finding solutions to the fuel cell dilemma rotary club of mclean 30 september 2014 noriko hikosaka...
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Copyright 2014 by Noriko Hikosaka Behling
Finding Solutions to the Fuel Cell Dilemma
Rotary Club of McLean
30 September 2014
Noriko Hikosaka Behling
Slide 1
Copyright 2014 by Noriko Hikosaka Behling 2
First Fuel CellSir William Robert Grove, (11 July 1811 – 1 August 1896) was a Welsh judge and physical scientist. He invented the first fuel cell in 1839.
Grove's 1839 gas voltaic battery diagram
Copyright 2014 by Noriko Hikosaka Behling 3
What are Fuel Cells?
• Fuel cells are similar to batteries, but with a small difference.
• A battery converts stored chemical energy into electrical energy. A fuel cell converts chemical energy that is supplied from outside.
• Fuel cells are more efficient than other power sources. They convert energy directly to electrical energy in a single step.
Copyright 2014 by Noriko Hikosaka Behling 5
What are Fuel Cells? (3)Fuel Cell Class Most Common
Applications Common Electrolyte
Typical Operating Temperature
Efficiency
Alkaline (AFC) Military • Space Potassium hydroxide soaked in a matrix
200°F 93°C
60% on H2
Phosphoric Acid (PAFC)
Electric utility power • Distributed generation
Phosphoric acid 350°F176°C
40% on natural gas
Molten Carbonate (MCFC)
Electric utility power • Distributed generation
Solution of lithium, sodium, and/or potassium carbonates
1200°F 649°C
50% on natural gas
Solid Oxide (SOFC)
Auxiliary power • Distributed generation
Yttria stabi lized zirconia
1200-1800°F 649-982°C
60% on natural gas
Polymer Electrolyte Membrane (PEM)
Transportation • Specialty vehicles • Portable power • Distributed generation
Perfluoro sulfonic acid
120-212° F49-100°C
60% for vehicles 35% stationary on H2
Copyright 2014 by Noriko Hikosaka Behling 6
Fuel Cell and Hydrogen Budget — Japan: Largest in the World (1) —
1995 1996 1997 1998 1999 2000 2001 2002 2003 2004 2005 2006 2007 2008 2009 2010 2011 2012 2013 2014
Japanese Fuel Cell Budget
51 58 55 47 43 94 117 220 307 329 354 340 306 289 230 175 168 202 397.7 349.4
25125225325425
Hund
red
Mill
ion
Yen
FP3 (1990-1994) FP4 (1994-1998) FP5 (1998-2002) FP6 (2002-2006) FP7 (2006-2013) Horizon 2020 (2014-2020)
FP Funding 32 58 145 314 470 700
Member State Funding 32 58 145 314 470 700
100300500700900
110013001500
€200 million per year for 2014-2020
Mill
ion
€
— Europe: Second largest (2)—
Copyright 2014 by Noriko Hikosaka Behling 7
Fuel Cell and Hydrogen Budget (2)
1995 1996 1997 1998 1999 2000 2001 2002 2003 2004 2005 2006 2007 2008 2009 2010 2011 2012 2013 2014
DOE/Fossil Fuel Fuel Cell Budget
47 53 50 40 44 43 51 57 62 67 75 60 61.653
53.936
55.6 48.683
48.522
25 0 0
DOE/EERE Fuel Cell Budget
NaN NaN NaN NaN NaN NaN NaN 75.574
92.019
144.194
166.772
153.451000000001
189.511
206.241
195.865
170.297
95.847
104 80 100
25
75
125
175
225
275
Mill
ion
$
2009 2010 2011
$ Million 92 98 112
10
30
50
70
90
110
South Korea Fuel Cell R&D Budget
8
Global Patent Overview
Copyright 2014 by Noriko Hikosaka Behling
Japan US South Korea Canada Germany France
2008 106 85 NaN 4 NaN NaN
2009 106 85 NaN 4 NaN NaN
2010 62 160 102 NaN NaN NaN
2011 221 136 128 NaN NaN NaN
2012 292 130 101 NaN 15 NaN
2013 215 152 98 NaN 12 11
25
75
125
175
225
275
325
Pate
nt N
umbe
rs
Top 10 Fuel Cell Patent Assignees by Country 2008-2013
CEPGI data
Copyright 2014 by Noriko Hikosaka Behling 10
Fuel Cell Commercialization (2) Toyota Fuel Cell Car Honda Fuel Cell Car
Hyundai FuelCell Car
11
Fuel Cell Commercialization (3)
Copyright 2014 by Noriko Hikosaka Behling
FY2009 2010 2011 2012 2013 2014 Apr-Jun
Installation 4997 6469 13460 24517 33531 10348
2500
7500
12500
17500
22500
27500
32500
37500
Installation
Japanese residential combined heat and power deployment, Total = 93,322 units (June 2014), Planned to install 5.3 million units by 2030
Data from Advanced Cogeneration and Energy Utilization Center Japan A.C.E.J, コジェネ財団 , as of June 2014
Copyright 2014 by Noriko Hikosaka Behling 12
Fuel Cell Commercialization (4)
FuelCell Energy - Cumulative global total 379.2MW, of which 269.2MW or 70% to South Korea; In July 2014, POSCO announced independent production.
1992
1993
1994
1995
1996
1997
1998
1999
2000
2001
2002
2003
2004
2005
2006
2007
2008
2009
2010
2011
2012
2013
2014
Units
5 7 3 1 17
7 0 13
18
11
10
9 9 17
2 6 16
6 8 9 2 3 12
13579
1113151719
UTC Power – Global total300 units
Jul 2008-Feb 2010
Feb-Dec 2010
2011 2012 Cumula-tive total as of Oct
2013
Bloom En-ergy Install-tions
11 4.6 9.6 24 114.08
10
50
90
MW
Bloom Energy installed 522 units, 113.08 MW SOFC systems primarily in California (as of Dec 2013) Bloom installed a 200kW Bloom box in Japan in Nov 2013
2000
2001
2002
2003
2004
2005
2006
2007
2008
2009
2010
2011
2012
2013
2014
US
0.25
NaN NaN 3.75
6.75
2.5 5.1 10.5
16.2
29.6
13 5.85
15.1
1.4 NaN
S.Korea
NaN NaN NaN NaN NaN NaN NaN 12.6
25.6
30.8
70 121.8
0 NaN 8.4
10
50
90
130
MW
UTC Power sold its fuel cell division to ClearEdge Power in 2013. ClearEdge filed Chapter 11 in April 2014 and sold its assets to Doosan Ltd of South Korea in July 2014
Copyright 2014 by Noriko Hikosaka Behling 13
Fuel Cell Commercialization (5)
2005 2006 2007 2008 2009 2010 2011 2012 2013
Net Loss
-51.7 -50.31
-60.57
-121.7
-40.7 -47 -27.5 -31.9 -62.8
-130
-110
-90
-70
-50
-30
-10
Mill
on $
Plug power
2005 2006 2007 2008 2009 2010 2011 2012 2013
Net Loss
-86.98
-181.1
4
-57.3 -31.46
-3.258
-31.53
2
-37.2 -42.13
5
-20
-190
-170
-150
-130
-110
-90
-70
-50
-30
-10
Mill
ion
@
Ballard (Canada)
Hydrogenics200
4200
5200
6200
7200
8200
9201
0201
1201
2201
3
Net Loss
-33.5
-37.4
-130.
8
-28.1
-14.3
-9.4 -6.5 -9.96600000000001
-12.797
-8.9
-130
-110
-90
-70
-50
-30
-10
Mill
ion
C$
2005 2006 2007 2008 2009 2010 2011 2012 2013
Net Loss
-74.26
-84.2 -71.88
-96.56
-71.88
-58.86
-57.9 -38.7 -38.6
-110
-90
-70
-50
-30
-10
Mill
ion
$
FuelCell Energy
Copyright 2014 by Noriko Hikosaka Behling 14
Summary of Making Fuel Cells Work1
After decades of public and private efforts, almost no fuel cell products are commercially competitive with conventional counterparts, without subsidies and tax credits.
Major impediments to commercialization include high cost, insufficient longevity, reliability and efficiency.
New approaches are needed to understand complexities of fuel cell operations at the atomic level and develop solutions.
Thus, I have proposed a National Academies study on fuel cells to find solutions to these challenges and show a new path to breakthroughs.
1Noriko Behling, published in National Academies Journal, Issues in Science and Technology, Spring 2013
Copyright 2014 by Noriko Hikosaka Behling 15
1. Assess research advances and technological opportunities for fuel cells that would greatly improve capability to support commercial and defense needs
2. Define a roadmap to discover and characterize fuel cell electrochemical processes and operations, including: – A theoretical understanding and empirical validation of underlying causes that drive
performance shortfalls; – Transformational technologies that enable creation of revolutionary fuel cell types – Simulators and models to be developed to depict fuel cell operations– Potential game-changing applications
3. Outline a feasible plan for how these goals would be achieved: – Developing fuel cell systems with high power density and high efficiency reformers – Systems or technologies that readily scale to high power applications– Fuel cell systems that can operate with fuel impurities (e.g., Sulfur, CO). – Order of magnitude reductions in catalyst costs and improvements in durability– Required authorities, milestones, and funding levels
National Academies Study Statement of Task
Study funding requirement: $600K
Copyright 2014 by Noriko Hikosaka Behling 16
Thank You for Listening!
Noriko Hikosaka [email protected]
703-893-1569www.norikobehling.com (my website)