foreign investment in us/canada apartments · q2 2000 q4 2000 q2 2001 q4 2001 q2 2002 q4 2002 2003...

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Foreign Investment in US/Canada Apartments April 2014

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Page 1: Foreign Investment in US/Canada Apartments · Q2 2000 Q4 2000 Q2 2001 Q4 2001 Q2 2002 Q4 2002 2003 2003 Q2 2004 Q4 2004 Q2 2005 Q4 2005 Q2 2006 Q4 2006 Q2 2007 Q4 2007 Q2 2008 Q4

Foreign Investment in US/Canada Apartments

April 2014

Page 2: Foreign Investment in US/Canada Apartments · Q2 2000 Q4 2000 Q2 2001 Q4 2001 Q2 2002 Q4 2002 2003 2003 Q2 2004 Q4 2004 Q2 2005 Q4 2005 Q2 2006 Q4 2006 Q2 2007 Q4 2007 Q2 2008 Q4

1

0%

5%

10%

15%

20%

25%

30%M

ar-

78

Mar-

80

Mar-

82

Mar-

84

Mar-

86

Mar-

88

Mar-

90

Mar-

92

Mar-

94

Mar-

96

Mar-

98

Mar-

00

Mar-

02

Mar-

04

Mar-

06

Mar-

08

Mar-

10

Mar-

12

Ap

art

me

nt %

of N

PI

Source: NCREIF, LaSalle Investment Management As of 4Q2013

US Apartment Share of NPI Has Risen Significantly Since 1990s

Page 3: Foreign Investment in US/Canada Apartments · Q2 2000 Q4 2000 Q2 2001 Q4 2001 Q2 2002 Q4 2002 2003 2003 Q2 2004 Q4 2004 Q2 2005 Q4 2005 Q2 2006 Q4 2006 Q2 2007 Q4 2007 Q2 2008 Q4

2

Canada: Apartments Only 7% of IPD Index Capital ValueREALpac / IPD Canada Quarterly Property Index, Q1/00 – Q4/13

Source: IPD, LaSalle Investment Management At

Q4 2013

0%

1%

2%

3%

4%

5%

6%

7%

8%

Q4 2

013

Q2

20

13

Q4

20

12

Q2

20

12

Q4

20

11

Q2

20

11

Q4

20

10

Q2

20

10

Q4

20

09

Q2

20

09

Q4

20

08

Q2

20

08

Q4

20

07

Q2

20

07

Q4

20

06

Q2

20

06

Q4

20

05

Q2

20

05

Q4

20

04

Q2

20

04

Q4 2

003

Q2 2

003

Q4

20

02

Q2

20

02

Q4

20

01

Q2

20

01

Q4

20

00

Q2

20

00

% o

f IP

D C

apital V

alu

e

Q4/13 IPD Index Capital Value: $117.6 bln

Apartments: $8.6 bln

Page 4: Foreign Investment in US/Canada Apartments · Q2 2000 Q4 2000 Q2 2001 Q4 2001 Q2 2002 Q4 2002 2003 2003 Q2 2004 Q4 2004 Q2 2005 Q4 2005 Q2 2006 Q4 2006 Q2 2007 Q4 2007 Q2 2008 Q4

3

10%

15%

20%

25%

30%

35%

40%

45%

50%M

ar-

78

Ma

r-8

0

Ma

r-8

2

Ma

r-8

4

Ma

r-8

6

Ma

r-8

8

Ma

r-9

0

Ma

r-9

2

Ma

r-9

4

Ma

r-9

6

Ma

r-9

8

Mar-

00

Ma

r-0

2

Ma

r-0

4

Ma

r-0

6

Ma

r-0

8

Ma

r-1

0

Ma

r-1

2

Se

cto

r %

of N

PI

Industrial Office Retail

Source: NCREIF, LaSalle Investment Management As of 4Q2013

US Industrial, Office Sectors Losing Share Since Early 2000s

Page 5: Foreign Investment in US/Canada Apartments · Q2 2000 Q4 2000 Q2 2001 Q4 2001 Q2 2002 Q4 2002 2003 2003 Q2 2004 Q4 2004 Q2 2005 Q4 2005 Q2 2006 Q4 2006 Q2 2007 Q4 2007 Q2 2008 Q4

4

0%

2%

4%

6%

8%

10%

12%

5-Year 10-Year 15-Year

An

nu

aliz

ed

To

tal R

etu

rn

All Propeties Apartment Industrial Office Retail

US Apartment Returns Above Average for Most Periods

4

Source: NCREIF, LaSalle Investment Management As of 4Q2013

Page 6: Foreign Investment in US/Canada Apartments · Q2 2000 Q4 2000 Q2 2001 Q4 2001 Q2 2002 Q4 2002 2003 2003 Q2 2004 Q4 2004 Q2 2005 Q4 2005 Q2 2006 Q4 2006 Q2 2007 Q4 2007 Q2 2008 Q4

5

0%

2%

4%

6%

8%

10%

12%

14%

5-Year 10-Year 14-Year

An

nu

aliz

ed

To

tal R

etu

rn

All Propeties Apartment Industrial Office Retail

Canada: Apartment Returns Lag but Are Less Volatile

5

Source: IPD, LaSalle Investment Management As of 4Q2013

Page 7: Foreign Investment in US/Canada Apartments · Q2 2000 Q4 2000 Q2 2001 Q4 2001 Q2 2002 Q4 2002 2003 2003 Q2 2004 Q4 2004 Q2 2005 Q4 2005 Q2 2006 Q4 2006 Q2 2007 Q4 2007 Q2 2008 Q4

6

0%

1%

2%

3%

4%

5%

6%

$0

$20

$40

$60

$80

$100

$120

2001 2002 2003 2004 2005 2006 2007 2008 2009 2010 2011 2012 2013

% C

ross

Bo

rde

r

Tra

nsacti

on

Vo

lum

e (

$B

il)

Domestic Investors

Cross-Border Investors

% Cross Border

Share of Foreign Investment in US Apartments Has RisenApartment Transaction Volume

6

Note: RCA data understates foreign investment because foreign capital managed by domestic managers is primarily classified as domestic capital

Source: Real Capital Analytics, LaSalle Investment Management As of 4Q2013

Page 8: Foreign Investment in US/Canada Apartments · Q2 2000 Q4 2000 Q2 2001 Q4 2001 Q2 2002 Q4 2002 2003 2003 Q2 2004 Q4 2004 Q2 2005 Q4 2005 Q2 2006 Q4 2006 Q2 2007 Q4 2007 Q2 2008 Q4

7

0%

5%

10%

15%

20%

25%

30%

35%

$0

$1,000

$2,000

$3,000

$4,000

$5,000

$6,000

$7,000

% o

f T

ran

sa

ctio

ns

$ m

illio

ns

Foreign Domestic % Foreign

Canada: Foreign Investors’ Share of Apartment Market Relatively

Small

7

Source: CBRE, LaSalle Investment Management As of 4Q2013

Page 9: Foreign Investment in US/Canada Apartments · Q2 2000 Q4 2000 Q2 2001 Q4 2001 Q2 2002 Q4 2002 2003 2003 Q2 2004 Q4 2004 Q2 2005 Q4 2005 Q2 2006 Q4 2006 Q2 2007 Q4 2007 Q2 2008 Q4

8

0%

1%

2%

3%

4%

5%

6%

7%

8%

9%

10%

Cro

ss

Bo

rde

r %

of

Tra

ns

ac

tio

ns

Apartment % Cross BorderOverall % Cross Border

Foreign Investors Prefer Other Property Types to Apartments, USForeign Buyers Buy Relatively More Offices, Hotels, Retail, and Warehouses

8

Note: RCA data understates foreign investment because foreign capital managed by domestic managers is primarily classified as domestic capital

Source: Real Capital Analytics, LaSalle Investment Management As of 4Q2013

Property Type

Cross Border Investment as

% of 2013 Transaction

Volume

Office 14.6%

Hotel 9.2%

Retail 7.8%

Industrial 5.6%

Apartment 4.6%

Page 10: Foreign Investment in US/Canada Apartments · Q2 2000 Q4 2000 Q2 2001 Q4 2001 Q2 2002 Q4 2002 2003 2003 Q2 2004 Q4 2004 Q2 2005 Q4 2005 Q2 2006 Q4 2006 Q2 2007 Q4 2007 Q2 2008 Q4

9

0

500

1000

1500

2000

2500

3000

3500

4000

Tra

nsa

ctio

n V

ou

me

($M

M) 2013

5-Year Average

Most Foreign Investment In Apartments Is from Canada

9

Note: RCA data understates foreign investment because foreign capital managed by domestic managers is primarily classified as domestic capital

Source: Real Capital Analytics, LaSalle Investment Management As of 4Q2013

Page 11: Foreign Investment in US/Canada Apartments · Q2 2000 Q4 2000 Q2 2001 Q4 2001 Q2 2002 Q4 2002 2003 2003 Q2 2004 Q4 2004 Q2 2005 Q4 2005 Q2 2006 Q4 2006 Q2 2007 Q4 2007 Q2 2008 Q4

10

0%

5%

10%

15%

20%

25%

30%M

ar-

78

Ma

r-8

0

Ma

r-8

2

Ma

r-8

4

Ma

r-8

6

Ma

r-8

8

Ma

r-9

0

Ma

r-9

2

Ma

r-9

4

Ma

r-9

6

Ma

r-9

8

Mar-

00

Ma

r-0

2

Ma

r-0

4

Ma

r-0

6

Ma

r-0

8

Ma

r-1

0

Ma

r-1

2

Ap

art

me

nt %

of N

PI

Garden

High Rise

Low Rise

Garden, High & Low Rise

High & Low Rise

All Apartments

Source: NCREIF, LaSalle Investment Management As of 4Q2013

US Increase Since 2000 is Mostly From High-Rise Apartments

Page 12: Foreign Investment in US/Canada Apartments · Q2 2000 Q4 2000 Q2 2001 Q4 2001 Q2 2002 Q4 2002 2003 2003 Q2 2004 Q4 2004 Q2 2005 Q4 2005 Q2 2006 Q4 2006 Q2 2007 Q4 2007 Q2 2008 Q4

11

US: Top 10 Foreign Apartment Purchases in 2013

11

Buyer Property Location UnitsPrice

(USD, mil.)

Brookfield (Canada) Southeast Portfolio Carolinas, VA, TX 3,115 $231.7

Land & Houses (Thailand) Domain Oakland, CA 264 $104.0

Grosvenor (UK) Northcreek Seattle, WA 524 $88.0

UBS (Switz.) Mission Grove Park Riverside, CA 432 $75.4

BVT (Germany)Estates at Southpark

MeadowsAustin, TX 670 $65.0

Morguard REIT (Canada) Grand Venetian Dallas, TX 514 $63.2

Milestone REIT (Canada) Nashboro Village Nashville, TN 994 $60.6

Morguard REIT (Canada) Portfolio Louisiana 588 $60.0

Investcorp (Bahrain) University Estates Austin, TX 498 $58.9

Morguard REIT (Canada) Lodge at Crossroads Raleigh, NC 432 $57.1

Note: RCA data understates foreign investment because foreign capital managed by domestic managers is primarily classified as domestic capital

Source: Real Capital Analytics, LaSalle Investment Management

Page 13: Foreign Investment in US/Canada Apartments · Q2 2000 Q4 2000 Q2 2001 Q4 2001 Q2 2002 Q4 2002 2003 2003 Q2 2004 Q4 2004 Q2 2005 Q4 2005 Q2 2006 Q4 2006 Q2 2007 Q4 2007 Q2 2008 Q4

This information is intended to assist professional investors in deciding whether they wish to consider the investment further. This publication does not constitute an offer to sell, or the

solicitation of an offer to buy, any securities or any interests in investment funds sponsored by, or the advisory services of, LaSalle Investment Management and is subject to

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