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  • 7/28/2019 Financing Brazil biomass-based energy

    1/3

    Insight > Bioenergy

    Modern Power Systems BRICS Edition| www.growthmarkets-power.com 17

    In recent years, major cost barriers and a dated energy auction format have pricedbiomass out of Brazils energy matrix. But with changes to public auctions this year anda handful of biomass projects drawing private investment, the role of biomass in Brazilianpower may be on the rise, writes Bob Moser.

    Brazil is the worlds second-

    biggest producer of

    hydroelectricity, getting 81%

    of its power from hydro plants, while

    also boasting the cheapest wind

    energy in the world. But, scared by a

    drought in 2012 its worst in 50 years

    the country has revised rules for its

    power auctions this year to push

    development of natural gas and coal-

    fired thermal plants. The new auction

    rules will segregate wind energy

    projects for the first time from thermal,

    a category that includes natural gas,

    coal and biomass.

    Gristto the mill

    Most biomass projectsin Brazil are tied to the

    sugarcane industry.

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    Insight > Bioenergy

    Modern Power Systems BRICS Edition| www.growthmarkets-power.com18

    Brazils public energy auctions had

    previously brought all power sources

    together to compete for bids, but

    wind, biomass, natural gas and other

    sources were never truly on a level

    playing field. They all have different

    gestation stages for their technologies,

    pay different taxes and attract

    financing differently.

    Brazils auction format needs to

    change so biomass doesnt have to

    compete head to head with wind

    power, says Guillaume Sagez, partner

    with Brazilian venture capital and

    private equity management company

    Performa Investimentos. He likes the

    potential of biomass cogeneration as a

    future investment option, but wont put

    money into the sector until its

    shielded from wind powers low prices.

    Energy demand rising

    Brazils GDP grew 0.9% in 2012, but

    the countrys expanding middle class,

    diverse economy and higher exports

    this year led Standard & Poors (S&P)

    in April to project real GDP growth of

    2.5% in 2013 and 3.25% in 2014.

    Those are conservative growth

    estimates compared with the

    governments outlook, but even at this

    rate, S&P forecasts Brazilian electricity

    demand to rise 45% over the next two

    years, an annual increase of 20,000

    25,000GWh, which would require

    investments to build 3,0004,000MW of

    new-generation capacity, and related

    transmission and distribution capacity.

    In all, thats US$510 billion in annual

    investment needed in the countrys

    power sector alone.

    BNDES eager to lend

    The Brazilian Development Bank

    (BNDES), which loaned R$156 billion

    (US$76.8 billion) in 2012 overall,

    financed R$700 million (US$345

    million) in cogeneration investments

    for cane bagasse last year, down from

    R$900 million in 2011 and R$1.5 billion

    in 2010.

    The money is available, says Artur

    Yabe Milanez, biofuels department

    manager at BNDES, but fewer biomass

    projects are pursuing it each year. Its

    because energy projects will only

    apply for a BNDES loan after theyve

    won a long-term contract in Brazils

    public auctions, and in recent years,

    wind power has dominated that arena.

    We dont have a huge private

    market for electricity in Brazil the

    public auction is the main driver of

    energy investment, says Milanez. In

    2012, only five or so [sugarcane] mills

    requested this type of investment. If

    the auction rules were to change, I

    think it could drive a new cycle of

    investment in biomass cogeneration.

    Its not yet known how many

    biomass energy projects will enter the

    thermal-only public auction later this

    year, and if theyll compete well

    against natural gas and coal-fired

    projects. But for those that win, BNDES

    remains the favourite for finance.

    Many banks are complaining that

    BNDES has this market cornered, says

    Pedro Seraphim, partner and head of the

    energy practice group at law firm

    TozziniFreire Advogados. BNDES rates

    are at or close to the cost of money for

    the bank, so there is no room for margin

    at private banks to compete with

    BNDES. There are questions about how

    long BNDES can assume this role,

    because its costing the Brazilian

    treasury. Maybe this isnt an endless

    cycle of BNDES dominance.

    Distributor as investor

    So Paulo is studying new incentives for

    investment in cogeneration from

    sugarcane mills, the states energy

    secretary said in April. The state

    currently counts about 4,500MW of

    cogenerated energy from cane biomass,

    of which around 1,000MW is being sold

    as excess by mills to the grid.

    Typically, sugarcane mills must cover

    the costs of connecting their generators

    to a local grid, updating old biomass

    boilers and ensuring their grid

    connection can support large energy

    discharges. The investment can vary

    from R$1 million to R$4 million per

    megawatt of installed capacity.

    A nascent but promising business

    model can emerge in Brazil, with

    electricity distributors making direct

    investments and taking management

    roles in cane mills. The first such

    investment occurred in March 2012,

    when CPFL Renovveis purchased 100%

    If all of So Paulos mills were properly connectedto the grid and operating with updated machinery,the state could generate four to five times thebiomass-based energy its generating today.

    Biofuels in the transport sector are already a success for biomass in Brazil.

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    Insight > Bioenergy

    Modern Power Systems BRICS Edition| www.growthmarkets-power.com 19

    of the cogeneration activities of Ester

    Mill, based in the small town of

    Cosmpolis, So Paulo.

    More than 100 of the roughly 200 mills in

    So Paulo lack the modern boilers

    necessary to turn their biomass into energy

    at a profitable rate. If all of So Paulos mills

    were properly connected to the grid and

    operating with updated machinery, the

    state could generate four to five times the

    biomass-based energy its generating today.

    Venture capital success

    One biomass company building

    momentum for itself is So Paulo-based

    Energias Renovveis do Brasil (ERB),

    which is drawing hundreds of millions of

    reais in private equity financing from

    major banks to support its focus on

    eucalyptus as a dedicated feedstock.

    BNDES has made financing available

    to ERB, but the company has opted to

    rely mainly on partners like Rioforte

    Investments (a holding company of

    Portugals Esprito Santo Group) and

    Brazilian bank Caixa Econmica Federal,

    which together have invested R$120

    million, and control 98% of ERBs capital.

    We believe that, for good projects,

    the money will come, says Emilio

    Rietmann, president of ERB. First, you

    need an economically robust project.

    The company is now concluding a

    fundraising round worth R$300 million,

    bringing onboard a few large

    shareholders to bankroll ERBs expansion

    plans this year. ERB embarked on a

    R$210 million project last year with The

    Dow Chemical Company, building a

    biomass energy plant near the Dow

    plants in Bahia state that produce paper,

    textiles, metals and pharmaceuticals.

    The new Bahia plant, which should

    open in October, will burn up to 150t of

    eucalyptus a day to generate as much as

    15kW a minute of vapour, helping Dow

    eventually reduce local fossil fuel

    consumption by 200,000m3 a day.

    With a year-round dedicated

    feedstock, ERB can produce energy at

    US$6/mmBtu, which would be

    competitive today against natural gas

    and fuel oils, Rietmann says. In that

    price condition, it makes sense for

    Brazilian authorities to stimulate and

    invest in dedicated biomass plants.

    Eucalyptus breeds planted in Brazil have

    always been dictated by the pulp and

    paper industry, which focuses on fibre

    content. ERB is trying to develop and plant

    new varieties with more lignin and which

    mature in fewer years ideal for energy

    production, according to Rietmann.

    ERB is also partnering with state

    research agencies on sorghums role as a

    complementary feedstock to sugarcane.

    The company retrieved its first data set

    on a sorghum harvest in April, and at

    US$5/mmBtu, its potential as a low-cost

    complement can establish biomass as a

    reliable feedstock with less concern

    about seasonal drop-off, Rietmann says.

    The major problem biomass

    projects have had here is that the

    majority are tied to the sugarcane

    industry, and that is difficult in the

    auction scenario because of seasonal

    production, adds Seraphim. The

    simple cane mill investment is not

    attractive right now; people are

    cautious about the ethanol sector due

    to problems in recent years. Were

    starting to see biomass generation

    move toward projects controlling their

    own feedstock, and probably moving

    away from cane.

    There is an air of caution about the ethanol sector at the moment.