from brave new unwired world to the ever smarter world —————————————

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From Brave New Unwired World to the Ever Smarter World ————————————— Opportunities for Internet Innovators North American IPv6 Global Summit June 25, 2003 By Alex Lightman Cal–(IT) 2 Scholar CEO, Chairman, Cofounder of Charmed Technology Conference Chairman, Global IPv6 Summit

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From Brave New Unwired World to the Ever Smarter World ————————————— Opportunities for Internet Innovators North American IPv6 Global Summit June 25, 2003 By Alex Lightman Cal–(IT) 2 Scholar CEO, Chairman, Cofounder of Charmed Technology Conference Chairman, Global IPv6 Summit. - PowerPoint PPT Presentation

TRANSCRIPT

Page 1: From Brave New  Unwired World to   the Ever Smarter World —————————————

From Brave New Unwired World to

the Ever Smarter World—————————————

Opportunities for Internet InnovatorsNorth American IPv6 Global Summit

June 25, 2003

By Alex LightmanCal–(IT)2 Scholar

CEO, Chairman, Cofounder of Charmed TechnologyConference Chairman, Global IPv6 Summit

Page 2: From Brave New  Unwired World to   the Ever Smarter World —————————————

June, 2003: A Month of Milestones

Invention of Ethernet, Bob Metcalfe, Xerox PARC, Palo Alto, June, 1973

TCP/IP (IPv4), Stanford University, Palo Alto, June, 1973

100th Birthday of George Orwell, June 25, 2003 (Big Brother)

Page 3: From Brave New  Unwired World to   the Ever Smarter World —————————————

Opening Thought

Our primary objectives in implementing IPv6 are to improve customer experiences while also improving civilization for all humanity

Page 4: From Brave New  Unwired World to   the Ever Smarter World —————————————

Improve experience: Getting 4 relationships/customer

“Bank of America experienced churn.”

“We were stuck at 13 million customers because 3 million would join but 3 million would leave each year.”

“We found that if and when people had four or more different relationships with B of A (checking, savings, credit card, bill paying, auto loan, mortgage) then our retention went UP and our churn for these people went way down.”

Page 5: From Brave New  Unwired World to   the Ever Smarter World —————————————

Service Provider Revenues

New SourcesNew SourcesOld SourcesOld Sources

Total RevenueTotal Revenue

TimeTime

$$$$$$

Page 6: From Brave New  Unwired World to   the Ever Smarter World —————————————

Cambrian Explosion

Com

plex

Env

iron

men

tal I

nter

actio

n

Selection/Emergence/Phase Space Collapse/MEST Collapse

Development

Adaptive Radiation/Chaos/Pseudo-Random Search

Evolution

570 mya. 35 body plans emerged immediately after. No new body plans since! Only new brain plans, built on top of the body plans (homeobox gene duplication).

Body/brain plans: “eukaryotic multicell. evolutionary developmental substrates.”

Invertebrates

Vertebrates

Bacteria

Insects

Multicellularity Discovered

Page 7: From Brave New  Unwired World to   the Ever Smarter World —————————————

What is a Commercial Explosion?

Rapid growth of a new product / service

Deep penetration of market

Spawns new, supporting industry

Transforms the economy

Examples: automobiles, PCs

Page 8: From Brave New  Unwired World to   the Ever Smarter World —————————————

Drivers Of Commercial Explosions

Satisfies a compelling consumer need Possibly one they didn’t know they had Leads to deep penetration of the market

Requires convergence of: Technologies Government policy Standards Companies via partnerships and alliances

Ultimate winners represent best trade-off along a number of dimensions Simple metrics not easy to define early on

Transportation: why did the gasoline powered automobile win?

Page 9: From Brave New  Unwired World to   the Ever Smarter World —————————————

Economics Powered by Convergence:

Convergence of devices and innovations: clock, axle, wheel, lever, odometer, steering, speedometer, better tires, brakes, navigation systems, CDs…) with a dozen or more improvements every year.

Convergence of networks (oil industry consolidation, self service stations, national highways, cheap maps, driver’s licensing, parts, used cars, repairs, warranties, AAA…) with improvements.

Many parallels to communications industry. Success is about the convergence of multiple device capabilities and of networks.

Page 10: From Brave New  Unwired World to   the Ever Smarter World —————————————

Wanted: IPv6 Prosumer Innovators

“We need people who create supply and demand for new IPv6 services”. Ministry of Science and Technology, Madrid IPv6 Summit.

George Washington Carver (100 uses for peanut, entire dinner, SW)

Thomas Edison (over 1,050 patents, direct current, AC, and hundreds of way to use it)

Larry Smarr (from 100 scientists with SC access to 30,000, Mosaic/IE, Apache). The importance of CREATIVITY and VISION!

Page 11: From Brave New  Unwired World to   the Ever Smarter World —————————————

Ten Opportunities Made Possible by IPv6 Adoption 1

1.The basis for an explosion of evolutionary experiments, followed by robust survivors.

2.Massive increase in feedback loops (output changes input), assisting civilization.

3. Historical opportunity to increase subscriptions, and thus service exports.

4.Million fold increase in sensors (and data…)

5.Commercial explosion, keep public interest.

Page 12: From Brave New  Unwired World to   the Ever Smarter World —————————————

Ten Opportunities Made Possible by IPv6 Adoption 1

6. Give every person thousands of IPv6 addressed nanodocs, reduce cancer, aging.

7. Head start in 5 way race to be 1st in 4G and win a multitrillion dollar grand prize.

8. Augmented memory (hyper documentation of one’s life, uploading) and augmented reality (info overlays).

9. Endowing users with superpowers.

10. Computational collective intelligence.

Page 13: From Brave New  Unwired World to   the Ever Smarter World —————————————

Feedback Loops: The Ultimate Multiplier

Feedback loops allow for learning outputs to change behavior, prices, decisions…

IPv6 adoption fosters HUGE feedback loops.

Advanced civilizations are based on an ever expanding quality, quantity and diversity of feedback loops. IPv6 supports this growth.

Societies with the most sophisticated ecosystems of feedback loops win in war and peace. IPv6 adoption will determine social progress, justice, and prosperity.

Page 14: From Brave New  Unwired World to   the Ever Smarter World —————————————

Trade Deficit Feedback… Export Services!

Services: over 80% of US $11 T GDP.

Annual deficit of $500 B in goods (about one third oil, one third autos)

Annual surplus of $15 B in agriculture, $50 B in services

Biggest leverage: increase service exports from less than 1% to 5% of US services.

First Next Gen Cluster has opportunity to double GDP as service export and 4G hub.

Page 15: From Brave New  Unwired World to   the Ever Smarter World —————————————

Microsoft’s advanced R & D discovery

Dan Rosen, former Dir of Adv R & D for Microsoft: “The most

valuable thing we’ve learned is that in the future everything

that costs over $25 except food will be connected to the

Internet.”

IP + a pico radio could compliment, then embrace and extend,

then replace, bar codes and RFID tags.

Gillette: just ordered 500,000 RFID tags. Razorblade sweeping.

Page 16: From Brave New  Unwired World to   the Ever Smarter World —————————————

Sensor subscriptions very valuable!

Eric Frost: 30 measures of oil extraction allows doubling, from

35% to 70%, of recoverable oil from a given reservoir.

Will Recker: World Wide Wagon Train of 737 million to 1

billion vehicles that exchange information on the road ahead.

John Orcutt: From Buoys to MEN (Marine Environmental

Networking). Weather prediction, climate change,

government.

Articles are on http://www.calit2.net. Search site for “Alex Lightman”

Page 17: From Brave New  Unwired World to   the Ever Smarter World —————————————

The Mobile High Performance InternetThe Next Boom, and the Next 4 Relationships

0

200

400

600

800

1,000

1,200

1,400

1,600

1,800

2,000

1999 2000 2001 2002 2003 2004 2005

Mobile Internet

Fixed Internet

Subscribers (millions)

Source: Ericsson

Page 18: From Brave New  Unwired World to   the Ever Smarter World —————————————

Wireless Billing

Minute bucketsPre-payBy-the-packetMicropaymentWireless walletQoS (conversational, streaming, interactive, background)

Bundling IDC: value of packet-based billing will rise from $94.6

million in 2001 to $855.7 million in 2005.

Page 19: From Brave New  Unwired World to   the Ever Smarter World —————————————

The Mobile Internet is a Huge Opportunity

Aspect Fixed Mobile

Users 2003 Fewer More Cost of device More Less Billings Cumbersome Easy Micropayments Very difficult Built in

Willingness to pay

Want for Free Assume

it will cost

Page 20: From Brave New  Unwired World to   the Ever Smarter World —————————————

Rules of Thumb for Wireless Profits “Any technology sufficiently advanced is

indistinguishable from magic” Arthur C. Clarke

MAGIC: Mobile Anytime Globally Integrated Customized (NTT DoCoMo)

PAIR: Personal Available Immediate Real time

0-1-2-3: 0 manuals, 1 button to Internet, 2 seconds max delay, 3 keystrokes maxi to any svc

SMS messages set the pain threshold for billing (10 to 15 cents/message) so use grows

Page 21: From Brave New  Unwired World to   the Ever Smarter World —————————————

Wireless Money: The 5 M’s

Movement: escaping the fixed placeMoment: expanding the concept of

timeMe: extending myself and my

communityMoney: expending financial

resourcesMachines: empowering devices.

Page 22: From Brave New  Unwired World to   the Ever Smarter World —————————————

Deeper Services

Movement: Mobility, Locality, Globality, Home Base, Positioning

Moment: Plan, Postpone, Fill Time, Catch Up, Multitask, Real Time

Me: Customized, Relevant, Community, Permission, Presence, Multisession (most powerful, relates to ‘cool’ self image)

Money: M-commerce, Micropayments, M - banking, M-wallet, M-advertising, Sponsorship

Machines: Telematics, Metering, Remote Access, Appliances, Robotics, Automation, Connecting with Anything and Everything

Page 23: From Brave New  Unwired World to   the Ever Smarter World —————————————

Granularity: Ever Smarter Guide Location aware pull information Location aware pull information with location sensitive map Location aware pull information with map and

guidance Preference based pull information with map and

guidance Preference based push information with map and

guidance Time sensitive push information with map and

guidance Preferences learning intelligent guide with map and

guidance

Page 24: From Brave New  Unwired World to   the Ever Smarter World —————————————

Adventures in Transparent Infrastructure Broadband Internet Connection via Wireless Wi-Fi

Over 600 Access Points on the Campus

Year- Long “Living Laboratory” Experiment 2001-02 500 Computer Science & Engineering Undergraduates

300 Entering UCSD Sixth College Students—Fall 2002 Experiments with Geo-Location and Interactive Maps

Cal-(IT)2 Team: Bill Griswold, Gabriele Wienhausen, UCSD; Rajesh Gupta, UCI

UC San Diego

UC Irvine

Page 25: From Brave New  Unwired World to   the Ever Smarter World —————————————

The New World of Mobile Geolocation

Source: Bill Griswold, CSE, UCSD

Page 26: From Brave New  Unwired World to   the Ever Smarter World —————————————

Local Wi-Fi Can Be Linked With Wide Area Cellular Internet

First US Taste of 3G Cellular Internet UCSD Jacobs School Antenna

Three Years Before Commercial

Linking to 802.11 Mobile “Bubble” Tested on Campus CyberShuttle You Can Ride it on Friday on the Tour!b

Rooftop Qualcomm 1xEV Access Point

www.calit2.net/news/2002/4-2-bbus.html

Roberto Padovani,

CTO Qualcomm

Page 27: From Brave New  Unwired World to   the Ever Smarter World —————————————

Movement: Other Services Launch soon and learn from feedback Translation (typed in text, translate text and say

the words, human interpreters, translate my speech)

Business Services Fleet control (get right vehicle in right place, time) CRM and the corporate portal (present only vital

data on customer, calendar, FAQs) Order entry system (Purchasing history) Telehealth (patient monitoring devices, remote

care, access to doctors Synchronizing devices (Virtual PDA) Employee (monitoring, bundle h/o, Vir Home Env)

Page 28: From Brave New  Unwired World to   the Ever Smarter World —————————————

Moment: Making use of every second Mobile Entertainment (esp. games)

Micro Movies and advertainment

Entertainment bundling (jokes, horoscopes, puzzles, games, cartoons, spoofs, trivia, voting)

Repackaging serial content (daily subscription, content archive, content fan club, ‘Hollycules’ to own or gift, viral marketing content)

Mobile information and infotainment (info push, news, premium news coverage, news partners)

Customized news, alerts (apartment finder)

Info pull (white and yellow pages, dictionaries, calendars, comparison shopper)

Page 29: From Brave New  Unwired World to   the Ever Smarter World —————————————

Me Mobile: Extending Self, Community Rich calls (enhancing voice with images, sounds) Draw me the map/shared whiteboard) Shared video image, shared original music Games and rich call (taunting opponents) Personalizing calls (custom ring and picture,

Corporate Face Catalog, Look who’s calling, Personal publicity photo, image of topic)

Show me (remote eye, repairman, real estate) Video calls CRM (money rewards, dynamic location lock) Messaging for love (Dating, SMS, MMS) Communities (spreading message, chat)

Page 30: From Brave New  Unwired World to   the Ever Smarter World —————————————

Mobile Money M-Commerce (ticketing…look for lines)

Selling digital content (mass audience content that is already digital, know how in digital form)

Delivering digitally non digital content

Government fees, licenses, taxes

Tangible item purchase (vs. credit card, but on phone bill)

Mobile Advertising (mAd, NOT mAd spam, location based advertising at mass audience events, sports, ballet, church, movies)

Ads in music streaming, guaranteed listeners

Rewarding mAd/frequent viewer miles

Infovirus, call to action, “Smart mobs”, coupons, blue light.

M-banking, wiring money to mobile users phone

Page 31: From Brave New  Unwired World to   the Ever Smarter World —————————————

Machine Services: The Internet Iceberg Automobile Telematics (Car service and

maintenance, car navigation, road advertisement requests, car security)

Car multitasking, games for kids in car

Service integration (Home Entertainment tells car what businesses you clicked on, streaming to PDA of MP3 on home computer, three degrees)

Remote views (inspections, Homeland security)

Remote control (home control, home alarm, industrial metering, traffic monitoring)

Law enforcement (speed trap, call criminal)

Feedback (customer surveys, auto check in)

Page 32: From Brave New  Unwired World to   the Ever Smarter World —————————————

Exercise Was the First Wireless Monitoring Application

Page 33: From Brave New  Unwired World to   the Ever Smarter World —————————————

As Our Bodies Move On-LineDigital Medicine Will Emerge

New Sensors—Video Pill Battery, Light, & Video Camera Images Transmitted to Hip Device

Next Step—Putting You On-Line! Wireless Internet Transmission Key Metabolic and Physical Variables Model -- Dozens of Processors and 60 Sensors /

Actuators Inside of our Cars

Post-Genomic Personalized Medicine Combine Across Populations

Genetic Code Digital Imaging Body Data Flow

Use Powerful AI Data Mining

www.givenimaging.com

www.philometron.com

Page 34: From Brave New  Unwired World to   the Ever Smarter World —————————————

BP

Blood Glucose

Heart Rate

Temp

Personal Medical AssistantPersonal Medical Assistant- Multi-Network Gateway - Processor:

-Sensor Data Analysis,-Monitoring, -Coding

-Communicates With Monitoring Station

MedicalMonitoring

Station-Event Analysis-Data Shaping-Control Data

Sensors-Sensor Data-Control Data -Local-area networking

Conceptual Framework for a Personal Medical Assistant

Source: Sujit Dey. UCSD ECE

Page 35: From Brave New  Unwired World to   the Ever Smarter World —————————————

Current and Potential Markets for Remote Patient Monitoring Wellness

Fitness Monitoring Obesity Epidemic

Ambulatory Hospital Patients Cardiac Out Patients Elder Care

Global Population of People Over 65, Will Increase 88% by 2025

Clinical Trials New Drug Discovery

Emergency Response Natural Disasters Homeland Security

Page 36: From Brave New  Unwired World to   the Ever Smarter World —————————————

What is a SensorNet?

Sensors Physical, Chemical, Biological, Imaging,…

Sensor Platform Computing, Power, Storage, Radios, …

Telecommunications Infrastructure Wired, Wireless, Internet, …

Sensor Arrays Homogeneous, Inhomogeneous, Ad Hoc, …

Layered Software Backend Data Systems

Page 37: From Brave New  Unwired World to   the Ever Smarter World —————————————

Environmental SensorNets--Water and Climate Instrumentsin the Santa Margarita Ecological Reserve

Source, Dan Cayan, UCSD SIO

Page 38: From Brave New  Unwired World to   the Ever Smarter World —————————————

HOTLINKs for Damage Locations using GPS and Digital Photos on GIS

Integrate Remote Reconnaissance with Satellite Imagery and Ground SensorNets

Maria Feng UCI Civil & Environmental Engineering

Page 39: From Brave New  Unwired World to   the Ever Smarter World —————————————

Putting Laboratories on a ChipPutting Laboratories on a Chip

Source: Greg McRae, MIT and ANL

$ 10

Cermet SensorCermet Sensor

$ 300,000

Page 40: From Brave New  Unwired World to   the Ever Smarter World —————————————

Can Schools Become a Source for Data Intensive Science?

US EPA PAMS SitesPAMS (Photochemical Assessment Monitoring Station)

SLAMS (State & Local Air Monitoring Stations)

11 PAMS/SLAMS Monitors in 2001

(CO, NO2, O3, SO2, PB, PM10)

California Air Resources Board

Potential for Dramatic Increase in Coverage!

Schools in Los Angeles Unified School District

Page 41: From Brave New  Unwired World to   the Ever Smarter World —————————————

Application Examples• Homeland Security• Emissions Monitoring• M2M Communications

Ad Hoc Mesh Wireless Distributed Sensor Network

Source: Graviton

Page 42: From Brave New  Unwired World to   the Ever Smarter World —————————————

Common Needs for Research or Emergency Response Situational Awareness Common Operational Picture Local Data Warehouse with Remote Data Access AI Data Mining of Distributed Databases Spatial Data Analysis Consequences Assessment Tool Set

Image Source: Panoram Technologies

Multi-Sensor Data Fusion Control Rooms Will Integrate SensorNets with Legacy Data

Page 43: From Brave New  Unwired World to   the Ever Smarter World —————————————

Prevailing wind

Warm zone

Compromised Transportation

Corridor

Hot Zone

CAL-(IT)2 WIISARD Scenario for Improving Emergency Medical Response

Source: Dr. Leslie Lenert, UCSD SOM

Transportation Assets With Mobile Internet

Bubble

FieldTreatment

Station

Mobile BubblesPatient RF IDs

First Responder PDAsElectronicrecord of field care

Hospital #1

Hospital #2

Stadium

WMD Attack

Transport station

Incidentcommand

center

2-Way TelemedicineControl RoomGPS Tracking

High Bandwidth

Page 44: From Brave New  Unwired World to   the Ever Smarter World —————————————

IPv6 Contributions to an Ever Smarter World Data collection to knowledge

synthesis, data mining Data Information

Knowledge IPv6 will help us collect &

mine usable information from massive amounts of data.

Integrated technologies Sensors, computation,

data management IPv6 will enable us to develop

end-to-end applications which integrate ALL technologies.

Page 45: From Brave New  Unwired World to   the Ever Smarter World —————————————

IPv6 Contributions to an Ever Smarter World Universal Access

Location-independence, ubiquitous access to computing, data, resources

IPv6 enables us to develop applications that can be initiated from anywhere at anytime

Global-scale collaboration Collaboration tools, access,

interoperability

IPv6 enables us to communicate, work, and recreate with people all over the world, even as we go nomadic and constantly mobile

Page 46: From Brave New  Unwired World to   the Ever Smarter World —————————————

Trends that will drive this decade

Shrinking computers

Cooper’s Law

Shifting from Hardware to software to services

Galaxy of Gadgets

AR and Milgram’s Continuum

Page 47: From Brave New  Unwired World to   the Ever Smarter World —————————————

The Incredible Shrinking Computer

Page 48: From Brave New  Unwired World to   the Ever Smarter World —————————————
Page 49: From Brave New  Unwired World to   the Ever Smarter World —————————————

The Borgs are Loose and Coming for You(New York Times, Oct., 1999)

BORGS ARE THE HARBINGERS OF 4G and use wearable computers all day, every day

TEXT BORGS: Thad Starner, REMEMBRANCE AGENT, a sort of onbody Google that searches and ranks each new input for relevance.

SOUND BORGS: Greg Priest Dorman, dyslexic sysadmin, uses CharmIT to do text to speech for all his messages, at 3 to 5 times normal rate.

VIDEO BORGS: Steve Mann has been wearing video cameras for over a decade of ‘souveillance’. Asks wife to pick fruit remotely & friends for location advice.

Page 50: From Brave New  Unwired World to   the Ever Smarter World —————————————

Market Adoption

Adopters of Wearable Computers

Time

Innovatos

2001 2002

Late majority

Early majority1

2

Early adopters

Innovators Research Labs, Universities Technophiles Govt / Military

Early Adopters Field Technicians Medical Specialists Stock Brokers

Early Majority Gen Y Upper / Middle Income

Entertainment People with Disabilities

Late Majority Mobile workforce

Page 51: From Brave New  Unwired World to   the Ever Smarter World —————————————

Applications of Wearable Computers Mobile Entertainment Systems Point of Sales Terminals Portable Test EquipmentIndustrial AutomationAutomotive Repair & DiagnosticsBankingKiosks Thin Client/Server ApplicationsEmbedded Internet/intranet Appliances/Gateways/FirewallsWireless Network Repeaters or Base StationsScientific SurveysConstructionAcademic InstructionPersonnel trainingCustomer and user studiesNetwork analysis: mobile nfs diagnosis, intruder detection, packet sniffing

Page 52: From Brave New  Unwired World to   the Ever Smarter World —————————————

Value Proposition

High MobilityLow Mobility

Cell Phones

PDAs

Pagers

Old MainframesLow Functionality

Wearable Computers

LaptopsHigh Functionality

Page 53: From Brave New  Unwired World to   the Ever Smarter World —————————————

New network operations systems must be designed for adaptability and change (new equipment, multiple vendors, new service offerings/ provisioning).

1970-19901970-1990 Minicomputer/Minicomputer/DEC eraDEC era

1:1 people/machine ratio1:1 people/machine ratio

1980-1980- Workstation/Workstation/PC eraPC era

1:10 people/machine ratio1:10 people/machine ratio

1990-1990- Enterprise networks/Enterprise networks/Cisco eraCisco era

1:100? people/machine ratio1:100? people/machine ratio

2000-2000- Broadband packet Broadband packet networks ?networks ?

1:1000? people/machine ratio1:1000? people/machine ratio

1960-19801960-1980

TimeTime

Mainframe/Mainframe/IBM eraIBM era

Platform(s)Platform(s)

10:1 people/machine ratio10:1 people/machine ratio

Network Operations ModelNetwork Operations Model

Source: Paul JohnsonSource: Paul Johnson

Old network management systems were single vendor solutions optimized for cost in rigid five-year preplanned networks.

The New Powers of Ten

Page 54: From Brave New  Unwired World to   the Ever Smarter World —————————————

1000’s of subscriptions/person

Given Imaging’s camera/sensor pill that you swallow, with data recorded onto a hiptop Personal Black Box.

Medical Microelectronic Machines (later nanodocs) tied to NIH databases doing realtime assessment against millions of high resolution medical records, each with IP address.

Localizers as described in Vernor Vinge’s A Deepness in the Sky will link internal and external bodies.

The value of curing cancer, heart disease approx. $50 trillion each. Milken Institute.

Page 55: From Brave New  Unwired World to   the Ever Smarter World —————————————

Source: Pister,Berkeley

Page 56: From Brave New  Unwired World to   the Ever Smarter World —————————————

SENSORS ADC FSMRECEIVER

TRANSMITTER

SOLAR POWER1V 1V 1V 2V3-8V

PHOTO 8-bits

375 kbps

175 bps

1-2V

OPTICAL IN

OPTICAL OUT

16 mm3 total circumscribed volume~4.8 mm3 total displaced volume

Source:Pister,

Berkeley

Page 57: From Brave New  Unwired World to   the Ever Smarter World —————————————

Over the Next Decade NanobioinfoengineeringWill Revolutionize SensorNets

5 nanometersHuman Rhinovirus

IBM Quantum CorralIron Atoms on Copper

VCSELaser

2 mm

Nanogen MicroArray500x

Magnification

400x Magnification

Page 58: From Brave New  Unwired World to   the Ever Smarter World —————————————

How do you manage all those tiny doctors?

IPv6features

3.4*1038 unique addresses available

Stateless autoconfigurationSecurity: authentication and

encryptionMobility management

Page 59: From Brave New  Unwired World to   the Ever Smarter World —————————————

How can we secure these doctors? IPv6

IPSec uses IPv6 extension headers security modes

authentication on IP level encryption on IP level

based on private and public key algorithms manual or automatic key distribution

allows secure end-to-end communication and Virtual Private Networks

Page 60: From Brave New  Unwired World to   the Ever Smarter World —————————————

Mobility management in IPv6

Goals transparency of mobility to higher layers addressability using the home address

Home subnet

Correspondent node

Home agent

Foreign subnet

Mobile node

Internet

Internet Internet

Page 61: From Brave New  Unwired World to   the Ever Smarter World —————————————

The mobile cyborg

IPv6

Page 62: From Brave New  Unwired World to   the Ever Smarter World —————————————

Cooper’s LawSpectral efficiency doubles every 2.5 years

Page 63: From Brave New  Unwired World to   the Ever Smarter World —————————————

The Shifting MarketHardware Software Services

•Services•Services

• Hardware

• Hardware

• Software• Software

Page 64: From Brave New  Unwired World to   the Ever Smarter World —————————————
Page 65: From Brave New  Unwired World to   the Ever Smarter World —————————————

Endowing IPv6 Users with Superpowers

Omniscience: ability to know almost

anything, instantly (John Doe)

Clairvoyance: ability to see what is

happening anywhere on earth

Omnipresence: ability to project power

or influence anywhere

Collective Intelligence: joining minds

Page 66: From Brave New  Unwired World to   the Ever Smarter World —————————————

The Killer App of Ubiquitous IP

Six billion people online…

using human-centric wearable devices…

that allow reception, context-aware processing, retransmission of signals…

including electromagnetic spectrum (television, radio, cellular, satellite, medical, etc.)…

and molecules (smells and chemicals)…

all provided for an affordable fee…

and constituting the largest industry.

Page 67: From Brave New  Unwired World to   the Ever Smarter World —————————————

The Wireless Broadband University

Any data, images, videos, animations, avatar mentors living or dead or imaginary or composite are available to anyone at anytime.

Augmented reality presentations replace Powerpoint presentations.

Pocket College: any course, any test, anytime, anywhere, anyone.

Upgrading the workforce every quarter.

Page 68: From Brave New  Unwired World to   the Ever Smarter World —————————————

Campuses Are Increasingly Covered With High Bandwidth “Wi-Fi” Wireless Internet Zones

UCSD Wireless Projects ActiveClass ActiveCampus Explorientation CyberShuttle

UCI Wireless Projects GPS PDAs Intelligent Transportation Wearables

http://activecampus2.ucsd.edu/acelaunch/coverage.php

UCSD

Page 69: From Brave New  Unwired World to   the Ever Smarter World —————————————

Municipal Broadband Roll Out Municipalities cover over 300 square miles with 802.11x

(two circles with a 7 mile radius, pi x r squared, 49 sq. miles x 3.14) if they have backhaul. System now working at UCSD “Wi Fi Bubble”, including on the Cyberbus at gives bursts of 2 Mbps and, more typically, about 450 Kbps. Malls, campuses, bases can afford.

With 6WiFi and participation in CIBER, the CTIA administrated roaming billing system, this becomes roamable, and economically fungible.

Give citizens wireless broadband as a public good, like fountains that create a positive microclimate in dry, hot cities, only for business and communication.

Page 70: From Brave New  Unwired World to   the Ever Smarter World —————————————

The Great Augmentation

Augmented memory allows hyper documentation of one’s life, recording everything and keeping the Life Bits on your 100 GB hard drive on your hip.

In the future, after emergence of AI, you may want to upload yourself to the net.

Augmented reality allows us to overlay semitransparent text, images, video, from context awareness. Head tracking enables hands free operation.

Page 71: From Brave New  Unwired World to   the Ever Smarter World —————————————

The Paradigm Shift

Page 72: From Brave New  Unwired World to   the Ever Smarter World —————————————

Milgram’s Continuum (1994)

Reality VirtualityAugmented Reality (AR)

Augmented Virtuality (AV)

Mixed Reality (MR)

Page 73: From Brave New  Unwired World to   the Ever Smarter World —————————————

Transitions

Tangible AR interfaces support transitions along the Reality-Virtuality Continuum

Reality VirtualityAR AV

Mixed Reality (MR)

Page 74: From Brave New  Unwired World to   the Ever Smarter World —————————————

4G(2005 –2010)

Page 13© BellSouth Cellular Corp 1999All rights reserved

Low

Mob

ilit

y H

igh

-Mob

ilit

y

Information Rate (Mbps)

0.01 0.1 1.0 10 100

Vehicular

Pedestrian

Portable

Fixed

56K ModemsDSL/Cable

E1/T1 Lines

T3 Lines

DECT/CordlessPhones

Bluetooth

GSM, cdmaOnePDC

GPRS, EDGE

802.11b 802.11a

W-CDMA, cdma2000

Broadband Fixed Wireless Access

OFDM?, UWB? Dynamic Chaos?

Software Defined Radio Opportunity2G 2.5G 3G

$0.02-$0.07/Mbyte$0.45 - $20/Mbyte

Multimedia Data, Location Services,Augmented Reality, Music/Video,Voice over IP, Remote Control

Smart Antennas

4G(2005 –2010)

Page 13© BellSouth Cellular Corp 1999All rights reserved

Low

Mob

ilit

y H

igh

-Mob

ilit

y

Information Rate (Mbps)

0.01 0.1 1.0 10 100

Vehicular

Pedestrian

Portable

Fixed

56K ModemsDSL/Cable

E1/T1 Lines

T3 Lines

DECT/CordlessPhones

Bluetooth

GSM, cdmaOnePDC

GPRS, EDGE

802.11b 802.11a

W-CDMA, cdma2000

Broadband Fixed Wireless Access

OFDM?, UWB? Dynamic Chaos?

Software Defined Radio Opportunity2G 2.5G 3G

$0.02-$0.07/Mbyte$0.45 - $20/Mbyte

Multimedia Data, Location Services,Augmented Reality, Music/Video,Voice over IP, Remote Control

Smart Antennas

The Next Logical Step In Wireless Data

Page 75: From Brave New  Unwired World to   the Ever Smarter World —————————————

The Information Foundation Just as foundation of building (brick vs.

structural steel) determines how high it can go, the information foundation (structure of networks) determines how high civilization can reach.

Jim Bound: “IPv6 is infrastructure!” Latif Ladid: IPv4 is straining to support just one

application like the World Wide Web. IPv6 could support at least ten applications the size of the WWW.

Like putting round peg in round hole: how do we drop entire industries into the expanding IPv6, creating commercial explosions?

Page 76: From Brave New  Unwired World to   the Ever Smarter World —————————————

A Mania for Measures and New Names The Measure of Reality: Quantification and Western Society

1250 to 1600 by Alfred Crosby

Europeans were nothing special around 1000, were the science leaders in 1500, and then dominated the world. Why? Many excuses, but only one clear difference: mania for measurement and quantification.

Measuring India to the yard. “Mad dogs and Englishmen”.

Musical notation: thousand singing from the same sheet.

Perspective in painting: 50 innovators in Temperance, greater realism led to being on walls, led to goals setting, historical recognition, and objective mentality.

Clocks went from town squares > tables > wrists, and helped determine longitude.

Science led to technology led to victory and colonization.

Page 77: From Brave New  Unwired World to   the Ever Smarter World —————————————

The Seven Wonders of the Ancient World

The Pyramids of GizaThe Hanging Gardens of BabylonThe Colossus of RhodesThe Lighthouse of AlexandriaThe Mausoleum of HalicarnassusThe Temple of Artemis at

EphesusThe Temple of Zeus at Olympiad

Page 78: From Brave New  Unwired World to   the Ever Smarter World —————————————

The Seven Wonders of the IPv6 World

Terra Sapiens: create “us” as superorganism.

Earth, Incorporated: all of us shareholders

4GEO: Give every square meter its own unique IPv6 address, then link to GIS software, GPS, and allow posting messages.

The World Water Web: put RF sensors almost everywhere to signal Wet, Hot, etc. and get real time measure in liters.

The Great Replication: 3D copy of everything

The Great Augmentation: sharing POV

The Ultimate Market: anyone buy, sell, anything.

Page 79: From Brave New  Unwired World to   the Ever Smarter World —————————————

The Colossus of Rhodes

The The StatueStatue of of LibertyLiberty

Page 80: From Brave New  Unwired World to   the Ever Smarter World —————————————

ATLICATIONS the size of WWW

Atlas application, supports the world

Voice ($500 billion annually)

Radio (add personalization, location)

Television (Every show ever made)

Medical Monitoring

Simulations

High resolution Location Based Services, including security

Page 81: From Brave New  Unwired World to   the Ever Smarter World —————————————

Powers of IPv6 Power of Numbering

Power of Sequencing

Power of Ranking

Power of Naming

Power of Leading

Power of Granularity

Power of Bounding

Power of Finer Address (from “c/o General Delivery to street to 5 digit zip to 9 digit zip to 128 digit zip)

Power of Slapping on Labels and Instructions

Power of Containerized Cargo

Power of Tight Targeting

Power of Better Modeling and Simulation

Page 82: From Brave New  Unwired World to   the Ever Smarter World —————————————

Closing Thought

The future is here.

It’s just not evenly distributed. William Gibson.

Alex [email protected]

Page 83: From Brave New  Unwired World to   the Ever Smarter World —————————————

Books come with 24 hour tech support, lunch, and a friendship

Page 84: From Brave New  Unwired World to   the Ever Smarter World —————————————

Closing Thought

Thank you for coming! See you in November at the next Summit.

Thank you!

Please stay in touch.

Alex Lightman

[email protected]

Tel. 310 717 7745