fire activity/potential july 9/08 · fire activity/potential july 9/08 • athabasca fires remain...
TRANSCRIPT
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Fire Activity/Potential July 9/08
• Athabasca fires remain active – some cloud in area
• P3 covering these later today• Alaska pyroCb last night - monitoring• CA fires extremely active – transit flight?
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Terra18:50 UTC12:50 pm MDT
Aqua20:40 UTC2:40 pm MDT
Fires at Athabasca and Great Slave Lakes Tues. July 8Note afternoon enhancementMore fires. More smoke
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AIRS Support for ARCTAS
• New plumes of Alaska and Lake Athabasca.• Relatively cleaner over Canada• DC8 should capture the long-range transport both at the pole and from N. America today• Flight back to Cold Lake should capture the remaining long-range transport and new fire emissions.
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AIRS CO (ppbv) at 500mb for June 26 – July 8
AIRS CH4 (ppbv) at 300mb for June 26 – July 8
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Missing some greatfires down south in Calif.
Note the smoke is flowingSouth and west.
It is not mixing with the Asian transport at theU.S.-Canadian border.
AERONET AOD = 1.8In Monterey
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Summary1. Athabasca and Great Slave Lake fires flared up yesterday and smoke plumes identified, but too localto show up in regional AOD maps
2. Calif. Fire smoke transported south and west, buthigh AOD identified all the way east to Dakotas.(from Calif.? Or from Asia?)
3. Asian fine mode aerosol in the Bering Sea4. Too cloudy to see Alaskan fire smoke5. Outflow over Newfoundland probably a mix of theAsian transport with homegrown U.S. pollution
6. Band of slightly elevated AOD at around 62 N. Source unknown.
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Day 190 (Tuesday) July 8MODIS AOD Hotspots in North America
?
Asian
Calif.
Asian
Outflow (Asian/mixed)
Slightlyelevated
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Day 190 (Monday) July 8MODIS AOD Hotspots in North America
Bonanza Creek <no data>
OPAL <0.03>
Fort McMurray <0.12>Kelowna <0.17 to 0.35>
Churchill <0.09>
Saturn Island <0.09 to 0.30>
Kangerlussuaq <0.07>
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Day 190 (July 8) TuesdayMODIS Hot Spots in Northern Hemisphere
Calif. Fire smoke
Asian smoke
dust
Outflow
Asian transport
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LL
L
CloudAerosol Layer- low aerosol loading
Aerosol Layer- high aerosol loadingAerosol Layer- medium aerosol loading
Aerosol Layer Locations based on CALIPSO Observation on 7/8
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CALIPSO Obs 21Z 7/7
3km
Weak aerosol layer
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CALIPSO Obs 09Z 7/8
Lofted Aerosol
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CALIPSO Obs 7/8
2km
4km
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CALIPSO Obs 7/8
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CALIPSO Obs 7/8
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Trajectory analysis provided by Brad Pierce (NOAA/NESDIS)
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CALIPSO Obs 7/8
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TES CO Mean Column Concentration from SS orbits 7752 and 7773 (07/07)
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TES CO (left) and O3 (right) curtains from SS orbit 7752 (07/07
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TES CO (left) and O3 (right) curtains from SS orbit 7773 (07/07)
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TES SS 7752 Forward Trajectories “Profile 1” Valid 00Z 07/10
(07/09 Thule local flight)
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TES SS 7752 Forward Trajectories “Profile 2” Valid 00Z 07/10 (07/09 Thule local flight)
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TES SS 7773 Forward Trajectories “Profile 8” Valid 00Z 07/10
(07/09 Thule local flight)
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TES SS 7773 Forward Trajectories “Profile 9” Valid 00Z 07/10
(07/09 Thule local flight)
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TES SS 7752 Forward Trajectories “Profile 9” Valid 00Z 07/13 (07/12 Dryden Transit)
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TES SS 7752 Forward Trajectories “Profile 9” Valid 00Z 07/13 (07/12 Dryden Transit)
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TES SS 7752 Forward Trajectories “Profile 9” Valid 00Z 07/13 (07/12 Dryden Transit)
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Biomass and Anthropogenic CO Tracers
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N. Amercican TracersNorth American Anthropogenic Tracers
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BC
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Biomass, N.American CO, BCLeg 1 – Transect : Thule – Lake Athabasca
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ProfileGood location for sampling biomass versus N.American Pollution
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New FiresSignificantly different situation for aerosol tracers
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Outlook
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July 6 July 7
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July 8
July 6 July 7
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Thule Return MOZART Fx July 10 18ZCO Nasia BB
CO Nasia Anthro
CO Namerica BB
CO Nasia Anthro
CO Nasia BB 8 km
CO Namerica BB 4 km
CO Namerica BB 4 km
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CO Nasia BB
CO Nasia Anthro
CO Namerica BB
CO Nasia Anthro
MOZART
CAM
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Thule Return Aerosol July 9 18Z
MOZART
CAM
AOD AOD
SO4
Org. Carbon
Dust
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Transit to Palmdale July 12 18ZMOZART Fx
3 km
CO Nasia BB CO Nasia Anthro
CO Namerica BB CO Namerica Anthro
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Transit to Palmdale July 12 18ZMOZART Fx
9 km
CO Nasia BB CO Nasia Anthro
CO Namerica BB CO Namerica Anthro
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Example Flight Plan for Transit
Siberian BB Plume
6 km
CO Nasia BB
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Example Flight Planfor Transit
CO Nasia BB
CO Namerica BB
2 km
CO Namerica AnthroCO Nasia Anthro
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GEOS5 Forecast: 5-Day CO Animation July 9th – 13th (July 9th 00Z)
Total CO 500 mb California Fire CO 500 mb
California fire pollution loftedon 10th.
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GEOS-5 20080709_06Z Fcst: CO Outlook for the next few days
July 10
700 hPa
July 11 July 12300 hPa 300 hPa 300 hPa
700 hPa 700 hPa
Waves of Siberian Fire/Asian anthro. plumes due east across the Pacific and US/Canada border
Lofting of California fire/some N. Amer pollution to the middle troposphere and transported east.
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GEOS5 Forecast: DC-8 Flight : Thule to Cold Lake July 10th 16:30Z (July 9th 06Z forecast)
Total CO 850 mb Total CO 500 mb
Total CO 300 mbCalifornia Fires:Keep an eye onfor transit to Palmdale.
Siberian Fire
Siberian Fire + AsianAnthro.
Not much going on forThule to Cold Lake at 500 mb.
Some relatively weak plumes at 300 mb, but flight track missingthem.
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GEOS5 Forecast: DC-8 Flight July 10th 16:30Z (July 9th 06Z forecast)
Total CO 300 mb
Boreal CO
N Amer Anthro. CO
Total CO
Asian Anthro CO
EPV
Was flight plan designed to missall plumes on purpose?
Siberian
Canadian
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Organic Carbon
Dust
GEOS5 Forecast: DC-8 Flight July 10th
16:30Z (July 9th 06Z forecast)
AOT
Aerosol Extinction (/km)
Sulfate
Black Carbon
AOT
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Total CO
Boreal CO
Asian Anthro CO
Nonboreal CON. Amer Anthro. CO
Total CO 500 mb
GEOS-5 Forecast 20080709_06Z: July 12 Cold Lake -> Palmdale
Siberian fire
California fires
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Sulfate
Dust
Black Carbon
Boreal Organic Carbon
AOT
Nonboreal Organic Carbon
GEOS-5 Forecast 20080709_06Z: July 12 Cold Lake -> Palmdale
Asian dust
California dust
N.Amer. pollution
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300hPa
500hPa
300hPa 300hPa
500hPa
850hPa850hPa
500hPa
850hPa
Asian anthropogenic CO Boreal biomass burning CO Nonboreal biom. Burn. CO
GEOS-5 Forecast 20080709_06Z: July 12 Cold Lake -> Palmdale
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5.5km layer
Biomass CO, 12Z, 7/10 Anthropogenic CO, 12Z, 7/10
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8.5km layer
Biomass CO, 12Z, 7/10 Anthropogenic CO, 12Z, 7/10
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AOD, 7/10, 12Z
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N. AmericaN. Asia
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5.5km layer
Biomass CO, 12Z, 7/12 Anthropogenic CO, 12Z, 7/12
Transit Home
South Bound, Sample Siberian biomass mixed with Asian pollution in the northern legs and then sample California fires at the southern leg below 5km.
East Bound: Opportunity to sample aged biomass plumes behind the front (including those sampled on July 10) and pollution ahead of the front (mixed with aged fires)
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Transit July 12: Eastbound
Opportunity to sample aged biomass plumes behind the front and pollution ahead of the front (mixed with aged fires)
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