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    ASSESSING THE BASIS FOR TEA PARTY SUPPORT:

    SOCIAL IDENTITY,POLITICAL PREFERENCES OR SPECIFIC ATTITUDES

    Clint SwiftUniversity of Missouri

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    INTRODUCTION:

    There are two prominent schools of thought on what makes for the basis of partisan

    attachment. The first views partisan attachment as a rational choice based on policy

    preferences (Downs 1957; Fiorina 1981; Abramowitz and Saunders 2006). The other, in

    line with Campbell et al (1960), eschews a deliberative process rooted in preferences in

    favor of an explanation that takes partisanship as deeply rooted in social identity (Green,

    Palmquist and Schickler 2002). The rise of the Tea Party since the 2008 presidential

    election provides us with an interesting opportunity to expand our understanding of what

    leads individuals to support relevant political organizations with explicit electoral

    aspirations.

    The question that this paper seeks to address expands upon the literature

    mentioned above by attempting to identify the antecedents to political support for the Tea

    Party. The social identity hypothesis of partisanship advanced by Green, Palmquist and

    Schickler (2002) suggests that individuals decide which party to support based on the

    kinds of social groups that they perceive to be associated with the parties. They then select

    a party that has an associated social identity most closely aligned with their own. Although

    the Tea Party may have certain features in common with political parties

    they run

    candidates in elections and are not explicitly bound to any single issue or group of issues

    they cannot easily be forced to fit into the social identity hypothesis for a few reasons.

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    supporters and established social identities.1 Second, if we attempt to discern the kinds of

    social groups represented by the Tea Party we necessarily resort to associating with it

    those groups who we perceive as being closest to its political outlook. It essence we resort

    to political preferences as a shortcut to allotting the Tea Party with a base social identity.

    Finally, because of the Tea Partys functional inclusion within the Republican Party it would

    be difficult to distinguish those social identities associated with the latter from the former.

    THEORY AND HYPOTHESES:

    These considerations point us towards an approach to understanding support for

    the Tea Party not in terms of social identity but in terms of political preferences. This

    constitutes the initial hypothesis of this paper:

    H1A: General indicators of political preferences better explain support for the

    Tea Party among Democrats, Republicans and Independents than indicators of

    social identity.

    In other words, when general political preferences are taken into account, social identity

    does not play a role in determining Tea Party support. This expectation not only follows

    from specific considerations about the Tea Party but also from previous research on

    partisanship more generally. Abramowitz and Saunders (2006) have found, using ANES

    data from 2004, that ideology is more strongly associated with party identification than is

    social identity. H1A articulates the expectation that this relationship is extended to Tea

    Party support as well.

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    The second hypothesis of this paper posits thatspecific attitudes on salient political

    issues provide more explanatory power than measures of general preferences in regards to

    Tea Party support:

    H1B: Specific Political Attitudes better explain support for the Tea Party amongDemocrats, Republicans and Independents than indicators of general

    preference or social identity.

    This hypothesis is derived from the presumption that general political preferences are

    summations of specific attitudes. Considering this, as determinants of Tea Party support

    specific political attitudes should provide a more comprehensive explanation. The

    expectation is that when these measures of specific attitudes are introduces, the effects of

    general preferences will no longer be significant.

    Our confidence in these first two hypothesesis bolstered by the fact that Tea Party

    support is not distributed evenly among partisans. Table 1 shows a strong linear

    relationship between partisanship and affective evaluations of the Tea Party. Since party is

    so strongly associated with ideological self-placement (Abramowitz and Saunders 2006), it

    is reasonable to propose that Tea Party support will follow a similar pattern.

    The apparent association in Table 1 might lead us to believe that any relationship

    between attitudes and Tea Party support is simply a spurious to partisanship. However,

    there are two reasons to doubt this interpretation. First, as previously noted, research has

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    organizations have not been shy in criticizing the Republican Party. In fact, the numerous

    high-profile Tea Party challenges to incumbent Republicans in the 2010 congressional

    primaries would indicate a degree of opposition between the two. This would cast doubt on

    the claim that strong Republicans are more than likely strong Tea Party supporters. When

    these two groups are in conflict, what determines support for one over the other? This

    paper asserts that party is in fact spurious to attitudes, as indicated by the causal map in

    Figure 1.

    That party may be spurious to attitudes, however, does not mitigate the fact that

    nearly three-quarters of Tea Party supporters identify as Republicans. That supporters are

    so highly concentrated within the Republican Party and that the parties display significant

    differences in preferences and attitudes necessitate an additional set of hypotheses. These

    hypotheses mirror the initial set, except that the unit of analysis shifts from all respondents

    to only Republican respondents:

    H2A: General indicators of political preferences better explain support for the

    Tea Party among Republicans than indicators of social identity.

    H2B: Specific Political Attitudes better explain support for the Tea Party among

    Republicans than indicators of general preference or social identity.

    In these hypotheses the expectation is that the patterns observed among the

    population as a whole are similarly reflected among only Republicans. In other words, Tea

    P t t R bli i f t f liti l f t i l id tit d

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    This analysis will utilize the 2008-2009 ANES Panel Study along with the ANES

    2010 Panel Recontact Survey. These studies were internet based surveys conducted by the

    American National Election Studies (ANES) between January of 2008 and July of 2010. The

    initial panel study contained a total of 21 monthly waves from January 2008 to September

    2009. The 2010 recontact contained a single wave occurring in June and July of 2010;

    these data were matched and merged to the 2008-2009 data using the unique case

    identifier corresponding to individual respondents across the whole period of the study.

    Of the first 21 waves, 10 were constructed by ANES and primarily contained

    politically relevant questions. The remainder of the waves were constructed by third party

    researchers and covered a variety of non-political subject matter. This analysis will only

    draw from data obtained in the 10 initial ANES waves and the one additional recontact

    wave.

    The 2008-2009 study contains two cohorts, the first of which (cohort 1) was

    recruited by telephone in late 2007. Cohort 2 was recruited using the same methodology in

    the summer of 2008. The initial telephone samples were obtained using a stratified

    random-digit-dialing methodology meant to provide a representative sample of U.S.

    citizens with landline phone numbers, age 18 and older as of the 2008 presidential election

    (DeBell, Krosnick and Lupia 2010, 18).

    Potential respondents were offered $10 per month to complete each wave of the

    Th d t i l d d i th t d h did t t h

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    January of 2008. Cohort 2 was added to the study in the ninth wave in September of 2008.

    Table 1 shows the per-wave number of respondents for ANES waves.

    Dependent Variable:

    The dependent variable in this analysis is the degree of affective support for the tea

    party, derived from a single question in the 2010 recontact wave. This variable is measured

    as a seven-point ordinal scale ranging from dislike a great deal (1) to like a great deal

    (7). Table two shows the distribution of responses for the dependent variable.

    Although it may be more logically consistent to infer that attitudes shape the degree

    of tea party support, previous research has indicated that partisan affiliation can also shape

    attitudes (see for example: Bartels, 2002 and Gerber, Huber and Washington, 2010). This

    analysis does not treat tea party support as a kind of party identification, however the

    potential effects of participation in Tea Party activities and even a loose affiliation with Tea

    Party groups or representatives may be expected to parallel those accompanying party

    identification. Measuring the dependent variable in the final wave of the ANES study

    allows us to lag the independent variables and control for any potential reverse causality.

    Independent Variables:

    The social identity variables include the demographics age, gender, religion, region

    d h bl f d d l l d d

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    The primary explanatory variables used in this analysis measure general

    political preferences and specific politically relevant attitudes. General political preferences

    are measured using the standard 7-point ideology self-placements scale as well as a 7-point

    scale examining support for candidate Obama (measured at wave 10).

    Political attitude variables are grouped into four categories: social, racial, economic,

    and security attitudes. Each category contains a series of variables based on relevant

    questions in the ANES survey about general political attitudes or opinions based on specific

    salient policy issues.

    Social attitudes are measured based on opinions on three salient social issues: gay

    marriage, firearms laws (specifically, conceal and carry permits) and abortion. The first

    two of these variables are measured using responses to a single question coded along the

    seven-point favor/oppose scale. Attitudes on abortion are measured using an eight-point

    additive index of pro-life attitudes based on responses to questions that asked whether

    abortion should be legal under several different circumstances. Respondents receive a

    value of zero (0) if they answer that abortion should be legal under all seven circumstances

    and a value of seven (7) if it should be illegal under all circumstances.

    Racial attitudes are measured using four variables that assess the respondents

    support for affirmative action programs, views on the current degree of racial

    discrimination, amnesty for illegal immigrants and an attribution of inequality scale. The

    fi t th i bl d ith di l l b d t i l

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    The attribution of inequality scale is an additive index based on responses to eight

    questions that ask respondents how important certain considerations are for explaining

    the income gaps between blacks and whites.4 Four of the eight questions identify

    considerations that speak to inherent differences between the races (e.g. blacks have less

    ability or god made blacks and whites differently), whereas the other four identify

    systemic or institutional considerations (e.g. persistent employment discrimination or

    government policy). The variables are measured along a five-point ordinal scale with

    possible responses ranging from very important to not at all important. The first set of

    variables were coded so that the not at all responses equal zero (0) and the very

    important ones equal four (4). The second set was coded in the inverse order. The values

    of these variables were summed into a 32-point additive scale where higher perceived

    inherent racial differences for inequality received higher scores.

    The economic attitudes category contains three variables meant to measure

    different dimensions of politically relevant economic views. The first variable measures

    support for increased taxation on individuals in the upper income bracket (making

    $200,000 a year or more). This variable is measured on a seven-point ordinal scale ranging

    from favor a great deal (1) to oppose a great deal (7). The second variable in this group

    ascertains views on the provision of government services, where respondents are asked

    whether the federal government should provide more or less services than they currently

    d Thi i bl i d i t di l l i f l t (1)

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    Attitudes on national security are measured using three variables that examine

    support for the suspension of habeas corpus protections for suspected terrorists, court

    order requirements for obtaining wire-taps on suspected terrorists and a deadline for

    withdrawing troops from Iraq. These three variables are all measured using the seven-

    point favor/oppose scale.

    FINDINGS:

    Not surprisingly, Tea Party supporters do appear to be distinct from the rest of the

    population in terms of both political preferences and attitudes as well as in terms of some

    measures of social identity. Figures 2a and 2b compare Tea Party supporters to the rest of

    the population along these two dimensions.

    As figure 2a indicates, the Tea Party supporter contingent contains statistically

    significant fewer women, Blacks and Catholics from the rest of the population. The only

    groups identified by these findings as being more strongly represented within the Tea

    Party supporter contingent are Southerners. These findings largely hold true even when

    Tea Party supporters are only compared to Republicans, the one exception being for

    Blacks5. However, a number of social identities fail to yield statistically significant

    differences, including Latinos, Jews, those with college degrees and the wealthy. Thus,

    figure 2a presents us with some indications that Tea Party support may in fact be a

    f ti f i l id tit t t h th i (H )

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    have been standardized so that positive numbers indicate more conservative mean

    responses. All of the differences shown in attitudes and political preferences are

    statistically significant.6 Unlike with the social identity distinctions, figure 2b shows across

    the board differences in both comparison groups. Although these findings provide support

    for this papers hypotheses, a more thorough tests that that examines these variables

    combined effect is necessary.

    Table 4a7 reports the results of OLS models where social identity, political

    preference and attitude variables are regressed on Tea Party support for all respondents.

    Model 1 in table 4a shows the results when only social identity variables are included. This

    models reports that all of the social identity variables save age and income are

    significant and together explain a little less than 12 percent of the variation in Tea Party

    support (R2 = .117). However, when we introduce political ideology into the model, the

    variables for Southerners and Catholics are no longer significant and the R2 more than

    triples (.371).8 When we introduce the level of support for candidate Obama into the model

    (model 3), virtually all of the social identity variables become insignificant except for

    Protestantism and level of education. Models 1 through 3 in table 4a clearly demonstrate

    that indicators of political preference perform better in predicting Tea Party support than

    the social identity variables, confirming H1A.

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    To testH1B, model 4 introduces the variables measuring specific political attitudes.

    In model 4, Protestantism remains (marginally) significant while income replaces

    education in significance. All other measures of social identity do not reach traditional

    levels of significance. All of the coefficients for the attitude variables are in the expected

    direction and eight of the thirteen are statistically significant. If we examine them by

    groups we find that three of the four racial attitude variables, two of the three economic

    variables and two of the three national security variables are significant. Only one of the

    social attitude variables is statistically significant. Although the introduction of the attitude

    variables reduces the magnitude of the preference variables to a great extent, both

    preference variables remain significant. In terms of H1B, these findings are not entirely

    conclusive and thus we cannot reject the null hypothesis that preferences matter at least as

    much as attitudes when we consider the entire population.

    The results that we find when we consider only the Republicans within the sample

    are significantly different from those in table 4a. Table 4b shows the OLS results on the

    Republican sample. The social identity model (model 5) indicates that Tea Party supporters

    are more likely to be male and protestant than other Republicans, but show no statistically

    significant differences on any of the other social identity variables. When we introduce

    ideology, Protestantism is no longer significant while the variable for Black respondents is.

    Th i t d ti thi i l i bl ith d l 2 i th R 2 i ifi tl i

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    findings of models 5 through 7 strongly indicate that Tea Party support among Republicans

    is a better explained by political preferences than social identity, confirming H2A.

    The introduction of the attitude variables in model 8 do not alter this general finding

    however, it does change the significance of the social identity variables. When controlling

    for attitudes we find that gender is no longer significant but religion is (both Protestantism

    and Catholicism). The pattern of significant groups of attitudes largely reflects that in

    model 4 except that none of the national security attitudes are significant. This would seem

    to indicate that attitudes on national security do not constitute a significant consideration

    for Tea Party support among Republicans. More interestingly, model 8 shows that when

    attitudes are controlled for, political ideology is no longer significant. This finding strongly

    supports H2B and indicates Republicans and Tea Party supporters are differentiated by

    their attitudes on specific issues more than they are by their self-reported political

    ideologies.

    CONCLUSIONS:

    The analysis undertaken in this paper indicates that Tea Party support, like

    partisanship (Abramowitz and Saunders 2006), is more a function of political preferences

    than social identity. Furthermore, there are indications that among Republicans the

    group within which most Tea Party supporters are found a specific set of political

    attitudes accounts for Tea Party support. Although not related to a central hypothesis of

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    Table 5 presents standardized coefficients for the significant preference and

    attitude variable in models 4 and 8 so that we can more precisely compare the magnitudes

    of each variables effects to one another. These standardized coefficients indicate that in

    both models the economic attitude variables are some of the most potent indicators of Tea

    Party support. When looking at the entire sample, they are the strongest coefficients among

    the attitude variables. For the Republican sample they are joined by attitudes regarding

    conceal and carry permits and granting amnesty to undocumented immigrants. The most

    interesting finding in table 5 however is that support for candidate Obama out performs

    every other variable in both models. That this holds true even when ideology and specific

    attitudes are accounted for is somewhat puzzling. This indicates that support for Obama

    encompasses some aspect of Tea Party support that is not controlled for in the model.

    Because this variable is measured prior to the 2008 election, it cannot be related to any

    specific policies that President Obama has instituted since his inauguration. It is possible

    that candidate Obama espoused some specific policy proposals in the campaign that Tea

    Party supporters were particularly opposed to and were not accounted for in the attitude

    variables in the model. Another possibility is that some dimension of race attitudes is being

    measured via support for candidate Obama that is not being accurately measured in the

    variables already included. The specific orientation towards candidate Obama among Tea

    Party supporters that is apparent in this analysis certainly deserves additional scholarly

    f

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    WORKS CITED:

    Abramowitz, Alan and Kyle Saunders. 2006. Exploring the Bases of Partisanship in theAmerican Electorate: Social Identity vs, Ideology. Political Research Quarterly 2(June 2006): 175-187.

    Bartels, Larry. 2002. Beyond the Running Tally: Partisan Bias in Political Perceptions.Political Behavior 24: 11750.

    Campbell, Angue, Phillip Converse, Warren Miller and Donald Stokes. 1960. The American

    Voter. New York: Wiley.

    DeBell, Matthew, Jon A. Krosnick, and Arthur Lupia. 2010. Methodology Report and UsersGuide for the 20082009 ANES Panel Study. Palo Alto, CA, and Ann Arbor, MI:Stanford University and the University of Michigan.

    DeBell, Matthew, Vincent Hutchings, Simon Jackman, and Gary Segura. 2010. Methodology

    Report and Users Guide for the ANES 2010 Panel Recontact Survey. Palo Alto, CA, andAnn Arbor, MI:Stanford University and the University of Michigan.

    Downs, Anthony. 1957.An Economic Theory of Democracy. New York: Harper and Row.

    Fiorina, Morris P. 1981. Retrospective Voting in American National Elections. New Haven,CT: Yale University Press.

    Gerber, Alan S., Gregory A. Huber, Ebonya Washington. 2010. "Party Affiliation,Partisanship, and Political Beliefs: A Field Experiment."American Political ScienceReview104 (4 November): 720-744.

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    Figure 1: Hypothesized Causal Relationship between

    Partisanship, Political Attitudes and Tea Party Support.

    N = 1545

    *Parties included leaners.

    Note: Correlation for 7-point scales: r = .578, p < .001

    Table 1: Affective Evaluation of the Tea Party By Partisanship*

    Democrats Independents Republicans

    Vie

    wofTheTea

    Party

    Favorable 6.5% 2.6% 52.0%

    (47) (34) (344)

    Neutral 37.3% 56.4% 38.2%

    (268) (93) (253)

    Unfavorable 56.1% 23.0% 9.8%(403) (38) (65)

    Total 100.0% 100.0% 100.0%

    (718) (165) (662)

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    Table 2: Per-Wave Respondents (ANES Waves only)

    Wave N

    January 2008 (Wave 1) 1,623

    February 2008 (Wave 2) 1,457

    June 2008 (Wave 6) 1,420

    September 2008 (Wave 9) 2,586

    October 2008 (Wave 10) 2,628

    November 2008 (Wave 11) 2,665

    January 2009 (Wave 13) 2,543

    May 2009 (Wave 17) 2,389

    July 2009 (Wave 19) 2,313

    August 2009 (Wave 20) 2,273

    June-July 2010 (Recontact Wave)a

    1,561

    Source: Table reproduced from DeBell, Krosnick and Lupia (2010, p. 7)a

    N for the 2010 recontact is from DeBell, Hutchings, Jackman and

    Segura (2010)

    Table 3: Support for the Tea Party

    Frequency Percent

    -3. Dislike A Great Deal 338 21.5

    -2. Dislike A Moderate Amount 131 8.3

    -1. Dislike A Little 45 2.9

    0. Neither Like Nor Dislike 626 39.8

    1. Like A Little 63 4

    2. Like A Moderate Amount 183 11.6

    3. Like A Great Deal 188 11.9

    Total 1574 100.0

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    Figure 2a: Comparing the Social Identity of Tea Party Supporters.Note: Positive numbers indicate larger portion among Tea Party supporters.

    *Difference is statistically significant at p < .05 (two-tailed). Chi-squared tests.g

    Expected cell count for at least one cell was less than 5 for Chi-squared test.

    Figure 2b: Comparing The Percent Difference in Mean Responses of Tea Party Supporters.*

    Note: Positive numbers indicate more conservative mean Tea Party response.

    -17.1*

    -8.4*

    -2.2

    -5.1*

    -0.8

    9.1*

    -2.6

    3.7

    -15.3*

    -0.3g

    -1.5

    -7.9*

    -0.3

    8.9*

    2.51.4

    -20

    -15

    -10

    -5

    0

    5

    10

    15

    Female Black Latino Catholic Jewish Southerners College

    Degree

    Income

    $100K+

    PercentDiferenceinMeanResponse

    Tea Party Supporters vs. All OthersTea Party Supporters vs Other Republicans

    21.3

    13.1

    26.9

    24

    33.2

    26.8

    13

    6.3

    18.6

    11.8

    17.6

    9

    5

    10

    15

    20

    25

    30

    35

    rcentDiferencein

    MeanResponse

    Tea Party Supporters vs. All Others

    Tea Party Supporters vs Other Republicans

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    Table 4A: OLS results for predictors of Tea Party Support. Social Identity, General Political

    Preferences and Specific Political Attitudes for All Respondents.

    Model 1 Model 2 Model 3 Model 4B SE B SE B SE B SE

    Age -.007 (.004) -.008** (.003) -.006 (.003) -.003 (.003)

    Male .527*** (.103) .204* (.089) .159 (.083) -.064 (.093)

    Black -1.253*** (.208) -.790*** (.178) -.315 (.170) .037 (.203)

    Latino -.536* (.250) -.436* (.211) -.171 (.198) -.007 (.218)

    Protestant .962*** (.120) .316** (.106) .236* (.099) .283* (.110)

    Catholic .523*** (.140) .050 (.120) .049 (.113) .210 (.126)

    South .321** (.112) .122 (.096) .104 (.090) -.004 (.099)

    Income .011 (.014) -.012 (.012) -.008 (.011) -.035** (.013)

    Education -.214*** (.033) -.096** (.029) -.066* (.027) -.022 (.031)

    Ideology -- -- .553*** (.024) .338*** (.027) .116** (.036)

    Obama -- -- -- -- .340*** (.025) .182*** (.031)

    Gay Marriage -- -- -- -- -- -- .019 (.025)

    Conceal and Carry Permit -- -- -- -- -- -- -.080*** (.020)

    Abortion -- -- -- -- -- -- .006 (.024)

    Amnesty -- -- -- -- -- -- .041 (.021)

    Affirmative Action -- -- -- -- -- -- .064* (.026)

    Amount of Discrimination -- -- -- -- -- -- .127* (.056)

    Attribution of Inequality -- -- -- -- -- -- .048*** (.012)

    Tax the Rich -- -- -- -- -- -- .106*** (.025)

    Government Services -- -- -- -- -- -- .023 (.031)

    Business Regulation -- -- -- -- -- -- .112*** (.026)

    Habeas Protection -- -- -- -- -- -- -.052* (.023)

    Wire Tapping -- -- -- -- -- -- .005 (.022)

    Iraq Deadline -- -- -- -- -- -- .070** (.024)

    (Constant) 1.573*** (.409) 1.080** (.350) -.189 (.340) -1.029* (.449)

    N 1383 1357 1357 931

    R2

    .117 .371 .449 .570

    *** p < .001, ** p < .01, * p< .05.

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    Table 4B: OLS results for predictors of Tea Party Support. Social Identity, General Political

    Preferences and Specific Political Attitudes for Republicans Only.

    Model 5 Model 6 Model 7 Model 8

    B SE B SE B SE B SEAge .007 (.005) .004 (.005) .004 (.004) -.001 (.005)

    Male .446** (.135) .349** (.13) .350** (.124) .109 (.144)

    Black -1.655 (.916) -1.875* (.883) -.938 (.846) -1.144 (.989)

    Latino -.150 (.392) -.199 (.378) .114 (.360) .519 (.478)

    Protestant .463* (.182) .312 (.177) .319 (.168) .619** (.193)

    Catholic .03 (.206) -.008 (.199) .088 (.189) .454* (.221)

    South .234 (.143) .198 (.138) .167 (.131) .080 (.144)

    Income .006 (.020) .000 (.019) .004 (.018) -.027 (.020)

    Education -.030 (.044) -.045 (.043) -.019 (.041) -.011 (.049)

    Ideology -- -- .339*** (.050) .191*** (.051) .032 (.064)

    Obama -- -- -- -- .287*** (.036) .147** (.044)

    Gay Marriage -- -- -- -- -- -- .073 (.043)

    Conceal and Carry Permit -- -- -- -- -- -- -.089** (.032)

    Abortion -- -- -- -- -- -- -.010 (.035)

    Amnesty -- -- -- -- -- -- .082* (.032)

    Affirmative Action -- -- -- -- -- -- .099* (.048)

    Amount of Discrimination -- -- -- -- -- -- .165 (.087)

    Attribution of Inequality -- -- -- -- -- -- .040* (.020)

    Tax the Rich -- -- -- -- -- -- .090* (.035)

    Government Services -- -- -- -- -- -- .101* (.049)

    Business Regulation -- -- -- -- -- -- .095* (.041)

    Habeas Protection -- -- -- -- -- -- -.048 (.032)

    Wire Tapping -- -- -- -- -- -- -.001 (.031)

    Iraq Deadline -- -- -- -- -- -- -.023 (.039)

    (Constant) .325 (.552) .311 (.531) -.949 (.528) -1.826* (.708)

    N 578 578 578 391

    R

    2

    .058 .129 .217 .396*** p < .001, ** p < .01, * p< .05.

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    22

    Variable Name Question Measurement Wave(s)

    BizReg Do you think the U.S. federal government should do more to

    influence how businesses operate in this country, should the

    federal government do less to influence businesses, or should the

    government do about what it's doing now to influence

    businesses?

    7-point scale (-3 = A lot more, 3 = A lot less)

    11

    Habeasa

    Imagine that the U.S. government suspects a person in the United

    States of being a terrorist. Do you favor, oppose, or neither favor

    nor oppose the government being able to put this person in prison

    for months without ever bringing the person to court and charging

    him or her with a crime?

    7-point scale (-3 =Favor a great deal, 3 = Oppose a great deal)

    1 and 10

    WireTapa

    Do you favor, oppose, or neither favor nor oppose the U.S.government being required to get a court order before it can listen

    in on phone calls made by American citizens who are suspected of

    being terrorists?

    7-point scale (-3 =Favor a great deal, 3 = Oppose a great deal)

    1 and 10

    IraqDeadline Do you favor, oppose, or neither favor nor oppose setting a

    deadline for withdrawing all U.S. troops from Iraq?

    7-point scale (-3 =Favor a great deal, 3 = Oppose a great deal)

    10

    Male Dummy ( 1 = Male, 0 = Female) 1 and 9

    Age Age on Nov 2, 2008. 1 and 9

    Black Dummy ( 1 = Black, 0 = Non-Black) 1 and 9Latino Dummy ( 1 = Latino, 0 = Non-Latino) 1 and 9

    Protestant Dummy ( 1 = Protestant 0 = Non-Protestant) 1 and 9

    Catholic Dummy ( 1 = Catholic 0 = Non-Catholic) 1 and 9

    South State of residence recoded into regions according to Census

    regions (top code)

    Dummy ( 1 = South 0 = Non-South)

    1 and 9

    Income 19-point scale:

    1 - less than $5,000

    2 - $5,000 to $7,4993 - $7,500 to $9,999

    4 - $10,000 to $12,499

    5 - $12,500 to $14,999

    6 - $15,000 to $19,999

    7 - $20,000 to $24,999

    8 - $25,000 to $29,999

    9 - $30,000 to $34,999

    10 - $35,000 to $39,999

    11 - $40,000 to $49,999

    12 - $50,000 to $59,99913 - $60,000 to $74,999

    14 - $75,000 to $84,999

    15 - $85,000 to $99,999

    16 - $100,000 to $124,999

    17 - $125,000 to $149,999

    18 - $150,000 to $174,999

    19 - $175,000 or more 1 and 9

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    23

    Variable Name Question Measurement Wave(s)

    Educ 14-point scale:

    1 - No schooling completed

    2 - Nursery School to 4th grade

    3 - 5th or 6th grade

    4 - 7th or 8th grade

    5 - 9th grade

    6 - 10th grade

    7 - 11th grade

    8 - 12th grade No Diploma

    9 - High School Graduate

    10 - Some college, no degree

    11 - Associate degree

    12 - Bachelor's degree

    13 - Master's degree

    14 - Professional or Doctorate

    degree 1 and 9