Mateo County (4Cs) Community Care Licensing Brion Economics Inc

Prepared by Brion Economics Inc 2513-SMC NA Final Tables 61216 6122016

PORTOLA VALLEY

Child Care as of 2025

No of

Providers

Under 2 Years

Old

2 to 4 Year

Olds

Total 0 to 4

Years

EXISTING DEMAND Child Care Demand

Estimated Total Children

Average LFPRAdjustment Factor

Children With Working Parents

Licensed Care Demand Factor

Resident Children Needing Licensed Care

of Total Resident Children Needing Licensed Care

Children from Non-Resident Employees Needing

Licensed Care

(1)

(2)

(3)

77 192

66

51 173

37

19 164

24 85

9 13

269

224

82

182

68

22

Total Demand for Child Care Spaces

Distribution

EXISTING SUPPLY (4)

28 177

13 87

Child Care Spaces

204

100

Family Child Care Home Supply

Child Care Center Supply

Current Child Care Supply

Distribution

EXISTING SURPLUS(SHORTAGE)

Distribution

Percentage of Demand Met

by Existing FacilitiesSpaces

Shortage of Family Child Care Home Spaces

Shortage of Center-Based Spaces

(5)

(6)

(6)

0

4

4

- -

- 153

- 153

0 100

(28) (24)

54 46

0 87

0 0

(28) (24)

0

153

153

100

(51)

100

75

0

(51)

FINAL

Table B-14

Future Child Care Demand and Supply in 2025 in Portola Valley

San Mateo County Child Care Study - 2016

Note All footnote references can be found in Table C-1 at the end of this file

Sources 2010 US Census ABAG Projections 2013 2014 American Community Survey ACS Journey-to-Work data 2006-2008 and 2006-2010

Child Care Coordinating Council of San Mateo County (4Cs) Community Care Licensing Brion Economics Inc

Prepared by Brion Economics Inc 2513-SMC NA Final Tables 61216 6122016

REDWOOD CITY

No of

Providers

Child Care as of 2025

Under 2 Years

Old

2 to 4 Year

Olds

Total 0 to 4

Years

EXISTING DEMAND Child Care Demand

Estimated Total Children

Average LFPRAdjustment Factor

Children With Working Parents

Licensed Care Demand Factor

Resident Children Needing Licensed Care

of Total Resident Children Needing Licensed Care

Children from Non-Resident Employees Needing

Licensed Care

Total Demand for Child Care Spaces

Distribution

EXISTING SUPPLY

(1)

(2)

(3)

(4)

3725 5378

69

2555 4813

37

946 4505

25 84

466 703

1411 5208

21 79

Child Care Spaces

9103

7368

74

5450

60

1169

6619

100

Family Child Care Home Supply

Child Care Center Supply

Current Child Care Supply

Distribution

EXISTING SURPLUS(SHORTAGE)

Distribution

Percentage of Demand Met

by Existing FacilitiesSpaces

Shortage of Family Child Care Home Spaces

Shortage of Center-Based Spaces

(5)

(6)

(6)

42

41

83

396 497

356 2036

752 2533

23 77

(660) (2674)

20 80

53 49

(347) (525)

(313) (2149)

893

2392

3285

100

(3334)

100

50

(872)

(2462)

FINAL

Table B-15

Future Child Care Demand and Supply in 2025 in Redwood City

San Mateo County Child Care Study - 2016

Note All footnote references can be found in Table C-1 at the end of this file

Sources 2010 US Census ABAG Projections 2013 2014 American Community Survey ACS Journey-to-Work data 2006-2008 and 2006-2010

Child Care Coordinating Council of San Mateo County (4Cs) Community Care Licensing Brion Economics Inc

Prepared by Brion Economics Inc 2513-SMC NA Final Tables 61216 6122016

SAN BRUNO

Child Care as of 2025

No of

Providers

Under 2 Years

Old

2 to 4 Year

Olds

Total 0 to 4

Years

EXISTING DEMAND Child Care Demand

Estimated Total Children

Average LFPRAdjustment Factor

Children With Working Parents

Licensed Care Demand Factor

Resident Children Needing Licensed Care

of Total Resident Children Needing Licensed Care

Children from Non-Resident Employees Needing

Licensed Care

(1)

(2)

(3)

1189 1728

77

910 1589

37

337 1475

28 85

68 103

2917

2498

73

1812

62

171

Total Demand for Child Care Spaces

Distribution

EXISTING SUPPLY (4)

405 1578

20 80

Child Care Spaces

1983

100

Family Child Care Home Supply

Child Care Center Supply

Current Child Care Supply

Distribution

EXISTING SURPLUS(SHORTAGE)

Distribution

Percentage of Demand Met

by Existing FacilitiesSpaces

Shortage of Family Child Care Home Spaces

Shortage of Center-Based Spaces

(5)

(6)

(6)

13

15

28

122 153

26 1183

148 1336

10 90

(257) (242)

52 48

37 85

(212) (28)

(45) (214)

275

1209

1484

100

(499)

100

75

(239)

(259)

FINAL

Table B-16

Future C hild Care Demand and Supply in 2025 in San Bruno

San Mateo County Child Care Study - 2016

Note All footnote references can be found in Table C-1 at the end of this file

Sources 2010 US Census ABAG Projections 2013 2014 American Community Survey ACS Journey-to-Work data 2006-2008 and 2006-2010

Child Care Coordinating Council of San Mateo County (4Cs) Community Care Licensing Brion Economics Inc

Prepared by Brion Economics Inc 2513-SMC NA Final Tables 61216 6122016

SAN CARLOS

Child Care as of 2025

No of

Providers

Under 2 Years

Old

2 to 4 Year

Olds

Total 0 to 4

Years

EXISTING DEMAND Child Care Demand

Estimated Total Children

Average LFPRAdjustment Factor

Children With Working Parents

Licensed Care Demand Factor

Resident Children Needing Licensed Care

of Total Resident Children Needing Licensed Care

Children from Non-Resident Employees Needing

Licensed Care

(1)

(2)

(3)

778 1384

72

557 1255

37

206 1174

26 85

82 123

2162

1812

76

1380

64

205

Total Demand for Child Care Spaces

Distribution

EXISTING SUPPLY (4)

288 1297

18 82

Child Care Spaces

1585

100

Family Child Care Home Supply

Child Care Center Supply

Current Child Care Supply

Distribution

EXISTING SURPLUS(SHORTAGE)

Distribution

Percentage of Demand Met

by Existing FacilitiesSpaces

Shortage of Family Child Care Home Spaces

Shortage of Center-Based Spaces

(5)

(6)

(6)

28

14

42

73 92

76 615

149 707

17 83

(139) (590)

19 81

52 54

(68) (76)

(71) (514)

164

691

855

100

(729)

100

54

(145)

(585)

FINAL

Table B-17

Future Child Care Demand and Supply in 2025 in San Carlos

San Mateo County Child Care Study - 2016

Note All footnote references can be found in Table C-1 at the end of this file

Sources 2010 US Census ABAG Projections 2013 2014 American Community Survey ACS Journey-to-Work data 2006-2008 and 2006-2010

Child Care Coordinating Council of San Mateo County (4Cs) Community Care Licensing Brion Economics Inc

Prepared by Brion Economics Inc 2513-SMC NA Final Tables 61216 6122016

SAN MATEO

Child Care as of 2025

No of

Providers

Under 2 Years

Old

2 to 4 Year

Olds

Total 0 to 4

Years

EXISTING DEMAND Child Care Demand

Estimated Total Children

Average LFPRAdjustment Factor

Children With Working Parents

Licensed Care Demand Factor

Resident Children Needing Licensed Care

of Total Resident Children Needing Licensed Care

Children from Non-Resident Employees Needing

Licensed Care

(1)

(2)

(3)

3194 4572

71

2264 4116

37

838 3839

26 84

261 394

7766

6381

73

4677

60

656

Total Demand for Child Care Spaces

Distribution

EXISTING SUPPLY (4)

1099 4233

21 79

Child Care Spaces

5332

100

Family Child Care Home Supply

Child Care Center Supply

Current Child Care Supply

Distribution

EXISTING SURPLUS(SHORTAGE)

Distribution

Percentage of Demand Met

by Existing FacilitiesSpaces

Shortage of Family Child Care Home Spaces

Shortage of Center-Based Spaces

(5)

(6)

(6)

69

59

128

492 619

209 2577

701 3196

18 82

(398) (1037)

28 72

64 75

(279) (201)

(119) (837)

1111

2786

3897

100

(1435)

100

73

(480)

(955)

FINAL

Table B-18

Future Child Care Demand and Supply in 2025 in San Mateo

San Mateo County Child Care Study - 2016

Note All footnote references can be found in Table C-1 at the end of this file

Sources 2010 US Census ABAG Projections 2013 2014 American Community Survey ACS Journey-to-Work data 2006-2008 and 2006-2010

Child Care Coordinating Council of San Mateo County (4Cs) Community Care Licensing Brion Economics Inc

Prepared by Brion Economics Inc 2513-SMC NA Final Tables 61216 6122016

FINAL

Table B-19

Future Child Care Demand and Supply in 2025 in South Coast

San Mateo County Child Care Study - 2016

SOUTH COAST

Child Care as of 2025

No of

Providers

Under 2 Years

Old

2 to 4 Year

Olds

Total 0 to 4

Years

EXISTING DEMAND Child Care Demand

Estimated Total Children (1) 23 32 55

Average LFPRAdjustment Factor (2) 54

Children With Working Parents 12 27 40

Licensed Care Demand Factor (3) 37 77

Resident Children Needing Licensed Care 5 26 30

of Total Resident Children Needing Licensed Care 20 81 56

Children from Non-Resident Employees Needing

Licensed Care 0 0 0

Total Demand for Child Care Spaces 5 26 30

Distribution 15 85 100

EXISTING SUPPLY (4) Child Care Spaces

Family Child Care Home Supply - 0 0 0

Child Care Center Supply 2 0 54 54

Current Child Care Supply 2 - 54 54

Distribution 0 100 100

EXISTING SURPLUS(SHORTAGE) (5) 28 24

Distribution -19 119 100

Percentage of Demand Met

by Existing FacilitiesSpaces (5) 0 209 177

Shortage of Family Child Care Home Spaces (6) 0 NA 0

Shortage of Center-Based Spaces (6) (5) NA (5)

Note All footnote references can be found in Table C-1 at the end of this file

Sources 2010 US Census ABAG Projections 2013 2014 American Community Survey ACS Journey-to-Work data 2006-2008 and 2006-2010

Child Care Coordinating Council of San Mateo County (4Cs) Community Care Licensing Brion Economics Inc

Prepared by Brion Economics Inc 2513-SMC NA Final Tables 61216 6122016

SOUTH SAN FRANCISCO

Child Care as of 2025

No of

Providers

Under 2 Years

Old

2 to 4 Year

Olds

Total 0 to 4

Years

EXISTING DEMAND Child Care Demand

Estimated Total Children

Average LFPRAdjustment Factor

Children With Working Parents

Licensed Care Demand Factor

Resident Children Needing Licensed Care

of Total Resident Children Needing Licensed Care

Children from Non-Resident Employees Needing

Licensed Care

(1)

(2)

(3)

1835 2790

73

1342 2535

37

496 2362

27 85

339 512

4625

3877

74

2859

62

851

Total Demand for Child Care Spaces

Distribution

EXISTING SUPPLY (4)

835 2874

23 77

Child Care Spaces

3709

100

Family Child Care Home Supply

Child Care Center Supply

Current Child Care Supply

Distribution

EXISTING SURPLUS(SHORTAGE)

Distribution

Percentage of Demand Met

by Existing FacilitiesSpaces

Shortage of Family Child Care Home Spaces

Shortage of Center-Based Spaces

(5)

(6)

(6)

30

27

57

252 317

400 1966

652 2283

22 78

(183) (591)

24 76

78 79

(71) (82)

(113) (509)

569

2366

2935

100

(775)

100

79

(153)

(622)

FINAL

Table B-20

Future Child Care Demand and Supply in 2025 in South San Francisco

San Mateo County Child Care Study - 2016

Note All footnote references can be found in Table C-1 at the end of this file

Sources 2010 US Census ABAG Projections 2013 2014 American Community Survey ACS Journey-to-Work data 2006-2008 and 2006-2010

Child Care Coordinating Council of San Mateo County (4Cs) Community Care Licensing Brion Economics Inc

Prepared by Brion Economics Inc 2513-SMC NA Final Tables 61216 6122016

WOODSIDE

No of

Providers

Child Care as of 2025

Under 2 Years

Old

2 to 4 Year

Olds

Total 0 to 4

Years

EXISTING DEMAND Child Care Demand

Estimated Total Children

Average LFPRAdjustment Factor

Children With Working Parents

Licensed Care Demand Factor

Resident Children Needing Licensed Care

of Total Resident Children Needing Licensed Care

Children from Non-Resident Employees Needing

Licensed Care

(1)

(2)

(3)

93 165

56

51 140

37

19 132

21 80

9 13

258

192

79

152

59

22

Total Demand for Child Care Spaces

Distribution

EXISTING SUPPLY (4)

28 146

16 84

Child Care Spaces

174

100

Family Child Care Home Supply

Child Care Center Supply

Current Child Care Supply

Distribution

EXISTING SURPLUS(SHORTAGE)

Distribution

Percentage of Demand Met

by Existing FacilitiesSpaces

Shortage of Family Child Care Home Spaces

Shortage of Center-Based Spaces

(5)

(6)

(6)

1

2

3

4 5

- 103

4 108

4 96

(24) (38)

39 61

15 74

(24) (2)

0 (36)

9

103

112

100

(61)

100

65

(26)

(36)

FINAL

Table B-21

Future Child Care Demand and Supply in 2025 in Woodside

San Mateo County Child Care Study - 2016

Note All footnote references can be found in Table C-1 at the end of this file

Sources 2010 US Census ABAG Projections 2013 2014 American Community Survey ACS Journey-to-Work data 2006-2008 and 2006-2010

Child Care Coordinating Council of San Mateo County (4Cs) Community Care Licensing Brion Economics Inc

Prepared by Brion Economics Inc 2513-SMC NA Final Tables 61216 6122016

FINAL

Table C-1

Endnotes for Tables

San Mateo County Child Care Study - 2016

(1) Population by age is based on the percentage breakdown from the 2010 US Census and applied

to population estimates for 2015 using ABAGs Projections 2013 population data The ABAG data

for each area includes its Sphere of Influence and is not based on strict jurisdictional boundaries

(2) Labor force participation rates are from the 5-Year American Community Survey 2014 and include

children under six years old with two working parents or a single working parent For the 2- to 4-year

olds the labor force participation rate is applied to 2 year olds For 3- and 4-year olds it is assumed

that 100 need licensed care to support preschool for every child so the number of

3- and 4-year olds is not discounted by labor force participation rates

(3) Not all children with working parents are assumed to need licensed care percentage assumptions are

used to calculate the number of children requiring licensed care under each age category The

remaining children are assumed to be cared for in alternate arrangements such as by family members

nannies friends and other unlicensed care For children ages 3- and 4-years old it is assumed that

they all need care in the form of preschool

(4) Data on child care supply provided by the Child Care Coordinating Council of San Mateo County (4Cs)

and Community Care Licensing Division of the California Department of Social Services (CCLD) Data is

for June 2015

(5) Demand that calculates as less than 100 means that there is greater demand than supply percent of

demand that is over 100 means supply exceeds demand

(6) Unmet demand is broken down into shortage by type of care based on the proportion of FCCHs and

child care centers spaces available in each area If an area does not have any FCCHs or centers the

unmet demand is placed in the type of care that is available in the area (eg if there are only centers

all demand goes to centers)

Source Brion Economics Inc

Prepared by Brion Economics Inc 2513-SMC NA Final Tables 61216 6122016

DRAFT REPORT

Table C-2

Labor Force Participation Rates by CityArea

San Mateo County Child Care Study - 2016

CityArea

Labor Force

Participation Rate (1)

Atherton

Belmont

Brisbane

Burlingame

Daly CityColma

East Palo Alto

Foster City

Half Moon Bay Region

Hillsborough

Menlo Park

Millbrae

Pacifica

Portola Valley

Redwood City

San Bruno

San Carlos

San Mateo

South Coast

South San Francisco

Woodside

40

77

100

65

74

71

63

69

52

69

62

78

66

69

77

72

71

54

73

56

(1) Labor force participation rates (LFPRs) are for

families with children under age six with two

working parents or a single parent who works Sources American Community Survey 2014 5-Year

Survey Brion Economics Inc

Prepared by Brion Economics Inc 2513-SMC NA Final Tables 61216 6122016

  • 2513-SMC FINAL NA Memo-61216
  • 2513-SMC NA Final Tables 61216
Page 27: Final San Mateo County Child Care Needs … Care...Future C hild Care Demand and Supply in 2025 in Daly City/Colma San Mateo County Child Care Study - 2016 Note: All footnote references

BURLINGAME

Child Care as of 2015

No of

Providers

Under 2 Years

Old

2 to 4 Year

Olds

Total 0 to 4

Years

EXISTING DEMAND Child Care Demand

Estimated Total Children

Average LFPRAdjustment Factor

Children With Working Parents

Licensed Care Demand Factor

Resident Children Needing Licensed Care

of Total Resident Children Needing Licensed Care

Children from Non-Resident Employees Needing

Licensed Care

(1)

(2)

(3)

824 1216

65

535 1086

37

198 1025

24 84

140 211

2040

1621

75

1224

60

350

Total Demand for Child Care Spaces

Distribution

EXISTING SUPPLY (4)

338 1236

21 79

Child Care Spaces

1574

100

Family Child Care Home Supply

Child Care Center Supply

Current Child Care Supply

Distribution

EXISTING SURPLUS(SHORTAGE)

Distribution

Percentage of Demand Met

by Existing FacilitiesSpaces

Shortage of Family Child Care Home Spaces

Shortage of Center-Based Spaces

(5)

(6)

(6)

21

14

35

79 99

40 866

119 965

11 89

(219) (271)

45 55

35 78

(145) (28)

(73) (243)

179

906

1085

100

(489)

100

69

(173)

(316)

FINAL

Table A-5

Existing Child Care Demand and Supply in 2015 in Burlingame

San Mateo County Child Care Study - 2016

Note All footnote references can be found in Table C-1 at the end of this file

Sources 2010 US Census ABAG Projections 2013 2014 American Community Survey ACS Journey-to-Work data 2006-2008 and 2006-2010

Child Care Coordinating Council of San Mateo County (4Cs) Community Care Licensing Brion Economics Inc

Prepared by Brion Economics Inc 2513-SMC NA Final Tables 61216 6122016

DALY CITYCOLMA

Child Care as of 2015

No of

Providers

Under 2 Years

Old

2 to 4 Year

Olds

Total 0 to 4

Years

EXISTING DEMAND Child Care Demand

Estimated Total Children

Average LFPRAdjustment Factor

Children With Working Parents

Licensed Care Demand Factor

Resident Children Needing Licensed Care

of Total Resident Children Needing Licensed Care

Children from Non-Resident Employees Needing

Licensed Care

(1)

(2)

(3)

2495 3575

742

1851 3268

37

685 3047

27 85

126 190

6070

5119

73

3732

61

316

Total Demand for Child Care Spaces

Distribution

EXISTING SUPPLY (4)

811 3237

20 80

Child Care Spaces

4048

100

Family Child Care Home Supply

Child Care Center Supply

Current Child Care Supply

Distribution

EXISTING SURPLUS(SHORTAGE)

Distribution

Percentage of Demand Met

by Existing FacilitiesSpaces

Shortage of Family Child Care Home Spaces

Shortage of Center-Based Spaces

(5)

(6)

(6)

85

28

113

288 362

84 1264

372 1626

19 81

(439) (1612)

21 79

46 50

(340) (359)

(99) (1253)

649

1348

1997

100

(2051)

100

49

(698)

(1352)

FINAL

Table A-6

Existing Child Care Demand and Supply in 2015 in Daly CityColma

San Mateo Co unty Child Care Study - 2016

Note All footnote references can be found in Table C-1 at the end of this file

Sources 2010 US Census ABAG Projections 2013 2014 American Community Survey ACS Journey-to-Work data 2006-2008 and 2006-2010

Child Care Coordinating Council of San Mateo County (4Cs) Community Care Licensing Brion Economics Inc

Prepared by Brion Economics Inc 2513-SMC NA Final Tables 61216 6122016

EAST PALO ALTO

Child Care as of 2015

No of

Providers

Under 2 Years

Old

2 to 4 Year

Olds

Total 0 to 4

Years

EXISTING DEMAND Child Care Demand

Estimated Total Children

Average LFPRAdjustment Factor

Children With Working Parents

Licensed Care Demand Factor

Resident Children Needing Licensed Care

of Total Resident Children Needing Licensed Care

Children from Non-Resident Employees Needing

Licensed Care

(1)

(2)

(3)

1046 1667

71

741 1496

37

274 1392

26 84

18 27

2713

2237

75

1666

61

45

Total Demand for Child Care Spaces

Distribution

EXISTING SUPPLY (4)

292 1419

17 83

Child Care Spaces

1711

100

Family Child Care Home Supply

Child Care Center Supply

Current Child Care Supply

Distribution

EXISTING SURPLUS(SHORTAGE)

Distribution

Percentage of Demand Met

by Existing FacilitiesSpaces

Shortage of Family Child Care Home Spaces

Shortage of Center-Based Spaces

(5)

(6)

(6)

21

6

27

85 106

25 633

110 739

13 87

(182) (680)

21 79

38 52

(141) (98)

(42) (582)

191

658

849

100

(862)

100

50

(239)

(623)

FINAL

Table A-7

Existing Child Care Demand and Supply in 2015 in East Palo Alto

San Mateo County Child Care Study - 2016

Note All footnote references can be found in Table C-1 at the end of this file Sources 2010 US Census ABAG Projections 2013 2014 American Community Survey ACS Journey-to-Work data 2006-2008 and 2006-2010

Child Care Coordinating Council of San Mateo County (4Cs) Community Care Licensing Brion Economics Inc

Prepared by Brion Economics Inc 2513-SMC NA Final Tables 61216 6122016

FOSTER CITY

Child Care as of 2015

No of

Providers

Under 2 Years

Old

2 to 4 Year

Olds

Total 0 to 4

Years

EXISTING DEMAND Child Care Demand

Estimated Total Children

Average LFPRAdjustment Factor

Children With Working Parents

Licensed Care Demand Factor

Resident Children Needing Licensed Care

of Total Resident Children Needing Licensed Care

Children from Non-Resident Employees Needing

Licensed Care

(1)

(2)

(3)

836 1277

63

528 1108

37

195 1035

23 81

73 110

2113

1636

75

1231

58

183

Total Demand for Child Care Spaces

Distribution

EXISTING SUPPLY (4)

268 1145

19 81

Child Care Spaces

1414

100

Family Child Care Home Supply

Child Care Center Supply

Current Child Care Supply

Distribution

EXISTING SURPLUS(SHORTAGE)

Distribution

Percentage of Demand Met

by Existing FacilitiesSpaces

Shortage of Family Child Care Home Spaces

Shortage of Center-Based Spaces

(5)

(6)

(6)

29

12

41

118 149

88 1200

206 1349

13 87

(62) 203

NA NA

77 118

(36) NA

(27) NA

267

1288

1555

100

141

NA

110

(36)

(27)

FINAL

Table A-8

Existing Child Care Demand and Supply in 2015 in Foster City

San Mateo County Child Care Study - 2016

Note All footnote references can be found in Table C-1 at the end of this file

Sources 2010 US Census ABAG Projections 2013 2014 American Community Survey ACS Journey-to-Work data 2006-2008 and 2006-2010

Child Care Coordinating Council of San Mateo County (4Cs) Community Care Licensing Brion Economics Inc

Prepared by Brion Economics Inc 2513-SMC NA Final Tables 61216 6122016

HALF MOON BAY REGION

Child Care as of 2015

No of

Providers

Under 2 Years

Old

2 to 4 Year

Olds

Total 0 to 4

Years

EXISTING DEMAND Child Care Demand

Estimated Total Children

Average LFPRAdjustment Factor

Children With Working Parents

Licensed Care Demand Factor

Resident Children Needing Licensed Care

of Total Resident Children Needing Licensed Care

Children from Non-Resident Employees Needing

Licensed Care

(1)

(2)

(3)

511 860

69

354 772

37

131 723

26 84

13 19

1371

1126

76

854

62

32

Total Demand for Child Care Spaces

Distribution

EXISTING SUPPLY (4)

144 742

16 84

Child Care Spaces

885

100

Family Child Care Home Supply

Child Care Center Supply

Current Child Care Supply

Distribution

EXISTING SURPLUS(SHORTAGE)

Distribution

Percentage of Demand Met

by Existing FacilitiesSpaces

Shortage of Family Child Care Home Spaces

Shortage of Center-Based Spaces

(5)

(6)

(6)

28

11

39

96 121

35 285

131 406

24 76

(13) (336)

4 96

91 55

(9) (100)

(3) (236)

216

320

536

100

(349)

100

61

(109)

(240)

FINAL

Table A-9

Existing Child Care Demand and Supply in 2015 in Half Moon Bay Region

San Mateo County Child Care Study - 2016

Note All footnote references can be found in Table C-1 at the end of this file

Sources 2010 US Census ABAG Projections 2013 2014 American Community Survey ACS Journey-to-Work data 2006-2008 and 2006-2010

Child Care Coordinating Council of San Mateo County (4Cs) Community Care Licensing Brion Economics Inc

Prepared by Brion Economics Inc 2513-SMC NA Final Tables 61216 6122016

HILLSBOROUGH

Child Care as of 2015

No of

Providers

Under 2 Years

Old

2 to 4 Year

Olds

Total 0 to 4

Years

EXISTING DEMAND Child Care Demand

Estimated Total Children

Average LFPRAdjustment Factor

Children With Working Parents

Licensed Care Demand Factor

Resident Children Needing Licensed Care

of Total Resident Children Needing Licensed Care

Children from Non-Resident Employees Needing

Licensed Care

(1)

(2)

(3)

138 331

52

71 284

37

26 272

19 82

7 10

469

356

84

298

64

16

Total Demand for Child Care Spaces

Distribution

EXISTING SUPPLY (4)

33 282

10 90

Child Care Spaces

315

100

Family Child Care Home Supply

Child Care Center Supply

Current Child Care Supply

Distribution

EXISTING SURPLUS(SHORTAGE)

Distribution

Percentage of Demand Met

by Existing FacilitiesSpaces

Shortage of Family Child Care Home Spaces

Shortage of Center-Based Spaces

(5)

(6)

(6)

1

4

5

5 6

- 91

5 97

5 95

(28) (185)

13 87

15 34

(28) (12)

0 (173)

11

91

102

100

(213)

100

32

(40)

(173)

FINAL

Table A-10

Existing Child Care Demand and Supply in 2015 in Hillsborough

San Mateo County Child Care Study - 2016

Note All footnote references can be found in Table C-1 at the end of this file Sources 2010 US Census ABAG Projections 2013 2014 American Community Survey ACS Journey-to-Work data 2006-2008 and 2006-2010

Child Care Coordinating Council of San Mateo County (4Cs) Community Care Licensing Brion Economics Inc

Prepared by Brion Economics Inc 2513-SMC NA Final Tables 61216 6122016

MENLO PARK

Child Care as of 2015

No of

Providers

Under 2 Years

Old

2 to 4 Year

Olds

Total 0 to 4

Years

EXISTING DEMAND Child Care Demand

Estimated Total Children

Average LFPRAdjustment Factor

Children With Working Parents

Licensed Care Demand Factor

Resident Children Needing Licensed Care

of Total Resident Children Needing Licensed Care

Children from Non-Resident Employees Needing

Licensed Care

(1)

(2)

(3)

1170 1723

69

802 1551

37

297 1458

25 85

220 332

2893

2353

75

1754

61

552

Total Demand for Child Care Spaces

Distribution

EXISTING SUPPLY (4)

516 1790

22 78

Child Care Spaces

2306

100

Family Child Care Home Supply

Child Care Center Supply

Current Child Care Supply

Distribution

EXISTING SURPLUS(SHORTAGE)

Distribution

Percentage of Demand Met

by Existing FacilitiesSpaces

Shortage of Family Child Care Home Spaces

Shortage of Center-Based Spaces

(5)

(6)

(6)

18

25

43

76 96

73 1331

149 1427

9 91

(367) (363)

50 50

29 80

(188) (24)

(180) (338)

172

1404

1576

100

(730)

100

68

(212)

(518)

FINAL

Table A-11

Existing Child Care Demand and Supply in 2015 in Menlo Park

San Mateo County Child Care Study - 2016

Note All footnote references can be found in Table C-1 at the end of this file Sources 2010 US Census ABAG Projections 2013 2014 American Community Survey ACS Journey-to-Work data 2006-2008 and 2006-2010

Child Care Coordinating Council of San Mateo County (4Cs) Community Care Licensing Brion Economics Inc

Prepared by Brion Economics Inc 2513-SMC NA Final Tables 61216 6122016

MILLBRAE

Child Care as of 2015

No of

Providers

Under 2 Years

Old

2 to 4 Year

Olds

Total 0 to 4

Years

EXISTING DEMAND Child Care Demand

Total Children

Average LFPRAdjustment Factor

Children With Working Parents

Licensed Care Demand Factor

Resident Children Needing Licensed Care

of Total Resident Children Needing Licensed Care

Children from Non-Resident Employees Needing

Licensed Care

(1)

(2)

(3)

421 717

62

260 632

37

96 598

23 83

28 42

1138

892

78

694

61

69

Total Demand for Child Care Spaces

Distribution

EXISTING SUPPLY (4)

124 640

16 84

Child Care Spaces

764

100

Family Child Care Home Supply

Child Care Center Supply

Current Child Care Supply

Distribution

EXISTING SURPLUS(SHORTAGE)

Distribution

Percentage of Demand Met

by Existing FacilitiesSpaces

Shortage of Family Child Care Home Spaces

Shortage of Center-Based Spaces

(5)

(6)

(6)

17

7

24

62 78

- 376

62 454

12 88

(61) (186)

25 75

50 71

(61) (32)

0 (154)

141

376

517

100

(247)

100

68

(93)

(154)

FINAL

Table A-12

Existing Child Care Demand and Supply in 2015 in Millbrae

San Mateo Co unty Child Care Study - 2016

Note All footnote references can be found in Table C-1 at the end of this file

Sources 2010 US Census ABAG Projections 2013 2014 American Community Survey ACS Journey-to-Work data 2006-2008 and 2006-2010

Child Care Coordinating Council of San Mateo County (4Cs) Community Care Licensing Brion Economics Inc

Prepared by Brion Economics Inc 2513-SMC NA Final Tables 61216 6122016

PACIFICA

Child Care as of 2015

No of

Providers

Under 2 Years

Old

2 to 4 Year

Olds

Total 0 to 4

Years

EXISTING DEMAND Child Care Demand

Estimated Total Children

Average LFPRAdjustment Factor

Children With Working Parents

Licensed Care Demand Factor

Resident Children Needing Licensed Care

of Total Resident Children Needing Licensed Care

Children from Non-Resident Employees Needing

Licensed Care

(1)

(2)

(3)

787 1253

78

610 1165

37

226 1089

29 87

18 27

2040

1776

74

1315

64

45

Total Demand for Child Care Spaces

Distribution

EXISTING SUPPLY (4)

244 1117

18 83

Child Care Spaces

1360

100

Family Child Care Home Supply

Child Care Center Supply

Current Child Care Supply

Distribution

EXISTING SURPLUS(SHORTAGE)

Distribution

Percentage of Demand Met

by Existing FacilitiesSpaces

Shortage of Family Child Care Home Spaces

Shortage of Center-Based Spaces

(5)

(6)

(6)

21

18

39

77 97

39 701

116 798

13 87

(128) (319)

29 71

48 71

(85) (39)

(43) (280)

174

740

914

100

(447)

100

67

(124)

(323)

FINAL

Table A-13

Existing Child Care Demand and Supply in 2015 in Pacifica

San Mateo County Child Care Study - 2016

Note All footnote references can be found in Table C-1 at the end of this file Sources 2010 US Census ABAG Projections 2013 2014 American Community Survey ACS Journey-to-Work data 2006-2008 and 2006-2010

Child Care Coordinating Council of San Mateo County (4Cs) Community Care Licensing Brion Economics Inc

Prepared by Brion Economics Inc 2513-SMC NA Final Tables 61216 6122016

PORTOLA VALLEY

No of

Providers

Child Care as of 2015

Under 2 Years

Old

2 to 4 Year

Olds

Total 0 to 4

Years

EXISTING DEMAND Child Care Demand

Estimated Total Children

Average LFPRAdjustment Factor

Children With Working Parents

Licensed Care Demand Factor

Resident Children Needing Licensed Care

of Total Resident Children Needing Licensed Care

Children from Non-Resident Employees Needing

Licensed Care

(1)

(2)

(3)

75 187

66

49 168

37

18 159

24 85

8 12

261

217

82

177

68

21

Total Demand for Child Care Spaces

Distribution

EXISTING SUPPLY (4)

26 171

13 87

Child Care Spaces

198

100

Family Child Care Home Supply

Child Care Center Supply

Current Child Care Supply

Distribution

EXISTING SURPLUS(SHORTAGE)

Distribution

Percentage of Demand Met

by Existing FacilitiesSpaces

Shortage of Family Child Care Home Spaces

Shortage of Center-Based Spaces

(5)

(6)

(6)

0

4

4

0 0

0 153

0 153

0 100

(26) (18)

59 41

0 89

0 0

(26) (18)

0

153

153

100

(45)

100

77

0

(45)

FINAL

Table A-14

Existing Child Care Demand and Supply in 2015 in Portola Valley

San Mateo County Child Care Study - 2016

Note All footnote references can be found in Table C-1 at the end of this file Sources 2010 US Census ABAG Projections 2013 2014 American Community Survey ACS Journey-to-Work data 2006-2008 and 2006-2010

Child Care Coordinating Council of San Mateo County (4Cs) Community Care Licensing Brion Economics Inc

Prepared by Brion Economics Inc 2513-SMC NA Final Tables 61216 6122016

REDWOOD CITY

Child Care as of 2015

No of

Providers

Under 2 Years

Old

2 to 4 Year

Olds

Total 0 to 4

Years

EXISTING DEMAND Child Care Demand

Estimated Total Children

Average LFPRAdjustment Factor

Children With Working Parents

Licensed Care Demand Factor

Resident Children Needing Licensed Care

of Total Resident Children Needing Licensed Care

Children from Non-Resident Employees Needing

Licensed Care

Total Demand for Child Care Spaces

Distribution

EXISTING SUPPLY

(1)

(2)

(3)

(4)

3260 4706

69

2236 4212

37

827 3942

25 84

414 625

1241 4567

21 79

Child Care Spaces

7966

6449

74

4770

60

1038

5808

100

Family Child Care Home Supply

Child Care Center Supply

Current Child Care Supply

Distribution

EXISTING SURPLUS(SHORTAGE)

Distribution

Percentage of Demand Met

by Existing FacilitiesSpaces

Shortage of Family Child Care Home Spaces

Shortage of Center-Based Spaces

(5)

(6)

(6)

111

45

156

396 497

356 2036

752 2533

23 77

(490) (2034)

19 81

61 55

(258) (399)

(232) (1635)

893

2392

3285

100

(2524)

100

57

(657)

(1867)

FINAL

Table A-15

Existing Child Care Demand and Supply in 2015 in Redwood City

San Mateo County Child Care Study - 2016

Note All footnote references can be found in Table C-1 at the end of this file Sources 2010 US Census ABAG Projections 2013 2014 American Community Survey ACS Journey-to-Work data 2006-2008 and 2006-2010

Child Care Coordinating Council of San Mateo County (4Cs) Community Care Licensing Brion Economics Inc

Prepared by Brion Economics Inc 2513-SMC NA Final Tables 61216 6122016

SAN BRUNO

Child Care as of 2015

No of

Providers

Under 2 Years

Old

2 to 4 Year

Olds

Total 0 to 4

Years

EXISTING DEMAND Child Care Demand

Estimated Total Children

Average LFPRAdjustment Factor

Children With Working Parents

Licensed Care Demand Factor

Resident Children Needing Licensed Care

of Total Resident Children Needing Licensed Care

Children from Non-Resident Employees Needing

Licensed Care

(1)

(2)

(3)

1069 1553

77

817 1428

37

302 1326

28 85

61 92

2622

2245

73

1628

62

153

Total Demand for Child Care Spaces

Distribution

EXISTING SUPPLY (4)

364 1418

20 80

Child Care Spaces

1782

100

Family Child Care Home Supply

Child Care Center Supply

Current Child Care Supply

Distribution

EXISTING SURPLUS(SHORTAGE)

Distribution

Percentage of Demand Met

by Existing FacilitiesSpaces

Shortage of Family Child Care Home Spaces

Shortage of Center-Based Spaces

(5)

(6)

(6)

34

15

49

122 153

26 1183

148 1336

10 90

(216) (82)

72 28

41 94

(178) (9)

(38) (73)

275

1209

1484

100

(298)

100

83

(187)

(110)

FINAL

Table A-16

Existing Child Care Demand and Supply in 2015 in San Bruno

San Mateo County Child Care Study - 2016

Note All footnote references can be found in Table C-1 at the end of this file Sources 2010 US Census ABAG Projections 2013 2014 American Community Survey ACS Journey-to-Work data 2006-2008 and 2006-2010

Child Care Coordinating Council of San Mateo County (4Cs) Community Care Licensing Brion Economics Inc

Prepared by Brion Economics Inc 2513-SMC NA Final Tables 61216 6122016

SAN CARLOS

Child Care as of 2015

No of

Providers

Under 2 Years

Old

2 to 4 Year

Olds

Total 0 to 4

Years

EXISTING DEMAND Child Care Demand

Estimated Total Children

Average LFPRAdjustment Factor

Children With Working Parents

Licensed Care Demand Factor

Resident Children Needing Licensed Care

of Total Resident Children Needing Licensed Care

Children from Non-Resident Employees Needing

Licensed Care

(1)

(2)

(3)

735 1308

72

526 1186

37

195 1109

26 85

75 114

2043

1712

76

1304

64

189

Total Demand for Child Care Spaces

Distribution

EXISTING SUPPLY (4)

270 1222

18 82

Child Care Spaces

1492

100

Family Child Care Home Supply

Child Care Center Supply

Current Child Care Supply

Distribution

EXISTING SURPLUS(SHORTAGE)

Distribution

Percentage of Demand Met

by Existing FacilitiesSpaces

Shortage of Family Child Care Home Spaces

Shortage of Center-Based Spaces

(5)

(6)

(6)

20

14

34

73 92

76 615

149 707

17 83

(121) (516)

19 81

55 58

(59) (67)

(62) (449)

164

691

855

100

(637)

100

57

(126)

(511)

FINAL

Table A-17

Existing Child Care Demand and Supply in 2015 in San Carlos

San Mateo County Child Care Study - 2016

Note All footnote references can be found in Table C-1 at the end of this file

Sources 2010 US Census ABAG Projections 2013 2014 American Community Survey ACS Journey-to-Work data 2006-2008 and 2006-2010

Child Care Coordinating Council of San Mateo County (4Cs) Community Care Licensing Brion Economics Inc

Prepared by Brion Economics Inc 2513-SMC NA Final Tables 61216 6122016

SAN MATEO

Child Care as of 2015

No of

Providers

Under 2 Years

Old

2 to 4 Year

Olds

Total 0 to 4

Years

EXISTING DEMAND Child Care Demand

Estimated Total Children

Average LFPRAdjustment Factor

Children With Working Parents

Licensed Care Demand Factor

Resident Children Needing Licensed Care

of Total Resident Children Needing Licensed Care

Children from Non-Resident Employees Needing

Licensed Care

(1)

(2)

(3)

2943 4213

71

2087 3793

37

772 3537

26 84

231 348

7156

5880

73

4309

60

579

Total Demand for Child Care Spaces

Distribution

EXISTING SUPPLY (4)

1003 3886

21 79

Child Care Spaces

4889

100

Family Child Care Home Supply

Child Care Center Supply

Current Child Care Supply

Distribution

EXISTING SURPLUS(SHORTAGE)

Distribution

Percentage of Demand Met

by Existing FacilitiesSpaces

Shortage of Family Child Care Home Spaces

Shortage of Center-Based Spaces

(5)

(6)

(6)

126

59

185

492 619

209 2577

701 3196

18 82

(302) (690)

30 70

70 82

(212) (134)

(90) (557)

1111

2786

3897

100

(992)

100

80

(345)

(647)

FINAL

Table A-18

Existing Child Care Demand and Supply in 2015 in San Mateo

San Mateo County Child Care Study - 2016

Note All footnote references can be found in Table C-1 at the end of this file

Sources 2010 US Census ABAG Projections 2013 2014 American Community Survey ACS Journey-to-Work data 2006-2008 and 2006-2010

Child Care Coordinating Council of San Mateo County (4Cs) Community Care Licensing Brion Economics Inc

Prepared by Brion Economics Inc 2513-SMC NA Final Tables 61216 6122016

SOUTH COAST

Child Care as of 2015

No of

Providers

Under 2 Years

Old

2 to 4 Year

Olds

Total 0 to 4

Years

EXISTING DEMAND Child Care Demand

Estimated Total Children

Average LFPRAdjustment Factor

Children With Working Parents

Licensed Care Demand Factor

Resident Children Needing Licensed Care

of Total Resident Children Needing Licensed Care

Children from Non-Resident Employees Needing

Licensed Care

(1)

(2)

(3)

21 29

54

11 25

37

4 23

20 81

0 0

50

36

77

28

56

0

Total Demand for Child Care Spaces

Distribution

EXISTING SUPPLY (4)

4 23

15 85

Child Care Spaces

28

100

Family Child Care Home Supply

Child Care Center Supply

Current Child Care Supply

Distribution

EXISTING SURPLUS(SHORTAGE)

Distribution

Percentage of Demand Met

by Existing FacilitiesSpaces

Shortage of Family Child Care Home Spaces

Shortage of Center-Based Spaces

(5)

(6)

(6)

-

2

2

- -

- 54

- 54

0 100

(4) 31

-16 116

0 230

(2) NA

(2) NA

0

54

54

100

26

100

195

(2)

(2)

FINAL

Table A-19

Existing Child Care Demand and Supply in 2015 in South Coast

San Mateo County Child Care Study - 2016

Note All footnote references can be found in Table C-1 at the end of this file

Sources 2010 US Census ABAG Projections 2013 2014 American Community Survey ACS Journey-to-Work data 2006-2008 and 2006-2010

Child Care Coordinating Council of San Mateo County (4Cs) Community Care Licensing Brion Economics Inc

Prepared by Brion Economics Inc 2513-SMC NA Final Tables 61216 6122016

SOUTH SAN FRANCISCO

Child Care as of 2015

No of

Providers

Under 2 Years

Old

2 to 4 Year

Olds

Total 0 to 4

Years

EXISTING DEMAND Child Care Demand

Estimated Total Children

Average LFPRAdjustment Factor

Children With Working Parents

Licensed Care Demand Factor

Resident Children Needing Licensed Care

of Total Resident Children Needing Licensed Care

Children from Non-Resident Employees Needing

Licensed Care

(1)

(2)

(3)

1649 2507

73

1206 2278

37

446 2123

27 85

309 466

4156

3484

74

2569

62

774

Total Demand for Child Care Spaces

Distribution

EXISTING SUPPLY (4)

755 2588

23 77

Child Care Spaces

3343

100

Family Child Care Home Supply

Child Care Center Supply

Current Child Care Supply

Distribution

EXISTING SURPLUS(SHORTAGE)

Distribution

Percentage of Demand Met

by Existing FacilitiesSpaces

Shortage of Family Child Care Home Spaces

Shortage of Center-Based Spaces

(5)

(6)

(6)

68

27

95

252 317

400 1966

652 2283

22 78

(103) (306)

25 75

86 88

(40) (42)

(63) (263)

569

2366

2935

100

(408)

100

88

(82)

(326)

FINAL

Table A-20

Existing Child Care Demand and Supply in 2015 in South San Francisco

San Mateo County Child Care Study - 2016

Note All footnote references can be found in Table C-1 at the end of this file Sources 2010 US Census ABAG Projections 2013 2014 American Community Survey ACS Journey-to-Work data 2006-2008 and 2006-2010

Child Care Coordinating Council of San Mateo County (4Cs) Community Care Licensing Brion Economics Inc

Prepared by Brion Economics Inc 2513-SMC NA Final Tables 61216 6122016

WOODSIDE

No of

Providers

Child Care as of 2015

Under 2 Years

Old

2 to 4 Year

Olds

Total 0 to 4

Years

EXISTING DEMAND Child Care Demand

Estimated Total Children

Average LFPRAdjustment Factor

Children With Working Parents

Licensed Care Demand Factor

Resident Children Needing Licensed Care

of Total Resident Children Needing Licensed Care

Children from Non-Resident Employees Needing

Licensed Care

(1)

(2)

(3)

90 160

56

50 136

37

18 128

21 80

8 13

250

186

79

147

59

21

Total Demand for Child Care Spaces

Distribution

EXISTING SUPPLY (4)

27 141

16 84

Child Care Spaces

168

100

Family Child Care Home Supply

Child Care Center Supply

Current Child Care Supply

Distribution

EXISTING SURPLUS(SHORTAGE)

Distribution

Percentage of Demand Met

by Existing FacilitiesSpaces

Shortage of Family Child Care Home Spaces

Shortage of Center-Based Spaces

(5)

(6)

(6)

1

2

3

4 5

0 103

4 108

4 96

(23) (33)

41 59

16 77

(23) (2)

0 (31)

9

103

112

100

(55)

100

67

(24)

(31)

FINAL

Table A-21

Existing Child Care Demand and Supply in 2015 in Woodside

San Mateo County Child Care Study - 2016

Note All footnote references can be found in Table C-1 at the end of this file Sources 2010 US Census ABAG Projections 2013 2014 American Community Survey ACS Journey-to-Work data 2006-2008 and 2006-2010

Child Care Coordinating Council of San Mateo County (4Cs) Community Care Licensing Brion Economics Inc

Prepared by Brion Economics Inc 2513-SMC NA Final Tables 61216 6122016

COUNTYWIDE

Child Care as of 2025

No of

Providers

Under 2 Years

Old

2 to 4 Year

Olds

Total 0 to 4

Years

EXISTING DEMAND Child Care Demand

Estimated Total Children

Average LFPRAdjustment Factor

Children With Working Parents

Licensed Care Demand Factor

Resident Children Needing Licensed Care

of Total Resident Children Needing Licensed Care

Children from Non-Resident Employees Needing

Licensed Care

Total Demand for Child Care Spaces

Distribution

EXISTING SUPPLY

(1)

(2)

(3)

(4)

20790 31340

71

14704 28273

37

5441 26432

26 84

2037 3074

7478 29506

20 80

Child Care Spaces

52130

42978

86

31873

61

5112

36984

100

Family Child Care Home Supply

Child Care Center Supply

Current Child Care Supply

Distribution

EXISTING SURPLUS(SHORTAGE)

Distribution

Percentage of Demand Met

by Existing FacilitiesSpaces

Shortage of Family Child Care Home Spaces

Shortage of Center-Based Spaces

(5)

(6)

(6)

621

309

930

2301 2893

1514 16296

3815 19189

17 83

(3663) (10318)

26 74

51 65

(2209) (1555)

(1454) (8762)

5193

17810

23003

100

(13981)

100

62

(3765)

(10216)

FINAL

Table B-1

Future C hild Care Demand and Supply in 2025 Countywide

San Mateo County Child Care Study - 2016

Note All footnote references can be found in Table C-1 at the end of this file

Sources 2010 US Census ABAG Projections 2013 2014 American Community Survey ACS Journey-to-Work data 2006-2008 and 2006-2010

Child Care Coordinating Council of San Mateo County (4Cs) Community Care Licensing Brion Economics Inc

Prepared by Brion Economics Inc 2513-SMC NA Final Tables 61216 6122016

ATHERTON

No of

Providers

Child Care as of 2025

Under 2 Years

Old

2 to 4 Year

Olds

Total 0 to 4

Years

EXISTING DEMAND Child Care Demand

Estimated Total Children

Average LFPRAdjustment Factor

Children With Working Parents

Licensed Care Demand Factor

Resident Children Needing Licensed Care

of Total Resident Children Needing Licensed Care

Children from Non-Resident Employees Needing

Licensed Care

(1)

(2)

(3)

109 193

40

43 159

37

16 154

15 80

13 19

302

202

84

170

56

32

Total Demand for Child Care Spaces

Distribution

EXISTING SUPPLY (4)

29 173

14 86

Child Care Spaces

201

100

Family Child Care Home Supply

Child Care Center Supply

Current Child Care Supply

Distribution

EXISTING SURPLUS(SHORTAGE)

Distribution

Percentage of Demand Met

by Existing FacilitiesSpaces

Shortage of Family Child Care Home Spaces

Shortage of Center-Based Spaces

(5)

(6)

(6)

1

6

7

5 6

24 267

29 273

10 90

0 101

0 100

101 158

NA NA

NA NA

11

291

302

100

101

100

150

NA

NA

FINAL

Table B-2

Future Child Care Demand and Supply in 2025 in Atherton

San Mateo Co unty Child Care Study - 2016

Note All footnote references can be found in Table C-1 at the end of this file Sources 2010 US Census ABAG Projections 2013 2014 American Community Survey ACS Journey-to-Work data 2006-2008 and 2006-2010

Child Care Coordinating Council of San Mateo County (4Cs) Community Care Licensing Brion Economics Inc

Prepared by Brion Economics Inc 2513-SMC NA Final Tables 61216 6122016

BELMONT

Child Care as of 2025

No of

Providers

Under 2 Years

Old

2 to 4 Year

Olds

Total 0 to 4

Years

EXISTING DEMAND Child Care Demand

Estimated Total Children

Average LFPRAdjustment Factor

Children With Working Parents

Licensed Care Demand Factor

Resident Children Needing Licensed Care

of Total Resident Children Needing Licensed Care

Children from Non-Resident Employees Needing

Licensed Care

(1)

(2)

(3)

743 1095

77

574 1013

37

213 943

29 86

37 56

1838

1587

73

1156

63

93

Total Demand for Child Care Spaces

Distribution

EXISTING SUPPLY (4)

250 999

20 80

Child Care Spaces

1249

100

Family Child Care Home Supply

Child Care Center Supply

Current Child Care Supply

Distribution

EXISTING SURPLUS(SHORTAGE)

Distribution

Percentage of Demand Met

by Existing FacilitiesSpaces

Shortage of Family Child Care Home Spaces

Shortage of Center-Based Spaces

(5)

(6)

(6)

8

9

17

67 84

39 531

106 615

15 85

(143) (384)

27 73

43 62

(91) (53)

(53) (331)

152

570

722

100

(527)

100

58

(143)

(384)

FINAL

Table B-3

Future Child Care Demand and Supply in 2025 in Belmont

San Mateo County Child Care Study - 2016

Note All footnote references can be found in Table C-1 at the end of this file

Sources 2010 US Census ABAG Projections 2013 2014 American Community Survey ACS Journey-to-Work data 2006-2008 and 2006-2010

Child Care Coordinating Council of San Mateo County (4Cs) Community Care Licensing Brion Economics Inc

Prepared by Brion Economics Inc 2513-SMC NA Final Tables 61216 6122016

BRISBANE

Child Care as of 2025

No of

Providers

Under 2 Years

Old

2 to 4 Year

Olds

Total 0 to 4

Years

EXISTING DEMAND Child Care Demand

Estimated Total Children

Average LFPRAdjustment Factor

Children With Working Parents

Licensed Care Demand Factor

Resident Children Needing Licensed Care

of Total Resident Children Needing Licensed Care

Children from Non-Resident Employees Needing

Licensed Care

(1)

(2)

(3)

131 174

100

131 174

37

48 160

37 92

55 83

305

305

68

209

68

138

Total Demand for Child Care Spaces

Distribution

EXISTING SUPPLY (4)

103 243

30 70

Child Care Spaces

346

100

Family Child Care Home Supply

Child Care Center Supply

Current Child Care Supply

Distribution

EXISTING SURPLUS(SHORTAGE)

Distribution

Percentage of Demand Met

by Existing FacilitiesSpaces

Shortage of Family Child Care Home Spaces

Shortage of Center-Based Spaces

(5)

(6)

(6)

1

1

2

4 5

0 64

4 69

6 94

(99) (174)

36 64

4 29

(99) (13)

0 (160)

9

64

73

100

(273)

100

21

(112)

(160)

FINAL

Table B-4

Future Child Care Demand and Supply in 2025 in Brisbane

San Mateo County Child Care Study - 2016

Note All footnote references can be found in Table C-1 at the end of this file Sources 2010 US Census ABAG Projections 2013 2014 American Community Survey ACS Journey-to-Work data 2006-2008 and 2006-2010

Child Care Coordinating Council of San Mateo County (4Cs) Community Care Licensing Brion Economics Inc

Prepared by Brion Economics Inc 2513-SMC NA Final Tables 61216 6122016

BURLINGAME

Child Care as of 2025

No of

Providers

Under 2 Years

Old

2 to 4 Year

Olds

Total 0 to 4

Years

EXISTING DEMAND Child Care Demand

Estimated Total Children

Average LFPRAdjustment Factor

Children With Working Parents

Licensed Care Demand Factor

Resident Children Needing Licensed Care

of Total Resident Children Needing Licensed Care

Children from Non-Resident Employees Needing

Licensed Care

(1)

(2)

(3)

903 1332

65

587 1190

37

217 1124

24 84

154 232

2235

1777

75

1341

60

385

Total Demand for Child Care Spaces

Distribution

EXISTING SUPPLY (4)

371 1356

21 79

Child Care Spaces

1726

100

Family Child Care Home Supply

Child Care Center Supply

Current Child Care Supply

Distribution

EXISTING SURPLUS(SHORTAGE)

Distribution

Percentage of Demand Met

by Existing FacilitiesSpaces

Shortage of Family Child Care Home Spaces

Shortage of Center-Based Spaces

(5)

(6)

(6)

10

14

24

79 99

40 866

119 965

11 89

(252) (390)

39 61

32 71

(167) (40)

(85) (350)

179

906

1085

100

(642)

100

63

(207)

(434)

FINAL

Table B-5

Future Child Care Demand and Supply in 2025 in Burlingame

San Mateo County Child Care Study - 2016

Note All footnote references can be found in Table C-1 at the end of this file

Sources 2010 US Census ABAG Projections 2013 2014 American Community Survey ACS Journey-to-Work data 2006-2008 and 2006-2010

Child Care Coordinating Council of San Mateo County (4Cs) Community Care Licensing Brion Economics Inc

Prepared by Brion Economics Inc 2513-SMC NA Final Tables 61216 6122016

DALY CITYCOLMA

Child Care as of 2025

No of

Providers

Under 2 Years

Old

2 to 4 Year

Olds

Total 0 to 4

Years

EXISTING DEMAND Child Care Demand

Estimated Total Children

Average LFPRAdjustment Factor

Children With Working Parents

Licensed Care Demand Factor

Resident Children Needing Licensed Care

of Total Resident Children Needing Licensed Care

Children from Non-Resident Employees Needing

Licensed Care

(1)

(2)

(3)

2647 3793

74

1964 3467

37

727 3233

27 85

138 208

6440

5432

73

3960

61

346

Total Demand for Child Care Spaces

Distribution

EXISTING SUPPLY (4)

865 3441

20 80

Child Care Spaces

4306

100

Family Child Care Home Supply

Child Care Center Supply

Current Child Care Supply

Distribution

EXISTING SURPLUS(SHORTAGE)

Distribution

Percentage of Demand Met

by Existing FacilitiesSpaces

Shortage of Family Child Care Home Spaces

Shortage of Center-Based Spaces

(5)

(6)

(6)

25

28

28

288 362

84 1264

372 1626

19 81

(493) (1816)

21 79

43 47

(381) (404)

(111) (1412)

649

1348

1997

100

(2308)

100

46

(785)

(1523)

FINAL

Table B-6

Future C hild Care Demand and Supply in 2025 in Daly CityColma

San Mateo County Child Care Study - 2016

Note All footnote references can be found in Table C-1 at the end of this file

Sources 2010 US Census ABAG Projections 2013 2014 American Community Survey ACS Journey-to-Work data 2006-2008 and 2006-2010

Child Care Coordinating Council of San Mateo County (4Cs) Community Care Licensing Brion Economics Inc

Prepared by Brion Economics Inc 2513-SMC NA Final Tables 61216 6122016

EAST PALO ALTO

Child Care as of 2025

No of

Providers

Under 2 Years

Old

2 to 4 Year

Olds

Total 0 to 4

Years

EXISTING DEMAND Child Care Demand

Estimated Total Children

Average LFPRAdjustment Factor

Children With Working Parents

Licensed Care Demand Factor

Resident Children Needing Licensed Care

of Total Resident Children Needing Licensed Care

Children from Non-Resident Employees Needing

Licensed Care

(1)

(2)

(3)

1161 1849

71

822 1660

37

304 1545

26 84

20 30

3010

2482

75

1849

61

50

Total Demand for Child Care Spaces

Distribution

EXISTING SUPPLY (4)

324 1575

17 83

Child Care Spaces

1900

100

Family Child Care Home Supply

Child Care Center Supply

Current Child Care Supply

Distribution

EXISTING SURPLUS(SHORTAGE)

Distribution

Percentage of Demand Met

by Existing FacilitiesSpaces

Shortage of Family Child Care Home Spaces

Shortage of Center-Based Spaces

(5)

(6)

(6)

13

6

19

85 106

25 633

110 739

13 87

(215) (836)

20 80

34 47

(166) (120)

(49) (715)

191

658

849

100

(1050)

100

45

(286)

(764)

FINAL

Table B-7

Future Child Care Demand and Supply in 2025 in East Palo Alto

San Mateo County Child Care Study - 2016

Note All footnote references can be found in Table C-1 at the end of this file

Sources 2010 US Census ABAG Projections 2013 2014 American Community Survey ACS Journey-to-Work data 2006-2008 and 2006-2010

Child Care Coordinating Council of San Mateo County (4Cs) Community Care Licensing Brion Economics Inc

Prepared by Brion Economics Inc 2513-SMC NA Final Tables 61216 6122016

FOSTER CITY

Child Care as of 2025

No of

Providers

Under 2 Years

Old

2 to 4 Year

Olds

Total 0 to 4

Years

EXISTING DEMAND Child Care Demand

Estimated Total Children

Average LFPRAdjustment Factor

Children With Working Parents

Licensed Care Demand Factor

Resident Children Needing Licensed Care

of Total Resident Children Needing Licensed Care

Children from Non-Resident Employees Needing

Licensed Care

(1)

(2)

(3)

871 1330

63

550 1154

37

204 1079

23 81

80 120

2201

1705

75

1282

58

200

Total Demand for Child Care Spaces

Distribution

EXISTING SUPPLY (4)

283 1199

19 81

Child Care Spaces

1483

100

Family Child Care Home Supply

Child Care Center Supply

Current Child Care Supply

Distribution

EXISTING SURPLUS(SHORTAGE)

Distribution

Percentage of Demand Met

by Existing FacilitiesSpaces

Shortage of Family Child Care Home Spaces

Shortage of Center-Based Spaces

(5)

(6)

(6)

19

12

31

118 149

88 1200

206 1349

13 87

(77) 150

-106 206

73 112

(44) NA

(33) NA

267

1288

1555

100

73

100

105

(44)

(33)

FINAL

Table B-8

Future Child Care Demand and Supply in 2025 in Foster City

San Mateo County Child Care Study - 2016

Note All footnote references can be found in Table C-1 at the end of this file

Sources 2010 US Census ABAG Projections 2013 2014 American Community Survey ACS Journey-to-Work data 2006-2008 and 2006-2010

Child Care Coordinating Council of San Mateo County (4Cs) Community Care Licensing Brion Economics Inc

Prepared by Brion Economics Inc 2513-SMC NA Final Tables 61216 6122016

HALF MOON BAY REGION

Child Care as of 2025

No of

Providers

Under 2 Years

Old

2 to 4 Year

Olds

Total 0 to 4

Years

EXISTING DEMAND Child Care Demand

Estimated Total Children

Average LFPRAdjustment Factor

Children With Working Parents

Licensed Care Demand Factor

Resident Children Needing Licensed Care

of Total Resident Children Needing Licensed Care

Children from Non-Resident Employees Needing

Licensed Care

(1)

(2)

(3)

553 929

69

383 835

37

142 781

26 84

14 21

1482

1217

76

923

62

34

Total Demand for Child Care Spaces

Distribution

EXISTING SUPPLY (4)

155 802

16 84

Child Care Spaces

957

100

Family Child Care Home Supply

Child Care Center Supply

Current Child Care Supply

Distribution

EXISTING SURPLUS(SHORTAGE)

Distribution

Percentage of Demand Met

by Existing FacilitiesSpaces

Shortage of Family Child Care Home Spaces

Shortage of Center-Based Spaces

(5)

(6)

(6)

10

11

21

96 121

35 285

131 406

24 76

(24) (396)

6 94

84 51

(18) (118)

(6) (279)

216

320

536

100

(421)

100

56

(136)

(285)

FINAL

Table B-9

Future Child Care Demand and Supply in 2025 in Half Moon Bay Region

San Mateo County Child Care Study - 2016

Note All footnote references can be found in Table C-1 at the end of this file

Sources 2010 US Census ABAG Projections 2013 2014 American Community Survey ACS Journey-to-Work data 2006-2008 and 2006-2010

Child Care Coordinating Council of San Mateo County (4Cs) Community Care Licensing Brion Economics Inc

Prepared by Brion Economics Inc 2513-SMC NA Final Tables 61216 6122016

HILLSBOROUGH

Child Care as of 2025

No of

Providers

Under 2 Years

Old

2 to 4 Year

Olds

Total 0 to 4

Years

EXISTING DEMAND Child Care Demand

Estimated Total Children

Average LFPRAdjustment Factor

Children With Working Parents

Licensed Care Demand Factor

Resident Children Needing Licensed Care

of Total Resident Children Needing Licensed Care

Children from Non-Resident Employees Needing

Licensed Care

(1)

(2)

(3)

143 343

52

74 295

37

27 282

19 82

7 11

487

369

84

309

64

17

Total Demand for Child Care Spaces

Distribution

EXISTING SUPPLY (4)

34 292

10 90

Child Care Spaces

327

100

Family Child Care Home Supply

Child Care Center Supply

Current Child Care Supply

Distribution

EXISTING SURPLUS(SHORTAGE)

Distribution

Percentage of Demand Met

by Existing FacilitiesSpaces

Shortage of Family Child Care Home Spaces

Shortage of Center-Based Spaces

(5)

(6)

(6)

1

4

5

5 6

- 91

5 97

5 95

(29) (195)

13 87

14 33

(29) (12)

0 (183)

11

91

102

100

(225)

100

31

(42)

(183)

FINAL

Table B-10

Future Child Care Demand and Supply in 2025 in Hillsborough

San Mateo County Child Care Study - 2016

Note All footnote references can be found in Table C-1 at the end of this file

Sources 2010 US Census ABAG Projections 2013 2014 American Community Survey ACS Journey-to-Work data 2006-2008 and 2006-2010

Child Care Coordinating Council of San Mateo County (4Cs) Community Care Licensing Brion Economics Inc

Prepared by Brion Economics Inc 2513-SMC NA Final Tables 61216 6122016

MENLO PARK

Child Care as of 2025

No of

Providers

Under 2 Years

Old

2 to 4 Year

Olds

Total 0 to 4

Years

EXISTING DEMAND Child Care Demand

Estimated Total Children

Average LFPRAdjustment Factor

Children With Working Parents

Licensed Care Demand Factor

Resident Children Needing Licensed Care

of Total Resident Children Needing Licensed Care

Children from Non-Resident Employees Needing

Licensed Care

(1)

(2)

(3)

1327 1954

69

909 1759

37

336 1653

25 85

237 357

3281

2668

75

1989

61

594

Total Demand for Child Care Spaces

Distribution

EXISTING SUPPLY (4)

573 2011

22 78

Child Care Spaces

2584

100

Family Child Care Home Supply

Child Care Center Supply

Current Child Care Supply

Distribution

EXISTING SURPLUS(SHORTAGE)

Distribution

Percentage of Demand Met

by Existing FacilitiesSpaces

Shortage of Family Child Care Home Spaces

Shortage of Center-Based Spaces

(5)

(6)

(6)

15

25

40

76 96

73 1331

149 1427

9 91

(424) (584)

42 58

26 71

(217) (39)

(207) (544)

172

1404

1576

100

(1008)

100

61

(256)

(752)

FINAL

Table B-11

Future Child Care Demand and Supply in 2025 in Menlo Park

San Mateo County Child Care Study - 2016

Note All footnote references can be found in Table C-1 at the end of this file

Sources 2010 US Census ABAG Projections 2013 2014 American Community Survey ACS Journey-to-Work data 2006-2008 and 2006-2010

Child Care Coordinating Council of San Mateo County (4Cs) Community Care Licensing Brion Economics Inc

Prepared by Brion Economics Inc 2513-SMC NA Final Tables 61216 6122016

MILLBRAE

Child Care as of 2025

No of

Providers

Under 2 Years

Old

2 to 4 Year

Olds

Total 0 to 4

Years

EXISTING DEMAND Child Care Demand

Estimated Total Children

Average LFPRAdjustment Factor

Children With Working Parents

Licensed Care Demand Factor

Resident Children Needing Licensed Care

of Total Resident Children Needing Licensed Care

Children from Non-Resident Employees Needing

Licensed Care

(1)

(2)

(3)

473 805

62

291 710

37

108 672

23 83

31 47

1278

1001

78

780

61

77

Total Demand for Child Care Spaces

Distribution

EXISTING SUPPLY (4)

139 718

16 84

Child Care Spaces

857

100

Family Child Care Home Supply

Child Care Center Supply

Current Child Care Supply

Distribution

EXISTING SURPLUS(SHORTAGE)

Distribution

Percentage of Demand Met

by Existing FacilitiesSpaces

Shortage of Family Child Care Home Spaces

Shortage of Center-Based Spaces

(5)

(6)

(6)

7

7

14

62 78

- 376

62 454

12 88

(76) (264)

22 78

45 63

(76) (46)

0 (219)

141

376

517

100

(340)

100

60

(122)

(219)

FINAL

Table B-12

Future C hild Care Demand and Supply in 2025 in Millbrae

San Mateo County Child Care Study - 2016

Note All footnote references can be found in Table C-1 at the end of this file

Sources 2010 US Census ABAG Projections 2013 2014 American Community Survey ACS Journey-to-Work data 2006-2008 and 2006-2010

Child Care Coordinating Council of San Mateo County (4Cs) Community Care Licensing Brion Economics Inc

Prepared by Brion Economics Inc 2513-SMC NA Final Tables 61216 6122016

FINAL

Table B-13

Future Child Care Demand and Supply in 2025 in Pacifica

San Mateo County Child Care Study - 2016

PACIFICA

Child Care as of 2025

No of

Providers

Under 2 Years

Old

2 to 4 Year

Olds

Total 0 to 4

Years

EXISTING DEMAND Child Care Demand

Estimated Total Children

Average L FPRAdjustment Factor

Children With Working Parents

Licensed Care Demand Factor

Resident Children Needing Licensed Care

of Total Resident Children Needing Licensed Care

Children from Non-Resident Employees Needing

Licensed Care

(1)

(2)

(3)

816 1300

78

633 1209

37

234 1130

29 87

19 29

2116

1842

74

1364

64

48

Total Demand for Child Care Spaces

Distribution

EXISTING SUPPLY (4)

254 1159

18 82

Child Care Spaces

1413

100

Family Child Care Home Supply

Child Care Center Supply

Current Child Care Supply

Distribution

EXISTING SURPLUS(SHORTAGE)

Distribution

Percentage of Demand Met

by Existing FacilitiesSpaces

Shortage of Family Child Care Home Spaces

Shortage of Center-Based Spaces

(5)

(6)

(6)

9

18

27

77 97

39 701

116 798

13 87

(138) (361)

28 72

46 69

(91) (44)

(46) (317)

174

740

914

100

(499)

100

65

(135)

(364)

Note All footnote references can be found in Table C-1 at the end of this file

Sources 2010 US Census ABAG Projections 2013 2014 American Community Survey ACS Journey-to-Work data 2006-2008 and 2006-2010

Child Care Coordinating Council of San Mateo County (4Cs) Community Care Licensing Brion Economics Inc

Prepared by Brion Economics Inc 2513-SMC NA Final Tables 61216 6122016

PORTOLA VALLEY

Child Care as of 2025

No of

Providers

Under 2 Years

Old

2 to 4 Year

Olds

Total 0 to 4

Years

EXISTING DEMAND Child Care Demand

Estimated Total Children

Average LFPRAdjustment Factor

Children With Working Parents

Licensed Care Demand Factor

Resident Children Needing Licensed Care

of Total Resident Children Needing Licensed Care

Children from Non-Resident Employees Needing

Licensed Care

(1)

(2)

(3)

77 192

66

51 173

37

19 164

24 85

9 13

269

224

82

182

68

22

Total Demand for Child Care Spaces

Distribution

EXISTING SUPPLY (4)

28 177

13 87

Child Care Spaces

204

100

Family Child Care Home Supply

Child Care Center Supply

Current Child Care Supply

Distribution

EXISTING SURPLUS(SHORTAGE)

Distribution

Percentage of Demand Met

by Existing FacilitiesSpaces

Shortage of Family Child Care Home Spaces

Shortage of Center-Based Spaces

(5)

(6)

(6)

0

4

4

- -

- 153

- 153

0 100

(28) (24)

54 46

0 87

0 0

(28) (24)

0

153

153

100

(51)

100

75

0

(51)

FINAL

Table B-14

Future Child Care Demand and Supply in 2025 in Portola Valley

San Mateo County Child Care Study - 2016

Note All footnote references can be found in Table C-1 at the end of this file

Sources 2010 US Census ABAG Projections 2013 2014 American Community Survey ACS Journey-to-Work data 2006-2008 and 2006-2010

Child Care Coordinating Council of San Mateo County (4Cs) Community Care Licensing Brion Economics Inc

Prepared by Brion Economics Inc 2513-SMC NA Final Tables 61216 6122016

REDWOOD CITY

No of

Providers

Child Care as of 2025

Under 2 Years

Old

2 to 4 Year

Olds

Total 0 to 4

Years

EXISTING DEMAND Child Care Demand

Estimated Total Children

Average LFPRAdjustment Factor

Children With Working Parents

Licensed Care Demand Factor

Resident Children Needing Licensed Care

of Total Resident Children Needing Licensed Care

Children from Non-Resident Employees Needing

Licensed Care

Total Demand for Child Care Spaces

Distribution

EXISTING SUPPLY

(1)

(2)

(3)

(4)

3725 5378

69

2555 4813

37

946 4505

25 84

466 703

1411 5208

21 79

Child Care Spaces

9103

7368

74

5450

60

1169

6619

100

Family Child Care Home Supply

Child Care Center Supply

Current Child Care Supply

Distribution

EXISTING SURPLUS(SHORTAGE)

Distribution

Percentage of Demand Met

by Existing FacilitiesSpaces

Shortage of Family Child Care Home Spaces

Shortage of Center-Based Spaces

(5)

(6)

(6)

42

41

83

396 497

356 2036

752 2533

23 77

(660) (2674)

20 80

53 49

(347) (525)

(313) (2149)

893

2392

3285

100

(3334)

100

50

(872)

(2462)

FINAL

Table B-15

Future Child Care Demand and Supply in 2025 in Redwood City

San Mateo County Child Care Study - 2016

Note All footnote references can be found in Table C-1 at the end of this file

Sources 2010 US Census ABAG Projections 2013 2014 American Community Survey ACS Journey-to-Work data 2006-2008 and 2006-2010

Child Care Coordinating Council of San Mateo County (4Cs) Community Care Licensing Brion Economics Inc

Prepared by Brion Economics Inc 2513-SMC NA Final Tables 61216 6122016

SAN BRUNO

Child Care as of 2025

No of

Providers

Under 2 Years

Old

2 to 4 Year

Olds

Total 0 to 4

Years

EXISTING DEMAND Child Care Demand

Estimated Total Children

Average LFPRAdjustment Factor

Children With Working Parents

Licensed Care Demand Factor

Resident Children Needing Licensed Care

of Total Resident Children Needing Licensed Care

Children from Non-Resident Employees Needing

Licensed Care

(1)

(2)

(3)

1189 1728

77

910 1589

37

337 1475

28 85

68 103

2917

2498

73

1812

62

171

Total Demand for Child Care Spaces

Distribution

EXISTING SUPPLY (4)

405 1578

20 80

Child Care Spaces

1983

100

Family Child Care Home Supply

Child Care Center Supply

Current Child Care Supply

Distribution

EXISTING SURPLUS(SHORTAGE)

Distribution

Percentage of Demand Met

by Existing FacilitiesSpaces

Shortage of Family Child Care Home Spaces

Shortage of Center-Based Spaces

(5)

(6)

(6)

13

15

28

122 153

26 1183

148 1336

10 90

(257) (242)

52 48

37 85

(212) (28)

(45) (214)

275

1209

1484

100

(499)

100

75

(239)

(259)

FINAL

Table B-16

Future C hild Care Demand and Supply in 2025 in San Bruno

San Mateo County Child Care Study - 2016

Note All footnote references can be found in Table C-1 at the end of this file

Sources 2010 US Census ABAG Projections 2013 2014 American Community Survey ACS Journey-to-Work data 2006-2008 and 2006-2010

Child Care Coordinating Council of San Mateo County (4Cs) Community Care Licensing Brion Economics Inc

Prepared by Brion Economics Inc 2513-SMC NA Final Tables 61216 6122016

SAN CARLOS

Child Care as of 2025

No of

Providers

Under 2 Years

Old

2 to 4 Year

Olds

Total 0 to 4

Years

EXISTING DEMAND Child Care Demand

Estimated Total Children

Average LFPRAdjustment Factor

Children With Working Parents

Licensed Care Demand Factor

Resident Children Needing Licensed Care

of Total Resident Children Needing Licensed Care

Children from Non-Resident Employees Needing

Licensed Care

(1)

(2)

(3)

778 1384

72

557 1255

37

206 1174

26 85

82 123

2162

1812

76

1380

64

205

Total Demand for Child Care Spaces

Distribution

EXISTING SUPPLY (4)

288 1297

18 82

Child Care Spaces

1585

100

Family Child Care Home Supply

Child Care Center Supply

Current Child Care Supply

Distribution

EXISTING SURPLUS(SHORTAGE)

Distribution

Percentage of Demand Met

by Existing FacilitiesSpaces

Shortage of Family Child Care Home Spaces

Shortage of Center-Based Spaces

(5)

(6)

(6)

28

14

42

73 92

76 615

149 707

17 83

(139) (590)

19 81

52 54

(68) (76)

(71) (514)

164

691

855

100

(729)

100

54

(145)

(585)

FINAL

Table B-17

Future Child Care Demand and Supply in 2025 in San Carlos

San Mateo County Child Care Study - 2016

Note All footnote references can be found in Table C-1 at the end of this file

Sources 2010 US Census ABAG Projections 2013 2014 American Community Survey ACS Journey-to-Work data 2006-2008 and 2006-2010

Child Care Coordinating Council of San Mateo County (4Cs) Community Care Licensing Brion Economics Inc

Prepared by Brion Economics Inc 2513-SMC NA Final Tables 61216 6122016

SAN MATEO

Child Care as of 2025

No of

Providers

Under 2 Years

Old

2 to 4 Year

Olds

Total 0 to 4

Years

EXISTING DEMAND Child Care Demand

Estimated Total Children

Average LFPRAdjustment Factor

Children With Working Parents

Licensed Care Demand Factor

Resident Children Needing Licensed Care

of Total Resident Children Needing Licensed Care

Children from Non-Resident Employees Needing

Licensed Care

(1)

(2)

(3)

3194 4572

71

2264 4116

37

838 3839

26 84

261 394

7766

6381

73

4677

60

656

Total Demand for Child Care Spaces

Distribution

EXISTING SUPPLY (4)

1099 4233

21 79

Child Care Spaces

5332

100

Family Child Care Home Supply

Child Care Center Supply

Current Child Care Supply

Distribution

EXISTING SURPLUS(SHORTAGE)

Distribution

Percentage of Demand Met

by Existing FacilitiesSpaces

Shortage of Family Child Care Home Spaces

Shortage of Center-Based Spaces

(5)

(6)

(6)

69

59

128

492 619

209 2577

701 3196

18 82

(398) (1037)

28 72

64 75

(279) (201)

(119) (837)

1111

2786

3897

100

(1435)

100

73

(480)

(955)

FINAL

Table B-18

Future Child Care Demand and Supply in 2025 in San Mateo

San Mateo County Child Care Study - 2016

Note All footnote references can be found in Table C-1 at the end of this file

Sources 2010 US Census ABAG Projections 2013 2014 American Community Survey ACS Journey-to-Work data 2006-2008 and 2006-2010

Child Care Coordinating Council of San Mateo County (4Cs) Community Care Licensing Brion Economics Inc

Prepared by Brion Economics Inc 2513-SMC NA Final Tables 61216 6122016

FINAL

Table B-19

Future Child Care Demand and Supply in 2025 in South Coast

San Mateo County Child Care Study - 2016

SOUTH COAST

Child Care as of 2025

No of

Providers

Under 2 Years

Old

2 to 4 Year

Olds

Total 0 to 4

Years

EXISTING DEMAND Child Care Demand

Estimated Total Children (1) 23 32 55

Average LFPRAdjustment Factor (2) 54

Children With Working Parents 12 27 40

Licensed Care Demand Factor (3) 37 77

Resident Children Needing Licensed Care 5 26 30

of Total Resident Children Needing Licensed Care 20 81 56

Children from Non-Resident Employees Needing

Licensed Care 0 0 0

Total Demand for Child Care Spaces 5 26 30

Distribution 15 85 100

EXISTING SUPPLY (4) Child Care Spaces

Family Child Care Home Supply - 0 0 0

Child Care Center Supply 2 0 54 54

Current Child Care Supply 2 - 54 54

Distribution 0 100 100

EXISTING SURPLUS(SHORTAGE) (5) 28 24

Distribution -19 119 100

Percentage of Demand Met

by Existing FacilitiesSpaces (5) 0 209 177

Shortage of Family Child Care Home Spaces (6) 0 NA 0

Shortage of Center-Based Spaces (6) (5) NA (5)

Note All footnote references can be found in Table C-1 at the end of this file

Sources 2010 US Census ABAG Projections 2013 2014 American Community Survey ACS Journey-to-Work data 2006-2008 and 2006-2010

Child Care Coordinating Council of San Mateo County (4Cs) Community Care Licensing Brion Economics Inc

Prepared by Brion Economics Inc 2513-SMC NA Final Tables 61216 6122016

SOUTH SAN FRANCISCO

Child Care as of 2025

No of

Providers

Under 2 Years

Old

2 to 4 Year

Olds

Total 0 to 4

Years

EXISTING DEMAND Child Care Demand

Estimated Total Children

Average LFPRAdjustment Factor

Children With Working Parents

Licensed Care Demand Factor

Resident Children Needing Licensed Care

of Total Resident Children Needing Licensed Care

Children from Non-Resident Employees Needing

Licensed Care

(1)

(2)

(3)

1835 2790

73

1342 2535

37

496 2362

27 85

339 512

4625

3877

74

2859

62

851

Total Demand for Child Care Spaces

Distribution

EXISTING SUPPLY (4)

835 2874

23 77

Child Care Spaces

3709

100

Family Child Care Home Supply

Child Care Center Supply

Current Child Care Supply

Distribution

EXISTING SURPLUS(SHORTAGE)

Distribution

Percentage of Demand Met

by Existing FacilitiesSpaces

Shortage of Family Child Care Home Spaces

Shortage of Center-Based Spaces

(5)

(6)

(6)

30

27

57

252 317

400 1966

652 2283

22 78

(183) (591)

24 76

78 79

(71) (82)

(113) (509)

569

2366

2935

100

(775)

100

79

(153)

(622)

FINAL

Table B-20

Future Child Care Demand and Supply in 2025 in South San Francisco

San Mateo County Child Care Study - 2016

Note All footnote references can be found in Table C-1 at the end of this file

Sources 2010 US Census ABAG Projections 2013 2014 American Community Survey ACS Journey-to-Work data 2006-2008 and 2006-2010

Child Care Coordinating Council of San Mateo County (4Cs) Community Care Licensing Brion Economics Inc

Prepared by Brion Economics Inc 2513-SMC NA Final Tables 61216 6122016

WOODSIDE

No of

Providers

Child Care as of 2025

Under 2 Years

Old

2 to 4 Year

Olds

Total 0 to 4

Years

EXISTING DEMAND Child Care Demand

Estimated Total Children

Average LFPRAdjustment Factor

Children With Working Parents

Licensed Care Demand Factor

Resident Children Needing Licensed Care

of Total Resident Children Needing Licensed Care

Children from Non-Resident Employees Needing

Licensed Care

(1)

(2)

(3)

93 165

56

51 140

37

19 132

21 80

9 13

258

192

79

152

59

22

Total Demand for Child Care Spaces

Distribution

EXISTING SUPPLY (4)

28 146

16 84

Child Care Spaces

174

100

Family Child Care Home Supply

Child Care Center Supply

Current Child Care Supply

Distribution

EXISTING SURPLUS(SHORTAGE)

Distribution

Percentage of Demand Met

by Existing FacilitiesSpaces

Shortage of Family Child Care Home Spaces

Shortage of Center-Based Spaces

(5)

(6)

(6)

1

2

3

4 5

- 103

4 108

4 96

(24) (38)

39 61

15 74

(24) (2)

0 (36)

9

103

112

100

(61)

100

65

(26)

(36)

FINAL

Table B-21

Future Child Care Demand and Supply in 2025 in Woodside

San Mateo County Child Care Study - 2016

Note All footnote references can be found in Table C-1 at the end of this file

Sources 2010 US Census ABAG Projections 2013 2014 American Community Survey ACS Journey-to-Work data 2006-2008 and 2006-2010

Child Care Coordinating Council of San Mateo County (4Cs) Community Care Licensing Brion Economics Inc

Prepared by Brion Economics Inc 2513-SMC NA Final Tables 61216 6122016

FINAL

Table C-1

Endnotes for Tables

San Mateo County Child Care Study - 2016

(1) Population by age is based on the percentage breakdown from the 2010 US Census and applied

to population estimates for 2015 using ABAGs Projections 2013 population data The ABAG data

for each area includes its Sphere of Influence and is not based on strict jurisdictional boundaries

(2) Labor force participation rates are from the 5-Year American Community Survey 2014 and include

children under six years old with two working parents or a single working parent For the 2- to 4-year

olds the labor force participation rate is applied to 2 year olds For 3- and 4-year olds it is assumed

that 100 need licensed care to support preschool for every child so the number of

3- and 4-year olds is not discounted by labor force participation rates

(3) Not all children with working parents are assumed to need licensed care percentage assumptions are

used to calculate the number of children requiring licensed care under each age category The

remaining children are assumed to be cared for in alternate arrangements such as by family members

nannies friends and other unlicensed care For children ages 3- and 4-years old it is assumed that

they all need care in the form of preschool

(4) Data on child care supply provided by the Child Care Coordinating Council of San Mateo County (4Cs)

and Community Care Licensing Division of the California Department of Social Services (CCLD) Data is

for June 2015

(5) Demand that calculates as less than 100 means that there is greater demand than supply percent of

demand that is over 100 means supply exceeds demand

(6) Unmet demand is broken down into shortage by type of care based on the proportion of FCCHs and

child care centers spaces available in each area If an area does not have any FCCHs or centers the

unmet demand is placed in the type of care that is available in the area (eg if there are only centers

all demand goes to centers)

Source Brion Economics Inc

Prepared by Brion Economics Inc 2513-SMC NA Final Tables 61216 6122016

DRAFT REPORT

Table C-2

Labor Force Participation Rates by CityArea

San Mateo County Child Care Study - 2016

CityArea

Labor Force

Participation Rate (1)

Atherton

Belmont

Brisbane

Burlingame

Daly CityColma

East Palo Alto

Foster City

Half Moon Bay Region

Hillsborough

Menlo Park

Millbrae

Pacifica

Portola Valley

Redwood City

San Bruno

San Carlos

San Mateo

South Coast

South San Francisco

Woodside

40

77

100

65

74

71

63

69

52

69

62

78

66

69

77

72

71

54

73

56

(1) Labor force participation rates (LFPRs) are for

families with children under age six with two

working parents or a single parent who works Sources American Community Survey 2014 5-Year

Survey Brion Economics Inc

Prepared by Brion Economics Inc 2513-SMC NA Final Tables 61216 6122016

  • 2513-SMC FINAL NA Memo-61216
  • 2513-SMC NA Final Tables 61216
Page 28: Final San Mateo County Child Care Needs … Care...Future C hild Care Demand and Supply in 2025 in Daly City/Colma San Mateo County Child Care Study - 2016 Note: All footnote references

DALY CITYCOLMA

Child Care as of 2015

No of

Providers

Under 2 Years

Old

2 to 4 Year

Olds

Total 0 to 4

Years

EXISTING DEMAND Child Care Demand

Estimated Total Children

Average LFPRAdjustment Factor

Children With Working Parents

Licensed Care Demand Factor

Resident Children Needing Licensed Care

of Total Resident Children Needing Licensed Care

Children from Non-Resident Employees Needing

Licensed Care

(1)

(2)

(3)

2495 3575

742

1851 3268

37

685 3047

27 85

126 190

6070

5119

73

3732

61

316

Total Demand for Child Care Spaces

Distribution

EXISTING SUPPLY (4)

811 3237

20 80

Child Care Spaces

4048

100

Family Child Care Home Supply

Child Care Center Supply

Current Child Care Supply

Distribution

EXISTING SURPLUS(SHORTAGE)

Distribution

Percentage of Demand Met

by Existing FacilitiesSpaces

Shortage of Family Child Care Home Spaces

Shortage of Center-Based Spaces

(5)

(6)

(6)

85

28

113

288 362

84 1264

372 1626

19 81

(439) (1612)

21 79

46 50

(340) (359)

(99) (1253)

649

1348

1997

100

(2051)

100

49

(698)

(1352)

FINAL

Table A-6

Existing Child Care Demand and Supply in 2015 in Daly CityColma

San Mateo Co unty Child Care Study - 2016

Note All footnote references can be found in Table C-1 at the end of this file

Sources 2010 US Census ABAG Projections 2013 2014 American Community Survey ACS Journey-to-Work data 2006-2008 and 2006-2010

Child Care Coordinating Council of San Mateo County (4Cs) Community Care Licensing Brion Economics Inc

Prepared by Brion Economics Inc 2513-SMC NA Final Tables 61216 6122016

EAST PALO ALTO

Child Care as of 2015

No of

Providers

Under 2 Years

Old

2 to 4 Year

Olds

Total 0 to 4

Years

EXISTING DEMAND Child Care Demand

Estimated Total Children

Average LFPRAdjustment Factor

Children With Working Parents

Licensed Care Demand Factor

Resident Children Needing Licensed Care

of Total Resident Children Needing Licensed Care

Children from Non-Resident Employees Needing

Licensed Care

(1)

(2)

(3)

1046 1667

71

741 1496

37

274 1392

26 84

18 27

2713

2237

75

1666

61

45

Total Demand for Child Care Spaces

Distribution

EXISTING SUPPLY (4)

292 1419

17 83

Child Care Spaces

1711

100

Family Child Care Home Supply

Child Care Center Supply

Current Child Care Supply

Distribution

EXISTING SURPLUS(SHORTAGE)

Distribution

Percentage of Demand Met

by Existing FacilitiesSpaces

Shortage of Family Child Care Home Spaces

Shortage of Center-Based Spaces

(5)

(6)

(6)

21

6

27

85 106

25 633

110 739

13 87

(182) (680)

21 79

38 52

(141) (98)

(42) (582)

191

658

849

100

(862)

100

50

(239)

(623)

FINAL

Table A-7

Existing Child Care Demand and Supply in 2015 in East Palo Alto

San Mateo County Child Care Study - 2016

Note All footnote references can be found in Table C-1 at the end of this file Sources 2010 US Census ABAG Projections 2013 2014 American Community Survey ACS Journey-to-Work data 2006-2008 and 2006-2010

Child Care Coordinating Council of San Mateo County (4Cs) Community Care Licensing Brion Economics Inc

Prepared by Brion Economics Inc 2513-SMC NA Final Tables 61216 6122016

FOSTER CITY

Child Care as of 2015

No of

Providers

Under 2 Years

Old

2 to 4 Year

Olds

Total 0 to 4

Years

EXISTING DEMAND Child Care Demand

Estimated Total Children

Average LFPRAdjustment Factor

Children With Working Parents

Licensed Care Demand Factor

Resident Children Needing Licensed Care

of Total Resident Children Needing Licensed Care

Children from Non-Resident Employees Needing

Licensed Care

(1)

(2)

(3)

836 1277

63

528 1108

37

195 1035

23 81

73 110

2113

1636

75

1231

58

183

Total Demand for Child Care Spaces

Distribution

EXISTING SUPPLY (4)

268 1145

19 81

Child Care Spaces

1414

100

Family Child Care Home Supply

Child Care Center Supply

Current Child Care Supply

Distribution

EXISTING SURPLUS(SHORTAGE)

Distribution

Percentage of Demand Met

by Existing FacilitiesSpaces

Shortage of Family Child Care Home Spaces

Shortage of Center-Based Spaces

(5)

(6)

(6)

29

12

41

118 149

88 1200

206 1349

13 87

(62) 203

NA NA

77 118

(36) NA

(27) NA

267

1288

1555

100

141

NA

110

(36)

(27)

FINAL

Table A-8

Existing Child Care Demand and Supply in 2015 in Foster City

San Mateo County Child Care Study - 2016

Note All footnote references can be found in Table C-1 at the end of this file

Sources 2010 US Census ABAG Projections 2013 2014 American Community Survey ACS Journey-to-Work data 2006-2008 and 2006-2010

Child Care Coordinating Council of San Mateo County (4Cs) Community Care Licensing Brion Economics Inc

Prepared by Brion Economics Inc 2513-SMC NA Final Tables 61216 6122016

HALF MOON BAY REGION

Child Care as of 2015

No of

Providers

Under 2 Years

Old

2 to 4 Year

Olds

Total 0 to 4

Years

EXISTING DEMAND Child Care Demand

Estimated Total Children

Average LFPRAdjustment Factor

Children With Working Parents

Licensed Care Demand Factor

Resident Children Needing Licensed Care

of Total Resident Children Needing Licensed Care

Children from Non-Resident Employees Needing

Licensed Care

(1)

(2)

(3)

511 860

69

354 772

37

131 723

26 84

13 19

1371

1126

76

854

62

32

Total Demand for Child Care Spaces

Distribution

EXISTING SUPPLY (4)

144 742

16 84

Child Care Spaces

885

100

Family Child Care Home Supply

Child Care Center Supply

Current Child Care Supply

Distribution

EXISTING SURPLUS(SHORTAGE)

Distribution

Percentage of Demand Met

by Existing FacilitiesSpaces

Shortage of Family Child Care Home Spaces

Shortage of Center-Based Spaces

(5)

(6)

(6)

28

11

39

96 121

35 285

131 406

24 76

(13) (336)

4 96

91 55

(9) (100)

(3) (236)

216

320

536

100

(349)

100

61

(109)

(240)

FINAL

Table A-9

Existing Child Care Demand and Supply in 2015 in Half Moon Bay Region

San Mateo County Child Care Study - 2016

Note All footnote references can be found in Table C-1 at the end of this file

Sources 2010 US Census ABAG Projections 2013 2014 American Community Survey ACS Journey-to-Work data 2006-2008 and 2006-2010

Child Care Coordinating Council of San Mateo County (4Cs) Community Care Licensing Brion Economics Inc

Prepared by Brion Economics Inc 2513-SMC NA Final Tables 61216 6122016

HILLSBOROUGH

Child Care as of 2015

No of

Providers

Under 2 Years

Old

2 to 4 Year

Olds

Total 0 to 4

Years

EXISTING DEMAND Child Care Demand

Estimated Total Children

Average LFPRAdjustment Factor

Children With Working Parents

Licensed Care Demand Factor

Resident Children Needing Licensed Care

of Total Resident Children Needing Licensed Care

Children from Non-Resident Employees Needing

Licensed Care

(1)

(2)

(3)

138 331

52

71 284

37

26 272

19 82

7 10

469

356

84

298

64

16

Total Demand for Child Care Spaces

Distribution

EXISTING SUPPLY (4)

33 282

10 90

Child Care Spaces

315

100

Family Child Care Home Supply

Child Care Center Supply

Current Child Care Supply

Distribution

EXISTING SURPLUS(SHORTAGE)

Distribution

Percentage of Demand Met

by Existing FacilitiesSpaces

Shortage of Family Child Care Home Spaces

Shortage of Center-Based Spaces

(5)

(6)

(6)

1

4

5

5 6

- 91

5 97

5 95

(28) (185)

13 87

15 34

(28) (12)

0 (173)

11

91

102

100

(213)

100

32

(40)

(173)

FINAL

Table A-10

Existing Child Care Demand and Supply in 2015 in Hillsborough

San Mateo County Child Care Study - 2016

Note All footnote references can be found in Table C-1 at the end of this file Sources 2010 US Census ABAG Projections 2013 2014 American Community Survey ACS Journey-to-Work data 2006-2008 and 2006-2010

Child Care Coordinating Council of San Mateo County (4Cs) Community Care Licensing Brion Economics Inc

Prepared by Brion Economics Inc 2513-SMC NA Final Tables 61216 6122016

MENLO PARK

Child Care as of 2015

No of

Providers

Under 2 Years

Old

2 to 4 Year

Olds

Total 0 to 4

Years

EXISTING DEMAND Child Care Demand

Estimated Total Children

Average LFPRAdjustment Factor

Children With Working Parents

Licensed Care Demand Factor

Resident Children Needing Licensed Care

of Total Resident Children Needing Licensed Care

Children from Non-Resident Employees Needing

Licensed Care

(1)

(2)

(3)

1170 1723

69

802 1551

37

297 1458

25 85

220 332

2893

2353

75

1754

61

552

Total Demand for Child Care Spaces

Distribution

EXISTING SUPPLY (4)

516 1790

22 78

Child Care Spaces

2306

100

Family Child Care Home Supply

Child Care Center Supply

Current Child Care Supply

Distribution

EXISTING SURPLUS(SHORTAGE)

Distribution

Percentage of Demand Met

by Existing FacilitiesSpaces

Shortage of Family Child Care Home Spaces

Shortage of Center-Based Spaces

(5)

(6)

(6)

18

25

43

76 96

73 1331

149 1427

9 91

(367) (363)

50 50

29 80

(188) (24)

(180) (338)

172

1404

1576

100

(730)

100

68

(212)

(518)

FINAL

Table A-11

Existing Child Care Demand and Supply in 2015 in Menlo Park

San Mateo County Child Care Study - 2016

Note All footnote references can be found in Table C-1 at the end of this file Sources 2010 US Census ABAG Projections 2013 2014 American Community Survey ACS Journey-to-Work data 2006-2008 and 2006-2010

Child Care Coordinating Council of San Mateo County (4Cs) Community Care Licensing Brion Economics Inc

Prepared by Brion Economics Inc 2513-SMC NA Final Tables 61216 6122016

MILLBRAE

Child Care as of 2015

No of

Providers

Under 2 Years

Old

2 to 4 Year

Olds

Total 0 to 4

Years

EXISTING DEMAND Child Care Demand

Total Children

Average LFPRAdjustment Factor

Children With Working Parents

Licensed Care Demand Factor

Resident Children Needing Licensed Care

of Total Resident Children Needing Licensed Care

Children from Non-Resident Employees Needing

Licensed Care

(1)

(2)

(3)

421 717

62

260 632

37

96 598

23 83

28 42

1138

892

78

694

61

69

Total Demand for Child Care Spaces

Distribution

EXISTING SUPPLY (4)

124 640

16 84

Child Care Spaces

764

100

Family Child Care Home Supply

Child Care Center Supply

Current Child Care Supply

Distribution

EXISTING SURPLUS(SHORTAGE)

Distribution

Percentage of Demand Met

by Existing FacilitiesSpaces

Shortage of Family Child Care Home Spaces

Shortage of Center-Based Spaces

(5)

(6)

(6)

17

7

24

62 78

- 376

62 454

12 88

(61) (186)

25 75

50 71

(61) (32)

0 (154)

141

376

517

100

(247)

100

68

(93)

(154)

FINAL

Table A-12

Existing Child Care Demand and Supply in 2015 in Millbrae

San Mateo Co unty Child Care Study - 2016

Note All footnote references can be found in Table C-1 at the end of this file

Sources 2010 US Census ABAG Projections 2013 2014 American Community Survey ACS Journey-to-Work data 2006-2008 and 2006-2010

Child Care Coordinating Council of San Mateo County (4Cs) Community Care Licensing Brion Economics Inc

Prepared by Brion Economics Inc 2513-SMC NA Final Tables 61216 6122016

PACIFICA

Child Care as of 2015

No of

Providers

Under 2 Years

Old

2 to 4 Year

Olds

Total 0 to 4

Years

EXISTING DEMAND Child Care Demand

Estimated Total Children

Average LFPRAdjustment Factor

Children With Working Parents

Licensed Care Demand Factor

Resident Children Needing Licensed Care

of Total Resident Children Needing Licensed Care

Children from Non-Resident Employees Needing

Licensed Care

(1)

(2)

(3)

787 1253

78

610 1165

37

226 1089

29 87

18 27

2040

1776

74

1315

64

45

Total Demand for Child Care Spaces

Distribution

EXISTING SUPPLY (4)

244 1117

18 83

Child Care Spaces

1360

100

Family Child Care Home Supply

Child Care Center Supply

Current Child Care Supply

Distribution

EXISTING SURPLUS(SHORTAGE)

Distribution

Percentage of Demand Met

by Existing FacilitiesSpaces

Shortage of Family Child Care Home Spaces

Shortage of Center-Based Spaces

(5)

(6)

(6)

21

18

39

77 97

39 701

116 798

13 87

(128) (319)

29 71

48 71

(85) (39)

(43) (280)

174

740

914

100

(447)

100

67

(124)

(323)

FINAL

Table A-13

Existing Child Care Demand and Supply in 2015 in Pacifica

San Mateo County Child Care Study - 2016

Note All footnote references can be found in Table C-1 at the end of this file Sources 2010 US Census ABAG Projections 2013 2014 American Community Survey ACS Journey-to-Work data 2006-2008 and 2006-2010

Child Care Coordinating Council of San Mateo County (4Cs) Community Care Licensing Brion Economics Inc

Prepared by Brion Economics Inc 2513-SMC NA Final Tables 61216 6122016

PORTOLA VALLEY

No of

Providers

Child Care as of 2015

Under 2 Years

Old

2 to 4 Year

Olds

Total 0 to 4

Years

EXISTING DEMAND Child Care Demand

Estimated Total Children

Average LFPRAdjustment Factor

Children With Working Parents

Licensed Care Demand Factor

Resident Children Needing Licensed Care

of Total Resident Children Needing Licensed Care

Children from Non-Resident Employees Needing

Licensed Care

(1)

(2)

(3)

75 187

66

49 168

37

18 159

24 85

8 12

261

217

82

177

68

21

Total Demand for Child Care Spaces

Distribution

EXISTING SUPPLY (4)

26 171

13 87

Child Care Spaces

198

100

Family Child Care Home Supply

Child Care Center Supply

Current Child Care Supply

Distribution

EXISTING SURPLUS(SHORTAGE)

Distribution

Percentage of Demand Met

by Existing FacilitiesSpaces

Shortage of Family Child Care Home Spaces

Shortage of Center-Based Spaces

(5)

(6)

(6)

0

4

4

0 0

0 153

0 153

0 100

(26) (18)

59 41

0 89

0 0

(26) (18)

0

153

153

100

(45)

100

77

0

(45)

FINAL

Table A-14

Existing Child Care Demand and Supply in 2015 in Portola Valley

San Mateo County Child Care Study - 2016

Note All footnote references can be found in Table C-1 at the end of this file Sources 2010 US Census ABAG Projections 2013 2014 American Community Survey ACS Journey-to-Work data 2006-2008 and 2006-2010

Child Care Coordinating Council of San Mateo County (4Cs) Community Care Licensing Brion Economics Inc

Prepared by Brion Economics Inc 2513-SMC NA Final Tables 61216 6122016

REDWOOD CITY

Child Care as of 2015

No of

Providers

Under 2 Years

Old

2 to 4 Year

Olds

Total 0 to 4

Years

EXISTING DEMAND Child Care Demand

Estimated Total Children

Average LFPRAdjustment Factor

Children With Working Parents

Licensed Care Demand Factor

Resident Children Needing Licensed Care

of Total Resident Children Needing Licensed Care

Children from Non-Resident Employees Needing

Licensed Care

Total Demand for Child Care Spaces

Distribution

EXISTING SUPPLY

(1)

(2)

(3)

(4)

3260 4706

69

2236 4212

37

827 3942

25 84

414 625

1241 4567

21 79

Child Care Spaces

7966

6449

74

4770

60

1038

5808

100

Family Child Care Home Supply

Child Care Center Supply

Current Child Care Supply

Distribution

EXISTING SURPLUS(SHORTAGE)

Distribution

Percentage of Demand Met

by Existing FacilitiesSpaces

Shortage of Family Child Care Home Spaces

Shortage of Center-Based Spaces

(5)

(6)

(6)

111

45

156

396 497

356 2036

752 2533

23 77

(490) (2034)

19 81

61 55

(258) (399)

(232) (1635)

893

2392

3285

100

(2524)

100

57

(657)

(1867)

FINAL

Table A-15

Existing Child Care Demand and Supply in 2015 in Redwood City

San Mateo County Child Care Study - 2016

Note All footnote references can be found in Table C-1 at the end of this file Sources 2010 US Census ABAG Projections 2013 2014 American Community Survey ACS Journey-to-Work data 2006-2008 and 2006-2010

Child Care Coordinating Council of San Mateo County (4Cs) Community Care Licensing Brion Economics Inc

Prepared by Brion Economics Inc 2513-SMC NA Final Tables 61216 6122016

SAN BRUNO

Child Care as of 2015

No of

Providers

Under 2 Years

Old

2 to 4 Year

Olds

Total 0 to 4

Years

EXISTING DEMAND Child Care Demand

Estimated Total Children

Average LFPRAdjustment Factor

Children With Working Parents

Licensed Care Demand Factor

Resident Children Needing Licensed Care

of Total Resident Children Needing Licensed Care

Children from Non-Resident Employees Needing

Licensed Care

(1)

(2)

(3)

1069 1553

77

817 1428

37

302 1326

28 85

61 92

2622

2245

73

1628

62

153

Total Demand for Child Care Spaces

Distribution

EXISTING SUPPLY (4)

364 1418

20 80

Child Care Spaces

1782

100

Family Child Care Home Supply

Child Care Center Supply

Current Child Care Supply

Distribution

EXISTING SURPLUS(SHORTAGE)

Distribution

Percentage of Demand Met

by Existing FacilitiesSpaces

Shortage of Family Child Care Home Spaces

Shortage of Center-Based Spaces

(5)

(6)

(6)

34

15

49

122 153

26 1183

148 1336

10 90

(216) (82)

72 28

41 94

(178) (9)

(38) (73)

275

1209

1484

100

(298)

100

83

(187)

(110)

FINAL

Table A-16

Existing Child Care Demand and Supply in 2015 in San Bruno

San Mateo County Child Care Study - 2016

Note All footnote references can be found in Table C-1 at the end of this file Sources 2010 US Census ABAG Projections 2013 2014 American Community Survey ACS Journey-to-Work data 2006-2008 and 2006-2010

Child Care Coordinating Council of San Mateo County (4Cs) Community Care Licensing Brion Economics Inc

Prepared by Brion Economics Inc 2513-SMC NA Final Tables 61216 6122016

SAN CARLOS

Child Care as of 2015

No of

Providers

Under 2 Years

Old

2 to 4 Year

Olds

Total 0 to 4

Years

EXISTING DEMAND Child Care Demand

Estimated Total Children

Average LFPRAdjustment Factor

Children With Working Parents

Licensed Care Demand Factor

Resident Children Needing Licensed Care

of Total Resident Children Needing Licensed Care

Children from Non-Resident Employees Needing

Licensed Care

(1)

(2)

(3)

735 1308

72

526 1186

37

195 1109

26 85

75 114

2043

1712

76

1304

64

189

Total Demand for Child Care Spaces

Distribution

EXISTING SUPPLY (4)

270 1222

18 82

Child Care Spaces

1492

100

Family Child Care Home Supply

Child Care Center Supply

Current Child Care Supply

Distribution

EXISTING SURPLUS(SHORTAGE)

Distribution

Percentage of Demand Met

by Existing FacilitiesSpaces

Shortage of Family Child Care Home Spaces

Shortage of Center-Based Spaces

(5)

(6)

(6)

20

14

34

73 92

76 615

149 707

17 83

(121) (516)

19 81

55 58

(59) (67)

(62) (449)

164

691

855

100

(637)

100

57

(126)

(511)

FINAL

Table A-17

Existing Child Care Demand and Supply in 2015 in San Carlos

San Mateo County Child Care Study - 2016

Note All footnote references can be found in Table C-1 at the end of this file

Sources 2010 US Census ABAG Projections 2013 2014 American Community Survey ACS Journey-to-Work data 2006-2008 and 2006-2010

Child Care Coordinating Council of San Mateo County (4Cs) Community Care Licensing Brion Economics Inc

Prepared by Brion Economics Inc 2513-SMC NA Final Tables 61216 6122016

SAN MATEO

Child Care as of 2015

No of

Providers

Under 2 Years

Old

2 to 4 Year

Olds

Total 0 to 4

Years

EXISTING DEMAND Child Care Demand

Estimated Total Children

Average LFPRAdjustment Factor

Children With Working Parents

Licensed Care Demand Factor

Resident Children Needing Licensed Care

of Total Resident Children Needing Licensed Care

Children from Non-Resident Employees Needing

Licensed Care

(1)

(2)

(3)

2943 4213

71

2087 3793

37

772 3537

26 84

231 348

7156

5880

73

4309

60

579

Total Demand for Child Care Spaces

Distribution

EXISTING SUPPLY (4)

1003 3886

21 79

Child Care Spaces

4889

100

Family Child Care Home Supply

Child Care Center Supply

Current Child Care Supply

Distribution

EXISTING SURPLUS(SHORTAGE)

Distribution

Percentage of Demand Met

by Existing FacilitiesSpaces

Shortage of Family Child Care Home Spaces

Shortage of Center-Based Spaces

(5)

(6)

(6)

126

59

185

492 619

209 2577

701 3196

18 82

(302) (690)

30 70

70 82

(212) (134)

(90) (557)

1111

2786

3897

100

(992)

100

80

(345)

(647)

FINAL

Table A-18

Existing Child Care Demand and Supply in 2015 in San Mateo

San Mateo County Child Care Study - 2016

Note All footnote references can be found in Table C-1 at the end of this file

Sources 2010 US Census ABAG Projections 2013 2014 American Community Survey ACS Journey-to-Work data 2006-2008 and 2006-2010

Child Care Coordinating Council of San Mateo County (4Cs) Community Care Licensing Brion Economics Inc

Prepared by Brion Economics Inc 2513-SMC NA Final Tables 61216 6122016

SOUTH COAST

Child Care as of 2015

No of

Providers

Under 2 Years

Old

2 to 4 Year

Olds

Total 0 to 4

Years

EXISTING DEMAND Child Care Demand

Estimated Total Children

Average LFPRAdjustment Factor

Children With Working Parents

Licensed Care Demand Factor

Resident Children Needing Licensed Care

of Total Resident Children Needing Licensed Care

Children from Non-Resident Employees Needing

Licensed Care

(1)

(2)

(3)

21 29

54

11 25

37

4 23

20 81

0 0

50

36

77

28

56

0

Total Demand for Child Care Spaces

Distribution

EXISTING SUPPLY (4)

4 23

15 85

Child Care Spaces

28

100

Family Child Care Home Supply

Child Care Center Supply

Current Child Care Supply

Distribution

EXISTING SURPLUS(SHORTAGE)

Distribution

Percentage of Demand Met

by Existing FacilitiesSpaces

Shortage of Family Child Care Home Spaces

Shortage of Center-Based Spaces

(5)

(6)

(6)

-

2

2

- -

- 54

- 54

0 100

(4) 31

-16 116

0 230

(2) NA

(2) NA

0

54

54

100

26

100

195

(2)

(2)

FINAL

Table A-19

Existing Child Care Demand and Supply in 2015 in South Coast

San Mateo County Child Care Study - 2016

Note All footnote references can be found in Table C-1 at the end of this file

Sources 2010 US Census ABAG Projections 2013 2014 American Community Survey ACS Journey-to-Work data 2006-2008 and 2006-2010

Child Care Coordinating Council of San Mateo County (4Cs) Community Care Licensing Brion Economics Inc

Prepared by Brion Economics Inc 2513-SMC NA Final Tables 61216 6122016

SOUTH SAN FRANCISCO

Child Care as of 2015

No of

Providers

Under 2 Years

Old

2 to 4 Year

Olds

Total 0 to 4

Years

EXISTING DEMAND Child Care Demand

Estimated Total Children

Average LFPRAdjustment Factor

Children With Working Parents

Licensed Care Demand Factor

Resident Children Needing Licensed Care

of Total Resident Children Needing Licensed Care

Children from Non-Resident Employees Needing

Licensed Care

(1)

(2)

(3)

1649 2507

73

1206 2278

37

446 2123

27 85

309 466

4156

3484

74

2569

62

774

Total Demand for Child Care Spaces

Distribution

EXISTING SUPPLY (4)

755 2588

23 77

Child Care Spaces

3343

100

Family Child Care Home Supply

Child Care Center Supply

Current Child Care Supply

Distribution

EXISTING SURPLUS(SHORTAGE)

Distribution

Percentage of Demand Met

by Existing FacilitiesSpaces

Shortage of Family Child Care Home Spaces

Shortage of Center-Based Spaces

(5)

(6)

(6)

68

27

95

252 317

400 1966

652 2283

22 78

(103) (306)

25 75

86 88

(40) (42)

(63) (263)

569

2366

2935

100

(408)

100

88

(82)

(326)

FINAL

Table A-20

Existing Child Care Demand and Supply in 2015 in South San Francisco

San Mateo County Child Care Study - 2016

Note All footnote references can be found in Table C-1 at the end of this file Sources 2010 US Census ABAG Projections 2013 2014 American Community Survey ACS Journey-to-Work data 2006-2008 and 2006-2010

Child Care Coordinating Council of San Mateo County (4Cs) Community Care Licensing Brion Economics Inc

Prepared by Brion Economics Inc 2513-SMC NA Final Tables 61216 6122016

WOODSIDE

No of

Providers

Child Care as of 2015

Under 2 Years

Old

2 to 4 Year

Olds

Total 0 to 4

Years

EXISTING DEMAND Child Care Demand

Estimated Total Children

Average LFPRAdjustment Factor

Children With Working Parents

Licensed Care Demand Factor

Resident Children Needing Licensed Care

of Total Resident Children Needing Licensed Care

Children from Non-Resident Employees Needing

Licensed Care

(1)

(2)

(3)

90 160

56

50 136

37

18 128

21 80

8 13

250

186

79

147

59

21

Total Demand for Child Care Spaces

Distribution

EXISTING SUPPLY (4)

27 141

16 84

Child Care Spaces

168

100

Family Child Care Home Supply

Child Care Center Supply

Current Child Care Supply

Distribution

EXISTING SURPLUS(SHORTAGE)

Distribution

Percentage of Demand Met

by Existing FacilitiesSpaces

Shortage of Family Child Care Home Spaces

Shortage of Center-Based Spaces

(5)

(6)

(6)

1

2

3

4 5

0 103

4 108

4 96

(23) (33)

41 59

16 77

(23) (2)

0 (31)

9

103

112

100

(55)

100

67

(24)

(31)

FINAL

Table A-21

Existing Child Care Demand and Supply in 2015 in Woodside

San Mateo County Child Care Study - 2016

Note All footnote references can be found in Table C-1 at the end of this file Sources 2010 US Census ABAG Projections 2013 2014 American Community Survey ACS Journey-to-Work data 2006-2008 and 2006-2010

Child Care Coordinating Council of San Mateo County (4Cs) Community Care Licensing Brion Economics Inc

Prepared by Brion Economics Inc 2513-SMC NA Final Tables 61216 6122016

COUNTYWIDE

Child Care as of 2025

No of

Providers

Under 2 Years

Old

2 to 4 Year

Olds

Total 0 to 4

Years

EXISTING DEMAND Child Care Demand

Estimated Total Children

Average LFPRAdjustment Factor

Children With Working Parents

Licensed Care Demand Factor

Resident Children Needing Licensed Care

of Total Resident Children Needing Licensed Care

Children from Non-Resident Employees Needing

Licensed Care

Total Demand for Child Care Spaces

Distribution

EXISTING SUPPLY

(1)

(2)

(3)

(4)

20790 31340

71

14704 28273

37

5441 26432

26 84

2037 3074

7478 29506

20 80

Child Care Spaces

52130

42978

86

31873

61

5112

36984

100

Family Child Care Home Supply

Child Care Center Supply

Current Child Care Supply

Distribution

EXISTING SURPLUS(SHORTAGE)

Distribution

Percentage of Demand Met

by Existing FacilitiesSpaces

Shortage of Family Child Care Home Spaces

Shortage of Center-Based Spaces

(5)

(6)

(6)

621

309

930

2301 2893

1514 16296

3815 19189

17 83

(3663) (10318)

26 74

51 65

(2209) (1555)

(1454) (8762)

5193

17810

23003

100

(13981)

100

62

(3765)

(10216)

FINAL

Table B-1

Future C hild Care Demand and Supply in 2025 Countywide

San Mateo County Child Care Study - 2016

Note All footnote references can be found in Table C-1 at the end of this file

Sources 2010 US Census ABAG Projections 2013 2014 American Community Survey ACS Journey-to-Work data 2006-2008 and 2006-2010

Child Care Coordinating Council of San Mateo County (4Cs) Community Care Licensing Brion Economics Inc

Prepared by Brion Economics Inc 2513-SMC NA Final Tables 61216 6122016

ATHERTON

No of

Providers

Child Care as of 2025

Under 2 Years

Old

2 to 4 Year

Olds

Total 0 to 4

Years

EXISTING DEMAND Child Care Demand

Estimated Total Children

Average LFPRAdjustment Factor

Children With Working Parents

Licensed Care Demand Factor

Resident Children Needing Licensed Care

of Total Resident Children Needing Licensed Care

Children from Non-Resident Employees Needing

Licensed Care

(1)

(2)

(3)

109 193

40

43 159

37

16 154

15 80

13 19

302

202

84

170

56

32

Total Demand for Child Care Spaces

Distribution

EXISTING SUPPLY (4)

29 173

14 86

Child Care Spaces

201

100

Family Child Care Home Supply

Child Care Center Supply

Current Child Care Supply

Distribution

EXISTING SURPLUS(SHORTAGE)

Distribution

Percentage of Demand Met

by Existing FacilitiesSpaces

Shortage of Family Child Care Home Spaces

Shortage of Center-Based Spaces

(5)

(6)

(6)

1

6

7

5 6

24 267

29 273

10 90

0 101

0 100

101 158

NA NA

NA NA

11

291

302

100

101

100

150

NA

NA

FINAL

Table B-2

Future Child Care Demand and Supply in 2025 in Atherton

San Mateo Co unty Child Care Study - 2016

Note All footnote references can be found in Table C-1 at the end of this file Sources 2010 US Census ABAG Projections 2013 2014 American Community Survey ACS Journey-to-Work data 2006-2008 and 2006-2010

Child Care Coordinating Council of San Mateo County (4Cs) Community Care Licensing Brion Economics Inc

Prepared by Brion Economics Inc 2513-SMC NA Final Tables 61216 6122016

BELMONT

Child Care as of 2025

No of

Providers

Under 2 Years

Old

2 to 4 Year

Olds

Total 0 to 4

Years

EXISTING DEMAND Child Care Demand

Estimated Total Children

Average LFPRAdjustment Factor

Children With Working Parents

Licensed Care Demand Factor

Resident Children Needing Licensed Care

of Total Resident Children Needing Licensed Care

Children from Non-Resident Employees Needing

Licensed Care

(1)

(2)

(3)

743 1095

77

574 1013

37

213 943

29 86

37 56

1838

1587

73

1156

63

93

Total Demand for Child Care Spaces

Distribution

EXISTING SUPPLY (4)

250 999

20 80

Child Care Spaces

1249

100

Family Child Care Home Supply

Child Care Center Supply

Current Child Care Supply

Distribution

EXISTING SURPLUS(SHORTAGE)

Distribution

Percentage of Demand Met

by Existing FacilitiesSpaces

Shortage of Family Child Care Home Spaces

Shortage of Center-Based Spaces

(5)

(6)

(6)

8

9

17

67 84

39 531

106 615

15 85

(143) (384)

27 73

43 62

(91) (53)

(53) (331)

152

570

722

100

(527)

100

58

(143)

(384)

FINAL

Table B-3

Future Child Care Demand and Supply in 2025 in Belmont

San Mateo County Child Care Study - 2016

Note All footnote references can be found in Table C-1 at the end of this file

Sources 2010 US Census ABAG Projections 2013 2014 American Community Survey ACS Journey-to-Work data 2006-2008 and 2006-2010

Child Care Coordinating Council of San Mateo County (4Cs) Community Care Licensing Brion Economics Inc

Prepared by Brion Economics Inc 2513-SMC NA Final Tables 61216 6122016

BRISBANE

Child Care as of 2025

No of

Providers

Under 2 Years

Old

2 to 4 Year

Olds

Total 0 to 4

Years

EXISTING DEMAND Child Care Demand

Estimated Total Children

Average LFPRAdjustment Factor

Children With Working Parents

Licensed Care Demand Factor

Resident Children Needing Licensed Care

of Total Resident Children Needing Licensed Care

Children from Non-Resident Employees Needing

Licensed Care

(1)

(2)

(3)

131 174

100

131 174

37

48 160

37 92

55 83

305

305

68

209

68

138

Total Demand for Child Care Spaces

Distribution

EXISTING SUPPLY (4)

103 243

30 70

Child Care Spaces

346

100

Family Child Care Home Supply

Child Care Center Supply

Current Child Care Supply

Distribution

EXISTING SURPLUS(SHORTAGE)

Distribution

Percentage of Demand Met

by Existing FacilitiesSpaces

Shortage of Family Child Care Home Spaces

Shortage of Center-Based Spaces

(5)

(6)

(6)

1

1

2

4 5

0 64

4 69

6 94

(99) (174)

36 64

4 29

(99) (13)

0 (160)

9

64

73

100

(273)

100

21

(112)

(160)

FINAL

Table B-4

Future Child Care Demand and Supply in 2025 in Brisbane

San Mateo County Child Care Study - 2016

Note All footnote references can be found in Table C-1 at the end of this file Sources 2010 US Census ABAG Projections 2013 2014 American Community Survey ACS Journey-to-Work data 2006-2008 and 2006-2010

Child Care Coordinating Council of San Mateo County (4Cs) Community Care Licensing Brion Economics Inc

Prepared by Brion Economics Inc 2513-SMC NA Final Tables 61216 6122016

BURLINGAME

Child Care as of 2025

No of

Providers

Under 2 Years

Old

2 to 4 Year

Olds

Total 0 to 4

Years

EXISTING DEMAND Child Care Demand

Estimated Total Children

Average LFPRAdjustment Factor

Children With Working Parents

Licensed Care Demand Factor

Resident Children Needing Licensed Care

of Total Resident Children Needing Licensed Care

Children from Non-Resident Employees Needing

Licensed Care

(1)

(2)

(3)

903 1332

65

587 1190

37

217 1124

24 84

154 232

2235

1777

75

1341

60

385

Total Demand for Child Care Spaces

Distribution

EXISTING SUPPLY (4)

371 1356

21 79

Child Care Spaces

1726

100

Family Child Care Home Supply

Child Care Center Supply

Current Child Care Supply

Distribution

EXISTING SURPLUS(SHORTAGE)

Distribution

Percentage of Demand Met

by Existing FacilitiesSpaces

Shortage of Family Child Care Home Spaces

Shortage of Center-Based Spaces

(5)

(6)

(6)

10

14

24

79 99

40 866

119 965

11 89

(252) (390)

39 61

32 71

(167) (40)

(85) (350)

179

906

1085

100

(642)

100

63

(207)

(434)

FINAL

Table B-5

Future Child Care Demand and Supply in 2025 in Burlingame

San Mateo County Child Care Study - 2016

Note All footnote references can be found in Table C-1 at the end of this file

Sources 2010 US Census ABAG Projections 2013 2014 American Community Survey ACS Journey-to-Work data 2006-2008 and 2006-2010

Child Care Coordinating Council of San Mateo County (4Cs) Community Care Licensing Brion Economics Inc

Prepared by Brion Economics Inc 2513-SMC NA Final Tables 61216 6122016

DALY CITYCOLMA

Child Care as of 2025

No of

Providers

Under 2 Years

Old

2 to 4 Year

Olds

Total 0 to 4

Years

EXISTING DEMAND Child Care Demand

Estimated Total Children

Average LFPRAdjustment Factor

Children With Working Parents

Licensed Care Demand Factor

Resident Children Needing Licensed Care

of Total Resident Children Needing Licensed Care

Children from Non-Resident Employees Needing

Licensed Care

(1)

(2)

(3)

2647 3793

74

1964 3467

37

727 3233

27 85

138 208

6440

5432

73

3960

61

346

Total Demand for Child Care Spaces

Distribution

EXISTING SUPPLY (4)

865 3441

20 80

Child Care Spaces

4306

100

Family Child Care Home Supply

Child Care Center Supply

Current Child Care Supply

Distribution

EXISTING SURPLUS(SHORTAGE)

Distribution

Percentage of Demand Met

by Existing FacilitiesSpaces

Shortage of Family Child Care Home Spaces

Shortage of Center-Based Spaces

(5)

(6)

(6)

25

28

28

288 362

84 1264

372 1626

19 81

(493) (1816)

21 79

43 47

(381) (404)

(111) (1412)

649

1348

1997

100

(2308)

100

46

(785)

(1523)

FINAL

Table B-6

Future C hild Care Demand and Supply in 2025 in Daly CityColma

San Mateo County Child Care Study - 2016

Note All footnote references can be found in Table C-1 at the end of this file

Sources 2010 US Census ABAG Projections 2013 2014 American Community Survey ACS Journey-to-Work data 2006-2008 and 2006-2010

Child Care Coordinating Council of San Mateo County (4Cs) Community Care Licensing Brion Economics Inc

Prepared by Brion Economics Inc 2513-SMC NA Final Tables 61216 6122016

EAST PALO ALTO

Child Care as of 2025

No of

Providers

Under 2 Years

Old

2 to 4 Year

Olds

Total 0 to 4

Years

EXISTING DEMAND Child Care Demand

Estimated Total Children

Average LFPRAdjustment Factor

Children With Working Parents

Licensed Care Demand Factor

Resident Children Needing Licensed Care

of Total Resident Children Needing Licensed Care

Children from Non-Resident Employees Needing

Licensed Care

(1)

(2)

(3)

1161 1849

71

822 1660

37

304 1545

26 84

20 30

3010

2482

75

1849

61

50

Total Demand for Child Care Spaces

Distribution

EXISTING SUPPLY (4)

324 1575

17 83

Child Care Spaces

1900

100

Family Child Care Home Supply

Child Care Center Supply

Current Child Care Supply

Distribution

EXISTING SURPLUS(SHORTAGE)

Distribution

Percentage of Demand Met

by Existing FacilitiesSpaces

Shortage of Family Child Care Home Spaces

Shortage of Center-Based Spaces

(5)

(6)

(6)

13

6

19

85 106

25 633

110 739

13 87

(215) (836)

20 80

34 47

(166) (120)

(49) (715)

191

658

849

100

(1050)

100

45

(286)

(764)

FINAL

Table B-7

Future Child Care Demand and Supply in 2025 in East Palo Alto

San Mateo County Child Care Study - 2016

Note All footnote references can be found in Table C-1 at the end of this file

Sources 2010 US Census ABAG Projections 2013 2014 American Community Survey ACS Journey-to-Work data 2006-2008 and 2006-2010

Child Care Coordinating Council of San Mateo County (4Cs) Community Care Licensing Brion Economics Inc

Prepared by Brion Economics Inc 2513-SMC NA Final Tables 61216 6122016

FOSTER CITY

Child Care as of 2025

No of

Providers

Under 2 Years

Old

2 to 4 Year

Olds

Total 0 to 4

Years

EXISTING DEMAND Child Care Demand

Estimated Total Children

Average LFPRAdjustment Factor

Children With Working Parents

Licensed Care Demand Factor

Resident Children Needing Licensed Care

of Total Resident Children Needing Licensed Care

Children from Non-Resident Employees Needing

Licensed Care

(1)

(2)

(3)

871 1330

63

550 1154

37

204 1079

23 81

80 120

2201

1705

75

1282

58

200

Total Demand for Child Care Spaces

Distribution

EXISTING SUPPLY (4)

283 1199

19 81

Child Care Spaces

1483

100

Family Child Care Home Supply

Child Care Center Supply

Current Child Care Supply

Distribution

EXISTING SURPLUS(SHORTAGE)

Distribution

Percentage of Demand Met

by Existing FacilitiesSpaces

Shortage of Family Child Care Home Spaces

Shortage of Center-Based Spaces

(5)

(6)

(6)

19

12

31

118 149

88 1200

206 1349

13 87

(77) 150

-106 206

73 112

(44) NA

(33) NA

267

1288

1555

100

73

100

105

(44)

(33)

FINAL

Table B-8

Future Child Care Demand and Supply in 2025 in Foster City

San Mateo County Child Care Study - 2016

Note All footnote references can be found in Table C-1 at the end of this file

Sources 2010 US Census ABAG Projections 2013 2014 American Community Survey ACS Journey-to-Work data 2006-2008 and 2006-2010

Child Care Coordinating Council of San Mateo County (4Cs) Community Care Licensing Brion Economics Inc

Prepared by Brion Economics Inc 2513-SMC NA Final Tables 61216 6122016

HALF MOON BAY REGION

Child Care as of 2025

No of

Providers

Under 2 Years

Old

2 to 4 Year

Olds

Total 0 to 4

Years

EXISTING DEMAND Child Care Demand

Estimated Total Children

Average LFPRAdjustment Factor

Children With Working Parents

Licensed Care Demand Factor

Resident Children Needing Licensed Care

of Total Resident Children Needing Licensed Care

Children from Non-Resident Employees Needing

Licensed Care

(1)

(2)

(3)

553 929

69

383 835

37

142 781

26 84

14 21

1482

1217

76

923

62

34

Total Demand for Child Care Spaces

Distribution

EXISTING SUPPLY (4)

155 802

16 84

Child Care Spaces

957

100

Family Child Care Home Supply

Child Care Center Supply

Current Child Care Supply

Distribution

EXISTING SURPLUS(SHORTAGE)

Distribution

Percentage of Demand Met

by Existing FacilitiesSpaces

Shortage of Family Child Care Home Spaces

Shortage of Center-Based Spaces

(5)

(6)

(6)

10

11

21

96 121

35 285

131 406

24 76

(24) (396)

6 94

84 51

(18) (118)

(6) (279)

216

320

536

100

(421)

100

56

(136)

(285)

FINAL

Table B-9

Future Child Care Demand and Supply in 2025 in Half Moon Bay Region

San Mateo County Child Care Study - 2016

Note All footnote references can be found in Table C-1 at the end of this file

Sources 2010 US Census ABAG Projections 2013 2014 American Community Survey ACS Journey-to-Work data 2006-2008 and 2006-2010

Child Care Coordinating Council of San Mateo County (4Cs) Community Care Licensing Brion Economics Inc

Prepared by Brion Economics Inc 2513-SMC NA Final Tables 61216 6122016

HILLSBOROUGH

Child Care as of 2025

No of

Providers

Under 2 Years

Old

2 to 4 Year

Olds

Total 0 to 4

Years

EXISTING DEMAND Child Care Demand

Estimated Total Children

Average LFPRAdjustment Factor

Children With Working Parents

Licensed Care Demand Factor

Resident Children Needing Licensed Care

of Total Resident Children Needing Licensed Care

Children from Non-Resident Employees Needing

Licensed Care

(1)

(2)

(3)

143 343

52

74 295

37

27 282

19 82

7 11

487

369

84

309

64

17

Total Demand for Child Care Spaces

Distribution

EXISTING SUPPLY (4)

34 292

10 90

Child Care Spaces

327

100

Family Child Care Home Supply

Child Care Center Supply

Current Child Care Supply

Distribution

EXISTING SURPLUS(SHORTAGE)

Distribution

Percentage of Demand Met

by Existing FacilitiesSpaces

Shortage of Family Child Care Home Spaces

Shortage of Center-Based Spaces

(5)

(6)

(6)

1

4

5

5 6

- 91

5 97

5 95

(29) (195)

13 87

14 33

(29) (12)

0 (183)

11

91

102

100

(225)

100

31

(42)

(183)

FINAL

Table B-10

Future Child Care Demand and Supply in 2025 in Hillsborough

San Mateo County Child Care Study - 2016

Note All footnote references can be found in Table C-1 at the end of this file

Sources 2010 US Census ABAG Projections 2013 2014 American Community Survey ACS Journey-to-Work data 2006-2008 and 2006-2010

Child Care Coordinating Council of San Mateo County (4Cs) Community Care Licensing Brion Economics Inc

Prepared by Brion Economics Inc 2513-SMC NA Final Tables 61216 6122016

MENLO PARK

Child Care as of 2025

No of

Providers

Under 2 Years

Old

2 to 4 Year

Olds

Total 0 to 4

Years

EXISTING DEMAND Child Care Demand

Estimated Total Children

Average LFPRAdjustment Factor

Children With Working Parents

Licensed Care Demand Factor

Resident Children Needing Licensed Care

of Total Resident Children Needing Licensed Care

Children from Non-Resident Employees Needing

Licensed Care

(1)

(2)

(3)

1327 1954

69

909 1759

37

336 1653

25 85

237 357

3281

2668

75

1989

61

594

Total Demand for Child Care Spaces

Distribution

EXISTING SUPPLY (4)

573 2011

22 78

Child Care Spaces

2584

100

Family Child Care Home Supply

Child Care Center Supply

Current Child Care Supply

Distribution

EXISTING SURPLUS(SHORTAGE)

Distribution

Percentage of Demand Met

by Existing FacilitiesSpaces

Shortage of Family Child Care Home Spaces

Shortage of Center-Based Spaces

(5)

(6)

(6)

15

25

40

76 96

73 1331

149 1427

9 91

(424) (584)

42 58

26 71

(217) (39)

(207) (544)

172

1404

1576

100

(1008)

100

61

(256)

(752)

FINAL

Table B-11

Future Child Care Demand and Supply in 2025 in Menlo Park

San Mateo County Child Care Study - 2016

Note All footnote references can be found in Table C-1 at the end of this file

Sources 2010 US Census ABAG Projections 2013 2014 American Community Survey ACS Journey-to-Work data 2006-2008 and 2006-2010

Child Care Coordinating Council of San Mateo County (4Cs) Community Care Licensing Brion Economics Inc

Prepared by Brion Economics Inc 2513-SMC NA Final Tables 61216 6122016

MILLBRAE

Child Care as of 2025

No of

Providers

Under 2 Years

Old

2 to 4 Year

Olds

Total 0 to 4

Years

EXISTING DEMAND Child Care Demand

Estimated Total Children

Average LFPRAdjustment Factor

Children With Working Parents

Licensed Care Demand Factor

Resident Children Needing Licensed Care

of Total Resident Children Needing Licensed Care

Children from Non-Resident Employees Needing

Licensed Care

(1)

(2)

(3)

473 805

62

291 710

37

108 672

23 83

31 47

1278

1001

78

780

61

77

Total Demand for Child Care Spaces

Distribution

EXISTING SUPPLY (4)

139 718

16 84

Child Care Spaces

857

100

Family Child Care Home Supply

Child Care Center Supply

Current Child Care Supply

Distribution

EXISTING SURPLUS(SHORTAGE)

Distribution

Percentage of Demand Met

by Existing FacilitiesSpaces

Shortage of Family Child Care Home Spaces

Shortage of Center-Based Spaces

(5)

(6)

(6)

7

7

14

62 78

- 376

62 454

12 88

(76) (264)

22 78

45 63

(76) (46)

0 (219)

141

376

517

100

(340)

100

60

(122)

(219)

FINAL

Table B-12

Future C hild Care Demand and Supply in 2025 in Millbrae

San Mateo County Child Care Study - 2016

Note All footnote references can be found in Table C-1 at the end of this file

Sources 2010 US Census ABAG Projections 2013 2014 American Community Survey ACS Journey-to-Work data 2006-2008 and 2006-2010

Child Care Coordinating Council of San Mateo County (4Cs) Community Care Licensing Brion Economics Inc

Prepared by Brion Economics Inc 2513-SMC NA Final Tables 61216 6122016

FINAL

Table B-13

Future Child Care Demand and Supply in 2025 in Pacifica

San Mateo County Child Care Study - 2016

PACIFICA

Child Care as of 2025

No of

Providers

Under 2 Years

Old

2 to 4 Year

Olds

Total 0 to 4

Years

EXISTING DEMAND Child Care Demand

Estimated Total Children

Average L FPRAdjustment Factor

Children With Working Parents

Licensed Care Demand Factor

Resident Children Needing Licensed Care

of Total Resident Children Needing Licensed Care

Children from Non-Resident Employees Needing

Licensed Care

(1)

(2)

(3)

816 1300

78

633 1209

37

234 1130

29 87

19 29

2116

1842

74

1364

64

48

Total Demand for Child Care Spaces

Distribution

EXISTING SUPPLY (4)

254 1159

18 82

Child Care Spaces

1413

100

Family Child Care Home Supply

Child Care Center Supply

Current Child Care Supply

Distribution

EXISTING SURPLUS(SHORTAGE)

Distribution

Percentage of Demand Met

by Existing FacilitiesSpaces

Shortage of Family Child Care Home Spaces

Shortage of Center-Based Spaces

(5)

(6)

(6)

9

18

27

77 97

39 701

116 798

13 87

(138) (361)

28 72

46 69

(91) (44)

(46) (317)

174

740

914

100

(499)

100

65

(135)

(364)

Note All footnote references can be found in Table C-1 at the end of this file

Sources 2010 US Census ABAG Projections 2013 2014 American Community Survey ACS Journey-to-Work data 2006-2008 and 2006-2010

Child Care Coordinating Council of San Mateo County (4Cs) Community Care Licensing Brion Economics Inc

Prepared by Brion Economics Inc 2513-SMC NA Final Tables 61216 6122016

PORTOLA VALLEY

Child Care as of 2025

No of

Providers

Under 2 Years

Old

2 to 4 Year

Olds

Total 0 to 4

Years

EXISTING DEMAND Child Care Demand

Estimated Total Children

Average LFPRAdjustment Factor

Children With Working Parents

Licensed Care Demand Factor

Resident Children Needing Licensed Care

of Total Resident Children Needing Licensed Care

Children from Non-Resident Employees Needing

Licensed Care

(1)

(2)

(3)

77 192

66

51 173

37

19 164

24 85

9 13

269

224

82

182

68

22

Total Demand for Child Care Spaces

Distribution

EXISTING SUPPLY (4)

28 177

13 87

Child Care Spaces

204

100

Family Child Care Home Supply

Child Care Center Supply

Current Child Care Supply

Distribution

EXISTING SURPLUS(SHORTAGE)

Distribution

Percentage of Demand Met

by Existing FacilitiesSpaces

Shortage of Family Child Care Home Spaces

Shortage of Center-Based Spaces

(5)

(6)

(6)

0

4

4

- -

- 153

- 153

0 100

(28) (24)

54 46

0 87

0 0

(28) (24)

0

153

153

100

(51)

100

75

0

(51)

FINAL

Table B-14

Future Child Care Demand and Supply in 2025 in Portola Valley

San Mateo County Child Care Study - 2016

Note All footnote references can be found in Table C-1 at the end of this file

Sources 2010 US Census ABAG Projections 2013 2014 American Community Survey ACS Journey-to-Work data 2006-2008 and 2006-2010

Child Care Coordinating Council of San Mateo County (4Cs) Community Care Licensing Brion Economics Inc

Prepared by Brion Economics Inc 2513-SMC NA Final Tables 61216 6122016

REDWOOD CITY

No of

Providers

Child Care as of 2025

Under 2 Years

Old

2 to 4 Year

Olds

Total 0 to 4

Years

EXISTING DEMAND Child Care Demand

Estimated Total Children

Average LFPRAdjustment Factor

Children With Working Parents

Licensed Care Demand Factor

Resident Children Needing Licensed Care

of Total Resident Children Needing Licensed Care

Children from Non-Resident Employees Needing

Licensed Care

Total Demand for Child Care Spaces

Distribution

EXISTING SUPPLY

(1)

(2)

(3)

(4)

3725 5378

69

2555 4813

37

946 4505

25 84

466 703

1411 5208

21 79

Child Care Spaces

9103

7368

74

5450

60

1169

6619

100

Family Child Care Home Supply

Child Care Center Supply

Current Child Care Supply

Distribution

EXISTING SURPLUS(SHORTAGE)

Distribution

Percentage of Demand Met

by Existing FacilitiesSpaces

Shortage of Family Child Care Home Spaces

Shortage of Center-Based Spaces

(5)

(6)

(6)

42

41

83

396 497

356 2036

752 2533

23 77

(660) (2674)

20 80

53 49

(347) (525)

(313) (2149)

893

2392

3285

100

(3334)

100

50

(872)

(2462)

FINAL

Table B-15

Future Child Care Demand and Supply in 2025 in Redwood City

San Mateo County Child Care Study - 2016

Note All footnote references can be found in Table C-1 at the end of this file

Sources 2010 US Census ABAG Projections 2013 2014 American Community Survey ACS Journey-to-Work data 2006-2008 and 2006-2010

Child Care Coordinating Council of San Mateo County (4Cs) Community Care Licensing Brion Economics Inc

Prepared by Brion Economics Inc 2513-SMC NA Final Tables 61216 6122016

SAN BRUNO

Child Care as of 2025

No of

Providers

Under 2 Years

Old

2 to 4 Year

Olds

Total 0 to 4

Years

EXISTING DEMAND Child Care Demand

Estimated Total Children

Average LFPRAdjustment Factor

Children With Working Parents

Licensed Care Demand Factor

Resident Children Needing Licensed Care

of Total Resident Children Needing Licensed Care

Children from Non-Resident Employees Needing

Licensed Care

(1)

(2)

(3)

1189 1728

77

910 1589

37

337 1475

28 85

68 103

2917

2498

73

1812

62

171

Total Demand for Child Care Spaces

Distribution

EXISTING SUPPLY (4)

405 1578

20 80

Child Care Spaces

1983

100

Family Child Care Home Supply

Child Care Center Supply

Current Child Care Supply

Distribution

EXISTING SURPLUS(SHORTAGE)

Distribution

Percentage of Demand Met

by Existing FacilitiesSpaces

Shortage of Family Child Care Home Spaces

Shortage of Center-Based Spaces

(5)

(6)

(6)

13

15

28

122 153

26 1183

148 1336

10 90

(257) (242)

52 48

37 85

(212) (28)

(45) (214)

275

1209

1484

100

(499)

100

75

(239)

(259)

FINAL

Table B-16

Future C hild Care Demand and Supply in 2025 in San Bruno

San Mateo County Child Care Study - 2016

Note All footnote references can be found in Table C-1 at the end of this file

Sources 2010 US Census ABAG Projections 2013 2014 American Community Survey ACS Journey-to-Work data 2006-2008 and 2006-2010

Child Care Coordinating Council of San Mateo County (4Cs) Community Care Licensing Brion Economics Inc

Prepared by Brion Economics Inc 2513-SMC NA Final Tables 61216 6122016

SAN CARLOS

Child Care as of 2025

No of

Providers

Under 2 Years

Old

2 to 4 Year

Olds

Total 0 to 4

Years

EXISTING DEMAND Child Care Demand

Estimated Total Children

Average LFPRAdjustment Factor

Children With Working Parents

Licensed Care Demand Factor

Resident Children Needing Licensed Care

of Total Resident Children Needing Licensed Care

Children from Non-Resident Employees Needing

Licensed Care

(1)

(2)

(3)

778 1384

72

557 1255

37

206 1174

26 85

82 123

2162

1812

76

1380

64

205

Total Demand for Child Care Spaces

Distribution

EXISTING SUPPLY (4)

288 1297

18 82

Child Care Spaces

1585

100

Family Child Care Home Supply

Child Care Center Supply

Current Child Care Supply

Distribution

EXISTING SURPLUS(SHORTAGE)

Distribution

Percentage of Demand Met

by Existing FacilitiesSpaces

Shortage of Family Child Care Home Spaces

Shortage of Center-Based Spaces

(5)

(6)

(6)

28

14

42

73 92

76 615

149 707

17 83

(139) (590)

19 81

52 54

(68) (76)

(71) (514)

164

691

855

100

(729)

100

54

(145)

(585)

FINAL

Table B-17

Future Child Care Demand and Supply in 2025 in San Carlos

San Mateo County Child Care Study - 2016

Note All footnote references can be found in Table C-1 at the end of this file

Sources 2010 US Census ABAG Projections 2013 2014 American Community Survey ACS Journey-to-Work data 2006-2008 and 2006-2010

Child Care Coordinating Council of San Mateo County (4Cs) Community Care Licensing Brion Economics Inc

Prepared by Brion Economics Inc 2513-SMC NA Final Tables 61216 6122016

SAN MATEO

Child Care as of 2025

No of

Providers

Under 2 Years

Old

2 to 4 Year

Olds

Total 0 to 4

Years

EXISTING DEMAND Child Care Demand

Estimated Total Children

Average LFPRAdjustment Factor

Children With Working Parents

Licensed Care Demand Factor

Resident Children Needing Licensed Care

of Total Resident Children Needing Licensed Care

Children from Non-Resident Employees Needing

Licensed Care

(1)

(2)

(3)

3194 4572

71

2264 4116

37

838 3839

26 84

261 394

7766

6381

73

4677

60

656

Total Demand for Child Care Spaces

Distribution

EXISTING SUPPLY (4)

1099 4233

21 79

Child Care Spaces

5332

100

Family Child Care Home Supply

Child Care Center Supply

Current Child Care Supply

Distribution

EXISTING SURPLUS(SHORTAGE)

Distribution

Percentage of Demand Met

by Existing FacilitiesSpaces

Shortage of Family Child Care Home Spaces

Shortage of Center-Based Spaces

(5)

(6)

(6)

69

59

128

492 619

209 2577

701 3196

18 82

(398) (1037)

28 72

64 75

(279) (201)

(119) (837)

1111

2786

3897

100

(1435)

100

73

(480)

(955)

FINAL

Table B-18

Future Child Care Demand and Supply in 2025 in San Mateo

San Mateo County Child Care Study - 2016

Note All footnote references can be found in Table C-1 at the end of this file

Sources 2010 US Census ABAG Projections 2013 2014 American Community Survey ACS Journey-to-Work data 2006-2008 and 2006-2010

Child Care Coordinating Council of San Mateo County (4Cs) Community Care Licensing Brion Economics Inc

Prepared by Brion Economics Inc 2513-SMC NA Final Tables 61216 6122016

FINAL

Table B-19

Future Child Care Demand and Supply in 2025 in South Coast

San Mateo County Child Care Study - 2016

SOUTH COAST

Child Care as of 2025

No of

Providers

Under 2 Years

Old

2 to 4 Year

Olds

Total 0 to 4

Years

EXISTING DEMAND Child Care Demand

Estimated Total Children (1) 23 32 55

Average LFPRAdjustment Factor (2) 54

Children With Working Parents 12 27 40

Licensed Care Demand Factor (3) 37 77

Resident Children Needing Licensed Care 5 26 30

of Total Resident Children Needing Licensed Care 20 81 56

Children from Non-Resident Employees Needing

Licensed Care 0 0 0

Total Demand for Child Care Spaces 5 26 30

Distribution 15 85 100

EXISTING SUPPLY (4) Child Care Spaces

Family Child Care Home Supply - 0 0 0

Child Care Center Supply 2 0 54 54

Current Child Care Supply 2 - 54 54

Distribution 0 100 100

EXISTING SURPLUS(SHORTAGE) (5) 28 24

Distribution -19 119 100

Percentage of Demand Met

by Existing FacilitiesSpaces (5) 0 209 177

Shortage of Family Child Care Home Spaces (6) 0 NA 0

Shortage of Center-Based Spaces (6) (5) NA (5)

Note All footnote references can be found in Table C-1 at the end of this file

Sources 2010 US Census ABAG Projections 2013 2014 American Community Survey ACS Journey-to-Work data 2006-2008 and 2006-2010

Child Care Coordinating Council of San Mateo County (4Cs) Community Care Licensing Brion Economics Inc

Prepared by Brion Economics Inc 2513-SMC NA Final Tables 61216 6122016

SOUTH SAN FRANCISCO

Child Care as of 2025

No of

Providers

Under 2 Years

Old

2 to 4 Year

Olds

Total 0 to 4

Years

EXISTING DEMAND Child Care Demand

Estimated Total Children

Average LFPRAdjustment Factor

Children With Working Parents

Licensed Care Demand Factor

Resident Children Needing Licensed Care

of Total Resident Children Needing Licensed Care

Children from Non-Resident Employees Needing

Licensed Care

(1)

(2)

(3)

1835 2790

73

1342 2535

37

496 2362

27 85

339 512

4625

3877

74

2859

62

851

Total Demand for Child Care Spaces

Distribution

EXISTING SUPPLY (4)

835 2874

23 77

Child Care Spaces

3709

100

Family Child Care Home Supply

Child Care Center Supply

Current Child Care Supply

Distribution

EXISTING SURPLUS(SHORTAGE)

Distribution

Percentage of Demand Met

by Existing FacilitiesSpaces

Shortage of Family Child Care Home Spaces

Shortage of Center-Based Spaces

(5)

(6)

(6)

30

27

57

252 317

400 1966

652 2283

22 78

(183) (591)

24 76

78 79

(71) (82)

(113) (509)

569

2366

2935

100

(775)

100

79

(153)

(622)

FINAL

Table B-20

Future Child Care Demand and Supply in 2025 in South San Francisco

San Mateo County Child Care Study - 2016

Note All footnote references can be found in Table C-1 at the end of this file

Sources 2010 US Census ABAG Projections 2013 2014 American Community Survey ACS Journey-to-Work data 2006-2008 and 2006-2010

Child Care Coordinating Council of San Mateo County (4Cs) Community Care Licensing Brion Economics Inc

Prepared by Brion Economics Inc 2513-SMC NA Final Tables 61216 6122016

WOODSIDE

No of

Providers

Child Care as of 2025

Under 2 Years

Old

2 to 4 Year

Olds

Total 0 to 4

Years

EXISTING DEMAND Child Care Demand

Estimated Total Children

Average LFPRAdjustment Factor

Children With Working Parents

Licensed Care Demand Factor

Resident Children Needing Licensed Care

of Total Resident Children Needing Licensed Care

Children from Non-Resident Employees Needing

Licensed Care

(1)

(2)

(3)

93 165

56

51 140

37

19 132

21 80

9 13

258

192

79

152

59

22

Total Demand for Child Care Spaces

Distribution

EXISTING SUPPLY (4)

28 146

16 84

Child Care Spaces

174

100

Family Child Care Home Supply

Child Care Center Supply

Current Child Care Supply

Distribution

EXISTING SURPLUS(SHORTAGE)

Distribution

Percentage of Demand Met

by Existing FacilitiesSpaces

Shortage of Family Child Care Home Spaces

Shortage of Center-Based Spaces

(5)

(6)

(6)

1

2

3

4 5

- 103

4 108

4 96

(24) (38)

39 61

15 74

(24) (2)

0 (36)

9

103

112

100

(61)

100

65

(26)

(36)

FINAL

Table B-21

Future Child Care Demand and Supply in 2025 in Woodside

San Mateo County Child Care Study - 2016

Note All footnote references can be found in Table C-1 at the end of this file

Sources 2010 US Census ABAG Projections 2013 2014 American Community Survey ACS Journey-to-Work data 2006-2008 and 2006-2010

Child Care Coordinating Council of San Mateo County (4Cs) Community Care Licensing Brion Economics Inc

Prepared by Brion Economics Inc 2513-SMC NA Final Tables 61216 6122016

FINAL

Table C-1

Endnotes for Tables

San Mateo County Child Care Study - 2016

(1) Population by age is based on the percentage breakdown from the 2010 US Census and applied

to population estimates for 2015 using ABAGs Projections 2013 population data The ABAG data

for each area includes its Sphere of Influence and is not based on strict jurisdictional boundaries

(2) Labor force participation rates are from the 5-Year American Community Survey 2014 and include

children under six years old with two working parents or a single working parent For the 2- to 4-year

olds the labor force participation rate is applied to 2 year olds For 3- and 4-year olds it is assumed

that 100 need licensed care to support preschool for every child so the number of

3- and 4-year olds is not discounted by labor force participation rates

(3) Not all children with working parents are assumed to need licensed care percentage assumptions are

used to calculate the number of children requiring licensed care under each age category The

remaining children are assumed to be cared for in alternate arrangements such as by family members

nannies friends and other unlicensed care For children ages 3- and 4-years old it is assumed that

they all need care in the form of preschool

(4) Data on child care supply provided by the Child Care Coordinating Council of San Mateo County (4Cs)

and Community Care Licensing Division of the California Department of Social Services (CCLD) Data is

for June 2015

(5) Demand that calculates as less than 100 means that there is greater demand than supply percent of

demand that is over 100 means supply exceeds demand

(6) Unmet demand is broken down into shortage by type of care based on the proportion of FCCHs and

child care centers spaces available in each area If an area does not have any FCCHs or centers the

unmet demand is placed in the type of care that is available in the area (eg if there are only centers

all demand goes to centers)

Source Brion Economics Inc

Prepared by Brion Economics Inc 2513-SMC NA Final Tables 61216 6122016

DRAFT REPORT

Table C-2

Labor Force Participation Rates by CityArea

San Mateo County Child Care Study - 2016

CityArea

Labor Force

Participation Rate (1)

Atherton

Belmont

Brisbane

Burlingame

Daly CityColma

East Palo Alto

Foster City

Half Moon Bay Region

Hillsborough

Menlo Park

Millbrae

Pacifica

Portola Valley

Redwood City

San Bruno

San Carlos

San Mateo

South Coast

South San Francisco

Woodside

40

77

100

65

74

71

63

69

52

69

62

78

66

69

77

72

71

54

73

56

(1) Labor force participation rates (LFPRs) are for

families with children under age six with two

working parents or a single parent who works Sources American Community Survey 2014 5-Year

Survey Brion Economics Inc

Prepared by Brion Economics Inc 2513-SMC NA Final Tables 61216 6122016

  • 2513-SMC FINAL NA Memo-61216
  • 2513-SMC NA Final Tables 61216
Page 29: Final San Mateo County Child Care Needs … Care...Future C hild Care Demand and Supply in 2025 in Daly City/Colma San Mateo County Child Care Study - 2016 Note: All footnote references

EAST PALO ALTO

Child Care as of 2015

No of

Providers

Under 2 Years

Old

2 to 4 Year

Olds

Total 0 to 4

Years

EXISTING DEMAND Child Care Demand

Estimated Total Children

Average LFPRAdjustment Factor

Children With Working Parents

Licensed Care Demand Factor

Resident Children Needing Licensed Care

of Total Resident Children Needing Licensed Care

Children from Non-Resident Employees Needing

Licensed Care

(1)

(2)

(3)

1046 1667

71

741 1496

37

274 1392

26 84

18 27

2713

2237

75

1666

61

45

Total Demand for Child Care Spaces

Distribution

EXISTING SUPPLY (4)

292 1419

17 83

Child Care Spaces

1711

100

Family Child Care Home Supply

Child Care Center Supply

Current Child Care Supply

Distribution

EXISTING SURPLUS(SHORTAGE)

Distribution

Percentage of Demand Met

by Existing FacilitiesSpaces

Shortage of Family Child Care Home Spaces

Shortage of Center-Based Spaces

(5)

(6)

(6)

21

6

27

85 106

25 633

110 739

13 87

(182) (680)

21 79

38 52

(141) (98)

(42) (582)

191

658

849

100

(862)

100

50

(239)

(623)

FINAL

Table A-7

Existing Child Care Demand and Supply in 2015 in East Palo Alto

San Mateo County Child Care Study - 2016

Note All footnote references can be found in Table C-1 at the end of this file Sources 2010 US Census ABAG Projections 2013 2014 American Community Survey ACS Journey-to-Work data 2006-2008 and 2006-2010

Child Care Coordinating Council of San Mateo County (4Cs) Community Care Licensing Brion Economics Inc

Prepared by Brion Economics Inc 2513-SMC NA Final Tables 61216 6122016

FOSTER CITY

Child Care as of 2015

No of

Providers

Under 2 Years

Old

2 to 4 Year

Olds

Total 0 to 4

Years

EXISTING DEMAND Child Care Demand

Estimated Total Children

Average LFPRAdjustment Factor

Children With Working Parents

Licensed Care Demand Factor

Resident Children Needing Licensed Care

of Total Resident Children Needing Licensed Care

Children from Non-Resident Employees Needing

Licensed Care

(1)

(2)

(3)

836 1277

63

528 1108

37

195 1035

23 81

73 110

2113

1636

75

1231

58

183

Total Demand for Child Care Spaces

Distribution

EXISTING SUPPLY (4)

268 1145

19 81

Child Care Spaces

1414

100

Family Child Care Home Supply

Child Care Center Supply

Current Child Care Supply

Distribution

EXISTING SURPLUS(SHORTAGE)

Distribution

Percentage of Demand Met

by Existing FacilitiesSpaces

Shortage of Family Child Care Home Spaces

Shortage of Center-Based Spaces

(5)

(6)

(6)

29

12

41

118 149

88 1200

206 1349

13 87

(62) 203

NA NA

77 118

(36) NA

(27) NA

267

1288

1555

100

141

NA

110

(36)

(27)

FINAL

Table A-8

Existing Child Care Demand and Supply in 2015 in Foster City

San Mateo County Child Care Study - 2016

Note All footnote references can be found in Table C-1 at the end of this file

Sources 2010 US Census ABAG Projections 2013 2014 American Community Survey ACS Journey-to-Work data 2006-2008 and 2006-2010

Child Care Coordinating Council of San Mateo County (4Cs) Community Care Licensing Brion Economics Inc

Prepared by Brion Economics Inc 2513-SMC NA Final Tables 61216 6122016

HALF MOON BAY REGION

Child Care as of 2015

No of

Providers

Under 2 Years

Old

2 to 4 Year

Olds

Total 0 to 4

Years

EXISTING DEMAND Child Care Demand

Estimated Total Children

Average LFPRAdjustment Factor

Children With Working Parents

Licensed Care Demand Factor

Resident Children Needing Licensed Care

of Total Resident Children Needing Licensed Care

Children from Non-Resident Employees Needing

Licensed Care

(1)

(2)

(3)

511 860

69

354 772

37

131 723

26 84

13 19

1371

1126

76

854

62

32

Total Demand for Child Care Spaces

Distribution

EXISTING SUPPLY (4)

144 742

16 84

Child Care Spaces

885

100

Family Child Care Home Supply

Child Care Center Supply

Current Child Care Supply

Distribution

EXISTING SURPLUS(SHORTAGE)

Distribution

Percentage of Demand Met

by Existing FacilitiesSpaces

Shortage of Family Child Care Home Spaces

Shortage of Center-Based Spaces

(5)

(6)

(6)

28

11

39

96 121

35 285

131 406

24 76

(13) (336)

4 96

91 55

(9) (100)

(3) (236)

216

320

536

100

(349)

100

61

(109)

(240)

FINAL

Table A-9

Existing Child Care Demand and Supply in 2015 in Half Moon Bay Region

San Mateo County Child Care Study - 2016

Note All footnote references can be found in Table C-1 at the end of this file

Sources 2010 US Census ABAG Projections 2013 2014 American Community Survey ACS Journey-to-Work data 2006-2008 and 2006-2010

Child Care Coordinating Council of San Mateo County (4Cs) Community Care Licensing Brion Economics Inc

Prepared by Brion Economics Inc 2513-SMC NA Final Tables 61216 6122016

HILLSBOROUGH

Child Care as of 2015

No of

Providers

Under 2 Years

Old

2 to 4 Year

Olds

Total 0 to 4

Years

EXISTING DEMAND Child Care Demand

Estimated Total Children

Average LFPRAdjustment Factor

Children With Working Parents

Licensed Care Demand Factor

Resident Children Needing Licensed Care

of Total Resident Children Needing Licensed Care

Children from Non-Resident Employees Needing

Licensed Care

(1)

(2)

(3)

138 331

52

71 284

37

26 272

19 82

7 10

469

356

84

298

64

16

Total Demand for Child Care Spaces

Distribution

EXISTING SUPPLY (4)

33 282

10 90

Child Care Spaces

315

100

Family Child Care Home Supply

Child Care Center Supply

Current Child Care Supply

Distribution

EXISTING SURPLUS(SHORTAGE)

Distribution

Percentage of Demand Met

by Existing FacilitiesSpaces

Shortage of Family Child Care Home Spaces

Shortage of Center-Based Spaces

(5)

(6)

(6)

1

4

5

5 6

- 91

5 97

5 95

(28) (185)

13 87

15 34

(28) (12)

0 (173)

11

91

102

100

(213)

100

32

(40)

(173)

FINAL

Table A-10

Existing Child Care Demand and Supply in 2015 in Hillsborough

San Mateo County Child Care Study - 2016

Note All footnote references can be found in Table C-1 at the end of this file Sources 2010 US Census ABAG Projections 2013 2014 American Community Survey ACS Journey-to-Work data 2006-2008 and 2006-2010

Child Care Coordinating Council of San Mateo County (4Cs) Community Care Licensing Brion Economics Inc

Prepared by Brion Economics Inc 2513-SMC NA Final Tables 61216 6122016

MENLO PARK

Child Care as of 2015

No of

Providers

Under 2 Years

Old

2 to 4 Year

Olds

Total 0 to 4

Years

EXISTING DEMAND Child Care Demand

Estimated Total Children

Average LFPRAdjustment Factor

Children With Working Parents

Licensed Care Demand Factor

Resident Children Needing Licensed Care

of Total Resident Children Needing Licensed Care

Children from Non-Resident Employees Needing

Licensed Care

(1)

(2)

(3)

1170 1723

69

802 1551

37

297 1458

25 85

220 332

2893

2353

75

1754

61

552

Total Demand for Child Care Spaces

Distribution

EXISTING SUPPLY (4)

516 1790

22 78

Child Care Spaces

2306

100

Family Child Care Home Supply

Child Care Center Supply

Current Child Care Supply

Distribution

EXISTING SURPLUS(SHORTAGE)

Distribution

Percentage of Demand Met

by Existing FacilitiesSpaces

Shortage of Family Child Care Home Spaces

Shortage of Center-Based Spaces

(5)

(6)

(6)

18

25

43

76 96

73 1331

149 1427

9 91

(367) (363)

50 50

29 80

(188) (24)

(180) (338)

172

1404

1576

100

(730)

100

68

(212)

(518)

FINAL

Table A-11

Existing Child Care Demand and Supply in 2015 in Menlo Park

San Mateo County Child Care Study - 2016

Note All footnote references can be found in Table C-1 at the end of this file Sources 2010 US Census ABAG Projections 2013 2014 American Community Survey ACS Journey-to-Work data 2006-2008 and 2006-2010

Child Care Coordinating Council of San Mateo County (4Cs) Community Care Licensing Brion Economics Inc

Prepared by Brion Economics Inc 2513-SMC NA Final Tables 61216 6122016

MILLBRAE

Child Care as of 2015

No of

Providers

Under 2 Years

Old

2 to 4 Year

Olds

Total 0 to 4

Years

EXISTING DEMAND Child Care Demand

Total Children

Average LFPRAdjustment Factor

Children With Working Parents

Licensed Care Demand Factor

Resident Children Needing Licensed Care

of Total Resident Children Needing Licensed Care

Children from Non-Resident Employees Needing

Licensed Care

(1)

(2)

(3)

421 717

62

260 632

37

96 598

23 83

28 42

1138

892

78

694

61

69

Total Demand for Child Care Spaces

Distribution

EXISTING SUPPLY (4)

124 640

16 84

Child Care Spaces

764

100

Family Child Care Home Supply

Child Care Center Supply

Current Child Care Supply

Distribution

EXISTING SURPLUS(SHORTAGE)

Distribution

Percentage of Demand Met

by Existing FacilitiesSpaces

Shortage of Family Child Care Home Spaces

Shortage of Center-Based Spaces

(5)

(6)

(6)

17

7

24

62 78

- 376

62 454

12 88

(61) (186)

25 75

50 71

(61) (32)

0 (154)

141

376

517

100

(247)

100

68

(93)

(154)

FINAL

Table A-12

Existing Child Care Demand and Supply in 2015 in Millbrae

San Mateo Co unty Child Care Study - 2016

Note All footnote references can be found in Table C-1 at the end of this file

Sources 2010 US Census ABAG Projections 2013 2014 American Community Survey ACS Journey-to-Work data 2006-2008 and 2006-2010

Child Care Coordinating Council of San Mateo County (4Cs) Community Care Licensing Brion Economics Inc

Prepared by Brion Economics Inc 2513-SMC NA Final Tables 61216 6122016

PACIFICA

Child Care as of 2015

No of

Providers

Under 2 Years

Old

2 to 4 Year

Olds

Total 0 to 4

Years

EXISTING DEMAND Child Care Demand

Estimated Total Children

Average LFPRAdjustment Factor

Children With Working Parents

Licensed Care Demand Factor

Resident Children Needing Licensed Care

of Total Resident Children Needing Licensed Care

Children from Non-Resident Employees Needing

Licensed Care

(1)

(2)

(3)

787 1253

78

610 1165

37

226 1089

29 87

18 27

2040

1776

74

1315

64

45

Total Demand for Child Care Spaces

Distribution

EXISTING SUPPLY (4)

244 1117

18 83

Child Care Spaces

1360

100

Family Child Care Home Supply

Child Care Center Supply

Current Child Care Supply

Distribution

EXISTING SURPLUS(SHORTAGE)

Distribution

Percentage of Demand Met

by Existing FacilitiesSpaces

Shortage of Family Child Care Home Spaces

Shortage of Center-Based Spaces

(5)

(6)

(6)

21

18

39

77 97

39 701

116 798

13 87

(128) (319)

29 71

48 71

(85) (39)

(43) (280)

174

740

914

100

(447)

100

67

(124)

(323)

FINAL

Table A-13

Existing Child Care Demand and Supply in 2015 in Pacifica

San Mateo County Child Care Study - 2016

Note All footnote references can be found in Table C-1 at the end of this file Sources 2010 US Census ABAG Projections 2013 2014 American Community Survey ACS Journey-to-Work data 2006-2008 and 2006-2010

Child Care Coordinating Council of San Mateo County (4Cs) Community Care Licensing Brion Economics Inc

Prepared by Brion Economics Inc 2513-SMC NA Final Tables 61216 6122016

PORTOLA VALLEY

No of

Providers

Child Care as of 2015

Under 2 Years

Old

2 to 4 Year

Olds

Total 0 to 4

Years

EXISTING DEMAND Child Care Demand

Estimated Total Children

Average LFPRAdjustment Factor

Children With Working Parents

Licensed Care Demand Factor

Resident Children Needing Licensed Care

of Total Resident Children Needing Licensed Care

Children from Non-Resident Employees Needing

Licensed Care

(1)

(2)

(3)

75 187

66

49 168

37

18 159

24 85

8 12

261

217

82

177

68

21

Total Demand for Child Care Spaces

Distribution

EXISTING SUPPLY (4)

26 171

13 87

Child Care Spaces

198

100

Family Child Care Home Supply

Child Care Center Supply

Current Child Care Supply

Distribution

EXISTING SURPLUS(SHORTAGE)

Distribution

Percentage of Demand Met

by Existing FacilitiesSpaces

Shortage of Family Child Care Home Spaces

Shortage of Center-Based Spaces

(5)

(6)

(6)

0

4

4

0 0

0 153

0 153

0 100

(26) (18)

59 41

0 89

0 0

(26) (18)

0

153

153

100

(45)

100

77

0

(45)

FINAL

Table A-14

Existing Child Care Demand and Supply in 2015 in Portola Valley

San Mateo County Child Care Study - 2016

Note All footnote references can be found in Table C-1 at the end of this file Sources 2010 US Census ABAG Projections 2013 2014 American Community Survey ACS Journey-to-Work data 2006-2008 and 2006-2010

Child Care Coordinating Council of San Mateo County (4Cs) Community Care Licensing Brion Economics Inc

Prepared by Brion Economics Inc 2513-SMC NA Final Tables 61216 6122016

REDWOOD CITY

Child Care as of 2015

No of

Providers

Under 2 Years

Old

2 to 4 Year

Olds

Total 0 to 4

Years

EXISTING DEMAND Child Care Demand

Estimated Total Children

Average LFPRAdjustment Factor

Children With Working Parents

Licensed Care Demand Factor

Resident Children Needing Licensed Care

of Total Resident Children Needing Licensed Care

Children from Non-Resident Employees Needing

Licensed Care

Total Demand for Child Care Spaces

Distribution

EXISTING SUPPLY

(1)

(2)

(3)

(4)

3260 4706

69

2236 4212

37

827 3942

25 84

414 625

1241 4567

21 79

Child Care Spaces

7966

6449

74

4770

60

1038

5808

100

Family Child Care Home Supply

Child Care Center Supply

Current Child Care Supply

Distribution

EXISTING SURPLUS(SHORTAGE)

Distribution

Percentage of Demand Met

by Existing FacilitiesSpaces

Shortage of Family Child Care Home Spaces

Shortage of Center-Based Spaces

(5)

(6)

(6)

111

45

156

396 497

356 2036

752 2533

23 77

(490) (2034)

19 81

61 55

(258) (399)

(232) (1635)

893

2392

3285

100

(2524)

100

57

(657)

(1867)

FINAL

Table A-15

Existing Child Care Demand and Supply in 2015 in Redwood City

San Mateo County Child Care Study - 2016

Note All footnote references can be found in Table C-1 at the end of this file Sources 2010 US Census ABAG Projections 2013 2014 American Community Survey ACS Journey-to-Work data 2006-2008 and 2006-2010

Child Care Coordinating Council of San Mateo County (4Cs) Community Care Licensing Brion Economics Inc

Prepared by Brion Economics Inc 2513-SMC NA Final Tables 61216 6122016

SAN BRUNO

Child Care as of 2015

No of

Providers

Under 2 Years

Old

2 to 4 Year

Olds

Total 0 to 4

Years

EXISTING DEMAND Child Care Demand

Estimated Total Children

Average LFPRAdjustment Factor

Children With Working Parents

Licensed Care Demand Factor

Resident Children Needing Licensed Care

of Total Resident Children Needing Licensed Care

Children from Non-Resident Employees Needing

Licensed Care

(1)

(2)

(3)

1069 1553

77

817 1428

37

302 1326

28 85

61 92

2622

2245

73

1628

62

153

Total Demand for Child Care Spaces

Distribution

EXISTING SUPPLY (4)

364 1418

20 80

Child Care Spaces

1782

100

Family Child Care Home Supply

Child Care Center Supply

Current Child Care Supply

Distribution

EXISTING SURPLUS(SHORTAGE)

Distribution

Percentage of Demand Met

by Existing FacilitiesSpaces

Shortage of Family Child Care Home Spaces

Shortage of Center-Based Spaces

(5)

(6)

(6)

34

15

49

122 153

26 1183

148 1336

10 90

(216) (82)

72 28

41 94

(178) (9)

(38) (73)

275

1209

1484

100

(298)

100

83

(187)

(110)

FINAL

Table A-16

Existing Child Care Demand and Supply in 2015 in San Bruno

San Mateo County Child Care Study - 2016

Note All footnote references can be found in Table C-1 at the end of this file Sources 2010 US Census ABAG Projections 2013 2014 American Community Survey ACS Journey-to-Work data 2006-2008 and 2006-2010

Child Care Coordinating Council of San Mateo County (4Cs) Community Care Licensing Brion Economics Inc

Prepared by Brion Economics Inc 2513-SMC NA Final Tables 61216 6122016

SAN CARLOS

Child Care as of 2015

No of

Providers

Under 2 Years

Old

2 to 4 Year

Olds

Total 0 to 4

Years

EXISTING DEMAND Child Care Demand

Estimated Total Children

Average LFPRAdjustment Factor

Children With Working Parents

Licensed Care Demand Factor

Resident Children Needing Licensed Care

of Total Resident Children Needing Licensed Care

Children from Non-Resident Employees Needing

Licensed Care

(1)

(2)

(3)

735 1308

72

526 1186

37

195 1109

26 85

75 114

2043

1712

76

1304

64

189

Total Demand for Child Care Spaces

Distribution

EXISTING SUPPLY (4)

270 1222

18 82

Child Care Spaces

1492

100

Family Child Care Home Supply

Child Care Center Supply

Current Child Care Supply

Distribution

EXISTING SURPLUS(SHORTAGE)

Distribution

Percentage of Demand Met

by Existing FacilitiesSpaces

Shortage of Family Child Care Home Spaces

Shortage of Center-Based Spaces

(5)

(6)

(6)

20

14

34

73 92

76 615

149 707

17 83

(121) (516)

19 81

55 58

(59) (67)

(62) (449)

164

691

855

100

(637)

100

57

(126)

(511)

FINAL

Table A-17

Existing Child Care Demand and Supply in 2015 in San Carlos

San Mateo County Child Care Study - 2016

Note All footnote references can be found in Table C-1 at the end of this file

Sources 2010 US Census ABAG Projections 2013 2014 American Community Survey ACS Journey-to-Work data 2006-2008 and 2006-2010

Child Care Coordinating Council of San Mateo County (4Cs) Community Care Licensing Brion Economics Inc

Prepared by Brion Economics Inc 2513-SMC NA Final Tables 61216 6122016

SAN MATEO

Child Care as of 2015

No of

Providers

Under 2 Years

Old

2 to 4 Year

Olds

Total 0 to 4

Years

EXISTING DEMAND Child Care Demand

Estimated Total Children

Average LFPRAdjustment Factor

Children With Working Parents

Licensed Care Demand Factor

Resident Children Needing Licensed Care

of Total Resident Children Needing Licensed Care

Children from Non-Resident Employees Needing

Licensed Care

(1)

(2)

(3)

2943 4213

71

2087 3793

37

772 3537

26 84

231 348

7156

5880

73

4309

60

579

Total Demand for Child Care Spaces

Distribution

EXISTING SUPPLY (4)

1003 3886

21 79

Child Care Spaces

4889

100

Family Child Care Home Supply

Child Care Center Supply

Current Child Care Supply

Distribution

EXISTING SURPLUS(SHORTAGE)

Distribution

Percentage of Demand Met

by Existing FacilitiesSpaces

Shortage of Family Child Care Home Spaces

Shortage of Center-Based Spaces

(5)

(6)

(6)

126

59

185

492 619

209 2577

701 3196

18 82

(302) (690)

30 70

70 82

(212) (134)

(90) (557)

1111

2786

3897

100

(992)

100

80

(345)

(647)

FINAL

Table A-18

Existing Child Care Demand and Supply in 2015 in San Mateo

San Mateo County Child Care Study - 2016

Note All footnote references can be found in Table C-1 at the end of this file

Sources 2010 US Census ABAG Projections 2013 2014 American Community Survey ACS Journey-to-Work data 2006-2008 and 2006-2010

Child Care Coordinating Council of San Mateo County (4Cs) Community Care Licensing Brion Economics Inc

Prepared by Brion Economics Inc 2513-SMC NA Final Tables 61216 6122016

SOUTH COAST

Child Care as of 2015

No of

Providers

Under 2 Years

Old

2 to 4 Year

Olds

Total 0 to 4

Years

EXISTING DEMAND Child Care Demand

Estimated Total Children

Average LFPRAdjustment Factor

Children With Working Parents

Licensed Care Demand Factor

Resident Children Needing Licensed Care

of Total Resident Children Needing Licensed Care

Children from Non-Resident Employees Needing

Licensed Care

(1)

(2)

(3)

21 29

54

11 25

37

4 23

20 81

0 0

50

36

77

28

56

0

Total Demand for Child Care Spaces

Distribution

EXISTING SUPPLY (4)

4 23

15 85

Child Care Spaces

28

100

Family Child Care Home Supply

Child Care Center Supply

Current Child Care Supply

Distribution

EXISTING SURPLUS(SHORTAGE)

Distribution

Percentage of Demand Met

by Existing FacilitiesSpaces

Shortage of Family Child Care Home Spaces

Shortage of Center-Based Spaces

(5)

(6)

(6)

-

2

2

- -

- 54

- 54

0 100

(4) 31

-16 116

0 230

(2) NA

(2) NA

0

54

54

100

26

100

195

(2)

(2)

FINAL

Table A-19

Existing Child Care Demand and Supply in 2015 in South Coast

San Mateo County Child Care Study - 2016

Note All footnote references can be found in Table C-1 at the end of this file

Sources 2010 US Census ABAG Projections 2013 2014 American Community Survey ACS Journey-to-Work data 2006-2008 and 2006-2010

Child Care Coordinating Council of San Mateo County (4Cs) Community Care Licensing Brion Economics Inc

Prepared by Brion Economics Inc 2513-SMC NA Final Tables 61216 6122016

SOUTH SAN FRANCISCO

Child Care as of 2015

No of

Providers

Under 2 Years

Old

2 to 4 Year

Olds

Total 0 to 4

Years

EXISTING DEMAND Child Care Demand

Estimated Total Children

Average LFPRAdjustment Factor

Children With Working Parents

Licensed Care Demand Factor

Resident Children Needing Licensed Care

of Total Resident Children Needing Licensed Care

Children from Non-Resident Employees Needing

Licensed Care

(1)

(2)

(3)

1649 2507

73

1206 2278

37

446 2123

27 85

309 466

4156

3484

74

2569

62

774

Total Demand for Child Care Spaces

Distribution

EXISTING SUPPLY (4)

755 2588

23 77

Child Care Spaces

3343

100

Family Child Care Home Supply

Child Care Center Supply

Current Child Care Supply

Distribution

EXISTING SURPLUS(SHORTAGE)

Distribution

Percentage of Demand Met

by Existing FacilitiesSpaces

Shortage of Family Child Care Home Spaces

Shortage of Center-Based Spaces

(5)

(6)

(6)

68

27

95

252 317

400 1966

652 2283

22 78

(103) (306)

25 75

86 88

(40) (42)

(63) (263)

569

2366

2935

100

(408)

100

88

(82)

(326)

FINAL

Table A-20

Existing Child Care Demand and Supply in 2015 in South San Francisco

San Mateo County Child Care Study - 2016

Note All footnote references can be found in Table C-1 at the end of this file Sources 2010 US Census ABAG Projections 2013 2014 American Community Survey ACS Journey-to-Work data 2006-2008 and 2006-2010

Child Care Coordinating Council of San Mateo County (4Cs) Community Care Licensing Brion Economics Inc

Prepared by Brion Economics Inc 2513-SMC NA Final Tables 61216 6122016

WOODSIDE

No of

Providers

Child Care as of 2015

Under 2 Years

Old

2 to 4 Year

Olds

Total 0 to 4

Years

EXISTING DEMAND Child Care Demand

Estimated Total Children

Average LFPRAdjustment Factor

Children With Working Parents

Licensed Care Demand Factor

Resident Children Needing Licensed Care

of Total Resident Children Needing Licensed Care

Children from Non-Resident Employees Needing

Licensed Care

(1)

(2)

(3)

90 160

56

50 136

37

18 128

21 80

8 13

250

186

79

147

59

21

Total Demand for Child Care Spaces

Distribution

EXISTING SUPPLY (4)

27 141

16 84

Child Care Spaces

168

100

Family Child Care Home Supply

Child Care Center Supply

Current Child Care Supply

Distribution

EXISTING SURPLUS(SHORTAGE)

Distribution

Percentage of Demand Met

by Existing FacilitiesSpaces

Shortage of Family Child Care Home Spaces

Shortage of Center-Based Spaces

(5)

(6)

(6)

1

2

3

4 5

0 103

4 108

4 96

(23) (33)

41 59

16 77

(23) (2)

0 (31)

9

103

112

100

(55)

100

67

(24)

(31)

FINAL

Table A-21

Existing Child Care Demand and Supply in 2015 in Woodside

San Mateo County Child Care Study - 2016

Note All footnote references can be found in Table C-1 at the end of this file Sources 2010 US Census ABAG Projections 2013 2014 American Community Survey ACS Journey-to-Work data 2006-2008 and 2006-2010

Child Care Coordinating Council of San Mateo County (4Cs) Community Care Licensing Brion Economics Inc

Prepared by Brion Economics Inc 2513-SMC NA Final Tables 61216 6122016

COUNTYWIDE

Child Care as of 2025

No of

Providers

Under 2 Years

Old

2 to 4 Year

Olds

Total 0 to 4

Years

EXISTING DEMAND Child Care Demand

Estimated Total Children

Average LFPRAdjustment Factor

Children With Working Parents

Licensed Care Demand Factor

Resident Children Needing Licensed Care

of Total Resident Children Needing Licensed Care

Children from Non-Resident Employees Needing

Licensed Care

Total Demand for Child Care Spaces

Distribution

EXISTING SUPPLY

(1)

(2)

(3)

(4)

20790 31340

71

14704 28273

37

5441 26432

26 84

2037 3074

7478 29506

20 80

Child Care Spaces

52130

42978

86

31873

61

5112

36984

100

Family Child Care Home Supply

Child Care Center Supply

Current Child Care Supply

Distribution

EXISTING SURPLUS(SHORTAGE)

Distribution

Percentage of Demand Met

by Existing FacilitiesSpaces

Shortage of Family Child Care Home Spaces

Shortage of Center-Based Spaces

(5)

(6)

(6)

621

309

930

2301 2893

1514 16296

3815 19189

17 83

(3663) (10318)

26 74

51 65

(2209) (1555)

(1454) (8762)

5193

17810

23003

100

(13981)

100

62

(3765)

(10216)

FINAL

Table B-1

Future C hild Care Demand and Supply in 2025 Countywide

San Mateo County Child Care Study - 2016

Note All footnote references can be found in Table C-1 at the end of this file

Sources 2010 US Census ABAG Projections 2013 2014 American Community Survey ACS Journey-to-Work data 2006-2008 and 2006-2010

Child Care Coordinating Council of San Mateo County (4Cs) Community Care Licensing Brion Economics Inc

Prepared by Brion Economics Inc 2513-SMC NA Final Tables 61216 6122016

ATHERTON

No of

Providers

Child Care as of 2025

Under 2 Years

Old

2 to 4 Year

Olds

Total 0 to 4

Years

EXISTING DEMAND Child Care Demand

Estimated Total Children

Average LFPRAdjustment Factor

Children With Working Parents

Licensed Care Demand Factor

Resident Children Needing Licensed Care

of Total Resident Children Needing Licensed Care

Children from Non-Resident Employees Needing

Licensed Care

(1)

(2)

(3)

109 193

40

43 159

37

16 154

15 80

13 19

302

202

84

170

56

32

Total Demand for Child Care Spaces

Distribution

EXISTING SUPPLY (4)

29 173

14 86

Child Care Spaces

201

100

Family Child Care Home Supply

Child Care Center Supply

Current Child Care Supply

Distribution

EXISTING SURPLUS(SHORTAGE)

Distribution

Percentage of Demand Met

by Existing FacilitiesSpaces

Shortage of Family Child Care Home Spaces

Shortage of Center-Based Spaces

(5)

(6)

(6)

1

6

7

5 6

24 267

29 273

10 90

0 101

0 100

101 158

NA NA

NA NA

11

291

302

100

101

100

150

NA

NA

FINAL

Table B-2

Future Child Care Demand and Supply in 2025 in Atherton

San Mateo Co unty Child Care Study - 2016

Note All footnote references can be found in Table C-1 at the end of this file Sources 2010 US Census ABAG Projections 2013 2014 American Community Survey ACS Journey-to-Work data 2006-2008 and 2006-2010

Child Care Coordinating Council of San Mateo County (4Cs) Community Care Licensing Brion Economics Inc

Prepared by Brion Economics Inc 2513-SMC NA Final Tables 61216 6122016

BELMONT

Child Care as of 2025

No of

Providers

Under 2 Years

Old

2 to 4 Year

Olds

Total 0 to 4

Years

EXISTING DEMAND Child Care Demand

Estimated Total Children

Average LFPRAdjustment Factor

Children With Working Parents

Licensed Care Demand Factor

Resident Children Needing Licensed Care

of Total Resident Children Needing Licensed Care

Children from Non-Resident Employees Needing

Licensed Care

(1)

(2)

(3)

743 1095

77

574 1013

37

213 943

29 86

37 56

1838

1587

73

1156

63

93

Total Demand for Child Care Spaces

Distribution

EXISTING SUPPLY (4)

250 999

20 80

Child Care Spaces

1249

100

Family Child Care Home Supply

Child Care Center Supply

Current Child Care Supply

Distribution

EXISTING SURPLUS(SHORTAGE)

Distribution

Percentage of Demand Met

by Existing FacilitiesSpaces

Shortage of Family Child Care Home Spaces

Shortage of Center-Based Spaces

(5)

(6)

(6)

8

9

17

67 84

39 531

106 615

15 85

(143) (384)

27 73

43 62

(91) (53)

(53) (331)

152

570

722

100

(527)

100

58

(143)

(384)

FINAL

Table B-3

Future Child Care Demand and Supply in 2025 in Belmont

San Mateo County Child Care Study - 2016

Note All footnote references can be found in Table C-1 at the end of this file

Sources 2010 US Census ABAG Projections 2013 2014 American Community Survey ACS Journey-to-Work data 2006-2008 and 2006-2010

Child Care Coordinating Council of San Mateo County (4Cs) Community Care Licensing Brion Economics Inc

Prepared by Brion Economics Inc 2513-SMC NA Final Tables 61216 6122016

BRISBANE

Child Care as of 2025

No of

Providers

Under 2 Years

Old

2 to 4 Year

Olds

Total 0 to 4

Years

EXISTING DEMAND Child Care Demand

Estimated Total Children

Average LFPRAdjustment Factor

Children With Working Parents

Licensed Care Demand Factor

Resident Children Needing Licensed Care

of Total Resident Children Needing Licensed Care

Children from Non-Resident Employees Needing

Licensed Care

(1)

(2)

(3)

131 174

100

131 174

37

48 160

37 92

55 83

305

305

68

209

68

138

Total Demand for Child Care Spaces

Distribution

EXISTING SUPPLY (4)

103 243

30 70

Child Care Spaces

346

100

Family Child Care Home Supply

Child Care Center Supply

Current Child Care Supply

Distribution

EXISTING SURPLUS(SHORTAGE)

Distribution

Percentage of Demand Met

by Existing FacilitiesSpaces

Shortage of Family Child Care Home Spaces

Shortage of Center-Based Spaces

(5)

(6)

(6)

1

1

2

4 5

0 64

4 69

6 94

(99) (174)

36 64

4 29

(99) (13)

0 (160)

9

64

73

100

(273)

100

21

(112)

(160)

FINAL

Table B-4

Future Child Care Demand and Supply in 2025 in Brisbane

San Mateo County Child Care Study - 2016

Note All footnote references can be found in Table C-1 at the end of this file Sources 2010 US Census ABAG Projections 2013 2014 American Community Survey ACS Journey-to-Work data 2006-2008 and 2006-2010

Child Care Coordinating Council of San Mateo County (4Cs) Community Care Licensing Brion Economics Inc

Prepared by Brion Economics Inc 2513-SMC NA Final Tables 61216 6122016

BURLINGAME

Child Care as of 2025

No of

Providers

Under 2 Years

Old

2 to 4 Year

Olds

Total 0 to 4

Years

EXISTING DEMAND Child Care Demand

Estimated Total Children

Average LFPRAdjustment Factor

Children With Working Parents

Licensed Care Demand Factor

Resident Children Needing Licensed Care

of Total Resident Children Needing Licensed Care

Children from Non-Resident Employees Needing

Licensed Care

(1)

(2)

(3)

903 1332

65

587 1190

37

217 1124

24 84

154 232

2235

1777

75

1341

60

385

Total Demand for Child Care Spaces

Distribution

EXISTING SUPPLY (4)

371 1356

21 79

Child Care Spaces

1726

100

Family Child Care Home Supply

Child Care Center Supply

Current Child Care Supply

Distribution

EXISTING SURPLUS(SHORTAGE)

Distribution

Percentage of Demand Met

by Existing FacilitiesSpaces

Shortage of Family Child Care Home Spaces

Shortage of Center-Based Spaces

(5)

(6)

(6)

10

14

24

79 99

40 866

119 965

11 89

(252) (390)

39 61

32 71

(167) (40)

(85) (350)

179

906

1085

100

(642)

100

63

(207)

(434)

FINAL

Table B-5

Future Child Care Demand and Supply in 2025 in Burlingame

San Mateo County Child Care Study - 2016

Note All footnote references can be found in Table C-1 at the end of this file

Sources 2010 US Census ABAG Projections 2013 2014 American Community Survey ACS Journey-to-Work data 2006-2008 and 2006-2010

Child Care Coordinating Council of San Mateo County (4Cs) Community Care Licensing Brion Economics Inc

Prepared by Brion Economics Inc 2513-SMC NA Final Tables 61216 6122016

DALY CITYCOLMA

Child Care as of 2025

No of

Providers

Under 2 Years

Old

2 to 4 Year

Olds

Total 0 to 4

Years

EXISTING DEMAND Child Care Demand

Estimated Total Children

Average LFPRAdjustment Factor

Children With Working Parents

Licensed Care Demand Factor

Resident Children Needing Licensed Care

of Total Resident Children Needing Licensed Care

Children from Non-Resident Employees Needing

Licensed Care

(1)

(2)

(3)

2647 3793

74

1964 3467

37

727 3233

27 85

138 208

6440

5432

73

3960

61

346

Total Demand for Child Care Spaces

Distribution

EXISTING SUPPLY (4)

865 3441

20 80

Child Care Spaces

4306

100

Family Child Care Home Supply

Child Care Center Supply

Current Child Care Supply

Distribution

EXISTING SURPLUS(SHORTAGE)

Distribution

Percentage of Demand Met

by Existing FacilitiesSpaces

Shortage of Family Child Care Home Spaces

Shortage of Center-Based Spaces

(5)

(6)

(6)

25

28

28

288 362

84 1264

372 1626

19 81

(493) (1816)

21 79

43 47

(381) (404)

(111) (1412)

649

1348

1997

100

(2308)

100

46

(785)

(1523)

FINAL

Table B-6

Future C hild Care Demand and Supply in 2025 in Daly CityColma

San Mateo County Child Care Study - 2016

Note All footnote references can be found in Table C-1 at the end of this file

Sources 2010 US Census ABAG Projections 2013 2014 American Community Survey ACS Journey-to-Work data 2006-2008 and 2006-2010

Child Care Coordinating Council of San Mateo County (4Cs) Community Care Licensing Brion Economics Inc

Prepared by Brion Economics Inc 2513-SMC NA Final Tables 61216 6122016

EAST PALO ALTO

Child Care as of 2025

No of

Providers

Under 2 Years

Old

2 to 4 Year

Olds

Total 0 to 4

Years

EXISTING DEMAND Child Care Demand

Estimated Total Children

Average LFPRAdjustment Factor

Children With Working Parents

Licensed Care Demand Factor

Resident Children Needing Licensed Care

of Total Resident Children Needing Licensed Care

Children from Non-Resident Employees Needing

Licensed Care

(1)

(2)

(3)

1161 1849

71

822 1660

37

304 1545

26 84

20 30

3010

2482

75

1849

61

50

Total Demand for Child Care Spaces

Distribution

EXISTING SUPPLY (4)

324 1575

17 83

Child Care Spaces

1900

100

Family Child Care Home Supply

Child Care Center Supply

Current Child Care Supply

Distribution

EXISTING SURPLUS(SHORTAGE)

Distribution

Percentage of Demand Met

by Existing FacilitiesSpaces

Shortage of Family Child Care Home Spaces

Shortage of Center-Based Spaces

(5)

(6)

(6)

13

6

19

85 106

25 633

110 739

13 87

(215) (836)

20 80

34 47

(166) (120)

(49) (715)

191

658

849

100

(1050)

100

45

(286)

(764)

FINAL

Table B-7

Future Child Care Demand and Supply in 2025 in East Palo Alto

San Mateo County Child Care Study - 2016

Note All footnote references can be found in Table C-1 at the end of this file

Sources 2010 US Census ABAG Projections 2013 2014 American Community Survey ACS Journey-to-Work data 2006-2008 and 2006-2010

Child Care Coordinating Council of San Mateo County (4Cs) Community Care Licensing Brion Economics Inc

Prepared by Brion Economics Inc 2513-SMC NA Final Tables 61216 6122016

FOSTER CITY

Child Care as of 2025

No of

Providers

Under 2 Years

Old

2 to 4 Year

Olds

Total 0 to 4

Years

EXISTING DEMAND Child Care Demand

Estimated Total Children

Average LFPRAdjustment Factor

Children With Working Parents

Licensed Care Demand Factor

Resident Children Needing Licensed Care

of Total Resident Children Needing Licensed Care

Children from Non-Resident Employees Needing

Licensed Care

(1)

(2)

(3)

871 1330

63

550 1154

37

204 1079

23 81

80 120

2201

1705

75

1282

58

200

Total Demand for Child Care Spaces

Distribution

EXISTING SUPPLY (4)

283 1199

19 81

Child Care Spaces

1483

100

Family Child Care Home Supply

Child Care Center Supply

Current Child Care Supply

Distribution

EXISTING SURPLUS(SHORTAGE)

Distribution

Percentage of Demand Met

by Existing FacilitiesSpaces

Shortage of Family Child Care Home Spaces

Shortage of Center-Based Spaces

(5)

(6)

(6)

19

12

31

118 149

88 1200

206 1349

13 87

(77) 150

-106 206

73 112

(44) NA

(33) NA

267

1288

1555

100

73

100

105

(44)

(33)

FINAL

Table B-8

Future Child Care Demand and Supply in 2025 in Foster City

San Mateo County Child Care Study - 2016

Note All footnote references can be found in Table C-1 at the end of this file

Sources 2010 US Census ABAG Projections 2013 2014 American Community Survey ACS Journey-to-Work data 2006-2008 and 2006-2010

Child Care Coordinating Council of San Mateo County (4Cs) Community Care Licensing Brion Economics Inc

Prepared by Brion Economics Inc 2513-SMC NA Final Tables 61216 6122016

HALF MOON BAY REGION

Child Care as of 2025

No of

Providers

Under 2 Years

Old

2 to 4 Year

Olds

Total 0 to 4

Years

EXISTING DEMAND Child Care Demand

Estimated Total Children

Average LFPRAdjustment Factor

Children With Working Parents

Licensed Care Demand Factor

Resident Children Needing Licensed Care

of Total Resident Children Needing Licensed Care

Children from Non-Resident Employees Needing

Licensed Care

(1)

(2)

(3)

553 929

69

383 835

37

142 781

26 84

14 21

1482

1217

76

923

62

34

Total Demand for Child Care Spaces

Distribution

EXISTING SUPPLY (4)

155 802

16 84

Child Care Spaces

957

100

Family Child Care Home Supply

Child Care Center Supply

Current Child Care Supply

Distribution

EXISTING SURPLUS(SHORTAGE)

Distribution

Percentage of Demand Met

by Existing FacilitiesSpaces

Shortage of Family Child Care Home Spaces

Shortage of Center-Based Spaces

(5)

(6)

(6)

10

11

21

96 121

35 285

131 406

24 76

(24) (396)

6 94

84 51

(18) (118)

(6) (279)

216

320

536

100

(421)

100

56

(136)

(285)

FINAL

Table B-9

Future Child Care Demand and Supply in 2025 in Half Moon Bay Region

San Mateo County Child Care Study - 2016

Note All footnote references can be found in Table C-1 at the end of this file

Sources 2010 US Census ABAG Projections 2013 2014 American Community Survey ACS Journey-to-Work data 2006-2008 and 2006-2010

Child Care Coordinating Council of San Mateo County (4Cs) Community Care Licensing Brion Economics Inc

Prepared by Brion Economics Inc 2513-SMC NA Final Tables 61216 6122016

HILLSBOROUGH

Child Care as of 2025

No of

Providers

Under 2 Years

Old

2 to 4 Year

Olds

Total 0 to 4

Years

EXISTING DEMAND Child Care Demand

Estimated Total Children

Average LFPRAdjustment Factor

Children With Working Parents

Licensed Care Demand Factor

Resident Children Needing Licensed Care

of Total Resident Children Needing Licensed Care

Children from Non-Resident Employees Needing

Licensed Care

(1)

(2)

(3)

143 343

52

74 295

37

27 282

19 82

7 11

487

369

84

309

64

17

Total Demand for Child Care Spaces

Distribution

EXISTING SUPPLY (4)

34 292

10 90

Child Care Spaces

327

100

Family Child Care Home Supply

Child Care Center Supply

Current Child Care Supply

Distribution

EXISTING SURPLUS(SHORTAGE)

Distribution

Percentage of Demand Met

by Existing FacilitiesSpaces

Shortage of Family Child Care Home Spaces

Shortage of Center-Based Spaces

(5)

(6)

(6)

1

4

5

5 6

- 91

5 97

5 95

(29) (195)

13 87

14 33

(29) (12)

0 (183)

11

91

102

100

(225)

100

31

(42)

(183)

FINAL

Table B-10

Future Child Care Demand and Supply in 2025 in Hillsborough

San Mateo County Child Care Study - 2016

Note All footnote references can be found in Table C-1 at the end of this file

Sources 2010 US Census ABAG Projections 2013 2014 American Community Survey ACS Journey-to-Work data 2006-2008 and 2006-2010

Child Care Coordinating Council of San Mateo County (4Cs) Community Care Licensing Brion Economics Inc

Prepared by Brion Economics Inc 2513-SMC NA Final Tables 61216 6122016

MENLO PARK

Child Care as of 2025

No of

Providers

Under 2 Years

Old

2 to 4 Year

Olds

Total 0 to 4

Years

EXISTING DEMAND Child Care Demand

Estimated Total Children

Average LFPRAdjustment Factor

Children With Working Parents

Licensed Care Demand Factor

Resident Children Needing Licensed Care

of Total Resident Children Needing Licensed Care

Children from Non-Resident Employees Needing

Licensed Care

(1)

(2)

(3)

1327 1954

69

909 1759

37

336 1653

25 85

237 357

3281

2668

75

1989

61

594

Total Demand for Child Care Spaces

Distribution

EXISTING SUPPLY (4)

573 2011

22 78

Child Care Spaces

2584

100

Family Child Care Home Supply

Child Care Center Supply

Current Child Care Supply

Distribution

EXISTING SURPLUS(SHORTAGE)

Distribution

Percentage of Demand Met

by Existing FacilitiesSpaces

Shortage of Family Child Care Home Spaces

Shortage of Center-Based Spaces

(5)

(6)

(6)

15

25

40

76 96

73 1331

149 1427

9 91

(424) (584)

42 58

26 71

(217) (39)

(207) (544)

172

1404

1576

100

(1008)

100

61

(256)

(752)

FINAL

Table B-11

Future Child Care Demand and Supply in 2025 in Menlo Park

San Mateo County Child Care Study - 2016

Note All footnote references can be found in Table C-1 at the end of this file

Sources 2010 US Census ABAG Projections 2013 2014 American Community Survey ACS Journey-to-Work data 2006-2008 and 2006-2010

Child Care Coordinating Council of San Mateo County (4Cs) Community Care Licensing Brion Economics Inc

Prepared by Brion Economics Inc 2513-SMC NA Final Tables 61216 6122016

MILLBRAE

Child Care as of 2025

No of

Providers

Under 2 Years

Old

2 to 4 Year

Olds

Total 0 to 4

Years

EXISTING DEMAND Child Care Demand

Estimated Total Children

Average LFPRAdjustment Factor

Children With Working Parents

Licensed Care Demand Factor

Resident Children Needing Licensed Care

of Total Resident Children Needing Licensed Care

Children from Non-Resident Employees Needing

Licensed Care

(1)

(2)

(3)

473 805

62

291 710

37

108 672

23 83

31 47

1278

1001

78

780

61

77

Total Demand for Child Care Spaces

Distribution

EXISTING SUPPLY (4)

139 718

16 84

Child Care Spaces

857

100

Family Child Care Home Supply

Child Care Center Supply

Current Child Care Supply

Distribution

EXISTING SURPLUS(SHORTAGE)

Distribution

Percentage of Demand Met

by Existing FacilitiesSpaces

Shortage of Family Child Care Home Spaces

Shortage of Center-Based Spaces

(5)

(6)

(6)

7

7

14

62 78

- 376

62 454

12 88

(76) (264)

22 78

45 63

(76) (46)

0 (219)

141

376

517

100

(340)

100

60

(122)

(219)

FINAL

Table B-12

Future C hild Care Demand and Supply in 2025 in Millbrae

San Mateo County Child Care Study - 2016

Note All footnote references can be found in Table C-1 at the end of this file

Sources 2010 US Census ABAG Projections 2013 2014 American Community Survey ACS Journey-to-Work data 2006-2008 and 2006-2010

Child Care Coordinating Council of San Mateo County (4Cs) Community Care Licensing Brion Economics Inc

Prepared by Brion Economics Inc 2513-SMC NA Final Tables 61216 6122016

FINAL

Table B-13

Future Child Care Demand and Supply in 2025 in Pacifica

San Mateo County Child Care Study - 2016

PACIFICA

Child Care as of 2025

No of

Providers

Under 2 Years

Old

2 to 4 Year

Olds

Total 0 to 4

Years

EXISTING DEMAND Child Care Demand

Estimated Total Children

Average L FPRAdjustment Factor

Children With Working Parents

Licensed Care Demand Factor

Resident Children Needing Licensed Care

of Total Resident Children Needing Licensed Care

Children from Non-Resident Employees Needing

Licensed Care

(1)

(2)

(3)

816 1300

78

633 1209

37

234 1130

29 87

19 29

2116

1842

74

1364

64

48

Total Demand for Child Care Spaces

Distribution

EXISTING SUPPLY (4)

254 1159

18 82

Child Care Spaces

1413

100

Family Child Care Home Supply

Child Care Center Supply

Current Child Care Supply

Distribution

EXISTING SURPLUS(SHORTAGE)

Distribution

Percentage of Demand Met

by Existing FacilitiesSpaces

Shortage of Family Child Care Home Spaces

Shortage of Center-Based Spaces

(5)

(6)

(6)

9

18

27

77 97

39 701

116 798

13 87

(138) (361)

28 72

46 69

(91) (44)

(46) (317)

174

740

914

100

(499)

100

65

(135)

(364)

Note All footnote references can be found in Table C-1 at the end of this file

Sources 2010 US Census ABAG Projections 2013 2014 American Community Survey ACS Journey-to-Work data 2006-2008 and 2006-2010

Child Care Coordinating Council of San Mateo County (4Cs) Community Care Licensing Brion Economics Inc

Prepared by Brion Economics Inc 2513-SMC NA Final Tables 61216 6122016

PORTOLA VALLEY

Child Care as of 2025

No of

Providers

Under 2 Years

Old

2 to 4 Year

Olds

Total 0 to 4

Years

EXISTING DEMAND Child Care Demand

Estimated Total Children

Average LFPRAdjustment Factor

Children With Working Parents

Licensed Care Demand Factor

Resident Children Needing Licensed Care

of Total Resident Children Needing Licensed Care

Children from Non-Resident Employees Needing

Licensed Care

(1)

(2)

(3)

77 192

66

51 173

37

19 164

24 85

9 13

269

224

82

182

68

22

Total Demand for Child Care Spaces

Distribution

EXISTING SUPPLY (4)

28 177

13 87

Child Care Spaces

204

100

Family Child Care Home Supply

Child Care Center Supply

Current Child Care Supply

Distribution

EXISTING SURPLUS(SHORTAGE)

Distribution

Percentage of Demand Met

by Existing FacilitiesSpaces

Shortage of Family Child Care Home Spaces

Shortage of Center-Based Spaces

(5)

(6)

(6)

0

4

4

- -

- 153

- 153

0 100

(28) (24)

54 46

0 87

0 0

(28) (24)

0

153

153

100

(51)

100

75

0

(51)

FINAL

Table B-14

Future Child Care Demand and Supply in 2025 in Portola Valley

San Mateo County Child Care Study - 2016

Note All footnote references can be found in Table C-1 at the end of this file

Sources 2010 US Census ABAG Projections 2013 2014 American Community Survey ACS Journey-to-Work data 2006-2008 and 2006-2010

Child Care Coordinating Council of San Mateo County (4Cs) Community Care Licensing Brion Economics Inc

Prepared by Brion Economics Inc 2513-SMC NA Final Tables 61216 6122016

REDWOOD CITY

No of

Providers

Child Care as of 2025

Under 2 Years

Old

2 to 4 Year

Olds

Total 0 to 4

Years

EXISTING DEMAND Child Care Demand

Estimated Total Children

Average LFPRAdjustment Factor

Children With Working Parents

Licensed Care Demand Factor

Resident Children Needing Licensed Care

of Total Resident Children Needing Licensed Care

Children from Non-Resident Employees Needing

Licensed Care

Total Demand for Child Care Spaces

Distribution

EXISTING SUPPLY

(1)

(2)

(3)

(4)

3725 5378

69

2555 4813

37

946 4505

25 84

466 703

1411 5208

21 79

Child Care Spaces

9103

7368

74

5450

60

1169

6619

100

Family Child Care Home Supply

Child Care Center Supply

Current Child Care Supply

Distribution

EXISTING SURPLUS(SHORTAGE)

Distribution

Percentage of Demand Met

by Existing FacilitiesSpaces

Shortage of Family Child Care Home Spaces

Shortage of Center-Based Spaces

(5)

(6)

(6)

42

41

83

396 497

356 2036

752 2533

23 77

(660) (2674)

20 80

53 49

(347) (525)

(313) (2149)

893

2392

3285

100

(3334)

100

50

(872)

(2462)

FINAL

Table B-15

Future Child Care Demand and Supply in 2025 in Redwood City

San Mateo County Child Care Study - 2016

Note All footnote references can be found in Table C-1 at the end of this file

Sources 2010 US Census ABAG Projections 2013 2014 American Community Survey ACS Journey-to-Work data 2006-2008 and 2006-2010

Child Care Coordinating Council of San Mateo County (4Cs) Community Care Licensing Brion Economics Inc

Prepared by Brion Economics Inc 2513-SMC NA Final Tables 61216 6122016

SAN BRUNO

Child Care as of 2025

No of

Providers

Under 2 Years

Old

2 to 4 Year

Olds

Total 0 to 4

Years

EXISTING DEMAND Child Care Demand

Estimated Total Children

Average LFPRAdjustment Factor

Children With Working Parents

Licensed Care Demand Factor

Resident Children Needing Licensed Care

of Total Resident Children Needing Licensed Care

Children from Non-Resident Employees Needing

Licensed Care

(1)

(2)

(3)

1189 1728

77

910 1589

37

337 1475

28 85

68 103

2917

2498

73

1812

62

171

Total Demand for Child Care Spaces

Distribution

EXISTING SUPPLY (4)

405 1578

20 80

Child Care Spaces

1983

100

Family Child Care Home Supply

Child Care Center Supply

Current Child Care Supply

Distribution

EXISTING SURPLUS(SHORTAGE)

Distribution

Percentage of Demand Met

by Existing FacilitiesSpaces

Shortage of Family Child Care Home Spaces

Shortage of Center-Based Spaces

(5)

(6)

(6)

13

15

28

122 153

26 1183

148 1336

10 90

(257) (242)

52 48

37 85

(212) (28)

(45) (214)

275

1209

1484

100

(499)

100

75

(239)

(259)

FINAL

Table B-16

Future C hild Care Demand and Supply in 2025 in San Bruno

San Mateo County Child Care Study - 2016

Note All footnote references can be found in Table C-1 at the end of this file

Sources 2010 US Census ABAG Projections 2013 2014 American Community Survey ACS Journey-to-Work data 2006-2008 and 2006-2010

Child Care Coordinating Council of San Mateo County (4Cs) Community Care Licensing Brion Economics Inc

Prepared by Brion Economics Inc 2513-SMC NA Final Tables 61216 6122016

SAN CARLOS

Child Care as of 2025

No of

Providers

Under 2 Years

Old

2 to 4 Year

Olds

Total 0 to 4

Years

EXISTING DEMAND Child Care Demand

Estimated Total Children

Average LFPRAdjustment Factor

Children With Working Parents

Licensed Care Demand Factor

Resident Children Needing Licensed Care

of Total Resident Children Needing Licensed Care

Children from Non-Resident Employees Needing

Licensed Care

(1)

(2)

(3)

778 1384

72

557 1255

37

206 1174

26 85

82 123

2162

1812

76

1380

64

205

Total Demand for Child Care Spaces

Distribution

EXISTING SUPPLY (4)

288 1297

18 82

Child Care Spaces

1585

100

Family Child Care Home Supply

Child Care Center Supply

Current Child Care Supply

Distribution

EXISTING SURPLUS(SHORTAGE)

Distribution

Percentage of Demand Met

by Existing FacilitiesSpaces

Shortage of Family Child Care Home Spaces

Shortage of Center-Based Spaces

(5)

(6)

(6)

28

14

42

73 92

76 615

149 707

17 83

(139) (590)

19 81

52 54

(68) (76)

(71) (514)

164

691

855

100

(729)

100

54

(145)

(585)

FINAL

Table B-17

Future Child Care Demand and Supply in 2025 in San Carlos

San Mateo County Child Care Study - 2016

Note All footnote references can be found in Table C-1 at the end of this file

Sources 2010 US Census ABAG Projections 2013 2014 American Community Survey ACS Journey-to-Work data 2006-2008 and 2006-2010

Child Care Coordinating Council of San Mateo County (4Cs) Community Care Licensing Brion Economics Inc

Prepared by Brion Economics Inc 2513-SMC NA Final Tables 61216 6122016

SAN MATEO

Child Care as of 2025

No of

Providers

Under 2 Years

Old

2 to 4 Year

Olds

Total 0 to 4

Years

EXISTING DEMAND Child Care Demand

Estimated Total Children

Average LFPRAdjustment Factor

Children With Working Parents

Licensed Care Demand Factor

Resident Children Needing Licensed Care

of Total Resident Children Needing Licensed Care

Children from Non-Resident Employees Needing

Licensed Care

(1)

(2)

(3)

3194 4572

71

2264 4116

37

838 3839

26 84

261 394

7766

6381

73

4677

60

656

Total Demand for Child Care Spaces

Distribution

EXISTING SUPPLY (4)

1099 4233

21 79

Child Care Spaces

5332

100

Family Child Care Home Supply

Child Care Center Supply

Current Child Care Supply

Distribution

EXISTING SURPLUS(SHORTAGE)

Distribution

Percentage of Demand Met

by Existing FacilitiesSpaces

Shortage of Family Child Care Home Spaces

Shortage of Center-Based Spaces

(5)

(6)

(6)

69

59

128

492 619

209 2577

701 3196

18 82

(398) (1037)

28 72

64 75

(279) (201)

(119) (837)

1111

2786

3897

100

(1435)

100

73

(480)

(955)

FINAL

Table B-18

Future Child Care Demand and Supply in 2025 in San Mateo

San Mateo County Child Care Study - 2016

Note All footnote references can be found in Table C-1 at the end of this file

Sources 2010 US Census ABAG Projections 2013 2014 American Community Survey ACS Journey-to-Work data 2006-2008 and 2006-2010

Child Care Coordinating Council of San Mateo County (4Cs) Community Care Licensing Brion Economics Inc

Prepared by Brion Economics Inc 2513-SMC NA Final Tables 61216 6122016

FINAL

Table B-19

Future Child Care Demand and Supply in 2025 in South Coast

San Mateo County Child Care Study - 2016

SOUTH COAST

Child Care as of 2025

No of

Providers

Under 2 Years

Old

2 to 4 Year

Olds

Total 0 to 4

Years

EXISTING DEMAND Child Care Demand

Estimated Total Children (1) 23 32 55

Average LFPRAdjustment Factor (2) 54

Children With Working Parents 12 27 40

Licensed Care Demand Factor (3) 37 77

Resident Children Needing Licensed Care 5 26 30

of Total Resident Children Needing Licensed Care 20 81 56

Children from Non-Resident Employees Needing

Licensed Care 0 0 0

Total Demand for Child Care Spaces 5 26 30

Distribution 15 85 100

EXISTING SUPPLY (4) Child Care Spaces

Family Child Care Home Supply - 0 0 0

Child Care Center Supply 2 0 54 54

Current Child Care Supply 2 - 54 54

Distribution 0 100 100

EXISTING SURPLUS(SHORTAGE) (5) 28 24

Distribution -19 119 100

Percentage of Demand Met

by Existing FacilitiesSpaces (5) 0 209 177

Shortage of Family Child Care Home Spaces (6) 0 NA 0

Shortage of Center-Based Spaces (6) (5) NA (5)

Note All footnote references can be found in Table C-1 at the end of this file

Sources 2010 US Census ABAG Projections 2013 2014 American Community Survey ACS Journey-to-Work data 2006-2008 and 2006-2010

Child Care Coordinating Council of San Mateo County (4Cs) Community Care Licensing Brion Economics Inc

Prepared by Brion Economics Inc 2513-SMC NA Final Tables 61216 6122016

SOUTH SAN FRANCISCO

Child Care as of 2025

No of

Providers

Under 2 Years

Old

2 to 4 Year

Olds

Total 0 to 4

Years

EXISTING DEMAND Child Care Demand

Estimated Total Children

Average LFPRAdjustment Factor

Children With Working Parents

Licensed Care Demand Factor

Resident Children Needing Licensed Care

of Total Resident Children Needing Licensed Care

Children from Non-Resident Employees Needing

Licensed Care

(1)

(2)

(3)

1835 2790

73

1342 2535

37

496 2362

27 85

339 512

4625

3877

74

2859

62

851

Total Demand for Child Care Spaces

Distribution

EXISTING SUPPLY (4)

835 2874

23 77

Child Care Spaces

3709

100

Family Child Care Home Supply

Child Care Center Supply

Current Child Care Supply

Distribution

EXISTING SURPLUS(SHORTAGE)

Distribution

Percentage of Demand Met

by Existing FacilitiesSpaces

Shortage of Family Child Care Home Spaces

Shortage of Center-Based Spaces

(5)

(6)

(6)

30

27

57

252 317

400 1966

652 2283

22 78

(183) (591)

24 76

78 79

(71) (82)

(113) (509)

569

2366

2935

100

(775)

100

79

(153)

(622)

FINAL

Table B-20

Future Child Care Demand and Supply in 2025 in South San Francisco

San Mateo County Child Care Study - 2016

Note All footnote references can be found in Table C-1 at the end of this file

Sources 2010 US Census ABAG Projections 2013 2014 American Community Survey ACS Journey-to-Work data 2006-2008 and 2006-2010

Child Care Coordinating Council of San Mateo County (4Cs) Community Care Licensing Brion Economics Inc

Prepared by Brion Economics Inc 2513-SMC NA Final Tables 61216 6122016

WOODSIDE

No of

Providers

Child Care as of 2025

Under 2 Years

Old

2 to 4 Year

Olds

Total 0 to 4

Years

EXISTING DEMAND Child Care Demand

Estimated Total Children

Average LFPRAdjustment Factor

Children With Working Parents

Licensed Care Demand Factor

Resident Children Needing Licensed Care

of Total Resident Children Needing Licensed Care

Children from Non-Resident Employees Needing

Licensed Care

(1)

(2)

(3)

93 165

56

51 140

37

19 132

21 80

9 13

258

192

79

152

59

22

Total Demand for Child Care Spaces

Distribution

EXISTING SUPPLY (4)

28 146

16 84

Child Care Spaces

174

100

Family Child Care Home Supply

Child Care Center Supply

Current Child Care Supply

Distribution

EXISTING SURPLUS(SHORTAGE)

Distribution

Percentage of Demand Met

by Existing FacilitiesSpaces

Shortage of Family Child Care Home Spaces

Shortage of Center-Based Spaces

(5)

(6)

(6)

1

2

3

4 5

- 103

4 108

4 96

(24) (38)

39 61

15 74

(24) (2)

0 (36)

9

103

112

100

(61)

100

65

(26)

(36)

FINAL

Table B-21

Future Child Care Demand and Supply in 2025 in Woodside

San Mateo County Child Care Study - 2016

Note All footnote references can be found in Table C-1 at the end of this file

Sources 2010 US Census ABAG Projections 2013 2014 American Community Survey ACS Journey-to-Work data 2006-2008 and 2006-2010

Child Care Coordinating Council of San Mateo County (4Cs) Community Care Licensing Brion Economics Inc

Prepared by Brion Economics Inc 2513-SMC NA Final Tables 61216 6122016

FINAL

Table C-1

Endnotes for Tables

San Mateo County Child Care Study - 2016

(1) Population by age is based on the percentage breakdown from the 2010 US Census and applied

to population estimates for 2015 using ABAGs Projections 2013 population data The ABAG data

for each area includes its Sphere of Influence and is not based on strict jurisdictional boundaries

(2) Labor force participation rates are from the 5-Year American Community Survey 2014 and include

children under six years old with two working parents or a single working parent For the 2- to 4-year

olds the labor force participation rate is applied to 2 year olds For 3- and 4-year olds it is assumed

that 100 need licensed care to support preschool for every child so the number of

3- and 4-year olds is not discounted by labor force participation rates

(3) Not all children with working parents are assumed to need licensed care percentage assumptions are

used to calculate the number of children requiring licensed care under each age category The

remaining children are assumed to be cared for in alternate arrangements such as by family members

nannies friends and other unlicensed care For children ages 3- and 4-years old it is assumed that

they all need care in the form of preschool

(4) Data on child care supply provided by the Child Care Coordinating Council of San Mateo County (4Cs)

and Community Care Licensing Division of the California Department of Social Services (CCLD) Data is

for June 2015

(5) Demand that calculates as less than 100 means that there is greater demand than supply percent of

demand that is over 100 means supply exceeds demand

(6) Unmet demand is broken down into shortage by type of care based on the proportion of FCCHs and

child care centers spaces available in each area If an area does not have any FCCHs or centers the

unmet demand is placed in the type of care that is available in the area (eg if there are only centers

all demand goes to centers)

Source Brion Economics Inc

Prepared by Brion Economics Inc 2513-SMC NA Final Tables 61216 6122016

DRAFT REPORT

Table C-2

Labor Force Participation Rates by CityArea

San Mateo County Child Care Study - 2016

CityArea

Labor Force

Participation Rate (1)

Atherton

Belmont

Brisbane

Burlingame

Daly CityColma

East Palo Alto

Foster City

Half Moon Bay Region

Hillsborough

Menlo Park

Millbrae

Pacifica

Portola Valley

Redwood City

San Bruno

San Carlos

San Mateo

South Coast

South San Francisco

Woodside

40

77

100

65

74

71

63

69

52

69

62

78

66

69

77

72

71

54

73

56

(1) Labor force participation rates (LFPRs) are for

families with children under age six with two

working parents or a single parent who works Sources American Community Survey 2014 5-Year

Survey Brion Economics Inc

Prepared by Brion Economics Inc 2513-SMC NA Final Tables 61216 6122016

  • 2513-SMC FINAL NA Memo-61216
  • 2513-SMC NA Final Tables 61216
Page 30: Final San Mateo County Child Care Needs … Care...Future C hild Care Demand and Supply in 2025 in Daly City/Colma San Mateo County Child Care Study - 2016 Note: All footnote references

FOSTER CITY

Child Care as of 2015

No of

Providers

Under 2 Years

Old

2 to 4 Year

Olds

Total 0 to 4

Years

EXISTING DEMAND Child Care Demand

Estimated Total Children

Average LFPRAdjustment Factor

Children With Working Parents

Licensed Care Demand Factor

Resident Children Needing Licensed Care

of Total Resident Children Needing Licensed Care

Children from Non-Resident Employees Needing

Licensed Care

(1)

(2)

(3)

836 1277

63

528 1108

37

195 1035

23 81

73 110

2113

1636

75

1231

58

183

Total Demand for Child Care Spaces

Distribution

EXISTING SUPPLY (4)

268 1145

19 81

Child Care Spaces

1414

100

Family Child Care Home Supply

Child Care Center Supply

Current Child Care Supply

Distribution

EXISTING SURPLUS(SHORTAGE)

Distribution

Percentage of Demand Met

by Existing FacilitiesSpaces

Shortage of Family Child Care Home Spaces

Shortage of Center-Based Spaces

(5)

(6)

(6)

29

12

41

118 149

88 1200

206 1349

13 87

(62) 203

NA NA

77 118

(36) NA

(27) NA

267

1288

1555

100

141

NA

110

(36)

(27)

FINAL

Table A-8

Existing Child Care Demand and Supply in 2015 in Foster City

San Mateo County Child Care Study - 2016

Note All footnote references can be found in Table C-1 at the end of this file

Sources 2010 US Census ABAG Projections 2013 2014 American Community Survey ACS Journey-to-Work data 2006-2008 and 2006-2010

Child Care Coordinating Council of San Mateo County (4Cs) Community Care Licensing Brion Economics Inc

Prepared by Brion Economics Inc 2513-SMC NA Final Tables 61216 6122016

HALF MOON BAY REGION

Child Care as of 2015

No of

Providers

Under 2 Years

Old

2 to 4 Year

Olds

Total 0 to 4

Years

EXISTING DEMAND Child Care Demand

Estimated Total Children

Average LFPRAdjustment Factor

Children With Working Parents

Licensed Care Demand Factor

Resident Children Needing Licensed Care

of Total Resident Children Needing Licensed Care

Children from Non-Resident Employees Needing

Licensed Care

(1)

(2)

(3)

511 860

69

354 772

37

131 723

26 84

13 19

1371

1126

76

854

62

32

Total Demand for Child Care Spaces

Distribution

EXISTING SUPPLY (4)

144 742

16 84

Child Care Spaces

885

100

Family Child Care Home Supply

Child Care Center Supply

Current Child Care Supply

Distribution

EXISTING SURPLUS(SHORTAGE)

Distribution

Percentage of Demand Met

by Existing FacilitiesSpaces

Shortage of Family Child Care Home Spaces

Shortage of Center-Based Spaces

(5)

(6)

(6)

28

11

39

96 121

35 285

131 406

24 76

(13) (336)

4 96

91 55

(9) (100)

(3) (236)

216

320

536

100

(349)

100

61

(109)

(240)

FINAL

Table A-9

Existing Child Care Demand and Supply in 2015 in Half Moon Bay Region

San Mateo County Child Care Study - 2016

Note All footnote references can be found in Table C-1 at the end of this file

Sources 2010 US Census ABAG Projections 2013 2014 American Community Survey ACS Journey-to-Work data 2006-2008 and 2006-2010

Child Care Coordinating Council of San Mateo County (4Cs) Community Care Licensing Brion Economics Inc

Prepared by Brion Economics Inc 2513-SMC NA Final Tables 61216 6122016

HILLSBOROUGH

Child Care as of 2015

No of

Providers

Under 2 Years

Old

2 to 4 Year

Olds

Total 0 to 4

Years

EXISTING DEMAND Child Care Demand

Estimated Total Children

Average LFPRAdjustment Factor

Children With Working Parents

Licensed Care Demand Factor

Resident Children Needing Licensed Care

of Total Resident Children Needing Licensed Care

Children from Non-Resident Employees Needing

Licensed Care

(1)

(2)

(3)

138 331

52

71 284

37

26 272

19 82

7 10

469

356

84

298

64

16

Total Demand for Child Care Spaces

Distribution

EXISTING SUPPLY (4)

33 282

10 90

Child Care Spaces

315

100

Family Child Care Home Supply

Child Care Center Supply

Current Child Care Supply

Distribution

EXISTING SURPLUS(SHORTAGE)

Distribution

Percentage of Demand Met

by Existing FacilitiesSpaces

Shortage of Family Child Care Home Spaces

Shortage of Center-Based Spaces

(5)

(6)

(6)

1

4

5

5 6

- 91

5 97

5 95

(28) (185)

13 87

15 34

(28) (12)

0 (173)

11

91

102

100

(213)

100

32

(40)

(173)

FINAL

Table A-10

Existing Child Care Demand and Supply in 2015 in Hillsborough

San Mateo County Child Care Study - 2016

Note All footnote references can be found in Table C-1 at the end of this file Sources 2010 US Census ABAG Projections 2013 2014 American Community Survey ACS Journey-to-Work data 2006-2008 and 2006-2010

Child Care Coordinating Council of San Mateo County (4Cs) Community Care Licensing Brion Economics Inc

Prepared by Brion Economics Inc 2513-SMC NA Final Tables 61216 6122016

MENLO PARK

Child Care as of 2015

No of

Providers

Under 2 Years

Old

2 to 4 Year

Olds

Total 0 to 4

Years

EXISTING DEMAND Child Care Demand

Estimated Total Children

Average LFPRAdjustment Factor

Children With Working Parents

Licensed Care Demand Factor

Resident Children Needing Licensed Care

of Total Resident Children Needing Licensed Care

Children from Non-Resident Employees Needing

Licensed Care

(1)

(2)

(3)

1170 1723

69

802 1551

37

297 1458

25 85

220 332

2893

2353

75

1754

61

552

Total Demand for Child Care Spaces

Distribution

EXISTING SUPPLY (4)

516 1790

22 78

Child Care Spaces

2306

100

Family Child Care Home Supply

Child Care Center Supply

Current Child Care Supply

Distribution

EXISTING SURPLUS(SHORTAGE)

Distribution

Percentage of Demand Met

by Existing FacilitiesSpaces

Shortage of Family Child Care Home Spaces

Shortage of Center-Based Spaces

(5)

(6)

(6)

18

25

43

76 96

73 1331

149 1427

9 91

(367) (363)

50 50

29 80

(188) (24)

(180) (338)

172

1404

1576

100

(730)

100

68

(212)

(518)

FINAL

Table A-11

Existing Child Care Demand and Supply in 2015 in Menlo Park

San Mateo County Child Care Study - 2016

Note All footnote references can be found in Table C-1 at the end of this file Sources 2010 US Census ABAG Projections 2013 2014 American Community Survey ACS Journey-to-Work data 2006-2008 and 2006-2010

Child Care Coordinating Council of San Mateo County (4Cs) Community Care Licensing Brion Economics Inc

Prepared by Brion Economics Inc 2513-SMC NA Final Tables 61216 6122016

MILLBRAE

Child Care as of 2015

No of

Providers

Under 2 Years

Old

2 to 4 Year

Olds

Total 0 to 4

Years

EXISTING DEMAND Child Care Demand

Total Children

Average LFPRAdjustment Factor

Children With Working Parents

Licensed Care Demand Factor

Resident Children Needing Licensed Care

of Total Resident Children Needing Licensed Care

Children from Non-Resident Employees Needing

Licensed Care

(1)

(2)

(3)

421 717

62

260 632

37

96 598

23 83

28 42

1138

892

78

694

61

69

Total Demand for Child Care Spaces

Distribution

EXISTING SUPPLY (4)

124 640

16 84

Child Care Spaces

764

100

Family Child Care Home Supply

Child Care Center Supply

Current Child Care Supply

Distribution

EXISTING SURPLUS(SHORTAGE)

Distribution

Percentage of Demand Met

by Existing FacilitiesSpaces

Shortage of Family Child Care Home Spaces

Shortage of Center-Based Spaces

(5)

(6)

(6)

17

7

24

62 78

- 376

62 454

12 88

(61) (186)

25 75

50 71

(61) (32)

0 (154)

141

376

517

100

(247)

100

68

(93)

(154)

FINAL

Table A-12

Existing Child Care Demand and Supply in 2015 in Millbrae

San Mateo Co unty Child Care Study - 2016

Note All footnote references can be found in Table C-1 at the end of this file

Sources 2010 US Census ABAG Projections 2013 2014 American Community Survey ACS Journey-to-Work data 2006-2008 and 2006-2010

Child Care Coordinating Council of San Mateo County (4Cs) Community Care Licensing Brion Economics Inc

Prepared by Brion Economics Inc 2513-SMC NA Final Tables 61216 6122016

PACIFICA

Child Care as of 2015

No of

Providers

Under 2 Years

Old

2 to 4 Year

Olds

Total 0 to 4

Years

EXISTING DEMAND Child Care Demand

Estimated Total Children

Average LFPRAdjustment Factor

Children With Working Parents

Licensed Care Demand Factor

Resident Children Needing Licensed Care

of Total Resident Children Needing Licensed Care

Children from Non-Resident Employees Needing

Licensed Care

(1)

(2)

(3)

787 1253

78

610 1165

37

226 1089

29 87

18 27

2040

1776

74

1315

64

45

Total Demand for Child Care Spaces

Distribution

EXISTING SUPPLY (4)

244 1117

18 83

Child Care Spaces

1360

100

Family Child Care Home Supply

Child Care Center Supply

Current Child Care Supply

Distribution

EXISTING SURPLUS(SHORTAGE)

Distribution

Percentage of Demand Met

by Existing FacilitiesSpaces

Shortage of Family Child Care Home Spaces

Shortage of Center-Based Spaces

(5)

(6)

(6)

21

18

39

77 97

39 701

116 798

13 87

(128) (319)

29 71

48 71

(85) (39)

(43) (280)

174

740

914

100

(447)

100

67

(124)

(323)

FINAL

Table A-13

Existing Child Care Demand and Supply in 2015 in Pacifica

San Mateo County Child Care Study - 2016

Note All footnote references can be found in Table C-1 at the end of this file Sources 2010 US Census ABAG Projections 2013 2014 American Community Survey ACS Journey-to-Work data 2006-2008 and 2006-2010

Child Care Coordinating Council of San Mateo County (4Cs) Community Care Licensing Brion Economics Inc

Prepared by Brion Economics Inc 2513-SMC NA Final Tables 61216 6122016

PORTOLA VALLEY

No of

Providers

Child Care as of 2015

Under 2 Years

Old

2 to 4 Year

Olds

Total 0 to 4

Years

EXISTING DEMAND Child Care Demand

Estimated Total Children

Average LFPRAdjustment Factor

Children With Working Parents

Licensed Care Demand Factor

Resident Children Needing Licensed Care

of Total Resident Children Needing Licensed Care

Children from Non-Resident Employees Needing

Licensed Care

(1)

(2)

(3)

75 187

66

49 168

37

18 159

24 85

8 12

261

217

82

177

68

21

Total Demand for Child Care Spaces

Distribution

EXISTING SUPPLY (4)

26 171

13 87

Child Care Spaces

198

100

Family Child Care Home Supply

Child Care Center Supply

Current Child Care Supply

Distribution

EXISTING SURPLUS(SHORTAGE)

Distribution

Percentage of Demand Met

by Existing FacilitiesSpaces

Shortage of Family Child Care Home Spaces

Shortage of Center-Based Spaces

(5)

(6)

(6)

0

4

4

0 0

0 153

0 153

0 100

(26) (18)

59 41

0 89

0 0

(26) (18)

0

153

153

100

(45)

100

77

0

(45)

FINAL

Table A-14

Existing Child Care Demand and Supply in 2015 in Portola Valley

San Mateo County Child Care Study - 2016

Note All footnote references can be found in Table C-1 at the end of this file Sources 2010 US Census ABAG Projections 2013 2014 American Community Survey ACS Journey-to-Work data 2006-2008 and 2006-2010

Child Care Coordinating Council of San Mateo County (4Cs) Community Care Licensing Brion Economics Inc

Prepared by Brion Economics Inc 2513-SMC NA Final Tables 61216 6122016

REDWOOD CITY

Child Care as of 2015

No of

Providers

Under 2 Years

Old

2 to 4 Year

Olds

Total 0 to 4

Years

EXISTING DEMAND Child Care Demand

Estimated Total Children

Average LFPRAdjustment Factor

Children With Working Parents

Licensed Care Demand Factor

Resident Children Needing Licensed Care

of Total Resident Children Needing Licensed Care

Children from Non-Resident Employees Needing

Licensed Care

Total Demand for Child Care Spaces

Distribution

EXISTING SUPPLY

(1)

(2)

(3)

(4)

3260 4706

69

2236 4212

37

827 3942

25 84

414 625

1241 4567

21 79

Child Care Spaces

7966

6449

74

4770

60

1038

5808

100

Family Child Care Home Supply

Child Care Center Supply

Current Child Care Supply

Distribution

EXISTING SURPLUS(SHORTAGE)

Distribution

Percentage of Demand Met

by Existing FacilitiesSpaces

Shortage of Family Child Care Home Spaces

Shortage of Center-Based Spaces

(5)

(6)

(6)

111

45

156

396 497

356 2036

752 2533

23 77

(490) (2034)

19 81

61 55

(258) (399)

(232) (1635)

893

2392

3285

100

(2524)

100

57

(657)

(1867)

FINAL

Table A-15

Existing Child Care Demand and Supply in 2015 in Redwood City

San Mateo County Child Care Study - 2016

Note All footnote references can be found in Table C-1 at the end of this file Sources 2010 US Census ABAG Projections 2013 2014 American Community Survey ACS Journey-to-Work data 2006-2008 and 2006-2010

Child Care Coordinating Council of San Mateo County (4Cs) Community Care Licensing Brion Economics Inc

Prepared by Brion Economics Inc 2513-SMC NA Final Tables 61216 6122016

SAN BRUNO

Child Care as of 2015

No of

Providers

Under 2 Years

Old

2 to 4 Year

Olds

Total 0 to 4

Years

EXISTING DEMAND Child Care Demand

Estimated Total Children

Average LFPRAdjustment Factor

Children With Working Parents

Licensed Care Demand Factor

Resident Children Needing Licensed Care

of Total Resident Children Needing Licensed Care

Children from Non-Resident Employees Needing

Licensed Care

(1)

(2)

(3)

1069 1553

77

817 1428

37

302 1326

28 85

61 92

2622

2245

73

1628

62

153

Total Demand for Child Care Spaces

Distribution

EXISTING SUPPLY (4)

364 1418

20 80

Child Care Spaces

1782

100

Family Child Care Home Supply

Child Care Center Supply

Current Child Care Supply

Distribution

EXISTING SURPLUS(SHORTAGE)

Distribution

Percentage of Demand Met

by Existing FacilitiesSpaces

Shortage of Family Child Care Home Spaces

Shortage of Center-Based Spaces

(5)

(6)

(6)

34

15

49

122 153

26 1183

148 1336

10 90

(216) (82)

72 28

41 94

(178) (9)

(38) (73)

275

1209

1484

100

(298)

100

83

(187)

(110)

FINAL

Table A-16

Existing Child Care Demand and Supply in 2015 in San Bruno

San Mateo County Child Care Study - 2016

Note All footnote references can be found in Table C-1 at the end of this file Sources 2010 US Census ABAG Projections 2013 2014 American Community Survey ACS Journey-to-Work data 2006-2008 and 2006-2010

Child Care Coordinating Council of San Mateo County (4Cs) Community Care Licensing Brion Economics Inc

Prepared by Brion Economics Inc 2513-SMC NA Final Tables 61216 6122016

SAN CARLOS

Child Care as of 2015

No of

Providers

Under 2 Years

Old

2 to 4 Year

Olds

Total 0 to 4

Years

EXISTING DEMAND Child Care Demand

Estimated Total Children

Average LFPRAdjustment Factor

Children With Working Parents

Licensed Care Demand Factor

Resident Children Needing Licensed Care

of Total Resident Children Needing Licensed Care

Children from Non-Resident Employees Needing

Licensed Care

(1)

(2)

(3)

735 1308

72

526 1186

37

195 1109

26 85

75 114

2043

1712

76

1304

64

189

Total Demand for Child Care Spaces

Distribution

EXISTING SUPPLY (4)

270 1222

18 82

Child Care Spaces

1492

100

Family Child Care Home Supply

Child Care Center Supply

Current Child Care Supply

Distribution

EXISTING SURPLUS(SHORTAGE)

Distribution

Percentage of Demand Met

by Existing FacilitiesSpaces

Shortage of Family Child Care Home Spaces

Shortage of Center-Based Spaces

(5)

(6)

(6)

20

14

34

73 92

76 615

149 707

17 83

(121) (516)

19 81

55 58

(59) (67)

(62) (449)

164

691

855

100

(637)

100

57

(126)

(511)

FINAL

Table A-17

Existing Child Care Demand and Supply in 2015 in San Carlos

San Mateo County Child Care Study - 2016

Note All footnote references can be found in Table C-1 at the end of this file

Sources 2010 US Census ABAG Projections 2013 2014 American Community Survey ACS Journey-to-Work data 2006-2008 and 2006-2010

Child Care Coordinating Council of San Mateo County (4Cs) Community Care Licensing Brion Economics Inc

Prepared by Brion Economics Inc 2513-SMC NA Final Tables 61216 6122016

SAN MATEO

Child Care as of 2015

No of

Providers

Under 2 Years

Old

2 to 4 Year

Olds

Total 0 to 4

Years

EXISTING DEMAND Child Care Demand

Estimated Total Children

Average LFPRAdjustment Factor

Children With Working Parents

Licensed Care Demand Factor

Resident Children Needing Licensed Care

of Total Resident Children Needing Licensed Care

Children from Non-Resident Employees Needing

Licensed Care

(1)

(2)

(3)

2943 4213

71

2087 3793

37

772 3537

26 84

231 348

7156

5880

73

4309

60

579

Total Demand for Child Care Spaces

Distribution

EXISTING SUPPLY (4)

1003 3886

21 79

Child Care Spaces

4889

100

Family Child Care Home Supply

Child Care Center Supply

Current Child Care Supply

Distribution

EXISTING SURPLUS(SHORTAGE)

Distribution

Percentage of Demand Met

by Existing FacilitiesSpaces

Shortage of Family Child Care Home Spaces

Shortage of Center-Based Spaces

(5)

(6)

(6)

126

59

185

492 619

209 2577

701 3196

18 82

(302) (690)

30 70

70 82

(212) (134)

(90) (557)

1111

2786

3897

100

(992)

100

80

(345)

(647)

FINAL

Table A-18

Existing Child Care Demand and Supply in 2015 in San Mateo

San Mateo County Child Care Study - 2016

Note All footnote references can be found in Table C-1 at the end of this file

Sources 2010 US Census ABAG Projections 2013 2014 American Community Survey ACS Journey-to-Work data 2006-2008 and 2006-2010

Child Care Coordinating Council of San Mateo County (4Cs) Community Care Licensing Brion Economics Inc

Prepared by Brion Economics Inc 2513-SMC NA Final Tables 61216 6122016

SOUTH COAST

Child Care as of 2015

No of

Providers

Under 2 Years

Old

2 to 4 Year

Olds

Total 0 to 4

Years

EXISTING DEMAND Child Care Demand

Estimated Total Children

Average LFPRAdjustment Factor

Children With Working Parents

Licensed Care Demand Factor

Resident Children Needing Licensed Care

of Total Resident Children Needing Licensed Care

Children from Non-Resident Employees Needing

Licensed Care

(1)

(2)

(3)

21 29

54

11 25

37

4 23

20 81

0 0

50

36

77

28

56

0

Total Demand for Child Care Spaces

Distribution

EXISTING SUPPLY (4)

4 23

15 85

Child Care Spaces

28

100

Family Child Care Home Supply

Child Care Center Supply

Current Child Care Supply

Distribution

EXISTING SURPLUS(SHORTAGE)

Distribution

Percentage of Demand Met

by Existing FacilitiesSpaces

Shortage of Family Child Care Home Spaces

Shortage of Center-Based Spaces

(5)

(6)

(6)

-

2

2

- -

- 54

- 54

0 100

(4) 31

-16 116

0 230

(2) NA

(2) NA

0

54

54

100

26

100

195

(2)

(2)

FINAL

Table A-19

Existing Child Care Demand and Supply in 2015 in South Coast

San Mateo County Child Care Study - 2016

Note All footnote references can be found in Table C-1 at the end of this file

Sources 2010 US Census ABAG Projections 2013 2014 American Community Survey ACS Journey-to-Work data 2006-2008 and 2006-2010

Child Care Coordinating Council of San Mateo County (4Cs) Community Care Licensing Brion Economics Inc

Prepared by Brion Economics Inc 2513-SMC NA Final Tables 61216 6122016

SOUTH SAN FRANCISCO

Child Care as of 2015

No of

Providers

Under 2 Years

Old

2 to 4 Year

Olds

Total 0 to 4

Years

EXISTING DEMAND Child Care Demand

Estimated Total Children

Average LFPRAdjustment Factor

Children With Working Parents

Licensed Care Demand Factor

Resident Children Needing Licensed Care

of Total Resident Children Needing Licensed Care

Children from Non-Resident Employees Needing

Licensed Care

(1)

(2)

(3)

1649 2507

73

1206 2278

37

446 2123

27 85

309 466

4156

3484

74

2569

62

774

Total Demand for Child Care Spaces

Distribution

EXISTING SUPPLY (4)

755 2588

23 77

Child Care Spaces

3343

100

Family Child Care Home Supply

Child Care Center Supply

Current Child Care Supply

Distribution

EXISTING SURPLUS(SHORTAGE)

Distribution

Percentage of Demand Met

by Existing FacilitiesSpaces

Shortage of Family Child Care Home Spaces

Shortage of Center-Based Spaces

(5)

(6)

(6)

68

27

95

252 317

400 1966

652 2283

22 78

(103) (306)

25 75

86 88

(40) (42)

(63) (263)

569

2366

2935

100

(408)

100

88

(82)

(326)

FINAL

Table A-20

Existing Child Care Demand and Supply in 2015 in South San Francisco

San Mateo County Child Care Study - 2016

Note All footnote references can be found in Table C-1 at the end of this file Sources 2010 US Census ABAG Projections 2013 2014 American Community Survey ACS Journey-to-Work data 2006-2008 and 2006-2010

Child Care Coordinating Council of San Mateo County (4Cs) Community Care Licensing Brion Economics Inc

Prepared by Brion Economics Inc 2513-SMC NA Final Tables 61216 6122016

WOODSIDE

No of

Providers

Child Care as of 2015

Under 2 Years

Old

2 to 4 Year

Olds

Total 0 to 4

Years

EXISTING DEMAND Child Care Demand

Estimated Total Children

Average LFPRAdjustment Factor

Children With Working Parents

Licensed Care Demand Factor

Resident Children Needing Licensed Care

of Total Resident Children Needing Licensed Care

Children from Non-Resident Employees Needing

Licensed Care

(1)

(2)

(3)

90 160

56

50 136

37

18 128

21 80

8 13

250

186

79

147

59

21

Total Demand for Child Care Spaces

Distribution

EXISTING SUPPLY (4)

27 141

16 84

Child Care Spaces

168

100

Family Child Care Home Supply

Child Care Center Supply

Current Child Care Supply

Distribution

EXISTING SURPLUS(SHORTAGE)

Distribution

Percentage of Demand Met

by Existing FacilitiesSpaces

Shortage of Family Child Care Home Spaces

Shortage of Center-Based Spaces

(5)

(6)

(6)

1

2

3

4 5

0 103

4 108

4 96

(23) (33)

41 59

16 77

(23) (2)

0 (31)

9

103

112

100

(55)

100

67

(24)

(31)

FINAL

Table A-21

Existing Child Care Demand and Supply in 2015 in Woodside

San Mateo County Child Care Study - 2016

Note All footnote references can be found in Table C-1 at the end of this file Sources 2010 US Census ABAG Projections 2013 2014 American Community Survey ACS Journey-to-Work data 2006-2008 and 2006-2010

Child Care Coordinating Council of San Mateo County (4Cs) Community Care Licensing Brion Economics Inc

Prepared by Brion Economics Inc 2513-SMC NA Final Tables 61216 6122016

COUNTYWIDE

Child Care as of 2025

No of

Providers

Under 2 Years

Old

2 to 4 Year

Olds

Total 0 to 4

Years

EXISTING DEMAND Child Care Demand

Estimated Total Children

Average LFPRAdjustment Factor

Children With Working Parents

Licensed Care Demand Factor

Resident Children Needing Licensed Care

of Total Resident Children Needing Licensed Care

Children from Non-Resident Employees Needing

Licensed Care

Total Demand for Child Care Spaces

Distribution

EXISTING SUPPLY

(1)

(2)

(3)

(4)

20790 31340

71

14704 28273

37

5441 26432

26 84

2037 3074

7478 29506

20 80

Child Care Spaces

52130

42978

86

31873

61

5112

36984

100

Family Child Care Home Supply

Child Care Center Supply

Current Child Care Supply

Distribution

EXISTING SURPLUS(SHORTAGE)

Distribution

Percentage of Demand Met

by Existing FacilitiesSpaces

Shortage of Family Child Care Home Spaces

Shortage of Center-Based Spaces

(5)

(6)

(6)

621

309

930

2301 2893

1514 16296

3815 19189

17 83

(3663) (10318)

26 74

51 65

(2209) (1555)

(1454) (8762)

5193

17810

23003

100

(13981)

100

62

(3765)

(10216)

FINAL

Table B-1

Future C hild Care Demand and Supply in 2025 Countywide

San Mateo County Child Care Study - 2016

Note All footnote references can be found in Table C-1 at the end of this file

Sources 2010 US Census ABAG Projections 2013 2014 American Community Survey ACS Journey-to-Work data 2006-2008 and 2006-2010

Child Care Coordinating Council of San Mateo County (4Cs) Community Care Licensing Brion Economics Inc

Prepared by Brion Economics Inc 2513-SMC NA Final Tables 61216 6122016

ATHERTON

No of

Providers

Child Care as of 2025

Under 2 Years

Old

2 to 4 Year

Olds

Total 0 to 4

Years

EXISTING DEMAND Child Care Demand

Estimated Total Children

Average LFPRAdjustment Factor

Children With Working Parents

Licensed Care Demand Factor

Resident Children Needing Licensed Care

of Total Resident Children Needing Licensed Care

Children from Non-Resident Employees Needing

Licensed Care

(1)

(2)

(3)

109 193

40

43 159

37

16 154

15 80

13 19

302

202

84

170

56

32

Total Demand for Child Care Spaces

Distribution

EXISTING SUPPLY (4)

29 173

14 86

Child Care Spaces

201

100

Family Child Care Home Supply

Child Care Center Supply

Current Child Care Supply

Distribution

EXISTING SURPLUS(SHORTAGE)

Distribution

Percentage of Demand Met

by Existing FacilitiesSpaces

Shortage of Family Child Care Home Spaces

Shortage of Center-Based Spaces

(5)

(6)

(6)

1

6

7

5 6

24 267

29 273

10 90

0 101

0 100

101 158

NA NA

NA NA

11

291

302

100

101

100

150

NA

NA

FINAL

Table B-2

Future Child Care Demand and Supply in 2025 in Atherton

San Mateo Co unty Child Care Study - 2016

Note All footnote references can be found in Table C-1 at the end of this file Sources 2010 US Census ABAG Projections 2013 2014 American Community Survey ACS Journey-to-Work data 2006-2008 and 2006-2010

Child Care Coordinating Council of San Mateo County (4Cs) Community Care Licensing Brion Economics Inc

Prepared by Brion Economics Inc 2513-SMC NA Final Tables 61216 6122016

BELMONT

Child Care as of 2025

No of

Providers

Under 2 Years

Old

2 to 4 Year

Olds

Total 0 to 4

Years

EXISTING DEMAND Child Care Demand

Estimated Total Children

Average LFPRAdjustment Factor

Children With Working Parents

Licensed Care Demand Factor

Resident Children Needing Licensed Care

of Total Resident Children Needing Licensed Care

Children from Non-Resident Employees Needing

Licensed Care

(1)

(2)

(3)

743 1095

77

574 1013

37

213 943

29 86

37 56

1838

1587

73

1156

63

93

Total Demand for Child Care Spaces

Distribution

EXISTING SUPPLY (4)

250 999

20 80

Child Care Spaces

1249

100

Family Child Care Home Supply

Child Care Center Supply

Current Child Care Supply

Distribution

EXISTING SURPLUS(SHORTAGE)

Distribution

Percentage of Demand Met

by Existing FacilitiesSpaces

Shortage of Family Child Care Home Spaces

Shortage of Center-Based Spaces

(5)

(6)

(6)

8

9

17

67 84

39 531

106 615

15 85

(143) (384)

27 73

43 62

(91) (53)

(53) (331)

152

570

722

100

(527)

100

58

(143)

(384)

FINAL

Table B-3

Future Child Care Demand and Supply in 2025 in Belmont

San Mateo County Child Care Study - 2016

Note All footnote references can be found in Table C-1 at the end of this file

Sources 2010 US Census ABAG Projections 2013 2014 American Community Survey ACS Journey-to-Work data 2006-2008 and 2006-2010

Child Care Coordinating Council of San Mateo County (4Cs) Community Care Licensing Brion Economics Inc

Prepared by Brion Economics Inc 2513-SMC NA Final Tables 61216 6122016

BRISBANE

Child Care as of 2025

No of

Providers

Under 2 Years

Old

2 to 4 Year

Olds

Total 0 to 4

Years

EXISTING DEMAND Child Care Demand

Estimated Total Children

Average LFPRAdjustment Factor

Children With Working Parents

Licensed Care Demand Factor

Resident Children Needing Licensed Care

of Total Resident Children Needing Licensed Care

Children from Non-Resident Employees Needing

Licensed Care

(1)

(2)

(3)

131 174

100

131 174

37

48 160

37 92

55 83

305

305

68

209

68

138

Total Demand for Child Care Spaces

Distribution

EXISTING SUPPLY (4)

103 243

30 70

Child Care Spaces

346

100

Family Child Care Home Supply

Child Care Center Supply

Current Child Care Supply

Distribution

EXISTING SURPLUS(SHORTAGE)

Distribution

Percentage of Demand Met

by Existing FacilitiesSpaces

Shortage of Family Child Care Home Spaces

Shortage of Center-Based Spaces

(5)

(6)

(6)

1

1

2

4 5

0 64

4 69

6 94

(99) (174)

36 64

4 29

(99) (13)

0 (160)

9

64

73

100

(273)

100

21

(112)

(160)

FINAL

Table B-4

Future Child Care Demand and Supply in 2025 in Brisbane

San Mateo County Child Care Study - 2016

Note All footnote references can be found in Table C-1 at the end of this file Sources 2010 US Census ABAG Projections 2013 2014 American Community Survey ACS Journey-to-Work data 2006-2008 and 2006-2010

Child Care Coordinating Council of San Mateo County (4Cs) Community Care Licensing Brion Economics Inc

Prepared by Brion Economics Inc 2513-SMC NA Final Tables 61216 6122016

BURLINGAME

Child Care as of 2025

No of

Providers

Under 2 Years

Old

2 to 4 Year

Olds

Total 0 to 4

Years

EXISTING DEMAND Child Care Demand

Estimated Total Children

Average LFPRAdjustment Factor

Children With Working Parents

Licensed Care Demand Factor

Resident Children Needing Licensed Care

of Total Resident Children Needing Licensed Care

Children from Non-Resident Employees Needing

Licensed Care

(1)

(2)

(3)

903 1332

65

587 1190

37

217 1124

24 84

154 232

2235

1777

75

1341

60

385

Total Demand for Child Care Spaces

Distribution

EXISTING SUPPLY (4)

371 1356

21 79

Child Care Spaces

1726

100

Family Child Care Home Supply

Child Care Center Supply

Current Child Care Supply

Distribution

EXISTING SURPLUS(SHORTAGE)

Distribution

Percentage of Demand Met

by Existing FacilitiesSpaces

Shortage of Family Child Care Home Spaces

Shortage of Center-Based Spaces

(5)

(6)

(6)

10

14

24

79 99

40 866

119 965

11 89

(252) (390)

39 61

32 71

(167) (40)

(85) (350)

179

906

1085

100

(642)

100

63

(207)

(434)

FINAL

Table B-5

Future Child Care Demand and Supply in 2025 in Burlingame

San Mateo County Child Care Study - 2016

Note All footnote references can be found in Table C-1 at the end of this file

Sources 2010 US Census ABAG Projections 2013 2014 American Community Survey ACS Journey-to-Work data 2006-2008 and 2006-2010

Child Care Coordinating Council of San Mateo County (4Cs) Community Care Licensing Brion Economics Inc

Prepared by Brion Economics Inc 2513-SMC NA Final Tables 61216 6122016

DALY CITYCOLMA

Child Care as of 2025

No of

Providers

Under 2 Years

Old

2 to 4 Year

Olds

Total 0 to 4

Years

EXISTING DEMAND Child Care Demand

Estimated Total Children

Average LFPRAdjustment Factor

Children With Working Parents

Licensed Care Demand Factor

Resident Children Needing Licensed Care

of Total Resident Children Needing Licensed Care

Children from Non-Resident Employees Needing

Licensed Care

(1)

(2)

(3)

2647 3793

74

1964 3467

37

727 3233

27 85

138 208

6440

5432

73

3960

61

346

Total Demand for Child Care Spaces

Distribution

EXISTING SUPPLY (4)

865 3441

20 80

Child Care Spaces

4306

100

Family Child Care Home Supply

Child Care Center Supply

Current Child Care Supply

Distribution

EXISTING SURPLUS(SHORTAGE)

Distribution

Percentage of Demand Met

by Existing FacilitiesSpaces

Shortage of Family Child Care Home Spaces

Shortage of Center-Based Spaces

(5)

(6)

(6)

25

28

28

288 362

84 1264

372 1626

19 81

(493) (1816)

21 79

43 47

(381) (404)

(111) (1412)

649

1348

1997

100

(2308)

100

46

(785)

(1523)

FINAL

Table B-6

Future C hild Care Demand and Supply in 2025 in Daly CityColma

San Mateo County Child Care Study - 2016

Note All footnote references can be found in Table C-1 at the end of this file

Sources 2010 US Census ABAG Projections 2013 2014 American Community Survey ACS Journey-to-Work data 2006-2008 and 2006-2010

Child Care Coordinating Council of San Mateo County (4Cs) Community Care Licensing Brion Economics Inc

Prepared by Brion Economics Inc 2513-SMC NA Final Tables 61216 6122016

EAST PALO ALTO

Child Care as of 2025

No of

Providers

Under 2 Years

Old

2 to 4 Year

Olds

Total 0 to 4

Years

EXISTING DEMAND Child Care Demand

Estimated Total Children

Average LFPRAdjustment Factor

Children With Working Parents

Licensed Care Demand Factor

Resident Children Needing Licensed Care

of Total Resident Children Needing Licensed Care

Children from Non-Resident Employees Needing

Licensed Care

(1)

(2)

(3)

1161 1849

71

822 1660

37

304 1545

26 84

20 30

3010

2482

75

1849

61

50

Total Demand for Child Care Spaces

Distribution

EXISTING SUPPLY (4)

324 1575

17 83

Child Care Spaces

1900

100

Family Child Care Home Supply

Child Care Center Supply

Current Child Care Supply

Distribution

EXISTING SURPLUS(SHORTAGE)

Distribution

Percentage of Demand Met

by Existing FacilitiesSpaces

Shortage of Family Child Care Home Spaces

Shortage of Center-Based Spaces

(5)

(6)

(6)

13

6

19

85 106

25 633

110 739

13 87

(215) (836)

20 80

34 47

(166) (120)

(49) (715)

191

658

849

100

(1050)

100

45

(286)

(764)

FINAL

Table B-7

Future Child Care Demand and Supply in 2025 in East Palo Alto

San Mateo County Child Care Study - 2016

Note All footnote references can be found in Table C-1 at the end of this file

Sources 2010 US Census ABAG Projections 2013 2014 American Community Survey ACS Journey-to-Work data 2006-2008 and 2006-2010

Child Care Coordinating Council of San Mateo County (4Cs) Community Care Licensing Brion Economics Inc

Prepared by Brion Economics Inc 2513-SMC NA Final Tables 61216 6122016

FOSTER CITY

Child Care as of 2025

No of

Providers

Under 2 Years

Old

2 to 4 Year

Olds

Total 0 to 4

Years

EXISTING DEMAND Child Care Demand

Estimated Total Children

Average LFPRAdjustment Factor

Children With Working Parents

Licensed Care Demand Factor

Resident Children Needing Licensed Care

of Total Resident Children Needing Licensed Care

Children from Non-Resident Employees Needing

Licensed Care

(1)

(2)

(3)

871 1330

63

550 1154

37

204 1079

23 81

80 120

2201

1705

75

1282

58

200

Total Demand for Child Care Spaces

Distribution

EXISTING SUPPLY (4)

283 1199

19 81

Child Care Spaces

1483

100

Family Child Care Home Supply

Child Care Center Supply

Current Child Care Supply

Distribution

EXISTING SURPLUS(SHORTAGE)

Distribution

Percentage of Demand Met

by Existing FacilitiesSpaces

Shortage of Family Child Care Home Spaces

Shortage of Center-Based Spaces

(5)

(6)

(6)

19

12

31

118 149

88 1200

206 1349

13 87

(77) 150

-106 206

73 112

(44) NA

(33) NA

267

1288

1555

100

73

100

105

(44)

(33)

FINAL

Table B-8

Future Child Care Demand and Supply in 2025 in Foster City

San Mateo County Child Care Study - 2016

Note All footnote references can be found in Table C-1 at the end of this file

Sources 2010 US Census ABAG Projections 2013 2014 American Community Survey ACS Journey-to-Work data 2006-2008 and 2006-2010

Child Care Coordinating Council of San Mateo County (4Cs) Community Care Licensing Brion Economics Inc

Prepared by Brion Economics Inc 2513-SMC NA Final Tables 61216 6122016

HALF MOON BAY REGION

Child Care as of 2025

No of

Providers

Under 2 Years

Old

2 to 4 Year

Olds

Total 0 to 4

Years

EXISTING DEMAND Child Care Demand

Estimated Total Children

Average LFPRAdjustment Factor

Children With Working Parents

Licensed Care Demand Factor

Resident Children Needing Licensed Care

of Total Resident Children Needing Licensed Care

Children from Non-Resident Employees Needing

Licensed Care

(1)

(2)

(3)

553 929

69

383 835

37

142 781

26 84

14 21

1482

1217

76

923

62

34

Total Demand for Child Care Spaces

Distribution

EXISTING SUPPLY (4)

155 802

16 84

Child Care Spaces

957

100

Family Child Care Home Supply

Child Care Center Supply

Current Child Care Supply

Distribution

EXISTING SURPLUS(SHORTAGE)

Distribution

Percentage of Demand Met

by Existing FacilitiesSpaces

Shortage of Family Child Care Home Spaces

Shortage of Center-Based Spaces

(5)

(6)

(6)

10

11

21

96 121

35 285

131 406

24 76

(24) (396)

6 94

84 51

(18) (118)

(6) (279)

216

320

536

100

(421)

100

56

(136)

(285)

FINAL

Table B-9

Future Child Care Demand and Supply in 2025 in Half Moon Bay Region

San Mateo County Child Care Study - 2016

Note All footnote references can be found in Table C-1 at the end of this file

Sources 2010 US Census ABAG Projections 2013 2014 American Community Survey ACS Journey-to-Work data 2006-2008 and 2006-2010

Child Care Coordinating Council of San Mateo County (4Cs) Community Care Licensing Brion Economics Inc

Prepared by Brion Economics Inc 2513-SMC NA Final Tables 61216 6122016

HILLSBOROUGH

Child Care as of 2025

No of

Providers

Under 2 Years

Old

2 to 4 Year

Olds

Total 0 to 4

Years

EXISTING DEMAND Child Care Demand

Estimated Total Children

Average LFPRAdjustment Factor

Children With Working Parents

Licensed Care Demand Factor

Resident Children Needing Licensed Care

of Total Resident Children Needing Licensed Care

Children from Non-Resident Employees Needing

Licensed Care

(1)

(2)

(3)

143 343

52

74 295

37

27 282

19 82

7 11

487

369

84

309

64

17

Total Demand for Child Care Spaces

Distribution

EXISTING SUPPLY (4)

34 292

10 90

Child Care Spaces

327

100

Family Child Care Home Supply

Child Care Center Supply

Current Child Care Supply

Distribution

EXISTING SURPLUS(SHORTAGE)

Distribution

Percentage of Demand Met

by Existing FacilitiesSpaces

Shortage of Family Child Care Home Spaces

Shortage of Center-Based Spaces

(5)

(6)

(6)

1

4

5

5 6

- 91

5 97

5 95

(29) (195)

13 87

14 33

(29) (12)

0 (183)

11

91

102

100

(225)

100

31

(42)

(183)

FINAL

Table B-10

Future Child Care Demand and Supply in 2025 in Hillsborough

San Mateo County Child Care Study - 2016

Note All footnote references can be found in Table C-1 at the end of this file

Sources 2010 US Census ABAG Projections 2013 2014 American Community Survey ACS Journey-to-Work data 2006-2008 and 2006-2010

Child Care Coordinating Council of San Mateo County (4Cs) Community Care Licensing Brion Economics Inc

Prepared by Brion Economics Inc 2513-SMC NA Final Tables 61216 6122016

MENLO PARK

Child Care as of 2025

No of

Providers

Under 2 Years

Old

2 to 4 Year

Olds

Total 0 to 4

Years

EXISTING DEMAND Child Care Demand

Estimated Total Children

Average LFPRAdjustment Factor

Children With Working Parents

Licensed Care Demand Factor

Resident Children Needing Licensed Care

of Total Resident Children Needing Licensed Care

Children from Non-Resident Employees Needing

Licensed Care

(1)

(2)

(3)

1327 1954

69

909 1759

37

336 1653

25 85

237 357

3281

2668

75

1989

61

594

Total Demand for Child Care Spaces

Distribution

EXISTING SUPPLY (4)

573 2011

22 78

Child Care Spaces

2584

100

Family Child Care Home Supply

Child Care Center Supply

Current Child Care Supply

Distribution

EXISTING SURPLUS(SHORTAGE)

Distribution

Percentage of Demand Met

by Existing FacilitiesSpaces

Shortage of Family Child Care Home Spaces

Shortage of Center-Based Spaces

(5)

(6)

(6)

15

25

40

76 96

73 1331

149 1427

9 91

(424) (584)

42 58

26 71

(217) (39)

(207) (544)

172

1404

1576

100

(1008)

100

61

(256)

(752)

FINAL

Table B-11

Future Child Care Demand and Supply in 2025 in Menlo Park

San Mateo County Child Care Study - 2016

Note All footnote references can be found in Table C-1 at the end of this file

Sources 2010 US Census ABAG Projections 2013 2014 American Community Survey ACS Journey-to-Work data 2006-2008 and 2006-2010

Child Care Coordinating Council of San Mateo County (4Cs) Community Care Licensing Brion Economics Inc

Prepared by Brion Economics Inc 2513-SMC NA Final Tables 61216 6122016

MILLBRAE

Child Care as of 2025

No of

Providers

Under 2 Years

Old

2 to 4 Year

Olds

Total 0 to 4

Years

EXISTING DEMAND Child Care Demand

Estimated Total Children

Average LFPRAdjustment Factor

Children With Working Parents

Licensed Care Demand Factor

Resident Children Needing Licensed Care

of Total Resident Children Needing Licensed Care

Children from Non-Resident Employees Needing

Licensed Care

(1)

(2)

(3)

473 805

62

291 710

37

108 672

23 83

31 47

1278

1001

78

780

61

77

Total Demand for Child Care Spaces

Distribution

EXISTING SUPPLY (4)

139 718

16 84

Child Care Spaces

857

100

Family Child Care Home Supply

Child Care Center Supply

Current Child Care Supply

Distribution

EXISTING SURPLUS(SHORTAGE)

Distribution

Percentage of Demand Met

by Existing FacilitiesSpaces

Shortage of Family Child Care Home Spaces

Shortage of Center-Based Spaces

(5)

(6)

(6)

7

7

14

62 78

- 376

62 454

12 88

(76) (264)

22 78

45 63

(76) (46)

0 (219)

141

376

517

100

(340)

100

60

(122)

(219)

FINAL

Table B-12

Future C hild Care Demand and Supply in 2025 in Millbrae

San Mateo County Child Care Study - 2016

Note All footnote references can be found in Table C-1 at the end of this file

Sources 2010 US Census ABAG Projections 2013 2014 American Community Survey ACS Journey-to-Work data 2006-2008 and 2006-2010

Child Care Coordinating Council of San Mateo County (4Cs) Community Care Licensing Brion Economics Inc

Prepared by Brion Economics Inc 2513-SMC NA Final Tables 61216 6122016

FINAL

Table B-13

Future Child Care Demand and Supply in 2025 in Pacifica

San Mateo County Child Care Study - 2016

PACIFICA

Child Care as of 2025

No of

Providers

Under 2 Years

Old

2 to 4 Year

Olds

Total 0 to 4

Years

EXISTING DEMAND Child Care Demand

Estimated Total Children

Average L FPRAdjustment Factor

Children With Working Parents

Licensed Care Demand Factor

Resident Children Needing Licensed Care

of Total Resident Children Needing Licensed Care

Children from Non-Resident Employees Needing

Licensed Care

(1)

(2)

(3)

816 1300

78

633 1209

37

234 1130

29 87

19 29

2116

1842

74

1364

64

48

Total Demand for Child Care Spaces

Distribution

EXISTING SUPPLY (4)

254 1159

18 82

Child Care Spaces

1413

100

Family Child Care Home Supply

Child Care Center Supply

Current Child Care Supply

Distribution

EXISTING SURPLUS(SHORTAGE)

Distribution

Percentage of Demand Met

by Existing FacilitiesSpaces

Shortage of Family Child Care Home Spaces

Shortage of Center-Based Spaces

(5)

(6)

(6)

9

18

27

77 97

39 701

116 798

13 87

(138) (361)

28 72

46 69

(91) (44)

(46) (317)

174

740

914

100

(499)

100

65

(135)

(364)

Note All footnote references can be found in Table C-1 at the end of this file

Sources 2010 US Census ABAG Projections 2013 2014 American Community Survey ACS Journey-to-Work data 2006-2008 and 2006-2010

Child Care Coordinating Council of San Mateo County (4Cs) Community Care Licensing Brion Economics Inc

Prepared by Brion Economics Inc 2513-SMC NA Final Tables 61216 6122016

PORTOLA VALLEY

Child Care as of 2025

No of

Providers

Under 2 Years

Old

2 to 4 Year

Olds

Total 0 to 4

Years

EXISTING DEMAND Child Care Demand

Estimated Total Children

Average LFPRAdjustment Factor

Children With Working Parents

Licensed Care Demand Factor

Resident Children Needing Licensed Care

of Total Resident Children Needing Licensed Care

Children from Non-Resident Employees Needing

Licensed Care

(1)

(2)

(3)

77 192

66

51 173

37

19 164

24 85

9 13

269

224

82

182

68

22

Total Demand for Child Care Spaces

Distribution

EXISTING SUPPLY (4)

28 177

13 87

Child Care Spaces

204

100

Family Child Care Home Supply

Child Care Center Supply

Current Child Care Supply

Distribution

EXISTING SURPLUS(SHORTAGE)

Distribution

Percentage of Demand Met

by Existing FacilitiesSpaces

Shortage of Family Child Care Home Spaces

Shortage of Center-Based Spaces

(5)

(6)

(6)

0

4

4

- -

- 153

- 153

0 100

(28) (24)

54 46

0 87

0 0

(28) (24)

0

153

153

100

(51)

100

75

0

(51)

FINAL

Table B-14

Future Child Care Demand and Supply in 2025 in Portola Valley

San Mateo County Child Care Study - 2016

Note All footnote references can be found in Table C-1 at the end of this file

Sources 2010 US Census ABAG Projections 2013 2014 American Community Survey ACS Journey-to-Work data 2006-2008 and 2006-2010

Child Care Coordinating Council of San Mateo County (4Cs) Community Care Licensing Brion Economics Inc

Prepared by Brion Economics Inc 2513-SMC NA Final Tables 61216 6122016

REDWOOD CITY

No of

Providers

Child Care as of 2025

Under 2 Years

Old

2 to 4 Year

Olds

Total 0 to 4

Years

EXISTING DEMAND Child Care Demand

Estimated Total Children

Average LFPRAdjustment Factor

Children With Working Parents

Licensed Care Demand Factor

Resident Children Needing Licensed Care

of Total Resident Children Needing Licensed Care

Children from Non-Resident Employees Needing

Licensed Care

Total Demand for Child Care Spaces

Distribution

EXISTING SUPPLY

(1)

(2)

(3)

(4)

3725 5378

69

2555 4813

37

946 4505

25 84

466 703

1411 5208

21 79

Child Care Spaces

9103

7368

74

5450

60

1169

6619

100

Family Child Care Home Supply

Child Care Center Supply

Current Child Care Supply

Distribution

EXISTING SURPLUS(SHORTAGE)

Distribution

Percentage of Demand Met

by Existing FacilitiesSpaces

Shortage of Family Child Care Home Spaces

Shortage of Center-Based Spaces

(5)

(6)

(6)

42

41

83

396 497

356 2036

752 2533

23 77

(660) (2674)

20 80

53 49

(347) (525)

(313) (2149)

893

2392

3285

100

(3334)

100

50

(872)

(2462)

FINAL

Table B-15

Future Child Care Demand and Supply in 2025 in Redwood City

San Mateo County Child Care Study - 2016

Note All footnote references can be found in Table C-1 at the end of this file

Sources 2010 US Census ABAG Projections 2013 2014 American Community Survey ACS Journey-to-Work data 2006-2008 and 2006-2010

Child Care Coordinating Council of San Mateo County (4Cs) Community Care Licensing Brion Economics Inc

Prepared by Brion Economics Inc 2513-SMC NA Final Tables 61216 6122016

SAN BRUNO

Child Care as of 2025

No of

Providers

Under 2 Years

Old

2 to 4 Year

Olds

Total 0 to 4

Years

EXISTING DEMAND Child Care Demand

Estimated Total Children

Average LFPRAdjustment Factor

Children With Working Parents

Licensed Care Demand Factor

Resident Children Needing Licensed Care

of Total Resident Children Needing Licensed Care

Children from Non-Resident Employees Needing

Licensed Care

(1)

(2)

(3)

1189 1728

77

910 1589

37

337 1475

28 85

68 103

2917

2498

73

1812

62

171

Total Demand for Child Care Spaces

Distribution

EXISTING SUPPLY (4)

405 1578

20 80

Child Care Spaces

1983

100

Family Child Care Home Supply

Child Care Center Supply

Current Child Care Supply

Distribution

EXISTING SURPLUS(SHORTAGE)

Distribution

Percentage of Demand Met

by Existing FacilitiesSpaces

Shortage of Family Child Care Home Spaces

Shortage of Center-Based Spaces

(5)

(6)

(6)

13

15

28

122 153

26 1183

148 1336

10 90

(257) (242)

52 48

37 85

(212) (28)

(45) (214)

275

1209

1484

100

(499)

100

75

(239)

(259)

FINAL

Table B-16

Future C hild Care Demand and Supply in 2025 in San Bruno

San Mateo County Child Care Study - 2016

Note All footnote references can be found in Table C-1 at the end of this file

Sources 2010 US Census ABAG Projections 2013 2014 American Community Survey ACS Journey-to-Work data 2006-2008 and 2006-2010

Child Care Coordinating Council of San Mateo County (4Cs) Community Care Licensing Brion Economics Inc

Prepared by Brion Economics Inc 2513-SMC NA Final Tables 61216 6122016

SAN CARLOS

Child Care as of 2025

No of

Providers

Under 2 Years

Old

2 to 4 Year

Olds

Total 0 to 4

Years

EXISTING DEMAND Child Care Demand

Estimated Total Children

Average LFPRAdjustment Factor

Children With Working Parents

Licensed Care Demand Factor

Resident Children Needing Licensed Care

of Total Resident Children Needing Licensed Care

Children from Non-Resident Employees Needing

Licensed Care

(1)

(2)

(3)

778 1384

72

557 1255

37

206 1174

26 85

82 123

2162

1812

76

1380

64

205

Total Demand for Child Care Spaces

Distribution

EXISTING SUPPLY (4)

288 1297

18 82

Child Care Spaces

1585

100

Family Child Care Home Supply

Child Care Center Supply

Current Child Care Supply

Distribution

EXISTING SURPLUS(SHORTAGE)

Distribution

Percentage of Demand Met

by Existing FacilitiesSpaces

Shortage of Family Child Care Home Spaces

Shortage of Center-Based Spaces

(5)

(6)

(6)

28

14

42

73 92

76 615

149 707

17 83

(139) (590)

19 81

52 54

(68) (76)

(71) (514)

164

691

855

100

(729)

100

54

(145)

(585)

FINAL

Table B-17

Future Child Care Demand and Supply in 2025 in San Carlos

San Mateo County Child Care Study - 2016

Note All footnote references can be found in Table C-1 at the end of this file

Sources 2010 US Census ABAG Projections 2013 2014 American Community Survey ACS Journey-to-Work data 2006-2008 and 2006-2010

Child Care Coordinating Council of San Mateo County (4Cs) Community Care Licensing Brion Economics Inc

Prepared by Brion Economics Inc 2513-SMC NA Final Tables 61216 6122016

SAN MATEO

Child Care as of 2025

No of

Providers

Under 2 Years

Old

2 to 4 Year

Olds

Total 0 to 4

Years

EXISTING DEMAND Child Care Demand

Estimated Total Children

Average LFPRAdjustment Factor

Children With Working Parents

Licensed Care Demand Factor

Resident Children Needing Licensed Care

of Total Resident Children Needing Licensed Care

Children from Non-Resident Employees Needing

Licensed Care

(1)

(2)

(3)

3194 4572

71

2264 4116

37

838 3839

26 84

261 394

7766

6381

73

4677

60

656

Total Demand for Child Care Spaces

Distribution

EXISTING SUPPLY (4)

1099 4233

21 79

Child Care Spaces

5332

100

Family Child Care Home Supply

Child Care Center Supply

Current Child Care Supply

Distribution

EXISTING SURPLUS(SHORTAGE)

Distribution

Percentage of Demand Met

by Existing FacilitiesSpaces

Shortage of Family Child Care Home Spaces

Shortage of Center-Based Spaces

(5)

(6)

(6)

69

59

128

492 619

209 2577

701 3196

18 82

(398) (1037)

28 72

64 75

(279) (201)

(119) (837)

1111

2786

3897

100

(1435)

100

73

(480)

(955)

FINAL

Table B-18

Future Child Care Demand and Supply in 2025 in San Mateo

San Mateo County Child Care Study - 2016

Note All footnote references can be found in Table C-1 at the end of this file

Sources 2010 US Census ABAG Projections 2013 2014 American Community Survey ACS Journey-to-Work data 2006-2008 and 2006-2010

Child Care Coordinating Council of San Mateo County (4Cs) Community Care Licensing Brion Economics Inc

Prepared by Brion Economics Inc 2513-SMC NA Final Tables 61216 6122016

FINAL

Table B-19

Future Child Care Demand and Supply in 2025 in South Coast

San Mateo County Child Care Study - 2016

SOUTH COAST

Child Care as of 2025

No of

Providers

Under 2 Years

Old

2 to 4 Year

Olds

Total 0 to 4

Years

EXISTING DEMAND Child Care Demand

Estimated Total Children (1) 23 32 55

Average LFPRAdjustment Factor (2) 54

Children With Working Parents 12 27 40

Licensed Care Demand Factor (3) 37 77

Resident Children Needing Licensed Care 5 26 30

of Total Resident Children Needing Licensed Care 20 81 56

Children from Non-Resident Employees Needing

Licensed Care 0 0 0

Total Demand for Child Care Spaces 5 26 30

Distribution 15 85 100

EXISTING SUPPLY (4) Child Care Spaces

Family Child Care Home Supply - 0 0 0

Child Care Center Supply 2 0 54 54

Current Child Care Supply 2 - 54 54

Distribution 0 100 100

EXISTING SURPLUS(SHORTAGE) (5) 28 24

Distribution -19 119 100

Percentage of Demand Met

by Existing FacilitiesSpaces (5) 0 209 177

Shortage of Family Child Care Home Spaces (6) 0 NA 0

Shortage of Center-Based Spaces (6) (5) NA (5)

Note All footnote references can be found in Table C-1 at the end of this file

Sources 2010 US Census ABAG Projections 2013 2014 American Community Survey ACS Journey-to-Work data 2006-2008 and 2006-2010

Child Care Coordinating Council of San Mateo County (4Cs) Community Care Licensing Brion Economics Inc

Prepared by Brion Economics Inc 2513-SMC NA Final Tables 61216 6122016

SOUTH SAN FRANCISCO

Child Care as of 2025

No of

Providers

Under 2 Years

Old

2 to 4 Year

Olds

Total 0 to 4

Years

EXISTING DEMAND Child Care Demand

Estimated Total Children

Average LFPRAdjustment Factor

Children With Working Parents

Licensed Care Demand Factor

Resident Children Needing Licensed Care

of Total Resident Children Needing Licensed Care

Children from Non-Resident Employees Needing

Licensed Care

(1)

(2)

(3)

1835 2790

73

1342 2535

37

496 2362

27 85

339 512

4625

3877

74

2859

62

851

Total Demand for Child Care Spaces

Distribution

EXISTING SUPPLY (4)

835 2874

23 77

Child Care Spaces

3709

100

Family Child Care Home Supply

Child Care Center Supply

Current Child Care Supply

Distribution

EXISTING SURPLUS(SHORTAGE)

Distribution

Percentage of Demand Met

by Existing FacilitiesSpaces

Shortage of Family Child Care Home Spaces

Shortage of Center-Based Spaces

(5)

(6)

(6)

30

27

57

252 317

400 1966

652 2283

22 78

(183) (591)

24 76

78 79

(71) (82)

(113) (509)

569

2366

2935

100

(775)

100

79

(153)

(622)

FINAL

Table B-20

Future Child Care Demand and Supply in 2025 in South San Francisco

San Mateo County Child Care Study - 2016

Note All footnote references can be found in Table C-1 at the end of this file

Sources 2010 US Census ABAG Projections 2013 2014 American Community Survey ACS Journey-to-Work data 2006-2008 and 2006-2010

Child Care Coordinating Council of San Mateo County (4Cs) Community Care Licensing Brion Economics Inc

Prepared by Brion Economics Inc 2513-SMC NA Final Tables 61216 6122016

WOODSIDE

No of

Providers

Child Care as of 2025

Under 2 Years

Old

2 to 4 Year

Olds

Total 0 to 4

Years

EXISTING DEMAND Child Care Demand

Estimated Total Children

Average LFPRAdjustment Factor

Children With Working Parents

Licensed Care Demand Factor

Resident Children Needing Licensed Care

of Total Resident Children Needing Licensed Care

Children from Non-Resident Employees Needing

Licensed Care

(1)

(2)

(3)

93 165

56

51 140

37

19 132

21 80

9 13

258

192

79

152

59

22

Total Demand for Child Care Spaces

Distribution

EXISTING SUPPLY (4)

28 146

16 84

Child Care Spaces

174

100

Family Child Care Home Supply

Child Care Center Supply

Current Child Care Supply

Distribution

EXISTING SURPLUS(SHORTAGE)

Distribution

Percentage of Demand Met

by Existing FacilitiesSpaces

Shortage of Family Child Care Home Spaces

Shortage of Center-Based Spaces

(5)

(6)

(6)

1

2

3

4 5

- 103

4 108

4 96

(24) (38)

39 61

15 74

(24) (2)

0 (36)

9

103

112

100

(61)

100

65

(26)

(36)

FINAL

Table B-21

Future Child Care Demand and Supply in 2025 in Woodside

San Mateo County Child Care Study - 2016

Note All footnote references can be found in Table C-1 at the end of this file

Sources 2010 US Census ABAG Projections 2013 2014 American Community Survey ACS Journey-to-Work data 2006-2008 and 2006-2010

Child Care Coordinating Council of San Mateo County (4Cs) Community Care Licensing Brion Economics Inc

Prepared by Brion Economics Inc 2513-SMC NA Final Tables 61216 6122016

FINAL

Table C-1

Endnotes for Tables

San Mateo County Child Care Study - 2016

(1) Population by age is based on the percentage breakdown from the 2010 US Census and applied

to population estimates for 2015 using ABAGs Projections 2013 population data The ABAG data

for each area includes its Sphere of Influence and is not based on strict jurisdictional boundaries

(2) Labor force participation rates are from the 5-Year American Community Survey 2014 and include

children under six years old with two working parents or a single working parent For the 2- to 4-year

olds the labor force participation rate is applied to 2 year olds For 3- and 4-year olds it is assumed

that 100 need licensed care to support preschool for every child so the number of

3- and 4-year olds is not discounted by labor force participation rates

(3) Not all children with working parents are assumed to need licensed care percentage assumptions are

used to calculate the number of children requiring licensed care under each age category The

remaining children are assumed to be cared for in alternate arrangements such as by family members

nannies friends and other unlicensed care For children ages 3- and 4-years old it is assumed that

they all need care in the form of preschool

(4) Data on child care supply provided by the Child Care Coordinating Council of San Mateo County (4Cs)

and Community Care Licensing Division of the California Department of Social Services (CCLD) Data is

for June 2015

(5) Demand that calculates as less than 100 means that there is greater demand than supply percent of

demand that is over 100 means supply exceeds demand

(6) Unmet demand is broken down into shortage by type of care based on the proportion of FCCHs and

child care centers spaces available in each area If an area does not have any FCCHs or centers the

unmet demand is placed in the type of care that is available in the area (eg if there are only centers

all demand goes to centers)

Source Brion Economics Inc

Prepared by Brion Economics Inc 2513-SMC NA Final Tables 61216 6122016

DRAFT REPORT

Table C-2

Labor Force Participation Rates by CityArea

San Mateo County Child Care Study - 2016

CityArea

Labor Force

Participation Rate (1)

Atherton

Belmont

Brisbane

Burlingame

Daly CityColma

East Palo Alto

Foster City

Half Moon Bay Region

Hillsborough

Menlo Park

Millbrae

Pacifica

Portola Valley

Redwood City

San Bruno

San Carlos

San Mateo

South Coast

South San Francisco

Woodside

40

77

100

65

74

71

63

69

52

69

62

78

66

69

77

72

71

54

73

56

(1) Labor force participation rates (LFPRs) are for

families with children under age six with two

working parents or a single parent who works Sources American Community Survey 2014 5-Year

Survey Brion Economics Inc

Prepared by Brion Economics Inc 2513-SMC NA Final Tables 61216 6122016

  • 2513-SMC FINAL NA Memo-61216
  • 2513-SMC NA Final Tables 61216
Page 31: Final San Mateo County Child Care Needs … Care...Future C hild Care Demand and Supply in 2025 in Daly City/Colma San Mateo County Child Care Study - 2016 Note: All footnote references

HALF MOON BAY REGION

Child Care as of 2015

No of

Providers

Under 2 Years

Old

2 to 4 Year

Olds

Total 0 to 4

Years

EXISTING DEMAND Child Care Demand

Estimated Total Children

Average LFPRAdjustment Factor

Children With Working Parents

Licensed Care Demand Factor

Resident Children Needing Licensed Care

of Total Resident Children Needing Licensed Care

Children from Non-Resident Employees Needing

Licensed Care

(1)

(2)

(3)

511 860

69

354 772

37

131 723

26 84

13 19

1371

1126

76

854

62

32

Total Demand for Child Care Spaces

Distribution

EXISTING SUPPLY (4)

144 742

16 84

Child Care Spaces

885

100

Family Child Care Home Supply

Child Care Center Supply

Current Child Care Supply

Distribution

EXISTING SURPLUS(SHORTAGE)

Distribution

Percentage of Demand Met

by Existing FacilitiesSpaces

Shortage of Family Child Care Home Spaces

Shortage of Center-Based Spaces

(5)

(6)

(6)

28

11

39

96 121

35 285

131 406

24 76

(13) (336)

4 96

91 55

(9) (100)

(3) (236)

216

320

536

100

(349)

100

61

(109)

(240)

FINAL

Table A-9

Existing Child Care Demand and Supply in 2015 in Half Moon Bay Region

San Mateo County Child Care Study - 2016

Note All footnote references can be found in Table C-1 at the end of this file

Sources 2010 US Census ABAG Projections 2013 2014 American Community Survey ACS Journey-to-Work data 2006-2008 and 2006-2010

Child Care Coordinating Council of San Mateo County (4Cs) Community Care Licensing Brion Economics Inc

Prepared by Brion Economics Inc 2513-SMC NA Final Tables 61216 6122016

HILLSBOROUGH

Child Care as of 2015

No of

Providers

Under 2 Years

Old

2 to 4 Year

Olds

Total 0 to 4

Years

EXISTING DEMAND Child Care Demand

Estimated Total Children

Average LFPRAdjustment Factor

Children With Working Parents

Licensed Care Demand Factor

Resident Children Needing Licensed Care

of Total Resident Children Needing Licensed Care

Children from Non-Resident Employees Needing

Licensed Care

(1)

(2)

(3)

138 331

52

71 284

37

26 272

19 82

7 10

469

356

84

298

64

16

Total Demand for Child Care Spaces

Distribution

EXISTING SUPPLY (4)

33 282

10 90

Child Care Spaces

315

100

Family Child Care Home Supply

Child Care Center Supply

Current Child Care Supply

Distribution

EXISTING SURPLUS(SHORTAGE)

Distribution

Percentage of Demand Met

by Existing FacilitiesSpaces

Shortage of Family Child Care Home Spaces

Shortage of Center-Based Spaces

(5)

(6)

(6)

1

4

5

5 6

- 91

5 97

5 95

(28) (185)

13 87

15 34

(28) (12)

0 (173)

11

91

102

100

(213)

100

32

(40)

(173)

FINAL

Table A-10

Existing Child Care Demand and Supply in 2015 in Hillsborough

San Mateo County Child Care Study - 2016

Note All footnote references can be found in Table C-1 at the end of this file Sources 2010 US Census ABAG Projections 2013 2014 American Community Survey ACS Journey-to-Work data 2006-2008 and 2006-2010

Child Care Coordinating Council of San Mateo County (4Cs) Community Care Licensing Brion Economics Inc

Prepared by Brion Economics Inc 2513-SMC NA Final Tables 61216 6122016

MENLO PARK

Child Care as of 2015

No of

Providers

Under 2 Years

Old

2 to 4 Year

Olds

Total 0 to 4

Years

EXISTING DEMAND Child Care Demand

Estimated Total Children

Average LFPRAdjustment Factor

Children With Working Parents

Licensed Care Demand Factor

Resident Children Needing Licensed Care

of Total Resident Children Needing Licensed Care

Children from Non-Resident Employees Needing

Licensed Care

(1)

(2)

(3)

1170 1723

69

802 1551

37

297 1458

25 85

220 332

2893

2353

75

1754

61

552

Total Demand for Child Care Spaces

Distribution

EXISTING SUPPLY (4)

516 1790

22 78

Child Care Spaces

2306

100

Family Child Care Home Supply

Child Care Center Supply

Current Child Care Supply

Distribution

EXISTING SURPLUS(SHORTAGE)

Distribution

Percentage of Demand Met

by Existing FacilitiesSpaces

Shortage of Family Child Care Home Spaces

Shortage of Center-Based Spaces

(5)

(6)

(6)

18

25

43

76 96

73 1331

149 1427

9 91

(367) (363)

50 50

29 80

(188) (24)

(180) (338)

172

1404

1576

100

(730)

100

68

(212)

(518)

FINAL

Table A-11

Existing Child Care Demand and Supply in 2015 in Menlo Park

San Mateo County Child Care Study - 2016

Note All footnote references can be found in Table C-1 at the end of this file Sources 2010 US Census ABAG Projections 2013 2014 American Community Survey ACS Journey-to-Work data 2006-2008 and 2006-2010

Child Care Coordinating Council of San Mateo County (4Cs) Community Care Licensing Brion Economics Inc

Prepared by Brion Economics Inc 2513-SMC NA Final Tables 61216 6122016

MILLBRAE

Child Care as of 2015

No of

Providers

Under 2 Years

Old

2 to 4 Year

Olds

Total 0 to 4

Years

EXISTING DEMAND Child Care Demand

Total Children

Average LFPRAdjustment Factor

Children With Working Parents

Licensed Care Demand Factor

Resident Children Needing Licensed Care

of Total Resident Children Needing Licensed Care

Children from Non-Resident Employees Needing

Licensed Care

(1)

(2)

(3)

421 717

62

260 632

37

96 598

23 83

28 42

1138

892

78

694

61

69

Total Demand for Child Care Spaces

Distribution

EXISTING SUPPLY (4)

124 640

16 84

Child Care Spaces

764

100

Family Child Care Home Supply

Child Care Center Supply

Current Child Care Supply

Distribution

EXISTING SURPLUS(SHORTAGE)

Distribution

Percentage of Demand Met

by Existing FacilitiesSpaces

Shortage of Family Child Care Home Spaces

Shortage of Center-Based Spaces

(5)

(6)

(6)

17

7

24

62 78

- 376

62 454

12 88

(61) (186)

25 75

50 71

(61) (32)

0 (154)

141

376

517

100

(247)

100

68

(93)

(154)

FINAL

Table A-12

Existing Child Care Demand and Supply in 2015 in Millbrae

San Mateo Co unty Child Care Study - 2016

Note All footnote references can be found in Table C-1 at the end of this file

Sources 2010 US Census ABAG Projections 2013 2014 American Community Survey ACS Journey-to-Work data 2006-2008 and 2006-2010

Child Care Coordinating Council of San Mateo County (4Cs) Community Care Licensing Brion Economics Inc

Prepared by Brion Economics Inc 2513-SMC NA Final Tables 61216 6122016

PACIFICA

Child Care as of 2015

No of

Providers

Under 2 Years

Old

2 to 4 Year

Olds

Total 0 to 4

Years

EXISTING DEMAND Child Care Demand

Estimated Total Children

Average LFPRAdjustment Factor

Children With Working Parents

Licensed Care Demand Factor

Resident Children Needing Licensed Care

of Total Resident Children Needing Licensed Care

Children from Non-Resident Employees Needing

Licensed Care

(1)

(2)

(3)

787 1253

78

610 1165

37

226 1089

29 87

18 27

2040

1776

74

1315

64

45

Total Demand for Child Care Spaces

Distribution

EXISTING SUPPLY (4)

244 1117

18 83

Child Care Spaces

1360

100

Family Child Care Home Supply

Child Care Center Supply

Current Child Care Supply

Distribution

EXISTING SURPLUS(SHORTAGE)

Distribution

Percentage of Demand Met

by Existing FacilitiesSpaces

Shortage of Family Child Care Home Spaces

Shortage of Center-Based Spaces

(5)

(6)

(6)

21

18

39

77 97

39 701

116 798

13 87

(128) (319)

29 71

48 71

(85) (39)

(43) (280)

174

740

914

100

(447)

100

67

(124)

(323)

FINAL

Table A-13

Existing Child Care Demand and Supply in 2015 in Pacifica

San Mateo County Child Care Study - 2016

Note All footnote references can be found in Table C-1 at the end of this file Sources 2010 US Census ABAG Projections 2013 2014 American Community Survey ACS Journey-to-Work data 2006-2008 and 2006-2010

Child Care Coordinating Council of San Mateo County (4Cs) Community Care Licensing Brion Economics Inc

Prepared by Brion Economics Inc 2513-SMC NA Final Tables 61216 6122016

PORTOLA VALLEY

No of

Providers

Child Care as of 2015

Under 2 Years

Old

2 to 4 Year

Olds

Total 0 to 4

Years

EXISTING DEMAND Child Care Demand

Estimated Total Children

Average LFPRAdjustment Factor

Children With Working Parents

Licensed Care Demand Factor

Resident Children Needing Licensed Care

of Total Resident Children Needing Licensed Care

Children from Non-Resident Employees Needing

Licensed Care

(1)

(2)

(3)

75 187

66

49 168

37

18 159

24 85

8 12

261

217

82

177

68

21

Total Demand for Child Care Spaces

Distribution

EXISTING SUPPLY (4)

26 171

13 87

Child Care Spaces

198

100

Family Child Care Home Supply

Child Care Center Supply

Current Child Care Supply

Distribution

EXISTING SURPLUS(SHORTAGE)

Distribution

Percentage of Demand Met

by Existing FacilitiesSpaces

Shortage of Family Child Care Home Spaces

Shortage of Center-Based Spaces

(5)

(6)

(6)

0

4

4

0 0

0 153

0 153

0 100

(26) (18)

59 41

0 89

0 0

(26) (18)

0

153

153

100

(45)

100

77

0

(45)

FINAL

Table A-14

Existing Child Care Demand and Supply in 2015 in Portola Valley

San Mateo County Child Care Study - 2016

Note All footnote references can be found in Table C-1 at the end of this file Sources 2010 US Census ABAG Projections 2013 2014 American Community Survey ACS Journey-to-Work data 2006-2008 and 2006-2010

Child Care Coordinating Council of San Mateo County (4Cs) Community Care Licensing Brion Economics Inc

Prepared by Brion Economics Inc 2513-SMC NA Final Tables 61216 6122016

REDWOOD CITY

Child Care as of 2015

No of

Providers

Under 2 Years

Old

2 to 4 Year

Olds

Total 0 to 4

Years

EXISTING DEMAND Child Care Demand

Estimated Total Children

Average LFPRAdjustment Factor

Children With Working Parents

Licensed Care Demand Factor

Resident Children Needing Licensed Care

of Total Resident Children Needing Licensed Care

Children from Non-Resident Employees Needing

Licensed Care

Total Demand for Child Care Spaces

Distribution

EXISTING SUPPLY

(1)

(2)

(3)

(4)

3260 4706

69

2236 4212

37

827 3942

25 84

414 625

1241 4567

21 79

Child Care Spaces

7966

6449

74

4770

60

1038

5808

100

Family Child Care Home Supply

Child Care Center Supply

Current Child Care Supply

Distribution

EXISTING SURPLUS(SHORTAGE)

Distribution

Percentage of Demand Met

by Existing FacilitiesSpaces

Shortage of Family Child Care Home Spaces

Shortage of Center-Based Spaces

(5)

(6)

(6)

111

45

156

396 497

356 2036

752 2533

23 77

(490) (2034)

19 81

61 55

(258) (399)

(232) (1635)

893

2392

3285

100

(2524)

100

57

(657)

(1867)

FINAL

Table A-15

Existing Child Care Demand and Supply in 2015 in Redwood City

San Mateo County Child Care Study - 2016

Note All footnote references can be found in Table C-1 at the end of this file Sources 2010 US Census ABAG Projections 2013 2014 American Community Survey ACS Journey-to-Work data 2006-2008 and 2006-2010

Child Care Coordinating Council of San Mateo County (4Cs) Community Care Licensing Brion Economics Inc

Prepared by Brion Economics Inc 2513-SMC NA Final Tables 61216 6122016

SAN BRUNO

Child Care as of 2015

No of

Providers

Under 2 Years

Old

2 to 4 Year

Olds

Total 0 to 4

Years

EXISTING DEMAND Child Care Demand

Estimated Total Children

Average LFPRAdjustment Factor

Children With Working Parents

Licensed Care Demand Factor

Resident Children Needing Licensed Care

of Total Resident Children Needing Licensed Care

Children from Non-Resident Employees Needing

Licensed Care

(1)

(2)

(3)

1069 1553

77

817 1428

37

302 1326

28 85

61 92

2622

2245

73

1628

62

153

Total Demand for Child Care Spaces

Distribution

EXISTING SUPPLY (4)

364 1418

20 80

Child Care Spaces

1782

100

Family Child Care Home Supply

Child Care Center Supply

Current Child Care Supply

Distribution

EXISTING SURPLUS(SHORTAGE)

Distribution

Percentage of Demand Met

by Existing FacilitiesSpaces

Shortage of Family Child Care Home Spaces

Shortage of Center-Based Spaces

(5)

(6)

(6)

34

15

49

122 153

26 1183

148 1336

10 90

(216) (82)

72 28

41 94

(178) (9)

(38) (73)

275

1209

1484

100

(298)

100

83

(187)

(110)

FINAL

Table A-16

Existing Child Care Demand and Supply in 2015 in San Bruno

San Mateo County Child Care Study - 2016

Note All footnote references can be found in Table C-1 at the end of this file Sources 2010 US Census ABAG Projections 2013 2014 American Community Survey ACS Journey-to-Work data 2006-2008 and 2006-2010

Child Care Coordinating Council of San Mateo County (4Cs) Community Care Licensing Brion Economics Inc

Prepared by Brion Economics Inc 2513-SMC NA Final Tables 61216 6122016

SAN CARLOS

Child Care as of 2015

No of

Providers

Under 2 Years

Old

2 to 4 Year

Olds

Total 0 to 4

Years

EXISTING DEMAND Child Care Demand

Estimated Total Children

Average LFPRAdjustment Factor

Children With Working Parents

Licensed Care Demand Factor

Resident Children Needing Licensed Care

of Total Resident Children Needing Licensed Care

Children from Non-Resident Employees Needing

Licensed Care

(1)

(2)

(3)

735 1308

72

526 1186

37

195 1109

26 85

75 114

2043

1712

76

1304

64

189

Total Demand for Child Care Spaces

Distribution

EXISTING SUPPLY (4)

270 1222

18 82

Child Care Spaces

1492

100

Family Child Care Home Supply

Child Care Center Supply

Current Child Care Supply

Distribution

EXISTING SURPLUS(SHORTAGE)

Distribution

Percentage of Demand Met

by Existing FacilitiesSpaces

Shortage of Family Child Care Home Spaces

Shortage of Center-Based Spaces

(5)

(6)

(6)

20

14

34

73 92

76 615

149 707

17 83

(121) (516)

19 81

55 58

(59) (67)

(62) (449)

164

691

855

100

(637)

100

57

(126)

(511)

FINAL

Table A-17

Existing Child Care Demand and Supply in 2015 in San Carlos

San Mateo County Child Care Study - 2016

Note All footnote references can be found in Table C-1 at the end of this file

Sources 2010 US Census ABAG Projections 2013 2014 American Community Survey ACS Journey-to-Work data 2006-2008 and 2006-2010

Child Care Coordinating Council of San Mateo County (4Cs) Community Care Licensing Brion Economics Inc

Prepared by Brion Economics Inc 2513-SMC NA Final Tables 61216 6122016

SAN MATEO

Child Care as of 2015

No of

Providers

Under 2 Years

Old

2 to 4 Year

Olds

Total 0 to 4

Years

EXISTING DEMAND Child Care Demand

Estimated Total Children

Average LFPRAdjustment Factor

Children With Working Parents

Licensed Care Demand Factor

Resident Children Needing Licensed Care

of Total Resident Children Needing Licensed Care

Children from Non-Resident Employees Needing

Licensed Care

(1)

(2)

(3)

2943 4213

71

2087 3793

37

772 3537

26 84

231 348

7156

5880

73

4309

60

579

Total Demand for Child Care Spaces

Distribution

EXISTING SUPPLY (4)

1003 3886

21 79

Child Care Spaces

4889

100

Family Child Care Home Supply

Child Care Center Supply

Current Child Care Supply

Distribution

EXISTING SURPLUS(SHORTAGE)

Distribution

Percentage of Demand Met

by Existing FacilitiesSpaces

Shortage of Family Child Care Home Spaces

Shortage of Center-Based Spaces

(5)

(6)

(6)

126

59

185

492 619

209 2577

701 3196

18 82

(302) (690)

30 70

70 82

(212) (134)

(90) (557)

1111

2786

3897

100

(992)

100

80

(345)

(647)

FINAL

Table A-18

Existing Child Care Demand and Supply in 2015 in San Mateo

San Mateo County Child Care Study - 2016

Note All footnote references can be found in Table C-1 at the end of this file

Sources 2010 US Census ABAG Projections 2013 2014 American Community Survey ACS Journey-to-Work data 2006-2008 and 2006-2010

Child Care Coordinating Council of San Mateo County (4Cs) Community Care Licensing Brion Economics Inc

Prepared by Brion Economics Inc 2513-SMC NA Final Tables 61216 6122016

SOUTH COAST

Child Care as of 2015

No of

Providers

Under 2 Years

Old

2 to 4 Year

Olds

Total 0 to 4

Years

EXISTING DEMAND Child Care Demand

Estimated Total Children

Average LFPRAdjustment Factor

Children With Working Parents

Licensed Care Demand Factor

Resident Children Needing Licensed Care

of Total Resident Children Needing Licensed Care

Children from Non-Resident Employees Needing

Licensed Care

(1)

(2)

(3)

21 29

54

11 25

37

4 23

20 81

0 0

50

36

77

28

56

0

Total Demand for Child Care Spaces

Distribution

EXISTING SUPPLY (4)

4 23

15 85

Child Care Spaces

28

100

Family Child Care Home Supply

Child Care Center Supply

Current Child Care Supply

Distribution

EXISTING SURPLUS(SHORTAGE)

Distribution

Percentage of Demand Met

by Existing FacilitiesSpaces

Shortage of Family Child Care Home Spaces

Shortage of Center-Based Spaces

(5)

(6)

(6)

-

2

2

- -

- 54

- 54

0 100

(4) 31

-16 116

0 230

(2) NA

(2) NA

0

54

54

100

26

100

195

(2)

(2)

FINAL

Table A-19

Existing Child Care Demand and Supply in 2015 in South Coast

San Mateo County Child Care Study - 2016

Note All footnote references can be found in Table C-1 at the end of this file

Sources 2010 US Census ABAG Projections 2013 2014 American Community Survey ACS Journey-to-Work data 2006-2008 and 2006-2010

Child Care Coordinating Council of San Mateo County (4Cs) Community Care Licensing Brion Economics Inc

Prepared by Brion Economics Inc 2513-SMC NA Final Tables 61216 6122016

SOUTH SAN FRANCISCO

Child Care as of 2015

No of

Providers

Under 2 Years

Old

2 to 4 Year

Olds

Total 0 to 4

Years

EXISTING DEMAND Child Care Demand

Estimated Total Children

Average LFPRAdjustment Factor

Children With Working Parents

Licensed Care Demand Factor

Resident Children Needing Licensed Care

of Total Resident Children Needing Licensed Care

Children from Non-Resident Employees Needing

Licensed Care

(1)

(2)

(3)

1649 2507

73

1206 2278

37

446 2123

27 85

309 466

4156

3484

74

2569

62

774

Total Demand for Child Care Spaces

Distribution

EXISTING SUPPLY (4)

755 2588

23 77

Child Care Spaces

3343

100

Family Child Care Home Supply

Child Care Center Supply

Current Child Care Supply

Distribution

EXISTING SURPLUS(SHORTAGE)

Distribution

Percentage of Demand Met

by Existing FacilitiesSpaces

Shortage of Family Child Care Home Spaces

Shortage of Center-Based Spaces

(5)

(6)

(6)

68

27

95

252 317

400 1966

652 2283

22 78

(103) (306)

25 75

86 88

(40) (42)

(63) (263)

569

2366

2935

100

(408)

100

88

(82)

(326)

FINAL

Table A-20

Existing Child Care Demand and Supply in 2015 in South San Francisco

San Mateo County Child Care Study - 2016

Note All footnote references can be found in Table C-1 at the end of this file Sources 2010 US Census ABAG Projections 2013 2014 American Community Survey ACS Journey-to-Work data 2006-2008 and 2006-2010

Child Care Coordinating Council of San Mateo County (4Cs) Community Care Licensing Brion Economics Inc

Prepared by Brion Economics Inc 2513-SMC NA Final Tables 61216 6122016

WOODSIDE

No of

Providers

Child Care as of 2015

Under 2 Years

Old

2 to 4 Year

Olds

Total 0 to 4

Years

EXISTING DEMAND Child Care Demand

Estimated Total Children

Average LFPRAdjustment Factor

Children With Working Parents

Licensed Care Demand Factor

Resident Children Needing Licensed Care

of Total Resident Children Needing Licensed Care

Children from Non-Resident Employees Needing

Licensed Care

(1)

(2)

(3)

90 160

56

50 136

37

18 128

21 80

8 13

250

186

79

147

59

21

Total Demand for Child Care Spaces

Distribution

EXISTING SUPPLY (4)

27 141

16 84

Child Care Spaces

168

100

Family Child Care Home Supply

Child Care Center Supply

Current Child Care Supply

Distribution

EXISTING SURPLUS(SHORTAGE)

Distribution

Percentage of Demand Met

by Existing FacilitiesSpaces

Shortage of Family Child Care Home Spaces

Shortage of Center-Based Spaces

(5)

(6)

(6)

1

2

3

4 5

0 103

4 108

4 96

(23) (33)

41 59

16 77

(23) (2)

0 (31)

9

103

112

100

(55)

100

67

(24)

(31)

FINAL

Table A-21

Existing Child Care Demand and Supply in 2015 in Woodside

San Mateo County Child Care Study - 2016

Note All footnote references can be found in Table C-1 at the end of this file Sources 2010 US Census ABAG Projections 2013 2014 American Community Survey ACS Journey-to-Work data 2006-2008 and 2006-2010

Child Care Coordinating Council of San Mateo County (4Cs) Community Care Licensing Brion Economics Inc

Prepared by Brion Economics Inc 2513-SMC NA Final Tables 61216 6122016

COUNTYWIDE

Child Care as of 2025

No of

Providers

Under 2 Years

Old

2 to 4 Year

Olds

Total 0 to 4

Years

EXISTING DEMAND Child Care Demand

Estimated Total Children

Average LFPRAdjustment Factor

Children With Working Parents

Licensed Care Demand Factor

Resident Children Needing Licensed Care

of Total Resident Children Needing Licensed Care

Children from Non-Resident Employees Needing

Licensed Care

Total Demand for Child Care Spaces

Distribution

EXISTING SUPPLY

(1)

(2)

(3)

(4)

20790 31340

71

14704 28273

37

5441 26432

26 84

2037 3074

7478 29506

20 80

Child Care Spaces

52130

42978

86

31873

61

5112

36984

100

Family Child Care Home Supply

Child Care Center Supply

Current Child Care Supply

Distribution

EXISTING SURPLUS(SHORTAGE)

Distribution

Percentage of Demand Met

by Existing FacilitiesSpaces

Shortage of Family Child Care Home Spaces

Shortage of Center-Based Spaces

(5)

(6)

(6)

621

309

930

2301 2893

1514 16296

3815 19189

17 83

(3663) (10318)

26 74

51 65

(2209) (1555)

(1454) (8762)

5193

17810

23003

100

(13981)

100

62

(3765)

(10216)

FINAL

Table B-1

Future C hild Care Demand and Supply in 2025 Countywide

San Mateo County Child Care Study - 2016

Note All footnote references can be found in Table C-1 at the end of this file

Sources 2010 US Census ABAG Projections 2013 2014 American Community Survey ACS Journey-to-Work data 2006-2008 and 2006-2010

Child Care Coordinating Council of San Mateo County (4Cs) Community Care Licensing Brion Economics Inc

Prepared by Brion Economics Inc 2513-SMC NA Final Tables 61216 6122016

ATHERTON

No of

Providers

Child Care as of 2025

Under 2 Years

Old

2 to 4 Year

Olds

Total 0 to 4

Years

EXISTING DEMAND Child Care Demand

Estimated Total Children

Average LFPRAdjustment Factor

Children With Working Parents

Licensed Care Demand Factor

Resident Children Needing Licensed Care

of Total Resident Children Needing Licensed Care

Children from Non-Resident Employees Needing

Licensed Care

(1)

(2)

(3)

109 193

40

43 159

37

16 154

15 80

13 19

302

202

84

170

56

32

Total Demand for Child Care Spaces

Distribution

EXISTING SUPPLY (4)

29 173

14 86

Child Care Spaces

201

100

Family Child Care Home Supply

Child Care Center Supply

Current Child Care Supply

Distribution

EXISTING SURPLUS(SHORTAGE)

Distribution

Percentage of Demand Met

by Existing FacilitiesSpaces

Shortage of Family Child Care Home Spaces

Shortage of Center-Based Spaces

(5)

(6)

(6)

1

6

7

5 6

24 267

29 273

10 90

0 101

0 100

101 158

NA NA

NA NA

11

291

302

100

101

100

150

NA

NA

FINAL

Table B-2

Future Child Care Demand and Supply in 2025 in Atherton

San Mateo Co unty Child Care Study - 2016

Note All footnote references can be found in Table C-1 at the end of this file Sources 2010 US Census ABAG Projections 2013 2014 American Community Survey ACS Journey-to-Work data 2006-2008 and 2006-2010

Child Care Coordinating Council of San Mateo County (4Cs) Community Care Licensing Brion Economics Inc

Prepared by Brion Economics Inc 2513-SMC NA Final Tables 61216 6122016

BELMONT

Child Care as of 2025

No of

Providers

Under 2 Years

Old

2 to 4 Year

Olds

Total 0 to 4

Years

EXISTING DEMAND Child Care Demand

Estimated Total Children

Average LFPRAdjustment Factor

Children With Working Parents

Licensed Care Demand Factor

Resident Children Needing Licensed Care

of Total Resident Children Needing Licensed Care

Children from Non-Resident Employees Needing

Licensed Care

(1)

(2)

(3)

743 1095

77

574 1013

37

213 943

29 86

37 56

1838

1587

73

1156

63

93

Total Demand for Child Care Spaces

Distribution

EXISTING SUPPLY (4)

250 999

20 80

Child Care Spaces

1249

100

Family Child Care Home Supply

Child Care Center Supply

Current Child Care Supply

Distribution

EXISTING SURPLUS(SHORTAGE)

Distribution

Percentage of Demand Met

by Existing FacilitiesSpaces

Shortage of Family Child Care Home Spaces

Shortage of Center-Based Spaces

(5)

(6)

(6)

8

9

17

67 84

39 531

106 615

15 85

(143) (384)

27 73

43 62

(91) (53)

(53) (331)

152

570

722

100

(527)

100

58

(143)

(384)

FINAL

Table B-3

Future Child Care Demand and Supply in 2025 in Belmont

San Mateo County Child Care Study - 2016

Note All footnote references can be found in Table C-1 at the end of this file

Sources 2010 US Census ABAG Projections 2013 2014 American Community Survey ACS Journey-to-Work data 2006-2008 and 2006-2010

Child Care Coordinating Council of San Mateo County (4Cs) Community Care Licensing Brion Economics Inc

Prepared by Brion Economics Inc 2513-SMC NA Final Tables 61216 6122016

BRISBANE

Child Care as of 2025

No of

Providers

Under 2 Years

Old

2 to 4 Year

Olds

Total 0 to 4

Years

EXISTING DEMAND Child Care Demand

Estimated Total Children

Average LFPRAdjustment Factor

Children With Working Parents

Licensed Care Demand Factor

Resident Children Needing Licensed Care

of Total Resident Children Needing Licensed Care

Children from Non-Resident Employees Needing

Licensed Care

(1)

(2)

(3)

131 174

100

131 174

37

48 160

37 92

55 83

305

305

68

209

68

138

Total Demand for Child Care Spaces

Distribution

EXISTING SUPPLY (4)

103 243

30 70

Child Care Spaces

346

100

Family Child Care Home Supply

Child Care Center Supply

Current Child Care Supply

Distribution

EXISTING SURPLUS(SHORTAGE)

Distribution

Percentage of Demand Met

by Existing FacilitiesSpaces

Shortage of Family Child Care Home Spaces

Shortage of Center-Based Spaces

(5)

(6)

(6)

1

1

2

4 5

0 64

4 69

6 94

(99) (174)

36 64

4 29

(99) (13)

0 (160)

9

64

73

100

(273)

100

21

(112)

(160)

FINAL

Table B-4

Future Child Care Demand and Supply in 2025 in Brisbane

San Mateo County Child Care Study - 2016

Note All footnote references can be found in Table C-1 at the end of this file Sources 2010 US Census ABAG Projections 2013 2014 American Community Survey ACS Journey-to-Work data 2006-2008 and 2006-2010

Child Care Coordinating Council of San Mateo County (4Cs) Community Care Licensing Brion Economics Inc

Prepared by Brion Economics Inc 2513-SMC NA Final Tables 61216 6122016

BURLINGAME

Child Care as of 2025

No of

Providers

Under 2 Years

Old

2 to 4 Year

Olds

Total 0 to 4

Years

EXISTING DEMAND Child Care Demand

Estimated Total Children

Average LFPRAdjustment Factor

Children With Working Parents

Licensed Care Demand Factor

Resident Children Needing Licensed Care

of Total Resident Children Needing Licensed Care

Children from Non-Resident Employees Needing

Licensed Care

(1)

(2)

(3)

903 1332

65

587 1190

37

217 1124

24 84

154 232

2235

1777

75

1341

60

385

Total Demand for Child Care Spaces

Distribution

EXISTING SUPPLY (4)

371 1356

21 79

Child Care Spaces

1726

100

Family Child Care Home Supply

Child Care Center Supply

Current Child Care Supply

Distribution

EXISTING SURPLUS(SHORTAGE)

Distribution

Percentage of Demand Met

by Existing FacilitiesSpaces

Shortage of Family Child Care Home Spaces

Shortage of Center-Based Spaces

(5)

(6)

(6)

10

14

24

79 99

40 866

119 965

11 89

(252) (390)

39 61

32 71

(167) (40)

(85) (350)

179

906

1085

100

(642)

100

63

(207)

(434)

FINAL

Table B-5

Future Child Care Demand and Supply in 2025 in Burlingame

San Mateo County Child Care Study - 2016

Note All footnote references can be found in Table C-1 at the end of this file

Sources 2010 US Census ABAG Projections 2013 2014 American Community Survey ACS Journey-to-Work data 2006-2008 and 2006-2010

Child Care Coordinating Council of San Mateo County (4Cs) Community Care Licensing Brion Economics Inc

Prepared by Brion Economics Inc 2513-SMC NA Final Tables 61216 6122016

DALY CITYCOLMA

Child Care as of 2025

No of

Providers

Under 2 Years

Old

2 to 4 Year

Olds

Total 0 to 4

Years

EXISTING DEMAND Child Care Demand

Estimated Total Children

Average LFPRAdjustment Factor

Children With Working Parents

Licensed Care Demand Factor

Resident Children Needing Licensed Care

of Total Resident Children Needing Licensed Care

Children from Non-Resident Employees Needing

Licensed Care

(1)

(2)

(3)

2647 3793

74

1964 3467

37

727 3233

27 85

138 208

6440

5432

73

3960

61

346

Total Demand for Child Care Spaces

Distribution

EXISTING SUPPLY (4)

865 3441

20 80

Child Care Spaces

4306

100

Family Child Care Home Supply

Child Care Center Supply

Current Child Care Supply

Distribution

EXISTING SURPLUS(SHORTAGE)

Distribution

Percentage of Demand Met

by Existing FacilitiesSpaces

Shortage of Family Child Care Home Spaces

Shortage of Center-Based Spaces

(5)

(6)

(6)

25

28

28

288 362

84 1264

372 1626

19 81

(493) (1816)

21 79

43 47

(381) (404)

(111) (1412)

649

1348

1997

100

(2308)

100

46

(785)

(1523)

FINAL

Table B-6

Future C hild Care Demand and Supply in 2025 in Daly CityColma

San Mateo County Child Care Study - 2016

Note All footnote references can be found in Table C-1 at the end of this file

Sources 2010 US Census ABAG Projections 2013 2014 American Community Survey ACS Journey-to-Work data 2006-2008 and 2006-2010

Child Care Coordinating Council of San Mateo County (4Cs) Community Care Licensing Brion Economics Inc

Prepared by Brion Economics Inc 2513-SMC NA Final Tables 61216 6122016

EAST PALO ALTO

Child Care as of 2025

No of

Providers

Under 2 Years

Old

2 to 4 Year

Olds

Total 0 to 4

Years

EXISTING DEMAND Child Care Demand

Estimated Total Children

Average LFPRAdjustment Factor

Children With Working Parents

Licensed Care Demand Factor

Resident Children Needing Licensed Care

of Total Resident Children Needing Licensed Care

Children from Non-Resident Employees Needing

Licensed Care

(1)

(2)

(3)

1161 1849

71

822 1660

37

304 1545

26 84

20 30

3010

2482

75

1849

61

50

Total Demand for Child Care Spaces

Distribution

EXISTING SUPPLY (4)

324 1575

17 83

Child Care Spaces

1900

100

Family Child Care Home Supply

Child Care Center Supply

Current Child Care Supply

Distribution

EXISTING SURPLUS(SHORTAGE)

Distribution

Percentage of Demand Met

by Existing FacilitiesSpaces

Shortage of Family Child Care Home Spaces

Shortage of Center-Based Spaces

(5)

(6)

(6)

13

6

19

85 106

25 633

110 739

13 87

(215) (836)

20 80

34 47

(166) (120)

(49) (715)

191

658

849

100

(1050)

100

45

(286)

(764)

FINAL

Table B-7

Future Child Care Demand and Supply in 2025 in East Palo Alto

San Mateo County Child Care Study - 2016

Note All footnote references can be found in Table C-1 at the end of this file

Sources 2010 US Census ABAG Projections 2013 2014 American Community Survey ACS Journey-to-Work data 2006-2008 and 2006-2010

Child Care Coordinating Council of San Mateo County (4Cs) Community Care Licensing Brion Economics Inc

Prepared by Brion Economics Inc 2513-SMC NA Final Tables 61216 6122016

FOSTER CITY

Child Care as of 2025

No of

Providers

Under 2 Years

Old

2 to 4 Year

Olds

Total 0 to 4

Years

EXISTING DEMAND Child Care Demand

Estimated Total Children

Average LFPRAdjustment Factor

Children With Working Parents

Licensed Care Demand Factor

Resident Children Needing Licensed Care

of Total Resident Children Needing Licensed Care

Children from Non-Resident Employees Needing

Licensed Care

(1)

(2)

(3)

871 1330

63

550 1154

37

204 1079

23 81

80 120

2201

1705

75

1282

58

200

Total Demand for Child Care Spaces

Distribution

EXISTING SUPPLY (4)

283 1199

19 81

Child Care Spaces

1483

100

Family Child Care Home Supply

Child Care Center Supply

Current Child Care Supply

Distribution

EXISTING SURPLUS(SHORTAGE)

Distribution

Percentage of Demand Met

by Existing FacilitiesSpaces

Shortage of Family Child Care Home Spaces

Shortage of Center-Based Spaces

(5)

(6)

(6)

19

12

31

118 149

88 1200

206 1349

13 87

(77) 150

-106 206

73 112

(44) NA

(33) NA

267

1288

1555

100

73

100

105

(44)

(33)

FINAL

Table B-8

Future Child Care Demand and Supply in 2025 in Foster City

San Mateo County Child Care Study - 2016

Note All footnote references can be found in Table C-1 at the end of this file

Sources 2010 US Census ABAG Projections 2013 2014 American Community Survey ACS Journey-to-Work data 2006-2008 and 2006-2010

Child Care Coordinating Council of San Mateo County (4Cs) Community Care Licensing Brion Economics Inc

Prepared by Brion Economics Inc 2513-SMC NA Final Tables 61216 6122016

HALF MOON BAY REGION

Child Care as of 2025

No of

Providers

Under 2 Years

Old

2 to 4 Year

Olds

Total 0 to 4

Years

EXISTING DEMAND Child Care Demand

Estimated Total Children

Average LFPRAdjustment Factor

Children With Working Parents

Licensed Care Demand Factor

Resident Children Needing Licensed Care

of Total Resident Children Needing Licensed Care

Children from Non-Resident Employees Needing

Licensed Care

(1)

(2)

(3)

553 929

69

383 835

37

142 781

26 84

14 21

1482

1217

76

923

62

34

Total Demand for Child Care Spaces

Distribution

EXISTING SUPPLY (4)

155 802

16 84

Child Care Spaces

957

100

Family Child Care Home Supply

Child Care Center Supply

Current Child Care Supply

Distribution

EXISTING SURPLUS(SHORTAGE)

Distribution

Percentage of Demand Met

by Existing FacilitiesSpaces

Shortage of Family Child Care Home Spaces

Shortage of Center-Based Spaces

(5)

(6)

(6)

10

11

21

96 121

35 285

131 406

24 76

(24) (396)

6 94

84 51

(18) (118)

(6) (279)

216

320

536

100

(421)

100

56

(136)

(285)

FINAL

Table B-9

Future Child Care Demand and Supply in 2025 in Half Moon Bay Region

San Mateo County Child Care Study - 2016

Note All footnote references can be found in Table C-1 at the end of this file

Sources 2010 US Census ABAG Projections 2013 2014 American Community Survey ACS Journey-to-Work data 2006-2008 and 2006-2010

Child Care Coordinating Council of San Mateo County (4Cs) Community Care Licensing Brion Economics Inc

Prepared by Brion Economics Inc 2513-SMC NA Final Tables 61216 6122016

HILLSBOROUGH

Child Care as of 2025

No of

Providers

Under 2 Years

Old

2 to 4 Year

Olds

Total 0 to 4

Years

EXISTING DEMAND Child Care Demand

Estimated Total Children

Average LFPRAdjustment Factor

Children With Working Parents

Licensed Care Demand Factor

Resident Children Needing Licensed Care

of Total Resident Children Needing Licensed Care

Children from Non-Resident Employees Needing

Licensed Care

(1)

(2)

(3)

143 343

52

74 295

37

27 282

19 82

7 11

487

369

84

309

64

17

Total Demand for Child Care Spaces

Distribution

EXISTING SUPPLY (4)

34 292

10 90

Child Care Spaces

327

100

Family Child Care Home Supply

Child Care Center Supply

Current Child Care Supply

Distribution

EXISTING SURPLUS(SHORTAGE)

Distribution

Percentage of Demand Met

by Existing FacilitiesSpaces

Shortage of Family Child Care Home Spaces

Shortage of Center-Based Spaces

(5)

(6)

(6)

1

4

5

5 6

- 91

5 97

5 95

(29) (195)

13 87

14 33

(29) (12)

0 (183)

11

91

102

100

(225)

100

31

(42)

(183)

FINAL

Table B-10

Future Child Care Demand and Supply in 2025 in Hillsborough

San Mateo County Child Care Study - 2016

Note All footnote references can be found in Table C-1 at the end of this file

Sources 2010 US Census ABAG Projections 2013 2014 American Community Survey ACS Journey-to-Work data 2006-2008 and 2006-2010

Child Care Coordinating Council of San Mateo County (4Cs) Community Care Licensing Brion Economics Inc

Prepared by Brion Economics Inc 2513-SMC NA Final Tables 61216 6122016

MENLO PARK

Child Care as of 2025

No of

Providers

Under 2 Years

Old

2 to 4 Year

Olds

Total 0 to 4

Years

EXISTING DEMAND Child Care Demand

Estimated Total Children

Average LFPRAdjustment Factor

Children With Working Parents

Licensed Care Demand Factor

Resident Children Needing Licensed Care

of Total Resident Children Needing Licensed Care

Children from Non-Resident Employees Needing

Licensed Care

(1)

(2)

(3)

1327 1954

69

909 1759

37

336 1653

25 85

237 357

3281

2668

75

1989

61

594

Total Demand for Child Care Spaces

Distribution

EXISTING SUPPLY (4)

573 2011

22 78

Child Care Spaces

2584

100

Family Child Care Home Supply

Child Care Center Supply

Current Child Care Supply

Distribution

EXISTING SURPLUS(SHORTAGE)

Distribution

Percentage of Demand Met

by Existing FacilitiesSpaces

Shortage of Family Child Care Home Spaces

Shortage of Center-Based Spaces

(5)

(6)

(6)

15

25

40

76 96

73 1331

149 1427

9 91

(424) (584)

42 58

26 71

(217) (39)

(207) (544)

172

1404

1576

100

(1008)

100

61

(256)

(752)

FINAL

Table B-11

Future Child Care Demand and Supply in 2025 in Menlo Park

San Mateo County Child Care Study - 2016

Note All footnote references can be found in Table C-1 at the end of this file

Sources 2010 US Census ABAG Projections 2013 2014 American Community Survey ACS Journey-to-Work data 2006-2008 and 2006-2010

Child Care Coordinating Council of San Mateo County (4Cs) Community Care Licensing Brion Economics Inc

Prepared by Brion Economics Inc 2513-SMC NA Final Tables 61216 6122016

MILLBRAE

Child Care as of 2025

No of

Providers

Under 2 Years

Old

2 to 4 Year

Olds

Total 0 to 4

Years

EXISTING DEMAND Child Care Demand

Estimated Total Children

Average LFPRAdjustment Factor

Children With Working Parents

Licensed Care Demand Factor

Resident Children Needing Licensed Care

of Total Resident Children Needing Licensed Care

Children from Non-Resident Employees Needing

Licensed Care

(1)

(2)

(3)

473 805

62

291 710

37

108 672

23 83

31 47

1278

1001

78

780

61

77

Total Demand for Child Care Spaces

Distribution

EXISTING SUPPLY (4)

139 718

16 84

Child Care Spaces

857

100

Family Child Care Home Supply

Child Care Center Supply

Current Child Care Supply

Distribution

EXISTING SURPLUS(SHORTAGE)

Distribution

Percentage of Demand Met

by Existing FacilitiesSpaces

Shortage of Family Child Care Home Spaces

Shortage of Center-Based Spaces

(5)

(6)

(6)

7

7

14

62 78

- 376

62 454

12 88

(76) (264)

22 78

45 63

(76) (46)

0 (219)

141

376

517

100

(340)

100

60

(122)

(219)

FINAL

Table B-12

Future C hild Care Demand and Supply in 2025 in Millbrae

San Mateo County Child Care Study - 2016

Note All footnote references can be found in Table C-1 at the end of this file

Sources 2010 US Census ABAG Projections 2013 2014 American Community Survey ACS Journey-to-Work data 2006-2008 and 2006-2010

Child Care Coordinating Council of San Mateo County (4Cs) Community Care Licensing Brion Economics Inc

Prepared by Brion Economics Inc 2513-SMC NA Final Tables 61216 6122016

FINAL

Table B-13

Future Child Care Demand and Supply in 2025 in Pacifica

San Mateo County Child Care Study - 2016

PACIFICA

Child Care as of 2025

No of

Providers

Under 2 Years

Old

2 to 4 Year

Olds

Total 0 to 4

Years

EXISTING DEMAND Child Care Demand

Estimated Total Children

Average L FPRAdjustment Factor

Children With Working Parents

Licensed Care Demand Factor

Resident Children Needing Licensed Care

of Total Resident Children Needing Licensed Care

Children from Non-Resident Employees Needing

Licensed Care

(1)

(2)

(3)

816 1300

78

633 1209

37

234 1130

29 87

19 29

2116

1842

74

1364

64

48

Total Demand for Child Care Spaces

Distribution

EXISTING SUPPLY (4)

254 1159

18 82

Child Care Spaces

1413

100

Family Child Care Home Supply

Child Care Center Supply

Current Child Care Supply

Distribution

EXISTING SURPLUS(SHORTAGE)

Distribution

Percentage of Demand Met

by Existing FacilitiesSpaces

Shortage of Family Child Care Home Spaces

Shortage of Center-Based Spaces

(5)

(6)

(6)

9

18

27

77 97

39 701

116 798

13 87

(138) (361)

28 72

46 69

(91) (44)

(46) (317)

174

740

914

100

(499)

100

65

(135)

(364)

Note All footnote references can be found in Table C-1 at the end of this file

Sources 2010 US Census ABAG Projections 2013 2014 American Community Survey ACS Journey-to-Work data 2006-2008 and 2006-2010

Child Care Coordinating Council of San Mateo County (4Cs) Community Care Licensing Brion Economics Inc

Prepared by Brion Economics Inc 2513-SMC NA Final Tables 61216 6122016

PORTOLA VALLEY

Child Care as of 2025

No of

Providers

Under 2 Years

Old

2 to 4 Year

Olds

Total 0 to 4

Years

EXISTING DEMAND Child Care Demand

Estimated Total Children

Average LFPRAdjustment Factor

Children With Working Parents

Licensed Care Demand Factor

Resident Children Needing Licensed Care

of Total Resident Children Needing Licensed Care

Children from Non-Resident Employees Needing

Licensed Care

(1)

(2)

(3)

77 192

66

51 173

37

19 164

24 85

9 13

269

224

82

182

68

22

Total Demand for Child Care Spaces

Distribution

EXISTING SUPPLY (4)

28 177

13 87

Child Care Spaces

204

100

Family Child Care Home Supply

Child Care Center Supply

Current Child Care Supply

Distribution

EXISTING SURPLUS(SHORTAGE)

Distribution

Percentage of Demand Met

by Existing FacilitiesSpaces

Shortage of Family Child Care Home Spaces

Shortage of Center-Based Spaces

(5)

(6)

(6)

0

4

4

- -

- 153

- 153

0 100

(28) (24)

54 46

0 87

0 0

(28) (24)

0

153

153

100

(51)

100

75

0

(51)

FINAL

Table B-14

Future Child Care Demand and Supply in 2025 in Portola Valley

San Mateo County Child Care Study - 2016

Note All footnote references can be found in Table C-1 at the end of this file

Sources 2010 US Census ABAG Projections 2013 2014 American Community Survey ACS Journey-to-Work data 2006-2008 and 2006-2010

Child Care Coordinating Council of San Mateo County (4Cs) Community Care Licensing Brion Economics Inc

Prepared by Brion Economics Inc 2513-SMC NA Final Tables 61216 6122016

REDWOOD CITY

No of

Providers

Child Care as of 2025

Under 2 Years

Old

2 to 4 Year

Olds

Total 0 to 4

Years

EXISTING DEMAND Child Care Demand

Estimated Total Children

Average LFPRAdjustment Factor

Children With Working Parents

Licensed Care Demand Factor

Resident Children Needing Licensed Care

of Total Resident Children Needing Licensed Care

Children from Non-Resident Employees Needing

Licensed Care

Total Demand for Child Care Spaces

Distribution

EXISTING SUPPLY

(1)

(2)

(3)

(4)

3725 5378

69

2555 4813

37

946 4505

25 84

466 703

1411 5208

21 79

Child Care Spaces

9103

7368

74

5450

60

1169

6619

100

Family Child Care Home Supply

Child Care Center Supply

Current Child Care Supply

Distribution

EXISTING SURPLUS(SHORTAGE)

Distribution

Percentage of Demand Met

by Existing FacilitiesSpaces

Shortage of Family Child Care Home Spaces

Shortage of Center-Based Spaces

(5)

(6)

(6)

42

41

83

396 497

356 2036

752 2533

23 77

(660) (2674)

20 80

53 49

(347) (525)

(313) (2149)

893

2392

3285

100

(3334)

100

50

(872)

(2462)

FINAL

Table B-15

Future Child Care Demand and Supply in 2025 in Redwood City

San Mateo County Child Care Study - 2016

Note All footnote references can be found in Table C-1 at the end of this file

Sources 2010 US Census ABAG Projections 2013 2014 American Community Survey ACS Journey-to-Work data 2006-2008 and 2006-2010

Child Care Coordinating Council of San Mateo County (4Cs) Community Care Licensing Brion Economics Inc

Prepared by Brion Economics Inc 2513-SMC NA Final Tables 61216 6122016

SAN BRUNO

Child Care as of 2025

No of

Providers

Under 2 Years

Old

2 to 4 Year

Olds

Total 0 to 4

Years

EXISTING DEMAND Child Care Demand

Estimated Total Children

Average LFPRAdjustment Factor

Children With Working Parents

Licensed Care Demand Factor

Resident Children Needing Licensed Care

of Total Resident Children Needing Licensed Care

Children from Non-Resident Employees Needing

Licensed Care

(1)

(2)

(3)

1189 1728

77

910 1589

37

337 1475

28 85

68 103

2917

2498

73

1812

62

171

Total Demand for Child Care Spaces

Distribution

EXISTING SUPPLY (4)

405 1578

20 80

Child Care Spaces

1983

100

Family Child Care Home Supply

Child Care Center Supply

Current Child Care Supply

Distribution

EXISTING SURPLUS(SHORTAGE)

Distribution

Percentage of Demand Met

by Existing FacilitiesSpaces

Shortage of Family Child Care Home Spaces

Shortage of Center-Based Spaces

(5)

(6)

(6)

13

15

28

122 153

26 1183

148 1336

10 90

(257) (242)

52 48

37 85

(212) (28)

(45) (214)

275

1209

1484

100

(499)

100

75

(239)

(259)

FINAL

Table B-16

Future C hild Care Demand and Supply in 2025 in San Bruno

San Mateo County Child Care Study - 2016

Note All footnote references can be found in Table C-1 at the end of this file

Sources 2010 US Census ABAG Projections 2013 2014 American Community Survey ACS Journey-to-Work data 2006-2008 and 2006-2010

Child Care Coordinating Council of San Mateo County (4Cs) Community Care Licensing Brion Economics Inc

Prepared by Brion Economics Inc 2513-SMC NA Final Tables 61216 6122016

SAN CARLOS

Child Care as of 2025

No of

Providers

Under 2 Years

Old

2 to 4 Year

Olds

Total 0 to 4

Years

EXISTING DEMAND Child Care Demand

Estimated Total Children

Average LFPRAdjustment Factor

Children With Working Parents

Licensed Care Demand Factor

Resident Children Needing Licensed Care

of Total Resident Children Needing Licensed Care

Children from Non-Resident Employees Needing

Licensed Care

(1)

(2)

(3)

778 1384

72

557 1255

37

206 1174

26 85

82 123

2162

1812

76

1380

64

205

Total Demand for Child Care Spaces

Distribution

EXISTING SUPPLY (4)

288 1297

18 82

Child Care Spaces

1585

100

Family Child Care Home Supply

Child Care Center Supply

Current Child Care Supply

Distribution

EXISTING SURPLUS(SHORTAGE)

Distribution

Percentage of Demand Met

by Existing FacilitiesSpaces

Shortage of Family Child Care Home Spaces

Shortage of Center-Based Spaces

(5)

(6)

(6)

28

14

42

73 92

76 615

149 707

17 83

(139) (590)

19 81

52 54

(68) (76)

(71) (514)

164

691

855

100

(729)

100

54

(145)

(585)

FINAL

Table B-17

Future Child Care Demand and Supply in 2025 in San Carlos

San Mateo County Child Care Study - 2016

Note All footnote references can be found in Table C-1 at the end of this file

Sources 2010 US Census ABAG Projections 2013 2014 American Community Survey ACS Journey-to-Work data 2006-2008 and 2006-2010

Child Care Coordinating Council of San Mateo County (4Cs) Community Care Licensing Brion Economics Inc

Prepared by Brion Economics Inc 2513-SMC NA Final Tables 61216 6122016

SAN MATEO

Child Care as of 2025

No of

Providers

Under 2 Years

Old

2 to 4 Year

Olds

Total 0 to 4

Years

EXISTING DEMAND Child Care Demand

Estimated Total Children

Average LFPRAdjustment Factor

Children With Working Parents

Licensed Care Demand Factor

Resident Children Needing Licensed Care

of Total Resident Children Needing Licensed Care

Children from Non-Resident Employees Needing

Licensed Care

(1)

(2)

(3)

3194 4572

71

2264 4116

37

838 3839

26 84

261 394

7766

6381

73

4677

60

656

Total Demand for Child Care Spaces

Distribution

EXISTING SUPPLY (4)

1099 4233

21 79

Child Care Spaces

5332

100

Family Child Care Home Supply

Child Care Center Supply

Current Child Care Supply

Distribution

EXISTING SURPLUS(SHORTAGE)

Distribution

Percentage of Demand Met

by Existing FacilitiesSpaces

Shortage of Family Child Care Home Spaces

Shortage of Center-Based Spaces

(5)

(6)

(6)

69

59

128

492 619

209 2577

701 3196

18 82

(398) (1037)

28 72

64 75

(279) (201)

(119) (837)

1111

2786

3897

100

(1435)

100

73

(480)

(955)

FINAL

Table B-18

Future Child Care Demand and Supply in 2025 in San Mateo

San Mateo County Child Care Study - 2016

Note All footnote references can be found in Table C-1 at the end of this file

Sources 2010 US Census ABAG Projections 2013 2014 American Community Survey ACS Journey-to-Work data 2006-2008 and 2006-2010

Child Care Coordinating Council of San Mateo County (4Cs) Community Care Licensing Brion Economics Inc

Prepared by Brion Economics Inc 2513-SMC NA Final Tables 61216 6122016

FINAL

Table B-19

Future Child Care Demand and Supply in 2025 in South Coast

San Mateo County Child Care Study - 2016

SOUTH COAST

Child Care as of 2025

No of

Providers

Under 2 Years

Old

2 to 4 Year

Olds

Total 0 to 4

Years

EXISTING DEMAND Child Care Demand

Estimated Total Children (1) 23 32 55

Average LFPRAdjustment Factor (2) 54

Children With Working Parents 12 27 40

Licensed Care Demand Factor (3) 37 77

Resident Children Needing Licensed Care 5 26 30

of Total Resident Children Needing Licensed Care 20 81 56

Children from Non-Resident Employees Needing

Licensed Care 0 0 0

Total Demand for Child Care Spaces 5 26 30

Distribution 15 85 100

EXISTING SUPPLY (4) Child Care Spaces

Family Child Care Home Supply - 0 0 0

Child Care Center Supply 2 0 54 54

Current Child Care Supply 2 - 54 54

Distribution 0 100 100

EXISTING SURPLUS(SHORTAGE) (5) 28 24

Distribution -19 119 100

Percentage of Demand Met

by Existing FacilitiesSpaces (5) 0 209 177

Shortage of Family Child Care Home Spaces (6) 0 NA 0

Shortage of Center-Based Spaces (6) (5) NA (5)

Note All footnote references can be found in Table C-1 at the end of this file

Sources 2010 US Census ABAG Projections 2013 2014 American Community Survey ACS Journey-to-Work data 2006-2008 and 2006-2010

Child Care Coordinating Council of San Mateo County (4Cs) Community Care Licensing Brion Economics Inc

Prepared by Brion Economics Inc 2513-SMC NA Final Tables 61216 6122016

SOUTH SAN FRANCISCO

Child Care as of 2025

No of

Providers

Under 2 Years

Old

2 to 4 Year

Olds

Total 0 to 4

Years

EXISTING DEMAND Child Care Demand

Estimated Total Children

Average LFPRAdjustment Factor

Children With Working Parents

Licensed Care Demand Factor

Resident Children Needing Licensed Care

of Total Resident Children Needing Licensed Care

Children from Non-Resident Employees Needing

Licensed Care

(1)

(2)

(3)

1835 2790

73

1342 2535

37

496 2362

27 85

339 512

4625

3877

74

2859

62

851

Total Demand for Child Care Spaces

Distribution

EXISTING SUPPLY (4)

835 2874

23 77

Child Care Spaces

3709

100

Family Child Care Home Supply

Child Care Center Supply

Current Child Care Supply

Distribution

EXISTING SURPLUS(SHORTAGE)

Distribution

Percentage of Demand Met

by Existing FacilitiesSpaces

Shortage of Family Child Care Home Spaces

Shortage of Center-Based Spaces

(5)

(6)

(6)

30

27

57

252 317

400 1966

652 2283

22 78

(183) (591)

24 76

78 79

(71) (82)

(113) (509)

569

2366

2935

100

(775)

100

79

(153)

(622)

FINAL

Table B-20

Future Child Care Demand and Supply in 2025 in South San Francisco

San Mateo County Child Care Study - 2016

Note All footnote references can be found in Table C-1 at the end of this file

Sources 2010 US Census ABAG Projections 2013 2014 American Community Survey ACS Journey-to-Work data 2006-2008 and 2006-2010

Child Care Coordinating Council of San Mateo County (4Cs) Community Care Licensing Brion Economics Inc

Prepared by Brion Economics Inc 2513-SMC NA Final Tables 61216 6122016

WOODSIDE

No of

Providers

Child Care as of 2025

Under 2 Years

Old

2 to 4 Year

Olds

Total 0 to 4

Years

EXISTING DEMAND Child Care Demand

Estimated Total Children

Average LFPRAdjustment Factor

Children With Working Parents

Licensed Care Demand Factor

Resident Children Needing Licensed Care

of Total Resident Children Needing Licensed Care

Children from Non-Resident Employees Needing

Licensed Care

(1)

(2)

(3)

93 165

56

51 140

37

19 132

21 80

9 13

258

192

79

152

59

22

Total Demand for Child Care Spaces

Distribution

EXISTING SUPPLY (4)

28 146

16 84

Child Care Spaces

174

100

Family Child Care Home Supply

Child Care Center Supply

Current Child Care Supply

Distribution

EXISTING SURPLUS(SHORTAGE)

Distribution

Percentage of Demand Met

by Existing FacilitiesSpaces

Shortage of Family Child Care Home Spaces

Shortage of Center-Based Spaces

(5)

(6)

(6)

1

2

3

4 5

- 103

4 108

4 96

(24) (38)

39 61

15 74

(24) (2)

0 (36)

9

103

112

100

(61)

100

65

(26)

(36)

FINAL

Table B-21

Future Child Care Demand and Supply in 2025 in Woodside

San Mateo County Child Care Study - 2016

Note All footnote references can be found in Table C-1 at the end of this file

Sources 2010 US Census ABAG Projections 2013 2014 American Community Survey ACS Journey-to-Work data 2006-2008 and 2006-2010

Child Care Coordinating Council of San Mateo County (4Cs) Community Care Licensing Brion Economics Inc

Prepared by Brion Economics Inc 2513-SMC NA Final Tables 61216 6122016

FINAL

Table C-1

Endnotes for Tables

San Mateo County Child Care Study - 2016

(1) Population by age is based on the percentage breakdown from the 2010 US Census and applied

to population estimates for 2015 using ABAGs Projections 2013 population data The ABAG data

for each area includes its Sphere of Influence and is not based on strict jurisdictional boundaries

(2) Labor force participation rates are from the 5-Year American Community Survey 2014 and include

children under six years old with two working parents or a single working parent For the 2- to 4-year

olds the labor force participation rate is applied to 2 year olds For 3- and 4-year olds it is assumed

that 100 need licensed care to support preschool for every child so the number of

3- and 4-year olds is not discounted by labor force participation rates

(3) Not all children with working parents are assumed to need licensed care percentage assumptions are

used to calculate the number of children requiring licensed care under each age category The

remaining children are assumed to be cared for in alternate arrangements such as by family members

nannies friends and other unlicensed care For children ages 3- and 4-years old it is assumed that

they all need care in the form of preschool

(4) Data on child care supply provided by the Child Care Coordinating Council of San Mateo County (4Cs)

and Community Care Licensing Division of the California Department of Social Services (CCLD) Data is

for June 2015

(5) Demand that calculates as less than 100 means that there is greater demand than supply percent of

demand that is over 100 means supply exceeds demand

(6) Unmet demand is broken down into shortage by type of care based on the proportion of FCCHs and

child care centers spaces available in each area If an area does not have any FCCHs or centers the

unmet demand is placed in the type of care that is available in the area (eg if there are only centers

all demand goes to centers)

Source Brion Economics Inc

Prepared by Brion Economics Inc 2513-SMC NA Final Tables 61216 6122016

DRAFT REPORT

Table C-2

Labor Force Participation Rates by CityArea

San Mateo County Child Care Study - 2016

CityArea

Labor Force

Participation Rate (1)

Atherton

Belmont

Brisbane

Burlingame

Daly CityColma

East Palo Alto

Foster City

Half Moon Bay Region

Hillsborough

Menlo Park

Millbrae

Pacifica

Portola Valley

Redwood City

San Bruno

San Carlos

San Mateo

South Coast

South San Francisco

Woodside

40

77

100

65

74

71

63

69

52

69

62

78

66

69

77

72

71

54

73

56

(1) Labor force participation rates (LFPRs) are for

families with children under age six with two

working parents or a single parent who works Sources American Community Survey 2014 5-Year

Survey Brion Economics Inc

Prepared by Brion Economics Inc 2513-SMC NA Final Tables 61216 6122016

  • 2513-SMC FINAL NA Memo-61216
  • 2513-SMC NA Final Tables 61216
Page 32: Final San Mateo County Child Care Needs … Care...Future C hild Care Demand and Supply in 2025 in Daly City/Colma San Mateo County Child Care Study - 2016 Note: All footnote references

HILLSBOROUGH

Child Care as of 2015

No of

Providers

Under 2 Years

Old

2 to 4 Year

Olds

Total 0 to 4

Years

EXISTING DEMAND Child Care Demand

Estimated Total Children

Average LFPRAdjustment Factor

Children With Working Parents

Licensed Care Demand Factor

Resident Children Needing Licensed Care

of Total Resident Children Needing Licensed Care

Children from Non-Resident Employees Needing

Licensed Care

(1)

(2)

(3)

138 331

52

71 284

37

26 272

19 82

7 10

469

356

84

298

64

16

Total Demand for Child Care Spaces

Distribution

EXISTING SUPPLY (4)

33 282

10 90

Child Care Spaces

315

100

Family Child Care Home Supply

Child Care Center Supply

Current Child Care Supply

Distribution

EXISTING SURPLUS(SHORTAGE)

Distribution

Percentage of Demand Met

by Existing FacilitiesSpaces

Shortage of Family Child Care Home Spaces

Shortage of Center-Based Spaces

(5)

(6)

(6)

1

4

5

5 6

- 91

5 97

5 95

(28) (185)

13 87

15 34

(28) (12)

0 (173)

11

91

102

100

(213)

100

32

(40)

(173)

FINAL

Table A-10

Existing Child Care Demand and Supply in 2015 in Hillsborough

San Mateo County Child Care Study - 2016

Note All footnote references can be found in Table C-1 at the end of this file Sources 2010 US Census ABAG Projections 2013 2014 American Community Survey ACS Journey-to-Work data 2006-2008 and 2006-2010

Child Care Coordinating Council of San Mateo County (4Cs) Community Care Licensing Brion Economics Inc

Prepared by Brion Economics Inc 2513-SMC NA Final Tables 61216 6122016

MENLO PARK

Child Care as of 2015

No of

Providers

Under 2 Years

Old

2 to 4 Year

Olds

Total 0 to 4

Years

EXISTING DEMAND Child Care Demand

Estimated Total Children

Average LFPRAdjustment Factor

Children With Working Parents

Licensed Care Demand Factor

Resident Children Needing Licensed Care

of Total Resident Children Needing Licensed Care

Children from Non-Resident Employees Needing

Licensed Care

(1)

(2)

(3)

1170 1723

69

802 1551

37

297 1458

25 85

220 332

2893

2353

75

1754

61

552

Total Demand for Child Care Spaces

Distribution

EXISTING SUPPLY (4)

516 1790

22 78

Child Care Spaces

2306

100

Family Child Care Home Supply

Child Care Center Supply

Current Child Care Supply

Distribution

EXISTING SURPLUS(SHORTAGE)

Distribution

Percentage of Demand Met

by Existing FacilitiesSpaces

Shortage of Family Child Care Home Spaces

Shortage of Center-Based Spaces

(5)

(6)

(6)

18

25

43

76 96

73 1331

149 1427

9 91

(367) (363)

50 50

29 80

(188) (24)

(180) (338)

172

1404

1576

100

(730)

100

68

(212)

(518)

FINAL

Table A-11

Existing Child Care Demand and Supply in 2015 in Menlo Park

San Mateo County Child Care Study - 2016

Note All footnote references can be found in Table C-1 at the end of this file Sources 2010 US Census ABAG Projections 2013 2014 American Community Survey ACS Journey-to-Work data 2006-2008 and 2006-2010

Child Care Coordinating Council of San Mateo County (4Cs) Community Care Licensing Brion Economics Inc

Prepared by Brion Economics Inc 2513-SMC NA Final Tables 61216 6122016

MILLBRAE

Child Care as of 2015

No of

Providers

Under 2 Years

Old

2 to 4 Year

Olds

Total 0 to 4

Years

EXISTING DEMAND Child Care Demand

Total Children

Average LFPRAdjustment Factor

Children With Working Parents

Licensed Care Demand Factor

Resident Children Needing Licensed Care

of Total Resident Children Needing Licensed Care

Children from Non-Resident Employees Needing

Licensed Care

(1)

(2)

(3)

421 717

62

260 632

37

96 598

23 83

28 42

1138

892

78

694

61

69

Total Demand for Child Care Spaces

Distribution

EXISTING SUPPLY (4)

124 640

16 84

Child Care Spaces

764

100

Family Child Care Home Supply

Child Care Center Supply

Current Child Care Supply

Distribution

EXISTING SURPLUS(SHORTAGE)

Distribution

Percentage of Demand Met

by Existing FacilitiesSpaces

Shortage of Family Child Care Home Spaces

Shortage of Center-Based Spaces

(5)

(6)

(6)

17

7

24

62 78

- 376

62 454

12 88

(61) (186)

25 75

50 71

(61) (32)

0 (154)

141

376

517

100

(247)

100

68

(93)

(154)

FINAL

Table A-12

Existing Child Care Demand and Supply in 2015 in Millbrae

San Mateo Co unty Child Care Study - 2016

Note All footnote references can be found in Table C-1 at the end of this file

Sources 2010 US Census ABAG Projections 2013 2014 American Community Survey ACS Journey-to-Work data 2006-2008 and 2006-2010

Child Care Coordinating Council of San Mateo County (4Cs) Community Care Licensing Brion Economics Inc

Prepared by Brion Economics Inc 2513-SMC NA Final Tables 61216 6122016

PACIFICA

Child Care as of 2015

No of

Providers

Under 2 Years

Old

2 to 4 Year

Olds

Total 0 to 4

Years

EXISTING DEMAND Child Care Demand

Estimated Total Children

Average LFPRAdjustment Factor

Children With Working Parents

Licensed Care Demand Factor

Resident Children Needing Licensed Care

of Total Resident Children Needing Licensed Care

Children from Non-Resident Employees Needing

Licensed Care

(1)

(2)

(3)

787 1253

78

610 1165

37

226 1089

29 87

18 27

2040

1776

74

1315

64

45

Total Demand for Child Care Spaces

Distribution

EXISTING SUPPLY (4)

244 1117

18 83

Child Care Spaces

1360

100

Family Child Care Home Supply

Child Care Center Supply

Current Child Care Supply

Distribution

EXISTING SURPLUS(SHORTAGE)

Distribution

Percentage of Demand Met

by Existing FacilitiesSpaces

Shortage of Family Child Care Home Spaces

Shortage of Center-Based Spaces

(5)

(6)

(6)

21

18

39

77 97

39 701

116 798

13 87

(128) (319)

29 71

48 71

(85) (39)

(43) (280)

174

740

914

100

(447)

100

67

(124)

(323)

FINAL

Table A-13

Existing Child Care Demand and Supply in 2015 in Pacifica

San Mateo County Child Care Study - 2016

Note All footnote references can be found in Table C-1 at the end of this file Sources 2010 US Census ABAG Projections 2013 2014 American Community Survey ACS Journey-to-Work data 2006-2008 and 2006-2010

Child Care Coordinating Council of San Mateo County (4Cs) Community Care Licensing Brion Economics Inc

Prepared by Brion Economics Inc 2513-SMC NA Final Tables 61216 6122016

PORTOLA VALLEY

No of

Providers

Child Care as of 2015

Under 2 Years

Old

2 to 4 Year

Olds

Total 0 to 4

Years

EXISTING DEMAND Child Care Demand

Estimated Total Children

Average LFPRAdjustment Factor

Children With Working Parents

Licensed Care Demand Factor

Resident Children Needing Licensed Care

of Total Resident Children Needing Licensed Care

Children from Non-Resident Employees Needing

Licensed Care

(1)

(2)

(3)

75 187

66

49 168

37

18 159

24 85

8 12

261

217

82

177

68

21

Total Demand for Child Care Spaces

Distribution

EXISTING SUPPLY (4)

26 171

13 87

Child Care Spaces

198

100

Family Child Care Home Supply

Child Care Center Supply

Current Child Care Supply

Distribution

EXISTING SURPLUS(SHORTAGE)

Distribution

Percentage of Demand Met

by Existing FacilitiesSpaces

Shortage of Family Child Care Home Spaces

Shortage of Center-Based Spaces

(5)

(6)

(6)

0

4

4

0 0

0 153

0 153

0 100

(26) (18)

59 41

0 89

0 0

(26) (18)

0

153

153

100

(45)

100

77

0

(45)

FINAL

Table A-14

Existing Child Care Demand and Supply in 2015 in Portola Valley

San Mateo County Child Care Study - 2016

Note All footnote references can be found in Table C-1 at the end of this file Sources 2010 US Census ABAG Projections 2013 2014 American Community Survey ACS Journey-to-Work data 2006-2008 and 2006-2010

Child Care Coordinating Council of San Mateo County (4Cs) Community Care Licensing Brion Economics Inc

Prepared by Brion Economics Inc 2513-SMC NA Final Tables 61216 6122016

REDWOOD CITY

Child Care as of 2015

No of

Providers

Under 2 Years

Old

2 to 4 Year

Olds

Total 0 to 4

Years

EXISTING DEMAND Child Care Demand

Estimated Total Children

Average LFPRAdjustment Factor

Children With Working Parents

Licensed Care Demand Factor

Resident Children Needing Licensed Care

of Total Resident Children Needing Licensed Care

Children from Non-Resident Employees Needing

Licensed Care

Total Demand for Child Care Spaces

Distribution

EXISTING SUPPLY

(1)

(2)

(3)

(4)

3260 4706

69

2236 4212

37

827 3942

25 84

414 625

1241 4567

21 79

Child Care Spaces

7966

6449

74

4770

60

1038

5808

100

Family Child Care Home Supply

Child Care Center Supply

Current Child Care Supply

Distribution

EXISTING SURPLUS(SHORTAGE)

Distribution

Percentage of Demand Met

by Existing FacilitiesSpaces

Shortage of Family Child Care Home Spaces

Shortage of Center-Based Spaces

(5)

(6)

(6)

111

45

156

396 497

356 2036

752 2533

23 77

(490) (2034)

19 81

61 55

(258) (399)

(232) (1635)

893

2392

3285

100

(2524)

100

57

(657)

(1867)

FINAL

Table A-15

Existing Child Care Demand and Supply in 2015 in Redwood City

San Mateo County Child Care Study - 2016

Note All footnote references can be found in Table C-1 at the end of this file Sources 2010 US Census ABAG Projections 2013 2014 American Community Survey ACS Journey-to-Work data 2006-2008 and 2006-2010

Child Care Coordinating Council of San Mateo County (4Cs) Community Care Licensing Brion Economics Inc

Prepared by Brion Economics Inc 2513-SMC NA Final Tables 61216 6122016

SAN BRUNO

Child Care as of 2015

No of

Providers

Under 2 Years

Old

2 to 4 Year

Olds

Total 0 to 4

Years

EXISTING DEMAND Child Care Demand

Estimated Total Children

Average LFPRAdjustment Factor

Children With Working Parents

Licensed Care Demand Factor

Resident Children Needing Licensed Care

of Total Resident Children Needing Licensed Care

Children from Non-Resident Employees Needing

Licensed Care

(1)

(2)

(3)

1069 1553

77

817 1428

37

302 1326

28 85

61 92

2622

2245

73

1628

62

153

Total Demand for Child Care Spaces

Distribution

EXISTING SUPPLY (4)

364 1418

20 80

Child Care Spaces

1782

100

Family Child Care Home Supply

Child Care Center Supply

Current Child Care Supply

Distribution

EXISTING SURPLUS(SHORTAGE)

Distribution

Percentage of Demand Met

by Existing FacilitiesSpaces

Shortage of Family Child Care Home Spaces

Shortage of Center-Based Spaces

(5)

(6)

(6)

34

15

49

122 153

26 1183

148 1336

10 90

(216) (82)

72 28

41 94

(178) (9)

(38) (73)

275

1209

1484

100

(298)

100

83

(187)

(110)

FINAL

Table A-16

Existing Child Care Demand and Supply in 2015 in San Bruno

San Mateo County Child Care Study - 2016

Note All footnote references can be found in Table C-1 at the end of this file Sources 2010 US Census ABAG Projections 2013 2014 American Community Survey ACS Journey-to-Work data 2006-2008 and 2006-2010

Child Care Coordinating Council of San Mateo County (4Cs) Community Care Licensing Brion Economics Inc

Prepared by Brion Economics Inc 2513-SMC NA Final Tables 61216 6122016

SAN CARLOS

Child Care as of 2015

No of

Providers

Under 2 Years

Old

2 to 4 Year

Olds

Total 0 to 4

Years

EXISTING DEMAND Child Care Demand

Estimated Total Children

Average LFPRAdjustment Factor

Children With Working Parents

Licensed Care Demand Factor

Resident Children Needing Licensed Care

of Total Resident Children Needing Licensed Care

Children from Non-Resident Employees Needing

Licensed Care

(1)

(2)

(3)

735 1308

72

526 1186

37

195 1109

26 85

75 114

2043

1712

76

1304

64

189

Total Demand for Child Care Spaces

Distribution

EXISTING SUPPLY (4)

270 1222

18 82

Child Care Spaces

1492

100

Family Child Care Home Supply

Child Care Center Supply

Current Child Care Supply

Distribution

EXISTING SURPLUS(SHORTAGE)

Distribution

Percentage of Demand Met

by Existing FacilitiesSpaces

Shortage of Family Child Care Home Spaces

Shortage of Center-Based Spaces

(5)

(6)

(6)

20

14

34

73 92

76 615

149 707

17 83

(121) (516)

19 81

55 58

(59) (67)

(62) (449)

164

691

855

100

(637)

100

57

(126)

(511)

FINAL

Table A-17

Existing Child Care Demand and Supply in 2015 in San Carlos

San Mateo County Child Care Study - 2016

Note All footnote references can be found in Table C-1 at the end of this file

Sources 2010 US Census ABAG Projections 2013 2014 American Community Survey ACS Journey-to-Work data 2006-2008 and 2006-2010

Child Care Coordinating Council of San Mateo County (4Cs) Community Care Licensing Brion Economics Inc

Prepared by Brion Economics Inc 2513-SMC NA Final Tables 61216 6122016

SAN MATEO

Child Care as of 2015

No of

Providers

Under 2 Years

Old

2 to 4 Year

Olds

Total 0 to 4

Years

EXISTING DEMAND Child Care Demand

Estimated Total Children

Average LFPRAdjustment Factor

Children With Working Parents

Licensed Care Demand Factor

Resident Children Needing Licensed Care

of Total Resident Children Needing Licensed Care

Children from Non-Resident Employees Needing

Licensed Care

(1)

(2)

(3)

2943 4213

71

2087 3793

37

772 3537

26 84

231 348

7156

5880

73

4309

60

579

Total Demand for Child Care Spaces

Distribution

EXISTING SUPPLY (4)

1003 3886

21 79

Child Care Spaces

4889

100

Family Child Care Home Supply

Child Care Center Supply

Current Child Care Supply

Distribution

EXISTING SURPLUS(SHORTAGE)

Distribution

Percentage of Demand Met

by Existing FacilitiesSpaces

Shortage of Family Child Care Home Spaces

Shortage of Center-Based Spaces

(5)

(6)

(6)

126

59

185

492 619

209 2577

701 3196

18 82

(302) (690)

30 70

70 82

(212) (134)

(90) (557)

1111

2786

3897

100

(992)

100

80

(345)

(647)

FINAL

Table A-18

Existing Child Care Demand and Supply in 2015 in San Mateo

San Mateo County Child Care Study - 2016

Note All footnote references can be found in Table C-1 at the end of this file

Sources 2010 US Census ABAG Projections 2013 2014 American Community Survey ACS Journey-to-Work data 2006-2008 and 2006-2010

Child Care Coordinating Council of San Mateo County (4Cs) Community Care Licensing Brion Economics Inc

Prepared by Brion Economics Inc 2513-SMC NA Final Tables 61216 6122016

SOUTH COAST

Child Care as of 2015

No of

Providers

Under 2 Years

Old

2 to 4 Year

Olds

Total 0 to 4

Years

EXISTING DEMAND Child Care Demand

Estimated Total Children

Average LFPRAdjustment Factor

Children With Working Parents

Licensed Care Demand Factor

Resident Children Needing Licensed Care

of Total Resident Children Needing Licensed Care

Children from Non-Resident Employees Needing

Licensed Care

(1)

(2)

(3)

21 29

54

11 25

37

4 23

20 81

0 0

50

36

77

28

56

0

Total Demand for Child Care Spaces

Distribution

EXISTING SUPPLY (4)

4 23

15 85

Child Care Spaces

28

100

Family Child Care Home Supply

Child Care Center Supply

Current Child Care Supply

Distribution

EXISTING SURPLUS(SHORTAGE)

Distribution

Percentage of Demand Met

by Existing FacilitiesSpaces

Shortage of Family Child Care Home Spaces

Shortage of Center-Based Spaces

(5)

(6)

(6)

-

2

2

- -

- 54

- 54

0 100

(4) 31

-16 116

0 230

(2) NA

(2) NA

0

54

54

100

26

100

195

(2)

(2)

FINAL

Table A-19

Existing Child Care Demand and Supply in 2015 in South Coast

San Mateo County Child Care Study - 2016

Note All footnote references can be found in Table C-1 at the end of this file

Sources 2010 US Census ABAG Projections 2013 2014 American Community Survey ACS Journey-to-Work data 2006-2008 and 2006-2010

Child Care Coordinating Council of San Mateo County (4Cs) Community Care Licensing Brion Economics Inc

Prepared by Brion Economics Inc 2513-SMC NA Final Tables 61216 6122016

SOUTH SAN FRANCISCO

Child Care as of 2015

No of

Providers

Under 2 Years

Old

2 to 4 Year

Olds

Total 0 to 4

Years

EXISTING DEMAND Child Care Demand

Estimated Total Children

Average LFPRAdjustment Factor

Children With Working Parents

Licensed Care Demand Factor

Resident Children Needing Licensed Care

of Total Resident Children Needing Licensed Care

Children from Non-Resident Employees Needing

Licensed Care

(1)

(2)

(3)

1649 2507

73

1206 2278

37

446 2123

27 85

309 466

4156

3484

74

2569

62

774

Total Demand for Child Care Spaces

Distribution

EXISTING SUPPLY (4)

755 2588

23 77

Child Care Spaces

3343

100

Family Child Care Home Supply

Child Care Center Supply

Current Child Care Supply

Distribution

EXISTING SURPLUS(SHORTAGE)

Distribution

Percentage of Demand Met

by Existing FacilitiesSpaces

Shortage of Family Child Care Home Spaces

Shortage of Center-Based Spaces

(5)

(6)

(6)

68

27

95

252 317

400 1966

652 2283

22 78

(103) (306)

25 75

86 88

(40) (42)

(63) (263)

569

2366

2935

100

(408)

100

88

(82)

(326)

FINAL

Table A-20

Existing Child Care Demand and Supply in 2015 in South San Francisco

San Mateo County Child Care Study - 2016

Note All footnote references can be found in Table C-1 at the end of this file Sources 2010 US Census ABAG Projections 2013 2014 American Community Survey ACS Journey-to-Work data 2006-2008 and 2006-2010

Child Care Coordinating Council of San Mateo County (4Cs) Community Care Licensing Brion Economics Inc

Prepared by Brion Economics Inc 2513-SMC NA Final Tables 61216 6122016

WOODSIDE

No of

Providers

Child Care as of 2015

Under 2 Years

Old

2 to 4 Year

Olds

Total 0 to 4

Years

EXISTING DEMAND Child Care Demand

Estimated Total Children

Average LFPRAdjustment Factor

Children With Working Parents

Licensed Care Demand Factor

Resident Children Needing Licensed Care

of Total Resident Children Needing Licensed Care

Children from Non-Resident Employees Needing

Licensed Care

(1)

(2)

(3)

90 160

56

50 136

37

18 128

21 80

8 13

250

186

79

147

59

21

Total Demand for Child Care Spaces

Distribution

EXISTING SUPPLY (4)

27 141

16 84

Child Care Spaces

168

100

Family Child Care Home Supply

Child Care Center Supply

Current Child Care Supply

Distribution

EXISTING SURPLUS(SHORTAGE)

Distribution

Percentage of Demand Met

by Existing FacilitiesSpaces

Shortage of Family Child Care Home Spaces

Shortage of Center-Based Spaces

(5)

(6)

(6)

1

2

3

4 5

0 103

4 108

4 96

(23) (33)

41 59

16 77

(23) (2)

0 (31)

9

103

112

100

(55)

100

67

(24)

(31)

FINAL

Table A-21

Existing Child Care Demand and Supply in 2015 in Woodside

San Mateo County Child Care Study - 2016

Note All footnote references can be found in Table C-1 at the end of this file Sources 2010 US Census ABAG Projections 2013 2014 American Community Survey ACS Journey-to-Work data 2006-2008 and 2006-2010

Child Care Coordinating Council of San Mateo County (4Cs) Community Care Licensing Brion Economics Inc

Prepared by Brion Economics Inc 2513-SMC NA Final Tables 61216 6122016

COUNTYWIDE

Child Care as of 2025

No of

Providers

Under 2 Years

Old

2 to 4 Year

Olds

Total 0 to 4

Years

EXISTING DEMAND Child Care Demand

Estimated Total Children

Average LFPRAdjustment Factor

Children With Working Parents

Licensed Care Demand Factor

Resident Children Needing Licensed Care

of Total Resident Children Needing Licensed Care

Children from Non-Resident Employees Needing

Licensed Care

Total Demand for Child Care Spaces

Distribution

EXISTING SUPPLY

(1)

(2)

(3)

(4)

20790 31340

71

14704 28273

37

5441 26432

26 84

2037 3074

7478 29506

20 80

Child Care Spaces

52130

42978

86

31873

61

5112

36984

100

Family Child Care Home Supply

Child Care Center Supply

Current Child Care Supply

Distribution

EXISTING SURPLUS(SHORTAGE)

Distribution

Percentage of Demand Met

by Existing FacilitiesSpaces

Shortage of Family Child Care Home Spaces

Shortage of Center-Based Spaces

(5)

(6)

(6)

621

309

930

2301 2893

1514 16296

3815 19189

17 83

(3663) (10318)

26 74

51 65

(2209) (1555)

(1454) (8762)

5193

17810

23003

100

(13981)

100

62

(3765)

(10216)

FINAL

Table B-1

Future C hild Care Demand and Supply in 2025 Countywide

San Mateo County Child Care Study - 2016

Note All footnote references can be found in Table C-1 at the end of this file

Sources 2010 US Census ABAG Projections 2013 2014 American Community Survey ACS Journey-to-Work data 2006-2008 and 2006-2010

Child Care Coordinating Council of San Mateo County (4Cs) Community Care Licensing Brion Economics Inc

Prepared by Brion Economics Inc 2513-SMC NA Final Tables 61216 6122016

ATHERTON

No of

Providers

Child Care as of 2025

Under 2 Years

Old

2 to 4 Year

Olds

Total 0 to 4

Years

EXISTING DEMAND Child Care Demand

Estimated Total Children

Average LFPRAdjustment Factor

Children With Working Parents

Licensed Care Demand Factor

Resident Children Needing Licensed Care

of Total Resident Children Needing Licensed Care

Children from Non-Resident Employees Needing

Licensed Care

(1)

(2)

(3)

109 193

40

43 159

37

16 154

15 80

13 19

302

202

84

170

56

32

Total Demand for Child Care Spaces

Distribution

EXISTING SUPPLY (4)

29 173

14 86

Child Care Spaces

201

100

Family Child Care Home Supply

Child Care Center Supply

Current Child Care Supply

Distribution

EXISTING SURPLUS(SHORTAGE)

Distribution

Percentage of Demand Met

by Existing FacilitiesSpaces

Shortage of Family Child Care Home Spaces

Shortage of Center-Based Spaces

(5)

(6)

(6)

1

6

7

5 6

24 267

29 273

10 90

0 101

0 100

101 158

NA NA

NA NA

11

291

302

100

101

100

150

NA

NA

FINAL

Table B-2

Future Child Care Demand and Supply in 2025 in Atherton

San Mateo Co unty Child Care Study - 2016

Note All footnote references can be found in Table C-1 at the end of this file Sources 2010 US Census ABAG Projections 2013 2014 American Community Survey ACS Journey-to-Work data 2006-2008 and 2006-2010

Child Care Coordinating Council of San Mateo County (4Cs) Community Care Licensing Brion Economics Inc

Prepared by Brion Economics Inc 2513-SMC NA Final Tables 61216 6122016

BELMONT

Child Care as of 2025

No of

Providers

Under 2 Years

Old

2 to 4 Year

Olds

Total 0 to 4

Years

EXISTING DEMAND Child Care Demand

Estimated Total Children

Average LFPRAdjustment Factor

Children With Working Parents

Licensed Care Demand Factor

Resident Children Needing Licensed Care

of Total Resident Children Needing Licensed Care

Children from Non-Resident Employees Needing

Licensed Care

(1)

(2)

(3)

743 1095

77

574 1013

37

213 943

29 86

37 56

1838

1587

73

1156

63

93

Total Demand for Child Care Spaces

Distribution

EXISTING SUPPLY (4)

250 999

20 80

Child Care Spaces

1249

100

Family Child Care Home Supply

Child Care Center Supply

Current Child Care Supply

Distribution

EXISTING SURPLUS(SHORTAGE)

Distribution

Percentage of Demand Met

by Existing FacilitiesSpaces

Shortage of Family Child Care Home Spaces

Shortage of Center-Based Spaces

(5)

(6)

(6)

8

9

17

67 84

39 531

106 615

15 85

(143) (384)

27 73

43 62

(91) (53)

(53) (331)

152

570

722

100

(527)

100

58

(143)

(384)

FINAL

Table B-3

Future Child Care Demand and Supply in 2025 in Belmont

San Mateo County Child Care Study - 2016

Note All footnote references can be found in Table C-1 at the end of this file

Sources 2010 US Census ABAG Projections 2013 2014 American Community Survey ACS Journey-to-Work data 2006-2008 and 2006-2010

Child Care Coordinating Council of San Mateo County (4Cs) Community Care Licensing Brion Economics Inc

Prepared by Brion Economics Inc 2513-SMC NA Final Tables 61216 6122016

BRISBANE

Child Care as of 2025

No of

Providers

Under 2 Years

Old

2 to 4 Year

Olds

Total 0 to 4

Years

EXISTING DEMAND Child Care Demand

Estimated Total Children

Average LFPRAdjustment Factor

Children With Working Parents

Licensed Care Demand Factor

Resident Children Needing Licensed Care

of Total Resident Children Needing Licensed Care

Children from Non-Resident Employees Needing

Licensed Care

(1)

(2)

(3)

131 174

100

131 174

37

48 160

37 92

55 83

305

305

68

209

68

138

Total Demand for Child Care Spaces

Distribution

EXISTING SUPPLY (4)

103 243

30 70

Child Care Spaces

346

100

Family Child Care Home Supply

Child Care Center Supply

Current Child Care Supply

Distribution

EXISTING SURPLUS(SHORTAGE)

Distribution

Percentage of Demand Met

by Existing FacilitiesSpaces

Shortage of Family Child Care Home Spaces

Shortage of Center-Based Spaces

(5)

(6)

(6)

1

1

2

4 5

0 64

4 69

6 94

(99) (174)

36 64

4 29

(99) (13)

0 (160)

9

64

73

100

(273)

100

21

(112)

(160)

FINAL

Table B-4

Future Child Care Demand and Supply in 2025 in Brisbane

San Mateo County Child Care Study - 2016

Note All footnote references can be found in Table C-1 at the end of this file Sources 2010 US Census ABAG Projections 2013 2014 American Community Survey ACS Journey-to-Work data 2006-2008 and 2006-2010

Child Care Coordinating Council of San Mateo County (4Cs) Community Care Licensing Brion Economics Inc

Prepared by Brion Economics Inc 2513-SMC NA Final Tables 61216 6122016

BURLINGAME

Child Care as of 2025

No of

Providers

Under 2 Years

Old

2 to 4 Year

Olds

Total 0 to 4

Years

EXISTING DEMAND Child Care Demand

Estimated Total Children

Average LFPRAdjustment Factor

Children With Working Parents

Licensed Care Demand Factor

Resident Children Needing Licensed Care

of Total Resident Children Needing Licensed Care

Children from Non-Resident Employees Needing

Licensed Care

(1)

(2)

(3)

903 1332

65

587 1190

37

217 1124

24 84

154 232

2235

1777

75

1341

60

385

Total Demand for Child Care Spaces

Distribution

EXISTING SUPPLY (4)

371 1356

21 79

Child Care Spaces

1726

100

Family Child Care Home Supply

Child Care Center Supply

Current Child Care Supply

Distribution

EXISTING SURPLUS(SHORTAGE)

Distribution

Percentage of Demand Met

by Existing FacilitiesSpaces

Shortage of Family Child Care Home Spaces

Shortage of Center-Based Spaces

(5)

(6)

(6)

10

14

24

79 99

40 866

119 965

11 89

(252) (390)

39 61

32 71

(167) (40)

(85) (350)

179

906

1085

100

(642)

100

63

(207)

(434)

FINAL

Table B-5

Future Child Care Demand and Supply in 2025 in Burlingame

San Mateo County Child Care Study - 2016

Note All footnote references can be found in Table C-1 at the end of this file

Sources 2010 US Census ABAG Projections 2013 2014 American Community Survey ACS Journey-to-Work data 2006-2008 and 2006-2010

Child Care Coordinating Council of San Mateo County (4Cs) Community Care Licensing Brion Economics Inc

Prepared by Brion Economics Inc 2513-SMC NA Final Tables 61216 6122016

DALY CITYCOLMA

Child Care as of 2025

No of

Providers

Under 2 Years

Old

2 to 4 Year

Olds

Total 0 to 4

Years

EXISTING DEMAND Child Care Demand

Estimated Total Children

Average LFPRAdjustment Factor

Children With Working Parents

Licensed Care Demand Factor

Resident Children Needing Licensed Care

of Total Resident Children Needing Licensed Care

Children from Non-Resident Employees Needing

Licensed Care

(1)

(2)

(3)

2647 3793

74

1964 3467

37

727 3233

27 85

138 208

6440

5432

73

3960

61

346

Total Demand for Child Care Spaces

Distribution

EXISTING SUPPLY (4)

865 3441

20 80

Child Care Spaces

4306

100

Family Child Care Home Supply

Child Care Center Supply

Current Child Care Supply

Distribution

EXISTING SURPLUS(SHORTAGE)

Distribution

Percentage of Demand Met

by Existing FacilitiesSpaces

Shortage of Family Child Care Home Spaces

Shortage of Center-Based Spaces

(5)

(6)

(6)

25

28

28

288 362

84 1264

372 1626

19 81

(493) (1816)

21 79

43 47

(381) (404)

(111) (1412)

649

1348

1997

100

(2308)

100

46

(785)

(1523)

FINAL

Table B-6

Future C hild Care Demand and Supply in 2025 in Daly CityColma

San Mateo County Child Care Study - 2016

Note All footnote references can be found in Table C-1 at the end of this file

Sources 2010 US Census ABAG Projections 2013 2014 American Community Survey ACS Journey-to-Work data 2006-2008 and 2006-2010

Child Care Coordinating Council of San Mateo County (4Cs) Community Care Licensing Brion Economics Inc

Prepared by Brion Economics Inc 2513-SMC NA Final Tables 61216 6122016

EAST PALO ALTO

Child Care as of 2025

No of

Providers

Under 2 Years

Old

2 to 4 Year

Olds

Total 0 to 4

Years

EXISTING DEMAND Child Care Demand

Estimated Total Children

Average LFPRAdjustment Factor

Children With Working Parents

Licensed Care Demand Factor

Resident Children Needing Licensed Care

of Total Resident Children Needing Licensed Care

Children from Non-Resident Employees Needing

Licensed Care

(1)

(2)

(3)

1161 1849

71

822 1660

37

304 1545

26 84

20 30

3010

2482

75

1849

61

50

Total Demand for Child Care Spaces

Distribution

EXISTING SUPPLY (4)

324 1575

17 83

Child Care Spaces

1900

100

Family Child Care Home Supply

Child Care Center Supply

Current Child Care Supply

Distribution

EXISTING SURPLUS(SHORTAGE)

Distribution

Percentage of Demand Met

by Existing FacilitiesSpaces

Shortage of Family Child Care Home Spaces

Shortage of Center-Based Spaces

(5)

(6)

(6)

13

6

19

85 106

25 633

110 739

13 87

(215) (836)

20 80

34 47

(166) (120)

(49) (715)

191

658

849

100

(1050)

100

45

(286)

(764)

FINAL

Table B-7

Future Child Care Demand and Supply in 2025 in East Palo Alto

San Mateo County Child Care Study - 2016

Note All footnote references can be found in Table C-1 at the end of this file

Sources 2010 US Census ABAG Projections 2013 2014 American Community Survey ACS Journey-to-Work data 2006-2008 and 2006-2010

Child Care Coordinating Council of San Mateo County (4Cs) Community Care Licensing Brion Economics Inc

Prepared by Brion Economics Inc 2513-SMC NA Final Tables 61216 6122016

FOSTER CITY

Child Care as of 2025

No of

Providers

Under 2 Years

Old

2 to 4 Year

Olds

Total 0 to 4

Years

EXISTING DEMAND Child Care Demand

Estimated Total Children

Average LFPRAdjustment Factor

Children With Working Parents

Licensed Care Demand Factor

Resident Children Needing Licensed Care

of Total Resident Children Needing Licensed Care

Children from Non-Resident Employees Needing

Licensed Care

(1)

(2)

(3)

871 1330

63

550 1154

37

204 1079

23 81

80 120

2201

1705

75

1282

58

200

Total Demand for Child Care Spaces

Distribution

EXISTING SUPPLY (4)

283 1199

19 81

Child Care Spaces

1483

100

Family Child Care Home Supply

Child Care Center Supply

Current Child Care Supply

Distribution

EXISTING SURPLUS(SHORTAGE)

Distribution

Percentage of Demand Met

by Existing FacilitiesSpaces

Shortage of Family Child Care Home Spaces

Shortage of Center-Based Spaces

(5)

(6)

(6)

19

12

31

118 149

88 1200

206 1349

13 87

(77) 150

-106 206

73 112

(44) NA

(33) NA

267

1288

1555

100

73

100

105

(44)

(33)

FINAL

Table B-8

Future Child Care Demand and Supply in 2025 in Foster City

San Mateo County Child Care Study - 2016

Note All footnote references can be found in Table C-1 at the end of this file

Sources 2010 US Census ABAG Projections 2013 2014 American Community Survey ACS Journey-to-Work data 2006-2008 and 2006-2010

Child Care Coordinating Council of San Mateo County (4Cs) Community Care Licensing Brion Economics Inc

Prepared by Brion Economics Inc 2513-SMC NA Final Tables 61216 6122016

HALF MOON BAY REGION

Child Care as of 2025

No of

Providers

Under 2 Years

Old

2 to 4 Year

Olds

Total 0 to 4

Years

EXISTING DEMAND Child Care Demand

Estimated Total Children

Average LFPRAdjustment Factor

Children With Working Parents

Licensed Care Demand Factor

Resident Children Needing Licensed Care

of Total Resident Children Needing Licensed Care

Children from Non-Resident Employees Needing

Licensed Care

(1)

(2)

(3)

553 929

69

383 835

37

142 781

26 84

14 21

1482

1217

76

923

62

34

Total Demand for Child Care Spaces

Distribution

EXISTING SUPPLY (4)

155 802

16 84

Child Care Spaces

957

100

Family Child Care Home Supply

Child Care Center Supply

Current Child Care Supply

Distribution

EXISTING SURPLUS(SHORTAGE)

Distribution

Percentage of Demand Met

by Existing FacilitiesSpaces

Shortage of Family Child Care Home Spaces

Shortage of Center-Based Spaces

(5)

(6)

(6)

10

11

21

96 121

35 285

131 406

24 76

(24) (396)

6 94

84 51

(18) (118)

(6) (279)

216

320

536

100

(421)

100

56

(136)

(285)

FINAL

Table B-9

Future Child Care Demand and Supply in 2025 in Half Moon Bay Region

San Mateo County Child Care Study - 2016

Note All footnote references can be found in Table C-1 at the end of this file

Sources 2010 US Census ABAG Projections 2013 2014 American Community Survey ACS Journey-to-Work data 2006-2008 and 2006-2010

Child Care Coordinating Council of San Mateo County (4Cs) Community Care Licensing Brion Economics Inc

Prepared by Brion Economics Inc 2513-SMC NA Final Tables 61216 6122016

HILLSBOROUGH

Child Care as of 2025

No of

Providers

Under 2 Years

Old

2 to 4 Year

Olds

Total 0 to 4

Years

EXISTING DEMAND Child Care Demand

Estimated Total Children

Average LFPRAdjustment Factor

Children With Working Parents

Licensed Care Demand Factor

Resident Children Needing Licensed Care

of Total Resident Children Needing Licensed Care

Children from Non-Resident Employees Needing

Licensed Care

(1)

(2)

(3)

143 343

52

74 295

37

27 282

19 82

7 11

487

369

84

309

64

17

Total Demand for Child Care Spaces

Distribution

EXISTING SUPPLY (4)

34 292

10 90

Child Care Spaces

327

100

Family Child Care Home Supply

Child Care Center Supply

Current Child Care Supply

Distribution

EXISTING SURPLUS(SHORTAGE)

Distribution

Percentage of Demand Met

by Existing FacilitiesSpaces

Shortage of Family Child Care Home Spaces

Shortage of Center-Based Spaces

(5)

(6)

(6)

1

4

5

5 6

- 91

5 97

5 95

(29) (195)

13 87

14 33

(29) (12)

0 (183)

11

91

102

100

(225)

100

31

(42)

(183)

FINAL

Table B-10

Future Child Care Demand and Supply in 2025 in Hillsborough

San Mateo County Child Care Study - 2016

Note All footnote references can be found in Table C-1 at the end of this file

Sources 2010 US Census ABAG Projections 2013 2014 American Community Survey ACS Journey-to-Work data 2006-2008 and 2006-2010

Child Care Coordinating Council of San Mateo County (4Cs) Community Care Licensing Brion Economics Inc

Prepared by Brion Economics Inc 2513-SMC NA Final Tables 61216 6122016

MENLO PARK

Child Care as of 2025

No of

Providers

Under 2 Years

Old

2 to 4 Year

Olds

Total 0 to 4

Years

EXISTING DEMAND Child Care Demand

Estimated Total Children

Average LFPRAdjustment Factor

Children With Working Parents

Licensed Care Demand Factor

Resident Children Needing Licensed Care

of Total Resident Children Needing Licensed Care

Children from Non-Resident Employees Needing

Licensed Care

(1)

(2)

(3)

1327 1954

69

909 1759

37

336 1653

25 85

237 357

3281

2668

75

1989

61

594

Total Demand for Child Care Spaces

Distribution

EXISTING SUPPLY (4)

573 2011

22 78

Child Care Spaces

2584

100

Family Child Care Home Supply

Child Care Center Supply

Current Child Care Supply

Distribution

EXISTING SURPLUS(SHORTAGE)

Distribution

Percentage of Demand Met

by Existing FacilitiesSpaces

Shortage of Family Child Care Home Spaces

Shortage of Center-Based Spaces

(5)

(6)

(6)

15

25

40

76 96

73 1331

149 1427

9 91

(424) (584)

42 58

26 71

(217) (39)

(207) (544)

172

1404

1576

100

(1008)

100

61

(256)

(752)

FINAL

Table B-11

Future Child Care Demand and Supply in 2025 in Menlo Park

San Mateo County Child Care Study - 2016

Note All footnote references can be found in Table C-1 at the end of this file

Sources 2010 US Census ABAG Projections 2013 2014 American Community Survey ACS Journey-to-Work data 2006-2008 and 2006-2010

Child Care Coordinating Council of San Mateo County (4Cs) Community Care Licensing Brion Economics Inc

Prepared by Brion Economics Inc 2513-SMC NA Final Tables 61216 6122016

MILLBRAE

Child Care as of 2025

No of

Providers

Under 2 Years

Old

2 to 4 Year

Olds

Total 0 to 4

Years

EXISTING DEMAND Child Care Demand

Estimated Total Children

Average LFPRAdjustment Factor

Children With Working Parents

Licensed Care Demand Factor

Resident Children Needing Licensed Care

of Total Resident Children Needing Licensed Care

Children from Non-Resident Employees Needing

Licensed Care

(1)

(2)

(3)

473 805

62

291 710

37

108 672

23 83

31 47

1278

1001

78

780

61

77

Total Demand for Child Care Spaces

Distribution

EXISTING SUPPLY (4)

139 718

16 84

Child Care Spaces

857

100

Family Child Care Home Supply

Child Care Center Supply

Current Child Care Supply

Distribution

EXISTING SURPLUS(SHORTAGE)

Distribution

Percentage of Demand Met

by Existing FacilitiesSpaces

Shortage of Family Child Care Home Spaces

Shortage of Center-Based Spaces

(5)

(6)

(6)

7

7

14

62 78

- 376

62 454

12 88

(76) (264)

22 78

45 63

(76) (46)

0 (219)

141

376

517

100

(340)

100

60

(122)

(219)

FINAL

Table B-12

Future C hild Care Demand and Supply in 2025 in Millbrae

San Mateo County Child Care Study - 2016

Note All footnote references can be found in Table C-1 at the end of this file

Sources 2010 US Census ABAG Projections 2013 2014 American Community Survey ACS Journey-to-Work data 2006-2008 and 2006-2010

Child Care Coordinating Council of San Mateo County (4Cs) Community Care Licensing Brion Economics Inc

Prepared by Brion Economics Inc 2513-SMC NA Final Tables 61216 6122016

FINAL

Table B-13

Future Child Care Demand and Supply in 2025 in Pacifica

San Mateo County Child Care Study - 2016

PACIFICA

Child Care as of 2025

No of

Providers

Under 2 Years

Old

2 to 4 Year

Olds

Total 0 to 4

Years

EXISTING DEMAND Child Care Demand

Estimated Total Children

Average L FPRAdjustment Factor

Children With Working Parents

Licensed Care Demand Factor

Resident Children Needing Licensed Care

of Total Resident Children Needing Licensed Care

Children from Non-Resident Employees Needing

Licensed Care

(1)

(2)

(3)

816 1300

78

633 1209

37

234 1130

29 87

19 29

2116

1842

74

1364

64

48

Total Demand for Child Care Spaces

Distribution

EXISTING SUPPLY (4)

254 1159

18 82

Child Care Spaces

1413

100

Family Child Care Home Supply

Child Care Center Supply

Current Child Care Supply

Distribution

EXISTING SURPLUS(SHORTAGE)

Distribution

Percentage of Demand Met

by Existing FacilitiesSpaces

Shortage of Family Child Care Home Spaces

Shortage of Center-Based Spaces

(5)

(6)

(6)

9

18

27

77 97

39 701

116 798

13 87

(138) (361)

28 72

46 69

(91) (44)

(46) (317)

174

740

914

100

(499)

100

65

(135)

(364)

Note All footnote references can be found in Table C-1 at the end of this file

Sources 2010 US Census ABAG Projections 2013 2014 American Community Survey ACS Journey-to-Work data 2006-2008 and 2006-2010

Child Care Coordinating Council of San Mateo County (4Cs) Community Care Licensing Brion Economics Inc

Prepared by Brion Economics Inc 2513-SMC NA Final Tables 61216 6122016

PORTOLA VALLEY

Child Care as of 2025

No of

Providers

Under 2 Years

Old

2 to 4 Year

Olds

Total 0 to 4

Years

EXISTING DEMAND Child Care Demand

Estimated Total Children

Average LFPRAdjustment Factor

Children With Working Parents

Licensed Care Demand Factor

Resident Children Needing Licensed Care

of Total Resident Children Needing Licensed Care

Children from Non-Resident Employees Needing

Licensed Care

(1)

(2)

(3)

77 192

66

51 173

37

19 164

24 85

9 13

269

224

82

182

68

22

Total Demand for Child Care Spaces

Distribution

EXISTING SUPPLY (4)

28 177

13 87

Child Care Spaces

204

100

Family Child Care Home Supply

Child Care Center Supply

Current Child Care Supply

Distribution

EXISTING SURPLUS(SHORTAGE)

Distribution

Percentage of Demand Met

by Existing FacilitiesSpaces

Shortage of Family Child Care Home Spaces

Shortage of Center-Based Spaces

(5)

(6)

(6)

0

4

4

- -

- 153

- 153

0 100

(28) (24)

54 46

0 87

0 0

(28) (24)

0

153

153

100

(51)

100

75

0

(51)

FINAL

Table B-14

Future Child Care Demand and Supply in 2025 in Portola Valley

San Mateo County Child Care Study - 2016

Note All footnote references can be found in Table C-1 at the end of this file

Sources 2010 US Census ABAG Projections 2013 2014 American Community Survey ACS Journey-to-Work data 2006-2008 and 2006-2010

Child Care Coordinating Council of San Mateo County (4Cs) Community Care Licensing Brion Economics Inc

Prepared by Brion Economics Inc 2513-SMC NA Final Tables 61216 6122016

REDWOOD CITY

No of

Providers

Child Care as of 2025

Under 2 Years

Old

2 to 4 Year

Olds

Total 0 to 4

Years

EXISTING DEMAND Child Care Demand

Estimated Total Children

Average LFPRAdjustment Factor

Children With Working Parents

Licensed Care Demand Factor

Resident Children Needing Licensed Care

of Total Resident Children Needing Licensed Care

Children from Non-Resident Employees Needing

Licensed Care

Total Demand for Child Care Spaces

Distribution

EXISTING SUPPLY

(1)

(2)

(3)

(4)

3725 5378

69

2555 4813

37

946 4505

25 84

466 703

1411 5208

21 79

Child Care Spaces

9103

7368

74

5450

60

1169

6619

100

Family Child Care Home Supply

Child Care Center Supply

Current Child Care Supply

Distribution

EXISTING SURPLUS(SHORTAGE)

Distribution

Percentage of Demand Met

by Existing FacilitiesSpaces

Shortage of Family Child Care Home Spaces

Shortage of Center-Based Spaces

(5)

(6)

(6)

42

41

83

396 497

356 2036

752 2533

23 77

(660) (2674)

20 80

53 49

(347) (525)

(313) (2149)

893

2392

3285

100

(3334)

100

50

(872)

(2462)

FINAL

Table B-15

Future Child Care Demand and Supply in 2025 in Redwood City

San Mateo County Child Care Study - 2016

Note All footnote references can be found in Table C-1 at the end of this file

Sources 2010 US Census ABAG Projections 2013 2014 American Community Survey ACS Journey-to-Work data 2006-2008 and 2006-2010

Child Care Coordinating Council of San Mateo County (4Cs) Community Care Licensing Brion Economics Inc

Prepared by Brion Economics Inc 2513-SMC NA Final Tables 61216 6122016

SAN BRUNO

Child Care as of 2025

No of

Providers

Under 2 Years

Old

2 to 4 Year

Olds

Total 0 to 4

Years

EXISTING DEMAND Child Care Demand

Estimated Total Children

Average LFPRAdjustment Factor

Children With Working Parents

Licensed Care Demand Factor

Resident Children Needing Licensed Care

of Total Resident Children Needing Licensed Care

Children from Non-Resident Employees Needing

Licensed Care

(1)

(2)

(3)

1189 1728

77

910 1589

37

337 1475

28 85

68 103

2917

2498

73

1812

62

171

Total Demand for Child Care Spaces

Distribution

EXISTING SUPPLY (4)

405 1578

20 80

Child Care Spaces

1983

100

Family Child Care Home Supply

Child Care Center Supply

Current Child Care Supply

Distribution

EXISTING SURPLUS(SHORTAGE)

Distribution

Percentage of Demand Met

by Existing FacilitiesSpaces

Shortage of Family Child Care Home Spaces

Shortage of Center-Based Spaces

(5)

(6)

(6)

13

15

28

122 153

26 1183

148 1336

10 90

(257) (242)

52 48

37 85

(212) (28)

(45) (214)

275

1209

1484

100

(499)

100

75

(239)

(259)

FINAL

Table B-16

Future C hild Care Demand and Supply in 2025 in San Bruno

San Mateo County Child Care Study - 2016

Note All footnote references can be found in Table C-1 at the end of this file

Sources 2010 US Census ABAG Projections 2013 2014 American Community Survey ACS Journey-to-Work data 2006-2008 and 2006-2010

Child Care Coordinating Council of San Mateo County (4Cs) Community Care Licensing Brion Economics Inc

Prepared by Brion Economics Inc 2513-SMC NA Final Tables 61216 6122016

SAN CARLOS

Child Care as of 2025

No of

Providers

Under 2 Years

Old

2 to 4 Year

Olds

Total 0 to 4

Years

EXISTING DEMAND Child Care Demand

Estimated Total Children

Average LFPRAdjustment Factor

Children With Working Parents

Licensed Care Demand Factor

Resident Children Needing Licensed Care

of Total Resident Children Needing Licensed Care

Children from Non-Resident Employees Needing

Licensed Care

(1)

(2)

(3)

778 1384

72

557 1255

37

206 1174

26 85

82 123

2162

1812

76

1380

64

205

Total Demand for Child Care Spaces

Distribution

EXISTING SUPPLY (4)

288 1297

18 82

Child Care Spaces

1585

100

Family Child Care Home Supply

Child Care Center Supply

Current Child Care Supply

Distribution

EXISTING SURPLUS(SHORTAGE)

Distribution

Percentage of Demand Met

by Existing FacilitiesSpaces

Shortage of Family Child Care Home Spaces

Shortage of Center-Based Spaces

(5)

(6)

(6)

28

14

42

73 92

76 615

149 707

17 83

(139) (590)

19 81

52 54

(68) (76)

(71) (514)

164

691

855

100

(729)

100

54

(145)

(585)

FINAL

Table B-17

Future Child Care Demand and Supply in 2025 in San Carlos

San Mateo County Child Care Study - 2016

Note All footnote references can be found in Table C-1 at the end of this file

Sources 2010 US Census ABAG Projections 2013 2014 American Community Survey ACS Journey-to-Work data 2006-2008 and 2006-2010

Child Care Coordinating Council of San Mateo County (4Cs) Community Care Licensing Brion Economics Inc

Prepared by Brion Economics Inc 2513-SMC NA Final Tables 61216 6122016

SAN MATEO

Child Care as of 2025

No of

Providers

Under 2 Years

Old

2 to 4 Year

Olds

Total 0 to 4

Years

EXISTING DEMAND Child Care Demand

Estimated Total Children

Average LFPRAdjustment Factor

Children With Working Parents

Licensed Care Demand Factor

Resident Children Needing Licensed Care

of Total Resident Children Needing Licensed Care

Children from Non-Resident Employees Needing

Licensed Care

(1)

(2)

(3)

3194 4572

71

2264 4116

37

838 3839

26 84

261 394

7766

6381

73

4677

60

656

Total Demand for Child Care Spaces

Distribution

EXISTING SUPPLY (4)

1099 4233

21 79

Child Care Spaces

5332

100

Family Child Care Home Supply

Child Care Center Supply

Current Child Care Supply

Distribution

EXISTING SURPLUS(SHORTAGE)

Distribution

Percentage of Demand Met

by Existing FacilitiesSpaces

Shortage of Family Child Care Home Spaces

Shortage of Center-Based Spaces

(5)

(6)

(6)

69

59

128

492 619

209 2577

701 3196

18 82

(398) (1037)

28 72

64 75

(279) (201)

(119) (837)

1111

2786

3897

100

(1435)

100

73

(480)

(955)

FINAL

Table B-18

Future Child Care Demand and Supply in 2025 in San Mateo

San Mateo County Child Care Study - 2016

Note All footnote references can be found in Table C-1 at the end of this file

Sources 2010 US Census ABAG Projections 2013 2014 American Community Survey ACS Journey-to-Work data 2006-2008 and 2006-2010

Child Care Coordinating Council of San Mateo County (4Cs) Community Care Licensing Brion Economics Inc

Prepared by Brion Economics Inc 2513-SMC NA Final Tables 61216 6122016

FINAL

Table B-19

Future Child Care Demand and Supply in 2025 in South Coast

San Mateo County Child Care Study - 2016

SOUTH COAST

Child Care as of 2025

No of

Providers

Under 2 Years

Old

2 to 4 Year

Olds

Total 0 to 4

Years

EXISTING DEMAND Child Care Demand

Estimated Total Children (1) 23 32 55

Average LFPRAdjustment Factor (2) 54

Children With Working Parents 12 27 40

Licensed Care Demand Factor (3) 37 77

Resident Children Needing Licensed Care 5 26 30

of Total Resident Children Needing Licensed Care 20 81 56

Children from Non-Resident Employees Needing

Licensed Care 0 0 0

Total Demand for Child Care Spaces 5 26 30

Distribution 15 85 100

EXISTING SUPPLY (4) Child Care Spaces

Family Child Care Home Supply - 0 0 0

Child Care Center Supply 2 0 54 54

Current Child Care Supply 2 - 54 54

Distribution 0 100 100

EXISTING SURPLUS(SHORTAGE) (5) 28 24

Distribution -19 119 100

Percentage of Demand Met

by Existing FacilitiesSpaces (5) 0 209 177

Shortage of Family Child Care Home Spaces (6) 0 NA 0

Shortage of Center-Based Spaces (6) (5) NA (5)

Note All footnote references can be found in Table C-1 at the end of this file

Sources 2010 US Census ABAG Projections 2013 2014 American Community Survey ACS Journey-to-Work data 2006-2008 and 2006-2010

Child Care Coordinating Council of San Mateo County (4Cs) Community Care Licensing Brion Economics Inc

Prepared by Brion Economics Inc 2513-SMC NA Final Tables 61216 6122016

SOUTH SAN FRANCISCO

Child Care as of 2025

No of

Providers

Under 2 Years

Old

2 to 4 Year

Olds

Total 0 to 4

Years

EXISTING DEMAND Child Care Demand

Estimated Total Children

Average LFPRAdjustment Factor

Children With Working Parents

Licensed Care Demand Factor

Resident Children Needing Licensed Care

of Total Resident Children Needing Licensed Care

Children from Non-Resident Employees Needing

Licensed Care

(1)

(2)

(3)

1835 2790

73

1342 2535

37

496 2362

27 85

339 512

4625

3877

74

2859

62

851

Total Demand for Child Care Spaces

Distribution

EXISTING SUPPLY (4)

835 2874

23 77

Child Care Spaces

3709

100

Family Child Care Home Supply

Child Care Center Supply

Current Child Care Supply

Distribution

EXISTING SURPLUS(SHORTAGE)

Distribution

Percentage of Demand Met

by Existing FacilitiesSpaces

Shortage of Family Child Care Home Spaces

Shortage of Center-Based Spaces

(5)

(6)

(6)

30

27

57

252 317

400 1966

652 2283

22 78

(183) (591)

24 76

78 79

(71) (82)

(113) (509)

569

2366

2935

100

(775)

100

79

(153)

(622)

FINAL

Table B-20

Future Child Care Demand and Supply in 2025 in South San Francisco

San Mateo County Child Care Study - 2016

Note All footnote references can be found in Table C-1 at the end of this file

Sources 2010 US Census ABAG Projections 2013 2014 American Community Survey ACS Journey-to-Work data 2006-2008 and 2006-2010

Child Care Coordinating Council of San Mateo County (4Cs) Community Care Licensing Brion Economics Inc

Prepared by Brion Economics Inc 2513-SMC NA Final Tables 61216 6122016

WOODSIDE

No of

Providers

Child Care as of 2025

Under 2 Years

Old

2 to 4 Year

Olds

Total 0 to 4

Years

EXISTING DEMAND Child Care Demand

Estimated Total Children

Average LFPRAdjustment Factor

Children With Working Parents

Licensed Care Demand Factor

Resident Children Needing Licensed Care

of Total Resident Children Needing Licensed Care

Children from Non-Resident Employees Needing

Licensed Care

(1)

(2)

(3)

93 165

56

51 140

37

19 132

21 80

9 13

258

192

79

152

59

22

Total Demand for Child Care Spaces

Distribution

EXISTING SUPPLY (4)

28 146

16 84

Child Care Spaces

174

100

Family Child Care Home Supply

Child Care Center Supply

Current Child Care Supply

Distribution

EXISTING SURPLUS(SHORTAGE)

Distribution

Percentage of Demand Met

by Existing FacilitiesSpaces

Shortage of Family Child Care Home Spaces

Shortage of Center-Based Spaces

(5)

(6)

(6)

1

2

3

4 5

- 103

4 108

4 96

(24) (38)

39 61

15 74

(24) (2)

0 (36)

9

103

112

100

(61)

100

65

(26)

(36)

FINAL

Table B-21

Future Child Care Demand and Supply in 2025 in Woodside

San Mateo County Child Care Study - 2016

Note All footnote references can be found in Table C-1 at the end of this file

Sources 2010 US Census ABAG Projections 2013 2014 American Community Survey ACS Journey-to-Work data 2006-2008 and 2006-2010

Child Care Coordinating Council of San Mateo County (4Cs) Community Care Licensing Brion Economics Inc

Prepared by Brion Economics Inc 2513-SMC NA Final Tables 61216 6122016

FINAL

Table C-1

Endnotes for Tables

San Mateo County Child Care Study - 2016

(1) Population by age is based on the percentage breakdown from the 2010 US Census and applied

to population estimates for 2015 using ABAGs Projections 2013 population data The ABAG data

for each area includes its Sphere of Influence and is not based on strict jurisdictional boundaries

(2) Labor force participation rates are from the 5-Year American Community Survey 2014 and include

children under six years old with two working parents or a single working parent For the 2- to 4-year

olds the labor force participation rate is applied to 2 year olds For 3- and 4-year olds it is assumed

that 100 need licensed care to support preschool for every child so the number of

3- and 4-year olds is not discounted by labor force participation rates

(3) Not all children with working parents are assumed to need licensed care percentage assumptions are

used to calculate the number of children requiring licensed care under each age category The

remaining children are assumed to be cared for in alternate arrangements such as by family members

nannies friends and other unlicensed care For children ages 3- and 4-years old it is assumed that

they all need care in the form of preschool

(4) Data on child care supply provided by the Child Care Coordinating Council of San Mateo County (4Cs)

and Community Care Licensing Division of the California Department of Social Services (CCLD) Data is

for June 2015

(5) Demand that calculates as less than 100 means that there is greater demand than supply percent of

demand that is over 100 means supply exceeds demand

(6) Unmet demand is broken down into shortage by type of care based on the proportion of FCCHs and

child care centers spaces available in each area If an area does not have any FCCHs or centers the

unmet demand is placed in the type of care that is available in the area (eg if there are only centers

all demand goes to centers)

Source Brion Economics Inc

Prepared by Brion Economics Inc 2513-SMC NA Final Tables 61216 6122016

DRAFT REPORT

Table C-2

Labor Force Participation Rates by CityArea

San Mateo County Child Care Study - 2016

CityArea

Labor Force

Participation Rate (1)

Atherton

Belmont

Brisbane

Burlingame

Daly CityColma

East Palo Alto

Foster City

Half Moon Bay Region

Hillsborough

Menlo Park

Millbrae

Pacifica

Portola Valley

Redwood City

San Bruno

San Carlos

San Mateo

South Coast

South San Francisco

Woodside

40

77

100

65

74

71

63

69

52

69

62

78

66

69

77

72

71

54

73

56

(1) Labor force participation rates (LFPRs) are for

families with children under age six with two

working parents or a single parent who works Sources American Community Survey 2014 5-Year

Survey Brion Economics Inc

Prepared by Brion Economics Inc 2513-SMC NA Final Tables 61216 6122016

  • 2513-SMC FINAL NA Memo-61216
  • 2513-SMC NA Final Tables 61216
Page 33: Final San Mateo County Child Care Needs … Care...Future C hild Care Demand and Supply in 2025 in Daly City/Colma San Mateo County Child Care Study - 2016 Note: All footnote references

MENLO PARK

Child Care as of 2015

No of

Providers

Under 2 Years

Old

2 to 4 Year

Olds

Total 0 to 4

Years

EXISTING DEMAND Child Care Demand

Estimated Total Children

Average LFPRAdjustment Factor

Children With Working Parents

Licensed Care Demand Factor

Resident Children Needing Licensed Care

of Total Resident Children Needing Licensed Care

Children from Non-Resident Employees Needing

Licensed Care

(1)

(2)

(3)

1170 1723

69

802 1551

37

297 1458

25 85

220 332

2893

2353

75

1754

61

552

Total Demand for Child Care Spaces

Distribution

EXISTING SUPPLY (4)

516 1790

22 78

Child Care Spaces

2306

100

Family Child Care Home Supply

Child Care Center Supply

Current Child Care Supply

Distribution

EXISTING SURPLUS(SHORTAGE)

Distribution

Percentage of Demand Met

by Existing FacilitiesSpaces

Shortage of Family Child Care Home Spaces

Shortage of Center-Based Spaces

(5)

(6)

(6)

18

25

43

76 96

73 1331

149 1427

9 91

(367) (363)

50 50

29 80

(188) (24)

(180) (338)

172

1404

1576

100

(730)

100

68

(212)

(518)

FINAL

Table A-11

Existing Child Care Demand and Supply in 2015 in Menlo Park

San Mateo County Child Care Study - 2016

Note All footnote references can be found in Table C-1 at the end of this file Sources 2010 US Census ABAG Projections 2013 2014 American Community Survey ACS Journey-to-Work data 2006-2008 and 2006-2010

Child Care Coordinating Council of San Mateo County (4Cs) Community Care Licensing Brion Economics Inc

Prepared by Brion Economics Inc 2513-SMC NA Final Tables 61216 6122016

MILLBRAE

Child Care as of 2015

No of

Providers

Under 2 Years

Old

2 to 4 Year

Olds

Total 0 to 4

Years

EXISTING DEMAND Child Care Demand

Total Children

Average LFPRAdjustment Factor

Children With Working Parents

Licensed Care Demand Factor

Resident Children Needing Licensed Care

of Total Resident Children Needing Licensed Care

Children from Non-Resident Employees Needing

Licensed Care

(1)

(2)

(3)

421 717

62

260 632

37

96 598

23 83

28 42

1138

892

78

694

61

69

Total Demand for Child Care Spaces

Distribution

EXISTING SUPPLY (4)

124 640

16 84

Child Care Spaces

764

100

Family Child Care Home Supply

Child Care Center Supply

Current Child Care Supply

Distribution

EXISTING SURPLUS(SHORTAGE)

Distribution

Percentage of Demand Met

by Existing FacilitiesSpaces

Shortage of Family Child Care Home Spaces

Shortage of Center-Based Spaces

(5)

(6)

(6)

17

7

24

62 78

- 376

62 454

12 88

(61) (186)

25 75

50 71

(61) (32)

0 (154)

141

376

517

100

(247)

100

68

(93)

(154)

FINAL

Table A-12

Existing Child Care Demand and Supply in 2015 in Millbrae

San Mateo Co unty Child Care Study - 2016

Note All footnote references can be found in Table C-1 at the end of this file

Sources 2010 US Census ABAG Projections 2013 2014 American Community Survey ACS Journey-to-Work data 2006-2008 and 2006-2010

Child Care Coordinating Council of San Mateo County (4Cs) Community Care Licensing Brion Economics Inc

Prepared by Brion Economics Inc 2513-SMC NA Final Tables 61216 6122016

PACIFICA

Child Care as of 2015

No of

Providers

Under 2 Years

Old

2 to 4 Year

Olds

Total 0 to 4

Years

EXISTING DEMAND Child Care Demand

Estimated Total Children

Average LFPRAdjustment Factor

Children With Working Parents

Licensed Care Demand Factor

Resident Children Needing Licensed Care

of Total Resident Children Needing Licensed Care

Children from Non-Resident Employees Needing

Licensed Care

(1)

(2)

(3)

787 1253

78

610 1165

37

226 1089

29 87

18 27

2040

1776

74

1315

64

45

Total Demand for Child Care Spaces

Distribution

EXISTING SUPPLY (4)

244 1117

18 83

Child Care Spaces

1360

100

Family Child Care Home Supply

Child Care Center Supply

Current Child Care Supply

Distribution

EXISTING SURPLUS(SHORTAGE)

Distribution

Percentage of Demand Met

by Existing FacilitiesSpaces

Shortage of Family Child Care Home Spaces

Shortage of Center-Based Spaces

(5)

(6)

(6)

21

18

39

77 97

39 701

116 798

13 87

(128) (319)

29 71

48 71

(85) (39)

(43) (280)

174

740

914

100

(447)

100

67

(124)

(323)

FINAL

Table A-13

Existing Child Care Demand and Supply in 2015 in Pacifica

San Mateo County Child Care Study - 2016

Note All footnote references can be found in Table C-1 at the end of this file Sources 2010 US Census ABAG Projections 2013 2014 American Community Survey ACS Journey-to-Work data 2006-2008 and 2006-2010

Child Care Coordinating Council of San Mateo County (4Cs) Community Care Licensing Brion Economics Inc

Prepared by Brion Economics Inc 2513-SMC NA Final Tables 61216 6122016

PORTOLA VALLEY

No of

Providers

Child Care as of 2015

Under 2 Years

Old

2 to 4 Year

Olds

Total 0 to 4

Years

EXISTING DEMAND Child Care Demand

Estimated Total Children

Average LFPRAdjustment Factor

Children With Working Parents

Licensed Care Demand Factor

Resident Children Needing Licensed Care

of Total Resident Children Needing Licensed Care

Children from Non-Resident Employees Needing

Licensed Care

(1)

(2)

(3)

75 187

66

49 168

37

18 159

24 85

8 12

261

217

82

177

68

21

Total Demand for Child Care Spaces

Distribution

EXISTING SUPPLY (4)

26 171

13 87

Child Care Spaces

198

100

Family Child Care Home Supply

Child Care Center Supply

Current Child Care Supply

Distribution

EXISTING SURPLUS(SHORTAGE)

Distribution

Percentage of Demand Met

by Existing FacilitiesSpaces

Shortage of Family Child Care Home Spaces

Shortage of Center-Based Spaces

(5)

(6)

(6)

0

4

4

0 0

0 153

0 153

0 100

(26) (18)

59 41

0 89

0 0

(26) (18)

0

153

153

100

(45)

100

77

0

(45)

FINAL

Table A-14

Existing Child Care Demand and Supply in 2015 in Portola Valley

San Mateo County Child Care Study - 2016

Note All footnote references can be found in Table C-1 at the end of this file Sources 2010 US Census ABAG Projections 2013 2014 American Community Survey ACS Journey-to-Work data 2006-2008 and 2006-2010

Child Care Coordinating Council of San Mateo County (4Cs) Community Care Licensing Brion Economics Inc

Prepared by Brion Economics Inc 2513-SMC NA Final Tables 61216 6122016

REDWOOD CITY

Child Care as of 2015

No of

Providers

Under 2 Years

Old

2 to 4 Year

Olds

Total 0 to 4

Years

EXISTING DEMAND Child Care Demand

Estimated Total Children

Average LFPRAdjustment Factor

Children With Working Parents

Licensed Care Demand Factor

Resident Children Needing Licensed Care

of Total Resident Children Needing Licensed Care

Children from Non-Resident Employees Needing

Licensed Care

Total Demand for Child Care Spaces

Distribution

EXISTING SUPPLY

(1)

(2)

(3)

(4)

3260 4706

69

2236 4212

37

827 3942

25 84

414 625

1241 4567

21 79

Child Care Spaces

7966

6449

74

4770

60

1038

5808

100

Family Child Care Home Supply

Child Care Center Supply

Current Child Care Supply

Distribution

EXISTING SURPLUS(SHORTAGE)

Distribution

Percentage of Demand Met

by Existing FacilitiesSpaces

Shortage of Family Child Care Home Spaces

Shortage of Center-Based Spaces

(5)

(6)

(6)

111

45

156

396 497

356 2036

752 2533

23 77

(490) (2034)

19 81

61 55

(258) (399)

(232) (1635)

893

2392

3285

100

(2524)

100

57

(657)

(1867)

FINAL

Table A-15

Existing Child Care Demand and Supply in 2015 in Redwood City

San Mateo County Child Care Study - 2016

Note All footnote references can be found in Table C-1 at the end of this file Sources 2010 US Census ABAG Projections 2013 2014 American Community Survey ACS Journey-to-Work data 2006-2008 and 2006-2010

Child Care Coordinating Council of San Mateo County (4Cs) Community Care Licensing Brion Economics Inc

Prepared by Brion Economics Inc 2513-SMC NA Final Tables 61216 6122016

SAN BRUNO

Child Care as of 2015

No of

Providers

Under 2 Years

Old

2 to 4 Year

Olds

Total 0 to 4

Years

EXISTING DEMAND Child Care Demand

Estimated Total Children

Average LFPRAdjustment Factor

Children With Working Parents

Licensed Care Demand Factor

Resident Children Needing Licensed Care

of Total Resident Children Needing Licensed Care

Children from Non-Resident Employees Needing

Licensed Care

(1)

(2)

(3)

1069 1553

77

817 1428

37

302 1326

28 85

61 92

2622

2245

73

1628

62

153

Total Demand for Child Care Spaces

Distribution

EXISTING SUPPLY (4)

364 1418

20 80

Child Care Spaces

1782

100

Family Child Care Home Supply

Child Care Center Supply

Current Child Care Supply

Distribution

EXISTING SURPLUS(SHORTAGE)

Distribution

Percentage of Demand Met

by Existing FacilitiesSpaces

Shortage of Family Child Care Home Spaces

Shortage of Center-Based Spaces

(5)

(6)

(6)

34

15

49

122 153

26 1183

148 1336

10 90

(216) (82)

72 28

41 94

(178) (9)

(38) (73)

275

1209

1484

100

(298)

100

83

(187)

(110)

FINAL

Table A-16

Existing Child Care Demand and Supply in 2015 in San Bruno

San Mateo County Child Care Study - 2016

Note All footnote references can be found in Table C-1 at the end of this file Sources 2010 US Census ABAG Projections 2013 2014 American Community Survey ACS Journey-to-Work data 2006-2008 and 2006-2010

Child Care Coordinating Council of San Mateo County (4Cs) Community Care Licensing Brion Economics Inc

Prepared by Brion Economics Inc 2513-SMC NA Final Tables 61216 6122016

SAN CARLOS

Child Care as of 2015

No of

Providers

Under 2 Years

Old

2 to 4 Year

Olds

Total 0 to 4

Years

EXISTING DEMAND Child Care Demand

Estimated Total Children

Average LFPRAdjustment Factor

Children With Working Parents

Licensed Care Demand Factor

Resident Children Needing Licensed Care

of Total Resident Children Needing Licensed Care

Children from Non-Resident Employees Needing

Licensed Care

(1)

(2)

(3)

735 1308

72

526 1186

37

195 1109

26 85

75 114

2043

1712

76

1304

64

189

Total Demand for Child Care Spaces

Distribution

EXISTING SUPPLY (4)

270 1222

18 82

Child Care Spaces

1492

100

Family Child Care Home Supply

Child Care Center Supply

Current Child Care Supply

Distribution

EXISTING SURPLUS(SHORTAGE)

Distribution

Percentage of Demand Met

by Existing FacilitiesSpaces

Shortage of Family Child Care Home Spaces

Shortage of Center-Based Spaces

(5)

(6)

(6)

20

14

34

73 92

76 615

149 707

17 83

(121) (516)

19 81

55 58

(59) (67)

(62) (449)

164

691

855

100

(637)

100

57

(126)

(511)

FINAL

Table A-17

Existing Child Care Demand and Supply in 2015 in San Carlos

San Mateo County Child Care Study - 2016

Note All footnote references can be found in Table C-1 at the end of this file

Sources 2010 US Census ABAG Projections 2013 2014 American Community Survey ACS Journey-to-Work data 2006-2008 and 2006-2010

Child Care Coordinating Council of San Mateo County (4Cs) Community Care Licensing Brion Economics Inc

Prepared by Brion Economics Inc 2513-SMC NA Final Tables 61216 6122016

SAN MATEO

Child Care as of 2015

No of

Providers

Under 2 Years

Old

2 to 4 Year

Olds

Total 0 to 4

Years

EXISTING DEMAND Child Care Demand

Estimated Total Children

Average LFPRAdjustment Factor

Children With Working Parents

Licensed Care Demand Factor

Resident Children Needing Licensed Care

of Total Resident Children Needing Licensed Care

Children from Non-Resident Employees Needing

Licensed Care

(1)

(2)

(3)

2943 4213

71

2087 3793

37

772 3537

26 84

231 348

7156

5880

73

4309

60

579

Total Demand for Child Care Spaces

Distribution

EXISTING SUPPLY (4)

1003 3886

21 79

Child Care Spaces

4889

100

Family Child Care Home Supply

Child Care Center Supply

Current Child Care Supply

Distribution

EXISTING SURPLUS(SHORTAGE)

Distribution

Percentage of Demand Met

by Existing FacilitiesSpaces

Shortage of Family Child Care Home Spaces

Shortage of Center-Based Spaces

(5)

(6)

(6)

126

59

185

492 619

209 2577

701 3196

18 82

(302) (690)

30 70

70 82

(212) (134)

(90) (557)

1111

2786

3897

100

(992)

100

80

(345)

(647)

FINAL

Table A-18

Existing Child Care Demand and Supply in 2015 in San Mateo

San Mateo County Child Care Study - 2016

Note All footnote references can be found in Table C-1 at the end of this file

Sources 2010 US Census ABAG Projections 2013 2014 American Community Survey ACS Journey-to-Work data 2006-2008 and 2006-2010

Child Care Coordinating Council of San Mateo County (4Cs) Community Care Licensing Brion Economics Inc

Prepared by Brion Economics Inc 2513-SMC NA Final Tables 61216 6122016

SOUTH COAST

Child Care as of 2015

No of

Providers

Under 2 Years

Old

2 to 4 Year

Olds

Total 0 to 4

Years

EXISTING DEMAND Child Care Demand

Estimated Total Children

Average LFPRAdjustment Factor

Children With Working Parents

Licensed Care Demand Factor

Resident Children Needing Licensed Care

of Total Resident Children Needing Licensed Care

Children from Non-Resident Employees Needing

Licensed Care

(1)

(2)

(3)

21 29

54

11 25

37

4 23

20 81

0 0

50

36

77

28

56

0

Total Demand for Child Care Spaces

Distribution

EXISTING SUPPLY (4)

4 23

15 85

Child Care Spaces

28

100

Family Child Care Home Supply

Child Care Center Supply

Current Child Care Supply

Distribution

EXISTING SURPLUS(SHORTAGE)

Distribution

Percentage of Demand Met

by Existing FacilitiesSpaces

Shortage of Family Child Care Home Spaces

Shortage of Center-Based Spaces

(5)

(6)

(6)

-

2

2

- -

- 54

- 54

0 100

(4) 31

-16 116

0 230

(2) NA

(2) NA

0

54

54

100

26

100

195

(2)

(2)

FINAL

Table A-19

Existing Child Care Demand and Supply in 2015 in South Coast

San Mateo County Child Care Study - 2016

Note All footnote references can be found in Table C-1 at the end of this file

Sources 2010 US Census ABAG Projections 2013 2014 American Community Survey ACS Journey-to-Work data 2006-2008 and 2006-2010

Child Care Coordinating Council of San Mateo County (4Cs) Community Care Licensing Brion Economics Inc

Prepared by Brion Economics Inc 2513-SMC NA Final Tables 61216 6122016

SOUTH SAN FRANCISCO

Child Care as of 2015

No of

Providers

Under 2 Years

Old

2 to 4 Year

Olds

Total 0 to 4

Years

EXISTING DEMAND Child Care Demand

Estimated Total Children

Average LFPRAdjustment Factor

Children With Working Parents

Licensed Care Demand Factor

Resident Children Needing Licensed Care

of Total Resident Children Needing Licensed Care

Children from Non-Resident Employees Needing

Licensed Care

(1)

(2)

(3)

1649 2507

73

1206 2278

37

446 2123

27 85

309 466

4156

3484

74

2569

62

774

Total Demand for Child Care Spaces

Distribution

EXISTING SUPPLY (4)

755 2588

23 77

Child Care Spaces

3343

100

Family Child Care Home Supply

Child Care Center Supply

Current Child Care Supply

Distribution

EXISTING SURPLUS(SHORTAGE)

Distribution

Percentage of Demand Met

by Existing FacilitiesSpaces

Shortage of Family Child Care Home Spaces

Shortage of Center-Based Spaces

(5)

(6)

(6)

68

27

95

252 317

400 1966

652 2283

22 78

(103) (306)

25 75

86 88

(40) (42)

(63) (263)

569

2366

2935

100

(408)

100

88

(82)

(326)

FINAL

Table A-20

Existing Child Care Demand and Supply in 2015 in South San Francisco

San Mateo County Child Care Study - 2016

Note All footnote references can be found in Table C-1 at the end of this file Sources 2010 US Census ABAG Projections 2013 2014 American Community Survey ACS Journey-to-Work data 2006-2008 and 2006-2010

Child Care Coordinating Council of San Mateo County (4Cs) Community Care Licensing Brion Economics Inc

Prepared by Brion Economics Inc 2513-SMC NA Final Tables 61216 6122016

WOODSIDE

No of

Providers

Child Care as of 2015

Under 2 Years

Old

2 to 4 Year

Olds

Total 0 to 4

Years

EXISTING DEMAND Child Care Demand

Estimated Total Children

Average LFPRAdjustment Factor

Children With Working Parents

Licensed Care Demand Factor

Resident Children Needing Licensed Care

of Total Resident Children Needing Licensed Care

Children from Non-Resident Employees Needing

Licensed Care

(1)

(2)

(3)

90 160

56

50 136

37

18 128

21 80

8 13

250

186

79

147

59

21

Total Demand for Child Care Spaces

Distribution

EXISTING SUPPLY (4)

27 141

16 84

Child Care Spaces

168

100

Family Child Care Home Supply

Child Care Center Supply

Current Child Care Supply

Distribution

EXISTING SURPLUS(SHORTAGE)

Distribution

Percentage of Demand Met

by Existing FacilitiesSpaces

Shortage of Family Child Care Home Spaces

Shortage of Center-Based Spaces

(5)

(6)

(6)

1

2

3

4 5

0 103

4 108

4 96

(23) (33)

41 59

16 77

(23) (2)

0 (31)

9

103

112

100

(55)

100

67

(24)

(31)

FINAL

Table A-21

Existing Child Care Demand and Supply in 2015 in Woodside

San Mateo County Child Care Study - 2016

Note All footnote references can be found in Table C-1 at the end of this file Sources 2010 US Census ABAG Projections 2013 2014 American Community Survey ACS Journey-to-Work data 2006-2008 and 2006-2010

Child Care Coordinating Council of San Mateo County (4Cs) Community Care Licensing Brion Economics Inc

Prepared by Brion Economics Inc 2513-SMC NA Final Tables 61216 6122016

COUNTYWIDE

Child Care as of 2025

No of

Providers

Under 2 Years

Old

2 to 4 Year

Olds

Total 0 to 4

Years

EXISTING DEMAND Child Care Demand

Estimated Total Children

Average LFPRAdjustment Factor

Children With Working Parents

Licensed Care Demand Factor

Resident Children Needing Licensed Care

of Total Resident Children Needing Licensed Care

Children from Non-Resident Employees Needing

Licensed Care

Total Demand for Child Care Spaces

Distribution

EXISTING SUPPLY

(1)

(2)

(3)

(4)

20790 31340

71

14704 28273

37

5441 26432

26 84

2037 3074

7478 29506

20 80

Child Care Spaces

52130

42978

86

31873

61

5112

36984

100

Family Child Care Home Supply

Child Care Center Supply

Current Child Care Supply

Distribution

EXISTING SURPLUS(SHORTAGE)

Distribution

Percentage of Demand Met

by Existing FacilitiesSpaces

Shortage of Family Child Care Home Spaces

Shortage of Center-Based Spaces

(5)

(6)

(6)

621

309

930

2301 2893

1514 16296

3815 19189

17 83

(3663) (10318)

26 74

51 65

(2209) (1555)

(1454) (8762)

5193

17810

23003

100

(13981)

100

62

(3765)

(10216)

FINAL

Table B-1

Future C hild Care Demand and Supply in 2025 Countywide

San Mateo County Child Care Study - 2016

Note All footnote references can be found in Table C-1 at the end of this file

Sources 2010 US Census ABAG Projections 2013 2014 American Community Survey ACS Journey-to-Work data 2006-2008 and 2006-2010

Child Care Coordinating Council of San Mateo County (4Cs) Community Care Licensing Brion Economics Inc

Prepared by Brion Economics Inc 2513-SMC NA Final Tables 61216 6122016

ATHERTON

No of

Providers

Child Care as of 2025

Under 2 Years

Old

2 to 4 Year

Olds

Total 0 to 4

Years

EXISTING DEMAND Child Care Demand

Estimated Total Children

Average LFPRAdjustment Factor

Children With Working Parents

Licensed Care Demand Factor

Resident Children Needing Licensed Care

of Total Resident Children Needing Licensed Care

Children from Non-Resident Employees Needing

Licensed Care

(1)

(2)

(3)

109 193

40

43 159

37

16 154

15 80

13 19

302

202

84

170

56

32

Total Demand for Child Care Spaces

Distribution

EXISTING SUPPLY (4)

29 173

14 86

Child Care Spaces

201

100

Family Child Care Home Supply

Child Care Center Supply

Current Child Care Supply

Distribution

EXISTING SURPLUS(SHORTAGE)

Distribution

Percentage of Demand Met

by Existing FacilitiesSpaces

Shortage of Family Child Care Home Spaces

Shortage of Center-Based Spaces

(5)

(6)

(6)

1

6

7

5 6

24 267

29 273

10 90

0 101

0 100

101 158

NA NA

NA NA

11

291

302

100

101

100

150

NA

NA

FINAL

Table B-2

Future Child Care Demand and Supply in 2025 in Atherton

San Mateo Co unty Child Care Study - 2016

Note All footnote references can be found in Table C-1 at the end of this file Sources 2010 US Census ABAG Projections 2013 2014 American Community Survey ACS Journey-to-Work data 2006-2008 and 2006-2010

Child Care Coordinating Council of San Mateo County (4Cs) Community Care Licensing Brion Economics Inc

Prepared by Brion Economics Inc 2513-SMC NA Final Tables 61216 6122016

BELMONT

Child Care as of 2025

No of

Providers

Under 2 Years

Old

2 to 4 Year

Olds

Total 0 to 4

Years

EXISTING DEMAND Child Care Demand

Estimated Total Children

Average LFPRAdjustment Factor

Children With Working Parents

Licensed Care Demand Factor

Resident Children Needing Licensed Care

of Total Resident Children Needing Licensed Care

Children from Non-Resident Employees Needing

Licensed Care

(1)

(2)

(3)

743 1095

77

574 1013

37

213 943

29 86

37 56

1838

1587

73

1156

63

93

Total Demand for Child Care Spaces

Distribution

EXISTING SUPPLY (4)

250 999

20 80

Child Care Spaces

1249

100

Family Child Care Home Supply

Child Care Center Supply

Current Child Care Supply

Distribution

EXISTING SURPLUS(SHORTAGE)

Distribution

Percentage of Demand Met

by Existing FacilitiesSpaces

Shortage of Family Child Care Home Spaces

Shortage of Center-Based Spaces

(5)

(6)

(6)

8

9

17

67 84

39 531

106 615

15 85

(143) (384)

27 73

43 62

(91) (53)

(53) (331)

152

570

722

100

(527)

100

58

(143)

(384)

FINAL

Table B-3

Future Child Care Demand and Supply in 2025 in Belmont

San Mateo County Child Care Study - 2016

Note All footnote references can be found in Table C-1 at the end of this file

Sources 2010 US Census ABAG Projections 2013 2014 American Community Survey ACS Journey-to-Work data 2006-2008 and 2006-2010

Child Care Coordinating Council of San Mateo County (4Cs) Community Care Licensing Brion Economics Inc

Prepared by Brion Economics Inc 2513-SMC NA Final Tables 61216 6122016

BRISBANE

Child Care as of 2025

No of

Providers

Under 2 Years

Old

2 to 4 Year

Olds

Total 0 to 4

Years

EXISTING DEMAND Child Care Demand

Estimated Total Children

Average LFPRAdjustment Factor

Children With Working Parents

Licensed Care Demand Factor

Resident Children Needing Licensed Care

of Total Resident Children Needing Licensed Care

Children from Non-Resident Employees Needing

Licensed Care

(1)

(2)

(3)

131 174

100

131 174

37

48 160

37 92

55 83

305

305

68

209

68

138

Total Demand for Child Care Spaces

Distribution

EXISTING SUPPLY (4)

103 243

30 70

Child Care Spaces

346

100

Family Child Care Home Supply

Child Care Center Supply

Current Child Care Supply

Distribution

EXISTING SURPLUS(SHORTAGE)

Distribution

Percentage of Demand Met

by Existing FacilitiesSpaces

Shortage of Family Child Care Home Spaces

Shortage of Center-Based Spaces

(5)

(6)

(6)

1

1

2

4 5

0 64

4 69

6 94

(99) (174)

36 64

4 29

(99) (13)

0 (160)

9

64

73

100

(273)

100

21

(112)

(160)

FINAL

Table B-4

Future Child Care Demand and Supply in 2025 in Brisbane

San Mateo County Child Care Study - 2016

Note All footnote references can be found in Table C-1 at the end of this file Sources 2010 US Census ABAG Projections 2013 2014 American Community Survey ACS Journey-to-Work data 2006-2008 and 2006-2010

Child Care Coordinating Council of San Mateo County (4Cs) Community Care Licensing Brion Economics Inc

Prepared by Brion Economics Inc 2513-SMC NA Final Tables 61216 6122016

BURLINGAME

Child Care as of 2025

No of

Providers

Under 2 Years

Old

2 to 4 Year

Olds

Total 0 to 4

Years

EXISTING DEMAND Child Care Demand

Estimated Total Children

Average LFPRAdjustment Factor

Children With Working Parents

Licensed Care Demand Factor

Resident Children Needing Licensed Care

of Total Resident Children Needing Licensed Care

Children from Non-Resident Employees Needing

Licensed Care

(1)

(2)

(3)

903 1332

65

587 1190

37

217 1124

24 84

154 232

2235

1777

75

1341

60

385

Total Demand for Child Care Spaces

Distribution

EXISTING SUPPLY (4)

371 1356

21 79

Child Care Spaces

1726

100

Family Child Care Home Supply

Child Care Center Supply

Current Child Care Supply

Distribution

EXISTING SURPLUS(SHORTAGE)

Distribution

Percentage of Demand Met

by Existing FacilitiesSpaces

Shortage of Family Child Care Home Spaces

Shortage of Center-Based Spaces

(5)

(6)

(6)

10

14

24

79 99

40 866

119 965

11 89

(252) (390)

39 61

32 71

(167) (40)

(85) (350)

179

906

1085

100

(642)

100

63

(207)

(434)

FINAL

Table B-5

Future Child Care Demand and Supply in 2025 in Burlingame

San Mateo County Child Care Study - 2016

Note All footnote references can be found in Table C-1 at the end of this file

Sources 2010 US Census ABAG Projections 2013 2014 American Community Survey ACS Journey-to-Work data 2006-2008 and 2006-2010

Child Care Coordinating Council of San Mateo County (4Cs) Community Care Licensing Brion Economics Inc

Prepared by Brion Economics Inc 2513-SMC NA Final Tables 61216 6122016

DALY CITYCOLMA

Child Care as of 2025

No of

Providers

Under 2 Years

Old

2 to 4 Year

Olds

Total 0 to 4

Years

EXISTING DEMAND Child Care Demand

Estimated Total Children

Average LFPRAdjustment Factor

Children With Working Parents

Licensed Care Demand Factor

Resident Children Needing Licensed Care

of Total Resident Children Needing Licensed Care

Children from Non-Resident Employees Needing

Licensed Care

(1)

(2)

(3)

2647 3793

74

1964 3467

37

727 3233

27 85

138 208

6440

5432

73

3960

61

346

Total Demand for Child Care Spaces

Distribution

EXISTING SUPPLY (4)

865 3441

20 80

Child Care Spaces

4306

100

Family Child Care Home Supply

Child Care Center Supply

Current Child Care Supply

Distribution

EXISTING SURPLUS(SHORTAGE)

Distribution

Percentage of Demand Met

by Existing FacilitiesSpaces

Shortage of Family Child Care Home Spaces

Shortage of Center-Based Spaces

(5)

(6)

(6)

25

28

28

288 362

84 1264

372 1626

19 81

(493) (1816)

21 79

43 47

(381) (404)

(111) (1412)

649

1348

1997

100

(2308)

100

46

(785)

(1523)

FINAL

Table B-6

Future C hild Care Demand and Supply in 2025 in Daly CityColma

San Mateo County Child Care Study - 2016

Note All footnote references can be found in Table C-1 at the end of this file

Sources 2010 US Census ABAG Projections 2013 2014 American Community Survey ACS Journey-to-Work data 2006-2008 and 2006-2010

Child Care Coordinating Council of San Mateo County (4Cs) Community Care Licensing Brion Economics Inc

Prepared by Brion Economics Inc 2513-SMC NA Final Tables 61216 6122016

EAST PALO ALTO

Child Care as of 2025

No of

Providers

Under 2 Years

Old

2 to 4 Year

Olds

Total 0 to 4

Years

EXISTING DEMAND Child Care Demand

Estimated Total Children

Average LFPRAdjustment Factor

Children With Working Parents

Licensed Care Demand Factor

Resident Children Needing Licensed Care

of Total Resident Children Needing Licensed Care

Children from Non-Resident Employees Needing

Licensed Care

(1)

(2)

(3)

1161 1849

71

822 1660

37

304 1545

26 84

20 30

3010

2482

75

1849

61

50

Total Demand for Child Care Spaces

Distribution

EXISTING SUPPLY (4)

324 1575

17 83

Child Care Spaces

1900

100

Family Child Care Home Supply

Child Care Center Supply

Current Child Care Supply

Distribution

EXISTING SURPLUS(SHORTAGE)

Distribution

Percentage of Demand Met

by Existing FacilitiesSpaces

Shortage of Family Child Care Home Spaces

Shortage of Center-Based Spaces

(5)

(6)

(6)

13

6

19

85 106

25 633

110 739

13 87

(215) (836)

20 80

34 47

(166) (120)

(49) (715)

191

658

849

100

(1050)

100

45

(286)

(764)

FINAL

Table B-7

Future Child Care Demand and Supply in 2025 in East Palo Alto

San Mateo County Child Care Study - 2016

Note All footnote references can be found in Table C-1 at the end of this file

Sources 2010 US Census ABAG Projections 2013 2014 American Community Survey ACS Journey-to-Work data 2006-2008 and 2006-2010

Child Care Coordinating Council of San Mateo County (4Cs) Community Care Licensing Brion Economics Inc

Prepared by Brion Economics Inc 2513-SMC NA Final Tables 61216 6122016

FOSTER CITY

Child Care as of 2025

No of

Providers

Under 2 Years

Old

2 to 4 Year

Olds

Total 0 to 4

Years

EXISTING DEMAND Child Care Demand

Estimated Total Children

Average LFPRAdjustment Factor

Children With Working Parents

Licensed Care Demand Factor

Resident Children Needing Licensed Care

of Total Resident Children Needing Licensed Care

Children from Non-Resident Employees Needing

Licensed Care

(1)

(2)

(3)

871 1330

63

550 1154

37

204 1079

23 81

80 120

2201

1705

75

1282

58

200

Total Demand for Child Care Spaces

Distribution

EXISTING SUPPLY (4)

283 1199

19 81

Child Care Spaces

1483

100

Family Child Care Home Supply

Child Care Center Supply

Current Child Care Supply

Distribution

EXISTING SURPLUS(SHORTAGE)

Distribution

Percentage of Demand Met

by Existing FacilitiesSpaces

Shortage of Family Child Care Home Spaces

Shortage of Center-Based Spaces

(5)

(6)

(6)

19

12

31

118 149

88 1200

206 1349

13 87

(77) 150

-106 206

73 112

(44) NA

(33) NA

267

1288

1555

100

73

100

105

(44)

(33)

FINAL

Table B-8

Future Child Care Demand and Supply in 2025 in Foster City

San Mateo County Child Care Study - 2016

Note All footnote references can be found in Table C-1 at the end of this file

Sources 2010 US Census ABAG Projections 2013 2014 American Community Survey ACS Journey-to-Work data 2006-2008 and 2006-2010

Child Care Coordinating Council of San Mateo County (4Cs) Community Care Licensing Brion Economics Inc

Prepared by Brion Economics Inc 2513-SMC NA Final Tables 61216 6122016

HALF MOON BAY REGION

Child Care as of 2025

No of

Providers

Under 2 Years

Old

2 to 4 Year

Olds

Total 0 to 4

Years

EXISTING DEMAND Child Care Demand

Estimated Total Children

Average LFPRAdjustment Factor

Children With Working Parents

Licensed Care Demand Factor

Resident Children Needing Licensed Care

of Total Resident Children Needing Licensed Care

Children from Non-Resident Employees Needing

Licensed Care

(1)

(2)

(3)

553 929

69

383 835

37

142 781

26 84

14 21

1482

1217

76

923

62

34

Total Demand for Child Care Spaces

Distribution

EXISTING SUPPLY (4)

155 802

16 84

Child Care Spaces

957

100

Family Child Care Home Supply

Child Care Center Supply

Current Child Care Supply

Distribution

EXISTING SURPLUS(SHORTAGE)

Distribution

Percentage of Demand Met

by Existing FacilitiesSpaces

Shortage of Family Child Care Home Spaces

Shortage of Center-Based Spaces

(5)

(6)

(6)

10

11

21

96 121

35 285

131 406

24 76

(24) (396)

6 94

84 51

(18) (118)

(6) (279)

216

320

536

100

(421)

100

56

(136)

(285)

FINAL

Table B-9

Future Child Care Demand and Supply in 2025 in Half Moon Bay Region

San Mateo County Child Care Study - 2016

Note All footnote references can be found in Table C-1 at the end of this file

Sources 2010 US Census ABAG Projections 2013 2014 American Community Survey ACS Journey-to-Work data 2006-2008 and 2006-2010

Child Care Coordinating Council of San Mateo County (4Cs) Community Care Licensing Brion Economics Inc

Prepared by Brion Economics Inc 2513-SMC NA Final Tables 61216 6122016

HILLSBOROUGH

Child Care as of 2025

No of

Providers

Under 2 Years

Old

2 to 4 Year

Olds

Total 0 to 4

Years

EXISTING DEMAND Child Care Demand

Estimated Total Children

Average LFPRAdjustment Factor

Children With Working Parents

Licensed Care Demand Factor

Resident Children Needing Licensed Care

of Total Resident Children Needing Licensed Care

Children from Non-Resident Employees Needing

Licensed Care

(1)

(2)

(3)

143 343

52

74 295

37

27 282

19 82

7 11

487

369

84

309

64

17

Total Demand for Child Care Spaces

Distribution

EXISTING SUPPLY (4)

34 292

10 90

Child Care Spaces

327

100

Family Child Care Home Supply

Child Care Center Supply

Current Child Care Supply

Distribution

EXISTING SURPLUS(SHORTAGE)

Distribution

Percentage of Demand Met

by Existing FacilitiesSpaces

Shortage of Family Child Care Home Spaces

Shortage of Center-Based Spaces

(5)

(6)

(6)

1

4

5

5 6

- 91

5 97

5 95

(29) (195)

13 87

14 33

(29) (12)

0 (183)

11

91

102

100

(225)

100

31

(42)

(183)

FINAL

Table B-10

Future Child Care Demand and Supply in 2025 in Hillsborough

San Mateo County Child Care Study - 2016

Note All footnote references can be found in Table C-1 at the end of this file

Sources 2010 US Census ABAG Projections 2013 2014 American Community Survey ACS Journey-to-Work data 2006-2008 and 2006-2010

Child Care Coordinating Council of San Mateo County (4Cs) Community Care Licensing Brion Economics Inc

Prepared by Brion Economics Inc 2513-SMC NA Final Tables 61216 6122016

MENLO PARK

Child Care as of 2025

No of

Providers

Under 2 Years

Old

2 to 4 Year

Olds

Total 0 to 4

Years

EXISTING DEMAND Child Care Demand

Estimated Total Children

Average LFPRAdjustment Factor

Children With Working Parents

Licensed Care Demand Factor

Resident Children Needing Licensed Care

of Total Resident Children Needing Licensed Care

Children from Non-Resident Employees Needing

Licensed Care

(1)

(2)

(3)

1327 1954

69

909 1759

37

336 1653

25 85

237 357

3281

2668

75

1989

61

594

Total Demand for Child Care Spaces

Distribution

EXISTING SUPPLY (4)

573 2011

22 78

Child Care Spaces

2584

100

Family Child Care Home Supply

Child Care Center Supply

Current Child Care Supply

Distribution

EXISTING SURPLUS(SHORTAGE)

Distribution

Percentage of Demand Met

by Existing FacilitiesSpaces

Shortage of Family Child Care Home Spaces

Shortage of Center-Based Spaces

(5)

(6)

(6)

15

25

40

76 96

73 1331

149 1427

9 91

(424) (584)

42 58

26 71

(217) (39)

(207) (544)

172

1404

1576

100

(1008)

100

61

(256)

(752)

FINAL

Table B-11

Future Child Care Demand and Supply in 2025 in Menlo Park

San Mateo County Child Care Study - 2016

Note All footnote references can be found in Table C-1 at the end of this file

Sources 2010 US Census ABAG Projections 2013 2014 American Community Survey ACS Journey-to-Work data 2006-2008 and 2006-2010

Child Care Coordinating Council of San Mateo County (4Cs) Community Care Licensing Brion Economics Inc

Prepared by Brion Economics Inc 2513-SMC NA Final Tables 61216 6122016

MILLBRAE

Child Care as of 2025

No of

Providers

Under 2 Years

Old

2 to 4 Year

Olds

Total 0 to 4

Years

EXISTING DEMAND Child Care Demand

Estimated Total Children

Average LFPRAdjustment Factor

Children With Working Parents

Licensed Care Demand Factor

Resident Children Needing Licensed Care

of Total Resident Children Needing Licensed Care

Children from Non-Resident Employees Needing

Licensed Care

(1)

(2)

(3)

473 805

62

291 710

37

108 672

23 83

31 47

1278

1001

78

780

61

77

Total Demand for Child Care Spaces

Distribution

EXISTING SUPPLY (4)

139 718

16 84

Child Care Spaces

857

100

Family Child Care Home Supply

Child Care Center Supply

Current Child Care Supply

Distribution

EXISTING SURPLUS(SHORTAGE)

Distribution

Percentage of Demand Met

by Existing FacilitiesSpaces

Shortage of Family Child Care Home Spaces

Shortage of Center-Based Spaces

(5)

(6)

(6)

7

7

14

62 78

- 376

62 454

12 88

(76) (264)

22 78

45 63

(76) (46)

0 (219)

141

376

517

100

(340)

100

60

(122)

(219)

FINAL

Table B-12

Future C hild Care Demand and Supply in 2025 in Millbrae

San Mateo County Child Care Study - 2016

Note All footnote references can be found in Table C-1 at the end of this file

Sources 2010 US Census ABAG Projections 2013 2014 American Community Survey ACS Journey-to-Work data 2006-2008 and 2006-2010

Child Care Coordinating Council of San Mateo County (4Cs) Community Care Licensing Brion Economics Inc

Prepared by Brion Economics Inc 2513-SMC NA Final Tables 61216 6122016

FINAL

Table B-13

Future Child Care Demand and Supply in 2025 in Pacifica

San Mateo County Child Care Study - 2016

PACIFICA

Child Care as of 2025

No of

Providers

Under 2 Years

Old

2 to 4 Year

Olds

Total 0 to 4

Years

EXISTING DEMAND Child Care Demand

Estimated Total Children

Average L FPRAdjustment Factor

Children With Working Parents

Licensed Care Demand Factor

Resident Children Needing Licensed Care

of Total Resident Children Needing Licensed Care

Children from Non-Resident Employees Needing

Licensed Care

(1)

(2)

(3)

816 1300

78

633 1209

37

234 1130

29 87

19 29

2116

1842

74

1364

64

48

Total Demand for Child Care Spaces

Distribution

EXISTING SUPPLY (4)

254 1159

18 82

Child Care Spaces

1413

100

Family Child Care Home Supply

Child Care Center Supply

Current Child Care Supply

Distribution

EXISTING SURPLUS(SHORTAGE)

Distribution

Percentage of Demand Met

by Existing FacilitiesSpaces

Shortage of Family Child Care Home Spaces

Shortage of Center-Based Spaces

(5)

(6)

(6)

9

18

27

77 97

39 701

116 798

13 87

(138) (361)

28 72

46 69

(91) (44)

(46) (317)

174

740

914

100

(499)

100

65

(135)

(364)

Note All footnote references can be found in Table C-1 at the end of this file

Sources 2010 US Census ABAG Projections 2013 2014 American Community Survey ACS Journey-to-Work data 2006-2008 and 2006-2010

Child Care Coordinating Council of San Mateo County (4Cs) Community Care Licensing Brion Economics Inc

Prepared by Brion Economics Inc 2513-SMC NA Final Tables 61216 6122016

PORTOLA VALLEY

Child Care as of 2025

No of

Providers

Under 2 Years

Old

2 to 4 Year

Olds

Total 0 to 4

Years

EXISTING DEMAND Child Care Demand

Estimated Total Children

Average LFPRAdjustment Factor

Children With Working Parents

Licensed Care Demand Factor

Resident Children Needing Licensed Care

of Total Resident Children Needing Licensed Care

Children from Non-Resident Employees Needing

Licensed Care

(1)

(2)

(3)

77 192

66

51 173

37

19 164

24 85

9 13

269

224

82

182

68

22

Total Demand for Child Care Spaces

Distribution

EXISTING SUPPLY (4)

28 177

13 87

Child Care Spaces

204

100

Family Child Care Home Supply

Child Care Center Supply

Current Child Care Supply

Distribution

EXISTING SURPLUS(SHORTAGE)

Distribution

Percentage of Demand Met

by Existing FacilitiesSpaces

Shortage of Family Child Care Home Spaces

Shortage of Center-Based Spaces

(5)

(6)

(6)

0

4

4

- -

- 153

- 153

0 100

(28) (24)

54 46

0 87

0 0

(28) (24)

0

153

153

100

(51)

100

75

0

(51)

FINAL

Table B-14

Future Child Care Demand and Supply in 2025 in Portola Valley

San Mateo County Child Care Study - 2016

Note All footnote references can be found in Table C-1 at the end of this file

Sources 2010 US Census ABAG Projections 2013 2014 American Community Survey ACS Journey-to-Work data 2006-2008 and 2006-2010

Child Care Coordinating Council of San Mateo County (4Cs) Community Care Licensing Brion Economics Inc

Prepared by Brion Economics Inc 2513-SMC NA Final Tables 61216 6122016

REDWOOD CITY

No of

Providers

Child Care as of 2025

Under 2 Years

Old

2 to 4 Year

Olds

Total 0 to 4

Years

EXISTING DEMAND Child Care Demand

Estimated Total Children

Average LFPRAdjustment Factor

Children With Working Parents

Licensed Care Demand Factor

Resident Children Needing Licensed Care

of Total Resident Children Needing Licensed Care

Children from Non-Resident Employees Needing

Licensed Care

Total Demand for Child Care Spaces

Distribution

EXISTING SUPPLY

(1)

(2)

(3)

(4)

3725 5378

69

2555 4813

37

946 4505

25 84

466 703

1411 5208

21 79

Child Care Spaces

9103

7368

74

5450

60

1169

6619

100

Family Child Care Home Supply

Child Care Center Supply

Current Child Care Supply

Distribution

EXISTING SURPLUS(SHORTAGE)

Distribution

Percentage of Demand Met

by Existing FacilitiesSpaces

Shortage of Family Child Care Home Spaces

Shortage of Center-Based Spaces

(5)

(6)

(6)

42

41

83

396 497

356 2036

752 2533

23 77

(660) (2674)

20 80

53 49

(347) (525)

(313) (2149)

893

2392

3285

100

(3334)

100

50

(872)

(2462)

FINAL

Table B-15

Future Child Care Demand and Supply in 2025 in Redwood City

San Mateo County Child Care Study - 2016

Note All footnote references can be found in Table C-1 at the end of this file

Sources 2010 US Census ABAG Projections 2013 2014 American Community Survey ACS Journey-to-Work data 2006-2008 and 2006-2010

Child Care Coordinating Council of San Mateo County (4Cs) Community Care Licensing Brion Economics Inc

Prepared by Brion Economics Inc 2513-SMC NA Final Tables 61216 6122016

SAN BRUNO

Child Care as of 2025

No of

Providers

Under 2 Years

Old

2 to 4 Year

Olds

Total 0 to 4

Years

EXISTING DEMAND Child Care Demand

Estimated Total Children

Average LFPRAdjustment Factor

Children With Working Parents

Licensed Care Demand Factor

Resident Children Needing Licensed Care

of Total Resident Children Needing Licensed Care

Children from Non-Resident Employees Needing

Licensed Care

(1)

(2)

(3)

1189 1728

77

910 1589

37

337 1475

28 85

68 103

2917

2498

73

1812

62

171

Total Demand for Child Care Spaces

Distribution

EXISTING SUPPLY (4)

405 1578

20 80

Child Care Spaces

1983

100

Family Child Care Home Supply

Child Care Center Supply

Current Child Care Supply

Distribution

EXISTING SURPLUS(SHORTAGE)

Distribution

Percentage of Demand Met

by Existing FacilitiesSpaces

Shortage of Family Child Care Home Spaces

Shortage of Center-Based Spaces

(5)

(6)

(6)

13

15

28

122 153

26 1183

148 1336

10 90

(257) (242)

52 48

37 85

(212) (28)

(45) (214)

275

1209

1484

100

(499)

100

75

(239)

(259)

FINAL

Table B-16

Future C hild Care Demand and Supply in 2025 in San Bruno

San Mateo County Child Care Study - 2016

Note All footnote references can be found in Table C-1 at the end of this file

Sources 2010 US Census ABAG Projections 2013 2014 American Community Survey ACS Journey-to-Work data 2006-2008 and 2006-2010

Child Care Coordinating Council of San Mateo County (4Cs) Community Care Licensing Brion Economics Inc

Prepared by Brion Economics Inc 2513-SMC NA Final Tables 61216 6122016

SAN CARLOS

Child Care as of 2025

No of

Providers

Under 2 Years

Old

2 to 4 Year

Olds

Total 0 to 4

Years

EXISTING DEMAND Child Care Demand

Estimated Total Children

Average LFPRAdjustment Factor

Children With Working Parents

Licensed Care Demand Factor

Resident Children Needing Licensed Care

of Total Resident Children Needing Licensed Care

Children from Non-Resident Employees Needing

Licensed Care

(1)

(2)

(3)

778 1384

72

557 1255

37

206 1174

26 85

82 123

2162

1812

76

1380

64

205

Total Demand for Child Care Spaces

Distribution

EXISTING SUPPLY (4)

288 1297

18 82

Child Care Spaces

1585

100

Family Child Care Home Supply

Child Care Center Supply

Current Child Care Supply

Distribution

EXISTING SURPLUS(SHORTAGE)

Distribution

Percentage of Demand Met

by Existing FacilitiesSpaces

Shortage of Family Child Care Home Spaces

Shortage of Center-Based Spaces

(5)

(6)

(6)

28

14

42

73 92

76 615

149 707

17 83

(139) (590)

19 81

52 54

(68) (76)

(71) (514)

164

691

855

100

(729)

100

54

(145)

(585)

FINAL

Table B-17

Future Child Care Demand and Supply in 2025 in San Carlos

San Mateo County Child Care Study - 2016

Note All footnote references can be found in Table C-1 at the end of this file

Sources 2010 US Census ABAG Projections 2013 2014 American Community Survey ACS Journey-to-Work data 2006-2008 and 2006-2010

Child Care Coordinating Council of San Mateo County (4Cs) Community Care Licensing Brion Economics Inc

Prepared by Brion Economics Inc 2513-SMC NA Final Tables 61216 6122016

SAN MATEO

Child Care as of 2025

No of

Providers

Under 2 Years

Old

2 to 4 Year

Olds

Total 0 to 4

Years

EXISTING DEMAND Child Care Demand

Estimated Total Children

Average LFPRAdjustment Factor

Children With Working Parents

Licensed Care Demand Factor

Resident Children Needing Licensed Care

of Total Resident Children Needing Licensed Care

Children from Non-Resident Employees Needing

Licensed Care

(1)

(2)

(3)

3194 4572

71

2264 4116

37

838 3839

26 84

261 394

7766

6381

73

4677

60

656

Total Demand for Child Care Spaces

Distribution

EXISTING SUPPLY (4)

1099 4233

21 79

Child Care Spaces

5332

100

Family Child Care Home Supply

Child Care Center Supply

Current Child Care Supply

Distribution

EXISTING SURPLUS(SHORTAGE)

Distribution

Percentage of Demand Met

by Existing FacilitiesSpaces

Shortage of Family Child Care Home Spaces

Shortage of Center-Based Spaces

(5)

(6)

(6)

69

59

128

492 619

209 2577

701 3196

18 82

(398) (1037)

28 72

64 75

(279) (201)

(119) (837)

1111

2786

3897

100

(1435)

100

73

(480)

(955)

FINAL

Table B-18

Future Child Care Demand and Supply in 2025 in San Mateo

San Mateo County Child Care Study - 2016

Note All footnote references can be found in Table C-1 at the end of this file

Sources 2010 US Census ABAG Projections 2013 2014 American Community Survey ACS Journey-to-Work data 2006-2008 and 2006-2010

Child Care Coordinating Council of San Mateo County (4Cs) Community Care Licensing Brion Economics Inc

Prepared by Brion Economics Inc 2513-SMC NA Final Tables 61216 6122016

FINAL

Table B-19

Future Child Care Demand and Supply in 2025 in South Coast

San Mateo County Child Care Study - 2016

SOUTH COAST

Child Care as of 2025

No of

Providers

Under 2 Years

Old

2 to 4 Year

Olds

Total 0 to 4

Years

EXISTING DEMAND Child Care Demand

Estimated Total Children (1) 23 32 55

Average LFPRAdjustment Factor (2) 54

Children With Working Parents 12 27 40

Licensed Care Demand Factor (3) 37 77

Resident Children Needing Licensed Care 5 26 30

of Total Resident Children Needing Licensed Care 20 81 56

Children from Non-Resident Employees Needing

Licensed Care 0 0 0

Total Demand for Child Care Spaces 5 26 30

Distribution 15 85 100

EXISTING SUPPLY (4) Child Care Spaces

Family Child Care Home Supply - 0 0 0

Child Care Center Supply 2 0 54 54

Current Child Care Supply 2 - 54 54

Distribution 0 100 100

EXISTING SURPLUS(SHORTAGE) (5) 28 24

Distribution -19 119 100

Percentage of Demand Met

by Existing FacilitiesSpaces (5) 0 209 177

Shortage of Family Child Care Home Spaces (6) 0 NA 0

Shortage of Center-Based Spaces (6) (5) NA (5)

Note All footnote references can be found in Table C-1 at the end of this file

Sources 2010 US Census ABAG Projections 2013 2014 American Community Survey ACS Journey-to-Work data 2006-2008 and 2006-2010

Child Care Coordinating Council of San Mateo County (4Cs) Community Care Licensing Brion Economics Inc

Prepared by Brion Economics Inc 2513-SMC NA Final Tables 61216 6122016

SOUTH SAN FRANCISCO

Child Care as of 2025

No of

Providers

Under 2 Years

Old

2 to 4 Year

Olds

Total 0 to 4

Years

EXISTING DEMAND Child Care Demand

Estimated Total Children

Average LFPRAdjustment Factor

Children With Working Parents

Licensed Care Demand Factor

Resident Children Needing Licensed Care

of Total Resident Children Needing Licensed Care

Children from Non-Resident Employees Needing

Licensed Care

(1)

(2)

(3)

1835 2790

73

1342 2535

37

496 2362

27 85

339 512

4625

3877

74

2859

62

851

Total Demand for Child Care Spaces

Distribution

EXISTING SUPPLY (4)

835 2874

23 77

Child Care Spaces

3709

100

Family Child Care Home Supply

Child Care Center Supply

Current Child Care Supply

Distribution

EXISTING SURPLUS(SHORTAGE)

Distribution

Percentage of Demand Met

by Existing FacilitiesSpaces

Shortage of Family Child Care Home Spaces

Shortage of Center-Based Spaces

(5)

(6)

(6)

30

27

57

252 317

400 1966

652 2283

22 78

(183) (591)

24 76

78 79

(71) (82)

(113) (509)

569

2366

2935

100

(775)

100

79

(153)

(622)

FINAL

Table B-20

Future Child Care Demand and Supply in 2025 in South San Francisco

San Mateo County Child Care Study - 2016

Note All footnote references can be found in Table C-1 at the end of this file

Sources 2010 US Census ABAG Projections 2013 2014 American Community Survey ACS Journey-to-Work data 2006-2008 and 2006-2010

Child Care Coordinating Council of San Mateo County (4Cs) Community Care Licensing Brion Economics Inc

Prepared by Brion Economics Inc 2513-SMC NA Final Tables 61216 6122016

WOODSIDE

No of

Providers

Child Care as of 2025

Under 2 Years

Old

2 to 4 Year

Olds

Total 0 to 4

Years

EXISTING DEMAND Child Care Demand

Estimated Total Children

Average LFPRAdjustment Factor

Children With Working Parents

Licensed Care Demand Factor

Resident Children Needing Licensed Care

of Total Resident Children Needing Licensed Care

Children from Non-Resident Employees Needing

Licensed Care

(1)

(2)

(3)

93 165

56

51 140

37

19 132

21 80

9 13

258

192

79

152

59

22

Total Demand for Child Care Spaces

Distribution

EXISTING SUPPLY (4)

28 146

16 84

Child Care Spaces

174

100

Family Child Care Home Supply

Child Care Center Supply

Current Child Care Supply

Distribution

EXISTING SURPLUS(SHORTAGE)

Distribution

Percentage of Demand Met

by Existing FacilitiesSpaces

Shortage of Family Child Care Home Spaces

Shortage of Center-Based Spaces

(5)

(6)

(6)

1

2

3

4 5

- 103

4 108

4 96

(24) (38)

39 61

15 74

(24) (2)

0 (36)

9

103

112

100

(61)

100

65

(26)

(36)

FINAL

Table B-21

Future Child Care Demand and Supply in 2025 in Woodside

San Mateo County Child Care Study - 2016

Note All footnote references can be found in Table C-1 at the end of this file

Sources 2010 US Census ABAG Projections 2013 2014 American Community Survey ACS Journey-to-Work data 2006-2008 and 2006-2010

Child Care Coordinating Council of San Mateo County (4Cs) Community Care Licensing Brion Economics Inc

Prepared by Brion Economics Inc 2513-SMC NA Final Tables 61216 6122016

FINAL

Table C-1

Endnotes for Tables

San Mateo County Child Care Study - 2016

(1) Population by age is based on the percentage breakdown from the 2010 US Census and applied

to population estimates for 2015 using ABAGs Projections 2013 population data The ABAG data

for each area includes its Sphere of Influence and is not based on strict jurisdictional boundaries

(2) Labor force participation rates are from the 5-Year American Community Survey 2014 and include

children under six years old with two working parents or a single working parent For the 2- to 4-year

olds the labor force participation rate is applied to 2 year olds For 3- and 4-year olds it is assumed

that 100 need licensed care to support preschool for every child so the number of

3- and 4-year olds is not discounted by labor force participation rates

(3) Not all children with working parents are assumed to need licensed care percentage assumptions are

used to calculate the number of children requiring licensed care under each age category The

remaining children are assumed to be cared for in alternate arrangements such as by family members

nannies friends and other unlicensed care For children ages 3- and 4-years old it is assumed that

they all need care in the form of preschool

(4) Data on child care supply provided by the Child Care Coordinating Council of San Mateo County (4Cs)

and Community Care Licensing Division of the California Department of Social Services (CCLD) Data is

for June 2015

(5) Demand that calculates as less than 100 means that there is greater demand than supply percent of

demand that is over 100 means supply exceeds demand

(6) Unmet demand is broken down into shortage by type of care based on the proportion of FCCHs and

child care centers spaces available in each area If an area does not have any FCCHs or centers the

unmet demand is placed in the type of care that is available in the area (eg if there are only centers

all demand goes to centers)

Source Brion Economics Inc

Prepared by Brion Economics Inc 2513-SMC NA Final Tables 61216 6122016

DRAFT REPORT

Table C-2

Labor Force Participation Rates by CityArea

San Mateo County Child Care Study - 2016

CityArea

Labor Force

Participation Rate (1)

Atherton

Belmont

Brisbane

Burlingame

Daly CityColma

East Palo Alto

Foster City

Half Moon Bay Region

Hillsborough

Menlo Park

Millbrae

Pacifica

Portola Valley

Redwood City

San Bruno

San Carlos

San Mateo

South Coast

South San Francisco

Woodside

40

77

100

65

74

71

63

69

52

69

62

78

66

69

77

72

71

54

73

56

(1) Labor force participation rates (LFPRs) are for

families with children under age six with two

working parents or a single parent who works Sources American Community Survey 2014 5-Year

Survey Brion Economics Inc

Prepared by Brion Economics Inc 2513-SMC NA Final Tables 61216 6122016

  • 2513-SMC FINAL NA Memo-61216
  • 2513-SMC NA Final Tables 61216
Page 34: Final San Mateo County Child Care Needs … Care...Future C hild Care Demand and Supply in 2025 in Daly City/Colma San Mateo County Child Care Study - 2016 Note: All footnote references

MILLBRAE

Child Care as of 2015

No of

Providers

Under 2 Years

Old

2 to 4 Year

Olds

Total 0 to 4

Years

EXISTING DEMAND Child Care Demand

Total Children

Average LFPRAdjustment Factor

Children With Working Parents

Licensed Care Demand Factor

Resident Children Needing Licensed Care

of Total Resident Children Needing Licensed Care

Children from Non-Resident Employees Needing

Licensed Care

(1)

(2)

(3)

421 717

62

260 632

37

96 598

23 83

28 42

1138

892

78

694

61

69

Total Demand for Child Care Spaces

Distribution

EXISTING SUPPLY (4)

124 640

16 84

Child Care Spaces

764

100

Family Child Care Home Supply

Child Care Center Supply

Current Child Care Supply

Distribution

EXISTING SURPLUS(SHORTAGE)

Distribution

Percentage of Demand Met

by Existing FacilitiesSpaces

Shortage of Family Child Care Home Spaces

Shortage of Center-Based Spaces

(5)

(6)

(6)

17

7

24

62 78

- 376

62 454

12 88

(61) (186)

25 75

50 71

(61) (32)

0 (154)

141

376

517

100

(247)

100

68

(93)

(154)

FINAL

Table A-12

Existing Child Care Demand and Supply in 2015 in Millbrae

San Mateo Co unty Child Care Study - 2016

Note All footnote references can be found in Table C-1 at the end of this file

Sources 2010 US Census ABAG Projections 2013 2014 American Community Survey ACS Journey-to-Work data 2006-2008 and 2006-2010

Child Care Coordinating Council of San Mateo County (4Cs) Community Care Licensing Brion Economics Inc

Prepared by Brion Economics Inc 2513-SMC NA Final Tables 61216 6122016

PACIFICA

Child Care as of 2015

No of

Providers

Under 2 Years

Old

2 to 4 Year

Olds

Total 0 to 4

Years

EXISTING DEMAND Child Care Demand

Estimated Total Children

Average LFPRAdjustment Factor

Children With Working Parents

Licensed Care Demand Factor

Resident Children Needing Licensed Care

of Total Resident Children Needing Licensed Care

Children from Non-Resident Employees Needing

Licensed Care

(1)

(2)

(3)

787 1253

78

610 1165

37

226 1089

29 87

18 27

2040

1776

74

1315

64

45

Total Demand for Child Care Spaces

Distribution

EXISTING SUPPLY (4)

244 1117

18 83

Child Care Spaces

1360

100

Family Child Care Home Supply

Child Care Center Supply

Current Child Care Supply

Distribution

EXISTING SURPLUS(SHORTAGE)

Distribution

Percentage of Demand Met

by Existing FacilitiesSpaces

Shortage of Family Child Care Home Spaces

Shortage of Center-Based Spaces

(5)

(6)

(6)

21

18

39

77 97

39 701

116 798

13 87

(128) (319)

29 71

48 71

(85) (39)

(43) (280)

174

740

914

100

(447)

100

67

(124)

(323)

FINAL

Table A-13

Existing Child Care Demand and Supply in 2015 in Pacifica

San Mateo County Child Care Study - 2016

Note All footnote references can be found in Table C-1 at the end of this file Sources 2010 US Census ABAG Projections 2013 2014 American Community Survey ACS Journey-to-Work data 2006-2008 and 2006-2010

Child Care Coordinating Council of San Mateo County (4Cs) Community Care Licensing Brion Economics Inc

Prepared by Brion Economics Inc 2513-SMC NA Final Tables 61216 6122016

PORTOLA VALLEY

No of

Providers

Child Care as of 2015

Under 2 Years

Old

2 to 4 Year

Olds

Total 0 to 4

Years

EXISTING DEMAND Child Care Demand

Estimated Total Children

Average LFPRAdjustment Factor

Children With Working Parents

Licensed Care Demand Factor

Resident Children Needing Licensed Care

of Total Resident Children Needing Licensed Care

Children from Non-Resident Employees Needing

Licensed Care

(1)

(2)

(3)

75 187

66

49 168

37

18 159

24 85

8 12

261

217

82

177

68

21

Total Demand for Child Care Spaces

Distribution

EXISTING SUPPLY (4)

26 171

13 87

Child Care Spaces

198

100

Family Child Care Home Supply

Child Care Center Supply

Current Child Care Supply

Distribution

EXISTING SURPLUS(SHORTAGE)

Distribution

Percentage of Demand Met

by Existing FacilitiesSpaces

Shortage of Family Child Care Home Spaces

Shortage of Center-Based Spaces

(5)

(6)

(6)

0

4

4

0 0

0 153

0 153

0 100

(26) (18)

59 41

0 89

0 0

(26) (18)

0

153

153

100

(45)

100

77

0

(45)

FINAL

Table A-14

Existing Child Care Demand and Supply in 2015 in Portola Valley

San Mateo County Child Care Study - 2016

Note All footnote references can be found in Table C-1 at the end of this file Sources 2010 US Census ABAG Projections 2013 2014 American Community Survey ACS Journey-to-Work data 2006-2008 and 2006-2010

Child Care Coordinating Council of San Mateo County (4Cs) Community Care Licensing Brion Economics Inc

Prepared by Brion Economics Inc 2513-SMC NA Final Tables 61216 6122016

REDWOOD CITY

Child Care as of 2015

No of

Providers

Under 2 Years

Old

2 to 4 Year

Olds

Total 0 to 4

Years

EXISTING DEMAND Child Care Demand

Estimated Total Children

Average LFPRAdjustment Factor

Children With Working Parents

Licensed Care Demand Factor

Resident Children Needing Licensed Care

of Total Resident Children Needing Licensed Care

Children from Non-Resident Employees Needing

Licensed Care

Total Demand for Child Care Spaces

Distribution

EXISTING SUPPLY

(1)

(2)

(3)

(4)

3260 4706

69

2236 4212

37

827 3942

25 84

414 625

1241 4567

21 79

Child Care Spaces

7966

6449

74

4770

60

1038

5808

100

Family Child Care Home Supply

Child Care Center Supply

Current Child Care Supply

Distribution

EXISTING SURPLUS(SHORTAGE)

Distribution

Percentage of Demand Met

by Existing FacilitiesSpaces

Shortage of Family Child Care Home Spaces

Shortage of Center-Based Spaces

(5)

(6)

(6)

111

45

156

396 497

356 2036

752 2533

23 77

(490) (2034)

19 81

61 55

(258) (399)

(232) (1635)

893

2392

3285

100

(2524)

100

57

(657)

(1867)

FINAL

Table A-15

Existing Child Care Demand and Supply in 2015 in Redwood City

San Mateo County Child Care Study - 2016

Note All footnote references can be found in Table C-1 at the end of this file Sources 2010 US Census ABAG Projections 2013 2014 American Community Survey ACS Journey-to-Work data 2006-2008 and 2006-2010

Child Care Coordinating Council of San Mateo County (4Cs) Community Care Licensing Brion Economics Inc

Prepared by Brion Economics Inc 2513-SMC NA Final Tables 61216 6122016

SAN BRUNO

Child Care as of 2015

No of

Providers

Under 2 Years

Old

2 to 4 Year

Olds

Total 0 to 4

Years

EXISTING DEMAND Child Care Demand

Estimated Total Children

Average LFPRAdjustment Factor

Children With Working Parents

Licensed Care Demand Factor

Resident Children Needing Licensed Care

of Total Resident Children Needing Licensed Care

Children from Non-Resident Employees Needing

Licensed Care

(1)

(2)

(3)

1069 1553

77

817 1428

37

302 1326

28 85

61 92

2622

2245

73

1628

62

153

Total Demand for Child Care Spaces

Distribution

EXISTING SUPPLY (4)

364 1418

20 80

Child Care Spaces

1782

100

Family Child Care Home Supply

Child Care Center Supply

Current Child Care Supply

Distribution

EXISTING SURPLUS(SHORTAGE)

Distribution

Percentage of Demand Met

by Existing FacilitiesSpaces

Shortage of Family Child Care Home Spaces

Shortage of Center-Based Spaces

(5)

(6)

(6)

34

15

49

122 153

26 1183

148 1336

10 90

(216) (82)

72 28

41 94

(178) (9)

(38) (73)

275

1209

1484

100

(298)

100

83

(187)

(110)

FINAL

Table A-16

Existing Child Care Demand and Supply in 2015 in San Bruno

San Mateo County Child Care Study - 2016

Note All footnote references can be found in Table C-1 at the end of this file Sources 2010 US Census ABAG Projections 2013 2014 American Community Survey ACS Journey-to-Work data 2006-2008 and 2006-2010

Child Care Coordinating Council of San Mateo County (4Cs) Community Care Licensing Brion Economics Inc

Prepared by Brion Economics Inc 2513-SMC NA Final Tables 61216 6122016

SAN CARLOS

Child Care as of 2015

No of

Providers

Under 2 Years

Old

2 to 4 Year

Olds

Total 0 to 4

Years

EXISTING DEMAND Child Care Demand

Estimated Total Children

Average LFPRAdjustment Factor

Children With Working Parents

Licensed Care Demand Factor

Resident Children Needing Licensed Care

of Total Resident Children Needing Licensed Care

Children from Non-Resident Employees Needing

Licensed Care

(1)

(2)

(3)

735 1308

72

526 1186

37

195 1109

26 85

75 114

2043

1712

76

1304

64

189

Total Demand for Child Care Spaces

Distribution

EXISTING SUPPLY (4)

270 1222

18 82

Child Care Spaces

1492

100

Family Child Care Home Supply

Child Care Center Supply

Current Child Care Supply

Distribution

EXISTING SURPLUS(SHORTAGE)

Distribution

Percentage of Demand Met

by Existing FacilitiesSpaces

Shortage of Family Child Care Home Spaces

Shortage of Center-Based Spaces

(5)

(6)

(6)

20

14

34

73 92

76 615

149 707

17 83

(121) (516)

19 81

55 58

(59) (67)

(62) (449)

164

691

855

100

(637)

100

57

(126)

(511)

FINAL

Table A-17

Existing Child Care Demand and Supply in 2015 in San Carlos

San Mateo County Child Care Study - 2016

Note All footnote references can be found in Table C-1 at the end of this file

Sources 2010 US Census ABAG Projections 2013 2014 American Community Survey ACS Journey-to-Work data 2006-2008 and 2006-2010

Child Care Coordinating Council of San Mateo County (4Cs) Community Care Licensing Brion Economics Inc

Prepared by Brion Economics Inc 2513-SMC NA Final Tables 61216 6122016

SAN MATEO

Child Care as of 2015

No of

Providers

Under 2 Years

Old

2 to 4 Year

Olds

Total 0 to 4

Years

EXISTING DEMAND Child Care Demand

Estimated Total Children

Average LFPRAdjustment Factor

Children With Working Parents

Licensed Care Demand Factor

Resident Children Needing Licensed Care

of Total Resident Children Needing Licensed Care

Children from Non-Resident Employees Needing

Licensed Care

(1)

(2)

(3)

2943 4213

71

2087 3793

37

772 3537

26 84

231 348

7156

5880

73

4309

60

579

Total Demand for Child Care Spaces

Distribution

EXISTING SUPPLY (4)

1003 3886

21 79

Child Care Spaces

4889

100

Family Child Care Home Supply

Child Care Center Supply

Current Child Care Supply

Distribution

EXISTING SURPLUS(SHORTAGE)

Distribution

Percentage of Demand Met

by Existing FacilitiesSpaces

Shortage of Family Child Care Home Spaces

Shortage of Center-Based Spaces

(5)

(6)

(6)

126

59

185

492 619

209 2577

701 3196

18 82

(302) (690)

30 70

70 82

(212) (134)

(90) (557)

1111

2786

3897

100

(992)

100

80

(345)

(647)

FINAL

Table A-18

Existing Child Care Demand and Supply in 2015 in San Mateo

San Mateo County Child Care Study - 2016

Note All footnote references can be found in Table C-1 at the end of this file

Sources 2010 US Census ABAG Projections 2013 2014 American Community Survey ACS Journey-to-Work data 2006-2008 and 2006-2010

Child Care Coordinating Council of San Mateo County (4Cs) Community Care Licensing Brion Economics Inc

Prepared by Brion Economics Inc 2513-SMC NA Final Tables 61216 6122016

SOUTH COAST

Child Care as of 2015

No of

Providers

Under 2 Years

Old

2 to 4 Year

Olds

Total 0 to 4

Years

EXISTING DEMAND Child Care Demand

Estimated Total Children

Average LFPRAdjustment Factor

Children With Working Parents

Licensed Care Demand Factor

Resident Children Needing Licensed Care

of Total Resident Children Needing Licensed Care

Children from Non-Resident Employees Needing

Licensed Care

(1)

(2)

(3)

21 29

54

11 25

37

4 23

20 81

0 0

50

36

77

28

56

0

Total Demand for Child Care Spaces

Distribution

EXISTING SUPPLY (4)

4 23

15 85

Child Care Spaces

28

100

Family Child Care Home Supply

Child Care Center Supply

Current Child Care Supply

Distribution

EXISTING SURPLUS(SHORTAGE)

Distribution

Percentage of Demand Met

by Existing FacilitiesSpaces

Shortage of Family Child Care Home Spaces

Shortage of Center-Based Spaces

(5)

(6)

(6)

-

2

2

- -

- 54

- 54

0 100

(4) 31

-16 116

0 230

(2) NA

(2) NA

0

54

54

100

26

100

195

(2)

(2)

FINAL

Table A-19

Existing Child Care Demand and Supply in 2015 in South Coast

San Mateo County Child Care Study - 2016

Note All footnote references can be found in Table C-1 at the end of this file

Sources 2010 US Census ABAG Projections 2013 2014 American Community Survey ACS Journey-to-Work data 2006-2008 and 2006-2010

Child Care Coordinating Council of San Mateo County (4Cs) Community Care Licensing Brion Economics Inc

Prepared by Brion Economics Inc 2513-SMC NA Final Tables 61216 6122016

SOUTH SAN FRANCISCO

Child Care as of 2015

No of

Providers

Under 2 Years

Old

2 to 4 Year

Olds

Total 0 to 4

Years

EXISTING DEMAND Child Care Demand

Estimated Total Children

Average LFPRAdjustment Factor

Children With Working Parents

Licensed Care Demand Factor

Resident Children Needing Licensed Care

of Total Resident Children Needing Licensed Care

Children from Non-Resident Employees Needing

Licensed Care

(1)

(2)

(3)

1649 2507

73

1206 2278

37

446 2123

27 85

309 466

4156

3484

74

2569

62

774

Total Demand for Child Care Spaces

Distribution

EXISTING SUPPLY (4)

755 2588

23 77

Child Care Spaces

3343

100

Family Child Care Home Supply

Child Care Center Supply

Current Child Care Supply

Distribution

EXISTING SURPLUS(SHORTAGE)

Distribution

Percentage of Demand Met

by Existing FacilitiesSpaces

Shortage of Family Child Care Home Spaces

Shortage of Center-Based Spaces

(5)

(6)

(6)

68

27

95

252 317

400 1966

652 2283

22 78

(103) (306)

25 75

86 88

(40) (42)

(63) (263)

569

2366

2935

100

(408)

100

88

(82)

(326)

FINAL

Table A-20

Existing Child Care Demand and Supply in 2015 in South San Francisco

San Mateo County Child Care Study - 2016

Note All footnote references can be found in Table C-1 at the end of this file Sources 2010 US Census ABAG Projections 2013 2014 American Community Survey ACS Journey-to-Work data 2006-2008 and 2006-2010

Child Care Coordinating Council of San Mateo County (4Cs) Community Care Licensing Brion Economics Inc

Prepared by Brion Economics Inc 2513-SMC NA Final Tables 61216 6122016

WOODSIDE

No of

Providers

Child Care as of 2015

Under 2 Years

Old

2 to 4 Year

Olds

Total 0 to 4

Years

EXISTING DEMAND Child Care Demand

Estimated Total Children

Average LFPRAdjustment Factor

Children With Working Parents

Licensed Care Demand Factor

Resident Children Needing Licensed Care

of Total Resident Children Needing Licensed Care

Children from Non-Resident Employees Needing

Licensed Care

(1)

(2)

(3)

90 160

56

50 136

37

18 128

21 80

8 13

250

186

79

147

59

21

Total Demand for Child Care Spaces

Distribution

EXISTING SUPPLY (4)

27 141

16 84

Child Care Spaces

168

100

Family Child Care Home Supply

Child Care Center Supply

Current Child Care Supply

Distribution

EXISTING SURPLUS(SHORTAGE)

Distribution

Percentage of Demand Met

by Existing FacilitiesSpaces

Shortage of Family Child Care Home Spaces

Shortage of Center-Based Spaces

(5)

(6)

(6)

1

2

3

4 5

0 103

4 108

4 96

(23) (33)

41 59

16 77

(23) (2)

0 (31)

9

103

112

100

(55)

100

67

(24)

(31)

FINAL

Table A-21

Existing Child Care Demand and Supply in 2015 in Woodside

San Mateo County Child Care Study - 2016

Note All footnote references can be found in Table C-1 at the end of this file Sources 2010 US Census ABAG Projections 2013 2014 American Community Survey ACS Journey-to-Work data 2006-2008 and 2006-2010

Child Care Coordinating Council of San Mateo County (4Cs) Community Care Licensing Brion Economics Inc

Prepared by Brion Economics Inc 2513-SMC NA Final Tables 61216 6122016

COUNTYWIDE

Child Care as of 2025

No of

Providers

Under 2 Years

Old

2 to 4 Year

Olds

Total 0 to 4

Years

EXISTING DEMAND Child Care Demand

Estimated Total Children

Average LFPRAdjustment Factor

Children With Working Parents

Licensed Care Demand Factor

Resident Children Needing Licensed Care

of Total Resident Children Needing Licensed Care

Children from Non-Resident Employees Needing

Licensed Care

Total Demand for Child Care Spaces

Distribution

EXISTING SUPPLY

(1)

(2)

(3)

(4)

20790 31340

71

14704 28273

37

5441 26432

26 84

2037 3074

7478 29506

20 80

Child Care Spaces

52130

42978

86

31873

61

5112

36984

100

Family Child Care Home Supply

Child Care Center Supply

Current Child Care Supply

Distribution

EXISTING SURPLUS(SHORTAGE)

Distribution

Percentage of Demand Met

by Existing FacilitiesSpaces

Shortage of Family Child Care Home Spaces

Shortage of Center-Based Spaces

(5)

(6)

(6)

621

309

930

2301 2893

1514 16296

3815 19189

17 83

(3663) (10318)

26 74

51 65

(2209) (1555)

(1454) (8762)

5193

17810

23003

100

(13981)

100

62

(3765)

(10216)

FINAL

Table B-1

Future C hild Care Demand and Supply in 2025 Countywide

San Mateo County Child Care Study - 2016

Note All footnote references can be found in Table C-1 at the end of this file

Sources 2010 US Census ABAG Projections 2013 2014 American Community Survey ACS Journey-to-Work data 2006-2008 and 2006-2010

Child Care Coordinating Council of San Mateo County (4Cs) Community Care Licensing Brion Economics Inc

Prepared by Brion Economics Inc 2513-SMC NA Final Tables 61216 6122016

ATHERTON

No of

Providers

Child Care as of 2025

Under 2 Years

Old

2 to 4 Year

Olds

Total 0 to 4

Years

EXISTING DEMAND Child Care Demand

Estimated Total Children

Average LFPRAdjustment Factor

Children With Working Parents

Licensed Care Demand Factor

Resident Children Needing Licensed Care

of Total Resident Children Needing Licensed Care

Children from Non-Resident Employees Needing

Licensed Care

(1)

(2)

(3)

109 193

40

43 159

37

16 154

15 80

13 19

302

202

84

170

56

32

Total Demand for Child Care Spaces

Distribution

EXISTING SUPPLY (4)

29 173

14 86

Child Care Spaces

201

100

Family Child Care Home Supply

Child Care Center Supply

Current Child Care Supply

Distribution

EXISTING SURPLUS(SHORTAGE)

Distribution

Percentage of Demand Met

by Existing FacilitiesSpaces

Shortage of Family Child Care Home Spaces

Shortage of Center-Based Spaces

(5)

(6)

(6)

1

6

7

5 6

24 267

29 273

10 90

0 101

0 100

101 158

NA NA

NA NA

11

291

302

100

101

100

150

NA

NA

FINAL

Table B-2

Future Child Care Demand and Supply in 2025 in Atherton

San Mateo Co unty Child Care Study - 2016

Note All footnote references can be found in Table C-1 at the end of this file Sources 2010 US Census ABAG Projections 2013 2014 American Community Survey ACS Journey-to-Work data 2006-2008 and 2006-2010

Child Care Coordinating Council of San Mateo County (4Cs) Community Care Licensing Brion Economics Inc

Prepared by Brion Economics Inc 2513-SMC NA Final Tables 61216 6122016

BELMONT

Child Care as of 2025

No of

Providers

Under 2 Years

Old

2 to 4 Year

Olds

Total 0 to 4

Years

EXISTING DEMAND Child Care Demand

Estimated Total Children

Average LFPRAdjustment Factor

Children With Working Parents

Licensed Care Demand Factor

Resident Children Needing Licensed Care

of Total Resident Children Needing Licensed Care

Children from Non-Resident Employees Needing

Licensed Care

(1)

(2)

(3)

743 1095

77

574 1013

37

213 943

29 86

37 56

1838

1587

73

1156

63

93

Total Demand for Child Care Spaces

Distribution

EXISTING SUPPLY (4)

250 999

20 80

Child Care Spaces

1249

100

Family Child Care Home Supply

Child Care Center Supply

Current Child Care Supply

Distribution

EXISTING SURPLUS(SHORTAGE)

Distribution

Percentage of Demand Met

by Existing FacilitiesSpaces

Shortage of Family Child Care Home Spaces

Shortage of Center-Based Spaces

(5)

(6)

(6)

8

9

17

67 84

39 531

106 615

15 85

(143) (384)

27 73

43 62

(91) (53)

(53) (331)

152

570

722

100

(527)

100

58

(143)

(384)

FINAL

Table B-3

Future Child Care Demand and Supply in 2025 in Belmont

San Mateo County Child Care Study - 2016

Note All footnote references can be found in Table C-1 at the end of this file

Sources 2010 US Census ABAG Projections 2013 2014 American Community Survey ACS Journey-to-Work data 2006-2008 and 2006-2010

Child Care Coordinating Council of San Mateo County (4Cs) Community Care Licensing Brion Economics Inc

Prepared by Brion Economics Inc 2513-SMC NA Final Tables 61216 6122016

BRISBANE

Child Care as of 2025

No of

Providers

Under 2 Years

Old

2 to 4 Year

Olds

Total 0 to 4

Years

EXISTING DEMAND Child Care Demand

Estimated Total Children

Average LFPRAdjustment Factor

Children With Working Parents

Licensed Care Demand Factor

Resident Children Needing Licensed Care

of Total Resident Children Needing Licensed Care

Children from Non-Resident Employees Needing

Licensed Care

(1)

(2)

(3)

131 174

100

131 174

37

48 160

37 92

55 83

305

305

68

209

68

138

Total Demand for Child Care Spaces

Distribution

EXISTING SUPPLY (4)

103 243

30 70

Child Care Spaces

346

100

Family Child Care Home Supply

Child Care Center Supply

Current Child Care Supply

Distribution

EXISTING SURPLUS(SHORTAGE)

Distribution

Percentage of Demand Met

by Existing FacilitiesSpaces

Shortage of Family Child Care Home Spaces

Shortage of Center-Based Spaces

(5)

(6)

(6)

1

1

2

4 5

0 64

4 69

6 94

(99) (174)

36 64

4 29

(99) (13)

0 (160)

9

64

73

100

(273)

100

21

(112)

(160)

FINAL

Table B-4

Future Child Care Demand and Supply in 2025 in Brisbane

San Mateo County Child Care Study - 2016

Note All footnote references can be found in Table C-1 at the end of this file Sources 2010 US Census ABAG Projections 2013 2014 American Community Survey ACS Journey-to-Work data 2006-2008 and 2006-2010

Child Care Coordinating Council of San Mateo County (4Cs) Community Care Licensing Brion Economics Inc

Prepared by Brion Economics Inc 2513-SMC NA Final Tables 61216 6122016

BURLINGAME

Child Care as of 2025

No of

Providers

Under 2 Years

Old

2 to 4 Year

Olds

Total 0 to 4

Years

EXISTING DEMAND Child Care Demand

Estimated Total Children

Average LFPRAdjustment Factor

Children With Working Parents

Licensed Care Demand Factor

Resident Children Needing Licensed Care

of Total Resident Children Needing Licensed Care

Children from Non-Resident Employees Needing

Licensed Care

(1)

(2)

(3)

903 1332

65

587 1190

37

217 1124

24 84

154 232

2235

1777

75

1341

60

385

Total Demand for Child Care Spaces

Distribution

EXISTING SUPPLY (4)

371 1356

21 79

Child Care Spaces

1726

100

Family Child Care Home Supply

Child Care Center Supply

Current Child Care Supply

Distribution

EXISTING SURPLUS(SHORTAGE)

Distribution

Percentage of Demand Met

by Existing FacilitiesSpaces

Shortage of Family Child Care Home Spaces

Shortage of Center-Based Spaces

(5)

(6)

(6)

10

14

24

79 99

40 866

119 965

11 89

(252) (390)

39 61

32 71

(167) (40)

(85) (350)

179

906

1085

100

(642)

100

63

(207)

(434)

FINAL

Table B-5

Future Child Care Demand and Supply in 2025 in Burlingame

San Mateo County Child Care Study - 2016

Note All footnote references can be found in Table C-1 at the end of this file

Sources 2010 US Census ABAG Projections 2013 2014 American Community Survey ACS Journey-to-Work data 2006-2008 and 2006-2010

Child Care Coordinating Council of San Mateo County (4Cs) Community Care Licensing Brion Economics Inc

Prepared by Brion Economics Inc 2513-SMC NA Final Tables 61216 6122016

DALY CITYCOLMA

Child Care as of 2025

No of

Providers

Under 2 Years

Old

2 to 4 Year

Olds

Total 0 to 4

Years

EXISTING DEMAND Child Care Demand

Estimated Total Children

Average LFPRAdjustment Factor

Children With Working Parents

Licensed Care Demand Factor

Resident Children Needing Licensed Care

of Total Resident Children Needing Licensed Care

Children from Non-Resident Employees Needing

Licensed Care

(1)

(2)

(3)

2647 3793

74

1964 3467

37

727 3233

27 85

138 208

6440

5432

73

3960

61

346

Total Demand for Child Care Spaces

Distribution

EXISTING SUPPLY (4)

865 3441

20 80

Child Care Spaces

4306

100

Family Child Care Home Supply

Child Care Center Supply

Current Child Care Supply

Distribution

EXISTING SURPLUS(SHORTAGE)

Distribution

Percentage of Demand Met

by Existing FacilitiesSpaces

Shortage of Family Child Care Home Spaces

Shortage of Center-Based Spaces

(5)

(6)

(6)

25

28

28

288 362

84 1264

372 1626

19 81

(493) (1816)

21 79

43 47

(381) (404)

(111) (1412)

649

1348

1997

100

(2308)

100

46

(785)

(1523)

FINAL

Table B-6

Future C hild Care Demand and Supply in 2025 in Daly CityColma

San Mateo County Child Care Study - 2016

Note All footnote references can be found in Table C-1 at the end of this file

Sources 2010 US Census ABAG Projections 2013 2014 American Community Survey ACS Journey-to-Work data 2006-2008 and 2006-2010

Child Care Coordinating Council of San Mateo County (4Cs) Community Care Licensing Brion Economics Inc

Prepared by Brion Economics Inc 2513-SMC NA Final Tables 61216 6122016

EAST PALO ALTO

Child Care as of 2025

No of

Providers

Under 2 Years

Old

2 to 4 Year

Olds

Total 0 to 4

Years

EXISTING DEMAND Child Care Demand

Estimated Total Children

Average LFPRAdjustment Factor

Children With Working Parents

Licensed Care Demand Factor

Resident Children Needing Licensed Care

of Total Resident Children Needing Licensed Care

Children from Non-Resident Employees Needing

Licensed Care

(1)

(2)

(3)

1161 1849

71

822 1660

37

304 1545

26 84

20 30

3010

2482

75

1849

61

50

Total Demand for Child Care Spaces

Distribution

EXISTING SUPPLY (4)

324 1575

17 83

Child Care Spaces

1900

100

Family Child Care Home Supply

Child Care Center Supply

Current Child Care Supply

Distribution

EXISTING SURPLUS(SHORTAGE)

Distribution

Percentage of Demand Met

by Existing FacilitiesSpaces

Shortage of Family Child Care Home Spaces

Shortage of Center-Based Spaces

(5)

(6)

(6)

13

6

19

85 106

25 633

110 739

13 87

(215) (836)

20 80

34 47

(166) (120)

(49) (715)

191

658

849

100

(1050)

100

45

(286)

(764)

FINAL

Table B-7

Future Child Care Demand and Supply in 2025 in East Palo Alto

San Mateo County Child Care Study - 2016

Note All footnote references can be found in Table C-1 at the end of this file

Sources 2010 US Census ABAG Projections 2013 2014 American Community Survey ACS Journey-to-Work data 2006-2008 and 2006-2010

Child Care Coordinating Council of San Mateo County (4Cs) Community Care Licensing Brion Economics Inc

Prepared by Brion Economics Inc 2513-SMC NA Final Tables 61216 6122016

FOSTER CITY

Child Care as of 2025

No of

Providers

Under 2 Years

Old

2 to 4 Year

Olds

Total 0 to 4

Years

EXISTING DEMAND Child Care Demand

Estimated Total Children

Average LFPRAdjustment Factor

Children With Working Parents

Licensed Care Demand Factor

Resident Children Needing Licensed Care

of Total Resident Children Needing Licensed Care

Children from Non-Resident Employees Needing

Licensed Care

(1)

(2)

(3)

871 1330

63

550 1154

37

204 1079

23 81

80 120

2201

1705

75

1282

58

200

Total Demand for Child Care Spaces

Distribution

EXISTING SUPPLY (4)

283 1199

19 81

Child Care Spaces

1483

100

Family Child Care Home Supply

Child Care Center Supply

Current Child Care Supply

Distribution

EXISTING SURPLUS(SHORTAGE)

Distribution

Percentage of Demand Met

by Existing FacilitiesSpaces

Shortage of Family Child Care Home Spaces

Shortage of Center-Based Spaces

(5)

(6)

(6)

19

12

31

118 149

88 1200

206 1349

13 87

(77) 150

-106 206

73 112

(44) NA

(33) NA

267

1288

1555

100

73

100

105

(44)

(33)

FINAL

Table B-8

Future Child Care Demand and Supply in 2025 in Foster City

San Mateo County Child Care Study - 2016

Note All footnote references can be found in Table C-1 at the end of this file

Sources 2010 US Census ABAG Projections 2013 2014 American Community Survey ACS Journey-to-Work data 2006-2008 and 2006-2010

Child Care Coordinating Council of San Mateo County (4Cs) Community Care Licensing Brion Economics Inc

Prepared by Brion Economics Inc 2513-SMC NA Final Tables 61216 6122016

HALF MOON BAY REGION

Child Care as of 2025

No of

Providers

Under 2 Years

Old

2 to 4 Year

Olds

Total 0 to 4

Years

EXISTING DEMAND Child Care Demand

Estimated Total Children

Average LFPRAdjustment Factor

Children With Working Parents

Licensed Care Demand Factor

Resident Children Needing Licensed Care

of Total Resident Children Needing Licensed Care

Children from Non-Resident Employees Needing

Licensed Care

(1)

(2)

(3)

553 929

69

383 835

37

142 781

26 84

14 21

1482

1217

76

923

62

34

Total Demand for Child Care Spaces

Distribution

EXISTING SUPPLY (4)

155 802

16 84

Child Care Spaces

957

100

Family Child Care Home Supply

Child Care Center Supply

Current Child Care Supply

Distribution

EXISTING SURPLUS(SHORTAGE)

Distribution

Percentage of Demand Met

by Existing FacilitiesSpaces

Shortage of Family Child Care Home Spaces

Shortage of Center-Based Spaces

(5)

(6)

(6)

10

11

21

96 121

35 285

131 406

24 76

(24) (396)

6 94

84 51

(18) (118)

(6) (279)

216

320

536

100

(421)

100

56

(136)

(285)

FINAL

Table B-9

Future Child Care Demand and Supply in 2025 in Half Moon Bay Region

San Mateo County Child Care Study - 2016

Note All footnote references can be found in Table C-1 at the end of this file

Sources 2010 US Census ABAG Projections 2013 2014 American Community Survey ACS Journey-to-Work data 2006-2008 and 2006-2010

Child Care Coordinating Council of San Mateo County (4Cs) Community Care Licensing Brion Economics Inc

Prepared by Brion Economics Inc 2513-SMC NA Final Tables 61216 6122016

HILLSBOROUGH

Child Care as of 2025

No of

Providers

Under 2 Years

Old

2 to 4 Year

Olds

Total 0 to 4

Years

EXISTING DEMAND Child Care Demand

Estimated Total Children

Average LFPRAdjustment Factor

Children With Working Parents

Licensed Care Demand Factor

Resident Children Needing Licensed Care

of Total Resident Children Needing Licensed Care

Children from Non-Resident Employees Needing

Licensed Care

(1)

(2)

(3)

143 343

52

74 295

37

27 282

19 82

7 11

487

369

84

309

64

17

Total Demand for Child Care Spaces

Distribution

EXISTING SUPPLY (4)

34 292

10 90

Child Care Spaces

327

100

Family Child Care Home Supply

Child Care Center Supply

Current Child Care Supply

Distribution

EXISTING SURPLUS(SHORTAGE)

Distribution

Percentage of Demand Met

by Existing FacilitiesSpaces

Shortage of Family Child Care Home Spaces

Shortage of Center-Based Spaces

(5)

(6)

(6)

1

4

5

5 6

- 91

5 97

5 95

(29) (195)

13 87

14 33

(29) (12)

0 (183)

11

91

102

100

(225)

100

31

(42)

(183)

FINAL

Table B-10

Future Child Care Demand and Supply in 2025 in Hillsborough

San Mateo County Child Care Study - 2016

Note All footnote references can be found in Table C-1 at the end of this file

Sources 2010 US Census ABAG Projections 2013 2014 American Community Survey ACS Journey-to-Work data 2006-2008 and 2006-2010

Child Care Coordinating Council of San Mateo County (4Cs) Community Care Licensing Brion Economics Inc

Prepared by Brion Economics Inc 2513-SMC NA Final Tables 61216 6122016

MENLO PARK

Child Care as of 2025

No of

Providers

Under 2 Years

Old

2 to 4 Year

Olds

Total 0 to 4

Years

EXISTING DEMAND Child Care Demand

Estimated Total Children

Average LFPRAdjustment Factor

Children With Working Parents

Licensed Care Demand Factor

Resident Children Needing Licensed Care

of Total Resident Children Needing Licensed Care

Children from Non-Resident Employees Needing

Licensed Care

(1)

(2)

(3)

1327 1954

69

909 1759

37

336 1653

25 85

237 357

3281

2668

75

1989

61

594

Total Demand for Child Care Spaces

Distribution

EXISTING SUPPLY (4)

573 2011

22 78

Child Care Spaces

2584

100

Family Child Care Home Supply

Child Care Center Supply

Current Child Care Supply

Distribution

EXISTING SURPLUS(SHORTAGE)

Distribution

Percentage of Demand Met

by Existing FacilitiesSpaces

Shortage of Family Child Care Home Spaces

Shortage of Center-Based Spaces

(5)

(6)

(6)

15

25

40

76 96

73 1331

149 1427

9 91

(424) (584)

42 58

26 71

(217) (39)

(207) (544)

172

1404

1576

100

(1008)

100

61

(256)

(752)

FINAL

Table B-11

Future Child Care Demand and Supply in 2025 in Menlo Park

San Mateo County Child Care Study - 2016

Note All footnote references can be found in Table C-1 at the end of this file

Sources 2010 US Census ABAG Projections 2013 2014 American Community Survey ACS Journey-to-Work data 2006-2008 and 2006-2010

Child Care Coordinating Council of San Mateo County (4Cs) Community Care Licensing Brion Economics Inc

Prepared by Brion Economics Inc 2513-SMC NA Final Tables 61216 6122016

MILLBRAE

Child Care as of 2025

No of

Providers

Under 2 Years

Old

2 to 4 Year

Olds

Total 0 to 4

Years

EXISTING DEMAND Child Care Demand

Estimated Total Children

Average LFPRAdjustment Factor

Children With Working Parents

Licensed Care Demand Factor

Resident Children Needing Licensed Care

of Total Resident Children Needing Licensed Care

Children from Non-Resident Employees Needing

Licensed Care

(1)

(2)

(3)

473 805

62

291 710

37

108 672

23 83

31 47

1278

1001

78

780

61

77

Total Demand for Child Care Spaces

Distribution

EXISTING SUPPLY (4)

139 718

16 84

Child Care Spaces

857

100

Family Child Care Home Supply

Child Care Center Supply

Current Child Care Supply

Distribution

EXISTING SURPLUS(SHORTAGE)

Distribution

Percentage of Demand Met

by Existing FacilitiesSpaces

Shortage of Family Child Care Home Spaces

Shortage of Center-Based Spaces

(5)

(6)

(6)

7

7

14

62 78

- 376

62 454

12 88

(76) (264)

22 78

45 63

(76) (46)

0 (219)

141

376

517

100

(340)

100

60

(122)

(219)

FINAL

Table B-12

Future C hild Care Demand and Supply in 2025 in Millbrae

San Mateo County Child Care Study - 2016

Note All footnote references can be found in Table C-1 at the end of this file

Sources 2010 US Census ABAG Projections 2013 2014 American Community Survey ACS Journey-to-Work data 2006-2008 and 2006-2010

Child Care Coordinating Council of San Mateo County (4Cs) Community Care Licensing Brion Economics Inc

Prepared by Brion Economics Inc 2513-SMC NA Final Tables 61216 6122016

FINAL

Table B-13

Future Child Care Demand and Supply in 2025 in Pacifica

San Mateo County Child Care Study - 2016

PACIFICA

Child Care as of 2025

No of

Providers

Under 2 Years

Old

2 to 4 Year

Olds

Total 0 to 4

Years

EXISTING DEMAND Child Care Demand

Estimated Total Children

Average L FPRAdjustment Factor

Children With Working Parents

Licensed Care Demand Factor

Resident Children Needing Licensed Care

of Total Resident Children Needing Licensed Care

Children from Non-Resident Employees Needing

Licensed Care

(1)

(2)

(3)

816 1300

78

633 1209

37

234 1130

29 87

19 29

2116

1842

74

1364

64

48

Total Demand for Child Care Spaces

Distribution

EXISTING SUPPLY (4)

254 1159

18 82

Child Care Spaces

1413

100

Family Child Care Home Supply

Child Care Center Supply

Current Child Care Supply

Distribution

EXISTING SURPLUS(SHORTAGE)

Distribution

Percentage of Demand Met

by Existing FacilitiesSpaces

Shortage of Family Child Care Home Spaces

Shortage of Center-Based Spaces

(5)

(6)

(6)

9

18

27

77 97

39 701

116 798

13 87

(138) (361)

28 72

46 69

(91) (44)

(46) (317)

174

740

914

100

(499)

100

65

(135)

(364)

Note All footnote references can be found in Table C-1 at the end of this file

Sources 2010 US Census ABAG Projections 2013 2014 American Community Survey ACS Journey-to-Work data 2006-2008 and 2006-2010

Child Care Coordinating Council of San Mateo County (4Cs) Community Care Licensing Brion Economics Inc

Prepared by Brion Economics Inc 2513-SMC NA Final Tables 61216 6122016

PORTOLA VALLEY

Child Care as of 2025

No of

Providers

Under 2 Years

Old

2 to 4 Year

Olds

Total 0 to 4

Years

EXISTING DEMAND Child Care Demand

Estimated Total Children

Average LFPRAdjustment Factor

Children With Working Parents

Licensed Care Demand Factor

Resident Children Needing Licensed Care

of Total Resident Children Needing Licensed Care

Children from Non-Resident Employees Needing

Licensed Care

(1)

(2)

(3)

77 192

66

51 173

37

19 164

24 85

9 13

269

224

82

182

68

22

Total Demand for Child Care Spaces

Distribution

EXISTING SUPPLY (4)

28 177

13 87

Child Care Spaces

204

100

Family Child Care Home Supply

Child Care Center Supply

Current Child Care Supply

Distribution

EXISTING SURPLUS(SHORTAGE)

Distribution

Percentage of Demand Met

by Existing FacilitiesSpaces

Shortage of Family Child Care Home Spaces

Shortage of Center-Based Spaces

(5)

(6)

(6)

0

4

4

- -

- 153

- 153

0 100

(28) (24)

54 46

0 87

0 0

(28) (24)

0

153

153

100

(51)

100

75

0

(51)

FINAL

Table B-14

Future Child Care Demand and Supply in 2025 in Portola Valley

San Mateo County Child Care Study - 2016

Note All footnote references can be found in Table C-1 at the end of this file

Sources 2010 US Census ABAG Projections 2013 2014 American Community Survey ACS Journey-to-Work data 2006-2008 and 2006-2010

Child Care Coordinating Council of San Mateo County (4Cs) Community Care Licensing Brion Economics Inc

Prepared by Brion Economics Inc 2513-SMC NA Final Tables 61216 6122016

REDWOOD CITY

No of

Providers

Child Care as of 2025

Under 2 Years

Old

2 to 4 Year

Olds

Total 0 to 4

Years

EXISTING DEMAND Child Care Demand

Estimated Total Children

Average LFPRAdjustment Factor

Children With Working Parents

Licensed Care Demand Factor

Resident Children Needing Licensed Care

of Total Resident Children Needing Licensed Care

Children from Non-Resident Employees Needing

Licensed Care

Total Demand for Child Care Spaces

Distribution

EXISTING SUPPLY

(1)

(2)

(3)

(4)

3725 5378

69

2555 4813

37

946 4505

25 84

466 703

1411 5208

21 79

Child Care Spaces

9103

7368

74

5450

60

1169

6619

100

Family Child Care Home Supply

Child Care Center Supply

Current Child Care Supply

Distribution

EXISTING SURPLUS(SHORTAGE)

Distribution

Percentage of Demand Met

by Existing FacilitiesSpaces

Shortage of Family Child Care Home Spaces

Shortage of Center-Based Spaces

(5)

(6)

(6)

42

41

83

396 497

356 2036

752 2533

23 77

(660) (2674)

20 80

53 49

(347) (525)

(313) (2149)

893

2392

3285

100

(3334)

100

50

(872)

(2462)

FINAL

Table B-15

Future Child Care Demand and Supply in 2025 in Redwood City

San Mateo County Child Care Study - 2016

Note All footnote references can be found in Table C-1 at the end of this file

Sources 2010 US Census ABAG Projections 2013 2014 American Community Survey ACS Journey-to-Work data 2006-2008 and 2006-2010

Child Care Coordinating Council of San Mateo County (4Cs) Community Care Licensing Brion Economics Inc

Prepared by Brion Economics Inc 2513-SMC NA Final Tables 61216 6122016

SAN BRUNO

Child Care as of 2025

No of

Providers

Under 2 Years

Old

2 to 4 Year

Olds

Total 0 to 4

Years

EXISTING DEMAND Child Care Demand

Estimated Total Children

Average LFPRAdjustment Factor

Children With Working Parents

Licensed Care Demand Factor

Resident Children Needing Licensed Care

of Total Resident Children Needing Licensed Care

Children from Non-Resident Employees Needing

Licensed Care

(1)

(2)

(3)

1189 1728

77

910 1589

37

337 1475

28 85

68 103

2917

2498

73

1812

62

171

Total Demand for Child Care Spaces

Distribution

EXISTING SUPPLY (4)

405 1578

20 80

Child Care Spaces

1983

100

Family Child Care Home Supply

Child Care Center Supply

Current Child Care Supply

Distribution

EXISTING SURPLUS(SHORTAGE)

Distribution

Percentage of Demand Met

by Existing FacilitiesSpaces

Shortage of Family Child Care Home Spaces

Shortage of Center-Based Spaces

(5)

(6)

(6)

13

15

28

122 153

26 1183

148 1336

10 90

(257) (242)

52 48

37 85

(212) (28)

(45) (214)

275

1209

1484

100

(499)

100

75

(239)

(259)

FINAL

Table B-16

Future C hild Care Demand and Supply in 2025 in San Bruno

San Mateo County Child Care Study - 2016

Note All footnote references can be found in Table C-1 at the end of this file

Sources 2010 US Census ABAG Projections 2013 2014 American Community Survey ACS Journey-to-Work data 2006-2008 and 2006-2010

Child Care Coordinating Council of San Mateo County (4Cs) Community Care Licensing Brion Economics Inc

Prepared by Brion Economics Inc 2513-SMC NA Final Tables 61216 6122016

SAN CARLOS

Child Care as of 2025

No of

Providers

Under 2 Years

Old

2 to 4 Year

Olds

Total 0 to 4

Years

EXISTING DEMAND Child Care Demand

Estimated Total Children

Average LFPRAdjustment Factor

Children With Working Parents

Licensed Care Demand Factor

Resident Children Needing Licensed Care

of Total Resident Children Needing Licensed Care

Children from Non-Resident Employees Needing

Licensed Care

(1)

(2)

(3)

778 1384

72

557 1255

37

206 1174

26 85

82 123

2162

1812

76

1380

64

205

Total Demand for Child Care Spaces

Distribution

EXISTING SUPPLY (4)

288 1297

18 82

Child Care Spaces

1585

100

Family Child Care Home Supply

Child Care Center Supply

Current Child Care Supply

Distribution

EXISTING SURPLUS(SHORTAGE)

Distribution

Percentage of Demand Met

by Existing FacilitiesSpaces

Shortage of Family Child Care Home Spaces

Shortage of Center-Based Spaces

(5)

(6)

(6)

28

14

42

73 92

76 615

149 707

17 83

(139) (590)

19 81

52 54

(68) (76)

(71) (514)

164

691

855

100

(729)

100

54

(145)

(585)

FINAL

Table B-17

Future Child Care Demand and Supply in 2025 in San Carlos

San Mateo County Child Care Study - 2016

Note All footnote references can be found in Table C-1 at the end of this file

Sources 2010 US Census ABAG Projections 2013 2014 American Community Survey ACS Journey-to-Work data 2006-2008 and 2006-2010

Child Care Coordinating Council of San Mateo County (4Cs) Community Care Licensing Brion Economics Inc

Prepared by Brion Economics Inc 2513-SMC NA Final Tables 61216 6122016

SAN MATEO

Child Care as of 2025

No of

Providers

Under 2 Years

Old

2 to 4 Year

Olds

Total 0 to 4

Years

EXISTING DEMAND Child Care Demand

Estimated Total Children

Average LFPRAdjustment Factor

Children With Working Parents

Licensed Care Demand Factor

Resident Children Needing Licensed Care

of Total Resident Children Needing Licensed Care

Children from Non-Resident Employees Needing

Licensed Care

(1)

(2)

(3)

3194 4572

71

2264 4116

37

838 3839

26 84

261 394

7766

6381

73

4677

60

656

Total Demand for Child Care Spaces

Distribution

EXISTING SUPPLY (4)

1099 4233

21 79

Child Care Spaces

5332

100

Family Child Care Home Supply

Child Care Center Supply

Current Child Care Supply

Distribution

EXISTING SURPLUS(SHORTAGE)

Distribution

Percentage of Demand Met

by Existing FacilitiesSpaces

Shortage of Family Child Care Home Spaces

Shortage of Center-Based Spaces

(5)

(6)

(6)

69

59

128

492 619

209 2577

701 3196

18 82

(398) (1037)

28 72

64 75

(279) (201)

(119) (837)

1111

2786

3897

100

(1435)

100

73

(480)

(955)

FINAL

Table B-18

Future Child Care Demand and Supply in 2025 in San Mateo

San Mateo County Child Care Study - 2016

Note All footnote references can be found in Table C-1 at the end of this file

Sources 2010 US Census ABAG Projections 2013 2014 American Community Survey ACS Journey-to-Work data 2006-2008 and 2006-2010

Child Care Coordinating Council of San Mateo County (4Cs) Community Care Licensing Brion Economics Inc

Prepared by Brion Economics Inc 2513-SMC NA Final Tables 61216 6122016

FINAL

Table B-19

Future Child Care Demand and Supply in 2025 in South Coast

San Mateo County Child Care Study - 2016

SOUTH COAST

Child Care as of 2025

No of

Providers

Under 2 Years

Old

2 to 4 Year

Olds

Total 0 to 4

Years

EXISTING DEMAND Child Care Demand

Estimated Total Children (1) 23 32 55

Average LFPRAdjustment Factor (2) 54

Children With Working Parents 12 27 40

Licensed Care Demand Factor (3) 37 77

Resident Children Needing Licensed Care 5 26 30

of Total Resident Children Needing Licensed Care 20 81 56

Children from Non-Resident Employees Needing

Licensed Care 0 0 0

Total Demand for Child Care Spaces 5 26 30

Distribution 15 85 100

EXISTING SUPPLY (4) Child Care Spaces

Family Child Care Home Supply - 0 0 0

Child Care Center Supply 2 0 54 54

Current Child Care Supply 2 - 54 54

Distribution 0 100 100

EXISTING SURPLUS(SHORTAGE) (5) 28 24

Distribution -19 119 100

Percentage of Demand Met

by Existing FacilitiesSpaces (5) 0 209 177

Shortage of Family Child Care Home Spaces (6) 0 NA 0

Shortage of Center-Based Spaces (6) (5) NA (5)

Note All footnote references can be found in Table C-1 at the end of this file

Sources 2010 US Census ABAG Projections 2013 2014 American Community Survey ACS Journey-to-Work data 2006-2008 and 2006-2010

Child Care Coordinating Council of San Mateo County (4Cs) Community Care Licensing Brion Economics Inc

Prepared by Brion Economics Inc 2513-SMC NA Final Tables 61216 6122016

SOUTH SAN FRANCISCO

Child Care as of 2025

No of

Providers

Under 2 Years

Old

2 to 4 Year

Olds

Total 0 to 4

Years

EXISTING DEMAND Child Care Demand

Estimated Total Children

Average LFPRAdjustment Factor

Children With Working Parents

Licensed Care Demand Factor

Resident Children Needing Licensed Care

of Total Resident Children Needing Licensed Care

Children from Non-Resident Employees Needing

Licensed Care

(1)

(2)

(3)

1835 2790

73

1342 2535

37

496 2362

27 85

339 512

4625

3877

74

2859

62

851

Total Demand for Child Care Spaces

Distribution

EXISTING SUPPLY (4)

835 2874

23 77

Child Care Spaces

3709

100

Family Child Care Home Supply

Child Care Center Supply

Current Child Care Supply

Distribution

EXISTING SURPLUS(SHORTAGE)

Distribution

Percentage of Demand Met

by Existing FacilitiesSpaces

Shortage of Family Child Care Home Spaces

Shortage of Center-Based Spaces

(5)

(6)

(6)

30

27

57

252 317

400 1966

652 2283

22 78

(183) (591)

24 76

78 79

(71) (82)

(113) (509)

569

2366

2935

100

(775)

100

79

(153)

(622)

FINAL

Table B-20

Future Child Care Demand and Supply in 2025 in South San Francisco

San Mateo County Child Care Study - 2016

Note All footnote references can be found in Table C-1 at the end of this file

Sources 2010 US Census ABAG Projections 2013 2014 American Community Survey ACS Journey-to-Work data 2006-2008 and 2006-2010

Child Care Coordinating Council of San Mateo County (4Cs) Community Care Licensing Brion Economics Inc

Prepared by Brion Economics Inc 2513-SMC NA Final Tables 61216 6122016

WOODSIDE

No of

Providers

Child Care as of 2025

Under 2 Years

Old

2 to 4 Year

Olds

Total 0 to 4

Years

EXISTING DEMAND Child Care Demand

Estimated Total Children

Average LFPRAdjustment Factor

Children With Working Parents

Licensed Care Demand Factor

Resident Children Needing Licensed Care

of Total Resident Children Needing Licensed Care

Children from Non-Resident Employees Needing

Licensed Care

(1)

(2)

(3)

93 165

56

51 140

37

19 132

21 80

9 13

258

192

79

152

59

22

Total Demand for Child Care Spaces

Distribution

EXISTING SUPPLY (4)

28 146

16 84

Child Care Spaces

174

100

Family Child Care Home Supply

Child Care Center Supply

Current Child Care Supply

Distribution

EXISTING SURPLUS(SHORTAGE)

Distribution

Percentage of Demand Met

by Existing FacilitiesSpaces

Shortage of Family Child Care Home Spaces

Shortage of Center-Based Spaces

(5)

(6)

(6)

1

2

3

4 5

- 103

4 108

4 96

(24) (38)

39 61

15 74

(24) (2)

0 (36)

9

103

112

100

(61)

100

65

(26)

(36)

FINAL

Table B-21

Future Child Care Demand and Supply in 2025 in Woodside

San Mateo County Child Care Study - 2016

Note All footnote references can be found in Table C-1 at the end of this file

Sources 2010 US Census ABAG Projections 2013 2014 American Community Survey ACS Journey-to-Work data 2006-2008 and 2006-2010

Child Care Coordinating Council of San Mateo County (4Cs) Community Care Licensing Brion Economics Inc

Prepared by Brion Economics Inc 2513-SMC NA Final Tables 61216 6122016

FINAL

Table C-1

Endnotes for Tables

San Mateo County Child Care Study - 2016

(1) Population by age is based on the percentage breakdown from the 2010 US Census and applied

to population estimates for 2015 using ABAGs Projections 2013 population data The ABAG data

for each area includes its Sphere of Influence and is not based on strict jurisdictional boundaries

(2) Labor force participation rates are from the 5-Year American Community Survey 2014 and include

children under six years old with two working parents or a single working parent For the 2- to 4-year

olds the labor force participation rate is applied to 2 year olds For 3- and 4-year olds it is assumed

that 100 need licensed care to support preschool for every child so the number of

3- and 4-year olds is not discounted by labor force participation rates

(3) Not all children with working parents are assumed to need licensed care percentage assumptions are

used to calculate the number of children requiring licensed care under each age category The

remaining children are assumed to be cared for in alternate arrangements such as by family members

nannies friends and other unlicensed care For children ages 3- and 4-years old it is assumed that

they all need care in the form of preschool

(4) Data on child care supply provided by the Child Care Coordinating Council of San Mateo County (4Cs)

and Community Care Licensing Division of the California Department of Social Services (CCLD) Data is

for June 2015

(5) Demand that calculates as less than 100 means that there is greater demand than supply percent of

demand that is over 100 means supply exceeds demand

(6) Unmet demand is broken down into shortage by type of care based on the proportion of FCCHs and

child care centers spaces available in each area If an area does not have any FCCHs or centers the

unmet demand is placed in the type of care that is available in the area (eg if there are only centers

all demand goes to centers)

Source Brion Economics Inc

Prepared by Brion Economics Inc 2513-SMC NA Final Tables 61216 6122016

DRAFT REPORT

Table C-2

Labor Force Participation Rates by CityArea

San Mateo County Child Care Study - 2016

CityArea

Labor Force

Participation Rate (1)

Atherton

Belmont

Brisbane

Burlingame

Daly CityColma

East Palo Alto

Foster City

Half Moon Bay Region

Hillsborough

Menlo Park

Millbrae

Pacifica

Portola Valley

Redwood City

San Bruno

San Carlos

San Mateo

South Coast

South San Francisco

Woodside

40

77

100

65

74

71

63

69

52

69

62

78

66

69

77

72

71

54

73

56

(1) Labor force participation rates (LFPRs) are for

families with children under age six with two

working parents or a single parent who works Sources American Community Survey 2014 5-Year

Survey Brion Economics Inc

Prepared by Brion Economics Inc 2513-SMC NA Final Tables 61216 6122016

  • 2513-SMC FINAL NA Memo-61216
  • 2513-SMC NA Final Tables 61216
Page 35: Final San Mateo County Child Care Needs … Care...Future C hild Care Demand and Supply in 2025 in Daly City/Colma San Mateo County Child Care Study - 2016 Note: All footnote references

PACIFICA

Child Care as of 2015

No of

Providers

Under 2 Years

Old

2 to 4 Year

Olds

Total 0 to 4

Years

EXISTING DEMAND Child Care Demand

Estimated Total Children

Average LFPRAdjustment Factor

Children With Working Parents

Licensed Care Demand Factor

Resident Children Needing Licensed Care

of Total Resident Children Needing Licensed Care

Children from Non-Resident Employees Needing

Licensed Care

(1)

(2)

(3)

787 1253

78

610 1165

37

226 1089

29 87

18 27

2040

1776

74

1315

64

45

Total Demand for Child Care Spaces

Distribution

EXISTING SUPPLY (4)

244 1117

18 83

Child Care Spaces

1360

100

Family Child Care Home Supply

Child Care Center Supply

Current Child Care Supply

Distribution

EXISTING SURPLUS(SHORTAGE)

Distribution

Percentage of Demand Met

by Existing FacilitiesSpaces

Shortage of Family Child Care Home Spaces

Shortage of Center-Based Spaces

(5)

(6)

(6)

21

18

39

77 97

39 701

116 798

13 87

(128) (319)

29 71

48 71

(85) (39)

(43) (280)

174

740

914

100

(447)

100

67

(124)

(323)

FINAL

Table A-13

Existing Child Care Demand and Supply in 2015 in Pacifica

San Mateo County Child Care Study - 2016

Note All footnote references can be found in Table C-1 at the end of this file Sources 2010 US Census ABAG Projections 2013 2014 American Community Survey ACS Journey-to-Work data 2006-2008 and 2006-2010

Child Care Coordinating Council of San Mateo County (4Cs) Community Care Licensing Brion Economics Inc

Prepared by Brion Economics Inc 2513-SMC NA Final Tables 61216 6122016

PORTOLA VALLEY

No of

Providers

Child Care as of 2015

Under 2 Years

Old

2 to 4 Year

Olds

Total 0 to 4

Years

EXISTING DEMAND Child Care Demand

Estimated Total Children

Average LFPRAdjustment Factor

Children With Working Parents

Licensed Care Demand Factor

Resident Children Needing Licensed Care

of Total Resident Children Needing Licensed Care

Children from Non-Resident Employees Needing

Licensed Care

(1)

(2)

(3)

75 187

66

49 168

37

18 159

24 85

8 12

261

217

82

177

68

21

Total Demand for Child Care Spaces

Distribution

EXISTING SUPPLY (4)

26 171

13 87

Child Care Spaces

198

100

Family Child Care Home Supply

Child Care Center Supply

Current Child Care Supply

Distribution

EXISTING SURPLUS(SHORTAGE)

Distribution

Percentage of Demand Met

by Existing FacilitiesSpaces

Shortage of Family Child Care Home Spaces

Shortage of Center-Based Spaces

(5)

(6)

(6)

0

4

4

0 0

0 153

0 153

0 100

(26) (18)

59 41

0 89

0 0

(26) (18)

0

153

153

100

(45)

100

77

0

(45)

FINAL

Table A-14

Existing Child Care Demand and Supply in 2015 in Portola Valley

San Mateo County Child Care Study - 2016

Note All footnote references can be found in Table C-1 at the end of this file Sources 2010 US Census ABAG Projections 2013 2014 American Community Survey ACS Journey-to-Work data 2006-2008 and 2006-2010

Child Care Coordinating Council of San Mateo County (4Cs) Community Care Licensing Brion Economics Inc

Prepared by Brion Economics Inc 2513-SMC NA Final Tables 61216 6122016

REDWOOD CITY

Child Care as of 2015

No of

Providers

Under 2 Years

Old

2 to 4 Year

Olds

Total 0 to 4

Years

EXISTING DEMAND Child Care Demand

Estimated Total Children

Average LFPRAdjustment Factor

Children With Working Parents

Licensed Care Demand Factor

Resident Children Needing Licensed Care

of Total Resident Children Needing Licensed Care

Children from Non-Resident Employees Needing

Licensed Care

Total Demand for Child Care Spaces

Distribution

EXISTING SUPPLY

(1)

(2)

(3)

(4)

3260 4706

69

2236 4212

37

827 3942

25 84

414 625

1241 4567

21 79

Child Care Spaces

7966

6449

74

4770

60

1038

5808

100

Family Child Care Home Supply

Child Care Center Supply

Current Child Care Supply

Distribution

EXISTING SURPLUS(SHORTAGE)

Distribution

Percentage of Demand Met

by Existing FacilitiesSpaces

Shortage of Family Child Care Home Spaces

Shortage of Center-Based Spaces

(5)

(6)

(6)

111

45

156

396 497

356 2036

752 2533

23 77

(490) (2034)

19 81

61 55

(258) (399)

(232) (1635)

893

2392

3285

100

(2524)

100

57

(657)

(1867)

FINAL

Table A-15

Existing Child Care Demand and Supply in 2015 in Redwood City

San Mateo County Child Care Study - 2016

Note All footnote references can be found in Table C-1 at the end of this file Sources 2010 US Census ABAG Projections 2013 2014 American Community Survey ACS Journey-to-Work data 2006-2008 and 2006-2010

Child Care Coordinating Council of San Mateo County (4Cs) Community Care Licensing Brion Economics Inc

Prepared by Brion Economics Inc 2513-SMC NA Final Tables 61216 6122016

SAN BRUNO

Child Care as of 2015

No of

Providers

Under 2 Years

Old

2 to 4 Year

Olds

Total 0 to 4

Years

EXISTING DEMAND Child Care Demand

Estimated Total Children

Average LFPRAdjustment Factor

Children With Working Parents

Licensed Care Demand Factor

Resident Children Needing Licensed Care

of Total Resident Children Needing Licensed Care

Children from Non-Resident Employees Needing

Licensed Care

(1)

(2)

(3)

1069 1553

77

817 1428

37

302 1326

28 85

61 92

2622

2245

73

1628

62

153

Total Demand for Child Care Spaces

Distribution

EXISTING SUPPLY (4)

364 1418

20 80

Child Care Spaces

1782

100

Family Child Care Home Supply

Child Care Center Supply

Current Child Care Supply

Distribution

EXISTING SURPLUS(SHORTAGE)

Distribution

Percentage of Demand Met

by Existing FacilitiesSpaces

Shortage of Family Child Care Home Spaces

Shortage of Center-Based Spaces

(5)

(6)

(6)

34

15

49

122 153

26 1183

148 1336

10 90

(216) (82)

72 28

41 94

(178) (9)

(38) (73)

275

1209

1484

100

(298)

100

83

(187)

(110)

FINAL

Table A-16

Existing Child Care Demand and Supply in 2015 in San Bruno

San Mateo County Child Care Study - 2016

Note All footnote references can be found in Table C-1 at the end of this file Sources 2010 US Census ABAG Projections 2013 2014 American Community Survey ACS Journey-to-Work data 2006-2008 and 2006-2010

Child Care Coordinating Council of San Mateo County (4Cs) Community Care Licensing Brion Economics Inc

Prepared by Brion Economics Inc 2513-SMC NA Final Tables 61216 6122016

SAN CARLOS

Child Care as of 2015

No of

Providers

Under 2 Years

Old

2 to 4 Year

Olds

Total 0 to 4

Years

EXISTING DEMAND Child Care Demand

Estimated Total Children

Average LFPRAdjustment Factor

Children With Working Parents

Licensed Care Demand Factor

Resident Children Needing Licensed Care

of Total Resident Children Needing Licensed Care

Children from Non-Resident Employees Needing

Licensed Care

(1)

(2)

(3)

735 1308

72

526 1186

37

195 1109

26 85

75 114

2043

1712

76

1304

64

189

Total Demand for Child Care Spaces

Distribution

EXISTING SUPPLY (4)

270 1222

18 82

Child Care Spaces

1492

100

Family Child Care Home Supply

Child Care Center Supply

Current Child Care Supply

Distribution

EXISTING SURPLUS(SHORTAGE)

Distribution

Percentage of Demand Met

by Existing FacilitiesSpaces

Shortage of Family Child Care Home Spaces

Shortage of Center-Based Spaces

(5)

(6)

(6)

20

14

34

73 92

76 615

149 707

17 83

(121) (516)

19 81

55 58

(59) (67)

(62) (449)

164

691

855

100

(637)

100

57

(126)

(511)

FINAL

Table A-17

Existing Child Care Demand and Supply in 2015 in San Carlos

San Mateo County Child Care Study - 2016

Note All footnote references can be found in Table C-1 at the end of this file

Sources 2010 US Census ABAG Projections 2013 2014 American Community Survey ACS Journey-to-Work data 2006-2008 and 2006-2010

Child Care Coordinating Council of San Mateo County (4Cs) Community Care Licensing Brion Economics Inc

Prepared by Brion Economics Inc 2513-SMC NA Final Tables 61216 6122016

SAN MATEO

Child Care as of 2015

No of

Providers

Under 2 Years

Old

2 to 4 Year

Olds

Total 0 to 4

Years

EXISTING DEMAND Child Care Demand

Estimated Total Children

Average LFPRAdjustment Factor

Children With Working Parents

Licensed Care Demand Factor

Resident Children Needing Licensed Care

of Total Resident Children Needing Licensed Care

Children from Non-Resident Employees Needing

Licensed Care

(1)

(2)

(3)

2943 4213

71

2087 3793

37

772 3537

26 84

231 348

7156

5880

73

4309

60

579

Total Demand for Child Care Spaces

Distribution

EXISTING SUPPLY (4)

1003 3886

21 79

Child Care Spaces

4889

100

Family Child Care Home Supply

Child Care Center Supply

Current Child Care Supply

Distribution

EXISTING SURPLUS(SHORTAGE)

Distribution

Percentage of Demand Met

by Existing FacilitiesSpaces

Shortage of Family Child Care Home Spaces

Shortage of Center-Based Spaces

(5)

(6)

(6)

126

59

185

492 619

209 2577

701 3196

18 82

(302) (690)

30 70

70 82

(212) (134)

(90) (557)

1111

2786

3897

100

(992)

100

80

(345)

(647)

FINAL

Table A-18

Existing Child Care Demand and Supply in 2015 in San Mateo

San Mateo County Child Care Study - 2016

Note All footnote references can be found in Table C-1 at the end of this file

Sources 2010 US Census ABAG Projections 2013 2014 American Community Survey ACS Journey-to-Work data 2006-2008 and 2006-2010

Child Care Coordinating Council of San Mateo County (4Cs) Community Care Licensing Brion Economics Inc

Prepared by Brion Economics Inc 2513-SMC NA Final Tables 61216 6122016

SOUTH COAST

Child Care as of 2015

No of

Providers

Under 2 Years

Old

2 to 4 Year

Olds

Total 0 to 4

Years

EXISTING DEMAND Child Care Demand

Estimated Total Children

Average LFPRAdjustment Factor

Children With Working Parents

Licensed Care Demand Factor

Resident Children Needing Licensed Care

of Total Resident Children Needing Licensed Care

Children from Non-Resident Employees Needing

Licensed Care

(1)

(2)

(3)

21 29

54

11 25

37

4 23

20 81

0 0

50

36

77

28

56

0

Total Demand for Child Care Spaces

Distribution

EXISTING SUPPLY (4)

4 23

15 85

Child Care Spaces

28

100

Family Child Care Home Supply

Child Care Center Supply

Current Child Care Supply

Distribution

EXISTING SURPLUS(SHORTAGE)

Distribution

Percentage of Demand Met

by Existing FacilitiesSpaces

Shortage of Family Child Care Home Spaces

Shortage of Center-Based Spaces

(5)

(6)

(6)

-

2

2

- -

- 54

- 54

0 100

(4) 31

-16 116

0 230

(2) NA

(2) NA

0

54

54

100

26

100

195

(2)

(2)

FINAL

Table A-19

Existing Child Care Demand and Supply in 2015 in South Coast

San Mateo County Child Care Study - 2016

Note All footnote references can be found in Table C-1 at the end of this file

Sources 2010 US Census ABAG Projections 2013 2014 American Community Survey ACS Journey-to-Work data 2006-2008 and 2006-2010

Child Care Coordinating Council of San Mateo County (4Cs) Community Care Licensing Brion Economics Inc

Prepared by Brion Economics Inc 2513-SMC NA Final Tables 61216 6122016

SOUTH SAN FRANCISCO

Child Care as of 2015

No of

Providers

Under 2 Years

Old

2 to 4 Year

Olds

Total 0 to 4

Years

EXISTING DEMAND Child Care Demand

Estimated Total Children

Average LFPRAdjustment Factor

Children With Working Parents

Licensed Care Demand Factor

Resident Children Needing Licensed Care

of Total Resident Children Needing Licensed Care

Children from Non-Resident Employees Needing

Licensed Care

(1)

(2)

(3)

1649 2507

73

1206 2278

37

446 2123

27 85

309 466

4156

3484

74

2569

62

774

Total Demand for Child Care Spaces

Distribution

EXISTING SUPPLY (4)

755 2588

23 77

Child Care Spaces

3343

100

Family Child Care Home Supply

Child Care Center Supply

Current Child Care Supply

Distribution

EXISTING SURPLUS(SHORTAGE)

Distribution

Percentage of Demand Met

by Existing FacilitiesSpaces

Shortage of Family Child Care Home Spaces

Shortage of Center-Based Spaces

(5)

(6)

(6)

68

27

95

252 317

400 1966

652 2283

22 78

(103) (306)

25 75

86 88

(40) (42)

(63) (263)

569

2366

2935

100

(408)

100

88

(82)

(326)

FINAL

Table A-20

Existing Child Care Demand and Supply in 2015 in South San Francisco

San Mateo County Child Care Study - 2016

Note All footnote references can be found in Table C-1 at the end of this file Sources 2010 US Census ABAG Projections 2013 2014 American Community Survey ACS Journey-to-Work data 2006-2008 and 2006-2010

Child Care Coordinating Council of San Mateo County (4Cs) Community Care Licensing Brion Economics Inc

Prepared by Brion Economics Inc 2513-SMC NA Final Tables 61216 6122016

WOODSIDE

No of

Providers

Child Care as of 2015

Under 2 Years

Old

2 to 4 Year

Olds

Total 0 to 4

Years

EXISTING DEMAND Child Care Demand

Estimated Total Children

Average LFPRAdjustment Factor

Children With Working Parents

Licensed Care Demand Factor

Resident Children Needing Licensed Care

of Total Resident Children Needing Licensed Care

Children from Non-Resident Employees Needing

Licensed Care

(1)

(2)

(3)

90 160

56

50 136

37

18 128

21 80

8 13

250

186

79

147

59

21

Total Demand for Child Care Spaces

Distribution

EXISTING SUPPLY (4)

27 141

16 84

Child Care Spaces

168

100

Family Child Care Home Supply

Child Care Center Supply

Current Child Care Supply

Distribution

EXISTING SURPLUS(SHORTAGE)

Distribution

Percentage of Demand Met

by Existing FacilitiesSpaces

Shortage of Family Child Care Home Spaces

Shortage of Center-Based Spaces

(5)

(6)

(6)

1

2

3

4 5

0 103

4 108

4 96

(23) (33)

41 59

16 77

(23) (2)

0 (31)

9

103

112

100

(55)

100

67

(24)

(31)

FINAL

Table A-21

Existing Child Care Demand and Supply in 2015 in Woodside

San Mateo County Child Care Study - 2016

Note All footnote references can be found in Table C-1 at the end of this file Sources 2010 US Census ABAG Projections 2013 2014 American Community Survey ACS Journey-to-Work data 2006-2008 and 2006-2010

Child Care Coordinating Council of San Mateo County (4Cs) Community Care Licensing Brion Economics Inc

Prepared by Brion Economics Inc 2513-SMC NA Final Tables 61216 6122016

COUNTYWIDE

Child Care as of 2025

No of

Providers

Under 2 Years

Old

2 to 4 Year

Olds

Total 0 to 4

Years

EXISTING DEMAND Child Care Demand

Estimated Total Children

Average LFPRAdjustment Factor

Children With Working Parents

Licensed Care Demand Factor

Resident Children Needing Licensed Care

of Total Resident Children Needing Licensed Care

Children from Non-Resident Employees Needing

Licensed Care

Total Demand for Child Care Spaces

Distribution

EXISTING SUPPLY

(1)

(2)

(3)

(4)

20790 31340

71

14704 28273

37

5441 26432

26 84

2037 3074

7478 29506

20 80

Child Care Spaces

52130

42978

86

31873

61

5112

36984

100

Family Child Care Home Supply

Child Care Center Supply

Current Child Care Supply

Distribution

EXISTING SURPLUS(SHORTAGE)

Distribution

Percentage of Demand Met

by Existing FacilitiesSpaces

Shortage of Family Child Care Home Spaces

Shortage of Center-Based Spaces

(5)

(6)

(6)

621

309

930

2301 2893

1514 16296

3815 19189

17 83

(3663) (10318)

26 74

51 65

(2209) (1555)

(1454) (8762)

5193

17810

23003

100

(13981)

100

62

(3765)

(10216)

FINAL

Table B-1

Future C hild Care Demand and Supply in 2025 Countywide

San Mateo County Child Care Study - 2016

Note All footnote references can be found in Table C-1 at the end of this file

Sources 2010 US Census ABAG Projections 2013 2014 American Community Survey ACS Journey-to-Work data 2006-2008 and 2006-2010

Child Care Coordinating Council of San Mateo County (4Cs) Community Care Licensing Brion Economics Inc

Prepared by Brion Economics Inc 2513-SMC NA Final Tables 61216 6122016

ATHERTON

No of

Providers

Child Care as of 2025

Under 2 Years

Old

2 to 4 Year

Olds

Total 0 to 4

Years

EXISTING DEMAND Child Care Demand

Estimated Total Children

Average LFPRAdjustment Factor

Children With Working Parents

Licensed Care Demand Factor

Resident Children Needing Licensed Care

of Total Resident Children Needing Licensed Care

Children from Non-Resident Employees Needing

Licensed Care

(1)

(2)

(3)

109 193

40

43 159

37

16 154

15 80

13 19

302

202

84

170

56

32

Total Demand for Child Care Spaces

Distribution

EXISTING SUPPLY (4)

29 173

14 86

Child Care Spaces

201

100

Family Child Care Home Supply

Child Care Center Supply

Current Child Care Supply

Distribution

EXISTING SURPLUS(SHORTAGE)

Distribution

Percentage of Demand Met

by Existing FacilitiesSpaces

Shortage of Family Child Care Home Spaces

Shortage of Center-Based Spaces

(5)

(6)

(6)

1

6

7

5 6

24 267

29 273

10 90

0 101

0 100

101 158

NA NA

NA NA

11

291

302

100

101

100

150

NA

NA

FINAL

Table B-2

Future Child Care Demand and Supply in 2025 in Atherton

San Mateo Co unty Child Care Study - 2016

Note All footnote references can be found in Table C-1 at the end of this file Sources 2010 US Census ABAG Projections 2013 2014 American Community Survey ACS Journey-to-Work data 2006-2008 and 2006-2010

Child Care Coordinating Council of San Mateo County (4Cs) Community Care Licensing Brion Economics Inc

Prepared by Brion Economics Inc 2513-SMC NA Final Tables 61216 6122016

BELMONT

Child Care as of 2025

No of

Providers

Under 2 Years

Old

2 to 4 Year

Olds

Total 0 to 4

Years

EXISTING DEMAND Child Care Demand

Estimated Total Children

Average LFPRAdjustment Factor

Children With Working Parents

Licensed Care Demand Factor

Resident Children Needing Licensed Care

of Total Resident Children Needing Licensed Care

Children from Non-Resident Employees Needing

Licensed Care

(1)

(2)

(3)

743 1095

77

574 1013

37

213 943

29 86

37 56

1838

1587

73

1156

63

93

Total Demand for Child Care Spaces

Distribution

EXISTING SUPPLY (4)

250 999

20 80

Child Care Spaces

1249

100

Family Child Care Home Supply

Child Care Center Supply

Current Child Care Supply

Distribution

EXISTING SURPLUS(SHORTAGE)

Distribution

Percentage of Demand Met

by Existing FacilitiesSpaces

Shortage of Family Child Care Home Spaces

Shortage of Center-Based Spaces

(5)

(6)

(6)

8

9

17

67 84

39 531

106 615

15 85

(143) (384)

27 73

43 62

(91) (53)

(53) (331)

152

570

722

100

(527)

100

58

(143)

(384)

FINAL

Table B-3

Future Child Care Demand and Supply in 2025 in Belmont

San Mateo County Child Care Study - 2016

Note All footnote references can be found in Table C-1 at the end of this file

Sources 2010 US Census ABAG Projections 2013 2014 American Community Survey ACS Journey-to-Work data 2006-2008 and 2006-2010

Child Care Coordinating Council of San Mateo County (4Cs) Community Care Licensing Brion Economics Inc

Prepared by Brion Economics Inc 2513-SMC NA Final Tables 61216 6122016

BRISBANE

Child Care as of 2025

No of

Providers

Under 2 Years

Old

2 to 4 Year

Olds

Total 0 to 4

Years

EXISTING DEMAND Child Care Demand

Estimated Total Children

Average LFPRAdjustment Factor

Children With Working Parents

Licensed Care Demand Factor

Resident Children Needing Licensed Care

of Total Resident Children Needing Licensed Care

Children from Non-Resident Employees Needing

Licensed Care

(1)

(2)

(3)

131 174

100

131 174

37

48 160

37 92

55 83

305

305

68

209

68

138

Total Demand for Child Care Spaces

Distribution

EXISTING SUPPLY (4)

103 243

30 70

Child Care Spaces

346

100

Family Child Care Home Supply

Child Care Center Supply

Current Child Care Supply

Distribution

EXISTING SURPLUS(SHORTAGE)

Distribution

Percentage of Demand Met

by Existing FacilitiesSpaces

Shortage of Family Child Care Home Spaces

Shortage of Center-Based Spaces

(5)

(6)

(6)

1

1

2

4 5

0 64

4 69

6 94

(99) (174)

36 64

4 29

(99) (13)

0 (160)

9

64

73

100

(273)

100

21

(112)

(160)

FINAL

Table B-4

Future Child Care Demand and Supply in 2025 in Brisbane

San Mateo County Child Care Study - 2016

Note All footnote references can be found in Table C-1 at the end of this file Sources 2010 US Census ABAG Projections 2013 2014 American Community Survey ACS Journey-to-Work data 2006-2008 and 2006-2010

Child Care Coordinating Council of San Mateo County (4Cs) Community Care Licensing Brion Economics Inc

Prepared by Brion Economics Inc 2513-SMC NA Final Tables 61216 6122016

BURLINGAME

Child Care as of 2025

No of

Providers

Under 2 Years

Old

2 to 4 Year

Olds

Total 0 to 4

Years

EXISTING DEMAND Child Care Demand

Estimated Total Children

Average LFPRAdjustment Factor

Children With Working Parents

Licensed Care Demand Factor

Resident Children Needing Licensed Care

of Total Resident Children Needing Licensed Care

Children from Non-Resident Employees Needing

Licensed Care

(1)

(2)

(3)

903 1332

65

587 1190

37

217 1124

24 84

154 232

2235

1777

75

1341

60

385

Total Demand for Child Care Spaces

Distribution

EXISTING SUPPLY (4)

371 1356

21 79

Child Care Spaces

1726

100

Family Child Care Home Supply

Child Care Center Supply

Current Child Care Supply

Distribution

EXISTING SURPLUS(SHORTAGE)

Distribution

Percentage of Demand Met

by Existing FacilitiesSpaces

Shortage of Family Child Care Home Spaces

Shortage of Center-Based Spaces

(5)

(6)

(6)

10

14

24

79 99

40 866

119 965

11 89

(252) (390)

39 61

32 71

(167) (40)

(85) (350)

179

906

1085

100

(642)

100

63

(207)

(434)

FINAL

Table B-5

Future Child Care Demand and Supply in 2025 in Burlingame

San Mateo County Child Care Study - 2016

Note All footnote references can be found in Table C-1 at the end of this file

Sources 2010 US Census ABAG Projections 2013 2014 American Community Survey ACS Journey-to-Work data 2006-2008 and 2006-2010

Child Care Coordinating Council of San Mateo County (4Cs) Community Care Licensing Brion Economics Inc

Prepared by Brion Economics Inc 2513-SMC NA Final Tables 61216 6122016

DALY CITYCOLMA

Child Care as of 2025

No of

Providers

Under 2 Years

Old

2 to 4 Year

Olds

Total 0 to 4

Years

EXISTING DEMAND Child Care Demand

Estimated Total Children

Average LFPRAdjustment Factor

Children With Working Parents

Licensed Care Demand Factor

Resident Children Needing Licensed Care

of Total Resident Children Needing Licensed Care

Children from Non-Resident Employees Needing

Licensed Care

(1)

(2)

(3)

2647 3793

74

1964 3467

37

727 3233

27 85

138 208

6440

5432

73

3960

61

346

Total Demand for Child Care Spaces

Distribution

EXISTING SUPPLY (4)

865 3441

20 80

Child Care Spaces

4306

100

Family Child Care Home Supply

Child Care Center Supply

Current Child Care Supply

Distribution

EXISTING SURPLUS(SHORTAGE)

Distribution

Percentage of Demand Met

by Existing FacilitiesSpaces

Shortage of Family Child Care Home Spaces

Shortage of Center-Based Spaces

(5)

(6)

(6)

25

28

28

288 362

84 1264

372 1626

19 81

(493) (1816)

21 79

43 47

(381) (404)

(111) (1412)

649

1348

1997

100

(2308)

100

46

(785)

(1523)

FINAL

Table B-6

Future C hild Care Demand and Supply in 2025 in Daly CityColma

San Mateo County Child Care Study - 2016

Note All footnote references can be found in Table C-1 at the end of this file

Sources 2010 US Census ABAG Projections 2013 2014 American Community Survey ACS Journey-to-Work data 2006-2008 and 2006-2010

Child Care Coordinating Council of San Mateo County (4Cs) Community Care Licensing Brion Economics Inc

Prepared by Brion Economics Inc 2513-SMC NA Final Tables 61216 6122016

EAST PALO ALTO

Child Care as of 2025

No of

Providers

Under 2 Years

Old

2 to 4 Year

Olds

Total 0 to 4

Years

EXISTING DEMAND Child Care Demand

Estimated Total Children

Average LFPRAdjustment Factor

Children With Working Parents

Licensed Care Demand Factor

Resident Children Needing Licensed Care

of Total Resident Children Needing Licensed Care

Children from Non-Resident Employees Needing

Licensed Care

(1)

(2)

(3)

1161 1849

71

822 1660

37

304 1545

26 84

20 30

3010

2482

75

1849

61

50

Total Demand for Child Care Spaces

Distribution

EXISTING SUPPLY (4)

324 1575

17 83

Child Care Spaces

1900

100

Family Child Care Home Supply

Child Care Center Supply

Current Child Care Supply

Distribution

EXISTING SURPLUS(SHORTAGE)

Distribution

Percentage of Demand Met

by Existing FacilitiesSpaces

Shortage of Family Child Care Home Spaces

Shortage of Center-Based Spaces

(5)

(6)

(6)

13

6

19

85 106

25 633

110 739

13 87

(215) (836)

20 80

34 47

(166) (120)

(49) (715)

191

658

849

100

(1050)

100

45

(286)

(764)

FINAL

Table B-7

Future Child Care Demand and Supply in 2025 in East Palo Alto

San Mateo County Child Care Study - 2016

Note All footnote references can be found in Table C-1 at the end of this file

Sources 2010 US Census ABAG Projections 2013 2014 American Community Survey ACS Journey-to-Work data 2006-2008 and 2006-2010

Child Care Coordinating Council of San Mateo County (4Cs) Community Care Licensing Brion Economics Inc

Prepared by Brion Economics Inc 2513-SMC NA Final Tables 61216 6122016

FOSTER CITY

Child Care as of 2025

No of

Providers

Under 2 Years

Old

2 to 4 Year

Olds

Total 0 to 4

Years

EXISTING DEMAND Child Care Demand

Estimated Total Children

Average LFPRAdjustment Factor

Children With Working Parents

Licensed Care Demand Factor

Resident Children Needing Licensed Care

of Total Resident Children Needing Licensed Care

Children from Non-Resident Employees Needing

Licensed Care

(1)

(2)

(3)

871 1330

63

550 1154

37

204 1079

23 81

80 120

2201

1705

75

1282

58

200

Total Demand for Child Care Spaces

Distribution

EXISTING SUPPLY (4)

283 1199

19 81

Child Care Spaces

1483

100

Family Child Care Home Supply

Child Care Center Supply

Current Child Care Supply

Distribution

EXISTING SURPLUS(SHORTAGE)

Distribution

Percentage of Demand Met

by Existing FacilitiesSpaces

Shortage of Family Child Care Home Spaces

Shortage of Center-Based Spaces

(5)

(6)

(6)

19

12

31

118 149

88 1200

206 1349

13 87

(77) 150

-106 206

73 112

(44) NA

(33) NA

267

1288

1555

100

73

100

105

(44)

(33)

FINAL

Table B-8

Future Child Care Demand and Supply in 2025 in Foster City

San Mateo County Child Care Study - 2016

Note All footnote references can be found in Table C-1 at the end of this file

Sources 2010 US Census ABAG Projections 2013 2014 American Community Survey ACS Journey-to-Work data 2006-2008 and 2006-2010

Child Care Coordinating Council of San Mateo County (4Cs) Community Care Licensing Brion Economics Inc

Prepared by Brion Economics Inc 2513-SMC NA Final Tables 61216 6122016

HALF MOON BAY REGION

Child Care as of 2025

No of

Providers

Under 2 Years

Old

2 to 4 Year

Olds

Total 0 to 4

Years

EXISTING DEMAND Child Care Demand

Estimated Total Children

Average LFPRAdjustment Factor

Children With Working Parents

Licensed Care Demand Factor

Resident Children Needing Licensed Care

of Total Resident Children Needing Licensed Care

Children from Non-Resident Employees Needing

Licensed Care

(1)

(2)

(3)

553 929

69

383 835

37

142 781

26 84

14 21

1482

1217

76

923

62

34

Total Demand for Child Care Spaces

Distribution

EXISTING SUPPLY (4)

155 802

16 84

Child Care Spaces

957

100

Family Child Care Home Supply

Child Care Center Supply

Current Child Care Supply

Distribution

EXISTING SURPLUS(SHORTAGE)

Distribution

Percentage of Demand Met

by Existing FacilitiesSpaces

Shortage of Family Child Care Home Spaces

Shortage of Center-Based Spaces

(5)

(6)

(6)

10

11

21

96 121

35 285

131 406

24 76

(24) (396)

6 94

84 51

(18) (118)

(6) (279)

216

320

536

100

(421)

100

56

(136)

(285)

FINAL

Table B-9

Future Child Care Demand and Supply in 2025 in Half Moon Bay Region

San Mateo County Child Care Study - 2016

Note All footnote references can be found in Table C-1 at the end of this file

Sources 2010 US Census ABAG Projections 2013 2014 American Community Survey ACS Journey-to-Work data 2006-2008 and 2006-2010

Child Care Coordinating Council of San Mateo County (4Cs) Community Care Licensing Brion Economics Inc

Prepared by Brion Economics Inc 2513-SMC NA Final Tables 61216 6122016

HILLSBOROUGH

Child Care as of 2025

No of

Providers

Under 2 Years

Old

2 to 4 Year

Olds

Total 0 to 4

Years

EXISTING DEMAND Child Care Demand

Estimated Total Children

Average LFPRAdjustment Factor

Children With Working Parents

Licensed Care Demand Factor

Resident Children Needing Licensed Care

of Total Resident Children Needing Licensed Care

Children from Non-Resident Employees Needing

Licensed Care

(1)

(2)

(3)

143 343

52

74 295

37

27 282

19 82

7 11

487

369

84

309

64

17

Total Demand for Child Care Spaces

Distribution

EXISTING SUPPLY (4)

34 292

10 90

Child Care Spaces

327

100

Family Child Care Home Supply

Child Care Center Supply

Current Child Care Supply

Distribution

EXISTING SURPLUS(SHORTAGE)

Distribution

Percentage of Demand Met

by Existing FacilitiesSpaces

Shortage of Family Child Care Home Spaces

Shortage of Center-Based Spaces

(5)

(6)

(6)

1

4

5

5 6

- 91

5 97

5 95

(29) (195)

13 87

14 33

(29) (12)

0 (183)

11

91

102

100

(225)

100

31

(42)

(183)

FINAL

Table B-10

Future Child Care Demand and Supply in 2025 in Hillsborough

San Mateo County Child Care Study - 2016

Note All footnote references can be found in Table C-1 at the end of this file

Sources 2010 US Census ABAG Projections 2013 2014 American Community Survey ACS Journey-to-Work data 2006-2008 and 2006-2010

Child Care Coordinating Council of San Mateo County (4Cs) Community Care Licensing Brion Economics Inc

Prepared by Brion Economics Inc 2513-SMC NA Final Tables 61216 6122016

MENLO PARK

Child Care as of 2025

No of

Providers

Under 2 Years

Old

2 to 4 Year

Olds

Total 0 to 4

Years

EXISTING DEMAND Child Care Demand

Estimated Total Children

Average LFPRAdjustment Factor

Children With Working Parents

Licensed Care Demand Factor

Resident Children Needing Licensed Care

of Total Resident Children Needing Licensed Care

Children from Non-Resident Employees Needing

Licensed Care

(1)

(2)

(3)

1327 1954

69

909 1759

37

336 1653

25 85

237 357

3281

2668

75

1989

61

594

Total Demand for Child Care Spaces

Distribution

EXISTING SUPPLY (4)

573 2011

22 78

Child Care Spaces

2584

100

Family Child Care Home Supply

Child Care Center Supply

Current Child Care Supply

Distribution

EXISTING SURPLUS(SHORTAGE)

Distribution

Percentage of Demand Met

by Existing FacilitiesSpaces

Shortage of Family Child Care Home Spaces

Shortage of Center-Based Spaces

(5)

(6)

(6)

15

25

40

76 96

73 1331

149 1427

9 91

(424) (584)

42 58

26 71

(217) (39)

(207) (544)

172

1404

1576

100

(1008)

100

61

(256)

(752)

FINAL

Table B-11

Future Child Care Demand and Supply in 2025 in Menlo Park

San Mateo County Child Care Study - 2016

Note All footnote references can be found in Table C-1 at the end of this file

Sources 2010 US Census ABAG Projections 2013 2014 American Community Survey ACS Journey-to-Work data 2006-2008 and 2006-2010

Child Care Coordinating Council of San Mateo County (4Cs) Community Care Licensing Brion Economics Inc

Prepared by Brion Economics Inc 2513-SMC NA Final Tables 61216 6122016

MILLBRAE

Child Care as of 2025

No of

Providers

Under 2 Years

Old

2 to 4 Year

Olds

Total 0 to 4

Years

EXISTING DEMAND Child Care Demand

Estimated Total Children

Average LFPRAdjustment Factor

Children With Working Parents

Licensed Care Demand Factor

Resident Children Needing Licensed Care

of Total Resident Children Needing Licensed Care

Children from Non-Resident Employees Needing

Licensed Care

(1)

(2)

(3)

473 805

62

291 710

37

108 672

23 83

31 47

1278

1001

78

780

61

77

Total Demand for Child Care Spaces

Distribution

EXISTING SUPPLY (4)

139 718

16 84

Child Care Spaces

857

100

Family Child Care Home Supply

Child Care Center Supply

Current Child Care Supply

Distribution

EXISTING SURPLUS(SHORTAGE)

Distribution

Percentage of Demand Met

by Existing FacilitiesSpaces

Shortage of Family Child Care Home Spaces

Shortage of Center-Based Spaces

(5)

(6)

(6)

7

7

14

62 78

- 376

62 454

12 88

(76) (264)

22 78

45 63

(76) (46)

0 (219)

141

376

517

100

(340)

100

60

(122)

(219)

FINAL

Table B-12

Future C hild Care Demand and Supply in 2025 in Millbrae

San Mateo County Child Care Study - 2016

Note All footnote references can be found in Table C-1 at the end of this file

Sources 2010 US Census ABAG Projections 2013 2014 American Community Survey ACS Journey-to-Work data 2006-2008 and 2006-2010

Child Care Coordinating Council of San Mateo County (4Cs) Community Care Licensing Brion Economics Inc

Prepared by Brion Economics Inc 2513-SMC NA Final Tables 61216 6122016

FINAL

Table B-13

Future Child Care Demand and Supply in 2025 in Pacifica

San Mateo County Child Care Study - 2016

PACIFICA

Child Care as of 2025

No of

Providers

Under 2 Years

Old

2 to 4 Year

Olds

Total 0 to 4

Years

EXISTING DEMAND Child Care Demand

Estimated Total Children

Average L FPRAdjustment Factor

Children With Working Parents

Licensed Care Demand Factor

Resident Children Needing Licensed Care

of Total Resident Children Needing Licensed Care

Children from Non-Resident Employees Needing

Licensed Care

(1)

(2)

(3)

816 1300

78

633 1209

37

234 1130

29 87

19 29

2116

1842

74

1364

64

48

Total Demand for Child Care Spaces

Distribution

EXISTING SUPPLY (4)

254 1159

18 82

Child Care Spaces

1413

100

Family Child Care Home Supply

Child Care Center Supply

Current Child Care Supply

Distribution

EXISTING SURPLUS(SHORTAGE)

Distribution

Percentage of Demand Met

by Existing FacilitiesSpaces

Shortage of Family Child Care Home Spaces

Shortage of Center-Based Spaces

(5)

(6)

(6)

9

18

27

77 97

39 701

116 798

13 87

(138) (361)

28 72

46 69

(91) (44)

(46) (317)

174

740

914

100

(499)

100

65

(135)

(364)

Note All footnote references can be found in Table C-1 at the end of this file

Sources 2010 US Census ABAG Projections 2013 2014 American Community Survey ACS Journey-to-Work data 2006-2008 and 2006-2010

Child Care Coordinating Council of San Mateo County (4Cs) Community Care Licensing Brion Economics Inc

Prepared by Brion Economics Inc 2513-SMC NA Final Tables 61216 6122016

PORTOLA VALLEY

Child Care as of 2025

No of

Providers

Under 2 Years

Old

2 to 4 Year

Olds

Total 0 to 4

Years

EXISTING DEMAND Child Care Demand

Estimated Total Children

Average LFPRAdjustment Factor

Children With Working Parents

Licensed Care Demand Factor

Resident Children Needing Licensed Care

of Total Resident Children Needing Licensed Care

Children from Non-Resident Employees Needing

Licensed Care

(1)

(2)

(3)

77 192

66

51 173

37

19 164

24 85

9 13

269

224

82

182

68

22

Total Demand for Child Care Spaces

Distribution

EXISTING SUPPLY (4)

28 177

13 87

Child Care Spaces

204

100

Family Child Care Home Supply

Child Care Center Supply

Current Child Care Supply

Distribution

EXISTING SURPLUS(SHORTAGE)

Distribution

Percentage of Demand Met

by Existing FacilitiesSpaces

Shortage of Family Child Care Home Spaces

Shortage of Center-Based Spaces

(5)

(6)

(6)

0

4

4

- -

- 153

- 153

0 100

(28) (24)

54 46

0 87

0 0

(28) (24)

0

153

153

100

(51)

100

75

0

(51)

FINAL

Table B-14

Future Child Care Demand and Supply in 2025 in Portola Valley

San Mateo County Child Care Study - 2016

Note All footnote references can be found in Table C-1 at the end of this file

Sources 2010 US Census ABAG Projections 2013 2014 American Community Survey ACS Journey-to-Work data 2006-2008 and 2006-2010

Child Care Coordinating Council of San Mateo County (4Cs) Community Care Licensing Brion Economics Inc

Prepared by Brion Economics Inc 2513-SMC NA Final Tables 61216 6122016

REDWOOD CITY

No of

Providers

Child Care as of 2025

Under 2 Years

Old

2 to 4 Year

Olds

Total 0 to 4

Years

EXISTING DEMAND Child Care Demand

Estimated Total Children

Average LFPRAdjustment Factor

Children With Working Parents

Licensed Care Demand Factor

Resident Children Needing Licensed Care

of Total Resident Children Needing Licensed Care

Children from Non-Resident Employees Needing

Licensed Care

Total Demand for Child Care Spaces

Distribution

EXISTING SUPPLY

(1)

(2)

(3)

(4)

3725 5378

69

2555 4813

37

946 4505

25 84

466 703

1411 5208

21 79

Child Care Spaces

9103

7368

74

5450

60

1169

6619

100

Family Child Care Home Supply

Child Care Center Supply

Current Child Care Supply

Distribution

EXISTING SURPLUS(SHORTAGE)

Distribution

Percentage of Demand Met

by Existing FacilitiesSpaces

Shortage of Family Child Care Home Spaces

Shortage of Center-Based Spaces

(5)

(6)

(6)

42

41

83

396 497

356 2036

752 2533

23 77

(660) (2674)

20 80

53 49

(347) (525)

(313) (2149)

893

2392

3285

100

(3334)

100

50

(872)

(2462)

FINAL

Table B-15

Future Child Care Demand and Supply in 2025 in Redwood City

San Mateo County Child Care Study - 2016

Note All footnote references can be found in Table C-1 at the end of this file

Sources 2010 US Census ABAG Projections 2013 2014 American Community Survey ACS Journey-to-Work data 2006-2008 and 2006-2010

Child Care Coordinating Council of San Mateo County (4Cs) Community Care Licensing Brion Economics Inc

Prepared by Brion Economics Inc 2513-SMC NA Final Tables 61216 6122016

SAN BRUNO

Child Care as of 2025

No of

Providers

Under 2 Years

Old

2 to 4 Year

Olds

Total 0 to 4

Years

EXISTING DEMAND Child Care Demand

Estimated Total Children

Average LFPRAdjustment Factor

Children With Working Parents

Licensed Care Demand Factor

Resident Children Needing Licensed Care

of Total Resident Children Needing Licensed Care

Children from Non-Resident Employees Needing

Licensed Care

(1)

(2)

(3)

1189 1728

77

910 1589

37

337 1475

28 85

68 103

2917

2498

73

1812

62

171

Total Demand for Child Care Spaces

Distribution

EXISTING SUPPLY (4)

405 1578

20 80

Child Care Spaces

1983

100

Family Child Care Home Supply

Child Care Center Supply

Current Child Care Supply

Distribution

EXISTING SURPLUS(SHORTAGE)

Distribution

Percentage of Demand Met

by Existing FacilitiesSpaces

Shortage of Family Child Care Home Spaces

Shortage of Center-Based Spaces

(5)

(6)

(6)

13

15

28

122 153

26 1183

148 1336

10 90

(257) (242)

52 48

37 85

(212) (28)

(45) (214)

275

1209

1484

100

(499)

100

75

(239)

(259)

FINAL

Table B-16

Future C hild Care Demand and Supply in 2025 in San Bruno

San Mateo County Child Care Study - 2016

Note All footnote references can be found in Table C-1 at the end of this file

Sources 2010 US Census ABAG Projections 2013 2014 American Community Survey ACS Journey-to-Work data 2006-2008 and 2006-2010

Child Care Coordinating Council of San Mateo County (4Cs) Community Care Licensing Brion Economics Inc

Prepared by Brion Economics Inc 2513-SMC NA Final Tables 61216 6122016

SAN CARLOS

Child Care as of 2025

No of

Providers

Under 2 Years

Old

2 to 4 Year

Olds

Total 0 to 4

Years

EXISTING DEMAND Child Care Demand

Estimated Total Children

Average LFPRAdjustment Factor

Children With Working Parents

Licensed Care Demand Factor

Resident Children Needing Licensed Care

of Total Resident Children Needing Licensed Care

Children from Non-Resident Employees Needing

Licensed Care

(1)

(2)

(3)

778 1384

72

557 1255

37

206 1174

26 85

82 123

2162

1812

76

1380

64

205

Total Demand for Child Care Spaces

Distribution

EXISTING SUPPLY (4)

288 1297

18 82

Child Care Spaces

1585

100

Family Child Care Home Supply

Child Care Center Supply

Current Child Care Supply

Distribution

EXISTING SURPLUS(SHORTAGE)

Distribution

Percentage of Demand Met

by Existing FacilitiesSpaces

Shortage of Family Child Care Home Spaces

Shortage of Center-Based Spaces

(5)

(6)

(6)

28

14

42

73 92

76 615

149 707

17 83

(139) (590)

19 81

52 54

(68) (76)

(71) (514)

164

691

855

100

(729)

100

54

(145)

(585)

FINAL

Table B-17

Future Child Care Demand and Supply in 2025 in San Carlos

San Mateo County Child Care Study - 2016

Note All footnote references can be found in Table C-1 at the end of this file

Sources 2010 US Census ABAG Projections 2013 2014 American Community Survey ACS Journey-to-Work data 2006-2008 and 2006-2010

Child Care Coordinating Council of San Mateo County (4Cs) Community Care Licensing Brion Economics Inc

Prepared by Brion Economics Inc 2513-SMC NA Final Tables 61216 6122016

SAN MATEO

Child Care as of 2025

No of

Providers

Under 2 Years

Old

2 to 4 Year

Olds

Total 0 to 4

Years

EXISTING DEMAND Child Care Demand

Estimated Total Children

Average LFPRAdjustment Factor

Children With Working Parents

Licensed Care Demand Factor

Resident Children Needing Licensed Care

of Total Resident Children Needing Licensed Care

Children from Non-Resident Employees Needing

Licensed Care

(1)

(2)

(3)

3194 4572

71

2264 4116

37

838 3839

26 84

261 394

7766

6381

73

4677

60

656

Total Demand for Child Care Spaces

Distribution

EXISTING SUPPLY (4)

1099 4233

21 79

Child Care Spaces

5332

100

Family Child Care Home Supply

Child Care Center Supply

Current Child Care Supply

Distribution

EXISTING SURPLUS(SHORTAGE)

Distribution

Percentage of Demand Met

by Existing FacilitiesSpaces

Shortage of Family Child Care Home Spaces

Shortage of Center-Based Spaces

(5)

(6)

(6)

69

59

128

492 619

209 2577

701 3196

18 82

(398) (1037)

28 72

64 75

(279) (201)

(119) (837)

1111

2786

3897

100

(1435)

100

73

(480)

(955)

FINAL

Table B-18

Future Child Care Demand and Supply in 2025 in San Mateo

San Mateo County Child Care Study - 2016

Note All footnote references can be found in Table C-1 at the end of this file

Sources 2010 US Census ABAG Projections 2013 2014 American Community Survey ACS Journey-to-Work data 2006-2008 and 2006-2010

Child Care Coordinating Council of San Mateo County (4Cs) Community Care Licensing Brion Economics Inc

Prepared by Brion Economics Inc 2513-SMC NA Final Tables 61216 6122016

FINAL

Table B-19

Future Child Care Demand and Supply in 2025 in South Coast

San Mateo County Child Care Study - 2016

SOUTH COAST

Child Care as of 2025

No of

Providers

Under 2 Years

Old

2 to 4 Year

Olds

Total 0 to 4

Years

EXISTING DEMAND Child Care Demand

Estimated Total Children (1) 23 32 55

Average LFPRAdjustment Factor (2) 54

Children With Working Parents 12 27 40

Licensed Care Demand Factor (3) 37 77

Resident Children Needing Licensed Care 5 26 30

of Total Resident Children Needing Licensed Care 20 81 56

Children from Non-Resident Employees Needing

Licensed Care 0 0 0

Total Demand for Child Care Spaces 5 26 30

Distribution 15 85 100

EXISTING SUPPLY (4) Child Care Spaces

Family Child Care Home Supply - 0 0 0

Child Care Center Supply 2 0 54 54

Current Child Care Supply 2 - 54 54

Distribution 0 100 100

EXISTING SURPLUS(SHORTAGE) (5) 28 24

Distribution -19 119 100

Percentage of Demand Met

by Existing FacilitiesSpaces (5) 0 209 177

Shortage of Family Child Care Home Spaces (6) 0 NA 0

Shortage of Center-Based Spaces (6) (5) NA (5)

Note All footnote references can be found in Table C-1 at the end of this file

Sources 2010 US Census ABAG Projections 2013 2014 American Community Survey ACS Journey-to-Work data 2006-2008 and 2006-2010

Child Care Coordinating Council of San Mateo County (4Cs) Community Care Licensing Brion Economics Inc

Prepared by Brion Economics Inc 2513-SMC NA Final Tables 61216 6122016

SOUTH SAN FRANCISCO

Child Care as of 2025

No of

Providers

Under 2 Years

Old

2 to 4 Year

Olds

Total 0 to 4

Years

EXISTING DEMAND Child Care Demand

Estimated Total Children

Average LFPRAdjustment Factor

Children With Working Parents

Licensed Care Demand Factor

Resident Children Needing Licensed Care

of Total Resident Children Needing Licensed Care

Children from Non-Resident Employees Needing

Licensed Care

(1)

(2)

(3)

1835 2790

73

1342 2535

37

496 2362

27 85

339 512

4625

3877

74

2859

62

851

Total Demand for Child Care Spaces

Distribution

EXISTING SUPPLY (4)

835 2874

23 77

Child Care Spaces

3709

100

Family Child Care Home Supply

Child Care Center Supply

Current Child Care Supply

Distribution

EXISTING SURPLUS(SHORTAGE)

Distribution

Percentage of Demand Met

by Existing FacilitiesSpaces

Shortage of Family Child Care Home Spaces

Shortage of Center-Based Spaces

(5)

(6)

(6)

30

27

57

252 317

400 1966

652 2283

22 78

(183) (591)

24 76

78 79

(71) (82)

(113) (509)

569

2366

2935

100

(775)

100

79

(153)

(622)

FINAL

Table B-20

Future Child Care Demand and Supply in 2025 in South San Francisco

San Mateo County Child Care Study - 2016

Note All footnote references can be found in Table C-1 at the end of this file

Sources 2010 US Census ABAG Projections 2013 2014 American Community Survey ACS Journey-to-Work data 2006-2008 and 2006-2010

Child Care Coordinating Council of San Mateo County (4Cs) Community Care Licensing Brion Economics Inc

Prepared by Brion Economics Inc 2513-SMC NA Final Tables 61216 6122016

WOODSIDE

No of

Providers

Child Care as of 2025

Under 2 Years

Old

2 to 4 Year

Olds

Total 0 to 4

Years

EXISTING DEMAND Child Care Demand

Estimated Total Children

Average LFPRAdjustment Factor

Children With Working Parents

Licensed Care Demand Factor

Resident Children Needing Licensed Care

of Total Resident Children Needing Licensed Care

Children from Non-Resident Employees Needing

Licensed Care

(1)

(2)

(3)

93 165

56

51 140

37

19 132

21 80

9 13

258

192

79

152

59

22

Total Demand for Child Care Spaces

Distribution

EXISTING SUPPLY (4)

28 146

16 84

Child Care Spaces

174

100

Family Child Care Home Supply

Child Care Center Supply

Current Child Care Supply

Distribution

EXISTING SURPLUS(SHORTAGE)

Distribution

Percentage of Demand Met

by Existing FacilitiesSpaces

Shortage of Family Child Care Home Spaces

Shortage of Center-Based Spaces

(5)

(6)

(6)

1

2

3

4 5

- 103

4 108

4 96

(24) (38)

39 61

15 74

(24) (2)

0 (36)

9

103

112

100

(61)

100

65

(26)

(36)

FINAL

Table B-21

Future Child Care Demand and Supply in 2025 in Woodside

San Mateo County Child Care Study - 2016

Note All footnote references can be found in Table C-1 at the end of this file

Sources 2010 US Census ABAG Projections 2013 2014 American Community Survey ACS Journey-to-Work data 2006-2008 and 2006-2010

Child Care Coordinating Council of San Mateo County (4Cs) Community Care Licensing Brion Economics Inc

Prepared by Brion Economics Inc 2513-SMC NA Final Tables 61216 6122016

FINAL

Table C-1

Endnotes for Tables

San Mateo County Child Care Study - 2016

(1) Population by age is based on the percentage breakdown from the 2010 US Census and applied

to population estimates for 2015 using ABAGs Projections 2013 population data The ABAG data

for each area includes its Sphere of Influence and is not based on strict jurisdictional boundaries

(2) Labor force participation rates are from the 5-Year American Community Survey 2014 and include

children under six years old with two working parents or a single working parent For the 2- to 4-year

olds the labor force participation rate is applied to 2 year olds For 3- and 4-year olds it is assumed

that 100 need licensed care to support preschool for every child so the number of

3- and 4-year olds is not discounted by labor force participation rates

(3) Not all children with working parents are assumed to need licensed care percentage assumptions are

used to calculate the number of children requiring licensed care under each age category The

remaining children are assumed to be cared for in alternate arrangements such as by family members

nannies friends and other unlicensed care For children ages 3- and 4-years old it is assumed that

they all need care in the form of preschool

(4) Data on child care supply provided by the Child Care Coordinating Council of San Mateo County (4Cs)

and Community Care Licensing Division of the California Department of Social Services (CCLD) Data is

for June 2015

(5) Demand that calculates as less than 100 means that there is greater demand than supply percent of

demand that is over 100 means supply exceeds demand

(6) Unmet demand is broken down into shortage by type of care based on the proportion of FCCHs and

child care centers spaces available in each area If an area does not have any FCCHs or centers the

unmet demand is placed in the type of care that is available in the area (eg if there are only centers

all demand goes to centers)

Source Brion Economics Inc

Prepared by Brion Economics Inc 2513-SMC NA Final Tables 61216 6122016

DRAFT REPORT

Table C-2

Labor Force Participation Rates by CityArea

San Mateo County Child Care Study - 2016

CityArea

Labor Force

Participation Rate (1)

Atherton

Belmont

Brisbane

Burlingame

Daly CityColma

East Palo Alto

Foster City

Half Moon Bay Region

Hillsborough

Menlo Park

Millbrae

Pacifica

Portola Valley

Redwood City

San Bruno

San Carlos

San Mateo

South Coast

South San Francisco

Woodside

40

77

100

65

74

71

63

69

52

69

62

78

66

69

77

72

71

54

73

56

(1) Labor force participation rates (LFPRs) are for

families with children under age six with two

working parents or a single parent who works Sources American Community Survey 2014 5-Year

Survey Brion Economics Inc

Prepared by Brion Economics Inc 2513-SMC NA Final Tables 61216 6122016

  • 2513-SMC FINAL NA Memo-61216
  • 2513-SMC NA Final Tables 61216
Page 36: Final San Mateo County Child Care Needs … Care...Future C hild Care Demand and Supply in 2025 in Daly City/Colma San Mateo County Child Care Study - 2016 Note: All footnote references

PORTOLA VALLEY

No of

Providers

Child Care as of 2015

Under 2 Years

Old

2 to 4 Year

Olds

Total 0 to 4

Years

EXISTING DEMAND Child Care Demand

Estimated Total Children

Average LFPRAdjustment Factor

Children With Working Parents

Licensed Care Demand Factor

Resident Children Needing Licensed Care

of Total Resident Children Needing Licensed Care

Children from Non-Resident Employees Needing

Licensed Care

(1)

(2)

(3)

75 187

66

49 168

37

18 159

24 85

8 12

261

217

82

177

68

21

Total Demand for Child Care Spaces

Distribution

EXISTING SUPPLY (4)

26 171

13 87

Child Care Spaces

198

100

Family Child Care Home Supply

Child Care Center Supply

Current Child Care Supply

Distribution

EXISTING SURPLUS(SHORTAGE)

Distribution

Percentage of Demand Met

by Existing FacilitiesSpaces

Shortage of Family Child Care Home Spaces

Shortage of Center-Based Spaces

(5)

(6)

(6)

0

4

4

0 0

0 153

0 153

0 100

(26) (18)

59 41

0 89

0 0

(26) (18)

0

153

153

100

(45)

100

77

0

(45)

FINAL

Table A-14

Existing Child Care Demand and Supply in 2015 in Portola Valley

San Mateo County Child Care Study - 2016

Note All footnote references can be found in Table C-1 at the end of this file Sources 2010 US Census ABAG Projections 2013 2014 American Community Survey ACS Journey-to-Work data 2006-2008 and 2006-2010

Child Care Coordinating Council of San Mateo County (4Cs) Community Care Licensing Brion Economics Inc

Prepared by Brion Economics Inc 2513-SMC NA Final Tables 61216 6122016

REDWOOD CITY

Child Care as of 2015

No of

Providers

Under 2 Years

Old

2 to 4 Year

Olds

Total 0 to 4

Years

EXISTING DEMAND Child Care Demand

Estimated Total Children

Average LFPRAdjustment Factor

Children With Working Parents

Licensed Care Demand Factor

Resident Children Needing Licensed Care

of Total Resident Children Needing Licensed Care

Children from Non-Resident Employees Needing

Licensed Care

Total Demand for Child Care Spaces

Distribution

EXISTING SUPPLY

(1)

(2)

(3)

(4)

3260 4706

69

2236 4212

37

827 3942

25 84

414 625

1241 4567

21 79

Child Care Spaces

7966

6449

74

4770

60

1038

5808

100

Family Child Care Home Supply

Child Care Center Supply

Current Child Care Supply

Distribution

EXISTING SURPLUS(SHORTAGE)

Distribution

Percentage of Demand Met

by Existing FacilitiesSpaces

Shortage of Family Child Care Home Spaces

Shortage of Center-Based Spaces

(5)

(6)

(6)

111

45

156

396 497

356 2036

752 2533

23 77

(490) (2034)

19 81

61 55

(258) (399)

(232) (1635)

893

2392

3285

100

(2524)

100

57

(657)

(1867)

FINAL

Table A-15

Existing Child Care Demand and Supply in 2015 in Redwood City

San Mateo County Child Care Study - 2016

Note All footnote references can be found in Table C-1 at the end of this file Sources 2010 US Census ABAG Projections 2013 2014 American Community Survey ACS Journey-to-Work data 2006-2008 and 2006-2010

Child Care Coordinating Council of San Mateo County (4Cs) Community Care Licensing Brion Economics Inc

Prepared by Brion Economics Inc 2513-SMC NA Final Tables 61216 6122016

SAN BRUNO

Child Care as of 2015

No of

Providers

Under 2 Years

Old

2 to 4 Year

Olds

Total 0 to 4

Years

EXISTING DEMAND Child Care Demand

Estimated Total Children

Average LFPRAdjustment Factor

Children With Working Parents

Licensed Care Demand Factor

Resident Children Needing Licensed Care

of Total Resident Children Needing Licensed Care

Children from Non-Resident Employees Needing

Licensed Care

(1)

(2)

(3)

1069 1553

77

817 1428

37

302 1326

28 85

61 92

2622

2245

73

1628

62

153

Total Demand for Child Care Spaces

Distribution

EXISTING SUPPLY (4)

364 1418

20 80

Child Care Spaces

1782

100

Family Child Care Home Supply

Child Care Center Supply

Current Child Care Supply

Distribution

EXISTING SURPLUS(SHORTAGE)

Distribution

Percentage of Demand Met

by Existing FacilitiesSpaces

Shortage of Family Child Care Home Spaces

Shortage of Center-Based Spaces

(5)

(6)

(6)

34

15

49

122 153

26 1183

148 1336

10 90

(216) (82)

72 28

41 94

(178) (9)

(38) (73)

275

1209

1484

100

(298)

100

83

(187)

(110)

FINAL

Table A-16

Existing Child Care Demand and Supply in 2015 in San Bruno

San Mateo County Child Care Study - 2016

Note All footnote references can be found in Table C-1 at the end of this file Sources 2010 US Census ABAG Projections 2013 2014 American Community Survey ACS Journey-to-Work data 2006-2008 and 2006-2010

Child Care Coordinating Council of San Mateo County (4Cs) Community Care Licensing Brion Economics Inc

Prepared by Brion Economics Inc 2513-SMC NA Final Tables 61216 6122016

SAN CARLOS

Child Care as of 2015

No of

Providers

Under 2 Years

Old

2 to 4 Year

Olds

Total 0 to 4

Years

EXISTING DEMAND Child Care Demand

Estimated Total Children

Average LFPRAdjustment Factor

Children With Working Parents

Licensed Care Demand Factor

Resident Children Needing Licensed Care

of Total Resident Children Needing Licensed Care

Children from Non-Resident Employees Needing

Licensed Care

(1)

(2)

(3)

735 1308

72

526 1186

37

195 1109

26 85

75 114

2043

1712

76

1304

64

189

Total Demand for Child Care Spaces

Distribution

EXISTING SUPPLY (4)

270 1222

18 82

Child Care Spaces

1492

100

Family Child Care Home Supply

Child Care Center Supply

Current Child Care Supply

Distribution

EXISTING SURPLUS(SHORTAGE)

Distribution

Percentage of Demand Met

by Existing FacilitiesSpaces

Shortage of Family Child Care Home Spaces

Shortage of Center-Based Spaces

(5)

(6)

(6)

20

14

34

73 92

76 615

149 707

17 83

(121) (516)

19 81

55 58

(59) (67)

(62) (449)

164

691

855

100

(637)

100

57

(126)

(511)

FINAL

Table A-17

Existing Child Care Demand and Supply in 2015 in San Carlos

San Mateo County Child Care Study - 2016

Note All footnote references can be found in Table C-1 at the end of this file

Sources 2010 US Census ABAG Projections 2013 2014 American Community Survey ACS Journey-to-Work data 2006-2008 and 2006-2010

Child Care Coordinating Council of San Mateo County (4Cs) Community Care Licensing Brion Economics Inc

Prepared by Brion Economics Inc 2513-SMC NA Final Tables 61216 6122016

SAN MATEO

Child Care as of 2015

No of

Providers

Under 2 Years

Old

2 to 4 Year

Olds

Total 0 to 4

Years

EXISTING DEMAND Child Care Demand

Estimated Total Children

Average LFPRAdjustment Factor

Children With Working Parents

Licensed Care Demand Factor

Resident Children Needing Licensed Care

of Total Resident Children Needing Licensed Care

Children from Non-Resident Employees Needing

Licensed Care

(1)

(2)

(3)

2943 4213

71

2087 3793

37

772 3537

26 84

231 348

7156

5880

73

4309

60

579

Total Demand for Child Care Spaces

Distribution

EXISTING SUPPLY (4)

1003 3886

21 79

Child Care Spaces

4889

100

Family Child Care Home Supply

Child Care Center Supply

Current Child Care Supply

Distribution

EXISTING SURPLUS(SHORTAGE)

Distribution

Percentage of Demand Met

by Existing FacilitiesSpaces

Shortage of Family Child Care Home Spaces

Shortage of Center-Based Spaces

(5)

(6)

(6)

126

59

185

492 619

209 2577

701 3196

18 82

(302) (690)

30 70

70 82

(212) (134)

(90) (557)

1111

2786

3897

100

(992)

100

80

(345)

(647)

FINAL

Table A-18

Existing Child Care Demand and Supply in 2015 in San Mateo

San Mateo County Child Care Study - 2016

Note All footnote references can be found in Table C-1 at the end of this file

Sources 2010 US Census ABAG Projections 2013 2014 American Community Survey ACS Journey-to-Work data 2006-2008 and 2006-2010

Child Care Coordinating Council of San Mateo County (4Cs) Community Care Licensing Brion Economics Inc

Prepared by Brion Economics Inc 2513-SMC NA Final Tables 61216 6122016

SOUTH COAST

Child Care as of 2015

No of

Providers

Under 2 Years

Old

2 to 4 Year

Olds

Total 0 to 4

Years

EXISTING DEMAND Child Care Demand

Estimated Total Children

Average LFPRAdjustment Factor

Children With Working Parents

Licensed Care Demand Factor

Resident Children Needing Licensed Care

of Total Resident Children Needing Licensed Care

Children from Non-Resident Employees Needing

Licensed Care

(1)

(2)

(3)

21 29

54

11 25

37

4 23

20 81

0 0

50

36

77

28

56

0

Total Demand for Child Care Spaces

Distribution

EXISTING SUPPLY (4)

4 23

15 85

Child Care Spaces

28

100

Family Child Care Home Supply

Child Care Center Supply

Current Child Care Supply

Distribution

EXISTING SURPLUS(SHORTAGE)

Distribution

Percentage of Demand Met

by Existing FacilitiesSpaces

Shortage of Family Child Care Home Spaces

Shortage of Center-Based Spaces

(5)

(6)

(6)

-

2

2

- -

- 54

- 54

0 100

(4) 31

-16 116

0 230

(2) NA

(2) NA

0

54

54

100

26

100

195

(2)

(2)

FINAL

Table A-19

Existing Child Care Demand and Supply in 2015 in South Coast

San Mateo County Child Care Study - 2016

Note All footnote references can be found in Table C-1 at the end of this file

Sources 2010 US Census ABAG Projections 2013 2014 American Community Survey ACS Journey-to-Work data 2006-2008 and 2006-2010

Child Care Coordinating Council of San Mateo County (4Cs) Community Care Licensing Brion Economics Inc

Prepared by Brion Economics Inc 2513-SMC NA Final Tables 61216 6122016

SOUTH SAN FRANCISCO

Child Care as of 2015

No of

Providers

Under 2 Years

Old

2 to 4 Year

Olds

Total 0 to 4

Years

EXISTING DEMAND Child Care Demand

Estimated Total Children

Average LFPRAdjustment Factor

Children With Working Parents

Licensed Care Demand Factor

Resident Children Needing Licensed Care

of Total Resident Children Needing Licensed Care

Children from Non-Resident Employees Needing

Licensed Care

(1)

(2)

(3)

1649 2507

73

1206 2278

37

446 2123

27 85

309 466

4156

3484

74

2569

62

774

Total Demand for Child Care Spaces

Distribution

EXISTING SUPPLY (4)

755 2588

23 77

Child Care Spaces

3343

100

Family Child Care Home Supply

Child Care Center Supply

Current Child Care Supply

Distribution

EXISTING SURPLUS(SHORTAGE)

Distribution

Percentage of Demand Met

by Existing FacilitiesSpaces

Shortage of Family Child Care Home Spaces

Shortage of Center-Based Spaces

(5)

(6)

(6)

68

27

95

252 317

400 1966

652 2283

22 78

(103) (306)

25 75

86 88

(40) (42)

(63) (263)

569

2366

2935

100

(408)

100

88

(82)

(326)

FINAL

Table A-20

Existing Child Care Demand and Supply in 2015 in South San Francisco

San Mateo County Child Care Study - 2016

Note All footnote references can be found in Table C-1 at the end of this file Sources 2010 US Census ABAG Projections 2013 2014 American Community Survey ACS Journey-to-Work data 2006-2008 and 2006-2010

Child Care Coordinating Council of San Mateo County (4Cs) Community Care Licensing Brion Economics Inc

Prepared by Brion Economics Inc 2513-SMC NA Final Tables 61216 6122016

WOODSIDE

No of

Providers

Child Care as of 2015

Under 2 Years

Old

2 to 4 Year

Olds

Total 0 to 4

Years

EXISTING DEMAND Child Care Demand

Estimated Total Children

Average LFPRAdjustment Factor

Children With Working Parents

Licensed Care Demand Factor

Resident Children Needing Licensed Care

of Total Resident Children Needing Licensed Care

Children from Non-Resident Employees Needing

Licensed Care

(1)

(2)

(3)

90 160

56

50 136

37

18 128

21 80

8 13

250

186

79

147

59

21

Total Demand for Child Care Spaces

Distribution

EXISTING SUPPLY (4)

27 141

16 84

Child Care Spaces

168

100

Family Child Care Home Supply

Child Care Center Supply

Current Child Care Supply

Distribution

EXISTING SURPLUS(SHORTAGE)

Distribution

Percentage of Demand Met

by Existing FacilitiesSpaces

Shortage of Family Child Care Home Spaces

Shortage of Center-Based Spaces

(5)

(6)

(6)

1

2

3

4 5

0 103

4 108

4 96

(23) (33)

41 59

16 77

(23) (2)

0 (31)

9

103

112

100

(55)

100

67

(24)

(31)

FINAL

Table A-21

Existing Child Care Demand and Supply in 2015 in Woodside

San Mateo County Child Care Study - 2016

Note All footnote references can be found in Table C-1 at the end of this file Sources 2010 US Census ABAG Projections 2013 2014 American Community Survey ACS Journey-to-Work data 2006-2008 and 2006-2010

Child Care Coordinating Council of San Mateo County (4Cs) Community Care Licensing Brion Economics Inc

Prepared by Brion Economics Inc 2513-SMC NA Final Tables 61216 6122016

COUNTYWIDE

Child Care as of 2025

No of

Providers

Under 2 Years

Old

2 to 4 Year

Olds

Total 0 to 4

Years

EXISTING DEMAND Child Care Demand

Estimated Total Children

Average LFPRAdjustment Factor

Children With Working Parents

Licensed Care Demand Factor

Resident Children Needing Licensed Care

of Total Resident Children Needing Licensed Care

Children from Non-Resident Employees Needing

Licensed Care

Total Demand for Child Care Spaces

Distribution

EXISTING SUPPLY

(1)

(2)

(3)

(4)

20790 31340

71

14704 28273

37

5441 26432

26 84

2037 3074

7478 29506

20 80

Child Care Spaces

52130

42978

86

31873

61

5112

36984

100

Family Child Care Home Supply

Child Care Center Supply

Current Child Care Supply

Distribution

EXISTING SURPLUS(SHORTAGE)

Distribution

Percentage of Demand Met

by Existing FacilitiesSpaces

Shortage of Family Child Care Home Spaces

Shortage of Center-Based Spaces

(5)

(6)

(6)

621

309

930

2301 2893

1514 16296

3815 19189

17 83

(3663) (10318)

26 74

51 65

(2209) (1555)

(1454) (8762)

5193

17810

23003

100

(13981)

100

62

(3765)

(10216)

FINAL

Table B-1

Future C hild Care Demand and Supply in 2025 Countywide

San Mateo County Child Care Study - 2016

Note All footnote references can be found in Table C-1 at the end of this file

Sources 2010 US Census ABAG Projections 2013 2014 American Community Survey ACS Journey-to-Work data 2006-2008 and 2006-2010

Child Care Coordinating Council of San Mateo County (4Cs) Community Care Licensing Brion Economics Inc

Prepared by Brion Economics Inc 2513-SMC NA Final Tables 61216 6122016

ATHERTON

No of

Providers

Child Care as of 2025

Under 2 Years

Old

2 to 4 Year

Olds

Total 0 to 4

Years

EXISTING DEMAND Child Care Demand

Estimated Total Children

Average LFPRAdjustment Factor

Children With Working Parents

Licensed Care Demand Factor

Resident Children Needing Licensed Care

of Total Resident Children Needing Licensed Care

Children from Non-Resident Employees Needing

Licensed Care

(1)

(2)

(3)

109 193

40

43 159

37

16 154

15 80

13 19

302

202

84

170

56

32

Total Demand for Child Care Spaces

Distribution

EXISTING SUPPLY (4)

29 173

14 86

Child Care Spaces

201

100

Family Child Care Home Supply

Child Care Center Supply

Current Child Care Supply

Distribution

EXISTING SURPLUS(SHORTAGE)

Distribution

Percentage of Demand Met

by Existing FacilitiesSpaces

Shortage of Family Child Care Home Spaces

Shortage of Center-Based Spaces

(5)

(6)

(6)

1

6

7

5 6

24 267

29 273

10 90

0 101

0 100

101 158

NA NA

NA NA

11

291

302

100

101

100

150

NA

NA

FINAL

Table B-2

Future Child Care Demand and Supply in 2025 in Atherton

San Mateo Co unty Child Care Study - 2016

Note All footnote references can be found in Table C-1 at the end of this file Sources 2010 US Census ABAG Projections 2013 2014 American Community Survey ACS Journey-to-Work data 2006-2008 and 2006-2010

Child Care Coordinating Council of San Mateo County (4Cs) Community Care Licensing Brion Economics Inc

Prepared by Brion Economics Inc 2513-SMC NA Final Tables 61216 6122016

BELMONT

Child Care as of 2025

No of

Providers

Under 2 Years

Old

2 to 4 Year

Olds

Total 0 to 4

Years

EXISTING DEMAND Child Care Demand

Estimated Total Children

Average LFPRAdjustment Factor

Children With Working Parents

Licensed Care Demand Factor

Resident Children Needing Licensed Care

of Total Resident Children Needing Licensed Care

Children from Non-Resident Employees Needing

Licensed Care

(1)

(2)

(3)

743 1095

77

574 1013

37

213 943

29 86

37 56

1838

1587

73

1156

63

93

Total Demand for Child Care Spaces

Distribution

EXISTING SUPPLY (4)

250 999

20 80

Child Care Spaces

1249

100

Family Child Care Home Supply

Child Care Center Supply

Current Child Care Supply

Distribution

EXISTING SURPLUS(SHORTAGE)

Distribution

Percentage of Demand Met

by Existing FacilitiesSpaces

Shortage of Family Child Care Home Spaces

Shortage of Center-Based Spaces

(5)

(6)

(6)

8

9

17

67 84

39 531

106 615

15 85

(143) (384)

27 73

43 62

(91) (53)

(53) (331)

152

570

722

100

(527)

100

58

(143)

(384)

FINAL

Table B-3

Future Child Care Demand and Supply in 2025 in Belmont

San Mateo County Child Care Study - 2016

Note All footnote references can be found in Table C-1 at the end of this file

Sources 2010 US Census ABAG Projections 2013 2014 American Community Survey ACS Journey-to-Work data 2006-2008 and 2006-2010

Child Care Coordinating Council of San Mateo County (4Cs) Community Care Licensing Brion Economics Inc

Prepared by Brion Economics Inc 2513-SMC NA Final Tables 61216 6122016

BRISBANE

Child Care as of 2025

No of

Providers

Under 2 Years

Old

2 to 4 Year

Olds

Total 0 to 4

Years

EXISTING DEMAND Child Care Demand

Estimated Total Children

Average LFPRAdjustment Factor

Children With Working Parents

Licensed Care Demand Factor

Resident Children Needing Licensed Care

of Total Resident Children Needing Licensed Care

Children from Non-Resident Employees Needing

Licensed Care

(1)

(2)

(3)

131 174

100

131 174

37

48 160

37 92

55 83

305

305

68

209

68

138

Total Demand for Child Care Spaces

Distribution

EXISTING SUPPLY (4)

103 243

30 70

Child Care Spaces

346

100

Family Child Care Home Supply

Child Care Center Supply

Current Child Care Supply

Distribution

EXISTING SURPLUS(SHORTAGE)

Distribution

Percentage of Demand Met

by Existing FacilitiesSpaces

Shortage of Family Child Care Home Spaces

Shortage of Center-Based Spaces

(5)

(6)

(6)

1

1

2

4 5

0 64

4 69

6 94

(99) (174)

36 64

4 29

(99) (13)

0 (160)

9

64

73

100

(273)

100

21

(112)

(160)

FINAL

Table B-4

Future Child Care Demand and Supply in 2025 in Brisbane

San Mateo County Child Care Study - 2016

Note All footnote references can be found in Table C-1 at the end of this file Sources 2010 US Census ABAG Projections 2013 2014 American Community Survey ACS Journey-to-Work data 2006-2008 and 2006-2010

Child Care Coordinating Council of San Mateo County (4Cs) Community Care Licensing Brion Economics Inc

Prepared by Brion Economics Inc 2513-SMC NA Final Tables 61216 6122016

BURLINGAME

Child Care as of 2025

No of

Providers

Under 2 Years

Old

2 to 4 Year

Olds

Total 0 to 4

Years

EXISTING DEMAND Child Care Demand

Estimated Total Children

Average LFPRAdjustment Factor

Children With Working Parents

Licensed Care Demand Factor

Resident Children Needing Licensed Care

of Total Resident Children Needing Licensed Care

Children from Non-Resident Employees Needing

Licensed Care

(1)

(2)

(3)

903 1332

65

587 1190

37

217 1124

24 84

154 232

2235

1777

75

1341

60

385

Total Demand for Child Care Spaces

Distribution

EXISTING SUPPLY (4)

371 1356

21 79

Child Care Spaces

1726

100

Family Child Care Home Supply

Child Care Center Supply

Current Child Care Supply

Distribution

EXISTING SURPLUS(SHORTAGE)

Distribution

Percentage of Demand Met

by Existing FacilitiesSpaces

Shortage of Family Child Care Home Spaces

Shortage of Center-Based Spaces

(5)

(6)

(6)

10

14

24

79 99

40 866

119 965

11 89

(252) (390)

39 61

32 71

(167) (40)

(85) (350)

179

906

1085

100

(642)

100

63

(207)

(434)

FINAL

Table B-5

Future Child Care Demand and Supply in 2025 in Burlingame

San Mateo County Child Care Study - 2016

Note All footnote references can be found in Table C-1 at the end of this file

Sources 2010 US Census ABAG Projections 2013 2014 American Community Survey ACS Journey-to-Work data 2006-2008 and 2006-2010

Child Care Coordinating Council of San Mateo County (4Cs) Community Care Licensing Brion Economics Inc

Prepared by Brion Economics Inc 2513-SMC NA Final Tables 61216 6122016

DALY CITYCOLMA

Child Care as of 2025

No of

Providers

Under 2 Years

Old

2 to 4 Year

Olds

Total 0 to 4

Years

EXISTING DEMAND Child Care Demand

Estimated Total Children

Average LFPRAdjustment Factor

Children With Working Parents

Licensed Care Demand Factor

Resident Children Needing Licensed Care

of Total Resident Children Needing Licensed Care

Children from Non-Resident Employees Needing

Licensed Care

(1)

(2)

(3)

2647 3793

74

1964 3467

37

727 3233

27 85

138 208

6440

5432

73

3960

61

346

Total Demand for Child Care Spaces

Distribution

EXISTING SUPPLY (4)

865 3441

20 80

Child Care Spaces

4306

100

Family Child Care Home Supply

Child Care Center Supply

Current Child Care Supply

Distribution

EXISTING SURPLUS(SHORTAGE)

Distribution

Percentage of Demand Met

by Existing FacilitiesSpaces

Shortage of Family Child Care Home Spaces

Shortage of Center-Based Spaces

(5)

(6)

(6)

25

28

28

288 362

84 1264

372 1626

19 81

(493) (1816)

21 79

43 47

(381) (404)

(111) (1412)

649

1348

1997

100

(2308)

100

46

(785)

(1523)

FINAL

Table B-6

Future C hild Care Demand and Supply in 2025 in Daly CityColma

San Mateo County Child Care Study - 2016

Note All footnote references can be found in Table C-1 at the end of this file

Sources 2010 US Census ABAG Projections 2013 2014 American Community Survey ACS Journey-to-Work data 2006-2008 and 2006-2010

Child Care Coordinating Council of San Mateo County (4Cs) Community Care Licensing Brion Economics Inc

Prepared by Brion Economics Inc 2513-SMC NA Final Tables 61216 6122016

EAST PALO ALTO

Child Care as of 2025

No of

Providers

Under 2 Years

Old

2 to 4 Year

Olds

Total 0 to 4

Years

EXISTING DEMAND Child Care Demand

Estimated Total Children

Average LFPRAdjustment Factor

Children With Working Parents

Licensed Care Demand Factor

Resident Children Needing Licensed Care

of Total Resident Children Needing Licensed Care

Children from Non-Resident Employees Needing

Licensed Care

(1)

(2)

(3)

1161 1849

71

822 1660

37

304 1545

26 84

20 30

3010

2482

75

1849

61

50

Total Demand for Child Care Spaces

Distribution

EXISTING SUPPLY (4)

324 1575

17 83

Child Care Spaces

1900

100

Family Child Care Home Supply

Child Care Center Supply

Current Child Care Supply

Distribution

EXISTING SURPLUS(SHORTAGE)

Distribution

Percentage of Demand Met

by Existing FacilitiesSpaces

Shortage of Family Child Care Home Spaces

Shortage of Center-Based Spaces

(5)

(6)

(6)

13

6

19

85 106

25 633

110 739

13 87

(215) (836)

20 80

34 47

(166) (120)

(49) (715)

191

658

849

100

(1050)

100

45

(286)

(764)

FINAL

Table B-7

Future Child Care Demand and Supply in 2025 in East Palo Alto

San Mateo County Child Care Study - 2016

Note All footnote references can be found in Table C-1 at the end of this file

Sources 2010 US Census ABAG Projections 2013 2014 American Community Survey ACS Journey-to-Work data 2006-2008 and 2006-2010

Child Care Coordinating Council of San Mateo County (4Cs) Community Care Licensing Brion Economics Inc

Prepared by Brion Economics Inc 2513-SMC NA Final Tables 61216 6122016

FOSTER CITY

Child Care as of 2025

No of

Providers

Under 2 Years

Old

2 to 4 Year

Olds

Total 0 to 4

Years

EXISTING DEMAND Child Care Demand

Estimated Total Children

Average LFPRAdjustment Factor

Children With Working Parents

Licensed Care Demand Factor

Resident Children Needing Licensed Care

of Total Resident Children Needing Licensed Care

Children from Non-Resident Employees Needing

Licensed Care

(1)

(2)

(3)

871 1330

63

550 1154

37

204 1079

23 81

80 120

2201

1705

75

1282

58

200

Total Demand for Child Care Spaces

Distribution

EXISTING SUPPLY (4)

283 1199

19 81

Child Care Spaces

1483

100

Family Child Care Home Supply

Child Care Center Supply

Current Child Care Supply

Distribution

EXISTING SURPLUS(SHORTAGE)

Distribution

Percentage of Demand Met

by Existing FacilitiesSpaces

Shortage of Family Child Care Home Spaces

Shortage of Center-Based Spaces

(5)

(6)

(6)

19

12

31

118 149

88 1200

206 1349

13 87

(77) 150

-106 206

73 112

(44) NA

(33) NA

267

1288

1555

100

73

100

105

(44)

(33)

FINAL

Table B-8

Future Child Care Demand and Supply in 2025 in Foster City

San Mateo County Child Care Study - 2016

Note All footnote references can be found in Table C-1 at the end of this file

Sources 2010 US Census ABAG Projections 2013 2014 American Community Survey ACS Journey-to-Work data 2006-2008 and 2006-2010

Child Care Coordinating Council of San Mateo County (4Cs) Community Care Licensing Brion Economics Inc

Prepared by Brion Economics Inc 2513-SMC NA Final Tables 61216 6122016

HALF MOON BAY REGION

Child Care as of 2025

No of

Providers

Under 2 Years

Old

2 to 4 Year

Olds

Total 0 to 4

Years

EXISTING DEMAND Child Care Demand

Estimated Total Children

Average LFPRAdjustment Factor

Children With Working Parents

Licensed Care Demand Factor

Resident Children Needing Licensed Care

of Total Resident Children Needing Licensed Care

Children from Non-Resident Employees Needing

Licensed Care

(1)

(2)

(3)

553 929

69

383 835

37

142 781

26 84

14 21

1482

1217

76

923

62

34

Total Demand for Child Care Spaces

Distribution

EXISTING SUPPLY (4)

155 802

16 84

Child Care Spaces

957

100

Family Child Care Home Supply

Child Care Center Supply

Current Child Care Supply

Distribution

EXISTING SURPLUS(SHORTAGE)

Distribution

Percentage of Demand Met

by Existing FacilitiesSpaces

Shortage of Family Child Care Home Spaces

Shortage of Center-Based Spaces

(5)

(6)

(6)

10

11

21

96 121

35 285

131 406

24 76

(24) (396)

6 94

84 51

(18) (118)

(6) (279)

216

320

536

100

(421)

100

56

(136)

(285)

FINAL

Table B-9

Future Child Care Demand and Supply in 2025 in Half Moon Bay Region

San Mateo County Child Care Study - 2016

Note All footnote references can be found in Table C-1 at the end of this file

Sources 2010 US Census ABAG Projections 2013 2014 American Community Survey ACS Journey-to-Work data 2006-2008 and 2006-2010

Child Care Coordinating Council of San Mateo County (4Cs) Community Care Licensing Brion Economics Inc

Prepared by Brion Economics Inc 2513-SMC NA Final Tables 61216 6122016

HILLSBOROUGH

Child Care as of 2025

No of

Providers

Under 2 Years

Old

2 to 4 Year

Olds

Total 0 to 4

Years

EXISTING DEMAND Child Care Demand

Estimated Total Children

Average LFPRAdjustment Factor

Children With Working Parents

Licensed Care Demand Factor

Resident Children Needing Licensed Care

of Total Resident Children Needing Licensed Care

Children from Non-Resident Employees Needing

Licensed Care

(1)

(2)

(3)

143 343

52

74 295

37

27 282

19 82

7 11

487

369

84

309

64

17

Total Demand for Child Care Spaces

Distribution

EXISTING SUPPLY (4)

34 292

10 90

Child Care Spaces

327

100

Family Child Care Home Supply

Child Care Center Supply

Current Child Care Supply

Distribution

EXISTING SURPLUS(SHORTAGE)

Distribution

Percentage of Demand Met

by Existing FacilitiesSpaces

Shortage of Family Child Care Home Spaces

Shortage of Center-Based Spaces

(5)

(6)

(6)

1

4

5

5 6

- 91

5 97

5 95

(29) (195)

13 87

14 33

(29) (12)

0 (183)

11

91

102

100

(225)

100

31

(42)

(183)

FINAL

Table B-10

Future Child Care Demand and Supply in 2025 in Hillsborough

San Mateo County Child Care Study - 2016

Note All footnote references can be found in Table C-1 at the end of this file

Sources 2010 US Census ABAG Projections 2013 2014 American Community Survey ACS Journey-to-Work data 2006-2008 and 2006-2010

Child Care Coordinating Council of San Mateo County (4Cs) Community Care Licensing Brion Economics Inc

Prepared by Brion Economics Inc 2513-SMC NA Final Tables 61216 6122016

MENLO PARK

Child Care as of 2025

No of

Providers

Under 2 Years

Old

2 to 4 Year

Olds

Total 0 to 4

Years

EXISTING DEMAND Child Care Demand

Estimated Total Children

Average LFPRAdjustment Factor

Children With Working Parents

Licensed Care Demand Factor

Resident Children Needing Licensed Care

of Total Resident Children Needing Licensed Care

Children from Non-Resident Employees Needing

Licensed Care

(1)

(2)

(3)

1327 1954

69

909 1759

37

336 1653

25 85

237 357

3281

2668

75

1989

61

594

Total Demand for Child Care Spaces

Distribution

EXISTING SUPPLY (4)

573 2011

22 78

Child Care Spaces

2584

100

Family Child Care Home Supply

Child Care Center Supply

Current Child Care Supply

Distribution

EXISTING SURPLUS(SHORTAGE)

Distribution

Percentage of Demand Met

by Existing FacilitiesSpaces

Shortage of Family Child Care Home Spaces

Shortage of Center-Based Spaces

(5)

(6)

(6)

15

25

40

76 96

73 1331

149 1427

9 91

(424) (584)

42 58

26 71

(217) (39)

(207) (544)

172

1404

1576

100

(1008)

100

61

(256)

(752)

FINAL

Table B-11

Future Child Care Demand and Supply in 2025 in Menlo Park

San Mateo County Child Care Study - 2016

Note All footnote references can be found in Table C-1 at the end of this file

Sources 2010 US Census ABAG Projections 2013 2014 American Community Survey ACS Journey-to-Work data 2006-2008 and 2006-2010

Child Care Coordinating Council of San Mateo County (4Cs) Community Care Licensing Brion Economics Inc

Prepared by Brion Economics Inc 2513-SMC NA Final Tables 61216 6122016

MILLBRAE

Child Care as of 2025

No of

Providers

Under 2 Years

Old

2 to 4 Year

Olds

Total 0 to 4

Years

EXISTING DEMAND Child Care Demand

Estimated Total Children

Average LFPRAdjustment Factor

Children With Working Parents

Licensed Care Demand Factor

Resident Children Needing Licensed Care

of Total Resident Children Needing Licensed Care

Children from Non-Resident Employees Needing

Licensed Care

(1)

(2)

(3)

473 805

62

291 710

37

108 672

23 83

31 47

1278

1001

78

780

61

77

Total Demand for Child Care Spaces

Distribution

EXISTING SUPPLY (4)

139 718

16 84

Child Care Spaces

857

100

Family Child Care Home Supply

Child Care Center Supply

Current Child Care Supply

Distribution

EXISTING SURPLUS(SHORTAGE)

Distribution

Percentage of Demand Met

by Existing FacilitiesSpaces

Shortage of Family Child Care Home Spaces

Shortage of Center-Based Spaces

(5)

(6)

(6)

7

7

14

62 78

- 376

62 454

12 88

(76) (264)

22 78

45 63

(76) (46)

0 (219)

141

376

517

100

(340)

100

60

(122)

(219)

FINAL

Table B-12

Future C hild Care Demand and Supply in 2025 in Millbrae

San Mateo County Child Care Study - 2016

Note All footnote references can be found in Table C-1 at the end of this file

Sources 2010 US Census ABAG Projections 2013 2014 American Community Survey ACS Journey-to-Work data 2006-2008 and 2006-2010

Child Care Coordinating Council of San Mateo County (4Cs) Community Care Licensing Brion Economics Inc

Prepared by Brion Economics Inc 2513-SMC NA Final Tables 61216 6122016

FINAL

Table B-13

Future Child Care Demand and Supply in 2025 in Pacifica

San Mateo County Child Care Study - 2016

PACIFICA

Child Care as of 2025

No of

Providers

Under 2 Years

Old

2 to 4 Year

Olds

Total 0 to 4

Years

EXISTING DEMAND Child Care Demand

Estimated Total Children

Average L FPRAdjustment Factor

Children With Working Parents

Licensed Care Demand Factor

Resident Children Needing Licensed Care

of Total Resident Children Needing Licensed Care

Children from Non-Resident Employees Needing

Licensed Care

(1)

(2)

(3)

816 1300

78

633 1209

37

234 1130

29 87

19 29

2116

1842

74

1364

64

48

Total Demand for Child Care Spaces

Distribution

EXISTING SUPPLY (4)

254 1159

18 82

Child Care Spaces

1413

100

Family Child Care Home Supply

Child Care Center Supply

Current Child Care Supply

Distribution

EXISTING SURPLUS(SHORTAGE)

Distribution

Percentage of Demand Met

by Existing FacilitiesSpaces

Shortage of Family Child Care Home Spaces

Shortage of Center-Based Spaces

(5)

(6)

(6)

9

18

27

77 97

39 701

116 798

13 87

(138) (361)

28 72

46 69

(91) (44)

(46) (317)

174

740

914

100

(499)

100

65

(135)

(364)

Note All footnote references can be found in Table C-1 at the end of this file

Sources 2010 US Census ABAG Projections 2013 2014 American Community Survey ACS Journey-to-Work data 2006-2008 and 2006-2010

Child Care Coordinating Council of San Mateo County (4Cs) Community Care Licensing Brion Economics Inc

Prepared by Brion Economics Inc 2513-SMC NA Final Tables 61216 6122016

PORTOLA VALLEY

Child Care as of 2025

No of

Providers

Under 2 Years

Old

2 to 4 Year

Olds

Total 0 to 4

Years

EXISTING DEMAND Child Care Demand

Estimated Total Children

Average LFPRAdjustment Factor

Children With Working Parents

Licensed Care Demand Factor

Resident Children Needing Licensed Care

of Total Resident Children Needing Licensed Care

Children from Non-Resident Employees Needing

Licensed Care

(1)

(2)

(3)

77 192

66

51 173

37

19 164

24 85

9 13

269

224

82

182

68

22

Total Demand for Child Care Spaces

Distribution

EXISTING SUPPLY (4)

28 177

13 87

Child Care Spaces

204

100

Family Child Care Home Supply

Child Care Center Supply

Current Child Care Supply

Distribution

EXISTING SURPLUS(SHORTAGE)

Distribution

Percentage of Demand Met

by Existing FacilitiesSpaces

Shortage of Family Child Care Home Spaces

Shortage of Center-Based Spaces

(5)

(6)

(6)

0

4

4

- -

- 153

- 153

0 100

(28) (24)

54 46

0 87

0 0

(28) (24)

0

153

153

100

(51)

100

75

0

(51)

FINAL

Table B-14

Future Child Care Demand and Supply in 2025 in Portola Valley

San Mateo County Child Care Study - 2016

Note All footnote references can be found in Table C-1 at the end of this file

Sources 2010 US Census ABAG Projections 2013 2014 American Community Survey ACS Journey-to-Work data 2006-2008 and 2006-2010

Child Care Coordinating Council of San Mateo County (4Cs) Community Care Licensing Brion Economics Inc

Prepared by Brion Economics Inc 2513-SMC NA Final Tables 61216 6122016

REDWOOD CITY

No of

Providers

Child Care as of 2025

Under 2 Years

Old

2 to 4 Year

Olds

Total 0 to 4

Years

EXISTING DEMAND Child Care Demand

Estimated Total Children

Average LFPRAdjustment Factor

Children With Working Parents

Licensed Care Demand Factor

Resident Children Needing Licensed Care

of Total Resident Children Needing Licensed Care

Children from Non-Resident Employees Needing

Licensed Care

Total Demand for Child Care Spaces

Distribution

EXISTING SUPPLY

(1)

(2)

(3)

(4)

3725 5378

69

2555 4813

37

946 4505

25 84

466 703

1411 5208

21 79

Child Care Spaces

9103

7368

74

5450

60

1169

6619

100

Family Child Care Home Supply

Child Care Center Supply

Current Child Care Supply

Distribution

EXISTING SURPLUS(SHORTAGE)

Distribution

Percentage of Demand Met

by Existing FacilitiesSpaces

Shortage of Family Child Care Home Spaces

Shortage of Center-Based Spaces

(5)

(6)

(6)

42

41

83

396 497

356 2036

752 2533

23 77

(660) (2674)

20 80

53 49

(347) (525)

(313) (2149)

893

2392

3285

100

(3334)

100

50

(872)

(2462)

FINAL

Table B-15

Future Child Care Demand and Supply in 2025 in Redwood City

San Mateo County Child Care Study - 2016

Note All footnote references can be found in Table C-1 at the end of this file

Sources 2010 US Census ABAG Projections 2013 2014 American Community Survey ACS Journey-to-Work data 2006-2008 and 2006-2010

Child Care Coordinating Council of San Mateo County (4Cs) Community Care Licensing Brion Economics Inc

Prepared by Brion Economics Inc 2513-SMC NA Final Tables 61216 6122016

SAN BRUNO

Child Care as of 2025

No of

Providers

Under 2 Years

Old

2 to 4 Year

Olds

Total 0 to 4

Years

EXISTING DEMAND Child Care Demand

Estimated Total Children

Average LFPRAdjustment Factor

Children With Working Parents

Licensed Care Demand Factor

Resident Children Needing Licensed Care

of Total Resident Children Needing Licensed Care

Children from Non-Resident Employees Needing

Licensed Care

(1)

(2)

(3)

1189 1728

77

910 1589

37

337 1475

28 85

68 103

2917

2498

73

1812

62

171

Total Demand for Child Care Spaces

Distribution

EXISTING SUPPLY (4)

405 1578

20 80

Child Care Spaces

1983

100

Family Child Care Home Supply

Child Care Center Supply

Current Child Care Supply

Distribution

EXISTING SURPLUS(SHORTAGE)

Distribution

Percentage of Demand Met

by Existing FacilitiesSpaces

Shortage of Family Child Care Home Spaces

Shortage of Center-Based Spaces

(5)

(6)

(6)

13

15

28

122 153

26 1183

148 1336

10 90

(257) (242)

52 48

37 85

(212) (28)

(45) (214)

275

1209

1484

100

(499)

100

75

(239)

(259)

FINAL

Table B-16

Future C hild Care Demand and Supply in 2025 in San Bruno

San Mateo County Child Care Study - 2016

Note All footnote references can be found in Table C-1 at the end of this file

Sources 2010 US Census ABAG Projections 2013 2014 American Community Survey ACS Journey-to-Work data 2006-2008 and 2006-2010

Child Care Coordinating Council of San Mateo County (4Cs) Community Care Licensing Brion Economics Inc

Prepared by Brion Economics Inc 2513-SMC NA Final Tables 61216 6122016

SAN CARLOS

Child Care as of 2025

No of

Providers

Under 2 Years

Old

2 to 4 Year

Olds

Total 0 to 4

Years

EXISTING DEMAND Child Care Demand

Estimated Total Children

Average LFPRAdjustment Factor

Children With Working Parents

Licensed Care Demand Factor

Resident Children Needing Licensed Care

of Total Resident Children Needing Licensed Care

Children from Non-Resident Employees Needing

Licensed Care

(1)

(2)

(3)

778 1384

72

557 1255

37

206 1174

26 85

82 123

2162

1812

76

1380

64

205

Total Demand for Child Care Spaces

Distribution

EXISTING SUPPLY (4)

288 1297

18 82

Child Care Spaces

1585

100

Family Child Care Home Supply

Child Care Center Supply

Current Child Care Supply

Distribution

EXISTING SURPLUS(SHORTAGE)

Distribution

Percentage of Demand Met

by Existing FacilitiesSpaces

Shortage of Family Child Care Home Spaces

Shortage of Center-Based Spaces

(5)

(6)

(6)

28

14

42

73 92

76 615

149 707

17 83

(139) (590)

19 81

52 54

(68) (76)

(71) (514)

164

691

855

100

(729)

100

54

(145)

(585)

FINAL

Table B-17

Future Child Care Demand and Supply in 2025 in San Carlos

San Mateo County Child Care Study - 2016

Note All footnote references can be found in Table C-1 at the end of this file

Sources 2010 US Census ABAG Projections 2013 2014 American Community Survey ACS Journey-to-Work data 2006-2008 and 2006-2010

Child Care Coordinating Council of San Mateo County (4Cs) Community Care Licensing Brion Economics Inc

Prepared by Brion Economics Inc 2513-SMC NA Final Tables 61216 6122016

SAN MATEO

Child Care as of 2025

No of

Providers

Under 2 Years

Old

2 to 4 Year

Olds

Total 0 to 4

Years

EXISTING DEMAND Child Care Demand

Estimated Total Children

Average LFPRAdjustment Factor

Children With Working Parents

Licensed Care Demand Factor

Resident Children Needing Licensed Care

of Total Resident Children Needing Licensed Care

Children from Non-Resident Employees Needing

Licensed Care

(1)

(2)

(3)

3194 4572

71

2264 4116

37

838 3839

26 84

261 394

7766

6381

73

4677

60

656

Total Demand for Child Care Spaces

Distribution

EXISTING SUPPLY (4)

1099 4233

21 79

Child Care Spaces

5332

100

Family Child Care Home Supply

Child Care Center Supply

Current Child Care Supply

Distribution

EXISTING SURPLUS(SHORTAGE)

Distribution

Percentage of Demand Met

by Existing FacilitiesSpaces

Shortage of Family Child Care Home Spaces

Shortage of Center-Based Spaces

(5)

(6)

(6)

69

59

128

492 619

209 2577

701 3196

18 82

(398) (1037)

28 72

64 75

(279) (201)

(119) (837)

1111

2786

3897

100

(1435)

100

73

(480)

(955)

FINAL

Table B-18

Future Child Care Demand and Supply in 2025 in San Mateo

San Mateo County Child Care Study - 2016

Note All footnote references can be found in Table C-1 at the end of this file

Sources 2010 US Census ABAG Projections 2013 2014 American Community Survey ACS Journey-to-Work data 2006-2008 and 2006-2010

Child Care Coordinating Council of San Mateo County (4Cs) Community Care Licensing Brion Economics Inc

Prepared by Brion Economics Inc 2513-SMC NA Final Tables 61216 6122016

FINAL

Table B-19

Future Child Care Demand and Supply in 2025 in South Coast

San Mateo County Child Care Study - 2016

SOUTH COAST

Child Care as of 2025

No of

Providers

Under 2 Years

Old

2 to 4 Year

Olds

Total 0 to 4

Years

EXISTING DEMAND Child Care Demand

Estimated Total Children (1) 23 32 55

Average LFPRAdjustment Factor (2) 54

Children With Working Parents 12 27 40

Licensed Care Demand Factor (3) 37 77

Resident Children Needing Licensed Care 5 26 30

of Total Resident Children Needing Licensed Care 20 81 56

Children from Non-Resident Employees Needing

Licensed Care 0 0 0

Total Demand for Child Care Spaces 5 26 30

Distribution 15 85 100

EXISTING SUPPLY (4) Child Care Spaces

Family Child Care Home Supply - 0 0 0

Child Care Center Supply 2 0 54 54

Current Child Care Supply 2 - 54 54

Distribution 0 100 100

EXISTING SURPLUS(SHORTAGE) (5) 28 24

Distribution -19 119 100

Percentage of Demand Met

by Existing FacilitiesSpaces (5) 0 209 177

Shortage of Family Child Care Home Spaces (6) 0 NA 0

Shortage of Center-Based Spaces (6) (5) NA (5)

Note All footnote references can be found in Table C-1 at the end of this file

Sources 2010 US Census ABAG Projections 2013 2014 American Community Survey ACS Journey-to-Work data 2006-2008 and 2006-2010

Child Care Coordinating Council of San Mateo County (4Cs) Community Care Licensing Brion Economics Inc

Prepared by Brion Economics Inc 2513-SMC NA Final Tables 61216 6122016

SOUTH SAN FRANCISCO

Child Care as of 2025

No of

Providers

Under 2 Years

Old

2 to 4 Year

Olds

Total 0 to 4

Years

EXISTING DEMAND Child Care Demand

Estimated Total Children

Average LFPRAdjustment Factor

Children With Working Parents

Licensed Care Demand Factor

Resident Children Needing Licensed Care

of Total Resident Children Needing Licensed Care

Children from Non-Resident Employees Needing

Licensed Care

(1)

(2)

(3)

1835 2790

73

1342 2535

37

496 2362

27 85

339 512

4625

3877

74

2859

62

851

Total Demand for Child Care Spaces

Distribution

EXISTING SUPPLY (4)

835 2874

23 77

Child Care Spaces

3709

100

Family Child Care Home Supply

Child Care Center Supply

Current Child Care Supply

Distribution

EXISTING SURPLUS(SHORTAGE)

Distribution

Percentage of Demand Met

by Existing FacilitiesSpaces

Shortage of Family Child Care Home Spaces

Shortage of Center-Based Spaces

(5)

(6)

(6)

30

27

57

252 317

400 1966

652 2283

22 78

(183) (591)

24 76

78 79

(71) (82)

(113) (509)

569

2366

2935

100

(775)

100

79

(153)

(622)

FINAL

Table B-20

Future Child Care Demand and Supply in 2025 in South San Francisco

San Mateo County Child Care Study - 2016

Note All footnote references can be found in Table C-1 at the end of this file

Sources 2010 US Census ABAG Projections 2013 2014 American Community Survey ACS Journey-to-Work data 2006-2008 and 2006-2010

Child Care Coordinating Council of San Mateo County (4Cs) Community Care Licensing Brion Economics Inc

Prepared by Brion Economics Inc 2513-SMC NA Final Tables 61216 6122016

WOODSIDE

No of

Providers

Child Care as of 2025

Under 2 Years

Old

2 to 4 Year

Olds

Total 0 to 4

Years

EXISTING DEMAND Child Care Demand

Estimated Total Children

Average LFPRAdjustment Factor

Children With Working Parents

Licensed Care Demand Factor

Resident Children Needing Licensed Care

of Total Resident Children Needing Licensed Care

Children from Non-Resident Employees Needing

Licensed Care

(1)

(2)

(3)

93 165

56

51 140

37

19 132

21 80

9 13

258

192

79

152

59

22

Total Demand for Child Care Spaces

Distribution

EXISTING SUPPLY (4)

28 146

16 84

Child Care Spaces

174

100

Family Child Care Home Supply

Child Care Center Supply

Current Child Care Supply

Distribution

EXISTING SURPLUS(SHORTAGE)

Distribution

Percentage of Demand Met

by Existing FacilitiesSpaces

Shortage of Family Child Care Home Spaces

Shortage of Center-Based Spaces

(5)

(6)

(6)

1

2

3

4 5

- 103

4 108

4 96

(24) (38)

39 61

15 74

(24) (2)

0 (36)

9

103

112

100

(61)

100

65

(26)

(36)

FINAL

Table B-21

Future Child Care Demand and Supply in 2025 in Woodside

San Mateo County Child Care Study - 2016

Note All footnote references can be found in Table C-1 at the end of this file

Sources 2010 US Census ABAG Projections 2013 2014 American Community Survey ACS Journey-to-Work data 2006-2008 and 2006-2010

Child Care Coordinating Council of San Mateo County (4Cs) Community Care Licensing Brion Economics Inc

Prepared by Brion Economics Inc 2513-SMC NA Final Tables 61216 6122016

FINAL

Table C-1

Endnotes for Tables

San Mateo County Child Care Study - 2016

(1) Population by age is based on the percentage breakdown from the 2010 US Census and applied

to population estimates for 2015 using ABAGs Projections 2013 population data The ABAG data

for each area includes its Sphere of Influence and is not based on strict jurisdictional boundaries

(2) Labor force participation rates are from the 5-Year American Community Survey 2014 and include

children under six years old with two working parents or a single working parent For the 2- to 4-year

olds the labor force participation rate is applied to 2 year olds For 3- and 4-year olds it is assumed

that 100 need licensed care to support preschool for every child so the number of

3- and 4-year olds is not discounted by labor force participation rates

(3) Not all children with working parents are assumed to need licensed care percentage assumptions are

used to calculate the number of children requiring licensed care under each age category The

remaining children are assumed to be cared for in alternate arrangements such as by family members

nannies friends and other unlicensed care For children ages 3- and 4-years old it is assumed that

they all need care in the form of preschool

(4) Data on child care supply provided by the Child Care Coordinating Council of San Mateo County (4Cs)

and Community Care Licensing Division of the California Department of Social Services (CCLD) Data is

for June 2015

(5) Demand that calculates as less than 100 means that there is greater demand than supply percent of

demand that is over 100 means supply exceeds demand

(6) Unmet demand is broken down into shortage by type of care based on the proportion of FCCHs and

child care centers spaces available in each area If an area does not have any FCCHs or centers the

unmet demand is placed in the type of care that is available in the area (eg if there are only centers

all demand goes to centers)

Source Brion Economics Inc

Prepared by Brion Economics Inc 2513-SMC NA Final Tables 61216 6122016

DRAFT REPORT

Table C-2

Labor Force Participation Rates by CityArea

San Mateo County Child Care Study - 2016

CityArea

Labor Force

Participation Rate (1)

Atherton

Belmont

Brisbane

Burlingame

Daly CityColma

East Palo Alto

Foster City

Half Moon Bay Region

Hillsborough

Menlo Park

Millbrae

Pacifica

Portola Valley

Redwood City

San Bruno

San Carlos

San Mateo

South Coast

South San Francisco

Woodside

40

77

100

65

74

71

63

69

52

69

62

78

66

69

77

72

71

54

73

56

(1) Labor force participation rates (LFPRs) are for

families with children under age six with two

working parents or a single parent who works Sources American Community Survey 2014 5-Year

Survey Brion Economics Inc

Prepared by Brion Economics Inc 2513-SMC NA Final Tables 61216 6122016

  • 2513-SMC FINAL NA Memo-61216
  • 2513-SMC NA Final Tables 61216
Page 37: Final San Mateo County Child Care Needs … Care...Future C hild Care Demand and Supply in 2025 in Daly City/Colma San Mateo County Child Care Study - 2016 Note: All footnote references

REDWOOD CITY

Child Care as of 2015

No of

Providers

Under 2 Years

Old

2 to 4 Year

Olds

Total 0 to 4

Years

EXISTING DEMAND Child Care Demand

Estimated Total Children

Average LFPRAdjustment Factor

Children With Working Parents

Licensed Care Demand Factor

Resident Children Needing Licensed Care

of Total Resident Children Needing Licensed Care

Children from Non-Resident Employees Needing

Licensed Care

Total Demand for Child Care Spaces

Distribution

EXISTING SUPPLY

(1)

(2)

(3)

(4)

3260 4706

69

2236 4212

37

827 3942

25 84

414 625

1241 4567

21 79

Child Care Spaces

7966

6449

74

4770

60

1038

5808

100

Family Child Care Home Supply

Child Care Center Supply

Current Child Care Supply

Distribution

EXISTING SURPLUS(SHORTAGE)

Distribution

Percentage of Demand Met

by Existing FacilitiesSpaces

Shortage of Family Child Care Home Spaces

Shortage of Center-Based Spaces

(5)

(6)

(6)

111

45

156

396 497

356 2036

752 2533

23 77

(490) (2034)

19 81

61 55

(258) (399)

(232) (1635)

893

2392

3285

100

(2524)

100

57

(657)

(1867)

FINAL

Table A-15

Existing Child Care Demand and Supply in 2015 in Redwood City

San Mateo County Child Care Study - 2016

Note All footnote references can be found in Table C-1 at the end of this file Sources 2010 US Census ABAG Projections 2013 2014 American Community Survey ACS Journey-to-Work data 2006-2008 and 2006-2010

Child Care Coordinating Council of San Mateo County (4Cs) Community Care Licensing Brion Economics Inc

Prepared by Brion Economics Inc 2513-SMC NA Final Tables 61216 6122016

SAN BRUNO

Child Care as of 2015

No of

Providers

Under 2 Years

Old

2 to 4 Year

Olds

Total 0 to 4

Years

EXISTING DEMAND Child Care Demand

Estimated Total Children

Average LFPRAdjustment Factor

Children With Working Parents

Licensed Care Demand Factor

Resident Children Needing Licensed Care

of Total Resident Children Needing Licensed Care

Children from Non-Resident Employees Needing

Licensed Care

(1)

(2)

(3)

1069 1553

77

817 1428

37

302 1326

28 85

61 92

2622

2245

73

1628

62

153

Total Demand for Child Care Spaces

Distribution

EXISTING SUPPLY (4)

364 1418

20 80

Child Care Spaces

1782

100

Family Child Care Home Supply

Child Care Center Supply

Current Child Care Supply

Distribution

EXISTING SURPLUS(SHORTAGE)

Distribution

Percentage of Demand Met

by Existing FacilitiesSpaces

Shortage of Family Child Care Home Spaces

Shortage of Center-Based Spaces

(5)

(6)

(6)

34

15

49

122 153

26 1183

148 1336

10 90

(216) (82)

72 28

41 94

(178) (9)

(38) (73)

275

1209

1484

100

(298)

100

83

(187)

(110)

FINAL

Table A-16

Existing Child Care Demand and Supply in 2015 in San Bruno

San Mateo County Child Care Study - 2016

Note All footnote references can be found in Table C-1 at the end of this file Sources 2010 US Census ABAG Projections 2013 2014 American Community Survey ACS Journey-to-Work data 2006-2008 and 2006-2010

Child Care Coordinating Council of San Mateo County (4Cs) Community Care Licensing Brion Economics Inc

Prepared by Brion Economics Inc 2513-SMC NA Final Tables 61216 6122016

SAN CARLOS

Child Care as of 2015

No of

Providers

Under 2 Years

Old

2 to 4 Year

Olds

Total 0 to 4

Years

EXISTING DEMAND Child Care Demand

Estimated Total Children

Average LFPRAdjustment Factor

Children With Working Parents

Licensed Care Demand Factor

Resident Children Needing Licensed Care

of Total Resident Children Needing Licensed Care

Children from Non-Resident Employees Needing

Licensed Care

(1)

(2)

(3)

735 1308

72

526 1186

37

195 1109

26 85

75 114

2043

1712

76

1304

64

189

Total Demand for Child Care Spaces

Distribution

EXISTING SUPPLY (4)

270 1222

18 82

Child Care Spaces

1492

100

Family Child Care Home Supply

Child Care Center Supply

Current Child Care Supply

Distribution

EXISTING SURPLUS(SHORTAGE)

Distribution

Percentage of Demand Met

by Existing FacilitiesSpaces

Shortage of Family Child Care Home Spaces

Shortage of Center-Based Spaces

(5)

(6)

(6)

20

14

34

73 92

76 615

149 707

17 83

(121) (516)

19 81

55 58

(59) (67)

(62) (449)

164

691

855

100

(637)

100

57

(126)

(511)

FINAL

Table A-17

Existing Child Care Demand and Supply in 2015 in San Carlos

San Mateo County Child Care Study - 2016

Note All footnote references can be found in Table C-1 at the end of this file

Sources 2010 US Census ABAG Projections 2013 2014 American Community Survey ACS Journey-to-Work data 2006-2008 and 2006-2010

Child Care Coordinating Council of San Mateo County (4Cs) Community Care Licensing Brion Economics Inc

Prepared by Brion Economics Inc 2513-SMC NA Final Tables 61216 6122016

SAN MATEO

Child Care as of 2015

No of

Providers

Under 2 Years

Old

2 to 4 Year

Olds

Total 0 to 4

Years

EXISTING DEMAND Child Care Demand

Estimated Total Children

Average LFPRAdjustment Factor

Children With Working Parents

Licensed Care Demand Factor

Resident Children Needing Licensed Care

of Total Resident Children Needing Licensed Care

Children from Non-Resident Employees Needing

Licensed Care

(1)

(2)

(3)

2943 4213

71

2087 3793

37

772 3537

26 84

231 348

7156

5880

73

4309

60

579

Total Demand for Child Care Spaces

Distribution

EXISTING SUPPLY (4)

1003 3886

21 79

Child Care Spaces

4889

100

Family Child Care Home Supply

Child Care Center Supply

Current Child Care Supply

Distribution

EXISTING SURPLUS(SHORTAGE)

Distribution

Percentage of Demand Met

by Existing FacilitiesSpaces

Shortage of Family Child Care Home Spaces

Shortage of Center-Based Spaces

(5)

(6)

(6)

126

59

185

492 619

209 2577

701 3196

18 82

(302) (690)

30 70

70 82

(212) (134)

(90) (557)

1111

2786

3897

100

(992)

100

80

(345)

(647)

FINAL

Table A-18

Existing Child Care Demand and Supply in 2015 in San Mateo

San Mateo County Child Care Study - 2016

Note All footnote references can be found in Table C-1 at the end of this file

Sources 2010 US Census ABAG Projections 2013 2014 American Community Survey ACS Journey-to-Work data 2006-2008 and 2006-2010

Child Care Coordinating Council of San Mateo County (4Cs) Community Care Licensing Brion Economics Inc

Prepared by Brion Economics Inc 2513-SMC NA Final Tables 61216 6122016

SOUTH COAST

Child Care as of 2015

No of

Providers

Under 2 Years

Old

2 to 4 Year

Olds

Total 0 to 4

Years

EXISTING DEMAND Child Care Demand

Estimated Total Children

Average LFPRAdjustment Factor

Children With Working Parents

Licensed Care Demand Factor

Resident Children Needing Licensed Care

of Total Resident Children Needing Licensed Care

Children from Non-Resident Employees Needing

Licensed Care

(1)

(2)

(3)

21 29

54

11 25

37

4 23

20 81

0 0

50

36

77

28

56

0

Total Demand for Child Care Spaces

Distribution

EXISTING SUPPLY (4)

4 23

15 85

Child Care Spaces

28

100

Family Child Care Home Supply

Child Care Center Supply

Current Child Care Supply

Distribution

EXISTING SURPLUS(SHORTAGE)

Distribution

Percentage of Demand Met

by Existing FacilitiesSpaces

Shortage of Family Child Care Home Spaces

Shortage of Center-Based Spaces

(5)

(6)

(6)

-

2

2

- -

- 54

- 54

0 100

(4) 31

-16 116

0 230

(2) NA

(2) NA

0

54

54

100

26

100

195

(2)

(2)

FINAL

Table A-19

Existing Child Care Demand and Supply in 2015 in South Coast

San Mateo County Child Care Study - 2016

Note All footnote references can be found in Table C-1 at the end of this file

Sources 2010 US Census ABAG Projections 2013 2014 American Community Survey ACS Journey-to-Work data 2006-2008 and 2006-2010

Child Care Coordinating Council of San Mateo County (4Cs) Community Care Licensing Brion Economics Inc

Prepared by Brion Economics Inc 2513-SMC NA Final Tables 61216 6122016

SOUTH SAN FRANCISCO

Child Care as of 2015

No of

Providers

Under 2 Years

Old

2 to 4 Year

Olds

Total 0 to 4

Years

EXISTING DEMAND Child Care Demand

Estimated Total Children

Average LFPRAdjustment Factor

Children With Working Parents

Licensed Care Demand Factor

Resident Children Needing Licensed Care

of Total Resident Children Needing Licensed Care

Children from Non-Resident Employees Needing

Licensed Care

(1)

(2)

(3)

1649 2507

73

1206 2278

37

446 2123

27 85

309 466

4156

3484

74

2569

62

774

Total Demand for Child Care Spaces

Distribution

EXISTING SUPPLY (4)

755 2588

23 77

Child Care Spaces

3343

100

Family Child Care Home Supply

Child Care Center Supply

Current Child Care Supply

Distribution

EXISTING SURPLUS(SHORTAGE)

Distribution

Percentage of Demand Met

by Existing FacilitiesSpaces

Shortage of Family Child Care Home Spaces

Shortage of Center-Based Spaces

(5)

(6)

(6)

68

27

95

252 317

400 1966

652 2283

22 78

(103) (306)

25 75

86 88

(40) (42)

(63) (263)

569

2366

2935

100

(408)

100

88

(82)

(326)

FINAL

Table A-20

Existing Child Care Demand and Supply in 2015 in South San Francisco

San Mateo County Child Care Study - 2016

Note All footnote references can be found in Table C-1 at the end of this file Sources 2010 US Census ABAG Projections 2013 2014 American Community Survey ACS Journey-to-Work data 2006-2008 and 2006-2010

Child Care Coordinating Council of San Mateo County (4Cs) Community Care Licensing Brion Economics Inc

Prepared by Brion Economics Inc 2513-SMC NA Final Tables 61216 6122016

WOODSIDE

No of

Providers

Child Care as of 2015

Under 2 Years

Old

2 to 4 Year

Olds

Total 0 to 4

Years

EXISTING DEMAND Child Care Demand

Estimated Total Children

Average LFPRAdjustment Factor

Children With Working Parents

Licensed Care Demand Factor

Resident Children Needing Licensed Care

of Total Resident Children Needing Licensed Care

Children from Non-Resident Employees Needing

Licensed Care

(1)

(2)

(3)

90 160

56

50 136

37

18 128

21 80

8 13

250

186

79

147

59

21

Total Demand for Child Care Spaces

Distribution

EXISTING SUPPLY (4)

27 141

16 84

Child Care Spaces

168

100

Family Child Care Home Supply

Child Care Center Supply

Current Child Care Supply

Distribution

EXISTING SURPLUS(SHORTAGE)

Distribution

Percentage of Demand Met

by Existing FacilitiesSpaces

Shortage of Family Child Care Home Spaces

Shortage of Center-Based Spaces

(5)

(6)

(6)

1

2

3

4 5

0 103

4 108

4 96

(23) (33)

41 59

16 77

(23) (2)

0 (31)

9

103

112

100

(55)

100

67

(24)

(31)

FINAL

Table A-21

Existing Child Care Demand and Supply in 2015 in Woodside

San Mateo County Child Care Study - 2016

Note All footnote references can be found in Table C-1 at the end of this file Sources 2010 US Census ABAG Projections 2013 2014 American Community Survey ACS Journey-to-Work data 2006-2008 and 2006-2010

Child Care Coordinating Council of San Mateo County (4Cs) Community Care Licensing Brion Economics Inc

Prepared by Brion Economics Inc 2513-SMC NA Final Tables 61216 6122016

COUNTYWIDE

Child Care as of 2025

No of

Providers

Under 2 Years

Old

2 to 4 Year

Olds

Total 0 to 4

Years

EXISTING DEMAND Child Care Demand

Estimated Total Children

Average LFPRAdjustment Factor

Children With Working Parents

Licensed Care Demand Factor

Resident Children Needing Licensed Care

of Total Resident Children Needing Licensed Care

Children from Non-Resident Employees Needing

Licensed Care

Total Demand for Child Care Spaces

Distribution

EXISTING SUPPLY

(1)

(2)

(3)

(4)

20790 31340

71

14704 28273

37

5441 26432

26 84

2037 3074

7478 29506

20 80

Child Care Spaces

52130

42978

86

31873

61

5112

36984

100

Family Child Care Home Supply

Child Care Center Supply

Current Child Care Supply

Distribution

EXISTING SURPLUS(SHORTAGE)

Distribution

Percentage of Demand Met

by Existing FacilitiesSpaces

Shortage of Family Child Care Home Spaces

Shortage of Center-Based Spaces

(5)

(6)

(6)

621

309

930

2301 2893

1514 16296

3815 19189

17 83

(3663) (10318)

26 74

51 65

(2209) (1555)

(1454) (8762)

5193

17810

23003

100

(13981)

100

62

(3765)

(10216)

FINAL

Table B-1

Future C hild Care Demand and Supply in 2025 Countywide

San Mateo County Child Care Study - 2016

Note All footnote references can be found in Table C-1 at the end of this file

Sources 2010 US Census ABAG Projections 2013 2014 American Community Survey ACS Journey-to-Work data 2006-2008 and 2006-2010

Child Care Coordinating Council of San Mateo County (4Cs) Community Care Licensing Brion Economics Inc

Prepared by Brion Economics Inc 2513-SMC NA Final Tables 61216 6122016

ATHERTON

No of

Providers

Child Care as of 2025

Under 2 Years

Old

2 to 4 Year

Olds

Total 0 to 4

Years

EXISTING DEMAND Child Care Demand

Estimated Total Children

Average LFPRAdjustment Factor

Children With Working Parents

Licensed Care Demand Factor

Resident Children Needing Licensed Care

of Total Resident Children Needing Licensed Care

Children from Non-Resident Employees Needing

Licensed Care

(1)

(2)

(3)

109 193

40

43 159

37

16 154

15 80

13 19

302

202

84

170

56

32

Total Demand for Child Care Spaces

Distribution

EXISTING SUPPLY (4)

29 173

14 86

Child Care Spaces

201

100

Family Child Care Home Supply

Child Care Center Supply

Current Child Care Supply

Distribution

EXISTING SURPLUS(SHORTAGE)

Distribution

Percentage of Demand Met

by Existing FacilitiesSpaces

Shortage of Family Child Care Home Spaces

Shortage of Center-Based Spaces

(5)

(6)

(6)

1

6

7

5 6

24 267

29 273

10 90

0 101

0 100

101 158

NA NA

NA NA

11

291

302

100

101

100

150

NA

NA

FINAL

Table B-2

Future Child Care Demand and Supply in 2025 in Atherton

San Mateo Co unty Child Care Study - 2016

Note All footnote references can be found in Table C-1 at the end of this file Sources 2010 US Census ABAG Projections 2013 2014 American Community Survey ACS Journey-to-Work data 2006-2008 and 2006-2010

Child Care Coordinating Council of San Mateo County (4Cs) Community Care Licensing Brion Economics Inc

Prepared by Brion Economics Inc 2513-SMC NA Final Tables 61216 6122016

BELMONT

Child Care as of 2025

No of

Providers

Under 2 Years

Old

2 to 4 Year

Olds

Total 0 to 4

Years

EXISTING DEMAND Child Care Demand

Estimated Total Children

Average LFPRAdjustment Factor

Children With Working Parents

Licensed Care Demand Factor

Resident Children Needing Licensed Care

of Total Resident Children Needing Licensed Care

Children from Non-Resident Employees Needing

Licensed Care

(1)

(2)

(3)

743 1095

77

574 1013

37

213 943

29 86

37 56

1838

1587

73

1156

63

93

Total Demand for Child Care Spaces

Distribution

EXISTING SUPPLY (4)

250 999

20 80

Child Care Spaces

1249

100

Family Child Care Home Supply

Child Care Center Supply

Current Child Care Supply

Distribution

EXISTING SURPLUS(SHORTAGE)

Distribution

Percentage of Demand Met

by Existing FacilitiesSpaces

Shortage of Family Child Care Home Spaces

Shortage of Center-Based Spaces

(5)

(6)

(6)

8

9

17

67 84

39 531

106 615

15 85

(143) (384)

27 73

43 62

(91) (53)

(53) (331)

152

570

722

100

(527)

100

58

(143)

(384)

FINAL

Table B-3

Future Child Care Demand and Supply in 2025 in Belmont

San Mateo County Child Care Study - 2016

Note All footnote references can be found in Table C-1 at the end of this file

Sources 2010 US Census ABAG Projections 2013 2014 American Community Survey ACS Journey-to-Work data 2006-2008 and 2006-2010

Child Care Coordinating Council of San Mateo County (4Cs) Community Care Licensing Brion Economics Inc

Prepared by Brion Economics Inc 2513-SMC NA Final Tables 61216 6122016

BRISBANE

Child Care as of 2025

No of

Providers

Under 2 Years

Old

2 to 4 Year

Olds

Total 0 to 4

Years

EXISTING DEMAND Child Care Demand

Estimated Total Children

Average LFPRAdjustment Factor

Children With Working Parents

Licensed Care Demand Factor

Resident Children Needing Licensed Care

of Total Resident Children Needing Licensed Care

Children from Non-Resident Employees Needing

Licensed Care

(1)

(2)

(3)

131 174

100

131 174

37

48 160

37 92

55 83

305

305

68

209

68

138

Total Demand for Child Care Spaces

Distribution

EXISTING SUPPLY (4)

103 243

30 70

Child Care Spaces

346

100

Family Child Care Home Supply

Child Care Center Supply

Current Child Care Supply

Distribution

EXISTING SURPLUS(SHORTAGE)

Distribution

Percentage of Demand Met

by Existing FacilitiesSpaces

Shortage of Family Child Care Home Spaces

Shortage of Center-Based Spaces

(5)

(6)

(6)

1

1

2

4 5

0 64

4 69

6 94

(99) (174)

36 64

4 29

(99) (13)

0 (160)

9

64

73

100

(273)

100

21

(112)

(160)

FINAL

Table B-4

Future Child Care Demand and Supply in 2025 in Brisbane

San Mateo County Child Care Study - 2016

Note All footnote references can be found in Table C-1 at the end of this file Sources 2010 US Census ABAG Projections 2013 2014 American Community Survey ACS Journey-to-Work data 2006-2008 and 2006-2010

Child Care Coordinating Council of San Mateo County (4Cs) Community Care Licensing Brion Economics Inc

Prepared by Brion Economics Inc 2513-SMC NA Final Tables 61216 6122016

BURLINGAME

Child Care as of 2025

No of

Providers

Under 2 Years

Old

2 to 4 Year

Olds

Total 0 to 4

Years

EXISTING DEMAND Child Care Demand

Estimated Total Children

Average LFPRAdjustment Factor

Children With Working Parents

Licensed Care Demand Factor

Resident Children Needing Licensed Care

of Total Resident Children Needing Licensed Care

Children from Non-Resident Employees Needing

Licensed Care

(1)

(2)

(3)

903 1332

65

587 1190

37

217 1124

24 84

154 232

2235

1777

75

1341

60

385

Total Demand for Child Care Spaces

Distribution

EXISTING SUPPLY (4)

371 1356

21 79

Child Care Spaces

1726

100

Family Child Care Home Supply

Child Care Center Supply

Current Child Care Supply

Distribution

EXISTING SURPLUS(SHORTAGE)

Distribution

Percentage of Demand Met

by Existing FacilitiesSpaces

Shortage of Family Child Care Home Spaces

Shortage of Center-Based Spaces

(5)

(6)

(6)

10

14

24

79 99

40 866

119 965

11 89

(252) (390)

39 61

32 71

(167) (40)

(85) (350)

179

906

1085

100

(642)

100

63

(207)

(434)

FINAL

Table B-5

Future Child Care Demand and Supply in 2025 in Burlingame

San Mateo County Child Care Study - 2016

Note All footnote references can be found in Table C-1 at the end of this file

Sources 2010 US Census ABAG Projections 2013 2014 American Community Survey ACS Journey-to-Work data 2006-2008 and 2006-2010

Child Care Coordinating Council of San Mateo County (4Cs) Community Care Licensing Brion Economics Inc

Prepared by Brion Economics Inc 2513-SMC NA Final Tables 61216 6122016

DALY CITYCOLMA

Child Care as of 2025

No of

Providers

Under 2 Years

Old

2 to 4 Year

Olds

Total 0 to 4

Years

EXISTING DEMAND Child Care Demand

Estimated Total Children

Average LFPRAdjustment Factor

Children With Working Parents

Licensed Care Demand Factor

Resident Children Needing Licensed Care

of Total Resident Children Needing Licensed Care

Children from Non-Resident Employees Needing

Licensed Care

(1)

(2)

(3)

2647 3793

74

1964 3467

37

727 3233

27 85

138 208

6440

5432

73

3960

61

346

Total Demand for Child Care Spaces

Distribution

EXISTING SUPPLY (4)

865 3441

20 80

Child Care Spaces

4306

100

Family Child Care Home Supply

Child Care Center Supply

Current Child Care Supply

Distribution

EXISTING SURPLUS(SHORTAGE)

Distribution

Percentage of Demand Met

by Existing FacilitiesSpaces

Shortage of Family Child Care Home Spaces

Shortage of Center-Based Spaces

(5)

(6)

(6)

25

28

28

288 362

84 1264

372 1626

19 81

(493) (1816)

21 79

43 47

(381) (404)

(111) (1412)

649

1348

1997

100

(2308)

100

46

(785)

(1523)

FINAL

Table B-6

Future C hild Care Demand and Supply in 2025 in Daly CityColma

San Mateo County Child Care Study - 2016

Note All footnote references can be found in Table C-1 at the end of this file

Sources 2010 US Census ABAG Projections 2013 2014 American Community Survey ACS Journey-to-Work data 2006-2008 and 2006-2010

Child Care Coordinating Council of San Mateo County (4Cs) Community Care Licensing Brion Economics Inc

Prepared by Brion Economics Inc 2513-SMC NA Final Tables 61216 6122016

EAST PALO ALTO

Child Care as of 2025

No of

Providers

Under 2 Years

Old

2 to 4 Year

Olds

Total 0 to 4

Years

EXISTING DEMAND Child Care Demand

Estimated Total Children

Average LFPRAdjustment Factor

Children With Working Parents

Licensed Care Demand Factor

Resident Children Needing Licensed Care

of Total Resident Children Needing Licensed Care

Children from Non-Resident Employees Needing

Licensed Care

(1)

(2)

(3)

1161 1849

71

822 1660

37

304 1545

26 84

20 30

3010

2482

75

1849

61

50

Total Demand for Child Care Spaces

Distribution

EXISTING SUPPLY (4)

324 1575

17 83

Child Care Spaces

1900

100

Family Child Care Home Supply

Child Care Center Supply

Current Child Care Supply

Distribution

EXISTING SURPLUS(SHORTAGE)

Distribution

Percentage of Demand Met

by Existing FacilitiesSpaces

Shortage of Family Child Care Home Spaces

Shortage of Center-Based Spaces

(5)

(6)

(6)

13

6

19

85 106

25 633

110 739

13 87

(215) (836)

20 80

34 47

(166) (120)

(49) (715)

191

658

849

100

(1050)

100

45

(286)

(764)

FINAL

Table B-7

Future Child Care Demand and Supply in 2025 in East Palo Alto

San Mateo County Child Care Study - 2016

Note All footnote references can be found in Table C-1 at the end of this file

Sources 2010 US Census ABAG Projections 2013 2014 American Community Survey ACS Journey-to-Work data 2006-2008 and 2006-2010

Child Care Coordinating Council of San Mateo County (4Cs) Community Care Licensing Brion Economics Inc

Prepared by Brion Economics Inc 2513-SMC NA Final Tables 61216 6122016

FOSTER CITY

Child Care as of 2025

No of

Providers

Under 2 Years

Old

2 to 4 Year

Olds

Total 0 to 4

Years

EXISTING DEMAND Child Care Demand

Estimated Total Children

Average LFPRAdjustment Factor

Children With Working Parents

Licensed Care Demand Factor

Resident Children Needing Licensed Care

of Total Resident Children Needing Licensed Care

Children from Non-Resident Employees Needing

Licensed Care

(1)

(2)

(3)

871 1330

63

550 1154

37

204 1079

23 81

80 120

2201

1705

75

1282

58

200

Total Demand for Child Care Spaces

Distribution

EXISTING SUPPLY (4)

283 1199

19 81

Child Care Spaces

1483

100

Family Child Care Home Supply

Child Care Center Supply

Current Child Care Supply

Distribution

EXISTING SURPLUS(SHORTAGE)

Distribution

Percentage of Demand Met

by Existing FacilitiesSpaces

Shortage of Family Child Care Home Spaces

Shortage of Center-Based Spaces

(5)

(6)

(6)

19

12

31

118 149

88 1200

206 1349

13 87

(77) 150

-106 206

73 112

(44) NA

(33) NA

267

1288

1555

100

73

100

105

(44)

(33)

FINAL

Table B-8

Future Child Care Demand and Supply in 2025 in Foster City

San Mateo County Child Care Study - 2016

Note All footnote references can be found in Table C-1 at the end of this file

Sources 2010 US Census ABAG Projections 2013 2014 American Community Survey ACS Journey-to-Work data 2006-2008 and 2006-2010

Child Care Coordinating Council of San Mateo County (4Cs) Community Care Licensing Brion Economics Inc

Prepared by Brion Economics Inc 2513-SMC NA Final Tables 61216 6122016

HALF MOON BAY REGION

Child Care as of 2025

No of

Providers

Under 2 Years

Old

2 to 4 Year

Olds

Total 0 to 4

Years

EXISTING DEMAND Child Care Demand

Estimated Total Children

Average LFPRAdjustment Factor

Children With Working Parents

Licensed Care Demand Factor

Resident Children Needing Licensed Care

of Total Resident Children Needing Licensed Care

Children from Non-Resident Employees Needing

Licensed Care

(1)

(2)

(3)

553 929

69

383 835

37

142 781

26 84

14 21

1482

1217

76

923

62

34

Total Demand for Child Care Spaces

Distribution

EXISTING SUPPLY (4)

155 802

16 84

Child Care Spaces

957

100

Family Child Care Home Supply

Child Care Center Supply

Current Child Care Supply

Distribution

EXISTING SURPLUS(SHORTAGE)

Distribution

Percentage of Demand Met

by Existing FacilitiesSpaces

Shortage of Family Child Care Home Spaces

Shortage of Center-Based Spaces

(5)

(6)

(6)

10

11

21

96 121

35 285

131 406

24 76

(24) (396)

6 94

84 51

(18) (118)

(6) (279)

216

320

536

100

(421)

100

56

(136)

(285)

FINAL

Table B-9

Future Child Care Demand and Supply in 2025 in Half Moon Bay Region

San Mateo County Child Care Study - 2016

Note All footnote references can be found in Table C-1 at the end of this file

Sources 2010 US Census ABAG Projections 2013 2014 American Community Survey ACS Journey-to-Work data 2006-2008 and 2006-2010

Child Care Coordinating Council of San Mateo County (4Cs) Community Care Licensing Brion Economics Inc

Prepared by Brion Economics Inc 2513-SMC NA Final Tables 61216 6122016

HILLSBOROUGH

Child Care as of 2025

No of

Providers

Under 2 Years

Old

2 to 4 Year

Olds

Total 0 to 4

Years

EXISTING DEMAND Child Care Demand

Estimated Total Children

Average LFPRAdjustment Factor

Children With Working Parents

Licensed Care Demand Factor

Resident Children Needing Licensed Care

of Total Resident Children Needing Licensed Care

Children from Non-Resident Employees Needing

Licensed Care

(1)

(2)

(3)

143 343

52

74 295

37

27 282

19 82

7 11

487

369

84

309

64

17

Total Demand for Child Care Spaces

Distribution

EXISTING SUPPLY (4)

34 292

10 90

Child Care Spaces

327

100

Family Child Care Home Supply

Child Care Center Supply

Current Child Care Supply

Distribution

EXISTING SURPLUS(SHORTAGE)

Distribution

Percentage of Demand Met

by Existing FacilitiesSpaces

Shortage of Family Child Care Home Spaces

Shortage of Center-Based Spaces

(5)

(6)

(6)

1

4

5

5 6

- 91

5 97

5 95

(29) (195)

13 87

14 33

(29) (12)

0 (183)

11

91

102

100

(225)

100

31

(42)

(183)

FINAL

Table B-10

Future Child Care Demand and Supply in 2025 in Hillsborough

San Mateo County Child Care Study - 2016

Note All footnote references can be found in Table C-1 at the end of this file

Sources 2010 US Census ABAG Projections 2013 2014 American Community Survey ACS Journey-to-Work data 2006-2008 and 2006-2010

Child Care Coordinating Council of San Mateo County (4Cs) Community Care Licensing Brion Economics Inc

Prepared by Brion Economics Inc 2513-SMC NA Final Tables 61216 6122016

MENLO PARK

Child Care as of 2025

No of

Providers

Under 2 Years

Old

2 to 4 Year

Olds

Total 0 to 4

Years

EXISTING DEMAND Child Care Demand

Estimated Total Children

Average LFPRAdjustment Factor

Children With Working Parents

Licensed Care Demand Factor

Resident Children Needing Licensed Care

of Total Resident Children Needing Licensed Care

Children from Non-Resident Employees Needing

Licensed Care

(1)

(2)

(3)

1327 1954

69

909 1759

37

336 1653

25 85

237 357

3281

2668

75

1989

61

594

Total Demand for Child Care Spaces

Distribution

EXISTING SUPPLY (4)

573 2011

22 78

Child Care Spaces

2584

100

Family Child Care Home Supply

Child Care Center Supply

Current Child Care Supply

Distribution

EXISTING SURPLUS(SHORTAGE)

Distribution

Percentage of Demand Met

by Existing FacilitiesSpaces

Shortage of Family Child Care Home Spaces

Shortage of Center-Based Spaces

(5)

(6)

(6)

15

25

40

76 96

73 1331

149 1427

9 91

(424) (584)

42 58

26 71

(217) (39)

(207) (544)

172

1404

1576

100

(1008)

100

61

(256)

(752)

FINAL

Table B-11

Future Child Care Demand and Supply in 2025 in Menlo Park

San Mateo County Child Care Study - 2016

Note All footnote references can be found in Table C-1 at the end of this file

Sources 2010 US Census ABAG Projections 2013 2014 American Community Survey ACS Journey-to-Work data 2006-2008 and 2006-2010

Child Care Coordinating Council of San Mateo County (4Cs) Community Care Licensing Brion Economics Inc

Prepared by Brion Economics Inc 2513-SMC NA Final Tables 61216 6122016

MILLBRAE

Child Care as of 2025

No of

Providers

Under 2 Years

Old

2 to 4 Year

Olds

Total 0 to 4

Years

EXISTING DEMAND Child Care Demand

Estimated Total Children

Average LFPRAdjustment Factor

Children With Working Parents

Licensed Care Demand Factor

Resident Children Needing Licensed Care

of Total Resident Children Needing Licensed Care

Children from Non-Resident Employees Needing

Licensed Care

(1)

(2)

(3)

473 805

62

291 710

37

108 672

23 83

31 47

1278

1001

78

780

61

77

Total Demand for Child Care Spaces

Distribution

EXISTING SUPPLY (4)

139 718

16 84

Child Care Spaces

857

100

Family Child Care Home Supply

Child Care Center Supply

Current Child Care Supply

Distribution

EXISTING SURPLUS(SHORTAGE)

Distribution

Percentage of Demand Met

by Existing FacilitiesSpaces

Shortage of Family Child Care Home Spaces

Shortage of Center-Based Spaces

(5)

(6)

(6)

7

7

14

62 78

- 376

62 454

12 88

(76) (264)

22 78

45 63

(76) (46)

0 (219)

141

376

517

100

(340)

100

60

(122)

(219)

FINAL

Table B-12

Future C hild Care Demand and Supply in 2025 in Millbrae

San Mateo County Child Care Study - 2016

Note All footnote references can be found in Table C-1 at the end of this file

Sources 2010 US Census ABAG Projections 2013 2014 American Community Survey ACS Journey-to-Work data 2006-2008 and 2006-2010

Child Care Coordinating Council of San Mateo County (4Cs) Community Care Licensing Brion Economics Inc

Prepared by Brion Economics Inc 2513-SMC NA Final Tables 61216 6122016

FINAL

Table B-13

Future Child Care Demand and Supply in 2025 in Pacifica

San Mateo County Child Care Study - 2016

PACIFICA

Child Care as of 2025

No of

Providers

Under 2 Years

Old

2 to 4 Year

Olds

Total 0 to 4

Years

EXISTING DEMAND Child Care Demand

Estimated Total Children

Average L FPRAdjustment Factor

Children With Working Parents

Licensed Care Demand Factor

Resident Children Needing Licensed Care

of Total Resident Children Needing Licensed Care

Children from Non-Resident Employees Needing

Licensed Care

(1)

(2)

(3)

816 1300

78

633 1209

37

234 1130

29 87

19 29

2116

1842

74

1364

64

48

Total Demand for Child Care Spaces

Distribution

EXISTING SUPPLY (4)

254 1159

18 82

Child Care Spaces

1413

100

Family Child Care Home Supply

Child Care Center Supply

Current Child Care Supply

Distribution

EXISTING SURPLUS(SHORTAGE)

Distribution

Percentage of Demand Met

by Existing FacilitiesSpaces

Shortage of Family Child Care Home Spaces

Shortage of Center-Based Spaces

(5)

(6)

(6)

9

18

27

77 97

39 701

116 798

13 87

(138) (361)

28 72

46 69

(91) (44)

(46) (317)

174

740

914

100

(499)

100

65

(135)

(364)

Note All footnote references can be found in Table C-1 at the end of this file

Sources 2010 US Census ABAG Projections 2013 2014 American Community Survey ACS Journey-to-Work data 2006-2008 and 2006-2010

Child Care Coordinating Council of San Mateo County (4Cs) Community Care Licensing Brion Economics Inc

Prepared by Brion Economics Inc 2513-SMC NA Final Tables 61216 6122016

PORTOLA VALLEY

Child Care as of 2025

No of

Providers

Under 2 Years

Old

2 to 4 Year

Olds

Total 0 to 4

Years

EXISTING DEMAND Child Care Demand

Estimated Total Children

Average LFPRAdjustment Factor

Children With Working Parents

Licensed Care Demand Factor

Resident Children Needing Licensed Care

of Total Resident Children Needing Licensed Care

Children from Non-Resident Employees Needing

Licensed Care

(1)

(2)

(3)

77 192

66

51 173

37

19 164

24 85

9 13

269

224

82

182

68

22

Total Demand for Child Care Spaces

Distribution

EXISTING SUPPLY (4)

28 177

13 87

Child Care Spaces

204

100

Family Child Care Home Supply

Child Care Center Supply

Current Child Care Supply

Distribution

EXISTING SURPLUS(SHORTAGE)

Distribution

Percentage of Demand Met

by Existing FacilitiesSpaces

Shortage of Family Child Care Home Spaces

Shortage of Center-Based Spaces

(5)

(6)

(6)

0

4

4

- -

- 153

- 153

0 100

(28) (24)

54 46

0 87

0 0

(28) (24)

0

153

153

100

(51)

100

75

0

(51)

FINAL

Table B-14

Future Child Care Demand and Supply in 2025 in Portola Valley

San Mateo County Child Care Study - 2016

Note All footnote references can be found in Table C-1 at the end of this file

Sources 2010 US Census ABAG Projections 2013 2014 American Community Survey ACS Journey-to-Work data 2006-2008 and 2006-2010

Child Care Coordinating Council of San Mateo County (4Cs) Community Care Licensing Brion Economics Inc

Prepared by Brion Economics Inc 2513-SMC NA Final Tables 61216 6122016

REDWOOD CITY

No of

Providers

Child Care as of 2025

Under 2 Years

Old

2 to 4 Year

Olds

Total 0 to 4

Years

EXISTING DEMAND Child Care Demand

Estimated Total Children

Average LFPRAdjustment Factor

Children With Working Parents

Licensed Care Demand Factor

Resident Children Needing Licensed Care

of Total Resident Children Needing Licensed Care

Children from Non-Resident Employees Needing

Licensed Care

Total Demand for Child Care Spaces

Distribution

EXISTING SUPPLY

(1)

(2)

(3)

(4)

3725 5378

69

2555 4813

37

946 4505

25 84

466 703

1411 5208

21 79

Child Care Spaces

9103

7368

74

5450

60

1169

6619

100

Family Child Care Home Supply

Child Care Center Supply

Current Child Care Supply

Distribution

EXISTING SURPLUS(SHORTAGE)

Distribution

Percentage of Demand Met

by Existing FacilitiesSpaces

Shortage of Family Child Care Home Spaces

Shortage of Center-Based Spaces

(5)

(6)

(6)

42

41

83

396 497

356 2036

752 2533

23 77

(660) (2674)

20 80

53 49

(347) (525)

(313) (2149)

893

2392

3285

100

(3334)

100

50

(872)

(2462)

FINAL

Table B-15

Future Child Care Demand and Supply in 2025 in Redwood City

San Mateo County Child Care Study - 2016

Note All footnote references can be found in Table C-1 at the end of this file

Sources 2010 US Census ABAG Projections 2013 2014 American Community Survey ACS Journey-to-Work data 2006-2008 and 2006-2010

Child Care Coordinating Council of San Mateo County (4Cs) Community Care Licensing Brion Economics Inc

Prepared by Brion Economics Inc 2513-SMC NA Final Tables 61216 6122016

SAN BRUNO

Child Care as of 2025

No of

Providers

Under 2 Years

Old

2 to 4 Year

Olds

Total 0 to 4

Years

EXISTING DEMAND Child Care Demand

Estimated Total Children

Average LFPRAdjustment Factor

Children With Working Parents

Licensed Care Demand Factor

Resident Children Needing Licensed Care

of Total Resident Children Needing Licensed Care

Children from Non-Resident Employees Needing

Licensed Care

(1)

(2)

(3)

1189 1728

77

910 1589

37

337 1475

28 85

68 103

2917

2498

73

1812

62

171

Total Demand for Child Care Spaces

Distribution

EXISTING SUPPLY (4)

405 1578

20 80

Child Care Spaces

1983

100

Family Child Care Home Supply

Child Care Center Supply

Current Child Care Supply

Distribution

EXISTING SURPLUS(SHORTAGE)

Distribution

Percentage of Demand Met

by Existing FacilitiesSpaces

Shortage of Family Child Care Home Spaces

Shortage of Center-Based Spaces

(5)

(6)

(6)

13

15

28

122 153

26 1183

148 1336

10 90

(257) (242)

52 48

37 85

(212) (28)

(45) (214)

275

1209

1484

100

(499)

100

75

(239)

(259)

FINAL

Table B-16

Future C hild Care Demand and Supply in 2025 in San Bruno

San Mateo County Child Care Study - 2016

Note All footnote references can be found in Table C-1 at the end of this file

Sources 2010 US Census ABAG Projections 2013 2014 American Community Survey ACS Journey-to-Work data 2006-2008 and 2006-2010

Child Care Coordinating Council of San Mateo County (4Cs) Community Care Licensing Brion Economics Inc

Prepared by Brion Economics Inc 2513-SMC NA Final Tables 61216 6122016

SAN CARLOS

Child Care as of 2025

No of

Providers

Under 2 Years

Old

2 to 4 Year

Olds

Total 0 to 4

Years

EXISTING DEMAND Child Care Demand

Estimated Total Children

Average LFPRAdjustment Factor

Children With Working Parents

Licensed Care Demand Factor

Resident Children Needing Licensed Care

of Total Resident Children Needing Licensed Care

Children from Non-Resident Employees Needing

Licensed Care

(1)

(2)

(3)

778 1384

72

557 1255

37

206 1174

26 85

82 123

2162

1812

76

1380

64

205

Total Demand for Child Care Spaces

Distribution

EXISTING SUPPLY (4)

288 1297

18 82

Child Care Spaces

1585

100

Family Child Care Home Supply

Child Care Center Supply

Current Child Care Supply

Distribution

EXISTING SURPLUS(SHORTAGE)

Distribution

Percentage of Demand Met

by Existing FacilitiesSpaces

Shortage of Family Child Care Home Spaces

Shortage of Center-Based Spaces

(5)

(6)

(6)

28

14

42

73 92

76 615

149 707

17 83

(139) (590)

19 81

52 54

(68) (76)

(71) (514)

164

691

855

100

(729)

100

54

(145)

(585)

FINAL

Table B-17

Future Child Care Demand and Supply in 2025 in San Carlos

San Mateo County Child Care Study - 2016

Note All footnote references can be found in Table C-1 at the end of this file

Sources 2010 US Census ABAG Projections 2013 2014 American Community Survey ACS Journey-to-Work data 2006-2008 and 2006-2010

Child Care Coordinating Council of San Mateo County (4Cs) Community Care Licensing Brion Economics Inc

Prepared by Brion Economics Inc 2513-SMC NA Final Tables 61216 6122016

SAN MATEO

Child Care as of 2025

No of

Providers

Under 2 Years

Old

2 to 4 Year

Olds

Total 0 to 4

Years

EXISTING DEMAND Child Care Demand

Estimated Total Children

Average LFPRAdjustment Factor

Children With Working Parents

Licensed Care Demand Factor

Resident Children Needing Licensed Care

of Total Resident Children Needing Licensed Care

Children from Non-Resident Employees Needing

Licensed Care

(1)

(2)

(3)

3194 4572

71

2264 4116

37

838 3839

26 84

261 394

7766

6381

73

4677

60

656

Total Demand for Child Care Spaces

Distribution

EXISTING SUPPLY (4)

1099 4233

21 79

Child Care Spaces

5332

100

Family Child Care Home Supply

Child Care Center Supply

Current Child Care Supply

Distribution

EXISTING SURPLUS(SHORTAGE)

Distribution

Percentage of Demand Met

by Existing FacilitiesSpaces

Shortage of Family Child Care Home Spaces

Shortage of Center-Based Spaces

(5)

(6)

(6)

69

59

128

492 619

209 2577

701 3196

18 82

(398) (1037)

28 72

64 75

(279) (201)

(119) (837)

1111

2786

3897

100

(1435)

100

73

(480)

(955)

FINAL

Table B-18

Future Child Care Demand and Supply in 2025 in San Mateo

San Mateo County Child Care Study - 2016

Note All footnote references can be found in Table C-1 at the end of this file

Sources 2010 US Census ABAG Projections 2013 2014 American Community Survey ACS Journey-to-Work data 2006-2008 and 2006-2010

Child Care Coordinating Council of San Mateo County (4Cs) Community Care Licensing Brion Economics Inc

Prepared by Brion Economics Inc 2513-SMC NA Final Tables 61216 6122016

FINAL

Table B-19

Future Child Care Demand and Supply in 2025 in South Coast

San Mateo County Child Care Study - 2016

SOUTH COAST

Child Care as of 2025

No of

Providers

Under 2 Years

Old

2 to 4 Year

Olds

Total 0 to 4

Years

EXISTING DEMAND Child Care Demand

Estimated Total Children (1) 23 32 55

Average LFPRAdjustment Factor (2) 54

Children With Working Parents 12 27 40

Licensed Care Demand Factor (3) 37 77

Resident Children Needing Licensed Care 5 26 30

of Total Resident Children Needing Licensed Care 20 81 56

Children from Non-Resident Employees Needing

Licensed Care 0 0 0

Total Demand for Child Care Spaces 5 26 30

Distribution 15 85 100

EXISTING SUPPLY (4) Child Care Spaces

Family Child Care Home Supply - 0 0 0

Child Care Center Supply 2 0 54 54

Current Child Care Supply 2 - 54 54

Distribution 0 100 100

EXISTING SURPLUS(SHORTAGE) (5) 28 24

Distribution -19 119 100

Percentage of Demand Met

by Existing FacilitiesSpaces (5) 0 209 177

Shortage of Family Child Care Home Spaces (6) 0 NA 0

Shortage of Center-Based Spaces (6) (5) NA (5)

Note All footnote references can be found in Table C-1 at the end of this file

Sources 2010 US Census ABAG Projections 2013 2014 American Community Survey ACS Journey-to-Work data 2006-2008 and 2006-2010

Child Care Coordinating Council of San Mateo County (4Cs) Community Care Licensing Brion Economics Inc

Prepared by Brion Economics Inc 2513-SMC NA Final Tables 61216 6122016

SOUTH SAN FRANCISCO

Child Care as of 2025

No of

Providers

Under 2 Years

Old

2 to 4 Year

Olds

Total 0 to 4

Years

EXISTING DEMAND Child Care Demand

Estimated Total Children

Average LFPRAdjustment Factor

Children With Working Parents

Licensed Care Demand Factor

Resident Children Needing Licensed Care

of Total Resident Children Needing Licensed Care

Children from Non-Resident Employees Needing

Licensed Care

(1)

(2)

(3)

1835 2790

73

1342 2535

37

496 2362

27 85

339 512

4625

3877

74

2859

62

851

Total Demand for Child Care Spaces

Distribution

EXISTING SUPPLY (4)

835 2874

23 77

Child Care Spaces

3709

100

Family Child Care Home Supply

Child Care Center Supply

Current Child Care Supply

Distribution

EXISTING SURPLUS(SHORTAGE)

Distribution

Percentage of Demand Met

by Existing FacilitiesSpaces

Shortage of Family Child Care Home Spaces

Shortage of Center-Based Spaces

(5)

(6)

(6)

30

27

57

252 317

400 1966

652 2283

22 78

(183) (591)

24 76

78 79

(71) (82)

(113) (509)

569

2366

2935

100

(775)

100

79

(153)

(622)

FINAL

Table B-20

Future Child Care Demand and Supply in 2025 in South San Francisco

San Mateo County Child Care Study - 2016

Note All footnote references can be found in Table C-1 at the end of this file

Sources 2010 US Census ABAG Projections 2013 2014 American Community Survey ACS Journey-to-Work data 2006-2008 and 2006-2010

Child Care Coordinating Council of San Mateo County (4Cs) Community Care Licensing Brion Economics Inc

Prepared by Brion Economics Inc 2513-SMC NA Final Tables 61216 6122016

WOODSIDE

No of

Providers

Child Care as of 2025

Under 2 Years

Old

2 to 4 Year

Olds

Total 0 to 4

Years

EXISTING DEMAND Child Care Demand

Estimated Total Children

Average LFPRAdjustment Factor

Children With Working Parents

Licensed Care Demand Factor

Resident Children Needing Licensed Care

of Total Resident Children Needing Licensed Care

Children from Non-Resident Employees Needing

Licensed Care

(1)

(2)

(3)

93 165

56

51 140

37

19 132

21 80

9 13

258

192

79

152

59

22

Total Demand for Child Care Spaces

Distribution

EXISTING SUPPLY (4)

28 146

16 84

Child Care Spaces

174

100

Family Child Care Home Supply

Child Care Center Supply

Current Child Care Supply

Distribution

EXISTING SURPLUS(SHORTAGE)

Distribution

Percentage of Demand Met

by Existing FacilitiesSpaces

Shortage of Family Child Care Home Spaces

Shortage of Center-Based Spaces

(5)

(6)

(6)

1

2

3

4 5

- 103

4 108

4 96

(24) (38)

39 61

15 74

(24) (2)

0 (36)

9

103

112

100

(61)

100

65

(26)

(36)

FINAL

Table B-21

Future Child Care Demand and Supply in 2025 in Woodside

San Mateo County Child Care Study - 2016

Note All footnote references can be found in Table C-1 at the end of this file

Sources 2010 US Census ABAG Projections 2013 2014 American Community Survey ACS Journey-to-Work data 2006-2008 and 2006-2010

Child Care Coordinating Council of San Mateo County (4Cs) Community Care Licensing Brion Economics Inc

Prepared by Brion Economics Inc 2513-SMC NA Final Tables 61216 6122016

FINAL

Table C-1

Endnotes for Tables

San Mateo County Child Care Study - 2016

(1) Population by age is based on the percentage breakdown from the 2010 US Census and applied

to population estimates for 2015 using ABAGs Projections 2013 population data The ABAG data

for each area includes its Sphere of Influence and is not based on strict jurisdictional boundaries

(2) Labor force participation rates are from the 5-Year American Community Survey 2014 and include

children under six years old with two working parents or a single working parent For the 2- to 4-year

olds the labor force participation rate is applied to 2 year olds For 3- and 4-year olds it is assumed

that 100 need licensed care to support preschool for every child so the number of

3- and 4-year olds is not discounted by labor force participation rates

(3) Not all children with working parents are assumed to need licensed care percentage assumptions are

used to calculate the number of children requiring licensed care under each age category The

remaining children are assumed to be cared for in alternate arrangements such as by family members

nannies friends and other unlicensed care For children ages 3- and 4-years old it is assumed that

they all need care in the form of preschool

(4) Data on child care supply provided by the Child Care Coordinating Council of San Mateo County (4Cs)

and Community Care Licensing Division of the California Department of Social Services (CCLD) Data is

for June 2015

(5) Demand that calculates as less than 100 means that there is greater demand than supply percent of

demand that is over 100 means supply exceeds demand

(6) Unmet demand is broken down into shortage by type of care based on the proportion of FCCHs and

child care centers spaces available in each area If an area does not have any FCCHs or centers the

unmet demand is placed in the type of care that is available in the area (eg if there are only centers

all demand goes to centers)

Source Brion Economics Inc

Prepared by Brion Economics Inc 2513-SMC NA Final Tables 61216 6122016

DRAFT REPORT

Table C-2

Labor Force Participation Rates by CityArea

San Mateo County Child Care Study - 2016

CityArea

Labor Force

Participation Rate (1)

Atherton

Belmont

Brisbane

Burlingame

Daly CityColma

East Palo Alto

Foster City

Half Moon Bay Region

Hillsborough

Menlo Park

Millbrae

Pacifica

Portola Valley

Redwood City

San Bruno

San Carlos

San Mateo

South Coast

South San Francisco

Woodside

40

77

100

65

74

71

63

69

52

69

62

78

66

69

77

72

71

54

73

56

(1) Labor force participation rates (LFPRs) are for

families with children under age six with two

working parents or a single parent who works Sources American Community Survey 2014 5-Year

Survey Brion Economics Inc

Prepared by Brion Economics Inc 2513-SMC NA Final Tables 61216 6122016

  • 2513-SMC FINAL NA Memo-61216
  • 2513-SMC NA Final Tables 61216
Page 38: Final San Mateo County Child Care Needs … Care...Future C hild Care Demand and Supply in 2025 in Daly City/Colma San Mateo County Child Care Study - 2016 Note: All footnote references

SAN BRUNO

Child Care as of 2015

No of

Providers

Under 2 Years

Old

2 to 4 Year

Olds

Total 0 to 4

Years

EXISTING DEMAND Child Care Demand

Estimated Total Children

Average LFPRAdjustment Factor

Children With Working Parents

Licensed Care Demand Factor

Resident Children Needing Licensed Care

of Total Resident Children Needing Licensed Care

Children from Non-Resident Employees Needing

Licensed Care

(1)

(2)

(3)

1069 1553

77

817 1428

37

302 1326

28 85

61 92

2622

2245

73

1628

62

153

Total Demand for Child Care Spaces

Distribution

EXISTING SUPPLY (4)

364 1418

20 80

Child Care Spaces

1782

100

Family Child Care Home Supply

Child Care Center Supply

Current Child Care Supply

Distribution

EXISTING SURPLUS(SHORTAGE)

Distribution

Percentage of Demand Met

by Existing FacilitiesSpaces

Shortage of Family Child Care Home Spaces

Shortage of Center-Based Spaces

(5)

(6)

(6)

34

15

49

122 153

26 1183

148 1336

10 90

(216) (82)

72 28

41 94

(178) (9)

(38) (73)

275

1209

1484

100

(298)

100

83

(187)

(110)

FINAL

Table A-16

Existing Child Care Demand and Supply in 2015 in San Bruno

San Mateo County Child Care Study - 2016

Note All footnote references can be found in Table C-1 at the end of this file Sources 2010 US Census ABAG Projections 2013 2014 American Community Survey ACS Journey-to-Work data 2006-2008 and 2006-2010

Child Care Coordinating Council of San Mateo County (4Cs) Community Care Licensing Brion Economics Inc

Prepared by Brion Economics Inc 2513-SMC NA Final Tables 61216 6122016

SAN CARLOS

Child Care as of 2015

No of

Providers

Under 2 Years

Old

2 to 4 Year

Olds

Total 0 to 4

Years

EXISTING DEMAND Child Care Demand

Estimated Total Children

Average LFPRAdjustment Factor

Children With Working Parents

Licensed Care Demand Factor

Resident Children Needing Licensed Care

of Total Resident Children Needing Licensed Care

Children from Non-Resident Employees Needing

Licensed Care

(1)

(2)

(3)

735 1308

72

526 1186

37

195 1109

26 85

75 114

2043

1712

76

1304

64

189

Total Demand for Child Care Spaces

Distribution

EXISTING SUPPLY (4)

270 1222

18 82

Child Care Spaces

1492

100

Family Child Care Home Supply

Child Care Center Supply

Current Child Care Supply

Distribution

EXISTING SURPLUS(SHORTAGE)

Distribution

Percentage of Demand Met

by Existing FacilitiesSpaces

Shortage of Family Child Care Home Spaces

Shortage of Center-Based Spaces

(5)

(6)

(6)

20

14

34

73 92

76 615

149 707

17 83

(121) (516)

19 81

55 58

(59) (67)

(62) (449)

164

691

855

100

(637)

100

57

(126)

(511)

FINAL

Table A-17

Existing Child Care Demand and Supply in 2015 in San Carlos

San Mateo County Child Care Study - 2016

Note All footnote references can be found in Table C-1 at the end of this file

Sources 2010 US Census ABAG Projections 2013 2014 American Community Survey ACS Journey-to-Work data 2006-2008 and 2006-2010

Child Care Coordinating Council of San Mateo County (4Cs) Community Care Licensing Brion Economics Inc

Prepared by Brion Economics Inc 2513-SMC NA Final Tables 61216 6122016

SAN MATEO

Child Care as of 2015

No of

Providers

Under 2 Years

Old

2 to 4 Year

Olds

Total 0 to 4

Years

EXISTING DEMAND Child Care Demand

Estimated Total Children

Average LFPRAdjustment Factor

Children With Working Parents

Licensed Care Demand Factor

Resident Children Needing Licensed Care

of Total Resident Children Needing Licensed Care

Children from Non-Resident Employees Needing

Licensed Care

(1)

(2)

(3)

2943 4213

71

2087 3793

37

772 3537

26 84

231 348

7156

5880

73

4309

60

579

Total Demand for Child Care Spaces

Distribution

EXISTING SUPPLY (4)

1003 3886

21 79

Child Care Spaces

4889

100

Family Child Care Home Supply

Child Care Center Supply

Current Child Care Supply

Distribution

EXISTING SURPLUS(SHORTAGE)

Distribution

Percentage of Demand Met

by Existing FacilitiesSpaces

Shortage of Family Child Care Home Spaces

Shortage of Center-Based Spaces

(5)

(6)

(6)

126

59

185

492 619

209 2577

701 3196

18 82

(302) (690)

30 70

70 82

(212) (134)

(90) (557)

1111

2786

3897

100

(992)

100

80

(345)

(647)

FINAL

Table A-18

Existing Child Care Demand and Supply in 2015 in San Mateo

San Mateo County Child Care Study - 2016

Note All footnote references can be found in Table C-1 at the end of this file

Sources 2010 US Census ABAG Projections 2013 2014 American Community Survey ACS Journey-to-Work data 2006-2008 and 2006-2010

Child Care Coordinating Council of San Mateo County (4Cs) Community Care Licensing Brion Economics Inc

Prepared by Brion Economics Inc 2513-SMC NA Final Tables 61216 6122016

SOUTH COAST

Child Care as of 2015

No of

Providers

Under 2 Years

Old

2 to 4 Year

Olds

Total 0 to 4

Years

EXISTING DEMAND Child Care Demand

Estimated Total Children

Average LFPRAdjustment Factor

Children With Working Parents

Licensed Care Demand Factor

Resident Children Needing Licensed Care

of Total Resident Children Needing Licensed Care

Children from Non-Resident Employees Needing

Licensed Care

(1)

(2)

(3)

21 29

54

11 25

37

4 23

20 81

0 0

50

36

77

28

56

0

Total Demand for Child Care Spaces

Distribution

EXISTING SUPPLY (4)

4 23

15 85

Child Care Spaces

28

100

Family Child Care Home Supply

Child Care Center Supply

Current Child Care Supply

Distribution

EXISTING SURPLUS(SHORTAGE)

Distribution

Percentage of Demand Met

by Existing FacilitiesSpaces

Shortage of Family Child Care Home Spaces

Shortage of Center-Based Spaces

(5)

(6)

(6)

-

2

2

- -

- 54

- 54

0 100

(4) 31

-16 116

0 230

(2) NA

(2) NA

0

54

54

100

26

100

195

(2)

(2)

FINAL

Table A-19

Existing Child Care Demand and Supply in 2015 in South Coast

San Mateo County Child Care Study - 2016

Note All footnote references can be found in Table C-1 at the end of this file

Sources 2010 US Census ABAG Projections 2013 2014 American Community Survey ACS Journey-to-Work data 2006-2008 and 2006-2010

Child Care Coordinating Council of San Mateo County (4Cs) Community Care Licensing Brion Economics Inc

Prepared by Brion Economics Inc 2513-SMC NA Final Tables 61216 6122016

SOUTH SAN FRANCISCO

Child Care as of 2015

No of

Providers

Under 2 Years

Old

2 to 4 Year

Olds

Total 0 to 4

Years

EXISTING DEMAND Child Care Demand

Estimated Total Children

Average LFPRAdjustment Factor

Children With Working Parents

Licensed Care Demand Factor

Resident Children Needing Licensed Care

of Total Resident Children Needing Licensed Care

Children from Non-Resident Employees Needing

Licensed Care

(1)

(2)

(3)

1649 2507

73

1206 2278

37

446 2123

27 85

309 466

4156

3484

74

2569

62

774

Total Demand for Child Care Spaces

Distribution

EXISTING SUPPLY (4)

755 2588

23 77

Child Care Spaces

3343

100

Family Child Care Home Supply

Child Care Center Supply

Current Child Care Supply

Distribution

EXISTING SURPLUS(SHORTAGE)

Distribution

Percentage of Demand Met

by Existing FacilitiesSpaces

Shortage of Family Child Care Home Spaces

Shortage of Center-Based Spaces

(5)

(6)

(6)

68

27

95

252 317

400 1966

652 2283

22 78

(103) (306)

25 75

86 88

(40) (42)

(63) (263)

569

2366

2935

100

(408)

100

88

(82)

(326)

FINAL

Table A-20

Existing Child Care Demand and Supply in 2015 in South San Francisco

San Mateo County Child Care Study - 2016

Note All footnote references can be found in Table C-1 at the end of this file Sources 2010 US Census ABAG Projections 2013 2014 American Community Survey ACS Journey-to-Work data 2006-2008 and 2006-2010

Child Care Coordinating Council of San Mateo County (4Cs) Community Care Licensing Brion Economics Inc

Prepared by Brion Economics Inc 2513-SMC NA Final Tables 61216 6122016

WOODSIDE

No of

Providers

Child Care as of 2015

Under 2 Years

Old

2 to 4 Year

Olds

Total 0 to 4

Years

EXISTING DEMAND Child Care Demand

Estimated Total Children

Average LFPRAdjustment Factor

Children With Working Parents

Licensed Care Demand Factor

Resident Children Needing Licensed Care

of Total Resident Children Needing Licensed Care

Children from Non-Resident Employees Needing

Licensed Care

(1)

(2)

(3)

90 160

56

50 136

37

18 128

21 80

8 13

250

186

79

147

59

21

Total Demand for Child Care Spaces

Distribution

EXISTING SUPPLY (4)

27 141

16 84

Child Care Spaces

168

100

Family Child Care Home Supply

Child Care Center Supply

Current Child Care Supply

Distribution

EXISTING SURPLUS(SHORTAGE)

Distribution

Percentage of Demand Met

by Existing FacilitiesSpaces

Shortage of Family Child Care Home Spaces

Shortage of Center-Based Spaces

(5)

(6)

(6)

1

2

3

4 5

0 103

4 108

4 96

(23) (33)

41 59

16 77

(23) (2)

0 (31)

9

103

112

100

(55)

100

67

(24)

(31)

FINAL

Table A-21

Existing Child Care Demand and Supply in 2015 in Woodside

San Mateo County Child Care Study - 2016

Note All footnote references can be found in Table C-1 at the end of this file Sources 2010 US Census ABAG Projections 2013 2014 American Community Survey ACS Journey-to-Work data 2006-2008 and 2006-2010

Child Care Coordinating Council of San Mateo County (4Cs) Community Care Licensing Brion Economics Inc

Prepared by Brion Economics Inc 2513-SMC NA Final Tables 61216 6122016

COUNTYWIDE

Child Care as of 2025

No of

Providers

Under 2 Years

Old

2 to 4 Year

Olds

Total 0 to 4

Years

EXISTING DEMAND Child Care Demand

Estimated Total Children

Average LFPRAdjustment Factor

Children With Working Parents

Licensed Care Demand Factor

Resident Children Needing Licensed Care

of Total Resident Children Needing Licensed Care

Children from Non-Resident Employees Needing

Licensed Care

Total Demand for Child Care Spaces

Distribution

EXISTING SUPPLY

(1)

(2)

(3)

(4)

20790 31340

71

14704 28273

37

5441 26432

26 84

2037 3074

7478 29506

20 80

Child Care Spaces

52130

42978

86

31873

61

5112

36984

100

Family Child Care Home Supply

Child Care Center Supply

Current Child Care Supply

Distribution

EXISTING SURPLUS(SHORTAGE)

Distribution

Percentage of Demand Met

by Existing FacilitiesSpaces

Shortage of Family Child Care Home Spaces

Shortage of Center-Based Spaces

(5)

(6)

(6)

621

309

930

2301 2893

1514 16296

3815 19189

17 83

(3663) (10318)

26 74

51 65

(2209) (1555)

(1454) (8762)

5193

17810

23003

100

(13981)

100

62

(3765)

(10216)

FINAL

Table B-1

Future C hild Care Demand and Supply in 2025 Countywide

San Mateo County Child Care Study - 2016

Note All footnote references can be found in Table C-1 at the end of this file

Sources 2010 US Census ABAG Projections 2013 2014 American Community Survey ACS Journey-to-Work data 2006-2008 and 2006-2010

Child Care Coordinating Council of San Mateo County (4Cs) Community Care Licensing Brion Economics Inc

Prepared by Brion Economics Inc 2513-SMC NA Final Tables 61216 6122016

ATHERTON

No of

Providers

Child Care as of 2025

Under 2 Years

Old

2 to 4 Year

Olds

Total 0 to 4

Years

EXISTING DEMAND Child Care Demand

Estimated Total Children

Average LFPRAdjustment Factor

Children With Working Parents

Licensed Care Demand Factor

Resident Children Needing Licensed Care

of Total Resident Children Needing Licensed Care

Children from Non-Resident Employees Needing

Licensed Care

(1)

(2)

(3)

109 193

40

43 159

37

16 154

15 80

13 19

302

202

84

170

56

32

Total Demand for Child Care Spaces

Distribution

EXISTING SUPPLY (4)

29 173

14 86

Child Care Spaces

201

100

Family Child Care Home Supply

Child Care Center Supply

Current Child Care Supply

Distribution

EXISTING SURPLUS(SHORTAGE)

Distribution

Percentage of Demand Met

by Existing FacilitiesSpaces

Shortage of Family Child Care Home Spaces

Shortage of Center-Based Spaces

(5)

(6)

(6)

1

6

7

5 6

24 267

29 273

10 90

0 101

0 100

101 158

NA NA

NA NA

11

291

302

100

101

100

150

NA

NA

FINAL

Table B-2

Future Child Care Demand and Supply in 2025 in Atherton

San Mateo Co unty Child Care Study - 2016

Note All footnote references can be found in Table C-1 at the end of this file Sources 2010 US Census ABAG Projections 2013 2014 American Community Survey ACS Journey-to-Work data 2006-2008 and 2006-2010

Child Care Coordinating Council of San Mateo County (4Cs) Community Care Licensing Brion Economics Inc

Prepared by Brion Economics Inc 2513-SMC NA Final Tables 61216 6122016

BELMONT

Child Care as of 2025

No of

Providers

Under 2 Years

Old

2 to 4 Year

Olds

Total 0 to 4

Years

EXISTING DEMAND Child Care Demand

Estimated Total Children

Average LFPRAdjustment Factor

Children With Working Parents

Licensed Care Demand Factor

Resident Children Needing Licensed Care

of Total Resident Children Needing Licensed Care

Children from Non-Resident Employees Needing

Licensed Care

(1)

(2)

(3)

743 1095

77

574 1013

37

213 943

29 86

37 56

1838

1587

73

1156

63

93

Total Demand for Child Care Spaces

Distribution

EXISTING SUPPLY (4)

250 999

20 80

Child Care Spaces

1249

100

Family Child Care Home Supply

Child Care Center Supply

Current Child Care Supply

Distribution

EXISTING SURPLUS(SHORTAGE)

Distribution

Percentage of Demand Met

by Existing FacilitiesSpaces

Shortage of Family Child Care Home Spaces

Shortage of Center-Based Spaces

(5)

(6)

(6)

8

9

17

67 84

39 531

106 615

15 85

(143) (384)

27 73

43 62

(91) (53)

(53) (331)

152

570

722

100

(527)

100

58

(143)

(384)

FINAL

Table B-3

Future Child Care Demand and Supply in 2025 in Belmont

San Mateo County Child Care Study - 2016

Note All footnote references can be found in Table C-1 at the end of this file

Sources 2010 US Census ABAG Projections 2013 2014 American Community Survey ACS Journey-to-Work data 2006-2008 and 2006-2010

Child Care Coordinating Council of San Mateo County (4Cs) Community Care Licensing Brion Economics Inc

Prepared by Brion Economics Inc 2513-SMC NA Final Tables 61216 6122016

BRISBANE

Child Care as of 2025

No of

Providers

Under 2 Years

Old

2 to 4 Year

Olds

Total 0 to 4

Years

EXISTING DEMAND Child Care Demand

Estimated Total Children

Average LFPRAdjustment Factor

Children With Working Parents

Licensed Care Demand Factor

Resident Children Needing Licensed Care

of Total Resident Children Needing Licensed Care

Children from Non-Resident Employees Needing

Licensed Care

(1)

(2)

(3)

131 174

100

131 174

37

48 160

37 92

55 83

305

305

68

209

68

138

Total Demand for Child Care Spaces

Distribution

EXISTING SUPPLY (4)

103 243

30 70

Child Care Spaces

346

100

Family Child Care Home Supply

Child Care Center Supply

Current Child Care Supply

Distribution

EXISTING SURPLUS(SHORTAGE)

Distribution

Percentage of Demand Met

by Existing FacilitiesSpaces

Shortage of Family Child Care Home Spaces

Shortage of Center-Based Spaces

(5)

(6)

(6)

1

1

2

4 5

0 64

4 69

6 94

(99) (174)

36 64

4 29

(99) (13)

0 (160)

9

64

73

100

(273)

100

21

(112)

(160)

FINAL

Table B-4

Future Child Care Demand and Supply in 2025 in Brisbane

San Mateo County Child Care Study - 2016

Note All footnote references can be found in Table C-1 at the end of this file Sources 2010 US Census ABAG Projections 2013 2014 American Community Survey ACS Journey-to-Work data 2006-2008 and 2006-2010

Child Care Coordinating Council of San Mateo County (4Cs) Community Care Licensing Brion Economics Inc

Prepared by Brion Economics Inc 2513-SMC NA Final Tables 61216 6122016

BURLINGAME

Child Care as of 2025

No of

Providers

Under 2 Years

Old

2 to 4 Year

Olds

Total 0 to 4

Years

EXISTING DEMAND Child Care Demand

Estimated Total Children

Average LFPRAdjustment Factor

Children With Working Parents

Licensed Care Demand Factor

Resident Children Needing Licensed Care

of Total Resident Children Needing Licensed Care

Children from Non-Resident Employees Needing

Licensed Care

(1)

(2)

(3)

903 1332

65

587 1190

37

217 1124

24 84

154 232

2235

1777

75

1341

60

385

Total Demand for Child Care Spaces

Distribution

EXISTING SUPPLY (4)

371 1356

21 79

Child Care Spaces

1726

100

Family Child Care Home Supply

Child Care Center Supply

Current Child Care Supply

Distribution

EXISTING SURPLUS(SHORTAGE)

Distribution

Percentage of Demand Met

by Existing FacilitiesSpaces

Shortage of Family Child Care Home Spaces

Shortage of Center-Based Spaces

(5)

(6)

(6)

10

14

24

79 99

40 866

119 965

11 89

(252) (390)

39 61

32 71

(167) (40)

(85) (350)

179

906

1085

100

(642)

100

63

(207)

(434)

FINAL

Table B-5

Future Child Care Demand and Supply in 2025 in Burlingame

San Mateo County Child Care Study - 2016

Note All footnote references can be found in Table C-1 at the end of this file

Sources 2010 US Census ABAG Projections 2013 2014 American Community Survey ACS Journey-to-Work data 2006-2008 and 2006-2010

Child Care Coordinating Council of San Mateo County (4Cs) Community Care Licensing Brion Economics Inc

Prepared by Brion Economics Inc 2513-SMC NA Final Tables 61216 6122016

DALY CITYCOLMA

Child Care as of 2025

No of

Providers

Under 2 Years

Old

2 to 4 Year

Olds

Total 0 to 4

Years

EXISTING DEMAND Child Care Demand

Estimated Total Children

Average LFPRAdjustment Factor

Children With Working Parents

Licensed Care Demand Factor

Resident Children Needing Licensed Care

of Total Resident Children Needing Licensed Care

Children from Non-Resident Employees Needing

Licensed Care

(1)

(2)

(3)

2647 3793

74

1964 3467

37

727 3233

27 85

138 208

6440

5432

73

3960

61

346

Total Demand for Child Care Spaces

Distribution

EXISTING SUPPLY (4)

865 3441

20 80

Child Care Spaces

4306

100

Family Child Care Home Supply

Child Care Center Supply

Current Child Care Supply

Distribution

EXISTING SURPLUS(SHORTAGE)

Distribution

Percentage of Demand Met

by Existing FacilitiesSpaces

Shortage of Family Child Care Home Spaces

Shortage of Center-Based Spaces

(5)

(6)

(6)

25

28

28

288 362

84 1264

372 1626

19 81

(493) (1816)

21 79

43 47

(381) (404)

(111) (1412)

649

1348

1997

100

(2308)

100

46

(785)

(1523)

FINAL

Table B-6

Future C hild Care Demand and Supply in 2025 in Daly CityColma

San Mateo County Child Care Study - 2016

Note All footnote references can be found in Table C-1 at the end of this file

Sources 2010 US Census ABAG Projections 2013 2014 American Community Survey ACS Journey-to-Work data 2006-2008 and 2006-2010

Child Care Coordinating Council of San Mateo County (4Cs) Community Care Licensing Brion Economics Inc

Prepared by Brion Economics Inc 2513-SMC NA Final Tables 61216 6122016

EAST PALO ALTO

Child Care as of 2025

No of

Providers

Under 2 Years

Old

2 to 4 Year

Olds

Total 0 to 4

Years

EXISTING DEMAND Child Care Demand

Estimated Total Children

Average LFPRAdjustment Factor

Children With Working Parents

Licensed Care Demand Factor

Resident Children Needing Licensed Care

of Total Resident Children Needing Licensed Care

Children from Non-Resident Employees Needing

Licensed Care

(1)

(2)

(3)

1161 1849

71

822 1660

37

304 1545

26 84

20 30

3010

2482

75

1849

61

50

Total Demand for Child Care Spaces

Distribution

EXISTING SUPPLY (4)

324 1575

17 83

Child Care Spaces

1900

100

Family Child Care Home Supply

Child Care Center Supply

Current Child Care Supply

Distribution

EXISTING SURPLUS(SHORTAGE)

Distribution

Percentage of Demand Met

by Existing FacilitiesSpaces

Shortage of Family Child Care Home Spaces

Shortage of Center-Based Spaces

(5)

(6)

(6)

13

6

19

85 106

25 633

110 739

13 87

(215) (836)

20 80

34 47

(166) (120)

(49) (715)

191

658

849

100

(1050)

100

45

(286)

(764)

FINAL

Table B-7

Future Child Care Demand and Supply in 2025 in East Palo Alto

San Mateo County Child Care Study - 2016

Note All footnote references can be found in Table C-1 at the end of this file

Sources 2010 US Census ABAG Projections 2013 2014 American Community Survey ACS Journey-to-Work data 2006-2008 and 2006-2010

Child Care Coordinating Council of San Mateo County (4Cs) Community Care Licensing Brion Economics Inc

Prepared by Brion Economics Inc 2513-SMC NA Final Tables 61216 6122016

FOSTER CITY

Child Care as of 2025

No of

Providers

Under 2 Years

Old

2 to 4 Year

Olds

Total 0 to 4

Years

EXISTING DEMAND Child Care Demand

Estimated Total Children

Average LFPRAdjustment Factor

Children With Working Parents

Licensed Care Demand Factor

Resident Children Needing Licensed Care

of Total Resident Children Needing Licensed Care

Children from Non-Resident Employees Needing

Licensed Care

(1)

(2)

(3)

871 1330

63

550 1154

37

204 1079

23 81

80 120

2201

1705

75

1282

58

200

Total Demand for Child Care Spaces

Distribution

EXISTING SUPPLY (4)

283 1199

19 81

Child Care Spaces

1483

100

Family Child Care Home Supply

Child Care Center Supply

Current Child Care Supply

Distribution

EXISTING SURPLUS(SHORTAGE)

Distribution

Percentage of Demand Met

by Existing FacilitiesSpaces

Shortage of Family Child Care Home Spaces

Shortage of Center-Based Spaces

(5)

(6)

(6)

19

12

31

118 149

88 1200

206 1349

13 87

(77) 150

-106 206

73 112

(44) NA

(33) NA

267

1288

1555

100

73

100

105

(44)

(33)

FINAL

Table B-8

Future Child Care Demand and Supply in 2025 in Foster City

San Mateo County Child Care Study - 2016

Note All footnote references can be found in Table C-1 at the end of this file

Sources 2010 US Census ABAG Projections 2013 2014 American Community Survey ACS Journey-to-Work data 2006-2008 and 2006-2010

Child Care Coordinating Council of San Mateo County (4Cs) Community Care Licensing Brion Economics Inc

Prepared by Brion Economics Inc 2513-SMC NA Final Tables 61216 6122016

HALF MOON BAY REGION

Child Care as of 2025

No of

Providers

Under 2 Years

Old

2 to 4 Year

Olds

Total 0 to 4

Years

EXISTING DEMAND Child Care Demand

Estimated Total Children

Average LFPRAdjustment Factor

Children With Working Parents

Licensed Care Demand Factor

Resident Children Needing Licensed Care

of Total Resident Children Needing Licensed Care

Children from Non-Resident Employees Needing

Licensed Care

(1)

(2)

(3)

553 929

69

383 835

37

142 781

26 84

14 21

1482

1217

76

923

62

34

Total Demand for Child Care Spaces

Distribution

EXISTING SUPPLY (4)

155 802

16 84

Child Care Spaces

957

100

Family Child Care Home Supply

Child Care Center Supply

Current Child Care Supply

Distribution

EXISTING SURPLUS(SHORTAGE)

Distribution

Percentage of Demand Met

by Existing FacilitiesSpaces

Shortage of Family Child Care Home Spaces

Shortage of Center-Based Spaces

(5)

(6)

(6)

10

11

21

96 121

35 285

131 406

24 76

(24) (396)

6 94

84 51

(18) (118)

(6) (279)

216

320

536

100

(421)

100

56

(136)

(285)

FINAL

Table B-9

Future Child Care Demand and Supply in 2025 in Half Moon Bay Region

San Mateo County Child Care Study - 2016

Note All footnote references can be found in Table C-1 at the end of this file

Sources 2010 US Census ABAG Projections 2013 2014 American Community Survey ACS Journey-to-Work data 2006-2008 and 2006-2010

Child Care Coordinating Council of San Mateo County (4Cs) Community Care Licensing Brion Economics Inc

Prepared by Brion Economics Inc 2513-SMC NA Final Tables 61216 6122016

HILLSBOROUGH

Child Care as of 2025

No of

Providers

Under 2 Years

Old

2 to 4 Year

Olds

Total 0 to 4

Years

EXISTING DEMAND Child Care Demand

Estimated Total Children

Average LFPRAdjustment Factor

Children With Working Parents

Licensed Care Demand Factor

Resident Children Needing Licensed Care

of Total Resident Children Needing Licensed Care

Children from Non-Resident Employees Needing

Licensed Care

(1)

(2)

(3)

143 343

52

74 295

37

27 282

19 82

7 11

487

369

84

309

64

17

Total Demand for Child Care Spaces

Distribution

EXISTING SUPPLY (4)

34 292

10 90

Child Care Spaces

327

100

Family Child Care Home Supply

Child Care Center Supply

Current Child Care Supply

Distribution

EXISTING SURPLUS(SHORTAGE)

Distribution

Percentage of Demand Met

by Existing FacilitiesSpaces

Shortage of Family Child Care Home Spaces

Shortage of Center-Based Spaces

(5)

(6)

(6)

1

4

5

5 6

- 91

5 97

5 95

(29) (195)

13 87

14 33

(29) (12)

0 (183)

11

91

102

100

(225)

100

31

(42)

(183)

FINAL

Table B-10

Future Child Care Demand and Supply in 2025 in Hillsborough

San Mateo County Child Care Study - 2016

Note All footnote references can be found in Table C-1 at the end of this file

Sources 2010 US Census ABAG Projections 2013 2014 American Community Survey ACS Journey-to-Work data 2006-2008 and 2006-2010

Child Care Coordinating Council of San Mateo County (4Cs) Community Care Licensing Brion Economics Inc

Prepared by Brion Economics Inc 2513-SMC NA Final Tables 61216 6122016

MENLO PARK

Child Care as of 2025

No of

Providers

Under 2 Years

Old

2 to 4 Year

Olds

Total 0 to 4

Years

EXISTING DEMAND Child Care Demand

Estimated Total Children

Average LFPRAdjustment Factor

Children With Working Parents

Licensed Care Demand Factor

Resident Children Needing Licensed Care

of Total Resident Children Needing Licensed Care

Children from Non-Resident Employees Needing

Licensed Care

(1)

(2)

(3)

1327 1954

69

909 1759

37

336 1653

25 85

237 357

3281

2668

75

1989

61

594

Total Demand for Child Care Spaces

Distribution

EXISTING SUPPLY (4)

573 2011

22 78

Child Care Spaces

2584

100

Family Child Care Home Supply

Child Care Center Supply

Current Child Care Supply

Distribution

EXISTING SURPLUS(SHORTAGE)

Distribution

Percentage of Demand Met

by Existing FacilitiesSpaces

Shortage of Family Child Care Home Spaces

Shortage of Center-Based Spaces

(5)

(6)

(6)

15

25

40

76 96

73 1331

149 1427

9 91

(424) (584)

42 58

26 71

(217) (39)

(207) (544)

172

1404

1576

100

(1008)

100

61

(256)

(752)

FINAL

Table B-11

Future Child Care Demand and Supply in 2025 in Menlo Park

San Mateo County Child Care Study - 2016

Note All footnote references can be found in Table C-1 at the end of this file

Sources 2010 US Census ABAG Projections 2013 2014 American Community Survey ACS Journey-to-Work data 2006-2008 and 2006-2010

Child Care Coordinating Council of San Mateo County (4Cs) Community Care Licensing Brion Economics Inc

Prepared by Brion Economics Inc 2513-SMC NA Final Tables 61216 6122016

MILLBRAE

Child Care as of 2025

No of

Providers

Under 2 Years

Old

2 to 4 Year

Olds

Total 0 to 4

Years

EXISTING DEMAND Child Care Demand

Estimated Total Children

Average LFPRAdjustment Factor

Children With Working Parents

Licensed Care Demand Factor

Resident Children Needing Licensed Care

of Total Resident Children Needing Licensed Care

Children from Non-Resident Employees Needing

Licensed Care

(1)

(2)

(3)

473 805

62

291 710

37

108 672

23 83

31 47

1278

1001

78

780

61

77

Total Demand for Child Care Spaces

Distribution

EXISTING SUPPLY (4)

139 718

16 84

Child Care Spaces

857

100

Family Child Care Home Supply

Child Care Center Supply

Current Child Care Supply

Distribution

EXISTING SURPLUS(SHORTAGE)

Distribution

Percentage of Demand Met

by Existing FacilitiesSpaces

Shortage of Family Child Care Home Spaces

Shortage of Center-Based Spaces

(5)

(6)

(6)

7

7

14

62 78

- 376

62 454

12 88

(76) (264)

22 78

45 63

(76) (46)

0 (219)

141

376

517

100

(340)

100

60

(122)

(219)

FINAL

Table B-12

Future C hild Care Demand and Supply in 2025 in Millbrae

San Mateo County Child Care Study - 2016

Note All footnote references can be found in Table C-1 at the end of this file

Sources 2010 US Census ABAG Projections 2013 2014 American Community Survey ACS Journey-to-Work data 2006-2008 and 2006-2010

Child Care Coordinating Council of San Mateo County (4Cs) Community Care Licensing Brion Economics Inc

Prepared by Brion Economics Inc 2513-SMC NA Final Tables 61216 6122016

FINAL

Table B-13

Future Child Care Demand and Supply in 2025 in Pacifica

San Mateo County Child Care Study - 2016

PACIFICA

Child Care as of 2025

No of

Providers

Under 2 Years

Old

2 to 4 Year

Olds

Total 0 to 4

Years

EXISTING DEMAND Child Care Demand

Estimated Total Children

Average L FPRAdjustment Factor

Children With Working Parents

Licensed Care Demand Factor

Resident Children Needing Licensed Care

of Total Resident Children Needing Licensed Care

Children from Non-Resident Employees Needing

Licensed Care

(1)

(2)

(3)

816 1300

78

633 1209

37

234 1130

29 87

19 29

2116

1842

74

1364

64

48

Total Demand for Child Care Spaces

Distribution

EXISTING SUPPLY (4)

254 1159

18 82

Child Care Spaces

1413

100

Family Child Care Home Supply

Child Care Center Supply

Current Child Care Supply

Distribution

EXISTING SURPLUS(SHORTAGE)

Distribution

Percentage of Demand Met

by Existing FacilitiesSpaces

Shortage of Family Child Care Home Spaces

Shortage of Center-Based Spaces

(5)

(6)

(6)

9

18

27

77 97

39 701

116 798

13 87

(138) (361)

28 72

46 69

(91) (44)

(46) (317)

174

740

914

100

(499)

100

65

(135)

(364)

Note All footnote references can be found in Table C-1 at the end of this file

Sources 2010 US Census ABAG Projections 2013 2014 American Community Survey ACS Journey-to-Work data 2006-2008 and 2006-2010

Child Care Coordinating Council of San Mateo County (4Cs) Community Care Licensing Brion Economics Inc

Prepared by Brion Economics Inc 2513-SMC NA Final Tables 61216 6122016

PORTOLA VALLEY

Child Care as of 2025

No of

Providers

Under 2 Years

Old

2 to 4 Year

Olds

Total 0 to 4

Years

EXISTING DEMAND Child Care Demand

Estimated Total Children

Average LFPRAdjustment Factor

Children With Working Parents

Licensed Care Demand Factor

Resident Children Needing Licensed Care

of Total Resident Children Needing Licensed Care

Children from Non-Resident Employees Needing

Licensed Care

(1)

(2)

(3)

77 192

66

51 173

37

19 164

24 85

9 13

269

224

82

182

68

22

Total Demand for Child Care Spaces

Distribution

EXISTING SUPPLY (4)

28 177

13 87

Child Care Spaces

204

100

Family Child Care Home Supply

Child Care Center Supply

Current Child Care Supply

Distribution

EXISTING SURPLUS(SHORTAGE)

Distribution

Percentage of Demand Met

by Existing FacilitiesSpaces

Shortage of Family Child Care Home Spaces

Shortage of Center-Based Spaces

(5)

(6)

(6)

0

4

4

- -

- 153

- 153

0 100

(28) (24)

54 46

0 87

0 0

(28) (24)

0

153

153

100

(51)

100

75

0

(51)

FINAL

Table B-14

Future Child Care Demand and Supply in 2025 in Portola Valley

San Mateo County Child Care Study - 2016

Note All footnote references can be found in Table C-1 at the end of this file

Sources 2010 US Census ABAG Projections 2013 2014 American Community Survey ACS Journey-to-Work data 2006-2008 and 2006-2010

Child Care Coordinating Council of San Mateo County (4Cs) Community Care Licensing Brion Economics Inc

Prepared by Brion Economics Inc 2513-SMC NA Final Tables 61216 6122016

REDWOOD CITY

No of

Providers

Child Care as of 2025

Under 2 Years

Old

2 to 4 Year

Olds

Total 0 to 4

Years

EXISTING DEMAND Child Care Demand

Estimated Total Children

Average LFPRAdjustment Factor

Children With Working Parents

Licensed Care Demand Factor

Resident Children Needing Licensed Care

of Total Resident Children Needing Licensed Care

Children from Non-Resident Employees Needing

Licensed Care

Total Demand for Child Care Spaces

Distribution

EXISTING SUPPLY

(1)

(2)

(3)

(4)

3725 5378

69

2555 4813

37

946 4505

25 84

466 703

1411 5208

21 79

Child Care Spaces

9103

7368

74

5450

60

1169

6619

100

Family Child Care Home Supply

Child Care Center Supply

Current Child Care Supply

Distribution

EXISTING SURPLUS(SHORTAGE)

Distribution

Percentage of Demand Met

by Existing FacilitiesSpaces

Shortage of Family Child Care Home Spaces

Shortage of Center-Based Spaces

(5)

(6)

(6)

42

41

83

396 497

356 2036

752 2533

23 77

(660) (2674)

20 80

53 49

(347) (525)

(313) (2149)

893

2392

3285

100

(3334)

100

50

(872)

(2462)

FINAL

Table B-15

Future Child Care Demand and Supply in 2025 in Redwood City

San Mateo County Child Care Study - 2016

Note All footnote references can be found in Table C-1 at the end of this file

Sources 2010 US Census ABAG Projections 2013 2014 American Community Survey ACS Journey-to-Work data 2006-2008 and 2006-2010

Child Care Coordinating Council of San Mateo County (4Cs) Community Care Licensing Brion Economics Inc

Prepared by Brion Economics Inc 2513-SMC NA Final Tables 61216 6122016

SAN BRUNO

Child Care as of 2025

No of

Providers

Under 2 Years

Old

2 to 4 Year

Olds

Total 0 to 4

Years

EXISTING DEMAND Child Care Demand

Estimated Total Children

Average LFPRAdjustment Factor

Children With Working Parents

Licensed Care Demand Factor

Resident Children Needing Licensed Care

of Total Resident Children Needing Licensed Care

Children from Non-Resident Employees Needing

Licensed Care

(1)

(2)

(3)

1189 1728

77

910 1589

37

337 1475

28 85

68 103

2917

2498

73

1812

62

171

Total Demand for Child Care Spaces

Distribution

EXISTING SUPPLY (4)

405 1578

20 80

Child Care Spaces

1983

100

Family Child Care Home Supply

Child Care Center Supply

Current Child Care Supply

Distribution

EXISTING SURPLUS(SHORTAGE)

Distribution

Percentage of Demand Met

by Existing FacilitiesSpaces

Shortage of Family Child Care Home Spaces

Shortage of Center-Based Spaces

(5)

(6)

(6)

13

15

28

122 153

26 1183

148 1336

10 90

(257) (242)

52 48

37 85

(212) (28)

(45) (214)

275

1209

1484

100

(499)

100

75

(239)

(259)

FINAL

Table B-16

Future C hild Care Demand and Supply in 2025 in San Bruno

San Mateo County Child Care Study - 2016

Note All footnote references can be found in Table C-1 at the end of this file

Sources 2010 US Census ABAG Projections 2013 2014 American Community Survey ACS Journey-to-Work data 2006-2008 and 2006-2010

Child Care Coordinating Council of San Mateo County (4Cs) Community Care Licensing Brion Economics Inc

Prepared by Brion Economics Inc 2513-SMC NA Final Tables 61216 6122016

SAN CARLOS

Child Care as of 2025

No of

Providers

Under 2 Years

Old

2 to 4 Year

Olds

Total 0 to 4

Years

EXISTING DEMAND Child Care Demand

Estimated Total Children

Average LFPRAdjustment Factor

Children With Working Parents

Licensed Care Demand Factor

Resident Children Needing Licensed Care

of Total Resident Children Needing Licensed Care

Children from Non-Resident Employees Needing

Licensed Care

(1)

(2)

(3)

778 1384

72

557 1255

37

206 1174

26 85

82 123

2162

1812

76

1380

64

205

Total Demand for Child Care Spaces

Distribution

EXISTING SUPPLY (4)

288 1297

18 82

Child Care Spaces

1585

100

Family Child Care Home Supply

Child Care Center Supply

Current Child Care Supply

Distribution

EXISTING SURPLUS(SHORTAGE)

Distribution

Percentage of Demand Met

by Existing FacilitiesSpaces

Shortage of Family Child Care Home Spaces

Shortage of Center-Based Spaces

(5)

(6)

(6)

28

14

42

73 92

76 615

149 707

17 83

(139) (590)

19 81

52 54

(68) (76)

(71) (514)

164

691

855

100

(729)

100

54

(145)

(585)

FINAL

Table B-17

Future Child Care Demand and Supply in 2025 in San Carlos

San Mateo County Child Care Study - 2016

Note All footnote references can be found in Table C-1 at the end of this file

Sources 2010 US Census ABAG Projections 2013 2014 American Community Survey ACS Journey-to-Work data 2006-2008 and 2006-2010

Child Care Coordinating Council of San Mateo County (4Cs) Community Care Licensing Brion Economics Inc

Prepared by Brion Economics Inc 2513-SMC NA Final Tables 61216 6122016

SAN MATEO

Child Care as of 2025

No of

Providers

Under 2 Years

Old

2 to 4 Year

Olds

Total 0 to 4

Years

EXISTING DEMAND Child Care Demand

Estimated Total Children

Average LFPRAdjustment Factor

Children With Working Parents

Licensed Care Demand Factor

Resident Children Needing Licensed Care

of Total Resident Children Needing Licensed Care

Children from Non-Resident Employees Needing

Licensed Care

(1)

(2)

(3)

3194 4572

71

2264 4116

37

838 3839

26 84

261 394

7766

6381

73

4677

60

656

Total Demand for Child Care Spaces

Distribution

EXISTING SUPPLY (4)

1099 4233

21 79

Child Care Spaces

5332

100

Family Child Care Home Supply

Child Care Center Supply

Current Child Care Supply

Distribution

EXISTING SURPLUS(SHORTAGE)

Distribution

Percentage of Demand Met

by Existing FacilitiesSpaces

Shortage of Family Child Care Home Spaces

Shortage of Center-Based Spaces

(5)

(6)

(6)

69

59

128

492 619

209 2577

701 3196

18 82

(398) (1037)

28 72

64 75

(279) (201)

(119) (837)

1111

2786

3897

100

(1435)

100

73

(480)

(955)

FINAL

Table B-18

Future Child Care Demand and Supply in 2025 in San Mateo

San Mateo County Child Care Study - 2016

Note All footnote references can be found in Table C-1 at the end of this file

Sources 2010 US Census ABAG Projections 2013 2014 American Community Survey ACS Journey-to-Work data 2006-2008 and 2006-2010

Child Care Coordinating Council of San Mateo County (4Cs) Community Care Licensing Brion Economics Inc

Prepared by Brion Economics Inc 2513-SMC NA Final Tables 61216 6122016

FINAL

Table B-19

Future Child Care Demand and Supply in 2025 in South Coast

San Mateo County Child Care Study - 2016

SOUTH COAST

Child Care as of 2025

No of

Providers

Under 2 Years

Old

2 to 4 Year

Olds

Total 0 to 4

Years

EXISTING DEMAND Child Care Demand

Estimated Total Children (1) 23 32 55

Average LFPRAdjustment Factor (2) 54

Children With Working Parents 12 27 40

Licensed Care Demand Factor (3) 37 77

Resident Children Needing Licensed Care 5 26 30

of Total Resident Children Needing Licensed Care 20 81 56

Children from Non-Resident Employees Needing

Licensed Care 0 0 0

Total Demand for Child Care Spaces 5 26 30

Distribution 15 85 100

EXISTING SUPPLY (4) Child Care Spaces

Family Child Care Home Supply - 0 0 0

Child Care Center Supply 2 0 54 54

Current Child Care Supply 2 - 54 54

Distribution 0 100 100

EXISTING SURPLUS(SHORTAGE) (5) 28 24

Distribution -19 119 100

Percentage of Demand Met

by Existing FacilitiesSpaces (5) 0 209 177

Shortage of Family Child Care Home Spaces (6) 0 NA 0

Shortage of Center-Based Spaces (6) (5) NA (5)

Note All footnote references can be found in Table C-1 at the end of this file

Sources 2010 US Census ABAG Projections 2013 2014 American Community Survey ACS Journey-to-Work data 2006-2008 and 2006-2010

Child Care Coordinating Council of San Mateo County (4Cs) Community Care Licensing Brion Economics Inc

Prepared by Brion Economics Inc 2513-SMC NA Final Tables 61216 6122016

SOUTH SAN FRANCISCO

Child Care as of 2025

No of

Providers

Under 2 Years

Old

2 to 4 Year

Olds

Total 0 to 4

Years

EXISTING DEMAND Child Care Demand

Estimated Total Children

Average LFPRAdjustment Factor

Children With Working Parents

Licensed Care Demand Factor

Resident Children Needing Licensed Care

of Total Resident Children Needing Licensed Care

Children from Non-Resident Employees Needing

Licensed Care

(1)

(2)

(3)

1835 2790

73

1342 2535

37

496 2362

27 85

339 512

4625

3877

74

2859

62

851

Total Demand for Child Care Spaces

Distribution

EXISTING SUPPLY (4)

835 2874

23 77

Child Care Spaces

3709

100

Family Child Care Home Supply

Child Care Center Supply

Current Child Care Supply

Distribution

EXISTING SURPLUS(SHORTAGE)

Distribution

Percentage of Demand Met

by Existing FacilitiesSpaces

Shortage of Family Child Care Home Spaces

Shortage of Center-Based Spaces

(5)

(6)

(6)

30

27

57

252 317

400 1966

652 2283

22 78

(183) (591)

24 76

78 79

(71) (82)

(113) (509)

569

2366

2935

100

(775)

100

79

(153)

(622)

FINAL

Table B-20

Future Child Care Demand and Supply in 2025 in South San Francisco

San Mateo County Child Care Study - 2016

Note All footnote references can be found in Table C-1 at the end of this file

Sources 2010 US Census ABAG Projections 2013 2014 American Community Survey ACS Journey-to-Work data 2006-2008 and 2006-2010

Child Care Coordinating Council of San Mateo County (4Cs) Community Care Licensing Brion Economics Inc

Prepared by Brion Economics Inc 2513-SMC NA Final Tables 61216 6122016

WOODSIDE

No of

Providers

Child Care as of 2025

Under 2 Years

Old

2 to 4 Year

Olds

Total 0 to 4

Years

EXISTING DEMAND Child Care Demand

Estimated Total Children

Average LFPRAdjustment Factor

Children With Working Parents

Licensed Care Demand Factor

Resident Children Needing Licensed Care

of Total Resident Children Needing Licensed Care

Children from Non-Resident Employees Needing

Licensed Care

(1)

(2)

(3)

93 165

56

51 140

37

19 132

21 80

9 13

258

192

79

152

59

22

Total Demand for Child Care Spaces

Distribution

EXISTING SUPPLY (4)

28 146

16 84

Child Care Spaces

174

100

Family Child Care Home Supply

Child Care Center Supply

Current Child Care Supply

Distribution

EXISTING SURPLUS(SHORTAGE)

Distribution

Percentage of Demand Met

by Existing FacilitiesSpaces

Shortage of Family Child Care Home Spaces

Shortage of Center-Based Spaces

(5)

(6)

(6)

1

2

3

4 5

- 103

4 108

4 96

(24) (38)

39 61

15 74

(24) (2)

0 (36)

9

103

112

100

(61)

100

65

(26)

(36)

FINAL

Table B-21

Future Child Care Demand and Supply in 2025 in Woodside

San Mateo County Child Care Study - 2016

Note All footnote references can be found in Table C-1 at the end of this file

Sources 2010 US Census ABAG Projections 2013 2014 American Community Survey ACS Journey-to-Work data 2006-2008 and 2006-2010

Child Care Coordinating Council of San Mateo County (4Cs) Community Care Licensing Brion Economics Inc

Prepared by Brion Economics Inc 2513-SMC NA Final Tables 61216 6122016

FINAL

Table C-1

Endnotes for Tables

San Mateo County Child Care Study - 2016

(1) Population by age is based on the percentage breakdown from the 2010 US Census and applied

to population estimates for 2015 using ABAGs Projections 2013 population data The ABAG data

for each area includes its Sphere of Influence and is not based on strict jurisdictional boundaries

(2) Labor force participation rates are from the 5-Year American Community Survey 2014 and include

children under six years old with two working parents or a single working parent For the 2- to 4-year

olds the labor force participation rate is applied to 2 year olds For 3- and 4-year olds it is assumed

that 100 need licensed care to support preschool for every child so the number of

3- and 4-year olds is not discounted by labor force participation rates

(3) Not all children with working parents are assumed to need licensed care percentage assumptions are

used to calculate the number of children requiring licensed care under each age category The

remaining children are assumed to be cared for in alternate arrangements such as by family members

nannies friends and other unlicensed care For children ages 3- and 4-years old it is assumed that

they all need care in the form of preschool

(4) Data on child care supply provided by the Child Care Coordinating Council of San Mateo County (4Cs)

and Community Care Licensing Division of the California Department of Social Services (CCLD) Data is

for June 2015

(5) Demand that calculates as less than 100 means that there is greater demand than supply percent of

demand that is over 100 means supply exceeds demand

(6) Unmet demand is broken down into shortage by type of care based on the proportion of FCCHs and

child care centers spaces available in each area If an area does not have any FCCHs or centers the

unmet demand is placed in the type of care that is available in the area (eg if there are only centers

all demand goes to centers)

Source Brion Economics Inc

Prepared by Brion Economics Inc 2513-SMC NA Final Tables 61216 6122016

DRAFT REPORT

Table C-2

Labor Force Participation Rates by CityArea

San Mateo County Child Care Study - 2016

CityArea

Labor Force

Participation Rate (1)

Atherton

Belmont

Brisbane

Burlingame

Daly CityColma

East Palo Alto

Foster City

Half Moon Bay Region

Hillsborough

Menlo Park

Millbrae

Pacifica

Portola Valley

Redwood City

San Bruno

San Carlos

San Mateo

South Coast

South San Francisco

Woodside

40

77

100

65

74

71

63

69

52

69

62

78

66

69

77

72

71

54

73

56

(1) Labor force participation rates (LFPRs) are for

families with children under age six with two

working parents or a single parent who works Sources American Community Survey 2014 5-Year

Survey Brion Economics Inc

Prepared by Brion Economics Inc 2513-SMC NA Final Tables 61216 6122016

  • 2513-SMC FINAL NA Memo-61216
  • 2513-SMC NA Final Tables 61216
Page 39: Final San Mateo County Child Care Needs … Care...Future C hild Care Demand and Supply in 2025 in Daly City/Colma San Mateo County Child Care Study - 2016 Note: All footnote references

SAN CARLOS

Child Care as of 2015

No of

Providers

Under 2 Years

Old

2 to 4 Year

Olds

Total 0 to 4

Years

EXISTING DEMAND Child Care Demand

Estimated Total Children

Average LFPRAdjustment Factor

Children With Working Parents

Licensed Care Demand Factor

Resident Children Needing Licensed Care

of Total Resident Children Needing Licensed Care

Children from Non-Resident Employees Needing

Licensed Care

(1)

(2)

(3)

735 1308

72

526 1186

37

195 1109

26 85

75 114

2043

1712

76

1304

64

189

Total Demand for Child Care Spaces

Distribution

EXISTING SUPPLY (4)

270 1222

18 82

Child Care Spaces

1492

100

Family Child Care Home Supply

Child Care Center Supply

Current Child Care Supply

Distribution

EXISTING SURPLUS(SHORTAGE)

Distribution

Percentage of Demand Met

by Existing FacilitiesSpaces

Shortage of Family Child Care Home Spaces

Shortage of Center-Based Spaces

(5)

(6)

(6)

20

14

34

73 92

76 615

149 707

17 83

(121) (516)

19 81

55 58

(59) (67)

(62) (449)

164

691

855

100

(637)

100

57

(126)

(511)

FINAL

Table A-17

Existing Child Care Demand and Supply in 2015 in San Carlos

San Mateo County Child Care Study - 2016

Note All footnote references can be found in Table C-1 at the end of this file

Sources 2010 US Census ABAG Projections 2013 2014 American Community Survey ACS Journey-to-Work data 2006-2008 and 2006-2010

Child Care Coordinating Council of San Mateo County (4Cs) Community Care Licensing Brion Economics Inc

Prepared by Brion Economics Inc 2513-SMC NA Final Tables 61216 6122016

SAN MATEO

Child Care as of 2015

No of

Providers

Under 2 Years

Old

2 to 4 Year

Olds

Total 0 to 4

Years

EXISTING DEMAND Child Care Demand

Estimated Total Children

Average LFPRAdjustment Factor

Children With Working Parents

Licensed Care Demand Factor

Resident Children Needing Licensed Care

of Total Resident Children Needing Licensed Care

Children from Non-Resident Employees Needing

Licensed Care

(1)

(2)

(3)

2943 4213

71

2087 3793

37

772 3537

26 84

231 348

7156

5880

73

4309

60

579

Total Demand for Child Care Spaces

Distribution

EXISTING SUPPLY (4)

1003 3886

21 79

Child Care Spaces

4889

100

Family Child Care Home Supply

Child Care Center Supply

Current Child Care Supply

Distribution

EXISTING SURPLUS(SHORTAGE)

Distribution

Percentage of Demand Met

by Existing FacilitiesSpaces

Shortage of Family Child Care Home Spaces

Shortage of Center-Based Spaces

(5)

(6)

(6)

126

59

185

492 619

209 2577

701 3196

18 82

(302) (690)

30 70

70 82

(212) (134)

(90) (557)

1111

2786

3897

100

(992)

100

80

(345)

(647)

FINAL

Table A-18

Existing Child Care Demand and Supply in 2015 in San Mateo

San Mateo County Child Care Study - 2016

Note All footnote references can be found in Table C-1 at the end of this file

Sources 2010 US Census ABAG Projections 2013 2014 American Community Survey ACS Journey-to-Work data 2006-2008 and 2006-2010

Child Care Coordinating Council of San Mateo County (4Cs) Community Care Licensing Brion Economics Inc

Prepared by Brion Economics Inc 2513-SMC NA Final Tables 61216 6122016

SOUTH COAST

Child Care as of 2015

No of

Providers

Under 2 Years

Old

2 to 4 Year

Olds

Total 0 to 4

Years

EXISTING DEMAND Child Care Demand

Estimated Total Children

Average LFPRAdjustment Factor

Children With Working Parents

Licensed Care Demand Factor

Resident Children Needing Licensed Care

of Total Resident Children Needing Licensed Care

Children from Non-Resident Employees Needing

Licensed Care

(1)

(2)

(3)

21 29

54

11 25

37

4 23

20 81

0 0

50

36

77

28

56

0

Total Demand for Child Care Spaces

Distribution

EXISTING SUPPLY (4)

4 23

15 85

Child Care Spaces

28

100

Family Child Care Home Supply

Child Care Center Supply

Current Child Care Supply

Distribution

EXISTING SURPLUS(SHORTAGE)

Distribution

Percentage of Demand Met

by Existing FacilitiesSpaces

Shortage of Family Child Care Home Spaces

Shortage of Center-Based Spaces

(5)

(6)

(6)

-

2

2

- -

- 54

- 54

0 100

(4) 31

-16 116

0 230

(2) NA

(2) NA

0

54

54

100

26

100

195

(2)

(2)

FINAL

Table A-19

Existing Child Care Demand and Supply in 2015 in South Coast

San Mateo County Child Care Study - 2016

Note All footnote references can be found in Table C-1 at the end of this file

Sources 2010 US Census ABAG Projections 2013 2014 American Community Survey ACS Journey-to-Work data 2006-2008 and 2006-2010

Child Care Coordinating Council of San Mateo County (4Cs) Community Care Licensing Brion Economics Inc

Prepared by Brion Economics Inc 2513-SMC NA Final Tables 61216 6122016

SOUTH SAN FRANCISCO

Child Care as of 2015

No of

Providers

Under 2 Years

Old

2 to 4 Year

Olds

Total 0 to 4

Years

EXISTING DEMAND Child Care Demand

Estimated Total Children

Average LFPRAdjustment Factor

Children With Working Parents

Licensed Care Demand Factor

Resident Children Needing Licensed Care

of Total Resident Children Needing Licensed Care

Children from Non-Resident Employees Needing

Licensed Care

(1)

(2)

(3)

1649 2507

73

1206 2278

37

446 2123

27 85

309 466

4156

3484

74

2569

62

774

Total Demand for Child Care Spaces

Distribution

EXISTING SUPPLY (4)

755 2588

23 77

Child Care Spaces

3343

100

Family Child Care Home Supply

Child Care Center Supply

Current Child Care Supply

Distribution

EXISTING SURPLUS(SHORTAGE)

Distribution

Percentage of Demand Met

by Existing FacilitiesSpaces

Shortage of Family Child Care Home Spaces

Shortage of Center-Based Spaces

(5)

(6)

(6)

68

27

95

252 317

400 1966

652 2283

22 78

(103) (306)

25 75

86 88

(40) (42)

(63) (263)

569

2366

2935

100

(408)

100

88

(82)

(326)

FINAL

Table A-20

Existing Child Care Demand and Supply in 2015 in South San Francisco

San Mateo County Child Care Study - 2016

Note All footnote references can be found in Table C-1 at the end of this file Sources 2010 US Census ABAG Projections 2013 2014 American Community Survey ACS Journey-to-Work data 2006-2008 and 2006-2010

Child Care Coordinating Council of San Mateo County (4Cs) Community Care Licensing Brion Economics Inc

Prepared by Brion Economics Inc 2513-SMC NA Final Tables 61216 6122016

WOODSIDE

No of

Providers

Child Care as of 2015

Under 2 Years

Old

2 to 4 Year

Olds

Total 0 to 4

Years

EXISTING DEMAND Child Care Demand

Estimated Total Children

Average LFPRAdjustment Factor

Children With Working Parents

Licensed Care Demand Factor

Resident Children Needing Licensed Care

of Total Resident Children Needing Licensed Care

Children from Non-Resident Employees Needing

Licensed Care

(1)

(2)

(3)

90 160

56

50 136

37

18 128

21 80

8 13

250

186

79

147

59

21

Total Demand for Child Care Spaces

Distribution

EXISTING SUPPLY (4)

27 141

16 84

Child Care Spaces

168

100

Family Child Care Home Supply

Child Care Center Supply

Current Child Care Supply

Distribution

EXISTING SURPLUS(SHORTAGE)

Distribution

Percentage of Demand Met

by Existing FacilitiesSpaces

Shortage of Family Child Care Home Spaces

Shortage of Center-Based Spaces

(5)

(6)

(6)

1

2

3

4 5

0 103

4 108

4 96

(23) (33)

41 59

16 77

(23) (2)

0 (31)

9

103

112

100

(55)

100

67

(24)

(31)

FINAL

Table A-21

Existing Child Care Demand and Supply in 2015 in Woodside

San Mateo County Child Care Study - 2016

Note All footnote references can be found in Table C-1 at the end of this file Sources 2010 US Census ABAG Projections 2013 2014 American Community Survey ACS Journey-to-Work data 2006-2008 and 2006-2010

Child Care Coordinating Council of San Mateo County (4Cs) Community Care Licensing Brion Economics Inc

Prepared by Brion Economics Inc 2513-SMC NA Final Tables 61216 6122016

COUNTYWIDE

Child Care as of 2025

No of

Providers

Under 2 Years

Old

2 to 4 Year

Olds

Total 0 to 4

Years

EXISTING DEMAND Child Care Demand

Estimated Total Children

Average LFPRAdjustment Factor

Children With Working Parents

Licensed Care Demand Factor

Resident Children Needing Licensed Care

of Total Resident Children Needing Licensed Care

Children from Non-Resident Employees Needing

Licensed Care

Total Demand for Child Care Spaces

Distribution

EXISTING SUPPLY

(1)

(2)

(3)

(4)

20790 31340

71

14704 28273

37

5441 26432

26 84

2037 3074

7478 29506

20 80

Child Care Spaces

52130

42978

86

31873

61

5112

36984

100

Family Child Care Home Supply

Child Care Center Supply

Current Child Care Supply

Distribution

EXISTING SURPLUS(SHORTAGE)

Distribution

Percentage of Demand Met

by Existing FacilitiesSpaces

Shortage of Family Child Care Home Spaces

Shortage of Center-Based Spaces

(5)

(6)

(6)

621

309

930

2301 2893

1514 16296

3815 19189

17 83

(3663) (10318)

26 74

51 65

(2209) (1555)

(1454) (8762)

5193

17810

23003

100

(13981)

100

62

(3765)

(10216)

FINAL

Table B-1

Future C hild Care Demand and Supply in 2025 Countywide

San Mateo County Child Care Study - 2016

Note All footnote references can be found in Table C-1 at the end of this file

Sources 2010 US Census ABAG Projections 2013 2014 American Community Survey ACS Journey-to-Work data 2006-2008 and 2006-2010

Child Care Coordinating Council of San Mateo County (4Cs) Community Care Licensing Brion Economics Inc

Prepared by Brion Economics Inc 2513-SMC NA Final Tables 61216 6122016

ATHERTON

No of

Providers

Child Care as of 2025

Under 2 Years

Old

2 to 4 Year

Olds

Total 0 to 4

Years

EXISTING DEMAND Child Care Demand

Estimated Total Children

Average LFPRAdjustment Factor

Children With Working Parents

Licensed Care Demand Factor

Resident Children Needing Licensed Care

of Total Resident Children Needing Licensed Care

Children from Non-Resident Employees Needing

Licensed Care

(1)

(2)

(3)

109 193

40

43 159

37

16 154

15 80

13 19

302

202

84

170

56

32

Total Demand for Child Care Spaces

Distribution

EXISTING SUPPLY (4)

29 173

14 86

Child Care Spaces

201

100

Family Child Care Home Supply

Child Care Center Supply

Current Child Care Supply

Distribution

EXISTING SURPLUS(SHORTAGE)

Distribution

Percentage of Demand Met

by Existing FacilitiesSpaces

Shortage of Family Child Care Home Spaces

Shortage of Center-Based Spaces

(5)

(6)

(6)

1

6

7

5 6

24 267

29 273

10 90

0 101

0 100

101 158

NA NA

NA NA

11

291

302

100

101

100

150

NA

NA

FINAL

Table B-2

Future Child Care Demand and Supply in 2025 in Atherton

San Mateo Co unty Child Care Study - 2016

Note All footnote references can be found in Table C-1 at the end of this file Sources 2010 US Census ABAG Projections 2013 2014 American Community Survey ACS Journey-to-Work data 2006-2008 and 2006-2010

Child Care Coordinating Council of San Mateo County (4Cs) Community Care Licensing Brion Economics Inc

Prepared by Brion Economics Inc 2513-SMC NA Final Tables 61216 6122016

BELMONT

Child Care as of 2025

No of

Providers

Under 2 Years

Old

2 to 4 Year

Olds

Total 0 to 4

Years

EXISTING DEMAND Child Care Demand

Estimated Total Children

Average LFPRAdjustment Factor

Children With Working Parents

Licensed Care Demand Factor

Resident Children Needing Licensed Care

of Total Resident Children Needing Licensed Care

Children from Non-Resident Employees Needing

Licensed Care

(1)

(2)

(3)

743 1095

77

574 1013

37

213 943

29 86

37 56

1838

1587

73

1156

63

93

Total Demand for Child Care Spaces

Distribution

EXISTING SUPPLY (4)

250 999

20 80

Child Care Spaces

1249

100

Family Child Care Home Supply

Child Care Center Supply

Current Child Care Supply

Distribution

EXISTING SURPLUS(SHORTAGE)

Distribution

Percentage of Demand Met

by Existing FacilitiesSpaces

Shortage of Family Child Care Home Spaces

Shortage of Center-Based Spaces

(5)

(6)

(6)

8

9

17

67 84

39 531

106 615

15 85

(143) (384)

27 73

43 62

(91) (53)

(53) (331)

152

570

722

100

(527)

100

58

(143)

(384)

FINAL

Table B-3

Future Child Care Demand and Supply in 2025 in Belmont

San Mateo County Child Care Study - 2016

Note All footnote references can be found in Table C-1 at the end of this file

Sources 2010 US Census ABAG Projections 2013 2014 American Community Survey ACS Journey-to-Work data 2006-2008 and 2006-2010

Child Care Coordinating Council of San Mateo County (4Cs) Community Care Licensing Brion Economics Inc

Prepared by Brion Economics Inc 2513-SMC NA Final Tables 61216 6122016

BRISBANE

Child Care as of 2025

No of

Providers

Under 2 Years

Old

2 to 4 Year

Olds

Total 0 to 4

Years

EXISTING DEMAND Child Care Demand

Estimated Total Children

Average LFPRAdjustment Factor

Children With Working Parents

Licensed Care Demand Factor

Resident Children Needing Licensed Care

of Total Resident Children Needing Licensed Care

Children from Non-Resident Employees Needing

Licensed Care

(1)

(2)

(3)

131 174

100

131 174

37

48 160

37 92

55 83

305

305

68

209

68

138

Total Demand for Child Care Spaces

Distribution

EXISTING SUPPLY (4)

103 243

30 70

Child Care Spaces

346

100

Family Child Care Home Supply

Child Care Center Supply

Current Child Care Supply

Distribution

EXISTING SURPLUS(SHORTAGE)

Distribution

Percentage of Demand Met

by Existing FacilitiesSpaces

Shortage of Family Child Care Home Spaces

Shortage of Center-Based Spaces

(5)

(6)

(6)

1

1

2

4 5

0 64

4 69

6 94

(99) (174)

36 64

4 29

(99) (13)

0 (160)

9

64

73

100

(273)

100

21

(112)

(160)

FINAL

Table B-4

Future Child Care Demand and Supply in 2025 in Brisbane

San Mateo County Child Care Study - 2016

Note All footnote references can be found in Table C-1 at the end of this file Sources 2010 US Census ABAG Projections 2013 2014 American Community Survey ACS Journey-to-Work data 2006-2008 and 2006-2010

Child Care Coordinating Council of San Mateo County (4Cs) Community Care Licensing Brion Economics Inc

Prepared by Brion Economics Inc 2513-SMC NA Final Tables 61216 6122016

BURLINGAME

Child Care as of 2025

No of

Providers

Under 2 Years

Old

2 to 4 Year

Olds

Total 0 to 4

Years

EXISTING DEMAND Child Care Demand

Estimated Total Children

Average LFPRAdjustment Factor

Children With Working Parents

Licensed Care Demand Factor

Resident Children Needing Licensed Care

of Total Resident Children Needing Licensed Care

Children from Non-Resident Employees Needing

Licensed Care

(1)

(2)

(3)

903 1332

65

587 1190

37

217 1124

24 84

154 232

2235

1777

75

1341

60

385

Total Demand for Child Care Spaces

Distribution

EXISTING SUPPLY (4)

371 1356

21 79

Child Care Spaces

1726

100

Family Child Care Home Supply

Child Care Center Supply

Current Child Care Supply

Distribution

EXISTING SURPLUS(SHORTAGE)

Distribution

Percentage of Demand Met

by Existing FacilitiesSpaces

Shortage of Family Child Care Home Spaces

Shortage of Center-Based Spaces

(5)

(6)

(6)

10

14

24

79 99

40 866

119 965

11 89

(252) (390)

39 61

32 71

(167) (40)

(85) (350)

179

906

1085

100

(642)

100

63

(207)

(434)

FINAL

Table B-5

Future Child Care Demand and Supply in 2025 in Burlingame

San Mateo County Child Care Study - 2016

Note All footnote references can be found in Table C-1 at the end of this file

Sources 2010 US Census ABAG Projections 2013 2014 American Community Survey ACS Journey-to-Work data 2006-2008 and 2006-2010

Child Care Coordinating Council of San Mateo County (4Cs) Community Care Licensing Brion Economics Inc

Prepared by Brion Economics Inc 2513-SMC NA Final Tables 61216 6122016

DALY CITYCOLMA

Child Care as of 2025

No of

Providers

Under 2 Years

Old

2 to 4 Year

Olds

Total 0 to 4

Years

EXISTING DEMAND Child Care Demand

Estimated Total Children

Average LFPRAdjustment Factor

Children With Working Parents

Licensed Care Demand Factor

Resident Children Needing Licensed Care

of Total Resident Children Needing Licensed Care

Children from Non-Resident Employees Needing

Licensed Care

(1)

(2)

(3)

2647 3793

74

1964 3467

37

727 3233

27 85

138 208

6440

5432

73

3960

61

346

Total Demand for Child Care Spaces

Distribution

EXISTING SUPPLY (4)

865 3441

20 80

Child Care Spaces

4306

100

Family Child Care Home Supply

Child Care Center Supply

Current Child Care Supply

Distribution

EXISTING SURPLUS(SHORTAGE)

Distribution

Percentage of Demand Met

by Existing FacilitiesSpaces

Shortage of Family Child Care Home Spaces

Shortage of Center-Based Spaces

(5)

(6)

(6)

25

28

28

288 362

84 1264

372 1626

19 81

(493) (1816)

21 79

43 47

(381) (404)

(111) (1412)

649

1348

1997

100

(2308)

100

46

(785)

(1523)

FINAL

Table B-6

Future C hild Care Demand and Supply in 2025 in Daly CityColma

San Mateo County Child Care Study - 2016

Note All footnote references can be found in Table C-1 at the end of this file

Sources 2010 US Census ABAG Projections 2013 2014 American Community Survey ACS Journey-to-Work data 2006-2008 and 2006-2010

Child Care Coordinating Council of San Mateo County (4Cs) Community Care Licensing Brion Economics Inc

Prepared by Brion Economics Inc 2513-SMC NA Final Tables 61216 6122016

EAST PALO ALTO

Child Care as of 2025

No of

Providers

Under 2 Years

Old

2 to 4 Year

Olds

Total 0 to 4

Years

EXISTING DEMAND Child Care Demand

Estimated Total Children

Average LFPRAdjustment Factor

Children With Working Parents

Licensed Care Demand Factor

Resident Children Needing Licensed Care

of Total Resident Children Needing Licensed Care

Children from Non-Resident Employees Needing

Licensed Care

(1)

(2)

(3)

1161 1849

71

822 1660

37

304 1545

26 84

20 30

3010

2482

75

1849

61

50

Total Demand for Child Care Spaces

Distribution

EXISTING SUPPLY (4)

324 1575

17 83

Child Care Spaces

1900

100

Family Child Care Home Supply

Child Care Center Supply

Current Child Care Supply

Distribution

EXISTING SURPLUS(SHORTAGE)

Distribution

Percentage of Demand Met

by Existing FacilitiesSpaces

Shortage of Family Child Care Home Spaces

Shortage of Center-Based Spaces

(5)

(6)

(6)

13

6

19

85 106

25 633

110 739

13 87

(215) (836)

20 80

34 47

(166) (120)

(49) (715)

191

658

849

100

(1050)

100

45

(286)

(764)

FINAL

Table B-7

Future Child Care Demand and Supply in 2025 in East Palo Alto

San Mateo County Child Care Study - 2016

Note All footnote references can be found in Table C-1 at the end of this file

Sources 2010 US Census ABAG Projections 2013 2014 American Community Survey ACS Journey-to-Work data 2006-2008 and 2006-2010

Child Care Coordinating Council of San Mateo County (4Cs) Community Care Licensing Brion Economics Inc

Prepared by Brion Economics Inc 2513-SMC NA Final Tables 61216 6122016

FOSTER CITY

Child Care as of 2025

No of

Providers

Under 2 Years

Old

2 to 4 Year

Olds

Total 0 to 4

Years

EXISTING DEMAND Child Care Demand

Estimated Total Children

Average LFPRAdjustment Factor

Children With Working Parents

Licensed Care Demand Factor

Resident Children Needing Licensed Care

of Total Resident Children Needing Licensed Care

Children from Non-Resident Employees Needing

Licensed Care

(1)

(2)

(3)

871 1330

63

550 1154

37

204 1079

23 81

80 120

2201

1705

75

1282

58

200

Total Demand for Child Care Spaces

Distribution

EXISTING SUPPLY (4)

283 1199

19 81

Child Care Spaces

1483

100

Family Child Care Home Supply

Child Care Center Supply

Current Child Care Supply

Distribution

EXISTING SURPLUS(SHORTAGE)

Distribution

Percentage of Demand Met

by Existing FacilitiesSpaces

Shortage of Family Child Care Home Spaces

Shortage of Center-Based Spaces

(5)

(6)

(6)

19

12

31

118 149

88 1200

206 1349

13 87

(77) 150

-106 206

73 112

(44) NA

(33) NA

267

1288

1555

100

73

100

105

(44)

(33)

FINAL

Table B-8

Future Child Care Demand and Supply in 2025 in Foster City

San Mateo County Child Care Study - 2016

Note All footnote references can be found in Table C-1 at the end of this file

Sources 2010 US Census ABAG Projections 2013 2014 American Community Survey ACS Journey-to-Work data 2006-2008 and 2006-2010

Child Care Coordinating Council of San Mateo County (4Cs) Community Care Licensing Brion Economics Inc

Prepared by Brion Economics Inc 2513-SMC NA Final Tables 61216 6122016

HALF MOON BAY REGION

Child Care as of 2025

No of

Providers

Under 2 Years

Old

2 to 4 Year

Olds

Total 0 to 4

Years

EXISTING DEMAND Child Care Demand

Estimated Total Children

Average LFPRAdjustment Factor

Children With Working Parents

Licensed Care Demand Factor

Resident Children Needing Licensed Care

of Total Resident Children Needing Licensed Care

Children from Non-Resident Employees Needing

Licensed Care

(1)

(2)

(3)

553 929

69

383 835

37

142 781

26 84

14 21

1482

1217

76

923

62

34

Total Demand for Child Care Spaces

Distribution

EXISTING SUPPLY (4)

155 802

16 84

Child Care Spaces

957

100

Family Child Care Home Supply

Child Care Center Supply

Current Child Care Supply

Distribution

EXISTING SURPLUS(SHORTAGE)

Distribution

Percentage of Demand Met

by Existing FacilitiesSpaces

Shortage of Family Child Care Home Spaces

Shortage of Center-Based Spaces

(5)

(6)

(6)

10

11

21

96 121

35 285

131 406

24 76

(24) (396)

6 94

84 51

(18) (118)

(6) (279)

216

320

536

100

(421)

100

56

(136)

(285)

FINAL

Table B-9

Future Child Care Demand and Supply in 2025 in Half Moon Bay Region

San Mateo County Child Care Study - 2016

Note All footnote references can be found in Table C-1 at the end of this file

Sources 2010 US Census ABAG Projections 2013 2014 American Community Survey ACS Journey-to-Work data 2006-2008 and 2006-2010

Child Care Coordinating Council of San Mateo County (4Cs) Community Care Licensing Brion Economics Inc

Prepared by Brion Economics Inc 2513-SMC NA Final Tables 61216 6122016

HILLSBOROUGH

Child Care as of 2025

No of

Providers

Under 2 Years

Old

2 to 4 Year

Olds

Total 0 to 4

Years

EXISTING DEMAND Child Care Demand

Estimated Total Children

Average LFPRAdjustment Factor

Children With Working Parents

Licensed Care Demand Factor

Resident Children Needing Licensed Care

of Total Resident Children Needing Licensed Care

Children from Non-Resident Employees Needing

Licensed Care

(1)

(2)

(3)

143 343

52

74 295

37

27 282

19 82

7 11

487

369

84

309

64

17

Total Demand for Child Care Spaces

Distribution

EXISTING SUPPLY (4)

34 292

10 90

Child Care Spaces

327

100

Family Child Care Home Supply

Child Care Center Supply

Current Child Care Supply

Distribution

EXISTING SURPLUS(SHORTAGE)

Distribution

Percentage of Demand Met

by Existing FacilitiesSpaces

Shortage of Family Child Care Home Spaces

Shortage of Center-Based Spaces

(5)

(6)

(6)

1

4

5

5 6

- 91

5 97

5 95

(29) (195)

13 87

14 33

(29) (12)

0 (183)

11

91

102

100

(225)

100

31

(42)

(183)

FINAL

Table B-10

Future Child Care Demand and Supply in 2025 in Hillsborough

San Mateo County Child Care Study - 2016

Note All footnote references can be found in Table C-1 at the end of this file

Sources 2010 US Census ABAG Projections 2013 2014 American Community Survey ACS Journey-to-Work data 2006-2008 and 2006-2010

Child Care Coordinating Council of San Mateo County (4Cs) Community Care Licensing Brion Economics Inc

Prepared by Brion Economics Inc 2513-SMC NA Final Tables 61216 6122016

MENLO PARK

Child Care as of 2025

No of

Providers

Under 2 Years

Old

2 to 4 Year

Olds

Total 0 to 4

Years

EXISTING DEMAND Child Care Demand

Estimated Total Children

Average LFPRAdjustment Factor

Children With Working Parents

Licensed Care Demand Factor

Resident Children Needing Licensed Care

of Total Resident Children Needing Licensed Care

Children from Non-Resident Employees Needing

Licensed Care

(1)

(2)

(3)

1327 1954

69

909 1759

37

336 1653

25 85

237 357

3281

2668

75

1989

61

594

Total Demand for Child Care Spaces

Distribution

EXISTING SUPPLY (4)

573 2011

22 78

Child Care Spaces

2584

100

Family Child Care Home Supply

Child Care Center Supply

Current Child Care Supply

Distribution

EXISTING SURPLUS(SHORTAGE)

Distribution

Percentage of Demand Met

by Existing FacilitiesSpaces

Shortage of Family Child Care Home Spaces

Shortage of Center-Based Spaces

(5)

(6)

(6)

15

25

40

76 96

73 1331

149 1427

9 91

(424) (584)

42 58

26 71

(217) (39)

(207) (544)

172

1404

1576

100

(1008)

100

61

(256)

(752)

FINAL

Table B-11

Future Child Care Demand and Supply in 2025 in Menlo Park

San Mateo County Child Care Study - 2016

Note All footnote references can be found in Table C-1 at the end of this file

Sources 2010 US Census ABAG Projections 2013 2014 American Community Survey ACS Journey-to-Work data 2006-2008 and 2006-2010

Child Care Coordinating Council of San Mateo County (4Cs) Community Care Licensing Brion Economics Inc

Prepared by Brion Economics Inc 2513-SMC NA Final Tables 61216 6122016

MILLBRAE

Child Care as of 2025

No of

Providers

Under 2 Years

Old

2 to 4 Year

Olds

Total 0 to 4

Years

EXISTING DEMAND Child Care Demand

Estimated Total Children

Average LFPRAdjustment Factor

Children With Working Parents

Licensed Care Demand Factor

Resident Children Needing Licensed Care

of Total Resident Children Needing Licensed Care

Children from Non-Resident Employees Needing

Licensed Care

(1)

(2)

(3)

473 805

62

291 710

37

108 672

23 83

31 47

1278

1001

78

780

61

77

Total Demand for Child Care Spaces

Distribution

EXISTING SUPPLY (4)

139 718

16 84

Child Care Spaces

857

100

Family Child Care Home Supply

Child Care Center Supply

Current Child Care Supply

Distribution

EXISTING SURPLUS(SHORTAGE)

Distribution

Percentage of Demand Met

by Existing FacilitiesSpaces

Shortage of Family Child Care Home Spaces

Shortage of Center-Based Spaces

(5)

(6)

(6)

7

7

14

62 78

- 376

62 454

12 88

(76) (264)

22 78

45 63

(76) (46)

0 (219)

141

376

517

100

(340)

100

60

(122)

(219)

FINAL

Table B-12

Future C hild Care Demand and Supply in 2025 in Millbrae

San Mateo County Child Care Study - 2016

Note All footnote references can be found in Table C-1 at the end of this file

Sources 2010 US Census ABAG Projections 2013 2014 American Community Survey ACS Journey-to-Work data 2006-2008 and 2006-2010

Child Care Coordinating Council of San Mateo County (4Cs) Community Care Licensing Brion Economics Inc

Prepared by Brion Economics Inc 2513-SMC NA Final Tables 61216 6122016

FINAL

Table B-13

Future Child Care Demand and Supply in 2025 in Pacifica

San Mateo County Child Care Study - 2016

PACIFICA

Child Care as of 2025

No of

Providers

Under 2 Years

Old

2 to 4 Year

Olds

Total 0 to 4

Years

EXISTING DEMAND Child Care Demand

Estimated Total Children

Average L FPRAdjustment Factor

Children With Working Parents

Licensed Care Demand Factor

Resident Children Needing Licensed Care

of Total Resident Children Needing Licensed Care

Children from Non-Resident Employees Needing

Licensed Care

(1)

(2)

(3)

816 1300

78

633 1209

37

234 1130

29 87

19 29

2116

1842

74

1364

64

48

Total Demand for Child Care Spaces

Distribution

EXISTING SUPPLY (4)

254 1159

18 82

Child Care Spaces

1413

100

Family Child Care Home Supply

Child Care Center Supply

Current Child Care Supply

Distribution

EXISTING SURPLUS(SHORTAGE)

Distribution

Percentage of Demand Met

by Existing FacilitiesSpaces

Shortage of Family Child Care Home Spaces

Shortage of Center-Based Spaces

(5)

(6)

(6)

9

18

27

77 97

39 701

116 798

13 87

(138) (361)

28 72

46 69

(91) (44)

(46) (317)

174

740

914

100

(499)

100

65

(135)

(364)

Note All footnote references can be found in Table C-1 at the end of this file

Sources 2010 US Census ABAG Projections 2013 2014 American Community Survey ACS Journey-to-Work data 2006-2008 and 2006-2010

Child Care Coordinating Council of San Mateo County (4Cs) Community Care Licensing Brion Economics Inc

Prepared by Brion Economics Inc 2513-SMC NA Final Tables 61216 6122016

PORTOLA VALLEY

Child Care as of 2025

No of

Providers

Under 2 Years

Old

2 to 4 Year

Olds

Total 0 to 4

Years

EXISTING DEMAND Child Care Demand

Estimated Total Children

Average LFPRAdjustment Factor

Children With Working Parents

Licensed Care Demand Factor

Resident Children Needing Licensed Care

of Total Resident Children Needing Licensed Care

Children from Non-Resident Employees Needing

Licensed Care

(1)

(2)

(3)

77 192

66

51 173

37

19 164

24 85

9 13

269

224

82

182

68

22

Total Demand for Child Care Spaces

Distribution

EXISTING SUPPLY (4)

28 177

13 87

Child Care Spaces

204

100

Family Child Care Home Supply

Child Care Center Supply

Current Child Care Supply

Distribution

EXISTING SURPLUS(SHORTAGE)

Distribution

Percentage of Demand Met

by Existing FacilitiesSpaces

Shortage of Family Child Care Home Spaces

Shortage of Center-Based Spaces

(5)

(6)

(6)

0

4

4

- -

- 153

- 153

0 100

(28) (24)

54 46

0 87

0 0

(28) (24)

0

153

153

100

(51)

100

75

0

(51)

FINAL

Table B-14

Future Child Care Demand and Supply in 2025 in Portola Valley

San Mateo County Child Care Study - 2016

Note All footnote references can be found in Table C-1 at the end of this file

Sources 2010 US Census ABAG Projections 2013 2014 American Community Survey ACS Journey-to-Work data 2006-2008 and 2006-2010

Child Care Coordinating Council of San Mateo County (4Cs) Community Care Licensing Brion Economics Inc

Prepared by Brion Economics Inc 2513-SMC NA Final Tables 61216 6122016

REDWOOD CITY

No of

Providers

Child Care as of 2025

Under 2 Years

Old

2 to 4 Year

Olds

Total 0 to 4

Years

EXISTING DEMAND Child Care Demand

Estimated Total Children

Average LFPRAdjustment Factor

Children With Working Parents

Licensed Care Demand Factor

Resident Children Needing Licensed Care

of Total Resident Children Needing Licensed Care

Children from Non-Resident Employees Needing

Licensed Care

Total Demand for Child Care Spaces

Distribution

EXISTING SUPPLY

(1)

(2)

(3)

(4)

3725 5378

69

2555 4813

37

946 4505

25 84

466 703

1411 5208

21 79

Child Care Spaces

9103

7368

74

5450

60

1169

6619

100

Family Child Care Home Supply

Child Care Center Supply

Current Child Care Supply

Distribution

EXISTING SURPLUS(SHORTAGE)

Distribution

Percentage of Demand Met

by Existing FacilitiesSpaces

Shortage of Family Child Care Home Spaces

Shortage of Center-Based Spaces

(5)

(6)

(6)

42

41

83

396 497

356 2036

752 2533

23 77

(660) (2674)

20 80

53 49

(347) (525)

(313) (2149)

893

2392

3285

100

(3334)

100

50

(872)

(2462)

FINAL

Table B-15

Future Child Care Demand and Supply in 2025 in Redwood City

San Mateo County Child Care Study - 2016

Note All footnote references can be found in Table C-1 at the end of this file

Sources 2010 US Census ABAG Projections 2013 2014 American Community Survey ACS Journey-to-Work data 2006-2008 and 2006-2010

Child Care Coordinating Council of San Mateo County (4Cs) Community Care Licensing Brion Economics Inc

Prepared by Brion Economics Inc 2513-SMC NA Final Tables 61216 6122016

SAN BRUNO

Child Care as of 2025

No of

Providers

Under 2 Years

Old

2 to 4 Year

Olds

Total 0 to 4

Years

EXISTING DEMAND Child Care Demand

Estimated Total Children

Average LFPRAdjustment Factor

Children With Working Parents

Licensed Care Demand Factor

Resident Children Needing Licensed Care

of Total Resident Children Needing Licensed Care

Children from Non-Resident Employees Needing

Licensed Care

(1)

(2)

(3)

1189 1728

77

910 1589

37

337 1475

28 85

68 103

2917

2498

73

1812

62

171

Total Demand for Child Care Spaces

Distribution

EXISTING SUPPLY (4)

405 1578

20 80

Child Care Spaces

1983

100

Family Child Care Home Supply

Child Care Center Supply

Current Child Care Supply

Distribution

EXISTING SURPLUS(SHORTAGE)

Distribution

Percentage of Demand Met

by Existing FacilitiesSpaces

Shortage of Family Child Care Home Spaces

Shortage of Center-Based Spaces

(5)

(6)

(6)

13

15

28

122 153

26 1183

148 1336

10 90

(257) (242)

52 48

37 85

(212) (28)

(45) (214)

275

1209

1484

100

(499)

100

75

(239)

(259)

FINAL

Table B-16

Future C hild Care Demand and Supply in 2025 in San Bruno

San Mateo County Child Care Study - 2016

Note All footnote references can be found in Table C-1 at the end of this file

Sources 2010 US Census ABAG Projections 2013 2014 American Community Survey ACS Journey-to-Work data 2006-2008 and 2006-2010

Child Care Coordinating Council of San Mateo County (4Cs) Community Care Licensing Brion Economics Inc

Prepared by Brion Economics Inc 2513-SMC NA Final Tables 61216 6122016

SAN CARLOS

Child Care as of 2025

No of

Providers

Under 2 Years

Old

2 to 4 Year

Olds

Total 0 to 4

Years

EXISTING DEMAND Child Care Demand

Estimated Total Children

Average LFPRAdjustment Factor

Children With Working Parents

Licensed Care Demand Factor

Resident Children Needing Licensed Care

of Total Resident Children Needing Licensed Care

Children from Non-Resident Employees Needing

Licensed Care

(1)

(2)

(3)

778 1384

72

557 1255

37

206 1174

26 85

82 123

2162

1812

76

1380

64

205

Total Demand for Child Care Spaces

Distribution

EXISTING SUPPLY (4)

288 1297

18 82

Child Care Spaces

1585

100

Family Child Care Home Supply

Child Care Center Supply

Current Child Care Supply

Distribution

EXISTING SURPLUS(SHORTAGE)

Distribution

Percentage of Demand Met

by Existing FacilitiesSpaces

Shortage of Family Child Care Home Spaces

Shortage of Center-Based Spaces

(5)

(6)

(6)

28

14

42

73 92

76 615

149 707

17 83

(139) (590)

19 81

52 54

(68) (76)

(71) (514)

164

691

855

100

(729)

100

54

(145)

(585)

FINAL

Table B-17

Future Child Care Demand and Supply in 2025 in San Carlos

San Mateo County Child Care Study - 2016

Note All footnote references can be found in Table C-1 at the end of this file

Sources 2010 US Census ABAG Projections 2013 2014 American Community Survey ACS Journey-to-Work data 2006-2008 and 2006-2010

Child Care Coordinating Council of San Mateo County (4Cs) Community Care Licensing Brion Economics Inc

Prepared by Brion Economics Inc 2513-SMC NA Final Tables 61216 6122016

SAN MATEO

Child Care as of 2025

No of

Providers

Under 2 Years

Old

2 to 4 Year

Olds

Total 0 to 4

Years

EXISTING DEMAND Child Care Demand

Estimated Total Children

Average LFPRAdjustment Factor

Children With Working Parents

Licensed Care Demand Factor

Resident Children Needing Licensed Care

of Total Resident Children Needing Licensed Care

Children from Non-Resident Employees Needing

Licensed Care

(1)

(2)

(3)

3194 4572

71

2264 4116

37

838 3839

26 84

261 394

7766

6381

73

4677

60

656

Total Demand for Child Care Spaces

Distribution

EXISTING SUPPLY (4)

1099 4233

21 79

Child Care Spaces

5332

100

Family Child Care Home Supply

Child Care Center Supply

Current Child Care Supply

Distribution

EXISTING SURPLUS(SHORTAGE)

Distribution

Percentage of Demand Met

by Existing FacilitiesSpaces

Shortage of Family Child Care Home Spaces

Shortage of Center-Based Spaces

(5)

(6)

(6)

69

59

128

492 619

209 2577

701 3196

18 82

(398) (1037)

28 72

64 75

(279) (201)

(119) (837)

1111

2786

3897

100

(1435)

100

73

(480)

(955)

FINAL

Table B-18

Future Child Care Demand and Supply in 2025 in San Mateo

San Mateo County Child Care Study - 2016

Note All footnote references can be found in Table C-1 at the end of this file

Sources 2010 US Census ABAG Projections 2013 2014 American Community Survey ACS Journey-to-Work data 2006-2008 and 2006-2010

Child Care Coordinating Council of San Mateo County (4Cs) Community Care Licensing Brion Economics Inc

Prepared by Brion Economics Inc 2513-SMC NA Final Tables 61216 6122016

FINAL

Table B-19

Future Child Care Demand and Supply in 2025 in South Coast

San Mateo County Child Care Study - 2016

SOUTH COAST

Child Care as of 2025

No of

Providers

Under 2 Years

Old

2 to 4 Year

Olds

Total 0 to 4

Years

EXISTING DEMAND Child Care Demand

Estimated Total Children (1) 23 32 55

Average LFPRAdjustment Factor (2) 54

Children With Working Parents 12 27 40

Licensed Care Demand Factor (3) 37 77

Resident Children Needing Licensed Care 5 26 30

of Total Resident Children Needing Licensed Care 20 81 56

Children from Non-Resident Employees Needing

Licensed Care 0 0 0

Total Demand for Child Care Spaces 5 26 30

Distribution 15 85 100

EXISTING SUPPLY (4) Child Care Spaces

Family Child Care Home Supply - 0 0 0

Child Care Center Supply 2 0 54 54

Current Child Care Supply 2 - 54 54

Distribution 0 100 100

EXISTING SURPLUS(SHORTAGE) (5) 28 24

Distribution -19 119 100

Percentage of Demand Met

by Existing FacilitiesSpaces (5) 0 209 177

Shortage of Family Child Care Home Spaces (6) 0 NA 0

Shortage of Center-Based Spaces (6) (5) NA (5)

Note All footnote references can be found in Table C-1 at the end of this file

Sources 2010 US Census ABAG Projections 2013 2014 American Community Survey ACS Journey-to-Work data 2006-2008 and 2006-2010

Child Care Coordinating Council of San Mateo County (4Cs) Community Care Licensing Brion Economics Inc

Prepared by Brion Economics Inc 2513-SMC NA Final Tables 61216 6122016

SOUTH SAN FRANCISCO

Child Care as of 2025

No of

Providers

Under 2 Years

Old

2 to 4 Year

Olds

Total 0 to 4

Years

EXISTING DEMAND Child Care Demand

Estimated Total Children

Average LFPRAdjustment Factor

Children With Working Parents

Licensed Care Demand Factor

Resident Children Needing Licensed Care

of Total Resident Children Needing Licensed Care

Children from Non-Resident Employees Needing

Licensed Care

(1)

(2)

(3)

1835 2790

73

1342 2535

37

496 2362

27 85

339 512

4625

3877

74

2859

62

851

Total Demand for Child Care Spaces

Distribution

EXISTING SUPPLY (4)

835 2874

23 77

Child Care Spaces

3709

100

Family Child Care Home Supply

Child Care Center Supply

Current Child Care Supply

Distribution

EXISTING SURPLUS(SHORTAGE)

Distribution

Percentage of Demand Met

by Existing FacilitiesSpaces

Shortage of Family Child Care Home Spaces

Shortage of Center-Based Spaces

(5)

(6)

(6)

30

27

57

252 317

400 1966

652 2283

22 78

(183) (591)

24 76

78 79

(71) (82)

(113) (509)

569

2366

2935

100

(775)

100

79

(153)

(622)

FINAL

Table B-20

Future Child Care Demand and Supply in 2025 in South San Francisco

San Mateo County Child Care Study - 2016

Note All footnote references can be found in Table C-1 at the end of this file

Sources 2010 US Census ABAG Projections 2013 2014 American Community Survey ACS Journey-to-Work data 2006-2008 and 2006-2010

Child Care Coordinating Council of San Mateo County (4Cs) Community Care Licensing Brion Economics Inc

Prepared by Brion Economics Inc 2513-SMC NA Final Tables 61216 6122016

WOODSIDE

No of

Providers

Child Care as of 2025

Under 2 Years

Old

2 to 4 Year

Olds

Total 0 to 4

Years

EXISTING DEMAND Child Care Demand

Estimated Total Children

Average LFPRAdjustment Factor

Children With Working Parents

Licensed Care Demand Factor

Resident Children Needing Licensed Care

of Total Resident Children Needing Licensed Care

Children from Non-Resident Employees Needing

Licensed Care

(1)

(2)

(3)

93 165

56

51 140

37

19 132

21 80

9 13

258

192

79

152

59

22

Total Demand for Child Care Spaces

Distribution

EXISTING SUPPLY (4)

28 146

16 84

Child Care Spaces

174

100

Family Child Care Home Supply

Child Care Center Supply

Current Child Care Supply

Distribution

EXISTING SURPLUS(SHORTAGE)

Distribution

Percentage of Demand Met

by Existing FacilitiesSpaces

Shortage of Family Child Care Home Spaces

Shortage of Center-Based Spaces

(5)

(6)

(6)

1

2

3

4 5

- 103

4 108

4 96

(24) (38)

39 61

15 74

(24) (2)

0 (36)

9

103

112

100

(61)

100

65

(26)

(36)

FINAL

Table B-21

Future Child Care Demand and Supply in 2025 in Woodside

San Mateo County Child Care Study - 2016

Note All footnote references can be found in Table C-1 at the end of this file

Sources 2010 US Census ABAG Projections 2013 2014 American Community Survey ACS Journey-to-Work data 2006-2008 and 2006-2010

Child Care Coordinating Council of San Mateo County (4Cs) Community Care Licensing Brion Economics Inc

Prepared by Brion Economics Inc 2513-SMC NA Final Tables 61216 6122016

FINAL

Table C-1

Endnotes for Tables

San Mateo County Child Care Study - 2016

(1) Population by age is based on the percentage breakdown from the 2010 US Census and applied

to population estimates for 2015 using ABAGs Projections 2013 population data The ABAG data

for each area includes its Sphere of Influence and is not based on strict jurisdictional boundaries

(2) Labor force participation rates are from the 5-Year American Community Survey 2014 and include

children under six years old with two working parents or a single working parent For the 2- to 4-year

olds the labor force participation rate is applied to 2 year olds For 3- and 4-year olds it is assumed

that 100 need licensed care to support preschool for every child so the number of

3- and 4-year olds is not discounted by labor force participation rates

(3) Not all children with working parents are assumed to need licensed care percentage assumptions are

used to calculate the number of children requiring licensed care under each age category The

remaining children are assumed to be cared for in alternate arrangements such as by family members

nannies friends and other unlicensed care For children ages 3- and 4-years old it is assumed that

they all need care in the form of preschool

(4) Data on child care supply provided by the Child Care Coordinating Council of San Mateo County (4Cs)

and Community Care Licensing Division of the California Department of Social Services (CCLD) Data is

for June 2015

(5) Demand that calculates as less than 100 means that there is greater demand than supply percent of

demand that is over 100 means supply exceeds demand

(6) Unmet demand is broken down into shortage by type of care based on the proportion of FCCHs and

child care centers spaces available in each area If an area does not have any FCCHs or centers the

unmet demand is placed in the type of care that is available in the area (eg if there are only centers

all demand goes to centers)

Source Brion Economics Inc

Prepared by Brion Economics Inc 2513-SMC NA Final Tables 61216 6122016

DRAFT REPORT

Table C-2

Labor Force Participation Rates by CityArea

San Mateo County Child Care Study - 2016

CityArea

Labor Force

Participation Rate (1)

Atherton

Belmont

Brisbane

Burlingame

Daly CityColma

East Palo Alto

Foster City

Half Moon Bay Region

Hillsborough

Menlo Park

Millbrae

Pacifica

Portola Valley

Redwood City

San Bruno

San Carlos

San Mateo

South Coast

South San Francisco

Woodside

40

77

100

65

74

71

63

69

52

69

62

78

66

69

77

72

71

54

73

56

(1) Labor force participation rates (LFPRs) are for

families with children under age six with two

working parents or a single parent who works Sources American Community Survey 2014 5-Year

Survey Brion Economics Inc

Prepared by Brion Economics Inc 2513-SMC NA Final Tables 61216 6122016

  • 2513-SMC FINAL NA Memo-61216
  • 2513-SMC NA Final Tables 61216
Page 40: Final San Mateo County Child Care Needs … Care...Future C hild Care Demand and Supply in 2025 in Daly City/Colma San Mateo County Child Care Study - 2016 Note: All footnote references

SAN MATEO

Child Care as of 2015

No of

Providers

Under 2 Years

Old

2 to 4 Year

Olds

Total 0 to 4

Years

EXISTING DEMAND Child Care Demand

Estimated Total Children

Average LFPRAdjustment Factor

Children With Working Parents

Licensed Care Demand Factor

Resident Children Needing Licensed Care

of Total Resident Children Needing Licensed Care

Children from Non-Resident Employees Needing

Licensed Care

(1)

(2)

(3)

2943 4213

71

2087 3793

37

772 3537

26 84

231 348

7156

5880

73

4309

60

579

Total Demand for Child Care Spaces

Distribution

EXISTING SUPPLY (4)

1003 3886

21 79

Child Care Spaces

4889

100

Family Child Care Home Supply

Child Care Center Supply

Current Child Care Supply

Distribution

EXISTING SURPLUS(SHORTAGE)

Distribution

Percentage of Demand Met

by Existing FacilitiesSpaces

Shortage of Family Child Care Home Spaces

Shortage of Center-Based Spaces

(5)

(6)

(6)

126

59

185

492 619

209 2577

701 3196

18 82

(302) (690)

30 70

70 82

(212) (134)

(90) (557)

1111

2786

3897

100

(992)

100

80

(345)

(647)

FINAL

Table A-18

Existing Child Care Demand and Supply in 2015 in San Mateo

San Mateo County Child Care Study - 2016

Note All footnote references can be found in Table C-1 at the end of this file

Sources 2010 US Census ABAG Projections 2013 2014 American Community Survey ACS Journey-to-Work data 2006-2008 and 2006-2010

Child Care Coordinating Council of San Mateo County (4Cs) Community Care Licensing Brion Economics Inc

Prepared by Brion Economics Inc 2513-SMC NA Final Tables 61216 6122016

SOUTH COAST

Child Care as of 2015

No of

Providers

Under 2 Years

Old

2 to 4 Year

Olds

Total 0 to 4

Years

EXISTING DEMAND Child Care Demand

Estimated Total Children

Average LFPRAdjustment Factor

Children With Working Parents

Licensed Care Demand Factor

Resident Children Needing Licensed Care

of Total Resident Children Needing Licensed Care

Children from Non-Resident Employees Needing

Licensed Care

(1)

(2)

(3)

21 29

54

11 25

37

4 23

20 81

0 0

50

36

77

28

56

0

Total Demand for Child Care Spaces

Distribution

EXISTING SUPPLY (4)

4 23

15 85

Child Care Spaces

28

100

Family Child Care Home Supply

Child Care Center Supply

Current Child Care Supply

Distribution

EXISTING SURPLUS(SHORTAGE)

Distribution

Percentage of Demand Met

by Existing FacilitiesSpaces

Shortage of Family Child Care Home Spaces

Shortage of Center-Based Spaces

(5)

(6)

(6)

-

2

2

- -

- 54

- 54

0 100

(4) 31

-16 116

0 230

(2) NA

(2) NA

0

54

54

100

26

100

195

(2)

(2)

FINAL

Table A-19

Existing Child Care Demand and Supply in 2015 in South Coast

San Mateo County Child Care Study - 2016

Note All footnote references can be found in Table C-1 at the end of this file

Sources 2010 US Census ABAG Projections 2013 2014 American Community Survey ACS Journey-to-Work data 2006-2008 and 2006-2010

Child Care Coordinating Council of San Mateo County (4Cs) Community Care Licensing Brion Economics Inc

Prepared by Brion Economics Inc 2513-SMC NA Final Tables 61216 6122016

SOUTH SAN FRANCISCO

Child Care as of 2015

No of

Providers

Under 2 Years

Old

2 to 4 Year

Olds

Total 0 to 4

Years

EXISTING DEMAND Child Care Demand

Estimated Total Children

Average LFPRAdjustment Factor

Children With Working Parents

Licensed Care Demand Factor

Resident Children Needing Licensed Care

of Total Resident Children Needing Licensed Care

Children from Non-Resident Employees Needing

Licensed Care

(1)

(2)

(3)

1649 2507

73

1206 2278

37

446 2123

27 85

309 466

4156

3484

74

2569

62

774

Total Demand for Child Care Spaces

Distribution

EXISTING SUPPLY (4)

755 2588

23 77

Child Care Spaces

3343

100

Family Child Care Home Supply

Child Care Center Supply

Current Child Care Supply

Distribution

EXISTING SURPLUS(SHORTAGE)

Distribution

Percentage of Demand Met

by Existing FacilitiesSpaces

Shortage of Family Child Care Home Spaces

Shortage of Center-Based Spaces

(5)

(6)

(6)

68

27

95

252 317

400 1966

652 2283

22 78

(103) (306)

25 75

86 88

(40) (42)

(63) (263)

569

2366

2935

100

(408)

100

88

(82)

(326)

FINAL

Table A-20

Existing Child Care Demand and Supply in 2015 in South San Francisco

San Mateo County Child Care Study - 2016

Note All footnote references can be found in Table C-1 at the end of this file Sources 2010 US Census ABAG Projections 2013 2014 American Community Survey ACS Journey-to-Work data 2006-2008 and 2006-2010

Child Care Coordinating Council of San Mateo County (4Cs) Community Care Licensing Brion Economics Inc

Prepared by Brion Economics Inc 2513-SMC NA Final Tables 61216 6122016

WOODSIDE

No of

Providers

Child Care as of 2015

Under 2 Years

Old

2 to 4 Year

Olds

Total 0 to 4

Years

EXISTING DEMAND Child Care Demand

Estimated Total Children

Average LFPRAdjustment Factor

Children With Working Parents

Licensed Care Demand Factor

Resident Children Needing Licensed Care

of Total Resident Children Needing Licensed Care

Children from Non-Resident Employees Needing

Licensed Care

(1)

(2)

(3)

90 160

56

50 136

37

18 128

21 80

8 13

250

186

79

147

59

21

Total Demand for Child Care Spaces

Distribution

EXISTING SUPPLY (4)

27 141

16 84

Child Care Spaces

168

100

Family Child Care Home Supply

Child Care Center Supply

Current Child Care Supply

Distribution

EXISTING SURPLUS(SHORTAGE)

Distribution

Percentage of Demand Met

by Existing FacilitiesSpaces

Shortage of Family Child Care Home Spaces

Shortage of Center-Based Spaces

(5)

(6)

(6)

1

2

3

4 5

0 103

4 108

4 96

(23) (33)

41 59

16 77

(23) (2)

0 (31)

9

103

112

100

(55)

100

67

(24)

(31)

FINAL

Table A-21

Existing Child Care Demand and Supply in 2015 in Woodside

San Mateo County Child Care Study - 2016

Note All footnote references can be found in Table C-1 at the end of this file Sources 2010 US Census ABAG Projections 2013 2014 American Community Survey ACS Journey-to-Work data 2006-2008 and 2006-2010

Child Care Coordinating Council of San Mateo County (4Cs) Community Care Licensing Brion Economics Inc

Prepared by Brion Economics Inc 2513-SMC NA Final Tables 61216 6122016

COUNTYWIDE

Child Care as of 2025

No of

Providers

Under 2 Years

Old

2 to 4 Year

Olds

Total 0 to 4

Years

EXISTING DEMAND Child Care Demand

Estimated Total Children

Average LFPRAdjustment Factor

Children With Working Parents

Licensed Care Demand Factor

Resident Children Needing Licensed Care

of Total Resident Children Needing Licensed Care

Children from Non-Resident Employees Needing

Licensed Care

Total Demand for Child Care Spaces

Distribution

EXISTING SUPPLY

(1)

(2)

(3)

(4)

20790 31340

71

14704 28273

37

5441 26432

26 84

2037 3074

7478 29506

20 80

Child Care Spaces

52130

42978

86

31873

61

5112

36984

100

Family Child Care Home Supply

Child Care Center Supply

Current Child Care Supply

Distribution

EXISTING SURPLUS(SHORTAGE)

Distribution

Percentage of Demand Met

by Existing FacilitiesSpaces

Shortage of Family Child Care Home Spaces

Shortage of Center-Based Spaces

(5)

(6)

(6)

621

309

930

2301 2893

1514 16296

3815 19189

17 83

(3663) (10318)

26 74

51 65

(2209) (1555)

(1454) (8762)

5193

17810

23003

100

(13981)

100

62

(3765)

(10216)

FINAL

Table B-1

Future C hild Care Demand and Supply in 2025 Countywide

San Mateo County Child Care Study - 2016

Note All footnote references can be found in Table C-1 at the end of this file

Sources 2010 US Census ABAG Projections 2013 2014 American Community Survey ACS Journey-to-Work data 2006-2008 and 2006-2010

Child Care Coordinating Council of San Mateo County (4Cs) Community Care Licensing Brion Economics Inc

Prepared by Brion Economics Inc 2513-SMC NA Final Tables 61216 6122016

ATHERTON

No of

Providers

Child Care as of 2025

Under 2 Years

Old

2 to 4 Year

Olds

Total 0 to 4

Years

EXISTING DEMAND Child Care Demand

Estimated Total Children

Average LFPRAdjustment Factor

Children With Working Parents

Licensed Care Demand Factor

Resident Children Needing Licensed Care

of Total Resident Children Needing Licensed Care

Children from Non-Resident Employees Needing

Licensed Care

(1)

(2)

(3)

109 193

40

43 159

37

16 154

15 80

13 19

302

202

84

170

56

32

Total Demand for Child Care Spaces

Distribution

EXISTING SUPPLY (4)

29 173

14 86

Child Care Spaces

201

100

Family Child Care Home Supply

Child Care Center Supply

Current Child Care Supply

Distribution

EXISTING SURPLUS(SHORTAGE)

Distribution

Percentage of Demand Met

by Existing FacilitiesSpaces

Shortage of Family Child Care Home Spaces

Shortage of Center-Based Spaces

(5)

(6)

(6)

1

6

7

5 6

24 267

29 273

10 90

0 101

0 100

101 158

NA NA

NA NA

11

291

302

100

101

100

150

NA

NA

FINAL

Table B-2

Future Child Care Demand and Supply in 2025 in Atherton

San Mateo Co unty Child Care Study - 2016

Note All footnote references can be found in Table C-1 at the end of this file Sources 2010 US Census ABAG Projections 2013 2014 American Community Survey ACS Journey-to-Work data 2006-2008 and 2006-2010

Child Care Coordinating Council of San Mateo County (4Cs) Community Care Licensing Brion Economics Inc

Prepared by Brion Economics Inc 2513-SMC NA Final Tables 61216 6122016

BELMONT

Child Care as of 2025

No of

Providers

Under 2 Years

Old

2 to 4 Year

Olds

Total 0 to 4

Years

EXISTING DEMAND Child Care Demand

Estimated Total Children

Average LFPRAdjustment Factor

Children With Working Parents

Licensed Care Demand Factor

Resident Children Needing Licensed Care

of Total Resident Children Needing Licensed Care

Children from Non-Resident Employees Needing

Licensed Care

(1)

(2)

(3)

743 1095

77

574 1013

37

213 943

29 86

37 56

1838

1587

73

1156

63

93

Total Demand for Child Care Spaces

Distribution

EXISTING SUPPLY (4)

250 999

20 80

Child Care Spaces

1249

100

Family Child Care Home Supply

Child Care Center Supply

Current Child Care Supply

Distribution

EXISTING SURPLUS(SHORTAGE)

Distribution

Percentage of Demand Met

by Existing FacilitiesSpaces

Shortage of Family Child Care Home Spaces

Shortage of Center-Based Spaces

(5)

(6)

(6)

8

9

17

67 84

39 531

106 615

15 85

(143) (384)

27 73

43 62

(91) (53)

(53) (331)

152

570

722

100

(527)

100

58

(143)

(384)

FINAL

Table B-3

Future Child Care Demand and Supply in 2025 in Belmont

San Mateo County Child Care Study - 2016

Note All footnote references can be found in Table C-1 at the end of this file

Sources 2010 US Census ABAG Projections 2013 2014 American Community Survey ACS Journey-to-Work data 2006-2008 and 2006-2010

Child Care Coordinating Council of San Mateo County (4Cs) Community Care Licensing Brion Economics Inc

Prepared by Brion Economics Inc 2513-SMC NA Final Tables 61216 6122016

BRISBANE

Child Care as of 2025

No of

Providers

Under 2 Years

Old

2 to 4 Year

Olds

Total 0 to 4

Years

EXISTING DEMAND Child Care Demand

Estimated Total Children

Average LFPRAdjustment Factor

Children With Working Parents

Licensed Care Demand Factor

Resident Children Needing Licensed Care

of Total Resident Children Needing Licensed Care

Children from Non-Resident Employees Needing

Licensed Care

(1)

(2)

(3)

131 174

100

131 174

37

48 160

37 92

55 83

305

305

68

209

68

138

Total Demand for Child Care Spaces

Distribution

EXISTING SUPPLY (4)

103 243

30 70

Child Care Spaces

346

100

Family Child Care Home Supply

Child Care Center Supply

Current Child Care Supply

Distribution

EXISTING SURPLUS(SHORTAGE)

Distribution

Percentage of Demand Met

by Existing FacilitiesSpaces

Shortage of Family Child Care Home Spaces

Shortage of Center-Based Spaces

(5)

(6)

(6)

1

1

2

4 5

0 64

4 69

6 94

(99) (174)

36 64

4 29

(99) (13)

0 (160)

9

64

73

100

(273)

100

21

(112)

(160)

FINAL

Table B-4

Future Child Care Demand and Supply in 2025 in Brisbane

San Mateo County Child Care Study - 2016

Note All footnote references can be found in Table C-1 at the end of this file Sources 2010 US Census ABAG Projections 2013 2014 American Community Survey ACS Journey-to-Work data 2006-2008 and 2006-2010

Child Care Coordinating Council of San Mateo County (4Cs) Community Care Licensing Brion Economics Inc

Prepared by Brion Economics Inc 2513-SMC NA Final Tables 61216 6122016

BURLINGAME

Child Care as of 2025

No of

Providers

Under 2 Years

Old

2 to 4 Year

Olds

Total 0 to 4

Years

EXISTING DEMAND Child Care Demand

Estimated Total Children

Average LFPRAdjustment Factor

Children With Working Parents

Licensed Care Demand Factor

Resident Children Needing Licensed Care

of Total Resident Children Needing Licensed Care

Children from Non-Resident Employees Needing

Licensed Care

(1)

(2)

(3)

903 1332

65

587 1190

37

217 1124

24 84

154 232

2235

1777

75

1341

60

385

Total Demand for Child Care Spaces

Distribution

EXISTING SUPPLY (4)

371 1356

21 79

Child Care Spaces

1726

100

Family Child Care Home Supply

Child Care Center Supply

Current Child Care Supply

Distribution

EXISTING SURPLUS(SHORTAGE)

Distribution

Percentage of Demand Met

by Existing FacilitiesSpaces

Shortage of Family Child Care Home Spaces

Shortage of Center-Based Spaces

(5)

(6)

(6)

10

14

24

79 99

40 866

119 965

11 89

(252) (390)

39 61

32 71

(167) (40)

(85) (350)

179

906

1085

100

(642)

100

63

(207)

(434)

FINAL

Table B-5

Future Child Care Demand and Supply in 2025 in Burlingame

San Mateo County Child Care Study - 2016

Note All footnote references can be found in Table C-1 at the end of this file

Sources 2010 US Census ABAG Projections 2013 2014 American Community Survey ACS Journey-to-Work data 2006-2008 and 2006-2010

Child Care Coordinating Council of San Mateo County (4Cs) Community Care Licensing Brion Economics Inc

Prepared by Brion Economics Inc 2513-SMC NA Final Tables 61216 6122016

DALY CITYCOLMA

Child Care as of 2025

No of

Providers

Under 2 Years

Old

2 to 4 Year

Olds

Total 0 to 4

Years

EXISTING DEMAND Child Care Demand

Estimated Total Children

Average LFPRAdjustment Factor

Children With Working Parents

Licensed Care Demand Factor

Resident Children Needing Licensed Care

of Total Resident Children Needing Licensed Care

Children from Non-Resident Employees Needing

Licensed Care

(1)

(2)

(3)

2647 3793

74

1964 3467

37

727 3233

27 85

138 208

6440

5432

73

3960

61

346

Total Demand for Child Care Spaces

Distribution

EXISTING SUPPLY (4)

865 3441

20 80

Child Care Spaces

4306

100

Family Child Care Home Supply

Child Care Center Supply

Current Child Care Supply

Distribution

EXISTING SURPLUS(SHORTAGE)

Distribution

Percentage of Demand Met

by Existing FacilitiesSpaces

Shortage of Family Child Care Home Spaces

Shortage of Center-Based Spaces

(5)

(6)

(6)

25

28

28

288 362

84 1264

372 1626

19 81

(493) (1816)

21 79

43 47

(381) (404)

(111) (1412)

649

1348

1997

100

(2308)

100

46

(785)

(1523)

FINAL

Table B-6

Future C hild Care Demand and Supply in 2025 in Daly CityColma

San Mateo County Child Care Study - 2016

Note All footnote references can be found in Table C-1 at the end of this file

Sources 2010 US Census ABAG Projections 2013 2014 American Community Survey ACS Journey-to-Work data 2006-2008 and 2006-2010

Child Care Coordinating Council of San Mateo County (4Cs) Community Care Licensing Brion Economics Inc

Prepared by Brion Economics Inc 2513-SMC NA Final Tables 61216 6122016

EAST PALO ALTO

Child Care as of 2025

No of

Providers

Under 2 Years

Old

2 to 4 Year

Olds

Total 0 to 4

Years

EXISTING DEMAND Child Care Demand

Estimated Total Children

Average LFPRAdjustment Factor

Children With Working Parents

Licensed Care Demand Factor

Resident Children Needing Licensed Care

of Total Resident Children Needing Licensed Care

Children from Non-Resident Employees Needing

Licensed Care

(1)

(2)

(3)

1161 1849

71

822 1660

37

304 1545

26 84

20 30

3010

2482

75

1849

61

50

Total Demand for Child Care Spaces

Distribution

EXISTING SUPPLY (4)

324 1575

17 83

Child Care Spaces

1900

100

Family Child Care Home Supply

Child Care Center Supply

Current Child Care Supply

Distribution

EXISTING SURPLUS(SHORTAGE)

Distribution

Percentage of Demand Met

by Existing FacilitiesSpaces

Shortage of Family Child Care Home Spaces

Shortage of Center-Based Spaces

(5)

(6)

(6)

13

6

19

85 106

25 633

110 739

13 87

(215) (836)

20 80

34 47

(166) (120)

(49) (715)

191

658

849

100

(1050)

100

45

(286)

(764)

FINAL

Table B-7

Future Child Care Demand and Supply in 2025 in East Palo Alto

San Mateo County Child Care Study - 2016

Note All footnote references can be found in Table C-1 at the end of this file

Sources 2010 US Census ABAG Projections 2013 2014 American Community Survey ACS Journey-to-Work data 2006-2008 and 2006-2010

Child Care Coordinating Council of San Mateo County (4Cs) Community Care Licensing Brion Economics Inc

Prepared by Brion Economics Inc 2513-SMC NA Final Tables 61216 6122016

FOSTER CITY

Child Care as of 2025

No of

Providers

Under 2 Years

Old

2 to 4 Year

Olds

Total 0 to 4

Years

EXISTING DEMAND Child Care Demand

Estimated Total Children

Average LFPRAdjustment Factor

Children With Working Parents

Licensed Care Demand Factor

Resident Children Needing Licensed Care

of Total Resident Children Needing Licensed Care

Children from Non-Resident Employees Needing

Licensed Care

(1)

(2)

(3)

871 1330

63

550 1154

37

204 1079

23 81

80 120

2201

1705

75

1282

58

200

Total Demand for Child Care Spaces

Distribution

EXISTING SUPPLY (4)

283 1199

19 81

Child Care Spaces

1483

100

Family Child Care Home Supply

Child Care Center Supply

Current Child Care Supply

Distribution

EXISTING SURPLUS(SHORTAGE)

Distribution

Percentage of Demand Met

by Existing FacilitiesSpaces

Shortage of Family Child Care Home Spaces

Shortage of Center-Based Spaces

(5)

(6)

(6)

19

12

31

118 149

88 1200

206 1349

13 87

(77) 150

-106 206

73 112

(44) NA

(33) NA

267

1288

1555

100

73

100

105

(44)

(33)

FINAL

Table B-8

Future Child Care Demand and Supply in 2025 in Foster City

San Mateo County Child Care Study - 2016

Note All footnote references can be found in Table C-1 at the end of this file

Sources 2010 US Census ABAG Projections 2013 2014 American Community Survey ACS Journey-to-Work data 2006-2008 and 2006-2010

Child Care Coordinating Council of San Mateo County (4Cs) Community Care Licensing Brion Economics Inc

Prepared by Brion Economics Inc 2513-SMC NA Final Tables 61216 6122016

HALF MOON BAY REGION

Child Care as of 2025

No of

Providers

Under 2 Years

Old

2 to 4 Year

Olds

Total 0 to 4

Years

EXISTING DEMAND Child Care Demand

Estimated Total Children

Average LFPRAdjustment Factor

Children With Working Parents

Licensed Care Demand Factor

Resident Children Needing Licensed Care

of Total Resident Children Needing Licensed Care

Children from Non-Resident Employees Needing

Licensed Care

(1)

(2)

(3)

553 929

69

383 835

37

142 781

26 84

14 21

1482

1217

76

923

62

34

Total Demand for Child Care Spaces

Distribution

EXISTING SUPPLY (4)

155 802

16 84

Child Care Spaces

957

100

Family Child Care Home Supply

Child Care Center Supply

Current Child Care Supply

Distribution

EXISTING SURPLUS(SHORTAGE)

Distribution

Percentage of Demand Met

by Existing FacilitiesSpaces

Shortage of Family Child Care Home Spaces

Shortage of Center-Based Spaces

(5)

(6)

(6)

10

11

21

96 121

35 285

131 406

24 76

(24) (396)

6 94

84 51

(18) (118)

(6) (279)

216

320

536

100

(421)

100

56

(136)

(285)

FINAL

Table B-9

Future Child Care Demand and Supply in 2025 in Half Moon Bay Region

San Mateo County Child Care Study - 2016

Note All footnote references can be found in Table C-1 at the end of this file

Sources 2010 US Census ABAG Projections 2013 2014 American Community Survey ACS Journey-to-Work data 2006-2008 and 2006-2010

Child Care Coordinating Council of San Mateo County (4Cs) Community Care Licensing Brion Economics Inc

Prepared by Brion Economics Inc 2513-SMC NA Final Tables 61216 6122016

HILLSBOROUGH

Child Care as of 2025

No of

Providers

Under 2 Years

Old

2 to 4 Year

Olds

Total 0 to 4

Years

EXISTING DEMAND Child Care Demand

Estimated Total Children

Average LFPRAdjustment Factor

Children With Working Parents

Licensed Care Demand Factor

Resident Children Needing Licensed Care

of Total Resident Children Needing Licensed Care

Children from Non-Resident Employees Needing

Licensed Care

(1)

(2)

(3)

143 343

52

74 295

37

27 282

19 82

7 11

487

369

84

309

64

17

Total Demand for Child Care Spaces

Distribution

EXISTING SUPPLY (4)

34 292

10 90

Child Care Spaces

327

100

Family Child Care Home Supply

Child Care Center Supply

Current Child Care Supply

Distribution

EXISTING SURPLUS(SHORTAGE)

Distribution

Percentage of Demand Met

by Existing FacilitiesSpaces

Shortage of Family Child Care Home Spaces

Shortage of Center-Based Spaces

(5)

(6)

(6)

1

4

5

5 6

- 91

5 97

5 95

(29) (195)

13 87

14 33

(29) (12)

0 (183)

11

91

102

100

(225)

100

31

(42)

(183)

FINAL

Table B-10

Future Child Care Demand and Supply in 2025 in Hillsborough

San Mateo County Child Care Study - 2016

Note All footnote references can be found in Table C-1 at the end of this file

Sources 2010 US Census ABAG Projections 2013 2014 American Community Survey ACS Journey-to-Work data 2006-2008 and 2006-2010

Child Care Coordinating Council of San Mateo County (4Cs) Community Care Licensing Brion Economics Inc

Prepared by Brion Economics Inc 2513-SMC NA Final Tables 61216 6122016

MENLO PARK

Child Care as of 2025

No of

Providers

Under 2 Years

Old

2 to 4 Year

Olds

Total 0 to 4

Years

EXISTING DEMAND Child Care Demand

Estimated Total Children

Average LFPRAdjustment Factor

Children With Working Parents

Licensed Care Demand Factor

Resident Children Needing Licensed Care

of Total Resident Children Needing Licensed Care

Children from Non-Resident Employees Needing

Licensed Care

(1)

(2)

(3)

1327 1954

69

909 1759

37

336 1653

25 85

237 357

3281

2668

75

1989

61

594

Total Demand for Child Care Spaces

Distribution

EXISTING SUPPLY (4)

573 2011

22 78

Child Care Spaces

2584

100

Family Child Care Home Supply

Child Care Center Supply

Current Child Care Supply

Distribution

EXISTING SURPLUS(SHORTAGE)

Distribution

Percentage of Demand Met

by Existing FacilitiesSpaces

Shortage of Family Child Care Home Spaces

Shortage of Center-Based Spaces

(5)

(6)

(6)

15

25

40

76 96

73 1331

149 1427

9 91

(424) (584)

42 58

26 71

(217) (39)

(207) (544)

172

1404

1576

100

(1008)

100

61

(256)

(752)

FINAL

Table B-11

Future Child Care Demand and Supply in 2025 in Menlo Park

San Mateo County Child Care Study - 2016

Note All footnote references can be found in Table C-1 at the end of this file

Sources 2010 US Census ABAG Projections 2013 2014 American Community Survey ACS Journey-to-Work data 2006-2008 and 2006-2010

Child Care Coordinating Council of San Mateo County (4Cs) Community Care Licensing Brion Economics Inc

Prepared by Brion Economics Inc 2513-SMC NA Final Tables 61216 6122016

MILLBRAE

Child Care as of 2025

No of

Providers

Under 2 Years

Old

2 to 4 Year

Olds

Total 0 to 4

Years

EXISTING DEMAND Child Care Demand

Estimated Total Children

Average LFPRAdjustment Factor

Children With Working Parents

Licensed Care Demand Factor

Resident Children Needing Licensed Care

of Total Resident Children Needing Licensed Care

Children from Non-Resident Employees Needing

Licensed Care

(1)

(2)

(3)

473 805

62

291 710

37

108 672

23 83

31 47

1278

1001

78

780

61

77

Total Demand for Child Care Spaces

Distribution

EXISTING SUPPLY (4)

139 718

16 84

Child Care Spaces

857

100

Family Child Care Home Supply

Child Care Center Supply

Current Child Care Supply

Distribution

EXISTING SURPLUS(SHORTAGE)

Distribution

Percentage of Demand Met

by Existing FacilitiesSpaces

Shortage of Family Child Care Home Spaces

Shortage of Center-Based Spaces

(5)

(6)

(6)

7

7

14

62 78

- 376

62 454

12 88

(76) (264)

22 78

45 63

(76) (46)

0 (219)

141

376

517

100

(340)

100

60

(122)

(219)

FINAL

Table B-12

Future C hild Care Demand and Supply in 2025 in Millbrae

San Mateo County Child Care Study - 2016

Note All footnote references can be found in Table C-1 at the end of this file

Sources 2010 US Census ABAG Projections 2013 2014 American Community Survey ACS Journey-to-Work data 2006-2008 and 2006-2010

Child Care Coordinating Council of San Mateo County (4Cs) Community Care Licensing Brion Economics Inc

Prepared by Brion Economics Inc 2513-SMC NA Final Tables 61216 6122016

FINAL

Table B-13

Future Child Care Demand and Supply in 2025 in Pacifica

San Mateo County Child Care Study - 2016

PACIFICA

Child Care as of 2025

No of

Providers

Under 2 Years

Old

2 to 4 Year

Olds

Total 0 to 4

Years

EXISTING DEMAND Child Care Demand

Estimated Total Children

Average L FPRAdjustment Factor

Children With Working Parents

Licensed Care Demand Factor

Resident Children Needing Licensed Care

of Total Resident Children Needing Licensed Care

Children from Non-Resident Employees Needing

Licensed Care

(1)

(2)

(3)

816 1300

78

633 1209

37

234 1130

29 87

19 29

2116

1842

74

1364

64

48

Total Demand for Child Care Spaces

Distribution

EXISTING SUPPLY (4)

254 1159

18 82

Child Care Spaces

1413

100

Family Child Care Home Supply

Child Care Center Supply

Current Child Care Supply

Distribution

EXISTING SURPLUS(SHORTAGE)

Distribution

Percentage of Demand Met

by Existing FacilitiesSpaces

Shortage of Family Child Care Home Spaces

Shortage of Center-Based Spaces

(5)

(6)

(6)

9

18

27

77 97

39 701

116 798

13 87

(138) (361)

28 72

46 69

(91) (44)

(46) (317)

174

740

914

100

(499)

100

65

(135)

(364)

Note All footnote references can be found in Table C-1 at the end of this file

Sources 2010 US Census ABAG Projections 2013 2014 American Community Survey ACS Journey-to-Work data 2006-2008 and 2006-2010

Child Care Coordinating Council of San Mateo County (4Cs) Community Care Licensing Brion Economics Inc

Prepared by Brion Economics Inc 2513-SMC NA Final Tables 61216 6122016

PORTOLA VALLEY

Child Care as of 2025

No of

Providers

Under 2 Years

Old

2 to 4 Year

Olds

Total 0 to 4

Years

EXISTING DEMAND Child Care Demand

Estimated Total Children

Average LFPRAdjustment Factor

Children With Working Parents

Licensed Care Demand Factor

Resident Children Needing Licensed Care

of Total Resident Children Needing Licensed Care

Children from Non-Resident Employees Needing

Licensed Care

(1)

(2)

(3)

77 192

66

51 173

37

19 164

24 85

9 13

269

224

82

182

68

22

Total Demand for Child Care Spaces

Distribution

EXISTING SUPPLY (4)

28 177

13 87

Child Care Spaces

204

100

Family Child Care Home Supply

Child Care Center Supply

Current Child Care Supply

Distribution

EXISTING SURPLUS(SHORTAGE)

Distribution

Percentage of Demand Met

by Existing FacilitiesSpaces

Shortage of Family Child Care Home Spaces

Shortage of Center-Based Spaces

(5)

(6)

(6)

0

4

4

- -

- 153

- 153

0 100

(28) (24)

54 46

0 87

0 0

(28) (24)

0

153

153

100

(51)

100

75

0

(51)

FINAL

Table B-14

Future Child Care Demand and Supply in 2025 in Portola Valley

San Mateo County Child Care Study - 2016

Note All footnote references can be found in Table C-1 at the end of this file

Sources 2010 US Census ABAG Projections 2013 2014 American Community Survey ACS Journey-to-Work data 2006-2008 and 2006-2010

Child Care Coordinating Council of San Mateo County (4Cs) Community Care Licensing Brion Economics Inc

Prepared by Brion Economics Inc 2513-SMC NA Final Tables 61216 6122016

REDWOOD CITY

No of

Providers

Child Care as of 2025

Under 2 Years

Old

2 to 4 Year

Olds

Total 0 to 4

Years

EXISTING DEMAND Child Care Demand

Estimated Total Children

Average LFPRAdjustment Factor

Children With Working Parents

Licensed Care Demand Factor

Resident Children Needing Licensed Care

of Total Resident Children Needing Licensed Care

Children from Non-Resident Employees Needing

Licensed Care

Total Demand for Child Care Spaces

Distribution

EXISTING SUPPLY

(1)

(2)

(3)

(4)

3725 5378

69

2555 4813

37

946 4505

25 84

466 703

1411 5208

21 79

Child Care Spaces

9103

7368

74

5450

60

1169

6619

100

Family Child Care Home Supply

Child Care Center Supply

Current Child Care Supply

Distribution

EXISTING SURPLUS(SHORTAGE)

Distribution

Percentage of Demand Met

by Existing FacilitiesSpaces

Shortage of Family Child Care Home Spaces

Shortage of Center-Based Spaces

(5)

(6)

(6)

42

41

83

396 497

356 2036

752 2533

23 77

(660) (2674)

20 80

53 49

(347) (525)

(313) (2149)

893

2392

3285

100

(3334)

100

50

(872)

(2462)

FINAL

Table B-15

Future Child Care Demand and Supply in 2025 in Redwood City

San Mateo County Child Care Study - 2016

Note All footnote references can be found in Table C-1 at the end of this file

Sources 2010 US Census ABAG Projections 2013 2014 American Community Survey ACS Journey-to-Work data 2006-2008 and 2006-2010

Child Care Coordinating Council of San Mateo County (4Cs) Community Care Licensing Brion Economics Inc

Prepared by Brion Economics Inc 2513-SMC NA Final Tables 61216 6122016

SAN BRUNO

Child Care as of 2025

No of

Providers

Under 2 Years

Old

2 to 4 Year

Olds

Total 0 to 4

Years

EXISTING DEMAND Child Care Demand

Estimated Total Children

Average LFPRAdjustment Factor

Children With Working Parents

Licensed Care Demand Factor

Resident Children Needing Licensed Care

of Total Resident Children Needing Licensed Care

Children from Non-Resident Employees Needing

Licensed Care

(1)

(2)

(3)

1189 1728

77

910 1589

37

337 1475

28 85

68 103

2917

2498

73

1812

62

171

Total Demand for Child Care Spaces

Distribution

EXISTING SUPPLY (4)

405 1578

20 80

Child Care Spaces

1983

100

Family Child Care Home Supply

Child Care Center Supply

Current Child Care Supply

Distribution

EXISTING SURPLUS(SHORTAGE)

Distribution

Percentage of Demand Met

by Existing FacilitiesSpaces

Shortage of Family Child Care Home Spaces

Shortage of Center-Based Spaces

(5)

(6)

(6)

13

15

28

122 153

26 1183

148 1336

10 90

(257) (242)

52 48

37 85

(212) (28)

(45) (214)

275

1209

1484

100

(499)

100

75

(239)

(259)

FINAL

Table B-16

Future C hild Care Demand and Supply in 2025 in San Bruno

San Mateo County Child Care Study - 2016

Note All footnote references can be found in Table C-1 at the end of this file

Sources 2010 US Census ABAG Projections 2013 2014 American Community Survey ACS Journey-to-Work data 2006-2008 and 2006-2010

Child Care Coordinating Council of San Mateo County (4Cs) Community Care Licensing Brion Economics Inc

Prepared by Brion Economics Inc 2513-SMC NA Final Tables 61216 6122016

SAN CARLOS

Child Care as of 2025

No of

Providers

Under 2 Years

Old

2 to 4 Year

Olds

Total 0 to 4

Years

EXISTING DEMAND Child Care Demand

Estimated Total Children

Average LFPRAdjustment Factor

Children With Working Parents

Licensed Care Demand Factor

Resident Children Needing Licensed Care

of Total Resident Children Needing Licensed Care

Children from Non-Resident Employees Needing

Licensed Care

(1)

(2)

(3)

778 1384

72

557 1255

37

206 1174

26 85

82 123

2162

1812

76

1380

64

205

Total Demand for Child Care Spaces

Distribution

EXISTING SUPPLY (4)

288 1297

18 82

Child Care Spaces

1585

100

Family Child Care Home Supply

Child Care Center Supply

Current Child Care Supply

Distribution

EXISTING SURPLUS(SHORTAGE)

Distribution

Percentage of Demand Met

by Existing FacilitiesSpaces

Shortage of Family Child Care Home Spaces

Shortage of Center-Based Spaces

(5)

(6)

(6)

28

14

42

73 92

76 615

149 707

17 83

(139) (590)

19 81

52 54

(68) (76)

(71) (514)

164

691

855

100

(729)

100

54

(145)

(585)

FINAL

Table B-17

Future Child Care Demand and Supply in 2025 in San Carlos

San Mateo County Child Care Study - 2016

Note All footnote references can be found in Table C-1 at the end of this file

Sources 2010 US Census ABAG Projections 2013 2014 American Community Survey ACS Journey-to-Work data 2006-2008 and 2006-2010

Child Care Coordinating Council of San Mateo County (4Cs) Community Care Licensing Brion Economics Inc

Prepared by Brion Economics Inc 2513-SMC NA Final Tables 61216 6122016

SAN MATEO

Child Care as of 2025

No of

Providers

Under 2 Years

Old

2 to 4 Year

Olds

Total 0 to 4

Years

EXISTING DEMAND Child Care Demand

Estimated Total Children

Average LFPRAdjustment Factor

Children With Working Parents

Licensed Care Demand Factor

Resident Children Needing Licensed Care

of Total Resident Children Needing Licensed Care

Children from Non-Resident Employees Needing

Licensed Care

(1)

(2)

(3)

3194 4572

71

2264 4116

37

838 3839

26 84

261 394

7766

6381

73

4677

60

656

Total Demand for Child Care Spaces

Distribution

EXISTING SUPPLY (4)

1099 4233

21 79

Child Care Spaces

5332

100

Family Child Care Home Supply

Child Care Center Supply

Current Child Care Supply

Distribution

EXISTING SURPLUS(SHORTAGE)

Distribution

Percentage of Demand Met

by Existing FacilitiesSpaces

Shortage of Family Child Care Home Spaces

Shortage of Center-Based Spaces

(5)

(6)

(6)

69

59

128

492 619

209 2577

701 3196

18 82

(398) (1037)

28 72

64 75

(279) (201)

(119) (837)

1111

2786

3897

100

(1435)

100

73

(480)

(955)

FINAL

Table B-18

Future Child Care Demand and Supply in 2025 in San Mateo

San Mateo County Child Care Study - 2016

Note All footnote references can be found in Table C-1 at the end of this file

Sources 2010 US Census ABAG Projections 2013 2014 American Community Survey ACS Journey-to-Work data 2006-2008 and 2006-2010

Child Care Coordinating Council of San Mateo County (4Cs) Community Care Licensing Brion Economics Inc

Prepared by Brion Economics Inc 2513-SMC NA Final Tables 61216 6122016

FINAL

Table B-19

Future Child Care Demand and Supply in 2025 in South Coast

San Mateo County Child Care Study - 2016

SOUTH COAST

Child Care as of 2025

No of

Providers

Under 2 Years

Old

2 to 4 Year

Olds

Total 0 to 4

Years

EXISTING DEMAND Child Care Demand

Estimated Total Children (1) 23 32 55

Average LFPRAdjustment Factor (2) 54

Children With Working Parents 12 27 40

Licensed Care Demand Factor (3) 37 77

Resident Children Needing Licensed Care 5 26 30

of Total Resident Children Needing Licensed Care 20 81 56

Children from Non-Resident Employees Needing

Licensed Care 0 0 0

Total Demand for Child Care Spaces 5 26 30

Distribution 15 85 100

EXISTING SUPPLY (4) Child Care Spaces

Family Child Care Home Supply - 0 0 0

Child Care Center Supply 2 0 54 54

Current Child Care Supply 2 - 54 54

Distribution 0 100 100

EXISTING SURPLUS(SHORTAGE) (5) 28 24

Distribution -19 119 100

Percentage of Demand Met

by Existing FacilitiesSpaces (5) 0 209 177

Shortage of Family Child Care Home Spaces (6) 0 NA 0

Shortage of Center-Based Spaces (6) (5) NA (5)

Note All footnote references can be found in Table C-1 at the end of this file

Sources 2010 US Census ABAG Projections 2013 2014 American Community Survey ACS Journey-to-Work data 2006-2008 and 2006-2010

Child Care Coordinating Council of San Mateo County (4Cs) Community Care Licensing Brion Economics Inc

Prepared by Brion Economics Inc 2513-SMC NA Final Tables 61216 6122016

SOUTH SAN FRANCISCO

Child Care as of 2025

No of

Providers

Under 2 Years

Old

2 to 4 Year

Olds

Total 0 to 4

Years

EXISTING DEMAND Child Care Demand

Estimated Total Children

Average LFPRAdjustment Factor

Children With Working Parents

Licensed Care Demand Factor

Resident Children Needing Licensed Care

of Total Resident Children Needing Licensed Care

Children from Non-Resident Employees Needing

Licensed Care

(1)

(2)

(3)

1835 2790

73

1342 2535

37

496 2362

27 85

339 512

4625

3877

74

2859

62

851

Total Demand for Child Care Spaces

Distribution

EXISTING SUPPLY (4)

835 2874

23 77

Child Care Spaces

3709

100

Family Child Care Home Supply

Child Care Center Supply

Current Child Care Supply

Distribution

EXISTING SURPLUS(SHORTAGE)

Distribution

Percentage of Demand Met

by Existing FacilitiesSpaces

Shortage of Family Child Care Home Spaces

Shortage of Center-Based Spaces

(5)

(6)

(6)

30

27

57

252 317

400 1966

652 2283

22 78

(183) (591)

24 76

78 79

(71) (82)

(113) (509)

569

2366

2935

100

(775)

100

79

(153)

(622)

FINAL

Table B-20

Future Child Care Demand and Supply in 2025 in South San Francisco

San Mateo County Child Care Study - 2016

Note All footnote references can be found in Table C-1 at the end of this file

Sources 2010 US Census ABAG Projections 2013 2014 American Community Survey ACS Journey-to-Work data 2006-2008 and 2006-2010

Child Care Coordinating Council of San Mateo County (4Cs) Community Care Licensing Brion Economics Inc

Prepared by Brion Economics Inc 2513-SMC NA Final Tables 61216 6122016

WOODSIDE

No of

Providers

Child Care as of 2025

Under 2 Years

Old

2 to 4 Year

Olds

Total 0 to 4

Years

EXISTING DEMAND Child Care Demand

Estimated Total Children

Average LFPRAdjustment Factor

Children With Working Parents

Licensed Care Demand Factor

Resident Children Needing Licensed Care

of Total Resident Children Needing Licensed Care

Children from Non-Resident Employees Needing

Licensed Care

(1)

(2)

(3)

93 165

56

51 140

37

19 132

21 80

9 13

258

192

79

152

59

22

Total Demand for Child Care Spaces

Distribution

EXISTING SUPPLY (4)

28 146

16 84

Child Care Spaces

174

100

Family Child Care Home Supply

Child Care Center Supply

Current Child Care Supply

Distribution

EXISTING SURPLUS(SHORTAGE)

Distribution

Percentage of Demand Met

by Existing FacilitiesSpaces

Shortage of Family Child Care Home Spaces

Shortage of Center-Based Spaces

(5)

(6)

(6)

1

2

3

4 5

- 103

4 108

4 96

(24) (38)

39 61

15 74

(24) (2)

0 (36)

9

103

112

100

(61)

100

65

(26)

(36)

FINAL

Table B-21

Future Child Care Demand and Supply in 2025 in Woodside

San Mateo County Child Care Study - 2016

Note All footnote references can be found in Table C-1 at the end of this file

Sources 2010 US Census ABAG Projections 2013 2014 American Community Survey ACS Journey-to-Work data 2006-2008 and 2006-2010

Child Care Coordinating Council of San Mateo County (4Cs) Community Care Licensing Brion Economics Inc

Prepared by Brion Economics Inc 2513-SMC NA Final Tables 61216 6122016

FINAL

Table C-1

Endnotes for Tables

San Mateo County Child Care Study - 2016

(1) Population by age is based on the percentage breakdown from the 2010 US Census and applied

to population estimates for 2015 using ABAGs Projections 2013 population data The ABAG data

for each area includes its Sphere of Influence and is not based on strict jurisdictional boundaries

(2) Labor force participation rates are from the 5-Year American Community Survey 2014 and include

children under six years old with two working parents or a single working parent For the 2- to 4-year

olds the labor force participation rate is applied to 2 year olds For 3- and 4-year olds it is assumed

that 100 need licensed care to support preschool for every child so the number of

3- and 4-year olds is not discounted by labor force participation rates

(3) Not all children with working parents are assumed to need licensed care percentage assumptions are

used to calculate the number of children requiring licensed care under each age category The

remaining children are assumed to be cared for in alternate arrangements such as by family members

nannies friends and other unlicensed care For children ages 3- and 4-years old it is assumed that

they all need care in the form of preschool

(4) Data on child care supply provided by the Child Care Coordinating Council of San Mateo County (4Cs)

and Community Care Licensing Division of the California Department of Social Services (CCLD) Data is

for June 2015

(5) Demand that calculates as less than 100 means that there is greater demand than supply percent of

demand that is over 100 means supply exceeds demand

(6) Unmet demand is broken down into shortage by type of care based on the proportion of FCCHs and

child care centers spaces available in each area If an area does not have any FCCHs or centers the

unmet demand is placed in the type of care that is available in the area (eg if there are only centers

all demand goes to centers)

Source Brion Economics Inc

Prepared by Brion Economics Inc 2513-SMC NA Final Tables 61216 6122016

DRAFT REPORT

Table C-2

Labor Force Participation Rates by CityArea

San Mateo County Child Care Study - 2016

CityArea

Labor Force

Participation Rate (1)

Atherton

Belmont

Brisbane

Burlingame

Daly CityColma

East Palo Alto

Foster City

Half Moon Bay Region

Hillsborough

Menlo Park

Millbrae

Pacifica

Portola Valley

Redwood City

San Bruno

San Carlos

San Mateo

South Coast

South San Francisco

Woodside

40

77

100

65

74

71

63

69

52

69

62

78

66

69

77

72

71

54

73

56

(1) Labor force participation rates (LFPRs) are for

families with children under age six with two

working parents or a single parent who works Sources American Community Survey 2014 5-Year

Survey Brion Economics Inc

Prepared by Brion Economics Inc 2513-SMC NA Final Tables 61216 6122016

  • 2513-SMC FINAL NA Memo-61216
  • 2513-SMC NA Final Tables 61216
Page 41: Final San Mateo County Child Care Needs … Care...Future C hild Care Demand and Supply in 2025 in Daly City/Colma San Mateo County Child Care Study - 2016 Note: All footnote references

SOUTH COAST

Child Care as of 2015

No of

Providers

Under 2 Years

Old

2 to 4 Year

Olds

Total 0 to 4

Years

EXISTING DEMAND Child Care Demand

Estimated Total Children

Average LFPRAdjustment Factor

Children With Working Parents

Licensed Care Demand Factor

Resident Children Needing Licensed Care

of Total Resident Children Needing Licensed Care

Children from Non-Resident Employees Needing

Licensed Care

(1)

(2)

(3)

21 29

54

11 25

37

4 23

20 81

0 0

50

36

77

28

56

0

Total Demand for Child Care Spaces

Distribution

EXISTING SUPPLY (4)

4 23

15 85

Child Care Spaces

28

100

Family Child Care Home Supply

Child Care Center Supply

Current Child Care Supply

Distribution

EXISTING SURPLUS(SHORTAGE)

Distribution

Percentage of Demand Met

by Existing FacilitiesSpaces

Shortage of Family Child Care Home Spaces

Shortage of Center-Based Spaces

(5)

(6)

(6)

-

2

2

- -

- 54

- 54

0 100

(4) 31

-16 116

0 230

(2) NA

(2) NA

0

54

54

100

26

100

195

(2)

(2)

FINAL

Table A-19

Existing Child Care Demand and Supply in 2015 in South Coast

San Mateo County Child Care Study - 2016

Note All footnote references can be found in Table C-1 at the end of this file

Sources 2010 US Census ABAG Projections 2013 2014 American Community Survey ACS Journey-to-Work data 2006-2008 and 2006-2010

Child Care Coordinating Council of San Mateo County (4Cs) Community Care Licensing Brion Economics Inc

Prepared by Brion Economics Inc 2513-SMC NA Final Tables 61216 6122016

SOUTH SAN FRANCISCO

Child Care as of 2015

No of

Providers

Under 2 Years

Old

2 to 4 Year

Olds

Total 0 to 4

Years

EXISTING DEMAND Child Care Demand

Estimated Total Children

Average LFPRAdjustment Factor

Children With Working Parents

Licensed Care Demand Factor

Resident Children Needing Licensed Care

of Total Resident Children Needing Licensed Care

Children from Non-Resident Employees Needing

Licensed Care

(1)

(2)

(3)

1649 2507

73

1206 2278

37

446 2123

27 85

309 466

4156

3484

74

2569

62

774

Total Demand for Child Care Spaces

Distribution

EXISTING SUPPLY (4)

755 2588

23 77

Child Care Spaces

3343

100

Family Child Care Home Supply

Child Care Center Supply

Current Child Care Supply

Distribution

EXISTING SURPLUS(SHORTAGE)

Distribution

Percentage of Demand Met

by Existing FacilitiesSpaces

Shortage of Family Child Care Home Spaces

Shortage of Center-Based Spaces

(5)

(6)

(6)

68

27

95

252 317

400 1966

652 2283

22 78

(103) (306)

25 75

86 88

(40) (42)

(63) (263)

569

2366

2935

100

(408)

100

88

(82)

(326)

FINAL

Table A-20

Existing Child Care Demand and Supply in 2015 in South San Francisco

San Mateo County Child Care Study - 2016

Note All footnote references can be found in Table C-1 at the end of this file Sources 2010 US Census ABAG Projections 2013 2014 American Community Survey ACS Journey-to-Work data 2006-2008 and 2006-2010

Child Care Coordinating Council of San Mateo County (4Cs) Community Care Licensing Brion Economics Inc

Prepared by Brion Economics Inc 2513-SMC NA Final Tables 61216 6122016

WOODSIDE

No of

Providers

Child Care as of 2015

Under 2 Years

Old

2 to 4 Year

Olds

Total 0 to 4

Years

EXISTING DEMAND Child Care Demand

Estimated Total Children

Average LFPRAdjustment Factor

Children With Working Parents

Licensed Care Demand Factor

Resident Children Needing Licensed Care

of Total Resident Children Needing Licensed Care

Children from Non-Resident Employees Needing

Licensed Care

(1)

(2)

(3)

90 160

56

50 136

37

18 128

21 80

8 13

250

186

79

147

59

21

Total Demand for Child Care Spaces

Distribution

EXISTING SUPPLY (4)

27 141

16 84

Child Care Spaces

168

100

Family Child Care Home Supply

Child Care Center Supply

Current Child Care Supply

Distribution

EXISTING SURPLUS(SHORTAGE)

Distribution

Percentage of Demand Met

by Existing FacilitiesSpaces

Shortage of Family Child Care Home Spaces

Shortage of Center-Based Spaces

(5)

(6)

(6)

1

2

3

4 5

0 103

4 108

4 96

(23) (33)

41 59

16 77

(23) (2)

0 (31)

9

103

112

100

(55)

100

67

(24)

(31)

FINAL

Table A-21

Existing Child Care Demand and Supply in 2015 in Woodside

San Mateo County Child Care Study - 2016

Note All footnote references can be found in Table C-1 at the end of this file Sources 2010 US Census ABAG Projections 2013 2014 American Community Survey ACS Journey-to-Work data 2006-2008 and 2006-2010

Child Care Coordinating Council of San Mateo County (4Cs) Community Care Licensing Brion Economics Inc

Prepared by Brion Economics Inc 2513-SMC NA Final Tables 61216 6122016

COUNTYWIDE

Child Care as of 2025

No of

Providers

Under 2 Years

Old

2 to 4 Year

Olds

Total 0 to 4

Years

EXISTING DEMAND Child Care Demand

Estimated Total Children

Average LFPRAdjustment Factor

Children With Working Parents

Licensed Care Demand Factor

Resident Children Needing Licensed Care

of Total Resident Children Needing Licensed Care

Children from Non-Resident Employees Needing

Licensed Care

Total Demand for Child Care Spaces

Distribution

EXISTING SUPPLY

(1)

(2)

(3)

(4)

20790 31340

71

14704 28273

37

5441 26432

26 84

2037 3074

7478 29506

20 80

Child Care Spaces

52130

42978

86

31873

61

5112

36984

100

Family Child Care Home Supply

Child Care Center Supply

Current Child Care Supply

Distribution

EXISTING SURPLUS(SHORTAGE)

Distribution

Percentage of Demand Met

by Existing FacilitiesSpaces

Shortage of Family Child Care Home Spaces

Shortage of Center-Based Spaces

(5)

(6)

(6)

621

309

930

2301 2893

1514 16296

3815 19189

17 83

(3663) (10318)

26 74

51 65

(2209) (1555)

(1454) (8762)

5193

17810

23003

100

(13981)

100

62

(3765)

(10216)

FINAL

Table B-1

Future C hild Care Demand and Supply in 2025 Countywide

San Mateo County Child Care Study - 2016

Note All footnote references can be found in Table C-1 at the end of this file

Sources 2010 US Census ABAG Projections 2013 2014 American Community Survey ACS Journey-to-Work data 2006-2008 and 2006-2010

Child Care Coordinating Council of San Mateo County (4Cs) Community Care Licensing Brion Economics Inc

Prepared by Brion Economics Inc 2513-SMC NA Final Tables 61216 6122016

ATHERTON

No of

Providers

Child Care as of 2025

Under 2 Years

Old

2 to 4 Year

Olds

Total 0 to 4

Years

EXISTING DEMAND Child Care Demand

Estimated Total Children

Average LFPRAdjustment Factor

Children With Working Parents

Licensed Care Demand Factor

Resident Children Needing Licensed Care

of Total Resident Children Needing Licensed Care

Children from Non-Resident Employees Needing

Licensed Care

(1)

(2)

(3)

109 193

40

43 159

37

16 154

15 80

13 19

302

202

84

170

56

32

Total Demand for Child Care Spaces

Distribution

EXISTING SUPPLY (4)

29 173

14 86

Child Care Spaces

201

100

Family Child Care Home Supply

Child Care Center Supply

Current Child Care Supply

Distribution

EXISTING SURPLUS(SHORTAGE)

Distribution

Percentage of Demand Met

by Existing FacilitiesSpaces

Shortage of Family Child Care Home Spaces

Shortage of Center-Based Spaces

(5)

(6)

(6)

1

6

7

5 6

24 267

29 273

10 90

0 101

0 100

101 158

NA NA

NA NA

11

291

302

100

101

100

150

NA

NA

FINAL

Table B-2

Future Child Care Demand and Supply in 2025 in Atherton

San Mateo Co unty Child Care Study - 2016

Note All footnote references can be found in Table C-1 at the end of this file Sources 2010 US Census ABAG Projections 2013 2014 American Community Survey ACS Journey-to-Work data 2006-2008 and 2006-2010

Child Care Coordinating Council of San Mateo County (4Cs) Community Care Licensing Brion Economics Inc

Prepared by Brion Economics Inc 2513-SMC NA Final Tables 61216 6122016

BELMONT

Child Care as of 2025

No of

Providers

Under 2 Years

Old

2 to 4 Year

Olds

Total 0 to 4

Years

EXISTING DEMAND Child Care Demand

Estimated Total Children

Average LFPRAdjustment Factor

Children With Working Parents

Licensed Care Demand Factor

Resident Children Needing Licensed Care

of Total Resident Children Needing Licensed Care

Children from Non-Resident Employees Needing

Licensed Care

(1)

(2)

(3)

743 1095

77

574 1013

37

213 943

29 86

37 56

1838

1587

73

1156

63

93

Total Demand for Child Care Spaces

Distribution

EXISTING SUPPLY (4)

250 999

20 80

Child Care Spaces

1249

100

Family Child Care Home Supply

Child Care Center Supply

Current Child Care Supply

Distribution

EXISTING SURPLUS(SHORTAGE)

Distribution

Percentage of Demand Met

by Existing FacilitiesSpaces

Shortage of Family Child Care Home Spaces

Shortage of Center-Based Spaces

(5)

(6)

(6)

8

9

17

67 84

39 531

106 615

15 85

(143) (384)

27 73

43 62

(91) (53)

(53) (331)

152

570

722

100

(527)

100

58

(143)

(384)

FINAL

Table B-3

Future Child Care Demand and Supply in 2025 in Belmont

San Mateo County Child Care Study - 2016

Note All footnote references can be found in Table C-1 at the end of this file

Sources 2010 US Census ABAG Projections 2013 2014 American Community Survey ACS Journey-to-Work data 2006-2008 and 2006-2010

Child Care Coordinating Council of San Mateo County (4Cs) Community Care Licensing Brion Economics Inc

Prepared by Brion Economics Inc 2513-SMC NA Final Tables 61216 6122016

BRISBANE

Child Care as of 2025

No of

Providers

Under 2 Years

Old

2 to 4 Year

Olds

Total 0 to 4

Years

EXISTING DEMAND Child Care Demand

Estimated Total Children

Average LFPRAdjustment Factor

Children With Working Parents

Licensed Care Demand Factor

Resident Children Needing Licensed Care

of Total Resident Children Needing Licensed Care

Children from Non-Resident Employees Needing

Licensed Care

(1)

(2)

(3)

131 174

100

131 174

37

48 160

37 92

55 83

305

305

68

209

68

138

Total Demand for Child Care Spaces

Distribution

EXISTING SUPPLY (4)

103 243

30 70

Child Care Spaces

346

100

Family Child Care Home Supply

Child Care Center Supply

Current Child Care Supply

Distribution

EXISTING SURPLUS(SHORTAGE)

Distribution

Percentage of Demand Met

by Existing FacilitiesSpaces

Shortage of Family Child Care Home Spaces

Shortage of Center-Based Spaces

(5)

(6)

(6)

1

1

2

4 5

0 64

4 69

6 94

(99) (174)

36 64

4 29

(99) (13)

0 (160)

9

64

73

100

(273)

100

21

(112)

(160)

FINAL

Table B-4

Future Child Care Demand and Supply in 2025 in Brisbane

San Mateo County Child Care Study - 2016

Note All footnote references can be found in Table C-1 at the end of this file Sources 2010 US Census ABAG Projections 2013 2014 American Community Survey ACS Journey-to-Work data 2006-2008 and 2006-2010

Child Care Coordinating Council of San Mateo County (4Cs) Community Care Licensing Brion Economics Inc

Prepared by Brion Economics Inc 2513-SMC NA Final Tables 61216 6122016

BURLINGAME

Child Care as of 2025

No of

Providers

Under 2 Years

Old

2 to 4 Year

Olds

Total 0 to 4

Years

EXISTING DEMAND Child Care Demand

Estimated Total Children

Average LFPRAdjustment Factor

Children With Working Parents

Licensed Care Demand Factor

Resident Children Needing Licensed Care

of Total Resident Children Needing Licensed Care

Children from Non-Resident Employees Needing

Licensed Care

(1)

(2)

(3)

903 1332

65

587 1190

37

217 1124

24 84

154 232

2235

1777

75

1341

60

385

Total Demand for Child Care Spaces

Distribution

EXISTING SUPPLY (4)

371 1356

21 79

Child Care Spaces

1726

100

Family Child Care Home Supply

Child Care Center Supply

Current Child Care Supply

Distribution

EXISTING SURPLUS(SHORTAGE)

Distribution

Percentage of Demand Met

by Existing FacilitiesSpaces

Shortage of Family Child Care Home Spaces

Shortage of Center-Based Spaces

(5)

(6)

(6)

10

14

24

79 99

40 866

119 965

11 89

(252) (390)

39 61

32 71

(167) (40)

(85) (350)

179

906

1085

100

(642)

100

63

(207)

(434)

FINAL

Table B-5

Future Child Care Demand and Supply in 2025 in Burlingame

San Mateo County Child Care Study - 2016

Note All footnote references can be found in Table C-1 at the end of this file

Sources 2010 US Census ABAG Projections 2013 2014 American Community Survey ACS Journey-to-Work data 2006-2008 and 2006-2010

Child Care Coordinating Council of San Mateo County (4Cs) Community Care Licensing Brion Economics Inc

Prepared by Brion Economics Inc 2513-SMC NA Final Tables 61216 6122016

DALY CITYCOLMA

Child Care as of 2025

No of

Providers

Under 2 Years

Old

2 to 4 Year

Olds

Total 0 to 4

Years

EXISTING DEMAND Child Care Demand

Estimated Total Children

Average LFPRAdjustment Factor

Children With Working Parents

Licensed Care Demand Factor

Resident Children Needing Licensed Care

of Total Resident Children Needing Licensed Care

Children from Non-Resident Employees Needing

Licensed Care

(1)

(2)

(3)

2647 3793

74

1964 3467

37

727 3233

27 85

138 208

6440

5432

73

3960

61

346

Total Demand for Child Care Spaces

Distribution

EXISTING SUPPLY (4)

865 3441

20 80

Child Care Spaces

4306

100

Family Child Care Home Supply

Child Care Center Supply

Current Child Care Supply

Distribution

EXISTING SURPLUS(SHORTAGE)

Distribution

Percentage of Demand Met

by Existing FacilitiesSpaces

Shortage of Family Child Care Home Spaces

Shortage of Center-Based Spaces

(5)

(6)

(6)

25

28

28

288 362

84 1264

372 1626

19 81

(493) (1816)

21 79

43 47

(381) (404)

(111) (1412)

649

1348

1997

100

(2308)

100

46

(785)

(1523)

FINAL

Table B-6

Future C hild Care Demand and Supply in 2025 in Daly CityColma

San Mateo County Child Care Study - 2016

Note All footnote references can be found in Table C-1 at the end of this file

Sources 2010 US Census ABAG Projections 2013 2014 American Community Survey ACS Journey-to-Work data 2006-2008 and 2006-2010

Child Care Coordinating Council of San Mateo County (4Cs) Community Care Licensing Brion Economics Inc

Prepared by Brion Economics Inc 2513-SMC NA Final Tables 61216 6122016

EAST PALO ALTO

Child Care as of 2025

No of

Providers

Under 2 Years

Old

2 to 4 Year

Olds

Total 0 to 4

Years

EXISTING DEMAND Child Care Demand

Estimated Total Children

Average LFPRAdjustment Factor

Children With Working Parents

Licensed Care Demand Factor

Resident Children Needing Licensed Care

of Total Resident Children Needing Licensed Care

Children from Non-Resident Employees Needing

Licensed Care

(1)

(2)

(3)

1161 1849

71

822 1660

37

304 1545

26 84

20 30

3010

2482

75

1849

61

50

Total Demand for Child Care Spaces

Distribution

EXISTING SUPPLY (4)

324 1575

17 83

Child Care Spaces

1900

100

Family Child Care Home Supply

Child Care Center Supply

Current Child Care Supply

Distribution

EXISTING SURPLUS(SHORTAGE)

Distribution

Percentage of Demand Met

by Existing FacilitiesSpaces

Shortage of Family Child Care Home Spaces

Shortage of Center-Based Spaces

(5)

(6)

(6)

13

6

19

85 106

25 633

110 739

13 87

(215) (836)

20 80

34 47

(166) (120)

(49) (715)

191

658

849

100

(1050)

100

45

(286)

(764)

FINAL

Table B-7

Future Child Care Demand and Supply in 2025 in East Palo Alto

San Mateo County Child Care Study - 2016

Note All footnote references can be found in Table C-1 at the end of this file

Sources 2010 US Census ABAG Projections 2013 2014 American Community Survey ACS Journey-to-Work data 2006-2008 and 2006-2010

Child Care Coordinating Council of San Mateo County (4Cs) Community Care Licensing Brion Economics Inc

Prepared by Brion Economics Inc 2513-SMC NA Final Tables 61216 6122016

FOSTER CITY

Child Care as of 2025

No of

Providers

Under 2 Years

Old

2 to 4 Year

Olds

Total 0 to 4

Years

EXISTING DEMAND Child Care Demand

Estimated Total Children

Average LFPRAdjustment Factor

Children With Working Parents

Licensed Care Demand Factor

Resident Children Needing Licensed Care

of Total Resident Children Needing Licensed Care

Children from Non-Resident Employees Needing

Licensed Care

(1)

(2)

(3)

871 1330

63

550 1154

37

204 1079

23 81

80 120

2201

1705

75

1282

58

200

Total Demand for Child Care Spaces

Distribution

EXISTING SUPPLY (4)

283 1199

19 81

Child Care Spaces

1483

100

Family Child Care Home Supply

Child Care Center Supply

Current Child Care Supply

Distribution

EXISTING SURPLUS(SHORTAGE)

Distribution

Percentage of Demand Met

by Existing FacilitiesSpaces

Shortage of Family Child Care Home Spaces

Shortage of Center-Based Spaces

(5)

(6)

(6)

19

12

31

118 149

88 1200

206 1349

13 87

(77) 150

-106 206

73 112

(44) NA

(33) NA

267

1288

1555

100

73

100

105

(44)

(33)

FINAL

Table B-8

Future Child Care Demand and Supply in 2025 in Foster City

San Mateo County Child Care Study - 2016

Note All footnote references can be found in Table C-1 at the end of this file

Sources 2010 US Census ABAG Projections 2013 2014 American Community Survey ACS Journey-to-Work data 2006-2008 and 2006-2010

Child Care Coordinating Council of San Mateo County (4Cs) Community Care Licensing Brion Economics Inc

Prepared by Brion Economics Inc 2513-SMC NA Final Tables 61216 6122016

HALF MOON BAY REGION

Child Care as of 2025

No of

Providers

Under 2 Years

Old

2 to 4 Year

Olds

Total 0 to 4

Years

EXISTING DEMAND Child Care Demand

Estimated Total Children

Average LFPRAdjustment Factor

Children With Working Parents

Licensed Care Demand Factor

Resident Children Needing Licensed Care

of Total Resident Children Needing Licensed Care

Children from Non-Resident Employees Needing

Licensed Care

(1)

(2)

(3)

553 929

69

383 835

37

142 781

26 84

14 21

1482

1217

76

923

62

34

Total Demand for Child Care Spaces

Distribution

EXISTING SUPPLY (4)

155 802

16 84

Child Care Spaces

957

100

Family Child Care Home Supply

Child Care Center Supply

Current Child Care Supply

Distribution

EXISTING SURPLUS(SHORTAGE)

Distribution

Percentage of Demand Met

by Existing FacilitiesSpaces

Shortage of Family Child Care Home Spaces

Shortage of Center-Based Spaces

(5)

(6)

(6)

10

11

21

96 121

35 285

131 406

24 76

(24) (396)

6 94

84 51

(18) (118)

(6) (279)

216

320

536

100

(421)

100

56

(136)

(285)

FINAL

Table B-9

Future Child Care Demand and Supply in 2025 in Half Moon Bay Region

San Mateo County Child Care Study - 2016

Note All footnote references can be found in Table C-1 at the end of this file

Sources 2010 US Census ABAG Projections 2013 2014 American Community Survey ACS Journey-to-Work data 2006-2008 and 2006-2010

Child Care Coordinating Council of San Mateo County (4Cs) Community Care Licensing Brion Economics Inc

Prepared by Brion Economics Inc 2513-SMC NA Final Tables 61216 6122016

HILLSBOROUGH

Child Care as of 2025

No of

Providers

Under 2 Years

Old

2 to 4 Year

Olds

Total 0 to 4

Years

EXISTING DEMAND Child Care Demand

Estimated Total Children

Average LFPRAdjustment Factor

Children With Working Parents

Licensed Care Demand Factor

Resident Children Needing Licensed Care

of Total Resident Children Needing Licensed Care

Children from Non-Resident Employees Needing

Licensed Care

(1)

(2)

(3)

143 343

52

74 295

37

27 282

19 82

7 11

487

369

84

309

64

17

Total Demand for Child Care Spaces

Distribution

EXISTING SUPPLY (4)

34 292

10 90

Child Care Spaces

327

100

Family Child Care Home Supply

Child Care Center Supply

Current Child Care Supply

Distribution

EXISTING SURPLUS(SHORTAGE)

Distribution

Percentage of Demand Met

by Existing FacilitiesSpaces

Shortage of Family Child Care Home Spaces

Shortage of Center-Based Spaces

(5)

(6)

(6)

1

4

5

5 6

- 91

5 97

5 95

(29) (195)

13 87

14 33

(29) (12)

0 (183)

11

91

102

100

(225)

100

31

(42)

(183)

FINAL

Table B-10

Future Child Care Demand and Supply in 2025 in Hillsborough

San Mateo County Child Care Study - 2016

Note All footnote references can be found in Table C-1 at the end of this file

Sources 2010 US Census ABAG Projections 2013 2014 American Community Survey ACS Journey-to-Work data 2006-2008 and 2006-2010

Child Care Coordinating Council of San Mateo County (4Cs) Community Care Licensing Brion Economics Inc

Prepared by Brion Economics Inc 2513-SMC NA Final Tables 61216 6122016

MENLO PARK

Child Care as of 2025

No of

Providers

Under 2 Years

Old

2 to 4 Year

Olds

Total 0 to 4

Years

EXISTING DEMAND Child Care Demand

Estimated Total Children

Average LFPRAdjustment Factor

Children With Working Parents

Licensed Care Demand Factor

Resident Children Needing Licensed Care

of Total Resident Children Needing Licensed Care

Children from Non-Resident Employees Needing

Licensed Care

(1)

(2)

(3)

1327 1954

69

909 1759

37

336 1653

25 85

237 357

3281

2668

75

1989

61

594

Total Demand for Child Care Spaces

Distribution

EXISTING SUPPLY (4)

573 2011

22 78

Child Care Spaces

2584

100

Family Child Care Home Supply

Child Care Center Supply

Current Child Care Supply

Distribution

EXISTING SURPLUS(SHORTAGE)

Distribution

Percentage of Demand Met

by Existing FacilitiesSpaces

Shortage of Family Child Care Home Spaces

Shortage of Center-Based Spaces

(5)

(6)

(6)

15

25

40

76 96

73 1331

149 1427

9 91

(424) (584)

42 58

26 71

(217) (39)

(207) (544)

172

1404

1576

100

(1008)

100

61

(256)

(752)

FINAL

Table B-11

Future Child Care Demand and Supply in 2025 in Menlo Park

San Mateo County Child Care Study - 2016

Note All footnote references can be found in Table C-1 at the end of this file

Sources 2010 US Census ABAG Projections 2013 2014 American Community Survey ACS Journey-to-Work data 2006-2008 and 2006-2010

Child Care Coordinating Council of San Mateo County (4Cs) Community Care Licensing Brion Economics Inc

Prepared by Brion Economics Inc 2513-SMC NA Final Tables 61216 6122016

MILLBRAE

Child Care as of 2025

No of

Providers

Under 2 Years

Old

2 to 4 Year

Olds

Total 0 to 4

Years

EXISTING DEMAND Child Care Demand

Estimated Total Children

Average LFPRAdjustment Factor

Children With Working Parents

Licensed Care Demand Factor

Resident Children Needing Licensed Care

of Total Resident Children Needing Licensed Care

Children from Non-Resident Employees Needing

Licensed Care

(1)

(2)

(3)

473 805

62

291 710

37

108 672

23 83

31 47

1278

1001

78

780

61

77

Total Demand for Child Care Spaces

Distribution

EXISTING SUPPLY (4)

139 718

16 84

Child Care Spaces

857

100

Family Child Care Home Supply

Child Care Center Supply

Current Child Care Supply

Distribution

EXISTING SURPLUS(SHORTAGE)

Distribution

Percentage of Demand Met

by Existing FacilitiesSpaces

Shortage of Family Child Care Home Spaces

Shortage of Center-Based Spaces

(5)

(6)

(6)

7

7

14

62 78

- 376

62 454

12 88

(76) (264)

22 78

45 63

(76) (46)

0 (219)

141

376

517

100

(340)

100

60

(122)

(219)

FINAL

Table B-12

Future C hild Care Demand and Supply in 2025 in Millbrae

San Mateo County Child Care Study - 2016

Note All footnote references can be found in Table C-1 at the end of this file

Sources 2010 US Census ABAG Projections 2013 2014 American Community Survey ACS Journey-to-Work data 2006-2008 and 2006-2010

Child Care Coordinating Council of San Mateo County (4Cs) Community Care Licensing Brion Economics Inc

Prepared by Brion Economics Inc 2513-SMC NA Final Tables 61216 6122016

FINAL

Table B-13

Future Child Care Demand and Supply in 2025 in Pacifica

San Mateo County Child Care Study - 2016

PACIFICA

Child Care as of 2025

No of

Providers

Under 2 Years

Old

2 to 4 Year

Olds

Total 0 to 4

Years

EXISTING DEMAND Child Care Demand

Estimated Total Children

Average L FPRAdjustment Factor

Children With Working Parents

Licensed Care Demand Factor

Resident Children Needing Licensed Care

of Total Resident Children Needing Licensed Care

Children from Non-Resident Employees Needing

Licensed Care

(1)

(2)

(3)

816 1300

78

633 1209

37

234 1130

29 87

19 29

2116

1842

74

1364

64

48

Total Demand for Child Care Spaces

Distribution

EXISTING SUPPLY (4)

254 1159

18 82

Child Care Spaces

1413

100

Family Child Care Home Supply

Child Care Center Supply

Current Child Care Supply

Distribution

EXISTING SURPLUS(SHORTAGE)

Distribution

Percentage of Demand Met

by Existing FacilitiesSpaces

Shortage of Family Child Care Home Spaces

Shortage of Center-Based Spaces

(5)

(6)

(6)

9

18

27

77 97

39 701

116 798

13 87

(138) (361)

28 72

46 69

(91) (44)

(46) (317)

174

740

914

100

(499)

100

65

(135)

(364)

Note All footnote references can be found in Table C-1 at the end of this file

Sources 2010 US Census ABAG Projections 2013 2014 American Community Survey ACS Journey-to-Work data 2006-2008 and 2006-2010

Child Care Coordinating Council of San Mateo County (4Cs) Community Care Licensing Brion Economics Inc

Prepared by Brion Economics Inc 2513-SMC NA Final Tables 61216 6122016

PORTOLA VALLEY

Child Care as of 2025

No of

Providers

Under 2 Years

Old

2 to 4 Year

Olds

Total 0 to 4

Years

EXISTING DEMAND Child Care Demand

Estimated Total Children

Average LFPRAdjustment Factor

Children With Working Parents

Licensed Care Demand Factor

Resident Children Needing Licensed Care

of Total Resident Children Needing Licensed Care

Children from Non-Resident Employees Needing

Licensed Care

(1)

(2)

(3)

77 192

66

51 173

37

19 164

24 85

9 13

269

224

82

182

68

22

Total Demand for Child Care Spaces

Distribution

EXISTING SUPPLY (4)

28 177

13 87

Child Care Spaces

204

100

Family Child Care Home Supply

Child Care Center Supply

Current Child Care Supply

Distribution

EXISTING SURPLUS(SHORTAGE)

Distribution

Percentage of Demand Met

by Existing FacilitiesSpaces

Shortage of Family Child Care Home Spaces

Shortage of Center-Based Spaces

(5)

(6)

(6)

0

4

4

- -

- 153

- 153

0 100

(28) (24)

54 46

0 87

0 0

(28) (24)

0

153

153

100

(51)

100

75

0

(51)

FINAL

Table B-14

Future Child Care Demand and Supply in 2025 in Portola Valley

San Mateo County Child Care Study - 2016

Note All footnote references can be found in Table C-1 at the end of this file

Sources 2010 US Census ABAG Projections 2013 2014 American Community Survey ACS Journey-to-Work data 2006-2008 and 2006-2010

Child Care Coordinating Council of San Mateo County (4Cs) Community Care Licensing Brion Economics Inc

Prepared by Brion Economics Inc 2513-SMC NA Final Tables 61216 6122016

REDWOOD CITY

No of

Providers

Child Care as of 2025

Under 2 Years

Old

2 to 4 Year

Olds

Total 0 to 4

Years

EXISTING DEMAND Child Care Demand

Estimated Total Children

Average LFPRAdjustment Factor

Children With Working Parents

Licensed Care Demand Factor

Resident Children Needing Licensed Care

of Total Resident Children Needing Licensed Care

Children from Non-Resident Employees Needing

Licensed Care

Total Demand for Child Care Spaces

Distribution

EXISTING SUPPLY

(1)

(2)

(3)

(4)

3725 5378

69

2555 4813

37

946 4505

25 84

466 703

1411 5208

21 79

Child Care Spaces

9103

7368

74

5450

60

1169

6619

100

Family Child Care Home Supply

Child Care Center Supply

Current Child Care Supply

Distribution

EXISTING SURPLUS(SHORTAGE)

Distribution

Percentage of Demand Met

by Existing FacilitiesSpaces

Shortage of Family Child Care Home Spaces

Shortage of Center-Based Spaces

(5)

(6)

(6)

42

41

83

396 497

356 2036

752 2533

23 77

(660) (2674)

20 80

53 49

(347) (525)

(313) (2149)

893

2392

3285

100

(3334)

100

50

(872)

(2462)

FINAL

Table B-15

Future Child Care Demand and Supply in 2025 in Redwood City

San Mateo County Child Care Study - 2016

Note All footnote references can be found in Table C-1 at the end of this file

Sources 2010 US Census ABAG Projections 2013 2014 American Community Survey ACS Journey-to-Work data 2006-2008 and 2006-2010

Child Care Coordinating Council of San Mateo County (4Cs) Community Care Licensing Brion Economics Inc

Prepared by Brion Economics Inc 2513-SMC NA Final Tables 61216 6122016

SAN BRUNO

Child Care as of 2025

No of

Providers

Under 2 Years

Old

2 to 4 Year

Olds

Total 0 to 4

Years

EXISTING DEMAND Child Care Demand

Estimated Total Children

Average LFPRAdjustment Factor

Children With Working Parents

Licensed Care Demand Factor

Resident Children Needing Licensed Care

of Total Resident Children Needing Licensed Care

Children from Non-Resident Employees Needing

Licensed Care

(1)

(2)

(3)

1189 1728

77

910 1589

37

337 1475

28 85

68 103

2917

2498

73

1812

62

171

Total Demand for Child Care Spaces

Distribution

EXISTING SUPPLY (4)

405 1578

20 80

Child Care Spaces

1983

100

Family Child Care Home Supply

Child Care Center Supply

Current Child Care Supply

Distribution

EXISTING SURPLUS(SHORTAGE)

Distribution

Percentage of Demand Met

by Existing FacilitiesSpaces

Shortage of Family Child Care Home Spaces

Shortage of Center-Based Spaces

(5)

(6)

(6)

13

15

28

122 153

26 1183

148 1336

10 90

(257) (242)

52 48

37 85

(212) (28)

(45) (214)

275

1209

1484

100

(499)

100

75

(239)

(259)

FINAL

Table B-16

Future C hild Care Demand and Supply in 2025 in San Bruno

San Mateo County Child Care Study - 2016

Note All footnote references can be found in Table C-1 at the end of this file

Sources 2010 US Census ABAG Projections 2013 2014 American Community Survey ACS Journey-to-Work data 2006-2008 and 2006-2010

Child Care Coordinating Council of San Mateo County (4Cs) Community Care Licensing Brion Economics Inc

Prepared by Brion Economics Inc 2513-SMC NA Final Tables 61216 6122016

SAN CARLOS

Child Care as of 2025

No of

Providers

Under 2 Years

Old

2 to 4 Year

Olds

Total 0 to 4

Years

EXISTING DEMAND Child Care Demand

Estimated Total Children

Average LFPRAdjustment Factor

Children With Working Parents

Licensed Care Demand Factor

Resident Children Needing Licensed Care

of Total Resident Children Needing Licensed Care

Children from Non-Resident Employees Needing

Licensed Care

(1)

(2)

(3)

778 1384

72

557 1255

37

206 1174

26 85

82 123

2162

1812

76

1380

64

205

Total Demand for Child Care Spaces

Distribution

EXISTING SUPPLY (4)

288 1297

18 82

Child Care Spaces

1585

100

Family Child Care Home Supply

Child Care Center Supply

Current Child Care Supply

Distribution

EXISTING SURPLUS(SHORTAGE)

Distribution

Percentage of Demand Met

by Existing FacilitiesSpaces

Shortage of Family Child Care Home Spaces

Shortage of Center-Based Spaces

(5)

(6)

(6)

28

14

42

73 92

76 615

149 707

17 83

(139) (590)

19 81

52 54

(68) (76)

(71) (514)

164

691

855

100

(729)

100

54

(145)

(585)

FINAL

Table B-17

Future Child Care Demand and Supply in 2025 in San Carlos

San Mateo County Child Care Study - 2016

Note All footnote references can be found in Table C-1 at the end of this file

Sources 2010 US Census ABAG Projections 2013 2014 American Community Survey ACS Journey-to-Work data 2006-2008 and 2006-2010

Child Care Coordinating Council of San Mateo County (4Cs) Community Care Licensing Brion Economics Inc

Prepared by Brion Economics Inc 2513-SMC NA Final Tables 61216 6122016

SAN MATEO

Child Care as of 2025

No of

Providers

Under 2 Years

Old

2 to 4 Year

Olds

Total 0 to 4

Years

EXISTING DEMAND Child Care Demand

Estimated Total Children

Average LFPRAdjustment Factor

Children With Working Parents

Licensed Care Demand Factor

Resident Children Needing Licensed Care

of Total Resident Children Needing Licensed Care

Children from Non-Resident Employees Needing

Licensed Care

(1)

(2)

(3)

3194 4572

71

2264 4116

37

838 3839

26 84

261 394

7766

6381

73

4677

60

656

Total Demand for Child Care Spaces

Distribution

EXISTING SUPPLY (4)

1099 4233

21 79

Child Care Spaces

5332

100

Family Child Care Home Supply

Child Care Center Supply

Current Child Care Supply

Distribution

EXISTING SURPLUS(SHORTAGE)

Distribution

Percentage of Demand Met

by Existing FacilitiesSpaces

Shortage of Family Child Care Home Spaces

Shortage of Center-Based Spaces

(5)

(6)

(6)

69

59

128

492 619

209 2577

701 3196

18 82

(398) (1037)

28 72

64 75

(279) (201)

(119) (837)

1111

2786

3897

100

(1435)

100

73

(480)

(955)

FINAL

Table B-18

Future Child Care Demand and Supply in 2025 in San Mateo

San Mateo County Child Care Study - 2016

Note All footnote references can be found in Table C-1 at the end of this file

Sources 2010 US Census ABAG Projections 2013 2014 American Community Survey ACS Journey-to-Work data 2006-2008 and 2006-2010

Child Care Coordinating Council of San Mateo County (4Cs) Community Care Licensing Brion Economics Inc

Prepared by Brion Economics Inc 2513-SMC NA Final Tables 61216 6122016

FINAL

Table B-19

Future Child Care Demand and Supply in 2025 in South Coast

San Mateo County Child Care Study - 2016

SOUTH COAST

Child Care as of 2025

No of

Providers

Under 2 Years

Old

2 to 4 Year

Olds

Total 0 to 4

Years

EXISTING DEMAND Child Care Demand

Estimated Total Children (1) 23 32 55

Average LFPRAdjustment Factor (2) 54

Children With Working Parents 12 27 40

Licensed Care Demand Factor (3) 37 77

Resident Children Needing Licensed Care 5 26 30

of Total Resident Children Needing Licensed Care 20 81 56

Children from Non-Resident Employees Needing

Licensed Care 0 0 0

Total Demand for Child Care Spaces 5 26 30

Distribution 15 85 100

EXISTING SUPPLY (4) Child Care Spaces

Family Child Care Home Supply - 0 0 0

Child Care Center Supply 2 0 54 54

Current Child Care Supply 2 - 54 54

Distribution 0 100 100

EXISTING SURPLUS(SHORTAGE) (5) 28 24

Distribution -19 119 100

Percentage of Demand Met

by Existing FacilitiesSpaces (5) 0 209 177

Shortage of Family Child Care Home Spaces (6) 0 NA 0

Shortage of Center-Based Spaces (6) (5) NA (5)

Note All footnote references can be found in Table C-1 at the end of this file

Sources 2010 US Census ABAG Projections 2013 2014 American Community Survey ACS Journey-to-Work data 2006-2008 and 2006-2010

Child Care Coordinating Council of San Mateo County (4Cs) Community Care Licensing Brion Economics Inc

Prepared by Brion Economics Inc 2513-SMC NA Final Tables 61216 6122016

SOUTH SAN FRANCISCO

Child Care as of 2025

No of

Providers

Under 2 Years

Old

2 to 4 Year

Olds

Total 0 to 4

Years

EXISTING DEMAND Child Care Demand

Estimated Total Children

Average LFPRAdjustment Factor

Children With Working Parents

Licensed Care Demand Factor

Resident Children Needing Licensed Care

of Total Resident Children Needing Licensed Care

Children from Non-Resident Employees Needing

Licensed Care

(1)

(2)

(3)

1835 2790

73

1342 2535

37

496 2362

27 85

339 512

4625

3877

74

2859

62

851

Total Demand for Child Care Spaces

Distribution

EXISTING SUPPLY (4)

835 2874

23 77

Child Care Spaces

3709

100

Family Child Care Home Supply

Child Care Center Supply

Current Child Care Supply

Distribution

EXISTING SURPLUS(SHORTAGE)

Distribution

Percentage of Demand Met

by Existing FacilitiesSpaces

Shortage of Family Child Care Home Spaces

Shortage of Center-Based Spaces

(5)

(6)

(6)

30

27

57

252 317

400 1966

652 2283

22 78

(183) (591)

24 76

78 79

(71) (82)

(113) (509)

569

2366

2935

100

(775)

100

79

(153)

(622)

FINAL

Table B-20

Future Child Care Demand and Supply in 2025 in South San Francisco

San Mateo County Child Care Study - 2016

Note All footnote references can be found in Table C-1 at the end of this file

Sources 2010 US Census ABAG Projections 2013 2014 American Community Survey ACS Journey-to-Work data 2006-2008 and 2006-2010

Child Care Coordinating Council of San Mateo County (4Cs) Community Care Licensing Brion Economics Inc

Prepared by Brion Economics Inc 2513-SMC NA Final Tables 61216 6122016

WOODSIDE

No of

Providers

Child Care as of 2025

Under 2 Years

Old

2 to 4 Year

Olds

Total 0 to 4

Years

EXISTING DEMAND Child Care Demand

Estimated Total Children

Average LFPRAdjustment Factor

Children With Working Parents

Licensed Care Demand Factor

Resident Children Needing Licensed Care

of Total Resident Children Needing Licensed Care

Children from Non-Resident Employees Needing

Licensed Care

(1)

(2)

(3)

93 165

56

51 140

37

19 132

21 80

9 13

258

192

79

152

59

22

Total Demand for Child Care Spaces

Distribution

EXISTING SUPPLY (4)

28 146

16 84

Child Care Spaces

174

100

Family Child Care Home Supply

Child Care Center Supply

Current Child Care Supply

Distribution

EXISTING SURPLUS(SHORTAGE)

Distribution

Percentage of Demand Met

by Existing FacilitiesSpaces

Shortage of Family Child Care Home Spaces

Shortage of Center-Based Spaces

(5)

(6)

(6)

1

2

3

4 5

- 103

4 108

4 96

(24) (38)

39 61

15 74

(24) (2)

0 (36)

9

103

112

100

(61)

100

65

(26)

(36)

FINAL

Table B-21

Future Child Care Demand and Supply in 2025 in Woodside

San Mateo County Child Care Study - 2016

Note All footnote references can be found in Table C-1 at the end of this file

Sources 2010 US Census ABAG Projections 2013 2014 American Community Survey ACS Journey-to-Work data 2006-2008 and 2006-2010

Child Care Coordinating Council of San Mateo County (4Cs) Community Care Licensing Brion Economics Inc

Prepared by Brion Economics Inc 2513-SMC NA Final Tables 61216 6122016

FINAL

Table C-1

Endnotes for Tables

San Mateo County Child Care Study - 2016

(1) Population by age is based on the percentage breakdown from the 2010 US Census and applied

to population estimates for 2015 using ABAGs Projections 2013 population data The ABAG data

for each area includes its Sphere of Influence and is not based on strict jurisdictional boundaries

(2) Labor force participation rates are from the 5-Year American Community Survey 2014 and include

children under six years old with two working parents or a single working parent For the 2- to 4-year

olds the labor force participation rate is applied to 2 year olds For 3- and 4-year olds it is assumed

that 100 need licensed care to support preschool for every child so the number of

3- and 4-year olds is not discounted by labor force participation rates

(3) Not all children with working parents are assumed to need licensed care percentage assumptions are

used to calculate the number of children requiring licensed care under each age category The

remaining children are assumed to be cared for in alternate arrangements such as by family members

nannies friends and other unlicensed care For children ages 3- and 4-years old it is assumed that

they all need care in the form of preschool

(4) Data on child care supply provided by the Child Care Coordinating Council of San Mateo County (4Cs)

and Community Care Licensing Division of the California Department of Social Services (CCLD) Data is

for June 2015

(5) Demand that calculates as less than 100 means that there is greater demand than supply percent of

demand that is over 100 means supply exceeds demand

(6) Unmet demand is broken down into shortage by type of care based on the proportion of FCCHs and

child care centers spaces available in each area If an area does not have any FCCHs or centers the

unmet demand is placed in the type of care that is available in the area (eg if there are only centers

all demand goes to centers)

Source Brion Economics Inc

Prepared by Brion Economics Inc 2513-SMC NA Final Tables 61216 6122016

DRAFT REPORT

Table C-2

Labor Force Participation Rates by CityArea

San Mateo County Child Care Study - 2016

CityArea

Labor Force

Participation Rate (1)

Atherton

Belmont

Brisbane

Burlingame

Daly CityColma

East Palo Alto

Foster City

Half Moon Bay Region

Hillsborough

Menlo Park

Millbrae

Pacifica

Portola Valley

Redwood City

San Bruno

San Carlos

San Mateo

South Coast

South San Francisco

Woodside

40

77

100

65

74

71

63

69

52

69

62

78

66

69

77

72

71

54

73

56

(1) Labor force participation rates (LFPRs) are for

families with children under age six with two

working parents or a single parent who works Sources American Community Survey 2014 5-Year

Survey Brion Economics Inc

Prepared by Brion Economics Inc 2513-SMC NA Final Tables 61216 6122016

  • 2513-SMC FINAL NA Memo-61216
  • 2513-SMC NA Final Tables 61216
Page 42: Final San Mateo County Child Care Needs … Care...Future C hild Care Demand and Supply in 2025 in Daly City/Colma San Mateo County Child Care Study - 2016 Note: All footnote references

SOUTH SAN FRANCISCO

Child Care as of 2015

No of

Providers

Under 2 Years

Old

2 to 4 Year

Olds

Total 0 to 4

Years

EXISTING DEMAND Child Care Demand

Estimated Total Children

Average LFPRAdjustment Factor

Children With Working Parents

Licensed Care Demand Factor

Resident Children Needing Licensed Care

of Total Resident Children Needing Licensed Care

Children from Non-Resident Employees Needing

Licensed Care

(1)

(2)

(3)

1649 2507

73

1206 2278

37

446 2123

27 85

309 466

4156

3484

74

2569

62

774

Total Demand for Child Care Spaces

Distribution

EXISTING SUPPLY (4)

755 2588

23 77

Child Care Spaces

3343

100

Family Child Care Home Supply

Child Care Center Supply

Current Child Care Supply

Distribution

EXISTING SURPLUS(SHORTAGE)

Distribution

Percentage of Demand Met

by Existing FacilitiesSpaces

Shortage of Family Child Care Home Spaces

Shortage of Center-Based Spaces

(5)

(6)

(6)

68

27

95

252 317

400 1966

652 2283

22 78

(103) (306)

25 75

86 88

(40) (42)

(63) (263)

569

2366

2935

100

(408)

100

88

(82)

(326)

FINAL

Table A-20

Existing Child Care Demand and Supply in 2015 in South San Francisco

San Mateo County Child Care Study - 2016

Note All footnote references can be found in Table C-1 at the end of this file Sources 2010 US Census ABAG Projections 2013 2014 American Community Survey ACS Journey-to-Work data 2006-2008 and 2006-2010

Child Care Coordinating Council of San Mateo County (4Cs) Community Care Licensing Brion Economics Inc

Prepared by Brion Economics Inc 2513-SMC NA Final Tables 61216 6122016

WOODSIDE

No of

Providers

Child Care as of 2015

Under 2 Years

Old

2 to 4 Year

Olds

Total 0 to 4

Years

EXISTING DEMAND Child Care Demand

Estimated Total Children

Average LFPRAdjustment Factor

Children With Working Parents

Licensed Care Demand Factor

Resident Children Needing Licensed Care

of Total Resident Children Needing Licensed Care

Children from Non-Resident Employees Needing

Licensed Care

(1)

(2)

(3)

90 160

56

50 136

37

18 128

21 80

8 13

250

186

79

147

59

21

Total Demand for Child Care Spaces

Distribution

EXISTING SUPPLY (4)

27 141

16 84

Child Care Spaces

168

100

Family Child Care Home Supply

Child Care Center Supply

Current Child Care Supply

Distribution

EXISTING SURPLUS(SHORTAGE)

Distribution

Percentage of Demand Met

by Existing FacilitiesSpaces

Shortage of Family Child Care Home Spaces

Shortage of Center-Based Spaces

(5)

(6)

(6)

1

2

3

4 5

0 103

4 108

4 96

(23) (33)

41 59

16 77

(23) (2)

0 (31)

9

103

112

100

(55)

100

67

(24)

(31)

FINAL

Table A-21

Existing Child Care Demand and Supply in 2015 in Woodside

San Mateo County Child Care Study - 2016

Note All footnote references can be found in Table C-1 at the end of this file Sources 2010 US Census ABAG Projections 2013 2014 American Community Survey ACS Journey-to-Work data 2006-2008 and 2006-2010

Child Care Coordinating Council of San Mateo County (4Cs) Community Care Licensing Brion Economics Inc

Prepared by Brion Economics Inc 2513-SMC NA Final Tables 61216 6122016

COUNTYWIDE

Child Care as of 2025

No of

Providers

Under 2 Years

Old

2 to 4 Year

Olds

Total 0 to 4

Years

EXISTING DEMAND Child Care Demand

Estimated Total Children

Average LFPRAdjustment Factor

Children With Working Parents

Licensed Care Demand Factor

Resident Children Needing Licensed Care

of Total Resident Children Needing Licensed Care

Children from Non-Resident Employees Needing

Licensed Care

Total Demand for Child Care Spaces

Distribution

EXISTING SUPPLY

(1)

(2)

(3)

(4)

20790 31340

71

14704 28273

37

5441 26432

26 84

2037 3074

7478 29506

20 80

Child Care Spaces

52130

42978

86

31873

61

5112

36984

100

Family Child Care Home Supply

Child Care Center Supply

Current Child Care Supply

Distribution

EXISTING SURPLUS(SHORTAGE)

Distribution

Percentage of Demand Met

by Existing FacilitiesSpaces

Shortage of Family Child Care Home Spaces

Shortage of Center-Based Spaces

(5)

(6)

(6)

621

309

930

2301 2893

1514 16296

3815 19189

17 83

(3663) (10318)

26 74

51 65

(2209) (1555)

(1454) (8762)

5193

17810

23003

100

(13981)

100

62

(3765)

(10216)

FINAL

Table B-1

Future C hild Care Demand and Supply in 2025 Countywide

San Mateo County Child Care Study - 2016

Note All footnote references can be found in Table C-1 at the end of this file

Sources 2010 US Census ABAG Projections 2013 2014 American Community Survey ACS Journey-to-Work data 2006-2008 and 2006-2010

Child Care Coordinating Council of San Mateo County (4Cs) Community Care Licensing Brion Economics Inc

Prepared by Brion Economics Inc 2513-SMC NA Final Tables 61216 6122016

ATHERTON

No of

Providers

Child Care as of 2025

Under 2 Years

Old

2 to 4 Year

Olds

Total 0 to 4

Years

EXISTING DEMAND Child Care Demand

Estimated Total Children

Average LFPRAdjustment Factor

Children With Working Parents

Licensed Care Demand Factor

Resident Children Needing Licensed Care

of Total Resident Children Needing Licensed Care

Children from Non-Resident Employees Needing

Licensed Care

(1)

(2)

(3)

109 193

40

43 159

37

16 154

15 80

13 19

302

202

84

170

56

32

Total Demand for Child Care Spaces

Distribution

EXISTING SUPPLY (4)

29 173

14 86

Child Care Spaces

201

100

Family Child Care Home Supply

Child Care Center Supply

Current Child Care Supply

Distribution

EXISTING SURPLUS(SHORTAGE)

Distribution

Percentage of Demand Met

by Existing FacilitiesSpaces

Shortage of Family Child Care Home Spaces

Shortage of Center-Based Spaces

(5)

(6)

(6)

1

6

7

5 6

24 267

29 273

10 90

0 101

0 100

101 158

NA NA

NA NA

11

291

302

100

101

100

150

NA

NA

FINAL

Table B-2

Future Child Care Demand and Supply in 2025 in Atherton

San Mateo Co unty Child Care Study - 2016

Note All footnote references can be found in Table C-1 at the end of this file Sources 2010 US Census ABAG Projections 2013 2014 American Community Survey ACS Journey-to-Work data 2006-2008 and 2006-2010

Child Care Coordinating Council of San Mateo County (4Cs) Community Care Licensing Brion Economics Inc

Prepared by Brion Economics Inc 2513-SMC NA Final Tables 61216 6122016

BELMONT

Child Care as of 2025

No of

Providers

Under 2 Years

Old

2 to 4 Year

Olds

Total 0 to 4

Years

EXISTING DEMAND Child Care Demand

Estimated Total Children

Average LFPRAdjustment Factor

Children With Working Parents

Licensed Care Demand Factor

Resident Children Needing Licensed Care

of Total Resident Children Needing Licensed Care

Children from Non-Resident Employees Needing

Licensed Care

(1)

(2)

(3)

743 1095

77

574 1013

37

213 943

29 86

37 56

1838

1587

73

1156

63

93

Total Demand for Child Care Spaces

Distribution

EXISTING SUPPLY (4)

250 999

20 80

Child Care Spaces

1249

100

Family Child Care Home Supply

Child Care Center Supply

Current Child Care Supply

Distribution

EXISTING SURPLUS(SHORTAGE)

Distribution

Percentage of Demand Met

by Existing FacilitiesSpaces

Shortage of Family Child Care Home Spaces

Shortage of Center-Based Spaces

(5)

(6)

(6)

8

9

17

67 84

39 531

106 615

15 85

(143) (384)

27 73

43 62

(91) (53)

(53) (331)

152

570

722

100

(527)

100

58

(143)

(384)

FINAL

Table B-3

Future Child Care Demand and Supply in 2025 in Belmont

San Mateo County Child Care Study - 2016

Note All footnote references can be found in Table C-1 at the end of this file

Sources 2010 US Census ABAG Projections 2013 2014 American Community Survey ACS Journey-to-Work data 2006-2008 and 2006-2010

Child Care Coordinating Council of San Mateo County (4Cs) Community Care Licensing Brion Economics Inc

Prepared by Brion Economics Inc 2513-SMC NA Final Tables 61216 6122016

BRISBANE

Child Care as of 2025

No of

Providers

Under 2 Years

Old

2 to 4 Year

Olds

Total 0 to 4

Years

EXISTING DEMAND Child Care Demand

Estimated Total Children

Average LFPRAdjustment Factor

Children With Working Parents

Licensed Care Demand Factor

Resident Children Needing Licensed Care

of Total Resident Children Needing Licensed Care

Children from Non-Resident Employees Needing

Licensed Care

(1)

(2)

(3)

131 174

100

131 174

37

48 160

37 92

55 83

305

305

68

209

68

138

Total Demand for Child Care Spaces

Distribution

EXISTING SUPPLY (4)

103 243

30 70

Child Care Spaces

346

100

Family Child Care Home Supply

Child Care Center Supply

Current Child Care Supply

Distribution

EXISTING SURPLUS(SHORTAGE)

Distribution

Percentage of Demand Met

by Existing FacilitiesSpaces

Shortage of Family Child Care Home Spaces

Shortage of Center-Based Spaces

(5)

(6)

(6)

1

1

2

4 5

0 64

4 69

6 94

(99) (174)

36 64

4 29

(99) (13)

0 (160)

9

64

73

100

(273)

100

21

(112)

(160)

FINAL

Table B-4

Future Child Care Demand and Supply in 2025 in Brisbane

San Mateo County Child Care Study - 2016

Note All footnote references can be found in Table C-1 at the end of this file Sources 2010 US Census ABAG Projections 2013 2014 American Community Survey ACS Journey-to-Work data 2006-2008 and 2006-2010

Child Care Coordinating Council of San Mateo County (4Cs) Community Care Licensing Brion Economics Inc

Prepared by Brion Economics Inc 2513-SMC NA Final Tables 61216 6122016

BURLINGAME

Child Care as of 2025

No of

Providers

Under 2 Years

Old

2 to 4 Year

Olds

Total 0 to 4

Years

EXISTING DEMAND Child Care Demand

Estimated Total Children

Average LFPRAdjustment Factor

Children With Working Parents

Licensed Care Demand Factor

Resident Children Needing Licensed Care

of Total Resident Children Needing Licensed Care

Children from Non-Resident Employees Needing

Licensed Care

(1)

(2)

(3)

903 1332

65

587 1190

37

217 1124

24 84

154 232

2235

1777

75

1341

60

385

Total Demand for Child Care Spaces

Distribution

EXISTING SUPPLY (4)

371 1356

21 79

Child Care Spaces

1726

100

Family Child Care Home Supply

Child Care Center Supply

Current Child Care Supply

Distribution

EXISTING SURPLUS(SHORTAGE)

Distribution

Percentage of Demand Met

by Existing FacilitiesSpaces

Shortage of Family Child Care Home Spaces

Shortage of Center-Based Spaces

(5)

(6)

(6)

10

14

24

79 99

40 866

119 965

11 89

(252) (390)

39 61

32 71

(167) (40)

(85) (350)

179

906

1085

100

(642)

100

63

(207)

(434)

FINAL

Table B-5

Future Child Care Demand and Supply in 2025 in Burlingame

San Mateo County Child Care Study - 2016

Note All footnote references can be found in Table C-1 at the end of this file

Sources 2010 US Census ABAG Projections 2013 2014 American Community Survey ACS Journey-to-Work data 2006-2008 and 2006-2010

Child Care Coordinating Council of San Mateo County (4Cs) Community Care Licensing Brion Economics Inc

Prepared by Brion Economics Inc 2513-SMC NA Final Tables 61216 6122016

DALY CITYCOLMA

Child Care as of 2025

No of

Providers

Under 2 Years

Old

2 to 4 Year

Olds

Total 0 to 4

Years

EXISTING DEMAND Child Care Demand

Estimated Total Children

Average LFPRAdjustment Factor

Children With Working Parents

Licensed Care Demand Factor

Resident Children Needing Licensed Care

of Total Resident Children Needing Licensed Care

Children from Non-Resident Employees Needing

Licensed Care

(1)

(2)

(3)

2647 3793

74

1964 3467

37

727 3233

27 85

138 208

6440

5432

73

3960

61

346

Total Demand for Child Care Spaces

Distribution

EXISTING SUPPLY (4)

865 3441

20 80

Child Care Spaces

4306

100

Family Child Care Home Supply

Child Care Center Supply

Current Child Care Supply

Distribution

EXISTING SURPLUS(SHORTAGE)

Distribution

Percentage of Demand Met

by Existing FacilitiesSpaces

Shortage of Family Child Care Home Spaces

Shortage of Center-Based Spaces

(5)

(6)

(6)

25

28

28

288 362

84 1264

372 1626

19 81

(493) (1816)

21 79

43 47

(381) (404)

(111) (1412)

649

1348

1997

100

(2308)

100

46

(785)

(1523)

FINAL

Table B-6

Future C hild Care Demand and Supply in 2025 in Daly CityColma

San Mateo County Child Care Study - 2016

Note All footnote references can be found in Table C-1 at the end of this file

Sources 2010 US Census ABAG Projections 2013 2014 American Community Survey ACS Journey-to-Work data 2006-2008 and 2006-2010

Child Care Coordinating Council of San Mateo County (4Cs) Community Care Licensing Brion Economics Inc

Prepared by Brion Economics Inc 2513-SMC NA Final Tables 61216 6122016

EAST PALO ALTO

Child Care as of 2025

No of

Providers

Under 2 Years

Old

2 to 4 Year

Olds

Total 0 to 4

Years

EXISTING DEMAND Child Care Demand

Estimated Total Children

Average LFPRAdjustment Factor

Children With Working Parents

Licensed Care Demand Factor

Resident Children Needing Licensed Care

of Total Resident Children Needing Licensed Care

Children from Non-Resident Employees Needing

Licensed Care

(1)

(2)

(3)

1161 1849

71

822 1660

37

304 1545

26 84

20 30

3010

2482

75

1849

61

50

Total Demand for Child Care Spaces

Distribution

EXISTING SUPPLY (4)

324 1575

17 83

Child Care Spaces

1900

100

Family Child Care Home Supply

Child Care Center Supply

Current Child Care Supply

Distribution

EXISTING SURPLUS(SHORTAGE)

Distribution

Percentage of Demand Met

by Existing FacilitiesSpaces

Shortage of Family Child Care Home Spaces

Shortage of Center-Based Spaces

(5)

(6)

(6)

13

6

19

85 106

25 633

110 739

13 87

(215) (836)

20 80

34 47

(166) (120)

(49) (715)

191

658

849

100

(1050)

100

45

(286)

(764)

FINAL

Table B-7

Future Child Care Demand and Supply in 2025 in East Palo Alto

San Mateo County Child Care Study - 2016

Note All footnote references can be found in Table C-1 at the end of this file

Sources 2010 US Census ABAG Projections 2013 2014 American Community Survey ACS Journey-to-Work data 2006-2008 and 2006-2010

Child Care Coordinating Council of San Mateo County (4Cs) Community Care Licensing Brion Economics Inc

Prepared by Brion Economics Inc 2513-SMC NA Final Tables 61216 6122016

FOSTER CITY

Child Care as of 2025

No of

Providers

Under 2 Years

Old

2 to 4 Year

Olds

Total 0 to 4

Years

EXISTING DEMAND Child Care Demand

Estimated Total Children

Average LFPRAdjustment Factor

Children With Working Parents

Licensed Care Demand Factor

Resident Children Needing Licensed Care

of Total Resident Children Needing Licensed Care

Children from Non-Resident Employees Needing

Licensed Care

(1)

(2)

(3)

871 1330

63

550 1154

37

204 1079

23 81

80 120

2201

1705

75

1282

58

200

Total Demand for Child Care Spaces

Distribution

EXISTING SUPPLY (4)

283 1199

19 81

Child Care Spaces

1483

100

Family Child Care Home Supply

Child Care Center Supply

Current Child Care Supply

Distribution

EXISTING SURPLUS(SHORTAGE)

Distribution

Percentage of Demand Met

by Existing FacilitiesSpaces

Shortage of Family Child Care Home Spaces

Shortage of Center-Based Spaces

(5)

(6)

(6)

19

12

31

118 149

88 1200

206 1349

13 87

(77) 150

-106 206

73 112

(44) NA

(33) NA

267

1288

1555

100

73

100

105

(44)

(33)

FINAL

Table B-8

Future Child Care Demand and Supply in 2025 in Foster City

San Mateo County Child Care Study - 2016

Note All footnote references can be found in Table C-1 at the end of this file

Sources 2010 US Census ABAG Projections 2013 2014 American Community Survey ACS Journey-to-Work data 2006-2008 and 2006-2010

Child Care Coordinating Council of San Mateo County (4Cs) Community Care Licensing Brion Economics Inc

Prepared by Brion Economics Inc 2513-SMC NA Final Tables 61216 6122016

HALF MOON BAY REGION

Child Care as of 2025

No of

Providers

Under 2 Years

Old

2 to 4 Year

Olds

Total 0 to 4

Years

EXISTING DEMAND Child Care Demand

Estimated Total Children

Average LFPRAdjustment Factor

Children With Working Parents

Licensed Care Demand Factor

Resident Children Needing Licensed Care

of Total Resident Children Needing Licensed Care

Children from Non-Resident Employees Needing

Licensed Care

(1)

(2)

(3)

553 929

69

383 835

37

142 781

26 84

14 21

1482

1217

76

923

62

34

Total Demand for Child Care Spaces

Distribution

EXISTING SUPPLY (4)

155 802

16 84

Child Care Spaces

957

100

Family Child Care Home Supply

Child Care Center Supply

Current Child Care Supply

Distribution

EXISTING SURPLUS(SHORTAGE)

Distribution

Percentage of Demand Met

by Existing FacilitiesSpaces

Shortage of Family Child Care Home Spaces

Shortage of Center-Based Spaces

(5)

(6)

(6)

10

11

21

96 121

35 285

131 406

24 76

(24) (396)

6 94

84 51

(18) (118)

(6) (279)

216

320

536

100

(421)

100

56

(136)

(285)

FINAL

Table B-9

Future Child Care Demand and Supply in 2025 in Half Moon Bay Region

San Mateo County Child Care Study - 2016

Note All footnote references can be found in Table C-1 at the end of this file

Sources 2010 US Census ABAG Projections 2013 2014 American Community Survey ACS Journey-to-Work data 2006-2008 and 2006-2010

Child Care Coordinating Council of San Mateo County (4Cs) Community Care Licensing Brion Economics Inc

Prepared by Brion Economics Inc 2513-SMC NA Final Tables 61216 6122016

HILLSBOROUGH

Child Care as of 2025

No of

Providers

Under 2 Years

Old

2 to 4 Year

Olds

Total 0 to 4

Years

EXISTING DEMAND Child Care Demand

Estimated Total Children

Average LFPRAdjustment Factor

Children With Working Parents

Licensed Care Demand Factor

Resident Children Needing Licensed Care

of Total Resident Children Needing Licensed Care

Children from Non-Resident Employees Needing

Licensed Care

(1)

(2)

(3)

143 343

52

74 295

37

27 282

19 82

7 11

487

369

84

309

64

17

Total Demand for Child Care Spaces

Distribution

EXISTING SUPPLY (4)

34 292

10 90

Child Care Spaces

327

100

Family Child Care Home Supply

Child Care Center Supply

Current Child Care Supply

Distribution

EXISTING SURPLUS(SHORTAGE)

Distribution

Percentage of Demand Met

by Existing FacilitiesSpaces

Shortage of Family Child Care Home Spaces

Shortage of Center-Based Spaces

(5)

(6)

(6)

1

4

5

5 6

- 91

5 97

5 95

(29) (195)

13 87

14 33

(29) (12)

0 (183)

11

91

102

100

(225)

100

31

(42)

(183)

FINAL

Table B-10

Future Child Care Demand and Supply in 2025 in Hillsborough

San Mateo County Child Care Study - 2016

Note All footnote references can be found in Table C-1 at the end of this file

Sources 2010 US Census ABAG Projections 2013 2014 American Community Survey ACS Journey-to-Work data 2006-2008 and 2006-2010

Child Care Coordinating Council of San Mateo County (4Cs) Community Care Licensing Brion Economics Inc

Prepared by Brion Economics Inc 2513-SMC NA Final Tables 61216 6122016

MENLO PARK

Child Care as of 2025

No of

Providers

Under 2 Years

Old

2 to 4 Year

Olds

Total 0 to 4

Years

EXISTING DEMAND Child Care Demand

Estimated Total Children

Average LFPRAdjustment Factor

Children With Working Parents

Licensed Care Demand Factor

Resident Children Needing Licensed Care

of Total Resident Children Needing Licensed Care

Children from Non-Resident Employees Needing

Licensed Care

(1)

(2)

(3)

1327 1954

69

909 1759

37

336 1653

25 85

237 357

3281

2668

75

1989

61

594

Total Demand for Child Care Spaces

Distribution

EXISTING SUPPLY (4)

573 2011

22 78

Child Care Spaces

2584

100

Family Child Care Home Supply

Child Care Center Supply

Current Child Care Supply

Distribution

EXISTING SURPLUS(SHORTAGE)

Distribution

Percentage of Demand Met

by Existing FacilitiesSpaces

Shortage of Family Child Care Home Spaces

Shortage of Center-Based Spaces

(5)

(6)

(6)

15

25

40

76 96

73 1331

149 1427

9 91

(424) (584)

42 58

26 71

(217) (39)

(207) (544)

172

1404

1576

100

(1008)

100

61

(256)

(752)

FINAL

Table B-11

Future Child Care Demand and Supply in 2025 in Menlo Park

San Mateo County Child Care Study - 2016

Note All footnote references can be found in Table C-1 at the end of this file

Sources 2010 US Census ABAG Projections 2013 2014 American Community Survey ACS Journey-to-Work data 2006-2008 and 2006-2010

Child Care Coordinating Council of San Mateo County (4Cs) Community Care Licensing Brion Economics Inc

Prepared by Brion Economics Inc 2513-SMC NA Final Tables 61216 6122016

MILLBRAE

Child Care as of 2025

No of

Providers

Under 2 Years

Old

2 to 4 Year

Olds

Total 0 to 4

Years

EXISTING DEMAND Child Care Demand

Estimated Total Children

Average LFPRAdjustment Factor

Children With Working Parents

Licensed Care Demand Factor

Resident Children Needing Licensed Care

of Total Resident Children Needing Licensed Care

Children from Non-Resident Employees Needing

Licensed Care

(1)

(2)

(3)

473 805

62

291 710

37

108 672

23 83

31 47

1278

1001

78

780

61

77

Total Demand for Child Care Spaces

Distribution

EXISTING SUPPLY (4)

139 718

16 84

Child Care Spaces

857

100

Family Child Care Home Supply

Child Care Center Supply

Current Child Care Supply

Distribution

EXISTING SURPLUS(SHORTAGE)

Distribution

Percentage of Demand Met

by Existing FacilitiesSpaces

Shortage of Family Child Care Home Spaces

Shortage of Center-Based Spaces

(5)

(6)

(6)

7

7

14

62 78

- 376

62 454

12 88

(76) (264)

22 78

45 63

(76) (46)

0 (219)

141

376

517

100

(340)

100

60

(122)

(219)

FINAL

Table B-12

Future C hild Care Demand and Supply in 2025 in Millbrae

San Mateo County Child Care Study - 2016

Note All footnote references can be found in Table C-1 at the end of this file

Sources 2010 US Census ABAG Projections 2013 2014 American Community Survey ACS Journey-to-Work data 2006-2008 and 2006-2010

Child Care Coordinating Council of San Mateo County (4Cs) Community Care Licensing Brion Economics Inc

Prepared by Brion Economics Inc 2513-SMC NA Final Tables 61216 6122016

FINAL

Table B-13

Future Child Care Demand and Supply in 2025 in Pacifica

San Mateo County Child Care Study - 2016

PACIFICA

Child Care as of 2025

No of

Providers

Under 2 Years

Old

2 to 4 Year

Olds

Total 0 to 4

Years

EXISTING DEMAND Child Care Demand

Estimated Total Children

Average L FPRAdjustment Factor

Children With Working Parents

Licensed Care Demand Factor

Resident Children Needing Licensed Care

of Total Resident Children Needing Licensed Care

Children from Non-Resident Employees Needing

Licensed Care

(1)

(2)

(3)

816 1300

78

633 1209

37

234 1130

29 87

19 29

2116

1842

74

1364

64

48

Total Demand for Child Care Spaces

Distribution

EXISTING SUPPLY (4)

254 1159

18 82

Child Care Spaces

1413

100

Family Child Care Home Supply

Child Care Center Supply

Current Child Care Supply

Distribution

EXISTING SURPLUS(SHORTAGE)

Distribution

Percentage of Demand Met

by Existing FacilitiesSpaces

Shortage of Family Child Care Home Spaces

Shortage of Center-Based Spaces

(5)

(6)

(6)

9

18

27

77 97

39 701

116 798

13 87

(138) (361)

28 72

46 69

(91) (44)

(46) (317)

174

740

914

100

(499)

100

65

(135)

(364)

Note All footnote references can be found in Table C-1 at the end of this file

Sources 2010 US Census ABAG Projections 2013 2014 American Community Survey ACS Journey-to-Work data 2006-2008 and 2006-2010

Child Care Coordinating Council of San Mateo County (4Cs) Community Care Licensing Brion Economics Inc

Prepared by Brion Economics Inc 2513-SMC NA Final Tables 61216 6122016

PORTOLA VALLEY

Child Care as of 2025

No of

Providers

Under 2 Years

Old

2 to 4 Year

Olds

Total 0 to 4

Years

EXISTING DEMAND Child Care Demand

Estimated Total Children

Average LFPRAdjustment Factor

Children With Working Parents

Licensed Care Demand Factor

Resident Children Needing Licensed Care

of Total Resident Children Needing Licensed Care

Children from Non-Resident Employees Needing

Licensed Care

(1)

(2)

(3)

77 192

66

51 173

37

19 164

24 85

9 13

269

224

82

182

68

22

Total Demand for Child Care Spaces

Distribution

EXISTING SUPPLY (4)

28 177

13 87

Child Care Spaces

204

100

Family Child Care Home Supply

Child Care Center Supply

Current Child Care Supply

Distribution

EXISTING SURPLUS(SHORTAGE)

Distribution

Percentage of Demand Met

by Existing FacilitiesSpaces

Shortage of Family Child Care Home Spaces

Shortage of Center-Based Spaces

(5)

(6)

(6)

0

4

4

- -

- 153

- 153

0 100

(28) (24)

54 46

0 87

0 0

(28) (24)

0

153

153

100

(51)

100

75

0

(51)

FINAL

Table B-14

Future Child Care Demand and Supply in 2025 in Portola Valley

San Mateo County Child Care Study - 2016

Note All footnote references can be found in Table C-1 at the end of this file

Sources 2010 US Census ABAG Projections 2013 2014 American Community Survey ACS Journey-to-Work data 2006-2008 and 2006-2010

Child Care Coordinating Council of San Mateo County (4Cs) Community Care Licensing Brion Economics Inc

Prepared by Brion Economics Inc 2513-SMC NA Final Tables 61216 6122016

REDWOOD CITY

No of

Providers

Child Care as of 2025

Under 2 Years

Old

2 to 4 Year

Olds

Total 0 to 4

Years

EXISTING DEMAND Child Care Demand

Estimated Total Children

Average LFPRAdjustment Factor

Children With Working Parents

Licensed Care Demand Factor

Resident Children Needing Licensed Care

of Total Resident Children Needing Licensed Care

Children from Non-Resident Employees Needing

Licensed Care

Total Demand for Child Care Spaces

Distribution

EXISTING SUPPLY

(1)

(2)

(3)

(4)

3725 5378

69

2555 4813

37

946 4505

25 84

466 703

1411 5208

21 79

Child Care Spaces

9103

7368

74

5450

60

1169

6619

100

Family Child Care Home Supply

Child Care Center Supply

Current Child Care Supply

Distribution

EXISTING SURPLUS(SHORTAGE)

Distribution

Percentage of Demand Met

by Existing FacilitiesSpaces

Shortage of Family Child Care Home Spaces

Shortage of Center-Based Spaces

(5)

(6)

(6)

42

41

83

396 497

356 2036

752 2533

23 77

(660) (2674)

20 80

53 49

(347) (525)

(313) (2149)

893

2392

3285

100

(3334)

100

50

(872)

(2462)

FINAL

Table B-15

Future Child Care Demand and Supply in 2025 in Redwood City

San Mateo County Child Care Study - 2016

Note All footnote references can be found in Table C-1 at the end of this file

Sources 2010 US Census ABAG Projections 2013 2014 American Community Survey ACS Journey-to-Work data 2006-2008 and 2006-2010

Child Care Coordinating Council of San Mateo County (4Cs) Community Care Licensing Brion Economics Inc

Prepared by Brion Economics Inc 2513-SMC NA Final Tables 61216 6122016

SAN BRUNO

Child Care as of 2025

No of

Providers

Under 2 Years

Old

2 to 4 Year

Olds

Total 0 to 4

Years

EXISTING DEMAND Child Care Demand

Estimated Total Children

Average LFPRAdjustment Factor

Children With Working Parents

Licensed Care Demand Factor

Resident Children Needing Licensed Care

of Total Resident Children Needing Licensed Care

Children from Non-Resident Employees Needing

Licensed Care

(1)

(2)

(3)

1189 1728

77

910 1589

37

337 1475

28 85

68 103

2917

2498

73

1812

62

171

Total Demand for Child Care Spaces

Distribution

EXISTING SUPPLY (4)

405 1578

20 80

Child Care Spaces

1983

100

Family Child Care Home Supply

Child Care Center Supply

Current Child Care Supply

Distribution

EXISTING SURPLUS(SHORTAGE)

Distribution

Percentage of Demand Met

by Existing FacilitiesSpaces

Shortage of Family Child Care Home Spaces

Shortage of Center-Based Spaces

(5)

(6)

(6)

13

15

28

122 153

26 1183

148 1336

10 90

(257) (242)

52 48

37 85

(212) (28)

(45) (214)

275

1209

1484

100

(499)

100

75

(239)

(259)

FINAL

Table B-16

Future C hild Care Demand and Supply in 2025 in San Bruno

San Mateo County Child Care Study - 2016

Note All footnote references can be found in Table C-1 at the end of this file

Sources 2010 US Census ABAG Projections 2013 2014 American Community Survey ACS Journey-to-Work data 2006-2008 and 2006-2010

Child Care Coordinating Council of San Mateo County (4Cs) Community Care Licensing Brion Economics Inc

Prepared by Brion Economics Inc 2513-SMC NA Final Tables 61216 6122016

SAN CARLOS

Child Care as of 2025

No of

Providers

Under 2 Years

Old

2 to 4 Year

Olds

Total 0 to 4

Years

EXISTING DEMAND Child Care Demand

Estimated Total Children

Average LFPRAdjustment Factor

Children With Working Parents

Licensed Care Demand Factor

Resident Children Needing Licensed Care

of Total Resident Children Needing Licensed Care

Children from Non-Resident Employees Needing

Licensed Care

(1)

(2)

(3)

778 1384

72

557 1255

37

206 1174

26 85

82 123

2162

1812

76

1380

64

205

Total Demand for Child Care Spaces

Distribution

EXISTING SUPPLY (4)

288 1297

18 82

Child Care Spaces

1585

100

Family Child Care Home Supply

Child Care Center Supply

Current Child Care Supply

Distribution

EXISTING SURPLUS(SHORTAGE)

Distribution

Percentage of Demand Met

by Existing FacilitiesSpaces

Shortage of Family Child Care Home Spaces

Shortage of Center-Based Spaces

(5)

(6)

(6)

28

14

42

73 92

76 615

149 707

17 83

(139) (590)

19 81

52 54

(68) (76)

(71) (514)

164

691

855

100

(729)

100

54

(145)

(585)

FINAL

Table B-17

Future Child Care Demand and Supply in 2025 in San Carlos

San Mateo County Child Care Study - 2016

Note All footnote references can be found in Table C-1 at the end of this file

Sources 2010 US Census ABAG Projections 2013 2014 American Community Survey ACS Journey-to-Work data 2006-2008 and 2006-2010

Child Care Coordinating Council of San Mateo County (4Cs) Community Care Licensing Brion Economics Inc

Prepared by Brion Economics Inc 2513-SMC NA Final Tables 61216 6122016

SAN MATEO

Child Care as of 2025

No of

Providers

Under 2 Years

Old

2 to 4 Year

Olds

Total 0 to 4

Years

EXISTING DEMAND Child Care Demand

Estimated Total Children

Average LFPRAdjustment Factor

Children With Working Parents

Licensed Care Demand Factor

Resident Children Needing Licensed Care

of Total Resident Children Needing Licensed Care

Children from Non-Resident Employees Needing

Licensed Care

(1)

(2)

(3)

3194 4572

71

2264 4116

37

838 3839

26 84

261 394

7766

6381

73

4677

60

656

Total Demand for Child Care Spaces

Distribution

EXISTING SUPPLY (4)

1099 4233

21 79

Child Care Spaces

5332

100

Family Child Care Home Supply

Child Care Center Supply

Current Child Care Supply

Distribution

EXISTING SURPLUS(SHORTAGE)

Distribution

Percentage of Demand Met

by Existing FacilitiesSpaces

Shortage of Family Child Care Home Spaces

Shortage of Center-Based Spaces

(5)

(6)

(6)

69

59

128

492 619

209 2577

701 3196

18 82

(398) (1037)

28 72

64 75

(279) (201)

(119) (837)

1111

2786

3897

100

(1435)

100

73

(480)

(955)

FINAL

Table B-18

Future Child Care Demand and Supply in 2025 in San Mateo

San Mateo County Child Care Study - 2016

Note All footnote references can be found in Table C-1 at the end of this file

Sources 2010 US Census ABAG Projections 2013 2014 American Community Survey ACS Journey-to-Work data 2006-2008 and 2006-2010

Child Care Coordinating Council of San Mateo County (4Cs) Community Care Licensing Brion Economics Inc

Prepared by Brion Economics Inc 2513-SMC NA Final Tables 61216 6122016

FINAL

Table B-19

Future Child Care Demand and Supply in 2025 in South Coast

San Mateo County Child Care Study - 2016

SOUTH COAST

Child Care as of 2025

No of

Providers

Under 2 Years

Old

2 to 4 Year

Olds

Total 0 to 4

Years

EXISTING DEMAND Child Care Demand

Estimated Total Children (1) 23 32 55

Average LFPRAdjustment Factor (2) 54

Children With Working Parents 12 27 40

Licensed Care Demand Factor (3) 37 77

Resident Children Needing Licensed Care 5 26 30

of Total Resident Children Needing Licensed Care 20 81 56

Children from Non-Resident Employees Needing

Licensed Care 0 0 0

Total Demand for Child Care Spaces 5 26 30

Distribution 15 85 100

EXISTING SUPPLY (4) Child Care Spaces

Family Child Care Home Supply - 0 0 0

Child Care Center Supply 2 0 54 54

Current Child Care Supply 2 - 54 54

Distribution 0 100 100

EXISTING SURPLUS(SHORTAGE) (5) 28 24

Distribution -19 119 100

Percentage of Demand Met

by Existing FacilitiesSpaces (5) 0 209 177

Shortage of Family Child Care Home Spaces (6) 0 NA 0

Shortage of Center-Based Spaces (6) (5) NA (5)

Note All footnote references can be found in Table C-1 at the end of this file

Sources 2010 US Census ABAG Projections 2013 2014 American Community Survey ACS Journey-to-Work data 2006-2008 and 2006-2010

Child Care Coordinating Council of San Mateo County (4Cs) Community Care Licensing Brion Economics Inc

Prepared by Brion Economics Inc 2513-SMC NA Final Tables 61216 6122016

SOUTH SAN FRANCISCO

Child Care as of 2025

No of

Providers

Under 2 Years

Old

2 to 4 Year

Olds

Total 0 to 4

Years

EXISTING DEMAND Child Care Demand

Estimated Total Children

Average LFPRAdjustment Factor

Children With Working Parents

Licensed Care Demand Factor

Resident Children Needing Licensed Care

of Total Resident Children Needing Licensed Care

Children from Non-Resident Employees Needing

Licensed Care

(1)

(2)

(3)

1835 2790

73

1342 2535

37

496 2362

27 85

339 512

4625

3877

74

2859

62

851

Total Demand for Child Care Spaces

Distribution

EXISTING SUPPLY (4)

835 2874

23 77

Child Care Spaces

3709

100

Family Child Care Home Supply

Child Care Center Supply

Current Child Care Supply

Distribution

EXISTING SURPLUS(SHORTAGE)

Distribution

Percentage of Demand Met

by Existing FacilitiesSpaces

Shortage of Family Child Care Home Spaces

Shortage of Center-Based Spaces

(5)

(6)

(6)

30

27

57

252 317

400 1966

652 2283

22 78

(183) (591)

24 76

78 79

(71) (82)

(113) (509)

569

2366

2935

100

(775)

100

79

(153)

(622)

FINAL

Table B-20

Future Child Care Demand and Supply in 2025 in South San Francisco

San Mateo County Child Care Study - 2016

Note All footnote references can be found in Table C-1 at the end of this file

Sources 2010 US Census ABAG Projections 2013 2014 American Community Survey ACS Journey-to-Work data 2006-2008 and 2006-2010

Child Care Coordinating Council of San Mateo County (4Cs) Community Care Licensing Brion Economics Inc

Prepared by Brion Economics Inc 2513-SMC NA Final Tables 61216 6122016

WOODSIDE

No of

Providers

Child Care as of 2025

Under 2 Years

Old

2 to 4 Year

Olds

Total 0 to 4

Years

EXISTING DEMAND Child Care Demand

Estimated Total Children

Average LFPRAdjustment Factor

Children With Working Parents

Licensed Care Demand Factor

Resident Children Needing Licensed Care

of Total Resident Children Needing Licensed Care

Children from Non-Resident Employees Needing

Licensed Care

(1)

(2)

(3)

93 165

56

51 140

37

19 132

21 80

9 13

258

192

79

152

59

22

Total Demand for Child Care Spaces

Distribution

EXISTING SUPPLY (4)

28 146

16 84

Child Care Spaces

174

100

Family Child Care Home Supply

Child Care Center Supply

Current Child Care Supply

Distribution

EXISTING SURPLUS(SHORTAGE)

Distribution

Percentage of Demand Met

by Existing FacilitiesSpaces

Shortage of Family Child Care Home Spaces

Shortage of Center-Based Spaces

(5)

(6)

(6)

1

2

3

4 5

- 103

4 108

4 96

(24) (38)

39 61

15 74

(24) (2)

0 (36)

9

103

112

100

(61)

100

65

(26)

(36)

FINAL

Table B-21

Future Child Care Demand and Supply in 2025 in Woodside

San Mateo County Child Care Study - 2016

Note All footnote references can be found in Table C-1 at the end of this file

Sources 2010 US Census ABAG Projections 2013 2014 American Community Survey ACS Journey-to-Work data 2006-2008 and 2006-2010

Child Care Coordinating Council of San Mateo County (4Cs) Community Care Licensing Brion Economics Inc

Prepared by Brion Economics Inc 2513-SMC NA Final Tables 61216 6122016

FINAL

Table C-1

Endnotes for Tables

San Mateo County Child Care Study - 2016

(1) Population by age is based on the percentage breakdown from the 2010 US Census and applied

to population estimates for 2015 using ABAGs Projections 2013 population data The ABAG data

for each area includes its Sphere of Influence and is not based on strict jurisdictional boundaries

(2) Labor force participation rates are from the 5-Year American Community Survey 2014 and include

children under six years old with two working parents or a single working parent For the 2- to 4-year

olds the labor force participation rate is applied to 2 year olds For 3- and 4-year olds it is assumed

that 100 need licensed care to support preschool for every child so the number of

3- and 4-year olds is not discounted by labor force participation rates

(3) Not all children with working parents are assumed to need licensed care percentage assumptions are

used to calculate the number of children requiring licensed care under each age category The

remaining children are assumed to be cared for in alternate arrangements such as by family members

nannies friends and other unlicensed care For children ages 3- and 4-years old it is assumed that

they all need care in the form of preschool

(4) Data on child care supply provided by the Child Care Coordinating Council of San Mateo County (4Cs)

and Community Care Licensing Division of the California Department of Social Services (CCLD) Data is

for June 2015

(5) Demand that calculates as less than 100 means that there is greater demand than supply percent of

demand that is over 100 means supply exceeds demand

(6) Unmet demand is broken down into shortage by type of care based on the proportion of FCCHs and

child care centers spaces available in each area If an area does not have any FCCHs or centers the

unmet demand is placed in the type of care that is available in the area (eg if there are only centers

all demand goes to centers)

Source Brion Economics Inc

Prepared by Brion Economics Inc 2513-SMC NA Final Tables 61216 6122016

DRAFT REPORT

Table C-2

Labor Force Participation Rates by CityArea

San Mateo County Child Care Study - 2016

CityArea

Labor Force

Participation Rate (1)

Atherton

Belmont

Brisbane

Burlingame

Daly CityColma

East Palo Alto

Foster City

Half Moon Bay Region

Hillsborough

Menlo Park

Millbrae

Pacifica

Portola Valley

Redwood City

San Bruno

San Carlos

San Mateo

South Coast

South San Francisco

Woodside

40

77

100

65

74

71

63

69

52

69

62

78

66

69

77

72

71

54

73

56

(1) Labor force participation rates (LFPRs) are for

families with children under age six with two

working parents or a single parent who works Sources American Community Survey 2014 5-Year

Survey Brion Economics Inc

Prepared by Brion Economics Inc 2513-SMC NA Final Tables 61216 6122016

  • 2513-SMC FINAL NA Memo-61216
  • 2513-SMC NA Final Tables 61216
Page 43: Final San Mateo County Child Care Needs … Care...Future C hild Care Demand and Supply in 2025 in Daly City/Colma San Mateo County Child Care Study - 2016 Note: All footnote references

WOODSIDE

No of

Providers

Child Care as of 2015

Under 2 Years

Old

2 to 4 Year

Olds

Total 0 to 4

Years

EXISTING DEMAND Child Care Demand

Estimated Total Children

Average LFPRAdjustment Factor

Children With Working Parents

Licensed Care Demand Factor

Resident Children Needing Licensed Care

of Total Resident Children Needing Licensed Care

Children from Non-Resident Employees Needing

Licensed Care

(1)

(2)

(3)

90 160

56

50 136

37

18 128

21 80

8 13

250

186

79

147

59

21

Total Demand for Child Care Spaces

Distribution

EXISTING SUPPLY (4)

27 141

16 84

Child Care Spaces

168

100

Family Child Care Home Supply

Child Care Center Supply

Current Child Care Supply

Distribution

EXISTING SURPLUS(SHORTAGE)

Distribution

Percentage of Demand Met

by Existing FacilitiesSpaces

Shortage of Family Child Care Home Spaces

Shortage of Center-Based Spaces

(5)

(6)

(6)

1

2

3

4 5

0 103

4 108

4 96

(23) (33)

41 59

16 77

(23) (2)

0 (31)

9

103

112

100

(55)

100

67

(24)

(31)

FINAL

Table A-21

Existing Child Care Demand and Supply in 2015 in Woodside

San Mateo County Child Care Study - 2016

Note All footnote references can be found in Table C-1 at the end of this file Sources 2010 US Census ABAG Projections 2013 2014 American Community Survey ACS Journey-to-Work data 2006-2008 and 2006-2010

Child Care Coordinating Council of San Mateo County (4Cs) Community Care Licensing Brion Economics Inc

Prepared by Brion Economics Inc 2513-SMC NA Final Tables 61216 6122016

COUNTYWIDE

Child Care as of 2025

No of

Providers

Under 2 Years

Old

2 to 4 Year

Olds

Total 0 to 4

Years

EXISTING DEMAND Child Care Demand

Estimated Total Children

Average LFPRAdjustment Factor

Children With Working Parents

Licensed Care Demand Factor

Resident Children Needing Licensed Care

of Total Resident Children Needing Licensed Care

Children from Non-Resident Employees Needing

Licensed Care

Total Demand for Child Care Spaces

Distribution

EXISTING SUPPLY

(1)

(2)

(3)

(4)

20790 31340

71

14704 28273

37

5441 26432

26 84

2037 3074

7478 29506

20 80

Child Care Spaces

52130

42978

86

31873

61

5112

36984

100

Family Child Care Home Supply

Child Care Center Supply

Current Child Care Supply

Distribution

EXISTING SURPLUS(SHORTAGE)

Distribution

Percentage of Demand Met

by Existing FacilitiesSpaces

Shortage of Family Child Care Home Spaces

Shortage of Center-Based Spaces

(5)

(6)

(6)

621

309

930

2301 2893

1514 16296

3815 19189

17 83

(3663) (10318)

26 74

51 65

(2209) (1555)

(1454) (8762)

5193

17810

23003

100

(13981)

100

62

(3765)

(10216)

FINAL

Table B-1

Future C hild Care Demand and Supply in 2025 Countywide

San Mateo County Child Care Study - 2016

Note All footnote references can be found in Table C-1 at the end of this file

Sources 2010 US Census ABAG Projections 2013 2014 American Community Survey ACS Journey-to-Work data 2006-2008 and 2006-2010

Child Care Coordinating Council of San Mateo County (4Cs) Community Care Licensing Brion Economics Inc

Prepared by Brion Economics Inc 2513-SMC NA Final Tables 61216 6122016

ATHERTON

No of

Providers

Child Care as of 2025

Under 2 Years

Old

2 to 4 Year

Olds

Total 0 to 4

Years

EXISTING DEMAND Child Care Demand

Estimated Total Children

Average LFPRAdjustment Factor

Children With Working Parents

Licensed Care Demand Factor

Resident Children Needing Licensed Care

of Total Resident Children Needing Licensed Care

Children from Non-Resident Employees Needing

Licensed Care

(1)

(2)

(3)

109 193

40

43 159

37

16 154

15 80

13 19

302

202

84

170

56

32

Total Demand for Child Care Spaces

Distribution

EXISTING SUPPLY (4)

29 173

14 86

Child Care Spaces

201

100

Family Child Care Home Supply

Child Care Center Supply

Current Child Care Supply

Distribution

EXISTING SURPLUS(SHORTAGE)

Distribution

Percentage of Demand Met

by Existing FacilitiesSpaces

Shortage of Family Child Care Home Spaces

Shortage of Center-Based Spaces

(5)

(6)

(6)

1

6

7

5 6

24 267

29 273

10 90

0 101

0 100

101 158

NA NA

NA NA

11

291

302

100

101

100

150

NA

NA

FINAL

Table B-2

Future Child Care Demand and Supply in 2025 in Atherton

San Mateo Co unty Child Care Study - 2016

Note All footnote references can be found in Table C-1 at the end of this file Sources 2010 US Census ABAG Projections 2013 2014 American Community Survey ACS Journey-to-Work data 2006-2008 and 2006-2010

Child Care Coordinating Council of San Mateo County (4Cs) Community Care Licensing Brion Economics Inc

Prepared by Brion Economics Inc 2513-SMC NA Final Tables 61216 6122016

BELMONT

Child Care as of 2025

No of

Providers

Under 2 Years

Old

2 to 4 Year

Olds

Total 0 to 4

Years

EXISTING DEMAND Child Care Demand

Estimated Total Children

Average LFPRAdjustment Factor

Children With Working Parents

Licensed Care Demand Factor

Resident Children Needing Licensed Care

of Total Resident Children Needing Licensed Care

Children from Non-Resident Employees Needing

Licensed Care

(1)

(2)

(3)

743 1095

77

574 1013

37

213 943

29 86

37 56

1838

1587

73

1156

63

93

Total Demand for Child Care Spaces

Distribution

EXISTING SUPPLY (4)

250 999

20 80

Child Care Spaces

1249

100

Family Child Care Home Supply

Child Care Center Supply

Current Child Care Supply

Distribution

EXISTING SURPLUS(SHORTAGE)

Distribution

Percentage of Demand Met

by Existing FacilitiesSpaces

Shortage of Family Child Care Home Spaces

Shortage of Center-Based Spaces

(5)

(6)

(6)

8

9

17

67 84

39 531

106 615

15 85

(143) (384)

27 73

43 62

(91) (53)

(53) (331)

152

570

722

100

(527)

100

58

(143)

(384)

FINAL

Table B-3

Future Child Care Demand and Supply in 2025 in Belmont

San Mateo County Child Care Study - 2016

Note All footnote references can be found in Table C-1 at the end of this file

Sources 2010 US Census ABAG Projections 2013 2014 American Community Survey ACS Journey-to-Work data 2006-2008 and 2006-2010

Child Care Coordinating Council of San Mateo County (4Cs) Community Care Licensing Brion Economics Inc

Prepared by Brion Economics Inc 2513-SMC NA Final Tables 61216 6122016

BRISBANE

Child Care as of 2025

No of

Providers

Under 2 Years

Old

2 to 4 Year

Olds

Total 0 to 4

Years

EXISTING DEMAND Child Care Demand

Estimated Total Children

Average LFPRAdjustment Factor

Children With Working Parents

Licensed Care Demand Factor

Resident Children Needing Licensed Care

of Total Resident Children Needing Licensed Care

Children from Non-Resident Employees Needing

Licensed Care

(1)

(2)

(3)

131 174

100

131 174

37

48 160

37 92

55 83

305

305

68

209

68

138

Total Demand for Child Care Spaces

Distribution

EXISTING SUPPLY (4)

103 243

30 70

Child Care Spaces

346

100

Family Child Care Home Supply

Child Care Center Supply

Current Child Care Supply

Distribution

EXISTING SURPLUS(SHORTAGE)

Distribution

Percentage of Demand Met

by Existing FacilitiesSpaces

Shortage of Family Child Care Home Spaces

Shortage of Center-Based Spaces

(5)

(6)

(6)

1

1

2

4 5

0 64

4 69

6 94

(99) (174)

36 64

4 29

(99) (13)

0 (160)

9

64

73

100

(273)

100

21

(112)

(160)

FINAL

Table B-4

Future Child Care Demand and Supply in 2025 in Brisbane

San Mateo County Child Care Study - 2016

Note All footnote references can be found in Table C-1 at the end of this file Sources 2010 US Census ABAG Projections 2013 2014 American Community Survey ACS Journey-to-Work data 2006-2008 and 2006-2010

Child Care Coordinating Council of San Mateo County (4Cs) Community Care Licensing Brion Economics Inc

Prepared by Brion Economics Inc 2513-SMC NA Final Tables 61216 6122016

BURLINGAME

Child Care as of 2025

No of

Providers

Under 2 Years

Old

2 to 4 Year

Olds

Total 0 to 4

Years

EXISTING DEMAND Child Care Demand

Estimated Total Children

Average LFPRAdjustment Factor

Children With Working Parents

Licensed Care Demand Factor

Resident Children Needing Licensed Care

of Total Resident Children Needing Licensed Care

Children from Non-Resident Employees Needing

Licensed Care

(1)

(2)

(3)

903 1332

65

587 1190

37

217 1124

24 84

154 232

2235

1777

75

1341

60

385

Total Demand for Child Care Spaces

Distribution

EXISTING SUPPLY (4)

371 1356

21 79

Child Care Spaces

1726

100

Family Child Care Home Supply

Child Care Center Supply

Current Child Care Supply

Distribution

EXISTING SURPLUS(SHORTAGE)

Distribution

Percentage of Demand Met

by Existing FacilitiesSpaces

Shortage of Family Child Care Home Spaces

Shortage of Center-Based Spaces

(5)

(6)

(6)

10

14

24

79 99

40 866

119 965

11 89

(252) (390)

39 61

32 71

(167) (40)

(85) (350)

179

906

1085

100

(642)

100

63

(207)

(434)

FINAL

Table B-5

Future Child Care Demand and Supply in 2025 in Burlingame

San Mateo County Child Care Study - 2016

Note All footnote references can be found in Table C-1 at the end of this file

Sources 2010 US Census ABAG Projections 2013 2014 American Community Survey ACS Journey-to-Work data 2006-2008 and 2006-2010

Child Care Coordinating Council of San Mateo County (4Cs) Community Care Licensing Brion Economics Inc

Prepared by Brion Economics Inc 2513-SMC NA Final Tables 61216 6122016

DALY CITYCOLMA

Child Care as of 2025

No of

Providers

Under 2 Years

Old

2 to 4 Year

Olds

Total 0 to 4

Years

EXISTING DEMAND Child Care Demand

Estimated Total Children

Average LFPRAdjustment Factor

Children With Working Parents

Licensed Care Demand Factor

Resident Children Needing Licensed Care

of Total Resident Children Needing Licensed Care

Children from Non-Resident Employees Needing

Licensed Care

(1)

(2)

(3)

2647 3793

74

1964 3467

37

727 3233

27 85

138 208

6440

5432

73

3960

61

346

Total Demand for Child Care Spaces

Distribution

EXISTING SUPPLY (4)

865 3441

20 80

Child Care Spaces

4306

100

Family Child Care Home Supply

Child Care Center Supply

Current Child Care Supply

Distribution

EXISTING SURPLUS(SHORTAGE)

Distribution

Percentage of Demand Met

by Existing FacilitiesSpaces

Shortage of Family Child Care Home Spaces

Shortage of Center-Based Spaces

(5)

(6)

(6)

25

28

28

288 362

84 1264

372 1626

19 81

(493) (1816)

21 79

43 47

(381) (404)

(111) (1412)

649

1348

1997

100

(2308)

100

46

(785)

(1523)

FINAL

Table B-6

Future C hild Care Demand and Supply in 2025 in Daly CityColma

San Mateo County Child Care Study - 2016

Note All footnote references can be found in Table C-1 at the end of this file

Sources 2010 US Census ABAG Projections 2013 2014 American Community Survey ACS Journey-to-Work data 2006-2008 and 2006-2010

Child Care Coordinating Council of San Mateo County (4Cs) Community Care Licensing Brion Economics Inc

Prepared by Brion Economics Inc 2513-SMC NA Final Tables 61216 6122016

EAST PALO ALTO

Child Care as of 2025

No of

Providers

Under 2 Years

Old

2 to 4 Year

Olds

Total 0 to 4

Years

EXISTING DEMAND Child Care Demand

Estimated Total Children

Average LFPRAdjustment Factor

Children With Working Parents

Licensed Care Demand Factor

Resident Children Needing Licensed Care

of Total Resident Children Needing Licensed Care

Children from Non-Resident Employees Needing

Licensed Care

(1)

(2)

(3)

1161 1849

71

822 1660

37

304 1545

26 84

20 30

3010

2482

75

1849

61

50

Total Demand for Child Care Spaces

Distribution

EXISTING SUPPLY (4)

324 1575

17 83

Child Care Spaces

1900

100

Family Child Care Home Supply

Child Care Center Supply

Current Child Care Supply

Distribution

EXISTING SURPLUS(SHORTAGE)

Distribution

Percentage of Demand Met

by Existing FacilitiesSpaces

Shortage of Family Child Care Home Spaces

Shortage of Center-Based Spaces

(5)

(6)

(6)

13

6

19

85 106

25 633

110 739

13 87

(215) (836)

20 80

34 47

(166) (120)

(49) (715)

191

658

849

100

(1050)

100

45

(286)

(764)

FINAL

Table B-7

Future Child Care Demand and Supply in 2025 in East Palo Alto

San Mateo County Child Care Study - 2016

Note All footnote references can be found in Table C-1 at the end of this file

Sources 2010 US Census ABAG Projections 2013 2014 American Community Survey ACS Journey-to-Work data 2006-2008 and 2006-2010

Child Care Coordinating Council of San Mateo County (4Cs) Community Care Licensing Brion Economics Inc

Prepared by Brion Economics Inc 2513-SMC NA Final Tables 61216 6122016

FOSTER CITY

Child Care as of 2025

No of

Providers

Under 2 Years

Old

2 to 4 Year

Olds

Total 0 to 4

Years

EXISTING DEMAND Child Care Demand

Estimated Total Children

Average LFPRAdjustment Factor

Children With Working Parents

Licensed Care Demand Factor

Resident Children Needing Licensed Care

of Total Resident Children Needing Licensed Care

Children from Non-Resident Employees Needing

Licensed Care

(1)

(2)

(3)

871 1330

63

550 1154

37

204 1079

23 81

80 120

2201

1705

75

1282

58

200

Total Demand for Child Care Spaces

Distribution

EXISTING SUPPLY (4)

283 1199

19 81

Child Care Spaces

1483

100

Family Child Care Home Supply

Child Care Center Supply

Current Child Care Supply

Distribution

EXISTING SURPLUS(SHORTAGE)

Distribution

Percentage of Demand Met

by Existing FacilitiesSpaces

Shortage of Family Child Care Home Spaces

Shortage of Center-Based Spaces

(5)

(6)

(6)

19

12

31

118 149

88 1200

206 1349

13 87

(77) 150

-106 206

73 112

(44) NA

(33) NA

267

1288

1555

100

73

100

105

(44)

(33)

FINAL

Table B-8

Future Child Care Demand and Supply in 2025 in Foster City

San Mateo County Child Care Study - 2016

Note All footnote references can be found in Table C-1 at the end of this file

Sources 2010 US Census ABAG Projections 2013 2014 American Community Survey ACS Journey-to-Work data 2006-2008 and 2006-2010

Child Care Coordinating Council of San Mateo County (4Cs) Community Care Licensing Brion Economics Inc

Prepared by Brion Economics Inc 2513-SMC NA Final Tables 61216 6122016

HALF MOON BAY REGION

Child Care as of 2025

No of

Providers

Under 2 Years

Old

2 to 4 Year

Olds

Total 0 to 4

Years

EXISTING DEMAND Child Care Demand

Estimated Total Children

Average LFPRAdjustment Factor

Children With Working Parents

Licensed Care Demand Factor

Resident Children Needing Licensed Care

of Total Resident Children Needing Licensed Care

Children from Non-Resident Employees Needing

Licensed Care

(1)

(2)

(3)

553 929

69

383 835

37

142 781

26 84

14 21

1482

1217

76

923

62

34

Total Demand for Child Care Spaces

Distribution

EXISTING SUPPLY (4)

155 802

16 84

Child Care Spaces

957

100

Family Child Care Home Supply

Child Care Center Supply

Current Child Care Supply

Distribution

EXISTING SURPLUS(SHORTAGE)

Distribution

Percentage of Demand Met

by Existing FacilitiesSpaces

Shortage of Family Child Care Home Spaces

Shortage of Center-Based Spaces

(5)

(6)

(6)

10

11

21

96 121

35 285

131 406

24 76

(24) (396)

6 94

84 51

(18) (118)

(6) (279)

216

320

536

100

(421)

100

56

(136)

(285)

FINAL

Table B-9

Future Child Care Demand and Supply in 2025 in Half Moon Bay Region

San Mateo County Child Care Study - 2016

Note All footnote references can be found in Table C-1 at the end of this file

Sources 2010 US Census ABAG Projections 2013 2014 American Community Survey ACS Journey-to-Work data 2006-2008 and 2006-2010

Child Care Coordinating Council of San Mateo County (4Cs) Community Care Licensing Brion Economics Inc

Prepared by Brion Economics Inc 2513-SMC NA Final Tables 61216 6122016

HILLSBOROUGH

Child Care as of 2025

No of

Providers

Under 2 Years

Old

2 to 4 Year

Olds

Total 0 to 4

Years

EXISTING DEMAND Child Care Demand

Estimated Total Children

Average LFPRAdjustment Factor

Children With Working Parents

Licensed Care Demand Factor

Resident Children Needing Licensed Care

of Total Resident Children Needing Licensed Care

Children from Non-Resident Employees Needing

Licensed Care

(1)

(2)

(3)

143 343

52

74 295

37

27 282

19 82

7 11

487

369

84

309

64

17

Total Demand for Child Care Spaces

Distribution

EXISTING SUPPLY (4)

34 292

10 90

Child Care Spaces

327

100

Family Child Care Home Supply

Child Care Center Supply

Current Child Care Supply

Distribution

EXISTING SURPLUS(SHORTAGE)

Distribution

Percentage of Demand Met

by Existing FacilitiesSpaces

Shortage of Family Child Care Home Spaces

Shortage of Center-Based Spaces

(5)

(6)

(6)

1

4

5

5 6

- 91

5 97

5 95

(29) (195)

13 87

14 33

(29) (12)

0 (183)

11

91

102

100

(225)

100

31

(42)

(183)

FINAL

Table B-10

Future Child Care Demand and Supply in 2025 in Hillsborough

San Mateo County Child Care Study - 2016

Note All footnote references can be found in Table C-1 at the end of this file

Sources 2010 US Census ABAG Projections 2013 2014 American Community Survey ACS Journey-to-Work data 2006-2008 and 2006-2010

Child Care Coordinating Council of San Mateo County (4Cs) Community Care Licensing Brion Economics Inc

Prepared by Brion Economics Inc 2513-SMC NA Final Tables 61216 6122016

MENLO PARK

Child Care as of 2025

No of

Providers

Under 2 Years

Old

2 to 4 Year

Olds

Total 0 to 4

Years

EXISTING DEMAND Child Care Demand

Estimated Total Children

Average LFPRAdjustment Factor

Children With Working Parents

Licensed Care Demand Factor

Resident Children Needing Licensed Care

of Total Resident Children Needing Licensed Care

Children from Non-Resident Employees Needing

Licensed Care

(1)

(2)

(3)

1327 1954

69

909 1759

37

336 1653

25 85

237 357

3281

2668

75

1989

61

594

Total Demand for Child Care Spaces

Distribution

EXISTING SUPPLY (4)

573 2011

22 78

Child Care Spaces

2584

100

Family Child Care Home Supply

Child Care Center Supply

Current Child Care Supply

Distribution

EXISTING SURPLUS(SHORTAGE)

Distribution

Percentage of Demand Met

by Existing FacilitiesSpaces

Shortage of Family Child Care Home Spaces

Shortage of Center-Based Spaces

(5)

(6)

(6)

15

25

40

76 96

73 1331

149 1427

9 91

(424) (584)

42 58

26 71

(217) (39)

(207) (544)

172

1404

1576

100

(1008)

100

61

(256)

(752)

FINAL

Table B-11

Future Child Care Demand and Supply in 2025 in Menlo Park

San Mateo County Child Care Study - 2016

Note All footnote references can be found in Table C-1 at the end of this file

Sources 2010 US Census ABAG Projections 2013 2014 American Community Survey ACS Journey-to-Work data 2006-2008 and 2006-2010

Child Care Coordinating Council of San Mateo County (4Cs) Community Care Licensing Brion Economics Inc

Prepared by Brion Economics Inc 2513-SMC NA Final Tables 61216 6122016

MILLBRAE

Child Care as of 2025

No of

Providers

Under 2 Years

Old

2 to 4 Year

Olds

Total 0 to 4

Years

EXISTING DEMAND Child Care Demand

Estimated Total Children

Average LFPRAdjustment Factor

Children With Working Parents

Licensed Care Demand Factor

Resident Children Needing Licensed Care

of Total Resident Children Needing Licensed Care

Children from Non-Resident Employees Needing

Licensed Care

(1)

(2)

(3)

473 805

62

291 710

37

108 672

23 83

31 47

1278

1001

78

780

61

77

Total Demand for Child Care Spaces

Distribution

EXISTING SUPPLY (4)

139 718

16 84

Child Care Spaces

857

100

Family Child Care Home Supply

Child Care Center Supply

Current Child Care Supply

Distribution

EXISTING SURPLUS(SHORTAGE)

Distribution

Percentage of Demand Met

by Existing FacilitiesSpaces

Shortage of Family Child Care Home Spaces

Shortage of Center-Based Spaces

(5)

(6)

(6)

7

7

14

62 78

- 376

62 454

12 88

(76) (264)

22 78

45 63

(76) (46)

0 (219)

141

376

517

100

(340)

100

60

(122)

(219)

FINAL

Table B-12

Future C hild Care Demand and Supply in 2025 in Millbrae

San Mateo County Child Care Study - 2016

Note All footnote references can be found in Table C-1 at the end of this file

Sources 2010 US Census ABAG Projections 2013 2014 American Community Survey ACS Journey-to-Work data 2006-2008 and 2006-2010

Child Care Coordinating Council of San Mateo County (4Cs) Community Care Licensing Brion Economics Inc

Prepared by Brion Economics Inc 2513-SMC NA Final Tables 61216 6122016

FINAL

Table B-13

Future Child Care Demand and Supply in 2025 in Pacifica

San Mateo County Child Care Study - 2016

PACIFICA

Child Care as of 2025

No of

Providers

Under 2 Years

Old

2 to 4 Year

Olds

Total 0 to 4

Years

EXISTING DEMAND Child Care Demand

Estimated Total Children

Average L FPRAdjustment Factor

Children With Working Parents

Licensed Care Demand Factor

Resident Children Needing Licensed Care

of Total Resident Children Needing Licensed Care

Children from Non-Resident Employees Needing

Licensed Care

(1)

(2)

(3)

816 1300

78

633 1209

37

234 1130

29 87

19 29

2116

1842

74

1364

64

48

Total Demand for Child Care Spaces

Distribution

EXISTING SUPPLY (4)

254 1159

18 82

Child Care Spaces

1413

100

Family Child Care Home Supply

Child Care Center Supply

Current Child Care Supply

Distribution

EXISTING SURPLUS(SHORTAGE)

Distribution

Percentage of Demand Met

by Existing FacilitiesSpaces

Shortage of Family Child Care Home Spaces

Shortage of Center-Based Spaces

(5)

(6)

(6)

9

18

27

77 97

39 701

116 798

13 87

(138) (361)

28 72

46 69

(91) (44)

(46) (317)

174

740

914

100

(499)

100

65

(135)

(364)

Note All footnote references can be found in Table C-1 at the end of this file

Sources 2010 US Census ABAG Projections 2013 2014 American Community Survey ACS Journey-to-Work data 2006-2008 and 2006-2010

Child Care Coordinating Council of San Mateo County (4Cs) Community Care Licensing Brion Economics Inc

Prepared by Brion Economics Inc 2513-SMC NA Final Tables 61216 6122016

PORTOLA VALLEY

Child Care as of 2025

No of

Providers

Under 2 Years

Old

2 to 4 Year

Olds

Total 0 to 4

Years

EXISTING DEMAND Child Care Demand

Estimated Total Children

Average LFPRAdjustment Factor

Children With Working Parents

Licensed Care Demand Factor

Resident Children Needing Licensed Care

of Total Resident Children Needing Licensed Care

Children from Non-Resident Employees Needing

Licensed Care

(1)

(2)

(3)

77 192

66

51 173

37

19 164

24 85

9 13

269

224

82

182

68

22

Total Demand for Child Care Spaces

Distribution

EXISTING SUPPLY (4)

28 177

13 87

Child Care Spaces

204

100

Family Child Care Home Supply

Child Care Center Supply

Current Child Care Supply

Distribution

EXISTING SURPLUS(SHORTAGE)

Distribution

Percentage of Demand Met

by Existing FacilitiesSpaces

Shortage of Family Child Care Home Spaces

Shortage of Center-Based Spaces

(5)

(6)

(6)

0

4

4

- -

- 153

- 153

0 100

(28) (24)

54 46

0 87

0 0

(28) (24)

0

153

153

100

(51)

100

75

0

(51)

FINAL

Table B-14

Future Child Care Demand and Supply in 2025 in Portola Valley

San Mateo County Child Care Study - 2016

Note All footnote references can be found in Table C-1 at the end of this file

Sources 2010 US Census ABAG Projections 2013 2014 American Community Survey ACS Journey-to-Work data 2006-2008 and 2006-2010

Child Care Coordinating Council of San Mateo County (4Cs) Community Care Licensing Brion Economics Inc

Prepared by Brion Economics Inc 2513-SMC NA Final Tables 61216 6122016

REDWOOD CITY

No of

Providers

Child Care as of 2025

Under 2 Years

Old

2 to 4 Year

Olds

Total 0 to 4

Years

EXISTING DEMAND Child Care Demand

Estimated Total Children

Average LFPRAdjustment Factor

Children With Working Parents

Licensed Care Demand Factor

Resident Children Needing Licensed Care

of Total Resident Children Needing Licensed Care

Children from Non-Resident Employees Needing

Licensed Care

Total Demand for Child Care Spaces

Distribution

EXISTING SUPPLY

(1)

(2)

(3)

(4)

3725 5378

69

2555 4813

37

946 4505

25 84

466 703

1411 5208

21 79

Child Care Spaces

9103

7368

74

5450

60

1169

6619

100

Family Child Care Home Supply

Child Care Center Supply

Current Child Care Supply

Distribution

EXISTING SURPLUS(SHORTAGE)

Distribution

Percentage of Demand Met

by Existing FacilitiesSpaces

Shortage of Family Child Care Home Spaces

Shortage of Center-Based Spaces

(5)

(6)

(6)

42

41

83

396 497

356 2036

752 2533

23 77

(660) (2674)

20 80

53 49

(347) (525)

(313) (2149)

893

2392

3285

100

(3334)

100

50

(872)

(2462)

FINAL

Table B-15

Future Child Care Demand and Supply in 2025 in Redwood City

San Mateo County Child Care Study - 2016

Note All footnote references can be found in Table C-1 at the end of this file

Sources 2010 US Census ABAG Projections 2013 2014 American Community Survey ACS Journey-to-Work data 2006-2008 and 2006-2010

Child Care Coordinating Council of San Mateo County (4Cs) Community Care Licensing Brion Economics Inc

Prepared by Brion Economics Inc 2513-SMC NA Final Tables 61216 6122016

SAN BRUNO

Child Care as of 2025

No of

Providers

Under 2 Years

Old

2 to 4 Year

Olds

Total 0 to 4

Years

EXISTING DEMAND Child Care Demand

Estimated Total Children

Average LFPRAdjustment Factor

Children With Working Parents

Licensed Care Demand Factor

Resident Children Needing Licensed Care

of Total Resident Children Needing Licensed Care

Children from Non-Resident Employees Needing

Licensed Care

(1)

(2)

(3)

1189 1728

77

910 1589

37

337 1475

28 85

68 103

2917

2498

73

1812

62

171

Total Demand for Child Care Spaces

Distribution

EXISTING SUPPLY (4)

405 1578

20 80

Child Care Spaces

1983

100

Family Child Care Home Supply

Child Care Center Supply

Current Child Care Supply

Distribution

EXISTING SURPLUS(SHORTAGE)

Distribution

Percentage of Demand Met

by Existing FacilitiesSpaces

Shortage of Family Child Care Home Spaces

Shortage of Center-Based Spaces

(5)

(6)

(6)

13

15

28

122 153

26 1183

148 1336

10 90

(257) (242)

52 48

37 85

(212) (28)

(45) (214)

275

1209

1484

100

(499)

100

75

(239)

(259)

FINAL

Table B-16

Future C hild Care Demand and Supply in 2025 in San Bruno

San Mateo County Child Care Study - 2016

Note All footnote references can be found in Table C-1 at the end of this file

Sources 2010 US Census ABAG Projections 2013 2014 American Community Survey ACS Journey-to-Work data 2006-2008 and 2006-2010

Child Care Coordinating Council of San Mateo County (4Cs) Community Care Licensing Brion Economics Inc

Prepared by Brion Economics Inc 2513-SMC NA Final Tables 61216 6122016

SAN CARLOS

Child Care as of 2025

No of

Providers

Under 2 Years

Old

2 to 4 Year

Olds

Total 0 to 4

Years

EXISTING DEMAND Child Care Demand

Estimated Total Children

Average LFPRAdjustment Factor

Children With Working Parents

Licensed Care Demand Factor

Resident Children Needing Licensed Care

of Total Resident Children Needing Licensed Care

Children from Non-Resident Employees Needing

Licensed Care

(1)

(2)

(3)

778 1384

72

557 1255

37

206 1174

26 85

82 123

2162

1812

76

1380

64

205

Total Demand for Child Care Spaces

Distribution

EXISTING SUPPLY (4)

288 1297

18 82

Child Care Spaces

1585

100

Family Child Care Home Supply

Child Care Center Supply

Current Child Care Supply

Distribution

EXISTING SURPLUS(SHORTAGE)

Distribution

Percentage of Demand Met

by Existing FacilitiesSpaces

Shortage of Family Child Care Home Spaces

Shortage of Center-Based Spaces

(5)

(6)

(6)

28

14

42

73 92

76 615

149 707

17 83

(139) (590)

19 81

52 54

(68) (76)

(71) (514)

164

691

855

100

(729)

100

54

(145)

(585)

FINAL

Table B-17

Future Child Care Demand and Supply in 2025 in San Carlos

San Mateo County Child Care Study - 2016

Note All footnote references can be found in Table C-1 at the end of this file

Sources 2010 US Census ABAG Projections 2013 2014 American Community Survey ACS Journey-to-Work data 2006-2008 and 2006-2010

Child Care Coordinating Council of San Mateo County (4Cs) Community Care Licensing Brion Economics Inc

Prepared by Brion Economics Inc 2513-SMC NA Final Tables 61216 6122016

SAN MATEO

Child Care as of 2025

No of

Providers

Under 2 Years

Old

2 to 4 Year

Olds

Total 0 to 4

Years

EXISTING DEMAND Child Care Demand

Estimated Total Children

Average LFPRAdjustment Factor

Children With Working Parents

Licensed Care Demand Factor

Resident Children Needing Licensed Care

of Total Resident Children Needing Licensed Care

Children from Non-Resident Employees Needing

Licensed Care

(1)

(2)

(3)

3194 4572

71

2264 4116

37

838 3839

26 84

261 394

7766

6381

73

4677

60

656

Total Demand for Child Care Spaces

Distribution

EXISTING SUPPLY (4)

1099 4233

21 79

Child Care Spaces

5332

100

Family Child Care Home Supply

Child Care Center Supply

Current Child Care Supply

Distribution

EXISTING SURPLUS(SHORTAGE)

Distribution

Percentage of Demand Met

by Existing FacilitiesSpaces

Shortage of Family Child Care Home Spaces

Shortage of Center-Based Spaces

(5)

(6)

(6)

69

59

128

492 619

209 2577

701 3196

18 82

(398) (1037)

28 72

64 75

(279) (201)

(119) (837)

1111

2786

3897

100

(1435)

100

73

(480)

(955)

FINAL

Table B-18

Future Child Care Demand and Supply in 2025 in San Mateo

San Mateo County Child Care Study - 2016

Note All footnote references can be found in Table C-1 at the end of this file

Sources 2010 US Census ABAG Projections 2013 2014 American Community Survey ACS Journey-to-Work data 2006-2008 and 2006-2010

Child Care Coordinating Council of San Mateo County (4Cs) Community Care Licensing Brion Economics Inc

Prepared by Brion Economics Inc 2513-SMC NA Final Tables 61216 6122016

FINAL

Table B-19

Future Child Care Demand and Supply in 2025 in South Coast

San Mateo County Child Care Study - 2016

SOUTH COAST

Child Care as of 2025

No of

Providers

Under 2 Years

Old

2 to 4 Year

Olds

Total 0 to 4

Years

EXISTING DEMAND Child Care Demand

Estimated Total Children (1) 23 32 55

Average LFPRAdjustment Factor (2) 54

Children With Working Parents 12 27 40

Licensed Care Demand Factor (3) 37 77

Resident Children Needing Licensed Care 5 26 30

of Total Resident Children Needing Licensed Care 20 81 56

Children from Non-Resident Employees Needing

Licensed Care 0 0 0

Total Demand for Child Care Spaces 5 26 30

Distribution 15 85 100

EXISTING SUPPLY (4) Child Care Spaces

Family Child Care Home Supply - 0 0 0

Child Care Center Supply 2 0 54 54

Current Child Care Supply 2 - 54 54

Distribution 0 100 100

EXISTING SURPLUS(SHORTAGE) (5) 28 24

Distribution -19 119 100

Percentage of Demand Met

by Existing FacilitiesSpaces (5) 0 209 177

Shortage of Family Child Care Home Spaces (6) 0 NA 0

Shortage of Center-Based Spaces (6) (5) NA (5)

Note All footnote references can be found in Table C-1 at the end of this file

Sources 2010 US Census ABAG Projections 2013 2014 American Community Survey ACS Journey-to-Work data 2006-2008 and 2006-2010

Child Care Coordinating Council of San Mateo County (4Cs) Community Care Licensing Brion Economics Inc

Prepared by Brion Economics Inc 2513-SMC NA Final Tables 61216 6122016

SOUTH SAN FRANCISCO

Child Care as of 2025

No of

Providers

Under 2 Years

Old

2 to 4 Year

Olds

Total 0 to 4

Years

EXISTING DEMAND Child Care Demand

Estimated Total Children

Average LFPRAdjustment Factor

Children With Working Parents

Licensed Care Demand Factor

Resident Children Needing Licensed Care

of Total Resident Children Needing Licensed Care

Children from Non-Resident Employees Needing

Licensed Care

(1)

(2)

(3)

1835 2790

73

1342 2535

37

496 2362

27 85

339 512

4625

3877

74

2859

62

851

Total Demand for Child Care Spaces

Distribution

EXISTING SUPPLY (4)

835 2874

23 77

Child Care Spaces

3709

100

Family Child Care Home Supply

Child Care Center Supply

Current Child Care Supply

Distribution

EXISTING SURPLUS(SHORTAGE)

Distribution

Percentage of Demand Met

by Existing FacilitiesSpaces

Shortage of Family Child Care Home Spaces

Shortage of Center-Based Spaces

(5)

(6)

(6)

30

27

57

252 317

400 1966

652 2283

22 78

(183) (591)

24 76

78 79

(71) (82)

(113) (509)

569

2366

2935

100

(775)

100

79

(153)

(622)

FINAL

Table B-20

Future Child Care Demand and Supply in 2025 in South San Francisco

San Mateo County Child Care Study - 2016

Note All footnote references can be found in Table C-1 at the end of this file

Sources 2010 US Census ABAG Projections 2013 2014 American Community Survey ACS Journey-to-Work data 2006-2008 and 2006-2010

Child Care Coordinating Council of San Mateo County (4Cs) Community Care Licensing Brion Economics Inc

Prepared by Brion Economics Inc 2513-SMC NA Final Tables 61216 6122016

WOODSIDE

No of

Providers

Child Care as of 2025

Under 2 Years

Old

2 to 4 Year

Olds

Total 0 to 4

Years

EXISTING DEMAND Child Care Demand

Estimated Total Children

Average LFPRAdjustment Factor

Children With Working Parents

Licensed Care Demand Factor

Resident Children Needing Licensed Care

of Total Resident Children Needing Licensed Care

Children from Non-Resident Employees Needing

Licensed Care

(1)

(2)

(3)

93 165

56

51 140

37

19 132

21 80

9 13

258

192

79

152

59

22

Total Demand for Child Care Spaces

Distribution

EXISTING SUPPLY (4)

28 146

16 84

Child Care Spaces

174

100

Family Child Care Home Supply

Child Care Center Supply

Current Child Care Supply

Distribution

EXISTING SURPLUS(SHORTAGE)

Distribution

Percentage of Demand Met

by Existing FacilitiesSpaces

Shortage of Family Child Care Home Spaces

Shortage of Center-Based Spaces

(5)

(6)

(6)

1

2

3

4 5

- 103

4 108

4 96

(24) (38)

39 61

15 74

(24) (2)

0 (36)

9

103

112

100

(61)

100

65

(26)

(36)

FINAL

Table B-21

Future Child Care Demand and Supply in 2025 in Woodside

San Mateo County Child Care Study - 2016

Note All footnote references can be found in Table C-1 at the end of this file

Sources 2010 US Census ABAG Projections 2013 2014 American Community Survey ACS Journey-to-Work data 2006-2008 and 2006-2010

Child Care Coordinating Council of San Mateo County (4Cs) Community Care Licensing Brion Economics Inc

Prepared by Brion Economics Inc 2513-SMC NA Final Tables 61216 6122016

FINAL

Table C-1

Endnotes for Tables

San Mateo County Child Care Study - 2016

(1) Population by age is based on the percentage breakdown from the 2010 US Census and applied

to population estimates for 2015 using ABAGs Projections 2013 population data The ABAG data

for each area includes its Sphere of Influence and is not based on strict jurisdictional boundaries

(2) Labor force participation rates are from the 5-Year American Community Survey 2014 and include

children under six years old with two working parents or a single working parent For the 2- to 4-year

olds the labor force participation rate is applied to 2 year olds For 3- and 4-year olds it is assumed

that 100 need licensed care to support preschool for every child so the number of

3- and 4-year olds is not discounted by labor force participation rates

(3) Not all children with working parents are assumed to need licensed care percentage assumptions are

used to calculate the number of children requiring licensed care under each age category The

remaining children are assumed to be cared for in alternate arrangements such as by family members

nannies friends and other unlicensed care For children ages 3- and 4-years old it is assumed that

they all need care in the form of preschool

(4) Data on child care supply provided by the Child Care Coordinating Council of San Mateo County (4Cs)

and Community Care Licensing Division of the California Department of Social Services (CCLD) Data is

for June 2015

(5) Demand that calculates as less than 100 means that there is greater demand than supply percent of

demand that is over 100 means supply exceeds demand

(6) Unmet demand is broken down into shortage by type of care based on the proportion of FCCHs and

child care centers spaces available in each area If an area does not have any FCCHs or centers the

unmet demand is placed in the type of care that is available in the area (eg if there are only centers

all demand goes to centers)

Source Brion Economics Inc

Prepared by Brion Economics Inc 2513-SMC NA Final Tables 61216 6122016

DRAFT REPORT

Table C-2

Labor Force Participation Rates by CityArea

San Mateo County Child Care Study - 2016

CityArea

Labor Force

Participation Rate (1)

Atherton

Belmont

Brisbane

Burlingame

Daly CityColma

East Palo Alto

Foster City

Half Moon Bay Region

Hillsborough

Menlo Park

Millbrae

Pacifica

Portola Valley

Redwood City

San Bruno

San Carlos

San Mateo

South Coast

South San Francisco

Woodside

40

77

100

65

74

71

63

69

52

69

62

78

66

69

77

72

71

54

73

56

(1) Labor force participation rates (LFPRs) are for

families with children under age six with two

working parents or a single parent who works Sources American Community Survey 2014 5-Year

Survey Brion Economics Inc

Prepared by Brion Economics Inc 2513-SMC NA Final Tables 61216 6122016

  • 2513-SMC FINAL NA Memo-61216
  • 2513-SMC NA Final Tables 61216
Page 44: Final San Mateo County Child Care Needs … Care...Future C hild Care Demand and Supply in 2025 in Daly City/Colma San Mateo County Child Care Study - 2016 Note: All footnote references

COUNTYWIDE

Child Care as of 2025

No of

Providers

Under 2 Years

Old

2 to 4 Year

Olds

Total 0 to 4

Years

EXISTING DEMAND Child Care Demand

Estimated Total Children

Average LFPRAdjustment Factor

Children With Working Parents

Licensed Care Demand Factor

Resident Children Needing Licensed Care

of Total Resident Children Needing Licensed Care

Children from Non-Resident Employees Needing

Licensed Care

Total Demand for Child Care Spaces

Distribution

EXISTING SUPPLY

(1)

(2)

(3)

(4)

20790 31340

71

14704 28273

37

5441 26432

26 84

2037 3074

7478 29506

20 80

Child Care Spaces

52130

42978

86

31873

61

5112

36984

100

Family Child Care Home Supply

Child Care Center Supply

Current Child Care Supply

Distribution

EXISTING SURPLUS(SHORTAGE)

Distribution

Percentage of Demand Met

by Existing FacilitiesSpaces

Shortage of Family Child Care Home Spaces

Shortage of Center-Based Spaces

(5)

(6)

(6)

621

309

930

2301 2893

1514 16296

3815 19189

17 83

(3663) (10318)

26 74

51 65

(2209) (1555)

(1454) (8762)

5193

17810

23003

100

(13981)

100

62

(3765)

(10216)

FINAL

Table B-1

Future C hild Care Demand and Supply in 2025 Countywide

San Mateo County Child Care Study - 2016

Note All footnote references can be found in Table C-1 at the end of this file

Sources 2010 US Census ABAG Projections 2013 2014 American Community Survey ACS Journey-to-Work data 2006-2008 and 2006-2010

Child Care Coordinating Council of San Mateo County (4Cs) Community Care Licensing Brion Economics Inc

Prepared by Brion Economics Inc 2513-SMC NA Final Tables 61216 6122016

ATHERTON

No of

Providers

Child Care as of 2025

Under 2 Years

Old

2 to 4 Year

Olds

Total 0 to 4

Years

EXISTING DEMAND Child Care Demand

Estimated Total Children

Average LFPRAdjustment Factor

Children With Working Parents

Licensed Care Demand Factor

Resident Children Needing Licensed Care

of Total Resident Children Needing Licensed Care

Children from Non-Resident Employees Needing

Licensed Care

(1)

(2)

(3)

109 193

40

43 159

37

16 154

15 80

13 19

302

202

84

170

56

32

Total Demand for Child Care Spaces

Distribution

EXISTING SUPPLY (4)

29 173

14 86

Child Care Spaces

201

100

Family Child Care Home Supply

Child Care Center Supply

Current Child Care Supply

Distribution

EXISTING SURPLUS(SHORTAGE)

Distribution

Percentage of Demand Met

by Existing FacilitiesSpaces

Shortage of Family Child Care Home Spaces

Shortage of Center-Based Spaces

(5)

(6)

(6)

1

6

7

5 6

24 267

29 273

10 90

0 101

0 100

101 158

NA NA

NA NA

11

291

302

100

101

100

150

NA

NA

FINAL

Table B-2

Future Child Care Demand and Supply in 2025 in Atherton

San Mateo Co unty Child Care Study - 2016

Note All footnote references can be found in Table C-1 at the end of this file Sources 2010 US Census ABAG Projections 2013 2014 American Community Survey ACS Journey-to-Work data 2006-2008 and 2006-2010

Child Care Coordinating Council of San Mateo County (4Cs) Community Care Licensing Brion Economics Inc

Prepared by Brion Economics Inc 2513-SMC NA Final Tables 61216 6122016

BELMONT

Child Care as of 2025

No of

Providers

Under 2 Years

Old

2 to 4 Year

Olds

Total 0 to 4

Years

EXISTING DEMAND Child Care Demand

Estimated Total Children

Average LFPRAdjustment Factor

Children With Working Parents

Licensed Care Demand Factor

Resident Children Needing Licensed Care

of Total Resident Children Needing Licensed Care

Children from Non-Resident Employees Needing

Licensed Care

(1)

(2)

(3)

743 1095

77

574 1013

37

213 943

29 86

37 56

1838

1587

73

1156

63

93

Total Demand for Child Care Spaces

Distribution

EXISTING SUPPLY (4)

250 999

20 80

Child Care Spaces

1249

100

Family Child Care Home Supply

Child Care Center Supply

Current Child Care Supply

Distribution

EXISTING SURPLUS(SHORTAGE)

Distribution

Percentage of Demand Met

by Existing FacilitiesSpaces

Shortage of Family Child Care Home Spaces

Shortage of Center-Based Spaces

(5)

(6)

(6)

8

9

17

67 84

39 531

106 615

15 85

(143) (384)

27 73

43 62

(91) (53)

(53) (331)

152

570

722

100

(527)

100

58

(143)

(384)

FINAL

Table B-3

Future Child Care Demand and Supply in 2025 in Belmont

San Mateo County Child Care Study - 2016

Note All footnote references can be found in Table C-1 at the end of this file

Sources 2010 US Census ABAG Projections 2013 2014 American Community Survey ACS Journey-to-Work data 2006-2008 and 2006-2010

Child Care Coordinating Council of San Mateo County (4Cs) Community Care Licensing Brion Economics Inc

Prepared by Brion Economics Inc 2513-SMC NA Final Tables 61216 6122016

BRISBANE

Child Care as of 2025

No of

Providers

Under 2 Years

Old

2 to 4 Year

Olds

Total 0 to 4

Years

EXISTING DEMAND Child Care Demand

Estimated Total Children

Average LFPRAdjustment Factor

Children With Working Parents

Licensed Care Demand Factor

Resident Children Needing Licensed Care

of Total Resident Children Needing Licensed Care

Children from Non-Resident Employees Needing

Licensed Care

(1)

(2)

(3)

131 174

100

131 174

37

48 160

37 92

55 83

305

305

68

209

68

138

Total Demand for Child Care Spaces

Distribution

EXISTING SUPPLY (4)

103 243

30 70

Child Care Spaces

346

100

Family Child Care Home Supply

Child Care Center Supply

Current Child Care Supply

Distribution

EXISTING SURPLUS(SHORTAGE)

Distribution

Percentage of Demand Met

by Existing FacilitiesSpaces

Shortage of Family Child Care Home Spaces

Shortage of Center-Based Spaces

(5)

(6)

(6)

1

1

2

4 5

0 64

4 69

6 94

(99) (174)

36 64

4 29

(99) (13)

0 (160)

9

64

73

100

(273)

100

21

(112)

(160)

FINAL

Table B-4

Future Child Care Demand and Supply in 2025 in Brisbane

San Mateo County Child Care Study - 2016

Note All footnote references can be found in Table C-1 at the end of this file Sources 2010 US Census ABAG Projections 2013 2014 American Community Survey ACS Journey-to-Work data 2006-2008 and 2006-2010

Child Care Coordinating Council of San Mateo County (4Cs) Community Care Licensing Brion Economics Inc

Prepared by Brion Economics Inc 2513-SMC NA Final Tables 61216 6122016

BURLINGAME

Child Care as of 2025

No of

Providers

Under 2 Years

Old

2 to 4 Year

Olds

Total 0 to 4

Years

EXISTING DEMAND Child Care Demand

Estimated Total Children

Average LFPRAdjustment Factor

Children With Working Parents

Licensed Care Demand Factor

Resident Children Needing Licensed Care

of Total Resident Children Needing Licensed Care

Children from Non-Resident Employees Needing

Licensed Care

(1)

(2)

(3)

903 1332

65

587 1190

37

217 1124

24 84

154 232

2235

1777

75

1341

60

385

Total Demand for Child Care Spaces

Distribution

EXISTING SUPPLY (4)

371 1356

21 79

Child Care Spaces

1726

100

Family Child Care Home Supply

Child Care Center Supply

Current Child Care Supply

Distribution

EXISTING SURPLUS(SHORTAGE)

Distribution

Percentage of Demand Met

by Existing FacilitiesSpaces

Shortage of Family Child Care Home Spaces

Shortage of Center-Based Spaces

(5)

(6)

(6)

10

14

24

79 99

40 866

119 965

11 89

(252) (390)

39 61

32 71

(167) (40)

(85) (350)

179

906

1085

100

(642)

100

63

(207)

(434)

FINAL

Table B-5

Future Child Care Demand and Supply in 2025 in Burlingame

San Mateo County Child Care Study - 2016

Note All footnote references can be found in Table C-1 at the end of this file

Sources 2010 US Census ABAG Projections 2013 2014 American Community Survey ACS Journey-to-Work data 2006-2008 and 2006-2010

Child Care Coordinating Council of San Mateo County (4Cs) Community Care Licensing Brion Economics Inc

Prepared by Brion Economics Inc 2513-SMC NA Final Tables 61216 6122016

DALY CITYCOLMA

Child Care as of 2025

No of

Providers

Under 2 Years

Old

2 to 4 Year

Olds

Total 0 to 4

Years

EXISTING DEMAND Child Care Demand

Estimated Total Children

Average LFPRAdjustment Factor

Children With Working Parents

Licensed Care Demand Factor

Resident Children Needing Licensed Care

of Total Resident Children Needing Licensed Care

Children from Non-Resident Employees Needing

Licensed Care

(1)

(2)

(3)

2647 3793

74

1964 3467

37

727 3233

27 85

138 208

6440

5432

73

3960

61

346

Total Demand for Child Care Spaces

Distribution

EXISTING SUPPLY (4)

865 3441

20 80

Child Care Spaces

4306

100

Family Child Care Home Supply

Child Care Center Supply

Current Child Care Supply

Distribution

EXISTING SURPLUS(SHORTAGE)

Distribution

Percentage of Demand Met

by Existing FacilitiesSpaces

Shortage of Family Child Care Home Spaces

Shortage of Center-Based Spaces

(5)

(6)

(6)

25

28

28

288 362

84 1264

372 1626

19 81

(493) (1816)

21 79

43 47

(381) (404)

(111) (1412)

649

1348

1997

100

(2308)

100

46

(785)

(1523)

FINAL

Table B-6

Future C hild Care Demand and Supply in 2025 in Daly CityColma

San Mateo County Child Care Study - 2016

Note All footnote references can be found in Table C-1 at the end of this file

Sources 2010 US Census ABAG Projections 2013 2014 American Community Survey ACS Journey-to-Work data 2006-2008 and 2006-2010

Child Care Coordinating Council of San Mateo County (4Cs) Community Care Licensing Brion Economics Inc

Prepared by Brion Economics Inc 2513-SMC NA Final Tables 61216 6122016

EAST PALO ALTO

Child Care as of 2025

No of

Providers

Under 2 Years

Old

2 to 4 Year

Olds

Total 0 to 4

Years

EXISTING DEMAND Child Care Demand

Estimated Total Children

Average LFPRAdjustment Factor

Children With Working Parents

Licensed Care Demand Factor

Resident Children Needing Licensed Care

of Total Resident Children Needing Licensed Care

Children from Non-Resident Employees Needing

Licensed Care

(1)

(2)

(3)

1161 1849

71

822 1660

37

304 1545

26 84

20 30

3010

2482

75

1849

61

50

Total Demand for Child Care Spaces

Distribution

EXISTING SUPPLY (4)

324 1575

17 83

Child Care Spaces

1900

100

Family Child Care Home Supply

Child Care Center Supply

Current Child Care Supply

Distribution

EXISTING SURPLUS(SHORTAGE)

Distribution

Percentage of Demand Met

by Existing FacilitiesSpaces

Shortage of Family Child Care Home Spaces

Shortage of Center-Based Spaces

(5)

(6)

(6)

13

6

19

85 106

25 633

110 739

13 87

(215) (836)

20 80

34 47

(166) (120)

(49) (715)

191

658

849

100

(1050)

100

45

(286)

(764)

FINAL

Table B-7

Future Child Care Demand and Supply in 2025 in East Palo Alto

San Mateo County Child Care Study - 2016

Note All footnote references can be found in Table C-1 at the end of this file

Sources 2010 US Census ABAG Projections 2013 2014 American Community Survey ACS Journey-to-Work data 2006-2008 and 2006-2010

Child Care Coordinating Council of San Mateo County (4Cs) Community Care Licensing Brion Economics Inc

Prepared by Brion Economics Inc 2513-SMC NA Final Tables 61216 6122016

FOSTER CITY

Child Care as of 2025

No of

Providers

Under 2 Years

Old

2 to 4 Year

Olds

Total 0 to 4

Years

EXISTING DEMAND Child Care Demand

Estimated Total Children

Average LFPRAdjustment Factor

Children With Working Parents

Licensed Care Demand Factor

Resident Children Needing Licensed Care

of Total Resident Children Needing Licensed Care

Children from Non-Resident Employees Needing

Licensed Care

(1)

(2)

(3)

871 1330

63

550 1154

37

204 1079

23 81

80 120

2201

1705

75

1282

58

200

Total Demand for Child Care Spaces

Distribution

EXISTING SUPPLY (4)

283 1199

19 81

Child Care Spaces

1483

100

Family Child Care Home Supply

Child Care Center Supply

Current Child Care Supply

Distribution

EXISTING SURPLUS(SHORTAGE)

Distribution

Percentage of Demand Met

by Existing FacilitiesSpaces

Shortage of Family Child Care Home Spaces

Shortage of Center-Based Spaces

(5)

(6)

(6)

19

12

31

118 149

88 1200

206 1349

13 87

(77) 150

-106 206

73 112

(44) NA

(33) NA

267

1288

1555

100

73

100

105

(44)

(33)

FINAL

Table B-8

Future Child Care Demand and Supply in 2025 in Foster City

San Mateo County Child Care Study - 2016

Note All footnote references can be found in Table C-1 at the end of this file

Sources 2010 US Census ABAG Projections 2013 2014 American Community Survey ACS Journey-to-Work data 2006-2008 and 2006-2010

Child Care Coordinating Council of San Mateo County (4Cs) Community Care Licensing Brion Economics Inc

Prepared by Brion Economics Inc 2513-SMC NA Final Tables 61216 6122016

HALF MOON BAY REGION

Child Care as of 2025

No of

Providers

Under 2 Years

Old

2 to 4 Year

Olds

Total 0 to 4

Years

EXISTING DEMAND Child Care Demand

Estimated Total Children

Average LFPRAdjustment Factor

Children With Working Parents

Licensed Care Demand Factor

Resident Children Needing Licensed Care

of Total Resident Children Needing Licensed Care

Children from Non-Resident Employees Needing

Licensed Care

(1)

(2)

(3)

553 929

69

383 835

37

142 781

26 84

14 21

1482

1217

76

923

62

34

Total Demand for Child Care Spaces

Distribution

EXISTING SUPPLY (4)

155 802

16 84

Child Care Spaces

957

100

Family Child Care Home Supply

Child Care Center Supply

Current Child Care Supply

Distribution

EXISTING SURPLUS(SHORTAGE)

Distribution

Percentage of Demand Met

by Existing FacilitiesSpaces

Shortage of Family Child Care Home Spaces

Shortage of Center-Based Spaces

(5)

(6)

(6)

10

11

21

96 121

35 285

131 406

24 76

(24) (396)

6 94

84 51

(18) (118)

(6) (279)

216

320

536

100

(421)

100

56

(136)

(285)

FINAL

Table B-9

Future Child Care Demand and Supply in 2025 in Half Moon Bay Region

San Mateo County Child Care Study - 2016

Note All footnote references can be found in Table C-1 at the end of this file

Sources 2010 US Census ABAG Projections 2013 2014 American Community Survey ACS Journey-to-Work data 2006-2008 and 2006-2010

Child Care Coordinating Council of San Mateo County (4Cs) Community Care Licensing Brion Economics Inc

Prepared by Brion Economics Inc 2513-SMC NA Final Tables 61216 6122016

HILLSBOROUGH

Child Care as of 2025

No of

Providers

Under 2 Years

Old

2 to 4 Year

Olds

Total 0 to 4

Years

EXISTING DEMAND Child Care Demand

Estimated Total Children

Average LFPRAdjustment Factor

Children With Working Parents

Licensed Care Demand Factor

Resident Children Needing Licensed Care

of Total Resident Children Needing Licensed Care

Children from Non-Resident Employees Needing

Licensed Care

(1)

(2)

(3)

143 343

52

74 295

37

27 282

19 82

7 11

487

369

84

309

64

17

Total Demand for Child Care Spaces

Distribution

EXISTING SUPPLY (4)

34 292

10 90

Child Care Spaces

327

100

Family Child Care Home Supply

Child Care Center Supply

Current Child Care Supply

Distribution

EXISTING SURPLUS(SHORTAGE)

Distribution

Percentage of Demand Met

by Existing FacilitiesSpaces

Shortage of Family Child Care Home Spaces

Shortage of Center-Based Spaces

(5)

(6)

(6)

1

4

5

5 6

- 91

5 97

5 95

(29) (195)

13 87

14 33

(29) (12)

0 (183)

11

91

102

100

(225)

100

31

(42)

(183)

FINAL

Table B-10

Future Child Care Demand and Supply in 2025 in Hillsborough

San Mateo County Child Care Study - 2016

Note All footnote references can be found in Table C-1 at the end of this file

Sources 2010 US Census ABAG Projections 2013 2014 American Community Survey ACS Journey-to-Work data 2006-2008 and 2006-2010

Child Care Coordinating Council of San Mateo County (4Cs) Community Care Licensing Brion Economics Inc

Prepared by Brion Economics Inc 2513-SMC NA Final Tables 61216 6122016

MENLO PARK

Child Care as of 2025

No of

Providers

Under 2 Years

Old

2 to 4 Year

Olds

Total 0 to 4

Years

EXISTING DEMAND Child Care Demand

Estimated Total Children

Average LFPRAdjustment Factor

Children With Working Parents

Licensed Care Demand Factor

Resident Children Needing Licensed Care

of Total Resident Children Needing Licensed Care

Children from Non-Resident Employees Needing

Licensed Care

(1)

(2)

(3)

1327 1954

69

909 1759

37

336 1653

25 85

237 357

3281

2668

75

1989

61

594

Total Demand for Child Care Spaces

Distribution

EXISTING SUPPLY (4)

573 2011

22 78

Child Care Spaces

2584

100

Family Child Care Home Supply

Child Care Center Supply

Current Child Care Supply

Distribution

EXISTING SURPLUS(SHORTAGE)

Distribution

Percentage of Demand Met

by Existing FacilitiesSpaces

Shortage of Family Child Care Home Spaces

Shortage of Center-Based Spaces

(5)

(6)

(6)

15

25

40

76 96

73 1331

149 1427

9 91

(424) (584)

42 58

26 71

(217) (39)

(207) (544)

172

1404

1576

100

(1008)

100

61

(256)

(752)

FINAL

Table B-11

Future Child Care Demand and Supply in 2025 in Menlo Park

San Mateo County Child Care Study - 2016

Note All footnote references can be found in Table C-1 at the end of this file

Sources 2010 US Census ABAG Projections 2013 2014 American Community Survey ACS Journey-to-Work data 2006-2008 and 2006-2010

Child Care Coordinating Council of San Mateo County (4Cs) Community Care Licensing Brion Economics Inc

Prepared by Brion Economics Inc 2513-SMC NA Final Tables 61216 6122016

MILLBRAE

Child Care as of 2025

No of

Providers

Under 2 Years

Old

2 to 4 Year

Olds

Total 0 to 4

Years

EXISTING DEMAND Child Care Demand

Estimated Total Children

Average LFPRAdjustment Factor

Children With Working Parents

Licensed Care Demand Factor

Resident Children Needing Licensed Care

of Total Resident Children Needing Licensed Care

Children from Non-Resident Employees Needing

Licensed Care

(1)

(2)

(3)

473 805

62

291 710

37

108 672

23 83

31 47

1278

1001

78

780

61

77

Total Demand for Child Care Spaces

Distribution

EXISTING SUPPLY (4)

139 718

16 84

Child Care Spaces

857

100

Family Child Care Home Supply

Child Care Center Supply

Current Child Care Supply

Distribution

EXISTING SURPLUS(SHORTAGE)

Distribution

Percentage of Demand Met

by Existing FacilitiesSpaces

Shortage of Family Child Care Home Spaces

Shortage of Center-Based Spaces

(5)

(6)

(6)

7

7

14

62 78

- 376

62 454

12 88

(76) (264)

22 78

45 63

(76) (46)

0 (219)

141

376

517

100

(340)

100

60

(122)

(219)

FINAL

Table B-12

Future C hild Care Demand and Supply in 2025 in Millbrae

San Mateo County Child Care Study - 2016

Note All footnote references can be found in Table C-1 at the end of this file

Sources 2010 US Census ABAG Projections 2013 2014 American Community Survey ACS Journey-to-Work data 2006-2008 and 2006-2010

Child Care Coordinating Council of San Mateo County (4Cs) Community Care Licensing Brion Economics Inc

Prepared by Brion Economics Inc 2513-SMC NA Final Tables 61216 6122016

FINAL

Table B-13

Future Child Care Demand and Supply in 2025 in Pacifica

San Mateo County Child Care Study - 2016

PACIFICA

Child Care as of 2025

No of

Providers

Under 2 Years

Old

2 to 4 Year

Olds

Total 0 to 4

Years

EXISTING DEMAND Child Care Demand

Estimated Total Children

Average L FPRAdjustment Factor

Children With Working Parents

Licensed Care Demand Factor

Resident Children Needing Licensed Care

of Total Resident Children Needing Licensed Care

Children from Non-Resident Employees Needing

Licensed Care

(1)

(2)

(3)

816 1300

78

633 1209

37

234 1130

29 87

19 29

2116

1842

74

1364

64

48

Total Demand for Child Care Spaces

Distribution

EXISTING SUPPLY (4)

254 1159

18 82

Child Care Spaces

1413

100

Family Child Care Home Supply

Child Care Center Supply

Current Child Care Supply

Distribution

EXISTING SURPLUS(SHORTAGE)

Distribution

Percentage of Demand Met

by Existing FacilitiesSpaces

Shortage of Family Child Care Home Spaces

Shortage of Center-Based Spaces

(5)

(6)

(6)

9

18

27

77 97

39 701

116 798

13 87

(138) (361)

28 72

46 69

(91) (44)

(46) (317)

174

740

914

100

(499)

100

65

(135)

(364)

Note All footnote references can be found in Table C-1 at the end of this file

Sources 2010 US Census ABAG Projections 2013 2014 American Community Survey ACS Journey-to-Work data 2006-2008 and 2006-2010

Child Care Coordinating Council of San Mateo County (4Cs) Community Care Licensing Brion Economics Inc

Prepared by Brion Economics Inc 2513-SMC NA Final Tables 61216 6122016

PORTOLA VALLEY

Child Care as of 2025

No of

Providers

Under 2 Years

Old

2 to 4 Year

Olds

Total 0 to 4

Years

EXISTING DEMAND Child Care Demand

Estimated Total Children

Average LFPRAdjustment Factor

Children With Working Parents

Licensed Care Demand Factor

Resident Children Needing Licensed Care

of Total Resident Children Needing Licensed Care

Children from Non-Resident Employees Needing

Licensed Care

(1)

(2)

(3)

77 192

66

51 173

37

19 164

24 85

9 13

269

224

82

182

68

22

Total Demand for Child Care Spaces

Distribution

EXISTING SUPPLY (4)

28 177

13 87

Child Care Spaces

204

100

Family Child Care Home Supply

Child Care Center Supply

Current Child Care Supply

Distribution

EXISTING SURPLUS(SHORTAGE)

Distribution

Percentage of Demand Met

by Existing FacilitiesSpaces

Shortage of Family Child Care Home Spaces

Shortage of Center-Based Spaces

(5)

(6)

(6)

0

4

4

- -

- 153

- 153

0 100

(28) (24)

54 46

0 87

0 0

(28) (24)

0

153

153

100

(51)

100

75

0

(51)

FINAL

Table B-14

Future Child Care Demand and Supply in 2025 in Portola Valley

San Mateo County Child Care Study - 2016

Note All footnote references can be found in Table C-1 at the end of this file

Sources 2010 US Census ABAG Projections 2013 2014 American Community Survey ACS Journey-to-Work data 2006-2008 and 2006-2010

Child Care Coordinating Council of San Mateo County (4Cs) Community Care Licensing Brion Economics Inc

Prepared by Brion Economics Inc 2513-SMC NA Final Tables 61216 6122016

REDWOOD CITY

No of

Providers

Child Care as of 2025

Under 2 Years

Old

2 to 4 Year

Olds

Total 0 to 4

Years

EXISTING DEMAND Child Care Demand

Estimated Total Children

Average LFPRAdjustment Factor

Children With Working Parents

Licensed Care Demand Factor

Resident Children Needing Licensed Care

of Total Resident Children Needing Licensed Care

Children from Non-Resident Employees Needing

Licensed Care

Total Demand for Child Care Spaces

Distribution

EXISTING SUPPLY

(1)

(2)

(3)

(4)

3725 5378

69

2555 4813

37

946 4505

25 84

466 703

1411 5208

21 79

Child Care Spaces

9103

7368

74

5450

60

1169

6619

100

Family Child Care Home Supply

Child Care Center Supply

Current Child Care Supply

Distribution

EXISTING SURPLUS(SHORTAGE)

Distribution

Percentage of Demand Met

by Existing FacilitiesSpaces

Shortage of Family Child Care Home Spaces

Shortage of Center-Based Spaces

(5)

(6)

(6)

42

41

83

396 497

356 2036

752 2533

23 77

(660) (2674)

20 80

53 49

(347) (525)

(313) (2149)

893

2392

3285

100

(3334)

100

50

(872)

(2462)

FINAL

Table B-15

Future Child Care Demand and Supply in 2025 in Redwood City

San Mateo County Child Care Study - 2016

Note All footnote references can be found in Table C-1 at the end of this file

Sources 2010 US Census ABAG Projections 2013 2014 American Community Survey ACS Journey-to-Work data 2006-2008 and 2006-2010

Child Care Coordinating Council of San Mateo County (4Cs) Community Care Licensing Brion Economics Inc

Prepared by Brion Economics Inc 2513-SMC NA Final Tables 61216 6122016

SAN BRUNO

Child Care as of 2025

No of

Providers

Under 2 Years

Old

2 to 4 Year

Olds

Total 0 to 4

Years

EXISTING DEMAND Child Care Demand

Estimated Total Children

Average LFPRAdjustment Factor

Children With Working Parents

Licensed Care Demand Factor

Resident Children Needing Licensed Care

of Total Resident Children Needing Licensed Care

Children from Non-Resident Employees Needing

Licensed Care

(1)

(2)

(3)

1189 1728

77

910 1589

37

337 1475

28 85

68 103

2917

2498

73

1812

62

171

Total Demand for Child Care Spaces

Distribution

EXISTING SUPPLY (4)

405 1578

20 80

Child Care Spaces

1983

100

Family Child Care Home Supply

Child Care Center Supply

Current Child Care Supply

Distribution

EXISTING SURPLUS(SHORTAGE)

Distribution

Percentage of Demand Met

by Existing FacilitiesSpaces

Shortage of Family Child Care Home Spaces

Shortage of Center-Based Spaces

(5)

(6)

(6)

13

15

28

122 153

26 1183

148 1336

10 90

(257) (242)

52 48

37 85

(212) (28)

(45) (214)

275

1209

1484

100

(499)

100

75

(239)

(259)

FINAL

Table B-16

Future C hild Care Demand and Supply in 2025 in San Bruno

San Mateo County Child Care Study - 2016

Note All footnote references can be found in Table C-1 at the end of this file

Sources 2010 US Census ABAG Projections 2013 2014 American Community Survey ACS Journey-to-Work data 2006-2008 and 2006-2010

Child Care Coordinating Council of San Mateo County (4Cs) Community Care Licensing Brion Economics Inc

Prepared by Brion Economics Inc 2513-SMC NA Final Tables 61216 6122016

SAN CARLOS

Child Care as of 2025

No of

Providers

Under 2 Years

Old

2 to 4 Year

Olds

Total 0 to 4

Years

EXISTING DEMAND Child Care Demand

Estimated Total Children

Average LFPRAdjustment Factor

Children With Working Parents

Licensed Care Demand Factor

Resident Children Needing Licensed Care

of Total Resident Children Needing Licensed Care

Children from Non-Resident Employees Needing

Licensed Care

(1)

(2)

(3)

778 1384

72

557 1255

37

206 1174

26 85

82 123

2162

1812

76

1380

64

205

Total Demand for Child Care Spaces

Distribution

EXISTING SUPPLY (4)

288 1297

18 82

Child Care Spaces

1585

100

Family Child Care Home Supply

Child Care Center Supply

Current Child Care Supply

Distribution

EXISTING SURPLUS(SHORTAGE)

Distribution

Percentage of Demand Met

by Existing FacilitiesSpaces

Shortage of Family Child Care Home Spaces

Shortage of Center-Based Spaces

(5)

(6)

(6)

28

14

42

73 92

76 615

149 707

17 83

(139) (590)

19 81

52 54

(68) (76)

(71) (514)

164

691

855

100

(729)

100

54

(145)

(585)

FINAL

Table B-17

Future Child Care Demand and Supply in 2025 in San Carlos

San Mateo County Child Care Study - 2016

Note All footnote references can be found in Table C-1 at the end of this file

Sources 2010 US Census ABAG Projections 2013 2014 American Community Survey ACS Journey-to-Work data 2006-2008 and 2006-2010

Child Care Coordinating Council of San Mateo County (4Cs) Community Care Licensing Brion Economics Inc

Prepared by Brion Economics Inc 2513-SMC NA Final Tables 61216 6122016

SAN MATEO

Child Care as of 2025

No of

Providers

Under 2 Years

Old

2 to 4 Year

Olds

Total 0 to 4

Years

EXISTING DEMAND Child Care Demand

Estimated Total Children

Average LFPRAdjustment Factor

Children With Working Parents

Licensed Care Demand Factor

Resident Children Needing Licensed Care

of Total Resident Children Needing Licensed Care

Children from Non-Resident Employees Needing

Licensed Care

(1)

(2)

(3)

3194 4572

71

2264 4116

37

838 3839

26 84

261 394

7766

6381

73

4677

60

656

Total Demand for Child Care Spaces

Distribution

EXISTING SUPPLY (4)

1099 4233

21 79

Child Care Spaces

5332

100

Family Child Care Home Supply

Child Care Center Supply

Current Child Care Supply

Distribution

EXISTING SURPLUS(SHORTAGE)

Distribution

Percentage of Demand Met

by Existing FacilitiesSpaces

Shortage of Family Child Care Home Spaces

Shortage of Center-Based Spaces

(5)

(6)

(6)

69

59

128

492 619

209 2577

701 3196

18 82

(398) (1037)

28 72

64 75

(279) (201)

(119) (837)

1111

2786

3897

100

(1435)

100

73

(480)

(955)

FINAL

Table B-18

Future Child Care Demand and Supply in 2025 in San Mateo

San Mateo County Child Care Study - 2016

Note All footnote references can be found in Table C-1 at the end of this file

Sources 2010 US Census ABAG Projections 2013 2014 American Community Survey ACS Journey-to-Work data 2006-2008 and 2006-2010

Child Care Coordinating Council of San Mateo County (4Cs) Community Care Licensing Brion Economics Inc

Prepared by Brion Economics Inc 2513-SMC NA Final Tables 61216 6122016

FINAL

Table B-19

Future Child Care Demand and Supply in 2025 in South Coast

San Mateo County Child Care Study - 2016

SOUTH COAST

Child Care as of 2025

No of

Providers

Under 2 Years

Old

2 to 4 Year

Olds

Total 0 to 4

Years

EXISTING DEMAND Child Care Demand

Estimated Total Children (1) 23 32 55

Average LFPRAdjustment Factor (2) 54

Children With Working Parents 12 27 40

Licensed Care Demand Factor (3) 37 77

Resident Children Needing Licensed Care 5 26 30

of Total Resident Children Needing Licensed Care 20 81 56

Children from Non-Resident Employees Needing

Licensed Care 0 0 0

Total Demand for Child Care Spaces 5 26 30

Distribution 15 85 100

EXISTING SUPPLY (4) Child Care Spaces

Family Child Care Home Supply - 0 0 0

Child Care Center Supply 2 0 54 54

Current Child Care Supply 2 - 54 54

Distribution 0 100 100

EXISTING SURPLUS(SHORTAGE) (5) 28 24

Distribution -19 119 100

Percentage of Demand Met

by Existing FacilitiesSpaces (5) 0 209 177

Shortage of Family Child Care Home Spaces (6) 0 NA 0

Shortage of Center-Based Spaces (6) (5) NA (5)

Note All footnote references can be found in Table C-1 at the end of this file

Sources 2010 US Census ABAG Projections 2013 2014 American Community Survey ACS Journey-to-Work data 2006-2008 and 2006-2010

Child Care Coordinating Council of San Mateo County (4Cs) Community Care Licensing Brion Economics Inc

Prepared by Brion Economics Inc 2513-SMC NA Final Tables 61216 6122016

SOUTH SAN FRANCISCO

Child Care as of 2025

No of

Providers

Under 2 Years

Old

2 to 4 Year

Olds

Total 0 to 4

Years

EXISTING DEMAND Child Care Demand

Estimated Total Children

Average LFPRAdjustment Factor

Children With Working Parents

Licensed Care Demand Factor

Resident Children Needing Licensed Care

of Total Resident Children Needing Licensed Care

Children from Non-Resident Employees Needing

Licensed Care

(1)

(2)

(3)

1835 2790

73

1342 2535

37

496 2362

27 85

339 512

4625

3877

74

2859

62

851

Total Demand for Child Care Spaces

Distribution

EXISTING SUPPLY (4)

835 2874

23 77

Child Care Spaces

3709

100

Family Child Care Home Supply

Child Care Center Supply

Current Child Care Supply

Distribution

EXISTING SURPLUS(SHORTAGE)

Distribution

Percentage of Demand Met

by Existing FacilitiesSpaces

Shortage of Family Child Care Home Spaces

Shortage of Center-Based Spaces

(5)

(6)

(6)

30

27

57

252 317

400 1966

652 2283

22 78

(183) (591)

24 76

78 79

(71) (82)

(113) (509)

569

2366

2935

100

(775)

100

79

(153)

(622)

FINAL

Table B-20

Future Child Care Demand and Supply in 2025 in South San Francisco

San Mateo County Child Care Study - 2016

Note All footnote references can be found in Table C-1 at the end of this file

Sources 2010 US Census ABAG Projections 2013 2014 American Community Survey ACS Journey-to-Work data 2006-2008 and 2006-2010

Child Care Coordinating Council of San Mateo County (4Cs) Community Care Licensing Brion Economics Inc

Prepared by Brion Economics Inc 2513-SMC NA Final Tables 61216 6122016

WOODSIDE

No of

Providers

Child Care as of 2025

Under 2 Years

Old

2 to 4 Year

Olds

Total 0 to 4

Years

EXISTING DEMAND Child Care Demand

Estimated Total Children

Average LFPRAdjustment Factor

Children With Working Parents

Licensed Care Demand Factor

Resident Children Needing Licensed Care

of Total Resident Children Needing Licensed Care

Children from Non-Resident Employees Needing

Licensed Care

(1)

(2)

(3)

93 165

56

51 140

37

19 132

21 80

9 13

258

192

79

152

59

22

Total Demand for Child Care Spaces

Distribution

EXISTING SUPPLY (4)

28 146

16 84

Child Care Spaces

174

100

Family Child Care Home Supply

Child Care Center Supply

Current Child Care Supply

Distribution

EXISTING SURPLUS(SHORTAGE)

Distribution

Percentage of Demand Met

by Existing FacilitiesSpaces

Shortage of Family Child Care Home Spaces

Shortage of Center-Based Spaces

(5)

(6)

(6)

1

2

3

4 5

- 103

4 108

4 96

(24) (38)

39 61

15 74

(24) (2)

0 (36)

9

103

112

100

(61)

100

65

(26)

(36)

FINAL

Table B-21

Future Child Care Demand and Supply in 2025 in Woodside

San Mateo County Child Care Study - 2016

Note All footnote references can be found in Table C-1 at the end of this file

Sources 2010 US Census ABAG Projections 2013 2014 American Community Survey ACS Journey-to-Work data 2006-2008 and 2006-2010

Child Care Coordinating Council of San Mateo County (4Cs) Community Care Licensing Brion Economics Inc

Prepared by Brion Economics Inc 2513-SMC NA Final Tables 61216 6122016

FINAL

Table C-1

Endnotes for Tables

San Mateo County Child Care Study - 2016

(1) Population by age is based on the percentage breakdown from the 2010 US Census and applied

to population estimates for 2015 using ABAGs Projections 2013 population data The ABAG data

for each area includes its Sphere of Influence and is not based on strict jurisdictional boundaries

(2) Labor force participation rates are from the 5-Year American Community Survey 2014 and include

children under six years old with two working parents or a single working parent For the 2- to 4-year

olds the labor force participation rate is applied to 2 year olds For 3- and 4-year olds it is assumed

that 100 need licensed care to support preschool for every child so the number of

3- and 4-year olds is not discounted by labor force participation rates

(3) Not all children with working parents are assumed to need licensed care percentage assumptions are

used to calculate the number of children requiring licensed care under each age category The

remaining children are assumed to be cared for in alternate arrangements such as by family members

nannies friends and other unlicensed care For children ages 3- and 4-years old it is assumed that

they all need care in the form of preschool

(4) Data on child care supply provided by the Child Care Coordinating Council of San Mateo County (4Cs)

and Community Care Licensing Division of the California Department of Social Services (CCLD) Data is

for June 2015

(5) Demand that calculates as less than 100 means that there is greater demand than supply percent of

demand that is over 100 means supply exceeds demand

(6) Unmet demand is broken down into shortage by type of care based on the proportion of FCCHs and

child care centers spaces available in each area If an area does not have any FCCHs or centers the

unmet demand is placed in the type of care that is available in the area (eg if there are only centers

all demand goes to centers)

Source Brion Economics Inc

Prepared by Brion Economics Inc 2513-SMC NA Final Tables 61216 6122016

DRAFT REPORT

Table C-2

Labor Force Participation Rates by CityArea

San Mateo County Child Care Study - 2016

CityArea

Labor Force

Participation Rate (1)

Atherton

Belmont

Brisbane

Burlingame

Daly CityColma

East Palo Alto

Foster City

Half Moon Bay Region

Hillsborough

Menlo Park

Millbrae

Pacifica

Portola Valley

Redwood City

San Bruno

San Carlos

San Mateo

South Coast

South San Francisco

Woodside

40

77

100

65

74

71

63

69

52

69

62

78

66

69

77

72

71

54

73

56

(1) Labor force participation rates (LFPRs) are for

families with children under age six with two

working parents or a single parent who works Sources American Community Survey 2014 5-Year

Survey Brion Economics Inc

Prepared by Brion Economics Inc 2513-SMC NA Final Tables 61216 6122016

  • 2513-SMC FINAL NA Memo-61216
  • 2513-SMC NA Final Tables 61216
Page 45: Final San Mateo County Child Care Needs … Care...Future C hild Care Demand and Supply in 2025 in Daly City/Colma San Mateo County Child Care Study - 2016 Note: All footnote references

ATHERTON

No of

Providers

Child Care as of 2025

Under 2 Years

Old

2 to 4 Year

Olds

Total 0 to 4

Years

EXISTING DEMAND Child Care Demand

Estimated Total Children

Average LFPRAdjustment Factor

Children With Working Parents

Licensed Care Demand Factor

Resident Children Needing Licensed Care

of Total Resident Children Needing Licensed Care

Children from Non-Resident Employees Needing

Licensed Care

(1)

(2)

(3)

109 193

40

43 159

37

16 154

15 80

13 19

302

202

84

170

56

32

Total Demand for Child Care Spaces

Distribution

EXISTING SUPPLY (4)

29 173

14 86

Child Care Spaces

201

100

Family Child Care Home Supply

Child Care Center Supply

Current Child Care Supply

Distribution

EXISTING SURPLUS(SHORTAGE)

Distribution

Percentage of Demand Met

by Existing FacilitiesSpaces

Shortage of Family Child Care Home Spaces

Shortage of Center-Based Spaces

(5)

(6)

(6)

1

6

7

5 6

24 267

29 273

10 90

0 101

0 100

101 158

NA NA

NA NA

11

291

302

100

101

100

150

NA

NA

FINAL

Table B-2

Future Child Care Demand and Supply in 2025 in Atherton

San Mateo Co unty Child Care Study - 2016

Note All footnote references can be found in Table C-1 at the end of this file Sources 2010 US Census ABAG Projections 2013 2014 American Community Survey ACS Journey-to-Work data 2006-2008 and 2006-2010

Child Care Coordinating Council of San Mateo County (4Cs) Community Care Licensing Brion Economics Inc

Prepared by Brion Economics Inc 2513-SMC NA Final Tables 61216 6122016

BELMONT

Child Care as of 2025

No of

Providers

Under 2 Years

Old

2 to 4 Year

Olds

Total 0 to 4

Years

EXISTING DEMAND Child Care Demand

Estimated Total Children

Average LFPRAdjustment Factor

Children With Working Parents

Licensed Care Demand Factor

Resident Children Needing Licensed Care

of Total Resident Children Needing Licensed Care

Children from Non-Resident Employees Needing

Licensed Care

(1)

(2)

(3)

743 1095

77

574 1013

37

213 943

29 86

37 56

1838

1587

73

1156

63

93

Total Demand for Child Care Spaces

Distribution

EXISTING SUPPLY (4)

250 999

20 80

Child Care Spaces

1249

100

Family Child Care Home Supply

Child Care Center Supply

Current Child Care Supply

Distribution

EXISTING SURPLUS(SHORTAGE)

Distribution

Percentage of Demand Met

by Existing FacilitiesSpaces

Shortage of Family Child Care Home Spaces

Shortage of Center-Based Spaces

(5)

(6)

(6)

8

9

17

67 84

39 531

106 615

15 85

(143) (384)

27 73

43 62

(91) (53)

(53) (331)

152

570

722

100

(527)

100

58

(143)

(384)

FINAL

Table B-3

Future Child Care Demand and Supply in 2025 in Belmont

San Mateo County Child Care Study - 2016

Note All footnote references can be found in Table C-1 at the end of this file

Sources 2010 US Census ABAG Projections 2013 2014 American Community Survey ACS Journey-to-Work data 2006-2008 and 2006-2010

Child Care Coordinating Council of San Mateo County (4Cs) Community Care Licensing Brion Economics Inc

Prepared by Brion Economics Inc 2513-SMC NA Final Tables 61216 6122016

BRISBANE

Child Care as of 2025

No of

Providers

Under 2 Years

Old

2 to 4 Year

Olds

Total 0 to 4

Years

EXISTING DEMAND Child Care Demand

Estimated Total Children

Average LFPRAdjustment Factor

Children With Working Parents

Licensed Care Demand Factor

Resident Children Needing Licensed Care

of Total Resident Children Needing Licensed Care

Children from Non-Resident Employees Needing

Licensed Care

(1)

(2)

(3)

131 174

100

131 174

37

48 160

37 92

55 83

305

305

68

209

68

138

Total Demand for Child Care Spaces

Distribution

EXISTING SUPPLY (4)

103 243

30 70

Child Care Spaces

346

100

Family Child Care Home Supply

Child Care Center Supply

Current Child Care Supply

Distribution

EXISTING SURPLUS(SHORTAGE)

Distribution

Percentage of Demand Met

by Existing FacilitiesSpaces

Shortage of Family Child Care Home Spaces

Shortage of Center-Based Spaces

(5)

(6)

(6)

1

1

2

4 5

0 64

4 69

6 94

(99) (174)

36 64

4 29

(99) (13)

0 (160)

9

64

73

100

(273)

100

21

(112)

(160)

FINAL

Table B-4

Future Child Care Demand and Supply in 2025 in Brisbane

San Mateo County Child Care Study - 2016

Note All footnote references can be found in Table C-1 at the end of this file Sources 2010 US Census ABAG Projections 2013 2014 American Community Survey ACS Journey-to-Work data 2006-2008 and 2006-2010

Child Care Coordinating Council of San Mateo County (4Cs) Community Care Licensing Brion Economics Inc

Prepared by Brion Economics Inc 2513-SMC NA Final Tables 61216 6122016

BURLINGAME

Child Care as of 2025

No of

Providers

Under 2 Years

Old

2 to 4 Year

Olds

Total 0 to 4

Years

EXISTING DEMAND Child Care Demand

Estimated Total Children

Average LFPRAdjustment Factor

Children With Working Parents

Licensed Care Demand Factor

Resident Children Needing Licensed Care

of Total Resident Children Needing Licensed Care

Children from Non-Resident Employees Needing

Licensed Care

(1)

(2)

(3)

903 1332

65

587 1190

37

217 1124

24 84

154 232

2235

1777

75

1341

60

385

Total Demand for Child Care Spaces

Distribution

EXISTING SUPPLY (4)

371 1356

21 79

Child Care Spaces

1726

100

Family Child Care Home Supply

Child Care Center Supply

Current Child Care Supply

Distribution

EXISTING SURPLUS(SHORTAGE)

Distribution

Percentage of Demand Met

by Existing FacilitiesSpaces

Shortage of Family Child Care Home Spaces

Shortage of Center-Based Spaces

(5)

(6)

(6)

10

14

24

79 99

40 866

119 965

11 89

(252) (390)

39 61

32 71

(167) (40)

(85) (350)

179

906

1085

100

(642)

100

63

(207)

(434)

FINAL

Table B-5

Future Child Care Demand and Supply in 2025 in Burlingame

San Mateo County Child Care Study - 2016

Note All footnote references can be found in Table C-1 at the end of this file

Sources 2010 US Census ABAG Projections 2013 2014 American Community Survey ACS Journey-to-Work data 2006-2008 and 2006-2010

Child Care Coordinating Council of San Mateo County (4Cs) Community Care Licensing Brion Economics Inc

Prepared by Brion Economics Inc 2513-SMC NA Final Tables 61216 6122016

DALY CITYCOLMA

Child Care as of 2025

No of

Providers

Under 2 Years

Old

2 to 4 Year

Olds

Total 0 to 4

Years

EXISTING DEMAND Child Care Demand

Estimated Total Children

Average LFPRAdjustment Factor

Children With Working Parents

Licensed Care Demand Factor

Resident Children Needing Licensed Care

of Total Resident Children Needing Licensed Care

Children from Non-Resident Employees Needing

Licensed Care

(1)

(2)

(3)

2647 3793

74

1964 3467

37

727 3233

27 85

138 208

6440

5432

73

3960

61

346

Total Demand for Child Care Spaces

Distribution

EXISTING SUPPLY (4)

865 3441

20 80

Child Care Spaces

4306

100

Family Child Care Home Supply

Child Care Center Supply

Current Child Care Supply

Distribution

EXISTING SURPLUS(SHORTAGE)

Distribution

Percentage of Demand Met

by Existing FacilitiesSpaces

Shortage of Family Child Care Home Spaces

Shortage of Center-Based Spaces

(5)

(6)

(6)

25

28

28

288 362

84 1264

372 1626

19 81

(493) (1816)

21 79

43 47

(381) (404)

(111) (1412)

649

1348

1997

100

(2308)

100

46

(785)

(1523)

FINAL

Table B-6

Future C hild Care Demand and Supply in 2025 in Daly CityColma

San Mateo County Child Care Study - 2016

Note All footnote references can be found in Table C-1 at the end of this file

Sources 2010 US Census ABAG Projections 2013 2014 American Community Survey ACS Journey-to-Work data 2006-2008 and 2006-2010

Child Care Coordinating Council of San Mateo County (4Cs) Community Care Licensing Brion Economics Inc

Prepared by Brion Economics Inc 2513-SMC NA Final Tables 61216 6122016

EAST PALO ALTO

Child Care as of 2025

No of

Providers

Under 2 Years

Old

2 to 4 Year

Olds

Total 0 to 4

Years

EXISTING DEMAND Child Care Demand

Estimated Total Children

Average LFPRAdjustment Factor

Children With Working Parents

Licensed Care Demand Factor

Resident Children Needing Licensed Care

of Total Resident Children Needing Licensed Care

Children from Non-Resident Employees Needing

Licensed Care

(1)

(2)

(3)

1161 1849

71

822 1660

37

304 1545

26 84

20 30

3010

2482

75

1849

61

50

Total Demand for Child Care Spaces

Distribution

EXISTING SUPPLY (4)

324 1575

17 83

Child Care Spaces

1900

100

Family Child Care Home Supply

Child Care Center Supply

Current Child Care Supply

Distribution

EXISTING SURPLUS(SHORTAGE)

Distribution

Percentage of Demand Met

by Existing FacilitiesSpaces

Shortage of Family Child Care Home Spaces

Shortage of Center-Based Spaces

(5)

(6)

(6)

13

6

19

85 106

25 633

110 739

13 87

(215) (836)

20 80

34 47

(166) (120)

(49) (715)

191

658

849

100

(1050)

100

45

(286)

(764)

FINAL

Table B-7

Future Child Care Demand and Supply in 2025 in East Palo Alto

San Mateo County Child Care Study - 2016

Note All footnote references can be found in Table C-1 at the end of this file

Sources 2010 US Census ABAG Projections 2013 2014 American Community Survey ACS Journey-to-Work data 2006-2008 and 2006-2010

Child Care Coordinating Council of San Mateo County (4Cs) Community Care Licensing Brion Economics Inc

Prepared by Brion Economics Inc 2513-SMC NA Final Tables 61216 6122016

FOSTER CITY

Child Care as of 2025

No of

Providers

Under 2 Years

Old

2 to 4 Year

Olds

Total 0 to 4

Years

EXISTING DEMAND Child Care Demand

Estimated Total Children

Average LFPRAdjustment Factor

Children With Working Parents

Licensed Care Demand Factor

Resident Children Needing Licensed Care

of Total Resident Children Needing Licensed Care

Children from Non-Resident Employees Needing

Licensed Care

(1)

(2)

(3)

871 1330

63

550 1154

37

204 1079

23 81

80 120

2201

1705

75

1282

58

200

Total Demand for Child Care Spaces

Distribution

EXISTING SUPPLY (4)

283 1199

19 81

Child Care Spaces

1483

100

Family Child Care Home Supply

Child Care Center Supply

Current Child Care Supply

Distribution

EXISTING SURPLUS(SHORTAGE)

Distribution

Percentage of Demand Met

by Existing FacilitiesSpaces

Shortage of Family Child Care Home Spaces

Shortage of Center-Based Spaces

(5)

(6)

(6)

19

12

31

118 149

88 1200

206 1349

13 87

(77) 150

-106 206

73 112

(44) NA

(33) NA

267

1288

1555

100

73

100

105

(44)

(33)

FINAL

Table B-8

Future Child Care Demand and Supply in 2025 in Foster City

San Mateo County Child Care Study - 2016

Note All footnote references can be found in Table C-1 at the end of this file

Sources 2010 US Census ABAG Projections 2013 2014 American Community Survey ACS Journey-to-Work data 2006-2008 and 2006-2010

Child Care Coordinating Council of San Mateo County (4Cs) Community Care Licensing Brion Economics Inc

Prepared by Brion Economics Inc 2513-SMC NA Final Tables 61216 6122016

HALF MOON BAY REGION

Child Care as of 2025

No of

Providers

Under 2 Years

Old

2 to 4 Year

Olds

Total 0 to 4

Years

EXISTING DEMAND Child Care Demand

Estimated Total Children

Average LFPRAdjustment Factor

Children With Working Parents

Licensed Care Demand Factor

Resident Children Needing Licensed Care

of Total Resident Children Needing Licensed Care

Children from Non-Resident Employees Needing

Licensed Care

(1)

(2)

(3)

553 929

69

383 835

37

142 781

26 84

14 21

1482

1217

76

923

62

34

Total Demand for Child Care Spaces

Distribution

EXISTING SUPPLY (4)

155 802

16 84

Child Care Spaces

957

100

Family Child Care Home Supply

Child Care Center Supply

Current Child Care Supply

Distribution

EXISTING SURPLUS(SHORTAGE)

Distribution

Percentage of Demand Met

by Existing FacilitiesSpaces

Shortage of Family Child Care Home Spaces

Shortage of Center-Based Spaces

(5)

(6)

(6)

10

11

21

96 121

35 285

131 406

24 76

(24) (396)

6 94

84 51

(18) (118)

(6) (279)

216

320

536

100

(421)

100

56

(136)

(285)

FINAL

Table B-9

Future Child Care Demand and Supply in 2025 in Half Moon Bay Region

San Mateo County Child Care Study - 2016

Note All footnote references can be found in Table C-1 at the end of this file

Sources 2010 US Census ABAG Projections 2013 2014 American Community Survey ACS Journey-to-Work data 2006-2008 and 2006-2010

Child Care Coordinating Council of San Mateo County (4Cs) Community Care Licensing Brion Economics Inc

Prepared by Brion Economics Inc 2513-SMC NA Final Tables 61216 6122016

HILLSBOROUGH

Child Care as of 2025

No of

Providers

Under 2 Years

Old

2 to 4 Year

Olds

Total 0 to 4

Years

EXISTING DEMAND Child Care Demand

Estimated Total Children

Average LFPRAdjustment Factor

Children With Working Parents

Licensed Care Demand Factor

Resident Children Needing Licensed Care

of Total Resident Children Needing Licensed Care

Children from Non-Resident Employees Needing

Licensed Care

(1)

(2)

(3)

143 343

52

74 295

37

27 282

19 82

7 11

487

369

84

309

64

17

Total Demand for Child Care Spaces

Distribution

EXISTING SUPPLY (4)

34 292

10 90

Child Care Spaces

327

100

Family Child Care Home Supply

Child Care Center Supply

Current Child Care Supply

Distribution

EXISTING SURPLUS(SHORTAGE)

Distribution

Percentage of Demand Met

by Existing FacilitiesSpaces

Shortage of Family Child Care Home Spaces

Shortage of Center-Based Spaces

(5)

(6)

(6)

1

4

5

5 6

- 91

5 97

5 95

(29) (195)

13 87

14 33

(29) (12)

0 (183)

11

91

102

100

(225)

100

31

(42)

(183)

FINAL

Table B-10

Future Child Care Demand and Supply in 2025 in Hillsborough

San Mateo County Child Care Study - 2016

Note All footnote references can be found in Table C-1 at the end of this file

Sources 2010 US Census ABAG Projections 2013 2014 American Community Survey ACS Journey-to-Work data 2006-2008 and 2006-2010

Child Care Coordinating Council of San Mateo County (4Cs) Community Care Licensing Brion Economics Inc

Prepared by Brion Economics Inc 2513-SMC NA Final Tables 61216 6122016

MENLO PARK

Child Care as of 2025

No of

Providers

Under 2 Years

Old

2 to 4 Year

Olds

Total 0 to 4

Years

EXISTING DEMAND Child Care Demand

Estimated Total Children

Average LFPRAdjustment Factor

Children With Working Parents

Licensed Care Demand Factor

Resident Children Needing Licensed Care

of Total Resident Children Needing Licensed Care

Children from Non-Resident Employees Needing

Licensed Care

(1)

(2)

(3)

1327 1954

69

909 1759

37

336 1653

25 85

237 357

3281

2668

75

1989

61

594

Total Demand for Child Care Spaces

Distribution

EXISTING SUPPLY (4)

573 2011

22 78

Child Care Spaces

2584

100

Family Child Care Home Supply

Child Care Center Supply

Current Child Care Supply

Distribution

EXISTING SURPLUS(SHORTAGE)

Distribution

Percentage of Demand Met

by Existing FacilitiesSpaces

Shortage of Family Child Care Home Spaces

Shortage of Center-Based Spaces

(5)

(6)

(6)

15

25

40

76 96

73 1331

149 1427

9 91

(424) (584)

42 58

26 71

(217) (39)

(207) (544)

172

1404

1576

100

(1008)

100

61

(256)

(752)

FINAL

Table B-11

Future Child Care Demand and Supply in 2025 in Menlo Park

San Mateo County Child Care Study - 2016

Note All footnote references can be found in Table C-1 at the end of this file

Sources 2010 US Census ABAG Projections 2013 2014 American Community Survey ACS Journey-to-Work data 2006-2008 and 2006-2010

Child Care Coordinating Council of San Mateo County (4Cs) Community Care Licensing Brion Economics Inc

Prepared by Brion Economics Inc 2513-SMC NA Final Tables 61216 6122016

MILLBRAE

Child Care as of 2025

No of

Providers

Under 2 Years

Old

2 to 4 Year

Olds

Total 0 to 4

Years

EXISTING DEMAND Child Care Demand

Estimated Total Children

Average LFPRAdjustment Factor

Children With Working Parents

Licensed Care Demand Factor

Resident Children Needing Licensed Care

of Total Resident Children Needing Licensed Care

Children from Non-Resident Employees Needing

Licensed Care

(1)

(2)

(3)

473 805

62

291 710

37

108 672

23 83

31 47

1278

1001

78

780

61

77

Total Demand for Child Care Spaces

Distribution

EXISTING SUPPLY (4)

139 718

16 84

Child Care Spaces

857

100

Family Child Care Home Supply

Child Care Center Supply

Current Child Care Supply

Distribution

EXISTING SURPLUS(SHORTAGE)

Distribution

Percentage of Demand Met

by Existing FacilitiesSpaces

Shortage of Family Child Care Home Spaces

Shortage of Center-Based Spaces

(5)

(6)

(6)

7

7

14

62 78

- 376

62 454

12 88

(76) (264)

22 78

45 63

(76) (46)

0 (219)

141

376

517

100

(340)

100

60

(122)

(219)

FINAL

Table B-12

Future C hild Care Demand and Supply in 2025 in Millbrae

San Mateo County Child Care Study - 2016

Note All footnote references can be found in Table C-1 at the end of this file

Sources 2010 US Census ABAG Projections 2013 2014 American Community Survey ACS Journey-to-Work data 2006-2008 and 2006-2010

Child Care Coordinating Council of San Mateo County (4Cs) Community Care Licensing Brion Economics Inc

Prepared by Brion Economics Inc 2513-SMC NA Final Tables 61216 6122016

FINAL

Table B-13

Future Child Care Demand and Supply in 2025 in Pacifica

San Mateo County Child Care Study - 2016

PACIFICA

Child Care as of 2025

No of

Providers

Under 2 Years

Old

2 to 4 Year

Olds

Total 0 to 4

Years

EXISTING DEMAND Child Care Demand

Estimated Total Children

Average L FPRAdjustment Factor

Children With Working Parents

Licensed Care Demand Factor

Resident Children Needing Licensed Care

of Total Resident Children Needing Licensed Care

Children from Non-Resident Employees Needing

Licensed Care

(1)

(2)

(3)

816 1300

78

633 1209

37

234 1130

29 87

19 29

2116

1842

74

1364

64

48

Total Demand for Child Care Spaces

Distribution

EXISTING SUPPLY (4)

254 1159

18 82

Child Care Spaces

1413

100

Family Child Care Home Supply

Child Care Center Supply

Current Child Care Supply

Distribution

EXISTING SURPLUS(SHORTAGE)

Distribution

Percentage of Demand Met

by Existing FacilitiesSpaces

Shortage of Family Child Care Home Spaces

Shortage of Center-Based Spaces

(5)

(6)

(6)

9

18

27

77 97

39 701

116 798

13 87

(138) (361)

28 72

46 69

(91) (44)

(46) (317)

174

740

914

100

(499)

100

65

(135)

(364)

Note All footnote references can be found in Table C-1 at the end of this file

Sources 2010 US Census ABAG Projections 2013 2014 American Community Survey ACS Journey-to-Work data 2006-2008 and 2006-2010

Child Care Coordinating Council of San Mateo County (4Cs) Community Care Licensing Brion Economics Inc

Prepared by Brion Economics Inc 2513-SMC NA Final Tables 61216 6122016

PORTOLA VALLEY

Child Care as of 2025

No of

Providers

Under 2 Years

Old

2 to 4 Year

Olds

Total 0 to 4

Years

EXISTING DEMAND Child Care Demand

Estimated Total Children

Average LFPRAdjustment Factor

Children With Working Parents

Licensed Care Demand Factor

Resident Children Needing Licensed Care

of Total Resident Children Needing Licensed Care

Children from Non-Resident Employees Needing

Licensed Care

(1)

(2)

(3)

77 192

66

51 173

37

19 164

24 85

9 13

269

224

82

182

68

22

Total Demand for Child Care Spaces

Distribution

EXISTING SUPPLY (4)

28 177

13 87

Child Care Spaces

204

100

Family Child Care Home Supply

Child Care Center Supply

Current Child Care Supply

Distribution

EXISTING SURPLUS(SHORTAGE)

Distribution

Percentage of Demand Met

by Existing FacilitiesSpaces

Shortage of Family Child Care Home Spaces

Shortage of Center-Based Spaces

(5)

(6)

(6)

0

4

4

- -

- 153

- 153

0 100

(28) (24)

54 46

0 87

0 0

(28) (24)

0

153

153

100

(51)

100

75

0

(51)

FINAL

Table B-14

Future Child Care Demand and Supply in 2025 in Portola Valley

San Mateo County Child Care Study - 2016

Note All footnote references can be found in Table C-1 at the end of this file

Sources 2010 US Census ABAG Projections 2013 2014 American Community Survey ACS Journey-to-Work data 2006-2008 and 2006-2010

Child Care Coordinating Council of San Mateo County (4Cs) Community Care Licensing Brion Economics Inc

Prepared by Brion Economics Inc 2513-SMC NA Final Tables 61216 6122016

REDWOOD CITY

No of

Providers

Child Care as of 2025

Under 2 Years

Old

2 to 4 Year

Olds

Total 0 to 4

Years

EXISTING DEMAND Child Care Demand

Estimated Total Children

Average LFPRAdjustment Factor

Children With Working Parents

Licensed Care Demand Factor

Resident Children Needing Licensed Care

of Total Resident Children Needing Licensed Care

Children from Non-Resident Employees Needing

Licensed Care

Total Demand for Child Care Spaces

Distribution

EXISTING SUPPLY

(1)

(2)

(3)

(4)

3725 5378

69

2555 4813

37

946 4505

25 84

466 703

1411 5208

21 79

Child Care Spaces

9103

7368

74

5450

60

1169

6619

100

Family Child Care Home Supply

Child Care Center Supply

Current Child Care Supply

Distribution

EXISTING SURPLUS(SHORTAGE)

Distribution

Percentage of Demand Met

by Existing FacilitiesSpaces

Shortage of Family Child Care Home Spaces

Shortage of Center-Based Spaces

(5)

(6)

(6)

42

41

83

396 497

356 2036

752 2533

23 77

(660) (2674)

20 80

53 49

(347) (525)

(313) (2149)

893

2392

3285

100

(3334)

100

50

(872)

(2462)

FINAL

Table B-15

Future Child Care Demand and Supply in 2025 in Redwood City

San Mateo County Child Care Study - 2016

Note All footnote references can be found in Table C-1 at the end of this file

Sources 2010 US Census ABAG Projections 2013 2014 American Community Survey ACS Journey-to-Work data 2006-2008 and 2006-2010

Child Care Coordinating Council of San Mateo County (4Cs) Community Care Licensing Brion Economics Inc

Prepared by Brion Economics Inc 2513-SMC NA Final Tables 61216 6122016

SAN BRUNO

Child Care as of 2025

No of

Providers

Under 2 Years

Old

2 to 4 Year

Olds

Total 0 to 4

Years

EXISTING DEMAND Child Care Demand

Estimated Total Children

Average LFPRAdjustment Factor

Children With Working Parents

Licensed Care Demand Factor

Resident Children Needing Licensed Care

of Total Resident Children Needing Licensed Care

Children from Non-Resident Employees Needing

Licensed Care

(1)

(2)

(3)

1189 1728

77

910 1589

37

337 1475

28 85

68 103

2917

2498

73

1812

62

171

Total Demand for Child Care Spaces

Distribution

EXISTING SUPPLY (4)

405 1578

20 80

Child Care Spaces

1983

100

Family Child Care Home Supply

Child Care Center Supply

Current Child Care Supply

Distribution

EXISTING SURPLUS(SHORTAGE)

Distribution

Percentage of Demand Met

by Existing FacilitiesSpaces

Shortage of Family Child Care Home Spaces

Shortage of Center-Based Spaces

(5)

(6)

(6)

13

15

28

122 153

26 1183

148 1336

10 90

(257) (242)

52 48

37 85

(212) (28)

(45) (214)

275

1209

1484

100

(499)

100

75

(239)

(259)

FINAL

Table B-16

Future C hild Care Demand and Supply in 2025 in San Bruno

San Mateo County Child Care Study - 2016

Note All footnote references can be found in Table C-1 at the end of this file

Sources 2010 US Census ABAG Projections 2013 2014 American Community Survey ACS Journey-to-Work data 2006-2008 and 2006-2010

Child Care Coordinating Council of San Mateo County (4Cs) Community Care Licensing Brion Economics Inc

Prepared by Brion Economics Inc 2513-SMC NA Final Tables 61216 6122016

SAN CARLOS

Child Care as of 2025

No of

Providers

Under 2 Years

Old

2 to 4 Year

Olds

Total 0 to 4

Years

EXISTING DEMAND Child Care Demand

Estimated Total Children

Average LFPRAdjustment Factor

Children With Working Parents

Licensed Care Demand Factor

Resident Children Needing Licensed Care

of Total Resident Children Needing Licensed Care

Children from Non-Resident Employees Needing

Licensed Care

(1)

(2)

(3)

778 1384

72

557 1255

37

206 1174

26 85

82 123

2162

1812

76

1380

64

205

Total Demand for Child Care Spaces

Distribution

EXISTING SUPPLY (4)

288 1297

18 82

Child Care Spaces

1585

100

Family Child Care Home Supply

Child Care Center Supply

Current Child Care Supply

Distribution

EXISTING SURPLUS(SHORTAGE)

Distribution

Percentage of Demand Met

by Existing FacilitiesSpaces

Shortage of Family Child Care Home Spaces

Shortage of Center-Based Spaces

(5)

(6)

(6)

28

14

42

73 92

76 615

149 707

17 83

(139) (590)

19 81

52 54

(68) (76)

(71) (514)

164

691

855

100

(729)

100

54

(145)

(585)

FINAL

Table B-17

Future Child Care Demand and Supply in 2025 in San Carlos

San Mateo County Child Care Study - 2016

Note All footnote references can be found in Table C-1 at the end of this file

Sources 2010 US Census ABAG Projections 2013 2014 American Community Survey ACS Journey-to-Work data 2006-2008 and 2006-2010

Child Care Coordinating Council of San Mateo County (4Cs) Community Care Licensing Brion Economics Inc

Prepared by Brion Economics Inc 2513-SMC NA Final Tables 61216 6122016

SAN MATEO

Child Care as of 2025

No of

Providers

Under 2 Years

Old

2 to 4 Year

Olds

Total 0 to 4

Years

EXISTING DEMAND Child Care Demand

Estimated Total Children

Average LFPRAdjustment Factor

Children With Working Parents

Licensed Care Demand Factor

Resident Children Needing Licensed Care

of Total Resident Children Needing Licensed Care

Children from Non-Resident Employees Needing

Licensed Care

(1)

(2)

(3)

3194 4572

71

2264 4116

37

838 3839

26 84

261 394

7766

6381

73

4677

60

656

Total Demand for Child Care Spaces

Distribution

EXISTING SUPPLY (4)

1099 4233

21 79

Child Care Spaces

5332

100

Family Child Care Home Supply

Child Care Center Supply

Current Child Care Supply

Distribution

EXISTING SURPLUS(SHORTAGE)

Distribution

Percentage of Demand Met

by Existing FacilitiesSpaces

Shortage of Family Child Care Home Spaces

Shortage of Center-Based Spaces

(5)

(6)

(6)

69

59

128

492 619

209 2577

701 3196

18 82

(398) (1037)

28 72

64 75

(279) (201)

(119) (837)

1111

2786

3897

100

(1435)

100

73

(480)

(955)

FINAL

Table B-18

Future Child Care Demand and Supply in 2025 in San Mateo

San Mateo County Child Care Study - 2016

Note All footnote references can be found in Table C-1 at the end of this file

Sources 2010 US Census ABAG Projections 2013 2014 American Community Survey ACS Journey-to-Work data 2006-2008 and 2006-2010

Child Care Coordinating Council of San Mateo County (4Cs) Community Care Licensing Brion Economics Inc

Prepared by Brion Economics Inc 2513-SMC NA Final Tables 61216 6122016

FINAL

Table B-19

Future Child Care Demand and Supply in 2025 in South Coast

San Mateo County Child Care Study - 2016

SOUTH COAST

Child Care as of 2025

No of

Providers

Under 2 Years

Old

2 to 4 Year

Olds

Total 0 to 4

Years

EXISTING DEMAND Child Care Demand

Estimated Total Children (1) 23 32 55

Average LFPRAdjustment Factor (2) 54

Children With Working Parents 12 27 40

Licensed Care Demand Factor (3) 37 77

Resident Children Needing Licensed Care 5 26 30

of Total Resident Children Needing Licensed Care 20 81 56

Children from Non-Resident Employees Needing

Licensed Care 0 0 0

Total Demand for Child Care Spaces 5 26 30

Distribution 15 85 100

EXISTING SUPPLY (4) Child Care Spaces

Family Child Care Home Supply - 0 0 0

Child Care Center Supply 2 0 54 54

Current Child Care Supply 2 - 54 54

Distribution 0 100 100

EXISTING SURPLUS(SHORTAGE) (5) 28 24

Distribution -19 119 100

Percentage of Demand Met

by Existing FacilitiesSpaces (5) 0 209 177

Shortage of Family Child Care Home Spaces (6) 0 NA 0

Shortage of Center-Based Spaces (6) (5) NA (5)

Note All footnote references can be found in Table C-1 at the end of this file

Sources 2010 US Census ABAG Projections 2013 2014 American Community Survey ACS Journey-to-Work data 2006-2008 and 2006-2010

Child Care Coordinating Council of San Mateo County (4Cs) Community Care Licensing Brion Economics Inc

Prepared by Brion Economics Inc 2513-SMC NA Final Tables 61216 6122016

SOUTH SAN FRANCISCO

Child Care as of 2025

No of

Providers

Under 2 Years

Old

2 to 4 Year

Olds

Total 0 to 4

Years

EXISTING DEMAND Child Care Demand

Estimated Total Children

Average LFPRAdjustment Factor

Children With Working Parents

Licensed Care Demand Factor

Resident Children Needing Licensed Care

of Total Resident Children Needing Licensed Care

Children from Non-Resident Employees Needing

Licensed Care

(1)

(2)

(3)

1835 2790

73

1342 2535

37

496 2362

27 85

339 512

4625

3877

74

2859

62

851

Total Demand for Child Care Spaces

Distribution

EXISTING SUPPLY (4)

835 2874

23 77

Child Care Spaces

3709

100

Family Child Care Home Supply

Child Care Center Supply

Current Child Care Supply

Distribution

EXISTING SURPLUS(SHORTAGE)

Distribution

Percentage of Demand Met

by Existing FacilitiesSpaces

Shortage of Family Child Care Home Spaces

Shortage of Center-Based Spaces

(5)

(6)

(6)

30

27

57

252 317

400 1966

652 2283

22 78

(183) (591)

24 76

78 79

(71) (82)

(113) (509)

569

2366

2935

100

(775)

100

79

(153)

(622)

FINAL

Table B-20

Future Child Care Demand and Supply in 2025 in South San Francisco

San Mateo County Child Care Study - 2016

Note All footnote references can be found in Table C-1 at the end of this file

Sources 2010 US Census ABAG Projections 2013 2014 American Community Survey ACS Journey-to-Work data 2006-2008 and 2006-2010

Child Care Coordinating Council of San Mateo County (4Cs) Community Care Licensing Brion Economics Inc

Prepared by Brion Economics Inc 2513-SMC NA Final Tables 61216 6122016

WOODSIDE

No of

Providers

Child Care as of 2025

Under 2 Years

Old

2 to 4 Year

Olds

Total 0 to 4

Years

EXISTING DEMAND Child Care Demand

Estimated Total Children

Average LFPRAdjustment Factor

Children With Working Parents

Licensed Care Demand Factor

Resident Children Needing Licensed Care

of Total Resident Children Needing Licensed Care

Children from Non-Resident Employees Needing

Licensed Care

(1)

(2)

(3)

93 165

56

51 140

37

19 132

21 80

9 13

258

192

79

152

59

22

Total Demand for Child Care Spaces

Distribution

EXISTING SUPPLY (4)

28 146

16 84

Child Care Spaces

174

100

Family Child Care Home Supply

Child Care Center Supply

Current Child Care Supply

Distribution

EXISTING SURPLUS(SHORTAGE)

Distribution

Percentage of Demand Met

by Existing FacilitiesSpaces

Shortage of Family Child Care Home Spaces

Shortage of Center-Based Spaces

(5)

(6)

(6)

1

2

3

4 5

- 103

4 108

4 96

(24) (38)

39 61

15 74

(24) (2)

0 (36)

9

103

112

100

(61)

100

65

(26)

(36)

FINAL

Table B-21

Future Child Care Demand and Supply in 2025 in Woodside

San Mateo County Child Care Study - 2016

Note All footnote references can be found in Table C-1 at the end of this file

Sources 2010 US Census ABAG Projections 2013 2014 American Community Survey ACS Journey-to-Work data 2006-2008 and 2006-2010

Child Care Coordinating Council of San Mateo County (4Cs) Community Care Licensing Brion Economics Inc

Prepared by Brion Economics Inc 2513-SMC NA Final Tables 61216 6122016

FINAL

Table C-1

Endnotes for Tables

San Mateo County Child Care Study - 2016

(1) Population by age is based on the percentage breakdown from the 2010 US Census and applied

to population estimates for 2015 using ABAGs Projections 2013 population data The ABAG data

for each area includes its Sphere of Influence and is not based on strict jurisdictional boundaries

(2) Labor force participation rates are from the 5-Year American Community Survey 2014 and include

children under six years old with two working parents or a single working parent For the 2- to 4-year

olds the labor force participation rate is applied to 2 year olds For 3- and 4-year olds it is assumed

that 100 need licensed care to support preschool for every child so the number of

3- and 4-year olds is not discounted by labor force participation rates

(3) Not all children with working parents are assumed to need licensed care percentage assumptions are

used to calculate the number of children requiring licensed care under each age category The

remaining children are assumed to be cared for in alternate arrangements such as by family members

nannies friends and other unlicensed care For children ages 3- and 4-years old it is assumed that

they all need care in the form of preschool

(4) Data on child care supply provided by the Child Care Coordinating Council of San Mateo County (4Cs)

and Community Care Licensing Division of the California Department of Social Services (CCLD) Data is

for June 2015

(5) Demand that calculates as less than 100 means that there is greater demand than supply percent of

demand that is over 100 means supply exceeds demand

(6) Unmet demand is broken down into shortage by type of care based on the proportion of FCCHs and

child care centers spaces available in each area If an area does not have any FCCHs or centers the

unmet demand is placed in the type of care that is available in the area (eg if there are only centers

all demand goes to centers)

Source Brion Economics Inc

Prepared by Brion Economics Inc 2513-SMC NA Final Tables 61216 6122016

DRAFT REPORT

Table C-2

Labor Force Participation Rates by CityArea

San Mateo County Child Care Study - 2016

CityArea

Labor Force

Participation Rate (1)

Atherton

Belmont

Brisbane

Burlingame

Daly CityColma

East Palo Alto

Foster City

Half Moon Bay Region

Hillsborough

Menlo Park

Millbrae

Pacifica

Portola Valley

Redwood City

San Bruno

San Carlos

San Mateo

South Coast

South San Francisco

Woodside

40

77

100

65

74

71

63

69

52

69

62

78

66

69

77

72

71

54

73

56

(1) Labor force participation rates (LFPRs) are for

families with children under age six with two

working parents or a single parent who works Sources American Community Survey 2014 5-Year

Survey Brion Economics Inc

Prepared by Brion Economics Inc 2513-SMC NA Final Tables 61216 6122016

  • 2513-SMC FINAL NA Memo-61216
  • 2513-SMC NA Final Tables 61216
Page 46: Final San Mateo County Child Care Needs … Care...Future C hild Care Demand and Supply in 2025 in Daly City/Colma San Mateo County Child Care Study - 2016 Note: All footnote references

BELMONT

Child Care as of 2025

No of

Providers

Under 2 Years

Old

2 to 4 Year

Olds

Total 0 to 4

Years

EXISTING DEMAND Child Care Demand

Estimated Total Children

Average LFPRAdjustment Factor

Children With Working Parents

Licensed Care Demand Factor

Resident Children Needing Licensed Care

of Total Resident Children Needing Licensed Care

Children from Non-Resident Employees Needing

Licensed Care

(1)

(2)

(3)

743 1095

77

574 1013

37

213 943

29 86

37 56

1838

1587

73

1156

63

93

Total Demand for Child Care Spaces

Distribution

EXISTING SUPPLY (4)

250 999

20 80

Child Care Spaces

1249

100

Family Child Care Home Supply

Child Care Center Supply

Current Child Care Supply

Distribution

EXISTING SURPLUS(SHORTAGE)

Distribution

Percentage of Demand Met

by Existing FacilitiesSpaces

Shortage of Family Child Care Home Spaces

Shortage of Center-Based Spaces

(5)

(6)

(6)

8

9

17

67 84

39 531

106 615

15 85

(143) (384)

27 73

43 62

(91) (53)

(53) (331)

152

570

722

100

(527)

100

58

(143)

(384)

FINAL

Table B-3

Future Child Care Demand and Supply in 2025 in Belmont

San Mateo County Child Care Study - 2016

Note All footnote references can be found in Table C-1 at the end of this file

Sources 2010 US Census ABAG Projections 2013 2014 American Community Survey ACS Journey-to-Work data 2006-2008 and 2006-2010

Child Care Coordinating Council of San Mateo County (4Cs) Community Care Licensing Brion Economics Inc

Prepared by Brion Economics Inc 2513-SMC NA Final Tables 61216 6122016

BRISBANE

Child Care as of 2025

No of

Providers

Under 2 Years

Old

2 to 4 Year

Olds

Total 0 to 4

Years

EXISTING DEMAND Child Care Demand

Estimated Total Children

Average LFPRAdjustment Factor

Children With Working Parents

Licensed Care Demand Factor

Resident Children Needing Licensed Care

of Total Resident Children Needing Licensed Care

Children from Non-Resident Employees Needing

Licensed Care

(1)

(2)

(3)

131 174

100

131 174

37

48 160

37 92

55 83

305

305

68

209

68

138

Total Demand for Child Care Spaces

Distribution

EXISTING SUPPLY (4)

103 243

30 70

Child Care Spaces

346

100

Family Child Care Home Supply

Child Care Center Supply

Current Child Care Supply

Distribution

EXISTING SURPLUS(SHORTAGE)

Distribution

Percentage of Demand Met

by Existing FacilitiesSpaces

Shortage of Family Child Care Home Spaces

Shortage of Center-Based Spaces

(5)

(6)

(6)

1

1

2

4 5

0 64

4 69

6 94

(99) (174)

36 64

4 29

(99) (13)

0 (160)

9

64

73

100

(273)

100

21

(112)

(160)

FINAL

Table B-4

Future Child Care Demand and Supply in 2025 in Brisbane

San Mateo County Child Care Study - 2016

Note All footnote references can be found in Table C-1 at the end of this file Sources 2010 US Census ABAG Projections 2013 2014 American Community Survey ACS Journey-to-Work data 2006-2008 and 2006-2010

Child Care Coordinating Council of San Mateo County (4Cs) Community Care Licensing Brion Economics Inc

Prepared by Brion Economics Inc 2513-SMC NA Final Tables 61216 6122016

BURLINGAME

Child Care as of 2025

No of

Providers

Under 2 Years

Old

2 to 4 Year

Olds

Total 0 to 4

Years

EXISTING DEMAND Child Care Demand

Estimated Total Children

Average LFPRAdjustment Factor

Children With Working Parents

Licensed Care Demand Factor

Resident Children Needing Licensed Care

of Total Resident Children Needing Licensed Care

Children from Non-Resident Employees Needing

Licensed Care

(1)

(2)

(3)

903 1332

65

587 1190

37

217 1124

24 84

154 232

2235

1777

75

1341

60

385

Total Demand for Child Care Spaces

Distribution

EXISTING SUPPLY (4)

371 1356

21 79

Child Care Spaces

1726

100

Family Child Care Home Supply

Child Care Center Supply

Current Child Care Supply

Distribution

EXISTING SURPLUS(SHORTAGE)

Distribution

Percentage of Demand Met

by Existing FacilitiesSpaces

Shortage of Family Child Care Home Spaces

Shortage of Center-Based Spaces

(5)

(6)

(6)

10

14

24

79 99

40 866

119 965

11 89

(252) (390)

39 61

32 71

(167) (40)

(85) (350)

179

906

1085

100

(642)

100

63

(207)

(434)

FINAL

Table B-5

Future Child Care Demand and Supply in 2025 in Burlingame

San Mateo County Child Care Study - 2016

Note All footnote references can be found in Table C-1 at the end of this file

Sources 2010 US Census ABAG Projections 2013 2014 American Community Survey ACS Journey-to-Work data 2006-2008 and 2006-2010

Child Care Coordinating Council of San Mateo County (4Cs) Community Care Licensing Brion Economics Inc

Prepared by Brion Economics Inc 2513-SMC NA Final Tables 61216 6122016

DALY CITYCOLMA

Child Care as of 2025

No of

Providers

Under 2 Years

Old

2 to 4 Year

Olds

Total 0 to 4

Years

EXISTING DEMAND Child Care Demand

Estimated Total Children

Average LFPRAdjustment Factor

Children With Working Parents

Licensed Care Demand Factor

Resident Children Needing Licensed Care

of Total Resident Children Needing Licensed Care

Children from Non-Resident Employees Needing

Licensed Care

(1)

(2)

(3)

2647 3793

74

1964 3467

37

727 3233

27 85

138 208

6440

5432

73

3960

61

346

Total Demand for Child Care Spaces

Distribution

EXISTING SUPPLY (4)

865 3441

20 80

Child Care Spaces

4306

100

Family Child Care Home Supply

Child Care Center Supply

Current Child Care Supply

Distribution

EXISTING SURPLUS(SHORTAGE)

Distribution

Percentage of Demand Met

by Existing FacilitiesSpaces

Shortage of Family Child Care Home Spaces

Shortage of Center-Based Spaces

(5)

(6)

(6)

25

28

28

288 362

84 1264

372 1626

19 81

(493) (1816)

21 79

43 47

(381) (404)

(111) (1412)

649

1348

1997

100

(2308)

100

46

(785)

(1523)

FINAL

Table B-6

Future C hild Care Demand and Supply in 2025 in Daly CityColma

San Mateo County Child Care Study - 2016

Note All footnote references can be found in Table C-1 at the end of this file

Sources 2010 US Census ABAG Projections 2013 2014 American Community Survey ACS Journey-to-Work data 2006-2008 and 2006-2010

Child Care Coordinating Council of San Mateo County (4Cs) Community Care Licensing Brion Economics Inc

Prepared by Brion Economics Inc 2513-SMC NA Final Tables 61216 6122016

EAST PALO ALTO

Child Care as of 2025

No of

Providers

Under 2 Years

Old

2 to 4 Year

Olds

Total 0 to 4

Years

EXISTING DEMAND Child Care Demand

Estimated Total Children

Average LFPRAdjustment Factor

Children With Working Parents

Licensed Care Demand Factor

Resident Children Needing Licensed Care

of Total Resident Children Needing Licensed Care

Children from Non-Resident Employees Needing

Licensed Care

(1)

(2)

(3)

1161 1849

71

822 1660

37

304 1545

26 84

20 30

3010

2482

75

1849

61

50

Total Demand for Child Care Spaces

Distribution

EXISTING SUPPLY (4)

324 1575

17 83

Child Care Spaces

1900

100

Family Child Care Home Supply

Child Care Center Supply

Current Child Care Supply

Distribution

EXISTING SURPLUS(SHORTAGE)

Distribution

Percentage of Demand Met

by Existing FacilitiesSpaces

Shortage of Family Child Care Home Spaces

Shortage of Center-Based Spaces

(5)

(6)

(6)

13

6

19

85 106

25 633

110 739

13 87

(215) (836)

20 80

34 47

(166) (120)

(49) (715)

191

658

849

100

(1050)

100

45

(286)

(764)

FINAL

Table B-7

Future Child Care Demand and Supply in 2025 in East Palo Alto

San Mateo County Child Care Study - 2016

Note All footnote references can be found in Table C-1 at the end of this file

Sources 2010 US Census ABAG Projections 2013 2014 American Community Survey ACS Journey-to-Work data 2006-2008 and 2006-2010

Child Care Coordinating Council of San Mateo County (4Cs) Community Care Licensing Brion Economics Inc

Prepared by Brion Economics Inc 2513-SMC NA Final Tables 61216 6122016

FOSTER CITY

Child Care as of 2025

No of

Providers

Under 2 Years

Old

2 to 4 Year

Olds

Total 0 to 4

Years

EXISTING DEMAND Child Care Demand

Estimated Total Children

Average LFPRAdjustment Factor

Children With Working Parents

Licensed Care Demand Factor

Resident Children Needing Licensed Care

of Total Resident Children Needing Licensed Care

Children from Non-Resident Employees Needing

Licensed Care

(1)

(2)

(3)

871 1330

63

550 1154

37

204 1079

23 81

80 120

2201

1705

75

1282

58

200

Total Demand for Child Care Spaces

Distribution

EXISTING SUPPLY (4)

283 1199

19 81

Child Care Spaces

1483

100

Family Child Care Home Supply

Child Care Center Supply

Current Child Care Supply

Distribution

EXISTING SURPLUS(SHORTAGE)

Distribution

Percentage of Demand Met

by Existing FacilitiesSpaces

Shortage of Family Child Care Home Spaces

Shortage of Center-Based Spaces

(5)

(6)

(6)

19

12

31

118 149

88 1200

206 1349

13 87

(77) 150

-106 206

73 112

(44) NA

(33) NA

267

1288

1555

100

73

100

105

(44)

(33)

FINAL

Table B-8

Future Child Care Demand and Supply in 2025 in Foster City

San Mateo County Child Care Study - 2016

Note All footnote references can be found in Table C-1 at the end of this file

Sources 2010 US Census ABAG Projections 2013 2014 American Community Survey ACS Journey-to-Work data 2006-2008 and 2006-2010

Child Care Coordinating Council of San Mateo County (4Cs) Community Care Licensing Brion Economics Inc

Prepared by Brion Economics Inc 2513-SMC NA Final Tables 61216 6122016

HALF MOON BAY REGION

Child Care as of 2025

No of

Providers

Under 2 Years

Old

2 to 4 Year

Olds

Total 0 to 4

Years

EXISTING DEMAND Child Care Demand

Estimated Total Children

Average LFPRAdjustment Factor

Children With Working Parents

Licensed Care Demand Factor

Resident Children Needing Licensed Care

of Total Resident Children Needing Licensed Care

Children from Non-Resident Employees Needing

Licensed Care

(1)

(2)

(3)

553 929

69

383 835

37

142 781

26 84

14 21

1482

1217

76

923

62

34

Total Demand for Child Care Spaces

Distribution

EXISTING SUPPLY (4)

155 802

16 84

Child Care Spaces

957

100

Family Child Care Home Supply

Child Care Center Supply

Current Child Care Supply

Distribution

EXISTING SURPLUS(SHORTAGE)

Distribution

Percentage of Demand Met

by Existing FacilitiesSpaces

Shortage of Family Child Care Home Spaces

Shortage of Center-Based Spaces

(5)

(6)

(6)

10

11

21

96 121

35 285

131 406

24 76

(24) (396)

6 94

84 51

(18) (118)

(6) (279)

216

320

536

100

(421)

100

56

(136)

(285)

FINAL

Table B-9

Future Child Care Demand and Supply in 2025 in Half Moon Bay Region

San Mateo County Child Care Study - 2016

Note All footnote references can be found in Table C-1 at the end of this file

Sources 2010 US Census ABAG Projections 2013 2014 American Community Survey ACS Journey-to-Work data 2006-2008 and 2006-2010

Child Care Coordinating Council of San Mateo County (4Cs) Community Care Licensing Brion Economics Inc

Prepared by Brion Economics Inc 2513-SMC NA Final Tables 61216 6122016

HILLSBOROUGH

Child Care as of 2025

No of

Providers

Under 2 Years

Old

2 to 4 Year

Olds

Total 0 to 4

Years

EXISTING DEMAND Child Care Demand

Estimated Total Children

Average LFPRAdjustment Factor

Children With Working Parents

Licensed Care Demand Factor

Resident Children Needing Licensed Care

of Total Resident Children Needing Licensed Care

Children from Non-Resident Employees Needing

Licensed Care

(1)

(2)

(3)

143 343

52

74 295

37

27 282

19 82

7 11

487

369

84

309

64

17

Total Demand for Child Care Spaces

Distribution

EXISTING SUPPLY (4)

34 292

10 90

Child Care Spaces

327

100

Family Child Care Home Supply

Child Care Center Supply

Current Child Care Supply

Distribution

EXISTING SURPLUS(SHORTAGE)

Distribution

Percentage of Demand Met

by Existing FacilitiesSpaces

Shortage of Family Child Care Home Spaces

Shortage of Center-Based Spaces

(5)

(6)

(6)

1

4

5

5 6

- 91

5 97

5 95

(29) (195)

13 87

14 33

(29) (12)

0 (183)

11

91

102

100

(225)

100

31

(42)

(183)

FINAL

Table B-10

Future Child Care Demand and Supply in 2025 in Hillsborough

San Mateo County Child Care Study - 2016

Note All footnote references can be found in Table C-1 at the end of this file

Sources 2010 US Census ABAG Projections 2013 2014 American Community Survey ACS Journey-to-Work data 2006-2008 and 2006-2010

Child Care Coordinating Council of San Mateo County (4Cs) Community Care Licensing Brion Economics Inc

Prepared by Brion Economics Inc 2513-SMC NA Final Tables 61216 6122016

MENLO PARK

Child Care as of 2025

No of

Providers

Under 2 Years

Old

2 to 4 Year

Olds

Total 0 to 4

Years

EXISTING DEMAND Child Care Demand

Estimated Total Children

Average LFPRAdjustment Factor

Children With Working Parents

Licensed Care Demand Factor

Resident Children Needing Licensed Care

of Total Resident Children Needing Licensed Care

Children from Non-Resident Employees Needing

Licensed Care

(1)

(2)

(3)

1327 1954

69

909 1759

37

336 1653

25 85

237 357

3281

2668

75

1989

61

594

Total Demand for Child Care Spaces

Distribution

EXISTING SUPPLY (4)

573 2011

22 78

Child Care Spaces

2584

100

Family Child Care Home Supply

Child Care Center Supply

Current Child Care Supply

Distribution

EXISTING SURPLUS(SHORTAGE)

Distribution

Percentage of Demand Met

by Existing FacilitiesSpaces

Shortage of Family Child Care Home Spaces

Shortage of Center-Based Spaces

(5)

(6)

(6)

15

25

40

76 96

73 1331

149 1427

9 91

(424) (584)

42 58

26 71

(217) (39)

(207) (544)

172

1404

1576

100

(1008)

100

61

(256)

(752)

FINAL

Table B-11

Future Child Care Demand and Supply in 2025 in Menlo Park

San Mateo County Child Care Study - 2016

Note All footnote references can be found in Table C-1 at the end of this file

Sources 2010 US Census ABAG Projections 2013 2014 American Community Survey ACS Journey-to-Work data 2006-2008 and 2006-2010

Child Care Coordinating Council of San Mateo County (4Cs) Community Care Licensing Brion Economics Inc

Prepared by Brion Economics Inc 2513-SMC NA Final Tables 61216 6122016

MILLBRAE

Child Care as of 2025

No of

Providers

Under 2 Years

Old

2 to 4 Year

Olds

Total 0 to 4

Years

EXISTING DEMAND Child Care Demand

Estimated Total Children

Average LFPRAdjustment Factor

Children With Working Parents

Licensed Care Demand Factor

Resident Children Needing Licensed Care

of Total Resident Children Needing Licensed Care

Children from Non-Resident Employees Needing

Licensed Care

(1)

(2)

(3)

473 805

62

291 710

37

108 672

23 83

31 47

1278

1001

78

780

61

77

Total Demand for Child Care Spaces

Distribution

EXISTING SUPPLY (4)

139 718

16 84

Child Care Spaces

857

100

Family Child Care Home Supply

Child Care Center Supply

Current Child Care Supply

Distribution

EXISTING SURPLUS(SHORTAGE)

Distribution

Percentage of Demand Met

by Existing FacilitiesSpaces

Shortage of Family Child Care Home Spaces

Shortage of Center-Based Spaces

(5)

(6)

(6)

7

7

14

62 78

- 376

62 454

12 88

(76) (264)

22 78

45 63

(76) (46)

0 (219)

141

376

517

100

(340)

100

60

(122)

(219)

FINAL

Table B-12

Future C hild Care Demand and Supply in 2025 in Millbrae

San Mateo County Child Care Study - 2016

Note All footnote references can be found in Table C-1 at the end of this file

Sources 2010 US Census ABAG Projections 2013 2014 American Community Survey ACS Journey-to-Work data 2006-2008 and 2006-2010

Child Care Coordinating Council of San Mateo County (4Cs) Community Care Licensing Brion Economics Inc

Prepared by Brion Economics Inc 2513-SMC NA Final Tables 61216 6122016

FINAL

Table B-13

Future Child Care Demand and Supply in 2025 in Pacifica

San Mateo County Child Care Study - 2016

PACIFICA

Child Care as of 2025

No of

Providers

Under 2 Years

Old

2 to 4 Year

Olds

Total 0 to 4

Years

EXISTING DEMAND Child Care Demand

Estimated Total Children

Average L FPRAdjustment Factor

Children With Working Parents

Licensed Care Demand Factor

Resident Children Needing Licensed Care

of Total Resident Children Needing Licensed Care

Children from Non-Resident Employees Needing

Licensed Care

(1)

(2)

(3)

816 1300

78

633 1209

37

234 1130

29 87

19 29

2116

1842

74

1364

64

48

Total Demand for Child Care Spaces

Distribution

EXISTING SUPPLY (4)

254 1159

18 82

Child Care Spaces

1413

100

Family Child Care Home Supply

Child Care Center Supply

Current Child Care Supply

Distribution

EXISTING SURPLUS(SHORTAGE)

Distribution

Percentage of Demand Met

by Existing FacilitiesSpaces

Shortage of Family Child Care Home Spaces

Shortage of Center-Based Spaces

(5)

(6)

(6)

9

18

27

77 97

39 701

116 798

13 87

(138) (361)

28 72

46 69

(91) (44)

(46) (317)

174

740

914

100

(499)

100

65

(135)

(364)

Note All footnote references can be found in Table C-1 at the end of this file

Sources 2010 US Census ABAG Projections 2013 2014 American Community Survey ACS Journey-to-Work data 2006-2008 and 2006-2010

Child Care Coordinating Council of San Mateo County (4Cs) Community Care Licensing Brion Economics Inc

Prepared by Brion Economics Inc 2513-SMC NA Final Tables 61216 6122016

PORTOLA VALLEY

Child Care as of 2025

No of

Providers

Under 2 Years

Old

2 to 4 Year

Olds

Total 0 to 4

Years

EXISTING DEMAND Child Care Demand

Estimated Total Children

Average LFPRAdjustment Factor

Children With Working Parents

Licensed Care Demand Factor

Resident Children Needing Licensed Care

of Total Resident Children Needing Licensed Care

Children from Non-Resident Employees Needing

Licensed Care

(1)

(2)

(3)

77 192

66

51 173

37

19 164

24 85

9 13

269

224

82

182

68

22

Total Demand for Child Care Spaces

Distribution

EXISTING SUPPLY (4)

28 177

13 87

Child Care Spaces

204

100

Family Child Care Home Supply

Child Care Center Supply

Current Child Care Supply

Distribution

EXISTING SURPLUS(SHORTAGE)

Distribution

Percentage of Demand Met

by Existing FacilitiesSpaces

Shortage of Family Child Care Home Spaces

Shortage of Center-Based Spaces

(5)

(6)

(6)

0

4

4

- -

- 153

- 153

0 100

(28) (24)

54 46

0 87

0 0

(28) (24)

0

153

153

100

(51)

100

75

0

(51)

FINAL

Table B-14

Future Child Care Demand and Supply in 2025 in Portola Valley

San Mateo County Child Care Study - 2016

Note All footnote references can be found in Table C-1 at the end of this file

Sources 2010 US Census ABAG Projections 2013 2014 American Community Survey ACS Journey-to-Work data 2006-2008 and 2006-2010

Child Care Coordinating Council of San Mateo County (4Cs) Community Care Licensing Brion Economics Inc

Prepared by Brion Economics Inc 2513-SMC NA Final Tables 61216 6122016

REDWOOD CITY

No of

Providers

Child Care as of 2025

Under 2 Years

Old

2 to 4 Year

Olds

Total 0 to 4

Years

EXISTING DEMAND Child Care Demand

Estimated Total Children

Average LFPRAdjustment Factor

Children With Working Parents

Licensed Care Demand Factor

Resident Children Needing Licensed Care

of Total Resident Children Needing Licensed Care

Children from Non-Resident Employees Needing

Licensed Care

Total Demand for Child Care Spaces

Distribution

EXISTING SUPPLY

(1)

(2)

(3)

(4)

3725 5378

69

2555 4813

37

946 4505

25 84

466 703

1411 5208

21 79

Child Care Spaces

9103

7368

74

5450

60

1169

6619

100

Family Child Care Home Supply

Child Care Center Supply

Current Child Care Supply

Distribution

EXISTING SURPLUS(SHORTAGE)

Distribution

Percentage of Demand Met

by Existing FacilitiesSpaces

Shortage of Family Child Care Home Spaces

Shortage of Center-Based Spaces

(5)

(6)

(6)

42

41

83

396 497

356 2036

752 2533

23 77

(660) (2674)

20 80

53 49

(347) (525)

(313) (2149)

893

2392

3285

100

(3334)

100

50

(872)

(2462)

FINAL

Table B-15

Future Child Care Demand and Supply in 2025 in Redwood City

San Mateo County Child Care Study - 2016

Note All footnote references can be found in Table C-1 at the end of this file

Sources 2010 US Census ABAG Projections 2013 2014 American Community Survey ACS Journey-to-Work data 2006-2008 and 2006-2010

Child Care Coordinating Council of San Mateo County (4Cs) Community Care Licensing Brion Economics Inc

Prepared by Brion Economics Inc 2513-SMC NA Final Tables 61216 6122016

SAN BRUNO

Child Care as of 2025

No of

Providers

Under 2 Years

Old

2 to 4 Year

Olds

Total 0 to 4

Years

EXISTING DEMAND Child Care Demand

Estimated Total Children

Average LFPRAdjustment Factor

Children With Working Parents

Licensed Care Demand Factor

Resident Children Needing Licensed Care

of Total Resident Children Needing Licensed Care

Children from Non-Resident Employees Needing

Licensed Care

(1)

(2)

(3)

1189 1728

77

910 1589

37

337 1475

28 85

68 103

2917

2498

73

1812

62

171

Total Demand for Child Care Spaces

Distribution

EXISTING SUPPLY (4)

405 1578

20 80

Child Care Spaces

1983

100

Family Child Care Home Supply

Child Care Center Supply

Current Child Care Supply

Distribution

EXISTING SURPLUS(SHORTAGE)

Distribution

Percentage of Demand Met

by Existing FacilitiesSpaces

Shortage of Family Child Care Home Spaces

Shortage of Center-Based Spaces

(5)

(6)

(6)

13

15

28

122 153

26 1183

148 1336

10 90

(257) (242)

52 48

37 85

(212) (28)

(45) (214)

275

1209

1484

100

(499)

100

75

(239)

(259)

FINAL

Table B-16

Future C hild Care Demand and Supply in 2025 in San Bruno

San Mateo County Child Care Study - 2016

Note All footnote references can be found in Table C-1 at the end of this file

Sources 2010 US Census ABAG Projections 2013 2014 American Community Survey ACS Journey-to-Work data 2006-2008 and 2006-2010

Child Care Coordinating Council of San Mateo County (4Cs) Community Care Licensing Brion Economics Inc

Prepared by Brion Economics Inc 2513-SMC NA Final Tables 61216 6122016

SAN CARLOS

Child Care as of 2025

No of

Providers

Under 2 Years

Old

2 to 4 Year

Olds

Total 0 to 4

Years

EXISTING DEMAND Child Care Demand

Estimated Total Children

Average LFPRAdjustment Factor

Children With Working Parents

Licensed Care Demand Factor

Resident Children Needing Licensed Care

of Total Resident Children Needing Licensed Care

Children from Non-Resident Employees Needing

Licensed Care

(1)

(2)

(3)

778 1384

72

557 1255

37

206 1174

26 85

82 123

2162

1812

76

1380

64

205

Total Demand for Child Care Spaces

Distribution

EXISTING SUPPLY (4)

288 1297

18 82

Child Care Spaces

1585

100

Family Child Care Home Supply

Child Care Center Supply

Current Child Care Supply

Distribution

EXISTING SURPLUS(SHORTAGE)

Distribution

Percentage of Demand Met

by Existing FacilitiesSpaces

Shortage of Family Child Care Home Spaces

Shortage of Center-Based Spaces

(5)

(6)

(6)

28

14

42

73 92

76 615

149 707

17 83

(139) (590)

19 81

52 54

(68) (76)

(71) (514)

164

691

855

100

(729)

100

54

(145)

(585)

FINAL

Table B-17

Future Child Care Demand and Supply in 2025 in San Carlos

San Mateo County Child Care Study - 2016

Note All footnote references can be found in Table C-1 at the end of this file

Sources 2010 US Census ABAG Projections 2013 2014 American Community Survey ACS Journey-to-Work data 2006-2008 and 2006-2010

Child Care Coordinating Council of San Mateo County (4Cs) Community Care Licensing Brion Economics Inc

Prepared by Brion Economics Inc 2513-SMC NA Final Tables 61216 6122016

SAN MATEO

Child Care as of 2025

No of

Providers

Under 2 Years

Old

2 to 4 Year

Olds

Total 0 to 4

Years

EXISTING DEMAND Child Care Demand

Estimated Total Children

Average LFPRAdjustment Factor

Children With Working Parents

Licensed Care Demand Factor

Resident Children Needing Licensed Care

of Total Resident Children Needing Licensed Care

Children from Non-Resident Employees Needing

Licensed Care

(1)

(2)

(3)

3194 4572

71

2264 4116

37

838 3839

26 84

261 394

7766

6381

73

4677

60

656

Total Demand for Child Care Spaces

Distribution

EXISTING SUPPLY (4)

1099 4233

21 79

Child Care Spaces

5332

100

Family Child Care Home Supply

Child Care Center Supply

Current Child Care Supply

Distribution

EXISTING SURPLUS(SHORTAGE)

Distribution

Percentage of Demand Met

by Existing FacilitiesSpaces

Shortage of Family Child Care Home Spaces

Shortage of Center-Based Spaces

(5)

(6)

(6)

69

59

128

492 619

209 2577

701 3196

18 82

(398) (1037)

28 72

64 75

(279) (201)

(119) (837)

1111

2786

3897

100

(1435)

100

73

(480)

(955)

FINAL

Table B-18

Future Child Care Demand and Supply in 2025 in San Mateo

San Mateo County Child Care Study - 2016

Note All footnote references can be found in Table C-1 at the end of this file

Sources 2010 US Census ABAG Projections 2013 2014 American Community Survey ACS Journey-to-Work data 2006-2008 and 2006-2010

Child Care Coordinating Council of San Mateo County (4Cs) Community Care Licensing Brion Economics Inc

Prepared by Brion Economics Inc 2513-SMC NA Final Tables 61216 6122016

FINAL

Table B-19

Future Child Care Demand and Supply in 2025 in South Coast

San Mateo County Child Care Study - 2016

SOUTH COAST

Child Care as of 2025

No of

Providers

Under 2 Years

Old

2 to 4 Year

Olds

Total 0 to 4

Years

EXISTING DEMAND Child Care Demand

Estimated Total Children (1) 23 32 55

Average LFPRAdjustment Factor (2) 54

Children With Working Parents 12 27 40

Licensed Care Demand Factor (3) 37 77

Resident Children Needing Licensed Care 5 26 30

of Total Resident Children Needing Licensed Care 20 81 56

Children from Non-Resident Employees Needing

Licensed Care 0 0 0

Total Demand for Child Care Spaces 5 26 30

Distribution 15 85 100

EXISTING SUPPLY (4) Child Care Spaces

Family Child Care Home Supply - 0 0 0

Child Care Center Supply 2 0 54 54

Current Child Care Supply 2 - 54 54

Distribution 0 100 100

EXISTING SURPLUS(SHORTAGE) (5) 28 24

Distribution -19 119 100

Percentage of Demand Met

by Existing FacilitiesSpaces (5) 0 209 177

Shortage of Family Child Care Home Spaces (6) 0 NA 0

Shortage of Center-Based Spaces (6) (5) NA (5)

Note All footnote references can be found in Table C-1 at the end of this file

Sources 2010 US Census ABAG Projections 2013 2014 American Community Survey ACS Journey-to-Work data 2006-2008 and 2006-2010

Child Care Coordinating Council of San Mateo County (4Cs) Community Care Licensing Brion Economics Inc

Prepared by Brion Economics Inc 2513-SMC NA Final Tables 61216 6122016

SOUTH SAN FRANCISCO

Child Care as of 2025

No of

Providers

Under 2 Years

Old

2 to 4 Year

Olds

Total 0 to 4

Years

EXISTING DEMAND Child Care Demand

Estimated Total Children

Average LFPRAdjustment Factor

Children With Working Parents

Licensed Care Demand Factor

Resident Children Needing Licensed Care

of Total Resident Children Needing Licensed Care

Children from Non-Resident Employees Needing

Licensed Care

(1)

(2)

(3)

1835 2790

73

1342 2535

37

496 2362

27 85

339 512

4625

3877

74

2859

62

851

Total Demand for Child Care Spaces

Distribution

EXISTING SUPPLY (4)

835 2874

23 77

Child Care Spaces

3709

100

Family Child Care Home Supply

Child Care Center Supply

Current Child Care Supply

Distribution

EXISTING SURPLUS(SHORTAGE)

Distribution

Percentage of Demand Met

by Existing FacilitiesSpaces

Shortage of Family Child Care Home Spaces

Shortage of Center-Based Spaces

(5)

(6)

(6)

30

27

57

252 317

400 1966

652 2283

22 78

(183) (591)

24 76

78 79

(71) (82)

(113) (509)

569

2366

2935

100

(775)

100

79

(153)

(622)

FINAL

Table B-20

Future Child Care Demand and Supply in 2025 in South San Francisco

San Mateo County Child Care Study - 2016

Note All footnote references can be found in Table C-1 at the end of this file

Sources 2010 US Census ABAG Projections 2013 2014 American Community Survey ACS Journey-to-Work data 2006-2008 and 2006-2010

Child Care Coordinating Council of San Mateo County (4Cs) Community Care Licensing Brion Economics Inc

Prepared by Brion Economics Inc 2513-SMC NA Final Tables 61216 6122016

WOODSIDE

No of

Providers

Child Care as of 2025

Under 2 Years

Old

2 to 4 Year

Olds

Total 0 to 4

Years

EXISTING DEMAND Child Care Demand

Estimated Total Children

Average LFPRAdjustment Factor

Children With Working Parents

Licensed Care Demand Factor

Resident Children Needing Licensed Care

of Total Resident Children Needing Licensed Care

Children from Non-Resident Employees Needing

Licensed Care

(1)

(2)

(3)

93 165

56

51 140

37

19 132

21 80

9 13

258

192

79

152

59

22

Total Demand for Child Care Spaces

Distribution

EXISTING SUPPLY (4)

28 146

16 84

Child Care Spaces

174

100

Family Child Care Home Supply

Child Care Center Supply

Current Child Care Supply

Distribution

EXISTING SURPLUS(SHORTAGE)

Distribution

Percentage of Demand Met

by Existing FacilitiesSpaces

Shortage of Family Child Care Home Spaces

Shortage of Center-Based Spaces

(5)

(6)

(6)

1

2

3

4 5

- 103

4 108

4 96

(24) (38)

39 61

15 74

(24) (2)

0 (36)

9

103

112

100

(61)

100

65

(26)

(36)

FINAL

Table B-21

Future Child Care Demand and Supply in 2025 in Woodside

San Mateo County Child Care Study - 2016

Note All footnote references can be found in Table C-1 at the end of this file

Sources 2010 US Census ABAG Projections 2013 2014 American Community Survey ACS Journey-to-Work data 2006-2008 and 2006-2010

Child Care Coordinating Council of San Mateo County (4Cs) Community Care Licensing Brion Economics Inc

Prepared by Brion Economics Inc 2513-SMC NA Final Tables 61216 6122016

FINAL

Table C-1

Endnotes for Tables

San Mateo County Child Care Study - 2016

(1) Population by age is based on the percentage breakdown from the 2010 US Census and applied

to population estimates for 2015 using ABAGs Projections 2013 population data The ABAG data

for each area includes its Sphere of Influence and is not based on strict jurisdictional boundaries

(2) Labor force participation rates are from the 5-Year American Community Survey 2014 and include

children under six years old with two working parents or a single working parent For the 2- to 4-year

olds the labor force participation rate is applied to 2 year olds For 3- and 4-year olds it is assumed

that 100 need licensed care to support preschool for every child so the number of

3- and 4-year olds is not discounted by labor force participation rates

(3) Not all children with working parents are assumed to need licensed care percentage assumptions are

used to calculate the number of children requiring licensed care under each age category The

remaining children are assumed to be cared for in alternate arrangements such as by family members

nannies friends and other unlicensed care For children ages 3- and 4-years old it is assumed that

they all need care in the form of preschool

(4) Data on child care supply provided by the Child Care Coordinating Council of San Mateo County (4Cs)

and Community Care Licensing Division of the California Department of Social Services (CCLD) Data is

for June 2015

(5) Demand that calculates as less than 100 means that there is greater demand than supply percent of

demand that is over 100 means supply exceeds demand

(6) Unmet demand is broken down into shortage by type of care based on the proportion of FCCHs and

child care centers spaces available in each area If an area does not have any FCCHs or centers the

unmet demand is placed in the type of care that is available in the area (eg if there are only centers

all demand goes to centers)

Source Brion Economics Inc

Prepared by Brion Economics Inc 2513-SMC NA Final Tables 61216 6122016

DRAFT REPORT

Table C-2

Labor Force Participation Rates by CityArea

San Mateo County Child Care Study - 2016

CityArea

Labor Force

Participation Rate (1)

Atherton

Belmont

Brisbane

Burlingame

Daly CityColma

East Palo Alto

Foster City

Half Moon Bay Region

Hillsborough

Menlo Park

Millbrae

Pacifica

Portola Valley

Redwood City

San Bruno

San Carlos

San Mateo

South Coast

South San Francisco

Woodside

40

77

100

65

74

71

63

69

52

69

62

78

66

69

77

72

71

54

73

56

(1) Labor force participation rates (LFPRs) are for

families with children under age six with two

working parents or a single parent who works Sources American Community Survey 2014 5-Year

Survey Brion Economics Inc

Prepared by Brion Economics Inc 2513-SMC NA Final Tables 61216 6122016

  • 2513-SMC FINAL NA Memo-61216
  • 2513-SMC NA Final Tables 61216
Page 47: Final San Mateo County Child Care Needs … Care...Future C hild Care Demand and Supply in 2025 in Daly City/Colma San Mateo County Child Care Study - 2016 Note: All footnote references

BRISBANE

Child Care as of 2025

No of

Providers

Under 2 Years

Old

2 to 4 Year

Olds

Total 0 to 4

Years

EXISTING DEMAND Child Care Demand

Estimated Total Children

Average LFPRAdjustment Factor

Children With Working Parents

Licensed Care Demand Factor

Resident Children Needing Licensed Care

of Total Resident Children Needing Licensed Care

Children from Non-Resident Employees Needing

Licensed Care

(1)

(2)

(3)

131 174

100

131 174

37

48 160

37 92

55 83

305

305

68

209

68

138

Total Demand for Child Care Spaces

Distribution

EXISTING SUPPLY (4)

103 243

30 70

Child Care Spaces

346

100

Family Child Care Home Supply

Child Care Center Supply

Current Child Care Supply

Distribution

EXISTING SURPLUS(SHORTAGE)

Distribution

Percentage of Demand Met

by Existing FacilitiesSpaces

Shortage of Family Child Care Home Spaces

Shortage of Center-Based Spaces

(5)

(6)

(6)

1

1

2

4 5

0 64

4 69

6 94

(99) (174)

36 64

4 29

(99) (13)

0 (160)

9

64

73

100

(273)

100

21

(112)

(160)

FINAL

Table B-4

Future Child Care Demand and Supply in 2025 in Brisbane

San Mateo County Child Care Study - 2016

Note All footnote references can be found in Table C-1 at the end of this file Sources 2010 US Census ABAG Projections 2013 2014 American Community Survey ACS Journey-to-Work data 2006-2008 and 2006-2010

Child Care Coordinating Council of San Mateo County (4Cs) Community Care Licensing Brion Economics Inc

Prepared by Brion Economics Inc 2513-SMC NA Final Tables 61216 6122016

BURLINGAME

Child Care as of 2025

No of

Providers

Under 2 Years

Old

2 to 4 Year

Olds

Total 0 to 4

Years

EXISTING DEMAND Child Care Demand

Estimated Total Children

Average LFPRAdjustment Factor

Children With Working Parents

Licensed Care Demand Factor

Resident Children Needing Licensed Care

of Total Resident Children Needing Licensed Care

Children from Non-Resident Employees Needing

Licensed Care

(1)

(2)

(3)

903 1332

65

587 1190

37

217 1124

24 84

154 232

2235

1777

75

1341

60

385

Total Demand for Child Care Spaces

Distribution

EXISTING SUPPLY (4)

371 1356

21 79

Child Care Spaces

1726

100

Family Child Care Home Supply

Child Care Center Supply

Current Child Care Supply

Distribution

EXISTING SURPLUS(SHORTAGE)

Distribution

Percentage of Demand Met

by Existing FacilitiesSpaces

Shortage of Family Child Care Home Spaces

Shortage of Center-Based Spaces

(5)

(6)

(6)

10

14

24

79 99

40 866

119 965

11 89

(252) (390)

39 61

32 71

(167) (40)

(85) (350)

179

906

1085

100

(642)

100

63

(207)

(434)

FINAL

Table B-5

Future Child Care Demand and Supply in 2025 in Burlingame

San Mateo County Child Care Study - 2016

Note All footnote references can be found in Table C-1 at the end of this file

Sources 2010 US Census ABAG Projections 2013 2014 American Community Survey ACS Journey-to-Work data 2006-2008 and 2006-2010

Child Care Coordinating Council of San Mateo County (4Cs) Community Care Licensing Brion Economics Inc

Prepared by Brion Economics Inc 2513-SMC NA Final Tables 61216 6122016

DALY CITYCOLMA

Child Care as of 2025

No of

Providers

Under 2 Years

Old

2 to 4 Year

Olds

Total 0 to 4

Years

EXISTING DEMAND Child Care Demand

Estimated Total Children

Average LFPRAdjustment Factor

Children With Working Parents

Licensed Care Demand Factor

Resident Children Needing Licensed Care

of Total Resident Children Needing Licensed Care

Children from Non-Resident Employees Needing

Licensed Care

(1)

(2)

(3)

2647 3793

74

1964 3467

37

727 3233

27 85

138 208

6440

5432

73

3960

61

346

Total Demand for Child Care Spaces

Distribution

EXISTING SUPPLY (4)

865 3441

20 80

Child Care Spaces

4306

100

Family Child Care Home Supply

Child Care Center Supply

Current Child Care Supply

Distribution

EXISTING SURPLUS(SHORTAGE)

Distribution

Percentage of Demand Met

by Existing FacilitiesSpaces

Shortage of Family Child Care Home Spaces

Shortage of Center-Based Spaces

(5)

(6)

(6)

25

28

28

288 362

84 1264

372 1626

19 81

(493) (1816)

21 79

43 47

(381) (404)

(111) (1412)

649

1348

1997

100

(2308)

100

46

(785)

(1523)

FINAL

Table B-6

Future C hild Care Demand and Supply in 2025 in Daly CityColma

San Mateo County Child Care Study - 2016

Note All footnote references can be found in Table C-1 at the end of this file

Sources 2010 US Census ABAG Projections 2013 2014 American Community Survey ACS Journey-to-Work data 2006-2008 and 2006-2010

Child Care Coordinating Council of San Mateo County (4Cs) Community Care Licensing Brion Economics Inc

Prepared by Brion Economics Inc 2513-SMC NA Final Tables 61216 6122016

EAST PALO ALTO

Child Care as of 2025

No of

Providers

Under 2 Years

Old

2 to 4 Year

Olds

Total 0 to 4

Years

EXISTING DEMAND Child Care Demand

Estimated Total Children

Average LFPRAdjustment Factor

Children With Working Parents

Licensed Care Demand Factor

Resident Children Needing Licensed Care

of Total Resident Children Needing Licensed Care

Children from Non-Resident Employees Needing

Licensed Care

(1)

(2)

(3)

1161 1849

71

822 1660

37

304 1545

26 84

20 30

3010

2482

75

1849

61

50

Total Demand for Child Care Spaces

Distribution

EXISTING SUPPLY (4)

324 1575

17 83

Child Care Spaces

1900

100

Family Child Care Home Supply

Child Care Center Supply

Current Child Care Supply

Distribution

EXISTING SURPLUS(SHORTAGE)

Distribution

Percentage of Demand Met

by Existing FacilitiesSpaces

Shortage of Family Child Care Home Spaces

Shortage of Center-Based Spaces

(5)

(6)

(6)

13

6

19

85 106

25 633

110 739

13 87

(215) (836)

20 80

34 47

(166) (120)

(49) (715)

191

658

849

100

(1050)

100

45

(286)

(764)

FINAL

Table B-7

Future Child Care Demand and Supply in 2025 in East Palo Alto

San Mateo County Child Care Study - 2016

Note All footnote references can be found in Table C-1 at the end of this file

Sources 2010 US Census ABAG Projections 2013 2014 American Community Survey ACS Journey-to-Work data 2006-2008 and 2006-2010

Child Care Coordinating Council of San Mateo County (4Cs) Community Care Licensing Brion Economics Inc

Prepared by Brion Economics Inc 2513-SMC NA Final Tables 61216 6122016

FOSTER CITY

Child Care as of 2025

No of

Providers

Under 2 Years

Old

2 to 4 Year

Olds

Total 0 to 4

Years

EXISTING DEMAND Child Care Demand

Estimated Total Children

Average LFPRAdjustment Factor

Children With Working Parents

Licensed Care Demand Factor

Resident Children Needing Licensed Care

of Total Resident Children Needing Licensed Care

Children from Non-Resident Employees Needing

Licensed Care

(1)

(2)

(3)

871 1330

63

550 1154

37

204 1079

23 81

80 120

2201

1705

75

1282

58

200

Total Demand for Child Care Spaces

Distribution

EXISTING SUPPLY (4)

283 1199

19 81

Child Care Spaces

1483

100

Family Child Care Home Supply

Child Care Center Supply

Current Child Care Supply

Distribution

EXISTING SURPLUS(SHORTAGE)

Distribution

Percentage of Demand Met

by Existing FacilitiesSpaces

Shortage of Family Child Care Home Spaces

Shortage of Center-Based Spaces

(5)

(6)

(6)

19

12

31

118 149

88 1200

206 1349

13 87

(77) 150

-106 206

73 112

(44) NA

(33) NA

267

1288

1555

100

73

100

105

(44)

(33)

FINAL

Table B-8

Future Child Care Demand and Supply in 2025 in Foster City

San Mateo County Child Care Study - 2016

Note All footnote references can be found in Table C-1 at the end of this file

Sources 2010 US Census ABAG Projections 2013 2014 American Community Survey ACS Journey-to-Work data 2006-2008 and 2006-2010

Child Care Coordinating Council of San Mateo County (4Cs) Community Care Licensing Brion Economics Inc

Prepared by Brion Economics Inc 2513-SMC NA Final Tables 61216 6122016

HALF MOON BAY REGION

Child Care as of 2025

No of

Providers

Under 2 Years

Old

2 to 4 Year

Olds

Total 0 to 4

Years

EXISTING DEMAND Child Care Demand

Estimated Total Children

Average LFPRAdjustment Factor

Children With Working Parents

Licensed Care Demand Factor

Resident Children Needing Licensed Care

of Total Resident Children Needing Licensed Care

Children from Non-Resident Employees Needing

Licensed Care

(1)

(2)

(3)

553 929

69

383 835

37

142 781

26 84

14 21

1482

1217

76

923

62

34

Total Demand for Child Care Spaces

Distribution

EXISTING SUPPLY (4)

155 802

16 84

Child Care Spaces

957

100

Family Child Care Home Supply

Child Care Center Supply

Current Child Care Supply

Distribution

EXISTING SURPLUS(SHORTAGE)

Distribution

Percentage of Demand Met

by Existing FacilitiesSpaces

Shortage of Family Child Care Home Spaces

Shortage of Center-Based Spaces

(5)

(6)

(6)

10

11

21

96 121

35 285

131 406

24 76

(24) (396)

6 94

84 51

(18) (118)

(6) (279)

216

320

536

100

(421)

100

56

(136)

(285)

FINAL

Table B-9

Future Child Care Demand and Supply in 2025 in Half Moon Bay Region

San Mateo County Child Care Study - 2016

Note All footnote references can be found in Table C-1 at the end of this file

Sources 2010 US Census ABAG Projections 2013 2014 American Community Survey ACS Journey-to-Work data 2006-2008 and 2006-2010

Child Care Coordinating Council of San Mateo County (4Cs) Community Care Licensing Brion Economics Inc

Prepared by Brion Economics Inc 2513-SMC NA Final Tables 61216 6122016

HILLSBOROUGH

Child Care as of 2025

No of

Providers

Under 2 Years

Old

2 to 4 Year

Olds

Total 0 to 4

Years

EXISTING DEMAND Child Care Demand

Estimated Total Children

Average LFPRAdjustment Factor

Children With Working Parents

Licensed Care Demand Factor

Resident Children Needing Licensed Care

of Total Resident Children Needing Licensed Care

Children from Non-Resident Employees Needing

Licensed Care

(1)

(2)

(3)

143 343

52

74 295

37

27 282

19 82

7 11

487

369

84

309

64

17

Total Demand for Child Care Spaces

Distribution

EXISTING SUPPLY (4)

34 292

10 90

Child Care Spaces

327

100

Family Child Care Home Supply

Child Care Center Supply

Current Child Care Supply

Distribution

EXISTING SURPLUS(SHORTAGE)

Distribution

Percentage of Demand Met

by Existing FacilitiesSpaces

Shortage of Family Child Care Home Spaces

Shortage of Center-Based Spaces

(5)

(6)

(6)

1

4

5

5 6

- 91

5 97

5 95

(29) (195)

13 87

14 33

(29) (12)

0 (183)

11

91

102

100

(225)

100

31

(42)

(183)

FINAL

Table B-10

Future Child Care Demand and Supply in 2025 in Hillsborough

San Mateo County Child Care Study - 2016

Note All footnote references can be found in Table C-1 at the end of this file

Sources 2010 US Census ABAG Projections 2013 2014 American Community Survey ACS Journey-to-Work data 2006-2008 and 2006-2010

Child Care Coordinating Council of San Mateo County (4Cs) Community Care Licensing Brion Economics Inc

Prepared by Brion Economics Inc 2513-SMC NA Final Tables 61216 6122016

MENLO PARK

Child Care as of 2025

No of

Providers

Under 2 Years

Old

2 to 4 Year

Olds

Total 0 to 4

Years

EXISTING DEMAND Child Care Demand

Estimated Total Children

Average LFPRAdjustment Factor

Children With Working Parents

Licensed Care Demand Factor

Resident Children Needing Licensed Care

of Total Resident Children Needing Licensed Care

Children from Non-Resident Employees Needing

Licensed Care

(1)

(2)

(3)

1327 1954

69

909 1759

37

336 1653

25 85

237 357

3281

2668

75

1989

61

594

Total Demand for Child Care Spaces

Distribution

EXISTING SUPPLY (4)

573 2011

22 78

Child Care Spaces

2584

100

Family Child Care Home Supply

Child Care Center Supply

Current Child Care Supply

Distribution

EXISTING SURPLUS(SHORTAGE)

Distribution

Percentage of Demand Met

by Existing FacilitiesSpaces

Shortage of Family Child Care Home Spaces

Shortage of Center-Based Spaces

(5)

(6)

(6)

15

25

40

76 96

73 1331

149 1427

9 91

(424) (584)

42 58

26 71

(217) (39)

(207) (544)

172

1404

1576

100

(1008)

100

61

(256)

(752)

FINAL

Table B-11

Future Child Care Demand and Supply in 2025 in Menlo Park

San Mateo County Child Care Study - 2016

Note All footnote references can be found in Table C-1 at the end of this file

Sources 2010 US Census ABAG Projections 2013 2014 American Community Survey ACS Journey-to-Work data 2006-2008 and 2006-2010

Child Care Coordinating Council of San Mateo County (4Cs) Community Care Licensing Brion Economics Inc

Prepared by Brion Economics Inc 2513-SMC NA Final Tables 61216 6122016

MILLBRAE

Child Care as of 2025

No of

Providers

Under 2 Years

Old

2 to 4 Year

Olds

Total 0 to 4

Years

EXISTING DEMAND Child Care Demand

Estimated Total Children

Average LFPRAdjustment Factor

Children With Working Parents

Licensed Care Demand Factor

Resident Children Needing Licensed Care

of Total Resident Children Needing Licensed Care

Children from Non-Resident Employees Needing

Licensed Care

(1)

(2)

(3)

473 805

62

291 710

37

108 672

23 83

31 47

1278

1001

78

780

61

77

Total Demand for Child Care Spaces

Distribution

EXISTING SUPPLY (4)

139 718

16 84

Child Care Spaces

857

100

Family Child Care Home Supply

Child Care Center Supply

Current Child Care Supply

Distribution

EXISTING SURPLUS(SHORTAGE)

Distribution

Percentage of Demand Met

by Existing FacilitiesSpaces

Shortage of Family Child Care Home Spaces

Shortage of Center-Based Spaces

(5)

(6)

(6)

7

7

14

62 78

- 376

62 454

12 88

(76) (264)

22 78

45 63

(76) (46)

0 (219)

141

376

517

100

(340)

100

60

(122)

(219)

FINAL

Table B-12

Future C hild Care Demand and Supply in 2025 in Millbrae

San Mateo County Child Care Study - 2016

Note All footnote references can be found in Table C-1 at the end of this file

Sources 2010 US Census ABAG Projections 2013 2014 American Community Survey ACS Journey-to-Work data 2006-2008 and 2006-2010

Child Care Coordinating Council of San Mateo County (4Cs) Community Care Licensing Brion Economics Inc

Prepared by Brion Economics Inc 2513-SMC NA Final Tables 61216 6122016

FINAL

Table B-13

Future Child Care Demand and Supply in 2025 in Pacifica

San Mateo County Child Care Study - 2016

PACIFICA

Child Care as of 2025

No of

Providers

Under 2 Years

Old

2 to 4 Year

Olds

Total 0 to 4

Years

EXISTING DEMAND Child Care Demand

Estimated Total Children

Average L FPRAdjustment Factor

Children With Working Parents

Licensed Care Demand Factor

Resident Children Needing Licensed Care

of Total Resident Children Needing Licensed Care

Children from Non-Resident Employees Needing

Licensed Care

(1)

(2)

(3)

816 1300

78

633 1209

37

234 1130

29 87

19 29

2116

1842

74

1364

64

48

Total Demand for Child Care Spaces

Distribution

EXISTING SUPPLY (4)

254 1159

18 82

Child Care Spaces

1413

100

Family Child Care Home Supply

Child Care Center Supply

Current Child Care Supply

Distribution

EXISTING SURPLUS(SHORTAGE)

Distribution

Percentage of Demand Met

by Existing FacilitiesSpaces

Shortage of Family Child Care Home Spaces

Shortage of Center-Based Spaces

(5)

(6)

(6)

9

18

27

77 97

39 701

116 798

13 87

(138) (361)

28 72

46 69

(91) (44)

(46) (317)

174

740

914

100

(499)

100

65

(135)

(364)

Note All footnote references can be found in Table C-1 at the end of this file

Sources 2010 US Census ABAG Projections 2013 2014 American Community Survey ACS Journey-to-Work data 2006-2008 and 2006-2010

Child Care Coordinating Council of San Mateo County (4Cs) Community Care Licensing Brion Economics Inc

Prepared by Brion Economics Inc 2513-SMC NA Final Tables 61216 6122016

PORTOLA VALLEY

Child Care as of 2025

No of

Providers

Under 2 Years

Old

2 to 4 Year

Olds

Total 0 to 4

Years

EXISTING DEMAND Child Care Demand

Estimated Total Children

Average LFPRAdjustment Factor

Children With Working Parents

Licensed Care Demand Factor

Resident Children Needing Licensed Care

of Total Resident Children Needing Licensed Care

Children from Non-Resident Employees Needing

Licensed Care

(1)

(2)

(3)

77 192

66

51 173

37

19 164

24 85

9 13

269

224

82

182

68

22

Total Demand for Child Care Spaces

Distribution

EXISTING SUPPLY (4)

28 177

13 87

Child Care Spaces

204

100

Family Child Care Home Supply

Child Care Center Supply

Current Child Care Supply

Distribution

EXISTING SURPLUS(SHORTAGE)

Distribution

Percentage of Demand Met

by Existing FacilitiesSpaces

Shortage of Family Child Care Home Spaces

Shortage of Center-Based Spaces

(5)

(6)

(6)

0

4

4

- -

- 153

- 153

0 100

(28) (24)

54 46

0 87

0 0

(28) (24)

0

153

153

100

(51)

100

75

0

(51)

FINAL

Table B-14

Future Child Care Demand and Supply in 2025 in Portola Valley

San Mateo County Child Care Study - 2016

Note All footnote references can be found in Table C-1 at the end of this file

Sources 2010 US Census ABAG Projections 2013 2014 American Community Survey ACS Journey-to-Work data 2006-2008 and 2006-2010

Child Care Coordinating Council of San Mateo County (4Cs) Community Care Licensing Brion Economics Inc

Prepared by Brion Economics Inc 2513-SMC NA Final Tables 61216 6122016

REDWOOD CITY

No of

Providers

Child Care as of 2025

Under 2 Years

Old

2 to 4 Year

Olds

Total 0 to 4

Years

EXISTING DEMAND Child Care Demand

Estimated Total Children

Average LFPRAdjustment Factor

Children With Working Parents

Licensed Care Demand Factor

Resident Children Needing Licensed Care

of Total Resident Children Needing Licensed Care

Children from Non-Resident Employees Needing

Licensed Care

Total Demand for Child Care Spaces

Distribution

EXISTING SUPPLY

(1)

(2)

(3)

(4)

3725 5378

69

2555 4813

37

946 4505

25 84

466 703

1411 5208

21 79

Child Care Spaces

9103

7368

74

5450

60

1169

6619

100

Family Child Care Home Supply

Child Care Center Supply

Current Child Care Supply

Distribution

EXISTING SURPLUS(SHORTAGE)

Distribution

Percentage of Demand Met

by Existing FacilitiesSpaces

Shortage of Family Child Care Home Spaces

Shortage of Center-Based Spaces

(5)

(6)

(6)

42

41

83

396 497

356 2036

752 2533

23 77

(660) (2674)

20 80

53 49

(347) (525)

(313) (2149)

893

2392

3285

100

(3334)

100

50

(872)

(2462)

FINAL

Table B-15

Future Child Care Demand and Supply in 2025 in Redwood City

San Mateo County Child Care Study - 2016

Note All footnote references can be found in Table C-1 at the end of this file

Sources 2010 US Census ABAG Projections 2013 2014 American Community Survey ACS Journey-to-Work data 2006-2008 and 2006-2010

Child Care Coordinating Council of San Mateo County (4Cs) Community Care Licensing Brion Economics Inc

Prepared by Brion Economics Inc 2513-SMC NA Final Tables 61216 6122016

SAN BRUNO

Child Care as of 2025

No of

Providers

Under 2 Years

Old

2 to 4 Year

Olds

Total 0 to 4

Years

EXISTING DEMAND Child Care Demand

Estimated Total Children

Average LFPRAdjustment Factor

Children With Working Parents

Licensed Care Demand Factor

Resident Children Needing Licensed Care

of Total Resident Children Needing Licensed Care

Children from Non-Resident Employees Needing

Licensed Care

(1)

(2)

(3)

1189 1728

77

910 1589

37

337 1475

28 85

68 103

2917

2498

73

1812

62

171

Total Demand for Child Care Spaces

Distribution

EXISTING SUPPLY (4)

405 1578

20 80

Child Care Spaces

1983

100

Family Child Care Home Supply

Child Care Center Supply

Current Child Care Supply

Distribution

EXISTING SURPLUS(SHORTAGE)

Distribution

Percentage of Demand Met

by Existing FacilitiesSpaces

Shortage of Family Child Care Home Spaces

Shortage of Center-Based Spaces

(5)

(6)

(6)

13

15

28

122 153

26 1183

148 1336

10 90

(257) (242)

52 48

37 85

(212) (28)

(45) (214)

275

1209

1484

100

(499)

100

75

(239)

(259)

FINAL

Table B-16

Future C hild Care Demand and Supply in 2025 in San Bruno

San Mateo County Child Care Study - 2016

Note All footnote references can be found in Table C-1 at the end of this file

Sources 2010 US Census ABAG Projections 2013 2014 American Community Survey ACS Journey-to-Work data 2006-2008 and 2006-2010

Child Care Coordinating Council of San Mateo County (4Cs) Community Care Licensing Brion Economics Inc

Prepared by Brion Economics Inc 2513-SMC NA Final Tables 61216 6122016

SAN CARLOS

Child Care as of 2025

No of

Providers

Under 2 Years

Old

2 to 4 Year

Olds

Total 0 to 4

Years

EXISTING DEMAND Child Care Demand

Estimated Total Children

Average LFPRAdjustment Factor

Children With Working Parents

Licensed Care Demand Factor

Resident Children Needing Licensed Care

of Total Resident Children Needing Licensed Care

Children from Non-Resident Employees Needing

Licensed Care

(1)

(2)

(3)

778 1384

72

557 1255

37

206 1174

26 85

82 123

2162

1812

76

1380

64

205

Total Demand for Child Care Spaces

Distribution

EXISTING SUPPLY (4)

288 1297

18 82

Child Care Spaces

1585

100

Family Child Care Home Supply

Child Care Center Supply

Current Child Care Supply

Distribution

EXISTING SURPLUS(SHORTAGE)

Distribution

Percentage of Demand Met

by Existing FacilitiesSpaces

Shortage of Family Child Care Home Spaces

Shortage of Center-Based Spaces

(5)

(6)

(6)

28

14

42

73 92

76 615

149 707

17 83

(139) (590)

19 81

52 54

(68) (76)

(71) (514)

164

691

855

100

(729)

100

54

(145)

(585)

FINAL

Table B-17

Future Child Care Demand and Supply in 2025 in San Carlos

San Mateo County Child Care Study - 2016

Note All footnote references can be found in Table C-1 at the end of this file

Sources 2010 US Census ABAG Projections 2013 2014 American Community Survey ACS Journey-to-Work data 2006-2008 and 2006-2010

Child Care Coordinating Council of San Mateo County (4Cs) Community Care Licensing Brion Economics Inc

Prepared by Brion Economics Inc 2513-SMC NA Final Tables 61216 6122016

SAN MATEO

Child Care as of 2025

No of

Providers

Under 2 Years

Old

2 to 4 Year

Olds

Total 0 to 4

Years

EXISTING DEMAND Child Care Demand

Estimated Total Children

Average LFPRAdjustment Factor

Children With Working Parents

Licensed Care Demand Factor

Resident Children Needing Licensed Care

of Total Resident Children Needing Licensed Care

Children from Non-Resident Employees Needing

Licensed Care

(1)

(2)

(3)

3194 4572

71

2264 4116

37

838 3839

26 84

261 394

7766

6381

73

4677

60

656

Total Demand for Child Care Spaces

Distribution

EXISTING SUPPLY (4)

1099 4233

21 79

Child Care Spaces

5332

100

Family Child Care Home Supply

Child Care Center Supply

Current Child Care Supply

Distribution

EXISTING SURPLUS(SHORTAGE)

Distribution

Percentage of Demand Met

by Existing FacilitiesSpaces

Shortage of Family Child Care Home Spaces

Shortage of Center-Based Spaces

(5)

(6)

(6)

69

59

128

492 619

209 2577

701 3196

18 82

(398) (1037)

28 72

64 75

(279) (201)

(119) (837)

1111

2786

3897

100

(1435)

100

73

(480)

(955)

FINAL

Table B-18

Future Child Care Demand and Supply in 2025 in San Mateo

San Mateo County Child Care Study - 2016

Note All footnote references can be found in Table C-1 at the end of this file

Sources 2010 US Census ABAG Projections 2013 2014 American Community Survey ACS Journey-to-Work data 2006-2008 and 2006-2010

Child Care Coordinating Council of San Mateo County (4Cs) Community Care Licensing Brion Economics Inc

Prepared by Brion Economics Inc 2513-SMC NA Final Tables 61216 6122016

FINAL

Table B-19

Future Child Care Demand and Supply in 2025 in South Coast

San Mateo County Child Care Study - 2016

SOUTH COAST

Child Care as of 2025

No of

Providers

Under 2 Years

Old

2 to 4 Year

Olds

Total 0 to 4

Years

EXISTING DEMAND Child Care Demand

Estimated Total Children (1) 23 32 55

Average LFPRAdjustment Factor (2) 54

Children With Working Parents 12 27 40

Licensed Care Demand Factor (3) 37 77

Resident Children Needing Licensed Care 5 26 30

of Total Resident Children Needing Licensed Care 20 81 56

Children from Non-Resident Employees Needing

Licensed Care 0 0 0

Total Demand for Child Care Spaces 5 26 30

Distribution 15 85 100

EXISTING SUPPLY (4) Child Care Spaces

Family Child Care Home Supply - 0 0 0

Child Care Center Supply 2 0 54 54

Current Child Care Supply 2 - 54 54

Distribution 0 100 100

EXISTING SURPLUS(SHORTAGE) (5) 28 24

Distribution -19 119 100

Percentage of Demand Met

by Existing FacilitiesSpaces (5) 0 209 177

Shortage of Family Child Care Home Spaces (6) 0 NA 0

Shortage of Center-Based Spaces (6) (5) NA (5)

Note All footnote references can be found in Table C-1 at the end of this file

Sources 2010 US Census ABAG Projections 2013 2014 American Community Survey ACS Journey-to-Work data 2006-2008 and 2006-2010

Child Care Coordinating Council of San Mateo County (4Cs) Community Care Licensing Brion Economics Inc

Prepared by Brion Economics Inc 2513-SMC NA Final Tables 61216 6122016

SOUTH SAN FRANCISCO

Child Care as of 2025

No of

Providers

Under 2 Years

Old

2 to 4 Year

Olds

Total 0 to 4

Years

EXISTING DEMAND Child Care Demand

Estimated Total Children

Average LFPRAdjustment Factor

Children With Working Parents

Licensed Care Demand Factor

Resident Children Needing Licensed Care

of Total Resident Children Needing Licensed Care

Children from Non-Resident Employees Needing

Licensed Care

(1)

(2)

(3)

1835 2790

73

1342 2535

37

496 2362

27 85

339 512

4625

3877

74

2859

62

851

Total Demand for Child Care Spaces

Distribution

EXISTING SUPPLY (4)

835 2874

23 77

Child Care Spaces

3709

100

Family Child Care Home Supply

Child Care Center Supply

Current Child Care Supply

Distribution

EXISTING SURPLUS(SHORTAGE)

Distribution

Percentage of Demand Met

by Existing FacilitiesSpaces

Shortage of Family Child Care Home Spaces

Shortage of Center-Based Spaces

(5)

(6)

(6)

30

27

57

252 317

400 1966

652 2283

22 78

(183) (591)

24 76

78 79

(71) (82)

(113) (509)

569

2366

2935

100

(775)

100

79

(153)

(622)

FINAL

Table B-20

Future Child Care Demand and Supply in 2025 in South San Francisco

San Mateo County Child Care Study - 2016

Note All footnote references can be found in Table C-1 at the end of this file

Sources 2010 US Census ABAG Projections 2013 2014 American Community Survey ACS Journey-to-Work data 2006-2008 and 2006-2010

Child Care Coordinating Council of San Mateo County (4Cs) Community Care Licensing Brion Economics Inc

Prepared by Brion Economics Inc 2513-SMC NA Final Tables 61216 6122016

WOODSIDE

No of

Providers

Child Care as of 2025

Under 2 Years

Old

2 to 4 Year

Olds

Total 0 to 4

Years

EXISTING DEMAND Child Care Demand

Estimated Total Children

Average LFPRAdjustment Factor

Children With Working Parents

Licensed Care Demand Factor

Resident Children Needing Licensed Care

of Total Resident Children Needing Licensed Care

Children from Non-Resident Employees Needing

Licensed Care

(1)

(2)

(3)

93 165

56

51 140

37

19 132

21 80

9 13

258

192

79

152

59

22

Total Demand for Child Care Spaces

Distribution

EXISTING SUPPLY (4)

28 146

16 84

Child Care Spaces

174

100

Family Child Care Home Supply

Child Care Center Supply

Current Child Care Supply

Distribution

EXISTING SURPLUS(SHORTAGE)

Distribution

Percentage of Demand Met

by Existing FacilitiesSpaces

Shortage of Family Child Care Home Spaces

Shortage of Center-Based Spaces

(5)

(6)

(6)

1

2

3

4 5

- 103

4 108

4 96

(24) (38)

39 61

15 74

(24) (2)

0 (36)

9

103

112

100

(61)

100

65

(26)

(36)

FINAL

Table B-21

Future Child Care Demand and Supply in 2025 in Woodside

San Mateo County Child Care Study - 2016

Note All footnote references can be found in Table C-1 at the end of this file

Sources 2010 US Census ABAG Projections 2013 2014 American Community Survey ACS Journey-to-Work data 2006-2008 and 2006-2010

Child Care Coordinating Council of San Mateo County (4Cs) Community Care Licensing Brion Economics Inc

Prepared by Brion Economics Inc 2513-SMC NA Final Tables 61216 6122016

FINAL

Table C-1

Endnotes for Tables

San Mateo County Child Care Study - 2016

(1) Population by age is based on the percentage breakdown from the 2010 US Census and applied

to population estimates for 2015 using ABAGs Projections 2013 population data The ABAG data

for each area includes its Sphere of Influence and is not based on strict jurisdictional boundaries

(2) Labor force participation rates are from the 5-Year American Community Survey 2014 and include

children under six years old with two working parents or a single working parent For the 2- to 4-year

olds the labor force participation rate is applied to 2 year olds For 3- and 4-year olds it is assumed

that 100 need licensed care to support preschool for every child so the number of

3- and 4-year olds is not discounted by labor force participation rates

(3) Not all children with working parents are assumed to need licensed care percentage assumptions are

used to calculate the number of children requiring licensed care under each age category The

remaining children are assumed to be cared for in alternate arrangements such as by family members

nannies friends and other unlicensed care For children ages 3- and 4-years old it is assumed that

they all need care in the form of preschool

(4) Data on child care supply provided by the Child Care Coordinating Council of San Mateo County (4Cs)

and Community Care Licensing Division of the California Department of Social Services (CCLD) Data is

for June 2015

(5) Demand that calculates as less than 100 means that there is greater demand than supply percent of

demand that is over 100 means supply exceeds demand

(6) Unmet demand is broken down into shortage by type of care based on the proportion of FCCHs and

child care centers spaces available in each area If an area does not have any FCCHs or centers the

unmet demand is placed in the type of care that is available in the area (eg if there are only centers

all demand goes to centers)

Source Brion Economics Inc

Prepared by Brion Economics Inc 2513-SMC NA Final Tables 61216 6122016

DRAFT REPORT

Table C-2

Labor Force Participation Rates by CityArea

San Mateo County Child Care Study - 2016

CityArea

Labor Force

Participation Rate (1)

Atherton

Belmont

Brisbane

Burlingame

Daly CityColma

East Palo Alto

Foster City

Half Moon Bay Region

Hillsborough

Menlo Park

Millbrae

Pacifica

Portola Valley

Redwood City

San Bruno

San Carlos

San Mateo

South Coast

South San Francisco

Woodside

40

77

100

65

74

71

63

69

52

69

62

78

66

69

77

72

71

54

73

56

(1) Labor force participation rates (LFPRs) are for

families with children under age six with two

working parents or a single parent who works Sources American Community Survey 2014 5-Year

Survey Brion Economics Inc

Prepared by Brion Economics Inc 2513-SMC NA Final Tables 61216 6122016

  • 2513-SMC FINAL NA Memo-61216
  • 2513-SMC NA Final Tables 61216
Page 48: Final San Mateo County Child Care Needs … Care...Future C hild Care Demand and Supply in 2025 in Daly City/Colma San Mateo County Child Care Study - 2016 Note: All footnote references

BURLINGAME

Child Care as of 2025

No of

Providers

Under 2 Years

Old

2 to 4 Year

Olds

Total 0 to 4

Years

EXISTING DEMAND Child Care Demand

Estimated Total Children

Average LFPRAdjustment Factor

Children With Working Parents

Licensed Care Demand Factor

Resident Children Needing Licensed Care

of Total Resident Children Needing Licensed Care

Children from Non-Resident Employees Needing

Licensed Care

(1)

(2)

(3)

903 1332

65

587 1190

37

217 1124

24 84

154 232

2235

1777

75

1341

60

385

Total Demand for Child Care Spaces

Distribution

EXISTING SUPPLY (4)

371 1356

21 79

Child Care Spaces

1726

100

Family Child Care Home Supply

Child Care Center Supply

Current Child Care Supply

Distribution

EXISTING SURPLUS(SHORTAGE)

Distribution

Percentage of Demand Met

by Existing FacilitiesSpaces

Shortage of Family Child Care Home Spaces

Shortage of Center-Based Spaces

(5)

(6)

(6)

10

14

24

79 99

40 866

119 965

11 89

(252) (390)

39 61

32 71

(167) (40)

(85) (350)

179

906

1085

100

(642)

100

63

(207)

(434)

FINAL

Table B-5

Future Child Care Demand and Supply in 2025 in Burlingame

San Mateo County Child Care Study - 2016

Note All footnote references can be found in Table C-1 at the end of this file

Sources 2010 US Census ABAG Projections 2013 2014 American Community Survey ACS Journey-to-Work data 2006-2008 and 2006-2010

Child Care Coordinating Council of San Mateo County (4Cs) Community Care Licensing Brion Economics Inc

Prepared by Brion Economics Inc 2513-SMC NA Final Tables 61216 6122016

DALY CITYCOLMA

Child Care as of 2025

No of

Providers

Under 2 Years

Old

2 to 4 Year

Olds

Total 0 to 4

Years

EXISTING DEMAND Child Care Demand

Estimated Total Children

Average LFPRAdjustment Factor

Children With Working Parents

Licensed Care Demand Factor

Resident Children Needing Licensed Care

of Total Resident Children Needing Licensed Care

Children from Non-Resident Employees Needing

Licensed Care

(1)

(2)

(3)

2647 3793

74

1964 3467

37

727 3233

27 85

138 208

6440

5432

73

3960

61

346

Total Demand for Child Care Spaces

Distribution

EXISTING SUPPLY (4)

865 3441

20 80

Child Care Spaces

4306

100

Family Child Care Home Supply

Child Care Center Supply

Current Child Care Supply

Distribution

EXISTING SURPLUS(SHORTAGE)

Distribution

Percentage of Demand Met

by Existing FacilitiesSpaces

Shortage of Family Child Care Home Spaces

Shortage of Center-Based Spaces

(5)

(6)

(6)

25

28

28

288 362

84 1264

372 1626

19 81

(493) (1816)

21 79

43 47

(381) (404)

(111) (1412)

649

1348

1997

100

(2308)

100

46

(785)

(1523)

FINAL

Table B-6

Future C hild Care Demand and Supply in 2025 in Daly CityColma

San Mateo County Child Care Study - 2016

Note All footnote references can be found in Table C-1 at the end of this file

Sources 2010 US Census ABAG Projections 2013 2014 American Community Survey ACS Journey-to-Work data 2006-2008 and 2006-2010

Child Care Coordinating Council of San Mateo County (4Cs) Community Care Licensing Brion Economics Inc

Prepared by Brion Economics Inc 2513-SMC NA Final Tables 61216 6122016

EAST PALO ALTO

Child Care as of 2025

No of

Providers

Under 2 Years

Old

2 to 4 Year

Olds

Total 0 to 4

Years

EXISTING DEMAND Child Care Demand

Estimated Total Children

Average LFPRAdjustment Factor

Children With Working Parents

Licensed Care Demand Factor

Resident Children Needing Licensed Care

of Total Resident Children Needing Licensed Care

Children from Non-Resident Employees Needing

Licensed Care

(1)

(2)

(3)

1161 1849

71

822 1660

37

304 1545

26 84

20 30

3010

2482

75

1849

61

50

Total Demand for Child Care Spaces

Distribution

EXISTING SUPPLY (4)

324 1575

17 83

Child Care Spaces

1900

100

Family Child Care Home Supply

Child Care Center Supply

Current Child Care Supply

Distribution

EXISTING SURPLUS(SHORTAGE)

Distribution

Percentage of Demand Met

by Existing FacilitiesSpaces

Shortage of Family Child Care Home Spaces

Shortage of Center-Based Spaces

(5)

(6)

(6)

13

6

19

85 106

25 633

110 739

13 87

(215) (836)

20 80

34 47

(166) (120)

(49) (715)

191

658

849

100

(1050)

100

45

(286)

(764)

FINAL

Table B-7

Future Child Care Demand and Supply in 2025 in East Palo Alto

San Mateo County Child Care Study - 2016

Note All footnote references can be found in Table C-1 at the end of this file

Sources 2010 US Census ABAG Projections 2013 2014 American Community Survey ACS Journey-to-Work data 2006-2008 and 2006-2010

Child Care Coordinating Council of San Mateo County (4Cs) Community Care Licensing Brion Economics Inc

Prepared by Brion Economics Inc 2513-SMC NA Final Tables 61216 6122016

FOSTER CITY

Child Care as of 2025

No of

Providers

Under 2 Years

Old

2 to 4 Year

Olds

Total 0 to 4

Years

EXISTING DEMAND Child Care Demand

Estimated Total Children

Average LFPRAdjustment Factor

Children With Working Parents

Licensed Care Demand Factor

Resident Children Needing Licensed Care

of Total Resident Children Needing Licensed Care

Children from Non-Resident Employees Needing

Licensed Care

(1)

(2)

(3)

871 1330

63

550 1154

37

204 1079

23 81

80 120

2201

1705

75

1282

58

200

Total Demand for Child Care Spaces

Distribution

EXISTING SUPPLY (4)

283 1199

19 81

Child Care Spaces

1483

100

Family Child Care Home Supply

Child Care Center Supply

Current Child Care Supply

Distribution

EXISTING SURPLUS(SHORTAGE)

Distribution

Percentage of Demand Met

by Existing FacilitiesSpaces

Shortage of Family Child Care Home Spaces

Shortage of Center-Based Spaces

(5)

(6)

(6)

19

12

31

118 149

88 1200

206 1349

13 87

(77) 150

-106 206

73 112

(44) NA

(33) NA

267

1288

1555

100

73

100

105

(44)

(33)

FINAL

Table B-8

Future Child Care Demand and Supply in 2025 in Foster City

San Mateo County Child Care Study - 2016

Note All footnote references can be found in Table C-1 at the end of this file

Sources 2010 US Census ABAG Projections 2013 2014 American Community Survey ACS Journey-to-Work data 2006-2008 and 2006-2010

Child Care Coordinating Council of San Mateo County (4Cs) Community Care Licensing Brion Economics Inc

Prepared by Brion Economics Inc 2513-SMC NA Final Tables 61216 6122016

HALF MOON BAY REGION

Child Care as of 2025

No of

Providers

Under 2 Years

Old

2 to 4 Year

Olds

Total 0 to 4

Years

EXISTING DEMAND Child Care Demand

Estimated Total Children

Average LFPRAdjustment Factor

Children With Working Parents

Licensed Care Demand Factor

Resident Children Needing Licensed Care

of Total Resident Children Needing Licensed Care

Children from Non-Resident Employees Needing

Licensed Care

(1)

(2)

(3)

553 929

69

383 835

37

142 781

26 84

14 21

1482

1217

76

923

62

34

Total Demand for Child Care Spaces

Distribution

EXISTING SUPPLY (4)

155 802

16 84

Child Care Spaces

957

100

Family Child Care Home Supply

Child Care Center Supply

Current Child Care Supply

Distribution

EXISTING SURPLUS(SHORTAGE)

Distribution

Percentage of Demand Met

by Existing FacilitiesSpaces

Shortage of Family Child Care Home Spaces

Shortage of Center-Based Spaces

(5)

(6)

(6)

10

11

21

96 121

35 285

131 406

24 76

(24) (396)

6 94

84 51

(18) (118)

(6) (279)

216

320

536

100

(421)

100

56

(136)

(285)

FINAL

Table B-9

Future Child Care Demand and Supply in 2025 in Half Moon Bay Region

San Mateo County Child Care Study - 2016

Note All footnote references can be found in Table C-1 at the end of this file

Sources 2010 US Census ABAG Projections 2013 2014 American Community Survey ACS Journey-to-Work data 2006-2008 and 2006-2010

Child Care Coordinating Council of San Mateo County (4Cs) Community Care Licensing Brion Economics Inc

Prepared by Brion Economics Inc 2513-SMC NA Final Tables 61216 6122016

HILLSBOROUGH

Child Care as of 2025

No of

Providers

Under 2 Years

Old

2 to 4 Year

Olds

Total 0 to 4

Years

EXISTING DEMAND Child Care Demand

Estimated Total Children

Average LFPRAdjustment Factor

Children With Working Parents

Licensed Care Demand Factor

Resident Children Needing Licensed Care

of Total Resident Children Needing Licensed Care

Children from Non-Resident Employees Needing

Licensed Care

(1)

(2)

(3)

143 343

52

74 295

37

27 282

19 82

7 11

487

369

84

309

64

17

Total Demand for Child Care Spaces

Distribution

EXISTING SUPPLY (4)

34 292

10 90

Child Care Spaces

327

100

Family Child Care Home Supply

Child Care Center Supply

Current Child Care Supply

Distribution

EXISTING SURPLUS(SHORTAGE)

Distribution

Percentage of Demand Met

by Existing FacilitiesSpaces

Shortage of Family Child Care Home Spaces

Shortage of Center-Based Spaces

(5)

(6)

(6)

1

4

5

5 6

- 91

5 97

5 95

(29) (195)

13 87

14 33

(29) (12)

0 (183)

11

91

102

100

(225)

100

31

(42)

(183)

FINAL

Table B-10

Future Child Care Demand and Supply in 2025 in Hillsborough

San Mateo County Child Care Study - 2016

Note All footnote references can be found in Table C-1 at the end of this file

Sources 2010 US Census ABAG Projections 2013 2014 American Community Survey ACS Journey-to-Work data 2006-2008 and 2006-2010

Child Care Coordinating Council of San Mateo County (4Cs) Community Care Licensing Brion Economics Inc

Prepared by Brion Economics Inc 2513-SMC NA Final Tables 61216 6122016

MENLO PARK

Child Care as of 2025

No of

Providers

Under 2 Years

Old

2 to 4 Year

Olds

Total 0 to 4

Years

EXISTING DEMAND Child Care Demand

Estimated Total Children

Average LFPRAdjustment Factor

Children With Working Parents

Licensed Care Demand Factor

Resident Children Needing Licensed Care

of Total Resident Children Needing Licensed Care

Children from Non-Resident Employees Needing

Licensed Care

(1)

(2)

(3)

1327 1954

69

909 1759

37

336 1653

25 85

237 357

3281

2668

75

1989

61

594

Total Demand for Child Care Spaces

Distribution

EXISTING SUPPLY (4)

573 2011

22 78

Child Care Spaces

2584

100

Family Child Care Home Supply

Child Care Center Supply

Current Child Care Supply

Distribution

EXISTING SURPLUS(SHORTAGE)

Distribution

Percentage of Demand Met

by Existing FacilitiesSpaces

Shortage of Family Child Care Home Spaces

Shortage of Center-Based Spaces

(5)

(6)

(6)

15

25

40

76 96

73 1331

149 1427

9 91

(424) (584)

42 58

26 71

(217) (39)

(207) (544)

172

1404

1576

100

(1008)

100

61

(256)

(752)

FINAL

Table B-11

Future Child Care Demand and Supply in 2025 in Menlo Park

San Mateo County Child Care Study - 2016

Note All footnote references can be found in Table C-1 at the end of this file

Sources 2010 US Census ABAG Projections 2013 2014 American Community Survey ACS Journey-to-Work data 2006-2008 and 2006-2010

Child Care Coordinating Council of San Mateo County (4Cs) Community Care Licensing Brion Economics Inc

Prepared by Brion Economics Inc 2513-SMC NA Final Tables 61216 6122016

MILLBRAE

Child Care as of 2025

No of

Providers

Under 2 Years

Old

2 to 4 Year

Olds

Total 0 to 4

Years

EXISTING DEMAND Child Care Demand

Estimated Total Children

Average LFPRAdjustment Factor

Children With Working Parents

Licensed Care Demand Factor

Resident Children Needing Licensed Care

of Total Resident Children Needing Licensed Care

Children from Non-Resident Employees Needing

Licensed Care

(1)

(2)

(3)

473 805

62

291 710

37

108 672

23 83

31 47

1278

1001

78

780

61

77

Total Demand for Child Care Spaces

Distribution

EXISTING SUPPLY (4)

139 718

16 84

Child Care Spaces

857

100

Family Child Care Home Supply

Child Care Center Supply

Current Child Care Supply

Distribution

EXISTING SURPLUS(SHORTAGE)

Distribution

Percentage of Demand Met

by Existing FacilitiesSpaces

Shortage of Family Child Care Home Spaces

Shortage of Center-Based Spaces

(5)

(6)

(6)

7

7

14

62 78

- 376

62 454

12 88

(76) (264)

22 78

45 63

(76) (46)

0 (219)

141

376

517

100

(340)

100

60

(122)

(219)

FINAL

Table B-12

Future C hild Care Demand and Supply in 2025 in Millbrae

San Mateo County Child Care Study - 2016

Note All footnote references can be found in Table C-1 at the end of this file

Sources 2010 US Census ABAG Projections 2013 2014 American Community Survey ACS Journey-to-Work data 2006-2008 and 2006-2010

Child Care Coordinating Council of San Mateo County (4Cs) Community Care Licensing Brion Economics Inc

Prepared by Brion Economics Inc 2513-SMC NA Final Tables 61216 6122016

FINAL

Table B-13

Future Child Care Demand and Supply in 2025 in Pacifica

San Mateo County Child Care Study - 2016

PACIFICA

Child Care as of 2025

No of

Providers

Under 2 Years

Old

2 to 4 Year

Olds

Total 0 to 4

Years

EXISTING DEMAND Child Care Demand

Estimated Total Children

Average L FPRAdjustment Factor

Children With Working Parents

Licensed Care Demand Factor

Resident Children Needing Licensed Care

of Total Resident Children Needing Licensed Care

Children from Non-Resident Employees Needing

Licensed Care

(1)

(2)

(3)

816 1300

78

633 1209

37

234 1130

29 87

19 29

2116

1842

74

1364

64

48

Total Demand for Child Care Spaces

Distribution

EXISTING SUPPLY (4)

254 1159

18 82

Child Care Spaces

1413

100

Family Child Care Home Supply

Child Care Center Supply

Current Child Care Supply

Distribution

EXISTING SURPLUS(SHORTAGE)

Distribution

Percentage of Demand Met

by Existing FacilitiesSpaces

Shortage of Family Child Care Home Spaces

Shortage of Center-Based Spaces

(5)

(6)

(6)

9

18

27

77 97

39 701

116 798

13 87

(138) (361)

28 72

46 69

(91) (44)

(46) (317)

174

740

914

100

(499)

100

65

(135)

(364)

Note All footnote references can be found in Table C-1 at the end of this file

Sources 2010 US Census ABAG Projections 2013 2014 American Community Survey ACS Journey-to-Work data 2006-2008 and 2006-2010

Child Care Coordinating Council of San Mateo County (4Cs) Community Care Licensing Brion Economics Inc

Prepared by Brion Economics Inc 2513-SMC NA Final Tables 61216 6122016

PORTOLA VALLEY

Child Care as of 2025

No of

Providers

Under 2 Years

Old

2 to 4 Year

Olds

Total 0 to 4

Years

EXISTING DEMAND Child Care Demand

Estimated Total Children

Average LFPRAdjustment Factor

Children With Working Parents

Licensed Care Demand Factor

Resident Children Needing Licensed Care

of Total Resident Children Needing Licensed Care

Children from Non-Resident Employees Needing

Licensed Care

(1)

(2)

(3)

77 192

66

51 173

37

19 164

24 85

9 13

269

224

82

182

68

22

Total Demand for Child Care Spaces

Distribution

EXISTING SUPPLY (4)

28 177

13 87

Child Care Spaces

204

100

Family Child Care Home Supply

Child Care Center Supply

Current Child Care Supply

Distribution

EXISTING SURPLUS(SHORTAGE)

Distribution

Percentage of Demand Met

by Existing FacilitiesSpaces

Shortage of Family Child Care Home Spaces

Shortage of Center-Based Spaces

(5)

(6)

(6)

0

4

4

- -

- 153

- 153

0 100

(28) (24)

54 46

0 87

0 0

(28) (24)

0

153

153

100

(51)

100

75

0

(51)

FINAL

Table B-14

Future Child Care Demand and Supply in 2025 in Portola Valley

San Mateo County Child Care Study - 2016

Note All footnote references can be found in Table C-1 at the end of this file

Sources 2010 US Census ABAG Projections 2013 2014 American Community Survey ACS Journey-to-Work data 2006-2008 and 2006-2010

Child Care Coordinating Council of San Mateo County (4Cs) Community Care Licensing Brion Economics Inc

Prepared by Brion Economics Inc 2513-SMC NA Final Tables 61216 6122016

REDWOOD CITY

No of

Providers

Child Care as of 2025

Under 2 Years

Old

2 to 4 Year

Olds

Total 0 to 4

Years

EXISTING DEMAND Child Care Demand

Estimated Total Children

Average LFPRAdjustment Factor

Children With Working Parents

Licensed Care Demand Factor

Resident Children Needing Licensed Care

of Total Resident Children Needing Licensed Care

Children from Non-Resident Employees Needing

Licensed Care

Total Demand for Child Care Spaces

Distribution

EXISTING SUPPLY

(1)

(2)

(3)

(4)

3725 5378

69

2555 4813

37

946 4505

25 84

466 703

1411 5208

21 79

Child Care Spaces

9103

7368

74

5450

60

1169

6619

100

Family Child Care Home Supply

Child Care Center Supply

Current Child Care Supply

Distribution

EXISTING SURPLUS(SHORTAGE)

Distribution

Percentage of Demand Met

by Existing FacilitiesSpaces

Shortage of Family Child Care Home Spaces

Shortage of Center-Based Spaces

(5)

(6)

(6)

42

41

83

396 497

356 2036

752 2533

23 77

(660) (2674)

20 80

53 49

(347) (525)

(313) (2149)

893

2392

3285

100

(3334)

100

50

(872)

(2462)

FINAL

Table B-15

Future Child Care Demand and Supply in 2025 in Redwood City

San Mateo County Child Care Study - 2016

Note All footnote references can be found in Table C-1 at the end of this file

Sources 2010 US Census ABAG Projections 2013 2014 American Community Survey ACS Journey-to-Work data 2006-2008 and 2006-2010

Child Care Coordinating Council of San Mateo County (4Cs) Community Care Licensing Brion Economics Inc

Prepared by Brion Economics Inc 2513-SMC NA Final Tables 61216 6122016

SAN BRUNO

Child Care as of 2025

No of

Providers

Under 2 Years

Old

2 to 4 Year

Olds

Total 0 to 4

Years

EXISTING DEMAND Child Care Demand

Estimated Total Children

Average LFPRAdjustment Factor

Children With Working Parents

Licensed Care Demand Factor

Resident Children Needing Licensed Care

of Total Resident Children Needing Licensed Care

Children from Non-Resident Employees Needing

Licensed Care

(1)

(2)

(3)

1189 1728

77

910 1589

37

337 1475

28 85

68 103

2917

2498

73

1812

62

171

Total Demand for Child Care Spaces

Distribution

EXISTING SUPPLY (4)

405 1578

20 80

Child Care Spaces

1983

100

Family Child Care Home Supply

Child Care Center Supply

Current Child Care Supply

Distribution

EXISTING SURPLUS(SHORTAGE)

Distribution

Percentage of Demand Met

by Existing FacilitiesSpaces

Shortage of Family Child Care Home Spaces

Shortage of Center-Based Spaces

(5)

(6)

(6)

13

15

28

122 153

26 1183

148 1336

10 90

(257) (242)

52 48

37 85

(212) (28)

(45) (214)

275

1209

1484

100

(499)

100

75

(239)

(259)

FINAL

Table B-16

Future C hild Care Demand and Supply in 2025 in San Bruno

San Mateo County Child Care Study - 2016

Note All footnote references can be found in Table C-1 at the end of this file

Sources 2010 US Census ABAG Projections 2013 2014 American Community Survey ACS Journey-to-Work data 2006-2008 and 2006-2010

Child Care Coordinating Council of San Mateo County (4Cs) Community Care Licensing Brion Economics Inc

Prepared by Brion Economics Inc 2513-SMC NA Final Tables 61216 6122016

SAN CARLOS

Child Care as of 2025

No of

Providers

Under 2 Years

Old

2 to 4 Year

Olds

Total 0 to 4

Years

EXISTING DEMAND Child Care Demand

Estimated Total Children

Average LFPRAdjustment Factor

Children With Working Parents

Licensed Care Demand Factor

Resident Children Needing Licensed Care

of Total Resident Children Needing Licensed Care

Children from Non-Resident Employees Needing

Licensed Care

(1)

(2)

(3)

778 1384

72

557 1255

37

206 1174

26 85

82 123

2162

1812

76

1380

64

205

Total Demand for Child Care Spaces

Distribution

EXISTING SUPPLY (4)

288 1297

18 82

Child Care Spaces

1585

100

Family Child Care Home Supply

Child Care Center Supply

Current Child Care Supply

Distribution

EXISTING SURPLUS(SHORTAGE)

Distribution

Percentage of Demand Met

by Existing FacilitiesSpaces

Shortage of Family Child Care Home Spaces

Shortage of Center-Based Spaces

(5)

(6)

(6)

28

14

42

73 92

76 615

149 707

17 83

(139) (590)

19 81

52 54

(68) (76)

(71) (514)

164

691

855

100

(729)

100

54

(145)

(585)

FINAL

Table B-17

Future Child Care Demand and Supply in 2025 in San Carlos

San Mateo County Child Care Study - 2016

Note All footnote references can be found in Table C-1 at the end of this file

Sources 2010 US Census ABAG Projections 2013 2014 American Community Survey ACS Journey-to-Work data 2006-2008 and 2006-2010

Child Care Coordinating Council of San Mateo County (4Cs) Community Care Licensing Brion Economics Inc

Prepared by Brion Economics Inc 2513-SMC NA Final Tables 61216 6122016

SAN MATEO

Child Care as of 2025

No of

Providers

Under 2 Years

Old

2 to 4 Year

Olds

Total 0 to 4

Years

EXISTING DEMAND Child Care Demand

Estimated Total Children

Average LFPRAdjustment Factor

Children With Working Parents

Licensed Care Demand Factor

Resident Children Needing Licensed Care

of Total Resident Children Needing Licensed Care

Children from Non-Resident Employees Needing

Licensed Care

(1)

(2)

(3)

3194 4572

71

2264 4116

37

838 3839

26 84

261 394

7766

6381

73

4677

60

656

Total Demand for Child Care Spaces

Distribution

EXISTING SUPPLY (4)

1099 4233

21 79

Child Care Spaces

5332

100

Family Child Care Home Supply

Child Care Center Supply

Current Child Care Supply

Distribution

EXISTING SURPLUS(SHORTAGE)

Distribution

Percentage of Demand Met

by Existing FacilitiesSpaces

Shortage of Family Child Care Home Spaces

Shortage of Center-Based Spaces

(5)

(6)

(6)

69

59

128

492 619

209 2577

701 3196

18 82

(398) (1037)

28 72

64 75

(279) (201)

(119) (837)

1111

2786

3897

100

(1435)

100

73

(480)

(955)

FINAL

Table B-18

Future Child Care Demand and Supply in 2025 in San Mateo

San Mateo County Child Care Study - 2016

Note All footnote references can be found in Table C-1 at the end of this file

Sources 2010 US Census ABAG Projections 2013 2014 American Community Survey ACS Journey-to-Work data 2006-2008 and 2006-2010

Child Care Coordinating Council of San Mateo County (4Cs) Community Care Licensing Brion Economics Inc

Prepared by Brion Economics Inc 2513-SMC NA Final Tables 61216 6122016

FINAL

Table B-19

Future Child Care Demand and Supply in 2025 in South Coast

San Mateo County Child Care Study - 2016

SOUTH COAST

Child Care as of 2025

No of

Providers

Under 2 Years

Old

2 to 4 Year

Olds

Total 0 to 4

Years

EXISTING DEMAND Child Care Demand

Estimated Total Children (1) 23 32 55

Average LFPRAdjustment Factor (2) 54

Children With Working Parents 12 27 40

Licensed Care Demand Factor (3) 37 77

Resident Children Needing Licensed Care 5 26 30

of Total Resident Children Needing Licensed Care 20 81 56

Children from Non-Resident Employees Needing

Licensed Care 0 0 0

Total Demand for Child Care Spaces 5 26 30

Distribution 15 85 100

EXISTING SUPPLY (4) Child Care Spaces

Family Child Care Home Supply - 0 0 0

Child Care Center Supply 2 0 54 54

Current Child Care Supply 2 - 54 54

Distribution 0 100 100

EXISTING SURPLUS(SHORTAGE) (5) 28 24

Distribution -19 119 100

Percentage of Demand Met

by Existing FacilitiesSpaces (5) 0 209 177

Shortage of Family Child Care Home Spaces (6) 0 NA 0

Shortage of Center-Based Spaces (6) (5) NA (5)

Note All footnote references can be found in Table C-1 at the end of this file

Sources 2010 US Census ABAG Projections 2013 2014 American Community Survey ACS Journey-to-Work data 2006-2008 and 2006-2010

Child Care Coordinating Council of San Mateo County (4Cs) Community Care Licensing Brion Economics Inc

Prepared by Brion Economics Inc 2513-SMC NA Final Tables 61216 6122016

SOUTH SAN FRANCISCO

Child Care as of 2025

No of

Providers

Under 2 Years

Old

2 to 4 Year

Olds

Total 0 to 4

Years

EXISTING DEMAND Child Care Demand

Estimated Total Children

Average LFPRAdjustment Factor

Children With Working Parents

Licensed Care Demand Factor

Resident Children Needing Licensed Care

of Total Resident Children Needing Licensed Care

Children from Non-Resident Employees Needing

Licensed Care

(1)

(2)

(3)

1835 2790

73

1342 2535

37

496 2362

27 85

339 512

4625

3877

74

2859

62

851

Total Demand for Child Care Spaces

Distribution

EXISTING SUPPLY (4)

835 2874

23 77

Child Care Spaces

3709

100

Family Child Care Home Supply

Child Care Center Supply

Current Child Care Supply

Distribution

EXISTING SURPLUS(SHORTAGE)

Distribution

Percentage of Demand Met

by Existing FacilitiesSpaces

Shortage of Family Child Care Home Spaces

Shortage of Center-Based Spaces

(5)

(6)

(6)

30

27

57

252 317

400 1966

652 2283

22 78

(183) (591)

24 76

78 79

(71) (82)

(113) (509)

569

2366

2935

100

(775)

100

79

(153)

(622)

FINAL

Table B-20

Future Child Care Demand and Supply in 2025 in South San Francisco

San Mateo County Child Care Study - 2016

Note All footnote references can be found in Table C-1 at the end of this file

Sources 2010 US Census ABAG Projections 2013 2014 American Community Survey ACS Journey-to-Work data 2006-2008 and 2006-2010

Child Care Coordinating Council of San Mateo County (4Cs) Community Care Licensing Brion Economics Inc

Prepared by Brion Economics Inc 2513-SMC NA Final Tables 61216 6122016

WOODSIDE

No of

Providers

Child Care as of 2025

Under 2 Years

Old

2 to 4 Year

Olds

Total 0 to 4

Years

EXISTING DEMAND Child Care Demand

Estimated Total Children

Average LFPRAdjustment Factor

Children With Working Parents

Licensed Care Demand Factor

Resident Children Needing Licensed Care

of Total Resident Children Needing Licensed Care

Children from Non-Resident Employees Needing

Licensed Care

(1)

(2)

(3)

93 165

56

51 140

37

19 132

21 80

9 13

258

192

79

152

59

22

Total Demand for Child Care Spaces

Distribution

EXISTING SUPPLY (4)

28 146

16 84

Child Care Spaces

174

100

Family Child Care Home Supply

Child Care Center Supply

Current Child Care Supply

Distribution

EXISTING SURPLUS(SHORTAGE)

Distribution

Percentage of Demand Met

by Existing FacilitiesSpaces

Shortage of Family Child Care Home Spaces

Shortage of Center-Based Spaces

(5)

(6)

(6)

1

2

3

4 5

- 103

4 108

4 96

(24) (38)

39 61

15 74

(24) (2)

0 (36)

9

103

112

100

(61)

100

65

(26)

(36)

FINAL

Table B-21

Future Child Care Demand and Supply in 2025 in Woodside

San Mateo County Child Care Study - 2016

Note All footnote references can be found in Table C-1 at the end of this file

Sources 2010 US Census ABAG Projections 2013 2014 American Community Survey ACS Journey-to-Work data 2006-2008 and 2006-2010

Child Care Coordinating Council of San Mateo County (4Cs) Community Care Licensing Brion Economics Inc

Prepared by Brion Economics Inc 2513-SMC NA Final Tables 61216 6122016

FINAL

Table C-1

Endnotes for Tables

San Mateo County Child Care Study - 2016

(1) Population by age is based on the percentage breakdown from the 2010 US Census and applied

to population estimates for 2015 using ABAGs Projections 2013 population data The ABAG data

for each area includes its Sphere of Influence and is not based on strict jurisdictional boundaries

(2) Labor force participation rates are from the 5-Year American Community Survey 2014 and include

children under six years old with two working parents or a single working parent For the 2- to 4-year

olds the labor force participation rate is applied to 2 year olds For 3- and 4-year olds it is assumed

that 100 need licensed care to support preschool for every child so the number of

3- and 4-year olds is not discounted by labor force participation rates

(3) Not all children with working parents are assumed to need licensed care percentage assumptions are

used to calculate the number of children requiring licensed care under each age category The

remaining children are assumed to be cared for in alternate arrangements such as by family members

nannies friends and other unlicensed care For children ages 3- and 4-years old it is assumed that

they all need care in the form of preschool

(4) Data on child care supply provided by the Child Care Coordinating Council of San Mateo County (4Cs)

and Community Care Licensing Division of the California Department of Social Services (CCLD) Data is

for June 2015

(5) Demand that calculates as less than 100 means that there is greater demand than supply percent of

demand that is over 100 means supply exceeds demand

(6) Unmet demand is broken down into shortage by type of care based on the proportion of FCCHs and

child care centers spaces available in each area If an area does not have any FCCHs or centers the

unmet demand is placed in the type of care that is available in the area (eg if there are only centers

all demand goes to centers)

Source Brion Economics Inc

Prepared by Brion Economics Inc 2513-SMC NA Final Tables 61216 6122016

DRAFT REPORT

Table C-2

Labor Force Participation Rates by CityArea

San Mateo County Child Care Study - 2016

CityArea

Labor Force

Participation Rate (1)

Atherton

Belmont

Brisbane

Burlingame

Daly CityColma

East Palo Alto

Foster City

Half Moon Bay Region

Hillsborough

Menlo Park

Millbrae

Pacifica

Portola Valley

Redwood City

San Bruno

San Carlos

San Mateo

South Coast

South San Francisco

Woodside

40

77

100

65

74

71

63

69

52

69

62

78

66

69

77

72

71

54

73

56

(1) Labor force participation rates (LFPRs) are for

families with children under age six with two

working parents or a single parent who works Sources American Community Survey 2014 5-Year

Survey Brion Economics Inc

Prepared by Brion Economics Inc 2513-SMC NA Final Tables 61216 6122016

  • 2513-SMC FINAL NA Memo-61216
  • 2513-SMC NA Final Tables 61216
Page 49: Final San Mateo County Child Care Needs … Care...Future C hild Care Demand and Supply in 2025 in Daly City/Colma San Mateo County Child Care Study - 2016 Note: All footnote references

DALY CITYCOLMA

Child Care as of 2025

No of

Providers

Under 2 Years

Old

2 to 4 Year

Olds

Total 0 to 4

Years

EXISTING DEMAND Child Care Demand

Estimated Total Children

Average LFPRAdjustment Factor

Children With Working Parents

Licensed Care Demand Factor

Resident Children Needing Licensed Care

of Total Resident Children Needing Licensed Care

Children from Non-Resident Employees Needing

Licensed Care

(1)

(2)

(3)

2647 3793

74

1964 3467

37

727 3233

27 85

138 208

6440

5432

73

3960

61

346

Total Demand for Child Care Spaces

Distribution

EXISTING SUPPLY (4)

865 3441

20 80

Child Care Spaces

4306

100

Family Child Care Home Supply

Child Care Center Supply

Current Child Care Supply

Distribution

EXISTING SURPLUS(SHORTAGE)

Distribution

Percentage of Demand Met

by Existing FacilitiesSpaces

Shortage of Family Child Care Home Spaces

Shortage of Center-Based Spaces

(5)

(6)

(6)

25

28

28

288 362

84 1264

372 1626

19 81

(493) (1816)

21 79

43 47

(381) (404)

(111) (1412)

649

1348

1997

100

(2308)

100

46

(785)

(1523)

FINAL

Table B-6

Future C hild Care Demand and Supply in 2025 in Daly CityColma

San Mateo County Child Care Study - 2016

Note All footnote references can be found in Table C-1 at the end of this file

Sources 2010 US Census ABAG Projections 2013 2014 American Community Survey ACS Journey-to-Work data 2006-2008 and 2006-2010

Child Care Coordinating Council of San Mateo County (4Cs) Community Care Licensing Brion Economics Inc

Prepared by Brion Economics Inc 2513-SMC NA Final Tables 61216 6122016

EAST PALO ALTO

Child Care as of 2025

No of

Providers

Under 2 Years

Old

2 to 4 Year

Olds

Total 0 to 4

Years

EXISTING DEMAND Child Care Demand

Estimated Total Children

Average LFPRAdjustment Factor

Children With Working Parents

Licensed Care Demand Factor

Resident Children Needing Licensed Care

of Total Resident Children Needing Licensed Care

Children from Non-Resident Employees Needing

Licensed Care

(1)

(2)

(3)

1161 1849

71

822 1660

37

304 1545

26 84

20 30

3010

2482

75

1849

61

50

Total Demand for Child Care Spaces

Distribution

EXISTING SUPPLY (4)

324 1575

17 83

Child Care Spaces

1900

100

Family Child Care Home Supply

Child Care Center Supply

Current Child Care Supply

Distribution

EXISTING SURPLUS(SHORTAGE)

Distribution

Percentage of Demand Met

by Existing FacilitiesSpaces

Shortage of Family Child Care Home Spaces

Shortage of Center-Based Spaces

(5)

(6)

(6)

13

6

19

85 106

25 633

110 739

13 87

(215) (836)

20 80

34 47

(166) (120)

(49) (715)

191

658

849

100

(1050)

100

45

(286)

(764)

FINAL

Table B-7

Future Child Care Demand and Supply in 2025 in East Palo Alto

San Mateo County Child Care Study - 2016

Note All footnote references can be found in Table C-1 at the end of this file

Sources 2010 US Census ABAG Projections 2013 2014 American Community Survey ACS Journey-to-Work data 2006-2008 and 2006-2010

Child Care Coordinating Council of San Mateo County (4Cs) Community Care Licensing Brion Economics Inc

Prepared by Brion Economics Inc 2513-SMC NA Final Tables 61216 6122016

FOSTER CITY

Child Care as of 2025

No of

Providers

Under 2 Years

Old

2 to 4 Year

Olds

Total 0 to 4

Years

EXISTING DEMAND Child Care Demand

Estimated Total Children

Average LFPRAdjustment Factor

Children With Working Parents

Licensed Care Demand Factor

Resident Children Needing Licensed Care

of Total Resident Children Needing Licensed Care

Children from Non-Resident Employees Needing

Licensed Care

(1)

(2)

(3)

871 1330

63

550 1154

37

204 1079

23 81

80 120

2201

1705

75

1282

58

200

Total Demand for Child Care Spaces

Distribution

EXISTING SUPPLY (4)

283 1199

19 81

Child Care Spaces

1483

100

Family Child Care Home Supply

Child Care Center Supply

Current Child Care Supply

Distribution

EXISTING SURPLUS(SHORTAGE)

Distribution

Percentage of Demand Met

by Existing FacilitiesSpaces

Shortage of Family Child Care Home Spaces

Shortage of Center-Based Spaces

(5)

(6)

(6)

19

12

31

118 149

88 1200

206 1349

13 87

(77) 150

-106 206

73 112

(44) NA

(33) NA

267

1288

1555

100

73

100

105

(44)

(33)

FINAL

Table B-8

Future Child Care Demand and Supply in 2025 in Foster City

San Mateo County Child Care Study - 2016

Note All footnote references can be found in Table C-1 at the end of this file

Sources 2010 US Census ABAG Projections 2013 2014 American Community Survey ACS Journey-to-Work data 2006-2008 and 2006-2010

Child Care Coordinating Council of San Mateo County (4Cs) Community Care Licensing Brion Economics Inc

Prepared by Brion Economics Inc 2513-SMC NA Final Tables 61216 6122016

HALF MOON BAY REGION

Child Care as of 2025

No of

Providers

Under 2 Years

Old

2 to 4 Year

Olds

Total 0 to 4

Years

EXISTING DEMAND Child Care Demand

Estimated Total Children

Average LFPRAdjustment Factor

Children With Working Parents

Licensed Care Demand Factor

Resident Children Needing Licensed Care

of Total Resident Children Needing Licensed Care

Children from Non-Resident Employees Needing

Licensed Care

(1)

(2)

(3)

553 929

69

383 835

37

142 781

26 84

14 21

1482

1217

76

923

62

34

Total Demand for Child Care Spaces

Distribution

EXISTING SUPPLY (4)

155 802

16 84

Child Care Spaces

957

100

Family Child Care Home Supply

Child Care Center Supply

Current Child Care Supply

Distribution

EXISTING SURPLUS(SHORTAGE)

Distribution

Percentage of Demand Met

by Existing FacilitiesSpaces

Shortage of Family Child Care Home Spaces

Shortage of Center-Based Spaces

(5)

(6)

(6)

10

11

21

96 121

35 285

131 406

24 76

(24) (396)

6 94

84 51

(18) (118)

(6) (279)

216

320

536

100

(421)

100

56

(136)

(285)

FINAL

Table B-9

Future Child Care Demand and Supply in 2025 in Half Moon Bay Region

San Mateo County Child Care Study - 2016

Note All footnote references can be found in Table C-1 at the end of this file

Sources 2010 US Census ABAG Projections 2013 2014 American Community Survey ACS Journey-to-Work data 2006-2008 and 2006-2010

Child Care Coordinating Council of San Mateo County (4Cs) Community Care Licensing Brion Economics Inc

Prepared by Brion Economics Inc 2513-SMC NA Final Tables 61216 6122016

HILLSBOROUGH

Child Care as of 2025

No of

Providers

Under 2 Years

Old

2 to 4 Year

Olds

Total 0 to 4

Years

EXISTING DEMAND Child Care Demand

Estimated Total Children

Average LFPRAdjustment Factor

Children With Working Parents

Licensed Care Demand Factor

Resident Children Needing Licensed Care

of Total Resident Children Needing Licensed Care

Children from Non-Resident Employees Needing

Licensed Care

(1)

(2)

(3)

143 343

52

74 295

37

27 282

19 82

7 11

487

369

84

309

64

17

Total Demand for Child Care Spaces

Distribution

EXISTING SUPPLY (4)

34 292

10 90

Child Care Spaces

327

100

Family Child Care Home Supply

Child Care Center Supply

Current Child Care Supply

Distribution

EXISTING SURPLUS(SHORTAGE)

Distribution

Percentage of Demand Met

by Existing FacilitiesSpaces

Shortage of Family Child Care Home Spaces

Shortage of Center-Based Spaces

(5)

(6)

(6)

1

4

5

5 6

- 91

5 97

5 95

(29) (195)

13 87

14 33

(29) (12)

0 (183)

11

91

102

100

(225)

100

31

(42)

(183)

FINAL

Table B-10

Future Child Care Demand and Supply in 2025 in Hillsborough

San Mateo County Child Care Study - 2016

Note All footnote references can be found in Table C-1 at the end of this file

Sources 2010 US Census ABAG Projections 2013 2014 American Community Survey ACS Journey-to-Work data 2006-2008 and 2006-2010

Child Care Coordinating Council of San Mateo County (4Cs) Community Care Licensing Brion Economics Inc

Prepared by Brion Economics Inc 2513-SMC NA Final Tables 61216 6122016

MENLO PARK

Child Care as of 2025

No of

Providers

Under 2 Years

Old

2 to 4 Year

Olds

Total 0 to 4

Years

EXISTING DEMAND Child Care Demand

Estimated Total Children

Average LFPRAdjustment Factor

Children With Working Parents

Licensed Care Demand Factor

Resident Children Needing Licensed Care

of Total Resident Children Needing Licensed Care

Children from Non-Resident Employees Needing

Licensed Care

(1)

(2)

(3)

1327 1954

69

909 1759

37

336 1653

25 85

237 357

3281

2668

75

1989

61

594

Total Demand for Child Care Spaces

Distribution

EXISTING SUPPLY (4)

573 2011

22 78

Child Care Spaces

2584

100

Family Child Care Home Supply

Child Care Center Supply

Current Child Care Supply

Distribution

EXISTING SURPLUS(SHORTAGE)

Distribution

Percentage of Demand Met

by Existing FacilitiesSpaces

Shortage of Family Child Care Home Spaces

Shortage of Center-Based Spaces

(5)

(6)

(6)

15

25

40

76 96

73 1331

149 1427

9 91

(424) (584)

42 58

26 71

(217) (39)

(207) (544)

172

1404

1576

100

(1008)

100

61

(256)

(752)

FINAL

Table B-11

Future Child Care Demand and Supply in 2025 in Menlo Park

San Mateo County Child Care Study - 2016

Note All footnote references can be found in Table C-1 at the end of this file

Sources 2010 US Census ABAG Projections 2013 2014 American Community Survey ACS Journey-to-Work data 2006-2008 and 2006-2010

Child Care Coordinating Council of San Mateo County (4Cs) Community Care Licensing Brion Economics Inc

Prepared by Brion Economics Inc 2513-SMC NA Final Tables 61216 6122016

MILLBRAE

Child Care as of 2025

No of

Providers

Under 2 Years

Old

2 to 4 Year

Olds

Total 0 to 4

Years

EXISTING DEMAND Child Care Demand

Estimated Total Children

Average LFPRAdjustment Factor

Children With Working Parents

Licensed Care Demand Factor

Resident Children Needing Licensed Care

of Total Resident Children Needing Licensed Care

Children from Non-Resident Employees Needing

Licensed Care

(1)

(2)

(3)

473 805

62

291 710

37

108 672

23 83

31 47

1278

1001

78

780

61

77

Total Demand for Child Care Spaces

Distribution

EXISTING SUPPLY (4)

139 718

16 84

Child Care Spaces

857

100

Family Child Care Home Supply

Child Care Center Supply

Current Child Care Supply

Distribution

EXISTING SURPLUS(SHORTAGE)

Distribution

Percentage of Demand Met

by Existing FacilitiesSpaces

Shortage of Family Child Care Home Spaces

Shortage of Center-Based Spaces

(5)

(6)

(6)

7

7

14

62 78

- 376

62 454

12 88

(76) (264)

22 78

45 63

(76) (46)

0 (219)

141

376

517

100

(340)

100

60

(122)

(219)

FINAL

Table B-12

Future C hild Care Demand and Supply in 2025 in Millbrae

San Mateo County Child Care Study - 2016

Note All footnote references can be found in Table C-1 at the end of this file

Sources 2010 US Census ABAG Projections 2013 2014 American Community Survey ACS Journey-to-Work data 2006-2008 and 2006-2010

Child Care Coordinating Council of San Mateo County (4Cs) Community Care Licensing Brion Economics Inc

Prepared by Brion Economics Inc 2513-SMC NA Final Tables 61216 6122016

FINAL

Table B-13

Future Child Care Demand and Supply in 2025 in Pacifica

San Mateo County Child Care Study - 2016

PACIFICA

Child Care as of 2025

No of

Providers

Under 2 Years

Old

2 to 4 Year

Olds

Total 0 to 4

Years

EXISTING DEMAND Child Care Demand

Estimated Total Children

Average L FPRAdjustment Factor

Children With Working Parents

Licensed Care Demand Factor

Resident Children Needing Licensed Care

of Total Resident Children Needing Licensed Care

Children from Non-Resident Employees Needing

Licensed Care

(1)

(2)

(3)

816 1300

78

633 1209

37

234 1130

29 87

19 29

2116

1842

74

1364

64

48

Total Demand for Child Care Spaces

Distribution

EXISTING SUPPLY (4)

254 1159

18 82

Child Care Spaces

1413

100

Family Child Care Home Supply

Child Care Center Supply

Current Child Care Supply

Distribution

EXISTING SURPLUS(SHORTAGE)

Distribution

Percentage of Demand Met

by Existing FacilitiesSpaces

Shortage of Family Child Care Home Spaces

Shortage of Center-Based Spaces

(5)

(6)

(6)

9

18

27

77 97

39 701

116 798

13 87

(138) (361)

28 72

46 69

(91) (44)

(46) (317)

174

740

914

100

(499)

100

65

(135)

(364)

Note All footnote references can be found in Table C-1 at the end of this file

Sources 2010 US Census ABAG Projections 2013 2014 American Community Survey ACS Journey-to-Work data 2006-2008 and 2006-2010

Child Care Coordinating Council of San Mateo County (4Cs) Community Care Licensing Brion Economics Inc

Prepared by Brion Economics Inc 2513-SMC NA Final Tables 61216 6122016

PORTOLA VALLEY

Child Care as of 2025

No of

Providers

Under 2 Years

Old

2 to 4 Year

Olds

Total 0 to 4

Years

EXISTING DEMAND Child Care Demand

Estimated Total Children

Average LFPRAdjustment Factor

Children With Working Parents

Licensed Care Demand Factor

Resident Children Needing Licensed Care

of Total Resident Children Needing Licensed Care

Children from Non-Resident Employees Needing

Licensed Care

(1)

(2)

(3)

77 192

66

51 173

37

19 164

24 85

9 13

269

224

82

182

68

22

Total Demand for Child Care Spaces

Distribution

EXISTING SUPPLY (4)

28 177

13 87

Child Care Spaces

204

100

Family Child Care Home Supply

Child Care Center Supply

Current Child Care Supply

Distribution

EXISTING SURPLUS(SHORTAGE)

Distribution

Percentage of Demand Met

by Existing FacilitiesSpaces

Shortage of Family Child Care Home Spaces

Shortage of Center-Based Spaces

(5)

(6)

(6)

0

4

4

- -

- 153

- 153

0 100

(28) (24)

54 46

0 87

0 0

(28) (24)

0

153

153

100

(51)

100

75

0

(51)

FINAL

Table B-14

Future Child Care Demand and Supply in 2025 in Portola Valley

San Mateo County Child Care Study - 2016

Note All footnote references can be found in Table C-1 at the end of this file

Sources 2010 US Census ABAG Projections 2013 2014 American Community Survey ACS Journey-to-Work data 2006-2008 and 2006-2010

Child Care Coordinating Council of San Mateo County (4Cs) Community Care Licensing Brion Economics Inc

Prepared by Brion Economics Inc 2513-SMC NA Final Tables 61216 6122016

REDWOOD CITY

No of

Providers

Child Care as of 2025

Under 2 Years

Old

2 to 4 Year

Olds

Total 0 to 4

Years

EXISTING DEMAND Child Care Demand

Estimated Total Children

Average LFPRAdjustment Factor

Children With Working Parents

Licensed Care Demand Factor

Resident Children Needing Licensed Care

of Total Resident Children Needing Licensed Care

Children from Non-Resident Employees Needing

Licensed Care

Total Demand for Child Care Spaces

Distribution

EXISTING SUPPLY

(1)

(2)

(3)

(4)

3725 5378

69

2555 4813

37

946 4505

25 84

466 703

1411 5208

21 79

Child Care Spaces

9103

7368

74

5450

60

1169

6619

100

Family Child Care Home Supply

Child Care Center Supply

Current Child Care Supply

Distribution

EXISTING SURPLUS(SHORTAGE)

Distribution

Percentage of Demand Met

by Existing FacilitiesSpaces

Shortage of Family Child Care Home Spaces

Shortage of Center-Based Spaces

(5)

(6)

(6)

42

41

83

396 497

356 2036

752 2533

23 77

(660) (2674)

20 80

53 49

(347) (525)

(313) (2149)

893

2392

3285

100

(3334)

100

50

(872)

(2462)

FINAL

Table B-15

Future Child Care Demand and Supply in 2025 in Redwood City

San Mateo County Child Care Study - 2016

Note All footnote references can be found in Table C-1 at the end of this file

Sources 2010 US Census ABAG Projections 2013 2014 American Community Survey ACS Journey-to-Work data 2006-2008 and 2006-2010

Child Care Coordinating Council of San Mateo County (4Cs) Community Care Licensing Brion Economics Inc

Prepared by Brion Economics Inc 2513-SMC NA Final Tables 61216 6122016

SAN BRUNO

Child Care as of 2025

No of

Providers

Under 2 Years

Old

2 to 4 Year

Olds

Total 0 to 4

Years

EXISTING DEMAND Child Care Demand

Estimated Total Children

Average LFPRAdjustment Factor

Children With Working Parents

Licensed Care Demand Factor

Resident Children Needing Licensed Care

of Total Resident Children Needing Licensed Care

Children from Non-Resident Employees Needing

Licensed Care

(1)

(2)

(3)

1189 1728

77

910 1589

37

337 1475

28 85

68 103

2917

2498

73

1812

62

171

Total Demand for Child Care Spaces

Distribution

EXISTING SUPPLY (4)

405 1578

20 80

Child Care Spaces

1983

100

Family Child Care Home Supply

Child Care Center Supply

Current Child Care Supply

Distribution

EXISTING SURPLUS(SHORTAGE)

Distribution

Percentage of Demand Met

by Existing FacilitiesSpaces

Shortage of Family Child Care Home Spaces

Shortage of Center-Based Spaces

(5)

(6)

(6)

13

15

28

122 153

26 1183

148 1336

10 90

(257) (242)

52 48

37 85

(212) (28)

(45) (214)

275

1209

1484

100

(499)

100

75

(239)

(259)

FINAL

Table B-16

Future C hild Care Demand and Supply in 2025 in San Bruno

San Mateo County Child Care Study - 2016

Note All footnote references can be found in Table C-1 at the end of this file

Sources 2010 US Census ABAG Projections 2013 2014 American Community Survey ACS Journey-to-Work data 2006-2008 and 2006-2010

Child Care Coordinating Council of San Mateo County (4Cs) Community Care Licensing Brion Economics Inc

Prepared by Brion Economics Inc 2513-SMC NA Final Tables 61216 6122016

SAN CARLOS

Child Care as of 2025

No of

Providers

Under 2 Years

Old

2 to 4 Year

Olds

Total 0 to 4

Years

EXISTING DEMAND Child Care Demand

Estimated Total Children

Average LFPRAdjustment Factor

Children With Working Parents

Licensed Care Demand Factor

Resident Children Needing Licensed Care

of Total Resident Children Needing Licensed Care

Children from Non-Resident Employees Needing

Licensed Care

(1)

(2)

(3)

778 1384

72

557 1255

37

206 1174

26 85

82 123

2162

1812

76

1380

64

205

Total Demand for Child Care Spaces

Distribution

EXISTING SUPPLY (4)

288 1297

18 82

Child Care Spaces

1585

100

Family Child Care Home Supply

Child Care Center Supply

Current Child Care Supply

Distribution

EXISTING SURPLUS(SHORTAGE)

Distribution

Percentage of Demand Met

by Existing FacilitiesSpaces

Shortage of Family Child Care Home Spaces

Shortage of Center-Based Spaces

(5)

(6)

(6)

28

14

42

73 92

76 615

149 707

17 83

(139) (590)

19 81

52 54

(68) (76)

(71) (514)

164

691

855

100

(729)

100

54

(145)

(585)

FINAL

Table B-17

Future Child Care Demand and Supply in 2025 in San Carlos

San Mateo County Child Care Study - 2016

Note All footnote references can be found in Table C-1 at the end of this file

Sources 2010 US Census ABAG Projections 2013 2014 American Community Survey ACS Journey-to-Work data 2006-2008 and 2006-2010

Child Care Coordinating Council of San Mateo County (4Cs) Community Care Licensing Brion Economics Inc

Prepared by Brion Economics Inc 2513-SMC NA Final Tables 61216 6122016

SAN MATEO

Child Care as of 2025

No of

Providers

Under 2 Years

Old

2 to 4 Year

Olds

Total 0 to 4

Years

EXISTING DEMAND Child Care Demand

Estimated Total Children

Average LFPRAdjustment Factor

Children With Working Parents

Licensed Care Demand Factor

Resident Children Needing Licensed Care

of Total Resident Children Needing Licensed Care

Children from Non-Resident Employees Needing

Licensed Care

(1)

(2)

(3)

3194 4572

71

2264 4116

37

838 3839

26 84

261 394

7766

6381

73

4677

60

656

Total Demand for Child Care Spaces

Distribution

EXISTING SUPPLY (4)

1099 4233

21 79

Child Care Spaces

5332

100

Family Child Care Home Supply

Child Care Center Supply

Current Child Care Supply

Distribution

EXISTING SURPLUS(SHORTAGE)

Distribution

Percentage of Demand Met

by Existing FacilitiesSpaces

Shortage of Family Child Care Home Spaces

Shortage of Center-Based Spaces

(5)

(6)

(6)

69

59

128

492 619

209 2577

701 3196

18 82

(398) (1037)

28 72

64 75

(279) (201)

(119) (837)

1111

2786

3897

100

(1435)

100

73

(480)

(955)

FINAL

Table B-18

Future Child Care Demand and Supply in 2025 in San Mateo

San Mateo County Child Care Study - 2016

Note All footnote references can be found in Table C-1 at the end of this file

Sources 2010 US Census ABAG Projections 2013 2014 American Community Survey ACS Journey-to-Work data 2006-2008 and 2006-2010

Child Care Coordinating Council of San Mateo County (4Cs) Community Care Licensing Brion Economics Inc

Prepared by Brion Economics Inc 2513-SMC NA Final Tables 61216 6122016

FINAL

Table B-19

Future Child Care Demand and Supply in 2025 in South Coast

San Mateo County Child Care Study - 2016

SOUTH COAST

Child Care as of 2025

No of

Providers

Under 2 Years

Old

2 to 4 Year

Olds

Total 0 to 4

Years

EXISTING DEMAND Child Care Demand

Estimated Total Children (1) 23 32 55

Average LFPRAdjustment Factor (2) 54

Children With Working Parents 12 27 40

Licensed Care Demand Factor (3) 37 77

Resident Children Needing Licensed Care 5 26 30

of Total Resident Children Needing Licensed Care 20 81 56

Children from Non-Resident Employees Needing

Licensed Care 0 0 0

Total Demand for Child Care Spaces 5 26 30

Distribution 15 85 100

EXISTING SUPPLY (4) Child Care Spaces

Family Child Care Home Supply - 0 0 0

Child Care Center Supply 2 0 54 54

Current Child Care Supply 2 - 54 54

Distribution 0 100 100

EXISTING SURPLUS(SHORTAGE) (5) 28 24

Distribution -19 119 100

Percentage of Demand Met

by Existing FacilitiesSpaces (5) 0 209 177

Shortage of Family Child Care Home Spaces (6) 0 NA 0

Shortage of Center-Based Spaces (6) (5) NA (5)

Note All footnote references can be found in Table C-1 at the end of this file

Sources 2010 US Census ABAG Projections 2013 2014 American Community Survey ACS Journey-to-Work data 2006-2008 and 2006-2010

Child Care Coordinating Council of San Mateo County (4Cs) Community Care Licensing Brion Economics Inc

Prepared by Brion Economics Inc 2513-SMC NA Final Tables 61216 6122016

SOUTH SAN FRANCISCO

Child Care as of 2025

No of

Providers

Under 2 Years

Old

2 to 4 Year

Olds

Total 0 to 4

Years

EXISTING DEMAND Child Care Demand

Estimated Total Children

Average LFPRAdjustment Factor

Children With Working Parents

Licensed Care Demand Factor

Resident Children Needing Licensed Care

of Total Resident Children Needing Licensed Care

Children from Non-Resident Employees Needing

Licensed Care

(1)

(2)

(3)

1835 2790

73

1342 2535

37

496 2362

27 85

339 512

4625

3877

74

2859

62

851

Total Demand for Child Care Spaces

Distribution

EXISTING SUPPLY (4)

835 2874

23 77

Child Care Spaces

3709

100

Family Child Care Home Supply

Child Care Center Supply

Current Child Care Supply

Distribution

EXISTING SURPLUS(SHORTAGE)

Distribution

Percentage of Demand Met

by Existing FacilitiesSpaces

Shortage of Family Child Care Home Spaces

Shortage of Center-Based Spaces

(5)

(6)

(6)

30

27

57

252 317

400 1966

652 2283

22 78

(183) (591)

24 76

78 79

(71) (82)

(113) (509)

569

2366

2935

100

(775)

100

79

(153)

(622)

FINAL

Table B-20

Future Child Care Demand and Supply in 2025 in South San Francisco

San Mateo County Child Care Study - 2016

Note All footnote references can be found in Table C-1 at the end of this file

Sources 2010 US Census ABAG Projections 2013 2014 American Community Survey ACS Journey-to-Work data 2006-2008 and 2006-2010

Child Care Coordinating Council of San Mateo County (4Cs) Community Care Licensing Brion Economics Inc

Prepared by Brion Economics Inc 2513-SMC NA Final Tables 61216 6122016

WOODSIDE

No of

Providers

Child Care as of 2025

Under 2 Years

Old

2 to 4 Year

Olds

Total 0 to 4

Years

EXISTING DEMAND Child Care Demand

Estimated Total Children

Average LFPRAdjustment Factor

Children With Working Parents

Licensed Care Demand Factor

Resident Children Needing Licensed Care

of Total Resident Children Needing Licensed Care

Children from Non-Resident Employees Needing

Licensed Care

(1)

(2)

(3)

93 165

56

51 140

37

19 132

21 80

9 13

258

192

79

152

59

22

Total Demand for Child Care Spaces

Distribution

EXISTING SUPPLY (4)

28 146

16 84

Child Care Spaces

174

100

Family Child Care Home Supply

Child Care Center Supply

Current Child Care Supply

Distribution

EXISTING SURPLUS(SHORTAGE)

Distribution

Percentage of Demand Met

by Existing FacilitiesSpaces

Shortage of Family Child Care Home Spaces

Shortage of Center-Based Spaces

(5)

(6)

(6)

1

2

3

4 5

- 103

4 108

4 96

(24) (38)

39 61

15 74

(24) (2)

0 (36)

9

103

112

100

(61)

100

65

(26)

(36)

FINAL

Table B-21

Future Child Care Demand and Supply in 2025 in Woodside

San Mateo County Child Care Study - 2016

Note All footnote references can be found in Table C-1 at the end of this file

Sources 2010 US Census ABAG Projections 2013 2014 American Community Survey ACS Journey-to-Work data 2006-2008 and 2006-2010

Child Care Coordinating Council of San Mateo County (4Cs) Community Care Licensing Brion Economics Inc

Prepared by Brion Economics Inc 2513-SMC NA Final Tables 61216 6122016

FINAL

Table C-1

Endnotes for Tables

San Mateo County Child Care Study - 2016

(1) Population by age is based on the percentage breakdown from the 2010 US Census and applied

to population estimates for 2015 using ABAGs Projections 2013 population data The ABAG data

for each area includes its Sphere of Influence and is not based on strict jurisdictional boundaries

(2) Labor force participation rates are from the 5-Year American Community Survey 2014 and include

children under six years old with two working parents or a single working parent For the 2- to 4-year

olds the labor force participation rate is applied to 2 year olds For 3- and 4-year olds it is assumed

that 100 need licensed care to support preschool for every child so the number of

3- and 4-year olds is not discounted by labor force participation rates

(3) Not all children with working parents are assumed to need licensed care percentage assumptions are

used to calculate the number of children requiring licensed care under each age category The

remaining children are assumed to be cared for in alternate arrangements such as by family members

nannies friends and other unlicensed care For children ages 3- and 4-years old it is assumed that

they all need care in the form of preschool

(4) Data on child care supply provided by the Child Care Coordinating Council of San Mateo County (4Cs)

and Community Care Licensing Division of the California Department of Social Services (CCLD) Data is

for June 2015

(5) Demand that calculates as less than 100 means that there is greater demand than supply percent of

demand that is over 100 means supply exceeds demand

(6) Unmet demand is broken down into shortage by type of care based on the proportion of FCCHs and

child care centers spaces available in each area If an area does not have any FCCHs or centers the

unmet demand is placed in the type of care that is available in the area (eg if there are only centers

all demand goes to centers)

Source Brion Economics Inc

Prepared by Brion Economics Inc 2513-SMC NA Final Tables 61216 6122016

DRAFT REPORT

Table C-2

Labor Force Participation Rates by CityArea

San Mateo County Child Care Study - 2016

CityArea

Labor Force

Participation Rate (1)

Atherton

Belmont

Brisbane

Burlingame

Daly CityColma

East Palo Alto

Foster City

Half Moon Bay Region

Hillsborough

Menlo Park

Millbrae

Pacifica

Portola Valley

Redwood City

San Bruno

San Carlos

San Mateo

South Coast

South San Francisco

Woodside

40

77

100

65

74

71

63

69

52

69

62

78

66

69

77

72

71

54

73

56

(1) Labor force participation rates (LFPRs) are for

families with children under age six with two

working parents or a single parent who works Sources American Community Survey 2014 5-Year

Survey Brion Economics Inc

Prepared by Brion Economics Inc 2513-SMC NA Final Tables 61216 6122016

  • 2513-SMC FINAL NA Memo-61216
  • 2513-SMC NA Final Tables 61216
Page 50: Final San Mateo County Child Care Needs … Care...Future C hild Care Demand and Supply in 2025 in Daly City/Colma San Mateo County Child Care Study - 2016 Note: All footnote references

EAST PALO ALTO

Child Care as of 2025

No of

Providers

Under 2 Years

Old

2 to 4 Year

Olds

Total 0 to 4

Years

EXISTING DEMAND Child Care Demand

Estimated Total Children

Average LFPRAdjustment Factor

Children With Working Parents

Licensed Care Demand Factor

Resident Children Needing Licensed Care

of Total Resident Children Needing Licensed Care

Children from Non-Resident Employees Needing

Licensed Care

(1)

(2)

(3)

1161 1849

71

822 1660

37

304 1545

26 84

20 30

3010

2482

75

1849

61

50

Total Demand for Child Care Spaces

Distribution

EXISTING SUPPLY (4)

324 1575

17 83

Child Care Spaces

1900

100

Family Child Care Home Supply

Child Care Center Supply

Current Child Care Supply

Distribution

EXISTING SURPLUS(SHORTAGE)

Distribution

Percentage of Demand Met

by Existing FacilitiesSpaces

Shortage of Family Child Care Home Spaces

Shortage of Center-Based Spaces

(5)

(6)

(6)

13

6

19

85 106

25 633

110 739

13 87

(215) (836)

20 80

34 47

(166) (120)

(49) (715)

191

658

849

100

(1050)

100

45

(286)

(764)

FINAL

Table B-7

Future Child Care Demand and Supply in 2025 in East Palo Alto

San Mateo County Child Care Study - 2016

Note All footnote references can be found in Table C-1 at the end of this file

Sources 2010 US Census ABAG Projections 2013 2014 American Community Survey ACS Journey-to-Work data 2006-2008 and 2006-2010

Child Care Coordinating Council of San Mateo County (4Cs) Community Care Licensing Brion Economics Inc

Prepared by Brion Economics Inc 2513-SMC NA Final Tables 61216 6122016

FOSTER CITY

Child Care as of 2025

No of

Providers

Under 2 Years

Old

2 to 4 Year

Olds

Total 0 to 4

Years

EXISTING DEMAND Child Care Demand

Estimated Total Children

Average LFPRAdjustment Factor

Children With Working Parents

Licensed Care Demand Factor

Resident Children Needing Licensed Care

of Total Resident Children Needing Licensed Care

Children from Non-Resident Employees Needing

Licensed Care

(1)

(2)

(3)

871 1330

63

550 1154

37

204 1079

23 81

80 120

2201

1705

75

1282

58

200

Total Demand for Child Care Spaces

Distribution

EXISTING SUPPLY (4)

283 1199

19 81

Child Care Spaces

1483

100

Family Child Care Home Supply

Child Care Center Supply

Current Child Care Supply

Distribution

EXISTING SURPLUS(SHORTAGE)

Distribution

Percentage of Demand Met

by Existing FacilitiesSpaces

Shortage of Family Child Care Home Spaces

Shortage of Center-Based Spaces

(5)

(6)

(6)

19

12

31

118 149

88 1200

206 1349

13 87

(77) 150

-106 206

73 112

(44) NA

(33) NA

267

1288

1555

100

73

100

105

(44)

(33)

FINAL

Table B-8

Future Child Care Demand and Supply in 2025 in Foster City

San Mateo County Child Care Study - 2016

Note All footnote references can be found in Table C-1 at the end of this file

Sources 2010 US Census ABAG Projections 2013 2014 American Community Survey ACS Journey-to-Work data 2006-2008 and 2006-2010

Child Care Coordinating Council of San Mateo County (4Cs) Community Care Licensing Brion Economics Inc

Prepared by Brion Economics Inc 2513-SMC NA Final Tables 61216 6122016

HALF MOON BAY REGION

Child Care as of 2025

No of

Providers

Under 2 Years

Old

2 to 4 Year

Olds

Total 0 to 4

Years

EXISTING DEMAND Child Care Demand

Estimated Total Children

Average LFPRAdjustment Factor

Children With Working Parents

Licensed Care Demand Factor

Resident Children Needing Licensed Care

of Total Resident Children Needing Licensed Care

Children from Non-Resident Employees Needing

Licensed Care

(1)

(2)

(3)

553 929

69

383 835

37

142 781

26 84

14 21

1482

1217

76

923

62

34

Total Demand for Child Care Spaces

Distribution

EXISTING SUPPLY (4)

155 802

16 84

Child Care Spaces

957

100

Family Child Care Home Supply

Child Care Center Supply

Current Child Care Supply

Distribution

EXISTING SURPLUS(SHORTAGE)

Distribution

Percentage of Demand Met

by Existing FacilitiesSpaces

Shortage of Family Child Care Home Spaces

Shortage of Center-Based Spaces

(5)

(6)

(6)

10

11

21

96 121

35 285

131 406

24 76

(24) (396)

6 94

84 51

(18) (118)

(6) (279)

216

320

536

100

(421)

100

56

(136)

(285)

FINAL

Table B-9

Future Child Care Demand and Supply in 2025 in Half Moon Bay Region

San Mateo County Child Care Study - 2016

Note All footnote references can be found in Table C-1 at the end of this file

Sources 2010 US Census ABAG Projections 2013 2014 American Community Survey ACS Journey-to-Work data 2006-2008 and 2006-2010

Child Care Coordinating Council of San Mateo County (4Cs) Community Care Licensing Brion Economics Inc

Prepared by Brion Economics Inc 2513-SMC NA Final Tables 61216 6122016

HILLSBOROUGH

Child Care as of 2025

No of

Providers

Under 2 Years

Old

2 to 4 Year

Olds

Total 0 to 4

Years

EXISTING DEMAND Child Care Demand

Estimated Total Children

Average LFPRAdjustment Factor

Children With Working Parents

Licensed Care Demand Factor

Resident Children Needing Licensed Care

of Total Resident Children Needing Licensed Care

Children from Non-Resident Employees Needing

Licensed Care

(1)

(2)

(3)

143 343

52

74 295

37

27 282

19 82

7 11

487

369

84

309

64

17

Total Demand for Child Care Spaces

Distribution

EXISTING SUPPLY (4)

34 292

10 90

Child Care Spaces

327

100

Family Child Care Home Supply

Child Care Center Supply

Current Child Care Supply

Distribution

EXISTING SURPLUS(SHORTAGE)

Distribution

Percentage of Demand Met

by Existing FacilitiesSpaces

Shortage of Family Child Care Home Spaces

Shortage of Center-Based Spaces

(5)

(6)

(6)

1

4

5

5 6

- 91

5 97

5 95

(29) (195)

13 87

14 33

(29) (12)

0 (183)

11

91

102

100

(225)

100

31

(42)

(183)

FINAL

Table B-10

Future Child Care Demand and Supply in 2025 in Hillsborough

San Mateo County Child Care Study - 2016

Note All footnote references can be found in Table C-1 at the end of this file

Sources 2010 US Census ABAG Projections 2013 2014 American Community Survey ACS Journey-to-Work data 2006-2008 and 2006-2010

Child Care Coordinating Council of San Mateo County (4Cs) Community Care Licensing Brion Economics Inc

Prepared by Brion Economics Inc 2513-SMC NA Final Tables 61216 6122016

MENLO PARK

Child Care as of 2025

No of

Providers

Under 2 Years

Old

2 to 4 Year

Olds

Total 0 to 4

Years

EXISTING DEMAND Child Care Demand

Estimated Total Children

Average LFPRAdjustment Factor

Children With Working Parents

Licensed Care Demand Factor

Resident Children Needing Licensed Care

of Total Resident Children Needing Licensed Care

Children from Non-Resident Employees Needing

Licensed Care

(1)

(2)

(3)

1327 1954

69

909 1759

37

336 1653

25 85

237 357

3281

2668

75

1989

61

594

Total Demand for Child Care Spaces

Distribution

EXISTING SUPPLY (4)

573 2011

22 78

Child Care Spaces

2584

100

Family Child Care Home Supply

Child Care Center Supply

Current Child Care Supply

Distribution

EXISTING SURPLUS(SHORTAGE)

Distribution

Percentage of Demand Met

by Existing FacilitiesSpaces

Shortage of Family Child Care Home Spaces

Shortage of Center-Based Spaces

(5)

(6)

(6)

15

25

40

76 96

73 1331

149 1427

9 91

(424) (584)

42 58

26 71

(217) (39)

(207) (544)

172

1404

1576

100

(1008)

100

61

(256)

(752)

FINAL

Table B-11

Future Child Care Demand and Supply in 2025 in Menlo Park

San Mateo County Child Care Study - 2016

Note All footnote references can be found in Table C-1 at the end of this file

Sources 2010 US Census ABAG Projections 2013 2014 American Community Survey ACS Journey-to-Work data 2006-2008 and 2006-2010

Child Care Coordinating Council of San Mateo County (4Cs) Community Care Licensing Brion Economics Inc

Prepared by Brion Economics Inc 2513-SMC NA Final Tables 61216 6122016

MILLBRAE

Child Care as of 2025

No of

Providers

Under 2 Years

Old

2 to 4 Year

Olds

Total 0 to 4

Years

EXISTING DEMAND Child Care Demand

Estimated Total Children

Average LFPRAdjustment Factor

Children With Working Parents

Licensed Care Demand Factor

Resident Children Needing Licensed Care

of Total Resident Children Needing Licensed Care

Children from Non-Resident Employees Needing

Licensed Care

(1)

(2)

(3)

473 805

62

291 710

37

108 672

23 83

31 47

1278

1001

78

780

61

77

Total Demand for Child Care Spaces

Distribution

EXISTING SUPPLY (4)

139 718

16 84

Child Care Spaces

857

100

Family Child Care Home Supply

Child Care Center Supply

Current Child Care Supply

Distribution

EXISTING SURPLUS(SHORTAGE)

Distribution

Percentage of Demand Met

by Existing FacilitiesSpaces

Shortage of Family Child Care Home Spaces

Shortage of Center-Based Spaces

(5)

(6)

(6)

7

7

14

62 78

- 376

62 454

12 88

(76) (264)

22 78

45 63

(76) (46)

0 (219)

141

376

517

100

(340)

100

60

(122)

(219)

FINAL

Table B-12

Future C hild Care Demand and Supply in 2025 in Millbrae

San Mateo County Child Care Study - 2016

Note All footnote references can be found in Table C-1 at the end of this file

Sources 2010 US Census ABAG Projections 2013 2014 American Community Survey ACS Journey-to-Work data 2006-2008 and 2006-2010

Child Care Coordinating Council of San Mateo County (4Cs) Community Care Licensing Brion Economics Inc

Prepared by Brion Economics Inc 2513-SMC NA Final Tables 61216 6122016

FINAL

Table B-13

Future Child Care Demand and Supply in 2025 in Pacifica

San Mateo County Child Care Study - 2016

PACIFICA

Child Care as of 2025

No of

Providers

Under 2 Years

Old

2 to 4 Year

Olds

Total 0 to 4

Years

EXISTING DEMAND Child Care Demand

Estimated Total Children

Average L FPRAdjustment Factor

Children With Working Parents

Licensed Care Demand Factor

Resident Children Needing Licensed Care

of Total Resident Children Needing Licensed Care

Children from Non-Resident Employees Needing

Licensed Care

(1)

(2)

(3)

816 1300

78

633 1209

37

234 1130

29 87

19 29

2116

1842

74

1364

64

48

Total Demand for Child Care Spaces

Distribution

EXISTING SUPPLY (4)

254 1159

18 82

Child Care Spaces

1413

100

Family Child Care Home Supply

Child Care Center Supply

Current Child Care Supply

Distribution

EXISTING SURPLUS(SHORTAGE)

Distribution

Percentage of Demand Met

by Existing FacilitiesSpaces

Shortage of Family Child Care Home Spaces

Shortage of Center-Based Spaces

(5)

(6)

(6)

9

18

27

77 97

39 701

116 798

13 87

(138) (361)

28 72

46 69

(91) (44)

(46) (317)

174

740

914

100

(499)

100

65

(135)

(364)

Note All footnote references can be found in Table C-1 at the end of this file

Sources 2010 US Census ABAG Projections 2013 2014 American Community Survey ACS Journey-to-Work data 2006-2008 and 2006-2010

Child Care Coordinating Council of San Mateo County (4Cs) Community Care Licensing Brion Economics Inc

Prepared by Brion Economics Inc 2513-SMC NA Final Tables 61216 6122016

PORTOLA VALLEY

Child Care as of 2025

No of

Providers

Under 2 Years

Old

2 to 4 Year

Olds

Total 0 to 4

Years

EXISTING DEMAND Child Care Demand

Estimated Total Children

Average LFPRAdjustment Factor

Children With Working Parents

Licensed Care Demand Factor

Resident Children Needing Licensed Care

of Total Resident Children Needing Licensed Care

Children from Non-Resident Employees Needing

Licensed Care

(1)

(2)

(3)

77 192

66

51 173

37

19 164

24 85

9 13

269

224

82

182

68

22

Total Demand for Child Care Spaces

Distribution

EXISTING SUPPLY (4)

28 177

13 87

Child Care Spaces

204

100

Family Child Care Home Supply

Child Care Center Supply

Current Child Care Supply

Distribution

EXISTING SURPLUS(SHORTAGE)

Distribution

Percentage of Demand Met

by Existing FacilitiesSpaces

Shortage of Family Child Care Home Spaces

Shortage of Center-Based Spaces

(5)

(6)

(6)

0

4

4

- -

- 153

- 153

0 100

(28) (24)

54 46

0 87

0 0

(28) (24)

0

153

153

100

(51)

100

75

0

(51)

FINAL

Table B-14

Future Child Care Demand and Supply in 2025 in Portola Valley

San Mateo County Child Care Study - 2016

Note All footnote references can be found in Table C-1 at the end of this file

Sources 2010 US Census ABAG Projections 2013 2014 American Community Survey ACS Journey-to-Work data 2006-2008 and 2006-2010

Child Care Coordinating Council of San Mateo County (4Cs) Community Care Licensing Brion Economics Inc

Prepared by Brion Economics Inc 2513-SMC NA Final Tables 61216 6122016

REDWOOD CITY

No of

Providers

Child Care as of 2025

Under 2 Years

Old

2 to 4 Year

Olds

Total 0 to 4

Years

EXISTING DEMAND Child Care Demand

Estimated Total Children

Average LFPRAdjustment Factor

Children With Working Parents

Licensed Care Demand Factor

Resident Children Needing Licensed Care

of Total Resident Children Needing Licensed Care

Children from Non-Resident Employees Needing

Licensed Care

Total Demand for Child Care Spaces

Distribution

EXISTING SUPPLY

(1)

(2)

(3)

(4)

3725 5378

69

2555 4813

37

946 4505

25 84

466 703

1411 5208

21 79

Child Care Spaces

9103

7368

74

5450

60

1169

6619

100

Family Child Care Home Supply

Child Care Center Supply

Current Child Care Supply

Distribution

EXISTING SURPLUS(SHORTAGE)

Distribution

Percentage of Demand Met

by Existing FacilitiesSpaces

Shortage of Family Child Care Home Spaces

Shortage of Center-Based Spaces

(5)

(6)

(6)

42

41

83

396 497

356 2036

752 2533

23 77

(660) (2674)

20 80

53 49

(347) (525)

(313) (2149)

893

2392

3285

100

(3334)

100

50

(872)

(2462)

FINAL

Table B-15

Future Child Care Demand and Supply in 2025 in Redwood City

San Mateo County Child Care Study - 2016

Note All footnote references can be found in Table C-1 at the end of this file

Sources 2010 US Census ABAG Projections 2013 2014 American Community Survey ACS Journey-to-Work data 2006-2008 and 2006-2010

Child Care Coordinating Council of San Mateo County (4Cs) Community Care Licensing Brion Economics Inc

Prepared by Brion Economics Inc 2513-SMC NA Final Tables 61216 6122016

SAN BRUNO

Child Care as of 2025

No of

Providers

Under 2 Years

Old

2 to 4 Year

Olds

Total 0 to 4

Years

EXISTING DEMAND Child Care Demand

Estimated Total Children

Average LFPRAdjustment Factor

Children With Working Parents

Licensed Care Demand Factor

Resident Children Needing Licensed Care

of Total Resident Children Needing Licensed Care

Children from Non-Resident Employees Needing

Licensed Care

(1)

(2)

(3)

1189 1728

77

910 1589

37

337 1475

28 85

68 103

2917

2498

73

1812

62

171

Total Demand for Child Care Spaces

Distribution

EXISTING SUPPLY (4)

405 1578

20 80

Child Care Spaces

1983

100

Family Child Care Home Supply

Child Care Center Supply

Current Child Care Supply

Distribution

EXISTING SURPLUS(SHORTAGE)

Distribution

Percentage of Demand Met

by Existing FacilitiesSpaces

Shortage of Family Child Care Home Spaces

Shortage of Center-Based Spaces

(5)

(6)

(6)

13

15

28

122 153

26 1183

148 1336

10 90

(257) (242)

52 48

37 85

(212) (28)

(45) (214)

275

1209

1484

100

(499)

100

75

(239)

(259)

FINAL

Table B-16

Future C hild Care Demand and Supply in 2025 in San Bruno

San Mateo County Child Care Study - 2016

Note All footnote references can be found in Table C-1 at the end of this file

Sources 2010 US Census ABAG Projections 2013 2014 American Community Survey ACS Journey-to-Work data 2006-2008 and 2006-2010

Child Care Coordinating Council of San Mateo County (4Cs) Community Care Licensing Brion Economics Inc

Prepared by Brion Economics Inc 2513-SMC NA Final Tables 61216 6122016

SAN CARLOS

Child Care as of 2025

No of

Providers

Under 2 Years

Old

2 to 4 Year

Olds

Total 0 to 4

Years

EXISTING DEMAND Child Care Demand

Estimated Total Children

Average LFPRAdjustment Factor

Children With Working Parents

Licensed Care Demand Factor

Resident Children Needing Licensed Care

of Total Resident Children Needing Licensed Care

Children from Non-Resident Employees Needing

Licensed Care

(1)

(2)

(3)

778 1384

72

557 1255

37

206 1174

26 85

82 123

2162

1812

76

1380

64

205

Total Demand for Child Care Spaces

Distribution

EXISTING SUPPLY (4)

288 1297

18 82

Child Care Spaces

1585

100

Family Child Care Home Supply

Child Care Center Supply

Current Child Care Supply

Distribution

EXISTING SURPLUS(SHORTAGE)

Distribution

Percentage of Demand Met

by Existing FacilitiesSpaces

Shortage of Family Child Care Home Spaces

Shortage of Center-Based Spaces

(5)

(6)

(6)

28

14

42

73 92

76 615

149 707

17 83

(139) (590)

19 81

52 54

(68) (76)

(71) (514)

164

691

855

100

(729)

100

54

(145)

(585)

FINAL

Table B-17

Future Child Care Demand and Supply in 2025 in San Carlos

San Mateo County Child Care Study - 2016

Note All footnote references can be found in Table C-1 at the end of this file

Sources 2010 US Census ABAG Projections 2013 2014 American Community Survey ACS Journey-to-Work data 2006-2008 and 2006-2010

Child Care Coordinating Council of San Mateo County (4Cs) Community Care Licensing Brion Economics Inc

Prepared by Brion Economics Inc 2513-SMC NA Final Tables 61216 6122016

SAN MATEO

Child Care as of 2025

No of

Providers

Under 2 Years

Old

2 to 4 Year

Olds

Total 0 to 4

Years

EXISTING DEMAND Child Care Demand

Estimated Total Children

Average LFPRAdjustment Factor

Children With Working Parents

Licensed Care Demand Factor

Resident Children Needing Licensed Care

of Total Resident Children Needing Licensed Care

Children from Non-Resident Employees Needing

Licensed Care

(1)

(2)

(3)

3194 4572

71

2264 4116

37

838 3839

26 84

261 394

7766

6381

73

4677

60

656

Total Demand for Child Care Spaces

Distribution

EXISTING SUPPLY (4)

1099 4233

21 79

Child Care Spaces

5332

100

Family Child Care Home Supply

Child Care Center Supply

Current Child Care Supply

Distribution

EXISTING SURPLUS(SHORTAGE)

Distribution

Percentage of Demand Met

by Existing FacilitiesSpaces

Shortage of Family Child Care Home Spaces

Shortage of Center-Based Spaces

(5)

(6)

(6)

69

59

128

492 619

209 2577

701 3196

18 82

(398) (1037)

28 72

64 75

(279) (201)

(119) (837)

1111

2786

3897

100

(1435)

100

73

(480)

(955)

FINAL

Table B-18

Future Child Care Demand and Supply in 2025 in San Mateo

San Mateo County Child Care Study - 2016

Note All footnote references can be found in Table C-1 at the end of this file

Sources 2010 US Census ABAG Projections 2013 2014 American Community Survey ACS Journey-to-Work data 2006-2008 and 2006-2010

Child Care Coordinating Council of San Mateo County (4Cs) Community Care Licensing Brion Economics Inc

Prepared by Brion Economics Inc 2513-SMC NA Final Tables 61216 6122016

FINAL

Table B-19

Future Child Care Demand and Supply in 2025 in South Coast

San Mateo County Child Care Study - 2016

SOUTH COAST

Child Care as of 2025

No of

Providers

Under 2 Years

Old

2 to 4 Year

Olds

Total 0 to 4

Years

EXISTING DEMAND Child Care Demand

Estimated Total Children (1) 23 32 55

Average LFPRAdjustment Factor (2) 54

Children With Working Parents 12 27 40

Licensed Care Demand Factor (3) 37 77

Resident Children Needing Licensed Care 5 26 30

of Total Resident Children Needing Licensed Care 20 81 56

Children from Non-Resident Employees Needing

Licensed Care 0 0 0

Total Demand for Child Care Spaces 5 26 30

Distribution 15 85 100

EXISTING SUPPLY (4) Child Care Spaces

Family Child Care Home Supply - 0 0 0

Child Care Center Supply 2 0 54 54

Current Child Care Supply 2 - 54 54

Distribution 0 100 100

EXISTING SURPLUS(SHORTAGE) (5) 28 24

Distribution -19 119 100

Percentage of Demand Met

by Existing FacilitiesSpaces (5) 0 209 177

Shortage of Family Child Care Home Spaces (6) 0 NA 0

Shortage of Center-Based Spaces (6) (5) NA (5)

Note All footnote references can be found in Table C-1 at the end of this file

Sources 2010 US Census ABAG Projections 2013 2014 American Community Survey ACS Journey-to-Work data 2006-2008 and 2006-2010

Child Care Coordinating Council of San Mateo County (4Cs) Community Care Licensing Brion Economics Inc

Prepared by Brion Economics Inc 2513-SMC NA Final Tables 61216 6122016

SOUTH SAN FRANCISCO

Child Care as of 2025

No of

Providers

Under 2 Years

Old

2 to 4 Year

Olds

Total 0 to 4

Years

EXISTING DEMAND Child Care Demand

Estimated Total Children

Average LFPRAdjustment Factor

Children With Working Parents

Licensed Care Demand Factor

Resident Children Needing Licensed Care

of Total Resident Children Needing Licensed Care

Children from Non-Resident Employees Needing

Licensed Care

(1)

(2)

(3)

1835 2790

73

1342 2535

37

496 2362

27 85

339 512

4625

3877

74

2859

62

851

Total Demand for Child Care Spaces

Distribution

EXISTING SUPPLY (4)

835 2874

23 77

Child Care Spaces

3709

100

Family Child Care Home Supply

Child Care Center Supply

Current Child Care Supply

Distribution

EXISTING SURPLUS(SHORTAGE)

Distribution

Percentage of Demand Met

by Existing FacilitiesSpaces

Shortage of Family Child Care Home Spaces

Shortage of Center-Based Spaces

(5)

(6)

(6)

30

27

57

252 317

400 1966

652 2283

22 78

(183) (591)

24 76

78 79

(71) (82)

(113) (509)

569

2366

2935

100

(775)

100

79

(153)

(622)

FINAL

Table B-20

Future Child Care Demand and Supply in 2025 in South San Francisco

San Mateo County Child Care Study - 2016

Note All footnote references can be found in Table C-1 at the end of this file

Sources 2010 US Census ABAG Projections 2013 2014 American Community Survey ACS Journey-to-Work data 2006-2008 and 2006-2010

Child Care Coordinating Council of San Mateo County (4Cs) Community Care Licensing Brion Economics Inc

Prepared by Brion Economics Inc 2513-SMC NA Final Tables 61216 6122016

WOODSIDE

No of

Providers

Child Care as of 2025

Under 2 Years

Old

2 to 4 Year

Olds

Total 0 to 4

Years

EXISTING DEMAND Child Care Demand

Estimated Total Children

Average LFPRAdjustment Factor

Children With Working Parents

Licensed Care Demand Factor

Resident Children Needing Licensed Care

of Total Resident Children Needing Licensed Care

Children from Non-Resident Employees Needing

Licensed Care

(1)

(2)

(3)

93 165

56

51 140

37

19 132

21 80

9 13

258

192

79

152

59

22

Total Demand for Child Care Spaces

Distribution

EXISTING SUPPLY (4)

28 146

16 84

Child Care Spaces

174

100

Family Child Care Home Supply

Child Care Center Supply

Current Child Care Supply

Distribution

EXISTING SURPLUS(SHORTAGE)

Distribution

Percentage of Demand Met

by Existing FacilitiesSpaces

Shortage of Family Child Care Home Spaces

Shortage of Center-Based Spaces

(5)

(6)

(6)

1

2

3

4 5

- 103

4 108

4 96

(24) (38)

39 61

15 74

(24) (2)

0 (36)

9

103

112

100

(61)

100

65

(26)

(36)

FINAL

Table B-21

Future Child Care Demand and Supply in 2025 in Woodside

San Mateo County Child Care Study - 2016

Note All footnote references can be found in Table C-1 at the end of this file

Sources 2010 US Census ABAG Projections 2013 2014 American Community Survey ACS Journey-to-Work data 2006-2008 and 2006-2010

Child Care Coordinating Council of San Mateo County (4Cs) Community Care Licensing Brion Economics Inc

Prepared by Brion Economics Inc 2513-SMC NA Final Tables 61216 6122016

FINAL

Table C-1

Endnotes for Tables

San Mateo County Child Care Study - 2016

(1) Population by age is based on the percentage breakdown from the 2010 US Census and applied

to population estimates for 2015 using ABAGs Projections 2013 population data The ABAG data

for each area includes its Sphere of Influence and is not based on strict jurisdictional boundaries

(2) Labor force participation rates are from the 5-Year American Community Survey 2014 and include

children under six years old with two working parents or a single working parent For the 2- to 4-year

olds the labor force participation rate is applied to 2 year olds For 3- and 4-year olds it is assumed

that 100 need licensed care to support preschool for every child so the number of

3- and 4-year olds is not discounted by labor force participation rates

(3) Not all children with working parents are assumed to need licensed care percentage assumptions are

used to calculate the number of children requiring licensed care under each age category The

remaining children are assumed to be cared for in alternate arrangements such as by family members

nannies friends and other unlicensed care For children ages 3- and 4-years old it is assumed that

they all need care in the form of preschool

(4) Data on child care supply provided by the Child Care Coordinating Council of San Mateo County (4Cs)

and Community Care Licensing Division of the California Department of Social Services (CCLD) Data is

for June 2015

(5) Demand that calculates as less than 100 means that there is greater demand than supply percent of

demand that is over 100 means supply exceeds demand

(6) Unmet demand is broken down into shortage by type of care based on the proportion of FCCHs and

child care centers spaces available in each area If an area does not have any FCCHs or centers the

unmet demand is placed in the type of care that is available in the area (eg if there are only centers

all demand goes to centers)

Source Brion Economics Inc

Prepared by Brion Economics Inc 2513-SMC NA Final Tables 61216 6122016

DRAFT REPORT

Table C-2

Labor Force Participation Rates by CityArea

San Mateo County Child Care Study - 2016

CityArea

Labor Force

Participation Rate (1)

Atherton

Belmont

Brisbane

Burlingame

Daly CityColma

East Palo Alto

Foster City

Half Moon Bay Region

Hillsborough

Menlo Park

Millbrae

Pacifica

Portola Valley

Redwood City

San Bruno

San Carlos

San Mateo

South Coast

South San Francisco

Woodside

40

77

100

65

74

71

63

69

52

69

62

78

66

69

77

72

71

54

73

56

(1) Labor force participation rates (LFPRs) are for

families with children under age six with two

working parents or a single parent who works Sources American Community Survey 2014 5-Year

Survey Brion Economics Inc

Prepared by Brion Economics Inc 2513-SMC NA Final Tables 61216 6122016

  • 2513-SMC FINAL NA Memo-61216
  • 2513-SMC NA Final Tables 61216
Page 51: Final San Mateo County Child Care Needs … Care...Future C hild Care Demand and Supply in 2025 in Daly City/Colma San Mateo County Child Care Study - 2016 Note: All footnote references

FOSTER CITY

Child Care as of 2025

No of

Providers

Under 2 Years

Old

2 to 4 Year

Olds

Total 0 to 4

Years

EXISTING DEMAND Child Care Demand

Estimated Total Children

Average LFPRAdjustment Factor

Children With Working Parents

Licensed Care Demand Factor

Resident Children Needing Licensed Care

of Total Resident Children Needing Licensed Care

Children from Non-Resident Employees Needing

Licensed Care

(1)

(2)

(3)

871 1330

63

550 1154

37

204 1079

23 81

80 120

2201

1705

75

1282

58

200

Total Demand for Child Care Spaces

Distribution

EXISTING SUPPLY (4)

283 1199

19 81

Child Care Spaces

1483

100

Family Child Care Home Supply

Child Care Center Supply

Current Child Care Supply

Distribution

EXISTING SURPLUS(SHORTAGE)

Distribution

Percentage of Demand Met

by Existing FacilitiesSpaces

Shortage of Family Child Care Home Spaces

Shortage of Center-Based Spaces

(5)

(6)

(6)

19

12

31

118 149

88 1200

206 1349

13 87

(77) 150

-106 206

73 112

(44) NA

(33) NA

267

1288

1555

100

73

100

105

(44)

(33)

FINAL

Table B-8

Future Child Care Demand and Supply in 2025 in Foster City

San Mateo County Child Care Study - 2016

Note All footnote references can be found in Table C-1 at the end of this file

Sources 2010 US Census ABAG Projections 2013 2014 American Community Survey ACS Journey-to-Work data 2006-2008 and 2006-2010

Child Care Coordinating Council of San Mateo County (4Cs) Community Care Licensing Brion Economics Inc

Prepared by Brion Economics Inc 2513-SMC NA Final Tables 61216 6122016

HALF MOON BAY REGION

Child Care as of 2025

No of

Providers

Under 2 Years

Old

2 to 4 Year

Olds

Total 0 to 4

Years

EXISTING DEMAND Child Care Demand

Estimated Total Children

Average LFPRAdjustment Factor

Children With Working Parents

Licensed Care Demand Factor

Resident Children Needing Licensed Care

of Total Resident Children Needing Licensed Care

Children from Non-Resident Employees Needing

Licensed Care

(1)

(2)

(3)

553 929

69

383 835

37

142 781

26 84

14 21

1482

1217

76

923

62

34

Total Demand for Child Care Spaces

Distribution

EXISTING SUPPLY (4)

155 802

16 84

Child Care Spaces

957

100

Family Child Care Home Supply

Child Care Center Supply

Current Child Care Supply

Distribution

EXISTING SURPLUS(SHORTAGE)

Distribution

Percentage of Demand Met

by Existing FacilitiesSpaces

Shortage of Family Child Care Home Spaces

Shortage of Center-Based Spaces

(5)

(6)

(6)

10

11

21

96 121

35 285

131 406

24 76

(24) (396)

6 94

84 51

(18) (118)

(6) (279)

216

320

536

100

(421)

100

56

(136)

(285)

FINAL

Table B-9

Future Child Care Demand and Supply in 2025 in Half Moon Bay Region

San Mateo County Child Care Study - 2016

Note All footnote references can be found in Table C-1 at the end of this file

Sources 2010 US Census ABAG Projections 2013 2014 American Community Survey ACS Journey-to-Work data 2006-2008 and 2006-2010

Child Care Coordinating Council of San Mateo County (4Cs) Community Care Licensing Brion Economics Inc

Prepared by Brion Economics Inc 2513-SMC NA Final Tables 61216 6122016

HILLSBOROUGH

Child Care as of 2025

No of

Providers

Under 2 Years

Old

2 to 4 Year

Olds

Total 0 to 4

Years

EXISTING DEMAND Child Care Demand

Estimated Total Children

Average LFPRAdjustment Factor

Children With Working Parents

Licensed Care Demand Factor

Resident Children Needing Licensed Care

of Total Resident Children Needing Licensed Care

Children from Non-Resident Employees Needing

Licensed Care

(1)

(2)

(3)

143 343

52

74 295

37

27 282

19 82

7 11

487

369

84

309

64

17

Total Demand for Child Care Spaces

Distribution

EXISTING SUPPLY (4)

34 292

10 90

Child Care Spaces

327

100

Family Child Care Home Supply

Child Care Center Supply

Current Child Care Supply

Distribution

EXISTING SURPLUS(SHORTAGE)

Distribution

Percentage of Demand Met

by Existing FacilitiesSpaces

Shortage of Family Child Care Home Spaces

Shortage of Center-Based Spaces

(5)

(6)

(6)

1

4

5

5 6

- 91

5 97

5 95

(29) (195)

13 87

14 33

(29) (12)

0 (183)

11

91

102

100

(225)

100

31

(42)

(183)

FINAL

Table B-10

Future Child Care Demand and Supply in 2025 in Hillsborough

San Mateo County Child Care Study - 2016

Note All footnote references can be found in Table C-1 at the end of this file

Sources 2010 US Census ABAG Projections 2013 2014 American Community Survey ACS Journey-to-Work data 2006-2008 and 2006-2010

Child Care Coordinating Council of San Mateo County (4Cs) Community Care Licensing Brion Economics Inc

Prepared by Brion Economics Inc 2513-SMC NA Final Tables 61216 6122016

MENLO PARK

Child Care as of 2025

No of

Providers

Under 2 Years

Old

2 to 4 Year

Olds

Total 0 to 4

Years

EXISTING DEMAND Child Care Demand

Estimated Total Children

Average LFPRAdjustment Factor

Children With Working Parents

Licensed Care Demand Factor

Resident Children Needing Licensed Care

of Total Resident Children Needing Licensed Care

Children from Non-Resident Employees Needing

Licensed Care

(1)

(2)

(3)

1327 1954

69

909 1759

37

336 1653

25 85

237 357

3281

2668

75

1989

61

594

Total Demand for Child Care Spaces

Distribution

EXISTING SUPPLY (4)

573 2011

22 78

Child Care Spaces

2584

100

Family Child Care Home Supply

Child Care Center Supply

Current Child Care Supply

Distribution

EXISTING SURPLUS(SHORTAGE)

Distribution

Percentage of Demand Met

by Existing FacilitiesSpaces

Shortage of Family Child Care Home Spaces

Shortage of Center-Based Spaces

(5)

(6)

(6)

15

25

40

76 96

73 1331

149 1427

9 91

(424) (584)

42 58

26 71

(217) (39)

(207) (544)

172

1404

1576

100

(1008)

100

61

(256)

(752)

FINAL

Table B-11

Future Child Care Demand and Supply in 2025 in Menlo Park

San Mateo County Child Care Study - 2016

Note All footnote references can be found in Table C-1 at the end of this file

Sources 2010 US Census ABAG Projections 2013 2014 American Community Survey ACS Journey-to-Work data 2006-2008 and 2006-2010

Child Care Coordinating Council of San Mateo County (4Cs) Community Care Licensing Brion Economics Inc

Prepared by Brion Economics Inc 2513-SMC NA Final Tables 61216 6122016

MILLBRAE

Child Care as of 2025

No of

Providers

Under 2 Years

Old

2 to 4 Year

Olds

Total 0 to 4

Years

EXISTING DEMAND Child Care Demand

Estimated Total Children

Average LFPRAdjustment Factor

Children With Working Parents

Licensed Care Demand Factor

Resident Children Needing Licensed Care

of Total Resident Children Needing Licensed Care

Children from Non-Resident Employees Needing

Licensed Care

(1)

(2)

(3)

473 805

62

291 710

37

108 672

23 83

31 47

1278

1001

78

780

61

77

Total Demand for Child Care Spaces

Distribution

EXISTING SUPPLY (4)

139 718

16 84

Child Care Spaces

857

100

Family Child Care Home Supply

Child Care Center Supply

Current Child Care Supply

Distribution

EXISTING SURPLUS(SHORTAGE)

Distribution

Percentage of Demand Met

by Existing FacilitiesSpaces

Shortage of Family Child Care Home Spaces

Shortage of Center-Based Spaces

(5)

(6)

(6)

7

7

14

62 78

- 376

62 454

12 88

(76) (264)

22 78

45 63

(76) (46)

0 (219)

141

376

517

100

(340)

100

60

(122)

(219)

FINAL

Table B-12

Future C hild Care Demand and Supply in 2025 in Millbrae

San Mateo County Child Care Study - 2016

Note All footnote references can be found in Table C-1 at the end of this file

Sources 2010 US Census ABAG Projections 2013 2014 American Community Survey ACS Journey-to-Work data 2006-2008 and 2006-2010

Child Care Coordinating Council of San Mateo County (4Cs) Community Care Licensing Brion Economics Inc

Prepared by Brion Economics Inc 2513-SMC NA Final Tables 61216 6122016

FINAL

Table B-13

Future Child Care Demand and Supply in 2025 in Pacifica

San Mateo County Child Care Study - 2016

PACIFICA

Child Care as of 2025

No of

Providers

Under 2 Years

Old

2 to 4 Year

Olds

Total 0 to 4

Years

EXISTING DEMAND Child Care Demand

Estimated Total Children

Average L FPRAdjustment Factor

Children With Working Parents

Licensed Care Demand Factor

Resident Children Needing Licensed Care

of Total Resident Children Needing Licensed Care

Children from Non-Resident Employees Needing

Licensed Care

(1)

(2)

(3)

816 1300

78

633 1209

37

234 1130

29 87

19 29

2116

1842

74

1364

64

48

Total Demand for Child Care Spaces

Distribution

EXISTING SUPPLY (4)

254 1159

18 82

Child Care Spaces

1413

100

Family Child Care Home Supply

Child Care Center Supply

Current Child Care Supply

Distribution

EXISTING SURPLUS(SHORTAGE)

Distribution

Percentage of Demand Met

by Existing FacilitiesSpaces

Shortage of Family Child Care Home Spaces

Shortage of Center-Based Spaces

(5)

(6)

(6)

9

18

27

77 97

39 701

116 798

13 87

(138) (361)

28 72

46 69

(91) (44)

(46) (317)

174

740

914

100

(499)

100

65

(135)

(364)

Note All footnote references can be found in Table C-1 at the end of this file

Sources 2010 US Census ABAG Projections 2013 2014 American Community Survey ACS Journey-to-Work data 2006-2008 and 2006-2010

Child Care Coordinating Council of San Mateo County (4Cs) Community Care Licensing Brion Economics Inc

Prepared by Brion Economics Inc 2513-SMC NA Final Tables 61216 6122016

PORTOLA VALLEY

Child Care as of 2025

No of

Providers

Under 2 Years

Old

2 to 4 Year

Olds

Total 0 to 4

Years

EXISTING DEMAND Child Care Demand

Estimated Total Children

Average LFPRAdjustment Factor

Children With Working Parents

Licensed Care Demand Factor

Resident Children Needing Licensed Care

of Total Resident Children Needing Licensed Care

Children from Non-Resident Employees Needing

Licensed Care

(1)

(2)

(3)

77 192

66

51 173

37

19 164

24 85

9 13

269

224

82

182

68

22

Total Demand for Child Care Spaces

Distribution

EXISTING SUPPLY (4)

28 177

13 87

Child Care Spaces

204

100

Family Child Care Home Supply

Child Care Center Supply

Current Child Care Supply

Distribution

EXISTING SURPLUS(SHORTAGE)

Distribution

Percentage of Demand Met

by Existing FacilitiesSpaces

Shortage of Family Child Care Home Spaces

Shortage of Center-Based Spaces

(5)

(6)

(6)

0

4

4

- -

- 153

- 153

0 100

(28) (24)

54 46

0 87

0 0

(28) (24)

0

153

153

100

(51)

100

75

0

(51)

FINAL

Table B-14

Future Child Care Demand and Supply in 2025 in Portola Valley

San Mateo County Child Care Study - 2016

Note All footnote references can be found in Table C-1 at the end of this file

Sources 2010 US Census ABAG Projections 2013 2014 American Community Survey ACS Journey-to-Work data 2006-2008 and 2006-2010

Child Care Coordinating Council of San Mateo County (4Cs) Community Care Licensing Brion Economics Inc

Prepared by Brion Economics Inc 2513-SMC NA Final Tables 61216 6122016

REDWOOD CITY

No of

Providers

Child Care as of 2025

Under 2 Years

Old

2 to 4 Year

Olds

Total 0 to 4

Years

EXISTING DEMAND Child Care Demand

Estimated Total Children

Average LFPRAdjustment Factor

Children With Working Parents

Licensed Care Demand Factor

Resident Children Needing Licensed Care

of Total Resident Children Needing Licensed Care

Children from Non-Resident Employees Needing

Licensed Care

Total Demand for Child Care Spaces

Distribution

EXISTING SUPPLY

(1)

(2)

(3)

(4)

3725 5378

69

2555 4813

37

946 4505

25 84

466 703

1411 5208

21 79

Child Care Spaces

9103

7368

74

5450

60

1169

6619

100

Family Child Care Home Supply

Child Care Center Supply

Current Child Care Supply

Distribution

EXISTING SURPLUS(SHORTAGE)

Distribution

Percentage of Demand Met

by Existing FacilitiesSpaces

Shortage of Family Child Care Home Spaces

Shortage of Center-Based Spaces

(5)

(6)

(6)

42

41

83

396 497

356 2036

752 2533

23 77

(660) (2674)

20 80

53 49

(347) (525)

(313) (2149)

893

2392

3285

100

(3334)

100

50

(872)

(2462)

FINAL

Table B-15

Future Child Care Demand and Supply in 2025 in Redwood City

San Mateo County Child Care Study - 2016

Note All footnote references can be found in Table C-1 at the end of this file

Sources 2010 US Census ABAG Projections 2013 2014 American Community Survey ACS Journey-to-Work data 2006-2008 and 2006-2010

Child Care Coordinating Council of San Mateo County (4Cs) Community Care Licensing Brion Economics Inc

Prepared by Brion Economics Inc 2513-SMC NA Final Tables 61216 6122016

SAN BRUNO

Child Care as of 2025

No of

Providers

Under 2 Years

Old

2 to 4 Year

Olds

Total 0 to 4

Years

EXISTING DEMAND Child Care Demand

Estimated Total Children

Average LFPRAdjustment Factor

Children With Working Parents

Licensed Care Demand Factor

Resident Children Needing Licensed Care

of Total Resident Children Needing Licensed Care

Children from Non-Resident Employees Needing

Licensed Care

(1)

(2)

(3)

1189 1728

77

910 1589

37

337 1475

28 85

68 103

2917

2498

73

1812

62

171

Total Demand for Child Care Spaces

Distribution

EXISTING SUPPLY (4)

405 1578

20 80

Child Care Spaces

1983

100

Family Child Care Home Supply

Child Care Center Supply

Current Child Care Supply

Distribution

EXISTING SURPLUS(SHORTAGE)

Distribution

Percentage of Demand Met

by Existing FacilitiesSpaces

Shortage of Family Child Care Home Spaces

Shortage of Center-Based Spaces

(5)

(6)

(6)

13

15

28

122 153

26 1183

148 1336

10 90

(257) (242)

52 48

37 85

(212) (28)

(45) (214)

275

1209

1484

100

(499)

100

75

(239)

(259)

FINAL

Table B-16

Future C hild Care Demand and Supply in 2025 in San Bruno

San Mateo County Child Care Study - 2016

Note All footnote references can be found in Table C-1 at the end of this file

Sources 2010 US Census ABAG Projections 2013 2014 American Community Survey ACS Journey-to-Work data 2006-2008 and 2006-2010

Child Care Coordinating Council of San Mateo County (4Cs) Community Care Licensing Brion Economics Inc

Prepared by Brion Economics Inc 2513-SMC NA Final Tables 61216 6122016

SAN CARLOS

Child Care as of 2025

No of

Providers

Under 2 Years

Old

2 to 4 Year

Olds

Total 0 to 4

Years

EXISTING DEMAND Child Care Demand

Estimated Total Children

Average LFPRAdjustment Factor

Children With Working Parents

Licensed Care Demand Factor

Resident Children Needing Licensed Care

of Total Resident Children Needing Licensed Care

Children from Non-Resident Employees Needing

Licensed Care

(1)

(2)

(3)

778 1384

72

557 1255

37

206 1174

26 85

82 123

2162

1812

76

1380

64

205

Total Demand for Child Care Spaces

Distribution

EXISTING SUPPLY (4)

288 1297

18 82

Child Care Spaces

1585

100

Family Child Care Home Supply

Child Care Center Supply

Current Child Care Supply

Distribution

EXISTING SURPLUS(SHORTAGE)

Distribution

Percentage of Demand Met

by Existing FacilitiesSpaces

Shortage of Family Child Care Home Spaces

Shortage of Center-Based Spaces

(5)

(6)

(6)

28

14

42

73 92

76 615

149 707

17 83

(139) (590)

19 81

52 54

(68) (76)

(71) (514)

164

691

855

100

(729)

100

54

(145)

(585)

FINAL

Table B-17

Future Child Care Demand and Supply in 2025 in San Carlos

San Mateo County Child Care Study - 2016

Note All footnote references can be found in Table C-1 at the end of this file

Sources 2010 US Census ABAG Projections 2013 2014 American Community Survey ACS Journey-to-Work data 2006-2008 and 2006-2010

Child Care Coordinating Council of San Mateo County (4Cs) Community Care Licensing Brion Economics Inc

Prepared by Brion Economics Inc 2513-SMC NA Final Tables 61216 6122016

SAN MATEO

Child Care as of 2025

No of

Providers

Under 2 Years

Old

2 to 4 Year

Olds

Total 0 to 4

Years

EXISTING DEMAND Child Care Demand

Estimated Total Children

Average LFPRAdjustment Factor

Children With Working Parents

Licensed Care Demand Factor

Resident Children Needing Licensed Care

of Total Resident Children Needing Licensed Care

Children from Non-Resident Employees Needing

Licensed Care

(1)

(2)

(3)

3194 4572

71

2264 4116

37

838 3839

26 84

261 394

7766

6381

73

4677

60

656

Total Demand for Child Care Spaces

Distribution

EXISTING SUPPLY (4)

1099 4233

21 79

Child Care Spaces

5332

100

Family Child Care Home Supply

Child Care Center Supply

Current Child Care Supply

Distribution

EXISTING SURPLUS(SHORTAGE)

Distribution

Percentage of Demand Met

by Existing FacilitiesSpaces

Shortage of Family Child Care Home Spaces

Shortage of Center-Based Spaces

(5)

(6)

(6)

69

59

128

492 619

209 2577

701 3196

18 82

(398) (1037)

28 72

64 75

(279) (201)

(119) (837)

1111

2786

3897

100

(1435)

100

73

(480)

(955)

FINAL

Table B-18

Future Child Care Demand and Supply in 2025 in San Mateo

San Mateo County Child Care Study - 2016

Note All footnote references can be found in Table C-1 at the end of this file

Sources 2010 US Census ABAG Projections 2013 2014 American Community Survey ACS Journey-to-Work data 2006-2008 and 2006-2010

Child Care Coordinating Council of San Mateo County (4Cs) Community Care Licensing Brion Economics Inc

Prepared by Brion Economics Inc 2513-SMC NA Final Tables 61216 6122016

FINAL

Table B-19

Future Child Care Demand and Supply in 2025 in South Coast

San Mateo County Child Care Study - 2016

SOUTH COAST

Child Care as of 2025

No of

Providers

Under 2 Years

Old

2 to 4 Year

Olds

Total 0 to 4

Years

EXISTING DEMAND Child Care Demand

Estimated Total Children (1) 23 32 55

Average LFPRAdjustment Factor (2) 54

Children With Working Parents 12 27 40

Licensed Care Demand Factor (3) 37 77

Resident Children Needing Licensed Care 5 26 30

of Total Resident Children Needing Licensed Care 20 81 56

Children from Non-Resident Employees Needing

Licensed Care 0 0 0

Total Demand for Child Care Spaces 5 26 30

Distribution 15 85 100

EXISTING SUPPLY (4) Child Care Spaces

Family Child Care Home Supply - 0 0 0

Child Care Center Supply 2 0 54 54

Current Child Care Supply 2 - 54 54

Distribution 0 100 100

EXISTING SURPLUS(SHORTAGE) (5) 28 24

Distribution -19 119 100

Percentage of Demand Met

by Existing FacilitiesSpaces (5) 0 209 177

Shortage of Family Child Care Home Spaces (6) 0 NA 0

Shortage of Center-Based Spaces (6) (5) NA (5)

Note All footnote references can be found in Table C-1 at the end of this file

Sources 2010 US Census ABAG Projections 2013 2014 American Community Survey ACS Journey-to-Work data 2006-2008 and 2006-2010

Child Care Coordinating Council of San Mateo County (4Cs) Community Care Licensing Brion Economics Inc

Prepared by Brion Economics Inc 2513-SMC NA Final Tables 61216 6122016

SOUTH SAN FRANCISCO

Child Care as of 2025

No of

Providers

Under 2 Years

Old

2 to 4 Year

Olds

Total 0 to 4

Years

EXISTING DEMAND Child Care Demand

Estimated Total Children

Average LFPRAdjustment Factor

Children With Working Parents

Licensed Care Demand Factor

Resident Children Needing Licensed Care

of Total Resident Children Needing Licensed Care

Children from Non-Resident Employees Needing

Licensed Care

(1)

(2)

(3)

1835 2790

73

1342 2535

37

496 2362

27 85

339 512

4625

3877

74

2859

62

851

Total Demand for Child Care Spaces

Distribution

EXISTING SUPPLY (4)

835 2874

23 77

Child Care Spaces

3709

100

Family Child Care Home Supply

Child Care Center Supply

Current Child Care Supply

Distribution

EXISTING SURPLUS(SHORTAGE)

Distribution

Percentage of Demand Met

by Existing FacilitiesSpaces

Shortage of Family Child Care Home Spaces

Shortage of Center-Based Spaces

(5)

(6)

(6)

30

27

57

252 317

400 1966

652 2283

22 78

(183) (591)

24 76

78 79

(71) (82)

(113) (509)

569

2366

2935

100

(775)

100

79

(153)

(622)

FINAL

Table B-20

Future Child Care Demand and Supply in 2025 in South San Francisco

San Mateo County Child Care Study - 2016

Note All footnote references can be found in Table C-1 at the end of this file

Sources 2010 US Census ABAG Projections 2013 2014 American Community Survey ACS Journey-to-Work data 2006-2008 and 2006-2010

Child Care Coordinating Council of San Mateo County (4Cs) Community Care Licensing Brion Economics Inc

Prepared by Brion Economics Inc 2513-SMC NA Final Tables 61216 6122016

WOODSIDE

No of

Providers

Child Care as of 2025

Under 2 Years

Old

2 to 4 Year

Olds

Total 0 to 4

Years

EXISTING DEMAND Child Care Demand

Estimated Total Children

Average LFPRAdjustment Factor

Children With Working Parents

Licensed Care Demand Factor

Resident Children Needing Licensed Care

of Total Resident Children Needing Licensed Care

Children from Non-Resident Employees Needing

Licensed Care

(1)

(2)

(3)

93 165

56

51 140

37

19 132

21 80

9 13

258

192

79

152

59

22

Total Demand for Child Care Spaces

Distribution

EXISTING SUPPLY (4)

28 146

16 84

Child Care Spaces

174

100

Family Child Care Home Supply

Child Care Center Supply

Current Child Care Supply

Distribution

EXISTING SURPLUS(SHORTAGE)

Distribution

Percentage of Demand Met

by Existing FacilitiesSpaces

Shortage of Family Child Care Home Spaces

Shortage of Center-Based Spaces

(5)

(6)

(6)

1

2

3

4 5

- 103

4 108

4 96

(24) (38)

39 61

15 74

(24) (2)

0 (36)

9

103

112

100

(61)

100

65

(26)

(36)

FINAL

Table B-21

Future Child Care Demand and Supply in 2025 in Woodside

San Mateo County Child Care Study - 2016

Note All footnote references can be found in Table C-1 at the end of this file

Sources 2010 US Census ABAG Projections 2013 2014 American Community Survey ACS Journey-to-Work data 2006-2008 and 2006-2010

Child Care Coordinating Council of San Mateo County (4Cs) Community Care Licensing Brion Economics Inc

Prepared by Brion Economics Inc 2513-SMC NA Final Tables 61216 6122016

FINAL

Table C-1

Endnotes for Tables

San Mateo County Child Care Study - 2016

(1) Population by age is based on the percentage breakdown from the 2010 US Census and applied

to population estimates for 2015 using ABAGs Projections 2013 population data The ABAG data

for each area includes its Sphere of Influence and is not based on strict jurisdictional boundaries

(2) Labor force participation rates are from the 5-Year American Community Survey 2014 and include

children under six years old with two working parents or a single working parent For the 2- to 4-year

olds the labor force participation rate is applied to 2 year olds For 3- and 4-year olds it is assumed

that 100 need licensed care to support preschool for every child so the number of

3- and 4-year olds is not discounted by labor force participation rates

(3) Not all children with working parents are assumed to need licensed care percentage assumptions are

used to calculate the number of children requiring licensed care under each age category The

remaining children are assumed to be cared for in alternate arrangements such as by family members

nannies friends and other unlicensed care For children ages 3- and 4-years old it is assumed that

they all need care in the form of preschool

(4) Data on child care supply provided by the Child Care Coordinating Council of San Mateo County (4Cs)

and Community Care Licensing Division of the California Department of Social Services (CCLD) Data is

for June 2015

(5) Demand that calculates as less than 100 means that there is greater demand than supply percent of

demand that is over 100 means supply exceeds demand

(6) Unmet demand is broken down into shortage by type of care based on the proportion of FCCHs and

child care centers spaces available in each area If an area does not have any FCCHs or centers the

unmet demand is placed in the type of care that is available in the area (eg if there are only centers

all demand goes to centers)

Source Brion Economics Inc

Prepared by Brion Economics Inc 2513-SMC NA Final Tables 61216 6122016

DRAFT REPORT

Table C-2

Labor Force Participation Rates by CityArea

San Mateo County Child Care Study - 2016

CityArea

Labor Force

Participation Rate (1)

Atherton

Belmont

Brisbane

Burlingame

Daly CityColma

East Palo Alto

Foster City

Half Moon Bay Region

Hillsborough

Menlo Park

Millbrae

Pacifica

Portola Valley

Redwood City

San Bruno

San Carlos

San Mateo

South Coast

South San Francisco

Woodside

40

77

100

65

74

71

63

69

52

69

62

78

66

69

77

72

71

54

73

56

(1) Labor force participation rates (LFPRs) are for

families with children under age six with two

working parents or a single parent who works Sources American Community Survey 2014 5-Year

Survey Brion Economics Inc

Prepared by Brion Economics Inc 2513-SMC NA Final Tables 61216 6122016

  • 2513-SMC FINAL NA Memo-61216
  • 2513-SMC NA Final Tables 61216
Page 52: Final San Mateo County Child Care Needs … Care...Future C hild Care Demand and Supply in 2025 in Daly City/Colma San Mateo County Child Care Study - 2016 Note: All footnote references

HALF MOON BAY REGION

Child Care as of 2025

No of

Providers

Under 2 Years

Old

2 to 4 Year

Olds

Total 0 to 4

Years

EXISTING DEMAND Child Care Demand

Estimated Total Children

Average LFPRAdjustment Factor

Children With Working Parents

Licensed Care Demand Factor

Resident Children Needing Licensed Care

of Total Resident Children Needing Licensed Care

Children from Non-Resident Employees Needing

Licensed Care

(1)

(2)

(3)

553 929

69

383 835

37

142 781

26 84

14 21

1482

1217

76

923

62

34

Total Demand for Child Care Spaces

Distribution

EXISTING SUPPLY (4)

155 802

16 84

Child Care Spaces

957

100

Family Child Care Home Supply

Child Care Center Supply

Current Child Care Supply

Distribution

EXISTING SURPLUS(SHORTAGE)

Distribution

Percentage of Demand Met

by Existing FacilitiesSpaces

Shortage of Family Child Care Home Spaces

Shortage of Center-Based Spaces

(5)

(6)

(6)

10

11

21

96 121

35 285

131 406

24 76

(24) (396)

6 94

84 51

(18) (118)

(6) (279)

216

320

536

100

(421)

100

56

(136)

(285)

FINAL

Table B-9

Future Child Care Demand and Supply in 2025 in Half Moon Bay Region

San Mateo County Child Care Study - 2016

Note All footnote references can be found in Table C-1 at the end of this file

Sources 2010 US Census ABAG Projections 2013 2014 American Community Survey ACS Journey-to-Work data 2006-2008 and 2006-2010

Child Care Coordinating Council of San Mateo County (4Cs) Community Care Licensing Brion Economics Inc

Prepared by Brion Economics Inc 2513-SMC NA Final Tables 61216 6122016

HILLSBOROUGH

Child Care as of 2025

No of

Providers

Under 2 Years

Old

2 to 4 Year

Olds

Total 0 to 4

Years

EXISTING DEMAND Child Care Demand

Estimated Total Children

Average LFPRAdjustment Factor

Children With Working Parents

Licensed Care Demand Factor

Resident Children Needing Licensed Care

of Total Resident Children Needing Licensed Care

Children from Non-Resident Employees Needing

Licensed Care

(1)

(2)

(3)

143 343

52

74 295

37

27 282

19 82

7 11

487

369

84

309

64

17

Total Demand for Child Care Spaces

Distribution

EXISTING SUPPLY (4)

34 292

10 90

Child Care Spaces

327

100

Family Child Care Home Supply

Child Care Center Supply

Current Child Care Supply

Distribution

EXISTING SURPLUS(SHORTAGE)

Distribution

Percentage of Demand Met

by Existing FacilitiesSpaces

Shortage of Family Child Care Home Spaces

Shortage of Center-Based Spaces

(5)

(6)

(6)

1

4

5

5 6

- 91

5 97

5 95

(29) (195)

13 87

14 33

(29) (12)

0 (183)

11

91

102

100

(225)

100

31

(42)

(183)

FINAL

Table B-10

Future Child Care Demand and Supply in 2025 in Hillsborough

San Mateo County Child Care Study - 2016

Note All footnote references can be found in Table C-1 at the end of this file

Sources 2010 US Census ABAG Projections 2013 2014 American Community Survey ACS Journey-to-Work data 2006-2008 and 2006-2010

Child Care Coordinating Council of San Mateo County (4Cs) Community Care Licensing Brion Economics Inc

Prepared by Brion Economics Inc 2513-SMC NA Final Tables 61216 6122016

MENLO PARK

Child Care as of 2025

No of

Providers

Under 2 Years

Old

2 to 4 Year

Olds

Total 0 to 4

Years

EXISTING DEMAND Child Care Demand

Estimated Total Children

Average LFPRAdjustment Factor

Children With Working Parents

Licensed Care Demand Factor

Resident Children Needing Licensed Care

of Total Resident Children Needing Licensed Care

Children from Non-Resident Employees Needing

Licensed Care

(1)

(2)

(3)

1327 1954

69

909 1759

37

336 1653

25 85

237 357

3281

2668

75

1989

61

594

Total Demand for Child Care Spaces

Distribution

EXISTING SUPPLY (4)

573 2011

22 78

Child Care Spaces

2584

100

Family Child Care Home Supply

Child Care Center Supply

Current Child Care Supply

Distribution

EXISTING SURPLUS(SHORTAGE)

Distribution

Percentage of Demand Met

by Existing FacilitiesSpaces

Shortage of Family Child Care Home Spaces

Shortage of Center-Based Spaces

(5)

(6)

(6)

15

25

40

76 96

73 1331

149 1427

9 91

(424) (584)

42 58

26 71

(217) (39)

(207) (544)

172

1404

1576

100

(1008)

100

61

(256)

(752)

FINAL

Table B-11

Future Child Care Demand and Supply in 2025 in Menlo Park

San Mateo County Child Care Study - 2016

Note All footnote references can be found in Table C-1 at the end of this file

Sources 2010 US Census ABAG Projections 2013 2014 American Community Survey ACS Journey-to-Work data 2006-2008 and 2006-2010

Child Care Coordinating Council of San Mateo County (4Cs) Community Care Licensing Brion Economics Inc

Prepared by Brion Economics Inc 2513-SMC NA Final Tables 61216 6122016

MILLBRAE

Child Care as of 2025

No of

Providers

Under 2 Years

Old

2 to 4 Year

Olds

Total 0 to 4

Years

EXISTING DEMAND Child Care Demand

Estimated Total Children

Average LFPRAdjustment Factor

Children With Working Parents

Licensed Care Demand Factor

Resident Children Needing Licensed Care

of Total Resident Children Needing Licensed Care

Children from Non-Resident Employees Needing

Licensed Care

(1)

(2)

(3)

473 805

62

291 710

37

108 672

23 83

31 47

1278

1001

78

780

61

77

Total Demand for Child Care Spaces

Distribution

EXISTING SUPPLY (4)

139 718

16 84

Child Care Spaces

857

100

Family Child Care Home Supply

Child Care Center Supply

Current Child Care Supply

Distribution

EXISTING SURPLUS(SHORTAGE)

Distribution

Percentage of Demand Met

by Existing FacilitiesSpaces

Shortage of Family Child Care Home Spaces

Shortage of Center-Based Spaces

(5)

(6)

(6)

7

7

14

62 78

- 376

62 454

12 88

(76) (264)

22 78

45 63

(76) (46)

0 (219)

141

376

517

100

(340)

100

60

(122)

(219)

FINAL

Table B-12

Future C hild Care Demand and Supply in 2025 in Millbrae

San Mateo County Child Care Study - 2016

Note All footnote references can be found in Table C-1 at the end of this file

Sources 2010 US Census ABAG Projections 2013 2014 American Community Survey ACS Journey-to-Work data 2006-2008 and 2006-2010

Child Care Coordinating Council of San Mateo County (4Cs) Community Care Licensing Brion Economics Inc

Prepared by Brion Economics Inc 2513-SMC NA Final Tables 61216 6122016

FINAL

Table B-13

Future Child Care Demand and Supply in 2025 in Pacifica

San Mateo County Child Care Study - 2016

PACIFICA

Child Care as of 2025

No of

Providers

Under 2 Years

Old

2 to 4 Year

Olds

Total 0 to 4

Years

EXISTING DEMAND Child Care Demand

Estimated Total Children

Average L FPRAdjustment Factor

Children With Working Parents

Licensed Care Demand Factor

Resident Children Needing Licensed Care

of Total Resident Children Needing Licensed Care

Children from Non-Resident Employees Needing

Licensed Care

(1)

(2)

(3)

816 1300

78

633 1209

37

234 1130

29 87

19 29

2116

1842

74

1364

64

48

Total Demand for Child Care Spaces

Distribution

EXISTING SUPPLY (4)

254 1159

18 82

Child Care Spaces

1413

100

Family Child Care Home Supply

Child Care Center Supply

Current Child Care Supply

Distribution

EXISTING SURPLUS(SHORTAGE)

Distribution

Percentage of Demand Met

by Existing FacilitiesSpaces

Shortage of Family Child Care Home Spaces

Shortage of Center-Based Spaces

(5)

(6)

(6)

9

18

27

77 97

39 701

116 798

13 87

(138) (361)

28 72

46 69

(91) (44)

(46) (317)

174

740

914

100

(499)

100

65

(135)

(364)

Note All footnote references can be found in Table C-1 at the end of this file

Sources 2010 US Census ABAG Projections 2013 2014 American Community Survey ACS Journey-to-Work data 2006-2008 and 2006-2010

Child Care Coordinating Council of San Mateo County (4Cs) Community Care Licensing Brion Economics Inc

Prepared by Brion Economics Inc 2513-SMC NA Final Tables 61216 6122016

PORTOLA VALLEY

Child Care as of 2025

No of

Providers

Under 2 Years

Old

2 to 4 Year

Olds

Total 0 to 4

Years

EXISTING DEMAND Child Care Demand

Estimated Total Children

Average LFPRAdjustment Factor

Children With Working Parents

Licensed Care Demand Factor

Resident Children Needing Licensed Care

of Total Resident Children Needing Licensed Care

Children from Non-Resident Employees Needing

Licensed Care

(1)

(2)

(3)

77 192

66

51 173

37

19 164

24 85

9 13

269

224

82

182

68

22

Total Demand for Child Care Spaces

Distribution

EXISTING SUPPLY (4)

28 177

13 87

Child Care Spaces

204

100

Family Child Care Home Supply

Child Care Center Supply

Current Child Care Supply

Distribution

EXISTING SURPLUS(SHORTAGE)

Distribution

Percentage of Demand Met

by Existing FacilitiesSpaces

Shortage of Family Child Care Home Spaces

Shortage of Center-Based Spaces

(5)

(6)

(6)

0

4

4

- -

- 153

- 153

0 100

(28) (24)

54 46

0 87

0 0

(28) (24)

0

153

153

100

(51)

100

75

0

(51)

FINAL

Table B-14

Future Child Care Demand and Supply in 2025 in Portola Valley

San Mateo County Child Care Study - 2016

Note All footnote references can be found in Table C-1 at the end of this file

Sources 2010 US Census ABAG Projections 2013 2014 American Community Survey ACS Journey-to-Work data 2006-2008 and 2006-2010

Child Care Coordinating Council of San Mateo County (4Cs) Community Care Licensing Brion Economics Inc

Prepared by Brion Economics Inc 2513-SMC NA Final Tables 61216 6122016

REDWOOD CITY

No of

Providers

Child Care as of 2025

Under 2 Years

Old

2 to 4 Year

Olds

Total 0 to 4

Years

EXISTING DEMAND Child Care Demand

Estimated Total Children

Average LFPRAdjustment Factor

Children With Working Parents

Licensed Care Demand Factor

Resident Children Needing Licensed Care

of Total Resident Children Needing Licensed Care

Children from Non-Resident Employees Needing

Licensed Care

Total Demand for Child Care Spaces

Distribution

EXISTING SUPPLY

(1)

(2)

(3)

(4)

3725 5378

69

2555 4813

37

946 4505

25 84

466 703

1411 5208

21 79

Child Care Spaces

9103

7368

74

5450

60

1169

6619

100

Family Child Care Home Supply

Child Care Center Supply

Current Child Care Supply

Distribution

EXISTING SURPLUS(SHORTAGE)

Distribution

Percentage of Demand Met

by Existing FacilitiesSpaces

Shortage of Family Child Care Home Spaces

Shortage of Center-Based Spaces

(5)

(6)

(6)

42

41

83

396 497

356 2036

752 2533

23 77

(660) (2674)

20 80

53 49

(347) (525)

(313) (2149)

893

2392

3285

100

(3334)

100

50

(872)

(2462)

FINAL

Table B-15

Future Child Care Demand and Supply in 2025 in Redwood City

San Mateo County Child Care Study - 2016

Note All footnote references can be found in Table C-1 at the end of this file

Sources 2010 US Census ABAG Projections 2013 2014 American Community Survey ACS Journey-to-Work data 2006-2008 and 2006-2010

Child Care Coordinating Council of San Mateo County (4Cs) Community Care Licensing Brion Economics Inc

Prepared by Brion Economics Inc 2513-SMC NA Final Tables 61216 6122016

SAN BRUNO

Child Care as of 2025

No of

Providers

Under 2 Years

Old

2 to 4 Year

Olds

Total 0 to 4

Years

EXISTING DEMAND Child Care Demand

Estimated Total Children

Average LFPRAdjustment Factor

Children With Working Parents

Licensed Care Demand Factor

Resident Children Needing Licensed Care

of Total Resident Children Needing Licensed Care

Children from Non-Resident Employees Needing

Licensed Care

(1)

(2)

(3)

1189 1728

77

910 1589

37

337 1475

28 85

68 103

2917

2498

73

1812

62

171

Total Demand for Child Care Spaces

Distribution

EXISTING SUPPLY (4)

405 1578

20 80

Child Care Spaces

1983

100

Family Child Care Home Supply

Child Care Center Supply

Current Child Care Supply

Distribution

EXISTING SURPLUS(SHORTAGE)

Distribution

Percentage of Demand Met

by Existing FacilitiesSpaces

Shortage of Family Child Care Home Spaces

Shortage of Center-Based Spaces

(5)

(6)

(6)

13

15

28

122 153

26 1183

148 1336

10 90

(257) (242)

52 48

37 85

(212) (28)

(45) (214)

275

1209

1484

100

(499)

100

75

(239)

(259)

FINAL

Table B-16

Future C hild Care Demand and Supply in 2025 in San Bruno

San Mateo County Child Care Study - 2016

Note All footnote references can be found in Table C-1 at the end of this file

Sources 2010 US Census ABAG Projections 2013 2014 American Community Survey ACS Journey-to-Work data 2006-2008 and 2006-2010

Child Care Coordinating Council of San Mateo County (4Cs) Community Care Licensing Brion Economics Inc

Prepared by Brion Economics Inc 2513-SMC NA Final Tables 61216 6122016

SAN CARLOS

Child Care as of 2025

No of

Providers

Under 2 Years

Old

2 to 4 Year

Olds

Total 0 to 4

Years

EXISTING DEMAND Child Care Demand

Estimated Total Children

Average LFPRAdjustment Factor

Children With Working Parents

Licensed Care Demand Factor

Resident Children Needing Licensed Care

of Total Resident Children Needing Licensed Care

Children from Non-Resident Employees Needing

Licensed Care

(1)

(2)

(3)

778 1384

72

557 1255

37

206 1174

26 85

82 123

2162

1812

76

1380

64

205

Total Demand for Child Care Spaces

Distribution

EXISTING SUPPLY (4)

288 1297

18 82

Child Care Spaces

1585

100

Family Child Care Home Supply

Child Care Center Supply

Current Child Care Supply

Distribution

EXISTING SURPLUS(SHORTAGE)

Distribution

Percentage of Demand Met

by Existing FacilitiesSpaces

Shortage of Family Child Care Home Spaces

Shortage of Center-Based Spaces

(5)

(6)

(6)

28

14

42

73 92

76 615

149 707

17 83

(139) (590)

19 81

52 54

(68) (76)

(71) (514)

164

691

855

100

(729)

100

54

(145)

(585)

FINAL

Table B-17

Future Child Care Demand and Supply in 2025 in San Carlos

San Mateo County Child Care Study - 2016

Note All footnote references can be found in Table C-1 at the end of this file

Sources 2010 US Census ABAG Projections 2013 2014 American Community Survey ACS Journey-to-Work data 2006-2008 and 2006-2010

Child Care Coordinating Council of San Mateo County (4Cs) Community Care Licensing Brion Economics Inc

Prepared by Brion Economics Inc 2513-SMC NA Final Tables 61216 6122016

SAN MATEO

Child Care as of 2025

No of

Providers

Under 2 Years

Old

2 to 4 Year

Olds

Total 0 to 4

Years

EXISTING DEMAND Child Care Demand

Estimated Total Children

Average LFPRAdjustment Factor

Children With Working Parents

Licensed Care Demand Factor

Resident Children Needing Licensed Care

of Total Resident Children Needing Licensed Care

Children from Non-Resident Employees Needing

Licensed Care

(1)

(2)

(3)

3194 4572

71

2264 4116

37

838 3839

26 84

261 394

7766

6381

73

4677

60

656

Total Demand for Child Care Spaces

Distribution

EXISTING SUPPLY (4)

1099 4233

21 79

Child Care Spaces

5332

100

Family Child Care Home Supply

Child Care Center Supply

Current Child Care Supply

Distribution

EXISTING SURPLUS(SHORTAGE)

Distribution

Percentage of Demand Met

by Existing FacilitiesSpaces

Shortage of Family Child Care Home Spaces

Shortage of Center-Based Spaces

(5)

(6)

(6)

69

59

128

492 619

209 2577

701 3196

18 82

(398) (1037)

28 72

64 75

(279) (201)

(119) (837)

1111

2786

3897

100

(1435)

100

73

(480)

(955)

FINAL

Table B-18

Future Child Care Demand and Supply in 2025 in San Mateo

San Mateo County Child Care Study - 2016

Note All footnote references can be found in Table C-1 at the end of this file

Sources 2010 US Census ABAG Projections 2013 2014 American Community Survey ACS Journey-to-Work data 2006-2008 and 2006-2010

Child Care Coordinating Council of San Mateo County (4Cs) Community Care Licensing Brion Economics Inc

Prepared by Brion Economics Inc 2513-SMC NA Final Tables 61216 6122016

FINAL

Table B-19

Future Child Care Demand and Supply in 2025 in South Coast

San Mateo County Child Care Study - 2016

SOUTH COAST

Child Care as of 2025

No of

Providers

Under 2 Years

Old

2 to 4 Year

Olds

Total 0 to 4

Years

EXISTING DEMAND Child Care Demand

Estimated Total Children (1) 23 32 55

Average LFPRAdjustment Factor (2) 54

Children With Working Parents 12 27 40

Licensed Care Demand Factor (3) 37 77

Resident Children Needing Licensed Care 5 26 30

of Total Resident Children Needing Licensed Care 20 81 56

Children from Non-Resident Employees Needing

Licensed Care 0 0 0

Total Demand for Child Care Spaces 5 26 30

Distribution 15 85 100

EXISTING SUPPLY (4) Child Care Spaces

Family Child Care Home Supply - 0 0 0

Child Care Center Supply 2 0 54 54

Current Child Care Supply 2 - 54 54

Distribution 0 100 100

EXISTING SURPLUS(SHORTAGE) (5) 28 24

Distribution -19 119 100

Percentage of Demand Met

by Existing FacilitiesSpaces (5) 0 209 177

Shortage of Family Child Care Home Spaces (6) 0 NA 0

Shortage of Center-Based Spaces (6) (5) NA (5)

Note All footnote references can be found in Table C-1 at the end of this file

Sources 2010 US Census ABAG Projections 2013 2014 American Community Survey ACS Journey-to-Work data 2006-2008 and 2006-2010

Child Care Coordinating Council of San Mateo County (4Cs) Community Care Licensing Brion Economics Inc

Prepared by Brion Economics Inc 2513-SMC NA Final Tables 61216 6122016

SOUTH SAN FRANCISCO

Child Care as of 2025

No of

Providers

Under 2 Years

Old

2 to 4 Year

Olds

Total 0 to 4

Years

EXISTING DEMAND Child Care Demand

Estimated Total Children

Average LFPRAdjustment Factor

Children With Working Parents

Licensed Care Demand Factor

Resident Children Needing Licensed Care

of Total Resident Children Needing Licensed Care

Children from Non-Resident Employees Needing

Licensed Care

(1)

(2)

(3)

1835 2790

73

1342 2535

37

496 2362

27 85

339 512

4625

3877

74

2859

62

851

Total Demand for Child Care Spaces

Distribution

EXISTING SUPPLY (4)

835 2874

23 77

Child Care Spaces

3709

100

Family Child Care Home Supply

Child Care Center Supply

Current Child Care Supply

Distribution

EXISTING SURPLUS(SHORTAGE)

Distribution

Percentage of Demand Met

by Existing FacilitiesSpaces

Shortage of Family Child Care Home Spaces

Shortage of Center-Based Spaces

(5)

(6)

(6)

30

27

57

252 317

400 1966

652 2283

22 78

(183) (591)

24 76

78 79

(71) (82)

(113) (509)

569

2366

2935

100

(775)

100

79

(153)

(622)

FINAL

Table B-20

Future Child Care Demand and Supply in 2025 in South San Francisco

San Mateo County Child Care Study - 2016

Note All footnote references can be found in Table C-1 at the end of this file

Sources 2010 US Census ABAG Projections 2013 2014 American Community Survey ACS Journey-to-Work data 2006-2008 and 2006-2010

Child Care Coordinating Council of San Mateo County (4Cs) Community Care Licensing Brion Economics Inc

Prepared by Brion Economics Inc 2513-SMC NA Final Tables 61216 6122016

WOODSIDE

No of

Providers

Child Care as of 2025

Under 2 Years

Old

2 to 4 Year

Olds

Total 0 to 4

Years

EXISTING DEMAND Child Care Demand

Estimated Total Children

Average LFPRAdjustment Factor

Children With Working Parents

Licensed Care Demand Factor

Resident Children Needing Licensed Care

of Total Resident Children Needing Licensed Care

Children from Non-Resident Employees Needing

Licensed Care

(1)

(2)

(3)

93 165

56

51 140

37

19 132

21 80

9 13

258

192

79

152

59

22

Total Demand for Child Care Spaces

Distribution

EXISTING SUPPLY (4)

28 146

16 84

Child Care Spaces

174

100

Family Child Care Home Supply

Child Care Center Supply

Current Child Care Supply

Distribution

EXISTING SURPLUS(SHORTAGE)

Distribution

Percentage of Demand Met

by Existing FacilitiesSpaces

Shortage of Family Child Care Home Spaces

Shortage of Center-Based Spaces

(5)

(6)

(6)

1

2

3

4 5

- 103

4 108

4 96

(24) (38)

39 61

15 74

(24) (2)

0 (36)

9

103

112

100

(61)

100

65

(26)

(36)

FINAL

Table B-21

Future Child Care Demand and Supply in 2025 in Woodside

San Mateo County Child Care Study - 2016

Note All footnote references can be found in Table C-1 at the end of this file

Sources 2010 US Census ABAG Projections 2013 2014 American Community Survey ACS Journey-to-Work data 2006-2008 and 2006-2010

Child Care Coordinating Council of San Mateo County (4Cs) Community Care Licensing Brion Economics Inc

Prepared by Brion Economics Inc 2513-SMC NA Final Tables 61216 6122016

FINAL

Table C-1

Endnotes for Tables

San Mateo County Child Care Study - 2016

(1) Population by age is based on the percentage breakdown from the 2010 US Census and applied

to population estimates for 2015 using ABAGs Projections 2013 population data The ABAG data

for each area includes its Sphere of Influence and is not based on strict jurisdictional boundaries

(2) Labor force participation rates are from the 5-Year American Community Survey 2014 and include

children under six years old with two working parents or a single working parent For the 2- to 4-year

olds the labor force participation rate is applied to 2 year olds For 3- and 4-year olds it is assumed

that 100 need licensed care to support preschool for every child so the number of

3- and 4-year olds is not discounted by labor force participation rates

(3) Not all children with working parents are assumed to need licensed care percentage assumptions are

used to calculate the number of children requiring licensed care under each age category The

remaining children are assumed to be cared for in alternate arrangements such as by family members

nannies friends and other unlicensed care For children ages 3- and 4-years old it is assumed that

they all need care in the form of preschool

(4) Data on child care supply provided by the Child Care Coordinating Council of San Mateo County (4Cs)

and Community Care Licensing Division of the California Department of Social Services (CCLD) Data is

for June 2015

(5) Demand that calculates as less than 100 means that there is greater demand than supply percent of

demand that is over 100 means supply exceeds demand

(6) Unmet demand is broken down into shortage by type of care based on the proportion of FCCHs and

child care centers spaces available in each area If an area does not have any FCCHs or centers the

unmet demand is placed in the type of care that is available in the area (eg if there are only centers

all demand goes to centers)

Source Brion Economics Inc

Prepared by Brion Economics Inc 2513-SMC NA Final Tables 61216 6122016

DRAFT REPORT

Table C-2

Labor Force Participation Rates by CityArea

San Mateo County Child Care Study - 2016

CityArea

Labor Force

Participation Rate (1)

Atherton

Belmont

Brisbane

Burlingame

Daly CityColma

East Palo Alto

Foster City

Half Moon Bay Region

Hillsborough

Menlo Park

Millbrae

Pacifica

Portola Valley

Redwood City

San Bruno

San Carlos

San Mateo

South Coast

South San Francisco

Woodside

40

77

100

65

74

71

63

69

52

69

62

78

66

69

77

72

71

54

73

56

(1) Labor force participation rates (LFPRs) are for

families with children under age six with two

working parents or a single parent who works Sources American Community Survey 2014 5-Year

Survey Brion Economics Inc

Prepared by Brion Economics Inc 2513-SMC NA Final Tables 61216 6122016

  • 2513-SMC FINAL NA Memo-61216
  • 2513-SMC NA Final Tables 61216
Page 53: Final San Mateo County Child Care Needs … Care...Future C hild Care Demand and Supply in 2025 in Daly City/Colma San Mateo County Child Care Study - 2016 Note: All footnote references

HILLSBOROUGH

Child Care as of 2025

No of

Providers

Under 2 Years

Old

2 to 4 Year

Olds

Total 0 to 4

Years

EXISTING DEMAND Child Care Demand

Estimated Total Children

Average LFPRAdjustment Factor

Children With Working Parents

Licensed Care Demand Factor

Resident Children Needing Licensed Care

of Total Resident Children Needing Licensed Care

Children from Non-Resident Employees Needing

Licensed Care

(1)

(2)

(3)

143 343

52

74 295

37

27 282

19 82

7 11

487

369

84

309

64

17

Total Demand for Child Care Spaces

Distribution

EXISTING SUPPLY (4)

34 292

10 90

Child Care Spaces

327

100

Family Child Care Home Supply

Child Care Center Supply

Current Child Care Supply

Distribution

EXISTING SURPLUS(SHORTAGE)

Distribution

Percentage of Demand Met

by Existing FacilitiesSpaces

Shortage of Family Child Care Home Spaces

Shortage of Center-Based Spaces

(5)

(6)

(6)

1

4

5

5 6

- 91

5 97

5 95

(29) (195)

13 87

14 33

(29) (12)

0 (183)

11

91

102

100

(225)

100

31

(42)

(183)

FINAL

Table B-10

Future Child Care Demand and Supply in 2025 in Hillsborough

San Mateo County Child Care Study - 2016

Note All footnote references can be found in Table C-1 at the end of this file

Sources 2010 US Census ABAG Projections 2013 2014 American Community Survey ACS Journey-to-Work data 2006-2008 and 2006-2010

Child Care Coordinating Council of San Mateo County (4Cs) Community Care Licensing Brion Economics Inc

Prepared by Brion Economics Inc 2513-SMC NA Final Tables 61216 6122016

MENLO PARK

Child Care as of 2025

No of

Providers

Under 2 Years

Old

2 to 4 Year

Olds

Total 0 to 4

Years

EXISTING DEMAND Child Care Demand

Estimated Total Children

Average LFPRAdjustment Factor

Children With Working Parents

Licensed Care Demand Factor

Resident Children Needing Licensed Care

of Total Resident Children Needing Licensed Care

Children from Non-Resident Employees Needing

Licensed Care

(1)

(2)

(3)

1327 1954

69

909 1759

37

336 1653

25 85

237 357

3281

2668

75

1989

61

594

Total Demand for Child Care Spaces

Distribution

EXISTING SUPPLY (4)

573 2011

22 78

Child Care Spaces

2584

100

Family Child Care Home Supply

Child Care Center Supply

Current Child Care Supply

Distribution

EXISTING SURPLUS(SHORTAGE)

Distribution

Percentage of Demand Met

by Existing FacilitiesSpaces

Shortage of Family Child Care Home Spaces

Shortage of Center-Based Spaces

(5)

(6)

(6)

15

25

40

76 96

73 1331

149 1427

9 91

(424) (584)

42 58

26 71

(217) (39)

(207) (544)

172

1404

1576

100

(1008)

100

61

(256)

(752)

FINAL

Table B-11

Future Child Care Demand and Supply in 2025 in Menlo Park

San Mateo County Child Care Study - 2016

Note All footnote references can be found in Table C-1 at the end of this file

Sources 2010 US Census ABAG Projections 2013 2014 American Community Survey ACS Journey-to-Work data 2006-2008 and 2006-2010

Child Care Coordinating Council of San Mateo County (4Cs) Community Care Licensing Brion Economics Inc

Prepared by Brion Economics Inc 2513-SMC NA Final Tables 61216 6122016

MILLBRAE

Child Care as of 2025

No of

Providers

Under 2 Years

Old

2 to 4 Year

Olds

Total 0 to 4

Years

EXISTING DEMAND Child Care Demand

Estimated Total Children

Average LFPRAdjustment Factor

Children With Working Parents

Licensed Care Demand Factor

Resident Children Needing Licensed Care

of Total Resident Children Needing Licensed Care

Children from Non-Resident Employees Needing

Licensed Care

(1)

(2)

(3)

473 805

62

291 710

37

108 672

23 83

31 47

1278

1001

78

780

61

77

Total Demand for Child Care Spaces

Distribution

EXISTING SUPPLY (4)

139 718

16 84

Child Care Spaces

857

100

Family Child Care Home Supply

Child Care Center Supply

Current Child Care Supply

Distribution

EXISTING SURPLUS(SHORTAGE)

Distribution

Percentage of Demand Met

by Existing FacilitiesSpaces

Shortage of Family Child Care Home Spaces

Shortage of Center-Based Spaces

(5)

(6)

(6)

7

7

14

62 78

- 376

62 454

12 88

(76) (264)

22 78

45 63

(76) (46)

0 (219)

141

376

517

100

(340)

100

60

(122)

(219)

FINAL

Table B-12

Future C hild Care Demand and Supply in 2025 in Millbrae

San Mateo County Child Care Study - 2016

Note All footnote references can be found in Table C-1 at the end of this file

Sources 2010 US Census ABAG Projections 2013 2014 American Community Survey ACS Journey-to-Work data 2006-2008 and 2006-2010

Child Care Coordinating Council of San Mateo County (4Cs) Community Care Licensing Brion Economics Inc

Prepared by Brion Economics Inc 2513-SMC NA Final Tables 61216 6122016

FINAL

Table B-13

Future Child Care Demand and Supply in 2025 in Pacifica

San Mateo County Child Care Study - 2016

PACIFICA

Child Care as of 2025

No of

Providers

Under 2 Years

Old

2 to 4 Year

Olds

Total 0 to 4

Years

EXISTING DEMAND Child Care Demand

Estimated Total Children

Average L FPRAdjustment Factor

Children With Working Parents

Licensed Care Demand Factor

Resident Children Needing Licensed Care

of Total Resident Children Needing Licensed Care

Children from Non-Resident Employees Needing

Licensed Care

(1)

(2)

(3)

816 1300

78

633 1209

37

234 1130

29 87

19 29

2116

1842

74

1364

64

48

Total Demand for Child Care Spaces

Distribution

EXISTING SUPPLY (4)

254 1159

18 82

Child Care Spaces

1413

100

Family Child Care Home Supply

Child Care Center Supply

Current Child Care Supply

Distribution

EXISTING SURPLUS(SHORTAGE)

Distribution

Percentage of Demand Met

by Existing FacilitiesSpaces

Shortage of Family Child Care Home Spaces

Shortage of Center-Based Spaces

(5)

(6)

(6)

9

18

27

77 97

39 701

116 798

13 87

(138) (361)

28 72

46 69

(91) (44)

(46) (317)

174

740

914

100

(499)

100

65

(135)

(364)

Note All footnote references can be found in Table C-1 at the end of this file

Sources 2010 US Census ABAG Projections 2013 2014 American Community Survey ACS Journey-to-Work data 2006-2008 and 2006-2010

Child Care Coordinating Council of San Mateo County (4Cs) Community Care Licensing Brion Economics Inc

Prepared by Brion Economics Inc 2513-SMC NA Final Tables 61216 6122016

PORTOLA VALLEY

Child Care as of 2025

No of

Providers

Under 2 Years

Old

2 to 4 Year

Olds

Total 0 to 4

Years

EXISTING DEMAND Child Care Demand

Estimated Total Children

Average LFPRAdjustment Factor

Children With Working Parents

Licensed Care Demand Factor

Resident Children Needing Licensed Care

of Total Resident Children Needing Licensed Care

Children from Non-Resident Employees Needing

Licensed Care

(1)

(2)

(3)

77 192

66

51 173

37

19 164

24 85

9 13

269

224

82

182

68

22

Total Demand for Child Care Spaces

Distribution

EXISTING SUPPLY (4)

28 177

13 87

Child Care Spaces

204

100

Family Child Care Home Supply

Child Care Center Supply

Current Child Care Supply

Distribution

EXISTING SURPLUS(SHORTAGE)

Distribution

Percentage of Demand Met

by Existing FacilitiesSpaces

Shortage of Family Child Care Home Spaces

Shortage of Center-Based Spaces

(5)

(6)

(6)

0

4

4

- -

- 153

- 153

0 100

(28) (24)

54 46

0 87

0 0

(28) (24)

0

153

153

100

(51)

100

75

0

(51)

FINAL

Table B-14

Future Child Care Demand and Supply in 2025 in Portola Valley

San Mateo County Child Care Study - 2016

Note All footnote references can be found in Table C-1 at the end of this file

Sources 2010 US Census ABAG Projections 2013 2014 American Community Survey ACS Journey-to-Work data 2006-2008 and 2006-2010

Child Care Coordinating Council of San Mateo County (4Cs) Community Care Licensing Brion Economics Inc

Prepared by Brion Economics Inc 2513-SMC NA Final Tables 61216 6122016

REDWOOD CITY

No of

Providers

Child Care as of 2025

Under 2 Years

Old

2 to 4 Year

Olds

Total 0 to 4

Years

EXISTING DEMAND Child Care Demand

Estimated Total Children

Average LFPRAdjustment Factor

Children With Working Parents

Licensed Care Demand Factor

Resident Children Needing Licensed Care

of Total Resident Children Needing Licensed Care

Children from Non-Resident Employees Needing

Licensed Care

Total Demand for Child Care Spaces

Distribution

EXISTING SUPPLY

(1)

(2)

(3)

(4)

3725 5378

69

2555 4813

37

946 4505

25 84

466 703

1411 5208

21 79

Child Care Spaces

9103

7368

74

5450

60

1169

6619

100

Family Child Care Home Supply

Child Care Center Supply

Current Child Care Supply

Distribution

EXISTING SURPLUS(SHORTAGE)

Distribution

Percentage of Demand Met

by Existing FacilitiesSpaces

Shortage of Family Child Care Home Spaces

Shortage of Center-Based Spaces

(5)

(6)

(6)

42

41

83

396 497

356 2036

752 2533

23 77

(660) (2674)

20 80

53 49

(347) (525)

(313) (2149)

893

2392

3285

100

(3334)

100

50

(872)

(2462)

FINAL

Table B-15

Future Child Care Demand and Supply in 2025 in Redwood City

San Mateo County Child Care Study - 2016

Note All footnote references can be found in Table C-1 at the end of this file

Sources 2010 US Census ABAG Projections 2013 2014 American Community Survey ACS Journey-to-Work data 2006-2008 and 2006-2010

Child Care Coordinating Council of San Mateo County (4Cs) Community Care Licensing Brion Economics Inc

Prepared by Brion Economics Inc 2513-SMC NA Final Tables 61216 6122016

SAN BRUNO

Child Care as of 2025

No of

Providers

Under 2 Years

Old

2 to 4 Year

Olds

Total 0 to 4

Years

EXISTING DEMAND Child Care Demand

Estimated Total Children

Average LFPRAdjustment Factor

Children With Working Parents

Licensed Care Demand Factor

Resident Children Needing Licensed Care

of Total Resident Children Needing Licensed Care

Children from Non-Resident Employees Needing

Licensed Care

(1)

(2)

(3)

1189 1728

77

910 1589

37

337 1475

28 85

68 103

2917

2498

73

1812

62

171

Total Demand for Child Care Spaces

Distribution

EXISTING SUPPLY (4)

405 1578

20 80

Child Care Spaces

1983

100

Family Child Care Home Supply

Child Care Center Supply

Current Child Care Supply

Distribution

EXISTING SURPLUS(SHORTAGE)

Distribution

Percentage of Demand Met

by Existing FacilitiesSpaces

Shortage of Family Child Care Home Spaces

Shortage of Center-Based Spaces

(5)

(6)

(6)

13

15

28

122 153

26 1183

148 1336

10 90

(257) (242)

52 48

37 85

(212) (28)

(45) (214)

275

1209

1484

100

(499)

100

75

(239)

(259)

FINAL

Table B-16

Future C hild Care Demand and Supply in 2025 in San Bruno

San Mateo County Child Care Study - 2016

Note All footnote references can be found in Table C-1 at the end of this file

Sources 2010 US Census ABAG Projections 2013 2014 American Community Survey ACS Journey-to-Work data 2006-2008 and 2006-2010

Child Care Coordinating Council of San Mateo County (4Cs) Community Care Licensing Brion Economics Inc

Prepared by Brion Economics Inc 2513-SMC NA Final Tables 61216 6122016

SAN CARLOS

Child Care as of 2025

No of

Providers

Under 2 Years

Old

2 to 4 Year

Olds

Total 0 to 4

Years

EXISTING DEMAND Child Care Demand

Estimated Total Children

Average LFPRAdjustment Factor

Children With Working Parents

Licensed Care Demand Factor

Resident Children Needing Licensed Care

of Total Resident Children Needing Licensed Care

Children from Non-Resident Employees Needing

Licensed Care

(1)

(2)

(3)

778 1384

72

557 1255

37

206 1174

26 85

82 123

2162

1812

76

1380

64

205

Total Demand for Child Care Spaces

Distribution

EXISTING SUPPLY (4)

288 1297

18 82

Child Care Spaces

1585

100

Family Child Care Home Supply

Child Care Center Supply

Current Child Care Supply

Distribution

EXISTING SURPLUS(SHORTAGE)

Distribution

Percentage of Demand Met

by Existing FacilitiesSpaces

Shortage of Family Child Care Home Spaces

Shortage of Center-Based Spaces

(5)

(6)

(6)

28

14

42

73 92

76 615

149 707

17 83

(139) (590)

19 81

52 54

(68) (76)

(71) (514)

164

691

855

100

(729)

100

54

(145)

(585)

FINAL

Table B-17

Future Child Care Demand and Supply in 2025 in San Carlos

San Mateo County Child Care Study - 2016

Note All footnote references can be found in Table C-1 at the end of this file

Sources 2010 US Census ABAG Projections 2013 2014 American Community Survey ACS Journey-to-Work data 2006-2008 and 2006-2010

Child Care Coordinating Council of San Mateo County (4Cs) Community Care Licensing Brion Economics Inc

Prepared by Brion Economics Inc 2513-SMC NA Final Tables 61216 6122016

SAN MATEO

Child Care as of 2025

No of

Providers

Under 2 Years

Old

2 to 4 Year

Olds

Total 0 to 4

Years

EXISTING DEMAND Child Care Demand

Estimated Total Children

Average LFPRAdjustment Factor

Children With Working Parents

Licensed Care Demand Factor

Resident Children Needing Licensed Care

of Total Resident Children Needing Licensed Care

Children from Non-Resident Employees Needing

Licensed Care

(1)

(2)

(3)

3194 4572

71

2264 4116

37

838 3839

26 84

261 394

7766

6381

73

4677

60

656

Total Demand for Child Care Spaces

Distribution

EXISTING SUPPLY (4)

1099 4233

21 79

Child Care Spaces

5332

100

Family Child Care Home Supply

Child Care Center Supply

Current Child Care Supply

Distribution

EXISTING SURPLUS(SHORTAGE)

Distribution

Percentage of Demand Met

by Existing FacilitiesSpaces

Shortage of Family Child Care Home Spaces

Shortage of Center-Based Spaces

(5)

(6)

(6)

69

59

128

492 619

209 2577

701 3196

18 82

(398) (1037)

28 72

64 75

(279) (201)

(119) (837)

1111

2786

3897

100

(1435)

100

73

(480)

(955)

FINAL

Table B-18

Future Child Care Demand and Supply in 2025 in San Mateo

San Mateo County Child Care Study - 2016

Note All footnote references can be found in Table C-1 at the end of this file

Sources 2010 US Census ABAG Projections 2013 2014 American Community Survey ACS Journey-to-Work data 2006-2008 and 2006-2010

Child Care Coordinating Council of San Mateo County (4Cs) Community Care Licensing Brion Economics Inc

Prepared by Brion Economics Inc 2513-SMC NA Final Tables 61216 6122016

FINAL

Table B-19

Future Child Care Demand and Supply in 2025 in South Coast

San Mateo County Child Care Study - 2016

SOUTH COAST

Child Care as of 2025

No of

Providers

Under 2 Years

Old

2 to 4 Year

Olds

Total 0 to 4

Years

EXISTING DEMAND Child Care Demand

Estimated Total Children (1) 23 32 55

Average LFPRAdjustment Factor (2) 54

Children With Working Parents 12 27 40

Licensed Care Demand Factor (3) 37 77

Resident Children Needing Licensed Care 5 26 30

of Total Resident Children Needing Licensed Care 20 81 56

Children from Non-Resident Employees Needing

Licensed Care 0 0 0

Total Demand for Child Care Spaces 5 26 30

Distribution 15 85 100

EXISTING SUPPLY (4) Child Care Spaces

Family Child Care Home Supply - 0 0 0

Child Care Center Supply 2 0 54 54

Current Child Care Supply 2 - 54 54

Distribution 0 100 100

EXISTING SURPLUS(SHORTAGE) (5) 28 24

Distribution -19 119 100

Percentage of Demand Met

by Existing FacilitiesSpaces (5) 0 209 177

Shortage of Family Child Care Home Spaces (6) 0 NA 0

Shortage of Center-Based Spaces (6) (5) NA (5)

Note All footnote references can be found in Table C-1 at the end of this file

Sources 2010 US Census ABAG Projections 2013 2014 American Community Survey ACS Journey-to-Work data 2006-2008 and 2006-2010

Child Care Coordinating Council of San Mateo County (4Cs) Community Care Licensing Brion Economics Inc

Prepared by Brion Economics Inc 2513-SMC NA Final Tables 61216 6122016

SOUTH SAN FRANCISCO

Child Care as of 2025

No of

Providers

Under 2 Years

Old

2 to 4 Year

Olds

Total 0 to 4

Years

EXISTING DEMAND Child Care Demand

Estimated Total Children

Average LFPRAdjustment Factor

Children With Working Parents

Licensed Care Demand Factor

Resident Children Needing Licensed Care

of Total Resident Children Needing Licensed Care

Children from Non-Resident Employees Needing

Licensed Care

(1)

(2)

(3)

1835 2790

73

1342 2535

37

496 2362

27 85

339 512

4625

3877

74

2859

62

851

Total Demand for Child Care Spaces

Distribution

EXISTING SUPPLY (4)

835 2874

23 77

Child Care Spaces

3709

100

Family Child Care Home Supply

Child Care Center Supply

Current Child Care Supply

Distribution

EXISTING SURPLUS(SHORTAGE)

Distribution

Percentage of Demand Met

by Existing FacilitiesSpaces

Shortage of Family Child Care Home Spaces

Shortage of Center-Based Spaces

(5)

(6)

(6)

30

27

57

252 317

400 1966

652 2283

22 78

(183) (591)

24 76

78 79

(71) (82)

(113) (509)

569

2366

2935

100

(775)

100

79

(153)

(622)

FINAL

Table B-20

Future Child Care Demand and Supply in 2025 in South San Francisco

San Mateo County Child Care Study - 2016

Note All footnote references can be found in Table C-1 at the end of this file

Sources 2010 US Census ABAG Projections 2013 2014 American Community Survey ACS Journey-to-Work data 2006-2008 and 2006-2010

Child Care Coordinating Council of San Mateo County (4Cs) Community Care Licensing Brion Economics Inc

Prepared by Brion Economics Inc 2513-SMC NA Final Tables 61216 6122016

WOODSIDE

No of

Providers

Child Care as of 2025

Under 2 Years

Old

2 to 4 Year

Olds

Total 0 to 4

Years

EXISTING DEMAND Child Care Demand

Estimated Total Children

Average LFPRAdjustment Factor

Children With Working Parents

Licensed Care Demand Factor

Resident Children Needing Licensed Care

of Total Resident Children Needing Licensed Care

Children from Non-Resident Employees Needing

Licensed Care

(1)

(2)

(3)

93 165

56

51 140

37

19 132

21 80

9 13

258

192

79

152

59

22

Total Demand for Child Care Spaces

Distribution

EXISTING SUPPLY (4)

28 146

16 84

Child Care Spaces

174

100

Family Child Care Home Supply

Child Care Center Supply

Current Child Care Supply

Distribution

EXISTING SURPLUS(SHORTAGE)

Distribution

Percentage of Demand Met

by Existing FacilitiesSpaces

Shortage of Family Child Care Home Spaces

Shortage of Center-Based Spaces

(5)

(6)

(6)

1

2

3

4 5

- 103

4 108

4 96

(24) (38)

39 61

15 74

(24) (2)

0 (36)

9

103

112

100

(61)

100

65

(26)

(36)

FINAL

Table B-21

Future Child Care Demand and Supply in 2025 in Woodside

San Mateo County Child Care Study - 2016

Note All footnote references can be found in Table C-1 at the end of this file

Sources 2010 US Census ABAG Projections 2013 2014 American Community Survey ACS Journey-to-Work data 2006-2008 and 2006-2010

Child Care Coordinating Council of San Mateo County (4Cs) Community Care Licensing Brion Economics Inc

Prepared by Brion Economics Inc 2513-SMC NA Final Tables 61216 6122016

FINAL

Table C-1

Endnotes for Tables

San Mateo County Child Care Study - 2016

(1) Population by age is based on the percentage breakdown from the 2010 US Census and applied

to population estimates for 2015 using ABAGs Projections 2013 population data The ABAG data

for each area includes its Sphere of Influence and is not based on strict jurisdictional boundaries

(2) Labor force participation rates are from the 5-Year American Community Survey 2014 and include

children under six years old with two working parents or a single working parent For the 2- to 4-year

olds the labor force participation rate is applied to 2 year olds For 3- and 4-year olds it is assumed

that 100 need licensed care to support preschool for every child so the number of

3- and 4-year olds is not discounted by labor force participation rates

(3) Not all children with working parents are assumed to need licensed care percentage assumptions are

used to calculate the number of children requiring licensed care under each age category The

remaining children are assumed to be cared for in alternate arrangements such as by family members

nannies friends and other unlicensed care For children ages 3- and 4-years old it is assumed that

they all need care in the form of preschool

(4) Data on child care supply provided by the Child Care Coordinating Council of San Mateo County (4Cs)

and Community Care Licensing Division of the California Department of Social Services (CCLD) Data is

for June 2015

(5) Demand that calculates as less than 100 means that there is greater demand than supply percent of

demand that is over 100 means supply exceeds demand

(6) Unmet demand is broken down into shortage by type of care based on the proportion of FCCHs and

child care centers spaces available in each area If an area does not have any FCCHs or centers the

unmet demand is placed in the type of care that is available in the area (eg if there are only centers

all demand goes to centers)

Source Brion Economics Inc

Prepared by Brion Economics Inc 2513-SMC NA Final Tables 61216 6122016

DRAFT REPORT

Table C-2

Labor Force Participation Rates by CityArea

San Mateo County Child Care Study - 2016

CityArea

Labor Force

Participation Rate (1)

Atherton

Belmont

Brisbane

Burlingame

Daly CityColma

East Palo Alto

Foster City

Half Moon Bay Region

Hillsborough

Menlo Park

Millbrae

Pacifica

Portola Valley

Redwood City

San Bruno

San Carlos

San Mateo

South Coast

South San Francisco

Woodside

40

77

100

65

74

71

63

69

52

69

62

78

66

69

77

72

71

54

73

56

(1) Labor force participation rates (LFPRs) are for

families with children under age six with two

working parents or a single parent who works Sources American Community Survey 2014 5-Year

Survey Brion Economics Inc

Prepared by Brion Economics Inc 2513-SMC NA Final Tables 61216 6122016

  • 2513-SMC FINAL NA Memo-61216
  • 2513-SMC NA Final Tables 61216
Page 54: Final San Mateo County Child Care Needs … Care...Future C hild Care Demand and Supply in 2025 in Daly City/Colma San Mateo County Child Care Study - 2016 Note: All footnote references

MENLO PARK

Child Care as of 2025

No of

Providers

Under 2 Years

Old

2 to 4 Year

Olds

Total 0 to 4

Years

EXISTING DEMAND Child Care Demand

Estimated Total Children

Average LFPRAdjustment Factor

Children With Working Parents

Licensed Care Demand Factor

Resident Children Needing Licensed Care

of Total Resident Children Needing Licensed Care

Children from Non-Resident Employees Needing

Licensed Care

(1)

(2)

(3)

1327 1954

69

909 1759

37

336 1653

25 85

237 357

3281

2668

75

1989

61

594

Total Demand for Child Care Spaces

Distribution

EXISTING SUPPLY (4)

573 2011

22 78

Child Care Spaces

2584

100

Family Child Care Home Supply

Child Care Center Supply

Current Child Care Supply

Distribution

EXISTING SURPLUS(SHORTAGE)

Distribution

Percentage of Demand Met

by Existing FacilitiesSpaces

Shortage of Family Child Care Home Spaces

Shortage of Center-Based Spaces

(5)

(6)

(6)

15

25

40

76 96

73 1331

149 1427

9 91

(424) (584)

42 58

26 71

(217) (39)

(207) (544)

172

1404

1576

100

(1008)

100

61

(256)

(752)

FINAL

Table B-11

Future Child Care Demand and Supply in 2025 in Menlo Park

San Mateo County Child Care Study - 2016

Note All footnote references can be found in Table C-1 at the end of this file

Sources 2010 US Census ABAG Projections 2013 2014 American Community Survey ACS Journey-to-Work data 2006-2008 and 2006-2010

Child Care Coordinating Council of San Mateo County (4Cs) Community Care Licensing Brion Economics Inc

Prepared by Brion Economics Inc 2513-SMC NA Final Tables 61216 6122016

MILLBRAE

Child Care as of 2025

No of

Providers

Under 2 Years

Old

2 to 4 Year

Olds

Total 0 to 4

Years

EXISTING DEMAND Child Care Demand

Estimated Total Children

Average LFPRAdjustment Factor

Children With Working Parents

Licensed Care Demand Factor

Resident Children Needing Licensed Care

of Total Resident Children Needing Licensed Care

Children from Non-Resident Employees Needing

Licensed Care

(1)

(2)

(3)

473 805

62

291 710

37

108 672

23 83

31 47

1278

1001

78

780

61

77

Total Demand for Child Care Spaces

Distribution

EXISTING SUPPLY (4)

139 718

16 84

Child Care Spaces

857

100

Family Child Care Home Supply

Child Care Center Supply

Current Child Care Supply

Distribution

EXISTING SURPLUS(SHORTAGE)

Distribution

Percentage of Demand Met

by Existing FacilitiesSpaces

Shortage of Family Child Care Home Spaces

Shortage of Center-Based Spaces

(5)

(6)

(6)

7

7

14

62 78

- 376

62 454

12 88

(76) (264)

22 78

45 63

(76) (46)

0 (219)

141

376

517

100

(340)

100

60

(122)

(219)

FINAL

Table B-12

Future C hild Care Demand and Supply in 2025 in Millbrae

San Mateo County Child Care Study - 2016

Note All footnote references can be found in Table C-1 at the end of this file

Sources 2010 US Census ABAG Projections 2013 2014 American Community Survey ACS Journey-to-Work data 2006-2008 and 2006-2010

Child Care Coordinating Council of San Mateo County (4Cs) Community Care Licensing Brion Economics Inc

Prepared by Brion Economics Inc 2513-SMC NA Final Tables 61216 6122016

FINAL

Table B-13

Future Child Care Demand and Supply in 2025 in Pacifica

San Mateo County Child Care Study - 2016

PACIFICA

Child Care as of 2025

No of

Providers

Under 2 Years

Old

2 to 4 Year

Olds

Total 0 to 4

Years

EXISTING DEMAND Child Care Demand

Estimated Total Children

Average L FPRAdjustment Factor

Children With Working Parents

Licensed Care Demand Factor

Resident Children Needing Licensed Care

of Total Resident Children Needing Licensed Care

Children from Non-Resident Employees Needing

Licensed Care

(1)

(2)

(3)

816 1300

78

633 1209

37

234 1130

29 87

19 29

2116

1842

74

1364

64

48

Total Demand for Child Care Spaces

Distribution

EXISTING SUPPLY (4)

254 1159

18 82

Child Care Spaces

1413

100

Family Child Care Home Supply

Child Care Center Supply

Current Child Care Supply

Distribution

EXISTING SURPLUS(SHORTAGE)

Distribution

Percentage of Demand Met

by Existing FacilitiesSpaces

Shortage of Family Child Care Home Spaces

Shortage of Center-Based Spaces

(5)

(6)

(6)

9

18

27

77 97

39 701

116 798

13 87

(138) (361)

28 72

46 69

(91) (44)

(46) (317)

174

740

914

100

(499)

100

65

(135)

(364)

Note All footnote references can be found in Table C-1 at the end of this file

Sources 2010 US Census ABAG Projections 2013 2014 American Community Survey ACS Journey-to-Work data 2006-2008 and 2006-2010

Child Care Coordinating Council of San Mateo County (4Cs) Community Care Licensing Brion Economics Inc

Prepared by Brion Economics Inc 2513-SMC NA Final Tables 61216 6122016

PORTOLA VALLEY

Child Care as of 2025

No of

Providers

Under 2 Years

Old

2 to 4 Year

Olds

Total 0 to 4

Years

EXISTING DEMAND Child Care Demand

Estimated Total Children

Average LFPRAdjustment Factor

Children With Working Parents

Licensed Care Demand Factor

Resident Children Needing Licensed Care

of Total Resident Children Needing Licensed Care

Children from Non-Resident Employees Needing

Licensed Care

(1)

(2)

(3)

77 192

66

51 173

37

19 164

24 85

9 13

269

224

82

182

68

22

Total Demand for Child Care Spaces

Distribution

EXISTING SUPPLY (4)

28 177

13 87

Child Care Spaces

204

100

Family Child Care Home Supply

Child Care Center Supply

Current Child Care Supply

Distribution

EXISTING SURPLUS(SHORTAGE)

Distribution

Percentage of Demand Met

by Existing FacilitiesSpaces

Shortage of Family Child Care Home Spaces

Shortage of Center-Based Spaces

(5)

(6)

(6)

0

4

4

- -

- 153

- 153

0 100

(28) (24)

54 46

0 87

0 0

(28) (24)

0

153

153

100

(51)

100

75

0

(51)

FINAL

Table B-14

Future Child Care Demand and Supply in 2025 in Portola Valley

San Mateo County Child Care Study - 2016

Note All footnote references can be found in Table C-1 at the end of this file

Sources 2010 US Census ABAG Projections 2013 2014 American Community Survey ACS Journey-to-Work data 2006-2008 and 2006-2010

Child Care Coordinating Council of San Mateo County (4Cs) Community Care Licensing Brion Economics Inc

Prepared by Brion Economics Inc 2513-SMC NA Final Tables 61216 6122016

REDWOOD CITY

No of

Providers

Child Care as of 2025

Under 2 Years

Old

2 to 4 Year

Olds

Total 0 to 4

Years

EXISTING DEMAND Child Care Demand

Estimated Total Children

Average LFPRAdjustment Factor

Children With Working Parents

Licensed Care Demand Factor

Resident Children Needing Licensed Care

of Total Resident Children Needing Licensed Care

Children from Non-Resident Employees Needing

Licensed Care

Total Demand for Child Care Spaces

Distribution

EXISTING SUPPLY

(1)

(2)

(3)

(4)

3725 5378

69

2555 4813

37

946 4505

25 84

466 703

1411 5208

21 79

Child Care Spaces

9103

7368

74

5450

60

1169

6619

100

Family Child Care Home Supply

Child Care Center Supply

Current Child Care Supply

Distribution

EXISTING SURPLUS(SHORTAGE)

Distribution

Percentage of Demand Met

by Existing FacilitiesSpaces

Shortage of Family Child Care Home Spaces

Shortage of Center-Based Spaces

(5)

(6)

(6)

42

41

83

396 497

356 2036

752 2533

23 77

(660) (2674)

20 80

53 49

(347) (525)

(313) (2149)

893

2392

3285

100

(3334)

100

50

(872)

(2462)

FINAL

Table B-15

Future Child Care Demand and Supply in 2025 in Redwood City

San Mateo County Child Care Study - 2016

Note All footnote references can be found in Table C-1 at the end of this file

Sources 2010 US Census ABAG Projections 2013 2014 American Community Survey ACS Journey-to-Work data 2006-2008 and 2006-2010

Child Care Coordinating Council of San Mateo County (4Cs) Community Care Licensing Brion Economics Inc

Prepared by Brion Economics Inc 2513-SMC NA Final Tables 61216 6122016

SAN BRUNO

Child Care as of 2025

No of

Providers

Under 2 Years

Old

2 to 4 Year

Olds

Total 0 to 4

Years

EXISTING DEMAND Child Care Demand

Estimated Total Children

Average LFPRAdjustment Factor

Children With Working Parents

Licensed Care Demand Factor

Resident Children Needing Licensed Care

of Total Resident Children Needing Licensed Care

Children from Non-Resident Employees Needing

Licensed Care

(1)

(2)

(3)

1189 1728

77

910 1589

37

337 1475

28 85

68 103

2917

2498

73

1812

62

171

Total Demand for Child Care Spaces

Distribution

EXISTING SUPPLY (4)

405 1578

20 80

Child Care Spaces

1983

100

Family Child Care Home Supply

Child Care Center Supply

Current Child Care Supply

Distribution

EXISTING SURPLUS(SHORTAGE)

Distribution

Percentage of Demand Met

by Existing FacilitiesSpaces

Shortage of Family Child Care Home Spaces

Shortage of Center-Based Spaces

(5)

(6)

(6)

13

15

28

122 153

26 1183

148 1336

10 90

(257) (242)

52 48

37 85

(212) (28)

(45) (214)

275

1209

1484

100

(499)

100

75

(239)

(259)

FINAL

Table B-16

Future C hild Care Demand and Supply in 2025 in San Bruno

San Mateo County Child Care Study - 2016

Note All footnote references can be found in Table C-1 at the end of this file

Sources 2010 US Census ABAG Projections 2013 2014 American Community Survey ACS Journey-to-Work data 2006-2008 and 2006-2010

Child Care Coordinating Council of San Mateo County (4Cs) Community Care Licensing Brion Economics Inc

Prepared by Brion Economics Inc 2513-SMC NA Final Tables 61216 6122016

SAN CARLOS

Child Care as of 2025

No of

Providers

Under 2 Years

Old

2 to 4 Year

Olds

Total 0 to 4

Years

EXISTING DEMAND Child Care Demand

Estimated Total Children

Average LFPRAdjustment Factor

Children With Working Parents

Licensed Care Demand Factor

Resident Children Needing Licensed Care

of Total Resident Children Needing Licensed Care

Children from Non-Resident Employees Needing

Licensed Care

(1)

(2)

(3)

778 1384

72

557 1255

37

206 1174

26 85

82 123

2162

1812

76

1380

64

205

Total Demand for Child Care Spaces

Distribution

EXISTING SUPPLY (4)

288 1297

18 82

Child Care Spaces

1585

100

Family Child Care Home Supply

Child Care Center Supply

Current Child Care Supply

Distribution

EXISTING SURPLUS(SHORTAGE)

Distribution

Percentage of Demand Met

by Existing FacilitiesSpaces

Shortage of Family Child Care Home Spaces

Shortage of Center-Based Spaces

(5)

(6)

(6)

28

14

42

73 92

76 615

149 707

17 83

(139) (590)

19 81

52 54

(68) (76)

(71) (514)

164

691

855

100

(729)

100

54

(145)

(585)

FINAL

Table B-17

Future Child Care Demand and Supply in 2025 in San Carlos

San Mateo County Child Care Study - 2016

Note All footnote references can be found in Table C-1 at the end of this file

Sources 2010 US Census ABAG Projections 2013 2014 American Community Survey ACS Journey-to-Work data 2006-2008 and 2006-2010

Child Care Coordinating Council of San Mateo County (4Cs) Community Care Licensing Brion Economics Inc

Prepared by Brion Economics Inc 2513-SMC NA Final Tables 61216 6122016

SAN MATEO

Child Care as of 2025

No of

Providers

Under 2 Years

Old

2 to 4 Year

Olds

Total 0 to 4

Years

EXISTING DEMAND Child Care Demand

Estimated Total Children

Average LFPRAdjustment Factor

Children With Working Parents

Licensed Care Demand Factor

Resident Children Needing Licensed Care

of Total Resident Children Needing Licensed Care

Children from Non-Resident Employees Needing

Licensed Care

(1)

(2)

(3)

3194 4572

71

2264 4116

37

838 3839

26 84

261 394

7766

6381

73

4677

60

656

Total Demand for Child Care Spaces

Distribution

EXISTING SUPPLY (4)

1099 4233

21 79

Child Care Spaces

5332

100

Family Child Care Home Supply

Child Care Center Supply

Current Child Care Supply

Distribution

EXISTING SURPLUS(SHORTAGE)

Distribution

Percentage of Demand Met

by Existing FacilitiesSpaces

Shortage of Family Child Care Home Spaces

Shortage of Center-Based Spaces

(5)

(6)

(6)

69

59

128

492 619

209 2577

701 3196

18 82

(398) (1037)

28 72

64 75

(279) (201)

(119) (837)

1111

2786

3897

100

(1435)

100

73

(480)

(955)

FINAL

Table B-18

Future Child Care Demand and Supply in 2025 in San Mateo

San Mateo County Child Care Study - 2016

Note All footnote references can be found in Table C-1 at the end of this file

Sources 2010 US Census ABAG Projections 2013 2014 American Community Survey ACS Journey-to-Work data 2006-2008 and 2006-2010

Child Care Coordinating Council of San Mateo County (4Cs) Community Care Licensing Brion Economics Inc

Prepared by Brion Economics Inc 2513-SMC NA Final Tables 61216 6122016

FINAL

Table B-19

Future Child Care Demand and Supply in 2025 in South Coast

San Mateo County Child Care Study - 2016

SOUTH COAST

Child Care as of 2025

No of

Providers

Under 2 Years

Old

2 to 4 Year

Olds

Total 0 to 4

Years

EXISTING DEMAND Child Care Demand

Estimated Total Children (1) 23 32 55

Average LFPRAdjustment Factor (2) 54

Children With Working Parents 12 27 40

Licensed Care Demand Factor (3) 37 77

Resident Children Needing Licensed Care 5 26 30

of Total Resident Children Needing Licensed Care 20 81 56

Children from Non-Resident Employees Needing

Licensed Care 0 0 0

Total Demand for Child Care Spaces 5 26 30

Distribution 15 85 100

EXISTING SUPPLY (4) Child Care Spaces

Family Child Care Home Supply - 0 0 0

Child Care Center Supply 2 0 54 54

Current Child Care Supply 2 - 54 54

Distribution 0 100 100

EXISTING SURPLUS(SHORTAGE) (5) 28 24

Distribution -19 119 100

Percentage of Demand Met

by Existing FacilitiesSpaces (5) 0 209 177

Shortage of Family Child Care Home Spaces (6) 0 NA 0

Shortage of Center-Based Spaces (6) (5) NA (5)

Note All footnote references can be found in Table C-1 at the end of this file

Sources 2010 US Census ABAG Projections 2013 2014 American Community Survey ACS Journey-to-Work data 2006-2008 and 2006-2010

Child Care Coordinating Council of San Mateo County (4Cs) Community Care Licensing Brion Economics Inc

Prepared by Brion Economics Inc 2513-SMC NA Final Tables 61216 6122016

SOUTH SAN FRANCISCO

Child Care as of 2025

No of

Providers

Under 2 Years

Old

2 to 4 Year

Olds

Total 0 to 4

Years

EXISTING DEMAND Child Care Demand

Estimated Total Children

Average LFPRAdjustment Factor

Children With Working Parents

Licensed Care Demand Factor

Resident Children Needing Licensed Care

of Total Resident Children Needing Licensed Care

Children from Non-Resident Employees Needing

Licensed Care

(1)

(2)

(3)

1835 2790

73

1342 2535

37

496 2362

27 85

339 512

4625

3877

74

2859

62

851

Total Demand for Child Care Spaces

Distribution

EXISTING SUPPLY (4)

835 2874

23 77

Child Care Spaces

3709

100

Family Child Care Home Supply

Child Care Center Supply

Current Child Care Supply

Distribution

EXISTING SURPLUS(SHORTAGE)

Distribution

Percentage of Demand Met

by Existing FacilitiesSpaces

Shortage of Family Child Care Home Spaces

Shortage of Center-Based Spaces

(5)

(6)

(6)

30

27

57

252 317

400 1966

652 2283

22 78

(183) (591)

24 76

78 79

(71) (82)

(113) (509)

569

2366

2935

100

(775)

100

79

(153)

(622)

FINAL

Table B-20

Future Child Care Demand and Supply in 2025 in South San Francisco

San Mateo County Child Care Study - 2016

Note All footnote references can be found in Table C-1 at the end of this file

Sources 2010 US Census ABAG Projections 2013 2014 American Community Survey ACS Journey-to-Work data 2006-2008 and 2006-2010

Child Care Coordinating Council of San Mateo County (4Cs) Community Care Licensing Brion Economics Inc

Prepared by Brion Economics Inc 2513-SMC NA Final Tables 61216 6122016

WOODSIDE

No of

Providers

Child Care as of 2025

Under 2 Years

Old

2 to 4 Year

Olds

Total 0 to 4

Years

EXISTING DEMAND Child Care Demand

Estimated Total Children

Average LFPRAdjustment Factor

Children With Working Parents

Licensed Care Demand Factor

Resident Children Needing Licensed Care

of Total Resident Children Needing Licensed Care

Children from Non-Resident Employees Needing

Licensed Care

(1)

(2)

(3)

93 165

56

51 140

37

19 132

21 80

9 13

258

192

79

152

59

22

Total Demand for Child Care Spaces

Distribution

EXISTING SUPPLY (4)

28 146

16 84

Child Care Spaces

174

100

Family Child Care Home Supply

Child Care Center Supply

Current Child Care Supply

Distribution

EXISTING SURPLUS(SHORTAGE)

Distribution

Percentage of Demand Met

by Existing FacilitiesSpaces

Shortage of Family Child Care Home Spaces

Shortage of Center-Based Spaces

(5)

(6)

(6)

1

2

3

4 5

- 103

4 108

4 96

(24) (38)

39 61

15 74

(24) (2)

0 (36)

9

103

112

100

(61)

100

65

(26)

(36)

FINAL

Table B-21

Future Child Care Demand and Supply in 2025 in Woodside

San Mateo County Child Care Study - 2016

Note All footnote references can be found in Table C-1 at the end of this file

Sources 2010 US Census ABAG Projections 2013 2014 American Community Survey ACS Journey-to-Work data 2006-2008 and 2006-2010

Child Care Coordinating Council of San Mateo County (4Cs) Community Care Licensing Brion Economics Inc

Prepared by Brion Economics Inc 2513-SMC NA Final Tables 61216 6122016

FINAL

Table C-1

Endnotes for Tables

San Mateo County Child Care Study - 2016

(1) Population by age is based on the percentage breakdown from the 2010 US Census and applied

to population estimates for 2015 using ABAGs Projections 2013 population data The ABAG data

for each area includes its Sphere of Influence and is not based on strict jurisdictional boundaries

(2) Labor force participation rates are from the 5-Year American Community Survey 2014 and include

children under six years old with two working parents or a single working parent For the 2- to 4-year

olds the labor force participation rate is applied to 2 year olds For 3- and 4-year olds it is assumed

that 100 need licensed care to support preschool for every child so the number of

3- and 4-year olds is not discounted by labor force participation rates

(3) Not all children with working parents are assumed to need licensed care percentage assumptions are

used to calculate the number of children requiring licensed care under each age category The

remaining children are assumed to be cared for in alternate arrangements such as by family members

nannies friends and other unlicensed care For children ages 3- and 4-years old it is assumed that

they all need care in the form of preschool

(4) Data on child care supply provided by the Child Care Coordinating Council of San Mateo County (4Cs)

and Community Care Licensing Division of the California Department of Social Services (CCLD) Data is

for June 2015

(5) Demand that calculates as less than 100 means that there is greater demand than supply percent of

demand that is over 100 means supply exceeds demand

(6) Unmet demand is broken down into shortage by type of care based on the proportion of FCCHs and

child care centers spaces available in each area If an area does not have any FCCHs or centers the

unmet demand is placed in the type of care that is available in the area (eg if there are only centers

all demand goes to centers)

Source Brion Economics Inc

Prepared by Brion Economics Inc 2513-SMC NA Final Tables 61216 6122016

DRAFT REPORT

Table C-2

Labor Force Participation Rates by CityArea

San Mateo County Child Care Study - 2016

CityArea

Labor Force

Participation Rate (1)

Atherton

Belmont

Brisbane

Burlingame

Daly CityColma

East Palo Alto

Foster City

Half Moon Bay Region

Hillsborough

Menlo Park

Millbrae

Pacifica

Portola Valley

Redwood City

San Bruno

San Carlos

San Mateo

South Coast

South San Francisco

Woodside

40

77

100

65

74

71

63

69

52

69

62

78

66

69

77

72

71

54

73

56

(1) Labor force participation rates (LFPRs) are for

families with children under age six with two

working parents or a single parent who works Sources American Community Survey 2014 5-Year

Survey Brion Economics Inc

Prepared by Brion Economics Inc 2513-SMC NA Final Tables 61216 6122016

  • 2513-SMC FINAL NA Memo-61216
  • 2513-SMC NA Final Tables 61216
Page 55: Final San Mateo County Child Care Needs … Care...Future C hild Care Demand and Supply in 2025 in Daly City/Colma San Mateo County Child Care Study - 2016 Note: All footnote references

MILLBRAE

Child Care as of 2025

No of

Providers

Under 2 Years

Old

2 to 4 Year

Olds

Total 0 to 4

Years

EXISTING DEMAND Child Care Demand

Estimated Total Children

Average LFPRAdjustment Factor

Children With Working Parents

Licensed Care Demand Factor

Resident Children Needing Licensed Care

of Total Resident Children Needing Licensed Care

Children from Non-Resident Employees Needing

Licensed Care

(1)

(2)

(3)

473 805

62

291 710

37

108 672

23 83

31 47

1278

1001

78

780

61

77

Total Demand for Child Care Spaces

Distribution

EXISTING SUPPLY (4)

139 718

16 84

Child Care Spaces

857

100

Family Child Care Home Supply

Child Care Center Supply

Current Child Care Supply

Distribution

EXISTING SURPLUS(SHORTAGE)

Distribution

Percentage of Demand Met

by Existing FacilitiesSpaces

Shortage of Family Child Care Home Spaces

Shortage of Center-Based Spaces

(5)

(6)

(6)

7

7

14

62 78

- 376

62 454

12 88

(76) (264)

22 78

45 63

(76) (46)

0 (219)

141

376

517

100

(340)

100

60

(122)

(219)

FINAL

Table B-12

Future C hild Care Demand and Supply in 2025 in Millbrae

San Mateo County Child Care Study - 2016

Note All footnote references can be found in Table C-1 at the end of this file

Sources 2010 US Census ABAG Projections 2013 2014 American Community Survey ACS Journey-to-Work data 2006-2008 and 2006-2010

Child Care Coordinating Council of San Mateo County (4Cs) Community Care Licensing Brion Economics Inc

Prepared by Brion Economics Inc 2513-SMC NA Final Tables 61216 6122016

FINAL

Table B-13

Future Child Care Demand and Supply in 2025 in Pacifica

San Mateo County Child Care Study - 2016

PACIFICA

Child Care as of 2025

No of

Providers

Under 2 Years

Old

2 to 4 Year

Olds

Total 0 to 4

Years

EXISTING DEMAND Child Care Demand

Estimated Total Children

Average L FPRAdjustment Factor

Children With Working Parents

Licensed Care Demand Factor

Resident Children Needing Licensed Care

of Total Resident Children Needing Licensed Care

Children from Non-Resident Employees Needing

Licensed Care

(1)

(2)

(3)

816 1300

78

633 1209

37

234 1130

29 87

19 29

2116

1842

74

1364

64

48

Total Demand for Child Care Spaces

Distribution

EXISTING SUPPLY (4)

254 1159

18 82

Child Care Spaces

1413

100

Family Child Care Home Supply

Child Care Center Supply

Current Child Care Supply

Distribution

EXISTING SURPLUS(SHORTAGE)

Distribution

Percentage of Demand Met

by Existing FacilitiesSpaces

Shortage of Family Child Care Home Spaces

Shortage of Center-Based Spaces

(5)

(6)

(6)

9

18

27

77 97

39 701

116 798

13 87

(138) (361)

28 72

46 69

(91) (44)

(46) (317)

174

740

914

100

(499)

100

65

(135)

(364)

Note All footnote references can be found in Table C-1 at the end of this file

Sources 2010 US Census ABAG Projections 2013 2014 American Community Survey ACS Journey-to-Work data 2006-2008 and 2006-2010

Child Care Coordinating Council of San Mateo County (4Cs) Community Care Licensing Brion Economics Inc

Prepared by Brion Economics Inc 2513-SMC NA Final Tables 61216 6122016

PORTOLA VALLEY

Child Care as of 2025

No of

Providers

Under 2 Years

Old

2 to 4 Year

Olds

Total 0 to 4

Years

EXISTING DEMAND Child Care Demand

Estimated Total Children

Average LFPRAdjustment Factor

Children With Working Parents

Licensed Care Demand Factor

Resident Children Needing Licensed Care

of Total Resident Children Needing Licensed Care

Children from Non-Resident Employees Needing

Licensed Care

(1)

(2)

(3)

77 192

66

51 173

37

19 164

24 85

9 13

269

224

82

182

68

22

Total Demand for Child Care Spaces

Distribution

EXISTING SUPPLY (4)

28 177

13 87

Child Care Spaces

204

100

Family Child Care Home Supply

Child Care Center Supply

Current Child Care Supply

Distribution

EXISTING SURPLUS(SHORTAGE)

Distribution

Percentage of Demand Met

by Existing FacilitiesSpaces

Shortage of Family Child Care Home Spaces

Shortage of Center-Based Spaces

(5)

(6)

(6)

0

4

4

- -

- 153

- 153

0 100

(28) (24)

54 46

0 87

0 0

(28) (24)

0

153

153

100

(51)

100

75

0

(51)

FINAL

Table B-14

Future Child Care Demand and Supply in 2025 in Portola Valley

San Mateo County Child Care Study - 2016

Note All footnote references can be found in Table C-1 at the end of this file

Sources 2010 US Census ABAG Projections 2013 2014 American Community Survey ACS Journey-to-Work data 2006-2008 and 2006-2010

Child Care Coordinating Council of San Mateo County (4Cs) Community Care Licensing Brion Economics Inc

Prepared by Brion Economics Inc 2513-SMC NA Final Tables 61216 6122016

REDWOOD CITY

No of

Providers

Child Care as of 2025

Under 2 Years

Old

2 to 4 Year

Olds

Total 0 to 4

Years

EXISTING DEMAND Child Care Demand

Estimated Total Children

Average LFPRAdjustment Factor

Children With Working Parents

Licensed Care Demand Factor

Resident Children Needing Licensed Care

of Total Resident Children Needing Licensed Care

Children from Non-Resident Employees Needing

Licensed Care

Total Demand for Child Care Spaces

Distribution

EXISTING SUPPLY

(1)

(2)

(3)

(4)

3725 5378

69

2555 4813

37

946 4505

25 84

466 703

1411 5208

21 79

Child Care Spaces

9103

7368

74

5450

60

1169

6619

100

Family Child Care Home Supply

Child Care Center Supply

Current Child Care Supply

Distribution

EXISTING SURPLUS(SHORTAGE)

Distribution

Percentage of Demand Met

by Existing FacilitiesSpaces

Shortage of Family Child Care Home Spaces

Shortage of Center-Based Spaces

(5)

(6)

(6)

42

41

83

396 497

356 2036

752 2533

23 77

(660) (2674)

20 80

53 49

(347) (525)

(313) (2149)

893

2392

3285

100

(3334)

100

50

(872)

(2462)

FINAL

Table B-15

Future Child Care Demand and Supply in 2025 in Redwood City

San Mateo County Child Care Study - 2016

Note All footnote references can be found in Table C-1 at the end of this file

Sources 2010 US Census ABAG Projections 2013 2014 American Community Survey ACS Journey-to-Work data 2006-2008 and 2006-2010

Child Care Coordinating Council of San Mateo County (4Cs) Community Care Licensing Brion Economics Inc

Prepared by Brion Economics Inc 2513-SMC NA Final Tables 61216 6122016

SAN BRUNO

Child Care as of 2025

No of

Providers

Under 2 Years

Old

2 to 4 Year

Olds

Total 0 to 4

Years

EXISTING DEMAND Child Care Demand

Estimated Total Children

Average LFPRAdjustment Factor

Children With Working Parents

Licensed Care Demand Factor

Resident Children Needing Licensed Care

of Total Resident Children Needing Licensed Care

Children from Non-Resident Employees Needing

Licensed Care

(1)

(2)

(3)

1189 1728

77

910 1589

37

337 1475

28 85

68 103

2917

2498

73

1812

62

171

Total Demand for Child Care Spaces

Distribution

EXISTING SUPPLY (4)

405 1578

20 80

Child Care Spaces

1983

100

Family Child Care Home Supply

Child Care Center Supply

Current Child Care Supply

Distribution

EXISTING SURPLUS(SHORTAGE)

Distribution

Percentage of Demand Met

by Existing FacilitiesSpaces

Shortage of Family Child Care Home Spaces

Shortage of Center-Based Spaces

(5)

(6)

(6)

13

15

28

122 153

26 1183

148 1336

10 90

(257) (242)

52 48

37 85

(212) (28)

(45) (214)

275

1209

1484

100

(499)

100

75

(239)

(259)

FINAL

Table B-16

Future C hild Care Demand and Supply in 2025 in San Bruno

San Mateo County Child Care Study - 2016

Note All footnote references can be found in Table C-1 at the end of this file

Sources 2010 US Census ABAG Projections 2013 2014 American Community Survey ACS Journey-to-Work data 2006-2008 and 2006-2010

Child Care Coordinating Council of San Mateo County (4Cs) Community Care Licensing Brion Economics Inc

Prepared by Brion Economics Inc 2513-SMC NA Final Tables 61216 6122016

SAN CARLOS

Child Care as of 2025

No of

Providers

Under 2 Years

Old

2 to 4 Year

Olds

Total 0 to 4

Years

EXISTING DEMAND Child Care Demand

Estimated Total Children

Average LFPRAdjustment Factor

Children With Working Parents

Licensed Care Demand Factor

Resident Children Needing Licensed Care

of Total Resident Children Needing Licensed Care

Children from Non-Resident Employees Needing

Licensed Care

(1)

(2)

(3)

778 1384

72

557 1255

37

206 1174

26 85

82 123

2162

1812

76

1380

64

205

Total Demand for Child Care Spaces

Distribution

EXISTING SUPPLY (4)

288 1297

18 82

Child Care Spaces

1585

100

Family Child Care Home Supply

Child Care Center Supply

Current Child Care Supply

Distribution

EXISTING SURPLUS(SHORTAGE)

Distribution

Percentage of Demand Met

by Existing FacilitiesSpaces

Shortage of Family Child Care Home Spaces

Shortage of Center-Based Spaces

(5)

(6)

(6)

28

14

42

73 92

76 615

149 707

17 83

(139) (590)

19 81

52 54

(68) (76)

(71) (514)

164

691

855

100

(729)

100

54

(145)

(585)

FINAL

Table B-17

Future Child Care Demand and Supply in 2025 in San Carlos

San Mateo County Child Care Study - 2016

Note All footnote references can be found in Table C-1 at the end of this file

Sources 2010 US Census ABAG Projections 2013 2014 American Community Survey ACS Journey-to-Work data 2006-2008 and 2006-2010

Child Care Coordinating Council of San Mateo County (4Cs) Community Care Licensing Brion Economics Inc

Prepared by Brion Economics Inc 2513-SMC NA Final Tables 61216 6122016

SAN MATEO

Child Care as of 2025

No of

Providers

Under 2 Years

Old

2 to 4 Year

Olds

Total 0 to 4

Years

EXISTING DEMAND Child Care Demand

Estimated Total Children

Average LFPRAdjustment Factor

Children With Working Parents

Licensed Care Demand Factor

Resident Children Needing Licensed Care

of Total Resident Children Needing Licensed Care

Children from Non-Resident Employees Needing

Licensed Care

(1)

(2)

(3)

3194 4572

71

2264 4116

37

838 3839

26 84

261 394

7766

6381

73

4677

60

656

Total Demand for Child Care Spaces

Distribution

EXISTING SUPPLY (4)

1099 4233

21 79

Child Care Spaces

5332

100

Family Child Care Home Supply

Child Care Center Supply

Current Child Care Supply

Distribution

EXISTING SURPLUS(SHORTAGE)

Distribution

Percentage of Demand Met

by Existing FacilitiesSpaces

Shortage of Family Child Care Home Spaces

Shortage of Center-Based Spaces

(5)

(6)

(6)

69

59

128

492 619

209 2577

701 3196

18 82

(398) (1037)

28 72

64 75

(279) (201)

(119) (837)

1111

2786

3897

100

(1435)

100

73

(480)

(955)

FINAL

Table B-18

Future Child Care Demand and Supply in 2025 in San Mateo

San Mateo County Child Care Study - 2016

Note All footnote references can be found in Table C-1 at the end of this file

Sources 2010 US Census ABAG Projections 2013 2014 American Community Survey ACS Journey-to-Work data 2006-2008 and 2006-2010

Child Care Coordinating Council of San Mateo County (4Cs) Community Care Licensing Brion Economics Inc

Prepared by Brion Economics Inc 2513-SMC NA Final Tables 61216 6122016

FINAL

Table B-19

Future Child Care Demand and Supply in 2025 in South Coast

San Mateo County Child Care Study - 2016

SOUTH COAST

Child Care as of 2025

No of

Providers

Under 2 Years

Old

2 to 4 Year

Olds

Total 0 to 4

Years

EXISTING DEMAND Child Care Demand

Estimated Total Children (1) 23 32 55

Average LFPRAdjustment Factor (2) 54

Children With Working Parents 12 27 40

Licensed Care Demand Factor (3) 37 77

Resident Children Needing Licensed Care 5 26 30

of Total Resident Children Needing Licensed Care 20 81 56

Children from Non-Resident Employees Needing

Licensed Care 0 0 0

Total Demand for Child Care Spaces 5 26 30

Distribution 15 85 100

EXISTING SUPPLY (4) Child Care Spaces

Family Child Care Home Supply - 0 0 0

Child Care Center Supply 2 0 54 54

Current Child Care Supply 2 - 54 54

Distribution 0 100 100

EXISTING SURPLUS(SHORTAGE) (5) 28 24

Distribution -19 119 100

Percentage of Demand Met

by Existing FacilitiesSpaces (5) 0 209 177

Shortage of Family Child Care Home Spaces (6) 0 NA 0

Shortage of Center-Based Spaces (6) (5) NA (5)

Note All footnote references can be found in Table C-1 at the end of this file

Sources 2010 US Census ABAG Projections 2013 2014 American Community Survey ACS Journey-to-Work data 2006-2008 and 2006-2010

Child Care Coordinating Council of San Mateo County (4Cs) Community Care Licensing Brion Economics Inc

Prepared by Brion Economics Inc 2513-SMC NA Final Tables 61216 6122016

SOUTH SAN FRANCISCO

Child Care as of 2025

No of

Providers

Under 2 Years

Old

2 to 4 Year

Olds

Total 0 to 4

Years

EXISTING DEMAND Child Care Demand

Estimated Total Children

Average LFPRAdjustment Factor

Children With Working Parents

Licensed Care Demand Factor

Resident Children Needing Licensed Care

of Total Resident Children Needing Licensed Care

Children from Non-Resident Employees Needing

Licensed Care

(1)

(2)

(3)

1835 2790

73

1342 2535

37

496 2362

27 85

339 512

4625

3877

74

2859

62

851

Total Demand for Child Care Spaces

Distribution

EXISTING SUPPLY (4)

835 2874

23 77

Child Care Spaces

3709

100

Family Child Care Home Supply

Child Care Center Supply

Current Child Care Supply

Distribution

EXISTING SURPLUS(SHORTAGE)

Distribution

Percentage of Demand Met

by Existing FacilitiesSpaces

Shortage of Family Child Care Home Spaces

Shortage of Center-Based Spaces

(5)

(6)

(6)

30

27

57

252 317

400 1966

652 2283

22 78

(183) (591)

24 76

78 79

(71) (82)

(113) (509)

569

2366

2935

100

(775)

100

79

(153)

(622)

FINAL

Table B-20

Future Child Care Demand and Supply in 2025 in South San Francisco

San Mateo County Child Care Study - 2016

Note All footnote references can be found in Table C-1 at the end of this file

Sources 2010 US Census ABAG Projections 2013 2014 American Community Survey ACS Journey-to-Work data 2006-2008 and 2006-2010

Child Care Coordinating Council of San Mateo County (4Cs) Community Care Licensing Brion Economics Inc

Prepared by Brion Economics Inc 2513-SMC NA Final Tables 61216 6122016

WOODSIDE

No of

Providers

Child Care as of 2025

Under 2 Years

Old

2 to 4 Year

Olds

Total 0 to 4

Years

EXISTING DEMAND Child Care Demand

Estimated Total Children

Average LFPRAdjustment Factor

Children With Working Parents

Licensed Care Demand Factor

Resident Children Needing Licensed Care

of Total Resident Children Needing Licensed Care

Children from Non-Resident Employees Needing

Licensed Care

(1)

(2)

(3)

93 165

56

51 140

37

19 132

21 80

9 13

258

192

79

152

59

22

Total Demand for Child Care Spaces

Distribution

EXISTING SUPPLY (4)

28 146

16 84

Child Care Spaces

174

100

Family Child Care Home Supply

Child Care Center Supply

Current Child Care Supply

Distribution

EXISTING SURPLUS(SHORTAGE)

Distribution

Percentage of Demand Met

by Existing FacilitiesSpaces

Shortage of Family Child Care Home Spaces

Shortage of Center-Based Spaces

(5)

(6)

(6)

1

2

3

4 5

- 103

4 108

4 96

(24) (38)

39 61

15 74

(24) (2)

0 (36)

9

103

112

100

(61)

100

65

(26)

(36)

FINAL

Table B-21

Future Child Care Demand and Supply in 2025 in Woodside

San Mateo County Child Care Study - 2016

Note All footnote references can be found in Table C-1 at the end of this file

Sources 2010 US Census ABAG Projections 2013 2014 American Community Survey ACS Journey-to-Work data 2006-2008 and 2006-2010

Child Care Coordinating Council of San Mateo County (4Cs) Community Care Licensing Brion Economics Inc

Prepared by Brion Economics Inc 2513-SMC NA Final Tables 61216 6122016

FINAL

Table C-1

Endnotes for Tables

San Mateo County Child Care Study - 2016

(1) Population by age is based on the percentage breakdown from the 2010 US Census and applied

to population estimates for 2015 using ABAGs Projections 2013 population data The ABAG data

for each area includes its Sphere of Influence and is not based on strict jurisdictional boundaries

(2) Labor force participation rates are from the 5-Year American Community Survey 2014 and include

children under six years old with two working parents or a single working parent For the 2- to 4-year

olds the labor force participation rate is applied to 2 year olds For 3- and 4-year olds it is assumed

that 100 need licensed care to support preschool for every child so the number of

3- and 4-year olds is not discounted by labor force participation rates

(3) Not all children with working parents are assumed to need licensed care percentage assumptions are

used to calculate the number of children requiring licensed care under each age category The

remaining children are assumed to be cared for in alternate arrangements such as by family members

nannies friends and other unlicensed care For children ages 3- and 4-years old it is assumed that

they all need care in the form of preschool

(4) Data on child care supply provided by the Child Care Coordinating Council of San Mateo County (4Cs)

and Community Care Licensing Division of the California Department of Social Services (CCLD) Data is

for June 2015

(5) Demand that calculates as less than 100 means that there is greater demand than supply percent of

demand that is over 100 means supply exceeds demand

(6) Unmet demand is broken down into shortage by type of care based on the proportion of FCCHs and

child care centers spaces available in each area If an area does not have any FCCHs or centers the

unmet demand is placed in the type of care that is available in the area (eg if there are only centers

all demand goes to centers)

Source Brion Economics Inc

Prepared by Brion Economics Inc 2513-SMC NA Final Tables 61216 6122016

DRAFT REPORT

Table C-2

Labor Force Participation Rates by CityArea

San Mateo County Child Care Study - 2016

CityArea

Labor Force

Participation Rate (1)

Atherton

Belmont

Brisbane

Burlingame

Daly CityColma

East Palo Alto

Foster City

Half Moon Bay Region

Hillsborough

Menlo Park

Millbrae

Pacifica

Portola Valley

Redwood City

San Bruno

San Carlos

San Mateo

South Coast

South San Francisco

Woodside

40

77

100

65

74

71

63

69

52

69

62

78

66

69

77

72

71

54

73

56

(1) Labor force participation rates (LFPRs) are for

families with children under age six with two

working parents or a single parent who works Sources American Community Survey 2014 5-Year

Survey Brion Economics Inc

Prepared by Brion Economics Inc 2513-SMC NA Final Tables 61216 6122016

  • 2513-SMC FINAL NA Memo-61216
  • 2513-SMC NA Final Tables 61216
Page 56: Final San Mateo County Child Care Needs … Care...Future C hild Care Demand and Supply in 2025 in Daly City/Colma San Mateo County Child Care Study - 2016 Note: All footnote references

FINAL

Table B-13

Future Child Care Demand and Supply in 2025 in Pacifica

San Mateo County Child Care Study - 2016

PACIFICA

Child Care as of 2025

No of

Providers

Under 2 Years

Old

2 to 4 Year

Olds

Total 0 to 4

Years

EXISTING DEMAND Child Care Demand

Estimated Total Children

Average L FPRAdjustment Factor

Children With Working Parents

Licensed Care Demand Factor

Resident Children Needing Licensed Care

of Total Resident Children Needing Licensed Care

Children from Non-Resident Employees Needing

Licensed Care

(1)

(2)

(3)

816 1300

78

633 1209

37

234 1130

29 87

19 29

2116

1842

74

1364

64

48

Total Demand for Child Care Spaces

Distribution

EXISTING SUPPLY (4)

254 1159

18 82

Child Care Spaces

1413

100

Family Child Care Home Supply

Child Care Center Supply

Current Child Care Supply

Distribution

EXISTING SURPLUS(SHORTAGE)

Distribution

Percentage of Demand Met

by Existing FacilitiesSpaces

Shortage of Family Child Care Home Spaces

Shortage of Center-Based Spaces

(5)

(6)

(6)

9

18

27

77 97

39 701

116 798

13 87

(138) (361)

28 72

46 69

(91) (44)

(46) (317)

174

740

914

100

(499)

100

65

(135)

(364)

Note All footnote references can be found in Table C-1 at the end of this file

Sources 2010 US Census ABAG Projections 2013 2014 American Community Survey ACS Journey-to-Work data 2006-2008 and 2006-2010

Child Care Coordinating Council of San Mateo County (4Cs) Community Care Licensing Brion Economics Inc

Prepared by Brion Economics Inc 2513-SMC NA Final Tables 61216 6122016

PORTOLA VALLEY

Child Care as of 2025

No of

Providers

Under 2 Years

Old

2 to 4 Year

Olds

Total 0 to 4

Years

EXISTING DEMAND Child Care Demand

Estimated Total Children

Average LFPRAdjustment Factor

Children With Working Parents

Licensed Care Demand Factor

Resident Children Needing Licensed Care

of Total Resident Children Needing Licensed Care

Children from Non-Resident Employees Needing

Licensed Care

(1)

(2)

(3)

77 192

66

51 173

37

19 164

24 85

9 13

269

224

82

182

68

22

Total Demand for Child Care Spaces

Distribution

EXISTING SUPPLY (4)

28 177

13 87

Child Care Spaces

204

100

Family Child Care Home Supply

Child Care Center Supply

Current Child Care Supply

Distribution

EXISTING SURPLUS(SHORTAGE)

Distribution

Percentage of Demand Met

by Existing FacilitiesSpaces

Shortage of Family Child Care Home Spaces

Shortage of Center-Based Spaces

(5)

(6)

(6)

0

4

4

- -

- 153

- 153

0 100

(28) (24)

54 46

0 87

0 0

(28) (24)

0

153

153

100

(51)

100

75

0

(51)

FINAL

Table B-14

Future Child Care Demand and Supply in 2025 in Portola Valley

San Mateo County Child Care Study - 2016

Note All footnote references can be found in Table C-1 at the end of this file

Sources 2010 US Census ABAG Projections 2013 2014 American Community Survey ACS Journey-to-Work data 2006-2008 and 2006-2010

Child Care Coordinating Council of San Mateo County (4Cs) Community Care Licensing Brion Economics Inc

Prepared by Brion Economics Inc 2513-SMC NA Final Tables 61216 6122016

REDWOOD CITY

No of

Providers

Child Care as of 2025

Under 2 Years

Old

2 to 4 Year

Olds

Total 0 to 4

Years

EXISTING DEMAND Child Care Demand

Estimated Total Children

Average LFPRAdjustment Factor

Children With Working Parents

Licensed Care Demand Factor

Resident Children Needing Licensed Care

of Total Resident Children Needing Licensed Care

Children from Non-Resident Employees Needing

Licensed Care

Total Demand for Child Care Spaces

Distribution

EXISTING SUPPLY

(1)

(2)

(3)

(4)

3725 5378

69

2555 4813

37

946 4505

25 84

466 703

1411 5208

21 79

Child Care Spaces

9103

7368

74

5450

60

1169

6619

100

Family Child Care Home Supply

Child Care Center Supply

Current Child Care Supply

Distribution

EXISTING SURPLUS(SHORTAGE)

Distribution

Percentage of Demand Met

by Existing FacilitiesSpaces

Shortage of Family Child Care Home Spaces

Shortage of Center-Based Spaces

(5)

(6)

(6)

42

41

83

396 497

356 2036

752 2533

23 77

(660) (2674)

20 80

53 49

(347) (525)

(313) (2149)

893

2392

3285

100

(3334)

100

50

(872)

(2462)

FINAL

Table B-15

Future Child Care Demand and Supply in 2025 in Redwood City

San Mateo County Child Care Study - 2016

Note All footnote references can be found in Table C-1 at the end of this file

Sources 2010 US Census ABAG Projections 2013 2014 American Community Survey ACS Journey-to-Work data 2006-2008 and 2006-2010

Child Care Coordinating Council of San Mateo County (4Cs) Community Care Licensing Brion Economics Inc

Prepared by Brion Economics Inc 2513-SMC NA Final Tables 61216 6122016

SAN BRUNO

Child Care as of 2025

No of

Providers

Under 2 Years

Old

2 to 4 Year

Olds

Total 0 to 4

Years

EXISTING DEMAND Child Care Demand

Estimated Total Children

Average LFPRAdjustment Factor

Children With Working Parents

Licensed Care Demand Factor

Resident Children Needing Licensed Care

of Total Resident Children Needing Licensed Care

Children from Non-Resident Employees Needing

Licensed Care

(1)

(2)

(3)

1189 1728

77

910 1589

37

337 1475

28 85

68 103

2917

2498

73

1812

62

171

Total Demand for Child Care Spaces

Distribution

EXISTING SUPPLY (4)

405 1578

20 80

Child Care Spaces

1983

100

Family Child Care Home Supply

Child Care Center Supply

Current Child Care Supply

Distribution

EXISTING SURPLUS(SHORTAGE)

Distribution

Percentage of Demand Met

by Existing FacilitiesSpaces

Shortage of Family Child Care Home Spaces

Shortage of Center-Based Spaces

(5)

(6)

(6)

13

15

28

122 153

26 1183

148 1336

10 90

(257) (242)

52 48

37 85

(212) (28)

(45) (214)

275

1209

1484

100

(499)

100

75

(239)

(259)

FINAL

Table B-16

Future C hild Care Demand and Supply in 2025 in San Bruno

San Mateo County Child Care Study - 2016

Note All footnote references can be found in Table C-1 at the end of this file

Sources 2010 US Census ABAG Projections 2013 2014 American Community Survey ACS Journey-to-Work data 2006-2008 and 2006-2010

Child Care Coordinating Council of San Mateo County (4Cs) Community Care Licensing Brion Economics Inc

Prepared by Brion Economics Inc 2513-SMC NA Final Tables 61216 6122016

SAN CARLOS

Child Care as of 2025

No of

Providers

Under 2 Years

Old

2 to 4 Year

Olds

Total 0 to 4

Years

EXISTING DEMAND Child Care Demand

Estimated Total Children

Average LFPRAdjustment Factor

Children With Working Parents

Licensed Care Demand Factor

Resident Children Needing Licensed Care

of Total Resident Children Needing Licensed Care

Children from Non-Resident Employees Needing

Licensed Care

(1)

(2)

(3)

778 1384

72

557 1255

37

206 1174

26 85

82 123

2162

1812

76

1380

64

205

Total Demand for Child Care Spaces

Distribution

EXISTING SUPPLY (4)

288 1297

18 82

Child Care Spaces

1585

100

Family Child Care Home Supply

Child Care Center Supply

Current Child Care Supply

Distribution

EXISTING SURPLUS(SHORTAGE)

Distribution

Percentage of Demand Met

by Existing FacilitiesSpaces

Shortage of Family Child Care Home Spaces

Shortage of Center-Based Spaces

(5)

(6)

(6)

28

14

42

73 92

76 615

149 707

17 83

(139) (590)

19 81

52 54

(68) (76)

(71) (514)

164

691

855

100

(729)

100

54

(145)

(585)

FINAL

Table B-17

Future Child Care Demand and Supply in 2025 in San Carlos

San Mateo County Child Care Study - 2016

Note All footnote references can be found in Table C-1 at the end of this file

Sources 2010 US Census ABAG Projections 2013 2014 American Community Survey ACS Journey-to-Work data 2006-2008 and 2006-2010

Child Care Coordinating Council of San Mateo County (4Cs) Community Care Licensing Brion Economics Inc

Prepared by Brion Economics Inc 2513-SMC NA Final Tables 61216 6122016

SAN MATEO

Child Care as of 2025

No of

Providers

Under 2 Years

Old

2 to 4 Year

Olds

Total 0 to 4

Years

EXISTING DEMAND Child Care Demand

Estimated Total Children

Average LFPRAdjustment Factor

Children With Working Parents

Licensed Care Demand Factor

Resident Children Needing Licensed Care

of Total Resident Children Needing Licensed Care

Children from Non-Resident Employees Needing

Licensed Care

(1)

(2)

(3)

3194 4572

71

2264 4116

37

838 3839

26 84

261 394

7766

6381

73

4677

60

656

Total Demand for Child Care Spaces

Distribution

EXISTING SUPPLY (4)

1099 4233

21 79

Child Care Spaces

5332

100

Family Child Care Home Supply

Child Care Center Supply

Current Child Care Supply

Distribution

EXISTING SURPLUS(SHORTAGE)

Distribution

Percentage of Demand Met

by Existing FacilitiesSpaces

Shortage of Family Child Care Home Spaces

Shortage of Center-Based Spaces

(5)

(6)

(6)

69

59

128

492 619

209 2577

701 3196

18 82

(398) (1037)

28 72

64 75

(279) (201)

(119) (837)

1111

2786

3897

100

(1435)

100

73

(480)

(955)

FINAL

Table B-18

Future Child Care Demand and Supply in 2025 in San Mateo

San Mateo County Child Care Study - 2016

Note All footnote references can be found in Table C-1 at the end of this file

Sources 2010 US Census ABAG Projections 2013 2014 American Community Survey ACS Journey-to-Work data 2006-2008 and 2006-2010

Child Care Coordinating Council of San Mateo County (4Cs) Community Care Licensing Brion Economics Inc

Prepared by Brion Economics Inc 2513-SMC NA Final Tables 61216 6122016

FINAL

Table B-19

Future Child Care Demand and Supply in 2025 in South Coast

San Mateo County Child Care Study - 2016

SOUTH COAST

Child Care as of 2025

No of

Providers

Under 2 Years

Old

2 to 4 Year

Olds

Total 0 to 4

Years

EXISTING DEMAND Child Care Demand

Estimated Total Children (1) 23 32 55

Average LFPRAdjustment Factor (2) 54

Children With Working Parents 12 27 40

Licensed Care Demand Factor (3) 37 77

Resident Children Needing Licensed Care 5 26 30

of Total Resident Children Needing Licensed Care 20 81 56

Children from Non-Resident Employees Needing

Licensed Care 0 0 0

Total Demand for Child Care Spaces 5 26 30

Distribution 15 85 100

EXISTING SUPPLY (4) Child Care Spaces

Family Child Care Home Supply - 0 0 0

Child Care Center Supply 2 0 54 54

Current Child Care Supply 2 - 54 54

Distribution 0 100 100

EXISTING SURPLUS(SHORTAGE) (5) 28 24

Distribution -19 119 100

Percentage of Demand Met

by Existing FacilitiesSpaces (5) 0 209 177

Shortage of Family Child Care Home Spaces (6) 0 NA 0

Shortage of Center-Based Spaces (6) (5) NA (5)

Note All footnote references can be found in Table C-1 at the end of this file

Sources 2010 US Census ABAG Projections 2013 2014 American Community Survey ACS Journey-to-Work data 2006-2008 and 2006-2010

Child Care Coordinating Council of San Mateo County (4Cs) Community Care Licensing Brion Economics Inc

Prepared by Brion Economics Inc 2513-SMC NA Final Tables 61216 6122016

SOUTH SAN FRANCISCO

Child Care as of 2025

No of

Providers

Under 2 Years

Old

2 to 4 Year

Olds

Total 0 to 4

Years

EXISTING DEMAND Child Care Demand

Estimated Total Children

Average LFPRAdjustment Factor

Children With Working Parents

Licensed Care Demand Factor

Resident Children Needing Licensed Care

of Total Resident Children Needing Licensed Care

Children from Non-Resident Employees Needing

Licensed Care

(1)

(2)

(3)

1835 2790

73

1342 2535

37

496 2362

27 85

339 512

4625

3877

74

2859

62

851

Total Demand for Child Care Spaces

Distribution

EXISTING SUPPLY (4)

835 2874

23 77

Child Care Spaces

3709

100

Family Child Care Home Supply

Child Care Center Supply

Current Child Care Supply

Distribution

EXISTING SURPLUS(SHORTAGE)

Distribution

Percentage of Demand Met

by Existing FacilitiesSpaces

Shortage of Family Child Care Home Spaces

Shortage of Center-Based Spaces

(5)

(6)

(6)

30

27

57

252 317

400 1966

652 2283

22 78

(183) (591)

24 76

78 79

(71) (82)

(113) (509)

569

2366

2935

100

(775)

100

79

(153)

(622)

FINAL

Table B-20

Future Child Care Demand and Supply in 2025 in South San Francisco

San Mateo County Child Care Study - 2016

Note All footnote references can be found in Table C-1 at the end of this file

Sources 2010 US Census ABAG Projections 2013 2014 American Community Survey ACS Journey-to-Work data 2006-2008 and 2006-2010

Child Care Coordinating Council of San Mateo County (4Cs) Community Care Licensing Brion Economics Inc

Prepared by Brion Economics Inc 2513-SMC NA Final Tables 61216 6122016

WOODSIDE

No of

Providers

Child Care as of 2025

Under 2 Years

Old

2 to 4 Year

Olds

Total 0 to 4

Years

EXISTING DEMAND Child Care Demand

Estimated Total Children

Average LFPRAdjustment Factor

Children With Working Parents

Licensed Care Demand Factor

Resident Children Needing Licensed Care

of Total Resident Children Needing Licensed Care

Children from Non-Resident Employees Needing

Licensed Care

(1)

(2)

(3)

93 165

56

51 140

37

19 132

21 80

9 13

258

192

79

152

59

22

Total Demand for Child Care Spaces

Distribution

EXISTING SUPPLY (4)

28 146

16 84

Child Care Spaces

174

100

Family Child Care Home Supply

Child Care Center Supply

Current Child Care Supply

Distribution

EXISTING SURPLUS(SHORTAGE)

Distribution

Percentage of Demand Met

by Existing FacilitiesSpaces

Shortage of Family Child Care Home Spaces

Shortage of Center-Based Spaces

(5)

(6)

(6)

1

2

3

4 5

- 103

4 108

4 96

(24) (38)

39 61

15 74

(24) (2)

0 (36)

9

103

112

100

(61)

100

65

(26)

(36)

FINAL

Table B-21

Future Child Care Demand and Supply in 2025 in Woodside

San Mateo County Child Care Study - 2016

Note All footnote references can be found in Table C-1 at the end of this file

Sources 2010 US Census ABAG Projections 2013 2014 American Community Survey ACS Journey-to-Work data 2006-2008 and 2006-2010

Child Care Coordinating Council of San Mateo County (4Cs) Community Care Licensing Brion Economics Inc

Prepared by Brion Economics Inc 2513-SMC NA Final Tables 61216 6122016

FINAL

Table C-1

Endnotes for Tables

San Mateo County Child Care Study - 2016

(1) Population by age is based on the percentage breakdown from the 2010 US Census and applied

to population estimates for 2015 using ABAGs Projections 2013 population data The ABAG data

for each area includes its Sphere of Influence and is not based on strict jurisdictional boundaries

(2) Labor force participation rates are from the 5-Year American Community Survey 2014 and include

children under six years old with two working parents or a single working parent For the 2- to 4-year

olds the labor force participation rate is applied to 2 year olds For 3- and 4-year olds it is assumed

that 100 need licensed care to support preschool for every child so the number of

3- and 4-year olds is not discounted by labor force participation rates

(3) Not all children with working parents are assumed to need licensed care percentage assumptions are

used to calculate the number of children requiring licensed care under each age category The

remaining children are assumed to be cared for in alternate arrangements such as by family members

nannies friends and other unlicensed care For children ages 3- and 4-years old it is assumed that

they all need care in the form of preschool

(4) Data on child care supply provided by the Child Care Coordinating Council of San Mateo County (4Cs)

and Community Care Licensing Division of the California Department of Social Services (CCLD) Data is

for June 2015

(5) Demand that calculates as less than 100 means that there is greater demand than supply percent of

demand that is over 100 means supply exceeds demand

(6) Unmet demand is broken down into shortage by type of care based on the proportion of FCCHs and

child care centers spaces available in each area If an area does not have any FCCHs or centers the

unmet demand is placed in the type of care that is available in the area (eg if there are only centers

all demand goes to centers)

Source Brion Economics Inc

Prepared by Brion Economics Inc 2513-SMC NA Final Tables 61216 6122016

DRAFT REPORT

Table C-2

Labor Force Participation Rates by CityArea

San Mateo County Child Care Study - 2016

CityArea

Labor Force

Participation Rate (1)

Atherton

Belmont

Brisbane

Burlingame

Daly CityColma

East Palo Alto

Foster City

Half Moon Bay Region

Hillsborough

Menlo Park

Millbrae

Pacifica

Portola Valley

Redwood City

San Bruno

San Carlos

San Mateo

South Coast

South San Francisco

Woodside

40

77

100

65

74

71

63

69

52

69

62

78

66

69

77

72

71

54

73

56

(1) Labor force participation rates (LFPRs) are for

families with children under age six with two

working parents or a single parent who works Sources American Community Survey 2014 5-Year

Survey Brion Economics Inc

Prepared by Brion Economics Inc 2513-SMC NA Final Tables 61216 6122016

  • 2513-SMC FINAL NA Memo-61216
  • 2513-SMC NA Final Tables 61216
Page 57: Final San Mateo County Child Care Needs … Care...Future C hild Care Demand and Supply in 2025 in Daly City/Colma San Mateo County Child Care Study - 2016 Note: All footnote references

PORTOLA VALLEY

Child Care as of 2025

No of

Providers

Under 2 Years

Old

2 to 4 Year

Olds

Total 0 to 4

Years

EXISTING DEMAND Child Care Demand

Estimated Total Children

Average LFPRAdjustment Factor

Children With Working Parents

Licensed Care Demand Factor

Resident Children Needing Licensed Care

of Total Resident Children Needing Licensed Care

Children from Non-Resident Employees Needing

Licensed Care

(1)

(2)

(3)

77 192

66

51 173

37

19 164

24 85

9 13

269

224

82

182

68

22

Total Demand for Child Care Spaces

Distribution

EXISTING SUPPLY (4)

28 177

13 87

Child Care Spaces

204

100

Family Child Care Home Supply

Child Care Center Supply

Current Child Care Supply

Distribution

EXISTING SURPLUS(SHORTAGE)

Distribution

Percentage of Demand Met

by Existing FacilitiesSpaces

Shortage of Family Child Care Home Spaces

Shortage of Center-Based Spaces

(5)

(6)

(6)

0

4

4

- -

- 153

- 153

0 100

(28) (24)

54 46

0 87

0 0

(28) (24)

0

153

153

100

(51)

100

75

0

(51)

FINAL

Table B-14

Future Child Care Demand and Supply in 2025 in Portola Valley

San Mateo County Child Care Study - 2016

Note All footnote references can be found in Table C-1 at the end of this file

Sources 2010 US Census ABAG Projections 2013 2014 American Community Survey ACS Journey-to-Work data 2006-2008 and 2006-2010

Child Care Coordinating Council of San Mateo County (4Cs) Community Care Licensing Brion Economics Inc

Prepared by Brion Economics Inc 2513-SMC NA Final Tables 61216 6122016

REDWOOD CITY

No of

Providers

Child Care as of 2025

Under 2 Years

Old

2 to 4 Year

Olds

Total 0 to 4

Years

EXISTING DEMAND Child Care Demand

Estimated Total Children

Average LFPRAdjustment Factor

Children With Working Parents

Licensed Care Demand Factor

Resident Children Needing Licensed Care

of Total Resident Children Needing Licensed Care

Children from Non-Resident Employees Needing

Licensed Care

Total Demand for Child Care Spaces

Distribution

EXISTING SUPPLY

(1)

(2)

(3)

(4)

3725 5378

69

2555 4813

37

946 4505

25 84

466 703

1411 5208

21 79

Child Care Spaces

9103

7368

74

5450

60

1169

6619

100

Family Child Care Home Supply

Child Care Center Supply

Current Child Care Supply

Distribution

EXISTING SURPLUS(SHORTAGE)

Distribution

Percentage of Demand Met

by Existing FacilitiesSpaces

Shortage of Family Child Care Home Spaces

Shortage of Center-Based Spaces

(5)

(6)

(6)

42

41

83

396 497

356 2036

752 2533

23 77

(660) (2674)

20 80

53 49

(347) (525)

(313) (2149)

893

2392

3285

100

(3334)

100

50

(872)

(2462)

FINAL

Table B-15

Future Child Care Demand and Supply in 2025 in Redwood City

San Mateo County Child Care Study - 2016

Note All footnote references can be found in Table C-1 at the end of this file

Sources 2010 US Census ABAG Projections 2013 2014 American Community Survey ACS Journey-to-Work data 2006-2008 and 2006-2010

Child Care Coordinating Council of San Mateo County (4Cs) Community Care Licensing Brion Economics Inc

Prepared by Brion Economics Inc 2513-SMC NA Final Tables 61216 6122016

SAN BRUNO

Child Care as of 2025

No of

Providers

Under 2 Years

Old

2 to 4 Year

Olds

Total 0 to 4

Years

EXISTING DEMAND Child Care Demand

Estimated Total Children

Average LFPRAdjustment Factor

Children With Working Parents

Licensed Care Demand Factor

Resident Children Needing Licensed Care

of Total Resident Children Needing Licensed Care

Children from Non-Resident Employees Needing

Licensed Care

(1)

(2)

(3)

1189 1728

77

910 1589

37

337 1475

28 85

68 103

2917

2498

73

1812

62

171

Total Demand for Child Care Spaces

Distribution

EXISTING SUPPLY (4)

405 1578

20 80

Child Care Spaces

1983

100

Family Child Care Home Supply

Child Care Center Supply

Current Child Care Supply

Distribution

EXISTING SURPLUS(SHORTAGE)

Distribution

Percentage of Demand Met

by Existing FacilitiesSpaces

Shortage of Family Child Care Home Spaces

Shortage of Center-Based Spaces

(5)

(6)

(6)

13

15

28

122 153

26 1183

148 1336

10 90

(257) (242)

52 48

37 85

(212) (28)

(45) (214)

275

1209

1484

100

(499)

100

75

(239)

(259)

FINAL

Table B-16

Future C hild Care Demand and Supply in 2025 in San Bruno

San Mateo County Child Care Study - 2016

Note All footnote references can be found in Table C-1 at the end of this file

Sources 2010 US Census ABAG Projections 2013 2014 American Community Survey ACS Journey-to-Work data 2006-2008 and 2006-2010

Child Care Coordinating Council of San Mateo County (4Cs) Community Care Licensing Brion Economics Inc

Prepared by Brion Economics Inc 2513-SMC NA Final Tables 61216 6122016

SAN CARLOS

Child Care as of 2025

No of

Providers

Under 2 Years

Old

2 to 4 Year

Olds

Total 0 to 4

Years

EXISTING DEMAND Child Care Demand

Estimated Total Children

Average LFPRAdjustment Factor

Children With Working Parents

Licensed Care Demand Factor

Resident Children Needing Licensed Care

of Total Resident Children Needing Licensed Care

Children from Non-Resident Employees Needing

Licensed Care

(1)

(2)

(3)

778 1384

72

557 1255

37

206 1174

26 85

82 123

2162

1812

76

1380

64

205

Total Demand for Child Care Spaces

Distribution

EXISTING SUPPLY (4)

288 1297

18 82

Child Care Spaces

1585

100

Family Child Care Home Supply

Child Care Center Supply

Current Child Care Supply

Distribution

EXISTING SURPLUS(SHORTAGE)

Distribution

Percentage of Demand Met

by Existing FacilitiesSpaces

Shortage of Family Child Care Home Spaces

Shortage of Center-Based Spaces

(5)

(6)

(6)

28

14

42

73 92

76 615

149 707

17 83

(139) (590)

19 81

52 54

(68) (76)

(71) (514)

164

691

855

100

(729)

100

54

(145)

(585)

FINAL

Table B-17

Future Child Care Demand and Supply in 2025 in San Carlos

San Mateo County Child Care Study - 2016

Note All footnote references can be found in Table C-1 at the end of this file

Sources 2010 US Census ABAG Projections 2013 2014 American Community Survey ACS Journey-to-Work data 2006-2008 and 2006-2010

Child Care Coordinating Council of San Mateo County (4Cs) Community Care Licensing Brion Economics Inc

Prepared by Brion Economics Inc 2513-SMC NA Final Tables 61216 6122016

SAN MATEO

Child Care as of 2025

No of

Providers

Under 2 Years

Old

2 to 4 Year

Olds

Total 0 to 4

Years

EXISTING DEMAND Child Care Demand

Estimated Total Children

Average LFPRAdjustment Factor

Children With Working Parents

Licensed Care Demand Factor

Resident Children Needing Licensed Care

of Total Resident Children Needing Licensed Care

Children from Non-Resident Employees Needing

Licensed Care

(1)

(2)

(3)

3194 4572

71

2264 4116

37

838 3839

26 84

261 394

7766

6381

73

4677

60

656

Total Demand for Child Care Spaces

Distribution

EXISTING SUPPLY (4)

1099 4233

21 79

Child Care Spaces

5332

100

Family Child Care Home Supply

Child Care Center Supply

Current Child Care Supply

Distribution

EXISTING SURPLUS(SHORTAGE)

Distribution

Percentage of Demand Met

by Existing FacilitiesSpaces

Shortage of Family Child Care Home Spaces

Shortage of Center-Based Spaces

(5)

(6)

(6)

69

59

128

492 619

209 2577

701 3196

18 82

(398) (1037)

28 72

64 75

(279) (201)

(119) (837)

1111

2786

3897

100

(1435)

100

73

(480)

(955)

FINAL

Table B-18

Future Child Care Demand and Supply in 2025 in San Mateo

San Mateo County Child Care Study - 2016

Note All footnote references can be found in Table C-1 at the end of this file

Sources 2010 US Census ABAG Projections 2013 2014 American Community Survey ACS Journey-to-Work data 2006-2008 and 2006-2010

Child Care Coordinating Council of San Mateo County (4Cs) Community Care Licensing Brion Economics Inc

Prepared by Brion Economics Inc 2513-SMC NA Final Tables 61216 6122016

FINAL

Table B-19

Future Child Care Demand and Supply in 2025 in South Coast

San Mateo County Child Care Study - 2016

SOUTH COAST

Child Care as of 2025

No of

Providers

Under 2 Years

Old

2 to 4 Year

Olds

Total 0 to 4

Years

EXISTING DEMAND Child Care Demand

Estimated Total Children (1) 23 32 55

Average LFPRAdjustment Factor (2) 54

Children With Working Parents 12 27 40

Licensed Care Demand Factor (3) 37 77

Resident Children Needing Licensed Care 5 26 30

of Total Resident Children Needing Licensed Care 20 81 56

Children from Non-Resident Employees Needing

Licensed Care 0 0 0

Total Demand for Child Care Spaces 5 26 30

Distribution 15 85 100

EXISTING SUPPLY (4) Child Care Spaces

Family Child Care Home Supply - 0 0 0

Child Care Center Supply 2 0 54 54

Current Child Care Supply 2 - 54 54

Distribution 0 100 100

EXISTING SURPLUS(SHORTAGE) (5) 28 24

Distribution -19 119 100

Percentage of Demand Met

by Existing FacilitiesSpaces (5) 0 209 177

Shortage of Family Child Care Home Spaces (6) 0 NA 0

Shortage of Center-Based Spaces (6) (5) NA (5)

Note All footnote references can be found in Table C-1 at the end of this file

Sources 2010 US Census ABAG Projections 2013 2014 American Community Survey ACS Journey-to-Work data 2006-2008 and 2006-2010

Child Care Coordinating Council of San Mateo County (4Cs) Community Care Licensing Brion Economics Inc

Prepared by Brion Economics Inc 2513-SMC NA Final Tables 61216 6122016

SOUTH SAN FRANCISCO

Child Care as of 2025

No of

Providers

Under 2 Years

Old

2 to 4 Year

Olds

Total 0 to 4

Years

EXISTING DEMAND Child Care Demand

Estimated Total Children

Average LFPRAdjustment Factor

Children With Working Parents

Licensed Care Demand Factor

Resident Children Needing Licensed Care

of Total Resident Children Needing Licensed Care

Children from Non-Resident Employees Needing

Licensed Care

(1)

(2)

(3)

1835 2790

73

1342 2535

37

496 2362

27 85

339 512

4625

3877

74

2859

62

851

Total Demand for Child Care Spaces

Distribution

EXISTING SUPPLY (4)

835 2874

23 77

Child Care Spaces

3709

100

Family Child Care Home Supply

Child Care Center Supply

Current Child Care Supply

Distribution

EXISTING SURPLUS(SHORTAGE)

Distribution

Percentage of Demand Met

by Existing FacilitiesSpaces

Shortage of Family Child Care Home Spaces

Shortage of Center-Based Spaces

(5)

(6)

(6)

30

27

57

252 317

400 1966

652 2283

22 78

(183) (591)

24 76

78 79

(71) (82)

(113) (509)

569

2366

2935

100

(775)

100

79

(153)

(622)

FINAL

Table B-20

Future Child Care Demand and Supply in 2025 in South San Francisco

San Mateo County Child Care Study - 2016

Note All footnote references can be found in Table C-1 at the end of this file

Sources 2010 US Census ABAG Projections 2013 2014 American Community Survey ACS Journey-to-Work data 2006-2008 and 2006-2010

Child Care Coordinating Council of San Mateo County (4Cs) Community Care Licensing Brion Economics Inc

Prepared by Brion Economics Inc 2513-SMC NA Final Tables 61216 6122016

WOODSIDE

No of

Providers

Child Care as of 2025

Under 2 Years

Old

2 to 4 Year

Olds

Total 0 to 4

Years

EXISTING DEMAND Child Care Demand

Estimated Total Children

Average LFPRAdjustment Factor

Children With Working Parents

Licensed Care Demand Factor

Resident Children Needing Licensed Care

of Total Resident Children Needing Licensed Care

Children from Non-Resident Employees Needing

Licensed Care

(1)

(2)

(3)

93 165

56

51 140

37

19 132

21 80

9 13

258

192

79

152

59

22

Total Demand for Child Care Spaces

Distribution

EXISTING SUPPLY (4)

28 146

16 84

Child Care Spaces

174

100

Family Child Care Home Supply

Child Care Center Supply

Current Child Care Supply

Distribution

EXISTING SURPLUS(SHORTAGE)

Distribution

Percentage of Demand Met

by Existing FacilitiesSpaces

Shortage of Family Child Care Home Spaces

Shortage of Center-Based Spaces

(5)

(6)

(6)

1

2

3

4 5

- 103

4 108

4 96

(24) (38)

39 61

15 74

(24) (2)

0 (36)

9

103

112

100

(61)

100

65

(26)

(36)

FINAL

Table B-21

Future Child Care Demand and Supply in 2025 in Woodside

San Mateo County Child Care Study - 2016

Note All footnote references can be found in Table C-1 at the end of this file

Sources 2010 US Census ABAG Projections 2013 2014 American Community Survey ACS Journey-to-Work data 2006-2008 and 2006-2010

Child Care Coordinating Council of San Mateo County (4Cs) Community Care Licensing Brion Economics Inc

Prepared by Brion Economics Inc 2513-SMC NA Final Tables 61216 6122016

FINAL

Table C-1

Endnotes for Tables

San Mateo County Child Care Study - 2016

(1) Population by age is based on the percentage breakdown from the 2010 US Census and applied

to population estimates for 2015 using ABAGs Projections 2013 population data The ABAG data

for each area includes its Sphere of Influence and is not based on strict jurisdictional boundaries

(2) Labor force participation rates are from the 5-Year American Community Survey 2014 and include

children under six years old with two working parents or a single working parent For the 2- to 4-year

olds the labor force participation rate is applied to 2 year olds For 3- and 4-year olds it is assumed

that 100 need licensed care to support preschool for every child so the number of

3- and 4-year olds is not discounted by labor force participation rates

(3) Not all children with working parents are assumed to need licensed care percentage assumptions are

used to calculate the number of children requiring licensed care under each age category The

remaining children are assumed to be cared for in alternate arrangements such as by family members

nannies friends and other unlicensed care For children ages 3- and 4-years old it is assumed that

they all need care in the form of preschool

(4) Data on child care supply provided by the Child Care Coordinating Council of San Mateo County (4Cs)

and Community Care Licensing Division of the California Department of Social Services (CCLD) Data is

for June 2015

(5) Demand that calculates as less than 100 means that there is greater demand than supply percent of

demand that is over 100 means supply exceeds demand

(6) Unmet demand is broken down into shortage by type of care based on the proportion of FCCHs and

child care centers spaces available in each area If an area does not have any FCCHs or centers the

unmet demand is placed in the type of care that is available in the area (eg if there are only centers

all demand goes to centers)

Source Brion Economics Inc

Prepared by Brion Economics Inc 2513-SMC NA Final Tables 61216 6122016

DRAFT REPORT

Table C-2

Labor Force Participation Rates by CityArea

San Mateo County Child Care Study - 2016

CityArea

Labor Force

Participation Rate (1)

Atherton

Belmont

Brisbane

Burlingame

Daly CityColma

East Palo Alto

Foster City

Half Moon Bay Region

Hillsborough

Menlo Park

Millbrae

Pacifica

Portola Valley

Redwood City

San Bruno

San Carlos

San Mateo

South Coast

South San Francisco

Woodside

40

77

100

65

74

71

63

69

52

69

62

78

66

69

77

72

71

54

73

56

(1) Labor force participation rates (LFPRs) are for

families with children under age six with two

working parents or a single parent who works Sources American Community Survey 2014 5-Year

Survey Brion Economics Inc

Prepared by Brion Economics Inc 2513-SMC NA Final Tables 61216 6122016

  • 2513-SMC FINAL NA Memo-61216
  • 2513-SMC NA Final Tables 61216
Page 58: Final San Mateo County Child Care Needs … Care...Future C hild Care Demand and Supply in 2025 in Daly City/Colma San Mateo County Child Care Study - 2016 Note: All footnote references

REDWOOD CITY

No of

Providers

Child Care as of 2025

Under 2 Years

Old

2 to 4 Year

Olds

Total 0 to 4

Years

EXISTING DEMAND Child Care Demand

Estimated Total Children

Average LFPRAdjustment Factor

Children With Working Parents

Licensed Care Demand Factor

Resident Children Needing Licensed Care

of Total Resident Children Needing Licensed Care

Children from Non-Resident Employees Needing

Licensed Care

Total Demand for Child Care Spaces

Distribution

EXISTING SUPPLY

(1)

(2)

(3)

(4)

3725 5378

69

2555 4813

37

946 4505

25 84

466 703

1411 5208

21 79

Child Care Spaces

9103

7368

74

5450

60

1169

6619

100

Family Child Care Home Supply

Child Care Center Supply

Current Child Care Supply

Distribution

EXISTING SURPLUS(SHORTAGE)

Distribution

Percentage of Demand Met

by Existing FacilitiesSpaces

Shortage of Family Child Care Home Spaces

Shortage of Center-Based Spaces

(5)

(6)

(6)

42

41

83

396 497

356 2036

752 2533

23 77

(660) (2674)

20 80

53 49

(347) (525)

(313) (2149)

893

2392

3285

100

(3334)

100

50

(872)

(2462)

FINAL

Table B-15

Future Child Care Demand and Supply in 2025 in Redwood City

San Mateo County Child Care Study - 2016

Note All footnote references can be found in Table C-1 at the end of this file

Sources 2010 US Census ABAG Projections 2013 2014 American Community Survey ACS Journey-to-Work data 2006-2008 and 2006-2010

Child Care Coordinating Council of San Mateo County (4Cs) Community Care Licensing Brion Economics Inc

Prepared by Brion Economics Inc 2513-SMC NA Final Tables 61216 6122016

SAN BRUNO

Child Care as of 2025

No of

Providers

Under 2 Years

Old

2 to 4 Year

Olds

Total 0 to 4

Years

EXISTING DEMAND Child Care Demand

Estimated Total Children

Average LFPRAdjustment Factor

Children With Working Parents

Licensed Care Demand Factor

Resident Children Needing Licensed Care

of Total Resident Children Needing Licensed Care

Children from Non-Resident Employees Needing

Licensed Care

(1)

(2)

(3)

1189 1728

77

910 1589

37

337 1475

28 85

68 103

2917

2498

73

1812

62

171

Total Demand for Child Care Spaces

Distribution

EXISTING SUPPLY (4)

405 1578

20 80

Child Care Spaces

1983

100

Family Child Care Home Supply

Child Care Center Supply

Current Child Care Supply

Distribution

EXISTING SURPLUS(SHORTAGE)

Distribution

Percentage of Demand Met

by Existing FacilitiesSpaces

Shortage of Family Child Care Home Spaces

Shortage of Center-Based Spaces

(5)

(6)

(6)

13

15

28

122 153

26 1183

148 1336

10 90

(257) (242)

52 48

37 85

(212) (28)

(45) (214)

275

1209

1484

100

(499)

100

75

(239)

(259)

FINAL

Table B-16

Future C hild Care Demand and Supply in 2025 in San Bruno

San Mateo County Child Care Study - 2016

Note All footnote references can be found in Table C-1 at the end of this file

Sources 2010 US Census ABAG Projections 2013 2014 American Community Survey ACS Journey-to-Work data 2006-2008 and 2006-2010

Child Care Coordinating Council of San Mateo County (4Cs) Community Care Licensing Brion Economics Inc

Prepared by Brion Economics Inc 2513-SMC NA Final Tables 61216 6122016

SAN CARLOS

Child Care as of 2025

No of

Providers

Under 2 Years

Old

2 to 4 Year

Olds

Total 0 to 4

Years

EXISTING DEMAND Child Care Demand

Estimated Total Children

Average LFPRAdjustment Factor

Children With Working Parents

Licensed Care Demand Factor

Resident Children Needing Licensed Care

of Total Resident Children Needing Licensed Care

Children from Non-Resident Employees Needing

Licensed Care

(1)

(2)

(3)

778 1384

72

557 1255

37

206 1174

26 85

82 123

2162

1812

76

1380

64

205

Total Demand for Child Care Spaces

Distribution

EXISTING SUPPLY (4)

288 1297

18 82

Child Care Spaces

1585

100

Family Child Care Home Supply

Child Care Center Supply

Current Child Care Supply

Distribution

EXISTING SURPLUS(SHORTAGE)

Distribution

Percentage of Demand Met

by Existing FacilitiesSpaces

Shortage of Family Child Care Home Spaces

Shortage of Center-Based Spaces

(5)

(6)

(6)

28

14

42

73 92

76 615

149 707

17 83

(139) (590)

19 81

52 54

(68) (76)

(71) (514)

164

691

855

100

(729)

100

54

(145)

(585)

FINAL

Table B-17

Future Child Care Demand and Supply in 2025 in San Carlos

San Mateo County Child Care Study - 2016

Note All footnote references can be found in Table C-1 at the end of this file

Sources 2010 US Census ABAG Projections 2013 2014 American Community Survey ACS Journey-to-Work data 2006-2008 and 2006-2010

Child Care Coordinating Council of San Mateo County (4Cs) Community Care Licensing Brion Economics Inc

Prepared by Brion Economics Inc 2513-SMC NA Final Tables 61216 6122016

SAN MATEO

Child Care as of 2025

No of

Providers

Under 2 Years

Old

2 to 4 Year

Olds

Total 0 to 4

Years

EXISTING DEMAND Child Care Demand

Estimated Total Children

Average LFPRAdjustment Factor

Children With Working Parents

Licensed Care Demand Factor

Resident Children Needing Licensed Care

of Total Resident Children Needing Licensed Care

Children from Non-Resident Employees Needing

Licensed Care

(1)

(2)

(3)

3194 4572

71

2264 4116

37

838 3839

26 84

261 394

7766

6381

73

4677

60

656

Total Demand for Child Care Spaces

Distribution

EXISTING SUPPLY (4)

1099 4233

21 79

Child Care Spaces

5332

100

Family Child Care Home Supply

Child Care Center Supply

Current Child Care Supply

Distribution

EXISTING SURPLUS(SHORTAGE)

Distribution

Percentage of Demand Met

by Existing FacilitiesSpaces

Shortage of Family Child Care Home Spaces

Shortage of Center-Based Spaces

(5)

(6)

(6)

69

59

128

492 619

209 2577

701 3196

18 82

(398) (1037)

28 72

64 75

(279) (201)

(119) (837)

1111

2786

3897

100

(1435)

100

73

(480)

(955)

FINAL

Table B-18

Future Child Care Demand and Supply in 2025 in San Mateo

San Mateo County Child Care Study - 2016

Note All footnote references can be found in Table C-1 at the end of this file

Sources 2010 US Census ABAG Projections 2013 2014 American Community Survey ACS Journey-to-Work data 2006-2008 and 2006-2010

Child Care Coordinating Council of San Mateo County (4Cs) Community Care Licensing Brion Economics Inc

Prepared by Brion Economics Inc 2513-SMC NA Final Tables 61216 6122016

FINAL

Table B-19

Future Child Care Demand and Supply in 2025 in South Coast

San Mateo County Child Care Study - 2016

SOUTH COAST

Child Care as of 2025

No of

Providers

Under 2 Years

Old

2 to 4 Year

Olds

Total 0 to 4

Years

EXISTING DEMAND Child Care Demand

Estimated Total Children (1) 23 32 55

Average LFPRAdjustment Factor (2) 54

Children With Working Parents 12 27 40

Licensed Care Demand Factor (3) 37 77

Resident Children Needing Licensed Care 5 26 30

of Total Resident Children Needing Licensed Care 20 81 56

Children from Non-Resident Employees Needing

Licensed Care 0 0 0

Total Demand for Child Care Spaces 5 26 30

Distribution 15 85 100

EXISTING SUPPLY (4) Child Care Spaces

Family Child Care Home Supply - 0 0 0

Child Care Center Supply 2 0 54 54

Current Child Care Supply 2 - 54 54

Distribution 0 100 100

EXISTING SURPLUS(SHORTAGE) (5) 28 24

Distribution -19 119 100

Percentage of Demand Met

by Existing FacilitiesSpaces (5) 0 209 177

Shortage of Family Child Care Home Spaces (6) 0 NA 0

Shortage of Center-Based Spaces (6) (5) NA (5)

Note All footnote references can be found in Table C-1 at the end of this file

Sources 2010 US Census ABAG Projections 2013 2014 American Community Survey ACS Journey-to-Work data 2006-2008 and 2006-2010

Child Care Coordinating Council of San Mateo County (4Cs) Community Care Licensing Brion Economics Inc

Prepared by Brion Economics Inc 2513-SMC NA Final Tables 61216 6122016

SOUTH SAN FRANCISCO

Child Care as of 2025

No of

Providers

Under 2 Years

Old

2 to 4 Year

Olds

Total 0 to 4

Years

EXISTING DEMAND Child Care Demand

Estimated Total Children

Average LFPRAdjustment Factor

Children With Working Parents

Licensed Care Demand Factor

Resident Children Needing Licensed Care

of Total Resident Children Needing Licensed Care

Children from Non-Resident Employees Needing

Licensed Care

(1)

(2)

(3)

1835 2790

73

1342 2535

37

496 2362

27 85

339 512

4625

3877

74

2859

62

851

Total Demand for Child Care Spaces

Distribution

EXISTING SUPPLY (4)

835 2874

23 77

Child Care Spaces

3709

100

Family Child Care Home Supply

Child Care Center Supply

Current Child Care Supply

Distribution

EXISTING SURPLUS(SHORTAGE)

Distribution

Percentage of Demand Met

by Existing FacilitiesSpaces

Shortage of Family Child Care Home Spaces

Shortage of Center-Based Spaces

(5)

(6)

(6)

30

27

57

252 317

400 1966

652 2283

22 78

(183) (591)

24 76

78 79

(71) (82)

(113) (509)

569

2366

2935

100

(775)

100

79

(153)

(622)

FINAL

Table B-20

Future Child Care Demand and Supply in 2025 in South San Francisco

San Mateo County Child Care Study - 2016

Note All footnote references can be found in Table C-1 at the end of this file

Sources 2010 US Census ABAG Projections 2013 2014 American Community Survey ACS Journey-to-Work data 2006-2008 and 2006-2010

Child Care Coordinating Council of San Mateo County (4Cs) Community Care Licensing Brion Economics Inc

Prepared by Brion Economics Inc 2513-SMC NA Final Tables 61216 6122016

WOODSIDE

No of

Providers

Child Care as of 2025

Under 2 Years

Old

2 to 4 Year

Olds

Total 0 to 4

Years

EXISTING DEMAND Child Care Demand

Estimated Total Children

Average LFPRAdjustment Factor

Children With Working Parents

Licensed Care Demand Factor

Resident Children Needing Licensed Care

of Total Resident Children Needing Licensed Care

Children from Non-Resident Employees Needing

Licensed Care

(1)

(2)

(3)

93 165

56

51 140

37

19 132

21 80

9 13

258

192

79

152

59

22

Total Demand for Child Care Spaces

Distribution

EXISTING SUPPLY (4)

28 146

16 84

Child Care Spaces

174

100

Family Child Care Home Supply

Child Care Center Supply

Current Child Care Supply

Distribution

EXISTING SURPLUS(SHORTAGE)

Distribution

Percentage of Demand Met

by Existing FacilitiesSpaces

Shortage of Family Child Care Home Spaces

Shortage of Center-Based Spaces

(5)

(6)

(6)

1

2

3

4 5

- 103

4 108

4 96

(24) (38)

39 61

15 74

(24) (2)

0 (36)

9

103

112

100

(61)

100

65

(26)

(36)

FINAL

Table B-21

Future Child Care Demand and Supply in 2025 in Woodside

San Mateo County Child Care Study - 2016

Note All footnote references can be found in Table C-1 at the end of this file

Sources 2010 US Census ABAG Projections 2013 2014 American Community Survey ACS Journey-to-Work data 2006-2008 and 2006-2010

Child Care Coordinating Council of San Mateo County (4Cs) Community Care Licensing Brion Economics Inc

Prepared by Brion Economics Inc 2513-SMC NA Final Tables 61216 6122016

FINAL

Table C-1

Endnotes for Tables

San Mateo County Child Care Study - 2016

(1) Population by age is based on the percentage breakdown from the 2010 US Census and applied

to population estimates for 2015 using ABAGs Projections 2013 population data The ABAG data

for each area includes its Sphere of Influence and is not based on strict jurisdictional boundaries

(2) Labor force participation rates are from the 5-Year American Community Survey 2014 and include

children under six years old with two working parents or a single working parent For the 2- to 4-year

olds the labor force participation rate is applied to 2 year olds For 3- and 4-year olds it is assumed

that 100 need licensed care to support preschool for every child so the number of

3- and 4-year olds is not discounted by labor force participation rates

(3) Not all children with working parents are assumed to need licensed care percentage assumptions are

used to calculate the number of children requiring licensed care under each age category The

remaining children are assumed to be cared for in alternate arrangements such as by family members

nannies friends and other unlicensed care For children ages 3- and 4-years old it is assumed that

they all need care in the form of preschool

(4) Data on child care supply provided by the Child Care Coordinating Council of San Mateo County (4Cs)

and Community Care Licensing Division of the California Department of Social Services (CCLD) Data is

for June 2015

(5) Demand that calculates as less than 100 means that there is greater demand than supply percent of

demand that is over 100 means supply exceeds demand

(6) Unmet demand is broken down into shortage by type of care based on the proportion of FCCHs and

child care centers spaces available in each area If an area does not have any FCCHs or centers the

unmet demand is placed in the type of care that is available in the area (eg if there are only centers

all demand goes to centers)

Source Brion Economics Inc

Prepared by Brion Economics Inc 2513-SMC NA Final Tables 61216 6122016

DRAFT REPORT

Table C-2

Labor Force Participation Rates by CityArea

San Mateo County Child Care Study - 2016

CityArea

Labor Force

Participation Rate (1)

Atherton

Belmont

Brisbane

Burlingame

Daly CityColma

East Palo Alto

Foster City

Half Moon Bay Region

Hillsborough

Menlo Park

Millbrae

Pacifica

Portola Valley

Redwood City

San Bruno

San Carlos

San Mateo

South Coast

South San Francisco

Woodside

40

77

100

65

74

71

63

69

52

69

62

78

66

69

77

72

71

54

73

56

(1) Labor force participation rates (LFPRs) are for

families with children under age six with two

working parents or a single parent who works Sources American Community Survey 2014 5-Year

Survey Brion Economics Inc

Prepared by Brion Economics Inc 2513-SMC NA Final Tables 61216 6122016

  • 2513-SMC FINAL NA Memo-61216
  • 2513-SMC NA Final Tables 61216
Page 59: Final San Mateo County Child Care Needs … Care...Future C hild Care Demand and Supply in 2025 in Daly City/Colma San Mateo County Child Care Study - 2016 Note: All footnote references

SAN BRUNO

Child Care as of 2025

No of

Providers

Under 2 Years

Old

2 to 4 Year

Olds

Total 0 to 4

Years

EXISTING DEMAND Child Care Demand

Estimated Total Children

Average LFPRAdjustment Factor

Children With Working Parents

Licensed Care Demand Factor

Resident Children Needing Licensed Care

of Total Resident Children Needing Licensed Care

Children from Non-Resident Employees Needing

Licensed Care

(1)

(2)

(3)

1189 1728

77

910 1589

37

337 1475

28 85

68 103

2917

2498

73

1812

62

171

Total Demand for Child Care Spaces

Distribution

EXISTING SUPPLY (4)

405 1578

20 80

Child Care Spaces

1983

100

Family Child Care Home Supply

Child Care Center Supply

Current Child Care Supply

Distribution

EXISTING SURPLUS(SHORTAGE)

Distribution

Percentage of Demand Met

by Existing FacilitiesSpaces

Shortage of Family Child Care Home Spaces

Shortage of Center-Based Spaces

(5)

(6)

(6)

13

15

28

122 153

26 1183

148 1336

10 90

(257) (242)

52 48

37 85

(212) (28)

(45) (214)

275

1209

1484

100

(499)

100

75

(239)

(259)

FINAL

Table B-16

Future C hild Care Demand and Supply in 2025 in San Bruno

San Mateo County Child Care Study - 2016

Note All footnote references can be found in Table C-1 at the end of this file

Sources 2010 US Census ABAG Projections 2013 2014 American Community Survey ACS Journey-to-Work data 2006-2008 and 2006-2010

Child Care Coordinating Council of San Mateo County (4Cs) Community Care Licensing Brion Economics Inc

Prepared by Brion Economics Inc 2513-SMC NA Final Tables 61216 6122016

SAN CARLOS

Child Care as of 2025

No of

Providers

Under 2 Years

Old

2 to 4 Year

Olds

Total 0 to 4

Years

EXISTING DEMAND Child Care Demand

Estimated Total Children

Average LFPRAdjustment Factor

Children With Working Parents

Licensed Care Demand Factor

Resident Children Needing Licensed Care

of Total Resident Children Needing Licensed Care

Children from Non-Resident Employees Needing

Licensed Care

(1)

(2)

(3)

778 1384

72

557 1255

37

206 1174

26 85

82 123

2162

1812

76

1380

64

205

Total Demand for Child Care Spaces

Distribution

EXISTING SUPPLY (4)

288 1297

18 82

Child Care Spaces

1585

100

Family Child Care Home Supply

Child Care Center Supply

Current Child Care Supply

Distribution

EXISTING SURPLUS(SHORTAGE)

Distribution

Percentage of Demand Met

by Existing FacilitiesSpaces

Shortage of Family Child Care Home Spaces

Shortage of Center-Based Spaces

(5)

(6)

(6)

28

14

42

73 92

76 615

149 707

17 83

(139) (590)

19 81

52 54

(68) (76)

(71) (514)

164

691

855

100

(729)

100

54

(145)

(585)

FINAL

Table B-17

Future Child Care Demand and Supply in 2025 in San Carlos

San Mateo County Child Care Study - 2016

Note All footnote references can be found in Table C-1 at the end of this file

Sources 2010 US Census ABAG Projections 2013 2014 American Community Survey ACS Journey-to-Work data 2006-2008 and 2006-2010

Child Care Coordinating Council of San Mateo County (4Cs) Community Care Licensing Brion Economics Inc

Prepared by Brion Economics Inc 2513-SMC NA Final Tables 61216 6122016

SAN MATEO

Child Care as of 2025

No of

Providers

Under 2 Years

Old

2 to 4 Year

Olds

Total 0 to 4

Years

EXISTING DEMAND Child Care Demand

Estimated Total Children

Average LFPRAdjustment Factor

Children With Working Parents

Licensed Care Demand Factor

Resident Children Needing Licensed Care

of Total Resident Children Needing Licensed Care

Children from Non-Resident Employees Needing

Licensed Care

(1)

(2)

(3)

3194 4572

71

2264 4116

37

838 3839

26 84

261 394

7766

6381

73

4677

60

656

Total Demand for Child Care Spaces

Distribution

EXISTING SUPPLY (4)

1099 4233

21 79

Child Care Spaces

5332

100

Family Child Care Home Supply

Child Care Center Supply

Current Child Care Supply

Distribution

EXISTING SURPLUS(SHORTAGE)

Distribution

Percentage of Demand Met

by Existing FacilitiesSpaces

Shortage of Family Child Care Home Spaces

Shortage of Center-Based Spaces

(5)

(6)

(6)

69

59

128

492 619

209 2577

701 3196

18 82

(398) (1037)

28 72

64 75

(279) (201)

(119) (837)

1111

2786

3897

100

(1435)

100

73

(480)

(955)

FINAL

Table B-18

Future Child Care Demand and Supply in 2025 in San Mateo

San Mateo County Child Care Study - 2016

Note All footnote references can be found in Table C-1 at the end of this file

Sources 2010 US Census ABAG Projections 2013 2014 American Community Survey ACS Journey-to-Work data 2006-2008 and 2006-2010

Child Care Coordinating Council of San Mateo County (4Cs) Community Care Licensing Brion Economics Inc

Prepared by Brion Economics Inc 2513-SMC NA Final Tables 61216 6122016

FINAL

Table B-19

Future Child Care Demand and Supply in 2025 in South Coast

San Mateo County Child Care Study - 2016

SOUTH COAST

Child Care as of 2025

No of

Providers

Under 2 Years

Old

2 to 4 Year

Olds

Total 0 to 4

Years

EXISTING DEMAND Child Care Demand

Estimated Total Children (1) 23 32 55

Average LFPRAdjustment Factor (2) 54

Children With Working Parents 12 27 40

Licensed Care Demand Factor (3) 37 77

Resident Children Needing Licensed Care 5 26 30

of Total Resident Children Needing Licensed Care 20 81 56

Children from Non-Resident Employees Needing

Licensed Care 0 0 0

Total Demand for Child Care Spaces 5 26 30

Distribution 15 85 100

EXISTING SUPPLY (4) Child Care Spaces

Family Child Care Home Supply - 0 0 0

Child Care Center Supply 2 0 54 54

Current Child Care Supply 2 - 54 54

Distribution 0 100 100

EXISTING SURPLUS(SHORTAGE) (5) 28 24

Distribution -19 119 100

Percentage of Demand Met

by Existing FacilitiesSpaces (5) 0 209 177

Shortage of Family Child Care Home Spaces (6) 0 NA 0

Shortage of Center-Based Spaces (6) (5) NA (5)

Note All footnote references can be found in Table C-1 at the end of this file

Sources 2010 US Census ABAG Projections 2013 2014 American Community Survey ACS Journey-to-Work data 2006-2008 and 2006-2010

Child Care Coordinating Council of San Mateo County (4Cs) Community Care Licensing Brion Economics Inc

Prepared by Brion Economics Inc 2513-SMC NA Final Tables 61216 6122016

SOUTH SAN FRANCISCO

Child Care as of 2025

No of

Providers

Under 2 Years

Old

2 to 4 Year

Olds

Total 0 to 4

Years

EXISTING DEMAND Child Care Demand

Estimated Total Children

Average LFPRAdjustment Factor

Children With Working Parents

Licensed Care Demand Factor

Resident Children Needing Licensed Care

of Total Resident Children Needing Licensed Care

Children from Non-Resident Employees Needing

Licensed Care

(1)

(2)

(3)

1835 2790

73

1342 2535

37

496 2362

27 85

339 512

4625

3877

74

2859

62

851

Total Demand for Child Care Spaces

Distribution

EXISTING SUPPLY (4)

835 2874

23 77

Child Care Spaces

3709

100

Family Child Care Home Supply

Child Care Center Supply

Current Child Care Supply

Distribution

EXISTING SURPLUS(SHORTAGE)

Distribution

Percentage of Demand Met

by Existing FacilitiesSpaces

Shortage of Family Child Care Home Spaces

Shortage of Center-Based Spaces

(5)

(6)

(6)

30

27

57

252 317

400 1966

652 2283

22 78

(183) (591)

24 76

78 79

(71) (82)

(113) (509)

569

2366

2935

100

(775)

100

79

(153)

(622)

FINAL

Table B-20

Future Child Care Demand and Supply in 2025 in South San Francisco

San Mateo County Child Care Study - 2016

Note All footnote references can be found in Table C-1 at the end of this file

Sources 2010 US Census ABAG Projections 2013 2014 American Community Survey ACS Journey-to-Work data 2006-2008 and 2006-2010

Child Care Coordinating Council of San Mateo County (4Cs) Community Care Licensing Brion Economics Inc

Prepared by Brion Economics Inc 2513-SMC NA Final Tables 61216 6122016

WOODSIDE

No of

Providers

Child Care as of 2025

Under 2 Years

Old

2 to 4 Year

Olds

Total 0 to 4

Years

EXISTING DEMAND Child Care Demand

Estimated Total Children

Average LFPRAdjustment Factor

Children With Working Parents

Licensed Care Demand Factor

Resident Children Needing Licensed Care

of Total Resident Children Needing Licensed Care

Children from Non-Resident Employees Needing

Licensed Care

(1)

(2)

(3)

93 165

56

51 140

37

19 132

21 80

9 13

258

192

79

152

59

22

Total Demand for Child Care Spaces

Distribution

EXISTING SUPPLY (4)

28 146

16 84

Child Care Spaces

174

100

Family Child Care Home Supply

Child Care Center Supply

Current Child Care Supply

Distribution

EXISTING SURPLUS(SHORTAGE)

Distribution

Percentage of Demand Met

by Existing FacilitiesSpaces

Shortage of Family Child Care Home Spaces

Shortage of Center-Based Spaces

(5)

(6)

(6)

1

2

3

4 5

- 103

4 108

4 96

(24) (38)

39 61

15 74

(24) (2)

0 (36)

9

103

112

100

(61)

100

65

(26)

(36)

FINAL

Table B-21

Future Child Care Demand and Supply in 2025 in Woodside

San Mateo County Child Care Study - 2016

Note All footnote references can be found in Table C-1 at the end of this file

Sources 2010 US Census ABAG Projections 2013 2014 American Community Survey ACS Journey-to-Work data 2006-2008 and 2006-2010

Child Care Coordinating Council of San Mateo County (4Cs) Community Care Licensing Brion Economics Inc

Prepared by Brion Economics Inc 2513-SMC NA Final Tables 61216 6122016

FINAL

Table C-1

Endnotes for Tables

San Mateo County Child Care Study - 2016

(1) Population by age is based on the percentage breakdown from the 2010 US Census and applied

to population estimates for 2015 using ABAGs Projections 2013 population data The ABAG data

for each area includes its Sphere of Influence and is not based on strict jurisdictional boundaries

(2) Labor force participation rates are from the 5-Year American Community Survey 2014 and include

children under six years old with two working parents or a single working parent For the 2- to 4-year

olds the labor force participation rate is applied to 2 year olds For 3- and 4-year olds it is assumed

that 100 need licensed care to support preschool for every child so the number of

3- and 4-year olds is not discounted by labor force participation rates

(3) Not all children with working parents are assumed to need licensed care percentage assumptions are

used to calculate the number of children requiring licensed care under each age category The

remaining children are assumed to be cared for in alternate arrangements such as by family members

nannies friends and other unlicensed care For children ages 3- and 4-years old it is assumed that

they all need care in the form of preschool

(4) Data on child care supply provided by the Child Care Coordinating Council of San Mateo County (4Cs)

and Community Care Licensing Division of the California Department of Social Services (CCLD) Data is

for June 2015

(5) Demand that calculates as less than 100 means that there is greater demand than supply percent of

demand that is over 100 means supply exceeds demand

(6) Unmet demand is broken down into shortage by type of care based on the proportion of FCCHs and

child care centers spaces available in each area If an area does not have any FCCHs or centers the

unmet demand is placed in the type of care that is available in the area (eg if there are only centers

all demand goes to centers)

Source Brion Economics Inc

Prepared by Brion Economics Inc 2513-SMC NA Final Tables 61216 6122016

DRAFT REPORT

Table C-2

Labor Force Participation Rates by CityArea

San Mateo County Child Care Study - 2016

CityArea

Labor Force

Participation Rate (1)

Atherton

Belmont

Brisbane

Burlingame

Daly CityColma

East Palo Alto

Foster City

Half Moon Bay Region

Hillsborough

Menlo Park

Millbrae

Pacifica

Portola Valley

Redwood City

San Bruno

San Carlos

San Mateo

South Coast

South San Francisco

Woodside

40

77

100

65

74

71

63

69

52

69

62

78

66

69

77

72

71

54

73

56

(1) Labor force participation rates (LFPRs) are for

families with children under age six with two

working parents or a single parent who works Sources American Community Survey 2014 5-Year

Survey Brion Economics Inc

Prepared by Brion Economics Inc 2513-SMC NA Final Tables 61216 6122016

  • 2513-SMC FINAL NA Memo-61216
  • 2513-SMC NA Final Tables 61216
Page 60: Final San Mateo County Child Care Needs … Care...Future C hild Care Demand and Supply in 2025 in Daly City/Colma San Mateo County Child Care Study - 2016 Note: All footnote references

SAN CARLOS

Child Care as of 2025

No of

Providers

Under 2 Years

Old

2 to 4 Year

Olds

Total 0 to 4

Years

EXISTING DEMAND Child Care Demand

Estimated Total Children

Average LFPRAdjustment Factor

Children With Working Parents

Licensed Care Demand Factor

Resident Children Needing Licensed Care

of Total Resident Children Needing Licensed Care

Children from Non-Resident Employees Needing

Licensed Care

(1)

(2)

(3)

778 1384

72

557 1255

37

206 1174

26 85

82 123

2162

1812

76

1380

64

205

Total Demand for Child Care Spaces

Distribution

EXISTING SUPPLY (4)

288 1297

18 82

Child Care Spaces

1585

100

Family Child Care Home Supply

Child Care Center Supply

Current Child Care Supply

Distribution

EXISTING SURPLUS(SHORTAGE)

Distribution

Percentage of Demand Met

by Existing FacilitiesSpaces

Shortage of Family Child Care Home Spaces

Shortage of Center-Based Spaces

(5)

(6)

(6)

28

14

42

73 92

76 615

149 707

17 83

(139) (590)

19 81

52 54

(68) (76)

(71) (514)

164

691

855

100

(729)

100

54

(145)

(585)

FINAL

Table B-17

Future Child Care Demand and Supply in 2025 in San Carlos

San Mateo County Child Care Study - 2016

Note All footnote references can be found in Table C-1 at the end of this file

Sources 2010 US Census ABAG Projections 2013 2014 American Community Survey ACS Journey-to-Work data 2006-2008 and 2006-2010

Child Care Coordinating Council of San Mateo County (4Cs) Community Care Licensing Brion Economics Inc

Prepared by Brion Economics Inc 2513-SMC NA Final Tables 61216 6122016

SAN MATEO

Child Care as of 2025

No of

Providers

Under 2 Years

Old

2 to 4 Year

Olds

Total 0 to 4

Years

EXISTING DEMAND Child Care Demand

Estimated Total Children

Average LFPRAdjustment Factor

Children With Working Parents

Licensed Care Demand Factor

Resident Children Needing Licensed Care

of Total Resident Children Needing Licensed Care

Children from Non-Resident Employees Needing

Licensed Care

(1)

(2)

(3)

3194 4572

71

2264 4116

37

838 3839

26 84

261 394

7766

6381

73

4677

60

656

Total Demand for Child Care Spaces

Distribution

EXISTING SUPPLY (4)

1099 4233

21 79

Child Care Spaces

5332

100

Family Child Care Home Supply

Child Care Center Supply

Current Child Care Supply

Distribution

EXISTING SURPLUS(SHORTAGE)

Distribution

Percentage of Demand Met

by Existing FacilitiesSpaces

Shortage of Family Child Care Home Spaces

Shortage of Center-Based Spaces

(5)

(6)

(6)

69

59

128

492 619

209 2577

701 3196

18 82

(398) (1037)

28 72

64 75

(279) (201)

(119) (837)

1111

2786

3897

100

(1435)

100

73

(480)

(955)

FINAL

Table B-18

Future Child Care Demand and Supply in 2025 in San Mateo

San Mateo County Child Care Study - 2016

Note All footnote references can be found in Table C-1 at the end of this file

Sources 2010 US Census ABAG Projections 2013 2014 American Community Survey ACS Journey-to-Work data 2006-2008 and 2006-2010

Child Care Coordinating Council of San Mateo County (4Cs) Community Care Licensing Brion Economics Inc

Prepared by Brion Economics Inc 2513-SMC NA Final Tables 61216 6122016

FINAL

Table B-19

Future Child Care Demand and Supply in 2025 in South Coast

San Mateo County Child Care Study - 2016

SOUTH COAST

Child Care as of 2025

No of

Providers

Under 2 Years

Old

2 to 4 Year

Olds

Total 0 to 4

Years

EXISTING DEMAND Child Care Demand

Estimated Total Children (1) 23 32 55

Average LFPRAdjustment Factor (2) 54

Children With Working Parents 12 27 40

Licensed Care Demand Factor (3) 37 77

Resident Children Needing Licensed Care 5 26 30

of Total Resident Children Needing Licensed Care 20 81 56

Children from Non-Resident Employees Needing

Licensed Care 0 0 0

Total Demand for Child Care Spaces 5 26 30

Distribution 15 85 100

EXISTING SUPPLY (4) Child Care Spaces

Family Child Care Home Supply - 0 0 0

Child Care Center Supply 2 0 54 54

Current Child Care Supply 2 - 54 54

Distribution 0 100 100

EXISTING SURPLUS(SHORTAGE) (5) 28 24

Distribution -19 119 100

Percentage of Demand Met

by Existing FacilitiesSpaces (5) 0 209 177

Shortage of Family Child Care Home Spaces (6) 0 NA 0

Shortage of Center-Based Spaces (6) (5) NA (5)

Note All footnote references can be found in Table C-1 at the end of this file

Sources 2010 US Census ABAG Projections 2013 2014 American Community Survey ACS Journey-to-Work data 2006-2008 and 2006-2010

Child Care Coordinating Council of San Mateo County (4Cs) Community Care Licensing Brion Economics Inc

Prepared by Brion Economics Inc 2513-SMC NA Final Tables 61216 6122016

SOUTH SAN FRANCISCO

Child Care as of 2025

No of

Providers

Under 2 Years

Old

2 to 4 Year

Olds

Total 0 to 4

Years

EXISTING DEMAND Child Care Demand

Estimated Total Children

Average LFPRAdjustment Factor

Children With Working Parents

Licensed Care Demand Factor

Resident Children Needing Licensed Care

of Total Resident Children Needing Licensed Care

Children from Non-Resident Employees Needing

Licensed Care

(1)

(2)

(3)

1835 2790

73

1342 2535

37

496 2362

27 85

339 512

4625

3877

74

2859

62

851

Total Demand for Child Care Spaces

Distribution

EXISTING SUPPLY (4)

835 2874

23 77

Child Care Spaces

3709

100

Family Child Care Home Supply

Child Care Center Supply

Current Child Care Supply

Distribution

EXISTING SURPLUS(SHORTAGE)

Distribution

Percentage of Demand Met

by Existing FacilitiesSpaces

Shortage of Family Child Care Home Spaces

Shortage of Center-Based Spaces

(5)

(6)

(6)

30

27

57

252 317

400 1966

652 2283

22 78

(183) (591)

24 76

78 79

(71) (82)

(113) (509)

569

2366

2935

100

(775)

100

79

(153)

(622)

FINAL

Table B-20

Future Child Care Demand and Supply in 2025 in South San Francisco

San Mateo County Child Care Study - 2016

Note All footnote references can be found in Table C-1 at the end of this file

Sources 2010 US Census ABAG Projections 2013 2014 American Community Survey ACS Journey-to-Work data 2006-2008 and 2006-2010

Child Care Coordinating Council of San Mateo County (4Cs) Community Care Licensing Brion Economics Inc

Prepared by Brion Economics Inc 2513-SMC NA Final Tables 61216 6122016

WOODSIDE

No of

Providers

Child Care as of 2025

Under 2 Years

Old

2 to 4 Year

Olds

Total 0 to 4

Years

EXISTING DEMAND Child Care Demand

Estimated Total Children

Average LFPRAdjustment Factor

Children With Working Parents

Licensed Care Demand Factor

Resident Children Needing Licensed Care

of Total Resident Children Needing Licensed Care

Children from Non-Resident Employees Needing

Licensed Care

(1)

(2)

(3)

93 165

56

51 140

37

19 132

21 80

9 13

258

192

79

152

59

22

Total Demand for Child Care Spaces

Distribution

EXISTING SUPPLY (4)

28 146

16 84

Child Care Spaces

174

100

Family Child Care Home Supply

Child Care Center Supply

Current Child Care Supply

Distribution

EXISTING SURPLUS(SHORTAGE)

Distribution

Percentage of Demand Met

by Existing FacilitiesSpaces

Shortage of Family Child Care Home Spaces

Shortage of Center-Based Spaces

(5)

(6)

(6)

1

2

3

4 5

- 103

4 108

4 96

(24) (38)

39 61

15 74

(24) (2)

0 (36)

9

103

112

100

(61)

100

65

(26)

(36)

FINAL

Table B-21

Future Child Care Demand and Supply in 2025 in Woodside

San Mateo County Child Care Study - 2016

Note All footnote references can be found in Table C-1 at the end of this file

Sources 2010 US Census ABAG Projections 2013 2014 American Community Survey ACS Journey-to-Work data 2006-2008 and 2006-2010

Child Care Coordinating Council of San Mateo County (4Cs) Community Care Licensing Brion Economics Inc

Prepared by Brion Economics Inc 2513-SMC NA Final Tables 61216 6122016

FINAL

Table C-1

Endnotes for Tables

San Mateo County Child Care Study - 2016

(1) Population by age is based on the percentage breakdown from the 2010 US Census and applied

to population estimates for 2015 using ABAGs Projections 2013 population data The ABAG data

for each area includes its Sphere of Influence and is not based on strict jurisdictional boundaries

(2) Labor force participation rates are from the 5-Year American Community Survey 2014 and include

children under six years old with two working parents or a single working parent For the 2- to 4-year

olds the labor force participation rate is applied to 2 year olds For 3- and 4-year olds it is assumed

that 100 need licensed care to support preschool for every child so the number of

3- and 4-year olds is not discounted by labor force participation rates

(3) Not all children with working parents are assumed to need licensed care percentage assumptions are

used to calculate the number of children requiring licensed care under each age category The

remaining children are assumed to be cared for in alternate arrangements such as by family members

nannies friends and other unlicensed care For children ages 3- and 4-years old it is assumed that

they all need care in the form of preschool

(4) Data on child care supply provided by the Child Care Coordinating Council of San Mateo County (4Cs)

and Community Care Licensing Division of the California Department of Social Services (CCLD) Data is

for June 2015

(5) Demand that calculates as less than 100 means that there is greater demand than supply percent of

demand that is over 100 means supply exceeds demand

(6) Unmet demand is broken down into shortage by type of care based on the proportion of FCCHs and

child care centers spaces available in each area If an area does not have any FCCHs or centers the

unmet demand is placed in the type of care that is available in the area (eg if there are only centers

all demand goes to centers)

Source Brion Economics Inc

Prepared by Brion Economics Inc 2513-SMC NA Final Tables 61216 6122016

DRAFT REPORT

Table C-2

Labor Force Participation Rates by CityArea

San Mateo County Child Care Study - 2016

CityArea

Labor Force

Participation Rate (1)

Atherton

Belmont

Brisbane

Burlingame

Daly CityColma

East Palo Alto

Foster City

Half Moon Bay Region

Hillsborough

Menlo Park

Millbrae

Pacifica

Portola Valley

Redwood City

San Bruno

San Carlos

San Mateo

South Coast

South San Francisco

Woodside

40

77

100

65

74

71

63

69

52

69

62

78

66

69

77

72

71

54

73

56

(1) Labor force participation rates (LFPRs) are for

families with children under age six with two

working parents or a single parent who works Sources American Community Survey 2014 5-Year

Survey Brion Economics Inc

Prepared by Brion Economics Inc 2513-SMC NA Final Tables 61216 6122016

  • 2513-SMC FINAL NA Memo-61216
  • 2513-SMC NA Final Tables 61216
Page 61: Final San Mateo County Child Care Needs … Care...Future C hild Care Demand and Supply in 2025 in Daly City/Colma San Mateo County Child Care Study - 2016 Note: All footnote references

SAN MATEO

Child Care as of 2025

No of

Providers

Under 2 Years

Old

2 to 4 Year

Olds

Total 0 to 4

Years

EXISTING DEMAND Child Care Demand

Estimated Total Children

Average LFPRAdjustment Factor

Children With Working Parents

Licensed Care Demand Factor

Resident Children Needing Licensed Care

of Total Resident Children Needing Licensed Care

Children from Non-Resident Employees Needing

Licensed Care

(1)

(2)

(3)

3194 4572

71

2264 4116

37

838 3839

26 84

261 394

7766

6381

73

4677

60

656

Total Demand for Child Care Spaces

Distribution

EXISTING SUPPLY (4)

1099 4233

21 79

Child Care Spaces

5332

100

Family Child Care Home Supply

Child Care Center Supply

Current Child Care Supply

Distribution

EXISTING SURPLUS(SHORTAGE)

Distribution

Percentage of Demand Met

by Existing FacilitiesSpaces

Shortage of Family Child Care Home Spaces

Shortage of Center-Based Spaces

(5)

(6)

(6)

69

59

128

492 619

209 2577

701 3196

18 82

(398) (1037)

28 72

64 75

(279) (201)

(119) (837)

1111

2786

3897

100

(1435)

100

73

(480)

(955)

FINAL

Table B-18

Future Child Care Demand and Supply in 2025 in San Mateo

San Mateo County Child Care Study - 2016

Note All footnote references can be found in Table C-1 at the end of this file

Sources 2010 US Census ABAG Projections 2013 2014 American Community Survey ACS Journey-to-Work data 2006-2008 and 2006-2010

Child Care Coordinating Council of San Mateo County (4Cs) Community Care Licensing Brion Economics Inc

Prepared by Brion Economics Inc 2513-SMC NA Final Tables 61216 6122016

FINAL

Table B-19

Future Child Care Demand and Supply in 2025 in South Coast

San Mateo County Child Care Study - 2016

SOUTH COAST

Child Care as of 2025

No of

Providers

Under 2 Years

Old

2 to 4 Year

Olds

Total 0 to 4

Years

EXISTING DEMAND Child Care Demand

Estimated Total Children (1) 23 32 55

Average LFPRAdjustment Factor (2) 54

Children With Working Parents 12 27 40

Licensed Care Demand Factor (3) 37 77

Resident Children Needing Licensed Care 5 26 30

of Total Resident Children Needing Licensed Care 20 81 56

Children from Non-Resident Employees Needing

Licensed Care 0 0 0

Total Demand for Child Care Spaces 5 26 30

Distribution 15 85 100

EXISTING SUPPLY (4) Child Care Spaces

Family Child Care Home Supply - 0 0 0

Child Care Center Supply 2 0 54 54

Current Child Care Supply 2 - 54 54

Distribution 0 100 100

EXISTING SURPLUS(SHORTAGE) (5) 28 24

Distribution -19 119 100

Percentage of Demand Met

by Existing FacilitiesSpaces (5) 0 209 177

Shortage of Family Child Care Home Spaces (6) 0 NA 0

Shortage of Center-Based Spaces (6) (5) NA (5)

Note All footnote references can be found in Table C-1 at the end of this file

Sources 2010 US Census ABAG Projections 2013 2014 American Community Survey ACS Journey-to-Work data 2006-2008 and 2006-2010

Child Care Coordinating Council of San Mateo County (4Cs) Community Care Licensing Brion Economics Inc

Prepared by Brion Economics Inc 2513-SMC NA Final Tables 61216 6122016

SOUTH SAN FRANCISCO

Child Care as of 2025

No of

Providers

Under 2 Years

Old

2 to 4 Year

Olds

Total 0 to 4

Years

EXISTING DEMAND Child Care Demand

Estimated Total Children

Average LFPRAdjustment Factor

Children With Working Parents

Licensed Care Demand Factor

Resident Children Needing Licensed Care

of Total Resident Children Needing Licensed Care

Children from Non-Resident Employees Needing

Licensed Care

(1)

(2)

(3)

1835 2790

73

1342 2535

37

496 2362

27 85

339 512

4625

3877

74

2859

62

851

Total Demand for Child Care Spaces

Distribution

EXISTING SUPPLY (4)

835 2874

23 77

Child Care Spaces

3709

100

Family Child Care Home Supply

Child Care Center Supply

Current Child Care Supply

Distribution

EXISTING SURPLUS(SHORTAGE)

Distribution

Percentage of Demand Met

by Existing FacilitiesSpaces

Shortage of Family Child Care Home Spaces

Shortage of Center-Based Spaces

(5)

(6)

(6)

30

27

57

252 317

400 1966

652 2283

22 78

(183) (591)

24 76

78 79

(71) (82)

(113) (509)

569

2366

2935

100

(775)

100

79

(153)

(622)

FINAL

Table B-20

Future Child Care Demand and Supply in 2025 in South San Francisco

San Mateo County Child Care Study - 2016

Note All footnote references can be found in Table C-1 at the end of this file

Sources 2010 US Census ABAG Projections 2013 2014 American Community Survey ACS Journey-to-Work data 2006-2008 and 2006-2010

Child Care Coordinating Council of San Mateo County (4Cs) Community Care Licensing Brion Economics Inc

Prepared by Brion Economics Inc 2513-SMC NA Final Tables 61216 6122016

WOODSIDE

No of

Providers

Child Care as of 2025

Under 2 Years

Old

2 to 4 Year

Olds

Total 0 to 4

Years

EXISTING DEMAND Child Care Demand

Estimated Total Children

Average LFPRAdjustment Factor

Children With Working Parents

Licensed Care Demand Factor

Resident Children Needing Licensed Care

of Total Resident Children Needing Licensed Care

Children from Non-Resident Employees Needing

Licensed Care

(1)

(2)

(3)

93 165

56

51 140

37

19 132

21 80

9 13

258

192

79

152

59

22

Total Demand for Child Care Spaces

Distribution

EXISTING SUPPLY (4)

28 146

16 84

Child Care Spaces

174

100

Family Child Care Home Supply

Child Care Center Supply

Current Child Care Supply

Distribution

EXISTING SURPLUS(SHORTAGE)

Distribution

Percentage of Demand Met

by Existing FacilitiesSpaces

Shortage of Family Child Care Home Spaces

Shortage of Center-Based Spaces

(5)

(6)

(6)

1

2

3

4 5

- 103

4 108

4 96

(24) (38)

39 61

15 74

(24) (2)

0 (36)

9

103

112

100

(61)

100

65

(26)

(36)

FINAL

Table B-21

Future Child Care Demand and Supply in 2025 in Woodside

San Mateo County Child Care Study - 2016

Note All footnote references can be found in Table C-1 at the end of this file

Sources 2010 US Census ABAG Projections 2013 2014 American Community Survey ACS Journey-to-Work data 2006-2008 and 2006-2010

Child Care Coordinating Council of San Mateo County (4Cs) Community Care Licensing Brion Economics Inc

Prepared by Brion Economics Inc 2513-SMC NA Final Tables 61216 6122016

FINAL

Table C-1

Endnotes for Tables

San Mateo County Child Care Study - 2016

(1) Population by age is based on the percentage breakdown from the 2010 US Census and applied

to population estimates for 2015 using ABAGs Projections 2013 population data The ABAG data

for each area includes its Sphere of Influence and is not based on strict jurisdictional boundaries

(2) Labor force participation rates are from the 5-Year American Community Survey 2014 and include

children under six years old with two working parents or a single working parent For the 2- to 4-year

olds the labor force participation rate is applied to 2 year olds For 3- and 4-year olds it is assumed

that 100 need licensed care to support preschool for every child so the number of

3- and 4-year olds is not discounted by labor force participation rates

(3) Not all children with working parents are assumed to need licensed care percentage assumptions are

used to calculate the number of children requiring licensed care under each age category The

remaining children are assumed to be cared for in alternate arrangements such as by family members

nannies friends and other unlicensed care For children ages 3- and 4-years old it is assumed that

they all need care in the form of preschool

(4) Data on child care supply provided by the Child Care Coordinating Council of San Mateo County (4Cs)

and Community Care Licensing Division of the California Department of Social Services (CCLD) Data is

for June 2015

(5) Demand that calculates as less than 100 means that there is greater demand than supply percent of

demand that is over 100 means supply exceeds demand

(6) Unmet demand is broken down into shortage by type of care based on the proportion of FCCHs and

child care centers spaces available in each area If an area does not have any FCCHs or centers the

unmet demand is placed in the type of care that is available in the area (eg if there are only centers

all demand goes to centers)

Source Brion Economics Inc

Prepared by Brion Economics Inc 2513-SMC NA Final Tables 61216 6122016

DRAFT REPORT

Table C-2

Labor Force Participation Rates by CityArea

San Mateo County Child Care Study - 2016

CityArea

Labor Force

Participation Rate (1)

Atherton

Belmont

Brisbane

Burlingame

Daly CityColma

East Palo Alto

Foster City

Half Moon Bay Region

Hillsborough

Menlo Park

Millbrae

Pacifica

Portola Valley

Redwood City

San Bruno

San Carlos

San Mateo

South Coast

South San Francisco

Woodside

40

77

100

65

74

71

63

69

52

69

62

78

66

69

77

72

71

54

73

56

(1) Labor force participation rates (LFPRs) are for

families with children under age six with two

working parents or a single parent who works Sources American Community Survey 2014 5-Year

Survey Brion Economics Inc

Prepared by Brion Economics Inc 2513-SMC NA Final Tables 61216 6122016

  • 2513-SMC FINAL NA Memo-61216
  • 2513-SMC NA Final Tables 61216
Page 62: Final San Mateo County Child Care Needs … Care...Future C hild Care Demand and Supply in 2025 in Daly City/Colma San Mateo County Child Care Study - 2016 Note: All footnote references

FINAL

Table B-19

Future Child Care Demand and Supply in 2025 in South Coast

San Mateo County Child Care Study - 2016

SOUTH COAST

Child Care as of 2025

No of

Providers

Under 2 Years

Old

2 to 4 Year

Olds

Total 0 to 4

Years

EXISTING DEMAND Child Care Demand

Estimated Total Children (1) 23 32 55

Average LFPRAdjustment Factor (2) 54

Children With Working Parents 12 27 40

Licensed Care Demand Factor (3) 37 77

Resident Children Needing Licensed Care 5 26 30

of Total Resident Children Needing Licensed Care 20 81 56

Children from Non-Resident Employees Needing

Licensed Care 0 0 0

Total Demand for Child Care Spaces 5 26 30

Distribution 15 85 100

EXISTING SUPPLY (4) Child Care Spaces

Family Child Care Home Supply - 0 0 0

Child Care Center Supply 2 0 54 54

Current Child Care Supply 2 - 54 54

Distribution 0 100 100

EXISTING SURPLUS(SHORTAGE) (5) 28 24

Distribution -19 119 100

Percentage of Demand Met

by Existing FacilitiesSpaces (5) 0 209 177

Shortage of Family Child Care Home Spaces (6) 0 NA 0

Shortage of Center-Based Spaces (6) (5) NA (5)

Note All footnote references can be found in Table C-1 at the end of this file

Sources 2010 US Census ABAG Projections 2013 2014 American Community Survey ACS Journey-to-Work data 2006-2008 and 2006-2010

Child Care Coordinating Council of San Mateo County (4Cs) Community Care Licensing Brion Economics Inc

Prepared by Brion Economics Inc 2513-SMC NA Final Tables 61216 6122016

SOUTH SAN FRANCISCO

Child Care as of 2025

No of

Providers

Under 2 Years

Old

2 to 4 Year

Olds

Total 0 to 4

Years

EXISTING DEMAND Child Care Demand

Estimated Total Children

Average LFPRAdjustment Factor

Children With Working Parents

Licensed Care Demand Factor

Resident Children Needing Licensed Care

of Total Resident Children Needing Licensed Care

Children from Non-Resident Employees Needing

Licensed Care

(1)

(2)

(3)

1835 2790

73

1342 2535

37

496 2362

27 85

339 512

4625

3877

74

2859

62

851

Total Demand for Child Care Spaces

Distribution

EXISTING SUPPLY (4)

835 2874

23 77

Child Care Spaces

3709

100

Family Child Care Home Supply

Child Care Center Supply

Current Child Care Supply

Distribution

EXISTING SURPLUS(SHORTAGE)

Distribution

Percentage of Demand Met

by Existing FacilitiesSpaces

Shortage of Family Child Care Home Spaces

Shortage of Center-Based Spaces

(5)

(6)

(6)

30

27

57

252 317

400 1966

652 2283

22 78

(183) (591)

24 76

78 79

(71) (82)

(113) (509)

569

2366

2935

100

(775)

100

79

(153)

(622)

FINAL

Table B-20

Future Child Care Demand and Supply in 2025 in South San Francisco

San Mateo County Child Care Study - 2016

Note All footnote references can be found in Table C-1 at the end of this file

Sources 2010 US Census ABAG Projections 2013 2014 American Community Survey ACS Journey-to-Work data 2006-2008 and 2006-2010

Child Care Coordinating Council of San Mateo County (4Cs) Community Care Licensing Brion Economics Inc

Prepared by Brion Economics Inc 2513-SMC NA Final Tables 61216 6122016

WOODSIDE

No of

Providers

Child Care as of 2025

Under 2 Years

Old

2 to 4 Year

Olds

Total 0 to 4

Years

EXISTING DEMAND Child Care Demand

Estimated Total Children

Average LFPRAdjustment Factor

Children With Working Parents

Licensed Care Demand Factor

Resident Children Needing Licensed Care

of Total Resident Children Needing Licensed Care

Children from Non-Resident Employees Needing

Licensed Care

(1)

(2)

(3)

93 165

56

51 140

37

19 132

21 80

9 13

258

192

79

152

59

22

Total Demand for Child Care Spaces

Distribution

EXISTING SUPPLY (4)

28 146

16 84

Child Care Spaces

174

100

Family Child Care Home Supply

Child Care Center Supply

Current Child Care Supply

Distribution

EXISTING SURPLUS(SHORTAGE)

Distribution

Percentage of Demand Met

by Existing FacilitiesSpaces

Shortage of Family Child Care Home Spaces

Shortage of Center-Based Spaces

(5)

(6)

(6)

1

2

3

4 5

- 103

4 108

4 96

(24) (38)

39 61

15 74

(24) (2)

0 (36)

9

103

112

100

(61)

100

65

(26)

(36)

FINAL

Table B-21

Future Child Care Demand and Supply in 2025 in Woodside

San Mateo County Child Care Study - 2016

Note All footnote references can be found in Table C-1 at the end of this file

Sources 2010 US Census ABAG Projections 2013 2014 American Community Survey ACS Journey-to-Work data 2006-2008 and 2006-2010

Child Care Coordinating Council of San Mateo County (4Cs) Community Care Licensing Brion Economics Inc

Prepared by Brion Economics Inc 2513-SMC NA Final Tables 61216 6122016

FINAL

Table C-1

Endnotes for Tables

San Mateo County Child Care Study - 2016

(1) Population by age is based on the percentage breakdown from the 2010 US Census and applied

to population estimates for 2015 using ABAGs Projections 2013 population data The ABAG data

for each area includes its Sphere of Influence and is not based on strict jurisdictional boundaries

(2) Labor force participation rates are from the 5-Year American Community Survey 2014 and include

children under six years old with two working parents or a single working parent For the 2- to 4-year

olds the labor force participation rate is applied to 2 year olds For 3- and 4-year olds it is assumed

that 100 need licensed care to support preschool for every child so the number of

3- and 4-year olds is not discounted by labor force participation rates

(3) Not all children with working parents are assumed to need licensed care percentage assumptions are

used to calculate the number of children requiring licensed care under each age category The

remaining children are assumed to be cared for in alternate arrangements such as by family members

nannies friends and other unlicensed care For children ages 3- and 4-years old it is assumed that

they all need care in the form of preschool

(4) Data on child care supply provided by the Child Care Coordinating Council of San Mateo County (4Cs)

and Community Care Licensing Division of the California Department of Social Services (CCLD) Data is

for June 2015

(5) Demand that calculates as less than 100 means that there is greater demand than supply percent of

demand that is over 100 means supply exceeds demand

(6) Unmet demand is broken down into shortage by type of care based on the proportion of FCCHs and

child care centers spaces available in each area If an area does not have any FCCHs or centers the

unmet demand is placed in the type of care that is available in the area (eg if there are only centers

all demand goes to centers)

Source Brion Economics Inc

Prepared by Brion Economics Inc 2513-SMC NA Final Tables 61216 6122016

DRAFT REPORT

Table C-2

Labor Force Participation Rates by CityArea

San Mateo County Child Care Study - 2016

CityArea

Labor Force

Participation Rate (1)

Atherton

Belmont

Brisbane

Burlingame

Daly CityColma

East Palo Alto

Foster City

Half Moon Bay Region

Hillsborough

Menlo Park

Millbrae

Pacifica

Portola Valley

Redwood City

San Bruno

San Carlos

San Mateo

South Coast

South San Francisco

Woodside

40

77

100

65

74

71

63

69

52

69

62

78

66

69

77

72

71

54

73

56

(1) Labor force participation rates (LFPRs) are for

families with children under age six with two

working parents or a single parent who works Sources American Community Survey 2014 5-Year

Survey Brion Economics Inc

Prepared by Brion Economics Inc 2513-SMC NA Final Tables 61216 6122016

  • 2513-SMC FINAL NA Memo-61216
  • 2513-SMC NA Final Tables 61216
Page 63: Final San Mateo County Child Care Needs … Care...Future C hild Care Demand and Supply in 2025 in Daly City/Colma San Mateo County Child Care Study - 2016 Note: All footnote references

SOUTH SAN FRANCISCO

Child Care as of 2025

No of

Providers

Under 2 Years

Old

2 to 4 Year

Olds

Total 0 to 4

Years

EXISTING DEMAND Child Care Demand

Estimated Total Children

Average LFPRAdjustment Factor

Children With Working Parents

Licensed Care Demand Factor

Resident Children Needing Licensed Care

of Total Resident Children Needing Licensed Care

Children from Non-Resident Employees Needing

Licensed Care

(1)

(2)

(3)

1835 2790

73

1342 2535

37

496 2362

27 85

339 512

4625

3877

74

2859

62

851

Total Demand for Child Care Spaces

Distribution

EXISTING SUPPLY (4)

835 2874

23 77

Child Care Spaces

3709

100

Family Child Care Home Supply

Child Care Center Supply

Current Child Care Supply

Distribution

EXISTING SURPLUS(SHORTAGE)

Distribution

Percentage of Demand Met

by Existing FacilitiesSpaces

Shortage of Family Child Care Home Spaces

Shortage of Center-Based Spaces

(5)

(6)

(6)

30

27

57

252 317

400 1966

652 2283

22 78

(183) (591)

24 76

78 79

(71) (82)

(113) (509)

569

2366

2935

100

(775)

100

79

(153)

(622)

FINAL

Table B-20

Future Child Care Demand and Supply in 2025 in South San Francisco

San Mateo County Child Care Study - 2016

Note All footnote references can be found in Table C-1 at the end of this file

Sources 2010 US Census ABAG Projections 2013 2014 American Community Survey ACS Journey-to-Work data 2006-2008 and 2006-2010

Child Care Coordinating Council of San Mateo County (4Cs) Community Care Licensing Brion Economics Inc

Prepared by Brion Economics Inc 2513-SMC NA Final Tables 61216 6122016

WOODSIDE

No of

Providers

Child Care as of 2025

Under 2 Years

Old

2 to 4 Year

Olds

Total 0 to 4

Years

EXISTING DEMAND Child Care Demand

Estimated Total Children

Average LFPRAdjustment Factor

Children With Working Parents

Licensed Care Demand Factor

Resident Children Needing Licensed Care

of Total Resident Children Needing Licensed Care

Children from Non-Resident Employees Needing

Licensed Care

(1)

(2)

(3)

93 165

56

51 140

37

19 132

21 80

9 13

258

192

79

152

59

22

Total Demand for Child Care Spaces

Distribution

EXISTING SUPPLY (4)

28 146

16 84

Child Care Spaces

174

100

Family Child Care Home Supply

Child Care Center Supply

Current Child Care Supply

Distribution

EXISTING SURPLUS(SHORTAGE)

Distribution

Percentage of Demand Met

by Existing FacilitiesSpaces

Shortage of Family Child Care Home Spaces

Shortage of Center-Based Spaces

(5)

(6)

(6)

1

2

3

4 5

- 103

4 108

4 96

(24) (38)

39 61

15 74

(24) (2)

0 (36)

9

103

112

100

(61)

100

65

(26)

(36)

FINAL

Table B-21

Future Child Care Demand and Supply in 2025 in Woodside

San Mateo County Child Care Study - 2016

Note All footnote references can be found in Table C-1 at the end of this file

Sources 2010 US Census ABAG Projections 2013 2014 American Community Survey ACS Journey-to-Work data 2006-2008 and 2006-2010

Child Care Coordinating Council of San Mateo County (4Cs) Community Care Licensing Brion Economics Inc

Prepared by Brion Economics Inc 2513-SMC NA Final Tables 61216 6122016

FINAL

Table C-1

Endnotes for Tables

San Mateo County Child Care Study - 2016

(1) Population by age is based on the percentage breakdown from the 2010 US Census and applied

to population estimates for 2015 using ABAGs Projections 2013 population data The ABAG data

for each area includes its Sphere of Influence and is not based on strict jurisdictional boundaries

(2) Labor force participation rates are from the 5-Year American Community Survey 2014 and include

children under six years old with two working parents or a single working parent For the 2- to 4-year

olds the labor force participation rate is applied to 2 year olds For 3- and 4-year olds it is assumed

that 100 need licensed care to support preschool for every child so the number of

3- and 4-year olds is not discounted by labor force participation rates

(3) Not all children with working parents are assumed to need licensed care percentage assumptions are

used to calculate the number of children requiring licensed care under each age category The

remaining children are assumed to be cared for in alternate arrangements such as by family members

nannies friends and other unlicensed care For children ages 3- and 4-years old it is assumed that

they all need care in the form of preschool

(4) Data on child care supply provided by the Child Care Coordinating Council of San Mateo County (4Cs)

and Community Care Licensing Division of the California Department of Social Services (CCLD) Data is

for June 2015

(5) Demand that calculates as less than 100 means that there is greater demand than supply percent of

demand that is over 100 means supply exceeds demand

(6) Unmet demand is broken down into shortage by type of care based on the proportion of FCCHs and

child care centers spaces available in each area If an area does not have any FCCHs or centers the

unmet demand is placed in the type of care that is available in the area (eg if there are only centers

all demand goes to centers)

Source Brion Economics Inc

Prepared by Brion Economics Inc 2513-SMC NA Final Tables 61216 6122016

DRAFT REPORT

Table C-2

Labor Force Participation Rates by CityArea

San Mateo County Child Care Study - 2016

CityArea

Labor Force

Participation Rate (1)

Atherton

Belmont

Brisbane

Burlingame

Daly CityColma

East Palo Alto

Foster City

Half Moon Bay Region

Hillsborough

Menlo Park

Millbrae

Pacifica

Portola Valley

Redwood City

San Bruno

San Carlos

San Mateo

South Coast

South San Francisco

Woodside

40

77

100

65

74

71

63

69

52

69

62

78

66

69

77

72

71

54

73

56

(1) Labor force participation rates (LFPRs) are for

families with children under age six with two

working parents or a single parent who works Sources American Community Survey 2014 5-Year

Survey Brion Economics Inc

Prepared by Brion Economics Inc 2513-SMC NA Final Tables 61216 6122016

  • 2513-SMC FINAL NA Memo-61216
  • 2513-SMC NA Final Tables 61216
Page 64: Final San Mateo County Child Care Needs … Care...Future C hild Care Demand and Supply in 2025 in Daly City/Colma San Mateo County Child Care Study - 2016 Note: All footnote references

WOODSIDE

No of

Providers

Child Care as of 2025

Under 2 Years

Old

2 to 4 Year

Olds

Total 0 to 4

Years

EXISTING DEMAND Child Care Demand

Estimated Total Children

Average LFPRAdjustment Factor

Children With Working Parents

Licensed Care Demand Factor

Resident Children Needing Licensed Care

of Total Resident Children Needing Licensed Care

Children from Non-Resident Employees Needing

Licensed Care

(1)

(2)

(3)

93 165

56

51 140

37

19 132

21 80

9 13

258

192

79

152

59

22

Total Demand for Child Care Spaces

Distribution

EXISTING SUPPLY (4)

28 146

16 84

Child Care Spaces

174

100

Family Child Care Home Supply

Child Care Center Supply

Current Child Care Supply

Distribution

EXISTING SURPLUS(SHORTAGE)

Distribution

Percentage of Demand Met

by Existing FacilitiesSpaces

Shortage of Family Child Care Home Spaces

Shortage of Center-Based Spaces

(5)

(6)

(6)

1

2

3

4 5

- 103

4 108

4 96

(24) (38)

39 61

15 74

(24) (2)

0 (36)

9

103

112

100

(61)

100

65

(26)

(36)

FINAL

Table B-21

Future Child Care Demand and Supply in 2025 in Woodside

San Mateo County Child Care Study - 2016

Note All footnote references can be found in Table C-1 at the end of this file

Sources 2010 US Census ABAG Projections 2013 2014 American Community Survey ACS Journey-to-Work data 2006-2008 and 2006-2010

Child Care Coordinating Council of San Mateo County (4Cs) Community Care Licensing Brion Economics Inc

Prepared by Brion Economics Inc 2513-SMC NA Final Tables 61216 6122016

FINAL

Table C-1

Endnotes for Tables

San Mateo County Child Care Study - 2016

(1) Population by age is based on the percentage breakdown from the 2010 US Census and applied

to population estimates for 2015 using ABAGs Projections 2013 population data The ABAG data

for each area includes its Sphere of Influence and is not based on strict jurisdictional boundaries

(2) Labor force participation rates are from the 5-Year American Community Survey 2014 and include

children under six years old with two working parents or a single working parent For the 2- to 4-year

olds the labor force participation rate is applied to 2 year olds For 3- and 4-year olds it is assumed

that 100 need licensed care to support preschool for every child so the number of

3- and 4-year olds is not discounted by labor force participation rates

(3) Not all children with working parents are assumed to need licensed care percentage assumptions are

used to calculate the number of children requiring licensed care under each age category The

remaining children are assumed to be cared for in alternate arrangements such as by family members

nannies friends and other unlicensed care For children ages 3- and 4-years old it is assumed that

they all need care in the form of preschool

(4) Data on child care supply provided by the Child Care Coordinating Council of San Mateo County (4Cs)

and Community Care Licensing Division of the California Department of Social Services (CCLD) Data is

for June 2015

(5) Demand that calculates as less than 100 means that there is greater demand than supply percent of

demand that is over 100 means supply exceeds demand

(6) Unmet demand is broken down into shortage by type of care based on the proportion of FCCHs and

child care centers spaces available in each area If an area does not have any FCCHs or centers the

unmet demand is placed in the type of care that is available in the area (eg if there are only centers

all demand goes to centers)

Source Brion Economics Inc

Prepared by Brion Economics Inc 2513-SMC NA Final Tables 61216 6122016

DRAFT REPORT

Table C-2

Labor Force Participation Rates by CityArea

San Mateo County Child Care Study - 2016

CityArea

Labor Force

Participation Rate (1)

Atherton

Belmont

Brisbane

Burlingame

Daly CityColma

East Palo Alto

Foster City

Half Moon Bay Region

Hillsborough

Menlo Park

Millbrae

Pacifica

Portola Valley

Redwood City

San Bruno

San Carlos

San Mateo

South Coast

South San Francisco

Woodside

40

77

100

65

74

71

63

69

52

69

62

78

66

69

77

72

71

54

73

56

(1) Labor force participation rates (LFPRs) are for

families with children under age six with two

working parents or a single parent who works Sources American Community Survey 2014 5-Year

Survey Brion Economics Inc

Prepared by Brion Economics Inc 2513-SMC NA Final Tables 61216 6122016

  • 2513-SMC FINAL NA Memo-61216
  • 2513-SMC NA Final Tables 61216
Page 65: Final San Mateo County Child Care Needs … Care...Future C hild Care Demand and Supply in 2025 in Daly City/Colma San Mateo County Child Care Study - 2016 Note: All footnote references

FINAL

Table C-1

Endnotes for Tables

San Mateo County Child Care Study - 2016

(1) Population by age is based on the percentage breakdown from the 2010 US Census and applied

to population estimates for 2015 using ABAGs Projections 2013 population data The ABAG data

for each area includes its Sphere of Influence and is not based on strict jurisdictional boundaries

(2) Labor force participation rates are from the 5-Year American Community Survey 2014 and include

children under six years old with two working parents or a single working parent For the 2- to 4-year

olds the labor force participation rate is applied to 2 year olds For 3- and 4-year olds it is assumed

that 100 need licensed care to support preschool for every child so the number of

3- and 4-year olds is not discounted by labor force participation rates

(3) Not all children with working parents are assumed to need licensed care percentage assumptions are

used to calculate the number of children requiring licensed care under each age category The

remaining children are assumed to be cared for in alternate arrangements such as by family members

nannies friends and other unlicensed care For children ages 3- and 4-years old it is assumed that

they all need care in the form of preschool

(4) Data on child care supply provided by the Child Care Coordinating Council of San Mateo County (4Cs)

and Community Care Licensing Division of the California Department of Social Services (CCLD) Data is

for June 2015

(5) Demand that calculates as less than 100 means that there is greater demand than supply percent of

demand that is over 100 means supply exceeds demand

(6) Unmet demand is broken down into shortage by type of care based on the proportion of FCCHs and

child care centers spaces available in each area If an area does not have any FCCHs or centers the

unmet demand is placed in the type of care that is available in the area (eg if there are only centers

all demand goes to centers)

Source Brion Economics Inc

Prepared by Brion Economics Inc 2513-SMC NA Final Tables 61216 6122016

DRAFT REPORT

Table C-2

Labor Force Participation Rates by CityArea

San Mateo County Child Care Study - 2016

CityArea

Labor Force

Participation Rate (1)

Atherton

Belmont

Brisbane

Burlingame

Daly CityColma

East Palo Alto

Foster City

Half Moon Bay Region

Hillsborough

Menlo Park

Millbrae

Pacifica

Portola Valley

Redwood City

San Bruno

San Carlos

San Mateo

South Coast

South San Francisco

Woodside

40

77

100

65

74

71

63

69

52

69

62

78

66

69

77

72

71

54

73

56

(1) Labor force participation rates (LFPRs) are for

families with children under age six with two

working parents or a single parent who works Sources American Community Survey 2014 5-Year

Survey Brion Economics Inc

Prepared by Brion Economics Inc 2513-SMC NA Final Tables 61216 6122016

  • 2513-SMC FINAL NA Memo-61216
  • 2513-SMC NA Final Tables 61216
Page 66: Final San Mateo County Child Care Needs … Care...Future C hild Care Demand and Supply in 2025 in Daly City/Colma San Mateo County Child Care Study - 2016 Note: All footnote references

DRAFT REPORT

Table C-2

Labor Force Participation Rates by CityArea

San Mateo County Child Care Study - 2016

CityArea

Labor Force

Participation Rate (1)

Atherton

Belmont

Brisbane

Burlingame

Daly CityColma

East Palo Alto

Foster City

Half Moon Bay Region

Hillsborough

Menlo Park

Millbrae

Pacifica

Portola Valley

Redwood City

San Bruno

San Carlos

San Mateo

South Coast

South San Francisco

Woodside

40

77

100

65

74

71

63

69

52

69

62

78

66

69

77

72

71

54

73

56

(1) Labor force participation rates (LFPRs) are for

families with children under age six with two

working parents or a single parent who works Sources American Community Survey 2014 5-Year

Survey Brion Economics Inc

Prepared by Brion Economics Inc 2513-SMC NA Final Tables 61216 6122016

  • 2513-SMC FINAL NA Memo-61216
  • 2513-SMC NA Final Tables 61216