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Finding Goldilocks in a 3D world how many models do we need to run? Kate Robertson Stephan Thiel, Graham Heinson @kate_rob31

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Page 1: Finding Goldilocks in a 3D world how many models do we need to … · 2019. 2. 5. · Kate Robertson Stephan Thiel, Graham Heinson @kate_rob31. Outline •2D and 3D inversion codes

Finding Goldilocks in a 3D world –how many models do we need to run?

Kate RobertsonStephan Thiel, Graham Heinson

@kate_rob31

Page 2: Finding Goldilocks in a 3D world how many models do we need to … · 2019. 2. 5. · Kate Robertson Stephan Thiel, Graham Heinson @kate_rob31. Outline •2D and 3D inversion codes

Outline

• 2D and 3D inversion codes and the 2D to 3D transition

• Importance of understanding your data and your model

• Modelling tips

• Finding the best model

• Survey layout

Page 3: Finding Goldilocks in a 3D world how many models do we need to … · 2019. 2. 5. · Kate Robertson Stephan Thiel, Graham Heinson @kate_rob31. Outline •2D and 3D inversion codes

What are we really modelling?

• Non-unique, under-parameterised problem

• How do we find the best model?

• Needs to be useful to the interpreter

‘All models are wrong, but some are useful’

George E.P. Box

Page 4: Finding Goldilocks in a 3D world how many models do we need to … · 2019. 2. 5. · Kate Robertson Stephan Thiel, Graham Heinson @kate_rob31. Outline •2D and 3D inversion codes

Modelling codes – what are we working with?1

2D

• Occam (De-Groot-Hedlin & Constable, 1990)

• REBOCC (Siripunvaraporn & Egbert, 1999)

• Mare2DEM (Key, 2016)

• WinGLink (Rodi & Mackie, 2001)

• Geotools (CGG)

3D

• ModEM3DMT (Egbert & Kelbert 2012)

• WSINV3DMT (Siripunvaraporn & Egbert, 2009)***

• Mare3DEM (K. Key, in prep)

• Geotools (CGG)

• x3Di (Avdeev & Avdeeva 2009)1A far from exhaustive list, just what popped into my head

Open source codes

*** serial version is free, not parallel

Anisotropic codes

Invert for distortion

Page 5: Finding Goldilocks in a 3D world how many models do we need to … · 2019. 2. 5. · Kate Robertson Stephan Thiel, Graham Heinson @kate_rob31. Outline •2D and 3D inversion codes

The transition from 2D to 3D

Page 6: Finding Goldilocks in a 3D world how many models do we need to … · 2019. 2. 5. · Kate Robertson Stephan Thiel, Graham Heinson @kate_rob31. Outline •2D and 3D inversion codes

The transition from 2D to 3D

• Profile of MT data where bright colours show 3D data (|skew| > 5)

• Technically shouldn’t be modelled using a 2D code)

• Can model profiles in 3D now, or collect in arrays3D 3D

1D or 2D

6

Page 7: Finding Goldilocks in a 3D world how many models do we need to … · 2019. 2. 5. · Kate Robertson Stephan Thiel, Graham Heinson @kate_rob31. Outline •2D and 3D inversion codes

Why test your models?

Page 8: Finding Goldilocks in a 3D world how many models do we need to … · 2019. 2. 5. · Kate Robertson Stephan Thiel, Graham Heinson @kate_rob31. Outline •2D and 3D inversion codes

Exploring the search space (in a deterministic inversion scheme)

Bedrosian, P.A., et al (2018) Nature Geoscience, Janelle Simpson, pers. Comm 2018

Page 9: Finding Goldilocks in a 3D world how many models do we need to … · 2019. 2. 5. · Kate Robertson Stephan Thiel, Graham Heinson @kate_rob31. Outline •2D and 3D inversion codes

Interpreting the models

As we get deeper the values

vary more and head toward

starting value

100

200

300

400

0

De

pth

(km

)

Page 10: Finding Goldilocks in a 3D world how many models do we need to … · 2019. 2. 5. · Kate Robertson Stephan Thiel, Graham Heinson @kate_rob31. Outline •2D and 3D inversion codes

104

103

102

10

1

Resis

tivity

(Ωm

)

Interpreting the models

Water content (wt%)~0.001

wt%~5 wt%

Two models that both fit the data

can provide different water content

estimates:

10 Ωm, RMS 1.17, 5wt%

1000 Ωm, RMS 1.57, 0.001 wt%

10 Ωm starting

1000 Ωm starting

Page 11: Finding Goldilocks in a 3D world how many models do we need to … · 2019. 2. 5. · Kate Robertson Stephan Thiel, Graham Heinson @kate_rob31. Outline •2D and 3D inversion codes

How do we know which is the best?

NOT from the global RMS…

11Bedrosian, P.A., et al (2018) Nature Geoscience,

Page 12: Finding Goldilocks in a 3D world how many models do we need to … · 2019. 2. 5. · Kate Robertson Stephan Thiel, Graham Heinson @kate_rob31. Outline •2D and 3D inversion codes

How do we know which is the best?

• Global RMS NOT enough!

Mount St Helens example, Bedrosian et al 2018, supp. information12

Page 13: Finding Goldilocks in a 3D world how many models do we need to … · 2019. 2. 5. · Kate Robertson Stephan Thiel, Graham Heinson @kate_rob31. Outline •2D and 3D inversion codes

Time considerationsSave time while modelling..

But ultimately we need faster 3D inversion software

13

Page 14: Finding Goldilocks in a 3D world how many models do we need to … · 2019. 2. 5. · Kate Robertson Stephan Thiel, Graham Heinson @kate_rob31. Outline •2D and 3D inversion codes

• Not really in the scope of the talk, but can help to avoid many problems in modelling

• Orientation of the profile or array

• Site spacing and layout

• Depth penetration

• Survey aperture

• And more..

Survey Layout

Miensopaust 2018

Page 15: Finding Goldilocks in a 3D world how many models do we need to … · 2019. 2. 5. · Kate Robertson Stephan Thiel, Graham Heinson @kate_rob31. Outline •2D and 3D inversion codes

Summary

• Can be difficult to determine the best model but need

to understand the range of models that can fit the data

• Understanding your code can save you expensive

computational time

• Much more to consider that has not been covered

here- distortion, anisotropy, error floors, rotating your

data etc…