form a : cover sheet general project information …

FORM A : COVER SHEET

GENERAL PROJECT INFORMATION Total Amount Requested from CRDF Projected Length of Project (1-2 years ) 2 yearsGeneral Scientific Area (select from Appendix 2) Sub-discipline (select from Appendix 2)

Brief descriptive title of proposal

INFORMATION ON THE FSU PRINCIPAL INVESTIGATOR Full Name (Last, First, Patronymic)

Position/Title

Institution Name Complete Mailing Address

FSU Principal Investigator E-Mail Web Page Address

Date of Birth (MM/DD/YY) Passport Number A0664222Sex (Male or Female) Highest Degree Earned Ph.D.Field of Degree Geological and

Mineralogical sciences

Geological and Environmental sciences

Year Awarded

Telephone # Fax #

Name of Institution Director Email Address [email protected] you received a grant under a previous CRDF program? Yes No

If “Yes,” please list program and grant number.

Do you have experience in defense-related subjects? Yes No

If “Yes,” please provide the appropriate defense code from Appendix 1 describing this individual’s experience in the area to the right and provide a brief description of the defense-related experience in the space below.

Missile handling and launching (transportation, storage, and preparation for launching); support equipment and technologyRussian Applicants Only: If “Yes,” please provide authorization code from the Russian Ministry of Industry Science and Technology.

Total Number of FSU-based investigators, including FSU Principal Investigator

INFORMATION ON THE U.S. PRINCIPAL INVESTIGATOR Full Name (Last, First, Middle)

Position/Title

Institution Name Complete Mailing Address

U.S. Principal Investigator E-Mail Web Page Address

Date of Birth (MM/DD/YY) (Must Check One) Permanent Resident U.S. Citizen Sex (Male or Female) Highest Degree Earned

Field of Degree Year Awarded

Telephone # Fax #

U.S. Institutional Representative Name Larry Fallis E-Mail [email protected] Have you received a grant under a previous CRDF program? Yes No

If “Yes,” please indicate program and grant number.

Total Number of U.S.-based investigators, including U.S. Principal Investigator

SIGNATURES Required only for hardcopies submitted by applicants from Kazakhstan, Russia, Ukraine, and Uzbekistan.

FSU Principal Investigator Signature Date

FSU Institute Director Signature Date

ISSUED SEPTEMBER 11, 2002

Geology and SeismologyGeological Sciences and EngineeringIntegrated investigation of active deformation in the Northern Tien Shan, Kyrgyz Republic: neotectonics, earthquake geology, and seismology

Korjenkov, Andrey MikhaylovichSenior ReseacherInstitute of Seismology National Academy of SciencesAsanbay 52/1Bishkek 720060 Kyrgyz [email protected]

03/20/1961Male

+996-312-461813 +996-312-243607

Prof. Dr. Ernes Mamyrov

1988

Ph.D.1995

X

X

X

A3

3

2

Arrowsmith, J Ramón Associate Professor of Geological SciencesArizona State UniversityDepartment of Geological SciencesTempe, AZ [email protected]

01/30/1967

480-965-3541 480-965-8102

http://www.public.asu.edu/~arrowsx

Male

$79,910

Integrated investigation of active deformation in the Northern Tien Shan, Kyrgyz Republic: neotectonics, earthquake geology,

and seismology

Proposal for CRDF foundation

FSU Principal investigator: Andrey Korjenkov

Kyrgyz Institute of Seismology Asanbay52/1

Bishkek 720060 KYRGYZSTAN Tel. +996-312-461813 Fax +996-312-243607

[email protected]

U.S. Principal investigator: J Ramón Arrowsmith

Department of Geological Sciences Arizona State University

Tempe, AZ 85287-1404, U.S.A. (480) 965-3541 OFFICE

(480) 965-8102 FAX [email protected]

Abstract This collaborative Kyrgyz-U.S. project focuses on the world-class natural laboratory for the study of continental deformation and the mitigation of earthquake hazards within the Kyrgyz Tien Shan. We will study evidence for and the processes of continental deformation and surface process response over time scales varying from millions to tens of years. We will analyze seismological, geomorphological, paleoseismological, and geological data observed by our team in the field and also compiled from Kyrgyz Institute of Seismology (KIS) and Kyrgyz Geological Survey archives and catalogues, and the published literature. These data will be assembled into a digital geospatial database available on the World Wide Web. We also will publish our results in international journals. The knowledge products will include seismic hazard assessments presented to relevant Kyrgyz government agencies. Our collaboration includes important infrastructural improvements and technical training at KIS.

Project Narrative Introduction and overview The Tien Shan mountains of central Asia represent a world-class natural laboratory for the study of continental deformation over large spatial scales and over timescales varying from a few million to a few tens of years. Located in the northwestern portion of the belt of deformation associated with the India-Eurasian continental collision, these largely east-west oriented “Heavenly Mountains” reach elevations of over 7000 m with numerous intermontane depressions between them. One of the largest depressions is called the Issyk-Kul for the great lake it contains. The depressions tend to close and subside while the mountains rise by tectonic convergence. Much of the closure is accommodated by slip along active faults. The fault motions are manifest by different observations varying from deformed young sedimentary rocks of the basins, and broken, deformed, and deflected landforms such as rivers and piedmonts, to great historic earthquakes (such as the 1911 M8.2 Kebin earthquake), and vigorous seismicity observed by the Kyrgyz seismic network. In addition, high precision repeat measurements of the positions of benchmarks using the Global Positioning System (GPS) show the north-south shortening across the ranges. The excellent exhibition of these phenomena lead us to request funding from the Civilian Research and Development Foundation support the efforts of a Kyrgyz-U.S. team well suited to direct attention to their study.

Integrated investigation of active deformation in the Northern Tien Shan, Kyrgyz Republic 2

mailto:[email protected]

mailto:[email protected]

Our proposed research has a basic emphasis in the characterization of the active deformation within this natural laboratory, but also the knowledge we gain from it can be applied to diminishing the risks due to the high seismic hazards in the Kyrgyz Tien Shan. Large earthquakes (>M5-6) are expected in the region on average every few years, and great catastrophes are once every few tens of years. For example, the 1992 Ms7.3 Suusamyr occurred in a relatively sparsely populated portion of the Northern Tien Shan (Ghose, et al., 1997), yet 45 people were killed and the damage amounted to several million $--such damaging events harshly impact the weak Kyrgyz economy. In our proposed project, we bring together Dr. Andrey Korjenkov (PI), Prof. Ernes Mamyrov, and Mrs. Irina Povolotskaya from the Kyrgyz Institute of Seismology (KIS) with Asc. Prof. J Ramón Arrowsmith (PI) from the Department of Geological Sciences of Arizona State University, Tempe, USA to form a strong international team. We will synthesize information gained from field observations with those from the Kyrgyz seismic network and with published data in a digital geospatial database that will be available to other scientists for their studies and for engineers and government agencies (Ministry of Building and Architecture and Ministry of Extraordinary Situations and Civil Defense) for large construction project planning and seismic hazard estimation for the northern Tien Shan of Kyrgyzstan. This work will be highly collaborative with Arrowsmith and a graduate student working with and training Kyrgyz colleagues in the field and in the Institute for a total of 4 months, and with Dr. Korjenkov visiting Arrowsmith’s Active tectonics, quantitative structural geology and geomorphology research group at Arizona State University for three months. Along with building and making our databases available, we expect to publish at least two peer-reviewed scientific journal articles on our work. Scope of activities Seismological data and analysis

1. Compilation of the seismic catalog for key localities from KIS seismicity 2. Collection and summary of seismological macroseismic (historic or archival) data 3. Investigation of spatial-temporal distribution of small and strong earthquakes of the

region 4. Study of dependence of parameters of seismic deformations from magnitudes of

recent earthquakes 5. Conduct the comparative analysis of the seismic deformations of the strong paleo-

earthquakes with seismic deformations of the historical and modern earthquakes a. Assessment of magnitudes of the strong earthquakes b. Estimation of probable depths of the hypocenters of the paleo-earthquakes

Tectonic geomorphological and paleoseismological data and analysis 1. Field investigation and mapping of deformations of the earth surface after strong

recent earthquakes 2. Investigation of the influence of the recent strong earthquakes on landslides and

rockfalls’ formation 3. Study the formation of the seismically induced landslides and rock avalanches and to

evaluate the landslide hazard 4. Conducting the structural study of seismic deformations and active fault zones by

earthquake geological investigation (including trench excavation) 5. A study of the seismogenic convolutions in the lacustrine deposits of the Issyk-Kul

lake 6. Determine the absolute ages of seismic deformations using the 14C method


Neotectonic data and project synthesis 1. Collaborative synthesis and comparison of seismological, paleoseismological,

geomorphic, and geologic datasets 2. Study of correlation of the seismicity with active neotectonic structures 3. Contouring locations of paleoseismic deformations of the seismic zones of the Issyk-

Kul region, especially inside of the dense-populated regions of the depressions using satellite and air photos and by surface mapping

4. Using the tools of earthquake geology, study the distribution of the strong paleo-earthquakes in the space and time and to contour precisely the potentially dangerous seismic zones

5. Determine the regime of deformations of the neotectonic structures of the seismic zones of the Issyk-Kul region

6. Evaluate the seismic hazard of the territory Technical approach and methodology For both the basic and applied research objectives of our work we will be guided by the following approach: Seismological data and analysis The Kyrgyz seismic network catalogue contains almost 50 years of instrumental record of earthquakes in the Tien Shan. Events greater than M4 will be reviewed for location and depth quality and availability of focal mechanisms. The energy units will be converted to seismic moment and a coherent catalogue established for significant instrumental events. Our aim is to make these valuable data available to other scientists via the WWW. Along with the instrumental data, we will reevaluate existing descriptions of damaging earthquakes from the late 19th and early 20th century; very limited data are available from before the Russian expansion to the region the 1850s. Again, these data will be compiled into a coherent, complete, and quality-controlled digital database available for other scientists around the globe. Tectonic geomorphological and paleoseismological data and analysis The active tectonics of the Tien Shan have produced spectacular examples of the landforms that result form the strong interaction of tectonic and surface processes. We plan to produce an Active Fault and Fold map for the northern Tien Shan. The basis for this map will be geomorphic and geological mapping in the field along the fault zones of the region. In addition, data for this digital map product will also come from published literature and the rich archives of the Kyrgyz Geological Survey. We will check this mapping across the entire region and produce new thematic maps, modify, and add detail where necessary. During the course of this mapping and our analysis of the seismicity data (see above) we will identify exemplary field sites where we can document the activity of ground rupturing faults over timescales representing a single large earthquake (such as the surface ruptures of Kebin earthquake [1911] with M = 8.2 and other strong earthquakes: Belovodsk [1885, M ~7], Kemin-Chu [1938, M ~6.9], Sarykamysh [1970, M = 6.8], Zhalanash-Tyup [1978, M = 7.1], Baysoorun [1990, M = 6.5]). Indirect evidence for earthquakes includes abundant rock avalanches and seismites (convolutions or soft sediment deformation due to earthquakes) such as those recently studied by Korjenkov (2000b) at the southern shore of the Issyk-Kul. We will also study localities where evidence for repeated ground deformation along faults and folds is clear, such as fluvial terraces and drainage patterns clearly show the effects of recurrent deformation (Korjenkov, et al, 1999; and Korjenkov, 2000a).


Neotectonic data and project synthesis Sustained deformation and surface process response over hundreds of thousands to millions of years builds the mountainous relief and fills the valleys of the Tien Shan. The large scale geomorphology and geology and history of deformation of these crustal-scale features will provide a context for the studies described above. They also are important foci for answering questions about the propagation of fault systems, fault zone segmentation, the closure of intermontane valleys, and the material balance of tectonic input and erosional output of active mountain belts (e.g., Omuraliev and Korjenkov, 1995; Arrowsmith and Strecker, 1999; Burbank, et al., 1999; Coutand, et al., 2002; Strecker, et al., 2003). This portion of our effort will include mapping of and compilation of information about the Neogene sedimentary units, thermal history of basement blocks (e.g., Bullen, et al., 2001), and mountain-scale geomorphology (e.g., Strecker, et al., 2003; Oskin and Burbank, 2002). Geospatial datasystem

Research progress in earth science is progressively requiring the synthesis of diverse, synoptic, and large datasets. To do so requires that we harness the power of information technology as we acquire, compile, process, manipulate, analyze, and visualize these data and model results. We will build into geospatial data system all available digital topographic data, remotely sensed imagery, and the above research products and make it available electronically to other scientists, engineers, and government agencies. This coherent data system, with its associated metadata (data about the data) will be a valuable and transferable product of our collaborations. In addition, the effect on science and engineering both from the training and application of this tool by Kyrgyz scientists and by the example of free access to high quality data will be a model for others and we believe closely follows the spirit of the CRDF goals.

Individual and combined competencies of the team Our team comprises well known scientists with expertise in seismology, tectonic geomorphology, earthquake geology, paleoseismology, neotectonics, and geospatial data base development.

Dr. Andrey Korjenkov worked for his Ph.D. in the northeastern Tien Shan and was supervised by the famous tectonic geomorphologist and neotectonicist Prof. Oleg Chedia. Dr. Korjenkov’s work was well known and he introduced the American team who studied a N-S transect through the Tien Shan in the 1990s to the study area (e.g., Burbank, et al., 1999; Bullen, et al., 2001; Thompson, et al., 2002). He has spent much field time in the Tien Shan and is well aware of the regional geologic framework and has collegial contacts with geologists at the Kyrgyz Geological Survey. He was the recipient of an Alexander Von Humboldt Research Fellowship that supported him for 3 years at the University of Potsdam where he continued his collaborations with Arrowsmith and with their mutual colleague for central Asian research, Prof. Dr. Manfred Strecker. In addition to his central Asian tectonic geomorphology research, Dr. Korjenkov is well known for his research on archeoseismology in Kazakhstan, Jordan, Israel, and Germany. He has held visiting appointments in Israel and the U.S.

Prof. Dr. Ernes Mamyrov is a leading specialist in the seismology of central Asia and the Scientific Director of the Kyrgyz Seismological Institute. His broad research emphases are on earthquake parameters and investigations of earth crustal structure and mechanical and chemical properties using seismological data. He has extensive international collaborations (within the ISTC, INTAS, and COPERNICUS projects). Prof. Mamyrov is the principal


seismological advisor for the Kyrgyz Ministry of Extraordinary Situations and Civil Defense. He is widely published in books and scientific journals.

Associate Professor Ramón Arrowsmith has extensive field experience in the study of active tectonics in central Asia with 2 field seasons in Kyrgyzstan and 3 in Xinjiang, China. He has a long time interest in the natural laboratory for crustal deformation that is represented by the Tien Shan of Kyrgyzstan. He has supervised 15 M.S. and Ph.D. projects in active tectonics, paleoseismology, and environmental geology, with numerous publications coauthored with students. Arrowsmith has published in peer-reviewed journals on those subjects as well as theoretical geomorphology and earthquake hazards. Geoinformatics in particular includes important improvement of the technical aspects of digital database development for KIS. He has two active U.S. National Science Foundation projects which are contributing to Cyberinfrastructure for the Geosciences (http://www.geoinformaticsnetwork.org/swgeonet/ and http://www.geongrid.org/). He will also host the relevant web pages at ASU on his site (http://activetectonics.la.asu.edu/) or will coordinate their hosting KIS if technically possible. Expected results and their applications Realization of the project will allow us to obtain the following data and knowledge products: • Seismological Quality-controlled catalog of instrumental and historical seismicity Calibration of seismic parameters such as rupture length, slip, width with seismic moment

from seismicity catalog for application to paleoearthquakes. Seismicity and seismicity rate map (and others for northern Tien Shan) • Tectonic geomorphology and earthquake geology Study of macro and micro structures of the seismic deformations and seismogenic

convolutions in the lacustrine deposits of the Issyk-Kul lake Identify and characterize the locations with paleoseismic deformations Determine the absolute ages of paleoseismic deformations and to determine the time intervals

among strong paleo earthquakes and their segmentation along the active fault zones • Neotectonics and seismic hazard Establish the kinematics and dynamics of the major active faults and paleoearthquakes Determine the regime of deformations of the structures in the seismic zones of the Issyk-Kul

region and correlation among paleo-, historical, and recent strong earthquakes Reveal new seismically dangerous zones, to contour more precisely the contours of known

ones, and to establish the regularity of strong earthquakes manifestation in these seismically dangerous zones

Elaboration of practical recommendations on population defense from possible catastrophes • Knowledge exchange Generalize the obtained results; to write the report and scientific-technical suggestions for the

Ministry of Extra-Ordinary Situations and Civil Defense and for the Ministry of Architecture and Building of the Kyrghyz Republic

Present our results to an international audience via the World Wide Web, international meetings, and peer-reviewed scientific journal articles

All data have locations and some time component (either age range or date of observation or occurence). These data will be compiled into a geospatial and geotemporal database


http://www.geoinformaticsnetwork.org/swgeonet/

http://www.geongrid.org/

http://activetectonics.la.asu.edu/

using the tools of Geographic Information Systems (e.g., http://www.esri.com). We will endevour to make this database available to interested scientists, engineers, and government agencies via the World Wide Web. This is possible using the Arc Internet Mapping Services (ArcIMS) with which Arrowsmith has experience and is implementing at Arizona State University.

Infrastructural upgrades and technical training of Kyrgyz scientists in cyberinfrastructure for geosciences including geographic information systems, and earthquake geology and tectonic geomorphology; and cultural exchange between Kyrgyz and U.S. institutions.

References Arrowsmith , J R., and M. R. Strecker. Seismotectonic range-front segmentation and mountain-belt growth in

the Pamir-Alay region, Kyrgyzstan (India-Eurasia collision zone), Geological Society of America Bulletin, vol. 111, pp. 1665-1683, 1999.

Bullen, M. E., D. W. Burbank, J. I. Garver, and K. Y. Abdrakhmatov, Late Cenozoic evolution of the northwestern Tien Shan: New age estimates for the initiation of mountain building. . Bulletin of the Geologicall Society of America. Vol. 113; pp 1544-1559, 2001.

Burbank, D. W., J. K. McLean, M. Bullen, K. Y. Abdrakhmatov, and M. M. Bullen, Partitioning of intermontane basins by thrust-relating folding, Tien-Shan, Kyrgyzstan, Basin Research, vol. 11, pp. 75-92, 1999.

Coutand, I., Strecker, M.R., Arrowsmith, J R., Hilley, G., Thiede, R.C., Korjenkov, A., and Omuraliev, M., Late Cenozoic development of the intramontane Alai Valley (Pamir-Tien Shan region, Central Asia): an example for intracontinental deformation related to the Indo-Eurasia collision, Tectonics, 21, no. 6, 3-1--3-19, doi:10.1029/2002TC001358, 2002.

Ghose S.; Mellors R. J.; Korjenkov A. M.; Hamburger M. W; Pavlis T. L.; Pavlis G. L.; Omuraliev M.; Mamyrov E.; Muraliev A. R. The Ms = 7.3 1992 Suusamyr, Kyrgyzstan, earthquake in the Tien Shan; 2, Aftershock focal mechanisms and surface deformation. Bulletin of the Seismological Society of America. Vol. 87; No. 1, Pages 23-38. 1997.

Korjenkov, A. M. Cenozoic tectonic and seismicity of the northwestern Issyk-Kul basin (Tien Shan). Russian Geology and Geophysics. Vol. 41, No. 7, pp. 940-950, 2000a.

Korjenkov, A. M. Seismogenic convolutions in Soft Lacustrine Sediments of the Issyk Kul Lake, Tien Shan, Kirgizian Initial Report. Journal of Earthquake Prediction Research, vol. 8 (2000b) 514-519

Korjenkov A.; Bowman D.; Haselton K.; Porat N. Recent drainage diversion under the thrust conditions in the Suusamyr Valley, the Tien Shan Range, Kyrgyzstan. Israel Journal of Earth Sciences. Vol. 48; No. 2, Pages 63-79. 1999.

Omuraliev, M., A. M. Korjenkov. Morphostructural parameters and stress-deformation state of medium of seismic zones of the Tien Shan. Geotectonics. Vol. 29. No.2. Oct. 1995. P. 172-179.

Oskin, M., and Burbank, D., Geomorphic evolution of steady-state in a glaciated Mountain Range: Kyrgyz Range, Western Tien Shan, Eos Trans. AGU, 83(47), Fall Meet. Suppl.

Strecker, M. R., G. E. Hilley, J. R. Arrowsmith, and I. Coutand. Differential structural and geomorphic mountain front evolution in an active continental collision zone: The northwest Pamir, southern Kyrgyzstan. GSA Bulletin; Feb., vol. 115, No. 2, p. 166-181, 2003.

Thompson, S. C., R. J. Weldon, C. M. Rubin, K. Abdrakhmatov, P. Molnar, and G. W. Berger, Late Quaternary slip rates across the central Tien Shan, Kyrgyzstan, central Asia, Journal of Geophysical Research, vol. 107(B9), 2203, doi:10.1029/2001JB000596, 2002.


http://www.esri.com/

Curriculum Vitae for U.S. Principal Investigator

J Ramón Arrowsmith Department of Geological Sciences

Arizona State University Tempe, AZ 85287-1404, U.S.A.

(480) 965-3541 OFFICE (480) 965-8102 FAX [email protected]

http://www.public.asu.edu/~arrows/ & http://activetectonics.la.asu.edu

Academic Training Stanford University: Ph.D. Geological and Environmental Sciences, 1995, supervised by Dr. David D. Pollard. Dissertation title: Coupled Tectonic Deformation and Geomorphic Degradation along the San Andreas Fault System Employment Arizona State University, Department of Geological Sciences Associate Professor of Geology July 1, 2001--Present Assistant Professor of Geology August 1, 1995--June 30, 2001 Areas of Expertise Active tectonics, quantitative structural geology and geomorphology; fault zone structure and geomorphology; earthquake surface rupture and paleoseismology; theoretical studies of faulting and hillslope development; fault zone structure and paleoseismology along the San Andreas Fault system; active deformation in central Asia; integrated investigation of earthquake hazards; engineering geologic field methods; Geographic Information Systems; three-dimensional visualization in geology; and Quaternary Geology and desert surface processes. Relevant Scientific Publications Strecker, M. R., Hilley, G. E., Arrowsmith, J R., Coutand, I., Differential structural and

geomorphic mountain-front evolution in an active continental collision zone: the NW Pamir, southern Kyrgyzstan, Geological Society of America Bulletin, 115, 166–181, 2003.

Coutand, I., Strecker, M.R., Arrowsmith, J R., Hilley, G., Thiede, R.C., Korjenkov, A., and Omuraliev, M., Late Cenozoic development of the intramontane Alai Valley (Pamir-Tien Shan region, Central Asia): an example for intracontinental deformation related to the Indo-Eurasia collision, Tectonics, 21, no. 6, 3-1--3-19, doi:10.1029/2002TC001358, 2002.

Washburn, Z., Arrowsmith, J R., Forman, S. L., Cowgill, E., Wang, X. F., Zhang, Y. Q., and Chen, Z. L., Recent earthquake geology of the central Altyn Tagh Fault, China, Geology, 29, No. 11, p. 1051–-1054, 2001.

Arrowsmith, R., Bürgmann, R., and Dumitru, T., Uplift and fault slip rates in the southern San Francisco Bay area from fission-tracks, geomorphology, and geodesy, in Quaternary Geochronology: Methods and Applications, Noller, J. S., Sowers, J. M., and Lettis, W. R., (Eds.), American Geophysical Union Reference Shelf, 4, 503-508, 2000.

Arrowsmith, J R., and Strecker, M. R., Seismotectonic range-front segmentation and mountain-belt growth in the Pamir-Alai region, Kyrgyzstan (India-Eurasia collision zone), Geological Society of America Bulletin, 111, 11,1,665-1,683, 1999.


http://www.public.asu.edu/~arrows/

http://activetectonics.la.asu.edu/

Curriculum Vitae for F.S.U. Principal Investigator

Andrey M. Korjenkov Institute of Seismology

National Academy of Sciences Asanbay 52/1, Bishkek 720060, Kyrgyzstan

+996-312-461813 OFFICE +996-312-243607 FAX [email protected]

Academic Training - Frunze Politechnical Institute, USSR Ph.D. Geological and Mineralogical Sciences, 1988, supervised by Prof. Dr. Oleg K. Chedia. Dissertation: “Main Peculiarities of Neotectonic Structural Forms of Northeastern Tien Shan” - Leningrad State University. M.Sc. Geomorphology. 1983, supervised by Prof. Z. A. Svarichevskaya. Thesis: “Geology and Geomorphology of Eastern Part of the Issyk-Kul Lake Region”

Employment Institute of Seismology, National Academy of Sciences, Kyrgyz Republic Senior Researcher, 1991-Present Junior Researcher, 1988-1991 Geologist, 1986-1988

Honors and awards Alexander Von Humboldt Foundation research Fellowship, 1999-2002, Potsdam University

Areas of Expertise Archeoseismology, active tectonics, tectonic geomorphology; Neotectonics, fault zone structure and geomorphology; earthquake surface rupture and paleoseismology; fault zone structure and paleoseismology in the Tien Shan mountains; active deformation in central Asia; integrated investigation of earthquake hazards; and Quaternary and Cenozoic Geology.

Relevant Scientific Publications Korjenkov, A. M. Cenozoic tectonic and seismicity of the northwestern Issyk-Kul basin

(Tien Shan). Russian Geology and Geophysics. Vol. 41, No. 7, pp. 940-950, 2000. Korjenkov, A. M. Seismogenic convolutions in Soft Lacustrine Sediments of the Issyk Kul

Lake, Tien Shan, Kirgizian – Initial Report. Journal of Earthquake Prediction Research, vol. 8 (2000) 514-519

Korjenkov A.; Bowman D.; Haselton K.; Porat N. Recent drainage diversion under the thrust conditions in the Suusamyr Valley, the Tien Shan Range, Kyrgyzstan. Israel Journal of Earth Sciences. Vol. 48; No. 2, Pages 63-79. 1999.

Coutand, I., Strecker, M.R., Arrowsmith, J R., Hilley, G., Thiede, R.C., Korjenkov, A., and Omuraliev, M., Late Cenozoic development of the intramontane Alai Valley (Pamir-Tien Shan region, Central Asia): an example for intracontinental deformation related to the Indo-Eurasia collision, Tectonics, 21, no. 6, 3-1--3-19, 2002.

Ghose S.; Mellors R. J.; Korjenkov A. M.; Hamburger M. W; Pavlis T. L.; Pavlis G. L.; Omuraliev M.; Mamyrov E.; Muraliev A. R. The Ms = 7.3 1992 Suusamyr, Kyrgyzstan, earthquake in the Tien Shan; 2, Aftershock focal mechanisms and surface deformation. Bulletin of the Seismological Society of America. Vol. 87; No. 1, Pages 23-38. 1997.

Omuraliev, M., A. M. Korjenkov. Morphostructural parameters and stress-deformation state of medium of seismic zones of the Tien Shan. Geotectonics. Vol. 29. No.2. Oct. 1995. P. 172-179.


Curriculum Vitae for F.S.U. Principal Investigator

Ernes Mamyrov Institute of seismology

National Academy of Sciences, Kyrgyz Republic Passport A 177 1844 issued 02.02.2001 MVD 50-03

Ph.: (996)(312)46-29-05 OFFICE [email protected]

Academic Training Institute of Geology, National Academy of sciences, Kyrgyz Republic Ph.D. Geological and Mineralogical Sciences, 1991 Dissertation title: Specific energy of atomization and properties of minerals and mountain rocks Employment Institute of seismology, National Academy of sciences, Kyrgyz Republic Vice-Director of scientific work, Head of the Department of earthquake prognosis 1986 – Present Senior geologist of the project institute “Kyrgyzgyprovodhoz” 1976-1985 Areas of Expertise Seismology, geophysics, geochemistry, estimation of seismic hazard, earthquake prediction and physical properties of mountain rocks Relevant Scientific Publications Relations among earthquake source parameters derived from the Debye solid-body model,

1996, J.Geodynamics, vol. 22, N1/2, pp. 137-143. Ghose S.; Mellors R. J.; Korjenkov A. M.; Hamburger M. W; Pavlis T. L.; Pavlis G. L.;

Omuraliev M.; Mamyrov E.; Muraliev A. R. The Ms = 7.3 1992 Suusamyr, Kyrgyzstan, earthquake in the Tien Shan; 2, Aftershock focal mechanisms and surface deformation. Bulletin of the Seismological Society of America. Vol. 87; No. 1, Pages 23-38. 1997.

Earthquakes in Kyrgyzstan. In book: Mountains of Kyrgyzstan, Bishkek: Technology, 2001, pp.173-185.

E. Mamyrov, Omuraliev M., Usupaev Sh.E. Estimation of probable seismic hazard on the Kyrgyz Republic territory and frontier regions of Central Asia countries for the period of 2002-2005, Bishkek: Al Salam, 2002, 92 p.

E. Mamyrov, Usupaev Sh., Omuraliev M., Moldobekov B., Sarnogoev A. et.al. About seismic monitoring in Kyrgyzstan and its border territories. In book: Problems of destructive earthquake disaster prevention. Almaty: Evero, 2002, pp. 86-93.


Curriculum Vitae for U.S. Principal Investigator

Irina Povolotskaya Institute of seismology

National Academy of Sciences, Kyrgyz Republic Passport A 132 4390 issued 27.01.1999 MVD 50-03

Ph.: (996)(312)46-18-13 OFFICE [email protected]

Academic Training Kyrgyz State National University, Geographical Department, 1993-1998 Employment Institute of seismology, National Academy of sciences, Kyrgyz Republic 1st category engineer 1998 – Present Areas of Expertise Seismology, geochemistry, estimation of seismic hazard, earthquake prediction Relevant Scientific Publications Abdrahmatov К.Е., Mamyrov E., Povolotskaya I.E. et. al. Prognosis of seismicity

activization, landslide processes and atmosphere precipitations on the South Kyrgyzstan territory on the

basis of their quasi-periodicity analysis. Science and new technology, N 4, Bishkek, 1999, pp. 58-64.

Mamyrov E., Grebennikova V.V., Povolotskaya I.E. et. al. Regularities of strong earthquakes manifestation on the Kyrgyz Republic territory. Herald of Kyrgyz International University, N 4(12). Bishkek: MUK, 2000, pp. 56-65.

Tupchy Yu.G., E. Mamyrov, M.V. Kan, V.A. Mahankova, A. Omuralieva, I.E.Povolotskaya,Quasi-periodicity of geophysical processes within Northern Tien Shan.Proceedings of the 2nd International Symposium “Geodynamics and geological problems of high-mountainous regions”, Bishkek, October 29 – November 3, 2002, pp. 71-72.


Form B: FSU Personnel Data (For all members of the FSU team other than the FSU Principal Investigator. Please copy this page as necessary)

Full Name (last, First Patronymic/Middle) Mamyrov, Ernes Institution Name Complete Mailing Address Institute of seismology, National

Academy of Sciences Asanbay 52/1 Bishkek 720060 Kyrgyz Republic

E-Mail [email protected] Sex (Male or Female) Male Highest Degree

and Year Awarded Dr. of Sciences, Habilitation 1991

Telephone # +996-312-462905 Fax # +996-312-243607 Date of Birth (MM/DD/YY) 11/07/1941 Passport Number A 177 1844 issued

02.02.2001, MVD 50-03 Classification (please check one) Researcher/Engineer x Technical/Scientific Support Student Administrative/Clerical Support Has the individual received a grant under a previous CRDF program? Yes No x If “Yes”, please indicate program and grant number. Does the listed individual have experience in defense-related subjects? Yes x No If “Yes”, please provide the appropriate defense code from Appendix 1 describing this individual’s experience in The area to the right and provide a brief description of the defense-related experience in the space below.

Consequences of nuclear explosions and directed seismicity Full Name (last, First Patronymic/Middle) Povolotskaya, Irina Eduardovna Institution Name Complete Mailing Address Institute of seismology, National

Academy of Sciences Asanbay 52/1 Bishkek 720060 Kyrgyz Republic

E-Mail [email protected] Sex (Male or Female) Female Highest Degree

and Year Awarded M.S. Telephone # +996-312-461813 Fax # +996-312-243607 Date of Birth (MM/DD/YY) 01/23/1976 Passport Number A 132 4390 issued

27.01.1999, MVD 50-03 Classification (please check one) Researcher/Engineer Technical/Scientific Support x Student Administrative/Clerical Support Has the individual received a grant under a previous CRDF program? Yes No x If “Yes”, please indicate program and grant number. Does the listed individual have experience in defense-related subjects? Yes No x If “Yes”, please provide the appropriate defense code from Appendix 1 describing this individual’s experience in The area to the right and provide a brief description of the defense-related experience in the space below.


FORM C: PROJECT BUDGET

Expenses requested from CRDF

Individual Financial Support FSU Team

U.S. Team

Name (continue on separate sheet if necessary) Daily Rate

Number of Days per Month

Number of Months

Note: Grad Student Stipends Only

TOTAL INDIVIDUAL FINANCIAL SUPPORT Materials and Services (Please list. All items over $1,000 must be justified in the Budget Narrative. If more space is needed, please list on separate page.)

Note: Expendable materials & supplies only

1. 2. 3. 4. 5.

TOTAL MATERIALS AND SERVICES Travel (Please describe in Budget Narrative.) -------- ------- Domestic Transportation Domestic Per Diem International Transportation International Living Allowance/Per Diem Other Travel Expenses (e.g. visa fees, conference registration fees, etc.)

TOTAL TRAVEL Secondary Collaboration (All secondary collaborating institutions must be identified and secondary collaborators described in detail in the Budget Narrative.)

-------- Not Applicable

Secondary Collaboration: Individual Financial Support Not Applicable Name Daily Rate # Days per Month # Months Not Applicable Not Applicable Not Applicable Secondary Collaboration: Materials and Services (Please list. All items over $1,000 must be justified in the Budget Narrative. If more space is needed, please list on separate page.)

Not Applicable

1. Not Applicable 2. Not Applicable Secondary Collaboration: Travel (Please describe in Budget Narrative.) Not Applicable Secondary Collaboration: Institutional Support (10% of all Secondary collaborators’ expenses. Total not to exceed $10,000)

Not Applicable

TOTAL SECONDARY COLLABORATION EXPENSES Not Applicable Institutional Support (10% of all FSU team expenses. Total not to exceed $10,000) Not Applicable Other (Please describe in Budget Narrative.) SUBTOTAL

TOTAL REQUESTED FROM CRDF (U.S. + FSU Expenses) Plus TOTAL COST-SHARING FROM OTHER SOURCES (please describe in Budget Narrative)

PROJECT COST SUBTOTAL

TOTAL PROJECT COST (U.S. + FSU EXPENSES)


Andrey Korjenkov

14C dates at Radiocarbon Laboratory Institute of Geology (43)

ASU Geological Sciences student summer stipend and fringe benefits

27 22 11 $6534Ernes Mamyrov 22 22 11 $5324Irina ???? 10 22 11 $2420

$14278

$9515

$2600$2700

$5300

$2909

$32002 $7950

$39952

$39952YEAR 1

$4200

$2400$1800

$23652 Dell LaptopsPocket transit (Brunton)Handheld GPS (2)Paleoseismic excavation

$5400$250$500

$1000

$3750$3750

YEAR 1




U.S. Team



Number of Months




1. 2. 3. 4. 5.





Not Applicable


Not Applicable






Andrey Korjenkov




$14278

$2320

$2600$2700$1200$6000

$12500

$2910

$32008 $7950

$39958

$39958YEAR 2

YEAR 2

$4200

$2400$1800

$1320Paleoseismic excavation $1000

$3750$3750




U.S. Team



Number of Months




1. 2. 3. 4. 5.





Not Applicable


Not Applicable






Andrey Korjenkov




$28556

$11835

$5200$5400$1200$6000

$17800

$5819

$64010 $15900

$79910

$79910CUMULATIVE

$8400

$4800$3600

$36852 Dell LaptopsPocket transit (Brunton)Handheld GPS (2)Paleoseismic excavation

$5400$250$500

$2000

$7500$7500

CUMULATIVE

Budget narrative In this two year project, 80% of the requested CRDF funds will go to the Kyrgyz Institute of Seismology who will have significant staff support, infrastructural upgrades, the major part of field expenses, and 14C geochronology expenses. The breakdowns for each year and cost category are explained below. Individual financial support (IFS; same for both years)

Name Daily

Rate ($) # days/month Number of

months Total Andrey Korjenkov 27 22 22 $13,068 Ernes Mamyrov 22 22 22 $10,648 Irina Povolotskaya 10 22 22 $4,840 ASU Geological Sciences student summer stipend and fringe benefits $7,500 Total IFS $28,556 $7,500

Dr. Andrey Korjenkov is a senior researcher of the KIS with extensive international experience in tectonic geomorphology, archeoseismology, and earthquake geology. He is a military reservist with nuclear and conventional weapons expertise in missile handling and launching (transportation, storage, and preparation for launching) and with support equipment and technology. As FSU principal investigator, he will dedicate 11 months per year to this project. That will include at least 4 months total in the field with the US collaborators and a total of 3 months visiting the Active tectonics, quantitative structural geology and geomorphology research group at Arizona State University. Other tasks performed by Dr. Korjenkov will be digital compilation of geologic and geomorphic data, field logistics, field mapping, airphoto interpretation, paleoseismic excavation study, topographic analysis, review of existing literature and reports in the archives of the Geological Survey of Kyrgyzstan, and project oversight. Prof. Ernes Mamyrov is a well known seismologist in central Asia and is Scientific Director of KIS. He will be responsible for compilation of the seismic catalog for key localities from KIS seismicity, collection and summary of seismological macroseismic (historic or archival) data, investigation of spatial-temporal distribution of small and strong earthquakes of the region, contribute to collaborative synthesis and comparison of seismological, paleoseismological, geomorphic, and geologic datasets. Mrs. Irina Povolotskaya will be the administrative assistant to Drs. Korjenkov and Mamyrov with responsibilities for project accounting, archival research, translation (she is a good English speaker), clerical tasks, and bureaucratic liason with other state agencies for access and export permissions. Dr. Arrowsmith will be the U.S. Principal Investigator and will spend at least 2 months per year in Kyrgyzstan, will host Dr. Korjenkov in his Active tectonics, quantitative structural geology and geomorphology research group at Arizona State University, and will supervise the research of a graduate student. This student will be supported with a summer stipend from this grant and with other funds (most likely Geological Sciences department teaching assistantships) during the academic year. Arrowsmith and the student will work with KIS colleagues in the field and in the analysis of the data. In addition, Arrowsmith will provide training in earthquake geology, tectonic geomorphology, and geoinformatics to the KIS colleagues. Geoinformatics in particular includes important improvement of the technical aspects of digital database development for KIS. Arrowsmith will also donate two licenses of ArcGIS (from http://www.esri.com/) for the two project laptops. This software is essential for building the geospatial databases necessary for our synthesis.


http://www.esri.com/

Materials and services Year one infrastructural investment:

2 Dell Laptops 5400Pocket transit (Brunton) 250Handheld GPS (2) 500Because of the emphasis on collection and synthesis of data from the field and from archives, as well as for improving communication and for assembling project reports and manuscripts for publication, we will invest in two Dell (or equivalent) laptops. These machines are powerful enough to do desktop-level computations, but also portable for use in the field. They will be approximately configured as the following: Dell Latitude C640 with 2.2GHz processor and 14.1in Display. Memory is 512MB and 2 40 Gb hard Drives. Windows 2000 operating system with Microsoft Office Small Business with Adobe Acrobat 5.0, internal 56k modem and Ethernet for KIS network; CD-RW. The pocket transit and GPS will be essential for the field work of Dr. Korjenkov and colleagues.

In both years, we will conduct extensive field mapping efforts that will identify sites suitable for detailed earthquake geology investigations which require excavation of trenches to expose stratigraphy ruptured during successive earthquakes. Both Arrowsmith and Korjenkov have experience with such excavations in Kyrgyzstan (e.g., Korjenkvo, et al., 1999; and Arrowsmith and Strecker, 1999). The excavations are usually dug by hand or excavator, depending on availability (for about $200 each). They are typically about 3 m wide, 1-4 m deep, and 10-50 m long. We account for safety considerations in the trenches by requiring all investigators to wear helmets and by ensuring that the trenches are sufficiently wide so as to not bury trench occupants in the case of wall failure. The trench walls are cleaned and documented photographically and manually by mapping features from gridded walls onto graph paper at 1:25 scale. To answer our primary questions about the distribution of deformation in space and time, we require numerical dating. We plan to submit 67 charcoal or bulk soil samples to the Radiocarbon Laboratory at the Institute of Geology, Siberian Branch of Russian Academy of Sciences, Novosibirsk. Dr. Korjenkov recently returned from a visit there where he negotiated an agreement of $50/sample (we also budget $5/each for shipping). Travel Arrowsmith and the graduate student will travel each summer to Kyrgyzstan and work for two months. For this travel, we request $1200 each for lowest price airfare (via Moscow) and $15/day per diem for each of us for 60 days. During this time, the Kyrgyz team will also require $15/day each per diem as well. They will pay for a field vehicle and driver (@1300/month—includes gasoline, road fees, and repair). In the second year, Dr. Korjenkov will join Arrowsmith and the graduate student in the Active tectonics, quantitative structural geology and geomorphology research group at Arizona State University for 3 months. During this time, they will work to synthesize research results from the project and write at least 2 manuscripts for submission to peer-reviewed scientific journals. Round trip airfare Bishkek-Phoenix is budgeted at a low rate of $1200, and we used the recommended $2000 rate for the international living allowance. Institutional support (10% of all FSU team expenses) These funds will support KIS operations including dedicated internet (>$70/month), telephone and fax; purchase of a printer and supplies; maps and aerial photos and their reproduction (if not already in KIS library); mapping and field equipment (graph paper, mylar, mechanical pencils, tents, sleeping bags, other camping gear, tools, etc.), basic software for computers, publication costs, relevant disciplinary books for the KIS library, and film and developing.


FORM D: OTHER SOURCES OF SUPPORT OF KEY PERSONNEL

(Please indicate “None” if no other sources of support.) Investigator Name: ___________________________________________________ Support: _____ Current _x____ Pending Submission Planned in Near Future Project/Proposal Title: _________________________________________________________ Source of Support: _________________________________________________________ Award Amount: _____________________ Period Covered: _____________________ Location of Research: _________________________________________________________ Investigator Name: _________________________________________________________ Support: _____ Current _____ Pending Submission Planned in Near Future Project/Proposal Title: _________________________________________________________ Source of Support: _________________________________________________________ Award Amount: _____________________ Period Covered: _____________________ Location of Research: _________________________________________________________ Investigator Name: _________________________________________________________ Support: _____ Current _____ Pending Submission Planned in Near Future Project/Proposal Title: _________________________________________________________ Source of Support: _________________________________________________________ Award Amount: _____________________ Period Covered: _____________________ Location of Research: __________________________________________________


Arrowsmith, J Ramón



Paleoanthropology and Geology of the Ledi-Geraru Region,Afar Regional State, Ethiopia

Geological mapping of the San Andreas Fault near ParkfieldCalifornia

Rupture History of the San Andreas Fault at VanMatre Ranch, Carrizo Plain, California

U. S. National Science Foundation

U. S. Geological Survey Educational Mapping Program

Southern California Earthquake Center

$97,784

$13,881

$16,000

Afar, Ethiopia

Parkfield, California

Central California

12/01/03 - 11/30/04

03/01/03 - 02/28/04

01/01/03 - 12/31/03

x

x


(Please indicate “None” if no other sources of support.) Investigator Name: ___________________________________________________ Support: _____ Current _x____ Pending Submission Planned in Near Future Project/Proposal Title: _________________________________________________________ Source of Support: _________________________________________________________ Award Amount: _____________________ Period Covered: _____________________ Location of Research: _________________________________________________________ Investigator Name: _________________________________________________________ Support: _____ Current _____ Pending Submission Planned in Near Future Project/Proposal Title: _________________________________________________________ Source of Support: _________________________________________________________ Award Amount: _____________________ Period Covered: _____________________ Location of Research: _________________________________________________________ Investigator Name: _________________________________________________________ Support: _____ Current _____ Pending Submission Planned in Near Future Project/Proposal Title: _________________________________________________________ Source of Support: _________________________________________________________ Award Amount: _____________________ Period Covered: _____________________ Location of Research: __________________________________________________





Ecosystem change associated with desert fires in the GreaterPhoenix area (CoI)

Landuse and Landscape Socioecology in the MediterraneanBasin: A Natural Laboratory... (CoI)

Kilometer-scale fault zone structure and kinematics alongthe San Andreas Fault near Parkfield, California

U. S. National Science Foundation Bioinformatics

U. S. National Science Foundation Bioinformatics

U.S. National Science Foundation

$1,029,910

$1,999,400

$187,956

Central Arizona

Mediterranean Basin

Parkfield California

08/01/03 - 07/30/08

01/15/04 - 01/14/08

07/01/03 - 06/30/05

x

x


(Please indicate “None” if no other sources of support.) Investigator Name: ___________________________________________________ Support: _____ Current __ Pending Submission Planned in Near Future Project/Proposal Title: _________________________________________________________ Source of Support: _________________________________________________________ Award Amount: _____________________ Period Covered: _____________________ Location of Research: _________________________________________________________ Investigator Name: _________________________________________________________ Support: _____ Current _____ Pending Submission Planned in Near Future Project/Proposal Title: _________________________________________________________ Source of Support: _________________________________________________________ Award Amount: _____________________ Period Covered: _____________________ Location of Research: _________________________________________________________ Investigator Name: _________________________________________________________ Support: _____ Current _____ Pending Submission Planned in Near Future Project/Proposal Title: _________________________________________________________ Source of Support: _________________________________________________________ Award Amount: _____________________ Period Covered: _____________________ Location of Research: __________________________________________________


Korjenkov, Andrey M.

Korjenkov, Andrey M.

Active Faults and Strong Earthquakes of the Tien Shan

Mechanisms of large landslides' and seismic ruptures' formation - basic and applied aspects

International Science and Technology Center ISTC-KR357

International Science and Technology Center Research

~$200,000

$296,000

Kyrgyzstan

Kyrgyzstan

10/01/00 - 09/30/03

09/01/03 - 08/31/07

x

x

form a : cover sheet general project information …

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