fnqroc regional roads investment strategy · 2019. 8. 21. · daintree explorer $ 41.80 m danbulla...
TRANSCRIPT
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FNQROC Regional RoadsInvestment Strategy
FNQROC Regional Roads and Transport Group
25 July 2019
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Agenda
u FNQROC network profile
u Tourism routes
u Heavy vehicle routes
u First and Last Mile
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FNQROC network profile
u Being continually updated as analyses are completed
u Designed to enable validity checks
u Developing LRRS network of 100 metre segments (only31% surveyed by ARRB, but did not include widths)
u Predominantly relying on data provided by LGs (varyingformats and availability)
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Tourism routes
u Objective:
ß Assess the impacts of induced visitation (tourism) as aresult of route upgrades
u Key tasks
ß Assess the wider strategic context and economic value oftourism
ß Tourist demand for each route (n.b. routes overlap)
ß Estimate the economic value of each route
ß Estimate the impacts of potential upgrades
ß Engagement with tourism organisations
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Tourism routesStrategic context
u Planning Strategies (3), LG PlanningSchemes (13), Tourism Strategies (5) andTransport Strategies (3)
ß Tourist activities concentrated along thecoast but a growing outback and adventuretourism industry which caters to the drivetourism market
ß Resilient transport infrastructure to ensureconnectivity across the region is identifiedas essential if FNQ is to have sustainableeconomic growth and development
ß Tourism development must be undertaken ina way and in locations that ensures thedevelopment does not detract fromenvironmental values, scenic values, coastalvalues and town/village character
5
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Tourism routesStrategic context
u Road investment issues and opportunities
ß improve rest areas to better cater fortourist needs
ß better promotion and signage of majortourism routes, including digital in-vehiclesignage
ß improving access and facilities for caravanand camping
ß the interactions between self-drive touristsand road freight movements, particularly onType 2 roadtrain routes
ß poor or non-existent mobile communication
ß insufficient education on how to travelthrough the outback for tourists 6
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Tourism routesEconomic value
Tropical North Qld FNQROC
7
0%
20%
40%
60%
80%
100%
120%
$0$200$400$600$800
$1,000$1,200$1,400$1,600$1,800
FNQROC Cairns Cook CassowaryCoast
Douglas Tablelands Mareeba RemainingCouncils
FNQROC tourism GVA ($m)
FNQROC tourism GVA % of FNQROC tourism GVA
0%10%20%30%40%50%60%70%80%
0
2,000
4,000
6,000
8,000
10,000
12,000
FNQROC Cairns Cook CassowaryCoast
Douglas Tablelands Mareeba RemainingCouncils
Tourism Employment (total)
Direct Indirect % of FNQROC total tourism employment
0% 5% 10% 15% 20% 25% 30% 35% 40%
BundabergOutbackMackay
Fraser CoastWhitsundays
NorthernDarling Downs
Central QueenslandSunshine Coast
Tropical North QueenslandGold Coast
Brisbane
Queensland All Regions - GVA
0% 5% 10% 15% 20% 25% 30% 35% 40%
BundabergOutbackMackay
Fraser CoastWhitsundays
NorthernDarling Downs
Central QueenslandSunshine Coast
Tropical North QueenslandGold Coast
Brisbane
Queensland All Regions - tourism employment
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Tourism routesEconomic value - FNQROC
$0$200$400$600$800
$1,000$1,200$1,400$1,600
Cairns CassowaryCoast
Cook Douglas Mareeba Tablelands Weightedaverage
Average spend per trip ($)
International Domestic Overnight
Domestic Day International/domestic overnight
$0
$50
$100
$150
$200
$250
$300
Cairns CassowaryCoast
Cook Douglas Mareeba Tablelands Weightedaverage
Average spend per night ($)
International Domestic Overnight International/domestic overnight
0.0
5.0
10.0
15.0
20.0
25.0
30.0
Cairns CassowaryCoast
Cook Douglas Mareeba Tablelands Weightedaverage
Average stay (nights)
International Domestic Overnight International/domestic overnight
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Tourism routesEconomic value of each route
u Estimate each LG’s tourism AADT by dividingperson nights by an annualisation factor andvehicle occupancy
ß Assumes demand is constant
ß Vehicle occupancy is assumed
ß All self-drive expenditure is on tourism routes
u Estimate each route’s expenditure and AADT
ß Calculate each route’s distance within eachLG
ß Combine distances to align LGs with TRA dataand calculate proportions
ß Apply proportions to each LGs expenditures
ß Apply proportions to each council’s estimatedtourism AADT
Route Route expenditureCanecutter Way $ 32.77 mChillagoe Discovery Trail $ 33.72 mCooktown Discovery Trail $ 5.22 mDaintree Explorer $ 41.80 mDanbulla Tinaroo Falls $ 3.64 mEpic Cape York $ 154.27 mGreat Green Way $ 87.68 mGreat Tropical Drive $ 232.33 mHinchinbrook Discovery Trail $ 20.23 mLonglands Gap Road $ 1.16 mMalanda - Atherton Road $ 1.30 mO'Brien's Creek Road $ 0.64 mRavenshoe to Georgetown $ 16.49 mReef to Rainforest $ 108.87 mSavannah Way $ 78.89 mTully Falls Road $ 2.90 mTully to Mission Beach Discovery $ 14.60 mWaterfalls Discovery Trail $ 114.80 mTotal $ 951.33 m
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Tourism routesEconomic value of each route
u Validating the results
ß LG crossover on the SCR network
u A route’s tourism AADT within each LG iscompared to the weighted average AADT on thatroute within the same local government area(AADT on each road section weighted by the roadsection length)
ß SA2 crossover on the SCR network
u Identify the AADT travelling on the SCR betweenSA2s
u Remove work-related trips from each crossing’sAADT
ß Both methods showed occasional instances ofnotable under and overestimation
u Vehicle occupancy rates change along routes10
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Tourism routesImpacts of upgrades
u Literature review
ß New Zealand unsealed roads, Strzelecki Track,Central Arnhem Road, Grampians Way RingRoad, Karratha to Tom Price Road, Eildon-Jamieson Road, Bogong High Plains, RoadMansfield-Wangaratta Link
u Data analysis
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Infrastructure improvements RoadPaving and sealing of existing unsealed routes ∑ Mulligan Highway (2000 – 2006)
∑ Peninsula Dev. Rd (multiple locations since 2006 with 2014onwards delivered as part of CYRP)
∑ Burke Dev. Rd (Chillagoe, ~ 2011)Widening of existing narrow sealed routes ∑ Kennedy Dev. Rd (Cadell Ck, ~2013)
∑ Gregory Dev. Rd (south of Kennedy Dev Rd interchange, ~2012)Widening of causeways, culverts and bridges ∑ Gulf Dev. Rd (Einasleigh River, ~ 2011)
∑ Kennedy Highway (Innot Hot Springs, ~ 2015)Upgraded flood immunity to causeways, culverts, bridges ∑ Mareeba, Burke Developmental Road, ~ 2010)Signage upgrades to improve wayfinding ∑ Mossman-Mt Molloy Rd Int, Mulligan Hwy, constructed ~ 2013
Upgrading the signage relating to the flooding of the route ∑ Bluewater rest area, Bruce Highway, constructed ~2013
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Tourism routesImpacts ofupgrades
12
0
200
400
2013 2014 2015 2016 2017
Peninsula Dev. Rd (multiple locations, 2014 onwards)
500m North of turnoff to Laura
Kendle River - Pennin. Dev. Rd.(90C)
North of Coen Aerodrome
050
100150200
2008 2009 2010 2011 2012 2013 2014 2015 2016 2017
Widening of existing narrow sealed routes
Kennedy Dev. Rd (Cadell Ck, ~2013)
Gregory Dev. Rd (south of Kennedy Dev Rd interchange, ~2012)
0
50
100
150
2008 2009 2010 2011 2012 2013 2014 2015 2016 2017
Burke Dev. Rd (Chillagoe, ~ 2011)
100m west of Mungana Stockyards
0
500
1000
2008 2009 2010 2011 2012 2013 2014 2015 2016 2017
Causeway/culvert/bridge widening
Gulf Dev. Rd (Einasleigh River, ~ 2011)
Kennedy Highway (Innot Hot Springs, ~ 2015)
0
5000
10000
15000
2008 2009 2010 2011 2012 2013 2014 2015 2016 2017
Improved wayfinding signage (Mareeba, Burke Dev. Rd, ~2010)
100m south of Herberton Street Arriga Coverage site
0
5000
10000
2008 2009 2010 2011 2012 2013 2014 2015 2016 2017
Additional rest areas/stopping bays (Bluewater, BruceHighway, ~2013)
10M Waterview Creek, Ingham 100m Sth Bluewater Creek Bridge
10M WiM Site Leichhardt Creek
0
500
1000
1500
2012 2013 2014 2015 2016 2017
Improved flooding signage (Mossman-Mt Molloy RdInterchange, Mulligan Hwy, ~ 2013)
Mt.Molloy-100m East of Peninsula Dev.Rd. Luster Creek
-40%
-20%
0%
20%
40%
60%
80%
0
50
100
150
200
250
300
350
400
450
Lakeland, 500m South of Cooktown turnoff (110028)
Lakeland, 500m South of Cooktown turnoff (110028) Annual growth %
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Tourism routesEconomic impacts of upgrades
u Mulligan Highway suggests a compound annual growth rate of2% can be applied to a completely sealed route
u Two growth scenarios - low growth 2%, high growth 5%
u Represents increased tourism expenditure only
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Route Low growth scenario increase High growth scenario increaseCanecutter Way - -Chillagoe Discovery Trail $ 0.36 m $ 0.91 mCooktown Discovery Trail $ 0.10 m $ 0.26 mDaintree Explorer - -Danbulla Tinaroo Falls - -Epic Cape York $ 0.67 m $ 1.66 mGreat Green Way - -Great Tropical Drive - -Hinchinbrook Discovery Trail - -Longlands Gap Road - -Malanda - Atherton Road - -O'Brien's Creek Road - -Ravenshoe to Georgetown $ 0.17 m $ 0.41 mReef to Rainforest - -Savannah Way $ 0.50 m $ 1.26 mTully Falls Road - -Tully to Mission Beach Discovery - -Waterfalls Discovery Trail - -Total $ 1.80 m $ 4.50 m
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Tourism routesEngagement with tourism organisations
u Road sealing is the main infrastructure improvement topromote tourism growth
u Targeted sealing of particular roads would encouragevisitors across multiple routes
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RoadCooktownDiscovery
Trail
DaintreeExplorer
Epic CapeYork
GreatTropical
Drive
SavannahWay
ChillagoeDiscovery
TrailBurketown Normanton road lBurke Development Road l lKennedy Highway l lWills Developmental Road lNardoo Burketown Road lPeninsula DevelopmentalRoad
l l l l
Battlecamp Road l lBloomfield Road l l lPalmerville RoadLakefield Road l lMarina Plains Road lPortland Road lCape Tribulation Road l l lBloomfield Track l l lShiptons Flat Road l l lRossville Bloomfield Road l l l
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Heavy vehicle routes andFirst and Last Mile
u Objective
ß Assess the fitness-for-purpose the current HV network,identifying any dimensional/structural deficiencies/bottlenecksin the current network
ß Analyse the current network identifying those parts of thenetwork vulnerable to growth expected through 2040
ß Consider opportunities for shorter HV routings not considered bythe Heavy Vehicle Network/FNQ Regional Transport Plan (TMR)
ß Provide a first and last mile freight assessment considering themovement of heavy vehicle freight on the FNQ local roadnetwork, from and to major freight source points
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HV Routes/Last MileFreight generation - Population growth
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50,000
100,000
150,000
200,000
250,000
Cairns Carpentaria CassowaryCoast
Cook Croydon Douglas Etheridge Hinchinbrook Hope Vale Mareeba Tablelands Wujal Wujal Yarrabah
Projected population (medium series), by local government area, Queensland, 2016 to 2041
2016 2021 2026 2031 2036 2041
LGForecast annual pop.
increaseCairns 3010Carpentaria -1Cassowary Coast 108Cook 19Croydon 0Douglas 123Etheridge -5Hinchinbrook -89Hope Vale 7Mareeba 273Tablelands 196Wujal Wujal -2Yarrabah 34
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HV Routes/Last MileFreight generation – current economic activity
u Influential road freight generation points?
ß Agriculture, farming, feedlots, saleyards
ß Mining, quarries
ß railheads, ports, industrial areas
$0$1,000$2,000$3,000$4,000$5,000$6,000$7,000$8,000$9,000
$10,000
2001 2002 2003 2004 2005 2006 2007 2008 2009 2010 2011 2012 2013 2014 2015 2016 2017 2018
Milli
ons
FNQROC Gross Regional Product
Cairns Cassowary Carpentaria Cook
Douglas Etheridge Hinchinbrook Mareeba
Tablelands Yarrabah Remaining LGs
$0
$200
$400
$600
$800
$1,000
$1,200
$1,400
$1,600
$1,800
2001 2002 2003 2004 2005 2006 2007 2008 2009 2010 2011 2012 2013 2014 2015 2016 2017 2018
Milli
ons
FNQROC Gross Regional Product excl. Cairns
Cassowary Carpentaria Cook Douglas Etheridge
Hinchinbrook Mareeba Tablelands Yarrabah Remaining LGs
LGAverage annual
increase $mFNQROC $274.1Cairns $1.0Cassowary $1.3Carpentaria $10.0Cook -$116.5Douglas $9.4Etheridge $5.4Hinchinbrook -$32.1Mareeba $19.2Tablelands $7.7Yarrabah $11.7Remaining LGs -$35.4
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HV Routes/Last MileIndustry development
u FNQROC Pre Budget Submission
ß Mossman Mill, Nullinga Dam, Tablelands Irrigation Project,Kuranda Range Road, North Queensland Bio-Energy (NQBE)Project, Cardstone Pumped Hydro Scheme
u Coordinated projects / State Development Areas(Tropical North , Cairns South)
u Other potential projects:
ß Kidston Pumped Storage Hydro Project
ß Gilbert River Irrigation Project
ß Charleston Dam
ß Capricorn Copper? Dugald River?
u Others? Any particular routes that have been longadvocated for increased access?
http://statedevelopment.qld.gov.au/assessments-and-approvals/coordinated-projects-map.htmlhttp://statedevelopment.qld.gov.au/coordinator-general/state-development-areas/tropical-north-state-development-area.htmlhttp://statedevelopment.qld.gov.au/coordinator-general/cairns-south-state-development-area.html
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HV Routes/Last MileEngagement
u Emails sent to freight operators/organisations andfollowed by phone
u Responses from four organisations (others beingfollowed up)
ß Qube - issues associated with access to/from farms toMossman Central and Tableland sugar mills. Jacobsreferred to mills for details, awaiting feedback.
ß NHVR - not able to assist, details of unsuitable routes isnot routinely collected and reported.
ß AgForce - members were recently surveyed about thisissue. Results are yet to be analysed but few issuesidentified in FNQ. Jacobs is following up.
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First and Last MileEngagement
u Livestock & Rural Transporters Association ofQueensland
ß Mulligan Highway/PDR (Mareeba – Weipa) – five bridges(sight distance, flood prone, load limited or single lane), ifupgraded it would allow Type 2 access to Mt Molloy
u Burke Develop Rd/Palmerville Road (Almaden – Laura) – fourbridge crossings (poor sight distance, flood prone, single lane)
u Ootann Rd/Burke Develop Rd (Kennedy Hwy – Mareeba) –If Ootann Rd and Lappa Range upgraded it would allow Type 2access to be extended closer to Mareeba and reduce heavyvehicle traffic on Kennedy Highway.
u Gulf Develop Rd (Kennedy Hwy – Normanton) – road is eithersingle lane or narrow two lane (general safety issue)
u Gregory Develop Rd (Harvey Range Rd – Greenvale) – two singlelane bridges (general safety issue)
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Heavy vehicle routesDeficiency assessment
u Existing network focus is safety and maintaining current roadfreight productivity
u Enhanced network focus is safety and increasing road freightproductivity
ß Fewer vehicles required for the same freight task (less kilometresand travel time)
ß Reduced need to decouple trailers (handling costs, delays andpotential for damage to goods)
ß Improved equipment utilisation and driver productivity
ß Improved product quality e.g. livestock and fresh produce
ß Safer vehicle combinations e.g. BAB-quads over roadtrains
ß Environmental benefits through less vehicle movements
ß Less infrastructure wear
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Heavy vehicle routesDeficiency assessment
Infrastructure Heavy vehicle access Benefits
Reducedtravel timeand vehicleoperating
costs
Reduced crashexposure
Reducedemissions
Livestock quality(unsealed to
sealed)
Reducedpavement
wear(sealed)
Existinginfrastructure
Existing heavy vehicles No change
More productive heavyvehicles
● ● ● ● ●
Improvedinfrastructure
Existing heavy vehicles ● ● ● ●
More productive heavyvehicles
● ● ● ● ●
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Heavy vehicle routesDeficiency assessment
u Aligned to Performance-BasedStandards (PBS)
ß COAG-endorsed reform to providemore flexibility in heavy vehicledesign
ß Encourages innovation in heavyvehicle design, aimed at greaterproductivity
ß PBS governs what a vehicle cando, not what it should look like
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PBS Level
Network access by vehiclelength, L (m) Equivalent multi-
combination heavyvehicle routeClass ‘A’
Class‘B’
Level 1 L ≤ 20 (General access)
Semi-trailer
Rigid truck and dogtrailer
19m B-double
Level 2 L ≤ 26 L ≤ 30
B-double (26m =Class 2A)
A-double (30m =Class 2B)
Level 3 L ≤ 36.5 L ≤ 42
Type 1 road train
B-Triple
AB-Triple
Level 4 L ≤ 53.5 L ≤ 60
Type 2 road train
BAB-Quad
AAB-Quad
ABB-Quad
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Heavy vehicle routesDeficiency identification
u Review available road and structure condition data
u Assess the gap between the existing and the desiredinfrastructure based on PBS Route AssessmentGuidelines
u Incorporate local asset management assumptions/visionstandards/rules e.g. rehabilitation triggers forroughness and rutting
u Develop strategic cost estimates for potential projects
ß Thoughts on rates to be adopted?
24
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Heavy vehicle routesWidth deficiency clarifications (straightand curves)
u 6.5 metres is the FNQROC standard, plus a sensitivity if an8m standard was adopted
ß Only LG roads?
u The minimum seal width can be less than or equal to theformation width, and formation only requires widening ifit does not meet the minimum seal width
ß FNQROC does not support this assumption as the safety anddesign requirements for curve widening have not been takeninto account
ß What minimum formation should be applied?
u Where a road already has a straight road deficiency and isto be widened, the straight road width is adopted if itmeets/exceeds the minimum width
ß Not applicable at the 100 metre segment level
u Where a road does not have a straight road deficiency andis only curve deficient, a minimum width of 1 metre perlane is adopted
ß FNQROC support this approach if it relates to the trailingwheel and the subsequent requirement to shoulder wideningand it meets the safety and design requirements for curvewidening
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Questions?Thank you