flow measurement uncertainty - analysis based on field grade components

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  • 8/11/2019 Flow Measurement Uncertainty - Analysis Based on Field Grade Components

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    INTRODUCTION

    This paper provides a guide to estimating the un-

    certainty of a flow measurement made with field

    grade instruments. It is applicable to calibrated or

    uncalibrated turbine or ultrasonic based measure-

    ments. Pressure and temperature measurements con-

    tribute uncertainty, the uncertainty components of

    each instrument are described. A set of typical

    manufacturers specifications are used as an example.

    The effects of ambient temperature on both mea-

    surements are described.

    A flow computer acquires signals from the pres-

    sure and temperature transducers and converts the

    readings into engineering units. A gas chromatograph

    and the equation of state contribute uncertainty tothe determination of compressibility under flowing

    base conditions. The components that contribute un-

    certainty are described and typical values are pro-

    posed.

    The process of combining uncertainty components

    is illustrated based on hypothetical values. The con-

    cepts of sensitivity coefficient, expanded uncertainty

    and coverage factor are described. The data are or-

    ganized such that the relative contributions of the

    components can be readily compared. The value of

    this organizational structure is illustrated by compar-

    ing calibrated and uncalibrated turbine meters.

    The paper concludes with a brief discussion of

    advanced topics. These include topics from flow

    measurement, instrument calibration and measure-

    ment uncertainty.

    Flow Measurement Uncertainty - Analysis Based on Field Grade Components

    Thomas Kegel

    Colorado Engineering Experiment Station, Inc., (CEESI)Nunn, Colorado USA

    MEASUREMENT UNCERTAINTY

    When a measurement is made there are two im-

    portant values associated with the result of the mea-

    surement process. The first is the numerical value of

    the variable being measured, the second is the un-

    certainty associated with that numerical value. This

    section provides an introduction to measurement un-

    certainty by briefly describing the paper standards

    and terminology.

    Paper Standards

    The uncertainty analysis procedure commonly used

    with flow measurement processes is described in the

    standards ANSI/ASME MFC-2M1, ANSI/ASME

    PTC 19.12, and ISO 51683. All three of these stan-dards are based on an uncertainty analysis method

    developed for comparing results of rocket engine

    tests4.

    A document more recently published by ISO de-

    scribes an uncertainty analysis procedure originally

    developed to compare the test data of different cali-

    bration laboratories5. From a practical point of view,

    the newer ISO method does not differ significantly

    from the older method of Ref. 1-3. It has been

    adopted by the National Institute of Standards and

    Technology (NIST) as well as a number of large cor-

    porations as a formal policy6. In addition, the latest

    revision of the standard ANSI/PTC 19.17includes

    the ISO method. It is likely that future revisions of

    flow measurement uncertainty standards will adopt

    the ISO method. This paper therefore teaches the

    application of that method.

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    222222 41.006.020.014.026.0 ,,,,'Vbu

    results in uVb

    = 0.54 % for the ultrasonic meter.

    The expanded uncertainty5 is the product of stan-

    dard uncertainty and a coverage factor. That prod-

    uct defines the confidence level. Most measurements

    are stated at 95% confidence with a coverage factor

    of 2.0. In the present example the expanded uncer-

    tainties are 2.00.68 % = 1.36 % for the turbine meter

    and 2.00.54 % = 1.08 % for the ultrasonic meter.

    Using a coverage factor of 2.0 in the present ex-

    ample is a simplifying assumption. A different value

    may be required in a real uncertainty analysis. The

    details represent an advanced topic beyond the scope

    of this paper.

    PRESSURE MEASUREMENT

    The hypothetical pressure transmitter is config-

    ured as follows:

    Upper Range Limit (URL) = 2500 psig

    Span = 1400 psig (20 mA)

    Zero = 500 psig (4 mA)

    Measured Pressure = 1054 psig (13.85 mA)

    The uncertainty in pressure measurement is made

    up of six components:

    1. Combined Performance Specification

    2. Stability

    3. Ambient Temperature Effect

    4. Calibration Process

    5. Barometric Pressure

    6. Data Acquisition

    Determining numerical values for the six compo-

    nents is discussed below. The behavior of four of the

    components is shown in Figure 1. The x-axis is pres-

    sure, the y-axis is the uncertainty expressed as a per-

    cent of reading. The uncertainty decreases as the

    pressure increases, this is due to full scale effects.

    Such effects are present in all measurement pro-

    cesses. In some processes the relative magnitude may

    be very small and the effect may not be apparent.

    The components of uncertainty for pressure mea-

    surement are combined using Eq. 4, the units of u

    are psi. Combining the numerical values:

    222222 99.012.047.018.222.1 ,,,,'Pfu

    results in uPf

    = 2.73 psig which is 0.26% of 1068 psia.

    The uncertainty must be expressed as a percent of

    absolute (psia) not gage (psig) units because the pres-

    sure value is used to calculate compressibility.

    Combined Performance Specification

    In the present example the vendor claims the ac-

    curacy is 0.15% of span, the term accuracy is

    said to include the four components listed below.

    Regardless of vendor terminology, the user should

    make sure that all four components are included.

    1. Repeatability

    2. Reproducibility

    3. Linearity

    4. Hysteresis

    In the present example the span is fixed and so

    this uncertainty component can be calculated in units

    of psig. Doing so results in:

    psig1400

    %100

    %15.0span%15.0 -!

    "

    #$

    %

    &.'.'U

    = 2.10 psig [5a]

    u= 0.58(2.10)=1.22 psig [5b]

    0.0

    0.2

    0.4

    0.6

    0.8

    500 700 900 1100 1300 1500

    Pressure [psig]

    StandardUncertainty[%

    ] Total

    Stability

    Accuracy

    Data Acq

    Amb Temp

    Figure 1: Pressure Measurement

    Uncertainty Components

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    Repeatability and Reproducibility

    Repeatabilityis the ability of the transmitter to

    measure a constant pressure over a short period

    of time. Reproducibility is the ability of the trans-

    mitter to measure the same pressure subject to varia-

    tions that occur over a long period of time. A short

    period of time might be measured in minutes while a

    long period of time might be months.

    Linearity

    The sensitivity is the ratio of pressure transmit-

    ter input (psi) to output (mA). In the present example

    the sensitivity is 56.25 [psi/mA]. The linearity de-

    fines the consistency of the sensitivity value over the

    pressure range. Stated differently, the linearity mea-

    sures the degree to which the input and output arerelated by a straight line.

    Hysteresis

    This effect accounts for a dependence of the out-

    put on the direction change of the input. An example

    would be the backlash present in a gearing system. A

    good machinist will eliminate backlash by first back-

    ing out the tool and then moving it into the part. In a

    pressure transmitter the hysteresis arises from the

    mechanical properties of the sensor. Hysteresis con-tributes measurement uncertainty because the direc-

    tion of change of a measureand prior to a measure-

    ment is generally unknown.

    Stability

    The vendor claims the stability is 0.25% of

    URL. Calculating uncertainty in pressure units re-

    sults in:

    psig2500%100

    %25.0

    URL%25.0 -!"

    #

    $%

    &

    .'.'U

    = 3.75 psig [6a]

    u= 0.58(3.75) =2.18 psig [6b]

    Ambient Temperature Effect

    It has been proposed that all measuring devices

    are first thermometers. Every instrument exhibits

    sensitivity to changes in ambient temperature. In a

    pressure transmitter the ambient temperature effects

    the mechanical properties of the elastic element. The

    uncertainty component accounts for the magnitude

    of the effect. In the present example the vendor states

    an uncertainty of:

    ) *span%35.0URL%45.0 ,.'U [7]

    for every 100F change in the ambient temperature.

    In the present example the pressure transducer is

    installed in an environment where the temperature

    variation is controlled to within 2.5F which repre-

    sents a total potential temperature change of 5F. The

    uncertainty due to the ambient temperature effect

    therefore becomes:

    ) * !!

    "

    #

    $$

    %

    &-,.'

    F100

    F5span%35.0URL%45.0

    !

    !

    U

    = 0.81 psig [8a]

    u= 0.58(0.81) = 0.47 psig [8b]

    Calibration Process

    In the present example the role of the calibration

    process is to maintain the transmitter within the origi-

    nal performance specifications. No additional uncer-tainty is assumed to be contributed by this compo-

    nent.

    Barometric Pressure

    In the present example a fixed value of baromet-

    ric pressure is assumed. This value is calculated based

    on the elevation of the meter station. It is assumed

    that the barometric pressure can vary by 0.2 psia

    due to meteorological conditions. This variation rep-

    resents an uncertainty in the fixed value

    Data Acquisition

    The 4-20 mA transmitter output is converted into

    engineering units by a flow computer. This process

    adds uncertainty in the conversion of the analog sig-

    nal to digital. The vendor claims an accuracy of

    0.1% of full scale. The term %full scale from

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    the computer vendor is assumed to mean the same

    as %span from the transducer vendor. The con-

    version process to pressure units is similar as that

    used with Eq. 5:

    psig1400%100

    %15.0

    span%10.0 -!"

    #

    $%

    &

    .'.'U

    = 1.71 psig [9a]

    u= 0.58(1.71) =0.99 psig [9b]

    TEMPERATURE MEASUREMENT

    The hypothetical temperature transmitter is con-

    figured as follows:

    Span = 100 F

    Zero = 0 F

    Measured Temperature = 50 F (12 mA)

    The uncertainty in temperature measurement is

    made up of the following components:

    1. Combined Performance Specification

    2. Stability

    3. Ambient Temperature Effect

    4. Calibration Process

    5. RTD Probe

    6. Self Heating

    7. Heat Transfer Effects

    8. Data Acquisition

    The determination of numerical values is described

    below. Combining the values:

    ) * 222222 59.001.037.003.015.02 ,,,,'Tfu

    results in uTf

    = 0.73 F which is 0.14% of 510 R. The

    uncertainty must be expressed as a percent of abso-

    lute (R) units because the temperature value is used

    to calculate compressibility.

    Combined Performance Specification

    In the present example the vendor claims the ac-

    curacy is 0.25% of span:

    F100%100

    %25.0span%25.0 -!

    "

    #$%

    &.'.'U

    = 0.25F [10a]

    u= 0.58(0.25)=0.15F [10b]

    The term accuracy is assumed to include the

    same four components as discussed with the pres-

    sure measurement.

    Stability

    In the present example the vendor claims the sta-

    bility is 0.25% of span. The standard uncertainty is u

    = 0.15 F.

    Ambient Temperature Effect

    The vendor states an uncertainty of:

    0.25%span)F4.0( ,.'U [11]

    for every 50F change in the ambient temperature.

    In the present example the temperature transducer

    is installed in an environment where the temperature

    variation is controlled to within 2.5F which repre-

    sents a total potential temperature change of 5F. The

    uncertainty due to the ambient temperature effecttherefore becomes:

    ) * !!

    "

    #

    $$

    %

    &-,.'

    F50

    F5span%25.0F4.0

    !

    !

    U

    = 0.05 F [14a]

    u= 0.58(0.05) = 0.03 F [14b]

    Calibration Process

    In the present example the role of the calibration

    process is to maintain the transmitter within the origi-nal performance specifications. No additional uncer-

    tainty is assumed to be contributed by this compo-

    nent.

    RTD Probe

    The vendor claims an uncertainty that varies with

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    temperature. In the current example that value is U

    = 0.63 F (u= 0.37 F)

    Self Heating

    When current flows through a resistor heat is gen-

    erated. The heat results in a potential measurement

    offset that is estimated as uncertainty. In the present

    example this effect is assumed to be included in the

    RTD probe uncertainty.

    Heat Transfer Effects

    The transmitter output indicates the temperature

    of the tip of the temperature sensor RTD. The de-

    sired value is the temperature of the flowing gas. If

    there is a temperature difference between the flow-

    ing gas and the pipe wall heat transfer will result.Heat transfer is present between the RTD and pipe

    wall due to conduction through the thermowell as well

    as direct radiation. The result is to drive the RTD

    temperature closer to the pipe wall temperature. Heat

    transfer due to convection is present between the

    thermowell and the flowing gas. The convection will

    drive the RTD temperature toward that of the flow-

    ing gas. The difference between the RTD reading

    and the flowing gas temperature (Tht) is a measure-

    ment error, the magnitude must be estimated as an

    uncertainty component.

    The numerical value of Tht

    is a function of gas

    density, gas velocity, and thermowell geometry as well

    as the difference between flowing gas and pipe wall

    (Tgw

    )10. The relationship between Tht

    and gas ve-

    locity is shown in Figure 2 based on the following

    conditions:

    thermowell: 0.5 OD, 0.25 ID, 3 length withinpipe

    pipe wall temperature = 60 F and 80 F

    gas temperature = 50 F

    gas pressure = 1068 psia

    In the present example it is assumed that the gas

    velocity is 20 ft/s and the pipe wall temperature is 80

    F. Under such conditions Tht = 0.02 F (u= 0.01

    F).

    Data Acquisition

    The 4-20 mA transmitter output is converted intoengineering units by the same flow computer as used

    for pressure measurement. The standard uncertainty

    is u = 0.59 F.

    COMPRESSIBILITY

    The hypothetical gas composition used in the

    present example is contained in column 2 of Table 1.

    The process of determining uncertainty in calculated

    compressibility is made up of four components:

    1. State Equation

    2. Chromatograph Repeatability and Reproducibil-

    ity

    3. Chromatograph Calibration Standard

    4. Sensitivity Coefficients

    The determination of numerical values is described

    below. Combining the values:

    222222 002.006.0,19.006.0 ,',' ZbZf uu

    result in uZf= 0.20 % and uZb= 0.06 %.

    State Equation

    The AGA 8 equation of state11provides a value

    of compressibility given inputs of pressure, tempera-

    ture and gas composition. The uncertainty in the state

    equation is U= 0.1% (u= 0.06%).

    Figure 2: Heat Transfer Effects in

    Temperature Measurement

    0.1

    1

    10

    1 10Velocity [ft/s ]

    TemperatureDifference,/

    Tht

    [F]

    /Tgw= 30F

    /Tgw= 10F

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    VOLUME AT FLOWING CONDITIONS

    The volume flow is measured using either a tur-

    bine or ultrasonic meter. The uncertainties for using

    these meters are specified by the AGA 714and AGA

    915standards. For operation at higher flowrates the

    uncertainties are 1.0% (u= 0.58%) for the turbine

    meter and 0.7% (u = 0.41%) for the ultrasonic

    meter. Performance of either meter at lower flowrates

    will have higher uncertainties, the low flow condi-

    tions are not considered in this example.

    REDUCING THE UNCERTAINTY

    The uncertainty values for all sixteen components

    for turbine meter based measurement are contained

    in Table 2. Column 2 shows uncertainty components

    expressed as percentages of mean values. Column 3show the percent contribution to combined uncertainty

    made by each component, they are calculated based

    on %100

    2

    -!!

    "

    #

    $$

    %

    &

    y

    xi

    u

    u. The summary in Table 2 is a pow-

    erful tool in allocating measurement resources based

    on measurement uncertainty. The turbine meter, for

    example, is the largest contributor to uncertainty. It

    represents the best return on an investment intended

    to reduce uncertainty. The ambient temperature ef-

    fects, on the other hand, contribute very little uncer-tainty. The overall uncertainty cannot be reduced by

    investing in reduced uncertainty in ambient tempera-

    ture effects.

    The current example concludes with a hypotheti-

    cal calibration of the turbine meter. The calibration

    data are contained in Figure 3, the y-axis is percent

    shift in K Factor from a nominal values. The data are

    well within AGA 7 specifications, the uncertainty can

    be reduced as a result. The fitted curve is slightly

    nonlinear, the K Factor changes with flowrate. Thiswill require a more complex flow computer algorithm.

    The solid lines in Fig. 3 represent the 95% confidence

    interval, 95% of the data are within the interval. The

    interval width is 0.2% (u = 0.1%) which accounts

    for random effects present during the calibration pro-

    cess. The uncertainty of the hypothetical calibration

    facility flowrate measurement is 0.25% (u=0.13%)

    which accounts for systematic effects associated with

    the facility itself. In the current example these two

    components make up the uncertainty associated with

    the turbine meter measurement. The recalculated un-

    certainty is uVb

    = 0.39%, the details are contained in

    Table 3. Having reduced the turbine meter uncer-

    tainty, it can be seen that other components now domi-

    nate the uncertainty. The gas chromatograph and pres-

    sure transducer stability are two examples.

    GENERAL DISCUSSION

    It is important to emphasize that the analysis pre-

    sented above is intended as an example only. Appli-

    cable numerical values need to be determined for a

    real uncertainty analysis. In addition, several poten-

    tial uncertainty components have been neglected in

    the interest of simplifying the example. These include,but are not limited to:

    flowmeter installation effects

    gas sampling

    wet gas

    pulsating flow

    Considerable analysis was required to estimate

    uncertainties of components that ended up contribut-

    ing very little uncertainty. Two examples are the heat

    transfer and the chromatographic analysis determi-nation of base compressibility. Unfortunately, the

    magnitude of an uncertainty component is unknown

    until the analysis is complete.

    Figure 3: Turbine Meter Calibration

    Data

    -0.6

    -0.3

    0.0

    0.3

    0.6

    20 40 60 80 100

    Flowrate [%max]

    KFactorShift[%

    ]

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    tnenopmoCdradnatS

    ]%[ytniatrecnU ]%[noitubirtnoC

    erusserP

    noitacificepSecnamrofrePdenibmoC 411.0 08.2

    ytilibatS 402.0 59.8

    tceffEerutarepmeTtneibmA 440.0 24.0

    erusserPcirtemoraB 110.0 30.0

    noitisiuqcAataD 390.0 58.1

    erutarepmeT

    noitacificepSecnamrofrePdenibmoC 920.0 91.0

    ytilibatS 920.0 91.0

    tceffEerutarepmeTtneibmA 600.0 10.0

    eborPDTR 370.0 31.1

    stceffErefsnarTtaeH 200.0 < 10.0

    noitisiuqcAataD 611.0 88.2

    ytilibisserpmoCesaB

    noitauqEetatS 060.0 77.0

    hpargotamorhC 200.0 < 10.0

    ytilibisserpmoCgniwolF

    noitauqEetatS 060.0 77.0

    hpargotamorhC 091.0 67.7

    emuloVgniwolF

    eulaV7AGA 085.0 72.27

    Table 2: First Summary of Uncertainty Components

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    tnenopmoC

    dradnatS

    ]%[ytniatrecnU ]%[noitubirtnoC

    erusserP

    noitacificepSecnamrofrePdenibmoC 411.0 34.8

    ytilibatS 402.0 39.62

    tceffEerutarepmeTtneibmA 440.0 52.1

    erusserPcirtemoraB 110.0 80.0

    noitisiuqcAataD 390.0 55.5

    erutarepmeT

    noitacificepSecnamrofrePdenibmoC 920.0 65.0ytilibatS 920.0 65.0

    tceffEerutarepmeTtneibmA 600.0 20.0

    eborPDTR 370.0 04.3

    stceffErefsnarTtaeH 200.0 < 10.0

    noitisiuqcAataD 611.0 56.8

    ytilibisserpmoCesaB

    noitauqEetatS 060.0 33.2

    hpargotamorhC 200.0 < 10.0

    ytilibisserpmoCgniwolF

    noitauqEetatS 060.0 33.2

    hpargotamorhC 091.0 33.32

    emuloVgniwolF

    yrotarobaL 521.0 01.01

    ytilibicudorpeRdnaytilibataepeR 001.0 64.6

    Table 3: Second Summary of Uncertainty Components