first synthetic securitization of sme loans in...

18
Page 1 May 2008 First Synthetic Securitization of SME Loans in CEE Lessons Learned Worldbank Conference Bratislava, May 16 2008

Upload: doduong

Post on 03-Dec-2018

213 views

Category:

Documents


0 download

TRANSCRIPT

Page 1: First Synthetic Securitization of SME Loans in CEEsiteresources.worldbank.org/EXTECAREGTOPPRVSECDEV/Resources/570954... · Page 2 May 2008 The profitability of CEE banking business

Page

1M

ay 2

008

Firs

t Syn

thet

ic S

ecur

itiza

tion

of

SM

E L

oans

in C

EE

Less

ons

Lear

ned

Wor

ldba

nk C

onfe

renc

eB

ratis

lava

, May

16

2008

Page 2: First Synthetic Securitization of SME Loans in CEEsiteresources.worldbank.org/EXTECAREGTOPPRVSECDEV/Resources/570954... · Page 2 May 2008 The profitability of CEE banking business

Page

2M

ay 2

008

The

prof

itabi

lity

of C

EE b

anki

ng b

usin

ess f

requ

ently

supp

orts

a

risk

trans

fer t

hrou

gh se

curit

isatio

ns–

Secu

ritisa

tion

is an

alte

rnat

ive

to c

onve

ntio

nal e

quity

.

–Th

e tra

nsac

tion

signi

fican

tly in

crea

ses t

he R

OE

Giv

en th

e d

ynam

ic g

row

th ra

tes,

the

freed

-up

regu

lato

ry a

nd

econ

omic

cap

ital is

re-e

mpl

oyed

ver

y qu

ickl

y.

Why

secu

ritisa

tion?

Page 3: First Synthetic Securitization of SME Loans in CEEsiteresources.worldbank.org/EXTECAREGTOPPRVSECDEV/Resources/570954... · Page 2 May 2008 The profitability of CEE banking business

Page

3M

ay 2

008

Fund

ing

was

not

an

issue

than

ks to

acc

ess t

o liq

uid

ity

Com

bini

ng th

e po

rtfol

ios o

f tw

o or

igin

ator

s onl

y ap

pear

ed

poss

ible

with

a sy

nthe

tic st

ruct

ure

–A

true

-sal

e se

curit

isatio

nfo

r tw

o co

untri

es w

ould

hav

e be

en p

ossib

le o

nly

with

an

exce

ssiv

e st

ruct

urin

g w

ork

–W

e us

e a

varie

ty o

f und

erly

ing

prod

ucts

whi

ch a

re p

artly

al

so se

cure

d. T

his w

ould

hav

e cr

eate

d n

umer

ous

add

ition

al le

gal is

sues

.

A sy

nthe

tic st

ruct

ure

allo

wed

us t

o re

ach

Aaa

-ratin

g le

vels

and

ther

efor

e pr

ovid

ed a

n at

tract

ive

pric

ing.

Why

Syn

thet

ic S

ecur

itisa

tion?

Page 4: First Synthetic Securitization of SME Loans in CEEsiteresources.worldbank.org/EXTECAREGTOPPRVSECDEV/Resources/570954... · Page 2 May 2008 The profitability of CEE banking business

Page

4M

ay 2

008

KfW

as m

ain

cou

nter

party

in th

e tra

nsa

ctio

n

Stro

ng c

ount

erpa

rty b

ecau

se o

f Ger

man

Sta

te

Gua

rant

ee

Stro

ng su

ppor

t with

kno

w-h

ow tr

ans

fer –

not o

nly

inte

rmed

iary

but

also

ad

viso

r rol

e.

Cle

ar a

dva

nta

ge o

f usin

g m

ain

fea

ture

s of K

fW´s

Prom

ise P

latfo

rm

KfW

Invo

lvem

ent

Page 5: First Synthetic Securitization of SME Loans in CEEsiteresources.worldbank.org/EXTECAREGTOPPRVSECDEV/Resources/570954... · Page 2 May 2008 The profitability of CEE banking business

Page

5M

ay 2

008

Stre

ngth

s of P

rom

ise P

latfo

rm

The

mai

n fe

atur

es o

f sta

ndar

dise

d se

curit

isatio

n in

frast

ruct

ure

are:

-Tr

ansa

ctio

n st

ruct

ure

(syn

thet

ic w

ith fu

nded

mez

zani

ne tr

anc

he)

-St

and

ard

Doc

umen

tatio

n (t

o a

larg

e ex

tent

)-

Swap

auc

tion

proc

ess f

or su

per-s

enio

r sw

ap (n

ot re

quire

d in

RO

OF

CEE

200

6-1)

-Un

iform

col

late

ral (

KfW

pap

er)

-Un

iform

cal

l fea

ture

s-

Unifo

rm lo

ss a

lloca

tion

prin

cipl

es (r

ealis

ed lo

sses

)-

Sim

ilarc

red

it ev

ent d

efin

ition

(fai

lure

to p

ay, i

nsol

venc

y,

rest

ruct

urin

g)

Page 6: First Synthetic Securitization of SME Loans in CEEsiteresources.worldbank.org/EXTECAREGTOPPRVSECDEV/Resources/570954... · Page 2 May 2008 The profitability of CEE banking business

Page

6M

ay 2

008

Diff

eren

ces t

o Pr

omise

?

PRO

MIS

E “l

ight

”-s

imila

r to

PRO

MIS

E pl

atfo

rm, b

ut so

me

dist

inct

ive

diffe

renc

es-

Two

ind

epen

den

t ban

k sw

aps w

ith o

rigin

ator

s-

Sub-

pool

s are

not

ind

ivid

ually

tran

ched

and

rate

d-

KfW

com

bine

s the

sub-

pool

s of P

olish

and

Cze

ch S

ME

risks

-N

o SP

V, i

.e. t

rans

actio

n is

unfu

nded

(ful

ly sy

nthe

tic)

-O

ne ra

ting

agen

cy o

nly

(Moo

dy’

s)-

Priv

ate

plac

emen

t –bu

t pub

lic ra

ting

CDS

are

den

omin

ate

d in

EUR

(des

pite

thre

e cu

rrenc

ies i

n po

ol)

Repl

enish

men

t per

iod

of u

p to

5 y

ears

per

mits

orig

inat

ors

-to

real

ize e

cono

mie

s of s

cale

(ie

amor

tisat

ion

of u

p fro

nt c

ost)

-pr

ovid

es fo

r con

tinui

ng su

ppor

t of n

ew b

usin

ess

Page 7: First Synthetic Securitization of SME Loans in CEEsiteresources.worldbank.org/EXTECAREGTOPPRVSECDEV/Resources/570954... · Page 2 May 2008 The profitability of CEE banking business

Page

7M

ay 2

008

Cas

e st

udy:

RO

OF

CEE

200

6-1

-the

orig

inat

ors

-Fou

nded

in 1

991

-Tot

al a

sset

s 200

6: E

UR 4

bl

n-N

et p

rofit

200

6: E

UR 6

5 m

ln-2

,194

em

ploy

ees

-Mar

ket s

hare

in P

olan

d

5,2

%

Raiff

eise

n Ba

nk P

olsk

a S.

A. (

RBPL

)

-Fo

und

ed in

199

3-

Tota

l ass

ets 2

007:

EUR

4,6

bln

-N

et p

rofit

200

7: E

UR 3

6 m

ln-

2,50

0 em

ploy

ees

-Fi

fth b

igge

st b

ank

in C

zech

Re

publ

ic-

SMEs

are

one

of t

he m

ost

impo

rtant

gro

up o

f clie

nts (

mak

e up

36

% o

f all l

oans

), m

arke

t sh

are:

7,8

%

Raiff

eise

nban

k a.

s. (R

BCZ)

Page 8: First Synthetic Securitization of SME Loans in CEEsiteresources.worldbank.org/EXTECAREGTOPPRVSECDEV/Resources/570954... · Page 2 May 2008 The profitability of CEE banking business

Page

8M

ay 2

008

Dev

elop

men

t SM

E Po

rtfol

ios

-C

ompo

und

ed y

oygr

owth

of

SME

busin

ess 9

%-

Ma

jorit

y of

loa

n te

nor i

n th

e ar

ea o

f bel

ow y

ear,

incr

ease

in

the

1 to

3 y

ears

buc

ket

-St

rong

ly re

pres

ente

d in

dus

tries

: tra

de

and

man

ufac

turin

g

Raiff

eise

n Ba

nk P

olsk

a S.

A. (

RBPL

)

-St

rong

gro

wth

in S

ME

lend

ing:

av

erag

e ye

arly

gro

wth

+20

%

dur

ing

last

7 y

ears

-Te

nden

cies

to in

vest

men

t loa

ns

with

long

er m

atu

ritie

s esp

ecia

lly

with

teno

rs a

bove

5 y

ears

-W

orki

ng c

apita

l fin

ance

with

shor

t te

rm-

Stro

ngly

repr

esen

ted

ind

ustri

es

Food

and

Rea

l est

ate

-cu

stom

ers r

egio

nal c

once

ntra

tion

in th

e Pr

ague

(app

rox

50%

)

Raiff

eise

nban

k a.

s. (R

BCZ)

Page 9: First Synthetic Securitization of SME Loans in CEEsiteresources.worldbank.org/EXTECAREGTOPPRVSECDEV/Resources/570954... · Page 2 May 2008 The profitability of CEE banking business

Page

9M

ay 2

008

-A

vera

ge q

ualit

y of

poo

l: BB

+ (B

a1) o

r bet

ter

-M

axim

al W

eigh

ted

Ave

rage

Life

time

(WA

L) o

f poo

l: 4,

5 ye

ars

-Re

plen

ishin

g po

ols p

ossib

le-

Max

imum

sing

le o

blig

or c

once

ntra

tion

of p

ool u

p to

1%

-M

axim

um si

ngle

ind

ustri

al se

ctor

con

cent

ratio

n up

to 1

5% o

f tot

al p

ool;

furth

erm

ore,

up

to 3

ind

ustri

al se

ctor

s cou

ld h

ave

a sh

are

of m

ore

than

10%

ea

ch o

f the

poo

l -a

s lon

g as

thei

r com

bine

d sh

are

wou

ld n

ot e

xcee

d 3

5%

of th

e po

ol (a

ccor

din

g to

indu

stria

l sec

tor c

odifi

catio

n of

ratin

g ag

enci

es)

-M

axim

um a

ggre

gate

“To

p 10

”ob

ligor

con

cent

ratio

n”up

to 7

% o

f tot

al

pool

-M

inim

um c

olla

tera

l req

uire

men

t for

poo

l not

less

than

50%

KfW

Refe

renc

e Po

ol R

equi

rem

ents

Page 10: First Synthetic Securitization of SME Loans in CEEsiteresources.worldbank.org/EXTECAREGTOPPRVSECDEV/Resources/570954... · Page 2 May 2008 The profitability of CEE banking business

Page

10

May

200

8

-C

laim

s are

SM

Es a

ccor

din

g to

KfW

-def

initi

onof

“M

ittel

stan

dsk

red

it”(i.

e.

loan

s to

ent

erpr

ises w

ith y

early

reve

nues

not

exc

eed

ing

EUR

500m

)-

SME

ass

ets a

ccor

din

g to

EIF

def

initi

on*

(i.e.

EU

def

initi

on a

s of J

anua

ry 1

, 20

05);

larg

er o

blig

ors (

i.e. c

ompa

nies

with

up

to 3

,000

em

ploy

ees)

may

a

lso b

e in

clud

ed b

ut sh

ould

not

repr

esen

t mor

e th

an [e

.g. 2

5%] o

f the

po

ol-

Elig

ible

refe

renc

e cl

aim

s are

SM

E as

sets

like

loan

s and

gua

rant

ees

-Re

fere

nce

clai

ms a

re p

erfo

rmin

g SM

E as

sets

as o

f the

cut

-off

dat

e-

Each

ind

ivid

ual r

efer

ence

cla

im c

arrie

s a m

inim

um ra

ting

equi

vale

nt to

"B

" (B2

)-

Refe

renc

e cl

aim

s are

free

of T

hird

Par

ty R

ight

s

Elig

ibilit

y cr

iteria

Page 11: First Synthetic Securitization of SME Loans in CEEsiteresources.worldbank.org/EXTECAREGTOPPRVSECDEV/Resources/570954... · Page 2 May 2008 The profitability of CEE banking business

Page

11

May

200

8

Ref.

Obl

igat

ions

: –

EUR,

CZK

and

PLN

den

omin

ated

co

rpor

ate

loan

s to

Cze

ch a

nd

Polis

h SM

E bo

rrow

ers (

incl

udin

g bo

rrow

ers w

hich

are

cla

ssifi

ed a

s co

rpor

ate

borro

wer

s)N

umbe

r of R

ef. O

blig

atio

ns:

–1,

256

Num

ber o

f Bor

row

ers:

–94

2G

eogr

aphi

c D

iver

sity:

–Po

land

59.

41%

,C

zech

Rep

ublic

40.

59%

Rem

aini

ng T

erm

:–

Ave

rage

14.

11 m

onth

s, m

in 0

mon

ths,

max

59

mon

ths

Portf

olio

Cha

ract

erist

ics

WA

Inte

rnal

Rat

ing:

–2.

49M

ax. S

ingl

e Bo

rrow

er:

–0.

70%

Max

. Sin

gle

Ind

ustry

:–

appr

ox. 1

5%C

losin

g –

Mar

ch 2

006

Vol

ume

–EU

R 45

0 m

lnA

sset

s–

SME

Loan

sRe

plen

ishm

ent

–5

year

sA

vera

ge T

enor

appr

ox. 7

yea

rs

Page 12: First Synthetic Securitization of SME Loans in CEEsiteresources.worldbank.org/EXTECAREGTOPPRVSECDEV/Resources/570954... · Page 2 May 2008 The profitability of CEE banking business

Page

12

May

200

8

RBC

Z

RBPL

Supe

r Sen

ior

83.9

%

Aa

a6%

Aa

2 1.

7%

A2

2.8%

Ba2

2.8%

Com

bine

d

Refe

renc

e Po

ol

EUR

450

mln

Risk

Sel

ler

KfW

-Pla

tform

Risk

Tak

er

P ort f

olio

CD

SEU

R 18

3 m

ln

Firs

t Los

sPie

ce2.

8%

P ort f

olio

CD

SEU

R 26

7 m

ln

RI

ROO

F C

EE 2

006-

1Fi

nal S

truct

ure

app

lied

Page 13: First Synthetic Securitization of SME Loans in CEEsiteresources.worldbank.org/EXTECAREGTOPPRVSECDEV/Resources/570954... · Page 2 May 2008 The profitability of CEE banking business

Page

13

May

200

8

ROO

F C

EE 2

006-

1 D

elin

quen

cies

0%1%2%3%4%5%6%7%8%9%10% Ju

n.06Ju

l.06 Aug.06

Sep.06

Okt.06 Nov.0

6 Dez.06 Jä

n.07Fe

b.07 Mär.07 Apr.07 Mai.07 Ju

n.07Ju

l.07 Aug.07

Sep.07

Okt.07 Nov.0

7 Dez.07 Jä

n.08Fe

b.08 Mär.08

1 - 3

0 d

ays

31 -

60 d

ays

61 -

90 d

ays

Page 14: First Synthetic Securitization of SME Loans in CEEsiteresources.worldbank.org/EXTECAREGTOPPRVSECDEV/Resources/570954... · Page 2 May 2008 The profitability of CEE banking business

Page

14

May

200

8

ROO

F C

EE 2

006-

1 Re

plen

ishm

ent

0

100

200

300

400

500

600

700

800

900

1.00

0Jun.06Jul.06

Aug.06Sep.06Okt.06

Nov.06Dez.06Jän.07Feb.07Mär.07Apr.07Mai.07Jun.07Jul.07

Aug.07Sep.07Okt.07

Nov.07Dez.07Jän.08Feb.08Mär.08

Volume in EUR mln

1.20

0

1.25

0

1.30

0

1.35

0

1.40

0

1.45

0

Mon

thly

Rep

leni

shm

ent

Out

stan

ding

vol

ume

EUR

450

mln

Num

ber

of S

ecur

itise

d Lo

ans

Page 15: First Synthetic Securitization of SME Loans in CEEsiteresources.worldbank.org/EXTECAREGTOPPRVSECDEV/Resources/570954... · Page 2 May 2008 The profitability of CEE banking business

Page

15

May

200

8

The

Con

vent

iona

l way

to c

ope

with

ass

et g

row

th

RI G

roup

Loan

sN

et M

argi

n2%

p.a

.EU

R 1

00 m

lnLo

ans

Net

Mar

gin

EUR

2 m

lnp.

a.

Shar

e-ho

lder

s

EUR

10

mln

Equi

ty*

RO

SCC

20%

Mor

eSh

are-

hold

ers

New

Loa

nsN

et M

argi

n1%

p.a

.

Net

Mar

gin

EUR

3 m

lnp.

a.

Mor

eEq

uity

EUR

20

mln

Equi

ty*

EUR

200

mln

Loan

s

15%

*Ass

umin

ga

10%

Eco

nom

icEq

uity

Req

uire

men

t

Page 16: First Synthetic Securitization of SME Loans in CEEsiteresources.worldbank.org/EXTECAREGTOPPRVSECDEV/Resources/570954... · Page 2 May 2008 The profitability of CEE banking business

Page

16

May

200

8

The

bene

fit o

f sec

uriti

satio

n

RI G

roup

Loan

sN

et M

argi

n2%

p.a

.Sh

are-

hold

ers

EUR

10

Equi

ty*

New

Loa

nsN

et M

argi

n1%

p.a

.

Net

Mar

gin

EUR

3 m

lnp.

a.

Secu

ritis

atio

nIn

vest

ors

RO

E23

.75%

EUR

125

mln

Se

curit

isat

ion

0,5%

Cos

t(i.

e.

EUR

0,6

25 m

ln)

EUR

2.37

5mln

Ret

urn

on E

quity

impr

oves

to 2

3.75

%

rath

erth

ande

crea

ses

to 1

5%

*Ass

umin

ga

10%

Eco

nom

icEq

uity

Req

uire

men

t

EUR

125

mln

Se

curit

isat

ion

EUR

200

mln

Page 17: First Synthetic Securitization of SME Loans in CEEsiteresources.worldbank.org/EXTECAREGTOPPRVSECDEV/Resources/570954... · Page 2 May 2008 The profitability of CEE banking business

Page

17

May

200

8

Som

eco

nsid

erat

ions

rega

rdin

gBa

sel 2

Base

l 2 re

duc

es th

e ris

k w

eigh

t for

cer

tain

hig

h-qu

ality

reta

il po

rtfol

ios a

nd th

us re

duc

e th

e eq

uity

-relie

f effe

ct o

f sec

uriti

satio

nsfo

r the

se a

sset

s–

Secu

ritisa

tion

will

beco

me

inte

rest

ing

for m

id-c

ap c

orpo

rate

and

SM

E po

rtfol

ios b

ut a

lso fo

r hig

h yi

eld

con

sum

er lo

an p

ortfo

lios

–Se

curit

isatio

nw

ill br

ing

little

ben

efit

for h

igh-

qual

ity m

ortg

age

loan

po

rtfol

ios.

–Fo

r hig

h qu

ality

loan

s fun

din

g is

mor

e pr

evai

ling

–Se

lling

low

er ra

ted

and

eve

n fir

st-lo

ss tr

anc

hes w

ill be

com

e in

crea

singl

y a

n iss

ueSe

curit

isatio

nis

an e

ffici

ent t

ool t

o re

duc

e th

e ca

pita

l vol

atilit

y ot

herw

ise o

ccur

ring

und

er B

ase

l 2W

ith c

erta

in sh

ifts o

f foc

us, B

asel

2 w

ill fu

el se

curit

isatio

nsfu

rther

Page 18: First Synthetic Securitization of SME Loans in CEEsiteresources.worldbank.org/EXTECAREGTOPPRVSECDEV/Resources/570954... · Page 2 May 2008 The profitability of CEE banking business

Page

18

May

200

8

The

pote

ntia

l for

the

futu

re

Tra

nsa

ctio

n a

llow

ed R

BPL

and

RBC

Z to

div

ersif

y th

eirc

apita

l sou

rces

-r

isk tr

ansf

er a

s alte

rnat

ive

stra

tegy

to a

cces

s eq

uity

at c

ompe

titiv

e co

stSt

ruct

ure

help

s orig

inat

ors t

o su

stai

n gr

owth

pro

cess

and

furth

er

lend

ing

to S

MEs

–at

com

petit

ive

mar

gins

We

cons

ider

app

lyin

g sy

nthe

tic st

ruct

ures

also

in th

e fu

ture

–w

hen

our f

und

ing

cost

are

bel

ow a

cer

tain

thre

shol

d–

whe

n w

e lo

ok a

t non

-sta

ndar

dize

d p

rod

ucts

–w

hen

we

wan

t por

tfolio

s of s

ever

al u

nits

Con

sider

ing

the

abov

e, sy

nthe

tic st

ruct

ures

may

be

the

obvi

ous

choi

ce fo

r–

Pola

nd, t

he C

zech

and

Slo

vak

Repu

blic

s, H

unga

ry a

nd S

love

nia

–in

gen

eral

for m

id-c

ap a

nd S

ME

portf

olio

s –w

hich

is o

ptim

al a

lso

for B

asel

2 p

urpo

ses