for immediate release july 2, 2010 david … shows image ratings by voter subgroup for both...
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FOR IMMEDIATE RELEASE July 2, 2010 INTERVIEWS AND QUESTIONS: DAVID FLAHERTY 3038618585
BOB EHRLICH HAS SLIGHT LEAD ON MARTIN O’MALLEY, 46% TO 43%
CONGRESSIONAL GENERIC BALLOT TEST: DEMS 42%, GOP 34% OBAMA ADMINISTRATION HANDLING OF OIL SPILL:
40% APPROVE 50% DISAPPROVE ________________________________________________________________________________________________ Louisville, CO – In the rematch of the 2006 Maryland Governor race, Republican Bob Ehrlich currently holds a 3 point lead over incumbent Governor Martin O’Malley, 46% to 43%, 4% of voters prefer “another candidate”, and 7% are undecided. These results are based on a Magellan Strategies automated survey of 752 likely Maryland voters fielded Tuesday, June 29th. The ballot test numbers are just within the margin of error of 3.57%. Looking at the results by voter subgroup, we find 25% of Democrats supporting Bob Ehrlich. Maintaining that support will be critical to the Ehrlich Campaign considering voter turnout in past election cycles has averaged 58% Democrat, 31% Republican and 11% independent voters. Governor O’Malley does well among younger voters 18 to 34, with a 9 point lead over Bob Ehrlich, and holds a 1 point lead among women, and voters 55 and older. The table below shows the ballot test by voter subgroup.
Maryland Governor Ballot Test Candidate
All Voters
Men
Wom
DemVoters
RepVoters
IndVoters
18‐34
35‐44
45‐ 54
55‐64 65+
Ehrlich Margin +3 +7 ‐1 ‐39 +83 ‐4 ‐9 +11 +11 ‐1 ‐1
Ehrlich 46% 50% 43% 25% 90% 34% 41% 49% 50% 45% 45%O’Malley 43% 43% 44% 64% 7% 38% 50% 38% 39% 46% 46%Other Can 4% 3% 4% 3% 1% 14% 6% 6% 2% 3% 3%Undecided 7% 4% 9% 7% 2% 14% 3% 7% 9% 6% 6%
Candidate Image Ratings Both the current and former Governor, Martin O’Malley is well known among all voters with name recognition of 99%. Republican Bob Ehrlich currently has a stronger image rating than Governor O’Malley, with 51% of respondents having a favorable opinion of him and 32% having an unfavorable opinion. Governor O’Malley’s image rating is slightly “upside down” among all voters, with 41% having a favorable opinion of him and 45% having an unfavorable opinion. Among men, 39% have a favorable opinion of him and 51% have an unfavorable opinion. Among women, his image ratio is 1 to 1, with 42% having a favorable opinion of him and 41% unfavorable.
Magellan ID# MDGOV‐062910 Maryland Governor Survey Page 2 of 3 Field Date: 6/29/10, 752N, MoE +/‐ 3.57%
Magellan Data and Mapping Strategies | 1685 Boxelder St. Ste 300 | Louisville, CO 80027
www.MagellanStrategies.com | (303) 861‐8585
In the strongest Democrat counties of Montgomery, Baltimore City and Prince Georges, his favorable rating is 48%, 66%, and 49% respectively. The following table shows image ratings by voter subgroup for both candidates.
Maryland Governor Candidate Image Ratings Candidate
All Voters
Men
Wom
DemVoters
RepVoters
IndVoters
18‐34
35‐44
45‐ 54
55‐65 65+
Ehrlich Margin
+19 +21 +18 ‐10 +73 +23 ‐2 +38 +26 +13 +16
Ehrlich Favorable 51% 54% 48% 34% 84% 46% 39% 60% 53% 49% 50%
Ehrlich Unfavorable 32% 33% 30% 44% 11% 23% 41% 22% 27% 36% 34%
O’Malley Margin ‐4 ‐12 +1 +28 ‐64 ‐11 +8 ‐22 ‐10 0 +3
O’Malley Favorable
41% 39% 42% 55% 14% 37% 50% 32% 36% 44% 44%
O’Malley Unfavorable
45% 51% 41% 27% 78% 48% 42% 54% 46% 44% 41%
Maryland Congressional Generic Ballot Test “If the election for Congress was being held today, and all you know about the two candidates was that one was a Democrat, and the other was a Republican, for whom would you vote? Among all voters, 42% of respondents would vote for the Democrat candidate and 34% for the Republican candidate, and 24% are undecided. Looking at the responses by age group, we find the generic Democrat candidate with a double digit margin over the Republican candidate in every age group with the exception of voters aged 35 to 44 and 55 to 64. We also find a smaller margin, 4 points, between the Democrat and Republican candidates among men.
Candidate
All Voters
Men
Wom
DemVoters
RepVoters
IndVoters
18‐34
35‐ 44
45‐ 54
55‐64 65+
Dem Margin +8 +4 +10 +48 ‐68 +8 +10 ‐9 +16 +9 +10Democrat 42% 41% 42% 62% 7% 35% 45% 34% 46% 42% 42%Republican 34% 37% 32% 14% 75% 27% 35% 43% 30% 33% 32%Undecided 24% 22% 26% 24% 18% 38% 20% 23% 24% 25% 26%
Barack Obama Job Approval In this heavily Democrat state, among all voters 48% approve of the job President Barack Obama is doing and 43% disapprove. The President’s job approval among men is 48% approve, 47% disapprove, and among women, 49% approve and 41% disapprove. Among Democrats, 68% approve and 25% disapprove. Across all five age groups, the President’s approval rating margin are positive, with the exception of voters aged 35 to 44 where 46% approve and 46% disapprove.
Magellan ID# MDGOV‐062910 Maryland Governor Survey Page 3 of 3 Field Date: 6/29/10, 752N, MoE +/‐ 3.57%
Magellan Data and Mapping Strategies | 1685 Boxelder St. Ste 300 | Louisville, CO 80027
www.MagellanStrategies.com | (303) 861‐8585
Obama Administration’s Handling of Oil Spill “Do you approve or disapprove of the Obama Administration’s handling of the oil spill in the Gulf of Mexico?” Among all voters, 40% approve of the Obama Administration’s handling of the oil spill and 50% disapprove. Among men, 42% approve and 51% disapprove, and among women, 38% approve and 49% disapprove. Survey Methodology This survey was conducted using automated telephone touch tone technology. The sample for this survey was randomly drawn from a Maryland voter file. The response data was weighted to reflect past general election voting demographics from the 2008, 2006 and 2004 election cycles. The 752 interviews were conducted on Tuesday night, June 29th from 5:30 to 8 pm. This survey has a margin of error of 3.57% at the 95 percent confidence interval. The survey topline and crosstab results are included in this document along with a map of the polling regions. This release, survey crosstabs and presentation can be downloaded from our website under the “Survey Archives” tab at www.MagellanStrategies.com. Any questions regarding this survey should be directed to David Flaherty at 303‐861‐8585 or [email protected]. About Magellan Data and Mapping Strategies Magellan CEO David Flaherty has extensive experience applying political data and technology to political and public affairs campaigns throughout his 18 year career at the Republican National Committee, the U.S. House of Representatives, and public affairs firms specializing in influencing public opinion. The Magellan team has extensive knowledge constructing and building voter registration databases, performing political data analysis, applying GIS mapping technology, conducting quantitative live and automated survey research, as well as predictive modeling projects, and redistricting technology. Visit our website at MagellanStrategies.com for more information.
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July 2, 2010 MEMORANDUM TO: INTERESTED PARTIES FR: DAVID FLAHERTY MAGELLAN DATA AND MAPPING STRATEGIES RE: MARYLAND GOVERNOR GENERAL ELECTION SURVEY TOPLINE RESULTS ________________________________________________________________________________________________ Magellan Data and Mapping Strategies are pleased to present the topline results of a 752N autodial survey of likely general election voters in the state of Maryland. The interviews were conducted June 29th, 2010. This survey has a margin of error of +/‐ 3.57% at the 95 percent confidence interval. This survey was weighted based upon voter turnout demographics from the 2008, 2006, and 2004 election cycles.
T1. Are you registered to vote as a Republican, a Democrat or an independent voter? Democrat ...................................................................................... 58% Republican.................................................................................... 31% Independent ................................................................................ 11%
T2. How likely are you to vote in the November 2010 election for Governor and Congress? Extremely Likely ........................................................................ 83% Very Likely ................................................................................... 11% Somewhat Likely .......................................................................... 6%
T3. If the election for Congress was being held today, and all you knew about the two candidates was that one was a Democrat and the other was a Republican, for whom would you vote? Democrat candidate ................................................................. 42% Republican candidate .............................................................. 34% Undecided ..................................................................................... 24%
Magellan ID# MDGOV‐062910 Maryland Governor General Election Survey Topline Results Page 2 of 3 Field Dates: 6/29/2010 MoE +/‐ 3.57%, 752N
Magellan Data and Mapping Strategies| 1685 Boxelder St. Ste 300 | Louisville, CO 80027
www.MagellanStrategies.com | (303) 861‐8585
Thinking now about people active in government……………… T4. Do you have a favorable or unfavorable opinion of Bob Ehrlich? Favorable ...................................................................................... 51% Unfavorable ................................................................................. 32% No Opinion ................................................................................... 16% Name ID ......................................................................................... 99% Hard Name ID ............................................................................. 83% Never Heard Of .............................................................................. 1%
T5. Do you have a favorable or unfavorable opinion of Martin O’Malley? Favorable ...................................................................................... 41% Unfavorable ................................................................................. 45% No Opinion ................................................................................... 13% Name ID ......................................................................................... 99% Hard Name ID ............................................................................. 86% Never Heard Of .............................................................................. 1%
T6. Do you approve or disapprove of the job Barack Obama is doing as President? Approve ......................................................................................... 48% Disapprove ................................................................................... 43% No Opinion ...................................................................................... 9%
T7. If the election for Governor was being held today, for whom would you vote if the candidates were Bob Ehrlich, Republican, or Martin O’Malley, Democrat? Bob Ehrlich ................................................................................... 46% Martin O’Malley .......................................................................... 43% Another Candidate ....................................................................... 4% Undecided ........................................................................................ 7%
T8. Do you approve or disapprove of the Obama Administration’s handling of the oil spill in the Gulf of Mexico? Approve ......................................................................................... 40% Disapprove ................................................................................... 50% No Opinion ................................................................................... 10%
Magellan ID# MDGOV‐062910 Maryland Governor General Election Survey Topline Results Page 3 of 3 Field Dates: 6/29/2010 MoE +/‐ 3.57%, 752N
Magellan Data and Mapping Strategies| 1685 Boxelder St. Ste 300 | Louisville, CO 80027
www.MagellanStrategies.com | (303) 861‐8585
T9. For statistical purposes, are you a man or a woman? Female ............................................................................................ 55% Male ................................................................................................. 45%
T10. Which of the following age groups applies to you? 18‐34............................................................................................... 15% 35‐44............................................................................................... 18% 45‐54............................................................................................... 24% 55‐64............................................................................................... 21% 65+ ................................................................................................... 22%
T11. For statistical purposes only, what is your race? Are you white, Hispanic or Latino, black or African American, Asian, or another ethnic group? White .............................................................................................. 70% Black/African American ......................................................... 20% Hispanic/Latino ............................................................................ 3% Another ethnic group ................................................................. 7%
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ME
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AT
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62
2.8
10
19
.4
Ma
ryla
nd
Go
vern
ors
Au
to S
urv
ey,
Ju
ne
29th
, 20
10, 7
52
N, 3
.57
% M
oE
, Wei
ghte
d R
esul
ts, M
age
llan
Da
ta a
nd M
app
ing
Str
ateg
ies,
16
85 B
oxe
lder
St.
Su
ite 3
00, L
ouis
ville
, C
O 8
0027
, 30
3-8
61-8
585
Ta
ble
2-2
T
2.
Ho
w li
kely
are
yo
u t
o v
ote
in th
e N
ove
mb
er
2010
ele
ctio
n fo
r G
ove
rno
r a
nd C
ong
ress
?
O
BA
MA
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ES
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NA
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UN
TY
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ME
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16
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8.2
Ma
ryla
nd
Go
vern
ors
Au
to S
urv
ey,
Ju
ne
29th
, 20
10, 7
52
N, 3
.57
% M
oE
, Wei
ghte
d R
esul
ts, M
age
llan
Da
ta a
nd M
app
ing
Str
ateg
ies,
16
85 B
oxe
lder
St.
Su
ite 3
00, L
ouis
ville
, C
O 8
0027
, 30
3-8
61-8
585
Ta
ble
3-1
T
3.
If th
e e
lect
ion
for
Co
ngre
ss w
as
be
ing
hel
d to
da
y, a
nd
all
you
kn
ew
ab
out t
he t
wo
ca
ndid
ate
s w
as
that
on
e w
as
a D
em
ocr
at a
nd
the
oth
er
wa
s a
Rep
ublic
an,
for
wh
om
wo
uld
yo
u v
ote
?
G
EN
D
GE
N-P
TY
A
GE
B
AL
LO
T T
ES
T
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MO
CR
AT
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PU
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14
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01
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ED
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35
71
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Ma
ryla
nd
Go
vern
ors
Au
to S
urv
ey,
Ju
ne
29th
, 20
10, 7
52
N, 3
.57
% M
oE
, Wei
ghte
d R
esul
ts, M
age
llan
Da
ta a
nd M
app
ing
Str
ateg
ies,
16
85 B
oxe
lder
St.
Su
ite 3
00, L
ouis
ville
, C
O 8
0027
, 30
3-8
61-8
585
Ta
ble
3-2
T
3.
If th
e e
lect
ion
for
Co
ngre
ss w
as
be
ing
hel
d to
da
y, a
nd
all
you
kn
ew
ab
out t
he t
wo
ca
ndid
ate
s w
as
that
on
e w
as
a D
em
ocr
at a
nd
the
oth
er
wa
s a
Rep
ublic
an,
for
wh
om
wo
uld
yo
u v
ote
?
O
BA
MA
JO
B
RA
CE
C
ON
GR
ES
SIO
NA
L D
IST
RIC
T
CO
UN
TY
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AT
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0.4
12
15
.8
Ma
ryla
nd
Go
vern
ors
Au
to S
urv
ey,
Ju
ne
29th
, 20
10, 7
52
N, 3
.57
% M
oE
, Wei
ghte
d R
esul
ts, M
age
llan
Da
ta a
nd M
app
ing
Str
ateg
ies,
16
85 B
oxe
lder
St.
Su
ite 3
00, L
ouis
ville
, C
O 8
0027
, 30
3-8
61-8
585
Ta
ble
4-1
T
4.
Th
inki
ng
no
w a
bou
t peo
ple
act
ive
in g
ove
rnm
ent
…D
o y
ou
ha
ve a
favo
rab
le o
r un
favo
rab
le o
pin
ion
of B
ob
Eh
rlic
h?
GE
ND
G
EN
-PT
Y
AG
E
BA
LL
OT
TE
ST
--
----
----
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4.1
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VE
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11
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11
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6
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42
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0.4
51
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1.3
12
.9
Ma
ryla
nd
Go
vern
ors
Au
to S
urv
ey,
Ju
ne
29th
, 20
10, 7
52
N, 3
.57
% M
oE
, Wei
ghte
d R
esul
ts, M
age
llan
Da
ta a
nd M
app
ing
Str
ateg
ies,
16
85 B
oxe
lder
St.
Su
ite 3
00, L
ouis
ville
, C
O 8
0027
, 30
3-8
61-8
585
Ta
ble
4-2
T
4.
Th
inki
ng
no
w a
bou
t peo
ple
act
ive
in g
ove
rnm
ent
…D
o y
ou
ha
ve a
favo
rab
le o
r un
favo
rab
le o
pin
ion
of B
ob
Eh
rlic
h?
OB
AM
A J
OB
R
AC
E
CO
NG
RE
SS
ION
AL
DIS
TR
ICT
C
OU
NT
Y
----
----
----
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TA
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RV
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PP
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CK
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5 -
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6
----
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71
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08
31
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09
91
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50
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33
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43
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4.6
67
57
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0.7
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33
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FA
VO
RA
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2
37
31
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31
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6.6
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28
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24
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2.5
34
36
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34
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2.3
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45
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NA
ME
ID
74
1 9
8.5
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32
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49
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29
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11
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08
19
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98
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10
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10
0.0
89
97
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31
98
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98
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6.7
71
95
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HA
RD
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ME
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6
17
82
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27
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30
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2.6
46
48
8.3
95
64
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02
91
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77
9.4
86
88
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26
2.5
71
72
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08
7.2
76
91
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74
80
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05
78
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08
91
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58
79
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NO
OP
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N
1
24
16
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76
21
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23
7.2
60
11
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73
1.9
10
8.8
14
17
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34
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12
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8
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87
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VE
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EA
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33
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2
2.7
21
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33
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4.1
Ma
ryla
nd
Go
vern
ors
Au
to S
urv
ey,
Ju
ne
29th
, 20
10, 7
52
N, 3
.57
% M
oE
, Wei
ghte
d R
esul
ts, M
age
llan
Da
ta a
nd M
app
ing
Str
ateg
ies,
16
85 B
oxe
lder
St.
Su
ite 3
00, L
ouis
ville
, C
O 8
0027
, 30
3-8
61-8
585
Ta
ble
5-1
T
5.
Do
yo
u h
ave
a f
avo
rabl
e o
r u
nfav
ora
ble
opi
nio
n o
f Ma
rtin
O’M
alle
y?
GE
ND
G
EN
-PT
Y
AG
E
BA
LL
OT
TE
ST
--
----
----
----
----
--
---
----
----
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----
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EN
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81
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06
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55
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14
45
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38
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50
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1.6
65
36
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43
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78
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32
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FA
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41
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31
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42
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94
3.7
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41
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ME
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74
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96
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HA
RD
NA
ME
ID
6
47
86
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30
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0.0
34
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21
69
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11
09
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10
68
8.7
36
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38
6.8
20
77
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71
85
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28
5.3
28
85
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10
49
2.4
11
58
5.2
14
98
2.4
13
88
7.5
14
08
4.7
32
29
2.6
27
98
5.3
22
79
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44
8.2
NO
OP
INIO
N
1
01
13
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33
9.6
68
16
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17
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33
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41
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73
16
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50
19
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14
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17
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VE
R H
EA
RD
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3
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30
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11
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2.4
10
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0.9
23
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Ma
ryla
nd
Go
vern
ors
Au
to S
urv
ey,
Ju
ne
29th
, 20
10, 7
52
N, 3
.57
% M
oE
, Wei
ghte
d R
esul
ts, M
age
llan
Da
ta a
nd M
app
ing
Str
ateg
ies,
16
85 B
oxe
lder
St.
Su
ite 3
00, L
ouis
ville
, C
O 8
0027
, 30
3-8
61-8
585
Ta
ble
5-2
T
5.
Do
yo
u h
ave
a f
avo
rabl
e o
r u
nfav
ora
ble
opi
nio
n o
f Ma
rtin
O’M
alle
y?
OB
AM
A J
OB
R
AC
E
CO
NG
RE
SS
ION
AL
DIS
TR
ICT
C
OU
NT
Y
----
----
----
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----
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----
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TA
L
--
----
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P
RV
E
---
----
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A
PP
----
----
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E
----
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CK
--
----
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1 -
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2
----
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3
----
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--
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5 -
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6
----
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D7
----
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--
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NT
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RY
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LT
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TY
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----
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NC
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GE
--
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LT
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10
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VO
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BL
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3
06
40
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25
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0.0
30
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19
43
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7.6
39
46
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92
9.5
26
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2.6
48
52
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7.9
43
36
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24
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49
65
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FA
VO
RA
BL
E
3
41
45
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51
14
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27
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05
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34
22
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16
3.7
37
44
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34
4.8
23
27
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14
1.9
68
65
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5.6
27
29
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53
3.8
64
54
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12
4.1
20
27
.7
NA
ME
ID
74
7 9
9.4
36
0 9
9.2
32
5 9
9.8
52
49
9.7
14
79
9.3
11
11
00.
08
41
00.
09
59
7.8
82
98
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91
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01
04
10
0.0
83
10
0.0
90
98
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31
98
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16
98
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61
00.
07
41
00.
0
HA
RD
NA
ME
ID
6
47
86
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30
5 8
4.2
30
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3.9
47
59
0.3
11
27
5.8
10
29
2.1
79
93
.99
09
2.4
62
74
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07
1.4
94
91
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3 8
8.3
76
82
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09
81
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07
91
.06
27
2.6
69
93
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NO
OP
INIO
N
1
01
13
.4
55
15
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19
5.9
49
9.4
35
23
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7.9
56
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5.3
20
24
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82
8.6
99
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0 1
1.7
15
15
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21
6.5
97
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42
7.4
56
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NE
VE
R H
EA
RD
OF
5
0.6
3
0.8
1
0.2
10
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0.7
22
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1.2
1
1.5
21
.81
1.2
Ma
ryla
nd
Go
vern
ors
Au
to S
urv
ey,
Ju
ne
29th
, 20
10, 7
52
N, 3
.57
% M
oE
, Wei
ghte
d R
esul
ts, M
age
llan
Da
ta a
nd M
app
ing
Str
ateg
ies,
16
85 B
oxe
lder
St.
Su
ite 3
00, L
ouis
ville
, C
O 8
0027
, 30
3-8
61-8
585
Ta
ble
6-1
T
6.
Do
yo
u a
ppr
ove
or
dis
app
rove
of
the
job
Ba
rack
Ob
am
a is
doi
ng a
s P
resi
dent
?
G
EN
D
GE
N-P
TY
A
GE
B
AL
LO
T T
ES
T
----
----
----
----
----
-
----
----
----
----
----
----
----
----
----
----
----
----
----
----
----
----
----
----
----
----
----
----
----
----
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----
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----
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----
----
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--
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TA
L
--
----
---
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EN
-
----
----
W
OM
----
----
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TG
OP
--
----
---
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PM
EN
--
----
---
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PW
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---
----
--
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TD
EM
--
----
--
DE
MM
EN
--
----
---
DE
MW
OM
--
----
---
TO
TIN
D -
----
----
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ME
N
----
----
IND
W
OM
----
----
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8-3
4
----
----
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5-4
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----
----
45
-54
--
----
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5-6
4
----
----
-
65
PL
US
--
----
---
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RL
ICH
---
----
--
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AL
LE
Y
----
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HE
R
----
----
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DE
CD
ED
--
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TA
L
7
52
10
0.0
33
8 1
00.
0
41
4 1
00.
0
23
31
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01
13
10
0.0
12
01
00.
04
36
10
0.0
17
61
00.
02
60
10
0.0
83
10
0.0
50
10
0.0
33
10
0.0
11
31
00.
01
35
10
0.0
18
01
00.
01
58
10
0.0
16
51
00.
03
48
10
0.0
32
71
00.
02
81
00.
04
91
00.
0
AP
PR
OV
E
3
63
48
.3
16
2 4
7.9
20
1 4
8.5
29
12
.62
42
0.8
64
.92
96
67
.81
10
62
.81
85
71
.23
84
5.6
28
57
.19
2
8.4
58
51
.16
24
5.8
90
49
.87
74
8.5
77
46
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01
4.5
28
28
6.2
51
8.0
26
52
.1
DIS
AP
PR
OV
E
3
26
43
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15
7 4
6.5
16
9 4
0.8
18
88
0.8
87
77
.31
01
84
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07
24
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22
9.6
55
21
.03
13
7.4
18
36
.31
3 3
9.1
48
42
.56
34
6.4
75
41
.87
34
6.1
67
40
.62
77
79
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16
.51
55
2.9
13
26
.3
UN
SU
RE
N
O O
PIN
ION
63
8.4
19
5.5
44
10
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15
6.6
21
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31
1.0
34
7.7
13
7.6
20
7.8
14
17
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6.6
11
32
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76
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17
.91
58
.48
5.3
22
13
.12
05
.82
47
.38
29
.11
12
1.6
Ma
ryla
nd
Go
vern
ors
Au
to S
urv
ey,
Ju
ne
29th
, 20
10, 7
52
N, 3
.57
% M
oE
, Wei
ghte
d R
esul
ts, M
age
llan
Da
ta a
nd M
app
ing
Str
ateg
ies,
16
85 B
oxe
lder
St.
Su
ite 3
00, L
ouis
ville
, C
O 8
0027
, 30
3-8
61-8
585
Ta
ble
6-2
T
6.
Do
yo
u a
ppr
ove
or
dis
app
rove
of
the
job
Ba
rack
Ob
am
a is
doi
ng a
s P
resi
dent
?
O
BA
MA
JO
B
RA
CE
C
ON
GR
ES
SIO
NA
L D
IST
RIC
T
CO
UN
TY
--
----
----
----
----
--
---
----
----
----
----
--
----
----
----
----
----
----
----
----
----
----
----
----
----
----
----
----
----
----
----
----
----
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----
----
----
----
----
----
----
----
----
----
T
OT
AL
----
----
-
AP
P
RV
E
---
----
--
DIS
A
PP
----
----
W
HIT
E
----
----
-B
LA
CK
--
----
---
CD
1 -
----
----
CD
2
----
----
CD
3
----
----
-C
D4
--
----
---
CD
5 -
----
----
CD
6
----
----
C
D7
----
----
-C
D8
--
----
---
MO
NT
GM
RY
---
----
--
BA
LT
CN
TY
--
----
--
PR
NC
GR
GE
--
----
---
BA
LT
CIT
Y
----
----
-
TO
TA
L
7
52
10
0.0
36
3 1
00.
0
32
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AP
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3
26
43
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26
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27
25
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44
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53
6.4
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67
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8.9
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SU
RE
N
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PIN
ION
63
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43
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44
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11
0.9
10
9.2
1
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89
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71
2.4
86
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5.9
56
.9
Ma
ryla
nd
Go
vern
ors
Au
to S
urv
ey,
Ju
ne
29th
, 20
10, 7
52
N, 3
.57
% M
oE
, Wei
ghte
d R
esul
ts, M
age
llan
Da
ta a
nd M
app
ing
Str
ateg
ies,
16
85 B
oxe
lder
St.
Su
ite 3
00, L
ouis
ville
, C
O 8
0027
, 30
3-8
61-8
585
Ta
ble
7-1
T
7.
If th
e e
lect
ion
for
Go
vern
or
wa
s b
ein
g h
eld
tod
ay,
fo
r w
ho
m w
ou
ld y
ou
vo
te if
the
can
did
ate
s w
ere
Bo
b E
hrl
ich,
Rep
ublic
an,
or
Mar
tin O
’Mal
ley,
De
mo
cra
t?
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ND
G
EN
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Y
AG
E
BA
LL
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ST
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71
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02
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34
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16
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18
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89
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5.2
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10
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AL
LE
Y
3
27
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14
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6.5
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10
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66
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11
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49
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27
10
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HE
R
2
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11
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17
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3.3
52
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3.6
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14
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6.7
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31
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0
UN
DE
CID
ED
49
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37
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62
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32
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61
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13
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12
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1
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69
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5.7
49
10
0.0
Ma
ryla
nd
Go
vern
ors
Au
to S
urv
ey,
Ju
ne
29th
, 20
10, 7
52
N, 3
.57
% M
oE
, Wei
ghte
d R
esul
ts, M
age
llan
Da
ta a
nd M
app
ing
Str
ateg
ies,
16
85 B
oxe
lder
St.
Su
ite 3
00, L
ouis
ville
, C
O 8
0027
, 30
3-8
61-8
585
Ta
ble
7-2
T
7.
If th
e e
lect
ion
for
Go
vern
or
wa
s b
ein
g h
eld
tod
ay,
fo
r w
ho
m w
ou
ld y
ou
vo
te if
the
can
did
ate
s w
ere
Bo
b E
hrl
ich,
Rep
ublic
an,
or
Mar
tin O
’Mal
ley,
De
mo
cra
t?
OB
AM
A J
OB
R
AC
E
CO
NG
RE
SS
ION
AL
DIS
TR
ICT
C
OU
NT
Y
----
----
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27
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HE
R
2
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UN
DE
CID
ED
49
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71
0.1
Ma
ryla
nd
Go
vern
ors
Au
to S
urv
ey,
Ju
ne
29th
, 20
10, 7
52
N, 3
.57
% M
oE
, Wei
ghte
d R
esul
ts, M
age
llan
Da
ta a
nd M
app
ing
Str
ateg
ies,
16
85 B
oxe
lder
St.
Su
ite 3
00, L
ouis
ville
, C
O 8
0027
, 30
3-8
61-8
585
Ta
ble
8-1
T
8.
Do
yo
u a
ppr
ove
or
dis
app
rove
of
the
Ob
am
a A
dmin
istr
atio
n’s
ha
ndlin
g o
f th
e o
il sp
ill in
the
Gu
lf of
Me
xico
?
G
EN
D
GE
N-P
TY
A
GE
B
AL
LO
T T
ES
T
----
----
----
----
----
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04
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01
35
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0
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OV
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3
02
40
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41
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14
35
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55
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29
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42
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77
42
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03
8.3
71
43
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81
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23
97
3.2
72
3.2
18
36
.3
DIS
AP
PR
OV
E
3
75
49
.9
17
1 5
0.6
20
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9.3
18
47
8.8
88
77
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67
9.8
15
23
4.9
63
36
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93
4.1
39
47
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04
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19
58
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54
47
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85
7.3
90
49
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35
2.7
71
43
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82
81
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01
8.4
14
50
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93
9.4
NO
OP
INIO
N
7
5 1
0.0
24
7.2
51
12
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10
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14
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39
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91
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1
2.4
11
10
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37
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49
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31
3.8
28
8.1
28
8.4
72
6.0
12
24
.3
Ma
ryla
nd
Go
vern
ors
Au
to S
urv
ey,
Ju
ne
29th
, 20
10, 7
52
N, 3
.57
% M
oE
, Wei
ghte
d R
esul
ts, M
age
llan
Da
ta a
nd M
app
ing
Str
ateg
ies,
16
85 B
oxe
lder
St.
Su
ite 3
00, L
ouis
ville
, C
O 8
0027
, 30
3-8
61-8
585
Ta
ble
8-2
T
8.
Do
yo
u a
ppr
ove
or
dis
app
rove
of
the
Ob
am
a A
dmin
istr
atio
n’s
ha
ndlin
g o
f th
e o
il sp
ill in
the
Gu
lf of
Me
xico
?
O
BA
MA
JO
B
RA
CE
C
ON
GR
ES
SIO
NA
L D
IST
RIC
T
CO
UN
TY
--
----
----
----
----
--
---
----
----
----
----
--
----
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----
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----
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----
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----
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OT
AL
----
----
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AP
P
RV
E
---
----
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DIS
A
PP
----
----
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HIT
E
----
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LA
CK
--
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1 -
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2
----
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3
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5 -
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6
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--
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MO
NT
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LT
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TY
--
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NC
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----
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L
7
52
10
0.0
36
3 1
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0
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0
52
61
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01
48
10
0.0
11
11
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08
41
00.
09
71
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08
31
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09
91
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01
04
10
0.0
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10
0.0
92
10
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13
31
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01
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10
0.0
86
10
0.0
74
10
0.0
AP
PR
OV
E
3
02
40
.1
27
7 7
6.3
12
3.7
16
33
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11
07
4.0
21
19
.03
33
9.6
46
47
.75
46
5.1
32
32
.72
22
1.3
57
68
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36
39
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14
5.4
43
36
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15
9.0
54
73
.8
DIS
AP
PR
OV
E
3
75
49
.9
53
14
.7
29
8 9
1.4
31
15
9.2
25
17
.17
46
6.5
42
49
.94
24
3.4
25
30
.75
35
4.1
73
70
.42
3 2
8.1
42
46
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24
6.4
66
56
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73
1.1
14
19
.2
NO
OP
INIO
N
7
5 1
0.0
33
9.0
16
4.9
51
9.7
13
8.9
16
14
.59
10
.59
8.9
44
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31
3.2
98
.33
3
.5
13
14
.61
18
.29
7.6
89
.95
7.0
Ma
ryla
nd
Go
vern
ors
Au
to S
urv
ey,
Ju
ne
29th
, 20
10, 7
52
N, 3
.57
% M
oE
, Wei
ghte
d R
esul
ts, M
age
llan
Da
ta a
nd M
app
ing
Str
ateg
ies,
16
85 B
oxe
lder
St.
Su
ite 3
00, L
ouis
ville
, C
O 8
0027
, 30
3-8
61-8
585
Ta
ble
9-1
T
9.
Fo
r st
atis
tical
pur
pose
s, a
re y
ou
a m
an
or
a w
om
an
?
G
EN
D
GE
N-P
TY
A
GE
B
AL
LO
T T
ES
T
----
----
----
----
----
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----
----
----
----
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----
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----
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----
--
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TA
L
--
----
---
M
EN
-
----
----
W
OM
----
----
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TG
OP
--
----
---
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PM
EN
--
----
---
GO
PW
OM
---
----
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TD
EM
--
----
--
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MM
EN
--
----
---
DE
MW
OM
--
----
---
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TIN
D -
----
----
IND
ME
N
----
----
IND
W
OM
----
----
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8-3
4
----
----
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5-4
4 -
----
----
45
-54
--
----
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5-6
4
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Ma
ryla
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Go
vern
ors
Au
to S
urv
ey,
Ju
ne
29th
, 20
10, 7
52
N, 3
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% M
oE
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ghte
d R
esul
ts, M
age
llan
Da
ta a
nd M
app
ing
Str
ateg
ies,
16
85 B
oxe
lder
St.
Su
ite 3
00, L
ouis
ville
, C
O 8
0027
, 30
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585
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ble
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r st
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tical
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pose
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re y
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64
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Ma
ryla
nd
Go
vern
ors
Au
to S
urv
ey,
Ju
ne
29th
, 20
10, 7
52
N, 3
.57
% M
oE
, Wei
ghte
d R
esul
ts, M
age
llan
Da
ta a
nd M
app
ing
Str
ateg
ies,
16
85 B
oxe
lder
St.
Su
ite 3
00, L
ouis
ville
, C
O 8
0027
, 30
3-8
61-8
585
Ta
ble
10
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T1
0. W
hich
of
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follo
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ge
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ups
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TY
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Ma
ryla
nd
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vern
ors
Au
to S
urv
ey,
Ju
ne
29th
, 20
10, 7
52
N, 3
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% M
oE
, Wei
ghte
d R
esul
ts, M
age
llan
Da
ta a
nd M
app
ing
Str
ateg
ies,
16
85 B
oxe
lder
St.
Su
ite 3
00, L
ouis
ville
, C
O 8
0027
, 30
3-8
61-8
585
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ble
10
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T1
0. W
hich
of
the
follo
win
g a
ge
gro
ups
app
lies
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BA
MA
JO
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NA
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Ma
ryla
nd
Go
vern
ors
Au
to S
urv
ey,
Ju
ne
29th
, 20
10, 7
52
N, 3
.57
% M
oE
, Wei
ghte
d R
esul
ts, M
age
llan
Da
ta a
nd M
app
ing
Str
ateg
ies,
16
85 B
oxe
lder
St.
Su
ite 3
00, L
ouis
ville
, C
O 8
0027
, 30
3-8
61-8
585
Ta
ble
11
-1
T1
1.
For
sta
tistic
al p
urpo
ses
onl
y, w
ha
t is
you
r ra
ce?
Are
yo
u w
hite
, H
isp
ani
c o
r La
tino
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ck o
r A
fric
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me
rican
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ic g
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LL
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1.3
Ma
ryla
nd
Go
vern
ors
Au
to S
urv
ey,
Ju
ne
29th
, 20
10, 7
52
N, 3
.57
% M
oE
, Wei
ghte
d R
esul
ts, M
age
llan
Da
ta a
nd M
app
ing
Str
ateg
ies,
16
85 B
oxe
lder
St.
Su
ite 3
00, L
ouis
ville
, C
O 8
0027
, 30
3-8
61-8
585
Ta
ble
11
-2
T1
1.
For
sta
tistic
al p
urpo
ses
onl
y, w
ha
t is
you
r ra
ce?
Are
yo
u w
hite
, H
isp
ani
c o
r La
tino
, bla
ck o
r A
fric
an A
me
rican
, or
ano
the
r e
thn
ic g
rou
p?
OB
AM
A J
OB
R
AC
E
CO
NG
RE
SS
ION
AL
DIS
TR
ICT
C
OU
NT
Y
----
----
----
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----
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Ma
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Ma
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