forest & water climate adaptation
DESCRIPTION
Morgan Greene's November NRC presentation on the forest and water climate adaptation planning process for the Nisqually Watershed.TRANSCRIPT
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Forest & Water Climate Adaptation
A Plan for the Nisqually Watershed
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Adaptation planning
Nisqually Watershed – context
Forest resources & threats
Water resources & threats
Goals for resiliency
Mechanisms for adaptation
Implementation
Questions
Overview
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Model Forest Policy Program’s Climate Solutions University
Adaptation vs. mitigation
Planning team
CAC Members: Jean Shaffer, Fred Michelson, Phyllis Farrell
Mount Rainier Nat’l Park: Roger Andrascik
JBLM: Nate Waldren
Adaptation Planning
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Nisqually Watershed
239,000 acres of forestland
59,000 acres JBLM
39,900 acres Parks
80% of mainstemprotected
$287 million - $4.1 billion in Ecosystem Services
80,000+ residents
43,000 water users in Olympia
41,000 homes powered in Tacoma
Threatened/endangered species
20,000+ people expected by 2020s
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Nisqually Tribe – sustenance, culture, economy
Timber economy – 11% of Lewis County private employment (0.6% nationally)
Homeowners – Wildland Urban Interface; floodplains
Nisqually Community
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Land-use conversion + expanded development + high impact forest management =
Loss of canopy
Decreased carbon sequestration
Degraded ecosystem services
Increased WUI areas
Forest resources
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Warmer air + changing precipitation =
longer dry seasons & wetter winters
Increased drought stress
Increase in natural disturbances - fire, insect & disease outbreaks (+ invasive species)
Shifts in species habitat –
80% loss of subalpine by 2080
Forests & climate change
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Restoration efforts underway = high baseline
Drinking water, agricultural uses, hydroelectricity, salmon habitat, recreation, aesthetics…
Surface water & aquifers
20,000+ people expected by 2020s
Water resources
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Water & climate change
Shifting hydrology
Increased heavy precipitation events
Warming temperatures
Sea level rise
Ocean acidification
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Goals for resiliency
Restore and maintain forest cover that is healthy, resilient and widespread so that it provides cultural, recreational, ecological and economic benefits
Maintain healthy freshwater ecosystems support thriving native fish populations while providing cultural, economic and social benefits
Promote adaptation in the river delta environment by restoring it to a fully functioning ecosystem that is resilient to changing conditions and provides cultural, social, ecological and economic benefits
Provide sustainable funding and strong, engaged partnerships in order to successfully implement climate adaptation activities
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Mechanisms of adaptation
Planning
Include climate language in guiding documents – NWSP
Prepare for changing fire regimes & increased winter flooding
Policy
Update plans, regulations to include climate projections
Increase resiliency in WUI and floodplain developments
Monitoring
Establish/continue watershed-wide forest and water monitoring
Annual adaptive management review
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On-the-ground Actions
Restore tree canopy, especially in areas with snowpack
Continue to restore riparian areas
Reduce storm water runoff & increase tree cover in developed areas
Education/Outreach
Work with citizen scientists to include climate change
Citizen scientists & community forest?
Urban center connections: importance of healthy headwaters
Payment for ecosystem services?
Mechanisms of adaptation
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Climate change is happening now. Adaptation efforts will increase resiliency in forest & water resources; local economies
December RFP
CSU Implementation Program
NRC Input:
Finalize action plan
Update NWSP
Include climate projections in current projects?
Implementation
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Questions?