?!

Foresights and InnovationForesights and InnovationSharing SingaporeSharing Singapore’’s Experiences Experience

31 March 2009, Helsinki

Ms. SIM Phei SunnStrategist, Futures Group

2?

!

CONTENTCONTENT

singapore context

futures group & network

process

outputs & contributions

lines of inquiry

video

3?

!

SingaporeSingapore

4?

!

• Singapore’s economy grew by 1.1% in 2008

• GDP is SGD 257bn (USD 170bn)

• Very open economy, total trade is 3.5x GDP

Annual Economic Survey of Singapore, 2008, MTI

singapore context

5?

!

Annual Economic Survey of Singapore, 2008, MTI

innovation

6?

!

http://www.international.ac.uk/resources/Insead200809.pdf

7?

!

http://www.itif.org/files/2009-atlantic-century.pdf

http://www.bcg.com/impact_expertise/publications/files/Innovation_Imperative_in_Manufacturing_March_2009.pdf

9?

!

CONTENTCONTENT

singapore context

futures group & network

process

outputs & contributions

lines of inquiry

video

10?

!

?

!

Futures Group founded in May 2006

“It is proposed that a unit be set up to strategiseon MTI-family wide direction and look at future big ideas... … The unit would focus on big ideas with concrete feasibility and economic impact…”

- MTI Leadership Nov 2005

11?

!

?

!

We are the trendwatchers,

network builders, and

idea generatorsfor the Singapore economy of the future

12?

!

PRIME MINISTER’S OFFICEPUBLIC SERVICE DIVISION

SECURITY SOCIALECONOMIC

Ministry of Defence

Ministry of Foreign Affairs

Ministry of Trade & Industry

Ministry of Finance

Ministry of Transport

Ministry of the Environment and Water Resources

Ministry of Education

Ministry of Communications, Youth and Sports

Ministry of Health

Ministry of Information, Communications and the Arts

Ministry of Home Affairs

Ministry of National Development

Ministry of Manpower

Ministry of Law

singaporesingapore public servicepublic service

13?

!

National Security Coordination Secretariat(Horizon scanning & foresights capabilities)

Strategic Policy Office(National scenarios & methodologies)

singaporesingapore governmentgovernmentfutures networkfutures network

Ministry of Trade and Industry Futures Group(Trends and economic implications)

Infocomm Development Authority(ICT trends and implications)

Ministry of Manpower(Workforce and labour trends)

Ministry of Defence(Security and military issues)

Economic Development Board(New economic clusters/ industries)

Energy Market Authority(Energy trends & scenarios)

Singapore Tourism Board(Tourism trends & scenarios)

………

Bro

ad-ba

sed

Nic

he to

pics

Pioneers

14?

!

CONTENTCONTENT

singapore context

futures group & network

process

outputs & contributions

lines of inquiry

video

15?

!

Ground Sensing,Validation

Analysis,Ideation,KnowledgeSharing

DeskResearch1 2

3

FG Process

16?

!

• Literature, Publications

• Web Scans

• Blogs, Videos, RSS Feeds

Ground Sensing,Validation

Analysis,Ideation,KnowledgeSharing

DeskResearch1 2

3

FG Process

17?

!

• Interviews, Networks with private sector & external agencies

• Foresight Sessions with experts

• Conferences, Seminars, Study Trips

Ground Sensing,Validation

Analysis,Ideation,KnowledgeSharing

DeskResearch1 2

3

FG Process

18?

!

• Genesis & Genesis Plus Brainstorming

• Presentations to senior management & decision-makers

• Ideas, Projects & Experiments

• Other Meetings & Workshops

Ground Sensing,Validation

Analysis,Ideation,Knowledge Sharing

DeskResearch1 2

3

FG Process

19?

!

CONTENTCONTENT

singapore context

futures group & network

process

outputs & contributions

lines of inquiry

video

20?

!

Outputs & Contributions

Emerging Strategic Issues

S. Korea Finland

Talent Strategies

Rise of theRest Video

Future ofGlobal Demand

?!

Research Project Teams/ Inputs

Country Highlights Methodology

FG Blog

Communications

Lines of Inquiry

21?

!

CONTENTCONTENT

singapore context

futures group & network

process

outputs & contributions

lines of inquiry

video

22?

!

Little

RESOURCE CONSTRAINTS

ECONOMY

PEOPLECOMMUNITIES

TOOLS &TECHNOLOGIES

GLOBALCITY

GoldRed

Participation

Green

Silver

Cities I

Talent

Food

!Disaster

PortablePower

Trash

Deviant

Youth

Data VisualizationSmart City

Cities II

Enterprises

$2,000

No-frills

Alternative Spaces

UNDERGROUND;FLOATING

iBody

3D Mfg

Space

CognitiveScience

LINES OF INQUIRYTrends (5-10 years)

Economic Implications?Jobs? Growth? So what?

23?

!

Little

RESOURCE CONSTRAINTS

ECONOMY

PEOPLECOMMUNITIES

TOOLS &TECHNOLOGIES

GLOBALCITY

GoldRed

Participation

Green

Silver

Cities I

Talent

Food

!Disaster

PortablePower

Trash

Deviant

Youth

Data VisualizationSmart City

Cities II

Enterprises

$2,000

No-frills

Alternative Spaces

UNDERGROUND;FLOATING

iBody

3D Mfg

Space

CognitiveScience

LINES OF INQUIRYTrends (5-10 years)

Economic Implications?Jobs? Growth? So what?

24?

!

The Future of Food

25?

!

Aug 07 TodayDec 07 Mar 08 Jun 08

Food headlines in The Economist so far

26?

!

27?

!

Vertical farming is a popular idea for cities• Proposed by Columbia Uni. No prototypes yet. • Estimate for 150 30-storey vertical farms to feed NYC (pop: 8 mil)/year. • China, Abu Dhabi and Korea exploring vertical farming.

Pasona O2, Tokyo

28?

!

IDEAS

29?

!

New Agriculture?

30

Future CityA flourishing global Singapore

31

Power of Place

Mercer Human Resource

Consulting Worldwide

Quality of Living Survey 2007

Top 50

“The ability to attract people and talent is the single biggest predictor of a city’s economic success.”

- NYC Mayor Michael Bloomberg

32

What Makes a Place THE PLACE

HARDWARE

SOFTWARE

33

HARDWARE

Great Public Commons

3rd Places

Transport Options

Compact Grid

Neighborhoods with Soul

Hardware“ New York City has good people, and you would need to build up the infrastructure to hold them. Not the reverse.” –

Koh Lin-Net

34

SOFTWAREHope

Openness

“SGP can put the infrastructure down, throw money at it, buy successful people in creativity and innovation, top up the citizens education bank accounts, invest in

broadband infrastructure, get the best Uni lecturers … the problem is we still need that extra X factor to bring us to the next level.” – Ignatius Low, ST Money Editor

Well-Being

Content and Culture

Software

35

STRATEGIES 1. Broaden Catchment (1st & 3rd Touchpoints)2. Improve Climate (Openness)3. Improve Message (PR)

?!

iPOWERthe Future of Portable Power

?!

Key Secondary Battery Technologies

Low self-discharge rate

Highest Energy Density(High power, low weight)

Strengths of Li Ion

Relative low toxicity

Little memory effect(Hence should never Be fully discharged norOvercharged)

II - Developments of Secondary Batteries

Source : www.batteryuniversity.com

?!

Drivers for Intensified Green Car Movement

III - Growth of Green Cars

Increased Environmental

AwarenessRunaway Oil Price

InternalCombustionEngines (ICE)

Hybrid Cars

Plug-in Hybrid (PHEV)

Electric Vehicles (EV)

Battery toPower auxiliaries

Way Forward

Fuel the car’s movement

CurrentBattery (KWH)EV 50.0PHEV60 26.4PHEV40 20.8PHEV20 12.7HEV 1.5Source : www.nrel.gov&Tesla

?!

Most Car Manufacturers Getting into the Game

III - Growth of Green Cars

?!

Besides Batteries, can we also play in the game for Green Cars?

V - Ideas and Implications

?!

We can also catch the wave via EVs (EVs & PHEVs)

Manufacturing?

Trading?

Logistics?

Primary Research?

Testbedding?

HQ Services?Innovation?

Capitalise on our geographical location within the Asia andOur unique traits to be the leader for Green Car Movement

• One of the highest cars per capital ratio in this region• High turnover rate for cars – via COEs• Highest cost of cars in the world • Green conscious population• Small country

• Strong Government commitment to green• Strong R&D sector• Good base of electronics industry

V - Ideas and Implications

?!

iBody

43

“…genetic, robotic, information and nano processes…are collectively creating a curve of change unlike anything we humans have ever seen.”

Joel Garreau, Radical Evolution

44

Cognitive Drugs

45

BioBio--regenerationregeneration

46B i o – m e c h a n i c s

“Enhancing PhysicalFunctionality”

47B i o ‐m a t e r i a l s

48

B i o - Power

49

CONTENTCONTENT

singapore context

futures group & network

process

outputs & contributions

lines of inquiry

video

50?

!

Rise of the Rest VideoRise of the Rest Video

The Rise of the Rest is a term coined by Fareed Zakaria on the post-American world. It is a world not marked by American

decline, but the rise of everybody else.

?!

Thank youThank you

Contact:sim_phei_sunn@mti.gov.sgwww.futuresgroup.wordpress.com

Rise of the Rest video: http://futuresgroup.wordpress.com/downloads/http://www.youtube.com/watch?v=0mxJZ6Jhnrk

Topics presented are on-going research and do not represent official policy statements or directions.