finnish technology industry: statistics jan 2014

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The Federation of Finnish Technology Industries January 2014

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Page 1: Finnish technology industry: Statistics Jan 2014

The Federation of Finnish Technology Industries

January 2014

Page 2: Finnish technology industry: Statistics Jan 2014

10.04.2023 2

The Technology Industry Is Comprised of Five Sub-sectors

Metals IndustryBoliden, Componenta, Kuusakoski, Luvata, Norilsk Nickel, Outokumpu, Outotec, Ovako, Rautaruukki, Sacotec…

Mechanical EngineeringAbloy, Cargotec, Fiskars, Glaston, Kone, Konecranes, Metso, Normet, Oras, Patria, Pemamek, Ponsse, Prima Power, Stala, STX Finland, Valtra, Wärtsilä...

Electronics and Electrotechnical IndustryABB, Ensto, Murata Electronics, Nokia, Nokia Siemens Networks, Planmeca, Polar Electro, Suunto, Vacon, Vaisala...

Information TechnologyAffecto Finland, Basware, CGI, Codebakers, Codenomicon, Comptel, Digia, Efecte, Enfo, F-Secure, Fujitsu Finland, IBM, Knowit, Microsoft, Nixu, Tieto…

Consulting EngineeringA-insinöörit, Citec, Elomatic, Etteplan, FCG, Finnmap, Granlund, Neste Jacobs, Pöyry, Ramboll, Sito, SWECO, Vahanen, WSP…

Page 3: Finnish technology industry: Statistics Jan 2014

10.04.2023 3

The Technology Industry in Finland

Mechanical Engineering• Machinery, metal products, vehicles• Turnover (2012): 27.9 billion euros• Personnel (30.9.2013): 129 100

Electronics and Electrotechnical Industry• Data communications equipment, instruments, electrical machinery• Turnover (2012): 16.3 billion euros• Personnel (30.9.2013): 46 000

Information Technology• IT services, applications and programming• Turnover (2012): 7.5 billion euros• Personnel (30.9.2013): 54 000

Metals Industry• Steel products, non-ferrous metals, castings• Turnover (2012): 10.2 billion euros• Personnel (30.9.2013): 16 000

Consulting Engineering• Expertise for construction industry and infrastructure• Turnover (2012): 5.2 billion euros• Personnel (30.9.2013): 43 000

Page 4: Finnish technology industry: Statistics Jan 2014

• 55% of total Finnish exports.

• 80% of private-sector R&D investment.

• Almost 290,000 employed directly in the sector, 720,000 employed in total, equalling about 30% of the entire Finnish labour force.

• The Federation of Finnish Technology Industries has some 1,600 member companies.

10.04.2023 4

The Technology Industry – the Most Important Sector in Finland

Page 5: Finnish technology industry: Statistics Jan 2014

10.04.2023 510.04.2023 5

2005 2006 2007 2008 2009 2010 2011 201202468

10121416182022242628303234

Metals industry

Mechanical engineering

Electronics and elec-trotechnical industry

Information technology

Consulting engineering

Turnover of the Technology Industry in Finland

Source: Statistics Finland

Billion euros,at current prices

Page 6: Finnish technology industry: Statistics Jan 2014

10.04.2023 6

Export of Technology Industry Goods from Finland by Area in 2012Total goods exports 26.5 billion euros*

*) In addition to goods exports the sector exports services worth about 12 billion euros.Source: National Board of Customs, Statistics Finland

North America2.2 billion €8.2 %

North America2.2 billion €8.2 %

Western Europe12.0 billion €45.2 %

Western Europe12.0 billion €45.2 %

the Middle East0.6 billion € 2.3 %

the Middle East0.6 billion € 2.3 %

Asia4.1 billion €15.6 %

Asia4.1 billion €15.6 %

Africa0.8 billion €3.0 %

Africa0.8 billion €3.0 %

South and Central America1.5 billion €5.5 %

South and Central America1.5 billion €5.5 %

Central and Eastern Europe5.3 billion €20.2 %

Central and Eastern Europe5.3 billion €20.2 %

Page 7: Finnish technology industry: Statistics Jan 2014

10.04.2023 7

Turnover of the Industry and Technology Industry in Finland

80

90

100

110

120

130

140

150

Industry

Technology indus-try

2005 = 100

2005 2006 2007 2008 2009 2010 2011 2012 2013

Change: 1-9, 2013 / 1-9, 2012, %

Seasonally adjusted turnover index, latest information 9/2013.

Source: Statistics Finland

-6 %

-4 %

Page 8: Finnish technology industry: Statistics Jan 2014

10.04.2023 8

Turnover of the Technology Industry in Finland

50

60

70

80

90

100

110

120

130

140

150

160

170

180

190

200

Information technology

Consulting engineering

Mechanical engineering

Metals industry

Electronics and electrotechnical industry

2005 = 100

2005 2006 2007 2008 2009 2010 2011 2012 2013

Change: 1-9,2013 / 1-9,2012, %

Source: Statistics Finland

Seasonally adjusted turnover index, latest information 9/2013. Share of total turnover in 2012: mechanical engineering 41 %, electronics and electrotechnical industry 26 %, metals industry 14 %, information technology 11 %, consulting engineering 8 %

+3 %

+11 %

-6 %

-8 %

-13 %

Page 9: Finnish technology industry: Statistics Jan 2014

10.04.2023

Value of New Orders in the Technology Industry* in Finland

0

1000

2000

3000

4000

5000

6000

7000

8000

9000

10000

11000

12000

Combined

Export

Domestic

Million euros, at current prices

Source: The Federation of Finnish Technology Industries’ order book survey’s respondent companies, latest information July-September 2013

*) Excluding metals industry.

2005 2006 2007 2008 2009 2010 2011 2012 2013Change: III,2013 / III,2012 III,2013 / II,2013

Export: -30 % -24 %

Domestic: +1 % -21 %

Combined: -24 % -23 %

9

Page 10: Finnish technology industry: Statistics Jan 2014

10.04.2023

0

2000

4000

6000

8000

10000

12000

14000

16000

18000

20000

22000

24000

Series3

Export

Value of Order Books in the Technology Industry* in Finland

Million euros, at current prices

Source: The Federation of Finnish Technology Industries’ order book survey’s respondent companies, latest information 30.9.2013

*) Excluding metals industry.

Combined

Change: 30.9.2013 / 30.9.2012 30.9.2013 / 30.6.2013

Export: -12 % -10 %

Domestic: -3 % -2 %

Combined: -10 % -8 %

2005 2006 2007 2008 2009 2010 2011 2012 2013

10

Page 11: Finnish technology industry: Statistics Jan 2014

-100 %

-80 %

-60 %

-40 %

-20 %

0 %

20 %

40 %

60 %

80 %

100 %

120 %

140 %

160 %

180 %

200 %

Change in Value of Order Books in the Technology Industry in Finland Compared with a Year Earlier

Source: The Federation of Finnish Technology Industries’ order book survey’s respondent companies, latest information 30.9.2013

Change by companies: 30.9.2013 / 30.9.2012

Average: -10 %

Companies in random order

Median: 0 %

10.04.2023 11

Page 12: Finnish technology industry: Statistics Jan 2014

10.04.2023

Value of New Orders in the Electronics and Electrotechnical Industry in Finland

0500

1000150020002500300035004000450050005500600065007000

Combined

Export

Domestic

Million euros, at current prices

2005 2006 2007 2008 2009 2010 2011 2012 2013

Change: III,2013 / III,2012 III,2013 / II,2013

Export: -51 % -42 %

Domestic: -10 % -11 %

Combined: -48 % -39 %

Source: The Federation of Finnish Technology Industries’ order book survey’s respondent companies, latest information July-September 2013

12

Page 13: Finnish technology industry: Statistics Jan 2014

10.04.2023

0500

100015002000250030003500400045005000550060006500700075008000

Export

Domestic

Value of Order Books in the Electronics and Electrotechnical Industry in Finland

Combined

Million euros, at current prices

2005 2006 2007 2008 2009 2010 2011

2012 2013

Change: 30.9.2013 / 30.9.2012 30.9.2013 / 30.6.2013

Export: -43 % -33 %

Domestic: -18 % -10 %

Combined: -41 % -32 %

Source: The Federation of Finnish Technology Industries’ order book survey’s respondent companies, latest information 30.9.2013 13

Page 14: Finnish technology industry: Statistics Jan 2014

10.04.2023

Value of New Orders in the Mechanical Engineering in Finland

0

500

1000

1500

2000

2500

3000

3500

4000

4500

5000

Combined

Export

Domestic

Million euros, at current prices

2005 2006 2007 2008 2009 2010 2011 2012 2013

Change: III,2013 / III,2012 III,2013 / II,2013

Export: +4 % 0 %

Domestic: -8 % -26 %

Combined: +1 % -7 %

Source: The Federation of Finnish Technology Industries’ order book survey’s respondent companies, latest information July-September 2013

14

Page 15: Finnish technology industry: Statistics Jan 2014

10.04.2023

0100020003000400050006000700080009000

100001100012000130001400015000

Series3

Export

Value of Order Books in the Mechanical Engineering in Finland

Combined

Million euros, at current prices

Change: 30.9.2013 / 30.9.2012 30.9.2013 / 30.6.2013

Export: +5 % +1 %

Domestic: -5 % +1 %

Combined: +3 % +1 %

2005 2006 2007 2008 2009 2010 2011 2012 2013

Source: The Federation of Finnish Technology Industries’ order book survey’s respondent companies, latest information 30.9.2013 15

Page 16: Finnish technology industry: Statistics Jan 2014

10.04.2023

Value of New Orders in the Consulting Engineering in Finland

0

40

80

120

160

200

240

280

320

Combined

Export

Domestic

Million euros, at current prices

2005 2006 2007 2008 2009 2010 2011 2012 2013

Change: III,2013 / III,2012 III,2013 / II,2013

Export: -10 % -23 %

Domestic: +9 % -4 %

Combined: +6 % -7 %

Source: The Federation of Finnish Technology Industries’ order book survey’s respondent companies, latest information July-September 2013

16

Page 17: Finnish technology industry: Statistics Jan 2014

10.04.2023

0

50

100

150

200

250

300

350

400

450

500

550

600

Export

Domestic

Value of Order Books in the Consulting Engineering in Finland

Combined

Million euros, at current prices

Source: The Federation of Finnish Technology Industries’ order book survey’s respondent companies, latest information 30.9.2013

2005 2006 2007 2008 2009 2010 2011 2012 2013

Change: 30.9.2013 / 30.9.2012 30.9.2013 / 30.6.2013

Export: -3 % -13 %

Domestic: +22 % -3 %

Combined: +16 % -5 %

17

Page 18: Finnish technology industry: Statistics Jan 2014

10.04.2023

Value of New Orders in the Information Technology in Finland

050

100150200250300350400450500550600650700750800

Million euros, at current prices

2005 2006 2007 2008 2009 2010 2011 2012 2013

Change: III,2013 / III,2012 III,2013 / II,2013

Combined: +29 % -18 %

Source: The Federation of Finnish Technology Industries’ order book survey’s respondent companies, latest information July-September 2013

18

Page 19: Finnish technology industry: Statistics Jan 2014

10.04.2023

Value of Order Books in the Information Technology in Finland

0

200

400

600

800

1000

1200

1400

1600

1800

2000Million euros, at current prices

2007 2008 2009 2010 2011 2012 2013

Change: 30.9.2013 / 30.9.2012 30.9.2013 / 30.6.2013

Combined: -3 % -2 %

Source: The Federation of Finnish Technology Industries’ order book survey’s respondent companies, latest information 30.9.2013

19

Page 20: Finnish technology industry: Statistics Jan 2014

10.04.2023

2008 2009 2010 2011 2012 2013 (30.9.)140,000

160,000

180,000

200,000

220,000

240,000

260,000

280,000

300,000

320,000

340,000

Personnel in Finland Personnel in subsidiaries abroad

Source: Statistics Finland, The Federation of Finnish Technology Industries’ labour force survey

Personnel in the Technology IndustrySome 15 000 of employees affected by temporary or part-time lay-offs

20

Page 21: Finnish technology industry: Statistics Jan 2014

1998 1999 2000 2001 2002 2003 2004 2005 2006 2007 2008 2009 2010 2011 2012 2013 (30.9)

0

20,000

40,000

60,000

80,000

100,000

120,000

140,000

160,000

Metals industry Mechanical engineering industry Electronics and Electrotechnical Industry Information technology

Consulting engineering

Technology Industry Personnel in Finland

Source: Statistics Finland, The Federation of Finnish Technology Industries’ labour force survey10.04.2023 21

Page 22: Finnish technology industry: Statistics Jan 2014

10.04.2023 22

Retirement of Technology Industry Personnel

2000

2001

2002

2003

2004

2005

2006

2007

2008

2009

2010

2011

2012

2013

2014

2015

2016

2017

2018

2019

2020

2021

2022

2023

2024

2025

2026

2027

2028

2029

2030

0

1000

2000

3000

4000

5000

6000

7000

8000

9000

Number of individuals retiredNumber of individuals retiring (estimation)

Source: Wage inquiry of the Federation of Finnish Technology Industries, Finnish Centre for Pensions, Statistics Finland

Individuals per year

Salaried employees

Blue collar employees

Page 23: Finnish technology industry: Statistics Jan 2014

10.04.2023 23

Retirement of Technology Industry Blue Collar Employees

2000

2001

2002

2003

2004

2005

2006

2007

2008

2009

2010

2011

2012

2013

2014

2015

2016

2017

2018

2019

2020

2021

2022

2023

2024

2025

2026

2027

2028

2029

2030

0

500

1000

1500

2000

2500

3000

3500

Mechanical engineering Metals industry

Electronics and electrotechnical industry

Source: Wage inquiry of the Federation of Finnish Technology Industries, Finnish Centre for Pensions, Statistics Finland

Individuals per year

Page 24: Finnish technology industry: Statistics Jan 2014

Situational overview and outlook

• - Finland is in the grip of structural change. Development remains uneven between companies.

• - Turnover in Finland in 2012 was some EUR 67 billion. Turnover in the pre-crisis year 2008 was EUR 81 billion.

• - The monetary value of new orders in July-September 2013 was 24 % lower than in the corresponding period of 2012, and 23 % lower than at the level of the preceding quarter.

• - At the end of September, the value of order books was 10 % lower year on year, and 8 % lower the value reported at the end of June.

• - The turnover of technology industry companies could fall by as much as almost 10 per cent year-on-year, being significantly lower than in the times preceding the 2008 financial crises.

• - Since 2008, personnel numbers in Finland have shrunk by 30,000 employees, totalling 288,000 at the end of September.

• - Small and medium-sized enterprises in particular have reported weak development in profitability.

10.04.2023 24

Page 25: Finnish technology industry: Statistics Jan 2014

10.04.2023 25

European recovery is unconsistent

Page 26: Finnish technology industry: Statistics Jan 2014

65

70

75

80

85

90

95

100

105

110

USA

EU28 coun-tries

Japan

Finland

Industrial Production VolumeIndustrial production volume in EU countries 10 %, but in Finland 18 % lower since early 2008

2008=100

Seasonally adjusted volume index, latest information 10/2013 or 11/2013. Source: Eurostat, Federal Reserve (USA), Statistics Bereau and Statistics Center (Japan)

2008 2009 2010 2011 2012 2013

10.04.2023 26

Page 27: Finnish technology industry: Statistics Jan 2014

70

75

80

85

90

95

100

105

110

115

120

125

Poland

Estonia

Belgium

Austria

Germany

Sweden

Finland

Italy

Spain

Industrial Production Volume in EU Countries

2008=100

2008 2009 2010 2011 2012 2013

Seasonally adjusted volume index, latest information 9/2013 or 2013. Source: Eurostat 10.04.2023 27

Page 28: Finnish technology industry: Statistics Jan 2014

The Share of Industry in GDP in Finland 1900-2012

1900 1910 1920 1930 1940 1950 1960 1970 1980 1990 2000 20100%

5%

10%

15%

20%

25%

30%

35%

Industry Industry + service sectors in the technology industry

Source: Statistics Finland 10.04.2023 28

Page 29: Finnish technology industry: Statistics Jan 2014

10.04.2023 29

Breakdown of World Industrial Production

0

5

10

15

20

25

30

35

40

45

50

1950 1955 1960 1965 1970 1975 1980 1985 1990 1995 2000 2005 2010

Asia

North America

Europe

Purchasing power parity adjusted shares. Source: Maddison (Historical Statistics), IMF and ETLA

%

Page 30: Finnish technology industry: Statistics Jan 2014

10.04.2023 30

2005 2006 2007 2008 2009 2010 2011 2012 2013e 2014e80

100

120

140

160

180

200

220

240

260

280

300

320

China Korea

India Russia

Finland Brazil

USA Euroarea

Japan

Source: Consensus Economics

Industrial Production Development by Year

2005=100

Page 31: Finnish technology industry: Statistics Jan 2014

10.04.2023

2005 2006 2007 2008 2009 2010 2011 2012 2013e2030405060708090

100110120130140150160170180190200210

Greece Italy

Irland Portugal

Belgium Germany

Spain Finland

Sweden

Source: OECD, Economic Outlook, November 2013

Almost all Western Countries have Excessive Public Debt

31

Public debt / GDP, %

Page 32: Finnish technology industry: Statistics Jan 2014

10.04.2023 32

The Big Challenge for Finland after 2008

Page 33: Finnish technology industry: Statistics Jan 2014

10.04.2023

Finnish Exports up to EUR 20 – 30 Billion Short of Annual Target Level

10111213141516171819202122232425262728

Exports needed to avoid extra running into debt in the public sector

Exports, realized

Working day and seasonally adjusted index.Latest information July-September 2013. Source: Statistics Finland / National Accounts

Export of goods and services by quarter, billion euros, at current prices

33

2005 2006 2007 2008 2009 2010 2011 2012 2013

Page 34: Finnish technology industry: Statistics Jan 2014

Finnish Exports lagging Behind Competitors

90

100

110

120

130

140

150

160

170

180

190

200

210

220

230

Estonia

Poland

Chech Republic

Germany

The Nether-lands

Belgium

Sweden

Finland

Working day and seasonally adjusted index.Latest information July-September 2013. Source: Eurostat

Export of goods and services by quarter, billion euros, at current prices, index

2005,I = 100

3410.04.2023

2005 2006 2007 2008 2009 2010 2011 2012 2013

Page 35: Finnish technology industry: Statistics Jan 2014

3510.04.2023

2005 2006 2007 2008 2009 2010 2011 2012 2013e 2014e 2015e90

95

100

105

110

115

120

125

130

135

140

Germany

Netherlands

Sweden

USA

Switzerland

Finland

Finland not attracting Companies’ InvestmentCompanies’ Fixed Investments in Different Countries

Source: OECD, Economic Outlook, November 2013

Indeksi, 2005=100

Page 36: Finnish technology industry: Statistics Jan 2014

Unit Labour Costs at the National Economy Level (Including the Effective Exchange Rates)

90

95

100

105

110

115

120

Compared to Germany Compared to Spain Compared to ItalyCompared to the Netherlands Compared to Austria Compared to Finland

*) In the ECB Harmonised Competitiveness Index, the average effective exchange rate of each country is calculated vis-à-vis 20 to 30 main trade partners, as well as the development of unit labour costs for the total economyLatest information II/2013. Source: European Central Bank

Finland’s cost competitivenessdeclines

2005,I =100

Finland’s cost competitivenessimproves

10.04.2023 36

2005 2006 2007 2008 2009 2010 2011 2012 2013

Page 37: Finnish technology industry: Statistics Jan 2014

What should be done?

• Support the renewal of the industry• Taxes should support growth and investment in Finland• Support decision making in companies related to

compensation and working time• No new European nor national burdens on companies,

which are deteriorating the competitiveness

10.04.2023 37

Page 38: Finnish technology industry: Statistics Jan 2014

Long-Term Outlook and Challenges

• Global Structural Change Set to Continue Apace– Industrial production and services will relocate to rapidly developing

economic areas– Strong growth, large markets, cheap labour and increasing expertise will

increase the attractiveness of these regions.

• Competition over Skills and Raw Materials Set to Increase– Due to an increase in retirement, the sector’s annual recruitment need in

Finland will rise considerably in the coming years.– The availability of reasonably-priced energy also threatens to become an

investment bottleneck in Finland

• Combating Climate Change– A challenge as costs are set to grow faster than in competitor countries – An opportunity for new environmental and energy technologies

10.04.2023 38