financial literacy skills for the 21st century: evidence ... · four key aspects of the financial...

37
Financial Literacy Skills for the 21st Century: Evidence from PISA Annamaria Lusardi (The George Washington University School of Business and GFLEC)

Upload: others

Post on 25-Mar-2020

3 views

Category:

Documents


0 download

TRANSCRIPT

Page 1: Financial Literacy Skills for the 21st Century: Evidence ... · Four Key Aspects of the Financial Literacy Definition ... 501.1 473.4 513.9 472.8 541.6 300 350 400 450 500 550 600

Financial Literacy Skills for the 21st Century: Evidence from PISA

Annamaria Lusardi(The George Washington University School of Business and GFLEC)

Page 2: Financial Literacy Skills for the 21st Century: Evidence ... · Four Key Aspects of the Financial Literacy Definition ... 501.1 473.4 513.9 472.8 541.6 300 350 400 450 500 550 600

The Growing Importance of Financial Literacy

Changes in labor markets• More flexibility – workers change jobs often• Divergence in wages – skills are critical

Changes in financial markets• Greater complexity of financial products• More opportunities to invest and to borrow

Changes in the education & pension system• Higher cost of education• More individual retirement accounts

A New Economic Landscape

Page 3: Financial Literacy Skills for the 21st Century: Evidence ... · Four Key Aspects of the Financial Literacy Definition ... 501.1 473.4 513.9 472.8 541.6 300 350 400 450 500 550 600

Título da PalestraNome do palestrante

Looking Forward

Increases in Life Expectancy Changes Everything

01020304050607080

Ch

ina

Ru

ssia

n F

eder

atio

n

Cze

ch R

epu

blic

Esto

nia

Slo

vak

Rep

ub

lic

Po

lan

d

OEC

D a

vera

ge

Ger

man

y

Au

stra

lia

Un

ited

Sta

tes

Be

lgiu

m

New

Zea

lan

d

Isre

al

Ital

y

Spai

n

Fran

ce

2010 or latest available year 1970 or first available year

• Life expectancy is high, and has continued to grow globally.• Young people today will need to be able to support themselves for

many years.

Page 4: Financial Literacy Skills for the 21st Century: Evidence ... · Four Key Aspects of the Financial Literacy Definition ... 501.1 473.4 513.9 472.8 541.6 300 350 400 450 500 550 600

Título da PalestraNome do palestrante

Data on Financial Literacy

Some recent sources of data on financial literacy

1. OECD Programme for International Student Assessment (PISA) -Financial literacy among the young (15-year-olds)

2. US National Financial Capability Study (NFCS)- Financial literacy in the US (18+)

Page 5: Financial Literacy Skills for the 21st Century: Evidence ... · Four Key Aspects of the Financial Literacy Definition ... 501.1 473.4 513.9 472.8 541.6 300 350 400 450 500 550 600

Título da PalestraNome do palestrante

The PISA Financial Literacy Assessment

Measuring Financial Literacy Among the Young

• PISA is the first large-scale international study to assess the financial literacy of 15-year-old students

• 18 countries participated in the 2012 Financial Literacy Assessment

• 15 countries participated in the 2015 Financial Literacy Assessment

The countries/economies are:

2012: Australia, Belgium (Flemish Community), Shanghai-China, Colombia, Croatia, Czech Republic, Estonia, France, Israel, Italy, Latvia, New Zealand, Poland, Russia, Slovak Republic, Slovenia, Spain, and the United States

2015: Australia, Belgium (Flemish Community), Brazil, B-S-J-G (China), Chile, Canadian provinces, Italy, Lithuania, Netherlands, Peru, Poland, Russia, Slovak Republic, Spain, and the United States

Page 6: Financial Literacy Skills for the 21st Century: Evidence ... · Four Key Aspects of the Financial Literacy Definition ... 501.1 473.4 513.9 472.8 541.6 300 350 400 450 500 550 600

Título da PalestraNome do palestrante

• Are students well prepared for future challenges? Can they analyze, reason and communicate effectively? Do they have the capacity to continue learning throughout life?

Since 2000, every three years the OECD Programme for International Student Assessment (PISA) answers these questions and more. It assesses to what extent students near the end of compulsory education have acquired some of the knowledge and skills essential for full participation in society.

What PISA Measures

Page 7: Financial Literacy Skills for the 21st Century: Evidence ... · Four Key Aspects of the Financial Literacy Definition ... 501.1 473.4 513.9 472.8 541.6 300 350 400 450 500 550 600

Título da PalestraNome do palestrante

PISA Financial Literacy Assessment

Designing the Assessment

• A group of experts was put together by the OECD to design the 2012 module on financial literacy (I chair the group)

• They represented many countries and many stakeholders (treasury departments, central banks, regulators, practitioners, academics)

• Experts worked on the assessment for about two years

Page 8: Financial Literacy Skills for the 21st Century: Evidence ... · Four Key Aspects of the Financial Literacy Definition ... 501.1 473.4 513.9 472.8 541.6 300 350 400 450 500 550 600

Título da PalestraNome do palestrante

PISA Financial Literacy Assessment

Definition of financial literacy

“Financial literacy is knowledge and understanding of financial concepts and risks, and the skills, motivation and confidence to apply such knowledge and understanding in order to make effective decisions across a range of financial contexts, to improve the financial well-being of individuals and society, and to enable participation in economic life.”

Page 9: Financial Literacy Skills for the 21st Century: Evidence ... · Four Key Aspects of the Financial Literacy Definition ... 501.1 473.4 513.9 472.8 541.6 300 350 400 450 500 550 600

Four Key Aspects of the Financial Literacy Definition

There are 4 innovative aspects of this definition that can be highlighted:

1. Financial literacy does not refer only to knowledge and understanding, but also to promote effective decision making

2. The objective of financial literacy is to improve financial well-being, not to affect a single behavior

3. Financial literacy has effects not just for individuals but for society as well

4. Financial literacy, like reading, writing, and knowledge of science, enables young people to fully participate in economic life

Page 10: Financial Literacy Skills for the 21st Century: Evidence ... · Four Key Aspects of the Financial Literacy Definition ... 501.1 473.4 513.9 472.8 541.6 300 350 400 450 500 550 600

A Short Definition

Financial Literacy: A Vision for the Future

1. Financial literacy is fundamentally about the future

2. The final objective of financial literacy is individual well-being

Page 11: Financial Literacy Skills for the 21st Century: Evidence ... · Four Key Aspects of the Financial Literacy Definition ... 501.1 473.4 513.9 472.8 541.6 300 350 400 450 500 550 600

Financial Literacy Skills for the 21st Century

Page 12: Financial Literacy Skills for the 21st Century: Evidence ... · Four Key Aspects of the Financial Literacy Definition ... 501.1 473.4 513.9 472.8 541.6 300 350 400 450 500 550 600

Strong performance in

financial literacy

Low performance in financial literacy

Average performance

of 15-year-olds in

financial literacy in

2012 PISA

Shanghai-China

Flemish Community (Belgium)

EstoniaAustraliaNew Zealand

Czech Republic Poland

Latvia

United StatesFrance

Russian FederationSlovenia Spain

CroatiaIsrael

Slovak RepublicItaly

Colombia375

385

395

405

415

425

435

445

455

465

475

485

495

505

515

525

535

545

555

565

575

585

595

605

Mean score

Page 13: Financial Literacy Skills for the 21st Century: Evidence ... · Four Key Aspects of the Financial Literacy Definition ... 501.1 473.4 513.9 472.8 541.6 300 350 400 450 500 550 600

B-S-J-G (China)

Belgium (Flemish)Canadian provinces

Russia NetherlandsAustralia

United StatesPolandItaly

Spain

LithuaniaSlovak Republic

Chile

Peru

Brazil

380

400

420

440

460

480

500

520

540

560

580

Mean score

Strong performance in

financial literacy

Low performance in financial literacy

Average performance

of 15-year-olds in

financial literacy in

2015 PISA

Page 14: Financial Literacy Skills for the 21st Century: Evidence ... · Four Key Aspects of the Financial Literacy Definition ... 501.1 473.4 513.9 472.8 541.6 300 350 400 450 500 550 600

Real GDP Per Capita and Financial Literacy (2012)

Estonia AustraliaNew Zealand

Czech RepublicPoland

Latvia

United StatesRussian Fed. FranceSlovenia Spain

CroatiaIsrael

Slovak RepublicItaly

Colombia

35

04

00

45

05

00

550

Mea

n p

erfo

rman

ce o

n fi

nan

cial

lit

erac

y

10000 20000 30000 40000 50000Per capita GDP (in equivalent USD converted using PPPs) (2010)

R-square = 0.1632

GDP per capita only explains 16% of country level variations in financial literacy (in 2012 PISA)

Page 15: Financial Literacy Skills for the 21st Century: Evidence ... · Four Key Aspects of the Financial Literacy Definition ... 501.1 473.4 513.9 472.8 541.6 300 350 400 450 500 550 600

Scores and proficiency levels

• The difficulty of test questions was estimated based on the proportion of students answering each question correctly

• The proficiency of students was estimated using the proportion of test questions they answered correctly

• The relationship between the difficulty of questions and the proficiency of students was presented on a scale divided into five levels:

Level 1 indicates low proficiency

Level 2 indicates baseline proficiency

Level 3 indicates intermediate proficiency

Levels 4 and 5 indicate high proficiency

Page 16: Financial Literacy Skills for the 21st Century: Evidence ... · Four Key Aspects of the Financial Literacy Definition ... 501.1 473.4 513.9 472.8 541.6 300 350 400 450 500 550 600

• On average across OECD countries and

economies, 22% of students do not

have basic financial skills

• Only about 12% of students across

participating OECD countries and

economies are top performers, as they

can tackle the most difficult tasks

22%

Too Many Students Lack Basic Financial Skills (2015 Data)

Page 17: Financial Literacy Skills for the 21st Century: Evidence ... · Four Key Aspects of the Financial Literacy Definition ... 501.1 473.4 513.9 472.8 541.6 300 350 400 450 500 550 600

The Role of Socioeconomic Status (2012)

471.9

510.2

467.4

527.4

426.6

501.1

473.4

513.9

472.8

541.6

300

350

400

450

500

550

600

Belowmedian

Abovemedian

Belowmedian

Abovemedian

No Yes Belowmedian

Abovemedian

No Yes

Parents occupationindex

Wealth index Has a computer athome

Cultural possessionsindex

Many books at home

Financial Literacy Score in the US

Young people who are financially literate are from educated families who have a lot of resources.

Page 18: Financial Literacy Skills for the 21st Century: Evidence ... · Four Key Aspects of the Financial Literacy Definition ... 501.1 473.4 513.9 472.8 541.6 300 350 400 450 500 550 600

• On average, 84% of students discuss money matters

with their parents at least once a month

• Students who do so tend to perform better in financial

literacy

84%

• But financial skills are strongly related to

the socio-economic background of their

family

• Advantaged students score 89 points

higher in financial literacy than

disadvantaged students

89 score

points

Students acquire financial skills from their parents… up to what their parents can transmit to them (2015 Data)

Page 19: Financial Literacy Skills for the 21st Century: Evidence ... · Four Key Aspects of the Financial Literacy Definition ... 501.1 473.4 513.9 472.8 541.6 300 350 400 450 500 550 600

The Role of Socioeconomic Status (2015)

Socioeconomically advantaged students score 89 points higher than disadvantaged students, on average across OECD, this is equivalent to more than one PISA proficiency level.

300

350

400

450

500

550

600

650

Peru

117

Bra

zil

7

8

Ch

ile

103

Slo

vak R

epub

lic

80

Lithu

ania

71

Spain

79

Un

ite

d S

tate

s

97

OE

CD

avera

ge-1

0

89

Ita

ly

60

Pola

nd

73

Austr

alia

10

7

Ne

therl

and

s

10

4

Belg

ium

(F

lem

ish

) 1

10

Ru

ssia

4

6

Ca

nad

ian

pro

vin

ce

s

77

B-S

-J-G

(C

hin

a)

1

32

Sco

re p

oin

ts

Top quarter of ESCS

Third quarter of ESCS

Second quarter of ESCS

Bottom quarter of ESCS

Difference

between

students in the

top quarter and

students in the

bottom quarter of

this index

Mean score, by quarters of the PISA index of economic, social and cultural status (ESCS)

Page 20: Financial Literacy Skills for the 21st Century: Evidence ... · Four Key Aspects of the Financial Literacy Definition ... 501.1 473.4 513.9 472.8 541.6 300 350 400 450 500 550 600

Some 56% of 15-year-olds in participating OECD

countries and economies have a bank account,

19% have a prepaid debit card 56%

64% Some 64% earn money from some type of work

activity

But fewer than one in three students have the

skills to manage a bank account 31%

Young people are already financial consumers and will soon encounter complex financial decision, like student loans

Page 21: Financial Literacy Skills for the 21st Century: Evidence ... · Four Key Aspects of the Financial Literacy Definition ... 501.1 473.4 513.9 472.8 541.6 300 350 400 450 500 550 600

PISA findings have affected policies

• Countries/policy makers have taken steps to improve financial literacy both among the young and among the population

• Some examples are:• Brazil (scored last in 2015): Financial literacy in schools

• Italy (scored second to last in 2012): In 2017, a new Financial Education Committee was created and it includes a representative from the Department of Education

Page 22: Financial Literacy Skills for the 21st Century: Evidence ... · Four Key Aspects of the Financial Literacy Definition ... 501.1 473.4 513.9 472.8 541.6 300 350 400 450 500 550 600

Financial Literacy in the Population- US Data

State-by-State Survey: Online survey of more than 25,000 respondents

First wave collected in 2009

Third wave collected in 2015

Survey offers unique information on Americans’ financial literacy and capability

Page 23: Financial Literacy Skills for the 21st Century: Evidence ... · Four Key Aspects of the Financial Literacy Definition ... 501.1 473.4 513.9 472.8 541.6 300 350 400 450 500 550 600

A Simple Measure of Financial Literacy

1. “Suppose you had $100 in a savings account and the interest rate was 2% per year. After 5 years, how much do you think you would have in the account if you left the money to grow?”

1. “Imagine that the interest rate on your savings account was 1% per year and inflation was 2% per year. After 1 year, with the money in this account, would you be able to buy…”

2. “Do you think the following statement is true or false? Buying a single company stock usually provides a safer return than a stock mutual fund.”

More than $102 Exactly $102 Less than $102 Don’t know Refuse to answer

More than today

Exactly the same as today

Less than today

Don`t know

Refuse to answer

True False Don`t know Refuse to answer

Big Three

Page 24: Financial Literacy Skills for the 21st Century: Evidence ... · Four Key Aspects of the Financial Literacy Definition ... 501.1 473.4 513.9 472.8 541.6 300 350 400 450 500 550 600

Financial Literacy Across Age – 2015 NFCS

13%

18%

24%27%

35% 36%38% 37%

44%47%

51%

42%

0%

10%

20%

30%

40%

50%

60%

18-24 25-29 30-34 35-39 40-44 45-49 50-54 55-59 60-64 65-69 70-74 75+

• Financial knowledge increases very slowly with age/cohort• Less than 1/3 know 3 basic concept by age 40 even though

most important decisions are made well before that age

Source: 2015 NFCS data

(% answering Big 3 questions correctly)

Page 25: Financial Literacy Skills for the 21st Century: Evidence ... · Four Key Aspects of the Financial Literacy Definition ... 501.1 473.4 513.9 472.8 541.6 300 350 400 450 500 550 600

The Cost of Ignorance (Lusardi and Mitchell, JEL, 2014)

• Borrowing behavior

Defaults and inability to pay

• Saving behavior

Not saving enough for the short and long term

• Poor investment

In financial assets, education, entrepreneurship

Financial Illiteracy is Expensive

Page 26: Financial Literacy Skills for the 21st Century: Evidence ... · Four Key Aspects of the Financial Literacy Definition ... 501.1 473.4 513.9 472.8 541.6 300 350 400 450 500 550 600

Implications for Financial Education

The Need for Financial Education

• Need to improve levels of financial literacy

Levels of knowledge are critically low

• The young have very low financial knowledge

Even in countries with advanced financial markets

• It is important to provide access to all

Socioeconomic status is a strong determinant of financial literacy

Page 27: Financial Literacy Skills for the 21st Century: Evidence ... · Four Key Aspects of the Financial Literacy Definition ... 501.1 473.4 513.9 472.8 541.6 300 350 400 450 500 550 600

Implications for Financial Education (cont’d)

We need to start in school

• Widespread financial illiteracy requires robust interventions

• Knowledge and financial habits start early in life

• Important to provide knowledge before important financial decisions are made

Access and equity

• Many young people do not have access to financial education in their environment

The need for financial education

Page 28: Financial Literacy Skills for the 21st Century: Evidence ... · Four Key Aspects of the Financial Literacy Definition ... 501.1 473.4 513.9 472.8 541.6 300 350 400 450 500 550 600

Financial Education in School

Evidence From Adding Financial Literacy in High School Curricula

When exposed to rigorous programs and trained teachers, students do well and are less likely to have problems with debt.

• Brown, Collins, Schmeiser, and Urban (2014). State Mandated Financial Education and the Credit Behavior of Young Adults.

Confirms findings from previous work.

• Tennyson and Chau (2001) State Curriculum Mandates and Student Knowledge of Personal Finance. Journal of Consumer Affairs 35 (2), 241-262.

• Walstad, Rebeck and MacDonald (2010), The Effects of Financial Education on the Financial Knowledge of High School Students. Journal of Consumer Affairs 44(2), 336–357.

Page 29: Financial Literacy Skills for the 21st Century: Evidence ... · Four Key Aspects of the Financial Literacy Definition ... 501.1 473.4 513.9 472.8 541.6 300 350 400 450 500 550 600

GFLEC’s Programs for Schools

1. A pilot program to train high school educators teaching financial education

Program in collaboration with Digital Promise

Goal: enable educators to strengthen their pedagogy and better use personal finance professional development resources

2. A Personal Finance course at the George Washington University

Using a rigorous quantitative approach

Incorporating National Standards for Financial Literacy

Page 30: Financial Literacy Skills for the 21st Century: Evidence ... · Four Key Aspects of the Financial Literacy Definition ... 501.1 473.4 513.9 472.8 541.6 300 350 400 450 500 550 600

Thinking outside the box: A museum in Italy devoted to financial literacy

Page 31: Financial Literacy Skills for the 21st Century: Evidence ... · Four Key Aspects of the Financial Literacy Definition ... 501.1 473.4 513.9 472.8 541.6 300 350 400 450 500 550 600

A Museum of Saving in Italy

Page 32: Financial Literacy Skills for the 21st Century: Evidence ... · Four Key Aspects of the Financial Literacy Definition ... 501.1 473.4 513.9 472.8 541.6 300 350 400 450 500 550 600

International Federation of Finance Museums

Page 33: Financial Literacy Skills for the 21st Century: Evidence ... · Four Key Aspects of the Financial Literacy Definition ... 501.1 473.4 513.9 472.8 541.6 300 350 400 450 500 550 600

Beijing Financial Literacy Manifesto

“…the International Federation of Finance Museums (IFFM) is committed to promoting financial literacy globally, raising awareness that every individual in every country is in need of financial literacy.”

Page 34: Financial Literacy Skills for the 21st Century: Evidence ... · Four Key Aspects of the Financial Literacy Definition ... 501.1 473.4 513.9 472.8 541.6 300 350 400 450 500 550 600

Final Thoughts

Financial literacy is like reading and writing

• As it was not possible in the past to participate insociety without being able to read and write, so it isnot possible to thrive in today’s society without beingfinancially literate

Building human capital for the 21st century

• Everyone deals with finance and finance is sufficiently complex that we cannot leave it to the individual to learn by himself/herself

Page 35: Financial Literacy Skills for the 21st Century: Evidence ... · Four Key Aspects of the Financial Literacy Definition ... 501.1 473.4 513.9 472.8 541.6 300 350 400 450 500 550 600

Final thoughts continued

The question is:

Which future do we want to build?

Page 36: Financial Literacy Skills for the 21st Century: Evidence ... · Four Key Aspects of the Financial Literacy Definition ... 501.1 473.4 513.9 472.8 541.6 300 350 400 450 500 550 600

Final quote

“Knowledge is in every country the surest basis of public happiness.”

George Washington, First President of the United States (1789–97)

Page 37: Financial Literacy Skills for the 21st Century: Evidence ... · Four Key Aspects of the Financial Literacy Definition ... 501.1 473.4 513.9 472.8 541.6 300 350 400 450 500 550 600

Thank you !

More information are available at www.gflec.org