financing brazil biomass-based energy
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7/28/2019 Financing Brazil biomass-based energy
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Insight > Bioenergy
Modern Power Systems BRICS Edition| www.growthmarkets-power.com 17
In recent years, major cost barriers and a dated energy auction format have pricedbiomass out of Brazils energy matrix. But with changes to public auctions this year anda handful of biomass projects drawing private investment, the role of biomass in Brazilianpower may be on the rise, writes Bob Moser.
Brazil is the worlds second-
biggest producer of
hydroelectricity, getting 81%
of its power from hydro plants, while
also boasting the cheapest wind
energy in the world. But, scared by a
drought in 2012 its worst in 50 years
the country has revised rules for its
power auctions this year to push
development of natural gas and coal-
fired thermal plants. The new auction
rules will segregate wind energy
projects for the first time from thermal,
a category that includes natural gas,
coal and biomass.
Gristto the mill
Most biomass projectsin Brazil are tied to the
sugarcane industry.
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Brazils public energy auctions had
previously brought all power sources
together to compete for bids, but
wind, biomass, natural gas and other
sources were never truly on a level
playing field. They all have different
gestation stages for their technologies,
pay different taxes and attract
financing differently.
Brazils auction format needs to
change so biomass doesnt have to
compete head to head with wind
power, says Guillaume Sagez, partner
with Brazilian venture capital and
private equity management company
Performa Investimentos. He likes the
potential of biomass cogeneration as a
future investment option, but wont put
money into the sector until its
shielded from wind powers low prices.
Energy demand rising
Brazils GDP grew 0.9% in 2012, but
the countrys expanding middle class,
diverse economy and higher exports
this year led Standard & Poors (S&P)
in April to project real GDP growth of
2.5% in 2013 and 3.25% in 2014.
Those are conservative growth
estimates compared with the
governments outlook, but even at this
rate, S&P forecasts Brazilian electricity
demand to rise 45% over the next two
years, an annual increase of 20,000
25,000GWh, which would require
investments to build 3,0004,000MW of
new-generation capacity, and related
transmission and distribution capacity.
In all, thats US$510 billion in annual
investment needed in the countrys
power sector alone.
BNDES eager to lend
The Brazilian Development Bank
(BNDES), which loaned R$156 billion
(US$76.8 billion) in 2012 overall,
financed R$700 million (US$345
million) in cogeneration investments
for cane bagasse last year, down from
R$900 million in 2011 and R$1.5 billion
in 2010.
The money is available, says Artur
Yabe Milanez, biofuels department
manager at BNDES, but fewer biomass
projects are pursuing it each year. Its
because energy projects will only
apply for a BNDES loan after theyve
won a long-term contract in Brazils
public auctions, and in recent years,
wind power has dominated that arena.
We dont have a huge private
market for electricity in Brazil the
public auction is the main driver of
energy investment, says Milanez. In
2012, only five or so [sugarcane] mills
requested this type of investment. If
the auction rules were to change, I
think it could drive a new cycle of
investment in biomass cogeneration.
Its not yet known how many
biomass energy projects will enter the
thermal-only public auction later this
year, and if theyll compete well
against natural gas and coal-fired
projects. But for those that win, BNDES
remains the favourite for finance.
Many banks are complaining that
BNDES has this market cornered, says
Pedro Seraphim, partner and head of the
energy practice group at law firm
TozziniFreire Advogados. BNDES rates
are at or close to the cost of money for
the bank, so there is no room for margin
at private banks to compete with
BNDES. There are questions about how
long BNDES can assume this role,
because its costing the Brazilian
treasury. Maybe this isnt an endless
cycle of BNDES dominance.
Distributor as investor
So Paulo is studying new incentives for
investment in cogeneration from
sugarcane mills, the states energy
secretary said in April. The state
currently counts about 4,500MW of
cogenerated energy from cane biomass,
of which around 1,000MW is being sold
as excess by mills to the grid.
Typically, sugarcane mills must cover
the costs of connecting their generators
to a local grid, updating old biomass
boilers and ensuring their grid
connection can support large energy
discharges. The investment can vary
from R$1 million to R$4 million per
megawatt of installed capacity.
A nascent but promising business
model can emerge in Brazil, with
electricity distributors making direct
investments and taking management
roles in cane mills. The first such
investment occurred in March 2012,
when CPFL Renovveis purchased 100%
If all of So Paulos mills were properly connectedto the grid and operating with updated machinery,the state could generate four to five times thebiomass-based energy its generating today.
Biofuels in the transport sector are already a success for biomass in Brazil.
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Insight > Bioenergy
Modern Power Systems BRICS Edition| www.growthmarkets-power.com 19
of the cogeneration activities of Ester
Mill, based in the small town of
Cosmpolis, So Paulo.
More than 100 of the roughly 200 mills in
So Paulo lack the modern boilers
necessary to turn their biomass into energy
at a profitable rate. If all of So Paulos mills
were properly connected to the grid and
operating with updated machinery, the
state could generate four to five times the
biomass-based energy its generating today.
Venture capital success
One biomass company building
momentum for itself is So Paulo-based
Energias Renovveis do Brasil (ERB),
which is drawing hundreds of millions of
reais in private equity financing from
major banks to support its focus on
eucalyptus as a dedicated feedstock.
BNDES has made financing available
to ERB, but the company has opted to
rely mainly on partners like Rioforte
Investments (a holding company of
Portugals Esprito Santo Group) and
Brazilian bank Caixa Econmica Federal,
which together have invested R$120
million, and control 98% of ERBs capital.
We believe that, for good projects,
the money will come, says Emilio
Rietmann, president of ERB. First, you
need an economically robust project.
The company is now concluding a
fundraising round worth R$300 million,
bringing onboard a few large
shareholders to bankroll ERBs expansion
plans this year. ERB embarked on a
R$210 million project last year with The
Dow Chemical Company, building a
biomass energy plant near the Dow
plants in Bahia state that produce paper,
textiles, metals and pharmaceuticals.
The new Bahia plant, which should
open in October, will burn up to 150t of
eucalyptus a day to generate as much as
15kW a minute of vapour, helping Dow
eventually reduce local fossil fuel
consumption by 200,000m3 a day.
With a year-round dedicated
feedstock, ERB can produce energy at
US$6/mmBtu, which would be
competitive today against natural gas
and fuel oils, Rietmann says. In that
price condition, it makes sense for
Brazilian authorities to stimulate and
invest in dedicated biomass plants.
Eucalyptus breeds planted in Brazil have
always been dictated by the pulp and
paper industry, which focuses on fibre
content. ERB is trying to develop and plant
new varieties with more lignin and which
mature in fewer years ideal for energy
production, according to Rietmann.
ERB is also partnering with state
research agencies on sorghums role as a
complementary feedstock to sugarcane.
The company retrieved its first data set
on a sorghum harvest in April, and at
US$5/mmBtu, its potential as a low-cost
complement can establish biomass as a
reliable feedstock with less concern
about seasonal drop-off, Rietmann says.
The major problem biomass
projects have had here is that the
majority are tied to the sugarcane
industry, and that is difficult in the
auction scenario because of seasonal
production, adds Seraphim. The
simple cane mill investment is not
attractive right now; people are
cautious about the ethanol sector due
to problems in recent years. Were
starting to see biomass generation
move toward projects controlling their
own feedstock, and probably moving
away from cane.
There is an air of caution about the ethanol sector at the moment.