fixed income: almost a bedtime story

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Fixed Income: Almost a bedtime story.

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www.fixedology.northerntrustinvestments.com Seldom have investors shown so much interest in fixed-income investing. There's nothing thrilling about Treasuries or bond yields - and maybe that explains investors' new-found curiosity! Start the conversation with your clients: Download this fast-paced client-use Fixedology presentation.

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Page 1: Fixed Income: Almost A Bedtime Story

Fixed Income:

Almost a bedtime story.

Page 2: Fixed Income: Almost A Bedtime Story

Hey!

Page 3: Fixed Income: Almost A Bedtime Story

Where do you think you’re going?

Page 4: Fixed Income: Almost A Bedtime Story

The stock market has been showing signs of life.

Page 5: Fixed Income: Almost A Bedtime Story

And we’re all happy about that,

Page 6: Fixed Income: Almost A Bedtime Story

And we’re all happy about that, but

Page 7: Fixed Income: Almost A Bedtime Story

before you consider rushing back into stocks

Page 8: Fixed Income: Almost A Bedtime Story

can we (please) take amoment to consider

Page 9: Fixed Income: Almost A Bedtime Story

why you might want to leave some of your investments in

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fixed income.

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fixed income.

HIGH YIELD

MUNICIPAL

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fixed income.

ULTRA-SHORT

HIGH YIELD

MUNICIPALSHORT

SHORT-INTERMEDIATE

INTERMEDIATE

Page 13: Fixed Income: Almost A Bedtime Story

fixed income.

HIGH YIELD

MUNICIPAL

ULTRA-SHORT

U.S. GOVERNMENT

TAX-ADVANTAGED

SHORT

SHORT-INTERMEDIATE

INTERMEDIATE

Page 14: Fixed Income: Almost A Bedtime Story

We know.

Page 15: Fixed Income: Almost A Bedtime Story

We get it.

Page 16: Fixed Income: Almost A Bedtime Story

(yawn)

Fixed income can’t compete with the excitement of

Page 17: Fixed Income: Almost A Bedtime Story

Rising corporate earnings

Page 18: Fixed Income: Almost A Bedtime Story

Juicy stock dividends

Page 19: Fixed Income: Almost A Bedtime Story

Charismatic CEOs.

Page 20: Fixed Income: Almost A Bedtime Story

What’s another word for thrilling?

QUESTION:

Page 21: Fixed Income: Almost A Bedtime Story

volatilityANSWER:

Page 22: Fixed Income: Almost A Bedtime Story

Fixed income had its share of volatility recently.

Page 23: Fixed Income: Almost A Bedtime Story

Fixed income had its share of volatility recently.

Psst: Fixed income may also be volatile in the future.

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Bonds and bond funds come with their own risks.

Page 25: Fixed Income: Almost A Bedtime Story

Bonds and bond funds come with their own risks.

INTEREST RATE RISK

INFLATION RISK

DURATION RISK

Page 26: Fixed Income: Almost A Bedtime Story

Bonds and bond funds come with their own risks.

INTEREST RATE RISK

CREDIT RISKINFLATION RISK

DEFAULT RISK

DURATION RISK

Page 27: Fixed Income: Almost A Bedtime Story

Over the long term,

Page 28: Fixed Income: Almost A Bedtime Story

fixed income could hardly be accused

Page 29: Fixed Income: Almost A Bedtime Story

of being thrilling.

Page 30: Fixed Income: Almost A Bedtime Story

Bond Investing Has Avoided Deep Negative ReturnsAll-Stock, All-Bond Performance — 1970 to 2008

Past performance is not a guarantee of future results.

This chart compares the performance of an all-domestic stock portfolio and an all-bond portfolio for the period from January 1, 1970, through December 31, 2008.

Source: ChartSource, Standard & Poor’s Financial Communications. Domestic stocks are represented by the total returns of Standard & Poor’s Composite Index of 500 Stocks, an unmanaged index that is generally considered representative of the U.S. stock market. Bonds are represented by a composite of the total returns of long-term U.S. government bonds, derived from yields published by the Federal Reserve, and the Barclays Long-Term Government Bond index (prior to November 2008, the Barclays indexes were compiled by Lehman Brothers).

1970

–50%

–40%

–30%

–20%

–10%

0%

10%

20%

30%

40%

50%19

72

1974

1976

1978

1980

1982

1984

1986

1988

1990

1992

1994

1996

1998

200

0

2002

2004

2006

2008

Ann

ual T

otal

Ret

urn

Bonds Stocks

Page 31: Fixed Income: Almost A Bedtime Story

And that’s the way we like it.

Page 32: Fixed Income: Almost A Bedtime Story

(sigh)

Page 33: Fixed Income: Almost A Bedtime Story

People may like investing some of their savings in fixed income

Page 34: Fixed Income: Almost A Bedtime Story

because of what it may do for them.

Page 35: Fixed Income: Almost A Bedtime Story

Fixed income in a diversified portfolio could add that something extra

Page 36: Fixed Income: Almost A Bedtime Story

that may broaden your world

Page 37: Fixed Income: Almost A Bedtime Story

beyond stocks of public companies.

Page 38: Fixed Income: Almost A Bedtime Story

beyond stocks of public companies.

STATE GOVERNMENTS

BUILD AMERICA BONDS

LOCAL GOVERNMENTS

Page 39: Fixed Income: Almost A Bedtime Story

beyond stocks of public companies.

STATE GOVERNMENTS

U.S. TREASURIES

BONDS OF CORPORATIONS

REVENUE BONDS

BUILD AMERICA BONDS

LOCAL GOVERNMENTS

Page 40: Fixed Income: Almost A Bedtime Story

And maybe even help cut back what you pay in taxes.

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Why are you investing? QUESTION:

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Because you want to see your investments grow.

ANSWER:

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That’s why you may need some fixed income.

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And bond markets rally, too!

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And when they’re not rallying

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most bonds are generating income.

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Invest in stock and bond markets together

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and you have the possibility for

Page 49: Fixed Income: Almost A Bedtime Story

growth

Page 50: Fixed Income: Almost A Bedtime Story

Bonds Beat Stocks, Cash and Inflation Major Asset Classes, Annualized Total Returns — 1988 to 2008

Past performance is not a guarantee of future results.

This chart compares the annualized total returns of stocks, bonds and inflation, through December 31, 2008, over the past 5-, 10- and 20-year periods.

Source: ChartSource, Standard & Poor’s Financial Communications. Stocks are represented by the total returns of Standard & Poor’s Composite Index of 500 Stocks, an unmanaged index that is generally considered representative of the U.S. stock market. Bonds are represented by the total returns of the composite of long-term government bonds (10+ years), constructed from yields published by the Federal Reserve, and the Barclays Long-Term Government Bond index. Cash is represented by the composite of the yield of 3-month Treasury bills published by Federal Reserve and the total return of the Barclays 3-Month Treasury Bill index. Inflation is represented by the change in the Consumer Price Index. Note that prior to November 2008, the Barclays indexes were calculated by Lehman Brothers.

–4

–2

0

2

4

6

8

10

Past 20 Years Past 10 Years Past 5 Years

9.79%

8.43%

4.53%

2.82%

8.07%

–1.38%

3.49%

2.52%

9.58%

–2.19%

3.30%2.67%

Ann

ual T

otal

Ret

urn

Bonds

Stocks

Cash

Inflation

Page 51: Fixed Income: Almost A Bedtime Story

Boring?

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Boring?

(yawn)

Page 53: Fixed Income: Almost A Bedtime Story

We don’t mind putting you to sleep talking about fixed income.

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Psst: The show’s almost over.

We don’t mind putting you to sleep talking about fixed income.

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Because fixed income

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is meant to help you sleep at night.

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(zzzzz)

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IRS CIRCULAR 230 NOTICE: To the extent that this message or any attachment concerns tax matters, it is not intended to be used and cannot be used by a taxpayer for the purpose of avoiding penalties that may be imposed by law. For more information about this notice see http://www.northerntrust.com/circular230

Risk Considerations

Equity Risk: Equity securities (stocks) are more volatile and carry more risk than other forms of investments, including investments in high-grade fixed income securities. The net asset value per share of this Fund will fluctuate as the value of the securities in the portfolio changes.

Bond Risk: Bond funds will tend to experience smaller fluctuations in value than stock funds. However, investors in any bond fund should anticipate fluctuations in price, especially for longer-term issues and in environments of rising interest rates.

U.S. Government Guarantee: U.S. Government guarantees apply only to the underlying securities of certain “government fund” portfolios and not the fund’s shares.

High-Yield Risk: Although a high yield fund’s yield may be higher than that of fixed income funds that purchase higher-rated securities, the potentially higher yield is a function of the greater risk that a high yield fund’s share price will decline.

Tax-Free/AMT Risk: Tax-exempt funds’ income may be subject to certain state and local taxes and, depending on your tax status, the federal alternative minimum tax.

Regional Investment Risk: The geographical concentration of a regional fund’s portfolio holdings may involve increased risk.

Diversification alone does not guarantee a profit nor protect against a loss.

There are risks involved in investing including possible loss of principal. There is no guarantee that the investment objectives of any fund or strategy will be met. Risk controls and models do not promise any level of performance or guarantee against loss of principal.

Before investing you should carefully consider the fund’s investment objectives, risks, charges and expenses. This and other information is in the prospectus, a copy of which may be obtained by calling 877-867-1259. Please read the prospectus carefully before you invest.

Shares of Northern Funds are distributed by Northern Funds Distributors, LLC, Boston, MA 02110, not affiliated with Northern Trust.

May lose value / No bank guaranteeNOT FDIC INSURED

Page 59: Fixed Income: Almost A Bedtime Story

Fixed.ologySM

TH E L ANGUAGE OF F IXE D INCOME

For information on a variety of fixed-income investing topics, visit northerntrustinvestments.com/fixedology