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Fintech Companies in Emerging Markets State of Play, Financial Inclusion Potential, And Your Role Gayatri Murthy Financial Sector Specialist, CGAP

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Page 1: Fintech Companies in Emerging Markets - CGAP...Few companies have figured out how to do this at scale. MSME lenders in India assess firms bank transactions but also needs to

Fintech Companies in Emerging Markets

State of Play, Financial Inclusion Potential, And Your Role

Gayatri Murthy

Financial Sector Specialist, CGAP

Page 2: Fintech Companies in Emerging Markets - CGAP...Few companies have figured out how to do this at scale. MSME lenders in India assess firms bank transactions but also needs to

The Enabling Environment For Fintech

Page 3: Fintech Companies in Emerging Markets - CGAP...Few companies have figured out how to do this at scale. MSME lenders in India assess firms bank transactions but also needs to

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Many services appear as do ecosystems of incubators, accelerators, etc. But things shift fast!

Fintech continues to explode globally, and in emerging markets

India

Indonesia

Mexico

Nigeria

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The solutions and their scale is dependent on enabling regulation

Enabling Regulation

CGAP Research Shows 4 Enablers are crucial:

• Non-bank e-money issuance

• Use of agents

• Risk-based customer due diligence

• Customer protection Mexico Fintech Law

P2P legislation in

India and Indonesia

M-Pesa enabled by Kenyan

E-money issuance

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Robust financial and physical infrastructure is also key to fintech

development

Robust financial and physical infrastructure:

• Mobile phone

• Mobile internet connections

• Reliable electricity

• Digital ID system

• Real-time, interoperable payments

• Data sharing regimes (rare)

India Stack

Mexico “Co-Di”

Payments Scheme

Account Holders

(Findex)

Mobile Internet

Penetration (GSMA)

2011 2018

Indonesia 20% 49%

India 35% 80%

Kenya 42% 82%

2014 2018

Indonesia 21% 43%

India 19% 35%

Kenya 16% 24%

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These two factors also determine whether these solutions can reach

BOP or not

Enabling Regulation Robust financial and physical infrastructure:

Reach BOP or not:

• Example: Nigeria’s BVN number

• Example: Most agents, merchants and drivers focused in rural areas

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Guideline: Understand and support external factors that are crucial

Fintech can diversify the

market if allowed to

compete

Fintech goes mass

market where rails exist

Enabling regulation

Financial and physical

infrastructure

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The Nature of Solutions and Services

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Proliferation so far is uneven, and understandably has focused on

payments and credit

Payments

Wallets

Domestic remittances

POS devices

Payment processing for merchants

Insurance

B2B Payment Solutions

Credit

P2P versus balance sheet

Individual, MSMEs, Agri

Factoring, crowdsourcing

Digital BanksService

Marketplaces

Platforms

e.g: GoJek, Mercado Libre

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Many ways to slice and dice

A wide range of products are grouped under the fintech umbrella.

Pay

Borrow

Save

Protect

B2B

(Serving banks, MFI)

B2C

(Serving End customer)

Inclu

siv

e o

r no

t

The fintech explosion is varied and uneven

Focus is on classifying services and creating taxonomies

Many good taxonomies exist- World Bank, the Mix and the Cambridge Center

Payments- wallets, remittances, POS

machines, payment processors

Regtech, Suptech

Cyber-security tools

P2P insurance, voucher insurance, automated claims,

Credit scoring, data analytics, KYC

checks

Digital credit for SMEs, individuals, agri, P2P, factoring,

asset finance

Literacy tools

Micro-saving apps, social-

savings

Payment distribution, agent management,

Digital Banks

Market-places

Platforms

BaaS, SaaS,

chatbots

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Variations within product groups are also important to understand

Segment

• Individual

• MSME

• Agriculture

• Asset finance

Business Model

• P2P

• Balance sheet lending

Frontier/ early-stage

• Invoice Discounting

• Crowdfunding

• Digital ROSCAs

Digital Credit

This level of detail is

key to understanding

viability, innovation

and inclusivity

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Important to connect products with business innovation and with value

Payments

Credit

Allows many to pay easily; merchants to digitize;

creates digital footprints

QR Codes Easy-to-use apps POS

P2P lenders connect

funds with borrowers;

take on risk.

Reduces risk to lend; connects unused funds

with lenders

Creates creditworthiness where it didn’t exist before

Alternate credit scoring using

phone data and bank

transactions to assess people

and firms

Product Innovation Value

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Maturity of products is a key factor in determining impact in markets

13

Early Stage Growth Stage Mature Stage

Replicability

P2P insurance

Payment

wallets

Digital consumer

credit

Digital SME credit

Large variations in

models and their

maturity by market.

Remittances

Payment processors

Insurance

marketplace

Asset finance

Financial literacy tools

P2P credit

Invoice discounting

Voucher insurance Micro-savings

Digital BanksPayment aggregators

Marketplaces

chatbots

Automated claims

Model validation Customer use & behavior

Customer risks

Financial inclusion effects

Scalability and market effects

Seed Series A-C Series D+

Large variations in capital

availability.

Funding

Concerns

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Funding Flows & Gaps

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The funder community sees benefit in engaging with fintechs

Fintech could improve access for the underserved

POTENTIAL

FOR IMPACT

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According to the latest data from CGAP Funder

Survey, “Digital Finance” was the third most funded

project theme globally with a total of $1.59 bn

commitments in 2018.

“Micro and Small Enterprises”, and “Women” were

the two project themes that received more funding

than “Digital Finance”, in that order.

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Public Funding for Digital Finance: The Big Picture--2018

212 PROJECTS $1.59bn

COMMITMENTS

18ACTIVE FUNDERS

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But lack of data on funding flows, that combine public, private and

venture funding

So hard to assess gaps in market-making when full picture is not evident

Q3'18 Q4'18 Q1'19 Q2'19 Q3'19

Global VC-Backed fintech deals by continent, Q3'18-Q3'19

US

Asia

Europe

Africa

Australia

South America

Source: Pulse of Fintech H1’19, KPMG (2019)Source: CB Insights Report 2019

Private funding numbers

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• Total African venture investments reached a record high in 2019: USD 1.340

Bn in investments through 427 deals in equity and debt financing and a total

of 203 investors

• Funding is uneven within the continent. More than 75% of the deals were

concentrated in Nigeria, Kenya and South Africa creating a funding gap in

francophone. In 2018, only 1% of the $1.16 billion raised in equity by African

Tech Startup in 2018 was allocated to francophone Africa.

• Fintech retained its top position as the sector with most funding: USD 678.73

Mn, a 138.48% increase compared to the previous year

19

Africa is often excluded from global funding numbers

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Stable fintech products attract more funding

Over the past years, a handful of

sectors and products (e.g.

payments and credit) attracted

more funding than other sectors

Example: Payment and Credit in

India

Funders are now beginning to

invest emerging models like

Insuretech, but in select markets

Source: CB Insights Report 2019

$0.2 $0.7

$1.4 $1.4 $1.2

$2.5

$4.6

47

6371

94

125133

139

0

20

40

60

80

100

120

140

160

$0.0

$1.0

$2.0

$3.0

$4.0

$5.0

$6.0

$7.0

$8.0

$9.0

$10.0

2013 2014 2015 2016 2017 2018 2019

Insurtech Deals and Dollars

Investments ($B)

Source: Microsave

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There is lack of early-stage funding

34%37% 35%

30% 31%

22%

28%

26%

29%23%

15%

13%

14%15%

20%

7%

6%7%

6% 8%3%

2%3%

3%4%

2%

2% 3% 5%4%

17%12% 10% 11%

10%

0%

10%

20%

30%

40%

50%

60%

70%

80%

90%

100%

Q3'18 Q4'18 Q1'19 Q2'19 Q3'19

Quarterly Deal Share by Stage to Global VC-Banked Fintech Companies

Other

Series E

Series D

Series C

Series B

Series A

Seed/Angel

Source: CB Insights Q3’19 Report

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In emerging markets, lack of early-stage financing leads to inefficient

innovation

Seed(prototype,

founding

team)

Venture(Pilot, iterate,

marketing,

sales)

Growth(sales,

impact)

Mature

companie

s (expand,

diversify)

Emerging

markets

Developed

markets

Broad source of

funding

available: angel

investors,

friends/family,

own funds

Scarce funding:

Little to no angel

investing. Small

grants are very

competitive

Small set makes

it this far. Focus

is mostly on

proven models

like credit and

payments

Market disruption,

influencing

incumbents, M&A

activity

Active pipeline:

Large valuations,

follow-on equity

rounds, debt

capital

accessible

Constant

pipeline for

VC maintained

Constrained

pipeline: Few

larger follow-on

equity rounds,

focus on

demonstrated

models, little debt

financing available

Little or no

pathways to scale

and exit for

ventures

(acquisitions by

incumbents are rare)

Valley of death

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We haven’t yet connected capital with evidence

At all levels of maturity, we are not sure of our effects. Insight buried within firms, investors and few actors.

No one sees the whole picture.

Growth Stage

New models: savings, pension,

etc that don’t break even early.

Harder-to-reach segments like

agritech

Experiments at the frontier

Early StageMature Stage

• What innovations in

early models can work

and scale?

High Public-Funder ParticipationMedium Public-Funder ParticipationLow Public-Funder Participation

E.g.: Digital credit in E.Africa

Copycats New variations

P2P

MSME

Asset

• What is the viability and risks

in growing models? • Do maturing products

see cost reductions and

secondary effects

among the poor?

Big payment wallets

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Fintech’s Effects on the Underserved

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Cost Access Fit ExperienceCost

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We assessed fintech activity against four key inclusion criteria

Makes services more affordable

Lowers operating costs

Lowers end user fees

Offers more flexible payments

Reduces the need for expensive

devices

Requires less or cheaper

connectivity

Reduces the need for collateral

Makes financial services better

suited to the needs and wants

of underserved customers.

Addresses a customer need not

served by typical products

Aligns better with the needs and

wants of underserved customers

Allows greater customization to

different contexts, user needs and

preferences

Has a higher degree of suitability

for target customers

Enjoys higher general trust and

satisfaction from users

Makes financial services more

accessible:

Expands eligibility through

innovative means of CDD

Expands eligibility through

innovative means of risk

assessment

Requires less interaction at

physical transaction points

Expands or improves the

distribution of physical transaction

points

Offers an improved user

experience:

Has product features that are

easier to access, understand and

compare

Has an interface easier for most

customers to understand and use

Delivers clearer value to users

Helps users identify, understand

and resolve problems

Gives users control over data

Stronger technical security

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Access to basic services has expanded where right conditions exist

Type of access Experience

Cheap, real-time payments • Existing rails and long-term equity

investments (despite being pre-revenue)

offset costs and low price.

• This gives the companies time and space to

generate vast amounts of observable data,

gain market share and offer bundled

services.

Digital individual credit • Leverages comfort and trust with mobile

money.

• Using alternate data such as mobile

payments behavior and mobile use to offer

tiny, non-collateralized loans

% of

phone

owners

with a

digital

loan

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Access for excluded groups and for long-term finance is harder

For excluded

groups:

Agritech supply

chain

• Generally early-

stage.

• Need patient capital

to develop scores,

creditworthiness. informal domestic

workers

For long-term

finance:

Micro-insurance with

flexible premiums

Micro-savings with

bite-sized

contributions

• Products are new and

complex; require

capital to ascertain

viability.

• Don’t give returns for

a long time.

Fit

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Costs rise for riskier or specialized segments

• If basic digital credit (Branch, Tala, Mshwari, etc) is extended to agriculture and

SME loans, and are higher ticket, then the fully digital model does not work as well.

• Costs go up as partnerships, additional checks and deep context are needed on the

ground if loans involve input financing for farmers or invoice factoring for SMEs.

Credit

Farmers

MSMEs

More KYC Higher interest ratesHigh operation costs

Ground partners Need for debt finance

Cost

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Experience is enhanced, but largely on the smartphone

Experience

Policybazaar makes

insurance easy to pick

Paytm’s money manager GoPay’s platform

expands use cases

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Especially for complex products and for excluded groups, fintechs and their customers need to meet

physically

Access and Experience is not always virtual, not all apps

Few companies have

figured out how to do

this at scale.

MSME lenders in India assess firms

bank transactions but also needs to

“see” businesses and build sector

expertise. Growth is restricted to few

geographies as expertise develops

Shared network of roaming agent

throughout the territory that can

perform in person visits to people at

their homes. provides a physical

front to a range of services that are

natively digital.

Access

Experience

Page 31: Fintech Companies in Emerging Markets - CGAP...Few companies have figured out how to do this at scale. MSME lenders in India assess firms bank transactions but also needs to

Considerations for Funding

• Funding for “large” companies going downstream, e.g.:

Paytm, Policybazaar, etc

• Funding “difficult” products aimed at:

excluded groups (developing scores for farmers, MSMEs,

etc)

• Models that combine tech and touch

E.g.: Kobra, Aye

• Funding riskier models such as long-term finance—

(insurance for gig workers, bite-sized savings)—where

returns slow or not guaranteed.

Page 32: Fintech Companies in Emerging Markets - CGAP...Few companies have figured out how to do this at scale. MSME lenders in India assess firms bank transactions but also needs to

Questions for you

• Does this “state of play” for fintech resonate with you?

• What factors that you have noticed are missing?

• Are you satisfied with what you know about fintech? What are

other knowledge gaps?

• How do you measure market effects?

Page 33: Fintech Companies in Emerging Markets - CGAP...Few companies have figured out how to do this at scale. MSME lenders in India assess firms bank transactions but also needs to

For further reading

http://cgap.org/fintech

Main paper

summary lessons

Case studies

showcasing pilots with

18 fintechs